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Speaker 1: One up. Guys, How are you welcome into a Monday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials

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Speaker 1: at Sports Doc Matt, and this podcast being brought to

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Speaker 1: you by our friends at Draft Kings. And I've got

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Speaker 1: a Draft Kings pick six play for you here on

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Speaker 1: this very podcast. We hit this last week. It actually

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Speaker 1: paid out six to one. So let's see what tonight

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Speaker 1: I like doing three leg not two leg, three leg

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Speaker 1: parlays on this I've got three prop bets for you

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Speaker 1: on tonight's Monday night football game that I'm going to

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Speaker 1: tell you about. But we've got a couple things we

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Speaker 1: have to address business wise here today. It is a

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Speaker 1: Thanksgiving week. A lot of people want you, guys, want

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Speaker 1: your attention. They want your business. When I give you

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Speaker 1: four winners and we go four and oh, you can

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Speaker 1: give them your attention. Okay, don't whine, don't compliant, complain,

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Speaker 1: don't be like, oh god, Matt, so many reads why

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Speaker 1: because we went four and oh yesterday all right, Bears

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Speaker 1: on the hook, Seattle outright, Eagles in a laugher, Dolphins

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Speaker 1: and the Packers. Well that was simple blowout victories.

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Speaker 2: There.

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Speaker 1: The props went two and two. We were down point

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Speaker 1: zero two units on the prop bets from the live

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Speaker 1: stream on Sunday morning six and two day up three

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Speaker 1: point nine eight units, basically four units up on the day,

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Speaker 1: up on the weekend, up on the week. Lose winning week,

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Speaker 1: losing week, winning week. Let's wrap up the final week

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Speaker 1: here of November. Let's see if we can have a

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Speaker 1: winning week and have a winning month of November. You

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Speaker 1: know it's funny about that though, too, because you guys

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Speaker 1: in the comment section. I read what you guys write

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Speaker 1: in the comment section. Do you guys sound like complete

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Speaker 1: babies when you come in and you complain about a

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Speaker 1: losing day because you pick and shoes when to watch

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Speaker 1: or when to listen, so you come in, You're like, oh,

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Speaker 1: why does it sound like Matt always loses when I

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Speaker 1: come in? Because you come in on days you care about,

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Speaker 1: on like a Saturday or a big Monday or whatnot.

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Speaker 1: Don't parachute in and right garbage in the comment section.

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Speaker 1: I've gone long enough without calling out you TikTok bros. Okay, Like, seriously,

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Speaker 1: I love all of you guys for watching and you're

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Speaker 1: helping my job. You're doing you know, you're helping me

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Speaker 1: keep my job when you watch and listen and interact.

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Speaker 1: So I appreciate all the interaction, but like the crying

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Speaker 1: and the complaining, like, how new to this are you?

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Speaker 2: Like?

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Speaker 1: Really, like how new to gambling are you? You think

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Speaker 1: I win every day? I mean I went four and

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Speaker 1: oh yesterday, right, what happens today?

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Speaker 2: I don't know? Oh and three, it happens, won two games.

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Speaker 1: I won back to back days, and then I lost,

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Speaker 1: and then I won back to back days and then

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Speaker 1: I lost and then I lost again and then I

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Speaker 1: went four and oh.

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Speaker 2: Like this is just the way this stuff goes.

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Speaker 1: Guys, Like, come on now, like you have to at

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Speaker 1: least pretend like you know what's going on, at least

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Speaker 1: act like you know, at least act like you get this.

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Speaker 2: Okay, Am I doing that? I mean, like, stay out

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Speaker 2: of the.

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Speaker 1: Comment section, stop writing garbage, okay, because it's embarrassing to read.

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Speaker 1: I'm embarrassed for you, and you're hiding behind a fake

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Speaker 1: name in a fake avatar. I've got my real name,

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Speaker 1: my real face, all on this telling you what I

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Speaker 1: do and what I'm betting and what you should play

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Speaker 1: fate or follow every day. So this podcast is being

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Speaker 1: code Juice. Minimum purchase may apply. Okay, let's get to

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Speaker 1: the picks. That's a lot, I know. Let's first start

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Speaker 1: with the DraftKings Pick six. Okay, and what you guys

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Speaker 1: will be able to play if you want to jump

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Speaker 1: in with the DraftKings Picks six, This are the three

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Speaker 1: plays that you can make if you're going download DraftKings

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Speaker 1: Pick six. If you already have the fifty dollars, you

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Speaker 1: just want to make it with your first buy your

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Speaker 1: first entry fee download DraftKings Pick six. I'm going with

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Speaker 1: Joshua Palmer over thirty six and a half yards receiving.

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Speaker 1: I think he'll be a big weapon here tonight. But

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Speaker 1: I'm fading Lad McConkie under six six and a half

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Speaker 1: yards receiving and JK. Dobbins under fourteen and a half

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Speaker 1: yards receiving. So we're going Palmer over McConkie under Dobbins

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Speaker 1: under all Rams. Sorry, excuse me, All Chargers tonight up

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Speaker 1: against the Ravens here tonight. If all three come in,

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Speaker 1: you will at least four x your money. Last week

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Speaker 1: it was a six x for your money. So if

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Speaker 1: it was fifty bucks, you won three hundred on this

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Speaker 1: Joshua Palmer under thirty six and a half yards receiving,

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Speaker 1: McConkie under sixty six and a half yard receiving, and JK.

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Speaker 1: Dobbins under fourteen and a half yards receiving for us here

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Speaker 1: on the DraftKings Pig six. So let's talk about the game.

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Speaker 1: Ravens laying two and a half on the road. We

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Speaker 1: just saw what happened to the Rams and what the

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Speaker 1: Eagles did to the Rams. I don't think we're in

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Speaker 1: for that type of game. I don't think we're in

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Speaker 1: for like an hour absolute destruction. But I do like

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Speaker 1: the Ravens here. I like the Chargers a lot. I'm

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Speaker 1: high on the Chargers. They're seven and three ats, they're

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Speaker 1: four and one at home. They've covered four straight games.

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Speaker 1: They've won four straight games. Beat New Orleans, beat Cleveland,

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Speaker 1: beat Tennessee, and beat Cincinnati. I think this is a

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Speaker 1: different level with the Ravens. It's the Ravens on turf.

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Speaker 1: You see how fast a kwon. Barkley was on tur

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Speaker 1: on that turf, he flew. What are we going to

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Speaker 1: see tonight? Out of the Ravens and Lamar Jackson. I

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Speaker 1: think Lamar's got a big night. When they lost to Cleveland,

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Speaker 1: they came back home and played Denver and they won

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Speaker 1: the game by thirty one points. Now, they lost their

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Speaker 1: first two of the two against Kansas City in Las Vegas,

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Speaker 1: one on the road and one at home, opening up

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Speaker 1: zero to two. And then they went ahead and ran

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Speaker 1: off five straight wins, and they lost to Cleveland. Won

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Speaker 1: back to back games, and they lost to Pittsburgh last week,

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Speaker 1: and they really should have won that game. Okay, Justin

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Speaker 1: Tucker missed two free two field goals. If he hits

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Speaker 1: those field goals, the Ravens win. But they always lose

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Speaker 1: at Pittsburgh. I expect a big bounce back spot here

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Speaker 1: out of the Baltimore Ravens, and I just don't trust

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Speaker 1: this Chargers defense. It's good, just don't think as good

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Speaker 1: as everyone thinks it is. Against the AFC. The Ravens

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Speaker 1: are three and five ats that's not going to continue.

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Speaker 1: This is one of the best teams in football, and

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Speaker 1: it's November and it's the Gym versus John Harball Bowl.

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Speaker 1: Don't tell me that John doesn't want to beat Jim desperately.

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Speaker 1: Chargers are five and two against the AFC. They've been tremendous.

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Speaker 1: They're four and one. Like I mentioned, at home, Ravens

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Speaker 1: are three and three on the road, losing to Pittsburgh,

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Speaker 1: losing to Cleveland on the road. They beat Tampa by

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Speaker 1: ten on the road. They beat Cincinnati by three on

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Speaker 1: the road, and they beat Dallas by three on the road.

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Speaker 1: Ravens might very well win this game by three points,

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Speaker 1: but I'm going to lay the three points with the

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Speaker 1: Baltimore Ravens here, and I'm gonna expect this Ravens all

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Speaker 1: offense to do enough to get in exploit some of

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Speaker 1: the things, some of the issues that we've seen with

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Speaker 1: this Chargers defense, and the Chargers defense is good, it's

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Speaker 1: just not It's number one in points given up per game.

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Speaker 1: I don't think this is the best defense in football.

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Speaker 1: It's number nine the point in yards per play. I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's probably a top ten defense. But it's fifth in

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Speaker 1: opposing rushing attempts per game. But they're twenty fourth, twenty

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Speaker 1: fourth in rushing yards per play. Four point seven yards

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Speaker 1: per rush given up by this Chargers defense. This is

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Speaker 1: the number one rush offense in football with Derrick Henry

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Speaker 1: and Lamar Jackson. I think Baltimore runs the ball straight

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Speaker 1: down their throat. I think they throw the ball well enough.

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Speaker 1: It's number two pass offense in football for the Ravens,

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Speaker 1: number six pass defense with six point six yards per

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Speaker 1: pass play. For the Chargers, they're giving up two hundred

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Speaker 1: and seven yards per game, that's twelve best in the NFL,

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Speaker 1: while the Ravens are throwing over two hundred and fifty

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Speaker 1: two yards per game that's third best. I think this

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Speaker 1: comes down to the Ravens offense against the Charger defense,

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Speaker 1: and I think the Ravens offense is gonna move the

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Speaker 1: ball and score. On the flip side, you can't run

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Speaker 1: on Baltimore. We know that on their defense, but you

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Speaker 1: can throw all over them. I expect Justin Herbert to

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Speaker 1: have a decent game here tonight, but that's why I

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Speaker 1: like Palmer over.

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Speaker 2: But I just think who is he gonna throw to?

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Speaker 2: I mean, Lad McConkie.

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Speaker 1: It's been sort of like this, like this under this

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Speaker 1: guy that people have not talked a ton about. I've

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Speaker 1: had him on my fantasy team. He has great games

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Speaker 1: and then disappears. I think he disappears tonight, and I

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Speaker 1: think they try to run the ball at JK. Dobbin's

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Speaker 1: not really throw the ball to JK Dobbins tonight. That's

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Speaker 1: why the pick six is where the pick six is.

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Speaker 1: But Herbert could have a night throwing the football tonight

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Speaker 1: wouldn't shock me at all. The Chargers are throwing the

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Speaker 1: ball two hundred and four yards per game, that's nineteenth

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Speaker 1: best in the NFL. Will the Ravens give up two

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Speaker 1: hundred and eighty four and a half yards per game

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Speaker 1: that's dead last in the NFL. Seven point seven yards

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Speaker 1: per pass play that's twenty eighth in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: You can throw on these guys.

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Speaker 1: Absolutely, but if the pass rush gets home, and they

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Speaker 1: can get to Justin Herbert and make him have to move.

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Speaker 1: How the Ravens can win this game with turnovers and

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Speaker 1: playing ball control and keeping it away from the Chargers offense.

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Speaker 1: Don't mind a play on the under at fifty and

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Speaker 1: a half, but I'm gonna lay the two and a

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Speaker 1: half Ravens minus two and a half for one point

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Speaker 1: one units. Second bet, we go to college basketball. We're

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Speaker 1: going to Maui. This is gonna be fun. I'm look,

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Speaker 1: I love this feast week is tremendous. There are two

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Speaker 1: games Memphis and Yukon in Colorado and Michigan State. Those

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Speaker 1: are during the day today, Okay, we're gonna focus on

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Speaker 1: the night games. The game's being tipped off at six

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Speaker 1: pm Pacific and eight thirty Pacific. Okay, these are late

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Speaker 1: night games for a lot of you guys who are

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Speaker 1: gonna be on the East Coast. And I think it's

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Speaker 1: just well, I think it's worth staying up. I think

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Speaker 1: it's worth it for you to hang around and watch

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Speaker 1: these games. After football is over, you'll have college basketball

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Speaker 1: to watch. Let's start with the first game, Auburn against

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Speaker 1: Iowa State. Line is four. A little surprised at this.

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Speaker 1: To be quite honest, this number is a little bit

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Speaker 1: too light. This is a four point win according to kenpom.

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Speaker 1: And not say kempom is right with everything, but Auburn

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Speaker 1: is the number two team on kempom taking on Iowa State,

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Speaker 1: who is a top ten team according to kempom, which

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Speaker 1: I don't really buy. To be quite honest, haven't been

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Speaker 1: all that impressed with Iowa State this year. They've beaten

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Speaker 1: Missisipi Valley State, they beat Kansas City, and they beat

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Speaker 1: you IU Indianapolis. Okay, IU p U, I right, Okay.

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Speaker 1: They scored eighty three, eighty two, and eighty seven points.

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Speaker 1: It's not like they're killing people. It's not like you're like,

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Speaker 1: oh my god, look out for Iowa State. They're one

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Speaker 1: in two ats. Auburn is three to zero to one,

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Speaker 1: and they played Houston and they beat Houston, who might

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Speaker 1: be the best team in the country. If not Auburn

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Speaker 1: might be the best team in the country. I don't

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Speaker 1: really understand this number, to be honest, I think this

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Speaker 1: number is too light. I like Iowa State, I love

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Speaker 1: t j Alzienberger, but I think Bruce Pearl's club here

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Speaker 1: this is I don't want to say this is a mismatch,

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Speaker 1: but this is not a great matchup in my mind

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Speaker 1: here for Iowa State, and I think even though Iowa

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Speaker 1: State defensively has been very good and the metrics really

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Speaker 1: like Iowa State, if you look at some of the

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Speaker 1: just the way, Iowa State's offense is fourth in adjusted efficiency,

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Speaker 1: thirteenth in effective field goal percentage, number one in turnovers,

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Speaker 1: sixteenth and three point defense, fortieth and two point defense.

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Speaker 2: Who have they played, They've played nobody.

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Speaker 1: I think Auburn's numbers of being number two in a

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Speaker 1: adjusted efficiency on offense and number five in adjusted efficiency

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Speaker 1: on defense is way more impressive than Iowa State's numbers,

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Speaker 1: simply because Auburn has played well. Houston played a real team.

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Speaker 1: Their number one in effective field goal percentage, they're number

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Speaker 1: one and two point percentage. They got a couple of

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Speaker 1: really young kids that are fun to watch. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this this lineup is is tough. It's going to be

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Speaker 1: you know, the Broom kid is really talented. At six

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Speaker 1: foot ten, he's tough to deal with. But Pettiford, the freshman,

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Speaker 1: the six' to one freshman who lit Up, houston this

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Speaker 1: kid's gonna be a big PROBLEM i think For Iowa.

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Speaker 1: STATE i Like, LIPSEY i like some of the players

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Speaker 1: In Iowa state's. Roster they got a six to eight,

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Speaker 1: guy you, know the the you, know a couple of

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Speaker 1: shooters from the. Outside i'm not gonna say the kid's,

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Speaker 1: name but the, kid the The european. Kid w'o been

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Speaker 1: shoot from the. Outside, Eh, Auburn i'm gonna lay the

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Speaker 1: three and a. Half gave Me auburn minus three and

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Speaker 1: a half, here shop, around find the best. Price auburn

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Speaker 1: minus three and a half to Beat Iowa state here

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Speaker 1: in the first game of The Maui, invitational and then

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Speaker 1: the late game Is dayton Against North. Carolina now the

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Speaker 1: total for this number is one fifty five and a

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Speaker 1: half or one fifty. Six dayton is three and one

318
00:17:12,080 --> 00:17:15,119
Speaker 1: to the over so far this. Year last game that

319
00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:18,720
Speaker 1: they played went, under but the three previous games all went.

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00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:22,399
Speaker 1: Over North carolina is four and oh to the over so.

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00:17:22,520 --> 00:17:26,480
Speaker 1: Far they've Played, Elon, Kansas, american and they Played. Hawaii

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00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:30,359
Speaker 1: all four of the games have gone. Over remember that

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Speaker 1: this is now back In. Maui this is not being

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00:17:33,800 --> 00:17:37,400
Speaker 1: played In. Honolulu this is back in the Traditional Maui.

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Speaker 2: Invitational. Gym what does that? Mean soft.

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Speaker 1: Rims this has been an old little secret that we

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Speaker 1: have played on The Daily jues for a. While in

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00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:51,120
Speaker 1: The Maui, invitational we have searched for games where teams

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Speaker 1: want to play fast and the rims will come into.

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Speaker 1: Play dayton is not the fastest, team But North carolina.

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Speaker 1: Is North carolina is seventh an average possession length at

332
00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:07,480
Speaker 1: just fourteen point five seconds per. Possession they are going

333
00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:11,199
Speaker 1: to Force dayton to play their brand of, basketball and

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00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:14,000
Speaker 1: If dayton is not shooting and hitting, threes they're going

335
00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:16,600
Speaker 1: to be in. Trouble dayton is two hundred and fifty

336
00:18:16,680 --> 00:18:20,040
Speaker 1: six and three point. Shooting that's no bueno for. THEM

337
00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:23,320
Speaker 1: i would Expect North carolina to win and cover this,

338
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Speaker 1: game but we're gonna play this early, here.

339
00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:27,840
Speaker 2: And let's see what the.

340
00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:31,000
Speaker 1: NUMBERS i also like the over in The Yukon memphis, game,

341
00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:33,040
Speaker 1: too but that's earlier in the, game And i'm a

342
00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:35,399
Speaker 1: little concerned About yukon and What yukon wants to. Do

343
00:18:35,440 --> 00:18:38,080
Speaker 1: memphis wants to play, fast But yukon's so good defensively

344
00:18:38,119 --> 00:18:40,359
Speaker 1: that they might not Let memphis do. That SO i

345
00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:42,600
Speaker 1: do like that, over but, Yeah i'm not going to bet.

346
00:18:42,640 --> 00:18:44,160
Speaker 1: It as of right, Now i'm not going to bet,

347
00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:46,359
Speaker 1: it BUT i am Betting dayton In North. Carolina this

348
00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:48,000
Speaker 1: game is going to go over one fifty five and a.

349
00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:50,840
Speaker 1: HALF i always Expect North carolina to be somewhere in

350
00:18:50,880 --> 00:18:53,640
Speaker 1: the nineties, here AND i don't Need dayton to score.

351
00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:56,240
Speaker 1: MUCH i need to score sixty or seventy points and

352
00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:58,160
Speaker 1: this game is going to go over for us In

353
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Speaker 1: maui soft rims up.

354
00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:01,280
Speaker 2: Town give Me North.

355
00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:03,800
Speaker 1: Carolina we're going over one fifty five and a half

356
00:19:03,840 --> 00:19:08,080
Speaker 1: For carolina and For. Dayton all, Right so our plays

357
00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:12,080
Speaker 1: for today On Monday ravens minus two and a half

358
00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:15,400
Speaker 1: On Monday Night football for one point one. Units auburn

359
00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:18,840
Speaker 1: and The Maui invitational Against Iowa state laying three and

360
00:19:18,920 --> 00:19:21,800
Speaker 1: a half for one point one, units and the over

361
00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:24,919
Speaker 1: In North carolina In dayton over one fifty five and

362
00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:28,240
Speaker 1: a half For North carolina In dayton for one point one.

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00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:30,840
Speaker 1: Units if you guys are looking for what we're going

364
00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:33,960
Speaker 1: to do here for the pick, Six Joshua palmer over

365
00:19:34,040 --> 00:19:37,360
Speaker 1: his receiving, Yards lad McConkey under his receiving, Yards JAKE.

366
00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:40,360
Speaker 2: K dobbins under his receiving. Yards if all three.

367
00:19:40,119 --> 00:19:42,520
Speaker 1: Come, in that will at least four extra money on

368
00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:45,560
Speaker 1: The DraftKings pick six Minus Matt. Perult follow me across

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00:19:45,560 --> 00:19:46,760
Speaker 1: all socials At Sports Talk.

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Speaker 2: Matt every.

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Speaker 1: Morning it is The Del Jucee, podcast presented By DraftKings