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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Parolt. You guys

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Speaker 2: can follow me across all of my socials at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt, and I come to you today with a

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Speaker 2: little bit of a difficult admission. So I try to

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Speaker 2: be really transparent and I try to tell you all

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Speaker 2: the time, like when I'm up, when I'm down.

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Speaker 1: We'll get to the record.

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Speaker 2: Yesterday was awful, but that's not why I need to

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Speaker 2: apologize to you guys who do trust me with knowledge

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Speaker 2: information and some of you follow, some of you fade,

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Speaker 2: whatever you may do. But yesterday life got the best

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Speaker 2: of me and I did something quickly, and I did

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Speaker 2: something too fast. And it's not an excuse and it's

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Speaker 2: not something that I'm ever going to have happen again.

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Speaker 2: But I think it's only fair that if you guys

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Speaker 2: were looking at the prop bet cheat sheet and then

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Speaker 2: you look at the play that I made, you would say,

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Speaker 2: wait a minute, Matt. The prop bet cheat sheet said

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Speaker 2: Darius Garland under twenty seven and a half, not over.

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Speaker 2: You played over. Well, the under came in and the underhit. Now,

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Speaker 2: if I had the ability to link my sports books

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Speaker 2: to the app, to the betting pros app. This wouldn't

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Speaker 2: be a problem because once I would place the bet,

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Speaker 2: the bet would automatically be tracked. You guys can do

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Speaker 2: that in other states. In Nevada we cannot do that.

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Speaker 2: The books will never allow anyone to have that type

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Speaker 2: of back end access. And the reason is is because

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Speaker 2: most of the sports books are tied to large casino

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Speaker 2: properties here in town that oftentimes get hacked. And so

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Speaker 2: if you enable a sinking of your sports book to

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Speaker 2: an application that is not controlled by the property, well

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Speaker 2: you can use that as a trojan horse back door

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Speaker 2: to get into the information of the actual property. And

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Speaker 2: it has happened. It happened when I was working at

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Speaker 2: the Palazzo where they were hacked by international hackers and

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Speaker 2: caused all sorts of problems. So in Nevada there is nothing.

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Speaker 2: We cannot sportsbook sync on anything at any book. It

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Speaker 2: does not happen. And I live in obviously Las Vegas,

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Speaker 2: so I have to manually do it. And so when

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Speaker 2: I put in the prop bet chic sheet and I

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Speaker 2: am going through and I put it on the app

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Speaker 2: as to what I am going to play, well, it's

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Speaker 2: on me. There is no failsafe, there is no backup.

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Speaker 2: There is nobody to say, Matt Waite, you played under,

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Speaker 2: not over. And look, I'm not trying to excuse the record.

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Speaker 2: I'm not trying to I was one in three, Okay,

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Speaker 2: Like I'm not saying that was good, but that number,

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Speaker 2: and we're going to count it for what it was. Garland,

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Speaker 2: I should have played under. I did bet under. I

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Speaker 2: went one and one on player props. The over didn't

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Speaker 2: come in for this. It was a three to two

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Speaker 2: final for Chicago and Saint Louis. We couldn't get the

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Speaker 2: empty net. We couldn't get the extra goal to make

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Speaker 2: it go over. So it goes under five and a

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Speaker 2: half and the Hawk got killed. I mean the second half.

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Speaker 2: The Pistons blew the damn doors off the Hawks. Atlanta

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Speaker 2: was in the game until they really weren't, and Detroit win.

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Speaker 2: That won that game by a million. So that was

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Speaker 2: a huge win for the Pistons and a really bad

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Speaker 2: bet by me. But there's always one bet that there's

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Speaker 2: always one bet that's bad. The Kobe White over landed

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Speaker 2: at twenty seven point three bounds and assists. It was

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Speaker 2: supposed to be twenty over twenty eight and a half

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Speaker 2: that was supposed to be. You know, that was a bucket.

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Speaker 2: We came a bucket short there. But the Garland play

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Speaker 2: is going to sit with me for a bit. And look,

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Speaker 2: it's the holiday season. I'm running around doing a thousand things.

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Speaker 2: And if you saw when the prop bets went up,

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Speaker 2: the prop bets went up at three thirty Pacific time,

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Speaker 2: six thirty Eastern. That's later than I normally ever put

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Speaker 2: up a prop. Okay, I normally put the props up

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Speaker 2: at the middle of the day twelve o'clock. When I

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Speaker 2: get done with BBB, my other show, I then go

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Speaker 2: and do the player props. That's the normal cadence. Some

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Speaker 2: things were going on here today that we're a bit unusual,

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Speaker 2: and thus I take a great deal of responsibility for

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Speaker 2: being accountable but also being someone who pays attention to

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Speaker 2: what they are doing. So this is me coming to

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Speaker 2: you guys, hat in hand and saying I really screwed up,

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Speaker 2: and I'm really sorry about this, and it won't happen again,

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Speaker 2: and I'll make sure of it. I will double check

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Speaker 2: my work. I will make sure that the plays are

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Speaker 2: put in properly, that when we do the prop bet

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Speaker 2: cheat sheet, because it has been very profitable. The prop

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Speaker 2: bet cheat sheet has been tremendous again this year, and frankly,

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Speaker 2: we're about to get into the part of the year,

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Speaker 2: mainly January, where we have, you know, a dwindling number

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Speaker 2: of football games and we will have way more prop

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Speaker 2: bet prop betting going on for the NBA. So I

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Speaker 2: guess maybe it's a blessing in disguise that I blew

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Speaker 2: it here early that once we get into the heavy

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Speaker 2: part of the year January, February, March April. Really when

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Speaker 2: we made a ton of money last year with the

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Speaker 2: prop bet cheat sheet, that I screwed up here versus

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Speaker 2: screwing up later. But you know this is on me,

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Speaker 2: So it's an orange four day. Officially, it really is

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Speaker 2: a one in three day. In case you're worried about

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Speaker 2: the prop bet cheat sheet not hitting, it did go

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Speaker 2: one in one on the plays last night. I just

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Speaker 2: was a moron and fat fingered it, if you will,

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Speaker 2: and just was rushing and didn't realize it was supposed

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Speaker 2: to be under and I played over and I didn't

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Speaker 2: correct it, and I am sorry, So long way of

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Speaker 2: explaining a horrible day and now we've missed seven straight

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Speaker 2: bets and depending on how you do the two days

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Speaker 2: ago bet like one and two oh and three oh

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Speaker 2: and four not the way we want to put ourselves

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Speaker 2: into a darn big hole here into the weekend, but

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Speaker 2: we do have some time to climb our way out

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Speaker 2: of it and kind of slowly but surely climb our

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Speaker 2: way out of it, and that's hopefully what we're going

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Speaker 2: to be able to do. If you guys want to

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Speaker 2: avoid my mistakes with the propet cheat sheet and you

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Speaker 2: want to have full ability, full access to not just

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Speaker 2: the Basketball prop bet cheat sheet, but the NFL prop

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Speaker 2: bet cheat sheet, you can get six months of Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros Premium for free. That's a seventy five dollars value

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Speaker 2: by upgrading, by simply going to Bettingpros dot com slash

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Speaker 2: Premium and making it a deposit and a bet at

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Speaker 2: a partner sportsbook, and we will give you six months

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Speaker 2: of Betting Pros Premium that is a seventy five dollars value.

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Speaker 2: We will do that for six months for you guys.

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Speaker 2: If you go to Bettingpros dot Com slash Premium and

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Speaker 2: make a deposit, make a bet after that deposit and

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Speaker 2: then you will claim your upgrade for betting pros premium.

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Speaker 1: Now let's talk Army Navy here at the top.

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Speaker 2: So Army Navy historically speaking, has been a blind bet

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Speaker 2: to the under for a lot of people. But Navy

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Speaker 2: is an over team this year, like a really significant

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Speaker 2: over team this year. Not kind of over, but way over.

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Speaker 2: Eight and three. I believe to the over right, Army

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Speaker 2: can score. They can get to sixteen seventeen points.

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Speaker 1: They can. Navy, I think, is going to score even

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Speaker 1: more than that.

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Speaker 2: And I think when you look at Army versus Navy

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Speaker 2: and everyone is so like blindly betting on these games,

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Speaker 2: I think the reason why the professionals have decided to say,

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Speaker 2: hold on a second, we're gonna come in here and

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Speaker 2: we're gonna bet the over because Army away from home

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Speaker 2: went five and one to the under, but Navy eight

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Speaker 2: and three overall, five.

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Speaker 1: And one at home, three and two on the road.

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Speaker 2: And look at these point totals scored by Navy against Memphis.

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Speaker 2: They scored twenty eight. Against South Florida, they scored forty one.

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Speaker 2: Against Notre Dame, they scored ten. That's Notre Dame. They

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Speaker 2: scored seventeen against North Texas, forty two against Florida Atlantic,

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Speaker 2: thirty two against Temple in thirty four against air Force.

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Speaker 2: On the flip side, Army scored twenty seven points against Utsa,

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Speaker 2: twenty five points against Tulsa, fourteen points against Temple, twenty

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Speaker 2: points against air Force. Their game was twenty to seventeen.

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Speaker 2: Their game went under, while the air Force game went

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Speaker 2: over by thirteen and a half. Games For Navy, there's

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Speaker 2: a common opponent there. Temple was fifty two and a half.

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Speaker 2: Navy game went over by ten and a half. The

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Speaker 2: Temple game went under by eighteen and a half. You

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Speaker 2: see the commonality here. Navy is scoring and the games

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Speaker 2: are going over.

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Speaker 1: Army is not.

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Speaker 2: In the games are going under. Now this number being

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Speaker 2: six and a half, people are betting it. They're saying,

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Speaker 2: bet Navy.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I understand the logic, I do, but in Army Navy,

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Speaker 2: this just feels like a game that is going to

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Speaker 2: be tight, and I think it's going to be high scoring.

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Speaker 2: But it could very well be right around the number

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Speaker 2: of thirty eight or thirty eight and a half.

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Speaker 1: It could be right there.

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Speaker 2: I think the better way of looking at this is

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Speaker 2: the team total for Navy and how many points is

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Speaker 2: Navy going to score? The team total is twenty one

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Speaker 2: and a half for Navy. I think they score twenty

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Speaker 2: four points in this game, all right, Like I mentioned,

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Speaker 2: twenty eight, forty one, ten, seventeen, forty two, thirty two,

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Speaker 2: thirty four going back to the beginning of October. In

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Speaker 2: the last two months, only two games saw Navy score

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Speaker 2: less than twenty four points. And we're laying over twenty

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Speaker 2: one and a half. If they get to twenty two

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Speaker 2: or twenty three and twenty three is really possible we

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Speaker 2: get over twenty one and a half. Some books have

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Speaker 2: moved to twenty two and a half. I don't think

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Speaker 2: there's a big difference between twenty one and a half

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Speaker 2: and twenty three and a half.

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Speaker 1: Enturry twenty two and a half or twenty one and.

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Speaker 2: A half because you need, you know, it could be

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Speaker 2: field goal, field goal, field goal, right touchdown, touchdown, then

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Speaker 2: three field goals. That's twenty three. So we're over twenty

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Speaker 2: two and a half and we're over twenty one and

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Speaker 2: a half, So I'm okay with that. If it gets

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Speaker 2: to twenty three and a half, that's a stop sign.

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Speaker 2: I don't like that at all. But I think Navy

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Speaker 2: over twenty one and a half or over twenty two

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Speaker 2: and a half, I like this. I think Navy scores.

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Speaker 2: I think Army gives up points. Again, if this game is,

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Speaker 2: you know, twenty four seventeen, even.

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Speaker 1: Twenty four to twenty, that game goes over. I guess.

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Speaker 1: But you know, I think Navy is going to score.

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Speaker 2: I don't know about Army, and so that's why I

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Speaker 2: think people are laying the same and a half. I

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Speaker 2: think I'm more inclined to bet the team total. Again,

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Speaker 2: if you want to fade me, you can go ahead

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Speaker 2: and fade me. I mean, I am ice cold this week,

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Speaker 2: so if you guys want to go ahead and fade me.

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Speaker 2: But I think the Army Navy game probably goes over.

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Speaker 2: But I'm not sure about Armies offense. I do think

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Speaker 2: Navy scores. We're gonna come in and we're gonna bet

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Speaker 2: Navy team total over twenty one and a half at

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Speaker 2: minus one twenty for one point two units. Now, if

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Speaker 2: you guys don't know yet, well you might be new.

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Speaker 1: Today, let's talk about.

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Speaker 2: The Las Vegas Bowl, and they made the announcement that

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Speaker 2: this bowl game is going away. This Bowl game will

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Speaker 2: be done after this year after Boise and Washington play.

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Speaker 2: That's it, I guess officially it's the LA Bowl hosted

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Speaker 2: by Gronk if you want to be official. But these teams, look,

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Speaker 2: this is a really quick turnaround. They played on the

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Speaker 2: fifth of December. It is now going to be what

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Speaker 2: is tomorrow? Tomorrow's the thirteenth Okay, today's the thirteenth. It's

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Speaker 2: a week. It's a one week situation where they have

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Speaker 2: to travel to go play a team that they did

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Speaker 2: not know they were going to play. Washington and Boise

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Speaker 2: were not on each other's radar screen at all at all.

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Speaker 2: So now you have a nine and four Boise in

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Speaker 2: an eight and four Washington, and the number is ten.

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Speaker 2: That's a bit big number. Tens a big number. I'm

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Speaker 2: not really interested in laying ten points. However, Washington's overall

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Speaker 2: resume and the level of competition they have played, it's

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Speaker 2: so much better than what Boise State has played. So

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Speaker 2: Boise scored thirty eight against un LV, they scored twenty

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Speaker 2: five against Utah State, they scored forty nine against Colorado State,

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Speaker 2: but against like somewhat decent teams like Notre Dame, Boise

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Speaker 2: scored seven points. On the flip side, Washington played Oregon

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Speaker 2: last week, gave up twenty six points. They played Ohio State,

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Speaker 2: they gave up twenty four points in that game. They've

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Speaker 2: played Michigan, they gave up twenty four points in that game. Like,

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Speaker 2: they've just played some really tough competition and they've their

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Speaker 2: defense has been the story. Their defense has been really good.

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Speaker 2: I think their defense shines again. I'm not really interested

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Speaker 2: in getting involved with the side on this game, even

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Speaker 2: though I do think Washington wins. I don't want to

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Speaker 2: be worried about a nine and a half or a

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Speaker 2: ten point spread, even though I think this could be

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Speaker 2: somewhat of a lopsided game and Washington does win. I

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Speaker 2: just don't think Boise State's gonna score. I think the

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Speaker 2: defense for Washington's gonna be the story here in this game.

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Speaker 2: And Washington this season they were six and six flat

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Speaker 2: from a total perspective. Away from home, they were three

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Speaker 2: and two to the under, but Boise away from home

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Speaker 2: when they were five and one.

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Speaker 1: To the under.

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Speaker 2: This year, the total keeps on crip creeping up. I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna take it at fifty three and a half and

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet under. I hope you guys get fifty four.

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Speaker 2: I hope it keeps on climbing, and I'm gonna come

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Speaker 2: in on the under. I just think this is Washington's

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Speaker 2: defense being the difference in this game, and Washington's defense

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Speaker 2: only giving up twenty point three points per game, which

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Speaker 2: is top twenty in the country.

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Speaker 1: Boise is not that far behind, but the level of

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Speaker 1: competition is much different.

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Speaker 2: But boys only giving up twenty three point eight points

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Speaker 2: per game. Both these offenses scoring about thirty points per game,

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Speaker 2: but on a quick turn on the road in a

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Speaker 2: bowl game that I don't know exactly how committed these

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Speaker 2: teams are going to be. That makes it complicated. I

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Speaker 2: do think Washington wins. I do think their defense is

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Speaker 2: going to be the difference. But I'm gonna come in here.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet the under under fifty three and a

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Speaker 2: half for Washington in Boise in the LA Bowl for

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Speaker 2: one point one units. And finally we'll go to college

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Speaker 2: basketball to Dana Altman and the Ducks of Oregon, who

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Speaker 2: are currently zero to nine against the spread. They are

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Speaker 2: the worst team in college basketball against the spread, and

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Speaker 2: they are now thirteen point favorites against UC Davis. Now,

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Speaker 2: you see Davis last year was a really fun team

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Speaker 2: to watch. I saw him here in Vegas a couple

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Speaker 2: of times. They were a fun team last year. Now

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Speaker 2: totally different roster, all the kids left. But this you

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Speaker 2: see Davis team just looking at what kempom is thinking.

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Speaker 2: Ten point win. So we get three points of value

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Speaker 2: here with kempom. Oregon has lost five games in a row.

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Speaker 2: They lost to Auburn, San Diego State, Creighton, USC, and UCLA.

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Speaker 2: Those are not great basketball teams, by the way. Auburn

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Speaker 2: is good, but I mean they lost to Creighton here

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Speaker 2: in Vegas. The only win the Jays had was against

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Speaker 2: Dane Altman and Oregon, their former head coach, which is

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Speaker 2: somewhat surprising. But they need to win desperately, but they're

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Speaker 2: banged up. Dane Altman said all week that look, they

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Speaker 2: got to get going. It's been a dreadful start, but

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Speaker 2: they got to get guys onto the court. And it

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Speaker 2: does not look like Oregon is going to be completely

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Speaker 2: healthy for this game. They're missing a couple of really

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Speaker 2: key components here. You see Davis is a highly efficient team.

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Speaker 2: And you see Davis that come in with a five

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Speaker 2: and three record and one of the most efficient offenses

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Speaker 2: in their conference. Their second in the Big West in

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Speaker 2: field goal percentage and effective field goal percentage. They can

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Speaker 2: play defense, they lead the Big West in their ranked

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Speaker 2: forty fourth nationally in turnovers force per game. They can

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Speaker 2: get up, they can turn you over, and they got

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Speaker 2: a couple of really nice guys who can score, and

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Speaker 2: they got a really good big on the interior to

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Speaker 2: protect the rim.

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Speaker 1: Look, this is a team that will block shots. This

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Speaker 1: is a team that I think will hang.

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Speaker 2: And if you go to basketball, play basketball at you

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Speaker 2: see Davis, and you have a chance to go play

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Speaker 2: in Eugene, Oregon to play the Ducks. Don't tell me

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Speaker 2: you're not gonna be fired up. You're gonna be ecstatic.

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Speaker 2: You're gonna be really really interested. This team is coached

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Speaker 2: by a former Division war a former NBA player, for

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Speaker 2: you see Davis and Jim Less, so he knows the game.

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Speaker 2: He's a former NBA guard, he knows.

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Speaker 1: How to play.

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Speaker 2: I think you see Davis has got a shot here.

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Speaker 2: I don't even win the game, but I'll take the

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Speaker 2: points a team that's zero to nine, that's banged up,

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Speaker 2: in reeling and in desperate need of just getting a w.

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Speaker 2: I don't think Oregon wins the game by fifteen to

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Speaker 2: twenty points. I think it's a take the dog. You

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Speaker 2: see Davis on the road, and if they lose, they lose.

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Speaker 2: But I don't think they lose by as many points

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Speaker 2: as the books are projecting here. I know Oregon's desperate

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Speaker 2: for a win. And you see Davis is coming off

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Speaker 2: of a loss to Hawaii on the road, seventy five

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Speaker 2: to sixty nine. They lost to Colorado ninety five to

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Speaker 2: seventy nine on the road, So I think think that's why.

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Speaker 1: This number is where this number is.

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Speaker 2: But I don't know really what's going on with Oregon,

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Speaker 2: like how banged up they are. Dane Altman's a tremendous coach,

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Speaker 2: but things I think they just want to get a

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Speaker 2: w here, get a win and get out of Dodge.

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Speaker 1: I'll take the points.

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Speaker 2: You see Davis plus thirteen on the road against Oregon.

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Speaker 2: So bets for today and again you want to fade away.

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to be offended at all. I cannot

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Speaker 2: wait to get to Sunday tomorrow for the NFL because

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Speaker 2: I feel much better But my bets in the NFL

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Speaker 2: tomorrow than I do coming up here for today. But

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Speaker 2: Navy team total of over twenty one and a half

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Speaker 2: under fifty three and a half for Washington and Boise

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Speaker 2: in the LA Bowl, and you see Davis plus thirteen

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Speaker 2: on the road up against Oregon.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolz.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all my socials at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt every morning where every guys get podcasts.

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Speaker 1: It is the Daily Juice. PST, PST, PST from center