WEBVTT - Nick Wright’s NFL Playoff PREDICTIONS, NFC win totals + Rashee Rice suspension 0:00:02.240 --> 0:00:06.240 Welcome in episode three sixty of What Dright with Nick Brighton. 0:00:06.240 --> 0:00:09.239 As always, these episodes are brought to you by our 0:00:09.320 --> 0:00:14.240 friends at Boost Mobile Demons. Part two of the Gambling Show. 0:00:14.320 --> 0:00:17.079 There might be a part three. This has to be 0:00:17.160 --> 0:00:23.720 a tight sixty. We did the AFC over Unders on Tuesday. Today, 0:00:23.760 --> 0:00:27.040 we do the NFC over Unders to make miss the 0:00:27.120 --> 0:00:31.880 playoffs division winners, and then we will see if we 0:00:31.960 --> 0:00:36.280 will do our Super Bowl exacta, which while we've never 0:00:36.400 --> 0:00:43.880 won it, two years ago we were no. Three years 0:00:43.880 --> 0:00:49.560 ago we were potentially oddly a brock party injury away 0:00:50.240 --> 0:00:54.200 from getting it. Oh yeah, we had Chiefs over Niners 0:00:55.120 --> 0:00:58.680 three years ago, and the Niners were in the NFC 0:00:58.760 --> 0:01:03.800 Championship game. Years ago we had Chief Sover Cowboys, which 0:01:04.000 --> 0:01:08.440 was closer than we remember it to be. The Cowboys 0:01:08.480 --> 0:01:11.360 won twelve games that year. They had a home playoff game, 0:01:11.400 --> 0:01:15.360 and then Jordan Love came into Dallas State Texas Stadium 0:01:15.680 --> 0:01:18.960 and walked the dog on them. Last year we were, 0:01:19.360 --> 0:01:23.880 you know, halfway there. We had Chiefsilver Bears, and so 0:01:24.360 --> 0:01:27.480 we will see what it is this year. What we 0:01:27.640 --> 0:01:31.600 forgot about at the end of last season is Demand's 0:01:31.680 --> 0:01:35.640 five preseason bets crushed. We will recap those and give 0:01:35.680 --> 0:01:39.280 you his five preseason bets today as well. So all 0:01:39.319 --> 0:01:41.319 of that's coming up. The reason this has to be 0:01:41.319 --> 0:01:45.560 a tight sixty little cross pod promotion. I'm going on 0:01:45.680 --> 0:01:50.440 Greg Rosenthal's NFL Daily right after this show doing it's 0:01:50.520 --> 0:01:54.800 perfect for predictions week on the TV show our gambling shows. Here, 0:01:54.960 --> 0:01:56.960 this is what we're Greg and I are doing demanday 0:01:57.400 --> 0:02:02.800 and over unders draft where like he picks. So if 0:02:02.880 --> 0:02:05.880 I have the number one pick, I take Chiefs over 0:02:05.960 --> 0:02:08.920 eleven and a half wins. He then can't take that 0:02:09.080 --> 0:02:11.320 team and we do it like that. So that'll be fun. 0:02:11.720 --> 0:02:15.240 So all that coming up. Not gonna have time for that. 0:02:15.639 --> 0:02:16.440 I don't know how. 0:02:16.639 --> 0:02:21.320 I don't know, to be totally honest, I rarely do 0:02:21.440 --> 0:02:25.320 a pod after the pod, but Greg does such a 0:02:25.360 --> 0:02:27.120 good job and I like doing stuff with the NFL 0:02:27.160 --> 0:02:30.080 folks on doing it. Also, by the way, speaking of 0:02:30.080 --> 0:02:33.840 pods like rate, subscribe, review, cross promote, do all that. 0:02:35.080 --> 0:02:39.960 We don't get as many ratings on iTunes and Spotify 0:02:40.200 --> 0:02:43.079 as maybe it would be helpful to get. The reviews 0:02:43.120 --> 0:02:46.040 are nice, but I understand that actually you have to 0:02:46.040 --> 0:02:48.480 type things out. Who likes to do that? Just click 0:02:48.520 --> 0:02:51.520 the little five stars. We would appreciate that. Follow us on YouTube. 0:02:53.000 --> 0:02:55.120 We will now get two things we're not going to 0:02:55.120 --> 0:02:57.480 get to except we're briefly gonna get to them. Demandsay 0:02:57.520 --> 0:02:59.959 straight to voicemail. Brought to you by our friends at 0:03:00.400 --> 0:03:04.160 boost Mobile. Rashi Rice suspended for six games. More on 0:03:04.160 --> 0:03:06.560 that in the moment, Travis and Taylor engaged. More on 0:03:06.600 --> 0:03:10.400 that moment and Dennis Corner US Open update. More on 0:03:10.440 --> 0:03:14.440 that next week. I was there last night, saw real, 0:03:15.080 --> 0:03:20.680 saw holgar Rooon go down from the second row he was. 0:03:21.040 --> 0:03:25.160 I went to Alcarez Alcarez at Ash Alcarez won in 0:03:25.200 --> 0:03:28.440 straight sets. I then went over to we were I 0:03:28.440 --> 0:03:31.040 could tell it was gonna be a five set masterpiece 0:03:31.120 --> 0:03:34.640 between this big german fella and holgar Roun, and so 0:03:34.680 --> 0:03:38.680 we went there, sniped some really good seats at Old 0:03:38.720 --> 0:03:42.320 Court seventeen was there till eleven? Great, there's the US 0:03:42.360 --> 0:03:46.720 Open update. Rashi Rice suspended six games. Fair resolution. I 0:03:46.800 --> 0:03:49.720 had said I liked when it was going to be delayed. 0:03:49.760 --> 0:03:51.640 Other people made the point it'd be better get it 0:03:51.680 --> 0:03:54.000 out of the way early. That's kind of a tomato 0:03:54.040 --> 0:03:57.120 tomato thing, depending on how you see it. The reason 0:03:57.200 --> 0:04:00.400 I want to mention it is because, like all great 0:04:00.480 --> 0:04:04.320 conspiracy theories, the moment it is disproven, people act like 0:04:04.400 --> 0:04:07.920 it wasn't ever a conspiracy theory. The league's rigging it 0:04:08.000 --> 0:04:12.560 to help the Chiefs. They're the raiding the ratings. No 0:04:12.600 --> 0:04:17.560 one's gonna watch Chiefs Eagles in Week two if for 0:04:17.680 --> 0:04:21.560 she Rice isn't playing. That's why he's not suspended. Oh wait, 0:04:21.600 --> 0:04:23.640 the real news is the league wanted to suspend him 0:04:23.680 --> 0:04:26.039 ten to twelve games, and now he is missing the 0:04:26.040 --> 0:04:27.919 first six games. All right, we'll just move on to 0:04:27.960 --> 0:04:31.840 the next thing. Much like Travis and Taylor is a work, 0:04:32.320 --> 0:04:35.799 it's a publicity stunt. I don't give him three months. 0:04:36.080 --> 0:04:40.440 They're now about to become America's you know, basically America's royalty, 0:04:40.480 --> 0:04:42.160 and people will be like, I never had that take 0:04:42.360 --> 0:04:44.960 We need to take accountability in this world, demons. That's 0:04:44.960 --> 0:04:47.160 all I'm asking for. I have to own all my 0:04:47.360 --> 0:04:49.479 How you how long do you think I'm gonna be 0:04:49.480 --> 0:04:51.440 reminded I picked the Bears to go to the Super 0:04:51.440 --> 0:04:54.240 Bowl and put Caleb on Mahlmes Mountain for the rest 0:04:54.240 --> 0:04:59.039 of my life. They just be listen, one nothing, no 0:04:59.120 --> 0:05:01.920 problem with a spike take. Just be accountable for it 0:05:02.240 --> 0:05:05.160 all right, like great subscribe review, do all that quick 0:05:05.200 --> 0:05:09.880 recap demands of our AFC over unders, and there's always 0:05:09.960 --> 0:05:14.440 all lines and odds courtesy of DraftKings. Here is how 0:05:14.480 --> 0:05:16.240 we ended up. You want to roll through it for 0:05:16.279 --> 0:05:18.880 the audience the three we real quick before you do, 0:05:19.720 --> 0:05:22.680 go back and listen Tuesday show. I gave you all 0:05:22.720 --> 0:05:27.920 sixteen picks, but we only made six bets. The overs 0:05:28.000 --> 0:05:29.039 were what demonse. 0:05:29.800 --> 0:05:32.040 For the overs, We've got Jags at seven and a 0:05:32.120 --> 0:05:35.560 half at minus one twenty five, Kansas City over eleven 0:05:35.560 --> 0:05:38.960 and a half at plus one hundred, Vegas six and 0:05:39.040 --> 0:05:41.600 a half at minus one hundred and forty five. For 0:05:41.760 --> 0:05:44.120 the unders, we've got Cincinnati nine and a half at 0:05:44.160 --> 0:05:48.200 minus one fifteen, Indianapolis seven and a half minus one thirty, 0:05:48.480 --> 0:05:50.800 then Denver nine and a half at plus one two. 0:05:51.480 --> 0:05:54.440 Nice little plus money on that one, I think, aside 0:05:54.440 --> 0:05:57.120 from the Chiefs, my favorite one is actually the Colts. 0:05:57.640 --> 0:05:59.960 I just think the Colts are gonna be bad bad. 0:06:00.160 --> 0:06:03.040 Maybe I'm wrong. Is Shane Steichen has you know, been 0:06:03.400 --> 0:06:05.880 He's found ways to win with that team. I think 0:06:05.880 --> 0:06:08.360 they're going to be bad, all right, let's get right 0:06:08.440 --> 0:06:15.000 to it. NFC East, starting with formerly America's team, the 0:06:15.120 --> 0:06:16.600 Dallas Cowboys. Demons. 0:06:17.240 --> 0:06:19.960 Uh, you got the Cowboys over under and you're taking 0:06:20.000 --> 0:06:22.040 the eight and a half on the under. 0:06:22.440 --> 0:06:26.000 Yes, at minus one forty five. And this is a 0:06:26.040 --> 0:06:30.000 bet that I am actually making. I am not as 0:06:30.040 --> 0:06:32.719 confident as everyone else that Mike is going to be 0:06:32.800 --> 0:06:36.520 there week one or week two. I think Micah going 0:06:36.560 --> 0:06:41.360 to get this second opinion on his back is upping 0:06:41.400 --> 0:06:46.560 the ante a bit on how far he is willing 0:06:46.640 --> 0:06:50.479 to take this. All he needs is to find the 0:06:50.600 --> 0:06:55.360 right doctor that will be like, oh, yeah, I do see. Yeah, 0:06:55.600 --> 0:06:59.680 that is a little concerning. And then Micah can sit 0:07:01.040 --> 0:07:05.680 for indefinitely and keep getting paid and hold out without 0:07:05.680 --> 0:07:10.680 paying the penalty of holding out. And the problem is, 0:07:11.520 --> 0:07:14.520 even with Micah, I am not a believer in the 0:07:14.520 --> 0:07:19.360 Cowboys this year. I'm not certain they're going to have 0:07:19.480 --> 0:07:21.920 as quality of an offensive line as Dak is used 0:07:21.960 --> 0:07:24.360 to it. Listen, I like Tyler Booker, their rookie first 0:07:24.440 --> 0:07:27.640 round pick, still a rookie player, you know, starter from 0:07:27.720 --> 0:07:31.520 day one. I don't think that the George Pickens trade 0:07:31.600 --> 0:07:33.480 is going to pay the dividends. Some people think it's 0:07:33.520 --> 0:07:36.000 going to pay. I don't like their running game, and 0:07:36.040 --> 0:07:40.560 their defense with Micah is mediocre. Without Micah is going 0:07:40.600 --> 0:07:44.080 to be disastrous. The Cowboys under eight and a half 0:07:44.160 --> 0:07:46.960 wins and I didn't love the Schottenheimer higher it coach. 0:07:47.320 --> 0:07:52.280 Cowboys under eight and a half wins to me is 0:07:54.680 --> 0:07:57.160 not only where I'm going with that, but one of 0:07:57.400 --> 0:07:59.600 the NFC bets we will make. You then have the 0:07:59.640 --> 0:08:04.360 Giant demonse with your guy Russell Wilson at a meager 0:08:04.720 --> 0:08:08.559 five and a half wins. Now Rude minus one thirty 0:08:08.600 --> 0:08:11.960 on the over is is what it is now. The 0:08:12.080 --> 0:08:16.360 Giants opening schedule, if I may pull it up real quick, 0:08:16.840 --> 0:08:20.240 is not exactly the way most teams would want to 0:08:20.280 --> 0:08:21.040 start a season. 0:08:21.080 --> 0:08:21.800 I must admit. 0:08:22.520 --> 0:08:30.320 They go Commanders, Cowboys, Chiefs, and then Chargers, sorry, Commander's Cowboys, 0:08:30.400 --> 0:08:33.200 Chiefs Chargers. You then get a nice little respite with 0:08:33.280 --> 0:08:35.800 the Eagles or I'm sorry, with the Saints, and then 0:08:35.840 --> 0:08:39.720 you face the Eagles, uh, and then then at the Broncos, 0:08:39.920 --> 0:08:43.440 then the Eagles again. So those opening eight games, I 0:08:43.480 --> 0:08:46.000 think that you know they can beat the Cowboys. They 0:08:46.000 --> 0:08:48.480 obviously should beat the Saints, but they're both on the road. 0:08:49.280 --> 0:08:53.960 I don't love the start of the schedule. However, they 0:08:54.000 --> 0:08:57.080 should have better quarterback play this year. Demonse, whether it's 0:08:57.160 --> 0:09:01.000 Russ or whether it's Jackson Dark. I think they might 0:09:01.160 --> 0:09:05.560 have the best front four in football. I think Abdul 0:09:05.640 --> 0:09:09.480 Carter will be an instant impact player, and Brian Dable 0:09:09.679 --> 0:09:12.960 is desperate so late in the year there won't be 0:09:13.040 --> 0:09:17.960 any like, oh, you know, let's you know, let's tank 0:09:18.040 --> 0:09:21.640 for draft position. If they're sitting at five and ten, 0:09:22.160 --> 0:09:26.120 he is going to want every single win imaginable. That, 0:09:26.440 --> 0:09:29.439 paired with the fact that I'm bearish on the Cowboys 0:09:29.840 --> 0:09:35.160 and a little bearish on compared to the public on 0:09:35.240 --> 0:09:38.320 two of their games that other people are chalking up 0:09:38.360 --> 0:09:41.880 as losses Broncos and the Niners. I will this is 0:09:41.920 --> 0:09:45.160 not a bet, but I will go over with the 0:09:45.200 --> 0:09:48.319 New York Giants. You just have to get to six wins. 0:09:48.600 --> 0:09:51.000 The reason I can't make it a bet is because 0:09:52.679 --> 0:09:58.439 I I'm not a Russell Wilson guy, and if they 0:09:58.679 --> 0:10:01.400 bench him, then they're going going to a rookie second 0:10:01.679 --> 0:10:03.800 or you know, a rook not second round pick, rookie 0:10:03.840 --> 0:10:06.640 late first round pick who even if he ends up 0:10:06.679 --> 0:10:10.040 being good, it's still a rookie quarterback starting, you know, 0:10:10.400 --> 0:10:13.560 in year one, and so I will go over for 0:10:13.640 --> 0:10:17.000 the New York Giants. I feel like that's one you like, 0:10:17.400 --> 0:10:18.160 am I correct? 0:10:18.240 --> 0:10:20.320 It's it's a little win total. I like that. I 0:10:20.320 --> 0:10:21.960 mean I believe in Russ a little bit more than 0:10:22.000 --> 0:10:25.439 you do. You can get six wins. They pull together 0:10:25.480 --> 0:10:26.560 six And. 0:10:26.679 --> 0:10:30.679 The worry the way it hits the under is that 0:10:30.840 --> 0:10:33.720 because of that tough early schedule, they pull the ripcord 0:10:33.800 --> 0:10:36.199 on RUSS early. They go to the rookie, and the 0:10:36.280 --> 0:10:39.760 rookie is not yet ready. But that d line should 0:10:39.840 --> 0:10:42.880 be worth four wins by itself. Can the def Can 0:10:42.880 --> 0:10:46.120 the offense find you at least two wins? With Malik Neighbors? 0:10:46.120 --> 0:10:49.160 I think so? All right? Eagles over unders at eleven 0:10:49.200 --> 0:10:51.800 and a half. Juice has changed on this. You're now 0:10:51.800 --> 0:10:55.200 getting plus money on the over minus one fifty on 0:10:55.240 --> 0:10:59.319 the under. This also is not a bet demands because 0:10:59.800 --> 0:11:04.400 I think eleven winds is where it lands. But my 0:11:04.800 --> 0:11:07.360 if I think eleven winds is where it lands, that 0:11:07.559 --> 0:11:10.600 means I'm going under, and so I will take the 0:11:10.760 --> 0:11:16.000 Eagles under again. I am not I am not trying 0:11:16.040 --> 0:11:19.920 to argue with Philly fans. And Philly fans, honest to god, 0:11:20.400 --> 0:11:24.920 public service announcement. And I'm a pretty and demons. I'd 0:11:24.960 --> 0:11:26.840 like you to back me up on this, if you 0:11:26.920 --> 0:11:33.840 would let me get this correct. I'm pretty affable in public, 0:11:34.679 --> 0:11:37.760 Like people come, have you ever? And I'm not acting 0:11:37.840 --> 0:11:40.400 like I'm some big star or anything, but people ask 0:11:40.760 --> 0:11:43.520 for pictures or for a moment or whatever. Have you 0:11:43.679 --> 0:11:47.240 ever once seen me say no? Ever? Once? 0:11:48.000 --> 0:11:51.319 No, honestly, I never never once. 0:11:53.000 --> 0:11:59.640 I I might start under very specific circumstances. The next 0:11:59.640 --> 0:12:04.679 fucking person that comes up to me and says, hey, Nick, 0:12:04.720 --> 0:12:07.559 blah blah blah, can I have a picture? And I say, yeah, 0:12:07.600 --> 0:12:10.959 of course, how are you doing? And then as they 0:12:10.960 --> 0:12:14.080 are getting ready to take the picture, they say something 0:12:14.080 --> 0:12:18.160 about the Eagle Super Bowl. I'm gonna I it's it 0:12:18.280 --> 0:12:23.240 happened twice at the US Open. One guy last night, 0:12:23.520 --> 0:12:27.280 one guy including being like the Eagles are gonna repeat 0:12:27.360 --> 0:12:29.719 and the Sixers are gonna win it. And now I'm like, 0:12:29.920 --> 0:12:33.120 I don't even know which of you things to respond to, 0:12:33.559 --> 0:12:36.839 Like I like the Sixers, my buddy runs the team, 0:12:37.160 --> 0:12:40.920 but that's a terrible take, and like the the I. 0:12:40.880 --> 0:12:43.000 Mean, it's just so you're saying they're playing it cool 0:12:43.040 --> 0:12:43.680 at first, or like. 0:12:45.360 --> 0:12:52.520 Yeah, and occasionally occasionally demons they asked for a picture, 0:12:53.480 --> 0:12:56.560 they slide the thumb over to video and then. 0:12:56.440 --> 0:13:03.079 Start talking, Yeah, that's annoying, that's any. 0:13:03.040 --> 0:13:05.920 Just trying to have a honeyduce. Watch some a German 0:13:05.960 --> 0:13:12.320 play a Dane in tennis. Leave me alone now again, 0:13:13.320 --> 0:13:17.600 exception exists when I go to Philly to gamble. If 0:13:17.600 --> 0:13:21.360 I go to Philly, I'm setting myself up to get right. 0:13:21.960 --> 0:13:26.400 That's fine, but we're on a neutral site where. 0:13:26.240 --> 0:13:26.839 You know what I mean. 0:13:27.000 --> 0:13:32.120 It happened to tennis, and it happened a group of women. 0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:36.160 I told you this in Monaco that one of them, 0:13:36.960 --> 0:13:37.560 I didn't. 0:13:37.360 --> 0:13:38.839 Tell you this. 0:13:38.920 --> 0:13:42.640 Women confronted me about my jail and hurts opinion at 0:13:42.640 --> 0:13:47.600 the casino in Monaco. Really one woman with her two friends. 0:13:48.240 --> 0:13:51.440 And that's and the friends apologize, and then that same 0:13:51.480 --> 0:13:54.520 woman talk to a little trash to your mom. 0:13:55.400 --> 0:13:57.600 Her about boots on the ground everywhere. 0:13:59.679 --> 0:14:02.600 I got put my head on the swivel with that set, 0:14:02.720 --> 0:14:07.280 I'll take the under very very tough schedule. I think 0:14:07.320 --> 0:14:11.440 that the defensive losses. Danny mentioned this on the TV 0:14:11.520 --> 0:14:14.960 show They lost like forty four hundred snaps from last 0:14:15.000 --> 0:14:17.120 year's team to this year's team, the majority of which 0:14:17.160 --> 0:14:20.200 on defense, in you know, free agency and retirement, all 0:14:20.200 --> 0:14:24.080 that stuff. I think they'll be really good. I don't 0:14:24.120 --> 0:14:27.000 think they're going to be twelve or thirteen wins good. 0:14:27.440 --> 0:14:30.880 I'll take the under, which leaves us with the Commanders 0:14:31.320 --> 0:14:35.080 over under at nine and a half even money. This 0:14:35.200 --> 0:14:36.760 might surprise you, I'm going over. 0:14:37.200 --> 0:14:37.520 Yeah. 0:14:37.560 --> 0:14:39.760 The reason I thought it might surprise you is because 0:14:39.800 --> 0:14:44.920 I have been cast as a Jaden skeptic. I am 0:14:45.000 --> 0:14:48.960 not a Jaden skeptic. I am a skinny quarterback skeptic. 0:14:49.040 --> 0:14:52.440 There is a difference. Now he is a skinny quarterback, 0:14:52.480 --> 0:14:56.440 which is you know, sat question style. If this therefore that, 0:14:56.840 --> 0:15:00.000 I guess that does make me a Jaden skeptic. But yeah, 0:15:00.120 --> 0:15:06.920 logic exactly. But it is not about his ability. And 0:15:07.240 --> 0:15:11.720 I like the fact that they invested in the offensive line, 0:15:12.000 --> 0:15:15.680 which was a problem. I like the dk me I'm sorry, 0:15:15.760 --> 0:15:19.720 the Deebo Samuel trade. And I also like the fact 0:15:20.160 --> 0:15:23.200 that they're like, you know what, we can't fix the defense, 0:15:23.880 --> 0:15:26.560 you know, in one draft, so what if we patch 0:15:26.640 --> 0:15:29.240 work it with some veteran free agents for the time 0:15:29.280 --> 0:15:31.920 being and try to build it up. So I like 0:15:32.000 --> 0:15:35.040 the Commanders over nine and a half. I do think 0:15:35.120 --> 0:15:38.280 they go back to the playoffs. I think that they 0:15:38.320 --> 0:15:42.080 in Philly. This is this is where picking division winners 0:15:42.120 --> 0:15:43.960 like I did on the TV shows a little weird. 0:15:44.600 --> 0:15:47.840 I in my math on this, I had the Commanders 0:15:47.920 --> 0:15:52.200 and the Eagles both finishing eleven and six and splitting 0:15:52.240 --> 0:15:55.680 the season series and both going four and two in 0:15:55.720 --> 0:15:59.120 the division. So I then determined, like, am I really 0:15:59.120 --> 0:16:02.040 going to figure out on my fake two hundred and 0:16:02.040 --> 0:16:07.400 seventy two game grid of results who would win this tiebreaker? 0:16:07.600 --> 0:16:09.680 And I decided, you know what, I just think the 0:16:09.680 --> 0:16:12.360 Commanders are gonna win the division like I've been, both 0:16:12.360 --> 0:16:14.880 finishing eleven and six, Like I am I gonna do 0:16:15.160 --> 0:16:18.280 all of a sudden strength of scheduled tiebreakers on a 0:16:18.320 --> 0:16:21.120 fake grid that of games that hasn't happened. Probably not 0:16:22.200 --> 0:16:24.440 buying the Commander should be good, but it's not a bet. 0:16:24.680 --> 0:16:27.720 The only bet I have in the NFC East is 0:16:27.760 --> 0:16:32.200 the Cowboys under. So if the NFC East unders Cowboys 0:16:32.200 --> 0:16:35.680 and Eagles overs Giants and Commanders, and that now gets 0:16:35.760 --> 0:16:39.040 us to the NFC North and demands start us off 0:16:39.080 --> 0:16:40.280 with the first team listed. 0:16:40.680 --> 0:16:43.280 So the Bears over unders listened at eight and a half, 0:16:43.400 --> 0:16:47.440 and you're taking the over at plus one fifteen. I 0:16:47.440 --> 0:16:49.800 thought about that, Matt betting them to get ten wins. 0:16:50.120 --> 0:16:51.920 I think that was like plus two to twenty or 0:16:51.960 --> 0:16:55.640 something like that. Oh yeah, one of them, something like that. 0:16:55.720 --> 0:16:58.160 But yeah, yeah, one of the alternate It would have 0:16:58.200 --> 0:17:00.760 been probably around If they're eight and a half, is 0:17:00.760 --> 0:17:03.160 plus one fifteen over nine and a half would probably 0:17:03.160 --> 0:17:11.320 be plus you know, a round two. The I resisted 0:17:11.359 --> 0:17:14.360 the urge to pick them to win the division. I'm 0:17:14.440 --> 0:17:18.480 resisting the urge to you know, make bold, bold proclamations 0:17:18.640 --> 0:17:22.119 about how they are going to do, you know, over 0:17:22.160 --> 0:17:26.720 the in the postseason. However, I think they had an 0:17:26.800 --> 0:17:30.760 excellent offseason. I think they had a massive upgraded head coach. 0:17:31.200 --> 0:17:36.119 They lost some absolute heartbreakers last year, not just the 0:17:36.200 --> 0:17:38.480 Jaden Daniels Hall of Fame or a Hall of Fame 0:17:38.720 --> 0:17:42.600 Hail Mary game, the Thanksgiving game we watched together, which 0:17:42.720 --> 0:17:46.639 was a train wreck. Like, I just think they're good. 0:17:46.840 --> 0:17:49.399 I'm not saying they're gonna be great. And I think I, 0:17:49.640 --> 0:17:53.760 you know, I obviously overrated how quickly Caleb would be 0:17:53.800 --> 0:17:57.800 ready last year, and I maybe, in my opinion, overrated 0:17:57.800 --> 0:18:04.280 their defensive bit as well, and so I am learning 0:18:04.320 --> 0:18:06.600 from that, but I still think they're gonna be above 0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:12.119 five hundred, and so with a couple breaks last year 0:18:12.680 --> 0:18:15.399 they would have won seven or eight games with bad 0:18:15.480 --> 0:18:18.280 coaching and Caleb really being over his skis for a 0:18:18.320 --> 0:18:21.280 bit of it. So I will take and I will 0:18:21.359 --> 0:18:25.159 bet the Bears over eight and a half that you 0:18:25.160 --> 0:18:27.119 can get them over nine and a half de Monsa 0:18:27.200 --> 0:18:29.680 at plus one ninety over ten and a half at 0:18:29.680 --> 0:18:32.919 plus three hundred. The bet you might have seen was 0:18:33.119 --> 0:18:37.480 exactly ten wins. And I don't like those bets. I 0:18:37.560 --> 0:18:42.160 don't like the exact record because you can be right 0:18:42.400 --> 0:18:46.199 in spirit and lose the bet, you know what I mean. Like, 0:18:46.240 --> 0:18:48.600 if you're like, oh the Bears, the Bears are gonna 0:18:48.640 --> 0:18:52.960 be good, I'm gonna bet them to win tens. 0:18:52.880 --> 0:18:54.840 Through the app Yeah. I didn't even realize that if 0:18:54.880 --> 0:18:56.280 that was the thing. I thought it was just for 0:18:56.359 --> 0:18:57.720 them to get ten plus. 0:18:58.560 --> 0:19:00.679 Well maybe it was. So maybe it was, and the 0:19:00.760 --> 0:19:02.760 juice has changed, so I'm not sure. I don't know 0:19:02.800 --> 0:19:05.959 what you saw. I'm just saying as a gambling note 0:19:06.000 --> 0:19:10.919 from me, I'm always hesitant on the exact record bets 0:19:11.000 --> 0:19:15.840 because there's nothing worse than than being right on a 0:19:15.880 --> 0:19:19.320 bet and losing it. So like, if your argument is 0:19:19.760 --> 0:19:21.720 I like the you know, I like the Bears to 0:19:22.200 --> 0:19:23.840 go ten and seven because I think it's gonna be 0:19:23.920 --> 0:19:26.440 better than people think. And then somehow they go eleven 0:19:26.480 --> 0:19:29.520 and six and you lose the bet. That's just a killer. 0:19:29.560 --> 0:19:32.119 So it's just not my You usually get sick odds 0:19:32.160 --> 0:19:34.720 on it, but it's not my favorite. All right, Lions 0:19:34.760 --> 0:19:43.440 over under is at ten and a half with plus 0:19:43.480 --> 0:19:47.480 one twenty on the over minus one forty five on 0:19:47.560 --> 0:19:51.480 the under. This is a huge stayaway from me, But 0:19:51.600 --> 0:19:57.800 because we give out all picks on this show, I 0:19:57.880 --> 0:20:06.120 am obligated to pick a side here. If it's this close, 0:20:06.920 --> 0:20:09.760 then I have to go with the plus money side, 0:20:10.240 --> 0:20:13.479 So I will say over, but I don't love it. 0:20:14.480 --> 0:20:19.359 I think ten and seven eleven and six is very 0:20:19.520 --> 0:20:23.560 very in play for Detroit this year. Very tough schedule, 0:20:24.040 --> 0:20:29.480 tough division, The loss of the coordinators matters that shuffle 0:20:29.520 --> 0:20:32.520 on the interior of the offensive line matters on the 0:20:32.560 --> 0:20:35.640 flip side to that they do get their gut their 0:20:35.680 --> 0:20:40.000 defensive players back. I imagine Demon's you like this as 0:20:40.240 --> 0:20:42.119 an over stronger than I do. 0:20:43.000 --> 0:20:45.879 Not strong, probably just about the same, but it is 0:20:45.920 --> 0:20:48.200 close to twenty so I would lean over on that. 0:20:48.600 --> 0:20:50.639 But yeah, they did get a lot of guys back 0:20:50.680 --> 0:20:52.200 that they had injured last year, so I feel like 0:20:52.240 --> 0:20:53.560 it kind of balances out. 0:20:54.960 --> 0:20:57.680 If there is going to be a season from hell 0:20:57.800 --> 0:21:02.040 for Detroit, which I don't anticipate, but if there is 0:21:02.160 --> 0:21:06.879 going to be, it'll be because the playoff game screwed 0:21:06.920 --> 0:21:12.920 with golf, right, and I don't think we can dismiss 0:21:13.000 --> 0:21:16.320 that as a possibility. I'm not predicting it, but I 0:21:16.359 --> 0:21:19.440 don't think we can dismiss it full on as a possibility. 0:21:19.520 --> 0:21:22.760 That being that close to the Super Bowl two years ago, 0:21:22.880 --> 0:21:26.240 them not having it, and then having his worst game 0:21:26.280 --> 0:21:29.960 of the year in their first playoff game, and then 0:21:30.160 --> 0:21:34.640 also not having Ben Johnson in his ear, that all 0:21:34.720 --> 0:21:38.840 of that comes together and he has a tough season. 0:21:40.080 --> 0:21:43.959 That's the recipe for them having the Oh my god, 0:21:44.560 --> 0:21:47.080 the Lions went seven and ten. I don't think it's 0:21:47.119 --> 0:21:50.560 gonna happen, but that would be the Yeah, that'd be 0:21:50.600 --> 0:21:53.280 the recipe for it. But I will go over by 0:21:53.320 --> 0:21:57.119 the thinnest of margins. All right, Packers total nine and 0:21:57.160 --> 0:22:00.080 a half with even money on the under, which I 0:22:00.240 --> 0:22:05.600 like because I am going under for the Green Bay Packers. Yes, 0:22:05.760 --> 0:22:12.720 so I I am. It's not a bet. Thus far, 0:22:12.840 --> 0:22:15.919 the only NFC bets we've made is a Cowboys under 0:22:15.960 --> 0:22:19.639 and a Bear's over. I just think they're gonna win 0:22:19.720 --> 0:22:26.119 nine games, and I am I'm not as high on 0:22:26.200 --> 0:22:29.680 the Packers defense as everyone else seems to be. And 0:22:29.760 --> 0:22:33.399 while I do like their draft pick Matthew Golden, the 0:22:33.560 --> 0:22:36.000 rookie receiver, and I do think of all of their 0:22:36.520 --> 0:22:40.600 you know that huge room of good but not great receivers, 0:22:40.920 --> 0:22:42.440 I think he is the one guy who has a 0:22:42.520 --> 0:22:45.959 chance to be a great receiver. Hard to rely on 0:22:46.080 --> 0:22:50.600 him in year one to be a great receiver. Listen, uh, 0:22:50.880 --> 0:22:53.480 Brian Thomas Junior did it, Malik Neighbors did it. But 0:22:53.600 --> 0:22:57.400 still it's it's hard at that position to be great 0:22:57.520 --> 0:23:00.480 year one. But here's the other factor of it that 0:23:00.560 --> 0:23:04.760 I just don't think that I am putting into this 0:23:04.880 --> 0:23:09.080 that it doesn't seem like other people are. I know 0:23:09.240 --> 0:23:15.160 Derrick Henry is ageless, and I know that Christian McCaffrey 0:23:15.200 --> 0:23:17.040 prior to last year. You know what I mean had 0:23:17.040 --> 0:23:20.800 this amazing year, Saguan had the amazing year. Is Josh 0:23:21.000 --> 0:23:25.080 Jacobs going to look like a twenty eight year old 0:23:25.160 --> 0:23:29.080 running back normally does or the way some of those 0:23:29.080 --> 0:23:32.439 other guys have, Because I think Josh Jacobs has been 0:23:32.480 --> 0:23:37.960 an underrated was an underrated addition for them, and I 0:23:38.040 --> 0:23:41.119 think a large part of their success last year was 0:23:41.600 --> 0:23:44.840 he had a I can't even call it sneaky, just 0:23:44.880 --> 0:23:50.040 an awesome season, thirteen hundred yards, fifteen touchdowns, four and 0:23:50.080 --> 0:23:54.080 a half yards per carry. What if you know after 0:23:55.040 --> 0:23:59.320 he's now over sixteen hundred career carries six straight years, 0:23:59.680 --> 0:24:03.760 none of which missing real big time? Like, what is 0:24:04.400 --> 0:24:08.800 what is Josh Jacobs gonna look like? And this is 0:24:08.800 --> 0:24:10.920 what I said about Jordan Love yesterday on the TV 0:24:10.960 --> 0:24:12.800 show demonte And tell me if you think it's fair. 0:24:14.520 --> 0:24:19.280 I'm not yet ready to say he guarantees you a 0:24:19.440 --> 0:24:23.280 floor for your team, like he hasn't graduated to the 0:24:23.600 --> 0:24:26.840 Okay if that and I listen, when he's been these 0:24:26.880 --> 0:24:29.680 two years as a starter he has, I just don't 0:24:29.680 --> 0:24:32.080