Speaker 1: Welcome in episode three sixty of What Dright with Nick Brighton.
Speaker 1: As always, these episodes are brought to you by our
Speaker 1: friends at Boost Mobile Demons. Part two of the Gambling Show.
Speaker 1: There might be a part three. This has to be
Speaker 1: a tight sixty. We did the AFC over Unders on Tuesday. Today,
Speaker 1: we do the NFC over Unders to make miss the
Speaker 1: playoffs division winners, and then we will see if we
Speaker 1: will do our Super Bowl exacta, which while we've never
Speaker 1: won it, two years ago we were no. Three years
Speaker 1: ago we were potentially oddly a brock party injury away
Speaker 1: from getting it. Oh yeah, we had Chiefs over Niners
Speaker 1: three years ago, and the Niners were in the NFC
Speaker 1: Championship game. Years ago we had Chief Sover Cowboys, which
Speaker 1: was closer than we remember it to be. The Cowboys
Speaker 1: won twelve games that year. They had a home playoff game,
Speaker 1: and then Jordan Love came into Dallas State Texas Stadium
Speaker 1: and walked the dog on them. Last year we were,
Speaker 1: you know, halfway there. We had Chiefsilver Bears, and so
Speaker 1: we will see what it is this year. What we
Speaker 1: forgot about at the end of last season is Demand's
Speaker 1: five preseason bets crushed. We will recap those and give
Speaker 1: you his five preseason bets today as well. So all
Speaker 1: of that's coming up. The reason this has to be
Speaker 1: a tight sixty little cross pod promotion. I'm going on
Speaker 1: Greg Rosenthal's NFL Daily right after this show doing it's
Speaker 1: perfect for predictions week on the TV show our gambling shows. Here,
Speaker 1: this is what we're Greg and I are doing demanday
Speaker 1: and over unders draft where like he picks. So if
Speaker 1: I have the number one pick, I take Chiefs over
Speaker 1: eleven and a half wins. He then can't take that
Speaker 1: team and we do it like that. So that'll be fun.
Speaker 1: So all that coming up. Not gonna have time for that.
Speaker 2: I don't know how.
Speaker 1: I don't know, to be totally honest, I rarely do
Speaker 1: a pod after the pod, but Greg does such a
Speaker 1: good job and I like doing stuff with the NFL
Speaker 1: folks on doing it. Also, by the way, speaking of
Speaker 1: pods like rate, subscribe, review, cross promote, do all that.
Speaker 1: We don't get as many ratings on iTunes and Spotify
Speaker 1: as maybe it would be helpful to get. The reviews
Speaker 1: are nice, but I understand that actually you have to
Speaker 1: type things out. Who likes to do that? Just click
Speaker 1: the little five stars. We would appreciate that. Follow us on YouTube.
Speaker 1: We will now get two things we're not going to
Speaker 1: get to except we're briefly gonna get to them. Demandsay
Speaker 1: straight to voicemail. Brought to you by our friends at
Speaker 1: boost Mobile. Rashi Rice suspended for six games. More on
Speaker 1: that in the moment, Travis and Taylor engaged. More on
Speaker 1: that moment and Dennis Corner US Open update. More on
Speaker 1: that next week. I was there last night, saw real,
Speaker 1: saw holgar Rooon go down from the second row he was.
Speaker 1: I went to Alcarez Alcarez at Ash Alcarez won in
Speaker 1: straight sets. I then went over to we were I
Speaker 1: could tell it was gonna be a five set masterpiece
Speaker 1: between this big german fella and holgar Roun, and so
Speaker 1: we went there, sniped some really good seats at Old
Speaker 1: Court seventeen was there till eleven? Great, there's the US
Speaker 1: Open update. Rashi Rice suspended six games. Fair resolution. I
Speaker 1: had said I liked when it was going to be delayed.
Speaker 1: Other people made the point it'd be better get it
Speaker 1: out of the way early. That's kind of a tomato
Speaker 1: tomato thing, depending on how you see it. The reason
Speaker 1: I want to mention it is because, like all great
Speaker 1: conspiracy theories, the moment it is disproven, people act like
Speaker 1: it wasn't ever a conspiracy theory. The league's rigging it
Speaker 1: to help the Chiefs. They're the raiding the ratings. No
Speaker 1: one's gonna watch Chiefs Eagles in Week two if for
Speaker 1: she Rice isn't playing. That's why he's not suspended. Oh wait,
Speaker 1: the real news is the league wanted to suspend him
Speaker 1: ten to twelve games, and now he is missing the
Speaker 1: first six games. All right, we'll just move on to
Speaker 1: the next thing. Much like Travis and Taylor is a work,
Speaker 1: it's a publicity stunt. I don't give him three months.
Speaker 1: They're now about to become America's you know, basically America's royalty,
Speaker 1: and people will be like, I never had that take
Speaker 1: We need to take accountability in this world, demons. That's
Speaker 1: all I'm asking for. I have to own all my
Speaker 1: How you how long do you think I'm gonna be
Speaker 1: reminded I picked the Bears to go to the Super
Speaker 1: Bowl and put Caleb on Mahlmes Mountain for the rest
Speaker 1: of my life. They just be listen, one nothing, no
Speaker 1: problem with a spike take. Just be accountable for it
Speaker 1: all right, like great subscribe review, do all that quick
Speaker 1: recap demands of our AFC over unders, and there's always
Speaker 1: all lines and odds courtesy of DraftKings. Here is how
Speaker 1: we ended up. You want to roll through it for
Speaker 1: the audience the three we real quick before you do,
Speaker 1: go back and listen Tuesday show. I gave you all
Speaker 1: sixteen picks, but we only made six bets. The overs
Speaker 1: were what demonse.
Speaker 2: For the overs, We've got Jags at seven and a
Speaker 2: half at minus one twenty five, Kansas City over eleven
Speaker 2: and a half at plus one hundred, Vegas six and
Speaker 2: a half at minus one hundred and forty five. For
Speaker 2: the unders, we've got Cincinnati nine and a half at
Speaker 2: minus one fifteen, Indianapolis seven and a half minus one thirty,
Speaker 2: then Denver nine and a half at plus one two.
Speaker 1: Nice little plus money on that one, I think, aside
Speaker 1: from the Chiefs, my favorite one is actually the Colts.
Speaker 1: I just think the Colts are gonna be bad bad.
Speaker 1: Maybe I'm wrong. Is Shane Steichen has you know, been
Speaker 1: He's found ways to win with that team. I think
Speaker 1: they're going to be bad, all right, let's get right
Speaker 1: to it. NFC East, starting with formerly America's team, the
Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys. Demons.
Speaker 2: Uh, you got the Cowboys over under and you're taking
Speaker 2: the eight and a half on the under.
Speaker 1: Yes, at minus one forty five. And this is a
Speaker 1: bet that I am actually making. I am not as
Speaker 1: confident as everyone else that Mike is going to be
Speaker 1: there week one or week two. I think Micah going
Speaker 1: to get this second opinion on his back is upping
Speaker 1: the ante a bit on how far he is willing
Speaker 1: to take this. All he needs is to find the
Speaker 1: right doctor that will be like, oh, yeah, I do see. Yeah,
Speaker 1: that is a little concerning. And then Micah can sit
Speaker 1: for indefinitely and keep getting paid and hold out without
Speaker 1: paying the penalty of holding out. And the problem is,
Speaker 1: even with Micah, I am not a believer in the
Speaker 1: Cowboys this year. I'm not certain they're going to have
Speaker 1: as quality of an offensive line as Dak is used
Speaker 1: to it. Listen, I like Tyler Booker, their rookie first
Speaker 1: round pick, still a rookie player, you know, starter from
Speaker 1: day one. I don't think that the George Pickens trade
Speaker 1: is going to pay the dividends. Some people think it's
Speaker 1: going to pay. I don't like their running game, and
Speaker 1: their defense with Micah is mediocre. Without Micah is going
Speaker 1: to be disastrous. The Cowboys under eight and a half
Speaker 1: wins and I didn't love the Schottenheimer higher it coach.
Speaker 1: Cowboys under eight and a half wins to me is
Speaker 1: not only where I'm going with that, but one of
Speaker 1: the NFC bets we will make. You then have the
Speaker 1: Giant demonse with your guy Russell Wilson at a meager
Speaker 1: five and a half wins. Now Rude minus one thirty
Speaker 1: on the over is is what it is now. The
Speaker 1: Giants opening schedule, if I may pull it up real quick,
Speaker 1: is not exactly the way most teams would want to
Speaker 1: start a season.
Speaker 2: I must admit.
Speaker 1: They go Commanders, Cowboys, Chiefs, and then Chargers, sorry, Commander's Cowboys,
Speaker 1: Chiefs Chargers. You then get a nice little respite with
Speaker 1: the Eagles or I'm sorry, with the Saints, and then
Speaker 1: you face the Eagles, uh, and then then at the Broncos,
Speaker 1: then the Eagles again. So those opening eight games, I
Speaker 1: think that you know they can beat the Cowboys. They
Speaker 1: obviously should beat the Saints, but they're both on the road.
Speaker 1: I don't love the start of the schedule. However, they
Speaker 1: should have better quarterback play this year. Demonse, whether it's
Speaker 1: Russ or whether it's Jackson Dark. I think they might
Speaker 1: have the best front four in football. I think Abdul
Speaker 1: Carter will be an instant impact player, and Brian Dable
Speaker 1: is desperate so late in the year there won't be
Speaker 1: any like, oh, you know, let's you know, let's tank
Speaker 1: for draft position. If they're sitting at five and ten,
Speaker 1: he is going to want every single win imaginable. That,
Speaker 1: paired with the fact that I'm bearish on the Cowboys
Speaker 1: and a little bearish on compared to the public on
Speaker 1: two of their games that other people are chalking up
Speaker 1: as losses Broncos and the Niners. I will this is
Speaker 1: not a bet, but I will go over with the
Speaker 1: New York Giants. You just have to get to six wins.
Speaker 1: The reason I can't make it a bet is because
Speaker 1: I I'm not a Russell Wilson guy, and if they
Speaker 1: bench him, then they're going going to a rookie second
Speaker 1: or you know, a rook not second round pick, rookie
Speaker 1: late first round pick who even if he ends up
Speaker 1: being good, it's still a rookie quarterback starting, you know,
Speaker 1: in year one, and so I will go over for
Speaker 1: the New York Giants. I feel like that's one you like,
Speaker 1: am I correct?
Speaker 2: It's it's a little win total. I like that. I
Speaker 2: mean I believe in Russ a little bit more than
Speaker 2: you do. You can get six wins. They pull together
Speaker 2: six And.
Speaker 1: The worry the way it hits the under is that
Speaker 1: because of that tough early schedule, they pull the ripcord
Speaker 1: on RUSS early. They go to the rookie, and the
Speaker 1: rookie is not yet ready. But that d line should
Speaker 1: be worth four wins by itself. Can the def Can
Speaker 1: the offense find you at least two wins? With Malik Neighbors?
Speaker 1: I think so? All right? Eagles over unders at eleven
Speaker 1: and a half. Juice has changed on this. You're now
Speaker 1: getting plus money on the over minus one fifty on
Speaker 1: the under. This also is not a bet demands because
Speaker 1: I think eleven winds is where it lands. But my
Speaker 1: if I think eleven winds is where it lands, that
Speaker 1: means I'm going under, and so I will take the
Speaker 1: Eagles under again. I am not I am not trying
Speaker 1: to argue with Philly fans. And Philly fans, honest to god,
Speaker 1: public service announcement. And I'm a pretty and demons. I'd
Speaker 1: like you to back me up on this, if you
Speaker 1: would let me get this correct. I'm pretty affable in public,
Speaker 1: Like people come, have you ever? And I'm not acting
Speaker 1: like I'm some big star or anything, but people ask
Speaker 1: for pictures or for a moment or whatever. Have you
Speaker 1: ever once seen me say no? Ever? Once?
Speaker 2: No, honestly, I never never once.
Speaker 1: I I might start under very specific circumstances. The next
Speaker 1: fucking person that comes up to me and says, hey, Nick,
Speaker 1: blah blah blah, can I have a picture? And I say, yeah,
Speaker 1: of course, how are you doing? And then as they
Speaker 1: are getting ready to take the picture, they say something
Speaker 1: about the Eagle Super Bowl. I'm gonna I it's it
Speaker 1: happened twice at the US Open. One guy last night,
Speaker 1: one guy including being like the Eagles are gonna repeat
Speaker 1: and the Sixers are gonna win it. And now I'm like,
Speaker 1: I don't even know which of you things to respond to,
Speaker 1: Like I like the Sixers, my buddy runs the team,
Speaker 1: but that's a terrible take, and like the the I.
Speaker 2: Mean, it's just so you're saying they're playing it cool
Speaker 2: at first, or like.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and occasionally occasionally demons they asked for a picture,
Speaker 1: they slide the thumb over to video and then.
Speaker 2: Start talking, Yeah, that's annoying, that's any.
Speaker 1: Just trying to have a honeyduce. Watch some a German
Speaker 1: play a Dane in tennis. Leave me alone now again,
Speaker 1: exception exists when I go to Philly to gamble. If
Speaker 1: I go to Philly, I'm setting myself up to get right.
Speaker 1: That's fine, but we're on a neutral site where.
Speaker 2: You know what I mean.
Speaker 3: It happened to tennis, and it happened a group of women.
Speaker 3: I told you this in Monaco that one of them,
Speaker 3: I didn't.
Speaker 2: Tell you this.
Speaker 1: Women confronted me about my jail and hurts opinion at
Speaker 1: the casino in Monaco. Really one woman with her two friends.
Speaker 1: And that's and the friends apologize, and then that same
Speaker 1: woman talk to a little trash to your mom.
Speaker 2: Her about boots on the ground everywhere.
Speaker 1: I got put my head on the swivel with that set,
Speaker 1: I'll take the under very very tough schedule. I think
Speaker 1: that the defensive losses. Danny mentioned this on the TV
Speaker 1: show They lost like forty four hundred snaps from last
Speaker 1: year's team to this year's team, the majority of which
Speaker 1: on defense, in you know, free agency and retirement, all
Speaker 1: that stuff. I think they'll be really good. I don't
Speaker 1: think they're going to be twelve or thirteen wins good.
Speaker 1: I'll take the under, which leaves us with the Commanders
Speaker 1: over under at nine and a half even money. This
Speaker 1: might surprise you, I'm going over.
Speaker 2: Yeah.
Speaker 1: The reason I thought it might surprise you is because
Speaker 1: I have been cast as a Jaden skeptic. I am
Speaker 1: not a Jaden skeptic. I am a skinny quarterback skeptic.
Speaker 1: There is a difference. Now he is a skinny quarterback,
Speaker 1: which is you know, sat question style. If this therefore that,
Speaker 1: I guess that does make me a Jaden skeptic. But yeah,
Speaker 1: logic exactly. But it is not about his ability. And
Speaker 1: I like the fact that they invested in the offensive line,
Speaker 1: which was a problem. I like the dk me I'm sorry,
Speaker 1: the Deebo Samuel trade. And I also like the fact
Speaker 1: that they're like, you know what, we can't fix the defense,
Speaker 1: you know, in one draft, so what if we patch
Speaker 1: work it with some veteran free agents for the time
Speaker 1: being and try to build it up. So I like
Speaker 1: the Commanders over nine and a half. I do think
Speaker 1: they go back to the playoffs. I think that they
Speaker 1: in Philly. This is this is where picking division winners
Speaker 1: like I did on the TV shows a little weird.
Speaker 1: I in my math on this, I had the Commanders
Speaker 1: and the Eagles both finishing eleven and six and splitting
Speaker 1: the season series and both going four and two in
Speaker 1: the division. So I then determined, like, am I really
Speaker 1: going to figure out on my fake two hundred and
Speaker 1: seventy two game grid of results who would win this tiebreaker?
Speaker 1: And I decided, you know what, I just think the
Speaker 1: Commanders are gonna win the division like I've been, both
Speaker 1: finishing eleven and six, Like I am I gonna do
Speaker 1: all of a sudden strength of scheduled tiebreakers on a
Speaker 1: fake grid that of games that hasn't happened. Probably not
Speaker 1: buying the Commander should be good, but it's not a bet.
Speaker 1: The only bet I have in the NFC East is
Speaker 1: the Cowboys under. So if the NFC East unders Cowboys
Speaker 1: and Eagles overs Giants and Commanders, and that now gets
Speaker 1: us to the NFC North and demands start us off
Speaker 1: with the first team listed.
Speaker 2: So the Bears over unders listened at eight and a half,
Speaker 2: and you're taking the over at plus one fifteen. I
Speaker 2: thought about that, Matt betting them to get ten wins.
Speaker 2: I think that was like plus two to twenty or
Speaker 2: something like that. Oh yeah, one of them, something like that.
Speaker 1: But yeah, yeah, one of the alternate It would have
Speaker 1: been probably around If they're eight and a half, is
Speaker 1: plus one fifteen over nine and a half would probably
Speaker 1: be plus you know, a round two. The I resisted
Speaker 1: the urge to pick them to win the division. I'm
Speaker 1: resisting the urge to you know, make bold, bold proclamations
Speaker 1: about how they are going to do, you know, over
Speaker 1: the in the postseason. However, I think they had an
Speaker 1: excellent offseason. I think they had a massive upgraded head coach.
Speaker 1: They lost some absolute heartbreakers last year, not just the
Speaker 1: Jaden Daniels Hall of Fame or a Hall of Fame
Speaker 1: Hail Mary game, the Thanksgiving game we watched together, which
Speaker 1: was a train wreck. Like, I just think they're good.
Speaker 1: I'm not saying they're gonna be great. And I think I,
Speaker 1: you know, I obviously overrated how quickly Caleb would be
Speaker 1: ready last year, and I maybe, in my opinion, overrated
Speaker 1: their defensive bit as well, and so I am learning
Speaker 1: from that, but I still think they're gonna be above
Speaker 1: five hundred, and so with a couple breaks last year
Speaker 1: they would have won seven or eight games with bad
Speaker 1: coaching and Caleb really being over his skis for a
Speaker 1: bit of it. So I will take and I will
Speaker 1: bet the Bears over eight and a half that you
Speaker 1: can get them over nine and a half de Monsa
Speaker 1: at plus one ninety over ten and a half at
Speaker 1: plus three hundred. The bet you might have seen was
Speaker 1: exactly ten wins. And I don't like those bets. I
Speaker 1: don't like the exact record because you can be right
Speaker 1: in spirit and lose the bet, you know what I mean. Like,
Speaker 1: if you're like, oh the Bears, the Bears are gonna
Speaker 1: be good, I'm gonna bet them to win tens.
Speaker 2: Through the app Yeah. I didn't even realize that if
Speaker 2: that was the thing. I thought it was just for
Speaker 2: them to get ten plus.
Speaker 1: Well maybe it was. So maybe it was, and the
Speaker 1: juice has changed, so I'm not sure. I don't know
Speaker 1: what you saw. I'm just saying as a gambling note
Speaker 1: from me, I'm always hesitant on the exact record bets
Speaker 1: because there's nothing worse than than being right on a
Speaker 1: bet and losing it. So like, if your argument is
Speaker 1: I like the you know, I like the Bears to
Speaker 1: go ten and seven because I think it's gonna be
Speaker 1: better than people think. And then somehow they go eleven
Speaker 1: and six and you lose the bet. That's just a killer.
Speaker 1: So it's just not my You usually get sick odds
Speaker 1: on it, but it's not my favorite. All right, Lions
Speaker 1: over under is at ten and a half with plus
Speaker 1: one twenty on the over minus one forty five on
Speaker 1: the under. This is a huge stayaway from me, But
Speaker 1: because we give out all picks on this show, I
Speaker 1: am obligated to pick a side here. If it's this close,
Speaker 1: then I have to go with the plus money side,
Speaker 1: So I will say over, but I don't love it.
Speaker 1: I think ten and seven eleven and six is very
Speaker 1: very in play for Detroit this year. Very tough schedule,
Speaker 1: tough division, The loss of the coordinators matters that shuffle
Speaker 1: on the interior of the offensive line matters on the
Speaker 1: flip side to that they do get their gut their
Speaker 1: defensive players back. I imagine Demon's you like this as
Speaker 1: an over stronger than I do.
Speaker 2: Not strong, probably just about the same, but it is
Speaker 2: close to twenty so I would lean over on that.
Speaker 2: But yeah, they did get a lot of guys back
Speaker 2: that they had injured last year, so I feel like
Speaker 2: it kind of balances out.
Speaker 1: If there is going to be a season from hell
Speaker 1: for Detroit, which I don't anticipate, but if there is
Speaker 1: going to be, it'll be because the playoff game screwed
Speaker 1: with golf, right, and I don't think we can dismiss
Speaker 1: that as a possibility. I'm not predicting it, but I
Speaker 1: don't think we can dismiss it full on as a possibility.
Speaker 1: That being that close to the Super Bowl two years ago,
Speaker 1: them not having it, and then having his worst game
Speaker 1: of the year in their first playoff game, and then
Speaker 1: also not having Ben Johnson in his ear, that all
Speaker 1: of that comes together and he has a tough season.
Speaker 1: That's the recipe for them having the Oh my god,
Speaker 1: the Lions went seven and ten. I don't think it's
Speaker 1: gonna happen, but that would be the Yeah, that'd be
Speaker 1: the recipe for it. But I will go over by
Speaker 1: the thinnest of margins. All right, Packers total nine and
Speaker 1: a half with even money on the under, which I
Speaker 1: like because I am going under for the Green Bay Packers. Yes,
Speaker 1: so I I am. It's not a bet. Thus far,
Speaker 1: the only NFC bets we've made is a Cowboys under
Speaker 1: and a Bear's over. I just think they're gonna win
Speaker 1: nine games, and I am I'm not as high on
Speaker 1: the Packers defense as everyone else seems to be. And
Speaker 1: while I do like their draft pick Matthew Golden, the
Speaker 1: rookie receiver, and I do think of all of their
Speaker 1: you know that huge room of good but not great receivers,
Speaker 1: I think he is the one guy who has a
Speaker 1: chance to be a great receiver. Hard to rely on
Speaker 1: him in year one to be a great receiver. Listen, uh,
Speaker 1: Brian Thomas Junior did it, Malik Neighbors did it. But
Speaker 1: still it's it's hard at that position to be great
Speaker 1: year one. But here's the other factor of it that
Speaker 1: I just don't think that I am putting into this
Speaker 1: that it doesn't seem like other people are. I know
Speaker 1: Derrick Henry is ageless, and I know that Christian McCaffrey
Speaker 1: prior to last year. You know what I mean had
Speaker 1: this amazing year, Saguan had the amazing year. Is Josh
Speaker 1: Jacobs going to look like a twenty eight year old
Speaker 1: running back normally does or the way some of those
Speaker 1: other guys have, Because I think Josh Jacobs has been
Speaker 1: an underrated was an underrated addition for them, and I
Speaker 1: think a large part of their success last year was
Speaker 1: he had a I can't even call it sneaky, just
Speaker 1: an awesome season, thirteen hundred yards, fifteen touchdowns, four and
Speaker 1: a half yards per carry. What if you know after
Speaker 1: he's now over sixteen hundred career carries six straight years,
Speaker 1: none of which missing real big time? Like, what is
Speaker 1: what is Josh Jacobs gonna look like? And this is
Speaker 1: what I said about Jordan Love yesterday on the TV
Speaker 1: show demonte And tell me if you think it's fair.
Speaker 1: I'm not yet ready to say he guarantees you a
Speaker 1: floor for your team, like he hasn't graduated to the
Speaker 1: Okay if that and I listen, when he's been these
Speaker 1: two years as a starter he has, I just don't
Speaker 1: know if that's who he. I feel like he and
Speaker 1: CJ both might end upstars. I think they have established
Speaker 1: they are quality starting franchise quarterbacks, but I don't yet
Speaker 1: know if they are in the man. If he's healthy,
Speaker 1: unless it's just a disaster on your team, you should
Speaker 1: win at least ten games.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and so like last year, he was dealing with
Speaker 2: the injury from the start, I think this year you
Speaker 2: kind of have a better idea of of who.
Speaker 1: Yes, and the talent is really impressive. Sometimes the decision
Speaker 1: making seems less, so so I'm curious how that plays
Speaker 1: out this year. Yeah, and so it's not a I
Speaker 1: have the Packers finishing third in the division and it
Speaker 1: sounds like an indictment. But if I think they're gonna
Speaker 1: win nine games finish third like that doesn't make you
Speaker 1: a bad team. It's tough division, which leaves me with
Speaker 1: just one team for last. And this is a bet,
Speaker 1: and it is the Vikings win total of nine and
Speaker 1: a half. I understand they won fourteen games last year.
Speaker 1: Under one twenty five is where we are going with that.
Speaker 1: Demanse and Brian Flores is awesome. Are they going to though,
Speaker 1: have that number of turnovers last year when they just
Speaker 1: they had a great scheme. He's a great decordinator, but
Speaker 1: turnovers fluctuate so much year to year. It's hard to
Speaker 1: rely on that. I know they got great production from
Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins, they got great production from Sam Darnold, and
Speaker 1: by the end of the year, if they got the
Speaker 1: pick right with JJ McCarthy, they should have great production
Speaker 1: from JJ McCarthy. With all that said, he didn't play
Speaker 1: a ton of college ball. He missed all of last year.
Speaker 1: It seems like there were varying reports on how he
Speaker 1: looked in training camp from the people on the ground there.
Speaker 1: It just feels like this is a bit of a
Speaker 1: reset year for Minnesota, which, by the way, I think
Speaker 1: they're fine with. I think they expected last year to
Speaker 1: be the reset year, but you know, but they expected
Speaker 1: to do it with a rookie quarterback. Instead, Donald played
Speaker 1: and Darnald played the best ball of his life. If
Speaker 1: they are a double digit win team again and JJ
Speaker 1: McCarthy looks really good, then even though he hasn't won
Speaker 1: a playoff game yet, we have to probably elevate Kevin O'Connell.
Speaker 1: I already think Kevin O'Connell's good. But if you can
Speaker 1: get double digit wins with Kirk Cousins, Sam Darnold and
Speaker 1: then JJ McCarthy is a first year player coming off
Speaker 1: an injury. That'd be wildly impressive. But I think, excuse me,
Speaker 1: I apologize. I think they could go seven and ten
Speaker 1: and be okay, okay with it's the wrong word, feel
Speaker 1: okay going into the twenty sixth season. If they're like,
Speaker 1: all right, we have the upside of this quarterback. He's young,
Speaker 1: he's cheap, obviously, justin Jefferson's great. So I will bet
Speaker 1: the Vikings under nine and a half. So through two divisions,
Speaker 1: demons our bets are Cowboys under eight and a half,
Speaker 1: Vikings under nine and a half, and Bears over eight
Speaker 1: and a half. We will get to the South and
Speaker 1: the West in just a moment. But first, the rivalries,
Speaker 1: the marching bands, the upsets. Saturday's just got way more fun.
Speaker 1: College football is back. You think you know the game,
Speaker 1: Put your college football knowledge to the test with Draftings
Speaker 1: Sportsbook and turn your picks into big payouts. From live
Speaker 1: betting during the game to rivalry week odds, boosts, and
Speaker 1: so much more. Draftings Sports Book has everything you need
Speaker 1: to stay in the action from kickoff to the final whistle,
Speaker 1: whether you're betting on your go to team or making
Speaker 1: moves mid game as the momentum shifts. Saturdays are yours
Speaker 1: to own with DraftKings Sports Book. Number one Texas is
Speaker 1: a one and a half point dog at Ohio State
Speaker 1: this Saturday. It is the first time in more than
Speaker 1: fifty years, or at least fifty years, that the number
Speaker 1: one team is an underdog in week one. That speaks
Speaker 1: the fact that the number one team in the nation
Speaker 1: almost never plays a huge road game in week one,
Speaker 1: but that is what we are getting this week. Of course,
Speaker 1: lines and odds are subject to change, something that is
Speaker 1: just unbelievable for first timers. New customers bet five bucks
Speaker 1: and get three one hundred dollars in bonus bets instantly.
Speaker 1: Download the DraftKings Sportsbook app and use code right that's
Speaker 1: code right Wright to get for new customers to get
Speaker 1: three hundred dollars in bonus bets instantly when you bet
Speaker 1: just five bucks. In partnership with DraftKings Sportsbook, The Crown
Speaker 1: is yours.
Speaker 4: Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler in New York
Speaker 4: called eight seven seven eight open wire text ope and
Speaker 4: wy AT four six seven three six nine. In Connecticut,
Speaker 4: help is available for a problem gambling called eight eight
Speaker 4: eight seven eight nine seven to seven seven seven, or
Speaker 4: visit CCPG dot org. Please play responsibly on behalf of
Speaker 4: boothillk A Cinamin Resorting Kansas twenty one on over agent
Speaker 4: eligibility varies by jurisdiction Voyd and Ontario. Bet must win
Speaker 4: to receive reward minimum minus five hundred odds required. Bonus
Speaker 4: bets expire one hundred and sixty eight hours after issue.
Speaker 4: Ins four. Additional terms and responsible gaming resource see DKNG
Speaker 4: dot co slash audio.
Speaker 1: All right, demanse, let's get to the NFC South and
Speaker 1: one that. You know what, guys, I'm going to add
Speaker 1: this team to our official overs. Sorry if the if
Speaker 1: we need to adjust some graphics, I apologize. I thought
Speaker 1: I had this in my official overs already and I didn't.
Speaker 1: My bad. The Falcons seven and a half, just seven
Speaker 1: and a half wins at minus one. So the argument
Speaker 1: for the Falcons is last year, despite Kirk Cousins kind
Speaker 1: of not kind of legitimately falling apart and the and
Speaker 1: it being a new head coach who I like and
Speaker 1: a new system and all that, they still won eight games.
Speaker 1: They last year, Bijon looked like the player that I
Speaker 1: knew he would be. They started six and three, with
Speaker 1: the one of those losses being a bit of a
Speaker 1: heartbreaker to the Chiefs, and then after that it really
Speaker 1: unwound on him, as Cousins was pretty clearly cooked. And
Speaker 1: then they go to Pinnix late in the year and
Speaker 1: even then Week eight, week seventeen overtime lost to Washington,
Speaker 1: Week eighteen overtime loss to Carolina. Now that's not good Carolina,
Speaker 1: but they won eight games. So now you have, well that.
Speaker 2: The Saints and the Panthers. That's four wins right there.
Speaker 2: I mean, they did leaved him last year, but I
Speaker 2: think that's good for it.
Speaker 1: But no, those are two of the worst teams in
Speaker 1: the league. I totally agree with you on that and
Speaker 1: that part of it, like can they go four and
Speaker 1: two in the division? I think so you go four
Speaker 1: and two in the division to get to eight wins.
Speaker 1: Your other games are as follows. Minnesota, Washington, not Buffalo,
Speaker 1: San Francisco not easy Miami, New England, Indianapolis, the Jets,
Speaker 1: the Seahawks, Arizona, the Rams. Like your non divisional games
Speaker 1: early are pretty tough. You have some nice soft ones
Speaker 1: in the middle, but if you have you need to
Speaker 1: get to eight wins. You have four against Carolina and
Speaker 1: New Orleans. You have another against Miami, you have another
Speaker 1: against the Jets. You have two more against Seattle and Arizona.
Speaker 1: And again it's not like I think Seattle and Arizona
Speaker 1: are gonna be terrible, But there's eight games. If you
Speaker 1: go six two and those eight, can you go two
Speaker 1: and seven in your difficult games? I think so. I
Speaker 1: actually think this team is a sneaky playoff contender because
Speaker 1: of the schedule, not pardon me, not because they're a
Speaker 1: great team, but because of the division they're in, and
Speaker 1: because of the conference they're in. And so I one
Speaker 1: of my bets will be Falcons over seven and a
Speaker 1: half at minus one forty. And now we get to
Speaker 1: the tricky ones demanse, which is the Panthers total is
Speaker 1: six and a half and the Saints total is four
Speaker 1: and a half. And the problem is in handicapping this.
Speaker 1: These teams do play each other, and I do think
Speaker 1: they're both Like I am going to go under on
Speaker 1: the Panthers and over on the Saints, and I'm here
Speaker 1: to tell you I do not love going over on
Speaker 1: the Saints. But four and a half is such an
Speaker 1: outrageous number, and it wouldn't be crazy if the Saints
Speaker 1: go to to zero against Carolina and now, all of
Speaker 1: a sudden, you only need three more victories on your schedule.
Speaker 1: I don't believe the Panthers are gonna get to seven,
Speaker 1: So that's that's an easy under But I'm not gonna
Speaker 1: bet it. I just that I'm going to have a
Speaker 1: significant investment in the NFC South, but it is not
Speaker 1: either of these teams. I know you have a follow up.
Speaker 1: You want to ask me about the Saints.
Speaker 2: Uh yeah, Do you have any interest in them to
Speaker 2: have the fewest wins in the NFL at plus four hundred?
Speaker 1: No, but it's interesting, like, I don't think that's a
Speaker 1: dumb bet. But my answer to that is no, I
Speaker 1: think that I think there's three or four teams this
Speaker 1: year that have a chance to be truly awful. They're
Speaker 1: one of them. So maybe at plus four hundred that
Speaker 1: I think it's three or four, But I I'm gonna
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna do a worst team in the league
Speaker 1: bet because the other piece of that that makes it
Speaker 1: tricky is there are a few teams that are and
Speaker 1: injury at quarterback away from all of a sudden, just
Speaker 1: wanting to be awful. And by the way, the Browns
Speaker 1: exist and they you know what I mean. Yeah, and
Speaker 1: I know I'm fading the Colts and I but that's
Speaker 1: worst team again. Worst team in the league is tough.
Speaker 1: And also worst team in the league is a bet
Speaker 1: that you never can lock up, Like the Patriots were
Speaker 1: the worst team in the league all year last year.
Speaker 1: Week eighteen the Bills. Yeah, the Bills basically give them
Speaker 1: the game and all of a sudden they're drafting fourth
Speaker 1: like it's just a I don't love that bet. I
Speaker 1: do love this bet. The Bucks over nine and a
Speaker 1: half minus one twenty. I think Tampa Demonse is gonna
Speaker 1: win a bunch of games, a bunch of games. I'm
Speaker 1: not saying they are necessarily the best team in the NFC.
Speaker 1: I am saying I think they have a real path
Speaker 1: to being the one seed.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean they're top three easily. I mean in
Speaker 2: that division, so.
Speaker 1: Oh because of the division their top three in that
Speaker 1: division conference.
Speaker 2: I feel like that in that conference they're one of
Speaker 2: the top three teams.
Speaker 1: I mean, I think they're going to start three and
Speaker 1: zero at Atlanta at the Texans home for the Jets
Speaker 1: and obviously Texans are a good team. I think Tampa's better, right,
Speaker 1: they have a tough stretch of Eagles, Seahawks, Niners, Lions,
Speaker 1: And then after that demonse, here is how the Bucks.
Speaker 1: When I say close the season, I mean their final
Speaker 1: ten games. Okay, at the Saints, home for the Pats,
Speaker 1: at the Bills, really hard, at the Rams, tough home
Speaker 1: for the Cardinals, home for the Saints, home for the Falcons,
Speaker 1: at the Panthers, at the Dolphins when they will have
Speaker 1: quit home for the Panthers. Yeah, Like, could the Bucks
Speaker 1: start five and two or you know what? Could they
Speaker 1: start four and three and finish twelve and five? Yeah? Absolutely,
Speaker 1: And so I think I think the schedule, plus I
Speaker 1: really like Abuca, the rookie receiver. God Win will be
Speaker 1: back at some point, and they'll have three legitimate receivers.
Speaker 1: I like their running back Bucky Irving, Tristan Wurfs. I
Speaker 1: want to make sure I'm right about this. Did he
Speaker 1: clear the pup list?
Speaker 2: Yeah?
Speaker 1: He passes his physical, as did Godwin. So they're at
Speaker 1: least on the active roster. Does that mean they're gonna
Speaker 1: play Week one? Not necessarily, but it does mean they're
Speaker 1: a bit ahead of schedule. I love the Bucks. I
Speaker 1: love the schedule. I love Bake Show. Also Baker Demanse MVP.
Speaker 1: It's not a terrible pick. I think they're not because
Speaker 1: I because I don't think their defense is gonna be great. No,
Speaker 1: I don't think I know their defense is gonna be great.
Speaker 1: So they're gonna have to score a bunch. But also,
Speaker 1: this is a de facto contract year for him. He's
Speaker 1: got a year left after this one. But if he
Speaker 1: has another excellent season, he's He's one of those fifty
Speaker 1: five million dollars a year men. And so I'm all
Speaker 1: over the Bucks this season over nine and a half.
Speaker 2: And I.
Speaker 1: You might hear more about my feelings on the Bucks
Speaker 1: later in the pot. Let me put it like that. Okay,
Speaker 1: so that could be coming up in a bit. All right,
Speaker 1: Now to the NFC West, where we have the Cardinals
Speaker 1: total at eight and a half with the little juice
Speaker 1: on the under. I will go with the under. I
Speaker 1: am listen. Jonathan Gannon is trying to build out the defense.
Speaker 1: He might finally have some of the personnel to do that.
Speaker 1: And I still believe Marvin Harrison Junior can be an
Speaker 1: unbelievable pro even though he had a disappointing rookie year.
Speaker 1: But you know, I'm not a Kyler guy. I got
Speaker 1: questions on their O line. I just don't think they're
Speaker 1: gonna to be above five hundred. So I will go
Speaker 1: under on the Cardinals eight and a half. Do you
Speaker 1: go ahead?
Speaker 2: What happens with with the Cardinals if they're like, what's
Speaker 2: gonna happen with Kyler Murray?
Speaker 1: Like the Irish quarterback in a year?
Speaker 3: Oh?
Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, I agree with that as well. I don't
Speaker 2: I don't like the Cardinals.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, don't you think the Steelers trading for
Speaker 1: Kyler's sounds about Steelers.
Speaker 2: E It sounds like something that Steelers would do.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it feels like Kyler Murray starting quarterback for the
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers Week one of next year. Feel feels about
Speaker 1: like the plan and the Cardinals, you know, kind of
Speaker 1: start over. That's what I would think. Maybe I'm just
Speaker 1: making that up, but it feels like that is a
Speaker 1: real possibility. I guess the Colts too. The Colts. The
Speaker 1: Colts just went veteran, veteran veteran, then they drafted Anthony
Speaker 1: Richardson snap gave up on him. Maybe they go back
Speaker 1: to a veteran, but a team like that, all right, Rams,
Speaker 1: I think this will surprise people. This is not one
Speaker 1: of my bets. I am going over with the Rams
Speaker 1: for nine and a half. However, I am not gonna
Speaker 1: put money on it because of the Stafford question. I
Speaker 1: think with a healthy Stafford, they are incredibly dangerous. I
Speaker 1: think that they could if they get if Matt Stafford
Speaker 1: is healthy by the playoffs, then all feel about them
Speaker 1: this year the way I did last year. They could
Speaker 1: win the conference. But that amortal Chamber and missing that time,
Speaker 1: even if part of it was a wink and a nod,
Speaker 1: you can have, you know, a lot of training camp
Speaker 1: off like you've speculated a bit demands. It does seem
Speaker 1: like there was at least something there. So I don't
Speaker 1: want to bet the Rams, but I listen. I do
Speaker 1: think they're gonna win the division. I do think they're
Speaker 1: the best team in that division. But I don't want
Speaker 1: to have a bet on the Rams. And then by
Speaker 1: week six it's like in starting his third straight game,
Speaker 1: Jimmy Garoppolo. That's a nightmare, and so I don't want
Speaker 1: to do that. And then the Niners, one of my
Speaker 1: favorite bets of the Year under ten and a half.
Speaker 1: They this is the least talent they've had on defense
Speaker 1: since Shanahan's first year there. They have just totally had
Speaker 1: to remake Fred Warner's amazing Nicky Bosa is really really good.
Speaker 1: Aside from that, it's a bunch of young guys that
Speaker 1: there is a hope and a prayer. The wide receiver
Speaker 1: corps is just ravaged. I mean they just keep They
Speaker 1: have signed Sky's they traded for Sky Moore. I think
Speaker 1: they signed MBS. It's a bunch of guys who while
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes can throw touchdowns to them in the Super Bowl,
Speaker 1: I do not know that Brock Purdy is going to
Speaker 1: get the most out of them. And listen, I think
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey win healthy as a top three back in
Speaker 1: the league. I think that's undeniable, is you know? But
Speaker 1: that hell is a concern. Yeah, say it again.
Speaker 2: I mean when you got I think you had to
Speaker 2: go to Germany to do that. Oh yeah, I feel
Speaker 2: like if you got to do all that, like it's serious,
Speaker 2: it's correct.
Speaker 1: And Kittle has shown no signs of slowing down, but
Speaker 1: he's at an age where you have to incorporate there's
Speaker 1: a chance he does. And they lost their backup left
Speaker 1: tackle to the Chiefs in free agency. Trent Williams future
Speaker 1: first ballot Hall of Famer, but he did miss some
Speaker 1: time last year. The oldest starting tackle in the league.
Speaker 1: Feels like you're on a knife's edge. And we have
Speaker 1: seen what Purdy's numbers are, what that team happens to
Speaker 1: that team when Trent Williams is out, all those reasons
Speaker 1: and the fact that they could win the division, make
Speaker 1: the playoffs, and the under still come in because it's
Speaker 1: ten and a half and half. And I listen, I
Speaker 1: know the one thing I'm not saying that everyone else
Speaker 1: is gonna say, the schedule, the schedule, the schedule. Despite
Speaker 1: all that, I will go under ten and a half,
Speaker 1: and then that leaves us Seattle. This is.
Speaker 2: To me.
Speaker 1: A true coin flip. So we have to spend much
Speaker 1: time on it. It's set at eight and a half
Speaker 1: even money on the over. I will go. I will
Speaker 1: go under, but I don't have much. They are an eight, nine, nine,
Speaker 1: and eighteen to me, and so we don't have to
Speaker 1: because I don't have a super strong feeling on it.
Speaker 1: We don't have spend a ton of time on it.
Speaker 1: Give us demands the full well, I will give us
Speaker 1: the NFC, then you give us the whole thing. The
Speaker 1: bets we are making in the NFC are the Cowboys
Speaker 1: under eight and a half at minus one forty five,
Speaker 1: the Bears over eight and a half at plus one
Speaker 1: point fifteen, The Vikings might over I'm sorry, under nine
Speaker 1: and a half at minus one twenty five, the Falcons
Speaker 1: over seven and a half at minus one forty, the
Speaker 1: Bucks over nine and a half at minus one twenty
Speaker 1: then Niners under ten and a half at minus one thirty,
Speaker 1: which gives us. You don't have to tell us the
Speaker 1: odds on these demonte but give us all the overs
Speaker 1: and the win total the teams in the wind total.
Speaker 2: So overs, we got Jags over seven and a half,
Speaker 2: Chiefs over eleven and a half, Raiders over six and
Speaker 2: a half. We got Bears at over eight and a
Speaker 2: half and Tampa Bay over nine and a half. In
Speaker 2: Atlanta over seven and a half.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so the only big number over I have is
Speaker 1: Kansas City, not surprising, I'm sure, and the only team
Speaker 1: on there with a low low number that I think
Speaker 1: could smash it is the Raiders at six and a half.
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to unders.
Speaker 2: Unders. You got the Bengals under nine and a half,
Speaker 2: got the Colts under seven and a half, Broncos under
Speaker 2: nine and a half, Cowboys under eight and a half,
Speaker 2: the Vikings und nine and a half, and then the
Speaker 2: Niners under ten and a half.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and the only team on there that I think
Speaker 1: might might smash it is the Colts. I don't you know.
Speaker 1: I don't think any of those other teams are gonna
Speaker 1: all of a sudden win three or four games. I get,
Speaker 1: you know what the Niners could The Niners are a
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey and or Trent Williams missing six weeks away
Speaker 1: from potentially winning six games again with that defense, so
Speaker 1: they could smash it. But that's twelve. Last year we
Speaker 1: did ten. No, we did eight last year because we
Speaker 1: went six and two. We gave you all thirty two
Speaker 1: but our bets. And here's why we only did eight
Speaker 1: last year because I got too cute, because I did
Speaker 1: a bunch of there's a better way to bet this,
Speaker 1: and I did a division or a playoff or whatever,
Speaker 1: and I got annihilated on those. So this year we're
Speaker 1: going to be smarter. We will get to our other
Speaker 1: more manicured wagers that we're making and less parlays in
Speaker 1: just a moment. But first ever sign up for phone plan,
Speaker 1: thinking Wow, amazing price. Then a few months later, surprise,
Speaker 1: Bill's hired Boost Mobile. You pay twenty five dollars a
Speaker 1: month forever. That's unlimited talk, text and data starting at
Speaker 1: just twenty five dollars a month, No price hikes, no
Speaker 1: contract forever.
Speaker 2: Plus.
Speaker 1: Boost Mobile is now a legit five G network. They've
Speaker 1: invested billions building five G towers across the country. Visit
Speaker 1: boostmobile dot com or head to your local boost store
Speaker 1: today and get unlimited talk, text, and data for twenty
Speaker 1: five dollars a month forever. Five G speeds not available
Speaker 1: in all areas. After thirty gigs, customers may experience lower speeds.
Speaker 1: Customers will pay twenty five dollars a month as long
Speaker 1: as they remain active on the Boost plan.
Speaker 2: All right.
Speaker 1: Demans make miss playoff bets which involve a bunch of
Speaker 1: redundancy to my other to my over unders, which I'm
Speaker 1: fine with. Last year I made the mistake by bifurcating
Speaker 1: them to try to minimize losses. This year, I'm going
Speaker 1: with the ones I truly believe in and betting them
Speaker 1: in multiple spots instead of doing like multiple units on
Speaker 1: a win total. We'll do it like this. First one.
Speaker 1: Go ahead and tell the audience you can make fun
Speaker 1: of me.
Speaker 2: We've got the Jags at plus one eighty to make
Speaker 2: the playoffs. I've got them too.
Speaker 1: I'm rhying with you on that one, okay, yeah, and
Speaker 1: I'm listen. I'm being I think conservative because I'm not
Speaker 1: having them win the division. I'm having them make the
Speaker 1: playoffs at plus one eighty. I it's the biggest year
Speaker 1: of Trevor's career. I think he comes through. I then
Speaker 1: demands the next one is probably the most juice I've
Speaker 1: ever laid on this show. But I don't care.
Speaker 2: Go ahead, Yeah, the Chiefs to make the playoffs at
Speaker 2: minus three eighty.
Speaker 1: What was that money laying on the ground?
Speaker 2: One?
Speaker 1: And I pick it up the you can you can
Speaker 1: say you're gonna lay. Yeah I am. I'm gonna lay
Speaker 1: minus three eighty. And you can be like Nick, what
Speaker 1: if what if Patrick gets hurt? I got bigger problems
Speaker 1: than the damn Chiefs make the playoffs. Bet if Patrick
Speaker 1: gets hurt, I'll tell you that much right now, and
Speaker 1: so the that's that, yeah, the Chiefs, And so that
Speaker 1: means I'm gonna have to risk the way these I
Speaker 1: should have made this clear for our new listeners. All
Speaker 1: of our plus bets, unless otherwise specified, all the plus bets,
Speaker 1: we put one unit on. All the minus bets, we
Speaker 1: we put enough. If it's it's minus one forty, we
Speaker 1: put one point four units on it. We put enough
Speaker 1: to win one unit. So the Chiefs, I'm putting three
Speaker 1: point eight units to win one. But that's fine. This
Speaker 1: one here, however, like I said, unless otherwise specified, this
Speaker 1: next one is a half unit bet, and the one
Speaker 1: following it is a quarter unit bet. Go ahead.
Speaker 2: You got the Raiders to make the playoffs at plus
Speaker 2: three forty.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I've talked a ton about the Raiders
Speaker 1: in a bunch of spots. I just like the value
Speaker 1: at plus three forty. This one's going to shock people,
Speaker 1: I would imagine, but I'll explain it in a second
Speaker 1: on people.
Speaker 2: Giants at plus five hundred to make the playoffs.
Speaker 1: All right, So the producers wondering, if I believe the
Speaker 1: Giants can make the playoffs, why not also bet them
Speaker 1: to win at least six games, because here's the deal,
Speaker 1: they're I don't actually think the Giants are gonna be
Speaker 1: really good. However, there has to be the shock playoff team.
Speaker 1: I have cast my lot with it being the Raiders.
Speaker 1: Is there an argument that Russell Wilson channel something that
Speaker 1: d Line Malik neighbors continues on the ascent a soft
Speaker 1: NFC East because maybe Jaden misses time or something. Yes,
Speaker 1: so I will. I think the Giants check a few
Speaker 1: of those boxes, and at five to one, I'm good
Speaker 1: with it. So that's where that's where I land. And
Speaker 1: then last but not least, And you can see this
Speaker 1: team all over my gam card.
Speaker 2: This year. You got the Bucks at minus one seventy
Speaker 2: to make the playoffs.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean they're gonna win the division, but maybe
Speaker 1: you know, maybe Pennix is unbelievable and the Falcons with
Speaker 1: that schedule end up somehow winning the division a leate,
Speaker 1: but the Bucks will the only the Bucks are going
Speaker 1: to win ten games. Ten games will get them in
Speaker 1: the playoffs, at least ten games, I should say. So,
Speaker 1: I just want to have action on the Bucks all
Speaker 1: over the place. So my make the playoffs bets are Jags, Chiefs, Raiders,
Speaker 1: Giants Bucks with again, half unit on the Raiders, quarter
Speaker 1: unit on the Giants. Now the always popular missed the playoffs.
Speaker 2: Bet uh, you love putting this team here. You got
Speaker 2: the Steelers to miss the playoffs at minus one forty.
Speaker 1: This the Steelers in the the Steelers two years ago,
Speaker 1: the Jags ruined me. Last year, the Steelers ruined me.
Speaker 1: So I don't have If you remember, the Steelers are
Speaker 1: not one of my win total bets because maybe Tomlin's,
Speaker 1: you know, gonna somehow create enough magic to get to
Speaker 1: nine wins. I don't think they're gonna make the playoffs.
Speaker 1: I'll take them under one forty. This next team is
Speaker 1: the team I've been fading throughout the show.
Speaker 2: Go ahead, you've got the Colts minus two sixty to miss.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just don't see any scenario where the Colts
Speaker 1: find their way into the playoffs with Daniel Jones in
Speaker 1: the AFC. So I don't mind laying minus two sixty.
Speaker 1: And in fact, you're going to see them somewhere else
Speaker 1: as well, in one of my very few this year parlays.
Speaker 2: Next, you've got the Broncos to miss at plus one thirty.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I just like that. It's plus money. You guys
Speaker 1: know that I'm not a believer in the Broncos the
Speaker 1: way other people are. And what is really unbelievable about
Speaker 1: where the Broncos stand is they could It's unlikely, don't
Speaker 1: get me wrong, but they could hit their over for
Speaker 1: win total and miss the playoffs. They could go ten
Speaker 1: and seven and you'll miss the playoffs. I again, it's unlikely.
Speaker 1: Ten wins in the seventeen air, I'm sorry, in the
Speaker 1: seven game playoff field should get you in, but it's possible.
Speaker 1: I still I don't have to spend more time on it.
Speaker 1: I'm actually going on the radio with my friend Mark
Speaker 1: Schlaret than Denver tomorrow because everyone wants to yell at me,
Speaker 1: and that's fine. I'll take the Broncos under nine and
Speaker 1: a half. Al, I'm sorry, I'll take the Broncos to
Speaker 1: miss the playoffs.
Speaker 2: Go ahead. Uh, you got the Cowboys to miss at
Speaker 2: minus two ten. Yeah.
Speaker 1: I almost did this instead of their total, but I
Speaker 1: decided to double down on Cowboys skepticism this year. I
Speaker 1: just think a coach I don't necessarily believe in a
Speaker 1: drama with the best player on their roster. Yeah, terrible offseason.
Speaker 1: I'll take them to miss.
Speaker 2: You've got the Vikings to miss at plus one hundred.
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I'm actually this is the first one I'm
Speaker 1: doing like this, and this is going to sound odd.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna throw two units on this one. I just
Speaker 1: think that it would in that division. It would be
Speaker 1: shocking to me if the Vikings somehow find a way
Speaker 1: into the playoffs. I know they did last year. I
Speaker 1: know they won fourteen games, and I do like Kevin O'Connell,
Speaker 1: but I am going to fade the Vikings to the
Speaker 1: tune of betting there under and a two unit bet
Speaker 1: and then last but not least again.
Speaker 2: Go ahead. You've got the Cardinals to miss at minus
Speaker 2: one forty.
Speaker 1: Yet the only reason my only trepidation there is what
Speaker 1: if Stafford does miss a bunch of time and that
Speaker 1: division feels wide open for everybody. So that is that's
Speaker 1: the extent of my real concern there. I also am
Speaker 1: going to do one, not multiple like last year to
Speaker 1: Monsey one missed the playoffs, parlay and folks, we're going
Speaker 1: to go. We're gonna put two units on this. It is.
Speaker 1: We'll tell the audience it's minus one thirty five. Tell
Speaker 1: the audience who it.
Speaker 2: Is it's it's minus one thirty five. You got New Orleans,
Speaker 2: the Jets, in Cleveland all to miss the playoffs minus I.
Speaker 1: Mean, hold on, you're leaving one team out.
Speaker 2: Oh, Indianapolis, I'm sorry. The Colts is.
Speaker 1: Yes, yeah, if you without the Cults, it's like minus
Speaker 1: four point fifty or something I needed to have. I
Speaker 1: mean New Orleans, the Jets and the Browns to miss
Speaker 1: the playoffs feels like it feels to me. Now listen,
Speaker 1: a lot of bets have gone to die this way.
Speaker 1: This is not sound gambling advice. And again, gamble for
Speaker 1: recreational purposes, don't bet more than you can afford to lose.
Speaker 1: But adding New Orleans to miss the playoffs or Cleveland
Speaker 1: to miss the playoffs to any preseason bet you make
Speaker 1: just to give yourself a little extra juice is not
Speaker 1: a Again, it's not sound owned gambling advice. Accept it
Speaker 1: feels like impossible to lose. The team that I am
Speaker 1: most worried about here blowing this up is actually the Jets.
Speaker 1: That the Jets that if just you know, they run
Speaker 1: the hell out of the ball, Aaron Glenn gets more
Speaker 1: out of the defense than Solid did. If those things
Speaker 1: happen that they would be my concern, but I don't
Speaker 1: really have any concern. I think these are four last
Speaker 1: place teams, four teams that I would be very surprised
Speaker 1: if they didn't finish in last place in their division. Okay,
Speaker 1: So that leaves us Tomanse with our division winner bets,
Speaker 1: our division winner parlay if it exists, and Demonse's five
Speaker 1: best bets, which again last year he made five bets
Speaker 1: and won Jade and Daniels to win Offensive Rookie of
Speaker 1: the Year at six to one, the Chiefs to win
Speaker 1: the AFC at three and a half to one, and
Speaker 1: Baltimore to win the AFC North at plus one forty
Speaker 1: five three plus more winners. All of that, Demanse coming
Speaker 1: on Tuesday's show, So we will do a full our
Speaker 1: final NFL season preview, plus the juiciest parts of our
Speaker 1: gambling shows, and so all of that is coming up.
Speaker 1: We're finally here, I mean we finally we have gotten
Speaker 1: to where the next time we're on the air, we
Speaker 1: will be talking about Ohio State Texas, which will have
Speaker 1: just been played, and we'll be two days away from
Speaker 1: the open the NFL season, and for the first time
Speaker 1: in years, I get to watch the first game of
Speaker 1: the NFL season without being stressed about my team being involved.
Speaker 1: That's the one upside to your team not winning the
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Again, I don't recommend it, but we're a
Speaker 1: bright side show. We try to find it. Like rate, subscribe, review,
Speaker 1: appreciate everyone involved in the show today, Volume Boost, DraftKings,
Speaker 1: Blue Duck Demons, everybody. Apologies for the tight sixty. I
Speaker 1: told you I was going to do it, though. I
Speaker 1: will see you guys on TV in a few hours.
Speaker 2: What's right,