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Speaker 1: Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock Bet. We

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Speaker 1: are part of the Volume podcast Network. This is the

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Speaker 1: show that makes the squares. Sharper makes the wise guys

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Speaker 1: pay attention. I am Chad Melman, I'm joined as always, buy,

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Speaker 1: my co host, my companion, my compadre, my BFF, professional

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Speaker 1: better Simon Hunter Ello.

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Speaker 2: Simon Chat.

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Speaker 3: How are we doing?

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Speaker 2: Dude?

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Speaker 1: Look, I'm about to embark on a few days of

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Speaker 1: an adventure. I feel like I feel so freaking lucky.

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Speaker 1: I cannot tell you. I'll be in Miami. Two of

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Speaker 1: my closest buddies, Andy and Matt, who grew up with me.

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Speaker 1: We all grew up together outside Chicago. We all went

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Speaker 1: to Indiana. We're all going to be at the game

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Speaker 1: on Monday nights.

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Speaker 2: Will be there for the Bears.

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Speaker 1: Game on Sunday night. These are like, honest to God,

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Speaker 1: not to get sentimental, just glorious opportunities and weekends that

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Speaker 1: just don't come around that often. So I'm ready.

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Speaker 2: To roll, brother, ready to roll? Are you?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? No? I mean, like we talk all the times.

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Speaker 3: The best time here.

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Speaker 4: If you love good football, right, it's the highest level

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Speaker 4: being played and you're just fortunate enough that both your

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Speaker 4: two favorite.

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Speaker 3: Teams are still here playing and it is. Let's see

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Speaker 3: the date, January seventeenth. I can't believe it.

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Speaker 4: Chad's in the finals for the playoffs with his Indiana

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Speaker 4: Hoosiers and the Bears. It's a real possibility where we're

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Speaker 4: sitting here next week and they're playing for, you know,

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Speaker 4: a championship of their own conference.

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Speaker 3: It's a crazy.

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Speaker 4: Time right now for Chad and a lot of like

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Speaker 4: you said, a lot of Chicago fans, a lot of

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Speaker 4: them have ties to Aghanis.

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Speaker 3: Of course, it's a great time for the Midwest.

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Speaker 1: Nice man coming, go Caleb A this divisional weekend version

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Speaker 1: of the strip down in the room eavesdropping Sharper Square.

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Speaker 2: We're going to narrow it down to five. I know,

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Speaker 2: five picks.

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Speaker 1: A lot of injury conversations, whether lines being impacted. You

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Speaker 1: can see the dynamic contest line. Simon and I are

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Speaker 1: playing at the free Sharper Square Pro Football pickup contest.

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Speaker 1: If you've signed up to play at sharpersquare dot the

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Speaker 1: volume dot com, you can track us in the contest

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Speaker 1: at Chad and Simon BFF. Don't forget we're playing both

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Speaker 1: sides and totals in the contest, Simon, we will lock

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Speaker 1: in based on all the games. So we're gonna talk

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Speaker 1: about all the games. There's only four of them. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna go in order of what I think our top

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Speaker 1: five are right now, not in the order of the schedule.

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Speaker 1: So Seattle San Francisco under forty five and a half.

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Speaker 1: This was Chad's choice. It continued to tick down. It's

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Speaker 1: at forty five in some places forty four and a half.

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Speaker 1: Elsewhere it is forty five and a half. In the contest.

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Speaker 1: I think it's ticked down, maybe because of the Arnold news.

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Speaker 1: I'm leaking a little bit of confidence. Something tells me

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Speaker 1: that I know well, I know from Killer Sports there's

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Speaker 1: a trend that when two teams have gone grossly under

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Speaker 1: and the two times they've played, the third time goes over.

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Speaker 1: But I just can't see schematically between the way the

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Speaker 1: Seahawks are going to want to play this game and

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Speaker 1: some of the limitations the Niners have on offense with

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Speaker 1: the personnel on the field, this game feels like it

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Speaker 1: should go under to me.

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Speaker 2: So I'm still on the under.

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Speaker 1: I want you to make me feel really good about it.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's still don't with you, but I saw that

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Speaker 4: stat too. I think it's like, basically, if you blindly

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Speaker 4: bet the over here, it's a fifty.

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Speaker 3: Seven percent success rate. Yes, that it's just a long

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Speaker 3: term Like.

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Speaker 4: Chad said, these two teams technically, maybe that's what we've

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Speaker 4: been missing here, Rick, because we both could not understand

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Speaker 4: this totally.

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Speaker 3: And you know it's in.

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Speaker 4: The playoff, especially the week we're coming off. I feel

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Speaker 4: like every bet we're gonna make is gonna have a

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Speaker 4: a little leak of confidence here. I'm dugging on it.

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Speaker 4: I still think un there's a play if anything. Seeing

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Speaker 4: the Sam Donald news, I don't know about you, but

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Speaker 4: it made me even happier for our bet early bet

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Speaker 4: on the under, just because I mean, think about how

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Speaker 4: much they use his legs outside the pocket and you know,

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Speaker 4: get different looks from the defenses because it's we talked

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Speaker 4: about all year that Sam Donald's not played well, but

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Speaker 4: where he has played well is within the offense.

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Speaker 3: Get it to JSN.

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Speaker 4: That's been the key, right, so for when anytime the

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Speaker 4: plays break down, he uses his legs. He's always looking

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Speaker 4: for JSN is best receiver and it's been magical for them,

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Speaker 4: right every time they need a third down. It feels

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Speaker 4: like he finds that guy. So, you know, as soon

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Speaker 4: as I saw that injury news, I did think this

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Speaker 4: would pop at six and a half. It seems like

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Speaker 4: the way they're talking, it's not they're trying to make

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Speaker 4: it out to be not as serious, and the books

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Speaker 4: reflect that. But like we're gonna go through it here,

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Speaker 4: like all how the public's been anything like that. This

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Speaker 4: is a game with a public has been hammering this under,

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Speaker 4: and they've been hammering the Niners, and the pros have

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Speaker 4: been hammering the Seahawks, and they've been hammering the over.

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Speaker 3: So we're definitely on the public side here.

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Speaker 4: We talked last week though the public does win the playoffs,

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Speaker 4: that stuff doesn't really matter as much. And you know here,

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Speaker 4: I'm still shocked to be seeing the seven. I'm still

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Speaker 4: shocked to see it's heaven. But we talked about it's

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Speaker 4: just there's that many injuries for them to forty nine ers, right,

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Speaker 4: They're that banged up.

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Speaker 3: The books have to hang this one. So yeah, if.

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Speaker 4: We're if I had to pick a number here, if

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Speaker 4: I had to say, well, more confident on the seven

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Speaker 4: or more confident under, I would go with the under.

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Speaker 4: I mean, if if you have to pick a sider,

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Speaker 4: obviously I'm going the forty nine ers, but I still

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Speaker 4: would like the underplane.

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Speaker 3: Just put about both.

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Speaker 4: I see these offenses playing right, I think they're both

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Speaker 4: going to try to lean heavy into the run for

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Speaker 4: this matchup and ball control. So uh yeah, this one,

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Speaker 4: like you said, tick down, was forty six.

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Speaker 3: Now, a lot of books show forty five.

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Speaker 4: A couple of them already moving to forty four and

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Speaker 4: a half this morning, So uh.

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Speaker 3: Once once again we see if Sam Darno is fully cleared.

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Speaker 4: You know, we get the guy on the sideline before

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Speaker 4: and saying, yow, he's running, well, he's looking good. This

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Speaker 4: could steam up another point again, So I wouldn't be

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Speaker 4: upset if you missed it. If your book showing forty

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Speaker 4: five and a half or forty four and a half,

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Speaker 4: I do think I might be able to get back

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Speaker 4: to forty six, but I would grab the forty five

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Speaker 4: and a half now just to be safe.

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Speaker 3: If if he does go out there and it's.

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Speaker 4: Not right and they do have to start Drew Locke,

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Speaker 4: this might steam down four or five points on the

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Speaker 4: total and maybe three four points on the side. So

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Speaker 4: we're all waiting, baited breath here to hear what's going

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Speaker 4: on with Sam Donald. But I just I cannot see

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Speaker 4: him missing this game. If anything, he'll do what we

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Speaker 4: see these other quarterbacks do you right, take the shot,

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Speaker 4: whatever he needs to do, and just get out there

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Speaker 4: and play on one leg. It's just this is what

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Speaker 4: he just played for eighteen weeks to get to. I

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Speaker 4: just can't see Sam Darna miss in this game.

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 1: Well, that the under was Chad's choice, so I got

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Speaker 1: a feeling that's going to make it into our final five.

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Speaker 1: The other day, you surprised me with a complete one eighty.

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Speaker 1: I don't know if there was bullet involved from the

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Speaker 1: professionals or not. And committed to the Patriots potentially being

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Speaker 1: one of your biggest bets for the weekend. Patriots at

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Speaker 1: minus three that minus three and a half at hard

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Speaker 1: Rock Bet right now.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Miko Kanla's not playing.

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Speaker 1: As a factor, but it's just it's a challenging one

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Speaker 1: because this Texans defense is so good. So give me

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Speaker 1: your current take. Are you still leaning into the Patriots

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Speaker 1: as field goal favorites.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's still leading into it.

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Speaker 4: You know, we've talked a little bit about it where

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Speaker 4: just Houston defense.

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Speaker 3: They are historically great.

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Speaker 4: If there is a team that could go up to

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Speaker 4: New England and pull off an upset, no doubt it

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Speaker 4: is this Houston team.

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Speaker 3: But uh, it really is when of the games where.

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Speaker 4: You break it all down and you look at the

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Speaker 4: different trends, everything, it feels like favorites is Themland team.

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Speaker 4: I mean, we've obviously all seen this trend with Drake

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Speaker 4: may is a favorite three points more eleven and zero

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Speaker 4: straight up, nine to two against the spread. Even when

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Speaker 4: you pull up back even further, this Texas team, they've

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Speaker 4: won ten straight games. In the history of the NFL,

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Speaker 4: teams that have won ten straight games are now they're

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Speaker 4: an underdog in the Divisional round zero to four straight up,

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Speaker 4: one and three against the spread, and that exactly yeah,

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Speaker 4: And it's just we talk at the time how rare

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Speaker 4: it is. Right a team has won ten straight and

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Speaker 4: now they're a bigger than a three point dog on

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Speaker 4: the road with a team that's great as a number

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Speaker 4: two defense, it's not shocking to see how the split

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Speaker 4: the bets are here. The public side definitely is the Patriots, right,

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Speaker 4: You've seen even the start of the week. The more

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Speaker 4: that the public money was coming on the Patriots team.

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Speaker 4: But we've finally seen some professional money coming to the

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Speaker 4: Statriers team and drive it up to three and a

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Speaker 4: half when it's been sitting at three all week. It's

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Speaker 4: starting to slowly move up now to three and a half.

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Speaker 4: And you know, we talked we love the total. There

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Speaker 4: star are forty ones up there, I mean hard rock

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Speaker 4: here in Jersey, still forty one. That's another line that

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Speaker 4: started ticking down a little bit right. It's come down

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Speaker 4: now a couple of books down to forty and a half.

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Speaker 4: And another game you could see if there's you know,

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Speaker 4: a little bit of weather, could you usually drop a

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Speaker 4: lotw forty sou points going to be really tight here,

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Speaker 4: and we've talked a little bit about it. I just

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Speaker 4: have so many questions with this Houston team where you

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Speaker 4: know my question I do have about Drake Bay and

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Speaker 4: this new England offense. I still think I'm gonna be

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Speaker 4: able to move the ball as good as this Houston

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Speaker 4: defense has been the one real weakness I've had his

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Speaker 4: deep ball passing and teams that cantack the ball downfield.

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Speaker 3: Drake May is number two.

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Speaker 4: I believe in graded balls downfield and he was number

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Speaker 4: one on EPA per play on balls throwing twenty yards downfield.

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Speaker 4: Like he's been really impressive putting the ball downfield. If

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Speaker 4: that's the only real weakness this Houston defense, you expect

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Speaker 4: him to exploit it like that. I mean, we didn't

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Speaker 4: talk too much about the Pittsburgh game, but Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 4: he had guys downfield. He just didn't have the time, right,

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Speaker 4: he never had the time because he can't use his legs. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: I mean that one that stands out to you, same

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Speaker 4: to me is that he k metcalf.

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Speaker 2: Brutal change the game change then.

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Speaker 4: Be a touchdown, and then he didn't go to him

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Speaker 4: for about two quarters after that. So you know, looking

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Speaker 4: at this matchup throw aways for them to attack it

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Speaker 4: and uh if if the number scares you off terribly Honestly,

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Speaker 4: my biggest investment is once I heard those trends and

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Speaker 4: the numbers about the money line, I've really invested heavily

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Speaker 4: Newngland's money line. So once again, shop around, get the three.

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Speaker 4: You don't have to take the three and a half.

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Speaker 4: But we're stuck with a three and a half in

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Speaker 4: the contest. I don't hate it because we're having a

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Speaker 4: tough time finding the five here. But yeah, I think

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Speaker 4: this is a type of game where Patriots just roll,

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Speaker 4: not just offensively, defensively with Rabel and Houston. You know,

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Speaker 4: we've seen CJ struggle on the road. I think losing

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Speaker 4: Nikos is gonna be too much for him to overcome here.

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Speaker 4: So it's it's a really interesting matchup effect that this number.

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Speaker 4: I was sitting at three all week, and now we're

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Speaker 4: heading into Saturday here and it's it's finally getting professional money.

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Speaker 3: Get bumped at the minus three and a half I saw.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you know, as soon as we're done here,

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Speaker 1: I'm taking off to see the Indian Hoosiers playing the

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Speaker 1: National College Football Championship Game at the very cool and

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Speaker 1: be in this sports book. I'm going to be soaking

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Speaker 1: it all in. I'm going to be using the top

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Speaker 2: Be sure to check it out.

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Speaker 1: Can't wait to get down there, see folks at the

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Speaker 1: hard Rock Hotel in Casino, San Francisco, Seattle. The number

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Speaker 1: we just touched on it. We didn't go as deep

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Speaker 1: as we did into the total. Ricky Piersoll San Francisco

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Speaker 1: forty nine receiver is confident he's going to play. But

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Speaker 1: there's no George Kittle, there's no Trent Williams.

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Speaker 2: There could be real challenges for this running game.

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Speaker 1: However, the Darnold News has changed some of the calculus

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Speaker 1: on this simon. We didn't really dig deep on it,

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Speaker 1: but I think we can both say that we will

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Speaker 1: be on the Niners in this game. At plus seven

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Speaker 1: and a half. It's now at seven in the contest,

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Speaker 1: it's going to be at seven and a half.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I had a couple of ass right away. Is

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Speaker 4: this not like when we were heavily back in the

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Speaker 4: Seahawks against Carolina Panthers, right and that number one up

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Speaker 4: to eight, you know, minus eight at one point in

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Speaker 4: the Seahawks and they absolutely rolled that Panthers team.

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Speaker 3: And it's like, aren't you worried?

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Speaker 4: You guys are stepping in here with the Niners team

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Speaker 4: and you know, playoffs are very different.

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Speaker 3: We talk out the teams play so tight.

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Speaker 4: The only thing that's giving me some type of pause

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Speaker 4: would just be everyone I've talked to professionally and public

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Speaker 4: wise is on this Niners team. It feels like I

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Speaker 4: know some groups that cucharias and they're on the Seahawks,

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Speaker 4: but money wise, guys, I respect, it's all Niners right now.

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Speaker 3: So not shocked to see this one come down.

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Speaker 4: I'll hit you with the stab one more time that

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Speaker 4: I really love from Evan Road teams.

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Speaker 3: I missed the playoffs last year.

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Speaker 4: That are the dog that are a dog in the

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Speaker 4: divisional round twenty nine and fourteen, So sixty seven percent

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Speaker 4: against the spread since two thousand and three.

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Speaker 3: So we talk all the time.

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Speaker 4: It's usually a team that's a little underrated. This Niners

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Speaker 4: team is not that more people are comfortable betting them.

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Speaker 4: And you know, I gave out that stat. Shanahan basically

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Speaker 4: has been dominant, winning these games already three to zer

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Speaker 4: divisional round as a dog straight up, which is really impressive.

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Speaker 3: But I did see this, this crazy.

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Speaker 4: Stat basically about teams that were underdogs in a wildcard

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Speaker 4: round and now they're in the divisional round as an underdog.

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Speaker 4: Since two thousand and three, these teams are three and

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Speaker 4: twenty two straight up, thirteen and twelve against the spread.

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Speaker 4: So that goes for forty nine Ers Bills in Chicago.

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Speaker 4: So the three and twenty two straight up one really

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Speaker 4: jumped out to me, like maybe they cover, but it

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Speaker 4: just shows how winning these games back to back as.

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Speaker 3: A dog yeah, so hard.

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Speaker 4: It is so hard, which makes sense, right, especially on

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Speaker 4: the road for the Niners and this Bill and the Bills.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, for me, you know, I'm not gonna put

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Speaker 4: too much obviously on the money line here. Maybe I'll

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Speaker 4: pull that back a little bit, but on the plus

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Speaker 4: seven plus seven and a halfs I'm I'm happy to

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Speaker 4: walk right into it like this is. We might get

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Speaker 4: burned here, Chad, but long term this would be a winner,

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Speaker 4: right going for in the future we get to keep

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Speaker 4: going back to that where it's like, Okay, teams that

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Speaker 4: didn't make the playoffs the year before now big dogs

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Speaker 4: and division around, they just cover like historically they've covered

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Speaker 4: in this exact spot. So I know it's scary with

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Speaker 4: all the injuries. We've talked about it. Just third time

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Speaker 4: playing each other divisional game, you expect to be tight.

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Speaker 4: I just everything went wrong the last time they played, Like, yeah,

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Speaker 4: really did like that pick in the red zone when

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Speaker 4: the Caffrey that just does not happen with him, right,

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Speaker 4: So I really get into this one.

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Speaker 3: At the end of the day.

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Speaker 4: It's like, you know, talk all the time about not

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Speaker 4: overthinking this one. I'm trying to diver think it where

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Speaker 4: it's like, guys, we're getting a great number here, let's

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Speaker 4: take it, especially in contest. If it's seven and a half, Chad,

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Speaker 4: that's gonna be a real hard choice to pass on

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Speaker 4: that number.

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Speaker 2: I don't know that we can. Yeah, I'll be honest.

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Speaker 1: We talked about Houston, New England the side. But just

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Speaker 1: to be clear, we are on Houston, New England, and

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Speaker 1: the under if you can get the forty one, get it.

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Speaker 1: It's also at forty and a half below the key number.

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Speaker 1: I took it at forty and a half. This was

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Speaker 1: our brass balls. I think we're gonna have a hard

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Speaker 1: time leaving this one out of the contest too.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and I mean live that Seahawks game. We just

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Speaker 4: talked about Chad's Chad's favorite bet, the under. It is

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Speaker 4: now moving almost every book to forty four.

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Speaker 3: There we go, so.

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Speaker 4: Again this is I'm gonna lose my mind all day

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Speaker 4: because is this Sam Darnold movement?

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Speaker 3: Are we like?

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Speaker 4: I can't wait to get off this call and try

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Speaker 4: to find out more. And obviously I hire anything that

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Speaker 4: I can put out there. I would beforehand, but Shifter

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Speaker 4: will always beat me, beat me to the punch. That's

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Speaker 4: what does It gets paid millions dollars to do that.

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Speaker 4: But yeah, for this game, I haven't waivered at all.

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Speaker 4: I still love the under and once again it's another one.

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Speaker 4: I'm happy we got ahead of it. You know, just

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Speaker 4: because the Nico Collins it didn't move this.

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Speaker 3: By a point? Yeah, uh yeah to me.

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Speaker 4: If any game is stupid enough to go over with

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Speaker 4: some fluky plays, this would obviously be the game.

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Speaker 3: Right.

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Speaker 4: We have two defenses that can be beat beat by

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Speaker 4: deep balls. But I just I can't see CJ having

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Speaker 4: a career day here without his guy and Nico Kohen,

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Speaker 4: especially the fact that Christian Gonzalez is back, and he's

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Speaker 4: back with no visual effects.

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Speaker 3: Right.

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Speaker 4: They said he is totally cleared, didn't have any sleep

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Speaker 4: issues or anything like that, So huge deal to know.

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Speaker 4: The Gonzales is gonna be locking down half the field

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Speaker 4: here against an already banged up and weak Houston team.

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Speaker 4: And you know Houston also might have an injury to

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Speaker 4: the offensive line, So can Milton Williams take advantage of that?

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Speaker 3: We'll see.

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Speaker 4: But Patriots, as bad as their past rush I thought

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Speaker 4: was against the Chargers last week, I thought their coverage

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Speaker 4: was excellent. So I'm really excited to see this defensive

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00:17:34,880 --> 00:17:36,199
Speaker 4: matchups with both these guys.

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Speaker 2: Rams minus four at Chicago. Here's a great stat for you.

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Speaker 1: Forty years ago this week, the Chicago Bears last played

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Speaker 1: in Los Angeles Rams in the playoffs. I was at

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Speaker 1: that game with my buddy Matt. Matt and I will

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Speaker 1: be watching the game together in much warmer conditions than

385
00:18:02,480 --> 00:18:06,720
Speaker 1: we did that day in Chicago watching it from Miami.

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Speaker 1: Back then, it was the monster of the Midway Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl Shuffle, Chicago Bears who completely dominated the Rams, and they.

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00:18:15,080 --> 00:18:17,760
Speaker 2: Were favorites, Bears underdogs here.

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00:18:18,080 --> 00:18:23,160
Speaker 1: But it's gonna be icy, it's gonna be conditions. I'm

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00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:26,719
Speaker 1: getting pictures from friends of the George Halla statue outside

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00:18:26,800 --> 00:18:29,320
Speaker 1: Jolder Field just covered in snow.

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Speaker 2: What are we doing here?

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00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:36,680
Speaker 3: I know what I'm doing.

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00:18:36,760 --> 00:18:40,720
Speaker 4: I'm definitely stilling this Rams team and for full game,

395
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Speaker 4: I'm doing it Bove. My bigger bets I've talked about

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Speaker 4: my positions are the Rams first half.

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Speaker 3: It's mine two and a half. Now. I believe in

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Speaker 3: obviously the under for the first half.

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00:18:49,680 --> 00:18:52,440
Speaker 4: So you know, I'm a little gun shy to see

400
00:18:52,480 --> 00:18:54,240
Speaker 4: with this old Bears second half.

401
00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:57,679
Speaker 3: They burned me for so much money last week, but

402
00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:01,640
Speaker 3: we talked about it. I know lightning doesn't strike.

403
00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:06,080
Speaker 4: Twice, but if they're down fourteen and a half, you

404
00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:08,000
Speaker 4: gotta throw a little bit on the Bear's money line

405
00:19:08,000 --> 00:19:09,920
Speaker 4: once again. I mean, they just they keep this is

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Speaker 4: who they are right at this point. You can't deny it.

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00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:15,240
Speaker 4: What is that number was that number.

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Speaker 3: Eight or nine. Come back within when the last two

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Speaker 3: minutes of a game like something.

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00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:21,240
Speaker 1: Sevin Well that you say, lightning doesn't strike twice for

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00:19:21,320 --> 00:19:24,840
Speaker 1: the Bears. Lightning is struck seven times this year because

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Speaker 1: they've come back.

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00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:27,040
Speaker 3: It is who they are, That's what I mean.

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Speaker 1: They've come back with two minutes down, two minutes left

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Speaker 1: in the game seven times NFL record. To your point, though,

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Speaker 1: we owe people lay Rock in a Hard Place Bet

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Speaker 3: Beat a rock.

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Speaker 1: We're going a little bit off the board here. We've

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Speaker 1: is going to be the Rams in Chicago.

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00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:55,520
Speaker 2: The first half under.

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00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:58,320
Speaker 1: We liked it at twenty five and a half on Tuesday,

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00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:01,119
Speaker 1: it's a twenty three and a half. We're still recommending

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00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:04,960
Speaker 1: you take the under at twenty three and a half.

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450
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451
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460
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465
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466
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Speaker 1: and Virginia.

467
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Speaker 2: All right, brother, listen, I'm leaving the last one up

468
00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:08,000
Speaker 2: to you.

469
00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:11,960
Speaker 1: I think we're locked in on Seattle, San Francisco under

470
00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:13,880
Speaker 1: forty five and a half in the contest.

471
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:15,320
Speaker 2: San Francisco plus seven and.

472
00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:18,439
Speaker 1: A half New England minus three and a half and

473
00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:20,560
Speaker 1: the total in the New England Houston game, which is

474
00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:24,200
Speaker 1: forty and a half. I'm sort of at a loss

475
00:22:24,240 --> 00:22:27,520
Speaker 1: on the other games. I know you love the Rams,

476
00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:30,520
Speaker 1: so it's at four and a half in the contest.

477
00:22:31,280 --> 00:22:34,080
Speaker 1: We can also get forty eight and a half on

478
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:36,280
Speaker 1: the total in that game. Or do we just go

479
00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:39,600
Speaker 1: off the board with Buffalo and Denver and take the

480
00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:42,960
Speaker 1: over in that game, even though I don't like anything

481
00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:43,560
Speaker 1: in that game.

482
00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:48,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, like we talked the forty nine ers one we

483
00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:51,120
Speaker 4: both love. I get all those stats, right, I think

484
00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:53,360
Speaker 4: it was pretty four and zero against the spread straight

485
00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:56,359
Speaker 4: up in his career, he's never lost in Seattle, winning

486
00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:59,080
Speaker 4: those games like ten points per game, so it's he's

487
00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:02,000
Speaker 4: obviously been dominant and when he goes up there, bruck pretty.

488
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:05,520
Speaker 4: But yeah, for that that Bill's Denver game. You know

489
00:23:05,560 --> 00:23:08,639
Speaker 4: I gave you those stats. It's really really hard to

490
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:11,399
Speaker 4: win back to back playoff games all on the road,

491
00:23:11,680 --> 00:23:14,199
Speaker 4: especially when you have a banged up team, so it

492
00:23:14,280 --> 00:23:16,440
Speaker 4: stinks for us. I wish I could dig in more

493
00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 4: and be heavy on Denver, but the Josh Allen effect,

494
00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:20,880
Speaker 4: I think both of us it just scared us off,

495
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:23,480
Speaker 4: but I am obviously still on the Denver side. Yeah,

496
00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:26,160
Speaker 4: if you want to go with the over in that game,

497
00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:28,480
Speaker 4: I could support it. But to me, if I had

498
00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:31,199
Speaker 4: to give out the five, I like I would do

499
00:23:31,320 --> 00:23:33,480
Speaker 4: forty nine ers plus seven and a half. I'll do

500
00:23:33,520 --> 00:23:36,040
Speaker 4: the under with you. I'd want to do Patriots mine

501
00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:37,639
Speaker 4: three and a half. I'll take the under with you

502
00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:40,440
Speaker 4: in that one as well. And for the last one,

503
00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:43,439
Speaker 4: if I had to stick it in, I guess I

504
00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:48,480
Speaker 4: would go Rams over Denver here, just because at the

505
00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:50,159
Speaker 4: end of the day, I won't hate myself for if

506
00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:53,160
Speaker 4: I lose on Stafford against Caleb. Where if we lose

507
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:56,720
Speaker 4: in the contest cause I took bo Nicks over Josh Allen,

508
00:23:57,480 --> 00:23:59,800
Speaker 4: Yeah I would. I could see the fans absolutely crushing me.

509
00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:01,879
Speaker 4: So that's where I'm at with that one. It's like

510
00:24:01,880 --> 00:24:04,320
Speaker 4: I feel good, I feel good. Kind of hate both

511
00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:06,520
Speaker 4: of them, but that's how it is. We're you're at

512
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:08,760
Speaker 4: this time of year. It's hard not to have the

513
00:24:08,800 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 4: fan in us. I think both fans of US want

514
00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:13,040
Speaker 4: the Bears and the Bills to both win.

515
00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:15,119
Speaker 3: Yeah, but that's the tough part here.

516
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,800
Speaker 4: I'm trying not to make let that filter in here,

517
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:19,720
Speaker 4: So I'm gonna leave it up to you, buddy, would

518
00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:21,080
Speaker 4: you rather do Denver or La.

519
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:23,600
Speaker 2: We're gonna go with the Rams.

520
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:26,119
Speaker 1: I hate it, but it's this like I don't have

521
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:29,200
Speaker 1: any like I don't have any feeling on.

522
00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:30,480
Speaker 2: The Bills and the Broncos.

523
00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:33,400
Speaker 1: I don't love the number. I don't want to bet

524
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:36,040
Speaker 1: against Josh Allen, but it's a bad situation.

525
00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:39,639
Speaker 2: Whereas the Bears, I could see them winning.

526
00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:42,440
Speaker 1: And if if I lose this game because the Bears one,

527
00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:45,560
Speaker 1: I've emotionally hedged, I'm totally fine.

528
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:48,520
Speaker 2: I feel really good about other four picks.

529
00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:53,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, and again people have asked, obviously it might feel

530
00:24:53,240 --> 00:24:55,800
Speaker 4: like the sucker bet of the day, but the Bills,

531
00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:57,240
Speaker 4: you can tease them up to seven and a half.

532
00:24:57,320 --> 00:24:59,200
Speaker 4: I get it, like I've thrown them in a bunch

533
00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:01,120
Speaker 4: of bets as well, even heavy on the Denver side,

534
00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:03,760
Speaker 4: it's just is Josh Allen, we're gonna get blown up

535
00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:06,240
Speaker 4: by bon Nix. That feels like something that can't actually

536
00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:10,920
Speaker 4: happen here. But yeah, the you know these lines jet

537
00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:15,040
Speaker 4: like we toalk the time, they're really tough here. But yeah,

538
00:25:15,080 --> 00:25:17,760
Speaker 4: I'm happy we're going the ramsh that Denver pick all.

539
00:25:17,760 --> 00:25:21,480
Speaker 1: Right, So we got Seattle and the Rams under forty

540
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:24,720
Speaker 1: five and a half. We got the Niners plus seven

541
00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:27,879
Speaker 1: and a half, the Patriots minus three and a half,

542
00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:32,080
Speaker 1: the under in the Houston Patriots game forty and a half,

543
00:25:32,359 --> 00:25:35,040
Speaker 1: and the Rams minus four and a half.

544
00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:38,880
Speaker 2: Those are our official five picks. Those have been submitted.

545
00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:42,119
Speaker 1: This has been Sharper Square, part of the Volume podcast network.

546
00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:43,200
Speaker 2: We will be back.

547
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:49,120
Speaker 1: On Sharper Square on Sunday nights after the Bears Rams game.

548
00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:51,119
Speaker 1: We'll recap a lot of misery and I'll be prepping

549
00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:53,680
Speaker 1: for the Indiana Who's res in the National title game

550
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:54,119
Speaker 1: on Monday.

551
00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:55,879
Speaker 2: Watch or listen on YouTube at Sharper Square.

552
00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:59,000
Speaker 1: Like this video, subscribe to the channel, Download us from Spotify,

553
00:25:59,040 --> 00:26:02,040
Speaker 1: Apple Pods, wherever you get your pods, rate review.

554
00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:04,879
Speaker 2: Subscribe, webus five stars. Say whatever you want. Feedback is

555
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:07,919
Speaker 2: a gift. Until next time. I Love you.

556
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:12,600
Speaker 1: The road to the Super Bowl filled with unexpected twists

557
00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:14,600
Speaker 1: and turns, detours and

558
00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:19,000
Speaker 4: Shattering collisions, but the final prize makes the trip worth

559
00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:19,280
Speaker 4: one