1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:04,000 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside 2 00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:05,280 Speaker 1: my co host Matt Miller. 3 00:00:05,640 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 2: Every business day, we bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros, 4 00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 2: and Bloomberg experts, along with essential market moving news. 5 00:00:14,160 --> 00:00:17,279 Speaker 1: Find the Bloomberg Markets Podcast on Apple Podcasts or wherever 6 00:00:17,400 --> 00:00:20,000 Speaker 1: you listen to podcasts, and at Bloomberg dot com slash 7 00:00:20,040 --> 00:00:22,639 Speaker 1: podcast at Miller Paul Sweeney live here in a Bloomberg 8 00:00:22,680 --> 00:00:25,799 Speaker 1: Interactive Brokers studio. John is just reporting on American Express 9 00:00:25,800 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 1: AXP blockbuster numbers beat estimates, looks like a record quarter. 10 00:00:30,400 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 1: Stocks down to four percent, So I'm sure the market 11 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:34,879 Speaker 1: Maybe I guess didn't link the guidance here. Let's check 12 00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:38,199 Speaker 1: with somebody who actually knows this stuff, Ben Elliott. He's 13 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:41,960 Speaker 1: an analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence covering in the consumer financials 14 00:00:42,360 --> 00:00:44,640 Speaker 1: and that includes American Express. Ben, thanks so much for 15 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 1: joining us here. What's the takeaway from our good friends 16 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:49,159 Speaker 1: at American Express? 17 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 3: Look, Paul, Amex is still the best card company to 18 00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 3: own if you're gonna be interested in this space. But 19 00:00:55,880 --> 00:00:59,360 Speaker 3: you know, the macro fears are winning on the entire industry. 20 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:04,560 Speaker 3: You know they're they're essentially plays on GDP, and with 21 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:07,880 Speaker 3: people afraid of a recession to come, you know, MX 22 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:10,279 Speaker 3: can't kind of escape what's weighing down the entire sector, 23 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:12,959 Speaker 3: even though they're probably twice as good as their nearest peer. 24 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 2: In what sense are they twice as good? You mean 25 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:20,119 Speaker 2: in terms of profit margins, in terms of returning money 26 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:25,040 Speaker 2: to investors, in terms of you know what, growing the 27 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 2: top line? 28 00:01:25,880 --> 00:01:27,119 Speaker 4: How are they so much better? 29 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:29,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean basically everything you mentioned. 30 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:30,520 Speaker 5: They're running. 31 00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:34,400 Speaker 3: Loan growth runs well above peers, charge offs run less 32 00:01:34,440 --> 00:01:37,920 Speaker 3: than half the rate of their peers. You know, ROE 33 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:39,720 Speaker 3: in the in the mid to high thirties, which is 34 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:45,399 Speaker 3: really the envy of everyone in the card industry. So 35 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:47,400 Speaker 3: if you have to kind of bet on one, and 36 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 3: really the core of MX is the super premium consumer base. 37 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 3: You know, these are people paying seven hundred dollars a 38 00:01:53,320 --> 00:01:55,560 Speaker 3: year to swipe their Platinum card. So if you have 39 00:01:55,640 --> 00:01:57,760 Speaker 3: to bet on one group of consumers doing well in 40 00:01:57,760 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 3: a recession, it would be MS cardholders. 41 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:05,920 Speaker 1: See, I'm I stick with the classic green card. Not many, dude, No, 42 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 1: I mean I'm classic old school green AMEX. 43 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 4: That still has cachet for me. 44 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 2: I got the Platinum card with little flowers painted on it. 45 00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 2: They may be painted. And I felt so special until 46 00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:22,440 Speaker 2: I read this story that they've got. They've attracted new 47 00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:26,080 Speaker 2: cardholders at like a record pace in the top tier, 48 00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 2: And actually I already felt this. I already feel this 49 00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:32,600 Speaker 2: when I go to the America Express Platinum Lounge at 50 00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 2: the airport and there are more people trying to get 51 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:39,920 Speaker 2: in the Platinum lounge than like going to McDonald's. You know, 52 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:44,880 Speaker 2: it's it's like, I don't feel at all special anymore. 53 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:45,720 Speaker 2: Is that a problem? 54 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:49,480 Speaker 5: You think, Well, here's the other side of that. That's for. 55 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 3: The other side of that equation, Matt, is that they 56 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 3: spend a massive amount of money on marketing five and 57 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:58,280 Speaker 3: a half billion this year, targeting the same next year, 58 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:02,440 Speaker 3: and you know, they have to provide benefits to their 59 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:04,960 Speaker 3: customers to keep signing up new cards at the rate 60 00:03:04,960 --> 00:03:07,919 Speaker 3: they've been doing. So their their card fees, which are 61 00:03:08,680 --> 00:03:10,800 Speaker 3: really a key part of key a key earnings lever. 62 00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:14,359 Speaker 3: Over the last year, growth there slowing. So I think 63 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 3: some of some of what you're seeing in the market 64 00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:20,040 Speaker 3: today is probably seeing some of these key growth areas 65 00:03:20,680 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 3: coming starting to slow. 66 00:03:22,120 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 1: What's a difference, if any bend between a you know, 67 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:28,160 Speaker 1: an Amex card holder and a VISA cardholder, is there 68 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:31,440 Speaker 1: different spending? I guess levels trends. 69 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:32,440 Speaker 4: How do you think about that? 70 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, so Amex is very focused on travel and entertainment. 71 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:40,720 Speaker 3: Both of those things have lagged in the post pandemic recovery. 72 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:43,560 Speaker 3: So that's kind of given MS these sort of long 73 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:47,120 Speaker 3: legs to do better over the last couple of quarters. 74 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 3: And some of their peers who are more focused on 75 00:03:49,200 --> 00:03:52,280 Speaker 3: you know, every day spend good and services gas stations 76 00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:55,560 Speaker 3: for instance. So you know you saw a Discover report 77 00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 3: a couple of days ago. Their provisions almost doubled, and 78 00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:02,240 Speaker 3: that's kind of reflecting their middle market consumer who's really 79 00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 3: being hit by UH inflation at the gas pump. UH 80 00:04:05,760 --> 00:04:08,320 Speaker 3: And and for the most part, MS customers are not 81 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 3: hit by that. You know, they're out there buying Taylor 82 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:13,680 Speaker 3: Swift concert tickets, you know, traveling to Europe, those kinds 83 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 3: of things, all right, To. 84 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:16,839 Speaker 1: Be honest, the only time I use my MX card 85 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:19,480 Speaker 1: really just want to use my corporate MX for business travel. 86 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:21,560 Speaker 4: What's Amex. 87 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:26,479 Speaker 2: That's because Paul walks around in the world with a 88 00:04:26,560 --> 00:04:29,880 Speaker 2: giant roll of cash. I'm not joking, right, So he 89 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 2: always has like a ton of Benjamins in his pocket. Still, okay, 90 00:04:34,279 --> 00:04:36,160 Speaker 2: you just set him up to be most when walking. 91 00:04:37,440 --> 00:04:39,360 Speaker 2: It's unusual, is my point. Not everybody. 92 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:41,160 Speaker 5: Why don't you describe them? 93 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:42,719 Speaker 6: Look at people exactly. 94 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 1: I'll be walking out of the office at one o 95 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:48,480 Speaker 1: five today, So Ben, what are they saying about business, travel, 96 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 1: business spend? 97 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:50,839 Speaker 5: UH? 98 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:53,160 Speaker 3: So business is people think of it as sort of 99 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:56,600 Speaker 3: a core part of MX's UH customer base, but it's, 100 00:04:57,839 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 3: you know, an increasingly less relevant part nowadays. The biggest 101 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:05,880 Speaker 3: growth engine is the US card business, and a third 102 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 3: of that is millennials and gen Z's really so, you know, 103 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:12,080 Speaker 3: MX is forward thinking. You know, they're still serving their 104 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:15,159 Speaker 3: corporate customers, but it's not sort of a key part 105 00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:17,960 Speaker 3: of the value proposition anymore on the growth side as 106 00:05:17,960 --> 00:05:18,559 Speaker 3: they look forward. 107 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 2: I mean, it's not the so in the past when 108 00:05:23,400 --> 00:05:25,880 Speaker 2: you wanted the ultimate credit card, You've got the American 109 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:31,080 Speaker 2: Expressed Platinum card. Right now they are these there's this 110 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:34,719 Speaker 2: whole line of Sapphire cards which are I think visas 111 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:39,160 Speaker 2: are MasterCard. But you know other banks have offered competing products. 112 00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:41,719 Speaker 2: Do you see competition hotting up against MS? 113 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:44,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, competition is is huge. It's always been huge in 114 00:05:44,920 --> 00:05:48,200 Speaker 3: the space, especially a sort of top wallet share. You know, 115 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:52,719 Speaker 3: every every card company is opening an airline lounge, so 116 00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:55,479 Speaker 3: you know, it's been the case for the last twenty years. 117 00:05:55,520 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 3: Everyone's always calling out MS saying they're catching up. 118 00:05:58,160 --> 00:05:58,840 Speaker 5: They're catching up. 119 00:05:59,440 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 3: But you know, the they do the necessary investment every year. 120 00:06:02,360 --> 00:06:03,960 Speaker 3: They're going to spend five and a half billion again 121 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:07,400 Speaker 3: next year, and their card is on about a three 122 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:11,280 Speaker 3: year refresh cycle, so you know, in the next year 123 00:06:11,360 --> 00:06:13,839 Speaker 3: or two we're coming up probably on another refresh we'll 124 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:16,520 Speaker 3: see them, if anything, add to the value proposition and 125 00:06:16,560 --> 00:06:17,440 Speaker 3: probably raise the fee. 126 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:20,440 Speaker 2: The shares are at a three year refresh cycle. I mean, 127 00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:22,720 Speaker 2: we're right where we were at the beginning of twenty one. 128 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:24,600 Speaker 2: Are they going to move higher? 129 00:06:26,279 --> 00:06:26,520 Speaker 5: Yeah? 130 00:06:26,560 --> 00:06:30,560 Speaker 3: So amex is still quite fully valued relative to their peers. 131 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 3: They're trading about four x book, which is way out 132 00:06:34,160 --> 00:06:35,760 Speaker 3: of line with the one and a half x of 133 00:06:36,200 --> 00:06:39,800 Speaker 3: the peer group and their thirteen fourteen x price to earnings. 134 00:06:40,160 --> 00:06:41,920 Speaker 3: So I think some of the pressure you're seeing there is. Yeah, 135 00:06:41,920 --> 00:06:44,080 Speaker 3: they've set ambitious growth targets and they've met them over 136 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 3: the last couple of years, but you can only grow 137 00:06:46,440 --> 00:06:48,600 Speaker 3: so fast off of big base. So I think the 138 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:52,040 Speaker 3: market is getting a little bit skeptical of the ten 139 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:55,240 Speaker 3: percent revenue growth target in the forward years, and so 140 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:57,279 Speaker 3: I think that's what you're seeing reflected in the stock today. 141 00:06:57,480 --> 00:06:59,839 Speaker 1: All right, Ben, thanks so much for joining us. Ben Elliott, 142 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:04,360 Speaker 1: he covers all the consumer financial companies for Bloomberg Intelligence's 143 00:07:04,400 --> 00:07:07,760 Speaker 1: based down in Washington, DC. Amex put up some big, 144 00:07:07,800 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 1: big numbers. Stocks off about three or four percent. Though 145 00:07:10,760 --> 00:07:13,400 Speaker 1: you know, maybe John Tucker suggestive, you know, by the rumor, 146 00:07:13,400 --> 00:07:15,560 Speaker 1: sell the news, or maybe the guidance here probably. 147 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:17,480 Speaker 4: Was a little bit less than stellar. 148 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 6: You're listening to the team Ken's are Live program Bloomberg 149 00:07:22,080 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 6: Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern. 150 00:07:24,120 --> 00:07:27,040 Speaker 5: On Bloomberg dot com, the iHeartRadio. 151 00:07:26,440 --> 00:07:29,240 Speaker 6: App, and the Bloomberg Business app, or listen on demand 152 00:07:29,240 --> 00:07:30,840 Speaker 6: wherever you get your podcasts. 153 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 1: All right, listening to FED Chairman j Pal yesterday at 154 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:38,360 Speaker 1: the Economic Club of New York in his speech and 155 00:07:38,400 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 1: then in his fireside chat with Bloomberg's David Weston, I 156 00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:43,040 Speaker 1: came away and I think the market came away with 157 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 1: all Right, the FED is going to stay on hold here, 158 00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:50,040 Speaker 1: but they're also keeping future hikes on the table. That 159 00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:51,560 Speaker 1: seemed to be the message, and that seemed to be 160 00:07:51,600 --> 00:07:55,320 Speaker 1: the consistent message. Let's see if it's if it's the 161 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:58,640 Speaker 1: same message that the good folks at City are talking about. 162 00:07:58,760 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 1: Steven Whiting, he's a chief investment strategists at City Global. 163 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:05,119 Speaker 1: Well so Steve, And again it appears that this federal 164 00:08:05,160 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 1: reserve is comfortable worth where we are on rates here, 165 00:08:07,840 --> 00:08:10,320 Speaker 1: maybe even another rate hike on the table. Is that 166 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:12,440 Speaker 1: how you guys are thinking about it over there at Citygroup. 167 00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:17,080 Speaker 7: I think that was the message of Chairman Powell. He 168 00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:20,920 Speaker 7: acknowledged that we're making progress. Of course, he pointed to 169 00:08:21,200 --> 00:08:24,640 Speaker 7: backward looking inflation is still too high. It's always kind 170 00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:28,320 Speaker 7: of difficult to have core inflation at two percent when 171 00:08:28,400 --> 00:08:31,120 Speaker 7: shelter price inflation is still about seven and a half percent. 172 00:08:31,640 --> 00:08:35,320 Speaker 7: That's forty five percent of the core. So the you know, 173 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 7: the issue is he's acknowledging the progress, and he's especially 174 00:08:39,440 --> 00:08:42,160 Speaker 7: acknowledging that some of these softer measures of the tightness 175 00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:46,280 Speaker 7: of the labor market have come off, that the forward 176 00:08:46,280 --> 00:08:50,120 Speaker 7: looking signs are weaker, and that the Fed is already 177 00:08:50,120 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 7: at a restrictive policy stance, and it gets more restrictive 178 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:56,720 Speaker 7: every month with quantitative tightening. So I think that again 179 00:08:56,760 --> 00:08:59,640 Speaker 7: there he's really trying to say that, yes, we've achieved 180 00:08:59,640 --> 00:09:01,760 Speaker 7: a lot, but we're not going to take it for 181 00:09:01,840 --> 00:09:06,520 Speaker 7: granted that we are absolutely done. So he's not taking 182 00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:09,760 Speaker 7: that notion out that the Fed still has the option 183 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:10,680 Speaker 7: of tightening further. 184 00:09:11,520 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 2: I mean, if they're restrictive now, I would hate to 185 00:09:14,840 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 2: see what it really what it really looks like when 186 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:19,920 Speaker 2: they get tight I mean, five point four percent growth 187 00:09:20,000 --> 00:09:24,240 Speaker 2: is what we're seeing in the Atlanta now GDP forecast. 188 00:09:25,200 --> 00:09:29,120 Speaker 7: Well, that's that's you know, indicative of the year. No, 189 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:31,920 Speaker 7: it's no, it's it's it's really indicative quarter to quarter 190 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:35,000 Speaker 7: volatility of the economy. And you know, no, we're not 191 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:37,320 Speaker 7: in the environment where we were in twenty twenty, where 192 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:40,480 Speaker 7: we had plus or minus thirty percent quarter to quarter GDP. 193 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 7: But you know, I think a lot of things have 194 00:09:44,480 --> 00:09:47,440 Speaker 7: surprised to be upside. We've raised our economic forecast as 195 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:49,600 Speaker 7: of August by a full one and a half percent 196 00:09:49,679 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 7: for the year. What's the striking part of all of this? 197 00:09:53,640 --> 00:09:56,079 Speaker 2: What are you what are your forecasts for the year, Stephen, 198 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 2: I mean. 199 00:09:57,720 --> 00:09:59,840 Speaker 7: For full year yeah, two three for full year GDP 200 00:10:00,400 --> 00:10:04,000 Speaker 7: slowing about a half percentage point at about one to 201 00:10:04,080 --> 00:10:08,080 Speaker 7: eight in the coming year, and if anything, it could 202 00:10:08,080 --> 00:10:10,320 Speaker 7: be a little bit more attenuated, the sort of the 203 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:14,280 Speaker 7: strength and the slowdown a little bit. The really striking 204 00:10:14,320 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 7: thing about the economy is that in the year past 205 00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:21,560 Speaker 7: the growth rate of employment exceeded the growth rate of 206 00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:24,320 Speaker 7: GDP by the most since nineteen seventy four. 207 00:10:24,960 --> 00:10:25,600 Speaker 5: Not a good year. 208 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:30,679 Speaker 7: Wow, right, So profits have fallen, We've gone through what 209 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:33,400 Speaker 7: I would say is in the manufacturing and trade sectors 210 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:36,079 Speaker 7: and components of the housing sector. We've already gone through 211 00:10:36,760 --> 00:10:39,880 Speaker 7: a recessionary adjustment at least a mild wine, and yet 212 00:10:39,920 --> 00:10:43,800 Speaker 7: employment growth has been this strong. I think that changes 213 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:46,320 Speaker 7: in the coming year, and that we're likely to get 214 00:10:46,400 --> 00:10:49,640 Speaker 7: some rebound in profits while headcount is going to be 215 00:10:49,640 --> 00:10:52,920 Speaker 7: a lot more stable. So I think that's the optimistic 216 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:57,040 Speaker 7: call for rates. If we just continue to see regardless 217 00:10:57,080 --> 00:11:01,120 Speaker 7: of what how the economy does, regardless of tightening monetary policy, 218 00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:04,560 Speaker 7: employment still rages on, well, then you still have the 219 00:11:04,640 --> 00:11:07,520 Speaker 7: existing problems that markets have now in market and not 220 00:11:07,679 --> 00:11:08,959 Speaker 7: knowing where the top is on rates. 221 00:11:09,080 --> 00:11:10,880 Speaker 2: But do you think that turns around, Steven? I mean, 222 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:14,080 Speaker 2: if employment growth was stronger than economic growth in the 223 00:11:14,120 --> 00:11:17,440 Speaker 2: past year. In the next year, as economic growth slows down, 224 00:11:17,520 --> 00:11:21,760 Speaker 2: does employment growth take a leg even lower than that? 225 00:11:22,120 --> 00:11:23,080 Speaker 2: I mean, do we start I. 226 00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:24,680 Speaker 7: Think we're headed to a jobs recovery. 227 00:11:25,000 --> 00:11:25,200 Speaker 5: Yeah. 228 00:11:25,200 --> 00:11:27,720 Speaker 7: I think we're headed to a period in which, you know, 229 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:30,480 Speaker 7: there's no v in the economy, there's no collapse in 230 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:33,920 Speaker 7: everything everywhere, all at once that everybody's waiting for, like 231 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:36,160 Speaker 7: twenty twenty, where it's as clear as day it can 232 00:11:36,200 --> 00:11:40,080 Speaker 7: only get better. It's not that, but employment growth, just 233 00:11:40,200 --> 00:11:44,240 Speaker 7: the industry composition of employment growth, the recovery and services 234 00:11:44,440 --> 00:11:49,679 Speaker 7: which took a depression, strange imposed depression in industries that 235 00:11:49,840 --> 00:11:55,320 Speaker 7: normally don't even fire people. That rebound in services really 236 00:11:55,440 --> 00:11:58,839 Speaker 7: drove that outperformance of the labor market. And I think 237 00:11:58,840 --> 00:12:01,960 Speaker 7: it's going to slow. And at the same time, you know, 238 00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:05,280 Speaker 7: there are areas that are just long cycle multi family 239 00:12:05,320 --> 00:12:08,320 Speaker 7: construction for example. Now, construction is an industry that normally 240 00:12:08,400 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 7: has you know, double digit gains and losses around recessions. 241 00:12:12,320 --> 00:12:16,720 Speaker 7: It's only slow, and that's despite a twenty one percent 242 00:12:16,800 --> 00:12:19,840 Speaker 7: drop in residential investment. But what's happened here is the 243 00:12:19,960 --> 00:12:24,960 Speaker 7: longer cycle components of construction, multifamily housing, which takes three 244 00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:29,480 Speaker 7: years of construction time, four years of planning. Well, activity 245 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:33,000 Speaker 7: right now is still demanding a lot of labor, and 246 00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:36,600 Speaker 7: it's at a record high share of total construction activity, 247 00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:38,679 Speaker 7: So that is going to come off. And I think 248 00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:41,959 Speaker 7: everyone assumes that there's been this really short policy leg Hey, 249 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:44,040 Speaker 7: everybody can get used to the FED quickly. That might 250 00:12:44,080 --> 00:12:45,960 Speaker 7: be the true in financial markets, but it's not true 251 00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:48,320 Speaker 7: in the economy. So I think we're headed for a 252 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:52,160 Speaker 7: slower labor market in the coming year, you know, despite 253 00:12:52,160 --> 00:12:54,800 Speaker 7: the fact that profits down in the last year will 254 00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:57,360 Speaker 7: probably recover a little less than consensus, but they're on 255 00:12:57,400 --> 00:12:58,600 Speaker 7: their way up, all. 256 00:12:58,559 --> 00:13:02,920 Speaker 1: Right, Steven, Given that economic backdrop, what's the investment call 257 00:13:03,000 --> 00:13:04,800 Speaker 1: coming out of city these days? What are you telling 258 00:13:04,840 --> 00:13:05,400 Speaker 1: clients to do? 259 00:13:06,520 --> 00:13:07,079 Speaker 5: Well? 260 00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:10,920 Speaker 7: You know, look, I think this current period of greater 261 00:13:11,120 --> 00:13:16,400 Speaker 7: concern about security is something we can't dispute everyone. We 262 00:13:16,440 --> 00:13:21,280 Speaker 7: can't tell everyone. Are we certain that there's no widespread conflict. 263 00:13:21,920 --> 00:13:24,800 Speaker 7: History shows that in more than ninety percent of cases 264 00:13:24,800 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 7: that is true. We're not going to change and create 265 00:13:27,679 --> 00:13:31,000 Speaker 7: a turning point for the world over regional security issues. 266 00:13:31,720 --> 00:13:34,480 Speaker 7: I think for the equities markets, everyone has said, well, 267 00:13:34,600 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 7: you know, if we don't know where the top is 268 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:40,960 Speaker 7: in rates and oil, then we have issues, but broadly speaking, 269 00:13:41,000 --> 00:13:44,800 Speaker 7: we've restored value in both stocks and bonds. We've restored 270 00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:47,920 Speaker 7: again near record high real interest rates. If you look 271 00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:51,319 Speaker 7: at tips markets again, two and a half percent government 272 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:55,960 Speaker 7: guaranteed bond yields plus inflation compensation. Think about that six 273 00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:59,640 Speaker 7: percent corporate bonds. Now here's another one. Small and MidCap 274 00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:02,800 Speaker 7: growth companies, those with good balance sheets and profits, not 275 00:14:02,880 --> 00:14:05,360 Speaker 7: the ones that have levered up for treating about thirty 276 00:14:05,360 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 7: percent below their long term valuation average, down by a 277 00:14:09,520 --> 00:14:12,680 Speaker 7: fifteen PE multiple. So we started to add there, not 278 00:14:12,760 --> 00:14:15,320 Speaker 7: taking a whole lot of aggregate risk, but it's time 279 00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:17,120 Speaker 7: to recognize those growth opportunities. 280 00:14:17,720 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 2: We don't see a lot of bargains. Dewey steven because 281 00:14:20,120 --> 00:14:22,320 Speaker 2: I hear torson Slock. I think a couple of days 282 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:27,360 Speaker 2: ago sent out a PE for the Magnificent seven Yes, 283 00:14:27,400 --> 00:14:30,400 Speaker 2: which was like forty five, and for the S and 284 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:33,400 Speaker 2: P four hundred and ninety three, which was still nineteen. 285 00:14:34,800 --> 00:14:38,360 Speaker 2: Now I've heard others say it's more like sixteen, but 286 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:42,720 Speaker 2: it's it's not below terribly below the historical average. And 287 00:14:42,760 --> 00:14:46,840 Speaker 2: then in terms of credit, you don't see spreads wide 288 00:14:47,280 --> 00:14:49,160 Speaker 2: you know, they're still pretty tight. 289 00:14:50,800 --> 00:14:54,400 Speaker 7: Well, this is again the reason why we're not investing 290 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:57,400 Speaker 7: along the lines of just adding S and P five hundred. 291 00:14:57,720 --> 00:15:00,360 Speaker 7: You know, for large cap exposure, we're doing equal late 292 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:04,960 Speaker 7: SMP and we're overweighting again within a neutral global allocation. 293 00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:09,080 Speaker 7: For small MidCap companies, you know, we found true bargains 294 00:15:09,360 --> 00:15:13,160 Speaker 7: and small and mid cap growth companies fifteen times. The 295 00:15:13,200 --> 00:15:16,160 Speaker 7: long term average PE for the sector is twenty one times. 296 00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:19,320 Speaker 7: That's not Russell two thousand. Again, that's again companies that 297 00:15:19,360 --> 00:15:21,560 Speaker 7: have grown their earnings about twelve percent per year for 298 00:15:21,560 --> 00:15:25,280 Speaker 7: the last ten years, and largely exclude things like banks 299 00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:27,760 Speaker 7: that have levered up in the small cap area. So 300 00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:31,600 Speaker 7: it's being more specific than I think just saying the 301 00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:35,600 Speaker 7: market our return OLOOP is moderate. I think at this point, 302 00:15:35,840 --> 00:15:40,560 Speaker 7: if we're right about inflation coming down, rates peaking, and 303 00:15:40,600 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 7: profits starting to bottom again, it's not going to be 304 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 7: twelve percent EPs growth like the consensus. Thanks we're at four. 305 00:15:47,400 --> 00:15:49,680 Speaker 7: We still think again the broader markets will have a 306 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:53,880 Speaker 7: positive return. But some of these valuation opportunities are pretty good, 307 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:56,960 Speaker 7: and I would say especially the US bond market stands 308 00:15:57,000 --> 00:15:58,760 Speaker 7: out with some of the highest yields in the world 309 00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:01,800 Speaker 7: for high quality investment great companies. So it's not a 310 00:16:01,800 --> 00:16:06,520 Speaker 7: matter again of chasing low quality spreads. It's earning a 311 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:09,560 Speaker 7: prospective real yield and that could be as much as 312 00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:11,880 Speaker 7: four percent for investment great corporates. 313 00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 1: Steven, thanks so much for joining us. Really appreciate getting 314 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:18,520 Speaker 1: your thoughts and insights there. Stephen Whiting, He's a chief 315 00:16:18,760 --> 00:16:21,720 Speaker 1: investment strategist at City Global Wealth. 316 00:16:22,080 --> 00:16:25,200 Speaker 6: You're listening to the tape Cat's are live program Bloomberg 317 00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:28,840 Speaker 6: Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the 318 00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:31,000 Speaker 6: tune in app, Bloomberg dot Com. 319 00:16:30,720 --> 00:16:32,160 Speaker 5: And the Bloomberg Business App. 320 00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:35,000 Speaker 6: You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our 321 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:40,080 Speaker 6: flagship New York station, Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 322 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:44,880 Speaker 1: Let's get that back to the leading geopolitical issue out there, 323 00:16:44,880 --> 00:16:46,920 Speaker 1: and that is, of course, what's happening in Israel. 324 00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:48,440 Speaker 4: Micheline ishe joins us. 325 00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:51,640 Speaker 1: She is a professor at the Joseph Corbell School of 326 00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:56,360 Speaker 1: International Studies at the University of Denver. She joins us 327 00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:58,040 Speaker 1: here and Micheline thanks. 328 00:16:57,840 --> 00:16:58,840 Speaker 4: So much for joining us here. 329 00:16:59,200 --> 00:17:04,760 Speaker 1: What do you believe Israel should do? In response to 330 00:17:04,840 --> 00:17:07,080 Speaker 1: what was almost two weeks ago, the terror attack. What 331 00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:08,320 Speaker 1: do you think they should do here? 332 00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:15,480 Speaker 8: Well, as any country that has been attacked in a 333 00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:20,280 Speaker 8: non lawful manner, with an intensity and a scope that 334 00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:24,200 Speaker 8: was unprecedented, it's clear that it has to defend itself. 335 00:17:25,040 --> 00:17:27,640 Speaker 8: It will defend itself, as we heard in the media, 336 00:17:28,320 --> 00:17:32,200 Speaker 8: by just sending ground troop. Now, it took some time 337 00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:35,240 Speaker 8: to do that because it wanted to sort of somehow 338 00:17:35,280 --> 00:17:39,159 Speaker 8: sheltered infrastructures of the northern No Gaza in order to 339 00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:42,400 Speaker 8: send its troop. Now you ask about what it should do. 340 00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:46,440 Speaker 8: It has the right to self defense under international law. 341 00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:52,359 Speaker 8: It has of course to be consistent with not creating 342 00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:58,040 Speaker 8: excessive death that surpassed the mitullary advantage, which will be 343 00:17:58,040 --> 00:18:01,840 Speaker 8: a difficult call. It should do and will do. Will 344 00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:05,679 Speaker 8: probably be defending itself, and here we all hope that 345 00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:08,680 Speaker 8: it would be done with international oin mind. 346 00:18:10,040 --> 00:18:15,520 Speaker 2: So do you have problems with the blockade that now 347 00:18:15,560 --> 00:18:19,760 Speaker 2: has kept humanitarian aid out of Gaza. I mean you 348 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:26,040 Speaker 2: could understand the anger right obviously initially, but then there 349 00:18:26,080 --> 00:18:30,359 Speaker 2: are over a million people in Gaza under the age 350 00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:34,160 Speaker 2: of fifteen, so you know they weren't even born when 351 00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:40,560 Speaker 2: the Palestinians elected Hamas in two thousand and six. Is 352 00:18:39,800 --> 00:18:42,239 Speaker 2: that is that something that the Israelis need to be 353 00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:46,960 Speaker 2: better at doing, letting food and medicine and water, maybe 354 00:18:46,960 --> 00:18:50,480 Speaker 2: even fuel through or you know, do you see that 355 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:53,240 Speaker 2: Hamas just takes what they want right away and doesn't 356 00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:55,240 Speaker 2: care about the rest of the people, and so it's 357 00:18:55,320 --> 00:18:57,359 Speaker 2: kind of fruitless. 358 00:18:57,400 --> 00:19:01,040 Speaker 8: Well, it's probably one of the consumers, really, is that 359 00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:04,880 Speaker 8: Hamas might be taking some part of the humanitarian aid 360 00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:06,400 Speaker 8: that will be delivered. 361 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:09,720 Speaker 2: Or not just might be I mean definitely right, they 362 00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:12,120 Speaker 2: stole they stole already a lot of fuel that went 363 00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:13,480 Speaker 2: in last week. 364 00:19:13,920 --> 00:19:15,600 Speaker 8: Yeah, so there will be an important need of an 365 00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:18,000 Speaker 8: important triarch. The question who is going to be doing it. 366 00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:20,639 Speaker 8: At the same time, you have, as you said, a 367 00:19:20,800 --> 00:19:23,879 Speaker 8: humanitarian crisis with a close to a million of people 368 00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:27,640 Speaker 8: now trying to evacuate to the south of Gaza, very 369 00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:33,880 Speaker 8: small strip of area with a highly densit densely populated people. 370 00:19:34,040 --> 00:19:37,240 Speaker 8: So there will be opening as a result of the 371 00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:40,760 Speaker 8: bidened visit to is world. There will be an opening 372 00:19:40,960 --> 00:19:46,000 Speaker 8: of truck delivering food and water. It's very unclear as 373 00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:50,200 Speaker 8: to what extents there will be electricity, because the electricity 374 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:54,000 Speaker 8: can be used also for warfare purposes. But there will 375 00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:57,159 Speaker 8: be certainly a situations in where we will see in 376 00:19:57,200 --> 00:20:00,000 Speaker 8: the coming days opening in the rough crossing, at least 377 00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:03,880 Speaker 8: from what we hear from the Americans and the Israeli 378 00:20:03,920 --> 00:20:05,040 Speaker 8: as well. 379 00:20:05,080 --> 00:20:08,159 Speaker 1: Micheline, how concerned are you about this conflict which is 380 00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:12,800 Speaker 1: currently between Israel and Hamas broadening out to something that 381 00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:16,480 Speaker 1: includes more of the Arab players in the region. How 382 00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:17,800 Speaker 1: much of a risk do you think that is? 383 00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:23,000 Speaker 8: It is always a risk. We know that Iran as 384 00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:30,399 Speaker 8: Iran as sponsored Risbola and also Hamas, and we also 385 00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:33,840 Speaker 8: know that there was just yesterday today's ago, just missiles 386 00:20:33,880 --> 00:20:39,840 Speaker 8: that were intercepted by American boats launched toward Tel Aviv. 387 00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:42,840 Speaker 8: So there is a possibility always of a war to 388 00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:46,560 Speaker 8: be to spiral in the wrong direction. At the same time, 389 00:20:46,720 --> 00:20:51,199 Speaker 8: it's worth suggesting that the fact that Iran has been 390 00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:55,520 Speaker 8: very much weakend years of protest also in its own country, 391 00:20:55,800 --> 00:21:01,320 Speaker 8: Frisbola has become also a very weak party in Lebanon, 392 00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:04,640 Speaker 8: and Lebanon has been becoming a failed state. So those 393 00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:07,080 Speaker 8: two country though, they might want to unify and they 394 00:21:07,119 --> 00:21:10,199 Speaker 8: might want to show their supporter to the Palestinians also 395 00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:15,480 Speaker 8: are hesitant in full fledged involvement, so they are waiting. 396 00:21:15,560 --> 00:21:17,639 Speaker 8: I think that if they see that there is in 397 00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:21,480 Speaker 8: the north of Israel more in fights, so missile rockets 398 00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:25,800 Speaker 8: going in the directions from Israel to Risbola, they probably 399 00:21:25,840 --> 00:21:29,720 Speaker 8: will be further involved. What is reassuring in a way 400 00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:32,280 Speaker 8: is that the United States has send these two aircrafters 401 00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:35,280 Speaker 8: on to the East Mediterranean Sea, and in that sense 402 00:21:35,359 --> 00:21:39,920 Speaker 8: it provides a form of deterrents to the potential escalation 403 00:21:41,520 --> 00:21:42,879 Speaker 8: of countries in the region. 404 00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:47,080 Speaker 1: And Professor, I guess, can you help us just understand 405 00:21:47,720 --> 00:21:53,359 Speaker 1: kind of the support that Hamas enjoys in Gaza among 406 00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:56,679 Speaker 1: the Palestinian people. I guess I'm just wondering to what extends. 407 00:21:56,800 --> 00:21:58,919 Speaker 2: So hard spend a question that's really hard to get 408 00:21:59,000 --> 00:21:59,480 Speaker 2: an answer. 409 00:22:00,240 --> 00:22:02,600 Speaker 1: Did the Palestinians support Hamas? And if so, to what 410 00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:03,440 Speaker 1: extent do you think? 411 00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:06,640 Speaker 8: I think that if you were asking the same questions 412 00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:09,920 Speaker 8: in October five, fifth, or six, you probably will see 413 00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:14,439 Speaker 8: a lot of dissent among Palestinians with respect to their 414 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:19,080 Speaker 8: support of Ramas. Remember that the last elections in the 415 00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:21,840 Speaker 8: Gaza strip was in two thousand and six, which means 416 00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:25,080 Speaker 8: it was seventeen years ago. Very difficult to assess that 417 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:29,359 Speaker 8: level of legitimacy. Most moreover, we know that Human Rights 418 00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:35,760 Speaker 8: Watch have criticized heavily Hamas for detaining, incarcerating, torturing its 419 00:22:35,760 --> 00:22:38,120 Speaker 8: own people, and not being the most friendly when it's 420 00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:40,720 Speaker 8: come to their women's right. So a lot of these 421 00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:43,720 Speaker 8: sense among its population. But you can make the same argument, 422 00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:47,560 Speaker 8: not quite the same, but a somewhat similar argument with 423 00:22:47,680 --> 00:22:51,800 Speaker 8: respect to Israeli. They have distrusted their government. Now since 424 00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:55,520 Speaker 8: November twenty twenty two, it was an elected government, but 425 00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:59,880 Speaker 8: still very much distrusted as a result of the protest movement. Nonetheless, 426 00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:04,359 Speaker 8: during time of war, there is a unity. Three hundred 427 00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:08,680 Speaker 8: thousand peoples have been mobilized among the reservists to fight 428 00:23:08,760 --> 00:23:12,800 Speaker 8: that war unconditionally, among them many protesters. So I will 429 00:23:12,840 --> 00:23:15,400 Speaker 8: assume that the same will happen in wartime. 430 00:23:15,440 --> 00:23:18,960 Speaker 2: On the other side, how would you know a human 431 00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:24,760 Speaker 2: rights advocate prosecute a war against an enemy that doesn't 432 00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:28,399 Speaker 2: care about its own people. You know that even takes 433 00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:33,879 Speaker 2: refuge in You know Hamas military activities come out of 434 00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:37,560 Speaker 2: schools and hospitals. You know that use their own people 435 00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:40,040 Speaker 2: as a defense. How do you prosecute that kind of 436 00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:47,240 Speaker 2: war if you're concerned about civilian you know, injuries and deaths. 437 00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:52,520 Speaker 8: Well, it is from an international humanitarian law certainly are 438 00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:56,359 Speaker 8: very difficult propositions. First of all, as you know, internationally, 439 00:23:56,400 --> 00:24:00,480 Speaker 8: manitarian law have to be reciprocal, so it it has 440 00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:03,800 Speaker 8: to be consistent for Hama's side and for the Israeli side, 441 00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:05,920 Speaker 8: even if one side does not do with the other. 442 00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:11,160 Speaker 8: Still as the burden of being constrained by those international law, 443 00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:14,159 Speaker 8: how it prosecuted, it will be very different difficult. Israel 444 00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:17,080 Speaker 8: as the right to defense with respect to international law, 445 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:20,520 Speaker 8: but it has also been its constrain with respect to 446 00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:24,200 Speaker 8: the how it targeted military versus civilians. Civilians, as you 447 00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:29,520 Speaker 8: said before, already part or already embedded in the military 448 00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:32,640 Speaker 8: wings of Hamas, which makes it very difficult to go 449 00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:36,080 Speaker 8: after the military wings of Hamas. But what they really 450 00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:38,760 Speaker 8: have done and have tried at the very least, it's 451 00:24:38,800 --> 00:24:42,119 Speaker 8: to first of all called for and evacuations of the 452 00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:45,000 Speaker 8: north side of Gaza to the south of Gaza in 453 00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:47,760 Speaker 8: order to make sure that the target the target, the 454 00:24:47,840 --> 00:24:51,199 Speaker 8: object of target was not the innocent civilians but the 455 00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:54,520 Speaker 8: military wing very difficult to do on the long round 456 00:24:54,520 --> 00:24:59,320 Speaker 8: because they will be sssive casualty in the cross fire. 457 00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:01,840 Speaker 1: Thank you so much for joining us. We really appreciate 458 00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:06,320 Speaker 1: getting the benefit of all your experience. Micheline ishe professor 459 00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:10,879 Speaker 1: of International Studies and Human Rights at the University of Denver, 460 00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:12,760 Speaker 1: and Folks, I'm just looking at her bio and she's 461 00:25:12,800 --> 00:25:16,440 Speaker 1: been everywhere talking about human rights and teaching about human rights. 462 00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:19,160 Speaker 1: We appreciate getting few minutes of Professor Eeshay's time. 463 00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:23,960 Speaker 6: You're listening to the team. Ken's our live program Bloomberg 464 00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:27,320 Speaker 6: Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg dot Com, 465 00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:30,600 Speaker 6: the iHeartRadio app, and the Bloomberg Business app, or listen 466 00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:32,760 Speaker 6: on demand wherever you get your podcasts. 467 00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:37,200 Speaker 1: One of the big stories in markets really over the 468 00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:39,800 Speaker 1: last several weeks and months has been crude oil and 469 00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:42,760 Speaker 1: we've got another move higher today and wtat crude oil 470 00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:45,480 Speaker 1: over ninety. Fernando Valley joins us. He covers all the 471 00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:48,240 Speaker 1: global energy markets. Fernanda, What's what's happening in the oil 472 00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:49,040 Speaker 1: market these days? 473 00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:51,160 Speaker 5: Well, so much. 474 00:25:51,920 --> 00:25:57,040 Speaker 9: Oh, it's been pulling all directions, especially this past week. 475 00:25:57,320 --> 00:26:01,359 Speaker 9: We had very large drops and then for both crude 476 00:26:01,359 --> 00:26:05,520 Speaker 9: oil and refined products in the US, which definitely added 477 00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:09,360 Speaker 9: to the geopolitical tensions and bringing oil prices higher over 478 00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:10,240 Speaker 9: the past few days. 479 00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:16,840 Speaker 2: So we have enough here in the US to even 480 00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:18,760 Speaker 2: if we're cut off from the rest of the world, 481 00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:23,560 Speaker 2: to serve our needs. Right, Is that true as well? 482 00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:25,639 Speaker 2: As I know it's true for crude oil? Is that 483 00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:28,359 Speaker 2: true as well as refined products as well? 484 00:26:28,560 --> 00:26:32,160 Speaker 9: For the most part, yes, we have. Between the US 485 00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:36,680 Speaker 9: and Canada, we have nearly nineteen million barrels a day 486 00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:39,919 Speaker 9: of oil production, and then if you add Mexico and 487 00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:43,439 Speaker 9: some other friendly nations, we're in good steed. On refined 488 00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:46,720 Speaker 9: products is a little bit lower, and the biggest issue there. 489 00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:50,560 Speaker 9: We are net importers of gasoline, especially into the East Coast, 490 00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:53,239 Speaker 9: because it's usually cheaper to bring it from Europe than 491 00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:56,119 Speaker 9: it is to the Gulf Coast thanks to Paul's favorite 492 00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:57,080 Speaker 9: law of the Jones Act. 493 00:26:57,200 --> 00:26:59,480 Speaker 1: Exactly right, don't worry, I'm working on that. I'm working 494 00:26:59,480 --> 00:27:01,879 Speaker 1: on that, all right. I know it's a supplying demand 495 00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:04,560 Speaker 1: kind of story, and you're talking about commodities here. We 496 00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:08,520 Speaker 1: It appears to me that OPEC, plus their cuts in 497 00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:12,280 Speaker 1: production have in fact worked is that. Can we give 498 00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:13,160 Speaker 1: them some credit there? 499 00:27:14,359 --> 00:27:18,040 Speaker 9: I mean it has worked slightly, but I think ultimately 500 00:27:18,240 --> 00:27:20,320 Speaker 9: a lot of this has been geopolitical risk. And you 501 00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:23,439 Speaker 9: think when you cut as much as they have, you know, 502 00:27:23,440 --> 00:27:28,280 Speaker 9: over two million barrels a day, theoretically you should have 503 00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:32,119 Speaker 9: a larger impact. You shouldn't be struggling to get to 504 00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:36,600 Speaker 9: the nineties, and obviously external events conspiring to that. I 505 00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:38,640 Speaker 9: think it's very clear when you look at the US 506 00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:42,399 Speaker 9: that the demand is not The demand side of the 507 00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:46,240 Speaker 9: equation is not sticking to the ninety dollars plus oil 508 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:50,359 Speaker 9: or even the high crack spreads as well. If you 509 00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:53,680 Speaker 9: look at just how much gasoline came off, the came 510 00:27:53,720 --> 00:27:57,119 Speaker 9: off in July and now in the past few weeks 511 00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,800 Speaker 9: is even more so, it's clear that they US consumer 512 00:28:01,440 --> 00:28:04,119 Speaker 9: and that can be a kind of the benchmark. The 513 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:07,280 Speaker 9: bell Weather for others is struggling with elevated fuel prices. 514 00:28:08,040 --> 00:28:09,480 Speaker 2: Hey on, when you say the Jones Act, are you 515 00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:13,120 Speaker 2: talking about the Merchant Marine Act of nineteen twenty. This 516 00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:17,439 Speaker 2: is a law requiring that all goods transported on the 517 00:28:17,480 --> 00:28:21,680 Speaker 2: water between two US ports are transported on either ships 518 00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:25,680 Speaker 2: that have been instructed in the US. Oh, well not either. 519 00:28:25,840 --> 00:28:27,959 Speaker 2: Both ships that have been constructed in the US and 520 00:28:28,119 --> 00:28:30,719 Speaker 2: that fly the US flag and that are owned by 521 00:28:30,880 --> 00:28:34,080 Speaker 2: US citizens and that are crewed by US citizens and 522 00:28:34,119 --> 00:28:37,320 Speaker 2: permanent residents. So I guess that makes it more expensive 523 00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:41,960 Speaker 2: sometimes to ship crude from the Gulf up to the 524 00:28:41,960 --> 00:28:42,400 Speaker 2: East Coast. 525 00:28:42,440 --> 00:28:44,080 Speaker 1: So if you little on the East coast, every time 526 00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:47,000 Speaker 1: you got shale oil in your backyard and gas, you 527 00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:47,720 Speaker 1: can't get it. 528 00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:51,960 Speaker 2: Where you can't pipe, you can't get it. But you 529 00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:54,360 Speaker 2: just have to pay for US built ships crewed by 530 00:28:54,600 --> 00:28:58,160 Speaker 2: US servicemen, owned by US A pipeline. 531 00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:00,720 Speaker 4: They can't build a pipeline, will let you build pipe. 532 00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:02,640 Speaker 4: There's a pipeline running through my backyard. 533 00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:05,880 Speaker 2: You live New Jersey. There's nothing to destroy there. Right 534 00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:09,080 Speaker 2: through the rest of America. Pipe, there's important wildlife. 535 00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:12,400 Speaker 4: While Fernando Valley, thank you so much. We appreciate it. 536 00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:13,120 Speaker 4: Good stuff. 537 00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:15,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I don't know, build a pipeline from 538 00:29:15,120 --> 00:29:19,200 Speaker 1: the shale of Pennsylvania into John Tucker's backyard into Jersey. 539 00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:21,280 Speaker 1: The problem solved. I don't know why we don't do that, 540 00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:22,400 Speaker 1: but that's the Jones Act. 541 00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:24,400 Speaker 2: Well, it can't go from Pennsylvania, right, We're going to 542 00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:24,960 Speaker 2: refine it. 543 00:29:25,520 --> 00:29:26,800 Speaker 4: I don't know, build a refinery. 544 00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:29,720 Speaker 2: I thought you had to go down to Oklahoma to 545 00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:30,080 Speaker 2: do that. 546 00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:32,400 Speaker 4: Well, we'll build a refinery in New Jersey. I think 547 00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:34,520 Speaker 4: we've got plenty of millions, so we've already got plenty 548 00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:34,800 Speaker 4: of them. 549 00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:38,120 Speaker 6: You're listening to the tape Cat's are live program Bloomberg 550 00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:41,760 Speaker 6: Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the 551 00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:43,920 Speaker 6: tune in app, Bloomberg dot Com. 552 00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:45,040 Speaker 5: And the Bloomberg Business App. 553 00:29:45,080 --> 00:29:47,920 Speaker 6: You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our 554 00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:53,000 Speaker 6: flagship New York station. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 555 00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:57,720 Speaker 1: I'm gonna show off my telecommunications chops to you right now. 556 00:29:58,280 --> 00:30:05,720 Speaker 1: Wide area networking as one one yep, Local area networking Loe. Okay, see, 557 00:30:05,800 --> 00:30:07,760 Speaker 1: I don't know, it's kind of all, I kind of know. 558 00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:08,280 Speaker 4: I justin. 559 00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:10,360 Speaker 1: We got these little nodes all over the office, and 560 00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:12,600 Speaker 1: apparently they tie you all together and so you can 561 00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:14,720 Speaker 1: do the wireless of wireline and all that networking stuff. 562 00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:17,120 Speaker 1: But the people actually do that for a living. One 563 00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:19,000 Speaker 1: of those gentlemen's right here today with us in our 564 00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:22,680 Speaker 1: Blueberk Interactive Broker studio. That's Phil Montrium. He is executive 565 00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:26,000 Speaker 1: EP and general manager at Aruba, which is a Hewlett 566 00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:28,040 Speaker 1: Packard Enterprise company. 567 00:30:28,200 --> 00:30:30,080 Speaker 4: Phil, thanks so much for joining us here. I know 568 00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:30,720 Speaker 4: you're based on the. 569 00:30:31,360 --> 00:30:35,280 Speaker 2: I just thought I just kind of occurred to me, Phil, 570 00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:39,760 Speaker 2: the work you do is important to nearly every single 571 00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:44,720 Speaker 2: person on a daily, if not an hourly or minute 572 00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:49,600 Speaker 2: to minute basis, and no one understands what you do. 573 00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:55,200 Speaker 10: No, is that like you're exactly right? Yeah, no, we 574 00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:58,680 Speaker 10: reckon that. So these access points on the ceiling that 575 00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:02,480 Speaker 10: connect your Fi Fi devices and get you to the Internet. 576 00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:06,320 Speaker 10: We've shipped about twenty eight million of those since we 577 00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:09,280 Speaker 10: started as a company about twenty years ago. And we 578 00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:11,320 Speaker 10: believe it is a Ruba or yeah, no, this is 579 00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:15,080 Speaker 10: Ruba before Hulett Packard Enterprise acquired us. And we think 580 00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:18,360 Speaker 10: at any one time you would have one hundred million 581 00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:21,520 Speaker 10: people connected to these access points around the world and 582 00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:27,040 Speaker 10: they'll be in schools, hotels, offices, emergency services. I mean, 583 00:31:27,040 --> 00:31:28,760 Speaker 10: this stuff is real. So yeah, you've got to have 584 00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:31,440 Speaker 10: a really good, stable platform for customers. 585 00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:33,280 Speaker 2: So when you're at a cocktail party and someone says 586 00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:36,320 Speaker 2: what do you do, you don't start talking about you know, 587 00:31:36,440 --> 00:31:40,920 Speaker 2: wireless SD one solutions so that we can edge to 588 00:31:41,040 --> 00:31:44,920 Speaker 2: cloud you've seen you've never seen cloud? No, I mean, 589 00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:47,240 Speaker 2: how do you make it easier for like. 590 00:31:47,560 --> 00:31:49,400 Speaker 10: Yeah, look, you know I talk about the fact that 591 00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:51,800 Speaker 10: I work for Hulett Packard Enterprise, which is a great 592 00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:55,479 Speaker 10: technology company, and we focus in three areas. We focus 593 00:31:55,520 --> 00:31:58,680 Speaker 10: on hybrid cloud, we focus on AI, and then we 594 00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:01,240 Speaker 10: focus on networking. And then after that, I'll talk about 595 00:32:01,280 --> 00:32:03,880 Speaker 10: the fact that, you know, we supply these access points 596 00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:07,120 Speaker 10: and then the access points link to something called a 597 00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:10,560 Speaker 10: campus switch and we provide those and then they link 598 00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:12,560 Speaker 10: to a network that you just talked about, which is 599 00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:15,320 Speaker 10: sd WAN. So you know, I talk about the fact 600 00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:18,440 Speaker 10: that we kind of follow the change and the network 601 00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:21,280 Speaker 10: and so that's where we expand our technology. 602 00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:26,560 Speaker 1: How has that business changed with the pandemic and more 603 00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:29,360 Speaker 1: people working from home remotely and all that kind of stuff. 604 00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,040 Speaker 10: Yeah, I mean, look, the good thing about being a 605 00:32:32,080 --> 00:32:36,680 Speaker 10: network provider is anytime something changes in a business, there's 606 00:32:36,680 --> 00:32:38,960 Speaker 10: an impact on the network. So people go and work 607 00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:41,040 Speaker 10: from home, and it's like, right, we need to change 608 00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:44,680 Speaker 10: the network so that people can communicate remotely. People come 609 00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:47,240 Speaker 10: back into an office, you need to upgrade the Wi Fi. 610 00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,720 Speaker 10: People move workloads out to the cloud. Whenever there's a 611 00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:54,760 Speaker 10: change in business, there's a resulting impact on the network, 612 00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:57,360 Speaker 10: and that's good for our business because that's what drives demand. 613 00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:02,880 Speaker 1: So is the growth for your business just I would 614 00:33:02,880 --> 00:33:05,000 Speaker 1: think like in emerging markets, is that where the growth? 615 00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:09,680 Speaker 10: No, it's everywhere. I mean, which which your organization doesn't 616 00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:11,760 Speaker 10: want to stay on top of the network. I mean 617 00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 10: this is technology correct, Yeah, yeah, because it goes faster. 618 00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:17,400 Speaker 10: You go from Wi Fi five to Wi Fi six 619 00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:20,240 Speaker 10: to Wi Fi seven. So these upgrades obviously make the 620 00:33:20,320 --> 00:33:23,480 Speaker 10: network go a lot faster. Obviously, people are more concerned 621 00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:26,360 Speaker 10: about security as well now, so we made some investments 622 00:33:26,360 --> 00:33:29,760 Speaker 10: in security. We bought a company called Access Security about 623 00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:32,360 Speaker 10: four or five months ago. Because this stuff is very real, 624 00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:34,440 Speaker 10: isn't it? For customers? You know, you want better, you 625 00:33:34,480 --> 00:33:36,920 Speaker 10: want faster networks, and you want to make sure they're secure. 626 00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:39,880 Speaker 4: So who is response? That's a good question. Who's responsible 627 00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:42,760 Speaker 4: for the security of a network? So is it kind 628 00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:46,200 Speaker 4: of like you guys? Is it me as the customer? 629 00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:49,040 Speaker 10: It's it's it's a team, isn't it? So you as 630 00:33:49,120 --> 00:33:52,360 Speaker 10: the user? You know, if I'm the network manager, right, 631 00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:55,920 Speaker 10: obviously I have a responsibility to make sure there's secure network. 632 00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:58,320 Speaker 10: But as users, you know, you need to make sure 633 00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:01,720 Speaker 10: that you're not downloading the wrong apps and you know, 634 00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:04,240 Speaker 10: get in court, phishing or whatever it might be. You know, 635 00:34:04,280 --> 00:34:08,360 Speaker 10: it's a collective responsibility to make sure that the you know, 636 00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:10,840 Speaker 10: the information and enterprise is secure. 637 00:34:11,160 --> 00:34:14,280 Speaker 2: I'm always worried about getting caught edging to cloud. Sure 638 00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:19,040 Speaker 2: what what what's the AI component of your business? 639 00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:21,280 Speaker 10: Okay, So we do a lot in AI. We bought 640 00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:24,160 Speaker 10: We've got quite a good history in this area because 641 00:34:24,160 --> 00:34:27,879 Speaker 10: we bought Craze supercomputers. Heard about them, yeah, years ago, 642 00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:32,000 Speaker 10: and so they they're i mean world experts in building 643 00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:34,960 Speaker 10: these kind of big models for weather systems and all 644 00:34:34,960 --> 00:34:37,560 Speaker 10: this sort of stuff. And obviously more recently you've seen 645 00:34:37,680 --> 00:34:40,879 Speaker 10: a huge demand for AI. And what we're doing there 646 00:34:41,040 --> 00:34:44,560 Speaker 10: is using some of that knowledge and smarts from Cray, 647 00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:47,920 Speaker 10: blending it with the infrastructure that we provide, and then 648 00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:52,200 Speaker 10: really supporting customers as they develop their large language models 649 00:34:52,200 --> 00:34:55,799 Speaker 10: and other developments in the AI space. So we see 650 00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:58,720 Speaker 10: huge demand right now as a company from AI. 651 00:34:59,080 --> 00:35:02,960 Speaker 2: How do you make how you make these things more sustainable? 652 00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:06,359 Speaker 2: Because AI in these data centers is going to use 653 00:35:06,520 --> 00:35:09,600 Speaker 2: like it's going to dwarf. Yeah, the electricity use of bitcoin, 654 00:35:09,840 --> 00:35:12,800 Speaker 2: which already gets slagged down by everybody coming on this program. 655 00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:15,120 Speaker 2: So how do you deal with that demand? 656 00:35:15,320 --> 00:35:18,000 Speaker 10: Yeah, I mean just generally across the board. By the way, 657 00:35:18,080 --> 00:35:21,560 Speaker 10: we are huge unsustainability and I think we're only I mean, 658 00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:23,080 Speaker 10: it's a little bit sad to say this, but we're 659 00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:26,640 Speaker 10: one of only two technology companies that have actually committed 660 00:35:27,040 --> 00:35:29,480 Speaker 10: to hitting net zero targets, right. But it's a big 661 00:35:29,520 --> 00:35:33,319 Speaker 10: part of what HP does as an organization, so we 662 00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:36,480 Speaker 10: take it very seriously. On the AI space, we do 663 00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:38,400 Speaker 10: like water cooling and that sort of stuff, and we 664 00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:41,759 Speaker 10: pick data centers that are really efficient to make sure 665 00:35:41,760 --> 00:35:44,640 Speaker 10: that we're sustainable. And then in the network space, we 666 00:35:44,920 --> 00:35:47,360 Speaker 10: do all sorts of things. I mean we'll actually take 667 00:35:47,440 --> 00:35:51,319 Speaker 10: back old equipment from customers and recycle it and then 668 00:35:51,400 --> 00:35:54,440 Speaker 10: sell it onto other markets. So actually, in the last 669 00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:57,239 Speaker 10: two or three years, we've taken back eight point two 670 00:35:57,640 --> 00:36:02,400 Speaker 10: million devices, so old pieces network equipment, and in eighty 671 00:36:02,480 --> 00:36:05,000 Speaker 10: two percent of cases we've been able to refurb it 672 00:36:05,080 --> 00:36:08,000 Speaker 10: and sell it onto another market. So sustainability is huge 673 00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:09,240 Speaker 10: for here at Packard Enterprise. 674 00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:12,719 Speaker 1: Who's your competitor in the networking business for your competitors, plur, 675 00:36:12,760 --> 00:36:13,080 Speaker 1: I guess. 676 00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:15,360 Speaker 10: I mean, look, you know there's a ranger companies. Cisco 677 00:36:15,400 --> 00:36:17,680 Speaker 10: is obviously a big player in the network space, and 678 00:36:17,719 --> 00:36:19,840 Speaker 10: then you get some other startups as well, but you know, 679 00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:22,800 Speaker 10: Cisco's probably the big kind of what's. 680 00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:24,279 Speaker 4: The revenue growth driver for you? 681 00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:26,439 Speaker 1: Is it just is it more customers? Is it more 682 00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:28,040 Speaker 1: revenue per customer? 683 00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:28,279 Speaker 10: Both? 684 00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:29,759 Speaker 4: Kind of yeah, it's both really. 685 00:36:29,840 --> 00:36:32,000 Speaker 10: I mean, obviously you saw, as I said earlier, when 686 00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:34,440 Speaker 10: you see big changes in the way that people work, 687 00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:37,000 Speaker 10: then that drives demands. So as I say, you know, 688 00:36:37,080 --> 00:36:39,720 Speaker 10: when the pandemic happens, people start to work from home. 689 00:36:40,120 --> 00:36:42,080 Speaker 10: That meant people had to spend on the networks to 690 00:36:42,120 --> 00:36:44,600 Speaker 10: make them secure. Now that they're trying to get people 691 00:36:44,640 --> 00:36:46,839 Speaker 10: back in the offices, you know, people are only going 692 00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:48,839 Speaker 10: to come back to the offices if you've got great 693 00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:51,279 Speaker 10: Wi Fi coverage in the office. Otherwise why would you 694 00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:55,080 Speaker 10: come back in right, So these changes they drive demand, 695 00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:58,960 Speaker 10: and where we benefit is that means existing customers are 696 00:36:58,960 --> 00:37:01,680 Speaker 10: buying more, but we're attracting a lot of new customers 697 00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:04,000 Speaker 10: as well, because you know, we kind of link all 698 00:37:04,040 --> 00:37:06,880 Speaker 10: this into technical we link all of this stuff together 699 00:37:07,520 --> 00:37:10,880 Speaker 10: through a platform called HPE Green Lake, and that allows 700 00:37:10,880 --> 00:37:14,520 Speaker 10: customers to be able to provision and manage network and 701 00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:17,440 Speaker 10: it all from one platform, so that brings in new 702 00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:18,880 Speaker 10: customers as well for us. 703 00:37:19,239 --> 00:37:22,200 Speaker 4: Fascinating stuff. Somebody's got to do it. I know, I can't. 704 00:37:22,200 --> 00:37:24,279 Speaker 2: Why are Aruba? We only have ten seconds? But why 705 00:37:24,400 --> 00:37:25,799 Speaker 2: is it called I mean, it makes me want to go. 706 00:37:25,760 --> 00:37:26,200 Speaker 5: To a Ruba. 707 00:37:26,680 --> 00:37:27,920 Speaker 10: Why would only want buy Ruber? 708 00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:29,480 Speaker 2: Why is it called Ruber? 709 00:37:29,520 --> 00:37:31,800 Speaker 10: Why is it called Ruber? So? I think the founders 710 00:37:31,840 --> 00:37:33,359 Speaker 10: they were looking for a name, and I guess one 711 00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:35,600 Speaker 10: of them have been on a nice holiday ago. Yeah, 712 00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:36,520 Speaker 10: that was the main reason. 713 00:37:36,360 --> 00:37:40,680 Speaker 1: I think going down in January. Very nice, Phil Matron, 714 00:37:40,680 --> 00:37:42,880 Speaker 1: thanks so much for joining us. Appreciate Executive VP and 715 00:37:42,920 --> 00:37:45,400 Speaker 1: GM at Aruba, hule at Packard Enterprise Company. 716 00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:48,680 Speaker 6: You're listening to the tape Cat's are live program Bloomberg 717 00:37:48,760 --> 00:37:52,640 Speaker 6: Markets weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, tune 718 00:37:52,680 --> 00:37:54,359 Speaker 6: in app, Bloomberg dot Com, and. 719 00:37:54,320 --> 00:37:55,600 Speaker 5: The Bloomberg Business App. 720 00:37:55,640 --> 00:37:58,480 Speaker 6: You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our 721 00:37:58,480 --> 00:38:02,480 Speaker 6: flagship New York station. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven. 722 00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:06,480 Speaker 1: It is that time of the week when we asked 723 00:38:06,480 --> 00:38:10,440 Speaker 1: the question, what is Matt Miller driving? Yeah, and I 724 00:38:10,440 --> 00:38:12,440 Speaker 1: think it really different ways on this, but I'll let 725 00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:12,839 Speaker 1: you take well. 726 00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,759 Speaker 2: I love that Denise ended her report with shares of 727 00:38:15,760 --> 00:38:18,560 Speaker 2: Harley Davidson because I was just looking at the comp 728 00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:23,120 Speaker 2: function on Harley Davidson. You know, that's the function that 729 00:38:23,160 --> 00:38:26,760 Speaker 2: looks at a stock with total return over a certain 730 00:38:26,800 --> 00:38:30,400 Speaker 2: period of time at defaults to five years. And although 731 00:38:30,400 --> 00:38:34,960 Speaker 2: it's not apples to apples, Polaris stock has outperformed Harley 732 00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:38,800 Speaker 2: Davidson stock over the past five years with a total 733 00:38:38,840 --> 00:38:43,280 Speaker 2: return included. You see Polari's stock is up eighteen percent 734 00:38:43,360 --> 00:38:48,239 Speaker 2: and Harley is down fifteen percent. Now I say Polaris 735 00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:51,720 Speaker 2: because they make Indian motorcycles, Okay, and that's what I'm riding. Oh, 736 00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:54,400 Speaker 2: that's what I'm driving this this week. I'm driving an 737 00:38:54,520 --> 00:39:00,160 Speaker 2: Indian Chief Bobber dark Horse. Nice, but suffice it to 738 00:39:00,160 --> 00:39:02,960 Speaker 2: say it's kind of the mid range in terms of 739 00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:06,359 Speaker 2: weightiness of bikes for Indian. They make well, they make 740 00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:10,839 Speaker 2: a flat tracker that's extremely extremely popular, and then they 741 00:39:11,440 --> 00:39:14,160 Speaker 2: make a Scout which is kind of the entry level. 742 00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:17,880 Speaker 2: It's a very like cool looking dark old bobber style. 743 00:39:18,440 --> 00:39:20,520 Speaker 2: The Chief is a little bit heavier and maybe for 744 00:39:20,560 --> 00:39:23,200 Speaker 2: a little bit longer range rides. And then they make 745 00:39:23,320 --> 00:39:26,759 Speaker 2: the big bikes that are a little too big for me. 746 00:39:26,840 --> 00:39:28,360 Speaker 2: But I want to bring in Mike Doherty. He's the 747 00:39:28,360 --> 00:39:32,239 Speaker 2: president of Indian for Polaris. He joins us right now, 748 00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:36,399 Speaker 2: I'm gonna say, out of Medina, Minnesota, is that right? 749 00:39:37,360 --> 00:39:38,960 Speaker 5: Yeah? You got it right? Nice exactly. 750 00:39:39,800 --> 00:39:43,640 Speaker 2: So I talked to I was talking to Mike earlier 751 00:39:43,760 --> 00:39:47,160 Speaker 2: and told him a little story about me test driving 752 00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:49,239 Speaker 2: this bike, and I'll share it with you. It's kind 753 00:39:49,239 --> 00:39:52,399 Speaker 2: of it's kind of corny. But when I moved into Scarsdale, 754 00:39:52,880 --> 00:39:55,279 Speaker 2: I had all these guys to deal with, right my 755 00:39:55,320 --> 00:40:00,840 Speaker 2: mortgage broker and the contractor and my insurance guy. Insurance 756 00:40:00,880 --> 00:40:03,319 Speaker 2: guy is totally cool. He lives in the neighborhood. He's 757 00:40:03,360 --> 00:40:06,279 Speaker 2: got kids that go to the schools. And I was like, dude, 758 00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:08,800 Speaker 2: let's go get beers. And he was never like ready 759 00:40:08,800 --> 00:40:11,440 Speaker 2: to brow out, you know. He was like, yeah, no, 760 00:40:11,680 --> 00:40:12,400 Speaker 2: I'm too busy. 761 00:40:12,600 --> 00:40:12,880 Speaker 6: Okay. 762 00:40:12,920 --> 00:40:14,799 Speaker 2: He never really talked to me that much, even though 763 00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:16,880 Speaker 2: I'm insuring all my vehicles with him, you know. But 764 00:40:17,120 --> 00:40:18,640 Speaker 2: the other day he comes by to pick up some 765 00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:22,240 Speaker 2: plates and he says, man, that is a cool Indian. 766 00:40:22,280 --> 00:40:24,600 Speaker 2: You've got parked in your driveway. Now all of a sudden, 767 00:40:24,640 --> 00:40:25,279 Speaker 2: he's calling me. 768 00:40:25,640 --> 00:40:26,799 Speaker 4: He wants to come over, he. 769 00:40:26,760 --> 00:40:29,719 Speaker 2: Wants to hang out, you know, bros. He wants to 770 00:40:29,719 --> 00:40:32,120 Speaker 2: be a bro. And this is like, to me, this 771 00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,920 Speaker 2: is one of the coolest aspects of motorcycling. Like it 772 00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:38,640 Speaker 2: it's beyond just obviously a method of transportation that gets 773 00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:41,840 Speaker 2: you from a to B or a lifestyle. It's like 774 00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:48,160 Speaker 2: really creates a community. And I love the journey that Indian, 775 00:40:48,680 --> 00:40:51,680 Speaker 2: the Indian brand has gone since Polaris took it over. 776 00:40:51,840 --> 00:40:54,960 Speaker 2: You've also, Mike really been selling a lot more of these, right, 777 00:40:55,040 --> 00:40:57,520 Speaker 2: I've seen a lot of stories about the jump in 778 00:40:57,600 --> 00:41:00,800 Speaker 2: sales for Indian. You're taking market share away from Harley 779 00:41:00,960 --> 00:41:04,800 Speaker 2: Davidson and you're becoming like one of the big American players. 780 00:41:04,840 --> 00:41:08,240 Speaker 2: You are arguably one of the two. Right tell us about. 781 00:41:08,000 --> 00:41:11,160 Speaker 11: Indideah, Absolutely, yeah, and welcome to the cool kids club. 782 00:41:11,200 --> 00:41:14,560 Speaker 9: I'm glad that you like the bike. 783 00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:17,800 Speaker 11: And you've had some positive experiences with it. It's a 784 00:41:17,960 --> 00:41:20,640 Speaker 11: Indians on a roll right now, for sure. You know, 785 00:41:20,680 --> 00:41:23,440 Speaker 11: we launched the bike once we purchased the brand in 786 00:41:23,480 --> 00:41:27,200 Speaker 11: twenty eleven. We came out with our first versions of 787 00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:30,960 Speaker 11: the Indian in twenty thirteen, so really just the last decade, 788 00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:35,719 Speaker 11: but we've been gaining share really in every market we 789 00:41:35,880 --> 00:41:40,280 Speaker 11: compete in in most every segment for the ten years since. 790 00:41:40,480 --> 00:41:44,400 Speaker 11: And yeah, we continue to take share from the big player. 791 00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:47,960 Speaker 11: But people are thrilled with their bikes, and the Chief 792 00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:50,480 Speaker 11: is kind of the bike that kind of comes right 793 00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:53,440 Speaker 11: in the middle. It kind of plugged a gap we 794 00:41:53,520 --> 00:41:55,680 Speaker 11: had in our product lineup, so now we really have 795 00:41:56,200 --> 00:41:58,560 Speaker 11: a range of bikes for every type of rider right now. 796 00:41:58,640 --> 00:42:01,200 Speaker 2: So to me, the chief Is is my favorite. It's 797 00:42:01,200 --> 00:42:03,440 Speaker 2: the sweet spot of the line because I want a cruiser. 798 00:42:03,880 --> 00:42:06,480 Speaker 2: I don't need a big bagger, you know, with a 799 00:42:06,520 --> 00:42:10,319 Speaker 2: full faring although some people you know want those for 800 00:42:10,360 --> 00:42:14,840 Speaker 2: obvious reasons. But the thing that I think sets Indian 801 00:42:14,880 --> 00:42:17,960 Speaker 2: apart is the success that you've had with the flat tracker, 802 00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:21,279 Speaker 2: the FTR it's a twelve hundred, and the success that 803 00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:23,320 Speaker 2: you've had in flat track racing, which is kind of 804 00:42:23,320 --> 00:42:25,520 Speaker 2: where Indian made its name. So tell us about that 805 00:42:25,520 --> 00:42:27,400 Speaker 2: bike and that endeavor. 806 00:42:28,800 --> 00:42:32,040 Speaker 11: Yeah, racing goes way back, you know, to the origins 807 00:42:32,080 --> 00:42:35,560 Speaker 11: of the brand, and when we came back with the brand, 808 00:42:35,600 --> 00:42:39,359 Speaker 11: we knew that we had to compete and really live 809 00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:43,160 Speaker 11: up to the performance heritage of the of the brand, 810 00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:46,960 Speaker 11: and we have. We've been kind of dominant on the racetrack, 811 00:42:47,000 --> 00:42:50,719 Speaker 11: in particular the flat track racetrack. We just won our 812 00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:55,760 Speaker 11: fifth series and we've got a champion and Jared Meese 813 00:42:55,800 --> 00:42:58,359 Speaker 11: that I think he's tied for now for the all 814 00:42:58,360 --> 00:43:04,080 Speaker 11: time championship. So yeah, we've been winning, dominating on the racetrack, 815 00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:08,239 Speaker 11: and then we've also been super competitive in the King 816 00:43:08,280 --> 00:43:11,080 Speaker 11: of the Baggers and the other racing circuits that we do. 817 00:43:11,120 --> 00:43:14,480 Speaker 11: But the flat tracks a great bike. It has global 818 00:43:14,520 --> 00:43:16,960 Speaker 11: appeal and yeah, a lot of people. 819 00:43:16,719 --> 00:43:17,600 Speaker 9: Are loving it right now. 820 00:43:17,840 --> 00:43:21,800 Speaker 1: Hey, Mike Hoo's the prototypical Indian motorcycle buyer. 821 00:43:24,120 --> 00:43:24,720 Speaker 5: Good question. 822 00:43:24,960 --> 00:43:27,800 Speaker 11: You know, most of the people that buy an Indian 823 00:43:27,840 --> 00:43:31,560 Speaker 11: it's not their first motorcycle. They've they've been around motorcycling 824 00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:34,120 Speaker 11: for a while, their experience, they know what they want, 825 00:43:35,200 --> 00:43:41,120 Speaker 11: maybe want a more premium experience, either ownership or riding experience, 826 00:43:41,160 --> 00:43:45,080 Speaker 11: and so they jump onto the Indians. We sell more 827 00:43:45,120 --> 00:43:47,879 Speaker 11: of Scout than anything else, so that's our entry into 828 00:43:47,880 --> 00:43:51,040 Speaker 11: the brand and then they work their way up over 829 00:43:51,080 --> 00:43:55,160 Speaker 11: their riding lifestyle to the chief and ultimately to a 830 00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:58,040 Speaker 11: roadmaster or one of our touring or bagger bikes. But 831 00:43:58,840 --> 00:44:01,799 Speaker 11: experience knowledge people that are probably looking for a little 832 00:44:01,800 --> 00:44:05,440 Speaker 11: bit more performance. Our bikes provide more performance. 833 00:44:05,560 --> 00:44:08,920 Speaker 2: What's the key to you think the growth that you've experienced, 834 00:44:09,200 --> 00:44:12,279 Speaker 2: the market chair you've been able to take. Is it 835 00:44:12,520 --> 00:44:16,319 Speaker 2: the racing is it? You know, just the design and 836 00:44:16,320 --> 00:44:19,359 Speaker 2: production of the bikes? Is it the dealership network. I've 837 00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:21,879 Speaker 2: got a very cool dealer by me, Shane at White 838 00:44:21,920 --> 00:44:25,719 Speaker 2: Plains Indian. He's like obsessed with the brand. What is 839 00:44:25,760 --> 00:44:27,600 Speaker 2: it you think that's helping you helping you win? 840 00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:31,520 Speaker 11: You know, all those things combined. Really it's important, right, 841 00:44:31,600 --> 00:44:33,080 Speaker 11: You've got to honor the brand. 842 00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:33,520 Speaker 5: In the right way. 843 00:44:34,360 --> 00:44:38,520 Speaker 11: You need to give the consumers a premium ownership and 844 00:44:38,560 --> 00:44:41,440 Speaker 11: buying experience. Our dealers are first class. I'm glad that 845 00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:44,680 Speaker 11: you've had a good experience with them. That's normal for us, 846 00:44:45,440 --> 00:44:48,960 Speaker 11: and we build beautiful motorcycles. You know, the first thing 847 00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:51,800 Speaker 11: that attracts people to Indian is the style of the bikes. 848 00:44:51,800 --> 00:44:55,439 Speaker 11: That they look cool, they are cool, and then once 849 00:44:55,440 --> 00:44:58,640 Speaker 11: they ride them, they appreciate the performance that they have 850 00:44:58,960 --> 00:45:03,560 Speaker 11: and and once they own them, we have world class 851 00:45:03,560 --> 00:45:07,080 Speaker 11: satisfaction scores. So you know, once you get on one, 852 00:45:07,320 --> 00:45:09,440 Speaker 11: you kind of stay on one. You convince your buddy 853 00:45:09,440 --> 00:45:11,440 Speaker 11: to kind of, you know, go check them out. And 854 00:45:11,800 --> 00:45:14,800 Speaker 11: that's how we've been winning in the marketplaces, word of mouth, 855 00:45:14,840 --> 00:45:18,200 Speaker 11: and you know, continue to have world classic satisfaction. 856 00:45:18,400 --> 00:45:21,640 Speaker 2: What's the experience like coming out of the pandemic, because 857 00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:24,520 Speaker 2: you know, I think for a lot of people when 858 00:45:24,520 --> 00:45:26,520 Speaker 2: we went into lockdown, a lot of people were like, man, 859 00:45:26,560 --> 00:45:28,399 Speaker 2: I got to get on a motorcycle and get out 860 00:45:28,400 --> 00:45:32,000 Speaker 2: there because you're definitely social distancing, right, you know Paul, 861 00:45:32,440 --> 00:45:35,400 Speaker 2: you know, Paul was on one of those bicycles what 862 00:45:35,400 --> 00:45:37,680 Speaker 2: do you call those bikes? No, No, the oh the 863 00:45:38,480 --> 00:45:41,920 Speaker 2: with Jen Sherman and the oh yeah, the peloton, the peloton, right, 864 00:45:42,040 --> 00:45:43,560 Speaker 2: but he was so he was doing a lot during 865 00:45:43,560 --> 00:45:46,440 Speaker 2: the pandemic and then he's not doing it so much after. 866 00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:48,960 Speaker 2: Do you have the same experience with the motorcycle sales? Did 867 00:45:49,000 --> 00:45:52,040 Speaker 2: they soar when everyone had a social distance and had 868 00:45:52,040 --> 00:45:53,440 Speaker 2: they softened a little bit since. 869 00:45:54,680 --> 00:45:58,440 Speaker 11: Yeah, exactly, we couldn't keep enough bikes in stock. You know, 870 00:45:58,520 --> 00:46:02,360 Speaker 11: it was hard enough trying to keep the factories running, 871 00:46:03,200 --> 00:46:06,600 Speaker 11: but the demand was through the roof and so a 872 00:46:06,600 --> 00:46:09,200 Speaker 11: lot of people had to place orders for them and 873 00:46:09,280 --> 00:46:12,640 Speaker 11: wait for them to come. That subsided a little bit. 874 00:46:12,719 --> 00:46:15,279 Speaker 11: We're kind of back to a normal, sort of pre 875 00:46:15,440 --> 00:46:19,799 Speaker 11: pandemic level. The rising interest rates, you know, makes it 876 00:46:19,800 --> 00:46:23,640 Speaker 11: a little bit challenging for some customers to finance their bikes. 877 00:46:23,719 --> 00:46:27,120 Speaker 11: But we're still seeing healthy demand and we're still gaining 878 00:46:27,200 --> 00:46:29,880 Speaker 11: market share, so we're in a good spot. But it 879 00:46:30,000 --> 00:46:31,680 Speaker 11: was a crazy couple of years. 880 00:46:31,560 --> 00:46:31,960 Speaker 6: For sure. 881 00:46:32,320 --> 00:46:35,080 Speaker 4: Do motorcycles are motorcycles? Are they going electric? 882 00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:40,680 Speaker 11: Some of them are not. The not the category that 883 00:46:40,719 --> 00:46:42,960 Speaker 11: we're in. You know that people like to go a 884 00:46:43,040 --> 00:46:47,720 Speaker 11: longer distance. There are some in the smaller urban setting 885 00:46:47,800 --> 00:46:52,280 Speaker 11: that are going electric. The challenge right now most brands 886 00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:55,960 Speaker 11: have an electric offering or will be or have announced them. 887 00:46:56,960 --> 00:47:01,280 Speaker 11: But the finding the perfect balance of where the technology 888 00:47:01,400 --> 00:47:05,080 Speaker 11: of the battery power and the cost of that marries 889 00:47:05,200 --> 00:47:08,279 Speaker 11: up into a motorcycle that's affordable and kind of can 890 00:47:08,320 --> 00:47:12,600 Speaker 11: thrill a customer that that perfect balance isn't there yet. 891 00:47:12,920 --> 00:47:18,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, electric power and like self driving capabilities are for caterers. Yes, 892 00:47:18,160 --> 00:47:21,279 Speaker 2: you're a cajor I'm a I don't need that. Yeah, 893 00:47:21,440 --> 00:47:24,280 Speaker 2: I had the freedom and especially at the Big V twin, 894 00:47:24,600 --> 00:47:28,040 Speaker 2: you know, the American experience. It's sure, it's so cool 895 00:47:28,040 --> 00:47:30,560 Speaker 2: with the thunderstroke engine. The development of that has been 896 00:47:30,760 --> 00:47:33,480 Speaker 2: has been awesome for Indians. So I appreciate you guys 897 00:47:33,520 --> 00:47:36,719 Speaker 2: giving me a chance to ride this bike. Absolutely love it. Mike, 898 00:47:36,760 --> 00:47:39,080 Speaker 2: thanks so much for joining us as well on the show. 899 00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:42,319 Speaker 2: Mike Doherty there is the president of Indian Motorcycles for 900 00:47:42,480 --> 00:47:43,520 Speaker 2: Polaris Cagre. 901 00:47:43,560 --> 00:47:44,440 Speaker 4: I've never heard that term. 902 00:47:44,480 --> 00:47:48,480 Speaker 1: It's a derogatory term for automobile people from motorcycles. 903 00:47:48,520 --> 00:47:52,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, somebody sits in the car, you know, texting during 904 00:47:52,440 --> 00:47:55,319 Speaker 2: his commute, which is what pretty much everybody does. 905 00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:55,799 Speaker 5: Yeah, we do. 906 00:47:57,600 --> 00:48:00,719 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcast. You can 907 00:48:00,760 --> 00:48:04,520 Speaker 2: subscribe and listen to interviews on Apple Podcasts or whatever 908 00:48:04,600 --> 00:48:08,320 Speaker 2: podcast platform you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter 909 00:48:08,520 --> 00:48:11,760 Speaker 2: at Matt Miller nineteen seventy three. And I'm fall Sweeney. 910 00:48:11,800 --> 00:48:13,360 Speaker 4: I'm on Twitter at Ptsweeney. 911 00:48:13,400 --> 00:48:16,080 Speaker 1: Before the podcast, you can always catch us worldwide at 912 00:48:16,080 --> 00:48:17,839 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio