WEBVTT - Twitter, Musk and Bots, and Peloton's Digital App

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<v Speaker 1>From the heart of where innovation, money and power collive

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<v Speaker 1>in Silicon Valley and beyond. This is Bloomberg Technology with

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<v Speaker 1>Emily Jay. I'm Emily Check in San Francisco, and this

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<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Technology. Coming up the next hour. A judge

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<v Speaker 1>tells Twitter to give Elon Musk the data about Box

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<v Speaker 1>that he's been asking for, but also called Musk's requests

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<v Speaker 1>absurdly brought on that in a moment. Plus, Peloton is

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<v Speaker 1>going all in on content after reporting a huge loss

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<v Speaker 1>of struggling brand leading into its digital app, adding new

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<v Speaker 1>subscription tears Tears, including a freemium version. We'll talk about

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<v Speaker 1>the pivot from hardware and gen Z isn't about the

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<v Speaker 1>corporate life half of responding to a new surveys. They're

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<v Speaker 1>trying to make money creating content for social media instead.

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<v Speaker 1>Will it work? We'll discuss all that in a moment,

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<v Speaker 1>but first, let's talk a little bit more about Twitter.

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<v Speaker 1>Now that judge in Delaware telling Twitter they got a

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<v Speaker 1>hand over more information on spam and bots to Elon Musk.

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<v Speaker 1>Here to talk about that. Bloomberg News Alex Barrinka and

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<v Speaker 1>Sarah Fryar. So, Alex, I'll start with you look, the

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<v Speaker 1>judge asking Twitter to hand Musk the data that he's

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<v Speaker 1>been asking for. This is data that uh Musk's camp

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<v Speaker 1>has said Twitter has been hiding, not all of it,

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<v Speaker 1>but some of it. What do we know? Yeah, it

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<v Speaker 1>is some of it. Some of a concession in this

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<v Speaker 1>absurdly broad ask, as the judge called it, Twitter had

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<v Speaker 1>done a survey of nine thousand accounts basically looking to

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<v Speaker 1>see are there humans connected to these accounts or are

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<v Speaker 1>they bought. Initially, the company had not turned this over

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<v Speaker 1>to Elon Musk on a number of concerns, including privacy concerns.

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<v Speaker 1>But this specific like tronche of data is what the

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<v Speaker 1>judge is speaking about, needs to be turned over to Musk,

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<v Speaker 1>which frankly does fall squarely in this argument that he's

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<v Speaker 1>making that he doesn't have enough information yet um to

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<v Speaker 1>say really strongly that Twitter's initial kind of public um

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<v Speaker 1>statements that about five percent of users or boughts must

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<v Speaker 1>says he doesn't have enough data to kind of vet that.

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<v Speaker 1>So this is one concession here that we do see

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<v Speaker 1>the judge kind of forcing Twitter's hand to make sure

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<v Speaker 1>Musk gets a bit more details on on what's happening

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<v Speaker 1>on the platform more broadly. Well, and Sarah, it seems

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<v Speaker 1>like most of the orders from the judge so far

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<v Speaker 1>have gone in Twitter's favor. This one though not. I

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<v Speaker 1>wonder do you make what you make of this? Is

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<v Speaker 1>it a clear negative for Twitter? Well, she's narrowed the

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<v Speaker 1>broad requests to just those nine thousand accounts and wild

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<v Speaker 1>Twitter has said, you know, we can't give over that

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<v Speaker 1>data for privacy reasons and other reasons. Um. I think

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<v Speaker 1>that is that is limited enough that there's it's sort

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<v Speaker 1>of a compromise her for the company. I do think

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<v Speaker 1>it's a small win for Musk, and it shows that

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<v Speaker 1>the judge may in some part think that it's true,

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<v Speaker 1>though he doesn't have enough information to gauge whether that

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<v Speaker 1>five percent number is Box. But let's let's not forget.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, this is not really a debate about Box,

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<v Speaker 1>debate about whether there's been a materially adverse effect to

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<v Speaker 1>Twitter in its time since Elon must sign that boarded

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<v Speaker 1>four billion contracts to buy Twitter and argue what Twitter

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<v Speaker 1>would argue or is arguing that there has not been

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<v Speaker 1>a major change, not anything that would get Musk out

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<v Speaker 1>of that contract. Um. And so so if the judge

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<v Speaker 1>is asking for this data to be handed over. UM,

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<v Speaker 1>and it could go towards answering that question. UM, but

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know that it will be enough. All right, UM,

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<v Speaker 1>We're gonna continue to follow that. But I also want

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<v Speaker 1>to ask about some changes to Instagram today. Instagram alex

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<v Speaker 1>introducing some new child safety measures. Tell us what these

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<v Speaker 1>measures involves. Yeah, so, UM, they had some measures in

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<v Speaker 1>place for teens think under the age of sixteen, basically

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<v Speaker 1>so that they can have a feed that shows them

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<v Speaker 1>less of content that might be seen as inappropriate for

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<v Speaker 1>those younger users. Think um, sexually explicit content, violence, things

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<v Speaker 1>that are allowed on the app that don't actually violate

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<v Speaker 1>community guidelines but might not be right for that cohort Um.

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<v Speaker 1>The company basically came out and said, UM, they will

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<v Speaker 1>default users under the age of sixteen years old to

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<v Speaker 1>get this kind of less version of the platform that

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<v Speaker 1>excludes them from seeing some of this content. Now, if

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<v Speaker 1>you have been watching and following UM some of Instagram

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<v Speaker 1>and its sister companies Facebook's kind of dust ups in

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<v Speaker 1>d C regarding child privacy, you'll know that this comes

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<v Speaker 1>on the heels from a bit of a flurry of

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<v Speaker 1>activity in d C there's a couple of actions in

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<v Speaker 1>the Senate, a bill and an extension on child privacy

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<v Speaker 1>laws and uh an action in the House basically that

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<v Speaker 1>have taken a step back to look at these platforms

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<v Speaker 1>and say, hey, are we really protecting miners who are

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<v Speaker 1>using the app? Remember, Instagram allows users thirteen years old

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<v Speaker 1>and older on the app, so there are a number

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<v Speaker 1>of years there, um where folks are below the age

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<v Speaker 1>of eighteen on social media and might not be the

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<v Speaker 1>right audience for some more of the explicit content that

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<v Speaker 1>can show up on that platform. Interesting now, Sarah, of

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<v Speaker 1>course you wrote the book on Instagram. Last year the

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<v Speaker 1>company announced this big plan to start Instagram for kids.

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<v Speaker 1>There was a huge public outcry. They put those plans

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<v Speaker 1>on pause. Do you think that project is done or

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<v Speaker 1>or or could they attempt to, um, you know, do

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<v Speaker 1>it again. I think they're taking a lot of the

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<v Speaker 1>ideas that they had for Instagram Kids and applying them

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<v Speaker 1>two teams who are currently on the platform. And and

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<v Speaker 1>let's be clear, I mean although the rule said thirteen

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<v Speaker 1>and up is allowed on Instagram, there are plenty of

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<v Speaker 1>nine and ten year old on on that app. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>That's why Instagram has increased the restrictions around you know,

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<v Speaker 1>asking you about your birthday. A lot of a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of people recently have been asked that question us because

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<v Speaker 1>Instagram is trying to make sure that they block it

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<v Speaker 1>to anyone below thirteen, and they're trying to clean up

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<v Speaker 1>their act and they're trying to improve their reputation. So

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<v Speaker 1>I think that if they do manage to do that,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, nothing's off the table. They will always want

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<v Speaker 1>to expand into new markets, into new demographics and people

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<v Speaker 1>who are are younger than thirteen. Um. Those are the

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<v Speaker 1>kinds of users that are really obsessed with YouTube, really

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<v Speaker 1>obsessed with TikTok, those major competitors of Instagram, that they

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<v Speaker 1>want to figure out how to how to make a

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<v Speaker 1>product for it. And I think social media opens up

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<v Speaker 1>a lot more concerns than a straight entertainment product might

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<v Speaker 1>because of the connections with strangers and the ability for

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<v Speaker 1>your own content to be viewed by the masses um

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<v Speaker 1>in a little bit more explicit way. So I think

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<v Speaker 1>that that they're they're adding this around teams. They had

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<v Speaker 1>parental controls earlier, ways to have a guardian check up

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<v Speaker 1>on your account and know who you're connected to, who

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<v Speaker 1>you're messaging with. All of those are in an effort

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<v Speaker 1>to try to improve that reputation around child safety, So

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<v Speaker 1>that may be down the line they could they could

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<v Speaker 1>take that extra step and bring the kids product back. Meantime,

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<v Speaker 1>you've got this new survey out that younger people gen Z,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, ditching corporate jobs are not taking them at

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<v Speaker 1>all because they hope to make a career creating content

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<v Speaker 1>on social media. Alex, how realistic is it? Obviously we

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<v Speaker 1>know that you know, social media influencers, they can make

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of money. Um, this is obviously an evolving

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<v Speaker 1>business that's still likely and it's very early stages. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>Tell us more about this survey and what it tells us. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>the service survey tells us basically that this younger generation

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<v Speaker 1>gen Z does really want to, like you said, half

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<v Speaker 1>of them, UM, think about a job outside of the

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<v Speaker 1>kind of run of the mill job making money off

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<v Speaker 1>of social Now. The caveat here is influencers on social

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<v Speaker 1>from the platforms themselves aren't making a ton of money.

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<v Speaker 1>It's about building your following, UM, connecting with sponsors, getting sponsorships,

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<v Speaker 1>and leveraging that following to make money off the platform.

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<v Speaker 1>The survey basically broke down some of the numbers and

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<v Speaker 1>showed that, you know, while there might be a benefit

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<v Speaker 1>to this flexible work environment, you are your own Boston,

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<v Speaker 1>you need to hustle. Only twelve percent of these participants

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<v Speaker 1>surveyed are actually making more than fifty thou dollars a year,

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<v Speaker 1>which if you live in a place like New York,

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<v Speaker 1>where a lot of these creators are, that's actually below

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<v Speaker 1>the median income. So folks are hustling. Um. It's also

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<v Speaker 1>probably why you know, some of these younger, Aden says,

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<v Speaker 1>are looking to get on social earlier and build those

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<v Speaker 1>followings if they have aspirations to turn this into a career.

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<v Speaker 1>But also it's not easy. You see the big success stories,

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<v Speaker 1>but what you don't see are the folks who are

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<v Speaker 1>on social kind of as a side hustle or kind

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<v Speaker 1>of really leaning in to turn it to a full

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<v Speaker 1>time job because you know, they are their own boss.

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<v Speaker 1>Nothing's guaranteed, and it is one of those industries you know,

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<v Speaker 1>where you get out of it as much as you

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<v Speaker 1>put in. UM. So you know, we'll see if gen

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<v Speaker 1>Z can turn this into the next big economy. But

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<v Speaker 1>there are certainly a lot of folks with aspirations to

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<v Speaker 1>make social media their career path. Well, let's talk about

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<v Speaker 1>that side hustle part of it, because there's this whole

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<v Speaker 1>theme right now quiet quitting, where people are talking about

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<v Speaker 1>just doing the bare minimum at their jobs, not going

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<v Speaker 1>above and beyond, trying to maintain a healthy work life balance. Um, Sarah,

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<v Speaker 1>how realistic is it that some of these folks could

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<v Speaker 1>you know, make some extra cash if you know that

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<v Speaker 1>time that they're not spending going above and beyond at

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<v Speaker 1>their corporate jobs, but making really cool TikTok's listen, and

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<v Speaker 1>I've talked to to teens gen D folks who are

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<v Speaker 1>now in the workforce who are using Instagram and YouTube

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<v Speaker 1>alongside their jobs. You know, they have that their personal account,

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<v Speaker 1>and then they might have a more professional account, or

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<v Speaker 1>they might have um one that's focused on fashion or

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<v Speaker 1>food or their pets or home debt, or because they

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<v Speaker 1>want to try something um as a as a you know,

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<v Speaker 1>creative pursued a hobby that in the back of their minds,

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<v Speaker 1>they're thinking, this could be a fallback plan if my

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<v Speaker 1>career doesn't work out or if this becomes you know,

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<v Speaker 1>wouldn't it be nice to be paid to travel the world.

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<v Speaker 1>Wouldn't it be nice to be paid to go to restaurants?

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<v Speaker 1>Only a select few people end up getting the level

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<v Speaker 1>of income that you would need to to really be

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<v Speaker 1>micro famous. And then then, like Alex said, you really

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<v Speaker 1>got to keep it up. There's a lot of consistency involved.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a lot of reinventing yourself involved. If you're on Instagram,

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<v Speaker 1>for example, and you've been post posting great photography, now

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<v Speaker 1>they want you to make short form video, so you

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<v Speaker 1>have to be really consistent and and um, you can't

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<v Speaker 1>quiet quit if you're working for yourself. So so I do.

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<v Speaker 1>I do see it as a side hustle thing, something

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<v Speaker 1>that kids are doing in college, or I should say

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<v Speaker 1>adults are doing in college alongside their other work and

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<v Speaker 1>hoping that it can help pay the bills. Um if

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<v Speaker 1>they if they get the block of the draw. But

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<v Speaker 1>I think that that's pretty rare. Um. It's just a

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<v Speaker 1>general aspiration that people have, all Right, well, we're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>let you go uh and uh do some other things

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<v Speaker 1>with your time. Gloober Sarah Bryar and Alex Barenka, thank

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<v Speaker 1>you both. We'll be right back. This is a little

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<v Speaker 1>bit peloton shares are reeling from a one point to

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<v Speaker 1>billion dollar loss, but CEO Barry McCarthy says naysayers are

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<v Speaker 1>looking at it all wrong. Shares jump this week when

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<v Speaker 1>Peloton announced its new partnership with Amazon, that game all

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<v Speaker 1>but wiped out today McCarthy that was optimistic. He says,

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<v Speaker 1>what I see is significant progress driving our comeback and

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<v Speaker 1>Peloton's long term resilience. For more on that, I want

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<v Speaker 1>to bring in row Hit called Carney, managing director at

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<v Speaker 1>MKM Partners, the worst stock plunge in seven months? Uh

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<v Speaker 1>is it warranted again? Thanks for having me, Emily. Not

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<v Speaker 1>many things to cheer about in today's filing is and

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<v Speaker 1>they have consistently underperformed the guidance. They have consistently underperformed

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<v Speaker 1>that expectations. I think fourth quarter in a row we

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<v Speaker 1>are seeing them coming low below our expectations and lowering

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<v Speaker 1>the guidance. So we don't know yet where the demand

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<v Speaker 1>is going to essentially stabilize, So I think, yeah, to

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<v Speaker 1>CEO's credit, they are moving fast. They're showing a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of velocity of execution, but the market is moving against them.

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<v Speaker 1>The demand curve is slipping very very quickly, very far

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<v Speaker 1>away from them. So how hopeful are you about Barry

0:13:16.640 --> 0:13:21.200
<v Speaker 1>McCarthy and the possibility of a turnaround. Um in terms

0:13:21.240 --> 0:13:25.120
<v Speaker 1>of the what they're doing, whether they can get the

0:13:25.200 --> 0:13:28.520
<v Speaker 1>results that they hope to get is still probably six

0:13:28.559 --> 0:13:30.559
<v Speaker 1>maybe twelve months out, so there needs to be some

0:13:30.600 --> 0:13:33.920
<v Speaker 1>patients while during that time, we hope to have some

0:13:34.520 --> 0:13:38.200
<v Speaker 1>stability of how in a post pandemic world, in a

0:13:38.240 --> 0:13:42.160
<v Speaker 1>post procession world, in a high inflation world, how people

0:13:42.280 --> 0:13:45.199
<v Speaker 1>view a high end product like Peloton and its place

0:13:45.280 --> 0:13:48.000
<v Speaker 1>in the consumer discretion he spent. So that's the big unknown.

0:13:48.080 --> 0:13:51.600
<v Speaker 1>But what they can control is are a lot of things,

0:13:51.640 --> 0:13:54.800
<v Speaker 1>and they're loading prices that they're playing around with some

0:13:54.880 --> 0:13:59.560
<v Speaker 1>consumer options like renting fitness as a service. They're going

0:13:59.600 --> 0:14:02.360
<v Speaker 1>to am is on and more retailers to try to

0:14:02.400 --> 0:14:04.920
<v Speaker 1>get a broader audience. So they're doing a lot of things.

0:14:05.160 --> 0:14:08.160
<v Speaker 1>But as as you know, we are in a very

0:14:08.280 --> 0:14:13.080
<v Speaker 1>very unusual point in macro cycle, so that is hurting

0:14:13.120 --> 0:14:15.680
<v Speaker 1>them a lot more than what Barry McCarthy and his

0:14:15.760 --> 0:14:18.800
<v Speaker 1>team hopes to achieve in a short time. What do

0:14:18.840 --> 0:14:23.080
<v Speaker 1>you think of this pivot away from hardware to you know,

0:14:23.400 --> 0:14:28.520
<v Speaker 1>offering some premium classes for example, how much could that help. Um,

0:14:28.520 --> 0:14:30.760
<v Speaker 1>that is helping, but again, as I said, that is

0:14:30.960 --> 0:14:34.440
<v Speaker 1>that is opening up their kind of user base to

0:14:34.680 --> 0:14:38.160
<v Speaker 1>people who are extremely price sensitive. As if you were

0:14:39.120 --> 0:14:41.200
<v Speaker 1>not willing to buy a bite which is worth two

0:14:41.560 --> 0:14:45.160
<v Speaker 1>dollars or fifteen dollars right now, probably you could rent

0:14:45.240 --> 0:14:49.720
<v Speaker 1>it for a few months and uh and see how

0:14:49.760 --> 0:14:51.920
<v Speaker 1>things go, and then of three to four months, if

0:14:51.960 --> 0:14:54.680
<v Speaker 1>you feel like using it more, you could bite or

0:14:54.720 --> 0:14:58.400
<v Speaker 1>you could continue to pay per month. So there is

0:14:58.440 --> 0:15:01.800
<v Speaker 1>a certain cohort of users who may be willing to

0:15:02.240 --> 0:15:05.440
<v Speaker 1>try that out. And that's still very early days. So

0:15:05.480 --> 0:15:07.680
<v Speaker 1>there needs to be a full kind of two directional

0:15:08.080 --> 0:15:10.280
<v Speaker 1>logistics network they need to set up, They need to

0:15:10.320 --> 0:15:13.600
<v Speaker 1>have inventory to be able to fulfill such a demand.

0:15:13.720 --> 0:15:16.640
<v Speaker 1>So it is a good experiment. There is good success

0:15:16.680 --> 0:15:19.640
<v Speaker 1>so far, but that's exactly it's an experiment. It's still

0:15:19.720 --> 0:15:22.400
<v Speaker 1>very early days and those experiments, they are doing a

0:15:22.400 --> 0:15:25.240
<v Speaker 1>lot of those, and I feel encouraged by that. But

0:15:25.400 --> 0:15:28.880
<v Speaker 1>as as I said, like the broader ship, the cargo

0:15:28.960 --> 0:15:31.560
<v Speaker 1>ship that Barry McCarthy talks about in the letter, it's

0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:33.960
<v Speaker 1>very slow to turn around, and still we are not

0:15:34.000 --> 0:15:36.960
<v Speaker 1>seeing that from the outside. The effort that they're putting

0:15:37.000 --> 0:15:40.960
<v Speaker 1>in all right, lots to continue to follow. Hit called

0:15:41.000 --> 0:15:51.640
<v Speaker 1>Carney MKM partners managing director Row Hit, thanks for stopping by.

0:15:53.800 --> 0:15:56.760
<v Speaker 1>Amazon is getting greener and leaner the e commerce and

0:15:56.800 --> 0:16:00.880
<v Speaker 1>Claude John announcing a partnership with the electronic equipment maker

0:16:01.440 --> 0:16:04.960
<v Speaker 1>plug Power to cut fossil fuel use. Amazon is aiming

0:16:04.960 --> 0:16:08.520
<v Speaker 1>to hitting at zero carbon emissions. And earlier this week,

0:16:08.640 --> 0:16:12.400
<v Speaker 1>Amazon announced it'll wind down its telehealth service just weeks

0:16:12.440 --> 0:16:15.680
<v Speaker 1>after buying One Medical for three and a half billion dollars.

0:16:15.720 --> 0:16:18.240
<v Speaker 1>Let's bring in Bloombox Spencer Soaper who covers Amazon for us.

0:16:18.240 --> 0:16:20.600
<v Speaker 1>So what do you make of this latest twist in

0:16:20.600 --> 0:16:23.960
<v Speaker 1>the Amazon health story. What does it mean in the

0:16:23.960 --> 0:16:28.040
<v Speaker 1>context of the One Medical acquisition. Yeah, it does look

0:16:28.080 --> 0:16:30.880
<v Speaker 1>like there's a there's a lot of overlap between what

0:16:31.680 --> 0:16:35.960
<v Speaker 1>One Medical provides and what Amazon Care was doing. And

0:16:36.080 --> 0:16:39.640
<v Speaker 1>One Medical is just, you know, significantly ahead of Amazon

0:16:39.720 --> 0:16:42.000
<v Speaker 1>Care in terms of its footprint and its customer base.

0:16:42.080 --> 0:16:46.320
<v Speaker 1>And that's so uh. And then but the only brick

0:16:46.360 --> 0:16:50.280
<v Speaker 1>froms Amazon really dropped about why it is shuddering Amazon

0:16:50.360 --> 0:16:53.640
<v Speaker 1>Care is they said that it's not robust enough that

0:16:53.680 --> 0:16:56.160
<v Speaker 1>as they as they tried to get this service out,

0:16:56.160 --> 0:16:59.360
<v Speaker 1>this primary care medical service that they're trying to target

0:16:59.360 --> 0:17:02.400
<v Speaker 1>other business is you know, to buy it on behalf

0:17:02.440 --> 0:17:06.119
<v Speaker 1>of their own employees for um that they basically couldn't

0:17:06.119 --> 0:17:07.800
<v Speaker 1>sell it, you know that that it didn't have a

0:17:07.880 --> 0:17:11.040
<v Speaker 1>robust enough offering. So it sounds like Amazon's coming back

0:17:11.040 --> 0:17:13.760
<v Speaker 1>to the drawing board and whatever it does with one

0:17:13.840 --> 0:17:17.120
<v Speaker 1>medical that's going to have to go above them beyond this,

0:17:17.240 --> 0:17:20.960
<v Speaker 1>uh this Amazon care service which is fairly limited. Okay,

0:17:20.960 --> 0:17:23.840
<v Speaker 1>so talk to us about this development in Amazon's push

0:17:24.000 --> 0:17:29.640
<v Speaker 1>too e green or how significant is it? I mean,

0:17:29.640 --> 0:17:31.400
<v Speaker 1>it's a it's a big deal and a big commitment

0:17:31.440 --> 0:17:35.159
<v Speaker 1>in in to the extent of the amount of energy

0:17:35.200 --> 0:17:38.520
<v Speaker 1>that they'll be purchasing. You know, there's eleven thousand uh

0:17:38.560 --> 0:17:42.960
<v Speaker 1>tons a year beginning in is basically the entire production

0:17:43.000 --> 0:17:46.600
<v Speaker 1>of one plant of plug power. Plug power uses wind

0:17:46.640 --> 0:17:50.320
<v Speaker 1>and solar energy to create hydrogen which will then be

0:17:50.400 --> 0:17:52.960
<v Speaker 1>used as a fuel. So it's it's it's a very

0:17:53.000 --> 0:17:56.720
<v Speaker 1>streamline green process trying to have no emissions throughout, and

0:17:56.760 --> 0:17:59.080
<v Speaker 1>then that amount of fuel will run tens of thousands

0:17:59.080 --> 0:18:03.440
<v Speaker 1>of forklifts and amas on operation, hundreds of trucks, So

0:18:03.560 --> 0:18:06.199
<v Speaker 1>it's A. It's a it's a significant step and a

0:18:06.240 --> 0:18:10.840
<v Speaker 1>big boost for for hydrogen is a clean power source. Um,

0:18:11.200 --> 0:18:14.520
<v Speaker 1>but it's still you know, Amazon's carbon emissions have still

0:18:14.560 --> 0:18:17.040
<v Speaker 1>been going the wrong way, especially after the pandemic. It

0:18:17.119 --> 0:18:19.679
<v Speaker 1>made this big pledge, but then all the pandemic demand,

0:18:19.720 --> 0:18:22.840
<v Speaker 1>It's It's carbon emissions still went up significantly by like,

0:18:24.119 --> 0:18:25.840
<v Speaker 1>so it's it's got a lot of work left to

0:18:25.840 --> 0:18:29.200
<v Speaker 1>do yet, granted it's got till to do it. How

0:18:29.240 --> 0:18:34.359
<v Speaker 1>optimistic are you that Amazon hits that goal? I don't know.

0:18:34.440 --> 0:18:36.680
<v Speaker 1>I mean, there's so much there's so much time between

0:18:36.840 --> 0:18:40.080
<v Speaker 1>between now and then, and who knows you know, what

0:18:40.240 --> 0:18:43.359
<v Speaker 1>form uh e commerce will will be at that time

0:18:43.359 --> 0:18:45.720
<v Speaker 1>and delivery and that sort of thing. But there's there's

0:18:45.760 --> 0:18:50.240
<v Speaker 1>certainly a lot of time left for them to uh

0:18:50.480 --> 0:18:56.080
<v Speaker 1>develop alternatives. Okay, bloowork Spencer soaper update from Seattle. Thank

0:18:56.119 --> 0:19:08.040
<v Speaker 1>you Spencer for joining us. The iPhone fourteen is only

0:19:08.080 --> 0:19:10.960
<v Speaker 1>a couple of weeks away. Apples planning to announce the

0:19:10.960 --> 0:19:13.760
<v Speaker 1>new device on September seven and put it on sale

0:19:13.840 --> 0:19:17.040
<v Speaker 1>on September sixteen. The new phone will continue to come

0:19:17.040 --> 0:19:20.600
<v Speaker 1>in four models, two pro versions and two standard versions,

0:19:20.600 --> 0:19:23.720
<v Speaker 1>but Apple's replacing the iPhone thirteen Mini with the new

0:19:23.840 --> 0:19:27.720
<v Speaker 1>iPhone fourteen Max that will give Apple a standard iPhone

0:19:27.840 --> 0:19:30.280
<v Speaker 1>with a big six point seven inch display for the

0:19:30.320 --> 0:19:33.119
<v Speaker 1>first time. The new pro phones will have a forty

0:19:33.160 --> 0:19:35.840
<v Speaker 1>a megapixel camera on the back for the wide angle lens,

0:19:36.320 --> 0:19:39.920
<v Speaker 1>thinner bezels around the display, and a faster A sixteen processor.

0:19:40.440 --> 0:19:42.800
<v Speaker 1>The biggest design change will be to the front camera.

0:19:43.160 --> 0:19:45.320
<v Speaker 1>The notch will be replaced with a whole punch sized

0:19:45.359 --> 0:19:48.879
<v Speaker 1>cutout for FaceTime and selfies, and a pill shaped cutout

0:19:48.880 --> 0:19:51.639
<v Speaker 1>will come in for face I D. The Pro models

0:19:51.640 --> 0:19:54.560
<v Speaker 1>will also have enhanced finer recording and better battery life.

0:19:55.359 --> 0:19:57.760
<v Speaker 1>The new phones are launching about a week earlier than usual,

0:19:58.160 --> 0:20:00.879
<v Speaker 1>giving Apple an extra chunk of sale for its fourth quarter.

0:20:01.600 --> 0:20:05.160
<v Speaker 1>Beyond the iPhone fourteen, Apples planning to announce an update

0:20:05.200 --> 0:20:08.480
<v Speaker 1>to the Apple Watch sc with a faster processor, an

0:20:08.480 --> 0:20:11.760
<v Speaker 1>Apple Watch Series eight with a body temperature sensor, and

0:20:11.840 --> 0:20:14.560
<v Speaker 1>its first Apple Watch Pro that will have a more

0:20:14.640 --> 0:20:18.720
<v Speaker 1>rugged design in a larger display. Later this year, Apple's

0:20:18.760 --> 0:20:21.800
<v Speaker 1>aiming to announce revamps to the iPad Pro and the

0:20:21.920 --> 0:20:25.080
<v Speaker 1>entry level iPad in addition to new Max with M

0:20:25.160 --> 0:20:28.800
<v Speaker 1>two Pro and M two max based chips. I'm Mark Erman.

0:20:29.200 --> 0:20:35.040
<v Speaker 1>This is power On. You can subscribe to Mark's weekly

0:20:35.040 --> 0:20:39.000
<v Speaker 1>power On newsletter at Bloomberg dot com. Let's get back

0:20:39.040 --> 0:20:41.880
<v Speaker 1>to the markets and take a temperature of the private

0:20:41.920 --> 0:20:44.560
<v Speaker 1>markets ahead of FET Chair J. Pal's big speech this week.

0:20:44.840 --> 0:20:47.280
<v Speaker 1>Lots of questions about how much further the government will

0:20:47.320 --> 0:20:51.440
<v Speaker 1>go to tamp down inflation. How are vcs watching it all?

0:20:51.520 --> 0:20:56.199
<v Speaker 1>Let's discuss with Andrea Walney, general partner at Manhattan Venture Partners. Andrea,

0:20:56.280 --> 0:20:59.359
<v Speaker 1>great to have you back with us. So curious what

0:21:00.359 --> 0:21:04.000
<v Speaker 1>Chair J. Powe could say that would change things for

0:21:04.200 --> 0:21:08.840
<v Speaker 1>venture capitalists. Well, thanks, Emily. So I would say overall,

0:21:08.880 --> 0:21:12.000
<v Speaker 1>what we're all really eager to see is what the

0:21:12.040 --> 0:21:14.679
<v Speaker 1>impact on the soaring inflation is going to do for

0:21:14.720 --> 0:21:17.480
<v Speaker 1>all of us. And generally, I think we're all looking

0:21:17.520 --> 0:21:22.399
<v Speaker 1>at the outlook of unemployment reaching absolutely five decade lows

0:21:22.440 --> 0:21:25.560
<v Speaker 1>and generally what does this mean for interest rates when

0:21:25.600 --> 0:21:28.399
<v Speaker 1>they've really just been hovering it near zero for so long?

0:21:28.480 --> 0:21:31.119
<v Speaker 1>And I think we're all just taking a pulse on

0:21:31.240 --> 0:21:34.959
<v Speaker 1>what this employment environment is going to look like going forward.

0:21:35.280 --> 0:21:39.600
<v Speaker 1>So startups are trying to hire, well exactly, So let's

0:21:39.640 --> 0:21:42.080
<v Speaker 1>say you know, the FED says we're going to take

0:21:42.119 --> 0:21:45.119
<v Speaker 1>more steps to tamp down inflation. Would would you do

0:21:45.160 --> 0:21:49.919
<v Speaker 1>anything differently? Would you advise your portfolio companies differently? I

0:21:49.960 --> 0:21:53.119
<v Speaker 1>think everyone's just trying to reduce spend continuously emily so

0:21:53.160 --> 0:21:55.040
<v Speaker 1>that they end the year really strong. I know, we

0:21:55.119 --> 0:21:57.160
<v Speaker 1>really just kicked off the second half of the year

0:21:57.240 --> 0:22:01.320
<v Speaker 1>going into Q three, and so generally, I every startup

0:22:01.359 --> 0:22:04.080
<v Speaker 1>in the market right now is still got that hiring

0:22:04.160 --> 0:22:07.520
<v Speaker 1>freeze going on, and really they're kind of eyeing the

0:22:07.600 --> 0:22:09.560
<v Speaker 1>end of the year and saying, well, how do we

0:22:09.680 --> 0:22:12.680
<v Speaker 1>keep retaining talent? How do we keep ensharing that everyone's

0:22:12.680 --> 0:22:16.480
<v Speaker 1>incentivized while really you know, increasing the workload on everyone,

0:22:16.720 --> 0:22:21.919
<v Speaker 1>while hiring is still more or less still at a standstill. So,

0:22:22.640 --> 0:22:26.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, are are your portfolio companies then thinking about

0:22:26.440 --> 0:22:32.560
<v Speaker 1>doing more layoffs? Is this environment continues? Some of them are,

0:22:32.680 --> 0:22:35.240
<v Speaker 1>some of them are. I think generally, going into the

0:22:35.280 --> 0:22:37.560
<v Speaker 1>start of this past year, a lot of the late

0:22:37.640 --> 0:22:41.800
<v Speaker 1>stage startups at least had big aspirations for big hiring plans,

0:22:42.040 --> 0:22:45.160
<v Speaker 1>and so generally they are still looking to keep reducing

0:22:45.200 --> 0:22:48.560
<v Speaker 1>spend across the board. With that said, I think the

0:22:48.680 --> 0:22:52.240
<v Speaker 1>hiring is still at a standstill. They're not really targeting

0:22:52.359 --> 0:22:56.480
<v Speaker 1>an increase in budgeting and keeping things really tight, and

0:22:56.520 --> 0:22:59.080
<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of startups are changing course around

0:22:59.080 --> 0:23:02.200
<v Speaker 1>their narrative, around their forecast going into the second half

0:23:02.200 --> 0:23:06.640
<v Speaker 1>of this season. Is it changing your investment strategy at all?

0:23:06.680 --> 0:23:09.760
<v Speaker 1>I mean, are you pushing for lower valuations? Are you

0:23:10.440 --> 0:23:13.800
<v Speaker 1>reducing the amount that you would put into a single company?

0:23:13.880 --> 0:23:18.320
<v Speaker 1>Do you as an investor have more power because uh,

0:23:18.720 --> 0:23:21.680
<v Speaker 1>you know, times are tough for some of these companies.

0:23:22.640 --> 0:23:25.160
<v Speaker 1>We really are seeing a big shift, and our investment

0:23:25.200 --> 0:23:27.920
<v Speaker 1>strategy remains the same. So a man hand venture Partners,

0:23:27.960 --> 0:23:29.600
<v Speaker 1>we are looking at late stage companies that are in

0:23:29.640 --> 0:23:33.119
<v Speaker 1>the top decile of their sector. They are a category leader,

0:23:33.320 --> 0:23:36.520
<v Speaker 1>they have strong financial backing. What we're saying is that

0:23:36.800 --> 0:23:41.679
<v Speaker 1>from a reflective standpoint of the public comparables, right the

0:23:41.760 --> 0:23:45.440
<v Speaker 1>publicly traded companies company to the private startups, we're saying, listen,

0:23:45.440 --> 0:23:49.560
<v Speaker 1>the valuations of these late stage companies are still really high. Overall,

0:23:49.600 --> 0:23:51.879
<v Speaker 1>A lot of the companies were still raising at twenty

0:23:52.000 --> 0:23:56.280
<v Speaker 1>to forty, if not fifty times revenue alongside other fundamentals,

0:23:56.359 --> 0:23:58.080
<v Speaker 1>and with that set, a lot of them really just

0:23:58.119 --> 0:24:00.400
<v Speaker 1>don't want to take that valuation cuts. So what we're

0:24:00.440 --> 0:24:04.280
<v Speaker 1>seeing is companies really leveraging debt structures as well as

0:24:04.280 --> 0:24:07.800
<v Speaker 1>different types of uh anti dilution rights that we're kind

0:24:07.800 --> 0:24:10.159
<v Speaker 1>of putting in place, as well as many other venture

0:24:10.200 --> 0:24:13.080
<v Speaker 1>capitalists to say, we don't want to see you raise

0:24:13.160 --> 0:24:16.199
<v Speaker 1>a down round. We'd rather come something really creative as

0:24:16.200 --> 0:24:20.400
<v Speaker 1>an alternative. All right. I know you're an investor in

0:24:20.400 --> 0:24:23.520
<v Speaker 1>Insta Card, and Insta Car is planning to go public

0:24:23.640 --> 0:24:27.119
<v Speaker 1>later this year. They've also, you know, done a big

0:24:27.160 --> 0:24:30.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, quote unquote down round, which you know they

0:24:30.560 --> 0:24:33.520
<v Speaker 1>chose to do of their own solution given the change

0:24:33.640 --> 0:24:37.919
<v Speaker 1>in the market. Curious what you're expecting for their planned

0:24:37.920 --> 0:24:40.760
<v Speaker 1>I p O at a time when it seems like

0:24:40.800 --> 0:24:45.679
<v Speaker 1>the I p O window is pretty much sealed shut. Yeah, well,

0:24:45.760 --> 0:24:48.000
<v Speaker 1>so from what I can share, really, I think generally

0:24:48.200 --> 0:24:50.920
<v Speaker 1>Insta Car is one of many companies who are really

0:24:50.960 --> 0:24:53.720
<v Speaker 1>still eyeing the market volatility to determine whether to go

0:24:53.760 --> 0:24:56.240
<v Speaker 1>out this year, if at all. Right, I know that

0:24:56.240 --> 0:24:59.240
<v Speaker 1>that's what we're all discussing. Generally, I think that there

0:24:59.280 --> 0:25:01.960
<v Speaker 1>are a company that really opened up the ambiguity to

0:25:02.000 --> 0:25:04.879
<v Speaker 1>say maybe they'll go a traditional IPO. Maybe they'll do

0:25:04.880 --> 0:25:07.840
<v Speaker 1>a direct listing, maybe another function of an exit. I

0:25:07.880 --> 0:25:10.119
<v Speaker 1>think at this point in time, based on what we

0:25:10.160 --> 0:25:13.240
<v Speaker 1>all know publicly, it seems that a traditional IPO path

0:25:13.359 --> 0:25:16.080
<v Speaker 1>is probably the safest course of action. UM, if they

0:25:16.119 --> 0:25:19.040
<v Speaker 1>were to go out this season, I think really we

0:25:19.119 --> 0:25:21.679
<v Speaker 1>all expect that that window that I p O window

0:25:21.840 --> 0:25:24.840
<v Speaker 1>is between the third week of September and more or

0:25:24.880 --> 0:25:28.320
<v Speaker 1>less the absolute latest being the second week of December,

0:25:28.359 --> 0:25:31.280
<v Speaker 1>before the big holiday season, so they have some more

0:25:31.320 --> 0:25:34.040
<v Speaker 1>time to get ready. I do think that they could

0:25:34.080 --> 0:25:36.840
<v Speaker 1>be the blockbuster I PO to end the year, but

0:25:37.520 --> 0:25:39.840
<v Speaker 1>generally I think it's still a little bit shaky and

0:25:39.880 --> 0:25:42.040
<v Speaker 1>we aren't seeing a course correct in the public market

0:25:42.119 --> 0:25:43.920
<v Speaker 1>yet to say whether or not for certain they will

0:25:43.960 --> 0:25:47.399
<v Speaker 1>go out. There's been a lot of controversy over the

0:25:47.520 --> 0:25:51.919
<v Speaker 1>very big check that Andrews and Harrowitz wrote to Adam Newman,

0:25:52.000 --> 0:25:55.679
<v Speaker 1>the co founder of Rework, for his new real estate venture.

0:25:56.400 --> 0:26:01.560
<v Speaker 1>Some don't like it, some people do. What do you think?

0:26:02.200 --> 0:26:05.280
<v Speaker 1>So it is the largest single investment that in dreason

0:26:05.320 --> 0:26:07.879
<v Speaker 1>Horrows has ever written, and I think it's fascinating that

0:26:07.920 --> 0:26:11.720
<v Speaker 1>they both supported Adam Newman for Flow as well as

0:26:11.960 --> 0:26:14.879
<v Speaker 1>Clow Carbon and everything that he's doing on the blockchain side.

0:26:14.960 --> 0:26:18.320
<v Speaker 1>I think the strategy here is that obviously Adam Newman,

0:26:18.800 --> 0:26:21.240
<v Speaker 1>whether we love him or hate him, is a proven

0:26:21.920 --> 0:26:24.720
<v Speaker 1>founder and he could do it again. He already tried

0:26:24.760 --> 0:26:27.600
<v Speaker 1>it with We Live, right, and that didn't really pan out.

0:26:27.600 --> 0:26:30.280
<v Speaker 1>Obviously there were other things to focus on when he

0:26:30.359 --> 0:26:33.000
<v Speaker 1>was building We Work. But overall, I think where it's

0:26:33.000 --> 0:26:35.879
<v Speaker 1>really fascinating for in Reason is that they obviously have

0:26:35.960 --> 0:26:39.159
<v Speaker 1>such a strong focus in cryptocurrency and the future of

0:26:39.200 --> 0:26:42.280
<v Speaker 1>digital assets. And I think where the narrative really is

0:26:42.320 --> 0:26:46.080
<v Speaker 1>interesting here is how Adam Newman says that it flow um.

0:26:46.119 --> 0:26:48.879
<v Speaker 1>They planned to offer a crypto wallet as part of

0:26:48.920 --> 0:26:52.800
<v Speaker 1>the entire offering here and say that users could um

0:26:53.000 --> 0:26:55.760
<v Speaker 1>pay to earn and rent to own as well. And

0:26:55.800 --> 0:26:58.400
<v Speaker 1>so with that being said, I think the overall strategy

0:26:58.440 --> 0:27:00.720
<v Speaker 1>for in Reason is that the is not only a

0:27:00.800 --> 0:27:04.800
<v Speaker 1>category defining way to change how we all live and

0:27:04.840 --> 0:27:08.159
<v Speaker 1>where the biggest asset class being real estate, could change

0:27:08.400 --> 0:27:11.640
<v Speaker 1>to democratize that ownership. But it really goes to the

0:27:11.640 --> 0:27:15.520
<v Speaker 1>Theso the thesis that and Reason has around crypto going

0:27:15.560 --> 0:27:18.359
<v Speaker 1>forward and how digital infrastructure is going to change. So

0:27:18.400 --> 0:27:21.280
<v Speaker 1>I think it makes a complete large amount of sense

0:27:21.520 --> 0:27:23.639
<v Speaker 1>that they coupled this together and said, we've got a

0:27:23.680 --> 0:27:26.639
<v Speaker 1>proven founder. Uh, and we're going to take this forward

0:27:26.640 --> 0:27:29.640
<v Speaker 1>and see that he changes of the world again. Um,

0:27:29.680 --> 0:27:33.480
<v Speaker 1>and this time in a different asset class. Interesting take. Um,

0:27:33.560 --> 0:27:35.320
<v Speaker 1>you know the controversy side. What do you make of

0:27:35.359 --> 0:27:37.960
<v Speaker 1>the size of this check in general? To write a

0:27:38.040 --> 0:27:44.840
<v Speaker 1>check that big in this very uncertain economic environment. Yeah, well,

0:27:44.880 --> 0:27:47.239
<v Speaker 1>and Reason's funds just keep getting larger, so they do

0:27:47.359 --> 0:27:50.320
<v Speaker 1>have to start deploying check sizes that are quite sizeable

0:27:50.359 --> 0:27:52.240
<v Speaker 1>across the board. So I do expect to see more

0:27:52.240 --> 0:27:55.960
<v Speaker 1>of that from them as a fund. But with flow specifically,

0:27:56.359 --> 0:27:58.520
<v Speaker 1>I would say that this is a company that's going

0:27:58.560 --> 0:28:01.480
<v Speaker 1>to need a lot of capital to keep acquiring the

0:28:01.560 --> 0:28:03.679
<v Speaker 1>units that they have. I mean, that's right now, they

0:28:03.680 --> 0:28:08.800
<v Speaker 1>have three thousand apartment units under their mandate, and going forward,

0:28:08.840 --> 0:28:11.800
<v Speaker 1>it's going to require an increasingly large amount of capital

0:28:11.880 --> 0:28:14.600
<v Speaker 1>and doing it at a velocity that's really high. So

0:28:14.640 --> 0:28:17.360
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't necessarily surprise me. But I would say with

0:28:17.440 --> 0:28:20.320
<v Speaker 1>this capital, I would expect that they're probably well off

0:28:20.320 --> 0:28:22.960
<v Speaker 1>for the next two years when it comes to their runway.

0:28:23.440 --> 0:28:26.320
<v Speaker 1>All right. Andrea Wellly, general partner at Manhattan Venture Partner

0:28:26.400 --> 0:28:28.120
<v Speaker 1>is good to have you back with us. Thank you

0:28:29.040 --> 0:28:32.879
<v Speaker 1>for sharing your thoughts. Coming up, the Daring merge is

0:28:33.000 --> 0:28:34.840
<v Speaker 1>fast approaching. We're going to talk about what it all

0:28:34.880 --> 0:28:37.200
<v Speaker 1>means for the rest of the ecosystem with all the

0:28:37.320 --> 0:28:44.200
<v Speaker 1>Labs President John Blue. Next, this is Bloomberg. We've seen

0:28:44.240 --> 0:28:46.960
<v Speaker 1>a number of other proof of steak networks already be

0:28:47.080 --> 0:28:52.000
<v Speaker 1>successfully launched Salanta near Avalanche. I mean essentially Bitcoin and

0:28:52.040 --> 0:28:54.920
<v Speaker 1>Ether are the only proof of work networks still alive,

0:28:55.280 --> 0:28:57.480
<v Speaker 1>and we haven't seen any issue on the other proof

0:28:57.480 --> 0:28:59.520
<v Speaker 1>of steak networks, and I think proof of steak will

0:28:59.520 --> 0:29:14.720
<v Speaker 1>be just fine. Time now for our crypto report, and

0:29:14.760 --> 0:29:17.880
<v Speaker 1>as Bitcoin maybe poise for another downward move, let's talk

0:29:17.880 --> 0:29:20.600
<v Speaker 1>about what that means in the general ecosystem with our

0:29:20.640 --> 0:29:24.080
<v Speaker 1>next guest, John Wu, president of Oval Labs, the lead

0:29:24.080 --> 0:29:26.760
<v Speaker 1>developer of the Avalanche blockchain, and of course our crypto

0:29:26.800 --> 0:29:31.000
<v Speaker 1>contributor Sali Boss John. We're all bracing for whatever j

0:29:31.160 --> 0:29:34.880
<v Speaker 1>Powell has to say coming up on Friday. Curious what

0:29:35.040 --> 0:29:39.120
<v Speaker 1>you're watching for and how whatever he says could mean

0:29:39.440 --> 0:29:44.040
<v Speaker 1>for the crypto ecosystem. Well, Bitcoin and Ethereum now are

0:29:44.200 --> 0:29:47.560
<v Speaker 1>at point seven five in terms of correlation with the NASTAC.

0:29:47.840 --> 0:29:50.640
<v Speaker 1>So what the market is saying is it's all high

0:29:50.800 --> 0:29:53.960
<v Speaker 1>risk assets are correlated UM and Jay is going to

0:29:54.120 --> 0:29:57.000
<v Speaker 1>raise rates. You know, I think uh sale sided yes,

0:29:57.040 --> 0:29:59.719
<v Speaker 1>say uh damn Moore head from Pantera on you from

0:29:59.760 --> 0:30:02.280
<v Speaker 1>TI are saying that we need rates go a lot higher.

0:30:02.320 --> 0:30:04.520
<v Speaker 1>And I agree it will go a lot higher. But

0:30:04.640 --> 0:30:07.000
<v Speaker 1>why I think the market needs to understand is that

0:30:07.040 --> 0:30:10.320
<v Speaker 1>there will be alpha in the crypto asset space and

0:30:10.360 --> 0:30:14.880
<v Speaker 1>there's very good reasons for that. The fundamentals are absolutely

0:30:14.880 --> 0:30:19.960
<v Speaker 1>increasing and improving. The technicals. I mean there's if you

0:30:19.960 --> 0:30:24.440
<v Speaker 1>think about the the crypto market caps, they've gone down,

0:30:24.480 --> 0:30:27.200
<v Speaker 1>the stable coins have not, and that tells you a

0:30:27.240 --> 0:30:29.920
<v Speaker 1>lot of people are just hiding and they're ready to deploy.

0:30:30.240 --> 0:30:32.440
<v Speaker 1>And finally, I know you guys ultimately want to talk

0:30:32.480 --> 0:30:35.880
<v Speaker 1>about the merge with Ethereum, and that's a huge catalyst.

0:30:36.000 --> 0:30:39.080
<v Speaker 1>So I think what's going to surprise people is UM

0:30:39.400 --> 0:30:41.920
<v Speaker 1>that point seven or five correlation, no matter where the

0:30:41.960 --> 0:30:44.240
<v Speaker 1>market goes, will go down. And you're gonna ask some

0:30:44.320 --> 0:30:47.240
<v Speaker 1>alpha in the space, John, some major investors in the

0:30:47.240 --> 0:30:49.680
<v Speaker 1>crypto space. You said you worked at Tiger Dan Moore

0:30:49.720 --> 0:30:54.080
<v Speaker 1>had also worked at Tiger before Mike Nevergrat's previously at Fortress.

0:30:54.120 --> 0:30:56.440
<v Speaker 1>How much do you need to be in touch with

0:30:56.480 --> 0:31:00.320
<v Speaker 1>the macro to get the fundamentals right in crypto? Is

0:31:00.360 --> 0:31:02.720
<v Speaker 1>it more about the protocols or is it more about

0:31:02.760 --> 0:31:06.760
<v Speaker 1>what's happening around the ecosystem. Well, I've had the benefit

0:31:06.800 --> 0:31:09.240
<v Speaker 1>now being of an opera an operator for five years

0:31:09.240 --> 0:31:12.480
<v Speaker 1>and being an investor in technology for longer than that.

0:31:12.920 --> 0:31:16.200
<v Speaker 1>Um So I think having a macro perspective is always

0:31:16.360 --> 0:31:19.440
<v Speaker 1>very important. Um you know, when you wake up in

0:31:19.480 --> 0:31:21.560
<v Speaker 1>the morning, you need to know what season is, you

0:31:21.600 --> 0:31:23.600
<v Speaker 1>know what clothes you put on, But then what clothes

0:31:23.640 --> 0:31:26.280
<v Speaker 1>you put on is dictated by your personal tastes and

0:31:26.360 --> 0:31:28.719
<v Speaker 1>exactly how warm it is. So as an operator now

0:31:28.800 --> 0:31:32.440
<v Speaker 1>I'm really focused on getting more users in getting the

0:31:32.440 --> 0:31:35.800
<v Speaker 1>masses into the space, getting more developers. There's a few

0:31:35.880 --> 0:31:38.960
<v Speaker 1>hundred thousand developers in the space. There's thirty million plus

0:31:39.040 --> 0:31:42.160
<v Speaker 1>web developers. All these Layer one should be working on

0:31:42.240 --> 0:31:45.120
<v Speaker 1>getting more of those developers and more applications and more

0:31:45.200 --> 0:31:48.200
<v Speaker 1>use cases uh into the space. And by the way,

0:31:48.440 --> 0:31:51.280
<v Speaker 1>those use cases they are really happening. So there's a

0:31:51.320 --> 0:31:54.880
<v Speaker 1>lot of operating momentum. Speaking of developers. You're seeing people

0:31:54.880 --> 0:31:57.080
<v Speaker 1>in the industry get paid to how kind of fix

0:31:57.160 --> 0:31:59.760
<v Speaker 1>up any issues that might be pertaining to the Ethereum

0:32:00.080 --> 0:32:03.080
<v Speaker 1>urge that is so highly anticipated, So a lot of

0:32:03.120 --> 0:32:06.560
<v Speaker 1>people hard at work. How might the merge affect other

0:32:06.720 --> 0:32:11.880
<v Speaker 1>assets outside of Ethereum. This is great because I know

0:32:12.480 --> 0:32:16.000
<v Speaker 1>it makes great headline to say Ethereum killer and market share.

0:32:16.000 --> 0:32:19.520
<v Speaker 1>Here again, I'm in the belief that the space is

0:32:19.560 --> 0:32:22.960
<v Speaker 1>so small that the space your work together to help

0:32:23.000 --> 0:32:27.040
<v Speaker 1>the masses come over and bridge that gap. Um. I'm

0:32:27.200 --> 0:32:30.600
<v Speaker 1>rooting as an operator for Ethereum merge to be smooth

0:32:31.000 --> 0:32:34.480
<v Speaker 1>and to happen in September fift very well. I mean,

0:32:34.640 --> 0:32:38.720
<v Speaker 1>Avalanche is e v M compatible assets moved back and forth.

0:32:38.760 --> 0:32:41.200
<v Speaker 1>There's a bridge where over fifty billion dollars of assets

0:32:41.200 --> 0:32:44.440
<v Speaker 1>and move back and forth between Ethereum and Avalanche. So

0:32:44.520 --> 0:32:46.880
<v Speaker 1>the more people that come into the ecosystem, to more

0:32:46.880 --> 0:32:50.560
<v Speaker 1>applications get developed, it's good for many layer ones. In

0:32:50.600 --> 0:32:54.520
<v Speaker 1>my opinion, UM, I think what you're I think that

0:32:54.680 --> 0:32:59.280
<v Speaker 1>your users UM should also be hopeful that the merge

0:32:59.320 --> 0:33:02.440
<v Speaker 1>goes well. I mean, you know your viewers loved to

0:33:02.960 --> 0:33:05.200
<v Speaker 1>invest in companies like coin Base, one of the best

0:33:05.200 --> 0:33:08.920
<v Speaker 1>companies out there, and that's a listed company, And if

0:33:08.960 --> 0:33:12.280
<v Speaker 1>the merge goes well, basically that's going to allow the

0:33:12.320 --> 0:33:16.760
<v Speaker 1>concept of staking happen and in individuals institutions can earn

0:33:16.880 --> 0:33:20.120
<v Speaker 1>eight nine. Now, the way coin Base works is that's

0:33:20.120 --> 0:33:23.080
<v Speaker 1>a whole new revenue stream. If using their current you know,

0:33:23.320 --> 0:33:26.840
<v Speaker 1>um formula of take rates and stuff, that potentially could

0:33:26.840 --> 0:33:29.400
<v Speaker 1>mean six million dollars of revenue for coin base. And

0:33:29.440 --> 0:33:31.040
<v Speaker 1>that's off of the base of this year probably around

0:33:31.080 --> 0:33:34.040
<v Speaker 1>three point eight billions. So that's significant and it's very

0:33:34.080 --> 0:33:36.440
<v Speaker 1>good for coin bay stocks. So I think your viewers

0:33:36.440 --> 0:33:40.480
<v Speaker 1>should be rooting for a successful merge as well. You know,

0:33:40.760 --> 0:33:44.360
<v Speaker 1>it's it's clearly been a volatile year and it could

0:33:44.400 --> 0:33:46.960
<v Speaker 1>continue to be volatile through the rest of the year.

0:33:47.640 --> 0:33:50.520
<v Speaker 1>What is your outlook on how long this quote unquote

0:33:51.040 --> 0:33:55.080
<v Speaker 1>winter lasts and you know where we are at this time,

0:33:55.160 --> 0:34:02.000
<v Speaker 1>let's say next year, um it is, so I personally think, um,

0:34:02.400 --> 0:34:05.000
<v Speaker 1>the winter will be here for a little bit longer.

0:34:05.520 --> 0:34:10.400
<v Speaker 1>But what I'm really looking forward to is these new applications,

0:34:10.480 --> 0:34:15.840
<v Speaker 1>these new protocols that literally redefine the way businesses operator

0:34:16.160 --> 0:34:19.960
<v Speaker 1>operate and businesses will be built. I mean um if

0:34:20.360 --> 0:34:24.600
<v Speaker 1>you what you can do when tokenization is here in

0:34:24.760 --> 0:34:28.000
<v Speaker 1>full swing is you're going to encode the business logic

0:34:28.160 --> 0:34:32.120
<v Speaker 1>into a smart contract and then the platform is the business.

0:34:32.160 --> 0:34:33.719
<v Speaker 1>So that what does that mean? That means like right

0:34:33.719 --> 0:34:35.759
<v Speaker 1>now we're talking about coin base, and the coin Base

0:34:35.800 --> 0:34:39.560
<v Speaker 1>has about five thousand employees, market cap of sixteen billion,

0:34:39.840 --> 0:34:42.319
<v Speaker 1>has about two point four two point five billion dollars

0:34:42.320 --> 0:34:45.200
<v Speaker 1>a daily volume. A company like unit swap also an

0:34:45.239 --> 0:34:49.400
<v Speaker 1>exchange in the DeFi ecosystem, it has a billion dollars

0:34:49.440 --> 0:34:52.680
<v Speaker 1>of volume a day and that's about a hundred employees

0:34:53.040 --> 0:34:55.920
<v Speaker 1>only there. So if you do the token cap and

0:34:55.960 --> 0:34:59.279
<v Speaker 1>the market cap to employees at coin Base, it's about

0:34:59.320 --> 0:35:03.080
<v Speaker 1>three million dollar is a value created by and by employee.

0:35:03.160 --> 0:35:06.600
<v Speaker 1>Roughly at unite slap, we're talking about like forty fifty

0:35:06.680 --> 0:35:10.480
<v Speaker 1>million dollars dollars worth of value creative by each individual.

0:35:10.560 --> 0:35:13.239
<v Speaker 1>So what we're doing is we're going to redefine what

0:35:13.400 --> 0:35:16.239
<v Speaker 1>businesses are. And the best part of this is the

0:35:16.320 --> 0:35:20.480
<v Speaker 1>network effects that happened crew back to the users, not

0:35:20.560 --> 0:35:22.640
<v Speaker 1>to I need to really get your opinion here on

0:35:22.680 --> 0:35:25.040
<v Speaker 1>something because you're talking about staking and you know really

0:35:25.080 --> 0:35:28.760
<v Speaker 1>quickly here what is staking? Most like in traditional financial services.

0:35:29.000 --> 0:35:30.840
<v Speaker 1>The reason I ask is because if it's going to

0:35:30.840 --> 0:35:33.400
<v Speaker 1>be a bigger part of the ecosystem, coin based might

0:35:33.480 --> 0:35:36.280
<v Speaker 1>start making it a bigger part of its product suite.

0:35:36.760 --> 0:35:38.880
<v Speaker 1>Is it subject to regulation in a way that a

0:35:38.920 --> 0:35:44.360
<v Speaker 1>traditional lending product would be or a clearinghouse would face. Well, philosophically,

0:35:44.400 --> 0:35:46.880
<v Speaker 1>what it is. It doesn't exist in the traditional world.

0:35:47.200 --> 0:35:50.160
<v Speaker 1>You know, the way value is distributed in the traditional

0:35:50.200 --> 0:35:52.799
<v Speaker 1>world is really and created and distributed is really two ways, right,

0:35:53.200 --> 0:35:56.880
<v Speaker 1>is labor and then there is using your capital to

0:35:56.920 --> 0:35:59.520
<v Speaker 1>make more money. What labor you get paid for the

0:35:59.600 --> 0:36:02.480
<v Speaker 1>value you create. Capital, you take your existing money, you

0:36:02.480 --> 0:36:04.440
<v Speaker 1>put it to work, and hopefully you get a return

0:36:04.600 --> 0:36:07.920
<v Speaker 1>on it. Staking is a combination of the two. You

0:36:07.920 --> 0:36:11.960
<v Speaker 1>are actually taking your existing capital helping validated secure a

0:36:12.200 --> 0:36:15.719
<v Speaker 1>blockchain and therefore getting a reward as well as a

0:36:15.840 --> 0:36:18.160
<v Speaker 1>yield for it. So it's a hybrid. And when you

0:36:18.200 --> 0:36:20.960
<v Speaker 1>talk about how do you regulate that, that's a really

0:36:21.000 --> 0:36:24.400
<v Speaker 1>good question because is a labor or is it actually

0:36:24.960 --> 0:36:28.680
<v Speaker 1>dividends and yields? It's not clear. Um, I kind of

0:36:28.680 --> 0:36:30.800
<v Speaker 1>think you're putting things to work, and that's the spirit

0:36:30.840 --> 0:36:33.560
<v Speaker 1>of permission lists get being part of the community, helping

0:36:33.560 --> 0:36:37.680
<v Speaker 1>make decisions and getting rewarded for your efforts, not necessarily

0:36:37.680 --> 0:36:40.600
<v Speaker 1>just getting putting your collateral down and getting a yield.

0:36:42.000 --> 0:36:46.640
<v Speaker 1>All right, lots to think about. John Wou of Labs,

0:36:46.680 --> 0:36:49.560
<v Speaker 1>good to have you back as always, and our own

0:36:50.360 --> 0:37:02.279
<v Speaker 1>thank you. Some thing else we're following Sony raising the

0:37:02.280 --> 0:37:05.839
<v Speaker 1>price of its PlayStation five console and major markets outside

0:37:05.920 --> 0:37:08.600
<v Speaker 1>the US by as much as the move is in

0:37:08.640 --> 0:37:12.360
<v Speaker 1>response to global inflation rates and currency trans impacting consumers

0:37:12.360 --> 0:37:16.719
<v Speaker 1>and creating pressure on multiple industries. I sat down with

0:37:17.000 --> 0:37:20.160
<v Speaker 1>Microsoft Gaming CEO Phil Spencer to talk about its relationship

0:37:20.320 --> 0:37:24.239
<v Speaker 1>with other platforms like Sony. I first asked him why

0:37:24.320 --> 0:37:27.200
<v Speaker 1>he's such a big proponent of cross platform gaming. Take

0:37:27.200 --> 0:37:30.960
<v Speaker 1>a listen to what he had to say. Maybe you

0:37:31.040 --> 0:37:32.960
<v Speaker 1>happen in your household to buy an Xbox and I

0:37:33.000 --> 0:37:35.400
<v Speaker 1>buy a PlayStation, and our kids want to play together

0:37:35.920 --> 0:37:37.840
<v Speaker 1>and they can't because we bought the wrong piece of

0:37:37.880 --> 0:37:40.680
<v Speaker 1>plastic to plug into our television. It just seems that

0:37:40.840 --> 0:37:45.520
<v Speaker 1>these artificial constraints that the industry might put up for

0:37:45.680 --> 0:37:49.080
<v Speaker 1>near term kind of business dynamics in the long run,

0:37:49.120 --> 0:37:51.480
<v Speaker 1>if you take a business that is at three billion

0:37:51.480 --> 0:37:53.960
<v Speaker 1>people growing to four billion people over the next decade

0:37:54.360 --> 0:37:56.760
<v Speaker 1>and saying how do we continue to grow this business?

0:37:57.120 --> 0:38:00.680
<v Speaker 1>Reducing friction for our customers has as an industry has

0:38:00.719 --> 0:38:02.640
<v Speaker 1>to be at the top. So how far does this go?

0:38:02.760 --> 0:38:05.000
<v Speaker 1>Does this mean that activision games that Call of Duty

0:38:05.040 --> 0:38:07.680
<v Speaker 1>you'll be able to play on any platform and perpetuity.

0:38:07.719 --> 0:38:09.880
<v Speaker 1>I don't know what that means and forever, like when

0:38:09.920 --> 0:38:11.960
<v Speaker 1>you think about how long, and it's not for any

0:38:12.000 --> 0:38:14.160
<v Speaker 1>kind of nefarious business reason. It's just like, what do

0:38:14.200 --> 0:38:16.319
<v Speaker 1>we even platforms mean ten years ago? Like, I think

0:38:16.520 --> 0:38:19.840
<v Speaker 1>the definition of some of these things might change over time,

0:38:19.880 --> 0:38:23.240
<v Speaker 1>but our expectation is we want more people to play.

0:38:23.239 --> 0:38:26.120
<v Speaker 1>So I know you're working with Sony on some things

0:38:26.200 --> 0:38:28.080
<v Speaker 1>for the benefit of gamers. Can you talk to us

0:38:28.080 --> 0:38:30.160
<v Speaker 1>about that a little bit. We have a pretty big

0:38:30.200 --> 0:38:33.919
<v Speaker 1>publishing footprint on PlayStation as well as Nintendo, which means

0:38:33.920 --> 0:38:37.239
<v Speaker 1>we have good relationships with those platforms because we're they're

0:38:37.280 --> 0:38:38.839
<v Speaker 1>a big part of our business and we're a big

0:38:38.880 --> 0:38:41.880
<v Speaker 1>part of their business. I think our long term ambition

0:38:42.560 --> 0:38:45.880
<v Speaker 1>of where we see this industry growing is also shared.

0:38:46.239 --> 0:38:48.919
<v Speaker 1>I think the area where things get stuck a little bit,

0:38:49.040 --> 0:38:53.480
<v Speaker 1>it's in the kind of near mid term competition. If

0:38:53.480 --> 0:38:58.080
<v Speaker 1>somebody walks into a store and they have one bill,

0:38:58.080 --> 0:38:59.799
<v Speaker 1>they're either going to walk out with the switch, which

0:38:59.800 --> 0:39:02.319
<v Speaker 1>is most people buy, or they're gonna walk out over

0:39:02.320 --> 0:39:05.000
<v Speaker 1>the PlayStation five, or they're gonna walk out with an Xbox,

0:39:05.239 --> 0:39:07.359
<v Speaker 1>or maybe somebody will go buy gaming a Windows PC.

0:39:08.160 --> 0:39:10.480
<v Speaker 1>But in that world of somebody's got to make a

0:39:10.520 --> 0:39:14.360
<v Speaker 1>decision for one platform over another in the beginning, UM,

0:39:14.400 --> 0:39:16.319
<v Speaker 1>that is where I think we we get stuck in

0:39:16.440 --> 0:39:18.160
<v Speaker 1>some of the kind of near term competition. I don't

0:39:18.160 --> 0:39:20.600
<v Speaker 1>think that's bad, right, It's just the dynamic of each

0:39:20.600 --> 0:39:23.000
<v Speaker 1>of us pushing each other, um to build the best

0:39:23.040 --> 0:39:27.319
<v Speaker 1>product for our customers. You can watch a full edition

0:39:27.320 --> 0:39:30.400
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Studio at one point oh with Microsoft Gaming

0:39:30.440 --> 0:39:33.799
<v Speaker 1>cel Phil Spencer at Bloomberg dot com, or check out

0:39:33.800 --> 0:39:36.080
<v Speaker 1>the podcast and that does it For this edition of

0:39:36.120 --> 0:39:39.680
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Technology coming up Friday, A firm CEO, Max left

0:39:39.719 --> 0:39:43.040
<v Speaker 1>Chin joins me to talk about the company's revenue forecast

0:39:43.160 --> 0:39:47.719
<v Speaker 1>for three it's earnings just now shares under pressure, as

0:39:47.760 --> 0:39:51.000
<v Speaker 1>well as the future of buy now, pay later, And

0:39:51.320 --> 0:39:54.080
<v Speaker 1>don't forget to check out our Bloomberg Tech podcast anywhere

0:39:54.120 --> 0:39:57.319
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcast for your daily tech round up.

0:39:57.600 --> 0:40:00.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm Emily Changing in San Francisco. This is Bloomberg