1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:09,080 Speaker 1: All right, here we go spreading the court. Ten seconds 2 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:09,800 Speaker 1: of eighty. 3 00:00:11,119 --> 00:00:12,720 Speaker 2: Then just go throw me off to the basket. 4 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:15,720 Speaker 1: Under the basket, it's down a seven second. It's the 5 00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 1: group for the wind God make up americle. 6 00:00:20,520 --> 00:00:26,160 Speaker 3: I it's the water hit, that one from the parking lot. 7 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 2: Shuck it all. 8 00:00:28,200 --> 00:00:34,400 Speaker 1: In college basketball, it's not the size on the dog 9 00:00:34,440 --> 00:00:34,880 Speaker 1: in the fight. 10 00:00:35,440 --> 00:00:37,880 Speaker 2: It's the size of the fight in the dog. 11 00:00:41,400 --> 00:00:44,800 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus podcast. I am 12 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:46,960 Speaker 1: your host for this week, Jim Roots, and I am 13 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:48,920 Speaker 1: joined by the rest of the three man Weave crew 14 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:52,680 Speaker 1: Matthew Cox, Kay McEwan. They're both flanking me here in 15 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:55,920 Speaker 1: our little zoom machine. Of course, every Wednesday morning we're 16 00:00:55,960 --> 00:00:59,560 Speaker 1: gonna be bringing you to a new BBOC episode in 17 00:00:59,600 --> 00:01:03,120 Speaker 1: this field. There will be a weekend preview from Stucky 18 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:05,480 Speaker 1: as well on Fridays, but we are the Wednesday, the 19 00:01:05,480 --> 00:01:07,840 Speaker 1: mid week episode, checking and looking at some of the 20 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 1: Wednesday Thursday games, even a little peak towards the weekend 21 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:14,400 Speaker 1: if we see it so fitting. But yeah, we're gonna 22 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:16,000 Speaker 1: try to get as many game previous as we can 23 00:01:16,319 --> 00:01:20,280 Speaker 1: spray the board and we'll start as usual, guys, with 24 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:23,479 Speaker 1: the outright and live dog of the week. 25 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:33,440 Speaker 2: Where's mine? Oh, where's mine? 26 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:38,120 Speaker 1: Job? Let's start with a quick recap, Matthias, we didn't 27 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:40,959 Speaker 1: do super well. I'd say we were about even last week, 28 00:01:41,000 --> 00:01:43,840 Speaker 1: which is okay when you're trying to hunt down live dogs. 29 00:01:44,520 --> 00:01:47,680 Speaker 1: Siena lost to Manhattan as him, you did beat Memphis, 30 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 1: but none of us officially picked it. That's kind of 31 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:52,680 Speaker 1: a bummer. We didn't know who would be out from Memphis. 32 00:01:53,600 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 1: Saint Thomas was up at halftime against South dakost State, 33 00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 1: but did not end up winning and did not cover 34 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:02,000 Speaker 1: either tcu ostoll Home State by one. Charleston lost the 35 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 1: towsand but did cover Missouri State beat Loyola Fellas. You 36 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 1: both nailed that one. 37 00:02:07,600 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 2: Hey, it was a demolition. 38 00:02:11,200 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 1: Demolition is mostly nearly outscored Loyola by himself. 39 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:18,040 Speaker 2: I'm so one man reconcur that kid, Matt. 40 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:20,600 Speaker 1: You got slighted here because I think we sped over 41 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:23,680 Speaker 1: one game in the outline last week for time purposes, 42 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:26,359 Speaker 1: and that was Lehigh beating Navy. You would have nailed it, 43 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:27,280 Speaker 1: I know. 44 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:30,200 Speaker 2: I just the Patriot League, Jim is officially escape pant 45 00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:33,200 Speaker 2: this point. I have no feel for that league. I 46 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 2: shouldn't have abandoned are Lee High. What's their mascot? The 47 00:02:37,000 --> 00:02:39,920 Speaker 2: mountain Hawks, the mountain Hawk. I should not have been 48 00:02:40,000 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 2: on our mountain Hawks. We should have stayed on our 49 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 2: mountain with our hawks. 50 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:45,920 Speaker 1: But we should have stayed ridiculous Lee High. I still 51 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:49,720 Speaker 1: love that sign. That sign is so awesome. All right? 52 00:02:49,760 --> 00:02:51,920 Speaker 1: And then Hartford did not beat from at highest, but 53 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 1: they did cover so well done there, and. 54 00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 2: They had it tied with nine to play. Baby, they 55 00:02:55,800 --> 00:02:59,639 Speaker 2: were right there. They were done seventeen two first half too. 56 00:02:59,639 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 1: So yeah, extremely Iraqi game. All right, let's get into 57 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:06,720 Speaker 1: discussion for this week, and let's start on Thursday. The 58 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:12,000 Speaker 1: somewhat underachieving Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are hosting UAB. Matthias, you 59 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:16,200 Speaker 1: love the Hilltoppers. I think Rich Stansbury might secretly be 60 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:18,520 Speaker 1: your uncle. You are a big fan of that gentleman 61 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:20,840 Speaker 1: and his work. But the Hilltoppers are two and four 62 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:23,320 Speaker 1: in Conference USA and UAB is a juggernaut. Do you 63 00:03:23,440 --> 00:03:25,679 Speaker 1: really think w K you can get it done here? 64 00:03:26,120 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 3: Yeah? 65 00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:28,840 Speaker 2: Jan back to that example, It's like he's like the 66 00:03:28,960 --> 00:03:31,000 Speaker 2: crazy uncle that I'm not really sure of, but I 67 00:03:31,120 --> 00:03:32,840 Speaker 2: like his kids and like so me and like the 68 00:03:32,880 --> 00:03:35,120 Speaker 2: cousins are really tight. I like his players. They have 69 00:03:35,120 --> 00:03:37,040 Speaker 2: good players, and these had good players like the last 70 00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 2: three four years and every regrets seem to fall in 71 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 2: love with someone new. This year it's been Damian McKnight, 72 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:44,880 Speaker 2: the sophomore sterling, sophomore point guard. This is a game 73 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:48,520 Speaker 2: where Kai vintage Hilltops. They rised level of competition, they 74 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 2: fall down to bad teams. This one screams like the 75 00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 2: effort that we got against Louisiana Tech. Again, they should 76 00:03:55,720 --> 00:03:58,680 Speaker 2: have won by the way that they just squandered late. Jim, 77 00:03:58,680 --> 00:03:59,760 Speaker 2: I'm man on this one like they won. 78 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:01,600 Speaker 1: Of course you are. I could have predicted that. 79 00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 3: I am too actually in on this one. I come on. 80 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 3: WKU has sucked in Conference USA. They've lost three straight, 81 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:13,200 Speaker 3: sitting at two and four. That's extremely disappointing. They have 82 00:04:13,240 --> 00:04:16,159 Speaker 3: so much talent, still among the most talented teams in 83 00:04:16,200 --> 00:04:19,000 Speaker 3: this conference. They certainly have a talent to go against AB. 84 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:22,000 Speaker 3: And last year they did beat UAB on a neutral 85 00:04:22,120 --> 00:04:25,279 Speaker 3: in the Conference USA tournament, so they proved they could do. 86 00:04:25,279 --> 00:04:27,400 Speaker 3: They had a guy nam Charles Bassie. He was somewhat 87 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 3: important in that game. But they had temper twenty for 88 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:32,560 Speaker 3: three they're at home, they played the competition. I think 89 00:04:32,560 --> 00:04:33,480 Speaker 3: they can get it done here. 90 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:36,480 Speaker 1: I'm going to be the annoying wet blanket that says no, 91 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:39,719 Speaker 1: the big favorite's gonna win, Like that's not interesting or 92 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:42,239 Speaker 1: compelling at all. But I just I think this Western 93 00:04:42,320 --> 00:04:45,520 Speaker 1: Kentucky team isn't that good. The talent isn't as strong. 94 00:04:45,680 --> 00:04:48,120 Speaker 1: I think maybe as we would hope, like Jalen Buttz 95 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:51,400 Speaker 1: has done nothing that the Paul transfer. Jerris Hamilton is fine, 96 00:04:51,480 --> 00:04:54,080 Speaker 1: but wasn't like a big time guy in power conferences. 97 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 1: So I will I will still side with you. Ab 98 00:04:56,680 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 1: there again, boring, Let's go to the man the Metro 99 00:05:00,640 --> 00:05:04,640 Speaker 1: Atlantic all kinds of wild results in that league, and 100 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:07,599 Speaker 1: we have picked out Manhattan. They are plus six dog 101 00:05:07,680 --> 00:05:10,960 Speaker 1: per Kin pom spread on Friday at Saint Peter's. Kai 102 00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:14,840 Speaker 1: Manhattan drives me absolutely insane. I think they are one 103 00:05:14,839 --> 00:05:17,400 Speaker 1: of the most brain dead teams I've watched, but they 104 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:20,279 Speaker 1: are talented like WK. They have a lot of down transfers, 105 00:05:20,800 --> 00:05:22,440 Speaker 1: so they have the upside to go to Saint Peter's 106 00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:24,920 Speaker 1: and Paul off a w Do you think they will? Uh? 107 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going with this one, Jim, because I think 108 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:29,719 Speaker 3: You might as well take every money line in the 109 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:33,359 Speaker 3: MAC in the Metro Atlantic, because this league is so crazy. 110 00:05:33,480 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 3: Every non I own a money line, every non I 111 00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:36,520 Speaker 3: own a money line. 112 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:37,080 Speaker 1: Just take it. 113 00:05:37,240 --> 00:05:39,360 Speaker 3: Manhattan not quite as good on the road this season 114 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:42,640 Speaker 3: by a long stretch, but still they have more talent 115 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:45,240 Speaker 3: arguably on paper, if you own just talent wise than 116 00:05:45,240 --> 00:05:48,720 Speaker 3: Saint Peter's. Saint Peter's is the better team. But yeah, 117 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:51,440 Speaker 3: why not? Plus six is probably the spread right around there. 118 00:05:51,720 --> 00:05:53,520 Speaker 3: Pretty good moneyline value, I think. 119 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:56,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, Jim, I reluctantly am and on this one too. 120 00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:59,080 Speaker 2: I don't like that our guy ant Nelson got reinserted 121 00:05:59,080 --> 00:06:01,200 Speaker 2: in starting lineup last game and he went oh for 122 00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:04,159 Speaker 2: seven and had four turnovers in twenty minutes. It's like, no, no, no, no, no, 123 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 2: it was. It was fine when he was out and 124 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:08,280 Speaker 2: injured or whatever he was out for. So I worry 125 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:10,960 Speaker 2: about the turnover thing, especially against Sint Peter's. Quick note 126 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:13,360 Speaker 2: on the MAC, well macro here, he. 127 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 1: Had four turnovers. Right now, this is a this is 128 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:17,600 Speaker 1: a mad which that's pretty bad. 129 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:20,200 Speaker 3: That's pretty bad. Sorry, Matt, go ahead, yeah right, twenty 130 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:22,000 Speaker 3: three minutes oh for seven, four? 131 00:06:22,320 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's not good. 132 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:23,479 Speaker 1: I don't like it. 133 00:06:23,800 --> 00:06:26,360 Speaker 2: I wish it would, Matt, give us your maccro trend. 134 00:06:26,600 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 2: Come on, ah wait, sorry it took me a second. 135 00:06:30,240 --> 00:06:33,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, wow, that's a way took again. Producers leave that 136 00:06:33,560 --> 00:06:35,800 Speaker 1: pause in there, because that needs to be punished for 137 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:37,200 Speaker 1: that hesitation. 138 00:06:38,279 --> 00:06:40,799 Speaker 2: The wheels are churning slow to day, Jimbo. But luckily 139 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:43,480 Speaker 2: I have this lovely handy dandy prep note she that 140 00:06:43,480 --> 00:06:45,000 Speaker 2: I can just read right from the teleprompter, don't have 141 00:06:45,040 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 2: to think about what we're going to say here. Of 142 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:50,000 Speaker 2: the eighty nine conference games kaya so far within the 143 00:06:50,040 --> 00:06:53,760 Speaker 2: MAC this season, they are posting the third lowest blowout 144 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:56,719 Speaker 2: percentage per Kempom. That means of the eighty nine games, 145 00:06:56,760 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 2: only six have been by eighteen or more points. I 146 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:00,719 Speaker 2: like the kem pom kind of tra is like a 147 00:07:00,839 --> 00:07:03,560 Speaker 2: sort of a parody metric. And we always talk about 148 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:05,840 Speaker 2: how the MAC is such a wild topsy turvy, who 149 00:07:05,880 --> 00:07:07,720 Speaker 2: the hell knows anyone can be anyone any given night. 150 00:07:07,760 --> 00:07:09,520 Speaker 2: I think that proves it. It's played out as such 151 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:13,040 Speaker 2: this season. Underdogs are playing well in general. You can 152 00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 2: bet I think a lot of MAC money lines throughout 153 00:07:14,840 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 2: the rest of the year, and probably a pretty good value. 154 00:07:16,680 --> 00:07:18,800 Speaker 1: Yep, tend to agree. I'm in on that one. I'm 155 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:21,240 Speaker 1: taking Manhattan as well. All right, let's go to the 156 00:07:21,360 --> 00:07:25,440 Speaker 1: American guys. Houston has not really played much competition since 157 00:07:25,440 --> 00:07:28,960 Speaker 1: they lost Marcus Sasser and Tremond Mark. Now they head 158 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 1: to UCF, a team that is definitely back against the 159 00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:35,360 Speaker 1: wall for a at large tournament bid. They really need 160 00:07:35,360 --> 00:07:37,600 Speaker 1: this crown jewel at the top of their resume. They've 161 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:40,200 Speaker 1: beaten Houston before. Do we think they get it done 162 00:07:40,200 --> 00:07:42,840 Speaker 1: this time around? Matthias that there is a long athletic 163 00:07:42,920 --> 00:07:45,560 Speaker 1: team taking on Houston who is uber physical. 164 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:47,680 Speaker 2: I'm out on this one. Every time I think he's 165 00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:49,600 Speaker 2: going to struggle with one of these American teams that 166 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 2: is physical or feisty or can get you into a slog, 167 00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 2: they just put them right to bed pretty quickly. 168 00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:55,920 Speaker 1: Kay. 169 00:07:56,000 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 2: So I know this is a different matchup. UC's a 170 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:01,640 Speaker 2: different team, and they played well this season and they 171 00:08:01,680 --> 00:08:05,280 Speaker 2: have some firepower. I'm just not I'm basically done fanning Houston. 172 00:08:05,440 --> 00:08:06,080 Speaker 2: I'm done. 173 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:08,600 Speaker 3: I'm in on this one. I think UCF gets it done. 174 00:08:08,880 --> 00:08:12,600 Speaker 3: It's by far the best team Houston's played without Sasser. 175 00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:15,280 Speaker 3: Every other opponent except for Whichita has been outside the 176 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:18,120 Speaker 3: top one forty on kim Pum. They've been playing nobody 177 00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:18,800 Speaker 3: Southmloria and. 178 00:08:18,720 --> 00:08:21,320 Speaker 1: Which was limited I think with COVID SOD like their 179 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:23,480 Speaker 1: roster wasn't full and it was still pretty close. 180 00:08:23,560 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 3: It was a ten point game at the end, but 181 00:08:24,920 --> 00:08:27,200 Speaker 3: which tab was in there for a little bit. And yeah, 182 00:08:27,280 --> 00:08:29,920 Speaker 3: Tulsa South Florida. I mean they haven't played anybody good now. 183 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:33,280 Speaker 3: Houston is very very good, but UCF is talented. They 184 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:36,360 Speaker 3: are physical and big and capable of winning this game, 185 00:08:36,440 --> 00:08:38,959 Speaker 3: especially at home. So I will be on this one. 186 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:41,520 Speaker 1: Yep, I'm in on this one too. Kyler Edwards has 187 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:44,120 Speaker 1: been shooting out of his butt for Houston. He's turned 188 00:08:44,160 --> 00:08:46,360 Speaker 1: into like the All American guard. They just have apparently 189 00:08:46,400 --> 00:08:48,600 Speaker 1: an assembly line to them, even when Sassar and Mark 190 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:50,320 Speaker 1: are out. But now going to a team that's going 191 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 1: to change defenses a bunch. Matthew ucaff will mix in 192 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:56,000 Speaker 1: some zone, some matchup type stuff. I think that'll make 193 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:59,480 Speaker 1: it hard on this Houston offense, which of course they're 194 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:02,360 Speaker 1: super real offensive rebounds, they should get a ton, But 195 00:09:03,360 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 1: I just think leaving the comforts of home at Houston 196 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:08,440 Speaker 1: and going to an actual difficult road environment against a 197 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:11,400 Speaker 1: desperate team that can play up to that level talent wise. 198 00:09:12,320 --> 00:09:13,480 Speaker 1: I like the spot for the Knights. 199 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, they got a bunch of guys are probably make 200 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:17,440 Speaker 2: shots too. You have to make tough shots. Score against 201 00:09:17,440 --> 00:09:20,720 Speaker 2: Houston and Green and Perry and Mayheon's certainly qualifying. 202 00:09:20,800 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: You see has been practicing taking tough slash bad shots. 203 00:09:23,640 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 1: All that's what they do, all right, last one before 204 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 1: we get any other individual picks here, Winthrop at Longwood. 205 00:09:31,960 --> 00:09:34,440 Speaker 1: This is the preseason favorite in the Big South. Winthrop. 206 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:36,959 Speaker 1: Now they are plus five at Longwood. Longwood has been 207 00:09:37,080 --> 00:09:40,960 Speaker 1: unbelievable this year, just rolling through teams. Now, we've loved 208 00:09:40,960 --> 00:09:44,440 Speaker 1: griff Aldritch, their coach for years. He joined the coaching 209 00:09:44,520 --> 00:09:47,080 Speaker 1: ranks from like the private sector. He's just working in 210 00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:49,520 Speaker 1: the corporate world. And it's like oil Titan, maybe oil 211 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:52,080 Speaker 1: Titan from we only do hoops instead, and he's really 212 00:09:52,120 --> 00:09:54,720 Speaker 1: good at it, good at it. Do you think Winthrop 213 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:56,080 Speaker 1: can get it done here? No? 214 00:09:56,360 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 2: I don't. This is like a vintage if you stayed 215 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:02,280 Speaker 2: true to are pillars of handicapping. This is like a 216 00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:05,160 Speaker 2: home run. You bet Winthrop type spot they win this game. 217 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:07,320 Speaker 2: But no, long Win's just been that good and I 218 00:10:07,320 --> 00:10:10,120 Speaker 2: think it's one hundred percent for real. The talent's pretty strong. 219 00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:12,960 Speaker 2: They have some really like big time athletes, big big 220 00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:16,440 Speaker 2: bodyguards with Wade and Wilkinson Hill Kai, I don't think 221 00:10:17,080 --> 00:10:18,840 Speaker 2: Winthrop's got the juice this year. They just have been 222 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:20,720 Speaker 2: the same team under process. They've been good but winning 223 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:23,079 Speaker 2: a lot of close games. I think you're gonna start 224 00:10:23,080 --> 00:10:25,840 Speaker 2: to see him take a few more losses as the 225 00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:27,040 Speaker 2: season progresses here. 226 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:28,320 Speaker 1: I either get it. 227 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:30,960 Speaker 3: I on the win with wins plus five preseason would 228 00:10:31,000 --> 00:10:34,199 Speaker 3: have been crazy. And Longwood has no answer for DJ Burns. 229 00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:36,800 Speaker 3: I think it's a big advantage for Winthrop. So yeah, 230 00:10:36,880 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 3: I'm taking with them. I'm on all four of these guys. 231 00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:42,839 Speaker 3: I'm I'm actually I'm out on this one. 232 00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:46,520 Speaker 1: I'm kind of with Matt where Winthrop just Mark Crosser 233 00:10:46,559 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 1: is good, but he is not Pat Kelsey. They're not 234 00:10:48,360 --> 00:10:50,240 Speaker 1: this immortal top of the big sal team that they 235 00:10:50,240 --> 00:10:53,440 Speaker 1: were with Kelsey. So I think Longwood is kind of 236 00:10:53,440 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 1: the new power, the new power it's rising there. All right, 237 00:10:56,440 --> 00:10:59,360 Speaker 1: let's go to a little recap guys, the ones that 238 00:10:59,400 --> 00:11:01,200 Speaker 1: we are on. Kai, you just mentioned you were taking 239 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:05,920 Speaker 1: all four Western Kentucky, Manhattan, UCF and Winthrop. Matt I 240 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:09,120 Speaker 1: am joining him on Manhattan and UCF, and I'm throwing 241 00:11:09,160 --> 00:11:12,680 Speaker 1: in air Force on Friday plus eight at home taking 242 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 1: on Wyoming guys. Air Force split with Wyoming at air 243 00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:19,160 Speaker 1: Force last year when air Force was garbage, dumpster crap, 244 00:11:19,840 --> 00:11:21,920 Speaker 1: and now this year they have an awesome freshman class. 245 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:24,920 Speaker 1: They're clearly more disciplined and more familiar with Joe Scott's system, 246 00:11:25,160 --> 00:11:27,640 Speaker 1: better at playing it defensively that the Princeton On offense 247 00:11:27,720 --> 00:11:30,040 Speaker 1: is more fluid. I really like this air Force team. 248 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 1: I think even without the real elevation advantage, I think 249 00:11:33,280 --> 00:11:35,720 Speaker 1: they get that done. So Friday air Force plus eight, 250 00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:36,360 Speaker 1: that's my pick. 251 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:38,280 Speaker 2: I guess we got to the Mountain West on upset 252 00:11:38,320 --> 00:11:40,520 Speaker 2: alert GM because I'm staying right in that same league, 253 00:11:40,559 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 2: same day Friday evening, Kai shaking his head, I'm going 254 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:46,440 Speaker 2: back to the running ReBs who wanted nothing but fall 255 00:11:46,440 --> 00:11:48,839 Speaker 2: on their face at Santeo State. I gets a good 256 00:11:48,840 --> 00:11:50,080 Speaker 2: matchup against Colorado State. 257 00:11:50,120 --> 00:11:50,600 Speaker 1: I really do. 258 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:54,600 Speaker 2: They have kind of those switchable long rangey wings forwards, 259 00:11:54,640 --> 00:11:56,920 Speaker 2: which is what you need to guard Caloro State. David 260 00:11:57,000 --> 00:12:00,720 Speaker 2: Roddy Antony and those guys that can create mismatch problem. Hey, 261 00:12:00,720 --> 00:12:02,920 Speaker 2: look back to last year and un LV went in 262 00:12:02,920 --> 00:12:05,560 Speaker 2: to Caloro State to Fort Collins and lost back to 263 00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:08,080 Speaker 2: back Knights by three points each. So I mean they 264 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 2: were right there on the prespos of pulling off victories 265 00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:13,160 Speaker 2: twice last season. Now, I know the only player back 266 00:12:13,200 --> 00:12:15,719 Speaker 2: of meeting is Price Hamilton, but he I think had 267 00:12:15,760 --> 00:12:18,559 Speaker 2: twenty eight and twenty three in those two meetings respectively. 268 00:12:18,600 --> 00:12:20,240 Speaker 2: So got to be some confidence for a guy that 269 00:12:20,280 --> 00:12:22,880 Speaker 2: can get buckets and bunches. If you're going to ride 270 00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:25,520 Speaker 2: a guy that's so checkleing high like mister Hamilton, good 271 00:12:25,520 --> 00:12:27,000 Speaker 2: to know you're doing it in a matchup when he's 272 00:12:27,040 --> 00:12:28,680 Speaker 2: had success in recent years. 273 00:12:28,840 --> 00:12:30,760 Speaker 1: Can't lose this game for Colorado State. You want that 274 00:12:30,800 --> 00:12:33,320 Speaker 1: at large. Their their non conference resume. 275 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:35,920 Speaker 2: Is not strong, so it's not strong and real here. 276 00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:38,960 Speaker 1: No, they won some decent games, but yeah, wow great 277 00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:43,679 Speaker 1: overall strength of schedule not awesome, so yeah interesting. All right, 278 00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:52,920 Speaker 1: let's move to our next section. Guys, it is blowout city, right, 279 00:12:53,720 --> 00:12:56,960 Speaker 1: quick recap of last week. Murray and Weaver State both 280 00:12:57,040 --> 00:13:00,680 Speaker 1: destroyed teams in second matchups. That was kind of angle there. 281 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:04,080 Speaker 1: Murray beaty Sterrena Ony by forty. Weaver beat Idaho State 282 00:13:04,120 --> 00:13:06,439 Speaker 1: by thirty two. Calado State did not get it done 283 00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 1: against a shorthand in New Mexico, so perhaps that Poorten's 284 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:13,600 Speaker 1: good things for Matthew's MLV upset pick and Auburn beat 285 00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:16,679 Speaker 1: Georgia by twenty three depends on the number you got 286 00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:20,000 Speaker 1: here for a cover. There. They were up bigger and 287 00:13:20,120 --> 00:13:21,240 Speaker 1: kind of let Georgia back. 288 00:13:21,520 --> 00:13:24,080 Speaker 3: It was a weird I think they're twenty two at half, 289 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 3: I believe, and Georgia hung with them second half somehow 290 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:28,439 Speaker 3: smoked him. 291 00:13:29,000 --> 00:13:30,680 Speaker 1: Well, we did talk about the spot was a little 292 00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:33,360 Speaker 1: weird for Auburn with Kentucky on deck. Okay, let's talk 293 00:13:33,400 --> 00:13:36,880 Speaker 1: this week though, starting with the the Iupui hold your 294 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:39,560 Speaker 1: nose to for or rather do the opposite of holding 295 00:13:39,559 --> 00:13:41,520 Speaker 1: your nose and bet against the people who are holding 296 00:13:41,559 --> 00:13:44,400 Speaker 1: their nose. They're headed to Oakland on Thursday. Ken Palm 297 00:13:44,440 --> 00:13:47,720 Speaker 1: has that spread at twenty eight. That's insane, and they're 298 00:13:47,760 --> 00:13:50,800 Speaker 1: headed to Detroit on Saturday. Spread of twenty one. Detroit 299 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:53,920 Speaker 1: is like middling, and they are a twenty one point 300 00:13:54,120 --> 00:13:56,920 Speaker 1: conference favorite. But kay, it's Iupui. Do we think they 301 00:13:57,000 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 1: just continue to lay down and. 302 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:02,720 Speaker 3: Die Yeah, I really do. They're They're currently dead last 303 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:06,160 Speaker 3: in Kimpom. Ie Pui, the team in the horizon is 304 00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:10,400 Speaker 3: dead last. It's not even that close to Delaware State. Like, 305 00:14:10,440 --> 00:14:13,760 Speaker 3: Delaware State is better in Kempom's eyes than Ipui, and 306 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:18,200 Speaker 3: that seems brutally bad. Yeah, I think either Oakland Oordentory 307 00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:21,080 Speaker 3: can get this done. I mean, thirty seems like a lot, 308 00:14:21,360 --> 00:14:23,800 Speaker 3: but I why not Oakland's awesome. 309 00:14:24,040 --> 00:14:28,640 Speaker 2: I kind of rename this section the beatdown of iep Ui, 310 00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:32,280 Speaker 2: Eastern Illinois and Delaware State. Like I think Missumi Valley 311 00:14:32,320 --> 00:14:34,040 Speaker 2: State has proven they can be fighty enough, and they're 312 00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:36,480 Speaker 2: sort of like I think someone undercovering from like an 313 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 2: auto fade. Yeah, but I think the three I mentioned 314 00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:42,160 Speaker 2: are either fading them or you're not betting them, and 315 00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 2: I usually fading them. So yes, I think going for 316 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:47,440 Speaker 2: I'm gonna like your mark this particular point in time. 317 00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:49,320 Speaker 2: What were the ATS records of those three teams the 318 00:14:49,360 --> 00:14:50,760 Speaker 2: rest of the year. I bet you make some money. 319 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:53,000 Speaker 2: Hit both that's my sake, hit. 320 00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:56,280 Speaker 3: Both worth worth noting Ipui four and thirteen against the spread, 321 00:14:56,360 --> 00:14:59,000 Speaker 3: so they have been indeed poor against the spread as well. 322 00:14:59,160 --> 00:15:01,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, they had a little many like kind of they 323 00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:04,800 Speaker 1: were fighting against UIC, but USC was down three starters. 324 00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:07,040 Speaker 1: And then they lost by fifteen to Green Bay as 325 00:15:07,080 --> 00:15:09,600 Speaker 1: like a nine point dog, and lost by thirty five 326 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:12,760 Speaker 1: to Milwaukee, forty six to Ohio State, twenty eight to 327 00:15:12,800 --> 00:15:15,840 Speaker 1: Wright State, nineteen at home to Northern Kentucky, like they 328 00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:20,120 Speaker 1: this team is poor. It's just bad. It's bleak. I'm sorry, 329 00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:23,160 Speaker 1: I don't have anything good to offer you Jaguars fans. 330 00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:24,280 Speaker 2: That's not good. 331 00:15:24,440 --> 00:15:26,680 Speaker 1: No, the other one we're going to mention here, Matt 332 00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:30,960 Speaker 1: is the weekly. Does Vermont destroy one of their counterparts 333 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:34,000 Speaker 1: in the America East. They're hosting Maine on Saturday, twenty 334 00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:37,760 Speaker 1: five point favorite per Ken Pound. They've won several huge 335 00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:39,840 Speaker 1: America East games when they've been hot from the outside. 336 00:15:39,840 --> 00:15:43,400 Speaker 1: They've won by fourteen, thirty three, seventeen, twenty six, and ten. 337 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:46,920 Speaker 1: And Maine is worse than all those teams that they played. 338 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:47,680 Speaker 1: What do you think? 339 00:15:48,000 --> 00:15:50,880 Speaker 2: Vermont is shooting fifty one percent from three point range 340 00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:54,000 Speaker 2: through five conference games, so I know it's a decent 341 00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:55,720 Speaker 2: shooting team. Actually it's let's say it's a really good 342 00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:58,040 Speaker 2: shooting team, right, but the Red Butter is playing thro 343 00:15:58,080 --> 00:16:00,720 Speaker 2: Ryan DAOs In's side and like getting the occasional decent 344 00:16:00,720 --> 00:16:04,640 Speaker 2: shooting display from downtown. This is just an absolute bonkers 345 00:16:04,680 --> 00:16:06,720 Speaker 2: run they're on. And I'm still pretty pissed that I 346 00:16:06,720 --> 00:16:09,760 Speaker 2: thought Sony Brok was gonna cover that massive spread earlier 347 00:16:09,760 --> 00:16:11,840 Speaker 2: in the season. So I'm looking at stony Brook today. 348 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:14,640 Speaker 2: I listened to this on Wednesday, the record that Vermont 349 00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:16,160 Speaker 2: goes to stony then they have to go to Maine 350 00:16:16,160 --> 00:16:18,440 Speaker 2: for the spy here Kai, but yeah, I bet they 351 00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:20,200 Speaker 2: smoke Maine. Maine's not been any good. 352 00:16:20,520 --> 00:16:23,120 Speaker 3: Interesting note about Maine. They've covered six to the last eight, 353 00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:27,720 Speaker 3: which makes no sense to So maybe I I faded 354 00:16:27,760 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 3: them yesterday. I'm sure they won out right, So maybe 355 00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:35,280 Speaker 3: Maine is telling you to back off, back off the Blackbers. 356 00:16:35,520 --> 00:16:38,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, this just seems like I almost think Matt It's 357 00:16:38,400 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 1: gonna be easier for Vermont to cover on the road 358 00:16:40,320 --> 00:16:42,400 Speaker 1: when they get like five point shorter spreads. And I 359 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:44,040 Speaker 1: don't think home court matters. 360 00:16:43,720 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 2: And home means nothing in the eighties. Yeah, even like Maine, 361 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:47,480 Speaker 2: where it's hard place to get to. Usually that's a 362 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:49,960 Speaker 2: place you could think home does matter, but it just doesn't. 363 00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:53,200 Speaker 2: Maine did get Ingo back their best player, quote unquote, 364 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:54,440 Speaker 2: but not that players really matter. 365 00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:56,560 Speaker 3: He was out again. Do Heart was out again. I 366 00:16:56,560 --> 00:16:57,680 Speaker 3: don't know if there's two human. 367 00:16:57,800 --> 00:16:59,640 Speaker 2: Do Heart was out, but Ingo was back. 368 00:16:59,640 --> 00:17:03,000 Speaker 1: Stuff in New Hampshire pressured Maine like through on a 369 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:05,119 Speaker 1: full court press against Maine in the final minute of 370 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:07,640 Speaker 1: that game, and I have maybe never seen a team 371 00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:11,560 Speaker 1: so discombobulated. They were just like throwing the ball five 372 00:17:11,760 --> 00:17:14,399 Speaker 1: rows out of bounds like the first two possessions. They 373 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:16,880 Speaker 1: got trapped. They called their final two timeouts and then 374 00:17:17,200 --> 00:17:19,919 Speaker 1: continued to panic and turned it over a bunch, but 375 00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:21,520 Speaker 1: somehow managed to hang. 376 00:17:21,400 --> 00:17:23,879 Speaker 3: On fourteen for twenty eight from three goes day. All right, 377 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 3: that's enough name talk. 378 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:28,080 Speaker 1: That's enough. All right, let's go to some better teams. Kay, 379 00:17:28,240 --> 00:17:31,800 Speaker 1: the power game of the week, and I should mention here, folks, 380 00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:34,399 Speaker 1: we will cover the SEC Big twelve challenge in the 381 00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:36,800 Speaker 1: spotlight section. So any of those games you're waiting to 382 00:17:36,800 --> 00:17:40,439 Speaker 1: hear about, namely Kentucky versus Kansas, that will come at 383 00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:42,040 Speaker 1: the end of our pod here when we do that 384 00:17:42,080 --> 00:17:45,520 Speaker 1: little spotlight section. So instead, let's focus on a couple 385 00:17:45,520 --> 00:17:48,879 Speaker 1: of Big ten games to start Perdue minus two at 386 00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:52,520 Speaker 1: Iowa that's coming on Thursday, I was been terrific at home. 387 00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:57,760 Speaker 1: Perdue's defense is a real problem. It is a leaky issue. 388 00:17:57,800 --> 00:17:59,960 Speaker 1: It is like outside the top sixty at Ken Pomp. 389 00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:02,480 Speaker 1: By this point, Jade and Ivy just missed a home 390 00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:04,760 Speaker 1: game with a hit pointer, so we were thinking he's 391 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:08,119 Speaker 1: probably not fully healthy. Ken Thumb's got this Perdue minus two, Kai, 392 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:10,920 Speaker 1: do you think the short, short home dog of the 393 00:18:10,920 --> 00:18:12,040 Speaker 1: Hawkeys can win. 394 00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:15,200 Speaker 3: If Ivy's out? I do think Iowa can win eight 395 00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:17,280 Speaker 3: and four against spread at home and produce one and 396 00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:19,320 Speaker 3: three against spread out on the road. These two teams 397 00:18:19,359 --> 00:18:22,480 Speaker 3: just play better at home and worse on the road. 398 00:18:22,920 --> 00:18:25,280 Speaker 3: And ironically, I think it was Kevin Sween that pointed 399 00:18:25,320 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 3: us on Twitter Purdue's closest comp right now in terms 400 00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:32,119 Speaker 3: of offensive defensive splits is Iowa from last year. So 401 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:34,800 Speaker 3: as a team that is maybe a little bit shaky 402 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:38,440 Speaker 3: underneath the surface, I still think this team's awesome. Matt personally, 403 00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:41,760 Speaker 3: and if Ivy's in minus two seems cheap, But fading 404 00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:45,080 Speaker 3: Iowa at home seems like a dangerous prospect. They really 405 00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:46,120 Speaker 3: do seem to show up there. 406 00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:48,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll probably fade him here. I'll be honest. I 407 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:50,760 Speaker 2: remember the first matchup where Perdue was dominating that game 408 00:18:50,840 --> 00:18:53,200 Speaker 2: in Iowa kind of had that late second half surge 409 00:18:53,240 --> 00:18:54,680 Speaker 2: where they press back. 410 00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:57,920 Speaker 1: The press on and Purdue was like, whoa, you don't 411 00:18:57,920 --> 00:18:58,359 Speaker 1: do this. 412 00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:02,320 Speaker 2: And then was actually Murray in that game either it's 413 00:19:02,359 --> 00:19:04,520 Speaker 2: good points, So yeah, he's going to be a matchup problem, 414 00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:06,919 Speaker 2: especially for the bigs that can be exploited on the 415 00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:09,800 Speaker 2: perimeter if used properly. Here, I still think produced the 416 00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:12,399 Speaker 2: real deal time with you. I'm not really like concerned 417 00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:14,399 Speaker 2: about the defensive issues as much as other people are, 418 00:19:14,480 --> 00:19:16,760 Speaker 2: especially if Ivy's back game now if he's out, complete 419 00:19:16,760 --> 00:19:19,560 Speaker 2: game changer. But with Ivy and Hunter I think them 420 00:19:19,560 --> 00:19:21,880 Speaker 2: at the point of attack are two plus to very 421 00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:24,320 Speaker 2: very good defenders. But the issue I think is Jimmy 422 00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:26,639 Speaker 2: mentioned is like the Murray thing with the inverted bicks 423 00:19:26,760 --> 00:19:28,560 Speaker 2: ken Edy and William's guard out. 424 00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:31,240 Speaker 1: There, get them into space. That is a major problem. 425 00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:34,760 Speaker 1: Like obviously even Rabrock is gonna have no chance against 426 00:19:34,840 --> 00:19:36,960 Speaker 1: Edian's side, but I think I will double force you 427 00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:39,200 Speaker 1: to hit shots on the road and they're going to score, 428 00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:41,600 Speaker 1: Like Iowa is going to put up points in this game. 429 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:43,560 Speaker 1: So maybe slightly into the over but the number is 430 00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:45,479 Speaker 1: going to be insanely. 431 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:46,600 Speaker 3: Hot with sixty ish probably. 432 00:19:46,920 --> 00:19:49,840 Speaker 1: Yeah. All right, let's go to the mitton for the 433 00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:54,119 Speaker 1: next big ten matchup Michigan, who is potentially hashtag back 434 00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:57,920 Speaker 1: after two big victories. They are They're heading to Michigan State, 435 00:19:58,119 --> 00:20:01,840 Speaker 1: and guys, I have never seen a dumber angry angle 436 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:07,200 Speaker 1: than Michigan State fans, Like, our team traveled to Michigan 437 00:20:07,240 --> 00:20:10,680 Speaker 1: before they canceled the game because of COVID, how dare they? Oh, 438 00:20:10,680 --> 00:20:13,720 Speaker 1: you went from ann Arbor to East Lansing. Here's five 439 00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:16,040 Speaker 1: gold stars for the struggles you had to go through. 440 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:19,600 Speaker 1: Like people were outright furious that they traveled before they 441 00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:22,159 Speaker 1: canceled the games. Who cares that? 442 00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:25,080 Speaker 2: I try about what Carolina got there and the game 443 00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:26,880 Speaker 2: was canceled two hours before. It's like, I think there's 444 00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:28,080 Speaker 2: others who have had it worse. 445 00:20:28,119 --> 00:20:29,880 Speaker 1: Way worse. You could just drive home and still sleep 446 00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:31,919 Speaker 1: in your own bed that night, Like, get over it. 447 00:20:31,960 --> 00:20:34,239 Speaker 1: I could not have any less sympathy for that. 448 00:20:34,280 --> 00:20:36,679 Speaker 2: But right, they have a night an Arbor On. 449 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:39,840 Speaker 1: The court matchup here, Caleb Houston hit some big shots 450 00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:42,639 Speaker 1: at Indiana. If he starts to be a true offensive weapon, 451 00:20:42,680 --> 00:20:44,720 Speaker 1: that opens the court up quite a bit for Michigan. 452 00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:47,800 Speaker 1: They can play through Hunter, Dickinson forced teams to double 453 00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:51,200 Speaker 1: exploit on the rotation, and Matt Davonte Jones looked more 454 00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:54,040 Speaker 1: aggressive than I got the baby. He needs to be 455 00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:56,520 Speaker 1: assertive for this Michigan team to hit the ceiling. You 456 00:20:56,560 --> 00:20:58,840 Speaker 1: love the Spartans, though, so what do you do here? 457 00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:01,439 Speaker 2: I do I'm not going to touch this game. I 458 00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:03,480 Speaker 2: love both teams. I love the both teams are trending. 459 00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:06,240 Speaker 2: What I love about Michigan in general. They're playing Diabate 460 00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:08,800 Speaker 2: and Dickinson together up front with Houston on the wing. 461 00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:11,240 Speaker 2: I think Diabate has played his highest workload of this 462 00:21:11,359 --> 00:21:14,240 Speaker 2: season the last couple of weeks, got Brandon John's back. 463 00:21:14,280 --> 00:21:16,120 Speaker 2: Last game, Kayle ten minutes off the bench. He's only 464 00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:17,879 Speaker 2: going to play more and more. I think they're just 465 00:21:17,880 --> 00:21:19,520 Speaker 2: goning to get back to that formula they had last 466 00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:21,399 Speaker 2: year where it was just length lanked length, and they 467 00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:23,720 Speaker 2: can live on that defense as a bedrock and then 468 00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:26,280 Speaker 2: fill in the pieces on offense by playing through Dickinson inside, 469 00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:29,320 Speaker 2: running their stuff and letting Houston grow into that role. 470 00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:31,119 Speaker 2: Brooks is starting play a little better too. At you 471 00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:32,840 Speaker 2: Michigan's gonna be fine. They're gonna be what we thought 472 00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:33,600 Speaker 2: they were preseason. 473 00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:34,199 Speaker 1: I think so. 474 00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:37,040 Speaker 3: I think they're They're back one too straight by nineteen 475 00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:39,080 Speaker 3: and eighteen. That's impressive. I don't care who you play 476 00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:42,480 Speaker 3: in the Big Ten. That's impressive. And Michigan States the 477 00:21:42,480 --> 00:21:45,400 Speaker 3: team I just don't think is as good as people think. 478 00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:47,720 Speaker 3: I think there's a little bit overvalue right now. They're 479 00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:50,320 Speaker 3: very good, but overvalued. Yeah, Jim that and Arbord at 480 00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:53,120 Speaker 3: East Lanson trip that's an hour, that's sixty five miles, so. 481 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:55,680 Speaker 1: When get over it. 482 00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:58,280 Speaker 3: I like Michigan here. I think they might win out right. 483 00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:00,440 Speaker 1: Yep, I do too. I actually like Michigan as well. 484 00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:02,680 Speaker 1: I'm not really in love with the way Michigan State 485 00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:06,440 Speaker 1: has been trending. Their best really, I would argue only 486 00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:08,920 Speaker 1: good performance of their last five or six games was 487 00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:12,800 Speaker 1: at Wisconsin when Wisconsin was shorthanded, So not really a 488 00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:15,959 Speaker 1: mega impressive run that they're on. They are playing Illinois 489 00:22:16,280 --> 00:22:18,240 Speaker 1: the day we are recording this, and Illinois could be 490 00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:20,640 Speaker 1: short handed, so perhaps they put up another solid performance. 491 00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:23,000 Speaker 1: But I almost like that, like if they blow out Illinois, 492 00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:26,040 Speaker 1: inflate this line a little bit more. Step in on 493 00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:28,760 Speaker 1: the Wolverines mass gingup. That's the thing. Go. I'm liking 494 00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:30,560 Speaker 1: all right. One more in the power Game of the 495 00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:32,760 Speaker 1: Week section. Here we're going to the Big East Xavier 496 00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:36,480 Speaker 1: at Creighton. The young Blue Jays hosting Xavier, who has 497 00:22:36,560 --> 00:22:39,000 Speaker 1: kind of struggled a little bit lately, owned four last 498 00:22:39,240 --> 00:22:42,800 Speaker 1: four ATS games since January first, their seventieth in the 499 00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:45,720 Speaker 1: country per bart Torovic, that's not great for the Musketeers, 500 00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:48,359 Speaker 1: whereas ky Craton's been awesome at home, kind of what 501 00:22:48,359 --> 00:22:51,560 Speaker 1: you'd expect from a young team. They've covered three straight, 502 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:54,320 Speaker 1: five of their last seven. How do you see this matchup? 503 00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,159 Speaker 3: Yeah, and Xavier going back further one and six in 504 00:22:57,160 --> 00:23:00,560 Speaker 3: the last seven against the spread. Yeah, starting to tring 505 00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:02,720 Speaker 3: g in like they have last couple of years under 506 00:23:02,720 --> 00:23:06,920 Speaker 3: Travis Steele. Unfortunately, it's like hot start, non con really 507 00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:09,560 Speaker 3: big East, and then you start to trail and all 508 00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:11,760 Speaker 3: of a sudden you're on the bubble slash outside looking 509 00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:14,120 Speaker 3: in the tournament. It's kind of tails all the time 510 00:23:14,119 --> 00:23:16,680 Speaker 3: with Travis Steel every single year. I like Creighton here. 511 00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:17,760 Speaker 1: I lean their way. 512 00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:20,720 Speaker 3: They're playing better currently, they are better at home. Both 513 00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:24,560 Speaker 3: teams get a primer on Wednesday. X goes to excuse me, 514 00:23:24,680 --> 00:23:27,360 Speaker 3: host providence creating ghost to Butler. So we'll see how 515 00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:30,720 Speaker 3: those play out could influence this matchup Man on Saturday. 516 00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:32,080 Speaker 3: But right now I'm leaning Crayton. 517 00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:34,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, I kind of lean that way too. My concern 518 00:23:34,280 --> 00:23:38,800 Speaker 2: with Creighton twofold one is their dominant interior to both ends, 519 00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:40,480 Speaker 2: right how they dominate the pain with the call printer 520 00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:42,600 Speaker 2: up front in their size. You look at Kempon, I 521 00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:44,520 Speaker 2: believe their top twenty or top thirty and two point 522 00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 2: percent in scoring and defense, But if you just isolate 523 00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:51,399 Speaker 2: conference games, looks more mediocre. So could argue that those freshmen, 524 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:54,400 Speaker 2: those big, long bodies, just maybe feasted on some inferior 525 00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:56,880 Speaker 2: competition and nonind now they're falling back down to earth. 526 00:23:57,320 --> 00:23:59,119 Speaker 2: But they played really well in spite of that, and 527 00:23:59,200 --> 00:24:02,480 Speaker 2: in spite of massive turnover issues which manifested the first 528 00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:05,920 Speaker 2: match in between these two. That's my concern. It's Creighton's 529 00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:07,959 Speaker 2: size advantage maybe starting to be negated as they get 530 00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:10,680 Speaker 2: deeper into conference play and the turnover issues. A twenty one. 531 00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:12,560 Speaker 2: In the first game against Savior, they're up big and 532 00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:14,040 Speaker 2: then they lost the lead light. So it was a 533 00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:15,640 Speaker 2: good effort, though I think we have to admit that 534 00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:16,720 Speaker 2: the turners concerned me. 535 00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:19,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that good effort is big for a 536 00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:21,879 Speaker 1: young team's conference, Like we can play with Savior, like 537 00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,800 Speaker 1: we almost won at Santasa, a really really difficult place 538 00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:25,240 Speaker 1: to play. 539 00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:27,120 Speaker 2: Now they're back at our plays. Yeah, that's true. 540 00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:30,000 Speaker 1: I'm with Kai here. I think the Blue Jays win 541 00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:33,240 Speaker 1: this one outright. Isn't any crazy claims since they're probably 542 00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:35,640 Speaker 1: gonna be like picking minus one, but very in Uncreighton 543 00:24:35,760 --> 00:24:38,199 Speaker 1: in that particular matchup. All right, let's go to the 544 00:24:38,240 --> 00:24:40,719 Speaker 1: mid major game of the week. Start with Saint Mary's 545 00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:43,080 Speaker 1: at San Francisco. We've been waiting on this one. I 546 00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:46,440 Speaker 1: think because of COVID pauses. It didn't come to fruition earlier. 547 00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:50,119 Speaker 1: But the Dons a two point favorite on Thursday. That 548 00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:53,120 Speaker 1: is per Ken Palm. Saint Mary's won at San Francisco 549 00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:56,800 Speaker 1: last year, Kai, after San Francisco's bad COVID pause. They 550 00:24:56,800 --> 00:25:00,000 Speaker 1: were not a good squad last year. After that pause, 551 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:02,600 Speaker 1: they have got a lot of reinforcements inside the deal 552 00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:05,080 Speaker 1: tass and the Saint Mary's big guys. How do you 553 00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:06,000 Speaker 1: see this one going? 554 00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:08,560 Speaker 3: You know, they remember that gym and they definitely have 555 00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:12,400 Speaker 3: more size upfront this year, I like San Francisco spreads 556 00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:15,280 Speaker 3: short at minus two. It's probably a round Litt'll make 557 00:25:15,280 --> 00:25:17,480 Speaker 3: it anyways, so maybe a number lean there. But my 558 00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:19,800 Speaker 3: heart is telling me that that San Francisco gets this done, 559 00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:23,000 Speaker 3: since neither team beat BYU at least yet. This is 560 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:27,400 Speaker 3: a major, major game for resumes tournament wise huge and 561 00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:29,879 Speaker 3: the only time they played this year. There's no return 562 00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:30,840 Speaker 3: meeting between the two. 563 00:25:32,119 --> 00:25:33,840 Speaker 2: Man, I think both teams are desperate, but it seems 564 00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:37,679 Speaker 2: like San Francisco is just ultimately extremely desperate here, just 565 00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:40,199 Speaker 2: given the magnitude of what this game could mean for 566 00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:42,439 Speaker 2: the program chasing at large birth. I think that right 567 00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:43,960 Speaker 2: now they're on the right side of the bubble, but 568 00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:46,399 Speaker 2: just inside that they're just on the right side of 569 00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:48,520 Speaker 2: that fence. It just feels like it means a little 570 00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:51,240 Speaker 2: more to ar Don's kai. So I'll go with San Francisco, 571 00:25:51,280 --> 00:25:52,760 Speaker 2: I think in a short spread, even though home will 572 00:25:52,800 --> 00:25:55,440 Speaker 2: be what basically nothing, it's across town trip. San Francisco 573 00:25:55,520 --> 00:25:58,160 Speaker 2: has a gym that seats three thousand people, maybe more 574 00:25:58,200 --> 00:26:01,960 Speaker 2: momortal not a great not a doll environment will say that, Yeah. 575 00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:04,600 Speaker 1: The San Francisco thing, like their resume is predicated on 576 00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:07,119 Speaker 1: quantity of wins and just racking up like kind of 577 00:26:07,119 --> 00:26:09,280 Speaker 1: the fringe Q one, Q two wins. They don't have 578 00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:12,560 Speaker 1: the top of the line, mega high roller win, so 579 00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:14,679 Speaker 1: they need to keep accumulating those. And this is this 580 00:26:14,720 --> 00:26:16,879 Speaker 1: is where it comes down to that Saint Mary's got 581 00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:19,440 Speaker 1: a couple of bigger scalps in the non conference. The 582 00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:22,000 Speaker 1: Notre Dame win is actually aging quite well for them, 583 00:26:22,160 --> 00:26:25,480 Speaker 1: so surprisingly. So yeah, I'm leaning towards the Don's as well, 584 00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:27,560 Speaker 1: even though, like you said, the home court is not huge, 585 00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:29,680 Speaker 1: but I think it doesn't matter a little bit. Here. 586 00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:32,919 Speaker 1: Also we have Boise State at Fresno State Stay Out 587 00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:34,960 Speaker 1: West here in the Mountain West, two teams that have 588 00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:38,320 Speaker 1: been way better than expectations this season. Matthias, I'll go 589 00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:41,840 Speaker 1: to you here with Orlando Robinson a complete star, truly 590 00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:44,800 Speaker 1: an All American candidate this year and Boise undefeated in 591 00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:46,720 Speaker 1: league play. Which way do you lean? 592 00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:49,520 Speaker 2: I can't decide. I think I leaned Boise. It's I've 593 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:51,840 Speaker 2: been a bucking Bronc all damn year, baby, gotta stick 594 00:26:51,880 --> 00:26:54,320 Speaker 2: with it. But every time I bet against Resno, Kay, 595 00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:57,080 Speaker 2: Orlando Robinson impresses me more than he did the last game, 596 00:26:57,400 --> 00:26:59,960 Speaker 2: like I don't, he's insane, Like I think we knew 597 00:27:00,080 --> 00:27:01,640 Speaker 2: guy a lot better. And in every game I'm like, okay, 598 00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:03,760 Speaker 2: yeah he has that, But then he continues to stretch 599 00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:06,920 Speaker 2: it sheets, reaming deeper and picking pops like well shot, 600 00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:09,720 Speaker 2: fake drive, spin, move and just throw down hammer time. 601 00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:13,240 Speaker 2: It's daunting. I think that's actually where Boisy Tate's weakest is. Upfront. 602 00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:14,760 Speaker 2: They have lots of length, but they don't have like 603 00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:18,360 Speaker 2: our true interior enforcer armists can be scored on inside. 604 00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:21,160 Speaker 2: And I think in this matchup, o' rob has his. 605 00:27:21,520 --> 00:27:25,879 Speaker 3: Or pulled out side because can do anything. He hits threes, 606 00:27:25,920 --> 00:27:28,200 Speaker 3: he's seven feet tall, he puts the ball on the floor. 607 00:27:28,240 --> 00:27:30,000 Speaker 3: He's awesome. He's number four right now in Kim Palm's 608 00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:32,639 Speaker 3: Player of the Year on Fresno, who's sixty first in 609 00:27:32,680 --> 00:27:34,440 Speaker 3: the country. That's incredible. 610 00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:37,720 Speaker 2: I mean, Sames, it's it's not even yeah. 611 00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:40,720 Speaker 3: I'm looking at what Boise does yesterday when we're recording this, 612 00:27:40,760 --> 00:27:44,040 Speaker 3: of course on on today against Wyoming, because they are 613 00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:46,840 Speaker 3: putting their undefeated record on the line here if they 614 00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:49,439 Speaker 3: go into Fresno undefeated, Jim, I think the spot is 615 00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:51,960 Speaker 3: great for Fresno to get a win here at home. 616 00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:55,840 Speaker 3: That Boise defense is awesome, but Orlando Robbinson's a game breaker. 617 00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:59,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm leaning towards Fresno as well. Boise. They just 618 00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:01,720 Speaker 1: can't keep playing perfect, and it feels like they have 619 00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:04,359 Speaker 1: been perfect time and time again. Like the win at Nevada, 620 00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:07,480 Speaker 1: they played an absolute dime of a game. It was 621 00:28:07,520 --> 00:28:09,600 Speaker 1: incredible they won by fifteen or twenty coming off of 622 00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:12,920 Speaker 1: COVID pause, and now Fresno will be coming off going 623 00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:15,720 Speaker 1: to the pit at New Mexico getting back home. I 624 00:28:15,760 --> 00:28:17,480 Speaker 1: think that sets up well for them. Kind of a 625 00:28:17,520 --> 00:28:20,880 Speaker 1: tough ish place to play. Yeah. I like Presno last 626 00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:24,359 Speaker 1: one in the whack, huge battle here New Mexico State 627 00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:27,360 Speaker 1: and Grand Canyon time with you. I also have a 628 00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 1: whack future on New Mexico State. Fortunately they're both looking 629 00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:35,600 Speaker 1: up at Matt's Seattle RedHawks right now and Sims Sam 630 00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:39,280 Speaker 1: Houston as well. Grand Canyon has never won at New 631 00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:41,560 Speaker 1: Mexico State. Is this the first time ever? 632 00:28:41,960 --> 00:28:44,640 Speaker 3: No, it's not worth noting. Grand Canyon beat in Mexico 633 00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:47,600 Speaker 3: State twice last year, but they were both at Grand 634 00:28:47,640 --> 00:28:49,920 Speaker 3: Cany actually might have beaten them in the whack tournament 635 00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:53,080 Speaker 3: as well, so three times New Mexico State. I think 636 00:28:53,120 --> 00:28:55,560 Speaker 3: they're gonna win this game. I think Grand Canyon is 637 00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:59,080 Speaker 3: a little bit overvalued right now, and I love Chris 638 00:28:59,120 --> 00:28:59,680 Speaker 3: Jian's baby. 639 00:29:00,040 --> 00:29:01,200 Speaker 1: Give me the Mexico State here. 640 00:29:01,640 --> 00:29:04,880 Speaker 2: It's basically like, what's the quote from that Hurley said 641 00:29:04,880 --> 00:29:06,680 Speaker 2: at Yukon of the presser. It's like, you better get 642 00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:08,520 Speaker 2: us now, because we're coming. I think that's what New 643 00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:11,560 Speaker 2: Mexico State has. Looking back to last year, it's like, Okay, 644 00:29:11,600 --> 00:29:14,760 Speaker 2: we were really injured. It was the COVID nightmare. You 645 00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:17,160 Speaker 2: had your chance to knock us. Now we're back to 646 00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:20,280 Speaker 2: being New Mexico State. That's even an improved wack landscape. 647 00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:22,520 Speaker 2: I know I picked Seattle sort of a cute fun 648 00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:24,400 Speaker 2: against the great pick to win it, but like, gone 649 00:29:24,400 --> 00:29:26,280 Speaker 2: to my head, the best team is still the Aggies, 650 00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:27,720 Speaker 2: and I think they get Grand Canyon here. 651 00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:30,400 Speaker 1: Next three games from New Mexico State, Grand Canyon at home, 652 00:29:30,480 --> 00:29:33,600 Speaker 1: cal Baptist home, Seattle at home. If they sweep those 653 00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:35,920 Speaker 1: three there, immediately we'll vault right back up to the 654 00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:38,920 Speaker 1: favorite nuverybody's like, oh yeah, it's it's their league. Let's 655 00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:40,880 Speaker 1: go next to the trash man. 656 00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:44,440 Speaker 2: Pick of the week, The trash man pick of the week. 657 00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:46,080 Speaker 3: I'm the trash man. 658 00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:49,600 Speaker 2: Just throw me the trash, your garbage, and you know it, 659 00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:52,000 Speaker 2: totally unreliable, undependable. 660 00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:52,520 Speaker 3: That's it. 661 00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:53,280 Speaker 1: You've been told off. 662 00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:53,840 Speaker 2: How do you like that? 663 00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:57,000 Speaker 1: Good trash man? Trash man pick of the week. It's right. 664 00:29:57,440 --> 00:29:59,400 Speaker 1: This is an ugly game. Last week it was ugly. 665 00:29:59,560 --> 00:30:03,920 Speaker 1: Our Pit Virginia game had under sixty possessions, actually semi 666 00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:06,479 Speaker 1: efficient scoring sixty six to sixty one final. 667 00:30:06,560 --> 00:30:09,000 Speaker 3: But yeah, great they go over the did go over 668 00:30:09,040 --> 00:30:10,240 Speaker 3: in Oh yeah, I think it going. 669 00:30:10,120 --> 00:30:12,440 Speaker 1: Over might have been sub one twenty the total there, 670 00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:13,160 Speaker 1: that's why it was. 671 00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:14,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, we talked about that. 672 00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:17,520 Speaker 1: We will use this section frequently all season two. Beat 673 00:30:17,600 --> 00:30:19,800 Speaker 1: up on the punching bags that are the low dregs 674 00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:22,280 Speaker 1: of the OVC. So this week we're going to the 675 00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:26,000 Speaker 1: Big West, where you see. Irvine has been bad. They 676 00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:28,800 Speaker 1: have not lived up to expectations. Dawson Baker was just 677 00:30:28,840 --> 00:30:30,840 Speaker 1: back out of the lineup after trying to return from 678 00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:34,560 Speaker 1: his fractured hand. Now they're hosting cal Poly projected for 679 00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:38,160 Speaker 1: sixty two possessions and kai neither team can shoot, though, 680 00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:40,120 Speaker 1: does that at least help Polly hang around in this 681 00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:43,480 Speaker 1: gross one, I guess. I mean fifteen would be a 682 00:30:43,520 --> 00:30:47,360 Speaker 1: massive spread for Irvine. This year they have blown teams 683 00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:50,280 Speaker 1: out a couple teams, Pepperdine and Riverside by over seventeen. 684 00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:51,320 Speaker 1: Pepperdine was like thirty. 685 00:30:51,520 --> 00:30:53,320 Speaker 3: But I don't know why you trust them right now, 686 00:30:53,480 --> 00:30:55,520 Speaker 3: especially the way they've been playing in Big West play. 687 00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:58,000 Speaker 3: Maybe it's a bounce back, but you're right new the 688 00:30:58,040 --> 00:30:59,760 Speaker 3: team can shoot. They both rank around three hundred and 689 00:30:59,760 --> 00:31:02,680 Speaker 3: fifty the country in effective field goal percentage. It's gonna 690 00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:05,400 Speaker 3: be discussing that. It's gonna be a slog. I have 691 00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:06,600 Speaker 3: no interest in watching this game. 692 00:31:07,320 --> 00:31:09,520 Speaker 2: I don't either. I here's my take on this one. 693 00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:14,400 Speaker 2: I watched Polly Guet absolutely annihilated inside against cal State Bakersfield, 694 00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:18,560 Speaker 2: a very potent offensive rebounding team. Irvine, while not quite 695 00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:20,720 Speaker 2: that this year, that is still their mo. I think 696 00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:22,160 Speaker 2: this is a blood bath on the board. So yeah, 697 00:31:22,200 --> 00:31:23,840 Speaker 2: if fits well with our trash fan pick of the weeks. 698 00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:25,800 Speaker 2: I think you're watching basically like an eighth grade team 699 00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:28,720 Speaker 2: play like the sixth grade team in the YMCA League, 700 00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:30,640 Speaker 2: and it's just like the kids are just doing the 701 00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:32,760 Speaker 2: volleyball thing on the seven foot round when the parents 702 00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:34,320 Speaker 2: are yelling like, that's what I think you're gonna see 703 00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:36,000 Speaker 2: with what they're Vine against Polly up front. 704 00:31:36,080 --> 00:31:39,080 Speaker 1: Yep, polyas his own and I still don't know if 705 00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:40,440 Speaker 1: they can do that effectively and they won't be able 706 00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:42,280 Speaker 1: to rebound out of it. So yeah, I think we 707 00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:45,240 Speaker 1: kind of see Irvine assert themselves as like, oh yeah, 708 00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:47,320 Speaker 1: we're really good in a favorite in this league, even 709 00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:52,080 Speaker 1: if Fakers is not able to play. Last section, Fellas, 710 00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:54,840 Speaker 1: this is the spotlight section, and we are zeroing in 711 00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:58,400 Speaker 1: on the SEC Big twelve Challenge. First, Matt, I want 712 00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:01,080 Speaker 1: to ask you, do we like that this challenge happens 713 00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:03,280 Speaker 1: in conference play when teams are kind of closer to 714 00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:05,720 Speaker 1: their peak but maybe more focused on league play, or 715 00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:08,280 Speaker 1: do you prefer the timing of the ACC Big ten Challenge. 716 00:32:08,320 --> 00:32:10,080 Speaker 2: I kind of like my non Con. We're like my 717 00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:13,040 Speaker 2: non Coon. I like the conference where I like the conference. 718 00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:15,560 Speaker 2: I don't like kind of mixing the two together, Kai, 719 00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:17,960 Speaker 2: But I'm a purist, so I understand the fans you 720 00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:19,400 Speaker 2: want to see something different, shake it up. 721 00:32:19,520 --> 00:32:22,240 Speaker 1: That sounds like you didn't like Bracketbusters because that was 722 00:32:22,320 --> 00:32:22,760 Speaker 1: non con. 723 00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:26,200 Speaker 2: Well that's it felt different though. It felt like it's 724 00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:28,600 Speaker 2: like we're really trying to target mid major teams who 725 00:32:28,640 --> 00:32:30,440 Speaker 2: need a little extra boost. And as a man of 726 00:32:30,440 --> 00:32:33,400 Speaker 2: the little guy Jim, that was like an exception for me. Okay, 727 00:32:33,840 --> 00:32:36,440 Speaker 2: man of the people, cut Kai, I like you like it. 728 00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:38,960 Speaker 3: I like the timing gym. It's a nice little reprieve 729 00:32:39,040 --> 00:32:41,360 Speaker 3: and you get some awesome matchups, you know, in the 730 00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:44,440 Speaker 3: middle of January, which you normally see, but it's non conference. 731 00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:45,080 Speaker 3: It's exciting. 732 00:32:45,440 --> 00:32:47,920 Speaker 2: See let's see who who's good, who's. 733 00:32:47,720 --> 00:32:48,280 Speaker 1: Better than who? 734 00:32:48,600 --> 00:32:51,440 Speaker 3: At teams with near their peak your peak performance. 735 00:32:51,760 --> 00:32:54,680 Speaker 1: Speaking of excellent matchups, there are ten games everyone in 736 00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:57,440 Speaker 1: the Big twelve participates, and only ten from the SEC 737 00:32:57,600 --> 00:33:00,800 Speaker 1: get to enjoy the fun. The three per ones and 738 00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:05,280 Speaker 1: easily the headliner is Kentucky headed to Kansas on Saturday. 739 00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:07,560 Speaker 1: This is one of the games of the year to 740 00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:09,960 Speaker 1: top ten teams for sure. That's kind of the fun 741 00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:11,760 Speaker 1: part of it is that you know these two teams 742 00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:13,760 Speaker 1: every once in a while they're playing Champions Classic Kai. 743 00:33:13,800 --> 00:33:15,720 Speaker 1: But when they don't, we get them here in the 744 00:33:15,760 --> 00:33:18,880 Speaker 1: SEC Big Twelve Challenge. Ty Ty Washington's gonna be dealing 745 00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:21,600 Speaker 1: with his injury. He's likely to miss today as we 746 00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:25,880 Speaker 1: were recording this on Tuesday, expected possibly back on Saturday. 747 00:33:26,040 --> 00:33:28,280 Speaker 1: Kansas has had some weird rotational issues of their own. 748 00:33:28,320 --> 00:33:31,120 Speaker 1: Rebby Martin's knee has flared up as an issue. What 749 00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:33,880 Speaker 1: do you see in this one between two blue bloods. 750 00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:37,600 Speaker 3: I like Kansas here. Kansas coming off the dobt thriller 751 00:33:37,760 --> 00:33:40,240 Speaker 3: against sexas Tech we saw on Monday, but they have 752 00:33:40,320 --> 00:33:43,600 Speaker 3: time prepare, time to recover for this Kentucky team who 753 00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:46,000 Speaker 3: is getting miss State on Tuesday for a little tune 754 00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:49,880 Speaker 3: up themselves. Kentucky just isn't nearly as potent on the road. 755 00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:52,479 Speaker 3: Two and three straight up, one and four against spread. 756 00:33:52,800 --> 00:33:54,720 Speaker 3: Haven't been a good road team, and Kansas, of course 757 00:33:54,760 --> 00:33:56,920 Speaker 3: has one of the best home courts in the country. 758 00:33:56,920 --> 00:34:01,440 Speaker 3: Fog Allen minus three ish is the spread. I'm leaning Kansas, 759 00:34:01,560 --> 00:34:04,520 Speaker 3: especially if Titan Washington is hobbled or out of Atlanta. 760 00:34:04,960 --> 00:34:07,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, tie, tie is everything in this match. I don't 761 00:34:07,840 --> 00:34:10,399 Speaker 2: think Kentucky's as troublesome on the road as Kai does. 762 00:34:10,440 --> 00:34:12,400 Speaker 2: I actually think I've played well in spots, just had 763 00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:15,319 Speaker 2: some unfortunate a series of unfortunate mens that have sort 764 00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:20,440 Speaker 2: of like swung the momentum pedal against them before the 765 00:34:20,560 --> 00:34:22,839 Speaker 2: Auburn before kenjury. So yeah, I tend to think they're 766 00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:25,120 Speaker 2: like and they're also like an older team, right, They're 767 00:34:25,120 --> 00:34:26,759 Speaker 2: not like the young freshmen that are like scared of 768 00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:30,359 Speaker 2: the Moment's actually a relatively elder squad. I think Bill 769 00:34:30,440 --> 00:34:33,360 Speaker 2: self has had success against Calipartment in years past, and 770 00:34:33,680 --> 00:34:36,560 Speaker 2: I mean classic because they're usually older and they get 771 00:34:36,600 --> 00:34:38,399 Speaker 2: them early in the season. But now it's like, while 772 00:34:38,400 --> 00:34:41,719 Speaker 2: we're in January and Cal actually has like an old team, 773 00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:44,040 Speaker 2: so that whole nerves completely out the window. I actually 774 00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:45,799 Speaker 2: like UK here I do. I think they go into 775 00:34:45,840 --> 00:34:47,880 Speaker 2: too uh FOI Allen and steal one. 776 00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:51,160 Speaker 1: I'm gonna sit in my hands and endorse neither side 777 00:34:51,680 --> 00:34:54,800 Speaker 1: unless I got Washington status if Washington's in. I actually 778 00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:56,640 Speaker 1: do like Kentucky as well. I think they have a 779 00:34:56,680 --> 00:34:59,000 Speaker 1: little more of an established identity and know who they are. 780 00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:02,680 Speaker 1: Kansas is still like shuffling their rotations. kJ Adams was 781 00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:06,040 Speaker 1: playing crunch time minutes in that double overtime game. It 782 00:35:06,239 --> 00:35:08,800 Speaker 1: just I almost feel like Bill self is intentionally putting 783 00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:10,560 Speaker 1: roadblocks in their way because he doesn't want him to 784 00:35:10,600 --> 00:35:12,600 Speaker 1: peak too early. It's like I want to make sure 785 00:35:12,600 --> 00:35:14,560 Speaker 1: this team is facing adversity, and if I have to 786 00:35:14,600 --> 00:35:16,360 Speaker 1: invent the adversity, that's fine. 787 00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:20,400 Speaker 3: Here right here, I go and McCormick and Sheibwio. I 788 00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:23,200 Speaker 3: think number one and number two offensive rebounding rate in 789 00:35:23,239 --> 00:35:24,560 Speaker 3: the country. That's gonna be awesome. 790 00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:28,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's a brawl. The other two headliners we're going 791 00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:31,680 Speaker 1: to discuss Baylor at Alabama and Tennessee at Texas. Let's 792 00:35:31,719 --> 00:35:35,759 Speaker 1: start with Baylor at Alabama. The Tide. The schedule this 793 00:35:35,840 --> 00:35:38,440 Speaker 1: year is unbelievable. It's already number two in the country 794 00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:42,439 Speaker 1: strength to schedule before they play Auburn and Baylor back 795 00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:44,520 Speaker 1: to back. So it's crazy. It's clearly gonna be the 796 00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:47,239 Speaker 1: number one in the country. Kai Baylor still rocks though, 797 00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:50,279 Speaker 1: and we're thinking the kinjo and maybe so hand back 798 00:35:50,360 --> 00:35:53,120 Speaker 1: for this one. I don't know, does does Alabama have 799 00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:55,000 Speaker 1: the juice to still beat these top teams the way 800 00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:57,279 Speaker 1: they did the Gonzaga or are they kind of the 801 00:35:57,320 --> 00:36:00,080 Speaker 1: fading team that they are now since January first for 802 00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:01,920 Speaker 1: bart Torvik there outside the top sixty. 803 00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:04,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think they're still kind of fading. They're shaking 804 00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:06,839 Speaker 3: off the cob webs. Yeah, they Beacon Zaga, they beat 805 00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:09,200 Speaker 3: Houston too, So if they beat Baylor, that's three of 806 00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:12,920 Speaker 3: the top four current KEMPOM top four teams. That's insane. 807 00:36:13,040 --> 00:36:14,799 Speaker 3: I don't think they could it done, though. I think 808 00:36:14,840 --> 00:36:17,960 Speaker 3: Baylor is just freaking awesome. I think they bring it 809 00:36:18,280 --> 00:36:20,560 Speaker 3: and minus two's is short towards spread. You're asking me 810 00:36:20,600 --> 00:36:22,360 Speaker 3: who wins Baylor. 811 00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:24,520 Speaker 1: Yep, I think Baylor wins too. 812 00:36:25,040 --> 00:36:27,320 Speaker 2: I guess I agree. I'm still holding on to Bama 813 00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:29,040 Speaker 2: like kind of getting back to where we thought they were, 814 00:36:29,080 --> 00:36:32,000 Speaker 2: but I don't know. Baylor's just too good. Baylor's impressed 815 00:36:32,000 --> 00:36:32,279 Speaker 2: me a lot. 816 00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:32,480 Speaker 3: Man. 817 00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:35,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, the Bama defense hasn't been as consistent as you'd hope. 818 00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:39,200 Speaker 1: They haven't really figured out the right five man lineup 819 00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:42,400 Speaker 1: that balances offensive defense. They're still working on that the 820 00:36:42,400 --> 00:36:45,640 Speaker 1: same way Kansas is and Baylor man they with a 821 00:36:45,719 --> 00:36:48,279 Speaker 1: Kinjo out there. The shot making in that lineup is 822 00:36:48,320 --> 00:36:50,880 Speaker 1: just unbelievable, Like think one through four can kind of 823 00:36:50,880 --> 00:36:52,960 Speaker 1: pull up and hit threes and it's really hard to 824 00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:55,960 Speaker 1: deal with. And they're five men are terrific garbagemen. So 825 00:36:56,360 --> 00:36:59,440 Speaker 1: I lean towards Baylor. The last one, Matt your Valls 826 00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:02,200 Speaker 1: kind of needing some big wins to stack at the 827 00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:04,000 Speaker 1: top of the resume. This year, they struggled in their 828 00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:06,719 Speaker 1: biggest games. Other than that Arizona win, they were able 829 00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:09,000 Speaker 1: to squeak out. Now they had to tet you. 830 00:37:09,080 --> 00:37:10,680 Speaker 2: We got a kind of lsu as a nice little, 831 00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:12,239 Speaker 2: nice little notch there. 832 00:37:12,400 --> 00:37:13,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's true. That's true. 833 00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:17,000 Speaker 2: A shorthand to tough Yeah, in a tough spot. Right 834 00:37:17,160 --> 00:37:19,080 Speaker 2: the big asterisk. I agree, big asternix to that game. 835 00:37:19,080 --> 00:37:20,480 Speaker 1: All right, So now they go to Texas man a 836 00:37:20,520 --> 00:37:22,960 Speaker 1: team that is right to be a big win, really 837 00:37:23,040 --> 00:37:25,040 Speaker 1: highly ranked in the net and ken Pom, but not 838 00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:27,680 Speaker 1: someone that has knocked off teams. They have zero Q 839 00:37:27,800 --> 00:37:30,600 Speaker 1: one wins still the long Horns, so they also need 840 00:37:30,760 --> 00:37:32,759 Speaker 1: a top of the resume win. I don't know which 841 00:37:32,760 --> 00:37:33,719 Speaker 1: one do you have more faith in? 842 00:37:34,080 --> 00:37:37,200 Speaker 2: Oddly Enough, Tennessee. I know we've talked about some of 843 00:37:37,239 --> 00:37:40,880 Speaker 2: the positive indicators for Texas, Trey Mitchell being the notable 844 00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:43,520 Speaker 2: him coming back from COVID and playing a lot better. 845 00:37:43,520 --> 00:37:44,960 Speaker 2: I think he's pretty key for a front line that 846 00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:48,000 Speaker 2: seems to lack bodies. Oddly enough for Chris Beard team, 847 00:37:48,480 --> 00:37:50,160 Speaker 2: but I like Tennessee. I can get a better back court. 848 00:37:50,160 --> 00:37:53,160 Speaker 2: Their guards are dynamic and while their wings and non 849 00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:55,040 Speaker 2: guards give me the he b GB Sometimes KAI and 850 00:37:55,080 --> 00:37:58,120 Speaker 2: their veterans up front have not really provided any offensive aid. 851 00:37:58,480 --> 00:38:00,880 Speaker 2: I love the guards for Tennessee. They're better than Texas 852 00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:03,120 Speaker 2: and on the road ink that matters. I like the guards, 853 00:38:03,120 --> 00:38:05,520 Speaker 2: but Texas guards aren't bad. I just think that this 854 00:38:05,600 --> 00:38:08,520 Speaker 2: whole team's playing poorly and maybe that's a reason you 855 00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:11,160 Speaker 2: stay away from Texas. There they can't figure out their lineups. 856 00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:13,520 Speaker 2: Beard I guess he has too much talent. 857 00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:15,080 Speaker 1: And that kind of the theme right now. Teams that 858 00:38:15,120 --> 00:38:17,560 Speaker 1: are just like the rotations are thrown at the wall. 859 00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:21,120 Speaker 3: I'm not sure Rick Barnes has ever been back to Texas. 860 00:38:21,480 --> 00:38:24,520 Speaker 3: This has just looked at the history financial angle. 861 00:38:24,280 --> 00:38:26,359 Speaker 1: Tennessee has played at Texas. Once ever, was in two 862 00:38:26,360 --> 00:38:28,840 Speaker 1: thousand and five when Rick Barnes was in charge of Texas. 863 00:38:29,200 --> 00:38:32,120 Speaker 3: Nice little angle here he's back in his former stomping grounds. 864 00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:35,160 Speaker 3: Not sure if that really matters. Uh, I actually like Texas. 865 00:38:35,239 --> 00:38:38,240 Speaker 3: I don't think Tennessee's offense is good at all in Texas. 866 00:38:38,320 --> 00:38:40,759 Speaker 3: If they've done one thing right this year, it's it's defend. 867 00:38:41,239 --> 00:38:44,200 Speaker 3: It's gonna be low, low scoring leaning Texas at home. 868 00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:46,920 Speaker 1: I'm leaning Texas as well. I know you like the guards, 869 00:38:47,160 --> 00:38:49,040 Speaker 1: but they are very young and I think they can 870 00:38:49,040 --> 00:38:51,520 Speaker 1: be a little turnover prone, and Texas pressures that crap 871 00:38:51,560 --> 00:38:54,080 Speaker 1: on the ball. They are really disruptive. I just want 872 00:38:54,120 --> 00:38:56,560 Speaker 1: to see de Su and Trade Mitchell play more minutes together. 873 00:38:56,600 --> 00:38:58,839 Speaker 1: I think that's the best front court this Texas team has, 874 00:38:59,120 --> 00:39:01,719 Speaker 1: with versatile offensive games and they can kind of cover 875 00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:05,160 Speaker 1: each other's mistakes on defense. Dcu's a nice shot blocker. 876 00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:07,279 Speaker 1: I want to see that lineup more. Please give it 877 00:39:07,280 --> 00:39:09,480 Speaker 1: to me, Chris Beard. I lean towards the Horns, but 878 00:39:09,480 --> 00:39:11,040 Speaker 1: it's hard to trust that offense the way it's been 879 00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:11,359 Speaker 1: this year. 880 00:39:11,360 --> 00:39:13,400 Speaker 2: I want to see Rick Barnes free my guy Justin Powell, 881 00:39:13,440 --> 00:39:15,480 Speaker 2: who continues to play a little minutes for some reason. 882 00:39:15,560 --> 00:39:17,040 Speaker 2: I don't like it. He's good. 883 00:39:17,120 --> 00:39:17,600 Speaker 1: Play him. 884 00:39:17,680 --> 00:39:20,239 Speaker 2: You need shooting, Rick, play the kid play right. 885 00:39:20,760 --> 00:39:22,919 Speaker 1: That is it. That wraps up our show for the week. 886 00:39:23,000 --> 00:39:25,800 Speaker 1: Thank you for tuning in, too Big Bets on Campus. 887 00:39:26,280 --> 00:39:29,120 Speaker 1: Remember to rate and review the show on Apple Podcasts, 888 00:39:29,239 --> 00:39:32,640 Speaker 1: listen on Spotify. We'll see you next week. Of course, 889 00:39:32,680 --> 00:39:35,000 Speaker 1: there will be another one in your feed every Wednesday 890 00:39:35,000 --> 00:39:37,040 Speaker 1: morning on the Big Bets on Campus feed and We'll 891 00:39:37,040 --> 00:39:39,520 Speaker 1: also be part of the Friday six Pack on the 892 00:39:40,000 --> 00:39:41,799 Speaker 1: Big Bets on campus feed where we make a pick 893 00:39:41,840 --> 00:39:45,319 Speaker 1: with Stuckey and Colin Wilson putting that all together, so 894 00:39:45,480 --> 00:39:47,839 Speaker 1: make sure to check that out as well. Thank you 895 00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:48,759 Speaker 1: and see you next week.