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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest Vetting Podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the number.

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Speaker 2: One show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 1: All Right, here we go fifteen twenty, twenty five, thirty

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Speaker 1: thirty five, forty forty five, fifty and.

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Speaker 3: The kicks block Look College Football World, stog Oh my goodness,

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Speaker 3: its stombles, the lateral turn a counter on the side.

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Speaker 4: Get you the lad.

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Speaker 1: Cable off the field to night.

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Speaker 3: It's not the sage of the game anything, it's the

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Speaker 3: sage of the fight.

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Speaker 1: What's up the general nation? Welcome to The Network Podcast

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Speaker 1: Week five College Football Betting Preview. I'm Stucky in with

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Speaker 1: me as always as Colin Wilson. Ready to talk some

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Speaker 1: more SEC and important Big twelve matchups. Brother, Yeah, we.

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Speaker 2: Get to enjoy this last weekend of two big SEC

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Speaker 2: Top twenty five matchups. Next week is where the party

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Speaker 2: really starts. Clemson Miami, OU Texas and of course the

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Speaker 2: SEC is just gonna beat the hell out of each

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Speaker 2: other for another consecutive week. So let's get this one

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Speaker 2: out of the way and we'll know where we stand

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Speaker 2: in the SEC.

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Speaker 1: I know I'm against you in Coastal Carolina, but I'm

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Speaker 1: excited to bet Jay Adams. It's mainly a blind heart.

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Speaker 2: Bet Jonathan Adams, who my goodness.

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Speaker 1: I'm also excited to bet our first Service Academy matchup,

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Speaker 1: which we'll talk about and potentially betting your hogs. And

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Speaker 1: we'll also talk some Campbell, some more Camels on Friday

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Speaker 1: Night lights later.

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Speaker 2: Come check it out.

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Speaker 1: But before we get to that, I did want to

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Speaker 1: remind everyone of the Action Pods Tournament of Champions presented

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Speaker 1: by BETMGM. It's now live. It's a free weekly Yahoo

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Speaker 1: DFS tournament specifically for our podcast listeners, and you can

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Speaker 1: join by clicking on the link in our episode descriptions.

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Speaker 1: A top ten each week receive over one thousand dollars

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Speaker 1: worth of Action Network prizes, and the top five finishers

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Speaker 1: each week punch their ticket to the wild Card Weekend

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Speaker 1: Grand Finale, where you'll compete for the grand prize, which

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Speaker 1: is a Las Vegas trip for two guided over five

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Speaker 1: g's courtesy of betmgm, the official ADDS provider the Action

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Speaker 1: of Work podcast. So again to a free tournament. You

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Speaker 1: can enter any week. You can enter this week, don't

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Speaker 1: do it next week, and if you finish top ten,

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Speaker 1: you get prizes. Top five, you'll get a shot at

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Speaker 1: the end for that trip. All right, So, as we

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Speaker 1: do each week, we're going to start with a few

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Speaker 1: situational spots, which is why we love our segment look

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Speaker 1: ahead or look.

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Speaker 4: Away, Hangovers, sleepers, and the dreaded sandwich spot.

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Speaker 3: Is it time to look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 1: Let's start with a couple sandwich spots.

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Speaker 5: We sure have a lot of sandwiches, sandwiches, sandwiches, sandwiches.

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Speaker 1: And what we mean by that is, you know, a

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Speaker 1: team had a big game last week and they have

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Speaker 1: a big game upcoming. It's just something to consider. Ultimately,

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Speaker 1: it comes down to the number and the value in

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Speaker 1: the number. But there are times where you might have

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Speaker 1: a team these are college kids that come out a

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Speaker 1: little flat after a big game or looking ahead to

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Speaker 1: a game next week, and or the coaching staff might

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Speaker 1: have been looking forward to the week after and maybe

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Speaker 1: getting a little preparation time in on the side, they

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Speaker 1: might pull starters a little sooner, maybe not show as much.

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Speaker 1: There's also letdown spots after a big win. All right.

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Speaker 1: So our first situational spot that we want to talk

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Speaker 1: about here is Virginia at Clemson, Clemson at bet MGM

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Speaker 1: is a twenty eight point favorite over under fifty four

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Speaker 1: and a half. Clemson, obviously, we haven't seen much from

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Speaker 1: this year. They easily beat wake Forest and then they

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Speaker 1: easily beat Citadel. They basically didn't do anything in the

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Speaker 1: second half of that and that was two weeks ago,

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Speaker 1: so they've had a bye leading up to this game. However,

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Speaker 1: they do have Miami on deck, which is one of

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Speaker 1: the biggest games of the ACC season. Virginia, meanwhile, he

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Speaker 1: has only had one game so far. That was last

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Speaker 1: week against Duke. They lost their star quarterback, Pryce Perkins.

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Speaker 1: I was not as confident in their offense with Armstrong

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Speaker 1: taken over a quarterback. He did some good things, but

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Speaker 1: I couldn't really get a lot out of that game

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Speaker 1: because Duke turned it over seven times. So I don't

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Speaker 1: know how much I could take for Virginia. But is

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Speaker 1: Clemson either caught looking ahead here to Miami or are

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Speaker 1: they gonna just take it easier? Go Vanilla? At some point,

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Speaker 1: what do you see here in this matchup?

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Speaker 2: You have to think with Clemson coming into this game,

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Speaker 2: this is the team they beat in the AC Championship

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Speaker 2: sixty two to seventeen. I mean, how serious are they

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Speaker 2: about playing this Virginia team, a team that had a

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Speaker 2: lot more talent in that AEC Championship game than it

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Speaker 2: has now. And mostly that comes down to Bryce Perkins

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Speaker 2: and Brennan Armstrong. Now, Brennan Armstrong played in that a

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Speaker 2: SEC Championship. He had a fumble and an interception in

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Speaker 2: that game too, And it's hard to take Brennan Armstrong

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Speaker 2: at face value going up against Duke, and Duke's been

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Speaker 2: terrible in the trenches on both sides of the ball.

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Speaker 2: But you know calvs they ran eleven personnel. They went

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Speaker 2: fifty eight percent rush against Duke, and in twenty nineteen

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Speaker 2: they were seventy five percent pass in the eleven personnel.

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Speaker 2: So I think what that means is Bronco Mendenhall is

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Speaker 2: trying to limit Armstrong in passing situations. He had two

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Speaker 2: interceptions against Duke. One was in an extremely bad spot,

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Speaker 2: put Duke immediately in the red zone. So I just

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Speaker 2: if you can't pass against Duke, what are you going

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Speaker 2: to do against his Clemson defense? By the way, Clemson

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Speaker 2: already has twenty three tackles for loss. I think they're

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Speaker 2: the best run defense in the nation. Trevor Lawrence. He

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Speaker 2: hasn't had innerny since October nineteenth of last year. Virginia

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Speaker 2: did have its own havoc. I mean, I will state

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Speaker 2: again it was Duke. They had ten pass breakups, they

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Speaker 2: had ten tackles for loss, so at least they controlled

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Speaker 2: the area around the trenches. I'm just not sure they're

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Speaker 2: going to be able to get that done against Clemson.

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Speaker 2: For me, this is the Alabama treatment that we had

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Speaker 2: last week. This is a Clemson first half only side.

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Speaker 2: You know, low wager on Clemson on the first half

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Speaker 2: because look at what happened against a Citadel forty nine

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Speaker 2: to zero, and then there's no points scored by a

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Speaker 2: Clemson or Citadel in the second half, so there's an

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Speaker 2: under in a Citadel cover. I think with Miami on deck,

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Speaker 2: the only way you can play this is a Clemson

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Speaker 2: first half.

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Speaker 1: Fair enough, I will have nothing there, but I will

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Speaker 1: have something in our next game. Talking Oklahoma at Iowa State.

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Speaker 1: Right now at bet MGM, Oklahoma is currently a seven

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Speaker 1: point favorite over under sixty three and a half. This

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Speaker 1: game is fascinating for a few different reasons, but I

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Speaker 1: think it's just highighlights. What are the things that I've

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Speaker 1: noticed so far, and there are exceptions, but generally speaking,

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Speaker 1: you could see the difference that one game makes and

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Speaker 1: the improvement, the significant improvement in some teams, maybe not others.

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Speaker 1: The Middle Tennessee State from games one to two, and

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Speaker 1: this game illustrates it very well. You have Kansas State

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Speaker 1: who beats Oklahoma after losing to Arkansas State. It was

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Speaker 1: with about nine starters. So to Kansas State get that

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Speaker 1: much better after their first game, is that what we're

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Speaker 1: reading into or is this more about Oklahoma? And then

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Speaker 1: you know, Iowa State in their first game they lose

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Speaker 1: to Louisiana at home is two touchdown favorites. And then

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Speaker 1: they go to TCU. They get some players back and

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Speaker 1: they look great. They average the you know, nine yards

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Speaker 1: per play, a lot of explosive plays. Maybe not the

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Speaker 1: most efficient game, and they you know, overcame some mistakes,

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Speaker 1: one agreeous, one by party. So it's it's trying to

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Speaker 1: get a handle on, Okay, what have I seen for

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Speaker 1: the difference in game one and two? And I throw

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Speaker 1: out what was and what do I really account for?

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Speaker 1: You know, based on just the eye test alone, Oklahoma

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Speaker 1: is in trouble this year. I mean, but I saw

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Speaker 1: Kansas State against Arkansas State, and then to see what

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Speaker 1: they did to Oklahoma, and then to see rattle or

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Speaker 1: throw all those picks, it's very worrisome to me. I

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Speaker 1: was high coming in on Iowa State into the season.

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Speaker 1: I loved what they did last week. A lot of

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Speaker 1: different they just just that to come back after that

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Speaker 1: first game and get a conference road win against TCU.

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Speaker 1: I like the Clones here. I downgraded Oklahoma a lot.

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Speaker 1: Maybe I'm wrong, but I like I've got a cheap

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Speaker 1: seven and a half and I took it with the

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Speaker 1: home Clones. And on top of that, it's for October.

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Speaker 1: This game will we played on October third? We know

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Speaker 1: how dominant rock Perty is in October thoughts.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean we this is just the podcast, right.

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Speaker 2: We automatically bet Iowa State when rock Perty throws in October.

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Speaker 2: So that's the end of the handicap. But I'll throw

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Speaker 2: some more. I'll throw some more stats into this, because

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Speaker 2: there's things that bothered me about Oklahoma too that I

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Speaker 2: just keep going over and over as I keep watching them.

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Speaker 2: The reason why Baker Mayfield was able to able to

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Speaker 2: overcome a defense that essentially was a set of lawn

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Speaker 2: chairs hanging out in the backfield was because he had

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Speaker 2: a tremendous offensive line. They made it to the Rose

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Speaker 2: Bowl in the semi final of the playoff because they

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Speaker 2: were one of the most unbelievable things you've ever seen

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Speaker 2: from a success straight and isoppp mixture that you know,

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Speaker 2: that Oklahoma team was almost impossible stop and it took

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Speaker 2: a herculean effort from Georgia, especially in the second half,

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Speaker 2: to come back and beat that team. The problem with

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Speaker 2: this team, now that we know the defense is bad,

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Speaker 2: they take bad angles, they can't tackle, They're getting burned

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Speaker 2: on every route. The offensive line is having major problems.

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Speaker 2: This is not the same offensive line that predicted Baker

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Speaker 2: Mayfield a couple of years ago. And it's showing in

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Speaker 2: Rattler's numbers. And I know that there's you know, the

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Speaker 2: whole you know, first quarterback and the maturity and getting

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Speaker 2: this kind of pressure. When he has pressure, he is

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Speaker 2: a fifty five percent completion rate. When he has no pressure,

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Speaker 2: he has an eighty five percent completion rate. He's had

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Speaker 2: six sacks, he's had three throwaways. He has not looked

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Speaker 2: good with any hands in his face whatsoever. OHU was

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Speaker 2: destroyed by Kansas State's explosive plays, and that's not something

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Speaker 2: that's said very often. Those explosive plays happened in passing downs.

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Speaker 2: Kansas State average thirteen point six yards per play in

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Speaker 2: passing down, so oh, you just really kind of, you know,

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Speaker 2: screwed it all away once it became like a third

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Speaker 2: and long. You know, Iowa State's nothing to have been

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Speaker 2: riding home about so far. They've been mid FBS out

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Speaker 2: of the seventy teams that have played so far in

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Speaker 2: success rate on passing downs and passing plays, so we

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Speaker 2: haven't really seen the explosiveness. But you know, we didn't

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Speaker 2: see it out of Kansas State either. Both teams average

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Speaker 2: about thirty seconds per play on offense, so I don't

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Speaker 2: expect this to be a speedy game up and down

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Speaker 2: the field, but it is big twelve play. You know,

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Speaker 2: Matt Campbell in the three three five, they covered every

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Speaker 2: game against Oklahoma so far, all four years that he's

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Speaker 2: been in the league. And this is the first time

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Speaker 2: Spencer Ratler is going to see a three three five.

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Speaker 2: They can get him some pressure from the three down linemen.

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Speaker 2: So I'm with you. I'm back in Ohio Iowa State,

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Speaker 2: and they are a prime candidate for a money line play,

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Speaker 2: a round robin play everything here. I think I think

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Speaker 2: b October starts on time as schedule.

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Speaker 1: It's also with Rattler. He's obviously very talented, but this

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Speaker 1: is the first and you're right, all the last four

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Speaker 1: years these games have all been close. Iowa State one

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Speaker 1: to one, they lost by one. Last year. They were

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Speaker 1: ten in marches of ten and seven. The other thing

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Speaker 1: is that you know, Lake at Riley is obviously a genius,

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Speaker 1: an offensive genius, and he's the quarterback where square, but

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Speaker 1: he's always had transfer quarterbacks who have been in games,

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Speaker 1: you know, played for other schools, have game experience, have

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Speaker 1: seen different defenses. Rattler knows the scheme and has been around,

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Speaker 1: but you know, these are his first starts in college,

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Speaker 1: so maybe it's going to take him some time. And

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Speaker 1: the offensive line isn't as strong, so there's some worrying

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Speaker 1: signs there for Boomer. I'm on the clones. I'll be

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Speaker 1: tweeting out a lot of tornadoes on Saturday. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's move on here. All right, let's move on to

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Speaker 1: our next spot here, and that's the aforementioned Texas Longhards.

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Speaker 5: Rairi Skuys are live and hut eep in the hid

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Speaker 5: of Texas.

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Speaker 1: They host TCU before that huge Oklahoma game. So are

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Speaker 1: they caught looking ahead? I don't think so after a loss,

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Speaker 1: but maybe Texas escapes Texas Tech. Is that a wake

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Speaker 1: up call for Texas or is it, Hey, we got by,

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Speaker 1: We have Oklahoma on next We have Oklahoma next week,

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Speaker 1: and maybe they come out a little flat and get

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Speaker 1: caught looking ahead. It's not a great historically, it's not

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Speaker 1: a great spot for a boy Herman as a favor.

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Speaker 1: TCU at bet MGM right now is an eleven and

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Speaker 1: a half point underdog over under sixty two and a half.

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Speaker 1: I can tell you that I took some TCU plus thirteen.

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Speaker 1: I liked them anything double digits here. It's a great

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Speaker 1: spot for them. But more importantly this goes back to

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Speaker 1: just you know, some of this has to be narrative

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Speaker 1: based early in the year, in this unprecedented college football year,

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Speaker 1: and the jump from Week one, your first game to

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Speaker 1: your second game, I think could be significant, especially if

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Speaker 1: you have a good coaching staff, which TCU does. They

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Speaker 1: also were starting, you know, a former walk on at

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Speaker 1: quarterback to start the game, he was not efficient. Max

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Speaker 1: Duggan did end up coming on playing a lot and

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Speaker 1: he played a lot better and the offense looked a

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Speaker 1: lot better when he was on the field. In that game,

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Speaker 1: TCU gave up a ton of explosive plays to Iowa State,

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Speaker 1: you know, runs of eighty forty five fifty, So that's

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Speaker 1: something that I think they can clean up from an

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Speaker 1: efficiency standpoint. The defense was okay, so I think TCU's

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Speaker 1: being you know, they have a lot of Texas hype,

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Speaker 1: and Texas did escape last week, so I don't think

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Speaker 1: they got downgraded enough of what I mean that defense,

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Speaker 1: I have to have a lot of questions about it

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Speaker 1: after last week, and I think TCU with Dougan playing

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Speaker 1: the whole game, which I expect him to do from

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Speaker 1: the start, and then Patterson cleaning up some things on

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Speaker 1: that four two five, which does I have really experienced

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Speaker 1: linebackers and does have really experienced safeties. So I think

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Speaker 1: it'll just be a couple of things to clean up

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Speaker 1: here and there. I expect a much better and cleaner

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Speaker 1: performance from the TCU defense.

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Speaker 2: Thoughts here, I have no money on this game yet,

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Speaker 2: and I think the reason is because I'd like to

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Speaker 2: know if Max Duggan is going to play the entire game,

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Speaker 2: can he handle an entire load. He's only been practicing

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Speaker 2: ten days coming off of a procedure, and you know,

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Speaker 2: we don't know if that's controlling how many drives that

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Speaker 2: he can actually physically go in and take. You expect

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Speaker 2: that to be, you know, resolved with some conditioning after

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Speaker 2: two or three weeks. Downing was not good, like you said,

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Speaker 2: in the first half, and then Dugan came in. We're

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Speaker 2: talking sixteen of nineteen for two hundred and forty one yards,

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Speaker 2: three tds and an I and T. You know, TCU

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Speaker 2: had seven passes over twenty plus yards against Iowa State.

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Speaker 2: That's some explosiveness we haven't seen from a quarterback and

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Speaker 2: a while in Fort Worth. You know, in Iowa State

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Speaker 2: they stuffed seventeen of thirty eight TCU rushing attempts, which

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Speaker 2: is well over the national average. So I don't expect

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Speaker 2: Patterson to kind of go back to the rush. I

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Speaker 2: think the passing is where it's going to be. You know,

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Speaker 2: the TCU offensive line is just kind of a disaster,

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Speaker 2: and I only can they not run block and they

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Speaker 2: got stuffed almost half the attempts. They can't protect a quarterback.

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Speaker 2: They're one of the worst in the nation, and you know,

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Speaker 2: hurries and adjustin sack. So you know, TCU average twenty

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Speaker 2: four seconds per play. Texas is now at twenty two

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Speaker 2: point three seconds per play. So that's the reason why

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Speaker 2: you've seen kind of an inflated total at sixty two

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Speaker 2: and a half at bet MGM and rising, because this

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Speaker 2: is just going to be up, up and down the field.

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Speaker 2: And I think that, you know, kind of gets into

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Speaker 2: the end of the stats that we're seeing out of

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Speaker 2: TCU from a finishing drives perspective. So finishing drives is

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Speaker 2: how many points did somebody put up after they crossed

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Speaker 2: the forty yard line. And Iowa State just had a

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Speaker 2: field day with this. They averaged five point three points

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Speaker 2: per trip past TCU's forty yard line. TCU's defense becomes

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Speaker 2: non existent when teams get in the scoring position. Now,

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Speaker 2: if we don't anything about Texas, they weren't explosive at

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Speaker 2: all last week. I think they had two explosive drives

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Speaker 2: out of maybe you know, out of over a dozen

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Speaker 2: drives that they had, But they did have a ton

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Speaker 2: of drives with two plus first downs so typical Sam

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Speaker 2: Ellener removing the chains, running, you know, high tempo, but

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Speaker 2: we're not really being explosive. So for me, this is

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Speaker 2: a live bet after Downing's done his series, before Dougan

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Speaker 2: comes in. I hate to call it like a day

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Speaker 2: trader on the stock market, but I want all of

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Speaker 2: this team when Duggan's under center, and I want none

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Speaker 2: of this team when Downing's playing.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I'm taking a leap of faith and

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Speaker 1: assuming that he's going to play for most of the game,

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Speaker 1: if not all of it. But you could be right

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Speaker 1: and he wasn't game fit for week one. That's why

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Speaker 1: he didn't play the whole game. So I am taking

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Speaker 1: a leap of faith here. But I will say, you know,

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Speaker 1: there's certain coaches where I love that I've made a

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Speaker 1: lot of money doing this. The narratives fit the emotional coaches.

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Speaker 1: It's the Tomlins and the Herman's. And we see these

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Speaker 1: spots where time and time again, right Herman as an underdog,

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Speaker 1: he gets his team up when you don't think that

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Speaker 1: they can compete, Herman as a big favorite against the

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Speaker 1: team and they come out and lay an egg right,

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Speaker 1: same with Tomlin. Happens all the time. So even though

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Speaker 1: Texas did get a scare last week, if they would

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Speaker 1: have lost that game, maybe it's a different story. They

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Speaker 1: still escape and they still Voclahoma on deck. There's still

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Speaker 1: you know, this team that was hyped and getting a

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Speaker 1: lot of hype. I still think could come out flat.

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Speaker 1: We've seen it before from Herman's teams in the past.

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Speaker 1: It wouldn't shock me if we see it again. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's move on to our next spot here, and that

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Speaker 1: is Missouri at Tennessee at bet MGM. Right now, Tennessee

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Speaker 1: is an eleven and a half point favorite over under

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Speaker 1: forty eight and a half. Tennessee one to zero after

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Speaker 1: a semi impressive win at South Carolina to open up

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Speaker 1: the year to win that that program needed. You know,

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Speaker 1: they'll host Missouri here, but they go to Georgia next week,

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Speaker 1: and then they house Kentucky and then they host Alabama.

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Speaker 1: So you know, the rest of October is brutal. Does

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Speaker 1: Tennessee get caught look in a little head a little

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Speaker 1: ahead here? Do they take it easy in the second half?

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Speaker 1: What can we expect from Missouri? Whereas I don't know

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Speaker 1: how much I you know, how much we can take

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Speaker 1: from that second half against Alabama, maybe Missouri can take

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Speaker 1: some positive things. You know, it was a new offense,

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Speaker 1: new quarterbacks. I guess they're using two quarterbacks that did

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Speaker 1: get experience against Obama defense. So if we want to

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Speaker 1: tie it back to everything that I've been saying earlier,

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Speaker 1: maybe Missouri is one of those teams that you do

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Speaker 1: expect to improve significantly, not only throughout the season, but

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Speaker 1: from game one to two. What do you see here?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Sean Robinson showed that he didn't need

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Speaker 2: a gain to I thought he kind of established himself

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Speaker 2: over Connor Baslic. You know, they both went up. You know,

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Speaker 2: they both played against Alabama last week, and you know,

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Speaker 2: I thought Sean Robinson was definitely the better quarterback and

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Speaker 2: all of that. Baslik struggled without pressure. He was five

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Speaker 2: and eleven and non contested passes as were Robinson. It

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Speaker 2: didn't matter if he was being blitzed or not. It

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Speaker 2: was a difference of seventy eight percent and seventy two

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Speaker 2: percent completion rate. So I definitely think Sean Robinson deserves

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Speaker 2: most of the snaps. And I really wasn't impressed with

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Speaker 2: this Voles defense last week. I mean, gave up two

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Speaker 2: hundred and ninety yards to Colin Hill. I mean, let's

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Speaker 2: they choked the lead away South Carolina then didn't yell

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Speaker 2: Peter ball and get out of the way when they

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Speaker 2: got hit in the leg with that with that punt,

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Speaker 2: I mean South Carolina choked it away after Tennessee choked

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Speaker 2: it away. So I wasn't really that impressed with Tennessee.

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Speaker 2: You know, Missouri, you could see the Drinkquitz offense kind

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Speaker 2: of playing out. His personnel went from eleven to ten

383
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Speaker 2: to twelve. Even threw in a zero one personnel, which

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Speaker 2: you know, what is that? No running backs and a

385
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Speaker 2: tight so you know that. I think once the Missouri

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Speaker 2: players get accustomed to drink Wits offense, and it looks

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Speaker 2: like Sean Robins has already got it figured out, you know.

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Speaker 2: That's I think Missouri is going to be much improved

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Speaker 2: on offense. That cover against Alabama, even though Alabama was

390
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Speaker 2: going Vanilla, means something. Tennessee shut down defensive back Sean Shamberger.

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Speaker 2: I mean, as a recorded we don't know his status

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Speaker 2: for the game. That's a really big h you know,

393
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Speaker 2: component for Tennessee that they need to bring to the

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Speaker 2: table to win this game. Missouri's defense take notice. They

395
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Speaker 2: held Bam at three yards per carry and that's just

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Speaker 2: not garbage time. That was happening in the first half.

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Speaker 2: They had a handful of hurries. They had two sacks

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Speaker 2: on Mac Jones, so you know, the defense kept Ryan

399
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Speaker 2: Walter's defensive coordinator.

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Speaker 1: Uh.

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Speaker 2: And I think Missouri's defense is going to get better

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Speaker 2: each week, you know. I just I don't like Jared Garantano.

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Speaker 2: We've talked about him on this podcast, but I think

404
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Speaker 2: Tennessee absolutely has overlooked to Georgia. I think Jeremy head coach,

405
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Speaker 2: Jeremy Pruitt, an offensive coordinator, Jim Cheney. I think they

406
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Speaker 2: go to sleep at night checking their social media timelines,

407
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Speaker 2: and I think they wake up in the morning checking

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Speaker 2: their social media timelines to see what Kirby Smart is doing.

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Speaker 2: Kirby Smart is in those two coaches heads like there's

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Speaker 2: no other right because Kirby Smart basically told Jim Cheney, see,

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Speaker 2: you're not scoring any points to me in the red zone.

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Speaker 2: Him and Jeremy Prue don't get along from their days.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Kirby was sort of the golden child under

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Speaker 2: Nick Save and I think Jeremy prew It was like

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Speaker 2: the redheaded step child. They didn't get the same treatment

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Speaker 2: to Kirby did. So there's like a real rivalry here.

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Speaker 2: I think Tennessee is absolutely looking forward to Georgia here.

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Speaker 2: I think it's a great spot for Missouri to go

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Speaker 2: on the road.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to our next spot, and

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Speaker 1: we're gonna talk some hogs. Right we have Arkansas at

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Speaker 1: Mississippi State at BETHAMGM. Right now, Mississippi State is a

423
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Speaker 1: seventeen and a half point favorite over under sixte eight

424
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Speaker 1: and a half. Mississippi State's obviously coming off that enormous

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Speaker 1: win against LSU that has let down written all over it.

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Speaker 1: You know, they were enormous underdogs and pulled off that

427
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Speaker 1: upset going crazy. No one expected it, and they upset

428
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Speaker 1: the national champs, and now they host Arkansas. No offense column,

429
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Speaker 1: but a pretty big letdown emotionally after beating LSU. I

430
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Speaker 1: personally think this line is too high and I was

431
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:25,359
Speaker 1: all missed to be State that first game. I like

432
00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:29,800
Speaker 1: Arkansas anything over seventeen. I took some eighteen before. This

433
00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:33,360
Speaker 1: is my first Arkansas bet ever since we started doing

434
00:22:33,359 --> 00:22:38,920
Speaker 1: this podcast. Without getting your approval or hearing your advice.

435
00:22:39,119 --> 00:22:41,080
Speaker 1: So this is a big step for me. I hope

436
00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:42,520
Speaker 1: you bless my death.

437
00:22:43,119 --> 00:22:47,920
Speaker 2: Whoo pig Sully absolute dumpster fined dumps fine. I don't

438
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:49,400
Speaker 2: know how we win a game the rest of the year,

439
00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:51,960
Speaker 2: just blowing program up. Give us a death sentence.

440
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:56,240
Speaker 1: Collins talking razorback football.

441
00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:59,120
Speaker 2: First off, you know you wake up Sunday morning and

442
00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 2: all the college football writers in the world who love

443
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:06,840
Speaker 2: to create a narrative. I've already seen Missisppi State It's

444
00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:08,560
Speaker 2: going to be in the College Football Playoff. I've already

445
00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:11,520
Speaker 2: seen Missippi State can win the national championship. I've seen

446
00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:14,200
Speaker 2: the Mississippi sipy. You get your futures in right now,

447
00:23:14,800 --> 00:23:17,240
Speaker 2: Stark Vegas is coming alive and we are in national

448
00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:21,520
Speaker 2: championship worthy. Next thing, you know, Mike Leach has a

449
00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:24,920
Speaker 2: produced video on some wagon that looks like they stole

450
00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:28,760
Speaker 2: from the Sooner's barn and it's got pirate flags everywhere,

451
00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:31,760
Speaker 2: and he says, welcome to my bandwagon. You produced a

452
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:35,320
Speaker 2: bandwagon video like a high production wind in the background

453
00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:39,240
Speaker 2: video because you beat LSU, a team that some people

454
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:43,600
Speaker 2: took twenty twenty one points off their power rating, lost

455
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:46,080
Speaker 2: every single player from a national championship, and you produced

456
00:23:46,080 --> 00:23:48,560
Speaker 2: a video a couple days later. Man, I mean this

457
00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:52,159
Speaker 2: is just this. They should beat Arkansas, but man, this

458
00:23:52,200 --> 00:23:54,280
Speaker 2: could really blow up in your face. But no, I

459
00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:56,520
Speaker 2: don't think Missippi State's going to the college football playoff.

460
00:23:56,560 --> 00:23:58,719
Speaker 2: Let'salk about Missispi State. Let's talk about the area, real

461
00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:02,680
Speaker 2: quicking new Let's go back and talk about what Washington

462
00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:04,720
Speaker 2: used to do against Mike Leach, because Mike Leach was

463
00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:07,359
Speaker 2: never able to beat Washington. Jimmy Lake, who's now the

464
00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:11,000
Speaker 2: head coach of Washington, would say, it's easy. They do

465
00:24:11,080 --> 00:24:13,000
Speaker 2: the same thing every year. We run a two four

466
00:24:13,160 --> 00:24:15,200
Speaker 2: five or in a small amount of three three five.

467
00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:17,119
Speaker 2: We take away the deep ball, We blitz on the

468
00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:19,639
Speaker 2: underneath routes. We let him have the small play, We

469
00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:22,200
Speaker 2: take away the big play. The biggest key to all

470
00:24:22,280 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 2: of this. Who's gonna beat Mississippi State the team that

471
00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:29,760
Speaker 2: can have two superior defensive ends creating pressure so that

472
00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:32,320
Speaker 2: the team can drop eight. When you can drop eight,

473
00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:35,040
Speaker 2: you can cover everything deep and you can hawk everything

474
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:39,280
Speaker 2: over the middle. Arkansas has a redshirt senior Dori and Gerald.

475
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:41,359
Speaker 2: He lined up at strong side defensive end this past

476
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:43,960
Speaker 2: weekend against Georgia, he had three hurries and one and

477
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:47,080
Speaker 2: a half sacks and eighteen passing plays against Stetson Bennett

478
00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:52,520
Speaker 2: at Dwan Mathis. So Arkansas does have strength at defensive end. Now,

479
00:24:52,560 --> 00:24:56,840
Speaker 2: are they talented enough to stop kJ Costello from throwing

480
00:24:56,920 --> 00:25:00,880
Speaker 2: these bullets? Probably not? Probably not. Razorbacks are not.

481
00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:02,440
Speaker 1: The defense up? Can they?

482
00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:04,679
Speaker 2: Can they keep up? That's the question is can they

483
00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:05,119
Speaker 2: keep up?

484
00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:05,280
Speaker 1: So?

485
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:08,119
Speaker 2: I think, you know, going against Georgia's defense is no

486
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:10,560
Speaker 2: walk in the park. Going Intsissippi State's defense, at least

487
00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:12,000
Speaker 2: you're gonna you know, this should be a little bit

488
00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:15,000
Speaker 2: easier for Felipe Franks. I do like the fact that

489
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:18,359
Speaker 2: the Razorbacks are running very high tempo. They were running

490
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:21,920
Speaker 2: about twenty two seconds per play. Sam Pittman had his

491
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:26,240
Speaker 2: beat writer's conference call on Monday morning. He was asked,

492
00:25:26,320 --> 00:25:27,920
Speaker 2: do you think we need to slow the tempo down

493
00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:30,879
Speaker 2: against the team like Mississippi State, And he said emphatically, no,

494
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:33,520
Speaker 2: this is what we do. We just need to do

495
00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:37,080
Speaker 2: it better. This game's going to be fast. Arkansas can't

496
00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:40,040
Speaker 2: defend what Misssippi State wants to do. Arkansas is moving

497
00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:42,720
Speaker 2: the ball at a faster tempo than what Mississippi State is.

498
00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:46,200
Speaker 2: And you know, arts I only had seven passes defense

499
00:25:46,280 --> 00:25:49,680
Speaker 2: against Georgia and forty seven passing attempts. So they have

500
00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:52,840
Speaker 2: talent on the offensive side of the ball to keep

501
00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:55,160
Speaker 2: up Traylon Burke, who saw a touchdown out of him.

502
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:58,199
Speaker 2: They have other players that are emerging. We need Felipe

503
00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:00,359
Speaker 2: Franks to step up and do his role. If not,

504
00:26:00,520 --> 00:26:03,439
Speaker 2: kJ Jefferson's back there. You know, every razorback fan's been

505
00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 2: dying for him. But I'm telling you right now, Missispi

506
00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,720
Speaker 2: State's on a huge letdown spot. They got a video

507
00:26:08,760 --> 00:26:13,120
Speaker 2: produced and nobody's thinking about old little Arkansas when you've

508
00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:15,840
Speaker 2: got articles being written about you that you're gonna win

509
00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:18,359
Speaker 2: the college football playoffs. So yeah, we're taking Arkansas all

510
00:26:18,359 --> 00:26:21,160
Speaker 2: the way. This number should be around ten, not eighteen.

511
00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:25,600
Speaker 1: Woo Big Sulley and Missisippi State doesn't have a great

512
00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:28,640
Speaker 1: defense like people are. We saw their offense last week,

513
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:32,000
Speaker 1: but LSU also did tread them. Yeah, so yeah, I

514
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:34,200
Speaker 1: agree Arkansas can be able to move the ball. All right,

515
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:38,040
Speaker 1: let's move on to our last spot here. It's a

516
00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:43,159
Speaker 1: team we already mentioned, Kansas State coming off the second

517
00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:46,440
Speaker 1: biggest win from a point spread perspective, Kansas State actually

518
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:48,560
Speaker 1: pulled off the biggest upset. Now I wasn't of the

519
00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:51,719
Speaker 1: national champ but there were four touchdown underdogs and they

520
00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:56,280
Speaker 1: beat Oklahoma last week huge wed we saw the Kansas

521
00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:59,359
Speaker 1: State They lose his big favorites in Week one against

522
00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:01,760
Speaker 1: an under man Arkansas State team, and then they win

523
00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:05,680
Speaker 1: at Oklahoma's four touchdown hunderdogs. I mean, figure out this

524
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:09,439
Speaker 1: Kansas State team because I can't. Now, they will host

525
00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:12,639
Speaker 1: a Texas Tech team coming off two odd games of

526
00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:15,880
Speaker 1: its own. They barely beat Houston Baptists and then they

527
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:19,040
Speaker 1: almost beat Texas and losing overtime sixty three to fifty six.

528
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:21,920
Speaker 1: So these are two teams that I'm like, I trying

529
00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:23,919
Speaker 1: to get a whole trying to get a hold of

530
00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:27,040
Speaker 1: who they are, and it's really difficult for me. Kansas

531
00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:31,200
Speaker 1: State two and a half point favorite at bett MGM

532
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:33,600
Speaker 1: over under sixty three and a half. I have zero

533
00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:36,120
Speaker 1: feel for this game as of right now. It's still

534
00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:38,000
Speaker 1: have work to do digging in help me out here.

535
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:40,399
Speaker 2: I think you have to take Kansas State in the spot,

536
00:27:40,480 --> 00:27:42,800
Speaker 2: and I know that that's going to be a very

537
00:27:42,920 --> 00:27:46,520
Speaker 2: very public playoff for what happened with Oklahoma. But let's

538
00:27:46,520 --> 00:27:49,320
Speaker 2: look at what Texas Tech defense has done. Consider the

539
00:27:49,359 --> 00:27:52,880
Speaker 2: Houston Baptist game. Houston Baptist had four explosive drives out

540
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:57,639
Speaker 2: of twelve total. They had twelve passes over fifteen plus yards.

541
00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:00,719
Speaker 2: They average ten point three three yards per play in

542
00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:04,800
Speaker 2: passing plays. Texas Tech didn't have a great day against

543
00:28:04,880 --> 00:28:08,840
Speaker 2: Texas's defense. The Longhorns just couldn't get it going. The

544
00:28:08,880 --> 00:28:12,480
Speaker 2: Longhorns were Actually it was more terrible on Texas part

545
00:28:12,560 --> 00:28:14,480
Speaker 2: that they couldn't get the explosive play going and that

546
00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:16,960
Speaker 2: they allowed Texas Tech to move the ball down the field.

547
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:21,080
Speaker 2: Texas just had three passing plays over twenty yards. They

548
00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:23,560
Speaker 2: only had two rushing plays over twenty yards. Two of

549
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:28,600
Speaker 2: their sixteen drives for Texas were considered explosive. And when

550
00:28:28,640 --> 00:28:31,959
Speaker 2: you consider that Houston Baptists had four explosive drives and

551
00:28:32,080 --> 00:28:34,679
Speaker 2: just twelve, then you look at this Texas Tech defense

552
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:37,679
Speaker 2: and you say, well, there's problems with Texas. There's problem

553
00:28:37,680 --> 00:28:41,480
Speaker 2: with Texas Tech overall. That leads me to the team

554
00:28:41,520 --> 00:28:44,160
Speaker 2: that is leading the nation in explosiveness. They have zero

555
00:28:44,280 --> 00:28:47,040
Speaker 2: success rate. I got called out on the voicemails for

556
00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:50,440
Speaker 2: sustainable drives from Miami. Well, that new team that doesn't

557
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:53,560
Speaker 2: have sustainable drives is now Kids State. They're the most

558
00:28:53,600 --> 00:28:56,320
Speaker 2: explosive team in the nation that has some problems with

559
00:28:56,360 --> 00:28:59,640
Speaker 2: success rate and moving the chains. Both these teams ranked

560
00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:03,360
Speaker 2: bottom fifteen and defensive success rate, Kansas State's bottom six

561
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:06,680
Speaker 2: and offensive success rate. To me, this game is all

562
00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:10,120
Speaker 2: about containing the Wildcat's explosiveness. And when you show me

563
00:29:10,240 --> 00:29:13,760
Speaker 2: that Houston Baptist has twelve passes over fifteen plus yards

564
00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:16,520
Speaker 2: and averages over ten yards per play and a passing down,

565
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:19,320
Speaker 2: I'm taking Kansas State in this. I know it's public,

566
00:29:19,680 --> 00:29:21,480
Speaker 2: I know everybody's gonna be on this, and the numbers

567
00:29:21,520 --> 00:29:24,240
Speaker 2: moving the other way. I'm gonna stick with the Wildcats here.

568
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:27,280
Speaker 1: Fair enough? All right? Before we get to our marquee

569
00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:30,080
Speaker 1: games up to day, here's a quick word from our

570
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571
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582
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583
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588
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Speaker 5: And now back to the show.

589
00:30:29,360 --> 00:30:33,080
Speaker 1: All right, let's get to our marquee games of the weekend.

590
00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:38,040
Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football.

591
00:30:38,760 --> 00:30:40,720
Speaker 2: Let's check out the marquee matchups.

592
00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:45,120
Speaker 4: We'll all end up that for week five we have.

593
00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:48,720
Speaker 1: Three of them. First up, we're going to the SEC.

594
00:30:49,320 --> 00:30:53,880
Speaker 1: We're talking Alabama football at bet MGM. Right now, Alabama

595
00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:58,479
Speaker 1: is the seventeen point favorite over under fifty one and

596
00:30:58,560 --> 00:31:02,200
Speaker 1: a half taking their host Texas A and M. Texas

597
00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:04,040
Speaker 1: A and M. As we said last week, we know

598
00:31:04,120 --> 00:31:07,120
Speaker 1: what Texas A and M is, right, Texas A and

599
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:09,840
Speaker 1: M knows who they are, so they didn't really have

600
00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:12,200
Speaker 1: to do much last week. It's one of those teams that,

601
00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:15,960
Speaker 1: after coming off of shortened springs and shortened summers, they

602
00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:17,920
Speaker 1: didn't really need a tune up game. They didn't really

603
00:31:17,920 --> 00:31:20,520
Speaker 1: need to figure things out a quarterback. It's one of

604
00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:22,880
Speaker 1: the most experienced teams in the country. So I don't

605
00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:24,920
Speaker 1: think that we can take too much from the Vandy game.

606
00:31:24,960 --> 00:31:27,120
Speaker 1: I speak of the Bama They dominated for a half.

607
00:31:27,440 --> 00:31:30,520
Speaker 1: They do have some new pieces, but the second half

608
00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:34,400
Speaker 1: you can throw that out. So I'm mainly going off

609
00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:38,000
Speaker 1: of Texas A and M. Prior's here, and I think

610
00:31:38,040 --> 00:31:40,640
Speaker 1: this line's too high. So I took a piece of

611
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:43,720
Speaker 1: I got Texas A and M plus eighteen. I think

612
00:31:43,720 --> 00:31:46,200
Speaker 1: they can hang here. I think this is more like

613
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:47,880
Speaker 1: a Bama ten to thirteen point win.

614
00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:50,880
Speaker 2: Thoughts, seems like this line is seventeen and a half

615
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,000
Speaker 2: every year. Yeah, I agree with you. I think the

616
00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:55,760
Speaker 2: line is too high, and we know after.

617
00:31:55,600 --> 00:31:59,120
Speaker 1: You remember that one backdoor cover that Texas Jim bur

618
00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:01,960
Speaker 1: that was the seventeen. That was seventeen.

619
00:32:02,000 --> 00:32:05,360
Speaker 2: I think, right, don't think for one second that Jimbo

620
00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:07,800
Speaker 2: doesn't know what the number is and that his boosters

621
00:32:07,840 --> 00:32:10,239
Speaker 2: have money on the game. So just just realize that

622
00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:11,840
Speaker 2: he's one of those ones like Lane Kiff and he

623
00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:12,760
Speaker 2: knows what the spread is.

624
00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:17,240
Speaker 1: I don't support just keep fighting with us, Brant quitting

625
00:32:17,280 --> 00:32:18,880
Speaker 1: on you play, don't quit on us. You know what

626
00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:20,360
Speaker 1: I'm saying. There's no reason to be nasty.

627
00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:22,840
Speaker 2: But I mean, we mentioned it on the podcast earlier

628
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:24,560
Speaker 2: in the week. I just wasn't really phased by what

629
00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:26,680
Speaker 2: happened with Texas A and M and reviewing more of

630
00:32:26,720 --> 00:32:30,320
Speaker 2: the box score, Mond had seven poorly thrown balls. There

631
00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:33,560
Speaker 2: were drop passes by Caleb Chapman, Jalen Preston, Chase Lane.

632
00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:36,440
Speaker 2: It was almost like they were calling plays that they

633
00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:39,640
Speaker 2: planned on never using ever again. Texas A and M,

634
00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:42,880
Speaker 2: believe it or not, had three explosive drives and eleven possessions.

635
00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:44,400
Speaker 2: That's the biggest problem with Texas A and N the

636
00:32:44,480 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 2: year after year is their offense just isn't explosive enough.

637
00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:50,960
Speaker 2: They had a terrible two point five points per attempt

638
00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:53,840
Speaker 2: past the forty yard line. They're finishing drives. It was horrible.

639
00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:56,600
Speaker 2: All the Texas A and M defensive backs that defended

640
00:32:56,680 --> 00:32:59,360
Speaker 2: Alabama played in this game last year, and they did

641
00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:01,840
Speaker 2: a pretty good job against some of the skilled position players,

642
00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:05,000
Speaker 2: especially Jayleen Waddle. He only had I think three or

643
00:33:05,080 --> 00:33:07,760
Speaker 2: three catches I think for less than forty yards. The

644
00:33:07,760 --> 00:33:10,880
Speaker 2: biggest problem in this game. It's gonna sound crazy, but

645
00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:14,680
Speaker 2: to me is field position. Last year, Alabama had an

646
00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:17,400
Speaker 2: average starting field position at the forty seven and a

647
00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:21,480
Speaker 2: half yard line. That's crazy. They started at midfield every time.

648
00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:24,040
Speaker 2: Now why did they start at midfield every time? Because

649
00:33:24,120 --> 00:33:26,640
Speaker 2: Jalen Waddle had four punt returns for one hundred and

650
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:28,880
Speaker 2: twenty eight yards. I couldn't figure out for the life

651
00:33:28,920 --> 00:33:30,960
Speaker 2: of me last year, why are we punting it to

652
00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:34,480
Speaker 2: Jalen Waddle? Stop giving Jalen Waddle the ball. So if

653
00:33:34,560 --> 00:33:37,080
Speaker 2: Jimbo lines up and decides that we're going to punt

654
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:39,920
Speaker 2: to Jalen Waddle, then we're screwed. We're not covering this

655
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:41,120
Speaker 2: number with Texas A and M.

656
00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:42,720
Speaker 1: That's a good point that you brought up. But one

657
00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:44,320
Speaker 1: of the things that might work at Texas A and

658
00:33:44,440 --> 00:33:46,360
Speaker 1: M's advantage is if they don't decide to point out

659
00:33:46,360 --> 00:33:48,160
Speaker 1: about is they had one of the best punters in

660
00:33:48,200 --> 00:33:51,320
Speaker 1: the nation last year in Braden Man, and sometimes that

661
00:33:51,360 --> 00:33:53,560
Speaker 1: can work against you when you're punting to one of

662
00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:57,160
Speaker 1: the best returners in that he was out punting, is

663
00:33:57,200 --> 00:33:59,680
Speaker 1: he was out kicking his coverage. You know, Waddle had

664
00:33:59,760 --> 00:34:01,920
Speaker 1: room and then he was just burning them. So in

665
00:34:01,960 --> 00:34:05,719
Speaker 1: a way, Man was putting it too far against Alabama

666
00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:08,000
Speaker 1: last year. And there was other times when Waddle just

667
00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:10,600
Speaker 1: made plays happen. But you know, maybe shorter punts are

668
00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 1: the way to go anything.

669
00:34:12,600 --> 00:34:16,000
Speaker 2: Just don't let Waddle catch the damn ball. The one

670
00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:17,960
Speaker 2: thing that did bother me after doing a deep dive

671
00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:20,640
Speaker 2: on the band text Aum box score, is that Vandy's

672
00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:23,600
Speaker 2: starting field position was the thirty five text A and

673
00:34:23,680 --> 00:34:25,640
Speaker 2: M's was at the twenty two. The Vandy punter was

674
00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:28,360
Speaker 2: just bombing things and text A M never had a return.

675
00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:31,400
Speaker 2: So the field position worries me. The punting the Jalen

676
00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:34,719
Speaker 2: Wadle worries me. If you put those aside. These are

677
00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:37,480
Speaker 2: two slow pace offenses. They like to run thirty seconds

678
00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:40,600
Speaker 2: per play, defenses that are built to stop the explosive

679
00:34:40,600 --> 00:34:44,880
Speaker 2: play defenses that are familiar with the offensive pieces on

680
00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:47,360
Speaker 2: the other side of the ball. To me, under is

681
00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:49,840
Speaker 2: a look in a slow place game where the defenses

682
00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:52,520
Speaker 2: looking to limit explosiveness. Text A and M can make

683
00:34:52,560 --> 00:34:54,360
Speaker 2: this a game if they don't make any mistakes. Do

684
00:34:54,400 --> 00:34:56,120
Speaker 2: I think that can happen? I don't think they can

685
00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:59,520
Speaker 2: beat Alabama out right, but you know, if they don't

686
00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:01,879
Speaker 2: get still upid and punt at the Jalen Wadel every time,

687
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:03,759
Speaker 2: I think they can certainly cover the number.

688
00:35:03,920 --> 00:35:07,840
Speaker 1: I concur All right, let's move on to our second

689
00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:12,439
Speaker 1: marquee game of the weekend. It's time for bow nick

690
00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:16,320
Speaker 1: season and full of effect bow next season.

691
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:17,880
Speaker 3: Then full effects.

692
00:35:18,840 --> 00:35:23,560
Speaker 1: Auburn at Georgia at bet MGM right now, and this

693
00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:27,479
Speaker 1: is the This is your seven thirty game, seven thirty

694
00:35:27,520 --> 00:35:31,600
Speaker 1: Eastern on ESPN, your Alabama Texas A and M. Gave

695
00:35:31,680 --> 00:35:34,080
Speaker 1: is your three thirty Eastern CBS game, your first real

696
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:37,319
Speaker 1: big CBS. It's gonna be awesome. But right now at

697
00:35:37,320 --> 00:35:39,359
Speaker 1: bet MGM, Georgie is a six and a half point

698
00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:42,319
Speaker 1: favorite over under forty four and a half. You know,

699
00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:45,959
Speaker 1: we saw Georgia's slow start down at the f seven

700
00:35:46,000 --> 00:35:48,719
Speaker 1: to five to Arkansas last week. They turned it on

701
00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:51,480
Speaker 1: a little bit in the second half. We saw Auburn

702
00:35:51,520 --> 00:35:54,759
Speaker 1: get an impressive win at home against Kentucky, but it

703
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:58,040
Speaker 1: was sort of fluky. You know. Kentucky gave away a

704
00:35:58,040 --> 00:36:01,280
Speaker 1: lot of points and opportunities in that game. Bo Knicks

705
00:36:01,280 --> 00:36:03,080
Speaker 1: did some good things. So there were some good and

706
00:36:03,120 --> 00:36:05,920
Speaker 1: some bad that you could take from Auburn. Most importantly,

707
00:36:06,040 --> 00:36:07,839
Speaker 1: both teams kind of got their warm up game out

708
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:10,200
Speaker 1: of the way. The biggest question coming into this game

709
00:36:10,239 --> 00:36:13,000
Speaker 1: is who's going to play quarterback for Georgia. I don't know. Still,

710
00:36:13,040 --> 00:36:14,359
Speaker 1: maybe you do. What do you see here?

711
00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:16,759
Speaker 2: Yeah? I mean what are we going to do at

712
00:36:16,800 --> 00:36:17,800
Speaker 2: quarnerback for Georgia?

713
00:36:17,840 --> 00:36:18,080
Speaker 3: J T.

714
00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:20,160
Speaker 2: Daniels has been cleared. But this goes back to the

715
00:36:20,200 --> 00:36:23,960
Speaker 2: Max Duggan thing. Is he is he in game shape?

716
00:36:24,000 --> 00:36:26,680
Speaker 2: Is he able to play more than a couple of drives?

717
00:36:26,960 --> 00:36:30,360
Speaker 2: We know Dwan Mathis was not efficient against Arkansas whatsoever.

718
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:34,359
Speaker 2: Stetsan Bennett comes in, Georgia, runs a faster tempo, they

719
00:36:34,360 --> 00:36:36,560
Speaker 2: get some points up on the board. He can at

720
00:36:36,640 --> 00:36:40,360
Speaker 2: least run the offense. They didn't have an explosive drive.

721
00:36:40,640 --> 00:36:43,319
Speaker 2: Despite this wide receiver corps being a strength on this team.

722
00:36:43,360 --> 00:36:48,520
Speaker 2: They didn't have one explosive drive against Arkansas, which is troubling. Troubling.

723
00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:50,840
Speaker 2: So the offensive line couldn't get a push against Arkansas

724
00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:53,279
Speaker 2: on the defensive front seven. And you would think that

725
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:55,360
Speaker 2: this would be the strength of Georgia, would be to

726
00:36:55,440 --> 00:36:57,759
Speaker 2: run the ball, but it didn't happen against Arkansas either.

727
00:36:58,360 --> 00:37:00,600
Speaker 2: I know, I really got down a deep hole this

728
00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:03,080
Speaker 2: and my Best Bets is going to come out on

729
00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:04,680
Speaker 2: Friday on the Action Network, and I'm gonna get a

730
00:37:04,719 --> 00:37:06,759
Speaker 2: little bit deeper into this and what I wrote up.

731
00:37:07,040 --> 00:37:10,399
Speaker 2: But I think there's some sort of book out there

732
00:37:10,440 --> 00:37:13,000
Speaker 2: about the way to beat Georgia is the play action pass.

733
00:37:13,160 --> 00:37:14,799
Speaker 2: So let me go back to what happened last year.

734
00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:19,120
Speaker 2: Seth Williams absolutely toward Georgia, up twenty targets, thirteen catches,

735
00:37:19,120 --> 00:37:22,440
Speaker 2: one hundred and something yards. Seth Williams was the driving

736
00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:24,719
Speaker 2: force for Auburn. If you look at what Auburn did

737
00:37:24,719 --> 00:37:26,799
Speaker 2: in Week four, just last week in their first game

738
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:29,840
Speaker 2: against Kentucky, six of the twelve targets of Seth Williams

739
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:32,279
Speaker 2: were play action pass. It's almost like they were trying

740
00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:33,600
Speaker 2: to get a warmed up. I mean, that is the

741
00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:35,799
Speaker 2: way to have Seth Williams at these bombs, but he

742
00:37:35,960 --> 00:37:38,480
Speaker 2: was the only wide receiver on the team against Kentucky

743
00:37:38,480 --> 00:37:41,880
Speaker 2: to get a play action pass. Anthony Schwartz Eli Stove.

744
00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:44,600
Speaker 2: They combined for five screen pass targets, but they never

745
00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:47,359
Speaker 2: had a play action pass. So if you go back

746
00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:50,200
Speaker 2: and look like that's what killed George's defense last year

747
00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:52,680
Speaker 2: was the play action passed by Seth Williams. That's what

748
00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:55,719
Speaker 2: Auburn worked on last week. And holy shit, if you

749
00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:58,600
Speaker 2: go and look at Arkansas's box score from last week,

750
00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:02,879
Speaker 2: Treylon Burk, star receiver for Arkansas, had eleven targets. Eight

751
00:38:02,920 --> 00:38:06,520
Speaker 2: of those were play action pass. So the one way

752
00:38:06,600 --> 00:38:09,839
Speaker 2: that Arkansas tried to attack, and Sam Pittman knows this

753
00:38:09,880 --> 00:38:12,480
Speaker 2: Georgia team better than anybody since he was on the staff,

754
00:38:13,360 --> 00:38:16,320
Speaker 2: was to attack them with play action pass and it worked.

755
00:38:16,520 --> 00:38:18,880
Speaker 2: So you know, for me, if you're gonna set up

756
00:38:18,880 --> 00:38:21,719
Speaker 2: the play action pass and Seth Williams is gonna burn you,

757
00:38:21,719 --> 00:38:23,120
Speaker 2: you're gonna have to try to run the ball. I

758
00:38:23,120 --> 00:38:24,680
Speaker 2: mean you're gonna have to turn around hand it off.

759
00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:27,000
Speaker 2: You're at least gonna have to give some sort of

760
00:38:27,040 --> 00:38:30,280
Speaker 2: semblance of a rushing attack to make the Georgia defenders,

761
00:38:30,880 --> 00:38:33,400
Speaker 2: you know, bite on the play action pass. For me,

762
00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:37,239
Speaker 2: I'm taking a first half under. We've got this. I

763
00:38:37,239 --> 00:38:40,520
Speaker 2: don't know this, this wheel of quarterbacks that Georgia is

764
00:38:40,560 --> 00:38:43,120
Speaker 2: gonna throw out there. One's inefficient, one runs high tempo.

765
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:46,319
Speaker 2: One we have no clue because he was he's not

766
00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:48,680
Speaker 2: that good last time we saw him at USC. So

767
00:38:48,960 --> 00:38:51,000
Speaker 2: I don't think we're gonna have any offensive efficiency from

768
00:38:51,000 --> 00:38:53,400
Speaker 2: Georgia in the first half. I think Auburn's gonna be

769
00:38:53,400 --> 00:38:56,480
Speaker 2: concentrating on grinding it out and you know, ground, poundtown

770
00:38:56,719 --> 00:38:59,680
Speaker 2: on the ground and wait until they can hit, you know,

771
00:38:59,760 --> 00:39:02,480
Speaker 2: throw some screens to Schwartz and Eli Stove and then

772
00:39:02,560 --> 00:39:05,520
Speaker 2: wait for that Seth Williams play action pass in the

773
00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:07,960
Speaker 2: third quarter or maybe late second quarter. But for me,

774
00:39:08,400 --> 00:39:11,000
Speaker 2: this is an undergame. But for I'm really got my

775
00:39:11,040 --> 00:39:12,600
Speaker 2: money based on the first half under.

776
00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:14,520
Speaker 1: If you had to come into your head, who wins

777
00:39:14,520 --> 00:39:15,120
Speaker 1: this game and live?

778
00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:19,560
Speaker 2: I would take Georgia to win the game. I don't

779
00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:21,680
Speaker 2: I actually, I mean I power rate it much lower

780
00:39:21,719 --> 00:39:24,400
Speaker 2: than the number is right now. The problem is is

781
00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:27,640
Speaker 2: I think Georgia played their worst game, and I think

782
00:39:27,760 --> 00:39:29,840
Speaker 2: Auburn played about where their level is going to be

783
00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:33,359
Speaker 2: against Kentucky. I think Georgia played their worst offensive game

784
00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:37,239
Speaker 2: and they had no havoc against Arkansas whatsoever. And we

785
00:39:37,320 --> 00:39:39,080
Speaker 2: know they have it, but they don't really have habit.

786
00:39:39,120 --> 00:39:40,160
Speaker 1: They don't they don't really get it.

787
00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:42,319
Speaker 2: They don't. I know that you're not gonna win national

788
00:39:42,360 --> 00:39:45,040
Speaker 2: championship unless you're scoring points in the red zone, unless

789
00:39:45,040 --> 00:39:46,799
Speaker 2: you have havoc on defense, and we still haven't seen

790
00:39:46,840 --> 00:39:47,239
Speaker 2: it from them.

791
00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:49,479
Speaker 1: He might have played a poor offensive game, but maybe

792
00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:52,600
Speaker 1: that happens again because of a quarterback carousels that. That's

793
00:39:52,640 --> 00:39:54,720
Speaker 1: that's the big question this game. If they're playing two,

794
00:39:55,400 --> 00:39:57,640
Speaker 1: if you know, we don't know what Daniels is gonna

795
00:39:57,640 --> 00:39:59,680
Speaker 1: look like. It's based Maybe it's like his first game

796
00:39:59,719 --> 00:40:02,840
Speaker 1: back he starts. I like Auburn at seven or more

797
00:40:03,080 --> 00:40:05,680
Speaker 1: under that, and I probably wait live and see what

798
00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:06,280
Speaker 1: I can get.

799
00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:08,400
Speaker 2: This is the game for bow Nicks to take a

800
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:09,400
Speaker 2: step to the next level.

801
00:40:11,120 --> 00:40:13,799
Speaker 1: Bow nixt season a full effect. Guy. We better hear

802
00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:18,080
Speaker 1: from you multiple times slurring and yelling. That reminds me.

803
00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:22,280
Speaker 1: Check out my Twitter account at Stucky two. Their voicemail

804
00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:24,440
Speaker 1: number is on top there. We listen to our voicemails

805
00:40:24,480 --> 00:40:28,640
Speaker 1: on the Monday episode of the podcast Yell, Scream, Cry,

806
00:40:29,080 --> 00:40:33,319
Speaker 1: talk about life, bitch about our picks, bitch about us

807
00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:35,200
Speaker 1: anything the drunker the better.

808
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:38,319
Speaker 4: Hope you're enjoying this great Action Network podcast. I want

809
00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:40,480
Speaker 4: to make sure you know about the Locked On podcast

810
00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:43,879
Speaker 4: network locked On as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

811
00:40:44,040 --> 00:40:45,799
Speaker 1: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

812
00:40:45,800 --> 00:40:47,680
Speaker 2: You are locked own of the Dallas matterge Welllome.

813
00:40:47,440 --> 00:40:50,040
Speaker 1: Everybody to the Lockdown Lakers podcast. Let's Go.

814
00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:53,279
Speaker 4: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

815
00:40:53,320 --> 00:40:55,520
Speaker 4: know your team better than anyone and give you the

816
00:40:55,560 --> 00:40:58,360
Speaker 4: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

817
00:40:58,520 --> 00:41:02,840
Speaker 4: locked On your favorite team. Subscribe to your Lockdown podcast.

818
00:41:06,360 --> 00:41:08,359
Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to our final marquee game

819
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:12,640
Speaker 1: of the weekend. We're talking service academies. Baby, we love

820
00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:18,360
Speaker 1: the troops A markets understand that. Oh shit, I can't

821
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:24,960
Speaker 1: hear you Navy at Air Force at BETMGM right now,

822
00:41:25,000 --> 00:41:26,799
Speaker 1: Navy is a six and a half point favorite over

823
00:41:26,880 --> 00:41:31,360
Speaker 1: under forty seven and a half. Well, it's two service academies,

824
00:41:31,440 --> 00:41:35,000
Speaker 1: so if you bet the under when two service academies

825
00:41:35,000 --> 00:41:37,880
Speaker 1: are playing. Since two thousand and five, you would have

826
00:41:37,920 --> 00:41:41,799
Speaker 1: went thirty five nine and one thirty five nine. When

827
00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:44,920
Speaker 1: that to gets the close, you think the closing total.

828
00:41:45,280 --> 00:41:47,920
Speaker 1: These things usually move. It's an eighty percent win rate,

829
00:41:48,160 --> 00:41:52,040
Speaker 1: I mean insane, fifty four percent ROI this total open

830
00:41:52,080 --> 00:41:54,000
Speaker 1: to forty eight and a half, get out of forty seven.

831
00:41:54,320 --> 00:41:56,320
Speaker 1: Sitting at forty seven and a half at bet them gym.

832
00:41:57,360 --> 00:41:59,560
Speaker 1: You have to bet this game at the under. No

833
00:41:59,560 --> 00:42:01,840
Speaker 1: problem there. We have two service academies. Why does underwork?

834
00:42:02,440 --> 00:42:06,920
Speaker 1: The clock's always moving, limited possessions. The defenses practice against

835
00:42:06,960 --> 00:42:11,080
Speaker 1: the option all the time. Now it's a bit tougher.

836
00:42:11,120 --> 00:42:13,680
Speaker 1: I usually have a good handle in service academies. We

837
00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:15,279
Speaker 1: One of the reasons I do like the under two

838
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:17,200
Speaker 1: without knowing much about Air Force, which we'll get to,

839
00:42:18,360 --> 00:42:22,319
Speaker 1: is Navy's defense. We've talked about it. They weren't practicing

840
00:42:22,520 --> 00:42:27,080
Speaker 1: tackling the insanity. They weren't practicing tackling leading up to

841
00:42:27,080 --> 00:42:29,760
Speaker 1: the first game against bou and it showed. And then

842
00:42:30,000 --> 00:42:32,560
Speaker 1: in the first half against Tulane. This is a defense

843
00:42:32,600 --> 00:42:34,000
Speaker 1: that I thought was going to be the strength of

844
00:42:34,040 --> 00:42:36,279
Speaker 1: their team. They still haven't figured out to tackle. And

845
00:42:36,320 --> 00:42:39,120
Speaker 1: then all of a sudden, something clicked right, Something clicked

846
00:42:39,120 --> 00:42:41,720
Speaker 1: in that second half, they shut out Tulane and everything

847
00:42:41,719 --> 00:42:43,759
Speaker 1: started to click. So I think the Navy defense is

848
00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:45,239
Speaker 1: going to be ready to roll. They have two games

849
00:42:45,320 --> 00:42:47,640
Speaker 1: under their belt. I still have some questions about the

850
00:42:47,719 --> 00:42:51,440
Speaker 1: Navy offense. And I think that Air Force, you know,

851
00:42:51,480 --> 00:42:54,759
Speaker 1: they've had weeks months to prepare and that's all they

852
00:42:54,800 --> 00:42:57,520
Speaker 1: practice against, should be ready if they have enough guys.

853
00:42:57,560 --> 00:42:59,799
Speaker 1: I don't know what guys are playing for them. We

854
00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:01,759
Speaker 1: don't know that. It's hard to get info in the

855
00:43:01,800 --> 00:43:04,239
Speaker 1: Service academies, and their starting quarterback was one of the

856
00:43:04,280 --> 00:43:07,320
Speaker 1: best quarterbacks you know in the country. And Hammonds and

857
00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:09,719
Speaker 1: how he runs their offense, he's no longer a good

858
00:43:09,760 --> 00:43:13,560
Speaker 1: standing at the academy. So I don't know what. I

859
00:43:13,640 --> 00:43:16,040
Speaker 1: can't price this. I can't set a line for this

860
00:43:16,120 --> 00:43:18,360
Speaker 1: game a spread. I have no idea how to do it.

861
00:43:18,400 --> 00:43:19,840
Speaker 1: I don't know how there's a spread out for this

862
00:43:19,920 --> 00:43:22,040
Speaker 1: game because I don't know who the quarterback is. I

863
00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:24,040
Speaker 1: don't know who's playing. This could be it could be

864
00:43:24,080 --> 00:43:26,560
Speaker 1: all second stringers and be all third stringers. I don't know.

865
00:43:26,840 --> 00:43:28,640
Speaker 1: But if I were going to bet it, I may

866
00:43:29,080 --> 00:43:31,439
Speaker 1: I might just I mean, look, you bet Service Academy under.

867
00:43:31,440 --> 00:43:34,200
Speaker 1: This is what you do. So it's a lot of

868
00:43:34,239 --> 00:43:36,239
Speaker 1: uncertainty with Air Force and it's gonna be their first

869
00:43:36,280 --> 00:43:38,279
Speaker 1: game of the year. What do you see here? It's

870
00:43:38,320 --> 00:43:39,040
Speaker 1: a crazy game.

871
00:43:39,440 --> 00:43:41,759
Speaker 2: Well, obviously odds makers can't make a line on it either,

872
00:43:41,800 --> 00:43:43,719
Speaker 2: as they opened up Mayvy plus two and a half

873
00:43:43,760 --> 00:43:46,040
Speaker 2: and it's you know, it goes all the way to

874
00:43:46,160 --> 00:43:49,799
Speaker 2: Navy minus seven, you know. So, I mean the under

875
00:43:49,920 --> 00:43:53,239
Speaker 2: usually is a completely solid play, and odds makers in

876
00:43:53,360 --> 00:43:57,000
Speaker 2: Vegas and Jersey, they they absolutely hate making totals on

877
00:43:57,040 --> 00:43:59,480
Speaker 2: this because they have a mathematical equation where they have

878
00:44:00,160 --> 00:44:03,400
Speaker 2: projected total for each team and then when these service

879
00:44:03,440 --> 00:44:05,560
Speaker 2: academies play each other, they just add them up and

880
00:44:05,560 --> 00:44:06,880
Speaker 2: put them out there and it ends up in the

881
00:44:06,880 --> 00:44:08,640
Speaker 2: fifties and then all of us betters know that that's

882
00:44:08,640 --> 00:44:11,440
Speaker 2: ten points too high. So you know, the under definitely

883
00:44:11,480 --> 00:44:13,279
Speaker 2: is always the look. I would stress that a first

884
00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:15,719
Speaker 2: half under is good here because of what's going on

885
00:44:16,320 --> 00:44:19,000
Speaker 2: with Air Force. So if you look at what's you know,

886
00:44:19,040 --> 00:44:21,160
Speaker 2: what's been happening. Listen, Navy didn't play for the first

887
00:44:21,200 --> 00:44:23,359
Speaker 2: six quarters of this season. The seventh quarter they finally

888
00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:25,320
Speaker 2: showed up down twenty four to ou to two lane.

889
00:44:25,680 --> 00:44:28,480
Speaker 2: They win twenty seven to twenty four. So, hey, Navy's

890
00:44:28,520 --> 00:44:31,080
Speaker 2: game ready. Finally they've had enough pad hitting and they've

891
00:44:31,120 --> 00:44:35,040
Speaker 2: they've had enough conditioning. They're finally, you know, good to go.

892
00:44:35,280 --> 00:44:37,799
Speaker 2: I think, you know what people need to realize is

893
00:44:37,800 --> 00:44:40,439
Speaker 2: what's going on with air Force. So you know, over

894
00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:43,440
Speaker 2: at the Athletic Chris Vini wrote about the preparations for

895
00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:46,400
Speaker 2: Air Force that they have been practicing since August, but

896
00:44:46,480 --> 00:44:48,600
Speaker 2: they've had a bunch of cadets that have separated from

897
00:44:48,640 --> 00:44:51,719
Speaker 2: the academy for a hardship. So the thought was when

898
00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:54,520
Speaker 2: the Mountain West announced that there wasn't going to be

899
00:44:54,560 --> 00:44:57,640
Speaker 2: any games and that the idea was they were convinced

900
00:44:57,640 --> 00:45:00,400
Speaker 2: that they were going to be playing next spring, to

901
00:45:00,520 --> 00:45:05,840
Speaker 2: almost forty players had something called a turnback. A turnback

902
00:45:05,920 --> 00:45:08,600
Speaker 2: is where you separate yourself from the academy for a hardship.

903
00:45:08,640 --> 00:45:10,719
Speaker 2: You're allowed to come back the next year, and you

904
00:45:10,719 --> 00:45:12,839
Speaker 2: don't have a year of your eligibility taken off. These

905
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:16,440
Speaker 2: are key seniors like Jordan Jackson, Demnte Meek's junior Trey Bug.

906
00:45:16,840 --> 00:45:20,040
Speaker 2: They all left during the COVID nineteen pandemic, and they

907
00:45:20,080 --> 00:45:21,520
Speaker 2: thought they were gonna come back and play in the spring.

908
00:45:21,760 --> 00:45:24,840
Speaker 2: A majority of those players, of those thirty nine players

909
00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:27,120
Speaker 2: are seniors, and a majority of those players are on

910
00:45:27,160 --> 00:45:29,800
Speaker 2: the defense. Now that Donald Hammond the third not no

911
00:45:29,880 --> 00:45:32,160
Speaker 2: longer a quarterback, they have nothing to do with COVID nineteen. He's,

912
00:45:32,440 --> 00:45:35,040
Speaker 2: like Stuck said, he's just not in good standing whatsoever.

913
00:45:35,160 --> 00:45:40,360
Speaker 2: So considering we have a new quarterback, we have almost

914
00:45:40,400 --> 00:45:44,880
Speaker 2: forty players that are on this turnback. As a cadet

915
00:45:44,920 --> 00:45:48,239
Speaker 2: at the Air Force, this is an extremely impossible game

916
00:45:48,280 --> 00:45:50,520
Speaker 2: to handicap. On the Air Force side, you can only

917
00:45:50,560 --> 00:45:54,840
Speaker 2: say that they'll be inexperience and inefficient on offense. And

918
00:45:55,200 --> 00:45:57,520
Speaker 2: you know, there's been no word if Troy Calhoun's got

919
00:45:57,600 --> 00:45:59,959
Speaker 2: him actually hitting each other with pads during the COVID

920
00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:03,600
Speaker 2: nineteen pandemic practices since August. Uh This is a really

921
00:46:03,680 --> 00:46:06,120
Speaker 2: tough one to gauge. I think the first half under

922
00:46:06,160 --> 00:46:08,280
Speaker 2: is the way to go with so many question marks

923
00:46:08,320 --> 00:46:10,040
Speaker 2: and not expecting a lot of offense here.

924
00:46:10,440 --> 00:46:12,440
Speaker 1: And we don't know who those guys are, right Like,

925
00:46:12,640 --> 00:46:15,680
Speaker 1: it's so hard to get info on service kinds. We

926
00:46:15,680 --> 00:46:17,640
Speaker 1: don't know all the guys who decided to take the

927
00:46:17,640 --> 00:46:20,040
Speaker 1: semester off right, No we don't.

928
00:46:20,480 --> 00:46:24,040
Speaker 2: But we were told that's in the high thirties, high thirties.

929
00:46:24,320 --> 00:46:27,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, thirty to forty, So I mean it's it's crazy.

930
00:46:27,960 --> 00:46:30,440
Speaker 1: I think it's under or nothing. First half under. I

931
00:46:30,480 --> 00:46:33,760
Speaker 1: don't hate. Now. If you get a bunch of backups

932
00:46:33,760 --> 00:46:35,680
Speaker 1: on the Air Force defense and they're not ready to tackle,

933
00:46:36,320 --> 00:46:39,800
Speaker 1: maybe it gets ugly. But look, I just I'd almost

934
00:46:39,800 --> 00:46:42,239
Speaker 1: blindly bet Service Academy and this is forty seven a half.

935
00:46:42,239 --> 00:46:43,439
Speaker 1: You have a little wag over him here.

936
00:46:43,640 --> 00:46:45,759
Speaker 2: The way they beat too Lane was the fullback dive.

937
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:47,760
Speaker 2: I mean a fullback dive went for fifty seven yards,

938
00:46:47,760 --> 00:46:49,919
Speaker 2: cover the goddamn a gaps and we'll get an under here.

939
00:46:49,960 --> 00:46:51,839
Speaker 2: So hopefully they're good enough to do that. Whoever, these

940
00:46:51,840 --> 00:46:53,080
Speaker 2: guys are all right?

941
00:46:53,160 --> 00:46:55,960
Speaker 1: Before we go three and out. I got a reminder

942
00:46:56,120 --> 00:46:57,840
Speaker 1: download the Action Network AP if we don't have it.

943
00:46:58,440 --> 00:47:00,960
Speaker 1: Rate review our podcast leading review. It really helps us.

944
00:47:01,480 --> 00:47:03,920
Speaker 1: Thanks again as always for the support. All right, we've

945
00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:07,319
Speaker 1: gotta talk some fcs or no.

946
00:47:13,120 --> 00:47:17,160
Speaker 4: Southland or SEC, Big Sky or Big ten.

947
00:47:18,120 --> 00:47:21,160
Speaker 3: It's time to play FC yes or no.

948
00:47:26,320 --> 00:47:29,400
Speaker 1: We're gonna talk another Service Academy Army Lang thirty and

949
00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:33,360
Speaker 1: a half to Abilene Christian, Army Lang thirty and a half.

950
00:47:33,640 --> 00:47:38,120
Speaker 1: What the fuck I held back everything inside? I mean,

951
00:47:38,200 --> 00:47:42,280
Speaker 1: didn't bet ul Monroe my proudest moment of my betting career.

952
00:47:42,440 --> 00:47:44,719
Speaker 1: Didn't bet ul Monroe in the second half, didn't bet

953
00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:47,680
Speaker 1: ul Monroe live. Man, if I only had that much

954
00:47:48,200 --> 00:47:50,959
Speaker 1: discipline and restraint when it came to Middle Tennessee State,

955
00:47:50,960 --> 00:47:53,520
Speaker 1: when it saved the trip to Murphy's bro where I

956
00:47:53,560 --> 00:47:56,719
Speaker 1: might have picked up COVID, fuck Middle Tennessee State. So

957
00:47:56,840 --> 00:47:59,719
Speaker 1: now I gotta do this again. I mean, if this

958
00:47:59,760 --> 00:48:01,879
Speaker 1: gets thirty one or more, how do I not take

959
00:48:01,880 --> 00:48:04,279
Speaker 1: Abelien Christian at least Ablie Christian just faced? You know,

960
00:48:04,320 --> 00:48:08,000
Speaker 1: a heavy rushing attack of UTEP an FBS team, not

961
00:48:08,080 --> 00:48:11,200
Speaker 1: a very good one, but it's army. The clock's gonna bleed,

962
00:48:11,760 --> 00:48:14,920
Speaker 1: limited possessions, very difficult to cover thirty one when you're

963
00:48:14,920 --> 00:48:17,239
Speaker 1: a service kind be running a triple option? Am I

964
00:48:17,280 --> 00:48:21,360
Speaker 1: crazy for wanting to back the wildcats of Abeliete Christian

965
00:48:21,360 --> 00:48:22,160
Speaker 1: down in Texas?

966
00:48:22,600 --> 00:48:25,680
Speaker 2: Hold on, stuck, chuck yourself. This is the bull bound

967
00:48:25,840 --> 00:48:28,840
Speaker 2: UTEP rushing attack, right. This is a new and improved

968
00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:33,560
Speaker 2: my rushing attack here. No, I mean that the only handy.

969
00:48:33,760 --> 00:48:36,680
Speaker 2: There's really not a lot on Abilene Christian or this game.

970
00:48:36,719 --> 00:48:38,880
Speaker 2: But the one thing I can tell you is that

971
00:48:39,000 --> 00:48:42,520
Speaker 2: in thirty two rushing attempts by UTEP, Abilene Christian stuff

972
00:48:42,600 --> 00:48:45,319
Speaker 2: twelve of them, and that's a thirty seven percent rate

973
00:48:45,320 --> 00:48:48,360
Speaker 2: of stuffs against the UTEP rush. That's greater than the

974
00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:51,960
Speaker 2: national average of thirty percent. So translating that into this game,

975
00:48:52,560 --> 00:48:55,680
Speaker 2: Ablin Christian lost that game by a legit four points.

976
00:48:55,719 --> 00:48:58,000
Speaker 2: I mean, they they had a real shot to beat UTEP. Here,

977
00:48:58,440 --> 00:49:01,240
Speaker 2: what is the line? I would make Army UTEP about

978
00:49:01,280 --> 00:49:04,520
Speaker 2: twenty twenty one points, So I think thirty thirty one

979
00:49:04,680 --> 00:49:08,040
Speaker 2: is well too high here. If they were playing eight

980
00:49:08,120 --> 00:49:10,359
Speaker 2: quarters instead of four quarters, I would think Army could

981
00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:13,360
Speaker 2: cover this easy. I think it's really interesting that Armies

982
00:49:13,360 --> 00:49:15,279
Speaker 2: playing Citadel next week too. I mean, I don't know

983
00:49:15,320 --> 00:49:19,320
Speaker 2: how much they've really sat around and studied Ableine Christian.

984
00:49:19,320 --> 00:49:21,399
Speaker 2: I'm not saying they're taking them for granted, but when

985
00:49:21,440 --> 00:49:24,040
Speaker 2: you have Citadel on deck next week, you're already working

986
00:49:24,080 --> 00:49:26,480
Speaker 2: on the triple option. When you got the Commander in

987
00:49:26,560 --> 00:49:29,760
Speaker 2: Chief trophy against two triple option teams, you're probably already

988
00:49:29,760 --> 00:49:32,440
Speaker 2: prepping your defense for triple option, especially when you play

989
00:49:32,480 --> 00:49:34,480
Speaker 2: the Citadel. So I'm not really sure how much that

990
00:49:34,480 --> 00:49:37,640
Speaker 2: they've focused on Abilene Christian here. Thirty is a lot

991
00:49:37,719 --> 00:49:40,640
Speaker 2: to cover against any team when you run thirty three

992
00:49:40,680 --> 00:49:43,879
Speaker 2: seconds per play. So I'll run out there. I'll throw

993
00:49:43,920 --> 00:49:48,680
Speaker 2: a little little door dash lit Lubert's side money here

994
00:49:48,840 --> 00:49:50,160
Speaker 2: on some abline, Christian.

995
00:49:50,400 --> 00:49:52,960
Speaker 1: Let's go. I'm with you. There's no way I'm holding

996
00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:57,240
Speaker 1: back from not fading Army as a four touchdown plus

997
00:49:57,280 --> 00:50:00,160
Speaker 1: favorite again. So I will be right with you. That

998
00:50:00,239 --> 00:50:03,520
Speaker 1: game is on I hope it's the CBS Sports Network special.

999
00:50:03,560 --> 00:50:05,759
Speaker 1: It is CBS Sports that we're going one thirty eastern.

1000
00:50:05,840 --> 00:50:08,760
Speaker 1: You damn right, I'm betting that game, all right. Before

1001
00:50:08,760 --> 00:50:13,120
Speaker 1: we get out of here, let's go three and out.

1002
00:50:13,440 --> 00:50:16,600
Speaker 2: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1003
00:50:16,920 --> 00:50:20,880
Speaker 1: All right. So first down, let's talk some Friday night lights.

1004
00:50:21,520 --> 00:50:24,360
Speaker 2: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1005
00:50:25,200 --> 00:50:27,279
Speaker 1: Let's go fight some fall, all right. We have two

1006
00:50:27,360 --> 00:50:29,560
Speaker 1: games on Friday night. We have byu Is, a twenty

1007
00:50:29,600 --> 00:50:32,799
Speaker 1: three and a half point favorite against Louisiana Tech. That

1008
00:50:32,840 --> 00:50:36,359
Speaker 1: games in Provo nine Eastern on ESPN two. Before then,

1009
00:50:36,440 --> 00:50:40,280
Speaker 1: we have our roll Humps Campbell fighting Camels.

1010
00:50:40,880 --> 00:50:48,080
Speaker 4: The Campbell University Camels from Boy's Creek, North Carolina, come home.

1011
00:50:50,280 --> 00:50:50,440
Speaker 1: Out.

1012
00:50:52,239 --> 00:50:52,880
Speaker 3: Just watch.

1013
00:50:55,520 --> 00:50:58,160
Speaker 1: Zero and three on the air, traveling two Wake Forest.

1014
00:50:58,200 --> 00:51:01,960
Speaker 1: They're catching thirty four and a half. Campbell isz and

1015
00:51:02,000 --> 00:51:04,880
Speaker 1: three on the year. But they've played Georgia Southern depleted Georgia,

1016
00:51:04,880 --> 00:51:07,440
Speaker 1: so the team lost by one. They played Coastal Carolina

1017
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:09,160
Speaker 1: lost by twenty two. Then they played APP State and

1018
00:51:09,160 --> 00:51:11,839
Speaker 1: lost by thirty one. So they played three FBS teams.

1019
00:51:11,920 --> 00:51:15,520
Speaker 1: Their schedule is just loaded, and now they're playing at

1020
00:51:15,560 --> 00:51:18,440
Speaker 1: Wake wake Forest oho to two on the year. They

1021
00:51:18,520 --> 00:51:21,839
Speaker 1: got blowed out by Clemson and then they lost NZ

1022
00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:24,759
Speaker 1: State in a game they couldn't stop the pack at all.

1023
00:51:24,920 --> 00:51:27,880
Speaker 1: They've had a bye after the Notre Dame game got canceled,

1024
00:51:28,280 --> 00:51:32,320
Speaker 1: and now they host Campbell this week. Wake Forest close

1025
00:51:32,360 --> 00:51:35,920
Speaker 1: to thirty five point favorites over Campbell, and then BYU

1026
00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:38,960
Speaker 1: minus twenty four over LA Tech. You know, we know

1027
00:51:39,040 --> 00:51:41,319
Speaker 1: BYU has been really impressive. It's been one of the teams.

1028
00:51:41,360 --> 00:51:43,440
Speaker 1: I mean, they lost all their receivers, they lost their

1029
00:51:43,440 --> 00:51:47,040
Speaker 1: star tight end and this team is still I know.

1030
00:51:47,120 --> 00:51:49,400
Speaker 1: The first game is against Navied in practice tackling and

1031
00:51:49,440 --> 00:51:51,440
Speaker 1: I know Troy's and anything special, but the way they

1032
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:54,640
Speaker 1: beat both fifty five to three and forty eight to seven,

1033
00:51:55,239 --> 00:51:57,880
Speaker 1: you can't help but be impressed by what they've done.

1034
00:51:58,120 --> 00:51:58,960
Speaker 1: What do you see here?

1035
00:52:00,080 --> 00:52:01,759
Speaker 2: You gotta take Campbell based on the number. I mean,

1036
00:52:01,760 --> 00:52:03,759
Speaker 2: the number should not be over thirty one points, so

1037
00:52:03,840 --> 00:52:05,560
Speaker 2: I think thirty five or thirty four.

1038
00:52:05,400 --> 00:52:05,759
Speaker 1: And a half.

1039
00:52:05,760 --> 00:52:08,200
Speaker 2: I think you're getting a gift thirty five.

1040
00:52:10,320 --> 00:52:10,520
Speaker 1: Chick.

1041
00:52:11,440 --> 00:52:14,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, some more roll humps here. Listen. The demon Deakins

1042
00:52:14,080 --> 00:52:16,680
Speaker 2: are near the bottom of fbs and sacks allowed, So

1043
00:52:16,800 --> 00:52:19,000
Speaker 2: Campbell's gonna be able to get some pressure here and

1044
00:52:19,040 --> 00:52:21,280
Speaker 2: something else that Wake's not very good at. The Wakes

1045
00:52:21,320 --> 00:52:24,080
Speaker 2: defense is seventieth of seventy two teams that have played

1046
00:52:24,440 --> 00:52:27,239
Speaker 2: in rushing and allowing rushing plays over twenty yards. That

1047
00:52:27,360 --> 00:52:30,400
Speaker 2: is really bad against Hodjemlik Williams, the quarterback for Campbell,

1048
00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:32,560
Speaker 2: who's just been tearing it up. And I know you

1049
00:52:32,560 --> 00:52:34,319
Speaker 2: said they're zero and three, but they're three and oh

1050
00:52:34,360 --> 00:52:36,480
Speaker 2: where it matters, and they're three and oh against the spread.

1051
00:52:36,840 --> 00:52:39,480
Speaker 2: The one thing I'm worried about with Campbell. This is

1052
00:52:39,520 --> 00:52:41,880
Speaker 2: a fourth road game in twenty days, and I'm worried

1053
00:52:41,880 --> 00:52:44,520
Speaker 2: about a mid third quarter or a fourth quarter collapse.

1054
00:52:44,600 --> 00:52:47,239
Speaker 2: So I would suggest a first half line. You're probably

1055
00:52:47,280 --> 00:52:49,880
Speaker 2: not gonna get a first half line until Friday morning somewhere.

1056
00:52:50,000 --> 00:52:53,040
Speaker 2: But I would much rather have Campbell in the first

1057
00:52:53,040 --> 00:52:55,239
Speaker 2: half than try to extend them out full game. I'm

1058
00:52:55,239 --> 00:52:58,600
Speaker 2: worried about fourth Roady in twenty days. That's a lot

1059
00:52:58,640 --> 00:53:01,600
Speaker 2: as far as Louisiana Tech and be goes. Louisiana Tech

1060
00:53:01,640 --> 00:53:03,280
Speaker 2: was one of the first plays I made this week.

1061
00:53:03,920 --> 00:53:05,520
Speaker 2: I would, you know, look to see if you can

1062
00:53:05,560 --> 00:53:08,120
Speaker 2: get the twenty four. But Luisium Tech allowed zero explosive

1063
00:53:08,160 --> 00:53:10,359
Speaker 2: drives from Houston Baptists. Remember we just talked about Houston

1064
00:53:10,360 --> 00:53:13,080
Speaker 2: Baptist what they did to Texa Tech. Houston Baptist did

1065
00:53:13,080 --> 00:53:16,080
Speaker 2: the North Texas LA Tech allowed zero explosive drives from

1066
00:53:16,120 --> 00:53:19,439
Speaker 2: Houston Baptist. That's pretty good. Louisiana Tech offense is top

1067
00:53:19,480 --> 00:53:22,080
Speaker 2: twenty and passing success rate night right now. They're top

1068
00:53:22,120 --> 00:53:24,520
Speaker 2: ten offensively in finishing drives, they're putting points up on

1069
00:53:24,560 --> 00:53:28,319
Speaker 2: the board. They're also bottom ten and defense in finishing drives.

1070
00:53:28,360 --> 00:53:30,680
Speaker 2: They're allowing everybody to score once they get down there.

1071
00:53:30,719 --> 00:53:32,919
Speaker 2: So Zach Wilson, if you check He's had more forty

1072
00:53:33,000 --> 00:53:35,480
Speaker 2: years passes than anybody in the nation. Nobody's had more

1073
00:53:35,480 --> 00:53:38,120
Speaker 2: than him. He's had five just out of one hundred

1074
00:53:38,120 --> 00:53:42,759
Speaker 2: and one plays BYU's had ten passes defense, ten pass breakups,

1075
00:53:42,920 --> 00:53:45,200
Speaker 2: and fourteen tackles for loss. So they, I mean, they've

1076
00:53:45,200 --> 00:53:47,880
Speaker 2: got some hait going on here. I do like it

1077
00:53:47,920 --> 00:53:49,719
Speaker 2: at twenty four better. I think the number is way

1078
00:53:49,719 --> 00:53:53,000
Speaker 2: too high. And Holtz has been skip. Holtz has been

1079
00:53:53,040 --> 00:53:56,280
Speaker 2: absolute money since twenty eleven as a road underdog. He's

1080
00:53:56,280 --> 00:53:58,920
Speaker 2: twenty two and nine against the spread as a road

1081
00:53:59,000 --> 00:54:01,040
Speaker 2: underdog in the last decade. And I know we're not

1082
00:54:01,080 --> 00:54:03,840
Speaker 2: a trends kind of podcast, but it is something to

1083
00:54:03,880 --> 00:54:05,560
Speaker 2: pay attention to his Skip Holtz. He does get his

1084
00:54:05,600 --> 00:54:07,799
Speaker 2: team up when they go out as an underdog. Good

1085
00:54:08,320 --> 00:54:09,640
Speaker 2: previews there.

1086
00:54:10,560 --> 00:54:12,840
Speaker 1: I might be on the Camels. We'll see on Friday

1087
00:54:12,880 --> 00:54:15,840
Speaker 1: night roll humps. All right, let's move on to second

1088
00:54:15,920 --> 00:54:20,040
Speaker 1: down and talk our favorite overdog there. It's not familiar.

1089
00:54:20,080 --> 00:54:22,360
Speaker 1: That is our favorite favorite of the card.

1090
00:54:22,719 --> 00:54:24,320
Speaker 2: It's called the over dog parlay.

1091
00:54:24,680 --> 00:54:25,520
Speaker 1: Carl, I'll let you start.

1092
00:54:25,760 --> 00:54:27,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this is just the type of game

1093
00:54:27,320 --> 00:54:29,480
Speaker 2: UAB dominates. I mean, they love to beat up on

1094
00:54:29,600 --> 00:54:35,239
Speaker 2: fellow G five teams. UTSA is a purely run dominant team,

1095
00:54:35,320 --> 00:54:37,120
Speaker 2: rush heavy. They love to do it on the ground,

1096
00:54:37,120 --> 00:54:40,080
Speaker 2: and UAB is a great front seven first stopping the run,

1097
00:54:40,960 --> 00:54:44,440
Speaker 2: Havoc Layden defense, and who knows if it's gonna be

1098
00:54:44,480 --> 00:54:48,920
Speaker 2: Tyler Johnson or Licerno back there quarterback. But I expect

1099
00:54:48,920 --> 00:54:50,680
Speaker 2: what Texas State was able to do up and down

1100
00:54:50,719 --> 00:54:53,440
Speaker 2: the field against UTSA, UAB is gonna be able to

1101
00:54:53,480 --> 00:54:55,879
Speaker 2: do the same thing. So this is a conference game.

1102
00:54:55,920 --> 00:54:57,799
Speaker 2: I expect to get everything out of Bill Clark here.

1103
00:54:58,160 --> 00:55:00,400
Speaker 2: It is being played at UAB, and this is the

1104
00:55:00,560 --> 00:55:01,680
Speaker 2: kind of team they can bully.

1105
00:55:02,160 --> 00:55:04,200
Speaker 1: There's not a favorite I really love on the card,

1106
00:55:04,920 --> 00:55:07,560
Speaker 1: so I'm going to say my favorite favorite. I mean,

1107
00:55:07,560 --> 00:55:09,440
Speaker 1: I like Georgia Southern against ULM. But can I really

1108
00:55:09,560 --> 00:55:11,200
Speaker 1: lay it to Oney of the triple option team. I

1109
00:55:11,239 --> 00:55:13,880
Speaker 1: don't know, because against my religion. I could say Arkansas

1110
00:55:13,880 --> 00:55:16,279
Speaker 1: State because of Jay Adams. That is a real deal

1111
00:55:16,360 --> 00:55:19,640
Speaker 1: superstar right there. But I'm gonna say Western Kentucky minus

1112
00:55:19,640 --> 00:55:22,439
Speaker 1: seven because fuck Middle Tennessee State. All right, let's move

1113
00:55:22,440 --> 00:55:25,839
Speaker 1: on to third down before we get out of here,

1114
00:55:26,120 --> 00:55:28,640
Speaker 1: and it's our underdog money line. Probably we finally struck

1115
00:55:28,640 --> 00:55:32,720
Speaker 1: out last week, so it's time to hit to again

1116
00:55:32,800 --> 00:55:35,399
Speaker 1: like we did two weeks ago. It's been a good

1117
00:55:35,440 --> 00:55:36,080
Speaker 1: start to the.

1118
00:55:36,080 --> 00:55:42,919
Speaker 2: Year, turning good weekends into great weekends.

1119
00:55:43,440 --> 00:55:47,400
Speaker 1: It's time for the money line parlay. You already know

1120
00:55:47,520 --> 00:55:51,040
Speaker 1: mine clones Iowa State and then they pull it off

1121
00:55:51,800 --> 00:55:55,359
Speaker 1: in Aims. So I'm going with Brock Party and Brock

1122
00:55:55,400 --> 00:55:57,000
Speaker 1: dover Baby what you got.

1123
00:55:57,440 --> 00:55:59,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is gonna be a juicy parlay if we

1124
00:55:59,239 --> 00:56:00,879
Speaker 2: hit it, because I'm gonna go with Missouri. I don't

1125
00:56:00,880 --> 00:56:03,520
Speaker 2: believe in Tennessee whatsoever. I don't believe in Guarantano. I

1126
00:56:03,560 --> 00:56:07,560
Speaker 2: think they're overlooking to Georgia. I think Missouri is going

1127
00:56:07,560 --> 00:56:09,480
Speaker 2: to get better under the drink Witz offense. I think

1128
00:56:09,520 --> 00:56:11,719
Speaker 2: the defense already is solid. They just I mean they

1129
00:56:11,840 --> 00:56:15,040
Speaker 2: covered against Alabama. I listen, I have no faith in

1130
00:56:15,120 --> 00:56:19,400
Speaker 2: Tennessee whatsoever. So let's roll drink Wits.

1131
00:56:19,600 --> 00:56:22,319
Speaker 1: Let's do it. Let's get it done. Drink Wits in October.

1132
00:56:22,640 --> 00:56:24,480
Speaker 1: All right, that'll do it for us. Thanks Colin for

1133
00:56:24,560 --> 00:56:28,080
Speaker 1: joining me, Thanks everyone for listening. I remember to subscribe

1134
00:56:28,120 --> 00:56:31,960
Speaker 1: on subscribed subscribe rate review. Tell a friend telling me

1135
00:56:32,000 --> 00:56:35,480
Speaker 1: about the Action Network podcast, the Action Network app check

1136
00:56:35,480 --> 00:56:37,880
Speaker 1: out all of our content for this upcoming weekend. We

1137
00:56:37,960 --> 00:56:40,480
Speaker 1: cover just a ton of games. If you're not checking

1138
00:56:40,480 --> 00:56:42,680
Speaker 1: it out, and anytime you want, go to actionwork dot com.

1139
00:56:42,760 --> 00:56:45,839
Speaker 1: There's If there's something upcoming betting wise on the app

1140
00:56:45,920 --> 00:56:48,279
Speaker 1: or on our site, we have something for it. So

1141
00:56:48,360 --> 00:56:51,279
Speaker 1: thanks for listening. We'll be back on Monday with the

1142
00:56:51,320 --> 00:56:56,439
Speaker 1: football betting weekend recap. We'll catch you later. Cheers, he's out.

1143
00:57:14,000 --> 00:57:15,040
Speaker 5: We're finished talking.