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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's down to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. This is V Joey P joe Pisapa and

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Speaker 1: this is VP Live hanging out with me Matt Parolt,

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Speaker 1: and we're the only two people remaining who have yet

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Speaker 1: to sign with the Los Angeles Dodgers. But there's still

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Speaker 1: time left today, Matt Parolt and I'm waiting for that

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Speaker 1: offer to come through. Matt Parolt and I are gonna

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Speaker 1: take you through, but looks like a pretty fun championship. Sunday,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna do a little post mortem on what we

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Speaker 1: saw from this weekend's games and the eliminating teams, and

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Speaker 1: of course we're gonna give away free stuff like a

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Speaker 1: Dak Prescott helmet. That's right. If you want a chance

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Speaker 1: to score the Dak Prescott sign helmet for free courtesy

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Speaker 1: of our friends at Pristine Auction dot com, all you

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Speaker 1: slash contest, complete the form and either download the Betting

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Speaker 1: or subscribe to our social media channels at Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: on x and on TikTok at least today and at

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Speaker 1: betting pros NFL on Instagram. The more actions you complete,

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Speaker 1: the more entries you receive, and we'll be announcing the

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Speaker 1: winner right here on the channel. So make sure you

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Speaker 1: turn on those notifications so you can be alerted when

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Speaker 1: new episodes are up and when you can claim your prize.

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Speaker 1: Matt Parralt, you're my prize. That's what you are. I

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Speaker 1: want to shout out to everybody hanging out today. I

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Speaker 1: want to start at the top man, Jadon Daniels. Let's

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Speaker 1: just start there.

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Speaker 2: Man.

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Speaker 1: Forty points in the second quarter between those two teams.

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Speaker 1: An incredibly entertaining game, unless, of course, you're Alliance Van.

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Speaker 1: I did have a bunch of Lion shares to get

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Speaker 1: to the super Bowl, that stuff from preseason. But it

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Speaker 1: was such a fun coming out moment there for Jayden

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Speaker 1: and Daniels, and to see a rookie quarterback do what

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Speaker 1: he's done at two road games. It's one thing to

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Speaker 1: be tamp on the road. It's another thing to go

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Speaker 1: into that building where Detroit has been nearly unbeatable over

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Speaker 1: the last two years. Give me your takeaways on what

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Speaker 1: you saw from Jayden Daniels and that Washington commander squad.

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Speaker 3: You know, it's funny because I think we look at

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Speaker 3: the forty plus point performance, good to see it, by

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Speaker 3: the way I think we get I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I think we're letting Jared Goff off the hook.

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Speaker 3: I think we're all so enamored with what the offense

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Speaker 3: for Washington did against that banged up defense that we're

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Speaker 3: not looking at the turnovers as being really the deciding factor.

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Speaker 3: I mean, the Lions at home have been an over

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Speaker 3: so the idea that they're giving up points is not

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Speaker 3: that surprising. That maybe forty five points was somewhat surprising

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Speaker 3: and giving up that type of overall effort, but that's

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Speaker 3: what that offense had been doing all year. I mean,

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Speaker 3: Cliff Kingsbury, I can't really figure out why, Cliff. I

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Speaker 3: know we didn't do well in Arizona. And I know

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Speaker 3: Cliff Kingsbury's notorious for having amazing septembers in college in

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Speaker 3: pro football as a head coach and then falling apart

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Speaker 3: in December and January. So maybe that's why he's not

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Speaker 3: getting interviewed. But like when the Bears are interviewing fifteen

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Speaker 3: people and the Jets are interviewing seventeen people, and Cliff

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Speaker 3: Kingsbury's not getting any attention. I think it's kind of

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Speaker 3: odd as to what's going on given how well the

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Speaker 3: offense has performed for Washington, and Ben Johnson's like everybody's darling,

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Speaker 3: and I'm like, are we not watching what they're doing

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Speaker 3: in Washington with a rookie quarterback?

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Speaker 2: But I think it's more on Jared Golf.

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Speaker 3: What I came away with that game is that Lions

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Speaker 3: fans have to ask themselves a really hard question about

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Speaker 3: do we have a guy who the Rams gave up

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Speaker 3: on and went and won the Super Bowl? Do we

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Speaker 3: have to do the same thing that the Rams did

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Speaker 3: in order to go win a Super Bowl? Do we

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Speaker 3: have to go find the Matthew Stafford, the next guy

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Speaker 3: who's going to be able to take us to a

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Speaker 3: championship or are we going to suffer through Jared Goff

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Speaker 3: performances like this for how many more years?

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Speaker 2: So my main.

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Speaker 3: Takeaway is that Jared Goff is still Jared Goff. It's

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Speaker 3: it's I don't mean to be mean, but that's just

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Speaker 3: what the guy is. I mean, you know, he call

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Speaker 3: a spade of spade when it comes to big games,

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Speaker 3: you really can't trust Jared Goff.

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Speaker 1: Did you think that in that moment where he threw

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Speaker 1: the pick and it got his bell wrong? Do you

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Speaker 1: think because he really was not good certainly after that, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: there's no doubt about that. Do you think that had

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Speaker 1: a contributing factor to it? Because it did certainly look

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Speaker 1: like he got helmet to helmet contact there. I know

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Speaker 1: what you're saying, and I don't disagree either. You know,

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Speaker 1: Jared Goff in big spots, you know, certainly something you

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Speaker 1: want to rely on. It's also interesting that Stafford and Goff,

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Speaker 1: the two remaining pocket passers in this playoffs, are now gone. Finito.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, it's it's the position, it's gone. If you

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Speaker 3: can't move in the pocket, you're gone. I mean, it's

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Speaker 3: just what the We're no longer seeing the Ben Roethlisberger's

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Speaker 3: and Tom Brady's, Like, it's just not real. And Stafford's

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Speaker 3: thirty six years old, so you know, he's got a

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Speaker 3: big decision to make. Whether his contract's not guaranteed for

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Speaker 3: next year, the Rams might pick it up. It's forty

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Speaker 3: three million dollars or twenty five of it guaranteed, so

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Speaker 3: he may be gone. He may be looking for a

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Speaker 3: new team as well, if the Rams want to move

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Speaker 3: off of Matthew Stafford.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, your point is accurate. I think you're right, Bocket.

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Speaker 3: Passing quarterbacks really are dinosaurs at the moment, and the

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Speaker 3: metia is about to hit and it's just not how

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Speaker 3: the spot's gonna be running anymore.

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Speaker 2: The position will be run anymore. But I mean, that

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Speaker 2: was a pick six.

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Speaker 3: He got his bell rung, So like, I have a

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Speaker 3: hard time when you throw a pick six in the

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Speaker 3: playoffs and you overthrow your receiver by that much. Everything

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Speaker 3: that happened after the pick six, I could say, all right,

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Speaker 3: maybe he did get his bell rung, but he still

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Speaker 3: threw a pick six in a moment to put his.

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Speaker 2: Team down by two touchdowns.

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Speaker 3: That really, I mean, that felt like the game was

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Speaker 3: over when Washington returned that pick for it.

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Speaker 1: It definitely felt like the momentum.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, sure, I'm with you on that was it.

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Speaker 3: That was like, well, okay, we're moving on to the

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Speaker 3: next to Sunday, because you can't throw pick six is

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Speaker 3: in the playoffs in advance, like, look at all the

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Speaker 3: teams that won, and look at all the teams that didn't.

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Speaker 3: The Ravens, the Lions, turnovers or the story the Texans,

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Speaker 3: I mean turnovers in this weekend. If you want to

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Speaker 3: look at who advances to New Orleans, who turns the

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Speaker 3: ball over, and who doesn't. It's kind of that easy

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Speaker 3: right now when it comes to playoff football for me.

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Speaker 1: Also, I don't know if you watch the pregame stuff.

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Speaker 1: They were interviewing all the coaches before, and there seemed

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Speaker 1: to be a really strong overconfidence oozing from Dan Campbell,

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Speaker 1: which is kind of funny because they haven't gotten to

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Speaker 1: a super Bowl, they haven't won anything really yet, and

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Speaker 1: it just felt like, you know, when they handle Minnesota,

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Speaker 1: I guess they thought that everybody's gonna lay down for them.

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Speaker 1: And this is why, you know, if you're unsure about

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Speaker 1: a game, sometimes we watch the endgame live betting something.

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Speaker 1: You're starting to get a feel for what's going on

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Speaker 1: or a feel for you know, man, I could not

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Speaker 1: tell you. I turned to my cousin was watching the

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Speaker 1: game with her, and I said, man, oh, man, like,

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Speaker 1: I just feel like Dan Campbell's really over confident right now.

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Speaker 1: Do you get that feeling the way he's talking about

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Speaker 1: these things? And Dan Quinn was very focused all this stuff. Again,

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Speaker 1: Jane Daniel's playing out of his mind and obviously he's

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Speaker 1: put the work in and the guy's been terrific. Let's

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Speaker 1: dial back to the Houston Texans too. I think they

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Speaker 1: gave it everything they had. Unfortunately they came up short.

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Speaker 2: Again.

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Speaker 1: Sure, Patrick Mahomes, there's some calls there, but at the

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Speaker 1: end of the day, what the Chiefs do. They get

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Speaker 1: home playoff games, they get byes, and then they win

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Speaker 1: two games to go to Super Bowl. I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: very reminiscent of what our Patriots did for twenty years,

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Speaker 1: and that is the formula. Find ways to win every

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Speaker 1: week so that you put yourself in positions to be

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Speaker 1: at home and advance. And if you're mad at it,

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Speaker 1: I don't you know, too bad everybody like, it's just

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Speaker 1: the way things go. Now that they're going to end

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Speaker 1: up getting this week a team coming in here where

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Speaker 1: again the Buffalo Bills, they have that ability to beat Mahomes,

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Speaker 1: We've seen that. But at the same time, this is

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Speaker 1: in Kansas City and again this is one of the again,

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Speaker 1: can you do it when it matters the most? I

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Speaker 1: guess that's the big question.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, in terms of like Dan Campbell being

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Speaker 3: over confident. Dan Campbell, you know, was caught on Mike

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Speaker 3: telling Kevin O'Connell see in two weeks yeah, and Ken

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Speaker 3: Kun and neither neither one of them got there. So

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Speaker 3: like the over confidence was absolutely apparent with Dan Campbell.

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Speaker 3: I mean, he thought his main competition was going to

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Speaker 3: be the Vikings and it turned out to be much,

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Speaker 3: you know, more difficult because turnovers are the ultimate equalizer.

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Speaker 3: And that's what I think from the Buffalo Bills perspective.

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Speaker 3: If you go into Arrowhead and you think you can

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Speaker 3: turn the ball over and beat the Chiefs, it's not happening.

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Speaker 2: You have to play a perfect game.

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Speaker 3: I mean that's absolutely that they have to be. You

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Speaker 3: know that they're two point dogs. They had to go

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Speaker 3: in there with the mindset that, like, we can't turn

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Speaker 3: the football over. I mean, look at what happened with

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Speaker 3: Mark Andrews. Mark Andrews fumblest of the football in in

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Speaker 3: the most inopportune moment. Everyone's talking about the drop on

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Speaker 3: the two point play, and I'll give it to you,

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Speaker 3: that was a horrific moment. And I had Ravens futures

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Speaker 3: and either I was on the Ravens that day. I mean,

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Speaker 3: I really thought the Ravens are going to win.

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Speaker 1: The Ravens that day too. My friend, you and I

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Speaker 1: were both on that, and I don't think we were wrong.

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Speaker 1: If you watched. Now, look, if you were watching the

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Speaker 1: fourth quarter of that game and you saw the turnover

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Speaker 1: of Andrews there and you got the ball punched out,

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Speaker 1: you just died a little inside. And then when they

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Speaker 1: were driving back and Lamar took them all the way

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Speaker 1: back down there. I don't know about you, but I

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Speaker 1: felt like, yeah, like they're gonna they're gonna get this

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Speaker 1: to overtime and they're gonna win. And then there it

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Speaker 1: was do you think Andrews is gone? I know there's

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Speaker 1: cap issues, you know, looking forward next year they have

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Speaker 1: likely do you think Andrews is done? There? It feels

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Speaker 1: like it might be.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. I don't know how Ravens fans that's you know,

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Speaker 3: Bill Simmons called this. I think he's right. He said,

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Speaker 3: that's the Mark Andrews game. Like when you go back

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Speaker 3: in five years, ten years, yeah, and you talk about

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Speaker 3: the game, Oh, the Mark Andrews game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, that's the Mark Andrews game.

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Speaker 3: Like you never want to have that where your name

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Speaker 3: is associated with you.

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Speaker 2: Know, a choke and that's what happened. I mean that

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Speaker 2: the turnover.

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Speaker 3: Yes, Lamar's interception was really bad and overthrown, and he

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Speaker 3: contributed the fumble for Lamar was equally bad. Putting the

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Speaker 3: ball on the floor, on the on the field. You

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Speaker 3: just can't. You can't do it. Samething happened with Matthew

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Speaker 3: Stafford against the Rams, like you just snow, no snow,

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Speaker 3: whatever it is. You have to be aware that you

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Speaker 3: can't carry the elements. You can't carry the ball like that.

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Speaker 3: I mean that, that's just you gotta be more protective

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Speaker 3: of it. You got to be more aware of what's

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Speaker 3: around you. And if you'ren't used to it, then la marsa,

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Speaker 3: I'm tired of this, but like, okay, that's great, Lamar.

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Speaker 3: You can say that and be angry and whatnot, but

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Speaker 3: you know, you've never won two playoff games in the

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Speaker 3: same postseason. Like that is a gigantic mark on Lamar Jackson.

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Speaker 3: I don't care how great you think he is in

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Speaker 3: the regular season, and I love Lamar. I don't care

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Speaker 3: how amazing that you see this. You know, two time

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Speaker 3: MVP and the numbers he puts up and everything that

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Speaker 3: offense was the best offense in football, and Derek Henry

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Speaker 3: was incredible. But when it came down to it, you

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Speaker 3: guys didn't trust Derrick Henry. You didn't give him the

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Speaker 3: football in either one of your two point plays. And

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Speaker 3: on the year, I thought that was weird, And did

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Speaker 3: you think that was yes? And on the year I

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Speaker 3: was waiting for it. The Ravens I went one in

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Speaker 3: five on two point place in twenty twenty four to

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Speaker 3: twenty five. Like how you're on the two yard line

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Speaker 3: with Derrick Henry, Like that's just Todd munkt out thinking

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Speaker 3: himself and thinking I gotta be more creative and do misdirections,

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Speaker 3: just line up and go run the ball, like just

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Speaker 3: let run the last one.

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Speaker 1: That's why I was shocked that at last one too, especially

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Speaker 1: the end of the game. Defense is tired on the

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Speaker 1: line too. You just had a long drive. That one

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Speaker 1: really shocked me. And then look look the got to

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Speaker 1: play they wanted, they executed it. Well, he just didn't

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Speaker 1: catch the football, and you know the rest is history.

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Speaker 1: Rams next year to another team that I don't think

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Speaker 1: anybody necess well, I mean some people thought they had

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Speaker 1: an outside chance. I know, idea at the beginning of

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Speaker 1: the year. But I expect them to go on a run,

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Speaker 1: you know, two rounds into the playoffs, but another year

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Speaker 1: older for Stafford. You know, we'll see how that goes.

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Speaker 1: Do you think the Rams are a team that has

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Speaker 1: playoff aspersions again in twenty twenty five?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, if Stafford comes back, absolutely.

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Speaker 3: I mean you have Pookinako and you get a Cooper

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Speaker 3: Cup and then you have Matthew Stafford. You got to

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Speaker 3: work on the offensive line a little bit. They need

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Speaker 3: to protect Matthew Stafford a bit better. But I mean,

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Speaker 3: Verse has proven to be, you know, one of the

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Speaker 3: names we're gonna be talking about for a long time.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I think we're going to be having a.

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Speaker 3: Conversation about his potential and what he'll do for that

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Speaker 3: defense for a long time. And I think that they

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Speaker 3: will be able to address some things in their secondary

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Speaker 3: which will help them out a lot as well. But yeah,

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Speaker 3: I think the future is right for the Rams and

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Speaker 3: in particularly in the division, because let's see what happens

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Speaker 3: with the forty nine ers. Let's see how they retool

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Speaker 3: and what they look like and what brought party looks

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Speaker 3: like in the coming years. With an offense that has

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Speaker 3: credible skill players, but they can't stay healthy anymore. I

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Speaker 3: mean they're all getting up there in age and they're

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Speaker 3: all getting hurt more and more. So it's, you know,

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Speaker 3: on paper every year, it's like, oh, the Niners are Niners.

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Speaker 3: I don't know, the Cardinals could be interesting. We'll see

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Speaker 3: what they do in the offseason. But yeah, I like

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Speaker 3: the Rams a lot for you know, in the coming

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Speaker 3: in the NFC. But you know, I think we have

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Speaker 3: the Lions were a really good football team on paper

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Speaker 3: when they're healthy. Now they're still going to be a

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Speaker 3: formidable force going forward. But like in terms of like

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Speaker 3: where we are in teams in January, Eagles, Bills, and

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Speaker 3: I would pub with the Ravens in there as too,

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Speaker 3: but in the Chiefs, like those three teams being left

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Speaker 3: out of the four, Like we've got a really good

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Speaker 3: potential for Eagles, Bills, Eagles Chiefs type super Bowl if

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Speaker 3: we get Washington Buffalo in the Super Bowl and it's

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Speaker 3: like nineteen ninety two all over again. This is going

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Speaker 3: to be very interesting to see what the level of

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Speaker 3: interest is going to be in this game, because.

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Speaker 1: I think it's hot.

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Speaker 2: It's a high really, I do I'll tell you.

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Speaker 1: Why, because I think think if one thing about this

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Speaker 1: sports culture we're in, we like new stuff, fair right,

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Speaker 1: We love the new story. Right. Tom Brady once upon

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Speaker 1: a time was the new story. Right, He was the darling.

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Speaker 1: He was cool. Patrick Mahomes was the new story. He

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Speaker 1: was darling, he was cool. Jayden Daniels is the new story.

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Speaker 1: He was cool. Now if Jadon Daniels starts ritling off

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Speaker 1: playoff wins like crazy and starts with rittling off Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl wins, everyone will hate him eventually too. It gets

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Speaker 1: sick of him and annoyed him and all that stuff.

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Speaker 1: But I think there's I think there's a little bit

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Speaker 1: of a rebirth there. I think we're also discounting the

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Speaker 1: historic nature of the Buffalo Bills losing and exercising those

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Speaker 1: demons and when a big story that might be on

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Speaker 1: and Josh Allen a very I think public quarterback, well

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Speaker 1: liked in the league, well liked. You know, a famous

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Speaker 1: girlfriend too, he's not, you know, Travis Kelsey is not

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Speaker 1: the only one I know fiance that's right, right, forgot

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Speaker 1: And on top of which, you know, there's a lot

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Speaker 1: of Commanders fans that have been just misery for decades,

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Speaker 1: and this is if it's like they don't know what

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Speaker 1: to do with themselves. I don't know how many you know,

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Speaker 1: but I know one, and he does not know what

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Speaker 1: to do with himself right now, he's trying to enjoy it.

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Speaker 1: He's like, but I don't. It's like, I don't even

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Speaker 1: know what to make of this run.

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Speaker 3: So East Coast, I'll give it to you. I'm miss

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Speaker 3: telling you on the West Coast. I'm not sure that

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Speaker 3: that sells. Like maybe it's an East Coast super Bowl.

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Speaker 3: I mean this weekend is an East Coast event. I

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Speaker 3: mean Casey is Midwest, but I mean there's you put

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Speaker 3: Washington and you put Buffalo. Yes, people are gonna watch

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Speaker 3: because it's the super Bowl, but I think the level

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Speaker 3: of like West Coast like this is interesting to them.

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Speaker 3: I'll be curious to see what the ratings are going

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Speaker 3: to be for it, because Eagles Chiefs will be a

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Speaker 3: huge I'm sick to death of it, but it'll be monster.

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Speaker 3: It'll be monster both we've seen it two years ago,

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Speaker 3: but it'll be a monster game. It was Chiefs Eagles,

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Speaker 3: the ratings would be absolutely monster for the for the

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Speaker 3: game and whether your hate watching for Mahomes or you're watching.

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Speaker 2: For Taylor, or you're watching for Taylor, you're gonna be watching.

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Speaker 1: Well, Luckily, I still have some chief shares a lot.

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Speaker 1: There was a lot of chiefs and lions though, to

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Speaker 1: go there together. So what are you gonna do, Dan Campbell?

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Speaker 1: Next time? Don't ax so tough like you want anything

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Speaker 1: yet because you haven't. So once again, Dan Campbell continues

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Speaker 1: to have to learn the hard way, which is really

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Speaker 1: frustrating because last year in the playoffs, in thensa championship game,

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Speaker 1: he had to learn the hard way, and I think

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Speaker 1: any boring old football coach will tell you these are

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Speaker 1: bad decisions. Don't do this. And then this year again

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Speaker 1: learn the hard way in a couple of tough games too,

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Speaker 1: where he made some bad decisions. They're that on Sie

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Speaker 1: kick again again in that Bill's game. I keep going

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Speaker 1: back to that, like his inability to just sometimes play

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Speaker 1: against his aggression. It really is his undoing. But I'll

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Speaker 1: say this though, you go find a balance.

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Speaker 2: In his defense.

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Speaker 3: The Washington Commanders have done something, and Dan Campbell I

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Speaker 3: think walked so the Commanders could run that. You're now

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Speaker 3: playing football the way that many of us played video

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Speaker 3: game football.

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Speaker 2: Why am I punting sure? Why am I giving you

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Speaker 2: the ball back?

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Speaker 3: Why am I deciding to take my offense off the

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Speaker 3: field when I'm just gonna keep my offense on the

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Speaker 3: field at all times, I don't need to punt. So

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Speaker 3: Dan Campbell now has made it cool because nobody is

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Speaker 3: ripping him. Ben Johnson had a lot to do with it,

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Speaker 3: but no one's ripping the line for being overly aggressive.

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Speaker 3: People say, maybe he gets too aggressive at certain moments

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Speaker 3: in other parts, like onside kicks and whatnot. But like

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Speaker 3: the going forward on fourth down thing is out the window.

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Speaker 3: I mean when we were growing up like that was.

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Speaker 3: If you were a coach doing that, you would be fired,

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Speaker 3: like in two seconds. The fans would run you out

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Speaker 3: on a rail if you were going forward on fourth

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Speaker 3: down every time and giving teams short fields. Now we

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Speaker 3: have a Washington Commander's offense where Dan Quinn is basically

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Speaker 3: told Cliff Kingsbury, I don't care do whatever you guys

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Speaker 3: want to do.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I thought they were wrong too when they went

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Speaker 1: down there. I thought you'd take the points, always take fine.

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Speaker 3: I like it though that this is a new attitude

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Speaker 3: of basically saying I'm gonna play with my best unit

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Speaker 3: and my best units my offense, and if I miss.

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Speaker 2: I miss.

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Speaker 1: So what I understand doing it in certain spots I understand,

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Speaker 1: especially being aggressive when it's more of a coin flip scenario.

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Speaker 1: I don't understand going forward or fourth down when you're

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Speaker 1: looking at it's the first drive of the game. You

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Speaker 1: just just get your points, get out of there. And

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Speaker 1: again they didn't. Right, So because you take the field

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Speaker 1: goal if you were nor Dain last night Notre Dame

391
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Speaker 1: is a different thing because you were already way behind

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Speaker 1: Ohio state of.

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Speaker 2: Matter, No, it was zero zero.

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Speaker 3: They went for on fourth down three Oh the again

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Speaker 3: the first trive they went for it three times on

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Speaker 3: fourth down.

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Speaker 1: What I have, yes, because I think the difference between

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Speaker 1: the video game culture and like that algorithm or trying

399
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Speaker 1: to work it where you're like, hey, this is my

400
00:16:13,160 --> 00:16:15,040
Speaker 1: best union I've got these players is there's a human

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Speaker 1: element to this, which is the mojo of a game.

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Speaker 1: And I think anybody who played, anybody who coach will

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Speaker 1: tell you, you know, when you take crowds out of it, right,

404
00:16:23,440 --> 00:16:25,520
Speaker 1: when you have a loud like that crowd in Detroit

405
00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:28,040
Speaker 1: was so loud, right, you could even hear the announcer right.

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00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:29,600
Speaker 1: I want to take them out of it. I want

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Speaker 1: to get points on the board, just bring them down

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Speaker 1: a notch. I want to get everybody settled in. And

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Speaker 1: to me, when you don't get it that, you rile

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Speaker 1: everybody up again, and you rile that of the team

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Speaker 1: up again. There's a lot of ebb and flow in

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Speaker 1: these big tense playoff games or any any game where

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Speaker 1: you know you have that sort of intensity level. And

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Speaker 1: that is the one thing to me that I think

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Speaker 1: is sometimes these coaches who are too aggressive are still

416
00:16:49,240 --> 00:16:51,360
Speaker 1: doing themselves a disservice. It's not you can't do it

417
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Speaker 1: in spots, but when you're just doing it all the time,

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Speaker 1: I think you are putting yourself in positions where again,

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Speaker 1: maybe it's gonna hurt Dan Campbell against a team like

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Speaker 1: the Eagles with the defense he's got. Let's get to

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Speaker 1: those games, because I know we promised them talk about

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00:17:03,680 --> 00:17:06,119
Speaker 1: that before we do. Don't forget everybody when he download

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00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:08,240
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00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:34,040
Speaker 1: here's the line. Matt Prault, Washington Commanders plus six on

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Speaker 1: the road in Philadelphia. The number right now in the

433
00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:37,960
Speaker 1: consensus line of Betting Pros is forty seven and a

434
00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:41,960
Speaker 1: half plus two thirty five on the Washington side. I

435
00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:44,000
Speaker 1: don't know where you are with this one. But when

436
00:17:44,040 --> 00:17:46,520
Speaker 1: you have these Indivision teams, right they are familiar with

437
00:17:46,560 --> 00:17:48,600
Speaker 1: each other, that are built to play each other. I

438
00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:50,399
Speaker 1: think the six is too much. I want to be

439
00:17:50,440 --> 00:17:52,520
Speaker 1: on the Commander side of this. I think they have

440
00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:54,639
Speaker 1: a puncher's chance to win this game. I really do

441
00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:56,919
Speaker 1: with the way Daniels is playing, because there's always that

442
00:17:57,000 --> 00:17:59,640
Speaker 1: dysfunctional Philadelphia and the stuff I saw it Jalen Hurts

443
00:17:59,680 --> 00:18:02,720
Speaker 1: last week again. I know elements health, all these things

444
00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:04,880
Speaker 1: we could talk about it. It still doesn't look great

445
00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:08,080
Speaker 1: to me. And I'm on the Commander's side. Of this one.

446
00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:09,840
Speaker 1: Maybe I'm just drinking the kool aid. I don't know, man,

447
00:18:09,880 --> 00:18:10,600
Speaker 1: But where are you at?

448
00:18:11,000 --> 00:18:12,920
Speaker 3: I don't think you're wrong. I would I would just wait.

449
00:18:12,960 --> 00:18:14,800
Speaker 3: I mean, already in Vegas, we're at six and a

450
00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:17,879
Speaker 3: half at the Super Book, So I think it'll close seven.

451
00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:20,440
Speaker 3: I think it'll be like last week, it's gonna it's

452
00:18:20,440 --> 00:18:21,200
Speaker 3: gonna get to seven.

453
00:18:21,280 --> 00:18:23,280
Speaker 1: So why is that? Is that because of the Philadelphia

454
00:18:23,359 --> 00:18:24,920
Speaker 1: track record of being in the playoffs the last couple

455
00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:26,800
Speaker 1: of years and their confidence against the rookie quarterback.

456
00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:29,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's I think it's the fading of

457
00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:31,919
Speaker 3: a rookie quarterback. They're waiting for for Jayden Daniels to

458
00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:33,840
Speaker 3: turn into a pumpkin, and there's waiting for that for

459
00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:35,800
Speaker 3: that game, just to have it fall apart. I think

460
00:18:35,840 --> 00:18:37,840
Speaker 3: it's more likely to happen in the super Bowl than

461
00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:41,120
Speaker 3: I do in this game rematch. They know the building,

462
00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:45,320
Speaker 3: they know the opponent. This is perfect from a rookie standpoint,

463
00:18:45,359 --> 00:18:46,800
Speaker 3: Like you don't have to go and learn a whole

464
00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:48,440
Speaker 3: new defense, like you know what they're going to try

465
00:18:48,480 --> 00:18:51,960
Speaker 3: to do to you. The elements fit well. There'll be

466
00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:54,360
Speaker 3: Commander fans in the building, although not tons. There will

467
00:18:54,400 --> 00:18:56,080
Speaker 3: be some Commander fans that will make the trek, and

468
00:18:56,119 --> 00:18:57,760
Speaker 3: there was some Eagle fans that will sell the ticket,

469
00:18:57,840 --> 00:18:59,639
Speaker 3: so you have some some your fans will be in

470
00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:02,679
Speaker 3: the building. I'm on the same side as you for

471
00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:06,240
Speaker 3: right now until and I don't know how we'll ever

472
00:19:06,280 --> 00:19:10,720
Speaker 3: really know this, but Jalen Hurts. His knees a problem.

473
00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:13,320
Speaker 3: He got sacked in the end zone because he couldn't move.

474
00:19:13,880 --> 00:19:17,800
Speaker 3: If he tore his meniscus, that doesn't get fixed in

475
00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:20,240
Speaker 3: a day, in a month like that. That's a four

476
00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:22,600
Speaker 3: to six week injury that takes a long time with

477
00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:25,359
Speaker 3: rest and recovery. And so they'll shoot it up and

478
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:28,040
Speaker 3: he'll go and play. And I get it. Everyone is hurt.

479
00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:31,560
Speaker 3: But if you're injured, you can't move. And if Jalen

480
00:19:31,600 --> 00:19:35,520
Speaker 3: Hurts can't move, Sakuon Barkley is far less effective because

481
00:19:35,560 --> 00:19:37,359
Speaker 3: you have to worry about Jalen Hurts being able to

482
00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:39,640
Speaker 3: pick up first downs with his legs. If the read

483
00:19:39,680 --> 00:19:43,120
Speaker 3: option is one read and not two reads, you got

484
00:19:43,119 --> 00:19:46,320
Speaker 3: a problem against anyone. And Washington was key and on

485
00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:48,960
Speaker 3: Saquon Barkley. Now it's really hard to stop Sakuon Barkley.

486
00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:52,880
Speaker 3: I'll give you that he's incredible, but without Jalen Hurts

487
00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:55,000
Speaker 3: being healthy, that's a big problem.

488
00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:56,239
Speaker 2: So I would agree with you.

489
00:19:56,400 --> 00:19:57,000
Speaker 1: I would be I.

490
00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:58,879
Speaker 3: Would I want to wait eit. I want seven. It's

491
00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:00,520
Speaker 3: six and a half right now. I will see what

492
00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:02,800
Speaker 3: the ceiling is. If it gets to seven, it make

493
00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:04,879
Speaker 3: it bought right back down to six and a half.

494
00:20:05,440 --> 00:20:08,640
Speaker 3: But I think the number is seven. I want Washington

495
00:20:08,680 --> 00:20:11,440
Speaker 3: plus seven. But if we get it, I like the Commanders.

496
00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:12,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm on the commander's side.

497
00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:13,160
Speaker 2: Man.

498
00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:15,320
Speaker 1: I do agree with you, though. I think if they

499
00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:17,880
Speaker 1: go either team, but especially the Chiefs, I think they'd

500
00:20:17,880 --> 00:20:18,560
Speaker 1: be out of their depth.

501
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:23,400
Speaker 2: I do Casey kills Washington in the Super Bowl. It's

502
00:20:23,440 --> 00:20:24,240
Speaker 2: in New Orleans.

503
00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:27,400
Speaker 3: It's nineteen eighty six all over again, like it is

504
00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:29,760
Speaker 3: Patriots Bears in the Superdome.

505
00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:33,080
Speaker 2: You think it's that it's that bad. It's that bad.

506
00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:38,119
Speaker 3: I think that they this would be three straight road

507
00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:39,160
Speaker 3: playoff games.

508
00:20:39,359 --> 00:20:40,560
Speaker 2: It's just like the Patriots.

509
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:43,000
Speaker 3: Patriots went on the road three straight times and they

510
00:20:43,600 --> 00:20:45,359
Speaker 3: had to go to Miami and they had to take

511
00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:47,359
Speaker 3: on Dan Marino, and they beat Da Marino and they

512
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:52,360
Speaker 3: had nothing left. They were exhausted and they got destroyed

513
00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:54,600
Speaker 3: by one of the best defenses in the history of

514
00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:55,119
Speaker 3: the NFL.

515
00:20:55,240 --> 00:20:58,000
Speaker 1: Tony is not exactly Jayden Daie also just say no.

516
00:20:58,520 --> 00:21:01,720
Speaker 2: But the running game for the Patriots was better.

517
00:21:01,760 --> 00:21:03,680
Speaker 3: I mean, I mean Moises a two point in Craig

518
00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:06,520
Speaker 3: James is better than Brian Robinson and what they're going

519
00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:08,679
Speaker 3: to be running, you know, in Austin Eckler for the

520
00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:11,720
Speaker 3: Washington Commanders. So the Patriots had a legitimate running attack.

521
00:21:11,760 --> 00:21:13,320
Speaker 3: That's how they're able to go on the road and win.

522
00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:16,000
Speaker 3: They played defense and ran the football. I don't like

523
00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:19,719
Speaker 3: Washington's chances of scoring very much up against the Chiefs,

524
00:21:20,119 --> 00:21:22,640
Speaker 3: and I think the Chiefs offense will score like crazy.

525
00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:25,600
Speaker 1: With that being said, right now, on the board, Kansas

526
00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:27,720
Speaker 1: City to beat the Washington Banners is plus seven to fifty,

527
00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:31,400
Speaker 1: and I bet that this morning because I like that too. Funny.

528
00:21:31,800 --> 00:21:32,879
Speaker 1: This was my initial instinct.

529
00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:36,120
Speaker 3: You think Washington can beat Philadelphia, you're far better off

530
00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:37,639
Speaker 3: taking And I did this with Ohio State in the

531
00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:40,120
Speaker 3: National Chiefship Game last night. I was on plus one

532
00:21:40,240 --> 00:21:43,399
Speaker 3: ten on Ohio State before they kicked off against the

533
00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:45,119
Speaker 3: for the semifinal game. I thought, Okay, they're gonna win

534
00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:46,879
Speaker 3: the semi final and then they'll win the final, and

535
00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:48,439
Speaker 3: if they don't, I can hedge off of it. And

536
00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:50,000
Speaker 3: I took nor Dain last night plus eight and a

537
00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:52,359
Speaker 3: half really actually took plus ten. I took it twice

538
00:21:52,400 --> 00:21:54,480
Speaker 3: eight and a half and then at both ended up losing.

539
00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:58,080
Speaker 2: But you have a chance to do a lot with

540
00:21:58,240 --> 00:21:59,400
Speaker 2: that number of seven.

541
00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:01,400
Speaker 3: To fifty if you think they can beat the Eagles,

542
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:02,960
Speaker 3: because if you go to the Super Bowl, they're not

543
00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:04,920
Speaker 3: going to be plus seven fifty. So then you could

544
00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:06,200
Speaker 3: go ahead and play off of it and take the

545
00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:09,200
Speaker 3: Chiefs four mis five whatever it might be, or maybe

546
00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:11,160
Speaker 3: you can take the plus points on their side.

547
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:12,800
Speaker 2: So I love the play.

548
00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:15,879
Speaker 3: If you think Washington can beat the Eagles, do not

549
00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:17,680
Speaker 3: bet them money line bet them to win the Super

550
00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:19,320
Speaker 3: Bowl at seven fifty.

551
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:22,280
Speaker 1: Yeah. I like it. And that combo too. You get

552
00:22:22,280 --> 00:22:25,479
Speaker 1: the combos right now. You've got bills to beat Eagles

553
00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:27,800
Speaker 1: plus four thirty bills to be commanders, plus nine hundred

554
00:22:27,880 --> 00:22:30,240
Speaker 1: chiefs to beat Eagles plus three sixty chiefs to be

555
00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:32,199
Speaker 1: commanders seven fifty. That's the one I'm on. And then

556
00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:34,560
Speaker 1: of course you got the Eagles bills plus four seventy.

557
00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:37,440
Speaker 1: Then the Eagles to beat the Chiefs plus three eighty.

558
00:22:37,520 --> 00:22:39,120
Speaker 1: That's what's on the board right now. You know, when

559
00:22:39,160 --> 00:22:42,679
Speaker 1: you're trying to there's value and this opportunity here. You know,

560
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 1: whenever you turn the page to start looking ahead and saying, okay,

561
00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:47,359
Speaker 1: what's the combination here? And some of these numbers are

562
00:22:47,359 --> 00:22:48,560
Speaker 1: so good. I mean, the most of them are at

563
00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:50,960
Speaker 1: least three to one, if not obviously double that. When

564
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:53,359
Speaker 1: I said that's seven fifty, that just feels like the

565
00:22:53,359 --> 00:22:55,800
Speaker 1: most likely outcome of I think where these teams are.

566
00:22:55,840 --> 00:22:58,119
Speaker 1: I think Washington just has that mojo and they have

567
00:22:58,160 --> 00:23:00,640
Speaker 1: the confidence that go in there and win. I don't

568
00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:02,640
Speaker 1: think they're intimidated by the Eagles. I don't think they're

569
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:06,200
Speaker 1: intimidated by that that situation. It's familiarity. It's an indivision opponent.

570
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:09,439
Speaker 1: You know, your familiarity is there. And I'm concerned that

571
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:13,440
Speaker 1: Nick Siriani once again too, that weird thing that dynamic

572
00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:17,119
Speaker 1: between all these players and coaches and everything going on there.

573
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:20,879
Speaker 1: I don't know, the dysfunctional with a pH sometimes and

574
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:22,920
Speaker 1: I you know, for Philadelphia, and I don't know, I'm

575
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:25,520
Speaker 1: wondering when that comes home to roost, because usually it

576
00:23:25,560 --> 00:23:27,560
Speaker 1: does in some fashion. Let's talk about the other game

577
00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:29,280
Speaker 1: here too, and I say the other as if it's

578
00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:31,600
Speaker 1: not a big deal. The Buffalo bill is the Kansasity Chiefs,

579
00:23:32,080 --> 00:23:34,240
Speaker 1: Chiefs and home minus one and a half. Forty seven

580
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:35,639
Speaker 1: and a half is the total plus one ten on

581
00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:37,480
Speaker 1: the Buffalo side. This is all about whether or not

582
00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:39,320
Speaker 1: you think Josh Allen has enough to go in there

583
00:23:39,359 --> 00:23:41,800
Speaker 1: and bea Kansas city this time around. We've gotten some

584
00:23:41,800 --> 00:23:43,919
Speaker 1: fun performances there before. A couple of years ago, that

585
00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:46,119
Speaker 1: game that went into overtime, that back and forth, the drama,

586
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:49,720
Speaker 1: that was one of the coolest games ever. I remember

587
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:51,600
Speaker 1: I thought it was done and then I was calling

588
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:53,320
Speaker 1: my kids back. He was like, you gotta come see this.

589
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:54,760
Speaker 1: You're not gonna believe what just happened. And then we

590
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:58,439
Speaker 1: end up watching a whole overtime. So is this the

591
00:23:58,480 --> 00:24:02,160
Speaker 1: moment for Josh Allen or is this yet another situation

592
00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:04,800
Speaker 1: where the guy who's probably gonna win the MVP ends

593
00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:06,160
Speaker 1: up not getting to the Super Bowl?

594
00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:10,600
Speaker 3: Line's two. So here's the funny thing. Somebody made this

595
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:12,679
Speaker 3: point to me and I thought it was so appropriate.

596
00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:16,119
Speaker 3: This is two thousand and four Red Sox Yankees, Like

597
00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 3: this is the exercising of the demons you have to

598
00:24:19,359 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 3: go through if you're going to win a championship. Like,

599
00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:25,080
Speaker 3: if the Bills win this game, the Bills are winning

600
00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:27,800
Speaker 3: the Championship. I don't care who plays on the other side.

601
00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:30,280
Speaker 3: I don't care if it's Eagles or Commanders. If Buffalo

602
00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:33,160
Speaker 3: beats Kansas City in Arrowhead, they will win the Super Bowl.

603
00:24:34,040 --> 00:24:34,800
Speaker 2: Can they do it?

604
00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:37,480
Speaker 3: Some people have said, now it's not four, it's three

605
00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:40,399
Speaker 3: where they'll get close and then something tragic will happen

606
00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:42,400
Speaker 3: to the Bills because it's the Bills, and it will

607
00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:45,520
Speaker 3: be another heartbreaking loss, and Casey will go off and

608
00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 3: they're the Yankees, and the Yankees lost the World Series

609
00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:48,000
Speaker 3: that years.

610
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:49,359
Speaker 2: Maybe the Chiefs lose the Super Bowl.

611
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:53,280
Speaker 3: But the four analogy, I thought like, that's really interesting

612
00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 3: because the evil empire really is the Casey Chiefs and

613
00:24:56,840 --> 00:24:59,240
Speaker 3: the Bills have been trying the little Engine that could,

614
00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:03,080
Speaker 3: little tiny bu trying to dethrone here and trying to

615
00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:06,240
Speaker 3: find their way. And you know, there's Travis Kelce with

616
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:09,560
Speaker 3: Taylor Swift, and you know Mahomes on every commercial and

617
00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:11,280
Speaker 3: everyone knows who Andy Andy.

618
00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:12,800
Speaker 1: Reid now too, Andy Reid's on which I love to

619
00:25:12,800 --> 00:25:14,400
Speaker 1: see Andy Reid doing stuff. I think that's great.

620
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:16,760
Speaker 3: So like all you have is little old buffalo who

621
00:25:16,800 --> 00:25:19,520
Speaker 3: you know, with trying to find their way and all shucks,

622
00:25:19,760 --> 00:25:21,320
Speaker 3: kind of how the Red Sox were in two thousand

623
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:23,960
Speaker 3: and four, which again Josh Allen is MVP cannonate the

624
00:25:24,000 --> 00:25:26,159
Speaker 3: Red Sox had Hall of Fame players, so it's it's not,

625
00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:29,960
Speaker 3: you know, totally appropriate, but I do think it's This

626
00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:31,719
Speaker 3: is two thousand and fourth to me, I mean, this

627
00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:33,600
Speaker 3: is Bills win, Bills win at all.

628
00:25:33,680 --> 00:25:36,360
Speaker 2: This is the Super Bowl for the Buffalo Bills. I'm

629
00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:37,400
Speaker 2: not sure it is for the Chiefs.

630
00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:39,399
Speaker 3: I do think the Eagles could beat the Chiefs in

631
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:41,800
Speaker 3: the Super Bowl if the knee is okay.

632
00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:44,320
Speaker 1: See I don't, I don't. I think they've got their

633
00:25:44,400 --> 00:25:46,240
Speaker 1: number and that and this brings me to the last

634
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:48,720
Speaker 1: point here I want to make, which is Bills to

635
00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:50,920
Speaker 1: be commander's plus nine hundred, Chiefs to be commanders in

636
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:54,040
Speaker 1: the Superowl plus seven fifty. So would you bet both

637
00:25:54,040 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 1: of those at the hedge a little bit give up

638
00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:57,480
Speaker 1: a unit there just for those massive returns?

639
00:25:58,160 --> 00:26:00,439
Speaker 3: Well, no, because of the Bills win. They're both dead.

640
00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:02,880
Speaker 3: So like I think the Bills have a shot to win.

641
00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:04,119
Speaker 2: So I don't know.

642
00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:06,119
Speaker 3: I mean that that's why the numbers are where the

643
00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:07,240
Speaker 3: numbers are.

644
00:26:07,359 --> 00:26:08,879
Speaker 1: A reason why of the thing is if you think no,

645
00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:10,439
Speaker 1: but if you think the Bills are good, if the

646
00:26:10,440 --> 00:26:12,800
Speaker 1: Bills get there, they beat they win, right, Yeah, saying

647
00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:14,840
Speaker 1: the Bills they go. We both think that if the

648
00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:16,960
Speaker 1: Commanders get there against the Chiefs, the Chiefs win. We've

649
00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:17,280
Speaker 1: said that.

650
00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:19,280
Speaker 2: Oh, so you want to take Buffalo plus. I want

651
00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:19,879
Speaker 2: to take pluses.

652
00:26:19,880 --> 00:26:22,280
Speaker 1: I want to take Buffalo to beat the Commanders. And

653
00:26:22,359 --> 00:26:24,080
Speaker 1: if you put money on the Buffalo Bills to beat

654
00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:26,320
Speaker 1: the Commanders at plus nine hundred and the Chiefs to

655
00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:28,679
Speaker 1: beat the Commanders at plus seven fifty, sure you're going

656
00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:30,560
Speaker 1: to lose a little bit of return. But basically, when

657
00:26:30,840 --> 00:26:36,080
Speaker 1: Bills over Eagles, Bills over Eagles is plus four thirty.

658
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:39,919
Speaker 3: So just bet that. Don't bet plus two fifty on Buffalo.

659
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:44,160
Speaker 3: Just bet the matchup. That's weird, that's miss priced, that's

660
00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:45,840
Speaker 3: not right. Wow, that's wild.

661
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:47,880
Speaker 1: Well again, it's not the it's not the matchup. It's

662
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:49,399
Speaker 1: to beat. So I just want to correct.

663
00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:51,000
Speaker 2: But the Bills to win the Super Bowl is plus

664
00:26:51,040 --> 00:26:51,600
Speaker 2: two to fifty.

665
00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:55,480
Speaker 3: Correct, So so you go and take if you're gonna

666
00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:56,400
Speaker 3: bet a full.

667
00:26:56,200 --> 00:26:58,200
Speaker 1: Either one of these. Either one of these is much better.

668
00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:01,679
Speaker 1: Bills to beat the Eagles is plus four thirty. They

669
00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:03,440
Speaker 1: go play two teams, So why would you bet anything

670
00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:03,679
Speaker 1: but this?

671
00:27:04,280 --> 00:27:06,960
Speaker 3: So the exact makes more sense than taking a plus

672
00:27:06,960 --> 00:27:07,880
Speaker 3: two to fifty bet.

673
00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:08,439
Speaker 2: That's weird.

674
00:27:08,640 --> 00:27:10,320
Speaker 1: That's not price on FanDuel right now.

675
00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:12,879
Speaker 3: That's not price right, So I'll have to ask Japan

676
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:14,320
Speaker 3: about that on BVB today.

677
00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:16,000
Speaker 1: Well, look, this is why you're hanging out with us here.

678
00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:17,960
Speaker 1: I'm betting pros. I'm looking at this right now, and

679
00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:19,800
Speaker 1: I'm thinking to myself, well, look, if I think it's

680
00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:21,680
Speaker 1: gonna be the Commanders coming out of the NFC, I

681
00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:23,240
Speaker 1: might as well just bet the other two teams to

682
00:27:23,240 --> 00:27:25,080
Speaker 1: beat them, because I agree, I think both of those

683
00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:27,639
Speaker 1: teams if the Bills had motion one. Think about it.

684
00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:29,399
Speaker 3: If you bet one hundred dollars on the Bills to

685
00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:31,840
Speaker 3: win the Super Bowl, right, you win two fifty. If

686
00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:34,800
Speaker 3: I bet fifty on the Bills to beat the Commanders

687
00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:37,640
Speaker 3: or fifty on the Bills to beat the Eagles, I'm

688
00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:39,359
Speaker 3: winning more money.

689
00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:42,200
Speaker 1: Yes, that's what I'm saying. Man, That's why I want

690
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:45,879
Speaker 1: to do it. I'm coming out to positive. I'm hedging.

691
00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:47,119
Speaker 1: I'm giving up a little bit.

692
00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:50,280
Speaker 3: That isn't going to be wrong because only one bet

693
00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:52,720
Speaker 3: can win, right, so that only one of those.

694
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:54,840
Speaker 1: As long as Washington gets in there, I'm a happy

695
00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:57,399
Speaker 1: guy because I'm gonna make money if they lose, is

696
00:27:57,440 --> 00:27:59,480
Speaker 1: what I'm saying. That's my approach.

697
00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:02,040
Speaker 3: Eagles get there, I mean the Eagles will. I mean

698
00:28:02,119 --> 00:28:04,560
Speaker 3: it's two hundred. It's you'll be in the you'll be

699
00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:06,440
Speaker 3: in the profits. The bills will probably be in the black.

700
00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:08,760
Speaker 1: And no matter what you do, if you take like yess Okay,

701
00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:10,439
Speaker 1: So I think the Eagles to be two in the

702
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:12,960
Speaker 1: city and the Chiefs to beat the Eagles is the

703
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:15,080
Speaker 1: one where it's less appealing because you're only getting three

704
00:28:15,119 --> 00:28:16,400
Speaker 1: sixty and three eighty on those.

705
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:19,199
Speaker 3: I'll have to do the math on this kind of

706
00:28:19,200 --> 00:28:21,080
Speaker 3: look at this. So if the Eagles win, you'd make less.

707
00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:24,400
Speaker 3: You have the good point Wig two, you're right because.

708
00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:26,159
Speaker 1: It only works with the Commanders because it's plus nine

709
00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:28,200
Speaker 1: hundred and plus seven to fifty. So look if I

710
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:29,920
Speaker 1: put one hundred bucks on it and the Chiefs win

711
00:28:30,320 --> 00:28:32,760
Speaker 1: at seven fifty and I lost one hundred extra dollars

712
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:36,359
Speaker 1: right on the Buffalo Bills not being in the Super Bowl. Okay,

713
00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:38,760
Speaker 1: I'll eat that, but I'm still plus six fifty, right,

714
00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:41,520
Speaker 1: I'm still above, I'm still winning money. To me, this

715
00:28:41,600 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 1: is the way to hit it.

716
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:44,920
Speaker 2: So if it's Bills Eagles, you won't make enough money.

717
00:28:44,920 --> 00:28:46,320
Speaker 1: You will Eagles not enough to do this.

718
00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:48,200
Speaker 2: But you would win more money by taking just the

719
00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:48,920
Speaker 2: Bills to win it.

720
00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:50,360
Speaker 1: All if you didn't want to hedge.

721
00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:53,120
Speaker 2: It is what I'm saying, right, but plus two fifty

722
00:28:53,400 --> 00:28:53,840
Speaker 2: you would win.

723
00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:56,320
Speaker 3: You would win two fifty versus if you did the

724
00:28:56,360 --> 00:28:59,720
Speaker 3: other side, he'd bet both exactas you would give up fifty.

725
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:02,200
Speaker 1: You would wait that much flip right now. And if

726
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:04,560
Speaker 1: you think like I think that Jalen Hurts doesn't look right,

727
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:07,040
Speaker 1: this is the time to do it.

728
00:29:08,360 --> 00:29:10,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, wait, wigs right, one hundred to win, two sixty

729
00:29:10,800 --> 00:29:12,440
Speaker 3: for the Bills to win it all. Fifty wins to

730
00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:14,520
Speaker 3: fifty for the Bills to win it all. Yeah that

731
00:29:14,520 --> 00:29:17,000
Speaker 3: that that's that's right. So you would wind up you

732
00:29:17,040 --> 00:29:17,800
Speaker 3: would wind up.

733
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:18,360
Speaker 2: Down on that.

734
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:21,280
Speaker 3: Okay, that's that's a really interesting thought though. That in

735
00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:23,360
Speaker 3: John Doherty think of the super Chat. We appreciate it man,

736
00:29:24,520 --> 00:29:26,440
Speaker 3: that's an interesting thought. By the way, you guys can

737
00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:27,880
Speaker 3: always do that. You can put a super chat in there.

738
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:29,440
Speaker 3: If you want a question to be to be asked

739
00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:31,840
Speaker 3: for and we'll guaranteed to answer it, you can put

740
00:29:31,840 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 3: a super chat in there.

741
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:33,960
Speaker 2: We will and we'll answer it for sure.

742
00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:36,160
Speaker 1: I know there's a lot to chew on here, and

743
00:29:36,160 --> 00:29:37,560
Speaker 1: we're gonna be che Look at that.

744
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:38,760
Speaker 2: I I gotta go look at that.

745
00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:41,800
Speaker 3: That that's a that's an interesting thought about about how

746
00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:44,720
Speaker 3: to play that math wise, how much money to put down.

747
00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:47,680
Speaker 1: I'm looking at It's like, okay, I mean, am I

748
00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 1: willing to Am I willing to eat a unit if

749
00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:51,960
Speaker 1: I if I'm if I'm thinking it's the Bills or

750
00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:53,320
Speaker 1: Chiefs are gonna win the Super Bowl and I think

751
00:29:53,320 --> 00:29:55,440
Speaker 1: the Commanders are coming out of the other side. All

752
00:29:55,480 --> 00:29:57,440
Speaker 1: I've got to do is put a unit on each

753
00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:00,000
Speaker 1: I'm gonna eat a unit, but my returns are plus

754
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:02,440
Speaker 1: seven fifty and plus nine hundred either way, I'm coming

755
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:02,920
Speaker 1: out positive.

756
00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:05,200
Speaker 3: That's a better bet. I like that bet that. That's

757
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:07,360
Speaker 3: a good bet. Now, obviously the Eagles have got.

758
00:30:07,040 --> 00:30:08,480
Speaker 1: You're free to steal that map world. I want you

759
00:30:08,560 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 1: to bet. I want everybody.

760
00:30:09,400 --> 00:30:09,840
Speaker 2: I like the bet.

761
00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:10,920
Speaker 3: I don't know if I agree with you, though, I

762
00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:15,720
Speaker 3: mean I I don't like it, you don't like it.

763
00:30:16,280 --> 00:30:18,240
Speaker 3: The math works, well, I'm not sure I agree. The

764
00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:20,840
Speaker 3: Eagles lose the game, I mean cover, I think I'm

765
00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:23,640
Speaker 3: with you on Washington plus seven. I think I like that.

766
00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 3: I'm with you there outright. I don't know if I

767
00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:28,880
Speaker 3: can go.

768
00:30:28,840 --> 00:30:33,040
Speaker 1: Out right Philadelphia. Things tend to get Philadelphia. I lived

769
00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:34,200
Speaker 1: there for six years of my life.

770
00:30:34,360 --> 00:30:36,440
Speaker 3: That doesn't happen, but that tends to happen in the

771
00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:38,600
Speaker 3: next game, not in the the.

772
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:41,680
Speaker 1: Mets this week, this is this last year. Rather, I

773
00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:43,880
Speaker 1: should say Eagles are different.

774
00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:47,400
Speaker 2: Eagles are different. Though Eagles, Eagles are Yeah, then the

775
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:51,680
Speaker 2: Phillies are different. That's Phillies run Phillys.

776
00:30:51,880 --> 00:30:53,760
Speaker 3: Phillies have the Phillies, you know, and they got the

777
00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:56,360
Speaker 3: Phillies special, and they've gotles.

778
00:30:55,720 --> 00:31:00,880
Speaker 1: Have moments to friend they have they have years. Do

779
00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:02,880
Speaker 1: we not remember the Andy Reidiers getting to the NFC

780
00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:05,000
Speaker 1: Championship gaming losing and how many times were they favored?

781
00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:06,840
Speaker 2: He's not there anymore. It's Sirianni.

782
00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:10,120
Speaker 1: Now see, I'm saying there's a culture there of like

783
00:31:10,240 --> 00:31:13,120
Speaker 1: Buffalo bills just fallen short a little bit. All right,

784
00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:14,800
Speaker 1: we gotta get out of here because Matt Parol's way

785
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:16,600
Speaker 1: over time. Make sure you subscribe to the channel. Drop

786
00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:19,000
Speaker 1: your comments below, and we'll be back tomorrow with more

787
00:31:19,040 --> 00:31:21,280
Speaker 1: live Andrew Erison and myself right here at three pm.

788
00:31:21,400 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 2: I'm back at five point thirty with Terrell Furman.

789
00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:26,720
Speaker 3: By the way, we got to our Tuesday college basketball

790
00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:28,080
Speaker 3: show starts today, So there you go.

791
00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:29,640
Speaker 1: Anything else you want to plug before we get out

792
00:31:29,640 --> 00:31:29,880
Speaker 1: of here.

793
00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:32,400
Speaker 3: No, but every Tuesday we three shows. Now you have

794
00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:34,280
Speaker 3: the Juice in the morning, we'll have us at noon,

795
00:31:34,320 --> 00:31:36,560
Speaker 3: and we'll have five thirty with Terrell Furman. So Tuesday

796
00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:39,440
Speaker 3: on the on the Betting Pros YouTube channels like all Mere's.

797
00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:41,360
Speaker 1: Never enough Matt Parole. That'll do it for us, But

798
00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:42,800
Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Matt Parole.

799
00:31:42,840 --> 00:31:45,600
Speaker 1: I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids.

800
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:48,840
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

801
00:31:48,880 --> 00:31:51,240
Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

802
00:31:51,280 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

803
00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:57,600
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804
00:31:57,680 --> 00:32:01,000
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805
00:32:01,040 --> 00:32:03,920
Speaker 4: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com. Slash Betting Pros