1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:03,440 Speaker 1: Cable news is ripping us apart, dividing the nation, making 2 00:00:03,440 --> 00:00:05,880 Speaker 1: it impossible to function as a society and to know 3 00:00:05,920 --> 00:00:08,680 Speaker 1: what is true and what is false. The good news 4 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:10,800 Speaker 1: is that they're failing and they know it. That is 5 00:00:10,840 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: why we're building something new. Be part of creating a new, better, healthier, 6 00:00:14,880 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 1: and more trustworthy mainstream by becoming a Breaking Points Premium 7 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: member today at breakingpoints dot com. Your hard earned money 8 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:23,360 Speaker 1: is going to help us build for the midterms and 9 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:27,320 Speaker 1: the upcoming presidential election so we can provide unparalleled coverage 10 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 1: of what is sure to be one of the most 11 00:00:28,600 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 1: pivotal moments in American history. So what are you waiting for? 12 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:37,120 Speaker 1: Go to Breakingpoints dot com to help us out. Good morning, everybody, 13 00:00:37,159 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 1: Happy Monday. We have an amazing show for everybody today. 14 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 1: What do we have, Crystal Indeed, we do many wonderful 15 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:45,400 Speaker 1: interesting stories to cover. Of course we're going to talk 16 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:49,199 Speaker 1: about CNN. Plus we have Sarah Fisher on and not 17 00:00:49,280 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 1: to give it away, but we do have a little 18 00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:53,840 Speaker 1: bit of a surprise for something that we've purchased on 19 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 1: behalf of the entire Breaking Points community, so stay tuned 20 00:00:56,800 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 1: for that. We also have election results in France that 21 00:00:59,840 --> 00:01:03,200 Speaker 1: are actually really interesting to unpack. On the one hand, 22 00:01:03,320 --> 00:01:06,839 Speaker 1: mccron wins re election, so it's sort of status quo 23 00:01:07,560 --> 00:01:10,200 Speaker 1: and by a much more sizable margin than what had 24 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:13,479 Speaker 1: initially been predicted by the polls. However, Lapenn did better 25 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:15,920 Speaker 1: than the far right has ever done before, so we'll 26 00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 1: dig into all of that. Also, looking like Elon Musk 27 00:01:20,160 --> 00:01:23,479 Speaker 1: is in fact going to take over Twitter. Amazing. Yeah, 28 00:01:23,520 --> 00:01:25,440 Speaker 1: I mean, well, so this is you know, reports as 29 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 1: of this morning, but we'll break it all down. Yeah, 30 00:01:26,840 --> 00:01:28,480 Speaker 1: we'll break it all down for you. We also have 31 00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:31,480 Speaker 1: now a movement from the CDC and the DOJ on 32 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:35,240 Speaker 1: mass They are going to appeal that ruling Soccer was right, 33 00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:37,280 Speaker 1: I was wrong. But they did it, of course in 34 00:01:37,319 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 1: the worst possible way, So we'll give you all those details. 35 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 1: We also have starting this morning, workers on Staten Island 36 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:46,560 Speaker 1: at another Amazon facility are going to be voting on 37 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 1: union election. Bernie Sanders and AOC were at that location 38 00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 1: yesterday for a big rally, so we have those details 39 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 1: for you as well. And very excited to announce yet 40 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:02,800 Speaker 1: another Breaking Points partner, Jordan Sheridan and Status Kup. They're 41 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 1: going to be providing us with exclusive on the ground footage. 42 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:09,560 Speaker 1: He was there And by the way, Jordan was there 43 00:02:09,600 --> 00:02:13,079 Speaker 1: from the beginning with regards to Amazon Union election, one 44 00:02:13,080 --> 00:02:16,200 Speaker 1: of the only reporters and news outlets that actually took 45 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:19,160 Speaker 1: the chance seriously that they could actually prevail there. He 46 00:02:19,280 --> 00:02:21,359 Speaker 1: was there on the ground at the rally yesterday and 47 00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:23,800 Speaker 1: sent us some exclusive footage that we're going to take 48 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:25,959 Speaker 1: a look at in the show. So very excited about that. Yeah, 49 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: we've been relying on Jordan for years. One of the 50 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:29,480 Speaker 1: things that we've heard from you and that we want 51 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 1: to make sure that we're spending your hard earned money 52 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:33,920 Speaker 1: correctly on is having an on the ground presence at 53 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 1: some of the places that are completely undercovered and that 54 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 1: you care about. So Jordan will be doing this for us, 55 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: you know, basically on a continual basis, not just on Amazon, 56 00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:44,640 Speaker 1: but on whatever story strikes everybody's fancy across the country. 57 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:47,519 Speaker 1: So there we go, all the administrative stuff out of 58 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:49,480 Speaker 1: the way. We got actually more even more free tomorrow. 59 00:02:49,520 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 1: We can't overwhelm everybody, h we have to party going 60 00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: on out. But I do want to say about Jordan. Yeah, 61 00:02:55,600 --> 00:02:58,160 Speaker 1: you know, I'm really excited about the whole ecosystem that 62 00:02:58,160 --> 00:03:00,839 Speaker 1: we're building out here and all the partners and relationships 63 00:03:00,840 --> 00:03:02,560 Speaker 1: that we have, and I hope you guys seem to 64 00:03:02,560 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 1: have really enjoyed the content. I know Maximilian Alvarez put 65 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:07,680 Speaker 1: his first piece up over this weekend that people seem 66 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:10,959 Speaker 1: to really love, Max being such a thoughtful person. Jordan 67 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 1: adds another whole dementsion. Yes, because for the first time 68 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:18,840 Speaker 1: now we'll have capability to have actual on the ground reporting, 69 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 1: exclusive footage. So that's something we've been looking for and 70 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:24,359 Speaker 1: we're really excited to add into the mix to make 71 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 1: this a more complete and holistic experience for you. Extending 72 00:03:28,360 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 1: Universe is expanding soon we'll have our own shootoffs. Okay, 73 00:03:32,240 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 1: let's start with Ukraine. So Ukraine, I know it seems 74 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 1: like it never ends, but there's some bigger news that 75 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:40,040 Speaker 1: came out this morning. Let's put this up there on 76 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 1: the screen, which is Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin Secretary 77 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:47,000 Speaker 1: of State Anthony Blinkin both visited Kiev this morning and 78 00:03:47,040 --> 00:03:49,920 Speaker 1: they came out with this very significant statement. So the 79 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:52,800 Speaker 1: Secretary of Defense in particular making some big news where 80 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 1: he says specifically that he wants to see in the 81 00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:58,760 Speaker 1: United States policy is that they want to see the 82 00:03:58,840 --> 00:04:02,160 Speaker 1: Russian military week here's a direct quote. We want to 83 00:04:02,200 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 1: see Russia weakened to the degree it cannot do the 84 00:04:05,160 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 1: kinds of things that has done in Ukraine. It has 85 00:04:07,480 --> 00:04:10,320 Speaker 1: already lost a lot of military capability and a lot 86 00:04:10,360 --> 00:04:12,760 Speaker 1: of troops, and we want to see them not have 87 00:04:12,880 --> 00:04:16,760 Speaker 1: the capability to very quickly reproduce that capability. So that 88 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:20,119 Speaker 1: is military speak for we want to continue to see 89 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:24,200 Speaker 1: the Russian suffer as much as they possibly can in Ukraine. Now, look, 90 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 1: obviously I agree with the sentiment. However, whenever it comes 91 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:30,159 Speaker 1: to official statement of US policy, it cuts against what 92 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:32,479 Speaker 1: we have been been speaking about Crystal, which is that 93 00:04:32,520 --> 00:04:35,680 Speaker 1: the United States is not currently offering any sort of 94 00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:38,599 Speaker 1: hope or even really want of a peace process. Yeah, 95 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:41,040 Speaker 1: obviously we have to support Ukraine. If Ukraine doesn't want peace, 96 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:43,200 Speaker 1: then like that's what it is. But in terms of 97 00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 1: what we should want, we should want an end to 98 00:04:45,920 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 1: the conflict. And the US is now pretty much explicitly 99 00:04:48,560 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 1: declaring this as a proxy through which they want to 100 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 1: see as official statement of US policy by the Biden 101 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 1: administration to quote unquote weaken the Russian military. What does 102 00:04:57,480 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 1: that mean? Well, it means, as we have seen what 103 00:04:59,800 --> 00:05:02,880 Speaker 1: a company their visit, hundreds of millions of more dollars 104 00:05:02,920 --> 00:05:04,599 Speaker 1: that had been sent to the Ukrainians in terms of 105 00:05:04,600 --> 00:05:08,120 Speaker 1: military aid. That's right, It means that it also means 106 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:12,599 Speaker 1: making Russia a permanent pariah status. You know, keeping these 107 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 1: incredibly onerous sanctions on that, of course, are wildly indiscriminate, 108 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:21,320 Speaker 1: not just targeting Putin and his Kremlin leadership and his 109 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:26,280 Speaker 1: oligarchic Bret buddies, but the entire population. And so what 110 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:29,160 Speaker 1: the official policy of the United States government, which has 111 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:31,839 Speaker 1: been clear for a little while, but you know, this 112 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:35,440 Speaker 1: makes it even more official, is basically, we are going 113 00:05:35,480 --> 00:05:38,680 Speaker 1: to make Russia pariah. We're going to try to bleed 114 00:05:38,720 --> 00:05:42,040 Speaker 1: them dry. And what Biden had said originally that Putin 115 00:05:42,080 --> 00:05:45,240 Speaker 1: cannot remain in power, and what Aids had been leaking 116 00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 1: and saying privately that basically the only end game is 117 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:50,920 Speaker 1: to push amount of power that is now becoming very 118 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:55,120 Speaker 1: close to official US government policy and the impact of 119 00:05:55,160 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 1: our actions. Look, it's not all about us, but you know, 120 00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:00,400 Speaker 1: we're kind of a big player at all of this 121 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:03,000 Speaker 1: and have significant influence of the over the direction of 122 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:06,440 Speaker 1: this conflict. We have never been further away from any 123 00:06:06,480 --> 00:06:10,240 Speaker 1: sort of negotiated settlement and to these hostilities. Yeah, and 124 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 1: that means for civilians in Ukraine, it means continued decimation, destruction, 125 00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:17,680 Speaker 1: and death. And that's what's so sad about this whole situation. 126 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:19,279 Speaker 1: One hundred percent. And you look at it in the 127 00:06:19,279 --> 00:06:21,360 Speaker 1: context of the war, it looks like Putin is also 128 00:06:21,400 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 1: responding very much in kind. Let's put this up there 129 00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 1: on the screen. Michael Kaufman, the military analyst who we 130 00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:28,440 Speaker 1: really respect. He put up that map that those who 131 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:30,799 Speaker 1: are watching can see in terms of where the front 132 00:06:30,800 --> 00:06:33,200 Speaker 1: line in the battle is. But the real end result 133 00:06:33,240 --> 00:06:36,080 Speaker 1: that you can say from Michael is that he says 134 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:39,200 Speaker 1: that this is very likely the decisive period of the war, 135 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:41,880 Speaker 1: beyond what happened in the first three weeks, and that 136 00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:45,560 Speaker 1: the Russian military here is basically exhausting what remains of 137 00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:49,760 Speaker 1: its offensive potential. I want to emphasize this. They're exhausting 138 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:53,159 Speaker 1: their offensive potential in the context of how they're selling 139 00:06:53,240 --> 00:06:57,120 Speaker 1: the war to the Russian population, Absent a full scale mobilization, 140 00:06:57,320 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 1: absent bringing in troops from other parts of the kind 141 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:02,520 Speaker 1: tree in a full blown war, footing a kin to 142 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:05,040 Speaker 1: basically what the Ukrainians are. They're calling it like a 143 00:07:05,080 --> 00:07:08,520 Speaker 1: special action at home, not war, although apparently sometimes the 144 00:07:08,600 --> 00:07:11,120 Speaker 1: Russian anchors slip up and they're like, it's a war. 145 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:14,600 Speaker 1: No debate the war. Yeah, yeah, in the heat, in 146 00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:17,760 Speaker 1: the heat of battle, everybody acknowledges it's a war. But 147 00:07:17,920 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 1: within what they have, what Kaufman and others are pointing to, 148 00:07:21,640 --> 00:07:25,200 Speaker 1: is that they're very likely the last of the offensive capability, 149 00:07:25,240 --> 00:07:27,680 Speaker 1: which look, I mean we should not underestimate. Yes, they've 150 00:07:27,680 --> 00:07:29,480 Speaker 1: made a joke of themselves on the world stage, but 151 00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:31,040 Speaker 1: that doesn't mean that they're not going to be able 152 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:34,200 Speaker 1: to put up a fierce fight and a court increasing 153 00:07:34,640 --> 00:07:38,360 Speaker 1: Western intelligence assessments. You take that of what you will 154 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:40,800 Speaker 1: you know in terms of what they assess, in terms 155 00:07:40,800 --> 00:07:42,679 Speaker 1: of what Putin is thinking. Let's put this up there 156 00:07:42,880 --> 00:07:45,040 Speaker 1: on the screen, they say, and this is from the 157 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:47,120 Speaker 1: Financial Times, which first broke the news. So this is 158 00:07:47,120 --> 00:07:51,280 Speaker 1: from British intelligence. Vladimir Putin abandons hopes of Ukraine deal 159 00:07:51,320 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 1: and shifts to a land grab strategy. This would make 160 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:56,880 Speaker 1: sense given the complete basic breakdown of talks over the 161 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:59,840 Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. The Turkey talks basically went no 162 00:07:59,880 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 1: where escalation on the ground is continued. You saw the 163 00:08:03,000 --> 00:08:05,480 Speaker 1: strategic withdrawal from the city of Kiev, and now you 164 00:08:05,520 --> 00:08:08,560 Speaker 1: basically see a full scale war for the eastern part 165 00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:11,000 Speaker 1: of the country and of control that Putin is now 166 00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:13,120 Speaker 1: looking at this as a pure land grab in order 167 00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 1: to try and grab as much land as he possibly can, 168 00:08:15,800 --> 00:08:18,200 Speaker 1: which is going to ensure an intense amount of death 169 00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:21,080 Speaker 1: and unfortunately an intense amount of fighting on the parts 170 00:08:21,080 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 1: of the Russians, because if this is the last of 171 00:08:23,240 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 1: their offensive capability, you can be sure that they are 172 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 1: going to be grabbing as much as they possibly can 173 00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 1: before we even try to reach a negotiated settlement. And 174 00:08:31,480 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 1: in terms of the parts of the Ukrainians, they've put 175 00:08:33,720 --> 00:08:36,240 Speaker 1: up a fierce and you know, a fierce, fierce resistance. 176 00:08:36,520 --> 00:08:38,400 Speaker 1: But we did see you know, one of the major 177 00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:40,880 Speaker 1: cities there in Ukraine already fall and who knows how 178 00:08:40,960 --> 00:08:42,679 Speaker 1: much longer they can hold out in that part of 179 00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:45,200 Speaker 1: the country, which is already at in a civil war 180 00:08:45,240 --> 00:08:48,280 Speaker 1: for the last eight years. Yeah, Kaufman, really, he's very 181 00:08:48,280 --> 00:08:50,240 Speaker 1: clear he doesn't want a hazard of guests as to 182 00:08:50,360 --> 00:08:53,840 Speaker 1: what happens in eastern Ukraine and which side is ultimately 183 00:08:53,880 --> 00:08:56,079 Speaker 1: going to get the upper hand. And by the way, 184 00:08:56,160 --> 00:08:58,320 Speaker 1: to your point about you know, will there be a 185 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:02,920 Speaker 1: broader military immobilization from Russia where they actually are telling 186 00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:05,920 Speaker 1: their populations weren't preparing for that. There's a very ominous 187 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:09,480 Speaker 1: sign this morning that you know, I'm not going to 188 00:09:09,520 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 1: hazard a guess as to what exactly is going on there, 189 00:09:11,920 --> 00:09:15,199 Speaker 1: but there are reports of explosions at a gas facility 190 00:09:15,720 --> 00:09:19,920 Speaker 1: inside the Russian porters, So you know, they could spin 191 00:09:20,040 --> 00:09:22,680 Speaker 1: that as this was a Ukrainian attack. Perhaps it actually 192 00:09:22,760 --> 00:09:25,560 Speaker 1: was a Ukrainian attack and say this is a direct 193 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:28,280 Speaker 1: attack on our soil. Now it's time we have to 194 00:09:28,320 --> 00:09:31,880 Speaker 1: fully mobilize and fully go to war again. Don't know 195 00:09:31,920 --> 00:09:34,160 Speaker 1: that that's the direction it's going in. I'm just saying 196 00:09:34,160 --> 00:09:35,880 Speaker 1: those are the reports that are out there this morning, 197 00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:39,439 Speaker 1: and it's a very ominous development with regards to Putin 198 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:42,960 Speaker 1: and this report that you know, he was kind of 199 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:46,120 Speaker 1: interested in a deal, was going back and forth and 200 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:49,240 Speaker 1: now has sort of decided that noe, We're just going 201 00:09:49,320 --> 00:09:51,680 Speaker 1: to go for this land grab strategy. I mean, part 202 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 1: of what he has always wanted as a key priority 203 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:58,520 Speaker 1: here is not just the Eastern region, but also this 204 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:02,440 Speaker 1: land bridge to CRIMEA. So that seems to be the 205 00:10:02,480 --> 00:10:05,080 Speaker 1: direction that they are ultimately moving in and the fact 206 00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:08,199 Speaker 1: that the deal is effectively off the table, now, I mean, 207 00:10:08,200 --> 00:10:10,640 Speaker 1: that's just an extremely sad state of affairs, and I 208 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:13,680 Speaker 1: think it's an indictment of US policy and US actions 209 00:10:13,679 --> 00:10:16,360 Speaker 1: with regard to Ukraine. They said there was hope for 210 00:10:16,440 --> 00:10:18,920 Speaker 1: a deal. This is one of the sources who were 211 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:21,760 Speaker 1: speaking to the Financial Times. Putin was going back and forth. 212 00:10:21,880 --> 00:10:23,760 Speaker 1: He needs to find a way to come out of 213 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:26,240 Speaker 1: this as a winner. And then you contrast that to 214 00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:28,400 Speaker 1: ron Klain saying, no, we have no interest in giving 215 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:32,200 Speaker 1: Putin any sort of face saving off ramp and the 216 00:10:32,200 --> 00:10:38,239 Speaker 1: administration's increasingly clear posture that their official policy is basically, 217 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:41,600 Speaker 1: you know, cold war with Russia to the end, and 218 00:10:41,840 --> 00:10:45,960 Speaker 1: it is a it presages a new and very sad 219 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:49,720 Speaker 1: and dangerous, frankly world order that we're moving into. Yeah, 220 00:10:49,760 --> 00:10:52,120 Speaker 1: and you know, whenever you have a situation where one 221 00:10:52,120 --> 00:10:54,840 Speaker 1: side needs to say face, who knows what that looks like, 222 00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:57,120 Speaker 1: Like you said, maybe there's some attack that they have staged, 223 00:10:57,160 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 1: maybe it's even a Ukrainian attack. These longer the hostile 224 00:11:00,360 --> 00:11:03,320 Speaker 1: go on, the longer that this type of situation in 225 00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:06,559 Speaker 1: the worst case scenario can unfold. Who knows how Putin 226 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:09,680 Speaker 1: views the US policy saying we want to see Russia weekend. 227 00:11:09,679 --> 00:11:11,240 Speaker 1: I can guarantee you they're gonna be playing that all 228 00:11:11,240 --> 00:11:13,520 Speaker 1: over their TV all day long. This is exactly what 229 00:11:13,520 --> 00:11:15,079 Speaker 1: they want. They want to humiliate US, they want to 230 00:11:15,080 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 1: destroy US, which is definitely going to consolidate their population. 231 00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:20,760 Speaker 1: In terms of US policy, we shipped hundreds of millions 232 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:24,000 Speaker 1: more dollars in military aid over just the last week, 233 00:11:24,160 --> 00:11:27,120 Speaker 1: you know, several different appropriations of weapons that are heading 234 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:30,720 Speaker 1: over there. So look, this is entering a new phase, unfortunately, 235 00:11:30,720 --> 00:11:32,800 Speaker 1: one we basically predicted from the beginning, which is we're 236 00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:35,360 Speaker 1: very likely to see a massive stalemate. You know, World 237 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:37,360 Speaker 1: War One people thought the same thing. They're like, well, 238 00:11:37,360 --> 00:11:39,280 Speaker 1: we've lost enough people now, so now we got to 239 00:11:39,320 --> 00:11:40,839 Speaker 1: come out of this thing on top. We have to 240 00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:43,480 Speaker 1: go and grab this land. You know, Alsace Lorraine was 241 00:11:43,520 --> 00:11:46,360 Speaker 1: a really worth two hundred you know, two million people 242 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:49,439 Speaker 1: who were died over that soil. Pretty much everybody agrees 243 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:52,600 Speaker 1: not but the same traps of war, the same leaders, 244 00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:55,600 Speaker 1: in the same hubris. We are sadly in the same 245 00:11:55,800 --> 00:11:58,320 Speaker 1: situation as we found out then and in almost every 246 00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:01,240 Speaker 1: war since. Now it's all a game of attrition and 247 00:12:01,280 --> 00:12:03,360 Speaker 1: we'll see how it works out, but it's sad. Let's 248 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:06,080 Speaker 1: update you on the election results out of France, because 249 00:12:06,120 --> 00:12:10,000 Speaker 1: I find this really fascinating and based on your response, 250 00:12:10,040 --> 00:12:12,320 Speaker 1: you all are pretty intrigued by it as well. So 251 00:12:12,760 --> 00:12:15,600 Speaker 1: this was the second and final round of the French 252 00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 1: presidential runoffs, and it pitted Emmanuel Macrol, who of course 253 00:12:19,880 --> 00:12:23,200 Speaker 1: is the incumbent, against Marine le Pen who is a 254 00:12:23,480 --> 00:12:25,839 Speaker 1: far right president. She and her father have been running 255 00:12:25,840 --> 00:12:28,960 Speaker 1: for president for quite some time now, so there was 256 00:12:29,000 --> 00:12:32,360 Speaker 1: a lot of nervousness among establishment types because the polls 257 00:12:32,400 --> 00:12:35,440 Speaker 1: were really quite tight there for a while, and there 258 00:12:35,520 --> 00:12:39,120 Speaker 1: was a big question of who melon chon, who was 259 00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:41,880 Speaker 1: the third place sort of lefty candidate of like France's 260 00:12:42,400 --> 00:12:46,520 Speaker 1: Bernie Sanders. To make a very casual comparison here, who 261 00:12:46,559 --> 00:12:48,800 Speaker 1: would his voters go ahead and support or would they 262 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:50,880 Speaker 1: show up to vote at all? Because there were protests 263 00:12:50,880 --> 00:12:53,800 Speaker 1: in the street among students in particular, saying basically, we 264 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:55,880 Speaker 1: don't want either of these candidates. We hate both of 265 00:12:55,960 --> 00:12:58,240 Speaker 1: these people, a sentiment that I think us here in 266 00:12:58,280 --> 00:13:00,960 Speaker 1: America can very much understand with regards to the type 267 00:13:01,000 --> 00:13:03,360 Speaker 1: of choices we have been offered in our presidential politics 268 00:13:03,400 --> 00:13:06,000 Speaker 1: as well. So we have official results, as go ahead 269 00:13:06,040 --> 00:13:08,120 Speaker 1: and put this first element up on the screen from 270 00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:11,320 Speaker 1: the Wall Street Journal. Emmanuel Macron has in fact won 271 00:13:11,480 --> 00:13:15,160 Speaker 1: a second term in the presidential election, you know. They 272 00:13:15,200 --> 00:13:17,160 Speaker 1: go on to say, he's now under pressure to unite 273 00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:19,400 Speaker 1: millions of French who cast ballots for his rivals in 274 00:13:19,440 --> 00:13:22,360 Speaker 1: the election's first round of voting. Because it's very important 275 00:13:22,400 --> 00:13:25,040 Speaker 1: to note that when you combine the vote for the 276 00:13:25,200 --> 00:13:28,600 Speaker 1: far left and far right candidates, more than fifty percent 277 00:13:28,800 --> 00:13:32,319 Speaker 1: of the vote went against the sort of establishment neoliberal 278 00:13:32,360 --> 00:13:35,240 Speaker 1: direction of France. So that's the first part. Let's put 279 00:13:35,280 --> 00:13:38,080 Speaker 1: this next, this next tear sheet up on the screen. 280 00:13:38,160 --> 00:13:41,840 Speaker 1: From Lamont. They talk here about you've got the official results, 281 00:13:41,840 --> 00:13:44,840 Speaker 1: fifty seven point four percent for Mcron, forty two point 282 00:13:44,960 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 1: six percent for La Penn, so not particularly close in 283 00:13:48,720 --> 00:13:52,360 Speaker 1: the end. But they talk about here how large the 284 00:13:52,440 --> 00:13:56,680 Speaker 1: numbers of abstentions actually were. The extension rate was on 285 00:13:56,800 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 1: course for about twenty eight percent. That means people who 286 00:13:59,880 --> 00:14:03,600 Speaker 1: just said neither right, I don't want either of these people. 287 00:14:03,640 --> 00:14:07,080 Speaker 1: I'm staying home, I'm casting a blank ballot, I'm not 288 00:14:07,559 --> 00:14:10,360 Speaker 1: picking either one of these candidates. Twenty eight percent. That 289 00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:13,160 Speaker 1: would be the highest in any presidential election second round 290 00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:18,040 Speaker 1: runoff since nineteen sixty nine. So clearly voters not in 291 00:14:18,120 --> 00:14:22,160 Speaker 1: love with these choices. And by the way, perhaps part 292 00:14:22,200 --> 00:14:25,560 Speaker 1: of the reason why is because they report high on 293 00:14:25,720 --> 00:14:29,480 Speaker 1: mccron's to do list once he's you know, back in office, 294 00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:34,000 Speaker 1: is pinched reform, raising the French retirement age, so cutting 295 00:14:34,040 --> 00:14:36,600 Speaker 1: back on social benefits. This has been there been, you know, 296 00:14:36,720 --> 00:14:39,920 Speaker 1: his tenure has been already racked with protests. They had 297 00:14:39,960 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 1: the Yellow vest movement against gas tax increases. He's been 298 00:14:45,200 --> 00:14:49,480 Speaker 1: in terms of economics, you know, just standard neoliberal and 299 00:14:49,640 --> 00:14:54,600 Speaker 1: very dissonant from some of the social welfare traditions in France. 300 00:14:54,800 --> 00:14:56,120 Speaker 1: So go ahead and put this next piece up on 301 00:14:56,160 --> 00:14:59,000 Speaker 1: the screen. That just has the margin fifty eight forty two, 302 00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:02,360 Speaker 1: so again not that close end you can see. Go 303 00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:04,040 Speaker 1: ahead and put the next tweet up on the screen. 304 00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:08,160 Speaker 1: You can see as we got closer to election day 305 00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:11,040 Speaker 1: that the area where it was sort of like the 306 00:15:11,120 --> 00:15:14,000 Speaker 1: tightest there on the screen. April tenth, that was right 307 00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:17,440 Speaker 1: during the first round of voting, and ever since then, 308 00:15:17,920 --> 00:15:21,120 Speaker 1: mcron has been gaining and gaining and gaining. So his 309 00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:24,280 Speaker 1: message of basically like, listen, you may not like me 310 00:15:24,320 --> 00:15:26,200 Speaker 1: all that much, but we got to be a bulwark 311 00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:29,080 Speaker 1: against the right seems to have worked. I know also 312 00:15:29,280 --> 00:15:31,920 Speaker 1: that there were a lot of attacks from him on 313 00:15:32,040 --> 00:15:34,720 Speaker 1: La Penn over her ties to Russia, you know, as 314 00:15:34,760 --> 00:15:38,320 Speaker 1: the Ukraine conflict continues to unfold. So that's what the 315 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 1: lay of the land looks like there. It's pretty fascinating. Yeah, 316 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:43,000 Speaker 1: in terms of Macron, I mean, he was an incredibly 317 00:15:43,080 --> 00:15:47,240 Speaker 1: unpopular politician, but that's actually kind of par for the course. Now. Unfortunately, 318 00:15:47,320 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 1: some US people are trying to read into this, one 319 00:15:49,880 --> 00:15:53,040 Speaker 1: of them being the White House Chief of Staff Ron Klain, 320 00:15:53,440 --> 00:15:56,479 Speaker 1: put up this tweet. He says, quote an interesting observation. 321 00:15:56,680 --> 00:15:59,520 Speaker 1: Just FYI, President Macron appears to have secured a double 322 00:15:59,560 --> 00:16:02,240 Speaker 1: digit VIC over Lapen at a time when his approval 323 00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:05,600 Speaker 1: rating is thirty six percent. Now that's incredibly low, iq 324 00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:09,040 Speaker 1: and dumb for a variety of means. Number One, last 325 00:16:09,040 --> 00:16:11,560 Speaker 1: time I checked, we live in an electoral college, not 326 00:16:11,680 --> 00:16:14,680 Speaker 1: a direct democracy in terms of national popular vote, and 327 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:16,640 Speaker 1: I think Biden would have to have a fifty two 328 00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:18,560 Speaker 1: to a fifty four percent margin just to win the 329 00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 1: electoral college. So that's number one. Number two, we don't 330 00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 1: have a runoff system a lah what we happened previously, 331 00:16:25,400 --> 00:16:28,640 Speaker 1: so that might actually cut across. But third, you really 332 00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:31,040 Speaker 1: want to celebrate the fact that the guy won. And 333 00:16:31,280 --> 00:16:33,840 Speaker 1: you know, look, on the one hand, Macron, it was 334 00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:35,880 Speaker 1: a blowout. On the other, I mean, he comes into 335 00:16:35,880 --> 00:16:38,440 Speaker 1: a much weaker position. His party does not look well 336 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:43,080 Speaker 1: poised when the upcoming parliamentary elections France is obviously, you know, 337 00:16:43,160 --> 00:16:46,160 Speaker 1: ensconsin turmoil, So you really want to celebrate a win 338 00:16:46,560 --> 00:16:49,240 Speaker 1: on that and just acknowledging how unpopular we are looks 339 00:16:49,280 --> 00:16:52,840 Speaker 1: completely ridiculous. Now, in terms of the election itself, you 340 00:16:53,120 --> 00:16:55,160 Speaker 1: were talking about with the crossover vote, let's put this 341 00:16:55,240 --> 00:16:58,960 Speaker 1: up there, forty two percent of first round Melanchon voters 342 00:16:59,120 --> 00:17:02,720 Speaker 1: actually back to Krone in the election. Now, forty two 343 00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:05,359 Speaker 1: percent could be looked at as a lot, or it 344 00:17:05,400 --> 00:17:07,800 Speaker 1: could be looked at as really not that much, given 345 00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:11,360 Speaker 1: the fact that Melanchone actually said nobody should vote for 346 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:14,840 Speaker 1: Marine Lapenn, so a high level of abstention, and this 347 00:17:14,960 --> 00:17:18,920 Speaker 1: was the lowest rate forty two for Melonchon voters, packing 348 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 1: Macron and seventeen percent backing Lapenn. So many more went 349 00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:25,560 Speaker 1: with Macron, but you can see quite a number just 350 00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:28,320 Speaker 1: said nah, yeah, blank, none of the above. I think 351 00:17:28,359 --> 00:17:30,640 Speaker 1: that's what's really nuts. And like I said, in terms 352 00:17:30,680 --> 00:17:33,320 Speaker 1: of his National Assembly what he looks poised to win. 353 00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:35,320 Speaker 1: Who knows in terms of how this works out, But 354 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:37,480 Speaker 1: the polls there seem more accurate. Let's put this up there, 355 00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:39,920 Speaker 1: which is sixty six percent say they do not want 356 00:17:39,960 --> 00:17:42,880 Speaker 1: him to obtain a majority of seats in the National Assembly, 357 00:17:43,000 --> 00:17:45,520 Speaker 1: which would all but spell doom for that pension reform 358 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:49,159 Speaker 1: and all of that. Now in terms of the in 359 00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:52,240 Speaker 1: terms of deeper in terms of the election get in 360 00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:55,080 Speaker 1: the context of Lapenn, there's a lot going on here. 361 00:17:55,200 --> 00:17:57,000 Speaker 1: Let's put with Taniel who we had on the show. 362 00:17:57,040 --> 00:18:00,159 Speaker 1: I actually kind of disagree with his point here as 363 00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:01,920 Speaker 1: important one of caution is the highest that the far 364 00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:04,320 Speaker 1: right has gotten In two thousand and two, Jean Marie 365 00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:07,920 Speaker 1: Lapenn got eighteen percent. Five years ago, Lapenn got thirty four. 366 00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:10,920 Speaker 1: This time Lapenn gets forty one to forty three. Now, 367 00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 1: I guess you could say that it is an accomplishment 368 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:15,800 Speaker 1: in order to get to forty one to forty three, 369 00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:18,640 Speaker 1: But in the context of any other politics getting beat 370 00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:20,359 Speaker 1: by fifty you know, what is it, fifty six to 371 00:18:20,440 --> 00:18:23,840 Speaker 1: forty three. That's terrible. I mean that's a complete blowout. 372 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 1: So really, the story to me is what we said 373 00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:29,280 Speaker 1: from the beginning. The story is that the center left 374 00:18:29,280 --> 00:18:31,840 Speaker 1: and the center right in France are dead. There is 375 00:18:32,160 --> 00:18:36,280 Speaker 1: a weird neolib constituency in Macron, but he still created 376 00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:38,480 Speaker 1: his own party. He's got elements of the right, he's 377 00:18:38,480 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 1: got elements of the left, he's got elements of the center. 378 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:43,920 Speaker 1: He destroyed the center left. Lapenn also just remains really 379 00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:47,359 Speaker 1: just a complete non starter figure for a large portion 380 00:18:47,400 --> 00:18:50,960 Speaker 1: of the French population. They're willing to begrudgingly vote for him. 381 00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:53,800 Speaker 1: And in terms of the right, the gaullest center right 382 00:18:53,800 --> 00:18:56,680 Speaker 1: party which ruled France for I don't even know for decades. Yeah, 383 00:18:56,760 --> 00:18:59,320 Speaker 1: dead gone. That's the story to me, which is that 384 00:18:59,520 --> 00:19:02,959 Speaker 1: you see these two independent candidates which are now assembling 385 00:19:03,280 --> 00:19:05,640 Speaker 1: new coalitions, and how that shakes out in the history 386 00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:07,520 Speaker 1: of France. This is we're going to look back on 387 00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:09,919 Speaker 1: this period and say this was a big, big moment 388 00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:13,119 Speaker 1: in their history as to how a new coalition in 389 00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:17,440 Speaker 1: a new center is evolving. It's really fascinating and it is. 390 00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:22,080 Speaker 1: There's a lot of temptations to make analogies with American politics, 391 00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:24,639 Speaker 1: and I think some of them are apt. Certainly we 392 00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:27,800 Speaker 1: can see it in you a reflection our own politics 393 00:19:27,800 --> 00:19:30,600 Speaker 1: of having these two choices that you know, there's a 394 00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:34,679 Speaker 1: lot of people who aren't terribly excited about having, you know, 395 00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:37,760 Speaker 1: the message of basically like, look, you may not love me, 396 00:19:38,040 --> 00:19:40,119 Speaker 1: but you got to be super scared of this person 397 00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:41,760 Speaker 1: over here, so you got to suck it up and 398 00:19:41,840 --> 00:19:44,520 Speaker 1: suck it up and vote for Macron in this case right, 399 00:19:44,880 --> 00:19:48,399 Speaker 1: and ultimately that won the day. So similar to Biden 400 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:52,720 Speaker 1: versus Trump, that message was compelling enough for Macron not 401 00:19:52,800 --> 00:19:55,760 Speaker 1: just to win, but win here by a comfortable margin. 402 00:19:56,440 --> 00:19:58,679 Speaker 1: I think there's also something to be said about the 403 00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:01,760 Speaker 1: fact that his political stres looks sort of like what 404 00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:05,399 Speaker 1: Biden's political strategy looks like right now, which is basically 405 00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:09,760 Speaker 1: to piss off your own base. So mccraln, since he's 406 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 1: come into office, has on cultural issues in particular, decidedly 407 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:15,959 Speaker 1: moved to the right, thinking like this will be a 408 00:20:16,000 --> 00:20:20,879 Speaker 1: bulwark against the Penn and against other right candidates. But 409 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:23,760 Speaker 1: instead what he did is just pissed off everybody on 410 00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:26,560 Speaker 1: the left, so that you ended up having this you know, 411 00:20:26,720 --> 00:20:29,960 Speaker 1: large abstention among the left wing that you know, would 412 00:20:29,960 --> 00:20:32,520 Speaker 1: want to stand against the right, and so it ended 413 00:20:32,560 --> 00:20:35,160 Speaker 1: up making the election closer than it might have been 414 00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:37,280 Speaker 1: had he not gone down that path. And then I 415 00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:42,879 Speaker 1: also think that you see, you know, this hollow neoliberalism 416 00:20:43,080 --> 00:20:46,320 Speaker 1: that everyone hates. I shouldn't say everyone, but many people 417 00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:49,840 Speaker 1: really hate. That's basically rejected by the population. That leads 418 00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:53,360 Speaker 1: Macron to have thirty six percent approval rating, very similar 419 00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:56,679 Speaker 1: again to Joe Biden. But that message of yeah, but 420 00:20:56,720 --> 00:20:59,919 Speaker 1: the alternative is worse is enough for people to sort of, 421 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:01,480 Speaker 1: you know, suck it up and deal with a lot 422 00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:05,159 Speaker 1: of things that they ultimately don't like. The story below 423 00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:09,240 Speaker 1: the presidential level, at the national assembly also super fascinating 424 00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:12,560 Speaker 1: because at the presidential level, you're right, the center right 425 00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:17,080 Speaker 1: in the center left parties that dominated French politics for 426 00:21:17,160 --> 00:21:20,600 Speaker 1: decades are like they got decimated. They weren't even a 427 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:24,639 Speaker 1: factor in this president either of the presidential runoffs. Now 428 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:26,760 Speaker 1: at the national assembly level, it is a little bit 429 00:21:26,760 --> 00:21:30,119 Speaker 1: of a different picture, but you see melon Sean the 430 00:21:30,240 --> 00:21:34,200 Speaker 1: left in France quite emboldened right now too, because even 431 00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:36,760 Speaker 1: though they didn't make the runoff, he didn't make the runoff, 432 00:21:36,760 --> 00:21:39,720 Speaker 1: he came a lot closer than he was ultimately being predicted. 433 00:21:40,160 --> 00:21:43,719 Speaker 1: And because you have this large sentiment in favor of 434 00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:46,480 Speaker 1: sort of a bulwark against Macron and some of the 435 00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:50,159 Speaker 1: economic policies that he wants to pursue, they're really hoping 436 00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:53,720 Speaker 1: to make some big gains at the National Assembly level. 437 00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:56,280 Speaker 1: So I do think it's really interesting. I think it's 438 00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:59,960 Speaker 1: very telling that clearly ron Klain is taking you know, 439 00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:02,440 Speaker 1: biden chief of staff ron Klaane is taking something from 440 00:22:02,480 --> 00:22:05,159 Speaker 1: this basically saying like, look, we don't have to do 441 00:22:05,240 --> 00:22:09,639 Speaker 1: any better. We don't have to deliver on material politics 442 00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:12,560 Speaker 1: for people, or you know, stop pissing people off or 443 00:22:12,600 --> 00:22:15,800 Speaker 1: actually governed. Well, you all can really not be too 444 00:22:15,840 --> 00:22:17,960 Speaker 1: into Joe Biden and think he's doing a terrible job 445 00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:19,800 Speaker 1: and we still think we got a decent shot to 446 00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:22,520 Speaker 1: win the election because Trump is that much worse. That's 447 00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:25,920 Speaker 1: a very very depressing state of politics that frankly, we've 448 00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:27,640 Speaker 1: been living in for quite some time now. I've been 449 00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:30,120 Speaker 1: living in this for a while, you know, in terms 450 00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:33,160 Speaker 1: of what plagues the West, that looks to be basically 451 00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:36,920 Speaker 1: the same story Germany, France, the UK and here. It's 452 00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:40,560 Speaker 1: not like Boris Johnson is super popular either, No, no, 453 00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:42,639 Speaker 1: he's not. What a sad state of affairs that we 454 00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:45,360 Speaker 1: leave it really actually is, I mean, when you think 455 00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:48,560 Speaker 1: of it, it really is an indictment of the whole 456 00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:52,119 Speaker 1: neoliberal project over the past forty years that you know, 457 00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:54,720 Speaker 1: we're I don't know if you guys saw this news item. 458 00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:57,000 Speaker 1: Bernie Sanders is still thinking of maybe I should run 459 00:22:57,040 --> 00:22:59,800 Speaker 1: for president, and God bless him. I mean, I certainly 460 00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:02,840 Speaker 1: so poor like the program and the agenda and what 461 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:05,680 Speaker 1: he has meant to the movement. But the fact that 462 00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:09,280 Speaker 1: you have no standard bear that can follow us, that 463 00:23:09,320 --> 00:23:11,760 Speaker 1: you have no bench that would that you would seriously 464 00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:15,320 Speaker 1: look around and be like, I guess I gotta do 465 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:18,239 Speaker 1: it again is also in that you know, on the 466 00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:21,199 Speaker 1: neoliberal side, the best they think they can do is 467 00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:24,639 Speaker 1: Joe Biden, I mean, Kamala Harris completely disaster. So it 468 00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:26,600 Speaker 1: is kind of an indictment of the whole project that 469 00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:28,359 Speaker 1: we've been engaged in here for number of decades. And 470 00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:30,240 Speaker 1: look over on the I mean, after Trump, like, who 471 00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:32,000 Speaker 1: is it? Right, It's like a clown car of a 472 00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:34,160 Speaker 1: bunch of people who want to try and fill his shoes. 473 00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:40,000 Speaker 1: So you know, it's an ever present story, unfortunately potential 474 00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:42,159 Speaker 1: eat good news depending on how you feel about it. 475 00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:44,680 Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and move on here. Elon Musk, So 476 00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:46,879 Speaker 1: there is breaking news this morning. This is what we 477 00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:49,040 Speaker 1: had last night. Cut, let's put it up there on 478 00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:51,960 Speaker 1: the screen. Your Twitter is re examining Elon must bid 479 00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:54,080 Speaker 1: and it may be more receptive to the deal. Now 480 00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:56,480 Speaker 1: since that time, we actually have some breaking news that 481 00:23:56,520 --> 00:23:58,600 Speaker 1: came out this morning that a deal could be signed 482 00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:01,919 Speaker 1: as soon as to day. Now, what they say is 483 00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:05,800 Speaker 1: that the Twitter is very likely to accept Musk's forty 484 00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:10,160 Speaker 1: three billion dollar offer. Now this came after Elon actually 485 00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:13,960 Speaker 1: secured funding officially per an SEC filing. Let's put that 486 00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:17,080 Speaker 1: up there on the screen. Now. What they said is 487 00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:19,560 Speaker 1: that he secured the forty six point five billion dollars 488 00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:23,280 Speaker 1: in funding. He was meeting with activists and bigger investors 489 00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:26,960 Speaker 1: all over the weekend. Reports Crystal that over the last 490 00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:29,760 Speaker 1: couple of hours that they had been on the phone 491 00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:31,840 Speaker 1: in the wei hours of the day, that they were 492 00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:34,800 Speaker 1: negotiating the fine points of the deal in terms of 493 00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:37,760 Speaker 1: what the deal actually looks like we still don't one 494 00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:40,560 Speaker 1: hundred percent know. The reason that this is significant is 495 00:24:40,600 --> 00:24:43,679 Speaker 1: that the big question mark around Musk was does he 496 00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:47,359 Speaker 1: actually have the dollars? And that question was of course 497 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:51,240 Speaker 1: solved whenever he put forward the SEC filing officially saying 498 00:24:51,240 --> 00:24:53,439 Speaker 1: that he had the money. And then you point to 499 00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:55,400 Speaker 1: the fact that a deal could come as soon as 500 00:24:55,400 --> 00:24:59,160 Speaker 1: today with serious negotiations that are happening, the original poison 501 00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 1: pill appears who have been tossed out the window. I 502 00:25:01,880 --> 00:25:04,840 Speaker 1: think what this comes from is that they were very skeptical, 503 00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:08,000 Speaker 1: and I think rightfully so, given his past actions on Tesla. 504 00:25:08,080 --> 00:25:09,800 Speaker 1: They're like, we don't think that he has the money. 505 00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:12,600 Speaker 1: So when he came forward with that letter saying, look, 506 00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:15,320 Speaker 1: here's forty six to five, I've got the cash, let's go, 507 00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:18,679 Speaker 1: then I think they were forced from a fiduciary responsibility 508 00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:21,959 Speaker 1: in order to actively consider the deal. And given that 509 00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:24,160 Speaker 1: their stock is not doing all that well and this 510 00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:27,680 Speaker 1: is a significant premium upon their stock, they have really 511 00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:31,080 Speaker 1: no choice without facing a massive amount of lawsuits. That's 512 00:25:31,080 --> 00:25:33,400 Speaker 1: the analysis that we basically gave everyone at the top. 513 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:36,359 Speaker 1: We're like, look, I mean, from a shareholder perspective, you 514 00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:39,600 Speaker 1: can't not do right by the shareholders, but given them 515 00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:42,199 Speaker 1: a twenty percent premium, and this would make it so 516 00:25:42,280 --> 00:25:45,840 Speaker 1: that Musk outright owning the company, keeping it private, and 517 00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:49,119 Speaker 1: then being able to enforce whatever content policy he wants 518 00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:51,879 Speaker 1: without the whims of the public markets. It really is, 519 00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:53,920 Speaker 1: I mean, it's going to be extraordinary if it actually 520 00:25:53,960 --> 00:25:57,120 Speaker 1: goes through. Well, the one potential legal avenue that they 521 00:25:57,200 --> 00:26:00,800 Speaker 1: had to argue that we could reject this deal, that yes, 522 00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,600 Speaker 1: it's at a premium, but it may not be in 523 00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:06,720 Speaker 1: the best interest of the shareholders because ultimately he has 524 00:26:06,840 --> 00:26:10,000 Speaker 1: values that are separate and apart from just the financial 525 00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,320 Speaker 1: performance of the company. So that was one thing that 526 00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:14,680 Speaker 1: people had floated of basically how they can get out 527 00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:17,560 Speaker 1: of this bind of their legal requirement to act in 528 00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:21,520 Speaker 1: the best interests of the shareholders. I think you're correct though, that, 529 00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:24,080 Speaker 1: you know, that just became sort of untenable once the 530 00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:26,840 Speaker 1: money was on the table and it was this significance 531 00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:29,200 Speaker 1: of a premium over where the stock price has been. 532 00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:32,760 Speaker 1: I just, you know, at a macro level, I think 533 00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:35,600 Speaker 1: we should always keep in mind with this story, what 534 00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:38,520 Speaker 1: a dim state of affairs it is that our sort 535 00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:42,200 Speaker 1: of public square and speech is subject to the whims 536 00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:47,199 Speaker 1: of a small handful of elite overclass, right like, in 537 00:26:47,359 --> 00:26:49,840 Speaker 1: whatever their whims are good, bad, and dem of whether 538 00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:51,320 Speaker 1: you have to agree with this one or that one 539 00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:53,919 Speaker 1: or the other one. That's not a good place for 540 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:56,280 Speaker 1: us to be in that we have to like hope 541 00:26:56,320 --> 00:26:59,600 Speaker 1: that this particular billionaire and what they feel like doing 542 00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:02,800 Speaker 1: today is going to be ultimately good for the functioning 543 00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:05,240 Speaker 1: of our democracy. I think that's a sad state of 544 00:27:05,280 --> 00:27:08,520 Speaker 1: affairs with regards to Musk himself, you know, I mean, 545 00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:11,560 Speaker 1: I am hopeful that his content moderation policies will be 546 00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:14,480 Speaker 1: more in line with the healthy functioning of a democracy 547 00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:18,800 Speaker 1: less censorious, less in that direction, especially the direction Twitter 548 00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:22,080 Speaker 1: has moved in since Jack stepped down as CEO, which 549 00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:25,080 Speaker 1: has been very troubling. So, you know, am I hopeful 550 00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:27,120 Speaker 1: that this particular billionaire might be a little bit better 551 00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:30,120 Speaker 1: on those things. Yes, there may be some other decisions 552 00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:32,399 Speaker 1: that we ultimately don't like. I personally am not a 553 00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:35,040 Speaker 1: fan of the idea of adding the edit button, something 554 00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:38,200 Speaker 1: that he has purportedly I've been interested in. The edit 555 00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:42,000 Speaker 1: button is a terrible idea. Everybody has gone viral, Okay, 556 00:27:42,080 --> 00:27:44,440 Speaker 1: anybody who is in the game this business has gone 557 00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:47,960 Speaker 1: viral and has misspelled something, perhaps done something wrong. Guess what, 558 00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:49,240 Speaker 1: you know what the best thing to do is. And 559 00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:51,200 Speaker 1: this is my policy if I tweet something which is 560 00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:53,800 Speaker 1: wrong or I did incorrect. Anytime I delete a tweet, 561 00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:56,159 Speaker 1: I delete it and then I screenshot it and I 562 00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:58,720 Speaker 1: say this is why I deleted it. Because if you 563 00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:01,399 Speaker 1: just reply and be like, hey, I got this wrong, 564 00:28:01,680 --> 00:28:03,440 Speaker 1: the fake news or the fake part of it could 565 00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:06,000 Speaker 1: still go viral. And with an edit button, it will 566 00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:08,080 Speaker 1: make it so that we could potentially have a tweet 567 00:28:08,080 --> 00:28:10,840 Speaker 1: that goes viral for one hundred thousand somebody edits it 568 00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:12,199 Speaker 1: and you look at it and you think that the 569 00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:15,040 Speaker 1: edited version is why it went or if somebody gets 570 00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:18,480 Speaker 1: dunked on, look, this is very or like what if 571 00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:21,800 Speaker 1: you retweet something yeah, and then it gets edited says 572 00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:24,560 Speaker 1: something that you don't agree with exactly that you don't 573 00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:28,480 Speaker 1: want to, you know, endorse if your retweets equal endorsements. 574 00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 1: So I'm not a fan of that ed button. I 575 00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:34,280 Speaker 1: also just like the like humanizing aspect of seeing all 576 00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:37,560 Speaker 1: of our fuck ups and like spellings and autocorrects and 577 00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:40,000 Speaker 1: all that stuff. So that part of it, I'm very 578 00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:42,640 Speaker 1: opposed to, But I would say that's a smaller issue 579 00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:46,200 Speaker 1: than you know, the speech issues because Twitter. Why this 580 00:28:46,320 --> 00:28:48,800 Speaker 1: matters so much and why we followed it so closely, 581 00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:51,520 Speaker 1: and why there's been such a panic and freak out 582 00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:55,240 Speaker 1: among a large set of sort of elite journalists in particular, 583 00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:59,400 Speaker 1: is because Twitter really is disproportionately powerful in terms of 584 00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:03,120 Speaker 1: impacting elite discourse. It is not, by far, it is 585 00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:07,920 Speaker 1: not the most widely used social media platform, but when 586 00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:11,240 Speaker 1: you're talking about journalists and opinion makers, this is where 587 00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:13,080 Speaker 1: they go to say their piece. This is where they 588 00:29:13,120 --> 00:29:15,520 Speaker 1: go oftentimes to like gap which maybe they should do 589 00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:17,800 Speaker 1: a lot less, but to gather information about how people 590 00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:20,720 Speaker 1: are feeling about different things. So that's why it matters 591 00:29:20,760 --> 00:29:24,320 Speaker 1: so much to the functioning of our democracy. It's funny too, 592 00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:27,880 Speaker 1: in terms of what you're saying. You know, snapchats earnings 593 00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:30,760 Speaker 1: and reports came out they have one hundred and fifteen 594 00:29:30,920 --> 00:29:34,400 Speaker 1: million more daily active users than Twitter. Really, Yeah, ask yourself. 595 00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:38,840 Speaker 1: Does Snapchat punch at the same level of cultural relevance 596 00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:41,880 Speaker 1: as Twitter? No? And actually it fits really with our 597 00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:43,760 Speaker 1: show as well. People ask me all the time, they like, 598 00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:45,840 Speaker 1: how come you guys aren't more active on Twitter. I'm like, dude, 599 00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:47,840 Speaker 1: I don't care about Twitter. The majority of the people 600 00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:50,520 Speaker 1: who watch our show and consume our content do so 601 00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:53,600 Speaker 1: on YouTube, to a limited extents on Instagram, and then 602 00:29:53,640 --> 00:29:55,880 Speaker 1: to a far more limited extent on TikTok, where we 603 00:29:55,960 --> 00:29:59,200 Speaker 1: have those channels. That's it, that's where the vast majority 604 00:29:59,240 --> 00:30:02,959 Speaker 1: of people actually are. As in I care about reaching 605 00:30:02,960 --> 00:30:06,560 Speaker 1: the maximum amount of people people, not necessarily being you know, 606 00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:10,000 Speaker 1: amongst elite cachet because that's a much smaller audience. And 607 00:30:10,200 --> 00:30:12,200 Speaker 1: for this show we talk about populous things and about 608 00:30:12,200 --> 00:30:14,480 Speaker 1: things that are affecting real people's lives. Majority of real 609 00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:16,680 Speaker 1: people are not on Twitter. Many people don't even have 610 00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:19,280 Speaker 1: a Twitter account. The only time that we really engage 611 00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:21,840 Speaker 1: on Twitter is either a in order to make an 612 00:30:21,880 --> 00:30:24,880 Speaker 1: announcement just because it's sufficient, or b in order to 613 00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:29,840 Speaker 1: you know, penetrate the in order to penetrate elite discourse. 614 00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,440 Speaker 1: When I talk about media and stuff like that, I'm 615 00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:35,520 Speaker 1: doing it very pointedly at the specific media elites who 616 00:30:35,560 --> 00:30:37,959 Speaker 1: I know shadow follow me or follow me because I'm 617 00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:41,160 Speaker 1: subtreeting them. Whereas here on the show, I don't care 618 00:30:41,160 --> 00:30:42,560 Speaker 1: about any of those people. I know they're going to 619 00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:45,080 Speaker 1: watch anyway, and fine, free country. What I want to 620 00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:47,240 Speaker 1: do is reach the majority of the people, and that's 621 00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:49,480 Speaker 1: what we do here. So in terms of the usages 622 00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:53,040 Speaker 1: of social media platforms, it's just important to note Twitter 623 00:30:53,120 --> 00:30:55,960 Speaker 1: is important for elites, and the reason why that that 624 00:30:56,040 --> 00:30:58,680 Speaker 1: matters is because elites run your life, my life, and 625 00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:01,400 Speaker 1: all of ours. So the content policies on that platform 626 00:31:01,560 --> 00:31:04,280 Speaker 1: have an outsize impact. At the same time, it doesn't 627 00:31:04,280 --> 00:31:06,240 Speaker 1: matter for a lot of people because it's not even 628 00:31:06,280 --> 00:31:08,120 Speaker 1: on the platform in the first place. I would just 629 00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:10,600 Speaker 1: say I really hope that it works out from a 630 00:31:10,640 --> 00:31:14,680 Speaker 1: content perspective. Musk's strategy saying I don't care about the 631 00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:17,040 Speaker 1: economics at all, really, in my opinion, is the only 632 00:31:17,080 --> 00:31:19,080 Speaker 1: way to run Twitter. Twitter is not a very good business. 633 00:31:19,120 --> 00:31:22,400 Speaker 1: It's probably a couple billion dollars a year profit based 634 00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:25,760 Speaker 1: upon advertising, but it's long term prospects of adding daily 635 00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:28,280 Speaker 1: active users and changing the product. The core product is 636 00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:30,400 Speaker 1: what it is. There's not a lot of innovation really 637 00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:32,000 Speaker 1: to be had, and I think that's fine, but the 638 00:31:32,040 --> 00:31:34,360 Speaker 1: problem is that doesn't work with the stocks right, you 639 00:31:34,360 --> 00:31:36,880 Speaker 1: could have a situation where your product could grow by 640 00:31:36,960 --> 00:31:39,400 Speaker 1: twenty percent or something like that. Your stock still goes 641 00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:42,640 Speaker 1: down because it's, oh, Wall Street expected twenty five percent. 642 00:31:42,760 --> 00:31:45,600 Speaker 1: So keeping it private, in my opinion, probably the best 643 00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:47,920 Speaker 1: move possibly. I mean, I personally would like to see 644 00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:51,520 Speaker 1: like total government takeover that we have, you know, I mean, 645 00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:53,880 Speaker 1: because honestly that at least then at least you have 646 00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:57,440 Speaker 1: some democratic accountability. I Mean, what I'm really interested in 647 00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:00,000 Speaker 1: with all these platforms is I think the more neutral 648 00:32:00,320 --> 00:32:02,840 Speaker 1: they can be, the better. And I mean that both 649 00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:06,600 Speaker 1: from a content moderation standpoint. You know, you have a 650 00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:10,120 Speaker 1: set of rules. They should be as hands off as possible, 651 00:32:10,200 --> 00:32:14,719 Speaker 1: and then they have to be religiously applied consistently, and 652 00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,400 Speaker 1: there isn't a single platform out there that meets that 653 00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:20,479 Speaker 1: standard right now. And then the other piece, which is 654 00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:24,960 Speaker 1: less relevant for Twitter, but still relevant, is what content 655 00:32:25,040 --> 00:32:27,719 Speaker 1: is being served to people, and you know, seeing and 656 00:32:27,800 --> 00:32:32,120 Speaker 1: having transparency of how those algorithms ultimately work, because that 657 00:32:32,360 --> 00:32:36,440 Speaker 1: shapes what you see and how people communicate, how they 658 00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:39,600 Speaker 1: even how their brains work. That shapes all of that 659 00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:43,880 Speaker 1: so incredibly. And so the fact that on YouTube, for example, 660 00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:46,920 Speaker 1: we have no insight that is just a total black box, 661 00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:50,960 Speaker 1: zero insight into how they're picking content to serve and 662 00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:54,320 Speaker 1: what that recommendation algorithm looks like. I think that's really 663 00:32:54,400 --> 00:32:57,400 Speaker 1: damaging as well. So you know, on Twitter, they move 664 00:32:57,480 --> 00:32:59,800 Speaker 1: to this system where you know, they used to just 665 00:32:59,840 --> 00:33:02,640 Speaker 1: show you whatever came up in your feed next, and 666 00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:06,360 Speaker 1: now you have to choose, like actively, you have to 667 00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:10,040 Speaker 1: choose that option because the default is we're going to 668 00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:12,480 Speaker 1: pick for you what we think you'd be into. And 669 00:33:12,560 --> 00:33:14,120 Speaker 1: you know, the facts of the matter is they're actually 670 00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:17,680 Speaker 1: pretty good at that. Like oftentimes I find that feed 671 00:33:17,720 --> 00:33:20,360 Speaker 1: that they sort of curated for me to be very useful, 672 00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:24,000 Speaker 1: but it also makes the platform less neutral and makes 673 00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:27,040 Speaker 1: it so that they have more control over what things 674 00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:30,480 Speaker 1: are getting seen, what things are going viral, what things 675 00:33:30,560 --> 00:33:33,720 Speaker 1: you feel like are most central and most important, and 676 00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:36,920 Speaker 1: ultimately I think that's a direction that is a problem 677 00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:40,320 Speaker 1: for democracy. Yeah, on at least one thing in musk 678 00:33:40,360 --> 00:33:42,840 Speaker 1: cap he is saying he wants to make the algorithm transparent, 679 00:33:42,880 --> 00:33:44,440 Speaker 1: and I think that would be great. That would be great. 680 00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:46,560 Speaker 1: I mean I want to see that on I would 681 00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:48,760 Speaker 1: love to see that on every platform because then at 682 00:33:48,840 --> 00:33:52,600 Speaker 1: least you have the information and it would be you know, 683 00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:55,200 Speaker 1: better if we had sort of democratic accountability and had 684 00:33:55,200 --> 00:33:57,719 Speaker 1: these things run more like public utilities, because I do 685 00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:01,560 Speaker 1: think that they are critical in structure in terms of 686 00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:04,880 Speaker 1: the function of our society. But at the very least, 687 00:34:05,360 --> 00:34:08,120 Speaker 1: just like with the Stock Act, if you have that transparency, 688 00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:11,439 Speaker 1: then people can do the reporting, they can expose what's 689 00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:14,080 Speaker 1: really going on, and then you can have some sort 690 00:34:14,080 --> 00:34:19,120 Speaker 1: of populous democratic backlash to demand things be moved in 691 00:34:19,160 --> 00:34:21,759 Speaker 1: a different direction, to demand, for example, that you don't 692 00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:25,080 Speaker 1: have CNN and Fox News and MSNBC propped up to 693 00:34:25,120 --> 00:34:27,239 Speaker 1: the extent that they very clearly are by YouTube. It's 694 00:34:27,239 --> 00:34:29,719 Speaker 1: an interesting conversation around tech two. I was talking with 695 00:34:29,760 --> 00:34:32,280 Speaker 1: the friend of mine, shri Ram Krishnan. He's a venture capitalist. 696 00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:34,320 Speaker 1: He actually used to work at Twitter for Jactors Dorsey 697 00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:35,680 Speaker 1: and one of that he put out a video we 698 00:34:35,840 --> 00:34:38,560 Speaker 1: put a recommendation on which is that if we could 699 00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:41,400 Speaker 1: control our own algorithm more, What I mean is you 700 00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:45,120 Speaker 1: could opt as a user into the default recommendation algorithm 701 00:34:45,120 --> 00:34:46,760 Speaker 1: give me the stuff that's going to make me engage 702 00:34:46,800 --> 00:34:49,759 Speaker 1: the most. But now that's the default because of advertising. 703 00:34:49,800 --> 00:34:51,959 Speaker 1: But if you move away to a different business model, 704 00:34:52,040 --> 00:34:54,319 Speaker 1: or if you just give that up altogether. Let's say 705 00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:56,880 Speaker 1: that we wanted to choose the consecutive timeline. You and 706 00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:59,560 Speaker 1: I work in news. I don't care about the recommendation algorithm. 707 00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:02,000 Speaker 1: I want to know what's happening right now, so I 708 00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:04,919 Speaker 1: could I could opt into that. You could also opt into, 709 00:35:05,080 --> 00:35:08,040 Speaker 1: like an entertainment algorithm. You could opt into different ones 710 00:35:08,040 --> 00:35:10,600 Speaker 1: that the company could select and give you different options 711 00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:13,200 Speaker 1: over your user experience. I think that would be a 712 00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:15,840 Speaker 1: lot more empowering for the user, and it moves more 713 00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:18,080 Speaker 1: in a direction of like the tech should work for us, 714 00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:21,160 Speaker 1: not we should work in the tech. Well. The other 715 00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:26,200 Speaker 1: big central problem that was written about in the book 716 00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:30,839 Speaker 1: Stolen Focus is the advertising driven model. Yes, because that 717 00:35:30,880 --> 00:35:33,719 Speaker 1: makes the whole incentive. How do we not to how 718 00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:36,800 Speaker 1: do we satisfy you and make you have a good, pleasant, 719 00:35:37,560 --> 00:35:41,680 Speaker 1: like edifying experience? How do we keep you here, keep 720 00:35:41,680 --> 00:35:46,280 Speaker 1: you clicking, keep you agitated? Right, That's that's the whole 721 00:35:46,320 --> 00:35:49,919 Speaker 1: ecosystem because it is driven by ad dollars. The more 722 00:35:50,000 --> 00:35:53,520 Speaker 1: time you're there and the more emotions like good, bad, 723 00:35:53,520 --> 00:35:55,960 Speaker 1: are and different that you're having about the content that 724 00:35:56,000 --> 00:35:58,799 Speaker 1: you're serving, the better it is for sort of the 725 00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:02,480 Speaker 1: you know, capitalist advertise system, and so which is again 726 00:36:02,600 --> 00:36:05,600 Speaker 1: why we thought really carefully about our business model to 727 00:36:05,680 --> 00:36:08,880 Speaker 1: move it, you know, away from depending on ad dollars 728 00:36:08,920 --> 00:36:13,879 Speaker 1: and tours, depending on membership fees, because that just gives 729 00:36:13,960 --> 00:36:16,799 Speaker 1: you a different set of incentives than if you're just 730 00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:20,319 Speaker 1: wanting people to click and be mad or be disgusted 731 00:36:20,440 --> 00:36:24,680 Speaker 1: or be fearful. So I think that, like super advertising 732 00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:28,439 Speaker 1: driven model, is another really pernicious problem at the core 733 00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:30,000 Speaker 1: of all of these social media played. If we were 734 00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:32,919 Speaker 1: just straight YouTubers, our only goal would be to put 735 00:36:32,920 --> 00:36:36,240 Speaker 1: out videos with as much clickbait or whatever as possible 736 00:36:36,440 --> 00:36:39,319 Speaker 1: and just keep time on platform and the retention rate 737 00:36:39,520 --> 00:36:41,239 Speaker 1: as high as possible. Sometimes you do a clip that's 738 00:36:41,280 --> 00:36:42,919 Speaker 1: only three minutes, you know why, because only three minutes 739 00:36:42,920 --> 00:36:44,960 Speaker 1: worth of stuff to say, Dragging it out for a 740 00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:47,040 Speaker 1: long period is not good for the user and it's 741 00:36:47,080 --> 00:36:49,239 Speaker 1: not good for us. It's worse content. But that's what 742 00:36:49,280 --> 00:36:51,480 Speaker 1: the incentives actually look like. So yeah, you know, it 743 00:36:51,560 --> 00:36:53,799 Speaker 1: just gives you a good behind the scenes into what 744 00:36:53,800 --> 00:36:55,799 Speaker 1: that would look like with an alternative funding model, with 745 00:36:55,840 --> 00:36:57,799 Speaker 1: the direct a subscription, we can give you the best 746 00:36:57,840 --> 00:37:00,239 Speaker 1: product that we want to get right different, And I 747 00:37:00,239 --> 00:37:06,080 Speaker 1: think the distance between what YouTube promotes and what actual 748 00:37:06,160 --> 00:37:10,160 Speaker 1: human beings would choose for themselves was really demonstrated by 749 00:37:10,200 --> 00:37:13,200 Speaker 1: when we asked our premium subscribers, what do you want 750 00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:16,280 Speaker 1: us to talk about? Right, and it was wildly different 751 00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:19,760 Speaker 1: than what you know, the YouTube sort of algorithm would 752 00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:23,640 Speaker 1: push to people and would ultimately reward. So for me, 753 00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:26,840 Speaker 1: I think that says it all about the distance between 754 00:37:27,080 --> 00:37:30,960 Speaker 1: what these platforms are actually serving you and creating and incentivizing, 755 00:37:31,120 --> 00:37:34,520 Speaker 1: versus what people would actually enjoy and find to be 756 00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:37,520 Speaker 1: useful in their lives. Some good news, okay, as I 757 00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:41,920 Speaker 1: previewed before, we have election number two at another Amazon 758 00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:46,600 Speaker 1: facility on Staten Island that voting begins this morning. My 759 00:37:46,719 --> 00:37:49,719 Speaker 1: understanding is it will complete this week, so we may 760 00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:52,040 Speaker 1: know by the end of the week whether the new 761 00:37:52,080 --> 00:37:54,600 Speaker 1: Amazon labor union will go too. For two. I do 762 00:37:54,680 --> 00:37:56,120 Speaker 1: think this is you know, I don't think we should 763 00:37:56,120 --> 00:37:59,040 Speaker 1: take this for granted whatsoever. It's a very different facility, 764 00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:03,000 Speaker 1: as Chris told me and has told said publicly, it's 765 00:38:03,000 --> 00:38:05,440 Speaker 1: the sorting facility. You have a lot more part timers, 766 00:38:05,440 --> 00:38:08,040 Speaker 1: so the concerns are different. That's a much more difficult 767 00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:12,839 Speaker 1: workforce ultimately to organize. Also, because this may not even 768 00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:14,719 Speaker 1: be their main bread and butter. They may have two 769 00:38:15,000 --> 00:38:17,719 Speaker 1: other jobs, but another job, you know, something else that 770 00:38:17,840 --> 00:38:19,960 Speaker 1: is their sort of main source of income. So there 771 00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:22,279 Speaker 1: are a lot of challenges here. Not to mention, of course, 772 00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:26,520 Speaker 1: Amazon's over the tough union busting, which reportedly they ramped 773 00:38:26,600 --> 00:38:31,360 Speaker 1: up considerably after the stunning victory at JFK eight the 774 00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:36,920 Speaker 1: Staten Island warehouse. So big news from yesterday is now 775 00:38:37,480 --> 00:38:40,439 Speaker 1: the left politicians are fully engaged in the fight, now 776 00:38:40,440 --> 00:38:42,840 Speaker 1: that they have seen that this is a live issue 777 00:38:42,920 --> 00:38:44,800 Speaker 1: and that Chris Malls and Derek Palmer and all the 778 00:38:44,840 --> 00:38:46,799 Speaker 1: rest of the folks at Amazon Labor Union are in 779 00:38:46,840 --> 00:38:49,480 Speaker 1: fact capable of winning. Let's put this up on the screen. 780 00:38:49,880 --> 00:38:52,920 Speaker 1: We had Bernie and AOC. They're on the ground in 781 00:38:53,160 --> 00:38:57,440 Speaker 1: Staten Island, still not in her district. Interestingly, sorry I 782 00:38:57,480 --> 00:39:02,239 Speaker 1: couldn't resist, but listen, let me just because obviously, you know, 783 00:39:02,280 --> 00:39:04,279 Speaker 1: I got into a back and forth with AOC was 784 00:39:04,320 --> 00:39:06,400 Speaker 1: sort of trying to, you know, take a little bit 785 00:39:06,440 --> 00:39:09,359 Speaker 1: of credit for the initial when when she had not 786 00:39:09,400 --> 00:39:12,480 Speaker 1: only not been involved, but she'd actively stood these workers up. 787 00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:14,319 Speaker 1: And she pushed back of like, this isn't even in 788 00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:17,600 Speaker 1: my district. This is all I wanted. Look, I'm glad 789 00:39:17,600 --> 00:39:19,839 Speaker 1: to see her show up and engaged in the fight now, 790 00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:24,440 Speaker 1: and we have to provide some accountability to these politicians. 791 00:39:24,440 --> 00:39:26,120 Speaker 1: And this is not coming for me. This is from 792 00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:30,120 Speaker 1: Chris Mall's. Typically, the only consequence would be on the 793 00:39:30,200 --> 00:39:33,000 Speaker 1: other side. If she did show up and then it 794 00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:36,080 Speaker 1: ended up in some sort of like embarrassing defeat, that 795 00:39:36,160 --> 00:39:38,000 Speaker 1: would be the concert she'd be worried about, you know, 796 00:39:38,120 --> 00:39:41,480 Speaker 1: just to damage my credibility and my strength and my brand, 797 00:39:41,520 --> 00:39:44,239 Speaker 1: all of those things. So if you push back when 798 00:39:44,239 --> 00:39:46,480 Speaker 1: they don't show up, you have to have some consequences 799 00:39:46,480 --> 00:39:49,360 Speaker 1: and some costs on the other side for failing to 800 00:39:49,440 --> 00:39:52,799 Speaker 1: back workers and stand up and support them in the 801 00:39:52,800 --> 00:39:55,040 Speaker 1: first place. So I am very glad to see that 802 00:39:55,120 --> 00:39:58,719 Speaker 1: she has joined this fight. And you know, they they 803 00:39:58,800 --> 00:40:02,040 Speaker 1: said ultimately. Eric Palmer had a great quote here. He says, 804 00:40:02,040 --> 00:40:04,640 Speaker 1: starting this movement in the beginning, we did not have 805 00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:06,600 Speaker 1: the support that we do now, and now that we've won, 806 00:40:06,960 --> 00:40:10,160 Speaker 1: I'm just glad that everyone's finally waking up and realizing 807 00:40:10,160 --> 00:40:12,960 Speaker 1: the power that we have. We've woken the country up, 808 00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:15,520 Speaker 1: and I want us to continue on this journey. Sugar. Yeah, 809 00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:18,560 Speaker 1: and luckily, thanks to our new partnership with Jordan Sheridan. 810 00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:21,800 Speaker 1: We have some exclusive footage of an interview with Derek Palmer. 811 00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:23,640 Speaker 1: Let's take a listen. You know, after the win, you know, 812 00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:25,799 Speaker 1: it's been a historical win. You know, a lot of 813 00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:28,040 Speaker 1: workers are now motivated. You know, they've come to me 814 00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:32,319 Speaker 1: congratulating me, texts, email calls, you know. So I think 815 00:40:32,360 --> 00:40:34,920 Speaker 1: the todd is definitely shifting after that win. You know, 816 00:40:35,480 --> 00:40:37,560 Speaker 1: the labor movement, you know, was kind of sleep and 817 00:40:37,640 --> 00:40:40,520 Speaker 1: now it's definitely awakened for sure. And now we're getting 818 00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:43,760 Speaker 1: that support from the community as well, and workers actually 819 00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:47,120 Speaker 1: want to get involved with organizing them, which is the goal. 820 00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:50,719 Speaker 1: So I only see it spreading like wildfire throughout the 821 00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:53,919 Speaker 1: United States. I wanted to ask you because Bernie had 822 00:40:53,960 --> 00:40:58,120 Speaker 1: mentioned when he spoke that before he spoke, you guys 823 00:40:58,239 --> 00:41:01,439 Speaker 1: privately met and he was he didn't know the full 824 00:41:01,520 --> 00:41:04,560 Speaker 1: extent of the union busting. Uh. Do you know, do 825 00:41:04,640 --> 00:41:06,640 Speaker 1: you think a lot of the politicians kind of like 826 00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:09,680 Speaker 1: maybe know some bad things are going on, but don't 827 00:41:09,680 --> 00:41:12,839 Speaker 1: know like how bad in terms of the threats retaliation. Yeah, 828 00:41:12,880 --> 00:41:14,880 Speaker 1: you know they hear, you know, they hear the stories, 829 00:41:15,320 --> 00:41:18,080 Speaker 1: but you know it's nothing like being on the grounds 830 00:41:18,120 --> 00:41:20,480 Speaker 1: talking to workers, you know, so they can really get 831 00:41:20,480 --> 00:41:23,720 Speaker 1: the full scope of what's going on here. And obviously 832 00:41:23,719 --> 00:41:26,960 Speaker 1: there was some criticism of AOC kind of flaked on 833 00:41:27,040 --> 00:41:29,560 Speaker 1: you during the campaign. What does it say to you 834 00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:31,600 Speaker 1: that she showed up because obviously a lot of people 835 00:41:31,640 --> 00:41:33,480 Speaker 1: are saying now she's trying to ride their coat tails. 836 00:41:33,520 --> 00:41:36,160 Speaker 1: But I think it's helpful to actually winning to have 837 00:41:36,320 --> 00:41:38,120 Speaker 1: her out here to her Yeah, I mean, you know what, 838 00:41:38,360 --> 00:41:40,120 Speaker 1: AOC gets a lot of scrutiny, but you know, it 839 00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:42,319 Speaker 1: was it was all the politicians, let's be real, who 840 00:41:42,360 --> 00:41:45,160 Speaker 1: didn't show up. But you know now that they're here, 841 00:41:45,360 --> 00:41:48,720 Speaker 1: you know they're they're motivated, and you know, ultimately AOC 842 00:41:48,920 --> 00:41:51,880 Speaker 1: once was best for workers as well as Bernie Sanders. 843 00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:55,520 Speaker 1: So their support here means a lot. And moving forward, 844 00:41:55,719 --> 00:41:57,319 Speaker 1: you know, they're they're all, they're all in. You know, 845 00:41:57,400 --> 00:41:59,720 Speaker 1: we we had a nice conversation back there at the Hilton, 846 00:42:00,160 --> 00:42:03,520 Speaker 1: and you know they want to support one hundred ten percent. Hey, 847 00:42:03,520 --> 00:42:06,600 Speaker 1: I'm with Charles. You're a supporter of Amazon Labor Union. 848 00:42:06,840 --> 00:42:10,359 Speaker 1: You know, I've covered this for about a year. I've 849 00:42:10,400 --> 00:42:13,480 Speaker 1: never seen so much press and support here. Can he 850 00:42:13,560 --> 00:42:16,239 Speaker 1: kind of talk about what got you involved in supporting 851 00:42:16,280 --> 00:42:18,920 Speaker 1: the workers here and what did you think of Bernie 852 00:42:18,960 --> 00:42:21,759 Speaker 1: and AOC speaking. I think this speech was right on 853 00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:25,759 Speaker 1: time for me. I am a union called the eue 854 00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:28,959 Speaker 1: U now Electrical ringom Machine works in America. I'm based 855 00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:30,839 Speaker 1: in Virginia, so we came all the way up here 856 00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:34,200 Speaker 1: on two on Thursday of this past week the health support. 857 00:42:34,239 --> 00:42:35,719 Speaker 1: So we've been doing a phone bank and we've been 858 00:42:35,719 --> 00:42:38,359 Speaker 1: out in the parking lot talking to workers and all that. 859 00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:41,719 Speaker 1: And right now for me, I'm actually helping organize city 860 00:42:41,719 --> 00:42:44,920 Speaker 1: workers down there. So the show goes around, it's across 861 00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:48,000 Speaker 1: the board. So we recognized that a victory for Amazon 862 00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:50,040 Speaker 1: is a victory for the label Moon as a whole, 863 00:42:50,080 --> 00:42:52,800 Speaker 1: saying with Starbus and all these other places. Andy jasse 864 00:42:52,920 --> 00:42:56,640 Speaker 1: who's Amazon CEO, don't full it. Bezos is still driving 865 00:42:56,640 --> 00:43:00,840 Speaker 1: the bus. But Andy Jassey was on CNBC to the 866 00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:04,560 Speaker 1: victory here. He said, a place like Amazon empowers employees. 867 00:43:04,920 --> 00:43:07,640 Speaker 1: If they see something they could do better for customers 868 00:43:07,760 --> 00:43:10,960 Speaker 1: or for themselves, they could just go meet in a room, 869 00:43:11,080 --> 00:43:13,839 Speaker 1: decide how to change it, and change it. You guys, 870 00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:15,120 Speaker 1: you didn't have to do this. All you had to 871 00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:17,520 Speaker 1: do was go meet in a room and change it yourself. No, 872 00:43:17,640 --> 00:43:22,040 Speaker 1: I mean that's that's ridiculous. It's bullshit, Frankly. I mean 873 00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:27,920 Speaker 1: we had a number of meetings with Felipe, with assistant 874 00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:30,600 Speaker 1: managers to try to get things changed. I mean, this 875 00:43:30,680 --> 00:43:34,600 Speaker 1: whole thing started right with Chris's walkout. Before he led 876 00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:37,600 Speaker 1: the walkout, he was trying to meet with managers every day. 877 00:43:37,640 --> 00:43:40,120 Speaker 1: He was in HRST every day trying to just get 878 00:43:40,160 --> 00:43:42,720 Speaker 1: them to make changes about COVID or just tell people 879 00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:46,640 Speaker 1: that COVID was being spread around, and they wouldn't do it. So, 880 00:43:47,520 --> 00:43:50,439 Speaker 1: I mean these CEOs and bosses like they can go 881 00:43:50,480 --> 00:43:52,239 Speaker 1: on the news and spread all the lives they want, 882 00:43:52,239 --> 00:43:55,120 Speaker 1: but the workers know the truth. Yeah, I mean that 883 00:43:55,239 --> 00:43:58,440 Speaker 1: idea that, oh you could have just talked to us, 884 00:43:58,920 --> 00:44:03,200 Speaker 1: we would have totally and drastic come on, that's so 885 00:44:03,239 --> 00:44:06,480 Speaker 1: silly and ultimately ridiculous. Great footage from Jordan, by the way, 886 00:44:06,520 --> 00:44:08,000 Speaker 1: and if you guys miss the beginning of the show 887 00:44:08,040 --> 00:44:11,000 Speaker 1: when we announced this, So Jordan's status cook new Breaking 888 00:44:11,040 --> 00:44:14,160 Speaker 1: Points partner. He's going to be giving us more exclusive 889 00:44:14,160 --> 00:44:16,279 Speaker 1: footage from his trips on the road. He also does 890 00:44:16,320 --> 00:44:20,360 Speaker 1: great investigative journalism, very excited about being able to add 891 00:44:20,640 --> 00:44:22,919 Speaker 1: that piece to the ecosystem here, and you can see 892 00:44:22,920 --> 00:44:26,080 Speaker 1: how valuable it ultimately is to actually hear from the 893 00:44:26,160 --> 00:44:29,120 Speaker 1: workers who made this victory possible and how they feel 894 00:44:29,200 --> 00:44:31,640 Speaker 1: ultimately about all of this. There's been a lot of 895 00:44:31,800 --> 00:44:35,560 Speaker 1: debate over maybe it wasn't a bad thing ultimately that 896 00:44:35,600 --> 00:44:38,040 Speaker 1: the politicians didn't show up the first time around. They 897 00:44:38,040 --> 00:44:40,200 Speaker 1: were able to kind of sneak under the radar, was 898 00:44:40,239 --> 00:44:42,600 Speaker 1: able to not be a partisan thing. But we also 899 00:44:42,600 --> 00:44:44,520 Speaker 1: have to respect the fact the workers themselves see this 900 00:44:44,600 --> 00:44:47,799 Speaker 1: is very helpful and very energizing. Look, it's up to them. 901 00:44:47,920 --> 00:44:49,799 Speaker 1: They get to decide what they think is helpful and 902 00:44:49,840 --> 00:44:52,080 Speaker 1: what is not helpful. I do think personally it was 903 00:44:52,120 --> 00:44:54,080 Speaker 1: a benefit to them in the first one. This one 904 00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:55,760 Speaker 1: is going to be different. We'll see how it goes. 905 00:44:56,000 --> 00:44:58,040 Speaker 1: I think voting start right now, right, Yes, that's right, 906 00:44:58,160 --> 00:45:00,440 Speaker 1: voting starts right now. It's literally happening right now, right. 907 00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:03,400 Speaker 1: We'll find out, I know one when we're filming this, 908 00:45:03,680 --> 00:45:05,920 Speaker 1: so you guys can get a little peak behind the scenes, 909 00:45:05,960 --> 00:45:08,759 Speaker 1: so we will see how it plays out. In terms 910 00:45:08,760 --> 00:45:10,919 Speaker 1: of the tech side of this, crystal this is really nuts. 911 00:45:10,960 --> 00:45:13,160 Speaker 1: Let's put this up there on the screen, which is 912 00:45:13,160 --> 00:45:17,600 Speaker 1: that the largest subreddit for Amazon workers has banned the 913 00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:22,080 Speaker 1: word union and it has forty three thousand, five hundred 914 00:45:22,120 --> 00:45:26,600 Speaker 1: members who decided to censor union related posts for, according 915 00:45:26,640 --> 00:45:30,600 Speaker 1: to them, due to an influx of spam and outright 916 00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:34,520 Speaker 1: malicious posts. Very interesting, isn't it that censorship is always 917 00:45:34,560 --> 00:45:38,040 Speaker 1: yielded based upon protecting the community. Yeah, whenever it's the 918 00:45:38,080 --> 00:45:41,880 Speaker 1: word union. Well, and so some members of that community, 919 00:45:42,080 --> 00:45:45,440 Speaker 1: because they have it on basically like autosensorship, So if 920 00:45:45,440 --> 00:45:48,160 Speaker 1: they just see the word union, then a bot takes 921 00:45:48,160 --> 00:45:51,080 Speaker 1: it down automatically. So some of the members have started 922 00:45:51,239 --> 00:45:54,920 Speaker 1: using onion instead of union to get around it, so 923 00:45:54,960 --> 00:45:57,239 Speaker 1: they're not going to be stopped. But yeah, this is 924 00:45:57,280 --> 00:46:00,640 Speaker 1: really significant because obviously, listen, when you're working for Amazon 925 00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:03,080 Speaker 1: in those warehouses, I mean you can ask Chris or 926 00:46:03,120 --> 00:46:08,280 Speaker 1: any of these folks. It really is relentless the pace, 927 00:46:08,640 --> 00:46:11,279 Speaker 1: So you have very little time to talk to your 928 00:46:11,320 --> 00:46:14,920 Speaker 1: co workers. You know, you've got bosses and supervisors and 929 00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:19,200 Speaker 1: that multi thousand dollars a day paid union consultants listening 930 00:46:19,400 --> 00:46:22,240 Speaker 1: listening over your shoulder to every word that you're ultimately saying. 931 00:46:22,560 --> 00:46:27,160 Speaker 1: So online spaces like this are really important for organizing 932 00:46:27,239 --> 00:46:30,279 Speaker 1: and building solidarity. So for them to decide, oh, this 933 00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:32,680 Speaker 1: is too controversial, we have to take it down, it 934 00:46:32,800 --> 00:46:35,600 Speaker 1: really is very unfortunate. And I thought there was a 935 00:46:35,600 --> 00:46:39,000 Speaker 1: good quote in this article from Vice Too speaking to 936 00:46:39,360 --> 00:46:42,120 Speaker 1: one of the pro union Amazon workers who said, listen, 937 00:46:42,120 --> 00:46:44,720 Speaker 1: when you ban the discussion of unions at a place 938 00:46:44,760 --> 00:46:49,040 Speaker 1: with no unions, you are anti union because you're preserving 939 00:46:49,480 --> 00:46:52,279 Speaker 1: the anti union status quo. And I thought that was 940 00:46:52,320 --> 00:46:54,920 Speaker 1: a really good way to put it here. Ultimately, and 941 00:46:54,920 --> 00:46:57,400 Speaker 1: by the way, don't forget, we saw something very similar 942 00:46:57,600 --> 00:47:00,520 Speaker 1: when Verizon workers who now basically, by the way, have 943 00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:03,400 Speaker 1: been successful some retail Verizon worker has been successful and 944 00:47:03,480 --> 00:47:06,839 Speaker 1: ultimately unionizing. But we saw the same thing with a 945 00:47:06,960 --> 00:47:10,920 Speaker 1: significant Verizon worker forum where they also said, ah, this 946 00:47:10,960 --> 00:47:14,080 Speaker 1: is we can't talk about this ultimately anymore. So this 947 00:47:14,120 --> 00:47:16,120 Speaker 1: is a disturbing trend that we're seeing in a number 948 00:47:16,120 --> 00:47:19,480 Speaker 1: of spaces as the worker momentum game speed. Yeah. I 949 00:47:19,520 --> 00:47:21,439 Speaker 1: just think when you put it together and you really 950 00:47:21,440 --> 00:47:24,239 Speaker 1: think about how exactly this works out. I've warned so 951 00:47:24,440 --> 00:47:27,839 Speaker 1: long that content moderation policy will always be used by 952 00:47:27,840 --> 00:47:30,120 Speaker 1: the establishment in order to push back in this distance 953 00:47:30,480 --> 00:47:33,120 Speaker 1: every time. But I remember during the fact checking you 954 00:47:33,120 --> 00:47:34,759 Speaker 1: know era, and it was like, oh, we need fact 955 00:47:34,840 --> 00:47:37,520 Speaker 1: checks on Trump tweets. I was like, okay, just wait 956 00:47:37,719 --> 00:47:40,799 Speaker 1: until AOC runs against Chuck Schumer or something in a 957 00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:43,080 Speaker 1: debate and then she tweets something about Medicare for all 958 00:47:43,200 --> 00:47:46,120 Speaker 1: and somebody at Twitter or you know previously before Elon 959 00:47:46,239 --> 00:47:48,719 Speaker 1: must possibly own it that they go and tend to 960 00:47:48,760 --> 00:47:50,719 Speaker 1: slap a fact check on it. That literally happened with 961 00:47:50,719 --> 00:47:53,279 Speaker 1: the Washington Post, just so you're aware. So do you 962 00:47:53,320 --> 00:47:55,799 Speaker 1: want them to set fact checking policy for the entire nation? 963 00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:58,280 Speaker 1: I don't. So whenever it comes to this content moderation, 964 00:47:58,560 --> 00:48:00,600 Speaker 1: as long it is, as long as it within the 965 00:48:00,640 --> 00:48:03,400 Speaker 1: first bounds of the First Amendment, I think it's ludicrous 966 00:48:03,400 --> 00:48:06,040 Speaker 1: to try and crack down because it will always be used. 967 00:48:06,080 --> 00:48:08,000 Speaker 1: In this type of environment. People really need to be 968 00:48:08,000 --> 00:48:09,839 Speaker 1: worry of it. It always comes for the people who 969 00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:12,640 Speaker 1: are dissidentced. Yes, that is exactly right. There's also some 970 00:48:12,719 --> 00:48:16,319 Speaker 1: big news with the Starbucks unionization drive, which has just 971 00:48:16,360 --> 00:48:18,719 Speaker 1: been picking up steam by the day. It really is 972 00:48:18,719 --> 00:48:21,520 Speaker 1: pretty incredible. Let's with Stephen Greenhouse's tweet here up on 973 00:48:21,560 --> 00:48:25,560 Speaker 1: the screen, so Barista's out of Starbucks in Leesburg, Virginia 974 00:48:25,760 --> 00:48:29,279 Speaker 1: voted overwhelmingly twenty three to one to unionize. According to 975 00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:32,720 Speaker 1: the NLRB's count, this means that despite Starbucks' fierce anti 976 00:48:32,800 --> 00:48:37,040 Speaker 1: union efforts, the union's overall record increases to twenty nine 977 00:48:37,239 --> 00:48:41,799 Speaker 1: wins versus three losses. So they did suffer one very 978 00:48:41,800 --> 00:48:45,240 Speaker 1: close defeat down in Florida, it was fourteen to thirteen. 979 00:48:45,600 --> 00:48:50,000 Speaker 1: Other than that, the Starbucks Workers United movement has been 980 00:48:50,360 --> 00:48:54,440 Speaker 1: just racking up victories one after another after another since 981 00:48:54,480 --> 00:48:57,320 Speaker 1: the very early days. There were a couple of early losses, 982 00:48:57,360 --> 00:48:59,200 Speaker 1: and since then they seem to have just picked up 983 00:48:59,239 --> 00:49:02,760 Speaker 1: tremendous in spite of the fact they brought back Howard Schultz, 984 00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:05,920 Speaker 1: and you know, they're clearly upping the ante in terms 985 00:49:05,920 --> 00:49:09,279 Speaker 1: of their union busting firing workers. That's the other big 986 00:49:09,320 --> 00:49:12,840 Speaker 1: piece that happened here is the NLRB has now gone 987 00:49:12,840 --> 00:49:15,520 Speaker 1: to court to demand that some of the fired workers 988 00:49:15,600 --> 00:49:19,440 Speaker 1: be reinstated immediately because they're you know, they're saying this 989 00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:23,719 Speaker 1: was done illegally. They're continuing to they're continuing to look 990 00:49:23,760 --> 00:49:25,680 Speaker 1: into a number of these firings which seem to be 991 00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:29,799 Speaker 1: direct retaliation for union organizing. But it's pretty extraordinary. And 992 00:49:30,120 --> 00:49:33,000 Speaker 1: you know, a number of these victories to SAGAR have 993 00:49:33,160 --> 00:49:36,120 Speaker 1: been unanimous. Yes, like this one is twenty three to one, 994 00:49:36,200 --> 00:49:38,760 Speaker 1: so it is very close to animous. But a number 995 00:49:38,800 --> 00:49:41,680 Speaker 1: of these have been one hundred percent of the voting 996 00:49:41,719 --> 00:49:44,600 Speaker 1: workers said yes we want a union in spite of 997 00:49:44,800 --> 00:49:47,120 Speaker 1: everything they've been subjected to, which I think is just 998 00:49:47,400 --> 00:49:50,600 Speaker 1: extraordinary and also speaks to how a lot of these 999 00:49:50,680 --> 00:49:53,600 Speaker 1: union busting tactics right now in this climate are just 1000 00:49:53,760 --> 00:49:56,600 Speaker 1: not working and completely backfired. It's pretty interesting to me 1001 00:49:56,880 --> 00:49:59,160 Speaker 1: because what I see is that Starbucks is kind of 1002 00:49:59,200 --> 00:50:01,399 Speaker 1: the perfect rounds. You know, I hate to say about 1003 00:50:01,400 --> 00:50:03,920 Speaker 1: on Amazon, like you were saying, with a high turnover workforce, 1004 00:50:03,920 --> 00:50:05,919 Speaker 1: which is already company policy, and then you have short 1005 00:50:06,000 --> 00:50:08,200 Speaker 1: term contract worker, it's gonna be difficult, right especially in 1006 00:50:08,280 --> 00:50:10,360 Speaker 1: order to keep it sustained. But Starbucks, from what I 1007 00:50:10,400 --> 00:50:12,319 Speaker 1: can tell based when you told me they have longer 1008 00:50:12,400 --> 00:50:14,120 Speaker 1: term employment, they don't have as much of turnover in 1009 00:50:14,200 --> 00:50:17,240 Speaker 1: terms of the workforce, more educated, more sympathetic toward union, 1010 00:50:17,480 --> 00:50:19,799 Speaker 1: and could make it so that the company's values, which 1011 00:50:19,840 --> 00:50:22,879 Speaker 1: always sold itself as like progressive, yeah, backfire because their 1012 00:50:22,920 --> 00:50:26,280 Speaker 1: workforce is disproportionately more likely to be receptive to that message. 1013 00:50:26,360 --> 00:50:29,000 Speaker 1: It seems like it could be and is taking force 1014 00:50:29,080 --> 00:50:32,040 Speaker 1: as a national wide move. I mean, any food service 1015 00:50:32,320 --> 00:50:35,640 Speaker 1: is going to have high turnover, including Starbucks, but what 1016 00:50:35,719 --> 00:50:38,239 Speaker 1: you see, I think with the Starbucks workers is a 1017 00:50:38,280 --> 00:50:42,600 Speaker 1: disproportionate number of Bernie Burrows and Bernie gals. There was 1018 00:50:42,640 --> 00:50:45,359 Speaker 1: an article early on, I think by the New York 1019 00:50:45,440 --> 00:50:48,560 Speaker 1: Times that interviewed a number of the early organizers and 1020 00:50:48,680 --> 00:50:51,680 Speaker 1: quite a few of them said I volunteered for the 1021 00:50:51,719 --> 00:50:55,960 Speaker 1: Sanders campaign and that changed how they were thinking about this. 1022 00:50:56,080 --> 00:50:58,759 Speaker 1: I mean, it just was like raised awareness around what 1023 00:50:58,800 --> 00:51:00,719 Speaker 1: they could do and how they could pushback. And of 1024 00:51:00,719 --> 00:51:04,640 Speaker 1: course Bernie throughout his career has been strong supporter standing 1025 00:51:04,640 --> 00:51:07,439 Speaker 1: with labor. On that note, we do have a little 1026 00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:10,080 Speaker 1: bit of footage at Bernie of Bernie at the rally 1027 00:51:10,120 --> 00:51:11,799 Speaker 1: for Amazon. I have to say, I don't know if 1028 00:51:11,800 --> 00:51:13,640 Speaker 1: you guys saw. There were some pictures. I posted one 1029 00:51:13,680 --> 00:51:17,600 Speaker 1: of them to my Instagram shameless plug. Crystal Envall checking them, 1030 00:51:17,920 --> 00:51:23,120 Speaker 1: but these incredible photos of Chris Mall's with Bernie Sanders, 1031 00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:27,399 Speaker 1: which really were, you know, pretty extraordinary to see. And 1032 00:51:27,440 --> 00:51:29,560 Speaker 1: you'll see the sort of like warmth between the two 1033 00:51:29,600 --> 00:51:31,239 Speaker 1: of them at the rally. Let's take a look at 1034 00:51:31,239 --> 00:51:33,880 Speaker 1: a little bit of that. But I'm so proud to 1035 00:51:34,000 --> 00:51:35,680 Speaker 1: be standing here with my brothers and sisters and my 1036 00:51:35,760 --> 00:51:40,440 Speaker 1: comrades in the community, US here to support. Without further ado, though, 1037 00:51:40,480 --> 00:51:44,239 Speaker 1: I want to bring up Senator Sanders from Vermont who Joe, 1038 00:51:44,560 --> 00:51:46,920 Speaker 1: who came here to stand us out there with these 1039 00:51:46,960 --> 00:51:54,759 Speaker 1: Amazon workers today. Thank you, senator and Bernie seemed to 1040 00:51:54,800 --> 00:51:56,759 Speaker 1: be very well received there. But you just love to 1041 00:51:56,760 --> 00:52:00,799 Speaker 1: see that like across the generations, across races, Linchen, all 1042 00:52:00,800 --> 00:52:03,279 Speaker 1: of it. I mean, that's that's a labor movement at 1043 00:52:03,320 --> 00:52:06,080 Speaker 1: its best, and that's what solidarity really means at its best. 1044 00:52:06,120 --> 00:52:09,600 Speaker 1: So listen, these politicians were late showing up, but better 1045 00:52:09,680 --> 00:52:11,600 Speaker 1: late than umber. They showed up. Yeah, and I think 1046 00:52:11,640 --> 00:52:13,239 Speaker 1: that's what matters. We'll see how it turns out on 1047 00:52:13,280 --> 00:52:17,640 Speaker 1: the vote. Joining us now is the great Sarah Fisher 1048 00:52:17,719 --> 00:52:20,880 Speaker 1: of Axios. Sarah, welcome to the show. We really appreciate 1049 00:52:20,880 --> 00:52:24,839 Speaker 1: you joining us. Hey, thanks for having me. Love this show. 1050 00:52:25,239 --> 00:52:27,440 Speaker 1: Thank you very thank you. Really appreciate your reporting. You 1051 00:52:27,440 --> 00:52:29,239 Speaker 1: were one of the best, Sarah. You were one of 1052 00:52:29,280 --> 00:52:31,120 Speaker 1: the first to really give us some insight into the 1053 00:52:31,120 --> 00:52:33,040 Speaker 1: downfall of CNN Plus, let's go ahead and put this 1054 00:52:33,120 --> 00:52:35,560 Speaker 1: up there on the screen. You first had the instance 1055 00:52:35,600 --> 00:52:38,759 Speaker 1: that they were inside the chaotic collapse there, You first 1056 00:52:38,800 --> 00:52:41,840 Speaker 1: had the reporting that they were suspending marketing operations, and 1057 00:52:41,840 --> 00:52:43,400 Speaker 1: then you were one of the first of the story 1058 00:52:43,440 --> 00:52:46,240 Speaker 1: in terms of talking about the demise. Sarah, I've always 1059 00:52:46,280 --> 00:52:49,480 Speaker 1: respected you as just a great analyst of inside media 1060 00:52:49,520 --> 00:52:53,520 Speaker 1: companies and what's happening here? What exactly happened with the 1061 00:52:53,600 --> 00:52:57,520 Speaker 1: death of this product that they poured three hundred million 1062 00:52:57,560 --> 00:53:02,439 Speaker 1: dollars into. Yeah, it's a great question. So about two 1063 00:53:02,520 --> 00:53:06,279 Speaker 1: years ago, CNN executives thought, we really need to get 1064 00:53:06,320 --> 00:53:10,000 Speaker 1: ahead of the linear TV decline. Let's launch a bigger 1065 00:53:10,040 --> 00:53:13,080 Speaker 1: foray into streaming. Now, you have to remember CNN has 1066 00:53:13,160 --> 00:53:16,600 Speaker 1: experimented with streaming for a really long time. They started 1067 00:53:16,680 --> 00:53:20,279 Speaker 1: CNN Pipeline in the two thousands. They had CNN Go, 1068 00:53:20,480 --> 00:53:22,720 Speaker 1: which is an app that still exists, but it really 1069 00:53:22,800 --> 00:53:26,160 Speaker 1: just allows you to stream the live cable network through 1070 00:53:26,480 --> 00:53:30,640 Speaker 1: authenticating your cable log in. They had great, big Story 1071 00:53:30,680 --> 00:53:33,040 Speaker 1: which ended up shutting down a few years ago, and 1072 00:53:33,080 --> 00:53:36,239 Speaker 1: so they never really nailed a smart streaming direct to 1073 00:53:36,280 --> 00:53:39,080 Speaker 1: consumer app, and so executives said we're going to do it. 1074 00:53:39,480 --> 00:53:41,239 Speaker 1: In twenty twenty one, they start to make a lot 1075 00:53:41,280 --> 00:53:45,200 Speaker 1: of moves towards that. At this point, they hired Alex McCallum, 1076 00:53:45,239 --> 00:53:48,000 Speaker 1: a product whiz from The New York Times. They acquired 1077 00:53:48,000 --> 00:53:51,960 Speaker 1: an app called Canopy, which sort of supported news aggregation apps, 1078 00:53:52,120 --> 00:53:55,040 Speaker 1: and they were ready to build. But the one thing 1079 00:53:55,080 --> 00:53:58,200 Speaker 1: they may not have seen coming was that their parents' 1080 00:53:58,360 --> 00:54:01,520 Speaker 1: parent company, AT and T was being straddled with so 1081 00:54:01,680 --> 00:54:04,680 Speaker 1: much debt from its media acquisitions that it was looking 1082 00:54:04,680 --> 00:54:08,440 Speaker 1: to spin off WarnerMedia, which is CNN's parent, and in 1083 00:54:08,480 --> 00:54:10,880 Speaker 1: May we found out that the decision was made to 1084 00:54:10,960 --> 00:54:13,480 Speaker 1: spin it off and merge it with Discovery, which is 1085 00:54:13,520 --> 00:54:18,440 Speaker 1: run by David Zaslov. The challenge here became Discovery Streaming 1086 00:54:18,600 --> 00:54:23,520 Speaker 1: BEBT was to build one giant general entertainment app by 1087 00:54:23,680 --> 00:54:28,040 Speaker 1: combining HBO Max and Discovery Plus. But they didn't really 1088 00:54:28,160 --> 00:54:32,640 Speaker 1: have in their long term vision standalone, smaller subscription apps. 1089 00:54:32,640 --> 00:54:36,000 Speaker 1: And that's because they've tried that. Before Discovery had launched 1090 00:54:36,040 --> 00:54:38,600 Speaker 1: Golf TV, they had a food network app that were 1091 00:54:38,640 --> 00:54:41,640 Speaker 1: all subscriptions and they were tough to build. And so 1092 00:54:41,760 --> 00:54:44,719 Speaker 1: when it came time for the merger to close. You 1093 00:54:44,800 --> 00:54:47,399 Speaker 1: had a bunch of different things that made Discovery very 1094 00:54:47,440 --> 00:54:53,040 Speaker 1: wary about introducing CNN Plus. First, in February, CNN's longtime 1095 00:54:53,080 --> 00:54:56,360 Speaker 1: leader Jeff Zucker had to resign in a shocking resignation, 1096 00:54:57,239 --> 00:55:00,560 Speaker 1: and that really put Discovery executives on you know, he 1097 00:55:00,680 --> 00:55:02,560 Speaker 1: was the person that would be leading the charge. He's 1098 00:55:02,560 --> 00:55:04,799 Speaker 1: no longer going to be there. And then leading up 1099 00:55:04,800 --> 00:55:08,120 Speaker 1: to the merger, at and T was very conservative. They 1100 00:55:08,120 --> 00:55:10,640 Speaker 1: didn't want to talk to Discovery because they were afraid 1101 00:55:10,719 --> 00:55:14,839 Speaker 1: of regulatory's scrutiny, and so Discovery didn't have great visibility 1102 00:55:14,880 --> 00:55:17,520 Speaker 1: into what was happening at CNN Plus. And by the 1103 00:55:17,600 --> 00:55:21,000 Speaker 1: time they did in April, when that merger closed, what 1104 00:55:21,040 --> 00:55:24,719 Speaker 1: they saw was CNN had poured hundreds of millions of 1105 00:55:24,719 --> 00:55:27,960 Speaker 1: dollars into an app that they worried would not become 1106 00:55:28,000 --> 00:55:31,480 Speaker 1: profitable within the four year timeline that CNN had sketched out. 1107 00:55:31,920 --> 00:55:34,800 Speaker 1: And instead of waiting to make the decision whether or 1108 00:55:34,840 --> 00:55:37,160 Speaker 1: not they were going to support this effort or not, 1109 00:55:37,719 --> 00:55:40,640 Speaker 1: Discovery execs thought that what would be safest would be 1110 00:55:40,760 --> 00:55:43,600 Speaker 1: just to pull the plug early, and that way they 1111 00:55:43,600 --> 00:55:45,839 Speaker 1: could stay heartache down the line. And so it's an 1112 00:55:45,880 --> 00:55:48,439 Speaker 1: unfortunate thing. You know, hundreds of jobs are likely going 1113 00:55:48,520 --> 00:55:51,200 Speaker 1: to be lost, a lot of hundreds of millions of 1114 00:55:51,239 --> 00:55:54,560 Speaker 1: dollars were already spent and wasted. But I guess the 1115 00:55:54,600 --> 00:55:57,800 Speaker 1: silver lining here is that Discovery took quick and decisive 1116 00:55:57,800 --> 00:56:00,960 Speaker 1: action as opposed to dragging this thing on months. Yeah, 1117 00:56:01,000 --> 00:56:02,600 Speaker 1: I mean you sort of have to respect the fact 1118 00:56:02,600 --> 00:56:04,400 Speaker 1: that they, you know, looked at the writing on the 1119 00:56:04,440 --> 00:56:07,920 Speaker 1: wall and the early numbers which were reported by you 1120 00:56:08,000 --> 00:56:10,640 Speaker 1: and others, which were very poor, you know, fewer than 1121 00:56:10,719 --> 00:56:13,480 Speaker 1: ten thousand people watching in a day, which is you know, 1122 00:56:13,640 --> 00:56:17,160 Speaker 1: really pathetic, especially when you have that level of spend 1123 00:56:17,600 --> 00:56:21,799 Speaker 1: on marketing. But why did CNN push forward with this 1124 00:56:22,239 --> 00:56:24,440 Speaker 1: and decide to keep the launch date where it was 1125 00:56:24,560 --> 00:56:27,240 Speaker 1: to start with? When you know it wasn't a secret. 1126 00:56:27,239 --> 00:56:28,960 Speaker 1: We talked about it here. I know you reported on 1127 00:56:29,080 --> 00:56:32,080 Speaker 1: as well that Discovery preferred to go in this direction, 1128 00:56:32,200 --> 00:56:35,040 Speaker 1: that it was likely to that the CNN Plus streaming 1129 00:56:35,040 --> 00:56:39,480 Speaker 1: service would be bundled inside of a larger streaming offering. 1130 00:56:39,719 --> 00:56:43,480 Speaker 1: So why did they push forward anyway knowing that you 1131 00:56:43,520 --> 00:56:47,160 Speaker 1: know this was very much a possibility. Well, I think 1132 00:56:47,239 --> 00:56:49,319 Speaker 1: you have to look at the number we reported that 1133 00:56:49,360 --> 00:56:51,880 Speaker 1: there were one hundred and fifty thousand people that decided 1134 00:56:51,920 --> 00:56:54,080 Speaker 1: to pay within those two and a half weeks. I 1135 00:56:54,080 --> 00:56:57,440 Speaker 1: don't think CNN executives saw that as a huge failure. 1136 00:56:57,800 --> 00:57:01,600 Speaker 1: I think the challenge is, like any type of subscription streaming, 1137 00:57:01,880 --> 00:57:04,880 Speaker 1: you have to inject a lot of capital upfront before 1138 00:57:04,880 --> 00:57:07,320 Speaker 1: you can get the payoff later, and that includes marketing. 1139 00:57:07,640 --> 00:57:09,759 Speaker 1: And so it wasn't necessarily that they thought this thing 1140 00:57:09,880 --> 00:57:12,480 Speaker 1: was going to be so awful, although you're right some 1141 00:57:12,520 --> 00:57:15,960 Speaker 1: of the daily viewership numbers were low. I think it 1142 00:57:16,000 --> 00:57:17,800 Speaker 1: was just that the amount of money they would need 1143 00:57:17,840 --> 00:57:20,040 Speaker 1: to continue to spend to get the numbers to go 1144 00:57:20,120 --> 00:57:23,920 Speaker 1: up would be exorbitive. And that's what Discovery was afraid of. Remember, 1145 00:57:24,120 --> 00:57:27,440 Speaker 1: they're running what is a legacy, profitable cable business. It's 1146 00:57:27,440 --> 00:57:30,760 Speaker 1: a different model than something like Netflix or even like 1147 00:57:30,800 --> 00:57:33,320 Speaker 1: an uber, where you can afford to inject a lot 1148 00:57:33,360 --> 00:57:36,600 Speaker 1: of capital upfront for some sort of payoff late. And 1149 00:57:36,640 --> 00:57:39,120 Speaker 1: so I think that's the reason why there was a discrepancy. 1150 00:57:39,240 --> 00:57:42,320 Speaker 1: CNN wanted to move forward one. I think there was 1151 00:57:42,320 --> 00:57:45,880 Speaker 1: a little bit of you know, sort of emotional decision 1152 00:57:45,920 --> 00:57:48,240 Speaker 1: making there, right, they wanted to stake a claim in 1153 00:57:48,320 --> 00:57:51,439 Speaker 1: CNN's digital future before the merger. But I also think 1154 00:57:51,520 --> 00:57:54,680 Speaker 1: too is that they thought that this was probably successful 1155 00:57:54,680 --> 00:57:57,760 Speaker 1: in a white discovery just did not right. I mean, Sarah, 1156 00:57:58,040 --> 00:58:01,320 Speaker 1: what is the broader cable industry look at this and 1157 00:58:01,360 --> 00:58:03,720 Speaker 1: what's their takeaway? I mean, this is something which is 1158 00:58:03,760 --> 00:58:05,120 Speaker 1: a big problem for them, and I talk about it 1159 00:58:05,120 --> 00:58:07,400 Speaker 1: all the time, which is that their main value add 1160 00:58:07,480 --> 00:58:10,160 Speaker 1: on linear is live TV, which they're not allowed to 1161 00:58:10,160 --> 00:58:13,200 Speaker 1: put on streaming, and a lot of their content on streaming. 1162 00:58:13,440 --> 00:58:15,040 Speaker 1: I mean, I'll say editorially, you don't have to say it. 1163 00:58:15,040 --> 00:58:18,040 Speaker 1: I don't think it's very good. So what exactly are 1164 00:58:18,080 --> 00:58:21,040 Speaker 1: they trying to do to plan for their future? Because 1165 00:58:21,280 --> 00:58:23,400 Speaker 1: I'm not a genius, you know, anybody can look at 1166 00:58:23,440 --> 00:58:27,280 Speaker 1: the upcoming negotiation for live TV, streaming and linear and 1167 00:58:27,320 --> 00:58:29,680 Speaker 1: say they're in a real problem in terms of what 1168 00:58:29,720 --> 00:58:33,840 Speaker 1: their future is going to look like. So everyone's obviously 1169 00:58:33,880 --> 00:58:38,600 Speaker 1: going about streaming as their future, but they're doing different strategies. 1170 00:58:38,680 --> 00:58:42,640 Speaker 1: So one strategy is that direct to consumer subscription model, 1171 00:58:42,920 --> 00:58:46,200 Speaker 1: and some cable networks have been absolutely brilliant about spinning 1172 00:58:46,240 --> 00:58:49,600 Speaker 1: that forward, most notably HBO. You know, HBO is a 1173 00:58:49,640 --> 00:58:53,000 Speaker 1: premium cable network able to spin into a smart direct 1174 00:58:53,040 --> 00:58:57,320 Speaker 1: to consumer subscription. The other option is free and as supportive. 1175 00:58:57,600 --> 00:59:00,000 Speaker 1: And I think it's notable that Netflix said this power 1176 00:59:00,160 --> 00:59:03,200 Speaker 1: earnings that they're going to experiment with an ad supported tier. 1177 00:59:03,680 --> 00:59:05,600 Speaker 1: And that's just because if you take a look at 1178 00:59:05,600 --> 00:59:10,240 Speaker 1: consumers spend, consumers have said consistently over the past few years, 1179 00:59:10,280 --> 00:59:13,120 Speaker 1: even throughout the pandemic, they're only willing to spend around 1180 00:59:13,160 --> 00:59:16,560 Speaker 1: forty dollars a month on subscription streaming services. Other than that, 1181 00:59:16,880 --> 00:59:19,200 Speaker 1: it's going to have to be free, ad supported, and 1182 00:59:19,240 --> 00:59:20,760 Speaker 1: so I think what's going to be the future for 1183 00:59:20,840 --> 00:59:24,400 Speaker 1: CNN Discovery is actually probably going to double down on 1184 00:59:24,520 --> 00:59:28,200 Speaker 1: CNN's free ads supported app. You have to remember CNN's 1185 00:59:28,200 --> 00:59:30,920 Speaker 1: core digital app is one of the most widely consumed 1186 00:59:31,240 --> 00:59:33,040 Speaker 1: news apps in the world. It's one of the most 1187 00:59:33,080 --> 00:59:36,040 Speaker 1: widely trafficked, so they'd actually be wise to put some 1188 00:59:36,160 --> 00:59:39,440 Speaker 1: video on there, sell some premium video ads against it. 1189 00:59:39,840 --> 00:59:42,800 Speaker 1: I think for other major cable networks, it really depends 1190 00:59:42,840 --> 00:59:46,440 Speaker 1: on sports or not. If you're really invested in last sports, 1191 00:59:46,440 --> 00:59:48,640 Speaker 1: this is a tough one. I think ESPN's done a 1192 00:59:48,680 --> 00:59:51,680 Speaker 1: pretty good job. You put some rights on streaming, some 1193 00:59:51,800 --> 00:59:53,280 Speaker 1: on linear, and you kind of have to do a 1194 00:59:53,280 --> 00:59:56,360 Speaker 1: balancing app. But if you don't have sports at this point, 1195 00:59:56,600 --> 00:59:59,200 Speaker 1: the pretty much the biggest strategy is get as much 1196 00:59:59,320 --> 01:00:01,760 Speaker 1: of your content as you can on streaming, whether it's 1197 01:00:01,800 --> 01:00:05,440 Speaker 1: TRU an AD supported streaming venor or subscription. And even 1198 01:00:05,480 --> 01:00:07,600 Speaker 1: if it's not the most profitable part of your business 1199 01:00:07,640 --> 01:00:10,000 Speaker 1: net right now, what you will have done is you 1200 01:00:10,000 --> 01:00:13,480 Speaker 1: will have planted the seeds, have consumer familiar acity, have 1201 01:00:13,600 --> 01:00:16,680 Speaker 1: advertised relationships so that one day when that cable bundle 1202 01:00:16,760 --> 01:00:18,760 Speaker 1: sort of does collapse, so you're at least ready to 1203 01:00:18,800 --> 01:00:21,440 Speaker 1: take on the future. Yeah. I think that's well said. 1204 01:00:21,480 --> 01:00:23,680 Speaker 1: I mean, one of the things that irritated me. I 1205 01:00:23,720 --> 01:00:26,560 Speaker 1: saw some hot takes that were like, oh, you know, 1206 01:00:26,640 --> 01:00:29,960 Speaker 1: subscription based streaming news just doesn't work, And I think 1207 01:00:30,000 --> 01:00:32,240 Speaker 1: we're here to tell you that that's not the case. 1208 01:00:33,520 --> 01:00:37,320 Speaker 1: But you know, it is noteworthy that look, CNN, Fox 1209 01:00:37,400 --> 01:00:41,400 Speaker 1: and MSNBC all have their own streaming efforts. CNN Plus 1210 01:00:41,560 --> 01:00:43,720 Speaker 1: was the highest spend and the splashies roll on and 1211 01:00:43,800 --> 01:00:46,760 Speaker 1: so it got a lot of attention that the numbers weren't, 1212 01:00:46,840 --> 01:00:50,400 Speaker 1: you know, very impressive, and of course it collapsed almost instantly. 1213 01:00:50,840 --> 01:00:53,680 Speaker 1: But the MSNBC streaming service and the Fox News streaming 1214 01:00:53,720 --> 01:00:57,080 Speaker 1: service also don't seem to be exactly doing Gangbusters. So 1215 01:00:57,160 --> 01:00:59,720 Speaker 1: what do you think it is about their formulas that 1216 01:00:59,840 --> 01:01:03,720 Speaker 1: just doesn't seem to have much consumer appealed. I don't 1217 01:01:03,760 --> 01:01:05,920 Speaker 1: know the answer to that because I don't know the numbers. 1218 01:01:06,120 --> 01:01:10,040 Speaker 1: Like Fox has never revealed many people subscribe to Fox Nation, 1219 01:01:10,320 --> 01:01:13,680 Speaker 1: I don't know how many people are viewing MSNBC's Peacock portal. 1220 01:01:13,960 --> 01:01:15,600 Speaker 1: But what I will tell you is you bring up 1221 01:01:15,600 --> 01:01:18,160 Speaker 1: a good point, which is we sort of have this 1222 01:01:18,280 --> 01:01:23,320 Speaker 1: Barbell phenomenon. On one end you have massive scale and 1223 01:01:23,560 --> 01:01:27,400 Speaker 1: really general interest services, and then the other you have niche. 1224 01:01:27,520 --> 01:01:30,200 Speaker 1: And I would put breaking points in Niche Niece is 1225 01:01:30,240 --> 01:01:34,400 Speaker 1: doing excellim. Now, if you can cater to a very high, 1226 01:01:34,520 --> 01:01:37,800 Speaker 1: highly engaged audience, they're going to spend a lot of 1227 01:01:37,840 --> 01:01:39,520 Speaker 1: time with you, They're willing to give you a lot 1228 01:01:39,520 --> 01:01:41,360 Speaker 1: of money, and they're going to be very engaged because 1229 01:01:41,400 --> 01:01:44,200 Speaker 1: they like the very specific thing that you're providing for them. 1230 01:01:44,880 --> 01:01:47,080 Speaker 1: The problem is when you try to hit the middle. 1231 01:01:47,400 --> 01:01:50,280 Speaker 1: If you're not super broad and scaled, or you're not 1232 01:01:50,480 --> 01:01:53,120 Speaker 1: super niche, you're going to have an issue. Now when 1233 01:01:53,160 --> 01:01:57,280 Speaker 1: it comes to interment or leisure. It's pretty understandable where 1234 01:01:57,280 --> 01:02:00,000 Speaker 1: that barbell lies. They're going to be very, very very 1235 01:02:00,200 --> 01:02:04,080 Speaker 1: niche entertainment subscription services that do well. My favorite example 1236 01:02:04,160 --> 01:02:07,200 Speaker 1: is Crunchy Role, which is bought by Sony Theater to 1237 01:02:07,280 --> 01:02:10,280 Speaker 1: anime fans. Great example of the niche service that does well. 1238 01:02:10,680 --> 01:02:13,480 Speaker 1: The problem with news is niece is really hard to 1239 01:02:13,480 --> 01:02:17,400 Speaker 1: figure out. You either lean into personality programming, which you 1240 01:02:17,440 --> 01:02:21,480 Speaker 1: guys aren't necessarily political personality programming. You don't have necessarily 1241 01:02:21,520 --> 01:02:25,360 Speaker 1: a political take, but you do have very strong personalities. 1242 01:02:25,400 --> 01:02:27,440 Speaker 1: I mean, your brands are ones that I've been following 1243 01:02:27,440 --> 01:02:30,520 Speaker 1: since the hilth and people know you as two distinct people, 1244 01:02:30,760 --> 01:02:32,880 Speaker 1: and so that was why I would put you in niche. 1245 01:02:33,160 --> 01:02:35,240 Speaker 1: In the news sector, if you're not B to B, 1246 01:02:35,640 --> 01:02:39,040 Speaker 1: you know, catering to someone's professional news, if you're not 1247 01:02:39,120 --> 01:02:41,800 Speaker 1: sort of personality programming like you guys are, then you 1248 01:02:41,920 --> 01:02:45,080 Speaker 1: have to be massive and broad. And the challenge with 1249 01:02:45,160 --> 01:02:47,640 Speaker 1: CNN is they actually should have been could have been 1250 01:02:47,680 --> 01:02:51,480 Speaker 1: massive and broad, but the way that the subscription streaming 1251 01:02:51,480 --> 01:02:53,800 Speaker 1: service was rolled out, I don't think they had the 1252 01:02:53,800 --> 01:02:56,280 Speaker 1: broadest apeel possible. You could blame that on marketing. You 1253 01:02:56,280 --> 01:02:58,440 Speaker 1: can bring them that on competition. I don't know what 1254 01:02:58,520 --> 01:03:00,560 Speaker 1: it was, but it didn't go as broad as it 1255 01:03:00,560 --> 01:03:02,680 Speaker 1: probably would have needed to have gone. I think that's 1256 01:03:02,680 --> 01:03:06,120 Speaker 1: really very interesting analysis. Sarah, thank you so much. Thank 1257 01:03:06,160 --> 01:03:08,120 Speaker 1: you for the great reporting that we have relied on 1258 01:03:08,200 --> 01:03:10,440 Speaker 1: here on this show many many times. Appreciate it. We 1259 01:03:10,480 --> 01:03:12,440 Speaker 1: rely on you a lot. Everybody goes subscribe to Sarah's 1260 01:03:12,440 --> 01:03:14,320 Speaker 1: newsletter will have a link down there in description. I 1261 01:03:14,400 --> 01:03:16,160 Speaker 1: read it all the time. So thank you very much. 1262 01:03:16,240 --> 01:03:18,600 Speaker 1: We appreciate it. Thank you. I was just going to say, 1263 01:03:18,640 --> 01:03:20,440 Speaker 1: I feel the same way like when I have a 1264 01:03:20,560 --> 01:03:23,120 Speaker 1: question about how real people are thinking about things, I 1265 01:03:23,160 --> 01:03:29,440 Speaker 1: call you Siggert, and so I appreciate it. Well, the 1266 01:03:29,480 --> 01:03:32,720 Speaker 1: appreciation goes both ways. Appreciate it very much. Take care, Sarah. Now. 1267 01:03:32,880 --> 01:03:35,320 Speaker 1: At the same time, though, speaking of people who have 1268 01:03:35,440 --> 01:03:38,720 Speaker 1: this job and who are in the liberal media, these 1269 01:03:38,800 --> 01:03:43,920 Speaker 1: people are freaking out about Elon's acquisition, and specifically about 1270 01:03:43,960 --> 01:03:47,240 Speaker 1: the free speech aspect. As usual, we can count on 1271 01:03:47,400 --> 01:03:50,960 Speaker 1: the one, the only, Brian Stelter for having the absolute 1272 01:03:51,160 --> 01:03:54,680 Speaker 1: worst take possible on this in immediate reaction. Let's take 1273 01:03:54,680 --> 01:03:57,840 Speaker 1: a listen. Look, who knows I think that's a that's 1274 01:03:57,880 --> 01:04:01,200 Speaker 1: a That's an example of a question for Twitter, which 1275 01:04:01,280 --> 01:04:05,400 Speaker 1: is if you if you get invited to something where 1276 01:04:05,400 --> 01:04:09,440 Speaker 1: there are no rules, where there is total freedom everybody, 1277 01:04:09,760 --> 01:04:11,800 Speaker 1: do you actually want to go to that party? Or 1278 01:04:11,880 --> 01:04:13,760 Speaker 1: are you going to decide to stay home? And that's 1279 01:04:13,760 --> 01:04:16,600 Speaker 1: a question for Twitter users. Some Twitter users might love 1280 01:04:16,680 --> 01:04:19,320 Speaker 1: the idea there's going to be absolutely no moderation and 1281 01:04:19,360 --> 01:04:21,400 Speaker 1: no rules at all. Others might not want to be 1282 01:04:21,400 --> 01:04:23,320 Speaker 1: anywhere near that. Am I Am I crazy about? No? No, 1283 01:04:23,320 --> 01:04:25,680 Speaker 1: You're rid? And what happens to the advertising? I mean, 1284 01:04:25,720 --> 01:04:28,800 Speaker 1: if there's no moderation or little moderation to the advertiser, 1285 01:04:28,880 --> 01:04:31,560 Speaker 1: stay away, what does that do to the business prospects 1286 01:04:31,600 --> 01:04:35,680 Speaker 1: for Twitter itself? And that's very much that that party 1287 01:04:35,800 --> 01:04:38,240 Speaker 1: sounds like a banger, Crystal. I don't know. You know, 1288 01:04:38,280 --> 01:04:40,480 Speaker 1: there's one thing when I get invited to a party, 1289 01:04:40,560 --> 01:04:42,440 Speaker 1: the first thing I want to know if there are 1290 01:04:42,480 --> 01:04:45,200 Speaker 1: going to be rules in place, right, because otherwise I'm out? 1291 01:04:45,760 --> 01:04:49,040 Speaker 1: I actually like, I genuinely at this point have affection 1292 01:04:49,120 --> 01:04:52,960 Speaker 1: for Brian's Telter because he is trying so hard, Sager, 1293 01:04:53,040 --> 01:04:57,040 Speaker 1: he is trying so hard. He spent time workshopping this 1294 01:04:57,080 --> 01:05:00,400 Speaker 1: whole party analogy thing in his head, and never once 1295 01:05:00,520 --> 01:05:02,640 Speaker 1: did it occur to him that actually people do want 1296 01:05:02,640 --> 01:05:07,080 Speaker 1: to go to parties. It's silly to start with, because 1297 01:05:07,120 --> 01:05:10,320 Speaker 1: it's not like Twitter's going to have no rules or 1298 01:05:10,320 --> 01:05:13,960 Speaker 1: that there are, you know, no rules already bounding and 1299 01:05:14,000 --> 01:05:17,680 Speaker 1: guiding the limits of free speech. You cannot directly threaten 1300 01:05:17,760 --> 01:05:20,520 Speaker 1: somebody as one, you know example, So it's not like 1301 01:05:20,640 --> 01:05:24,480 Speaker 1: it's going to be completely and crazy and anything, absolutely 1302 01:05:24,520 --> 01:05:28,760 Speaker 1: anything goes. But yeah, the faces around the table, I 1303 01:05:28,760 --> 01:05:30,880 Speaker 1: don't know if you paid attention, they were like ranging 1304 01:05:30,960 --> 01:05:35,520 Speaker 1: from contempt, confusion to just like humoring this poor guy 1305 01:05:35,680 --> 01:05:38,160 Speaker 1: before the other dude actually makes a decent important say. 1306 01:05:38,200 --> 01:05:40,520 Speaker 1: The whole reason that the content moderation is what it 1307 01:05:40,600 --> 01:05:44,040 Speaker 1: is has been to satisfy the advertisers. So if you 1308 01:05:44,160 --> 01:05:47,560 Speaker 1: take that piece out of it, and that's less important, 1309 01:05:47,600 --> 01:05:49,720 Speaker 1: not that it's going to be completely unimportant, but if 1310 01:05:49,720 --> 01:05:52,360 Speaker 1: it's less important and you're actually just trying to figure 1311 01:05:52,360 --> 01:05:55,600 Speaker 1: out what is the right and consistent content moderation pill, 1312 01:05:55,680 --> 01:05:57,640 Speaker 1: you're much more likely to come up with something that 1313 01:05:57,760 --> 01:06:01,280 Speaker 1: is beneficial for everybody. Is just trying to make it 1314 01:06:01,320 --> 01:06:04,880 Speaker 1: safe for a bunch of squeamish corporate advertisers. One hundred percent. 1315 01:06:04,880 --> 01:06:07,400 Speaker 1: And you know you can also keep this with the rest. Also, 1316 01:06:07,440 --> 01:06:08,880 Speaker 1: I love how you put it that way. In Texas, 1317 01:06:08,960 --> 01:06:12,560 Speaker 1: we just say bless your heart, Brian. Yeah, that's exactly 1318 01:06:12,600 --> 01:06:16,200 Speaker 1: the sentiment. It's a sentiment that you're putting forward. Let's 1319 01:06:16,240 --> 01:06:19,400 Speaker 1: put these up there on the screen. Some hilarious ones 1320 01:06:19,760 --> 01:06:23,240 Speaker 1: from our friend Shu. She says today on Twitter feels 1321 01:06:23,280 --> 01:06:26,040 Speaker 1: like the last evening in a Berlin nightclub at the 1322 01:06:26,120 --> 01:06:29,680 Speaker 1: twilight of Wymart, Germany. My god. Another one. I am 1323 01:06:29,720 --> 01:06:32,800 Speaker 1: frightened by the impact on society and politics of Elon 1324 01:06:32,880 --> 01:06:35,880 Speaker 1: Musk acquires Twitter. He seems to believe on social media 1325 01:06:35,920 --> 01:06:39,320 Speaker 1: anything goes. For democracy to survive, we need more content, 1326 01:06:39,520 --> 01:06:43,120 Speaker 1: content moderation, not less. Another if Elon Musk has actually 1327 01:06:43,200 --> 01:06:45,520 Speaker 1: purchased his Twitter, it could result in World War three 1328 01:06:45,840 --> 01:06:50,120 Speaker 1: and the destruction of our planet. And finally, dear Prague Agerwall, 1329 01:06:50,160 --> 01:06:52,280 Speaker 1: if you're reading this right now, the world needs to 1330 01:06:52,320 --> 01:06:55,280 Speaker 1: know you are stronger, smarter, and more tenacious than Elon Musk. 1331 01:06:55,480 --> 01:06:58,000 Speaker 1: He thinks he can beat you. The free world needs 1332 01:06:58,040 --> 01:07:01,240 Speaker 1: to know he is wrong. Yours true, a lifelong and 1333 01:07:01,360 --> 01:07:06,840 Speaker 1: long verified Twitter user. What a loser using your verified status? 1334 01:07:06,880 --> 01:07:10,600 Speaker 1: It's not that cool, bro, trust me. The Verge also 1335 01:07:10,680 --> 01:07:12,960 Speaker 1: came in with a hilarious take. Let's put this up 1336 01:07:12,960 --> 01:07:16,160 Speaker 1: there on the screen. They say how to deactivate your 1337 01:07:16,200 --> 01:07:20,400 Speaker 1: Twitter account, which is just absolutely incredible. Obviously they're one 1338 01:07:20,440 --> 01:07:23,720 Speaker 1: of those tech hall monitor type outlets. Well, and there 1339 01:07:23,720 --> 01:07:27,880 Speaker 1: are plenty of liberals on Twitter who were like, I'm 1340 01:07:27,920 --> 01:07:32,960 Speaker 1: not going to I'm quitting Twitter. Actually Sean King actually 1341 01:07:33,000 --> 01:07:34,800 Speaker 1: did it, which, you know, props to Sean K. Yeah, 1342 01:07:34,920 --> 01:07:37,760 Speaker 1: finally a little bit. He had a big following too, 1343 01:07:37,840 --> 01:07:41,360 Speaker 1: so it's a real loss. But yeah, I mean it's listen, 1344 01:07:42,560 --> 01:07:45,360 Speaker 1: there were so many bad tastes all the way around. 1345 01:07:45,400 --> 01:07:47,840 Speaker 1: I don't know if you also saw this, but Richard Hanania, 1346 01:07:47,840 --> 01:07:49,920 Speaker 1: who is you know, we've had him on the show before. 1347 01:07:49,960 --> 01:07:52,040 Speaker 1: He's like definitely you know, on the right in terms 1348 01:07:52,080 --> 01:07:55,560 Speaker 1: of his politics and definitely not terrified of you on 1349 01:07:55,640 --> 01:08:00,560 Speaker 1: taking over. He tweeted on something sarcastically, Yeah, I mean, 1350 01:08:00,800 --> 01:08:04,880 Speaker 1: like Elon Musk doesn't even have a master. Are we 1351 01:08:04,960 --> 01:08:07,960 Speaker 1: going to trust this man with our democracy? And there 1352 01:08:08,000 --> 01:08:11,040 Speaker 1: were literally thousands of people he thought he was being 1353 01:08:11,080 --> 01:08:13,640 Speaker 1: serial right, and he continued to like in the thread, 1354 01:08:13,680 --> 01:08:16,840 Speaker 1: make it more and more ridiculous and they still did 1355 01:08:16,880 --> 01:08:18,680 Speaker 1: not get the joke. So you had people who just 1356 01:08:18,800 --> 01:08:22,280 Speaker 1: like you know, couldn't see sarcasm where there was obvious sarcasm. 1357 01:08:22,479 --> 01:08:24,719 Speaker 1: You had clearly, you know, the liberals that were highlighting 1358 01:08:24,760 --> 01:08:28,439 Speaker 1: here completely freaking out, who obviously were so much less 1359 01:08:28,439 --> 01:08:31,640 Speaker 1: concerned when Jeff Bezos bought one of the most significant 1360 01:08:31,680 --> 01:08:34,479 Speaker 1: and important news gathering organizations in the entire country, which 1361 01:08:34,479 --> 01:08:37,519 Speaker 1: he still owns. But that was fine, and in fact, 1362 01:08:37,560 --> 01:08:40,559 Speaker 1: not only was it fine, but if you, like Bernie Sanders, 1363 01:08:40,560 --> 01:08:43,480 Speaker 1: do point out that this could be a problem for democracy, 1364 01:08:43,880 --> 01:08:47,599 Speaker 1: you were roundly mocked, shame, disparaged, et cetera, et cetera. 1365 01:08:47,720 --> 01:08:51,120 Speaker 1: How dare you attack our news outlets? So there was, 1366 01:08:51,240 --> 01:08:53,479 Speaker 1: you know, there was that reaction. And then I think 1367 01:08:53,520 --> 01:08:57,080 Speaker 1: there's for the segment of the right that has been 1368 01:08:57,280 --> 01:09:00,160 Speaker 1: rightly concerned about elite power and control, that is, it's 1369 01:09:00,240 --> 01:09:03,840 Speaker 1: just completely celebratory about the idea of handing their fate 1370 01:09:03,880 --> 01:09:05,880 Speaker 1: over to a billionaire that they happen to have more 1371 01:09:05,880 --> 01:09:09,840 Speaker 1: affectionate feelings for, which, again, you know, it's certainly not 1372 01:09:09,920 --> 01:09:12,680 Speaker 1: an answer to our bigger problems. Will it potentially be 1373 01:09:12,720 --> 01:09:15,880 Speaker 1: marginally better, Maybe we'll wait and see. But if you're 1374 01:09:16,000 --> 01:09:18,960 Speaker 1: pinning all your hopes on, like let's have a different 1375 01:09:19,080 --> 01:09:21,760 Speaker 1: better billionaire than I don't think you're going to end 1376 01:09:21,840 --> 01:09:23,439 Speaker 1: up ultimately in a good place. Yeah, I think you're 1377 01:09:23,479 --> 01:09:25,760 Speaker 1: right to try and add some substance to this. It's 1378 01:09:25,760 --> 01:09:28,680 Speaker 1: a really interesting poll that Teddy Scheiffer actually tweeted out 1379 01:09:28,680 --> 01:09:30,519 Speaker 1: over puck News. He does great work. By the way, 1380 01:09:30,600 --> 01:09:32,559 Speaker 1: let's put this up there on the screen, is that 1381 01:09:32,680 --> 01:09:35,960 Speaker 1: there's a poll here highlighted by Data for Progress and 1382 01:09:36,160 --> 01:09:39,200 Speaker 1: at Recode. This is in February of twenty twenty one. 1383 01:09:39,320 --> 01:09:42,240 Speaker 1: Elon Musk is actually very popular across the board, So 1384 01:09:42,600 --> 01:09:46,840 Speaker 1: his favorability and unfavorability for Democrats is fifty two twenty two, 1385 01:09:47,000 --> 01:09:50,720 Speaker 1: meaning he has high favorability and pretty unknown on favorability 1386 01:09:50,840 --> 01:09:53,960 Speaker 1: amongst Republicans is actually favorability is lower, it's forty eight 1387 01:09:54,160 --> 01:09:57,400 Speaker 1: and twenty five. Amongst men it's sixty one sixty six 1388 01:09:57,520 --> 01:10:00,320 Speaker 1: twenty one. Women is thirty seven twenty seven. Don't really 1389 01:10:00,320 --> 01:10:02,599 Speaker 1: have an opinion, it seems amongst young people is very 1390 01:10:02,640 --> 01:10:05,200 Speaker 1: popular fifty four to twenty two and at forty five 1391 01:10:05,200 --> 01:10:07,880 Speaker 1: plus at forty eight to twenty five. So what he 1392 01:10:07,920 --> 01:10:09,680 Speaker 1: says here, and I think is really true. Is the 1393 01:10:09,680 --> 01:10:11,960 Speaker 1: real schism is really not a public opinion on Musk 1394 01:10:12,040 --> 01:10:15,400 Speaker 1: between Democrats and Republicans, it's between men and women. Yeah, 1395 01:10:15,439 --> 01:10:18,880 Speaker 1: that's right. Really when you point out the favorability, I 1396 01:10:18,920 --> 01:10:22,400 Speaker 1: just think it bears repeating that normal people think of 1397 01:10:22,479 --> 01:10:26,280 Speaker 1: Elon in the context of Tesla and the context of SpaceX. 1398 01:10:26,560 --> 01:10:28,559 Speaker 1: They may have seen some of his antics, but they 1399 01:10:28,560 --> 01:10:32,080 Speaker 1: respect him as probably the greatest entrepreneur in the US 1400 01:10:32,200 --> 01:10:34,880 Speaker 1: over the last twenty years, and they don't really think 1401 01:10:34,880 --> 01:10:38,080 Speaker 1: about him beyond the help. That's the thing. Normal people 1402 01:10:38,200 --> 01:10:40,720 Speaker 1: probably just don't think that hard about it, Like I've 1403 01:10:40,720 --> 01:10:44,200 Speaker 1: really he's fine, super evolveview on like all of the 1404 01:10:44,200 --> 01:10:48,439 Speaker 1: things that he's done or said or etc. It is funny. Yeah, 1405 01:10:48,479 --> 01:10:50,600 Speaker 1: it was interesting to me that there was basically no 1406 01:10:50,720 --> 01:10:56,040 Speaker 1: partisan di vibe whatsoever. It was very very closely matched Democrat, 1407 01:10:56,080 --> 01:11:00,519 Speaker 1: Independent and Republican. The big schism was dudes, really of them. 1408 01:11:00,520 --> 01:11:04,200 Speaker 1: Elon Musk comn not so sure and he does, I mean, 1409 01:11:04,280 --> 01:11:06,400 Speaker 1: just as his like public persona. I don't know, there's 1410 01:11:06,439 --> 01:11:11,160 Speaker 1: something about him that's like magical to men, you know, 1411 01:11:11,439 --> 01:11:14,679 Speaker 1: especially young men under the age of let's say fifty 1412 01:11:14,760 --> 01:11:18,280 Speaker 1: or forty or something. Like that. That is definitely where 1413 01:11:18,320 --> 01:11:21,360 Speaker 1: his key demo and his like core superpowers live. Well, 1414 01:11:21,400 --> 01:11:23,040 Speaker 1: he's like a teenager in a lot of ways. I 1415 01:11:23,040 --> 01:11:25,200 Speaker 1: mean that's kind of how he behaves. Yeah, I mean 1416 01:11:25,240 --> 01:11:27,240 Speaker 1: he's very childlike. If you read his like I said, 1417 01:11:27,240 --> 01:11:29,559 Speaker 1: he reads biography, he literally talks about he's like his 1418 01:11:29,680 --> 01:11:32,599 Speaker 1: dream was to be a wizard whenever he was a child. 1419 01:11:33,040 --> 01:11:35,599 Speaker 1: He had a very tough childhood, to be fair, apparently 1420 01:11:35,640 --> 01:11:37,600 Speaker 1: his dad was kind of a psycho and really I 1421 01:11:37,600 --> 01:11:39,519 Speaker 1: didn't treat him very well, him and his brother, and 1422 01:11:39,800 --> 01:11:42,559 Speaker 1: put a lot of Sure, you should go and read 1423 01:11:42,560 --> 01:11:45,320 Speaker 1: the book. He was not treated well. Apparently was very 1424 01:11:45,360 --> 01:11:47,920 Speaker 1: emotionally abusive as a father. But really what they put 1425 01:11:47,960 --> 01:11:50,280 Speaker 1: it into him is he was he was a huge nerd. 1426 01:11:50,320 --> 01:11:51,720 Speaker 1: I mean, that's really the only thing that comes out 1427 01:11:51,760 --> 01:11:53,640 Speaker 1: of it. He was bullied terribly whenever it was in 1428 01:11:53,720 --> 01:11:56,000 Speaker 1: high school. It was obsessed with computer games and coding, 1429 01:11:56,040 --> 01:11:58,240 Speaker 1: and that's why he became the computer scientist that he 1430 01:11:58,280 --> 01:12:00,559 Speaker 1: eventually became. But what you learn about him is that 1431 01:12:00,640 --> 01:12:04,160 Speaker 1: he's quite an impulsive person. He's a lot like a child. 1432 01:12:04,600 --> 01:12:07,040 Speaker 1: He said, his dream and now that he's a billionaire, 1433 01:12:07,080 --> 01:12:09,240 Speaker 1: is to be as much like a wizard as possible 1434 01:12:09,360 --> 01:12:12,360 Speaker 1: whenever he was interviewed most recently. So I think that's 1435 01:12:12,360 --> 01:12:14,360 Speaker 1: why it appeals to like the I mean, look at 1436 01:12:14,360 --> 01:12:16,080 Speaker 1: the end of the day, that the man did manifest 1437 01:12:16,320 --> 01:12:18,519 Speaker 1: several of his actual visions, which is a lot more 1438 01:12:18,560 --> 01:12:21,040 Speaker 1: than many people can say in life. So I think 1439 01:12:21,080 --> 01:12:23,559 Speaker 1: that you point to an interesting phenomenon there about what 1440 01:12:23,640 --> 01:12:26,880 Speaker 1: the actual divide is and probably why where it actually 1441 01:12:26,880 --> 01:12:29,880 Speaker 1: cuts ideologically, But it just points to the fact that 1442 01:12:30,120 --> 01:12:33,720 Speaker 1: these liberal, you know, media folks, the establishment types, are 1443 01:12:33,760 --> 01:12:35,800 Speaker 1: just so freaked out because I think at the end 1444 01:12:35,800 --> 01:12:37,960 Speaker 1: of the day, they know that their ability to pressure 1445 01:12:38,000 --> 01:12:41,000 Speaker 1: Twitter in order to censor exactly as they want is over. 1446 01:12:41,360 --> 01:12:44,160 Speaker 1: And that is where the real power that they've had 1447 01:12:44,160 --> 01:12:46,880 Speaker 1: over the last several years has come from. Well, they 1448 01:12:46,920 --> 01:12:51,040 Speaker 1: have this whole ideology that the way to combat ideas 1449 01:12:51,040 --> 01:12:53,720 Speaker 1: that they consider to be bad or dangerous ideas is 1450 01:12:53,800 --> 01:12:57,040 Speaker 1: just to shut them out, to censor them, you know, 1451 01:12:57,080 --> 01:12:59,960 Speaker 1: push them out of polite society, and that you know. 1452 01:13:00,000 --> 01:13:02,800 Speaker 1: So I think there's a genuine fear and belief that 1453 01:13:03,320 --> 01:13:05,400 Speaker 1: like that's the way that we can keep this whole 1454 01:13:05,400 --> 01:13:08,280 Speaker 1: thing together. I just happened to think that's not only wrong, 1455 01:13:08,439 --> 01:13:12,040 Speaker 1: but extremely counterproductive and leads you down the path of 1456 01:13:12,120 --> 01:13:14,920 Speaker 1: ultimately destroying the democracy that you think you're trying to protect. 1457 01:13:15,400 --> 01:13:20,160 Speaker 1: And so their ideology depends on the ability to you know, 1458 01:13:20,360 --> 01:13:23,599 Speaker 1: to have their ideology reinforced and have people who don't 1459 01:13:23,640 --> 01:13:25,720 Speaker 1: agree with that pushed out of the public square. So 1460 01:13:26,240 --> 01:13:28,639 Speaker 1: I think that's why there's such a free count here 1461 01:13:28,800 --> 01:13:31,720 Speaker 1: versus you know, what is Jeff Bezos, who is definitely 1462 01:13:31,760 --> 01:13:34,360 Speaker 1: not on the left in any meaningful sense, but is 1463 01:13:34,400 --> 01:13:37,200 Speaker 1: going to be anti Trump, is going to be you know, 1464 01:13:37,280 --> 01:13:39,839 Speaker 1: with them more or less when it comes to social issues. 1465 01:13:40,400 --> 01:13:44,200 Speaker 1: They didn't perceive that as a threat, even though you know, 1466 01:13:44,280 --> 01:13:47,920 Speaker 1: anyone who's being consistent here should just see that billionaires 1467 01:13:47,960 --> 01:13:52,120 Speaker 1: controlling our news, gathering, our public squares is a big 1468 01:13:52,160 --> 01:13:55,000 Speaker 1: problem in society, whether you happen to be comfortable with 1469 01:13:55,040 --> 01:13:59,400 Speaker 1: that billionaire or not. I saw another poll similar to 1470 01:14:00,280 --> 01:14:03,960 Speaker 1: this data for progress Pole that actually was an internal 1471 01:14:04,040 --> 01:14:07,400 Speaker 1: poll of Twitter employees. Yeah, because a lot of the 1472 01:14:07,800 --> 01:14:10,360 Speaker 1: narrative around Twitter employees is like they're freaking out, Oh 1473 01:14:10,439 --> 01:14:12,240 Speaker 1: my god, they hate Elin and they can't you know, 1474 01:14:12,320 --> 01:14:14,439 Speaker 1: they were so worried about he's going to destroy Twitter 1475 01:14:14,439 --> 01:14:17,320 Speaker 1: et cetera, et cetera. And I don't doubt that because, 1476 01:14:17,360 --> 01:14:19,280 Speaker 1: like you said, they're likely to be layoffs and they're 1477 01:14:19,320 --> 01:14:21,240 Speaker 1: not sure what this means for their stockholdings, and is 1478 01:14:21,240 --> 01:14:23,200 Speaker 1: the headquarters are even going to stay in San Francisco 1479 01:14:23,240 --> 01:14:24,560 Speaker 1: and are they going to be able to continue to 1480 01:14:24,560 --> 01:14:26,320 Speaker 1: work from home. I don't doubt that there are a 1481 01:14:26,360 --> 01:14:30,200 Speaker 1: lot of concerns and angst around what it means literally 1482 01:14:30,280 --> 01:14:32,439 Speaker 1: for them and their livelihoods in their day to day. 1483 01:14:32,880 --> 01:14:36,360 Speaker 1: But in terms of sentiment around elon this particular poll, 1484 01:14:36,600 --> 01:14:40,400 Speaker 1: internally it was completely divided. You had, you know, an 1485 01:14:40,479 --> 01:14:43,240 Speaker 1: equal amount that liked him, an equal amount that didn't 1486 01:14:43,320 --> 01:14:45,439 Speaker 1: like him, and a group in the middle that was like, ah, 1487 01:14:45,600 --> 01:14:47,840 Speaker 1: not sure, we'll see. My guess would be that the 1488 01:14:47,880 --> 01:14:50,960 Speaker 1: technologists and the engineers are probably the ones who are 1489 01:14:50,960 --> 01:14:53,120 Speaker 1: most excited about him because they're more familiar with what 1490 01:14:53,160 --> 01:14:55,599 Speaker 1: he did a tessela IT SpaceX. And my guess would 1491 01:14:55,640 --> 01:14:57,720 Speaker 1: be that the like that lady who went on Joe 1492 01:14:57,800 --> 01:14:59,880 Speaker 1: Rogan's podcast of a jay Agade, the head of Like 1493 01:15:00,080 --> 01:15:01,920 Speaker 1: Us to Safety, is probably freaking out because I hope 1494 01:15:01,920 --> 01:15:04,280 Speaker 1: that she gets fired. That's exactly the people. Those are 1495 01:15:04,280 --> 01:15:06,880 Speaker 1: the people who are the chief sensors. So the I 1496 01:15:06,880 --> 01:15:09,639 Speaker 1: would split the company into like, the technologists are probably 1497 01:15:09,680 --> 01:15:14,320 Speaker 1: excited about Elon, and then the hr industrial diversity, industrial 1498 01:15:14,320 --> 01:15:16,880 Speaker 1: complex within the company is the ones who are freaking 1499 01:15:16,920 --> 01:15:19,200 Speaker 1: out the most. But look, maybe I'm wrong. I mean, 1500 01:15:19,200 --> 01:15:21,599 Speaker 1: because you could also imagine a scenario where the people 1501 01:15:21,600 --> 01:15:24,280 Speaker 1: who are involved in content moderation have hated the fact 1502 01:15:24,320 --> 01:15:28,640 Speaker 1: that they've been constrained by corporate advertisers and their concerns. 1503 01:15:28,640 --> 01:15:30,920 Speaker 1: So who knows what the breakdown is. But I did 1504 01:15:30,920 --> 01:15:34,320 Speaker 1: find that interesting that the internal sentiments around him we're 1505 01:15:34,400 --> 01:15:37,240 Speaker 1: not We're actually very evenly divided, at least according to 1506 01:15:37,280 --> 01:15:38,559 Speaker 1: this point. Yeah, I think a lesson of the show 1507 01:15:38,600 --> 01:15:40,240 Speaker 1: is always as things are a lot more complicated than 1508 01:15:40,240 --> 01:15:42,000 Speaker 1: people think. Okay, let's move on. This is a very 1509 01:15:42,040 --> 01:15:44,920 Speaker 1: important report here. Let's put it up there on the screen, 1510 01:15:45,240 --> 01:15:49,520 Speaker 1: which is interestingly enough, says how US Saudi relations reached 1511 01:15:49,600 --> 01:15:52,400 Speaker 1: the breaking as to why we're naming this show what 1512 01:15:52,439 --> 01:15:55,360 Speaker 1: it is. What they point to here is that Saudi 1513 01:15:55,479 --> 01:16:01,360 Speaker 1: Prince MBS confronted Jake Sherman, the nationals Security Advisor of 1514 01:16:01,479 --> 01:16:05,000 Speaker 1: the United States, and began yelling at him. And what's 1515 01:16:05,160 --> 01:16:09,040 Speaker 1: very important in this report is that Saudi Prince MBS 1516 01:16:09,080 --> 01:16:13,000 Speaker 1: basically said we will never speak about this again. Now. 1517 01:16:13,320 --> 01:16:18,640 Speaker 1: He was so so upset about mister Sullivan that he 1518 01:16:18,840 --> 01:16:22,439 Speaker 1: shouted at him and basically said that he would be 1519 01:16:22,479 --> 01:16:25,120 Speaker 1: banishing for him from the room and that the US 1520 01:16:25,240 --> 01:16:29,720 Speaker 1: could forget about its request to boost oil production. So 1521 01:16:30,200 --> 01:16:33,000 Speaker 1: that is the significant part of all of this, which 1522 01:16:33,040 --> 01:16:35,840 Speaker 1: is that whenever, and also I love the description he 1523 01:16:35,960 --> 01:16:39,640 Speaker 1: was wearing shorts yes seaside palace or he felt was 1524 01:16:39,800 --> 01:16:42,519 Speaker 1: very disrespectful. Of course, right, this is how they this 1525 01:16:42,600 --> 01:16:45,040 Speaker 1: is how they played. This is alpha move. Like I 1526 01:16:45,040 --> 01:16:46,599 Speaker 1: don't even have to get dressed up for you. I'm 1527 01:16:46,600 --> 01:16:48,320 Speaker 1: just going to be here relaxing in my show. I 1528 01:16:48,400 --> 01:16:51,200 Speaker 1: have heard stories about MBS and about the way that 1529 01:16:51,240 --> 01:16:53,920 Speaker 1: he would treat US diplomats and like he would specifically 1530 01:16:53,960 --> 01:16:56,080 Speaker 1: make them come on his yacht or whatever in the 1531 01:16:56,080 --> 01:16:58,559 Speaker 1: south of France in order to show his fake Mona 1532 01:16:58,600 --> 01:17:03,840 Speaker 1: Lisa or his fake Leonard and try and pull all 1533 01:17:03,880 --> 01:17:06,600 Speaker 1: of these meetings. That's another story for another time. But 1534 01:17:06,880 --> 01:17:09,519 Speaker 1: I think that the important part is that shouting at 1535 01:17:09,600 --> 01:17:14,040 Speaker 1: him and specifically tying any criticism on the Jamal Kashogi 1536 01:17:14,120 --> 01:17:17,679 Speaker 1: killing to US oil production just shows the Saudis demand 1537 01:17:17,800 --> 01:17:21,160 Speaker 1: total subservience from the Americans. We are supposed to do 1538 01:17:21,360 --> 01:17:23,800 Speaker 1: anything that they want. Oh they want our weapons, give 1539 01:17:23,800 --> 01:17:25,920 Speaker 1: it to them. Don't say a damn thing about Yemen. 1540 01:17:26,000 --> 01:17:28,200 Speaker 1: If you talk about Yemen, you're done. This is one 1541 01:17:28,240 --> 01:17:30,479 Speaker 1: of those things which is an absolute redline for them. 1542 01:17:30,520 --> 01:17:34,080 Speaker 1: Oh you want to talk about Jamal Kashoge, Oh it's over. 1543 01:17:34,200 --> 01:17:36,040 Speaker 1: We are never going to have this discussion, and you 1544 01:17:36,080 --> 01:17:38,880 Speaker 1: can forget about it. And it's a problem because they 1545 01:17:38,960 --> 01:17:42,600 Speaker 1: have the basically one of the only OPEC nations that 1546 01:17:42,680 --> 01:17:45,679 Speaker 1: are able in order to immediately spin up production. Because 1547 01:17:45,720 --> 01:17:48,479 Speaker 1: we've talked about here, America is a major, you know, 1548 01:17:48,800 --> 01:17:52,640 Speaker 1: oil producing nation in its own right, but our infrastructure 1549 01:17:52,680 --> 01:17:55,000 Speaker 1: is not such that it would take six to nine 1550 01:17:55,040 --> 01:17:57,000 Speaker 1: months in order to make sure that we want to. 1551 01:17:57,080 --> 01:18:00,519 Speaker 1: The Saudis could pump more tomorrow now, can complete over 1552 01:18:00,600 --> 01:18:02,799 Speaker 1: this history, and they have total control over the industry. 1553 01:18:02,800 --> 01:18:04,519 Speaker 1: And they've even said they're like, oh, yeah, we can 1554 01:18:04,560 --> 01:18:06,240 Speaker 1: do it. Well, we're not going to They've agreed to 1555 01:18:06,280 --> 01:18:09,320 Speaker 1: a quote modest increase, and you can just see the 1556 01:18:09,360 --> 01:18:12,439 Speaker 1: economic effect that this is having on all Americans. Let's 1557 01:18:12,439 --> 01:18:14,000 Speaker 1: put this up there. I had this cut from the 1558 01:18:14,040 --> 01:18:17,519 Speaker 1: triple a gas price national average, I mean the national 1559 01:18:17,560 --> 01:18:20,519 Speaker 1: average of gas as we cut this was four dollars 1560 01:18:20,640 --> 01:18:23,280 Speaker 1: and twelve cents a gallon. That's a lot of money. Okay, 1561 01:18:23,320 --> 01:18:26,640 Speaker 1: It's not four fifty four thirty like it was a 1562 01:18:26,680 --> 01:18:28,559 Speaker 1: couple of months ago. So that Yeah, the hot the 1563 01:18:28,600 --> 01:18:31,799 Speaker 1: all time high it recorded was four dollars and thirty 1564 01:18:31,800 --> 01:18:34,080 Speaker 1: three cents a gallon, which was last month. But I 1565 01:18:34,080 --> 01:18:36,720 Speaker 1: mean it's only dropped by twenty cents. That's still an 1566 01:18:36,880 --> 01:18:40,560 Speaker 1: enormous tax on the average American. In California, Crystal, the 1567 01:18:40,600 --> 01:18:43,519 Speaker 1: average price is five dollars and sixty eight cents a gallon. 1568 01:18:43,760 --> 01:18:47,440 Speaker 1: I mean, the lowest prices are in the three seventies, 1569 01:18:47,479 --> 01:18:51,320 Speaker 1: three sixties in the South and in the Southwest, but 1570 01:18:51,720 --> 01:18:54,519 Speaker 1: here also in the DMV. I get lucky if I 1571 01:18:54,560 --> 01:18:57,160 Speaker 1: get four dollars twelve cents a gallon, which is the 1572 01:18:57,200 --> 01:18:59,720 Speaker 1: national average. I mean, that is an immense amount of 1573 01:18:59,720 --> 01:19:03,839 Speaker 1: money that Americans are outlaying every week to these oil companies. 1574 01:19:03,880 --> 01:19:07,400 Speaker 1: And because specifically of the Saudis. Yeah, although the truth 1575 01:19:07,760 --> 01:19:10,280 Speaker 1: is at this point it has there was a time 1576 01:19:10,320 --> 01:19:12,640 Speaker 1: when I had a lot to do with the Saudis 1577 01:19:12,960 --> 01:19:16,720 Speaker 1: withholding production and basically serving you know, as Russian that's 1578 01:19:16,760 --> 01:19:18,439 Speaker 1: what the Russians want them to do. And there were 1579 01:19:18,479 --> 01:19:21,000 Speaker 1: all these little like diplomatic slights of the White House 1580 01:19:21,040 --> 01:19:22,920 Speaker 1: was trying to line up a phone call with MBAs, 1581 01:19:22,920 --> 01:19:25,400 Speaker 1: they kept pushing them off. Ultimately they cancel, and then 1582 01:19:25,400 --> 01:19:27,280 Speaker 1: the very next day is taking a call with Putin. 1583 01:19:27,560 --> 01:19:29,519 Speaker 1: So there's all kinds of that kind of stuff that's 1584 01:19:29,560 --> 01:19:33,040 Speaker 1: ultimately going on here. But you know, oil prices per 1585 01:19:33,080 --> 01:19:37,200 Speaker 1: barrel have dropped a lot, not thanks to anything that 1586 01:19:37,439 --> 01:19:39,639 Speaker 1: Biden or anyone else has done, but because of the 1587 01:19:39,720 --> 01:19:44,000 Speaker 1: new lockdowns in China, you know, curbing demands significantly. And 1588 01:19:44,080 --> 01:19:47,120 Speaker 1: as we covered here before on this show, the sad 1589 01:19:47,200 --> 01:19:50,040 Speaker 1: fact of the matter is that when oil prices by 1590 01:19:50,040 --> 01:19:53,519 Speaker 1: the barrel go up, gas prices skyrocket immediately. But when 1591 01:19:53,560 --> 01:19:55,840 Speaker 1: they go down again, it takes a long time for 1592 01:19:55,920 --> 01:19:58,360 Speaker 1: them to come back down because all of the like 1593 01:19:59,120 --> 01:20:01,519 Speaker 1: gas station opera are trying to make what they can 1594 01:20:02,120 --> 01:20:04,519 Speaker 1: and benefit from the distance between what they're paying for 1595 01:20:05,080 --> 01:20:07,040 Speaker 1: oil and what they can charge you at the pump. 1596 01:20:07,120 --> 01:20:09,080 Speaker 1: So I just want to be clear, there's like a 1597 01:20:09,080 --> 01:20:12,360 Speaker 1: complex picture of why gas prices continue to be high 1598 01:20:12,439 --> 01:20:15,280 Speaker 1: right now. But the more important point here about the 1599 01:20:15,320 --> 01:20:19,160 Speaker 1: Saudis is listen, I want to see our country have 1600 01:20:19,400 --> 01:20:23,000 Speaker 1: good relations around the world period, even with regimes that 1601 01:20:23,120 --> 01:20:26,000 Speaker 1: I don't particularly care for, and that definitely includes the 1602 01:20:26,040 --> 01:20:29,320 Speaker 1: Saudi regime, which has been extraordinarily nefarious, which you know, 1603 01:20:29,400 --> 01:20:32,000 Speaker 1: the war in Yemen has been a moral atrocity that 1604 01:20:32,000 --> 01:20:36,679 Speaker 1: we have been completely complicit in. However, in the while 1605 01:20:36,680 --> 01:20:38,559 Speaker 1: in the micro it has caused some pain at the 1606 01:20:38,600 --> 01:20:41,439 Speaker 1: pump for American consumers that I do not want to diminish. 1607 01:20:41,560 --> 01:20:44,240 Speaker 1: In the macro, us having a more arms light distance 1608 01:20:44,240 --> 01:20:47,599 Speaker 1: from Saudi Arabia is a good thing. And you know, 1609 01:20:47,640 --> 01:20:51,520 Speaker 1: it's interesting what it happened over because you had progressives 1610 01:20:51,560 --> 01:20:54,599 Speaker 1: who were kind of out on their own making the kit, 1611 01:20:54,640 --> 01:20:56,800 Speaker 1: and some other civil libertarians who I want to give 1612 01:20:56,800 --> 01:20:59,559 Speaker 1: credit to exactly who were kind of out on their 1613 01:20:59,600 --> 01:21:02,640 Speaker 1: own with regards to the Yemen war and trying to 1614 01:21:02,640 --> 01:21:06,240 Speaker 1: take a stand there. And then it was once the 1615 01:21:06,320 --> 01:21:11,439 Speaker 1: Jamal Kashogi killing happened that really started to galvanize public 1616 01:21:11,479 --> 01:21:16,640 Speaker 1: opinion and bipartisan sentiment, including with mainstream Democrats against the 1617 01:21:16,680 --> 01:21:19,679 Speaker 1: Saudi regime. And that really did serve as a kind 1618 01:21:19,680 --> 01:21:23,280 Speaker 1: of a tipping point. So it's revealing here that it 1619 01:21:23,360 --> 01:21:27,280 Speaker 1: was those comments from Jake Sullivan bringing up Kaushogi that 1620 01:21:27,439 --> 01:21:31,519 Speaker 1: causes MBS to totally freak out and scream at him 1621 01:21:32,200 --> 01:21:35,880 Speaker 1: because you know, it's look, it was horrific what they 1622 01:21:35,880 --> 01:21:39,440 Speaker 1: did to Kushogi. But that's only one of many abuses 1623 01:21:39,479 --> 01:21:42,160 Speaker 1: that we should be concerned about the day from the 1624 01:21:42,200 --> 01:21:45,760 Speaker 1: Saudi government. But that was the thing that really sort 1625 01:21:45,760 --> 01:21:50,280 Speaker 1: of turned American public opinion and elite political opinion and 1626 01:21:50,320 --> 01:21:53,320 Speaker 1: cause them to question what this relationship with Saudi was 1627 01:21:53,360 --> 01:21:55,479 Speaker 1: ultimately like. So I do think that that was kind 1628 01:21:55,520 --> 01:21:57,400 Speaker 1: of a pivot point in this relationship. Yeah, and we 1629 01:21:57,400 --> 01:21:59,599 Speaker 1: shouldn't dismiss this side of those with this up there 1630 01:21:59,720 --> 01:22:02,839 Speaker 1: from Bloomberg rising oil prices, this is just from yesterday. 1631 01:22:02,920 --> 01:22:05,000 Speaker 1: They are a boon to the Saudi economy. I mean, 1632 01:22:05,080 --> 01:22:07,280 Speaker 1: they are making bank in a way that they have 1633 01:22:07,400 --> 01:22:09,880 Speaker 1: not made in a long time. The IMF set its 1634 01:22:09,960 --> 01:22:12,880 Speaker 1: estimate for the country's economic growth is going up by 1635 01:22:13,000 --> 01:22:16,759 Speaker 1: three percentage points to seven point six percent. That's China 1636 01:22:16,960 --> 01:22:20,879 Speaker 1: level growth for a country that produces and does nothing 1637 01:22:21,040 --> 01:22:25,280 Speaker 1: but pump oil. That's in pretty amazing. Despite all of 1638 01:22:25,320 --> 01:22:27,840 Speaker 1: their propaganda about all their other fake business that they have. 1639 01:22:27,960 --> 01:22:29,599 Speaker 1: They're an oil country and they'll continue to be an 1640 01:22:29,600 --> 01:22:32,040 Speaker 1: oil country until the day that it runs out. And 1641 01:22:32,120 --> 01:22:34,240 Speaker 1: the reason it matters is because they don't have a 1642 01:22:34,240 --> 01:22:36,000 Speaker 1: whole lot of incentive here. The only reason that they 1643 01:22:36,040 --> 01:22:39,560 Speaker 1: would do so is through some sort of diplomatic diplomatic 1644 01:22:39,560 --> 01:22:41,599 Speaker 1: agreement with the United States in order to drop oil. 1645 01:22:41,640 --> 01:22:43,479 Speaker 1: And they know that they have us over a barrel. 1646 01:22:43,479 --> 01:22:46,080 Speaker 1: And what's worse is that they have great relationship with 1647 01:22:46,160 --> 01:22:49,639 Speaker 1: Jared Kushner because they are banking that a return from 1648 01:22:49,640 --> 01:22:52,120 Speaker 1: the Kushner and Trump regime would make it so that 1649 01:22:52,160 --> 01:22:53,559 Speaker 1: it would be great for them. They're like, this is 1650 01:22:53,560 --> 01:22:55,880 Speaker 1: the real foreigner interference that people should be talking perc 1651 01:22:56,080 --> 01:22:58,040 Speaker 1: Ken Clippentein's been saying that for a while too, by 1652 01:22:58,040 --> 01:23:00,519 Speaker 1: the way, which is absolutely foreign interference. Same thing whenever 1653 01:23:00,600 --> 01:23:02,400 Speaker 1: China would do the you know, spot they'd try and 1654 01:23:02,479 --> 01:23:05,639 Speaker 1: raise spot prices for agricultural goods in the Midwest ahead 1655 01:23:05,640 --> 01:23:07,720 Speaker 1: of the election because they were upset about tariffs. So 1656 01:23:07,760 --> 01:23:09,759 Speaker 1: these are the types of foreign interference with the country 1657 01:23:09,840 --> 01:23:12,639 Speaker 1: the media never wants to actually talk about, but has 1658 01:23:13,000 --> 01:23:16,599 Speaker 1: very real political ramifications here in the US. We should 1659 01:23:16,600 --> 01:23:18,519 Speaker 1: all just be aware. Look like, no matter how what 1660 01:23:18,560 --> 01:23:20,360 Speaker 1: you think, I don't want to be screwed with by 1661 01:23:20,400 --> 01:23:22,600 Speaker 1: the people who are probably more responsible for nine to 1662 01:23:22,640 --> 01:23:25,720 Speaker 1: eleven than anybody but Osama bin Laden. And you know, 1663 01:23:25,880 --> 01:23:28,000 Speaker 1: it's disgusting that we've been kissing their ass for the 1664 01:23:28,080 --> 01:23:31,920 Speaker 1: last twenty years and allowing all of this Saudi cash 1665 01:23:32,040 --> 01:23:34,680 Speaker 1: swimming around in our country, even the Twitter deal. We 1666 01:23:34,720 --> 01:23:38,759 Speaker 1: talked about that with Elon going against the Kingdom Holding Company. 1667 01:23:38,920 --> 01:23:40,400 Speaker 1: I mean, by the way, I'm aware that the Kingdom 1668 01:23:40,439 --> 01:23:42,640 Speaker 1: Holding Company does not actually tied to the Kingdom, But 1669 01:23:42,840 --> 01:23:45,120 Speaker 1: if you think that that Prince isn't directly subject to 1670 01:23:45,120 --> 01:23:47,960 Speaker 1: the whims of NBS, given that he was literally imprisoned 1671 01:23:48,000 --> 01:23:50,720 Speaker 1: by NBS, then you're an idiot. And I just think 1672 01:23:50,760 --> 01:23:53,840 Speaker 1: that we should not allow the Saudi royal family members 1673 01:23:53,920 --> 01:23:56,680 Speaker 1: or rich people to throw any weight around in this 1674 01:23:56,720 --> 01:23:59,799 Speaker 1: country whatsoever. And this ties to you know, my conversations 1675 01:23:59,840 --> 01:24:03,520 Speaker 1: right nuclear and all of that, and why exactly that's necessary. 1676 01:24:03,560 --> 01:24:05,479 Speaker 1: But you can just look at this and it's really 1677 01:24:05,520 --> 01:24:08,559 Speaker 1: gross that they are printing money hand or fists. They're 1678 01:24:08,600 --> 01:24:11,320 Speaker 1: screwing with us, and we continue to sell them weapons 1679 01:24:11,400 --> 01:24:14,240 Speaker 1: and give them preferential treatment in the diplomatic world. They 1680 01:24:14,240 --> 01:24:16,160 Speaker 1: don't deserve it. Screw them, yes, So we should say 1681 01:24:16,240 --> 01:24:18,519 Speaker 1: that's a part of the Biden administration that's been really 1682 01:24:18,560 --> 01:24:22,479 Speaker 1: pathetic is even after some of these displays of contempt, 1683 01:24:22,800 --> 01:24:25,360 Speaker 1: they still are doing what they want them to do, 1684 01:24:25,520 --> 01:24:27,559 Speaker 1: thinking that like, oh well, maybe if we appease them 1685 01:24:27,560 --> 01:24:29,160 Speaker 1: a little bit more and give them what they want, 1686 01:24:29,240 --> 01:24:32,639 Speaker 1: then they'll lessen their hostile posture. This Wall Street Journal 1687 01:24:32,800 --> 01:24:35,000 Speaker 1: report that we started this block with admits that the 1688 01:24:35,040 --> 01:24:38,040 Speaker 1: administration they aren't even bothering to ask anymore for them 1689 01:24:38,080 --> 01:24:40,080 Speaker 1: to lift production because they've just given up on it 1690 01:24:40,160 --> 01:24:44,120 Speaker 1: ultimately being a possibility. That's how you know, that's how 1691 01:24:44,160 --> 01:24:46,960 Speaker 1: intransigen ultimately and arrogant I think the Saudi regime is. 1692 01:24:46,960 --> 01:24:52,640 Speaker 1: At this point. Let's get too Sager's part in this 1693 01:24:52,760 --> 01:24:55,439 Speaker 1: whole saga. Go ahead, throw this element out there on 1694 01:24:55,479 --> 01:24:58,960 Speaker 1: the screen. So as I was just saying, these executives 1695 01:24:59,000 --> 01:25:01,599 Speaker 1: really deserve a lot of screw, and so Sager on 1696 01:25:01,640 --> 01:25:05,599 Speaker 1: Twitter provided a little bit of that scrutiny, saying, Vajia 1697 01:25:05,720 --> 01:25:08,960 Speaker 1: Gaddy is that asser listening? The top censorship advocate at 1698 01:25:08,960 --> 01:25:11,679 Speaker 1: Twitter who famously gas led the world on Joe Rogan's 1699 01:25:11,680 --> 01:25:14,720 Speaker 1: podcast True and Censored. The Hunter Biden laptop story is 1700 01:25:14,880 --> 01:25:17,439 Speaker 1: very upset about the Elon must takeover, and he includes 1701 01:25:17,439 --> 01:25:20,200 Speaker 1: in there a Politico story that says Twitter's top lawyer 1702 01:25:20,240 --> 01:25:23,680 Speaker 1: reassures staff and cries during meeting about most takeover. This 1703 01:25:23,800 --> 01:25:26,720 Speaker 1: is reporting from Politico, Okay, this is like he's just 1704 01:25:27,240 --> 01:25:29,839 Speaker 1: showing the world what happened here and having some commentary 1705 01:25:29,840 --> 01:25:32,479 Speaker 1: about it. I can't stand Vijia Gotte. Haven't been able 1706 01:25:32,520 --> 01:25:35,600 Speaker 1: to stand her since twenty eighteen when she appeared on 1707 01:25:35,640 --> 01:25:38,719 Speaker 1: The Joe Rogan Experience with Jack Dorsey spent ninety percent 1708 01:25:38,800 --> 01:25:41,080 Speaker 1: of the time gaslighting all of us and Tim Poole 1709 01:25:41,080 --> 01:25:43,880 Speaker 1: as well about the censorship policies over there. So I 1710 01:25:43,920 --> 01:25:45,720 Speaker 1: found it amusing, and I'm going to talk about this 1711 01:25:45,720 --> 01:25:49,080 Speaker 1: in my monologue. Was it mean? Yeah, okay, okay, but 1712 01:25:49,160 --> 01:25:50,840 Speaker 1: it was me. I won't even defend you that pick 1713 01:25:50,920 --> 01:25:52,840 Speaker 1: us back up on the screen. This is not even 1714 01:25:52,880 --> 01:25:56,160 Speaker 1: that mean. Okay, I agree, but I'm the standards of Twitter. 1715 01:25:56,240 --> 01:25:58,200 Speaker 1: I actually think you're being a little too hard on yourself. 1716 01:25:58,240 --> 01:25:59,800 Speaker 1: Put that part back up on the screen, because you've 1717 01:25:59,800 --> 01:26:01,840 Speaker 1: got another part. We've got it. Get here. So you say, 1718 01:26:01,880 --> 01:26:04,439 Speaker 1: she famously gasled world true. Since with the Hunter Biden 1719 01:26:04,520 --> 01:26:09,200 Speaker 1: laptop story, true is very upset also true, just completely factual, 1720 01:26:09,520 --> 01:26:12,320 Speaker 1: point by point based on the reporting from Politico. So 1721 01:26:12,360 --> 01:26:15,160 Speaker 1: then something very unexpected happens. I did not expect this. 1722 01:26:15,400 --> 01:26:19,040 Speaker 1: Elon Musk himself replies and says, also in a pretty 1723 01:26:19,080 --> 01:26:22,400 Speaker 1: neutral Tony Haurry, suspending the Twitter account of a major 1724 01:26:22,439 --> 01:26:27,400 Speaker 1: news organization for publishing a truthful story was obviously incredibly inappropriate. 1725 01:26:27,439 --> 01:26:29,960 Speaker 1: And I don't know who at this point really disagrees 1726 01:26:30,000 --> 01:26:32,760 Speaker 1: with who can disagree with that? I couldn't believe it. 1727 01:26:32,880 --> 01:26:35,599 Speaker 1: But guys, what ends ups happening here is the most 1728 01:26:35,680 --> 01:26:40,320 Speaker 1: legitimately insane thing ever been a part of. So Elon 1729 01:26:40,400 --> 01:26:41,640 Speaker 1: replies to me, and I was like, oh, that's kind 1730 01:26:41,680 --> 01:26:45,040 Speaker 1: of interesting. My phone literally that won't stop buzzing. People 1731 01:26:45,080 --> 01:26:47,880 Speaker 1: wrote up his comments all of that. Then in the 1732 01:26:47,920 --> 01:26:51,040 Speaker 1: next couple of hours, a narrative begins to develop that 1733 01:26:51,160 --> 01:26:56,880 Speaker 1: Elon and me are responsible for targeted harassment against this woman, 1734 01:26:57,160 --> 01:27:01,200 Speaker 1: Vijiaya Gade, because apparently some ran no accounts said she 1735 01:27:01,280 --> 01:27:04,880 Speaker 1: should be fired and said some racist stuff against her. Obviously, 1736 01:27:05,120 --> 01:27:08,240 Speaker 1: I do not condone anything racist against Vajaia Goada. You 1737 01:27:08,320 --> 01:27:11,320 Speaker 1: may not have noticed, but I'm Indian. Furthermore, I did 1738 01:27:11,320 --> 01:27:14,519 Speaker 1: some investigation. I called my mom. Now, according to my mom, 1739 01:27:14,800 --> 01:27:18,479 Speaker 1: Vijaiyagada is not only are we both Indian, she is 1740 01:27:18,640 --> 01:27:21,880 Speaker 1: also a Telugu person as in we are from the 1741 01:27:21,920 --> 01:27:25,719 Speaker 1: same region of India. Furthermore, I actually have a cousin 1742 01:27:25,960 --> 01:27:29,559 Speaker 1: with the last name who is similar to Vijayagada, so 1743 01:27:29,600 --> 01:27:32,320 Speaker 1: we may even be related. So maybe you're just a 1744 01:27:32,400 --> 01:27:35,640 Speaker 1: self hating Indian. That's why Indiana. So not only are 1745 01:27:35,680 --> 01:27:38,440 Speaker 1: we both Indian, we are from the same region of India, 1746 01:27:38,520 --> 01:27:41,160 Speaker 1: and our families from the same region of India. And 1747 01:27:41,560 --> 01:27:43,760 Speaker 1: I might actually be related to the lady. Okay, so 1748 01:27:43,840 --> 01:27:46,080 Speaker 1: let's go. Let's put that out of the way. Yeah. 1749 01:27:46,120 --> 01:27:49,360 Speaker 1: And so then the news media decides this is an 1750 01:27:49,360 --> 01:27:53,040 Speaker 1: angle we can pursue because they don't necessarily love being 1751 01:27:53,200 --> 01:27:56,440 Speaker 1: like overtly in favor of no, we want the censorship. 1752 01:27:56,520 --> 01:27:58,439 Speaker 1: What if they have free speech? Oh my god, because 1753 01:27:58,479 --> 01:28:00,639 Speaker 1: you know these places like to pretend that they're pre 1754 01:28:00,720 --> 01:28:03,160 Speaker 1: speech outlets and in favor of such things. So now 1755 01:28:03,160 --> 01:28:06,200 Speaker 1: they're like, oh, we've we've got an angle. Got you 1756 01:28:06,880 --> 01:28:11,559 Speaker 1: targeted harassment of a female executive brought on by these 1757 01:28:11,640 --> 01:28:15,400 Speaker 1: powerful figures, etcetera, etcetera. So Washington Post decides to go 1758 01:28:15,479 --> 01:28:19,679 Speaker 1: forward with this story Elon Musk boost criticism of Twitter 1759 01:28:19,760 --> 01:28:23,720 Speaker 1: executives prompting online attacks, and let me read to you 1760 01:28:23,960 --> 01:28:28,479 Speaker 1: the framing of this, which is so incredibly dystopian and 1761 01:28:28,720 --> 01:28:33,000 Speaker 1: gas lady and dishonest. So they say, Elon Musk is 1762 01:28:33,080 --> 01:28:36,679 Speaker 1: using his powerful Twitter account to bolster right wing users 1763 01:28:36,960 --> 01:28:41,600 Speaker 1: who sharply criticized two company company executives, exposing them to 1764 01:28:41,720 --> 01:28:45,720 Speaker 1: the online masses who join in the attacks, exposing them 1765 01:28:45,760 --> 01:28:49,000 Speaker 1: to the online masses. Again, these are powerful, very powerful 1766 01:28:49,000 --> 01:28:51,920 Speaker 1: individuals that we're talking about here. It started with a 1767 01:28:51,960 --> 01:28:56,439 Speaker 1: Tuesday tweet from political podcast host Sager and Jetty Always 1768 01:28:56,479 --> 01:28:59,040 Speaker 1: read to do that. Twitter users quickly piled on to 1769 01:28:59,160 --> 01:29:02,559 Speaker 1: the criticism of Gotti, including calling on must to fire 1770 01:29:02,600 --> 01:29:05,840 Speaker 1: her and using racist language to describe her. Gotte was 1771 01:29:05,880 --> 01:29:08,760 Speaker 1: born in India, Indian immigrated to the US as a child. 1772 01:29:09,160 --> 01:29:12,080 Speaker 1: One user said she would quote go down in history 1773 01:29:12,160 --> 01:29:16,400 Speaker 1: as an appalling person. How could you say such a thing? 1774 01:29:16,560 --> 01:29:18,680 Speaker 1: I actually found it kind of revealing that that was 1775 01:29:18,720 --> 01:29:22,840 Speaker 1: the worst response that they could find here. She's so mild. Yeah, 1776 01:29:22,840 --> 01:29:24,920 Speaker 1: I know people said horrible things about me. Guess what, 1777 01:29:25,040 --> 01:29:27,439 Speaker 1: I don't care, you know whatever, that's what comes with 1778 01:29:27,520 --> 01:29:30,160 Speaker 1: this business. And the people who criticized me, which prompted 1779 01:29:30,160 --> 01:29:32,680 Speaker 1: those whatever, it's part of the game. I'm not going 1780 01:29:32,760 --> 01:29:34,920 Speaker 1: to be like, you're a racist for coming after me. 1781 01:29:35,160 --> 01:29:37,280 Speaker 1: So what really pissed me off, though, Crystal, was not 1782 01:29:37,360 --> 01:29:40,240 Speaker 1: just the framing of this was inside of the article 1783 01:29:40,560 --> 01:29:43,400 Speaker 1: they wrote, and they they've since updated it. They said 1784 01:29:43,640 --> 01:29:47,240 Speaker 1: Jetti did not immediately respond for requests to comment. And 1785 01:29:47,439 --> 01:29:50,400 Speaker 1: so I'm literally just spending my Wednesday morning. I came 1786 01:29:50,439 --> 01:29:53,000 Speaker 1: back from the gym. It's like seven thirty or whatever. 1787 01:29:53,040 --> 01:29:55,120 Speaker 1: I'm like scrolling and I say, and I said, whoah, 1788 01:29:55,280 --> 01:29:58,679 Speaker 1: I've never been nobody's contacted me. I checked my Instagram, 1789 01:29:58,720 --> 01:30:01,240 Speaker 1: I checked my email, I checked my phone. Nothing. So 1790 01:30:01,280 --> 01:30:03,960 Speaker 1: then I called our producer, James. And here's what James 1791 01:30:03,960 --> 01:30:05,679 Speaker 1: tells me. Let's go ahead and put this up there 1792 01:30:05,680 --> 01:30:10,280 Speaker 1: on the screen. This Washington Post lady emails James, not 1793 01:30:10,400 --> 01:30:15,639 Speaker 1: even me at two six am, and she says, here, hi, there. 1794 01:30:15,880 --> 01:30:18,799 Speaker 1: We are quickly writing up his tweets tonight about Vijaiya 1795 01:30:18,840 --> 01:30:22,040 Speaker 1: Gotte with the peg that Musk is piling on some questions. 1796 01:30:22,040 --> 01:30:24,599 Speaker 1: Here are questions. Listen to this, Hil, Does he have 1797 01:30:24,960 --> 01:30:28,960 Speaker 1: any concern that mentioning a specific Twitter executive could result 1798 01:30:29,000 --> 01:30:32,160 Speaker 1: in attacks on that exec What are the responsibilities here? 1799 01:30:32,320 --> 01:30:35,439 Speaker 1: For example, one of the commenters made racist tweets events 1800 01:30:35,439 --> 01:30:38,160 Speaker 1: Gode and others said she should be fired. Number two, 1801 01:30:38,520 --> 01:30:41,439 Speaker 1: What does he hope to accomplish by calling out Gode 1802 01:30:41,800 --> 01:30:44,439 Speaker 1: and getting Elon involved? So there's a lot going on. 1803 01:30:45,520 --> 01:30:48,240 Speaker 1: Number One, everybody in this town has my phone number, 1804 01:30:48,400 --> 01:30:51,240 Speaker 1: including half of the people who work in her newspaper. Yes, 1805 01:30:51,320 --> 01:30:53,559 Speaker 1: it's not that hard to find. By the way, please 1806 01:30:53,560 --> 01:30:57,320 Speaker 1: don't call me randomly, But it's really not that difficult. 1807 01:30:57,560 --> 01:30:59,519 Speaker 1: I was a reporter. I know a lot of the 1808 01:30:59,520 --> 01:31:02,360 Speaker 1: people here. She could easily have gotten it, and many 1809 01:31:02,360 --> 01:31:04,559 Speaker 1: of her colleagues have contacted me and have spoken to 1810 01:31:04,600 --> 01:31:08,080 Speaker 1: me many times in the past. Number Two, emailing somebody 1811 01:31:08,080 --> 01:31:11,160 Speaker 1: for comment at two oh six am Eastern time is 1812 01:31:11,320 --> 01:31:14,080 Speaker 1: complete BS. And what time did they go live? That's 1813 01:31:14,080 --> 01:31:16,040 Speaker 1: the story. They went live with the story late like 1814 01:31:16,080 --> 01:31:20,439 Speaker 1: six am. I'm awake. You could I was literally away. 1815 01:31:20,479 --> 01:31:22,000 Speaker 1: I got up at five that day in order to 1816 01:31:22,040 --> 01:31:23,840 Speaker 1: go work out. You could have called me. I would 1817 01:31:23,880 --> 01:31:25,759 Speaker 1: have given you a comment, I would have been happy 1818 01:31:25,800 --> 01:31:28,719 Speaker 1: to do so. I'm actually pretty accessible whenever people write 1819 01:31:28,800 --> 01:31:32,679 Speaker 1: about breaking points. So seven hours after Elon Musk replied 1820 01:31:32,720 --> 01:31:35,639 Speaker 1: to me, they contact me for the story. Now let's 1821 01:31:35,640 --> 01:31:39,920 Speaker 1: get to the actual questions here. Vijaiyagade was paid seventeen 1822 01:31:40,120 --> 01:31:43,800 Speaker 1: million dollars last year. She literally appeared on the Joe 1823 01:31:43,840 --> 01:31:47,120 Speaker 1: Rogan podcast and is the top policy executive at Twitter. 1824 01:31:47,240 --> 01:31:50,360 Speaker 1: She's a public figure. I'm allowed to criticize public figures. 1825 01:31:50,360 --> 01:31:52,920 Speaker 1: In fact, that's literally my job, and under the guise 1826 01:31:53,000 --> 01:31:55,720 Speaker 1: of the First Amendment, which I've prized and which I 1827 01:31:55,720 --> 01:31:57,720 Speaker 1: think is very important for me being able to do 1828 01:31:57,760 --> 01:31:59,640 Speaker 1: the work that I do, that is well within the 1829 01:31:59,640 --> 01:32:02,880 Speaker 1: bounds of both accepted in legal speech, but also I 1830 01:32:02,880 --> 01:32:07,280 Speaker 1: would think even within the respectability industrial compent, going after 1831 01:32:07,320 --> 01:32:10,719 Speaker 1: somebody on a substantive issue is not out of Bounce, 1832 01:32:10,760 --> 01:32:14,479 Speaker 1: who is very powerful, very powerful. Her title is Twitter's 1833 01:32:14,560 --> 01:32:17,920 Speaker 1: is very dystopian title, Twitter's legal policy and trust leaders. 1834 01:32:18,120 --> 01:32:20,320 Speaker 1: So she's the head of the Ministry of Information. Right, 1835 01:32:20,400 --> 01:32:24,120 Speaker 1: So my craticism of her on a policy matter that 1836 01:32:24,200 --> 01:32:28,080 Speaker 1: she has publicly spoken about, how am I responsible for 1837 01:32:28,160 --> 01:32:31,040 Speaker 1: what some random ass Twitter account says to her, and 1838 01:32:31,120 --> 01:32:34,920 Speaker 1: same with Elon. He didn't say anything crazy about Visjhaiagada. 1839 01:32:35,000 --> 01:32:37,680 Speaker 1: He replied to a tweet and criticized her on a 1840 01:32:37,880 --> 01:32:40,840 Speaker 1: policy matter that she was directly involved in. She's the 1841 01:32:40,880 --> 01:32:44,200 Speaker 1: person who censored the Elon Musk story. Now Number two, 1842 01:32:44,360 --> 01:32:47,880 Speaker 1: in turn is her second question. She accuses me of 1843 01:32:47,960 --> 01:32:52,080 Speaker 1: bringing in Elon. I've never spoken to Elon Musk in 1844 01:32:52,120 --> 01:32:56,280 Speaker 1: my entire life. We've had no connection. He's never tweeted 1845 01:32:56,320 --> 01:32:58,840 Speaker 1: at me before. I've never spoken to him. I've never 1846 01:32:58,880 --> 01:33:01,960 Speaker 1: corresponded with him. I've never corresponded with anyone at Tesla. 1847 01:33:02,240 --> 01:33:05,000 Speaker 1: I think the closest connection that we would have is 1848 01:33:05,000 --> 01:33:07,920 Speaker 1: that we also know Joe Rogan, right, Okay, So just 1849 01:33:08,000 --> 01:33:11,040 Speaker 1: so people are completely aware, maybe he knows why I 1850 01:33:11,080 --> 01:33:13,120 Speaker 1: am big, which is a large group of people. The 1851 01:33:13,200 --> 01:33:16,519 Speaker 1: people who know Joe don't. Maybe he knows, m'am. I 1852 01:33:16,560 --> 01:33:20,360 Speaker 1: literally have no idea. So I didn't bring Elon. What 1853 01:33:20,439 --> 01:33:22,800 Speaker 1: was I hoping to accomplish? Was she hope to accomplish 1854 01:33:22,880 --> 01:33:27,479 Speaker 1: by calling out Gade and getting Elon involved? What is 1855 01:33:27,520 --> 01:33:29,679 Speaker 1: anyone hope to accomplish? When I'm sending it, I'm making 1856 01:33:29,720 --> 01:33:32,680 Speaker 1: a comment on a policy matter, but I think this 1857 01:33:32,760 --> 01:33:35,640 Speaker 1: is the perfect example. This is how they try to 1858 01:33:35,680 --> 01:33:39,599 Speaker 1: smear you. I make a substantive point. Some random people 1859 01:33:39,640 --> 01:33:43,880 Speaker 1: say something, Now, me and Elon are racists and are 1860 01:33:43,960 --> 01:33:47,400 Speaker 1: responsible for the harassment that this lady is experiencing. By 1861 01:33:47,400 --> 01:33:49,599 Speaker 1: the way, I decry the harassment, okay, and any racist 1862 01:33:49,640 --> 01:33:52,479 Speaker 1: harassment against her would be equally applicable to me. So 1863 01:33:52,640 --> 01:33:55,760 Speaker 1: obviously that's nothing. So all of this, as you said 1864 01:33:55,760 --> 01:33:57,800 Speaker 1: at the top, they are just covering up for the 1865 01:33:57,840 --> 01:34:00,720 Speaker 1: fact that they agree with censorship. And to let me 1866 01:34:00,760 --> 01:34:02,599 Speaker 1: just take you a little bit behind the scenes because 1867 01:34:02,600 --> 01:34:04,439 Speaker 1: I found out a little bit more since all of 1868 01:34:04,439 --> 01:34:07,120 Speaker 1: this happened via gote. I don't have a confirmation on this, 1869 01:34:07,200 --> 01:34:09,320 Speaker 1: but I'm just telling you she has very very close 1870 01:34:09,360 --> 01:34:11,519 Speaker 1: relationships with a lot of these reporters. In fact, the 1871 01:34:11,600 --> 01:34:14,320 Speaker 1: Washington Post reporter wrote this story was going and liking 1872 01:34:14,360 --> 01:34:16,640 Speaker 1: a bunch of tweets about how Vajaia Goda is like 1873 01:34:16,680 --> 01:34:19,000 Speaker 1: some saint, you know, come back to Earth and how 1874 01:34:19,040 --> 01:34:21,559 Speaker 1: she know she's somebody who's been really helping people out. 1875 01:34:21,760 --> 01:34:24,160 Speaker 1: And it has been known to me via cutout. So 1876 01:34:24,200 --> 01:34:26,479 Speaker 1: I'm not going to reveal my sources that Vijaia is 1877 01:34:26,600 --> 01:34:28,800 Speaker 1: very very close with the entire tech press, which is 1878 01:34:28,800 --> 01:34:31,840 Speaker 1: why they are going after this. So what she involved 1879 01:34:31,920 --> 01:34:35,040 Speaker 1: in maybe creating this entire narrative. I'll let you take 1880 01:34:35,040 --> 01:34:38,040 Speaker 1: that supposition for you. That's the thing that is so 1881 01:34:38,560 --> 01:34:40,800 Speaker 1: dishonest here. I mean, first of all, I think it 1882 01:34:40,880 --> 01:34:45,200 Speaker 1: really reveals what dishonest Hackey actors they are that they 1883 01:34:45,240 --> 01:34:49,280 Speaker 1: would email James at two am for comment and then 1884 01:34:49,320 --> 01:34:51,799 Speaker 1: make it sound like, oh, you just couldn't be bothered 1885 01:34:51,840 --> 01:34:54,360 Speaker 1: to respond or to be happy to respond response. I 1886 01:34:54,360 --> 01:34:56,519 Speaker 1: mean that just is a little window into how these 1887 01:34:56,520 --> 01:35:00,960 Speaker 1: people actually operate. And then yeah, this isn't straight She 1888 01:35:00,960 --> 01:35:02,840 Speaker 1: she wants to present this as just like a straight 1889 01:35:02,920 --> 01:35:05,960 Speaker 1: news report, but clearly this is Adrea. You're obviously friends 1890 01:35:05,960 --> 01:35:10,000 Speaker 1: with the very Jonny Is advocacy here, and listen, the 1891 01:35:10,000 --> 01:35:12,519 Speaker 1: same standard could be applied, you know, turn it right 1892 01:35:12,560 --> 01:35:15,760 Speaker 1: back around. How could the Washington Post, you know, call 1893 01:35:15,840 --> 01:35:18,479 Speaker 1: you on and target you for harassment and sager? Are 1894 01:35:18,520 --> 01:35:21,519 Speaker 1: you okay? I mean, you know, it's it's just it 1895 01:35:21,560 --> 01:35:24,880 Speaker 1: reminds me a lot of actually what they did with 1896 01:35:24,880 --> 01:35:27,559 Speaker 1: with Bernie Sanders and like the whole Bernie Brow narrative 1897 01:35:27,680 --> 01:35:30,639 Speaker 1: and trying to blame Bernie for any like bad thing 1898 01:35:30,720 --> 01:35:34,040 Speaker 1: that some random supporter of his ultimately said it was 1899 01:35:34,120 --> 01:35:36,800 Speaker 1: equally ridiculous. And it's why I was really disappointed when 1900 01:35:36,840 --> 01:35:39,320 Speaker 1: he actually sort of gave into that narrative at one point, 1901 01:35:39,600 --> 01:35:41,920 Speaker 1: because now you can see the way this gets weaponized 1902 01:35:42,000 --> 01:35:45,759 Speaker 1: all the time, and it always gets weaponized to protect 1903 01:35:45,920 --> 01:35:49,040 Speaker 1: really powerful people. I mean, this is someone who is 1904 01:35:49,479 --> 01:35:53,720 Speaker 1: so clearly a public figure, like not a question mark whatsoever, 1905 01:35:54,000 --> 01:35:56,720 Speaker 1: who is also extraordinarily wealthy and has all of the 1906 01:35:56,760 --> 01:36:00,160 Speaker 1: privileges and protections that comes with that class status as well, 1907 01:36:00,680 --> 01:36:05,120 Speaker 1: and whose influence really matters. So for you know, a 1908 01:36:05,160 --> 01:36:08,519 Speaker 1: private citizen or a journalist or anyone else to have 1909 01:36:08,560 --> 01:36:11,280 Speaker 1: an opinion on that that you expressed, I mean it 1910 01:36:11,320 --> 01:36:13,719 Speaker 1: was like a little bit snarky, but it honestly was really, 1911 01:36:14,000 --> 01:36:18,400 Speaker 1: you know, totally within bounds of public discussion of issues 1912 01:36:18,479 --> 01:36:21,439 Speaker 1: that are very fraught and very important. To make that 1913 01:36:21,520 --> 01:36:24,960 Speaker 1: into some nefarious thing, I just it's like your right 1914 01:36:25,080 --> 01:36:28,200 Speaker 1: to be completely indignant in the way that they handled 1915 01:36:28,240 --> 01:36:29,880 Speaker 1: all of this, And I think we should also say 1916 01:36:30,000 --> 01:36:33,559 Speaker 1: like they were not the only ones. Insider also wrote 1917 01:36:33,600 --> 01:36:36,320 Speaker 1: it up in a really sleazy and dishonest way. They 1918 01:36:36,360 --> 01:36:42,040 Speaker 1: called you a right wing activist. Okay, I mean, I 1919 01:36:42,120 --> 01:36:46,200 Speaker 1: can't stand it's just but you know, it's very clearly 1920 01:36:46,240 --> 01:36:49,120 Speaker 1: the language is chosen to make you sound like some 1921 01:36:49,400 --> 01:36:53,960 Speaker 1: nefarious actor who's tried this stirruption. You're in kahots. You 1922 01:36:53,960 --> 01:36:56,160 Speaker 1: know that's the sort of insinuation here from the watch. 1923 01:36:56,200 --> 01:36:59,519 Speaker 1: You're in kahoots with Elon to target this harassment at 1924 01:36:59,520 --> 01:37:02,640 Speaker 1: this bhole person. Give me a break. It's ridiculous. No, 1925 01:37:02,680 --> 01:37:05,000 Speaker 1: it really pissed me off because, like you said, it's spawned. Actually, 1926 01:37:05,040 --> 01:37:07,680 Speaker 1: that Washington Post story then spawned Business Insider and a 1927 01:37:07,680 --> 01:37:10,360 Speaker 1: bunch of other outlets are referring to me either as 1928 01:37:10,680 --> 01:37:14,479 Speaker 1: a right wing activist or conservative YouTuber. I'm like, guys, 1929 01:37:14,720 --> 01:37:18,560 Speaker 1: why do we have to apply any of these like adjectives? 1930 01:37:18,640 --> 01:37:21,200 Speaker 1: Why can't it just be host of Breaking Points a 1931 01:37:21,280 --> 01:37:24,200 Speaker 1: popular political show. I mean, what's wrong with that? It's 1932 01:37:24,280 --> 01:37:27,360 Speaker 1: right left show, even incredibly diverse audience. Ask people who 1933 01:37:27,400 --> 01:37:29,560 Speaker 1: actually know me, who actually listen to me, none of 1934 01:37:29,600 --> 01:37:32,280 Speaker 1: them would use that moniker whenever they're trying to describe me. 1935 01:37:32,360 --> 01:37:35,599 Speaker 1: But beyond that, it's not even exactly how they refer 1936 01:37:35,640 --> 01:37:38,479 Speaker 1: to me. It's the tactics and like guys, this is 1937 01:37:38,520 --> 01:37:41,120 Speaker 1: what I want to show you, the inside the two 1938 01:37:41,200 --> 01:37:45,280 Speaker 1: am emails, the ridiculous questions. They rely on you not 1939 01:37:45,439 --> 01:37:48,439 Speaker 1: knowing how the sausage is made. And it comes back 1940 01:37:48,479 --> 01:37:50,719 Speaker 1: to the Taylor of Lorenz point I made. Listen, lady, 1941 01:37:50,840 --> 01:37:53,479 Speaker 1: if you like Vijaya Gade, write an op at about it, 1942 01:37:53,479 --> 01:37:55,920 Speaker 1: be like Sager and jedti's a dishonest hack. I honestly 1943 01:37:55,960 --> 01:37:58,080 Speaker 1: wouldn't care. I'd be like, Okay, fine, whatever, I disagree 1944 01:37:58,080 --> 01:38:00,040 Speaker 1: with you. I would probably do something here about it. 1945 01:38:00,080 --> 01:38:03,120 Speaker 1: But to do this all within a news story is 1946 01:38:03,200 --> 01:38:06,200 Speaker 1: just so incredibly dishonest. It shows you why we're trying 1947 01:38:06,240 --> 01:38:08,040 Speaker 1: to do the work that we are here, both or 1948 01:38:08,160 --> 01:38:11,479 Speaker 1: to expose this, but trying to build something so apart 1949 01:38:11,479 --> 01:38:14,519 Speaker 1: from this. And it does really relate to the to 1950 01:38:14,600 --> 01:38:17,559 Speaker 1: Taylor Lorenz because this is like the tactic that she 1951 01:38:17,800 --> 01:38:20,920 Speaker 1: uses all the time to shield herself from criticism and 1952 01:38:21,080 --> 01:38:25,320 Speaker 1: the weaponizing of these like of identity too, to again 1953 01:38:25,360 --> 01:38:29,040 Speaker 1: shield powerful actors from scrutiny. I mean Taylor. The thing 1954 01:38:29,080 --> 01:38:31,559 Speaker 1: that makes it so ridiculous with her as everyone wants 1955 01:38:31,560 --> 01:38:35,760 Speaker 1: to sort of like infantilize her. It's like, how could 1956 01:38:35,800 --> 01:38:38,920 Speaker 1: you do this to this young woman. First of all, 1957 01:38:39,080 --> 01:38:42,040 Speaker 1: she's we don't know exactly how old she is agent, 1958 01:38:42,160 --> 01:38:44,439 Speaker 1: but she's not that young at this point. It's like 1959 01:38:44,560 --> 01:38:48,080 Speaker 1: nearly forty. And second all, this is a well paid, 1960 01:38:48,880 --> 01:38:51,960 Speaker 1: prominent journalist at one of the top outlets in the 1961 01:38:52,160 --> 01:38:56,160 Speaker 1: entire country, in a tremendous position of power. And I 1962 01:38:56,160 --> 01:38:58,920 Speaker 1: don't doubt that there has been ugliness directed her way. 1963 01:38:58,960 --> 01:39:01,200 Speaker 1: And I do not want that for her or anyone 1964 01:39:01,240 --> 01:39:05,479 Speaker 1: else whatsoever. But to make yourself the like you're the 1965 01:39:05,640 --> 01:39:09,280 Speaker 1: victim in this country, Like do you know anyone who 1966 01:39:09,280 --> 01:39:13,080 Speaker 1: has suffered anything real in your life? Like, look around 1967 01:39:13,080 --> 01:39:16,360 Speaker 1: at this nation and think about all of the pain 1968 01:39:16,439 --> 01:39:18,800 Speaker 1: and suffering that is going on, and you're gonna make 1969 01:39:18,800 --> 01:39:21,120 Speaker 1: it about yourself, and you're the victim in the story. 1970 01:39:21,479 --> 01:39:25,240 Speaker 1: That's why these things are so disturbing because ultimately, again 1971 01:39:25,720 --> 01:39:29,280 Speaker 1: it is used to make sure you cannot critique the powerful. 1972 01:39:29,400 --> 01:39:34,320 Speaker 1: And so this is a perfect example of how they 1973 01:39:34,439 --> 01:39:38,320 Speaker 1: use these tactics really cynically to try to shut down 1974 01:39:38,400 --> 01:39:42,200 Speaker 1: what is a legitimate debate and discussion about the policies 1975 01:39:42,200 --> 01:39:44,360 Speaker 1: that should govern our public spare and last thing I'll 1976 01:39:44,400 --> 01:39:46,920 Speaker 1: say on this is I'm lucky. Hey, I got this show. 1977 01:39:47,040 --> 01:39:49,680 Speaker 1: I have you guys, I have the premium subscribers like I. 1978 01:39:50,120 --> 01:39:52,640 Speaker 1: My livelihood is not going to be affected by this. 1979 01:39:52,920 --> 01:39:54,599 Speaker 1: But let's say I still were Let's say we still 1980 01:39:54,600 --> 01:39:56,680 Speaker 1: worked at the Hill. This is a problem, all right, 1981 01:39:57,040 --> 01:39:59,679 Speaker 1: this is a real problem point. But if I still 1982 01:39:59,680 --> 01:40:03,120 Speaker 1: worked in a normal corporation or media company, this is 1983 01:40:03,160 --> 01:40:04,880 Speaker 1: a real issue in terms of the way that you're 1984 01:40:04,880 --> 01:40:07,559 Speaker 1: getting described and your colleagues and hey, you know, why 1985 01:40:07,600 --> 01:40:10,600 Speaker 1: are you being unprofessional all of this. I have the 1986 01:40:10,720 --> 01:40:14,160 Speaker 1: liberty in order to expose all of it and just say, 1987 01:40:14,360 --> 01:40:17,400 Speaker 1: here's what they said to me, here's the email. This 1988 01:40:17,479 --> 01:40:20,559 Speaker 1: is complete bs, I can fully express myself. So I 1989 01:40:20,640 --> 01:40:22,760 Speaker 1: just want to say another thank you to everybody who 1990 01:40:22,800 --> 01:40:24,719 Speaker 1: listens to the show, to all the people who support 1991 01:40:24,720 --> 01:40:27,640 Speaker 1: the show. I am only able to do what I 1992 01:40:27,680 --> 01:40:30,960 Speaker 1: am able to because I know that you're my boss 1993 01:40:31,000 --> 01:40:33,759 Speaker 1: and not anybody else. Because we're still working in media. 1994 01:40:33,960 --> 01:40:36,800 Speaker 1: This is a real problem. But let me say, I 1995 01:40:36,920 --> 01:40:39,599 Speaker 1: have no doubt that our audience is going to, you know, 1996 01:40:39,720 --> 01:40:43,800 Speaker 1: almost one hundred percent support what you know. The fact 1997 01:40:43,840 --> 01:40:45,519 Speaker 1: that you were clearly in the right of the washing 1998 01:40:45,600 --> 01:40:48,120 Speaker 1: post is ridiculous here. But this is not without a 1999 01:40:48,160 --> 01:40:51,519 Speaker 1: cost for us either because we're very dependent, you know, 2000 01:40:51,600 --> 01:40:54,240 Speaker 1: in terms of the YouTube world. Oh, we're dependent on 2001 01:40:54,360 --> 01:40:56,800 Speaker 1: whether they dm us to be a trustworthy news source 2002 01:40:56,920 --> 01:40:59,799 Speaker 1: or not, and how the algorithm deals with our videos 2003 01:40:59,800 --> 01:41:02,120 Speaker 1: and how much they serve them and all of those things. 2004 01:41:02,200 --> 01:41:05,439 Speaker 1: So it's not without a cost and a price when 2005 01:41:05,479 --> 01:41:09,280 Speaker 1: the mainstream comes after you and tries to sideline you 2006 01:41:09,479 --> 01:41:13,560 Speaker 1: as some crank, some bullies, some troll, etc. Are we 2007 01:41:13,600 --> 01:41:16,240 Speaker 1: a conservative YouTube show? Ask yourself that are we a 2008 01:41:16,240 --> 01:41:20,720 Speaker 1: conservative YouTube show? That's bs okay and just the way. Yeah. Look, 2009 01:41:20,800 --> 01:41:22,519 Speaker 1: I mean I don't want to belabor the point, but 2010 01:41:23,080 --> 01:41:26,160 Speaker 1: it has real costs to us. Not as much because 2011 01:41:26,200 --> 01:41:28,519 Speaker 1: we rely on our premium subs and on our audience, 2012 01:41:28,920 --> 01:41:31,479 Speaker 1: but you know, this really could have been a big 2013 01:41:31,560 --> 01:41:33,080 Speaker 1: problem for all of us. So anyway, I want to 2014 01:41:33,080 --> 01:41:35,240 Speaker 1: thank you all once again just grabbing my back and 2015 01:41:35,240 --> 01:41:37,000 Speaker 1: it gives me the confidence in order to speak out 2016 01:41:37,080 --> 01:41:39,280 Speaker 1: against you. This was I mean, this was not a 2017 01:41:39,320 --> 01:41:42,280 Speaker 1: borderline case. There was really no nuance here. You're very 2018 01:41:42,320 --> 01:41:46,200 Speaker 1: clearly well within the bounds of public debate and discussion, 2019 01:41:46,280 --> 01:41:49,280 Speaker 1: and the Washington Post has lost their minds in a 2020 01:41:49,439 --> 01:41:56,080 Speaker 1: very dishonest and nasty way, the Biden administration is thinking 2021 01:41:56,200 --> 01:41:59,840 Speaker 1: about maybe canceling some student loan debt. Let's go ahead 2022 01:41:59,840 --> 01:42:02,080 Speaker 1: and this Wall Street Journal article up on the screen. 2023 01:42:02,120 --> 01:42:05,240 Speaker 1: They say Biden seriously considering student loan forgiveness. Official say 2024 01:42:05,240 --> 01:42:07,840 Speaker 1: President may be warming to take executive action to a 2025 01:42:07,960 --> 01:42:10,920 Speaker 1: race at least some loan debts. Some Democrats believe a 2026 01:42:10,960 --> 01:42:15,559 Speaker 1: move would motivate young voters in midterms. Basically, what happened 2027 01:42:15,840 --> 01:42:18,679 Speaker 1: is he was in one of these caucus meetings and 2028 01:42:19,160 --> 01:42:22,439 Speaker 1: didn't detail his plans, but responded positively when lawmakers pushed 2029 01:42:22,479 --> 01:42:25,439 Speaker 1: him to forgive ten thousand dollars in student debt, the 2030 01:42:25,479 --> 01:42:28,719 Speaker 1: people said, suggesting they would be happy with his final decision. 2031 01:42:28,720 --> 01:42:31,599 Speaker 1: He also indicated he's open to further extending the current 2032 01:42:31,640 --> 01:42:34,000 Speaker 1: pause on student loan payments, which is set to expire 2033 01:42:34,000 --> 01:42:37,320 Speaker 1: on August thirty first. Obviously, this is a massive issue 2034 01:42:37,360 --> 01:42:41,120 Speaker 1: just because the astronomical amounts of debt that are held 2035 01:42:41,320 --> 01:42:44,400 Speaker 1: by student loan debt holders about forty million people. Forty 2036 01:42:44,439 --> 01:42:47,280 Speaker 1: million people, oh, around one point six trillion dollars in 2037 01:42:47,280 --> 01:42:50,080 Speaker 1: federal student debt. That makes up around ninety percent of 2038 01:42:50,080 --> 01:42:53,360 Speaker 1: student debt outstanding. So just pointing out there this Obviously, 2039 01:42:53,400 --> 01:42:55,960 Speaker 1: whatever Biden would do would only apply to the debt 2040 01:42:56,000 --> 01:42:58,400 Speaker 1: that's held by the government that makes up about ninety 2041 01:42:58,439 --> 01:43:02,160 Speaker 1: percent of student debt. Outstanding the politics of this, let's 2042 01:43:02,160 --> 01:43:04,479 Speaker 1: go ahead and put this insider report up on the screen. 2043 01:43:04,920 --> 01:43:08,240 Speaker 1: So the reason that they are at long last considering 2044 01:43:08,280 --> 01:43:12,400 Speaker 1: this move is because young people are not happy with 2045 01:43:12,400 --> 01:43:15,639 Speaker 1: the Biden administration and are extraordinarily apathetic about whether they're 2046 01:43:15,680 --> 01:43:18,080 Speaker 1: going to vote in the mid terms. But you have 2047 01:43:18,160 --> 01:43:21,320 Speaker 1: a Harvard poll that found eighty five percent of young 2048 01:43:21,360 --> 01:43:24,800 Speaker 1: Americans wanting Biden to take some form of action on 2049 01:43:24,960 --> 01:43:28,200 Speaker 1: student debt. The flip side of that is in this 2050 01:43:28,200 --> 01:43:30,519 Speaker 1: Harvard pole, which is actually interesting worth digging into in 2051 01:43:30,520 --> 01:43:33,040 Speaker 1: and of itself, but they found forty two percent of 2052 01:43:33,120 --> 01:43:36,200 Speaker 1: voters under thirty don't believe their votes make a real difference. 2053 01:43:36,240 --> 01:43:38,680 Speaker 1: And part of that is because, you know whatever, and 2054 01:43:38,720 --> 01:43:41,080 Speaker 1: we're going to debate the merits of this particular proposal 2055 01:43:41,120 --> 01:43:43,280 Speaker 1: in a moment. But whatever you think of it, Biden 2056 01:43:43,320 --> 01:43:45,800 Speaker 1: did promise to do something on student loan debt. Has 2057 01:43:45,840 --> 01:43:48,280 Speaker 1: all of the power at his disposal to do something 2058 01:43:48,320 --> 01:43:51,040 Speaker 1: about student loan debt. Made that promise on the campaign 2059 01:43:51,080 --> 01:43:53,360 Speaker 1: trail very popular with young voters, and then here we 2060 01:43:53,439 --> 01:43:55,840 Speaker 1: are and he still hasn't done it. So, gee, I 2061 01:43:55,880 --> 01:43:58,240 Speaker 1: wonder why so many young voters feel like their votes 2062 01:43:58,280 --> 01:44:01,679 Speaker 1: don't make a real difference. And again to the question 2063 01:44:01,840 --> 01:44:04,559 Speaker 1: of you know how this may impact them politically, go 2064 01:44:04,560 --> 01:44:07,400 Speaker 1: ahead and put this up on the screen. Biden's approval 2065 01:44:07,560 --> 01:44:12,519 Speaker 1: with voters under thirty now drops to forty one percent. Now, 2066 01:44:12,600 --> 01:44:15,800 Speaker 1: this was one of the strongest groups that helped to 2067 01:44:15,880 --> 01:44:19,640 Speaker 1: elect him president. You know, he won young voters overwhelmingly. 2068 01:44:20,120 --> 01:44:23,519 Speaker 1: At the beginning of his presidency, his highest approval ratings 2069 01:44:23,880 --> 01:44:27,360 Speaker 1: came among this youngest demographic, and now, as I covered 2070 01:44:27,400 --> 01:44:31,240 Speaker 1: last week, that has completely flipped. So actually Biden's approval 2071 01:44:31,320 --> 01:44:35,320 Speaker 1: rating is best with the oldest age demographic and worst 2072 01:44:35,680 --> 01:44:39,880 Speaker 1: with young voters. So they're looking at the midterms saying, guys, 2073 01:44:39,960 --> 01:44:42,760 Speaker 1: it looks like we are completely screwed. What can we 2074 01:44:42,880 --> 01:44:46,000 Speaker 1: possibly do? Joe Manchin continues to jerk us around and 2075 01:44:46,040 --> 01:44:48,240 Speaker 1: build back better, and that seems like as hopeless as 2076 01:44:48,240 --> 01:44:50,960 Speaker 1: it ever has. So this is something in our power. Jeez, 2077 01:44:51,000 --> 01:44:53,760 Speaker 1: maybe we should actually do something at this point. Now, 2078 01:44:53,800 --> 01:44:55,400 Speaker 1: I do think the politics here are a little bit 2079 01:44:55,439 --> 01:44:59,719 Speaker 1: more complicated. For one thing, young voters not particularly reliable 2080 01:44:59,760 --> 01:45:03,400 Speaker 1: mid term voters are or otherwise, but particularly in the midterms. 2081 01:45:03,640 --> 01:45:07,760 Speaker 1: I do think that there is you know, the backlash 2082 01:45:07,800 --> 01:45:10,000 Speaker 1: or the argument against this is basically like, well, what 2083 01:45:10,040 --> 01:45:14,040 Speaker 1: about people who aren't college you know college student loan folders? Right? 2084 01:45:14,160 --> 01:45:18,480 Speaker 1: And the other question which our friend Philip asked Densaki 2085 01:45:18,560 --> 01:45:21,040 Speaker 1: is about, Okay, well what about people who you know 2086 01:45:21,360 --> 01:45:23,960 Speaker 1: worked hard in their parents, Grimpton stated, And they actually 2087 01:45:23,960 --> 01:45:26,160 Speaker 1: paid off their student loan debt. Aren't they kind of 2088 01:45:26,160 --> 01:45:28,040 Speaker 1: getting a raw deal? Let's take a listen to that question. 2089 01:45:28,439 --> 01:45:31,439 Speaker 1: All up on the student loan illness. You said that 2090 01:45:31,520 --> 01:45:33,880 Speaker 1: the president is looking at a range of options with 2091 01:45:33,920 --> 01:45:37,360 Speaker 1: regards to canceling some student debt. But is the president 2092 01:45:37,360 --> 01:45:40,599 Speaker 1: looking at any options for those students and parents who 2093 01:45:40,840 --> 01:45:43,200 Speaker 1: saved and sacrificed so that they wouldn't have to take 2094 01:45:43,240 --> 01:45:46,200 Speaker 1: out such massive loans as they looking at including them 2095 01:45:46,479 --> 01:45:49,599 Speaker 1: in relief retroactively? How would they be made whole if 2096 01:45:49,640 --> 01:45:51,400 Speaker 1: there was some sort of canceling debt? You mean for 2097 01:45:51,439 --> 01:45:53,599 Speaker 1: people who have paid off all of their student loans, 2098 01:45:54,240 --> 01:45:56,840 Speaker 1: made sacrifices so that they wouldn't have to take out 2099 01:45:56,840 --> 01:45:59,360 Speaker 1: some of those loans. It's a good question. What I 2100 01:45:59,360 --> 01:46:02,200 Speaker 1: can tell you at this point is that there's legislation 2101 01:46:02,320 --> 01:46:04,439 Speaker 1: he'd be happy to sign for individuals who have ten 2102 01:46:04,439 --> 01:46:08,000 Speaker 1: thousand dollars in existing student debt. If Congress wanted to 2103 01:46:08,000 --> 01:46:09,599 Speaker 1: send that to him, he'd be happy to sign. And 2104 01:46:09,600 --> 01:46:12,519 Speaker 1: he's looking at executive actions and authorities. But I don't 2105 01:46:12,520 --> 01:46:14,960 Speaker 1: have anything to preview on that front. So I think 2106 01:46:15,000 --> 01:46:18,320 Speaker 1: those two things are potentially politically potent. Both the questions 2107 01:46:18,320 --> 01:46:21,000 Speaker 1: fair question. Well, it's definitely a fair question. I will 2108 01:46:21,040 --> 01:46:23,880 Speaker 1: point out on the substance, and I want to get 2109 01:46:23,880 --> 01:46:25,320 Speaker 1: your thought on the politics and then we can talk 2110 01:46:25,360 --> 01:46:27,600 Speaker 1: more about, like you know, who actually would benefit in 2111 01:46:27,640 --> 01:46:31,080 Speaker 1: some of the details behind this, But you already do 2112 01:46:31,200 --> 01:46:35,519 Speaker 1: have subsidies for people who are higher wealth and able 2113 01:46:35,560 --> 01:46:38,640 Speaker 1: to save in advance for their kids college. So you 2114 01:46:38,760 --> 01:46:42,400 Speaker 1: have covered out and five twenty nine education savings accounts 2115 01:46:42,640 --> 01:46:45,000 Speaker 1: so that you can have tuition functioning as a tax 2116 01:46:45,040 --> 01:46:49,480 Speaker 1: advantage intergenerational transfer. So you actually do already have subsidies 2117 01:46:49,520 --> 01:46:52,280 Speaker 1: in place for those parents that Phil is talking about 2118 01:46:52,280 --> 01:46:56,080 Speaker 1: there who are able to save in advance for their kids' education. 2119 01:46:56,560 --> 01:46:59,080 Speaker 1: So in fact, you know, the system is kind of 2120 01:46:59,160 --> 01:47:01,479 Speaker 1: unfair right now, towards those who don't have the ability 2121 01:47:01,560 --> 01:47:03,479 Speaker 1: to save in advance and have to take out these 2122 01:47:03,720 --> 01:47:06,240 Speaker 1: massive student loans. But on the politics of it, I 2123 01:47:06,320 --> 01:47:10,920 Speaker 1: think it is overwhelmingly popular with young voters, who disproportionately 2124 01:47:10,920 --> 01:47:13,559 Speaker 1: are the ones who are burdened by the student loan debt, 2125 01:47:13,560 --> 01:47:16,040 Speaker 1: who feel their futures are constrained by the amount of 2126 01:47:16,120 --> 01:47:19,280 Speaker 1: debt that they oftentimes graduate college with, who were sold 2127 01:47:19,280 --> 01:47:21,639 Speaker 1: this bill of goods of like, you know, the answer 2128 01:47:21,720 --> 01:47:23,639 Speaker 1: to everything is to get a college education. I think 2129 01:47:23,640 --> 01:47:27,000 Speaker 1: that's particularly true of Black Americans who were told basically 2130 01:47:27,040 --> 01:47:28,840 Speaker 1: like this is the way to build wealth, this is 2131 01:47:28,880 --> 01:47:31,600 Speaker 1: the way to close the racial wealth gap, and ultimately, 2132 01:47:31,840 --> 01:47:34,599 Speaker 1: you know, it didn't end up being the certain ticket 2133 01:47:34,640 --> 01:47:36,599 Speaker 1: that they thought it would be, and because the costs 2134 01:47:36,640 --> 01:47:40,759 Speaker 1: are so outrageous, they've been saddled with something for life. 2135 01:47:40,800 --> 01:47:43,160 Speaker 1: So for young voters, do I think it will help, 2136 01:47:43,320 --> 01:47:45,920 Speaker 1: maybe marginally at this point, but I do think the 2137 01:47:45,960 --> 01:47:48,360 Speaker 1: overall politics are a little more fraudt than maybe people 2138 01:47:48,400 --> 01:47:51,000 Speaker 1: would want to, people with my ideological view would want to. 2139 01:47:51,000 --> 01:47:52,960 Speaker 1: I'm glad you you could say that, because I do 2140 01:47:53,000 --> 01:47:54,880 Speaker 1: think that this is an important point. More than half 2141 01:47:54,920 --> 01:47:57,000 Speaker 1: of young people did not go to college. And so look, 2142 01:47:57,040 --> 01:47:59,599 Speaker 1: I believe ultimately I think the people who got saddled 2143 01:47:59,600 --> 01:48:02,040 Speaker 1: with students at got sold a bill of goods. But 2144 01:48:02,120 --> 01:48:04,000 Speaker 1: you know who, I blame the bill of goods for 2145 01:48:04,320 --> 01:48:07,680 Speaker 1: the university system. So bailing out the university system who 2146 01:48:07,760 --> 01:48:10,760 Speaker 1: continues to builk these kids not have any you know, 2147 01:48:10,880 --> 01:48:13,679 Speaker 1: actual stake in how they're doing, and also not change 2148 01:48:13,760 --> 01:48:16,880 Speaker 1: university financing. Let's be honest to where is the major 2149 01:48:16,920 --> 01:48:20,519 Speaker 1: bloat coming in university budgets. There's increasing tuition, diversity and 2150 01:48:20,600 --> 01:48:23,960 Speaker 1: inclusion initiative, so we should all bail out the diversity 2151 01:48:23,960 --> 01:48:27,160 Speaker 1: departments of Yale Harvard. That's true, but I don't genuinely 2152 01:48:27,240 --> 01:48:31,040 Speaker 1: don't know that I know administration overall, So I don't 2153 01:48:31,040 --> 01:48:33,160 Speaker 1: know that I have seen any numbers that back up 2154 01:48:33,200 --> 01:48:35,080 Speaker 1: that the overwhelming amount of the blow as well, let's 2155 01:48:35,080 --> 01:48:37,519 Speaker 1: just say it's all administration. You can ask yourself where 2156 01:48:37,520 --> 01:48:40,240 Speaker 1: most administrative costs new cost is being outlaid to it? 2157 01:48:40,280 --> 01:48:42,080 Speaker 1: I say, is both my parents working here. There's an 2158 01:48:42,200 --> 01:48:45,519 Speaker 1: escalation and administration for many, many, many years. Oh absolutely, 2159 01:48:45,560 --> 01:48:47,160 Speaker 1: I'm talking in the last ten years, which is also 2160 01:48:47,160 --> 01:48:49,200 Speaker 1: when the highest spike has also been So I think 2161 01:48:49,520 --> 01:48:54,080 Speaker 1: I think the most valid critique and the most good 2162 01:48:54,080 --> 01:48:57,280 Speaker 1: faith critique here is the idea of like, Okay, but 2163 01:48:57,360 --> 01:48:59,760 Speaker 1: what what then? Yeah, you do this, you do this 2164 01:48:59,800 --> 01:49:02,760 Speaker 1: one time thing now for me personally, because I do 2165 01:49:02,800 --> 01:49:06,040 Speaker 1: think that this is such an outrageous situation and a 2166 01:49:06,080 --> 01:49:08,000 Speaker 1: relatively new one too. I mean, it's easy for us 2167 01:49:08,040 --> 01:49:10,600 Speaker 1: to forget because we've always come of age during a 2168 01:49:10,600 --> 01:49:14,080 Speaker 1: time when college tuition is fucking insane. But this is 2169 01:49:14,160 --> 01:49:17,760 Speaker 1: actually a really new phenomenon of it being so insanely 2170 01:49:17,840 --> 01:49:20,800 Speaker 1: expensive that no one could hope to be very few 2171 01:49:20,840 --> 01:49:23,560 Speaker 1: people could hope to be able to actually afford it upfront. 2172 01:49:23,880 --> 01:49:27,360 Speaker 1: And since it is such a burden, that really does 2173 01:49:27,400 --> 01:49:30,320 Speaker 1: weigh down younger generations. And we've talked here about how 2174 01:49:30,520 --> 01:49:32,439 Speaker 1: you know, this sets everybody back from being able to 2175 01:49:32,439 --> 01:49:34,240 Speaker 1: own a home, from being able to start a family. 2176 01:49:34,439 --> 01:49:37,760 Speaker 1: Student loan debt really puts this weight on top of 2177 01:49:37,760 --> 01:49:42,000 Speaker 1: both millennials and gen z that it is worth some 2178 01:49:42,040 --> 01:49:45,439 Speaker 1: sort of solution, even if it is, you know, not 2179 01:49:45,479 --> 01:49:48,040 Speaker 1: one hundred percent of what you would ultimately want. So 2180 01:49:48,360 --> 01:49:50,519 Speaker 1: what I would say is, don't let the perfect be 2181 01:49:50,600 --> 01:49:52,920 Speaker 1: the enemy of the good. This is the tool that 2182 01:49:53,000 --> 01:49:56,559 Speaker 1: is at their disposal. This would provide tremendous relief for 2183 01:49:56,760 --> 01:49:59,200 Speaker 1: you know, millions and millions of people, And so I 2184 01:49:59,240 --> 01:50:01,760 Speaker 1: do think it's worth pursuing, even as I acknowledge it's 2185 01:50:01,800 --> 01:50:04,519 Speaker 1: nowhere near a complete solution without those other reforms that 2186 01:50:04,560 --> 01:50:06,560 Speaker 1: you're talking. My point would be, first of all, I 2187 01:50:06,560 --> 01:50:08,320 Speaker 1: think would be a political disaster because I think a 2188 01:50:08,360 --> 01:50:10,320 Speaker 1: lot of people will feel slighted. But two is it like? 2189 01:50:10,400 --> 01:50:12,120 Speaker 1: And I should also be clear, I actually believe in 2190 01:50:12,280 --> 01:50:15,080 Speaker 1: very four student loan forgiveness. However, it has to be 2191 01:50:15,120 --> 01:50:17,640 Speaker 1: paired with the complete change in the financing system of 2192 01:50:17,680 --> 01:50:20,479 Speaker 1: the universities. Number two, we can never let this happen again. 2193 01:50:20,680 --> 01:50:22,240 Speaker 1: I was looking at some of the data. Even if 2194 01:50:22,240 --> 01:50:24,160 Speaker 1: you wipe out one point nine trillion dollars in debt, 2195 01:50:24,200 --> 01:50:26,080 Speaker 1: the debt load in about five to ten years would 2196 01:50:26,080 --> 01:50:27,800 Speaker 1: also be one point nine trillion. So what we're going 2197 01:50:27,840 --> 01:50:30,120 Speaker 1: to wipe it out debt again. But we can't do 2198 01:50:30,160 --> 01:50:32,320 Speaker 1: that because we're just bailing out the university system. So 2199 01:50:32,360 --> 01:50:34,840 Speaker 1: but that's just an argument for you know, Okay, you 2200 01:50:34,920 --> 01:50:37,720 Speaker 1: do this, and then you have to actually reform. You 2201 01:50:37,760 --> 01:50:39,519 Speaker 1: have to have you know, I personally think we should 2202 01:50:39,560 --> 01:50:42,960 Speaker 1: have free public college, public university at this point are 2203 01:50:43,000 --> 01:50:46,519 Speaker 1: at least very affordable. So that's just an argument for 2204 01:50:46,880 --> 01:50:49,360 Speaker 1: this isn't the end all be all. This is just 2205 01:50:49,400 --> 01:50:53,800 Speaker 1: the beginning. But I think it's I think again to say, well, 2206 01:50:53,840 --> 01:50:56,880 Speaker 1: it's not perfect and it doesn't actually solve the whole problem, 2207 01:50:57,160 --> 01:51:00,519 Speaker 1: so let's just forget about it. Well, that's that denies 2208 01:51:00,560 --> 01:51:02,800 Speaker 1: a lot of people relief right now that would be 2209 01:51:02,960 --> 01:51:06,240 Speaker 1: very beneficial to them. And so we have some stats 2210 01:51:06,280 --> 01:51:08,040 Speaker 1: that you know, kind of make points in both directly. 2211 01:51:08,080 --> 01:51:10,200 Speaker 1: Let's go ahead and put the next piece up on 2212 01:51:10,240 --> 01:51:12,920 Speaker 1: the screen there from Brookings. This is interesting because a 2213 01:51:12,960 --> 01:51:15,080 Speaker 1: lot of the help would go to people who are 2214 01:51:15,160 --> 01:51:20,000 Speaker 1: relatively high income who went to graduate school if you did, 2215 01:51:20,520 --> 01:51:23,600 Speaker 1: you know, and this is if you did complete debt cancelation. 2216 01:51:23,760 --> 01:51:27,200 Speaker 1: So what Bind's talking about at most is ten thousand dollars. 2217 01:51:27,400 --> 01:51:30,479 Speaker 1: Even that's uncertain. And they've also floated, like you know, 2218 01:51:30,560 --> 01:51:33,240 Speaker 1: it may be income based. So some of this debate 2219 01:51:33,280 --> 01:51:35,519 Speaker 1: may be a little bit moot. But you know, they 2220 01:51:35,520 --> 01:51:37,240 Speaker 1: point out that in this piece, which I actually hadn't 2221 01:51:37,240 --> 01:51:40,200 Speaker 1: really thought about that. In fact, the way to think 2222 01:51:40,200 --> 01:51:43,000 Speaker 1: about it is, okay, well, how much of this debt? 2223 01:51:43,240 --> 01:51:46,000 Speaker 1: How much is this debt as a percentage of your income, 2224 01:51:46,320 --> 01:51:49,679 Speaker 1: because obviously, if you're someone who's earning a relatively low income, 2225 01:51:50,000 --> 01:51:52,880 Speaker 1: you're going to experience that ten thousand dollars in debt 2226 01:51:52,960 --> 01:51:55,680 Speaker 1: as a much heavier burden than someone who's at the 2227 01:51:55,760 --> 01:51:59,680 Speaker 1: high end of the income threshold. And the person who 2228 01:51:59,720 --> 01:52:02,320 Speaker 1: wrote this analysis made the case of like you know, 2229 01:52:02,479 --> 01:52:06,080 Speaker 1: sales tax is widely considered a regressive tax because it 2230 01:52:06,120 --> 01:52:08,800 Speaker 1: takes up more of your income if you are a 2231 01:52:08,840 --> 01:52:11,760 Speaker 1: low income person. Even the wealthy people, because they spend 2232 01:52:11,760 --> 01:52:14,760 Speaker 1: more money, they pay more of the tax. So it 2233 01:52:14,800 --> 01:52:18,200 Speaker 1: really is important to think about it in relation to 2234 01:52:18,439 --> 01:52:20,920 Speaker 1: a percent of income. And then also we'll get to 2235 01:52:20,960 --> 01:52:23,719 Speaker 1: in a moment, it also is very different. The picture 2236 01:52:23,800 --> 01:52:26,240 Speaker 1: is very different when you're thinking about income versus when 2237 01:52:26,280 --> 01:52:29,760 Speaker 1: you're thinking about total wealth. And one thing we've talked 2238 01:52:29,800 --> 01:52:32,559 Speaker 1: here a lot about recently is how much the sort 2239 01:52:32,600 --> 01:52:36,280 Speaker 1: of asset and wealth economy is even more important indicator 2240 01:52:36,320 --> 01:52:39,439 Speaker 1: at this point than thinking about just what your income is, 2241 01:52:39,479 --> 01:52:41,360 Speaker 1: because you could have a relatively low income, but if 2242 01:52:41,360 --> 01:52:43,679 Speaker 1: you've got you know, if you own a home, for example, 2243 01:52:43,760 --> 01:52:46,320 Speaker 1: then you're in a much better position. So people have 2244 01:52:46,479 --> 01:52:49,800 Speaker 1: high levels of student loan debt that really puts a 2245 01:52:49,920 --> 01:52:52,360 Speaker 1: huge burden on them in terms of being able to 2246 01:52:52,520 --> 01:52:54,880 Speaker 1: buy a home or have that asset creation that puts 2247 01:52:54,880 --> 01:52:57,040 Speaker 1: them into middle class life. So that's why I think, 2248 01:52:57,479 --> 01:52:59,240 Speaker 1: even as it's not you know, one hundred percent or 2249 01:52:59,280 --> 01:53:01,439 Speaker 1: perfect solution or all that I would see, all that 2250 01:53:01,479 --> 01:53:04,000 Speaker 1: I would want to see, having at least some student 2251 01:53:04,040 --> 01:53:06,960 Speaker 1: loan debt relief will really be significant for a generation 2252 01:53:07,040 --> 01:53:09,040 Speaker 1: that has just kind of screwed over again and again 2253 01:53:09,080 --> 01:53:10,680 Speaker 1: and again their entire life. Let's put the next one 2254 01:53:10,760 --> 01:53:12,799 Speaker 1: up there on the screen, because this is also important. 2255 01:53:13,080 --> 01:53:15,519 Speaker 1: So take a look actually at that pie chart, because 2256 01:53:15,800 --> 01:53:19,200 Speaker 1: the largest amount of the benefit only sixty percent of 2257 01:53:19,200 --> 01:53:21,800 Speaker 1: household bottom sixty percent receive only thirty four percent of 2258 01:53:21,840 --> 01:53:24,400 Speaker 1: the benefit because of the outstanding load of the amount 2259 01:53:24,439 --> 01:53:26,880 Speaker 1: of debt, and people cannot conceive of just how much 2260 01:53:26,960 --> 01:53:29,920 Speaker 1: debt these lawyers and these doctors are holding. And once again, 2261 01:53:30,000 --> 01:53:32,559 Speaker 1: I just am completely against the idea of bailing out 2262 01:53:32,680 --> 01:53:35,240 Speaker 1: these low rate law schools which are charging sixty to 2263 01:53:35,280 --> 01:53:38,240 Speaker 1: one hundred grand, really criminalizing a lot of these students 2264 01:53:38,280 --> 01:53:40,920 Speaker 1: and setting them up for a lifelong Are you supposed though, 2265 01:53:40,960 --> 01:53:43,400 Speaker 1: even to the more like ten thousand dollars or if 2266 01:53:43,400 --> 01:53:45,640 Speaker 1: it's income comany, it depends because once again even on 2267 01:53:45,680 --> 01:53:47,479 Speaker 1: the ten thousand. You know, here's another point which is 2268 01:53:47,560 --> 01:53:49,400 Speaker 1: part of the reason why the student debt is so 2269 01:53:49,479 --> 01:53:52,360 Speaker 1: high amongst the bottom quintile, because the bottom quintile is 2270 01:53:52,360 --> 01:53:54,920 Speaker 1: also disproportionately more likely not to have gone to college 2271 01:53:55,000 --> 01:53:57,479 Speaker 1: or not graduated from college. So the data does show 2272 01:53:57,560 --> 01:54:00,519 Speaker 1: us that if you actually graduate, you're mostly on track 2273 01:54:00,560 --> 01:54:02,000 Speaker 1: in order to pay off your debt if you went 2274 01:54:02,000 --> 01:54:04,760 Speaker 1: to a public university. However, the people who get most 2275 01:54:04,800 --> 01:54:07,320 Speaker 1: screwed who take out loans and then they drop out. 2276 01:54:07,360 --> 01:54:10,040 Speaker 1: So actually, those people I'm the most concerned about, I'd 2277 01:54:10,080 --> 01:54:12,559 Speaker 1: be most in favor of wiping out their debt because 2278 01:54:12,600 --> 01:54:14,799 Speaker 1: they have none of the benefit all of the saddle. 2279 01:54:14,920 --> 01:54:17,200 Speaker 1: So that's really tough. Like I said, and I think 2280 01:54:17,200 --> 01:54:19,320 Speaker 1: about this a little bit like Wall Street. Look, there 2281 01:54:19,400 --> 01:54:21,760 Speaker 1: was a decent case to bail out Wall Street, right, like, Hey, 2282 01:54:21,760 --> 01:54:23,680 Speaker 1: we got to bail out Wall Street. People need be 2283 01:54:23,680 --> 01:54:26,439 Speaker 1: able to make payroll, we need a financial system, all 2284 01:54:26,479 --> 01:54:29,840 Speaker 1: of that, But did we deal with the underlying problem. No, 2285 01:54:30,120 --> 01:54:32,080 Speaker 1: we actually have a probably more of a criminal Wall 2286 01:54:32,080 --> 01:54:34,280 Speaker 1: Street system than we do today than before because we 2287 01:54:34,680 --> 01:54:38,560 Speaker 1: saw the stular borrowers are not equivalent to Wall Street 2288 01:54:38,600 --> 01:54:40,360 Speaker 1: ghules who deserve to go to part right. But but 2289 01:54:40,400 --> 01:54:42,120 Speaker 1: the whole point was at the time is how are 2290 01:54:42,120 --> 01:54:44,400 Speaker 1: people going to make payroll? Normal ask people need to 2291 01:54:44,440 --> 01:54:47,600 Speaker 1: get their paychecks. People all this That's why we did it. Ultimately, 2292 01:54:47,800 --> 01:54:49,600 Speaker 1: in the first place, there was a case, a decent 2293 01:54:49,640 --> 01:54:51,600 Speaker 1: case at the time, that real people's lives were going 2294 01:54:51,640 --> 01:54:54,440 Speaker 1: to be affected by a complete bank collapse, which was correct. 2295 01:54:54,680 --> 01:54:56,840 Speaker 1: But and I think the correct case at the time, 2296 01:54:56,880 --> 01:54:58,760 Speaker 1: which I know you agree with, is we had to 2297 01:54:58,840 --> 01:55:01,800 Speaker 1: change the underlying system, which we did not do. But 2298 01:55:02,560 --> 01:55:04,520 Speaker 1: I don't think it's a good analogy because you're talking 2299 01:55:04,520 --> 01:55:07,080 Speaker 1: about bailing on people who profoundly did not deserve it. 2300 01:55:07,440 --> 01:55:10,440 Speaker 1: This is talking about people who profoundly do deserve it, 2301 01:55:10,480 --> 01:55:13,760 Speaker 1: who were really like sold a bill of goods, you know, 2302 01:55:13,880 --> 01:55:17,640 Speaker 1: walk down this rosy path of just take on the debt, 2303 01:55:17,800 --> 01:55:20,080 Speaker 1: go to college, this is a way to build wealth, 2304 01:55:20,400 --> 01:55:22,400 Speaker 1: and then we're stuck with a bill that is just 2305 01:55:22,440 --> 01:55:24,400 Speaker 1: completely insane and which, by the way, if we're just 2306 01:55:24,440 --> 01:55:26,800 Speaker 1: being real, many of them will never pay. I mean 2307 01:55:26,840 --> 01:55:29,760 Speaker 1: that's part of it too, is like the amount of 2308 01:55:29,800 --> 01:55:33,720 Speaker 1: debt that has been loaded on top of these generations. 2309 01:55:33,760 --> 01:55:36,040 Speaker 1: It's just going to be with them hanging like a 2310 01:55:36,200 --> 01:55:40,920 Speaker 1: rock around their neck for their entire lives. So yeah, 2311 01:55:41,040 --> 01:55:44,000 Speaker 1: it's you know, I would like to see us reform 2312 01:55:44,040 --> 01:55:46,240 Speaker 1: our systems so that we have free public college. I 2313 01:55:46,240 --> 01:55:49,280 Speaker 1: would like to have debt completely wipe down, but I 2314 01:55:49,320 --> 01:55:54,640 Speaker 1: would support even a limited forgiveness so that people can 2315 01:55:54,760 --> 01:55:57,640 Speaker 1: start to get ahead again, because you know, the real 2316 01:55:57,720 --> 01:56:01,080 Speaker 1: path to the American dream this point is to be 2317 01:56:01,120 --> 01:56:02,920 Speaker 1: able to own a home. And if you've got this 2318 01:56:03,040 --> 01:56:05,520 Speaker 1: debt burden on top of you, if your entire life, 2319 01:56:05,560 --> 01:56:08,880 Speaker 1: it makes it so difficult for you to be able 2320 01:56:08,920 --> 01:56:12,640 Speaker 1: to ever become part of the asset ownership plus, which 2321 01:56:12,640 --> 01:56:16,200 Speaker 1: is why we see millennials and Gen z so consistently screwed. 2322 01:56:16,560 --> 01:56:20,400 Speaker 1: We have some this is Let's put Matt Bernigg's analysis 2323 01:56:20,480 --> 01:56:23,240 Speaker 1: up on the screen here because this is interesting as well. 2324 01:56:24,000 --> 01:56:26,720 Speaker 1: He's got just some numbers about what is the current 2325 01:56:26,760 --> 01:56:29,680 Speaker 1: student debt situation. You could see there just how much 2326 01:56:29,880 --> 01:56:33,160 Speaker 1: money is owed somewhere between one point one trillion and 2327 01:56:33,200 --> 01:56:35,320 Speaker 1: one point sixty five trillion. Let's go ahead and put 2328 01:56:35,320 --> 01:56:37,360 Speaker 1: the next piece up on the screen. The next chart 2329 01:56:37,360 --> 01:56:39,520 Speaker 1: that we have here So this makes the case you're 2330 01:56:39,560 --> 01:56:42,000 Speaker 1: making Zaga of if you look at the sheriff's student 2331 01:56:42,040 --> 01:56:45,160 Speaker 1: debt owed by each income quintile, it actually goes up 2332 01:56:45,440 --> 01:56:48,440 Speaker 1: as you become wealthier. But he points out another way 2333 01:56:48,480 --> 01:56:50,520 Speaker 1: of thinking about it is if you look at the 2334 01:56:50,920 --> 01:56:54,440 Speaker 1: sheriff student debt by wealth rather than income, go ahead 2335 01:56:54,480 --> 01:56:56,600 Speaker 1: and put this next piece up on the screen. The 2336 01:56:56,680 --> 01:57:00,520 Speaker 1: dynamic actually flips. And that's partly because if you are 2337 01:57:00,560 --> 01:57:04,040 Speaker 1: weighed down by student debt, then you know, undoubtedly you're 2338 01:57:04,080 --> 01:57:06,960 Speaker 1: going to have less wealth overall because that student debt 2339 01:57:07,040 --> 01:57:09,080 Speaker 1: is putting a tremendous burden on you and bringing your 2340 01:57:09,080 --> 01:57:11,000 Speaker 1: wealth down to really low levels. So you have here 2341 01:57:11,480 --> 01:57:17,240 Speaker 1: the least wealthy fifth quintile has fifty five percent of 2342 01:57:17,280 --> 01:57:20,360 Speaker 1: the share of student debt. So I think, you know 2343 01:57:20,440 --> 01:57:23,200 Speaker 1: that's a really important distinction to make too. Is it's 2344 01:57:23,240 --> 01:57:25,760 Speaker 1: one thing to think about income flows in, but not 2345 01:57:25,920 --> 01:57:28,840 Speaker 1: everybody who is, you know, earning the same level of 2346 01:57:28,840 --> 01:57:30,920 Speaker 1: income is in the same boat in terms of their 2347 01:57:30,960 --> 01:57:33,160 Speaker 1: overall wealth and ability to own assets. Yeah, and let's 2348 01:57:33,160 --> 01:57:34,840 Speaker 1: put the next one up here, just to be entirely 2349 01:57:34,840 --> 01:57:37,320 Speaker 1: clear about what the Biden people are actually considering. So 2350 01:57:37,400 --> 01:57:40,320 Speaker 1: a source familiar Tel's NBC that they are thinking no 2351 01:57:40,400 --> 01:57:42,640 Speaker 1: decision is made and that any loan cancelation would be 2352 01:57:42,640 --> 01:57:45,120 Speaker 1: linked to income. So, according to the people I've spoken to, 2353 01:57:45,320 --> 01:57:47,960 Speaker 1: a ten k up to ten k capped by income 2354 01:57:48,280 --> 01:57:50,480 Speaker 1: is the most likely scenario. Look, I mean, I guess 2355 01:57:50,520 --> 01:57:52,720 Speaker 1: I would be okay with it, but actually think it 2356 01:57:52,720 --> 01:57:55,640 Speaker 1: would be dramatically unpopular. And one of the reasons why 2357 01:57:55,680 --> 01:57:58,400 Speaker 1: I'm against this type of ad hoc type policy is 2358 01:57:58,440 --> 01:58:00,640 Speaker 1: we have to have everybody have some in here. So 2359 01:58:00,720 --> 01:58:02,680 Speaker 1: I would be much more in favor of a ten 2360 01:58:02,720 --> 01:58:05,680 Speaker 1: thousand dollars type wipeout as long as we restructure the 2361 01:58:05,680 --> 01:58:08,920 Speaker 1: incentive systems for all younger Americans. So think about how 2362 01:58:08,960 --> 01:58:12,240 Speaker 1: many working class young people over the last couple of 2363 01:58:12,280 --> 01:58:15,080 Speaker 1: years have been saddled down by credit card debt and others. 2364 01:58:15,080 --> 01:58:17,240 Speaker 1: If you even look at the polling data on why 2365 01:58:17,280 --> 01:58:19,720 Speaker 1: people aren't getting married or having children, the number one 2366 01:58:19,720 --> 01:58:22,320 Speaker 1: reason is financing. So again, in a country where fifty 2367 01:58:22,320 --> 01:58:24,160 Speaker 1: five percent of people don't even go to college, don't 2368 01:58:24,200 --> 01:58:26,560 Speaker 1: even try, they also have an immense amount of debt, 2369 01:58:26,600 --> 01:58:28,760 Speaker 1: I would be much more in favor of Okay, let's 2370 01:58:28,800 --> 01:58:31,760 Speaker 1: say ten k kapa by income. Those people all is 2371 01:58:31,800 --> 01:58:34,000 Speaker 1: here frame it is like a new start, a new deal, 2372 01:58:34,120 --> 01:58:37,200 Speaker 1: some sort of thing for those folks. Because universal systems 2373 01:58:37,240 --> 01:58:40,120 Speaker 1: like social security and medicare where everybody in a generation 2374 01:58:40,160 --> 01:58:43,400 Speaker 1: actually universally benefits from something is just much more preferable 2375 01:58:43,400 --> 01:58:45,600 Speaker 1: to me, because right now this is class warfare. I mean, 2376 01:58:45,680 --> 01:58:48,680 Speaker 1: let's be honest, Like these people are disproportionately Democrats, so 2377 01:58:48,720 --> 01:58:51,800 Speaker 1: it's a bailout also of their own voters. And also 2378 01:58:51,960 --> 01:58:53,800 Speaker 1: it's just I don't think it's right to have the 2379 01:58:53,960 --> 01:58:57,280 Speaker 1: educated class get a bailout when young working class folks 2380 01:58:57,360 --> 01:59:00,640 Speaker 1: who actually pay taxes are getting nothing from it. All 2381 01:59:00,680 --> 01:59:02,880 Speaker 1: depends on what problem you're trying to solve, right If 2382 01:59:02,920 --> 01:59:04,800 Speaker 1: the problem you're trying to solve is just like people 2383 01:59:04,840 --> 01:59:08,080 Speaker 1: have been screwed overall, and so they should get help overall. 2384 01:59:08,240 --> 01:59:11,720 Speaker 1: Like honestly, like, I'm totally good sending out a ten 2385 01:59:11,720 --> 01:59:13,800 Speaker 1: thousand dollars check to everybody in the country and having 2386 01:59:13,840 --> 01:59:17,080 Speaker 1: a happen on a routine basis and you know, redistribution 2387 01:59:17,200 --> 01:59:19,720 Speaker 1: so that we have you know, massive transfer well to 2388 01:59:19,720 --> 01:59:22,440 Speaker 1: make the country less unequal. I am one hundred percent 2389 01:59:22,480 --> 01:59:25,839 Speaker 1: on board with that. I don't hear that particular argument 2390 01:59:25,880 --> 01:59:29,160 Speaker 1: coming from many conservatives. Mostly they just want to argue 2391 01:59:29,200 --> 01:59:32,760 Speaker 1: against any help for anybody. And so you know that 2392 01:59:32,960 --> 01:59:35,000 Speaker 1: if the problem you're trying to solve is people are 2393 01:59:35,000 --> 01:59:37,680 Speaker 1: poor and they need help overall, in general, they've been screwed. Okay, 2394 01:59:37,680 --> 01:59:40,560 Speaker 1: that's one problem that requires a universal solution. If the 2395 01:59:40,600 --> 01:59:43,160 Speaker 1: problem you're trying to solve is people have been screwed over, 2396 01:59:43,240 --> 01:59:48,600 Speaker 1: specifically by the college education system and the massive tuition bills, 2397 01:59:48,960 --> 01:59:51,640 Speaker 1: then this makes more sense as a solution. And by 2398 01:59:51,680 --> 01:59:54,040 Speaker 1: the way, you know, the younger you go on on 2399 01:59:54,160 --> 01:59:57,520 Speaker 1: the demographics scale, the more likely you are to have 2400 01:59:57,560 --> 02:00:03,080 Speaker 1: gone to college. So like gen Z, overwhelming majority do 2401 02:00:03,320 --> 02:00:05,600 Speaker 1: some college. They may not graduate with a four year 2402 02:00:05,640 --> 02:00:07,840 Speaker 1: college degree, which gets your point of like, those are 2403 02:00:07,840 --> 02:00:10,840 Speaker 1: the people who really get screwed. But you know, to 2404 02:00:11,280 --> 02:00:13,800 Speaker 1: paint this as like, oh, it's just for the educated class. 2405 02:00:13,840 --> 02:00:16,080 Speaker 1: I don't think that's fair because you have so many 2406 02:00:16,120 --> 02:00:19,000 Speaker 1: young people now who do go to college because they've 2407 02:00:19,000 --> 02:00:20,680 Speaker 1: been sold this is the only way you can even 2408 02:00:20,720 --> 02:00:24,040 Speaker 1: have a chance at succeeding in American society. So listen 2409 02:00:24,200 --> 02:00:26,720 Speaker 1: to your point. What we're likely looking at here is 2410 02:00:26,960 --> 02:00:30,560 Speaker 1: going to be probably very limited. If it happens ultimately 2411 02:00:30,680 --> 02:00:33,080 Speaker 1: at all, and I think that will limit some of 2412 02:00:33,080 --> 02:00:35,240 Speaker 1: the Republican attacks on it as well, because if it 2413 02:00:35,280 --> 02:00:37,600 Speaker 1: is constrained by income, that makes it much harder to paint. 2414 02:00:37,640 --> 02:00:40,960 Speaker 1: It is just like a wealthy class bailout. But you know, 2415 02:00:41,040 --> 02:00:44,040 Speaker 1: I think it would be at least some help to 2416 02:00:44,520 --> 02:00:47,280 Speaker 1: a lot of people in generations that have been pretty 2417 02:00:47,360 --> 02:00:49,200 Speaker 1: much agreed. We'll see how works out, we will see 2418 02:00:49,200 --> 02:00:52,120 Speaker 1: what happens. Join us now is the executive editor at 2419 02:00:52,120 --> 02:00:54,360 Speaker 1: The American Prospect, the one and only David Day. And 2420 02:00:54,440 --> 02:00:57,880 Speaker 1: great to see David. Good to be here. First of all, 2421 02:00:57,920 --> 02:01:00,320 Speaker 1: I have to just say that I cannot say enough 2422 02:01:00,400 --> 02:01:02,880 Speaker 1: what great work you guys do over the American Prospect. 2423 02:01:02,920 --> 02:01:05,000 Speaker 1: We really lean on it in the show. You guys 2424 02:01:05,040 --> 02:01:08,400 Speaker 1: do in depth analysis that nobody seems to, you know, 2425 02:01:08,440 --> 02:01:10,240 Speaker 1: dig into the numbers the way that you guys do. 2426 02:01:10,320 --> 02:01:11,720 Speaker 1: So I just want to applaud you for the work 2427 02:01:11,720 --> 02:01:14,080 Speaker 1: that you're doing first and foremost. But second of all, 2428 02:01:14,520 --> 02:01:18,200 Speaker 1: we'll get to the news here. Unexpectedly this morning, we 2429 02:01:18,280 --> 02:01:21,120 Speaker 1: have a new report that says that the US economy 2430 02:01:21,160 --> 02:01:24,120 Speaker 1: the GDP shrank at a one point four percent annual 2431 02:01:24,280 --> 02:01:26,760 Speaker 1: rate in the first quarter that is according to the 2432 02:01:26,800 --> 02:01:30,880 Speaker 1: Commerce Department, that is its first contraction since early in 2433 02:01:30,920 --> 02:01:34,080 Speaker 1: the pandemic. Just the news just came out, so I 2434 02:01:34,120 --> 02:01:35,920 Speaker 1: know you're just sorting through it as we are, But 2435 02:01:36,040 --> 02:01:38,440 Speaker 1: what do you make of these numbers? Yeah, I mean, 2436 02:01:38,480 --> 02:01:41,800 Speaker 1: I think the expectation was for pretty slow growth, for 2437 02:01:41,920 --> 02:01:45,000 Speaker 1: something around one percent, so this is a surprise of 2438 02:01:45,040 --> 02:01:49,320 Speaker 1: the downside. I think there are a couple factors. Number One, 2439 02:01:49,840 --> 02:01:54,160 Speaker 1: the first quarter we had Omicron, which really at the 2440 02:01:54,200 --> 02:01:59,240 Speaker 1: beginning of the year was a significant, you know, lead 2441 02:01:59,280 --> 02:02:02,560 Speaker 1: weight on the economy. And then for the last month 2442 02:02:02,600 --> 02:02:04,760 Speaker 1: you had the war in Ukraine and what that did 2443 02:02:04,800 --> 02:02:10,240 Speaker 1: to gas prices. And I think overall you're seeing the 2444 02:02:10,240 --> 02:02:15,120 Speaker 1: effects of inflation on consumer spending. But also, you know, 2445 02:02:15,160 --> 02:02:18,160 Speaker 1: my understanding is that a lot of this has to 2446 02:02:18,200 --> 02:02:22,680 Speaker 1: do with inventory reductions. Can you explain that. Yeah, Yeah, 2447 02:02:22,720 --> 02:02:25,400 Speaker 1: there's a weird thing about GDP where if you end 2448 02:02:25,520 --> 02:02:28,080 Speaker 1: up having a lot of build up of inventory that 2449 02:02:28,200 --> 02:02:30,760 Speaker 1: kind of counts as as part of your gross domestic 2450 02:02:30,800 --> 02:02:34,200 Speaker 1: product because it's sitting there in a warehouse, and if 2451 02:02:34,200 --> 02:02:37,640 Speaker 1: you have less, then it counts less. So sometimes GDP 2452 02:02:37,800 --> 02:02:41,360 Speaker 1: is a little noisy as that goes, And this is 2453 02:02:41,400 --> 02:02:44,920 Speaker 1: also the first advanced estimate, and we'll get a more 2454 02:02:44,960 --> 02:02:48,840 Speaker 1: fine grained understanding of it and it could change from there. 2455 02:02:49,000 --> 02:02:53,400 Speaker 1: But yeah, sometimes you get these weird swings because of inventory. 2456 02:02:54,160 --> 02:02:57,600 Speaker 1: So the other one here is about exports, David, which 2457 02:02:57,680 --> 02:03:00,200 Speaker 1: also you know, links back to what we were going 2458 02:03:00,240 --> 02:03:03,080 Speaker 1: to be talking about with you. I mean, so, why 2459 02:03:03,160 --> 02:03:07,080 Speaker 1: are exports contracting in our trade deficit ballooning, because that 2460 02:03:07,120 --> 02:03:09,760 Speaker 1: also seems to be a significant part of the reduction 2461 02:03:09,840 --> 02:03:13,440 Speaker 1: here in GDP. Yeah, that's I mean, it's it's a 2462 02:03:13,480 --> 02:03:21,520 Speaker 1: good question. Obviously, as demand has increased for goods just 2463 02:03:21,600 --> 02:03:27,440 Speaker 1: basic goods, necessities and and durable goods like furniture, washing 2464 02:03:27,480 --> 02:03:31,960 Speaker 1: machines or whatever. You almost can see it, like, Okay, 2465 02:03:31,960 --> 02:03:34,920 Speaker 1: we don't make any of that stuff. So if the 2466 02:03:35,000 --> 02:03:38,640 Speaker 1: demand increases, the trade deficit is going to increase. People 2467 02:03:38,640 --> 02:03:41,240 Speaker 1: are going to eat the same amount of food. Agriculture 2468 02:03:41,280 --> 02:03:46,200 Speaker 1: is largely our biggest export, So unless people are consuming 2469 02:03:46,320 --> 02:03:49,880 Speaker 1: massive amounts of food, that's going to stay pretty pretty even. 2470 02:03:50,240 --> 02:03:54,920 Speaker 1: But if people are consuming more durable items, just more 2471 02:03:55,160 --> 02:03:58,960 Speaker 1: more stuff that's going to come in from overseas. So 2472 02:03:59,520 --> 02:04:01,920 Speaker 1: that's one way to think about it. So, David, you 2473 02:04:02,000 --> 02:04:04,560 Speaker 1: had a great piece kind of evaluating where we are 2474 02:04:04,560 --> 02:04:06,680 Speaker 1: in terms of the supply chain crisis, where we are 2475 02:04:06,680 --> 02:04:09,080 Speaker 1: in terms of you know, as inflation just continuing to 2476 02:04:09,120 --> 02:04:10,840 Speaker 1: go up and up and up. Are there any signs 2477 02:04:10,840 --> 02:04:12,880 Speaker 1: of that abating and any sectors. Let's go ahead and 2478 02:04:12,920 --> 02:04:15,000 Speaker 1: put this tear sheet up on the screen. It says 2479 02:04:15,000 --> 02:04:18,160 Speaker 1: supply chains are easing or they're not. Our system is 2480 02:04:18,200 --> 02:04:21,120 Speaker 1: so unstable that we could be seeing endless waves of 2481 02:04:21,160 --> 02:04:25,720 Speaker 1: supply dysfunction with dangerous impacts on the economy. You point 2482 02:04:25,760 --> 02:04:28,760 Speaker 1: to the fact that you've got variables pointing in sort 2483 02:04:28,800 --> 02:04:31,960 Speaker 1: of every direction that enable you to look at this 2484 02:04:32,160 --> 02:04:34,800 Speaker 1: a number of different ways. And you also talk about 2485 02:04:34,840 --> 02:04:37,800 Speaker 1: something called the bull whip effect, which is what could 2486 02:04:37,800 --> 02:04:41,560 Speaker 1: cause us sort of careening from one problem to another problem, 2487 02:04:41,600 --> 02:04:43,200 Speaker 1: back and forth. Can you just break some of that 2488 02:04:43,240 --> 02:04:46,280 Speaker 1: down for us, Yeah, I mean the bullwhip effect is 2489 02:04:46,320 --> 02:04:54,000 Speaker 1: this sort of standard understanding of supply chains where it 2490 02:04:54,120 --> 02:04:58,280 Speaker 1: takes time from when you order something if you're a retailer, 2491 02:04:58,520 --> 02:05:03,240 Speaker 1: to actually getting to you and conditions could change in 2492 02:05:03,280 --> 02:05:06,160 Speaker 1: that time period, and that's the bull whip. It's the 2493 02:05:06,240 --> 02:05:08,920 Speaker 1: time for the whip, the crack and then you know, 2494 02:05:09,760 --> 02:05:13,280 Speaker 1: move back, Uh, and and and straighten out again. So 2495 02:05:14,000 --> 02:05:20,880 Speaker 1: uh for example, a lot of companies, fearing that they're 2496 02:05:20,880 --> 02:05:22,680 Speaker 1: not going to be able to get all of their supply, 2497 02:05:22,800 --> 02:05:24,280 Speaker 1: but they might be able to get some of it, 2498 02:05:24,640 --> 02:05:29,280 Speaker 1: they over ordered or double ordered uh in in you know, 2499 02:05:29,360 --> 02:05:33,160 Speaker 1: the past six months, hoping that they'd get something that 2500 02:05:33,200 --> 02:05:38,480 Speaker 1: they'd have to be able to sell. And by the 2501 02:05:38,640 --> 02:05:44,680 Speaker 1: time they actually start getting that stuff, then the demand 2502 02:05:44,760 --> 02:05:49,400 Speaker 1: has shrunk because of inflation, and there's there's now you've 2503 02:05:49,400 --> 02:05:53,680 Speaker 1: gone from shortage to glut. And there was a sense, 2504 02:05:54,000 --> 02:05:56,840 Speaker 1: especially in the beginning of April. I mean, the the 2505 02:05:56,840 --> 02:06:00,520 Speaker 1: GDP number comes out now and we were a month 2506 02:06:00,600 --> 02:06:07,040 Speaker 1: into beyond where the GDP is measuring, So April in particular, 2507 02:06:08,240 --> 02:06:13,320 Speaker 1: you started to see this softening in freight, particularly trucking, 2508 02:06:14,280 --> 02:06:18,440 Speaker 1: where there just weren't as many orders being asked for 2509 02:06:18,760 --> 02:06:22,680 Speaker 1: to you know, move goods and things like that. And 2510 02:06:22,760 --> 02:06:25,800 Speaker 1: you're seeing what could be what has been described by 2511 02:06:26,240 --> 02:06:31,320 Speaker 1: some experts as a recession in trucking. And that's because 2512 02:06:31,320 --> 02:06:36,280 Speaker 1: of lower consumer spending, right, but the goods are already 2513 02:06:36,320 --> 02:06:38,240 Speaker 1: on the way by the time we get the lower 2514 02:06:38,280 --> 02:06:41,280 Speaker 1: consumer spending, and so you could end up with this 2515 02:06:41,440 --> 02:06:44,320 Speaker 1: glut from these retailers that have a bunch of inventory 2516 02:06:44,360 --> 02:06:46,760 Speaker 1: they can't sell. Now that's like sort of you know, 2517 02:06:46,920 --> 02:06:50,240 Speaker 1: happening on the you know, it's kind of happening in 2518 02:06:50,280 --> 02:06:54,680 Speaker 1: real time. But the other part of this that cuts 2519 02:06:54,720 --> 02:06:59,480 Speaker 1: against that whole concept is the fact that Shanghai has 2520 02:06:59,520 --> 02:07:01,920 Speaker 1: been locked down for three weeks and now we're seeing 2521 02:07:02,000 --> 02:07:06,720 Speaker 1: Beijing potentially going into lockdown. Shanghai is more important as 2522 02:07:06,760 --> 02:07:12,040 Speaker 1: manufacturing goes because it's more of a hub you could see. 2523 02:07:12,280 --> 02:07:14,400 Speaker 1: You know, you have factories that have been shut down 2524 02:07:14,400 --> 02:07:18,840 Speaker 1: for a month, and for basic items, for things that 2525 02:07:18,880 --> 02:07:23,560 Speaker 1: people just ordinarily consume, that's going to create shortages, and 2526 02:07:23,600 --> 02:07:27,200 Speaker 1: it could create shortages of component parts for manufacturing in 2527 02:07:27,240 --> 02:07:30,120 Speaker 1: other parts of the world. And so the bull whip 2528 02:07:30,160 --> 02:07:32,960 Speaker 1: is going to whip back, right, I mean, you have 2529 02:07:33,120 --> 02:07:35,960 Speaker 1: this shortage, you went to glut, and now you might 2530 02:07:36,000 --> 02:07:40,960 Speaker 1: go back to shortage, and it's just an indicator of 2531 02:07:41,040 --> 02:07:45,600 Speaker 1: the essential instability of the way that our commerce and 2532 02:07:45,720 --> 02:07:49,400 Speaker 1: logistics systems work. Right now, Well, that's the point is 2533 02:07:50,040 --> 02:07:52,680 Speaker 1: this is none of this has to be built that way. 2534 02:07:53,120 --> 02:07:56,480 Speaker 1: It's just that you know, this micro thin like ability 2535 02:07:56,520 --> 02:07:59,760 Speaker 1: to have a slightly higher profit margin trumped any sort 2536 02:07:59,800 --> 02:08:03,440 Speaker 1: of focus on resiliency that would keep us from careening 2537 02:08:03,480 --> 02:08:07,000 Speaker 1: from crisis to crisis to crisis and having such fragility 2538 02:08:07,280 --> 02:08:09,760 Speaker 1: built in, which is really what's been exposed over the 2539 02:08:09,760 --> 02:08:13,560 Speaker 1: past couple of years. David. I'm also wondering are we 2540 02:08:13,640 --> 02:08:17,360 Speaker 1: seeing impacts from the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates and 2541 02:08:17,400 --> 02:08:19,520 Speaker 1: indicating they're going to do that at at least the 2542 02:08:19,520 --> 02:08:22,960 Speaker 1: same pace, potentially at even more accelerated pace, and also 2543 02:08:23,080 --> 02:08:26,120 Speaker 1: indicating that they're planning to sell, you know, get unload 2544 02:08:26,160 --> 02:08:29,880 Speaker 1: assets from their balance sheet at a pretty good clip 2545 02:08:29,920 --> 02:08:32,360 Speaker 1: as well. Are we seeing an impact from that policy 2546 02:08:32,360 --> 02:08:36,040 Speaker 1: play out here too? I think not direct effects yet 2547 02:08:36,080 --> 02:08:39,280 Speaker 1: because they've only raised a quarter point at this point. 2548 02:08:39,320 --> 02:08:43,000 Speaker 1: There's an expectation of a half pointer, maybe even the 2549 02:08:43,280 --> 02:08:49,560 Speaker 1: point seventy five point rise in May. But expectations are 2550 02:08:49,640 --> 02:08:52,680 Speaker 1: trending in that direction, and that particularly comes through the 2551 02:08:52,800 --> 02:08:57,360 Speaker 1: channel of mortgages. Mortgage rates are over five percent and 2552 02:08:57,440 --> 02:08:59,440 Speaker 1: so it costs a lot more to buy a home. 2553 02:09:00,360 --> 02:09:03,040 Speaker 1: We're starting to see that play out and some softening 2554 02:09:03,600 --> 02:09:09,240 Speaker 1: of housing markets. But to get back to your point, 2555 02:09:09,320 --> 02:09:12,960 Speaker 1: I think there's one very key thing that you can 2556 02:09:13,000 --> 02:09:17,560 Speaker 1: say about the Federal Reserves intention to increase these interest 2557 02:09:17,640 --> 02:09:22,040 Speaker 1: rates to break the back of inflation. And that's to 2558 02:09:22,640 --> 02:09:26,800 Speaker 1: ask the question, what are increased interest rates? How are 2559 02:09:26,840 --> 02:09:30,960 Speaker 1: they going to end the lockdown in Shanghai? How are 2560 02:09:31,000 --> 02:09:34,120 Speaker 1: they going to stop the five hundred ships that are 2561 02:09:34,160 --> 02:09:38,240 Speaker 1: currently off the coast of Shanghai Harbor. How are they 2562 02:09:38,240 --> 02:09:41,960 Speaker 1: going to shrink that number? They're not. I mean, we 2563 02:09:42,040 --> 02:09:47,440 Speaker 1: have a supply problem, and the FED is targeting demand essentially, 2564 02:09:47,880 --> 02:09:51,640 Speaker 1: is the issue to me, and I think what we've 2565 02:09:51,680 --> 02:09:57,680 Speaker 1: seen is not only the chaos that can arise from 2566 02:09:58,520 --> 02:10:03,040 Speaker 1: a pandemic, the fact that we're in kind of a 2567 02:10:03,080 --> 02:10:05,920 Speaker 1: world where there are these threats to supply shocks at 2568 02:10:05,920 --> 02:10:09,800 Speaker 1: every turn. I mean, the war in Ukraine has been 2569 02:10:10,080 --> 02:10:15,880 Speaker 1: a much bigger spur, particularly on food prices, wheat being 2570 02:10:15,920 --> 02:10:21,560 Speaker 1: a very major commodity export out of Ukraine. We've seen 2571 02:10:21,560 --> 02:10:25,960 Speaker 1: that be a much bigger deal and of course oil 2572 02:10:26,520 --> 02:10:30,920 Speaker 1: than than what we saw in the two years leading 2573 02:10:31,000 --> 02:10:37,840 Speaker 1: up to the pandemic. Climate issues have been periodically problems 2574 02:10:38,040 --> 02:10:42,160 Speaker 1: for supply. Last year in China, the Yantsee River flooding 2575 02:10:42,560 --> 02:10:45,880 Speaker 1: led to a lot of production delays. A heat wave 2576 02:10:46,440 --> 02:10:50,760 Speaker 1: led because of the way in which China's energy sector 2577 02:10:50,800 --> 02:10:54,920 Speaker 1: goes led to shutdowns at factories of electricity for several weeks, 2578 02:10:55,200 --> 02:10:58,520 Speaker 1: and that led to shutdowns we've seen like freak fires. 2579 02:10:58,720 --> 02:11:02,960 Speaker 1: There was a fire in Japan that reduced a lot 2580 02:11:02,960 --> 02:11:06,880 Speaker 1: of semiconductor capacity, and then there was a fire early 2581 02:11:06,960 --> 02:11:10,320 Speaker 1: this year in Berlin at the factory that makes the 2582 02:11:10,360 --> 02:11:17,560 Speaker 1: machines that make semiconductors. Right, So I mean there we don't. 2583 02:11:18,040 --> 02:11:22,560 Speaker 1: I mean, we've been able to make the very long 2584 02:11:22,720 --> 02:11:28,400 Speaker 1: intermediated supply chains work for I mean work to the extent, 2585 02:11:28,480 --> 02:11:30,959 Speaker 1: not really for workers, but at least for cheap prices 2586 02:11:31,240 --> 02:11:35,320 Speaker 1: for a long time. But I feel like the threats 2587 02:11:35,720 --> 02:11:39,560 Speaker 1: to this are rising. The hidden risks that this kind 2588 02:11:39,600 --> 02:11:43,880 Speaker 1: of system draws out have risen over the last several years, 2589 02:11:43,880 --> 02:11:49,440 Speaker 1: whether it's through more political unrest, climate and extreme weather 2590 02:11:49,480 --> 02:11:56,360 Speaker 1: events and now a pandemic, and I think it demands 2591 02:11:56,560 --> 02:11:59,200 Speaker 1: a rethink of this system. I think that we are 2592 02:11:59,280 --> 02:12:01,560 Speaker 1: all living through that in real time. David, thank you 2593 02:12:01,600 --> 02:12:03,160 Speaker 1: so much for breaking it down. Great to see you, 2594 02:12:03,200 --> 02:12:06,360 Speaker 1: thank you, absolutely, thank you, pleasure, thank you guys so 2595 02:12:06,480 --> 02:12:08,680 Speaker 1: much for watching. We really appreciate it. And I'll just 2596 02:12:08,680 --> 02:12:10,800 Speaker 1: read it orate it one more time. Look, I mean, 2597 02:12:10,920 --> 02:12:12,400 Speaker 1: you know when the Washington Posts and then we're coming 2598 02:12:12,440 --> 02:12:15,520 Speaker 1: after me and by extension you by demeaning us, definitely, 2599 02:12:15,560 --> 02:12:19,280 Speaker 1: and yeah go denigrating. I would associate myself such a 2600 02:12:19,360 --> 02:12:23,320 Speaker 1: villainous character. All I could think about was thank God 2601 02:12:23,440 --> 02:12:26,480 Speaker 1: that we have you guys, our audience, our supporters, and 2602 02:12:26,520 --> 02:12:28,880 Speaker 1: the premium subs. By building the business the way that 2603 02:12:28,880 --> 02:12:30,600 Speaker 1: we did, it makes us as we can actually stand 2604 02:12:30,680 --> 02:12:33,000 Speaker 1: up to them. So thank you all so much for 2605 02:12:33,120 --> 02:12:36,000 Speaker 1: your support at this time. It really does mean more 2606 02:12:36,000 --> 02:12:37,960 Speaker 1: than you can ever know. We really appreciate it. And 2607 02:12:38,120 --> 02:12:40,480 Speaker 1: you know where look for your hard earned money. We 2608 02:12:40,560 --> 02:12:42,800 Speaker 1: are using it as best as we possibly can. We've 2609 02:12:42,840 --> 02:12:45,960 Speaker 1: got all these new partnerships. We got Jordan Sheridan who's 2610 02:12:46,000 --> 02:12:47,720 Speaker 1: on the ground. We're just talking to him. He's got 2611 02:12:47,720 --> 02:12:50,000 Speaker 1: a new place he's gonna be visiting, traveling for us. 2612 02:12:50,000 --> 02:12:52,200 Speaker 1: Got an exclusive footage. We're gonna have a highlight reel 2613 02:12:52,240 --> 02:12:54,200 Speaker 1: of all of his interviews. It's going to drop over 2614 02:12:54,200 --> 02:12:57,000 Speaker 1: the weekend. Marshall's been doing great interviews. Kyle's clips have 2615 02:12:57,080 --> 02:12:59,760 Speaker 1: been doing great as well. We've got Maximilian Alvarez. Matt 2616 02:12:59,760 --> 02:13:01,960 Speaker 1: Stole is coming into the studio right whenever we're done 2617 02:13:01,960 --> 02:13:04,320 Speaker 1: today to film something new for all of you. James 2618 02:13:04,400 --> 02:13:07,760 Speaker 1: Lee's video is fantastic, so yeah, all of it is 2619 02:13:07,800 --> 02:13:10,240 Speaker 1: just geared towards how can we give you the best 2620 02:13:10,280 --> 02:13:13,120 Speaker 1: possible value for your money. Now, we've got the newsletter 2621 02:13:13,160 --> 02:13:15,840 Speaker 1: going as well a written description of everything we talk 2622 02:13:15,880 --> 02:13:17,720 Speaker 1: about in the show, so we're just going to keep 2623 02:13:17,760 --> 02:13:19,920 Speaker 1: on building here. Guys. Thank you all so much. Yeah, 2624 02:13:19,960 --> 02:13:22,680 Speaker 1: we have never I think been more grateful for you 2625 02:13:22,760 --> 02:13:24,680 Speaker 1: all because it does provide you piece of more Like 2626 02:13:24,800 --> 02:13:26,400 Speaker 1: the watching post thing is a pain in the ass, 2627 02:13:26,400 --> 02:13:28,560 Speaker 1: and it's not cost free because the more that we 2628 02:13:28,600 --> 02:13:31,800 Speaker 1: get pushed down of like mainstream respectability obviously you know 2629 02:13:31,840 --> 02:13:34,320 Speaker 1: that determines our treatment with Algor them all those sorts 2630 02:13:34,360 --> 02:13:36,720 Speaker 1: of things. But it really does give you peace of 2631 02:13:36,800 --> 02:13:40,200 Speaker 1: mind that you know, yeah, we're going to be fine 2632 02:13:40,240 --> 02:13:42,120 Speaker 1: and we know you guys are gonna back us up 2633 02:13:42,120 --> 02:13:45,120 Speaker 1: and back Sagger up. So we have never been more grateful. 2634 02:13:45,240 --> 02:13:46,920 Speaker 1: We love you guys. We got a lot of great 2635 02:13:46,960 --> 02:13:49,000 Speaker 1: content to post for you this weekend, so make sure 2636 02:13:49,040 --> 02:13:50,480 Speaker 1: you watch out for that and we'll see you back 2637 02:13:50,480 --> 02:13:51,640 Speaker 1: for a full show on Monday,