WEBVTT - Ep 43 M-m-m-my Coronaviruses

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<v Speaker 1>Fang Lind began to feel feverish just as the weather

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<v Speaker 1>was starting to turn dry. Fang made it through that

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<v Speaker 1>day and night, having to pause during his work in

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<v Speaker 1>the chop room to catch his breath, and he took

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<v Speaker 1>frequent cigarette breaks on the back stairs. The next evening,

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<v Speaker 1>when he went up for a cigarette break and sat

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<v Speaker 1>down on the back steps, he couldn't get up. His

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<v Speaker 1>fever had climbed, probably to over one hundred three degrees,

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<v Speaker 1>and he found that no matter how deeply he breathed,

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<v Speaker 1>he felt perpetually winded. His body aggs had reached a

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<v Speaker 1>point where whatever position he stood or sat in, he

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<v Speaker 1>felt as if his muscles were being pulled from his bones.

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<v Speaker 1>The anti febrow medication did nothing to assuage his fever,

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<v Speaker 1>which may have spiked north of one hundred four point

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<v Speaker 1>five twice. He was unable to rouse himself from his

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<v Speaker 1>sleeping palate in time to reach the toilet in the hall,

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<v Speaker 1>each time, soiling his trousers. He found that if he

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<v Speaker 1>moved even slightly to roll over or sit up, he

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<v Speaker 1>would be completely out of breath. The muscle agges were

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<v Speaker 1>so severe he recalls that he found staying still unbearable,

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<v Speaker 1>yet any movement would leave him gasping for breath. What

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<v Speaker 1>was happening to him? Fang knew he was ill, but

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<v Speaker 1>he still assumed he was suffering from another of those

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<v Speaker 1>respiratory infections that regularly burned to the click. Everyone seemed

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<v Speaker 1>to have a hacking cough of some sort. Whether it

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<v Speaker 1>was due to cigarettes, persistent asthma, or air pollution was

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<v Speaker 1>impossible to say, but he had been on his back

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<v Speaker 1>for several days now and wasn't feeling any better. Most

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<v Speaker 1>terrifying for him when he was conscious was the sense that,

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<v Speaker 1>no matter how deeply he breathed, he felt that what

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<v Speaker 1>he was inhaling was not oxygen, but some other odorless,

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<v Speaker 1>tasteless gas with similar properties, but without the life sustaining

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<v Speaker 1>force of simple oxygen. He was running out of air,

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<v Speaker 1>yet he felt he was breathing freely. He now had

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<v Speaker 1>to stay perfectly still. To move was to suffocate. Stay

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<v Speaker 1>still and breathe breathe as deeply as possible. On about

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<v Speaker 1>the sixth day of his illness, he lost all track

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<v Speaker 1>of his environment. From then on, there were only dark

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<v Speaker 1>dreams and the sensation that his life was literally being

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<v Speaker 1>squeezed from him. His muscle aches would come in steady,

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<v Speaker 1>rolling waves, and would peek as gripping cramps around his

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<v Speaker 1>spine and in his neck and upper legs, a dreadful

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<v Speaker 1>tightening that would coincide with a gasping inability to draw

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<v Speaker 1>in enough oxygen. He lay still and struggled to stay

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<v Speaker 1>awake so that he could focus on maintaining his steady,

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<v Speaker 1>ineffectual breathing. He feared that if he fell asleep, he

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<v Speaker 1>might forget to breathe, and that would be it. Perhaps

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<v Speaker 1>that is what dying is. He wondered, your body forgetting

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<v Speaker 1>how to breathe. But he did begin to drift off,

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<v Speaker 1>always remembering even in his unconscious state, that he must

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<v Speaker 1>stay still. Any movement at all, even a wiggling of toes,

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<v Speaker 1>even blinking, used precious oxygen. That was air he didn't have.

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<v Speaker 1>So he lay perfectly still, and in those moments between

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<v Speaker 1>severe cramps and muscle aches, when his bowels were settled,

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<v Speaker 1>he would drift into dark snatches of unconsciousness. But it

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<v Speaker 1>was a cruel sleep, one that never let him forget

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<v Speaker 1>for even a moment his suffering. During those naps, he

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<v Speaker 1>would always feel very far from home and very alone,

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<v Speaker 1>a terrified idea began to glow in the darkness. He

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<v Speaker 1>would die far from home, away from his family. He

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<v Speaker 1>understood finally the importance of that Chinese tradition of rushing

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<v Speaker 1>home when you were ill, even if only to pass away.

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<v Speaker 1>And then he thought of another matter. Who would pay

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<v Speaker 1>for the cost of his funeral arrangements?

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<v Speaker 2>Oof?

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<v Speaker 1>Aaron Oof indeed Erin. That was adapted from chapter seven

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<v Speaker 1>of China Syndrome by Carl Taro Greenfeld, and that description

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<v Speaker 1>was of SARS SARS. Yes. And on this episode of

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<v Speaker 1>this podcast, Will Kill You, we are talking all things coronavirus.

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<v Speaker 2>Because you guys asked for it and we oblige. I'm

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<v Speaker 2>Aaron Welsh and I'm Erin Alman Updike.

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome, Welcome. So this episode we're talking all things coronavirus,

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<v Speaker 1>which means the endemic ones that cause basically like a

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<v Speaker 1>mild cold in humans, SARS mers and then the twenty

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen novel Coronavirus, which doesn't yet have a catchy acronym, right.

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<v Speaker 1>And the reason that we're talking about all of these

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<v Speaker 1>is because, for one thing, they are all related to

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<v Speaker 1>one another. And what we can tell about those twenty

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen novel coronavirus. A lot of that comes from the

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<v Speaker 1>information that we have from these other coronaviruses, so we

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<v Speaker 1>wanted to give you the full picture of all these things.

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<v Speaker 2>We were not planning on covering coronavirus this season, no,

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<v Speaker 2>but yeah, it's making big headlines and for good reason.

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<v Speaker 2>So we want to help everyone to understand what coronaviruses

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<v Speaker 2>are and as much as we can let you know

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<v Speaker 2>about what's going on with the current coronavirus outbreak. A

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<v Speaker 2>few things to keep in mind, we are not experts.

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<v Speaker 1>Once more, for the people in the back, we are

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<v Speaker 1>not experts, so.

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<v Speaker 2>We are not the ones on the ground doing this

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<v Speaker 2>research working on this outbreak. We are going to tell

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<v Speaker 2>you what we know, and because we're not experts, we're

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<v Speaker 2>going to bring in some people who have much more

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<v Speaker 2>expertise than we do to talk about what's going on

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<v Speaker 2>with the current novel coronavirus outbreak. But we will do

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<v Speaker 2>what we do best, which is tell you about the

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<v Speaker 2>biology and the history of coronaviruses in general.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah. Should we also note that we are recording this

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<v Speaker 1>on oh nine thirty am on February second.

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<v Speaker 2>This is something that's happening so rapidly that by the

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<v Speaker 2>time you listen to it things will be drastically different.

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<v Speaker 1>The earliest you would be hearing this is on February fourth,

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<v Speaker 1>so it's likely that some of the numbers that we

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<v Speaker 1>are reporting about the twenty nineteen novel Coronavirus will have changed,

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<v Speaker 1>but hopefully the broad strokes will still be enough to

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<v Speaker 1>get you the information that you want and will.

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<v Speaker 2>Also point you in the direction of where you can

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<v Speaker 2>find reputable sources to stay abreast on what's going on

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<v Speaker 2>with the current outbreak.

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<v Speaker 1>Yes, I guess though we should start with quarantinies.

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<v Speaker 2>We should because we must.

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<v Speaker 1>This week's quarantini is called the breath Taker, and it's

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<v Speaker 1>called that because that was the colloquial name for Sars

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<v Speaker 1>in China when it first started making the rounds. I

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<v Speaker 1>love it, and Aaron, what's in the Breathtaker?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, it has to start, of course with a Corona.

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<v Speaker 1>And we should also point out that Corona beer has

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<v Speaker 1>nothing to do with coronavirus.

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<v Speaker 2>At all, and this is not sponsored.

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<v Speaker 1>Not sponsored. It also has Ento Ray's chili liqueur and

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<v Speaker 1>some lime juice and some Tomatio salsa.

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<v Speaker 2>A little spicy something or other to get you through

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<v Speaker 2>this episode.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's basically like immachillada.

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<v Speaker 2>And we will post the full recipe for this quarantini

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<v Speaker 2>as well as our non alcoholic plus e ber rita

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<v Speaker 2>on our website, This podcast will kill you dot com

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<v Speaker 2>and all of our social media channels.

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<v Speaker 1>Okay, I mean I think we should probably just jump

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<v Speaker 1>right it, and people are already chomping at the bit.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, they want it. We should just we should stop

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<v Speaker 2>messing around here. Let's take a quick break and then

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<v Speaker 2>we'll talk biology.

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<v Speaker 3>Sounds great.

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<v Speaker 2>Straight off the bat, I want to let y'all know

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<v Speaker 2>that coronaviruses are nothing new. Nope, nothing new. This novel

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<v Speaker 2>coronavirus that's making headlines is a new individual specific virus. Yes. However, coronaviruses,

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<v Speaker 2>like say, influenza viruses, are a large group of RNA

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<v Speaker 2>viruses that we not only have known about for a

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<v Speaker 2>long time, but have been circulating among humans and many

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<v Speaker 2>many other species of animals for a very very long time. Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>fun fact, this is my only fun fact the whole episode.

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<v Speaker 2>Corona means crown, and the reason that coronaviruses are called

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<v Speaker 2>crown viruses is because when you look at them on

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<v Speaker 2>a scanning electron microscope. They have a little halo crown

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<v Speaker 2>of proteins around the outside.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh, cute viral royalty, Yes, royal virus.

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<v Speaker 2>That's the end of my fun fact. Here's how kind

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<v Speaker 2>of this episode biology is going to be structured. All right. First,

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<v Speaker 2>we're going to talk about the most common human coronaviruses

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<v Speaker 2>in general. These are the ones that circulate all the time.

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<v Speaker 2>Almost definitely if you are listening to this podcast, you've

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<v Speaker 2>been infected with a coronavirus at some point in your life.

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<v Speaker 2>And then we'll talk about the three big headline grabbing

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<v Speaker 2>coronaviruses that is stars, Mers and the Newest twenty nineteen

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<v Speaker 2>and Covy.

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<v Speaker 1>Cool gotcha sounds great?

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<v Speaker 2>All right, So coronaviruses in general, there are several different

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<v Speaker 2>large groups of coronaviruses and a lot of them actually

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<v Speaker 2>infect animals, all different kinds of animals, pigs, chickens, cats,

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<v Speaker 2>and in animals they often cause gi illness, so like

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<v Speaker 2>diarrhea and stuff like that, but they can also cause

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<v Speaker 2>respiratory illness. There are four human coronaviruses that are really

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<v Speaker 2>common and they cause the common cold. Yeah, so these

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<v Speaker 2>are upper respiratory tract infections in general. So the question

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<v Speaker 2>first that we like to answer is what exactly do

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<v Speaker 2>they do in your body and how do they make

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<v Speaker 2>you sick? What is their path of physiology? It turns

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<v Speaker 2>out that for the four human coronaviruses, we don't entirely

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<v Speaker 2>know their path of physiology because, like for many viruses,

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<v Speaker 2>we don't have really great animal models to study them.

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<v Speaker 2>But from some really interesting and probably ethically questionable studies

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<v Speaker 2>that they've done in humans where they intentionally infect quote

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<v Speaker 2>unquote volunteers. When were these studies from the eighties and

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<v Speaker 2>early two thousands.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh, okay, that's yeah, that's yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Anyways, what we do know from these studies is that

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<v Speaker 2>these four human coronaviruses colonize the upper respiratory tract, so

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<v Speaker 2>your nose and throat in general, okay, And we know

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<v Speaker 2>that they invade and replicate in your respiratory epithelium, so

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<v Speaker 2>the sort of first cells lining your respiratory tract. So

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<v Speaker 2>in the case of these four common coronaviruses, that's pretty

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<v Speaker 2>much where they seem to stop. They're not super infectious

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<v Speaker 2>in these human studies, up to like a third of

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<v Speaker 2>people that they inoculated didn't actually even get infected with

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<v Speaker 2>the virus, and most of those that did had very

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<v Speaker 2>mild or maybe moderate colds. So we all know what

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<v Speaker 2>the common cold looks like, right, Aaron, what kinds of

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<v Speaker 2>symptoms do you have?

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<v Speaker 1>Running nose? Hmmm, sneezing, coughing.

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<v Speaker 2>There you go, exactly, yeah, So these are very mild

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<v Speaker 2>upper respiratory symptoms. Cough, runny nose, stuffy nose. Maybe you

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<v Speaker 2>get a headache, maybe rarely you'd spike a fever, but

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<v Speaker 2>in general you're not all that sick. The way that

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<v Speaker 2>common cold viruses like coronavirus are generally transmitted is by

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<v Speaker 2>respiratory droplets. So since they make you cough and sneeze,

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<v Speaker 2>when you cough and sneeze, you cough and sneeze out

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<v Speaker 2>liquid droplets full of virus, and that's how the next

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<v Speaker 2>person gets infected. So it's not like something like measles

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<v Speaker 2>that we talked about that can hang out airborne in

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<v Speaker 2>the room for many, many hours in the air. These

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<v Speaker 2>are viruses that are contained in water droplets that you

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<v Speaker 2>cough and sneeze out. It is also possible that these

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<v Speaker 2>droplets can land on surfaces and the virus can then

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<v Speaker 2>live on these surfaces and be transmitted from say a

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<v Speaker 2>doorknob to your mouth if you touch a doorknob and

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<v Speaker 2>then touch your mouth. That makes sense, yes, Okay, So

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<v Speaker 2>that's the four common coronaviruses. They don't cause a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of morbidity or illness, They don't cause a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>mortality except in very, very very rare cases. And it's

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<v Speaker 2>estimated that anywhere from ten to thirty percent of all

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<v Speaker 2>common colds around the world are caused by one of

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<v Speaker 2>these four coronaviruses. Huh yeah, so there's really common. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>And I think that's important to keep in mind because

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<v Speaker 2>even when Stars first came on the scene, while we'll

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<v Speaker 2>see that it was very novel in the type of

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<v Speaker 2>disease and this verity of disease it caused, it wasn't

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<v Speaker 2>a completely unknown alien invasion virus, right, and neither is

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<v Speaker 2>this new novel coronavirus that's circulating today. Okay, So let's

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<v Speaker 2>get into the more serious things, and that starts with SARS.

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<v Speaker 2>SARS stands for severe acute respiratory syndrome. What was novel

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<v Speaker 2>about SARS when it first came on the scene in

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<v Speaker 2>two thousand and two is that it caused a very

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<v Speaker 2>serious illness in people. It caused an illness that was

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<v Speaker 2>so severe, especially compared to what coronaviruses normally cause, which

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<v Speaker 2>was like a cough and runny nose, that we didn't

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<v Speaker 2>recognize it as a coronavirus for a long time. And

0:14:44.360 --> 0:14:46.320
<v Speaker 2>there's a number of reasons for that, many of which

0:14:46.320 --> 0:14:50.320
<v Speaker 2>I'm sure Aaron you'll get into, right, okay, But at

0:14:50.400 --> 0:14:53.760
<v Speaker 2>least in part, it's because we're we didn't expect before

0:14:53.880 --> 0:14:56.880
<v Speaker 2>SARS that coronaviruses could cause the kind of disease we

0:14:56.920 --> 0:15:02.160
<v Speaker 2>saw with SARS, right, So why did we see more

0:15:02.200 --> 0:15:08.120
<v Speaker 2>severe infection? And the answer is that while SARS still

0:15:08.320 --> 0:15:13.360
<v Speaker 2>mostly affects the respiratory tract, unlike the other coronaviruses, SARS

0:15:13.440 --> 0:15:17.200
<v Speaker 2>is able to extend its infection to the lower respiratory tract,

0:15:17.880 --> 0:15:21.280
<v Speaker 2>so not just your nose and throat, but actually colonize

0:15:21.320 --> 0:15:24.560
<v Speaker 2>your lungs and cause disease in your lungs itself.

0:15:25.240 --> 0:15:28.160
<v Speaker 1>What allows the sarskv to do that, Like, what is

0:15:28.160 --> 0:15:33.040
<v Speaker 1>stopping the other four endemic milder coronaviruses from invading your lungs?

0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:35.960
<v Speaker 2>Good question, and This was one of my I put

0:15:36.000 --> 0:15:38.120
<v Speaker 2>a little asterisk next to this because I thought you

0:15:38.200 --> 0:15:43.960
<v Speaker 2>might ask it, so let's talk about it. So, remember

0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:46.800
<v Speaker 2>that viruses can't replicate on their own right. They have

0:15:46.840 --> 0:15:49.880
<v Speaker 2>to enter our cells in order to replicate and then

0:15:50.000 --> 0:15:53.320
<v Speaker 2>use our cellular machinery in order to replicate and make

0:15:53.360 --> 0:15:56.280
<v Speaker 2>new viruses. So in order to do that, they have

0:15:56.320 --> 0:15:58.480
<v Speaker 2>to get into our cells, and the first step in

0:15:58.560 --> 0:16:01.400
<v Speaker 2>doing that is to bind to some receptors on our

0:16:01.480 --> 0:16:05.640
<v Speaker 2>cells and use those receptors to get into our cells.

0:16:06.520 --> 0:16:10.360
<v Speaker 2>Different viruses use different proteins and bind to different proteins

0:16:10.400 --> 0:16:14.600
<v Speaker 2>in our cells. And what proteins they bind to and

0:16:14.760 --> 0:16:17.520
<v Speaker 2>where in our body those proteins are found, like what

0:16:17.680 --> 0:16:22.720
<v Speaker 2>cell types have those proteins determines what's called the tropism

0:16:23.080 --> 0:16:26.560
<v Speaker 2>of the virus, what organs in our body the virus

0:16:26.600 --> 0:16:27.920
<v Speaker 2>tends to invade.

0:16:27.880 --> 0:16:30.720
<v Speaker 1>Oh, like where it goes? Okay, yeah, exactly.

0:16:31.400 --> 0:16:34.920
<v Speaker 2>And so in the case of SARS, we found out

0:16:35.160 --> 0:16:37.960
<v Speaker 2>later we know now that SARS binds to a protein

0:16:38.000 --> 0:16:43.720
<v Speaker 2>called ACE two angiotensin converting enzyme. This protein is expressed

0:16:44.000 --> 0:16:47.560
<v Speaker 2>in very high concentrations in our lungs and also in

0:16:47.600 --> 0:16:50.960
<v Speaker 2>our small intestine and some other organs too, kidneys, et cetera.

0:16:51.600 --> 0:16:54.240
<v Speaker 2>Because this is the protein that SARS uses to bind,

0:16:54.280 --> 0:16:56.960
<v Speaker 2>it was able to then invade our lungs because our

0:16:57.080 --> 0:17:02.120
<v Speaker 2>lung tissue has a lot of ACE on its. I

0:17:02.160 --> 0:17:06.240
<v Speaker 2>didn't look up exactly what proteins the other four coronaviruses

0:17:06.359 --> 0:17:09.119
<v Speaker 2>used to invade, because there's four of them and that

0:17:09.200 --> 0:17:11.760
<v Speaker 2>would be too long of an episode. But it's not

0:17:11.960 --> 0:17:16.920
<v Speaker 2>generally ACE, right, So the other coronaviruses use different receptors

0:17:16.920 --> 0:17:20.240
<v Speaker 2>that they recognize that are located more in the upper

0:17:20.280 --> 0:17:21.119
<v Speaker 2>respiratory tract.

0:17:21.560 --> 0:17:25.919
<v Speaker 1>It seems like knowing the proteins that these viruses bind

0:17:25.960 --> 0:17:28.920
<v Speaker 1>to would be great targets for treatment.

0:17:29.440 --> 0:17:30.120
<v Speaker 2>Absolutely.

0:17:30.200 --> 0:17:30.440
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:17:30.480 --> 0:17:33.439
<v Speaker 2>So there's been some ideas because we have oh, this

0:17:33.560 --> 0:17:37.959
<v Speaker 2>is probably getting too much, Aaron, but we have drugs

0:17:37.960 --> 0:17:42.560
<v Speaker 2>that actually target ACE because it's an important component of

0:17:42.920 --> 0:17:44.920
<v Speaker 2>how your body manages blood pressure.

0:17:45.520 --> 0:17:48.399
<v Speaker 1>Whoa, oh my gosh. Yeah.

0:17:48.440 --> 0:17:50.960
<v Speaker 2>So we have things called ACE inhibitors. So there's this

0:17:51.080 --> 0:17:53.480
<v Speaker 2>thought that like, oh, could maybe you use these to

0:17:53.560 --> 0:17:56.360
<v Speaker 2>treat SARS. We don't, as far as I know, there

0:17:56.400 --> 0:17:59.440
<v Speaker 2>isn't actually good evidence that that works, but it's like, yeah,

0:17:59.480 --> 0:18:02.160
<v Speaker 2>cool idea, Yeah, let's do some research on it, but yeah,

0:18:03.040 --> 0:18:05.760
<v Speaker 2>knowing how viruses get into our body is often a

0:18:05.800 --> 0:18:10.760
<v Speaker 2>good place to try at least try to target for treatments.

0:18:12.080 --> 0:18:13.920
<v Speaker 2>I'll just say we don't have any though at this

0:18:14.000 --> 0:18:18.040
<v Speaker 2>point for SARS, ormers or the novel coronavirus. Just thrown

0:18:18.119 --> 0:18:18.560
<v Speaker 2>that out.

0:18:18.400 --> 0:18:20.000
<v Speaker 1>There, Okay, there we go.

0:18:20.920 --> 0:18:23.399
<v Speaker 2>So, yeah, so SARS gets into your lungs and is

0:18:23.440 --> 0:18:27.399
<v Speaker 2>able to cause a lung infection. Lung infection means pneumonia,

0:18:27.680 --> 0:18:31.679
<v Speaker 2>so this is a virus causing viral pneumonia. So the

0:18:31.720 --> 0:18:35.880
<v Speaker 2>symptoms of SARS, because it's a more extensive disease, tend

0:18:35.960 --> 0:18:40.160
<v Speaker 2>to start more systemically. So fever is the number one

0:18:40.240 --> 0:18:47.199
<v Speaker 2>symptom of SARS. Actually, Okay, fever, chills, mayalgias like you

0:18:47.280 --> 0:18:49.879
<v Speaker 2>described in the first hand account, these muscle aches can

0:18:49.920 --> 0:18:53.720
<v Speaker 2>get really really severe, and then you do still get

0:18:53.760 --> 0:18:56.960
<v Speaker 2>some upper respiratory symptoms, but a lot of the symptoms

0:18:56.960 --> 0:19:00.640
<v Speaker 2>are more lower respiratory, so you'll get a cough, but

0:19:00.760 --> 0:19:03.640
<v Speaker 2>less of the runny nose type symptoms that we see

0:19:03.680 --> 0:19:08.520
<v Speaker 2>with other coronaviruses. And then as this disease progresses and

0:19:08.600 --> 0:19:11.880
<v Speaker 2>more damage is caused to the lungs themselves, you'll get

0:19:11.920 --> 0:19:15.840
<v Speaker 2>other more serious symptoms like shortness of breath to kipnia,

0:19:15.920 --> 0:19:20.320
<v Speaker 2>which means a really fast breathing rate, plurisy, which is

0:19:20.560 --> 0:19:23.600
<v Speaker 2>like pain in your chest and lungs when you breathe,

0:19:25.400 --> 0:19:28.199
<v Speaker 2>and then depending on how late in the course of

0:19:28.240 --> 0:19:31.840
<v Speaker 2>disease people present to the hospital. Because this is a

0:19:31.920 --> 0:19:34.800
<v Speaker 2>very serious illness, most people will present to the hospital

0:19:35.680 --> 0:19:38.600
<v Speaker 2>almost everyone. When you take an X ray of their chest,

0:19:39.160 --> 0:19:42.960
<v Speaker 2>it will look like what we call ground glass opacifications.

0:19:43.400 --> 0:19:45.280
<v Speaker 1>Oh my gosh, that sounds terrible.

0:19:45.480 --> 0:19:47.919
<v Speaker 2>It is terrible. So if you've ever seen an X

0:19:48.000 --> 0:19:52.880
<v Speaker 2>ray of a normal chest, a not ill chest X ray,

0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:55.679
<v Speaker 2>you know that the lungs are filled with air, so

0:19:55.680 --> 0:19:58.560
<v Speaker 2>they're mostly black because air is black on X ray,

0:19:59.400 --> 0:20:01.679
<v Speaker 2>So you can see the outlines of ribs, and then

0:20:01.680 --> 0:20:04.159
<v Speaker 2>you can see sort of black in between the ribs

0:20:04.400 --> 0:20:07.800
<v Speaker 2>with maybe little bits where you can see like blood

0:20:07.880 --> 0:20:11.200
<v Speaker 2>vessels and things like that. That's a normal, not sick

0:20:11.600 --> 0:20:15.720
<v Speaker 2>chest X ray with stars. It looks like you're looking

0:20:15.760 --> 0:20:18.520
<v Speaker 2>through like a bathroom. You know the glass they put

0:20:18.520 --> 0:20:20.560
<v Speaker 2>on bathroom windows. Yeah, I have some of that on

0:20:20.560 --> 0:20:23.399
<v Speaker 2>my bathroom window exactly. So it looks like that. So

0:20:23.560 --> 0:20:27.919
<v Speaker 2>it's not so opaque that you can't still see like

0:20:28.080 --> 0:20:30.919
<v Speaker 2>the shadow of your heart and your ribs. You can

0:20:30.960 --> 0:20:34.280
<v Speaker 2>still see that it's not completely whited out like it

0:20:34.400 --> 0:20:38.120
<v Speaker 2>might be with a bacterial pneumonia, oh.

0:20:37.720 --> 0:20:40.959
<v Speaker 1>Because the bacteria has colonized. Whereas this is just inflammation.

0:20:41.359 --> 0:20:44.440
<v Speaker 2>Well, bacteria still produce a lot of inflammation, but it'll

0:20:44.480 --> 0:20:47.200
<v Speaker 2>be localized to one spot and it'll be so much

0:20:47.359 --> 0:20:50.560
<v Speaker 2>in like one corner of the lung that it's totally

0:20:50.560 --> 0:20:55.760
<v Speaker 2>whited out, okay, Whereas this is bilateral often throughout your

0:20:55.840 --> 0:21:00.320
<v Speaker 2>whole lung fields, top and bottom. Often it's all just

0:21:00.440 --> 0:21:01.879
<v Speaker 2>kind of murky looking.

0:21:02.480 --> 0:21:03.880
<v Speaker 1>That sounds terrible.

0:21:04.280 --> 0:21:07.040
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's bad, it's not good. And then this can

0:21:07.080 --> 0:21:11.920
<v Speaker 2>sort of just progress. So about one third of people

0:21:12.359 --> 0:21:16.520
<v Speaker 2>with SARS will get better on their own, but twenty

0:21:16.600 --> 0:21:20.200
<v Speaker 2>to thirty percent end up needing mechanical ventilation because their

0:21:20.280 --> 0:21:22.959
<v Speaker 2>lungs are just so inflamed that they're not able to

0:21:23.520 --> 0:21:28.440
<v Speaker 2>get enough oxygen in on their own. And I want

0:21:28.480 --> 0:21:31.000
<v Speaker 2>to point out that this kind of supportive treatment is

0:21:31.040 --> 0:21:33.320
<v Speaker 2>the only treatment that we have since we don't have

0:21:33.359 --> 0:21:40.320
<v Speaker 2>any antivirals for SARS. And overall, what we saw from

0:21:40.359 --> 0:21:43.879
<v Speaker 2>the SARS outbreak was a case fatality rate of just

0:21:44.000 --> 0:21:47.360
<v Speaker 2>under ten percent, So about ten percent of people who

0:21:47.400 --> 0:21:51.119
<v Speaker 2>were infected with SARS ended up dying from SARS or

0:21:51.160 --> 0:21:52.359
<v Speaker 2>SARS complications.

0:21:52.640 --> 0:21:54.920
<v Speaker 1>That's a very high mortality rate.

0:21:55.040 --> 0:21:59.200
<v Speaker 2>It is, and it varied a lot based on demographic factors.

0:21:59.280 --> 0:22:02.680
<v Speaker 2>So in people older than sixty five, the mortality rate

0:22:02.760 --> 0:22:04.159
<v Speaker 2>was over fifty percent.

0:22:04.800 --> 0:22:07.080
<v Speaker 1>Wow, I didn't realize it was that high.

0:22:07.320 --> 0:22:12.399
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it was really high. So that's kind of what

0:22:12.440 --> 0:22:15.680
<v Speaker 2>the disease looked like for SARS. We learned a lot

0:22:15.760 --> 0:22:18.960
<v Speaker 2>about it after the outbreak because, as you can probably

0:22:19.000 --> 0:22:21.400
<v Speaker 2>see with what's going on with a new outbreak right now,

0:22:21.480 --> 0:22:24.960
<v Speaker 2>it's really hard to get good information while the outbreak

0:22:25.000 --> 0:22:27.520
<v Speaker 2>is going on right because you're just kind of dealing

0:22:27.560 --> 0:22:30.800
<v Speaker 2>with like trying to keep people alive well.

0:22:30.840 --> 0:22:35.840
<v Speaker 1>And also there's steps to publishing reliable information has to

0:22:35.880 --> 0:22:39.359
<v Speaker 1>have asolute, pure review process, and some of those things

0:22:39.359 --> 0:22:43.160
<v Speaker 1>are are lifted right now and people are getting early

0:22:43.240 --> 0:22:47.879
<v Speaker 1>drafts out. But it's then you know what information is reliable.

0:22:48.040 --> 0:22:50.640
<v Speaker 1>Sample sizes tend to be small, et cetera, et cetera.

0:22:50.800 --> 0:22:54.160
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, But so things that we know now looking back

0:22:54.160 --> 0:22:56.879
<v Speaker 2>at Stars since the outbreak has passed, is we know

0:22:57.000 --> 0:23:02.240
<v Speaker 2>that with SARS, subclinical infection, so like asymptomatic infection, was

0:23:02.359 --> 0:23:05.960
<v Speaker 2>really rare. So in looking at zero prevalent studies of

0:23:06.040 --> 0:23:08.640
<v Speaker 2>people in areas where there were high rates of SARS,

0:23:09.080 --> 0:23:12.840
<v Speaker 2>there's very little evidence of infection in people who didn't

0:23:12.880 --> 0:23:14.560
<v Speaker 2>have symptoms of SARS.

0:23:14.560 --> 0:23:16.800
<v Speaker 1>Interesting, okay, Yeah.

0:23:16.640 --> 0:23:19.360
<v Speaker 2>So we know that in the case of SARS, infection

0:23:19.560 --> 0:23:22.680
<v Speaker 2>almost always led to symptoms, and in general, those symptoms

0:23:22.720 --> 0:23:26.720
<v Speaker 2>were very severe. And the other thing that we learned

0:23:26.800 --> 0:23:30.240
<v Speaker 2>about SARS was that the viral load, so how much

0:23:30.359 --> 0:23:34.160
<v Speaker 2>virus you had in your body, was a really driving

0:23:34.320 --> 0:23:39.840
<v Speaker 2>factor of infectivity, okay. And so in the case of SARS,

0:23:40.320 --> 0:23:42.760
<v Speaker 2>the incubation period, so the time from when you first

0:23:42.760 --> 0:23:45.800
<v Speaker 2>got infected to showed symptoms, was usually about four to

0:23:45.920 --> 0:23:51.040
<v Speaker 2>seven days, and viral load actually increased slowly over that time,

0:23:51.119 --> 0:23:56.280
<v Speaker 2>so people were most infectious about ten days after first

0:23:56.320 --> 0:24:00.760
<v Speaker 2>getting infected. And so that means that people STARS were

0:24:00.800 --> 0:24:04.639
<v Speaker 2>really only infectious if and when they showed symptoms, which

0:24:04.680 --> 0:24:08.080
<v Speaker 2>made SARS relatively easy to screen for and to help contain.

0:24:09.400 --> 0:24:13.359
<v Speaker 2>So that's pretty much SARS, okay, So let's let's move on.

0:24:15.280 --> 0:24:20.920
<v Speaker 2>The next most famous coronavirus was merz Middle East respiratory syndrome.

0:24:21.600 --> 0:24:24.320
<v Speaker 2>So was MURRZ just the same thing as SARS, but

0:24:24.359 --> 0:24:28.160
<v Speaker 2>in a different part of the world. No, not really.

0:24:29.960 --> 0:24:34.719
<v Speaker 2>It was another novel coronavirus that was discovered in twenty

0:24:34.800 --> 0:24:38.680
<v Speaker 2>twelve after an outbreak in I believe Saudi Arabia was

0:24:38.720 --> 0:24:41.800
<v Speaker 2>the first identified cases. Is that right, Aaron?

0:24:42.480 --> 0:24:47.840
<v Speaker 1>So it was first isolated from an outbreak in Saudi Arabia,

0:24:48.000 --> 0:24:51.679
<v Speaker 1>but retrospective testing showed that it actually the first cases

0:24:51.720 --> 0:24:54.160
<v Speaker 1>seemed to be in Jordan earlier that year.

0:24:54.400 --> 0:24:55.320
<v Speaker 2>That's right, That's right.

0:24:55.440 --> 0:24:55.800
<v Speaker 1>Okay.

0:24:56.040 --> 0:25:02.320
<v Speaker 2>So symptomatically, MERHS present very similarly to SARS in a

0:25:02.400 --> 0:25:06.480
<v Speaker 2>lot of ways. It started off with fever, mayalgia's muscle

0:25:06.480 --> 0:25:09.720
<v Speaker 2>pain was really common. Oh, I forgot to mention this,

0:25:09.880 --> 0:25:14.359
<v Speaker 2>but a really common symptom for SARS was actually diarrhea

0:25:14.640 --> 0:25:17.040
<v Speaker 2>and in some cases nausea and vomiting. So you often,

0:25:17.080 --> 0:25:21.160
<v Speaker 2>in addition to this viral pneumonia had pretty extensive GI symptoms.

0:25:22.040 --> 0:25:26.320
<v Speaker 2>You also saw this in MRS, and then like with SARS,

0:25:26.400 --> 0:25:31.320
<v Speaker 2>you would get a really rapidly progressive viral pneumonia. You'd

0:25:31.359 --> 0:25:35.920
<v Speaker 2>have similar findings on chest X ray, those ground glass opacities,

0:25:36.640 --> 0:25:39.680
<v Speaker 2>and it could lead to respiratory failure and potentially death.

0:25:41.359 --> 0:25:45.280
<v Speaker 2>We know that MRS also had a similar incubation period

0:25:45.560 --> 0:25:48.359
<v Speaker 2>a similar time to symptoms as SARS.

0:25:48.960 --> 0:25:52.440
<v Speaker 1>Does it also bind to the ACE two protein?

0:25:52.840 --> 0:25:55.000
<v Speaker 2>Oh, I'm so glad that you asked, Aaron.

0:25:57.119 --> 0:25:57.320
<v Speaker 4>No.

0:25:58.160 --> 0:26:01.720
<v Speaker 2>Really, it turns out MURRHS binds to a different protein

0:26:01.840 --> 0:26:08.200
<v Speaker 2>called DPP four dipeptidl peptidase. This is another protein. It's

0:26:08.240 --> 0:26:12.200
<v Speaker 2>similar to ACE. Okay, but it's expressed in high levels

0:26:12.240 --> 0:26:15.440
<v Speaker 2>in the lungs and the kidney. So can you guess

0:26:15.560 --> 0:26:18.959
<v Speaker 2>another very common symptom of MERS that's different from SARS

0:26:19.280 --> 0:26:24.520
<v Speaker 2>renal failure? Renal failure absolutely, so ACE is also expressed

0:26:24.520 --> 0:26:26.480
<v Speaker 2>in the kidney. So you can still get renal failure

0:26:26.480 --> 0:26:28.639
<v Speaker 2>with SARS, but it's more common in MURRS because I

0:26:28.640 --> 0:26:31.600
<v Speaker 2>think DPP four is expressed at very high levels in

0:26:31.640 --> 0:26:32.160
<v Speaker 2>the kidney.

0:26:32.320 --> 0:26:32.560
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:26:33.320 --> 0:26:37.120
<v Speaker 2>Oh, how fun? Okay unless you have MERS. So let's

0:26:37.119 --> 0:26:40.080
<v Speaker 2>talk about some of the differences between MRS and SARS.

0:26:40.480 --> 0:26:45.919
<v Speaker 2>First off, MRS way more deadly, yes, okay. So in

0:26:45.960 --> 0:26:50.480
<v Speaker 2>looking at the outbreaks of MURRS, the case fatality rate

0:26:51.480 --> 0:26:55.679
<v Speaker 2>is close to forty percent, about thirty six percent.

0:26:56.200 --> 0:26:58.600
<v Speaker 1>That's very, very, very high.

0:26:58.760 --> 0:27:02.360
<v Speaker 2>It's very high. For SAR, it was just under ten percent, right,

0:27:02.760 --> 0:27:06.919
<v Speaker 2>So a case fatality rate of forty percent sounds very terrifying.

0:27:07.480 --> 0:27:10.240
<v Speaker 2>So let's calm ourselves down for a minute and not

0:27:10.320 --> 0:27:13.840
<v Speaker 2>freak out too much about MRS. Here's a few reasons why.

0:27:14.119 --> 0:27:18.000
<v Speaker 2>Number one, it turns out that MURS is not nearly

0:27:18.119 --> 0:27:22.919
<v Speaker 2>as infectious as SARS, so person to person transmission is

0:27:23.080 --> 0:27:25.159
<v Speaker 2>not very efficient for MRS.

0:27:25.760 --> 0:27:26.520
<v Speaker 1>Why is that?

0:27:27.400 --> 0:27:29.720
<v Speaker 2>You know, that's a really good question that we don't

0:27:29.720 --> 0:27:32.520
<v Speaker 2>fully understand the answer to. What we do know is

0:27:32.520 --> 0:27:35.960
<v Speaker 2>that when we compare the R NOTS, so the average

0:27:36.040 --> 0:27:39.159
<v Speaker 2>number of cases from a primary case to a secondary

0:27:39.200 --> 0:27:43.560
<v Speaker 2>case for SARS, it was probably around two to three

0:27:44.000 --> 0:27:44.920
<v Speaker 2>I think, is that right?

0:27:45.200 --> 0:27:45.760
<v Speaker 1>Yeah?

0:27:46.080 --> 0:27:47.720
<v Speaker 2>For MRS it's er point seven.

0:27:48.080 --> 0:27:51.000
<v Speaker 1>Okay. Do you think it has something to do with

0:27:51.280 --> 0:27:54.840
<v Speaker 1>the tropism of the virus? Is it in the lungs

0:27:54.840 --> 0:27:59.840
<v Speaker 1>as much? Is the infectious dose different between STARS and MRS.

0:28:00.160 --> 0:28:02.560
<v Speaker 2>It could be the infectious dose, absolutely, I think that

0:28:02.560 --> 0:28:04.600
<v Speaker 2>probably has a lot to do with it.

0:28:04.600 --> 0:28:05.280
<v Speaker 1>It could be the.

0:28:05.240 --> 0:28:08.520
<v Speaker 2>Tropism, although you know DPP four like it causes just

0:28:08.560 --> 0:28:11.119
<v Speaker 2>as bad of a viral pneumonia, if not worse. But

0:28:11.240 --> 0:28:14.600
<v Speaker 2>here's another important part about MRS, and this I think

0:28:15.119 --> 0:28:19.440
<v Speaker 2>helps at least I think this makes more sense as

0:28:19.480 --> 0:28:22.879
<v Speaker 2>to why it maybe doesn't transmit as well. The vast

0:28:23.119 --> 0:28:27.080
<v Speaker 2>majority of cases of MERS, not even just the deaths,

0:28:27.119 --> 0:28:30.920
<v Speaker 2>but the people who were infected with MRS, seventy five

0:28:31.000 --> 0:28:34.520
<v Speaker 2>percent of them had some kind of underlying disease, Okay,

0:28:34.680 --> 0:28:38.520
<v Speaker 2>some kind of comorbidity. So it seems like maybe MURHS

0:28:38.560 --> 0:28:41.320
<v Speaker 2>requires that a person is already a little sick, so

0:28:41.320 --> 0:28:44.320
<v Speaker 2>they have diabetes or some kind of underlying lung disease

0:28:44.440 --> 0:28:47.240
<v Speaker 2>or heart disease, something that makes their immune system not

0:28:47.360 --> 0:28:52.200
<v Speaker 2>work as effectively. That allows for MURZ to colonize, infect

0:28:52.200 --> 0:28:56.040
<v Speaker 2>them and then make them very, very sick, gotcha. Whereas

0:28:56.040 --> 0:28:59.720
<v Speaker 2>with SARS, you know, healthy people got infected, sick people

0:28:59.760 --> 0:29:03.880
<v Speaker 2>got infected. SARS just infected pretty much anyone. Does that

0:29:03.920 --> 0:29:04.400
<v Speaker 2>make sense?

0:29:04.800 --> 0:29:05.040
<v Speaker 1>Yes?

0:29:06.120 --> 0:29:08.440
<v Speaker 2>So overall, that's the good news about MRS. It's a

0:29:08.480 --> 0:29:13.760
<v Speaker 2>lot less transmissible. Almost every outbreak or group of cases

0:29:14.240 --> 0:29:18.120
<v Speaker 2>had at least some documented spillover events, and it's thought

0:29:18.160 --> 0:29:22.560
<v Speaker 2>that there were many many individual spillovers that happened with MRS.

0:29:22.600 --> 0:29:26.800
<v Speaker 2>Whereas SARS, you'll probably talk more about, was one big

0:29:26.840 --> 0:29:33.120
<v Speaker 2>outbreak right right, and MURRS the vast majority of people

0:29:33.120 --> 0:29:35.320
<v Speaker 2>who have been shown to be infected had at least

0:29:35.360 --> 0:29:45.040
<v Speaker 2>some underlying comorbidities. Okay, so that's MURRS and SARS saved

0:29:46.040 --> 0:29:48.480
<v Speaker 2>a special one for last, a special one for last.

0:29:48.680 --> 0:29:54.720
<v Speaker 2>So those two novel coronaviruses, as a recap are different

0:29:55.160 --> 0:29:59.719
<v Speaker 2>than the other four coronaviruses that circulate because they cause

0:30:00.440 --> 0:30:05.240
<v Speaker 2>more serious illness by infecting the lower respiratory tract. So

0:30:05.320 --> 0:30:10.000
<v Speaker 2>that brings us to today, twenty nineteen n Covy, the

0:30:10.080 --> 0:30:14.640
<v Speaker 2>newest coronavirus on the block. I don't have all the

0:30:14.720 --> 0:30:20.480
<v Speaker 2>answers for you about what is this virus and what's

0:30:20.520 --> 0:30:24.120
<v Speaker 2>the fatality rate and et cetera, et cetera, not only

0:30:24.160 --> 0:30:26.840
<v Speaker 2>because we're not the experts on this topic, but because

0:30:26.880 --> 0:30:30.520
<v Speaker 2>this is such a new virus and an ongoing outbreak

0:30:30.560 --> 0:30:35.200
<v Speaker 2>that we can't answer all of these questions. We can

0:30:35.320 --> 0:30:39.240
<v Speaker 2>make estimates based on the fact that we've seen stars

0:30:39.360 --> 0:30:44.760
<v Speaker 2>and merhs in the past. We can guess that in

0:30:44.800 --> 0:30:48.880
<v Speaker 2>a lot of ways, this novel coronavirus likely operates very

0:30:48.960 --> 0:30:53.840
<v Speaker 2>similarly to SARS and MERS and honestly the other coronaviruses.

0:30:54.160 --> 0:30:59.240
<v Speaker 2>So how do we think it's transmitted Most likely respiratory droplets, right,

0:30:59.760 --> 0:31:04.800
<v Speaker 2>That's how all coronaviruses tend to be transmitted. It's certainly

0:31:04.840 --> 0:31:08.880
<v Speaker 2>possible that fomites or surfaces can be an important part

0:31:08.920 --> 0:31:12.920
<v Speaker 2>of transmission. So we don't know how long this particular

0:31:12.920 --> 0:31:16.240
<v Speaker 2>coronavirus can survive on say a door knob or your

0:31:16.280 --> 0:31:18.720
<v Speaker 2>cell phone, but we know it can probably live for

0:31:18.760 --> 0:31:21.520
<v Speaker 2>at least a period of time since other coronaviruses can

0:31:21.560 --> 0:31:27.320
<v Speaker 2>survive for many hours. And what it appears based on

0:31:27.400 --> 0:31:30.040
<v Speaker 2>the number of people who have had severe symptoms, is

0:31:30.040 --> 0:31:33.680
<v Speaker 2>that this novel coronavirus is also able to infect our

0:31:33.760 --> 0:31:38.360
<v Speaker 2>lungs and cause serious viral pneumonia, So this is a

0:31:38.400 --> 0:31:42.000
<v Speaker 2>more severe coronavirus than the four typical coronaviruses.

0:31:42.840 --> 0:31:45.560
<v Speaker 1>We don't know anything about the protein that it binds to.

0:31:45.880 --> 0:31:48.520
<v Speaker 2>So there has been at least one study that has

0:31:48.600 --> 0:31:53.200
<v Speaker 2>shown that it likely actually uses ACE two as well,

0:31:53.920 --> 0:31:58.960
<v Speaker 2>at least potentially, but that study was it's very preliminary,

0:31:59.040 --> 0:32:01.800
<v Speaker 2>and it wasn't you using a live virus. They like

0:32:02.240 --> 0:32:04.880
<v Speaker 2>conjugated it to a herpes virus and it was just

0:32:05.120 --> 0:32:08.120
<v Speaker 2>in cell culture. So no, we don't know for sure

0:32:08.440 --> 0:32:13.120
<v Speaker 2>what protein this novel coronavirus is using. It might be

0:32:13.200 --> 0:32:16.240
<v Speaker 2>the same one as SARS, it might not be. Okay,

0:32:17.560 --> 0:32:19.840
<v Speaker 2>we also don't quite know what the r not is,

0:32:19.880 --> 0:32:22.600
<v Speaker 2>so the basic reproductive value. There have been a lot

0:32:22.640 --> 0:32:25.800
<v Speaker 2>of people trying to make estimates. It seems at this

0:32:25.920 --> 0:32:29.440
<v Speaker 2>point on February second, like it's likely between two and

0:32:29.520 --> 0:32:34.240
<v Speaker 2>two and a half maybe Okay, the estimates that I've

0:32:34.240 --> 0:32:37.920
<v Speaker 2>seen so probably similar to SARS, maybe not quite as infectious,

0:32:37.960 --> 0:32:42.080
<v Speaker 2>although we've seen numbers go up a lot more rapidly

0:32:42.120 --> 0:32:45.680
<v Speaker 2>than with SARS. And one thing that I think is

0:32:45.760 --> 0:32:50.480
<v Speaker 2>really really important is that we cannot estimate a case

0:32:50.520 --> 0:32:55.040
<v Speaker 2>fatality rate until this outbreak is over. Yeah, period. And

0:32:55.080 --> 0:32:57.200
<v Speaker 2>I think that there's a lot of people on the

0:32:57.240 --> 0:33:00.760
<v Speaker 2>internet right now saying, well, the mortality rate is this

0:33:00.920 --> 0:33:04.800
<v Speaker 2>and the case fatality rate is that we can't estimate

0:33:04.880 --> 0:33:09.320
<v Speaker 2>either of those numbers right now at all. We can

0:33:09.400 --> 0:33:14.760
<v Speaker 2>calculate a proportion of you know, total deaths from this

0:33:14.880 --> 0:33:20.640
<v Speaker 2>disease so far, but because so okay, February twod at

0:33:20.680 --> 0:33:26.800
<v Speaker 2>ten am, there are currently fourteen thousand, six hundred total

0:33:26.840 --> 0:33:30.600
<v Speaker 2>cases that we know, about three hundred and forty eight

0:33:30.600 --> 0:33:34.080
<v Speaker 2>of those have recovered, and three hundred and five of

0:33:34.120 --> 0:33:38.080
<v Speaker 2>them have died thus far. Okay, so if you use

0:33:38.160 --> 0:33:42.320
<v Speaker 2>those numbers, then it would look like a proportionate mortality

0:33:42.400 --> 0:33:47.280
<v Speaker 2>of around two percent. But this is not a fixed number.

0:33:47.920 --> 0:33:52.360
<v Speaker 2>Fourteen thousand, two hundred of those fourteen thousand, six hundred

0:33:52.480 --> 0:33:56.000
<v Speaker 2>are still sick, and we don't know how severe their

0:33:56.040 --> 0:33:58.720
<v Speaker 2>illness is going to be and whether they're going to

0:33:58.840 --> 0:34:02.160
<v Speaker 2>end up in the recover group or the death group.

0:34:03.000 --> 0:34:08.160
<v Speaker 2>And there are thousands more tests that haven't been run,

0:34:08.239 --> 0:34:10.799
<v Speaker 2>so we really don't know at all what the case

0:34:10.840 --> 0:34:16.440
<v Speaker 2>fatality rate is going to be at this point, makes sense, yeah,

0:34:16.520 --> 0:34:20.760
<v Speaker 2>but otherwise this likely operates. It seems similarly to SARS.

0:34:20.800 --> 0:34:24.319
<v Speaker 2>So it's estimated that the incubation period is likely no

0:34:24.480 --> 0:34:27.359
<v Speaker 2>more than fourteen days. That's like the max that we've

0:34:27.360 --> 0:34:31.000
<v Speaker 2>seen in both SARS and MERS. So if you're two

0:34:31.000 --> 0:34:34.520
<v Speaker 2>weeks out from being say next to someone with this

0:34:34.600 --> 0:34:37.520
<v Speaker 2>novel coronavirus, and you haven't gotten sick, you're probably not

0:34:37.560 --> 0:34:41.399
<v Speaker 2>gonna get sick. And then there's a lot of other

0:34:41.520 --> 0:34:46.680
<v Speaker 2>questions about like when exactly are you infectious, how many

0:34:46.760 --> 0:34:50.000
<v Speaker 2>asymptomatic or subclinical infections might there be, and at this

0:34:50.080 --> 0:34:52.760
<v Speaker 2>point it's looking like it's more likely than with SARS

0:34:52.840 --> 0:34:56.200
<v Speaker 2>that there might be kind of low level illness rather

0:34:56.239 --> 0:34:58.800
<v Speaker 2>than only serious severe cases.

0:34:58.680 --> 0:35:00.600
<v Speaker 1>Right, which might be part of the reason and why

0:35:01.080 --> 0:35:04.560
<v Speaker 1>the number of infected has surpassed SARS already.

0:35:04.840 --> 0:35:09.480
<v Speaker 2>Exactly right, Yeah, But we don't have a ton of answers,

0:35:09.640 --> 0:35:12.840
<v Speaker 2>and so later in this episode we'll talk more about

0:35:12.840 --> 0:35:16.680
<v Speaker 2>what we know about this outbreak overall and what's being

0:35:16.760 --> 0:35:20.960
<v Speaker 2>done about this outbreak with some experts on the topic,

0:35:21.080 --> 0:35:24.040
<v Speaker 2>people who know a lot more than we do. Yes,

0:35:24.960 --> 0:35:28.160
<v Speaker 2>But first, Aaron, can you help us to understand where

0:35:28.200 --> 0:35:32.279
<v Speaker 2>these coronaviruses came from and how we got through the

0:35:32.320 --> 0:35:36.239
<v Speaker 2>stars and MRS outbreaks and kind of the lay of

0:35:36.280 --> 0:35:36.720
<v Speaker 2>the land.

0:35:37.480 --> 0:35:40.160
<v Speaker 1>I think I can help out with that a little bit.

0:35:40.719 --> 0:36:15.719
<v Speaker 1>Let's take a quick break first. All right, are you

0:36:15.800 --> 0:36:16.279
<v Speaker 1>ready for this?

0:36:16.600 --> 0:36:16.759
<v Speaker 5>Oh?

0:36:16.800 --> 0:36:20.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm so ready. It's a big one, okay, And there's

0:36:20.640 --> 0:36:23.200
<v Speaker 1>a ton of info here, so I try to organize

0:36:23.200 --> 0:36:26.239
<v Speaker 1>it into discrete units just like you did. So I'm

0:36:26.239 --> 0:36:29.120
<v Speaker 1>going to start with talking about the ecology and origins

0:36:29.160 --> 0:36:32.400
<v Speaker 1>of coronaviruses in general, and then I'm going to focus

0:36:32.520 --> 0:36:34.920
<v Speaker 1>on the two thousand and two to two thousand and

0:36:34.920 --> 0:36:37.520
<v Speaker 1>three SARS epidemic, and then I'll talk a little bit

0:36:37.520 --> 0:36:40.759
<v Speaker 1>about MRS. And finally we'll go into what's done on

0:36:40.800 --> 0:36:44.160
<v Speaker 1>everyone's mind, which is the twenty nineteen novel Coronavirus.

0:36:44.520 --> 0:36:45.959
<v Speaker 2>Awesome, all right.

0:36:45.920 --> 0:36:49.719
<v Speaker 1>Let's go As you mentioned Aaron, SARS and MRS and

0:36:49.760 --> 0:36:53.800
<v Speaker 1>this twenty nineteen novel. Coronavirus are all types of coronaviruses,

0:36:54.200 --> 0:36:57.919
<v Speaker 1>and as a subfamily, they're pretty diverse. So, like you said,

0:36:57.960 --> 0:37:00.719
<v Speaker 1>they can be found all over the world different animal species,

0:37:01.120 --> 0:37:05.480
<v Speaker 1>in wildlife, in domestic animals, and humans, and they can

0:37:05.560 --> 0:37:10.080
<v Speaker 1>cause different degrees of illness in all these animals. It's

0:37:10.120 --> 0:37:14.240
<v Speaker 1>difficult to know exactly how long coronaviruses have been infecting humans,

0:37:14.800 --> 0:37:17.120
<v Speaker 1>but it's likely that it goes way back, particularly for

0:37:17.160 --> 0:37:21.400
<v Speaker 1>those mild endemic strains. And it's also possible, of course,

0:37:21.760 --> 0:37:26.120
<v Speaker 1>that there have been historical epidemics of more deadly coronaviruses

0:37:26.280 --> 0:37:29.880
<v Speaker 1>like SARS and MRS and so on. But the first

0:37:29.880 --> 0:37:32.200
<v Speaker 1>one that we are that we were aware of is

0:37:32.239 --> 0:37:34.480
<v Speaker 1>the one from the SARS outbreak two thousand and two

0:37:34.560 --> 0:37:37.719
<v Speaker 1>to two thousand and three, and then MRS popped up

0:37:37.719 --> 0:37:41.280
<v Speaker 1>in twenty twelve, and then finally this one in twenty nineteen.

0:37:42.040 --> 0:37:46.080
<v Speaker 1>The common thread among these more virulent or deadly coronaviruses

0:37:46.400 --> 0:37:49.840
<v Speaker 1>is that they all seem to have their origins in bats.

0:37:50.960 --> 0:37:54.240
<v Speaker 1>So with SARS CoV it was likely a spillover event

0:37:54.320 --> 0:37:58.640
<v Speaker 1>from bats to civets to humans, and with Murrs covy,

0:37:58.840 --> 0:38:02.919
<v Speaker 1>the in between animals were camels. We're not exactly sure

0:38:02.960 --> 0:38:07.000
<v Speaker 1>yet how the twenty nineteen novel coronavirus spilled over into humans,

0:38:07.480 --> 0:38:10.640
<v Speaker 1>but according to two papers, one of which I want

0:38:10.680 --> 0:38:14.000
<v Speaker 1>to point out is not pure reviewed. It's just a

0:38:14.080 --> 0:38:17.160
<v Speaker 1>draft of an early paper. Bats have been implicated as

0:38:17.200 --> 0:38:22.280
<v Speaker 1>the source as well. Makes sense SARS mers twenty nineteen

0:38:22.520 --> 0:38:27.440
<v Speaker 1>novel coronavirus. These viruses are novel to humans, but the

0:38:27.440 --> 0:38:30.520
<v Speaker 1>way that the outbreaks occurred is not. And before I

0:38:30.520 --> 0:38:33.759
<v Speaker 1>get into the nitty gritty on each of these coronavirus outbreaks,

0:38:34.120 --> 0:38:37.600
<v Speaker 1>I wanted to talk more generally about emerging infectious diseases.

0:38:37.880 --> 0:38:43.520
<v Speaker 1>Yeah because yeah, because these coronavirus outbreaks won't be the last.

0:38:43.840 --> 0:38:45.480
<v Speaker 1>And if we want to be able to control or

0:38:45.560 --> 0:38:49.360
<v Speaker 1>predict these spillover events, we have to understand the factors

0:38:49.440 --> 0:38:53.919
<v Speaker 1>driving them. The incidence of emerging infectious disease events has

0:38:54.160 --> 0:38:58.000
<v Speaker 1>risen significantly over time, and the majority of these have

0:38:58.160 --> 0:39:02.400
<v Speaker 1>their origins in wildlife. And the term emerging infectious disease

0:39:02.480 --> 0:39:05.080
<v Speaker 1>can also be used to describe something that has evolved,

0:39:05.120 --> 0:39:08.839
<v Speaker 1>like in antibiotic resistance strained bacteria, or something that's been

0:39:08.840 --> 0:39:11.240
<v Speaker 1>with humans for a long time but has recently increased

0:39:11.239 --> 0:39:14.480
<v Speaker 1>in incidents like lime disease, but it also can mean

0:39:14.840 --> 0:39:19.279
<v Speaker 1>pathogens that are branded to humans and with this last category,

0:39:19.360 --> 0:39:22.600
<v Speaker 1>the so called emerging disease hotspots, so the places around

0:39:22.640 --> 0:39:25.680
<v Speaker 1>the globe where spillover events are most likely to occur

0:39:25.920 --> 0:39:28.840
<v Speaker 1>based on what we've already seen, these tend to be

0:39:28.880 --> 0:39:32.640
<v Speaker 1>concentrated in the tropics, so like in low latitude areas

0:39:33.120 --> 0:39:36.640
<v Speaker 1>and subtropics, that's also happens to be where animal and

0:39:36.719 --> 0:39:40.880
<v Speaker 1>pathogen diversity is high, and also in resource limited countries,

0:39:41.360 --> 0:39:47.720
<v Speaker 1>particularly those with high population densities. As our human population grows,

0:39:48.360 --> 0:39:51.840
<v Speaker 1>as we continue to build and spread into natural areas

0:39:51.920 --> 0:39:57.160
<v Speaker 1>as urbanization increases, as the climate changes, humans and domestic

0:39:57.200 --> 0:40:00.600
<v Speaker 1>animals become more likely to interact with wild life and

0:40:00.719 --> 0:40:05.279
<v Speaker 1>with pathogens from wildlife, and we've seen this time after

0:40:05.360 --> 0:40:08.840
<v Speaker 1>time with Ebola, with Marbourg, with hendra, with Nepa, with

0:40:08.880 --> 0:40:13.120
<v Speaker 1>bird flu, and with many more. Detection or surveillance of

0:40:13.160 --> 0:40:17.839
<v Speaker 1>novel pathogens in these areas is challenging, mostly because the

0:40:17.920 --> 0:40:23.480
<v Speaker 1>funds just aren't there, both nationally and internationally. And if

0:40:23.480 --> 0:40:26.880
<v Speaker 1>we want to reduce the likelihood of another outbreak like this,

0:40:27.200 --> 0:40:29.840
<v Speaker 1>or be better at controlling it from the start, we

0:40:29.960 --> 0:40:33.920
<v Speaker 1>need to channel more resources into early detection and surveillance

0:40:34.040 --> 0:40:39.200
<v Speaker 1>both in humans and wildlife, conservation of natural areas, and

0:40:39.680 --> 0:40:43.640
<v Speaker 1>especially interdisciplinary collaboration like we see in a one health

0:40:43.719 --> 0:40:49.000
<v Speaker 1>approach with ecologists, epidemiologist, physicians, et cetera all working together

0:40:49.640 --> 0:40:53.840
<v Speaker 1>get it arin. There should also be a push towards

0:40:53.880 --> 0:40:57.480
<v Speaker 1>the free and open exchange of information, which is actually

0:40:57.520 --> 0:41:01.799
<v Speaker 1>something great that I've noticed with this twenty nineteen novel coronavirus.

0:41:01.800 --> 0:41:05.120
<v Speaker 1>So there are several scientific journals that are saying, we're

0:41:05.120 --> 0:41:08.240
<v Speaker 1>putting all of these articles, We're taking these from behind

0:41:08.280 --> 0:41:11.360
<v Speaker 1>the paywall, We're making them free to the public, open access,

0:41:11.560 --> 0:41:14.080
<v Speaker 1>publish early with like you know. Note that it was

0:41:14.080 --> 0:41:17.080
<v Speaker 1>a draft or whatever, But there are still so many

0:41:17.160 --> 0:41:21.080
<v Speaker 1>journals and journal articles that are behind a paywall, and

0:41:21.440 --> 0:41:25.360
<v Speaker 1>this current outbreak of twenty nineteen novel Coronavirus. It's probably

0:41:25.360 --> 0:41:27.319
<v Speaker 1>not going to be the thing to wipe out the

0:41:27.400 --> 0:41:31.759
<v Speaker 1>human race, but the next one could be unless we

0:41:31.840 --> 0:41:35.000
<v Speaker 1>make certain changes and we work really hard on the

0:41:35.040 --> 0:41:39.920
<v Speaker 1>prevention and surveillance aspect of this. Okay, now, are you

0:41:39.960 --> 0:41:47.520
<v Speaker 1>all scared? Stars. The earliest signs of the SARS epidemic

0:41:47.600 --> 0:41:51.200
<v Speaker 1>began in November two thousand and two in Guangdong Province

0:41:51.280 --> 0:41:55.200
<v Speaker 1>in China. In Guangdong Province, as well as many other

0:41:55.280 --> 0:41:59.000
<v Speaker 1>places throughout the country, open air markets and restaurants featured

0:41:59.040 --> 0:42:03.239
<v Speaker 1>animals of all different species, often held in tiny enclosures,

0:42:03.600 --> 0:42:08.120
<v Speaker 1>with their poop and breath and blood all mingling constantly.

0:42:08.520 --> 0:42:09.680
<v Speaker 2>Poop and breath yea.

0:42:12.239 --> 0:42:15.160
<v Speaker 1>There were many restaurants that offered any part of any

0:42:15.200 --> 0:42:17.680
<v Speaker 1>species you could possibly want, and to ensure that the

0:42:17.760 --> 0:42:20.600
<v Speaker 1>meat was fresh, the animals on the menu were often

0:42:20.640 --> 0:42:24.520
<v Speaker 1>held in cages in alleys behind the restaurant. It was

0:42:24.560 --> 0:42:27.160
<v Speaker 1>at these restaurants and markets that the first cases of

0:42:27.239 --> 0:42:32.000
<v Speaker 1>SARS would emerge. On November sixteenth, two thousand and two,

0:42:32.520 --> 0:42:35.520
<v Speaker 1>an official on the village committee was admitted to a

0:42:35.560 --> 0:42:40.880
<v Speaker 1>hospital in Foshan, Guangdong Province, complaining of respiratory symptoms. His

0:42:41.000 --> 0:42:44.760
<v Speaker 1>family also came down with the illness. Over the course

0:42:44.760 --> 0:42:47.960
<v Speaker 1>of the next month, case numbers of this mysterious atypical

0:42:48.000 --> 0:42:53.040
<v Speaker 1>pneumonia steadily rose. By December twenty fifth, two thousand and two,

0:42:53.280 --> 0:42:56.960
<v Speaker 1>thirty five people were infected and eight had died. And

0:42:57.040 --> 0:42:59.640
<v Speaker 1>this is important to note it was a retrospective count

0:42:59.680 --> 0:43:05.000
<v Speaker 1>for they but deaths were apparent. And so with these

0:43:05.080 --> 0:43:08.320
<v Speaker 1>number of deaths from a mysterious respiratory ailment, some public

0:43:08.360 --> 0:43:11.280
<v Speaker 1>health officials were growing suspicious and a little bit concerned.

0:43:11.960 --> 0:43:16.400
<v Speaker 1>Rumors started to circulate of an influenza epidemic, possibly avian influenza,

0:43:16.920 --> 0:43:20.080
<v Speaker 1>and since the outbreak of avian influenza in Hong Kong

0:43:20.160 --> 0:43:23.800
<v Speaker 1>in nineteen ninety seven, there was constant vigilance for the

0:43:23.880 --> 0:43:28.279
<v Speaker 1>virus because it is extremely deadly and if person a

0:43:28.280 --> 0:43:31.360
<v Speaker 1>person transmission was established that could be a real problem.

0:43:32.120 --> 0:43:36.799
<v Speaker 1>But other people doubted that it was avian influenza. This was,

0:43:36.880 --> 0:43:39.440
<v Speaker 1>after all, the winter season when it seemed like everyone

0:43:39.480 --> 0:43:42.520
<v Speaker 1>had a respiratory complaint of one kind or another, and

0:43:42.640 --> 0:43:46.759
<v Speaker 1>rumors circulated every year about a mysterious hemorrhagic fever or

0:43:46.800 --> 0:43:51.319
<v Speaker 1>a wild skin disease. These rumors were different though. For

0:43:51.400 --> 0:43:55.319
<v Speaker 1>one these rumors all focused on the respiratory ailment and

0:43:55.440 --> 0:43:58.279
<v Speaker 1>were pretty consistent, at least as far as rumors go.

0:43:59.040 --> 0:44:02.640
<v Speaker 1>Cloudy chest exs rays, burning fevers, and high prevalence owning

0:44:02.680 --> 0:44:06.760
<v Speaker 1>medical personnel. The first official public statement about the SARS

0:44:06.760 --> 0:44:09.799
<v Speaker 1>epidemic was released on January third, two thousand and three,

0:44:10.400 --> 0:44:13.160
<v Speaker 1>a little over a month since the beginning of the outbreak.

0:44:13.840 --> 0:44:16.960
<v Speaker 1>At this point, there were forty eight people infected and

0:44:17.080 --> 0:44:21.640
<v Speaker 1>nine dead another retrospective count. This statement was published on

0:44:21.680 --> 0:44:25.680
<v Speaker 1>the front page of the Heywan Daily. It read, quote,

0:44:25.880 --> 0:44:28.839
<v Speaker 1>there is no epidemic in Haywan. There is no need

0:44:28.880 --> 0:44:32.120
<v Speaker 1>for people to panic. Regarding the rumor of ongoing epidemic

0:44:32.160 --> 0:44:34.960
<v Speaker 1>in the city, Health department officials announced at one thirty

0:44:35.000 --> 0:44:38.239
<v Speaker 1>am this morning, there is no epidemic in Haywan. The

0:44:38.320 --> 0:44:40.719
<v Speaker 1>official pointed out that people don't need to panic and

0:44:40.760 --> 0:44:43.840
<v Speaker 1>there is no need to buy preventative drugs end quote.

0:44:45.000 --> 0:44:50.560
<v Speaker 1>Despite this incredibly reassuring statement, people panicked. They rushed to

0:44:50.600 --> 0:44:54.120
<v Speaker 1>the pharmacy, buying all the accedo, minifin and antibiotics that

0:44:54.120 --> 0:44:56.640
<v Speaker 1>they could get their hands on. Because antibiotics are available

0:44:56.640 --> 0:44:58.520
<v Speaker 1>over the counter without a prescription.

0:44:58.080 --> 0:45:00.920
<v Speaker 2>There and they're very useful viruses.

0:45:01.400 --> 0:45:03.680
<v Speaker 1>Not they're They're not useful at all.

0:45:04.200 --> 0:45:05.960
<v Speaker 2>They are not, they're not.

0:45:07.239 --> 0:45:10.680
<v Speaker 1>Public health officials were dispatched to the Hewan Number one

0:45:10.719 --> 0:45:15.520
<v Speaker 1>Hospital to conduct an investigation into the mysterious pneumonia. Some

0:45:15.640 --> 0:45:19.799
<v Speaker 1>suspected a species of chlamydia, which can cause pneumonia, but

0:45:19.920 --> 0:45:25.160
<v Speaker 1>the infection didn't respond to broad spectrum antibiotics. Others thought

0:45:25.400 --> 0:45:28.480
<v Speaker 1>maybe it was caused by a virus, possibly influenza, or

0:45:28.520 --> 0:45:32.800
<v Speaker 1>possibly a virus not yet described. They also interviewed patients

0:45:32.840 --> 0:45:37.560
<v Speaker 1>and medical staff about their experiences. Disturbingly, they found that

0:45:37.600 --> 0:45:42.200
<v Speaker 1>several patients had been to multiple hospitals, moving either by

0:45:42.200 --> 0:45:47.319
<v Speaker 1>their own choice or being transferred. Oh yeah. By the

0:45:47.480 --> 0:45:51.560
<v Speaker 1>end of January, rumors were soon swirling yet again, this

0:45:51.719 --> 0:45:55.800
<v Speaker 1>time in Jangshan about the atypical pneumonia, which was now

0:45:55.880 --> 0:45:59.520
<v Speaker 1>circulating in multiple hospitals in the city, as well as

0:45:59.520 --> 0:46:02.880
<v Speaker 1>popping up outside of hospitals. By this time, it had

0:46:02.920 --> 0:46:07.439
<v Speaker 1>earned the nickname breathtaker or breath stalker, which is where

0:46:07.440 --> 0:46:11.279
<v Speaker 1>we got our quarantine name. And whereas in Hewuan the

0:46:11.520 --> 0:46:14.520
<v Speaker 1>disease was largely confined to one hospital. What was going

0:46:14.520 --> 0:46:18.040
<v Speaker 1>on in Jiangshan appeared to be the first community outbreak

0:46:18.120 --> 0:46:21.840
<v Speaker 1>of the mysterious disease, and it would later be determined

0:46:22.040 --> 0:46:25.400
<v Speaker 1>that the first known super spreader of SARS, nicknamed the

0:46:25.400 --> 0:46:29.640
<v Speaker 1>Poison King, was transferred from Jiangshan, where he had infected

0:46:29.640 --> 0:46:33.359
<v Speaker 1>six medical personnel, to Guangzhou, where he would continue to

0:46:33.400 --> 0:46:37.560
<v Speaker 1>infect people. And these super spreaders, it's no fault of

0:46:37.600 --> 0:46:40.040
<v Speaker 1>their own. People didn't know how to control the infection

0:46:40.120 --> 0:46:43.080
<v Speaker 1>at this point or how infectious it was, but these

0:46:43.080 --> 0:46:46.719
<v Speaker 1>super spreaders would be a hallmark of the SARS outbreak

0:46:46.719 --> 0:46:50.240
<v Speaker 1>where a lot of the infections originated from one source

0:46:50.360 --> 0:46:55.520
<v Speaker 1>like that. Okay, So by late January, medical officials were

0:46:55.560 --> 0:46:58.240
<v Speaker 1>pretty certain that it was caused by an extremely infectious

0:46:58.320 --> 0:47:03.080
<v Speaker 1>virus transmitted through respiratory droplets. But getting that information out

0:47:03.120 --> 0:47:07.280
<v Speaker 1>there was a different story, because it was standard practice

0:47:07.320 --> 0:47:10.720
<v Speaker 1>among the Chinese government to keep this information top secret

0:47:10.760 --> 0:47:13.920
<v Speaker 1>and classified, to not share it among anyone less than

0:47:13.920 --> 0:47:17.360
<v Speaker 1>the top most ranking public health officials, not the public,

0:47:17.520 --> 0:47:20.880
<v Speaker 1>and certainly not to the outside world. So the rest

0:47:20.920 --> 0:47:23.759
<v Speaker 1>of the world finally caught wind of a mysterious and

0:47:23.840 --> 0:47:27.359
<v Speaker 1>deadly outbreak in China on February tenth, two thousand and three,

0:47:28.280 --> 0:47:30.520
<v Speaker 1>at which point an estimated three hundred and ninety three

0:47:30.560 --> 0:47:35.080
<v Speaker 1>people were infected and forty had died retrospective count somebody

0:47:35.200 --> 0:47:39.640
<v Speaker 1>posted a report on ProMED ProMED all right, you ready

0:47:39.760 --> 0:47:43.440
<v Speaker 1>quote there's like also there's this is like a quote

0:47:43.440 --> 0:47:45.520
<v Speaker 1>within a quote, So just keep that in mind as

0:47:45.600 --> 0:47:49.560
<v Speaker 1>I'm trying to say it. Okay, this morning I received

0:47:49.560 --> 0:47:52.600
<v Speaker 1>this email and then searched your archives and found nothing

0:47:52.640 --> 0:47:55.160
<v Speaker 1>that pertained to it. Does anyone know about this problem?

0:47:55.239 --> 0:47:58.520
<v Speaker 1>And then here's the email another quote, have you heard

0:47:58.560 --> 0:48:01.839
<v Speaker 1>of an epidemic in Guangzhao? An acquaintance of mind from

0:48:01.840 --> 0:48:04.040
<v Speaker 1>a teacher's chat room lives there and reports that the

0:48:04.080 --> 0:48:08.080
<v Speaker 1>hospitals have been closed and people are dying and double quotes.

0:48:09.239 --> 0:48:12.200
<v Speaker 1>So around this time, the WHO got an email describing

0:48:12.239 --> 0:48:15.160
<v Speaker 1>panic in Guangdong as the death toll from a mysterious

0:48:15.160 --> 0:48:18.520
<v Speaker 1>pneumonia was climbing, but official word from the Chinese government

0:48:18.600 --> 0:48:22.520
<v Speaker 1>was still lacking. But once other countries started reporting on

0:48:22.560 --> 0:48:27.000
<v Speaker 1>this disease, speculating with what little information they had, panic

0:48:27.040 --> 0:48:31.279
<v Speaker 1>and anxieties set in anyway, and the Chinese government was

0:48:31.320 --> 0:48:34.520
<v Speaker 1>forced to hold a press conference on the disease in Guangdong,

0:48:35.080 --> 0:48:38.200
<v Speaker 1>and this press conference, held on February eleventh, which was

0:48:38.239 --> 0:48:43.040
<v Speaker 1>one day after the ProMED announcement, was full of assurances

0:48:43.040 --> 0:48:45.960
<v Speaker 1>that this disease wasn't anything to be concerned about. They

0:48:45.960 --> 0:48:48.320
<v Speaker 1>said there were only three hundred and five people infected

0:48:48.760 --> 0:48:52.720
<v Speaker 1>and it was already under control. Meanwhile, in Hong Kong,

0:48:53.040 --> 0:48:56.640
<v Speaker 1>a doctor from Guangzhou arrived at a hotel where he

0:48:56.760 --> 0:48:59.160
<v Speaker 1>was staying for a wedding. This would be the next

0:48:59.200 --> 0:49:03.799
<v Speaker 1>super spreader. He started to feel worse and worse and

0:49:03.920 --> 0:49:06.960
<v Speaker 1>eventually sought medical care, but it was too late to

0:49:06.960 --> 0:49:09.880
<v Speaker 1>stop the spread of the virus. Also at this hotel

0:49:10.000 --> 0:49:13.400
<v Speaker 1>was a woman from Toronto, a Chinese American businessman, and

0:49:13.440 --> 0:49:15.560
<v Speaker 1>a Hong Kong local who went to the hotel to

0:49:15.640 --> 0:49:18.880
<v Speaker 1>visit a friend. All of these left the hotel to

0:49:18.960 --> 0:49:23.200
<v Speaker 1>continue on their travels or to return home, unknowingly bringing

0:49:23.440 --> 0:49:27.880
<v Speaker 1>with them this hitchhiking virus. And this marked the start

0:49:28.360 --> 0:49:30.720
<v Speaker 1>the real start of the global spread of the virus.

0:49:31.440 --> 0:49:35.520
<v Speaker 1>Hong Kong, Toronto, Hanoi, Singapore, Beijing, These would be the

0:49:35.600 --> 0:49:40.080
<v Speaker 1>next hotspots of infection. On February twenty eight, two thousand

0:49:40.120 --> 0:49:44.680
<v Speaker 1>and three, parasitologist Carlo Urbani, based in Vietnam, alerted the

0:49:44.880 --> 0:49:48.800
<v Speaker 1>WHO about a highly contagious, atypical pneumonia after treating the

0:49:48.880 --> 0:49:51.759
<v Speaker 1>Chinese American businessman who had stayed in that Hot Zone

0:49:51.800 --> 0:49:56.640
<v Speaker 1>hotel in Hong Kong and several healthcare workers who had

0:49:56.800 --> 0:50:00.320
<v Speaker 1>also come down with this pneumonia. After treating this person

0:50:00.840 --> 0:50:04.640
<v Speaker 1>back in Toronto, a similar scene was unfolding. So the

0:50:04.640 --> 0:50:08.040
<v Speaker 1>woman who was infected in Hong Kong died in a

0:50:08.080 --> 0:50:11.160
<v Speaker 1>hospital back in Toronto, and five of her family members

0:50:11.280 --> 0:50:15.719
<v Speaker 1>were found to be infected as well. On March fifteenth,

0:50:15.800 --> 0:50:19.440
<v Speaker 1>the WHO was notified of a possible SARS infected doctor

0:50:19.520 --> 0:50:22.440
<v Speaker 1>traveling from New York back home to Singapore with a

0:50:22.480 --> 0:50:26.520
<v Speaker 1>stopover in Frankfurt. Mid flight, the doctor, his wife, and

0:50:26.520 --> 0:50:29.319
<v Speaker 1>his mother in law were all cordoned off and then

0:50:29.400 --> 0:50:31.600
<v Speaker 1>as soon as the plane landed in Frankfurt, they were

0:50:31.600 --> 0:50:32.520
<v Speaker 1>placed in isolation.

0:50:33.080 --> 0:50:37.080
<v Speaker 2>That's one of the few moments that I really do

0:50:37.200 --> 0:50:40.120
<v Speaker 2>remember from the SARS outbreak.

0:50:39.880 --> 0:50:42.359
<v Speaker 1>When it was like there's a person traveling in.

0:50:42.320 --> 0:50:44.799
<v Speaker 2>The yeah, and like on the plane and then they

0:50:45.120 --> 0:50:47.799
<v Speaker 2>like quarantined them when they landed in Germany. Like I

0:50:47.840 --> 0:50:50.919
<v Speaker 2>don't know why that's one of the moments. I wasn't

0:50:50.960 --> 0:50:53.400
<v Speaker 2>that into disease at the time. I was in high school,

0:50:53.440 --> 0:50:54.960
<v Speaker 2>but I remember that.

0:50:56.680 --> 0:50:59.880
<v Speaker 1>You should read his account. It's really interesting because he

0:51:00.080 --> 0:51:06.080
<v Speaker 1>talks about the depression of isolation and how much insight

0:51:06.120 --> 0:51:08.360
<v Speaker 1>it gave him as a physician to know what his

0:51:08.440 --> 0:51:12.080
<v Speaker 1>patients had been going through. So this doctor, his wife,

0:51:12.120 --> 0:51:14.400
<v Speaker 1>and his mother in law, all three of them developed SARS.

0:51:15.520 --> 0:51:17.560
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if they infected anyone else, actually I

0:51:17.600 --> 0:51:21.920
<v Speaker 1>don't remember, but regardless, these signs of a global spread

0:51:21.960 --> 0:51:25.680
<v Speaker 1>or potential global spread prompted the WHO to declare a

0:51:25.680 --> 0:51:29.640
<v Speaker 1>travel advisory and to come up with a name. And

0:51:29.719 --> 0:51:32.800
<v Speaker 1>as we said, locations were out, but acronyms can be catchy,

0:51:33.080 --> 0:51:36.360
<v Speaker 1>so someone suggested SARS, and it's stuck. But what no

0:51:36.400 --> 0:51:39.040
<v Speaker 1>one realized at the time was that SARS was very

0:51:39.040 --> 0:51:42.480
<v Speaker 1>similar to what China called Hong Kong Special Administrative Region

0:51:42.640 --> 0:51:46.600
<v Speaker 1>sar OH. In a way, it was it placed a

0:51:46.600 --> 0:51:49.400
<v Speaker 1>lot of stigma on Hong Kong as like who had

0:51:49.440 --> 0:51:53.680
<v Speaker 1>already experienced stigma about the Avian influenza outbreak in nineteen

0:51:53.719 --> 0:51:57.440
<v Speaker 1>ninety seven and subsequent outbreaks, and then it sort of

0:51:57.480 --> 0:52:03.000
<v Speaker 1>further stigmatized Hong Kong, Okay. At the hospitals where the

0:52:03.040 --> 0:52:06.040
<v Speaker 1>people with atypical pneumonia were being treated, the pattern that

0:52:06.080 --> 0:52:10.240
<v Speaker 1>emerged was that healthcare workers were becoming infected by the dozens.

0:52:11.360 --> 0:52:14.400
<v Speaker 1>There weren't enough beds to put all of the sick people,

0:52:14.840 --> 0:52:18.080
<v Speaker 1>and there were too few people left to help care

0:52:18.120 --> 0:52:23.000
<v Speaker 1>for them, so hospitals were beginning to crash. Some emergency

0:52:23.000 --> 0:52:27.680
<v Speaker 1>hospitals were being built, and one practice that developed was

0:52:27.760 --> 0:52:31.720
<v Speaker 1>to form dirty teams, which were composed of medical staff

0:52:31.760 --> 0:52:34.960
<v Speaker 1>that had volunteered to treat the infected people, and they

0:52:35.000 --> 0:52:38.600
<v Speaker 1>would live at the hospital in isolation, and those who

0:52:38.640 --> 0:52:41.080
<v Speaker 1>were not on the dirty team would not be permitted

0:52:41.080 --> 0:52:44.120
<v Speaker 1>to go near the patients, and so this would reduce

0:52:44.160 --> 0:52:48.000
<v Speaker 1>the number of medical staff that was potentially exposed. And

0:52:48.080 --> 0:52:51.879
<v Speaker 1>filling out the dirty team was never a problem. More

0:52:51.880 --> 0:52:56.040
<v Speaker 1>people volunteered than there were places. Wow. Always yeah and

0:52:56.080 --> 0:53:00.600
<v Speaker 1>the Star's epidemic, like this coronavirus epidemic and other epidemics,

0:53:00.800 --> 0:53:05.000
<v Speaker 1>is filled with these stories of selfless people, especially healthcare workers,

0:53:05.520 --> 0:53:09.080
<v Speaker 1>many of whom lost their lives to the illness. And

0:53:09.160 --> 0:53:12.240
<v Speaker 1>one of these was the parasitologists that I mentioned earlier.

0:53:12.320 --> 0:53:15.600
<v Speaker 1>Carlo Orbani, who just before he died, asked to have

0:53:15.680 --> 0:53:18.759
<v Speaker 1>his lung tissue sent to the CDC so they could

0:53:18.840 --> 0:53:19.680
<v Speaker 1>use it for research.

0:53:20.160 --> 0:53:24.640
<v Speaker 2>That's who in the movie Contagion. That's who Kate Win's

0:53:24.680 --> 0:53:26.120
<v Speaker 2>it's character is based off of.

0:53:27.800 --> 0:53:29.440
<v Speaker 1>I didn't realize that. That's cool.

0:53:29.800 --> 0:53:30.040
<v Speaker 2>Yep.

0:53:30.360 --> 0:53:35.040
<v Speaker 1>Wow. On March twenty first, researchers at Hong Kong University

0:53:35.200 --> 0:53:38.240
<v Speaker 1>announced they had found that the pathogen causing this atypical

0:53:38.280 --> 0:53:42.240
<v Speaker 1>pneumonia was a coronavirus, beating the CDC by a couple

0:53:42.239 --> 0:53:45.279
<v Speaker 1>of days. And up to this point, a coronavirus, as

0:53:45.280 --> 0:53:47.640
<v Speaker 1>we have said, had never been known to cause such

0:53:47.719 --> 0:53:50.600
<v Speaker 1>severe disease, and it was kind of low on the

0:53:50.640 --> 0:53:54.400
<v Speaker 1>list of potential agents because of that, right, and also

0:53:54.440 --> 0:53:57.319
<v Speaker 1>there was a couple cases of H five N one

0:53:57.520 --> 0:53:59.920
<v Speaker 1>avian influenza that had shown up in Hong Kong, and

0:54:00.120 --> 0:54:02.320
<v Speaker 1>so it was kind of thought, maybe this is just

0:54:02.360 --> 0:54:04.920
<v Speaker 1>a mutated strain and for some reason, we're not detecting

0:54:04.920 --> 0:54:08.359
<v Speaker 1>it in these samples, and so on. Anyway, on March

0:54:08.360 --> 0:54:12.920
<v Speaker 1>twenty first, there it was coronavirus, and that allowed people

0:54:12.960 --> 0:54:16.560
<v Speaker 1>to test whether people were infected or not, which was

0:54:16.960 --> 0:54:19.839
<v Speaker 1>a great help in terms of understanding the extent of

0:54:19.920 --> 0:54:24.640
<v Speaker 1>the epidemic. At this time, though, the Chinese government was

0:54:24.680 --> 0:54:27.480
<v Speaker 1>still refusing to give up any information on the disease

0:54:28.280 --> 0:54:32.120
<v Speaker 1>holding firm with its February eleventh totals of three hundred

0:54:32.120 --> 0:54:36.719
<v Speaker 1>and five people sick, the real numbers as of March eighteenth,

0:54:36.719 --> 0:54:41.400
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and three, another retrospective count were around fourteen

0:54:41.520 --> 0:54:45.760
<v Speaker 1>hundred infected and one hundred and thirty seven dead. Wow.

0:54:45.920 --> 0:54:49.520
<v Speaker 1>Those are global totals, okay, and those numbers would continue

0:54:49.560 --> 0:54:52.560
<v Speaker 1>to climb as the nature of transmission changed a bit.

0:54:53.600 --> 0:54:57.120
<v Speaker 1>Earlier in the epidemic, transmission mostly seemed to be happening

0:54:57.160 --> 0:54:59.560
<v Speaker 1>within hospitals, which is why there was such a high

0:54:59.600 --> 0:55:03.520
<v Speaker 1>proportion of those infected being healthcare workers. But then there

0:55:03.680 --> 0:55:06.520
<v Speaker 1>was a bit of a shift to community outbreaks, notably

0:55:06.520 --> 0:55:09.880
<v Speaker 1>in Hong Kong. At the end of March, several people

0:55:10.000 --> 0:55:12.120
<v Speaker 1>showed up to the Prince of Wales Hospital in Hong

0:55:12.200 --> 0:55:15.800
<v Speaker 1>Kong with symptoms of stars. But they had no obvious

0:55:15.800 --> 0:55:20.200
<v Speaker 1>connection to or contact with other infected people. So what

0:55:20.440 --> 0:55:23.200
<v Speaker 1>was making them sick? Turns out they all happened to

0:55:23.200 --> 0:55:28.000
<v Speaker 1>be residents of a housing complex called Amoy Gardens. Pretty

0:55:28.040 --> 0:55:31.080
<v Speaker 1>soon After this discovery, the housing complex was put under

0:55:31.120 --> 0:55:35.480
<v Speaker 1>strict isolation, no one in, no one out, and this

0:55:35.520 --> 0:55:39.120
<v Speaker 1>went on for weeks. But what if that wasn't enough?

0:55:39.719 --> 0:55:42.000
<v Speaker 1>They had to find out how this had spread in

0:55:42.040 --> 0:55:44.839
<v Speaker 1>the housing complex before it started doing the same in

0:55:44.880 --> 0:55:49.480
<v Speaker 1>other parts of the city. Elevators, Eh, maybe, but air

0:55:49.520 --> 0:55:51.720
<v Speaker 1>and water were both tested and found to be clean.

0:55:52.760 --> 0:55:55.759
<v Speaker 1>Rats may have contributed, but they alone couldn't account for

0:55:55.800 --> 0:56:00.279
<v Speaker 1>the infection pattern that had been observed. And around this

0:56:00.320 --> 0:56:03.839
<v Speaker 1>time researchers realized that the virus could be spread in

0:56:03.880 --> 0:56:08.480
<v Speaker 1>fecal matter from infected people, and so their new hypothesis

0:56:08.520 --> 0:56:12.840
<v Speaker 1>became that fecal matter containing viruses was being aerosolized. Every

0:56:12.840 --> 0:56:17.080
<v Speaker 1>time a toilet was flushed. The contaminated droplets were spread

0:56:17.120 --> 0:56:20.000
<v Speaker 1>to other apartments via a dried up U trap, which

0:56:20.040 --> 0:56:22.680
<v Speaker 1>is that thing under the sink, and so when they're

0:56:22.680 --> 0:56:25.719
<v Speaker 1>standing water, that water acts as a barrier. But a

0:56:25.719 --> 0:56:27.799
<v Speaker 1>lot of the U traps had dried up, and so

0:56:27.880 --> 0:56:34.680
<v Speaker 1>it was effectively spraying poopy virus particles. Dude, Yeah, And

0:56:34.760 --> 0:56:36.719
<v Speaker 1>it is like it's important to note that that is

0:56:36.760 --> 0:56:39.279
<v Speaker 1>still a little bit debated whether it was that or

0:56:39.320 --> 0:56:43.279
<v Speaker 1>the rats or some combination of multiple things, but regardless,

0:56:43.440 --> 0:56:47.600
<v Speaker 1>it was like a sequence of really unfortunate events. The

0:56:47.680 --> 0:56:51.720
<v Speaker 1>isolation seemed to work though of a moi gardens. Those

0:56:51.800 --> 0:56:54.200
<v Speaker 1>cases there seemed to mark the peak of the epidemic

0:56:54.200 --> 0:56:57.439
<v Speaker 1>in Hong Kong, and by April it was largely over there.

0:56:58.360 --> 0:57:01.960
<v Speaker 1>Part of this was because in crease precautions at hospitals

0:57:01.960 --> 0:57:04.719
<v Speaker 1>in terms of personal protective equipment, the formation of these

0:57:04.760 --> 0:57:08.480
<v Speaker 1>dirty teams. Part of it was because contact tracing an

0:57:08.760 --> 0:57:12.880
<v Speaker 1>esar's database were proving effective at identifying potentially exposed people

0:57:13.280 --> 0:57:17.760
<v Speaker 1>and isolating them. And part was that community outbreaks died

0:57:17.800 --> 0:57:21.800
<v Speaker 1>out as people changed their daily routine. Hong Kong became

0:57:21.920 --> 0:57:25.919
<v Speaker 1>a virtual ghost town during the epidemic, as people who

0:57:25.960 --> 0:57:29.720
<v Speaker 1>could leave did so and others stockpiled food and dared

0:57:29.760 --> 0:57:35.320
<v Speaker 1>not go outside. Okay April, moving on to April.

0:57:35.520 --> 0:57:41.600
<v Speaker 6>Okay April first, two thousand and three and estimated twenty

0:57:41.640 --> 0:57:46.240
<v Speaker 6>three hundred people infected, two hundred and fifty five dead globally.

0:57:46.640 --> 0:57:47.760
<v Speaker 2>Globally Okay.

0:57:48.400 --> 0:57:51.960
<v Speaker 1>Even though the epidemic in Hong Kong seemed to be waning,

0:57:52.440 --> 0:57:54.800
<v Speaker 1>it spread in other places. Was a concern to the

0:57:54.920 --> 0:57:58.240
<v Speaker 1>who who was still getting the same numbers from government

0:57:58.240 --> 0:58:03.160
<v Speaker 1>officials in China on changed for about two months, so

0:58:03.200 --> 0:58:07.120
<v Speaker 1>the WHO resorted to making surprise visits to hospitals in Beijing,

0:58:07.520 --> 0:58:11.880
<v Speaker 1>where the official numbers were twelve infected, three dead. At

0:58:11.960 --> 0:58:15.480
<v Speaker 1>at least one of these hospitals, minutes before the WHO

0:58:15.560 --> 0:58:18.600
<v Speaker 1>were due to arrive, a fleet of ambulances pulled up

0:58:18.680 --> 0:58:22.000
<v Speaker 1>and the hospital director ordered all thirty one stars infected

0:58:22.040 --> 0:58:25.520
<v Speaker 1>healthcare workers to get into the ambulances, where they were

0:58:25.600 --> 0:58:30.360
<v Speaker 1>driven around until the WHO left. The WHO showed up

0:58:30.400 --> 0:58:33.760
<v Speaker 1>to the hospital to the promising site of an outbreak

0:58:33.800 --> 0:58:38.560
<v Speaker 1>nearly over. Regardless, they still amended their estimates of those

0:58:38.600 --> 0:58:41.960
<v Speaker 1>infected in Beijing to like one to two hundred people.

0:58:42.280 --> 0:58:45.120
<v Speaker 1>In reality, it was much higher than that. And I

0:58:45.160 --> 0:58:48.680
<v Speaker 1>want to note that among healthcare workers and among people

0:58:48.680 --> 0:58:52.640
<v Speaker 1>in the community, there was ample communication. People were trying

0:58:52.680 --> 0:58:54.880
<v Speaker 1>to get the word from one hospital to another, from

0:58:54.960 --> 0:58:57.720
<v Speaker 1>one city to another, to get some sort of idea

0:58:57.760 --> 0:59:00.320
<v Speaker 1>of the scope of the outbreak, how to protect your self,

0:59:00.640 --> 0:59:04.640
<v Speaker 1>what was being done, et cetera. But communicating that info

0:59:04.680 --> 0:59:08.440
<v Speaker 1>to press outside of China could have serious repercussions because

0:59:08.440 --> 0:59:11.160
<v Speaker 1>it was sharing. It would be the sharing of state secrets.

0:59:12.400 --> 0:59:15.720
<v Speaker 1>What was needed was a whistleblower, and what we got

0:59:16.080 --> 0:59:22.840
<v Speaker 1>was a whistleblower. And this whistleblower was named doctor Jiang

0:59:22.960 --> 0:59:26.320
<v Speaker 1>Yan Yung, and Jiang, who had treated many of the

0:59:26.320 --> 0:59:30.760
<v Speaker 1>students injured in the Tanneman Square massacre, became aware of

0:59:30.840 --> 0:59:33.560
<v Speaker 1>the extent of the SARS crisis in Beijing when he

0:59:33.640 --> 0:59:35.680
<v Speaker 1>called a hospital to check on a friend of his

0:59:35.800 --> 0:59:39.200
<v Speaker 1>who had lung cancer, and the doctors that he had

0:59:39.200 --> 0:59:42.800
<v Speaker 1>talked to, who were respiratory specialists, sounded panicked as they

0:59:42.840 --> 0:59:45.880
<v Speaker 1>described how at least sixty people were infected with SARS,

0:59:46.280 --> 0:59:49.440
<v Speaker 1>many of them healthcare workers, and that this was happening

0:59:49.640 --> 0:59:54.520
<v Speaker 1>in hospitals all over the city. Remember the official numbers

0:59:54.560 --> 0:59:58.520
<v Speaker 1>were still twelve total infected in Beijing at this point.

0:59:58.760 --> 1:00:01.000
<v Speaker 2>Oh yeah.

1:00:01.320 --> 1:00:05.040
<v Speaker 1>Jiong did a bit more calling around and made tallies

1:00:05.080 --> 1:00:08.120
<v Speaker 1>of the number of estimated SARS cases in different hospitals

1:00:08.160 --> 1:00:11.320
<v Speaker 1>across Beijing, and he sent those numbers in a note

1:00:11.360 --> 1:00:15.400
<v Speaker 1>to a couple of Chinese TV stations, But unfortunately his

1:00:15.520 --> 1:00:18.880
<v Speaker 1>note was ignored, but it was eventually picked up by

1:00:18.920 --> 1:00:23.240
<v Speaker 1>Time magazine, which made it into international news. That there

1:00:23.280 --> 1:00:27.680
<v Speaker 1>was an epidemic could no longer be denied, and on

1:00:27.800 --> 1:00:31.720
<v Speaker 1>April sixteenth, an official announcement was made by the Chinese

1:00:31.720 --> 1:00:36.600
<v Speaker 1>government saying that the tsar's situation is quote extremely grave.

1:00:37.640 --> 1:00:40.880
<v Speaker 1>The numbers were revised from twelve to three hundred and

1:00:40.920 --> 1:00:46.880
<v Speaker 1>thirty nine infected in Beijing, with hundreds more suspected. And

1:00:47.640 --> 1:00:51.680
<v Speaker 1>it wasn't just three hundred and five people infected in

1:00:51.760 --> 1:00:54.640
<v Speaker 1>all of China, which is the number that the government

1:00:54.680 --> 1:00:57.760
<v Speaker 1>had been sticking to since early February. It was over

1:00:57.840 --> 1:01:03.000
<v Speaker 1>twenty two hundred, wow, with again many more suspected. And

1:01:03.040 --> 1:01:06.000
<v Speaker 1>then the government did a remarkable thing. They canceled the

1:01:06.000 --> 1:01:09.840
<v Speaker 1>week long Spring holiday and admitted that they were wrong.

1:01:10.640 --> 1:01:14.320
<v Speaker 1>After the announcement, the number of cases went up tremendously

1:01:14.400 --> 1:01:17.840
<v Speaker 1>and continued to grow. But was that because people now

1:01:17.840 --> 1:01:21.800
<v Speaker 1>felt they could report accurate numbers. Was the epidemic actually growing?

1:01:22.480 --> 1:01:25.840
<v Speaker 1>But with this sudden shift to finally acknowledging that SARS

1:01:26.000 --> 1:01:29.800
<v Speaker 1>was a big freaking deal, the propaganda around it changed.

1:01:30.320 --> 1:01:33.280
<v Speaker 1>There was now twenty four hour coverage of the epidemic,

1:01:33.400 --> 1:01:37.760
<v Speaker 1>whereas previously there had been almost none in China specifically.

1:01:38.360 --> 1:01:42.440
<v Speaker 1>And then, whereas before sharing information about SARS meant betraying

1:01:42.480 --> 1:01:46.160
<v Speaker 1>state secrets, the government now threatened the death penalty to

1:01:46.280 --> 1:01:49.640
<v Speaker 1>anyone spreading misinformation or hiding aspects of infection.

1:01:50.120 --> 1:01:54.840
<v Speaker 2>Ooh yes, oh, swing one pendulum to the other. Yes.

1:01:56.520 --> 1:01:59.640
<v Speaker 1>The Chinese Ministry of Health finally put into place some

1:01:59.680 --> 1:02:04.080
<v Speaker 1>preventative measures, foremost among them being thermal scanning for fevers.

1:02:04.560 --> 1:02:07.200
<v Speaker 1>So these scanners were put into place at train stations,

1:02:07.240 --> 1:02:10.400
<v Speaker 1>bank's office buildings, everywhere, and if you were found to

1:02:10.400 --> 1:02:12.320
<v Speaker 1>have a fever, you would be rushed off in an

1:02:12.360 --> 1:02:15.560
<v Speaker 1>ambulance and placed under quarantine for up to twenty one days.

1:02:16.480 --> 1:02:16.680
<v Speaker 7>Wow.

1:02:16.760 --> 1:02:20.000
<v Speaker 1>And even though this method was perhaps crude, it was

1:02:20.040 --> 1:02:23.320
<v Speaker 1>probably pretty effective because a person was found to be

1:02:23.360 --> 1:02:26.000
<v Speaker 1>most infectious, as you mentioned, between ten and twenty one

1:02:26.080 --> 1:02:30.160
<v Speaker 1>days after infection, and during that period they would almost

1:02:30.360 --> 1:02:35.080
<v Speaker 1>certainly have a fever. This quality of stars made it

1:02:35.160 --> 1:02:39.560
<v Speaker 1>easier to control, as we've talked about. And the authoritarian

1:02:39.640 --> 1:02:43.200
<v Speaker 1>aspect of China was a double edged sword because on

1:02:43.200 --> 1:02:46.520
<v Speaker 1>one hand it restricted the flow of information that would

1:02:46.600 --> 1:02:49.920
<v Speaker 1>end up fueling the outbreak, but on the other hand,

1:02:50.080 --> 1:02:53.480
<v Speaker 1>once the epidemic had been acknowledged, it could mobilize people

1:02:53.520 --> 1:02:57.080
<v Speaker 1>and put into effect practices some that are questionable in

1:02:57.160 --> 1:03:00.000
<v Speaker 1>terms of civil liberties, that might have been more delay

1:03:00.440 --> 1:03:01.880
<v Speaker 1>in a more democratic society.

1:03:03.440 --> 1:03:05.760
<v Speaker 2>This is where public health becomes difficult, man.

1:03:06.240 --> 1:03:09.040
<v Speaker 1>This is where public health becomes difficult because these are

1:03:09.640 --> 1:03:15.280
<v Speaker 1>civil liberties that are being trampled on. But that's why

1:03:15.320 --> 1:03:18.760
<v Speaker 1>I say, you know, it's been called this double edged sword.

1:03:19.040 --> 1:03:23.760
<v Speaker 1>All Right, We're almost done with the SARS outbreak. Okay.

1:03:23.960 --> 1:03:27.760
<v Speaker 1>Throughout May and into June, the epidemic began to wind

1:03:27.800 --> 1:03:31.400
<v Speaker 1>down as Vietnam, Singapore, Hong Kong, and Beijing are all

1:03:31.440 --> 1:03:35.920
<v Speaker 1>declared free of SARS. First case was in November. Now

1:03:35.960 --> 1:03:36.400
<v Speaker 1>it's May.

1:03:36.720 --> 1:03:39.160
<v Speaker 2>Okay, it's like half a year. Okay.

1:03:39.240 --> 1:03:40.720
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

1:03:41.000 --> 1:03:44.919
<v Speaker 1>In July, Toronto and Taiwan see no new cases, and

1:03:45.160 --> 1:03:47.919
<v Speaker 1>it's been announced by the WHO that SARS has been

1:03:47.920 --> 1:03:49.160
<v Speaker 1>contained worldwide.

1:03:49.760 --> 1:03:50.240
<v Speaker 2>Awesome.

1:03:51.480 --> 1:03:57.160
<v Speaker 1>The final tally of infected and dead is eight ninety

1:03:57.200 --> 1:04:00.320
<v Speaker 1>eight people infected, seven hundred and seventy four people dead.

1:04:01.920 --> 1:04:06.000
<v Speaker 1>The economic costs of an outbreak like stars are extreme.

1:04:06.720 --> 1:04:10.600
<v Speaker 1>People lost jobs, personal bankruptcies went through the roof. Tourism

1:04:10.640 --> 1:04:14.960
<v Speaker 1>and travel revenue fell tremendously. The economies crashed in many

1:04:15.000 --> 1:04:18.480
<v Speaker 1>of the affected areas. But I think what is often

1:04:18.560 --> 1:04:23.320
<v Speaker 1>not as highly considered is the personal impact. Many people

1:04:23.440 --> 1:04:26.320
<v Speaker 1>lost their lives, and those lucky enough to survive the

1:04:26.360 --> 1:04:30.800
<v Speaker 1>infection often experience long term health consequences, and many also

1:04:30.960 --> 1:04:35.720
<v Speaker 1>experienced PTSD or depression and were highly stigmatized for a

1:04:35.760 --> 1:04:39.680
<v Speaker 1>period after. So the cost of an epidemic like this

1:04:39.880 --> 1:04:43.240
<v Speaker 1>are far ranging, and some costs are more easily quantified

1:04:43.280 --> 1:04:45.440
<v Speaker 1>than others, and I think that's important to keep in

1:04:45.440 --> 1:04:49.960
<v Speaker 1>mind as we talk about the twenty nineteen novel coronavirus outbreak,

1:04:50.520 --> 1:04:53.280
<v Speaker 1>and as we'll get into also a little bit of

1:04:53.280 --> 1:04:58.320
<v Speaker 1>the issue of stigma and xenophobia that are surrounding things

1:04:58.400 --> 1:05:04.280
<v Speaker 1>like this, and and how travel bans restricting people from

1:05:04.600 --> 1:05:07.640
<v Speaker 1>entering certain countries does not seem to be effective and

1:05:07.800 --> 1:05:12.280
<v Speaker 1>is actually a way of disguising xenophobia and racism.

1:05:12.560 --> 1:05:16.920
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we can. We can look back at times when

1:05:16.960 --> 1:05:21.280
<v Speaker 2>we've instituted travel bands in past outbreaks and see that

1:05:21.320 --> 1:05:23.920
<v Speaker 2>they in general cause a lot more harm than good.

1:05:24.360 --> 1:05:26.080
<v Speaker 2>So I think that's really important to keep in mind,

1:05:26.120 --> 1:05:30.280
<v Speaker 2>considering that they've already been put in place supposedly during

1:05:30.320 --> 1:05:31.000
<v Speaker 2>this outbreak.

1:05:31.240 --> 1:05:38.960
<v Speaker 1>Yep, So okay, let's move on to Merz. What all right?

1:05:39.280 --> 1:05:40.840
<v Speaker 1>This is going to be really fast, I.

1:05:40.800 --> 1:05:42.920
<v Speaker 2>Promise, cool, cool, cool, cool, cool all right.

1:05:42.800 --> 1:05:46.920
<v Speaker 1>So MRS most cases have an association with dromedary camels.

1:05:47.200 --> 1:05:50.600
<v Speaker 1>An analysis of past samples show that the virus may

1:05:50.600 --> 1:05:53.200
<v Speaker 1>have been circulating in camels at least since the early

1:05:53.280 --> 1:05:56.920
<v Speaker 1>nineteen eighties, which is thirty years before the first known

1:05:57.000 --> 1:06:00.600
<v Speaker 1>human case. And this also suggests a long history association

1:06:00.720 --> 1:06:04.360
<v Speaker 1>between camels and the virus. And I also want to

1:06:04.400 --> 1:06:07.000
<v Speaker 1>note though that MURRS related viruses have been found in

1:06:07.040 --> 1:06:11.600
<v Speaker 1>bat species on five continents, so it suggested, Yeah, there

1:06:11.600 --> 1:06:16.280
<v Speaker 1>are like clusters of you know, MURZ related coronaviruses, SARS

1:06:16.320 --> 1:06:20.480
<v Speaker 1>related coronaviruses that are found in bat populations or animal

1:06:20.520 --> 1:06:23.640
<v Speaker 1>populations that don't have the ability to infect humans or

1:06:23.720 --> 1:06:26.600
<v Speaker 1>don't appear to. But it does show that this is

1:06:26.600 --> 1:06:30.120
<v Speaker 1>a very diverse and wide ranging group of viruses.

1:06:30.360 --> 1:06:32.240
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, yeah, Okay.

1:06:32.360 --> 1:06:37.440
<v Speaker 1>So Murr's covey was first isolated in June twenty twelve

1:06:37.520 --> 1:06:40.080
<v Speaker 1>from a sixty year old man from Saudi Arabia who

1:06:40.160 --> 1:06:44.600
<v Speaker 1>died of pneumonia and renal failure. And as I mentioned earlier,

1:06:44.640 --> 1:06:47.680
<v Speaker 1>this wasn't the first case of MERS. So retrospective testing

1:06:47.800 --> 1:06:50.200
<v Speaker 1>show that there was a cluster of cases in a

1:06:50.240 --> 1:06:53.600
<v Speaker 1>family in Jordan a few months earlier to this, with

1:06:54.120 --> 1:06:58.080
<v Speaker 1>likely human to human transmission occurring. Since then, there have

1:06:58.160 --> 1:07:01.680
<v Speaker 1>been a handful of murr's outbreaks as large as SARS

1:07:01.920 --> 1:07:04.560
<v Speaker 1>or as the twenty nineteen coronavirus is turning out to be.

1:07:05.920 --> 1:07:09.320
<v Speaker 1>Most of these outbreaks or clusters seem to be regional,

1:07:09.440 --> 1:07:12.280
<v Speaker 1>with limited spread outside of the hospital setting, and with

1:07:12.440 --> 1:07:17.000
<v Speaker 1>most infected people being close contexts of the index case.

1:07:18.280 --> 1:07:20.680
<v Speaker 1>Since its first appearance in twenty twelve, it has caused

1:07:20.680 --> 1:07:24.360
<v Speaker 1>outbreaks in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, South Korea,

1:07:24.760 --> 1:07:27.840
<v Speaker 1>and many many other countries have had isolated cases or

1:07:28.040 --> 1:07:32.400
<v Speaker 1>very small outbreaks clusters. Some outbreaks have been larger than others,

1:07:33.160 --> 1:07:36.200
<v Speaker 1>and as of December twenty ninth, twenty nineteen, there have

1:07:36.320 --> 1:07:40.560
<v Speaker 1>been two four hundred and ninety nine lab diagnosed cases

1:07:40.640 --> 1:07:44.680
<v Speaker 1>and eight hundred and sixty one deaths, and eighty four

1:07:44.720 --> 1:07:48.520
<v Speaker 1>percent of these cases were reported from Saudi Arabia. Yep

1:07:49.880 --> 1:07:54.400
<v Speaker 1>okay novel coronavirus twenty nineteen novel coronavirus.

1:07:54.440 --> 1:07:56.240
<v Speaker 2>This is that everyone had to wait an hour and

1:07:56.280 --> 1:07:57.760
<v Speaker 2>a half to get to this point.

1:07:58.080 --> 1:07:59.720
<v Speaker 1>We're sorry, not sorry.

1:08:00.320 --> 1:08:03.720
<v Speaker 2>These are important things to understand the context of this outbreak,

1:08:03.920 --> 1:08:05.760
<v Speaker 2>absolutely I agree.

1:08:05.800 --> 1:08:08.160
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I think that there's a really important lessons

1:08:08.200 --> 1:08:11.480
<v Speaker 1>to be learned from SARS in particular, but just from

1:08:11.520 --> 1:08:14.480
<v Speaker 1>the way that these outbreaks occur and how they progress,

1:08:14.640 --> 1:08:17.400
<v Speaker 1>and you know, we learn something new every single time,

1:08:17.720 --> 1:08:20.800
<v Speaker 1>so as I as I you know, hammered on over

1:08:20.920 --> 1:08:24.759
<v Speaker 1>and over again in the SARS history, the Chinese government

1:08:24.760 --> 1:08:28.160
<v Speaker 1>seemed very reticent in keeping the rest of the world

1:08:28.240 --> 1:08:31.559
<v Speaker 1>updated on how the outbreak was progressing, and that does

1:08:31.560 --> 1:08:33.280
<v Speaker 1>not seem to be the case so far with the

1:08:33.320 --> 1:08:37.240
<v Speaker 1>twenty nineteen novel Coronavirus, and I think that's a really

1:08:37.320 --> 1:08:41.160
<v Speaker 1>important thing to consider. There's been a huge push towards

1:08:41.200 --> 1:08:44.120
<v Speaker 1>the free and open exchange of information, as we mentioned,

1:08:44.120 --> 1:08:47.840
<v Speaker 1>with these early articles being published in certain journals. The

1:08:47.880 --> 1:08:50.599
<v Speaker 1>sequence of the virus has already been published like this

1:08:50.640 --> 1:08:53.480
<v Speaker 1>is pretty incredible and very encouraging.

1:08:53.560 --> 1:08:58.960
<v Speaker 2>I think we are getting information so incredibly rapidly in

1:08:59.000 --> 1:09:02.479
<v Speaker 2>this outbreak, more than we ever could have seen in

1:09:02.520 --> 1:09:07.040
<v Speaker 2>the past, which is incredible. But I think also in

1:09:07.080 --> 1:09:10.200
<v Speaker 2>some ways people are now freaking out about it because

1:09:10.200 --> 1:09:14.479
<v Speaker 2>there's a lot of triple exclamation mark all caps going

1:09:14.520 --> 1:09:19.880
<v Speaker 2>on that maybe isn't always valid, and so I think

1:09:20.280 --> 1:09:25.520
<v Speaker 2>trying to understand this outbreak what's really going on in context,

1:09:25.640 --> 1:09:26.559
<v Speaker 2>is really important.

1:09:27.320 --> 1:09:32.720
<v Speaker 1>Yes, absolutely, so what is going on? Yeah, Well, in

1:09:32.760 --> 1:09:36.599
<v Speaker 1>December twenty nineteen, a bunch of people became sick with

1:09:36.680 --> 1:09:41.799
<v Speaker 1>atypical pneumonia after visiting the Wuhan Juanan seafood wholesale market,

1:09:42.200 --> 1:09:46.080
<v Speaker 1>which also sells non aquatic animals such as birds and rabbits.

1:09:47.120 --> 1:09:51.200
<v Speaker 1>This cluster of twenty seven pneumonia cases, seven of them severe,

1:09:51.880 --> 1:09:55.320
<v Speaker 1>was reported by the Wuhan Municipal Health Commission on December

1:09:55.360 --> 1:10:00.200
<v Speaker 1>thirty first, twenty nineteen. On January ninth, it was an

1:10:00.360 --> 1:10:03.640
<v Speaker 1>that a novel beta coronavirus, which is just a subtype

1:10:03.640 --> 1:10:05.280
<v Speaker 1>of coronavirus.

1:10:04.760 --> 1:10:07.120
<v Speaker 2>That's the same subtype as SARS and mers.

1:10:07.360 --> 1:10:12.560
<v Speaker 1>Yes. The next day, January tenth, the genome sequence of

1:10:12.600 --> 1:10:15.879
<v Speaker 1>the virus was announced was published. This is incredible.

1:10:15.880 --> 1:10:17.679
<v Speaker 2>We're talking in less than like two weeks.

1:10:17.880 --> 1:10:24.879
<v Speaker 1>Yes, first cases, It's incredible. Yeah. So genomic analysis suggests

1:10:24.880 --> 1:10:28.200
<v Speaker 1>that the virus likely originated from a bat, as I

1:10:28.280 --> 1:10:31.240
<v Speaker 1>mentioned before, and then maybe jumped into an animal that

1:10:31.280 --> 1:10:33.799
<v Speaker 1>was at that market. This is yet to be determined.

1:10:34.240 --> 1:10:36.640
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure that in the upcoming months more will be

1:10:37.080 --> 1:10:40.320
<v Speaker 1>discovered about the origins and the exact nature of that

1:10:40.479 --> 1:10:46.720
<v Speaker 1>initial spillover event. The numbers of infected and dead have

1:10:46.920 --> 1:10:50.960
<v Speaker 1>continued to grow since that first cluster was announced. So Aaron,

1:10:51.080 --> 1:10:54.160
<v Speaker 1>how about we check in on how the current epidemic

1:10:54.240 --> 1:10:54.880
<v Speaker 1>is progressing.

1:10:55.400 --> 1:10:57.280
<v Speaker 2>Let's would you want to take a break first?

1:10:57.360 --> 1:11:21.920
<v Speaker 1>Let's take a break, all right?

1:11:22.080 --> 1:11:28.320
<v Speaker 2>Erin. It is ten fifty one am now on February

1:11:28.400 --> 1:11:31.400
<v Speaker 2>TEWOD twenty twenty.

1:11:31.600 --> 1:11:32.719
<v Speaker 1>This is a long episode.

1:11:32.720 --> 1:11:37.759
<v Speaker 2>We're sorry, it's fine. Listen. I am on the Johns

1:11:37.800 --> 1:11:41.640
<v Speaker 2>Hopkins map that they've created. We'll put a link to

1:11:41.640 --> 1:11:44.280
<v Speaker 2>this on our website and in the show notes. That

1:11:44.400 --> 1:11:50.960
<v Speaker 2>is updating very rapidly with confirmed cases, so as of

1:11:51.040 --> 1:11:53.679
<v Speaker 2>right now, this will change by the time you listen.

1:11:54.200 --> 1:11:57.599
<v Speaker 2>There have been fourteen thousand, six hundred and twenty eight

1:11:57.840 --> 1:12:03.760
<v Speaker 2>confirmed cases of novel coronavirus. The vast majority of these

1:12:04.120 --> 1:12:07.000
<v Speaker 2>fourteen thousand, four hundred and fifty one have been in

1:12:07.080 --> 1:12:10.680
<v Speaker 2>mainland China. The rest have been in a number of

1:12:10.720 --> 1:12:15.640
<v Speaker 2>countries across the globe. There have been three hundred and

1:12:15.680 --> 1:12:21.599
<v Speaker 2>five total deaths confirmed from this novel coronavirus, only one

1:12:21.600 --> 1:12:25.680
<v Speaker 2>of which has taken place outside of China, and that

1:12:25.800 --> 1:12:29.880
<v Speaker 2>was in the Philippines. There have been three hundred and

1:12:29.880 --> 1:12:33.320
<v Speaker 2>forty eight people that are confirmed to have recovered from

1:12:33.320 --> 1:12:34.880
<v Speaker 2>this infection thus far.

1:12:35.560 --> 1:12:37.519
<v Speaker 1>Cool. Cool, cool.

1:12:38.800 --> 1:12:45.760
<v Speaker 2>So that's the details that we have. That's about it, Aaron.

1:12:46.479 --> 1:12:50.280
<v Speaker 2>There's a lot of questions that remain right and like

1:12:50.400 --> 1:12:54.240
<v Speaker 2>we've hopefully informed you all, we are not experts on

1:12:54.280 --> 1:12:58.559
<v Speaker 2>this topic. So to give you guys a better sense

1:12:58.840 --> 1:13:03.680
<v Speaker 2>of what is being done, what can be done, and

1:13:03.800 --> 1:13:06.559
<v Speaker 2>kind of what the differences are that we've seen so

1:13:06.720 --> 1:13:10.720
<v Speaker 2>far between stars and mehrs and this novel coronavirus. We

1:13:10.880 --> 1:13:15.080
<v Speaker 2>had the fortune of interviewing four people who are much

1:13:15.120 --> 1:13:20.559
<v Speaker 2>better experienced in outbreaks and infectious disease and coronaviruses than

1:13:20.600 --> 1:13:25.840
<v Speaker 2>we are. So let's talk to them about what's going on,

1:13:26.280 --> 1:13:26.680
<v Speaker 2>shall we.

1:13:27.320 --> 1:13:27.880
<v Speaker 1>Let's do that.

1:13:29.320 --> 1:13:32.280
<v Speaker 5>Hello, my name is de Niche Meta. I am an

1:13:32.280 --> 1:13:38.080
<v Speaker 5>infectious disease physician at Emory University. I specialize in infectious

1:13:38.080 --> 1:13:42.439
<v Speaker 5>disease care of oncology so cancer patients and solid organ

1:13:42.479 --> 1:13:47.320
<v Speaker 5>transplant patients. And I am also a member of the

1:13:47.439 --> 1:13:51.400
<v Speaker 5>Emory Serious Communical Diseases Unit, which is our biocontainment unit

1:13:51.800 --> 1:13:53.200
<v Speaker 5>at Emory University Hospital.

1:13:54.479 --> 1:13:57.360
<v Speaker 8>My name is Colin Kraft. I'm an infectious disease physician

1:13:57.400 --> 1:14:02.519
<v Speaker 8>at Emory University Hospital. I'm also trained in medical microbiology,

1:14:02.600 --> 1:14:05.599
<v Speaker 8>and so I sort of enjoy my role in bridging

1:14:05.640 --> 1:14:09.800
<v Speaker 8>those two worlds between diagnostics and also seeing patients. I

1:14:09.880 --> 1:14:13.080
<v Speaker 8>love being on both sides of that of the computer screen,

1:14:13.120 --> 1:14:17.080
<v Speaker 8>if you will. I've been at Emory Hospital since twenty ten.

1:14:18.080 --> 1:14:19.639
<v Speaker 9>So my name is Carlos del Rio.

1:14:19.800 --> 1:14:22.280
<v Speaker 7>I am a professor of Medicine and Global Health a

1:14:22.280 --> 1:14:26.240
<v Speaker 7>federal university. I have been involved in infectial disease for many,

1:14:26.240 --> 1:14:29.839
<v Speaker 7>many years. Say it's almost finished. My fellowship in nineteen

1:14:29.960 --> 1:14:33.160
<v Speaker 7>eighty eight.

1:14:31.920 --> 1:14:35.879
<v Speaker 9>Eighty nine, so I've been doing this for thirty plus years.

1:14:36.320 --> 1:14:39.680
<v Speaker 7>Most of my work is around at HIV, but I've

1:14:39.720 --> 1:14:42.840
<v Speaker 7>been involved also in effectious ease and generally and particularly

1:14:42.960 --> 1:14:46.360
<v Speaker 7>in global aspects of effect disease. I was very involved

1:14:46.760 --> 1:14:50.320
<v Speaker 7>with Mexico during the two thousand and nine a swine

1:14:50.360 --> 1:14:54.080
<v Speaker 7>flu pandemic, and I worked closely with CDC and with

1:14:54.200 --> 1:15:00.400
<v Speaker 7>Mexico in working on that outbreak and in controlling that outbreak. Also,

1:15:00.560 --> 1:15:04.639
<v Speaker 7>I am a COPI of the recently funded Emory Vaccine

1:15:04.640 --> 1:15:07.840
<v Speaker 7>Treatment and Evaluation unit, so I work a lot also

1:15:08.080 --> 1:15:12.000
<v Speaker 7>in vaccinology and in the user vaccines to prevent infection diseases.

1:15:13.000 --> 1:15:17.560
<v Speaker 4>My name is Marshall Lyon. I am an MD, and

1:15:18.120 --> 1:15:22.360
<v Speaker 4>I am an infectious disease physician at Emory University Hospital

1:15:22.360 --> 1:15:25.720
<v Speaker 4>in Atlanta, Georgia. My day job, if there is such

1:15:25.760 --> 1:15:29.800
<v Speaker 4>a thing, is the Director of Transplant Infectious Diseases, and

1:15:29.880 --> 1:15:32.479
<v Speaker 4>that is the bulk of my clinical care is taking

1:15:32.520 --> 1:15:35.800
<v Speaker 4>care of patients who have had a transplant or are

1:15:35.840 --> 1:15:40.120
<v Speaker 4>being considered for transplant and get an infection. So we

1:15:40.320 --> 1:15:44.560
<v Speaker 4>deal a lot with viruses, both latent viruses and community

1:15:44.560 --> 1:15:50.200
<v Speaker 4>acquired viruses. One of my other roles is as a

1:15:50.240 --> 1:15:57.280
<v Speaker 4>physician in Emory's Serious Communicable Diseases in it as one

1:15:57.360 --> 1:15:59.880
<v Speaker 4>of the high level biocontainment units.

1:15:59.600 --> 1:16:01.000
<v Speaker 9>In the States.

1:16:01.240 --> 1:16:06.719
<v Speaker 4>When novel coronavirus broken wu on and started to become

1:16:06.760 --> 1:16:08.960
<v Speaker 4>more of an issue, you know, we started to pay

1:16:09.000 --> 1:16:13.360
<v Speaker 4>attention and started thinking that potentially a case might come

1:16:13.400 --> 1:16:16.920
<v Speaker 4>our way. And so we've certainly been paying attention to

1:16:17.680 --> 1:16:21.559
<v Speaker 4>the outbreak of it's unfolded in China and what and

1:16:21.640 --> 1:16:25.600
<v Speaker 4>the measures that the Public Health US is putting in

1:16:25.640 --> 1:16:28.200
<v Speaker 4>place to try to keep the public safe.

1:16:28.720 --> 1:16:33.080
<v Speaker 2>So we'd love for you to talk about this new

1:16:33.160 --> 1:16:37.200
<v Speaker 2>coronavirus that's been making headlines. This isn't the first time

1:16:37.240 --> 1:16:40.720
<v Speaker 2>that we've seen a coronavirus causing a disease outbreak, but

1:16:40.840 --> 1:16:43.439
<v Speaker 2>this virus is new, So can you tell us a

1:16:43.479 --> 1:16:46.120
<v Speaker 2>little bit about this twenty nineteen En Covey.

1:16:47.439 --> 1:16:50.759
<v Speaker 5>So, the first sort of novel coronavirus we saw was STARS,

1:16:51.479 --> 1:16:54.639
<v Speaker 5>and then more recently we saw the Middle Eastern respiratory

1:16:54.640 --> 1:16:59.800
<v Speaker 5>syndrome coronavirus or otherwise called mrs kV. And we've learned

1:16:59.840 --> 1:17:03.600
<v Speaker 5>a lot a lot from those novel viruses that have developed,

1:17:03.960 --> 1:17:07.000
<v Speaker 5>which I think have us a little bit better prepared

1:17:07.120 --> 1:17:10.880
<v Speaker 5>now for what we're seeing, and that's this novel twenty

1:17:11.040 --> 1:17:12.680
<v Speaker 5>nineteen coronavirus.

1:17:13.920 --> 1:17:18.000
<v Speaker 4>So this is actually an interesting outbreak because when it

1:17:18.160 --> 1:17:22.599
<v Speaker 4>first started, the majority of patients seem to have had

1:17:22.640 --> 1:17:27.120
<v Speaker 4>contact with this wet market or the seafood market in Wulan,

1:17:28.640 --> 1:17:31.120
<v Speaker 4>and so it looked like it was more a point

1:17:31.200 --> 1:17:36.160
<v Speaker 4>source outbreak or a zoonautic outbreak. And so when we

1:17:36.360 --> 1:17:38.800
<v Speaker 4>think of those, we think that people who get sick

1:17:39.280 --> 1:17:42.799
<v Speaker 4>all had a common exposure and that if you weren't

1:17:42.840 --> 1:17:46.920
<v Speaker 4>exposed to whatever that agent is or that location, in

1:17:46.920 --> 1:17:50.599
<v Speaker 4>this case the market, then you probably didn't have risk

1:17:50.680 --> 1:17:55.519
<v Speaker 4>of getting infected or getting disease. It was only later

1:17:55.840 --> 1:17:59.559
<v Speaker 4>when it appeared so that when the second wave of

1:17:59.640 --> 1:18:03.040
<v Speaker 4>facial and began to come in, but it became evident

1:18:03.120 --> 1:18:08.000
<v Speaker 4>that there was now person to person transmission of what

1:18:08.040 --> 1:18:11.880
<v Speaker 4>we now know is novel coronavirus twenty nineteen. And so

1:18:12.560 --> 1:18:15.400
<v Speaker 4>now it starts to take the epidemic or the outbreak

1:18:15.439 --> 1:18:19.000
<v Speaker 4>takes on a different characteristic where you have to think

1:18:19.000 --> 1:18:22.880
<v Speaker 4>about how do we limit contact with sick individuals?

1:18:23.240 --> 1:18:27.800
<v Speaker 1>Right? Quick question about viral or about pneumonia caused by viruses,

1:18:28.439 --> 1:18:31.960
<v Speaker 1>What is the mechanism by which that occurs? Why does

1:18:32.000 --> 1:18:34.720
<v Speaker 1>that look different than one caused by bacteria.

1:18:35.800 --> 1:18:37.920
<v Speaker 8>One of the things we should think about is when

1:18:38.040 --> 1:18:41.720
<v Speaker 8>viruses caused pneumonia, that is when we become fearful sort

1:18:41.720 --> 1:18:45.360
<v Speaker 8>of as clinicians. And so that's a lot of what happened.

1:18:45.360 --> 1:18:48.400
<v Speaker 8>We think in nineteen eighteen is that we believe that

1:18:48.479 --> 1:18:51.880
<v Speaker 8>some of those deaths that were so dramatic probably came

1:18:51.920 --> 1:18:55.840
<v Speaker 8>from influenza virus pneumonia, which I think is a lot

1:18:55.880 --> 1:18:58.200
<v Speaker 8>different than how we think about pneumonia's today, which are

1:18:58.240 --> 1:19:02.439
<v Speaker 8>typically bacterial, and so I think for me when this started,

1:19:02.560 --> 1:19:04.920
<v Speaker 8>when it was kind of announced in December thirty first,

1:19:05.320 --> 1:19:08.800
<v Speaker 8>our first question is how frequently does this cause a

1:19:08.880 --> 1:19:11.720
<v Speaker 8>viral pneumonia versus you know, kind of a bronchitis or

1:19:11.720 --> 1:19:14.080
<v Speaker 8>even an upper respiratory tract, which is what we usually

1:19:14.120 --> 1:19:15.520
<v Speaker 8>think about coronaviruses.

1:19:16.920 --> 1:19:19.800
<v Speaker 5>The things that really worry me about a viral pneumonia

1:19:19.880 --> 1:19:25.040
<v Speaker 5>as opposed to a typical bacterial pneumonia is that when

1:19:25.080 --> 1:19:29.000
<v Speaker 5>we have a bacterial pneumonia, we generally, though not universally,

1:19:29.160 --> 1:19:32.680
<v Speaker 5>see that pneumonia in one region of the lung. One

1:19:32.720 --> 1:19:35.680
<v Speaker 5>of the things that often concerns me about patients with

1:19:35.720 --> 1:19:39.400
<v Speaker 5>a viral pneumonia, it's usually affecting multiple regions of the lung,

1:19:40.160 --> 1:19:43.240
<v Speaker 5>potentially all of the regions of the lung, and in

1:19:43.240 --> 1:19:49.120
<v Speaker 5>that situation, there's so much inflammation produced that the ability

1:19:49.160 --> 1:19:51.719
<v Speaker 5>for the lungs to extract oxygen out of the air

1:19:52.120 --> 1:19:56.200
<v Speaker 5>gets minimized very rapidly, and you see patients develop something

1:19:56.200 --> 1:20:00.200
<v Speaker 5>we call acute respiratory distress syndrome where they can not

1:20:00.320 --> 1:20:05.120
<v Speaker 5>exchange oxygen and require a lot of ventillary and oxygen

1:20:05.200 --> 1:20:08.360
<v Speaker 5>support to keep all the systems of the body running,

1:20:09.000 --> 1:20:13.720
<v Speaker 5>and also in that inflammatory condition that you can develop

1:20:14.360 --> 1:20:18.400
<v Speaker 5>a bacterial pneumonia on top of the viral pneumonia's inflammation,

1:20:19.040 --> 1:20:22.439
<v Speaker 5>and that can compound the issue and further cause not

1:20:22.520 --> 1:20:25.840
<v Speaker 5>only damage to the lung, but further developed problems in

1:20:26.400 --> 1:20:31.960
<v Speaker 5>oxygenating the body. And finally, the other concerning issue that

1:20:32.000 --> 1:20:34.880
<v Speaker 5>goes on with viral pneumonias is the fact that we

1:20:35.000 --> 1:20:39.840
<v Speaker 5>have very limited therapies, unlike bacterial pneumonias and antibiotics to

1:20:40.160 --> 1:20:43.360
<v Speaker 5>address these. There are some anti virals that are out there,

1:20:43.400 --> 1:20:47.080
<v Speaker 5>but most of them do not have any ability to

1:20:47.160 --> 1:20:51.560
<v Speaker 5>treat the viral pneumonias that we are seeing nowadays.

1:20:52.280 --> 1:20:55.160
<v Speaker 1>I know that it's sort of early stages in this outbreak,

1:20:55.200 --> 1:20:57.200
<v Speaker 1>and there's still a lot that we don't know about

1:20:57.240 --> 1:21:01.719
<v Speaker 1>this virus and how it behaves. Particularly I was trying

1:21:01.760 --> 1:21:05.240
<v Speaker 1>to get a handle on the infectious period and how

1:21:05.360 --> 1:21:09.559
<v Speaker 1>that overlaps with a period during which symptoms are apparent,

1:21:10.280 --> 1:21:12.679
<v Speaker 1>and so I know that that's sort of now more

1:21:12.880 --> 1:21:15.120
<v Speaker 1>in the gray zone. But correct me if I'm wrong

1:21:15.120 --> 1:21:18.799
<v Speaker 1>about that. But based on how we've seen this virus

1:21:18.840 --> 1:21:21.400
<v Speaker 1>spread so far, and what also we have seen in

1:21:21.520 --> 1:21:26.160
<v Speaker 1>past coronavirus outbreaks. What do you think we might be

1:21:26.200 --> 1:21:28.920
<v Speaker 1>able to expect in the next few weeks or months

1:21:28.960 --> 1:21:30.760
<v Speaker 1>as this outbreak progresses.

1:21:31.640 --> 1:21:34.840
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so you're right, we are in a gray zone

1:21:34.960 --> 1:21:37.360
<v Speaker 4>about our understanding of this, but I think there are

1:21:37.400 --> 1:21:40.880
<v Speaker 4>a few things that we do know. So the incubation

1:21:41.040 --> 1:21:45.519
<v Speaker 4>period seems to be somewhere around five days as sort

1:21:45.560 --> 1:21:49.360
<v Speaker 4>of the median or the mode of the incubation period,

1:21:50.240 --> 1:21:57.360
<v Speaker 4>and there is variation probably anywhere from two to the

1:21:57.479 --> 1:22:02.120
<v Speaker 4>longest being fourteen days. We're pretty comfortable, bullet fourteen days

1:22:02.200 --> 1:22:06.160
<v Speaker 4>is kind of the outside limit. And what we are

1:22:06.200 --> 1:22:10.120
<v Speaker 4>starting to learn from what's happening in China is there

1:22:10.640 --> 1:22:16.320
<v Speaker 4>may be an infectious prodrum before someone gets sick. And

1:22:16.400 --> 1:22:19.719
<v Speaker 4>so a prodram is a period of time where someone

1:22:19.760 --> 1:22:22.479
<v Speaker 4>can actually transmit the virus to somebody else, but they

1:22:22.479 --> 1:22:25.320
<v Speaker 4>don't have any symptoms of illness and they don't know

1:22:25.360 --> 1:22:28.800
<v Speaker 4>that they're about to get sick. They feel normal, and

1:22:28.880 --> 1:22:33.240
<v Speaker 4>so unfortunately, what that means is identifying people once they're

1:22:33.320 --> 1:22:39.040
<v Speaker 4>sick won't absolutely terminate this epidemic. And this is slightly

1:22:39.080 --> 1:22:43.640
<v Speaker 4>different than SARS because SARS was really transmitted by sick individuals,

1:22:44.200 --> 1:22:46.639
<v Speaker 4>and that most of the outbreaks could all be traced

1:22:46.680 --> 1:22:50.960
<v Speaker 4>back to someone who had developed illness but was not

1:22:51.360 --> 1:22:53.160
<v Speaker 4>in medical isolation.

1:22:54.040 --> 1:22:58.920
<v Speaker 2>So, in terms of the looking at this outbreak so far,

1:22:59.040 --> 1:23:02.920
<v Speaker 2>how does it seem that this virus might differ from say,

1:23:02.920 --> 1:23:06.880
<v Speaker 2>the Stars coronavirus or the Mers coronavirus, both in terms

1:23:06.880 --> 1:23:09.400
<v Speaker 2>of the disease that it seems to cause and also

1:23:09.439 --> 1:23:11.240
<v Speaker 2>how the outbreak is actually progressing.

1:23:12.200 --> 1:23:15.760
<v Speaker 8>So I'm currently at an ASM Biothreats meeting where I

1:23:15.800 --> 1:23:19.040
<v Speaker 8>got to hear Tony Fauci this morning from NIAID talk

1:23:19.080 --> 1:23:21.760
<v Speaker 8>about this virus, and I think one of the things

1:23:21.760 --> 1:23:24.880
<v Speaker 8>that he really talked about that we're noticing is the

1:23:24.960 --> 1:23:29.519
<v Speaker 8>total number of cases from Stars. You know, we've almost

1:23:29.560 --> 1:23:32.320
<v Speaker 8>succeeded and we're only like, you know, a couple of

1:23:32.360 --> 1:23:35.559
<v Speaker 8>weeks in. So I think the main question that remains

1:23:35.560 --> 1:23:38.800
<v Speaker 8>to be answered is really how severe is this?

1:23:39.600 --> 1:23:43.759
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I believe what we're seeing with this current novel

1:23:43.760 --> 1:23:47.960
<v Speaker 5>Corona outbreak is quite concerning as far as the tenor

1:23:48.280 --> 1:23:51.840
<v Speaker 5>of infection and spread goes. Initially I thought it was

1:23:52.080 --> 1:23:55.360
<v Speaker 5>similar to Sarus, which is quite concerning in itself, but

1:23:55.400 --> 1:23:57.439
<v Speaker 5>the number of cases that we've just had in the

1:23:57.479 --> 1:24:00.880
<v Speaker 5>past week alone and now exceeding the total number of

1:24:00.920 --> 1:24:05.920
<v Speaker 5>cases of STARS that we had previously. Is concerning not

1:24:05.960 --> 1:24:09.519
<v Speaker 5>only for China and the population there, but given them

1:24:09.520 --> 1:24:13.679
<v Speaker 5>out of travel that occurs from China to China, the

1:24:13.720 --> 1:24:18.240
<v Speaker 5>ability for this virus to spread. The other concerning thing

1:24:18.320 --> 1:24:21.320
<v Speaker 5>that I think is out there is lessons that we

1:24:21.439 --> 1:24:26.560
<v Speaker 5>learned from STARS was that hospitals and healthcare systems clinics

1:24:27.120 --> 1:24:30.639
<v Speaker 5>can sort of be incubators for the spread of these

1:24:30.680 --> 1:24:35.080
<v Speaker 5>type of coronaviruses, and that's something that really was harkened

1:24:35.120 --> 1:24:38.439
<v Speaker 5>by SARS, and we've learned a lot of lessons from that.

1:24:38.560 --> 1:24:40.519
<v Speaker 5>But I think still there's a lot of vulnerability in

1:24:40.560 --> 1:24:45.400
<v Speaker 5>our healthcare systems or the virus to spread within healthcare

1:24:45.439 --> 1:24:49.800
<v Speaker 5>systems and therefore create broader outbreaks that can spread throughout

1:24:49.840 --> 1:24:50.480
<v Speaker 5>the community.

1:24:52.400 --> 1:24:56.599
<v Speaker 1>So as with SARS, it seems that there's a decent

1:24:56.720 --> 1:25:01.120
<v Speaker 1>proportion of cases with this novel coronavirus that are healthcare

1:25:01.160 --> 1:25:04.400
<v Speaker 1>workers who are likely exposed while treating someone who is infected.

1:25:05.040 --> 1:25:07.200
<v Speaker 1>Does there seem to be any other pattern in the

1:25:07.240 --> 1:25:11.520
<v Speaker 1>people who develop maybe severe disease or more negative outcomes.

1:25:13.120 --> 1:25:19.439
<v Speaker 4>So certainly, like with many respiratory viruses, you know, it

1:25:19.520 --> 1:25:23.880
<v Speaker 4>seems that people were older or have other chronic illnesses

1:25:24.080 --> 1:25:27.799
<v Speaker 4>are more likely to have severe disease and have worse outcome.

1:25:28.600 --> 1:25:31.439
<v Speaker 4>So the first seventy some odd cases that were reported

1:25:31.560 --> 1:25:34.920
<v Speaker 4>out of China, of the patients that died, I think

1:25:34.960 --> 1:25:37.720
<v Speaker 4>the average age was seventy five years old, and so

1:25:37.800 --> 1:25:40.760
<v Speaker 4>that it's a similar pattern to what we see with

1:25:41.200 --> 1:25:42.880
<v Speaker 4>the viruses that we're familiar with.

1:25:44.160 --> 1:25:46.840
<v Speaker 1>Could you elaborate a bit on the first steps that

1:25:46.880 --> 1:25:49.720
<v Speaker 1>are normally taken when an outbreak like this occurs and

1:25:49.760 --> 1:25:52.320
<v Speaker 1>you think, okay, we might need to be prepared if

1:25:52.320 --> 1:25:56.520
<v Speaker 1>somebody happens to be infected and comes to the US.

1:25:56.840 --> 1:26:02.200
<v Speaker 4>What US Public Health has done is first, for over

1:26:02.240 --> 1:26:06.400
<v Speaker 4>a week now, they've been screening passengers who are coming

1:26:06.400 --> 1:26:09.559
<v Speaker 4>in from China looking for anyone who might be ill

1:26:09.680 --> 1:26:11.760
<v Speaker 4>or might have fever, so that if they are sick,

1:26:11.800 --> 1:26:15.479
<v Speaker 4>they're can be identified quickly and then contact tracing could

1:26:15.479 --> 1:26:19.519
<v Speaker 4>be done of everyone who was on the airplane with them.

1:26:20.360 --> 1:26:24.799
<v Speaker 4>So early identification is one of the keys in terms

1:26:24.800 --> 1:26:29.360
<v Speaker 4>of limiting then subsequent contact to that sick individual. So

1:26:29.400 --> 1:26:32.920
<v Speaker 4>the other sort of measure that is then put in

1:26:33.040 --> 1:26:36.639
<v Speaker 4>place is social distancing. So if you have something that's

1:26:36.680 --> 1:26:40.719
<v Speaker 4>passed from person to person, especially a coronavirus which uses

1:26:40.760 --> 1:26:45.040
<v Speaker 4>the droplet method of transmission, if you can distance the

1:26:45.080 --> 1:26:49.519
<v Speaker 4>infected individual more than two meters from anyone else, then

1:26:49.560 --> 1:26:52.160
<v Speaker 4>in theory, they would not be passing that virus on

1:26:52.680 --> 1:26:56.280
<v Speaker 4>to someone else. And so if you cover your mouth,

1:26:57.880 --> 1:27:00.400
<v Speaker 4>wear a mask, et cetera, all those things can sort

1:27:00.400 --> 1:27:02.519
<v Speaker 4>of decrease the amount of drop of production that a

1:27:02.560 --> 1:27:06.760
<v Speaker 4>sick individual will make and therefore reduce the amount of

1:27:06.840 --> 1:27:09.200
<v Speaker 4>droplets that are in the environment which someone else could

1:27:09.200 --> 1:27:12.479
<v Speaker 4>be exposed to. So those are sort of the early

1:27:12.560 --> 1:27:16.280
<v Speaker 4>measures that the public health is using right now to

1:27:16.439 --> 1:27:20.680
<v Speaker 4>try to prevent an outbreak in the United States.

1:27:21.439 --> 1:27:25.559
<v Speaker 1>The interconnectedness of everything and sort of this decreasing barrier

1:27:25.600 --> 1:27:29.519
<v Speaker 1>between humans and wildlife has really seemed to be the

1:27:29.760 --> 1:27:33.240
<v Speaker 1>pattern that's emerged behind all of these recent outbreaks of

1:27:33.720 --> 1:27:37.000
<v Speaker 1>novel diseases. So what do you think in terms of

1:27:37.280 --> 1:27:40.639
<v Speaker 1>prevention that can be done to prevent the spillover from

1:27:40.920 --> 1:27:42.320
<v Speaker 1>these animal hosts to humans.

1:27:43.280 --> 1:27:45.360
<v Speaker 7>The first thing is we need to invest more more

1:27:45.400 --> 1:27:48.320
<v Speaker 7>in global health security, and we haven't done enough in

1:27:48.400 --> 1:27:51.400
<v Speaker 7>investing in global health security at the level we should

1:27:51.840 --> 1:27:55.639
<v Speaker 7>And I quote and Dolly Parton when you said, you know,

1:27:55.920 --> 1:27:58.000
<v Speaker 7>you have no idea how expensive it is to look

1:27:58.000 --> 1:28:00.400
<v Speaker 7>this cheap. You know, if you think it's the cost

1:28:00.439 --> 1:28:03.160
<v Speaker 7>of investing in global security is high, wait until you

1:28:03.240 --> 1:28:05.200
<v Speaker 7>get the bill for what is this outbreak is going

1:28:05.240 --> 1:28:08.560
<v Speaker 7>to cost us? So non investing in global security is

1:28:08.600 --> 1:28:10.320
<v Speaker 7>going to make you spend more money at the end

1:28:10.320 --> 1:28:14.240
<v Speaker 7>of the day. With climate change, with connectivity like flights

1:28:14.240 --> 1:28:17.679
<v Speaker 7>that we talked about, with growing population, all those things

1:28:17.720 --> 1:28:20.919
<v Speaker 7>together are essentially a recipe for more and more outbreaks.

1:28:21.000 --> 1:28:22.479
<v Speaker 7>They're not going to end, They're just going to be.

1:28:22.680 --> 1:28:25.599
<v Speaker 7>The question I always have is what's next? Not will

1:28:25.640 --> 1:28:26.519
<v Speaker 7>we have something?

1:28:27.560 --> 1:28:30.760
<v Speaker 1>In speaking more broadly, not just about the twenty nineteen coronavirus,

1:28:30.800 --> 1:28:35.400
<v Speaker 1>but in any sort of novel outbreak or emerging infectious disease.

1:28:35.560 --> 1:28:38.880
<v Speaker 1>What are some of the logistical issues in infection control,

1:28:39.160 --> 1:28:41.960
<v Speaker 1>both maybe at a hospital level and then also with

1:28:42.160 --> 1:28:44.519
<v Speaker 1>multiple countries working together.

1:28:45.920 --> 1:28:49.240
<v Speaker 7>Well, you know, I mean that's where who fits in, right,

1:28:49.320 --> 1:28:52.080
<v Speaker 7>That's when you need to have international collaboration. You need

1:28:52.120 --> 1:28:55.280
<v Speaker 7>to have international cooperation. An outbreak in China should be

1:28:55.320 --> 1:28:57.840
<v Speaker 7>a concern to the US, to England, to know every

1:28:57.880 --> 1:28:59.479
<v Speaker 7>other country in the world, so we all need to

1:28:59.479 --> 1:29:02.280
<v Speaker 7>work together. We need to also get away from saying, oh,

1:29:02.320 --> 1:29:04.200
<v Speaker 7>this is a problem of China. Let China deal with that.

1:29:04.479 --> 1:29:06.439
<v Speaker 7>This is not our problem, because at the end of

1:29:06.479 --> 1:29:10.320
<v Speaker 7>the day, that's not true. So the nationalism has to disappear.

1:29:10.800 --> 1:29:14.880
<v Speaker 7>Microbes are do not recognize borders, they travel without passports,

1:29:15.080 --> 1:29:18.160
<v Speaker 7>and therefore we should get away from thinking about countries

1:29:18.160 --> 1:29:19.519
<v Speaker 7>and think more about the globe.

1:29:20.680 --> 1:29:25.240
<v Speaker 1>So one of the I guess challenging things about an

1:29:25.240 --> 1:29:30.000
<v Speaker 1>outbreak like this today is the role of media and

1:29:30.080 --> 1:29:33.559
<v Speaker 1>social media and the rapid spread of information, which is

1:29:33.560 --> 1:29:36.360
<v Speaker 1>sort of this double edged sort. What role do you

1:29:36.479 --> 1:29:40.559
<v Speaker 1>see social media in particular playing in the spread of

1:29:40.600 --> 1:29:42.479
<v Speaker 1>information during an outbreak such as this.

1:29:43.479 --> 1:29:46.800
<v Speaker 4>Well, I think it's important that all media, whether it's

1:29:46.880 --> 1:29:51.759
<v Speaker 4>traditional media or social media, presents the facts that surrounds

1:29:51.800 --> 1:29:56.120
<v Speaker 4>any sort of an outbreak. And I think that because

1:29:56.920 --> 1:30:01.960
<v Speaker 4>social media and our global information age does allow us

1:30:02.000 --> 1:30:06.559
<v Speaker 4>to get information so quickly it almost feels as if

1:30:06.680 --> 1:30:11.320
<v Speaker 4>China is next door, when it's actually halfway around the world.

1:30:11.880 --> 1:30:15.600
<v Speaker 4>By the same token, then it also enables people like

1:30:15.680 --> 1:30:19.120
<v Speaker 4>yourself who are putting together podcasts to reach the masses

1:30:19.640 --> 1:30:23.200
<v Speaker 4>to put the truth out there and to help people

1:30:23.280 --> 1:30:29.560
<v Speaker 4>see things in perspective. As of today, which is January thirtieth,

1:30:30.160 --> 1:30:34.080
<v Speaker 4>China is reporting that they have around seven to eight

1:30:34.120 --> 1:30:37.759
<v Speaker 4>thousand confirmed cases. This isn't a country of one point

1:30:37.840 --> 1:30:42.400
<v Speaker 4>five billion people. That's a lot of people, and it

1:30:42.560 --> 1:30:46.120
<v Speaker 4>still is a very tiny minority of their population, which

1:30:46.120 --> 1:30:49.759
<v Speaker 4>has so far been effective. In the United States, we've

1:30:49.800 --> 1:30:55.120
<v Speaker 4>had five confirmed imported cases, and that's you know, again,

1:30:55.200 --> 1:30:58.360
<v Speaker 4>in a country of three hundred and thirty million, is

1:30:59.000 --> 1:31:03.040
<v Speaker 4>a very small n compared to the larger population. And

1:31:03.120 --> 1:31:06.479
<v Speaker 4>so I think that social media should be trying to

1:31:06.840 --> 1:31:10.800
<v Speaker 4>put forth the truth and to try to keep the

1:31:10.920 --> 1:31:15.080
<v Speaker 4>perspective of things that are going on. But by the

1:31:15.120 --> 1:31:18.240
<v Speaker 4>same token, I think that social media should continue to

1:31:19.760 --> 1:31:22.599
<v Speaker 4>examine this and look at it. And I think I'm

1:31:22.640 --> 1:31:25.240
<v Speaker 4>not sure how big of a part social media played

1:31:25.280 --> 1:31:28.000
<v Speaker 4>in this, or the fact that social media exists now

1:31:28.040 --> 1:31:30.479
<v Speaker 4>where it didn't really exist to this extent in two

1:31:30.520 --> 1:31:34.160
<v Speaker 4>thousand and three. I think that the Chinese government has

1:31:34.200 --> 1:31:38.000
<v Speaker 4>actually been fairly transparent with this outbreak and with what

1:31:38.080 --> 1:31:41.519
<v Speaker 4>they're doing as compared to the stars outbreak in two

1:31:41.560 --> 1:31:44.719
<v Speaker 4>thousand and three. I think Social media has been good

1:31:44.840 --> 1:31:49.120
<v Speaker 4>because to some extent has kept governments honest.

1:31:50.520 --> 1:31:52.439
<v Speaker 7>Some of the media has been great, some of the

1:31:52.479 --> 1:31:55.440
<v Speaker 7>media not so much. I mean, I think that newspapers

1:31:55.439 --> 1:31:57.880
<v Speaker 7>sell headlines, right, so talking about the end of the

1:31:57.880 --> 1:32:00.719
<v Speaker 7>world and is going to kill us all is against

1:32:00.720 --> 1:32:03.599
<v Speaker 7>people attention. But the reality is we tend to forget

1:32:03.640 --> 1:32:05.840
<v Speaker 7>about the common things. I mean, for example, right now,

1:32:06.200 --> 1:32:08.519
<v Speaker 7>CDC estimates that over success and people in the US

1:32:08.600 --> 1:32:11.240
<v Speaker 7>have died of influence at this epidemic.

1:32:11.479 --> 1:32:13.280
<v Speaker 9>And yet we're more concerned about the coronavirus.

1:32:13.320 --> 1:32:14.880
<v Speaker 7>And we should be telling people, you know, pet your

1:32:14.880 --> 1:32:17.480
<v Speaker 7>flu shot and wash your hands and your resptory etiquette

1:32:17.560 --> 1:32:19.320
<v Speaker 7>because that's going to be more important. That's going to

1:32:19.360 --> 1:32:21.880
<v Speaker 7>save you from influenza, but it's also probably going to

1:32:21.920 --> 1:32:24.800
<v Speaker 7>help you with with preventing some other restory viruses.

1:32:25.000 --> 1:32:26.799
<v Speaker 9>So I think that the media needs.

1:32:26.640 --> 1:32:30.200
<v Speaker 7>To needs to inform, needs to communicate, and more importantly,

1:32:30.200 --> 1:32:32.599
<v Speaker 7>I think the media needs to rely on reliable sources.

1:32:32.720 --> 1:32:35.240
<v Speaker 7>I cringe a little bit when you know, meia to

1:32:35.240 --> 1:32:37.880
<v Speaker 7>start scoring an expert in nutrition as an expert in

1:32:38.160 --> 1:32:40.000
<v Speaker 7>the diseases. We need to we need to talk to

1:32:40.000 --> 1:32:41.680
<v Speaker 7>people that know what they're talking about and there are

1:32:41.680 --> 1:32:42.840
<v Speaker 7>plenty of experts out there.

1:32:43.840 --> 1:32:46.320
<v Speaker 1>While I was doing the research for this episode, I

1:32:46.360 --> 1:32:49.840
<v Speaker 1>came across a bunch of articles that compared this current

1:32:49.880 --> 1:32:54.120
<v Speaker 1>outbreak of the twenty nineteen coronavirus to things like the

1:32:54.200 --> 1:32:59.000
<v Speaker 1>nineteen eighteen influenza pandemic and of course SARS, and in

1:32:59.040 --> 1:33:02.120
<v Speaker 1>many ways, so kind of feels like a bit of

1:33:02.120 --> 1:33:05.400
<v Speaker 1>a bullet dodged because the control measures that we used,

1:33:05.680 --> 1:33:09.960
<v Speaker 1>contact tracing and quarantine, these things worked really well. What

1:33:10.000 --> 1:33:13.320
<v Speaker 1>do you think that says about the current outbreak?

1:33:13.400 --> 1:33:15.639
<v Speaker 8>I really liked what you said about the bullet being

1:33:15.680 --> 1:33:18.840
<v Speaker 8>dodged because I think if you think about us having

1:33:18.880 --> 1:33:21.600
<v Speaker 8>the most population on Earth that has ever been of

1:33:21.680 --> 1:33:24.559
<v Speaker 8>human population, some of that is really because we have

1:33:25.320 --> 1:33:28.960
<v Speaker 8>learned how to do things to prevent ourselves from dying

1:33:28.960 --> 1:33:33.479
<v Speaker 8>from infectious diseases. So in nineteen eighteen, I cannot only

1:33:33.520 --> 1:33:36.960
<v Speaker 8>imagine it was so scary to think about you didn't

1:33:37.040 --> 1:33:41.040
<v Speaker 8>have really anything, I mean, supportive care really was like nothing.

1:33:41.600 --> 1:33:45.439
<v Speaker 8>And so when you think about having mechanical ventilations and

1:33:45.479 --> 1:33:51.599
<v Speaker 8>whole specialties of subspecialties of pulmonary critical care that are

1:33:51.640 --> 1:33:55.600
<v Speaker 8>dedicated to super sick people with bad lungs. I just

1:33:55.640 --> 1:33:59.000
<v Speaker 8>think we have made a lot of advancements. And what

1:33:59.200 --> 1:34:02.439
<v Speaker 8>Anisha and I have said since even Bola virus five

1:34:02.520 --> 1:34:06.760
<v Speaker 8>years ago and Stars and Mers is this rapid development

1:34:06.920 --> 1:34:12.280
<v Speaker 8>of bringing in therapeutics into clinical use a lot sooner

1:34:13.000 --> 1:34:15.439
<v Speaker 8>than we've ever seen before. And that's because we're getting

1:34:15.520 --> 1:34:18.240
<v Speaker 8>used to saying, you know, the longer we wait, the

1:34:18.320 --> 1:34:21.519
<v Speaker 8>less information we have, the less knowledge we have. Even

1:34:21.520 --> 1:34:23.960
<v Speaker 8>the fact that we've had the sequence of this virus

1:34:24.000 --> 1:34:27.400
<v Speaker 8>so quickly, it's pretty it's pretty amazing, even from five

1:34:27.479 --> 1:34:30.799
<v Speaker 8>years ago. And so I really like your dodging the bullet.

1:34:30.920 --> 1:34:33.439
<v Speaker 8>But I think it's pretty cool to think about all

1:34:33.560 --> 1:34:37.160
<v Speaker 8>the kind of advancements that we have even in the

1:34:37.280 --> 1:34:40.280
<v Speaker 8>last decade, not not even since you know, one hundred years.

1:34:40.160 --> 1:34:44.320
<v Speaker 1>Ago, less of dodging the bullet and more building the shield.

1:34:44.360 --> 1:34:46.759
<v Speaker 2>I guess yeah, I agree.

1:34:46.800 --> 1:34:50.559
<v Speaker 5>I like that analogy of building the shield. And you know,

1:34:50.600 --> 1:34:53.040
<v Speaker 5>one of the great lessons we learned from Stars and

1:34:54.040 --> 1:34:58.200
<v Speaker 5>Colleen and I really witnessed this during the Bola outbreak

1:34:58.320 --> 1:35:01.360
<v Speaker 5>was how important it was to keep unicate information about

1:35:01.360 --> 1:35:03.920
<v Speaker 5>what's going on with patients, what's going on in the

1:35:03.920 --> 1:35:07.920
<v Speaker 5>public health setting, what's going on immunologically and with the

1:35:08.040 --> 1:35:13.920
<v Speaker 5>virus very rapidly to healthcare environments and scientists and public

1:35:13.920 --> 1:35:17.320
<v Speaker 5>health officials around the world, and with this outbreak, we're

1:35:17.320 --> 1:35:20.559
<v Speaker 5>seeing exactly the same thing. As soon as there were

1:35:20.640 --> 1:35:24.080
<v Speaker 5>reports coming up, the sort of the infectious disease community,

1:35:24.160 --> 1:35:28.000
<v Speaker 5>the public health community, the emergency medicine community throughout the

1:35:28.080 --> 1:35:31.240
<v Speaker 5>United States was coming together. We're having conference calls, we're

1:35:31.240 --> 1:35:35.760
<v Speaker 5>having rapid communication, and importantly, our colleagues in China were

1:35:35.840 --> 1:35:39.400
<v Speaker 5>putting out all this information about what they were seeing.

1:35:39.680 --> 1:35:42.000
<v Speaker 5>They put out immediately the sequence of the virus that

1:35:42.080 --> 1:35:46.080
<v Speaker 5>people could work on diagnostic testing and learn more very rapidly,

1:35:46.360 --> 1:35:48.719
<v Speaker 5>and I think those are the lessons that we've learned

1:35:48.800 --> 1:35:52.000
<v Speaker 5>as a global public health community on how to really

1:35:52.760 --> 1:35:54.360
<v Speaker 5>address these new challenges.

1:35:55.360 --> 1:35:57.960
<v Speaker 2>One of the questions that many of our listeners are

1:35:58.080 --> 1:36:01.559
<v Speaker 2>very concerned with is basically how scared should we be

1:36:01.720 --> 1:36:05.120
<v Speaker 2>of this? Which is a pretty big and loaded question.

1:36:05.280 --> 1:36:09.200
<v Speaker 2>So could you maybe talk about something about this virus

1:36:09.320 --> 1:36:13.320
<v Speaker 2>or this outbreak in particular that is quite concerning to you,

1:36:13.960 --> 1:36:17.679
<v Speaker 2>and then maybe something that also is reassuring that maybe

1:36:18.040 --> 1:36:20.040
<v Speaker 2>you know, this isn't the end of the world.

1:36:20.680 --> 1:36:23.280
<v Speaker 8>We hope, yes, so I'm pretty sure it's not the

1:36:23.400 --> 1:36:26.880
<v Speaker 8>end of the world, but one never knows. I would

1:36:26.960 --> 1:36:31.559
<v Speaker 8>say that that there's always this initial panic about something new,

1:36:32.360 --> 1:36:35.040
<v Speaker 8>and without being glib, I want to say that this

1:36:35.120 --> 1:36:38.719
<v Speaker 8>isn't like an alien invasion of something we've never seen.

1:36:39.560 --> 1:36:42.400
<v Speaker 8>We have dealt with things that are similar, and so

1:36:43.240 --> 1:36:46.800
<v Speaker 8>it falls within our paradigm to be able to figure out.

1:36:47.479 --> 1:36:49.760
<v Speaker 8>You know, yes, it may be more severe, but we

1:36:49.880 --> 1:36:52.760
<v Speaker 8>understand how these things are transmitted. We also understand how

1:36:52.800 --> 1:36:55.000
<v Speaker 8>to protect ourselves in terms of what.

1:36:55.040 --> 1:36:55.879
<v Speaker 1>Makes me nervous.

1:36:56.200 --> 1:37:00.400
<v Speaker 8>I think is the surface aspect of virus transit mission?

1:37:00.840 --> 1:37:02.720
<v Speaker 8>And so what does that mean? It's kind of what

1:37:02.760 --> 1:37:07.400
<v Speaker 8>I've already been saying. But if somebody coughs on like

1:37:07.760 --> 1:37:10.799
<v Speaker 8>a seat that I now sit in, or a surface

1:37:10.840 --> 1:37:13.519
<v Speaker 8>that I now touch because I'm getting, you know, like

1:37:14.320 --> 1:37:17.439
<v Speaker 8>a fast food takeout or something, how long does it

1:37:18.200 --> 1:37:22.240
<v Speaker 8>stay on that surface and how much of that has

1:37:22.280 --> 1:37:24.639
<v Speaker 8>to be transmitted to me to make me really sick?

1:37:25.280 --> 1:37:27.519
<v Speaker 5>And maybe maybe I'll add something, but before I do,

1:37:27.680 --> 1:37:31.840
<v Speaker 5>I just have to say doctor craft has really taught

1:37:31.880 --> 1:37:34.640
<v Speaker 5>me to fear my cell phone and make sure I

1:37:34.680 --> 1:37:36.599
<v Speaker 5>clean it all all the time.

1:37:36.800 --> 1:37:39.280
<v Speaker 8>It really like it literally has poot bugs on it.

1:37:39.680 --> 1:37:42.400
<v Speaker 8>I don't let my children touch my phone, and I

1:37:42.560 --> 1:37:45.120
<v Speaker 8>lends wipe clean it every day.

1:37:46.320 --> 1:37:48.240
<v Speaker 2>I know, I looked down at my cell phone and

1:37:48.280 --> 1:37:50.439
<v Speaker 2>I was like, oh, dear, I just.

1:37:50.400 --> 1:37:51.439
<v Speaker 1>Like kicked it out of the way.

1:37:51.479 --> 1:37:55.800
<v Speaker 5>I was like, no, I you know, I every time

1:37:55.800 --> 1:37:57.360
<v Speaker 5>I talk to doctor Craft, I make sure I don't

1:37:57.400 --> 1:38:01.559
<v Speaker 5>have my cell phone in my hand. I think every

1:38:01.600 --> 1:38:03.719
<v Speaker 5>reporter I've talked to in the past seventy two ours

1:38:03.800 --> 1:38:06.160
<v Speaker 5>is the first question is should we panic? And my

1:38:06.240 --> 1:38:09.679
<v Speaker 5>answer is there's no reason to panic. There are things

1:38:09.680 --> 1:38:13.080
<v Speaker 5>that are worrisome. The thing that I think is worrisome

1:38:13.120 --> 1:38:16.240
<v Speaker 5>to me is how quickly it's spread and how quickly

1:38:16.840 --> 1:38:20.479
<v Speaker 5>we found cases in other countries, which means that we

1:38:20.600 --> 1:38:23.720
<v Speaker 5>really need to institute good controls and screenings to make

1:38:23.720 --> 1:38:27.479
<v Speaker 5>sure that we don't have continuous spread. I think, just

1:38:27.560 --> 1:38:31.400
<v Speaker 5>like any novel infection, early on, one of the greatest

1:38:31.400 --> 1:38:33.719
<v Speaker 5>fears is what we don't know about it. I think

1:38:34.280 --> 1:38:36.479
<v Speaker 5>we will learn more about the virus in the coming

1:38:36.520 --> 1:38:39.000
<v Speaker 5>weeks that will be reassuring to us, but there's still

1:38:39.080 --> 1:38:42.800
<v Speaker 5>some that's unknown, and how it's transmitted, how severe the

1:38:42.880 --> 1:38:46.320
<v Speaker 5>disease can get, and who's most susceptible for. But as

1:38:46.360 --> 1:38:49.600
<v Speaker 5>my colleague doctor Craft mentioned, there are a lot of

1:38:49.640 --> 1:38:52.840
<v Speaker 5>things that are reassuring about this. I think, going back

1:38:52.880 --> 1:38:56.639
<v Speaker 5>to their experience with SARS, what we learned from both

1:38:56.640 --> 1:38:59.519
<v Speaker 5>the experience in China and our experience with our colleagues

1:38:59.560 --> 1:39:02.040
<v Speaker 5>in Canada and here in the United States is that

1:39:02.080 --> 1:39:05.880
<v Speaker 5>once we were able to identify the infection and the

1:39:05.920 --> 1:39:09.679
<v Speaker 5>signs of the infection, we're actually able to do really

1:39:09.720 --> 1:39:15.519
<v Speaker 5>good epidem and logic contact tracing and appropriately isolate people,

1:39:15.880 --> 1:39:19.200
<v Speaker 5>put people who were at risk in appropriate monitoring, and

1:39:19.320 --> 1:39:22.439
<v Speaker 5>suddenly the cases started to get to go down very rapidly,

1:39:22.960 --> 1:39:26.439
<v Speaker 5>and the morbidity and the mortality from SoRs started to

1:39:26.439 --> 1:39:29.360
<v Speaker 5>go down rapidly. And so I think we have the

1:39:29.479 --> 1:39:33.400
<v Speaker 5>tools in place to understand how to control infections like this,

1:39:33.640 --> 1:39:37.360
<v Speaker 5>And it has worked with STARS, it has worked with

1:39:37.560 --> 1:39:40.439
<v Speaker 5>mers CoV and preventing the spread around the world of

1:39:40.560 --> 1:39:44.120
<v Speaker 5>mers CoV, and I think it will continue to work.

1:39:44.200 --> 1:39:47.479
<v Speaker 5>Those lessons will work here with the novel coronavirus.

1:39:48.840 --> 1:39:52.920
<v Speaker 7>What scares me, I mean, I'm more scared about driving

1:39:52.920 --> 1:39:55.760
<v Speaker 7>home this evening and getting killed in an accident that

1:39:55.800 --> 1:39:59.600
<v Speaker 7>I'm about this virus. But honestly, so you know, I

1:39:59.600 --> 1:40:01.720
<v Speaker 7>think we all need to put into perspective risk and

1:40:02.000 --> 1:40:03.200
<v Speaker 7>realize what the risks are.

1:40:03.720 --> 1:40:06.040
<v Speaker 9>I think what concerns.

1:40:05.520 --> 1:40:08.680
<v Speaker 7>Me is that is that yes, this virus can can

1:40:08.720 --> 1:40:12.519
<v Speaker 7>continue to is read and can reach places like for example,

1:40:12.520 --> 1:40:14.760
<v Speaker 7>Africa and other places that are not going to be

1:40:14.800 --> 1:40:17.719
<v Speaker 7>able to control it as quickly as as as China has.

1:40:17.640 --> 1:40:18.120
<v Speaker 9>Been able to.

1:40:18.600 --> 1:40:21.360
<v Speaker 7>And again it makes me worry about about the lack

1:40:21.400 --> 1:40:24.559
<v Speaker 7>of support for international and global health security and the

1:40:24.600 --> 1:40:26.559
<v Speaker 7>need that we need to have to talk to Congress

1:40:26.560 --> 1:40:29.320
<v Speaker 7>and talk to others and say, hey, and we have

1:40:29.360 --> 1:40:31.919
<v Speaker 7>to invest in global health security. We have support WHO

1:40:32.000 --> 1:40:33.960
<v Speaker 7>and other agencies, and we really need to think about

1:40:34.000 --> 1:40:37.519
<v Speaker 7>how to make global health security a priority for all

1:40:37.560 --> 1:40:39.680
<v Speaker 7>of us, because the reality is right now that we're

1:40:39.680 --> 1:40:41.720
<v Speaker 7>all worried about this, it's the right time to do that.

1:40:42.600 --> 1:40:44.760
<v Speaker 1>What do you think our listeners can do on an

1:40:44.760 --> 1:40:48.640
<v Speaker 1>individual level to try to push that cause forward a

1:40:48.640 --> 1:40:54.120
<v Speaker 1>bit more, having more investment in global or national health security.

1:40:54.720 --> 1:40:56.840
<v Speaker 7>I think you send an email or call it Environment

1:40:56.880 --> 1:40:59.200
<v Speaker 7>Frontment and say, hey, you know, with this outbreak, I

1:40:59.600 --> 1:41:01.879
<v Speaker 7>worried that we're not investing enough in global health security

1:41:01.880 --> 1:41:03.360
<v Speaker 7>and we need to do that, I think we need

1:41:03.439 --> 1:41:05.120
<v Speaker 7>to have the attention of the people that have the

1:41:05.600 --> 1:41:06.639
<v Speaker 7>that are the funders, right.

1:41:32.320 --> 1:41:35.760
<v Speaker 1>That was so fantastic. Thank you again so much to

1:41:36.360 --> 1:41:40.040
<v Speaker 1>doctor aniche Metta, doctor Colling Kraft, doctor Carlos Delria, and

1:41:40.080 --> 1:41:43.880
<v Speaker 1>doctor Marshall Lyon. Those interviews were so wonderful and we

1:41:43.960 --> 1:41:46.320
<v Speaker 1>really appreciate you taking the time to come and talk

1:41:46.360 --> 1:41:46.639
<v Speaker 1>to us.

1:41:46.960 --> 1:41:49.559
<v Speaker 2>And a huge thank you to Sonia Bell from Emory

1:41:49.720 --> 1:41:52.519
<v Speaker 2>University who hooked us up for these interviews. We never

1:41:52.600 --> 1:41:55.240
<v Speaker 2>would have gotten to talk to such experts without you.

1:41:55.680 --> 1:41:56.479
<v Speaker 2>Thank you so much.

1:41:56.760 --> 1:42:01.880
<v Speaker 1>Thank you, Sonya. Before we dive into sources and stuff

1:42:01.920 --> 1:42:06.320
<v Speaker 1>like that, I feel like there's a couple things that

1:42:06.960 --> 1:42:08.320
<v Speaker 1>we wanted to say.

1:42:08.520 --> 1:42:10.479
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, hugely important things.

1:42:10.960 --> 1:42:13.320
<v Speaker 1>One is influenza.

1:42:14.040 --> 1:42:19.760
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, okay, listen. Like doctor Kraft especially mentioned in her interview,

1:42:21.560 --> 1:42:25.439
<v Speaker 2>the ways that we can protect ourselves against this novel

1:42:25.479 --> 1:42:30.240
<v Speaker 2>coronavirus will also protect us against things that really you

1:42:30.280 --> 1:42:33.720
<v Speaker 2>should be more concerned about than this novel coronavirus at

1:42:33.720 --> 1:42:36.719
<v Speaker 2>this point, because you're far more likely to be infected

1:42:36.920 --> 1:42:40.880
<v Speaker 2>with influenza than you are with this novel coronavirus, even

1:42:40.960 --> 1:42:45.840
<v Speaker 2>in China, across the entire world. Let's talk about what

1:42:45.960 --> 1:42:48.240
<v Speaker 2>a toll influenza has taken thus far.

1:42:48.520 --> 1:42:50.920
<v Speaker 1>Now, you're not just more likely to be infected, you're

1:42:50.960 --> 1:42:54.760
<v Speaker 1>also more likely to be hospitalized or die from influenza

1:42:54.800 --> 1:42:57.519
<v Speaker 1>than you are from the twenty nineteen novel coronavirus. Have

1:42:57.600 --> 1:42:58.880
<v Speaker 1>you gotten your flu shot this year?

1:42:59.080 --> 1:43:03.320
<v Speaker 2>Have you be? Because thus far in the United States alone,

1:43:03.400 --> 1:43:06.599
<v Speaker 2>it's estimated that there have been in this flu season

1:43:06.840 --> 1:43:11.800
<v Speaker 2>between one hundred and eighty and three hundred thousand hospitalizations

1:43:11.960 --> 1:43:16.240
<v Speaker 2>from influenza and upwards of ten thousand deaths do to

1:43:16.400 --> 1:43:21.080
<v Speaker 2>influenza in the US alone. Just in these few weeks

1:43:21.080 --> 1:43:25.960
<v Speaker 2>where we have seen fourteen thousand confirmed cases of novel coronavirus,

1:43:26.160 --> 1:43:31.120
<v Speaker 2>there have been over forty thousand confirmed cases worldwide of influenza.

1:43:31.200 --> 1:43:34.160
<v Speaker 2>And that's just the confirmed cases. The vast majority of

1:43:34.200 --> 1:43:36.840
<v Speaker 2>influenza cases are not reported.

1:43:37.400 --> 1:43:40.040
<v Speaker 1>Get your flu shot. If you haven't, protect yourself, protect

1:43:40.120 --> 1:43:46.400
<v Speaker 1>others please. I think that one of the lessons that

1:43:46.439 --> 1:43:50.960
<v Speaker 1>we can take away from this outbreak, as with past

1:43:51.000 --> 1:43:56.559
<v Speaker 1>coronavirus outbreaks and other types of spillover events, is that

1:43:56.680 --> 1:44:03.680
<v Speaker 1>these epidemics reveal these international wealth disparities o YAH, it

1:44:03.720 --> 1:44:06.080
<v Speaker 1>can decide who will get the vaccines, who will get

1:44:06.080 --> 1:44:10.559
<v Speaker 1>the treatments, Who has the financial support for control or

1:44:10.680 --> 1:44:16.040
<v Speaker 1>importantly prevention and emergency preparedness. Yeah, as several of our

1:44:16.080 --> 1:44:22.120
<v Speaker 1>interviewees said, microbes don't know country boundaries, They don't acknowledge them,

1:44:22.200 --> 1:44:26.599
<v Speaker 1>recognize them. These are not national concerns. This is a

1:44:26.640 --> 1:44:30.240
<v Speaker 1>call for international concern. An epidemic in one place is

1:44:30.280 --> 1:44:34.400
<v Speaker 1>an epidemic globally with the interconnectedness that we have, and

1:44:34.680 --> 1:44:37.920
<v Speaker 1>I think that, you know, some of the ugly sides

1:44:38.000 --> 1:44:43.320
<v Speaker 1>of these epidemics are this, you know, pointing fingers and saying, oh,

1:44:43.400 --> 1:44:46.240
<v Speaker 1>it's it's this country's problem, not mine.

1:44:46.920 --> 1:44:50.080
<v Speaker 2>And that's not effective. Right when we have something that's

1:44:50.080 --> 1:44:54.080
<v Speaker 2>of international concern, what we need is international collaboration and

1:44:54.160 --> 1:44:56.640
<v Speaker 2>working together. And I think what's great is that we

1:44:56.800 --> 1:44:59.920
<v Speaker 2>have seen a lot of that in this novel Corona

1:45:00.080 --> 1:45:04.640
<v Speaker 2>virus outbreak. We see people exchanging information and talking with

1:45:04.720 --> 1:45:08.320
<v Speaker 2>each other in order to do our best to prevent

1:45:08.360 --> 1:45:10.479
<v Speaker 2>this outbreak from getting worse.

1:45:11.520 --> 1:45:20.800
<v Speaker 1>Exactly, Okay, sources, sources, I have oodles of sources, but

1:45:20.840 --> 1:45:23.280
<v Speaker 1>I want to shout out a few of them. A

1:45:23.360 --> 1:45:25.720
<v Speaker 1>couple books that I read that focused on SARS. One

1:45:25.760 --> 1:45:29.479
<v Speaker 1>is called twenty first Century Plague by Thomas Abraham. Another

1:45:29.760 --> 1:45:32.320
<v Speaker 1>is called China Syndrome. The True Story of the twenty

1:45:32.360 --> 1:45:36.120
<v Speaker 1>first centuries First Great Epidemic by Carl Tarol Greenfeld. That's

1:45:36.160 --> 1:45:39.000
<v Speaker 1>where our first hand account was drawn from. And then

1:45:39.040 --> 1:45:41.200
<v Speaker 1>I have a few other articles. A couple I want

1:45:41.240 --> 1:45:44.200
<v Speaker 1>to shout out are by Qui at All in twenty

1:45:44.320 --> 1:45:50.120
<v Speaker 1>nineteen Origin and Evolution of Pathogenic Coronaviruses, and by Jones

1:45:50.160 --> 1:45:52.760
<v Speaker 1>at All in two thousand and eight Global Trends of

1:45:52.760 --> 1:45:57.479
<v Speaker 1>Emerging Infectious Diseases, and then also by Lee at All

1:45:57.960 --> 1:46:00.800
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and five. Bats are natural reds of stars,

1:46:00.880 --> 1:46:01.840
<v Speaker 1>like coronaviruses.

1:46:02.800 --> 1:46:06.519
<v Speaker 2>Excellent. I read a great chapter in the book Viral

1:46:06.520 --> 1:46:10.479
<v Speaker 2>Infections of Humans all about coronaviruses in general, if you're

1:46:10.479 --> 1:46:14.080
<v Speaker 2>interested in that. Two articles I loved, one was the

1:46:14.120 --> 1:46:17.559
<v Speaker 2>Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome in the New England Journal Medicine

1:46:17.560 --> 1:46:20.960
<v Speaker 2>about SARS, and one called Middle East Respiratory Syndrome in

1:46:21.040 --> 1:46:24.640
<v Speaker 2>the Lancet. And then if you'd like the most up

1:46:24.720 --> 1:46:27.800
<v Speaker 2>to date information about the novel coronavirus, which I know

1:46:28.080 --> 1:46:31.760
<v Speaker 2>that's what you all are here for. Our experts recommended

1:46:31.880 --> 1:46:34.960
<v Speaker 2>a few sources that we also have been relying upon.

1:46:35.600 --> 1:46:39.320
<v Speaker 2>That is the World Health Organization Situation Report. They are

1:46:39.400 --> 1:46:43.639
<v Speaker 2>updating this daily. Every single day there's a new situation

1:46:43.800 --> 1:46:46.200
<v Speaker 2>report that's released, so you can get the most up

1:46:46.240 --> 1:46:49.160
<v Speaker 2>to date information on the number of cases. Oh look,

1:46:49.160 --> 1:46:52.519
<v Speaker 2>they just updated it. Let's see what it says. Yep,

1:46:52.600 --> 1:46:54.439
<v Speaker 2>it's a little less up to date than the other

1:46:54.520 --> 1:46:58.880
<v Speaker 2>up to date source, which is the Johns Hopkins website

1:46:57.920 --> 1:47:03.599
<v Speaker 2>of a app that's continuously updating. And finally, the CDC

1:47:03.800 --> 1:47:07.160
<v Speaker 2>has a great sight on the novel coronavirus. If you're

1:47:07.200 --> 1:47:09.800
<v Speaker 2>interested in specific things that you can do to help

1:47:09.840 --> 1:47:13.840
<v Speaker 2>prevent yourself from getting infected, wash your hands and cover

1:47:13.880 --> 1:47:16.400
<v Speaker 2>your mouth, and we'll post the links to all of

1:47:16.439 --> 1:47:18.599
<v Speaker 2>these in the show notes and on our website.

1:47:19.520 --> 1:47:25.080
<v Speaker 1>Awesome. Thank you again so much to our wonderful, wonderful guests.

1:47:25.400 --> 1:47:26.479
<v Speaker 1>We really appreciate it.

1:47:26.880 --> 1:47:29.160
<v Speaker 2>And thank you to Bloodmobile for providing the music for

1:47:29.200 --> 1:47:31.559
<v Speaker 2>this episode in all of our episodes.

1:47:31.400 --> 1:47:34.040
<v Speaker 1>And thank you to you listeners for allowing us to

1:47:34.120 --> 1:47:37.000
<v Speaker 1>keep making this podcast. It is our absolute favorite thing

1:47:37.080 --> 1:47:42.479
<v Speaker 1>to do. And with that, wash, wash, wash your hands.

1:47:43.000 --> 1:47:47.320
<v Speaker 2>Our experts had something else to say about this don't panic.

1:47:47.600 --> 1:47:50.160
<v Speaker 4>Just wash your hands and wash your.

1:47:50.000 --> 1:48:05.920
<v Speaker 2>Cell phone, you filthy animals on um

1:48:09.439 --> 1:48:20.720
<v Speaker 7>U oh