1 00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 1: The show goes on. This is the official show on 2 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:19,639 Speaker 1: the Fish on First podcast channel with me Eli Susman, 3 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:23,280 Speaker 1: the Boundar of Fish on First, providing you with complete 4 00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:27,640 Speaker 1: coverage of your Miami Marlins. Sticking with this weekly schedule 5 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:31,120 Speaker 1: usually on Tuesday mornings the Fish on First channel. Wherever 6 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 1: you get your pods on our YouTube channel as well, 7 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 1: you're watching me here. If you're seeing us over there, 8 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 1: you can hear pods from me talking all things Marlins, 9 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:43,280 Speaker 1: usually with an assortment of special guests or staff members. 10 00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:45,360 Speaker 1: This one is just a solo pod with me plenty 11 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:49,240 Speaker 1: to talk about on this one, inspired by recent events. 12 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:53,200 Speaker 1: It's not just the official show. Every two weeks approximately, 13 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:56,640 Speaker 1: we have a new episode of Fish Unfiltered Isaakazooit Kevin Burrell. 14 00:00:56,680 --> 00:00:59,360 Speaker 1: They have a very special episode Cooking that's coming out 15 00:00:59,480 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 1: very soon after this one. And we're being more consistent 16 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:05,440 Speaker 1: with Big Fish Small Pod generally ten minutes or less 17 00:01:05,560 --> 00:01:11,560 Speaker 1: episodes talking about particular moments or analyzing very niche issues, 18 00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:14,679 Speaker 1: so those go up on most weekdays. Also, wherever you 19 00:01:14,720 --> 00:01:17,280 Speaker 1: get your pods, leave a rating and review, subscribe to 20 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 1: us if you would let us know how we're doing 21 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:22,760 Speaker 1: and help us continue to grow as we branch out 22 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:26,360 Speaker 1: even more our audio offerings here at fish On First. 23 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 1: Most of this episode, I want to dedicate to the 24 00:01:29,840 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 1: new guy, Vidal Bruchan interesting trade, one of four Preps 25 00:01:36,040 --> 00:01:39,920 Speaker 1: five players involved in this one transaction with Peter Bendix's 26 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 1: former team, the Tampa Bay Rays. Will be getting into 27 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:45,479 Speaker 1: that soon, But to lead off, I wanted to talk 28 00:01:45,520 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 1: about the Marlins payroll as our lead off topic here 29 00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:54,400 Speaker 1: we is. It came into slightly sharper view this past 30 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:58,000 Speaker 1: week when the non tender deadline passed as expected. The 31 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 1: Marlins didn't keep everybody from their arbitration eligible class non 32 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 1: tendering Jacob Stallings, non tendering Garrett Hampson. Around the league 33 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:09,080 Speaker 1: and sometimes the Marlins themselves, you'll see some players reach 34 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:12,840 Speaker 1: a particular salary agreement with their team right around the 35 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:15,360 Speaker 1: same time as that non tender deadline that didn't happen 36 00:02:15,400 --> 00:02:18,120 Speaker 1: this year, so we're still working off of projections when 37 00:02:18,120 --> 00:02:21,360 Speaker 1: it comes to the eligible guys on this Marlins team. 38 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:23,480 Speaker 1: I do have an article up on fish On First 39 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:26,080 Speaker 1: that dives into this in more particular details if you 40 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:28,040 Speaker 1: haven't seen it already. So this segment kind of a 41 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:31,280 Speaker 1: companion through that payroll outlook, and I'll be updating it 42 00:02:31,320 --> 00:02:35,440 Speaker 1: again once we get to the salary exchange deadline that's 43 00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:40,360 Speaker 1: way in mid January is when almost all those arbitration 44 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 1: eligible deals will come to view and then hopefully the 45 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 1: Marlins will actually have a complete team put together. Right now, 46 00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:49,800 Speaker 1: at this particular moment, the team has several gaping holes 47 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:53,360 Speaker 1: to it, and that is mildly concerning because of where 48 00:02:53,440 --> 00:02:56,840 Speaker 1: the payroll stands right now. This is a good glimpse 49 00:02:56,960 --> 00:03:02,440 Speaker 1: at it from roster resource looking at the Marlins players 50 00:03:02,760 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 1: who are either under guaranteed contracts for the moment or 51 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 1: arbitration eligible. This is the vast majority of the payroll. 52 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 1: Is is kind of geared towards these players. These they 53 00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:19,480 Speaker 1: comprise the vast majority of it, even though it's only 54 00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:22,800 Speaker 1: about half of a roster right here. Josh Bell, of course, 55 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 1: made that interesting decision to pick up his player option 56 00:03:26,680 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 1: for sixteen and a half million dollars. Avid Garcia making 57 00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:32,400 Speaker 1: twelve million as he has each of the past couple 58 00:03:32,400 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 1: of years. Sandiel Contra his contract continues to steadily climb, 59 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:39,880 Speaker 1: now making nine point three million. John Birdie they picked 60 00:03:39,960 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 1: up his club option for twenty twenty four three point 61 00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 1: six two five million dollars between those four alone, Yeah, 62 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 1: you're looking at right around forty ish million dollars a 63 00:03:51,760 --> 00:03:54,040 Speaker 1: little bit more than that in those players. And then 64 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:56,440 Speaker 1: there's the arbitration eligibles. So even with the moves they 65 00:03:56,440 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 1: made with Stallings, with Hampson and then earlier in the 66 00:03:59,280 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 1: offseason with Jonathan Davis, he himself would have also been 67 00:04:02,200 --> 00:04:05,840 Speaker 1: ARB eligible. There's still ten other guys. Using projections from 68 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 1: MLB trade rumors, Luisa Rise is going to be the 69 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:12,240 Speaker 1: highest earner of that group, likely over ten million dollars. 70 00:04:12,640 --> 00:04:15,840 Speaker 1: Then you have ten Or Scott Heyesusilzardo, and even below that, 71 00:04:16,080 --> 00:04:17,960 Speaker 1: you have variety of players that are eligible for the 72 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:21,039 Speaker 1: first time or relievers that are eligible for the second time, 73 00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:23,600 Speaker 1: and make up a relatively small percentage of that guys 74 00:04:23,640 --> 00:04:26,880 Speaker 1: like jazzism Junior and even Trevor Rodgers, despite being injured 75 00:04:26,880 --> 00:04:30,040 Speaker 1: the whole year, he accrued service time, which finally got 76 00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:34,000 Speaker 1: him to the eligible department. But just between this is 77 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 1: fourteen players, and one of those, Sin Sandy, we're expecting 78 00:04:37,120 --> 00:04:40,240 Speaker 1: to spend the entire of next year on the injured list, 79 00:04:40,440 --> 00:04:43,080 Speaker 1: So that's only half an active roster's worth of players, 80 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:47,520 Speaker 1: and yet it is looking at about eighty million dollars 81 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:51,800 Speaker 1: just between those guys for a team that only is 82 00:04:51,839 --> 00:04:54,880 Speaker 1: one catcher on the active roster who has really no 83 00:04:54,960 --> 00:04:57,279 Speaker 1: clue what they're doing at shortstop at the moment, even 84 00:04:57,320 --> 00:04:59,360 Speaker 1: though Bruhan is now in the mix. We'll get into 85 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:04,200 Speaker 1: that little bit big holes to address some uncertainty about 86 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 1: their depth in the corner outfield spots, a question about 87 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:12,159 Speaker 1: just the quality of the back end of their rotation, 88 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 1: even though the top part of it still looks pretty good, 89 00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:17,880 Speaker 1: even when it's sandy list. From the article that I 90 00:05:17,920 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 1: put up on fish on First dot com on Saturday, 91 00:05:21,000 --> 00:05:23,320 Speaker 1: we got it all together eighty and a half million 92 00:05:23,320 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 1: dollars for those players that appeared on the previous graphic, 93 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 1: even assuming they filled out the other half of the 94 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:34,080 Speaker 1: active roster, the other thirteen spots with league minimum ish players, 95 00:05:34,200 --> 00:05:37,400 Speaker 1: ones that are earning basically nothing, you're still looking at 96 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:41,120 Speaker 1: a payroll tab of ninety point three two five million dollars, 97 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:44,200 Speaker 1: and that is almost the same as it was entering 98 00:05:44,240 --> 00:05:46,160 Speaker 1: the twenty twenty three season. So we're talking about this 99 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:51,040 Speaker 1: roster with glaring issues to it, and yet it's in 100 00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:54,320 Speaker 1: within a couple million dollars of where they were entering 101 00:05:54,320 --> 00:05:59,159 Speaker 1: the twenty twenty three season. So that just tells you 102 00:05:59,279 --> 00:06:02,480 Speaker 1: kind of the interesting predicament that the Marlins are in 103 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 1: right here. There was been really no particular pledge by 104 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 1: Bruce Sherman to hit a certain payroll marker. He has 105 00:06:11,279 --> 00:06:15,159 Speaker 1: gradually boosted up the team's payroll coming out of COVID, 106 00:06:15,360 --> 00:06:17,359 Speaker 1: so you give him some credit for that. Even so 107 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:20,839 Speaker 1: last year entered the season twenty third highest than payroll. 108 00:06:21,040 --> 00:06:23,880 Speaker 1: They finished a little bit above that because they were 109 00:06:23,880 --> 00:06:26,480 Speaker 1: buyers during the season. They picked up more money when 110 00:06:26,480 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 1: they swapped Segura for Josh Bell, they added more when 111 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:34,159 Speaker 1: they acquired David Robertson, they shed a little bit in 112 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 1: a couple of their other trades on the whole. And 113 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 1: also when you combine the injuries that they had, pretty 114 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 1: substantial injuries. When somebody gets hurt, they get paid while 115 00:06:42,080 --> 00:06:43,840 Speaker 1: they're on the injured list, and yet you still need 116 00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:46,120 Speaker 1: to fill their spot on the active roster with somebody 117 00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:48,799 Speaker 1: that was otherwise in the minor leagues or on another team. 118 00:06:49,240 --> 00:06:52,360 Speaker 1: So through that process, the team's payroll swelled well over 119 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:57,960 Speaker 1: one hundred million dollars during twenty twenty three, and even 120 00:06:57,960 --> 00:07:01,599 Speaker 1: though it's progress being made, they are being dwarfed by 121 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:04,080 Speaker 1: some of the teams that they're competing against in the 122 00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:07,640 Speaker 1: National League and especially in the National League East. The Braves, 123 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:10,240 Speaker 1: for example, they're spending more than ever. They're pushing up 124 00:07:10,280 --> 00:07:13,240 Speaker 1: already near the luxury tax at about two hundred and 125 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:17,000 Speaker 1: thirty two forty million dollars already. The New York Mets, 126 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:19,560 Speaker 1: they did lots of shed payroll, and yet there's going 127 00:07:19,600 --> 00:07:22,920 Speaker 1: to be in that neighborhood yet again. As well, you 128 00:07:23,000 --> 00:07:28,120 Speaker 1: have the the Philadelphia Phillies. I think the Phillies are 129 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 1: even above those teams at this particular moment in terms 130 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:33,240 Speaker 1: of money that's on the books for twenty twenty four, 131 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 1: now that they've re signed Aaron Nola and given him 132 00:07:36,840 --> 00:07:41,240 Speaker 1: a justified pay raise. This past year in baseball, what 133 00:07:41,360 --> 00:07:46,160 Speaker 1: made it so interesting and certainly delightful from a Marlin's perspective, 134 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:50,320 Speaker 1: is that the correlation between team winning and payroll was 135 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 1: so weak. It was there wasn't that same relationship that 136 00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 1: we're used to sing between big market teams very on 137 00:07:59,640 --> 00:08:02,840 Speaker 1: the majority of times getting into the postseason and the 138 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 1: small market teams being among the worst in baseball. We 139 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:11,320 Speaker 1: saw the Arizona Diamondbacks in the Marlins, same payroll tier, 140 00:08:11,400 --> 00:08:13,720 Speaker 1: get all the way to the World Series. We saw 141 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 1: in the American League the Yankees barely finished about five hundred, 142 00:08:17,320 --> 00:08:21,840 Speaker 1: the Boston Red Sox driven into ruin the San Diego Padres. 143 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 1: They set a team record for their spending, and yet 144 00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:26,480 Speaker 1: they needed a rally at the end of the season 145 00:08:26,640 --> 00:08:28,800 Speaker 1: just to make it look somewhat respectable. They were not 146 00:08:29,120 --> 00:08:31,360 Speaker 1: a serious playoff threat all the way along. And we 147 00:08:31,360 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 1: already touched on the Mets being a big disappointment. Even 148 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:37,800 Speaker 1: the Cardinals, a team that had won of their worst 149 00:08:37,800 --> 00:08:41,280 Speaker 1: seasons in decades, despite making a pretty big commitment to 150 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 1: the major league team with the hiring of Peter Bendix. 151 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:49,560 Speaker 1: Peter knows as well as anybody, and he has shown 152 00:08:49,720 --> 00:08:51,800 Speaker 1: that he could be part of an organization, a successful 153 00:08:51,800 --> 00:08:56,000 Speaker 1: one that is like pretty consistently great at the major 154 00:08:56,080 --> 00:08:58,840 Speaker 1: league level, even while having a lower payroll than the Marlins. 155 00:08:58,880 --> 00:09:01,720 Speaker 1: So it's not a necessity. The reality is, if you 156 00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:06,240 Speaker 1: look at kind of the larger view of this, just 157 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:10,360 Speaker 1: generally speaking about payroll in Major League Baseball, the correlation 158 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:13,679 Speaker 1: tends to be there. Teams rarely go deep into the 159 00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:17,200 Speaker 1: postseason without being an above average spender, and the ones 160 00:09:17,240 --> 00:09:21,320 Speaker 1: that are towards the bottom third in payroll very frequently 161 00:09:21,440 --> 00:09:24,440 Speaker 1: you're missing the playoffs or you're maybe fighting for one 162 00:09:24,520 --> 00:09:27,720 Speaker 1: spot in your league with other teams in that same area. 163 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 1: The Marlins are going if they have ambitions of being 164 00:09:31,840 --> 00:09:34,920 Speaker 1: as good as they were in twenty twenty three, they 165 00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:38,480 Speaker 1: either need some Bendick's magic where they need to turn 166 00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:41,559 Speaker 1: some of their returning players into better versions of themselves, 167 00:09:41,600 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 1: simple as that, or they're going to have to blow 168 00:09:44,640 --> 00:09:49,120 Speaker 1: past this level of spending that they're accustomed to, even 169 00:09:49,160 --> 00:09:51,560 Speaker 1: what they did last year. Considering the holes that they 170 00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:55,400 Speaker 1: still have to fill, their reality that players like avisl 171 00:09:55,480 --> 00:09:58,520 Speaker 1: Garcia one of their highest paid players, Are they going 172 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:02,040 Speaker 1: to keep him on the roster just to potentially drag 173 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:03,559 Speaker 1: them further down, or are they going to make the 174 00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:07,040 Speaker 1: tough decision to part ways with him and leave more 175 00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:10,440 Speaker 1: roles to fill so between him. It's a tough position, 176 00:10:10,679 --> 00:10:13,480 Speaker 1: admittedly for the Marlins to be and to have Avi 177 00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:15,920 Speaker 1: on the books, to have Sandy out for the year 178 00:10:16,040 --> 00:10:18,800 Speaker 1: under while recovering from injury. I didn't even touch on 179 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:22,400 Speaker 1: the buyout of Johnny Quato and Matt Barnes. Between those two, 180 00:10:22,480 --> 00:10:25,000 Speaker 1: it's over five million dollars that they're they paid those 181 00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:27,800 Speaker 1: guys to go away instead of picking up their club options. 182 00:10:29,080 --> 00:10:32,640 Speaker 1: It is a tough situation, and we kind of said 183 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:35,600 Speaker 1: that coming into this President of Baseball op search, that 184 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:38,199 Speaker 1: would be a tough job. At least in year one. 185 00:10:38,920 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 1: You kind of, in my opinion, you owe it to 186 00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:45,000 Speaker 1: the fans to continue pushing to be irrelevant a relevant team, 187 00:10:45,200 --> 00:10:47,600 Speaker 1: to be relevant for the second straight year in a 188 00:10:47,600 --> 00:10:50,080 Speaker 1: way that this Marlins franchise really hasn't been throughout their 189 00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 1: entire history. To take a step backwards, it would even 190 00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:57,480 Speaker 1: though it would be defensible and kind of understandable under 191 00:10:57,520 --> 00:11:01,960 Speaker 1: the circumstances given, you know, the lack of what's viewed 192 00:11:01,960 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 1: as the lack of available budget and the limited amount 193 00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:07,719 Speaker 1: of trade capital that you have in order to make 194 00:11:07,800 --> 00:11:11,800 Speaker 1: up grades without spending money in free agency. Yeah, the 195 00:11:11,840 --> 00:11:15,720 Speaker 1: short term outlook is pretty tough. But at the same time, 196 00:11:16,760 --> 00:11:18,680 Speaker 1: I don't think there will be a whole lot of 197 00:11:19,400 --> 00:11:25,200 Speaker 1: understanding from fans about that, considering that expectations have been 198 00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:28,679 Speaker 1: raised based on where they were the previous year, and 199 00:11:28,960 --> 00:11:31,600 Speaker 1: this is a frand base that has been deprived of 200 00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:35,040 Speaker 1: a team that is consistently trying to be good. Yeah, 201 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:37,280 Speaker 1: the reality is is that it may take a couple 202 00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:39,719 Speaker 1: of years for Bendix to fully lay the groundwork to 203 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:44,600 Speaker 1: be sustainably good. If he's going to get done right now. Yeah, See, 204 00:11:44,600 --> 00:11:47,680 Speaker 1: they're going to take some sort of a miraculous turn 205 00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:50,079 Speaker 1: of events with the talent that he has on this roster, 206 00:11:50,240 --> 00:11:53,440 Speaker 1: some very clever maneuvering of buying low on players that 207 00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:56,720 Speaker 1: we feel aren't particularly good at the stage of their career, 208 00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:59,600 Speaker 1: or it will need the cooperation of Bruce Sherman in 209 00:11:59,679 --> 00:12:05,160 Speaker 1: order to make some splashy acquisitions that actually raise the 210 00:12:05,200 --> 00:12:08,600 Speaker 1: floor and the ceiling of this current team well beyond 211 00:12:08,679 --> 00:12:12,719 Speaker 1: where it currently is. So yeah, that's where I'm at 212 00:12:12,880 --> 00:12:14,600 Speaker 1: when it comes to payroll. As I said, you could 213 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:16,600 Speaker 1: read that article more on fish on First dot Com. 214 00:12:16,679 --> 00:12:19,840 Speaker 1: I'll be updating it as the offseason goes along. At 215 00:12:19,880 --> 00:12:21,920 Speaker 1: this stage as I'm recording this, and they don't seem 216 00:12:21,960 --> 00:12:26,240 Speaker 1: particularly close to making another big move. They made one 217 00:12:26,679 --> 00:12:31,000 Speaker 1: interesting one, a newsworthy one, this past week right around 218 00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:35,160 Speaker 1: that same non tender deadline, the roster protection deadline as well. 219 00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:38,000 Speaker 1: For the rule five Draft. They went to the Tampa 220 00:12:38,000 --> 00:12:39,719 Speaker 1: Bay Rays. They took a couple players off of their 221 00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:44,760 Speaker 1: forty man roster, including Vidal Bruhan, who was formerly a 222 00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:48,959 Speaker 1: very highly regarded prospect and now a few years into 223 00:12:49,000 --> 00:12:51,359 Speaker 1: his major league career sort of lost in the wilderness. 224 00:12:51,360 --> 00:12:52,959 Speaker 1: So the Rays were willing to sell low on this. 225 00:12:53,320 --> 00:12:57,600 Speaker 1: Peter Bendix was going to bring him in, and I 226 00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:00,160 Speaker 1: want to dive into exactly what is going on with 227 00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 1: him as a major league hitter. He's had parts of 228 00:13:02,280 --> 00:13:05,360 Speaker 1: three seasons to try it out. The results have been 229 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:07,800 Speaker 1: pretty terrible. He's now out of options. What did the 230 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:11,360 Speaker 1: Marlins seeing him? What did Bendix in particular feel that 231 00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:14,560 Speaker 1: he's going to turn around with Bruhan after this change 232 00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:17,320 Speaker 1: of scenery. We'll get into more of that right after 233 00:13:17,360 --> 00:13:23,960 Speaker 1: this break stick with me. I'm not sure why he 234 00:13:24,160 --> 00:13:27,959 Speaker 1: deleted it, but Bruhan put out this very heartfelt Instagram 235 00:13:28,000 --> 00:13:31,160 Speaker 1: post a few days after being traded from the Rays 236 00:13:31,559 --> 00:13:34,280 Speaker 1: to the Marlins, among other things. You can read the 237 00:13:34,280 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 1: whole thing if you're watching on YouTube. Just to sum 238 00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:39,840 Speaker 1: it up right here, it was about accepting that baseball 239 00:13:40,120 --> 00:13:43,640 Speaker 1: is a business, showing gratitude towards the Ray's organization for 240 00:13:43,679 --> 00:13:47,760 Speaker 1: giving him the opportunity and for turning into quote, my 241 00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:50,880 Speaker 1: supportive family. I will forever love you and be grateful 242 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:54,400 Speaker 1: for believing in me. And then the second paragraph, acknowledging 243 00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:57,719 Speaker 1: his change of scenery, Bruhan said, and I quote now 244 00:13:57,760 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 1: I remain a fish, get it, because he went from 245 00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:02,680 Speaker 1: a Ray to Marlins, little fish, where I believe that 246 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:05,079 Speaker 1: once and for all the numbers I put in the 247 00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:07,800 Speaker 1: minor leagues will translate to the big leagues. Mister Peter 248 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:11,160 Speaker 1: Bendix knows me well, and I look forward to making 249 00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:18,160 Speaker 1: him and the Marlins proud. Unusual to see a traded 250 00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:22,880 Speaker 1: player shout out his new organ a particular executive from 251 00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:26,480 Speaker 1: his new organization given the news like this, right, So 252 00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 1: that was interesting, and I think that tells you that 253 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:33,520 Speaker 1: Bendix himself probably contacted Bruhan to give him the news 254 00:14:33,760 --> 00:14:37,200 Speaker 1: about this change of scenery. And not all that surprising 255 00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:40,440 Speaker 1: that Bendix is bringing over some of the talent that 256 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:44,680 Speaker 1: he's known from the Marlins organization, from the Ray's organization 257 00:14:44,800 --> 00:14:48,960 Speaker 1: to his new place, relying on perhaps some things that 258 00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 1: he sees or somethings that he believes that the organization doesn't. 259 00:14:52,600 --> 00:14:55,520 Speaker 1: So this was a four player trade at least with 260 00:14:55,560 --> 00:14:59,760 Speaker 1: the Marlins also acquiring Calvin Fouche and trading away to 261 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:06,240 Speaker 1: two relatively low level prospects, Andrew Lindsay and also Eric Laura. 262 00:15:06,400 --> 00:15:08,920 Speaker 1: Both those guys just played in rookie ball this past year, 263 00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:11,680 Speaker 1: but both of them have decent upside, they're just several 264 00:15:11,760 --> 00:15:13,520 Speaker 1: years away from making it through. So the last piece 265 00:15:13,520 --> 00:15:15,120 Speaker 1: of the equation is a player to be named later 266 00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:19,040 Speaker 1: or cash considerations, and this is the deal that the 267 00:15:19,080 --> 00:15:23,320 Speaker 1: downside is significant because the way Breuhan has struggled as 268 00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:25,720 Speaker 1: we're about to get into and also Fauchet at the 269 00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:28,960 Speaker 1: major league level coming off a seven era, also coming 270 00:15:28,960 --> 00:15:30,480 Speaker 1: off an injury that he had at the end of 271 00:15:30,520 --> 00:15:33,440 Speaker 1: the year, so he's a reliever with the decent stuff, 272 00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:35,120 Speaker 1: but it might not ever click in the big leagues. 273 00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:39,680 Speaker 1: And Breuhan he's out of minor league options, which means that, yeah, 274 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:43,480 Speaker 1: he doesn't show much early in the season. This is 275 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:47,080 Speaker 1: a player that it will be clamoring to dfa him 276 00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:49,840 Speaker 1: because you can't send him down immediately. Like this is 277 00:15:49,840 --> 00:15:52,360 Speaker 1: a guy that we've seen before, even though there have 278 00:15:52,360 --> 00:15:55,560 Speaker 1: been those with less prospect pedigree or usually in this situation, 279 00:15:57,040 --> 00:15:58,920 Speaker 1: this is a deal that ultimately could prove to be 280 00:15:58,960 --> 00:16:01,000 Speaker 1: a nothing burger or it could prove to be a 281 00:16:01,040 --> 00:16:03,480 Speaker 1: net loss. I did want to say up top, before 282 00:16:03,520 --> 00:16:05,400 Speaker 1: I get too critical about Breuhan, I want to say 283 00:16:05,400 --> 00:16:07,720 Speaker 1: that I do approve of this trade as a guy 284 00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:11,720 Speaker 1: that was a perennial top one hundred MLB prospect several 285 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:15,280 Speaker 1: different standout tools early in his development, the way he 286 00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:18,239 Speaker 1: performed while being much younger than the level of his competition, 287 00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:21,320 Speaker 1: and even in recent years at Triple A back to 288 00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:23,920 Speaker 1: back to back years well above average hitter in terms 289 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:28,400 Speaker 1: of WRC plus uh for Breuhan one to eleven and 290 00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:31,040 Speaker 1: twenty eleven, where one hundred is a league average, one 291 00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:33,560 Speaker 1: seventeen the next year, one ten the next year. These 292 00:16:33,560 --> 00:16:37,360 Speaker 1: are numbers with the Triple A Durham Bowles. The problem 293 00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:40,920 Speaker 1: is at the major league level that has not shown 294 00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:46,080 Speaker 1: up whatsoever. A glimpse at his numbers this point negative 295 00:16:46,160 --> 00:16:48,920 Speaker 1: one and a half wins above replacement, despite playing what 296 00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:51,880 Speaker 1: amounts about a half season at the major league level, 297 00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:54,880 Speaker 1: so on a negative three win pace, hitting one fifty 298 00:16:55,000 --> 00:16:57,480 Speaker 1: seven in his big league career with a four to 299 00:16:57,640 --> 00:17:03,760 Speaker 1: thirty nine OPS and his most recent opportunity in the 300 00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:06,480 Speaker 1: show did not go any better. This past season. He 301 00:17:06,520 --> 00:17:09,600 Speaker 1: had one seventy one no home runs, a four to 302 00:17:09,760 --> 00:17:14,000 Speaker 1: thirty eight ops through these parts of three seasons combined 303 00:17:14,000 --> 00:17:18,240 Speaker 1: in the big leagues, a twenty seven OPS plus roughly 304 00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:21,160 Speaker 1: his WRC plus right around the same. Right there. Again, 305 00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:24,640 Speaker 1: one hundred is league average. When you're that close to zero, 306 00:17:25,280 --> 00:17:29,199 Speaker 1: you are in pretty unfortunate company. As I'm about to 307 00:17:29,240 --> 00:17:33,040 Speaker 1: show you what I did here through stadhead, I sorted 308 00:17:33,080 --> 00:17:38,800 Speaker 1: for infielders and outfielders since integration, which was seventy six 309 00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:44,080 Speaker 1: years ago. More than that, sorting through it by infielders 310 00:17:44,080 --> 00:17:46,720 Speaker 1: and outfielders were the same age that brew Han was, 311 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:52,119 Speaker 1: ages twenty three to twenty five, so excluding catchers, obviously 312 00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:55,560 Speaker 1: excluding pitchers. Although his batting line it doesn't look all 313 00:17:55,560 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 1: that much different from what we were used to from 314 00:17:58,359 --> 00:18:01,760 Speaker 1: seeing pictures in the past. These are guys over this 315 00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:05,439 Speaker 1: period of time that in a comparable amount of playing 316 00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:08,399 Speaker 1: time as Breuhan. Brewhan's played ninety nine games two hundred 317 00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:11,399 Speaker 1: and seventy two played appearances. There have been worse hitters 318 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:14,000 Speaker 1: than Breuhan in the big leagues during this span. To 319 00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:18,320 Speaker 1: be clear, The difference is he's getting over the course 320 00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:21,080 Speaker 1: of multiple seasons, getting a significant opportunity to prove himself, 321 00:18:21,080 --> 00:18:24,640 Speaker 1: and yet still struggling to this extreme degree. The very 322 00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:28,120 Speaker 1: worst performer here that showed up was John Vukovich from 323 00:18:28,119 --> 00:18:31,600 Speaker 1: the early nineteen seventies, a name that guys might be 324 00:18:31,600 --> 00:18:34,600 Speaker 1: more familiar with Brandon Wood, who also had a ton 325 00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:37,080 Speaker 1: of prospect type coming up with the Angels in the 326 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:41,119 Speaker 1: late two thousands. Very similar overall numbers from Brandon Wood, 327 00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:44,480 Speaker 1: and things did not really turn around from him. The 328 00:18:45,119 --> 00:18:47,560 Speaker 1: names would you go down a little bit, You get 329 00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:51,760 Speaker 1: Don Bosch from the nineteen sixties. Breuhan is fourth worst 330 00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:55,640 Speaker 1: out of all these players infielders and outfielders ages twenty 331 00:18:55,640 --> 00:18:58,480 Speaker 1: three to thirty five, twenty three to twenty five in 332 00:18:58,600 --> 00:19:01,840 Speaker 1: terms of the ps plus that he put up during 333 00:19:01,840 --> 00:19:05,680 Speaker 1: these years. After him, you get Larry Garcia, You get 334 00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:09,520 Speaker 1: Jack Cusick, Luis Gomez. You get Josh Bell, not the 335 00:19:09,600 --> 00:19:11,920 Speaker 1: Josh Bell you're thinking of, a different Josh Bell who 336 00:19:11,960 --> 00:19:15,160 Speaker 1: played for the Dbacks and the Orioles and quickly fizzled 337 00:19:15,160 --> 00:19:18,919 Speaker 1: out in the early twenty tens. Other names here that 338 00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:21,320 Speaker 1: I'm familiar with really the only other one, the only 339 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:24,600 Speaker 1: other couple that I'm familiar with are Omar Kintania and 340 00:19:24,640 --> 00:19:30,040 Speaker 1: then Mario Mendoza, who lended his name to the Mendoza line. 341 00:19:30,480 --> 00:19:33,720 Speaker 1: So Mendoza, the guy who they named the Mendoza line after, 342 00:19:34,080 --> 00:19:37,520 Speaker 1: he is actually slightly better than Breuhan. He's further from 343 00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:39,920 Speaker 1: the top of the list when it comes to lowest 344 00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:44,520 Speaker 1: ops plus by MLB infielders and outfielders. Just for fun, 345 00:19:44,760 --> 00:19:47,760 Speaker 1: this is not a apples to apples comparison, but just 346 00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:52,400 Speaker 1: for fun. Familiar name that I also dug up Louis Brinson. 347 00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:55,280 Speaker 1: When you take Bruhan's three major league seasons and you 348 00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:57,960 Speaker 1: compare them to Brinton's twenty nineteen season, this was the 349 00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:00,760 Speaker 1: second year with the Marlins, one where he's spent it 350 00:20:01,320 --> 00:20:04,840 Speaker 1: more with Triple A than in the majors. Famously, did 351 00:20:04,880 --> 00:20:07,280 Speaker 1: not hit a single home run in the big leagues 352 00:20:07,440 --> 00:20:10,800 Speaker 1: during that period of time. When you do the comparison 353 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:15,240 Speaker 1: side by side, it is unfortunately pretty similar. Brinton during 354 00:20:15,240 --> 00:20:17,879 Speaker 1: that year head at twenty three ops plus. His overall 355 00:20:17,960 --> 00:20:20,560 Speaker 1: OPS was actually a little bit higher than Breuhan's by 356 00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:23,639 Speaker 1: eighteen points. His batting average is sixteen points higher, but 357 00:20:23,640 --> 00:20:26,520 Speaker 1: they both have the same number of total hits. They 358 00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:30,280 Speaker 1: both hit for very limited power. Brewhan more stolen bases. 359 00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:33,560 Speaker 1: We'll get into Bruhan's steal, his base running, and his 360 00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:36,119 Speaker 1: defense in a future episode. What I wanted to commit 361 00:20:36,200 --> 00:20:39,160 Speaker 1: this segment too, was just understanding exactly what is happening 362 00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:41,359 Speaker 1: here with this stick a guy that, as I told you, 363 00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:44,960 Speaker 1: it's been an above average hitter even in these past 364 00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:46,480 Speaker 1: couple of years when he's been in Triple A and 365 00:20:46,560 --> 00:20:50,960 Speaker 1: yet to an almost historic level. When he gets called 366 00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:54,359 Speaker 1: up to the highest level, all that goes away. The 367 00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:59,240 Speaker 1: numbers completely erode with him. Yeah, what is going on 368 00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:03,960 Speaker 1: with Bruhan at the big league level? So to find 369 00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 1: the roots of this, it's not just one thing, because 370 00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:09,880 Speaker 1: on the bright side, you could say what sticks out 371 00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:13,800 Speaker 1: is that Breuhan is a decent contact hitter overall in 372 00:21:13,880 --> 00:21:16,520 Speaker 1: terms of with percentage, he is better than the league 373 00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:19,960 Speaker 1: average hitter at actually making contact with a ball when 374 00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:22,639 Speaker 1: he swings at it. Usually when you see guys that 375 00:21:22,680 --> 00:21:27,080 Speaker 1: are on this extreme end of being lousy, it's it 376 00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:29,639 Speaker 1: usually follows a similar pattern right where guys are just 377 00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:32,600 Speaker 1: swinging through the ball or they are chasing wildly and 378 00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:34,680 Speaker 1: can't reach the ball, where it's clear they're over matched 379 00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:38,240 Speaker 1: because their strikeout rate is really high, whereas with Bruhan, 380 00:21:38,480 --> 00:21:40,440 Speaker 1: in his major league career so far, his strikeout rate 381 00:21:40,560 --> 00:21:43,919 Speaker 1: is not even twenty five percent. It was exactly twenty 382 00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:47,200 Speaker 1: five percent in the majors this past season, twenty twenty three, overall, 383 00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:50,360 Speaker 1: twenty four point three. That's not terrible. That's not really 384 00:21:50,400 --> 00:21:53,520 Speaker 1: a disqualifier, or it shouldn't be. Some of the bad 385 00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:56,560 Speaker 1: habits that stuck out, though, are that he is super aggressive, 386 00:21:56,680 --> 00:22:00,639 Speaker 1: especially early in counts, swinging at the first pitch about 387 00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:03,720 Speaker 1: forty two percent at a time, whereas the league average 388 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:08,600 Speaker 1: is thirty percent. Swing a lot early in counts, hitting 389 00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:12,080 Speaker 1: plenty of ground balls too. This is the weird thing. 390 00:22:12,720 --> 00:22:16,880 Speaker 1: How in TRIPAA he's really normal with a forty two 391 00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:19,480 Speaker 1: percent ground ball right, that's almost exactly the league average, 392 00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:21,720 Speaker 1: Whereas when he comes up to the majors you see 393 00:22:21,760 --> 00:22:25,400 Speaker 1: him hitting a lot more grounders forty eight percent. Now 394 00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:30,840 Speaker 1: he's a fast player, he's not exceptionally speedy, and just 395 00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:34,160 Speaker 1: generally speaking, when possball, you want to elevate the ball, 396 00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:38,080 Speaker 1: and that is yet another when you do the pros 397 00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:41,040 Speaker 1: and cons and both sides of this, Let's say that 398 00:22:41,119 --> 00:22:44,439 Speaker 1: with Bruhan is that his launch angle on average is 399 00:22:45,200 --> 00:22:48,520 Speaker 1: for his career thirteen percent, and that is also like 400 00:22:48,640 --> 00:22:50,679 Speaker 1: right in line with the big league average, which is 401 00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:54,320 Speaker 1: twelve percent during these past few years. So there's a 402 00:22:54,359 --> 00:22:56,639 Speaker 1: good balance in terms of getting the ball off the 403 00:22:56,680 --> 00:23:00,280 Speaker 1: ground during the fifty two percent of times where it 404 00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:03,199 Speaker 1: isn't directly on the ground like he does. When you 405 00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,240 Speaker 1: average it all together, it looks kind of normal, and 406 00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:09,280 Speaker 1: yet the issue is that he's not finding the barrel. 407 00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:13,959 Speaker 1: What it comes down to, it's a player that seems 408 00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 1: to really have a lot of confidence in his ability 409 00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:18,479 Speaker 1: to get bad on the ball that it's leading him 410 00:23:18,520 --> 00:23:21,240 Speaker 1: to settle for swinging at pitches that he probably shouldn't 411 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:23,639 Speaker 1: be swinging at, even though he's making the contact a 412 00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:27,600 Speaker 1: good amount of the time. It's not quality contact with Bruhan. 413 00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:32,640 Speaker 1: The big red flag is just the inability to make 414 00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:36,960 Speaker 1: hard contact. He has barreled only four balls as defined 415 00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:39,320 Speaker 1: by stack scanning the ball on the barrel at least 416 00:23:39,440 --> 00:23:43,720 Speaker 1: ninety five degrees exit velocity and lifting it in the air. 417 00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:46,640 Speaker 1: He's only done that four times in parts of three 418 00:23:46,720 --> 00:23:50,439 Speaker 1: big league seasons. Only one point five percent of his 419 00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:54,880 Speaker 1: plate appearances have ended in barrels and that is less 420 00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:59,320 Speaker 1: than one third of the big league average. Whatever he's doing, 421 00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:04,480 Speaker 1: it is not leading towards premium elevated contact. So he's 422 00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:08,159 Speaker 1: hit a few home runs and basically everything outside of 423 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:11,120 Speaker 1: that has just not been squared up the way that 424 00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:15,119 Speaker 1: you wanted to. He's been a little bit unlucky. His 425 00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:18,360 Speaker 1: weighted on base average as a big leaguer is two 426 00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:22,320 Speaker 1: to oh one, and that is one hundred and fifteen 427 00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,720 Speaker 1: points below the league average is expected weighted on base 428 00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:28,080 Speaker 1: average is a little bit higher at two twenty two. 429 00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:32,720 Speaker 1: Those numbers whenever there's that's so that's a significant separation 430 00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:35,880 Speaker 1: that you would lead you to believe is a little 431 00:24:35,920 --> 00:24:38,760 Speaker 1: bit unlucky. If you want to be more traditional and 432 00:24:38,840 --> 00:24:40,679 Speaker 1: just look at the batting average on balls and play 433 00:24:40,960 --> 00:24:42,960 Speaker 1: for a lot of hitters that floats in the high 434 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:45,879 Speaker 1: two hundreds, and for him and the minors, he's generally 435 00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:48,199 Speaker 1: been a little bit over three hundred getting hits on 436 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:51,440 Speaker 1: balls and play, But in the majors, his babe is 437 00:24:51,560 --> 00:24:55,320 Speaker 1: actually right below two hundred. There is some bad luck 438 00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:58,679 Speaker 1: going on here in this sample size that are working 439 00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:03,280 Speaker 1: against him. That being said, when you're not making really 440 00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:06,240 Speaker 1: hard contact and you're seldom hitting the ball over the wall. 441 00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:10,040 Speaker 1: It is really limiting his ceiling as a player. His 442 00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:13,159 Speaker 1: maximum exit velocity as a big leaguer is only one 443 00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:17,040 Speaker 1: hundred and seven miles per hour. That is not a deal. 444 00:25:18,119 --> 00:25:21,399 Speaker 1: League averages closer to one to ten for a max 445 00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:25,439 Speaker 1: exit velo of a big league hitter, and just the 446 00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:28,120 Speaker 1: vast majority of his stuff on average, his average exit 447 00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:30,600 Speaker 1: vello is only eighty five and a half in the 448 00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:33,760 Speaker 1: big leagues, which is a full three miles per hour 449 00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,840 Speaker 1: below the league average. He is a little bit undersized. 450 00:25:37,880 --> 00:25:41,199 Speaker 1: He's five 't ten what listed at one hundred and 451 00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:43,080 Speaker 1: eighty pounds, and as far as we can tell, that's 452 00:25:43,080 --> 00:25:47,199 Speaker 1: still relatively accurate. It shouldn't be a big surprise that 453 00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:49,960 Speaker 1: he's lacking in the power department. What I want to 454 00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:52,680 Speaker 1: show you, guys, stat that we don't really talk about 455 00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:58,280 Speaker 1: here is batspeed. There are a couple different ways in 456 00:25:58,359 --> 00:26:01,760 Speaker 1: order to get to gain power as a big league hitter. 457 00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:06,280 Speaker 1: It helps to be extremely strong so that when you 458 00:26:06,320 --> 00:26:08,680 Speaker 1: make contact with the ball and you're transferring your weight 459 00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:12,520 Speaker 1: towards the ball, that it goes a long way once 460 00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:15,760 Speaker 1: that happens. The other key aspect of it is generating 461 00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:19,119 Speaker 1: bat speed. You don't have to be super duper muscular 462 00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 1: in order to do that yourself. If you look at 463 00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:25,040 Speaker 1: players that are near the top when it comes to 464 00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:29,080 Speaker 1: bad speed or Hazel Laire really high up there kind 465 00:26:29,119 --> 00:26:33,639 Speaker 1: of as expected. Just as an example, Jake Berger was 466 00:26:33,680 --> 00:26:37,639 Speaker 1: in that same category in the their average bat speed 467 00:26:37,920 --> 00:26:40,320 Speaker 1: this past year. I think it was in the high 468 00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:42,680 Speaker 1: seventies when I was looking at it, with a maximum 469 00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:45,280 Speaker 1: backspeed in the mid eighties. What I'm showing on the 470 00:26:45,280 --> 00:26:48,879 Speaker 1: screen is I coupled together the Raised players and the 471 00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:53,960 Speaker 1: Marlins players from this past season in ascending order. I 472 00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:56,719 Speaker 1: looked at the ones with the lowest average bat speed 473 00:26:57,520 --> 00:27:02,720 Speaker 1: last season, and what's funny, the Marlins players are in 474 00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:05,480 Speaker 1: bold at this point. The vast majority of the ones 475 00:27:05,520 --> 00:27:07,920 Speaker 1: at the bottom of this list are Marlins players actly. 476 00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:11,080 Speaker 1: Not if he's surprised in considering how much his offense struggled, 477 00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:14,639 Speaker 1: luis a Rise among this group. Looking at just Marlins 478 00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:18,440 Speaker 1: and Rays players, he averaged sixty point five miles per 479 00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:21,040 Speaker 1: hour with his average bat speed in twenty twenty three. 480 00:27:21,240 --> 00:27:23,639 Speaker 1: That is largely by design. As you know, if you 481 00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:26,919 Speaker 1: watch a Rise hit, he's not really trying to put 482 00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:30,080 Speaker 1: all of his momentum into his swing, and that's the 483 00:27:30,119 --> 00:27:32,280 Speaker 1: reason why he's able to control his swing so well 484 00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:36,000 Speaker 1: and make so much contact. Right above him, the second 485 00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:40,159 Speaker 1: lowest average batspeed among these teams was Xavier Edwards, and 486 00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:44,000 Speaker 1: he falls into a similar category Stylistically, he's not trying 487 00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:46,280 Speaker 1: to create a ton of bad speed, and his number 488 00:27:46,320 --> 00:27:48,240 Speaker 1: is brought down even more by the fact that he 489 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:52,439 Speaker 1: intentionally bumps a decent amount of the time as well. 490 00:27:52,680 --> 00:27:54,480 Speaker 1: So there's a pretty big drop off between them and 491 00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:57,159 Speaker 1: everybody else. But as you go up the list in 492 00:27:57,240 --> 00:28:01,040 Speaker 1: terms of bad speed, you find a Jacob Stallings recently 493 00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:04,280 Speaker 1: non tendered. He sacked Paraitis was a surprise right here, 494 00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:07,359 Speaker 1: although his when he gets his best swing off, it 495 00:28:07,400 --> 00:28:11,120 Speaker 1: does have significantly more. He's also an extremely strong human being, 496 00:28:11,200 --> 00:28:13,960 Speaker 1: right so this shows that you know, it's not an 497 00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:18,600 Speaker 1: all consuming thing. Here. You can make great contact even 498 00:28:18,600 --> 00:28:21,520 Speaker 1: without bat speed, as long as you have the physical 499 00:28:21,560 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 1: strength to compensate for it. Right above him Paraitis was 500 00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:29,440 Speaker 1: sixty four point three. We get to Breuhan sixty four 501 00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:32,560 Speaker 1: point five. This was a group of slightly over forty 502 00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:35,960 Speaker 1: forty or forty two players combined on these teams. Hitters 503 00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:38,680 Speaker 1: from the twenty twenty three season, and Breuhan was the 504 00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:42,479 Speaker 1: fifth lowest average batspeed at sixty four point five. Just 505 00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:44,480 Speaker 1: to go a little bit further than the ones who 506 00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:49,760 Speaker 1: were slightly ahead of Bruhan, Nick Fortes, Garrett Hampsen, Joey Wendel, 507 00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:53,480 Speaker 1: these are the guys at the very bottom of these 508 00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:56,560 Speaker 1: two teams combined. Breuhan is just not creating a lot 509 00:28:56,600 --> 00:28:58,600 Speaker 1: of bat speed, and I think people understood that from 510 00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:02,240 Speaker 1: put up some video clips on Twitter of his swinging 511 00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:03,840 Speaker 1: from both sides of the play. He is a switch 512 00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:06,719 Speaker 1: hitter for people that weren't familiar. And I looked at 513 00:29:06,760 --> 00:29:09,560 Speaker 1: the splits because I think the first thing people suggest 514 00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:11,880 Speaker 1: when they see a switch hitter that is really struggling 515 00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:15,480 Speaker 1: is to just focus on his dominant side. And with Bruhan, 516 00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:19,040 Speaker 1: his history in professional baseball has just been really up 517 00:29:19,080 --> 00:29:21,840 Speaker 1: and down in that regard. I don't think there are coherents. 518 00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:25,560 Speaker 1: There have been certain years where there've been significant splits. Overall, 519 00:29:26,600 --> 00:29:29,960 Speaker 1: I wouldn't say that there is one Dramatically, I don't 520 00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:32,680 Speaker 1: think there is like a clear dominant side with him. 521 00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:36,600 Speaker 1: As we're talking during winter ball, he's doing pretty well 522 00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:40,280 Speaker 1: as a right handed batter. Overall, in the minor league careers, 523 00:29:40,280 --> 00:29:42,360 Speaker 1: more often than not, he's been better as a left 524 00:29:42,360 --> 00:29:45,240 Speaker 1: handed batter, and the majors this past year, I think 525 00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:49,160 Speaker 1: he was slightly better as a left handed batter, but 526 00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:52,320 Speaker 1: not good from either side. So I don't think that's 527 00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:54,680 Speaker 1: the answer from him here. And his batspeed from both 528 00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:56,480 Speaker 1: sides of the play is very similar. One of them 529 00:29:56,520 --> 00:29:59,720 Speaker 1: is about sixty four sixty five miles per hour, the 530 00:29:59,760 --> 00:30:03,040 Speaker 1: other one is sixty four. They're essentially just a rounding 531 00:30:03,120 --> 00:30:07,720 Speaker 1: error away from each other. So that's the fundamental issue here. 532 00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:11,040 Speaker 1: Even though he elevates the ball quite a bit, he's 533 00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:14,080 Speaker 1: not getting it on the barrel of the bat nearly enough, 534 00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:18,440 Speaker 1: and even when he does, he's generating very little batspeed, 535 00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:22,240 Speaker 1: so it doesn't go very far. Even in his best 536 00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:24,720 Speaker 1: case scenarios, you see a lot of balls that are 537 00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 1: dying on the warning track with him, unfortunately, and it 538 00:30:29,200 --> 00:30:32,320 Speaker 1: is a little distressing for somebody that was a consensus 539 00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:35,560 Speaker 1: top one hundred MLB prospect as of twenty nineteen and 540 00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:38,880 Speaker 1: twenty twenty and who had been performing in the minors. 541 00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:42,520 Speaker 1: He had double digit homers in Triple A. I think 542 00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:46,400 Speaker 1: just this past season didn't He ten home runs in 543 00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:48,800 Speaker 1: just fifty nine games in the minors this past year, 544 00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:52,280 Speaker 1: so he was well on pace for twenty twenty five. 545 00:30:53,040 --> 00:30:55,320 Speaker 1: He actually played out that entire season. His minor league 546 00:30:55,360 --> 00:30:58,640 Speaker 1: career high was twelve, set in twenty twenty one. It 547 00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:00,240 Speaker 1: was the first taste of the Triple A level. Well, 548 00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:02,920 Speaker 1: he's at a point now where you've repeated Triple A 549 00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:06,400 Speaker 1: two times. There's not much stock that you can put 550 00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:12,680 Speaker 1: in those numbers anymore. That's a pretty big core philosophy 551 00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:15,360 Speaker 1: of mind is when you see players that are repeating level, 552 00:31:15,440 --> 00:31:18,360 Speaker 1: especially once you reach a phase where their age appropriate 553 00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:20,680 Speaker 1: for that level, you almost have to throw out the 554 00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:24,120 Speaker 1: stats and even the peripheral stats somewhat because we can 555 00:31:24,720 --> 00:31:28,080 Speaker 1: solve that level at a certain point. As I think 556 00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:30,200 Speaker 1: Bruhan kind of has. He has nothing leo to prove 557 00:31:30,240 --> 00:31:33,000 Speaker 1: down there, and as I mentioned earlier in the show, 558 00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:35,920 Speaker 1: he's not going to have an opportunity to learn anything 559 00:31:35,920 --> 00:31:38,680 Speaker 1: else at the Triple A level. If the Marlins are 560 00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:41,320 Speaker 1: unsatisfied and don't think he can help them in the 561 00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:43,840 Speaker 1: big leagues, whether that comes during spring training or early 562 00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:46,480 Speaker 1: in the regular season, they'll have to DFA him and 563 00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:49,040 Speaker 1: run him through waivers and if he clears, they can 564 00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:51,720 Speaker 1: send him to the miners. There's a possibility that he 565 00:31:51,760 --> 00:31:55,320 Speaker 1: would clear in that situation if for a fourth straight 566 00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:58,600 Speaker 1: year in the big league level he falls short. That 567 00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:01,240 Speaker 1: being said, I do think there's than some bad luck 568 00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:04,120 Speaker 1: going against him. As far as I can tell, I 569 00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:07,560 Speaker 1: think there's some of the right desirable and tangibles that 570 00:32:07,600 --> 00:32:09,320 Speaker 1: you want from a player here or somebody that takes 571 00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:12,040 Speaker 1: pride in what he does, is hungry to learn more, 572 00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:14,960 Speaker 1: who as we're speaking, is still playing in winter ball 573 00:32:15,040 --> 00:32:17,840 Speaker 1: in order to get more reps in and discover the 574 00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:22,320 Speaker 1: best version of himself. So I think even in a 575 00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:25,040 Speaker 1: realistic worst case scenario, I think he's better than the 576 00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:29,320 Speaker 1: true talent one fifty seven hitter. That's not saying much, 577 00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:32,280 Speaker 1: but I want to get that out there that I 578 00:32:32,320 --> 00:32:34,120 Speaker 1: think he is going to be better than he's shown 579 00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:37,160 Speaker 1: and during his age twenty six season and now to 580 00:32:37,240 --> 00:32:41,120 Speaker 1: be on the bright side, you could say, what does 581 00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:43,959 Speaker 1: things look like if he really does turn this around? 582 00:32:44,880 --> 00:32:47,840 Speaker 1: For Breuhan, I brought up that list before of the 583 00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:53,680 Speaker 1: lowest ops plus by young infielders and outfielders in recent generations, 584 00:32:53,880 --> 00:32:58,160 Speaker 1: and the name directly next to Breuhan is another undersized 585 00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:04,400 Speaker 1: switch hitting utility guy Luy Garcia, and I think that 586 00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:10,520 Speaker 1: is actually a reasonable camp for Brewhan Garcia two point zero. 587 00:33:10,560 --> 00:33:14,320 Speaker 1: Perhaps if things go right for Brewhan, the ages lineup 588 00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:17,600 Speaker 1: pretty much the same. Garcia in some respects was even 589 00:33:17,640 --> 00:33:21,000 Speaker 1: more concerning, showed even less play discipline, even more swinging 590 00:33:21,080 --> 00:33:24,960 Speaker 1: miss in his early opportunities with the White Sox. But 591 00:33:25,080 --> 00:33:31,640 Speaker 1: then from twenty sixteen on Garcia things turned around. Twenty seventeen, 592 00:33:31,720 --> 00:33:34,160 Speaker 1: on his age twenty six season, things didn't turn around 593 00:33:34,240 --> 00:33:39,920 Speaker 1: kind of considerably for him over his next six seasons. 594 00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:43,120 Speaker 1: I bring that up because Breuhan is a desirable guy 595 00:33:43,120 --> 00:33:45,640 Speaker 1: for the Marlins because he still has less than one 596 00:33:45,720 --> 00:33:48,320 Speaker 1: year major league service time, which means six years at 597 00:33:48,440 --> 00:33:52,280 Speaker 1: least of club control remaining. For Garcia, he was in 598 00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:56,720 Speaker 1: the exact same situation, had similar struggles, and then over 599 00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:58,880 Speaker 1: his next six years, all of them with the White Sox, 600 00:33:59,120 --> 00:34:03,760 Speaker 1: he was a three hitter. It was a relatively light, 601 00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:07,200 Speaker 1: empty two to sixty three line. It was an ops 602 00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:10,160 Speaker 1: of just six seventy three, an OPS plus of eight 603 00:34:10,320 --> 00:34:13,440 Speaker 1: eighty three, which is seventeen percent lower than league average, 604 00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:16,879 Speaker 1: but there were about five or six home runs per 605 00:34:16,960 --> 00:34:20,200 Speaker 1: year a career high of nine home runs for him. 606 00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:22,840 Speaker 1: After that, there were a handful of stone bases. His 607 00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:25,799 Speaker 1: strikeout rate came down to a point where he's right 608 00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:29,399 Speaker 1: around a league average, and that of the value when 609 00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:33,000 Speaker 1: you combine that with his defensive versatility, he was worth 610 00:34:33,200 --> 00:34:36,120 Speaker 1: about five wins above replacements over the rest of his 611 00:34:36,200 --> 00:34:39,279 Speaker 1: team controlled years for the White Sox, he was actually 612 00:34:39,320 --> 00:34:41,480 Speaker 1: slightly ahead of that. And then the only reason why 613 00:34:41,520 --> 00:34:42,960 Speaker 1: these numbers came down a little bit at the four 614 00:34:43,040 --> 00:34:45,000 Speaker 1: end is because the White Sox were enamored enough to 615 00:34:45,040 --> 00:34:48,520 Speaker 1: sign him to a three year free agencyal at about 616 00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:51,320 Speaker 1: sixteen and a half million dollars if I remember correctly, 617 00:34:51,680 --> 00:34:53,480 Speaker 1: and it got to such a poor start that they 618 00:34:53,640 --> 00:34:56,440 Speaker 1: released him. His major league career is very likely over 619 00:34:56,520 --> 00:34:58,560 Speaker 1: at this point, even though he's still getting paid by 620 00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:00,560 Speaker 1: the White Sox. That's kind of beside that's the point. 621 00:35:01,160 --> 00:35:03,399 Speaker 1: I do think this is somewhat of irrelevant comp though, 622 00:35:03,760 --> 00:35:08,520 Speaker 1: for Breuhan, where you have Garcia and didn't have the 623 00:35:08,520 --> 00:35:12,120 Speaker 1: same prospect hype even that Breuhan did when he was 624 00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:17,520 Speaker 1: coming up through earlier in his career, his minor league 625 00:35:17,560 --> 00:35:21,080 Speaker 1: numbers were not even in the same stratosphere as Bruhans were, 626 00:35:21,680 --> 00:35:23,759 Speaker 1: and yet over time he got enough reps, he got 627 00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:27,960 Speaker 1: enough opportunities. His versatility allowed him to stay on the field. Brewhan, 628 00:35:28,680 --> 00:35:30,560 Speaker 1: He's been all over the place. He was a middle 629 00:35:30,600 --> 00:35:32,760 Speaker 1: infielder for most of his minor league career, but now 630 00:35:33,040 --> 00:35:35,359 Speaker 1: at this stage he's playing just as much in the 631 00:35:35,520 --> 00:35:39,000 Speaker 1: corner outfield spots. He can even fake it in center field. 632 00:35:39,440 --> 00:35:41,319 Speaker 1: Let me just take a quick look at Breuhan and 633 00:35:41,400 --> 00:35:44,120 Speaker 1: where he's played when he's been a major leaguer with 634 00:35:44,200 --> 00:35:46,640 Speaker 1: the Rays. He's played second base more than anything else, 635 00:35:46,680 --> 00:35:48,759 Speaker 1: but also quite a bit in the right field and 636 00:35:48,840 --> 00:35:52,239 Speaker 1: some at shortstop. The other outfield positions have been more 637 00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:55,600 Speaker 1: so in the minors and in winter ball. I think 638 00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:57,920 Speaker 1: this is on the table for Bruhan to be a 639 00:35:58,080 --> 00:36:03,440 Speaker 1: lewi Garcia two points know for this Marlins team, and 640 00:36:03,480 --> 00:36:06,560 Speaker 1: I think that would I mean, that would certainly validate 641 00:36:06,600 --> 00:36:09,840 Speaker 1: the trade to send off two guys that are still 642 00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:13,720 Speaker 1: so far away from the major league level. I wouldn't 643 00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:17,479 Speaker 1: say that this is the ceiling on Bruhan. I don't 644 00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:20,640 Speaker 1: like to put a pass players to develop new abilities 645 00:36:20,840 --> 00:36:24,080 Speaker 1: for him to create more batspeed for himself. There are 646 00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:27,200 Speaker 1: ways to train and improve in that department even into 647 00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:30,680 Speaker 1: your mid twenties. The rais in particular, and now that 648 00:36:30,680 --> 00:36:33,960 Speaker 1: the Marlins have some raised DNA in their front office, 649 00:36:35,000 --> 00:36:36,920 Speaker 1: I don't want to put like a firm ceiling on 650 00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:38,960 Speaker 1: what he can do. I don't want to outrule the 651 00:36:38,960 --> 00:36:42,160 Speaker 1: fact that he could be a true everyday player at 652 00:36:42,160 --> 00:36:44,920 Speaker 1: some point if everything goes right, But I do want 653 00:36:44,960 --> 00:36:48,719 Speaker 1: to set kind of reasonable standards right here where I 654 00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:51,200 Speaker 1: think this is the end. This is the goal for 655 00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:55,400 Speaker 1: the Marlins in making this trade, and they're internally, I 656 00:36:55,400 --> 00:36:59,680 Speaker 1: bet they're viewing him as somebody that could be somebody 657 00:36:59,760 --> 00:37:03,000 Speaker 1: like a Garcia, a mid two hundreds hitter with a 658 00:37:03,040 --> 00:37:07,080 Speaker 1: little bit more Yeah, not a ton of plague discipline, 659 00:37:07,320 --> 00:37:09,600 Speaker 1: but maybe he is a little more speed than Garcia 660 00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:16,120 Speaker 1: does a rich man's Garcia. Perhaps for Breuhan moving forward. 661 00:37:16,360 --> 00:37:18,880 Speaker 1: I think that is on the table for him, and 662 00:37:18,920 --> 00:37:22,440 Speaker 1: that is why I approve of the trade, because I 663 00:37:22,480 --> 00:37:25,760 Speaker 1: do see this potential in him. It's a weird spot 664 00:37:25,800 --> 00:37:28,000 Speaker 1: for the team because he's out of minor league options, 665 00:37:28,080 --> 00:37:31,120 Speaker 1: because they already have several guys that were kind of 666 00:37:31,120 --> 00:37:35,000 Speaker 1: tentatively penciled into the equation that are also power deficient. 667 00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:39,240 Speaker 1: That seems to be the one clear limitation on Brewhan 668 00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:42,120 Speaker 1: is I don't think you're going to be seeing anything 669 00:37:42,160 --> 00:37:45,239 Speaker 1: close to average power from him, even if things do 670 00:37:45,360 --> 00:37:49,360 Speaker 1: go right with him. Marlins have John Birdie of course 671 00:37:49,760 --> 00:37:51,880 Speaker 1: in the mix, and he finished off his season in 672 00:37:51,920 --> 00:37:55,760 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three on a very very high note. Xavier Edwards, 673 00:37:55,800 --> 00:37:58,160 Speaker 1: he showed a lot of encouraging things. That does not 674 00:37:58,160 --> 00:38:01,840 Speaker 1: have the same versatility defensively as Bruhan does, but you 675 00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:04,799 Speaker 1: could say he's a much higher floor as a hitter. 676 00:38:05,040 --> 00:38:09,279 Speaker 1: Somebody that is perhaps even better at making contact than 677 00:38:10,440 --> 00:38:12,640 Speaker 1: Bruhan is. You know what I should have mentioned with Bruhan 678 00:38:12,840 --> 00:38:15,800 Speaker 1: is he's shown a great skill of making contact on 679 00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:18,080 Speaker 1: pitches out of the zone. And I think that has 680 00:38:18,120 --> 00:38:20,799 Speaker 1: been one of the reasons why he's gont fall in 681 00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:23,160 Speaker 1: some bad habits, is because he knows he can actually 682 00:38:23,560 --> 00:38:26,839 Speaker 1: reach for balls and do something with them, and that 683 00:38:27,000 --> 00:38:31,759 Speaker 1: is causing him to, Yeah, the over aggressive decisions put 684 00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:34,879 Speaker 1: himselves in situations where it's not as easy to drive 685 00:38:34,920 --> 00:38:38,320 Speaker 1: the ball. To this point in his career, the downside 686 00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:41,040 Speaker 1: is pretty obvious for a guy that has struggled with 687 00:38:41,080 --> 00:38:44,400 Speaker 1: his date is discipline. The numbers kind of speak for themselves. 688 00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:50,040 Speaker 1: His production, especially against fastballs, has been atrocious. They have. 689 00:38:50,200 --> 00:38:52,680 Speaker 1: If you have enough trouble just doing damage against fastballs, 690 00:38:52,680 --> 00:38:56,560 Speaker 1: then you forget about having success against secondary pitches when 691 00:38:56,640 --> 00:38:59,680 Speaker 1: once you already fall behind in the count with him, 692 00:38:59,840 --> 00:39:02,400 Speaker 1: the downside is pretty clear. The risk that the Marlins 693 00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:05,760 Speaker 1: made is minimal in something that really won't be felt 694 00:39:05,840 --> 00:39:08,680 Speaker 1: for several years down the line, even if Andrew lindsay 695 00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:11,400 Speaker 1: Eric Laurer, even if either of them make it to 696 00:39:11,440 --> 00:39:14,279 Speaker 1: the big leagues, which is a pretty big if. Yeah, 697 00:39:14,600 --> 00:39:17,880 Speaker 1: I'm in favor of this one, This reclamation project by 698 00:39:18,000 --> 00:39:20,040 Speaker 1: Low on a prospect. The Marlins have done this before him, 699 00:39:20,080 --> 00:39:22,799 Speaker 1: before Bendix came in, and yeah, mixed results. You don't 700 00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:25,600 Speaker 1: know for sure whether it's going to turn out great, 701 00:39:26,040 --> 00:39:28,399 Speaker 1: But this is just the start of Marlins making some 702 00:39:29,080 --> 00:39:32,480 Speaker 1: changes on the margins here to get ready for twenty 703 00:39:32,560 --> 00:39:35,000 Speaker 1: twenty four. Yeah, still a lot ahead. I think we've 704 00:39:35,000 --> 00:39:37,839 Speaker 1: spent enough time over analyzing this one particular deal because 705 00:39:37,840 --> 00:39:40,799 Speaker 1: to this point the only trade of the Peter Bendix era. 706 00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:45,560 Speaker 1: Reaching for a very familiar face. Wishing Bruhan all the 707 00:39:45,600 --> 00:39:48,120 Speaker 1: best of luck. I'll be continuing to follow in from 708 00:39:48,160 --> 00:39:51,319 Speaker 1: the Dominican Winter League as he wraps up his participation there, 709 00:39:51,880 --> 00:39:54,760 Speaker 1: and then you'll see him in spring training. Hopefully between 710 00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:56,400 Speaker 1: now and then, we get a better feel for what 711 00:39:56,480 --> 00:40:00,800 Speaker 1: exactly is working on this offseason to reach his full potential. 712 00:40:01,440 --> 00:40:04,360 Speaker 1: As I've been doing since rebooting this weekly show, we 713 00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:09,480 Speaker 1: finish off with the walkoff sign off every at the 714 00:40:09,560 --> 00:40:12,960 Speaker 1: end of every of these official shows, we replay a 715 00:40:13,040 --> 00:40:18,160 Speaker 1: memory of a Marlins walk off moments because everybody loves walkoffs? 716 00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:25,720 Speaker 1: Who doesn't right as of this recording. On November twenty, 717 00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:28,400 Speaker 1: at the Major League Baseball I should say, or the 718 00:40:28,400 --> 00:40:32,040 Speaker 1: Baseball Hall of Fame announced their twenty twenty four ballots 719 00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:35,560 Speaker 1: and the players that are on it for election this 720 00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:41,520 Speaker 1: year for the final time. Gary Sheffield, former Marlins great. 721 00:40:41,640 --> 00:40:46,200 Speaker 1: This is his tenth and final year on the DBWAA ballot. 722 00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:48,520 Speaker 1: He needs seventy five percent of the vote. He got 723 00:40:48,560 --> 00:40:52,320 Speaker 1: only fifty five the previous year. He had one walkoff 724 00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:54,279 Speaker 1: home run during his entire Marlins career. He did a 725 00:40:54,280 --> 00:40:56,880 Speaker 1: lot outside of that, just one walk off homer. It 726 00:40:57,000 --> 00:41:00,400 Speaker 1: was on September third, nineteen ninety seven. We get you 727 00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:07,080 Speaker 1: out of here listening to that memory of Chef did 728 00:41:07,080 --> 00:41:09,839 Speaker 1: he get old it back, it goes to life, back 729 00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:26,400 Speaker 1: back back. This game is over. Guys, shut you up 730 00:41:26,520 --> 00:41:29,160 Speaker 1: short sides all night and he would swing in a 731 00:41:29,239 --> 00:41:29,759 Speaker 1: hot back