1 00:00:02,759 --> 00:00:10,600 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the 2 00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:14,600 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live weekdays at ten am 3 00:00:14,640 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 1: Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg 4 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:21,080 Speaker 1: Business App. Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, 5 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:23,120 Speaker 1: or watch us live on YouTube. 6 00:00:24,000 --> 00:00:26,960 Speaker 2: One of the names companies that reported numbers was Walmart 7 00:00:27,040 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 2: came out some pretty darn good numbers in a stock 8 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:29,560 Speaker 2: market likes it. 9 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:30,319 Speaker 3: Likes it. 10 00:00:30,680 --> 00:00:33,479 Speaker 2: Stock is up five point seven percent today, It's up 11 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 2: about eighteen percent a year today. Let's check in with 12 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:40,680 Speaker 2: Jen Bartash as she covers all the retailers for Bloomberg Intelligence. So, Jen, 13 00:00:40,800 --> 00:00:43,920 Speaker 2: what did you hear from Walmart with their earnings release? 14 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:48,320 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's you know, Walmart had another good quarter, and 15 00:00:48,360 --> 00:00:50,959 Speaker 4: I think that it's very easy to attribute a lot 16 00:00:50,960 --> 00:00:53,840 Speaker 4: of their success to just the value seeking behavior of 17 00:00:53,840 --> 00:00:56,319 Speaker 4: consumers in this environment. But I think that would also 18 00:00:56,440 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 4: be overlooking a lot of the investments they've made in 19 00:00:58,760 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 4: things like convenience that is really spurring the e commerce growth. 20 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:05,479 Speaker 4: And that was really a notable takeaway from today's earnings release. 21 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 5: Yeah, that e commerce aspect helps draw on higher income shoppers, 22 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:13,360 Speaker 5: So it's a larger pool of customers at Walmart now 23 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:16,240 Speaker 5: has access to and in our Bloomberg News reporting we 24 00:01:16,360 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 5: indicate that the digital offerings now include luxury items like 25 00:01:19,640 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 5: pre owned to Chanel bags. I had no idea that 26 00:01:22,520 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 5: that kind of self was available on Walmart dot com. 27 00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:27,639 Speaker 4: Well, you know, Walmart has done a lot to really 28 00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:31,320 Speaker 4: expand its marketplace, and that includes bringing in items that 29 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:34,760 Speaker 4: you know will appeal to that higher income consumer, you know. 30 00:01:34,840 --> 00:01:37,319 Speaker 4: And the tactic behind all of this is that the 31 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 4: more people are integrated with e commerce in going to stores, 32 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:44,400 Speaker 4: they become sticky and they become loyal customers, so that 33 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:49,000 Speaker 4: when the macroeconomic backdrop fades, it really increases Walmart's ability 34 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:51,880 Speaker 4: to hang onto these customers going forward, and that just 35 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 4: drives future growth. So it's a really interesting play out 36 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:58,320 Speaker 4: of how they're applying that tactic, Jen. 37 00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 5: I also want to get your take on Walmart transferring 38 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 5: is listing to the NASAC that's going to happen on 39 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 5: December ninth, and that of course is to reflect as 40 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:10,040 Speaker 5: focused on being a tech forward company. But I'm wondering, 41 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 5: I mean, how much of this is really just about 42 00:02:11,919 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 5: being included in the Nazak one hundred and therefore the 43 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:15,640 Speaker 5: QQQ etl Oh. 44 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:19,920 Speaker 4: Yeah, there's certainly part of that scarlet where you know, 45 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 4: that's that's probably part of the motivation. I think that 46 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:26,520 Speaker 4: there is you know, obviously there's a perception with regards 47 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:29,480 Speaker 4: to being perceived more as a tech company, which Walmart 48 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 4: in all truthfulness has evolved into a tech company, especially 49 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:38,200 Speaker 4: amongst other retailers. By being listed at NASDAK, you know, 50 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:41,280 Speaker 4: long term, maybe it helps the evaluation, you know, just 51 00:02:41,320 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 4: in terms of having that perception of being more in 52 00:02:45,040 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 4: you know, aligned with peers. You know, Amazon is listed 53 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:49,959 Speaker 4: on NASDAK, things like that. So I think that there's 54 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:54,280 Speaker 4: a lot of those components together combined, are really behind the. 55 00:02:54,240 --> 00:02:57,960 Speaker 2: Move Jen Nobody arguably has a better finger on the 56 00:02:57,960 --> 00:02:59,519 Speaker 2: pulse of the consumer than Walmart. 57 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:00,760 Speaker 6: What are they saying these days? 58 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:06,080 Speaker 4: Actually they seem relatively optimistic. You know, they talk about 59 00:03:06,160 --> 00:03:08,680 Speaker 4: you know, spending holding study for kind of that middle 60 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 4: income consumer, high end consumers seem to be spending pretty freely. 61 00:03:12,960 --> 00:03:14,800 Speaker 4: A little bit of concern about some of the lower 62 00:03:14,880 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 4: end consumer, but it does seem to be sort of 63 00:03:17,800 --> 00:03:20,359 Speaker 4: evening out. And so when they were looking forward to 64 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 4: the holiday season, which is you know, the most important 65 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:26,639 Speaker 4: thing with regards to the retailers that I cover, they 66 00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:29,480 Speaker 4: seem cautiously optimistic that there will be a pretty good 67 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:32,560 Speaker 4: holiday season this year. We do think that they're going 68 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 4: to people will prioritize spending on kids. That's usually what 69 00:03:35,400 --> 00:03:37,680 Speaker 4: happens first if they're holding back in other parts of 70 00:03:37,720 --> 00:03:41,760 Speaker 4: their of their budget. But all all, you know, all 71 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:45,040 Speaker 4: indicators right now seem that we're headed towards a reasonably 72 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:46,120 Speaker 4: solid holiday season. 73 00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 5: You know, Jen, we tend to look at Walmart as 74 00:03:48,560 --> 00:03:52,520 Speaker 5: a shortcut for the consumer. But if this strong performance 75 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 5: is really more result of strategy and execution over the 76 00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 5: longer term, how much of a read does it really 77 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 5: provide on the state of consumer spending beyond the fact 78 00:04:00,320 --> 00:04:04,160 Speaker 5: that Walmart has become this exceptionally well run, tech forward company. 79 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 5: I mean, you just look at Target, for instance, which 80 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 5: has a lower outlook. 81 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:11,560 Speaker 4: No, it's a good point, Scarlet. I mean, I think 82 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:14,880 Speaker 4: the thing is that nearly every household has some sort 83 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 4: of interaction with Walmart during the course of a year, 84 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 4: you know, whether it's in terms of frequency or not. 85 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:24,920 Speaker 4: And so Walmart has really evolved their ability to capture 86 00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:28,080 Speaker 4: data about the customers that are spending in stores even 87 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 4: though they don't have a formal loyalty program, and so 88 00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:33,800 Speaker 4: they really do have that insight into sort of the 89 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:37,720 Speaker 4: motivations behind customers where they stand. You know, I think 90 00:04:37,760 --> 00:04:40,359 Speaker 4: one of the interesting things with regards to just focus 91 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:44,479 Speaker 4: and discipline. Walmart talked today about apparel sales and their 92 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:48,320 Speaker 4: comparable sales for apparel was up five percent every month 93 00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:50,760 Speaker 4: of the third quarter, and when you could trust that 94 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 4: to Target, who reported yesterday they're still struggling with some 95 00:04:54,839 --> 00:04:59,039 Speaker 4: of their discretionary categories. So it seems to be a 96 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:03,240 Speaker 4: story of execute and not only the consumer spending right 97 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:04,520 Speaker 4: where they are. 98 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:09,320 Speaker 6: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this. 99 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live 100 00:05:16,720 --> 00:05:19,760 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android 101 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:23,120 Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever 102 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:26,279 Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube. 103 00:05:27,160 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 2: Let's get back to this Nvidia story. Certainly a big, 104 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:31,800 Speaker 2: big player in this story in the market. Kun John 105 00:05:31,800 --> 00:05:33,800 Speaker 2: Sobani joins us. He's a senior analyst. He covers the 106 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:36,479 Speaker 2: semi conductor companies for Bloomberg Intelligency Spased out there in 107 00:05:36,480 --> 00:05:39,240 Speaker 2: San Francisco, Kujo, and I'm sure you've had the opportunity 108 00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 2: to a now only look at the numbers, listen to 109 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:44,320 Speaker 2: the conference call, but talk to institutional investor clients. What's 110 00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:48,279 Speaker 2: the narrative coming out of this earnings release? 111 00:05:49,560 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean this was one of the more bullish 112 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:55,440 Speaker 7: earnings we've seen from this name in a while, not 113 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:57,880 Speaker 7: just on the numbers of the three Q four Q guide, 114 00:05:57,880 --> 00:06:01,720 Speaker 7: which they blew past even the lofty spyside targets, but 115 00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:04,920 Speaker 7: just beyond that, the long term the twenty six sort 116 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:08,520 Speaker 7: of and going into twenty seven demands signals that they showed, 117 00:06:09,080 --> 00:06:11,680 Speaker 7: namely the half a trillion of the pipeline, which we 118 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:14,839 Speaker 7: think now is a conservative number given the number of 119 00:06:14,839 --> 00:06:17,360 Speaker 7: deals they have announced. If supply keeps on coming up 120 00:06:17,480 --> 00:06:20,919 Speaker 7: as it has, and if their customers continue executing on 121 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:23,760 Speaker 7: these bills without any missteps, we think they are a 122 00:06:23,800 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 7: significant upside to the current street numbers. 123 00:06:26,480 --> 00:06:29,400 Speaker 5: Yeah, just looking through the numbers, clearly a beaten race report, 124 00:06:29,440 --> 00:06:31,680 Speaker 5: but you know, the scale at which it can be 125 00:06:31,839 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 5: in race is impressive. Although within the third quarter numbers, 126 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:39,839 Speaker 5: I did see that chips using gaming PCs missed analysts estimates, 127 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 5: and I know that that's a shrinking part of the business, 128 00:06:42,200 --> 00:06:43,920 Speaker 5: or at least it's not as big a part of 129 00:06:43,920 --> 00:06:47,080 Speaker 5: the business, given that the data center is where the 130 00:06:47,120 --> 00:06:50,240 Speaker 5: growth is really at. Are there any flaws in this 131 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:51,440 Speaker 5: earning support con John? 132 00:06:53,320 --> 00:06:55,880 Speaker 7: Not really. I mean, look, the gaming is becoming so 133 00:06:56,240 --> 00:07:00,719 Speaker 7: unimportant for analysts that the reliability of the dedictability of 134 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:03,200 Speaker 7: those numbers against which we're comparing the beat and miss 135 00:07:03,200 --> 00:07:07,039 Speaker 7: for gaming is no longer as reliable. So no real 136 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:09,880 Speaker 7: face to really point out in this. We did see 137 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 7: their supply commitments go up quarter work quarter and inventory 138 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:17,600 Speaker 7: is rising. I don't think that's a negative, while it 139 00:07:17,800 --> 00:07:20,600 Speaker 7: might seem on the face that's just them gearing up 140 00:07:20,600 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 7: and getting ready for that next wave to supply the 141 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 7: chips in the next year. 142 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:28,240 Speaker 2: So Couldjohn what's the latest and gentsen Wong about how 143 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:30,440 Speaker 2: he viewsed China going forward? 144 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:35,480 Speaker 7: Nothing has changed on the China side. They still don't 145 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:39,000 Speaker 7: assume any revenues when it comes to data center AI 146 00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 7: China GPUs or the H twenty has been shipped into 147 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:45,040 Speaker 7: They do have the clearance licenses, so they could, but 148 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 7: it seems because of the geopolitical issues China has basically 149 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:52,560 Speaker 7: been shut down. For American GPU providers or AS providers 150 00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:54,480 Speaker 7: to be able to ship in the country, there is 151 00:07:54,880 --> 00:07:56,960 Speaker 7: to be honest, no demands. So it seems, you know, 152 00:07:57,200 --> 00:08:00,600 Speaker 7: because of geopolitical issues, the customers in China are not 153 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:03,640 Speaker 7: just reading and getting up to buy Nvidia chips right now. 154 00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:07,240 Speaker 5: Jensenhang said that he from his vantage point, does not 155 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:10,400 Speaker 5: see anything like an AI bubble. We see something very different, 156 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:14,000 Speaker 5: and he says competitive pressures remain fairly low because this 157 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 5: is a company with more than ninety percent of the 158 00:08:16,120 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 5: market for those high end, super fast AI chips. Who 159 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:24,040 Speaker 5: is the closest competitor if there is one to Nvidia. 160 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:27,920 Speaker 7: Yeah, in terms of the size of the markets, the 161 00:08:27,960 --> 00:08:32,000 Speaker 7: next closest competitor would be the AIA six chips, So 162 00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:35,240 Speaker 7: Broadcom is one of the biggest providers of AI six chips, 163 00:08:35,320 --> 00:08:38,880 Speaker 7: namely the TPU that Google uses. Another example would be 164 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:44,480 Speaker 7: Amazon'straanium chips, which are a differenti ACIC designer supplies. So 165 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:47,520 Speaker 7: in terms of revenues or units. In terms of the market, 166 00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:51,679 Speaker 7: those are the next closest competitors. Within Nvidia's realm which 167 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:55,199 Speaker 7: it sells merchant gipus, AMD would be the second closest 168 00:08:55,200 --> 00:08:56,000 Speaker 7: competitor in that. 169 00:08:56,679 --> 00:08:59,800 Speaker 6: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this. 170 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:07,439 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live 171 00:09:07,520 --> 00:09:10,560 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android 172 00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:13,920 Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever 173 00:09:13,960 --> 00:09:17,439 Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube. 174 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:21,120 Speaker 2: Company news out here Today, Verizon announce the layoffs that 175 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:23,400 Speaker 2: will shrink the company by as much as twenty percent 176 00:09:23,480 --> 00:09:25,400 Speaker 2: of its non union workforce. 177 00:09:25,840 --> 00:09:29,120 Speaker 6: That's big and they have a big, big footprint in New. 178 00:09:29,040 --> 00:09:31,600 Speaker 2: Jersey from the old Bell Labs in Bell Core days 179 00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 2: and so a lot of riz. 180 00:09:32,880 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 6: And employees in the state of New Jersey. So that'll 181 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:36,080 Speaker 6: be a big issue for them. 182 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 2: John Butler joins us here senior telecom analysts for Bloomberg Intelligence. John, 183 00:09:40,280 --> 00:09:44,160 Speaker 2: What's what's this job cut announcement from Verizon? What does 184 00:09:44,160 --> 00:09:45,520 Speaker 2: this mean for the company? What are they trying to 185 00:09:45,600 --> 00:09:45,960 Speaker 2: do here? 186 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 3: So, Paul, as you may know, there's a new CEO 187 00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:54,600 Speaker 3: in town at dad Verizon named Dan Shalman. And I 188 00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:59,840 Speaker 3: believe Shallman is really he's been on the board for years. 189 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:03,280 Speaker 3: I think he's looked at the organization and believes it's 190 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:08,199 Speaker 3: a little too heavy, little too bureaucratic. He sees room 191 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:13,520 Speaker 3: for ample cost cuts, and I think his whole message 192 00:10:13,559 --> 00:10:16,760 Speaker 3: to the employee base is we need to move faster, 193 00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:18,880 Speaker 3: and I think it's very tough to do that with 194 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:25,080 Speaker 3: a large bureaucracy. I also think he's cutting costs in 195 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:27,640 Speaker 3: order to free up funds and give them room to 196 00:10:27,760 --> 00:10:31,359 Speaker 3: promote more. I think one of the reasons that Verizon 197 00:10:31,520 --> 00:10:35,280 Speaker 3: has lagged its peers in subscriber growth is they're just 198 00:10:35,320 --> 00:10:39,200 Speaker 3: not matching price promotions out there in the marketplace. And 199 00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:42,920 Speaker 3: I think if they do that carefully wisely, I think 200 00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:46,400 Speaker 3: if they become a little less discipline than they've been 201 00:10:47,160 --> 00:10:51,440 Speaker 3: in promoting, they're going to find that they'll drive higher volumes. 202 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:54,640 Speaker 3: And you know, I think at the end of the day, 203 00:10:54,720 --> 00:10:57,400 Speaker 3: Wall Street wants to see that that really is a 204 00:10:57,440 --> 00:11:02,960 Speaker 3: report card for the telcos. That's sort of quarterly net 205 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:07,199 Speaker 3: editions number that all the telcods report. 206 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 5: And Wall Street is okay with a loss and margin 207 00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:13,840 Speaker 5: or an erosion of margin in order to get those numbers, 208 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:17,640 Speaker 5: those subscriber numbers, because it sounds like Verizon is getting 209 00:11:17,679 --> 00:11:21,679 Speaker 5: ready to jump into participating in this price war in 210 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:23,679 Speaker 5: a more robust way than it had been. 211 00:11:25,400 --> 00:11:29,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, good question, Scarlett. I think that's what these job 212 00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:33,560 Speaker 3: cuts are all about. You can maintain margins. If you're 213 00:11:33,600 --> 00:11:36,880 Speaker 3: cutting thirteen percent of the workforce, there's a big cost 214 00:11:36,920 --> 00:11:40,800 Speaker 3: savings there. So you're getting leaner on the expense line, 215 00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:43,480 Speaker 3: which gives you a little more room on the revenue 216 00:11:43,520 --> 00:11:48,719 Speaker 3: line to begin to promote more and really step up 217 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:52,560 Speaker 3: and match competitors like T Mobile, which continue to be 218 00:11:52,600 --> 00:11:55,560 Speaker 3: aggressive on price. And then at the lower end, of course, 219 00:11:56,080 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 3: you've got the cable operators and their wireless brands. They 220 00:12:00,400 --> 00:12:04,000 Speaker 3: have been promoting very hard on price in order to 221 00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:06,440 Speaker 3: drive up their wireless installed base. 222 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 2: John, I'm guessing if a lot of Verizon Communications investors, 223 00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 2: they're there for the dividend. It's got a yield of 224 00:12:14,080 --> 00:12:17,840 Speaker 2: six point seven percent here. That is a serious yield. 225 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:18,160 Speaker 6: There. 226 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:21,320 Speaker 2: Talk to us about their dividend strategy, their commitment to 227 00:12:21,400 --> 00:12:23,320 Speaker 2: the dividend going forward. 228 00:12:25,400 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 3: So Showman, when he first joined Verizon reiterated a commitment 229 00:12:29,960 --> 00:12:35,320 Speaker 3: to maintaining the dividend. I think with any carrier, as 230 00:12:35,400 --> 00:12:39,160 Speaker 3: their stock price drops and the effective yield goes up, 231 00:12:39,240 --> 00:12:44,760 Speaker 3: that dividend yield it becomes a target for potentially getting cut. Now, 232 00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:48,839 Speaker 3: the flip side of that is, any telcode that's cut 233 00:12:48,880 --> 00:12:51,360 Speaker 3: its dividend in the past will tell you there is 234 00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 3: a very heavy price to pay for that. You typically 235 00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 3: get a big price correction when you cut that dividend 236 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:02,599 Speaker 3: because of course, at least with the AT and T 237 00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 3: and Verizon, you're attracting a lot of investors to buying 238 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:10,960 Speaker 3: this dock based on the yield. So if you cut 239 00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:14,719 Speaker 3: the yield, obviously you're going to lose some of those investors. 240 00:13:14,800 --> 00:13:19,560 Speaker 3: So he's got a tightrope to walk here. Again, you're 241 00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:24,280 Speaker 3: cutting thirteen percent of the organization as a first move. 242 00:13:24,360 --> 00:13:26,960 Speaker 3: I think there are other cost cuts down the road 243 00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:32,199 Speaker 3: and efficients to be efficiencies to be gained in not 244 00:13:32,240 --> 00:13:36,560 Speaker 3: only network operations, but customer care as well, particularly with 245 00:13:36,640 --> 00:13:40,480 Speaker 3: the advent of AI. So my hope is they're going 246 00:13:40,559 --> 00:13:44,960 Speaker 3: to be able to sustain free cash flow, which will 247 00:13:45,040 --> 00:13:48,320 Speaker 3: generate more than enough to sustain that dividend there. 248 00:13:48,559 --> 00:13:53,480 Speaker 5: Okay, So in Dan Schulman's drive to make Verizon a simpler, leaner, 249 00:13:53,559 --> 00:13:57,640 Speaker 5: and scrapier business, how do its competitors T Mobile and 250 00:13:57,720 --> 00:13:59,800 Speaker 5: AT and T respond? Do they respond? 251 00:14:02,040 --> 00:14:06,360 Speaker 3: They always respond Scorelet you know, it's it's it's that 252 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:10,520 Speaker 3: kind of market. Wireless is a very mature business. It's 253 00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:14,960 Speaker 3: a saturated market. It's a zero sum game, and so 254 00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:17,480 Speaker 3: I think what we've seen from the BIT, all the 255 00:14:17,520 --> 00:14:21,080 Speaker 3: Big three recently is they are willing to promote heavily 256 00:14:22,320 --> 00:14:26,120 Speaker 3: to protect that. BABS for Rising again has been the 257 00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:30,160 Speaker 3: lagger there, but I think Shulman, who's very focused on 258 00:14:30,240 --> 00:14:33,840 Speaker 3: subscriber volumes, is probably going to step up and play 259 00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:38,160 Speaker 3: that game. So that's been the concern among investors that 260 00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:41,640 Speaker 3: it can get ugly very quickly, and frankly I share 261 00:14:41,720 --> 00:14:46,040 Speaker 3: that concern. So I'll have to see what the change 262 00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:48,640 Speaker 3: in direction is going to be at Verizon with regard 263 00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:52,360 Speaker 3: to promotion, But all indications so far is that they're 264 00:14:52,400 --> 00:14:53,880 Speaker 3: getting ready to promote more. 265 00:14:54,960 --> 00:14:58,080 Speaker 6: Say with us more from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this. 266 00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:05,680 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live 267 00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:09,160 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Applecarplay and Android Auto 268 00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:12,320 Speaker 1: with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever you 269 00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 1: get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube. 270 00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:19,000 Speaker 5: Let's take a look at what's happening in the biotech 271 00:15:19,040 --> 00:15:22,600 Speaker 5: and pharmaceutical space. There's a big, big M and a deal, 272 00:15:23,040 --> 00:15:27,200 Speaker 5: Abbot Laboratories agreeing to buy the cancer screening company Exact Sciences, 273 00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:31,400 Speaker 5: with a total deal value of about twenty one billion dollars. 274 00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:32,840 Speaker 6: Yeah, pretty large. 275 00:15:32,920 --> 00:15:36,480 Speaker 5: Let's get some perspective now from Matt Hendrickson, Bloomberg Intelligence, 276 00:15:36,600 --> 00:15:41,760 Speaker 5: Senior medtech analyst. So, Matt, I guess this is this 277 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 5: is a surprise, given that we're looking at Exact Science's 278 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:47,880 Speaker 5: shares moving quite a bit. This deal price represents a 279 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:50,240 Speaker 5: fifty one percent premium to its last close. 280 00:15:52,000 --> 00:15:56,400 Speaker 8: Yeah, and you know this includes yesterday there Bloomberg News reported, 281 00:15:56,880 --> 00:15:59,280 Speaker 8: you know, some of the initial rumors that there was 282 00:15:59,280 --> 00:16:02,040 Speaker 8: this steel taking place. So the fact that it kind 283 00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:05,880 Speaker 8: of materialized so quickly and with that type of premium 284 00:16:06,280 --> 00:16:08,880 Speaker 8: is a little bit of a surprise, given kind of 285 00:16:09,040 --> 00:16:12,320 Speaker 8: that it started leaking yesterday. But when you look at 286 00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 8: it from a multiple standpoint, you know it's trained. You know, 287 00:16:15,200 --> 00:16:20,160 Speaker 8: it's the sales about seven times Exact Sciences twenty twenty 288 00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:24,440 Speaker 8: five sales. Seems pretty reasonable for the growth that could 289 00:16:24,480 --> 00:16:26,960 Speaker 8: be incorporated into Abbot's overall portfolio. 290 00:16:28,320 --> 00:16:31,280 Speaker 2: And the banker's on the deal, Morgan Stanley, exclusive financial 291 00:16:31,280 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 2: advisor to Abbot, fully funding this deal, So that's good 292 00:16:35,360 --> 00:16:38,480 Speaker 2: for them. On the sales side, Centerview Partners and XS 293 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:41,840 Speaker 2: Capital Partners advising the seller there, so again more M 294 00:16:41,880 --> 00:16:45,200 Speaker 2: and A fees there. I have no idea who Exact 295 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:46,960 Speaker 2: Sciences is, and I think I speak for most of 296 00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:49,880 Speaker 2: our audience here. Who is Exact Sciences? Why what do 297 00:16:49,960 --> 00:16:50,200 Speaker 2: they do? 298 00:16:50,600 --> 00:16:52,680 Speaker 6: And why does Abbot want to pay such a big price. 299 00:16:53,560 --> 00:16:56,680 Speaker 8: Well, you actually might know of them because they have 300 00:16:56,840 --> 00:16:59,960 Speaker 8: been doing a lot of TV commercials for their cold 301 00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:01,440 Speaker 8: Guard there. 302 00:17:01,280 --> 00:17:05,399 Speaker 6: The Guard people. Yeah, so there we go. 303 00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:08,679 Speaker 8: We so yeah, So it's it's it's you know, it's 304 00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:10,760 Speaker 8: kind of one of those things where they're the ones 305 00:17:10,800 --> 00:17:15,280 Speaker 8: that have been the pioneers and driving the force around 306 00:17:15,359 --> 00:17:19,879 Speaker 8: that take home pre screening tests to kind of just 307 00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:24,960 Speaker 8: help you know the continuum of cancer screening and to 308 00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:28,399 Speaker 8: provide an easier access for that pre screening before you 309 00:17:28,480 --> 00:17:30,520 Speaker 8: have to go into kind of more of the invasive, 310 00:17:30,840 --> 00:17:33,520 Speaker 8: you know, colonoscopies to make sure you know you have 311 00:17:33,600 --> 00:17:36,840 Speaker 8: that a you know, coal rectals cancer risk. 312 00:17:38,119 --> 00:17:38,359 Speaker 1: Is there? 313 00:17:38,520 --> 00:17:43,280 Speaker 6: That thing sat in my closet for like a year, like. 314 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:44,760 Speaker 5: Oh my god, I know it's one of those things 315 00:17:44,800 --> 00:17:46,359 Speaker 5: you have to do, but you don't want to do 316 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:49,359 Speaker 5: I have to do it. So that what is there 317 00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:52,480 Speaker 5: any reason to think that regulators may you know, raise 318 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:53,800 Speaker 5: their hand and say, hold on, let me just take 319 00:17:53,800 --> 00:17:54,639 Speaker 5: a closer look at this. 320 00:17:56,880 --> 00:17:59,159 Speaker 8: I mean, I'm sure they will, you know, cross their 321 00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:02,439 Speaker 8: t's and dot their eyes. But just in general, with 322 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:07,240 Speaker 8: medtech acquisitions, it's usually a pretty straightforward unless there's a 323 00:18:07,280 --> 00:18:10,840 Speaker 8: clear you know, one of the market maybe going to 324 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:14,240 Speaker 8: you know, one company, and in this case, the there's 325 00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:16,960 Speaker 8: enough competition where I don't think that should be a 326 00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:19,720 Speaker 8: hurdle for Abbot or Exact Sciences. 327 00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:21,080 Speaker 6: And for such a big deal. 328 00:18:21,119 --> 00:18:23,000 Speaker 2: I mean, Abbot stock is only down about one and 329 00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:26,000 Speaker 2: a half percent today on the news. So presumably is 330 00:18:26,240 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 2: this a deal you think is a good deal for Abbit? 331 00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:32,679 Speaker 8: Yes, I think it checks off a lot of boxes. 332 00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:37,520 Speaker 8: Potentially for Abbot one. It's once it becomes fully integrated 333 00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:40,840 Speaker 8: and starts contributing to organic growth, it should be a 334 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:45,439 Speaker 8: creative to that organic growth that Abbot already has. I mean, 335 00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:48,040 Speaker 8: they're already for a company that is you know, forty 336 00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:51,080 Speaker 8: almost forty five billion in sales, they're generating seven and 337 00:18:51,080 --> 00:18:55,320 Speaker 8: a half percent organic sales growth. Exact Sciences comes in 338 00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:57,879 Speaker 8: with double digit sales growth, so that that's going to 339 00:18:57,920 --> 00:18:59,639 Speaker 8: be a creative for them in the long run. You 340 00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:02,480 Speaker 8: can also look at the gross margin profile. Abbott, you know, 341 00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:05,800 Speaker 8: is around a fifty six fifty seven percent gross margin profile. 342 00:19:06,359 --> 00:19:09,399 Speaker 8: Exact Sciences comes in at seventy two, improving to seventy 343 00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:12,080 Speaker 8: three percent based off of consensus in twenty twenty six. 344 00:19:13,080 --> 00:19:16,320 Speaker 8: And then lastly, you look at the expenses that Exact 345 00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:20,119 Speaker 8: Sciences has because you know there's still you know, whether 346 00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:23,840 Speaker 8: it's the merging growth story, so they're still investing a 347 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:28,000 Speaker 8: lot in their SG and a kind of commercial profile 348 00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:32,360 Speaker 8: to help generate these growth We kind of expect Abbot 349 00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:34,679 Speaker 8: to come in and be able to slash some of 350 00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:36,600 Speaker 8: that SG and A costs to be able to make 351 00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:39,880 Speaker 8: it more profitable overall for the Abbot once it kind 352 00:19:39,880 --> 00:19:41,320 Speaker 8: of gets fully integrated. 353 00:19:42,800 --> 00:19:47,520 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast, available on Apple, Spotify, 354 00:19:47,720 --> 00:19:51,160 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each 355 00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:54,920 Speaker 1: weekday ten am to noon Eastern on Bloomberg dot com, 356 00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:58,600 Speaker 1: the iHeartRadio app tune In, and the Bloomberg Business App. 357 00:19:59,040 --> 00:20:01,479 Speaker 1: You can also want to us live every weekday on 358 00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:08,200 Speaker 1: YouTube and always on the Bloomberg terminal m