1 00:00:02,840 --> 00:00:05,960 Speaker 1: From the Bloomberg Interact, a Broker's Studios. This is Bloomberg 2 00:00:06,040 --> 00:00:09,680 Speaker 1: day Break for Tuesday, April eleventh. Coming up today, Louisville, 3 00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:12,360 Speaker 1: Kentucky is the scene of the latest mass shooting in 4 00:00:12,400 --> 00:00:15,960 Speaker 1: the US. This is an evil act of argubed Barland. 5 00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:19,040 Speaker 1: President Biden heads to Northern Ireland to mark twenty five 6 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:22,360 Speaker 1: years of a Good Friday peace agreement. A serious US 7 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:26,640 Speaker 1: intelligence breach could overshadow the President's trip. Former President Trump 8 00:00:26,640 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 1: will return to New York this week for a deposition. 9 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:32,280 Speaker 1: Plus one of the ousted block Tennessee lawmakers is back 10 00:00:32,320 --> 00:00:35,639 Speaker 1: at the State House. I'm Michael barr More and I'm 11 00:00:35,680 --> 00:00:38,199 Speaker 1: John Stage Daron Sports. The Yankees lost in Cleveland and 12 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:41,680 Speaker 1: met shut out the Padres. The Rangers and Islanders both loss. 13 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:47,159 Speaker 1: That's all straight ahead on Bloomberg day Break, the business 14 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:50,199 Speaker 1: news you need disturn your day, and just one fifteen 15 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:54,600 Speaker 1: minute podcast each pointing on Apples, Spotify, the Bloomberg Business 16 00:00:54,680 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 1: Appen everywhere you get your podcasts. Good morning, I'm Nathan 17 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 1: Hagar and I'm kieron Moscow. Here are the stories we're 18 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 1: following today. We begin this morning with the latest on 19 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:10,520 Speaker 1: another mass shooting in the US, this time in Louisville, Kentucky. 20 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 1: Police say a bank employee opened fire on his workplace 21 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:17,319 Speaker 1: yesterday morning and killed five people while live streaming it 22 00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:21,319 Speaker 1: on Instagram. This is Louisville Mayor Craig Greenberg. Let's be 23 00:01:21,360 --> 00:01:25,160 Speaker 1: clear about what this was. This was an evil act 24 00:01:25,200 --> 00:01:27,920 Speaker 1: of targeted violence, and it's an act of violence that 25 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:31,360 Speaker 1: hit close to home for Kentucky's Governor Andy Bisheer. One 26 00:01:31,400 --> 00:01:34,880 Speaker 1: of the victims was his close friend Tommy Elliott helped 27 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:38,720 Speaker 1: me build my law career, help me become governor, gave 28 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:41,200 Speaker 1: me advice on being a good dad. This was the 29 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:44,400 Speaker 1: fifteenth major mass killing in the US so far this year. 30 00:01:44,480 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 1: Instagram parent met A platform says it quickly removed the 31 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 1: live stream of the incident yesterday morning. Well, Nathan, some 32 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 1: other news were following this morning. Joe Biden arrives in 33 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:56,280 Speaker 1: Northern Ireland today to mark twenty five years of a 34 00:01:56,320 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: Good Friday peace agreement. White House Security Council spokesman John 35 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:03,360 Speaker 1: Kirby says it's an opportunity for the President to celebrate 36 00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:06,960 Speaker 1: a heritage he cites often. President Biden cares deeply about 37 00:02:07,080 --> 00:02:10,080 Speaker 1: Northern Ireland and has a long history of supporting peace 38 00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 1: and prosperity there. As a US Senator, Joe Biden was 39 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 1: an advocate for how the United States could play a 40 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:19,720 Speaker 1: constructive role supporting peace. Might House Security Council spokesman John 41 00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:23,079 Speaker 1: Kirby says Biden's first stop is Belfast, where he will 42 00:02:23,080 --> 00:02:25,840 Speaker 1: meet with UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunac and the Biden 43 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:28,720 Speaker 1: visit comes as the US grapples with the leak of 44 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 1: intelligence that has been posted on social media. Bloomberg's Ad 45 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:36,799 Speaker 1: Baxter has that story. Both Defense and DOJ involved. Now, 46 00:02:36,840 --> 00:02:39,200 Speaker 1: the Department of Defense has referred this to the Department 47 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:42,239 Speaker 1: of Justice for a criminal investigation, and I certainly would 48 00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 1: have free to them, but I'm not aware that they've 49 00:02:44,200 --> 00:02:46,520 Speaker 1: come to any conclusions at this point about where they're 50 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 1: coming from. White House spokesman John Kirby says they don't 51 00:02:49,440 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: know how much is out there and whether more will 52 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 1: be posted. We're going to get to the bottom of this, 53 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:56,280 Speaker 1: and then if there's actions that need to be taken 54 00:02:56,960 --> 00:02:59,520 Speaker 1: as we learn more about the extent of what happened here, 55 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 1: well obviously take those. Kirby says, hard to tell at 56 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:03,959 Speaker 1: this point how much damage has been done. He says, 57 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 1: defense officials are talking to allies in San Francisco. I'm 58 00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:10,280 Speaker 1: at Baxter Bloomberg Day Break all rated things, So Vice 59 00:03:10,280 --> 00:03:12,880 Speaker 1: President Kamala Harris. We'll meet with a prime minister of 60 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:16,960 Speaker 1: Poland later today to discuss Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The 61 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:20,560 Speaker 1: peer will also discuss security and energy issues, including Poland's 62 00:03:20,680 --> 00:03:25,120 Speaker 1: civil nuclear program. Also in Washington today, Karen, Financial leaders 63 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:28,160 Speaker 1: and central bankers will begin to gather for the spring 64 00:03:28,200 --> 00:03:31,320 Speaker 1: meetings of the IMF and the World Bank. Our Tom 65 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:34,920 Speaker 1: Keane is covering it all for Bloomberg, Nathan and Karen 66 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:38,080 Speaker 1: without question. And this is after the World Bank announcements 67 00:03:38,160 --> 00:03:41,559 Speaker 1: yesterday from David Malpass and what we heard from Krystallina 68 00:03:41,640 --> 00:03:45,800 Speaker 1: georgy Ava in her conversation with Bloomberg last week. It's simple, 69 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:49,680 Speaker 1: it's about economic slowdown. Every other topic I can't believe 70 00:03:49,720 --> 00:03:54,120 Speaker 1: I'm saying this, including China, has been pushed aside by 71 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 1: such a grim and cautious view on economic growth that 72 00:03:58,720 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 1: dovetails with a covering China, a recovering India. But what 73 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:06,160 Speaker 1: about the rest of the world, including the United States. 74 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 1: We'll be watching Bloomberg's Tom Keane along with Lisa Bramwitz 75 00:04:09,800 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 1: and Jonathan Farrell at the meetings all this week broadcasting 76 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:16,520 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Surveillance. You can catch the program every morning starting 77 00:04:16,520 --> 00:04:19,880 Speaker 1: at seven am on Bloomberg Radio and Television. Well Nathan, 78 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:24,240 Speaker 1: Senator Elizabeth Warren, a New York representative Alexandria Ocassio Cortes 79 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:26,400 Speaker 1: have sent letters to more than a dozen of the 80 00:04:26,480 --> 00:04:30,600 Speaker 1: largest depositors with Silicon Valley Bank. They're raising concerne over 81 00:04:30,640 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 1: the failed banks relationship with some of the venture capitalists 82 00:04:33,680 --> 00:04:36,640 Speaker 1: and tech founders who made up much of its customer base. 83 00:04:36,800 --> 00:04:39,560 Speaker 1: I meantime, Karen New York Fed President John Williams is 84 00:04:39,600 --> 00:04:43,000 Speaker 1: rejecting the idea that the FEDS rapid interest rate hikes 85 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:45,600 Speaker 1: led two problems in the banking industry, and we get 86 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:48,799 Speaker 1: the latest on that live with Bloomberg's John Tucker, John 87 00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:51,640 Speaker 1: and Nathan don't blame us. That seems to be the 88 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 1: message from Williams. Silicon Valley banks collapse last month was 89 00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:59,000 Speaker 1: the second largest in US history. SVB and Signature Bank 90 00:04:59,040 --> 00:05:02,160 Speaker 1: were taken over by regulators after a run on their deposits. 91 00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:05,520 Speaker 1: Williams told an economics forum the issues were more related 92 00:05:05,560 --> 00:05:09,640 Speaker 1: to the individual banks the suggestion there they were poorly run. 93 00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 1: As for how investors are betting on the future path 94 00:05:12,480 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 1: of interest rates, Williams doesn't lose much sleep over that. 95 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:19,840 Speaker 1: Do I worry of market expectations, as you mentioned the 96 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:23,320 Speaker 1: expect us through glory interest rates five later this year 97 00:05:23,800 --> 00:05:26,640 Speaker 1: and significantly next year. I think my answer is I 98 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:29,240 Speaker 1: don't really worry about it. The New York Fed president, 99 00:05:29,320 --> 00:05:33,000 Speaker 1: speaking at NYU Investors betha FED will cut rates later 100 00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:35,800 Speaker 1: this year, something Fed officials currently you don't see live 101 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:38,720 Speaker 1: in New York. I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Daybreak. All right, John, 102 00:05:38,760 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 1: thank you. He turned out to Warren Buffett, who is 103 00:05:41,120 --> 00:05:43,480 Speaker 1: turning his focus back to Japan. Let me get the 104 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 1: latest live with the Bloomberg. Steve Rabbaboard. Good morning, Steve, 105 00:05:46,400 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 1: Good morning, Karen and Nathan. In an interview with Nika, 106 00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 1: Buffett says he's looking to up his stock investments in Japan. 107 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 1: Shortly after Berkshire Hathaway kicked off a yen bond sale. 108 00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:58,000 Speaker 1: The billionaire investor had about five percent of his holdings 109 00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:01,160 Speaker 1: in Japan's trading houses in twenty twenty. Shares jumped after 110 00:06:01,160 --> 00:06:03,680 Speaker 1: Buffett said he raised those holdings to seven point four 111 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:06,680 Speaker 1: percent buffet, telling Nik he's in Japan to meet different 112 00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:10,080 Speaker 1: company leaders for discussions around their businesses and to emphasize 113 00:06:10,080 --> 00:06:13,800 Speaker 1: Berkshire support. Live in New York, I'm Steve Rappaport, Bloomberg Daybreak. 114 00:06:13,839 --> 00:06:16,360 Speaker 1: All right, Steve, thanks. Another set of billionaires, Tyler and 115 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:19,600 Speaker 1: Cameron weakle Vas, are using their money to support their 116 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:22,839 Speaker 1: crypto exchange, Gemini Trust. Bloomberg News has learned the twins 117 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:25,440 Speaker 1: have made one hundred million dollars loan to Gemini. The 118 00:06:25,520 --> 00:06:28,440 Speaker 1: firm has faced numerous setbacks during the year long market 119 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:35,680 Speaker 1: downturn for digital assets. This is Bloomberg. It is fifty 120 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:38,000 Speaker 1: one degrees in New York going to be sunny today, 121 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:40,400 Speaker 1: breezy as well. Headed to the low seventies clouds and 122 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:42,600 Speaker 1: de breeze tonight on our way down to near sixty. 123 00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:44,240 Speaker 1: Time now to take a look at some of the 124 00:06:44,279 --> 00:06:46,680 Speaker 1: other stories making news in New York and around the world, 125 00:06:46,720 --> 00:06:49,479 Speaker 1: with Bloomberg's Michael Bark. Good morning, Michael, Good morning, Nathan. 126 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:52,479 Speaker 1: At least two children are dead after fire tour through 127 00:06:52,520 --> 00:06:56,440 Speaker 1: a queen's home, and e bike battery has been blamed 128 00:06:56,440 --> 00:06:59,360 Speaker 1: for the blaze. The family inside the two story home 129 00:06:59,400 --> 00:07:02,760 Speaker 1: found themselves trapped after the lithium ion battery burst into 130 00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:05,840 Speaker 1: flames near the front door. F d n Y Chief 131 00:07:05,880 --> 00:07:08,680 Speaker 1: John Hodgens said his team could not get it under 132 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:11,680 Speaker 1: control because of the source, and if this was not 133 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:15,760 Speaker 1: a ebike fire, most likely we would have been able 134 00:07:15,760 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 1: to put this fire out without incident. Chief Hodgens says 135 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:23,760 Speaker 1: the father and three children were able to jump out 136 00:07:23,760 --> 00:07:26,960 Speaker 1: of a window. However, two other children were unable to 137 00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:30,080 Speaker 1: escape and died. Donald Trump will be back in New 138 00:07:30,160 --> 00:07:33,320 Speaker 1: York City, this time for a state case. The former 139 00:07:33,360 --> 00:07:36,560 Speaker 1: president says that he is scheduled to sit for a 140 00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:40,360 Speaker 1: deposition Thursday in the Lower Manhattan offices of New York 141 00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:43,720 Speaker 1: Attorney General Letitia James. It's in connection with the two 142 00:07:43,760 --> 00:07:46,760 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty million dollar lawsuit filed by her office 143 00:07:47,040 --> 00:07:50,640 Speaker 1: in September accusing Trump, his company, and three of his 144 00:07:50,800 --> 00:07:54,680 Speaker 1: kids of widespread fraud. Last Tuesday, Trump was arraigned on 145 00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:59,280 Speaker 1: thirty four felony criminal charges related to alleged hush money payments. 146 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:03,239 Speaker 1: Democrats on the Senate Judiciary Committee have called on Chief 147 00:08:03,280 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 1: Justice John Roberts to investigate undisclosed luxury trips that Supreme 148 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 1: Court Justice Clarence Thomas accepted from wealthy Republican donor Harlan Crowe. 149 00:08:12,320 --> 00:08:14,560 Speaker 1: The Panels said it would soon hold a hearing on 150 00:08:14,600 --> 00:08:18,280 Speaker 1: the court's ethical standards. One of the ousted Black Tennessee 151 00:08:18,360 --> 00:08:22,080 Speaker 1: lawmakers is back at the state House. Democrat Justin Jones 152 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:25,120 Speaker 1: was expelled for his role in a gun control protest 153 00:08:25,200 --> 00:08:27,679 Speaker 1: on the House floor in the aftermath of a deadly 154 00:08:27,720 --> 00:08:30,880 Speaker 1: school shooting in Nashville. He was reinstated to the state 155 00:08:30,920 --> 00:08:35,679 Speaker 1: House and a unanimous decision by Nashville's Metro consul abuse 156 00:08:35,720 --> 00:08:38,240 Speaker 1: of this body would not happen in the comfort of silence. 157 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:41,720 Speaker 1: So I come here most importantly, though not as an individual, 158 00:08:41,720 --> 00:08:43,360 Speaker 1: but I come here to say that the people of 159 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 1: District fifty two seventy eight thousand people have a voice 160 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:49,880 Speaker 1: in this chamber once again. The other expelled lawmaker who 161 00:08:49,880 --> 00:08:53,480 Speaker 1: represents Memphis, Justin Jordan, could be reappointed tomorrow by the 162 00:08:53,520 --> 00:08:56,839 Speaker 1: Shelby County Commission. Three adults were injured when a large 163 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:59,960 Speaker 1: inflatable bounce house blew over in the wind in New Journey. 164 00:09:00,600 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: It happened at a passover carnival in a parking lot 165 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:06,760 Speaker 1: in Lakewood. Global News twenty four hours a day, powered 166 00:09:06,760 --> 00:09:09,680 Speaker 1: by more than twenty seven hundred journalists an analysts in 167 00:09:09,720 --> 00:09:13,280 Speaker 1: over one hundred twenty countries. How Michael Barr, this is Bloomberg, Nathan, 168 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 1: Thanks Michael. Time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update. For that, 169 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:23,160 Speaker 1: we bring you John Stensheller. All right, thanks Nathan. It 170 00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:26,000 Speaker 1: was a night for some playoff revenge. The Clevey and 171 00:09:26,120 --> 00:09:30,079 Speaker 1: Cleveland Guardians season ended last October with a division series 172 00:09:30,120 --> 00:09:32,280 Speaker 1: lost to the Yankees, who jumped in front last night 173 00:09:32,280 --> 00:09:34,680 Speaker 1: in Cleveland too nothing before there was an out, but 174 00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:36,959 Speaker 1: the Yanks were blanked. The rest of the way. Had 175 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:39,600 Speaker 1: only three hits after those first four batters and the 176 00:09:39,640 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 1: Guardians one three to two. The Mets out to avenge 177 00:09:42,360 --> 00:09:45,280 Speaker 1: the wildcard lost last fault of the Padres. They put 178 00:09:45,280 --> 00:09:49,000 Speaker 1: two on with Jeff McNeil an ishl offering rip down 179 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:51,520 Speaker 1: the right field line, base sit headed to the corner, 180 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:55,000 Speaker 1: live all hits third, he heads home to score. Lyndor 181 00:09:55,080 --> 00:09:57,959 Speaker 1: gets the wave around, loses the helmet. Here's the throw. 182 00:09:58,400 --> 00:10:02,920 Speaker 1: Lindoor slides his safely. Jeffs a third base. He gives 183 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:05,720 Speaker 1: the Mets to nothing lead in the bottom of the 184 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:08,760 Speaker 1: third inning on WCBS. Later, another two run double that 185 00:10:08,920 --> 00:10:11,719 Speaker 1: from Francisco Lindor. The Mets held San Diego to two 186 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 1: hits and won five to nothing, fourteen strikeouts by Met pitchers, 187 00:10:15,200 --> 00:10:18,280 Speaker 1: including Max Scherzer, who lost to the Padres in that 188 00:10:18,440 --> 00:10:21,640 Speaker 1: wildcard series. Tampa Bay won again one nothing over the 189 00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:24,000 Speaker 1: Red Sox to raise the first team since the Brewers 190 00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:27,120 Speaker 1: in nineteen eighty seven to start a season ten and oh. 191 00:10:27,160 --> 00:10:29,040 Speaker 1: This was their first close game. They won the first 192 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:32,000 Speaker 1: nine by at least four runs one time. Yankee Andrew 193 00:10:32,040 --> 00:10:34,760 Speaker 1: Heeney that with Texas, tied American League record. He struck 194 00:10:34,760 --> 00:10:38,000 Speaker 1: out nine batters in a row. NHL regular season winding 195 00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 1: down the Rangers slim hopes to win the Metropolitan Division, 196 00:10:40,800 --> 00:10:42,719 Speaker 1: dealt the blow when Buffalo won three two in a 197 00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:44,760 Speaker 1: shootout at the Garden or Timmy pannerin at both the 198 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:47,240 Speaker 1: Ranger goals asked for. The Islanders, now in danger of 199 00:10:47,280 --> 00:10:50,480 Speaker 1: missing the playoffs a five two loss at Washington. NBA 200 00:10:50,559 --> 00:10:53,240 Speaker 1: play and starts tonight Atlanta at Miami Minnesota at the 201 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 1: Lakers Timberwolves without starting center Rudy Gobert, suspended for punching 202 00:10:57,679 --> 00:11:00,760 Speaker 1: his teammate in the game, John Stash Howard Bloombroogs book 203 00:11:03,559 --> 00:11:07,000 Speaker 1: live from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, 204 00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:11,040 Speaker 1: Boston to Washington, d C. Nationwide on Sirius, Exam, the 205 00:11:11,120 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Business App, and Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. 206 00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:20,200 Speaker 1: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager on a morning where President 207 00:11:20,240 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 1: Biden is about to get in touch with his roots. 208 00:11:22,840 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 1: He has headed to head ancestral homeland of Ireland starting 209 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:30,120 Speaker 1: today to mark twenty five years since the Good Friday 210 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:34,040 Speaker 1: peace agreement. But the league of sensitive Pentagon documents has 211 00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 1: made this trip oversees a lot more complicated. For more, 212 00:11:37,960 --> 00:11:40,520 Speaker 1: we are joined this morning by John Raines, director at 213 00:11:40,559 --> 00:11:45,160 Speaker 1: the Global Insights and Analysis Team at SMP Global Market Intelligence. John, 214 00:11:45,280 --> 00:11:49,640 Speaker 1: Good morning, This classified Pentagon leak couldn't come, I guess 215 00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:52,920 Speaker 1: at a worse time for President Biden. How much could 216 00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:57,559 Speaker 1: this overshadow the President's visit to Ireland this week? I 217 00:11:57,600 --> 00:12:00,200 Speaker 1: think it's going to overshadow it to a degree. I mean, 218 00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:02,319 Speaker 1: obviously this is kind of a good news story for 219 00:12:02,400 --> 00:12:03,880 Speaker 1: him to go to Ireland. So I don't know how 220 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:06,319 Speaker 1: much play this was going to get across the week 221 00:12:06,320 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 1: because there's a number of different stories. You brought up 222 00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:11,320 Speaker 1: gun control and the things that are happening in Tennessee 223 00:12:11,360 --> 00:12:13,439 Speaker 1: and elsewhere. So I think this is a feel good story, 224 00:12:13,520 --> 00:12:16,080 Speaker 1: but obviously it's going to detract from his overall message, 225 00:12:16,120 --> 00:12:19,520 Speaker 1: which was, hey, listen, I'm with Ireland, I'm with Northern Ireland. 226 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:22,920 Speaker 1: Let's get this peace process and celebrate it and move 227 00:12:23,040 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 1: on with some type of a hopefully some top of 228 00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:27,480 Speaker 1: an agreement that gets that assembly back in order in Belfast. 229 00:12:27,720 --> 00:12:31,120 Speaker 1: How much influence could the President have on the process, 230 00:12:31,320 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 1: given the difficulties that we've seen for the parties in 231 00:12:36,559 --> 00:12:39,640 Speaker 1: Northern Ireland and in the Republic of Ireland to come 232 00:12:39,679 --> 00:12:42,640 Speaker 1: to some kind of agreement on power sharing, you know, 233 00:12:42,679 --> 00:12:45,480 Speaker 1: I think it's possible. I mean, obviously it's a long shot, 234 00:12:45,520 --> 00:12:47,959 Speaker 1: and I think you know, when we hear references from 235 00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:50,439 Speaker 1: the wine House, they are downplaying that the President is 236 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:53,280 Speaker 1: going to have any influence here to get these minds together. 237 00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:55,360 Speaker 1: But I mean, let's face it. I mean, he has 238 00:12:55,440 --> 00:12:58,720 Speaker 1: iris and just ancestry. He's very very popular, both in 239 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:01,920 Speaker 1: Northern Ireland and in down South. So I think there's 240 00:13:01,920 --> 00:13:04,120 Speaker 1: a potential here that at least we could get some 241 00:13:04,200 --> 00:13:07,160 Speaker 1: type of negotiations started if not actually some type of 242 00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:09,080 Speaker 1: agreement by the time you leave, which I think is 243 00:13:09,320 --> 00:13:12,920 Speaker 1: probably unlikely. Now you did mention, of course, the latest 244 00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 1: mass shooting in the US as well. We had the 245 00:13:16,040 --> 00:13:20,319 Speaker 1: incident in Nashville just a week ago. Now this latest 246 00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:24,080 Speaker 1: mass killing in Louisville, Kentucky, and it sparked a very 247 00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:27,319 Speaker 1: heated response from President Biden, a statement, I think you 248 00:13:27,400 --> 00:13:30,040 Speaker 1: said something like, how many more Americans need to die 249 00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:36,880 Speaker 1: before Congress does something about this? What kind of progress 250 00:13:37,160 --> 00:13:40,400 Speaker 1: do you think can be made on the gun issue 251 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:44,600 Speaker 1: when these incidents it's just seemed to keep happening every 252 00:13:44,640 --> 00:13:47,200 Speaker 1: other day, it seems in this country. Yeah, you can 253 00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:49,040 Speaker 1: almost say that this is pretty much every day at 254 00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:50,880 Speaker 1: this point, I mean, depending on how you define a 255 00:13:50,960 --> 00:13:53,360 Speaker 1: mass shooting. But you know, we look at this issue 256 00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:55,319 Speaker 1: on a regular basis. We keep track of all the 257 00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:58,000 Speaker 1: different mass shootings that happen in public spaces, and what 258 00:13:58,080 --> 00:14:01,400 Speaker 1: we find is afterwards really not much. And part of 259 00:14:01,400 --> 00:14:03,920 Speaker 1: the reason there is that both parties are coming at 260 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:07,280 Speaker 1: this from very different angles. From Republicans, it's really looking 261 00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:10,200 Speaker 1: at mental you know, mental health issues, a you know, 262 00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:13,200 Speaker 1: increased school security, where Democrats are really looking at the 263 00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:17,120 Speaker 1: issue of gun control, and there's very little headway here 264 00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:19,280 Speaker 1: in which we could see. So what we'd normally find 265 00:14:19,280 --> 00:14:21,800 Speaker 1: in these type of situations as lowest common demotomator, so 266 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:25,920 Speaker 1: probably some increased funding for school security and also maybe 267 00:14:25,920 --> 00:14:29,000 Speaker 1: some mental health issues, but aside from that anything substantial 268 00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:34,720 Speaker 1: pretty unlikely. Do you see this having any residence with voters. 269 00:14:34,920 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 1: I mean, we saw the reaction in Nashville where the 270 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:45,240 Speaker 1: state House reaction seemed to be to expel those lawmakers 271 00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:49,400 Speaker 1: who mounted a gun control protest on the floor. Does 272 00:14:49,400 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 1: that have any impact with voters that could move this 273 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:56,239 Speaker 1: issue one way or the other? I think maybe modestly 274 00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:59,560 Speaker 1: in some maybe swing states or swing districts, we could 275 00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:03,640 Speaker 1: may ebc especially with it's an important issue for younger voters. 276 00:15:03,640 --> 00:15:06,800 Speaker 1: So as long when these groups of individuals start, you know, 277 00:15:07,360 --> 00:15:10,200 Speaker 1: going to the ballot boxes, and it's a possibility we 278 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:12,920 Speaker 1: could see a slight move here or there. It hasn't 279 00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:15,360 Speaker 1: been really a pivotal issue in the past, but it 280 00:15:15,440 --> 00:15:17,520 Speaker 1: is growing in importance, just like we've seen with climate 281 00:15:17,560 --> 00:15:19,920 Speaker 1: change with young voters as well. So not saying it's 282 00:15:19,960 --> 00:15:23,520 Speaker 1: necessarily the driving feature now, but certainly something to look 283 00:15:23,520 --> 00:15:26,160 Speaker 1: for in the future. So in our last minute here, 284 00:15:26,200 --> 00:15:28,200 Speaker 1: What kind of progress do you think could be made 285 00:15:28,200 --> 00:15:30,800 Speaker 1: either one way or the other when it comes to 286 00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:35,080 Speaker 1: moving this debate. It seems as though, you know, Republicans 287 00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:39,640 Speaker 1: argue that mental health is the issue, while Democrats push 288 00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:44,200 Speaker 1: for more gun restrictions. Is there any movement that you 289 00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:48,840 Speaker 1: can see to bring about some kind of compromise. Well, 290 00:15:48,880 --> 00:15:51,640 Speaker 1: we did see a bipartisan bill that you know, reached 291 00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 1: law last year, so there is some ways that we 292 00:15:54,400 --> 00:15:57,200 Speaker 1: can see folks on Capitol Hill work together. I think 293 00:15:57,200 --> 00:16:00,240 Speaker 1: it really see moves as like you know, banning, you know, 294 00:16:00,360 --> 00:16:03,600 Speaker 1: sim assault weapons, or you know, seeing significant changes in 295 00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:05,400 Speaker 1: gun control. You're probably gonna have to get rid of 296 00:16:05,400 --> 00:16:07,440 Speaker 1: the filibuster in the Senate, and to do that, their 297 00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:09,280 Speaker 1: Democrats are going to need to pick up several seats 298 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:14,800 Speaker 1: inside the Senate. 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