1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:05,439 Speaker 1: America in Israel, bomb the hell out of Iran today? 2 00:00:05,640 --> 00:00:08,440 Speaker 1: The who, what, where, when, and why and how on 3 00:00:08,560 --> 00:00:15,920 Speaker 1: The David Rutherford Show. 4 00:00:19,440 --> 00:00:20,439 Speaker 2: What's up? Everybody? 5 00:00:20,920 --> 00:00:25,600 Speaker 1: Welcome back to the David Rutherford Show again. Everybody take 6 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:31,200 Speaker 1: a deep breath. Ready, follow me? Deep in hal slow 7 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:38,360 Speaker 1: purse lips x hale deepil in heal slow person. Yeah, man, 8 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:41,880 Speaker 1: I tell you what, Geordy, the last thirty six to 9 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 1: forty eight hours has been pretty wild. 10 00:00:46,120 --> 00:00:50,000 Speaker 2: Once again, dude, were you monitoring the situation on X's 11 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 2: That's that's what they say. Yeah, well, I'm not addicted 12 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:55,640 Speaker 2: to X. I'm monitoring the situation. If you ask my 13 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:57,320 Speaker 2: wife and children. 14 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:03,000 Speaker 1: It's like it's parenting intermittently as I scrolled through the 15 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:06,080 Speaker 1: next outlandish post from one person to the next. 16 00:01:06,120 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 2: You know, I'm glad that. 17 00:01:08,959 --> 00:01:12,959 Speaker 1: We we waited the forty eight hours before we jumped 18 00:01:12,959 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: into this thing and and gave a response or an 19 00:01:16,520 --> 00:01:19,399 Speaker 1: update and all that, and it just so everybody recognizes, 20 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 1: you know, my main objective on this show with Geordy 21 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 1: is to bring context to the tsunami of information that 22 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:32,759 Speaker 1: is perpetually being just unloaded on us every single day, 23 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:39,280 Speaker 1: and and to hopefully give a few flashbangs of truth 24 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:40,400 Speaker 1: in terms. 25 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:42,399 Speaker 2: Of my opinion and my assessment on it. 26 00:01:42,680 --> 00:01:45,560 Speaker 1: Again, you know, I spent eight years in the teams 27 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:49,520 Speaker 1: and two years at Blackwater, four years with the CIA, 28 00:01:49,640 --> 00:01:53,720 Speaker 1: and and then you know all the other friends and 29 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 1: mine that are are actively engaged in this fight right 30 00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:00,440 Speaker 1: now and in a variety of different levels from d 31 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 1: O D to the agency and and and others. And 32 00:02:04,040 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 1: so my job is to just try and uh give 33 00:02:08,080 --> 00:02:12,400 Speaker 1: you some information that you can exhale, breathe in, breathe out, 34 00:02:12,560 --> 00:02:14,560 Speaker 1: you know, taking the e face out board, get a 35 00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:18,360 Speaker 1: glass of water, and and and process the totality of 36 00:02:18,400 --> 00:02:21,600 Speaker 1: what's going on. So all right, Jordie, let's uh, let's 37 00:02:21,760 --> 00:02:23,400 Speaker 1: let's let's let's dig into this. 38 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:25,440 Speaker 2: All right. So obviously. 39 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 1: The United States in Israel attacked Iran, and this was 40 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 1: a coordinated attack, right, Uh, this was uh a, we 41 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 1: called ours Operation Epic Fury. 42 00:02:41,800 --> 00:02:44,440 Speaker 2: Right gotta dig. We got some cool names, for sure. 43 00:02:44,600 --> 00:02:47,600 Speaker 1: I saw this hilarious tweet today of some guy who 44 00:02:47,680 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 1: is a British operator who was saying, you know, the 45 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 1: awesome difference you know between us and the States is 46 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:56,920 Speaker 1: like they have all these cool names and we have 47 00:02:57,080 --> 00:03:01,520 Speaker 1: like Operation I D four sixty two, you know, and 48 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:04,240 Speaker 1: where we definitely have some some cool I remember the 49 00:03:04,320 --> 00:03:07,040 Speaker 1: guys when we would do ops that got to title 50 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:09,480 Speaker 1: all the ops, it was there was always kind of 51 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:12,520 Speaker 1: like this underlying joke of how how you know truly 52 00:03:12,639 --> 00:03:14,800 Speaker 1: epic a name you could deliver to it. 53 00:03:14,960 --> 00:03:17,399 Speaker 2: So it's the most important part of the operation. Yeah, yeah, 54 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:21,959 Speaker 2: for sure. And Israel called it Roaring Lion. 55 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:26,760 Speaker 1: UH. Now these are strikes where coordinated campaign against UH, 56 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 1: the Iranian regime UH. And these strikes included nuclear facilities, 57 00:03:34,160 --> 00:03:39,120 Speaker 1: missile bases, air defenses, command centers, government buildings, UH in 58 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:47,800 Speaker 1: cities like Tehran, kwalm Isfron, Kramasha, Tabreez, Bandar, Abbas, Shiraz, 59 00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 1: and Mashad, high value assassin nations including Koman's compound. UH. 60 00:03:58,040 --> 00:04:01,840 Speaker 1: Nearly nine hundred different strikes occurred in the first twelve 61 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 1: hours alone, basically suppressing air defenses, retaliatory systems, and disrupting 62 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:13,040 Speaker 1: their command and control. The Trump administration has said that 63 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:20,480 Speaker 1: they've killed forty eight Iranian leaders, including their supreme leader, 64 00:04:21,240 --> 00:04:28,200 Speaker 1: the Ayatola Ali Komani, also the IRGC commander Muhammammed Pakpur, 65 00:04:28,640 --> 00:04:36,160 Speaker 1: the Defense Minister Aziz Nasharida Army chief Amadal Hollerin Mussavai. 66 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 1: I'm butchering these and my bad as well as others 67 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:49,800 Speaker 1: like former President Mohammud Ahmadinijad. Initially they said Komani was 68 00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:53,239 Speaker 1: still alive, but then they've come out and they've admitted 69 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:59,839 Speaker 1: that he's done. Now, Provisional Leadership Council has take met 70 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:03,599 Speaker 1: and they believe that the new person in charge is 71 00:05:03,640 --> 00:05:09,120 Speaker 1: the IRGC Brigadier General Ahmad Vahadi as the new commander 72 00:05:09,160 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 1: in chief. Now again, it's critical to understand that Iran 73 00:05:15,279 --> 00:05:20,040 Speaker 1: has broken up really into two factions. There's the religious faction, 74 00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:23,640 Speaker 1: which is the supreme leadership, and then there's the political 75 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:28,159 Speaker 1: and military leadership too, obviously, so there will be a 76 00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:34,159 Speaker 1: new Ayatolo pronounced probably after the forty days of automatic 77 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:38,600 Speaker 1: mourning they put in place, and then they'll continue to 78 00:05:39,960 --> 00:05:43,000 Speaker 1: describe how they're going to replace their command and control. 79 00:05:43,320 --> 00:05:46,400 Speaker 1: This would be much like the same way any of 80 00:05:46,480 --> 00:05:51,240 Speaker 1: the other countries in the region operate. There's a military leader, 81 00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:55,720 Speaker 1: there's a religious leader, just like for us. You know, 82 00:05:55,960 --> 00:06:01,520 Speaker 1: if God forbid one of our leadership structure was assassinated 83 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 1: or killed and strikes we have a natural default setting 84 00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:09,560 Speaker 1: of who rises to power and who takes over. So 85 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:13,240 Speaker 1: you know, just because we took out the head of 86 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 1: the snake, so to speak, doesn't mean that they're going 87 00:06:15,839 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 1: to point new people. All right, You know, some of 88 00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 1: the things that are critical to understand again, and I 89 00:06:23,600 --> 00:06:26,680 Speaker 1: did a show about this last week covering some of 90 00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:30,040 Speaker 1: what's been going on, in particular with the build up 91 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 1: to this, and it's critical to understand that. You know, 92 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: the overall conflict with Iran in US has been going 93 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:43,919 Speaker 1: back to the early nineteen fifties when we helped overthrow 94 00:06:44,000 --> 00:06:51,640 Speaker 1: a socialist government in fifty three, basically instilling a person 95 00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:55,520 Speaker 1: that the Shah, who ended up taking over the Shah's family. 96 00:06:56,640 --> 00:07:00,160 Speaker 1: The end results for the Iranian people wasn't great, ended 97 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 1: up ruling as a fascist dictator. You know what we're 98 00:07:04,040 --> 00:07:07,159 Speaker 1: going to do here is just play that little clip 99 00:07:07,279 --> 00:07:10,119 Speaker 1: was Scott Horton talking about this, if you could. 100 00:07:10,240 --> 00:07:13,840 Speaker 3: Iatola on the plane on the way back to Iran 101 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:17,040 Speaker 3: from Paris, France. Oh yeah, and he's being interviewed by 102 00:07:17,080 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 3: Peter Jennings, who's asking him, so, how do you feel 103 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:21,880 Speaker 3: about your triumphant return to Iran? 104 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:22,280 Speaker 2: Right now? 105 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:24,520 Speaker 3: In this kind of Well, I remember even as a 106 00:07:24,600 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 3: kid wondering, we aren't the French our friends, and why 107 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 3: would they send the iatola back to Iran to inherit 108 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:35,800 Speaker 3: this deadly anti American revolution if that wasn't what America wanted. 109 00:07:36,400 --> 00:07:39,240 Speaker 3: But the answer is that is what America wanted, all right. 110 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:41,840 Speaker 3: In the State Department had advised Jimmy Carter. 111 00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:43,440 Speaker 2: All right. 112 00:07:43,480 --> 00:07:46,720 Speaker 1: He goes on to talk about how the CIA in 113 00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:50,400 Speaker 1: the State Department end up. They were very influential on Carter, 114 00:07:50,560 --> 00:07:54,080 Speaker 1: suggesting that Komaney was a friend of ours, and they 115 00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:59,760 Speaker 1: essentially thought that by allowing him to be installed to 116 00:07:59,840 --> 00:08:03,880 Speaker 1: go and in support the Shah, who was losing favor tremendously, 117 00:08:04,640 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 1: that they could uh basically control this guy, uh and 118 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:13,760 Speaker 1: and and help us. Now, obviously there was a tremendous 119 00:08:13,760 --> 00:08:19,760 Speaker 1: amount of backlash once the Islamic Revolution took place. We 120 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:23,520 Speaker 1: had the hostage crisis. Hostage crisis in Iran, which was 121 00:08:24,120 --> 00:08:26,960 Speaker 1: a crazy fiasco ended up. Many people believe it was 122 00:08:27,000 --> 00:08:31,280 Speaker 1: the downfall of the Carter. Reagan comes in, Uh basically 123 00:08:31,360 --> 00:08:33,480 Speaker 1: says give the hostas his back, or we're gonna bomb 124 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:34,400 Speaker 1: you into tim buck two. 125 00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:35,120 Speaker 2: Uh. 126 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:39,000 Speaker 1: They did after a failed rescue attention, uh during that 127 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:42,600 Speaker 1: time from our special operations. And then you know what 128 00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:45,840 Speaker 1: was interesting in the aftermath of Reagan coming back in, 129 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:49,600 Speaker 1: we had the whole Iran contra scandal take place. Now, 130 00:08:49,760 --> 00:08:53,360 Speaker 1: if you really want a really substantial breakdown of this, uh, 131 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:58,640 Speaker 1: go try and find Scott Horton. He's not he's a libertarian, 132 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 1: just so you know. So he's very anti war and 133 00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:05,280 Speaker 1: his whole breakdown of what's been taking place. He's got 134 00:09:05,280 --> 00:09:10,079 Speaker 1: a great book enough already which talks about our presence 135 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:12,600 Speaker 1: in the Middle East and manipulating the Middle East. A 136 00:09:12,640 --> 00:09:15,080 Speaker 1: lot of people out there want to believe this is 137 00:09:15,120 --> 00:09:20,600 Speaker 1: strictly a result of the influence of Israel, when you 138 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:25,200 Speaker 1: also got to remember we've had very substantial interest in 139 00:09:25,240 --> 00:09:29,040 Speaker 1: the Middle East dating as far back to when oil 140 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:33,079 Speaker 1: was discovered back in the early nineteen hundreds in these regions, 141 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 1: and so this is not a singular thing obviously Israel. 142 00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 1: There's been a lot of mashups prior to going back 143 00:09:43,320 --> 00:09:47,000 Speaker 1: forty years of NET and Yahoo talking about Iran on 144 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:50,839 Speaker 1: the cusp of nuclear weapons two weeks away, five weeks away. 145 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 1: So you'd be pretty naive if you didn't believe that 146 00:09:57,679 --> 00:10:04,840 Speaker 1: any organization any that has a vowed their desire to 147 00:10:04,960 --> 00:10:08,000 Speaker 1: eradicate Israel from the face of the earth and the 148 00:10:08,080 --> 00:10:13,079 Speaker 1: ZIONUS political infrastructure and Jews in general, you know, they 149 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:16,720 Speaker 1: have an existential threat in their backyard. The one interesting 150 00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:21,080 Speaker 1: piece about all of this is, obviously it's widely known 151 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:24,079 Speaker 1: that Israel does have its own nuclear program, they have 152 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:30,800 Speaker 1: since the nineteen sixties, and really getting rid of Iran 153 00:10:31,559 --> 00:10:34,240 Speaker 1: because we've heard in the past Net and Yahoo has said, hey, 154 00:10:34,520 --> 00:10:36,559 Speaker 1: we've got to get rid of these people, to which 155 00:10:36,720 --> 00:10:39,079 Speaker 1: all of these people have been taken down. Now back 156 00:10:39,120 --> 00:10:44,320 Speaker 1: to the United States and our interpretation of what's been 157 00:10:44,360 --> 00:10:48,520 Speaker 1: happening in that country. Right, we were doing the Iran 158 00:10:48,640 --> 00:10:52,840 Speaker 1: Contra deal by you know, supplying weapons to both Iraq 159 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:56,960 Speaker 1: and Iran for regional conflict too. We were so then 160 00:10:57,200 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 1: you know, we could get weapons that were broken by 161 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:03,360 Speaker 1: is to send over to the Sandinistas down to Nicaragua, 162 00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:07,280 Speaker 1: you know. And so we have been heavily integrated into 163 00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:13,080 Speaker 1: Iranian politics, destabilization and political activity for a very long 164 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 1: time now. As a result of that, obviously, Iran has, 165 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 1: especially after the Islamic Revolution, has come back and waged 166 00:11:22,559 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 1: a pretty consistent covert war through proxies against Israeli and 167 00:11:28,640 --> 00:11:31,640 Speaker 1: American interests in the Middle East. There was Lebanon bombing, 168 00:11:31,920 --> 00:11:35,560 Speaker 1: which Trump basically quoted as one of the reasons. He 169 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:38,520 Speaker 1: also quoted they were on the precipice of the nuclear strike. 170 00:11:38,559 --> 00:11:41,200 Speaker 1: Although this past summer, in the Twelve Day War, when 171 00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:44,600 Speaker 1: we went embombed, there was multiple messages that came out 172 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:47,760 Speaker 1: of our Defense Department as well as Trump saying that 173 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:50,559 Speaker 1: we had obliterated their nuclear program an. 174 00:11:50,360 --> 00:11:51,720 Speaker 2: A breakthrough operation. 175 00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:57,680 Speaker 1: Last year, the United States military obliterated Iran's nuclear weapons 176 00:11:57,720 --> 00:11:58,600 Speaker 1: program with an. 177 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:02,840 Speaker 2: Attack on Iradian known as Operation Midnight. 178 00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:07,200 Speaker 1: Hammer, Which is interesting what I talked about last week 179 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:09,720 Speaker 1: in the show I did where I covered this where 180 00:12:10,520 --> 00:12:13,880 Speaker 1: we basically were in these talks again about their nuclear 181 00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:17,520 Speaker 1: enrichment or their Uranian enrichment process, and that we had 182 00:12:17,559 --> 00:12:20,680 Speaker 1: hit that stalement, which was the precipice for what took place. 183 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:24,679 Speaker 2: So the conflict we've had with Iran has been. 184 00:12:26,880 --> 00:12:33,559 Speaker 1: Needless to say, complex since the nineteen fifties and moving forward, 185 00:12:33,559 --> 00:12:35,520 Speaker 1: and I'll talk about hair at the end of that. 186 00:12:35,679 --> 00:12:37,880 Speaker 2: So you know, these strikes. 187 00:12:38,960 --> 00:12:45,840 Speaker 1: Are really been centered around reducing the Iranian capacity one 188 00:12:46,400 --> 00:12:49,800 Speaker 1: to finally get to a nuclear weapon. That's why, you know, 189 00:12:50,160 --> 00:12:54,559 Speaker 1: I believe it really is an existential threat for Israel, 190 00:12:54,679 --> 00:12:57,800 Speaker 1: at least in the region for sure. I think there 191 00:12:57,960 --> 00:13:03,440 Speaker 1: have been many, many of the local Gulf states that 192 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:08,319 Speaker 1: have said Iran proposes proposes a real threat as well. Now, 193 00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:12,440 Speaker 1: if you're not familiar, why that's relevant is because you know, 194 00:13:12,520 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 1: there is a major Shia Sunni divide in the region, 195 00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:19,559 Speaker 1: UH and are are. During the g WATT in Iraq, 196 00:13:19,880 --> 00:13:23,079 Speaker 1: there were a lot of American soldiers that were killed 197 00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:31,439 Speaker 1: both by Sunni radicals Islamis as well as Shiite militias 198 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:37,559 Speaker 1: that had partnered with Muktada Alsader in Solar City. They 199 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:42,400 Speaker 1: were using the IRGC to help them construct different types 200 00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:47,160 Speaker 1: of v bids and i ds that became very more, 201 00:13:47,160 --> 00:13:50,440 Speaker 1: a lot more powerful, which killed a lot of American troops. 202 00:13:51,040 --> 00:13:55,560 Speaker 1: So to think that American fighters are not in a 203 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:58,720 Speaker 1: threat is not exactly true, and they have been in 204 00:13:58,760 --> 00:13:59,240 Speaker 1: a threat. 205 00:13:59,720 --> 00:14:00,120 Speaker 2: Uh. 206 00:14:00,160 --> 00:14:05,040 Speaker 1: There is some reporting that I saw one news source 207 00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:09,360 Speaker 1: that said, you know, forty seven American service members had 208 00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:14,880 Speaker 1: been killed by Iranian proxies HESBLA hamas the different militias 209 00:14:14,920 --> 00:14:19,600 Speaker 1: that we face in Iraq. So that's all very true, right, 210 00:14:21,080 --> 00:14:24,480 Speaker 1: you know, So again, as I go back, this is 211 00:14:24,520 --> 00:14:29,479 Speaker 1: a very complex issue that has a very substantial historical 212 00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:36,960 Speaker 1: provocations from both from all sides, right from all sides, 213 00:14:37,080 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 1: from America, from Israel, from the Gulf States, from Iraq 214 00:14:42,520 --> 00:14:48,800 Speaker 1: to Iran, Hesbla, Lebanon, Syria, Egypt, the Muslim Brotherhood. All 215 00:14:48,840 --> 00:14:53,440 Speaker 1: of this is and that's why as you begin to 216 00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 1: try and decipher how you're going to emotionally feel about 217 00:14:57,680 --> 00:15:02,160 Speaker 1: all of this, it's critical that you really understand the 218 00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:06,640 Speaker 1: infrastructure of the conflict. And it's very, very complex and 219 00:15:06,680 --> 00:15:09,640 Speaker 1: has been going on. As I said, in particular that 220 00:15:09,760 --> 00:15:13,480 Speaker 1: I ran since nineteen fifty three and probably before that 221 00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:17,640 Speaker 1: in terms of our influence in the region, because you know, 222 00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:22,080 Speaker 1: prior to you know, the World War One, these regions 223 00:15:22,080 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 1: were not as defined as you would imagine either, and 224 00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:30,480 Speaker 1: Persian influence in culture the region dates back thousands of 225 00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:36,840 Speaker 1: years too, So you know, I just I just want 226 00:15:36,880 --> 00:15:40,280 Speaker 1: to predicate as you begin to make your emotional decisions 227 00:15:40,320 --> 00:15:43,600 Speaker 1: which way or the other, to give yourself some time 228 00:15:43,680 --> 00:15:50,120 Speaker 1: to understand the true depths of these complexities. All right, Obviously, 229 00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:53,640 Speaker 1: the latest Geneva talks on February twenty eighth fell through, 230 00:15:54,120 --> 00:15:57,440 Speaker 1: and that's when Donald Trump said, all right, we're here 231 00:15:57,480 --> 00:16:01,560 Speaker 1: to defend the American people by eliminating imminent threats. Again, 232 00:16:02,000 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 1: we keep going back to this reality of imminent threats. Now, 233 00:16:05,760 --> 00:16:08,760 Speaker 1: maybe not you sitting in your car listening to this, 234 00:16:09,040 --> 00:16:11,480 Speaker 1: or you know, on your phone at home listening to this, 235 00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 1: but certainly, we have hundreds of bases scattered all around 236 00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:17,680 Speaker 1: the Middle East. 237 00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:20,320 Speaker 2: We have young men and women that are. 238 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 1: Serving over there, and there is a definite potential for 239 00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:29,600 Speaker 1: danger in all of this. All right, The strikes they 240 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:33,800 Speaker 1: began February twenty eighth, shortly after Geneva collapse. They continued 241 00:16:33,840 --> 00:16:39,080 Speaker 1: on to March first with new waves on Tehran. Colemani's 242 00:16:39,080 --> 00:16:42,400 Speaker 1: death was confirmed by Iranian state media on February twenty eight, 243 00:16:42,480 --> 00:16:47,640 Speaker 1: triggering forty days a warning. Right, different, a whole different sleut. Now. 244 00:16:49,120 --> 00:16:51,640 Speaker 1: We talked a little bit before about the military build 245 00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:53,760 Speaker 1: up in the region. As I said, this is the 246 00:16:53,800 --> 00:16:57,760 Speaker 1: biggest build up in the region I had seen since. 247 00:16:59,320 --> 00:17:02,080 Speaker 2: Since the ira War. Build up. 248 00:17:02,920 --> 00:17:07,200 Speaker 1: There's been multiple discussions I think about carrier groups and 249 00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:11,720 Speaker 1: air build up in different bases in Saudi Arabia. 250 00:17:11,840 --> 00:17:15,760 Speaker 2: All over the place, and that's all true. 251 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:20,680 Speaker 1: Now, hundreds of targets are hit with explosions reported across Iran. 252 00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:26,520 Speaker 1: Civilian sites were allegedly struck. The one most dramatic one 253 00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:29,880 Speaker 1: that Iranian TV is suggesting was there was. 254 00:17:29,840 --> 00:17:31,840 Speaker 2: A school that was hit. 255 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:38,199 Speaker 1: And that school originally it was eighty kids, and it 256 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:41,280 Speaker 1: moved to one hundred and fourteen kids, and then now 257 00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:43,560 Speaker 1: the latest I saw was one hundred and forty eight 258 00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:50,239 Speaker 1: kids that were killed in this strike. Again, everything you 259 00:17:50,320 --> 00:17:55,720 Speaker 1: see online you have to malely make sure. This one 260 00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:57,840 Speaker 1: right here is saying at least one hundred and fifty 261 00:17:57,880 --> 00:17:58,600 Speaker 1: three dead. 262 00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:01,720 Speaker 2: And who's who's that report from? Is that AP? 263 00:18:04,280 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 1: This is it was a BBC, BBC, Yeah, BBC I 264 00:18:07,800 --> 00:18:10,920 Speaker 1: wanted Al Jazer was where I first sought, and then 265 00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:13,160 Speaker 1: I looked for a BBC site and there. 266 00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:16,040 Speaker 2: Confirming it as well too. 267 00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:19,800 Speaker 1: Again, for all of you who say, well, nothing's true 268 00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:23,520 Speaker 1: on al Jazer, that's not real, that's not reality. Do 269 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:27,480 Speaker 1: they manipulate their news? Yeah, just like Fox, just like MSNBC, 270 00:18:28,280 --> 00:18:31,040 Speaker 1: just like everybody else. But when you have the videos 271 00:18:31,080 --> 00:18:34,760 Speaker 1: of it, and there's time stance and you have multiple videos, 272 00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:37,080 Speaker 1: that's where I tend to bleed my eyes. 273 00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:39,040 Speaker 2: We do know something was strike. 274 00:18:39,119 --> 00:18:42,719 Speaker 1: There has been multiple videos of kids and body bags 275 00:18:42,720 --> 00:18:45,200 Speaker 1: all banged up. There was a gentleman with a leg 276 00:18:45,680 --> 00:18:51,119 Speaker 1: that he was showed, so obviously now there's more attacks. 277 00:18:51,200 --> 00:18:56,880 Speaker 1: I Ran has then launched its retaliatory strikes. So right 278 00:18:56,920 --> 00:19:01,240 Speaker 1: now what I'm getting as I'm trying trying to consolidate 279 00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:05,280 Speaker 1: all this. US Central Command had put out a post 280 00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:09,879 Speaker 1: today basically saying a lot of what the Iranian regime. 281 00:19:09,600 --> 00:19:10,879 Speaker 2: Was saying was false. 282 00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:14,080 Speaker 1: The biggest one was that one of the aircraft carriers 283 00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:18,400 Speaker 1: was struck, and that turns out that was not true. 284 00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:21,720 Speaker 2: But here's some of the list of what I was 285 00:19:21,760 --> 00:19:22,440 Speaker 2: able to see. 286 00:19:22,480 --> 00:19:25,840 Speaker 1: All right, twenty seven US bases in the Middle East, 287 00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:32,440 Speaker 1: in Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, uae, Jordan, Saudi Arabia were struck. 288 00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:37,040 Speaker 1: In Israel, cities like Tel Aviv and Jerusalem were struck, 289 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:41,639 Speaker 1: all right. Ships and ports, the Jebel Ali and Dubai 290 00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:47,640 Speaker 1: oil tankers. Apparently this is mobile as some Iranian proxies 291 00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:52,040 Speaker 1: and Yemen Iraq they said they were closed the Straits 292 00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:55,880 Speaker 1: of Hormuz, which I'll talk about the economic impact. They're 293 00:19:57,680 --> 00:20:01,440 Speaker 1: halting oil shipments and trapping a one hundred and seventy vessels. 294 00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:06,200 Speaker 2: Now six casualties. The US has. 295 00:20:06,080 --> 00:20:11,520 Speaker 1: Reported now that they have had multiple casualties. Three US 296 00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:14,960 Speaker 1: troops have been killed the first in the conflict, five 297 00:20:15,119 --> 00:20:19,959 Speaker 1: seriously wounded. There say that nine people have been killed 298 00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:24,440 Speaker 1: in Israel, two hundred and one dead and seven hundred 299 00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:27,960 Speaker 1: and forty seven injured in Iran. Deaths and the golfs 300 00:20:28,640 --> 00:20:30,760 Speaker 1: there and some of the other places in Bahrain and 301 00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:33,560 Speaker 1: some of the others now Jordan. If you can show 302 00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:37,040 Speaker 1: some of the impacts in those videos I sent you, 303 00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:46,920 Speaker 1: multiple hotels were struck overseas. That gentleman right there from 304 00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:51,159 Speaker 1: CNN is talking about strikes in Iran, and you can 305 00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:54,840 Speaker 1: see some of the damage in the background. There's another 306 00:20:55,560 --> 00:21:02,080 Speaker 1: the burge and Dubai was struck. You'll be able to 307 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 1: see that. There was another massive explosion, I think, and uh, 308 00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:08,720 Speaker 1: there you go, there's the bergs. You can see the 309 00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:13,680 Speaker 1: bottom portion of it on fire. There were was uh, 310 00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:17,360 Speaker 1: there was another strike that took place near the tallest 311 00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:22,240 Speaker 1: the tallest building, uh, the what is that the berge Khalif. 312 00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:28,960 Speaker 1: Then there was a bunch of other strikes on civilian 313 00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:32,080 Speaker 1: areas as well too. That one right there where does 314 00:21:32,119 --> 00:21:33,919 Speaker 1: it say that one was from Jordan? 315 00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:37,080 Speaker 2: This is yeah, all right. 316 00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:39,320 Speaker 1: So you can see the strike in Bahrain on an 317 00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:46,800 Speaker 1: apartment complex, So it would appear that Iran is sending 318 00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:49,880 Speaker 1: you know, they're they're doing limited strikes back and they're 319 00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:56,840 Speaker 1: attacking military installations, civilian sites, uh city centers, in in 320 00:21:56,840 --> 00:22:04,439 Speaker 1: in Tel Aviv, Jerusalem. So you know, the challenge now 321 00:22:04,840 --> 00:22:11,840 Speaker 1: is really to try and understand, right, what is this 322 00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:13,760 Speaker 1: going to do, what is this going to do to 323 00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:17,439 Speaker 1: the region, what is the outcome? Now I sent you 324 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:25,160 Speaker 1: there's a video of beating at in Yahoo basically talking 325 00:22:25,760 --> 00:22:29,160 Speaker 1: to the Israeli people, talking to the world really and 326 00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:35,360 Speaker 1: in his thoughts he is expressing, hey, listen, people of Iran, 327 00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:43,240 Speaker 1: we've freed you from the disastrous, treacherous terrorist Isototly Komani. 328 00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:48,480 Speaker 1: And now he's trying to influence I think, through whatever 329 00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:54,320 Speaker 1: work they're doing on the ground in Iran to have 330 00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:58,919 Speaker 1: the people rise up. Now that rise up is not 331 00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:03,760 Speaker 1: taking place, Jordie, if you could show the video of 332 00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:09,640 Speaker 1: the large group. I'm not sure which country it is 333 00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:13,320 Speaker 1: or which city in Iran, but there's a large group 334 00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:17,520 Speaker 1: of people out there that are responding accordingly. 335 00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:20,920 Speaker 2: And are protesting the strikes. 336 00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:26,359 Speaker 1: Now that's not a small group of people who are 337 00:23:27,320 --> 00:23:31,200 Speaker 1: basically saying, hey, we stand with the regime, we stand 338 00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:38,399 Speaker 1: with our Islamic leadership, we stand with the IRGC, And 339 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:43,680 Speaker 1: that's significant. Now, there are other reports of people cheering 340 00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:46,840 Speaker 1: in the streets in different countries in Europe, in different 341 00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:50,000 Speaker 1: places around the world. They even showed some video of 342 00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:54,239 Speaker 1: in Iran itself people reacting and probably those who were 343 00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:59,719 Speaker 1: protesting a few months ago. To say, but again, Iran 344 00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:03,840 Speaker 1: is country of ninety four million people. Right, This is 345 00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:08,000 Speaker 1: not the same as Iraq. It's certainly not the same 346 00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:13,399 Speaker 1: as Afghanistan. This is a culture in a region that 347 00:24:14,320 --> 00:24:19,679 Speaker 1: it's like the longest continuous civilization on the planet in 348 00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:24,560 Speaker 1: terms of the Persians and their devotion to Islam. So 349 00:24:25,720 --> 00:24:31,960 Speaker 1: to imagine that somehow, some way, just miraculously, there's gonna 350 00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:36,080 Speaker 1: be this phenomenal uprising, the overthrowing of the government, and 351 00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:40,920 Speaker 1: that's gonna be great, and everything's gonna work out hunky dory, 352 00:24:41,040 --> 00:24:43,679 Speaker 1: and within the next six months we're gonna have democracy 353 00:24:43,680 --> 00:24:44,080 Speaker 1: in Iran. 354 00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:47,560 Speaker 2: I just don't see how that's possible. But I'll talk again. 355 00:24:47,600 --> 00:24:48,399 Speaker 2: At the end. 356 00:24:49,040 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 1: I've got a video here of a CIA case long 357 00:24:53,359 --> 00:24:58,720 Speaker 1: term CIA guy case officer Kerkow, who goes around has 358 00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:01,000 Speaker 1: been on all lot of the pod cast out there, 359 00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:06,480 Speaker 1: and in this interview he's talking about a gentleman who 360 00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:10,320 Speaker 1: is actually the son of the former Shah and what 361 00:25:10,359 --> 00:25:12,920 Speaker 1: they want to do. And I think this is being 362 00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:17,680 Speaker 1: led by people in our government, certain groups in our government, 363 00:25:18,160 --> 00:25:22,120 Speaker 1: within Trump's circle, and definitely by the Israelis that this 364 00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,840 Speaker 1: is the guy who should then go in and take over. 365 00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:27,639 Speaker 1: So if you would just listen to Kirkow and his 366 00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:28,640 Speaker 1: explanation here. 367 00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:34,919 Speaker 4: Now, Raza Pelavi is the son of the Shah of 368 00:25:34,960 --> 00:25:39,200 Speaker 4: Iran who was who was thrown out of Iran in 369 00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:43,000 Speaker 4: early nineteen seventy nine February of nineteen seventy nine, came 370 00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:45,960 Speaker 4: into exile briefly in the United States that led to 371 00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:49,320 Speaker 4: the Iran hostage crisis. Then we forced him out to 372 00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:52,560 Speaker 4: the Bahamas and then to Panama and then to Egypt, 373 00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:56,240 Speaker 4: and he died in Egypt. Raza Pelavi is the son. 374 00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:58,679 Speaker 4: He was a young guy when this happened. He was, 375 00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:02,320 Speaker 4: you know, a teenager. Well now he's in his sixties 376 00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:06,520 Speaker 4: and he's never been to Iran since the nineteen seventies. 377 00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:11,680 Speaker 4: He's also something of a playboy in the Washington area. 378 00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:15,639 Speaker 4: He's not a player in Iranian exile circles, but he 379 00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:18,639 Speaker 4: seems to have a whole lot of money. 380 00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:22,479 Speaker 2: Well. Over the last couple of weeks, several things have happened. 381 00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:25,760 Speaker 4: Number one, the Israeli governments spilled the beans and they 382 00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:28,679 Speaker 4: admitted that they have been financing him. So is he 383 00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:32,240 Speaker 4: a Mosad asset? You bet he's a Mosat asset. Okay, 384 00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:34,400 Speaker 4: Mosat is saying it all right, you know. 385 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:37,600 Speaker 2: I think when you think when you listen to him talk. 386 00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:40,960 Speaker 1: Obviously, this is a guy that supposedly was in the know, 387 00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:44,119 Speaker 1: he had served in the agency for a long time. 388 00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:47,119 Speaker 1: But again, right, we always want to take it with 389 00:26:47,240 --> 00:26:50,840 Speaker 1: a grain of salt. I have not seen the sources 390 00:26:50,840 --> 00:26:54,400 Speaker 1: that he was talking about. Is that Israel has come 391 00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:56,880 Speaker 1: out and say they were helping fund this guy's lifestyle 392 00:26:56,960 --> 00:26:57,760 Speaker 1: or anything like that. 393 00:26:57,800 --> 00:27:00,840 Speaker 2: But it would make sense, right, It would makes sense that. 394 00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:04,080 Speaker 1: If you do have a guy that you have been 395 00:27:04,119 --> 00:27:06,679 Speaker 1: financially supporting and controlling, if you could put him in 396 00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:10,680 Speaker 1: the government of Iran, that would be very beneficial to you. 397 00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:15,720 Speaker 2: So who's going to take over? And why? 398 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:17,840 Speaker 1: Again, I talked about it a little bit in the beginning, 399 00:27:18,200 --> 00:27:22,760 Speaker 1: and I think, you know, again, there are just the 400 00:27:22,840 --> 00:27:25,440 Speaker 1: hierarchy of the food chain of who wants to rise, 401 00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:27,800 Speaker 1: and the power of Iran is no short there's no 402 00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:28,879 Speaker 1: shortage of people. 403 00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:30,720 Speaker 2: Just like in the United States. 404 00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:34,840 Speaker 1: Man, everybody's jockeying for position at all times in every 405 00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:38,159 Speaker 1: way to see how one catastrophe, a piece of or 406 00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:41,480 Speaker 1: chaos can leverage them to move up the food chain. Well, 407 00:27:41,640 --> 00:27:45,520 Speaker 1: guess what, chaos is the greatest opportunity to gain power, 408 00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:49,000 Speaker 1: because when things are nuts. So that's what's taking place, 409 00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:53,040 Speaker 1: all right. You know, as I sat back and I 410 00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:55,960 Speaker 1: and I what I wanted to be able to do. 411 00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:58,680 Speaker 1: And this goes back to, you know, growing up with 412 00:27:58,760 --> 00:28:02,240 Speaker 1: my dad, who's the you know, the you know, five 413 00:28:02,680 --> 00:28:06,240 Speaker 1: decades of lawyer in them and influence on me. One 414 00:28:06,280 --> 00:28:08,359 Speaker 1: thing he always has said, David, when you're unsure, right 415 00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:10,040 Speaker 1: out of pros and cons list. 416 00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:12,480 Speaker 2: And so that's what I've. 417 00:28:12,320 --> 00:28:15,840 Speaker 1: Tried to do, right, And what are the pros and 418 00:28:16,040 --> 00:28:20,960 Speaker 1: cons of the US Israel strikes on Iran? Okay, The 419 00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:27,080 Speaker 1: great pro right now for austin particular, is it establishes 420 00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:31,480 Speaker 1: it's a continuation that establighes us as one. 421 00:28:31,280 --> 00:28:33,560 Speaker 2: Of the true world superpowers. 422 00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:40,760 Speaker 1: Right. It's the fa fo style of diplomacy that seems 423 00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:43,880 Speaker 1: to be at the core of the Trump administration and 424 00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:47,480 Speaker 1: how we want to wield that power. Right, very overt 425 00:28:47,640 --> 00:28:52,400 Speaker 1: limited strikes that change the course of power, the power 426 00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:57,320 Speaker 1: hierarchy in different places, and then basically take a step back, 427 00:28:57,360 --> 00:29:01,320 Speaker 1: See what happens. Strike, Take a step back, See what happens, strike, 428 00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:05,480 Speaker 1: Take a step now. This pretty much for any other 429 00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:08,760 Speaker 1: country in the world other than Russia and China, has 430 00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:13,080 Speaker 1: got to be a pretty destabilizing reality, right, in particular 431 00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:16,800 Speaker 1: for Iran. Right now they're they're they're taking the biggest heavies. 432 00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:19,880 Speaker 1: But we're also seeing, you know, a restructure of power 433 00:29:19,880 --> 00:29:24,120 Speaker 1: in Central South America all over the place. So I 434 00:29:24,160 --> 00:29:27,120 Speaker 1: think in terms of the pros it continues to establish, 435 00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:29,719 Speaker 1: it continues to put people on their back heels, our 436 00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:33,120 Speaker 1: political allies, our political enemies. 437 00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:36,720 Speaker 2: No shit, people are afraid of Donald J. 438 00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:40,280 Speaker 1: Trump, Right, this guy will it is not hesitant to 439 00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:46,000 Speaker 1: use the world's leading military powers at any dropper intelligence 440 00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:47,840 Speaker 1: powers at the at the drop of a hat. 441 00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:49,560 Speaker 2: Right, And it's not a drop of the hat. That's 442 00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:50,400 Speaker 2: an overestimation. 443 00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:55,680 Speaker 1: These are the result of a long term developing strategy. 444 00:29:55,880 --> 00:29:59,240 Speaker 1: I think that just morphs from one political party to 445 00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:02,440 Speaker 1: the next, and how it takes place. I mean pretty 446 00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:04,440 Speaker 1: much everybody's trying to figure out how to deal with 447 00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:08,840 Speaker 1: Iran for very long periods of time, in particular since 448 00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:09,720 Speaker 1: seventy nine. 449 00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:12,920 Speaker 2: All Right, So the other. 450 00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:17,000 Speaker 1: Big thing I think it benefits for the pros are 451 00:30:17,400 --> 00:30:21,840 Speaker 1: it really degrades i Iran's influence in the region in 452 00:30:21,920 --> 00:30:27,600 Speaker 1: terms of their proxies with Hesbla, Hamas the Houthi's it 453 00:30:27,720 --> 00:30:31,720 Speaker 1: really I think, especially now that they're attacking other Gulf states, 454 00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:36,680 Speaker 1: it can kind of drive these Gulf states into a 455 00:30:36,840 --> 00:30:43,600 Speaker 1: greater symbiotic relationship that says basically, hey, we don't like Iran, 456 00:30:43,720 --> 00:30:46,360 Speaker 1: we don't like what they're doing. This is great for us, 457 00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:51,800 Speaker 1: and that can consolidate our ability to utilize their bases 458 00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:54,840 Speaker 1: in order to launch continued strikes the others. And I 459 00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:58,680 Speaker 1: saw just recently the Prime Minister of Germany come out 460 00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:02,600 Speaker 1: and basically say, hey, Tehran, stop doing what you're doing. So, 461 00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:06,880 Speaker 1: as we've noted over the last several months, the European 462 00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:10,000 Speaker 1: Union has pretty been anti Trump at a high level 463 00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:14,160 Speaker 1: and so the ability to see the reality of seeing 464 00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:17,520 Speaker 1: the German chancellor come out and say, hey, Tehran, stop 465 00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:21,000 Speaker 1: what you're doing. It. Lets me know, hey man, this 466 00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:23,080 Speaker 1: is a different game, this is a different guy. We 467 00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:25,600 Speaker 1: got to kind of do our loose support of it now. 468 00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:29,600 Speaker 1: Keir Starmer's response was interesting. He basically was saying, and 469 00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:31,800 Speaker 1: we need to stop a loss of life. This needs 470 00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:35,520 Speaker 1: to end quickly. And if I had, you know, forty 471 00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:39,760 Speaker 1: million Muslims in my country, I think I'd say something 472 00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:42,400 Speaker 1: along those lines too. I don't think it's forty million there, 473 00:31:42,400 --> 00:31:45,600 Speaker 1: but it's certainly forty million in Europe for sure. Look 474 00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:47,680 Speaker 1: up how many Muslims are in England right there? I 475 00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:48,880 Speaker 1: saw this stat the other day. 476 00:31:48,880 --> 00:31:49,240 Speaker 2: All right. 477 00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:55,160 Speaker 1: The other you know, is it definitely affects in a 478 00:31:55,200 --> 00:32:00,960 Speaker 1: positive way Israel. With Israel, Israel's desigre to want to 479 00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:05,640 Speaker 1: have total control over the glow of the regional hegemony. 480 00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:09,440 Speaker 1: I think it definitely puts Israel in the driver's seat. 481 00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:11,440 Speaker 1: You got that number, what is it? 482 00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:14,680 Speaker 5: According to the most recent official census data from twenty 483 00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,160 Speaker 5: oh This is from twenty twenty one. This is probably 484 00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:20,680 Speaker 5: more about three point eight million people in England identify 485 00:32:20,680 --> 00:32:23,040 Speaker 5: as Muslim which is roughly six point seven of England 486 00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:24,400 Speaker 5: percent of English population. 487 00:32:25,080 --> 00:32:28,280 Speaker 2: So I'm guessing you got to hit what ten by now, Yeah, 488 00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:30,360 Speaker 2: somewhere around n When was those dates? 489 00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:33,960 Speaker 1: Twenty one twenty one dates, Yeah, twenty twenty one are yeah, 490 00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:35,640 Speaker 1: And so they had a massive flood in the last 491 00:32:35,680 --> 00:32:38,600 Speaker 1: four years for sure. So you go ten in England, 492 00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:41,960 Speaker 1: ten in in France too. You know, you add those, 493 00:32:42,040 --> 00:32:45,600 Speaker 1: it's like forty million Muslims in the European Union, which 494 00:32:45,680 --> 00:32:49,440 Speaker 1: could cause have profound impacts. So you know, it's interesting 495 00:32:49,520 --> 00:32:54,720 Speaker 1: to see, all right, and so Israel will definitely have 496 00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:59,800 Speaker 1: a greater leverage, if you will, in the region as 497 00:32:59,800 --> 00:33:08,440 Speaker 1: a result of impeding Iran's military capabilities and in particular 498 00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:14,080 Speaker 1: nuclear capabilities. We definitely a nuclear weapon Iran is not 499 00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:16,280 Speaker 1: a good thing. And again let me repeat that again. 500 00:33:16,360 --> 00:33:19,880 Speaker 1: I am not a fan of Iran having in nuclear weapons. 501 00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:22,200 Speaker 1: I'm not a fan of really anybody other than the 502 00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:28,520 Speaker 1: major powers having them. But again, you know, it's nuclear 503 00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:32,040 Speaker 1: power is inevitable. It's going to continue to come, it's 504 00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:33,720 Speaker 1: going to continue to grow, and it's going to continue to. 505 00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:37,600 Speaker 2: Be a problem. All right, what were the cons? All right? 506 00:33:38,200 --> 00:33:41,440 Speaker 1: For me, the greatest cons to this is the destabilization 507 00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:45,760 Speaker 1: of Iran. Again, as I said, it's ninety million plus people. 508 00:33:46,200 --> 00:33:49,840 Speaker 1: These are people that are deeply Persian, They're deeply loyal 509 00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:54,200 Speaker 1: to each other, they're regions, and so a breakdown of 510 00:33:54,360 --> 00:34:01,560 Speaker 1: that region in a civil war or even to intensify 511 00:34:01,640 --> 00:34:06,960 Speaker 1: their desire to go support, you know, whatever emerges out 512 00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:11,520 Speaker 1: of what's taking place, I think for you to believe 513 00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:16,560 Speaker 1: that there's more people in Iran that support this, you know, 514 00:34:16,680 --> 00:34:19,879 Speaker 1: toppling the regime than do I don't think you're being 515 00:34:19,920 --> 00:34:24,960 Speaker 1: honest with yourself. I've never seen that. I know Patrick Bette. 516 00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:28,279 Speaker 1: David is saying that going on TV, like, you know, 517 00:34:28,840 --> 00:34:32,719 Speaker 1: really hammering this home, that eighty percent of the Iranian 518 00:34:32,800 --> 00:34:35,879 Speaker 1: people don't want a Supreme Ayatola, they want to get 519 00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:40,279 Speaker 1: rid of it. I don't know where he comes up 520 00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:42,840 Speaker 1: with that number. I don't know why, but again he 521 00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:46,480 Speaker 1: is Iranian. They left Iran back in the day, so 522 00:34:47,200 --> 00:34:49,719 Speaker 1: you know, maybe he's got inside track, maybe done, but 523 00:34:49,880 --> 00:34:53,280 Speaker 1: eighty percent is a high number. That seems kind of fishy, 524 00:34:53,400 --> 00:34:56,439 Speaker 1: like what they told us about Iraq as well too. 525 00:34:56,560 --> 00:34:59,000 Speaker 1: As soon as we get rid of Saddam, the whole 526 00:34:59,040 --> 00:35:02,960 Speaker 1: country will you know, rise up in support of democracy 527 00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:06,840 Speaker 1: whatever the fuck turned out there, right, And this again 528 00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:09,960 Speaker 1: is a bigger context for me in particular as the 529 00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:14,600 Speaker 1: con we've done, this regime change that I was a 530 00:35:14,640 --> 00:35:19,240 Speaker 1: part of for the last you know, twenty plus years, 531 00:35:20,280 --> 00:35:23,320 Speaker 1: and what were the results of all these things? Now, 532 00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:25,920 Speaker 1: I think we're gonna Jordan and I were talking about 533 00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:30,600 Speaker 1: doing a show on the aftermath of regime change taking place, 534 00:35:30,719 --> 00:35:33,239 Speaker 1: you know, maybe the last sixty or seventy years, and 535 00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:37,879 Speaker 1: what the outcomes, how they affected everybody, because we one 536 00:35:37,960 --> 00:35:42,080 Speaker 1: hundred percent know that Iraq and Afghanistan were not a 537 00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:45,160 Speaker 1: positive net gain for the United States of America. 538 00:35:45,960 --> 00:35:48,000 Speaker 2: Certainly it was for. 539 00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:54,520 Speaker 1: You know, obviously the military industrial complex with eight trillion 540 00:35:54,600 --> 00:36:01,120 Speaker 1: dollars spent. Certainly I think broke regional group in certain 541 00:36:01,120 --> 00:36:04,480 Speaker 1: political groups in the region benefited from the destabilization of 542 00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:08,759 Speaker 1: those countries, for sure. But it did not benefit me, 543 00:36:09,200 --> 00:36:11,600 Speaker 1: my friends, their families, and. 544 00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:13,600 Speaker 2: Our budget crisis, all right. 545 00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:17,839 Speaker 1: And you got to imagine too that these people who 546 00:36:17,880 --> 00:36:21,680 Speaker 1: are surviving that are in these the IRGC that are 547 00:36:22,160 --> 00:36:27,040 Speaker 1: part of this Islamic fanaticism, They're not just going to 548 00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:29,960 Speaker 1: be all of a sudden like, oh, it's over. We 549 00:36:30,040 --> 00:36:33,160 Speaker 1: need to convert or conform, We need to get in line. 550 00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:36,719 Speaker 1: I think what you have is you potentially have a 551 00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:43,880 Speaker 1: much worse reaction than bin Laden and the Sunni reaction. 552 00:36:45,160 --> 00:36:48,839 Speaker 1: I think Persians are much more diversified in their intelligence 553 00:36:48,880 --> 00:36:52,520 Speaker 1: networks around the world. I think there's many more sleeper 554 00:36:52,640 --> 00:36:56,480 Speaker 1: cells all over the world, in Europe and the United 555 00:36:56,480 --> 00:37:03,840 Speaker 1: States for sure. In fact, just yesterday tragically in Austin, Texas. 556 00:37:04,080 --> 00:37:06,080 Speaker 1: And if you could pull up that that video for 557 00:37:06,239 --> 00:37:11,960 Speaker 1: me there Jeordie in Austin, a beer a famous bar 558 00:37:12,000 --> 00:37:26,000 Speaker 1: and beer garden, was shot up by a person, Okay. 559 00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:30,640 Speaker 1: And then there's another video I sent you of of 560 00:37:31,160 --> 00:37:48,520 Speaker 1: some woman doing CPR in the bar. Okay, So there 561 00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:51,880 Speaker 1: you see you know the effects. There were three people 562 00:37:51,960 --> 00:37:55,200 Speaker 1: killed in fourteen that were injured. And the early reports 563 00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:59,759 Speaker 1: is this guy was in Islamist of some kind. We 564 00:37:59,800 --> 00:38:03,399 Speaker 1: don't don't know much about his background quite yet. By 565 00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:05,640 Speaker 1: the time you see this, there'll be a ton of information. 566 00:38:05,680 --> 00:38:07,680 Speaker 1: There's a report he had a Quran. He was wearing 567 00:38:07,719 --> 00:38:13,080 Speaker 1: a sweatshirt for alla. You know that this guy, so again, 568 00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:17,560 Speaker 1: you know that's is it a Hesbaalah cell? 569 00:38:17,719 --> 00:38:20,120 Speaker 2: Is it a hamas Cell. We don't know. 570 00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:23,440 Speaker 1: But what we do know as someone was so angered 571 00:38:23,440 --> 00:38:25,879 Speaker 1: by the strikes that he went up to a bar 572 00:38:25,960 --> 00:38:28,799 Speaker 1: and he started shooting up the place. Now, if you're 573 00:38:28,880 --> 00:38:32,200 Speaker 1: familiar with Sarah Adams, maybe we'll have her on back 574 00:38:32,239 --> 00:38:34,239 Speaker 1: here in the next week or two to discuss all this. 575 00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:38,239 Speaker 1: You know, she's been predicting these types of attacks. Now, 576 00:38:38,360 --> 00:38:40,680 Speaker 1: is this the size of an October seventh attack she's 577 00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:42,960 Speaker 1: talking about? This seems like a gut reaction to this, 578 00:38:43,520 --> 00:38:46,440 Speaker 1: But again, this is what we're going to start to face, 579 00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:47,960 Speaker 1: and this is going to take place in a lot 580 00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:48,840 Speaker 1: of different places. 581 00:38:49,040 --> 00:38:50,000 Speaker 2: So I think that's the. 582 00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:55,080 Speaker 1: Epitome of the cons right, the power vacuum, the vengeance, 583 00:38:55,640 --> 00:38:59,000 Speaker 1: the destabilization of the region, and then you know what 584 00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:01,880 Speaker 1: who takes over and how radical will they be in 585 00:39:01,920 --> 00:39:08,080 Speaker 1: the future? All right, global economic stability versus interm stability. 586 00:39:10,000 --> 00:39:13,640 Speaker 1: You know, I think there's an initial surge of exporters 587 00:39:13,640 --> 00:39:18,279 Speaker 1: with oil, but obviously there's also reports that there's going 588 00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:21,400 Speaker 1: to be a twenty percent increase in oil. We're not 589 00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:23,839 Speaker 1: really sure what's going to take place. We did see 590 00:39:23,840 --> 00:39:25,560 Speaker 1: that they're trying to shut down the straits of her 591 00:39:25,600 --> 00:39:29,000 Speaker 1: moves so it's yet to be seen how that well 592 00:39:29,040 --> 00:39:31,960 Speaker 1: that will if oil goes up twenty percent. This is 593 00:39:32,080 --> 00:39:37,440 Speaker 1: Trump's crowning thing in his economic ability, besides the you know, 594 00:39:37,480 --> 00:39:40,200 Speaker 1: fifty five to fifty thousand stock marketer. 595 00:39:41,160 --> 00:39:44,359 Speaker 2: You know the markets. 596 00:39:43,080 --> 00:39:47,440 Speaker 1: Dows fifty thousand, so you know, that could really affect 597 00:39:47,640 --> 00:39:51,359 Speaker 1: the economic impat on Americans as well as making them 598 00:39:51,400 --> 00:39:56,480 Speaker 1: more danger Stock markets have seemed to be affected by this. 599 00:39:56,680 --> 00:40:00,960 Speaker 1: We'll see as international trade opens up to early this 600 00:40:01,040 --> 00:40:04,080 Speaker 1: morning and what it looks like next week. 601 00:40:04,160 --> 00:40:04,520 Speaker 2: All right. 602 00:40:04,640 --> 00:40:07,960 Speaker 1: The other aspect of this is, in my opinion, is 603 00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:12,480 Speaker 1: really that it's going to essentially really have a negative 604 00:40:12,480 --> 00:40:15,840 Speaker 1: impact on the UN Security Council. And once again, now 605 00:40:16,160 --> 00:40:19,719 Speaker 1: if you believe Trump, Trump has essentially pulled out of 606 00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:23,959 Speaker 1: all the climate accords, the w h oh, He's talked 607 00:40:24,000 --> 00:40:25,120 Speaker 1: about pulling out a NATO. 608 00:40:26,239 --> 00:40:26,920 Speaker 2: You know this. 609 00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:30,720 Speaker 1: The UN Security Council is already coming out and saying 610 00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:31,760 Speaker 1: this is not great. 611 00:40:31,840 --> 00:40:36,799 Speaker 2: We need to do this. Uh, you know this. 612 00:40:36,920 --> 00:40:40,680 Speaker 1: They talk about the exposure of hypocrisies, right, debates reveal 613 00:40:40,719 --> 00:40:45,800 Speaker 1: inconsistencies condemning you and u n's at the US's actions. 614 00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:47,880 Speaker 2: But not Iran's, you know. 615 00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:50,880 Speaker 1: And then There's also the interesting reality that if this 616 00:40:50,960 --> 00:40:55,160 Speaker 1: is really about nuclear power, does the UN Security Council 617 00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:57,120 Speaker 1: come back and say, all right, well, now we need 618 00:40:57,280 --> 00:41:01,800 Speaker 1: Israel UH to have there to fully disclose their nuclear 619 00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:06,040 Speaker 1: program if this is about nuclear instability in the region, right, 620 00:41:06,080 --> 00:41:08,680 Speaker 1: and how's that going to affect them? Obviously, it's going 621 00:41:08,719 --> 00:41:11,840 Speaker 1: to be interesting to see how China reacts, Russia reacts, 622 00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:14,520 Speaker 1: some of these other groups in the UN Security Council 623 00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:17,279 Speaker 1: and what takes place, because in my opinion, I think 624 00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:19,759 Speaker 1: this is going to give Trump the perfect opportunity to 625 00:41:19,800 --> 00:41:23,239 Speaker 1: be like, hey, UN right here, we're out where we're 626 00:41:23,280 --> 00:41:25,600 Speaker 1: not going to listen to you or not. And when 627 00:41:25,640 --> 00:41:27,720 Speaker 1: you look at the UN and some of the things 628 00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:30,839 Speaker 1: that have come down, it's really seems kind of ineffectual 629 00:41:30,920 --> 00:41:31,360 Speaker 1: as it is. 630 00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:33,799 Speaker 2: Anyways, all right, the. 631 00:41:33,800 --> 00:41:37,440 Speaker 1: Cons another big con about this geopolitically, this is obviously 632 00:41:37,440 --> 00:41:40,520 Speaker 1: gonna you know, piss Russian China off. In particular China, 633 00:41:40,920 --> 00:41:43,279 Speaker 1: there's reports that they get about eighty percent of their 634 00:41:43,280 --> 00:41:46,800 Speaker 1: petroleum from Iran, so that's going to have an impact 635 00:41:46,920 --> 00:41:51,479 Speaker 1: on them, you know, So it'll be interesting to see 636 00:41:51,480 --> 00:41:54,799 Speaker 1: what takes place. Now the big ones, these are the 637 00:41:54,800 --> 00:41:59,600 Speaker 1: big ones. What are the domestic ramifications for our political 638 00:41:59,640 --> 00:42:01,480 Speaker 1: system with Donald J. 639 00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:04,360 Speaker 2: Trump and his his troops. 640 00:42:04,400 --> 00:42:08,239 Speaker 1: Now, obviously, if you're on X like i am, there's 641 00:42:08,320 --> 00:42:12,759 Speaker 1: been this massive uh reaching out right, good get rid 642 00:42:12,760 --> 00:42:15,840 Speaker 1: of this terrible regime. You know, they were they wanted 643 00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:18,680 Speaker 1: to kill Americans. They chanted death to America. They were 644 00:42:18,719 --> 00:42:20,920 Speaker 1: actively in cumps, they wanted to If you listen to 645 00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:24,080 Speaker 1: Mark Levine, he basically the other day was saying they 646 00:42:24,120 --> 00:42:27,800 Speaker 1: have nuclear tipped intercontinental blistlers that are going to strike America. 647 00:42:28,480 --> 00:42:30,759 Speaker 1: I don't know how accurate that is, but that's what 648 00:42:30,840 --> 00:42:33,520 Speaker 1: he's saying. And he has some pretty good inside baseball 649 00:42:33,560 --> 00:42:36,040 Speaker 1: because he's you know, we saw him recently next to 650 00:42:36,040 --> 00:42:38,280 Speaker 1: Trump on a multipitude of levels. 651 00:42:38,360 --> 00:42:38,680 Speaker 2: All Right. 652 00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:44,000 Speaker 1: The other problem with with this is I think the 653 00:42:44,040 --> 00:42:47,640 Speaker 1: biggest political reaction on the other side is Trump promised 654 00:42:47,640 --> 00:42:51,160 Speaker 1: no new wars, and although this doesn't seem like a 655 00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:55,160 Speaker 1: war but a more of a strategic conflict, the outcry 656 00:42:55,480 --> 00:42:59,680 Speaker 1: of no new wars was profound. You know, there's a 657 00:42:59,680 --> 00:43:03,640 Speaker 1: lot of people saying that Israel is running our foreign policy. 658 00:43:04,200 --> 00:43:05,080 Speaker 2: I don't believe that. 659 00:43:05,360 --> 00:43:08,799 Speaker 1: I think Trump knows what he's trying to do in 660 00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:12,719 Speaker 1: terms of his overall power on this and what his outcomes. 661 00:43:13,080 --> 00:43:18,360 Speaker 1: But obviously there's definitely influence in some capacity with Israel. Otherwise, 662 00:43:19,040 --> 00:43:23,239 Speaker 1: you know, he wouldn't potentially justify the split of his 663 00:43:23,400 --> 00:43:25,960 Speaker 1: base which really got on board. Now, a lot of 664 00:43:25,960 --> 00:43:28,680 Speaker 1: people are saying, screw all those people are crying wolf 665 00:43:28,960 --> 00:43:32,560 Speaker 1: because they were libertarians. They were you know, blue dog 666 00:43:32,640 --> 00:43:37,160 Speaker 1: democrats that were sick of the censorship in the transcender ideology, 667 00:43:37,200 --> 00:43:39,040 Speaker 1: so they weren't really with us anyways. 668 00:43:39,560 --> 00:43:40,520 Speaker 2: And then all these. 669 00:43:40,360 --> 00:43:44,160 Speaker 1: Other people right here of this group, like, they're actually 670 00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:47,120 Speaker 1: Nazis and crazies and they're not a part of us. 671 00:43:47,120 --> 00:43:50,120 Speaker 1: They're you know, they're you know, whether it's Tucker MTG 672 00:43:50,960 --> 00:43:54,239 Speaker 1: or Thomas Massey, Ran Paul, whatever it is, they're not 673 00:43:54,360 --> 00:43:56,560 Speaker 1: true mag of people, and we should, you know, we 674 00:43:56,560 --> 00:43:57,640 Speaker 1: should exile them. 675 00:43:57,719 --> 00:43:58,279 Speaker 2: As it is. 676 00:43:58,400 --> 00:44:02,120 Speaker 1: Well, those people have a lot of influence in the magabase, 677 00:44:02,200 --> 00:44:04,680 Speaker 1: they really do. They were there with Trump from the beginning. 678 00:44:05,040 --> 00:44:08,560 Speaker 1: Tucker Carlson campaigned with him. So if you think that 679 00:44:09,120 --> 00:44:12,759 Speaker 1: his audience is gonna just bend over and and and 680 00:44:12,880 --> 00:44:16,600 Speaker 1: get on board with a new engagement in Iran, then 681 00:44:16,640 --> 00:44:20,200 Speaker 1: you're solely mistaken. You know, the other thing that we 682 00:44:20,239 --> 00:44:24,920 Speaker 1: saw today is we've seen a lot of people Representative 683 00:44:25,000 --> 00:44:27,120 Speaker 1: Mullins or I think he's at the UN now, and 684 00:44:27,600 --> 00:44:30,600 Speaker 1: a lot of Senators and Congressmen who are coming out 685 00:44:30,640 --> 00:44:34,560 Speaker 1: and saying, you know, hey, we grieve for the families 686 00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:38,640 Speaker 1: of those killed overseas, we support you, and you know 687 00:44:38,680 --> 00:44:41,640 Speaker 1: you even have the let's all rally behind our dead 688 00:44:41,719 --> 00:44:46,360 Speaker 1: service members. But again that's a slippery slope, I'm telling you. 689 00:44:46,640 --> 00:44:48,239 Speaker 1: Is it that's necessary? That? 690 00:44:50,360 --> 00:44:50,560 Speaker 2: You know? 691 00:44:50,680 --> 00:44:52,400 Speaker 1: I think what it all kind of falls back to 692 00:44:52,600 --> 00:44:56,200 Speaker 1: is what is what is the plan? And is the 693 00:44:56,239 --> 00:45:01,400 Speaker 1: plan gonna benefit stability in the region? Is the plan 694 00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:06,400 Speaker 1: going to benefit stability for us politically? Is the is 695 00:45:06,440 --> 00:45:12,640 Speaker 1: the targeting? Is it gonna increase our security profile for 696 00:45:12,760 --> 00:45:15,279 Speaker 1: Americans around the world and at home? Is it going 697 00:45:15,360 --> 00:45:18,120 Speaker 1: to increase the security for our bases around the world. 698 00:45:18,360 --> 00:45:21,640 Speaker 1: Is it going to increase the security for those young 699 00:45:21,680 --> 00:45:23,400 Speaker 1: men and women that are on those ships and in 700 00:45:23,520 --> 00:45:27,520 Speaker 1: those planes and uh and all those engagements. And the 701 00:45:28,040 --> 00:45:32,160 Speaker 1: reality is no, it doesn't mountain. You can talk to 702 00:45:32,200 --> 00:45:34,319 Speaker 1: you till you're blue in the face that this is 703 00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:38,520 Speaker 1: a long term positive reaction to get rid of the 704 00:45:38,520 --> 00:45:41,680 Speaker 1: Ayatola comane and take out the regime, and you can 705 00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:45,040 Speaker 1: keep telling yourself, but the same two things can be true, 706 00:45:45,080 --> 00:45:48,600 Speaker 1: which is, uh, yeah, it might be good to knock 707 00:45:48,640 --> 00:45:51,840 Speaker 1: down their ability to get nuclear weapons, but it's also 708 00:45:51,960 --> 00:45:57,400 Speaker 1: gonna enrage and create more people that hate the United 709 00:45:57,400 --> 00:46:00,520 Speaker 1: States and more people that want to attack our way 710 00:46:00,560 --> 00:46:01,040 Speaker 1: of life. 711 00:46:01,640 --> 00:46:02,480 Speaker 2: That's the way it is. 712 00:46:03,040 --> 00:46:05,880 Speaker 1: Just like you look at Iraq, Did Iraq get more 713 00:46:07,040 --> 00:46:10,279 Speaker 1: in terms of in line for US in America? Did 714 00:46:10,560 --> 00:46:13,000 Speaker 1: Afghanistan is Afghanistan with US? 715 00:46:13,080 --> 00:46:13,239 Speaker 3: Hell? 716 00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:15,479 Speaker 2: No, They're in a war with Pakistan right now. 717 00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:20,120 Speaker 1: And speaking of that, the other residual effects we've already seen. 718 00:46:20,440 --> 00:46:23,600 Speaker 1: There were attacks in Pakistani in the consulates and a 719 00:46:23,640 --> 00:46:27,120 Speaker 1: couple of the consulates. There were attacks in Iraq against 720 00:46:27,120 --> 00:46:30,400 Speaker 1: the consulates too. So if you think like it's just 721 00:46:30,480 --> 00:46:34,080 Speaker 1: going to go away and there aren't people State Department personnel, 722 00:46:34,120 --> 00:46:38,680 Speaker 1: intelligence personnel, families that live out in town in housing, 723 00:46:39,040 --> 00:46:41,440 Speaker 1: if you don't think that all of them are under 724 00:46:41,640 --> 00:46:46,000 Speaker 1: heightened threat to be killed, capture, beheaded on television as 725 00:46:46,040 --> 00:46:48,480 Speaker 1: a result of this, then you're naive and you're not 726 00:46:48,600 --> 00:46:51,719 Speaker 1: being honest with yourself. And so what I want to 727 00:46:51,800 --> 00:46:56,160 Speaker 1: hear is a distinct strategic reality that they believe is 728 00:46:56,200 --> 00:47:01,360 Speaker 1: going to take place after this. But again, from what 729 00:47:01,440 --> 00:47:05,680 Speaker 1: I've witnessed in my own obsession with geopolitics for the 730 00:47:05,760 --> 00:47:11,879 Speaker 1: last thirty years, and my own active participation in those 731 00:47:11,920 --> 00:47:16,040 Speaker 1: geopolitics and the teams, Blackwater and the Agency, and then 732 00:47:16,280 --> 00:47:20,320 Speaker 1: the impact that it's had on my dead friends, their families, 733 00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:25,320 Speaker 1: their wives, their children, the track record is not great. 734 00:47:25,800 --> 00:47:28,760 Speaker 1: So I'm praying we got a great plan. I'm praying 735 00:47:28,800 --> 00:47:31,839 Speaker 1: the President understands how to handle this in the next 736 00:47:31,880 --> 00:47:34,920 Speaker 1: coming weeks and days. I'm praying it doesn't escalate in 737 00:47:34,960 --> 00:47:39,279 Speaker 1: a full mail, full scale major war. But that's yet 738 00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:42,520 Speaker 1: to be seen, all right, So if you enjoy this, 739 00:47:42,760 --> 00:47:46,760 Speaker 1: please like, share, leave a comment, share it with your friends, 740 00:47:46,760 --> 00:47:50,920 Speaker 1: share it online. Check out us on x and TikTok 741 00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:54,000 Speaker 1: and Instagram. We're there at the David Rutherford Show. On 742 00:47:54,120 --> 00:47:55,680 Speaker 1: ex It's at de Rutherford Show. 743 00:47:55,800 --> 00:47:56,239 Speaker 2: Follow me. 744 00:47:56,360 --> 00:48:00,000 Speaker 1: I've been posting a lot on X at Team Frog Lodge, 745 00:48:00,360 --> 00:48:04,479 Speaker 1: on on the gram at Team frog Logic and go 746 00:48:04,760 --> 00:48:07,680 Speaker 1: uh follow us and share it with other people. Again, 747 00:48:07,760 --> 00:48:11,440 Speaker 1: our main objective for you, our mission is to contextualize 748 00:48:11,880 --> 00:48:15,320 Speaker 1: the massive amount of information and complexity of this situation 749 00:48:15,480 --> 00:48:19,320 Speaker 1: so that you can have a better understanding to to 750 00:48:19,520 --> 00:48:23,160 Speaker 1: conjure up an opinion that's built on the totality of 751 00:48:23,200 --> 00:48:26,840 Speaker 1: the situation and not just on your favorite ship poster 752 00:48:27,000 --> 00:48:30,120 Speaker 1: on X. All right, now, before we we check out, 753 00:48:30,360 --> 00:48:32,920 Speaker 1: I just want to some great memes are coming out 754 00:48:32,960 --> 00:48:36,239 Speaker 1: of this. The first one I want to show is phenomenal. 755 00:48:36,280 --> 00:48:39,600 Speaker 1: It's the President uh in his new band, pull that 756 00:48:39,719 --> 00:48:41,840 Speaker 1: up for his Jordy this. I saw this and I 757 00:48:41,920 --> 00:48:44,280 Speaker 1: literally fell out of my chair. Okay, play this, sucker. 758 00:48:44,480 --> 00:48:47,040 Speaker 2: We got to have a little bit of humor in 759 00:48:47,160 --> 00:48:51,319 Speaker 2: things in times like this. Absolutely, go ahead, you like 760 00:48:51,400 --> 00:48:52,319 Speaker 2: I'm getting. 761 00:48:54,120 --> 00:49:00,320 Speaker 3: This is I cart Warnum, legions, legends. 762 00:49:03,239 --> 00:49:04,399 Speaker 4: An so far? 763 00:49:11,920 --> 00:49:14,040 Speaker 1: All right? All right, all right, so if you can 764 00:49:14,160 --> 00:49:16,279 Speaker 1: get If you can't laugh at that, man, you you 765 00:49:16,400 --> 00:49:17,680 Speaker 1: got no sense of humor. 766 00:49:18,000 --> 00:49:20,759 Speaker 2: Obviously in dark times we need dark humor to lift 767 00:49:20,840 --> 00:49:22,800 Speaker 2: this up. All right, all right. The other one is 768 00:49:22,880 --> 00:49:25,160 Speaker 2: this is awesome and God bless the JD. 769 00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:27,920 Speaker 1: Vans memes are some of my FA favorite So pull 770 00:49:28,040 --> 00:49:30,880 Speaker 1: up this little AI clip right here that's someone produced 771 00:49:30,960 --> 00:49:32,399 Speaker 1: of of JD. 772 00:49:32,600 --> 00:49:50,360 Speaker 2: This is phenomenal. To Holy County, He's ready. 773 00:49:55,200 --> 00:50:00,440 Speaker 1: The music again, you know, a little dark hue with 774 00:50:00,600 --> 00:50:02,680 Speaker 1: the magnitude of craziness that's going. 775 00:50:02,600 --> 00:50:06,120 Speaker 2: On in the world, and you know, just at the end, 776 00:50:06,320 --> 00:50:08,359 Speaker 2: you know, just pray. 777 00:50:08,760 --> 00:50:10,200 Speaker 1: I guess this is the best thing you can do. 778 00:50:10,400 --> 00:50:12,920 Speaker 1: Hope we can get out of this, Hope it doesn't escalate. 779 00:50:13,080 --> 00:50:15,560 Speaker 1: These are really weird, bizarre times. There's a lot of 780 00:50:15,640 --> 00:50:18,759 Speaker 1: kinetic shit going on. But again, just try and you know, 781 00:50:18,960 --> 00:50:24,840 Speaker 1: take that deep breath in, nice, slow pursed out and 782 00:50:25,000 --> 00:50:28,680 Speaker 1: realize that history itself is always more complicated than it seems. 783 00:50:29,560 --> 00:50:30,040 Speaker 2: Typically. 784 00:50:30,920 --> 00:50:34,600 Speaker 1: We hope steady minds will make better decisions and we 785 00:50:34,719 --> 00:50:37,840 Speaker 1: can end this conflict and get back to some relative 786 00:50:38,280 --> 00:50:40,800 Speaker 1: I guess I always have to say relative relative peace 787 00:50:41,160 --> 00:50:45,200 Speaker 1: and stability in the world. But uh, I'm not gonna 788 00:50:45,200 --> 00:50:48,640 Speaker 1: hold my breath too long on that exhale. All right, everybody, 789 00:50:48,800 --> 00:50:51,600 Speaker 1: thank you so much. God, bless you, God bless your families, 790 00:50:51,680 --> 00:50:54,520 Speaker 1: and thank Christ and thank you all for paying attention 791 00:50:54,680 --> 00:50:55,160 Speaker 1: to the show. 792 00:50:55,239 --> 00:50:55,680 Speaker 2: Who Yah