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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'mna just mop that action also. All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: We're throwing in song.

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Speaker 1: Spect we're saying it to cash to stop.

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Speaker 4: We see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 4: go to win.

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Speaker 1: That's incredible, bank, I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate kabine.

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Speaker 2: You want to pa.

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Speaker 1: And we are underway. Welcome in to NFL Week six,

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Speaker 1: the Sunday Night recap here on the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 1: Brendan Glasheen joined by Brandon Anderson, one of our NFL

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Speaker 1: contributors here at the Action Network, as well as our

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Speaker 1: director of Research and Media, Evan Abrams. Nice earlier start

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Speaker 1: for our show tonight as opposed to last Sunday into

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Speaker 1: Monday morning. But big day six one o'clock games. Not

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Speaker 1: a big slate, a lot of teams on the bye week.

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Speaker 1: We had the Jaguars and Bears play in the London

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Speaker 1: game this morning. Favorites cleaned up today nine to three

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Speaker 1: and one against the spread, eleven and two straight up.

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Speaker 1: We just saw the ending of Cincinnati and the Giants.

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Speaker 1: Not a whole lot there to take away. I mean

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Speaker 1: the Bengals get to win, good for them. We go

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Speaker 1: to two and four. The Giants are now two and

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Speaker 1: four as well, but here we are. We'll work our

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Speaker 1: way through the slate of games and then work our

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Speaker 1: way as well to the Monday night football game that

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Speaker 1: takes place tomorrow between the Bills and the Jets. A

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Speaker 1: lot of line movement there since the end of last week,

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Speaker 1: and then we'll get the hot read from Brandon Anderson

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Speaker 1: and we'll get the heck out of here. So thanks

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Speaker 1: for being here as well on YouTube, the Action Network

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel. We are live on YouTube and those of

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Speaker 1: you listening on the Action Network podcast wherever you listen

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Speaker 1: to your podcast. So the Bengals get there seventeen to seven,

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati covers three and a half, line closed at four

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Speaker 1: and a half. Total came down as well, the forty

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Speaker 1: five and a half, whatever number you got on the

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Speaker 1: number of whatever number you got on the under excuse me,

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Speaker 1: it got there quick. Thoughts, neither of you Brandon Bengals.

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Speaker 1: You had the Bengals as your hot read going back

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Speaker 1: last week and is one of your best bets. They

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Speaker 1: got there.

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Speaker 3: Chase Brown, I had it all the way.

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Speaker 5: I wore the favorite shirt tonight to back our sister

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Speaker 5: podcast and the favorites dominating all day. Brandon, you text

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Speaker 5: me before this game, how do you feel about this one?

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Speaker 5: Felt good going in, didn't go at all like I thought,

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Speaker 5: I'll take the wind. Did not deserve this one, and

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Speaker 5: I deserve the back door cover if anything. But you

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Speaker 5: know what we got, got on a couple other ones today.

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Speaker 5: Terrible game. Not much to say there. Happy to get

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Speaker 5: the bet over the line.

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Speaker 1: Evan Abrams thoughts quickly on this one.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I don't know if there's really much to say

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Speaker 6: except maybe looking ahead the next week. You started with

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Speaker 6: the Burrough run and for the touchdow, which is the

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Speaker 6: longest in Bengals history. And he has said yourself, this

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Speaker 6: one's gonna be weird, and when you met weird, there

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Speaker 6: was just nothing. There was no points, nothing to watch.

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Speaker 6: I honestly, the defense of the Giants probably stuck out

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Speaker 6: to me more than anything in this game, just in

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Speaker 6: the fact that, like week to week, they will be

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Speaker 6: the reason no matter how Daniel Jones plays, they will

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Speaker 6: be in most games. And they're also they're missing Thibodeau there,

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Speaker 6: they're missing pieces and still Dexter, Lawrence et cetera looking incredible,

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Speaker 6: So they're probably the story. I would look at the

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Speaker 6: other thought process going forward as well. Next week, I

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Speaker 6: want to put a line into this Bengals at Brown's

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Speaker 6: Burrows struggle with Cleveland. I believe he's like one in

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Speaker 6: five straight up in that game and Dogs in AFC

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Speaker 6: north forty five and thirty since twenty eighteen.

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Speaker 2: So it's in a different Cleveland team.

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Speaker 6: But they're probably the right side after what we've seen

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Speaker 6: from Cincinnati. Aside from that, we get Aaron, we'll talk

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Speaker 6: about it later. We get Rogers and the Jets at

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Speaker 6: home Tomorrow night is home Dogs and the Giants and

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Speaker 6: Jets now four and thirty straight up in prime time

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Speaker 6: night game since twenty nineteen. So obviously Rogers got to

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Speaker 6: win against New England earlier in this season, but we'll

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Speaker 6: see if they can keep that going or not.

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Speaker 1: I feel pressure to give out stats when I have Evan,

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Speaker 1: when Evan's on a pod with me, because I just

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Speaker 1: go I better get this right. But the broadcast show

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Speaker 1: to an NBC and the word you used weird, Tariico

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Speaker 1: and Collinsworth, we even going back and forth. This has

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Speaker 1: been a weird game, but to only the second win

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Speaker 1: in Bengals history when they score ten points or fewer.

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Speaker 1: Do you guys see that on the plat.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, But then like the very next play after that,

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Speaker 5: they scored a touchdown over the line, so it's not

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Speaker 5: a stat anymore.

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Speaker 6: Right, When did the Bengals ever have a defense good

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Speaker 6: enough to hold the team right?

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Speaker 3: So fair enough?

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Speaker 6: When I saw it, I said to myself, wow, And

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Speaker 6: then I was like, wait a second, can I name

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Speaker 6: a Bengals defender ever?

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Speaker 5: So yeah, to Evan, you mentioned the Bengals at Browns

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Speaker 5: next week, Like, I've been playing against the Browns every

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Speaker 5: chance I can, so I of course circle that one.

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Speaker 5: When I was on the Bengals here, I thought about

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Speaker 5: that as a hot read. But to add to your

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Speaker 5: caution that you're saying here, since Snati's not one in

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Speaker 5: Cleveland since twenty seventeen, and the Browns have actually won

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Speaker 5: nine of the last twelve, even though this has been

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Speaker 5: a Bengals era in Ohio football, so be careful with

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Speaker 5: that one. That could be a bit of a trap spot.

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Speaker 3: We'll see.

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Speaker 5: Definitely, Cincinnati looked a lot less convincing tonight, and you're right,

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Speaker 5: the Giants defensive front really was the best unit in

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Speaker 5: the game. The Bengals and the lucky to get over.

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Speaker 5: We're all very lucky. Thank you to Chase Brown for

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Speaker 5: not going down at the two yard line.

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Speaker 3: We appreciate it.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Shane Bowen did a great job defensive coordinator for

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Speaker 1: the Giants. Brian Burns was good too, or the acquisition

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Speaker 1: despite their ineptitude elsewhere. Bengals open four and a half into.

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Speaker 2: The line for this definitely.

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Speaker 1: And yeah, okay, there you go. There's your Sunday night recap,

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Speaker 1: because why spend more time on a seventeen to seven

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Speaker 1: game Washington Baltimore, Jade and Daniels against Lamar Jackson. Jade

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Speaker 1: and Daniels. The next big thing we discussed on this

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Speaker 1: very podcast last Sunday, trying to wrap our heads before

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Speaker 1: Saints and Chiefs about who might be the next the

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Speaker 1: MVP of the league this year, and Jadeen Daniels was

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Speaker 1: part of our discussion because you can't ignore the numbers.

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Speaker 1: But Brandon Anderson Baltimore does get there. Thirty twenty three,

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Speaker 1: they cover the six and a half. If you got

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Speaker 1: seven on Washington, you did push total does go over

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Speaker 1: the closing number of fifty and a half.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, the line, the total, we're pretty much dead on here.

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Speaker 5: We did get the very public over I think on

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Speaker 5: this one hit. We got a late Washington field goal,

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Speaker 5: and then Baltimore ran the clock out to control the

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Speaker 5: game at the end. It was close, but not close

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Speaker 5: the whole way right like that, that sort of felt

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Speaker 5: like the theme of Sunday if we're being honest, like

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Speaker 5: stick around. We got more recap for you, we got

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Speaker 5: hot reads. But it wasn't the best day of football,

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Speaker 5: Like not a lot of great games when all the

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Speaker 5: favorites win and cover, like that's how it's gonna go.

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Speaker 5: You're not gonna get a lot a lot of witching

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Speaker 5: hour action for the day. Thirty twenty three didn't really

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Speaker 5: feel that way in real time, and you look at

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Speaker 5: the stats. The stats kind of reflect that Baltimore had

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Speaker 5: almost five hundred yards of offense, Washington barely over three hundred.

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Speaker 5: Baltimore averaged two more yards per play, ten more first downs.

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Speaker 5: They won this game on late down conversion, and really

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Speaker 5: their run defense shut down Washington too. I thought Washington's

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Speaker 5: passing offense, I thought Daniels actually was fine, pretty good,

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Speaker 5: better than I thought he would be here on the

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Speaker 5: road against a tough defense. No turnovers, no big mistakes.

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Speaker 5: He didn't look like he had looked against you know

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Speaker 5: whoever the terrible defense he's been playing lately. That's fine,

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Speaker 5: No big mistakes for rookie and a huge game on

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Speaker 5: the road, a rivalry spot here. I think I actually

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Speaker 5: feel better about Washington after this one. This was a

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Speaker 5: big test. We thought Cleveland last week would be a

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Speaker 5: big test for them. I feel like Washington's starting to

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Speaker 5: prove themselves a little bit.

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Speaker 3: As far as.

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Speaker 5: Baltimore obviously just getting the job done again. We of course,

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Speaker 5: I have to mention this. In five weeks here, two

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Speaker 5: times I have played on our best bets pod Derrick

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Speaker 5: Henry escalator one hundred rushing yards and two scores. It's

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Speaker 5: what happens when the Ravens win. Both times I played,

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Speaker 5: we missed the other three weeks in between, including this

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Speaker 5: game he hit the parlay. It's the third time Henry's

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Speaker 5: had one hundred rushing yards and two scores in four

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Speaker 5: Ravens wins. So just keep it in mind if you

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Speaker 5: like the Ravens to win, whether I tell you to

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Speaker 5: play it or not, apparently just play the thing. Because

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Speaker 5: he keeps doing that. I think Derrick Henry is starting

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Speaker 5: to become the story here. I know Lamar Jackson, he

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Speaker 5: was great on laid down that think helped win this

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Speaker 5: game for them. Henry's had at least one rushing touchdown

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Speaker 5: every game for the Ravens. He's at nine touchdowns now

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Speaker 5: in six games. That is a twenty five and a

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Speaker 5: half touchdown pace. That's like Sean Alexander Ladinian Tomlinson number

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Speaker 5: of touchdowns. We don't have dudes that anymore. He is

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Speaker 5: the clear offensive Player of the Year leader. I don't

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Speaker 5: think you can bet it as short as as as

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Speaker 5: I think Derek Henry's coming for the MVP conversation, I

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Speaker 5: don't think Lamar Jackson can go back to back without

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Speaker 5: the playoff resume. If Baltimore keeps winning this way, winning

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Speaker 5: smash mouth, Henry getting in the end zone over and

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Speaker 5: over again. I'm not saying he's gonna win it. I'm

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Speaker 5: not even saying you should bet it, but I promise

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Speaker 5: you he's gonna be quote in the conversation, I think

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Speaker 5: we're gonna have to do the running back thing again.

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Speaker 3: I think it's him, Evan, What do you think.

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Speaker 6: Only thing I was gonna mention now that I literally

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Speaker 6: was thinking about it as you were saying it, and

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Speaker 6: you know these awards and you say this all the

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Speaker 6: time when you're gambling on it, and it's really really true.

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Speaker 6: It's a narrative award. They all are, because it's just

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Speaker 6: how that thing works. Genty for the Heisman, Henry for

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Speaker 6: the MVP. Two running backs change the game. Conversation just

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Speaker 6: just interesting that they're both just dominating up the scales.

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Speaker 2: Everyone's kind of having that conversation.

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Speaker 1: It just came to my mind, Derrick Henry sixty to

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Speaker 1: one right now to win MVP in the National Football League,

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Speaker 1: and if we're gonna do it with McCaffrey, was one got

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Speaker 1: to do with Henry.

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Speaker 6: Round table we did a few weeks ago when we

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Speaker 6: had mentioned it as well. So those have come down drastically.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and I'm not seeing an Offensive Player of the

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Speaker 1: Year market pop right now. Lamar Jackson is tied with c. J.

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Speaker 1: Stroud for second in MVP odds at plus five point fifty.

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Speaker 1: So to Brandon's point, Lamar might steal some of the

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Speaker 1: shine because he's the head of the snake, but keep

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Speaker 1: an eye out for Henry and those odds shifting.

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Speaker 5: And to Evan's point here, I just pulled it up

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Speaker 5: on one of the major books, the Henry jen d Parlay.

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Speaker 5: If you want to go both of them one sixty

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Speaker 5: seven to one right now, if you want to have

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Speaker 5: a little fun on the running back parlay, Okay.

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Speaker 3: Very good.

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Speaker 1: Lions throttle the Cowboys forty seven to nine. Brandon gave

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Speaker 1: out Lions minus three on the Best Bets pod that

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Speaker 1: got there. Line did close at three and a half.

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Speaker 1: There were some fours out there over fifty two and

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Speaker 1: a half could have cut the over by itself with

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Speaker 1: the Lions. Evan, anything to comment here on is this

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Speaker 1: about Detroit? I think it's about Detroit more so than Dallas.

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Speaker 1: But did the Dallas Cowboys shine at home? Like last year?

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Speaker 1: Is gone? It's over.

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Speaker 2: Let's just say this.

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Speaker 6: When I was trying to rank the afternoon games, it

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Speaker 6: was very difficult because there wasn't a close one. Nothing

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Speaker 6: was good, everything was terrible. So this was the best

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Speaker 6: of the worst. But honestly, the story of the game

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Speaker 6: looking forward is Aiden Hutchinson, like his domination and what

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Speaker 6: he does for Detroit's defense and their line and the

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Speaker 6: pressure and getting golf back the ball and the fact

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Speaker 6: that you know broken tibia. It's his season is over

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Speaker 6: and we hope he comes back healthy and he's you know,

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Speaker 6: the same player as he was, because holy mackerel, he

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Speaker 6: was dominant and he was you know, getting hurt while

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Speaker 6: doing his job and sacking the quarterback to extend his

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Speaker 6: lead in the sack total is just a crappy way

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Speaker 6: to have to end his season. But to be I

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Speaker 6: think that is the topic in this one. Dak had

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Speaker 6: a quote earlier in the week and I don't even

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Speaker 6: think it like came out of his mouth when he

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Speaker 6: was saying it, because he was like, we can't lose

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Speaker 6: this game, we can't drop another home game, and then

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Speaker 6: this is what happens. Like that was really the first

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Speaker 6: thing that came to mind when I started watching this

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Speaker 6: Onslaught was imagine the and you find out later it's

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Speaker 6: Jerry Jones's birthday, Like what an unbelievable Uh just I

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Speaker 6: don't even have words to talk about this because the

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Speaker 6: stats over and over, the worst loss since nineteen eighty eight,

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Speaker 6: you can go on and on and on, and the

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Speaker 6: halftime I think I believe it was one hundred and

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Speaker 6: ten to thirty five their last four home games in

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Speaker 6: the first half, So to me, you.

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Speaker 2: Know the stats, will you know.

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Speaker 6: I can go on and on here, but the story

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Speaker 6: moving forward's gotta be the loss of Hutchinson. And then

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Speaker 6: you look at the fact that they play the Vikings

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Speaker 6: next week. Probably not the team you would like to

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Speaker 6: lose Hutchinson for Big Division, you know, your first game

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Speaker 6: having to go on without them, it is I will

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Speaker 6: say this, So Goff and Campbell together, they are one

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Speaker 6: and a half point underdogs right now. They're twenty one

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Speaker 6: to nine against the spread as dogs, nine and one

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Speaker 6: ats in their last ten right now looks like it

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Speaker 6: has eighty percent of the tickets and eighty five percent

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Speaker 6: of the money in early markets on the Lions. I

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Speaker 6: don't expect that to change, and I would probably see

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Speaker 6: a line move at some point. But to me, that's

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Speaker 6: probably the most interesting thing here. David Montgomery scores again.

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Speaker 6: Dave Montgomery, Derek Henry, Kyrien Williams score every damn week.

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Speaker 6: So that to me is an interesting note in itself.

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Speaker 6: Let's see anything else here. Probably not, I really don't think.

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Speaker 6: I mean you can go Detroit scored eighty nine points

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Speaker 6: over the last two games. They've looked absolutely dominant. I

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Speaker 6: think that's why. Also, the Hutchinson injury is the story

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Speaker 6: because Detroit.

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Speaker 2: Just looks so good and we.

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Speaker 5: Decide I think, I think the Hutchinson injury might be

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Speaker 5: the story of the day to be totally honest, as

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Speaker 5: good as Detroit looks, as much as a Super Bowl

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Speaker 5: contender as they are playing like. He is a monster

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Speaker 5: loss I got. There are not many bigger losses a

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Speaker 5: single player on a defense in the NFL would represent

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Speaker 5: to be totally honest, like no exaggeration. He was the

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Speaker 5: number one edge rusher in PFF grade ninety five pass

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Speaker 5: rush grade on the season, league leading sac leader. He

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Speaker 5: was the defensive player of your favorite so that race

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Speaker 5: gets blown back wide open. Before the season. We took

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Speaker 5: the four man near favorites bet on that and Hutchinson

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Speaker 5: was number six. We took everyone but him and Max Crosby.

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Speaker 5: So a little bit of unearned life perhaps on that

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Speaker 5: bet tg A Watt had a big day. Lots of

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Speaker 5: other names will be out there for that one for

299
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Speaker 5: Detroit in my Roster Matrix rankings, this really leaves them

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Speaker 5: cratered at edge rush like they.

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Speaker 3: Don't have anybody left.

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Speaker 5: They've got Josh Pascal PFF grade of sixty six edge rush.

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Speaker 5: Marcus Davenport barely cracks the top one hundred. There's only

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Speaker 5: sixty four starters, you know, so not top one hundred

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Speaker 5: is not great. James Houston's been good before, only seventeen snaps.

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Speaker 5: He's not healthy, he's not playing a well. This drops

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Speaker 5: just this one guy drops Detroit for me and my

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Speaker 5: rankings from fifteenth so fine leak average offense is good

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Speaker 5: enough win the super Bowl to twenty third. That's bottom ten.

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Speaker 5: That is a huge drop for a Super Bowl contender.

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Speaker 5: This is the sort of thing that will resonate every

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Speaker 5: week all the way through to the super Bowl, which

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Speaker 5: I think Detroit has a much less chance of getting there.

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Speaker 5: I think I saw Carlton Davis got injured late. Also

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Speaker 5: top corner for Detroit. I'm not sure if that was

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Speaker 5: serious or not, but definitely not good names for Detroit.

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Speaker 5: So they just don't have a lot of pass rush

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Speaker 5: and then you lose maybe your top corner as well.

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Speaker 5: That's not a great combo, not a good spot for

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Speaker 5: the team.

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Speaker 6: Will I was gonna say this, I know a certain

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Speaker 6: pass rusher who doesn't have an agent right now, who

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Speaker 6: might have some free time and be interested in looking

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Speaker 6: at Detroit.

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Speaker 2: Just the thought.

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Speaker 1: Okay, Dallas on the by. They get San Francisco next,

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Speaker 1: and the Niners play Kansas City this coming Sunday, So

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Speaker 1: very interesting. Niners are home to both Kansas City and

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Speaker 1: Dallas in consecutive weeks.

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Speaker 5: Dallas, by the way, last seven games dating back to

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Speaker 5: the playoff last when they got eliminated, has now allowed

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Speaker 5: thirty point nine points a game. They gave up forty eight,

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Speaker 5: forty four, and forty seven to love Car and goth

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Speaker 5: Led offense says it's not going well, so good luck

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Speaker 5: with San Francisco.

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Speaker 6: One question though, like McCarthy's jobs, not in any type

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Speaker 6: of jeopardy, right, Like, is that like a dumb I mean, listen,

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Speaker 6: Dallas is the second team in the last decade to

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Speaker 6: enter a bye after a loss of thirty eight plus

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Speaker 6: at home. I mean, this is a long time for

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Speaker 6: them to think about what has happened over the last year.

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Speaker 1: He is fortunate that Philadelphia still can't get their crap together.

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Speaker 2: That's fair.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, well, I like too.

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Speaker 5: If you are going to make a change, the obvious

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Speaker 5: change that you would make without bringing in like Bellichuck

347
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Speaker 5: or some outside name, you probably go to Mike Zimmer

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Speaker 5: as much good as he's been in the past. Hard

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Speaker 5: to go to Mike Zimmer when he just gave up

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Speaker 5: another touchdown while you're thinking about promoting him to the

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Speaker 5: head coaching job.

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Speaker 3: So I don't know.

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Speaker 5: Maybe the defense being so bad here, maybe I don't

354
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Speaker 5: know the offense was any better. They couldn't score either,

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Speaker 5: So I don't know what you do in Dallas. It's

356
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Speaker 5: not on great, especially with Washington playing so well in

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Speaker 5: the Division two.

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Speaker 1: The irony two is Kellen Moore, the former oc is

359
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Speaker 1: in Philadelphia, and off of pie week with your two

360
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Speaker 1: top receivers back, it's not going well. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: go to the one big stat courtesy of Evan Abrams.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I'm gonna have to do too, because they're both insane.

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Speaker 6: Road favorites this week are now eight and no straight up,

364
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Speaker 6: eight and no against the spread. Obviously, Jets Bills tomorrow

365
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Speaker 6: night will close it out one way or the other.

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Speaker 6: If the Bills winning cover, this would be the most

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Speaker 6: road faded cover since the merger in a single week,

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Speaker 6: so craziness.

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Speaker 2: And then the other one.

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Speaker 6: It's going around everywhere in terms of how well the

371
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Speaker 6: NFC norse doing this so far. This season, but I

372
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Speaker 6: put like an ATS spin on it in the fact

373
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Speaker 6: that the NFC North combined is eighteen and four against

374
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Speaker 6: the spread this season eighty two percent entering Week seven.

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Speaker 6: That is the best mark for any division through six

376
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Speaker 6: weeks in the wildcard ari since nineteen ninety. So insanity,

377
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Speaker 6: I believe. I just saw their combined margin is like

378
00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:27,639
Speaker 6: two hundred and ninety or two hundred something, and the

379
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Speaker 6: Connects closest is like plus twenty five. So right now

380
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Speaker 6: nobody is even close. But next week Lions Vikings, so

381
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Speaker 6: someone's gotta cover or not.

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Speaker 2: So we'll see.

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Speaker 1: Tampa Bay and New Orleans NFC South offense. Typically, this

384
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Speaker 1: was like a Brandon Anderson best bets take the under

385
00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:49,520
Speaker 1: on one of these kind of games. Fifty one twenty

386
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Speaker 1: seven Tampa Throttles Spencer Rattler and the New Orleans Saints

387
00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:56,800
Speaker 1: fifty one to twenty seven. No, Derek Carr, Ratler and

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Speaker 1: at quarterback. First half Saints were hanging in scoring points

389
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Speaker 1: and then they just couldn't score on the second half.

390
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Speaker 1: Bucks get their minus three and a half total goes over.

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Speaker 3: Brandon, Yeah, I gotta be honest.

392
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Speaker 5: I had this as an under in my notes all

393
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Speaker 5: week long, and I kept staring at it and I

394
00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:14,880
Speaker 5: wanted it, but for some reason that I don't really

395
00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:18,359
Speaker 5: have an explanation for both these teams. First half overs

396
00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:20,280
Speaker 5: have kept hitting all season. I was like, well, I

397
00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:22,840
Speaker 5: don't know what's happening, but I guess I better avoid it.

398
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Speaker 5: And man, fifty one points in the first half. We

399
00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:28,760
Speaker 5: hit the game over. Just in the first half. We

400
00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:30,800
Speaker 5: had a fumble return touchdown. We had a punt return

401
00:19:30,880 --> 00:19:34,320
Speaker 5: touchdown like these are these are luck ranking unders stats

402
00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:35,600
Speaker 5: screaming out to you from the.

403
00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:36,800
Speaker 3: Future as they get to these.

404
00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:42,120
Speaker 5: We had one, two, three interceptions, one two, three field

405
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Speaker 5: goals touchdown to open the later in the second quarter,

406
00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:47,960
Speaker 5: three touchdowns in a row, like all in the first half.

407
00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,760
Speaker 5: That'll happen. Then we had a halftime. The Saints don't

408
00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:53,920
Speaker 5: score in the second half. Saints actually fifty one to

409
00:19:53,960 --> 00:19:56,800
Speaker 5: twenty seven. The fifty one was representative. The twenty seven

410
00:19:56,920 --> 00:19:59,480
Speaker 5: it wasn't so much. Their touchdowns came on a punt

411
00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:02,840
Speaker 5: return and on a ten yard pass after interception, So

412
00:20:02,960 --> 00:20:08,000
Speaker 5: Spencer Rattler not looking so good. Baker went full Jamison

413
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Speaker 5: this one. The full yolo from Baker three hundred and

414
00:20:11,640 --> 00:20:15,439
Speaker 5: twenty five yards, four touchdowns, three interceptions. My man just

415
00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:18,840
Speaker 5: screen it all over the place, putting up the numbers.

416
00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:22,280
Speaker 5: Campa Bay. This offense led by Liam Cohen, the new

417
00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:25,400
Speaker 5: offense corner. They remember they lose Dave Canalis and that

418
00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:27,119
Speaker 5: was the big hype. Some of us who were on

419
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:30,280
Speaker 5: Panthers Island were like, oh, Dave Canalis moved the offense

420
00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:33,560
Speaker 5: over there. Turns out they might have improved the offense.

421
00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:37,399
Speaker 5: Liam Cohen, the new offense coordinator, the real deal. Eight

422
00:20:37,480 --> 00:20:41,040
Speaker 5: point two yards per play for an entire game on

423
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Speaker 5: a good Saints defense missing a few guys, but a

424
00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:47,520
Speaker 5: pretty good defense Dennis Allen defense that knows them pretty well.

425
00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:51,040
Speaker 5: Almost six hundred yards of offense in this game for

426
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Speaker 5: the Buccaneers, Campa Bay four and two, they look like

427
00:20:55,520 --> 00:21:00,639
Speaker 5: the real deal. They play Monday night at home. Remember

428
00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:05,520
Speaker 5: I'll say the sensitively at home, coming home after a

429
00:21:05,680 --> 00:21:10,080
Speaker 5: really tough week for Tampa Bay. An emotional spot Monday

430
00:21:10,160 --> 00:21:14,480
Speaker 5: night against Baltimore Circle that one. We'll get to it

431
00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:17,439
Speaker 5: next week. I like the Buccaneers early. That could be

432
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Speaker 5: one of those big emotional home, well timed wins. The

433
00:21:21,920 --> 00:21:25,359
Speaker 5: Buccaneers are starting to look pretty real Saints have lost

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Speaker 5: four in a row.

435
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Speaker 3: Not so much for.

436
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Speaker 1: Them Buccaneers four and a half point dog as of

437
00:21:29,680 --> 00:21:33,840
Speaker 1: right now, but seeing their history too, where they hung

438
00:21:33,880 --> 00:21:36,280
Speaker 1: in there with the Lions in the NFC playoff game,

439
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,920
Speaker 1: the Eagles game at the end of last year. They

440
00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:42,120
Speaker 1: have cut up for these kinds of spots. So there

441
00:21:42,119 --> 00:21:44,760
Speaker 1: was a Monday night game way back against Philadelphia last

442
00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:46,920
Speaker 1: year early in the year, or they kind of know

443
00:21:47,040 --> 00:21:50,359
Speaker 1: showed but Todd Bowles getting the hell out of the way,

444
00:21:50,520 --> 00:21:53,480
Speaker 1: let the new offensive mines come in, and he's handling

445
00:21:53,520 --> 00:21:55,119
Speaker 1: his biz on the defensive end, at least in the

446
00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:55,600
Speaker 1: second half.

447
00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:55,920
Speaker 3: He did.

448
00:21:56,560 --> 00:22:02,919
Speaker 1: Other NFC self game that head points. Atlanta defeats Carolina

449
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:07,400
Speaker 1: thirty eight to twenty. Atlanta covers the short the inside

450
00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:09,600
Speaker 1: the touchdown line at six and a half total goes

451
00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:11,960
Speaker 1: over Evan forty five and a half points.

452
00:22:12,280 --> 00:22:14,520
Speaker 2: My first note on this game is, how is this

453
00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:15,520
Speaker 2: a four o'clock game?

454
00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:19,639
Speaker 6: I thought that was, honestly what I asked myself all

455
00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:21,560
Speaker 6: week when I was prepping and looking at notes, and

456
00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:22,840
Speaker 6: I went an order and I got to this when

457
00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:26,200
Speaker 6: I was like four o'clock. Interesting, okay, But talking about

458
00:22:26,200 --> 00:22:29,840
Speaker 6: the game itself, the thing, the thing I look at,

459
00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:32,720
Speaker 6: and it's just the starts for Carolina. Obviously, Carolina in

460
00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:36,480
Speaker 6: the second half completely lost their way, but it is

461
00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:40,040
Speaker 6: worth noting Bryce Young was five and thirteen first half

462
00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:42,520
Speaker 6: ats in his career. He had lost his last ten

463
00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:46,360
Speaker 6: starts first have ats before they pulled the plug. Dalton

464
00:22:46,560 --> 00:22:50,000
Speaker 6: has scored seventeen seven, fourteen, twenty one and thirteen in

465
00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:53,000
Speaker 6: his first halves all of his starts, I believe for

466
00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:55,760
Speaker 6: Carolina has gone over the total as well. I believe

467
00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:59,200
Speaker 6: going over by almost fifteen points per game. So you're

468
00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:02,880
Speaker 6: just getting much better offense, you're in more of the games.

469
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:06,080
Speaker 6: It at least comes down to, let's call it, five

470
00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:10,159
Speaker 6: plays in the game instead of just not having a

471
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:13,480
Speaker 6: chance at all to win. So I do think Carolina

472
00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:17,919
Speaker 6: is much improved with Andy. The one Andy stat that

473
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 6: really gives me pause though, as well as he's playing

474
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:24,320
Speaker 6: in the first half since twenty twenty one, he is

475
00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:28,359
Speaker 6: three and ten second half ats, so he does tend

476
00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:31,520
Speaker 6: to turn into a pumpkin, and that is probably what's

477
00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:34,800
Speaker 6: stopping Carolina from let's call it covering spreads at all,

478
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:38,320
Speaker 6: since I think they're one in seven in their last

479
00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:41,160
Speaker 6: eight games. Ats with their only cover being the dead

480
00:23:41,200 --> 00:23:44,800
Speaker 6: cat bounce switching from Bryce Young to Dalton against the Raiders,

481
00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:47,920
Speaker 6: and then after that, you know you just got Carolina again.

482
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:52,520
Speaker 6: Looking at the game itself, Deontay Johnson, a person who

483
00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:55,880
Speaker 6: didn't score touchdowns for almost fifteen to seventeen straight weeks

484
00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,720
Speaker 6: or so, now is a touchdown machine, scoring three of

485
00:23:58,880 --> 00:24:01,480
Speaker 6: US four and eight of his last thirteen. He seems

486
00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:04,240
Speaker 6: like he is an absolute number one target when it

487
00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:06,520
Speaker 6: comes to Andy, and they feel really good with each other,

488
00:24:06,600 --> 00:24:10,560
Speaker 6: so that feels like it keeps hitting every week. Carolina's

489
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:13,399
Speaker 6: rush defense was actually the problem and probably kept them

490
00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:14,240
Speaker 6: from winning this game.

491
00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:17,560
Speaker 2: Atlanta goes one ninety eight on thirty eight carries.

492
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:21,159
Speaker 6: I think both of the Bijean and alger get close

493
00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:24,560
Speaker 6: to one hundred each In terms of the over which

494
00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:27,119
Speaker 6: I mentioned, so Andy, I told you five and oh

495
00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:30,440
Speaker 6: to the over in those games Cousins over in three

496
00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:31,320
Speaker 6: straight starts.

497
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:33,840
Speaker 2: He's eighty six and sixty eight to the over in

498
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:34,320
Speaker 2: his career.

499
00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:37,359
Speaker 6: He's the fourth most profitable quarterback to the over in

500
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:41,160
Speaker 6: our database last twenty years. So everything that Kirk Cousins

501
00:24:41,200 --> 00:24:43,800
Speaker 6: brings to the table, whether it's his five touchdowns or

502
00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,680
Speaker 6: five interceptions or however he brings that to.

503
00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 2: The table usually leads to points.

504
00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 6: So we've been seeing that lately, and I'll give you

505
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:54,359
Speaker 6: one for next week. So Seattle is now at Atlanta

506
00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:57,119
Speaker 6: in their next game. This one really surprises me, so

507
00:24:57,160 --> 00:24:58,440
Speaker 6: I thought it was worth bringing up.

508
00:24:58,359 --> 00:25:02,359
Speaker 2: SO road teams MST and PST. SO West Coast road

509
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:03,520
Speaker 2: teams going.

510
00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:07,840
Speaker 6: East eighty two forty eight and four sixty three percent

511
00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:10,719
Speaker 6: against the spread. Since twenty nineteen, there has been no

512
00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:13,239
Speaker 6: lag for most of these teams, So this would tell

513
00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:17,520
Speaker 6: you Seattle off the losses off that San Francisco extra rest.

514
00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:18,760
Speaker 2: It's an interesting bet to.

515
00:25:18,720 --> 00:25:22,000
Speaker 1: Me, Seattle catching two and a half plus one thirty

516
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,960
Speaker 1: six on the money line. Big total forty nine and

517
00:25:25,000 --> 00:25:28,720
Speaker 1: a half points in that game too. Heading to Philadelphia,

518
00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:33,280
Speaker 1: we mentioned the Eagles earlier. They scrape by twenty to sixteen. Brandon,

519
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:35,560
Speaker 1: the Browns do cover plus eight and a half, the

520
00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:37,720
Speaker 1: total goes under forty two and a half. We were

521
00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 1: also texting about the horrid first half close. One of

522
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:44,960
Speaker 1: your best bets was the Eagles on the first half line.

523
00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:49,639
Speaker 1: They had aj Brown Devantae Smith off of bye fix everything.

524
00:25:49,760 --> 00:25:52,120
Speaker 1: Let's get it. Let's get our crap together, and they

525
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:52,639
Speaker 1: just they.

526
00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:53,120
Speaker 3: Can't do it.

527
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:53,960
Speaker 1: They can't do it.

528
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:57,360
Speaker 5: They can They dropped a zero to five first half ats.

529
00:25:57,440 --> 00:25:59,600
Speaker 5: We did know that coming in that this was gonna

530
00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:00,800
Speaker 5: have to be the first cover.

531
00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 3: But a brutal beats. I just gotta walk us through that.

532
00:26:03,840 --> 00:26:06,880
Speaker 5: I if you bet this one and lost, shame on

533
00:26:07,040 --> 00:26:08,760
Speaker 5: us for being on the wrong side. This is just

534
00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:12,040
Speaker 5: an awful beat. So it's ten to three, thirty one

535
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:16,360
Speaker 5: yard line. Eagles have the ball up seven thirty seconds

536
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:20,359
Speaker 5: till the half. It's third down. Okay, you're the Eagles.

537
00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:24,480
Speaker 5: It's third and one. Push push, It's the only play

538
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:27,480
Speaker 5: you're good at. Just run everyone up the middle, get

539
00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:30,800
Speaker 5: a first down, you get it to halftime, You get

540
00:26:30,800 --> 00:26:33,280
Speaker 5: the field goal. On a short field probably you might

541
00:26:33,320 --> 00:26:36,840
Speaker 5: get a touchdown. Still, Instead, Jalen Hurts eats a long sack,

542
00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:38,840
Speaker 5: so they set up for the long field goal on going. No,

543
00:26:39,359 --> 00:26:42,040
Speaker 5: just punt, punt the ball away. Just punt it away.

544
00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:44,760
Speaker 5: You've been controlling the half. Of course, they try the

545
00:26:44,800 --> 00:26:48,760
Speaker 5: fifty seven yarder. Of course, the Giants play from last week,

546
00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:51,320
Speaker 5: which as was pointed out, was actually the Miles Garrett

547
00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:53,920
Speaker 5: play from a year ago, they do the thing where

548
00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:56,959
Speaker 5: the one guy pushes the center down and Miles Garrett

549
00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:59,760
Speaker 5: leaps over the gap, which apparently is legal under the

550
00:26:59,800 --> 00:27:00,560
Speaker 5: current rules.

551
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:01,520
Speaker 3: We'll see.

552
00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:03,800
Speaker 5: I'm not sure it will be too much longer if

553
00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:07,480
Speaker 5: we keep doing this blogfield goal return for the touchdown

554
00:27:07,880 --> 00:27:12,040
Speaker 5: ten ten, killing us on the first half spread that

555
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:14,560
Speaker 5: ends up basically covering the game spread at the end

556
00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:16,840
Speaker 5: of the day as well, so one of the few

557
00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:21,840
Speaker 5: underdog covers here. Look, I want to come away just

558
00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:25,080
Speaker 5: hating on the Eagles, because how do you barely come

559
00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:28,160
Speaker 5: over the line against the Browns off the bye week.

560
00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:30,880
Speaker 5: The truth is as not as ugly as it looked

561
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:33,560
Speaker 5: for the Eagles on underlying numbers, a lot of pretty

562
00:27:33,560 --> 00:27:37,320
Speaker 5: good stuff happening. What's not great is Jalen hurt Still.

563
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:41,320
Speaker 5: I just don't think Jalen Hurts looks comfortable he especially

564
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:43,840
Speaker 5: on late downs. Philadelphia moved the ball, did what they

565
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:46,879
Speaker 5: needed on early downs pretty well, get a negative point

566
00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:51,040
Speaker 5: seven EPA on late down passes, only one successful play

567
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:54,680
Speaker 5: as a passer on late downs. That's why this wasn't

568
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:58,560
Speaker 5: a dominant Eagles when and he just hasn't looked right

569
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:00,800
Speaker 5: in that Kelling Moore offense. You've got to be able

570
00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:02,439
Speaker 5: to do better coming out of the bye week with

571
00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 5: all the guys back. Dallas Godder did leave hurt here,

572
00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:08,240
Speaker 5: but let's be honest. You still got saquon the receiver.

573
00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:09,679
Speaker 5: They're back, the line is healthy.

574
00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:11,239
Speaker 3: I don't know.

575
00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:14,600
Speaker 5: I can't get two down on the Eagles after this

576
00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:17,840
Speaker 5: one given the numbers, But man, it's the Browns. You

577
00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:21,399
Speaker 5: gotta do better against that. That Deshaun Watson still starting, guys,

578
00:28:21,440 --> 00:28:24,080
Speaker 5: Just in case you're wondering, we asked again he's still

579
00:28:24,080 --> 00:28:26,600
Speaker 5: starting the Browns. At one point, we're up to twenty

580
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:30,159
Speaker 5: six straight failed third downs with Deshaun Watson on the field.

581
00:28:30,520 --> 00:28:34,240
Speaker 5: That streak is over, but unfortunately the streak with Watson

582
00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:36,200
Speaker 5: still playing football is not. I guess we got to

583
00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:39,240
Speaker 5: keep doing it and probably just keep betting against him

584
00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:42,680
Speaker 5: until they finally turned to Jamus or god knows what

585
00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 5: other quarterback they come up with.

586
00:28:44,080 --> 00:28:44,360
Speaker 1: There.

587
00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:48,560
Speaker 6: We talk about Sirianni chirping with fans after not too

588
00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:53,200
Speaker 6: barely beating the Browns at this point, if you're gonna

589
00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:53,880
Speaker 6: chirp with fans.

590
00:28:53,760 --> 00:28:54,680
Speaker 2: At least cover the spread.

591
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:58,960
Speaker 1: Ever since I texted Brandon, go, how did this team

592
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:02,040
Speaker 1: with this head coach. Maybe it's because of Shane Steichen

593
00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:03,360
Speaker 1: right at the end of the day and we look

594
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 1: back on it, but how did this team make a

595
00:29:05,120 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 1: Super Bowl? Talented? Talented as hell? But yeah, okay, so

596
00:29:11,080 --> 00:29:13,240
Speaker 1: the Browns do cover. If you took Cleveland, good for you.

597
00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:17,320
Speaker 1: Shout out two our Action Network colleague Sean Zarillo, who

598
00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:20,280
Speaker 1: had another great year in baseball, finishing the MLB regular

599
00:29:20,320 --> 00:29:23,280
Speaker 1: season up more than twenty five units. And with Action

600
00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:27,080
Speaker 1: Pro you get instant notifications every time Zarillo or any

601
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 1: of our Action experts make a pick in the Action app.

602
00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:34,560
Speaker 1: Just visit actionnetwork dot com slash pro and use the

603
00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:39,200
Speaker 1: promo code October for fifteen percent off an Action Pro subscription.

604
00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:43,440
Speaker 1: That's fifteen percent off at actionnetwork dot com slash Pro

605
00:29:43,800 --> 00:29:46,840
Speaker 1: with the promo code October, and be sure to check

606
00:29:46,840 --> 00:29:50,440
Speaker 1: out Sean every week talking MLB playoffs on the Payoff

607
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:54,120
Speaker 1: Pitch podcast. Rapid Fire will work through these next This

608
00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:59,680
Speaker 1: next bit of games Indianapolis, Tennessee Brandon twenty seventeen Indie

609
00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 1: get It's there as a winner. They were an underdog

610
00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:06,200
Speaker 1: when this one closed plus two and a half total

611
00:30:06,280 --> 00:30:08,640
Speaker 1: does go under forty one and a half points.

612
00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:11,600
Speaker 5: Yeah, unfortunately our most competitive game of the day maybe,

613
00:30:11,640 --> 00:30:14,240
Speaker 5: but just not good football. So I'm not gonna say

614
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:18,240
Speaker 5: anything about all the bad Will Levis bad, Calvin Ridley bad, tray.

615
00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:19,920
Speaker 3: Sermon. You can look up the numbers yourself.

616
00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:23,800
Speaker 5: It's all terrible, depending on the London line that your

617
00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:27,280
Speaker 5: book had for you, whether which team came out as

618
00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:28,240
Speaker 5: the favorite at the end.

619
00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:30,320
Speaker 3: The Colts are effectively the only real.

620
00:30:30,200 --> 00:30:32,520
Speaker 5: Underdog to win in Week six so far, like they

621
00:30:32,520 --> 00:30:36,080
Speaker 5: were two and a half point underdogs because the quarterback

622
00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:38,960
Speaker 5: is out. I don't know, it is the quarterback out.

623
00:30:39,080 --> 00:30:41,680
Speaker 5: Anthony Richard's in your house? Heah, you know what, Hey,

624
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:44,360
Speaker 5: take another week, big guy. We got Joe Black out

625
00:30:44,400 --> 00:30:47,160
Speaker 5: here actually throwing passes to our receiver, who, by the way,

626
00:30:47,480 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 5: Michael Pittman about to go on. I already like, oh oh,

627
00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:53,520
Speaker 5: Joe's playing quarterback. Yeah, I'm feeling great. Pull me in, coach,

628
00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:54,880
Speaker 5: I'm ready to catch some passes.

629
00:30:54,920 --> 00:30:58,360
Speaker 3: This week. Colts are three and three, they started owing two.

630
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:02,600
Speaker 5: They host not Tua and the Dolphins next week, and

631
00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:06,480
Speaker 5: they go to Houston. They're in this thing, and do

632
00:31:06,600 --> 00:31:10,080
Speaker 5: you bench Joe Flacco to go back to the quarterback

633
00:31:10,160 --> 00:31:12,400
Speaker 5: that can't hit your receivers.

634
00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:13,640
Speaker 3: I think they have a.

635
00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:16,400
Speaker 5: Real problem on their hands that they weren't expecting here,

636
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:18,320
Speaker 5: So that to me is something to keep an eye on.

637
00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:21,440
Speaker 1: An indie speaking of Shane Steike and yeah, I mean,

638
00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:25,600
Speaker 1: Josh Downs and Flacco clearly have a connection. No tailor

639
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:28,840
Speaker 1: again today and it only took twenty points, but they

640
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:31,680
Speaker 1: but they got there. Pittsburgh in Vegas met in the

641
00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:37,000
Speaker 1: four o'clock window, Steelers thirty two thirteen Pittsburgh covers the

642
00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:39,760
Speaker 1: short number of three did close three and a half?

643
00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:41,920
Speaker 1: Total does go over thirty six and a half.

644
00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:46,800
Speaker 6: Evan Abrams, Yeah, I mean I tried to talk myself

645
00:31:46,840 --> 00:31:50,240
Speaker 6: into the fact that Aidan O'Connell is an improvement versus

646
00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:53,800
Speaker 6: Gardner Minshew. But by the time the game ended and

647
00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:55,520
Speaker 6: I looked at the box score and I looked at

648
00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:57,880
Speaker 6: everything that had happened, it was even really tough to

649
00:31:57,880 --> 00:31:59,760
Speaker 6: make that argument. So I think I probably just have

650
00:31:59,840 --> 00:32:02,920
Speaker 6: to say that when you have none, you still have none.

651
00:32:04,160 --> 00:32:06,080
Speaker 2: They don't have the right quarterback in the room.

652
00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:09,400
Speaker 6: It's not helping Antonio Pierce at all week to week,

653
00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:11,840
Speaker 6: and I think this is just gonna be the Raiders

654
00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:14,160
Speaker 6: the rest of the year. You saw a really dejected

655
00:32:14,200 --> 00:32:16,440
Speaker 6: Max Crosby at the end of the game in his

656
00:32:16,480 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 6: press conference just basically say it's up to the players because.

657
00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:20,440
Speaker 2: We're letting down the fans.

658
00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:23,080
Speaker 6: And I think that's kind of what you're seeing out

659
00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:25,320
Speaker 6: of this Raiders team week to week. I kind of

660
00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:27,440
Speaker 6: hope Devonte gets out of there and they just figure

661
00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:31,720
Speaker 6: out a way to give Trey Tucker and Brock Bowers

662
00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:35,280
Speaker 6: and some of these younger players some more run and

663
00:32:35,400 --> 00:32:38,320
Speaker 6: just try something different. I mean, they were talking about

664
00:32:38,320 --> 00:32:40,240
Speaker 6: Shador and all these other things. You just need another

665
00:32:40,320 --> 00:32:42,560
Speaker 6: quarterback in the room. So I don't know if there's

666
00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:43,840
Speaker 6: much to say about the Raiders on.

667
00:32:43,800 --> 00:32:44,840
Speaker 2: The Pittsburgh side.

668
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:48,360
Speaker 6: Justin Fields fourteen to twenty four hundred and forty five yards,

669
00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:50,600
Speaker 6: but he started the game eighty three passing yards in

670
00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:54,240
Speaker 6: seventeen attempts. It's just it's what you're gonna get from

671
00:32:54,360 --> 00:32:57,080
Speaker 6: Justin Fields week to week. But with Pittsburgh's defense, it

672
00:32:57,160 --> 00:33:00,360
Speaker 6: really doesn't matter. And that's why you don't want Russell

673
00:33:00,360 --> 00:33:03,400
Speaker 6: Wilson back there, because I feel like even though Fields

674
00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:06,280
Speaker 6: does sometimes run backwards, fall in his head and fumble

675
00:33:06,320 --> 00:33:10,640
Speaker 6: the ball, he doesn't do that as much as Russell

676
00:33:10,680 --> 00:33:13,680
Speaker 6: Wilson would because I think Fields listens to Tomlin is

677
00:33:13,720 --> 00:33:15,880
Speaker 6: buying into the system, and I'm not sure you're going

678
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:19,200
Speaker 6: to get that from russ So that's really the notes here.

679
00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:22,200
Speaker 6: The one crazy part for the Raiders they didn't target

680
00:33:22,240 --> 00:33:24,800
Speaker 6: a wide receiver until thirty seconds left in the first half,

681
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:26,520
Speaker 6: and it was a guy named Alex Bachman.

682
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:28,840
Speaker 2: So there's just.

683
00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:32,080
Speaker 6: Some real bad stuff going on there. But if you're

684
00:33:32,080 --> 00:33:34,400
Speaker 6: going to look forward, you can't turn over the ball

685
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:37,720
Speaker 6: three times. Pittsburgh had no turnovers under Tomlin. When a

686
00:33:38,240 --> 00:33:41,080
Speaker 6: plus three turnover margin, He's twenty three and one straight up,

687
00:33:41,120 --> 00:33:43,040
Speaker 6: twenty two and two against the spread. You're just not

688
00:33:43,120 --> 00:33:45,520
Speaker 6: going to beat Pittsburgh that way by giving them the

689
00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:48,360
Speaker 6: ball and letting them hold the clock. And I'll give

690
00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:51,080
Speaker 6: you two more stat that I'll use every single week

691
00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:53,920
Speaker 6: because it just damn keeps working when opponents score more

692
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:56,520
Speaker 6: than twenty points versus Field, seeing they're twenty two to zero.

693
00:33:56,960 --> 00:33:59,880
Speaker 6: Didn't happen today. So all fourteen of Field's wins have

694
00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:02,840
Speaker 6: I've come with opponents scoring twenty points or less. Uh,

695
00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:05,240
Speaker 6: that's just the way his teams have done it with

696
00:34:05,280 --> 00:34:08,800
Speaker 6: great defense between Chicago and Pittsburgh and then looking ahead one.

697
00:34:09,000 --> 00:34:11,560
Speaker 6: This is just a fun trend that I've been tracking

698
00:34:11,640 --> 00:34:13,560
Speaker 6: that I just want to use right now. So the

699
00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:16,960
Speaker 6: Steelers are coming off this Raiders game. Teams after facing

700
00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:20,440
Speaker 6: the Raiders in Vegas without a bye, so game to

701
00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:23,520
Speaker 6: game eleven, twenty two to one against the spread, zero

702
00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:24,560
Speaker 6: in two this season.

703
00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:27,000
Speaker 2: So you know, everyone.

704
00:34:26,680 --> 00:34:29,200
Speaker 6: Understands coming back from Vegas eas and easy when you're

705
00:34:29,200 --> 00:34:30,040
Speaker 6: going back to your job.

706
00:34:30,160 --> 00:34:32,160
Speaker 2: So maybe NFL players are feeling the same.

707
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,920
Speaker 1: Alex Bachman an undrafted free agent out of Wake Forest.

708
00:34:36,239 --> 00:34:40,200
Speaker 1: I didn't know who he was either. I was like drafted.

709
00:34:40,200 --> 00:34:43,440
Speaker 1: I hope, I hope he did not. So yeah, someone

710
00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:45,640
Speaker 1: named Alex Bachman. Good for you.

711
00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:48,399
Speaker 3: Just wait till we get to the Chargers Broncos games.

712
00:34:48,400 --> 00:34:50,920
Speaker 5: If you're looking for receivers you never heard of before,

713
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:52,919
Speaker 5: we got them all on the AFC last right now.

714
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:56,319
Speaker 1: And you did tease that in best Bets discussing that

715
00:34:56,400 --> 00:34:58,840
Speaker 1: team you were you were right about that. Stay tuned,

716
00:34:58,880 --> 00:35:00,800
Speaker 1: by the way, we've got the hot read from Brandon.

717
00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:03,799
Speaker 1: Also Monday night football look on Buffalo and New York.

718
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:07,520
Speaker 1: That's coming up very shortly. Arizona Green Bay was a

719
00:35:07,560 --> 00:35:11,239
Speaker 1: one o'clock game, Packers thirty four. This game should have

720
00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:15,120
Speaker 1: been in the four o'clock window instead of nailed it

721
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:18,600
Speaker 1: the Atlanta and Carolina game. Just for the Green Bay

722
00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:22,719
Speaker 1: Gravitational Force that is the Packers. They delivered thirty four

723
00:35:22,719 --> 00:35:24,920
Speaker 1: to thirteen. They cover five and a half. Brandon total

724
00:35:25,000 --> 00:35:28,520
Speaker 1: goes over Kyler Murray. There was some fight there, but

725
00:35:28,640 --> 00:35:32,120
Speaker 1: Jordan Love looked pretty good. Jayden Reid brief exit Jordan

726
00:35:32,160 --> 00:35:34,919
Speaker 1: Loves sprinkling the love to everybody this game.

727
00:35:35,080 --> 00:35:37,759
Speaker 5: Yeah we Love has twelve touchdowns now and he's only

728
00:35:37,760 --> 00:35:40,120
Speaker 5: played four games. Number he missed those two games, so

729
00:35:40,800 --> 00:35:43,759
Speaker 5: he's leading the league in touchdowns per gas three per game.

730
00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:46,799
Speaker 5: That's a pace even with the two games out pace

731
00:35:46,880 --> 00:35:51,040
Speaker 5: for forty five touchdowns. Unfortunately, he's also pacing for half

732
00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:53,239
Speaker 5: that meun receptions right now because he's at least one

733
00:35:53,239 --> 00:35:55,640
Speaker 5: of those every game too. I think Jordan Love is

734
00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:58,279
Speaker 5: very much still alive in the MVP conversation. You keep

735
00:35:58,400 --> 00:36:01,120
Speaker 5: throwing three touchdowns a game, four in this one, you're

736
00:36:01,160 --> 00:36:04,080
Speaker 5: gonna be in the mix. There shredded a pretty bad

737
00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:06,759
Speaker 5: Arizona defense depending.

738
00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:07,560
Speaker 3: On where you got the total.

739
00:36:07,840 --> 00:36:09,799
Speaker 5: This was a total that kept getting bet down all

740
00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:12,040
Speaker 5: week long. It was a really windy forecast, so they

741
00:36:12,120 --> 00:36:15,120
Speaker 5: just money kept coming on. The under started around like

742
00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:16,880
Speaker 5: fifty to forty nine and a half, got down to

743
00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:19,279
Speaker 5: forty seven and a half. I think it closed it

744
00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:21,399
Speaker 5: at forty seven some books, So a lot of push

745
00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:24,080
Speaker 5: at the finish there. Unlucky if you went to the

746
00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:27,080
Speaker 5: over on this one, thirty, it's twenty four to nothing.

747
00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:29,759
Speaker 5: Packers second quarter twenty four to ten of the half,

748
00:36:29,760 --> 00:36:32,080
Speaker 5: so thirty four points. Well, they got thirteen in the

749
00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:36,040
Speaker 5: second half. Packers missed the field goal second half, Arizona

750
00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:38,520
Speaker 5: three last drives in a row end in the fumble.

751
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:41,239
Speaker 5: These defenses weren't doing a whole lot, but just got

752
00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:44,400
Speaker 5: some bad luck there. Depending on where you got the number,

753
00:36:44,400 --> 00:36:46,399
Speaker 5: you might have either gotten a good beat or bad beat.

754
00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:48,200
Speaker 5: That to me was the only real story out of

755
00:36:48,200 --> 00:36:49,600
Speaker 5: this one. But the Packers look good.

756
00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:51,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, and look you guys.

757
00:36:52,320 --> 00:36:53,480
Speaker 1: But I don't mean to speak for both of you,

758
00:36:53,520 --> 00:36:56,440
Speaker 1: but I think most folks at Action have cautioned folks

759
00:36:57,000 --> 00:37:01,439
Speaker 1: with the CJ. Stroud MVP Love, You've got Houston at

760
00:37:01,520 --> 00:37:07,240
Speaker 1: Green Bay next week. Packer's short favorite Jordan Love delivers

761
00:37:07,280 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 1: in that spot. I'm curious how that fluctuates the the

762
00:37:10,680 --> 00:37:14,560
Speaker 1: MVP conversation. CJ. Stroud, as I mentioned earlier, tied with

763
00:37:14,760 --> 00:37:18,640
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson for the second shortest odds for MVP Jordan

764
00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:22,200
Speaker 1: Love right now is twenty to one. NFL MVP Evan

765
00:37:22,239 --> 00:37:27,200
Speaker 1: Abrams Chargers and Denver Broncos. Chargers go up twenty three

766
00:37:27,239 --> 00:37:31,640
Speaker 1: to nothing sixteen unanswered from Denver. They make it sweaty

767
00:37:31,920 --> 00:37:35,640
Speaker 1: down the stretch. If you had if you had Chargers

768
00:37:35,880 --> 00:37:37,840
Speaker 1: lay in the short number, you did get there minus

769
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:39,799
Speaker 1: two and a half. The closing number total does go

770
00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:42,680
Speaker 1: over thirty seven and a half points.

771
00:37:42,880 --> 00:37:45,520
Speaker 6: Yeah, this was a first half versus second half type

772
00:37:45,520 --> 00:37:48,480
Speaker 6: game because Denver scored all sixteen of their points in

773
00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:51,920
Speaker 6: the fourth quarter. Bo Nicks looked better in the second

774
00:37:51,960 --> 00:37:54,520
Speaker 6: half than he did the first half because he starts

775
00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:58,640
Speaker 6: two of seven for fourteen yards in interception four fourteen

776
00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:02,520
Speaker 6: twenty seven yards interception. He was one point nine yards

777
00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:06,280
Speaker 6: per attempt early on. He finishes at six point five.

778
00:38:06,400 --> 00:38:08,279
Speaker 6: So heck of a second half and heck of a

779
00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:12,520
Speaker 6: jump there. I mean, all around, Denver just feels like

780
00:38:12,560 --> 00:38:15,239
Speaker 6: they're piecing it together week to week. Their run game

781
00:38:15,320 --> 00:38:19,840
Speaker 6: is just atrocious. Knicks was six of sixty one on

782
00:38:19,880 --> 00:38:22,280
Speaker 6: the ground, tied for the most carriags on the team

783
00:38:22,440 --> 00:38:24,520
Speaker 6: and had the most rushing yard. So if that doesn't

784
00:38:24,560 --> 00:38:27,560
Speaker 6: tell you anything, they just you know, you fall behind,

785
00:38:27,960 --> 00:38:30,080
Speaker 6: you change the way you play. But that's just not

786
00:38:30,160 --> 00:38:32,400
Speaker 6: the way Bone Nicks plays. So I think it was just,

787
00:38:32,560 --> 00:38:34,640
Speaker 6: you know, they looked good in the second half. I

788
00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:36,359
Speaker 6: think it was good that they got back in the game.

789
00:38:36,760 --> 00:38:38,680
Speaker 6: The thing that really just jumps out to me is

790
00:38:38,719 --> 00:38:41,480
Speaker 6: the fact that knickses now have three starts so far

791
00:38:41,520 --> 00:38:43,320
Speaker 6: this season where he's been shut out.

792
00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 2: In the first half. You can't win games.

793
00:38:46,120 --> 00:38:48,880
Speaker 6: Without scoring a single point for the first two quarters

794
00:38:48,880 --> 00:38:51,319
Speaker 6: and think you're gonna come back. It's just not a

795
00:38:51,360 --> 00:38:54,200
Speaker 6: type of league that's gonna happen. And you know, I

796
00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:56,120
Speaker 6: think they lost their ten in this game too. Was

797
00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:59,319
Speaker 6: a concussion or he left the game at some point. Yeah,

798
00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:02,480
Speaker 6: so that is definitely one thing to worry about going forward.

799
00:39:03,480 --> 00:39:06,680
Speaker 6: And the way, Yeah, it's a really good point, So

800
00:39:07,080 --> 00:39:09,200
Speaker 6: definitely a bit And right looking at that line right now,

801
00:39:09,239 --> 00:39:11,840
Speaker 6: I think Denver's minus one. It's basically a pick them

802
00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:14,040
Speaker 6: with a total under thirty seven.

803
00:39:13,880 --> 00:39:15,399
Speaker 1: So short dog plus one of a half.

804
00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:16,120
Speaker 2: There you go.

805
00:39:16,560 --> 00:39:20,600
Speaker 6: But Chargers eleven of eighteen on third down in this

806
00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:23,400
Speaker 6: game pretty much won them the game. They controlled the clock,

807
00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:26,480
Speaker 6: they kept the ball, and they held on uh. And

808
00:39:26,520 --> 00:39:29,200
Speaker 6: that's probably the easiest way to look at it. The

809
00:39:29,200 --> 00:39:31,879
Speaker 6: one interesting stat that I looked at for this one.

810
00:39:32,440 --> 00:39:36,640
Speaker 6: H Harbaugh on extended rests now fifteen to five and

811
00:39:36,760 --> 00:39:39,479
Speaker 6: one straight up in his pro career with the forty

812
00:39:39,560 --> 00:39:42,239
Speaker 6: nine Ers and Chargers does real good on the game plan.

813
00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:44,160
Speaker 6: And we had talked about this, at least I had

814
00:39:44,160 --> 00:39:46,920
Speaker 6: in my article this week. You know, by versus not

815
00:39:47,080 --> 00:39:49,920
Speaker 6: by it's about fifty eight percent straight up. You kind

816
00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:52,360
Speaker 6: of saw that earlier in this game. Chargers looked, you know,

817
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:54,560
Speaker 6: even on a few injuries, they looked rested.

818
00:39:55,040 --> 00:39:55,239
Speaker 4: Uh.

819
00:39:55,280 --> 00:39:57,680
Speaker 6: And it's interesting that the Broncos going back to twenty

820
00:39:57,680 --> 00:40:00,640
Speaker 6: twenty one now oh and six up and against the

821
00:40:00,680 --> 00:40:03,200
Speaker 6: spread the week after they play the Raiders, so maybe

822
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:05,000
Speaker 6: they get a little bit of a downturn there.

823
00:40:05,560 --> 00:40:07,360
Speaker 1: Who is Simmi Fajoco?

824
00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:08,200
Speaker 2: Yeah?

825
00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:11,480
Speaker 1: Who is Devonveal?

826
00:40:11,920 --> 00:40:13,600
Speaker 2: Yeah? I was gonna read Brandon's tweet.

827
00:40:13,760 --> 00:40:16,000
Speaker 6: Brandon had a great tweet which is just an actual

828
00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:19,000
Speaker 6: NFL game today that happens. Some dudes named Simmi Fojoco

829
00:40:19,080 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 6: and Devona Vala And that's the way I'm gonna pronounce it.

830
00:40:21,600 --> 00:40:22,799
Speaker 2: And if it's not that.

831
00:40:22,800 --> 00:40:26,239
Speaker 1: Way, von Vay football, thank you.

832
00:40:26,760 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 3: Ah.

833
00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:29,359
Speaker 6: So they led the teams in receiving in this one.

834
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:34,040
Speaker 6: This was These are two teams. You know what's interesting.

835
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:37,239
Speaker 6: The teams aren't great, the head coaches are. So it's

836
00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:39,960
Speaker 6: interesting trying to watch both of them try to figure

837
00:40:40,000 --> 00:40:41,640
Speaker 6: out their teams and get the most out of them.

838
00:40:41,920 --> 00:40:44,600
Speaker 6: And seeing how the Chargers have played twenty twenty four

839
00:40:44,800 --> 00:40:47,680
Speaker 6: versus how they played under Staley and other head coaches

840
00:40:48,080 --> 00:40:50,440
Speaker 6: just kind of fascinating in the way that Harbaugh is.

841
00:40:51,080 --> 00:40:54,239
Speaker 6: He's winning games, but he's winning games his way. They're

842
00:40:54,280 --> 00:40:57,080
Speaker 6: allowing like twelve thirteen points per game entering this week.

843
00:40:57,280 --> 00:40:59,400
Speaker 6: They're running the ball a ton that he's not asking

844
00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:01,680
Speaker 6: Herbert to do a lot. And when he traded all

845
00:41:01,719 --> 00:41:05,720
Speaker 6: those receivers away, everyone was like, how is La gonna win? Well,

846
00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:06,799
Speaker 6: this is how they're gonna win.

847
00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:10,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, charge we'll I'll put you on the spot.

848
00:41:11,120 --> 00:41:13,480
Speaker 1: Chargers might be I mean out of this game. This

849
00:41:13,640 --> 00:41:15,600
Speaker 1: closed at thirty seven and a half and the eight

850
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:17,000
Speaker 1: Ford one to the under.

851
00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:20,160
Speaker 6: I could check for you, But all I know is,

852
00:41:20,360 --> 00:41:22,400
Speaker 6: I mean it would make sense to the fact they

853
00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:25,000
Speaker 6: they were allowing like twelve points per game, best in

854
00:41:25,000 --> 00:41:27,520
Speaker 6: the league. Jury they were better than Pittsburgh this year,

855
00:41:27,600 --> 00:41:30,200
Speaker 6: so twenty they were four and out of the under

856
00:41:30,200 --> 00:41:30,799
Speaker 6: before this one.

857
00:41:30,800 --> 00:41:31,880
Speaker 3: But then on the.

858
00:41:31,880 --> 00:41:36,759
Speaker 1: Sun twenty two to ten, twenty six, three, twenty to ten,

859
00:41:36,920 --> 00:41:40,360
Speaker 1: seventeen to ten, twenty three, sixteen, and they're three and

860
00:41:40,400 --> 00:41:44,359
Speaker 1: two Chargers Off the bye week, Jim Harbad gets done

861
00:41:44,360 --> 00:41:47,960
Speaker 1: against Sean Payton, and we got two more because these

862
00:41:47,960 --> 00:41:49,400
Speaker 1: guys didn't want to talk about the London game. I

863
00:41:49,400 --> 00:41:52,560
Speaker 1: guess it wasn't in our rundowns. At the end, Houston,

864
00:41:52,640 --> 00:41:55,600
Speaker 1: New England, Drake May makes his NFL debut as a

865
00:41:55,640 --> 00:42:00,200
Speaker 1: starting quarterback Forty one to twenty one Houston. They over

866
00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:04,359
Speaker 1: six and a half seven total. Goes way over right,

867
00:42:04,480 --> 00:42:06,759
Speaker 1: and I'm encouraged. As a Patriots fan, I think they

868
00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:10,680
Speaker 1: have a quarterback here. But speaking of Justin Herbert, this

869
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:14,919
Speaker 1: Drake May performance kind of reminded me of bad Chargers, like, look,

870
00:42:15,000 --> 00:42:17,400
Speaker 1: we have a guy. A record might really stink, but

871
00:42:17,520 --> 00:42:20,280
Speaker 1: we have something here, right, Yeah.

872
00:42:20,120 --> 00:42:22,840
Speaker 5: Yeah, I think Drake May is the story here. Texans

873
00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:25,560
Speaker 5: go to five and one still feel underwhelming. It's kind

874
00:42:25,560 --> 00:42:26,879
Speaker 5: of the same thing early down.

875
00:42:27,320 --> 00:42:32,400
Speaker 1: Speaking of luck rankings, Good god, this team, this is

876
00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:35,760
Speaker 1: vikings Let two years ago. This team is getting so lucky.

877
00:42:35,800 --> 00:42:36,920
Speaker 1: It's bugging me.

878
00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:40,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, they did not deserve their forty one here. They

879
00:42:40,160 --> 00:42:41,799
Speaker 5: got some help along the way. I mean, I guess

880
00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:45,359
Speaker 5: the defense earned what they did. We said I went

881
00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:49,480
Speaker 5: with half a unit on a Patriots cover in under here,

882
00:42:49,520 --> 00:42:52,400
Speaker 5: which obviously went the exact other way. It is fine,

883
00:42:52,440 --> 00:42:54,480
Speaker 5: it's supposed to go the other way. The point is,

884
00:42:54,600 --> 00:42:56,840
Speaker 5: if there was going to be a Patriots cover is

885
00:42:56,840 --> 00:42:58,040
Speaker 5: probably have to be a little scoring.

886
00:42:58,080 --> 00:42:58,600
Speaker 3: It wasn't.

887
00:42:59,239 --> 00:43:03,239
Speaker 5: We said in that preview, Drake May means variance, Drake

888
00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:06,320
Speaker 5: Maymond variance. It turned out Drake May added some variants

889
00:43:06,480 --> 00:43:10,439
Speaker 5: for better and for worse. Here three touchdown passes, some

890
00:43:10,480 --> 00:43:13,080
Speaker 5: pretty nice dimes. He dropped in his very first one

891
00:43:13,480 --> 00:43:15,680
Speaker 5: right over the shoulder, right over the defender of really

892
00:43:15,760 --> 00:43:18,759
Speaker 5: nice throw. We get Dameyra Douglas into the end zone

893
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:19,960
Speaker 5: first time in his career.

894
00:43:20,160 --> 00:43:20,920
Speaker 3: That's fun.

895
00:43:21,320 --> 00:43:23,040
Speaker 5: I think we had another guy hadn't heard of got

896
00:43:23,040 --> 00:43:25,160
Speaker 5: into the en zone for his first touchdown his career.

897
00:43:25,840 --> 00:43:28,840
Speaker 5: Highest Patriots total the season twenty one. We hadn't broken

898
00:43:28,880 --> 00:43:32,480
Speaker 5: twenty yet for any Patriots game under Jacoby Brissett. What

899
00:43:33,719 --> 00:43:37,640
Speaker 5: returnovers for Drake May. We got two interceptions, we get

900
00:43:37,680 --> 00:43:40,960
Speaker 5: got four sacks fourteen to seven at the half, kind

901
00:43:40,960 --> 00:43:44,400
Speaker 5: of hanging around second play the second half stripsacked by

902
00:43:44,520 --> 00:43:49,480
Speaker 5: Daniel Hunter. Twenty one seven gets ugly from there. Go

903
00:43:49,600 --> 00:43:52,080
Speaker 5: to rookie quarterback. You're making your first start. You're gonna

904
00:43:52,120 --> 00:43:53,160
Speaker 5: get the good and the bad.

905
00:43:53,760 --> 00:43:54,840
Speaker 3: Ye the Patriots, I don't know.

906
00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:56,920
Speaker 5: You're fine losing the game right like this season, we

907
00:43:56,960 --> 00:43:58,799
Speaker 5: know where it's headed. You get the high draft pick.

908
00:43:59,160 --> 00:44:01,799
Speaker 5: Pretty good stuff to feel good about. And by the way,

909
00:44:02,400 --> 00:44:07,000
Speaker 5: little segue for you here, Brendan Drake May. Next Sunday,

910
00:44:07,320 --> 00:44:10,400
Speaker 5: how about playing a rookie quarterback against the worst defense

911
00:44:10,440 --> 00:44:13,160
Speaker 5: in the league right now, Jacksonville when they go to

912
00:44:13,200 --> 00:44:14,400
Speaker 5: London where.

913
00:44:14,280 --> 00:44:17,360
Speaker 3: Jacksonville played today. I send it to you, Brendan.

914
00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:23,160
Speaker 1: London Bears, Jaguars. I'm curious both of your thoughts on this.

915
00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:27,560
Speaker 1: Jaden Daniels is the deserving favorite. I think yes right

916
00:44:27,600 --> 00:44:30,759
Speaker 1: now for Offensive Rookie of the Year. Caleb Williams is

917
00:44:30,800 --> 00:44:33,960
Speaker 1: now at plus one point fifty five for offensive Rookie

918
00:44:34,000 --> 00:44:38,840
Speaker 1: of the Year Jaden Daniels minus one ninety. Evan Abrams

919
00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:41,880
Speaker 1: Williams looked pretty good in this game. This was non competitive.

920
00:44:42,440 --> 00:44:45,520
Speaker 1: The Bears deliver thirty five sixteen. They cover the short

921
00:44:45,600 --> 00:44:47,040
Speaker 1: number of two total goes over.

922
00:44:47,560 --> 00:44:52,359
Speaker 6: Yeah, Jacksonville just is playing sloppy. And I think I'm saying,

923
00:44:53,160 --> 00:44:55,399
Speaker 6: not only is it the sloppiness of the play from

924
00:44:55,440 --> 00:44:59,000
Speaker 6: the entire team, but I think Trevor Lawrence has regressed.

925
00:45:00,120 --> 00:45:01,919
Speaker 6: I just see it in his game week to week.

926
00:45:02,000 --> 00:45:05,800
Speaker 6: The passes are being overthrown. It just doesn't look clean,

927
00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:08,960
Speaker 6: and it looks really hard in an offense that we

928
00:45:09,000 --> 00:45:10,160
Speaker 6: thought would look much better.

929
00:45:10,200 --> 00:45:11,760
Speaker 2: That's a b.

930
00:45:13,320 --> 00:45:18,080
Speaker 6: Etn's been terrible, like often, like any anytime you've been

931
00:45:18,080 --> 00:45:20,239
Speaker 6: giving him the ball lately, and that's why they've been

932
00:45:20,239 --> 00:45:23,200
Speaker 6: going to tank Bigsby so much. Is it just looks

933
00:45:23,400 --> 00:45:27,879
Speaker 6: really bad. So I think overall, and I and Doug

934
00:45:27,920 --> 00:45:30,640
Speaker 6: Peterson said this in his postgame press conference, which was

935
00:45:30,960 --> 00:45:33,720
Speaker 6: we've got to change culture currently.

936
00:45:33,760 --> 00:45:34,759
Speaker 1: And what.

937
00:45:36,400 --> 00:45:39,080
Speaker 2: A really good place to change culture might be overseas in.

938
00:45:39,120 --> 00:45:41,320
Speaker 1: London our Belichick to play the Patriots.

939
00:45:41,560 --> 00:45:44,719
Speaker 6: I mean maybe maybe going over there and having this

940
00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:47,200
Speaker 6: week and listen next week. It looks like the line

941
00:45:47,400 --> 00:45:52,720
Speaker 6: is six six right now for Jacksonville. I just couldn't

942
00:45:52,760 --> 00:45:56,240
Speaker 6: imagine wanting to gamble on the spread in that game

943
00:45:56,440 --> 00:45:58,439
Speaker 6: because I just I don't know if I can really

944
00:45:58,960 --> 00:46:02,280
Speaker 6: pick a side because I can't lay six. And based

945
00:46:02,280 --> 00:46:04,239
Speaker 6: off of what I saw today, it wouldn't shock me

946
00:46:04,280 --> 00:46:08,080
Speaker 6: if May had more turnovers and looked good but also

947
00:46:08,280 --> 00:46:10,600
Speaker 6: gave the ball away too much to keep them in

948
00:46:10,600 --> 00:46:14,120
Speaker 6: the game at some point. So to me, next week

949
00:46:14,239 --> 00:46:17,920
Speaker 6: is a wait and see and just try to digest information.

950
00:46:18,880 --> 00:46:23,760
Speaker 5: Any thoughts here, Brandon, Yeah, I mean Caleb Williams four touchdowns. Obviously,

951
00:46:24,160 --> 00:46:26,359
Speaker 5: we just talked about Drake May. You're getting excited about

952
00:46:26,400 --> 00:46:29,319
Speaker 5: the big plays for your rookie Bears fans. He got

953
00:46:29,360 --> 00:46:32,840
Speaker 5: a quarterback four touchdowns. Just get excited. Be excited about

954
00:46:32,920 --> 00:46:35,920
Speaker 5: your quarterback. It's only the twenty fifth time in Chicago

955
00:46:35,920 --> 00:46:39,920
Speaker 5: Bearry's history that a quarterback threw four touchdowns. Caleb Williams

956
00:46:40,080 --> 00:46:43,560
Speaker 5: is now tied for the sixth most four touchdown passing

957
00:46:43,600 --> 00:46:48,120
Speaker 5: games in Chicago Bear's history. That's the story here, I

958
00:46:48,200 --> 00:46:51,200
Speaker 5: do think again, that's the thing we acted last week.

959
00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:54,160
Speaker 3: Caleb Williams looks like he's progressing.

960
00:46:54,239 --> 00:46:56,840
Speaker 5: He is, he's looking much better, but he's also faced

961
00:46:56,960 --> 00:47:00,000
Speaker 5: the bottom three defenses in the NFL the last three weeks.

962
00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:04,600
Speaker 5: As he's progressing, I gave you some love Bears fans.

963
00:47:05,600 --> 00:47:07,880
Speaker 5: Now's the time to fade the Bears. I had the

964
00:47:07,960 --> 00:47:13,520
Speaker 5: spot circle down my calendar waiting till after Carolina, after Jacksonville.

965
00:47:14,360 --> 00:47:17,480
Speaker 5: Now's when I want the win total under before the season.

966
00:47:17,560 --> 00:47:19,720
Speaker 5: We you know the Bears first half of the season

967
00:47:20,200 --> 00:47:24,080
Speaker 5: thirtieth in DVA schedule wise, second half of the season fourth.

968
00:47:24,600 --> 00:47:26,719
Speaker 3: Here's how the schedule looks. They got the bye week.

969
00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:30,399
Speaker 5: Now, then we get Caleb Williams against two rookies two

970
00:47:30,400 --> 00:47:33,840
Speaker 5: of the next three. We got Caleb against Jane Daniels.

971
00:47:34,080 --> 00:47:37,160
Speaker 5: Next game, there's the big Rookie of year showdown. It's

972
00:47:37,200 --> 00:47:42,160
Speaker 5: in Washington. Caleb looks good, Washington's offense looks better. I

973
00:47:42,160 --> 00:47:47,160
Speaker 5: think advantage Washington there. They'll certainly be favored Cardinals at Arizona.

974
00:47:47,200 --> 00:47:50,280
Speaker 5: That's not easy. One Patriot to get the Drake may matchup.

975
00:47:50,719 --> 00:47:55,000
Speaker 5: After that, though, all six division games are still waiting.

976
00:47:55,360 --> 00:48:00,880
Speaker 5: Against Green Bay twice, Minnesota twice, Detroit twice, San Francisco

977
00:48:01,080 --> 00:48:06,880
Speaker 5: in there, Seattle in there. It is going to get Yeah,

978
00:48:07,000 --> 00:48:11,160
Speaker 5: they get everything still, So this win total, they're going

979
00:48:11,200 --> 00:48:14,120
Speaker 5: to be priced now like this is a true playoff

980
00:48:14,280 --> 00:48:15,480
Speaker 5: contending team.

981
00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:16,560
Speaker 3: I'm not there.

982
00:48:16,760 --> 00:48:19,920
Speaker 5: This is a team that just played Carolina and Jacksonville.

983
00:48:19,920 --> 00:48:23,160
Speaker 3: That's what they are. You should feel good, you should

984
00:48:23,160 --> 00:48:25,439
Speaker 3: feel great. It looks good. You're FOURIGN two.

985
00:48:25,880 --> 00:48:28,200
Speaker 5: You're still the worst team in the division right now.

986
00:48:28,280 --> 00:48:31,240
Speaker 5: Pretty clearly, I think on how things look going forward

987
00:48:31,560 --> 00:48:34,920
Speaker 5: with a tough schedule, and I have to be baiting

988
00:48:34,960 --> 00:48:36,960
Speaker 5: the Bears going forward, I think this is the exact

989
00:48:37,000 --> 00:48:37,640
Speaker 5: spot to do it.

990
00:48:37,960 --> 00:48:43,200
Speaker 1: Wow, that is that is fascinating. Yeah, you're right. I

991
00:48:43,200 --> 00:48:46,520
Speaker 1: mean after New England, it's division games in San Francisco

992
00:48:46,560 --> 00:48:47,160
Speaker 1: and Seattle.

993
00:48:47,280 --> 00:48:48,840
Speaker 3: Wow, that's a wow.

994
00:48:49,400 --> 00:48:52,239
Speaker 5: Yeah, this is a spot I have a little list

995
00:48:52,280 --> 00:48:54,640
Speaker 5: of like each week in the NFL, who's the team,

996
00:48:54,840 --> 00:48:56,320
Speaker 5: where's the pivot in the schedule.

997
00:48:56,800 --> 00:48:59,000
Speaker 3: This is it. This is the Chicago spot.

998
00:48:59,200 --> 00:49:01,560
Speaker 5: You're not going to get any higher point on Chicago

999
00:49:01,920 --> 00:49:04,080
Speaker 5: than off of these two games, and I think it's

1000
00:49:04,120 --> 00:49:06,400
Speaker 5: gonna get a lot lower at some point going forward.

1001
00:49:06,480 --> 00:49:09,719
Speaker 3: So this is the spot to sell high on Chicago.

1002
00:49:09,880 --> 00:49:13,520
Speaker 1: So yeah, So in Washington, the Commanders get Carolina next

1003
00:49:13,520 --> 00:49:15,320
Speaker 1: at home, laying seven and a half.

1004
00:49:15,480 --> 00:49:15,799
Speaker 7: So that.

1005
00:49:17,280 --> 00:49:19,600
Speaker 1: Obviously, in the preseason or the training camp, if you

1006
00:49:19,719 --> 00:49:22,799
Speaker 1: got the Caleb william of the Jade and Daniels plus

1007
00:49:22,840 --> 00:49:25,719
Speaker 1: six hundred offensive rookie of the year, take that and ride.

1008
00:49:27,840 --> 00:49:29,319
Speaker 1: There's no value on Caleb right now.

1009
00:49:29,360 --> 00:49:32,960
Speaker 5: Right If you want Caleb, certainly wait a week because

1010
00:49:33,040 --> 00:49:35,800
Speaker 5: Jane Daniels is gonna put up seven hundred touchdowns on

1011
00:49:35,840 --> 00:49:38,600
Speaker 5: the Panthers next week and Caleb's odds have to drop

1012
00:49:38,640 --> 00:49:39,040
Speaker 5: after that.

1013
00:49:39,640 --> 00:49:42,160
Speaker 1: Very good, All right, there you go, there's a sleep breakdown.

1014
00:49:42,280 --> 00:49:55,239
Speaker 1: Let's do Monday Night football Buffalo and the Jets. Okay,

1015
00:49:56,000 --> 00:50:00,360
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers and the Jets. After firing Robert Sala change

1016
00:50:00,400 --> 00:50:04,279
Speaker 1: the offensive play caller, the number has slightly moved. The

1017
00:50:04,360 --> 00:50:06,640
Speaker 1: Jets are now just one of the half point underdogs

1018
00:50:06,640 --> 00:50:09,200
Speaker 1: as opposed to two and a half totals at forty

1019
00:50:09,200 --> 00:50:13,440
Speaker 1: and a half. Brandon, you already gave out Josh Allen

1020
00:50:13,480 --> 00:50:17,719
Speaker 1: to throw an interception in this game. What's the temperature

1021
00:50:17,760 --> 00:50:20,160
Speaker 1: of Bills and Jets Monday Night?

1022
00:50:21,040 --> 00:50:23,800
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's a tough one. I gave out Josh Allen interception.

1023
00:50:23,920 --> 00:50:26,000
Speaker 5: That's still my pick here. I'm not gonna end up

1024
00:50:26,000 --> 00:50:28,400
Speaker 5: playing a side or total here. So the case for

1025
00:50:28,520 --> 00:50:32,560
Speaker 5: Josh Allen interception. Last two games in New York, where

1026
00:50:32,600 --> 00:50:37,239
Speaker 5: Allen nightmares five sacks each game five interceptions combined. He's

1027
00:50:37,239 --> 00:50:39,760
Speaker 5: had six picks the last four games against the Jets.

1028
00:50:39,800 --> 00:50:42,560
Speaker 5: He's at at least one three straight in New York

1029
00:50:42,560 --> 00:50:46,480
Speaker 5: against the Jets. Looks windy here. He was banged up

1030
00:50:46,560 --> 00:50:50,400
Speaker 5: late possible lake concussion check against Houston. Just seems like

1031
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:53,920
Speaker 5: to me a by low spot on a Josh Allen interception.

1032
00:50:54,560 --> 00:50:58,520
Speaker 5: No interceptions yet this season five point five percent turnover

1033
00:50:58,560 --> 00:51:01,120
Speaker 5: worthy throw rate twenty nine in the NFL. That's the

1034
00:51:01,200 --> 00:51:05,120
Speaker 5: worst for Josh Allen since his rookie season. Hasn't been

1035
00:51:05,160 --> 00:51:07,800
Speaker 5: punished yet. I think that they do punish him here.

1036
00:51:08,640 --> 00:51:11,160
Speaker 5: Minus one twenty is when I play that for the interception.

1037
00:51:11,920 --> 00:51:14,920
Speaker 5: Our interceptions guys you'll go on will tell you usually

1038
00:51:14,960 --> 00:51:17,279
Speaker 5: minus one fifty or longer last season. So I think

1039
00:51:17,320 --> 00:51:19,799
Speaker 5: we're going to discount on the number here. I did

1040
00:51:19,840 --> 00:51:24,880
Speaker 5: sprinkle two picks plus three seventy five man on the

1041
00:51:24,960 --> 00:51:28,040
Speaker 5: side here. On the one hand, I love a good

1042
00:51:28,080 --> 00:51:30,239
Speaker 5: dead cat bounce right. You love to take the team

1043
00:51:30,320 --> 00:51:33,280
Speaker 5: that fired their coach they got rid of Nathaniel Hackett.

1044
00:51:33,760 --> 00:51:36,319
Speaker 5: Todd Downing doesn't really inspire a lot of confidence here.

1045
00:51:36,320 --> 00:51:38,560
Speaker 5: He did not do well in his three years leading

1046
00:51:38,560 --> 00:51:42,960
Speaker 5: an offense. Very inefficient, very run heavy. Run heavy is

1047
00:51:43,000 --> 00:51:46,640
Speaker 5: not the way to go against Buffalo here. I feel

1048
00:51:46,719 --> 00:51:51,239
Speaker 5: almost like the Jets dead cat bounce makes me as

1049
00:51:51,239 --> 00:51:53,320
Speaker 5: it better. If I had to pick a side, maybe

1050
00:51:53,320 --> 00:51:55,640
Speaker 5: go counterintuitive and go back to the Bills. Here, I

1051
00:51:55,640 --> 00:51:58,360
Speaker 5: just think I was playing better football right now, and

1052
00:51:58,440 --> 00:52:01,760
Speaker 5: so if I can kind of talk myself in either direction,

1053
00:52:01,840 --> 00:52:03,920
Speaker 5: that's usually a good singal. I shouldn't play either one

1054
00:52:03,960 --> 00:52:06,480
Speaker 5: of those sides. The under or the total here has

1055
00:52:06,520 --> 00:52:08,839
Speaker 5: dropped four points, so if anything, I would have gone under.

1056
00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:10,040
Speaker 3: But we've now.

1057
00:52:10,000 --> 00:52:14,399
Speaker 5: Passed forty four, forty three, forty one, and almost forty

1058
00:52:14,480 --> 00:52:17,279
Speaker 5: Those are all key numbers. That's the key range. So

1059
00:52:17,320 --> 00:52:19,040
Speaker 5: I don't even play the under anymore either. Now that

1060
00:52:19,080 --> 00:52:21,480
Speaker 5: we've kind of missed this whole range, I'm gonna set

1061
00:52:21,560 --> 00:52:23,360
Speaker 5: out and just hope Josh Allen throws it to the

1062
00:52:23,440 --> 00:52:24,560
Speaker 5: Jets a couple times.

1063
00:52:24,880 --> 00:52:28,839
Speaker 1: Seeing Evan the line change, the Jets team total has

1064
00:52:28,920 --> 00:52:32,560
Speaker 1: ticked to twenty and a half, sure, which you know,

1065
00:52:33,719 --> 00:52:36,200
Speaker 1: Brandon brings up kitchen sink. I would like to think

1066
00:52:36,280 --> 00:52:39,120
Speaker 1: this is sort of a kitchen sink spot for the Jets.

1067
00:52:39,120 --> 00:52:42,680
Speaker 1: Offensively say all that this is for first place the

1068
00:52:42,719 --> 00:52:46,280
Speaker 1: AFC East this game, which is that was the attention

1069
00:52:46,400 --> 00:52:48,960
Speaker 1: after the firing of Sala Like going into a game

1070
00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:51,360
Speaker 1: in which he's really handled his side of the ball.

1071
00:52:52,480 --> 00:52:55,080
Speaker 1: Offense hasn't pieced it together. He changed the play caller.

1072
00:52:56,280 --> 00:52:59,080
Speaker 1: Even if the Jets don't win the game, if they're

1073
00:52:59,239 --> 00:53:02,680
Speaker 1: competent off I think Aaron Rodgers will frame it. We're

1074
00:53:02,760 --> 00:53:05,440
Speaker 1: just fine because even if they lose the game, they're

1075
00:53:05,440 --> 00:53:05,960
Speaker 1: a game out.

1076
00:53:07,400 --> 00:53:09,000
Speaker 6: I do feel like it's kind of ironic that you

1077
00:53:09,040 --> 00:53:12,560
Speaker 6: get the Rogers home Monday night football game against the

1078
00:53:12,600 --> 00:53:15,719
Speaker 6: Bills for the division lead after Week one last year.

1079
00:53:16,040 --> 00:53:20,720
Speaker 6: So this is a runback of hopefully a different scenario.

1080
00:53:20,719 --> 00:53:22,479
Speaker 6: I hope he comes out with the flag and all.

1081
00:53:22,719 --> 00:53:24,320
Speaker 6: I hope we just get it all over again.

1082
00:53:25,200 --> 00:53:27,319
Speaker 2: But I mean, you're gonna hear it, You're gonna hear

1083
00:53:27,320 --> 00:53:28,160
Speaker 2: it from other people.

1084
00:53:28,200 --> 00:53:30,239
Speaker 6: But yeah, you brought up the dead cat bounce in

1085
00:53:30,280 --> 00:53:33,320
Speaker 6: terms of the coaches, So twenty two and sixteen against

1086
00:53:33,320 --> 00:53:37,279
Speaker 6: the spread teams after they fire hit their head coach

1087
00:53:37,320 --> 00:53:39,640
Speaker 6: in the next game, and you know, you would say

1088
00:53:39,640 --> 00:53:42,239
Speaker 6: twenty two and sixteen, you know whatever, So it's you know,

1089
00:53:42,520 --> 00:53:45,880
Speaker 6: small margin is there, but the thirty seven percent ats

1090
00:53:45,880 --> 00:53:48,560
Speaker 6: for those teams entering the firing and then you get

1091
00:53:48,600 --> 00:53:50,880
Speaker 6: twenty two and sixteen is where that comes into play.

1092
00:53:52,080 --> 00:53:54,040
Speaker 6: The thing I look at when I look at this

1093
00:53:54,080 --> 00:53:55,759
Speaker 6: matchup in the bet, and this is the funniest thing

1094
00:53:55,840 --> 00:53:59,040
Speaker 6: is I honestly didn't see Brandon's bet. So I was

1095
00:53:59,040 --> 00:54:01,360
Speaker 6: looking at this game and trying to make a handicap

1096
00:54:01,400 --> 00:54:04,120
Speaker 6: and a few bets myself and said to myself, Josh Allen,

1097
00:54:04,200 --> 00:54:08,000
Speaker 6: interception legitimately. So when you said that to me and

1098
00:54:08,480 --> 00:54:10,880
Speaker 6: that he had bet that, I was laughing. But he

1099
00:54:10,920 --> 00:54:13,600
Speaker 6: hasn't thrown a pick in seven straight games, but he

1100
00:54:13,640 --> 00:54:15,800
Speaker 6: does have six picks in four games versus the Jets,

1101
00:54:16,080 --> 00:54:18,360
Speaker 6: and prior to this seven game stretch of no interceptions,

1102
00:54:18,600 --> 00:54:21,120
Speaker 6: he's an interception in nine straight road games and eleven

1103
00:54:21,120 --> 00:54:21,920
Speaker 6: of his last twelve.

1104
00:54:22,200 --> 00:54:25,560
Speaker 2: So I do feel like Buffalo is probably.

1105
00:54:25,080 --> 00:54:27,080
Speaker 6: The right side if I had to pick ats, But

1106
00:54:27,160 --> 00:54:29,160
Speaker 6: I'm with Brandon. I think there's too many factors on

1107
00:54:29,200 --> 00:54:31,799
Speaker 6: both sides. But I think a Josh pick is something

1108
00:54:31,840 --> 00:54:35,359
Speaker 6: I would bet on. I also think an interesting bet

1109
00:54:35,400 --> 00:54:37,759
Speaker 6: and I was looking at was rush attempts in this one.

1110
00:54:37,800 --> 00:54:40,080
Speaker 6: So Breeze is at thirteen and a half and Brailen's

1111
00:54:40,080 --> 00:54:42,279
Speaker 6: at seven and a half. I was tempted to go

1112
00:54:42,400 --> 00:54:44,920
Speaker 6: under thirteen and a half and over seven and a half.

1113
00:54:45,120 --> 00:54:48,040
Speaker 6: And then look at Breese's over in receiving yards, which

1114
00:54:48,120 --> 00:54:50,120
Speaker 6: I see twenty two and a half at one book

1115
00:54:50,160 --> 00:54:52,279
Speaker 6: in the market, which is a little bit higher everywhere else.

1116
00:54:53,080 --> 00:54:55,080
Speaker 6: So those are the bets that I was looking at

1117
00:54:55,080 --> 00:54:57,520
Speaker 6: with this one, and then you know, we'll see if

1118
00:54:57,520 --> 00:55:00,239
Speaker 6: the Jets can get a win on Prime time. I'm

1119
00:55:00,520 --> 00:55:02,640
Speaker 6: four and thirty for Jets and Giants, as I mentioned

1120
00:55:02,680 --> 00:55:05,000
Speaker 6: off the top, so we will see how it goes.

1121
00:55:05,000 --> 00:55:07,319
Speaker 6: But I think we've talked about this before. Rogers is

1122
00:55:07,320 --> 00:55:09,600
Speaker 6: also really good in Monday Night. I feel like, if

1123
00:55:09,600 --> 00:55:13,399
Speaker 6: I remember the stats, it's like twenty two touchdowns three

1124
00:55:13,520 --> 00:55:17,719
Speaker 6: interception area of something like that. So it's a good

1125
00:55:17,760 --> 00:55:20,360
Speaker 6: spot there. And the Jets did beat the Bills in

1126
00:55:20,400 --> 00:55:23,279
Speaker 6: this exact spot last year without Rogers, so we'll see

1127
00:55:23,320 --> 00:55:23,760
Speaker 6: how it goes.

1128
00:55:24,440 --> 00:55:27,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, all the trends light up. Rogers at home, Rogers'

1129
00:55:27,120 --> 00:55:31,040
Speaker 5: home favor Rogers Monday Night. All those trends are Packers Rogers.

1130
00:55:31,040 --> 00:55:33,480
Speaker 5: I don't know if I necessarily get to count those anymore.

1131
00:55:34,040 --> 00:55:37,680
Speaker 5: Small sample, but one more trend here to keep in mind, Brandon,

1132
00:55:37,719 --> 00:55:40,440
Speaker 5: you know we've tracked the post London teams.

1133
00:55:40,480 --> 00:55:41,120
Speaker 3: When they come.

1134
00:55:41,000 --> 00:55:42,600
Speaker 5: Back, you get a chance to take the buye a

1135
00:55:42,640 --> 00:55:44,680
Speaker 5: week the Jets turn it down. Now they do get

1136
00:55:44,680 --> 00:55:48,839
Speaker 5: one extra day here Monday Night. Fourteen teams have come

1137
00:55:48,880 --> 00:55:51,960
Speaker 5: back from London played the next week without a bye,

1138
00:55:52,440 --> 00:55:54,960
Speaker 5: while a lot of the fourteen either tied or trailed

1139
00:55:55,040 --> 00:55:58,279
Speaker 5: in the fourth quarter of the following game. So you

1140
00:55:58,320 --> 00:56:00,320
Speaker 5: can decide what to do with that. I don't have

1141
00:56:00,320 --> 00:56:02,560
Speaker 5: a bet attached to it this week. It's a small sample.

1142
00:56:03,520 --> 00:56:07,600
Speaker 5: My brain interprets that as these are tired teams acclimating

1143
00:56:07,680 --> 00:56:11,719
Speaker 5: back to state side, coming back from not in their routine,

1144
00:56:12,320 --> 00:56:15,399
Speaker 5: different practices, and you get to the end of the game,

1145
00:56:15,480 --> 00:56:18,200
Speaker 5: you got tired legs. The opponent's getting a chance there.

1146
00:56:18,760 --> 00:56:21,160
Speaker 5: That's another reason why I'd be a little careful about

1147
00:56:21,200 --> 00:56:23,760
Speaker 5: going too much on the Jets here, you know, beyond

1148
00:56:23,800 --> 00:56:25,560
Speaker 5: the fact that I've bet way too much in the

1149
00:56:25,640 --> 00:56:28,759
Speaker 5: Jets for futures and everything else, this season already, I

1150
00:56:28,840 --> 00:56:30,560
Speaker 5: need nothing more, Thank you very much.

1151
00:56:31,440 --> 00:56:33,839
Speaker 1: Bills are minus went eighteen first half line.

1152
00:56:34,400 --> 00:56:36,200
Speaker 6: Yeah, I was gonna say Bills to score first. There's

1153
00:56:36,200 --> 00:56:38,960
Speaker 6: probably a few ways to play that, but we could

1154
00:56:38,960 --> 00:56:39,560
Speaker 6: see how it goes.

1155
00:56:39,680 --> 00:56:39,879
Speaker 3: Yeah.

1156
00:56:39,880 --> 00:56:43,759
Speaker 1: The Briescee Hall receiving number is it's interesting because when

1157
00:56:43,760 --> 00:56:47,400
Speaker 1: they played Monday night against San Francisco, he was a

1158
00:56:47,440 --> 00:56:52,439
Speaker 1: big fact. Granted, they've well we think they've developed their

1159
00:56:52,480 --> 00:56:57,560
Speaker 1: offensive playbook since then, but Bricee Hall in the receiving game,

1160
00:56:57,680 --> 00:57:00,200
Speaker 1: just a little dump offs. He was a fact in

1161
00:57:00,200 --> 00:57:04,520
Speaker 1: that game from a receding standpoint. Okay, all right, very good,

1162
00:57:04,640 --> 00:57:06,759
Speaker 1: Josh Allen to throw a pick. That's the that's the

1163
00:57:06,800 --> 00:57:08,400
Speaker 1: takeaway I got from both of these.

1164
00:57:08,280 --> 00:57:11,640
Speaker 2: Family bat that looks roll on it independently.

1165
00:57:12,440 --> 00:57:15,520
Speaker 1: All Right, we'll take it home with the hot red

1166
00:57:15,719 --> 00:57:16,760
Speaker 1: from Brandon Anderson.

1167
00:57:16,800 --> 00:57:24,400
Speaker 8: Hot Wrap seventy on ice rights, ice cream nineteen sound

1168
00:57:24,520 --> 00:57:27,280
Speaker 8: nineteen hoory real soul, tight hot.

1169
00:57:29,520 --> 00:57:29,880
Speaker 3: Yeah.

1170
00:57:29,920 --> 00:57:32,680
Speaker 5: So we went one and one this week. Thank you

1171
00:57:32,840 --> 00:57:35,240
Speaker 5: God to the Bengals getting us over the line. At

1172
00:57:35,280 --> 00:57:38,080
Speaker 5: the end of the day, there nearly I thought we

1173
00:57:38,080 --> 00:57:39,640
Speaker 5: were gonna have our first own too hot read and

1174
00:57:39,720 --> 00:57:42,240
Speaker 5: almost a full calendar year, but we got to win

1175
00:57:42,720 --> 00:57:44,960
Speaker 5: six three and one. Now on the season, on the

1176
00:57:44,960 --> 00:57:48,600
Speaker 5: hot read, these two picks are gonna sound nearly identical.

1177
00:57:49,040 --> 00:57:52,560
Speaker 5: We're going back to the tried and true ugly under formula.

1178
00:57:52,680 --> 00:57:57,280
Speaker 5: Let's start Thursday night Broncos Saints under thirty seven and

1179
00:57:57,280 --> 00:58:00,440
Speaker 5: a half. Guys, I'm so happy I almost pick this

1180
00:58:00,520 --> 00:58:02,520
Speaker 5: on the hot read it was thirty six and a half,

1181
00:58:02,560 --> 00:58:03,440
Speaker 5: and I said.

1182
00:58:03,240 --> 00:58:04,040
Speaker 3: Nope, nope.

1183
00:58:04,400 --> 00:58:06,520
Speaker 5: What if Spencer Rattler looks kind of good. What if

1184
00:58:06,520 --> 00:58:08,440
Speaker 5: the Saints number looks good and it goes up a

1185
00:58:08,480 --> 00:58:10,960
Speaker 5: little bit? Thirty seven is a key number. What if

1186
00:58:10,960 --> 00:58:13,840
Speaker 5: we got past the number, not because a Ratler. We

1187
00:58:13,840 --> 00:58:15,760
Speaker 5: got past the number. Now we're thirty seven and a half.

1188
00:58:15,920 --> 00:58:19,960
Speaker 5: Grab it the under before we go back under Thursday

1189
00:58:20,040 --> 00:58:21,040
Speaker 5: night ugly unders.

1190
00:58:21,080 --> 00:58:22,080
Speaker 3: You know how this thing goes.

1191
00:58:22,160 --> 00:58:24,040
Speaker 5: I don't really even think I need to tell you

1192
00:58:24,440 --> 00:58:27,200
Speaker 5: why you should bet against Bo Nicks and Spencer Rattler

1193
00:58:27,280 --> 00:58:31,000
Speaker 5: doing stuff On Thursdayay night. The Saints defense got lit up, right.

1194
00:58:31,000 --> 00:58:33,560
Speaker 5: We talked about that almost six hundred yards. That was

1195
00:58:33,640 --> 00:58:36,240
Speaker 5: Liam Cowen. That was a Bucks offense that's been very good.

1196
00:58:36,280 --> 00:58:39,480
Speaker 5: You know who's not that the Broncos the checkdown offense

1197
00:58:39,600 --> 00:58:42,919
Speaker 5: is not dropping six hundred yards on the Saints defense here,

1198
00:58:43,320 --> 00:58:45,720
Speaker 5: Saints ste's been pretty good this season top eight DBO

1199
00:58:45,920 --> 00:58:50,440
Speaker 5: entering today, Denver bottom eight run in pass Offensively, like

1200
00:58:50,480 --> 00:58:53,800
Speaker 5: Evan said, no points till fourth quarter against the Chargers.

1201
00:58:54,080 --> 00:58:56,880
Speaker 5: Don't see a big number from them. Saints offense, their

1202
00:58:56,960 --> 00:59:00,200
Speaker 5: numbers look good. That was the old offense, right, that

1203
00:59:00,280 --> 00:59:03,080
Speaker 5: was the first two weeks. Defensive lines not great. Got

1204
00:59:03,200 --> 00:59:06,560
Speaker 5: to assume it's rattler again here. Denver's defense has been

1205
00:59:06,600 --> 00:59:09,160
Speaker 5: really good. Denver's defense has been top six against the

1206
00:59:09,240 --> 00:59:11,720
Speaker 5: run and the pass frankly is still pretty good against

1207
00:59:11,720 --> 00:59:13,880
Speaker 5: the Chargers. They just couldn't get any points in that game.

1208
00:59:14,480 --> 00:59:16,920
Speaker 5: We mentioned Patrick's retain might be out. That's not great

1209
00:59:16,920 --> 00:59:19,520
Speaker 5: for an under. Chris Olave might be out. So I

1210
00:59:19,600 --> 00:59:21,160
Speaker 5: kind of just call that a wash. I think you're

1211
00:59:21,160 --> 00:59:23,200
Speaker 5: just taking out the top guy on each side there.

1212
00:59:23,640 --> 00:59:26,240
Speaker 5: And then you know, the trends on this one totals

1213
00:59:26,280 --> 00:59:28,560
Speaker 5: thirty eight or below, that drop a lot from openings

1214
00:59:28,600 --> 00:59:31,520
Speaker 5: once down six from the season look ahead sixty one

1215
00:59:31,560 --> 00:59:35,000
Speaker 5: percent to the under totals thirty seven or below. Assuming

1216
00:59:35,040 --> 00:59:37,520
Speaker 5: we get there, I think this moves that direction since

1217
00:59:37,560 --> 00:59:41,720
Speaker 5: November twenty, nineteen, seventy three percent to the under Thursday

1218
00:59:41,800 --> 00:59:43,200
Speaker 5: Night totals forty or below.

1219
00:59:43,320 --> 00:59:44,240
Speaker 3: That's the why I love.

1220
00:59:44,120 --> 00:59:48,080
Speaker 5: The Thursday Night ugly unders since twenty seventeen, twenty and

1221
00:59:48,200 --> 00:59:50,680
Speaker 5: seven to the under seventy four percent, even when the

1222
00:59:50,680 --> 00:59:54,920
Speaker 5: total's that low by six points a game. So you

1223
00:59:54,960 --> 00:59:58,120
Speaker 5: know what that means. Time for a mind shaft. There's

1224
00:59:58,160 --> 01:00:01,520
Speaker 5: no all lines available yet, but get ready grab the

1225
01:00:01,640 --> 01:00:03,720
Speaker 5: under thirty seven and a half. Get ready for the

1226
01:00:03,800 --> 01:00:06,959
Speaker 5: mind shaft, like an under thirty and a half. Take

1227
01:00:07,000 --> 01:00:09,200
Speaker 5: it when you see it, because this number is gonna drop.

1228
01:00:09,480 --> 01:00:12,919
Speaker 5: That's the first one. Brennan Broncos Saints under thirty seven

1229
01:00:12,960 --> 01:00:13,400
Speaker 5: and a half.

1230
01:00:14,240 --> 01:00:17,160
Speaker 1: Okay, another under, another gross under.

1231
01:00:18,800 --> 01:00:21,720
Speaker 5: It's gonna sound almost identical. We're staying in a night game.

1232
01:00:21,960 --> 01:00:25,120
Speaker 5: We're taking another under, and it's another under thirty seven

1233
01:00:25,160 --> 01:00:28,600
Speaker 5: and a half. It's Jet Steelers on Sunday night. We're

1234
01:00:28,640 --> 01:00:31,840
Speaker 5: just going to the very next primetime game and we're

1235
01:00:31,880 --> 01:00:34,800
Speaker 5: taking another one. Only at one book. Make sure to shop.

1236
01:00:34,840 --> 01:00:36,800
Speaker 5: Make sure to get the thirty seven and a half again.

1237
01:00:36,840 --> 01:00:39,640
Speaker 5: We want the key number there. The Steelers scored thirty

1238
01:00:39,680 --> 01:00:41,360
Speaker 5: two today, so that might give you a little bit

1239
01:00:41,400 --> 01:00:44,680
Speaker 5: of pause. It should not. They finished under three hundred

1240
01:00:44,760 --> 01:00:48,040
Speaker 5: yards for the game. They got thirty two points because

1241
01:00:48,080 --> 01:00:50,960
Speaker 5: the Raiders turn it over three times. Steelers had touchdown

1242
01:00:51,000 --> 01:00:53,840
Speaker 5: drives of seven to thirty and thirty three yards. So

1243
01:00:53,920 --> 01:00:56,400
Speaker 5: this is not an offense that suddenly found itself. This

1244
01:00:56,480 --> 01:00:58,919
Speaker 5: is an offense that suddenly found the Raiders. It's gonna

1245
01:00:58,960 --> 01:00:59,400
Speaker 5: be fine.

1246
01:00:59,680 --> 01:01:01,080
Speaker 3: The Jets.

1247
01:01:01,600 --> 01:01:04,480
Speaker 5: We know what these teams are right. Defenses are good.

1248
01:01:04,760 --> 01:01:05,959
Speaker 5: Offenses are not good.

1249
01:01:06,040 --> 01:01:06,320
Speaker 3: Again.

1250
01:01:06,360 --> 01:01:08,080
Speaker 5: I don't need to really tell you why. It's the

1251
01:01:08,160 --> 01:01:10,560
Speaker 5: under We're just getting ahead of the line movement here.

1252
01:01:10,920 --> 01:01:12,320
Speaker 5: Pittsburgh's defense has been great.

1253
01:01:12,360 --> 01:01:12,760
Speaker 3: Tj A.

1254
01:01:12,760 --> 01:01:17,360
Speaker 5: Watt probably the new DPOI leader in the clubhouse right now.

1255
01:01:17,760 --> 01:01:19,840
Speaker 5: Aaron Rodgers is not moving that well. That may not

1256
01:01:19,920 --> 01:01:22,880
Speaker 5: go that great. The Jets have been pretty committed to

1257
01:01:22,920 --> 01:01:24,960
Speaker 5: the run game way too much. That's what Todd Downeing

1258
01:01:25,040 --> 01:01:28,400
Speaker 5: wants to do. Pittsburgh's run defense especially good. So that's

1259
01:01:28,440 --> 01:01:31,160
Speaker 5: not great on that side. Jets Bills, we just talked

1260
01:01:31,160 --> 01:01:34,280
Speaker 5: about it. That total drop four points this week. That's

1261
01:01:34,400 --> 01:01:37,920
Speaker 5: where their direction this one's gonna go is down since

1262
01:01:37,960 --> 01:01:41,120
Speaker 5: that opener Monday night. The Jets defense is allowed thirteen

1263
01:01:41,200 --> 01:01:45,000
Speaker 5: points a game. They've been really good since that embarrassing opener.

1264
01:01:45,560 --> 01:01:48,360
Speaker 5: I think that this is a defense game. I think

1265
01:01:48,360 --> 01:01:50,440
Speaker 5: this is a run the ball game. Both teams just

1266
01:01:50,520 --> 01:01:53,040
Speaker 5: want to run the football. So that's a speedy clock

1267
01:01:53,520 --> 01:01:57,600
Speaker 5: and probably another nice easy Sunday Night, hopefully for us

1268
01:01:57,680 --> 01:02:03,120
Speaker 5: next week. On the podcast, numbers for you primetime unders

1269
01:02:03,240 --> 01:02:05,880
Speaker 5: outside of Thursday Night the last five years sixty three

1270
01:02:05,960 --> 01:02:08,880
Speaker 5: percent to the under unders thirty seven and blow. We

1271
01:02:09,000 --> 01:02:11,080
Speaker 5: just mentioned that in the last one seventy three percent

1272
01:02:11,680 --> 01:02:15,320
Speaker 5: non Monday night night unders thirty seven to forty total

1273
01:02:15,400 --> 01:02:18,800
Speaker 5: range the last two decades forty five, twenty one and

1274
01:02:18,840 --> 01:02:22,000
Speaker 5: two to the under sixty eight percent. There's a reason

1275
01:02:22,160 --> 01:02:25,160
Speaker 5: we keep playing these unders in this range. It's because

1276
01:02:25,160 --> 01:02:26,240
Speaker 5: the trends love them.

1277
01:02:26,280 --> 01:02:26,560
Speaker 3: Here.

1278
01:02:27,000 --> 01:02:30,040
Speaker 5: This is the two defenses that just line up for

1279
01:02:30,080 --> 01:02:32,240
Speaker 5: the under seven three and one combined so far to

1280
01:02:32,240 --> 01:02:35,040
Speaker 5: the under this season. We might get another one by

1281
01:02:35,360 --> 01:02:38,800
Speaker 5: Monday Night when the Jets play. And and a little

1282
01:02:38,800 --> 01:02:41,320
Speaker 5: bonus hot read for you, one last little a half

1283
01:02:41,320 --> 01:02:43,480
Speaker 5: hot read because you can't play yet, but I want

1284
01:02:43,520 --> 01:02:45,439
Speaker 5: you to be ready to play. Over the line comes

1285
01:02:45,440 --> 01:02:50,760
Speaker 5: out read one more Commanders, We're running back the Falcons.

1286
01:02:50,760 --> 01:02:53,600
Speaker 5: Bet we played this week against the Panthers, give me

1287
01:02:53,640 --> 01:02:56,440
Speaker 5: the Commanders over one and a half first half touchdowns

1288
01:02:56,520 --> 01:02:58,520
Speaker 5: or if you don't have that, over fifteen and a

1289
01:02:58,560 --> 01:03:02,080
Speaker 5: half first half points. Again, it's the Panthers, Havan. You

1290
01:03:02,160 --> 01:03:05,280
Speaker 5: mentioned this. The Panthers are scoring more early on What

1291
01:03:05,400 --> 01:03:08,200
Speaker 5: you did mention is that the Panthers are allowing twenty

1292
01:03:08,240 --> 01:03:10,560
Speaker 5: four points a game the first half. Outside of their

1293
01:03:10,600 --> 01:03:14,320
Speaker 5: one win five losses this season, they have allowed three

1294
01:03:14,360 --> 01:03:18,280
Speaker 5: touchdowns are more every single loss in the first half.

1295
01:03:18,560 --> 01:03:22,600
Speaker 5: Three touchdowns are more. Washington's offense is the real deal.

1296
01:03:23,080 --> 01:03:26,640
Speaker 5: They're gonna put up points. Atlanta hit this today. Everyone

1297
01:03:26,680 --> 01:03:28,920
Speaker 5: else is hitting this today. Except for that one kitchen

1298
01:03:28,920 --> 01:03:32,280
Speaker 5: single spot for Carolina. This total is already rising. It

1299
01:03:32,320 --> 01:03:34,600
Speaker 5: went up two points since this morning, So I want

1300
01:03:34,640 --> 01:03:36,960
Speaker 5: you to be ready. It's not available yet, but when

1301
01:03:36,960 --> 01:03:39,240
Speaker 5: we start to get some of those lines, I'm not

1302
01:03:39,240 --> 01:03:40,960
Speaker 5: gonna be able to give that to you on Friday

1303
01:03:40,960 --> 01:03:42,880
Speaker 5: because the line's gonna have moved already too fast.

1304
01:03:42,920 --> 01:03:43,600
Speaker 3: So be ready.

1305
01:03:44,040 --> 01:03:47,440
Speaker 5: Get your bet Commanders something first half over you on

1306
01:03:47,600 --> 01:03:49,040
Speaker 5: it good.

1307
01:03:49,280 --> 01:03:53,040
Speaker 1: I also find it beneficial that the Commander's defense, like

1308
01:03:53,480 --> 01:03:57,000
Speaker 1: holding Baltimore to thirty is actually not bad when you

1309
01:03:57,080 --> 01:04:01,520
Speaker 1: only lose by seven, But that defense is not very

1310
01:04:01,520 --> 01:04:02,960
Speaker 1: good despite dan Quinn.

1311
01:04:03,760 --> 01:04:06,160
Speaker 5: Yeah, go ahead, Andy Dung, go ahead, get on the scoreboard,

1312
01:04:06,200 --> 01:04:07,560
Speaker 5: give us the ball back a second, let's get some

1313
01:04:07,560 --> 01:04:08,200
Speaker 5: more points.

1314
01:04:08,200 --> 01:04:10,760
Speaker 1: Correct, that's my point, right, you almost wanted to turn

1315
01:04:10,760 --> 01:04:14,240
Speaker 1: into a shootout. And by the way, yeah, Aaron Rodgers

1316
01:04:14,280 --> 01:04:18,120
Speaker 1: back to back primetime night spots. I mean, maybe that's

1317
01:04:18,200 --> 01:04:21,640
Speaker 1: why the darkness retreat was a thing. Like Tom Brady

1318
01:04:21,640 --> 01:04:23,960
Speaker 1: couldn't stay up late when he was forty plus doing

1319
01:04:24,000 --> 01:04:27,760
Speaker 1: these night games in Tampa. Well, maybe Aaron Rodgers is

1320
01:04:27,840 --> 01:04:29,520
Speaker 1: up for it, you know, doing these night games in

1321
01:04:29,600 --> 01:04:32,240
Speaker 1: consecutive weeks. That's why you do darkness retreats, because you

1322
01:04:32,240 --> 01:04:33,880
Speaker 1: can stay up late and play football.

1323
01:04:34,640 --> 01:04:36,520
Speaker 5: You got you got these under thirty seven and a half.

1324
01:04:36,640 --> 01:04:39,160
Speaker 5: This time for our own darkness to retreat, Like, make

1325
01:04:39,240 --> 01:04:43,040
Speaker 5: some plans, go apple picking, schedule a dinner. You can't

1326
01:04:43,040 --> 01:04:45,400
Speaker 5: watch every football game all season. You gotta live a

1327
01:04:45,440 --> 01:04:48,080
Speaker 5: little bit, just earn some money while the games are

1328
01:04:48,080 --> 01:04:51,240
Speaker 5: happening in the background and nobody's doing anything. Nobody would

1329
01:04:51,280 --> 01:04:54,040
Speaker 5: have missed the Bengals Giants game tonight. This is what

1330
01:04:54,080 --> 01:04:56,560
Speaker 5: we're setting up for that's what the Jets being in

1331
01:04:56,560 --> 01:04:58,480
Speaker 5: a prime time back to back is giving us.

1332
01:04:58,840 --> 01:05:00,360
Speaker 1: I respect that.

1333
01:05:00,720 --> 01:05:03,080
Speaker 6: Okay, I put this in my Week one, so you

1334
01:05:03,080 --> 01:05:04,200
Speaker 6: talk about all those night games.

1335
01:05:04,280 --> 01:05:04,880
Speaker 2: I'll leave with this.

1336
01:05:04,960 --> 01:05:07,600
Speaker 6: So, first eleven weeks Jets had six night games. That

1337
01:05:07,760 --> 01:05:10,800
Speaker 6: doesn't even include the London game. And I looked last

1338
01:05:10,800 --> 01:05:13,320
Speaker 6: twenty years. Jets six night games the first eleven weeks,

1339
01:05:13,360 --> 01:05:15,720
Speaker 6: the most of any team. So you keep seeing them

1340
01:05:15,720 --> 01:05:18,200
Speaker 6: in this game, in that game, and Thursday and here.

1341
01:05:18,600 --> 01:05:21,400
Speaker 2: It's a mess. And I think it's really difficult to

1342
01:05:21,440 --> 01:05:22,000
Speaker 2: get rhythm.

1343
01:05:22,160 --> 01:05:25,240
Speaker 6: An example like the Texans last year, sixteen of seventeen

1344
01:05:25,280 --> 01:05:26,680
Speaker 6: games were in the one o'clock slot.

1345
01:05:26,960 --> 01:05:27,760
Speaker 2: I think that helps.

1346
01:05:28,040 --> 01:05:31,000
Speaker 5: Yeah, here's here's my last question for both of you.

1347
01:05:31,640 --> 01:05:33,800
Speaker 5: We know I got my Aaron Rodgers MVP taker right,

1348
01:05:33,800 --> 01:05:36,280
Speaker 5: I got the two units down the twenty five to one.

1349
01:05:36,800 --> 01:05:37,400
Speaker 3: He's cooked.

1350
01:05:37,400 --> 01:05:39,800
Speaker 5: He's not good, it's done, it's over. The Jets are

1351
01:05:39,840 --> 01:05:42,960
Speaker 5: not good. We got two prime time games here against

1352
01:05:42,960 --> 01:05:48,200
Speaker 5: pretty good looking defenses over under zero point five undertaker gifts.

1353
01:05:48,280 --> 01:05:51,040
Speaker 5: I post about Aaron Rodgers MVP tickets when he does

1354
01:05:51,080 --> 01:05:53,280
Speaker 5: some good thing anytime in the next two weeks. Over

1355
01:05:55,320 --> 01:05:57,040
Speaker 5: it'sver let's get ready for it.

1356
01:05:57,280 --> 01:05:59,840
Speaker 1: You tried to marinate Panthers Island for a week and

1357
01:06:00,160 --> 01:06:03,040
Speaker 1: half and that was too much for crying out loud. Okay,

1358
01:06:03,040 --> 01:06:06,040
Speaker 1: before we wrap up, let's hear from our friend Patrick

1359
01:06:06,120 --> 01:06:10,320
Speaker 1: Everson over at Vegas Insider for a market report. How

1360
01:06:10,360 --> 01:06:12,320
Speaker 1: did Las Vegas fare today?

1361
01:06:12,720 --> 01:06:14,440
Speaker 4: All right, Brandon, thanks a lot for having me on

1362
01:06:14,520 --> 01:06:18,760
Speaker 4: the Action Network podcast again, as we recap the weekend

1363
01:06:18,800 --> 01:06:22,400
Speaker 4: that was in the NFL behind the counter and for

1364
01:06:22,520 --> 01:06:24,920
Speaker 4: the customers, for all of us on this side of

1365
01:06:24,960 --> 01:06:27,000
Speaker 4: the counter, and we'll take a little peak at Monday

1366
01:06:27,080 --> 01:06:28,080
Speaker 4: Night football as well.

1367
01:06:28,720 --> 01:06:29,880
Speaker 9: Let's just put it this way.

1368
01:06:30,360 --> 01:06:34,200
Speaker 4: The favorites provided a bunch of public transportation on Sunday,

1369
01:06:34,200 --> 01:06:36,280
Speaker 4: and that public transportation was in the form.

1370
01:06:36,080 --> 01:06:38,360
Speaker 9: Of a boatload of cash.

1371
01:06:38,760 --> 01:06:41,600
Speaker 4: The recreational betters had a field day on Sunday and

1372
01:06:41,640 --> 01:06:42,920
Speaker 4: overall a field.

1373
01:06:42,680 --> 01:06:44,760
Speaker 9: Day in NFL Week six.

1374
01:06:45,040 --> 01:06:48,320
Speaker 4: Road favorites absolutely killed it and the one doing the

1375
01:06:48,360 --> 01:06:53,040
Speaker 4: most killing was the Detroit Lions, which coincidentally, the Lions

1376
01:06:53,040 --> 01:06:55,840
Speaker 4: have become one of the most public teams ever since

1377
01:06:55,840 --> 01:06:57,920
Speaker 4: the middle of the twenty twenty two season. I believe

1378
01:06:57,920 --> 01:07:00,760
Speaker 4: there's something like twenty seven and eight again to spread

1379
01:07:01,120 --> 01:07:04,200
Speaker 4: in their last thirty five games, so they are absolutely

1380
01:07:04,200 --> 01:07:07,000
Speaker 4: a public darling, have been so throughout pretty much all

1381
01:07:07,000 --> 01:07:11,040
Speaker 4: of last season, late the season before, and now certainly

1382
01:07:11,040 --> 01:07:14,000
Speaker 4: this season, and they were very, very well played at

1383
01:07:14,120 --> 01:07:17,280
Speaker 4: multiple sports books. Talked with Thomas Gable. He's the sportsbook

1384
01:07:17,320 --> 01:07:19,520
Speaker 4: director at the Borgata in Atlantic City, which is a

1385
01:07:19,520 --> 01:07:23,600
Speaker 4: bet MGM book, and he noted of that Detroit Lions

1386
01:07:23,680 --> 01:07:27,880
Speaker 4: absolute wipeout forty seven to nine at Dallas, which by

1387
01:07:27,880 --> 01:07:30,440
Speaker 4: the way, is a score of GAMI if you're keeping track,

1388
01:07:30,720 --> 01:07:32,640
Speaker 4: that has a score that has never happened in NFL

1389
01:07:32,720 --> 01:07:37,320
Speaker 4: history before it till tonight. So Dallas has that ignominious honor,

1390
01:07:37,840 --> 01:07:41,400
Speaker 4: so to speak. But what Thomas Gable at the Morgata

1391
01:07:41,440 --> 01:07:43,720
Speaker 4: said is this won't be a great result for us

1392
01:07:43,720 --> 01:07:47,160
Speaker 4: with a Detroit blowout. They were a very public side.

1393
01:07:47,160 --> 01:07:49,120
Speaker 4: And again that wasn't just at Borgoda Atlantic City, but

1394
01:07:49,160 --> 01:07:51,520
Speaker 4: that was at bet MGM across the country here in

1395
01:07:51,600 --> 01:07:54,680
Speaker 4: Vegas and in mobile and digital betting and states across

1396
01:07:54,680 --> 01:07:57,280
Speaker 4: the country. Detroit was very popular or wipeout Detroit win

1397
01:07:58,320 --> 01:07:59,600
Speaker 4: was big, big, big.

1398
01:07:59,360 --> 01:08:00,080
Speaker 9: For the customer.

1399
01:08:01,320 --> 01:08:03,760
Speaker 4: Detroit was in all the money line parlays for sure,

1400
01:08:03,800 --> 01:08:06,400
Speaker 4: probably in plenty of straight bet parlays as well, but

1401
01:08:06,440 --> 01:08:07,240
Speaker 4: again this was.

1402
01:08:07,360 --> 01:08:10,000
Speaker 9: Favorites all over the place doing well.

1403
01:08:10,080 --> 01:08:13,560
Speaker 4: Let me give you an example here at Draftking Sportsbook.

1404
01:08:13,760 --> 01:08:18,080
Speaker 4: These were the five percentage the most lopsided games of

1405
01:08:18,120 --> 01:08:21,360
Speaker 4: the day in the NFL on Sunday by spread ticket

1406
01:08:21,400 --> 01:08:25,360
Speaker 4: percentage eighty five percent Steelers winning cover at Raiders, eighty

1407
01:08:25,360 --> 01:08:28,759
Speaker 4: five percent, Falcons winning cover at Panthers, eighty percent, Texans

1408
01:08:28,800 --> 01:08:32,120
Speaker 4: winning cover at Patriots, seventy seven percent of tickets, Bengals

1409
01:08:32,160 --> 01:08:36,080
Speaker 4: winning cover at Giants on that late touchdown, seventy six

1410
01:08:36,080 --> 01:08:39,080
Speaker 4: percent tickets Buccaneers at Saints, Buccaneers winning cover with a

1411
01:08:39,439 --> 01:08:44,760
Speaker 4: monster first and second half. Spread money percentage is same thing,

1412
01:08:44,880 --> 01:08:48,160
Speaker 4: eighty five percent on Steelers winning cover, eighty one percent,

1413
01:08:48,200 --> 01:08:51,320
Speaker 4: Bucks winning cover, eighty percent, Lions, as we just spoke

1414
01:08:51,320 --> 01:08:54,280
Speaker 4: about a moment ago, winning cover seventy eight percent, Bengals

1415
01:08:54,320 --> 01:08:58,120
Speaker 4: winning cover, seventy four percent Falcons win and cover. So

1416
01:08:58,600 --> 01:09:01,000
Speaker 4: the lopside of ticket accounts were the public was really heavy.

1417
01:09:01,000 --> 01:09:06,200
Speaker 4: At DraftKings. Those were all big hits. BETAMGM similar situation

1418
01:09:06,720 --> 01:09:12,719
Speaker 4: their top five and ticket percentage on Sunday Steelers, Lions, Falcons, Bengals, Bucks,

1419
01:09:13,280 --> 01:09:17,599
Speaker 4: all five straight up winners and covering the spread as well,

1420
01:09:18,080 --> 01:09:20,880
Speaker 4: and by money percentage, it was actually a tie for fifth.

1421
01:09:20,920 --> 01:09:25,240
Speaker 4: So we've got six teams here, Steelers, Lions, Bengals, Titans, Falcons, Bucks.

1422
01:09:25,880 --> 01:09:29,920
Speaker 4: Five of those six win and cover the number, and

1423
01:09:29,960 --> 01:09:32,599
Speaker 4: again lots of road teams mixed in on these as well.

1424
01:09:32,800 --> 01:09:35,200
Speaker 4: The Titans were the only one that did not cover

1425
01:09:35,240 --> 01:09:38,640
Speaker 4: the number, actually losing out right to Indianapolis. So just

1426
01:09:39,160 --> 01:09:42,559
Speaker 4: a big day on our side of the counter. And

1427
01:09:42,720 --> 01:09:46,360
Speaker 4: a couple of comments. Zachary Lucas twins Fire Sportsbooks said

1428
01:09:46,360 --> 01:09:47,880
Speaker 4: this is the worst day of the season so far,

1429
01:09:48,320 --> 01:09:51,280
Speaker 4: and this was before the Bengals game. He said, the Giants.

1430
01:09:51,760 --> 01:09:54,120
Speaker 4: We need the Giants like desperately. He said, this could

1431
01:09:54,120 --> 01:09:56,479
Speaker 4: get really, really ugly if the Bengals win and cover.

1432
01:09:57,240 --> 01:09:59,120
Speaker 4: Sure enough, the Bengals go out and win and cover.

1433
01:09:59,200 --> 01:10:01,759
Speaker 4: He said, we'll be paying a lot of people out tonight.

1434
01:10:02,040 --> 01:10:04,959
Speaker 4: Scott Shelton here at betam JM, Nevada in Las Vegas.

1435
01:10:05,240 --> 01:10:07,760
Speaker 4: He said, we got smashed on the Steelers win. They

1436
01:10:07,800 --> 01:10:10,400
Speaker 4: got killed on the Lions game, and then after that

1437
01:10:10,439 --> 01:10:12,840
Speaker 4: Bengals late touchdown to cover against the Giants.

1438
01:10:12,880 --> 01:10:14,120
Speaker 9: He said, it's not good.

1439
01:10:14,439 --> 01:10:18,240
Speaker 4: Brutal all around, So that's good on our side of

1440
01:10:18,280 --> 01:10:20,479
Speaker 4: the counter. The betters had a really really good day

1441
01:10:20,760 --> 01:10:23,759
Speaker 4: in the NFL, and honestly, the Niners winning and covering

1442
01:10:23,800 --> 01:10:25,719
Speaker 4: on Thursday night kind of started this whole train.

1443
01:10:25,840 --> 01:10:28,639
Speaker 9: Another road favorite winning and covering.

1444
01:10:28,720 --> 01:10:31,479
Speaker 4: So we've got Monday night to come, and you're gonna

1445
01:10:31,520 --> 01:10:33,559
Speaker 4: have probably another public favorite in the form of the

1446
01:10:33,560 --> 01:10:36,479
Speaker 4: Buffalo Bills against the New York Jets, who are reeling

1447
01:10:36,479 --> 01:10:39,479
Speaker 4: a little bit and fired their coach last week. Look

1448
01:10:39,800 --> 01:10:42,800
Speaker 4: early on at betamjam on early action, I should say

1449
01:10:42,840 --> 01:10:44,320
Speaker 4: a lot more is gonna come in throughout the day

1450
01:10:44,320 --> 01:10:47,720
Speaker 4: Monday leading up to kickoff. This was decent ticket count

1451
01:10:47,800 --> 01:10:50,320
Speaker 4: leading toward the Bills. About two and a half to one.

1452
01:10:50,400 --> 01:10:53,080
Speaker 4: Seventy percent of all spread tickets were on the Bills,

1453
01:10:53,080 --> 01:10:55,720
Speaker 4: but only fifty four percent of spread money, so you're

1454
01:10:55,760 --> 01:10:58,840
Speaker 4: looking at closer to two way action. There's certainly going

1455
01:10:58,920 --> 01:11:01,840
Speaker 4: to be a contingent that likes the Jets to get

1456
01:11:01,840 --> 01:11:04,040
Speaker 4: it together kind of rally around the fact that the

1457
01:11:04,080 --> 01:11:07,200
Speaker 4: coach got fired and come out and play an inspired

1458
01:11:07,240 --> 01:11:10,040
Speaker 4: game on Monday Night. But I will say with all

1459
01:11:10,040 --> 01:11:14,240
Speaker 4: these favorites winning and covering on Sunday. There's probably a

1460
01:11:14,320 --> 01:11:16,720
Speaker 4: lot of moneyline parlays ruling a Monday night. And I

1461
01:11:16,720 --> 01:11:18,560
Speaker 4: don't think those moneyline parlays are going to roll to

1462
01:11:18,600 --> 01:11:20,360
Speaker 4: the New York Jets. Those moneyline parlors are going to

1463
01:11:20,439 --> 01:11:22,479
Speaker 4: roll to the Buffalo Bills, So there could be some

1464
01:11:22,520 --> 01:11:26,760
Speaker 4: significant liability behind the counter on the bills. And don't

1465
01:11:26,800 --> 01:11:28,599
Speaker 4: be surprised with their rooting for the New York Jets,

1466
01:11:28,640 --> 01:11:30,920
Speaker 4: no matter how many people decide to climb on board

1467
01:11:30,960 --> 01:11:33,320
Speaker 4: and think the Jets are gonna sort of write the

1468
01:11:33,360 --> 01:11:36,559
Speaker 4: ship and rally around the team with the interim coach

1469
01:11:36,600 --> 01:11:39,120
Speaker 4: and get it together. So they were having a really

1470
01:11:39,120 --> 01:11:41,240
Speaker 4: good week for the betters. Thanks a lot for having me,

1471
01:11:41,280 --> 01:11:42,880
Speaker 4: and we'll talk again next week.

1472
01:11:43,200 --> 01:11:45,040
Speaker 1: All Right, we gotta go, We gotta get out of

1473
01:11:45,080 --> 01:11:47,080
Speaker 1: here for a slate. We didn't think we'd have much

1474
01:11:47,120 --> 01:11:50,080
Speaker 1: to say here. We are Evan Abrams, our director of

1475
01:11:50,160 --> 01:11:52,800
Speaker 1: Research and Media look out for his primer over on

1476
01:11:52,840 --> 01:11:56,240
Speaker 1: the Action Network app actionnetwork dot com. Brandon Anderson joins,

1477
01:11:58,040 --> 01:12:00,320
Speaker 1: which one of you is on the Roundtable today?

1478
01:12:01,160 --> 01:12:03,720
Speaker 3: It's Simon Hunter and Iron on Tuesday Thisten. Very good.

1479
01:12:03,760 --> 01:12:07,480
Speaker 1: There you go, Brandon Anderson, The Round NFL Roundtable episode Tuesday,

1480
01:12:08,000 --> 01:12:12,599
Speaker 1: midday Eastern Time midday Eastern Time Tuesday, and also his

1481
01:12:12,720 --> 01:12:15,880
Speaker 1: best bets will come out first thing Friday morning for

1482
01:12:16,120 --> 01:12:19,360
Speaker 1: week seven. For Evan Brandon Brendan glass Sheen. Thanks for

1483
01:12:19,439 --> 01:12:21,920
Speaker 1: tuning in the Action Network podcast. Those are you watching

1484
01:12:21,920 --> 01:12:24,080
Speaker 1: on YouTube? Thanks for being here. Please subscribe to our

1485
01:12:24,120 --> 01:12:26,280
Speaker 1: channel on YouTube. Please liked the video as well. We

1486
01:12:26,320 --> 01:12:28,840
Speaker 1: greatly appreciate that, and for those of you listening, your

1487
01:12:28,880 --> 01:12:31,760
Speaker 1: five star ratings and reviews wherever you listen to your

1488
01:12:31,800 --> 01:12:34,760
Speaker 1: podcasts are greatly appreciated. We're back at it on this

1489
01:12:34,840 --> 01:12:37,000
Speaker 1: particular episode next Sunday night.

1490
01:12:37,240 --> 01:12:52,520
Speaker 7: Have a great week.

1491
01:12:53,360 --> 01:12:56,800
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1492
01:12:57,200 --> 01:12:59,960
Speaker 4: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1493
01:13:00,320 --> 01:13:03,280
Speaker 4: help is available twenty four seven at one eight hundred

1494
01:13:03,360 --> 01:13:03,759
Speaker 4: gambler