1 00:00:14,440 --> 00:00:16,439 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday 2 00:00:16,480 --> 00:00:18,880 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is 3 00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: Matt Parolt. You guys are going to follow me on 4 00:00:20,440 --> 00:00:23,159 Speaker 1: Twitter and on all socials at Sports Talk Math. This 5 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 1: podcast being brought to you by Olmaha Steaks dot com 6 00:00:26,360 --> 00:00:30,479 Speaker 1: from a code Juice Fantastic offerings for Father's Day. It 7 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 1: is rapidly approaching in the month of June. Go check 8 00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 1: it out. Use the promo code Juice to save money 9 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:40,280 Speaker 1: on the Dad Spectacular packages they got. Available also to 10 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:42,559 Speaker 1: good stuff at almastakes dot com. Promo code Juice for 11 00:00:42,680 --> 00:00:46,559 Speaker 1: Father's Day. Okay, So, good day, last night, good day, 12 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 1: night before. We have had a winning night three of 13 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:53,320 Speaker 1: the last four nights, and we've won more than two 14 00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:56,880 Speaker 1: units three of the last four nights. That's a nice 15 00:00:56,880 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: little heater here. Okay. Now, normally when these things are happening, 16 00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:04,959 Speaker 1: there's a cool down coming, Okay, like there's could be 17 00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:07,200 Speaker 1: one of these nights. Okay, just I'm waiting for it. 18 00:01:07,240 --> 00:01:09,119 Speaker 1: I'm always waiting for it, just the way that I am. 19 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:11,520 Speaker 1: I'm sort of a pessimistic gambler when it comes to 20 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:13,479 Speaker 1: this stuff. I know the coin's gonna flip at some point. 21 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:19,240 Speaker 1: So we've been, you know, rolling pretty well. Here, quick 22 00:01:19,240 --> 00:01:23,200 Speaker 1: little update. I am on a red eye flight tonight 23 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 1: back to Boston. I'm in Boston or Hampshire for Friday, Saturday, Sunday, 24 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 1: and Monday night flying back to Las Vegas. So I 25 00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:36,560 Speaker 1: have no idea when the podcast will drop. I know 26 00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:39,759 Speaker 1: the podcast tomorrow. I'm gonna tape it before I get 27 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 1: on the plane, so my gutt is somewhere around like 28 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: nine o'clock Eastern. The podcast will drop for Friday morning. 29 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 1: Just a heads up on that, and then I have 30 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 1: no idea the rest of it. Saturday and Sunday and Monday, 31 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:54,320 Speaker 1: I don't know when the podcast will drop. Just have 32 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 1: a heads up on that. Most likely I won't know 33 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:58,160 Speaker 1: the outcome to some of these bets. I'll just give 34 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:00,200 Speaker 1: you the picks and the place, you know, how day 35 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 1: is when I'm on vacation. This is a quickie, you know, 36 00:02:03,560 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 1: seven eight nine minute pod max for us to get 37 00:02:06,480 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 1: it in and get it off going. So just a 38 00:02:09,320 --> 00:02:11,200 Speaker 1: heads up as to how the podcast is going to 39 00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:15,200 Speaker 1: roll for the weekend of Memorial Day. But today is 40 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:19,079 Speaker 1: a Thursday. We got the another run line bet, right 41 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 1: in baseball. That's back to back run line bets. That's good. 42 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 1: Braves come through for us. Phillies came through the day before. 43 00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 1: That's good. There. We get basketball right and the middle. 44 00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:31,840 Speaker 1: If you're on the Discord channel, I officially took under 45 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:33,800 Speaker 1: two twenty two and a half. Okay, it was an 46 00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 1: official play over to seven and a half was official. 47 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:41,160 Speaker 1: We went three and one yesterday, two and oh in basketball, 48 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 1: and I bet plus four. I told you last night 49 00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:46,079 Speaker 1: I was leaning plus four with Dallas. I went three 50 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:48,240 Speaker 1: and oh on that game last night. So did very 51 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:51,000 Speaker 1: well last night on Dallas and they're victory in game one. 52 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:53,640 Speaker 1: I should have bet money line. I chickened out because 53 00:02:53,880 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 1: I thought they'd win the game. I said last night 54 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:57,959 Speaker 1: year in the pod, I thought Dallas would win Game one. 55 00:02:58,560 --> 00:03:01,040 Speaker 1: Should have taken it. Dallas wins Game one and said, 56 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 1: took the plus four, and well we get there with that. 57 00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:07,079 Speaker 1: We do not get hockey right, hockey. You know, three 58 00:03:07,160 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 1: nothing win for the Panthers. We played over five and 59 00:03:09,600 --> 00:03:14,359 Speaker 1: a half. Solebrovsky was great. After questioning Lebrovsky, he was tremendous. 60 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:16,640 Speaker 1: So you know that's wrong with that. So three and 61 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:19,880 Speaker 1: one night last night for that. So let's go to today. 62 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 1: The Celtics game is going to be kind of boring. 63 00:03:22,880 --> 00:03:25,080 Speaker 1: It's a rinse and repeat day for me, except for 64 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 1: one of the props. One bet two props. What are 65 00:03:28,720 --> 00:03:33,680 Speaker 1: we betting team total Boston Celtics over sixty and a half. 66 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 1: It was fifty nine and a half in Game one, 67 00:03:36,240 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: they scored sixty four points. It's sixty and a half. 68 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 1: It is high. I'll give you that even money at DraftKings. 69 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:46,839 Speaker 1: This is an even money play. Boston scored sixty four 70 00:03:46,840 --> 00:03:50,080 Speaker 1: points in Game one. They could have easily scored sixty 71 00:03:50,200 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: I'll give you that. Okay, this very well may miss, 72 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:56,880 Speaker 1: but this is just a principal play because I don't 73 00:03:56,880 --> 00:04:01,560 Speaker 1: think either Indiana or Boston will play slow. The number 74 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:04,200 Speaker 1: two twenty five from a total perspective is coming down. 75 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 1: Why game went to overtime, But it would have cleared 76 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:12,080 Speaker 1: two twenty five before overtime. So I'm not we are 77 00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 1: we gonna see something totally different. I don't think so. Yeah, 78 00:04:16,400 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 1: Boston Celtics team total over sixty and a half until 79 00:04:19,760 --> 00:04:22,720 Speaker 1: that gets to sixty two. I'm gonna bet it when 80 00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:24,920 Speaker 1: Boston plays at home. When it gets to sixty two 81 00:04:24,960 --> 00:04:28,800 Speaker 1: at home. I'll stop but up till then even money 82 00:04:28,960 --> 00:04:32,359 Speaker 1: one unit. Celtics team total over sixty and a half 83 00:04:32,600 --> 00:04:36,119 Speaker 1: for one unit. One of the two prop bets, Obi 84 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:39,160 Speaker 1: Toppin came in easily in game one over eight and 85 00:04:39,160 --> 00:04:44,160 Speaker 1: a half points. He scored fifteen. Again, Obi Toppin over 86 00:04:44,200 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 1: eight and a half points. It's miss one twenty five 87 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:52,279 Speaker 1: bet to win. Won a half a unit on that lay. 88 00:04:52,360 --> 00:04:54,160 Speaker 1: Enough to win a half a unit, whatever number you're 89 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 1: gonna get, one, thirty one, twenty five Obi Toppin over 90 00:04:57,839 --> 00:05:01,520 Speaker 1: eight and a half points. Now, maybe Boston just him down, 91 00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:04,920 Speaker 1: don't think so. He's scored in double figures in every game. 92 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:08,680 Speaker 1: All six games against Boston, Obi Toppin has scored ten 93 00:05:08,760 --> 00:05:13,160 Speaker 1: or more points. Right back to Obi Toppin. Win a 94 00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 1: half a unit over eight and a half minus one 95 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 1: twenty five for Obi Toppin and for the other half 96 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: unit play Derek White points, rebounds, assists, it's twenty five 97 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 1: and a half minus won ten bet to win a 98 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:30,839 Speaker 1: half a unit. Look if you Derek White's a player 99 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:33,919 Speaker 1: that I like a lot. I've liked him for a 100 00:05:33,960 --> 00:05:37,640 Speaker 1: long time. He hit this number in game number one. 101 00:05:38,360 --> 00:05:40,480 Speaker 1: Now you can say, Matt it was overtime and whatnot. 102 00:05:40,520 --> 00:05:43,520 Speaker 1: I'll give you that. But Derek White scored fifteen points, 103 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 1: had nine assists, grabbed six rebounds. That's thirty that's way 104 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:50,400 Speaker 1: over twenty five and a half. He's a player that 105 00:05:50,560 --> 00:05:53,320 Speaker 1: on average, you go, all right, if you get an 106 00:05:53,320 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 1: average game out of Derek White, what do we get, Well, 107 00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:59,440 Speaker 1: that's fifteen points, four rebounds, and nine assists. That puts 108 00:05:59,480 --> 00:06:03,359 Speaker 1: us right on this number. Okay, that's exactly where this 109 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:05,720 Speaker 1: number is at the moment, twenty four and a half, 110 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:09,080 Speaker 1: twenty five and a half. Let's get an average Derek 111 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:11,920 Speaker 1: White game, him knocking down a bunch of threes, grabbing 112 00:06:11,920 --> 00:06:15,200 Speaker 1: a bunch of rebounds, in passing the basketball. Over twenty 113 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:18,839 Speaker 1: five and a half points, rebounds, assists for Derek White, 114 00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:20,720 Speaker 1: who I think is the best player for the Boston 115 00:06:20,760 --> 00:06:25,120 Speaker 1: Celtics at minus one ten to come in and win 116 00:06:25,760 --> 00:06:27,839 Speaker 1: win a half unit, okay, so obi topping over eight 117 00:06:27,880 --> 00:06:30,279 Speaker 1: and a half points Derek White over twenty five and 118 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:34,120 Speaker 1: a half points, rebounds and assists. Celtics team total over 119 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:36,440 Speaker 1: sixteen and a half for one unit. That's our play 120 00:06:36,640 --> 00:06:39,800 Speaker 1: or two to over three plays. On Game two of 121 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:44,120 Speaker 1: the Eastern Conference Finals to baseball. It's Paul Skeen's day. 122 00:06:44,520 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 1: I'm gonna make the same bet I made in Chicago. 123 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:49,920 Speaker 1: You guys didn't play it with me because I played 124 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:51,960 Speaker 1: it at the counter. I played it in person. We 125 00:06:52,040 --> 00:06:54,680 Speaker 1: laid one oh five, but the number rows to minus 126 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:58,400 Speaker 1: one twenty for the Pirates over the Cubs. Paul Skeen 127 00:06:58,480 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 1: strikeouts were six and a half. Paul Skins no hits, 128 00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:06,760 Speaker 1: six innings, eleven k's. He was incredible against the Cubs. 129 00:07:06,960 --> 00:07:11,560 Speaker 1: Now he's at home against the San Francisco Giants. He's 130 00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:13,960 Speaker 1: facing Mason Black, who's oh in one with a seven 131 00:07:14,000 --> 00:07:16,920 Speaker 1: point seven to one ERA misson. Black's given up four 132 00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:19,600 Speaker 1: earned runs, one earn run, and five earn runs in 133 00:07:19,640 --> 00:07:21,920 Speaker 1: the three games he has started. He will only pitch 134 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:24,200 Speaker 1: about three to four innings. That's about it. It's more 135 00:07:24,200 --> 00:07:28,360 Speaker 1: of a bullpen game for the Giants. But the Giants 136 00:07:28,480 --> 00:07:30,720 Speaker 1: are not a good baseball team at the moment. Okay, 137 00:07:31,720 --> 00:07:34,520 Speaker 1: they're twenty four and twenty six. They did beat the 138 00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:38,200 Speaker 1: Pirates yesterday nine to five. Pirates had a rally to 139 00:07:38,240 --> 00:07:40,680 Speaker 1: win Game number one, seven to six. It should be 140 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:43,080 Speaker 1: zero to two here in this series. But here comes 141 00:07:43,080 --> 00:07:45,560 Speaker 1: Paul Skans. It's an early start time. This is a 142 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: twelve thirty five Eastern times start, so hopefully you guys 143 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 1: get this early. I made this bet in Chicago. I'm 144 00:07:51,960 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 1: making this bet here in Vegas. Fan duel has it 145 00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 1: we're gonna parlay the money line for the Pittsburgh Pirates 146 00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 1: to win the game with Paul Skans seven or more strikeouts. 147 00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:07,640 Speaker 1: That's a plus one oh four bet. I did it 148 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:12,240 Speaker 1: for five or more strikeouts with the Pirates beating the Cubs, 149 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 1: and that was a plus one fifteen bet. So this 150 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:17,680 Speaker 1: is a little bit more. But he struck out eleven, So, like, 151 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:20,320 Speaker 1: how many cases is he gonna have? Well? On average, 152 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 1: the Giants on the road, they strike out nine times 153 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:27,560 Speaker 1: a game on the road on average. That's not a 154 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:31,960 Speaker 1: you know, anomaly. They strike out a lot. They're a 155 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:34,920 Speaker 1: strikeout team. They just you know, they k a lot. 156 00:08:35,040 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 1: Last night they kai twelve times and it wasn't Paul Skans, 157 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:43,760 Speaker 1: hey twelve times. So how many pitches will Paul Skans 158 00:08:43,800 --> 00:08:47,560 Speaker 1: be allowed to pitch? It's at home, It's Paul Skans 159 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:50,280 Speaker 1: night on a Friday night. The ballpark's gonna be jumping. 160 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:54,640 Speaker 1: It's gonna be a fun place to be. Parlay Pirates 161 00:08:54,720 --> 00:08:58,400 Speaker 1: money line Paul Skans seven or more strikeouts. It's a 162 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 1: plus one oh four play one unit on the Pirates 163 00:09:01,679 --> 00:09:04,360 Speaker 1: to win. Paul Skeans with seven and more k's. You 164 00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:07,079 Speaker 1: can do five or six, but the juice is pretty nasty. 165 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:09,400 Speaker 1: You can do six if you want. It's minus one 166 00:09:09,440 --> 00:09:13,240 Speaker 1: twenty five. I'd rather do seven plus one oh four. 167 00:09:13,800 --> 00:09:17,040 Speaker 1: I did five last time it hit in the first 168 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:20,079 Speaker 1: five batters. I'm not saying that's gonna happen again, but 169 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:22,439 Speaker 1: Paul Skeens had seven up, seven down to start the 170 00:09:22,480 --> 00:09:26,240 Speaker 1: Cubs game in his last start. Let's see what happens 171 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:28,200 Speaker 1: he strikes out the side again to start the game, 172 00:09:28,280 --> 00:09:30,680 Speaker 1: or even more against the Giants and again. The Giants 173 00:09:30,679 --> 00:09:33,680 Speaker 1: strike out a lot twelve times last night, nine on 174 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:36,320 Speaker 1: average on the road, and you get the best young 175 00:09:36,360 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 1: power armed in the game going for the Pirates. Pirates 176 00:09:39,280 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 1: win combined with Paul Skeans with seven or more strikeouts, 177 00:09:43,040 --> 00:09:47,880 Speaker 1: it's a plus one oh four play. In hockey, I'm 178 00:09:47,960 --> 00:09:50,400 Speaker 1: just gonna take the Dallas Stars on the money line 179 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:53,120 Speaker 1: at minus one twenty seven to win Game one. Look, 180 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:55,720 Speaker 1: I think they're the better team that the deeper team. 181 00:09:56,120 --> 00:09:59,679 Speaker 1: They've got more talent. I don't like the Oilers all 182 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:03,480 Speaker 1: that mine year in this series. I mean, Skinner's a 183 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:06,440 Speaker 1: massive liability. I think Ottinger is gonna be great. I 184 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:08,160 Speaker 1: don't know if this is a high scoring game or 185 00:10:08,200 --> 00:10:10,560 Speaker 1: a low scoring game. I want to watch this series 186 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:13,320 Speaker 1: a little bit. I lean towards a high, high scoring game, 187 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 1: but I'm just gonna come in here and take the 188 00:10:17,040 --> 00:10:20,440 Speaker 1: better team in game one. I think Dallas is gonna 189 00:10:20,440 --> 00:10:23,400 Speaker 1: win this series in six. T and T's got this 190 00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:26,280 Speaker 1: game for you, guys. Tonight's Dallas is twenty six, eleven 191 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:29,719 Speaker 1: and four at home this year twenty one, eighteen and 192 00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:33,120 Speaker 1: two the Oilers on the road in the regular season 193 00:10:33,240 --> 00:10:36,600 Speaker 1: Dallas two to one. They won one game at home 194 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:39,920 Speaker 1: five nothing on the third of April. They lost in 195 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:44,040 Speaker 1: overtime at home on the seventeenth of February to the Oilers, 196 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:47,400 Speaker 1: and they won the only game in Edmonton four to three. Again, 197 00:10:47,440 --> 00:10:49,840 Speaker 1: I lean towards the over, but it's the playoffs, so 198 00:10:49,880 --> 00:10:52,439 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna take the money line Stars. Money line 199 00:10:52,559 --> 00:10:55,600 Speaker 1: minus won twenty seven for one point twenty seven units 200 00:10:55,640 --> 00:11:00,400 Speaker 1: down to win one unit. Okay, Busy Thursday keep it 201 00:11:00,440 --> 00:11:04,440 Speaker 1: rolling here Celtics over sixteen and a half first half 202 00:11:04,480 --> 00:11:07,480 Speaker 1: team total even money Obi Toppin over eight and a 203 00:11:07,520 --> 00:11:10,319 Speaker 1: half points minus one twenty five to win a half 204 00:11:10,360 --> 00:11:13,800 Speaker 1: A unit Derek White points, rebounds and assists for Celtics 205 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:16,360 Speaker 1: over twenty five and a half at minus one ten. 206 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 1: Pirates money line parlayed with Paul Skeens seven or more 207 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:23,240 Speaker 1: strikeouts is a plus one zero four bet for one 208 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:26,440 Speaker 1: unit in Star's money line minus one twenty seven to 209 00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:29,080 Speaker 1: win the game tonight against the Oilers one point twenty 210 00:11:29,120 --> 00:11:32,599 Speaker 1: seven units down on that minus. Matt Paroltz following me 211 00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:36,079 Speaker 1: across all socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning the 212 00:11:36,200 --> 00:11:38,439 Speaker 1: Dials Use podcast I was being brought to you by 213 00:11:38,520 --> 00:11:53,400 Speaker 1: Omaha stakes dot Com