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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast named best betting podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: Without further ado, that's what the game's all about.

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Speaker 3: All of a sudden, you feel like you can't miss.

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna leave there.

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Speaker 3: You couldn't make that if you try that again. Absolutely to.

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Speaker 5: The Action Network podcast NBA Christmas Day Betting Spectacular. Thanks

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Speaker 5: for joining us on Matt Moore, you can find me

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Speaker 5: on Twitter at HP Basketball. Want to make sure that

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Speaker 5: you guys are using the Action Network app to track

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Speaker 5: all of your bests. It's got the fastest updated scores

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Speaker 5: you were going to find. I have tracked it against

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Speaker 5: what's happening in the arena live versus the television, and

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Speaker 5: our our app is faster than the TV score. You

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Speaker 5: are going to get the actual up to the second

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Speaker 5: updates that you need to make the best bets. Track

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Speaker 5: all of your bets, get the best information from all

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Speaker 5: of our experts at the Action Network. Download the Action

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Speaker 5: Network App today. As a reminder, we're gonna start having

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Speaker 5: a weekly NBAA episode starting in January. I'm excited to

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Speaker 5: join the Lady the already great shows college football fans

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Speaker 5: Stucky and Colin will be reacing part two of their

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Speaker 5: five part Bowl game betting preview episodes this Wednesday night

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Speaker 5: as they continue to break down every Bowl game between

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Speaker 5: now and the National Championship and my favorite show, Stucky

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Speaker 5: and Raybond will return on Christmas Eve with their NFL

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Speaker 5: Week sixteen betting preview. Make sure to check that out.

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Speaker 5: On today's show, we will break down all five of

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Speaker 5: the big Christmas Day games in the NBA. The NBA

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Speaker 5: is back. We will talk to Justin Fan, the Legend,

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Speaker 5: the Myth, the man that moves lines in the NBA

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Speaker 5: more than any else I know. Justin Fan will join us,

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Speaker 5: and later on Raheem Palmer will join me to break

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Speaker 5: down the rest of the games. Make sure to rate,

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Speaker 5: review and subscribe. Let's get started with Justin Fann. Just

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Speaker 5: a reminder oli our lines our courtesy of bet MGM,

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Speaker 5: the official odds provider of the Action Network podcast.

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Speaker 4: Just hear those slave ling Tingling Tube. Come on, it's

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Speaker 4: lovely weather.

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Speaker 5: For you, all right. Justin Fan, the Man, the Myth,

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Speaker 5: the Legend with me from the Action Network. Justin's Insider's

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Speaker 5: Tool will be updating with everything that you need to

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Speaker 5: know about the breakdowns for players, for teams, all the

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Speaker 5: impacts of absences, injuries up to the second breaking news.

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Speaker 5: Make sure to check that out on the Action Network

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Speaker 5: justin Are you excited for this Christmas Day slate that

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Speaker 5: we have coming up?

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Speaker 6: Great slate of games and even for the start at

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Speaker 6: the Pelicans Heat, I'm really excited to see the z

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Speaker 6: Ion unleashed off his minutes limit against bam Autabayo, who's

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Speaker 6: been great passing Jennie season. So top to bottom, it's

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Speaker 6: a really good state.

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Speaker 5: So recording this little early in the week, totals have

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Speaker 5: not been posted at the books that I have seen,

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Speaker 5: so we're gonna stick to the spreads today and the

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Speaker 5: money line. Let's start with the big kind of headliner

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Speaker 5: Mavericks Lakers.

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Speaker 7: The Dallas Mavericks at the La Lakers.

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Speaker 5: Luka Doncis gets the headliners spot. Look at Luca Go

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Speaker 5: versus the defending champs. The games were excellent last year.

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Speaker 5: Line on this game, Mavericks are seven point dogs money

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Speaker 5: line plus two fifty, Lakers minus seven minus three hundred.

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Speaker 5: I guess the first question I have for you is

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Speaker 5: we saw a lot of these games go closer last year.

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Speaker 5: It seems to me like the books are making a

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Speaker 5: pretty significant adjustment for Kristaps porzingis being out. Do you

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Speaker 5: agree with that assertion and do you think that that's warranted.

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Speaker 8: I do agree with that assertion.

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Speaker 6: I'm really curious to see what version of Dwight Powell

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Speaker 6: we get this season. Are we going to get the

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Speaker 6: version of Dwight Powell led the mass of efficiency differential

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Speaker 6: last season. He's coming off with ruptured achilles. The preseason

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Speaker 6: he looked decent, not great, So if he's not back

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Speaker 6: to form, it makes filling in for Chris Steps a

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Speaker 6: little difficult. Like you have a limited d Wye Palell,

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Speaker 6: you're leading on Maxic Kliba, and you're playing a really

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Speaker 6: big front court with with arguably, you know, one of

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Speaker 6: the best players in the league, one of the best

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Speaker 6: players in the league, and Anthony Davis so reloaded with Marcosol,

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Speaker 6: reloaded with more trees, Harrell.

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Speaker 8: It's going to be a big test for for for

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Speaker 8: that front court.

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Speaker 6: And I'm definitely encouraged by what I've seen from the

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Speaker 6: Josh Richardson acquisition.

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Speaker 8: He's worked really well with Luca in the preseason.

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Speaker 6: The catch and shoot numbers for Jay Rich should be

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Speaker 6: should be up significantly. And yeah, I'm mostly curious to

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Speaker 6: see how limited Lebron is from the jomb minutes wise,

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Speaker 6: I initially have him for the opener around thirty minutes.

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Speaker 8: But you know, we'll see how much they kind of

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Speaker 8: rup ro month.

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Speaker 5: Ad should eat in this game. Like I'll be looking

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Speaker 5: probably the props because like Cleba can't handle him. Powell,

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Speaker 5: you know, is undersized to begin with with porzingis out

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Speaker 5: like if if cap This is maybe the one game

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Speaker 5: where I think KP's defense may have the biggest impact

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Speaker 5: is his ability to cover Davis from range and then

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Speaker 5: up close. You have to think that. But at the

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Speaker 5: same time, I'm going to bet the probably eighties number

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Speaker 5: because of that. It's going to be pretty high based

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Speaker 5: off of what we've seen in the past. Is like

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Speaker 5: whenever those these kind of absences, those numbers get juiced up.

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Speaker 5: I don't know, Like, do you think that there's value

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Speaker 5: at the at the number of seven here?

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Speaker 8: No, I don't.

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Speaker 6: This is probably a stay away for me unless I

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Speaker 6: see something I like. Either way, it's something that happens.

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Speaker 6: Lebron's may be more limited than I initially thought. Do

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Speaker 6: I have how looks great, something swings it, But I

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Speaker 6: think that that number is pretty good. And the maps

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Speaker 6: has always been like their bench differential has been their

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Speaker 6: bread and butter, Like their second unit has always played

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Speaker 6: really well. And then you you're facing a team in

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Speaker 6: the Lakers whose second unit is loaded when everybody's healthy,

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Speaker 6: and the back guy on the rotation now Talin Horn

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Speaker 6: Tucker was the star of the preseason, you know, and

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Speaker 6: there they're just way too deep in that in that

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Speaker 6: second unit Russo Mantrez, Harrell, Kyle Kuzma, Talenthorne, Tucker, Wes Matthews,

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Speaker 6: Marky Morris, Quinn Cook, like you.

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Speaker 8: Can go down and down and down.

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Speaker 6: So I do think the Lakers are properly capped here.

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Speaker 6: But I think that numbers, you know, six and a

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Speaker 6: half seven is correct.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, it's probably gonna say away for me too. I

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Speaker 5: keep wanting to grab the Mavericks as underdogs just because,

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Speaker 5: like Lucas, I think he's gonna have a fantastic season.

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Speaker 5: The numbers bore out that they were at least even

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Speaker 5: without KP last year. The numbers are pretty good with

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Speaker 5: him out of the lineup. But like this matchup in particular,

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Speaker 5: really bugs me, Like, I just don't think that there's

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Speaker 5: like the a D thing. Their front court is so big,

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Speaker 5: they're just gonna be like I don't want to see

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Speaker 5: Willie Kelly Stein trying to go over to Anthony Davis. Like,

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Speaker 5: you know, Bobon can probably do a little bit of

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Speaker 5: like he can probably riak a little bit a havoc

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Speaker 5: depending on if gasol starts or not. But in general,

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Speaker 5: like they have so many more weapons than the Mavericks do,

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Speaker 5: and like I like the Mavericks editions on the perimeter,

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Speaker 5: like Josh Richardson, but you know, ridgards is not a

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Speaker 5: guy that you want to put on Lebron because he's

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Speaker 5: too small. If they don't have the wing defenders. This

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Speaker 5: one definitely feels it's a big number delay. I agree

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Speaker 5: with you. This is probably gonna have to be a

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Speaker 5: stay away. Should be a great game.

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Speaker 2: Though the flame that we can to has been win

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Speaker 2: a little. It just keeps burning, burning, burning, It won't cool.

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Speaker 5: Let's talk about Clippers Nuggets, the big rematch from the

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Speaker 5: Western Conference semifinals last year.

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Speaker 7: The Denver Nuggets at the LA Clippers.

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Speaker 5: Clippers are road favorites in Denver, not something you're gonna

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Speaker 5: see very often at all, even without crowds. Clippers a

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Speaker 5: one point favorite minus one fifteen on the money line,

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Speaker 5: Nuggets plus one minus one oh five. It's obviously a

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Speaker 5: better value on the money line for the for Denver,

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Speaker 5: for bet MGM. I'm gonna go with Denver.

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Speaker 3: In this game.

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Speaker 5: I still think that they have not I don't think

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Speaker 5: Sergebaka fixes their problem with guarding Nikola Jokic. I do

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Speaker 5: not think that more Ikazubah's gonna solve the problem with

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Speaker 5: guarding the Nicola Jokic. He has looked really plugged in,

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Speaker 5: like he is he's locked in, which is surprising to

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Speaker 5: me because he tends to show up and kind of

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Speaker 5: like drift for the first couple of months. He may

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Speaker 5: have gotten past that stage in his career. Yokic hash,

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Speaker 5: I like Jamal Murray in this matchup. I like the

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Speaker 5: bench unit. I love the bench unit matchup. The Denver's

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Speaker 5: bench unit looks much better. I think there's probably gonna

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Speaker 5: be real value on the Nuggets to win this game.

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Speaker 8: Out right, give me the Nuggets too. I'm all of this.

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Speaker 6: And Jokic, you mentioned on seventy per shooting in the preseason,

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Speaker 6: so far, he's looked phenomenal. He'll eat in this matchup,

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Speaker 6: even though they swapped out Mantrezjal for Ibaka. I I'm

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Speaker 6: curious in the over. I want the over, you know,

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Speaker 6: depending on where it lands. Malone already talked about how

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Speaker 6: he wants the Nuggets score one hundred and thirty points.

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Speaker 6: I'm curious to see what Malone does on the wing.

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Speaker 6: This this whole like Will Barton thing is looming. MPJ

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Speaker 6: came off the bench because right after Barton said he

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Speaker 6: wants to be a starter. So we'll see how that

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Speaker 6: plays out with you know, Gary Harris, Will Barton and MPJ.

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Speaker 6: You know, three guys buying for two spots. If we're

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Speaker 6: talking about teams on a different end, the spectrum of

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Speaker 6: what we've seen, the Presets and the Clippers look rough.

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Speaker 6: I don't think they want a single game, and they

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Speaker 6: continue to rely a little bit too much on jump

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Speaker 6: shooting for my liking. Marcus Morris already iffy for the

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Speaker 6: opener with the sore need, and if he's less than

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Speaker 6: one hundred percent, he's a big player in this matchup.

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Speaker 6: So if he's less than a hundred percent, if he

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Speaker 6: even misses time, that that's a that's a huge loss

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Speaker 6: for a Clippers team that will have to you know,

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Speaker 6: I guess throwing Patrick Patterson or Nicholas patoom in there

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Speaker 6: a little bit more for my liking. So yeah, this

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Speaker 6: this is this Nuggets team.

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Speaker 8: Man.

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Speaker 6: I am optimistic, like I love are getting. They're getting

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Speaker 6: Will Barton back. I expect, you know, MPG to continue

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Speaker 6: to progress. I love that Jamichael Green signing for them.

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Speaker 6: And then you know Camposo as the great Monte Morris

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Speaker 6: I always love him, so I think they have the

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Speaker 6: advantage on both the stars and the second unit.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, they figured out some stuff. I was trying to

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Speaker 5: understand what they were going to do with Doser, and

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Speaker 5: they moved him to three. They're basically playing Doser at

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Speaker 5: small ball three, which is great because he gets a

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Speaker 5: playmake and at the defensive element, which is important when

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Speaker 5: you have Morris and Compasso on the floor together. The

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Speaker 5: Cabas is going to make some absolutely ridiculous passes this season,

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Speaker 5: my team that already makes a lot of ridiculous passes.

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Speaker 5: Millsap looks engaged like he was really mad at how

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Speaker 5: badly he struggled in the bubble. He's a creature of habit,

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Speaker 5: So it makes sense that he struggled, but he was

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Speaker 5: shooting forty percent from three last year still looked really good.

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Speaker 5: Bardon is back and engaged. It's a contract year for him.

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Speaker 5: MPJ off the bench is gonna get a lot of

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Speaker 5: minutes and touches, like he's still going to get a

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Speaker 5: healthy dose of minutes. He has not complained. The Nuggets

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Speaker 5: feel okay about the situation right now.

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Speaker 6: So you do think that Bardon starting with MPG MPJ

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Speaker 6: is a thing that it's gonna happen.

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Speaker 5: I think right now, I wouldn't be surprised if there

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Speaker 5: was a mid season trade of either Harris or Barton

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Speaker 5: to clear a spot. Like That's where I'm at right now.

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Speaker 5: It's like, I don't think that they want to do

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Speaker 5: this because Tim Connolly loves Well Barton. He's a he's

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Speaker 5: a Baltimore guy. He doesn't want to tray Gary Harris.

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Speaker 5: Harris has been here since the very beginning, Like he

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Speaker 5: was instrumental in a lot of the stuff that they built.

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Speaker 5: Like they're very attached to those players, but they know

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Speaker 5: that they get to figure out a way to get

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Speaker 5: MPJ in the starting lineup. A lot of it was

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Speaker 5: in the preseason. MPJ started and had opportunity to just

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Speaker 5: blow everybody away, and he wasn't bad. He just wasn't

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Speaker 5: good enough. Like Barton came off the bench and was great.

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Speaker 5: And then the bigger problem is then MPJ goes the bench,

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Speaker 5: and he looks great on the bench, even though and

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Speaker 5: so like that's a problem. But part of this is

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Speaker 5: also like I just think that both Barton and MPJ

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Speaker 5: are gonna look better with the bench because you get

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Speaker 5: more opportunities to shine. Like the Nuggets are have so

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Speaker 5: many weapons in that starting unit. It's tough to find

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Speaker 5: like they have they have too many weapons, if that's

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Speaker 5: such a thing, Like they just have so many ways

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Speaker 5: that they can score on the Clippers. They're plus six

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Speaker 5: fifty right now at MGM to win the title. You

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Speaker 5: were on him last year. Do you think that there's

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Speaker 5: a chance that they could dip further as we go

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Speaker 5: a month two months of the season and get off

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Speaker 5: to a rough start, and the value could be better

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Speaker 5: to bet them later to win the title. I actually

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Speaker 5: think they're better built for the playoffs than they are

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Speaker 5: for the regular season. And kind of emblematic of that

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Speaker 5: is that that switch between Mantres, Harald and Ibaka.

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Speaker 6: I think Ebaka is better in a vacuum. I think

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Speaker 6: Mantres Carol is a better regular season player. I think

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Speaker 6: Ibacca is better in the playoffs. Right. I think for me,

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Speaker 6: when I'm looking for if I'm going to go back

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Speaker 6: to the Clippers, is how they make it through this

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Speaker 6: regular season. It's a condensed schedule. It's one right for rest,

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Speaker 6: one possibly increased injury risk, and that roster is old

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Speaker 6: man Patrick Beverly missing more games seeing through minutes with

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Speaker 6: every passing season.

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Speaker 8: Lou Williams is thirty four, Kawhi still.

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Speaker 6: Is dealing with that chronic knee issue. Hopefully Pg's healthy

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Speaker 6: from that shoulder injury finally. But they're an older roster

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Speaker 6: man and if they can make it through the gauntlet

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Speaker 6: of this condensed schedule, condensed season without any significant injuries,

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Speaker 6: then I'm willing to kind of go back in on

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Speaker 6: the potentially because I think they're better built for the playoffs.

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Speaker 4: This time around.

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Speaker 9: Hope you're enjoying this great Action network podcast. I want

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Speaker 9: to make sure you know about the Locked On podcast

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Speaker 9: network locked On as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

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Speaker 8: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

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Speaker 5: You are locked down of the Dallas marriage. Well, came

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Speaker 5: everybody to the Lockdown Lakers podcast.

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Speaker 4: Let's Go.

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Speaker 9: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

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Speaker 9: know your team better than anyone and give you the

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Speaker 9: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

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Speaker 9: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your locked on podcast.

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Speaker 5: So we got one more game that I want to

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Speaker 5: get to with you.

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Speaker 7: The Golden State Warriors at the Milwaukee Bucks.

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Speaker 5: The honest is back. Draymond Green's gonna miss when recording this.

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Speaker 5: He's gonna miss the opener. We don't know if he's

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Speaker 5: gonna be available. I would imagine this probably drops a

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Speaker 5: little bit. Warriors is plus seven right now, Bucks are

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Speaker 5: minus seven, Warriors plus two fifty bucks minus three hundred

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Speaker 5: on the money line, I am. I am going to

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Speaker 5: be looking for spots to bet the Warriors. I had

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Speaker 5: gone ahead and taken the Warriors before I saw the

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Speaker 5: Nets in preseason because I thought I would get better

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Speaker 5: value on the line, and I was wrong. And I'm

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Speaker 5: now terrified because like on the Warriors NETS game, when

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Speaker 5: you're listening to this, this game has probably already happened. So

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Speaker 5: I look like a genius or a moron with this

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Speaker 5: Warriors Bucks game. Now, look, the Warriors have transitioned a

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Speaker 5: lot to miterin shooting in the last couple of years.

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Speaker 5: After like the Splash Brothers kind of height era, they

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Speaker 5: transition to a lot more mitering shooting. They still have

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Speaker 5: the best three point shooter in the game. Ubra and

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Speaker 5: Baysmore can both bomb from deep. They do have weapons underneath.

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Speaker 5: Wiseman can obviously, you know, make some buckets underneath due

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Speaker 5: to the gravity. They're gonna miss Green as a facilitator. Typically,

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Speaker 5: the Warriors the Bucks rather at home as and you know,

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Speaker 5: we don't know what home court's gonna look like. Travel

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Speaker 5: in the NBA seems more important than the crowd, but

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Speaker 5: we'll see the war The Bucks at home is as

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Speaker 5: single digits is usually like an auto play, right, But

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Speaker 5: I kind of like the Warriors here. I just I

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Speaker 5: don't like giving more than five to stephcan Curry, Like,

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Speaker 5: I just feel like that's a mistake. Even with all

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Speaker 5: of without Klay Thompson, even without Draymond Green, this team

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Speaker 5: at least has like NBA quality players on it, like

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Speaker 5: it has like they're starting five is mostly NBA dudes

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Speaker 5: in a rookie and I just feel like undermining and

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Speaker 5: going against Kerr and Curry at seven points is a

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Speaker 5: lot to lay.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I think I think I'll get up to eight,

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Speaker 6: eight and a half even. I've seen some eights out

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Speaker 6: there with reduced juice already for this game, so I'm

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Speaker 6: gonna wait until it creeps up Draymond when he potentially

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Speaker 6: gets ruled out for this Christmas Day game, the line's

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Speaker 6: gonna jump more, giving you more values. So this is

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Speaker 6: kind of a one to sit on with news. I

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Speaker 6: think there's a good chance dream On misses his game.

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Speaker 6: Per already said before dream was a fishy ruled out

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Speaker 6: for the opener that he could miss a few games.

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Speaker 6: So we'll see Eric Pascal likely Elevators with starting lineup.

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Speaker 8: I'm curious to see what they do against Giannest.

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Speaker 6: I mean, they're gonna just throw a combination of bodies, Pascal, Obray, Wiggans,

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Speaker 6: someone you know, grab someone from the stance. I don't

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Speaker 6: know who's gonna guard. Really tough, great test for jew Holiday.

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Speaker 8: Uh.

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Speaker 6: This is the type of matchup that they you know

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Speaker 6: that they got him for to guard step Well, we'll

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Speaker 6: see we'll see Howie Ferris.

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Speaker 8: I like the back door cover.

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Speaker 6: Angle for for the for the Warriors, though their second

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Speaker 6: unit is very iffy for me, especially when you pull

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Speaker 6: Pascal off that unit.

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Speaker 8: Into the starting lineup.

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Speaker 6: I mean, I like Brad Wanamaker, Marquis Cris has showed well,

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Speaker 6: but I'm still not sold on Basemore and Damian Lee.

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Speaker 6: And you look at this this, what do you think

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Speaker 6: of this Bucks second unit? It's basically a brand new bench.

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Speaker 6: Like it's DJ Augustine, Bryn Forbes, Tory Craig, Bobby Portis,

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Speaker 6: and then you got the holdover in pack Conton. So

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Speaker 6: you know, in the I think we're talking about, I'm

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Speaker 6: looking kind of like a back row cover. And the

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Speaker 6: second units play each other where do you kind of

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Speaker 6: favor give the advantage too?

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Speaker 5: So like I like a lot of the players in

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Speaker 5: that Buck second unit. But if we look at it,

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Speaker 5: Brent Forbes, if you isolate him out from the Spurs

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Speaker 5: last year, everybody's defensive rating went to absolute garbage when

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Speaker 5: Brim was on the floor. I liked Brent for a while,

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Speaker 5: and part of that was because Brim was starting. And

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Speaker 5: that's that's a tough look, right, Like bench unit's probably

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Speaker 5: a much better acclamation, but I think it's probably offset

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Speaker 5: by the fact that, look, Augustine is I love DJ Augustine,

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Speaker 5: loved d J. Augustine like one of my favorite players

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Speaker 5: who talked to I've talked to him throughout his entire career.

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Speaker 5: I was high on the Magic because he used to

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Speaker 5: bet them, and specifically because I would be able to

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Speaker 5: find angles where Augustine I knew would do well as

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Speaker 5: like a veteran that could just put up the kind

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Speaker 5: of numbers that they needed even for a bad magic offense.

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Speaker 5: I like him in the system that shoots many threes.

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Speaker 5: I love body Portois Woo Pig.

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Speaker 7: Suey, Woo, Pig Suey.

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Speaker 5: This defense on this union's gonna take the major drop off,

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Speaker 5: Like that's gonna be the big drop like that the

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Speaker 5: defense used to be solid with whatever unit for the

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Speaker 5: Bucks was on the floor. It's like you could just

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Speaker 5: count on them being a good defense. I think like

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Speaker 5: with Holliday, they wanted to increase the ceiling, but that

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Speaker 5: cost them their depth, and so now I think you're

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Speaker 5: going to have like a real drop off in the

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Speaker 5: second unit. They'll still put up numbers, but I think

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Speaker 5: there's probably going to be a big defensive issue there too.

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Speaker 5: So with the Warriors, you know, I kind of trust

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Speaker 5: her to be able to stagger a little bit. Like

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Speaker 5: they know that they're going to have to play guys

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Speaker 5: a lot of minutes. They know that. I mean, he

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Speaker 5: won't put Steph any sort of anything unreasonable. He's not TIBs.

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Speaker 5: But I think they could probably figure out enough. I

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Speaker 5: want to see what Wiggins looks like. That's a big

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Speaker 5: key here is I want to see what Wiggins looks like. Uh,

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Speaker 5: because I think Wiggins with the second unit might be

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Speaker 5: able to generate some stuff. I also like a lot

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Speaker 5: of the of the I like a lot of the

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Speaker 5: Warriors second unit dudes because I saw him last year

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Speaker 5: that team wound up at the number one pick. There

397
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Speaker 5: are better guys in terms of talent on that team,

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Speaker 5: especially those guys had to play all up role last year,

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Speaker 5: like the eighth man had to be the fifth man,

400
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Speaker 5: Like they were playing way way up in terms of

401
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Speaker 5: where they should be rotationally. I like Molder, like I

402
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Speaker 5: like Pescal, I like I like these guys. I think

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Speaker 5: that they can they can do enough, so I'll probably

404
00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:14,159
Speaker 5: be looking like that's actually an interesting angle on. As

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Speaker 5: we're sitting here talking, when those lines come out, I'm

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Speaker 5: probably gonna be looking for like Bucks first quarter and

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Speaker 5: then maybe fade them in the second quarter or take

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Speaker 5: the total over. Maybe first half, maybe first half total

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Speaker 5: might be the way to go with like that Bucks

410
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Speaker 5: unit really gonna like we'll see how they look in

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Speaker 5: their first game, But I think that that's probably that's

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Speaker 5: probably where I'm gonna be looking as a big I

413
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Speaker 5: think that deep. I think that second unit's gonna give

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Speaker 5: up a lot of points.

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Speaker 8: Yeah, I'm curious to see how Kurr.

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Speaker 10: Manages rotations too, because before this Straymond Green injury, he

417
00:19:45,280 --> 00:19:48,879
Speaker 10: was pretty staunch about how he was gonna pair Steph

418
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:51,359
Speaker 10: and Draymond together no matter what, you know, and keep

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Speaker 10: them on the floor together. So we'll have to be creative,

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Speaker 10: and you know, i'd imagine Biggins will have to be

421
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Speaker 10: on the floor whenever steps on the bench.

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Speaker 6: We'll see how he kind of manages things. Is a

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Speaker 6: you know, if Draymond ends up missing us a second

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Speaker 6: game here.

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Speaker 5: What's your favorite bet right now? From the Christmas slate

426
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Speaker 5: of all the games.

427
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Speaker 6: I'll be looking to go Pelicans Heath under one of

428
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Speaker 6: the biggest takeaways from the preseason has been like the

429
00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:18,840
Speaker 6: stylistic shift that we've seen from the Pelicans. They've traditionally

430
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Speaker 6: been a very fast team, a very poor defensive team.

431
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Speaker 6: You have stame An Gendi coming in doing two a

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Speaker 6: days to JJ Reddick's dismay emphasizing defense, and we've seen

433
00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:32,600
Speaker 6: that kind of stylistic shift take place in the preseason.

434
00:20:32,640 --> 00:20:34,240
Speaker 8: Obviously small sample.

435
00:20:33,880 --> 00:20:36,640
Speaker 6: Don't want to read too much into it, but they

436
00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:39,640
Speaker 6: went from fifth and paced last season to twenty ninth

437
00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:42,200
Speaker 6: and pace in the preseason. They went from twenty first

438
00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:44,200
Speaker 6: in defense last season and they were even worse, they

439
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:45,600
Speaker 6: were like one of the worst defensive teams for the

440
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:49,040
Speaker 6: second half to sixteenth in defense during the preseason.

441
00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:50,760
Speaker 8: I think that's more of what you expect.

442
00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:53,720
Speaker 6: They're going to be more like a leak average pace team,

443
00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:57,760
Speaker 6: leak average defensive team, and less kind of the extremes

444
00:20:57,800 --> 00:20:59,200
Speaker 6: that we've.

445
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:00,840
Speaker 8: Seen in the you know, from last season.

446
00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:03,280
Speaker 6: So I don't think that'll be quite baked in and

447
00:21:03,400 --> 00:21:06,000
Speaker 6: to the total from the from the get go, And

448
00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:08,119
Speaker 6: those are like the stylistic things that I'm looking for,

449
00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:11,080
Speaker 6: like the off season style six changes that aren't baked

450
00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:13,720
Speaker 6: into the initial you know, Vegas totals and lines from

451
00:21:13,760 --> 00:21:15,720
Speaker 6: the outset that I want to take advantage of early

452
00:21:15,800 --> 00:21:17,240
Speaker 6: on great stuff.

453
00:21:17,240 --> 00:21:19,080
Speaker 5: That's Justin Fan. Make sure to follow him on Twitter

454
00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:21,440
Speaker 5: and more importantly on the Action Network after going to

455
00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:25,080
Speaker 5: get the absolute sharpest plays in the NBA universe from Justin.

456
00:21:25,160 --> 00:21:25,440
Speaker 8: Thanks.

457
00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:30,400
Speaker 2: Justin's making a listing Chicken it twice.

458
00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:40,359
Speaker 4: He's starting to find out. Just coming, sad same, just coming.

459
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:43,960
Speaker 8: That's coming.

460
00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:49,520
Speaker 5: Two more games to break down, and for those, I'm

461
00:21:49,560 --> 00:21:52,320
Speaker 5: going to my man Raheem Palmer. You can find them

462
00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,719
Speaker 5: all over the Action Network and the Action App. Make

463
00:21:54,720 --> 00:21:59,240
Speaker 5: sure to download that Man of Many Talents, NFL, NBA,

464
00:22:00,040 --> 00:22:01,439
Speaker 5: you are all over the place, my man.

465
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:03,720
Speaker 11: I try, man, I just I mean, those are the

466
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:05,760
Speaker 11: two sports that I do. Actually do a little boxing too.

467
00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:09,480
Speaker 11: So we had the Canelo Colin Smith fight last week.

468
00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:12,000
Speaker 11: It didn't go our way, but I think I handicapped

469
00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:15,600
Speaker 11: it correctly. So that's what we try to do, just

470
00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:17,120
Speaker 11: try to get the best of it, better.

471
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:19,560
Speaker 5: Than cap is right, than than the results. We're gonna

472
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:21,080
Speaker 5: start the first game that we're going to talk about

473
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:26,000
Speaker 5: here for the NBA Christmas Extravaganza.

474
00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:28,200
Speaker 7: The New Orleans Pelicans at the Miami Heat.

475
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:31,760
Speaker 5: The Heat are five and a half point favorites. The

476
00:22:31,800 --> 00:22:35,000
Speaker 5: Pelicans are plus one to ninety on the money line,

477
00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:39,119
Speaker 5: and the Heat are minus two fifty. Interesting matchup to

478
00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:41,160
Speaker 5: go with. They had to get the Heat on because

479
00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:43,399
Speaker 5: they were in the finals, had to get Zion in

480
00:22:43,440 --> 00:22:48,199
Speaker 5: because Zion is a huge draw. I'm gonna be honest,

481
00:22:48,440 --> 00:22:50,320
Speaker 5: the Pelicans are a team that I'm looking to fade

482
00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:53,520
Speaker 5: pretty early. I kind of like this matchup a little bit, though.

483
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:55,159
Speaker 5: What are your first thoughts on this one?

484
00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:57,720
Speaker 11: My numbers actually put this game at six and a half,

485
00:22:58,320 --> 00:23:01,520
Speaker 11: so from a number if, I think it's a little short,

486
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,399
Speaker 11: But I do agree with you on the matchup. I

487
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:06,360
Speaker 11: think it's a good matchup for the Pelicans. I think

488
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:08,840
Speaker 11: they can they can push the pace, They'll be.

489
00:23:08,760 --> 00:23:09,399
Speaker 3: Able to score.

490
00:23:10,040 --> 00:23:12,639
Speaker 11: I also don't like some of the losses that Miami's

491
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:14,919
Speaker 11: had this season. The loss of Jay Crowder is going

492
00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:17,840
Speaker 11: to be big. Parkless isn't as good as shooting at three.

493
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:20,720
Speaker 11: Bradley's cool. I think the number is kind of right on.

494
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:23,359
Speaker 5: So if we look at kind of the defensive matchup,

495
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:26,119
Speaker 5: right so, the Pelicans are pretty bad defensively, have been

496
00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:28,160
Speaker 5: pretty bad defensively, they're going to be any better. It's

497
00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:30,520
Speaker 5: going to have to be on that end. One thing

498
00:23:30,560 --> 00:23:33,240
Speaker 5: I think that's kind of key here is blood Cell

499
00:23:33,320 --> 00:23:36,920
Speaker 5: is an adequate replacement for Drew. Like Drew's first team

500
00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:39,800
Speaker 5: All Defense level worthy, blood Sell is probably second team

501
00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:42,040
Speaker 5: All Defense worthy. He's really good on the edge. So

502
00:23:42,560 --> 00:23:45,000
Speaker 5: you know, with Dragicic, I like putting blood Sell on

503
00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:46,679
Speaker 5: him and just being physical with him. I think that

504
00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:49,560
Speaker 5: works going around screens, being able to contest. You've got

505
00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:51,840
Speaker 5: Lonzo to be able to chase around Duncan Robinson. I

506
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:54,960
Speaker 5: like that matchup. Lonzo struggles when he closes out and

507
00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:57,560
Speaker 5: then gets beat on the perimeter on the edge by

508
00:23:57,560 --> 00:23:59,680
Speaker 5: a guy that then drives to the rim. That's where

509
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:01,959
Speaker 5: he makes mistakes. But if you just tell him, hey,

510
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:04,199
Speaker 5: I need you to just contain the three, Lonzo's got

511
00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:05,960
Speaker 5: good length. You can contest their screens.

512
00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:06,119
Speaker 8: Like.

513
00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:10,360
Speaker 5: That's actually a pretty good I think defensive setup. Look

514
00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:13,240
Speaker 5: the front court, this is where I think Steven Adams

515
00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:15,639
Speaker 5: really helps. Right, Like Steven Adams going up against BAM,

516
00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:19,520
Speaker 5: you feel like that's probably a lot better than Zion

517
00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:21,879
Speaker 5: having to combat BAM because BAM is so much more

518
00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,760
Speaker 5: of a polished player, but Adams is smart enough to

519
00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:27,160
Speaker 5: at least make it tough on Bam, and we saw

520
00:24:27,200 --> 00:24:30,119
Speaker 5: it in the finals. If you do not if he

521
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:33,200
Speaker 5: Bam is a player, that it tilts very heavily either way.

522
00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:37,720
Speaker 5: Where if he has a matchup advantage, he's gonna look dominant.

523
00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 5: He's just Godzilla because he's wreaking havoc if you do

524
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:42,920
Speaker 5: not have a matchup, but if you have the ability

525
00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:45,040
Speaker 5: just to limit him a little bit, he tends to

526
00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:47,680
Speaker 5: fade into the background like he does not insert himself

527
00:24:47,720 --> 00:24:51,000
Speaker 5: and really like combat these things. So I like those

528
00:24:51,040 --> 00:24:55,080
Speaker 5: matchups specifically plus one ninety, I'm gonna wait. I think

529
00:24:55,119 --> 00:24:57,399
Speaker 5: that this number probably gets closer to your number. I

530
00:24:57,400 --> 00:24:59,399
Speaker 5: think it probably gets closer to six and a half.

531
00:24:59,800 --> 00:25:01,240
Speaker 5: And and then at that point though, I think I

532
00:25:01,280 --> 00:25:03,040
Speaker 5: probably am gonna take the Pelicans, like I could see

533
00:25:03,080 --> 00:25:06,720
Speaker 5: this number going up before we get to Friday. I

534
00:25:06,760 --> 00:25:08,880
Speaker 5: think that that the Heat are. I think they're gonna

535
00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:10,040
Speaker 5: be a public team this season.

536
00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:12,680
Speaker 11: They played the Magic in Game one, so I think

537
00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:16,119
Speaker 11: they beat the Magic pretty easily, and then perception just

538
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:17,120
Speaker 11: goes up on them.

539
00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:19,879
Speaker 5: Right, and then likewise, who's the Pelicans? Who's the Pelicans

540
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:22,920
Speaker 5: playing on Wednesday, they played the Raptors, right, so that

541
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:25,600
Speaker 5: that's probably a loss, right, and so that probably contributes

542
00:25:25,640 --> 00:25:29,080
Speaker 5: to it too. So if this moves a point, then

543
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:32,159
Speaker 5: we're I think we're in a good spot here. I like,

544
00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:35,280
Speaker 5: get anything above probably six is where I'm gonna I'm

545
00:25:35,280 --> 00:25:37,720
Speaker 5: gonna go ahead and take the Pelicans to go ahead

546
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,480
Speaker 5: and hang. I think that they've got enough firepower, you know,

547
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:43,280
Speaker 5: Ingram versus Butler is a pretty good scoring matchup. Can

548
00:25:43,320 --> 00:25:49,080
Speaker 5: Butler defend him? Yes? But I also for Miami, I

549
00:25:49,080 --> 00:25:50,679
Speaker 5: don't know who's like, what do you what are you

550
00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:53,919
Speaker 5: doing with Zion? Like, what's what's the move there to? Like,

551
00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:56,119
Speaker 5: I don't know who they're gonna throw on Zion to

552
00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:57,040
Speaker 5: try and contain him.

553
00:25:57,359 --> 00:25:59,560
Speaker 11: I'm coming into the season. I'm already trying to fade

554
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:02,760
Speaker 11: teams who play deep into the playoffs anyway, So I

555
00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:05,159
Speaker 11: think this is a pretty good spot, you know, especially

556
00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:06,480
Speaker 11: if you're getting above six and a half.

557
00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:09,199
Speaker 5: I also, I'm gonna take a hard look at the

558
00:26:09,200 --> 00:26:11,119
Speaker 5: first half line when that comes out as well. I

559
00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:14,359
Speaker 5: want to see what that line is if we assume

560
00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:16,600
Speaker 5: it's like, you know, two two and a half, Like

561
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:19,679
Speaker 5: if it gets the three. I'm okay there too. I'm

562
00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:21,959
Speaker 5: gonna take a look at that, just because I think

563
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:24,120
Speaker 5: it's possible the Pelicans are able to hit them early

564
00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:27,600
Speaker 5: with their athleticism and speed like first time first regular

565
00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:30,960
Speaker 5: season game Miami, because Miami also last season was one

566
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:32,919
Speaker 5: of the worst first quarter teams, like they were not

567
00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:36,359
Speaker 5: good until later in the game, like third quarter. Second

568
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:38,800
Speaker 5: and third quarter was really where they kind of they

569
00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:41,600
Speaker 5: that's where they made the bread. So I'll be looking

570
00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:43,840
Speaker 5: at first quarter and first half lines on the Pelicans

571
00:26:43,840 --> 00:26:44,119
Speaker 5: as well.

572
00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:48,359
Speaker 4: I think gotta make it the.

573
00:26:48,440 --> 00:26:53,080
Speaker 3: Town central making Harry Cleman.

574
00:26:53,160 --> 00:27:00,679
Speaker 4: He can take the freeway. Now, run are going.

575
00:27:00,560 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 5: On, Let's go to the next game. The next game is.

576
00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:08,720
Speaker 7: The Brooklyn Nets at the Boston Celtics.

577
00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:14,359
Speaker 5: Kevin Durant Leverns. I'm surprised at this number, especially given

578
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:17,159
Speaker 5: that the opening when we're recording this on Wednesday, the

579
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:22,159
Speaker 5: opening nightline for Warriors Nets is much much higher than

580
00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:25,920
Speaker 5: Nets are huge favorites there. Celtics are only a one

581
00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:30,440
Speaker 5: point home dog here. Nets are minus one p fifteen

582
00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:33,880
Speaker 5: on the money line Celtics minus one oh five. Now

583
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:37,080
Speaker 5: I've got the Celtics over. I like this team. A

584
00:27:37,080 --> 00:27:40,760
Speaker 5: lot this season, but Tristan Thompson is still doubtful, Like

585
00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:42,199
Speaker 5: we don't know if he's gonna play or not.

586
00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:44,560
Speaker 11: I think the thing with this game is these two

587
00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:47,920
Speaker 11: teams played on national television in the preseason. I think

588
00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:51,880
Speaker 11: the Celtics were four or five point favorites and they

589
00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:55,040
Speaker 11: got destroyed. So that's a big part of that's that's

590
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:56,920
Speaker 11: a big part of why this number is the way

591
00:27:56,920 --> 00:27:59,320
Speaker 11: it is. I think it's a little short, to be honest,

592
00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:01,840
Speaker 11: you know, I'm high on the Celtics. I think this

593
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:05,399
Speaker 11: is a point guards league. You lose Kimba, you lose

594
00:28:05,560 --> 00:28:08,919
Speaker 11: Gordon Hayward. I think those are big losses in addition

595
00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:11,560
Speaker 11: to not having Tristan Thompson. But I just to me

596
00:28:12,440 --> 00:28:15,800
Speaker 11: to expect the Nets to go into the Garden and

597
00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:18,720
Speaker 11: beat the Celtics, that's just I'm just not seeing it.

598
00:28:19,600 --> 00:28:22,080
Speaker 11: I think you'll get a better performance based on what

599
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:23,199
Speaker 11: we saw last week.

600
00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:26,440
Speaker 5: So I just so well, I think I'm on the

601
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:29,680
Speaker 5: other side, Like I think I've been higher on Brooklyn

602
00:28:29,760 --> 00:28:31,800
Speaker 5: after seeing them in preseason. A lot of this is

603
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:34,040
Speaker 5: I like Boston hit the over because I think that

604
00:28:34,080 --> 00:28:36,320
Speaker 5: they'll be able to handle their business and catch a

605
00:28:36,320 --> 00:28:38,720
Speaker 5: lot of teams, like they're just very good in spots,

606
00:28:39,360 --> 00:28:43,120
Speaker 5: but Katie Kyrie is a lot of firepower. Like, what's

607
00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 5: what is the model for Like, if you're trying to

608
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:47,360
Speaker 5: design what this game is going to look like for

609
00:28:47,440 --> 00:28:50,000
Speaker 5: a Boston win, Like, what does it look like?

610
00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:54,440
Speaker 11: I think it looks like basically Brooklyn playing no defense.

611
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:56,640
Speaker 11: I was a little higher on Brooklyn just after seeing

612
00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:58,960
Speaker 11: them in the preseason, but there was a game against

613
00:28:59,040 --> 00:29:02,480
Speaker 11: the Wizards to leave where they were up double digits

614
00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,760
Speaker 11: and then by the third quarter it's pretty much it's

615
00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:09,480
Speaker 11: a game defensively, They're they're gonna have issue, Boston's gonna

616
00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:12,280
Speaker 11: be able to score. I'm actually I would rather look

617
00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:16,080
Speaker 11: at the over for this matchup than play aside.

618
00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:20,080
Speaker 5: Like that's where Yeah, that's probably smart. I like that especially.

619
00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:22,320
Speaker 5: I will want to see what the number comes down

620
00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:25,960
Speaker 5: on with the number for Warriors nets on opening nins

621
00:29:26,040 --> 00:29:29,120
Speaker 5: two thirty one. They opened at two twenty two and

622
00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:32,160
Speaker 5: a half in preseason, like and when they first announced

623
00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:34,320
Speaker 5: the schedule, the initial lines had this two twenty two

624
00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:36,680
Speaker 5: and a half. The new line is two thirty one

625
00:29:36,760 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 5: and a half. That's a huge jump. Is one of

626
00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:40,440
Speaker 5: the reasons. I'm on the under on Wednesday when you're

627
00:29:40,440 --> 00:29:42,760
Speaker 5: listening to this, that may look dumb, and I'm open

628
00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:45,760
Speaker 5: to that possibility. I'm with you because, like, what does

629
00:29:45,760 --> 00:29:48,080
Speaker 5: the Nets win look like? A NETS win looks like

630
00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:51,720
Speaker 5: Kevin Durant scores thirty five, Kyrie scores thirty, Joe Harris

631
00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 5: knocks down a bunch of threes and the Nets just

632
00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:56,800
Speaker 5: overwhelm them with offense. What does the Celtics win look like?

633
00:29:56,920 --> 00:30:00,040
Speaker 5: The Nets can't get any stops Tatum and like like

634
00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:02,480
Speaker 5: a bunch of like random dudes have at Like Tatum

635
00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:05,680
Speaker 5: has a big game, you know, Grant Williams has like twelve,

636
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:08,720
Speaker 5: Robert Williams has like twelve. They're able to get a

637
00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:12,040
Speaker 5: lot more versus DeAndre Jordan than you expect. The Celtics

638
00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:13,720
Speaker 5: just put up a bigger number. I think I'm with you.

639
00:30:13,760 --> 00:30:14,880
Speaker 5: I think the over is gonna have to be to

640
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:15,280
Speaker 5: play here.

641
00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:18,600
Speaker 11: Yeah, I mean, and then Smart always kind of comes

642
00:30:18,680 --> 00:30:20,280
Speaker 11: up with the game. We saw it in the playoffs

643
00:30:20,280 --> 00:30:23,360
Speaker 11: where he turns into Steph Curry and he drops five

644
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:25,800
Speaker 11: straight threes in the fourth quarter of Game two, Like,

645
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:28,479
Speaker 11: those are the type of games that you get a

646
00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:29,720
Speaker 11: big smart performance.

647
00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:32,440
Speaker 3: And I just to me, I'd rather played it over.

648
00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:34,440
Speaker 11: But I also for me, when I look at this

649
00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:36,840
Speaker 11: Nets team, they're gonna be a great team to live

650
00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:39,880
Speaker 11: bet against because they just have no defense. First quarter,

651
00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:43,280
Speaker 11: Kyrie and Durant, they come out on fire. You know,

652
00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:46,240
Speaker 11: the line probably goes up to seven, eight, nine. You

653
00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:48,600
Speaker 11: jump on another team and then you're good.

654
00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:50,560
Speaker 5: You gotta expect this one is gonna go up as well,

655
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:53,680
Speaker 5: right like especially we're saying this on Wednesday. If the

656
00:30:53,720 --> 00:30:55,720
Speaker 5: Warriors win, then obviously this is moved. But I do

657
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:57,760
Speaker 5: want to go and put this out there. If the

658
00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:01,240
Speaker 5: Nets win on Wednesday, I would expect the Nets to

659
00:31:01,280 --> 00:31:02,880
Speaker 5: beat for this number to go up by the time

660
00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:05,320
Speaker 5: of the base Boston after that preseason Shela King, would

661
00:31:05,360 --> 00:31:05,800
Speaker 5: you are you.

662
00:31:06,040 --> 00:31:06,720
Speaker 3: Without of doubt?

663
00:31:06,920 --> 00:31:09,440
Speaker 11: And I think you know the fact that this line

664
00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:13,520
Speaker 11: moved from four or five with Boston in a favorite

665
00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:16,400
Speaker 11: last week to now it's just one. I think at

666
00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:19,240
Speaker 11: some point we're gonna see a total over adjustment to

667
00:31:19,360 --> 00:31:22,640
Speaker 11: who Brooklyn actually is and there's gonna be value fading them.

668
00:31:23,040 --> 00:31:25,280
Speaker 11: And I think that's why, you know, I come into

669
00:31:25,280 --> 00:31:28,200
Speaker 11: this matchup. I feel like if you're looking for value,

670
00:31:28,240 --> 00:31:29,960
Speaker 11: you kind of got to look to the Celtics.

671
00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:32,240
Speaker 5: What's your best bet for Christmas Day?

672
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:35,160
Speaker 11: All games considered, All the games considered, It's a little

673
00:31:35,200 --> 00:31:37,080
Speaker 11: early for me because I definitely want to see where

674
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:37,840
Speaker 11: the totals are.

675
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:41,080
Speaker 3: But I think I'm gonna go with Dallas. I'm with you.

676
00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:44,600
Speaker 11: These two teams played last year. I never forget. I

677
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:47,920
Speaker 11: was sitting in I'm sitting in the Cosmopolitan. It was

678
00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:50,120
Speaker 11: the game in which it went to overtime and Danny

679
00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:52,680
Speaker 11: Green hit the three. I had the second half over.

680
00:31:53,400 --> 00:31:55,480
Speaker 11: I had about five fifty on it to win. Five

681
00:31:55,560 --> 00:31:57,880
Speaker 11: hundred got next to me. Had ten thousand dollars on

682
00:31:57,920 --> 00:32:02,800
Speaker 11: the Lakers. Just another game in which Dallas just couldn't close.

683
00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:06,320
Speaker 11: They should have won the game. I see Dallas's they

684
00:32:06,400 --> 00:32:09,800
Speaker 11: remind me the Houston Rockets, but they have better shooters.

685
00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:10,760
Speaker 5: Yeah, and I.

686
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:14,840
Speaker 11: Think I think Lucas on his way to an MVP season.

687
00:32:15,120 --> 00:32:17,479
Speaker 11: Now they got Josh Richardson, they got a little bit

688
00:32:17,520 --> 00:32:19,960
Speaker 11: more toughness. I think the defense will be better. They're

689
00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:22,320
Speaker 11: closing the clutch. I think seven points is just too much.

690
00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:24,680
Speaker 11: And then when I look at this Lakers team, I

691
00:32:24,680 --> 00:32:27,120
Speaker 11: think people are making the assumption that they're a better

692
00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:30,120
Speaker 11: team than last year, but to me, they lost two

693
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:33,520
Speaker 11: of the best offensive rebounders that allowed them to allow

694
00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:34,840
Speaker 11: them to overcome.

695
00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:37,560
Speaker 3: Their shooting defensive efficiencies.

696
00:32:36,880 --> 00:32:39,680
Speaker 11: And I just think I think they may take a

697
00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:42,560
Speaker 11: step back in some ways. I think they're still a contender,

698
00:32:42,640 --> 00:32:46,520
Speaker 11: but I think people are making the assumption that Gasol.

699
00:32:46,400 --> 00:32:50,760
Speaker 3: And Matthews and Schroeder.

700
00:32:50,320 --> 00:32:52,320
Speaker 11: Are just gonna make them that much better, and I'm

701
00:32:52,360 --> 00:32:53,360
Speaker 11: just I'm not seeing it.

702
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:54,040
Speaker 3: I like it.

703
00:32:54,080 --> 00:32:56,040
Speaker 5: I like it all right. That's Rayman Palmer. Check him

704
00:32:56,040 --> 00:32:58,680
Speaker 5: out on the Action Network, following him on Twitter. Raheem.

705
00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:02,560
Speaker 5: Thanks much, wrap it up for the Action Network podcast.

706
00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:06,160
Speaker 5: Thanks for joining us. Make sure again to check out

707
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:10,200
Speaker 5: the Action Network app download today and get all of

708
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:12,840
Speaker 5: the up to date, up to the second information on

709
00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:16,520
Speaker 5: games and expert analysis for all of your betting needs

710
00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:19,560
Speaker 5: from the Action Network. Hope you guys have a very

711
00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:22,680
Speaker 5: very happy Holidays and we'll see you again next time

712
00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:24,520
Speaker 5: on the Action Network podcast.

713
00:33:26,920 --> 00:33:40,360
Speaker 4: Married person should it treatment? That married person should in treatment?

714
00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:47,760
Speaker 3: That mode me up down on the ring. Well Christmas,

715
00:33:48,680 --> 00:33:48,920
Speaker 3: Beer

716
00:33:50,760 --> 00:34:00,680
Speaker 2: Dot, Bear min Mint Muted and Joe Wait