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Speaker 1: Welcome back, everybody. It's the Betting Pros College Football preview show.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Scott Bogman. Follow me on the Twitter

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Speaker 1: at bogmin Sports. And look at this. The band is

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Speaker 1: back together finally. From the beginning of the season. We

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Speaker 1: had some schedule interruptions, but the three of us are

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Speaker 1: back together. Thor. You can follow at thor Ku and

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Speaker 1: Mike Ferrell at m farrell Sports to ours two l's

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Speaker 1: and we are here to talk about week eleven already, Thor.

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Speaker 1: I mean, week eleven seems like an impossibility, but here

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Speaker 1: it is. But before we jump into week eleven, go

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Speaker 1: back to week ten and tell me what you saw

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Speaker 1: from week ten and what cut your eye and what interesting.

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Speaker 2: It was one of the funner saturdays I think in

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Speaker 2: college football so far. You know, earlier on it was fun.

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Speaker 2: But the night games in particular, we're just awesome, you know,

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Speaker 2: the entertaining games, the shootouts there at the end. I

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Speaker 2: had some buddies over. We're watching the side by side

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Speaker 2: screens with Washington USC on one of them. We had

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Speaker 2: Alabama LA You on another one. I think we had Kansas.

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Speaker 2: I always say it on the other you know, and

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Speaker 2: you know, the kids Iowa was say. Game turned out

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Speaker 2: to be the close one up until the very end

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Speaker 2: when Jade and Daniels got injured for LSU. We'll return

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Speaker 2: to that, we promise you when we bring up the

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Speaker 2: LSU game. But a very entertaining evening, you know, with

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Speaker 2: all the points scored in the close game, stuff like that.

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Speaker 2: Looking forward to another fun weekend of college football here,

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Speaker 2: because we have a lot of great matchups this weekend.

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Speaker 1: That was tough to narrow it down to ten games

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Speaker 1: for this show here, Meryl, when you look back at

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Speaker 1: week eleven, what stood out to you them or we ten?

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Speaker 1: Excuse me, what stood out the most?

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Speaker 3: You know, obviously watching the USC game is a really

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Speaker 3: good one, you know, Alex Prince getting fired after the

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Speaker 3: game rightfully, so it's been a long time coming. Kelly

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Speaker 3: Williams crying in the stands was a little polarizing. I'm

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Speaker 3: not sure how NFL teams are going to feel about that.

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Speaker 3: Texas in the state. I mean, that one was a

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Speaker 3: tough one. Texas was up seventeen to nothing, and it

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Speaker 3: looked like there was gonna be a blow out and

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Speaker 3: Kansas State comes back. It's a late cover and you know,

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Speaker 3: I had a hunch on two things, just hunches that

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Speaker 3: went against everything, and I was one for one Dabo

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Speaker 3: Swinny and Clemson, you know, covering and actually went out

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Speaker 3: right against Notre Dame. Was a hunch Tyler from Smartenburg

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Speaker 3: as a plant. Dabbo got everybody riled up and they

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Speaker 3: played very well. And then I had the under in

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Speaker 3: LSU Alabama didn't work out that well. I just had

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Speaker 3: a feeling it was gonna be a lower scoring game.

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Speaker 3: But I mean, it's just no stopping there's no stopping

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Speaker 3: Jill and Moroe when he wants to run and you

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Speaker 3: don't spy him. So just LSU's head trashing defense over

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Speaker 3: and over again just puzzles me.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it was. It was definitely an exciting week. Like

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Speaker 1: I said, I needed excitement, not at all after watching

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Speaker 1: my team lose the World Series, but they gave it

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Speaker 1: to me about Texas pulled it out and lowered my

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Speaker 1: my blood pressure after that. But before we dive in here,

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Speaker 1: college football fans, are you ready to put your betting

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Speaker 1: skills to the test. Join the Betting Pros College Football

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Speaker 1: podcast betting group. Make your picks all season long, and

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Speaker 1: if you're among the top ROI performers. You could win.

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Speaker 1: Big prizes include a sign Garret Wilson, Ohio State jersey,

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Speaker 1: make at least one hundred picks root the season to

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Speaker 1: qualified jump in now bettingpros dot com, slash college or

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Speaker 1: in the Betting Pros app under the college football podcast group.

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Speaker 1: May the best better win? All right, gentlemen, let's step

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Speaker 1: into Week eleven and start with a big one. Number three.

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Speaker 1: Michigan is a four and a half point road favorite

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Speaker 1: at number eleven. Penn State forty four is the total

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Speaker 1: on this one. Money is heavy on the Michigan side,

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Speaker 1: heavy on the over in this game. Or when we

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Speaker 1: saw Penn State face a tough opponent in Ohio State,

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Speaker 1: we watched them wilt like a flower in the desert,

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Speaker 1: so didn't seem good. There is there any chance that

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Speaker 1: they can pull together at home? It is a home

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Speaker 1: game against Michigan. Michigan is very distracted in the background. Also,

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Speaker 1: camp Penn State pull this game off? Or is this

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Speaker 1: just Michigan keep on rolling here?

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Speaker 2: For sure, they have a puncher's chance because of their defense,

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Speaker 2: you know, and especially this game being at home the

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Speaker 2: value so it coming down to four and a half.

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Speaker 2: We had talked about this one on the Sunday show

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Speaker 2: for Eroton Night. I think it opened five to five

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Speaker 2: and a half. My line was Michigan minus three point six.

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Speaker 2: We dropped now to the four and a half. It'll

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Speaker 2: be interesting if this thing, you know, as we go

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Speaker 2: in the week, get closer to kickoff, if it comes

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Speaker 2: down to what my number is the thing to keep

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Speaker 2: an eye on. Though it talks about this the hell

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Speaker 2: status on Penn State, it was really funny. Probably twenty

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Speaker 2: minutes fifteen minutes before we got on, I got a

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Speaker 2: text message from a sharp better out there and he asked,

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Speaker 2: he said, you heard anything about Chop Robinson. I have not.

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Speaker 2: You know, that's a status that we're gonna have to monitor.

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Speaker 2: The status at Shop Robinson leading up to this game.

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Speaker 2: Didn't play in the last one. There's a lot of

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Speaker 2: people out there that want to know if Chop Robinson's

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Speaker 2: going to play in this game. A lot of people

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Speaker 2: on the Michigan sideline want enough Chop Robins on both

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Speaker 2: sidelines want to know if Chop Robinson is going to play

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Speaker 2: in this game.

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Speaker 1: There's only a signal steal about.

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Speaker 2: It, Yeah, definitely. And Penn State has their receiving car already,

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Speaker 2: thin is banged up as well. Both these teams have

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Speaker 2: the elite defenses. Penn State they lack the explosion on offense.

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Speaker 2: We know that, so that's going to be the problematic

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Speaker 2: thing for them. But if Chop Robinson is back and

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Speaker 2: then you're at home, can you suppress the scoring of

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Speaker 2: Michigan's offense enough when you're getting the four and a

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Speaker 2: half points or whatever. I would lean Penn State at

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Speaker 2: this point in the week. But again, I said this

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Speaker 2: on Sunday, and I mean it. I want to know

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Speaker 2: if job Robinson's playing in this game or not for

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Speaker 2: Penn State before I will bet on Penn State.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think that is a good line

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Speaker 1: to take. Obviously questionable here, mister Farrell. Do you see

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Speaker 1: the Michigan and Penn State game playing out here?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't care if he plays or not. I

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Speaker 3: got Michigan big in this one. You know, we got

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Speaker 3: a lot of stuff going on obviously. I don't know

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Speaker 3: if you've heard at Michigan. There's a little bit of skin,

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Speaker 3: a little bit of drama over there. But you know,

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Speaker 3: this is the extremely talented football team. I've been waiting

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Speaker 3: for them to play somebody with a bultz for a

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Speaker 3: very long time. We're going to actually get to see it.

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Speaker 3: There are very few discernible weaknesses on the Michigan roster,

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Speaker 3: and now you've got them angry and you've got them

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Speaker 3: fired up. They know they can't lose. Now you know

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Speaker 3: they lose, it's going to be said, oh, it's because

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Speaker 3: he didn't have the signals of Penn State, blah blah blah.

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Speaker 3: And Penn State can lose to a ranked team because

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Speaker 3: that's all they do consistently under James Franklin. No offense

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Speaker 3: to him. I like him. He's a nice person. But

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Speaker 3: he can't be top five teams. He can't be top

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Speaker 3: ten teams. This is at home. I get it. If

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Speaker 3: it was a whiteout at night, maybe that would be

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Speaker 3: a consideration for me. But I'm laying the four and

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Speaker 3: a half here. Josh Robinson is a great player. He's

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Speaker 3: going to provide a pass rush obviously for Penn State.

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Speaker 3: If he plays. I don't think it's going to be

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Speaker 3: a big difference. Their offensive line is good. Donovan Edwards

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Speaker 3: is eventually going to break out. Blake korm is very steady.

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Speaker 3: JJ McCarthy is improving with his accuracy, and that defense

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Speaker 3: is nasty. So give me Michigan in this one. I

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Speaker 3: don't only care about Chop Robinson.

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Speaker 1: All right, mister Farrel, Let's go over to number eight,

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Speaker 1: Alabama at Kentucky. Alabama is a ten and a half

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Speaker 1: point road favorite. Forty seven and a half? Is it total? Here?

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Speaker 1: I saw? I don't know how serious it is. I

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Speaker 1: saw Dennis Leary is questionable with an eye injury in

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Speaker 1: this game.

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Speaker 2: What I say, I'm go's hilarious.

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Speaker 1: Look, guys, I've been traveling a little bit, my bad Dennis. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: quarterback fireman. Either way, he is questionable with an eye

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Speaker 1: injury in this game.

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Speaker 2: Uh.

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Speaker 1: The money is on Kentucky, Uh, both ways? And tick

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Speaker 1: it's the total here, Mike is Uh, it's on the

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Speaker 1: over for tickets, on the under for cash. So a

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Speaker 1: little undecided on that. So, Mike, how do you see

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Speaker 1: this game playing out? Alabama at Kentucky.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna take Kentucky. It's it's too big a line.

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Speaker 3: I like Alabama. I like the way they've been playing.

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Speaker 3: You know, I had them against LSU I've actually had

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Speaker 3: them quite a few games since the USF game. I

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Speaker 3: had them against the USF and they disappointed greatly. But

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Speaker 3: they've been doing a solid job. You know, they're getting better.

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Speaker 3: Nol rosa downfield passer and he's a runner intermediate. He's

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Speaker 3: getting a little bit improved DC and to feel a

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Speaker 3: little bit better running games coming around. Offensive line is

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Speaker 3: still not great, but good enough. And that defense is solid.

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Speaker 3: But that being said, Kentucky is at home. They've got

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Speaker 3: a solid rushing attack, their defense is very underrated. They

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Speaker 3: usually keep them in games. I don't care if Dennis

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Speaker 3: Leary or Devin Larry plays.

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Speaker 1: I do.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I'm just kidding. Deevin Larry is is important,

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Speaker 3: but he hasn't had a good season and they've been

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Speaker 3: They've been having some such despite his struggle. So I

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Speaker 3: just think ten and a half too much. I like

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Speaker 3: Alabama to win this football game. Ten and a half

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Speaker 3: is just a lot of Kentucky. So give me, give

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Speaker 3: me Kentucky to cover that number.

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Speaker 1: Thor what do you think? Are you on Kentucky at

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Speaker 1: home or under Dennis Leary of course, or do you

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Speaker 1: like the Bama side like Mike.

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Speaker 3: Alabama?

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Speaker 2: I do it well, not anymore. If they made me

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Speaker 2: a lot of money on Saturday, you know, both with

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Speaker 2: the over and then laying the three with bam, but.

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Speaker 3: You took the under for the winds total and it's

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Speaker 3: still burning.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah. If that thing ends up not getting there

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Speaker 2: after they lost the Texas the ten and a half,

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Speaker 2: that that would be kind of crazy. We'll see, Kentucky.

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Speaker 2: They could be live ish here, but they're gonna need

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Speaker 2: Leary playing, and they're gonna need Leary playing really well.

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Speaker 2: Kentucky got healthy in recent weeks. That was the issue

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Speaker 2: during their skid. They were all kinds of bang up Leary.

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Speaker 2: But in addition the offensive line they had some scale

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Speaker 2: position injuries. Well, they've gotten a lot healthier. They played

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Speaker 2: their their FCS opponent last last week that all the

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Speaker 2: SEC teams do. Oh sorry, that was Missippi State. Close enough,

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Speaker 2: but uh, you know, Kentucky heads into this one where

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Speaker 2: they they've turned it around a little bit because of

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Speaker 2: the health getting back and then Alabama off the really

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Speaker 2: big way. Now you go on the road to play

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Speaker 2: this team that loves to play in the rock fights,

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Speaker 2: they're gonna slow it down. You're on their home field

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Speaker 2: in Kentucky. Their defense profiles the way that you want

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Speaker 2: when you're picking a team play in Alabama. What Kentucky's

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Speaker 2: defense really good at stopping the run, taking away the

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Speaker 2: explosive passes, the teams that are really move the ball

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Speaker 2: efficient efficiently on Kentucky. Where you can kill Kentucky, it's

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Speaker 2: with efficiency in the passing game. They give a whole

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Speaker 2: bunch of completions in the intermediate area whatever. It's the

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Speaker 2: worst part of Alabama's offense, right, they just don't do

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Speaker 2: that because Milroe is not accurate. It's just not you know,

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Speaker 2: a big tenant of it or whatever. I would lean

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Speaker 2: towards taking the points with Kentucky, but I do want

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Speaker 2: to see the status mister Leary and whatnot.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's go to Texas Tech at number twenty

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Speaker 1: one Kansas your Jayhawks. Thor the Jayhawks are favored by

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Speaker 1: three and a half at home. Sixty and a half

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Speaker 1: is a total here, tickets slightly on the Texas Tech side,

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Speaker 1: but cash heavily on the Texas Tech side. Thor, how

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Speaker 1: do you see this one going for your Jayhawks?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? My line is Kansas minus two point nine. So

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Speaker 2: we're you know, we're we're around there. Texas Tech. They're

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Speaker 2: they're a little sneaky here because last week to get

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Speaker 2: back Baron Morton and Baron Morton looked pretty good. You know,

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Speaker 2: people remember Tyler Shuck Mister Glass as I call him,

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Speaker 2: began the year once again gets knocked up for this season,

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Speaker 2: then Baron Morton the backup. It come in Baron Morton,

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Speaker 2: the guy that Texas Tech really likes. But Baron Morton

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Speaker 2: was banged up when you know, especially at the latter

239
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Speaker 2: part when he was playing whatever. Finally Baron Morton gets

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Speaker 2: knocked out and then the guy that we had seen then,

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Speaker 2: the freshman, this Jake Strong Kit absolutely wasn't playable. So

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Speaker 2: then Texas Texas wasn't viable at all. Well, now you

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Speaker 2: get Baron Morton back, looking as healthy as he's looked

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Speaker 2: all season. He looks more like the Baron Morton that

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Speaker 2: flashed twenty twenty. I'm sorry twenty twenty two where you

246
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Speaker 2: got excited about them. So Texas Tech, I think their

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Speaker 2: offense is getting frisky again and they can do a

248
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Speaker 2: couple of different things on defense too. Kansas challenges you

249
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Speaker 2: so much with the pre snap motion, the subterfuge they

250
00:12:33,440 --> 00:12:36,120
Speaker 2: use at the play action, where's the It's like hide

251
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Speaker 2: the cup their offense, you know, the defense like where

252
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Speaker 2: is it? You know, and different stuff like that. You're

253
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Speaker 2: always putting the defenders in conflict and then they have

254
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Speaker 2: some speed as well there out there on the perimeter

255
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Speaker 2: trying to get the ball into space. This is not

256
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Speaker 2: for me right now. My lean would probably be to Kansas,

257
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Speaker 2: but I don't see much value with where this line

258
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Speaker 2: is right now, particularly with Morten Evan comeback fairly.

259
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Speaker 1: You have a stronger feel one way or the other

260
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Speaker 1: in this game.

261
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Speaker 3: I don't know why all the money's in Texas Techa.

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Speaker 3: I'm not really sure. I get Morgan's back, and he

263
00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:11,839
Speaker 3: looked good last week. To be TCU, they've been kind

264
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Speaker 3: of a disappointing football team this season. And I'm a

265
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Speaker 3: big you know, Joey McGuire guy, and I think he's

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Speaker 3: a very good coach. But you know, they've had some

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Speaker 3: injury issues, They've they have played down to opponents Kansas.

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Speaker 3: We're waiting for a letdown. I was waiting for it

269
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Speaker 3: last week against Iowa State. They come out and win.

270
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Speaker 3: I mean, so maybe this is letdown money again. It's like,

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Speaker 3: oh my gosh, they meet Oklahoma and then may beat

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Speaker 3: Iowa State, and there's got to be a letdown coming

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Speaker 3: because of Kansas. It doesn't have to be one. I mean,

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Speaker 3: he's a really good coach. He's a great schemer, terrific

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Speaker 3: game playing guy, and also tremendous adjustments. You know, Michigan

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Speaker 3: better floora a better hope. Michigan chiefs Harbah doesn't go

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Speaker 3: to the NFL because they're going to go after Lance,

278
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Speaker 3: you know, immediately, immediately. But but but they're going to

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Speaker 3: go after there. They're gonna go after within him, and

280
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Speaker 3: they're gonna go after bar So you know, maybe maybe

281
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Speaker 3: it's not, but you know, I like, you know, both

282
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Speaker 3: of these coaches. I think they're both smart guys. Three

283
00:14:08,440 --> 00:14:10,839
Speaker 3: and a half's a horrible line, but I'm still leaning

284
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Speaker 3: towards Kansas to cover here. If you can get it

285
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Speaker 3: at three, great because then you might get a push somehow.

286
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Speaker 3: Two and a half. I don't think that's gonna be possible,

287
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Speaker 3: but I'll lay the points three and a half to

288
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Speaker 3: take Kansas.

289
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Speaker 1: All right, Let's go to the next game here. Number

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Speaker 1: four Florida State hosting Miami. Florida State is a fourteen

291
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Speaker 1: and a half point home favorite. Fifteen and a half

292
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Speaker 1: is total tickets on FSU cash on Miami, so the

293
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Speaker 1: public is split. Not enough bets on the total here

294
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Speaker 1: to get any information there, Farrell, But how do you

295
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Speaker 1: see this game playing out part of the Florida Cup here?

296
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Speaker 3: I like the over fifteen and a half seats a

297
00:14:48,800 --> 00:14:53,560
Speaker 3: little bit low. I mean Miami stinks. I mean, obviously

298
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Speaker 3: we had the Georgia Tech game and then the UNC game,

299
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Speaker 3: and then he came back and beat Clemson. Mclenson's gettable

300
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Speaker 3: this year, and you know NC State to handle them.

301
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Speaker 3: Mario Pristaval is extremely stubborn. Tyler van Dyckx got five

302
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Speaker 3: touchdowns ten picks his last four games. I believe it

303
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Speaker 3: is still won't bench him, sticking with him. He's my leader.

304
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Speaker 3: Blah blah blah. You know everybody's calling for Emery Williams

305
00:15:16,800 --> 00:15:19,440
Speaker 3: to play. He's probably gonna get in this game. But

306
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Speaker 3: you know everybody, Dawson prist of all, they doubled down,

307
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Speaker 3: and we don't like a quick cook. Well guess where

308
00:15:25,160 --> 00:15:28,040
Speaker 3: we are. I mean, we're double digits into the season.

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Speaker 3: When it comes to weeks, it's time to hook them,

310
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Speaker 3: and they're not going to I don't like that line

311
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Speaker 3: at all, though I saw I'm leaning over, like Florida

312
00:15:35,800 --> 00:15:39,720
Speaker 3: State disappointed me a few different times. Yeah, lackluster pitt

313
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Speaker 3: I mean to pit stinks and they came out lackluster

314
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Speaker 3: against them. Boston really good. I just don't see it.

315
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Speaker 3: So I'm not not laying fourteen and a half. I

316
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Speaker 3: like to over in this one.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Florida State not playing their best football right now.

318
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Speaker 1: They are a very good team and Nashally ranked team

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Speaker 1: obviously number four. We're going to get the CFP. We

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Speaker 1: go get those rankings, probably as recording this right now, actually,

321
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Speaker 1: but it was coming out some flash.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. Yeah, and see they're in the top four.

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Speaker 1: I think they're still for Yeah, the playoff rankings are

324
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Speaker 1: coming soon. This is a good team, but they are

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Speaker 1: very inconsistent. We do we have seen that. Johnny Wilson,

326
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Speaker 1: Kean Coleman span. They're all back at practice, so you know,

327
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Speaker 1: last week maybe they were a little flat because the

328
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Speaker 1: wide receivers weren't there. Do you think that they can

329
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Speaker 1: beat this line fourteen and a half against Miami.

330
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Speaker 2: As long as those receivers are active for Florida State,

331
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Speaker 2: and I probably take one of the two. I'm I

332
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Speaker 2: would definitely be on Florida State. You know, my number

333
00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:42,640
Speaker 2: in this one is Florida State minus fifteen point three.

334
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Speaker 2: Miami does not look right in any way, shape or form.

335
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Speaker 2: I'm not sure what's going on with Tyler van Dijke.

336
00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:56,000
Speaker 2: Is he injured? Is he is he just bad?

337
00:16:57,080 --> 00:16:59,000
Speaker 1: They had that like five week stretch and was going

338
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Speaker 1: to be a first quarterback and all that.

339
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Speaker 3: I didn't have him in the top fifty my quarterbacks preseason.

340
00:17:04,359 --> 00:17:07,120
Speaker 3: Miami fans lit me up, said, to your idiot, he's

341
00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:09,639
Speaker 3: just regressed. I mean he's had a multitude of injuries

342
00:17:09,680 --> 00:17:11,840
Speaker 3: over the last couple of years, you know, but he

343
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Speaker 3: can't you can't lay it on that. Yeah, I mean

344
00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:17,720
Speaker 3: he's played well, so he just he's regressed. And I

345
00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:20,879
Speaker 3: don't think the change in offense from gaddis that Dawson

346
00:17:21,119 --> 00:17:24,920
Speaker 3: hasn't helped him. I just don't think he processes very well.

347
00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:28,159
Speaker 3: I think he was good early and then just got worse.

348
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Speaker 3: And that happens.

349
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Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's it does look like we're you know,

350
00:17:31,960 --> 00:17:34,400
Speaker 2: it's banged up Tyler van Dyke, and it's Tyler van

351
00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:38,600
Speaker 2: Dyke with no confidence and it's tough for Miami then right,

352
00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:41,479
Speaker 2: like the running game, we haven't seen that helping him

353
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Speaker 2: out a ton here in recent weeks and last week,

354
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Speaker 2: I mean, I don't know another way to put it.

355
00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:50,879
Speaker 2: Tyler Van Dyke probably shouldn't have been playing that was

356
00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:53,600
Speaker 2: he wasn't effective at all. He was he was the

357
00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:56,560
Speaker 2: inverse of effective. This game you go on, you know,

358
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Speaker 2: And that was the game that Miami lost twenty to

359
00:17:58,600 --> 00:18:01,359
Speaker 2: six to NC State. The way the week before that

360
00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:04,960
Speaker 2: Miami host Virginia they win by a field goals. It's

361
00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:08,040
Speaker 2: been a tough time for Miami. For Miami, you have

362
00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:11,560
Speaker 2: to go back to October seventh, was the last time

363
00:18:11,600 --> 00:18:14,440
Speaker 2: that Miami had a win expectant finishing went a game

364
00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:18,119
Speaker 2: with a win expectancy over forty four percent. The interesting

365
00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:21,320
Speaker 2: thing about that October seventh game, that's when they lost

366
00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:25,080
Speaker 2: to Georgia Tech on the game where Mario Christobal just

367
00:18:25,119 --> 00:18:27,760
Speaker 2: gave the game to Georgia Tech. So there's all sorts

368
00:18:27,760 --> 00:18:31,760
Speaker 2: of weird vibes on the Miami side. The Florida State.

369
00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:33,960
Speaker 2: The only question I really have is the health of

370
00:18:34,000 --> 00:18:37,040
Speaker 2: those perimeter guys, because you can load up the box

371
00:18:37,080 --> 00:18:42,320
Speaker 2: against Benson, against the Travis running around. If those guys

372
00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:44,920
Speaker 2: are out. But outside of that, for me, that it's

373
00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:46,440
Speaker 2: Florida State are passing this one.

374
00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:49,720
Speaker 1: All right, Let's go over to what I expect to

375
00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:52,960
Speaker 1: be a really fun game to watch. Tennessee number seventeen,

376
00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:56,240
Speaker 1: a one point road favorite at number twelve, Missouri fifty

377
00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:59,200
Speaker 1: eight and a half. Is it totally here? Once again?

378
00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:03,080
Speaker 1: Another game that to split Thor. The tickets are on Miszoo.

379
00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:07,119
Speaker 1: The cash is slightly on the Tennessee side. Both sides

380
00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:09,440
Speaker 1: like the over. That's what I really like in this game,

381
00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:12,200
Speaker 1: with a couple of nice offenses from where a small

382
00:19:12,520 --> 00:19:15,600
Speaker 1: is questionable for this game? How do you see this

383
00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:16,120
Speaker 1: one going?

384
00:19:16,200 --> 00:19:16,440
Speaker 3: Thor?

385
00:19:17,400 --> 00:19:20,080
Speaker 2: My line in this game is is Tennessee minus one

386
00:19:20,080 --> 00:19:26,000
Speaker 2: point seven? Missouri coming? They return home after losing the

387
00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:29,040
Speaker 2: game last week by nine points to Georgia. How how

388
00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:31,800
Speaker 2: is Missouri? What is their disposition going to be here

389
00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:34,919
Speaker 2: coming off that one? Guys, there's some people around that

390
00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:37,760
Speaker 2: program felt we pull this this you know what other

391
00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:40,359
Speaker 2: people outside the program would see as a monumental upset.

392
00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:42,399
Speaker 2: But you know, people inside the program thought that they

393
00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:44,240
Speaker 2: could win that game. So now you sort of have

394
00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:48,040
Speaker 2: to pick yourself up off the mat and confront this

395
00:19:48,040 --> 00:19:52,119
Speaker 2: this volunteer team. Certainly Missouri, they have the horses to

396
00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:55,000
Speaker 2: beat this Tennessee team, you know, particularly at home. But

397
00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:57,840
Speaker 2: you're gonna have to stave off sort of that emotional, uh,

398
00:19:57,960 --> 00:20:00,520
Speaker 2: sort of letdown after you lost that game. You take

399
00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:03,520
Speaker 2: your second loss of the season, Tennessee previously already took

400
00:20:03,560 --> 00:20:06,280
Speaker 2: the second loss of the season. Tennessee, they're the team,

401
00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:08,199
Speaker 2: the SEC team. We've got to play the craft, you know,

402
00:20:08,240 --> 00:20:11,320
Speaker 2: the non SC opponent last week the Quasi by fifty

403
00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:14,080
Speaker 2: nine to three against against Yukon, so they ought to

404
00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:17,720
Speaker 2: come in fairly fresh. The Starers we're starting to get

405
00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:20,760
Speaker 2: out there in the second half, whereas again Missouri they were,

406
00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:24,520
Speaker 2: you know, getting breaked into deep waters by Georgia. This

407
00:20:24,560 --> 00:20:27,640
Speaker 2: one is is one where I have not yet bet

408
00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:32,560
Speaker 2: it this week, but I think I would lean Missouri

409
00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:35,760
Speaker 2: if I if I had to bet this one. And

410
00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:38,960
Speaker 2: the reason why I don't trust Joe Milton as far

411
00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:40,960
Speaker 2: as I can throw him, And the part of the

412
00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:44,640
Speaker 2: Tennessee defense that I like more it's their run defense,

413
00:20:45,040 --> 00:20:47,679
Speaker 2: whereas you know, Georgia last week, they Georgia has a

414
00:20:47,720 --> 00:20:49,600
Speaker 2: top you know, whether you want to say one, two

415
00:20:49,720 --> 00:20:52,960
Speaker 2: or three pass defense qualitatively in the nation. That's what

416
00:20:53,040 --> 00:20:56,760
Speaker 2: they were able to confront Missouri's elite passing offense with

417
00:20:57,280 --> 00:21:00,280
Speaker 2: Tennessee has a solid pass defense, but not the same

418
00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:03,119
Speaker 2: sort of trump card to meet Missouri's trump card. I

419
00:21:03,119 --> 00:21:06,119
Speaker 2: would lean Missouri's way, but I'm still reading the local

420
00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:08,520
Speaker 2: beat writers the comments coming out of Missouri trying to

421
00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:10,520
Speaker 2: play it a little pop psych collegist before I put

422
00:21:10,520 --> 00:21:11,919
Speaker 2: my money behind the Tigers this week.

423
00:21:12,480 --> 00:21:15,520
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, it'll be interesting to see if they

424
00:21:15,560 --> 00:21:18,359
Speaker 1: come out flat after playing a close game to Georgia

425
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:21,320
Speaker 1: that's obviously disappointing, or if they come out and say, hey,

426
00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:25,080
Speaker 1: we almost beat Georgia. We could beat anybody. So Pharaoh,

427
00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:28,600
Speaker 1: how do you see this game going between Missouri and Tennessee.

428
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:31,880
Speaker 3: This speaks to me of do we believe in Missouri?

429
00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,240
Speaker 3: Still we're still asking that question. I mean, they lost

430
00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:38,480
Speaker 3: the game against LSU late in the shootout. Obviously, you know,

431
00:21:38,600 --> 00:21:41,800
Speaker 3: give Georgia a test, didn't beat them. But who has

432
00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:46,239
Speaker 3: beaten Georgia over the last three seasons? Nobody? But do

433
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:49,920
Speaker 3: we believe Missouri? That's what's being asked here because Tennessee,

434
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:52,840
Speaker 3: essentially I don't believe should be favored on the road.

435
00:21:53,359 --> 00:21:56,080
Speaker 3: I guess the Missouri team that's beating better teams. Tennessee

436
00:21:56,119 --> 00:22:00,879
Speaker 3: hasn't beaten anybody really, Texas, A and m who cares?

437
00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:07,040
Speaker 3: South Carolina? Who cares? They got drill by Yeah, and

438
00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:10,560
Speaker 3: they got drilled by Florida, and Florida stinks. So I

439
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:12,879
Speaker 3: just I don't know. I think Tennessee's propped up a

440
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:14,960
Speaker 3: little bit here. Now. Do I believe in Missouri? I

441
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:17,719
Speaker 3: don't know. I don't know if they're real. That's the problem.

442
00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:19,119
Speaker 3: I mean when you when you get a team like

443
00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:22,080
Speaker 3: Tennessee who came up a ten win season last year,

444
00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:24,600
Speaker 3: and you know, obviously Joe Milton got hurt at the

445
00:22:24,680 --> 00:22:26,679
Speaker 3: I mean that Joe Milton hedon Hookie got hurt at

446
00:22:26,680 --> 00:22:28,399
Speaker 3: the end of last year, and you know that the

447
00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:30,760
Speaker 3: finish wasn't as great as they wanted it to be.

448
00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:34,560
Speaker 3: This season was amazing. They're an established commodity and now

449
00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:38,240
Speaker 3: this season they're an established commodity with two losses. Missouri's not.

450
00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:43,840
Speaker 3: We were all expecting, honestly, Missouri to be average and

451
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:46,000
Speaker 3: for Drinkuids to be on the hot seat a little

452
00:22:46,000 --> 00:22:48,800
Speaker 3: bit this season, and he's not. So this speaks to

453
00:22:48,800 --> 00:22:50,480
Speaker 3: me do I believe in them, and I'm going to

454
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:53,200
Speaker 3: say I do. I would take Missouri getting a point

455
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:56,520
Speaker 3: at home. I do lean over as well it Small

456
00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:58,600
Speaker 3: not being there though, that's a big deal for Tennessee.

457
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:00,280
Speaker 3: I mean they got won two punch of run back.

458
00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:03,359
Speaker 3: I mean he's a very overlooked with Jalen Wright, but

459
00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:06,760
Speaker 3: he's the key to that because if you don't have

460
00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:08,720
Speaker 3: that running game, guess who has to throw the ball.

461
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 3: Mister Joe Milton, who can look great and then the

462
00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:17,160
Speaker 3: next pass will go flying into the stands or at

463
00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:19,720
Speaker 3: somebody's feet or hit him on the helmet. I don't

464
00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:22,439
Speaker 3: trust him so smart small as one to wait on

465
00:23:22,920 --> 00:23:25,560
Speaker 3: if he's going to be out. I would definitely lean

466
00:23:25,600 --> 00:23:27,760
Speaker 3: towards Missouri even more before we go to.

467
00:23:27,760 --> 00:23:30,199
Speaker 1: The next game. I want to remind of you to

468
00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:33,200
Speaker 1: download the free betting pros app for iOS and Android.

469
00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:36,800
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470
00:23:36,840 --> 00:23:40,240
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471
00:23:40,240 --> 00:23:43,280
Speaker 1: performance by sport and bet type, including game picks, props,

472
00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:47,040
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473
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:49,879
Speaker 1: including line alerts. When viewing a game of interest. Simply

474
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:53,160
Speaker 1: set a game notification so that you are alerted once

475
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:56,040
Speaker 1: a line hits a certain number. At that point, you

476
00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:58,760
Speaker 1: will be notified so you can lock in your bet

477
00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:01,040
Speaker 1: at the ideal line. Head o to bettingpros dot com

478
00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:03,920
Speaker 1: slash apps to start setting your line alerts now, or

479
00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:07,320
Speaker 1: download the Betting Pros app in the iTunes or Google

480
00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:11,560
Speaker 1: Play stores today. All right, Mike number eighteen Utah at

481
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:14,400
Speaker 1: number five Washington, Washington is a eight and a half

482
00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 1: point home favorite. Fifty five is a total here another

483
00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:21,440
Speaker 1: split game tickets on Washington, cash on Utah, both slightly,

484
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:25,119
Speaker 1: both sides seing the under here. I think I would

485
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:28,880
Speaker 1: as well with the Utah defense being involved here, How

486
00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:30,280
Speaker 1: do you see this game being played out?

487
00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:35,320
Speaker 3: This is tough. I mean Utah got drilled by Oregon

488
00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:38,360
Speaker 3: at home, which goes completely unexpected to me. Of course,

489
00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:41,320
Speaker 3: they came back the next week and destroy Arizona State,

490
00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:43,760
Speaker 3: but they are a different football team on the road.

491
00:24:44,560 --> 00:24:47,399
Speaker 3: The big question here isn't whether Washington's gonna win this game,

492
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:49,679
Speaker 3: because I think they will. Are they going to win

493
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:52,920
Speaker 3: win this game by nine? And I'm not really sure

494
00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:55,600
Speaker 3: about that. This is not a play for me. Right now.

495
00:24:55,880 --> 00:24:59,680
Speaker 3: If I were leaning one way, I would probably say

496
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:02,000
Speaker 3: you to to people with an eight and a half

497
00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:04,199
Speaker 3: is when he is an amazing coach. They have a

498
00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:07,399
Speaker 3: good defense. I think they could perhaps a limit. A

499
00:25:07,440 --> 00:25:09,400
Speaker 3: lot of people have seen what you need to do

500
00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:12,800
Speaker 3: to slow down Washington. That they saw it over the

501
00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:14,679
Speaker 3: last few weeks. Alex French is not one of them.

502
00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:18,879
Speaker 3: He didn't Washington. But you know Utah is going to

503
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,360
Speaker 3: be smart enough to try to keep everything in front

504
00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:24,239
Speaker 3: of them, at least try to keep This is a

505
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:26,760
Speaker 3: low scoring game. The under is in play here too.

506
00:25:27,119 --> 00:25:29,960
Speaker 3: I would lean there too. The problem is Washington so explosive.

507
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:32,240
Speaker 3: What if they go for forty you're under his debt,

508
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:34,880
Speaker 3: So lean towards Utah covering the eight and a half

509
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:35,960
Speaker 3: of Washington's gonna.

510
00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:36,159
Speaker 2: Win the game.

511
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:39,080
Speaker 1: Yeah. The last time I picked Washington to go under,

512
00:25:39,119 --> 00:25:41,520
Speaker 1: it was against Cal and it went over before halftime

513
00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:43,440
Speaker 1: I think, or like two minutes into the third quarter

514
00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:46,040
Speaker 1: or something. Ridiculous. They just put up so many points.

515
00:25:46,920 --> 00:25:49,720
Speaker 1: Or is this game? Do you do you like a side?

516
00:25:49,720 --> 00:25:51,480
Speaker 1: Do you like the total? Is there anything to like

517
00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:53,159
Speaker 1: about this game? Or is this a sit back and

518
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:54,239
Speaker 1: watch it? Because I don't know.

519
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:57,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, Farrel summed it up well when he said, this

520
00:25:57,280 --> 00:26:00,480
Speaker 2: is a tough line. Bugman. It's nine or nine and

521
00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:03,320
Speaker 2: a half in the market right now. No, no, you

522
00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:05,520
Speaker 2: tell me what I got eight and a half? Oh

523
00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:08,359
Speaker 2: eight and a half? Okay, So mine I saw it

524
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,200
Speaker 2: at this must have been earlier in the day, was

525
00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:15,040
Speaker 2: at nine. My line is is Washington minus nine point one.

526
00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:18,440
Speaker 2: So I mean we're we're pretty close to the margins here,

527
00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:21,399
Speaker 2: and obviously that's not over a key number. So the

528
00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:24,399
Speaker 2: markets sort of you know, pushing this thing around. You know,

529
00:26:24,600 --> 00:26:25,200
Speaker 2: it looks like.

530
00:26:25,119 --> 00:26:26,960
Speaker 1: It's gone to nine and a half. I'm looking at

531
00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:32,200
Speaker 1: Live on Betting Pros, MGM, Draft Kings, FanDuel. Yeah, everybody's

532
00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:33,480
Speaker 1: got a nine and a half.

533
00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:36,600
Speaker 2: For what nine and a half? Okay? Yeah. My lean

534
00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:41,800
Speaker 2: here would be on Utah and the the reason why

535
00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:45,879
Speaker 2: is I've gotten proof of concept of Utah on the

536
00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:48,240
Speaker 2: road against a team that can play good offense. With

537
00:26:48,320 --> 00:26:52,760
Speaker 2: their win against USC earlier in the season. You know,

538
00:26:52,800 --> 00:26:56,080
Speaker 2: there have been some questions about that. Obviously, Utah plays

539
00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:58,040
Speaker 2: way way up at home this one. They got to

540
00:26:58,080 --> 00:26:59,679
Speaker 2: go on the road. You know, you're you're sort of

541
00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:03,000
Speaker 2: wondering about that. But the other thing is, I don't

542
00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:05,679
Speaker 2: want to say there's something off with Washington, but like

543
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:07,960
Speaker 2: this is a team that we we just expect to,

544
00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:10,479
Speaker 2: you know, be teams by margin or pull away or

545
00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:14,760
Speaker 2: like whatever. And this past month plus we just don't

546
00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:18,879
Speaker 2: see that extra gear from them. They keep playing with fire,

547
00:27:19,480 --> 00:27:23,680
Speaker 2: and one of these games they're gonna get burned. It's

548
00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:28,200
Speaker 2: so you go back. It has been since the last

549
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,920
Speaker 2: time Washington beat a team by more than ten points

550
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:35,280
Speaker 2: was September twenty third against cal. You know this this

551
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:38,080
Speaker 2: past weekend, they you know, they got to the ten

552
00:27:38,119 --> 00:27:41,200
Speaker 2: point win against USC. Every other win in that span

553
00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:44,120
Speaker 2: was in single digits, and USC at the end had

554
00:27:44,119 --> 00:27:45,960
Speaker 2: a shot. I know there was a lot of people

555
00:27:45,960 --> 00:27:49,760
Speaker 2: out there with tickets baited breath when Washington was up ten.

556
00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:52,320
Speaker 2: USC gets the ball back at the end and they're

557
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:55,800
Speaker 2: driving all the sports betters out there, you know, everyone else,

558
00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:57,960
Speaker 2: they didn't care. They turned the game to something else,

559
00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:01,080
Speaker 2: all the sports betters, that was the game was happening.

560
00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:02,880
Speaker 2: That was the game winning drive to the sports better

561
00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:07,000
Speaker 2: or whatever. USA obviously doesn't score, and and so you know,

562
00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:10,280
Speaker 2: Washerton ends up winning by ten. They get the cover

563
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:12,200
Speaker 2: in that game, but you're gonna have to win by

564
00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:15,240
Speaker 2: the same margin in order to cover this number. It's

565
00:28:15,280 --> 00:28:19,040
Speaker 2: been way too long and Utah is so good and

566
00:28:19,080 --> 00:28:21,280
Speaker 2: again I got that proof of concept with Utah on

567
00:28:21,320 --> 00:28:24,040
Speaker 2: the road against a team that can play offense. I'm

568
00:28:24,080 --> 00:28:25,200
Speaker 2: back in Utah in this game.

569
00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:27,920
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to number ten ole Miss at

570
00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:30,879
Speaker 1: number two Georgia. Game of the week here Georgia a

571
00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:33,520
Speaker 1: ten and a half point home favorite. Fifty nine is

572
00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:37,040
Speaker 1: a total another game that has is split so far.

573
00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:43,120
Speaker 1: Tickets on ole Miss, cash on Georgia, both sides on

574
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:46,480
Speaker 1: the under here or how do you see this one

575
00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:50,000
Speaker 1: playing out? This is a tough one to pick. Can

576
00:28:50,040 --> 00:28:51,760
Speaker 1: you can you pick against Georgia?

577
00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:55,640
Speaker 2: I can, Yeah, I'm gonna. I'm gon I'm gonna take

578
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:57,760
Speaker 2: the points with it being over ten. My line in

579
00:28:57,800 --> 00:29:01,920
Speaker 2: this game is Georgia minus nine p seven. Uh. Lane

580
00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 2: Kiffen can can do some stuff to try to discombobulate

581
00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:08,000
Speaker 2: that really good uh Georgia defense. We talked this fall

582
00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:10,720
Speaker 2: about how Georgie is a bit down and Lane kiff

583
00:29:10,800 --> 00:29:12,640
Speaker 2: you know, I mean not you know again we're talking

584
00:29:12,680 --> 00:29:14,600
Speaker 2: relatively speaking, Yeah, you know.

585
00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:17,920
Speaker 1: To their last team that was dominant won the National Championship.

586
00:29:18,040 --> 00:29:20,760
Speaker 2: Yes, exactly right. You know, like you look at SP

587
00:29:20,920 --> 00:29:24,640
Speaker 2: plus right now, Georgia's offense sixth s P plus defense

588
00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:27,040
Speaker 2: fifth sp plus which great. I mean almost any you know,

589
00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:28,760
Speaker 2: any team in the nation would take that. It's just

590
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 2: for Georgia the last couple of years, you know, a

591
00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:33,280
Speaker 2: little bit down. And then in this game, ole Miss

592
00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:35,440
Speaker 2: happens to be able to catch them when Georgia does

593
00:29:35,520 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 2: not have Brock powers. I think that makes ole Miss

594
00:29:38,360 --> 00:29:41,960
Speaker 2: potentially viable. Earlier this year, ole Miss was banged up,

595
00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:45,720
Speaker 2: and I think some people soured on them. Some betters

596
00:29:45,720 --> 00:29:48,160
Speaker 2: out there got burned by ole Miss during that period,

597
00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:51,040
Speaker 2: soured on them a bit. And maybe they're not catching

598
00:29:51,120 --> 00:29:53,560
Speaker 2: on to how well ole Miss has been playing recently.

599
00:29:54,520 --> 00:29:58,280
Speaker 2: I Georgia better take ole Miss seriously on on Saturday.

600
00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:01,400
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take take the points here getting getting the

601
00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:03,680
Speaker 2: double digits farrel.

602
00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:05,800
Speaker 1: Do you like Georgia? You like all Miss?

603
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:09,520
Speaker 3: No? I like Georgia. And the reason I like Georgia

604
00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:13,160
Speaker 3: is Blane Kiffin in big games, I don't trust at all.

605
00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:15,360
Speaker 3: I think he's a good coach. I think he is

606
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:18,440
Speaker 3: a good offensive mind, but I just don't trust him

607
00:30:18,440 --> 00:30:21,160
Speaker 3: when it comes to big games. You know, I know

608
00:30:21,200 --> 00:30:25,720
Speaker 3: they beat LSU, that was a shootout at LC's defenses horrendous.

609
00:30:26,320 --> 00:30:29,560
Speaker 3: Georgia's defense is certainly not that they struggled against Arkansas.

610
00:30:29,560 --> 00:30:32,400
Speaker 3: They struggled against Auburn, they struggled against Texas, A and M.

611
00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:36,440
Speaker 3: You know they won those games. But Alabama big game,

612
00:30:36,720 --> 00:30:40,120
Speaker 3: big game. You know, sec West Path at the time,

613
00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 3: potential laid an egg. He does that. He did it

614
00:30:43,840 --> 00:30:46,120
Speaker 3: at the end of this last season too, down the stretch.

615
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:49,040
Speaker 3: I don't trust him. I like him, but I don't

616
00:30:49,040 --> 00:30:52,040
Speaker 3: trust him. I do trust Kirby Smart, and I trust

617
00:30:52,120 --> 00:30:54,880
Speaker 3: this Georgia football team. I know they're going to come out,

618
00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:57,600
Speaker 3: I know they're going to play how they're expected to play,

619
00:30:57,640 --> 00:30:59,280
Speaker 3: and I think they're gonna win this game ten and

620
00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:01,840
Speaker 3: ASTs a lot, get it, But I'm still going to

621
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:03,120
Speaker 3: lay those points and take Georgia.

622
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:07,280
Speaker 1: Let's go to number seven Texas a ten point road

623
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:10,880
Speaker 1: favorite at TCU fifty three is a total here. By

624
00:31:10,880 --> 00:31:12,880
Speaker 1: the way, all the rest of these games are split

625
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:16,960
Speaker 1: on the on the side between the cash and the tickets,

626
00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:22,240
Speaker 1: tickets towards CCU, cash towards Texas barrel. Can my Longhorns

627
00:31:22,320 --> 00:31:25,479
Speaker 1: beat this ten point spread at TCU. This is a

628
00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:27,480
Speaker 1: game that they love to lose.

629
00:31:28,880 --> 00:31:31,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, they do, but this is a TCU team that's

630
00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:33,959
Speaker 3: not going to be able to hang with them personnel wives,

631
00:31:34,680 --> 00:31:37,000
Speaker 3: you know, the defense of Texas is extremely good. The

632
00:31:37,040 --> 00:31:40,480
Speaker 3: pressure they get on quarterbacks really changes football games. CAC

633
00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:44,000
Speaker 3: he doesn't have a quarterback, Quinn viewers, is he going

634
00:31:44,080 --> 00:31:46,480
Speaker 3: to play? That's a big question, you know. I mean

635
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 3: at lay in ten, you assume he's going to play.

636
00:31:49,440 --> 00:31:51,560
Speaker 3: That's pretty high number. I think Malik Murphy does not

637
00:31:51,640 --> 00:31:53,920
Speaker 3: looked good. They're not going to pull the trigger on

638
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:58,360
Speaker 3: our spanning because he's extremely overrated. Now what it is

639
00:31:58,360 --> 00:32:01,120
Speaker 3: is he's not ready. I won't see stremely overrated yet,

640
00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:04,240
Speaker 3: but he's just not ready. He's not ready for this. Obviously,

641
00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:05,680
Speaker 3: if he was ready, he would have been in there

642
00:32:05,680 --> 00:32:07,800
Speaker 3: in the last couple of games. And you know, Malik

643
00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:10,840
Speaker 3: Murphy is not showing anybody anything that leads you to

644
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:13,240
Speaker 3: believe that he's the guy. So that's good news for

645
00:32:13,320 --> 00:32:15,960
Speaker 3: Texas fans next year because the jobs wide open and

646
00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:18,320
Speaker 3: Darch would probably win the job next year. Not that

647
00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:20,960
Speaker 3: it's good news for Texas fans because if Texas fans

648
00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,120
Speaker 3: would love to see Malik Murphy be amazing, but he's

649
00:32:23,120 --> 00:32:26,440
Speaker 3: just not. That being said, the roster personnelity is just

650
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:29,400
Speaker 3: too strong in Texas's favor. Whoever the quarterback is, the

651
00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,200
Speaker 3: defense is going to eat up TCU. I don't trust

652
00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:34,920
Speaker 3: TCU whatsoever. And it's not still hurt feelings from the

653
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:38,720
Speaker 3: Colorado game. They just haven't played steady all season long.

654
00:32:39,720 --> 00:32:41,240
Speaker 3: I just don't think they're going to be able to

655
00:32:41,280 --> 00:32:43,920
Speaker 3: hang in this game, despite the fact that this is

656
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:47,360
Speaker 3: kind of a big line for me. But Texas lay in.

657
00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:50,480
Speaker 1: Ten thor what do you think between Texas and tc

658
00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:53,640
Speaker 1: Like I said, this is a game I hope, you

659
00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:56,240
Speaker 1: know Texas rolls everybody on the way out of the

660
00:32:56,240 --> 00:33:00,360
Speaker 1: Big twelve. But I don't know. It's it's it's seems

661
00:33:00,400 --> 00:33:02,760
Speaker 1: to like they trip over one of these opponents every

662
00:33:02,760 --> 00:33:03,920
Speaker 1: single year. Is this the one?

663
00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:07,680
Speaker 2: Uh? The It's gonna come down to Queen Yours? You know,

664
00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:09,560
Speaker 2: you guys, you guys were talking about it. My line

665
00:33:09,600 --> 00:33:12,560
Speaker 2: in this game is Texas minus eight point nine if

666
00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:15,320
Speaker 2: Queen Yours, if if Malie Murphy's playing this game, so

667
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:19,040
Speaker 2: Quen Yours is out. I definitely want double digit points

668
00:33:19,080 --> 00:33:22,040
Speaker 2: with TCU at home. I I think TCU is live.

669
00:33:22,600 --> 00:33:26,800
Speaker 2: If if if Malik Murphy's playing, if Quen yours playing

670
00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:31,920
Speaker 2: and he is even ninety percent or eighty eight percent

671
00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:36,840
Speaker 2: Queen yours, that's where I think it becomes potentially viable

672
00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:40,520
Speaker 2: to lay. If it's ten uh with with that and

673
00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:43,280
Speaker 2: going to the Quinn youers injury watch because this you know,

674
00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:46,320
Speaker 2: I'm like Brian uh Fontana, you know, paying to watch

675
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:49,680
Speaker 2: and anchorman on the watch because anyone that bets on

676
00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:52,160
Speaker 2: this game, you need to feel good about your read

677
00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:54,400
Speaker 2: on whether Queen, I mean, whatever side you're gonna be on,

678
00:33:54,880 --> 00:33:57,239
Speaker 2: because Queen yours worth so much to the spread. Now

679
00:33:57,280 --> 00:34:00,800
Speaker 2: we see Malik Murphy's work Steve start keys insight on Monday,

680
00:34:00,840 --> 00:34:03,800
Speaker 2: the yours is day to day. He has been throwing

681
00:34:03,840 --> 00:34:06,360
Speaker 2: the ball early in the week, and he had the

682
00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:09,640
Speaker 2: ac joint spring in his right shoulder October twenty first

683
00:34:09,719 --> 00:34:13,880
Speaker 2: against Houston. So we're now, is that two and a

684
00:34:13,920 --> 00:34:17,239
Speaker 2: half to three weeks now out from that injury. Typically

685
00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:20,239
Speaker 2: that's when you can start to come back from this thing.

686
00:34:20,280 --> 00:34:23,520
Speaker 2: What the recovery timeline is up to four weeks, So

687
00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:26,080
Speaker 2: it is you know, they're depicting it as sort of

688
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:30,400
Speaker 2: a coin flip. I believe them so, like I very

689
00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:31,840
Speaker 2: much up in the air, We're gonna have to follow

690
00:34:31,840 --> 00:34:34,920
Speaker 2: this thing during game week. He absolutely could play. I

691
00:34:34,920 --> 00:34:37,360
Speaker 2: think it's just gonna come down to literally how he progresses.

692
00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:39,799
Speaker 2: Like the cliches that you hear from coaches. In this case,

693
00:34:39,880 --> 00:34:41,960
Speaker 2: I actually think it's true because it's a pain taller

694
00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:44,040
Speaker 2: and thing right. I mean, it's the ac joint of

695
00:34:44,080 --> 00:34:46,799
Speaker 2: his throwing shoulder is what we're talking about here. The

696
00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:49,759
Speaker 2: interesting thing though, because it's gonna come down to what's

697
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:52,600
Speaker 2: inside when you were a body, right, like the paint thing.

698
00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:56,319
Speaker 2: A lot of people pointing this out. On Monday, Quinn

699
00:34:56,360 --> 00:34:59,120
Speaker 2: Youwers put out an Instagram post. He put out some

700
00:34:59,160 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 2: song lyrics. This is true. You can go and check

701
00:35:01,920 --> 00:35:05,359
Speaker 2: Quen you were his Instagram the song lyrics, So turn

702
00:35:05,440 --> 00:35:08,880
Speaker 2: me Lewis, set me free somewhere in the middle of

703
00:35:08,960 --> 00:35:13,080
Speaker 2: Montana and give me all all. The longhorned fans were

704
00:35:13,120 --> 00:35:17,160
Speaker 2: rejoicing Quinn you weres. They some long armed fans believe

705
00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:19,400
Speaker 2: that he is hitting, that he will be back this weekend.

706
00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:22,640
Speaker 1: Well, I saw hook of Headlines or one of those

707
00:35:22,680 --> 00:35:25,080
Speaker 1: places said that he's trending in the right direction. So

708
00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:27,719
Speaker 1: that's kind of you know how I feel about. He's

709
00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:29,800
Speaker 1: trending in the right direction. Doesn't mean he's gonna play,

710
00:35:30,200 --> 00:35:33,479
Speaker 1: but it doesn't mean he's getting better. So I guess

711
00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:36,520
Speaker 1: it's kind of a will see holding pattern right now.

712
00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:38,520
Speaker 1: He is obviously the big difference, but.

713
00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:41,880
Speaker 3: Uh, beaten to even scare you.

714
00:35:42,239 --> 00:35:46,799
Speaker 1: Yeah, nobody but Texas in the past, when Texas is

715
00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:48,440
Speaker 1: good and TCU was bad, it's happening.

716
00:35:49,360 --> 00:35:53,239
Speaker 3: So texasing, you're texasing Clemson years and years ago. But

717
00:35:53,760 --> 00:35:55,480
Speaker 3: can't be afraid of that. You can't be afraid of that.

718
00:35:56,200 --> 00:36:00,120
Speaker 3: This roster is different. It's a different roster. Man, and

719
00:36:00,160 --> 00:36:02,680
Speaker 3: I mean Tom Herman rosters were solid, but they had

720
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:06,640
Speaker 3: this is Charlie Strong's rosters weren't that solid. This is

721
00:36:06,680 --> 00:36:09,759
Speaker 3: a really, really good roster. So that being said, I

722
00:36:09,800 --> 00:36:12,080
Speaker 3: took Kansas State to cover last week, and I thought

723
00:36:12,360 --> 00:36:14,279
Speaker 3: I was to make trouble because it turned out to

724
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:15,759
Speaker 3: me three and a half. So I got the cover.

725
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:18,040
Speaker 3: I think they're going to take care of this game,

726
00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:21,120
Speaker 3: So I don't know. Quinn viewers will play too, probably

727
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:21,880
Speaker 3: is my guest.

728
00:36:22,320 --> 00:36:26,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, Pa on paper looks good, so uh, we'll see

729
00:36:26,600 --> 00:36:30,440
Speaker 1: anything else. For this game, thor.

730
00:36:29,520 --> 00:36:32,640
Speaker 2: Uh oh for Texas TC well, I you know, you

731
00:36:32,719 --> 00:36:37,160
Speaker 2: were the super duper important one because Murphy, I you know,

732
00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:40,040
Speaker 2: I like the tool set, but Murphy obviously needs work.

733
00:36:41,120 --> 00:36:43,399
Speaker 2: And so for some other school, some some fan base,

734
00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:46,200
Speaker 2: unwinning fan base out there doesn't realize that they're gonna,

735
00:36:46,320 --> 00:36:47,799
Speaker 2: you know, be the ones that get to find out

736
00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 2: with Malik Murphy if if he ultimately realizes that, because

737
00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:53,240
Speaker 2: I don't think he's going to finish out his career

738
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:56,200
Speaker 2: at Texas with you know, I mean it's you we

739
00:36:56,280 --> 00:36:57,680
Speaker 2: was going to come back and then of course Art,

740
00:36:57,760 --> 00:36:59,240
Speaker 2: so I I just don't.

741
00:36:59,080 --> 00:37:01,800
Speaker 3: Think he's going to go to Kansas and Jalen Daniels wind.

742
00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:06,880
Speaker 2: The only other thing I would say about the TCU

743
00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:10,239
Speaker 2: Texas game is Sarkesian was talking after that game and

744
00:37:10,280 --> 00:37:13,600
Speaker 2: then early this week both Visa VI Quentin Youewers, but

745
00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:17,160
Speaker 2: just in general about like it's beyond Quinn Youwers, Like

746
00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:20,480
Speaker 2: we're banged up right now, so like you have to

747
00:37:20,560 --> 00:37:23,600
Speaker 2: downgrade Texas just the slightest amount because of some of

748
00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:26,000
Speaker 2: the other injuries they have. Quinn Ewers is the one

749
00:37:26,040 --> 00:37:28,960
Speaker 2: where that one affects the spread, but they have some

750
00:37:29,000 --> 00:37:32,640
Speaker 2: other accumulative ones at other positions that you do have

751
00:37:32,719 --> 00:37:35,319
Speaker 2: to not. Texas is not at full strength right now,

752
00:37:35,520 --> 00:37:39,160
Speaker 2: and the TCU, like TCU is out Chandler Morris, Like, uh,

753
00:37:39,920 --> 00:37:43,160
Speaker 2: I'm not convinced that Hoover, my boy, Josh Hoover, that

754
00:37:43,239 --> 00:37:46,719
Speaker 2: the fact that he's not worse than Chandler Morris. Yeah,

755
00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:50,200
Speaker 2: so yeah. Anyway, the Texas injuries actually affect that team quality,

756
00:37:50,239 --> 00:37:53,880
Speaker 2: whereas TCU, I, you know, this could be an opportunity

757
00:37:53,920 --> 00:37:55,960
Speaker 2: for them, but quinn Ewers has to be out to

758
00:37:55,960 --> 00:37:56,960
Speaker 2: give TCU a shot.

759
00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:00,000
Speaker 1: All right, Let's go over to Florida at number four

760
00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:03,359
Speaker 1: thirteen LSU thor LSU is a thirteen and a half

761
00:38:03,360 --> 00:38:05,600
Speaker 1: point home favorite. Sixty three and a half is a total.

762
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:08,800
Speaker 1: Once again, look, the tickets and money are both heavy

763
00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:12,200
Speaker 1: on the over, but tickets on Florida cash on lis

764
00:38:12,280 --> 00:38:15,480
Speaker 1: you another split game here or how do you see

765
00:38:15,560 --> 00:38:17,200
Speaker 1: LSU and Florida happening here?

766
00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:20,000
Speaker 2: H We made a lot of money on the LSU

767
00:38:20,080 --> 00:38:23,560
Speaker 2: overs this year. Any anyone that literally anyone that bought

768
00:38:23,719 --> 00:38:26,439
Speaker 2: LSU overticket at any time can say the same. Seeing

769
00:38:26,480 --> 00:38:28,880
Speaker 2: as though they're now nine for nine in cash and

770
00:38:28,920 --> 00:38:32,280
Speaker 2: the overs. This is the one where that gets challenged.

771
00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:34,719
Speaker 2: That's streak because I don't believe that we're going to

772
00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:37,000
Speaker 2: see Jade and Daniels.

773
00:38:37,320 --> 00:38:38,919
Speaker 1: Yeah, so proto he's got to pass.

774
00:38:38,960 --> 00:38:41,440
Speaker 2: Proto, Yeah, he's in the protocol. I had got in

775
00:38:41,520 --> 00:38:45,319
Speaker 2: a text earlier day that he is extremely doubtful for

776
00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:47,360
Speaker 2: this game. So I think, I think it's gonna be

777
00:38:47,680 --> 00:38:50,640
Speaker 2: nuss Meyer. And if you're if you're LSU, I mean, yeah,

778
00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:52,640
Speaker 2: of course he's got to get through the protocol. But

779
00:38:52,719 --> 00:38:55,279
Speaker 2: also you know, even if like he were to get

780
00:38:55,280 --> 00:38:57,399
Speaker 2: out of there, but you know, well I was gonna

781
00:38:57,400 --> 00:38:59,200
Speaker 2: say if he wasn't one hundred percent of generally they're

782
00:38:59,200 --> 00:39:00,960
Speaker 2: not gonna let you out a can and protocol anyway.

783
00:39:01,040 --> 00:39:04,600
Speaker 2: But the whole point being was like, you can potentially

784
00:39:04,760 --> 00:39:06,759
Speaker 2: justify if you're LSU trying to get through this one

785
00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:10,560
Speaker 2: game with Nussmeyer playing at home against Florida, because you know,

786
00:39:10,640 --> 00:39:12,239
Speaker 2: for for the end of the season, that sort of

787
00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:14,319
Speaker 2: the stretch run there, the last couple of games leading

788
00:39:14,400 --> 00:39:17,200
Speaker 2: up to the postseason, having Jayden and Daniels there healthy,

789
00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:20,839
Speaker 2: Jayden Daniels, the guy who you know, potentially looking towards

790
00:39:20,880 --> 00:39:23,560
Speaker 2: the NFL, something that we thought was unthinkabout earlier in

791
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:25,879
Speaker 2: his career, but has been playing really well. You don't

792
00:39:25,880 --> 00:39:27,440
Speaker 2: want to throw him out there. If he's not one

793
00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:29,520
Speaker 2: hundred percent. I don't think he'll be playing in this game.

794
00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:33,000
Speaker 2: You saw the downgrade with the LSU offense win Daniels

795
00:39:33,040 --> 00:39:35,719
Speaker 2: win down against Alabama. That was basically the moment that

796
00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:38,399
Speaker 2: LSU no longer had a shot to win that game, right,

797
00:39:38,440 --> 00:39:41,640
Speaker 2: I mean that they So you're gonna have to downgrade

798
00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:44,680
Speaker 2: LSU because of that, And because of that, I would

799
00:39:44,760 --> 00:39:47,120
Speaker 2: probably lean at this point with where this spread is.

800
00:39:47,160 --> 00:39:49,479
Speaker 2: I would And I hate to say it because I

801
00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:52,160
Speaker 2: you know, I don't bet on Sunbelt Billy Aton, but

802
00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:54,720
Speaker 2: when I do, I prefer to to do it against

803
00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:57,520
Speaker 2: a team that's starting Garrett nusmyrit quarterback. I'll take the

804
00:39:57,560 --> 00:39:58,880
Speaker 2: points with the road team here.

805
00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:01,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I I don't know what the numbers

806
00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:05,200
Speaker 1: are in college football because they're not to report injuries

807
00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:08,280
Speaker 1: and sometimes they're floating. But I know that since concussion

808
00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:12,840
Speaker 1: protocol has been installed in the NFL that only twice

809
00:40:13,400 --> 00:40:16,200
Speaker 1: has a QB got a concussion on Sunday and made

810
00:40:16,200 --> 00:40:19,399
Speaker 1: it to play the following week. That was Piket last year.

811
00:40:19,440 --> 00:40:22,319
Speaker 1: One week and earlier this season when Brock Purty did it.

812
00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:26,320
Speaker 2: So wait, Michael, Mike McDaniels wasn't involved in either of those.

813
00:40:27,719 --> 00:40:29,879
Speaker 1: No to us. No. When he went out, he went

814
00:40:29,920 --> 00:40:33,279
Speaker 1: out for a little bit. So uh but but Mike,

815
00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:35,719
Speaker 1: So it doesn't look like Daniels will be up in

816
00:40:35,760 --> 00:40:38,960
Speaker 1: this game. Can we trust LSU at all without him?

817
00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:40,520
Speaker 1: It's hard.

818
00:40:41,960 --> 00:40:45,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not touching this at all because, I mean,

819
00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:48,560
Speaker 3: Jane Daniels with unless you know what you're getting. Well,

820
00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:50,359
Speaker 3: of course, last week I thought it would come in under.

821
00:40:51,440 --> 00:40:54,520
Speaker 3: I've learned what you're getting. I mean, he was simply unstoppable,

822
00:40:54,960 --> 00:40:58,359
Speaker 3: and the offense is unstoppable with him in there. When

823
00:40:58,360 --> 00:41:01,319
Speaker 3: he's not in there, that is the spread. I mean,

824
00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:03,160
Speaker 3: thirteen and a half is a lot when you're not

825
00:41:03,239 --> 00:41:06,200
Speaker 3: having Jayden Daniels run your offense. Your defense stinks. I

826
00:41:06,200 --> 00:41:09,640
Speaker 3: get it. But Florida isn't really dynamic offensively. The over

827
00:41:10,040 --> 00:41:12,239
Speaker 3: fat numbers out of the window, you know. But I

828
00:41:12,239 --> 00:41:14,719
Speaker 3: don't feel comfortable betting an under in an LSU game

829
00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:17,040
Speaker 3: because they always go over. So I'm not touching this

830
00:41:17,080 --> 00:41:19,160
Speaker 3: one at all. If I had to pick, I would

831
00:41:19,160 --> 00:41:21,600
Speaker 3: probably take Florida to cover thirteen and a half and

832
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:24,600
Speaker 3: hope and pray. But man, Florida is in big trouble.

833
00:41:24,640 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 3: I mean, losing Arkansas last week, They're probably going to

834
00:41:27,160 --> 00:41:31,680
Speaker 3: lose out. That's five and seven for Sunbelt Philly. Maybe

835
00:41:31,719 --> 00:41:33,919
Speaker 3: backdoor into a Bowl game because there aren't too many

836
00:41:34,680 --> 00:41:38,040
Speaker 3: enough bowloisible teams. Then you could be six and seven

837
00:41:38,080 --> 00:41:40,399
Speaker 3: will be due or five and eight and then next

838
00:41:40,440 --> 00:41:47,520
Speaker 3: year's schedule just ridiculous, including your Longhorns. Billy's dead. So

839
00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:50,440
Speaker 3: bet betting Sunbelt Billy is not going to make through

840
00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:52,719
Speaker 3: twenty twenty four is very difficult for me. But if

841
00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:54,160
Speaker 3: I had to pick, I would pick Florida to cover

842
00:41:54,239 --> 00:41:56,000
Speaker 3: the thirteen and a half. But I'm not betting this game.

843
00:41:56,280 --> 00:41:58,840
Speaker 3: Jayden Daniels is the X factor. If he plays, I

844
00:41:58,880 --> 00:42:01,160
Speaker 3: know what's happening. I don't know what's going to happen.

845
00:42:01,480 --> 00:42:03,960
Speaker 1: All right, Let's go to the last game on this slate,

846
00:42:04,040 --> 00:42:08,600
Speaker 1: number twenty USC at number six Oregon fourteen and a half.

847
00:42:08,719 --> 00:42:11,880
Speaker 1: Oregon is a favorite here at home. Seventy three and

848
00:42:11,920 --> 00:42:15,840
Speaker 1: a half is a total here. Obviously, I'm going to

849
00:42:15,880 --> 00:42:17,920
Speaker 1: see a lot of scoring between Oregon and USC in

850
00:42:17,960 --> 00:42:24,120
Speaker 1: this game. Again, tickets slightly favorite USC Cash slightly favorous Oregon.

851
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:28,280
Speaker 1: Everybody's on the over. I know Marshall Lloyd is questionable

852
00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:31,239
Speaker 1: in this game for USC at running back, Mike, do

853
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:34,760
Speaker 1: you see Oregon covering at home? How about the total?

854
00:42:34,800 --> 00:42:37,000
Speaker 1: I mean they're both pretty big here.

855
00:42:37,560 --> 00:42:39,440
Speaker 3: I go over. I don't like this line. I mean,

856
00:42:39,480 --> 00:42:41,680
Speaker 3: I think Oregon's gonna drill them. Honestly, I don't think

857
00:42:42,120 --> 00:42:45,400
Speaker 3: you know, the defensive struggles are certainly Alex Grinch, but

858
00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:52,200
Speaker 3: they're not overly schematic. There's just confusion. Yeah, and there's

859
00:42:52,239 --> 00:42:55,840
Speaker 3: confusion just every time you watch USC as to who's

860
00:42:55,880 --> 00:42:58,160
Speaker 3: doing what and what assignment, what lane is being filled.

861
00:42:58,400 --> 00:43:00,560
Speaker 3: That's bad coaching, I get it. And that's not going

862
00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:02,720
Speaker 3: to be fixed overnight by firing a guy and putting

863
00:43:02,719 --> 00:43:07,040
Speaker 3: someone else in charge just not going to happen, you know,

864
00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:11,759
Speaker 3: So their defense is still going to stink. Taylor means,

865
00:43:11,800 --> 00:43:14,280
Speaker 3: I think it is, you know, former five star recruit,

866
00:43:14,360 --> 00:43:16,560
Speaker 3: all American, great kid, but not going to be able

867
00:43:16,560 --> 00:43:20,480
Speaker 3: to fix this. And Oregon's offense is unstoppable, just unstoppable.

868
00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:23,279
Speaker 3: So when you when you look at this, Oregon's gonna

869
00:43:23,280 --> 00:43:25,880
Speaker 3: put up a big number and then USC if Taylor

870
00:43:25,920 --> 00:43:29,120
Speaker 3: Williams is invested, you know, and I think he's still invested.

871
00:43:30,480 --> 00:43:33,000
Speaker 3: He can do some magical things and put up some

872
00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:34,759
Speaker 3: numbers here, So God give me the over here. I

873
00:43:34,760 --> 00:43:36,520
Speaker 3: don't like the fourteen and a half though, That's that's

874
00:43:36,640 --> 00:43:39,359
Speaker 3: two touchdowns and a hook too much for me. I'll

875
00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:40,799
Speaker 3: take the over all.

876
00:43:40,760 --> 00:43:43,160
Speaker 1: Right, thor last game? Who do you like? You like

877
00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:45,880
Speaker 1: Oregon at Home? Or is that too many points for you?

878
00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:49,560
Speaker 1: Or do you like the over here? Or is there

879
00:43:49,600 --> 00:43:50,680
Speaker 1: anything you like in this game?

880
00:43:51,120 --> 00:43:53,520
Speaker 2: I'm miss I'm with mister Farrell on this one. I

881
00:43:53,960 --> 00:43:56,440
Speaker 2: liked over in this game. I think is the surest

882
00:43:56,480 --> 00:43:59,959
Speaker 2: bet at this point. My system spit out a total

883
00:44:00,120 --> 00:44:03,600
Speaker 2: on this game of eighty six point eight and and

884
00:44:03,719 --> 00:44:06,279
Speaker 2: so you're thinking, well, that's that's absurd. I mean, that's

885
00:44:06,360 --> 00:44:09,200
Speaker 2: that's just a ludicrous number. Your your system is broken. Well,

886
00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:11,719
Speaker 2: last week, and I mentioned this on the shows, you

887
00:44:11,760 --> 00:44:14,640
Speaker 2: can go back and rewind the thing. My system spit

888
00:44:14,680 --> 00:44:18,319
Speaker 2: out before adjustments a total. So this is right away

889
00:44:18,320 --> 00:44:20,520
Speaker 2: at the start of the week. Washington USC total last

890
00:44:20,520 --> 00:44:24,480
Speaker 2: week of eighty nine. That game finished fifty two to

891
00:44:25,080 --> 00:44:29,359
Speaker 2: forty two ninety four. At halftime, the books put out

892
00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:31,680
Speaker 2: a total in that game of one hundred and five. Yeah,

893
00:44:32,360 --> 00:44:35,080
Speaker 2: it was absolutely wild. So if you're thinking like there's

894
00:44:35,200 --> 00:44:37,719
Speaker 2: no chance, like this total is high and the number

895
00:44:37,760 --> 00:44:40,160
Speaker 2: that you just tossed out is stupid, I don't know.

896
00:44:40,400 --> 00:44:42,839
Speaker 2: My system would see in it last week, it's seeing

897
00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:45,520
Speaker 2: it again this week. And that's where I would be

898
00:44:45,600 --> 00:44:48,160
Speaker 2: on this one. If I had to bet on, you

899
00:44:48,239 --> 00:44:49,800
Speaker 2: know that one of the teams on the side, I

900
00:44:49,840 --> 00:44:54,000
Speaker 2: would lean towards taking the points with USC. There's the

901
00:44:54,160 --> 00:44:57,840
Speaker 2: thing in sports betting with in college where it's a

902
00:44:57,880 --> 00:45:01,120
Speaker 2: little bit contrary victory. But the we after a team

903
00:45:01,320 --> 00:45:04,640
Speaker 2: fires its head coach in college, the the you go

904
00:45:04,760 --> 00:45:06,920
Speaker 2: back a decade, you look at the against the spread record,

905
00:45:07,200 --> 00:45:09,880
Speaker 2: then the following week and the following couple weeks that

906
00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:11,520
Speaker 2: team is really good against the spread.

907
00:45:12,000 --> 00:45:14,200
Speaker 1: There was a lot of sort of time with the

908
00:45:14,320 --> 00:45:17,160
Speaker 1: Raiders in the NFL too. I mean, yeah, it's a

909
00:45:17,200 --> 00:45:20,359
Speaker 1: lot of dish. By subtraction, you get happier players, yeah,

910
00:45:20,400 --> 00:45:21,759
Speaker 1: the whole the lift.

911
00:45:22,200 --> 00:45:23,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's it.

912
00:45:23,360 --> 00:45:26,279
Speaker 3: Finally, the problem is Lincoln Riley still head for.

913
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:30,160
Speaker 2: Sure, but there was so much toxicity towards Alex Grinch

914
00:45:30,320 --> 00:45:32,960
Speaker 2: and you know, and he's the squeaky we and all

915
00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:36,440
Speaker 2: this stuff. Pharaoh, you mentioned it that had to happen.

916
00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:39,120
Speaker 2: How many weeks straight weeks do we mention? When are

917
00:45:39,120 --> 00:45:40,520
Speaker 2: they going to fire this guy? Why are they gonna

918
00:45:40,800 --> 00:45:42,720
Speaker 2: it was like just just get already.

919
00:45:43,040 --> 00:45:46,680
Speaker 1: Joke about how Alex Grinch had some blackmail material on Lincoln.

920
00:45:49,040 --> 00:45:51,360
Speaker 3: Material Like yeah, so you know, I'm not.

921
00:45:51,400 --> 00:45:52,960
Speaker 2: Sure you know that the new guy's going to watch

922
00:45:53,000 --> 00:45:54,600
Speaker 2: the tay, you know, I don't know if it's going

923
00:45:54,640 --> 00:45:56,560
Speaker 2: to be you know, next levels commut Alex Scris was

924
00:45:56,880 --> 00:45:59,399
Speaker 2: doing a great job. But even him just not being there,

925
00:45:59,560 --> 00:46:01,520
Speaker 2: I think get a bit of a boost there and

926
00:46:01,680 --> 00:46:04,279
Speaker 2: and it's like, well, that's that's stupid, that's not quantifiable.

927
00:46:04,600 --> 00:46:07,239
Speaker 2: Actually it is if you you know, again it's using

928
00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:10,160
Speaker 2: the head coaching thing. But Grinch, that had become a thing,

929
00:46:10,680 --> 00:46:12,440
Speaker 2: you know, he's he was an important part of that

930
00:46:12,520 --> 00:46:15,440
Speaker 2: program and it had become in a very negative way recently. Uh,

931
00:46:15,600 --> 00:46:17,279
Speaker 2: that would just be the way that I would lean

932
00:46:17,360 --> 00:46:19,560
Speaker 2: on the side. I'm not betting that one yet, but

933
00:46:19,719 --> 00:46:22,319
Speaker 2: totally agree with Ferrell on the actual play I'm gonna

934
00:46:22,320 --> 00:46:24,200
Speaker 2: have in this game for sure, which is the over.

935
00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:26,959
Speaker 2: I I feel like that is way way safer all.

936
00:46:26,920 --> 00:46:28,680
Speaker 1: Right, Well, before we get out of here, Thorn, do

937
00:46:28,680 --> 00:46:31,279
Speaker 1: you have any other games we didn't mention that you

938
00:46:31,480 --> 00:46:33,759
Speaker 1: really like, either the side or the total one.

939
00:46:35,920 --> 00:46:38,880
Speaker 2: I think we hit on a lot of the ones

940
00:46:39,800 --> 00:46:40,600
Speaker 2: we hit online.

941
00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:42,200
Speaker 3: I know that it is gonna come up with some

942
00:46:42,680 --> 00:46:47,080
Speaker 3: garbage sun Belt matchup between one and seven football teams.

943
00:46:48,719 --> 00:46:51,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, we yeah, come back on this Saturday morning show

944
00:46:51,600 --> 00:46:55,320
Speaker 2: and I'll have a bunch of them next for you.

945
00:46:56,200 --> 00:47:00,120
Speaker 3: We're taking to a maction. I took, I took the

946
00:47:00,239 --> 00:47:06,960
Speaker 3: under and fall State hammered the under ten on our

947
00:47:07,040 --> 00:47:11,000
Speaker 3: Winds maction on Tuesday. Now I'm going to get off

948
00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:13,520
Speaker 3: this call and the score it's gonna be like thirty

949
00:47:13,600 --> 00:47:15,279
Speaker 3: to twenty and a half or something like that. But

950
00:47:15,960 --> 00:47:18,200
Speaker 3: I try. I hammered the under on that. But yeah, no,

951
00:47:18,400 --> 00:47:21,360
Speaker 3: I mean the games that you hit, all of the

952
00:47:21,480 --> 00:47:23,600
Speaker 3: good games that really matter, all right.

953
00:47:23,560 --> 00:47:26,320
Speaker 1: Well, like these guys said, check them out on Saturday

954
00:47:26,440 --> 00:47:30,439
Speaker 1: on the Betting Pros preview show before the games kick off.

955
00:47:30,719 --> 00:47:33,239
Speaker 1: And remember you can follow us all on Twitter, app,

956
00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:35,919
Speaker 1: bog and sports for myself at thor Ku for Thorn,

957
00:47:36,000 --> 00:47:38,640
Speaker 1: at em at Ferrell Sports to our two l's for

958
00:47:38,800 --> 00:47:40,839
Speaker 1: mister Mike Ferrell That is it for us. We will

959
00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:42,759
Speaker 1: see you guys next week. Good luck and we'll see

960
00:47:42,760 --> 00:47:45,600
Speaker 1: you then. Take it easy, everybody. Thanks for listening to

961
00:47:45,640 --> 00:47:48,720
Speaker 1: the Betting Pros podcast. Follow us on x and TikTok

962
00:47:48,800 --> 00:47:52,439
Speaker 1: at betting Pros and Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also

963
00:47:52,520 --> 00:47:55,440
Speaker 1: subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash

964
00:47:55,480 --> 00:47:56,120
Speaker 1: Betting Pros