WEBVTT - Are You Thielen It? 0:00:01.120 --> 0:00:04.840 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 0:00:07.200 --> 0:00:10.920 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 0:00:11.280 --> 0:00:15.160 your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy speculation and advice. 0:00:15.600 --> 0:00:19.040 Now along with the guys from fanball dot com. Here's 0:00:19.079 --> 0:00:24.720 the host for Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul. That is me. 0:00:24.800 --> 0:00:28.160 I'm Paul Charchy and my co host today Brian Johnson, 0:00:28.240 --> 0:00:30.360 as we get ready for the divisional round. Hello Brian, 0:00:30.480 --> 0:00:33.839 Hello Church. Uh, it's You're always excited about the divisional round, right, 0:00:33.880 --> 0:00:36.240 but I'm really excited about this divisional round. Why is that? 0:00:36.520 --> 0:00:38.080 I don't just seems like a bunch of great games. 0:00:38.080 --> 0:00:40.640 And I'm not talking being a homer from Minnesota, because 0:00:40.640 --> 0:00:42.280 I'm not a Vikings fan like you are. Of course 0:00:42.280 --> 0:00:44.159 now you're you're you're Bengals fan. You wouldn't even know 0:00:44.200 --> 0:00:47.360 what this is, like, what are the playoffs? Exactly? No 0:00:47.440 --> 0:00:49.920 great games. I'm excited. Yeah, And uh, for everybody I 0:00:49.960 --> 0:00:53.920 steered towards the Saints last week, sorry, I did not 0:00:54.080 --> 0:00:56.920 think the Vikings were gonna win based on how they 0:00:56.960 --> 0:00:59.600 had played down the stretch and a variety of other 0:00:59.640 --> 0:01:02.760 factor so which we enumerated last week. We'll do better 0:01:02.800 --> 0:01:06.000 this week. On helping you find fantasy winners as we 0:01:06.040 --> 0:01:09.000 break down all four of the games, and um, I 0:01:09.040 --> 0:01:11.600 think we may begin with Vikings at San Francisco, and 0:01:11.640 --> 0:01:15.200 well that is the first game on the slate of 0:01:15.280 --> 0:01:18.240 games Saturday midday, do we we don't want to discuss 0:01:18.280 --> 0:01:20.320 any new head coaches or anything. There was one I 0:01:20.640 --> 0:01:23.360 really wanted to break down what we thought happened at 0:01:23.360 --> 0:01:25.800 the Jerry Jones Mike McCarthy slumber party, because I just 0:01:25.840 --> 0:01:31.240 can't get over the facts that they had a slumber Yes, um, 0:01:31.280 --> 0:01:33.479 you know, I think if you're Mike McCarthy, this couldn't 0:01:33.480 --> 0:01:35.720 worked out any better because you gained the best roster 0:01:35.880 --> 0:01:38.839 of all of the new coaches by a mile Dak 0:01:38.840 --> 0:01:42.920 Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott a good defense, you know, Marie Cooper, 0:01:43.200 --> 0:01:46.280 you know Michael Galli. But what you know, if you're McCarthy, 0:01:46.360 --> 0:01:50.360 you go, you transition from Aaron Rodgers into this. You know, 0:01:50.400 --> 0:01:56.360 it's even he can't bozoh this up, Kenny. Maybe we'll 0:01:56.360 --> 0:02:01.440 see he got so complacent with the Packers, so complacent. 0:02:01.600 --> 0:02:04.040 I'm just I'm not a fan. And it's not just 0:02:04.120 --> 0:02:07.160 because here in Minnesota rooting against the Packers for most 0:02:07.160 --> 0:02:10.640 of my life. It's because he did not maximize that 0:02:10.680 --> 0:02:14.320 pack the packer opportunities he had at all. Impacer fans 0:02:14.360 --> 0:02:16.119 will tell you the same thing. They don't love him either. 0:02:16.600 --> 0:02:18.040 The best part of the press conference was one of 0:02:18.080 --> 0:02:20.720 the reporters asked him if you thought that asked him 0:02:20.720 --> 0:02:25.880 if if you thought des caught it, and he had 0:02:25.960 --> 0:02:33.519 some a little bit very political Yeah, sure, um Ron 0:02:33.600 --> 0:02:37.040 Rivera knew, Matt Rule, knew Joe Judge. Well, you know 0:02:37.040 --> 0:02:38.480 we'll have to well if we've got a lot of 0:02:38.480 --> 0:02:40.600 time to sort of shake those you know, shake out 0:02:40.600 --> 0:02:42.639 how how we think those things will affect everything is, 0:02:43.000 --> 0:02:45.840 especially with the Redskins as they're now Panthers North. All right, 0:02:45.919 --> 0:02:47.760 let's go. Let's go to the games this weekend, breaking 0:02:47.840 --> 0:02:50.519 him down fantasy style, beginning with the first one Minnesota 0:02:50.520 --> 0:02:53.960 takes on San Francisco. Um, now the Niners. I'm hearing 0:02:54.000 --> 0:02:55.840 a lot of bad stats out there about how the 0:02:55.919 --> 0:03:00.560 Niners defense is crumbling. Well, yeah, because they were without 0:03:00.760 --> 0:03:04.680 Richard Sherman, Kwan, Alexander jack Wis guitar to d Ford, 0:03:04.720 --> 0:03:08.239 they're all back. D Ford's a game time decision, I think, 0:03:08.240 --> 0:03:10.440 But it sounds like he's gonna go. So I think 0:03:10.440 --> 0:03:12.320 this the Stevens goes right back to being as awesome 0:03:12.360 --> 0:03:14.720 as it used to be. And man, can they pass 0:03:15.040 --> 0:03:18.079 rush as a rush against the past you had. You know, 0:03:18.440 --> 0:03:20.639 d Ford and Nick Bosa and Deforce Buckner and Eric 0:03:20.720 --> 0:03:24.280 Armstead all excellent pass rushers. Niners said the fifth most sacks. 0:03:24.520 --> 0:03:27.280 They ranked third in pass rush by Pro Football Focus. 0:03:27.720 --> 0:03:31.399 That will stress this Vikings offensive line quite a bit. 0:03:31.720 --> 0:03:34.800 I agree, yeah, And they're like, you're pretty much alluding 0:03:34.800 --> 0:03:38.360 to their very well arrested, very well arrested They're gonna 0:03:38.360 --> 0:03:41.520 be ready to go, undoubted. Undoubtedly, Kirk Cousins is thrown 0:03:41.560 --> 0:03:45.600 exactly one touchdown in four straight games. I just don't 0:03:45.640 --> 0:03:47.560 think the Vikings can win with one touchdown out of 0:03:47.640 --> 0:03:49.560 Kirk Cousins because I don't see the running game coming 0:03:49.600 --> 0:03:52.000 together in this one. And Cousins is going to throw 0:03:52.200 --> 0:03:55.520 a lot more, I believe, than he usually does. In fact, 0:03:55.680 --> 0:03:58.520 to drill down on that a little bit, San Francisco 0:03:59.280 --> 0:04:03.800 has uh it gives up thirty two and a half 0:04:04.040 --> 0:04:07.960 passes per game. Cousins only topped that a couple of 0:04:07.960 --> 0:04:10.160 times all season, So I, you know, I think just 0:04:10.280 --> 0:04:13.000 playing by trends, the Vikings are going to pass more often. 0:04:13.040 --> 0:04:14.960 I think Kirk's gonna pass more often. I Gues's gonna 0:04:14.960 --> 0:04:17.560 find himself at the end of the day. Not not 0:04:17.640 --> 0:04:19.920 necessarily a win, but I think just through sheer volum 0:04:19.960 --> 0:04:21.320 And you said, she ends up with a pretty good 0:04:21.320 --> 0:04:23.880 game here. Now, what do you make of the ankle 0:04:24.240 --> 0:04:27.360 of Adam Feeling? Yeah, let's talk about that. So they 0:04:27.360 --> 0:04:29.160 won't tell us how it happened. We don't know. What 0:04:29.200 --> 0:04:32.359 we do know is multiple multiple media reports saying it 0:04:32.400 --> 0:04:37.599 was a deep ankle laceration. No thanks, Um, I don't 0:04:37.600 --> 0:04:41.320 see how like people immediately jumped too. You got cleatd 0:04:41.440 --> 0:04:43.240 I don't think you're wearing cleats that sharp and you 0:04:43.960 --> 0:04:46.159 indoors on the turf, like if you've been in the 0:04:46.240 --> 0:04:48.360 mud and whatever. Yeah, you were in the long cleats 0:04:48.400 --> 0:04:50.240 that could do. But even then they're not sharp. I mean, 0:04:50.320 --> 0:04:54.760 it's like track cleats, like baseball spikes. Yeah, it's not that. 0:04:55.279 --> 0:04:57.599 So we we don't know how it has. Something weird happened, 0:04:57.800 --> 0:05:02.240 something weird. Um, So Feeling is a huge X factor here. 0:05:02.800 --> 0:05:05.239 Uh if he can go, he'll go in the slot 0:05:05.279 --> 0:05:09.080 against cornerback Kwan Williams and uh more often than not. 0:05:09.200 --> 0:05:11.160 He runs from all over the field, but I think 0:05:11.160 --> 0:05:13.720 he'll hit the slot a lot. Williams has a lot 0:05:13.760 --> 0:05:15.440 of touchdown since week too, but he gives up a 0:05:15.480 --> 0:05:18.760 seventy two percent completion rate. So maybe theeling here who 0:05:18.839 --> 0:05:21.800 was a major contributor to the Vikings when last week 0:05:21.880 --> 0:05:24.120 ends up with Um a lot of catches and yards 0:05:24.120 --> 0:05:28.000 but not necessarily a touchdown, Stefan Diggs goes up. Now 0:05:28.200 --> 0:05:30.640 to understand the Niners secondary, you have to know Richard 0:05:30.680 --> 0:05:33.600 Sherman plays one half of the field and basically erases it. 0:05:34.080 --> 0:05:38.960 He is absolutely dominating. The average receiving game in his 0:05:39.080 --> 0:05:44.479 coverage is one and a half receptions for fourteen yards. 0:05:45.800 --> 0:05:52.640 Oh Man. Sherman is not allowed a touchdown since the opener. Brutal, brutal. 0:05:52.800 --> 0:05:56.279 So if you're the Vikings, where do you line up 0:05:56.320 --> 0:06:02.280 Stefon Diggs? They're not there? Not there? You know that's 0:06:02.320 --> 0:06:05.320 where you hang La Kwan Treadwell out to dry or 0:06:05.320 --> 0:06:07.760 Old A. B. C. Johnson out to dry, although Johnson 0:06:07.760 --> 0:06:12.039 almost entirely plays a slot um or Hollins out to dry. 0:06:12.080 --> 0:06:13.960 You're not gonna see. You're not going to see. I 0:06:14.000 --> 0:06:17.599 believe a lot of Stefon Diggs over on the Sherman side, 0:06:17.640 --> 0:06:20.240 because when why do that when you can go to 0:06:20.839 --> 0:06:24.039 Kello Witherspoon instead, And that's the side of the field 0:06:24.040 --> 0:06:28.120 that Diggs naturally lines up on. Anyway, pent of his 0:06:28.200 --> 0:06:32.040 plays start on the left side of the field. Witherspoon 0:06:32.120 --> 0:06:35.400 sees double the number of targets as Richard Sherman, which 0:06:35.440 --> 0:06:37.279 is which makes sense. And he was brutal in the 0:06:37.320 --> 0:06:40.960 final two games of the season, allowing four touchdowns in 0:06:41.040 --> 0:06:45.480 the final two games. That's a Killo Witherspoon. He has 0:06:45.520 --> 0:06:48.320 allowed more yards in the last four weeks than Richard 0:06:48.400 --> 0:06:53.440 Sherman has allowed all year. So Diggs on Witherspoon is 0:06:53.440 --> 0:06:57.919 an exploitable matchup. Better do it? Yeah? I like so. 0:06:58.120 --> 0:07:00.360 I like Diggs more than I like feeling in the game. 0:07:00.960 --> 0:07:03.840 Um cal, Rudolph has got an opportunity. Niners have a 0:07:03.880 --> 0:07:07.000 lot of big games to Tyler Higbee, Jared Cook, Mark Andrews. 0:07:07.080 --> 0:07:08.400 I'm a little bit word. He's gonna have to stay 0:07:08.400 --> 0:07:11.000 in a block because of d Fort, Nick Bosa, Divorce Buckner. 0:07:11.120 --> 0:07:14.080 It's you know, it's there. They can generate so much 0:07:14.120 --> 0:07:17.400 pass rush. But you could try Rudolph in a pinch 0:07:17.440 --> 0:07:20.320 if you wanted to, Well, I assume you're about to 0:07:20.320 --> 0:07:22.640 get to Dalvin Cook right before you do that, if 0:07:22.640 --> 0:07:26.720 you don't mind. I saw stat where I think it's 0:07:26.760 --> 0:07:29.680 through Cook's career that he and Feeling have only played 0:07:29.720 --> 0:07:33.320 ten games. That is probably accurate. That probably is accurate. Yeah, 0:07:33.360 --> 0:07:36.320 so when they have played together, Cook and Feeling the 0:07:36.840 --> 0:07:41.680 points and I think the implied total for the Vikings 0:07:41.760 --> 0:07:45.160 is like nineteen and a half right now, and the 0:07:45.240 --> 0:07:47.720 four allowed twenty plus points. I know we said their 0:07:47.720 --> 0:07:49.440 defense is gonna be better than it's been playing, but 0:07:49.840 --> 0:07:53.720 hell factor that if you're betting the implied over under 0:07:53.720 --> 0:07:57.040 on the Vikings that they finally have Cook and Feeling together, 0:07:59.400 --> 0:08:01.520 there's a chance Stealen does not play in this game. 0:08:01.560 --> 0:08:04.920 I mean it sounds like it sounds like he's going 0:08:04.960 --> 0:08:06.920 to go, and he's saying he's gonna go, But I 0:08:07.000 --> 0:08:10.640 don't think it's a guarantee that he goes. Here, let's 0:08:10.680 --> 0:08:14.360 talk about Dalvin Cook. San Francisco allowed all seven of 0:08:14.400 --> 0:08:17.280 the rushing touchdowns they've given up in the second half 0:08:17.320 --> 0:08:20.160 of the season, including four rushing touchdowns in the last 0:08:20.160 --> 0:08:23.560 three games, again missing a number of players, um the 0:08:23.600 --> 0:08:26.600 San Francisco seen very few workhorse backs. Get this, Brian. 0:08:26.680 --> 0:08:30.360 Only two backs saw more than fifteen carries all year, 0:08:30.440 --> 0:08:34.240 fifteen is not that much. That is weird. Um, they 0:08:34.240 --> 0:08:37.480 haven't seen many particularly good runners, but they've done a 0:08:37.480 --> 0:08:39.200 pretty good job on the ones they have seen. They 0:08:39.240 --> 0:08:42.840 shut down Aaron Jones, they shut down mark Ingram. Um. 0:08:43.000 --> 0:08:47.600 Mike Zimmer heard this stat forty and oh when the 0:08:47.720 --> 0:08:54.680 Vikings rushed thirty times and that's astounding under Zimmer. Under 0:08:54.760 --> 0:08:58.080 Zimmer forty and oh when his teams rushed thirty or 0:08:58.160 --> 0:09:01.280 more times. Um, miners are giving up four point two 0:09:01.360 --> 0:09:03.480 yards per carry on the season, four yards per carry 0:09:03.520 --> 0:09:06.360 since December, then get a little something done here. No 0:09:06.520 --> 0:09:08.920 back his top eighty nine rushing yards though against San 0:09:08.920 --> 0:09:12.480 Francisco since week nine. Um, here's why, Here's why I 0:09:12.520 --> 0:09:16.720 am worried about Dalvin Cook. Last week, the Vikings dominated 0:09:16.760 --> 0:09:18.600 the first half of the game against the Saints, with 0:09:18.679 --> 0:09:22.360 Dalvin Cook taking chunk yards. It was four yards, eight yards, 0:09:22.400 --> 0:09:25.240 nine yards, six yards. And then in the second half 0:09:25.360 --> 0:09:28.920 the Saints completely changed their scheme and they took away 0:09:29.040 --> 0:09:31.640 Dalvin Cook and said, Kirk Cousins, you gotta go beat us. 0:09:32.160 --> 0:09:35.240 They held kirk They held Dalvin Cook to one yard 0:09:36.040 --> 0:09:39.480 per carry in the second half, and the Vikings only 0:09:39.480 --> 0:09:42.160 scored one time in the second half, one scoring drive 0:09:42.160 --> 0:09:44.880 in the second half. I mean, that's the blueprint, is 0:09:44.920 --> 0:09:47.960 you take away Dalvin Cook from the Vikings and make 0:09:48.040 --> 0:09:49.920 kirk O beat you. Now we did against the Saints. 0:09:50.360 --> 0:09:51.880 It's not that you can't do it, but you're gonna 0:09:51.920 --> 0:09:53.800 roll it. Do your dice and and make Kirko beat you. 0:09:54.120 --> 0:09:56.800 And the Vikings took Dalvin Cook away from fantasy owners 0:09:56.840 --> 0:09:59.880 and fantasy players too, because if I recall correctly, Alex, 0:10:00.000 --> 0:10:01.880 the Madison had a couple of carries inside the ten 0:10:02.000 --> 0:10:05.320 or five in the green zone. In red zone at 0:10:05.400 --> 0:10:09.679 least one I remember seeing. So they still like using Madison. Uh, 0:10:09.720 --> 0:10:12.080 you know, deep in enemy territory, we'll see the Saints 0:10:12.120 --> 0:10:14.880 changed their scheme to put players in the slot. They 0:10:14.920 --> 0:10:17.840 put a linebacker off of the off of an edge rusher, 0:10:18.200 --> 0:10:21.080 or put a safety off an edge rusher, and they 0:10:21.080 --> 0:10:23.440 would take away all the edge rushing for the Vikings 0:10:23.440 --> 0:10:25.560 on one side or the other and sometimes both cases. 0:10:26.280 --> 0:10:27.920 Viking she pass deep to try to break that up, 0:10:27.920 --> 0:10:29.199 but I don't know if it's gonna work. By the way, 0:10:29.240 --> 0:10:31.000 one other thing about Dalvin Cook A lot of yard 0:10:31.040 --> 0:10:33.920 is coming through the air. The screen game may not 0:10:33.960 --> 0:10:36.120 work here because San Francisco is allowed the third fewest 0:10:36.160 --> 0:10:39.480 running back receptions, the second fewest running back yards, and 0:10:39.520 --> 0:10:41.680 the and no touchdowns through the air. Theyn't give any 0:10:41.760 --> 0:10:44.480 receiving touchdowns are running back all year? How about that? 0:10:45.240 --> 0:10:47.920 So I don't love cooking this game. Uh. The Vegas 0:10:47.960 --> 0:10:50.959 over under for yards is seventy seven rushing yards. I'm 0:10:51.040 --> 0:10:54.000 under I haven't seen a total yard or receiving yard 0:10:54.080 --> 0:10:57.160 for cook outline. Let's go to the San Francisco side 0:10:58.000 --> 0:11:01.040 Saints had. The Saints last week had seven passing plays 0:11:01.040 --> 0:11:04.680 of fourteen or more yards seven against the Vikings, and 0:11:04.920 --> 0:11:08.359 since Week ten, San Francisco's had the third most explosive 0:11:08.400 --> 0:11:11.040 passing plays. So I think there's a chance for some 0:11:11.120 --> 0:11:14.560 downfield passing here on the Vikings. Um. The Vikings past 0:11:14.600 --> 0:11:17.680 defense has had problems, but oddly enough, five straight opposing 0:11:17.720 --> 0:11:20.480 quarterbacks and from zero or one touchdown, and that includes 0:11:20.520 --> 0:11:22.959 some decent pastors like Aaron Rodgers and Philip Rivers and 0:11:23.040 --> 0:11:24.880 Drew Brees. So it's a bit of a bend, but 0:11:24.920 --> 0:11:28.560 don't break um. Defense for the Vikings. They give up 0:11:28.600 --> 0:11:31.040 they give up plays, but they doesn't always turn into 0:11:31.120 --> 0:11:33.079 a lot of fantasy points. Affect six the last seven 0:11:33.160 --> 0:11:35.280 quarterbacks of thrown for two hundred forty yards or less 0:11:35.880 --> 0:11:41.000 for Garoppolo. Garoppolo's biggest target George Kittle. I got some 0:11:41.200 --> 0:11:45.920 stats for you. I'm ready, always ready. I dug into 0:11:45.960 --> 0:11:50.560 Kittle's usage, Brian he is lethal in the middle of 0:11:50.600 --> 0:11:54.000 the field. Pro football Focus showing he has almost eight 0:11:54.160 --> 0:11:58.160 hundred yards in the middle of the field. Only eight 0:11:58.200 --> 0:12:00.520 hundred yards by tight ends a good season for all 0:12:00.600 --> 0:12:03.079 the catches. Kittle has eight hundred in the middle of 0:12:03.160 --> 0:12:06.640 the field where Garoppolo is a passer rating of one 0:12:07.160 --> 0:12:09.880 twenty on his throws to Kittle in the middle of 0:12:09.960 --> 0:12:16.600 the field and a completion percentage of eight. But the 0:12:16.720 --> 0:12:23.360 Vikings inside linebacker Eric Kendricks awesome. He is Pro Football 0:12:23.400 --> 0:12:28.200 Focus his highest rated linebacker in coverage. He is the 0:12:28.320 --> 0:12:31.679 linebacker in the NFL who has run the most coverage plays. 0:12:31.720 --> 0:12:34.920 He ranks number one in pass breakups, he's number one 0:12:34.960 --> 0:12:39.120 in past completion percentage allowed, and he has the third 0:12:39.160 --> 0:12:42.760 lowest passer rating in his coverage. Eric Kendricks the Vikings 0:12:42.840 --> 0:12:46.840 might be ideally suited to take away from George Kittle. 0:12:46.880 --> 0:12:48.840 The thing he does best catching balls over the middle 0:12:48.840 --> 0:12:51.000 of the field is going to meet the road. You're saying, huh, 0:12:51.720 --> 0:12:55.440 all right, can't wait. I can't wait either. Um Kittle, 0:12:55.480 --> 0:12:59.360 by the way, catches without a drop this year. Uh. 0:12:59.640 --> 0:13:03.600 You know, there were at least six tight ends tight 0:13:03.720 --> 0:13:06.880 ends drafted before George Getley was drafted in the fifth round. 0:13:07.360 --> 0:13:10.000 Fifth round. But his college stats we're talking about today 0:13:10.040 --> 0:13:12.439 in the radio, his college stats couldn't have been more mundane. 0:13:12.920 --> 0:13:16.640 You had we think that we're speculating his run blocking 0:13:16.720 --> 0:13:19.280 is so good. I think people looked at the body 0:13:19.320 --> 0:13:22.079 type on him and said, here's this guy who's incredibly 0:13:22.080 --> 0:13:25.400 big and strong, and the worst thing that happens is 0:13:25.480 --> 0:13:27.400 he doesn't develop as a receiver, like we think we've 0:13:27.400 --> 0:13:29.679 got a great run blocker, because he is a devastating 0:13:29.760 --> 0:13:33.280 run blocker, and as it turned out, he's developed beautifully 0:13:33.320 --> 0:13:34.839 as a pass catcher. Now you get the best of 0:13:34.880 --> 0:13:36.960 both worlds. In general, the Big Ten, it doesn't have 0:13:37.040 --> 0:13:40.000 very gaudy past numbers as a whole. So yeah, you know, 0:13:40.120 --> 0:13:42.199 really get a full read on the offensive ability of 0:13:42.200 --> 0:13:44.320 a lot of the receivers in the Big Ten only 0:13:44.320 --> 0:13:47.040 twenty two receptions his last year in school. Uh deebo. 0:13:47.120 --> 0:13:50.240 Samuel runs almost half his place from Xavier Road side 0:13:50.320 --> 0:13:52.360 of the field, where I think he's gonna line up 0:13:52.400 --> 0:13:57.319 mostly um Roads. Inconsistent season a little bit better lately. 0:13:57.960 --> 0:14:00.720 He's only allowed one touchdown over the past nine games, 0:14:00.760 --> 0:14:04.440 but he's allowing an eighty four percent completion rate in 0:14:04.600 --> 0:14:10.360 his coverage. Wow. If Jimmy Garoppolo needs a first down, 0:14:11.000 --> 0:14:13.160 you throw at Rhodes, and more often than not, that's 0:14:13.160 --> 0:14:15.280 going to be Debot Samuel on that side of the 0:14:15.320 --> 0:14:19.000 field now, Emmanuel Sanders plays a slot primarily, and he 0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:21.440 also plays on the right side, so he plays really 0:14:21.480 --> 0:14:23.320 all over but the slot on the right side mostly. 0:14:23.720 --> 0:14:27.320 He's got um reasonably favorable matchups in both cases. From 0:14:27.320 --> 0:14:31.480 the slot, it's a lot of mismatch because the Vikings 0:14:31.520 --> 0:14:34.960 are probably gonna have to use converted a safety Andrewson 0:14:35.040 --> 0:14:38.000 Dajo to try to guard it. One of the slippery 0:14:38.080 --> 0:14:41.120 ist receivers out there in Emmanuel Sanders. That feels like 0:14:41.160 --> 0:14:44.640 a mismatch for Emmanuel Sanders on the outside. I think 0:14:44.640 --> 0:14:48.040 sanders quick short space quickness is a matchup problem for 0:14:48.240 --> 0:14:50.960 Trey Waynes, who was a straight line speed guy. I 0:14:51.000 --> 0:14:53.440 think Sanders could be a valuable weapon here as well, 0:14:53.440 --> 0:14:57.640 and I like him too. Also, Kyle us Check is 0:14:57.760 --> 0:14:59.720 something that could be an X factor as well. I 0:14:59.760 --> 0:15:03.200 don't would use them in like daily, but you never know, Alright, 0:15:03.280 --> 0:15:06.520 last thing. San Francisco's run defense, Uh, Mostard has been great. 0:15:06.560 --> 0:15:08.520 He's become the team's Would you use him in daily? 0:15:08.600 --> 0:15:12.000 If say you were married to a girl from the 0:15:12.000 --> 0:15:17.120 Bachelor who I'm not gonna. I'm not gonna probably most 0:15:17.080 --> 0:15:19.400 of it's become the go to runner. Double digit carries 0:15:19.400 --> 0:15:22.520 in five straight games, averaging five point six yards per carry. 0:15:22.560 --> 0:15:24.760 He has scored in six straight games. Most of it 0:15:24.800 --> 0:15:26.680 would be the guy to own for sure. They do 0:15:26.800 --> 0:15:29.680 use three or four backs, but the Niners run game 0:15:29.880 --> 0:15:32.560 never gets a week off. That's always the most important 0:15:32.560 --> 0:15:34.440 thing to trying to establish. They rank number two in 0:15:34.520 --> 0:15:37.880 rushing attempts, number one rushing yards by running backs, number 0:15:37.880 --> 0:15:42.640 one in rushing touchdowns, and they are also number two 0:15:42.880 --> 0:15:45.520 I believe in when when they have the lead in 0:15:45.600 --> 0:15:47.840 rushing attempts. With the lead, and if you think that, 0:15:47.960 --> 0:15:49.640 if you think them as seven point favorites, I'll have 0:15:49.680 --> 0:15:51.120 the lead. There you go, if you allow me to 0:15:51.160 --> 0:15:54.280 pile on here that This is from Warren Sharp at 0:15:54.320 --> 0:15:57.720 Sharper Football. If you don't follow him on Twitter, you should. Um. 0:15:57.760 --> 0:16:01.000 According to him, the Vikings are the end fills worst 0:16:01.200 --> 0:16:04.040 defense against runs from twenty one personnel and that's two 0:16:04.120 --> 0:16:08.360 running backs tight end to wider series, allowing six point 0:16:08.440 --> 0:16:13.000 nine yards per carry and success rate. No team runs 0:16:13.000 --> 0:16:19.240 from personnel more than the Niners runs the NFL average. 0:16:20.480 --> 0:16:24.720 So that's adding up, it really is, and Mostard should 0:16:24.720 --> 0:16:27.040 be the primary beneficiary here. Now they of course they're 0:16:27.040 --> 0:16:29.640 going to use their other backs in there too, um. 0:16:29.680 --> 0:16:32.120 But Mostard has earned the right to be the lead 0:16:32.160 --> 0:16:35.320 back and he's the first choice here. Vikings are oh 0:16:35.400 --> 0:16:38.640 and five when imposing back hits one hundred yards. I'm 0:16:38.680 --> 0:16:41.240 sure that they will try to get Mostard into that 0:16:41.320 --> 0:16:45.640 kind of territory here. All right, let's uh, let's take 0:16:45.680 --> 0:16:48.440 a quick break, Brian, and then let's go on to 0:16:48.680 --> 0:16:52.320 the next game, Tennessee taking on Baltimore, a power run 0:16:52.400 --> 0:16:56.320 team against a power run team. We'll we'll talk about 0:16:56.320 --> 0:16:58.840 how that one breaks out for the various fantasy players here, 0:16:58.840 --> 0:17:02.000 and it's chock full of fantasy goodness when we come 0:17:02.000 --> 0:17:06.320 back in just a moment. Welcome back, Paul, charging with you. 0:17:06.520 --> 0:17:09.680 Brian Johnson is my co host. We're breaking down the 0:17:09.720 --> 0:17:12.679 divisional round playoff games fantasy style. We just did a 0:17:13.200 --> 0:17:16.320 probably all two lengthy breakdown of Vikings and Niners. Hey, 0:17:16.320 --> 0:17:18.080 this is the last week, not the last weekend, but 0:17:18.119 --> 0:17:21.480 this is like the last full weekend people want, I think, 0:17:21.480 --> 0:17:25.399 so on two games to break down. Uh, Tennessee taking 0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:28.520 on Baltimore. Uh. Let's start on the passing side here 0:17:28.560 --> 0:17:30.880 with Ryan Tannehill eight and three as a starter. He's 0:17:30.880 --> 0:17:35.600 coming off being the NFL's offensive player of December, so 0:17:35.640 --> 0:17:39.359 he rolls in hot. He just beat the Patriots in Foxboro, 0:17:39.520 --> 0:17:44.480 albeit on eight completions attempts. Eight completions, Yeah, eight complete, 0:17:44.480 --> 0:17:46.719 seventy two yards. Uh, talk to me, how about how 0:17:46.760 --> 0:17:49.800 you feel about Ryan Tannehill in this matchup? You can't 0:17:49.800 --> 0:17:52.439 feel too good about Tannehill because he's going up against 0:17:52.520 --> 0:17:55.240 arguably the top cornerback trio in the NFL and Jimmy 0:17:55.320 --> 0:17:59.840 Smith um Mark's Peters in Marlin Country and since week nine, 0:18:00.240 --> 0:18:02.200 um they had already acquired Peters at that point, but 0:18:02.280 --> 0:18:04.000 Jimmy Smith was hurt so at week nine is when 0:18:04.080 --> 0:18:06.600 Jimmy Smith came back, and then you know Boltron was 0:18:06.640 --> 0:18:08.960 fully formed in that secondary. The Ravens are allowing a 0:18:09.000 --> 0:18:11.720 hundred and sixty two passing yards per game. But so 0:18:12.520 --> 0:18:14.719 you know, if you're talking daily, you're not gonna use 0:18:14.760 --> 0:18:17.560 Tannehill in in cash games. He's too risky. He's a 0:18:17.680 --> 0:18:21.920 very contrarian tournament play, which is essentially gonna be everyone 0:18:22.960 --> 0:18:26.040 except Derrick Kenny. But uh, but yeah, going over to 0:18:26.040 --> 0:18:28.720 Tannehill's pass catchers will start with a J. Brown, as 0:18:28.760 --> 0:18:30.800 we all know, came on really strong towards the end 0:18:30.800 --> 0:18:32.600 of the season. I think he'll win Rookie of the Year. 0:18:32.680 --> 0:18:35.800 Probably he deservedly servedly so, I would say. But he 0:18:35.800 --> 0:18:39.600 did see Houston twice in that span in weeks fifteen 0:18:39.600 --> 0:18:43.720 and seventeen, Oakland in week fourteen. He did struggle mightily 0:18:43.760 --> 0:18:45.879 last week because we all saw against Stephon Gilmour that 0:18:45.920 --> 0:18:49.120 was a tough matchup. Week sixteen against New Orleans another 0:18:49.160 --> 0:18:52.679 tough matchup. Uh, two targets, just one catch, and this 0:18:52.720 --> 0:18:54.840 is another very tough matchup, maybe the toughest one of 0:18:54.880 --> 0:18:58.520 those three. So you know, the recency bias people are 0:18:58.560 --> 0:19:00.879 gonna be petrified of using a J. Brown, which you 0:19:00.880 --> 0:19:04.959 should be, but again, he is a manimal. Uh, he's 0:19:05.040 --> 0:19:08.240 good and he's the only the only really viable target 0:19:08.800 --> 0:19:11.000 that Tannehill's got when he drops back and you want 0:19:11.080 --> 0:19:14.560 anything to happen. Yep, Corey Davis. The only reason I'm 0:19:14.560 --> 0:19:18.119 even mentioning him is it's his birthday on Saturday, his 0:19:18.200 --> 0:19:21.800 actual birthday. You know, I love me a birthday. Scientific 0:19:22.000 --> 0:19:24.480 uh scientific fact, you'll go off notice kidding. He did 0:19:24.480 --> 0:19:27.400 not have a catch last week in New England. Again, 0:19:27.440 --> 0:19:30.679 another brutal matchup. So Corey Davis, let's let's let's move on. 0:19:31.280 --> 0:19:32.720 I don't really want to move on to Taj Sharp 0:19:32.800 --> 0:19:35.560 or Adam Humphries. Humphreries didn't play last week. He might 0:19:35.560 --> 0:19:38.280 play this week, but Marlon Humphrey is gonna shut down 0:19:38.640 --> 0:19:41.240 either one of these guys. Humphreries only allowed three touchdowns 0:19:41.240 --> 0:19:43.960 this season. Two went to James and Crowder in one game, 0:19:43.960 --> 0:19:46.439 which is a major outlier. He's just blanking people in 0:19:46.440 --> 0:19:49.960 the slot. Really, outside of a J. Brown, you might 0:19:50.000 --> 0:19:53.040 be looking at the tight end position for Ryan Tannehill's 0:19:53.080 --> 0:19:56.280 hop target, and no it is not John new Smith anymore. 0:19:56.560 --> 0:20:02.600 It is Anthony Firk Sir, who ran sevent of sentiments 0:20:02.640 --> 0:20:04.919 routes from the slot last week essentially working as a 0:20:04.920 --> 0:20:08.400 slot wide receiver, ran more UH routes from the slot 0:20:08.400 --> 0:20:11.480 than Taj Sharp. John Smith ran zero routes from the slot. 0:20:11.680 --> 0:20:15.320 Smith traditional tight end. So Brookeser is your guy, and 0:20:15.320 --> 0:20:17.440 he's the one I would maybe targeting daily, just kinda 0:20:17.480 --> 0:20:21.080 as a contrarian differential water on that no tight end 0:20:21.119 --> 0:20:25.359 is top thirty seven yards against Baltimore since Week four, 0:20:26.480 --> 0:20:30.159 that was September. Thirty seven yards is nothing, that's a 0:20:30.320 --> 0:20:35.040 it's that is a uber contrarian play that I'm sure 0:20:35.080 --> 0:20:38.119 he's salary capt minimum. He'll free up some free up 0:20:38.119 --> 0:20:40.520 some caategory. You know. There's basically I don't expect a 0:20:40.640 --> 0:20:44.280 very high ceiling from Firster. I guess we can still 0:20:44.320 --> 0:20:46.399 expect the very high scheeling from Derrick Henry though right 0:20:46.400 --> 0:20:49.320 probably yes, just dominated the Patriots as we all saw 0:20:49.760 --> 0:20:52.359 when it comes to the run, the Ravens have allowed 0:20:52.400 --> 0:20:55.680 more rush yards on fewer attempts than New England and 0:20:55.880 --> 0:20:59.480 ten more rushing touchdowns when the Patriots had. So we 0:20:59.560 --> 0:21:03.000 also what Henry did to the Patriots. I mean he's 0:21:03.040 --> 0:21:06.399 gonna quite literally have to carry the teams to victory 0:21:06.400 --> 0:21:09.520 in this one. Ravens are ranked fourth against the past 0:21:10.040 --> 0:21:14.360 uh by d v O A un against the past 0:21:14.520 --> 0:21:19.080 against the run, least resistance is on the ground. But 0:21:20.800 --> 0:21:23.840 I gotta mention Dean Lewis right charge you would only 0:21:23.840 --> 0:21:27.520 because it's you. It's the passing work you'd expect from him. 0:21:27.560 --> 0:21:29.760 But only three running backs have topped three catches against 0:21:29.800 --> 0:21:33.200 Baltimore all season. Only two opposing running backs have topped 0:21:33.240 --> 0:21:35.760 forty receiving yards, and only one running back has caught 0:21:35.800 --> 0:21:38.720