1 00:00:01,120 --> 00:00:04,840 Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio. 2 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:10,920 Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio, 3 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:15,160 Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy speculation and advice. 4 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:19,040 Speaker 1: Now along with the guys from fanball dot com. Here's 5 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:24,720 Speaker 1: the host for Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul. That is me. 6 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:28,160 Speaker 1: I'm Paul Charchy and my co host today Brian Johnson, 7 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:30,360 Speaker 1: as we get ready for the divisional round. Hello Brian, 8 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:33,839 Speaker 1: Hello Church. Uh, it's You're always excited about the divisional round, right, 9 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:36,240 Speaker 1: but I'm really excited about this divisional round. Why is that? 10 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:38,080 Speaker 1: I don't just seems like a bunch of great games. 11 00:00:38,080 --> 00:00:40,640 Speaker 1: And I'm not talking being a homer from Minnesota, because 12 00:00:40,640 --> 00:00:42,280 Speaker 1: I'm not a Vikings fan like you are. Of course 13 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:44,159 Speaker 1: now you're you're you're Bengals fan. You wouldn't even know 14 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:47,360 Speaker 1: what this is, like, what are the playoffs? Exactly? No 15 00:00:47,440 --> 00:00:49,920 Speaker 1: great games. I'm excited. Yeah, And uh, for everybody I 16 00:00:49,960 --> 00:00:53,920 Speaker 1: steered towards the Saints last week, sorry, I did not 17 00:00:54,080 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 1: think the Vikings were gonna win based on how they 18 00:00:56,960 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 1: had played down the stretch and a variety of other 19 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:02,760 Speaker 1: factor so which we enumerated last week. We'll do better 20 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:06,000 Speaker 1: this week. On helping you find fantasy winners as we 21 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 1: break down all four of the games, and um, I 22 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:11,600 Speaker 1: think we may begin with Vikings at San Francisco, and 23 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:15,200 Speaker 1: well that is the first game on the slate of 24 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 1: games Saturday midday, do we we don't want to discuss 25 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:20,320 Speaker 1: any new head coaches or anything. There was one I 26 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:23,360 Speaker 1: really wanted to break down what we thought happened at 27 00:01:23,360 --> 00:01:25,800 Speaker 1: the Jerry Jones Mike McCarthy slumber party, because I just 28 00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 1: can't get over the facts that they had a slumber Yes, um, 29 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:33,479 Speaker 1: you know, I think if you're Mike McCarthy, this couldn't 30 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:35,720 Speaker 1: worked out any better because you gained the best roster 31 00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:38,839 Speaker 1: of all of the new coaches by a mile Dak 32 00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 1: Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott a good defense, you know, Marie Cooper, 33 00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 1: you know Michael Galli. But what you know, if you're McCarthy, 34 00:01:46,360 --> 00:01:50,360 Speaker 1: you go, you transition from Aaron Rodgers into this. You know, 35 00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: it's even he can't bozoh this up, Kenny. Maybe we'll 36 00:01:56,360 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 1: see he got so complacent with the Packers, so complacent. 37 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 1: I'm just I'm not a fan. And it's not just 38 00:02:04,120 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 1: because here in Minnesota rooting against the Packers for most 39 00:02:07,160 --> 00:02:10,640 Speaker 1: of my life. It's because he did not maximize that 40 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:14,320 Speaker 1: pack the packer opportunities he had at all. Impacer fans 41 00:02:14,360 --> 00:02:16,119 Speaker 1: will tell you the same thing. They don't love him either. 42 00:02:16,600 --> 00:02:18,040 Speaker 1: The best part of the press conference was one of 43 00:02:18,080 --> 00:02:20,720 Speaker 1: the reporters asked him if you thought that asked him 44 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:25,880 Speaker 1: if if you thought des caught it, and he had 45 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:33,519 Speaker 1: some a little bit very political Yeah, sure, um Ron 46 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:37,040 Speaker 1: Rivera knew, Matt Rule, knew Joe Judge. Well, you know 47 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:38,480 Speaker 1: we'll have to well if we've got a lot of 48 00:02:38,480 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 1: time to sort of shake those you know, shake out 49 00:02:40,600 --> 00:02:42,639 Speaker 1: how how we think those things will affect everything is, 50 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 1: especially with the Redskins as they're now Panthers North. All right, 51 00:02:45,919 --> 00:02:47,760 Speaker 1: let's go. Let's go to the games this weekend, breaking 52 00:02:47,840 --> 00:02:50,519 Speaker 1: him down fantasy style, beginning with the first one Minnesota 53 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:53,960 Speaker 1: takes on San Francisco. Um, now the Niners. I'm hearing 54 00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:55,840 Speaker 1: a lot of bad stats out there about how the 55 00:02:55,919 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 1: Niners defense is crumbling. Well, yeah, because they were without 56 00:03:00,760 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 1: Richard Sherman, Kwan, Alexander jack Wis guitar to d Ford, 57 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:08,239 Speaker 1: they're all back. D Ford's a game time decision, I think, 58 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:10,440 Speaker 1: But it sounds like he's gonna go. So I think 59 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:12,320 Speaker 1: this the Stevens goes right back to being as awesome 60 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 1: as it used to be. And man, can they pass 61 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:18,079 Speaker 1: rush as a rush against the past you had. You know, 62 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:20,639 Speaker 1: d Ford and Nick Bosa and Deforce Buckner and Eric 63 00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:24,280 Speaker 1: Armstead all excellent pass rushers. Niners said the fifth most sacks. 64 00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:27,280 Speaker 1: They ranked third in pass rush by Pro Football Focus. 65 00:03:27,720 --> 00:03:31,399 Speaker 1: That will stress this Vikings offensive line quite a bit. 66 00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 1: I agree, yeah, And they're like, you're pretty much alluding 67 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:38,360 Speaker 1: to their very well arrested, very well arrested They're gonna 68 00:03:38,360 --> 00:03:41,520 Speaker 1: be ready to go, undoubted. Undoubtedly, Kirk Cousins is thrown 69 00:03:41,560 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 1: exactly one touchdown in four straight games. I just don't 70 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:47,560 Speaker 1: think the Vikings can win with one touchdown out of 71 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:49,560 Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins because I don't see the running game coming 72 00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 1: together in this one. And Cousins is going to throw 73 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:55,520 Speaker 1: a lot more, I believe, than he usually does. In fact, 74 00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 1: to drill down on that a little bit, San Francisco 75 00:03:59,280 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 1: has uh it gives up thirty two and a half 76 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:07,960 Speaker 1: passes per game. Cousins only topped that a couple of 77 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 1: times all season, So I, you know, I think just 78 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 1: playing by trends, the Vikings are going to pass more often. 79 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:14,960 Speaker 1: I think Kirk's gonna pass more often. I Gues's gonna 80 00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 1: find himself at the end of the day. Not not 81 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:19,920 Speaker 1: necessarily a win, but I think just through sheer volum 82 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:21,320 Speaker 1: And you said, she ends up with a pretty good 83 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 1: game here. Now, what do you make of the ankle 84 00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:27,360 Speaker 1: of Adam Feeling? Yeah, let's talk about that. So they 85 00:04:27,360 --> 00:04:29,160 Speaker 1: won't tell us how it happened. We don't know. What 86 00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:32,359 Speaker 1: we do know is multiple multiple media reports saying it 87 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:37,599 Speaker 1: was a deep ankle laceration. No thanks, Um, I don't 88 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 1: see how like people immediately jumped too. You got cleatd 89 00:04:41,440 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 1: I don't think you're wearing cleats that sharp and you 90 00:04:43,960 --> 00:04:46,159 Speaker 1: indoors on the turf, like if you've been in the 91 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:48,360 Speaker 1: mud and whatever. Yeah, you were in the long cleats 92 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:50,240 Speaker 1: that could do. But even then they're not sharp. I mean, 93 00:04:50,320 --> 00:04:54,760 Speaker 1: it's like track cleats, like baseball spikes. Yeah, it's not that. 94 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:57,599 Speaker 1: So we we don't know how it has. Something weird happened, 95 00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:02,240 Speaker 1: something weird. Um, So Feeling is a huge X factor here. 96 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:05,239 Speaker 1: Uh if he can go, he'll go in the slot 97 00:05:05,279 --> 00:05:09,080 Speaker 1: against cornerback Kwan Williams and uh more often than not. 98 00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:11,160 Speaker 1: He runs from all over the field, but I think 99 00:05:11,160 --> 00:05:13,720 Speaker 1: he'll hit the slot a lot. Williams has a lot 100 00:05:13,760 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 1: of touchdown since week too, but he gives up a 101 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 1: seventy two percent completion rate. So maybe theeling here who 102 00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:21,800 Speaker 1: was a major contributor to the Vikings when last week 103 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:24,120 Speaker 1: ends up with Um a lot of catches and yards 104 00:05:24,120 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: but not necessarily a touchdown, Stefan Diggs goes up. Now 105 00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 1: to understand the Niners secondary, you have to know Richard 106 00:05:30,680 --> 00:05:33,600 Speaker 1: Sherman plays one half of the field and basically erases it. 107 00:05:34,080 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 1: He is absolutely dominating. The average receiving game in his 108 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:44,479 Speaker 1: coverage is one and a half receptions for fourteen yards. 109 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 1: Oh Man. Sherman is not allowed a touchdown since the opener. Brutal, brutal. 110 00:05:52,800 --> 00:05:56,279 Speaker 1: So if you're the Vikings, where do you line up 111 00:05:56,320 --> 00:06:02,280 Speaker 1: Stefon Diggs? They're not there? Not there? You know that's 112 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:05,320 Speaker 1: where you hang La Kwan Treadwell out to dry or 113 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:07,760 Speaker 1: Old A. B. C. Johnson out to dry, although Johnson 114 00:06:07,760 --> 00:06:12,039 Speaker 1: almost entirely plays a slot um or Hollins out to dry. 115 00:06:12,080 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: You're not gonna see. You're not going to see. I 116 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:17,599 Speaker 1: believe a lot of Stefon Diggs over on the Sherman side, 117 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:20,240 Speaker 1: because when why do that when you can go to 118 00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:24,039 Speaker 1: Kello Witherspoon instead, And that's the side of the field 119 00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:28,120 Speaker 1: that Diggs naturally lines up on. Anyway, pent of his 120 00:06:28,200 --> 00:06:32,040 Speaker 1: plays start on the left side of the field. Witherspoon 121 00:06:32,120 --> 00:06:35,400 Speaker 1: sees double the number of targets as Richard Sherman, which 122 00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:37,279 Speaker 1: is which makes sense. And he was brutal in the 123 00:06:37,320 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 1: final two games of the season, allowing four touchdowns in 124 00:06:41,040 --> 00:06:45,480 Speaker 1: the final two games. That's a Killo Witherspoon. He has 125 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:48,320 Speaker 1: allowed more yards in the last four weeks than Richard 126 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:53,440 Speaker 1: Sherman has allowed all year. So Diggs on Witherspoon is 127 00:06:53,440 --> 00:06:57,919 Speaker 1: an exploitable matchup. Better do it? Yeah? I like so. 128 00:06:58,120 --> 00:07:00,360 Speaker 1: I like Diggs more than I like feeling in the game. 129 00:07:00,960 --> 00:07:03,840 Speaker 1: Um cal, Rudolph has got an opportunity. Niners have a 130 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:07,000 Speaker 1: lot of big games to Tyler Higbee, Jared Cook, Mark Andrews. 131 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:08,400 Speaker 1: I'm a little bit word. He's gonna have to stay 132 00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 1: in a block because of d Fort, Nick Bosa, Divorce Buckner. 133 00:07:11,120 --> 00:07:14,080 Speaker 1: It's you know, it's there. They can generate so much 134 00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 1: pass rush. But you could try Rudolph in a pinch 135 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 1: if you wanted to, Well, I assume you're about to 136 00:07:20,320 --> 00:07:22,640 Speaker 1: get to Dalvin Cook right before you do that, if 137 00:07:22,640 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 1: you don't mind. I saw stat where I think it's 138 00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:29,680 Speaker 1: through Cook's career that he and Feeling have only played 139 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:33,320 Speaker 1: ten games. That is probably accurate. That probably is accurate. Yeah, 140 00:07:33,360 --> 00:07:36,320 Speaker 1: so when they have played together, Cook and Feeling the 141 00:07:36,840 --> 00:07:41,680 Speaker 1: points and I think the implied total for the Vikings 142 00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:45,160 Speaker 1: is like nineteen and a half right now, and the 143 00:07:45,240 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 1: four allowed twenty plus points. I know we said their 144 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 1: defense is gonna be better than it's been playing, but 145 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 1: hell factor that if you're betting the implied over under 146 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:57,040 Speaker 1: on the Vikings that they finally have Cook and Feeling together, 147 00:07:59,400 --> 00:08:01,520 Speaker 1: there's a chance Stealen does not play in this game. 148 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 1: I mean it sounds like it sounds like he's going 149 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:06,920 Speaker 1: to go, and he's saying he's gonna go, But I 150 00:08:07,000 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 1: don't think it's a guarantee that he goes. Here, let's 151 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:14,360 Speaker 1: talk about Dalvin Cook. San Francisco allowed all seven of 152 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:17,280 Speaker 1: the rushing touchdowns they've given up in the second half 153 00:08:17,320 --> 00:08:20,160 Speaker 1: of the season, including four rushing touchdowns in the last 154 00:08:20,160 --> 00:08:23,560 Speaker 1: three games, again missing a number of players, um the 155 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:26,600 Speaker 1: San Francisco seen very few workhorse backs. Get this, Brian. 156 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: Only two backs saw more than fifteen carries all year, 157 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:34,240 Speaker 1: fifteen is not that much. That is weird. Um, they 158 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:37,480 Speaker 1: haven't seen many particularly good runners, but they've done a 159 00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:39,200 Speaker 1: pretty good job on the ones they have seen. They 160 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:42,840 Speaker 1: shut down Aaron Jones, they shut down mark Ingram. Um. 161 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:47,600 Speaker 1: Mike Zimmer heard this stat forty and oh when the 162 00:08:47,720 --> 00:08:54,680 Speaker 1: Vikings rushed thirty times and that's astounding under Zimmer. Under 163 00:08:54,760 --> 00:08:58,080 Speaker 1: Zimmer forty and oh when his teams rushed thirty or 164 00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:01,280 Speaker 1: more times. Um, miners are giving up four point two 165 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 1: yards per carry on the season, four yards per carry 166 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:06,360 Speaker 1: since December, then get a little something done here. No 167 00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:08,920 Speaker 1: back his top eighty nine rushing yards though against San 168 00:09:08,920 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 1: Francisco since week nine. Um, here's why, Here's why I 169 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:16,720 Speaker 1: am worried about Dalvin Cook. Last week, the Vikings dominated 170 00:09:16,760 --> 00:09:18,600 Speaker 1: the first half of the game against the Saints, with 171 00:09:18,679 --> 00:09:22,360 Speaker 1: Dalvin Cook taking chunk yards. It was four yards, eight yards, 172 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:25,240 Speaker 1: nine yards, six yards. And then in the second half 173 00:09:25,360 --> 00:09:28,920 Speaker 1: the Saints completely changed their scheme and they took away 174 00:09:29,040 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 1: Dalvin Cook and said, Kirk Cousins, you gotta go beat us. 175 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:35,240 Speaker 1: They held kirk They held Dalvin Cook to one yard 176 00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:39,480 Speaker 1: per carry in the second half, and the Vikings only 177 00:09:39,480 --> 00:09:42,160 Speaker 1: scored one time in the second half, one scoring drive 178 00:09:42,160 --> 00:09:44,880 Speaker 1: in the second half. I mean, that's the blueprint, is 179 00:09:44,920 --> 00:09:47,960 Speaker 1: you take away Dalvin Cook from the Vikings and make 180 00:09:48,040 --> 00:09:49,920 Speaker 1: kirk O beat you. Now we did against the Saints. 181 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:51,880 Speaker 1: It's not that you can't do it, but you're gonna 182 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:53,800 Speaker 1: roll it. Do your dice and and make Kirko beat you. 183 00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 1: And the Vikings took Dalvin Cook away from fantasy owners 184 00:09:56,840 --> 00:09:59,880 Speaker 1: and fantasy players too, because if I recall correctly, Alex, 185 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:01,880 Speaker 1: the Madison had a couple of carries inside the ten 186 00:10:02,000 --> 00:10:05,320 Speaker 1: or five in the green zone. In red zone at 187 00:10:05,400 --> 00:10:09,679 Speaker 1: least one I remember seeing. So they still like using Madison. Uh, 188 00:10:09,720 --> 00:10:12,080 Speaker 1: you know, deep in enemy territory, we'll see the Saints 189 00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:14,880 Speaker 1: changed their scheme to put players in the slot. They 190 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:17,840 Speaker 1: put a linebacker off of the off of an edge rusher, 191 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:21,080 Speaker 1: or put a safety off an edge rusher, and they 192 00:10:21,080 --> 00:10:23,440 Speaker 1: would take away all the edge rushing for the Vikings 193 00:10:23,440 --> 00:10:25,560 Speaker 1: on one side or the other and sometimes both cases. 194 00:10:26,280 --> 00:10:27,920 Speaker 1: Viking she pass deep to try to break that up, 195 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:29,199 Speaker 1: but I don't know if it's gonna work. By the way, 196 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:31,000 Speaker 1: one other thing about Dalvin Cook A lot of yard 197 00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:33,920 Speaker 1: is coming through the air. The screen game may not 198 00:10:33,960 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 1: work here because San Francisco is allowed the third fewest 199 00:10:36,160 --> 00:10:39,480 Speaker 1: running back receptions, the second fewest running back yards, and 200 00:10:39,520 --> 00:10:41,680 Speaker 1: the and no touchdowns through the air. Theyn't give any 201 00:10:41,760 --> 00:10:44,480 Speaker 1: receiving touchdowns are running back all year? How about that? 202 00:10:45,240 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 1: So I don't love cooking this game. Uh. The Vegas 203 00:10:47,960 --> 00:10:50,959 Speaker 1: over under for yards is seventy seven rushing yards. I'm 204 00:10:51,040 --> 00:10:54,000 Speaker 1: under I haven't seen a total yard or receiving yard 205 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:57,160 Speaker 1: for cook outline. Let's go to the San Francisco side 206 00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:01,040 Speaker 1: Saints had. The Saints last week had seven passing plays 207 00:11:01,040 --> 00:11:04,680 Speaker 1: of fourteen or more yards seven against the Vikings, and 208 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:08,359 Speaker 1: since Week ten, San Francisco's had the third most explosive 209 00:11:08,400 --> 00:11:11,040 Speaker 1: passing plays. So I think there's a chance for some 210 00:11:11,120 --> 00:11:14,560 Speaker 1: downfield passing here on the Vikings. Um. The Vikings past 211 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:17,680 Speaker 1: defense has had problems, but oddly enough, five straight opposing 212 00:11:17,720 --> 00:11:20,480 Speaker 1: quarterbacks and from zero or one touchdown, and that includes 213 00:11:20,520 --> 00:11:22,959 Speaker 1: some decent pastors like Aaron Rodgers and Philip Rivers and 214 00:11:23,040 --> 00:11:24,880 Speaker 1: Drew Brees. So it's a bit of a bend, but 215 00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:28,560 Speaker 1: don't break um. Defense for the Vikings. They give up 216 00:11:28,600 --> 00:11:31,040 Speaker 1: they give up plays, but they doesn't always turn into 217 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:33,079 Speaker 1: a lot of fantasy points. Affect six the last seven 218 00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:35,280 Speaker 1: quarterbacks of thrown for two hundred forty yards or less 219 00:11:35,880 --> 00:11:41,000 Speaker 1: for Garoppolo. Garoppolo's biggest target George Kittle. I got some 220 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 1: stats for you. I'm ready, always ready. I dug into 221 00:11:45,960 --> 00:11:50,560 Speaker 1: Kittle's usage, Brian he is lethal in the middle of 222 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:54,000 Speaker 1: the field. Pro football Focus showing he has almost eight 223 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:58,160 Speaker 1: hundred yards in the middle of the field. Only eight 224 00:11:58,200 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 1: hundred yards by tight ends a good season for all 225 00:12:00,600 --> 00:12:03,079 Speaker 1: the catches. Kittle has eight hundred in the middle of 226 00:12:03,160 --> 00:12:06,640 Speaker 1: the field where Garoppolo is a passer rating of one 227 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:09,880 Speaker 1: twenty on his throws to Kittle in the middle of 228 00:12:09,960 --> 00:12:16,600 Speaker 1: the field and a completion percentage of eight. But the 229 00:12:16,720 --> 00:12:23,360 Speaker 1: Vikings inside linebacker Eric Kendricks awesome. He is Pro Football 230 00:12:23,400 --> 00:12:28,200 Speaker 1: Focus his highest rated linebacker in coverage. He is the 231 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:31,679 Speaker 1: linebacker in the NFL who has run the most coverage plays. 232 00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:34,920 Speaker 1: He ranks number one in pass breakups, he's number one 233 00:12:34,960 --> 00:12:39,120 Speaker 1: in past completion percentage allowed, and he has the third 234 00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:42,760 Speaker 1: lowest passer rating in his coverage. Eric Kendricks the Vikings 235 00:12:42,840 --> 00:12:46,840 Speaker 1: might be ideally suited to take away from George Kittle. 236 00:12:46,880 --> 00:12:48,840 Speaker 1: The thing he does best catching balls over the middle 237 00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:51,000 Speaker 1: of the field is going to meet the road. You're saying, huh, 238 00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:55,440 Speaker 1: all right, can't wait. I can't wait either. Um Kittle, 239 00:12:55,480 --> 00:12:59,360 Speaker 1: by the way, catches without a drop this year. Uh. 240 00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 1: You know, there were at least six tight ends tight 241 00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:06,880 Speaker 1: ends drafted before George Getley was drafted in the fifth round. 242 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:10,000 Speaker 1: Fifth round. But his college stats we're talking about today 243 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:12,439 Speaker 1: in the radio, his college stats couldn't have been more mundane. 244 00:13:12,920 --> 00:13:16,640 Speaker 1: You had we think that we're speculating his run blocking 245 00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:19,280 Speaker 1: is so good. I think people looked at the body 246 00:13:19,320 --> 00:13:22,079 Speaker 1: type on him and said, here's this guy who's incredibly 247 00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:25,400 Speaker 1: big and strong, and the worst thing that happens is 248 00:13:25,480 --> 00:13:27,400 Speaker 1: he doesn't develop as a receiver, like we think we've 249 00:13:27,400 --> 00:13:29,679 Speaker 1: got a great run blocker, because he is a devastating 250 00:13:29,760 --> 00:13:33,280 Speaker 1: run blocker, and as it turned out, he's developed beautifully 251 00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:34,839 Speaker 1: as a pass catcher. Now you get the best of 252 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:36,960 Speaker 1: both worlds. In general, the Big Ten, it doesn't have 253 00:13:37,040 --> 00:13:40,000 Speaker 1: very gaudy past numbers as a whole. So yeah, you know, 254 00:13:40,120 --> 00:13:42,199 Speaker 1: really get a full read on the offensive ability of 255 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:44,320 Speaker 1: a lot of the receivers in the Big Ten only 256 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 1: twenty two receptions his last year in school. Uh deebo. 257 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:50,240 Speaker 1: Samuel runs almost half his place from Xavier Road side 258 00:13:50,320 --> 00:13:52,360 Speaker 1: of the field, where I think he's gonna line up 259 00:13:52,400 --> 00:13:57,319 Speaker 1: mostly um Roads. Inconsistent season a little bit better lately. 260 00:13:57,960 --> 00:14:00,720 Speaker 1: He's only allowed one touchdown over the past nine games, 261 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:04,440 Speaker 1: but he's allowing an eighty four percent completion rate in 262 00:14:04,600 --> 00:14:10,360 Speaker 1: his coverage. Wow. If Jimmy Garoppolo needs a first down, 263 00:14:11,000 --> 00:14:13,160 Speaker 1: you throw at Rhodes, and more often than not, that's 264 00:14:13,160 --> 00:14:15,280 Speaker 1: going to be Debot Samuel on that side of the 265 00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:19,000 Speaker 1: field now, Emmanuel Sanders plays a slot primarily, and he 266 00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:21,440 Speaker 1: also plays on the right side, so he plays really 267 00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:23,320 Speaker 1: all over but the slot on the right side mostly. 268 00:14:23,720 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 1: He's got um reasonably favorable matchups in both cases. From 269 00:14:27,320 --> 00:14:31,480 Speaker 1: the slot, it's a lot of mismatch because the Vikings 270 00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:34,960 Speaker 1: are probably gonna have to use converted a safety Andrewson 271 00:14:35,040 --> 00:14:38,000 Speaker 1: Dajo to try to guard it. One of the slippery 272 00:14:38,080 --> 00:14:41,120 Speaker 1: ist receivers out there in Emmanuel Sanders. That feels like 273 00:14:41,160 --> 00:14:44,640 Speaker 1: a mismatch for Emmanuel Sanders on the outside. I think 274 00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 1: sanders quick short space quickness is a matchup problem for 275 00:14:48,240 --> 00:14:50,960 Speaker 1: Trey Waynes, who was a straight line speed guy. I 276 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:53,440 Speaker 1: think Sanders could be a valuable weapon here as well, 277 00:14:53,440 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 1: and I like him too. Also, Kyle us Check is 278 00:14:57,760 --> 00:14:59,720 Speaker 1: something that could be an X factor as well. I 279 00:14:59,760 --> 00:15:03,200 Speaker 1: don't would use them in like daily, but you never know, Alright, 280 00:15:03,280 --> 00:15:06,520 Speaker 1: last thing. San Francisco's run defense, Uh, Mostard has been great. 281 00:15:06,560 --> 00:15:08,520 Speaker 1: He's become the team's Would you use him in daily? 282 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 1: If say you were married to a girl from the 283 00:15:12,000 --> 00:15:17,120 Speaker 1: Bachelor who I'm not gonna. I'm not gonna probably most 284 00:15:17,080 --> 00:15:19,400 Speaker 1: of it's become the go to runner. Double digit carries 285 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 1: in five straight games, averaging five point six yards per carry. 286 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 1: He has scored in six straight games. Most of it 287 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:26,680 Speaker 1: would be the guy to own for sure. They do 288 00:15:26,800 --> 00:15:29,680 Speaker 1: use three or four backs, but the Niners run game 289 00:15:29,880 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 1: never gets a week off. That's always the most important 290 00:15:32,560 --> 00:15:34,440 Speaker 1: thing to trying to establish. They rank number two in 291 00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:37,880 Speaker 1: rushing attempts, number one rushing yards by running backs, number 292 00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:42,640 Speaker 1: one in rushing touchdowns, and they are also number two 293 00:15:42,880 --> 00:15:45,520 Speaker 1: I believe in when when they have the lead in 294 00:15:45,600 --> 00:15:47,840 Speaker 1: rushing attempts. With the lead, and if you think that, 295 00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:49,640 Speaker 1: if you think them as seven point favorites, I'll have 296 00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:51,120 Speaker 1: the lead. There you go, if you allow me to 297 00:15:51,160 --> 00:15:54,280 Speaker 1: pile on here that This is from Warren Sharp at 298 00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:57,720 Speaker 1: Sharper Football. If you don't follow him on Twitter, you should. Um. 299 00:15:57,760 --> 00:16:01,000 Speaker 1: According to him, the Vikings are the end fills worst 300 00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:04,040 Speaker 1: defense against runs from twenty one personnel and that's two 301 00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:08,360 Speaker 1: running backs tight end to wider series, allowing six point 302 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:13,000 Speaker 1: nine yards per carry and success rate. No team runs 303 00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:19,240 Speaker 1: from personnel more than the Niners runs the NFL average. 304 00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 1: So that's adding up, it really is, and Mostard should 305 00:16:24,720 --> 00:16:27,040 Speaker 1: be the primary beneficiary here. Now they of course they're 306 00:16:27,040 --> 00:16:29,640 Speaker 1: going to use their other backs in there too, um. 307 00:16:29,680 --> 00:16:32,120 Speaker 1: But Mostard has earned the right to be the lead 308 00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:35,320 Speaker 1: back and he's the first choice here. Vikings are oh 309 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:38,640 Speaker 1: and five when imposing back hits one hundred yards. I'm 310 00:16:38,680 --> 00:16:41,240 Speaker 1: sure that they will try to get Mostard into that 311 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:45,640 Speaker 1: kind of territory here. All right, let's uh, let's take 312 00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:48,440 Speaker 1: a quick break, Brian, and then let's go on to 313 00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:52,320 Speaker 1: the next game, Tennessee taking on Baltimore, a power run 314 00:16:52,400 --> 00:16:56,320 Speaker 1: team against a power run team. We'll we'll talk about 315 00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:58,840 Speaker 1: how that one breaks out for the various fantasy players here, 316 00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:02,000 Speaker 1: and it's chock full of fantasy goodness when we come 317 00:17:02,000 --> 00:17:06,320 Speaker 1: back in just a moment. Welcome back, Paul, charging with you. 318 00:17:06,520 --> 00:17:09,680 Speaker 1: Brian Johnson is my co host. We're breaking down the 319 00:17:09,720 --> 00:17:12,679 Speaker 1: divisional round playoff games fantasy style. We just did a 320 00:17:13,200 --> 00:17:16,320 Speaker 1: probably all two lengthy breakdown of Vikings and Niners. Hey, 321 00:17:16,320 --> 00:17:18,080 Speaker 1: this is the last week, not the last weekend, but 322 00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:21,480 Speaker 1: this is like the last full weekend people want, I think, 323 00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:25,399 Speaker 1: so on two games to break down. Uh, Tennessee taking 324 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 1: on Baltimore. Uh. Let's start on the passing side here 325 00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:30,880 Speaker 1: with Ryan Tannehill eight and three as a starter. He's 326 00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:35,600 Speaker 1: coming off being the NFL's offensive player of December, so 327 00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:39,359 Speaker 1: he rolls in hot. He just beat the Patriots in Foxboro, 328 00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:44,480 Speaker 1: albeit on eight completions attempts. Eight completions, Yeah, eight complete, 329 00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:46,719 Speaker 1: seventy two yards. Uh, talk to me, how about how 330 00:17:46,760 --> 00:17:49,800 Speaker 1: you feel about Ryan Tannehill in this matchup? You can't 331 00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:52,439 Speaker 1: feel too good about Tannehill because he's going up against 332 00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:55,240 Speaker 1: arguably the top cornerback trio in the NFL and Jimmy 333 00:17:55,320 --> 00:17:59,840 Speaker 1: Smith um Mark's Peters in Marlin Country and since week nine, 334 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,200 Speaker 1: um they had already acquired Peters at that point, but 335 00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:04,000 Speaker 1: Jimmy Smith was hurt so at week nine is when 336 00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:06,600 Speaker 1: Jimmy Smith came back, and then you know Boltron was 337 00:18:06,640 --> 00:18:08,960 Speaker 1: fully formed in that secondary. The Ravens are allowing a 338 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:11,720 Speaker 1: hundred and sixty two passing yards per game. But so 339 00:18:12,520 --> 00:18:14,719 Speaker 1: you know, if you're talking daily, you're not gonna use 340 00:18:14,760 --> 00:18:17,560 Speaker 1: Tannehill in in cash games. He's too risky. He's a 341 00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:21,920 Speaker 1: very contrarian tournament play, which is essentially gonna be everyone 342 00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:26,040 Speaker 1: except Derrick Kenny. But uh, but yeah, going over to 343 00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:28,720 Speaker 1: Tannehill's pass catchers will start with a J. Brown, as 344 00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:30,800 Speaker 1: we all know, came on really strong towards the end 345 00:18:30,800 --> 00:18:32,600 Speaker 1: of the season. I think he'll win Rookie of the Year. 346 00:18:32,680 --> 00:18:35,800 Speaker 1: Probably he deservedly servedly so, I would say. But he 347 00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:39,600 Speaker 1: did see Houston twice in that span in weeks fifteen 348 00:18:39,600 --> 00:18:43,720 Speaker 1: and seventeen, Oakland in week fourteen. He did struggle mightily 349 00:18:43,760 --> 00:18:45,879 Speaker 1: last week because we all saw against Stephon Gilmour that 350 00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:49,120 Speaker 1: was a tough matchup. Week sixteen against New Orleans another 351 00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:52,679 Speaker 1: tough matchup. Uh, two targets, just one catch, and this 352 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 1: is another very tough matchup, maybe the toughest one of 353 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:58,520 Speaker 1: those three. So you know, the recency bias people are 354 00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:00,879 Speaker 1: gonna be petrified of using a J. Brown, which you 355 00:19:00,880 --> 00:19:04,959 Speaker 1: should be, but again, he is a manimal. Uh, he's 356 00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:08,240 Speaker 1: good and he's the only the only really viable target 357 00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 1: that Tannehill's got when he drops back and you want 358 00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:14,560 Speaker 1: anything to happen. Yep, Corey Davis. The only reason I'm 359 00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:18,119 Speaker 1: even mentioning him is it's his birthday on Saturday, his 360 00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:21,800 Speaker 1: actual birthday. You know, I love me a birthday. Scientific 361 00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:24,480 Speaker 1: uh scientific fact, you'll go off notice kidding. He did 362 00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:27,400 Speaker 1: not have a catch last week in New England. Again, 363 00:19:27,440 --> 00:19:30,679 Speaker 1: another brutal matchup. So Corey Davis, let's let's let's move on. 364 00:19:31,280 --> 00:19:32,720 Speaker 1: I don't really want to move on to Taj Sharp 365 00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:35,560 Speaker 1: or Adam Humphries. Humphreries didn't play last week. He might 366 00:19:35,560 --> 00:19:38,280 Speaker 1: play this week, but Marlon Humphrey is gonna shut down 367 00:19:38,640 --> 00:19:41,240 Speaker 1: either one of these guys. Humphreries only allowed three touchdowns 368 00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:43,960 Speaker 1: this season. Two went to James and Crowder in one game, 369 00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:46,439 Speaker 1: which is a major outlier. He's just blanking people in 370 00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:49,960 Speaker 1: the slot. Really, outside of a J. Brown, you might 371 00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:53,040 Speaker 1: be looking at the tight end position for Ryan Tannehill's 372 00:19:53,080 --> 00:19:56,280 Speaker 1: hop target, and no it is not John new Smith anymore. 373 00:19:56,560 --> 00:20:02,600 Speaker 1: It is Anthony Firk Sir, who ran sevent of sentiments 374 00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:04,919 Speaker 1: routes from the slot last week essentially working as a 375 00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:08,400 Speaker 1: slot wide receiver, ran more UH routes from the slot 376 00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:11,480 Speaker 1: than Taj Sharp. John Smith ran zero routes from the slot. 377 00:20:11,680 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 1: Smith traditional tight end. So Brookeser is your guy, and 378 00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:17,440 Speaker 1: he's the one I would maybe targeting daily, just kinda 379 00:20:17,480 --> 00:20:21,080 Speaker 1: as a contrarian differential water on that no tight end 380 00:20:21,119 --> 00:20:25,359 Speaker 1: is top thirty seven yards against Baltimore since Week four, 381 00:20:26,480 --> 00:20:30,159 Speaker 1: that was September. Thirty seven yards is nothing, that's a 382 00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:35,040 Speaker 1: it's that is a uber contrarian play that I'm sure 383 00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:38,119 Speaker 1: he's salary capt minimum. He'll free up some free up 384 00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:40,520 Speaker 1: some caategory. You know. There's basically I don't expect a 385 00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:44,280 Speaker 1: very high ceiling from Firster. I guess we can still 386 00:20:44,320 --> 00:20:46,399 Speaker 1: expect the very high scheeling from Derrick Henry though right 387 00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:49,320 Speaker 1: probably yes, just dominated the Patriots as we all saw 388 00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:52,359 Speaker 1: when it comes to the run, the Ravens have allowed 389 00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:55,680 Speaker 1: more rush yards on fewer attempts than New England and 390 00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:59,480 Speaker 1: ten more rushing touchdowns when the Patriots had. So we 391 00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:03,000 Speaker 1: also what Henry did to the Patriots. I mean he's 392 00:21:03,040 --> 00:21:06,399 Speaker 1: gonna quite literally have to carry the teams to victory 393 00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:09,520 Speaker 1: in this one. Ravens are ranked fourth against the past 394 00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:14,360 Speaker 1: uh by d v O A un against the past 395 00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:19,080 Speaker 1: against the run, least resistance is on the ground. But 396 00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:23,840 Speaker 1: I gotta mention Dean Lewis right charge you would only 397 00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:27,520 Speaker 1: because it's you. It's the passing work you'd expect from him. 398 00:21:27,560 --> 00:21:29,760 Speaker 1: But only three running backs have topped three catches against 399 00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:33,200 Speaker 1: Baltimore all season. Only two opposing running backs have topped 400 00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:35,760 Speaker 1: forty receiving yards, and only one running back has caught 401 00:21:35,800 --> 00:21:38,720 Speaker 1: a touchdowns and that was that was Shady McCoy. And 402 00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:41,000 Speaker 1: we had this the average game for Derrick Henry since 403 00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:45,280 Speaker 1: Week ten average game. This his average game is a 404 00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:51,119 Speaker 1: most leads back's biggest game of the year. Twenty four carries, 405 00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:57,440 Speaker 1: one hundred fifty four rushing yards and one point six touchdowns. 406 00:21:57,840 --> 00:22:01,200 Speaker 1: Average game for Derrick Henry since week ten and week 407 00:22:01,280 --> 00:22:06,040 Speaker 1: ten was way back in like the middle early November. 408 00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:09,000 Speaker 1: That was that was I think that was roughly November ten. 409 00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:14,920 Speaker 1: So yeah, it's you know, he's been great in all circumstances. Well, 410 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:17,960 Speaker 1: he's heading towards free agencies, so he's certainly running motivated. 411 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:20,000 Speaker 1: He getting more motivated by the week. It seems like 412 00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:23,320 Speaker 1: uh Lamar Jackson don't know how motivated he needs to be. 413 00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:26,399 Speaker 1: He's playing great, obviously, the only quarterback in NFL history 414 00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:29,320 Speaker 1: to average eighty rushing yards per game. When it comes 415 00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:32,840 Speaker 1: to rushing quarterbacks, though Tennessee held the I don't know 416 00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:35,960 Speaker 1: if anyone's comparable to uh Lamar Jackson, but the closest 417 00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:39,400 Speaker 1: comps are Josh Allen DeShawn Watson. Josh Allen ten carries 418 00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:42,399 Speaker 1: for twenty seven yards against Tennessee this year Deshaun Watson 419 00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:45,320 Speaker 1: seven carries for thirty two. So maybe there is a 420 00:22:45,400 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 1: little bit of a ceiling being capped for l Jacks 421 00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:49,720 Speaker 1: when it comes and running the ball, but the Titans 422 00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:52,160 Speaker 1: have surrendered multiple passing scores in the eleven of seventeen 423 00:22:52,200 --> 00:22:55,359 Speaker 1: regular season games. The only question with Lamar Jackson is 424 00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:58,520 Speaker 1: do you fade him in tournaments or not? Or like 425 00:22:58,560 --> 00:23:00,640 Speaker 1: in Like in any playoff style game, you can only 426 00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:02,639 Speaker 1: use a player once. Maybe this isn't the week you 427 00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:05,800 Speaker 1: want to use Lamar Jackson. Then again, maybe it is. 428 00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:09,680 Speaker 1: Maybe at least cornerbacks Tremaine Brock and Ty Smith and 429 00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:13,480 Speaker 1: Logan Ryan. You yeah, Doriy Jackson will make his return. 430 00:23:13,520 --> 00:23:15,400 Speaker 1: We'll get to him in a minute, but uh, that's 431 00:23:15,400 --> 00:23:17,159 Speaker 1: when we'll talk about Mark He's Brown. We're gonna talk 432 00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:20,320 Speaker 1: about Mark Andrews first, the top pass catcher on the 433 00:23:20,320 --> 00:23:23,679 Speaker 1: Baltimore Ravens. Your games with the number of games with 434 00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:27,000 Speaker 1: at least fifty yards for Ravens pass catchers, Mark Andrews 435 00:23:27,000 --> 00:23:30,480 Speaker 1: has eight, Mark He's Brown, three miles boy Can and 436 00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:33,560 Speaker 1: Willia's need to seth Roberts one. Andrews has more than 437 00:23:33,560 --> 00:23:36,760 Speaker 1: all those guys combined. And it's only fifty yards. Fifty 438 00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,520 Speaker 1: Your leading receiver, Marquis Brown has hit it what was it? 439 00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:43,120 Speaker 1: Three times? Ah? Yeah, three times? Three times and over 440 00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:46,040 Speaker 1: the last over their last seven regular season games, the 441 00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:48,680 Speaker 1: Titans have allowed five tight end touchdowns, four tight ends 442 00:23:48,680 --> 00:23:50,600 Speaker 1: of top seventy yards during that span. So you gotta 443 00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 1: love Mark Andrews in this game. Even Ben Watson had 444 00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:55,960 Speaker 1: three catches for three eight yards against the Titans last week, 445 00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,800 Speaker 1: and uh, he's he's decomposing corpse at this point. And 446 00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:01,199 Speaker 1: I don't know if if you're gonna try and be 447 00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:03,600 Speaker 1: a contrarian at the tight end position with Baltimore. I 448 00:24:03,640 --> 00:24:05,439 Speaker 1: like Hayden Hurst a little more than Nick Boyle, But 449 00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:08,160 Speaker 1: let's not discuss those guys. You're throwing darts at that point. 450 00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:10,320 Speaker 1: You're throwing darts at that point for sure. Over the 451 00:24:10,359 --> 00:24:13,560 Speaker 1: wide receivers, Marcus Brown just talked about him, hasn't seen 452 00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:16,359 Speaker 1: more than four targets and eight of his last nine games. 453 00:24:16,600 --> 00:24:19,520 Speaker 1: He's really been struggling with lower leg injuries all season. 454 00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:22,600 Speaker 1: And if he doesn't score, you get nothing, you get nothing, 455 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:25,560 Speaker 1: and a Dory Jackson practicing full on Thursday, he will 456 00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:27,880 Speaker 1: be back. He will be locked down on Hollywood Brown. 457 00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:30,920 Speaker 1: So I'm not liking Marcy's Brown. I'm not liking any 458 00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:34,639 Speaker 1: of the wide receivers for as a as a because 459 00:24:34,680 --> 00:24:37,120 Speaker 1: the outside corners are really bad. Brock and Smith are 460 00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:40,720 Speaker 1: really bad. If we think that Marquis Brown is not 461 00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:43,800 Speaker 1: healthy enough or not mature enough to make a big impact, 462 00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:46,919 Speaker 1: here is boy Can a contrarian play that nobody's going 463 00:24:46,960 --> 00:24:49,920 Speaker 1: to have in DFS most likely, and I would I 464 00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:51,760 Speaker 1: would lean to using him more so if I was 465 00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:54,040 Speaker 1: using l Jackson is pairing him, pairing him up and 466 00:24:54,080 --> 00:24:56,280 Speaker 1: hoping for the you know, the double down there, because 467 00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:58,640 Speaker 1: if you have La mar Jackson and Boyken doesn't do anything, 468 00:24:58,720 --> 00:25:01,840 Speaker 1: you still might be all right, it's true, but because yeah, 469 00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:04,080 Speaker 1: boy can will come in cheap on most especially on 470 00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:06,439 Speaker 1: fan Ball, So yeah, I like that. Even though Willie 471 00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:09,600 Speaker 1: Snead has seen the most snaps of all Ravens wide receivers, 472 00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:11,720 Speaker 1: he did never see enough targets. And then Seth Roberts 473 00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:14,400 Speaker 1: is a thing, but not so much on this show anymore. 474 00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:18,439 Speaker 1: Now it gets sticky at running back charged mark Ingram. 475 00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:20,359 Speaker 1: You don't know if he's gonna go even know if 476 00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:23,160 Speaker 1: he's gonna play it. It's it is, it's serious grade 477 00:25:23,160 --> 00:25:26,119 Speaker 1: a day with calf injury. And you know he hasn't 478 00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:30,120 Speaker 1: topped fifteen carries since Week five. Only three running backs 479 00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:34,160 Speaker 1: have top ninety rushing yards against Tennessee Christian McCaffrey, Carlos Hide, 480 00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:37,000 Speaker 1: Leonard Fournette, and they all needed twenty four carries to 481 00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:40,760 Speaker 1: get there or Fade and Ingram, And I can't take 482 00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:44,600 Speaker 1: Ingram hard. Gus Sadwards, on the other hand, he's cheap 483 00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:47,320 Speaker 1: and he's gonna get carries anyway career five point three 484 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:49,560 Speaker 1: yards per carry. He's proven he can be a lead 485 00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:52,000 Speaker 1: back and uh, and you know Justice Hill is going 486 00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:54,480 Speaker 1: to come into play here too. Only the Colts allowed 487 00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:57,280 Speaker 1: more catches running backs this year than the Titans. Yeah, 488 00:25:57,320 --> 00:26:00,840 Speaker 1: so about that, Gus Edwards, Justice Hill both in play 489 00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:04,080 Speaker 1: even if Ingram has suited up. But I don't know. 490 00:26:04,240 --> 00:26:06,760 Speaker 1: I'm worried about mark ingram Man time too. I I 491 00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:11,000 Speaker 1: can't unless something changes between now and kickoff. And I 492 00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:13,800 Speaker 1: feel a lot better about mark Ingram's health. I'm not 493 00:26:13,880 --> 00:26:16,280 Speaker 1: risking it. Calf injuries are tricky. They can you can 494 00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:18,600 Speaker 1: have a setback easily. He said he's had a setback 495 00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:23,840 Speaker 1: this week. Essentially he's getting worse rather than better for him. Um, 496 00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:28,280 Speaker 1: we'll take let's yeah, we'll we'll take we'll take one 497 00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:29,960 Speaker 1: more break. This is gonna be the last break of 498 00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:31,480 Speaker 1: this one, and then we'll we'll knock on the last 499 00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:35,560 Speaker 1: the last couple of games. Um, including well it's not including. 500 00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:38,200 Speaker 1: There's only two other games, Houston taking on Kansas City 501 00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:41,480 Speaker 1: and also Seattle taking on Green Bay. We'll talk about those, 502 00:26:41,520 --> 00:26:46,119 Speaker 1: Paul charging Brian Johnson with you just a second, all right? 503 00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:52,440 Speaker 1: We are back, um, Brian, Yeah, NFC green Bay. Uh 504 00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:54,920 Speaker 1: in the odd position of rooting for the Vikings last 505 00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:57,520 Speaker 1: week so that they could get Seattle a much easier 506 00:26:57,560 --> 00:27:01,720 Speaker 1: out than San Francisco. I think by anybody's estimation. Right now, 507 00:27:02,280 --> 00:27:06,600 Speaker 1: Um it's a primrose path for Seattle right now. As 508 00:27:06,720 --> 00:27:09,720 Speaker 1: um as they get to the face Seattle and then 509 00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:11,560 Speaker 1: you know, the Vikings win, that'd be even better. You 510 00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:13,400 Speaker 1: get the Vikings at home, will be already be twice 511 00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:16,600 Speaker 1: Seattle's let's starry. Let's start with this. The Seattle rush 512 00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:19,800 Speaker 1: is a rushing game is a complete disaster. They got 513 00:27:19,840 --> 00:27:22,080 Speaker 1: one yard per carry out of Marshall and Lynch. There's 514 00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:24,480 Speaker 1: this convention, and he's scored in both games that he's 515 00:27:24,480 --> 00:27:26,600 Speaker 1: been back for. There's this sort of conventional wisdom. I 516 00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:29,320 Speaker 1: think maybe because he's Marshawn Lynch and because he scored 517 00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:32,240 Speaker 1: touchdowns in each game, that somehow this running game is solved. 518 00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:37,359 Speaker 1: It's awful. The last two weeks Seattle averaging two point 519 00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:41,879 Speaker 1: eight yards per carry. Travis Homer frankly has been better 520 00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:46,520 Speaker 1: than Marshawn Lynch, who just to me, to my eyes, 521 00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:50,840 Speaker 1: Lynch looks pretty much cooked. He's pretty washed about Robert 522 00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:55,000 Speaker 1: Turban maybe, you know, maybe in Turbans thirty, which shocked me, 523 00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:57,199 Speaker 1: you know, for I know he's bounced around a lot, 524 00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,200 Speaker 1: but how do you get to be thirty years old? Um? Now, 525 00:28:00,240 --> 00:28:02,320 Speaker 1: The green Bay run defense has been battle year and 526 00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:05,040 Speaker 1: it's bad now, and Seattle would love to get the 527 00:28:05,119 --> 00:28:08,760 Speaker 1: running games started, but I just I can't trust them. 528 00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:12,160 Speaker 1: I can't trust Seattle here. Um, the Vikings with their 529 00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:16,520 Speaker 1: backup runners failed to get anything done against against green 530 00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:18,399 Speaker 1: Bay's run defense. So I think there's a point at 531 00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:20,520 Speaker 1: which you know your backup runners just can't get it 532 00:28:20,520 --> 00:28:22,200 Speaker 1: done against green Bay, and this is it. So i'm 533 00:28:22,280 --> 00:28:26,359 Speaker 1: i'm I'm avoiding Marshall Lynch and Travis Homer here. Seattle's 534 00:28:26,359 --> 00:28:30,000 Speaker 1: passing game those is more intriguing, but it's strength versus strength. Here. 535 00:28:30,359 --> 00:28:33,480 Speaker 1: Packers have allowed zero or one the passing touchdown in 536 00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:42,080 Speaker 1: five straight games. But the five quarterbacks they've faced Daniel Jones, rookie, 537 00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:48,160 Speaker 1: Dwayne Haskins, rookie, David Blow rookie, Sad Trombone Ski plays 538 00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:51,600 Speaker 1: like a rookie, and Kirk Cousins that's it. That's it. 539 00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:54,320 Speaker 1: So maybe the Packers aren't quite as good as we 540 00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:56,200 Speaker 1: as we think they are. They do have a great 541 00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:59,200 Speaker 1: pass rush at ranks and fifth by Pro Football Focus UM, 542 00:28:59,280 --> 00:29:01,960 Speaker 1: and that will certain challenged Russell Wilson, but he's used 543 00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:04,600 Speaker 1: to this and he's as elusive as any quarterback in 544 00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:07,920 Speaker 1: the pocket. Um hasn't necessarily been explosive this year, but 545 00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:10,479 Speaker 1: he's been consistent. He's scored in sixteen and seventeen games 546 00:29:10,520 --> 00:29:13,560 Speaker 1: this year, but his average game since November is just 547 00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:17,120 Speaker 1: two yards and one point three touchdowns, which isn't very much. 548 00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:19,200 Speaker 1: You want more than that. I was curious to see 549 00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:21,120 Speaker 1: the weather in Green Bake saidn't looked at It's it's 550 00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:24,160 Speaker 1: quite smild for a time. About snow they're shoveling right 551 00:29:26,640 --> 00:29:29,560 Speaker 1: Saturday might be the more snow or or Monday morning 552 00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:33,520 Speaker 1: they might. They needed seven volunteers to shovel out the 553 00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:36,360 Speaker 1: shovel out lambeau Field. I'm just not sure when that 554 00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:39,160 Speaker 1: snow is a sting this week? Yeah really yeah, I 555 00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:41,760 Speaker 1: think I think that's an hour soon or something like that. 556 00:29:41,800 --> 00:29:45,160 Speaker 1: It sucks for them, Well, there's seven volunteers, but Brian, 557 00:29:45,200 --> 00:29:47,920 Speaker 1: their owners, they're not there. Don't think of him as volunteers, 558 00:29:48,320 --> 00:29:52,440 Speaker 1: think of them as owners. Um now of course, by 559 00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:54,840 Speaker 1: now you know Russell Wilson's rushing is totally sporadic. You 560 00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:57,400 Speaker 1: can't count on that at all. Uh DK met Caflan 561 00:29:57,440 --> 00:30:00,680 Speaker 1: bonkers last week seven catches hundred sixty yards um and 562 00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:04,080 Speaker 1: a touchdown. He's um uh a great game last week. 563 00:30:04,080 --> 00:30:05,840 Speaker 1: He runs predominantly from the left side of the field, 564 00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:08,920 Speaker 1: where he'll face the green Bay's worst corner, Kevin King. 565 00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:11,680 Speaker 1: That's a nice opportunity for DK Metcalf, who I do 566 00:30:11,760 --> 00:30:13,960 Speaker 1: like quite a bit. In this game. Tire Lockett runs 567 00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:16,680 Speaker 1: from the slot a lot that puts him against Traymont Williams. 568 00:30:16,920 --> 00:30:19,760 Speaker 1: Williams has been shockingly terrific in this is eighty third 569 00:30:19,840 --> 00:30:22,360 Speaker 1: year of service in the NFL. He's allowed only one 570 00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:26,320 Speaker 1: touchdown since Week six. Really all year, only Anthony Miller 571 00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:29,000 Speaker 1: has had his number In the two games that Chicago 572 00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:32,080 Speaker 1: played against Green Bay. Jacob Hollister could be big here, 573 00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:34,080 Speaker 1: and I like him as your tight end option if 574 00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:36,040 Speaker 1: you want to find a cheap tight end. Green Bay 575 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:38,080 Speaker 1: has given up big games, so pretty much every good 576 00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:42,120 Speaker 1: tight end they faced, Kittle, Kelsey Waller, Henry Olson arts 577 00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:45,200 Speaker 1: and while Hollister isn't at the level of those guys, 578 00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:48,480 Speaker 1: he's only maybe one tier underneath that if they decide 579 00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:49,880 Speaker 1: they want to use him a lot, and we've seen 580 00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:53,120 Speaker 1: games where they've gone to Hollister copiously. I like Hollister 581 00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:55,960 Speaker 1: in this matchup too. Let's go to the Green Bay 582 00:30:56,000 --> 00:31:00,200 Speaker 1: side where list regular listeners know Eric because I talked 583 00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:04,840 Speaker 1: about all the time Aaron Rodgers is so dangerous to 584 00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:08,680 Speaker 1: your fantasy viability. Get this. Here's this average game in 585 00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:10,880 Speaker 1: the second half of the season. So we're going all 586 00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:15,240 Speaker 1: the way back to early October. Average game for Aaron 587 00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:18,680 Speaker 1: Rodgers in passing yards. Would you like to guess, I'll 588 00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:23,880 Speaker 1: let you guess, right, two hundred and nine. I know 589 00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:29,680 Speaker 1: it's being generous. Average touchdown passes zero point nine, you're 590 00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:32,000 Speaker 1: close one point to five, but it's really masked by 591 00:31:32,040 --> 00:31:34,640 Speaker 1: he had him he had a five touchdown game. Um, 592 00:31:34,680 --> 00:31:36,680 Speaker 1: if I took that five touchdown game out, which wouldn't 593 00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:38,200 Speaker 1: be fair, but if I did, he'd be well under 594 00:31:38,400 --> 00:31:43,000 Speaker 1: well under one yard he'd probably out of that was 595 00:31:43,040 --> 00:31:47,120 Speaker 1: an English major. That's why that's that's your problem right there. Rogers. 596 00:31:47,120 --> 00:31:49,080 Speaker 1: By the way, you know, we want to know who 597 00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:52,240 Speaker 1: else is dead on two hundred nine yards and one 598 00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:58,320 Speaker 1: point to five touchdowns per game like square on Sad Trombo. 599 00:31:59,680 --> 00:32:05,160 Speaker 1: I knew Sad Trombone Ski. Sad Trombone Ski almost exactly 600 00:32:05,440 --> 00:32:09,480 Speaker 1: the same stat line offensive stat line as Aaron Rodgers 601 00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:12,160 Speaker 1: now obviously Aaron rod I'm not suggesting that Aaron Rodgers 602 00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:17,160 Speaker 1: is as inconsistent, you know, like Aaron Rodgers almost never 603 00:32:17,200 --> 00:32:20,440 Speaker 1: throws it in complete an interception. I'm not even suggesting 604 00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:23,080 Speaker 1: there on the same plane of existence. But if all 605 00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:28,360 Speaker 1: from a fantasy only standpoint, the offensive production has been 606 00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:37,200 Speaker 1: worse with Aaron Rodgers than that that's always gotten got 607 00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:40,000 Speaker 1: and that's the whole problem. So you know, if if 608 00:32:40,040 --> 00:32:42,880 Speaker 1: they if they scheme to stop Davante Adams, who runs 609 00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:44,880 Speaker 1: from all over the field, and he's got positive matchups, 610 00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:47,160 Speaker 1: especially on the left side against Trey Flowers and also 611 00:32:47,200 --> 00:32:50,560 Speaker 1: in the slot against Hugo Amadi, I think I think 612 00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:53,400 Speaker 1: Adams can get his And you know, like the Vikings 613 00:32:53,480 --> 00:32:55,520 Speaker 1: new Adams was coming, they still couldn't stop and getting 614 00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:58,160 Speaker 1: like fourteen passes in a game. So I think Adams 615 00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:00,520 Speaker 1: will be okay. It's just there's nobody else that ever 616 00:33:00,520 --> 00:33:02,880 Speaker 1: steps up to your point, and that part has been 617 00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:06,160 Speaker 1: a disaster for them. But where you really want to go, 618 00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:11,840 Speaker 1: probably Aaron Jones finally getting the usage that fantasy uners 619 00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:14,760 Speaker 1: have been clamoring for for years. Here's his yardage over 620 00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:19,080 Speaker 1: the last four games for Aaron Jones one two yards, 621 00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:24,200 Speaker 1: fifty one yards, one hundred sixty yards, and one forty 622 00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:28,560 Speaker 1: three yards. It's three out of four dominating games. Will 623 00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:31,920 Speaker 1: take that. Jones and Williams can attack Seattle through the air. 624 00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:34,360 Speaker 1: They've given up big receiving games to runners in the 625 00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:39,960 Speaker 1: past few weeks. Kyle use check yards, Christian McCaffrey yards 626 00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:45,120 Speaker 1: through the air. The Vikings runners put up one eight 627 00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:49,239 Speaker 1: yards between them through the air. Um, They've given up 628 00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:53,560 Speaker 1: nine rushing touchdowns in the last five games. Aaron Rodgers 629 00:33:53,560 --> 00:33:57,320 Speaker 1: to me, is the best running back play of the weekend. Sorry, 630 00:33:57,360 --> 00:33:59,720 Speaker 1: thank you, Aaron Jones best running back play of the 631 00:33:59,760 --> 00:34:03,040 Speaker 1: week yet, all right, I like it. I like that right. 632 00:34:03,200 --> 00:34:05,440 Speaker 1: Let's go to the final game on our on our 633 00:34:05,440 --> 00:34:08,239 Speaker 1: set list here, and that is a what it's going 634 00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:11,440 Speaker 1: to be a one sided affair. I know Houston. I 635 00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:13,960 Speaker 1: know Houston beat Kansas City in the Week six matchup. 636 00:34:14,000 --> 00:34:16,239 Speaker 1: That was a long time ago. And these are two 637 00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:19,360 Speaker 1: pretty different teams. Now, uh tell me, you're tell me 638 00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:21,640 Speaker 1: how you feel about this one. Let's begin with Houston 639 00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:24,279 Speaker 1: side of the ball here. Carlos Hide was a star 640 00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:26,960 Speaker 1: in the first game. He ran for one sixteen yards 641 00:34:27,000 --> 00:34:29,600 Speaker 1: and one touchdown in the first matchup. What do you 642 00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:33,719 Speaker 1: think about this in the sequel? Uh? If they give 643 00:34:33,800 --> 00:34:35,640 Speaker 1: him that the ball that many times, he could repeat 644 00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:38,440 Speaker 1: those numbers. Kansas City was ranked twenty nine against the 645 00:34:38,520 --> 00:34:41,279 Speaker 1: run by A Football Outsiders d v o A, and 646 00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:43,960 Speaker 1: they allowed the fourth highest yards per carry. But again, 647 00:34:44,080 --> 00:34:47,040 Speaker 1: Kansas City could easily run up the score and take 648 00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:49,839 Speaker 1: Hide out of the game script. Uh. And they might 649 00:34:49,880 --> 00:34:51,960 Speaker 1: need to lean on Duke Johnson a little more in 650 00:34:52,040 --> 00:34:54,319 Speaker 1: this one. Who caught a touchdown in that week six game. 651 00:34:54,600 --> 00:34:56,799 Speaker 1: Duke has eight catches over the last eight games. Hide 652 00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:59,520 Speaker 1: has one, So the game script flips. We could see 653 00:34:59,520 --> 00:35:02,399 Speaker 1: more Duke and Hide. I'd rather have Duked and Hide 654 00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:04,719 Speaker 1: at the same salary cost. Yeah, but Duke will come 655 00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:06,439 Speaker 1: in cheaper. But even if they were the same costs 656 00:35:06,520 --> 00:35:09,640 Speaker 1: get over ownership. But thankfully he's even cheaper and Uh. 657 00:35:09,640 --> 00:35:14,680 Speaker 1: We talked about how only the Colts allowed more receptions 658 00:35:14,680 --> 00:35:17,480 Speaker 1: to running backs than the Titans in the earlier segment. 659 00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:20,600 Speaker 1: The Chiefs come in third. In that regard. Only the 660 00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:22,839 Speaker 1: Colts and Titans have allowed more receptions of running backs 661 00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:24,840 Speaker 1: than the Chiefs, who allowed a hundred. So I like 662 00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:27,120 Speaker 1: Duke in this one. He could Uh, be sneaky. Play 663 00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:30,879 Speaker 1: ownership percentage should be a little suppressed. UM for old Duke. 664 00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:33,960 Speaker 1: Let's see. Let's go over to Deshaun Watson, who had 665 00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:37,480 Speaker 1: two eighty and one passing four, two rushing yards and 666 00:35:37,520 --> 00:35:41,400 Speaker 1: two rushing touchdowns in that first meeting. UM. But unlike 667 00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:44,040 Speaker 1: years past, Kansas City has been very tough against the past. 668 00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:47,399 Speaker 1: The ranks six against the past by football outsiders. Uh. 669 00:35:47,480 --> 00:35:49,239 Speaker 1: One thing that would bode well for Watson is the 670 00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:52,880 Speaker 1: Chief's leader in sacks. Pro bowler Chris Jones was limited 671 00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:54,680 Speaker 1: in practice on Thursday with the calf injury. He just 672 00:35:54,719 --> 00:35:57,040 Speaker 1: talked about how fickle those could be. He's been added 673 00:35:57,080 --> 00:35:59,239 Speaker 1: to the injury reports, So that would bode well for Watson. So, 674 00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:04,120 Speaker 1: but didn't. Week six game charge Watson had four touchdown 675 00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:08,560 Speaker 1: passes dropped. Wow, will Fuller drop three? I remember, I remember, 676 00:36:08,600 --> 00:36:10,400 Speaker 1: I remember he had that big drop game, But what 677 00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:13,080 Speaker 1: this was I didn't remember which one. DeAndre Hopkins dropped 678 00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:15,799 Speaker 1: the touchdown in that game too, So and Watson still 679 00:36:15,880 --> 00:36:18,200 Speaker 1: ran for two touchdowns in that game. So just keep 680 00:36:18,200 --> 00:36:20,400 Speaker 1: that in mind, will Fuller. When Will Fuller had at 681 00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:22,759 Speaker 1: least three touchdowns the game before the game, after this 682 00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:25,440 Speaker 1: one you almost have like a six touchdown span. But uh, 683 00:36:25,840 --> 00:36:28,920 Speaker 1: but DeAndre Hopkins nine for fifty five in that first 684 00:36:28,920 --> 00:36:30,960 Speaker 1: game on twelve targets. You kind of know what you're 685 00:36:30,960 --> 00:36:33,239 Speaker 1: gonna get with him. He's a that's about his four 686 00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:36,960 Speaker 1: nine catches for six yards. Uh, could certainly go off 687 00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:41,320 Speaker 1: at any point. So he's not contrarian, He's not chalk. Uh, 688 00:36:41,320 --> 00:36:43,799 Speaker 1: He's DeAndre Hopkins. What can you say? Will full will 689 00:36:43,840 --> 00:36:46,120 Speaker 1: Fuller though, you got always gotta be worried with will 690 00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:48,520 Speaker 1: will Fuller. Wine injury could be you know, any play 691 00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:50,239 Speaker 1: could be his last. He could start, but you never 692 00:36:50,239 --> 00:36:52,480 Speaker 1: know if he's gonna finish the game. Uh. Like I said, 693 00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:55,680 Speaker 1: he dropped three touchdowns in that Week six game, So 694 00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:58,200 Speaker 1: you really have to wait and see come Sunday what 695 00:36:58,320 --> 00:37:01,200 Speaker 1: his status is. If he's out, that brings Kenny Stills 696 00:37:01,200 --> 00:37:03,520 Speaker 1: back into play, who he's been limited by a knee 697 00:37:03,520 --> 00:37:06,720 Speaker 1: injury this week as well. And uh, it's DeAndre Carter 698 00:37:06,760 --> 00:37:09,000 Speaker 1: who would step up if either of those guys cannot go, 699 00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:13,319 Speaker 1: Not Kiki Cutie who is basically been deactivated. Yeah, yeah, 700 00:37:13,320 --> 00:37:15,560 Speaker 1: he's done. He's done. So and um, the Chiefs, but 701 00:37:15,719 --> 00:37:18,919 Speaker 1: starting safety Juan thornhill On I R, which would move 702 00:37:19,080 --> 00:37:21,560 Speaker 1: Honey Badger to free safety, which really just mixes up 703 00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:24,080 Speaker 1: their whole secondary weaves them a little more susceptible to 704 00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:26,840 Speaker 1: the big play. So either Stills or Fuller, I'd like 705 00:37:27,280 --> 00:37:29,680 Speaker 1: Fuller is active. You know he they have high ceiling, 706 00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:32,960 Speaker 1: low floor type plays. They're not cash game plays, but uh, 707 00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:36,319 Speaker 1: certainly tournament plays and daily And another guy who could 708 00:37:36,320 --> 00:37:39,600 Speaker 1: be viable is Darren Fells Um Jordan Aikins was sidelined 709 00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:41,200 Speaker 1: last week with the hamstring injury. I don't know if 710 00:37:41,200 --> 00:37:43,160 Speaker 1: he's gonna play this week. Fells pretty much had a 711 00:37:43,200 --> 00:37:45,839 Speaker 1: full time gig. Fellas had six catches for sixty nine 712 00:37:45,920 --> 00:37:48,400 Speaker 1: yards in that week six game. Deacons added three for 713 00:37:48,520 --> 00:37:52,640 Speaker 1: thirty nine so ten catch hutter yard game and the 714 00:37:52,719 --> 00:37:55,040 Speaker 1: Chiefs have surrendered the second most catches too tight ends 715 00:37:55,040 --> 00:37:57,800 Speaker 1: and yielded the third most red zone targets to the position. 716 00:37:57,840 --> 00:38:02,480 Speaker 1: So especially if eight is out and uh, that should 717 00:38:02,480 --> 00:38:05,719 Speaker 1: do it for the Houston side. Does Are you gonna 718 00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:08,839 Speaker 1: say something that's good? All right over to uh? I'll 719 00:38:08,840 --> 00:38:11,239 Speaker 1: mention this. Uh. You know, Kansas City's past events has 720 00:38:11,239 --> 00:38:13,759 Speaker 1: been good all year and great down the stretch over 721 00:38:13,800 --> 00:38:16,400 Speaker 1: the past five weeks. The average passing game against Kansas 722 00:38:16,400 --> 00:38:21,239 Speaker 1: City to two thirty one yards and zero point eight touchdowns. 723 00:38:21,280 --> 00:38:24,920 Speaker 1: I mean, it's a good, vastly improved secondary. So I 724 00:38:24,960 --> 00:38:27,520 Speaker 1: don't think I don't think the yards are gonna necessarily 725 00:38:27,520 --> 00:38:31,600 Speaker 1: come easily here for Watson, um, but just maybe through 726 00:38:31,600 --> 00:38:35,160 Speaker 1: sheer repetition and volume, Watson ends up with a good 727 00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:37,120 Speaker 1: fantasy game. All right, let's flip over to the Kansas 728 00:38:37,160 --> 00:38:40,400 Speaker 1: City side. All right, Damian Williams. Uh, it's coming on strong. Finally. 729 00:38:40,600 --> 00:38:43,640 Speaker 1: I love this matchup. Over the last two regular season games, 730 00:38:43,640 --> 00:38:48,279 Speaker 1: Williams has total thirty eight opportunities that has carries plus targets. Uh. 731 00:38:48,360 --> 00:38:51,680 Speaker 1: That's compared to the ten from Darwin Thompson Shady McCoy 732 00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:54,440 Speaker 1: a healthy scratch in both of those games. Houston is 733 00:38:54,960 --> 00:38:57,880 Speaker 1: seven in d v o A against pass catching running backs. 734 00:38:58,040 --> 00:39:00,000 Speaker 1: Williams will get all the passworks, So you gotta love 735 00:39:00,000 --> 00:39:02,520 Speaker 1: Williams this week. I agree with you that Aaron Jones 736 00:39:02,560 --> 00:39:04,759 Speaker 1: will have the best performance, but I think Williams will 737 00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:06,719 Speaker 1: be the highest owned running back in Daily based on 738 00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:10,600 Speaker 1: price and just the sheer awesomeness of this match. So yeah, 739 00:39:10,640 --> 00:39:12,919 Speaker 1: you gotta like Damian Williams and this one. You gotta 740 00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:15,520 Speaker 1: like Tyree Hill, who had five catches for eighty yards 741 00:39:15,520 --> 00:39:17,799 Speaker 1: and two touchdowns in that Week six game, and that 742 00:39:17,840 --> 00:39:20,240 Speaker 1: was only on twenty eight snaps. Hill was coming off injury. 743 00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:22,960 Speaker 1: Then Houston has allowed the fifth most touchdowns to wide 744 00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:25,040 Speaker 1: receivers this year. So Hill is in a smash spot. 745 00:39:25,440 --> 00:39:27,960 Speaker 1: Who is not in a small smash spot. Uh probably 746 00:39:28,200 --> 00:39:29,560 Speaker 1: never will be for the rest of his life. Is 747 00:39:29,600 --> 00:39:33,160 Speaker 1: Sammy Watkins didn't play in that Week six game. But 748 00:39:33,239 --> 00:39:36,160 Speaker 1: let's just let's do quick rewind of watkins season. It 749 00:39:36,200 --> 00:39:39,520 Speaker 1: won't take long alright. According to Fantasy Football Today, Watkins 750 00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:41,560 Speaker 1: had thirty eight points in Week one. That's pretty much 751 00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:44,600 Speaker 1: standard PPR thirty eight points. He had like three touchdowns. 752 00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:48,640 Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill got hurt. You had Sammy Watkins, you drafted 753 00:39:48,600 --> 00:39:50,719 Speaker 1: in the seventh round. You're like, this is gonna be 754 00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:52,520 Speaker 1: a great season to get him back in my lineup. 755 00:39:52,680 --> 00:39:55,279 Speaker 1: He basically totaled forty five points over the remainder of 756 00:39:55,280 --> 00:39:57,959 Speaker 1: the season after that game, like the ultimate sell high 757 00:39:57,960 --> 00:40:00,640 Speaker 1: moment that no one took advantage of whatso ever, which 758 00:40:00,640 --> 00:40:02,600 Speaker 1: you couldn't at the time because Hill was gonna miss 759 00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:04,640 Speaker 1: like six weeks and you're like I gotta, I gotta 760 00:40:04,719 --> 00:40:07,040 Speaker 1: Patrick Mos go to receiver. Nobody's sold, right, and then 761 00:40:07,040 --> 00:40:08,879 Speaker 1: the price kept going down and then you couldn't sell. 762 00:40:09,960 --> 00:40:12,640 Speaker 1: So but you know it's Hill and Watkins, they dominate 763 00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:16,200 Speaker 1: the snap counts. Watkins another boomer bust high ceil. I 764 00:40:16,200 --> 00:40:17,960 Speaker 1: don't even we can say it's a high ceiling anymore, 765 00:40:18,120 --> 00:40:21,640 Speaker 1: maybe a high distance ceiling. But he's become a contrarian 766 00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:25,720 Speaker 1: dartthroat essentially, and Nicole Hardman is the one wide receiver 767 00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:29,239 Speaker 1: you would think about maybe saving some you know, some 768 00:40:29,320 --> 00:40:31,399 Speaker 1: coin in the DFS lineup. I kind of like it 769 00:40:31,440 --> 00:40:34,120 Speaker 1: in a in a in a bigger pool because Hardman's 770 00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:37,000 Speaker 1: got such so much big playability. Yeah, I do too, 771 00:40:37,040 --> 00:40:38,960 Speaker 1: and he'll come in cheap. He had four catches with 772 00:40:39,000 --> 00:40:41,040 Speaker 1: forty five yards in that Week six game. He basically 773 00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:45,080 Speaker 1: started opposite Tyreek Hill because Watkins missed that. But again 774 00:40:45,120 --> 00:40:47,479 Speaker 1: probably the if it's not Tyreek Kill that the past 775 00:40:47,520 --> 00:40:49,480 Speaker 1: catcher you want most on Kansas City is, of course 776 00:40:49,600 --> 00:40:52,120 Speaker 1: Travis Kelsey, who was quiet in that first meeting. Just 777 00:40:52,200 --> 00:40:54,840 Speaker 1: like four or five catches for sixty yards. Houston was 778 00:40:54,880 --> 00:40:56,600 Speaker 1: top eight and most yards allowed to tight end. So 779 00:40:56,600 --> 00:40:58,719 Speaker 1: you gotta love Travis Kelsey. He's been limited with a 780 00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:00,839 Speaker 1: a knee injury, but he should be good to go 781 00:41:01,239 --> 00:41:05,320 Speaker 1: come Sunday. And then Patrick Mahomes to seventy three and 782 00:41:05,400 --> 00:41:07,560 Speaker 1: three in the Week six game, a quiet day for him, 783 00:41:07,840 --> 00:41:10,040 Speaker 1: sort of sort of been a quiet season, even though 784 00:41:10,040 --> 00:41:12,920 Speaker 1: he's finished the top five quarterback. But the Texans are 785 00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:15,120 Speaker 1: very prone to the big play. They've allowed fifty eight 786 00:41:15,120 --> 00:41:17,520 Speaker 1: plays of twenty plus yards of this year. That's the 787 00:41:17,560 --> 00:41:21,200 Speaker 1: eighth most in the league. You know, if I if 788 00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:24,480 Speaker 1: I do pick eight quarterback Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes, 789 00:41:24,840 --> 00:41:27,680 Speaker 1: I think I'm I think Mahomes is gonna outperform Jackson 790 00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:31,600 Speaker 1: this week. At lower ownership, lower salary. I just feel 791 00:41:31,600 --> 00:41:34,000 Speaker 1: like this is gonna be a pop off spot for Mahomes. 792 00:41:34,080 --> 00:41:36,880 Speaker 1: Of course Jess can do the same, but should be 793 00:41:36,920 --> 00:41:38,920 Speaker 1: a good game. Uh, Damian Williams, let me go back 794 00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:41,560 Speaker 1: to him. Here's another statfree and Williams. Think about what 795 00:41:41,640 --> 00:41:44,799 Speaker 1: running back will catch a pass in that offense. It's 796 00:41:44,840 --> 00:41:47,480 Speaker 1: only him, you know. Lashawn McCoy is probably not even 797 00:41:47,480 --> 00:41:50,920 Speaker 1: active for the game. UM Houston has allowed the second 798 00:41:51,000 --> 00:41:54,320 Speaker 1: most receptions to running backs, the second most receiving yards 799 00:41:54,320 --> 00:41:57,359 Speaker 1: to running backs and the most touchdowns through the air 800 00:41:57,400 --> 00:42:00,520 Speaker 1: to running backs seven for seventies six received for Devon 801 00:42:00,640 --> 00:42:04,239 Speaker 1: Singletary last week. Last week, this is um Williams is 802 00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:06,840 Speaker 1: an awesome play. I want to I want the Aaron 803 00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:11,920 Speaker 1: Jones Damien Williams combat the right. See what I got 804 00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:14,360 Speaker 1: left after that? Because that's that is going to be 805 00:42:14,400 --> 00:42:16,839 Speaker 1: the key to my DFS lineups, I believe are those 806 00:42:16,880 --> 00:42:21,560 Speaker 1: two guys, and you know I'll scrabble together other stuff. Well, hey, 807 00:42:21,560 --> 00:42:23,200 Speaker 1: on fanball dot com, you don't have to pick a 808 00:42:23,280 --> 00:42:25,359 Speaker 1: quarterback though, because you can play super Elex. So I'm 809 00:42:25,400 --> 00:42:27,600 Speaker 1: just gonna and then I'm yeah, then l Jacks and 810 00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:30,440 Speaker 1: Mahomes and I don't even needed the rest of my 811 00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:32,719 Speaker 1: line What about? What did I keep my two tight 812 00:42:32,840 --> 00:42:35,640 Speaker 1: ends in super flex? I could go tight end tight end. 813 00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:39,680 Speaker 1: I could go Hollister Fells and get two super cheap 814 00:42:39,680 --> 00:42:42,000 Speaker 1: tight ends and crush a lot of the rest of 815 00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:44,120 Speaker 1: my rocks. You can play three tight ends with that 816 00:42:44,200 --> 00:42:46,920 Speaker 1: with two quarterbacks still, because dandel has the wide receiver 817 00:42:47,000 --> 00:42:50,160 Speaker 1: tight ends and then the regular flex tight ends. My 818 00:42:50,200 --> 00:42:52,440 Speaker 1: third tight end would be maybe maybe just go Kittle 819 00:42:52,440 --> 00:42:54,200 Speaker 1: and take the chalk. But as I mentioned, I'm not. 820 00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:57,359 Speaker 1: I'm a little bit nervous about the Kittle matchup. We're 821 00:42:57,400 --> 00:43:01,799 Speaker 1: we we love, we love akns this week. Right, that's yeah, 822 00:43:02,040 --> 00:43:06,319 Speaker 1: it was fell. That's my one punch right there. Thank 823 00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:08,600 Speaker 1: you for listening to Fantasy Football Weekly. We're as you 824 00:43:08,640 --> 00:43:10,959 Speaker 1: probably know, we're back every week of the season, and 825 00:43:11,640 --> 00:43:14,520 Speaker 1: we will and the off season, which is new for us, 826 00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:17,280 Speaker 1: and next week we'll be breaking down two games instead 827 00:43:17,320 --> 00:43:20,960 Speaker 1: of four. I think it's gonna be Green Bay travel. 828 00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:22,760 Speaker 1: I think it's Chalk. I think it's Green Bay traveling 829 00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:25,480 Speaker 1: to San Francisco. I think it's uh. I think it's 830 00:43:25,560 --> 00:43:30,200 Speaker 1: Kansas City traveling to Baltimore in all probability, but so 831 00:43:30,320 --> 00:43:33,000 Speaker 1: I play the games, find out Brian, great job today, 832 00:43:33,080 --> 00:43:36,680 Speaker 1: Thanks George, all right, thanks everybody. Fantasy Football Weekly is 833 00:43:36,680 --> 00:43:39,359 Speaker 1: a production of I Heart Radio. For more podcasts from 834 00:43:39,360 --> 00:43:42,600 Speaker 1: my Heart Radio, visit the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, 835 00:43:42,800 --> 00:43:44,760 Speaker 1: or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.