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Speaker 1: Wands up, guys, how are you? It's time for a

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Speaker 1: Thursday morning episode of The Day Juice podcast. My name

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Speaker 1: is Matt Peroult. You guys can follow me across all

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Speaker 1: of my socials at Sports Doc Matt, and we are

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Speaker 1: down the juice from last night, a two and two

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Speaker 1: night for us last night. I got a couple of

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Speaker 1: things I want to say about what happened last night.

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Speaker 1: So the nerfeed misses Royals twelve games in a row.

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Speaker 1: That comes to a halt, which happens at times when

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Speaker 1: you get involved and you're late to a trend. It

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Speaker 1: happens the under gets blown up because the Royals scored

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Speaker 1: eight runs themselves, but the Pirates team total comes in

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Speaker 1: under three and a half runs for them. That cashed.

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Speaker 1: And the Pacers and the Knicks, that was easy. That

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Speaker 1: was the the betting pros play of the day. That

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Speaker 1: flight over thanks to overtime. Pacers take Game one in

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Speaker 1: unbelievable fashion against the Knicks on the road. The Pacers again,

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Speaker 1: I'm telling you, the Pacers are live. I took them

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Speaker 1: at plus one twenty five to win. I don't know,

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Speaker 1: by the way, like I'm trying to figure these things

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Speaker 1: out because we do that show on Tuesday and the

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Speaker 1: live show. It's supposed to be daily juice plays, but

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Speaker 1: it's difficult to keep track of plays on that show

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Speaker 1: and then shows and then plays on this show. So

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Speaker 1: I got to kind of figure out a better way

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Speaker 1: of keeping track. Like I think what I might start

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Speaker 1: to do is I may just put the plays from

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Speaker 1: the Tuesday show on to the betting pros app Now

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Speaker 1: most of the time I'm taking bets from this podcast

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Speaker 1: and just talking about them. But I do add like

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Speaker 1: I have the Pacers at plus one twenty five to

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Speaker 1: win the series, and so Pacers win Game one, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna get If the Pacers take Game two, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: get a great price on the Knicks. To kind of head,

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Speaker 1: didn't guarantee profit or just let it ride and see

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Speaker 1: what Indiana looks like. So I don't know how if

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Speaker 1: you watch that show on Tuesday, I told you take

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Speaker 1: the Pacers up plus one twenty five to win the series,

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Speaker 1: and they did what it did last night. We were

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Speaker 1: on the over. So we got that and we'll see

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Speaker 1: what happens in Game two. One thing on baseball, we

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Speaker 1: are not going to win every day. So when I

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Speaker 1: lose the nerfee, and I told you last night that, hey,

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Speaker 1: if that game's high scoring, it could be a bad day.

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Speaker 1: I lost three bets on that play. Okay, So I

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Speaker 1: ended up winning on a couple other things in hockey

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Speaker 1: and taking Dallas to win, and Dallas won the hockey game,

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Speaker 1: crazy hot game, five goals in the third period for Dallas.

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Speaker 1: They probably shouldn't have won that game, but they won

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Speaker 1: the game. So I had some of the bets that

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Speaker 1: I cashed on, but I missed three bets, including the

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Speaker 1: Royals team total under two and a half. Yeah right,

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Speaker 1: it was dead at the first inning, so people were

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Speaker 1: mad on the Discord channel. The number of bets that

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Speaker 1: I'm going to make over the course of a Major

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Speaker 1: League Baseball season will be in the hundreds, in the hundreds.

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Speaker 1: If you don't understand the betting that I do, the

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Speaker 1: trend betting that I do, then don't follow me. Because

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Speaker 1: if you think that betting the Royals team total under

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Speaker 1: is a bad trend, like somebody wrote on our Discord

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Speaker 1: channel last night, you shouldn't be betting. I mean, when

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Speaker 1: you go through the number of games the Royals have

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Speaker 1: had and the number of bets that we have cashed

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Speaker 1: on the Royals team total under, missing one bet and

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Speaker 1: winning four. Either you understand that four and one is

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Speaker 1: really good, or you should go and do and not

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Speaker 1: be watching this podcast. Needs to betting somewhere else, or

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Speaker 1: even betting at all. I'm not sure you should be

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Speaker 1: even betting. Okay, that trend of the Royals team total.

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Speaker 1: I will go right back to it tomorrow. Then't play today,

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Speaker 1: but I go right back to it tomorrow, betting trends,

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Speaker 1: and we bet the Pirates last two days and the

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Speaker 1: Pirates team total has been good. I don't even know

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Speaker 1: who the Twins pitcher is today, and I'm betting the

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Speaker 1: Pirates team total under. I don't know't, I don't even know.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't matter to me, just like yesterday didn't matter

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Speaker 1: to me who was pitching. It's just based on principle.

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Speaker 1: It's now been twenty six consecutive games for the Pirates

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Speaker 1: where they haven't scored more than four runs. Is scored

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Speaker 1: three yesterday, but they haven't scored five runs in twenty

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Speaker 1: six consecutive games. That's a really profitable trend. You don't

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Speaker 1: have to bet with me. I'm just telling you what

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Speaker 1: I'm playing. Do what you want with the information. But

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Speaker 1: the Royals team total trend is just straight money. The

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Speaker 1: Pirates team total trend is straight money. Now things happened,

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Speaker 1: games go over Nerfe's miss twelve straight, Nurfe's didn't come in.

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Speaker 1: What should you bet tomorrow? You should bet no run

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Speaker 1: on the first inning for the Royals game tomorrow. You

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Speaker 1: should just because something misses once. So there's an awesome

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Speaker 1: book that I've told you guys in the past to

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Speaker 1: go and read, and it really helped to shape myself

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Speaker 1: as a gambler. It's called Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke,

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Speaker 1: former professional poker player, and in that book, she's going

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Speaker 1: to explain to you that just because the outcome is

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Speaker 1: not profitable or successful, it doesn't mean that your process

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Speaker 1: is wrong. It doesn't mean that you didn't have the

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Speaker 1: right methodology, research information to come to a play. That

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Speaker 1: you should not be always considering the outcome as justification

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Speaker 1: or as any type of rationalization as to whether or

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Speaker 1: not it was a good or bad bet. Good bets lose,

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Speaker 1: bad bets win. It's how did you get to that bet?

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Speaker 1: What way did you get to that play? That is

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Speaker 1: the most important thing, and that's what I try to

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Speaker 1: show you, guys on this podcast is process. How do

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Speaker 1: I get myself to this bet? What do I use?

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Speaker 1: What information am I looking at? How am I finding

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Speaker 1: my way to these plays? That is how you should

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Speaker 1: be betting. I'm a trend better. Some people don't bet trends.

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Speaker 1: I like betting trends. It has no bearing. What happened

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Speaker 1: yesterday has no bearing on today bottom line. Okay, just

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Speaker 1: like when you walk to a roulette table. If black

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Speaker 1: has hit ten straight times, the next spin, the previous

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Speaker 1: ten had nothing to do with it hitting on black. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Either you get that or you don't. So that's my

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Speaker 1: rant for the night on these things. But understand how

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Speaker 1: we're doing this. Just because the Royals team total missed

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Speaker 1: yesterday doesn't mean it's a bad bet. To keep betting it,

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Speaker 1: because I will. If you guys are looking for place

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Speaker 1: you're watching this on the Daily Juice video on the

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel for Betting Pros, you can see which states

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Speaker 1: US here in America. Now, remind you're also on the

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Speaker 1: for tonight's NBA game or tonight's Major League Baseball slates

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Speaker 1: or the NHL game tonight, I'll give you two bets

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Speaker 1: in those games coming up here in a second, but

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros code Juice for a seven day free trial. Okay,

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Speaker 1: like you mentioned, I'm going to bet and keep betting trends.

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Speaker 1: The Pirates bet has been very good to us last

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Speaker 1: two days. We're betting it. Today they're playing the Twins.

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Speaker 1: I do not know who was pitching for the Twins

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Speaker 1: at the time of taping, so there is nothing. There's

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Speaker 1: no numbers out really for this game. There is a

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Speaker 1: total of nine that's out at FanDuel at the moment,

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Speaker 1: but there's nothing up at DraftKings. I do not know

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Speaker 1: what we're gonna see here at anyone else. It's just basically,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna hope and pray that we got a three

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Speaker 1: and a half and hopefully the books don't do anything

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Speaker 1: stupid like they did with the Royals yesterday and came

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Speaker 1: in and said, ah, yeah, we're gonna give you a

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Speaker 1: two and a half total. If it's a two and

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Speaker 1: a half it's almost bet. We may need to bet

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Speaker 1: over just on principle for the whole thing, But until

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Speaker 1: the Brewers determined who's gonna pitch, we don't know what

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Speaker 1: the numbers is. Fandel is the only book in the

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Speaker 1: world of the moment that has any numbers. It set

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Speaker 1: at nine. So there's a good shot that we're gonna

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Speaker 1: get a four and a half for the Pirates team

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Speaker 1: total and we will bet the under. So you have

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Speaker 1: to check with me on the Betting Pros Discord channel,

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash chat. As the starting pitcher gets

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Speaker 1: announced and the numbers come up, we'll see the team

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Speaker 1: total for the Pirates, and hopefully we're going to see

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Speaker 1: a four and a half and we're going to bet under.

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Speaker 1: If it's three and a half, we'll probably bet under

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Speaker 1: as well. Two and a half I probably won't, but

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Speaker 1: three and a half are higher for a team total

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Speaker 1: for the Pirates against the Brewers, we will most likely

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Speaker 1: bet it. In fact, I'm pretty confident we'll bet it

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Speaker 1: here for our first play of the day officially, so

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Speaker 1: we'll wait and see how that all plays out. If

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Speaker 1: you want something else and you don't want to bet

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Speaker 1: the team total, or don't want to wait and you're

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Speaker 1: an overnight person and you want to bet it. I

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Speaker 1: do think betting the Red Sox to win today is

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Speaker 1: a good play up against a really bad Orioles team.

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Speaker 1: The Red Sox with Gioledo, he's kind of gone weird.

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Speaker 1: Gelido's gone bad start, good start, bad start, good start,

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Speaker 1: and last start was bad. But they've won the last

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Speaker 1: two starts that Gelido has made, and the Orioles have

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Speaker 1: lost the last two starts for them. Hold on with

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Speaker 1: the guy that they're tossing tomorrow. The Orioles are tossing

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Speaker 1: Caid Povich, who's one in three with a five point

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Speaker 1: two to three eer, given up eight home runs already

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Speaker 1: this year. The Orioles are eight and seventeen on the road.

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Speaker 1: But the Orioles, excuse me, just snapped an eight game

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Speaker 1: losing streak with an eight to four win in eleven

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Speaker 1: innings up against the Brewers. Speaking of the Brewers, so

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Speaker 1: on the road, I don't I mean this is this

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Speaker 1: road trip is now one in two. But they got

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Speaker 1: swept by the Twins, they got swept by the Nationals,

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Speaker 1: and they lost the first two games of this road

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Speaker 1: trip against the Brewers. Orioles are sixteen and thirty two.

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Speaker 1: They are thirteen games back of the Yankees already, and

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Speaker 1: the Red Sox have kind of been a middling team

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Speaker 1: here at twenty five and twenty six. But I do

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Speaker 1: think Boston wins so Red Sox money line is a

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Speaker 1: good play if you need something extra here, if you

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Speaker 1: don't want to wait for the team total to come out.

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Speaker 1: For the Pirates Red Sox minus one twenty one is

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Speaker 1: what I got at circa tonight in Vegas, but one

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Speaker 1: twenty five Red Tux money line up against the Orioles tonight.

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Speaker 1: It's a good play, all right. Let's talk Florida in

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Speaker 1: Carolina six to one final in game number one of

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Speaker 1: sorry five to two finals, sorry five to two final

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Speaker 1: for the Panthers up against the Hurricanes took them apart.

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Speaker 1: In the regular season, the Panthers scored six six and

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Speaker 1: one goals. So of the four games these teams have

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Speaker 1: played so far this year, over two and a half

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Speaker 1: goals has been hit three of four times, three and

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Speaker 1: one to the over for the Florida Panthers. I really

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Speaker 1: I just can't trust any of the goaltenders for the Hurricanes,

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Speaker 1: and I can't bet on Carolina to win this game

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Speaker 1: at home, even though they really have to. The Carolina Panthers.

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Speaker 1: The carol Carolina Hurricanes have been swept in their last

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Speaker 1: thirteen Eastern Conference Finals games, thirteen straight. They've lost thirteen

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Speaker 1: straight games, so they're due to win here. But I'm

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Speaker 1: not betting against a team like that. They should win,

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Speaker 1: Carolina should win tonight, But laying one thirty on a

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Speaker 1: team that's lost thirteen straight Eastern Conference Finals games, No,

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Speaker 1: not betting it. But I'm also not taking Florida because

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Speaker 1: I do think Carolina can win this game tonight. However,

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Speaker 1: I think we're gonna see offense from both teams. I

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Speaker 1: don't mind to play on the over, but just given

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Speaker 1: again the way that Carolina has played and how poorly

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Speaker 1: they have played, I need three goals out of the

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Speaker 1: Florida Panthers and I'm gonna take it. Why well, they

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Speaker 1: scored five in Game one, they scored six goals in

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Speaker 1: the game. Going back on the thirtieth of November and

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Speaker 1: the twenty ninth of November, they scored six and six

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Speaker 1: in a home and home against Carolina, and they at

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Speaker 1: home lost three to one to Carolina. Now we know

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Speaker 1: Carolina wants to play a more tighter to the vest

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Speaker 1: type of game, but I can't trust the goaltending. I

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Speaker 1: think Florida is just on one right now, how they're playing,

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Speaker 1: how great they've been offensive, and I think there are

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Speaker 1: a lot of angry at the players after what happened

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Speaker 1: in Game number one with Marshan getting the puckshot at him,

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Speaker 1: you know, intentionally, and getting you know, a fighting major.

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Speaker 1: It's it's it's a whole big issue. So we'll see

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Speaker 1: what happens here. But this is going to be a

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Speaker 1: very interesting game. I think we can get a lot

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Speaker 1: of power plays here. I like Florida to go over

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Speaker 1: two and a half goals, Panthers over two and a

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Speaker 1: half goals at minus one thirty five. And finally, we

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Speaker 1: go to the NBA where we're going to see Game

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Speaker 1: two between Minnesota and Oklahoma City. The number is seven

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Speaker 1: and a half. I don't mind laying it here with

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Speaker 1: the Thunder, but it's seven and a half. It's such

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Speaker 1: a crazy number to lay. I just I don't feel

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Speaker 1: comfortable making it telling you to do it. Officially, I

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Speaker 1: will lay it with the Thunder, but not officially Thunder.

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Speaker 1: We're thirty two, fourteen and two ats at home this year,

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Speaker 1: and they've been really, really good in the last two

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Speaker 1: home games. They won by thirty two and twenty six

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Speaker 1: in their last two home games, covering eight and a

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Speaker 1: half in seven and a half easily. On the other side,

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Speaker 1: we've seen the Timberwolves cover in three of their last

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Speaker 1: five games, but lost by twenty six points to Oklahoma City.

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Speaker 1: They hadn't lost a game like that all I mean

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Speaker 1: almost it has been all year. I think it's all year. No. No,

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Speaker 1: they lost by twenty six to the Knicks at home

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Speaker 1: back on the nineteenth of December, So in twenty twenty

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Speaker 1: five we hadn't seen a loss like that for the Timberwolves. Now,

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Speaker 1: should they bounce back, Yes, they should bounce back, But

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Speaker 1: I think the better play is the total at two

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Speaker 1: fourteen and a half the game game one, it went

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Speaker 1: under two nineteen because OKC played great defense and the

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Speaker 1: offense fell apart frankly, for I mean the defense fell

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Speaker 1: apart in the second half and the fourth quarter in particular,

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Speaker 1: for Minnesota to give it one hundred and fourteen points.

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Speaker 1: I don't think they really want any part of doing that,

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Speaker 1: and they only scored eighty eight points. I think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna take the air out of the bowl. It gonna

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Speaker 1: be a low scoring game. I think it's gonna be

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Speaker 1: a slow game, a low scoring game. And you look

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Speaker 1: at some of the games for Minnesota. So the last

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Speaker 1: game went under, the other road game against the Golden

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Speaker 1: State Warriors two to oh one and a half. The

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Speaker 1: game that game flew over, it was one seventeen one ten,

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Speaker 1: But the game before that, in Game three, it was

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Speaker 1: two to oh one and a half and it went under.

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Speaker 1: So I just think and then the road the last

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Speaker 1: time against the Lakers on the road was two ten

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Speaker 1: and a half, it went it was under by eleven

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Speaker 1: and a half points. On the flip side for Oka,

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Speaker 1: see last game went under. The final two games against

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Speaker 1: Denver went over by four and by seven at two

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Speaker 1: fourteen and two nineteen, But the previous three games of

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Speaker 1: that series all went under by four and a half,

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Speaker 1: forty nine and fifteen. I just think Minnesota got a

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Speaker 1: taste of the speed of OKAC and I don't think

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Speaker 1: they're gonna want to do it again. I think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna want to try to slow it down, try to

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Speaker 1: stop fouling, try to stop sending SGA company the foul

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Speaker 1: line and giving them free points and thus keeping the

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Speaker 1: tempo down and keeping the scoring down. I'm gonna play

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Speaker 1: the under under two fourteen and a half. It may

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Speaker 1: be up to two fifteen in the morning. You may

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Speaker 1: get that because people are betting it over. But just

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Speaker 1: like last night where we saw all the money coming

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Speaker 1: in the under for the Knicks and the thunder So

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Speaker 1: Knicks and the Pacers, that game was I went off

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Speaker 1: of they get two eleven or two twelve that game

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Speaker 1: went out or sorry, two twenty We bet over two

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Speaker 1: twenty four. They close it two twenty two and a half.

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Speaker 1: That's what did so I mean what one seventy five

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Speaker 1: point eighty or so twoday five two eighty on. That

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Speaker 1: game went to overtime, but in regulation the game was

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Speaker 1: over went over. So I don't think we're gonna get

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Speaker 1: that big of a laugher here towards the under. But

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Speaker 1: I do think the under is to play at under

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Speaker 1: two fourteen and a half or two fifteen. I got

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Speaker 1: two fourteen and a half. There may be some two

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Speaker 1: fifteens in the market. By the time you guys are

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Speaker 1: listening and watching to the Daily Juice so plays for

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Speaker 1: today pirates team total under three and a half or

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Speaker 1: four and a half depending on what the books but up.

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Speaker 1: There is no number at the moment, but hey, I'm

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Speaker 1: going to bet that here coming up for today officially

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00:18:04,040 --> 00:18:06,600
Speaker 1: on a Wednesday under two fourteen and a half from

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Speaker 1: Minnesota in Oklahoma City and the Panther is over two

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Speaker 1: and a half goals tonight up against the Carolina Hurricanes

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Speaker 1: at minus one thirty five. Those are the place for

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Speaker 1: the Wednesday edition of the Daily Juice podcast. Wherever you

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Speaker 1: guys get your podcasts, do me a favor. If you

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Speaker 1: haven't already, subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel. If

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Speaker 1: you are an audio only listener, I know things have

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Speaker 1: changed a bit for you guys. You're getting some different advertisements,

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Speaker 1: you're getting some different mentions. Okay, it's all getting your

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Speaker 1: worked out. But leave a review on Apple Podcasts or

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Speaker 1: Spotify for that matter. Of Spotify, lets you do comments, now,

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Speaker 1: leave a comment, leave a review. Help us grow the

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Speaker 1: podcast audio wise as much as what we do video,

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Speaker 1: we tend to push things more on YouTube, but we're

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Speaker 1: not going to ignore you audio people. We very much

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Speaker 1: appreciate your time that you spend with the podcast, listening

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Speaker 1: to the podcast wherever you guys get audio. My name

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Speaker 1: is Matt Perolt. You guys can follow me miracast all

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Speaker 1: of my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning. Wherever

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Speaker 1: you guys get your podcast, audio or video. It is

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Speaker 1: the deal of Juice.