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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into the Wednesday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Peralta here on bettingpros dot com. We're always being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM. All right, So at

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Speaker 1: two and two night last night, not horrible, Okay, look

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Speaker 1: it's not a winning night. Down a little bit with

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Speaker 1: the juice, but not a ton We get the Texas

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Speaker 1: Kansas next game. We got that completely right. Texas had

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Speaker 1: a tough time late with Iowa State the twelve point line.

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Speaker 1: They come nowhere near covering it. Texas wins, but they

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Speaker 1: do not cover the same thing can be said about

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Speaker 1: Kansas on the road at TCU. That game was a laugher.

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Speaker 1: They won the game by what thirty? They killed TCU.

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Speaker 1: So after losing by twenty five points at home to Texas,

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Speaker 1: you could see it coming right. Kansas is not used

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Speaker 1: to that. They were not going to allow it to happen.

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Speaker 1: It's o KAYU goes in destroys. Unfortunately, we got the

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Speaker 1: Utah game in the NBA way wrong. And look, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna tiptoe through the NBA here. I'm not gonna play

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Speaker 1: a lot in the NBA. It is a funky, funky

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Speaker 1: year already in the association, and a lot of people

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Speaker 1: that I know and a lot of people that I

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Speaker 1: respect are getting their shirts taken off them by the

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Speaker 1: sportsbooks right now. They're just getting killed. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: tiptoe lightly here. College basketball, we're still on these half

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Speaker 1: unit plays. I'm still not comfortable firing full units yet

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Speaker 1: here on these basketball games, because frankly, I'm just not

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Speaker 1: sold that these games are easily handicapped. They're really really hard.

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Speaker 1: But I do have three plays, one play in the

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Speaker 1: NBA and two plays in college basketball, and I'm going

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Speaker 1: to stay inside my little bubble. Now. I don't mean

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Speaker 1: to get predictable. I don't mean to get boring. I

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Speaker 1: know you guys listen to this podcast every morning, and

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Speaker 1: I'm part of your morning routine. I think that's so

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Speaker 1: incredible that this podcast, you guys are, you know, listening,

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Speaker 1: You're joining the Discord chat, which yesterday I appreciate everybody

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Speaker 1: listening to me when I said, hey, join the Discord

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Speaker 1: channel because I put plays in there, because we have

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Speaker 1: like thirty people reach out to me and say, hey,

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Speaker 1: how do I get in? And I'm telling you every

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Speaker 1: morning and then you forget Okay, it's bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: slash chat. Okay, that's the invitation that website. I know

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Speaker 1: it sounds kind of funny, like what Matt Discord Chat,

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Speaker 1: but you're giving me a website. You go to that website,

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Speaker 1: and on that website there is all the explanation as

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Speaker 1: to how you go ahead and get in. There's a

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Speaker 1: little link, you click on it, you download the app.

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Speaker 1: It's an invitation. You're in and a way we go.

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Speaker 1: A lot of you, ninety nine point nine percent of

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Speaker 1: you are awesome, and the community we have built over

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Speaker 1: there is the most rewarding thing outside of this podcast,

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Speaker 1: the fact that we've got this like sidebar community of

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Speaker 1: people all over the country who enjoy sports, gambling. Like,

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Speaker 1: my plays are not even like the backdrop, like it's

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Speaker 1: I'm kind of the conduit that brought everybody together. So

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Speaker 1: I'm sort of like the spoke, the hub of the wheel,

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Speaker 1: if you will. But then all the spokes flying out

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Speaker 1: are all these picks and plays that everyone is making,

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Speaker 1: and people are making money because there's some really sharp

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Speaker 1: people in the Discord Chat. I'm not just like blowing

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Speaker 1: smoke there's some guys in there that are really smart

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Speaker 1: and they make a lot of plays. You know, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we have to kick out once a day. I'm booting morons,

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Speaker 1: and I'm kicking out people who are trying to sell

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Speaker 1: picks and people who are just you know, losers, and

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Speaker 1: get out of there, like you don't need to be in.

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Speaker 1: There's not the point for it. But if you know,

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Speaker 1: the vast majority of people who are in there are

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Speaker 1: to sweat games, talk about different lines. You know, people

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Speaker 1: get alerted to different news stories that come out and

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Speaker 1: injury concerns and COVID cancellations and whatnot. So it's this

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Speaker 1: dimunity we are building. So we've got the podcast here

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Speaker 1: every morning, you guys listen to it every day, and

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Speaker 1: then from there after that fifteen to twenty minutes on

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Speaker 1: the podcast, you guys then are taking that same information.

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Speaker 1: You're going to the discord chat and you're telling your

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Speaker 1: fellow listener whether you like the plays or not. In

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Speaker 1: fading my picks, okay, I have no problem with it.

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Speaker 1: I may make side wages with you guys. I may

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Speaker 1: do other fun stuff if I think I'm really right

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Speaker 1: on the side I thought I was on Rutgers. I

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Speaker 1: thought I had that right. One of the guys named

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Speaker 1: Andrew who's in there, was on Michigan State and he

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Speaker 1: was like, nah, Spartans all day. I was like, nah,

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Speaker 1: Rutgers all day. And I was wrong. He was right.

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Speaker 1: Rutgers minus one. They could have been minus ten, it

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Speaker 1: didn't matter. They were on. I mean, that was a

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Speaker 1: team completely out of their depths at the Bresln Center.

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Speaker 1: I expected so much more. You cannot miss as many

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Speaker 1: free throws as Rutgers missed, and three pointers that Rutgers

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Speaker 1: missed and turned the basketball over. I mean they had

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Speaker 1: a couple of guys, one of their centers I think,

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Speaker 1: missed like seven free throws in that game. Like, you

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Speaker 1: just can't do that against Michigan State. Like you've got

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Speaker 1: to be on your p's and q's. Man, you got

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Speaker 1: to be dotting every I and crossing every T. You

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Speaker 1: can't let I mean, just from a talent perspective, Michigan

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Speaker 1: State's more talented than you are. You have to play better.

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Speaker 1: So Rutgers laid an egg last night. That was really frustrating.

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Speaker 1: But one of the Discord guys, you were right, I

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Speaker 1: was wrong, So very cool bettingpros dot Com slash chat.

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Speaker 1: Now the Nick Chubb autographed helmet. We have pulled a name,

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Speaker 1: but the person who has won has not contacted us yet,

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Speaker 1: so we cannot say who the person is. We can't

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Speaker 1: announce it. It's betting pros pop policy. We don't announce

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Speaker 1: it until we find out whether the guy wants it

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Speaker 1: or not. So, if you haven't checked your email recently,

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Speaker 1: check your email. You may have an email from us saying, hey,

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Speaker 1: by the way, you won the Nick Chubb helmet. Do

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Speaker 1: you want it? So we'll hopefully give you that news

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Speaker 1: tomorrow as to who won the autograph Nick Chubb helmet.

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Speaker 1: So before we do the picks in the plays, let

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Speaker 1: me tell you a little bit about bet MGM because

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Speaker 1: called one hundred five two two forty seven hundred in

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Speaker 1: or one hundred and nine with it in Indiana. Let's

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Speaker 1: start in the NBA tonight, and let's start with the

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Speaker 1: Miami Heat hosting the Boston Celtics. This is always a tough,

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Speaker 1: tough game for Boston. Boston played in Tampa last game

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Speaker 1: against the Raptors. I thought the Raptors would be live

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Speaker 1: in that game. Boston wins it going away. It was

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Speaker 1: an easy win. Now Boston's won four of five, but

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Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler in the Miami Heat are a bugaboo. They

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Speaker 1: are a tough, tough matchup for the Boston Celtic. Jimmy

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Speaker 1: Butler's starting to come around here. The Miami Heat routed

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Speaker 1: had a route against OKC in their last game one

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Speaker 1: eighteen to ninety. Butler finally looked like Jimmy Butler and

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Speaker 1: when the Boston Celtics come calling, you got twenty five

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Speaker 1: points in the last game. UH Entering Monday, Butler had

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Speaker 1: twenty five points a nine of twenty eight shooting in

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Speaker 1: three appearances so far this year, with eight free throws

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Speaker 1: on Monday nights. He didn't play in the fourth quarter

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Speaker 1: because of the blowout, but eighteen points on six of

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Speaker 1: twelve shooting and six for six from the free throw line. Boston,

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Speaker 1: I think, is in a little trouble here. Why Bam

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Speaker 1: Bam Babayo is a monster matchup. It's why they went

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Speaker 1: and got Tristan Thompson in the offseason, because Boston couldn't

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Speaker 1: stop him in the postseason. I think they're gonna have

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Speaker 1: the same problem here. I don't think Tristan Thompson's the answer.

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Speaker 1: I know how great Tatum's playing, I know how hot

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Speaker 1: Jalen Brown is playing. I'm gonna fade my own team

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Speaker 1: here a little bit. I laid the two and a

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Speaker 1: half with the Miami heat here at home it's below three.

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Speaker 1: I think Butler's gonna be a problem. I think Tyler

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Speaker 1: hero is a problem again. This could be an Eastern

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Speaker 1: Conference playoff matchup. These two teams, I don't want to

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Speaker 1: say they don't like each other, but they always rise

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Speaker 1: up when they play each other. And Boston's won four

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Speaker 1: of five, so they're kind of due here to lose.

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Speaker 1: Boston has turned a corner for sure after kind of

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Speaker 1: a rocky start. But I just think Boston, they're four

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Speaker 1: and four to the number. Miami is three and three

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Speaker 1: to the number. You know Boston has played Okay, they've

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Speaker 1: won four of five. Like I mentioned, they lost that

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Speaker 1: game to Detroit, but you know they came back to

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Speaker 1: the next game and won it by two against Detroit

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Speaker 1: Road game at Miami, I'm gonna lay the two and

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Speaker 1: a half with the Miami Heat against the Boston Celtics.

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Speaker 1: Take Miami at home here, laying two and a half

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Speaker 1: to college basketball, we go, let's start and you know

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Speaker 1: where I'm going here, right with Creighton, this is kind

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Speaker 1: of predictable, right, you know, I'm gonna betting the Blue Jays,

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Speaker 1: the Blue Jays UNLV when they're playing I'm pretty much

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Speaker 1: this year, I'm betting on teams that I have a

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Speaker 1: long history with. You might and again, I don't want

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Speaker 1: to be boring here, but I have kind of this

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Speaker 1: bubble of teams that I'm looking at and I don't

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Speaker 1: want to get away from it because there are so

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Speaker 1: many unknowns with other teams right now due to COVID

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Speaker 1: and no fans, in travel and wacky schedules back to backs.

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Speaker 1: I mean, it's just a very awkward year. So, like

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Speaker 1: I've got I don't know fifteen college basketball teams. I've

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Speaker 1: got five or six NBA teams. I'm gonna be looking

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Speaker 1: at six or seven NHL teams, and that's kind of

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Speaker 1: where I'm gonna live. I may get off and get

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Speaker 1: into some other teams, but like in the NFL in

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Speaker 1: college football, I am comfortable going ahead and rolling here. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I have already bet Alabama. So I don't know how

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Speaker 1: I want to give this out yet, and I haven't

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Speaker 1: made I'll give it out as an official play here

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Speaker 1: very soon. I'm not gonna report as an official play.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you that I bet Ben. My mind

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Speaker 1: is seven already. We're gonna wait a little bit to

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Speaker 1: see if this game gets played. Because of the COVID

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Speaker 1: problems at Ohio State. If the game gets postponed, I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna come out here because my bet might get

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Speaker 1: voided and who knows what happens with the game. But

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Speaker 1: like that's my problem, right, So loud come on here

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Speaker 1: and I be like, hey, well, Alabama minus seven in

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Speaker 1: the championship game. Okay, I bet it today and I'm

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Speaker 1: comfortable giving it out. No, I can't. I can't give

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Speaker 1: it out because as soon as I bet it, Ohio

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Speaker 1: State comes out with COVID problems. So for that reason,

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Speaker 1: I'm frustrated with everything in gambling right now, and so

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Speaker 1: I don't want to go outside my comfort zone. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna stay inside this little bubble for now. I'm doing

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Speaker 1: quite well. I don't think that's that boring. I hope

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Speaker 1: you guys don't get frustrated and be like, he picks

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Speaker 1: the same teams every time. It's kind of boring. I

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Speaker 1: get it, okay, I do. But let's talk about Seaton

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Speaker 1: Hall at Creighton University. Seaton Hall catching six points from

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Speaker 1: the Blue Jays. Looking at the numbers here, this is interesting.

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Speaker 1: So Seaton Hall is eight and four on the year.

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Speaker 1: They're five to one in Biggies Play. The Pirates, however,

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Speaker 1: are seven and one since December the fifth. They've won

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Speaker 1: on the road at Penn State, at Marquette, who beat

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Speaker 1: the Blue Jays by the way in Omaha and Xavier.

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Speaker 1: They've also beaten Saint John's Georgetown and Butler at home.

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Speaker 1: Here's the fun stat about these two teams and the

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Speaker 1: way these guys have played. So Greg McDermott is seven

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Speaker 1: and eight all time against Kevin Willard, the head coach

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Speaker 1: of Seaton Hall. The Jays have had all types of tight,

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Speaker 1: crazy games with Saint John's. The Jays own a four

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Speaker 1: and three mark in Omaha against Seaton Hall, but three

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Speaker 1: of the last fourteen meetings at all sites have been

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Speaker 1: one point contests, and two including a twenty fourteen and

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Speaker 1: twenty fifteen matchups in Omaha. I think this is going

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Speaker 1: to be a tight game, and I I think Seaton

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Speaker 1: Hall has played a pretty good level of competition. They

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Speaker 1: got a couple of really good guards, they can rebound,

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Speaker 1: they play physical defensively. They're holding teams to under seventy

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Speaker 1: points per game. They're shooting thirty five percent from behind

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Speaker 1: the arc and seventy four percent from the foul line,

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Speaker 1: and they're scoring about seventy seven points per game. So

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Speaker 1: I think this is a team that has the firepower

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Speaker 1: and the defensive ability to hang with the Blue Jays.

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Speaker 1: And the Jays are ranked seventh. Okay, they're eight and

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Speaker 1: two being ranked seventh in the country or get into

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Speaker 1: this territory where the Jays have never been in terms

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Speaker 1: of the national ranking. All right, I am again concerned

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Speaker 1: about Marcus Zegarowski. I still don't think this kid's playing

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Speaker 1: as well as he can, and I still think they're

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Speaker 1: letting Mahoney shoot way too much. They gotta win. I

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Speaker 1: think this entire season will revolve around junior forward Christian Bishop.

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Speaker 1: I think the more of him and the less of

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Speaker 1: Denzel Mahoney, the better the Jays are going to be.

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Speaker 1: But the Jays one on the road at Providence. We

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Speaker 1: took Providence, we faded Creighton last game. I'm gonna do

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Speaker 1: it again here now at home. I'm gonna take the

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Speaker 1: six points here with Seaton Hall, take the Pirates plus six.

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Speaker 1: I think the Jays win the game, but I think

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Speaker 1: the Pirates keep the game close. I think they probably

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Speaker 1: win the game by three Seaton Hall plus six. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take the dog here for this one in the

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Speaker 1: Big East. And one more play to talk about, and

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Speaker 1: it's also in the Big East. Let's talk about Georgetown

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Speaker 1: at Butler. Butler is a weird team. They are strange.

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Speaker 1: When you look at some of the numbers for Butler. Offensively,

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Speaker 1: they're awful, like they're old school awful. Sixty four points

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Speaker 1: per game is two hundred and eighty six in the country.

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Speaker 1: Georgetown's averaging about seventy four points per game. They're giving

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Speaker 1: up about seventy five points per game. I don't think

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Speaker 1: Georgetown's all that great either, But you look at the

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Speaker 1: three point shooting for Butler, not that great. The two

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Speaker 1: point shooting for Butler is bad. Forty five percent shooting

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Speaker 1: from two for Butler. They shoot thirty six percent from

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Speaker 1: behind the arc. But I mean, you've got to shoot.

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Speaker 1: They're two hundred and sixty fourth in the country in

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Speaker 1: two point field goal percentage. Right now, that is awful

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Speaker 1: in one of the stats. As we get later and

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Speaker 1: you guys are probably used to be talking about this

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Speaker 1: if you've heard me talk about effective field goal percentage,

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Speaker 1: I really believe that that's a wonderful stat about offenses

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Speaker 1: later in the year when it comes time for the tournaments.

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Speaker 1: I love looking at effective field goal percentage. But I mean,

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Speaker 1: both these teams aren't very good. Georgetown is forty nine

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Speaker 1: point four percent for effective field goal percentage. That's one

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Speaker 1: eighty seven. Forty nine point two percent. For Butler that's

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Speaker 1: one ninety four. Not good. Okay, So both these teams,

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Speaker 1: you know, they don't shoot great shots. They don't get

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Speaker 1: good looks, and they don't hit good shots. So this

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Speaker 1: is both these offenses aren't that good. So I thought

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Speaker 1: about playing the under one forty two and a half here,

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Speaker 1: but I just don't like playing unders in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: I don't like playing unders at all right now. I

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Speaker 1: don't like playing totals at all right now. So I'm

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Speaker 1: looking at the number Georgetown is catching four and a

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Speaker 1: half points to Butler. I think Georgetown might win this game, outright,

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Speaker 1: I really do. I think Georgetown very well could win

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Speaker 1: this game. I think Butler they're really really struggling. They

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Speaker 1: haven't looked good with a couple of their guys. Aaron

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Speaker 1: Thompson's been out for the entire year. A couple of

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Speaker 1: freshmen in the back court have really played poorly. They've

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Speaker 1: not played well at all. I just don't like Butler's offense.

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Speaker 1: They just don't shoot the ball very well. And I

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Speaker 1: think Georgetown's been pretty good on the defensive end. So

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Speaker 1: I think that Georgetown might win this game. But I

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Speaker 1: took the four and a half points here for Georgetown

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Speaker 1: in a really boring, really low scoring, grinded out old

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Speaker 1: school Big East basketball game that is going to be

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Speaker 1: decided by one or two shots, Okay, one layup, one

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Speaker 1: free throw, coming down, two point win one way or

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Speaker 1: the other, so I'll just take the points here. I

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Speaker 1: don't like Patrick as a head coach, but I think

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Speaker 1: Georgetown is coming along here. They're okay against the number

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Speaker 1: this year. Nothing really all that great through four and five.

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Speaker 1: But Butler is two and five against the number so

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Speaker 1: far this year. I mean, they covered a good Seaton Hall.

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Speaker 1: They were, you know, eight and a half point dogs,

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Speaker 1: and they lost by eight. They were six point dogs

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Speaker 1: to Providence, they lost by sixteen. Earlier, they played Providence

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Speaker 1: at home as two and a half point favorites and

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Speaker 1: they won by six. So I guess maybe there. But

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Speaker 1: they didn't cover against Southern Illinois. Drake killed them the

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Speaker 1: last two games. Indiana didn't cover against them, didn't cover

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Speaker 1: against Nova, didn't cover against Western Michigan. I just don't

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Speaker 1: like Butler's team really at all. I'm not in love

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Speaker 1: with Georgetown's team, but I mean they've beaten Saint John's

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Speaker 1: as one point dogs when the game outright, and you know,

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Speaker 1: they lost by west to West Virginia, a good West

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Speaker 1: Virginia team. They lost that by nine as eleven and

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Speaker 1: a half point dogs here. So in last came out

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Speaker 1: against Marquette at home they were catching four and a

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Speaker 1: half and they lost by four. So they're catching four

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Speaker 1: and a half here. So I'm gonna take on the

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Speaker 1: road Georgetown plus four and a half up against Butler

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Speaker 1: in a really boring, boring basketball game with these two

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Speaker 1: teams really not being able to score. Again, a lean

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Speaker 1: on the under as well. I'm just not playing totals

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Speaker 1: right now. I just can't bring myself to do it.

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Speaker 1: So again, the plays in the NBA Miami minus two

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Speaker 1: and a half. In college basketball, Seaton Hall plus six,

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Speaker 1: Georgetown plus four and a half in the Big East.

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Speaker 1: All three plays are half a unit plays for us

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Speaker 1: here on a Wednesday, three day run Sunday, Monday, Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: Not bad. Okay, We're going four sixteen and eight over

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Speaker 1: the last three days, so not bad. And I mean

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Speaker 1: we'll keep it going hopefully, keep on putting up winners

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Speaker 1: and cashing tickets and keep going here. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Paroltz. Follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Every single day it's the Day of the Juice podcast

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Speaker 1: on Bettingpros dot Com, brought to you by btup GM.

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Speaker 1: Do me