WEBVTT - S14, Ep5 | How the Fossil Fuel Industry Sabotages Climate Action

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome back to Drill. I'm Amy Westervelt. This

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<v Speaker 1>is our fourteenth, fourteenth season, and we're doing what I

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<v Speaker 1>like to think of as the opposite of the Ezra

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<v Speaker 1>Klein approach. We're digging deep and trying to understand.

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<v Speaker 2>The moment that we're in because we're at a really

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<v Speaker 2>bad time on climate right now, and you know, democracy

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<v Speaker 2>and justice and all sorts of other things, and we're

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<v Speaker 2>only just starting to really understand some of the forces

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<v Speaker 2>that have worked really hard.

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<v Speaker 1>To bring us to this moment. So you know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>time to do the reading. For me, understanding the lack.

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<v Speaker 2>Of political will to act on climate has always begun

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<v Speaker 2>with talking.

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<v Speaker 1>To social scientists, So for this season, I wanted to

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<v Speaker 1>talk to some of the best, the folks behind an

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<v Speaker 1>incredible new book from the Climate Social Science Network at

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<v Speaker 1>Brown University that pulls together everything we currently know about

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<v Speaker 1>climate obstruction, how it's happened all over the world. In

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<v Speaker 1>the first four episodes of the season, we looked at

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<v Speaker 1>how obstruction works, so we looked at pr and media

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<v Speaker 1>and the psychology of this stuff. In the next few episodes,

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<v Speaker 1>we'll focus on who's doing it, which industries are working

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<v Speaker 1>the hardest to obstruct climate action. First up, no surprise,

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<v Speaker 1>the fossil fuel industry. They're not the only ones doing it,

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<v Speaker 1>of course, but they are certainly one of the biggest

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<v Speaker 1>obstacles to climate action. Joining me today is a voice

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<v Speaker 1>that might be familiar to longtime listeners, Kurt Davies, the

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<v Speaker 1>investigator who read to us from so many great documents

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<v Speaker 1>that he'd found back in season one of the podcasts.

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<v Speaker 1>Kurt is at the Center for Climate Integrity. These days

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<v Speaker 1>we also have Jeff Dembigie, global Energy editor of diesbog

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<v Speaker 1>and author of the book The Petroleum Papers, and Christopher

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<v Speaker 1>Eckberk from the University of Lund in Sweden. Let's get

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<v Speaker 1>in to it.

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<v Speaker 3>I am Kurt Davies.

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<v Speaker 4>I am the Director of Special Investigations at the Center

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<v Speaker 4>for Climate Integrity in Washington, d C.

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<v Speaker 3>Hi.

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<v Speaker 5>I'm kristofek but I'm associate Senior lecturer in Human Ecology

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<v Speaker 5>at Lund University in Sweden.

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<v Speaker 3>Hi.

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<v Speaker 6>I am Jeff dam Bickie. I am Global Managing Editor

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<v Speaker 6>with the Climate Investigation Side ds MOG.

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<v Speaker 7>I want to start out talking about this thing that

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<v Speaker 7>you guys start with in your chapter, which is the

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<v Speaker 7>oil and gas industry's sudden embrace post Paris of net

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<v Speaker 7>zero and all that it entails. There's this this line

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<v Speaker 7>from an email that came out during the government's investigations

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<v Speaker 7>in the US on climate disinformation. That's from the BP

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<v Speaker 7>global head of Sustainability and Climate Policy, and Kurt, I'm

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<v Speaker 7>going to ask you to do what I always ask

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<v Speaker 7>you to do, which is read documents. Could you read

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<v Speaker 7>this line from this guy? He kind of references embracing

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<v Speaker 7>net zero and backing the Paris Climate Agreement is the

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<v Speaker 7>most obvious course of action to take, and then he says, yes.

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<v Speaker 4>I was reading the whole thing again earlier. And so

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<v Speaker 4>it's an internal discussion within BP about Trump what Trump

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<v Speaker 4>is going to do with Paris in March of twenty seventeen.

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<v Speaker 4>And that's important because we really didn't know what they

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<v Speaker 4>would do yet. And there's an article they're referring to

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<v Speaker 4>where it says Trump administration might stay in Paris but

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<v Speaker 4>kill the Obama pledge, so effectively be in the agreement

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<v Speaker 4>without agreeing to do anything. And so the discussion within

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<v Speaker 4>VP is Paul Jeffers' rights to Bob Stout and about

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<v Speaker 4>six other people. He says, interesting Obviously I don't know

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<v Speaker 4>what will happen, but this looks like the most obvious

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<v Speaker 4>course of action to take all of the benefits and

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<v Speaker 4>few of the risks. This is really why the Paris

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<v Speaker 4>Agreement was designed the way it was to enable flexible

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<v Speaker 4>transition from one political regime to the next. No one

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<v Speaker 4>is committed to anything other than to stay in the game.

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<v Speaker 4>And that last line, wow, really applies to the oil companies, right.

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<v Speaker 4>They don't have to really commit to anything, but they

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<v Speaker 4>want to stay in the game.

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<v Speaker 7>Right, Okay, So why were oil and gas companies so

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<v Speaker 7>into the idea of net zero comitment.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, I think it was a period when the global

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<v Speaker 6>consensus really was in favor of climate action, aggressive climate

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<v Speaker 6>action perhaps, or just the appearance of it. And the

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<v Speaker 6>oil and gas industry always wants to look like it's

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<v Speaker 6>on the side of what all global governments and everyone

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<v Speaker 6>is going to do for climate and the economy. And

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<v Speaker 6>so during this period, the companies are all coming out

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<v Speaker 6>and saying, yeah, we like we like net zero two,

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<v Speaker 6>this is great, We're going to transform our operations with

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<v Speaker 6>all sorts of new technologies. And it was also a

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<v Speaker 6>period when a bunch of internal documents from the industry

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<v Speaker 6>had been unearthed by journalists at the Los Angeles Times

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<v Speaker 6>and other outlets, and a bunch of lawsuits were beginning

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<v Speaker 6>to be filed against the industry that really scrutinized its

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<v Speaker 6>past history of climate change denial and other obstruction tactics.

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<v Speaker 6>And so this this was a period when it just

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<v Speaker 6>really made a lot of sense for a whole bunch

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<v Speaker 6>of reasons for the industry to try to portray itself

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<v Speaker 6>as a climate leader.

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<v Speaker 4>The only thing I would add to that, I think

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<v Speaker 4>is that the net zero concept actually starts a few

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<v Speaker 4>years earlier with the IPCC, with the scientists, and they

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<v Speaker 4>are trying to figure out what dangerous climate change is,

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<v Speaker 4>debating the two degree one point five degree limit, and

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<v Speaker 4>it's originally a chart that shows if you're going to

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<v Speaker 4>get to a safe climate, you have to have net

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<v Speaker 4>zero emissions by some point in time to get there,

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<v Speaker 4>And so governments adopt that language, and then the corporations say, well,

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<v Speaker 4>if we're saying the same thing, that'll be cozy. So

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<v Speaker 4>I feel like it was of convenience that they started

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<v Speaker 4>using the same verbiage to seem like they were in

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<v Speaker 4>sync with the scientists. Commandment and the government effort.

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<v Speaker 5>I think it also relates to something that we probably

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<v Speaker 5>will come back to, but this focus on emissions specifically

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<v Speaker 5>that there was this was also a way to talk

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<v Speaker 5>about climate action without having to talk about well extraction

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<v Speaker 5>of fossil fuels basically or scope three emissions in more

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<v Speaker 5>specific ways. So it was a sort of way out

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<v Speaker 5>of more difficult discussions for fossil fuel companies.

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<v Speaker 3>Exactly.

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<v Speaker 7>Okay, so you guys talk in this chapter about climate

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<v Speaker 7>obstruction in a few different ways, and specifically about three

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<v Speaker 7>categories of obstruction tactics, denial, delay, and co optation. Can

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<v Speaker 7>I have you define those terms for us and talk

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<v Speaker 7>a little bit about the interplay between them. I thought

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<v Speaker 7>this was really important, this point that you make that

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<v Speaker 7>wasn't like first there was denial, and then there was delay,

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<v Speaker 7>and then there was this sort of like all this

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<v Speaker 7>stuff happening all the time. So would love to have

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<v Speaker 7>you explain that.

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<v Speaker 5>I think this is actually one of the most important

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<v Speaker 5>things that we contribute with is just to focus on

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<v Speaker 5>this that the responses from fossil fuel companies aren't really

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<v Speaker 5>they're not linear in that sense, but very dependent on context,

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<v Speaker 5>and we can show that, yeah, all companies in different

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<v Speaker 5>regions use these different tactics throughout well basically from the

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<v Speaker 5>nineteen seventies and onwards, but depending on context. So it's

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<v Speaker 5>not sort of this obvious development from denying scientific facts

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<v Speaker 5>to delaying sort of obstructing the environmental policy or climate

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<v Speaker 5>change policy discussions, but rather that these strategies change depending

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<v Speaker 5>on the challenges specific challenges that oil industry face. And

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<v Speaker 5>I think with the three categories it was one way

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<v Speaker 5>to divide it. But I mean there's a lot of

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<v Speaker 5>different concepts floating around in these discussions. But I would

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<v Speaker 5>say that perhaps with denial, we're talking specifically about well

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<v Speaker 5>denying the scientific facts of climate change, global warming, and

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<v Speaker 5>we delay. Our focus is primarily on the sort of

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<v Speaker 5>economic scare tactics of fossil fuel company and sort of

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<v Speaker 5>this idea that climate change action or action against climate

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<v Speaker 5>change will hurt different people regions in different ways. And

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<v Speaker 5>with co optation, we trace basically the way that fossil

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<v Speaker 5>fuel companies have been involved in framing the issue in

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<v Speaker 5>coming up suggestions on how to perhaps tackle the question

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<v Speaker 5>or not tackle the question.

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<v Speaker 6>And what I would add to that is there's sort

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<v Speaker 6>of like two overriding things that are key to understanding

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<v Speaker 6>these tactics. One is that no matter what tactic the

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<v Speaker 6>oil and gas industry is using at any given time,

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<v Speaker 6>the ultimate goal is to allow the industry to keep

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<v Speaker 6>producing as much oil and gas as possible. And what

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<v Speaker 6>allows the industry to shift back and forth between these

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<v Speaker 6>tactics depending on whatever the political or economic context is,

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<v Speaker 6>is that the industry is always right on the vanguard

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<v Speaker 6>of doing all of the research and establishing the expertise

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<v Speaker 6>it needs to lead any given debate. So oil and

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<v Speaker 6>gas companies were able to deny the science because they

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<v Speaker 6>had studied the science for so long. They were able

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<v Speaker 6>to use convincing sounding economics scare tactics because they were

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<v Speaker 6>some of the first organizations to really study the economics

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<v Speaker 6>of climate change, and they were able to co op

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<v Speaker 6>the process because the process of international climate negotiations, because

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<v Speaker 6>from day one they were involved with it, learning all

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<v Speaker 6>the nuances of it. And so I think that's really

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<v Speaker 6>key to all of this as well.

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<v Speaker 7>And I think pointing out that these things are shifting

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<v Speaker 7>around all the time and constantly being used helps people

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<v Speaker 7>understand the resurgence of denial.

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<v Speaker 4>Now right, Yeah, that was I think we worked hard

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<v Speaker 4>at that in the chapter to sort of break that,

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<v Speaker 4>as you said, linear logic that people have used like that,

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<v Speaker 4>it went from a period of denial into a period

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<v Speaker 4>of play along, feel good co optation. And it really

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<v Speaker 4>is whatever tactic is needed at any given time, they

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<v Speaker 4>can play it, and that's what happens. And here we

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<v Speaker 4>are now and you don't see any green washing because

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<v Speaker 4>they don't need to have green washing right now.

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<v Speaker 7>It's not necessary any necessary.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 7>You do talk about the evolution of denial a little

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<v Speaker 7>bit too, and not just denial of climate change and

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<v Speaker 7>the science behind what drives it and all that, but

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<v Speaker 7>also of even more basic concepts like I don't know,

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<v Speaker 7>this thing of we're yeah, we're totally committed to this

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<v Speaker 7>stuff while continuing to increase production volumes and things like that, which,

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<v Speaker 7>as you point out, has just becomes so normal that

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<v Speaker 7>it's people don't even pay attention to it anymore. So, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 7>I would love to have you expand on that a

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<v Speaker 7>little bit. What are some of the other ways that

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<v Speaker 7>they use denial of basic science to their benefit.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I think that the point here was that it's

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<v Speaker 4>not just flat denial, it's not happening greening Earth, you know,

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<v Speaker 4>which we still see, we see again even in the

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<v Speaker 4>Trump report that just came out, but that we can

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<v Speaker 4>denial can be just denying the urgency, denying what scientists

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<v Speaker 4>are saying needs to be cut to save us. And

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<v Speaker 4>the slowing down is a form of denial. And you know, ultimately,

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<v Speaker 4>you know, as we were saying, that the you know,

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<v Speaker 4>denying helps them avoid the real discussion of the need

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<v Speaker 4>for fossil fuel phase out, the need to cut production

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<v Speaker 4>of their products, and that's what they really don't want,

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<v Speaker 4>so they look for every other pathway that allows their

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<v Speaker 4>business to continue, and that includes you know, carbon capture

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<v Speaker 4>mythologies and treating with natural carbon credits and all these

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<v Speaker 4>other schemes that are in fact denying what the scientists

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<v Speaker 4>say is urgently needed.

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<v Speaker 5>Now, I was just thinking about bringing it back to

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<v Speaker 5>this Stanley Cohen, who's sort of been very influential in

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<v Speaker 5>the discussion of denial and his idea of implicatory denial

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<v Speaker 5>that is very much what we see basically people not

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<v Speaker 5>acting others have talked about, yeah, refusal or other words,

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<v Speaker 5>just to describe what we also show in the chapter

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<v Speaker 5>that even though we have these promises of a climate action,

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<v Speaker 5>we see that, Yeah, production just goes up, and there's

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<v Speaker 5>like in their own annual reports, there's no sign of

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<v Speaker 5>cutting production.

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<v Speaker 6>So yeah, and what I would say is, like with

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<v Speaker 6>the implicit denial, it's basically like the same obstruction mechanism,

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<v Speaker 6>Like in the hardcore denial days in like the nineties,

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<v Speaker 6>industry would be like, climate change isn't happening, and then

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<v Speaker 6>they would keep producing more and more oil and gas

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<v Speaker 6>at the same time. So obviously they got a lot

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<v Speaker 6>of flack that they looked kind of crazy to the public. Eventually,

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<v Speaker 6>so the company is just like deleted that like really

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<v Speaker 6>in your face denial, but just kept doing basically the

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<v Speaker 6>exact same things. So now they say, oh, yeah, we

0:15:16.040 --> 0:15:19.080
<v Speaker 6>acknowledge climate change is real and urgent, and then their

0:15:19.120 --> 0:15:23.160
<v Speaker 6>production keeps going up and up and up. So despite

0:15:23.200 --> 0:15:26.960
<v Speaker 6>a lot of rhetorical change over the years, the sort

0:15:27.000 --> 0:15:31.360
<v Speaker 6>of material circumstances of what they're doing remain almost exactly

0:15:31.400 --> 0:15:31.840
<v Speaker 6>the same.

0:15:32.560 --> 0:15:35.800
<v Speaker 5>And it might be also important to say that this

0:15:36.600 --> 0:15:41.960
<v Speaker 5>sort of more obvious science denial hasn't disappeared. I mean,

0:15:42.000 --> 0:15:47.920
<v Speaker 5>it might have disappeared from the fossil fuel company strategies

0:15:48.040 --> 0:15:51.920
<v Speaker 5>or rhetoric, but it has appeared in other places, like

0:15:52.040 --> 0:15:55.960
<v Speaker 5>in for right environments, and I mean with Trump and

0:15:56.240 --> 0:16:00.960
<v Speaker 5>others like we see see those kind of claims still there,

0:16:01.000 --> 0:16:04.840
<v Speaker 5>but perhaps not as much from fossil fueled companies as before.

0:16:05.120 --> 0:16:09.520
<v Speaker 6>Well, if you consider that the current Energy Secretary, Chris Wright,

0:16:09.680 --> 0:16:13.120
<v Speaker 6>used to be a fracking executive until very recently, and

0:16:13.160 --> 0:16:17.560
<v Speaker 6>now he's sponsoring a report saying that the human contribution

0:16:17.760 --> 0:16:22.120
<v Speaker 6>to climate change is I think we're.

0:16:21.640 --> 0:16:28.480
<v Speaker 4>Like that sure, And adding to that, I would credit

0:16:29.520 --> 0:16:34.200
<v Speaker 4>Exon's money and coke Industry's money with keeping denial alive.

0:16:34.520 --> 0:16:35.680
<v Speaker 3>You know, Exon.

0:16:35.480 --> 0:16:38.880
<v Speaker 4>Paid a fortune to keep these voices active in the

0:16:38.960 --> 0:16:43.040
<v Speaker 4>late nineties and into the early two thousands. Coke industries

0:16:43.080 --> 0:16:45.360
<v Speaker 4>paid a lot of money to these same organizations. So

0:16:45.400 --> 0:16:48.480
<v Speaker 4>the whole reason that Chris Wright has learned those things

0:16:48.560 --> 0:16:51.680
<v Speaker 4>is because of megaphones that the oil companies bought.

0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:56.600
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, yeah, well, Chris Writ's been brown down with the

0:16:56.640 --> 0:17:02.240
<v Speaker 7>cokes for a long time. Okay. So I realized that

0:17:02.280 --> 0:17:05.120
<v Speaker 7>this question could take like the whole hour to answer,

0:17:05.280 --> 0:17:08.639
<v Speaker 7>so feel free to just give me the headlines. But

0:17:08.680 --> 0:17:10.040
<v Speaker 7>I do want to talk a little bit about the

0:17:10.119 --> 0:17:14.800
<v Speaker 7>role that industry led an industry funded research has played

0:17:14.800 --> 0:17:17.520
<v Speaker 7>into all of this as well, like the extent to

0:17:17.560 --> 0:17:22.960
<v Speaker 7>which they have tried to use credible seeming science or

0:17:23.560 --> 0:17:29.359
<v Speaker 7>credibly adjacent science to earn themselves a seat at the

0:17:29.400 --> 0:17:33.280
<v Speaker 7>table and then use that seat to mess things up.

0:17:33.200 --> 0:17:37.560
<v Speaker 3>Along the way. You know, it's actually different for each company.

0:17:37.600 --> 0:17:42.440
<v Speaker 4>We don't know a lot about what the individual companies

0:17:42.720 --> 0:17:46.800
<v Speaker 4>were studying, except for Shell and Exxon especially. We have

0:17:46.880 --> 0:17:50.119
<v Speaker 4>evidence that the American Patrolling Institute as a body was

0:17:50.200 --> 0:17:54.200
<v Speaker 4>monitoring the science very very broadly, and through the GCC.

0:17:54.440 --> 0:17:59.119
<v Speaker 4>They were sending people to the Governmental Panel and climate

0:17:59.200 --> 0:18:02.720
<v Speaker 4>change meetings, were reporting back to all of them what

0:18:02.880 --> 0:18:05.200
<v Speaker 4>was going on in the science. But as far as

0:18:05.240 --> 0:18:10.000
<v Speaker 4>their own research, we know exem was doing its own modeling,

0:18:10.119 --> 0:18:12.840
<v Speaker 4>it knew what was going on. We know Shell looked

0:18:12.840 --> 0:18:15.800
<v Speaker 4>at all the science in the early eighties and determined

0:18:15.840 --> 0:18:19.960
<v Speaker 4>that by the time the science was unequivocal, it would

0:18:19.960 --> 0:18:23.000
<v Speaker 4>be too late, in their words, which is kind of

0:18:23.040 --> 0:18:27.959
<v Speaker 4>grim and they actually proposed a more precautionary approach internally,

0:18:28.040 --> 0:18:30.920
<v Speaker 4>but never said that out loud to the world. Shell

0:18:32.200 --> 0:18:37.280
<v Speaker 4>but this is kind of crucial that they were playing

0:18:37.320 --> 0:18:41.120
<v Speaker 4>along and part of what they started to lead research

0:18:41.160 --> 0:18:45.200
<v Speaker 4>on was things like carbon capture, which is the ultimate

0:18:46.080 --> 0:18:49.359
<v Speaker 4>holy grail now for the oil industry is that we

0:18:49.400 --> 0:18:53.119
<v Speaker 4>can keep burning fossil fuels as long as we capture

0:18:53.160 --> 0:18:55.760
<v Speaker 4>some of the carbon and tuck it back in the ground,

0:18:56.480 --> 0:18:59.879
<v Speaker 4>and which they have never done effectively, but that's on

0:19:00.040 --> 0:19:04.840
<v Speaker 4>the horizon. Dream has allowed them to keep producing in

0:19:05.440 --> 0:19:09.240
<v Speaker 4>selling oil because they're working on it, because they're researching it.

0:19:09.359 --> 0:19:12.760
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, and I would give the example of Exon and

0:19:12.800 --> 0:19:17.359
<v Speaker 6>carbon pricing. So in part of the period that we're

0:19:17.560 --> 0:19:21.080
<v Speaker 6>looking at in the chapter following the twenty fifteen Paris talks,

0:19:21.760 --> 0:19:26.080
<v Speaker 6>Exon was part of organizations that we're calling for a

0:19:26.119 --> 0:19:28.720
<v Speaker 6>price on carbon and said, you know, this is the

0:19:28.760 --> 0:19:33.479
<v Speaker 6>type of policy we could potentially support. And then of

0:19:33.520 --> 0:19:38.320
<v Speaker 6>course the Exon lobbyist Keith McCoy was secretly recorded by

0:19:38.680 --> 0:19:43.600
<v Speaker 6>Greenpeace researchers saying that the company only supports a carbon

0:19:43.680 --> 0:19:45.879
<v Speaker 6>price because it gives it a nice talking point and

0:19:45.880 --> 0:19:48.680
<v Speaker 6>it actually knows that this is probably never going to

0:19:48.720 --> 0:19:53.879
<v Speaker 6>happen in the US. And that was just such a

0:19:53.920 --> 0:19:56.800
<v Speaker 6>fascinating admission because it sort of confirmed what a lot

0:19:56.840 --> 0:20:01.080
<v Speaker 6>of people thought. But it also came as Exon was

0:20:01.200 --> 0:20:05.800
<v Speaker 6>going to war with basically every major substantial climate policy

0:20:05.840 --> 0:20:08.399
<v Speaker 6>that was proposed in the US, and then as a

0:20:08.840 --> 0:20:12.240
<v Speaker 6>defense it could say, well, we support this carbon pricing thing.

0:20:12.680 --> 0:20:16.440
<v Speaker 6>And so of course after that interview came out, Exon

0:20:16.600 --> 0:20:19.680
<v Speaker 6>kind of dropped any pretense of that. But I think

0:20:19.760 --> 0:20:22.919
<v Speaker 6>I think that shows what this co opting dynamic is

0:20:22.960 --> 0:20:23.439
<v Speaker 6>all about.

0:20:24.320 --> 0:20:29.400
<v Speaker 5>Also another example with that Learonovskiaez looked at the SHELL

0:20:29.520 --> 0:20:34.159
<v Speaker 5>sponsored research by James Lovelock, for example, which is I

0:20:34.200 --> 0:20:36.919
<v Speaker 5>think that adds another bit to it that is not

0:20:37.080 --> 0:20:41.320
<v Speaker 5>always and this is historical research, so it's not always

0:20:41.320 --> 0:20:45.480
<v Speaker 5>that the industry let research have been like instrumental or

0:20:45.520 --> 0:20:50.760
<v Speaker 5>specifically targeting climate change or climate science. But sometimes it's

0:20:50.800 --> 0:20:53.399
<v Speaker 5>sort of a broader perspective where they can sort of

0:20:53.440 --> 0:20:58.040
<v Speaker 5>pick and choose later on specific things that they bring

0:20:58.119 --> 0:21:01.600
<v Speaker 5>to the fore. So in this case, the adapt ability

0:21:02.000 --> 0:21:07.000
<v Speaker 5>of natural systems or the fact that some organisms emits

0:21:07.000 --> 0:21:09.800
<v Speaker 5>CEO two that later on could be used as a

0:21:09.840 --> 0:21:12.520
<v Speaker 5>part of science. Ton So I think it's also important

0:21:12.520 --> 0:21:16.800
<v Speaker 5>to like, not everything is very instrumental. They have a

0:21:16.840 --> 0:21:20.560
<v Speaker 5>lot of resources so can actually fund quite broadly in

0:21:20.600 --> 0:21:21.000
<v Speaker 5>a sense.

0:21:21.960 --> 0:21:27.760
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, just sort of like shape basic understandings and things too. Actually, relatedly,

0:21:28.359 --> 0:21:31.239
<v Speaker 7>can I have you guys speak to how important it

0:21:31.359 --> 0:21:35.640
<v Speaker 7>was for these companies to get academics, especially academics connected

0:21:35.680 --> 0:21:40.560
<v Speaker 7>with elite universities, to carry water for some of their ideas,

0:21:40.800 --> 0:21:44.359
<v Speaker 7>or even just to do research along with their scientists.

0:21:44.480 --> 0:21:48.600
<v Speaker 4>I think starting with the GCC, we see that they

0:21:48.600 --> 0:21:54.440
<v Speaker 4>were participating in scientific processes industry, especially Exon scientists were

0:21:55.200 --> 0:21:58.480
<v Speaker 4>co authors and part of the IPCC process. It was

0:21:58.520 --> 0:22:01.320
<v Speaker 4>important for them, they felt too, to be in that

0:22:01.480 --> 0:22:05.640
<v Speaker 4>room to know where the science was. They heavily focused

0:22:05.640 --> 0:22:09.600
<v Speaker 4>on the modeling. They still do because they know that

0:22:09.640 --> 0:22:14.520
<v Speaker 4>the forecasting is really what drives the urgency, and they

0:22:14.640 --> 0:22:20.639
<v Speaker 4>start to form partnerships with academic institutions BP at Princeton,

0:22:21.080 --> 0:22:28.440
<v Speaker 4>EXON at Stanford, Exon at MIT to bring those logos

0:22:28.560 --> 0:22:33.080
<v Speaker 4>next to theirs. Then they also have third party surrogates

0:22:33.480 --> 0:22:37.280
<v Speaker 4>like Richard Lindzen at MIT or Pat Michaels who was

0:22:37.320 --> 0:22:41.080
<v Speaker 4>at UVA, who will say the things that they don't

0:22:41.119 --> 0:22:45.560
<v Speaker 4>want to say, but they have an incredible academic label,

0:22:46.240 --> 0:22:48.720
<v Speaker 4>and they were more useful than just the pundits at

0:22:48.720 --> 0:22:52.680
<v Speaker 4>the think tanks because it made it look like serious

0:22:52.720 --> 0:22:57.080
<v Speaker 4>people disagreed with the urgency of climate change or the

0:22:57.240 --> 0:23:00.199
<v Speaker 4>Jim Hanson. It was a counter to the jimhnns and

0:23:00.880 --> 0:23:04.560
<v Speaker 4>mode of speaking about the issue, or Steve Schneider. So

0:23:04.600 --> 0:23:07.359
<v Speaker 4>it was a I think a very deliberate effort to

0:23:08.440 --> 0:23:09.720
<v Speaker 4>again just cast doubt.

0:23:09.880 --> 0:23:10.080
<v Speaker 3>All.

0:23:10.200 --> 0:23:13.760
<v Speaker 4>Their whole objective is to have some shred of doubt

0:23:14.000 --> 0:23:17.280
<v Speaker 4>around the issue, which gives somebody in the policy arena,

0:23:17.359 --> 0:23:21.399
<v Speaker 4>some politician, the ability to say, let's wait and study this,

0:23:21.920 --> 0:23:23.520
<v Speaker 4>let's look at this a little bit more.

0:23:23.600 --> 0:23:26.560
<v Speaker 3>It's not that urgent. Look this guy at MIT just said,

0:23:27.240 --> 0:23:28.119
<v Speaker 3>it's not that bad.

0:23:28.840 --> 0:23:33.720
<v Speaker 4>That's ongoing and has been going heavily for thirty years now.

0:23:35.280 --> 0:23:39.200
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I would argue it's maybe even increasing now that

0:23:39.359 --> 0:23:44.480
<v Speaker 7>public funding is getting good too. Anyone else want to

0:23:44.480 --> 0:23:45.320
<v Speaker 7>add to that.

0:23:45.359 --> 0:23:50.879
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I'd say having these prestigious academic institutions attached to

0:23:51.280 --> 0:23:58.159
<v Speaker 6>denial really helps influence policymakers. But from the very earliest

0:23:58.280 --> 0:24:02.560
<v Speaker 6>days of public denial, a lot of these spokespeople were

0:24:03.400 --> 0:24:08.320
<v Speaker 6>encouraging Americans and whoever else to spread these ideas in

0:24:08.400 --> 0:24:12.040
<v Speaker 6>their own social or family networks. So some of the

0:24:12.119 --> 0:24:16.200
<v Speaker 6>earliest denial ads on the radio, people would say change

0:24:16.240 --> 0:24:19.399
<v Speaker 6>begins at the dinner table. You should you should share

0:24:19.440 --> 0:24:22.160
<v Speaker 6>these ideas with people close to you because it's such

0:24:22.160 --> 0:24:26.359
<v Speaker 6>an important discussion to have. And so I think the

0:24:26.600 --> 0:24:29.240
<v Speaker 6>only way that you can really convince a ton of

0:24:29.400 --> 0:24:32.800
<v Speaker 6>people to accept something as crazy is what the companies

0:24:32.800 --> 0:24:36.679
<v Speaker 6>were pushing with denial is if it comes from someone

0:24:36.720 --> 0:24:40.440
<v Speaker 6>you trust, and so I think that's what this whole

0:24:40.520 --> 0:24:43.119
<v Speaker 6>process is all about. And then, of course, when this

0:24:43.240 --> 0:24:49.040
<v Speaker 6>whole discussion shifted online onto big digital media platforms, I

0:24:49.080 --> 0:24:53.600
<v Speaker 6>think that really allowed all of this to supercharge because

0:24:53.600 --> 0:24:57.280
<v Speaker 6>it wasn't necessarily some big evil oil company telling you

0:24:57.400 --> 0:25:01.239
<v Speaker 6>to distrust scientists. It was like your uncle who you

0:25:01.280 --> 0:25:03.840
<v Speaker 6>meet with once a week, posting something on Facebook.

0:25:04.480 --> 0:25:10.639
<v Speaker 7>Right, right, Okay, we mentioned economics before and how the

0:25:10.680 --> 0:25:13.359
<v Speaker 7>industry was amongst the earliest, if not the earliest, to

0:25:13.400 --> 0:25:17.760
<v Speaker 7>study the economic implications of climate policy. So would love

0:25:17.800 --> 0:25:19.920
<v Speaker 7>to talk about that a little bit more. What they

0:25:19.920 --> 0:25:23.920
<v Speaker 7>did and how important that was to obstruction and efforts.

0:25:24.400 --> 0:25:30.520
<v Speaker 6>Well, I always point to this study that Exxon's Canadian subsidiary,

0:25:30.680 --> 0:25:35.439
<v Speaker 6>Imperial Oil, created in the early nineteen nineties, and so

0:25:35.800 --> 0:25:38.680
<v Speaker 6>Imperial and Exon were like so far ahead of the

0:25:38.760 --> 0:25:43.439
<v Speaker 6>curve in understanding climate change, that they were hiring consultants

0:25:43.480 --> 0:25:47.400
<v Speaker 6>and actively studying solutions to climate change in the early nineties,

0:25:47.440 --> 0:25:50.120
<v Speaker 6>and this was only a few years after James Hansen

0:25:50.160 --> 0:25:54.960
<v Speaker 6>had given his testimony to Congress and turned climate change

0:25:55.000 --> 0:25:59.320
<v Speaker 6>into sort of like a big mainstream issue. And so

0:25:59.359 --> 0:26:03.080
<v Speaker 6>in one of these were ports that Exxon and Imperial commissioned,

0:26:03.720 --> 0:26:07.200
<v Speaker 6>they determined that a price on carbon emissions in Canada

0:26:07.680 --> 0:26:13.040
<v Speaker 6>could potentially stabilize greenhouse gas emissions in the country without

0:26:13.119 --> 0:26:16.680
<v Speaker 6>a hugely negative impact on the economy because governments would

0:26:16.680 --> 0:26:22.920
<v Speaker 6>have so much additional revenue from taxing carbon. The company

0:26:23.000 --> 0:26:27.359
<v Speaker 6>and its consultants determined, however, that carbon pricing would be

0:26:27.480 --> 0:26:32.160
<v Speaker 6>specifically bad for Imperial's bottom line, and therefore they came

0:26:32.240 --> 0:26:35.560
<v Speaker 6>up with a strategy to portray carbon pricing and any

0:26:35.600 --> 0:26:39.760
<v Speaker 6>other climate solution in the worst possible light to media

0:26:40.359 --> 0:26:44.800
<v Speaker 6>and policy makers, and so that this approach was tried

0:26:44.840 --> 0:26:48.000
<v Speaker 6>out in kind of an experimental sense in places like

0:26:48.119 --> 0:26:51.280
<v Speaker 6>Canada and other regions, and then it really started to

0:26:51.320 --> 0:26:55.760
<v Speaker 6>go mainstream throughout the nineties, to the point where any

0:26:55.840 --> 0:27:00.480
<v Speaker 6>discussion about climate change always contained this reflex of response

0:27:00.520 --> 0:27:05.200
<v Speaker 6>from industry saying that any solution will destroy the economy.

0:27:04.840 --> 0:27:06.480
<v Speaker 3>And here we are in twenty twenty five.

0:27:09.400 --> 0:27:12.200
<v Speaker 7>I know, it's like the consistent talking point even from

0:27:12.240 --> 0:27:14.439
<v Speaker 7>a lot of people who say that they think we

0:27:14.440 --> 0:27:15.600
<v Speaker 7>should act on climate.

0:27:15.760 --> 0:27:19.000
<v Speaker 4>I think that's important that they wanted to feather this

0:27:19.160 --> 0:27:25.360
<v Speaker 4>in because it allowed even people who cared to hedge

0:27:25.560 --> 0:27:29.040
<v Speaker 4>by saying, but we shouldn't hurt the economy. And that's

0:27:29.080 --> 0:27:33.240
<v Speaker 4>also the basis of really the bird Hagel stuff and

0:27:33.280 --> 0:27:36.040
<v Speaker 4>the stuff that the American Patrol means to push after

0:27:36.119 --> 0:27:40.720
<v Speaker 4>Kyoto was Yes, but we shouldn't hurt the American economy.

0:27:41.880 --> 0:27:45.280
<v Speaker 4>And that's really a powerful message, and of course resonates

0:27:45.400 --> 0:27:51.520
<v Speaker 4>more with average people than environmental benefit if you're going

0:27:51.560 --> 0:27:54.000
<v Speaker 4>to hurt the economy. And it even came down to

0:27:55.119 --> 0:27:59.879
<v Speaker 4>very deliberate scare tactics when they started doing these so

0:28:00.080 --> 0:28:04.080
<v Speaker 4>called economics reports where ALEC, the American Legislative Exchange Council,

0:28:04.520 --> 0:28:07.480
<v Speaker 4>did a report that showed all the bad things that

0:28:07.480 --> 0:28:11.000
<v Speaker 4>would happen state by state. I think it was ALEC,

0:28:11.400 --> 0:28:14.520
<v Speaker 4>you know that, you know you if you do Kyoto,

0:28:14.560 --> 0:28:17.200
<v Speaker 4>it's going to raise the price of energy by one

0:28:17.680 --> 0:28:22.400
<v Speaker 4>two hundred and twelve dollars in Iowa and total made

0:28:22.480 --> 0:28:26.919
<v Speaker 4>up numbers, but very effective local headlines they could create

0:28:27.000 --> 0:28:31.480
<v Speaker 4>with these economic so called studies. And one of the

0:28:31.480 --> 0:28:35.080
<v Speaker 4>people who did those studies admitted in a documentary recently

0:28:35.119 --> 0:28:39.480
<v Speaker 4>that they failed to include the economic downside of climate change,

0:28:39.520 --> 0:28:43.400
<v Speaker 4>the damages in their equations, So not very good math

0:28:44.120 --> 0:28:44.600
<v Speaker 4>in the end.

0:28:45.400 --> 0:28:50.360
<v Speaker 5>And I think as coming from from history always, I

0:28:50.400 --> 0:28:53.000
<v Speaker 5>have a pH d in history, So that's why it

0:28:53.080 --> 0:28:56.120
<v Speaker 5>might be a way that I said. I'm in human ecology,

0:28:56.200 --> 0:28:59.240
<v Speaker 5>but I'm a historian by training, and I think this

0:28:59.320 --> 0:29:03.560
<v Speaker 5>is sort of a anti environmental talking point already from

0:29:03.560 --> 0:29:07.600
<v Speaker 5>the nineteen seventies. I guess with already with the oil crisis,

0:29:07.640 --> 0:29:14.080
<v Speaker 5>that if something hurts basically energy industry largely, then that

0:29:14.200 --> 0:29:20.000
<v Speaker 5>will affect your possibility for transportation, for heating, for electricity.

0:29:20.120 --> 0:29:23.200
<v Speaker 5>So it's a very close by topic or I don't

0:29:23.200 --> 0:29:25.920
<v Speaker 5>know how to say it correctly in English, but yes,

0:29:26.320 --> 0:29:28.480
<v Speaker 5>you can sort of feel it right away. So I

0:29:28.480 --> 0:29:32.000
<v Speaker 5>think that's the way it has been very effective, and

0:29:32.040 --> 0:29:35.080
<v Speaker 5>it's been used. I mean, now we talked about the US,

0:29:35.200 --> 0:29:38.400
<v Speaker 5>but as we show in the papers, we talked about

0:29:38.440 --> 0:29:45.680
<v Speaker 5>the basically oil industries attacks on the suggestion to have

0:29:45.720 --> 0:29:50.400
<v Speaker 5>a joint carbon tax, in the European in early nineteen nineties,

0:29:50.400 --> 0:29:54.600
<v Speaker 5>where Yeah, basically the same talking points were used. So

0:29:55.440 --> 0:29:59.240
<v Speaker 5>it's an effective around the world tactic.

0:29:59.280 --> 0:30:03.360
<v Speaker 4>I guess making it look like sacrifice instead of progress

0:30:03.720 --> 0:30:06.640
<v Speaker 4>is really what right they tried to do the whole time.

0:30:07.200 --> 0:30:10.800
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, well, and I think another important part of that

0:30:11.080 --> 0:30:16.320
<v Speaker 6>was dismantling this conservative consensus that protecting the environment is

0:30:16.360 --> 0:30:19.000
<v Speaker 6>also good for the economy, which took a lot of

0:30:19.040 --> 0:30:22.320
<v Speaker 6>deliberate work on the part of oil and gas because

0:30:22.360 --> 0:30:26.239
<v Speaker 6>even up into the nineties, you know, some of the

0:30:26.240 --> 0:30:33.480
<v Speaker 6>most consequential environmental initiatives came from conservative politicians, Republican administrations,

0:30:33.800 --> 0:30:36.440
<v Speaker 6>and so the oil and gas industry. By using these

0:30:36.480 --> 0:30:40.880
<v Speaker 6>scare tactics, it wasn't just rhetorical. They could reorient an

0:30:41.040 --> 0:30:43.920
<v Speaker 6>entire side of the political spectrum to get the kind

0:30:43.960 --> 0:30:47.600
<v Speaker 6>of anti regulatory policies that they wanted. Yeah.

0:30:47.640 --> 0:30:49.520
<v Speaker 7>I mean, I feel like we could almost point to

0:30:50.320 --> 0:30:54.200
<v Speaker 7>the current abundance discourse is the ultimate success here.

0:30:54.600 --> 0:30:57.280
<v Speaker 5>Yeah. I just came back from a conference and we

0:30:57.360 --> 0:31:01.200
<v Speaker 5>talked about this, like, should we under stand climate change

0:31:01.280 --> 0:31:06.280
<v Speaker 5>denial as primarily an environmental issue or something developed in

0:31:06.320 --> 0:31:09.280
<v Speaker 5>relation to environmental issue, or if we should see it

0:31:09.320 --> 0:31:13.200
<v Speaker 5>as an energy issue. I think that really makes a

0:31:13.280 --> 0:31:16.520
<v Speaker 5>difference in how we see that. We can see that well,

0:31:16.640 --> 0:31:20.240
<v Speaker 5>basically some part of the Conservatives could actually agree on

0:31:20.760 --> 0:31:24.760
<v Speaker 5>environmental stuff, but when it came to questions on energy

0:31:24.840 --> 0:31:30.640
<v Speaker 5>and basically economic growth and those kind of issues, then yeah,

0:31:30.760 --> 0:31:33.239
<v Speaker 5>there's a much stronger pushback.

0:31:32.840 --> 0:31:36.240
<v Speaker 4>Which has always made it harder than solving the ozone

0:31:36.320 --> 0:31:40.920
<v Speaker 4>layer or toxic waste or other things that other environmental challenges.

0:31:41.840 --> 0:31:45.200
<v Speaker 7>Right, so not at all. Unrelatedly, can I have you

0:31:45.280 --> 0:31:49.120
<v Speaker 7>walk through a quick history of the Waxman Marquee Act

0:31:49.800 --> 0:31:52.520
<v Speaker 7>and how I don't know, sort of a combination of

0:31:52.520 --> 0:31:54.600
<v Speaker 7>these obstruction tactics work to kill it.

0:31:55.800 --> 0:31:58.720
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I can take this. I mean the evolution of

0:31:58.880 --> 0:32:02.400
<v Speaker 4>wax and Marquee. Of course, it's in two thousand and nine,

0:32:02.480 --> 0:32:06.800
<v Speaker 4>so Obama has just been elected. There's been a bit

0:32:06.840 --> 0:32:09.360
<v Speaker 4>of a sea change in the US in the second

0:32:09.440 --> 0:32:17.240
<v Speaker 4>Bush term where more climate action is inevitable. So Obama

0:32:17.320 --> 0:32:20.200
<v Speaker 4>gets elected and both the House and the Senate are

0:32:20.360 --> 0:32:24.000
<v Speaker 4>in Democratic hands. So we're going to I heard someone

0:32:24.040 --> 0:32:27.000
<v Speaker 4>say we're going to run the table on climate and

0:32:27.240 --> 0:32:31.400
<v Speaker 4>the first play was, of course, they went after healthcare

0:32:31.720 --> 0:32:35.239
<v Speaker 4>first and that was a mistake, so it got the

0:32:35.360 --> 0:32:39.440
<v Speaker 4>enemy riled up, including the Koch brothers. But Waxman Marquee

0:32:39.560 --> 0:32:45.040
<v Speaker 4>was constructed in the same form as all other climate

0:32:45.080 --> 0:32:48.120
<v Speaker 4>policy at the time, a sort of cap and trade

0:32:48.280 --> 0:32:51.360
<v Speaker 4>mentality of putting a cap on carbon and then figuring

0:32:51.400 --> 0:32:53.560
<v Speaker 4>out a way to get.

0:32:53.400 --> 0:32:54.280
<v Speaker 3>To those goals.

0:32:55.480 --> 0:32:59.600
<v Speaker 4>The mistake was that many the people who ran the

0:32:59.680 --> 0:33:04.800
<v Speaker 4>game thought that the coal fired utilities and coal interests

0:33:04.800 --> 0:33:07.640
<v Speaker 4>were going to be the biggest obstruction and therefore needed

0:33:07.680 --> 0:33:11.520
<v Speaker 4>the biggest handout to get them to not try to

0:33:11.600 --> 0:33:13.680
<v Speaker 4>kill the bill. So there were a lot of handouts

0:33:13.720 --> 0:33:17.640
<v Speaker 4>for coal fired power plants if they could get to

0:33:17.760 --> 0:33:21.200
<v Speaker 4>carbon capture, and I'm calling them handouts, but the smart

0:33:21.200 --> 0:33:23.480
<v Speaker 4>people who wrote it probably thought they were really clever

0:33:24.120 --> 0:33:28.440
<v Speaker 4>devices to get some action out of those industries, and

0:33:28.480 --> 0:33:32.640
<v Speaker 4>there was nothing in it for big oil. So after

0:33:32.680 --> 0:33:37.239
<v Speaker 4>the bill passed the House in the early summer, then

0:33:37.360 --> 0:33:42.239
<v Speaker 4>the oil industry got really mobilized and went after it,

0:33:42.280 --> 0:33:48.280
<v Speaker 4>and we see the birth of the Energy Citizens campaign

0:33:48.360 --> 0:33:52.560
<v Speaker 4>by American Petroleum Institute with Edelman PR's help, where they

0:33:52.800 --> 0:33:56.080
<v Speaker 4>went after it hard and they basically knew they could

0:33:56.120 --> 0:33:58.480
<v Speaker 4>kill it in the Senate and that's where it died.

0:33:58.800 --> 0:34:01.960
<v Speaker 4>It never evolved. The importance of two thousand and nine

0:34:02.120 --> 0:34:06.440
<v Speaker 4>can't be underestimated because we were headed towards the Copenhagen

0:34:06.640 --> 0:34:10.440
<v Speaker 4>meeting of the UNF Triple C, and that was going

0:34:10.520 --> 0:34:14.280
<v Speaker 4>to be what Paris eventually was was a rebirth after

0:34:14.880 --> 0:34:18.480
<v Speaker 4>Kyoto fizzled, and it was supposed to be then. And

0:34:18.520 --> 0:34:23.120
<v Speaker 4>then because the Obama administration had nothing to bring because

0:34:23.200 --> 0:34:29.480
<v Speaker 4>Waxman Marquee didn't evolve into law, then that meeting fizzled,

0:34:29.840 --> 0:34:34.320
<v Speaker 4>also Climategate, but it was it was really a failure

0:34:34.920 --> 0:34:39.560
<v Speaker 4>of the US to lead. And then we're you know,

0:34:39.719 --> 0:34:41.960
<v Speaker 4>of course into a whole mess the next year with

0:34:42.000 --> 0:34:45.719
<v Speaker 4>the Deep Water Horizon. But the Wasston Marquee, you know,

0:34:45.800 --> 0:34:48.440
<v Speaker 4>the concept was good, and it was the first major

0:34:48.480 --> 0:34:51.359
<v Speaker 4>attempt at an economy wide you.

0:34:51.320 --> 0:34:55.919
<v Speaker 3>Know, law in the US, and it didn't didn't get there.

0:34:58.280 --> 0:35:04.080
<v Speaker 6>And another important piece of that, and that's a great summary, Kurt,

0:35:05.320 --> 0:35:09.480
<v Speaker 6>is that this really came during a moment when a

0:35:09.520 --> 0:35:14.280
<v Speaker 6>lot of conservatives were sort of cautiously embracing climate action publicly,

0:35:14.320 --> 0:35:18.319
<v Speaker 6>including even Rupert Murdoch, who said he wanted to use

0:35:18.320 --> 0:35:21.680
<v Speaker 6>his media empire to push out pro climate messages at

0:35:21.680 --> 0:35:25.040
<v Speaker 6>one point, which just seems insane now, but you had

0:35:25.040 --> 0:35:28.360
<v Speaker 6>the heads of oil companies coming out saying climate change

0:35:28.400 --> 0:35:34.840
<v Speaker 6>is real. Lindsey Graham was backing the cap and trade effort,

0:35:35.400 --> 0:35:38.719
<v Speaker 6>and so the smart oil and gas people realized they

0:35:38.760 --> 0:35:44.359
<v Speaker 6>needed to break that emerging consensus on the right. And

0:35:44.440 --> 0:35:47.960
<v Speaker 6>so when all of these Tea Party protests started erupting

0:35:48.280 --> 0:35:54.040
<v Speaker 6>around healthcare, that's when coke industries and other oil and

0:35:54.080 --> 0:35:57.120
<v Speaker 6>gas money kind of got involved in trying to steer

0:35:57.239 --> 0:36:02.520
<v Speaker 6>that grassroots right wing movement again that's climate action. And

0:36:02.560 --> 0:36:04.839
<v Speaker 6>they were very successful in doing that. And as the

0:36:04.880 --> 0:36:08.440
<v Speaker 6>Tea Party progressed, one of its major policy goals was

0:36:08.480 --> 0:36:13.239
<v Speaker 6>to repeal Wax and Marquee. And in the process of

0:36:13.280 --> 0:36:16.520
<v Speaker 6>all of these like angry revolts and far right people

0:36:16.600 --> 0:36:21.680
<v Speaker 6>screaming at their representatives, Lindsey Graham got spooked. He pulled

0:36:21.719 --> 0:36:26.799
<v Speaker 6>his support for the bill. Fox News went fully in

0:36:26.880 --> 0:36:29.760
<v Speaker 6>bed with the Tea Party and was pulled even further

0:36:29.840 --> 0:36:33.839
<v Speaker 6>to the right. A lot of these sort of conservative

0:36:33.880 --> 0:36:39.040
<v Speaker 6>thought leader people backed off and started embracing climate denial again,

0:36:39.600 --> 0:36:43.879
<v Speaker 6>and within a few years, this consensus that we needed

0:36:43.920 --> 0:36:47.080
<v Speaker 6>to do something about climate change, even among conservatives was

0:36:47.120 --> 0:36:49.720
<v Speaker 6>sort of like lying in tatters on the ground.

0:36:50.080 --> 0:36:52.600
<v Speaker 7>It's interesting and depressing story.

0:36:54.560 --> 0:36:58.280
<v Speaker 4>McCain also needs to be mentioned there. McCain, who lost

0:36:58.320 --> 0:37:02.240
<v Speaker 4>to Bush in the Republican primary for two thousand comes

0:37:02.280 --> 0:37:05.080
<v Speaker 4>back and becomes a climate champion and pushes a bill

0:37:05.680 --> 0:37:08.640
<v Speaker 4>for years that was losing again and again and again.

0:37:08.719 --> 0:37:11.480
<v Speaker 4>But that was part of what Jeff was mentioning that

0:37:11.520 --> 0:37:15.359
<v Speaker 4>there was there were actually a lot of conservatives who

0:37:15.400 --> 0:37:19.000
<v Speaker 4>realized something had to be done on this, and that

0:37:19.160 --> 0:37:23.600
<v Speaker 4>was pushing Bush, and that was pushing the politics on it.

0:37:23.719 --> 0:37:27.759
<v Speaker 4>You know, even Mitt Romney, who ran for president against Obama,

0:37:28.000 --> 0:37:31.080
<v Speaker 4>was better on a climate change than any Republican had been.

0:37:31.520 --> 0:37:34.520
<v Speaker 4>So there's an inevitability in two thousand and nine that

0:37:34.600 --> 0:37:38.200
<v Speaker 4>I think we squandered collectively.

0:37:39.760 --> 0:37:45.240
<v Speaker 7>Despite this consistent effort to push against any kind of action,

0:37:45.440 --> 0:37:47.600
<v Speaker 7>and you know, the billions and billions of dollars and

0:37:47.840 --> 0:37:52.080
<v Speaker 7>lobbying and marketing and fogus research and all of this stuff,

0:37:52.239 --> 0:37:55.880
<v Speaker 7>the industry does still position itself as part of the

0:37:55.960 --> 0:37:59.760
<v Speaker 7>solution on climate And I wonder if you could speak

0:38:00.080 --> 0:38:05.440
<v Speaker 7>to I guess see how and why that is still happening.

0:38:05.760 --> 0:38:08.840
<v Speaker 6>Well, I think more than anything else. The oil and

0:38:08.920 --> 0:38:13.480
<v Speaker 6>gas industry is in the business of managing risk. And

0:38:13.560 --> 0:38:18.880
<v Speaker 6>so despite this like full fledged turn towards insane, hardcore

0:38:19.280 --> 0:38:23.279
<v Speaker 6>climate change denial under the Trump administration, a lot of

0:38:23.320 --> 0:38:26.560
<v Speaker 6>major oil and gas companies they're still kind of hedging

0:38:26.640 --> 0:38:30.120
<v Speaker 6>their bets politically, I think a little bit. They can

0:38:30.239 --> 0:38:33.080
<v Speaker 6>kind of like implicitly support a lot of the things

0:38:33.160 --> 0:38:37.040
<v Speaker 6>the Trump administration is doing, but they won't come out

0:38:37.040 --> 0:38:39.560
<v Speaker 6>and say, yeah, all of this climate stuff was like

0:38:39.680 --> 0:38:42.719
<v Speaker 6>totally bullshit and we actually think it's fake because they

0:38:42.760 --> 0:38:45.319
<v Speaker 6>know the political wins could turn again and then that's

0:38:45.320 --> 0:38:48.200
<v Speaker 6>suddenly going to become a liability for them, and so

0:38:48.480 --> 0:38:51.160
<v Speaker 6>I think it's in their best interest to sort of

0:38:51.480 --> 0:38:56.120
<v Speaker 6>maintain this very kind of like hollow facade that they

0:38:56.160 --> 0:39:02.879
<v Speaker 6>are climate leaders while kind of quietly racing everything that

0:39:03.280 --> 0:39:04.240
<v Speaker 6>Trump is pushing.

0:39:04.920 --> 0:39:07.560
<v Speaker 7>Well, and there are global companies too, right, so they

0:39:07.600 --> 0:39:10.040
<v Speaker 7>still have deal with other governments.

0:39:11.680 --> 0:39:14.719
<v Speaker 5>I think the example that we have on equin or

0:39:14.800 --> 0:39:19.680
<v Speaker 5>the state owned company Norway is quite telling. Actually the

0:39:19.800 --> 0:39:26.239
<v Speaker 5>Utanists contributed with the an old company that is sort

0:39:26.239 --> 0:39:29.800
<v Speaker 5>of bound by a lot of climate legislation in Norway

0:39:29.840 --> 0:39:34.040
<v Speaker 5>and the carbon tax, but still sort of yeah, produce

0:39:34.120 --> 0:39:38.000
<v Speaker 5>a lot of oil, but then have had to change

0:39:38.040 --> 0:39:43.480
<v Speaker 5>their model and talking about producing green oil, basically electrifying

0:39:43.680 --> 0:39:48.719
<v Speaker 5>all of their production, but still pumping up oil and gas.

0:39:49.000 --> 0:39:52.320
<v Speaker 5>And that's very much like how they have been able

0:39:52.400 --> 0:39:57.040
<v Speaker 5>to well portray themselves as part of some kind of

0:39:57.080 --> 0:40:02.359
<v Speaker 5>solution being greener than other oil companies. Again, coming back

0:40:02.360 --> 0:40:06.400
<v Speaker 5>to this focus on emission that really offers an opt

0:40:06.480 --> 0:40:11.760
<v Speaker 5>out in or an opt in to continue to produce

0:40:12.040 --> 0:40:12.920
<v Speaker 5>fossil fuels.

0:40:12.960 --> 0:40:17.239
<v Speaker 4>Perhaps, Yeah, I mean going to the chapter and the

0:40:17.960 --> 0:40:23.000
<v Speaker 4>time frame we're talking about here. Just before Paris, the

0:40:23.080 --> 0:40:27.279
<v Speaker 4>oil industry, many big oil companies form the Oil and

0:40:27.360 --> 0:40:31.839
<v Speaker 4>Gas Climate Initiative, the OGCI, and they you know, it's

0:40:31.880 --> 0:40:34.919
<v Speaker 4>a total pr effort, but they form a new trade

0:40:34.960 --> 0:40:40.160
<v Speaker 4>association internationally to help to solve climate change. On its face,

0:40:40.840 --> 0:40:43.960
<v Speaker 4>and you know, it includes a lot of happy talk

0:40:44.000 --> 0:40:47.160
<v Speaker 4>about natural gas as a cleaner form of energy and

0:40:47.239 --> 0:40:49.359
<v Speaker 4>how it's a bridge fuel, and then it talks they

0:40:49.360 --> 0:40:53.279
<v Speaker 4>talk about carbon capture a lot, and they are trying

0:40:53.320 --> 0:40:54.440
<v Speaker 4>to get a seat at the table.

0:40:54.480 --> 0:40:55.680
<v Speaker 3>They effectively do.

0:40:57.680 --> 0:41:00.600
<v Speaker 4>Initially excellent and Chevron did not join that, and eventually

0:41:00.640 --> 0:41:03.919
<v Speaker 4>they've realized that's the way to go. But it's again

0:41:04.120 --> 0:41:07.759
<v Speaker 4>having credibility, needing to look like they are part of

0:41:07.800 --> 0:41:11.160
<v Speaker 4>the solution is the whole game, to not look like

0:41:11.200 --> 0:41:15.200
<v Speaker 4>an obstruction, to look like they care too. That's really

0:41:15.200 --> 0:41:17.120
<v Speaker 4>what they That's what they say in they're advertising, by

0:41:17.120 --> 0:41:21.160
<v Speaker 4>the way, we care. But it's really important, and they

0:41:21.200 --> 0:41:24.359
<v Speaker 4>also have us. All hostage is the other truth, right,

0:41:24.520 --> 0:41:28.759
<v Speaker 4>All governments of the world are hostage to the oil

0:41:28.800 --> 0:41:33.200
<v Speaker 4>industry at some level, and whether as a producer or

0:41:33.239 --> 0:41:38.200
<v Speaker 4>a consumer, they can use this economic blackmail anywhere anytime.

0:41:39.520 --> 0:41:42.520
<v Speaker 7>Okay, Christopher, I have a history question for you. I

0:41:42.600 --> 0:41:45.400
<v Speaker 7>want to talk about a little bit of the history

0:41:45.440 --> 0:41:49.440
<v Speaker 7>of just, you know, any kind of efforts to a

0:41:49.560 --> 0:41:53.000
<v Speaker 7>dress environmental problems at an international level in general, and

0:41:53.120 --> 0:41:56.560
<v Speaker 7>how the industry gets involved right from the beginning. So

0:41:56.600 --> 0:41:59.880
<v Speaker 7>you talk about this in the chapter of pulling to

0:42:00.000 --> 0:42:03.960
<v Speaker 7>the other of efforts through the International Chamber, and then

0:42:04.280 --> 0:42:07.400
<v Speaker 7>how the industry deals with the Brutland Commission and the

0:42:07.440 --> 0:42:10.520
<v Speaker 7>formation of IPKA and all of this stuff, which I

0:42:10.520 --> 0:42:13.080
<v Speaker 7>find really interesting, and I'm sorry to distill it all

0:42:13.120 --> 0:42:15.759
<v Speaker 7>down to just one question, but I can I talk

0:42:15.800 --> 0:42:19.600
<v Speaker 7>a little bit about that period of the early seventies

0:42:19.680 --> 0:42:23.680
<v Speaker 7>to the early nineties and how they ingratiate themselves into

0:42:23.719 --> 0:42:25.480
<v Speaker 7>these international efforts.

0:42:26.719 --> 0:42:30.279
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, I think that's and you have also written about this,

0:42:30.440 --> 0:42:33.480
<v Speaker 5>I know, but I think it's such an important part

0:42:33.880 --> 0:42:38.120
<v Speaker 5>for understanding this idea of co option, that they were

0:42:38.160 --> 0:42:41.319
<v Speaker 5>there from the start, As you say, old men like

0:42:41.400 --> 0:42:45.760
<v Speaker 5>Marris Strong was part of we're sharing the Stockholm conference

0:42:45.880 --> 0:42:50.520
<v Speaker 5>in nineteen seventy two. And actually what some scholars have

0:42:50.600 --> 0:42:55.560
<v Speaker 5>shown that the industry position was actually sort of a

0:42:55.680 --> 0:43:00.640
<v Speaker 5>sort of after competence, that these people we're seen as

0:43:00.719 --> 0:43:05.279
<v Speaker 5>people that could well do stuff, make things happen. So

0:43:05.840 --> 0:43:10.719
<v Speaker 5>oil industry was already in Stockholm and in later conferences.

0:43:10.719 --> 0:43:14.759
<v Speaker 5>Part of the discussion about how well basically how we

0:43:15.400 --> 0:43:20.759
<v Speaker 5>understand sustainability or sustainable development, and particularly in this part

0:43:20.840 --> 0:43:24.680
<v Speaker 5>that Ankle Symbticus has contributed to a lot and also

0:43:24.719 --> 0:43:30.800
<v Speaker 5>written about in other parts, is how basically these international

0:43:30.840 --> 0:43:36.759
<v Speaker 5>business organizations coordinate, through international Chamber of Commerce and other

0:43:37.320 --> 0:43:42.040
<v Speaker 5>venues like and conferences and such basically to come up

0:43:42.080 --> 0:43:44.680
<v Speaker 5>with their own position, to come up whe their position

0:43:44.920 --> 0:43:48.400
<v Speaker 5>or already made answer that they could actually use in

0:43:48.640 --> 0:43:55.399
<v Speaker 5>discussions about central concepts like sustainable development or precautionary principles

0:43:55.480 --> 0:43:59.879
<v Speaker 5>or those kind of important topics throughout sort of nine

0:44:00.160 --> 0:44:04.399
<v Speaker 5>eighties and ninety nineties. But if they're part of that

0:44:04.560 --> 0:44:09.200
<v Speaker 5>discussion up until maybe the ninety nineties, something clearly changes

0:44:09.320 --> 0:44:14.720
<v Speaker 5>after the establishment of IPCC, and yeah, that climate change

0:44:14.800 --> 0:44:19.000
<v Speaker 5>really becomes more of a salient issue, but yeah, a

0:44:19.080 --> 0:44:22.200
<v Speaker 5>more important issue in the nineteen nineties, and that's when

0:44:22.239 --> 0:44:27.600
<v Speaker 5>we see this more aggressive push against any type of

0:44:28.040 --> 0:44:31.360
<v Speaker 5>climate action. So I think it's important to have in

0:44:31.400 --> 0:44:34.440
<v Speaker 5>mind that they were there from the start, and they

0:44:34.480 --> 0:44:37.840
<v Speaker 5>have in all of these organizations from the start.

0:44:38.360 --> 0:44:41.280
<v Speaker 7>The Paris Agreement comes up, of course a lot throughout

0:44:41.320 --> 0:44:44.520
<v Speaker 7>this whole book and in this chapter, and I do

0:44:44.840 --> 0:44:49.239
<v Speaker 7>feel like this thing has happened where it's pointed to,

0:44:49.480 --> 0:44:52.320
<v Speaker 7>is this big success, But in some ways it seems

0:44:52.320 --> 0:44:54.960
<v Speaker 7>like a real win for industry as well. So I'm

0:44:55.000 --> 0:44:57.880
<v Speaker 7>going to throw that thorny question at you. Who is

0:44:57.960 --> 0:44:58.799
<v Speaker 7>Paris a win for?

0:44:59.160 --> 0:45:01.600
<v Speaker 3>If anyone, it's pretty grim.

0:45:02.040 --> 0:45:04.280
<v Speaker 4>I mean, I think that goes back to that quote

0:45:04.840 --> 0:45:09.520
<v Speaker 4>at the top that no government really still wants to

0:45:09.840 --> 0:45:13.839
<v Speaker 4>commit to anything that you know everybody else isn't doing.

0:45:13.880 --> 0:45:19.400
<v Speaker 4>There's so much selfishness embodied in the Framework Convention or

0:45:19.400 --> 0:45:22.279
<v Speaker 4>it'll never leave. It's not it's also part of it,

0:45:22.320 --> 0:45:25.319
<v Speaker 4>but it will never leave. And the industry knows. The

0:45:25.360 --> 0:45:28.920
<v Speaker 4>industry knows they can prey on that. So to have

0:45:29.680 --> 0:45:35.400
<v Speaker 4>an agreement that relies on government pledges that have to

0:45:35.440 --> 0:45:38.040
<v Speaker 4>be met by the governments takes the burden off of

0:45:38.080 --> 0:45:40.839
<v Speaker 4>the industry really, because it's then the government's fault if

0:45:40.840 --> 0:45:44.239
<v Speaker 4>they don't meet the pledge, and they know that. And

0:45:44.360 --> 0:45:50.360
<v Speaker 4>also pretty much every pledge included magical solutions like carbon

0:45:50.440 --> 0:45:54.400
<v Speaker 4>capture as part of the pledge, so they kind of

0:45:54.520 --> 0:46:00.800
<v Speaker 4>built their survival into the UK Pledge, the US Pledge,

0:46:02.280 --> 0:46:08.600
<v Speaker 4>other big government policies to sort of show or try

0:46:08.640 --> 0:46:11.640
<v Speaker 4>to make an oil future inevitable.

0:46:11.960 --> 0:46:13.959
<v Speaker 3>And the main thing they want there is.

0:46:15.080 --> 0:46:17.160
<v Speaker 4>You know, yeah, yeah, yeah, we care, but you're not

0:46:17.200 --> 0:46:21.120
<v Speaker 4>going to turn off oil and gas tomorrow, right, And

0:46:21.200 --> 0:46:24.040
<v Speaker 4>then they haven't yeah, and the government has to say, well, yes,

0:46:24.080 --> 0:46:26.120
<v Speaker 4>of course, we're reasonable, we're not going to turn it

0:46:26.200 --> 0:46:29.200
<v Speaker 4>off tomorrow, and then you buy time and then you

0:46:29.320 --> 0:46:32.799
<v Speaker 4>have a way out, and by the time we get

0:46:32.840 --> 0:46:36.799
<v Speaker 4>back to another agreement, all those other politicians are dead

0:46:36.840 --> 0:46:40.319
<v Speaker 4>and buried and they start again with denial and that's

0:46:40.320 --> 0:46:41.120
<v Speaker 4>pretty grim.

0:46:41.280 --> 0:46:44.799
<v Speaker 3>But that is the best they could do. I think

0:46:44.840 --> 0:46:47.000
<v Speaker 3>in twenty fifteen they probably if you talk to.

0:46:48.239 --> 0:46:52.080
<v Speaker 4>Someone like the Obama administration or Al Gore even they

0:46:52.080 --> 0:46:54.680
<v Speaker 4>would say, we got the best we could out of

0:46:54.680 --> 0:46:58.759
<v Speaker 4>that moment. And there's some very smart, practical people who

0:46:59.160 --> 0:47:02.560
<v Speaker 4>try to push the international agreements as hard as they

0:47:02.600 --> 0:47:04.719
<v Speaker 4>can and get what they can. But it's a tough

0:47:04.719 --> 0:47:08.719
<v Speaker 4>sport because you're up against a mountain of resistance.

0:47:10.680 --> 0:47:13.560
<v Speaker 7>So you say at the end of the chapter, if

0:47:13.640 --> 0:47:16.640
<v Speaker 7>far right and authoritarian politics continue to gain hold, this

0:47:16.680 --> 0:47:19.360
<v Speaker 7>trend may herald a new form of denial and obstruction

0:47:19.440 --> 0:47:22.520
<v Speaker 7>that is not passive or opaque, but blatantly refuses to

0:47:22.600 --> 0:47:26.879
<v Speaker 7>comply with the scientific warnings about climate change. I think

0:47:26.960 --> 0:47:30.800
<v Speaker 7>we're there in the US. So where are you seeing

0:47:30.880 --> 0:47:34.320
<v Speaker 7>this turn up? And what are you sort of anticipating

0:47:34.440 --> 0:47:36.840
<v Speaker 7>to see in the next couple of years.

0:47:37.280 --> 0:47:39.759
<v Speaker 6>Well, it's funny because when we had that prediction at

0:47:39.760 --> 0:47:43.120
<v Speaker 6>the end of our chapter, it did feel like a

0:47:43.200 --> 0:47:47.560
<v Speaker 6>little bit like edgy or like looking out a little

0:47:47.560 --> 0:47:51.560
<v Speaker 6>bit to include something like that. And now, of course,

0:47:51.960 --> 0:47:56.560
<v Speaker 6>like hardcore climate denial is the mainstream in the US,

0:47:56.840 --> 0:48:01.160
<v Speaker 6>and of former fracking executive is the head of the

0:48:01.200 --> 0:48:07.000
<v Speaker 6>Department of Energy, and he commissioned climate deniers active during

0:48:07.040 --> 0:48:09.760
<v Speaker 6>the heyday of denial in the nineties to come back

0:48:09.840 --> 0:48:13.000
<v Speaker 6>and write a report saying that humans may not be

0:48:13.040 --> 0:48:16.439
<v Speaker 6>the primary cause of global temperatureize. And now the Trump

0:48:16.520 --> 0:48:21.160
<v Speaker 6>administration is using that to demolish US climate policy and

0:48:21.640 --> 0:48:24.719
<v Speaker 6>deregulate oil and gas. So we in the US at

0:48:24.800 --> 0:48:28.000
<v Speaker 6>least we're fully there. But I think versions of this

0:48:28.080 --> 0:48:31.920
<v Speaker 6>are kind of like echoing out across the world. In

0:48:32.080 --> 0:48:35.960
<v Speaker 6>the UK, Nigel Farage and Reform have like fully gone

0:48:35.960 --> 0:48:40.960
<v Speaker 6>in on climate denial. There's like slightly more subtle forms

0:48:40.960 --> 0:48:45.880
<v Speaker 6>of it in Canada and the big like Tarzans producing areas,

0:48:46.960 --> 0:48:50.200
<v Speaker 6>and so I think it shows that like whatever the

0:48:50.239 --> 0:48:55.759
<v Speaker 6>mainstream political context is will determine how the oil and

0:48:55.800 --> 0:48:59.200
<v Speaker 6>gas industry is going to react, and the big companies

0:48:59.239 --> 0:49:03.600
<v Speaker 6>haven't so far are fully jumped back into the climate

0:49:03.760 --> 0:49:08.080
<v Speaker 6>denial mode. But it's this has shifted the whole center

0:49:08.120 --> 0:49:10.480
<v Speaker 6>of gravity in terms of how these companies are going

0:49:10.520 --> 0:49:13.080
<v Speaker 6>to react to what's going on in politics.

0:49:13.360 --> 0:49:16.800
<v Speaker 5>I think also one important context for this is basically

0:49:17.000 --> 0:49:21.440
<v Speaker 5>Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the geopolitic, like the political

0:49:21.520 --> 0:49:25.680
<v Speaker 5>concerns that followed after that in terms of energy policy,

0:49:25.719 --> 0:49:32.360
<v Speaker 5>that made both this well refusal or denial, but also

0:49:32.680 --> 0:49:39.960
<v Speaker 5>a very mainstreaming of the economic scare tactics that basically

0:49:40.000 --> 0:49:43.720
<v Speaker 5>open up for this kind of denial that we are

0:49:43.880 --> 0:49:47.000
<v Speaker 5>we have other priorities, we have other things that we

0:49:47.080 --> 0:49:50.040
<v Speaker 5>need to think about right now, so we cannot deal

0:49:50.080 --> 0:49:55.000
<v Speaker 5>with this messy topic of climate change, your climate action.

0:49:55.120 --> 0:50:00.399
<v Speaker 5>So I think that really shifted the balance. And in Sweden, well,

0:50:00.440 --> 0:50:03.239
<v Speaker 5>I mean the Sweden, the far right Sweden Democrats have

0:50:03.320 --> 0:50:07.600
<v Speaker 5>been sort of the closest allies to the more denialist

0:50:07.640 --> 0:50:13.480
<v Speaker 5>groups from well basically twenty tens. But yeah, now it's

0:50:13.920 --> 0:50:19.080
<v Speaker 5>their policies that dictates much of what is happening today.