1 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:17,080 Speaker 1: What's up, guys, how are you happy? Monday? We start 2 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:19,160 Speaker 1: a new week here for the Daily Juice podcast. My 3 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: name is Matt Perult. You guys can follow me across 4 00:00:21,520 --> 00:00:24,640 Speaker 1: all of my socials at sports Talk Matt. And we're 5 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: back after kind of a cool down weekend. Saturday was 6 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: a small loser, Sunday was a small loser, but overall 7 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 1: a winning week for us last week. I'll wait for 8 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:39,160 Speaker 1: betting pros to fully calculate and calibrate all the records 9 00:00:39,159 --> 00:00:40,879 Speaker 1: from the week, but I can tell you just by 10 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:44,000 Speaker 1: my math winning week last week. So we start a 11 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:48,159 Speaker 1: new week here on a Monday. Last night, well, it 12 00:00:48,240 --> 00:00:50,239 Speaker 1: was kind of a flat day. We wind up with 13 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:54,080 Speaker 1: the Eagles correct one unit there. The teaser does not 14 00:00:54,160 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: come in. The over was right, but Washington got housed 15 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:00,360 Speaker 1: fifty five points for the Eagles. We lose one point 16 00:01:00,400 --> 00:01:03,840 Speaker 1: two or down point two. There kc money line that 17 00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 1: comes in. More on that here in a second, the 18 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 1: Bills do not cover the eight, the under does not 19 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 1: come in. I guess the Bills do cover the eight, 20 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:12,520 Speaker 1: but the under didn't come in. Should have bet the 21 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:14,959 Speaker 1: over that tease that down gone the other way and 22 00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:16,400 Speaker 1: it would have been a winning day for US two 23 00:01:16,440 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 1: and two on the props, down point zero five, so 24 00:01:18,560 --> 00:01:21,480 Speaker 1: a paper cut there on the props for US one 25 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:23,560 Speaker 1: in one in both games, so a three and three 26 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:28,640 Speaker 1: mark down point four five units for the day yesterday, 27 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:30,960 Speaker 1: So lost a couple of units on Saturday, lost half 28 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:33,000 Speaker 1: a unit on Sunday, but still a winning week for 29 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:35,120 Speaker 1: US here for the week as we start a new 30 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:38,440 Speaker 1: week here on Monday. Quick thing on the NFL, and 31 00:01:38,560 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 1: I told you I was betting the Chiefs because I 32 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:44,280 Speaker 1: thought the referees would do something questionable that would give 33 00:01:44,319 --> 00:01:47,600 Speaker 1: the Chiefs the win. And that's exactly what happened. We 34 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:52,000 Speaker 1: bet money on the NFL. My career is basically based 35 00:01:52,040 --> 00:01:55,840 Speaker 1: around watching football and watching the NFL. But the more 36 00:01:55,880 --> 00:01:58,160 Speaker 1: that this goes on, the more and more I'm going 37 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:01,520 Speaker 1: to be betting and watching college football. It is driving 38 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:03,560 Speaker 1: me away. Somebody said to me, why don't you just 39 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 1: stop watching it? Well, because it's my job to watch it. 40 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:08,560 Speaker 1: But I will watch more college football. I'll bet more 41 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:13,360 Speaker 1: college football because while the product might be somewhat questionable 42 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:16,600 Speaker 1: with NIL and coaches moving around and everything's going on 43 00:02:16,639 --> 00:02:21,400 Speaker 1: in college football with realignment, While that might be somewhat screwy. 44 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 1: It's nothing compared to what's going on with the NFL. 45 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: I mean, they're going to try to tell us that 46 00:02:27,880 --> 00:02:30,600 Speaker 1: that first down on fourth down for Josh Allen, he 47 00:02:30,639 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 1: did not get to the forty yard line. I'm sorry, 48 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:35,640 Speaker 1: you're just trying to see something that is not there. 49 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:39,760 Speaker 1: Josh Allen half his body cross the forty yard line, 50 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:42,920 Speaker 1: he got the first down. Like you will never convince 51 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:44,880 Speaker 1: me that he did not get the first down. And 52 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:49,000 Speaker 1: we're relying on geriatric men who are out of shape, 53 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:54,280 Speaker 1: who are old, who run in complete zigzag lines to 54 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:58,960 Speaker 1: try to unearth humanity with men that are three times 55 00:02:59,040 --> 00:03:02,320 Speaker 1: the size they are trying to find where a football 56 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:05,160 Speaker 1: comes down to one and a half an inch. We've 57 00:03:05,200 --> 00:03:10,880 Speaker 1: had the technology with the footballs. There's been micro chips 58 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:14,720 Speaker 1: excuse me, in the football for a very long time 59 00:03:14,880 --> 00:03:18,639 Speaker 1: for years now. They just haven't used it to go 60 00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:22,520 Speaker 1: to the first down marker, which is really pretty easy. 61 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:27,280 Speaker 1: It's now time. It's time to take on the same 62 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:30,680 Speaker 1: technology they use in tennis, the same technology they have 63 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:35,800 Speaker 1: used in other sports for touchdowns and first downs line 64 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:40,440 Speaker 1: to gain in scoring plays. Let's stop this. It's a 65 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 1: billion dollar organization with a chain gang doing it the 66 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:46,960 Speaker 1: same that they did it in the seventies. It's really 67 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 1: the only thing the NFL does that is the same 68 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:53,880 Speaker 1: from the nineteen seventies or sixties. Even at the merger. 69 00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:58,880 Speaker 1: It has to go away because this conversation should never 70 00:03:58,920 --> 00:04:03,000 Speaker 1: happen again. Finally caught them. It finally caught the NFL. 71 00:04:03,080 --> 00:04:07,240 Speaker 1: I have been talking about the chain gang for twenty years, 72 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:10,520 Speaker 1: saying what are we doing. There's going to be a 73 00:04:10,560 --> 00:04:13,400 Speaker 1: really big play. There's going to be a really big 74 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:17,599 Speaker 1: moment where we're gonna have a big discrepancy as to 75 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:21,080 Speaker 1: whether or not a football got to a line of gained, 76 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:24,160 Speaker 1: got to the first down marker, and it's gonna swing 77 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 1: millions of dollars. It's gonna swing who wins. And again 78 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:29,359 Speaker 1: this has nothing to do I did not win or lose. 79 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:31,920 Speaker 1: I had case money line, So I'm not crying over 80 00:04:32,000 --> 00:04:36,400 Speaker 1: spilled milk here. I bet it knowing this type of stuff. 81 00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:38,680 Speaker 1: But if you want to stop the narrative that the 82 00:04:38,720 --> 00:04:40,800 Speaker 1: fix is in, and you might say, Matt that the 83 00:04:40,800 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 1: reps don't care, the league doesn't care. If you think 84 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:46,320 Speaker 1: the fix is in or somebody else thinks the fix 85 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:48,599 Speaker 1: is in. Well, I think they do because the ratings 86 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:53,799 Speaker 1: are slipping. NFL ratings are slipping, and when the Bills 87 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:59,120 Speaker 1: and the Ravens last weekend was down twelve percent TV 88 00:04:59,279 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 1: wise in the window that is the perfect Sunday afternoon window. 89 00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:06,720 Speaker 1: I went well because a lot of fans might just think, well, 90 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 1: Casey's gonna win anyway, so why watch? And then Casey won. 91 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:14,680 Speaker 1: It swung the whole game. They were up by one, 92 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:17,680 Speaker 1: they were driving. If they score a touchdown in that 93 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:19,520 Speaker 1: drive and they go up by seven or they go 94 00:05:19,600 --> 00:05:23,120 Speaker 1: for two even to try to go up potentially and 95 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:26,359 Speaker 1: have it be what have it be a nine point game? 96 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:29,480 Speaker 1: I mean, you could win the game right there, if 97 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:31,000 Speaker 1: you're a buffalo, or at least put yourself in a 98 00:05:31,040 --> 00:05:33,359 Speaker 1: really good place. You can talk about the fact that 99 00:05:33,360 --> 00:05:35,360 Speaker 1: the Chiefs lost the turnover battle. They became the first 100 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:39,320 Speaker 1: team in these playoffs to lose the turnover battle one 101 00:05:39,400 --> 00:05:42,720 Speaker 1: nothing and still win the game. Yeah, but stoping somebody 102 00:05:42,720 --> 00:05:45,159 Speaker 1: on fourth down to turnover. In my mind, that's a turnover. 103 00:05:45,240 --> 00:05:47,720 Speaker 1: So it was one one. So like you could drop 104 00:05:47,760 --> 00:05:50,119 Speaker 1: that narrative about like, well they did it, they lost 105 00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 1: the turnover battle. No, they didn't. It was one to 106 00:05:52,080 --> 00:05:54,920 Speaker 1: one and they had to even it up to win 107 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:58,040 Speaker 1: the game. They had to get a turnover to even 108 00:05:58,080 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 1: the game up, and they did. They got the turn 109 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:02,640 Speaker 1: over because three plays later they were in the end 110 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:05,920 Speaker 1: zone and they scored, and then it was totally different. 111 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 1: It was a totally different game. They win the game 112 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:10,960 Speaker 1: by three. You say, well, Josh Allen had the football, 113 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:13,400 Speaker 1: he had the ball a chance. Yeah, It's really hard 114 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:15,359 Speaker 1: to play from behind on the road in the fourth 115 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:19,000 Speaker 1: quarter against Patrick Mahomes. It's really hard. It's hard to 116 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:21,000 Speaker 1: do that with one hand tie behind your back. It's 117 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 1: why they haven't been able to do it in the 118 00:06:23,279 --> 00:06:26,040 Speaker 1: regular season. Go look at how the games are refereed. 119 00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:31,360 Speaker 1: Final stat the Casey Chiefs in their last twelve playoff 120 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:36,840 Speaker 1: games are eleven oh to one where their opponent receives 121 00:06:36,880 --> 00:06:42,479 Speaker 1: more penalty yards than they do. Just a fact. Take 122 00:06:42,520 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 1: what you want with that, but that's a fact. Eleven 123 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:48,320 Speaker 1: oh to one. Now over the last twelve playoff games, 124 00:06:48,800 --> 00:06:51,520 Speaker 1: for the Chiefs to get flags thrown more on their 125 00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:54,480 Speaker 1: opponent and have more penalties on their opponent, more yards 126 00:06:54,480 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 1: on their opponent, then they receive Okay, that's why people 127 00:07:00,279 --> 00:07:02,839 Speaker 1: start questioning where the league is, and they're not wrong 128 00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 1: to do it. Okay, Eagles Chiefs, we saw it two 129 00:07:06,160 --> 00:07:10,360 Speaker 1: years ago. Okay, fine, should be a good super Bowl, 130 00:07:10,400 --> 00:07:13,640 Speaker 1: should be fun to watch. I'm paid to watch. It's 131 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:15,960 Speaker 1: my job to watch. It's my job to pay attention, 132 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:18,680 Speaker 1: my job to make plays and bets and recommend all 133 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:21,840 Speaker 1: this stuff. Okay, But in terms of like my own 134 00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:25,040 Speaker 1: fandom and my own like love of the league or 135 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:28,960 Speaker 1: love of NFL football versus college football, right now, it's 136 00:07:29,000 --> 00:07:32,800 Speaker 1: not a fair fight. All right, On to today New Week. 137 00:07:32,840 --> 00:07:35,160 Speaker 1: We just turned the page to go to college basketball 138 00:07:35,200 --> 00:07:38,200 Speaker 1: and the NFL in the NBA, rather two bets in 139 00:07:38,240 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 1: college one bet in the NBA to give you, guys, 140 00:07:41,120 --> 00:07:44,360 Speaker 1: Let's start with Iowa State on the road at Arizona. 141 00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 1: Cyclones opened up as either pick or a one point dog. 142 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:51,800 Speaker 1: It's been bet to Iowa State minus one. Iowa State 143 00:07:51,880 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 1: is six and two on the road ats this season. 144 00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:58,840 Speaker 1: They are eight and one in the Big Twelve Conference. 145 00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:01,920 Speaker 1: Arizona is five even four in the Big twelve Conference. 146 00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 1: They're six and four ats at home, but they've covered 147 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:07,040 Speaker 1: their last two games at home against Colorado and on 148 00:08:07,080 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 1: the road at Oklahoma State. For Iowa State. They went 149 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:12,520 Speaker 1: on the road to Arizona in their last game a 150 00:08:12,520 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 1: couple of days ago, laying ten, won by fifteen. At home, 151 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 1: they were laying sixteen and they won by twenty five. 152 00:08:19,280 --> 00:08:22,920 Speaker 1: That was in the wake of the West Virginia loss, 153 00:08:23,320 --> 00:08:25,040 Speaker 1: in which there was a lot going on in that 154 00:08:25,080 --> 00:08:27,720 Speaker 1: game with Jerry West and everything else that was happening, 155 00:08:27,760 --> 00:08:30,960 Speaker 1: and Darreon DeVries being an Iowa guy. There was a 156 00:08:31,000 --> 00:08:35,079 Speaker 1: lot going into West Virginia's win over Iowa State. They 157 00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:38,160 Speaker 1: were due to lose also Iowa State. I mean, they 158 00:08:38,200 --> 00:08:41,960 Speaker 1: had lost since Auburn in Maui, so it's been a 159 00:08:42,000 --> 00:08:45,400 Speaker 1: while since Iowa had lost. They were due. I'm going 160 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:47,679 Speaker 1: to maintain that Iowa State's the best team in the country, 161 00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:49,720 Speaker 1: and I'm not going to stop betting them when I 162 00:08:49,760 --> 00:08:53,320 Speaker 1: see short numbers like this. This is going to be 163 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 1: a tough environment in Tucson. Arizona is a good basketball team. 164 00:08:57,040 --> 00:08:59,320 Speaker 1: I'm not going to deny that Arizona is going to 165 00:08:59,320 --> 00:09:02,679 Speaker 1: be a formidable opponent here. They're nine and one ats 166 00:09:02,720 --> 00:09:05,679 Speaker 1: at home. Their only loss at home was to Duke. 167 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:09,360 Speaker 1: We were on Arizona in that game and it was 168 00:09:09,440 --> 00:09:12,280 Speaker 1: a sixty nine to fifty five win for Duke that 169 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:14,880 Speaker 1: was back on the twenty second of November. I think 170 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:18,000 Speaker 1: Iowa State is better than Duke, and I will lay 171 00:09:18,040 --> 00:09:20,000 Speaker 1: the one point. If you want to bet money line, 172 00:09:20,040 --> 00:09:22,720 Speaker 1: go ahead, it's pretty much the same price. But Iowa 173 00:09:22,840 --> 00:09:26,320 Speaker 1: State minus one. They have won last two games. By 174 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:28,040 Speaker 1: the way, the last two bets that burned me were 175 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:31,679 Speaker 1: Iowa won by one over Penn State, and we've had 176 00:09:31,679 --> 00:09:33,760 Speaker 1: games of the Arkansas game came down to the wire. 177 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:36,520 Speaker 1: Probably shouldn't have covered that. Where these numbers have been won, 178 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:38,880 Speaker 1: not bad it if you guys to bet money line, 179 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:40,959 Speaker 1: I just bet every day and I don't like the 180 00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:43,080 Speaker 1: juice on it, so I'm just gonna lay one minus 181 00:09:43,120 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 1: one ten. If I wind up pushing, I pushing, so 182 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 1: be it. But Iowa State minus one. Kempom has this 183 00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 1: as a two point win for Iowa State. Here up 184 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 1: against Arizona. It's strength on strength in a lot of 185 00:09:56,120 --> 00:10:00,760 Speaker 1: ways because Arizona's offense is sixteenth in efficiency, Iowa State's 186 00:10:00,800 --> 00:10:05,080 Speaker 1: defense is sixth inefficiency. Effective field goal percentage is sixty 187 00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:09,240 Speaker 1: fourth for Arizona, it's fifty six defensively for Iowa State. 188 00:10:09,520 --> 00:10:12,400 Speaker 1: Three point shooting has not been great for Arizona on 189 00:10:12,520 --> 00:10:15,319 Speaker 1: offense two hundred and thirty six this year, but they 190 00:10:15,320 --> 00:10:18,480 Speaker 1: are thirty third and two point shooting. Iowa State is 191 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:21,960 Speaker 1: thirty fifth and two point defense. On the flip side, 192 00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:25,240 Speaker 1: Iowa State's two point offense is twenty sixth, their tenth 193 00:10:25,280 --> 00:10:28,280 Speaker 1: in efficiency and thirty third in effective field goal percentage. 194 00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:31,079 Speaker 1: I'll take the Cyclones to stay hot here on the road. 195 00:10:31,480 --> 00:10:35,720 Speaker 1: Iowa State minus one for one point one units bet 196 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:38,640 Speaker 1: number two in college basketball. We will go to well, 197 00:10:38,679 --> 00:10:40,680 Speaker 1: we'll stay in the state of Iowa, I guess. Although 198 00:10:40,679 --> 00:10:44,840 Speaker 1: this is a home game for Ohio State, as they're 199 00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:49,240 Speaker 1: taking on Iowa, it's interesting to see Ohio State okay. 200 00:10:49,400 --> 00:10:52,400 Speaker 1: This team has companies. Coming off a really big win 201 00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:56,360 Speaker 1: over Perdue on the road. They're three to five in 202 00:10:56,400 --> 00:10:59,440 Speaker 1: the Big Ten Conference, stopped a three game losing streak 203 00:10:59,480 --> 00:11:02,800 Speaker 1: to Oregon in Wisconsin and Indiana with that win over Purdue. 204 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:06,360 Speaker 1: For Iowa, they just got a huge win over Penn State, 205 00:11:06,360 --> 00:11:08,680 Speaker 1: snapping their own three game losing streak as we talked 206 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:12,280 Speaker 1: about against USC, UCLA and Minnesota. They won by one 207 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:16,280 Speaker 1: seventy six to seventy five. This is an eight point 208 00:11:16,320 --> 00:11:19,480 Speaker 1: win for Ohio State. The number is eight and a 209 00:11:19,559 --> 00:11:22,680 Speaker 1: half or nine. This games on Fox Sports one. It's 210 00:11:22,720 --> 00:11:26,480 Speaker 1: a little bit on the heavy side. I lean towards 211 00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:31,240 Speaker 1: Iowa in this game, however, I think the total is 212 00:11:31,280 --> 00:11:34,440 Speaker 1: a better bet. It's one fifty seven and a half 213 00:11:34,800 --> 00:11:38,840 Speaker 1: for Ohio State at home. This is really high against 214 00:11:38,840 --> 00:11:42,680 Speaker 1: Indiana it was one forty nine and a half. Against Oregon, 215 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:45,960 Speaker 1: it was one forty nine and a half against Michigan State. 216 00:11:46,120 --> 00:11:49,439 Speaker 1: It was one forty nine against Indiana State. It was 217 00:11:49,559 --> 00:11:52,720 Speaker 1: one fifty nine. Now that's a non conference game, but 218 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:55,520 Speaker 1: the home games in Big Ten play have been one 219 00:11:55,600 --> 00:11:57,679 Speaker 1: forty nine and a half, one forty nine and a 220 00:11:57,720 --> 00:12:00,800 Speaker 1: half in one forty nine. So what's this, Yes, one 221 00:12:00,960 --> 00:12:04,440 Speaker 1: fifty seven and a half. Okay, that's interesting. Last two 222 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:07,520 Speaker 1: games for Iowa one fifty and a half in one 223 00:12:07,679 --> 00:12:13,040 Speaker 1: sixty nine. Both games went under against Minnesota and Penn State. 224 00:12:13,480 --> 00:12:17,079 Speaker 1: On the road, Iowa has been a road over team 225 00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:19,680 Speaker 1: five and two to the over, but they were five 226 00:12:19,720 --> 00:12:22,680 Speaker 1: and oh the last two games going under. On the 227 00:12:22,679 --> 00:12:25,080 Speaker 1: flip side, the last two games for Ohio State have 228 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:29,199 Speaker 1: gone over, but the totals of one fifty seven and 229 00:12:29,440 --> 00:12:32,760 Speaker 1: a half against Purdue, it only went over at one 230 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:35,040 Speaker 1: forty and a half and went over by two and 231 00:12:35,080 --> 00:12:38,520 Speaker 1: a half points. Barely got over against Wisconsin one forty 232 00:12:38,600 --> 00:12:40,480 Speaker 1: nine and a half and went under by eleven and 233 00:12:40,559 --> 00:12:44,160 Speaker 1: a half points. Against Michigan State one forty nine, it 234 00:12:44,200 --> 00:12:47,840 Speaker 1: went under by eighteen points. I don't think we're going 235 00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:49,800 Speaker 1: to see a lot of scoring here. I don't think 236 00:12:49,800 --> 00:12:51,920 Speaker 1: we're going to see a lot of tempo here. Although 237 00:12:51,960 --> 00:12:55,760 Speaker 1: Iowa does like to play fast, but Iowa State's defense 238 00:12:55,800 --> 00:12:58,520 Speaker 1: wants to slow you down. They're one hundred and nineteenth 239 00:12:58,559 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 1: for average possession length. I know Iowa's tenth in average 240 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:04,040 Speaker 1: possession length on offense. They want to go, go go, 241 00:13:04,360 --> 00:13:08,000 Speaker 1: but that's not how how Ohio State wants to play 242 00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:12,480 Speaker 1: on offense. They're two hundredth in average possession length. They 243 00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:18,079 Speaker 1: just don't play fast at all. Adjusted tempo for Ohio 244 00:13:18,080 --> 00:13:22,160 Speaker 1: State equally not fast. I mean they are two hundred 245 00:13:22,160 --> 00:13:25,520 Speaker 1: and twenty fifth in adjusted tempo. Oh sorry, no, so 246 00:13:25,520 --> 00:13:27,480 Speaker 1: they're one hundred and eighty first, one hundred and eighty 247 00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:30,920 Speaker 1: first and adjusted tempo so far this year, Iowa plays fast. 248 00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:34,080 Speaker 1: We know this about the Hawkeys and Frean McCaffrey, but 249 00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:37,160 Speaker 1: I think on the road Ohio State's gonna slow them down, 250 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:39,160 Speaker 1: take the air out of the ball. And just given 251 00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:41,559 Speaker 1: the fact that these numbers have been so much lower 252 00:13:41,640 --> 00:13:44,280 Speaker 1: than what the current model, one fifty eight is what 253 00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:46,680 Speaker 1: kempom has it, it's one fifty seven and a half, 254 00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:49,040 Speaker 1: So it's a little bit under that. You guys might 255 00:13:49,040 --> 00:13:51,400 Speaker 1: get some over money that might pop in here and 256 00:13:51,440 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 1: you might be able to get a better number than me. 257 00:13:53,000 --> 00:13:56,080 Speaker 1: But I'm gonna play the under under one ffty seven 258 00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:59,840 Speaker 1: and a half for Ohio State and Iowa slow pace. 259 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:02,760 Speaker 1: Don't see a lot of offense here in this one 260 00:14:03,040 --> 00:14:06,240 Speaker 1: between these two Big ten teams now one game in 261 00:14:06,280 --> 00:14:11,880 Speaker 1: the NBA. This is wild. So here comes the Houston Rockets, 262 00:14:12,800 --> 00:14:17,240 Speaker 1: who are twenty six seventeen and one against the number 263 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:20,920 Speaker 1: this year. E Mayodoka is the former coach of the 264 00:14:20,920 --> 00:14:24,440 Speaker 1: Boston Celtics. Emeyodoka took the Boston Celtics to an NBA 265 00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:28,520 Speaker 1: Finals where he lost to the Golden State Warriors. Emeyodoka 266 00:14:28,680 --> 00:14:32,480 Speaker 1: was fired then by the Boston Celtics for inappropriate relationships 267 00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:39,240 Speaker 1: with staffers underneath him literally and figuratively. And he is angry, 268 00:14:40,360 --> 00:14:44,240 Speaker 1: this guy. The Rockets are coming in here with something 269 00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 1: to play. On the flip side, the Boston Celtics are 270 00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:50,240 Speaker 1: pretty bored. They're eighteen twenty seven and one ATS on 271 00:14:50,280 --> 00:14:54,120 Speaker 1: the year. They're eight and fifteen ATS at home. They're 272 00:14:54,160 --> 00:14:56,440 Speaker 1: coming off of a win over the Dallas Mavericks to 273 00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:59,680 Speaker 1: end a road trip in which they beat Golden State 274 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:05,280 Speaker 1: by forty and beat Dallas rival by fifteen, losing to 275 00:15:05,360 --> 00:15:08,160 Speaker 1: the Lakers by twenty one because they don't care about 276 00:15:08,200 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 1: that team and the Clippers, who they won by four. 277 00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:14,640 Speaker 1: That didn't cover the twelve point line. Clippers sat everybody 278 00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:17,400 Speaker 1: in Boston barely won, and then they went out on 279 00:15:17,440 --> 00:15:20,040 Speaker 1: the La nightlife scene and they played like crap and 280 00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 1: lost by twenty one points to the Lakers. On the 281 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 1: flip side, the Rockets are coming off of a win 282 00:15:25,000 --> 00:15:28,840 Speaker 1: at Cleveland. They beat Cleveland twice. Actually they beat them 283 00:15:28,920 --> 00:15:32,040 Speaker 1: at home by one and on the road by four. 284 00:15:32,360 --> 00:15:34,600 Speaker 1: You beat Cleveland in back to back games, and you're 285 00:15:34,640 --> 00:15:38,800 Speaker 1: playing some pretty good basketball. The Celtics at home are 286 00:15:39,160 --> 00:15:42,760 Speaker 1: not to be relied upon and not to be dependent upon. 287 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:46,240 Speaker 1: They're fifteen and eight straight up. Houston on the road, however, 288 00:15:46,640 --> 00:15:50,640 Speaker 1: is fifteen and seven eight and two straight up over 289 00:15:50,800 --> 00:15:54,800 Speaker 1: their last ten games, and beating Cleveland has been enough 290 00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:58,480 Speaker 1: to take the points here. I think Boston might win 291 00:15:58,520 --> 00:16:01,760 Speaker 1: the game, but I don't trust the Celtics at all 292 00:16:01,920 --> 00:16:04,640 Speaker 1: at the moment as to the way they have been playing. 293 00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:07,440 Speaker 1: I mean, they lost to Atlanta at home in their 294 00:16:07,520 --> 00:16:12,320 Speaker 1: last home game one nineteen to one fifteen. They pounded 295 00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:15,080 Speaker 1: Orlando by twenty seven points the game before that, but 296 00:16:15,120 --> 00:16:19,120 Speaker 1: they lost to Toronto one ten to ninety seven at home. 297 00:16:19,760 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 1: This is a Monday, it's cold in Boston. The Houston 298 00:16:23,080 --> 00:16:25,000 Speaker 1: Rockets have way more going for them, and they care 299 00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:27,360 Speaker 1: about this game way more with em Adoka than the 300 00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:29,960 Speaker 1: Celtics do Boston. I don't think we'll get up here 301 00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:33,240 Speaker 1: for the Rockets, even though they probably should. Boston may win, 302 00:16:33,520 --> 00:16:35,600 Speaker 1: but six and a half is too many points. Give 303 00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:38,160 Speaker 1: me the Rockets plus six and a half for one 304 00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:41,000 Speaker 1: point one units, all right. So we go with three 305 00:16:41,080 --> 00:16:44,920 Speaker 1: bets today, two in college basketball, in one in the 306 00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:49,080 Speaker 1: NBA Iowa State laying one on the road at Arizona, 307 00:16:49,640 --> 00:16:52,920 Speaker 1: Iowa and Ohio State. We're going under one fifty seven 308 00:16:52,920 --> 00:16:55,640 Speaker 1: and a half in that game, and Houston plus six 309 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:58,040 Speaker 1: and a half on the road against the Boston Celtics 310 00:16:58,040 --> 00:17:01,360 Speaker 1: in the NBA and it's Matt Parole the following Miracless 311 00:17:01,360 --> 00:17:04,480 Speaker 1: all my socials at Sports Talk Matt. Every morning it 312 00:17:04,600 --> 00:17:06,119 Speaker 1: is the Daily Juice podcast.