1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,960 Speaker 1: Might DEBI rooms to negotiate. Sure might. Pete Alonzo still 2 00:00:03,960 --> 00:00:08,080 Speaker 1: want more. Absolutely, how this ends, We're gonna find out. 3 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: Welcome everyone to the Monday edition of Fair Territory. The 4 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:18,239 Speaker 1: BBWAA Awards dinner is behind us. You might have seen 5 00:00:18,280 --> 00:00:20,639 Speaker 1: that on the Foul Territory Network over the weekend. It 6 00:00:20,680 --> 00:00:23,360 Speaker 1: was a big honor for us to broadcast it live 7 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:26,920 Speaker 1: on YouTube. And now we look ahead on this program 8 00:00:26,960 --> 00:00:30,080 Speaker 1: and Foul Territory and our other many shows to the 9 00:00:30,120 --> 00:00:34,440 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five season. A lot happened this weekend, even 10 00:00:34,479 --> 00:00:38,200 Speaker 1: beyond the dinner. Two teams in particular were in the spotlight. 11 00:00:38,400 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 1: I'm going to deal with one of them in this 12 00:00:40,400 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 1: segment and another one in the next segment. And the 13 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:46,120 Speaker 1: first team I want to discuss is the Houston Astros. 14 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 1: The Astros are in the middle right now of a 15 00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:51,760 Speaker 1: lot of action. You might have seen the reports over 16 00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:55,400 Speaker 1: the weekend, actually yesterday is when they surfaced Sunday about 17 00:00:55,400 --> 00:00:59,720 Speaker 1: the Astros trading Ryan Presley to the Chicago Cubs, saving 18 00:00:59,840 --> 00:01:01,960 Speaker 1: a eight and a half million of the fourteen million 19 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:05,280 Speaker 1: dollars that Presley is owed next season. This is a 20 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 1: significant move for the Astros and the speculation, probably informed speculation, 21 00:01:10,400 --> 00:01:13,760 Speaker 1: is that they are trying to clear money to perhaps 22 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:18,040 Speaker 1: sign Alex Bregman. Re signed Bragman, their all star third basement, 23 00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:22,000 Speaker 1: the Astros bullpen is going to be weaker without Presley, 24 00:01:22,080 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 1: a star of many postseasons. He is a guy that 25 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:28,400 Speaker 1: was really a stalwart for them. But at the same time, 26 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 1: not only is the bullpen going to be weaker, this 27 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:35,040 Speaker 1: is a point in the Astros' evolution right now where 28 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: the rotation is kind of questionable too. We'll get to that, 29 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 1: But as for their current configuration, if they resigned Bragman, 30 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:47,360 Speaker 1: this is really interesting. Their plan is to play Bregman 31 00:01:47,400 --> 00:01:52,320 Speaker 1: at third base and move each Parades over to second base, 32 00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:56,560 Speaker 1: and also to play jose L Twove, their longtime second baseman, 33 00:01:56,960 --> 00:02:00,120 Speaker 1: in left field. Now. I wrote about this scenario in 34 00:02:00,160 --> 00:02:03,480 Speaker 1: my notes column on Monday, and what's interesting about it 35 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 1: to me is that defensively that probably better off with 36 00:02:08,120 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 1: Paraders at third and Bregman at second. They might say, well, 37 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 1: why are you moving Bregman off of third? He won 38 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 1: his first Gold Glove last season, but that is a 39 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 1: position he is willing to vacate if he signs with 40 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:22,080 Speaker 1: the Red Sox. For Raphael Devers. Now maybe he's not 41 00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:24,520 Speaker 1: as willing to vacate it for Isaac Parades, who is 42 00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:27,920 Speaker 1: not a franchise player like Devers is. But at the 43 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 1: same time, Bregman is a guy who came up as 44 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 1: a shortstop, played some shortstop in the miners, even the majors, 45 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 1: and certainly could handle second. Parades is a guy with 46 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 1: limited range, and you wonder how that's going to work out. Meanwhile, 47 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:45,799 Speaker 1: Altuve no longer a really good defensive second basement. It's 48 00:02:45,800 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 1: been a couple of years since he was that guy. 49 00:02:48,080 --> 00:02:50,360 Speaker 1: Putting him in left field, though, is its own risk 50 00:02:50,560 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 1: because he's thirty five years old, his sprint speed is down. 51 00:02:54,600 --> 00:02:57,680 Speaker 1: He is a guy who I don't know he can 52 00:02:57,720 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 1: cover left field in taking the park formerly known as 53 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:03,920 Speaker 1: Minute Made Park. Can he cover left field in some 54 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:06,919 Speaker 1: of the bigger, more spacious road stadiums that the Astros 55 00:03:06,960 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 1: will play in. And then there is the Astros rotation. 56 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:13,160 Speaker 1: General manager Dana Brown revealing over the weekend that Luis 57 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: Garcia and Lance mccullors will not be ready to start 58 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:19,000 Speaker 1: the season. These guys have not pitched for a long time. 59 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:23,680 Speaker 1: Garcia since twenty twenty three, mccullors since the twenty twenty 60 00:03:23,680 --> 00:03:27,079 Speaker 1: two World Series. The Astros still have a pretty good 61 00:03:27,080 --> 00:03:32,680 Speaker 1: group together. It's from Bervaldez, Hunter Brown, Ronel Blanco, Spencer Aarraghetti, 62 00:03:32,720 --> 00:03:36,120 Speaker 1: and the newly acquired from the Cubs Hayden Wiznski. But 63 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:39,600 Speaker 1: we will see if they're gonna have the depth now. 64 00:03:39,640 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 1: They expect Garcia McCullers back early in the season. We've 65 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:44,839 Speaker 1: heard this from them for a couple of years. Now. 66 00:03:44,880 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 1: We expect them back, and they could get Christian Havier 67 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:51,600 Speaker 1: back as well as JP France perhaps in the second half. 68 00:03:51,640 --> 00:03:55,520 Speaker 1: They're coming off their own surgeries. But the Astros rotation 69 00:03:55,920 --> 00:03:58,520 Speaker 1: is a little bit thin right now, so you wonder 70 00:03:58,600 --> 00:04:01,360 Speaker 1: with some of the defensive question that could arise if 71 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:04,520 Speaker 1: Gregman returns, how this is all going to play out. 72 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:07,800 Speaker 1: They'll be better defensively with Christian Walker at first, They'll 73 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:11,120 Speaker 1: be better offensively with Christian Walker at first. But remember 74 00:04:11,320 --> 00:04:14,320 Speaker 1: they're also losing Kyle Tucker, so it's a much different 75 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:18,520 Speaker 1: Houston Astros team we'll be looking at in twenty twenty five. 76 00:04:18,880 --> 00:04:21,720 Speaker 1: For more on the Astros, check out Crush City Territory, 77 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:25,640 Speaker 1: Chandler Rome, Josh Reddick, and Tyler Stafford host. Their latest 78 00:04:25,680 --> 00:04:29,479 Speaker 1: episode talks about Gregman's future and Presley's legacy in Houston. 79 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:33,120 Speaker 1: Subscribe on YouTube and wherever you get your podcast to 80 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:37,560 Speaker 1: the entire Foul Territory Network. Now, speaking of defense, I 81 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 1: was speaking with a team executive over the weekend and 82 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 1: he said to me, you know what, I do think 83 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:47,599 Speaker 1: the Dodgers might have a weakness. Their weakness might be 84 00:04:47,880 --> 00:04:50,279 Speaker 1: their defense. And that's why they've been trying to acquire 85 00:04:50,320 --> 00:04:53,480 Speaker 1: all these swing and miss guys this offseason. And we're talking, 86 00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:57,200 Speaker 1: of course about Roki Sasaki, Blake Snell, Tanner Scott, perhaps 87 00:04:57,279 --> 00:05:01,200 Speaker 1: Kirby Yates. Now, I don't know that's the motivation for 88 00:05:01,279 --> 00:05:04,600 Speaker 1: the Dodgers to acquire swinging mis guys. They always want 89 00:05:04,640 --> 00:05:09,599 Speaker 1: swinging miss guys. But their defense could be, if not 90 00:05:09,680 --> 00:05:12,640 Speaker 1: a weakness, certainly not a strength. And you go around 91 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:15,320 Speaker 1: the diamond in the outfield, in particular, the range in 92 00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 1: the corners with Taskar Hernandez and Michael Conforto is perhaps 93 00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: not what you want. Centerfield, Tommy Edmund I expect will 94 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:26,000 Speaker 1: be adequate, if not better, But he is a better 95 00:05:26,040 --> 00:05:28,520 Speaker 1: infielder than an outfielder, at least at this stage. Of 96 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 1: his career in the infield. You've got Freddy Freeman at first. 97 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:34,280 Speaker 1: He's still good. Hashan Kim take me over a second. 98 00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:37,640 Speaker 1: He should be good. Mookie Betts at shortstop remains a 99 00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:40,359 Speaker 1: huge question. Now he's had an entire offseason, he'll have 100 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:43,520 Speaker 1: an entire spring training to get himself ready for the position, 101 00:05:43,880 --> 00:05:45,680 Speaker 1: as opposed to last season when he moved there in 102 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 1: the middle of the spring. So we'll see how Mookie 103 00:05:48,040 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 1: does and if he turns out to be a quality shortstop, 104 00:05:51,040 --> 00:05:54,840 Speaker 1: quality defender at shortstop, Hey, the Dodgers really have something there. 105 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:57,760 Speaker 1: And then Max Months he at third he's okay, especially 106 00:05:57,760 --> 00:06:00,120 Speaker 1: when he's healthy. He's more than okay at times. But 107 00:06:00,800 --> 00:06:03,440 Speaker 1: their defense I wouldn't call it a weakness, but I 108 00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:06,360 Speaker 1: would call it something to watch as the season progresses, 109 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:10,240 Speaker 1: particularly with Mookie at short Finally, in his first segment, 110 00:06:10,279 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 1: I want to talk about Paul Skeens. If you watched 111 00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:15,599 Speaker 1: our show on Saturday night, he was one of the 112 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 1: last interviews we did National League Rookie of the Year, 113 00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:21,120 Speaker 1: of course the one point nine to six era, the 114 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:25,120 Speaker 1: brilliant first campaign, and I asked him on our show, Hey, 115 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:28,360 Speaker 1: what do you want to do better? Next year, and 116 00:06:28,400 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 1: he said, and I thought it was an interesting, thoughtful answer. 117 00:06:31,960 --> 00:06:35,159 Speaker 1: I want to attack the strike zone more. And he 118 00:06:35,240 --> 00:06:37,279 Speaker 1: talked about a conversation he had with one of his 119 00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:41,320 Speaker 1: old statistical analysts at LSU, and he talked about how 120 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 1: that analyst found that in a comparison with the two 121 00:06:44,839 --> 00:06:49,360 Speaker 1: Cy Young winners, Tarek Skubele and Chris Sailee, that when 122 00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 1: it came to first pitch strike percentage an overall strike percentage, 123 00:06:52,800 --> 00:06:56,600 Speaker 1: those guys were ahead of schemes. And that's what Skeens 124 00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:59,479 Speaker 1: was talking about, attacking the zone more. And when I 125 00:06:59,480 --> 00:07:02,839 Speaker 1: found more most interesting about Skeins in his speech and 126 00:07:02,880 --> 00:07:06,720 Speaker 1: then in his comments to us, he is thinking Cy Young. 127 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:09,920 Speaker 1: He basically said in his speech, I want to make 128 00:07:09,960 --> 00:07:12,080 Speaker 1: it easy for the writers the next time they vote 129 00:07:12,120 --> 00:07:14,280 Speaker 1: for me for an award. Well, he's no longer eligible 130 00:07:14,320 --> 00:07:16,560 Speaker 1: for Rookie of the Year, so he wants to make 131 00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:19,080 Speaker 1: it easy for the writers to vote him Cy Young 132 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:22,400 Speaker 1: when that time comes, and he is fully expecting to 133 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 1: be in that conversation now starting pictures like Skiens aces, 134 00:07:27,880 --> 00:07:31,240 Speaker 1: they have what I would describe as unique personalities, and 135 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:35,080 Speaker 1: it goes from all the aces I've ever covered ever 136 00:07:35,240 --> 00:07:38,880 Speaker 1: known and still covered today. These guys are a different breed. 137 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 1: There's a confidence there that you don't see in other players, 138 00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:45,080 Speaker 1: and all major leaguers are confident they have to be 139 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 1: to get to the major leagues and be who they are. 140 00:07:47,560 --> 00:07:51,680 Speaker 1: But starting pictures, there's this borderline arrogance to them. It's 141 00:07:51,720 --> 00:07:55,320 Speaker 1: not like obnoxious or anything, but it's hey, you can't 142 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:58,400 Speaker 1: touch me. That kind of thing. You see it in Verlander, 143 00:07:58,680 --> 00:08:01,920 Speaker 1: you see it Insurser, you see it in Kershaw. You 144 00:08:02,040 --> 00:08:04,800 Speaker 1: even see it in quieter guys like Mike Messina when 145 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:07,840 Speaker 1: he was pitching. Mike Mesina was not a brash, arrogant guy, 146 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:11,600 Speaker 1: but he had that I'm better than you mentality. Skins 147 00:08:11,600 --> 00:08:14,120 Speaker 1: has it too, and again it's not cockiness, it's not 148 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:17,360 Speaker 1: anything negative. It's the way they are. It's who they are, 149 00:08:17,800 --> 00:08:20,880 Speaker 1: and it makes them so interesting both on and off 150 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 1: the field. So a lot to look forward to from 151 00:08:23,320 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 1: Paul Skins in twenty twenty five, and let's hope well beyond. 152 00:08:28,120 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 1: We'll be right back after a quick word from our 153 00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:31,800 Speaker 1: friends at foul Territory. 154 00:08:31,960 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 2: As an athlete, I care about what I put in 155 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 2: my body, especially when it comes to protein. But can 156 00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:39,520 Speaker 2: we also get some protein that tastes good. Come on, 157 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 2: it's twenty twenty five, Todd. 158 00:08:41,559 --> 00:08:43,880 Speaker 3: That's why this podcast is sponsored by your Gain. Or 159 00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:46,280 Speaker 3: Gain believes real nutrition has the power to make a 160 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:49,480 Speaker 3: real difference in people's lives and it tastes so good. 161 00:08:49,760 --> 00:08:53,200 Speaker 3: Or Gain's new thirty gram complete protein shakes offer protein 162 00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 3: packed real nutrition designed to satisfy your cravings without any 163 00:08:57,040 --> 00:08:59,920 Speaker 3: added sugar. 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That's the best offer you'll find, 174 00:09:28,240 --> 00:09:30,400 Speaker 2: but you have to use the code foul thirty for 175 00:09:30,480 --> 00:09:31,440 Speaker 2: thirty percent off. 176 00:09:32,120 --> 00:09:37,800 Speaker 1: Will we will? Time now for the inside Dish, the 177 00:09:37,800 --> 00:09:39,480 Speaker 1: part of the show where I talk about a trend 178 00:09:39,559 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 1: in the game. Something I've written something else entirely that 179 00:09:42,960 --> 00:09:45,640 Speaker 1: is going on. And this week I want to focus 180 00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 1: on what I would describe as the other major news 181 00:09:48,520 --> 00:09:51,880 Speaker 1: event of the weekend outside of the BBWAA dinner. We 182 00:09:51,960 --> 00:09:54,840 Speaker 1: heard some news out of the Astros FanFest, and let's 183 00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 1: talk about the Mets Amazing Day that was their fan 184 00:09:57,840 --> 00:10:02,880 Speaker 1: fest on Saturday as well. And an extraordinary scene unfolded 185 00:10:03,040 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 1: at City Field when you had the owner, Steve Cohen, 186 00:10:05,840 --> 00:10:08,280 Speaker 1: the general manager David Stearns up on the dais for 187 00:10:08,440 --> 00:10:12,720 Speaker 1: a news conference and they were addressing the Pete Alonzo 188 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:16,240 Speaker 1: negotiations and Sterns was explaining where they were, and the 189 00:10:16,280 --> 00:10:20,040 Speaker 1: fans were getting restless, and then Cohen took the mic 190 00:10:20,120 --> 00:10:23,200 Speaker 1: as the fans were chanting for Alonzo, we want Pete, 191 00:10:23,240 --> 00:10:27,440 Speaker 1: resign Alonzo, Pete Alonso, all these things, and Cohen proceeded 192 00:10:27,480 --> 00:10:31,320 Speaker 1: to describe his frustrations with the negotiations, and he talked 193 00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:35,200 Speaker 1: in some detail about what was going on. He said 194 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:37,360 Speaker 1: the negotiations have been more difficult for him than the 195 00:10:37,440 --> 00:10:41,120 Speaker 1: Jan Soto negotiations were. He said that the structures being 196 00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 1: proposed by Alonzo's camp, of course he's represented by Scott Boris, 197 00:10:45,400 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 1: were asymmetrical, meaning one sided in favor of the player, 198 00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:53,920 Speaker 1: and basically Steve Cohen said, I'm not happy now. We 199 00:10:54,000 --> 00:10:56,560 Speaker 1: could have seen this whole thing coming. We all did 200 00:10:56,600 --> 00:11:00,400 Speaker 1: see this whole thing coming. Pete Alonzo is a year 201 00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:04,160 Speaker 1: old first baseman who was limited athletically and defensively. He 202 00:11:04,280 --> 00:11:07,520 Speaker 1: is also quite an accomplished hitter and a guy the 203 00:11:07,600 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 1: Mets need in addition to signing Juan Soda this offseason, 204 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:17,040 Speaker 1: they need him to complement Sodo. But this impasse has developed, 205 00:11:17,080 --> 00:11:20,800 Speaker 1: and it's developed over time. If you remember, the Mets 206 00:11:20,840 --> 00:11:24,800 Speaker 1: offered Alonzo with one year of arbitration remaining seven years 207 00:11:24,840 --> 00:11:28,320 Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty eight million now in new money. 208 00:11:28,559 --> 00:11:30,840 Speaker 1: When you take away the one remaining arbitration year, it 209 00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:33,400 Speaker 1: was more like six years, one hundred and thirty eight million, 210 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:37,559 Speaker 1: and Alonzo, who was then under a previous agent, not Boris, 211 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:41,480 Speaker 1: turned that deal down. He turned that deal down probably 212 00:11:41,520 --> 00:11:43,839 Speaker 1: thinking what am I going to get in a free 213 00:11:43,880 --> 00:11:46,199 Speaker 1: agency I'll probably at least get one hundred and twenty. 214 00:11:46,679 --> 00:11:48,160 Speaker 1: If I can get to one hundred and sixty one 215 00:11:48,200 --> 00:11:51,040 Speaker 1: hundred and seventy, that's a good bet. I'll turn it down. 216 00:11:51,280 --> 00:11:55,079 Speaker 1: The one thirty eight new money and gamble on my upside. Now, 217 00:11:55,080 --> 00:11:57,480 Speaker 1: he didn't have his best year. His home run total 218 00:11:57,559 --> 00:12:00,200 Speaker 1: was down for him, It's still pretty good thirty four 219 00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:04,880 Speaker 1: home runs. But here we are sitting here wondering what's 220 00:12:04,920 --> 00:12:08,679 Speaker 1: going to happen with Pete Alonso and taking in this 221 00:12:08,800 --> 00:12:10,920 Speaker 1: stare doown he is having with the New York mets. 222 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:16,240 Speaker 1: I wrote in October an imaginary conversation between David Stearns 223 00:12:16,280 --> 00:12:20,520 Speaker 1: and Steve Cohen in which Stearns was playing the efficiency minded, 224 00:12:21,000 --> 00:12:24,800 Speaker 1: cold blooded GM talking about numbers, and Cohen was kind 225 00:12:24,840 --> 00:12:29,319 Speaker 1: of the emotional fan owner type, saying you know what 226 00:12:29,360 --> 00:12:31,360 Speaker 1: we need Pete, and Stearns was like, I don't know 227 00:12:31,360 --> 00:12:35,680 Speaker 1: if we need Pete, And certainly Scott Boris's expectations were high. 228 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:39,440 Speaker 1: Scott Boris was saying, he said this on Joel Sherman 229 00:12:39,440 --> 00:12:42,040 Speaker 1: and John Hayman's podcast some time ago. He wasn't going 230 00:12:42,080 --> 00:12:45,439 Speaker 1: to look at Alonzo's situation and compared to recent contracts 231 00:12:45,679 --> 00:12:48,440 Speaker 1: for Freddie Freeman, for Paul Goldschmid, forro Matt Olsen, some 232 00:12:48,559 --> 00:12:52,760 Speaker 1: in free agency, some via extensions, he thought times have changed, 233 00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:55,240 Speaker 1: Alonzo was worth more than that. He was looking more 234 00:12:55,280 --> 00:12:57,640 Speaker 1: toward the past and some of the big free agent 235 00:12:57,720 --> 00:13:00,880 Speaker 1: contracts that were signed for First Baseman, some of which 236 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:05,840 Speaker 1: he negotiated. So we have this impass. And we also 237 00:13:05,920 --> 00:13:08,480 Speaker 1: had Cohen's comments, which I wrote about in my column 238 00:13:08,520 --> 00:13:12,880 Speaker 1: on Monday. For an executive for an owner, those comments 239 00:13:12,920 --> 00:13:17,040 Speaker 1: were rather aggressive, and I explained why owners and executives 240 00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:20,240 Speaker 1: never talk like this, and it's because they're afraid of 241 00:13:20,520 --> 00:13:23,679 Speaker 1: a part of the CBA known as Attachment forty nine. 242 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:28,520 Speaker 1: An Attachment forty nine in essence, details why owners and 243 00:13:28,600 --> 00:13:32,600 Speaker 1: executives and for that matter, agents cannot talk about contract 244 00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:36,680 Speaker 1: negotiations and reveal details publicly. And it goes back to 245 00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:41,400 Speaker 1: the collusion era when obviously things happened done by the 246 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:44,880 Speaker 1: owners to influence the market, and the players and owners 247 00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:49,280 Speaker 1: agreed that they don't want media comments influencing the market. Now, 248 00:13:49,320 --> 00:13:54,280 Speaker 1: I didn't write in this story that Cohen definitely crossed 249 00:13:54,280 --> 00:13:56,400 Speaker 1: the line on Attachment forty nine. I don't know that 250 00:13:56,440 --> 00:13:59,319 Speaker 1: he did. I wrote that it was a matter of interpretation. 251 00:13:59,840 --> 00:14:03,280 Speaker 1: But I have spoken with executives over the years who 252 00:14:03,280 --> 00:14:06,440 Speaker 1: are terrified to talk about free agency because they don't 253 00:14:06,440 --> 00:14:08,960 Speaker 1: want to become part of a grievance. Now, I don't 254 00:14:09,000 --> 00:14:11,360 Speaker 1: expect a grievance in this matter, and the reason is 255 00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:14,240 Speaker 1: Boris and Alonzo they don't want to mess up their 256 00:14:14,280 --> 00:14:17,920 Speaker 1: negotiations or have some outside thing like a grievance come 257 00:14:17,960 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 1: into play. They want to get Alonzo the best deal possible, 258 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:24,280 Speaker 1: and that is what they continue to aim for. So 259 00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:28,920 Speaker 1: where is this headed. I don't know, is the answer. Obviously, 260 00:14:28,960 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 1: Toronto has been interested in Alonzo. We know that the Angels. 261 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:34,760 Speaker 1: I've heard mixed signals about the Angels are kind of 262 00:14:34,800 --> 00:14:37,120 Speaker 1: on anybody and everybody right now, But I don't know 263 00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:41,320 Speaker 1: that they're that serious on Alonzo. So if you're Peter 264 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:43,880 Speaker 1: Alonzo and you don't want to go to Toronto, you 265 00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 1: want to play for the Mets, you're gonna hold out. 266 00:14:45,840 --> 00:14:47,600 Speaker 1: You're gonna look for the best deal you can. And 267 00:14:47,600 --> 00:14:50,480 Speaker 1: that's what's happening. And I wrote with Will Salmon at 268 00:14:50,520 --> 00:14:52,920 Speaker 1: one point that I expect it to be three years, 269 00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:56,480 Speaker 1: ninety three point three million, just over Miguel Cabrera's record 270 00:14:56,560 --> 00:15:00,520 Speaker 1: average annual value for first baseman. And we in that 271 00:15:00,640 --> 00:15:03,640 Speaker 1: same thing that with that kind of deal, which is 272 00:15:03,640 --> 00:15:05,960 Speaker 1: not close to what the Mets have offered, it's well above, 273 00:15:06,080 --> 00:15:09,640 Speaker 1: you'd have massive deferrals. To take the number down. Now, 274 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 1: obviously Scott Boris is going to fight that. Peede Alonzo 275 00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 1: is going to fight that. But that's what I'm thinking, 276 00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:17,400 Speaker 1: That's where I believe this might be headed. The Mets 277 00:15:17,400 --> 00:15:21,720 Speaker 1: have offered Alonzo three years between sixty eight and seventy million. 278 00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:25,880 Speaker 1: That is a deal they had to know Alonso would reject, 279 00:15:25,880 --> 00:15:28,280 Speaker 1: and of course he did reject it. Might they be 280 00:15:28,400 --> 00:15:33,240 Speaker 1: room to negotiate, Sure, might Peter Alonzo still want more. Absolutely, 281 00:15:33,680 --> 00:15:36,920 Speaker 1: how this ends, We're gonna find out. But right now 282 00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:38,840 Speaker 1: it's a stare down and I want to mention one 283 00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:42,800 Speaker 1: more thing. As we discussed this situation over the weekend 284 00:15:42,800 --> 00:15:45,160 Speaker 1: as well in WFAN and apparently one of the hosts 285 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:48,560 Speaker 1: was talking about the structure, the structure that Steve Cohen 286 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:52,400 Speaker 1: objected to, and he pointed out, hey, there are buyouts 287 00:15:52,760 --> 00:15:56,400 Speaker 1: on the end of the opt out years. Well, yes, 288 00:15:56,680 --> 00:15:59,160 Speaker 1: there are always buyouts on the end of opt out years. 289 00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 1: That's a way for TEA seems to defer a little 290 00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:04,320 Speaker 1: bit of money into the future. So, for instance, if 291 00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:06,800 Speaker 1: a guy like Alonso or anybody else who signs this 292 00:16:06,880 --> 00:16:10,640 Speaker 1: type of contract three years or four years opt outs 293 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:14,560 Speaker 1: high average annual value. If they opt out, there is 294 00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:18,280 Speaker 1: a buyout attached, and that number figures into the guarantee. 295 00:16:18,280 --> 00:16:21,080 Speaker 1: It's simply a way for the clubs to push money back, 296 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 1: not to pay as much presently. So that's not the 297 00:16:24,760 --> 00:16:29,560 Speaker 1: hold up here. The objection seems to be from Cohen's 298 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:33,400 Speaker 1: part that if Alonzo opts out, well, he has all 299 00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:35,840 Speaker 1: the leverage. He can opt out if he's good, and 300 00:16:35,880 --> 00:16:38,680 Speaker 1: he won't opt out if he's bad. This is always 301 00:16:38,680 --> 00:16:40,520 Speaker 1: how it is with opt outs. That's why they favor 302 00:16:40,560 --> 00:16:44,280 Speaker 1: the players so much. And for whatever reason, Boris believes, 303 00:16:44,320 --> 00:16:47,680 Speaker 1: as he said to the athletics will Salmon, Hey, these 304 00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:50,720 Speaker 1: are standards and practices that have been established in contracts 305 00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:53,800 Speaker 1: of this nature. Let's go, let's get it done like 306 00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 1: this again. I don't know where this is going, but 307 00:16:57,480 --> 00:17:01,200 Speaker 1: I will say this was fully anticipated. A player like 308 00:17:01,240 --> 00:17:04,080 Speaker 1: Peter Alonzo, a player who is not as athletic, not 309 00:17:04,160 --> 00:17:07,120 Speaker 1: as defensively versatile, a player who is thirty years old, 310 00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:09,920 Speaker 1: was always going to have a bit of an issue 311 00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:12,760 Speaker 1: in the free agent market. For more on the Mets 312 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:15,920 Speaker 1: and Steve Cohen's comments about Pete Alonzo, check out Mets Up. 313 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:19,800 Speaker 1: Mark Luno and Jamesiana host subscribe on YouTube and wherever 314 00:17:19,840 --> 00:17:23,200 Speaker 1: you get your podcast to the entire Foul Territory network. 315 00:17:24,240 --> 00:17:27,359 Speaker 1: Time now for grilling Ken. Let's get to your questions. 316 00:17:27,600 --> 00:17:30,600 Speaker 1: The first question comes from Blue Cheesy. I love these handles. 317 00:17:30,880 --> 00:17:35,240 Speaker 1: Blue Cheesy asked, is Salvador Perez a Hall of Fame lock? 318 00:17:36,080 --> 00:17:38,720 Speaker 1: Interesting question coming off the Hall of Fame vote in 319 00:17:38,760 --> 00:17:41,760 Speaker 1: which Brian McCann and Russell Martin did not even make 320 00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:44,240 Speaker 1: it to the next ballot. Now Brian McCann and Russell 321 00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:47,320 Speaker 1: Martin are not Salvador Perez, and when you ask if 322 00:17:47,359 --> 00:17:50,120 Speaker 1: Salvador Perez is a lock, I'm not sure I can 323 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:52,879 Speaker 1: say yes. After those two results, I would expect the 324 00:17:52,920 --> 00:17:55,679 Speaker 1: audio Molina is a locked. I would expect Buster Posey 325 00:17:55,760 --> 00:17:59,119 Speaker 1: is a lock. Perez might not be first ballot, but 326 00:17:59,200 --> 00:18:01,280 Speaker 1: he's building a strong case. And I want to show 327 00:18:01,280 --> 00:18:04,239 Speaker 1: you a comparison here, and it's detailed and we'll leave 328 00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:05,600 Speaker 1: it up on the screen for a little bit so 329 00:18:05,640 --> 00:18:08,280 Speaker 1: you can see. But Salvador Perez is going to have 330 00:18:08,359 --> 00:18:11,800 Speaker 1: a good case. He's gonna end up with probably three 331 00:18:11,880 --> 00:18:14,280 Speaker 1: hundred home runs. That's more than any of the other 332 00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:18,000 Speaker 1: guys on this list. Malena McCann and Martin. His OPS 333 00:18:18,040 --> 00:18:21,280 Speaker 1: plus is right near Brian McCann's for the highest among 334 00:18:21,359 --> 00:18:25,160 Speaker 1: this group. Nine All Star appearances, five Gold Gloves, five 335 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:28,399 Speaker 1: Silver Sluggers, and one World Series title. He was the 336 00:18:28,400 --> 00:18:32,080 Speaker 1: World Series MVP in that year for the Kansas City Royals. 337 00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:34,840 Speaker 1: He's also played for only one franchise, and to me, 338 00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:38,399 Speaker 1: that raises his identity as a player. There's no harm 339 00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:41,040 Speaker 1: in leaving as a free agent or getting traded, but 340 00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:45,400 Speaker 1: it kind of distinguishes Salvador Perez. And keep in mind too, 341 00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:49,080 Speaker 1: with two hundred and seventy three home runs, it's probably 342 00:18:49,200 --> 00:18:52,439 Speaker 1: likely he'll get to three hundred. Only seven players in 343 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:55,640 Speaker 1: history who started fifty percent of their games at catcher 344 00:18:56,359 --> 00:18:59,080 Speaker 1: have gotten to three hundred or more home runs. Six 345 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:02,200 Speaker 1: of those seven are Hall of Famers. The seven are Piazza, 346 00:19:02,520 --> 00:19:06,880 Speaker 1: Bench Fisk, Barak Carter, Lance Parrish, He's the one non 347 00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:10,960 Speaker 1: Hall of Famer, and Pudge Rodriguez. That's a pretty distinguished 348 00:19:11,000 --> 00:19:13,720 Speaker 1: group that sal Perez might be a part of. So yes, 349 00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:15,719 Speaker 1: I do expect him to be a Hall of Famer 350 00:19:15,800 --> 00:19:19,120 Speaker 1: at an underrepresented position. I don't know if it will 351 00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:23,080 Speaker 1: be first ballot, and I know the cases for McCann 352 00:19:23,080 --> 00:19:27,240 Speaker 1: and Martin were presented by some pretty intelligent people, and 353 00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:29,679 Speaker 1: yet they did not get through to the next ballot. 354 00:19:29,680 --> 00:19:33,480 Speaker 1: They're off after one year. Their cases were largely based 355 00:19:33,520 --> 00:19:36,120 Speaker 1: on framing. I didn't love that argument, but they were 356 00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:39,800 Speaker 1: certainly really good players. Sal Perez is a different kind 357 00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:43,120 Speaker 1: of player, and sal Perez, in my expectation, will be 358 00:19:43,240 --> 00:19:46,440 Speaker 1: a Hall of Famer. Okay, let's get to the next question. 359 00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:50,240 Speaker 1: This one comes from MKD, who asked to show hek 360 00:19:50,240 --> 00:19:53,679 Speaker 1: Otani keep his two way player status in twoenty twenty 361 00:19:53,760 --> 00:19:57,520 Speaker 1: five after not pitching in twenty twenty four. The answer 362 00:19:57,600 --> 00:20:00,240 Speaker 1: is no, you have to earn that status, and the 363 00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:04,400 Speaker 1: way to earn that status is by pitching twenty innings 364 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:07,880 Speaker 1: and playing twenty games as a position player with three 365 00:20:07,960 --> 00:20:11,320 Speaker 1: played appearances in each of those games. Again, twenty innings 366 00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:14,880 Speaker 1: pitching this season and starting twenty games as a position 367 00:20:14,920 --> 00:20:17,760 Speaker 1: player can be as a DH and making three played 368 00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:23,000 Speaker 1: appearances in each of those games. Once Otani hits those standards, 369 00:20:23,040 --> 00:20:26,080 Speaker 1: and he will early in this season, he becomes eligible 370 00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:29,880 Speaker 1: for two way status, not just this year but the next. Obviously, 371 00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:32,879 Speaker 1: he didn't reach those standards last year because he wasn't pitching. 372 00:20:33,320 --> 00:20:36,360 Speaker 1: So what does this mean for the Dodgers. Once O'tani 373 00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:40,919 Speaker 1: gets to twenty twenty, let's call it, he becomes eligible 374 00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 1: to be a two way player, and that gives the 375 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:48,200 Speaker 1: Dodgers really the ability to carry a fourteenth pitcher. Remember 376 00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:50,879 Speaker 1: there's a maximum of thirteen. That's all you get. But 377 00:20:50,960 --> 00:20:54,399 Speaker 1: Otani would be a fourteenth as any two way player would, 378 00:20:54,800 --> 00:20:57,720 Speaker 1: and it gives the Dodgers a certain advantage. So yes, 379 00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:00,520 Speaker 1: he will be a two way player, but not until 380 00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:04,919 Speaker 1: he reaches those particular standards that I mentioned. All right, 381 00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:08,200 Speaker 1: last question, This one comes from Adam who asks why 382 00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:10,600 Speaker 1: do you think your colleagues are giving a pass to 383 00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:13,680 Speaker 1: Carlos Beltron and Hall of Fame voting. Do you believe 384 00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:16,560 Speaker 1: it's because of personal bias against players like a Rod 385 00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:19,680 Speaker 1: and Manny Ramirez or is the astro scandal not as 386 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:23,200 Speaker 1: meaningful as the steroid scandal? Well, this is a very 387 00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:26,280 Speaker 1: interesting and deep question. The two scandals, in my opinion, 388 00:21:26,359 --> 00:21:29,840 Speaker 1: are apples and oranges. They don't really equate. But I 389 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:32,560 Speaker 1: am a Beltron voter. I did not vote for him 390 00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:35,879 Speaker 1: the first year. I did vote for him subsequently after that, 391 00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:38,639 Speaker 1: and will continue voting for him because I believe he 392 00:21:38,760 --> 00:21:43,800 Speaker 1: is worthy. Now, the question is why am I and 393 00:21:43,960 --> 00:21:47,800 Speaker 1: other Hall of Fame voters electing or trying to elect 394 00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:51,760 Speaker 1: Beltron when he was acknowledged as one of the heads 395 00:21:52,000 --> 00:21:54,880 Speaker 1: of the Astro sign stealing scheme that led to all 396 00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:58,840 Speaker 1: kinds of trouble a few years back. I sort of 397 00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:01,760 Speaker 1: see it the way I see the players who used 398 00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:07,640 Speaker 1: steroids before MLB established firm penalties and guidelines against that use. 399 00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:11,360 Speaker 1: So I ended up at some point voting for Bonds 400 00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:14,040 Speaker 1: and McGuire, but I still do not vote for a 401 00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:18,639 Speaker 1: Rod and many Ramirez because their indiscretions occurred after MLB 402 00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:24,919 Speaker 1: had established firm penalties and rules regarding ped use. With Beltron, 403 00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:28,840 Speaker 1: it was almost a similar situation and the Astros in general. 404 00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:31,720 Speaker 1: And I'm not excusing it, Okay. I was the guy who, 405 00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:35,560 Speaker 1: with Evandrelik, wrote the story that revealed what the Astros 406 00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:38,520 Speaker 1: were doing. But what I'm saying is, at the time, 407 00:22:38,560 --> 00:22:42,160 Speaker 1: as we wrote in that story and others, there were 408 00:22:42,280 --> 00:22:46,080 Speaker 1: no firm guidelines or rules or standards established by Major 409 00:22:46,160 --> 00:22:49,000 Speaker 1: League Baseball. It was kind of a wild Wild West situation. 410 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:52,240 Speaker 1: The Astros obviously were the most egregious in what they did. 411 00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:54,919 Speaker 1: They used the trash cans. Other teams did not. It 412 00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:58,119 Speaker 1: was simply a step beyond what other teams were doing. 413 00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:00,800 Speaker 1: We also wrote about the Red Sox some things too 414 00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:04,000 Speaker 1: that were not legal. Yes, but it was still not 415 00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:08,840 Speaker 1: the same as the Astros. Again, if MLB had firm 416 00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:12,280 Speaker 1: rules and penalties in place, I would have felt one 417 00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:15,240 Speaker 1: way about this, a different way than I feel right now. 418 00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:19,160 Speaker 1: But MLB didn't. And I also say, and I also 419 00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:24,479 Speaker 1: wrote last year that the Astros players, even though they 420 00:23:24,480 --> 00:23:27,800 Speaker 1: were not punished by MLB, you cannot say that they 421 00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:30,600 Speaker 1: have not been punished. They've been punished in the sphere 422 00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:33,640 Speaker 1: of public opinion. They've been punished in other ways as well. 423 00:23:33,680 --> 00:23:38,080 Speaker 1: Carlos Beltron lost his job as Mets manager. So I'm 424 00:23:38,119 --> 00:23:42,120 Speaker 1: not saying all of this is enough to excuse any 425 00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:44,959 Speaker 1: Astros player as a Hall of Fame candidate. You have 426 00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:48,520 Speaker 1: to consider all of these factors. But to me, I 427 00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:50,639 Speaker 1: am just not ready to go to that length and 428 00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:52,919 Speaker 1: exclude a guy from the Hall of Fame. A guy 429 00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:55,520 Speaker 1: who really had a distinguished career was a Roberto Clement, 430 00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:58,399 Speaker 1: the award winner, did a lot of wonderful things in 431 00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:01,200 Speaker 1: his community as well as on the FA. He had 432 00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:04,880 Speaker 1: his indiscretion, no question about it, but MLB was largely 433 00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:07,920 Speaker 1: to blame for creating or at least allowing, an environment 434 00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:12,040 Speaker 1: that led to what the astros did. I want to 435 00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:15,480 Speaker 1: thank everyone for their questions, everyone for watching and listening. Hey, 436 00:24:15,520 --> 00:24:18,560 Speaker 1: the Foul Territory Network has been around for two years now, 437 00:24:18,720 --> 00:24:21,919 Speaker 1: and Saturday night, as I mentioned earlier, we broadcast the 438 00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:25,919 Speaker 1: BBWAA Awards Dinner. That's a pretty good accomplishment in two 439 00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:28,439 Speaker 1: years time. So I want to thank everyone again for 440 00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:31,200 Speaker 1: tuning in, for watching, for following us over the last 441 00:24:31,200 --> 00:24:34,120 Speaker 1: two years. We're really proud of what we've accomplished. Now 442 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:36,840 Speaker 1: we will be back Thursday, myself and Alana Rizzo with 443 00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:42,119 Speaker 1: our normal live podcast YouTube show twelve thirty Eastern. 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