WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 9) 0:00:00.680 --> 0:00:05.320 Kabooms. If you thought four hours a day, hundred minutes 0:00:05.360 --> 0:00:09.160 a week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants 0:00:09.160 --> 0:00:12.440 of the old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He 0:00:12.560 --> 0:00:15.480 treats crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the 0:00:15.600 --> 0:00:19.880 rich pill poppers in the penthouse. The Clearinghouse of Hot 0:00:19.920 --> 0:00:23.599 takes break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with 0:00:23.800 --> 0:00:32.120 Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere back 0:00:32.120 --> 0:00:38.000 in the podcast dojo for a spectacular edition of The 0:00:38.040 --> 0:00:41.800 Fifth Hour with Ben Maller and Danny g It's not 0:00:41.920 --> 0:00:45.560 your normal podcast. No, it's got a little extra erasmatazz 0:00:46.000 --> 0:00:50.479 because it is time now for Betty versus the Petty. 0:00:51.280 --> 0:01:00.880 We welcome players. You're welcome, are you? It's time now 0:01:01.680 --> 0:01:09.640 Penny versus the Penny. You know what, you could tell 0:01:09.760 --> 0:01:15.520 that Halloween passed because we're both wearing long sleeves right now. Yes, 0:01:15.600 --> 0:01:21.240 it's California cold. From California cold. Will she anywhere else 0:01:21.280 --> 0:01:24.280 in the country that has actual cold weather, people will 0:01:24.319 --> 0:01:28.679 be wearing shorts and and sandals. But in California we 0:01:28.880 --> 0:01:32.240 pull out the long sleeve shirts, were ready to bundle. 0:01:33.200 --> 0:01:36.120 We're such what's this? My chick got on Amazon the 0:01:36.160 --> 0:01:38.920 other day and ordered some huge stand up heater or 0:01:39.520 --> 0:01:44.160 it's my beautiful white so I'm gonna put it right 0:01:44.160 --> 0:01:45.840 by the bed and I'm like, I'm gonna open the 0:01:45.880 --> 0:01:48.840 sliding glass door. That's what I'm gonna do. Yeah. Well, 0:01:49.040 --> 0:01:52.040 my my wife, of course, she has the heating blankets 0:01:52.080 --> 0:01:54.880 stored for the cold season in California. So you gotta 0:01:54.920 --> 0:01:59.120 pull out the heating blankets, which we've acquired over the years. 0:01:59.160 --> 0:02:01.080 You know, one a year before you know it, You've 0:02:01.080 --> 0:02:03.560 got one for every bed. You've gotta have some for 0:02:03.600 --> 0:02:06.400 the sofa. So anywhere you are, you have to have 0:02:06.440 --> 0:02:10.120 a heating blanket, and that's the the way to go. 0:02:10.160 --> 0:02:11.840 But we're gonna get into it. It's Betty versus the 0:02:11.840 --> 0:02:13.519 Penny of course, the voice of the Great Danny g 0:02:13.800 --> 0:02:18.160 Radio right there, who is representing the penny. And there 0:02:18.240 --> 0:02:20.840 might be some lawsuits over how this is going right now. 0:02:21.240 --> 0:02:23.440 But before we look ahead to week nine, we must 0:02:23.440 --> 0:02:28.400 look back to week eight. In the NFL Every Game Handicap. 0:02:28.880 --> 0:02:31.600 To win money as a sports better you have to 0:02:31.639 --> 0:02:35.959 win more than fifty two point four of your bets uh, 0:02:36.040 --> 0:02:38.960 and likely a fair amount more than that because of 0:02:38.960 --> 0:02:42.680 the juice the way that it works, spending on the NFL, 0:02:42.760 --> 0:02:45.519 betting on sports in general. And so if you're new 0:02:45.560 --> 0:02:47.799 to this podcast, if you've heard us on the radio, 0:02:47.919 --> 0:02:50.600 and I've granted about this and given out picks Benny 0:02:50.680 --> 0:02:53.959 versus the Penny, sports handicapping for the regular guy, a 0:02:54.040 --> 0:02:57.800 bunch of the numbers, man versus an animate object who 0:02:57.880 --> 0:03:01.560 will pick more winners. Over the years, I've lost some, 0:03:02.000 --> 0:03:04.480 I've won some to the Penny. It's been crazy over 0:03:04.520 --> 0:03:09.080 the years. And so this last week, eight fifteen games 0:03:09.120 --> 0:03:13.400 on the card, I went ten and five against the spread, 0:03:13.520 --> 0:03:17.400 and that is my fourth ten win weeks. So I've 0:03:17.400 --> 0:03:19.079 had a pretty good run here to begin the year. 0:03:19.480 --> 0:03:21.680 Ready to give it all back here as we get 0:03:21.680 --> 0:03:24.120 to the second half of the season. But ten and five, 0:03:24.240 --> 0:03:28.640 six sixty seven winning percentage. The Penny had another losing 0:03:28.680 --> 0:03:32.480 week to Penny six and nine against the spread. That's 0:03:32.520 --> 0:03:35.680 a four winning percentage. And if you look at the 0:03:35.720 --> 0:03:38.640 overall season totals, if you look at your radio, and 0:03:38.680 --> 0:03:40.320 you can see right there, we have a I have 0:03:40.400 --> 0:03:43.200 my tellustrator out, Danny. I've got my tellustrator and I'm 0:03:43.280 --> 0:03:48.160 drawing circles around the records right there you see overall, 0:03:49.360 --> 0:03:55.880 I am seventy two and three three. Let me let 0:03:55.880 --> 0:03:59.880 me highlight that again. So that is by my, my, my, 0:04:00.040 --> 0:04:03.200 after that's twenty four games above five hundred. That's pretty good. 0:04:04.080 --> 0:04:08.280 That won't last unless it does. And the Penny, who 0:04:08.400 --> 0:04:11.720 was five hundred a couple of weeks back, has had 0:04:11.720 --> 0:04:13.720 a tough stretcher in the last couple of weeks. And 0:04:13.760 --> 0:04:18.320 so the Penny now is five games under five sixty 0:04:18.440 --> 0:04:21.080 three and two, so that I've opened up a bit 0:04:21.120 --> 0:04:23.760 of separation with the penny. The penny has a four 0:04:23.920 --> 0:04:26.920 seventy nine winning percentage, so we'll see how it goes 0:04:27.160 --> 0:04:32.039 this week. In week number nine of the NFL, I 0:04:32.080 --> 0:04:36.720 am the Nathaniel Hackett and Josh McDaniels of penny flipping. Yes. 0:04:37.000 --> 0:04:39.680 I'm happy though, because this is great and making me 0:04:39.720 --> 0:04:43.039 look better anyway. The teams that aren't playing here in 0:04:43.080 --> 0:04:45.800 Week nine, you will not hear us breakdown the Cowboys 0:04:46.480 --> 0:04:48.520 or the Giants both six and two. They're not playing. 0:04:48.520 --> 0:04:50.840 The Forts have the weekend off at four and four. 0:04:51.120 --> 0:04:54.240 The Steelers are not playing and played much at all 0:04:54.240 --> 0:04:56.880 this year, even when they played two and six Brons. 0:04:57.720 --> 0:05:00.000 The Broncos are three and five. They're they're not playing 0:05:00.000 --> 0:05:04.440 and the Cleveland Browns, who had that win over the Bengals, 0:05:04.480 --> 0:05:08.080 they are also not on the schedule. So the first 0:05:08.080 --> 0:05:10.480 game for US on Venni versus the Penny for Week 0:05:10.600 --> 0:05:13.040 nine every game Sunday and Monday will start out with 0:05:13.120 --> 0:05:20.080 Indianapolis three, four and one at New England four and four. 0:05:20.120 --> 0:05:24.839 It's on CBS with Greg Gumbel and Adam Archiletta on 0:05:24.880 --> 0:05:27.960 the call, and the Patriots opened a five and apt 0:05:28.040 --> 0:05:31.200 point favor in this game. They're favored by five. The 0:05:31.320 --> 0:05:34.960 money a lean towards the Patriots at Gillette Stadium. And 0:05:35.720 --> 0:05:38.360 we're not getting that really nasty cold weather yet. It's 0:05:38.360 --> 0:05:42.880 still November. It's early November. That will come later. Temperature 0:05:42.920 --> 0:05:48.479 is actually California, like in Foxboro in the seventies at kickoff, 0:05:48.520 --> 0:05:52.279 although mostly cloudy and some of the numbers on this game. 0:05:53.000 --> 0:05:55.800 Mac Jones back starting again for the Patriots, who are 0:05:55.839 --> 0:05:58.840 three six and one against the spread their last ten 0:05:58.920 --> 0:06:02.000 with Mac Jones. Bill Belichick's done very well against the 0:06:02.040 --> 0:06:04.400 Colts over the years five and to the last seven, 0:06:04.720 --> 0:06:06.960 but I'm taking the Colts in this game. I'll tell 0:06:07.000 --> 0:06:10.479 you why we need better ball security from Manny this weekend. 0:06:10.480 --> 0:06:12.880 I think we'll get it. The Patriots are not a juggernaut. 0:06:13.200 --> 0:06:16.880 Mac Jones has plenty awards, and in fact, he's rat 0:06:17.120 --> 0:06:21.320 ranked thirty eight out of thirty nine qualified quarterbacks according 0:06:21.360 --> 0:06:25.120 to the numbers from Pro Football Focus their branding system. 0:06:25.880 --> 0:06:30.200 Fourth highest turnover worthy play rate in the NFL this 0:06:30.279 --> 0:06:33.359 season for mac Jones. And I'm looking at you, Steve 0:06:33.480 --> 0:06:35.960 Stefan Gilmour there, I'm looking at you licking your chops. 0:06:36.000 --> 0:06:40.440 The Colts defense up front not exactly Hamburger Helper here. 0:06:40.480 --> 0:06:44.360 As long as you play again, clean game, clean game, uh, 0:06:44.440 --> 0:06:46.480 you'll have a shot to cover in the fourth quarter. 0:06:46.560 --> 0:06:49.960 Indianapolis six and two against the spread as a road 0:06:50.000 --> 0:06:52.640 dog since the start of last season. Over the past 0:06:53.160 --> 0:06:56.840 ten seasons, people think that when Belichick goes against the 0:06:56.920 --> 0:07:00.359 first or second time starter that he dominant. It's it 0:07:00.400 --> 0:07:04.160 hasn't been the case gambling wise. Belichick his last seven 0:07:04.160 --> 0:07:07.279 games against quarterbacks making their first or second career start 0:07:07.640 --> 0:07:11.400 just two and five, the Patriots record with Belichick coaching, 0:07:11.440 --> 0:07:14.440 So I expect the coast to hang around with Jonathan 0:07:14.440 --> 0:07:17.720 Taylor in that running game. Sam Ellinger was not terrible. 0:07:18.280 --> 0:07:22.240 He wasn't great either in his debut against Washington, and 0:07:22.280 --> 0:07:24.280 he actually did screw up late in that game. But 0:07:24.360 --> 0:07:27.520 I'm gonna take the points. I think there's too many 0:07:27.520 --> 0:07:31.200 points here. Indianapolis is not dreadful. They're They're very similar 0:07:31.240 --> 0:07:35.120 to the Patriots, even with the quarterback conundrum. Patriots will 0:07:35.120 --> 0:07:39.040 win but won't cover the spread. Patriots twenty the Colt seventeen. 0:07:39.160 --> 0:07:47.800 The final believes in Belichick still going with the Patriots. Alright, 0:07:47.800 --> 0:07:49.880 Patriots the picking. If you're wondering how we do this, 0:07:50.400 --> 0:07:52.679 the home team is heads the road team his tales 0:07:52.720 --> 0:07:56.559 because you travel with your your dairy air via plane, 0:07:56.560 --> 0:07:59.120 strands and automobiles, and so that's the way that we 0:07:59.200 --> 0:08:02.160 do it, all right. Next up, Buffalo. Here we go 0:08:02.480 --> 0:08:06.080 Buffalo six and one at the New York Jets five 0:08:06.120 --> 0:08:09.960 and three. It's on CBS with Iron Eagle and Charles Davis, 0:08:09.960 --> 0:08:13.960 friend of the podcast, former Fox Guy. The Bills opened 0:08:14.040 --> 0:08:16.160 up a ten and a half point favorite. It is 0:08:16.240 --> 0:08:19.400 all the way up to twelve and a half and 0:08:19.600 --> 0:08:22.880 the money on this game relatively even so, no real 0:08:23.200 --> 0:08:26.280 advantage either way. Temperatures in the low seventies of MetLife 0:08:26.280 --> 0:08:29.600 Stadium in Jersey. Check this out. The New York Jets, 0:08:29.640 --> 0:08:34.240 the largest home underdog by any any team with a 0:08:34.280 --> 0:08:38.720 winning record since twenty oh seven. The Jets are five 0:08:38.760 --> 0:08:42.120 and three and they're twelve and a half point underdogs. 0:08:42.920 --> 0:08:45.040 And I want to take the Jets in this game, 0:08:45.440 --> 0:08:48.400 and I'm gonna ride not with the offense, clearly, I'm 0:08:48.400 --> 0:08:51.400 gonna ride with the defense. Gang Green's defense is not 0:08:51.720 --> 0:08:55.880 mince meat here. They're gonna keep this game close and 0:08:55.920 --> 0:09:00.400 within striking distance New York's other team. The Jets have 0:09:00.559 --> 0:09:05.120 the ninth rank rush defense, fifth in defensive defensive passer rating. 0:09:05.640 --> 0:09:08.960 We saw Josh Allen have a couple of hiccups against 0:09:09.000 --> 0:09:12.040 Green Bay last week. That's the reason the Bills did 0:09:12.080 --> 0:09:15.440 not cover the spread. It's also a sandwich game for Buffalo. 0:09:15.640 --> 0:09:18.920 They had a Sunday night game with the Packers last week. 0:09:19.360 --> 0:09:23.400 They won that game, they didn't cover, and they play 0:09:23.640 --> 0:09:27.280 the six and one Vikings next week game. That's getting 0:09:27.280 --> 0:09:29.360 a little bit of detection, a little bit of traction 0:09:29.400 --> 0:09:34.640 here in in order to generate offense, the Jets are 0:09:34.679 --> 0:09:39.120 gonna have to get the takeaways special teams. Zach Wilson stinks, 0:09:39.720 --> 0:09:41.800 He's no good. They don't have the big play running 0:09:41.840 --> 0:09:44.920 back right now because he's hurt. So there's a rule. 0:09:45.000 --> 0:09:48.000 I have a rule of thumb, a truism. In the 0:09:48.080 --> 0:09:50.959 years I've been handicapping these NFL games. Anytime you get 0:09:51.480 --> 0:09:54.800 seven points or more in a divisional game, you don't 0:09:54.840 --> 0:09:58.040 ask questions. You take the points, you smile, and you 0:09:58.160 --> 0:10:02.400 move on. You're getting almost double that. So there's a 0:10:02.440 --> 0:10:06.040 lot of value with the Jets here, and I'm gonna 0:10:06.040 --> 0:10:08.360 take the Jets. Bills will win, but they will not cover. 0:10:08.480 --> 0:10:12.640 Jets will hang around. Bills twenty eight Jets twenty is 0:10:12.720 --> 0:10:22.080 your final, and the penny lands on heads again. Going 0:10:22.160 --> 0:10:25.080 with the Jets. Alright, So agreement on that. Next up, 0:10:25.160 --> 0:10:28.520 Miami five and three at Chicago three and five. It's 0:10:28.559 --> 0:10:31.800 on CBS with Kevin Harland and Trent Green. They have 0:10:31.880 --> 0:10:35.240 the call. The Dolphins opened a three and a point 0:10:35.280 --> 0:10:39.400 favor They're favored by five in this game. Lean in 0:10:39.480 --> 0:10:42.320 the money to the Dolphins. At Soldier Field, temperatures in 0:10:42.320 --> 0:10:46.000 the sixties. It's gonna be windy, and that's what you 0:10:46.080 --> 0:10:49.520 expect in the midwestern Chicago, and not always that way. 0:10:49.559 --> 0:10:52.200 The the Windy City actually named after the politicians, but 0:10:52.240 --> 0:10:55.040 it is windy. There a lot also the numbers on 0:10:55.080 --> 0:10:59.680 this game. The Bears, with Justin Fields as a home underdog, 0:10:59.720 --> 0:11:02.280 are one in five against the spread, their five and 0:11:02.320 --> 0:11:06.520 eleven as an underdog in his career and Miami, they 0:11:06.520 --> 0:11:10.160 haven't been a great road favorite either. They were trailing 0:11:10.400 --> 0:11:12.760 quite a bit against the Lions last week came back 0:11:13.360 --> 0:11:15.719 and one. But I'm gonna take the Dolphins in this game. 0:11:15.760 --> 0:11:19.360 The Bears have the twenty seven ranked offense, their defense 0:11:19.520 --> 0:11:25.120 just gave away their top player, ro Kwan Smith, so 0:11:25.240 --> 0:11:29.760 he's gone to the Ravens, and while the Dolphins we're 0:11:29.920 --> 0:11:32.520 going the other way. Right, These are ships passing in 0:11:32.559 --> 0:11:35.560 the night, the Dolphins adding players Bradley Chubb and others, 0:11:35.840 --> 0:11:40.119 the Bears subtracting players, and Justin Fields bringing a musket 0:11:40.880 --> 0:11:43.920 and going against a nuclear warhead in Tyreek Hill in 0:11:43.920 --> 0:11:46.800 that Dolphin offense. If the weather was bad, if it 0:11:46.840 --> 0:11:49.600 was raining and cold and nasty and all that, I 0:11:49.600 --> 0:11:51.439 would go the other way because it would slow down 0:11:51.480 --> 0:11:54.120 the Dolphins. There's none of that in the forecast. Unless 0:11:54.120 --> 0:11:57.280 I'm missing it, this game will be lopsided. The Bears 0:11:57.320 --> 0:11:59.640 can't keep up. It'll be close for a half, but 0:11:59.800 --> 0:12:02.439 in the end, barring some kind of dramatic injury to 0:12:02.520 --> 0:12:05.400 toa Tuga by Loa or one of the other key 0:12:05.440 --> 0:12:10.160 members of the Dolphins. This is a blowout City Dolphins 0:12:10.200 --> 0:12:19.160 thirty eight Bears twenty the final penny copying off your 0:12:19.160 --> 0:12:23.560 paper going with the Dolphins, all right? Next up for 0:12:23.640 --> 0:12:26.480 us penny versus the Penny. We move on to just 0:12:26.600 --> 0:12:30.160 outside Washington, d C. Over and land Over in Maryland 0:12:30.600 --> 0:12:37.040 suburban d C. And mansorta skull off to the six 0:12:37.080 --> 0:12:40.640 and one start Washington four and four back to come 0:12:40.679 --> 0:12:44.720 back win last week against Indianapolis. This game on Fox. 0:12:45.400 --> 0:12:49.000 Kevin Burkhardt is supposed to call the game with Greg Olsen, 0:12:49.080 --> 0:12:51.559 but there's this little world serious thing which may still 0:12:51.600 --> 0:12:54.960 be going on. We certainly either hope it ends in 0:12:55.040 --> 0:12:57.640 favor of Philadelphia or it does go to a game seven. 0:12:57.640 --> 0:13:00.160 But either way they will play the game. Obviously, who 0:13:00.200 --> 0:13:01.959 knows what we'll be doing the play by play. The 0:13:02.080 --> 0:13:05.480 Vikings opened a two and a half point favorite. They 0:13:05.480 --> 0:13:07.800 are favored by three and a half in this game 0:13:08.280 --> 0:13:13.640 fifty nine of the handle in favor of Washington. Overcast 0:13:14.200 --> 0:13:17.880 and another game in that Northeastern corridor temperatures in the 0:13:17.920 --> 0:13:21.200 seventies that kickoff at FedEx Field. Some of the numbers 0:13:21.520 --> 0:13:26.120 and trends in this game. Washington eight and two against 0:13:26.200 --> 0:13:30.599 the spread with Taylor Heineke starting last ten, starts Minnesota 0:13:30.800 --> 0:13:33.040 five and two against the spread. The last seven is 0:13:33.040 --> 0:13:36.280 a favorite of seven points or less. But we're taking 0:13:36.280 --> 0:13:39.160 the Commanders in this game. And I'm looking at this 0:13:39.280 --> 0:13:41.800 like another one of those trap games for the Vikings. 0:13:41.800 --> 0:13:43.959 They are rolling along. They've got a three and a 0:13:44.000 --> 0:13:47.240 half game lead in the NFC North over the Packers 0:13:47.280 --> 0:13:51.800 and Bears. They've got big bad Buffalo on deck. That 0:13:51.960 --> 0:13:56.000 is a game that can can prove the Vikings aren't 0:13:56.000 --> 0:13:59.120 fraudulent if they can beat the Bills next week. But 0:13:59.320 --> 0:14:02.640 first you to get through the Commanders. Nobody gets up 0:14:02.679 --> 0:14:05.240 for Washington. They don't have headline players, they don't have 0:14:05.280 --> 0:14:08.320 star players. They're just kind of a blog team, generic 0:14:08.360 --> 0:14:12.440 brand team. Uh. These these clubs are not that far apart, 0:14:12.480 --> 0:14:15.839 despite the record disparity, and Taylor Heineke has been a 0:14:16.040 --> 0:14:21.440 spark plug. He's been a good fuse for that morbid franchise. 0:14:21.600 --> 0:14:24.640 He went eighty nine yards to win the game against 0:14:24.640 --> 0:14:29.360 Indie last week, Washington winning and has covered three in 0:14:29.360 --> 0:14:31.440 a row. We expect more of that here they will 0:14:31.480 --> 0:14:35.960 spoil Kirk Cousins return to his old stomping grounds and 0:14:36.040 --> 0:14:47.000 landover Maryland, Washington, Minnesota twenty one the final, and the 0:14:47.040 --> 0:14:50.680 penny disagrees going the other way, taking the Vikings. We 0:14:50.760 --> 0:14:53.480 disagree there. We move on to the Motor City. Green 0:14:53.560 --> 0:14:57.240 Bay three and five at Detroit one and six. It's 0:14:57.360 --> 0:15:01.960 on Fox. You better w watches the Fox box that 0:15:02.080 --> 0:15:05.840 Rocks will be calling this game. Packers a three and 0:15:06.000 --> 0:15:08.480 a half point favorite. They opened a three and a half. 0:15:08.560 --> 0:15:11.000 The line has stayed the same. This game being played 0:15:11.040 --> 0:15:14.040 in a dome at Ford Field, so need no need 0:15:14.120 --> 0:15:16.920 to give you the weather, although the weather will be 0:15:17.520 --> 0:15:21.160 mild in the Motor City. Some of the numbers on 0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:24.760 this one. Green Bay, they have been a dreadful favorite 0:15:24.800 --> 0:15:27.480 of late. They are two and eight against the spread 0:15:27.840 --> 0:15:31.200 their last ten as a favorite. It's like somebody slipped 0:15:31.240 --> 0:15:32.960 them a mickey here. When they've been a favorite, they've 0:15:32.960 --> 0:15:36.960 been terrible. Detroit six and one against the spread their 0:15:37.040 --> 0:15:39.480 last seven as a home dog. Lions are eight and 0:15:39.560 --> 0:15:43.160 two head to head with green Bay against the number 0:15:43.520 --> 0:15:47.200 since seventeen. I'm taking Detroit in this game. You've got 0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:50.280 the Lions on a five game s kid the Packers 0:15:50.280 --> 0:15:53.200 on a four games skid, but our money is gonna 0:15:53.200 --> 0:15:55.760 be with the Hollolu Blue here. They actually have the 0:15:55.800 --> 0:15:59.520 better offense, which hasn't been said for twenty years when 0:15:59.520 --> 0:16:02.400 these teams have played. Detroit's gaining six point two yards 0:16:02.440 --> 0:16:05.240 per played, third in the NFL. They've gotten some guys 0:16:05.240 --> 0:16:07.760 back from injury. They did trade their tight end Hockinson 0:16:08.240 --> 0:16:12.280 to the Vikings. The Packers are stuck in mud here. 0:16:12.320 --> 0:16:16.080 They're stuck in neutral. Lack of playmakers, bad morale. Green 0:16:16.120 --> 0:16:19.200 Bay didn't do anything here at the trade deadline to 0:16:19.280 --> 0:16:22.840 improve the situation. Both teams should be able to move 0:16:22.880 --> 0:16:26.520 the ball on the ground. Neither one is that mind boggling. 0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:29.800 It's not the kind of game that gives you goose bumps. 0:16:29.840 --> 0:16:33.240 The wrong team is favored here. Lions get off the 0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:39.560 schnide Detroit Packers three and Aaron Rodgers is running to 0:16:39.680 --> 0:16:47.960 the Ayahuasca. When this one ends, and the penny disagrees 0:16:48.000 --> 0:16:52.040 with you again going with the Packers's a disagreement. That's good. 0:16:52.880 --> 0:16:56.840 Either titen the record or the record will get much 0:16:56.880 --> 0:17:00.200 worse through thick and thin for the penny. Next up, 0:17:00.280 --> 0:17:04.480 the l A Chargers, show me your lightning Bolt four 0:17:04.480 --> 0:17:07.360 and three at Atlanta four and four. It's on Fox 0:17:08.000 --> 0:17:10.920 with Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma. They have the call. 0:17:11.040 --> 0:17:14.840 The Chargers opened up a three point favorite. This has 0:17:14.920 --> 0:17:19.920 stayed flat scary both these teams. Chargers are three point favorite, 0:17:19.960 --> 0:17:22.000 a lot of the money in favor of the Falcons. 0:17:22.640 --> 0:17:26.639 This game being played in the Mercedes Benz Stadium in Georgia. 0:17:27.359 --> 0:17:29.920 The Chargers over the last couple of years have been 0:17:30.240 --> 0:17:35.560 a debacle. It's been a devil of a time for them. 0:17:35.600 --> 0:17:38.359 In November. There one in nine against the spread their 0:17:38.440 --> 0:17:41.679 last ten games in November, and they've now got a 0:17:41.680 --> 0:17:45.919 losing record with Justin Herbert their last fifteen games against 0:17:46.000 --> 0:17:49.080 the spread six and nine. Atlanta has been a great 0:17:49.200 --> 0:17:52.800 bet with Arthur Smith when the line is either plus 0:17:52.840 --> 0:17:56.320 three to minus three. Falcons are seven and two against 0:17:56.320 --> 0:17:59.520 the spread, Atlanta three and oh at home as a dog, 0:18:00.240 --> 0:18:02.960 He's a live dog here at home this season, so 0:18:03.000 --> 0:18:04.960 they've done a very good job in their own house. 0:18:05.320 --> 0:18:09.080 I'm taking the Falcons here, a healthy Charger team which 0:18:09.160 --> 0:18:13.560 smash Atlanta two bits. But that's not the case. Keenan 0:18:13.560 --> 0:18:16.000 Allen dinged up doesn't look like he's gonna play. Mike Williams, 0:18:16.080 --> 0:18:18.320 Joey Bosa, J C. Jackson, and a host of other 0:18:18.320 --> 0:18:22.480 big names are Gonzo. The Falcons meet in Potato. They say, 0:18:22.520 --> 0:18:25.800 matchups make fights, and this is our styles make fights, 0:18:25.800 --> 0:18:28.560 and this is quite the matchup favor for Atlanta. Falcons 0:18:28.960 --> 0:18:31.400 can run the ball. It's what they do pretty well. 0:18:32.119 --> 0:18:35.280 That happens to be the kryptonite for the bolt. The 0:18:35.400 --> 0:18:39.520 Chargers are thirty second against the run. That's dead last, 0:18:39.600 --> 0:18:44.760 allowing five points seven yards per rush. Atlanta has a 0:18:44.840 --> 0:18:48.879 jackhammer attack. They've rotated running backs in. They're tied for 0:18:49.080 --> 0:18:52.920 twelve in the NFL, so there will be no joy 0:18:53.119 --> 0:18:57.600 in Mudville. Back in Charger Land, the Falcons, after that 0:18:57.800 --> 0:19:01.800 stinker against Cincinnati and then another one where they barely 0:19:01.880 --> 0:19:06.800 won against the Carolina Panthers last week, they will have 0:19:06.920 --> 0:19:09.040 another close game, but they will win it as a 0:19:09.160 --> 0:19:15.440 home dog. Falcons twenty and the Chargers seventeen is your final. 0:19:20.920 --> 0:19:23.760 And the penny also likes the dirty birds at home. 0:19:24.520 --> 0:19:27.720 All right, Next up, as we work against the clock. 0:19:27.800 --> 0:19:30.520 Of course, there is really no pod there's no podcast clock. 0:19:31.320 --> 0:19:33.600 We don't have to worry, all right, Danny. Literally we 0:19:33.640 --> 0:19:37.360 don't pay attention to the network clock either. Exactly. We're 0:19:37.440 --> 0:19:39.880 rebels like that, Danny. We do what we want to do. 0:19:40.359 --> 0:19:42.560 We talk when we want to talk. Bring down the 0:19:42.560 --> 0:19:45.119 house is what we do. I Caroline at two and 0:19:45.200 --> 0:19:50.000 six at Cincinnati at four and three on Fox with 0:19:50.080 --> 0:19:54.000 Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez on the call. Neither one 0:19:54.040 --> 0:19:57.160 of these teams in good shape here. The Bengals opened 0:19:57.160 --> 0:19:59.800 a nine and a half point favorite, but that has 0:20:00.040 --> 0:20:04.280 on down two seven the handle in this game and 0:20:04.720 --> 0:20:10.040 about eighty eight on Cincinnati Sunny temperatures in the sixties 0:20:10.680 --> 0:20:14.719 at the corporately named Paid Corps Stadium in the Natty 0:20:15.560 --> 0:20:18.159 as that game, this will this will not be a 0:20:18.160 --> 0:20:19.960 game where teams are bouncing off the wall. Some of 0:20:19.960 --> 0:20:24.560 the numbers here. Carolina has has been dreadful as an 0:20:24.600 --> 0:20:26.919 underdog five and ten against the spread, but they have 0:20:27.040 --> 0:20:30.080 covered back to back games, and they were actually three 0:20:30.080 --> 0:20:33.320 and seventeen against the spread their last twenty prior to that, 0:20:33.760 --> 0:20:36.760 but now back to back covers Cincinnati. Some of the 0:20:36.840 --> 0:20:39.960 numbers here, Joe Burrows starting their twelve and three against 0:20:39.960 --> 0:20:43.119 spread lost last week. I'm taking the Panthers. I'm taking 0:20:43.160 --> 0:20:46.240 the Panthers made a coaching change, they made a quarterback change. 0:20:46.520 --> 0:20:49.000 They've actually been competitive since they did that. For the 0:20:49.040 --> 0:20:52.320 most part, I just don't trust since he right now, 0:20:53.240 --> 0:20:57.000 they were so blah and I don't trust them as 0:20:57.040 --> 0:20:59.879 a touchdown favorite. They allowed four forty yards to do 0:21:00.080 --> 0:21:04.320 Kobe Brissette and the Browns weak ass offense last week. 0:21:04.800 --> 0:21:08.560 They're playing a bunch of inexperienced players in the secondary. 0:21:08.960 --> 0:21:13.359 They'll be yards to be had for p J. Walker 0:21:14.040 --> 0:21:17.520 as the Bengals are susceptible to giving up the big play. 0:21:17.600 --> 0:21:20.560 We saw that last week d J. Moore, who cost 0:21:20.640 --> 0:21:24.040 Carolina the game by taking off his helmet last week 0:21:24.080 --> 0:21:27.840 in Atlanta. But the Panthers put up thirty four points 0:21:28.000 --> 0:21:31.040 in that game, and they should be able to move 0:21:31.080 --> 0:21:33.320 the ball. And this one. The Panthers four and one 0:21:33.359 --> 0:21:36.359 against the spread with p J. Walkers starting and Joe 0:21:36.440 --> 0:21:40.320 Burrow as a seven point favorite, just one and four 0:21:40.359 --> 0:21:45.240 against the spread in his career as a seven point favorite. 0:21:45.640 --> 0:21:48.280 And you don't have Jamaar Chase in this game. Carolina 0:21:48.359 --> 0:21:52.840 can slow this game down. Slow this game down. Also, 0:21:53.000 --> 0:21:57.960 fourth fourth, Joe Burrow the third down in long situations. 0:21:58.520 --> 0:22:01.520 He doesn't have his top receiver Jamaar Chase Bengals will 0:22:01.520 --> 0:22:06.160 win the game, but not the number. The Bengal Panthers 0:22:06.160 --> 0:22:14.480 twenty three the final, and the penny says Burrow will 0:22:14.560 --> 0:22:19.600 bounce back with major points, taking the Bengals. Not so fast, 0:22:19.720 --> 0:22:24.840 my friend, Not so fast, all right. Next up Las Vegas, 0:22:25.200 --> 0:22:28.919 Al Raiders at two and five, as they were trampled 0:22:29.400 --> 0:22:32.280 there was a rampage in New Orleans last week Raiders 0:22:32.320 --> 0:22:36.160 two and five, Jacksonville two and six on CBS with 0:22:36.320 --> 0:22:39.920 Andrew Catalan and James Lofton on the call. The Raiders 0:22:39.960 --> 0:22:43.720 opened a one point favorite and they are still favorite 0:22:43.720 --> 0:22:45.680 on the road, favorite by one and a half slight 0:22:45.800 --> 0:22:49.160 lean on the money, the handle goes to Jacksonville as 0:22:49.240 --> 0:22:51.679 this is one of those punched the clock situations for 0:22:51.760 --> 0:22:55.960 both these teams, seemingly going nowhere at t I A 0:22:55.960 --> 0:23:00.560 A Bank Stadium temperatures in the eighties and Sonny for 0:23:00.680 --> 0:23:05.520 the most part. In Jacksonville, the Raiders are oh and 0:23:05.880 --> 0:23:09.679 seven their last seven games as a road favorite, and 0:23:09.680 --> 0:23:13.560 the numbers are just cringeworthy for Derek Carr, as he 0:23:13.600 --> 0:23:16.879 has been a debacle when favorite on the road. But 0:23:16.920 --> 0:23:20.560 it isn't much better for Jacksonville They're one in nine 0:23:20.760 --> 0:23:23.600 against the spread their last ten as a home favorite 0:23:23.640 --> 0:23:28.679 against teams traveling from long distances like the West Coast 0:23:28.760 --> 0:23:32.720 or even the far Rocky Mountain time zones. So they've 0:23:32.720 --> 0:23:36.919 been bad. Teams traveling miles or more have been dominant 0:23:37.000 --> 0:23:39.920 against Jacksonville. But I'm gonna take the jackson this game. 0:23:39.960 --> 0:23:42.680 Neither one of these teams is any good. As we said, 0:23:43.280 --> 0:23:45.879 the Raiders did hang out on the East Coast, they 0:23:45.880 --> 0:23:49.080 were practicing in Florida, didn't go back to Vegas after 0:23:49.119 --> 0:23:53.320 they played in New Orleans, licking their wounds. Same old 0:23:53.440 --> 0:23:58.520 lay mass excuses from Josh McDaniels and also Derek Carr, 0:23:58.680 --> 0:24:01.760 which have not he say the same thing every time 0:24:01.800 --> 0:24:04.639 you lose. It's people stop listening to you after a while. 0:24:05.040 --> 0:24:09.040 But the defense, the Raiders defense, they allowed Davis Mills 0:24:09.080 --> 0:24:11.240 and the Texans to do pretty well for three quarters. 0:24:11.520 --> 0:24:14.480 Houston was leading that game a couple of weeks ago, 0:24:14.600 --> 0:24:16.760 and Andy Dalton going to the fourth quarter, and Andy 0:24:16.840 --> 0:24:20.720 Dalton and the Saints were fine last week. They've had 0:24:20.760 --> 0:24:24.240 some success. I don't expect Trevor Trevor Lawrence to struggle 0:24:24.480 --> 0:24:26.760 all that much against the Raiders. She's got to stop 0:24:26.800 --> 0:24:31.520 the brain fog which has happened sporadically some unforced errors. 0:24:31.520 --> 0:24:34.160 But so does Derek Carr. He's a mess on the road, 0:24:34.160 --> 0:24:36.720 as we said. In fact, it's even worse than the numbers. 0:24:36.720 --> 0:24:40.679 We gave Cars four twelve and one against the spread 0:24:40.720 --> 0:24:43.320 as a road favorite, and of course the O n 0:24:43.359 --> 0:24:48.440