1 00:00:00,680 --> 00:00:05,320 Speaker 1: Kabooms. If you thought four hours a day, hundred minutes 2 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:09,160 Speaker 1: a week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants 3 00:00:09,160 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 1: of the old Republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He 4 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: treats crackheads in the ghetto gutter the same as the 5 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:19,880 Speaker 1: rich pill poppers in the penthouse. The Clearinghouse of Hot 6 00:00:19,920 --> 00:00:23,599 Speaker 1: takes break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with 7 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:32,120 Speaker 1: Ben Maller starts right now in the air everywhere back 8 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:38,000 Speaker 1: in the podcast dojo for a spectacular edition of The 9 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 1: Fifth Hour with Ben Maller and Danny g It's not 10 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:45,560 Speaker 1: your normal podcast. No, it's got a little extra erasmatazz 11 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:50,479 Speaker 1: because it is time now for Betty versus the Petty. 12 00:00:51,280 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: We welcome players. You're welcome, are you? It's time now 13 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:09,640 Speaker 1: Penny versus the Penny. You know what, you could tell 14 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:15,520 Speaker 1: that Halloween passed because we're both wearing long sleeves right now. Yes, 15 00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 1: it's California cold. From California cold. Will she anywhere else 16 00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 1: in the country that has actual cold weather, people will 17 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:28,679 Speaker 1: be wearing shorts and and sandals. But in California we 18 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:32,240 Speaker 1: pull out the long sleeve shirts, were ready to bundle. 19 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:36,120 Speaker 1: We're such what's this? My chick got on Amazon the 20 00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 1: other day and ordered some huge stand up heater or 21 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 1: it's my beautiful white so I'm gonna put it right 22 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:45,840 Speaker 1: by the bed and I'm like, I'm gonna open the 23 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:48,840 Speaker 1: sliding glass door. That's what I'm gonna do. Yeah. Well, 24 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:52,040 Speaker 1: my my wife, of course, she has the heating blankets 25 00:01:52,080 --> 00:01:54,880 Speaker 1: stored for the cold season in California. So you gotta 26 00:01:54,920 --> 00:01:59,120 Speaker 1: pull out the heating blankets, which we've acquired over the years. 27 00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 1: You know, one a year before you know it, You've 28 00:02:01,080 --> 00:02:03,560 Speaker 1: got one for every bed. You've gotta have some for 29 00:02:03,600 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 1: the sofa. So anywhere you are, you have to have 30 00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 1: a heating blanket, and that's the the way to go. 31 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:11,840 Speaker 1: But we're gonna get into it. It's Betty versus the 32 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:13,519 Speaker 1: Penny of course, the voice of the Great Danny g 33 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 1: Radio right there, who is representing the penny. And there 34 00:02:18,240 --> 00:02:20,840 Speaker 1: might be some lawsuits over how this is going right now. 35 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:23,440 Speaker 1: But before we look ahead to week nine, we must 36 00:02:23,440 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 1: look back to week eight. In the NFL Every Game Handicap. 37 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:31,600 Speaker 1: To win money as a sports better you have to 38 00:02:31,639 --> 00:02:35,959 Speaker 1: win more than fifty two point four of your bets uh, 39 00:02:36,040 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 1: and likely a fair amount more than that because of 40 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 1: the juice the way that it works, spending on the NFL, 41 00:02:42,760 --> 00:02:45,519 Speaker 1: betting on sports in general. And so if you're new 42 00:02:45,560 --> 00:02:47,799 Speaker 1: to this podcast, if you've heard us on the radio, 43 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 1: and I've granted about this and given out picks Benny 44 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:53,959 Speaker 1: versus the Penny, sports handicapping for the regular guy, a 45 00:02:54,040 --> 00:02:57,800 Speaker 1: bunch of the numbers, man versus an animate object who 46 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:01,560 Speaker 1: will pick more winners. Over the years, I've lost some, 47 00:03:02,000 --> 00:03:04,480 Speaker 1: I've won some to the Penny. It's been crazy over 48 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:09,080 Speaker 1: the years. And so this last week, eight fifteen games 49 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:13,400 Speaker 1: on the card, I went ten and five against the spread, 50 00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:17,400 Speaker 1: and that is my fourth ten win weeks. So I've 51 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:19,079 Speaker 1: had a pretty good run here to begin the year. 52 00:03:19,480 --> 00:03:21,680 Speaker 1: Ready to give it all back here as we get 53 00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 1: to the second half of the season. But ten and five, 54 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:28,640 Speaker 1: six sixty seven winning percentage. The Penny had another losing 55 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:32,480 Speaker 1: week to Penny six and nine against the spread. That's 56 00:03:32,520 --> 00:03:35,680 Speaker 1: a four winning percentage. And if you look at the 57 00:03:35,720 --> 00:03:38,640 Speaker 1: overall season totals, if you look at your radio, and 58 00:03:38,680 --> 00:03:40,320 Speaker 1: you can see right there, we have a I have 59 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:43,200 Speaker 1: my tellustrator out, Danny. I've got my tellustrator and I'm 60 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:48,160 Speaker 1: drawing circles around the records right there you see overall, 61 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:55,880 Speaker 1: I am seventy two and three three. Let me let 62 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 1: me highlight that again. So that is by my, my, my, 63 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 1: after that's twenty four games above five hundred. That's pretty good. 64 00:04:04,080 --> 00:04:08,280 Speaker 1: That won't last unless it does. And the Penny, who 65 00:04:08,400 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 1: was five hundred a couple of weeks back, has had 66 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 1: a tough stretcher in the last couple of weeks. And 67 00:04:13,760 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 1: so the Penny now is five games under five sixty 68 00:04:18,440 --> 00:04:21,080 Speaker 1: three and two, so that I've opened up a bit 69 00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:23,760 Speaker 1: of separation with the penny. The penny has a four 70 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:26,920 Speaker 1: seventy nine winning percentage, so we'll see how it goes 71 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:32,039 Speaker 1: this week. In week number nine of the NFL, I 72 00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:36,720 Speaker 1: am the Nathaniel Hackett and Josh McDaniels of penny flipping. Yes. 73 00:04:37,000 --> 00:04:39,680 Speaker 1: I'm happy though, because this is great and making me 74 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:43,039 Speaker 1: look better anyway. The teams that aren't playing here in 75 00:04:43,080 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 1: Week nine, you will not hear us breakdown the Cowboys 76 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 1: or the Giants both six and two. They're not playing. 77 00:04:48,520 --> 00:04:50,840 Speaker 1: The Forts have the weekend off at four and four. 78 00:04:51,120 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 1: The Steelers are not playing and played much at all 79 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 1: this year, even when they played two and six Brons. 80 00:04:57,720 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 1: The Broncos are three and five. They're they're not playing 81 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:04,440 Speaker 1: and the Cleveland Browns, who had that win over the Bengals, 82 00:05:04,480 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 1: they are also not on the schedule. So the first 83 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:10,480 Speaker 1: game for US on Venni versus the Penny for Week 84 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:13,040 Speaker 1: nine every game Sunday and Monday will start out with 85 00:05:13,120 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 1: Indianapolis three, four and one at New England four and four. 86 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:24,839 Speaker 1: It's on CBS with Greg Gumbel and Adam Archiletta on 87 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 1: the call, and the Patriots opened a five and apt 88 00:05:28,040 --> 00:05:31,200 Speaker 1: point favor in this game. They're favored by five. The 89 00:05:31,320 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: money a lean towards the Patriots at Gillette Stadium. And 90 00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:38,360 Speaker 1: we're not getting that really nasty cold weather yet. It's 91 00:05:38,360 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 1: still November. It's early November. That will come later. Temperature 92 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:48,479 Speaker 1: is actually California, like in Foxboro in the seventies at kickoff, 93 00:05:48,520 --> 00:05:52,279 Speaker 1: although mostly cloudy and some of the numbers on this game. 94 00:05:53,000 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 1: Mac Jones back starting again for the Patriots, who are 95 00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:58,840 Speaker 1: three six and one against the spread their last ten 96 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 1: with Mac Jones. Bill Belichick's done very well against the 97 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:04,400 Speaker 1: Colts over the years five and to the last seven, 98 00:06:04,720 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 1: but I'm taking the Colts in this game. I'll tell 99 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:10,479 Speaker 1: you why we need better ball security from Manny this weekend. 100 00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:12,880 Speaker 1: I think we'll get it. The Patriots are not a juggernaut. 101 00:06:13,200 --> 00:06:16,880 Speaker 1: Mac Jones has plenty awards, and in fact, he's rat 102 00:06:17,120 --> 00:06:21,320 Speaker 1: ranked thirty eight out of thirty nine qualified quarterbacks according 103 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:25,120 Speaker 1: to the numbers from Pro Football Focus their branding system. 104 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:30,200 Speaker 1: Fourth highest turnover worthy play rate in the NFL this 105 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:33,359 Speaker 1: season for mac Jones. And I'm looking at you, Steve 106 00:06:33,480 --> 00:06:35,960 Speaker 1: Stefan Gilmour there, I'm looking at you licking your chops. 107 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 1: The Colts defense up front not exactly Hamburger Helper here. 108 00:06:40,480 --> 00:06:44,360 Speaker 1: As long as you play again, clean game, clean game, uh, 109 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:46,480 Speaker 1: you'll have a shot to cover in the fourth quarter. 110 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:49,960 Speaker 1: Indianapolis six and two against the spread as a road 111 00:06:50,000 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 1: dog since the start of last season. Over the past 112 00:06:53,160 --> 00:06:56,840 Speaker 1: ten seasons, people think that when Belichick goes against the 113 00:06:56,920 --> 00:07:00,359 Speaker 1: first or second time starter that he dominant. It's it 114 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:04,160 Speaker 1: hasn't been the case gambling wise. Belichick his last seven 115 00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:07,279 Speaker 1: games against quarterbacks making their first or second career start 116 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 1: just two and five, the Patriots record with Belichick coaching, 117 00:07:11,440 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 1: So I expect the coast to hang around with Jonathan 118 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:17,720 Speaker 1: Taylor in that running game. Sam Ellinger was not terrible. 119 00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:22,240 Speaker 1: He wasn't great either in his debut against Washington, and 120 00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 1: he actually did screw up late in that game. But 121 00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:27,520 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the points. I think there's too many 122 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 1: points here. Indianapolis is not dreadful. They're They're very similar 123 00:07:31,240 --> 00:07:35,120 Speaker 1: to the Patriots, even with the quarterback conundrum. Patriots will 124 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:39,040 Speaker 1: win but won't cover the spread. Patriots twenty the Colt seventeen. 125 00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 1: The final believes in Belichick still going with the Patriots. Alright, 126 00:07:47,800 --> 00:07:49,880 Speaker 1: Patriots the picking. If you're wondering how we do this, 127 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:52,679 Speaker 1: the home team is heads the road team his tales 128 00:07:52,720 --> 00:07:56,559 Speaker 1: because you travel with your your dairy air via plane, 129 00:07:56,560 --> 00:07:59,120 Speaker 1: strands and automobiles, and so that's the way that we 130 00:07:59,200 --> 00:08:02,160 Speaker 1: do it, all right. Next up, Buffalo. Here we go 131 00:08:02,480 --> 00:08:06,080 Speaker 1: Buffalo six and one at the New York Jets five 132 00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 1: and three. It's on CBS with Iron Eagle and Charles Davis, 133 00:08:09,960 --> 00:08:13,960 Speaker 1: friend of the podcast, former Fox Guy. The Bills opened 134 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:16,160 Speaker 1: up a ten and a half point favorite. It is 135 00:08:16,240 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 1: all the way up to twelve and a half and 136 00:08:19,600 --> 00:08:22,880 Speaker 1: the money on this game relatively even so, no real 137 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 1: advantage either way. Temperatures in the low seventies of MetLife 138 00:08:26,280 --> 00:08:29,600 Speaker 1: Stadium in Jersey. Check this out. The New York Jets, 139 00:08:29,640 --> 00:08:34,240 Speaker 1: the largest home underdog by any any team with a 140 00:08:34,280 --> 00:08:38,720 Speaker 1: winning record since twenty oh seven. The Jets are five 141 00:08:38,760 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 1: and three and they're twelve and a half point underdogs. 142 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:45,040 Speaker 1: And I want to take the Jets in this game, 143 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:48,400 Speaker 1: and I'm gonna ride not with the offense, clearly, I'm 144 00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:51,400 Speaker 1: gonna ride with the defense. Gang Green's defense is not 145 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:55,880 Speaker 1: mince meat here. They're gonna keep this game close and 146 00:08:55,920 --> 00:09:00,400 Speaker 1: within striking distance New York's other team. The Jets have 147 00:09:00,559 --> 00:09:05,120 Speaker 1: the ninth rank rush defense, fifth in defensive defensive passer rating. 148 00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:08,960 Speaker 1: We saw Josh Allen have a couple of hiccups against 149 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 1: Green Bay last week. That's the reason the Bills did 150 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:15,440 Speaker 1: not cover the spread. It's also a sandwich game for Buffalo. 151 00:09:15,640 --> 00:09:18,920 Speaker 1: They had a Sunday night game with the Packers last week. 152 00:09:19,360 --> 00:09:23,400 Speaker 1: They won that game, they didn't cover, and they play 153 00:09:23,640 --> 00:09:27,280 Speaker 1: the six and one Vikings next week game. That's getting 154 00:09:27,280 --> 00:09:29,360 Speaker 1: a little bit of detection, a little bit of traction 155 00:09:29,400 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 1: here in in order to generate offense, the Jets are 156 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:39,120 Speaker 1: gonna have to get the takeaways special teams. Zach Wilson stinks, 157 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 1: He's no good. They don't have the big play running 158 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:44,920 Speaker 1: back right now because he's hurt. So there's a rule. 159 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:48,000 Speaker 1: I have a rule of thumb, a truism. In the 160 00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:50,959 Speaker 1: years I've been handicapping these NFL games. Anytime you get 161 00:09:51,480 --> 00:09:54,800 Speaker 1: seven points or more in a divisional game, you don't 162 00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:58,040 Speaker 1: ask questions. You take the points, you smile, and you 163 00:09:58,160 --> 00:10:02,400 Speaker 1: move on. You're getting almost double that. So there's a 164 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:06,040 Speaker 1: lot of value with the Jets here, and I'm gonna 165 00:10:06,040 --> 00:10:08,360 Speaker 1: take the Jets. Bills will win, but they will not cover. 166 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:12,640 Speaker 1: Jets will hang around. Bills twenty eight Jets twenty is 167 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:22,080 Speaker 1: your final, and the penny lands on heads again. Going 168 00:10:22,160 --> 00:10:25,080 Speaker 1: with the Jets. Alright, So agreement on that. Next up, 169 00:10:25,160 --> 00:10:28,520 Speaker 1: Miami five and three at Chicago three and five. It's 170 00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 1: on CBS with Kevin Harland and Trent Green. They have 171 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:35,240 Speaker 1: the call. The Dolphins opened a three and a point 172 00:10:35,280 --> 00:10:39,400 Speaker 1: favor They're favored by five in this game. Lean in 173 00:10:39,480 --> 00:10:42,320 Speaker 1: the money to the Dolphins. At Soldier Field, temperatures in 174 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:46,000 Speaker 1: the sixties. It's gonna be windy, and that's what you 175 00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:49,520 Speaker 1: expect in the midwestern Chicago, and not always that way. 176 00:10:49,559 --> 00:10:52,200 Speaker 1: The the Windy City actually named after the politicians, but 177 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:55,040 Speaker 1: it is windy. There a lot also the numbers on 178 00:10:55,080 --> 00:10:59,680 Speaker 1: this game. The Bears, with Justin Fields as a home underdog, 179 00:10:59,720 --> 00:11:02,280 Speaker 1: are one in five against the spread, their five and 180 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:06,520 Speaker 1: eleven as an underdog in his career and Miami, they 181 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:10,160 Speaker 1: haven't been a great road favorite either. They were trailing 182 00:11:10,400 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 1: quite a bit against the Lions last week came back 183 00:11:13,360 --> 00:11:15,719 Speaker 1: and one. But I'm gonna take the Dolphins in this game. 184 00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:19,360 Speaker 1: The Bears have the twenty seven ranked offense, their defense 185 00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:25,120 Speaker 1: just gave away their top player, ro Kwan Smith, so 186 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 1: he's gone to the Ravens, and while the Dolphins we're 187 00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:32,520 Speaker 1: going the other way. Right, These are ships passing in 188 00:11:32,559 --> 00:11:35,560 Speaker 1: the night, the Dolphins adding players Bradley Chubb and others, 189 00:11:35,840 --> 00:11:40,119 Speaker 1: the Bears subtracting players, and Justin Fields bringing a musket 190 00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:43,920 Speaker 1: and going against a nuclear warhead in Tyreek Hill in 191 00:11:43,920 --> 00:11:46,800 Speaker 1: that Dolphin offense. If the weather was bad, if it 192 00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:49,600 Speaker 1: was raining and cold and nasty and all that, I 193 00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:51,439 Speaker 1: would go the other way because it would slow down 194 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:54,120 Speaker 1: the Dolphins. There's none of that in the forecast. Unless 195 00:11:54,120 --> 00:11:57,280 Speaker 1: I'm missing it, this game will be lopsided. The Bears 196 00:11:57,320 --> 00:11:59,640 Speaker 1: can't keep up. It'll be close for a half, but 197 00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:02,439 Speaker 1: in the end, barring some kind of dramatic injury to 198 00:12:02,520 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 1: toa Tuga by Loa or one of the other key 199 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:10,160 Speaker 1: members of the Dolphins. This is a blowout City Dolphins 200 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:19,160 Speaker 1: thirty eight Bears twenty the final penny copying off your 201 00:12:19,160 --> 00:12:23,560 Speaker 1: paper going with the Dolphins, all right? Next up for 202 00:12:23,640 --> 00:12:26,480 Speaker 1: us penny versus the Penny. We move on to just 203 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 1: outside Washington, d C. Over and land Over in Maryland 204 00:12:30,600 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 1: suburban d C. And mansorta skull off to the six 205 00:12:37,080 --> 00:12:40,640 Speaker 1: and one start Washington four and four back to come 206 00:12:40,679 --> 00:12:44,720 Speaker 1: back win last week against Indianapolis. This game on Fox. 207 00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:49,000 Speaker 1: Kevin Burkhardt is supposed to call the game with Greg Olsen, 208 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:51,559 Speaker 1: but there's this little world serious thing which may still 209 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:54,960 Speaker 1: be going on. We certainly either hope it ends in 210 00:12:55,040 --> 00:12:57,640 Speaker 1: favor of Philadelphia or it does go to a game seven. 211 00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:00,160 Speaker 1: But either way they will play the game. Obviously, who 212 00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:01,959 Speaker 1: knows what we'll be doing the play by play. The 213 00:13:02,080 --> 00:13:05,480 Speaker 1: Vikings opened a two and a half point favorite. They 214 00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:07,800 Speaker 1: are favored by three and a half in this game 215 00:13:08,280 --> 00:13:13,640 Speaker 1: fifty nine of the handle in favor of Washington. Overcast 216 00:13:14,200 --> 00:13:17,880 Speaker 1: and another game in that Northeastern corridor temperatures in the 217 00:13:17,920 --> 00:13:21,200 Speaker 1: seventies that kickoff at FedEx Field. Some of the numbers 218 00:13:21,520 --> 00:13:26,120 Speaker 1: and trends in this game. Washington eight and two against 219 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:30,599 Speaker 1: the spread with Taylor Heineke starting last ten, starts Minnesota 220 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:33,040 Speaker 1: five and two against the spread. The last seven is 221 00:13:33,040 --> 00:13:36,280 Speaker 1: a favorite of seven points or less. But we're taking 222 00:13:36,280 --> 00:13:39,160 Speaker 1: the Commanders in this game. And I'm looking at this 223 00:13:39,280 --> 00:13:41,800 Speaker 1: like another one of those trap games for the Vikings. 224 00:13:41,800 --> 00:13:43,959 Speaker 1: They are rolling along. They've got a three and a 225 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:47,240 Speaker 1: half game lead in the NFC North over the Packers 226 00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:51,800 Speaker 1: and Bears. They've got big bad Buffalo on deck. That 227 00:13:51,960 --> 00:13:56,000 Speaker 1: is a game that can can prove the Vikings aren't 228 00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:59,120 Speaker 1: fraudulent if they can beat the Bills next week. But 229 00:13:59,320 --> 00:14:02,640 Speaker 1: first you to get through the Commanders. Nobody gets up 230 00:14:02,679 --> 00:14:05,240 Speaker 1: for Washington. They don't have headline players, they don't have 231 00:14:05,280 --> 00:14:08,320 Speaker 1: star players. They're just kind of a blog team, generic 232 00:14:08,360 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 1: brand team. Uh. These these clubs are not that far apart, 233 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:15,839 Speaker 1: despite the record disparity, and Taylor Heineke has been a 234 00:14:16,040 --> 00:14:21,440 Speaker 1: spark plug. He's been a good fuse for that morbid franchise. 235 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:24,640 Speaker 1: He went eighty nine yards to win the game against 236 00:14:24,640 --> 00:14:29,360 Speaker 1: Indie last week, Washington winning and has covered three in 237 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:31,440 Speaker 1: a row. We expect more of that here they will 238 00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:35,960 Speaker 1: spoil Kirk Cousins return to his old stomping grounds and 239 00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:47,000 Speaker 1: landover Maryland, Washington, Minnesota twenty one the final, and the 240 00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 1: penny disagrees going the other way, taking the Vikings. We 241 00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:53,480 Speaker 1: disagree there. We move on to the Motor City. Green 242 00:14:53,560 --> 00:14:57,240 Speaker 1: Bay three and five at Detroit one and six. It's 243 00:14:57,360 --> 00:15:01,960 Speaker 1: on Fox. You better w watches the Fox box that 244 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:05,840 Speaker 1: Rocks will be calling this game. Packers a three and 245 00:15:06,000 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 1: a half point favorite. They opened a three and a half. 246 00:15:08,560 --> 00:15:11,000 Speaker 1: The line has stayed the same. This game being played 247 00:15:11,040 --> 00:15:14,040 Speaker 1: in a dome at Ford Field, so need no need 248 00:15:14,120 --> 00:15:16,920 Speaker 1: to give you the weather, although the weather will be 249 00:15:17,520 --> 00:15:21,160 Speaker 1: mild in the Motor City. Some of the numbers on 250 00:15:21,160 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 1: this one. Green Bay, they have been a dreadful favorite 251 00:15:24,800 --> 00:15:27,480 Speaker 1: of late. They are two and eight against the spread 252 00:15:27,840 --> 00:15:31,200 Speaker 1: their last ten as a favorite. It's like somebody slipped 253 00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 1: them a mickey here. When they've been a favorite, they've 254 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:36,960 Speaker 1: been terrible. Detroit six and one against the spread their 255 00:15:37,040 --> 00:15:39,480 Speaker 1: last seven as a home dog. Lions are eight and 256 00:15:39,560 --> 00:15:43,160 Speaker 1: two head to head with green Bay against the number 257 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:47,200 Speaker 1: since seventeen. I'm taking Detroit in this game. You've got 258 00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:50,280 Speaker 1: the Lions on a five game s kid the Packers 259 00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:53,200 Speaker 1: on a four games skid, but our money is gonna 260 00:15:53,200 --> 00:15:55,760 Speaker 1: be with the Hollolu Blue here. They actually have the 261 00:15:55,800 --> 00:15:59,520 Speaker 1: better offense, which hasn't been said for twenty years when 262 00:15:59,520 --> 00:16:02,400 Speaker 1: these teams have played. Detroit's gaining six point two yards 263 00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:05,240 Speaker 1: per played, third in the NFL. They've gotten some guys 264 00:16:05,240 --> 00:16:07,760 Speaker 1: back from injury. They did trade their tight end Hockinson 265 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:12,280 Speaker 1: to the Vikings. The Packers are stuck in mud here. 266 00:16:12,320 --> 00:16:16,080 Speaker 1: They're stuck in neutral. Lack of playmakers, bad morale. Green 267 00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:19,200 Speaker 1: Bay didn't do anything here at the trade deadline to 268 00:16:19,280 --> 00:16:22,840 Speaker 1: improve the situation. Both teams should be able to move 269 00:16:22,880 --> 00:16:26,520 Speaker 1: the ball on the ground. Neither one is that mind boggling. 270 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:29,800 Speaker 1: It's not the kind of game that gives you goose bumps. 271 00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:33,240 Speaker 1: The wrong team is favored here. Lions get off the 272 00:16:33,280 --> 00:16:39,560 Speaker 1: schnide Detroit Packers three and Aaron Rodgers is running to 273 00:16:39,680 --> 00:16:47,960 Speaker 1: the Ayahuasca. When this one ends, and the penny disagrees 274 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:52,040 Speaker 1: with you again going with the Packers's a disagreement. That's good. 275 00:16:52,880 --> 00:16:56,840 Speaker 1: Either titen the record or the record will get much 276 00:16:56,880 --> 00:17:00,200 Speaker 1: worse through thick and thin for the penny. Next up, 277 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:04,480 Speaker 1: the l A Chargers, show me your lightning Bolt four 278 00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:07,360 Speaker 1: and three at Atlanta four and four. It's on Fox 279 00:17:08,000 --> 00:17:10,920 Speaker 1: with Kenny Albert and Jonathan Vilma. They have the call. 280 00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:14,840 Speaker 1: The Chargers opened up a three point favorite. This has 281 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:19,920 Speaker 1: stayed flat scary both these teams. Chargers are three point favorite, 282 00:17:19,960 --> 00:17:22,000 Speaker 1: a lot of the money in favor of the Falcons. 283 00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:26,639 Speaker 1: This game being played in the Mercedes Benz Stadium in Georgia. 284 00:17:27,359 --> 00:17:29,920 Speaker 1: The Chargers over the last couple of years have been 285 00:17:30,240 --> 00:17:35,560 Speaker 1: a debacle. It's been a devil of a time for them. 286 00:17:35,600 --> 00:17:38,359 Speaker 1: In November. There one in nine against the spread their 287 00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:41,679 Speaker 1: last ten games in November, and they've now got a 288 00:17:41,680 --> 00:17:45,919 Speaker 1: losing record with Justin Herbert their last fifteen games against 289 00:17:46,000 --> 00:17:49,080 Speaker 1: the spread six and nine. Atlanta has been a great 290 00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 1: bet with Arthur Smith when the line is either plus 291 00:17:52,840 --> 00:17:56,320 Speaker 1: three to minus three. Falcons are seven and two against 292 00:17:56,320 --> 00:17:59,520 Speaker 1: the spread, Atlanta three and oh at home as a dog, 293 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,960 Speaker 1: He's a live dog here at home this season, so 294 00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:04,960 Speaker 1: they've done a very good job in their own house. 295 00:18:05,320 --> 00:18:09,080 Speaker 1: I'm taking the Falcons here, a healthy Charger team which 296 00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 1: smash Atlanta two bits. But that's not the case. Keenan 297 00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:16,000 Speaker 1: Allen dinged up doesn't look like he's gonna play. Mike Williams, 298 00:18:16,080 --> 00:18:18,320 Speaker 1: Joey Bosa, J C. Jackson, and a host of other 299 00:18:18,320 --> 00:18:22,480 Speaker 1: big names are Gonzo. The Falcons meet in Potato. They say, 300 00:18:22,520 --> 00:18:25,800 Speaker 1: matchups make fights, and this is our styles make fights, 301 00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:28,560 Speaker 1: and this is quite the matchup favor for Atlanta. Falcons 302 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:31,400 Speaker 1: can run the ball. It's what they do pretty well. 303 00:18:32,119 --> 00:18:35,280 Speaker 1: That happens to be the kryptonite for the bolt. The 304 00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:39,520 Speaker 1: Chargers are thirty second against the run. That's dead last, 305 00:18:39,600 --> 00:18:44,760 Speaker 1: allowing five points seven yards per rush. Atlanta has a 306 00:18:44,840 --> 00:18:48,879 Speaker 1: jackhammer attack. They've rotated running backs in. They're tied for 307 00:18:49,080 --> 00:18:52,920 Speaker 1: twelve in the NFL, so there will be no joy 308 00:18:53,119 --> 00:18:57,600 Speaker 1: in Mudville. Back in Charger Land, the Falcons, after that 309 00:18:57,800 --> 00:19:01,800 Speaker 1: stinker against Cincinnati and then another one where they barely 310 00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:06,800 Speaker 1: won against the Carolina Panthers last week, they will have 311 00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:09,040 Speaker 1: another close game, but they will win it as a 312 00:19:09,160 --> 00:19:15,440 Speaker 1: home dog. Falcons twenty and the Chargers seventeen is your final. 313 00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:23,760 Speaker 1: And the penny also likes the dirty birds at home. 314 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:27,720 Speaker 1: All right, Next up, as we work against the clock. 315 00:19:27,800 --> 00:19:30,520 Speaker 1: Of course, there is really no pod there's no podcast clock. 316 00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:33,600 Speaker 1: We don't have to worry, all right, Danny. Literally we 317 00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:37,360 Speaker 1: don't pay attention to the network clock either. Exactly. We're 318 00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:39,880 Speaker 1: rebels like that, Danny. We do what we want to do. 319 00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:42,560 Speaker 1: We talk when we want to talk. Bring down the 320 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:45,119 Speaker 1: house is what we do. I Caroline at two and 321 00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:50,000 Speaker 1: six at Cincinnati at four and three on Fox with 322 00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:54,000 Speaker 1: Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez on the call. Neither one 323 00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:57,160 Speaker 1: of these teams in good shape here. The Bengals opened 324 00:19:57,160 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 1: a nine and a half point favorite, but that has 325 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:04,280 Speaker 1: on down two seven the handle in this game and 326 00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:10,040 Speaker 1: about eighty eight on Cincinnati Sunny temperatures in the sixties 327 00:20:10,680 --> 00:20:14,719 Speaker 1: at the corporately named Paid Corps Stadium in the Natty 328 00:20:15,560 --> 00:20:18,159 Speaker 1: as that game, this will this will not be a 329 00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:19,960 Speaker 1: game where teams are bouncing off the wall. Some of 330 00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:24,560 Speaker 1: the numbers here. Carolina has has been dreadful as an 331 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:26,919 Speaker 1: underdog five and ten against the spread, but they have 332 00:20:27,040 --> 00:20:30,080 Speaker 1: covered back to back games, and they were actually three 333 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:33,320 Speaker 1: and seventeen against the spread their last twenty prior to that, 334 00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:36,760 Speaker 1: but now back to back covers Cincinnati. Some of the 335 00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:39,960 Speaker 1: numbers here, Joe Burrows starting their twelve and three against 336 00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:43,119 Speaker 1: spread lost last week. I'm taking the Panthers. I'm taking 337 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:46,240 Speaker 1: the Panthers made a coaching change, they made a quarterback change. 338 00:20:46,520 --> 00:20:49,000 Speaker 1: They've actually been competitive since they did that. For the 339 00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:52,320 Speaker 1: most part, I just don't trust since he right now, 340 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:57,000 Speaker 1: they were so blah and I don't trust them as 341 00:20:57,040 --> 00:20:59,879 Speaker 1: a touchdown favorite. They allowed four forty yards to do 342 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:04,320 Speaker 1: Kobe Brissette and the Browns weak ass offense last week. 343 00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:08,560 Speaker 1: They're playing a bunch of inexperienced players in the secondary. 344 00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:13,359 Speaker 1: They'll be yards to be had for p J. Walker 345 00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:17,520 Speaker 1: as the Bengals are susceptible to giving up the big play. 346 00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:20,560 Speaker 1: We saw that last week d J. Moore, who cost 347 00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:24,040 Speaker 1: Carolina the game by taking off his helmet last week 348 00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:27,840 Speaker 1: in Atlanta. But the Panthers put up thirty four points 349 00:21:28,000 --> 00:21:31,040 Speaker 1: in that game, and they should be able to move 350 00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:33,320 Speaker 1: the ball. And this one. The Panthers four and one 351 00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:36,359 Speaker 1: against the spread with p J. Walkers starting and Joe 352 00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:40,320 Speaker 1: Burrow as a seven point favorite, just one and four 353 00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:45,240 Speaker 1: against the spread in his career as a seven point favorite. 354 00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:48,280 Speaker 1: And you don't have Jamaar Chase in this game. Carolina 355 00:21:48,359 --> 00:21:52,840 Speaker 1: can slow this game down. Slow this game down. Also, 356 00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:57,960 Speaker 1: fourth fourth, Joe Burrow the third down in long situations. 357 00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:01,520 Speaker 1: He doesn't have his top receiver Jamaar Chase Bengals will 358 00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:06,160 Speaker 1: win the game, but not the number. The Bengal Panthers 359 00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:14,480 Speaker 1: twenty three the final, and the penny says Burrow will 360 00:22:14,560 --> 00:22:19,600 Speaker 1: bounce back with major points, taking the Bengals. Not so fast, 361 00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:24,840 Speaker 1: my friend, Not so fast, all right. Next up Las Vegas, 362 00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:28,919 Speaker 1: Al Raiders at two and five, as they were trampled 363 00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:32,280 Speaker 1: there was a rampage in New Orleans last week Raiders 364 00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:36,160 Speaker 1: two and five, Jacksonville two and six on CBS with 365 00:22:36,320 --> 00:22:39,920 Speaker 1: Andrew Catalan and James Lofton on the call. The Raiders 366 00:22:39,960 --> 00:22:43,720 Speaker 1: opened a one point favorite and they are still favorite 367 00:22:43,720 --> 00:22:45,680 Speaker 1: on the road, favorite by one and a half slight 368 00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:49,160 Speaker 1: lean on the money, the handle goes to Jacksonville as 369 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,679 Speaker 1: this is one of those punched the clock situations for 370 00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:55,960 Speaker 1: both these teams, seemingly going nowhere at t I A 371 00:22:55,960 --> 00:23:00,560 Speaker 1: A Bank Stadium temperatures in the eighties and Sonny for 372 00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:05,520 Speaker 1: the most part. In Jacksonville, the Raiders are oh and 373 00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:09,679 Speaker 1: seven their last seven games as a road favorite, and 374 00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:13,560 Speaker 1: the numbers are just cringeworthy for Derek Carr, as he 375 00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:16,879 Speaker 1: has been a debacle when favorite on the road. But 376 00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:20,560 Speaker 1: it isn't much better for Jacksonville They're one in nine 377 00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:23,600 Speaker 1: against the spread their last ten as a home favorite 378 00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:28,679 Speaker 1: against teams traveling from long distances like the West Coast 379 00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:32,720 Speaker 1: or even the far Rocky Mountain time zones. So they've 380 00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:36,919 Speaker 1: been bad. Teams traveling miles or more have been dominant 381 00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:39,920 Speaker 1: against Jacksonville. But I'm gonna take the jackson this game. 382 00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:42,680 Speaker 1: Neither one of these teams is any good. As we said, 383 00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:45,879 Speaker 1: the Raiders did hang out on the East Coast, they 384 00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:49,080 Speaker 1: were practicing in Florida, didn't go back to Vegas after 385 00:23:49,119 --> 00:23:53,320 Speaker 1: they played in New Orleans, licking their wounds. Same old 386 00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:58,520 Speaker 1: lay mass excuses from Josh McDaniels and also Derek Carr, 387 00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:01,760 Speaker 1: which have not he say the same thing every time 388 00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:04,639 Speaker 1: you lose. It's people stop listening to you after a while. 389 00:24:05,040 --> 00:24:09,040 Speaker 1: But the defense, the Raiders defense, they allowed Davis Mills 390 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:11,240 Speaker 1: and the Texans to do pretty well for three quarters. 391 00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:14,480 Speaker 1: Houston was leading that game a couple of weeks ago, 392 00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:16,760 Speaker 1: and Andy Dalton going to the fourth quarter, and Andy 393 00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:20,720 Speaker 1: Dalton and the Saints were fine last week. They've had 394 00:24:20,760 --> 00:24:24,240 Speaker 1: some success. I don't expect Trevor Trevor Lawrence to struggle 395 00:24:24,480 --> 00:24:26,760 Speaker 1: all that much against the Raiders. She's got to stop 396 00:24:26,800 --> 00:24:31,520 Speaker 1: the brain fog which has happened sporadically some unforced errors. 397 00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:34,160 Speaker 1: But so does Derek Carr. He's a mess on the road, 398 00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:36,720 Speaker 1: as we said. In fact, it's even worse than the numbers. 399 00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:40,679 Speaker 1: We gave Cars four twelve and one against the spread 400 00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:43,320 Speaker 1: as a road favorite, and of course the O n 401 00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:48,440 Speaker 1: seven last seven times since Derek Carr and the Raiders 402 00:24:48,480 --> 00:24:52,280 Speaker 1: are one ten and one as a road favorite. So 403 00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:54,480 Speaker 1: I'm looking at the Jacks here. You have some success 404 00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:57,520 Speaker 1: on the ground with Travis at the end to matriculate 405 00:24:57,560 --> 00:25:00,720 Speaker 1: the ball around and catch passes out of the backfield. 406 00:25:00,840 --> 00:25:06,960 Speaker 1: Jacksonville and Las Vegas twenty four. Sorry, Danny, it's it's 407 00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:11,680 Speaker 1: not personal, it's just business. Danny. Oh, I know. And 408 00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:19,200 Speaker 1: I was actually hoping the penny might go the other 409 00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:23,320 Speaker 1: way because it's been a jinx lately, landed on tails. 410 00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:26,960 Speaker 1: So taking the Raiders, you're right about the middle of 411 00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:30,359 Speaker 1: their defense without Nate Hobbs been since he's been with 412 00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:34,600 Speaker 1: the cast. Oh my goodness. Offenses can just go to 413 00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:38,800 Speaker 1: the middle and do whatever they want against that Raiders defense. Yeah, 414 00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:42,359 Speaker 1: and and what you have Davante Adams, Why is it 415 00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:45,840 Speaker 1: so hard to get Adams the ball. He never had 416 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,560 Speaker 1: this issue in Green Bay. They always ball. I don't 417 00:25:48,680 --> 00:25:53,200 Speaker 1: understand why it's so hard for car who supposedly besties 418 00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:56,920 Speaker 1: with Davante Adams. They went to the college together, and 419 00:25:57,119 --> 00:26:00,679 Speaker 1: it's embarrassed. That's also that's also in an indictment on 420 00:26:01,280 --> 00:26:04,560 Speaker 1: Josh McDaniels, who's supposed to be God's gift offensive football. 421 00:26:05,240 --> 00:26:08,919 Speaker 1: I mean, come on, I mean, supposedly Davante had a 422 00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:12,480 Speaker 1: bad flu last week and shouldn't have played, and they 423 00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:16,200 Speaker 1: say he still has some symptoms. But I mean, that's 424 00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:19,359 Speaker 1: still no excuse. If you're out there, you've got to perform. 425 00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:22,480 Speaker 1: So hopefully those two can bounce back, because they look 426 00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:25,760 Speaker 1: decent at times and then they've looked awful at times. 427 00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:28,399 Speaker 1: So hopefully they can get on a little run here 428 00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:30,879 Speaker 1: and go back to five. They do have a path 429 00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:35,040 Speaker 1: to five and five if they can get their ship together. Yeah, 430 00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:38,560 Speaker 1: but they're they're capable of losing to anybody. It's like 431 00:26:38,600 --> 00:26:41,200 Speaker 1: they have been right in there with some big squads 432 00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:44,400 Speaker 1: like the Chiefs, so they're actually capable of winning big 433 00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:48,520 Speaker 1: games too. Bad teams lose close games. Bad teams. I'm 434 00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:52,399 Speaker 1: moving on. We will explore all avenues on Benny Versus 435 00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:55,200 Speaker 1: the Penny. We get to the late television window now 436 00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:58,960 Speaker 1: and we'll start out in the Valley of the Sun. 437 00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:02,879 Speaker 1: And more on that coming up on the Saturday podcast. 438 00:27:02,920 --> 00:27:06,520 Speaker 1: A never before told story that I will reveal on 439 00:27:06,520 --> 00:27:08,679 Speaker 1: our Saturday practice. Is that a teaser? Is that a 440 00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:12,520 Speaker 1: teas day? I'm gonna have Marcel tweet that out right now. Yeah, 441 00:27:12,600 --> 00:27:16,960 Speaker 1: welcome aboard, all right. Seattle five and three at Arizona 442 00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:21,560 Speaker 1: three and five on Fox with Adam Amine and Darryl 443 00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:24,600 Speaker 1: moose Johnston. The Cardinals opened a two and a half 444 00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:27,440 Speaker 1: point favorite. They are favorite by two in the Grand 445 00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:30,560 Speaker 1: Canyon State and the slight lean on the money to 446 00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:32,880 Speaker 1: the Seahawks. Some of the numbers here as the weather 447 00:27:32,960 --> 00:27:37,240 Speaker 1: being the seventies. It's a dome at State Farm Stadium 448 00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:41,479 Speaker 1: in Glendale, Arizona. Seattle eleven and four their last fifteen 449 00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:46,400 Speaker 1: against the spread in road conference games, Arizona has been 450 00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:49,600 Speaker 1: a dreadful home favorite. Gino Smith has been great for 451 00:27:49,640 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 1: Seattle seven and three against the spread the last ten. 452 00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:55,960 Speaker 1: With Gino starting, I'm taking the Seahawks here. I never 453 00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:58,879 Speaker 1: thought I would ever say that Geno Smith is clearly 454 00:27:58,920 --> 00:28:01,200 Speaker 1: the better quarterback again, someone who's got a two d 455 00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:04,720 Speaker 1: million dollar contract or whatever the little little fellows making. 456 00:28:04,760 --> 00:28:07,119 Speaker 1: But that's the case there. Gino Smith has been better 457 00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,200 Speaker 1: and it's not even close. As he mixes it up 458 00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:13,439 Speaker 1: with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett and Kenneth Walker the 459 00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:17,280 Speaker 1: third Seattle actually looks like a good team. They're not 460 00:28:17,320 --> 00:28:19,240 Speaker 1: a great team, but they're good. They're better than it 461 00:28:19,280 --> 00:28:21,840 Speaker 1: should have been by a mile, and they're a small 462 00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:25,159 Speaker 1: dog here. Kyler Murray has been good for one to 463 00:28:25,280 --> 00:28:30,640 Speaker 1: two mistakes a game, and that is gonna derail Arizona's 464 00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:33,360 Speaker 1: derailed them most of the year. Even with their big 465 00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:37,920 Speaker 1: stud receiver coming back, DeAndre Hopkins. The bad times, bad 466 00:28:37,920 --> 00:28:41,360 Speaker 1: times for the most part, continue here. You've got bad 467 00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:45,240 Speaker 1: blood between Murray and Kingsbury, not happy the coach with 468 00:28:45,240 --> 00:28:49,600 Speaker 1: alligator arms Murray and Cliff Kingsbury. As a home favorite 469 00:28:49,720 --> 00:28:53,280 Speaker 1: five and eleven against the spread. As a home favorite, 470 00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:58,000 Speaker 1: you toss in some dinged up offensive lineman and Seattle's 471 00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:01,400 Speaker 1: defense overachieving as well, not just Gino Smith. It does 472 00:29:01,440 --> 00:29:06,200 Speaker 1: not bode well for the desert version of the Birds. 473 00:29:06,880 --> 00:29:12,320 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take Seattle thirty and Arizona the final 474 00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:20,320 Speaker 1: and the penny going with the Cardinals, all right, Penny 475 00:29:20,520 --> 00:29:22,800 Speaker 1: going the other way on that game. And we we 476 00:29:22,880 --> 00:29:26,360 Speaker 1: do want to thank the loyal minions who have listened 477 00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:31,960 Speaker 1: every week religiously to this podcast, including David in Winter Park, 478 00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:36,120 Speaker 1: Florida and Roscoe the Parrot is Pet Imaginary Parrot, also 479 00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:39,680 Speaker 1: Rob in Vegas and several others who have emailed me 480 00:29:40,240 --> 00:29:44,560 Speaker 1: every week to critique my work, Danny. They tell me 481 00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:48,520 Speaker 1: what they like and what they don't like as I 482 00:29:48,600 --> 00:29:51,600 Speaker 1: give these picks and they tell me I'm wrong, although 483 00:29:52,600 --> 00:29:55,000 Speaker 1: I haven't been all that wrong in a in a 484 00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:57,280 Speaker 1: couple of weeks, Danny. So things have been going well here. 485 00:29:58,160 --> 00:30:02,280 Speaker 1: We'll see knock on, you know, I know, all right? 486 00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:04,000 Speaker 1: A lot of a lot of football at the l A. 487 00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:08,320 Speaker 1: I am is it? Three and four at Tompa Bay 488 00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:11,440 Speaker 1: three and five on the CBS with Jim Nance and 489 00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:13,440 Speaker 1: Tony Romo. They have the call on this game. The 490 00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:16,160 Speaker 1: Bucks opened to two point favorite. They're favorite by three 491 00:30:17,040 --> 00:30:20,960 Speaker 1: the money in favor of Tampa Bay. Temperatures in the 492 00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:25,360 Speaker 1: low eighties at Raymond James Stadium. The Rams just two 493 00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:28,480 Speaker 1: and five against the spread this season, but the Buccaneers 494 00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:33,440 Speaker 1: one in six with Tom Brady under center against the spread. 495 00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:38,480 Speaker 1: Holy Connoli does that stink? And Tampa Bay has not 496 00:30:38,600 --> 00:30:42,640 Speaker 1: done well against Matthew Stafford, of all people, Stafford gambling 497 00:30:42,680 --> 00:30:45,360 Speaker 1: wise five and two in his last seven matchups with 498 00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:49,160 Speaker 1: the old Buckaroos. There the Creamsicles. But I'm gonna take 499 00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:51,320 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay in this game. And the main reason why 500 00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:53,960 Speaker 1: is Cooper Cup is dinged up. He's expected to play, 501 00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:57,200 Speaker 1: but how effective is he gonna be in this dust 502 00:30:57,280 --> 00:31:00,920 Speaker 1: up in Florida? The Rams simply don't have anyone else 503 00:31:01,440 --> 00:31:05,920 Speaker 1: who can consistently make plays on offense. They they look 504 00:31:06,160 --> 00:31:10,640 Speaker 1: dizzy without Cooper Cup being the man. Even with Cooper Cup, 505 00:31:11,360 --> 00:31:15,000 Speaker 1: they still have looked a little bit off. These teams 506 00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:18,400 Speaker 1: are doppel gangers of each other. Neither one has lived 507 00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:21,600 Speaker 1: up to expectations. Tampa Bay is oh and six against 508 00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:25,360 Speaker 1: the spread their last six, the longest single season against 509 00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:28,760 Speaker 1: the spread losing streak of Tom Brady's career is going 510 00:31:28,800 --> 00:31:32,600 Speaker 1: on right now. But yet I'm gonna take Tampa Bay. 511 00:31:32,640 --> 00:31:34,720 Speaker 1: We're gonna go with the Buccaneers because I have more 512 00:31:34,800 --> 00:31:38,760 Speaker 1: faith that Brady will play a cleaning game as opposed 513 00:31:38,800 --> 00:31:42,960 Speaker 1: to Matthew Stafford. And unless Allen Robinson or one of 514 00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:46,480 Speaker 1: these other guys actually starts earning their money as playmakers, 515 00:31:46,520 --> 00:31:49,960 Speaker 1: which they haven't done. I just don't. Even with the 516 00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:52,600 Speaker 1: Bucks defensive issues, I don't. The Rams have not been 517 00:31:52,640 --> 00:31:55,720 Speaker 1: able to score many points. They move the ball between 518 00:31:55,760 --> 00:31:58,840 Speaker 1: the twenties, they normally fumble it away or throw an interception, 519 00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:04,160 Speaker 1: screw it up somehow or another Buccaneers Ram seventeen the 520 00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:11,680 Speaker 1: final Penny would also like to go out scamming at 521 00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:15,760 Speaker 1: weddings with Tom Brady for bride's maids. Going with the Bucks. 522 00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:18,240 Speaker 1: I hope I'm wrong on that game. That's one I 523 00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:20,040 Speaker 1: would like to get wrong. I see the Rams win it, 524 00:32:20,080 --> 00:32:22,800 Speaker 1: but I handicapped the game. That's the way I see it. 525 00:32:23,040 --> 00:32:25,680 Speaker 1: And even though I like the Rams, what the hell? 526 00:32:25,720 --> 00:32:29,240 Speaker 1: All Right? Next up? Prime time games? Now Sunday Night 527 00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:31,920 Speaker 1: football just too late games. As we said, Tampa and 528 00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:35,000 Speaker 1: the Rams and Seattle in Arizona. So that guy that 529 00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:36,920 Speaker 1: does the Red Zone channel is gonna have a lot 530 00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:40,400 Speaker 1: of full time all right, Sunday Night Football Tennessee five 531 00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:45,160 Speaker 1: and two at Canansa City, also five and two on 532 00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:50,520 Speaker 1: and Be You See with Mike Tariko and Chris Collinsworth 533 00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:53,960 Speaker 1: Day of the call. The Chiefs opened up an eleven 534 00:32:54,120 --> 00:32:57,680 Speaker 1: point favorite, and they are favored by twelve and a 535 00:32:57,680 --> 00:33:02,000 Speaker 1: half at Arrowhead Stadium, Temperatures in the fifties at kickoff 536 00:33:02,080 --> 00:33:05,680 Speaker 1: in Kansas City. Some of the numbers on this one. 537 00:33:05,760 --> 00:33:10,200 Speaker 1: Tennessee has done very well against Andy Reid coach teams. 538 00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:12,640 Speaker 1: They're eight and two against the spread their last ten 539 00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:17,280 Speaker 1: matchups with coach read Kansas City also six and nine 540 00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:20,800 Speaker 1: against the spread, their last fifteen at home with Patrick 541 00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:26,160 Speaker 1: Mahomes starting, and double digit favorites are eight, three and 542 00:33:26,240 --> 00:33:28,920 Speaker 1: one in primetime game since the start of last seasons. 543 00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:31,600 Speaker 1: That boats well for Kansas City. But I'm gonna take 544 00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:35,200 Speaker 1: the Titans in this game. And even with the questionable 545 00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:38,320 Speaker 1: status of Ryan Tannehill, he's damaged at the time we 546 00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:42,640 Speaker 1: are rolling on this podcast, it appears that he is 547 00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:44,880 Speaker 1: up in the air. He may play, he may not play. 548 00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:48,800 Speaker 1: Has been crossed off the list. Malik Willis, who's clearly 549 00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:52,200 Speaker 1: an acquired taste, look like he should be on a 550 00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:56,600 Speaker 1: practice squad somewhere or delivering door dash. But he did 551 00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:59,640 Speaker 1: start last week. Tennessee won the game anyway, because if 552 00:33:59,680 --> 00:34:03,719 Speaker 1: Derek Henry they played hide the quarterback. The recipe for 553 00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:07,160 Speaker 1: this week calls for more of the same, long, methodical, 554 00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:10,560 Speaker 1: time consuming drives. You basically want to play keep away, 555 00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:16,080 Speaker 1: play it safe, underneath passes, work together, convert marginal or 556 00:34:16,120 --> 00:34:20,120 Speaker 1: not marginal manageable third downs, and the Titans are going 557 00:34:20,200 --> 00:34:22,920 Speaker 1: to have to make a couple of plays on defense, 558 00:34:22,960 --> 00:34:25,960 Speaker 1: get a couple of turnovers. Tennessee is the third team, 559 00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:28,640 Speaker 1: just the third team in the Super Bowl era because 560 00:34:28,680 --> 00:34:31,279 Speaker 1: all the way back to nineteen sixty six to be 561 00:34:31,360 --> 00:34:37,200 Speaker 1: a double digit underdog despite having at least five game 562 00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:41,000 Speaker 1: winning streak, very rarely once in a blue moon does 563 00:34:41,040 --> 00:34:43,400 Speaker 1: this happen. And while any Reid and Patrick Mahomes are 564 00:34:43,480 --> 00:34:46,280 Speaker 1: great and can probably pick their final score in this game, 565 00:34:46,840 --> 00:34:49,319 Speaker 1: they normally take their foot off the gas pedal as 566 00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:51,920 Speaker 1: the game goes on, which will allow a backdoor cover. 567 00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:56,000 Speaker 1: And I just love Mike Rabel as a double digit dog. 568 00:34:56,440 --> 00:34:59,560 Speaker 1: They lost in this spot earlier this year, but in 569 00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:03,640 Speaker 1: his were Mike Rabels coach teams fourteen and four against 570 00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:06,680 Speaker 1: the spread, thirteen and five outright as an underdog of 571 00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:09,600 Speaker 1: at least four points including the playoffs, and this is 572 00:35:09,680 --> 00:35:12,719 Speaker 1: much more than that. So the Chiefs will win it, 573 00:35:12,960 --> 00:35:17,600 Speaker 1: but within the margin of error for Tennessee Chiefs thirty 574 00:35:17,640 --> 00:35:27,040 Speaker 1: one and the Titans twenty the final and the penny 575 00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:29,560 Speaker 1: says that prime time record is going to improve to 576 00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:33,359 Speaker 1: nine three and one, going with the Chiefs. All right, 577 00:35:33,719 --> 00:35:36,799 Speaker 1: disagreement there. We'll get to the last game on the car. 578 00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:41,040 Speaker 1: We circle to Monday night football. There's the Ravens will 579 00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:44,480 Speaker 1: try to make themselves at home in the Bayou. Baltimore 580 00:35:44,520 --> 00:35:46,839 Speaker 1: five and three, New Orleans three and five. It's on 581 00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:52,719 Speaker 1: ABC with Joe Buck and Troy Aikman. As another week 582 00:35:52,760 --> 00:35:56,200 Speaker 1: a blank canvas, a new week upon us here and 583 00:35:56,280 --> 00:35:59,440 Speaker 1: the Saints defense that had not been worth a nickel 584 00:36:00,360 --> 00:36:02,520 Speaker 1: went out and pitched a shutout last week. So does 585 00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:06,000 Speaker 1: that mean they're back or was that just an aberration? Baltimore, 586 00:36:06,719 --> 00:36:09,719 Speaker 1: they also have had their issues, but they won their 587 00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:13,120 Speaker 1: last game as well. So I'm gonna take the Ravens 588 00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:15,560 Speaker 1: in this game. Baltimore eight one and one against the 589 00:36:15,600 --> 00:36:18,319 Speaker 1: spread their last ten on the road with more than 590 00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:23,080 Speaker 1: six days arrest, the Ravens are five and twelve though 591 00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:25,600 Speaker 1: against the spread as a favorite since the start of 592 00:36:25,719 --> 00:36:30,600 Speaker 1: last season, they haven't won as a favorite gambling wise 593 00:36:30,680 --> 00:36:32,799 Speaker 1: the last three times, but I think they will here. 594 00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:36,320 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Baltimore. Love me some Lamar Jackson against 595 00:36:36,320 --> 00:36:40,239 Speaker 1: that Saints defense. The ground game mixed with the selective 596 00:36:40,280 --> 00:36:44,840 Speaker 1: passing by Lamar Jackson and that Saints defense. I believe 597 00:36:44,880 --> 00:36:47,480 Speaker 1: that they actually sucked it. Last week was an anomaly 598 00:36:48,160 --> 00:36:51,120 Speaker 1: and it will come crashing back down to earth in 599 00:36:51,160 --> 00:36:55,720 Speaker 1: the desert here the Saints defense. Lightning will not strike 600 00:36:55,800 --> 00:37:00,279 Speaker 1: twice in the same spot. Baltimore energized. They locker room 601 00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:03,080 Speaker 1: got some mojo. They picked up ro Kwan Smith from 602 00:37:03,080 --> 00:37:05,480 Speaker 1: the Bears. That's a sign management. That's a vote of 603 00:37:05,520 --> 00:37:09,360 Speaker 1: confidence for the team that management thinks the squad is 604 00:37:09,400 --> 00:37:13,160 Speaker 1: going to make some some movement in the postseason. Andy 605 00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:16,080 Speaker 1: Dalton the main reason I'm picking against the Saints, not 606 00:37:16,120 --> 00:37:19,520 Speaker 1: only their defense, but Andy Dalton prime time Dalton, Prime 607 00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:23,040 Speaker 1: time Dalton twenty four prime time starts over his career 608 00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:28,440 Speaker 1: six and eighteen. Six and eighteen is his record as 609 00:37:28,480 --> 00:37:30,919 Speaker 1: a prime time quarterback. You remember that Thursday night game 610 00:37:31,000 --> 00:37:33,719 Speaker 1: Saints and Cardinals when he took a ride on the 611 00:37:33,800 --> 00:37:36,880 Speaker 1: vomit comment up and down the field and gave the 612 00:37:36,920 --> 00:37:39,120 Speaker 1: game away. And I want to jog your memory there 613 00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:42,040 Speaker 1: just before halftime and continued it in the second half. 614 00:37:42,400 --> 00:37:47,120 Speaker 1: I cannot stomach betting on Andy Dalton. So even though 615 00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:49,920 Speaker 1: the Ravens are favored and I usually side with underdogs, 616 00:37:49,920 --> 00:37:55,239 Speaker 1: I'm taking Baltimore in this game. Ravens seven and the 617 00:37:55,360 --> 00:38:04,560 Speaker 1: New Orleans Saints twenty is the final and the Penny 618 00:38:04,640 --> 00:38:08,360 Speaker 1: says that Saints defense is gonna show up again, going 619 00:38:08,440 --> 00:38:12,320 Speaker 1: with the Saints alright, so we go the other way 620 00:38:12,440 --> 00:38:15,719 Speaker 1: on that game. And that is every game on the card. 621 00:38:15,760 --> 00:38:19,120 Speaker 1: A light schedule. We only have a couple more weeks 622 00:38:19,120 --> 00:38:24,120 Speaker 1: of the buys because Thanksgiving everyone plays Thanksgiving week. We 623 00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:29,480 Speaker 1: have the the multiple games on Thanksgiving and throughout the weekend, 624 00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:33,160 Speaker 1: so and then later on Christmas Holidays will be some 625 00:38:33,160 --> 00:38:37,040 Speaker 1: some big matchups there on a Saturday during Christmas. So 626 00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:39,359 Speaker 1: that will do it for Benny versus the Penny. Remember though, 627 00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:43,560 Speaker 1: a never before told story on the Saturday podcast with 628 00:38:43,640 --> 00:38:46,839 Speaker 1: my man Danny g here and check that out also 629 00:38:46,920 --> 00:38:52,080 Speaker 1: the mailbag on Sunday No days all. Remember good luck 630 00:38:52,760 --> 00:38:56,440 Speaker 1: money management, money management, don't go crazy, Do not go 631 00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:59,440 Speaker 1: wild and crazy with your bets. They all your bets 632 00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:01,439 Speaker 1: be winning ones though, and hopefully you do not turn 633 00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:04,000 Speaker 1: into a pumpkin. We'll catch you next time on Benny 634 00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:06,440 Speaker 1: Versus the Penny, and we'll catch you tomorrow on the 635 00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:11,279 Speaker 1: fifth Hour podcast Later Skater to be Funny, go what 636 00:39:11,280 --> 00:39:12,719 Speaker 1: do you think about the Wizards