Speaker 1: Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a
Speaker 1: week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants of
Speaker 1: the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He treats
Speaker 1: crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as the rich
Speaker 1: pill poppers in the penthouse the Clearinghouse of hot takes
Speaker 1: break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben
Speaker 1: Maller starts right now in the air everywhere, and welcome
Speaker 1: back into the podcast, do Joe. It is another edition
Speaker 1: The Fifth Hour with Ben Mallard and Danny g And
Speaker 1: it is week two of the NFL season. As we
Speaker 1: handicap every game against the spread, and that means we
Speaker 1: need to strike up the band Benny versus the Penny.
Speaker 1: Welcome players, You're welcome. Are you up from our mallarm?
Speaker 1: It's time now Penny versus the Penny. Let me just
Speaker 1: explain to you why we're doing this. Okay, it is
Speaker 1: the every man gambling show. We keep it simple here,
Speaker 1: marginal handicapping on every game against the spread, and I
Speaker 1: am battling my foe for many years here in an
Speaker 1: adamant object, a penny, a thing that has no ability
Speaker 1: to handicap any NFL game, no knowledge of the NFL,
Speaker 1: and we flipped the penny representing the penny back for
Speaker 1: week two, the Great Danny g Radio. You survived your
Speaker 1: first maiden voyages the penny, Danny, congratulations. Yes, And I
Speaker 1: just took the penny out of my gun safe that's
Speaker 1: in my garage. Yes, it's a lot of crime in
Speaker 1: l A. There's catalytic converters and people looking for pennies.
Speaker 1: Those two things are very popular criminals these day. So
Speaker 1: we flipped the penny. Danny will be the penny. He's
Speaker 1: flipping the penny. Actually, he's got it right. I'm looking
Speaker 1: at it. And heads and tails obviously home and road
Speaker 1: tails would be the road team, heads the home team.
Speaker 1: And that's how we do it. So before we get
Speaker 1: to week number two, we must look back to week
Speaker 1: number one. How did we do? And if we had
Speaker 1: a tellustrator, we could show you the graphics, but we're
Speaker 1: only on an audio platform, so we cannot show you
Speaker 1: the graphics. But I was very excited. I I was
Speaker 1: kind of a little wobbly heading into the late television
Speaker 1: window on Sunday, and uh, I had a lot of
Speaker 1: things go my way, A lot of things go my way.
Speaker 1: And then I won the Sunday night game with Tampa
Speaker 1: and the Monday night game. We gave you a seattle
Speaker 1: plus the points, and so I went. I looked at
Speaker 1: my record and say, well, ten and six, that's pretty good.
Speaker 1: Six winning percentage. You gotta be like fifty three percent
Speaker 1: to make money betting on sports. Your best a little
Speaker 1: more than that because of the juice. So I was
Speaker 1: aning percentage, and then I was like, well, how did
Speaker 1: the penny do? What are the odds of this happening?
Speaker 1: The penny also went ten and six. We we picked
Speaker 1: different games. We didn't agree on all the games, but
Speaker 1: a lot of the games I lost, the penny one
Speaker 1: and the games that I won, the penny lost. So
Speaker 1: it works out ten and six. So we are squared up.
Speaker 1: It's like we're starting fresh this week day d G.
Speaker 1: We are motto a mono, belly to belly, eye to
Speaker 1: eye Wow Wow. Ten and six nice. Some of the
Speaker 1: big headlines here in our little gambling world. There's two
Speaker 1: themes that stand out like a sore thumb to me.
Speaker 1: All Right, first of all, you gotta look back, and
Speaker 1: then you gotta look ahead. So looking back, lad week
Speaker 1: underdogs of at least five points, went seven in two
Speaker 1: against the spread. So if that seems like some jargon,
Speaker 1: you're like, what does that mean? Uh, that means you
Speaker 1: did very well. If you just blindly picked underdogs last
Speaker 1: week seven or two. That in fact, that's the most
Speaker 1: wins since betting data became available back in nine. That's
Speaker 1: how rare that is for week one underdogs to do
Speaker 1: that well. And that includes four outright winners in which
Speaker 1: the team that was the underdog won the game. That
Speaker 1: is tied for the most in the first weekend in
Speaker 1: the last thirty years that they've been keeping track of
Speaker 1: this stuff. So some crazy things last week. Now looking
Speaker 1: ahead this week, I've got the four by four looking
Speaker 1: at the card, We've got road favorites four of them.
Speaker 1: The Bucks, Patriots, Colts, and Bengals are all favorite on
Speaker 1: the road. And we've got four double digit favorites, the Rams,
Speaker 1: the Bronco Os, the Packers, and the Buffalo Bills in
Speaker 1: the Monday night game. Be aware of the double digit favorite.
Speaker 1: If it seems too good, it probably is. I'm not
Speaker 1: saying you never bet a double digit favorite, but you
Speaker 1: gotta pick your spots. You gotta pick your spots and
Speaker 1: so that's really the lesson of all this. And with
Speaker 1: that being said, onto the games we go on. Are
Speaker 1: you ready? It's the penny ready l f G. All right,
Speaker 1: We're gonna start out with a good game. A couple
Speaker 1: of teams that won their opener last week the early
Speaker 1: television window. Miami at Baltimore. It's a CBS game, Kevin
Speaker 1: Harlan and Trent Green at m n T Bank Stadium,
Speaker 1: home opener for the Ravens, and they opened up a
Speaker 1: three and a half point favorite, their favorite by three
Speaker 1: and a half sunny, temperatures in the eighties at kickoff,
Speaker 1: and I am taking my pick the Dolphins. I'm taking
Speaker 1: the Dolphins. And I'll tell you what. The Ravens did
Speaker 1: not impress me. They had a hollow win against the Jets.
Speaker 1: They allowed two yards did Joe Flacco? I know a
Speaker 1: lot of that was in garbage time. But it's early
Speaker 1: and already Baltimore is beat up with offensive line issues.
Speaker 1: Running backs are shorthanded. Lamar Jackson's got Mark Andrews and
Speaker 1: Rashad Bateman, and that is it in terms of playmakers.
Speaker 1: History is also on the side of the Ravens this game.
Speaker 1: So I'm going against history. John Harbaugh is nine and
Speaker 1: one in ten last ten games against Miami, so it's
Speaker 1: very well Ravens have against the Dolphins. But the Dolphins
Speaker 1: should have success here against a dinged up raven secondary.
Speaker 1: Marcus Peters he's already been out, Kyle Fuller has. They
Speaker 1: both have a c L injuries and two talking about
Speaker 1: low on the road. That scares me a little bit here,
Speaker 1: But this is a different Miami Dolphin team. These aren't
Speaker 1: your daddy's Dolphins. I like the gumption of rookie coach
Speaker 1: Mike McDaniel. This game will be a close one. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the points and Miami on the road got
Speaker 1: the Dolphins seven and the Ravens and the Penny picks.
Speaker 1: The Penny has the Dolphins, alright, So we agree on
Speaker 1: that game. So we're squared up on that. Next up
Speaker 1: the Jets at on On one at Cleveland one and all.
Speaker 1: It is a CBS game. Spirodidas and j Feeley have
Speaker 1: the call. The Browns opened a four and a half
Speaker 1: point favorite, their favorite by six and a half at
Speaker 1: First Energy Stadium and good weather against earlier in the
Speaker 1: year as September weather temperatures in the eighties at kick
Speaker 1: off and a couple of really rancid quarterbacks in this game.
Speaker 1: But I am gonna take the Cleveland Browns. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: lay the six and a half. I bet against the
Speaker 1: Browns last week. I lost that. I'm on the Browns
Speaker 1: this week. After watching Joe Flacco play, I was flipping around.
Speaker 1: I saw some of his performance there. I have to
Speaker 1: take advantage of any chance I can get to bet
Speaker 1: against this guy. He's a lightweight, he's washed up, he's
Speaker 1: at the end of his career. Don't let a falling
Speaker 1: star fall on you. And Cleveland's defense is going to
Speaker 1: absolutely smother Flacco. The Jets just don't have enough playmakers
Speaker 1: to create trunk plays and bail him out. Also, historically,
Speaker 1: the Jets recently have been a great play betting against them.
Speaker 1: In September on the road there two and eight against
Speaker 1: the spread, and they've been underdogs and just about every
Speaker 1: one of those games two and eight against the spread,
Speaker 1: last ten in September. The only reason, the only reason, Danny,
Speaker 1: that I'm giving this game pause is because Jacoby prep.
Speaker 1: Jacoby Brissett also sucks. Uh. He was close to being
Speaker 1: benched in the opener and it was a couple of
Speaker 1: flukey things happened for the Browns to win that game.
Speaker 1: But I'm going with Cleveland. I think Nick Chubb and
Speaker 1: Kareem Hunt alone, that running game will control the game,
Speaker 1: that Brown's defense will destroy Flacco. And you've got the
Speaker 1: Brownie the Elf at midfield, so Brown's it's gonna be
Speaker 1: a defensive struggle. Brown seventeen. Jets tend the final and
Speaker 1: the Penny picks Penny picks the j e t S suck, sucks, suck, alright,
Speaker 1: so the Penny is taking the Jets. We disagree on that.
Speaker 1: Next up Washington one and oh at Detroit, Oh and one.
Speaker 1: It's on Fox with Kenny Albert, friend of the radio
Speaker 1: show and Jonathan Vilma, and the Lions opened up a
Speaker 1: two and a half point favorite. Detroit favored by two.
Speaker 1: On the roads can be mostly cloudy seventy four degrees
Speaker 1: at kick up, but this is a dome at Ford Field,
Speaker 1: so doesn't really matter just getting into the stadium and
Speaker 1: my pick on this game, I'm going with the Lions.
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Lions here. This is a blue moon game,
Speaker 1: as in once in a blue moon twenty four consecutive games,
Speaker 1: as an underdog for Detroit, the longest active streak in
Speaker 1: the NFL, but the Lions are favorite this game. Last
Speaker 1: time they were favored was way back in November of
Speaker 1: twenty twenty. Detroit is eight and two against the spread
Speaker 1: their last ten under Dan Campbell, all those as an underdog,
Speaker 1: and as advertised, he's got his team playing with some
Speaker 1: moxy years scratching and clawing. And even though Jared Golf blows,
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz also blows. He had a good box score
Speaker 1: game last week, made a couple of big mistakes. You're
Speaker 1: guaranteed to get at least an interception in a fumble,
Speaker 1: some combination of two turnovers in this game. Assuming the
Speaker 1: Lions take advantage of that, this game should be attracted meat.
Speaker 1: I don't think Detroit will stop Washington. I don't imagine
Speaker 1: Washington slows down with their injury problems on defense that
Speaker 1: they will slow down Detroit. But I am counting on
Speaker 1: Carson Wentz to have brain farts and that will be
Speaker 1: the difference in this game. I'm taking Detroit even though
Speaker 1: their favorite. I'm going against a lot of history here.
Speaker 1: Lions thirty seven, Commandos thirty and the penny picks and
Speaker 1: the Penny takes the Commandos. Al right. Next up Indianapolis,
Speaker 1: the most unsexy record in the NFL. They're tied for
Speaker 1: the most unsexy record in the NFL. They're oh oh
Speaker 1: and one. Hate the Ties. Why don't they still have ties? Danny?
Speaker 1: Can you explain? You're a long time NFL fan. Can
Speaker 1: you explain why they have ties still in the NFL
Speaker 1: because they're regarded? Okay, I don't even know you could
Speaker 1: say that, but I agree with you. All right. Jacksonville
Speaker 1: is all in one. It's on CBS, Tom McCarthy and
Speaker 1: Tiki Barber. The Colts opened a five and a half
Speaker 1: point favorite. They are favored by three and a half
Speaker 1: at t i A a bank field in Jacksonville, and
Speaker 1: the pick is in. I am taking the Jags. I
Speaker 1: am taking the Jacks. Now. A couple of reasons why
Speaker 1: real quick. Indie people were very excited because they put
Speaker 1: up five yards of offense and they had thirty three
Speaker 1: first downs against the Texas. That doesn't matter to me.
Speaker 1: The most important stat is how many points to scored.
Speaker 1: They scored twenty, and Matt Ryan, despite all those yards,
Speaker 1: was choppy for the first three quarters of that game.
Speaker 1: Now he wants supersonic blowtwords late and the Colts got
Speaker 1: a tie and they would have won the game. Their
Speaker 1: kicker would who they released, blew it. But now they
Speaker 1: play another doormat, and I expected Jacksonville will play better
Speaker 1: last week, I know him a glutton for punishment here.
Speaker 1: Taking the Jags back to back games. They did have
Speaker 1: the lead, they melted down against Washington late in that game.
Speaker 1: Doug Peterson going against his pupil in Philadelphia, Frank Reich.
Speaker 1: They were together on that Eagle staff that won the
Speaker 1: Super Bowl. But I just I don't trust the shadow
Speaker 1: of Matt Ryan and Indie. As bad as the Jags
Speaker 1: have been, I do home underdogs, and they've really held
Speaker 1: their own against against the Colts. In fact, Jacksonville from
Speaker 1: a gambling standpoint, which is what we're doing here, six
Speaker 1: one and six and one against the spread last seven
Speaker 1: games versus Frank Reich since he took over Colts will
Speaker 1: win the game, but only by a field goal. Indie
Speaker 1: seven Jacksonville twenty four of the final and the penny
Speaker 1: goes with the Jags. Alright, So the penny had taking
Speaker 1: Jacksonville also on that game. Next up, Tampa Bay at
Speaker 1: New Orleans the Bucks one and oh New Orleans one
Speaker 1: and oh it's on Fox. This is the big game
Speaker 1: on Fox. Kevin Burkhardt and Greg Olsen have the call.
Speaker 1: The Bucks opened a four and a half point road favorite,
Speaker 1: and they are favored by two and a half at
Speaker 1: the super Dome in the Bayou, and we are taking
Speaker 1: the pall Boys. We're gonna go with the Saints in
Speaker 1: this game. And let me tell you why. Tampa coming
Speaker 1: off a made for TV win over the Cowboys, a
Speaker 1: game they only scored nineteen points in. Now they play
Speaker 1: what has become Tom Brady's kryptonite recently. Did you know
Speaker 1: since Brady went to the Sunshine State in Tampa bay
Speaker 1: is Oh in four in the regular season against the Saints,
Speaker 1: and all four of those losses coming by at least
Speaker 1: nine points. Now it's different because Sean Payton's gone, Dennis
Speaker 1: Allen takes over. But the key to this game is
Speaker 1: inside defensive pressure by New Orleans against Brady. They've been
Speaker 1: able to do it every time Brady has not played
Speaker 1: well in that stadium. We're counting on these things happening again.
Speaker 1: And the Saints did not look very good themselves last week.
Speaker 1: Against the Falcons. I am worried about Alvin Kamara and
Speaker 1: his ribs in that situation. But New Orleans is eight
Speaker 1: and two their last ten games against the spread against
Speaker 1: an opponent after they played on Sunday night. This is
Speaker 1: also a peak UPO situation for Tampa Bay. They have
Speaker 1: a showcase matchup with Aaron Rodgers next weekend. So I'm
Speaker 1: taking New Orleans Tampa Bay twenty three. The Saints win
Speaker 1: the game outright, the Bucks and one and one. The
Speaker 1: Saints will be two and oh and the Penny picks
Speaker 1: the Penny must want Brady and Giselle to reunite, going
Speaker 1: with the Bucks alright, So the Bucks the pick on
Speaker 1: that game. Next up, Carolina at the g I a
Speaker 1: A t S. Giants. It's on Fox. Dodger broadcaster Joe
Speaker 1: Davis and Darryl Moose Johnston have the call on this game.
Speaker 1: The Giants opened up at two an a half point favorite.
Speaker 1: They're favored by two and a half. Still, Lion has
Speaker 1: stayed the same at MetLife Stadium, and the pick is in.
Speaker 1: I am taking the pant Thirst in this game, and
Speaker 1: the logic behind this pick. I'm not sold on the Giants.
Speaker 1: They played good second half. Played pretty well in the
Speaker 1: second half last week against the Titans, but needed an
Speaker 1: idiot kicker to miss a makeuple field goal in order
Speaker 1: to win that game. Brian Dable knows what he's doing,
Speaker 1: and he's he doesn't have loaded talent here. This game ends,
Speaker 1: by the way, fifteen straight as an underdog for the Giants,
Speaker 1: second longest streak behind the Lions. Giants were too inten
Speaker 1: two of ten on third down, and they committed eight
Speaker 1: penalties against the Titans, that normally gets you beat on
Speaker 1: the road. Also, the g manner one in nine their
Speaker 1: last ten at home in September. I know that was
Speaker 1: a different coaching staff, but I'm taking Baker Mayfield, who
Speaker 1: flopped in his Carolina debut against Cleveland. The Panthers. They
Speaker 1: were not able to get Christian McCaffrey going. They obviously
Speaker 1: need to do that. They should have much more success
Speaker 1: us against the Giants defense. Carolina five and two on
Speaker 1: the road in September. The Panthers take advantage of Daniel
Speaker 1: Jones turnovers and they get in the wind column as
Speaker 1: the Panthers win it twenty over the Giants and the
Speaker 1: penny goes with the Panthers Okay, so we agree on
Speaker 1: that game and moving on. Next up on Benny Versus
Speaker 1: the Penny, exclusively on the podcast to begin the NFL season.
Speaker 1: Stay tuned, maybe going somewhere else, you never know, New England.
Speaker 1: Oh in one at Pittsburgh one and Oh it Is
Speaker 1: on CBS with Iron Eagle and Charles Davis, and the
Speaker 1: Patriots opened up a one and half point road favorite.
Speaker 1: Patriots favored by two mostly cloudy temperatures in the eighties
Speaker 1: at act Ressher Stadium. That's the new name of the
Speaker 1: old Hines Field. I think we're is gonna call the
Speaker 1: stadium formerly known as Heinz Field. I think that's what
Speaker 1: we're gonna call it, because that's a mouthful taste, like
Speaker 1: a touchdown in your mouth. All Right, I'm taking the
Speaker 1: Patriots in this game. To pick is in, I'm going
Speaker 1: with the Patriots. This is one of those games that
Speaker 1: pops off the gambling board. You're like, why are the
Speaker 1: Patriots favorite? They lost last week? Pittsburgh won against the
Speaker 1: defending a f C champions and both these teams are
Speaker 1: lacking the wild factor. You think of all those matchups
Speaker 1: at quarterback, you always had Brady and Roethlisberger, for like
Speaker 1: the better part of the last twenty years, and now
Speaker 1: it's Mitch Robinski and Mac Jones. Holy Connoli does that suck?
Speaker 1: In terms of the quarterbacks and Max is gonna playing
Speaker 1: this game. Has got some some back issues, had back
Speaker 1: spasms here, so who knows if we'll be able to
Speaker 1: finish the game. Pittsburgh's coming off that overtime win against
Speaker 1: the Bengals. The reason the Patriots are favorite here is
Speaker 1: because the Steelers lost t J. Lot He's out and
Speaker 1: the defensive player there, Gonzo, He's gonna miss this game
Speaker 1: and many more after it. Uh. And I actually the
Speaker 1: reason I'm like, am I get the Patrios there. I
Speaker 1: think they're gonna be able to move the ball with
Speaker 1: the running backs Damien Harris and Romandre Stevenson. The Steelers,
Speaker 1: as good as their defense, is that the weak spot
Speaker 1: the kryptonite has been against the run. Steelers have a
Speaker 1: weak run defense. There's also have some offensive line issues.
Speaker 1: So in theory, Bill Belichick, the great defensive Maestro, should
Speaker 1: be able to put some pressure on Trabiskie. He's bad
Speaker 1: when he gets no pressure. And so this is another
Speaker 1: close game. I think the Patriots win this one. Another
Speaker 1: field goal special Patriots twenty six and the Steelers twenty
Speaker 1: three the final, and the penny says, let's battle homes
Speaker 1: the Steelers, all right, So taking the Steelers is a
Speaker 1: live home dog, betting on Mike Tomlin. Tomlin good record
Speaker 1: as a home underdog. And we move on now to
Speaker 1: the late television window the Atlanta Falcons. Oh and one
Speaker 1: at the L A R I am Zoe and one.
Speaker 1: You see what I did when I say L A
Speaker 1: rams like that? That is my tribute. Do you know
Speaker 1: who I'm giving a tribute to? No, it was. It
Speaker 1: was John Madden's partner on CBS, Pat summer All. That's
Speaker 1: how summer All used to say the L I am
Speaker 1: to say it like this, this kind of weird delivery. Anyway,
Speaker 1: it is on I'm old, so you probably don't even
Speaker 1: know who Pat somewhere else. If you're listening to this,
Speaker 1: you're like, if you're under the age of what forty,
Speaker 1: you probably have no idea who past summer All as
Speaker 1: he died years ago, but he was a legend in
Speaker 1: TV when I was a kid and a former NFL player.
Speaker 1: So this game is on Fox. Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez,
Speaker 1: the butt fumble man have the call. The yeah, Rams
Speaker 1: opened up a thirteen and that point favorite their favorite
Speaker 1: by ten and a half. It's so fly stadium, not
Speaker 1: a dome. Not a dome. Even though it looks like
Speaker 1: at him. I've been there. It's got a roof. It's
Speaker 1: not a dome. The Rams and they have they have
Speaker 1: openings on both sides. I am taking the Rams in
Speaker 1: this game. I very rarely take double digit favorites, but
Speaker 1: I believe the Rams of the right side here. The
Speaker 1: Rams were smothered by the Bills late in the game.
Speaker 1: This is their first chance to get that bad taste
Speaker 1: out of their mouth. Sean McVeigh has a six forty
Speaker 1: winning percentage against the spread coming off a loss. The
Speaker 1: Rams have a lot of work to do. Matthew Stafford
Speaker 1: was shaky, no running game. They'll figure it out, mainly
Speaker 1: because the opponent is the Falcons, who are bad to
Speaker 1: the bone, and they had a chance to upset the Saints,
Speaker 1: but that was a division game last week. Marcus Mariota
Speaker 1: is the backup masquerading as a starter. We anticipate a
Speaker 1: revival for the Rams offense here after that embarrassment, and
Speaker 1: it's just a case where Atlanta will not be able
Speaker 1: to keep up in this game barring some kind of
Speaker 1: unforeseen injury to the Rams. This has l a in
Speaker 1: a cakewalk. Rams thirty four and the Falcons seventeen. The
Speaker 1: final and the Penny picks Penny actually goes your way
Speaker 1: on this one, taking the Rams, all right, So the
Speaker 1: Penny living dangerously like I am Next up Seattle at
Speaker 1: San Francisco. It is on Fox with Adam Amin and
Speaker 1: Mark Slayri. They have a call. The Niners opened up
Speaker 1: a eight and a half point favorite. They're favored by
Speaker 1: ten in this game as they play their home opener
Speaker 1: in Santa Clara, and I am taking the Seahawks in
Speaker 1: this game. Now, I'm going against common gambling common gambling theory,
Speaker 1: because the theory is Seattle shocked in the NFL. They
Speaker 1: won their Super Bowl beating Russell Wilson and the Broncos,
Speaker 1: and they they have a wick turnaround against an angry
Speaker 1: divisional opponent coming off a loss. And so they are
Speaker 1: going to come out here Seattle at one to oh
Speaker 1: San Francisco at at oh and one, and Seattle is
Speaker 1: gonna be flat. Uh Gino Smith went from an oil
Speaker 1: painting in the first half to a finger painting in
Speaker 1: the second half. They still won the game. Jamal Adams
Speaker 1: has a torn quad. He's out and this is a
Speaker 1: classic letdown spot in gambling parlance. But the great equalizer
Speaker 1: to me is this tray Lance. This guy is a bumm.
Speaker 1: And as as bad as Gino Smith is, I am
Speaker 1: not commissed. I gotta see something from this tray Lance.
Speaker 1: I haven't seen it, and that's gonna keep this game closed.
Speaker 1: The Niners had a tend nothing lead in a bad
Speaker 1: weather game in Chicago. The defense couldn't hold it. Tray
Speaker 1: Lance has been given a weather mulligan. He's not gonna
Speaker 1: get any alibi this week. Uh, the forty Niners should
Speaker 1: win this game rather easy. But this is too many points.
Speaker 1: You can't lay that many points. And as a rule
Speaker 1: of thumb, anytime you get over a touchdown a touchdowner
Speaker 1: more in a divisional game, you love taking the points.
Speaker 1: And so I'm gonna follow that and I'm gonna close
Speaker 1: my eyes on this game and hope that I'm right.
Speaker 1: I'll take the forty Niners to win, but the Seahawks
Speaker 1: to win the money in an ugly game for Seattle
Speaker 1: and San Francisco forty Niners, Seahawks seventeen, and the penny
Speaker 1: likes the Seahawks outright, all right, So the penny go
Speaker 1: in that direction, and uh, we'll move on to the
Speaker 1: next game. Boy, this is a dog with fleas Cincinnati
Speaker 1: oh and one, Dallas, oh and one. It's on CBS
Speaker 1: with a Jim Nance and Tony Romo. So this is
Speaker 1: the big game for CBS. They're sending their eight crew
Speaker 1: to Dallas because the Cowboys gets such great ratings at
Speaker 1: a T and T Stadium. Bengals opened up, or the
Speaker 1: Cowboys rather opened up a one and a half point favorite,
Speaker 1: but then the Dak Prescott injury happened, and the Bengals
Speaker 1: are favored by seven and a half at this moment
Speaker 1: over a touchdown, and uh, this is another one of
Speaker 1: those games you have to go against the crowd. Everyone
Speaker 1: seems to think that they're just handed out money with
Speaker 1: the Bengals and they're gonna win this game easily. It's
Speaker 1: panic at the disco. In Jerry's world, it's Hamlet without
Speaker 1: the Prince with Dak Prescott out with that thumb injury.
Speaker 1: But I'm going the other way here with Cooper Rush,
Speaker 1: who they released the Cowboys. I'm taking downs here. Cooper
Speaker 1: Rush was released at the end of training camp. He's
Speaker 1: the band aid under center. It looks bleak, but there's
Speaker 1: value with the Cowboys, if there's any kind of pride
Speaker 1: there in Dallas. With Mike McCarthy. They got embarrassed at
Speaker 1: home by Tampa Bay. This is a chance that nobody
Speaker 1: thinks that they're gonna win this game. Him to come
Speaker 1: out here, and nothing pro athletes like more than proving
Speaker 1: doubters wrong. That's not a reason to bet on a team,
Speaker 1: but it certainly helps one of those variables you look at.
Speaker 1: Cowboys have offensive line issues. They've obviously got quarterback issues.
Speaker 1: But the Bengals, Joe Burrow was not himself in the
Speaker 1: first half. You had a lot of turnovers. There were
Speaker 1: special team staff foos against Pittsburgh. In that game, Cincinnati
Speaker 1: did end up with four hundred thirty two yards of
Speaker 1: offense and thirty two first downs against Pittsburgh, but four
Speaker 1: interceptions and a lost fumble the great equalizer. I expect
Speaker 1: this game to be closer than that. Now, Cooper Rush
Speaker 1: is gonna run a rudimentary offense for Dallas. A lot
Speaker 1: of underneath passing, running the ball, trying to shorten the
Speaker 1: game and try to win that way, and Michael Parsons
Speaker 1: and that defense is gonna have to create some turnovers.
Speaker 1: Bengals win the game, but the Cowboys win the money.
Speaker 1: Bengals twenty four, Cowboys seventeen. The final penny goes with
Speaker 1: Burrow in the Bengals, all right, so the penny going
Speaker 1: the other way on that Benny versus the penny. Next up,
Speaker 1: we head to the Mile High City, Houston zero zero
Speaker 1: and one. That ugly record at Denver oh and one.
Speaker 1: It is on CBS with Andrew Catalan and James lofton.
Speaker 1: The Broncos opened up a ten and a half point favorite,
Speaker 1: their favorite by ten in this game at Empower Field
Speaker 1: at Mile High. It could be a hot day there
Speaker 1: at kickoff temperatures around ninety degrees eighty eight degrees that kickoff.
Speaker 1: The pick is in, and I am taking the Texans
Speaker 1: Benny's pick. I'm taking the Texans on this and I'll
Speaker 1: tell you why I'm going against a smoking hot trend
Speaker 1: on this game. I'm explaining why to say. But the
Speaker 1: Broncos are nineteen and three straight up and fourteen four
Speaker 1: and four against the spread in home openers since the
Speaker 1: year two thousand. So the theory is that early in
Speaker 1: the season, opponents are still trying to get in shape,
Speaker 1: they have problems with the altitude, and we know Denver
Speaker 1: is kicking themselves after giving away a game in Seattle.
Speaker 1: It was very winnable game Monday because of self inflicted
Speaker 1: wounds with penalties and all that. But I loathe double
Speaker 1: digit favorites. Already picked one earlier with the Rams. The
Speaker 1: Texans do not have the firepower to keep up with Denver,
Speaker 1: but they do appear to have a little bit of grit,
Speaker 1: and I do factor that into my handicapping. You don't.
Speaker 1: You can't have that quit. You need the Denver mistakes
Speaker 1: to help push Davis Mills along and and for this
Speaker 1: to be a close game. But as long as Houston
Speaker 1: plays a clean game, meaning no turnovers or for one turnover,
Speaker 1: and they play well on special teams, they can cover
Speaker 1: the spread. Ten points is a lot if you try,
Speaker 1: and over the long term, betting double digit dogs has
Speaker 1: proven to be a very profitable strategy since I've been
Speaker 1: doing this, and gamblers who bet on sports across the land.
Speaker 1: So I'm taking the Broncos to win this game thirty
Speaker 1: three over the Texans, but the Broncos will not cover
Speaker 1: the spread. Yeah, the penny goes with the Texans, all right,
Speaker 1: so we agree on that game. Next up Arizona oh
Speaker 1: and one at Las Vegas oh and one. It's on CBS.
Speaker 1: Greg Gumbel, who hates sports radio, and Adam Marchiletta have
Speaker 1: the call. The Raiders opened up a three and alf
Speaker 1: point favorite. They're favored by five and a half in
Speaker 1: this game, Sonny and eighty eight degrees at kick off
Speaker 1: at Allegiance Stadium, and the pick is in the Raiders
Speaker 1: going the Raiders here. Now, this game features a couple
Speaker 1: of struggling quarterbacks, Kyler Murray and Derek Carr, both in
Speaker 1: need of slump busters. Car his last a let in games,
Speaker 1: has a losing record fourteen touchdowns including the playoffs, thirteen interceptions,
Speaker 1: and eleven funnels. And so last week he was he
Speaker 1: was not not sharp against the Chargers defense. This is
Speaker 1: Josh McDaniels home debut as Raiders coach. He said he
Speaker 1: was being too aggressive Cars, So that means you roll
Speaker 1: it back a little bit. If he's being honest with
Speaker 1: the media, this is a good spot for the Raiders, though,
Speaker 1: their defense against Kyler Murray, who's also struggling. Last nine
Speaker 1: games for the little Fella Kyler Murray, we call him
Speaker 1: Alligator Arms nine touchdowns, seven interceptions, eight fumbles and a
Speaker 1: passer rating of eight. That is not good. The Cardinals
Speaker 1: are still without DeAndre Hopkins suspended. There's several other players
Speaker 1: who are dinged up, whether they play or not, Guys
Speaker 1: like j. J. Watt who has a calf problem. It
Speaker 1: is the mash unit in Arizona. This is a tough
Speaker 1: game to hand cap, but I'm giving the lean to
Speaker 1: the Raiders at home here and DeAndre Hopkins in that
Speaker 1: offense will start click a licking here Raiders thirty one
Speaker 1: and the Mesh unit of the Cardinals twenty one the
Speaker 1: final and the penny goes with the Phoenix, Alligator and
Speaker 1: his Cardinals. Alright, so the Penny disagree, disagreement on that game.
Speaker 1: We move on Sunday night. We're making good time. By
Speaker 1: the way, I want to let the record show, Danny.
Speaker 1: I don't want to jinxus here, but we're making good
Speaker 1: time on Benny versus the Penny. Yeah, you're like Nathaniel
Speaker 1: Hackett in the fourth quarter Okay, come down. So Sunday
Speaker 1: Night Football Chicago one and oh at Green Bay, Oh
Speaker 1: and one, It's on and b C with Mike Rico
Speaker 1: and Chris Collinsworth on the call. In this game opened
Speaker 1: up Packers by eight and a half. They have been
Speaker 1: bent all the way up to ten at Lambo Field,
Speaker 1: Temperatures in the seventies on Sunday Night football, and the
Speaker 1: pick is in. I am taking the Bears. That's why
Speaker 1: one of the worst teams in the NFL. I'm taking
Speaker 1: the Bears for the second consecutive week. Chicago taking advantage
Speaker 1: of the weather last week, no bad weather this week.
Speaker 1: Josh Fields completed eight passes for two hundred four yards
Speaker 1: against the forty Niners. That obviously is not sustainable on
Speaker 1: the road. Uh, you don't need me to tell you that.
Speaker 1: But since Matt la Floor took over, the Packers have
Speaker 1: been a great bet as home favorites. I just think
Speaker 1: something's off here with Green Bay and they've they've been
Speaker 1: able to feast on the Vikings, Lions and Bears. Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers looked out of sorts last week in Minnesota. We've
Speaker 1: seen this before and it's clicked, and and obviously this
Speaker 1: seems like the perfect tonic here playing the Chicago Bears.
Speaker 1: That said, I gotta see Green Bay click before I
Speaker 1: lay this many points. Anytime again, you get over a
Speaker 1: touchdown a touchdown or more in a divisional game, you
Speaker 1: throw out the records, you take the points. And so
Speaker 1: I'm gonna do that here game that will not be
Speaker 1: aesthetically pleasing Packers four and the Bears sixteen. And that
Speaker 1: is a cover for Chicago and the Penny like Chicago alright,
Speaker 1: So Penning going with Chicago. Next up, we get to
Speaker 1: the Monday Night Cars, one of my better plays of
Speaker 1: the weekend. Here Tennessee oh and one at Buffalo one
Speaker 1: and oh It's on ESPN the early television window on
Speaker 1: Monday Night. Steve Levy is back, Louis Riddick and Dan Orlovski,
Speaker 1: who was part of that Owen sixteen Lions team years ago.
Speaker 1: The Bills opened a seven and ap point favorite. This
Speaker 1: line is all the way up to ten ten at
Speaker 1: high Mark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York, with mild
Speaker 1: weather conditions at kickoff, clear skies, temperatures in the seventies,
Speaker 1: and the pick is in on this game. I'm taking
Speaker 1: the Titans and I'll tell you why the Times are
Speaker 1: coming off a demoral rising loss of the Giants on
Speaker 1: a missed field goal as the clock ran out. Tennessee
Speaker 1: though eighteen and six as an underdog against the spread
Speaker 1: with Mike Rabel of three or more points, they're eighteen
Speaker 1: and six seven fifty winning percentage. They're also eight and
Speaker 1: two their last ten on Monday Night football, So they've
Speaker 1: been a very good play on Monday Night. And the
Speaker 1: Titans have a chance here to flip the script after
Speaker 1: an embarrassing loss where they were caught looking ahead to Buffalo.
Speaker 1: Or they go out in the shadow of Niagara Falls
Speaker 1: and they win this game. That's a that's a big
Speaker 1: time win. They're back on the map in the NFL.
Speaker 1: They lose this game, they get blown out, and all
Speaker 1: of a sudden, it's the Titans are done. They're not
Speaker 1: gonna win anything. And in Buffalo, I get it. Buffalo
Speaker 1: is the toast of the NFL. The body slammed the
Speaker 1: Rams late in that game, and will they be caught
Speaker 1: smelling themselves? Though in this game Josh Allen made several mistakes,
Speaker 1: the Rams were unable to take advantage Von Miller bailing
Speaker 1: out Josh Allen with those mistakes in the Sean McDermott era.
Speaker 1: The Bills as home favorites are only three games over five.
Speaker 1: It's not that good. And I like Derrick Henry to
Speaker 1: eat the clock, tighten the game up, good weather. This
Speaker 1: game will be a fourth quarter game. I like getting
Speaker 1: the ten points. I am taking the Bills to win
Speaker 1: the game, but the Titans to cover Buffalo thirty one
Speaker 1: tennessee the final. Yeah, the penny says, go throw yourself
Speaker 1: on a table. Ben going with the Bills, taking the Mafia,
Speaker 1: Taking the Bills Mafia and the last pick. Now before
Speaker 1: we get the last pick, it's very important here because
Speaker 1: I am going against even though they're not on the podcast.
Speaker 1: We've got Robin Vegas. He wanted me to get rid
Speaker 1: of the penny and bet against him. We've got Roscoe
Speaker 1: the Parrot and my man David Corkrane in Florida. He's
Speaker 1: keeping track of the picks. So we've got Poppy picking
Speaker 1: with Poppy, who's demand and be on the podcast. We've
Speaker 1: got our friend in Fresno who's also like what about me?
Speaker 1: So there's a lot of gamblers here that are fans
Speaker 1: of the show. They're like, what about me? What about all? Right?
Speaker 1: So let's get to it. Minnesota one and all, Philadelphia
Speaker 1: one and all. It's on ABC. Joe Buck and Troy
Speaker 1: Aikman back at it again and the Eagles opened a
Speaker 1: two point favorite. This game has stayed the same, mostly
Speaker 1: cloudy at the link in Philly and seventy five degrees
Speaker 1: and the pick is in. I am taking the Vikings
Speaker 1: in this game, and I'll tell you why. Alright. Minnesota
Speaker 1: is coming off a big time win over the Packers
Speaker 1: and the public seems to think they're gonna fall down
Speaker 1: a little bit here. The Vikings. I love their playmakers though,
Speaker 1: with Justin Jefferson, Adam Feeling, and Dalvin Cook against what
Speaker 1: is a suspect Eagle defense. Philly allowed almost four hundred
Speaker 1: yards of offense and thirty five points to Detroit last week.
Speaker 1: The Lions and not hold a candle to what the
Speaker 1: Vikings have on offense. And you look at that Philly
Speaker 1: point toll. It scored a bunch of points, but Jalen
Speaker 1: Hurts was able to do it all on the ground. Right.
Speaker 1: The running game was great. There was very little passing.
Speaker 1: Every time they passed, it seemed that went to a j.
Speaker 1: Brown who did have a big day, but other than that,
Speaker 1: there was really nothing there. The challenge here is obvious
Speaker 1: for Minnesota. They've got a better defense. Can they slow
Speaker 1: the Birds running game down and forced Jalen Hurst to throw?
Speaker 1: I'm betting they can. Last week they did have a
Speaker 1: couple of hiccups stopping the run against the Packers, but
Speaker 1: Philly was sloppy. They had ten penalties in the opener.
Speaker 1: This game should be nip and tuck. Even with Kirk Cousins,
Speaker 1: who's been wobbly in primetime games, I expect him to
Speaker 1: have a big day against that Philly defense. Vikings thirty four,
Speaker 1: Eagles thirty one in the upset, and the Penny picks
Speaker 1: the Eagles. Okay, so we disagree on that game, and
Speaker 1: that is the final game on the card. Good luck
Speaker 1: as we head in the Week two in the NFL.
Speaker 1: Remember Benny versus the Penny. You should do your own handicapping,
Speaker 1: but you know you listen to what we say. If
Speaker 1: you agree with it with your own handicapping, that's the
Speaker 1: way to go. So by my math, unless I missed
Speaker 1: something here, Danny I took eleven underdogs and five favorites,
Speaker 1: so I'm heavy on the Dogs this week, only picked
Speaker 1: five favorites. I picked my spots with the Rams as
Speaker 1: a big favorite, the Raiders favored by ten. I've got
Speaker 1: them as one of my favorites this week. The Cleveland
Speaker 1: Browns also a favorite. So some of the some of
Speaker 1: the picks I'm going with Rams and Uh mentioned them
Speaker 1: and so anyway that those are the those are the
Speaker 1: picks about Patriots favorite on the road and we'll get
Speaker 1: out of here on that. Don't forget. Share this podcast
Speaker 1: with your friends, your enemies, tell them to subscribe to
Speaker 1: the Fifth Hour podcast, and we're gonna have a big time,
Speaker 1: big time guest schedule to join us on the Saturday podcast.
Speaker 1: I will not no spoilers. I don't give it away
Speaker 1: in case the person does not come on here. But
Speaker 1: let's just say it's out of this world. It's paranormal.
Speaker 1: You could say it's paranormal, is what it is? He
Speaker 1: really quick, Ben, I'm sure you heard from Flexus after
Speaker 1: Bill's beat your Rams. Yes, So does that mean Flexus
Speaker 1: gets to come on the podcast? Oh no, Well Flexus says,
Speaker 1: Uh that he does want to come on the podcast.
Speaker 1: Gig wants to do it with you, Danny. So we
Speaker 1: might have a Dainty and Flexis podcast, but yeah, possibly
Speaker 1: next week. We we might do that with with that
Speaker 1: set a new record for fewest downloads. It's like you
Speaker 1: not you, of course. Yeah, that's a great question, Flexus,
Speaker 1: I love you. But I would have to find the
Speaker 1: world's best voice filter, contact t pain, some auto tune action.
Speaker 1: I don't I don't know, but I I would have
Speaker 1: to do something, I think to dress up that podcast.
Speaker 1: But they can do anything. Now. I watched the documentary
Speaker 1: on Anthony Bourdain and they had Anthony or Bourdain talking
Speaker 1: but he was saying things that he didn't say because
Speaker 1: he had passed away. And they like Pete Roselle and
Speaker 1: Al Davis and that's special. Remember, Yeah, that's crazy what
Speaker 1: they can do. I guess you're immortal if they can
Speaker 1: copy your voice and all that. All right, we'll get
Speaker 1: out on that. Anything to promote not doing the radio
Speaker 1: stuff until tomorrow, right well, actually be filling in on
Speaker 1: the show right before um the weekend overnight. I'm gonna
Speaker 1: be in there on the Jason Smith and Mike Harmon
Speaker 1: show producing them as a fill in. Because you're a
Speaker 1: Frostburg hardly ever takes any days off but this, this
Speaker 1: happens to be one day where he's gonna be missing. Well,
Speaker 1: he's an iron Man. Have a great rest of your Friday.
Speaker 1: Don't forget Saturday. Big Time, big Name, massive Name, one
Speaker 1: of the top five names we've had on the podcast.
Speaker 1: A Hall of Famer schedule to pop up on the
Speaker 1: Saturday podcast. But we'll talk to you then. Asta pasta
Speaker 1: population