WEBVTT - The Fifth Hour: BENNY VS. THE PENNY (Week 2) 0:00:00.680 --> 0:00:05.480 Kaboom. If you thought four hours a day, minutes a 0:00:05.480 --> 0:00:09.239 week was enough, think again. He's the last remnants of 0:00:09.280 --> 0:00:12.920 the old republic, a sole fashion of fairness. He treats 0:00:12.960 --> 0:00:15.800 crackheads in the ghetto cutter the same as the rich 0:00:15.840 --> 0:00:20.240 pill poppers in the penthouse the Clearinghouse of hot takes 0:00:20.280 --> 0:00:24.080 break free for something special. The Fifth Hour with Ben 0:00:24.120 --> 0:00:32.760 Maller starts right now in the air everywhere, and welcome 0:00:32.800 --> 0:00:38.120 back into the podcast, do Joe. It is another edition 0:00:38.200 --> 0:00:42.000 The Fifth Hour with Ben Mallard and Danny g And 0:00:42.080 --> 0:00:46.879 it is week two of the NFL season. As we 0:00:47.040 --> 0:00:50.879 handicap every game against the spread, and that means we 0:00:50.920 --> 0:00:55.080 need to strike up the band Benny versus the Penny. 0:00:56.640 --> 0:00:59.920 Welcome players, You're welcome. Are you up from our mallarm? 0:01:02.280 --> 0:01:09.640 It's time now Penny versus the Penny. Let me just 0:01:09.760 --> 0:01:13.360 explain to you why we're doing this. Okay, it is 0:01:13.880 --> 0:01:16.960 the every man gambling show. We keep it simple here, 0:01:17.600 --> 0:01:24.760 marginal handicapping on every game against the spread, and I 0:01:24.760 --> 0:01:28.960 am battling my foe for many years here in an 0:01:29.040 --> 0:01:33.360 adamant object, a penny, a thing that has no ability 0:01:33.640 --> 0:01:39.480 to handicap any NFL game, no knowledge of the NFL, 0:01:40.080 --> 0:01:44.240 and we flipped the penny representing the penny back for 0:01:44.440 --> 0:01:49.760 week two, the Great Danny g Radio. You survived your 0:01:49.800 --> 0:01:53.760 first maiden voyages the penny, Danny, congratulations. Yes, And I 0:01:53.840 --> 0:01:57.120 just took the penny out of my gun safe that's 0:01:57.160 --> 0:02:01.520 in my garage. Yes, it's a lot of crime in 0:02:01.680 --> 0:02:05.240 l A. There's catalytic converters and people looking for pennies. 0:02:05.840 --> 0:02:08.560 Those two things are very popular criminals these day. So 0:02:08.840 --> 0:02:10.920 we flipped the penny. Danny will be the penny. He's 0:02:10.919 --> 0:02:13.000 flipping the penny. Actually, he's got it right. I'm looking 0:02:13.040 --> 0:02:18.320 at it. And heads and tails obviously home and road 0:02:18.720 --> 0:02:23.160 tails would be the road team, heads the home team. 0:02:23.240 --> 0:02:25.520 And that's how we do it. So before we get 0:02:25.720 --> 0:02:30.720 to week number two, we must look back to week 0:02:30.840 --> 0:02:33.799 number one. How did we do? And if we had 0:02:33.840 --> 0:02:36.240 a tellustrator, we could show you the graphics, but we're 0:02:36.280 --> 0:02:38.919 only on an audio platform, so we cannot show you 0:02:38.960 --> 0:02:42.360 the graphics. But I was very excited. I I was 0:02:42.440 --> 0:02:46.120 kind of a little wobbly heading into the late television 0:02:46.160 --> 0:02:49.360 window on Sunday, and uh, I had a lot of 0:02:49.360 --> 0:02:51.760 things go my way, A lot of things go my way. 0:02:52.040 --> 0:02:57.400 And then I won the Sunday night game with Tampa 0:02:58.360 --> 0:03:01.440 and the Monday night game. We gave you a seattle 0:03:01.520 --> 0:03:03.920 plus the points, and so I went. I looked at 0:03:03.919 --> 0:03:06.600 my record and say, well, ten and six, that's pretty good. 0:03:06.680 --> 0:03:11.280 Six winning percentage. You gotta be like fifty three percent 0:03:11.440 --> 0:03:14.359 to make money betting on sports. Your best a little 0:03:14.360 --> 0:03:16.200 more than that because of the juice. So I was 0:03:16.240 --> 0:03:19.799 aning percentage, and then I was like, well, how did 0:03:19.800 --> 0:03:23.040 the penny do? What are the odds of this happening? 0:03:23.080 --> 0:03:25.760 The penny also went ten and six. We we picked 0:03:25.800 --> 0:03:28.440 different games. We didn't agree on all the games, but 0:03:28.840 --> 0:03:31.000 a lot of the games I lost, the penny one 0:03:31.200 --> 0:03:33.480 and the games that I won, the penny lost. So 0:03:33.520 --> 0:03:36.840 it works out ten and six. So we are squared up. 0:03:37.480 --> 0:03:39.760 It's like we're starting fresh this week day d G. 0:03:40.320 --> 0:03:43.440 We are motto a mono, belly to belly, eye to 0:03:43.520 --> 0:03:48.880 eye Wow Wow. Ten and six nice. Some of the 0:03:48.920 --> 0:03:51.760 big headlines here in our little gambling world. There's two 0:03:51.880 --> 0:03:55.600 themes that stand out like a sore thumb to me. 0:03:55.720 --> 0:03:57.480 All Right, first of all, you gotta look back, and 0:03:57.480 --> 0:04:00.760 then you gotta look ahead. So looking back, lad week 0:04:01.080 --> 0:04:05.880 underdogs of at least five points, went seven in two 0:04:05.920 --> 0:04:09.040 against the spread. So if that seems like some jargon, 0:04:09.160 --> 0:04:11.560 you're like, what does that mean? Uh, that means you 0:04:11.600 --> 0:04:15.000 did very well. If you just blindly picked underdogs last 0:04:15.040 --> 0:04:17.760 week seven or two. That in fact, that's the most 0:04:17.880 --> 0:04:22.800 wins since betting data became available back in nine. That's 0:04:22.800 --> 0:04:25.560 how rare that is for week one underdogs to do 0:04:25.640 --> 0:04:30.159 that well. And that includes four outright winners in which 0:04:30.240 --> 0:04:32.560 the team that was the underdog won the game. That 0:04:32.680 --> 0:04:35.400 is tied for the most in the first weekend in 0:04:35.440 --> 0:04:38.719 the last thirty years that they've been keeping track of 0:04:38.720 --> 0:04:40.920 this stuff. So some crazy things last week. Now looking 0:04:40.960 --> 0:04:45.440 ahead this week, I've got the four by four looking 0:04:45.480 --> 0:04:49.560 at the card, We've got road favorites four of them. 0:04:49.600 --> 0:04:54.320 The Bucks, Patriots, Colts, and Bengals are all favorite on 0:04:54.320 --> 0:04:59.240 the road. And we've got four double digit favorites, the Rams, 0:04:59.320 --> 0:05:02.040 the Bronco Os, the Packers, and the Buffalo Bills in 0:05:02.080 --> 0:05:06.480 the Monday night game. Be aware of the double digit favorite. 0:05:06.720 --> 0:05:10.000 If it seems too good, it probably is. I'm not 0:05:10.040 --> 0:05:13.160 saying you never bet a double digit favorite, but you 0:05:13.240 --> 0:05:16.080 gotta pick your spots. You gotta pick your spots and 0:05:16.120 --> 0:05:18.320 so that's really the lesson of all this. And with 0:05:18.440 --> 0:05:21.880 that being said, onto the games we go on. Are 0:05:21.880 --> 0:05:27.200 you ready? It's the penny ready l f G. All right, 0:05:27.200 --> 0:05:29.560 We're gonna start out with a good game. A couple 0:05:29.600 --> 0:05:31.839 of teams that won their opener last week the early 0:05:31.920 --> 0:05:37.080 television window. Miami at Baltimore. It's a CBS game, Kevin 0:05:37.120 --> 0:05:40.320 Harlan and Trent Green at m n T Bank Stadium, 0:05:40.320 --> 0:05:43.800 home opener for the Ravens, and they opened up a 0:05:43.920 --> 0:05:45.800 three and a half point favorite, their favorite by three 0:05:45.880 --> 0:05:50.720 and a half sunny, temperatures in the eighties at kickoff, 0:05:51.160 --> 0:05:56.200 and I am taking my pick the Dolphins. I'm taking 0:05:56.240 --> 0:05:58.480 the Dolphins. And I'll tell you what. The Ravens did 0:05:58.520 --> 0:06:01.279 not impress me. They had a hollow win against the Jets. 0:06:01.320 --> 0:06:04.640 They allowed two yards did Joe Flacco? I know a 0:06:04.680 --> 0:06:07.400 lot of that was in garbage time. But it's early 0:06:07.560 --> 0:06:10.719 and already Baltimore is beat up with offensive line issues. 0:06:11.200 --> 0:06:15.599 Running backs are shorthanded. Lamar Jackson's got Mark Andrews and 0:06:15.680 --> 0:06:19.279 Rashad Bateman, and that is it in terms of playmakers. 0:06:19.560 --> 0:06:22.680 History is also on the side of the Ravens this game. 0:06:22.680 --> 0:06:26.400 So I'm going against history. John Harbaugh is nine and 0:06:26.600 --> 0:06:30.360 one in ten last ten games against Miami, so it's 0:06:30.600 --> 0:06:33.640 very well Ravens have against the Dolphins. But the Dolphins 0:06:33.640 --> 0:06:37.800 should have success here against a dinged up raven secondary. 0:06:38.120 --> 0:06:42.000 Marcus Peters he's already been out, Kyle Fuller has. They 0:06:42.040 --> 0:06:44.360 both have a c L injuries and two talking about 0:06:44.360 --> 0:06:47.200 low on the road. That scares me a little bit here, 0:06:47.200 --> 0:06:50.359 But this is a different Miami Dolphin team. These aren't 0:06:50.360 --> 0:06:54.040 your daddy's Dolphins. I like the gumption of rookie coach 0:06:54.080 --> 0:06:56.720 Mike McDaniel. This game will be a close one. I'm 0:06:56.720 --> 0:07:00.200 gonna take the points and Miami on the road got 0:07:00.200 --> 0:07:05.200 the Dolphins seven and the Ravens and the Penny picks. 0:07:08.760 --> 0:07:11.920 The Penny has the Dolphins, alright, So we agree on 0:07:12.000 --> 0:07:14.680 that game. So we're squared up on that. Next up 0:07:14.760 --> 0:07:18.520 the Jets at on On one at Cleveland one and all. 0:07:19.000 --> 0:07:22.320 It is a CBS game. Spirodidas and j Feeley have 0:07:22.520 --> 0:07:26.080 the call. The Browns opened a four and a half 0:07:26.120 --> 0:07:29.080 point favorite, their favorite by six and a half at 0:07:29.160 --> 0:07:32.040 First Energy Stadium and good weather against earlier in the 0:07:32.120 --> 0:07:34.880 year as September weather temperatures in the eighties at kick 0:07:34.920 --> 0:07:39.480 off and a couple of really rancid quarterbacks in this game. 0:07:39.840 --> 0:07:42.360 But I am gonna take the Cleveland Browns. I'm gonna 0:07:42.440 --> 0:07:44.040 lay the six and a half. I bet against the 0:07:44.080 --> 0:07:47.560 Browns last week. I lost that. I'm on the Browns 0:07:47.600 --> 0:07:52.119 this week. After watching Joe Flacco play, I was flipping around. 0:07:52.120 --> 0:07:55.080 I saw some of his performance there. I have to 0:07:55.160 --> 0:07:58.160 take advantage of any chance I can get to bet 0:07:58.200 --> 0:08:01.360 against this guy. He's a lightweight, he's washed up, he's 0:08:01.400 --> 0:08:03.000 at the end of his career. Don't let a falling 0:08:03.040 --> 0:08:07.600 star fall on you. And Cleveland's defense is going to 0:08:07.880 --> 0:08:12.840 absolutely smother Flacco. The Jets just don't have enough playmakers 0:08:13.200 --> 0:08:17.680 to create trunk plays and bail him out. Also, historically, 0:08:17.680 --> 0:08:20.840 the Jets recently have been a great play betting against them. 0:08:20.920 --> 0:08:23.880 In September on the road there two and eight against 0:08:23.880 --> 0:08:26.400 the spread, and they've been underdogs and just about every 0:08:26.400 --> 0:08:28.240 one of those games two and eight against the spread, 0:08:28.680 --> 0:08:34.720 last ten in September. The only reason, the only reason, Danny, 0:08:34.760 --> 0:08:37.400 that I'm giving this game pause is because Jacoby prep. 0:08:37.840 --> 0:08:41.320 Jacoby Brissett also sucks. Uh. He was close to being 0:08:41.400 --> 0:08:45.040 benched in the opener and it was a couple of 0:08:45.040 --> 0:08:47.400 flukey things happened for the Browns to win that game. 0:08:47.840 --> 0:08:50.480 But I'm going with Cleveland. I think Nick Chubb and 0:08:50.559 --> 0:08:54.160 Kareem Hunt alone, that running game will control the game, 0:08:54.240 --> 0:08:58.520 that Brown's defense will destroy Flacco. And you've got the 0:08:58.760 --> 0:09:03.160 Brownie the Elf at midfield, so Brown's it's gonna be 0:09:03.160 --> 0:09:08.200 a defensive struggle. Brown seventeen. Jets tend the final and 0:09:08.240 --> 0:09:16.560 the Penny picks Penny picks the j e t S suck, sucks, suck, alright, 0:09:16.559 --> 0:09:18.920 so the Penny is taking the Jets. We disagree on that. 0:09:18.960 --> 0:09:21.960 Next up Washington one and oh at Detroit, Oh and one. 0:09:22.000 --> 0:09:26.040 It's on Fox with Kenny Albert, friend of the radio 0:09:26.120 --> 0:09:30.319 show and Jonathan Vilma, and the Lions opened up a 0:09:30.400 --> 0:09:33.199 two and a half point favorite. Detroit favored by two. 0:09:34.000 --> 0:09:37.400 On the roads can be mostly cloudy seventy four degrees 0:09:37.400 --> 0:09:39.320 at kick up, but this is a dome at Ford Field, 0:09:39.320 --> 0:09:42.240 so doesn't really matter just getting into the stadium and 0:09:42.679 --> 0:09:44.720 my pick on this game, I'm going with the Lions. 0:09:44.760 --> 0:09:47.520 I'm taking the Lions here. This is a blue moon game, 0:09:47.640 --> 0:09:52.439 as in once in a blue moon twenty four consecutive games, 0:09:52.440 --> 0:09:56.280 as an underdog for Detroit, the longest active streak in 0:09:56.320 --> 0:10:00.720 the NFL, but the Lions are favorite this game. Last 0:10:00.760 --> 0:10:04.960 time they were favored was way back in November of 0:10:05.480 --> 0:10:10.240 twenty twenty. Detroit is eight and two against the spread 0:10:10.280 --> 0:10:13.439 their last ten under Dan Campbell, all those as an underdog, 0:10:14.040 --> 0:10:17.800 and as advertised, he's got his team playing with some 0:10:17.880 --> 0:10:22.640 moxy years scratching and clawing. And even though Jared Golf blows, 0:10:23.480 --> 0:10:26.319 Carson Wentz also blows. He had a good box score 0:10:26.360 --> 0:10:29.200 game last week, made a couple of big mistakes. You're 0:10:29.280 --> 0:10:33.199 guaranteed to get at least an interception in a fumble, 0:10:33.280 --> 0:10:37.320 some combination of two turnovers in this game. Assuming the 0:10:37.360 --> 0:10:40.360 Lions take advantage of that, this game should be attracted meat. 0:10:40.480 --> 0:10:43.600 I don't think Detroit will stop Washington. I don't imagine 0:10:43.640 --> 0:10:46.760 Washington slows down with their injury problems on defense that 0:10:46.840 --> 0:10:50.319 they will slow down Detroit. But I am counting on 0:10:50.440 --> 0:10:55.040 Carson Wentz to have brain farts and that will be 0:10:55.280 --> 0:10:58.640 the difference in this game. I'm taking Detroit even though 0:10:58.679 --> 0:11:01.720 their favorite. I'm going against a lot of history here. 0:11:02.160 --> 0:11:10.360 Lions thirty seven, Commandos thirty and the penny picks and 0:11:10.440 --> 0:11:14.800 the Penny takes the Commandos. Al right. Next up Indianapolis, 0:11:15.480 --> 0:11:19.080 the most unsexy record in the NFL. They're tied for 0:11:19.120 --> 0:11:22.559 the most unsexy record in the NFL. They're oh oh 0:11:22.880 --> 0:11:26.280 and one. Hate the Ties. Why don't they still have ties? Danny? 0:11:26.280 --> 0:11:28.400 Can you explain? You're a long time NFL fan. Can 0:11:28.440 --> 0:11:31.040 you explain why they have ties still in the NFL 0:11:31.559 --> 0:11:35.000 because they're regarded? Okay, I don't even know you could 0:11:35.040 --> 0:11:37.760 say that, but I agree with you. All right. Jacksonville 0:11:37.840 --> 0:11:41.920 is all in one. It's on CBS, Tom McCarthy and 0:11:42.040 --> 0:11:45.720 Tiki Barber. The Colts opened a five and a half 0:11:45.760 --> 0:11:48.520 point favorite. They are favored by three and a half 0:11:49.040 --> 0:11:53.680 at t i A a bank field in Jacksonville, and 0:11:53.800 --> 0:11:56.800 the pick is in. I am taking the Jags. I 0:11:56.840 --> 0:11:59.280 am taking the Jacks. Now. A couple of reasons why 0:11:59.360 --> 0:12:02.280 real quick. Indie people were very excited because they put 0:12:02.320 --> 0:12:05.160 up five yards of offense and they had thirty three 0:12:05.200 --> 0:12:09.120 first downs against the Texas. That doesn't matter to me. 0:12:09.400 --> 0:12:11.920 The most important stat is how many points to scored. 0:12:12.200 --> 0:12:16.240 They scored twenty, and Matt Ryan, despite all those yards, 0:12:16.760 --> 0:12:20.200 was choppy for the first three quarters of that game. 0:12:20.240 --> 0:12:23.640 Now he wants supersonic blowtwords late and the Colts got 0:12:23.760 --> 0:12:26.559 a tie and they would have won the game. Their 0:12:26.640 --> 0:12:31.160 kicker would who they released, blew it. But now they 0:12:31.160 --> 0:12:35.160 play another doormat, and I expected Jacksonville will play better 0:12:35.240 --> 0:12:37.719 last week, I know him a glutton for punishment here. 0:12:37.720 --> 0:12:39.920 Taking the Jags back to back games. They did have 0:12:40.000 --> 0:12:43.959 the lead, they melted down against Washington late in that game. 0:12:44.320 --> 0:12:50.200 Doug Peterson going against his pupil in Philadelphia, Frank Reich. 0:12:50.280 --> 0:12:52.120 They were together on that Eagle staff that won the 0:12:52.120 --> 0:12:55.680 Super Bowl. But I just I don't trust the shadow 0:12:55.720 --> 0:12:58.559 of Matt Ryan and Indie. As bad as the Jags 0:12:58.559 --> 0:13:03.760 have been, I do home underdogs, and they've really held 0:13:03.760 --> 0:13:06.960 their own against against the Colts. In fact, Jacksonville from 0:13:07.000 --> 0:13:10.280 a gambling standpoint, which is what we're doing here, six 0:13:10.600 --> 0:13:15.360 one and six and one against the spread last seven 0:13:15.400 --> 0:13:19.520 games versus Frank Reich since he took over Colts will 0:13:19.559 --> 0:13:23.200 win the game, but only by a field goal. Indie 0:13:23.920 --> 0:13:31.240 seven Jacksonville twenty four of the final and the penny 0:13:31.320 --> 0:13:34.880 goes with the Jags. Alright, So the penny had taking 0:13:34.960 --> 0:13:39.400 Jacksonville also on that game. Next up, Tampa Bay at 0:13:39.520 --> 0:13:42.880 New Orleans the Bucks one and oh New Orleans one 0:13:42.920 --> 0:13:45.720 and oh it's on Fox. This is the big game 0:13:45.800 --> 0:13:48.720 on Fox. Kevin Burkhardt and Greg Olsen have the call. 0:13:49.240 --> 0:13:52.640 The Bucks opened a four and a half point road favorite, 0:13:53.120 --> 0:13:55.640 and they are favored by two and a half at 0:13:55.679 --> 0:13:59.319 the super Dome in the Bayou, and we are taking 0:13:59.559 --> 0:14:01.920 the pall Boys. We're gonna go with the Saints in 0:14:01.960 --> 0:14:04.520 this game. And let me tell you why. Tampa coming 0:14:04.559 --> 0:14:07.960 off a made for TV win over the Cowboys, a 0:14:08.080 --> 0:14:11.840 game they only scored nineteen points in. Now they play 0:14:11.960 --> 0:14:16.360 what has become Tom Brady's kryptonite recently. Did you know 0:14:17.080 --> 0:14:22.160 since Brady went to the Sunshine State in Tampa bay 0:14:22.240 --> 0:14:26.760 is Oh in four in the regular season against the Saints, 0:14:27.440 --> 0:14:30.040 and all four of those losses coming by at least 0:14:30.080 --> 0:14:33.480 nine points. Now it's different because Sean Payton's gone, Dennis 0:14:33.480 --> 0:14:36.040 Allen takes over. But the key to this game is 0:14:36.200 --> 0:14:40.240 inside defensive pressure by New Orleans against Brady. They've been 0:14:40.280 --> 0:14:43.480 able to do it every time Brady has not played 0:14:43.480 --> 0:14:47.680 well in that stadium. We're counting on these things happening again. 0:14:48.000 --> 0:14:51.440 And the Saints did not look very good themselves last week. 0:14:51.640 --> 0:14:55.080 Against the Falcons. I am worried about Alvin Kamara and 0:14:55.120 --> 0:14:58.560 his ribs in that situation. But New Orleans is eight 0:14:58.600 --> 0:15:02.080 and two their last ten games against the spread against 0:15:02.080 --> 0:15:05.680 an opponent after they played on Sunday night. This is 0:15:05.720 --> 0:15:09.640 also a peak UPO situation for Tampa Bay. They have 0:15:09.920 --> 0:15:15.480 a showcase matchup with Aaron Rodgers next weekend. So I'm 0:15:15.520 --> 0:15:20.480 taking New Orleans Tampa Bay twenty three. The Saints win 0:15:20.560 --> 0:15:22.680 the game outright, the Bucks and one and one. The 0:15:22.720 --> 0:15:25.720 Saints will be two and oh and the Penny picks 0:15:29.640 --> 0:15:32.840 the Penny must want Brady and Giselle to reunite, going 0:15:32.920 --> 0:15:35.560 with the Bucks alright, So the Bucks the pick on 0:15:35.680 --> 0:15:40.400 that game. Next up, Carolina at the g I a 0:15:40.400 --> 0:15:45.000 A t S. Giants. It's on Fox. Dodger broadcaster Joe 0:15:45.080 --> 0:15:48.840 Davis and Darryl Moose Johnston have the call on this game. 0:15:49.120 --> 0:15:51.520 The Giants opened up at two an a half point favorite. 0:15:51.520 --> 0:15:54.080 They're favored by two and a half. Still, Lion has 0:15:54.080 --> 0:15:58.240 stayed the same at MetLife Stadium, and the pick is in. 0:15:58.520 --> 0:16:02.080 I am taking the pant Thirst in this game, and 0:16:02.280 --> 0:16:05.160 the logic behind this pick. I'm not sold on the Giants. 0:16:05.480 --> 0:16:08.760 They played good second half. Played pretty well in the 0:16:08.760 --> 0:16:11.840 second half last week against the Titans, but needed an 0:16:11.920 --> 0:16:15.560 idiot kicker to miss a makeuple field goal in order 0:16:15.640 --> 0:16:19.360 to win that game. Brian Dable knows what he's doing, 0:16:20.120 --> 0:16:25.120 and he's he doesn't have loaded talent here. This game ends, 0:16:25.160 --> 0:16:28.160 by the way, fifteen straight as an underdog for the Giants, 0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:31.520 second longest streak behind the Lions. Giants were too inten 0:16:32.280 --> 0:16:36.120 two of ten on third down, and they committed eight 0:16:36.240 --> 0:16:40.120 penalties against the Titans, that normally gets you beat on 0:16:40.160 --> 0:16:43.880 the road. Also, the g manner one in nine their 0:16:44.000 --> 0:16:46.680 last ten at home in September. I know that was 0:16:46.720 --> 0:16:50.000 a different coaching staff, but I'm taking Baker Mayfield, who 0:16:50.040 --> 0:16:54.520 flopped in his Carolina debut against Cleveland. The Panthers. They 0:16:54.520 --> 0:16:58.040 were not able to get Christian McCaffrey going. They obviously 0:16:58.080 --> 0:17:00.000 need to do that. They should have much more success 0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:04.840 us against the Giants defense. Carolina five and two on 0:17:04.880 --> 0:17:08.880 the road in September. The Panthers take advantage of Daniel 0:17:08.920 --> 0:17:13.520 Jones turnovers and they get in the wind column as 0:17:13.560 --> 0:17:21.520 the Panthers win it twenty over the Giants and the 0:17:21.600 --> 0:17:25.919 penny goes with the Panthers Okay, so we agree on 0:17:26.080 --> 0:17:30.040 that game and moving on. Next up on Benny Versus 0:17:30.040 --> 0:17:33.240 the Penny, exclusively on the podcast to begin the NFL season. 0:17:33.760 --> 0:17:36.800 Stay tuned, maybe going somewhere else, you never know, New England. 0:17:37.200 --> 0:17:40.919 Oh in one at Pittsburgh one and Oh it Is 0:17:41.000 --> 0:17:45.520 on CBS with Iron Eagle and Charles Davis, and the 0:17:45.600 --> 0:17:48.840 Patriots opened up a one and half point road favorite. 0:17:48.840 --> 0:17:53.440 Patriots favored by two mostly cloudy temperatures in the eighties 0:17:53.560 --> 0:17:57.080 at act Ressher Stadium. That's the new name of the 0:17:57.080 --> 0:18:00.679 old Hines Field. I think we're is gonna call the 0:18:00.720 --> 0:18:04.159 stadium formerly known as Heinz Field. I think that's what 0:18:04.240 --> 0:18:07.840 we're gonna call it, because that's a mouthful taste, like 0:18:07.880 --> 0:18:11.919 a touchdown in your mouth. All Right, I'm taking the 0:18:11.960 --> 0:18:14.040 Patriots in this game. To pick is in, I'm going 0:18:14.080 --> 0:18:16.480 with the Patriots. This is one of those games that 0:18:16.640 --> 0:18:19.760 pops off the gambling board. You're like, why are the 0:18:19.840 --> 0:18:25.199 Patriots favorite? They lost last week? Pittsburgh won against the 0:18:25.240 --> 0:18:29.040 defending a f C champions and both these teams are 0:18:29.080 --> 0:18:31.200 lacking the wild factor. You think of all those matchups 0:18:31.200 --> 0:18:35.239 at quarterback, you always had Brady and Roethlisberger, for like 0:18:35.320 --> 0:18:38.080 the better part of the last twenty years, and now 0:18:38.160 --> 0:18:43.080 it's Mitch Robinski and Mac Jones. Holy Connoli does that suck? 0:18:43.119 --> 0:18:46.120 In terms of the quarterbacks and Max is gonna playing 0:18:46.200 --> 0:18:48.400 this game. Has got some some back issues, had back 0:18:48.440 --> 0:18:50.119 spasms here, so who knows if we'll be able to 0:18:50.119 --> 0:18:54.240 finish the game. Pittsburgh's coming off that overtime win against 0:18:54.320 --> 0:18:57.480 the Bengals. The reason the Patriots are favorite here is 0:18:57.520 --> 0:19:02.480 because the Steelers lost t J. Lot He's out and 0:19:02.640 --> 0:19:05.480 the defensive player there, Gonzo, He's gonna miss this game 0:19:05.520 --> 0:19:08.600 and many more after it. Uh. And I actually the 0:19:08.600 --> 0:19:10.119 reason I'm like, am I get the Patrios there. I 0:19:10.119 --> 0:19:11.800 think they're gonna be able to move the ball with 0:19:11.840 --> 0:19:16.440 the running backs Damien Harris and Romandre Stevenson. The Steelers, 0:19:16.480 --> 0:19:18.520 as good as their defense, is that the weak spot 0:19:18.520 --> 0:19:21.600 the kryptonite has been against the run. Steelers have a 0:19:21.640 --> 0:19:25.360 weak run defense. There's also have some offensive line issues. 0:19:25.920 --> 0:19:30.040 So in theory, Bill Belichick, the great defensive Maestro, should 0:19:30.040 --> 0:19:32.560 be able to put some pressure on Trabiskie. He's bad 0:19:32.640 --> 0:19:35.840 when he gets no pressure. And so this is another 0:19:35.880 --> 0:19:38.040 close game. I think the Patriots win this one. Another 0:19:38.119 --> 0:19:42.200 field goal special Patriots twenty six and the Steelers twenty 0:19:42.240 --> 0:19:50.160 three the final, and the penny says, let's battle homes 0:19:50.880 --> 0:19:53.720 the Steelers, all right, So taking the Steelers is a 0:19:53.760 --> 0:19:56.720 live home dog, betting on Mike Tomlin. Tomlin good record 0:19:57.200 --> 0:20:00.560 as a home underdog. And we move on now to 0:20:00.640 --> 0:20:06.120 the late television window the Atlanta Falcons. Oh and one 0:20:06.200 --> 0:20:08.359 at the L A R I am Zoe and one. 0:20:08.800 --> 0:20:10.240 You see what I did when I say L A 0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:12.520 rams like that? That is my tribute. Do you know 0:20:12.560 --> 0:20:16.400 who I'm giving a tribute to? No, it was. It 0:20:16.440 --> 0:20:21.880 was John Madden's partner on CBS, Pat summer All. That's 0:20:21.880 --> 0:20:24.120 how summer All used to say the L I am 0:20:25.320 --> 0:20:28.840 to say it like this, this kind of weird delivery. Anyway, 0:20:29.400 --> 0:20:31.439 it is on I'm old, so you probably don't even 0:20:31.480 --> 0:20:33.000 know who Pat somewhere else. If you're listening to this, 0:20:33.040 --> 0:20:35.479 you're like, if you're under the age of what forty, 0:20:35.560 --> 0:20:37.320 you probably have no idea who past summer All as 0:20:37.320 --> 0:20:39.280 he died years ago, but he was a legend in 0:20:39.359 --> 0:20:41.919 TV when I was a kid and a former NFL player. 0:20:42.000 --> 0:20:45.280 So this game is on Fox. Kevin Coogler and Mark Sanchez, 0:20:46.080 --> 0:20:50.800 the butt fumble man have the call. The yeah, Rams 0:20:51.480 --> 0:20:53.879 opened up a thirteen and that point favorite their favorite 0:20:53.920 --> 0:20:56.159 by ten and a half. It's so fly stadium, not 0:20:56.320 --> 0:20:59.600 a dome. Not a dome. Even though it looks like 0:20:59.640 --> 0:21:01.400 at him. I've been there. It's got a roof. It's 0:21:01.400 --> 0:21:04.359 not a dome. The Rams and they have they have 0:21:04.440 --> 0:21:06.720 openings on both sides. I am taking the Rams in 0:21:06.720 --> 0:21:09.879 this game. I very rarely take double digit favorites, but 0:21:10.080 --> 0:21:12.280 I believe the Rams of the right side here. The 0:21:12.400 --> 0:21:15.240 Rams were smothered by the Bills late in the game. 0:21:15.680 --> 0:21:18.479 This is their first chance to get that bad taste 0:21:18.480 --> 0:21:22.560 out of their mouth. Sean McVeigh has a six forty 0:21:22.600 --> 0:21:25.960 winning percentage against the spread coming off a loss. The 0:21:26.080 --> 0:21:28.600 Rams have a lot of work to do. Matthew Stafford 0:21:28.680 --> 0:21:32.600 was shaky, no running game. They'll figure it out, mainly 0:21:32.640 --> 0:21:36.720 because the opponent is the Falcons, who are bad to 0:21:36.760 --> 0:21:39.320 the bone, and they had a chance to upset the Saints, 0:21:39.359 --> 0:21:42.119 but that was a division game last week. Marcus Mariota 0:21:42.240 --> 0:21:47.800 is the backup masquerading as a starter. We anticipate a 0:21:47.880 --> 0:21:52.720 revival for the Rams offense here after that embarrassment, and 0:21:53.200 --> 0:21:55.520 it's just a case where Atlanta will not be able 0:21:55.560 --> 0:21:58.119 to keep up in this game barring some kind of 0:21:58.200 --> 0:22:03.280 unforeseen injury to the Rams. This has l a in 0:22:03.359 --> 0:22:08.119 a cakewalk. Rams thirty four and the Falcons seventeen. The 0:22:08.160 --> 0:22:15.480 final and the Penny picks Penny actually goes your way 0:22:15.560 --> 0:22:17.760 on this one, taking the Rams, all right, So the 0:22:17.800 --> 0:22:22.160 Penny living dangerously like I am Next up Seattle at 0:22:22.240 --> 0:22:27.080 San Francisco. It is on Fox with Adam Amin and 0:22:27.119 --> 0:22:31.639 Mark Slayri. They have a call. The Niners opened up 0:22:32.320 --> 0:22:35.719 a eight and a half point favorite. They're favored by 0:22:36.000 --> 0:22:40.240 ten in this game as they play their home opener 0:22:40.400 --> 0:22:45.520 in Santa Clara, and I am taking the Seahawks in 0:22:45.520 --> 0:22:51.240 this game. Now, I'm going against common gambling common gambling theory, 0:22:51.280 --> 0:22:55.000 because the theory is Seattle shocked in the NFL. They 0:22:55.040 --> 0:22:58.399 won their Super Bowl beating Russell Wilson and the Broncos, 0:22:58.920 --> 0:23:02.280 and they they have a wick turnaround against an angry 0:23:02.359 --> 0:23:06.160 divisional opponent coming off a loss. And so they are 0:23:06.200 --> 0:23:08.959 going to come out here Seattle at one to oh 0:23:09.160 --> 0:23:13.200 San Francisco at at oh and one, and Seattle is 0:23:13.240 --> 0:23:16.959 gonna be flat. Uh Gino Smith went from an oil 0:23:17.000 --> 0:23:19.000 painting in the first half to a finger painting in 0:23:19.040 --> 0:23:21.960 the second half. They still won the game. Jamal Adams 0:23:21.960 --> 0:23:24.920 has a torn quad. He's out and this is a 0:23:24.960 --> 0:23:29.920 classic letdown spot in gambling parlance. But the great equalizer 0:23:30.000 --> 0:23:34.439 to me is this tray Lance. This guy is a bumm. 0:23:35.000 --> 0:23:38.560 And as as bad as Gino Smith is, I am 0:23:38.600 --> 0:23:41.359 not commissed. I gotta see something from this tray Lance. 0:23:41.800 --> 0:23:44.959 I haven't seen it, and that's gonna keep this game closed. 0:23:44.960 --> 0:23:47.120 The Niners had a tend nothing lead in a bad 0:23:47.160 --> 0:23:51.120 weather game in Chicago. The defense couldn't hold it. Tray 0:23:51.200 --> 0:23:53.399 Lance has been given a weather mulligan. He's not gonna 0:23:53.440 --> 0:23:57.280 get any alibi this week. Uh, the forty Niners should 0:23:57.320 --> 0:24:01.240 win this game rather easy. But this is too many points. 0:24:01.280 --> 0:24:04.200 You can't lay that many points. And as a rule 0:24:04.280 --> 0:24:07.360 of thumb, anytime you get over a touchdown a touchdowner 0:24:07.400 --> 0:24:10.640 more in a divisional game, you love taking the points. 0:24:11.000 --> 0:24:14.119 And so I'm gonna follow that and I'm gonna close 0:24:14.160 --> 0:24:16.840 my eyes on this game and hope that I'm right. 0:24:17.359 --> 0:24:20.119 I'll take the forty Niners to win, but the Seahawks 0:24:20.160 --> 0:24:22.960 to win the money in an ugly game for Seattle 0:24:23.080 --> 0:24:32.119 and San Francisco forty Niners, Seahawks seventeen, and the penny 0:24:32.240 --> 0:24:35.480 likes the Seahawks outright, all right, So the penny go 0:24:35.520 --> 0:24:39.320 in that direction, and uh, we'll move on to the 0:24:39.359 --> 0:24:42.200 next game. Boy, this is a dog with fleas Cincinnati 0:24:42.280 --> 0:24:47.240