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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Every pitch is Your Pitch, The greatest show on Dirt.

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Speaker 4: Deep Telefeld pay Back that God.

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Speaker 3: Show.

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Speaker 1: Now they can add college baseball to their trophy case.

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Speaker 1: Welcome everybody to the Big Bets on Campus College Baseball Edition.

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Speaker 1: This is Colin Wilson, prim me on Twitter at Underscore

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Speaker 1: call in one and joining me as always mister Brad

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Speaker 1: Audraine Twitter handle at real Brad Audrain. Brad. We're just

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Speaker 1: coming off watching the SEC tournament. Arkansas is well on

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Speaker 1: their way out of that. They're solidified in a pretty

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Speaker 1: much a two seed. No one's coming to fable for

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Speaker 1: a regional. I have to ask the question, is the SEC?

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Speaker 1: But they'll say Tennessee out of the equation. Is the

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Speaker 1: SEC a non factor for Omaha this year?

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Speaker 4: Arkansas is a don in factor for Omaha this year.

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Speaker 4: That's that's an absolute certainty. When we start off by

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Speaker 4: saying that we should fire our head coach who didn't

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Speaker 4: even come to the game today. Maybe he has COVID.

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Speaker 4: Nobody knows, that's it. He's too embarrassed to announce.

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Speaker 3: The out of COVID.

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Speaker 4: The SEC is a factor. It's just it was a

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Speaker 4: funky season because we had Mississippi State and Old Miss

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Speaker 4: ranked so high to start with, and they fell off

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Speaker 4: so fast that it kind of killed the RPI for

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Speaker 4: everybody else because beating them means nothing, So that was

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Speaker 4: you know, or but if you lost to them, then

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Speaker 4: you're dead in the water because their rprs were so

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Speaker 4: low at the end of the day. I do think

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Speaker 4: the SEC still is a factor in Omaha. I think

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Speaker 4: Tennessee's definitely a factor in Omaha, but uh, Arkansas despite

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Speaker 4: Arkansas on being a factor, I do think that, you know,

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Speaker 4: there's some teams that can make some waves. I love

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Speaker 4: Texas A and m Still, Vandy and LSU hell, I

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Speaker 4: just don't know what we're going to get out of them,

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Speaker 4: but you know, we'll we'll see. But there's there's a

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Speaker 4: lot of other teams making jumps and I'm looking forward

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Speaker 4: to talking and talking about them outside of the SEC

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Speaker 4: maybe a little bit this week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, And I think that's this podcast.

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Speaker 1: This week is going to be pretty light on the

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Speaker 1: head to end matchups and the conference tournaments. And I

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Speaker 1: think everybody should realize that we don't I don't bet

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Speaker 1: conference tournament action and the reason is because these coaches

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Speaker 1: treat it like midweek games. They don't want to throw

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Speaker 1: their best starters unless you are in a critical situation

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Speaker 1: where you're trying to slide into the regionals and you

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Speaker 1: have an RPI that's maybe outside the top fifty, or

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Speaker 1: maybe you're projected as a you know, on.

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Speaker 2: The bubble watch.

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Speaker 1: Uh, these coaches don't take these conference championships very serious. Now,

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Speaker 1: I want to watch everything out of the ACC Championship tournament.

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Speaker 1: But you know, Brad, you couldt has two Uh teams

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Speaker 1: just show up to Hoover and they kind of throw

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Speaker 1: their midweek guys because they don't care about this tournament, correct.

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Speaker 4: I mean the best, the best teams have no reason

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Speaker 4: to risk pitching their best guys, playing their best lineup.

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Speaker 4: You don't want to get anybody hurt. It's a great

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Speaker 4: week for rest if you if you need to Now,

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Speaker 4: if you're Arkansas, you needed to win, and we still lost,

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Speaker 4: which is shameful, embarrassing, it's it's awful.

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Speaker 3: Alabama is not even that good and they'd beat this

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Speaker 3: three games in a row.

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Speaker 4: So uh.

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Speaker 3: But but no, you know, you're you're looking.

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Speaker 4: At teams that that have a shot and what what

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Speaker 4: you notice over the years is the teams that that

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Speaker 4: put too much energy and effort into these something always happens.

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Speaker 4: They always slip up when you know, a regional super

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Speaker 4: regional when they get to Omaha.

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Speaker 3: If you try too hard in your comfortence tournament, it's

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Speaker 3: it's it's a recipe for disaster.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, So that's the whole thing. We're paying attention to

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Speaker 1: the teams that we know, and that's what we want

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Speaker 1: to make the theme of this week's podcast. We want

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Speaker 1: to focus on teams that are projected to be super

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Speaker 1: regional hosts, not just host for regional super regional hosts

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Speaker 1: who we don't have any action on in the futures,

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Speaker 1: who we are seeing not giving their best effort and

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Speaker 1: their conference tournament. You know Miami right now as we're

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Speaker 1: recording this trailing early in the ACC tournament. So we

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Speaker 1: would really like these teams that are super regional teams to.

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Speaker 2: Kind of bow out get healthy. It's been a.

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Speaker 1: Formula success for a really long time. I can't remember

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Speaker 1: the last time a team won the SEC tournament and

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Speaker 1: then went on to be a real factor in Omaha.

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Speaker 2: So that's what you need to do.

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Speaker 1: So you're gonna we're recording this on a Wednesday, You're

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Speaker 1: probably gonna hear this on a Thursday or a Friday.

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Speaker 1: Let these teams lose before you go and hit their

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Speaker 1: futures because oddsmakers will lower a team just for losing

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Speaker 1: in their conference tournament, when in reality some of these

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Speaker 1: coaches don't care at all.

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Speaker 2: And I think that brings.

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Speaker 1: Us to the ACC and Brad, we should we should

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Speaker 1: talk about this off the air. I think you and

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Speaker 1: I should have a five hundred dollars side bet on

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Speaker 1: it if the ACC is going to win the College

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Speaker 1: World Series. I would make the line minus one ten.

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Speaker 1: I'll run by a few of my odds makers buddies

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Speaker 1: and see if they can get that posted up in

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Speaker 1: the books. Would you take an ACC? Say, I'll give

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Speaker 1: you all the a SEC teams or the field. Who

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Speaker 1: would you take to win the College World Series?

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Speaker 4: Well, knowing my bias for the SEC, I'm gonna have

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Speaker 4: a hard time betting if I have to choose us

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Speaker 4: out of the fence, and knowing that Tennessee is on

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Speaker 4: the other side, I'm probably not going to jump to

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Speaker 4: jump on the ACC side.

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Speaker 3: However, it's hard to.

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Speaker 4: To I mean, looking at what they have to offer,

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Speaker 4: you know, with Virginia Tech, with Miami, with Virginia, with

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Speaker 4: Florida State, with Louisville.

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Speaker 3: I mean, they've.

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Speaker 4: Got some contenders and there's gonna be a lot of activity,

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Speaker 4: and you know, look, you make the bed. And then

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Speaker 4: I come to find out that all eight teams left

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Speaker 4: the noball from the ACC I'm gonna be pretty ashamed

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Speaker 4: and I'll have to pay my five hundred dollars. But

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Speaker 4: but right now, if I had to pick no, I'm going

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Speaker 4: to go no on that one. I still believe, I

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Speaker 4: do believe that Tennessee is the best best team out there.

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Speaker 4: But we haven't given them a lot of love this year, So.

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Speaker 2: No, I mean, yeah, we haven't.

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Speaker 1: You and I were in Cosmo, you know about you know,

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Speaker 1: six weeks ago we pulled the College Baseball odds and

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Speaker 1: noticed that Tennessee was plus one fifty, which is just

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Speaker 1: an acid nine number when you think of you have

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Speaker 1: to win your regional, you have to win a super regional,

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Speaker 1: you have to survive an unbelievable bracket, and of course

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Speaker 1: Omaha always brings the best weather in the world. You're

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Speaker 1: gonna have to go deep in your pitching staff and

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Speaker 1: you know these sticks, these numbers are putting up number

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Speaker 1: one and everything from OVP to slugging to home runs

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Speaker 1: per game, you know that bright I'm being this is

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Speaker 1: the same numbers I saw at Arkansas's offense last year

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Speaker 1: and they didn't make it to Omaha because the bats

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Speaker 1: got shut down and an NC State team that was

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Speaker 1: hungry came in and shut us down. So do you

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Speaker 1: think something like that could happen to Tennessee.

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Speaker 3: One hundred percent?

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Speaker 4: I mean, look, there's no guarantees in this game, and

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Speaker 4: there's no guarantees in anything College baseball. From what I've

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Speaker 4: learned is it's the hardest. It is the hardest sport

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Speaker 4: to win a title, end because you you know baseball

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Speaker 4: is difficult anyways, but you know you have to win

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Speaker 4: over and over again again in one game series many times,

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Speaker 4: or you get put behind the you know, behind the

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Speaker 4: eight ball if you don't.

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Speaker 3: Uh.

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Speaker 4: It's just really really hard to win head to head

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Speaker 4: one game in baseball.

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Speaker 3: And I think that's why we love.

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Speaker 4: It so much, because you have to show up every day.

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Speaker 4: It's not a it's you don't get to take a

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Speaker 4: game off, you don't get to have a golden state

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Speaker 4: moment where you get beat by forty and then you

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Speaker 4: come out and win the next game. By twenty, you

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Speaker 4: don't get to do that because if you do that,

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Speaker 4: then you have to win the next three games.

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Speaker 3: By twenty, you don't.

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Speaker 4: Get to You have to you have to win, you

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Speaker 4: get put in the loser's bracket, and you have to

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Speaker 4: then come out and win the extra baseball games that

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Speaker 4: you didn't think you were going to have to play,

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Speaker 4: and so it makes things a lot.

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Speaker 3: More difficult, and you don't get start the same five.

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Speaker 4: You're your number one most important player is your pitcher.

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Speaker 4: So it's just a lot different than any other sport

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Speaker 4: when you have the head to head matchups.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, find another college baseball pod that's dropping NBA references,

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Speaker 1: and you probably won't find one in the world. So

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Speaker 1: I think the reason that we're on this subject is

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Speaker 1: because we want to focus on the teams that are

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Speaker 1: projected to be super regional hosts. And if you're new

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Speaker 1: to college baseball, what that means is is on Monday,

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Speaker 1: Memorial Day, they're going to announce the regionals. It's going

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Speaker 1: to be sixteen sites. Four teams go to a site,

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Speaker 1: so sixty four teams just like March Madness, and those

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Speaker 1: teams will play in a small little bracket play you know,

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Speaker 1: with A you can lose to two and Q two

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Speaker 1: and you're out. And so that will determine sixteen winners,

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Speaker 1: and then after those sixteen winners, there will be eight

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Speaker 1: super regional hosts that will play best too out of

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Speaker 1: time three. So what we want to do on this

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Speaker 1: podcast is we want to focus on those teams that

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Speaker 1: are projected to be super regional hosts right now and

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Speaker 1: what their betting yards are in the market and if

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Speaker 1: we should go and grab them. Forget the conference tournaments,

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Speaker 1: forget what happens in the conference tournaments, because what you

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Speaker 1: want is a super regional team that's going to host,

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Speaker 1: knows their own ballpark, makes people travel maybe cross country,

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Speaker 1: and that has great betting value and getting them to Omaha.

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Speaker 1: So I'll go ahead and start off. Tennessee is number

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Speaker 1: one on the board, projected to be the overall number

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Speaker 1: one seed. They'll host a super regional. That's a lock.

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Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, Pennsylvana number two, that's a lock to make

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Speaker 1: it to be a host of super regional. Stanford three

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Speaker 1: overall seed, they're a lock to host a super regional

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Speaker 1: right now, sit at number four. Oregon State, I don't

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Speaker 1: care what happens in Pactal tournament. Oregon State is hosting

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Speaker 1: a regional super regional quarterback. They're a lock five Miami.

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Speaker 1: I think they can drop this and still be within

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Speaker 1: the top eight. Yeah, Alex Rodriguez Park at Mark Lightfield.

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Speaker 2: I mean that.

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Speaker 1: Who doesn't want the college baseball world to descend on

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Speaker 1: a Rod's on a Rod's a little park down there, Maryland.

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Speaker 2: Not in the ACC.

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Speaker 1: In the Big Ten, they're Pencilvan at number six. They

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Speaker 1: won the Big Ten overall regular season title. We'll see

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Speaker 1: how they do their Louisville another ACC team seventh currently,

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Speaker 1: and then we rounded out with Texas A and M

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Speaker 1: at eight. Now, Texas A and M didn't play tonight,

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Speaker 1: Like I said, we're recording on Wednesday. I think Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M is going need at least a victory

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Speaker 1: maybe two in the SEC tournament to stick in that

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Speaker 1: super regional spot. But you know, that's the way that

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Speaker 1: it's looking right now. So if we go to the

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Speaker 1: futures that Brad and I have put down so far,

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Speaker 1: we already have some of these teams, a few weeks

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Speaker 1: ago on this podcast, we took Texas, I took We

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Speaker 1: took Texas A and M one hundred and fifty to one.

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Speaker 1: That is now down to thirty to one. Brad took

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Speaker 1: Virginia Tech fifty to one. It's down down to twenty

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Speaker 1: five to one. And then you know, Maryland's up there.

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Speaker 1: We took Maryland ninety to one on the podcast, and

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Speaker 1: that's down to seventy five to one. I'm a little

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Speaker 1: puzzled that they're a six overall seed and they're seventy

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Speaker 1: five to one. They're going to host a super But

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Speaker 1: that's what we're playing with now, you and I, Brad,

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Speaker 1: we've been trying to get into Oregon State. We've been

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Speaker 1: trying to get into organ State. We can't get a

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Speaker 1: good numbers that everyone better than ten to one. So, Brad,

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Speaker 1: of all these super regional teams, what's the one that

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Speaker 1: you want to get into right now? From an investment standpoint?

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Speaker 4: So new to the scene, you know, I saw them

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Speaker 4: play earlier this season against Arkansas in the preseason and

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Speaker 4: they beat us handily, and I thought, you know, hey,

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Speaker 4: it's early. Look, you know, whatever can happen. They lost

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Speaker 4: some games early Stanford Cardinal has gone on a tear.

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Speaker 4: They've got thirteen straight wins. Calling coming down the stretch,

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Speaker 4: I mean, ending your season on thirteen straight wins, fourteen

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Speaker 4: I believe if you count, if you count their tournament

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Speaker 4: victory tonight. But again that one is you know, neither

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Speaker 4: here nor there. But I mean they've got two starters,

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Speaker 4: Alex Williams and Quinn Matthews, who are both eight and

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Speaker 4: one sporting one point sixty five and two point five eras.

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Speaker 3: Quinn Matthews pitched against Arkansas and shut us down for

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Speaker 3: six innings, I mean absolutely shut us down. They've got

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Speaker 3: Tommy o' rourke that comes.

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Speaker 4: Out of the bullpen, so I think they've they've got

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Speaker 4: the pitching, and I believe when you go to their

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Speaker 4: hitting numbers, they've they've got two guys one at fifteen

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Speaker 4: home runs or nineteen home runs and fifteen home runs.

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Speaker 3: And then three guys that are supporting around ten.

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Speaker 4: I mean, they can hit the baseball, they can pitch,

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Speaker 4: and they've got a good defense. Stanford is known as

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Speaker 4: a baseball you know, it's a baseball school. They've always

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Speaker 4: they've always competed, they've always contended, and I think the

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Speaker 4: odds for Stanford right now, we're at thirteen to one.

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Speaker 3: They're a looking.

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Speaker 4: At a three or four seed, and I'm going to

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Speaker 4: roll with the Cardinal here. I believe that's that's the

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Speaker 4: bet to make the new the newest guy on the scene.

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Speaker 4: They're hot and you want you want the hot team

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Speaker 4: coming into this this time of year.

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Speaker 1: One of percent agree, and you want that third overall seed.

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Speaker 1: Why you end up on the other side of the

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Speaker 1: bracket from Tennessee once you get to Omaha. So that

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Speaker 1: would make it a pretty sweet deal if if the

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Speaker 1: Cardinal can pull that three seed. But this is definitely

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Speaker 1: a future that I mean, they're coming on strong. I

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Speaker 1: echo everything Brad said Stanford right now, you're they are

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Speaker 1: pretty much they are a lock for a super regional.

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Speaker 1: And they have one of the best park factors. You know,

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Speaker 1: a lot not a lot of people bring this into play,

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Speaker 1: but clein Field is one of the lowest and runs

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Speaker 1: per game and park factors of any hosts.

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Speaker 2: I think that's just a big advantage to who they

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Speaker 2: are as a team.

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Speaker 1: You know, they're RPIs in the top five, they're twenty

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Speaker 1: and five at home. So when I talk about park

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Speaker 1: factors being a big deal for Stanford. This is a

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Speaker 1: team that's lost five times at home.

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Speaker 2: That's it.

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Speaker 1: So when you're going to host a super regional, it's

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Speaker 1: almost like you can pencil them all the way going

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Speaker 1: in love that number, Brad, I'm going to pivot back

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Speaker 1: to the ACC. I think I've actually departed the SEC

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Speaker 1: fandom and somehow fallen into the ACC.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with the.

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Speaker 1: Miami Hurricanes twenty five to one. And you know, this

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Speaker 1: is a team they just they don't dazzle me with

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Speaker 1: some of the overall stats from a fielding percentage and

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Speaker 1: an OBP and a home runs per nine. But they're

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Speaker 1: seventh in RPI, they're twenty eighth in non conference RPI.

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Speaker 1: They're ten and five versus the top twenty five RPI.

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Speaker 1: When they have played the best teams in the nation,

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Speaker 1: they have won at least two of three every single time.

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Speaker 1: They're twenty eight and eight at home. So, like we

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Speaker 1: mentioned Stanford at thirteen to one, this is another team

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Speaker 1: that dominates at home, twenty eight and eight at Alex

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Speaker 1: Rodriguez Park, and they're led by Carson Palmquist. Now, if

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Speaker 1: anybody knows anything about college baseball, If you have a

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Speaker 1: dominant lefty on your.

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Speaker 2: Staff, you will go far.

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Speaker 1: You want to know how Michigan came out of nowhere

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Speaker 1: and made it to the championship game. The championship round,

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Speaker 1: they had a throwing Their second pitcher was a lefty

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Speaker 1: stud that blew everyone away, throwing complete games in Omaha.

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Speaker 1: So I love lefty pitchers. We got that with Carson Palmquist.

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Speaker 1: One hundred and five strikeouts and seventy five innings. He

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Speaker 1: had fourteen saves last year. Now why do I bring

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Speaker 1: that up? Because when you get into these crunch moments,

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Speaker 1: I mean, anybody that's been to the Omaha knows everybody's

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Speaker 1: available to come out of that bullpen. And if Carson

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Speaker 1: Palmquist saved fourteen games last year, I don't see why

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Speaker 1: he can't come in on Saturday and Sunday games if

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Speaker 1: they need him the Saturday pitcher. Carson will go on

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Speaker 1: a righty, he's good for five innings. He averages a

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Speaker 1: kper inning. But the reliever, Alex McFarlane, that's the glue

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Speaker 1: guy here. He can come in for two innings, get

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Speaker 1: anybody out of a jam. Forty innings pitched, fifty nine

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Speaker 1: K's on the season Miami twenty five to one, super

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Speaker 1: regional host. Brad's going Stanford thirteen to one, super regional host.

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Speaker 1: And we are both crossing. Our fingers are on the

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Speaker 1: other side of the bracket from Tennessee. Now, Brad, let's

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Speaker 1: go ahead and review before we let everybody go with

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Speaker 1: our two new futures, Let's go ahead and review some

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Speaker 1: of our previous ones because people maybe they didn't hear

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Speaker 1: the previous podcasts. You know we're at with our futures portfolio.

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Speaker 1: I have a Maryland ninety to one. I took on

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Speaker 1: the show seventy five to one, Brad, Virginia Tech fifty

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Speaker 1: to one, when you took it down to twenty five

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Speaker 1: to one. Feel pretty good about the Hokies, huh.

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Speaker 4: Hey, And currently listen at number two and they're in

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Speaker 4: your there, They're in your acc side of the five

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Speaker 4: hundred dollars bet. So you know, I know, I know

340
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Speaker 4: I'm in trouble there, but I do they continue to hit,

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Speaker 4: they continue to play great baseball, the Hokies.

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Speaker 3: Hokies have come on strong.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think what I should also say is

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Speaker 1: park factors is going to be a really big deal

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Speaker 1: when it comes to totals, you're you know, on the

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Speaker 1: action app, we don't have the ability to plug in plays,

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Speaker 1: but I'm going to try to be as clear as

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Speaker 1: I am with where I'm throwing my money on Twitter

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Speaker 1: and park factors is a really.

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Speaker 2: Big deal when it comes to totals.

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Speaker 1: Virginia Tech's park, the ball just absolutely flies to the

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Speaker 1: moon out of that place.

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Speaker 2: You know, they're they're in Atlantic Union Bank Park. It's

354
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Speaker 2: English Field.

355
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Speaker 1: Like I mentioned on Twitter earlier day, like police ind Auburn,

356
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Speaker 1: Sunny Dashara Police send a monster masher up there because

357
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Speaker 1: it's just going to be highlight reels all night on

358
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Speaker 1: the Sports Center. But look for Virginia Tech. They're going

359
00:17:11,600 --> 00:17:13,919
Speaker 1: to try to outscore everybody that comes into town. So

360
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Speaker 1: you know, that's definitely one that I would feel pretty

361
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Speaker 1: good about. Some of the others that we have in

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Speaker 1: the portfolio. I think on the first podcast, I took

363
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Speaker 1: Southern miss fifty to one. It's down to forty to one.

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Speaker 1: They should get a regional brad right are they are

365
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Speaker 1: they sixteenth?

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Speaker 4: Yeah? No, they're I think they were somewhere around like

367
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Speaker 4: number nine or ten.

368
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Speaker 3: So if A and M slips too hard, Southern Miss.

369
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Speaker 4: Wins their tournament handilygue you know, it takes a lot

370
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Speaker 4: to jump this time of year, but Southern Miss has

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Speaker 4: the opportunity to potentially sneak in or something like that.

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Speaker 1: And I think the thing with Southern Miss is like

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Speaker 1: I feel confident that they can win a regional and

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Speaker 1: then when they go on the road in a super regional, Listen,

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Speaker 1: this team is eighth and road RPI. They're second in ERA,

376
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Speaker 1: they're second in WHIP. This team can pitch the lights out.

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Speaker 1: You know, their defense of fieldings in the top fifty,

378
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Speaker 1: but you know they're sluggings top one hundred. They're on

379
00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:06,080
Speaker 1: basis top one. So the bats would have to get hot.

380
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Speaker 1: But Southern Mists can easily win their regional. Then they're

381
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Speaker 1: gonna play underdog, probably somewhere, you know, probably not out

382
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Speaker 1: on the West Coast, probably somewhere local, you know, in

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Speaker 1: the Sunbelt SEC region.

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Speaker 2: So you know, we'll see what Southern Myss can do.

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Speaker 1: Another one that we've got on the list that we

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Speaker 1: if you if you didn't listen to a previous podcast,

387
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Speaker 1: we have Texas A and M one hundred and fifty

388
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Speaker 1: to one.

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Speaker 2: That is down to thirty to one.

390
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Speaker 1: Brad, you had no kind words for protecting.

391
00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:38,119
Speaker 4: At You know, I mit, I ad mint my failures,

392
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Speaker 4: and that was a failure.

393
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Speaker 3: I also thought, you know, I picked Argansaw.

394
00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:43,720
Speaker 4: I thought that they were I thought they were coming

395
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Speaker 4: on after that Auburn series and uh I was dead wrong. Man.

396
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Speaker 3: So A and M.

397
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Speaker 4: They they haven't lost the series, and I don't know

398
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Speaker 4: how long they've been playing great baseball if they were

399
00:18:57,080 --> 00:18:58,960
Speaker 4: able to host. And I didn't think at the time

400
00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:01,320
Speaker 4: they'd even had the opportunity to get into a spot

401
00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:02,840
Speaker 4: to host Super Regional.

402
00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:04,679
Speaker 3: And here they are. They're in.

403
00:19:04,880 --> 00:19:07,879
Speaker 4: They're in the eighth slot right now, and my guess

404
00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:08,800
Speaker 4: is they're probably.

405
00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:11,120
Speaker 3: Going to keep it.

406
00:19:10,160 --> 00:19:13,879
Speaker 4: Because I don't they got to give two SEC teams,

407
00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:18,399
Speaker 4: uh A super you know, I think just based on

408
00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:20,399
Speaker 4: the past, they always feel like they have to.

409
00:19:20,560 --> 00:19:21,840
Speaker 3: So I don't know if I don't know if that

410
00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:22,320
Speaker 3: will hold.

411
00:19:22,680 --> 00:19:25,399
Speaker 4: But if they do, A M is a great bet

412
00:19:25,720 --> 00:19:28,480
Speaker 4: because get to Omaha, anything can happen, but you got

413
00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:32,199
Speaker 4: to get there. And A and M playing at home. Jesus,

414
00:19:33,080 --> 00:19:37,600
Speaker 4: I'm telling you, man, their fans are brutal. They pack

415
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:40,360
Speaker 4: them in tight and they all have their cheers and

416
00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,679
Speaker 4: it is it is brutal on the opposition.

417
00:19:43,080 --> 00:19:45,640
Speaker 1: So you're what you're telling everybody is the twelfth man

418
00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:48,520
Speaker 1: shows up to Bluebell Park at Olson Field, and that

419
00:19:48,560 --> 00:19:51,240
Speaker 1: can be a pretty big determining factor when it comes

420
00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:52,680
Speaker 1: to home field advantage down there for them.

421
00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:57,199
Speaker 4: Exactly one home field advantage is big time, uh in

422
00:19:57,280 --> 00:20:01,560
Speaker 4: Bluebell And like I said, the it's not large, somehow

423
00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:02,320
Speaker 4: they are allowed.

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Speaker 1: And what's funny is Brad says that from a park

425
00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:10,080
Speaker 1: factor's perspective, the stadium isn't large, but at the same

426
00:20:10,119 --> 00:20:12,959
Speaker 1: time they have one of the lowest park factors out there,

427
00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:15,520
Speaker 1: which means they have scored a ton more runs on

428
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Speaker 1: the road than they have at home. So I would

429
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Speaker 1: keep your eyes open if you see any Texas A

430
00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:23,520
Speaker 1: and M totals coming out of me, you know which.

431
00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:27,199
Speaker 1: Generally you're going to see a lot of Sunday overs.

432
00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:29,040
Speaker 1: You're probably going to see a lot of Friday unders.

433
00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:32,760
Speaker 1: College baseball's works a little bit different than MLB. MLB

434
00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:35,000
Speaker 1: Sunday unders are really the name of the game, But

435
00:20:35,240 --> 00:20:37,720
Speaker 1: in college baseball, by the time Sunday rolls around, teams

436
00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:39,800
Speaker 1: are on their third game and things get a little

437
00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:44,280
Speaker 1: loose with the pins. So that is our portfolio future.

438
00:20:44,760 --> 00:20:47,280
Speaker 1: We have added Miami twenty five to one lock to

439
00:20:47,320 --> 00:20:50,400
Speaker 1: host a Super. We have added Stanford thirteen to one.

440
00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:52,119
Speaker 2: Lock to host a Super.

441
00:20:52,480 --> 00:20:55,680
Speaker 1: Both these teams have some serious home field advantage, good

442
00:20:55,680 --> 00:20:57,800
Speaker 1: park factors going in their way, and pitchers that can

443
00:20:57,920 --> 00:20:58,800
Speaker 1: really dial it up.

444
00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:00,399
Speaker 2: So that's going to do for us.

445
00:21:00,440 --> 00:21:02,320
Speaker 1: Brad, you got anything before we come back next week?

446
00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:04,800
Speaker 1: And uh, talk about how Arkansas slipped to a three

447
00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:06,800
Speaker 1: seed and some sort of in some region out in

448
00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:07,680
Speaker 1: Oregon State.

449
00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:10,840
Speaker 4: They'll go to Corvallis that lose like they have everywhere

450
00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:15,000
Speaker 4: else over the last month. I do fear for the

451
00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:17,840
Speaker 4: for the poor one seed that's got to host Ole

452
00:21:17,920 --> 00:21:22,400
Speaker 4: miss as a three or four seed, but it looks

453
00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:25,320
Speaker 4: like they're gonna sneak in, so so good luck, good

454
00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:26,439
Speaker 4: luck to that one seed.

455
00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:28,160
Speaker 3: I wouldn't want to come across them.

456
00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 4: But all that's to say, I'll take your five hundred

457
00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:34,240
Speaker 4: dollars bet and uh, I'll be I'll be anti AC

458
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:37,639
Speaker 4: seed despite the fact that the ACC is awfully strong,

459
00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:40,000
Speaker 4: with what looks like to be eleven teams getting in

460
00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:40,880
Speaker 4: the tournament this year.

461
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, Brad mentioned three seeds that are coming on strong

462
00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:44,840
Speaker 1: that will be here next week.

463
00:21:44,840 --> 00:21:46,360
Speaker 2: We're gonna record next week, should.

464
00:21:46,160 --> 00:21:48,040
Speaker 1: Be out on Thursday for everybody that wants to bet

465
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:51,159
Speaker 1: on the regional starting on Friday. But our job is

466
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:53,679
Speaker 1: to next week come with you with two and three seeds.

467
00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:57,520
Speaker 1: Teams like Dallas Baptist, teams like n C State, uh,

468
00:21:57,560 --> 00:21:59,680
Speaker 1: you know, teams that are getting hot at the right time.

469
00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:01,760
Speaker 2: They're sliding these regionals full of fire.

470
00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,199
Speaker 1: So we will be here next week to break all

471
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,040
Speaker 1: that down about who you should take and where the

472
00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:09,399
Speaker 1: odds have value. Thanks to Brad for joining me, and

473
00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:11,639
Speaker 1: we will talk to you guys next week on the

474
00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:17,920
Speaker 1: road to Omaha.