1
00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:14,159
Speaker 1: What's up guys now?

2
00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:16,239
Speaker 2: Are you welcome into a Monday morning edition of The

3
00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,400
Speaker 2: Day Juice podcast with me Matt Paralt. You guys can

4
00:00:18,400 --> 00:00:20,720
Speaker 2: follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. You can

5
00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:23,720
Speaker 2: follow Betting Pros on Twitter at Betting Pros. The offer

6
00:00:23,720 --> 00:00:27,000
Speaker 2: from BETMGM, our title sponsors since the beginning of this

7
00:00:27,040 --> 00:00:30,880
Speaker 2: whole entire podcast always above me on YouTube ten dollars

8
00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:33,240
Speaker 2: bet to win one hundred and fifty dollars win or

9
00:00:33,280 --> 00:00:35,440
Speaker 2: lose on that wager if you use it for a

10
00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:38,720
Speaker 2: new account with BETMGM with the promo cod Juice one fifty.

11
00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:39,800
Speaker 1: All right, So.

12
00:00:41,360 --> 00:00:45,720
Speaker 2: I'm really cold and I often tell you guys when

13
00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:47,400
Speaker 2: I get to this point, start fading me.

14
00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:47,880
Speaker 1: Okay.

15
00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:52,360
Speaker 2: I also turtle when I'm getting killed like this. So

16
00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:57,160
Speaker 2: this was a really bad eight day stretch capped off

17
00:00:57,200 --> 00:01:00,320
Speaker 2: by a horrible Masters. The only thing we got right

18
00:01:00,560 --> 00:01:03,360
Speaker 2: was Cam Smith at plus one ten to be the

19
00:01:03,360 --> 00:01:07,920
Speaker 2: top Aussie. Everything else fell apart. Tiger made the cut,

20
00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:11,480
Speaker 2: didn't miss the cut. We had Victor hovelin yesterday he

21
00:01:11,560 --> 00:01:14,600
Speaker 2: gets beaten his head to head, we had a head

22
00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:16,640
Speaker 2: to head. We had Andrew Shoffley in a head to

23
00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:20,360
Speaker 2: head that didn't come in. What else did we miss?

24
00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:22,520
Speaker 2: We took Xander Schafley to win. It was only a

25
00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:24,800
Speaker 2: quarter unit. We took him to win the tournament. He

26
00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:29,039
Speaker 2: didn't make the cut yesterday. Tiger to make four birdies,

27
00:01:29,080 --> 00:01:32,920
Speaker 2: he made one, and cam Smith to shoot seventy or

28
00:01:32,959 --> 00:01:37,040
Speaker 2: better shot seventy three yesterday. That whole number twelve, that

29
00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:42,080
Speaker 2: par three swing buried us. We could have been okay,

30
00:01:42,600 --> 00:01:45,360
Speaker 2: cam Smith rallied, and if cam Smith played the way

31
00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:48,200
Speaker 2: I thought he was going to play, he could have been.

32
00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:51,240
Speaker 2: He could have saved the entire weekend for us. But instead,

33
00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:56,200
Speaker 2: it's a brutal one in four yesterday. I think it's

34
00:01:56,240 --> 00:01:59,480
Speaker 2: a five and nine three day stretch, and I think

35
00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:02,640
Speaker 2: we were down at least three units, if not more,

36
00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:04,960
Speaker 2: over the last five days. We could be it could

37
00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:07,960
Speaker 2: be four. So this is just getting. I mean, it

38
00:02:08,200 --> 00:02:12,160
Speaker 2: kills the bank roll. Even my other bets weren't cashing

39
00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:15,560
Speaker 2: like my other plays. And I mean sometimes the official

40
00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:18,320
Speaker 2: plays don't hit in my own plays, my.

41
00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:19,079
Speaker 1: Personal plays do.

42
00:02:19,800 --> 00:02:22,200
Speaker 2: Now personal places I have the I had the Cardinals

43
00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:24,880
Speaker 2: yesterday over four and a half on a team total.

44
00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:28,040
Speaker 2: Cardinals score three runs in the first inning, score one

45
00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:29,880
Speaker 2: more run the rest of the rest of the way

46
00:02:30,080 --> 00:02:33,840
Speaker 2: and they wind up with four runs. So look, fade away.

47
00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:38,320
Speaker 2: I have two bets going today. I have one hockey

48
00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:40,639
Speaker 2: bet and I have one baseball bet, and that is

49
00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:44,000
Speaker 2: all I am going to do for today. Officially, I

50
00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:47,720
Speaker 2: may come in, but there's no NBA because it's an

51
00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:50,480
Speaker 2: off day before the play in tournament starts, so we'll

52
00:02:50,480 --> 00:02:52,280
Speaker 2: have some stuff for the play in tournament. We'll get

53
00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:55,040
Speaker 2: rolling with that. But you know, look, I come here

54
00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:57,560
Speaker 2: every single day. I tell you what I am betting.

55
00:02:57,600 --> 00:03:00,079
Speaker 2: It's my job to make these bets and make these plays.

56
00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:00,960
Speaker 1: And I'm in a.

57
00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:04,000
Speaker 2: Much different spot than some of you. You all probably

58
00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:06,160
Speaker 2: can can relate to this, but I get paid to

59
00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:08,320
Speaker 2: do this, so I get paid to bed every day,

60
00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:11,040
Speaker 2: so I'm always in the black. And when I'm losing,

61
00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:13,680
Speaker 2: I'm not saying I like it, it sucks, but just

62
00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:16,200
Speaker 2: understand where I am and why I can come back

63
00:03:16,200 --> 00:03:18,480
Speaker 2: here and fire. If I was just on my own,

64
00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:21,280
Speaker 2: I would take a week off, Okay, I would just

65
00:03:21,320 --> 00:03:22,200
Speaker 2: go for a walk.

66
00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:24,840
Speaker 1: I would not there's no need, there's no.

67
00:03:24,919 --> 00:03:27,520
Speaker 2: Pressing thing, and you don't have to bet every day

68
00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:30,760
Speaker 2: when you're just not seeing the board right there's all sorts.

69
00:03:30,560 --> 00:03:33,440
Speaker 1: Of tricks I use. I work out, I go for runs,

70
00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:34,640
Speaker 1: I meditates.

71
00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:36,760
Speaker 2: I try to find any way just to kind of

72
00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:40,920
Speaker 2: rid myself of the negative juju to get myself going.

73
00:03:40,960 --> 00:03:43,920
Speaker 2: And I also bet small and I go small and

74
00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:46,520
Speaker 2: I go one unit a day until we start to

75
00:03:46,600 --> 00:03:49,840
Speaker 2: turn things around. So just a heads up as to

76
00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:53,040
Speaker 2: where I am. I appreciate all the kind words. You know,

77
00:03:53,120 --> 00:03:56,320
Speaker 2: it's great. The Daily Juice community is incredible. You guys,

78
00:03:56,880 --> 00:03:58,480
Speaker 2: you understand it, you get it.

79
00:03:58,640 --> 00:03:59,480
Speaker 1: You live the life.

80
00:03:59,640 --> 00:04:01,920
Speaker 2: You know what it's like when you're ice and you

81
00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:04,520
Speaker 2: you know, some people are jerks, but the vast majority

82
00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:09,480
Speaker 2: you guys are you know, much nicer better. I would

83
00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:14,000
Speaker 2: say so excited. So you know, I think you guys

84
00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:17,039
Speaker 2: support me in good ways and say, hey, you know,

85
00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:19,880
Speaker 2: keep your head up. You know, don't worry about it.

86
00:04:19,880 --> 00:04:22,280
Speaker 2: It sucks, but we're with you, and I appreciate that

87
00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:25,600
Speaker 2: I do. Okay, So one hockey play, one hockey game

88
00:04:25,960 --> 00:04:29,839
Speaker 2: going today, in one baseball play the hockey game Jets

89
00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:33,080
Speaker 2: Canadians total of six and a half. What do you

90
00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:35,440
Speaker 2: think we're going to bettle on this? Not betting under

91
00:04:35,920 --> 00:04:38,599
Speaker 2: and kidding me for the Jets who have lost four

92
00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:43,279
Speaker 2: straight games. Their games have gone with nine goals, four goals,

93
00:04:43,360 --> 00:04:47,720
Speaker 2: five goals, ten goals and five goals for the Canadiens.

94
00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:53,080
Speaker 2: It's been five eleven, nine nine four. The first time

95
00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:56,000
Speaker 2: these two teams played, the Jets won this game eight

96
00:04:56,400 --> 00:05:00,440
Speaker 2: to four. Montreal is ten twenty and four at home

97
00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:04,279
Speaker 2: straight up. Winnipeg is fifteen, thirteen and eight on the road.

98
00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:06,320
Speaker 2: But when you look at these teams in terms of

99
00:05:06,360 --> 00:05:09,800
Speaker 2: how they are to the total, Montreal is forty one,

100
00:05:10,040 --> 00:05:14,200
Speaker 2: twenty eight and two to the over. That is top

101
00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:18,360
Speaker 2: ten in the NHL, and top fifteen is Winnipeg at

102
00:05:18,440 --> 00:05:22,200
Speaker 2: thirty eight, thirty one and two half a unit. We're

103
00:05:22,240 --> 00:05:25,120
Speaker 2: going over six and a half goals for the Jets

104
00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:27,839
Speaker 2: and the Canadiens on a Monday. I don't care who's

105
00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:30,200
Speaker 2: in net. Could be any one of the goaltenders for

106
00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:34,760
Speaker 2: the Canadian ends. They all have goals against averages over three.

107
00:05:34,520 --> 00:05:37,600
Speaker 1: And a half. Okay, they give up a lot of goals.

108
00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:41,520
Speaker 2: And frankly, Winnipeg gives up goals as well, and Winnipeg

109
00:05:41,600 --> 00:05:45,360
Speaker 2: may score five goals themselves. This game probably is a

110
00:05:45,400 --> 00:05:47,520
Speaker 2: five to win for Winnipeg, but I'm not going to

111
00:05:47,600 --> 00:05:50,560
Speaker 2: trust it because Montreal can do some funky things at times.

112
00:05:50,680 --> 00:05:54,120
Speaker 2: I mean, Montreal won on the road at New Jersey

113
00:05:54,400 --> 00:05:58,120
Speaker 2: seven to four. They won at Tampa Bay and five

114
00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:00,000
Speaker 2: to four, Like, how is that possible?

115
00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:02,360
Speaker 1: They're at home here after this road trip.

116
00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:06,480
Speaker 2: They lost their last home game six to three to Ottawa,

117
00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:08,520
Speaker 2: so that could very well be the score here. But

118
00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:11,000
Speaker 2: Jets have lost four straight games, so I'm not going

119
00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:13,120
Speaker 2: to back them to win a game here. I just

120
00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:14,960
Speaker 2: think we're gonna see a lot of goals being scored

121
00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:18,480
Speaker 2: between Winnipeg and Montreal. Half a unit over six and

122
00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:22,839
Speaker 2: a half at minus one ten. Let me double check

123
00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:25,839
Speaker 2: and see what's the best number for that, because you

124
00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:31,000
Speaker 2: may get it may be juiced up just a little

125
00:06:31,040 --> 00:06:38,480
Speaker 2: bit here. Let me check something really quick, because yeah, no, okay,

126
00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:42,800
Speaker 2: it's it's it's six and a half at minus well

127
00:06:42,839 --> 00:06:46,240
Speaker 2: fandol wow fandos already at seven that's that's that's good.

128
00:06:46,400 --> 00:06:47,920
Speaker 1: Six and nine and six and a half in Vegas.

129
00:06:48,160 --> 00:06:51,120
Speaker 2: So where I got it tonight, And let's see where

130
00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:56,120
Speaker 2: you guys may get it with DraftKings here for uh so,

131
00:06:56,120 --> 00:06:57,839
Speaker 2: so hopefully by the time you guys get up, hopefully

132
00:06:57,839 --> 00:06:59,720
Speaker 2: you can find a six and a half because I

133
00:06:59,760 --> 00:07:01,560
Speaker 2: would I would play seven.

134
00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:04,040
Speaker 1: I mean sevens. I don't mind. Yeah, six and a half.

135
00:07:04,200 --> 00:07:07,360
Speaker 2: It's minus one fifteen at DraftKings, so it's minus one

136
00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:10,880
Speaker 2: ten in Vegas. Here here in overnight for in Vegas,

137
00:07:10,960 --> 00:07:13,000
Speaker 2: so six and a half over six and a half

138
00:07:13,040 --> 00:07:15,800
Speaker 2: minus one fifteen. We'll use the DraftKings number because you

139
00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:16,880
Speaker 2: guys can get access to that.

140
00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:17,800
Speaker 1: I don't have access to it.

141
00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:21,119
Speaker 2: So over six and a half Montreal and Winnipeg minus

142
00:07:21,120 --> 00:07:23,640
Speaker 2: one fifteen over six and a half for a half

143
00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:25,760
Speaker 2: a unit and the other half a unit.

144
00:07:26,880 --> 00:07:27,720
Speaker 1: We're gonna get in here.

145
00:07:27,720 --> 00:07:30,600
Speaker 2: And we talk about these San Francisco Giants hosting the

146
00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:32,960
Speaker 2: San Diego Padres, who have gotten off to a pretty

147
00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:36,160
Speaker 2: good start to the year. And look, it could be

148
00:07:36,160 --> 00:07:38,960
Speaker 2: one series. But I mean, people weren't really sure what

149
00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:41,120
Speaker 2: to make of San Diego and how good they were

150
00:07:41,160 --> 00:07:43,400
Speaker 2: going to be this year. But currently they're three and one.

151
00:07:43,880 --> 00:07:45,640
Speaker 2: They're in first place in the West. Might be the

152
00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:48,000
Speaker 2: only time they're in three and one. But this team

153
00:07:48,160 --> 00:07:52,280
Speaker 2: went in on the road to start the season against Arizona,

154
00:07:52,520 --> 00:07:55,000
Speaker 2: lost opening day and then won the next three, including

155
00:07:55,000 --> 00:07:58,720
Speaker 2: a ten to five win yesterday against the Diamondbacks. They've

156
00:07:58,760 --> 00:08:02,480
Speaker 2: scored two, three, five and ten runs so far. So

157
00:08:02,480 --> 00:08:06,360
Speaker 2: they've been scoring here. Okay, But if you look at

158
00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:08,600
Speaker 2: the way the Giants pitch and the fact that what

159
00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:11,240
Speaker 2: the Giants have going on here for this game, Giants

160
00:08:11,280 --> 00:08:15,280
Speaker 2: are throwing Alex Would against Nick Martinez. Nick Martinez not

161
00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:18,080
Speaker 2: pitched in Major League Baseball since twenty seventeen. Now, he

162
00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:20,880
Speaker 2: was dominant in Japan. Okay, he was really good in Japan.

163
00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:24,760
Speaker 2: But Alex Would a lefty, He's just one of the

164
00:08:24,760 --> 00:08:28,320
Speaker 2: best pitchers. I love the guy. I bet Logan Web

165
00:08:28,400 --> 00:08:30,480
Speaker 2: and Alex Would. Where the two guys. We bet a

166
00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:34,080
Speaker 2: ton last year with the Giants pitching rotation. We bet

167
00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:36,120
Speaker 2: on Logan Web in the last game, and the bullpen

168
00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:38,319
Speaker 2: burned us. So I'm not gonna play around with the

169
00:08:38,360 --> 00:08:41,920
Speaker 2: bullpen today. First five, now, you can bet on the

170
00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:45,880
Speaker 2: spread at minus a half a run and that's plus

171
00:08:45,920 --> 00:08:48,680
Speaker 2: money at plus one ten, or you can lay minus

172
00:08:48,720 --> 00:08:51,480
Speaker 2: one thirty five on the money line at bet MGM

173
00:08:51,640 --> 00:08:55,000
Speaker 2: for the first five here. This is a low scoring game.

174
00:08:55,320 --> 00:08:58,680
Speaker 2: There's a chance that these teams are tied after five, okay,

175
00:08:58,679 --> 00:09:01,360
Speaker 2: could be one to one after or five, two two

176
00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:04,079
Speaker 2: after five. So Because of that reason, I don't want

177
00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:06,200
Speaker 2: to lay the spread. It's not a lot of juice.

178
00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:09,400
Speaker 2: I'm getting ice cold, Okay, So I'm gonna lay the

179
00:09:09,480 --> 00:09:11,880
Speaker 2: juice here with Alex Webb going up. Sorry, I was

180
00:09:11,920 --> 00:09:14,560
Speaker 2: would rather going up against Nick Martinez. And let's hope

181
00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:18,040
Speaker 2: for a two to one lead after five for the Giants.

182
00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:20,520
Speaker 2: And when you bet the first five, this is always

183
00:09:20,640 --> 00:09:23,600
Speaker 2: you know, a rule of thumb, right, bet first five

184
00:09:23,920 --> 00:09:29,320
Speaker 2: home teams, but bet run line road teams. Okay, because

185
00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:32,839
Speaker 2: road teams bet in the ninth inning. Home teams don't.

186
00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:35,679
Speaker 2: Home teams bet bat in the fifth inning, and they

187
00:09:35,679 --> 00:09:37,520
Speaker 2: bat last. So if it's two to two going to

188
00:09:37,600 --> 00:09:40,480
Speaker 2: the fifth, when are the most runs scored in the

189
00:09:40,559 --> 00:09:41,920
Speaker 2: fifth or the sixth?

190
00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:42,320
Speaker 1: Okay?

191
00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:46,320
Speaker 2: Well you know mathematically on the stats, it'll show you

192
00:09:46,559 --> 00:09:49,240
Speaker 2: that wins. That's how we get more runs, right, either

193
00:09:49,280 --> 00:09:51,240
Speaker 2: the fifth inning or the sixth inning. There are runs

194
00:09:51,240 --> 00:09:54,800
Speaker 2: scored a ton in Major League Baseball. So hopefully we

195
00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:56,880
Speaker 2: see the Giants. But if it's a one one two two,

196
00:09:57,040 --> 00:09:59,560
Speaker 2: we push and we move on. Okay, if you bet

197
00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:02,680
Speaker 2: the spread, you lose Giants or plus money. But there's

198
00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:04,440
Speaker 2: a chance it's a one to one two two type

199
00:10:04,440 --> 00:10:07,880
Speaker 2: of games. So this is a six forty five West

200
00:10:07,880 --> 00:10:12,040
Speaker 2: Coast start late night game here for the for you

201
00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:15,280
Speaker 2: East coast guys. But I like the Giants first five

202
00:10:15,320 --> 00:10:18,960
Speaker 2: at minus one thirty five money line, not spread money

203
00:10:19,000 --> 00:10:22,440
Speaker 2: line at bet MGM mass one thirty five Giants against

204
00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:25,880
Speaker 2: the Padres. Take the Giants first five for a half

205
00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:29,280
Speaker 2: a unit. Okay, So look, we had a bad night

206
00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:31,200
Speaker 2: with the UFC. We got burned. You should have been

207
00:10:31,240 --> 00:10:34,480
Speaker 2: a two in one night, didn't get there. We're just

208
00:10:34,520 --> 00:10:37,000
Speaker 2: gonna kind of hurtle up here a little bit. NBA

209
00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:39,840
Speaker 2: playoffs get started. I can't wait to bet the NBA playoffs.

210
00:10:39,920 --> 00:10:41,680
Speaker 2: That's gonna be a lot of fun to get involved

211
00:10:41,920 --> 00:10:44,640
Speaker 2: and make bets in plays with the NBA playoffs starting tomorrow.

212
00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:46,240
Speaker 1: So let's go small today.

213
00:10:46,559 --> 00:10:49,120
Speaker 2: Let's lick my lick my wounds a little bit and

214
00:10:49,160 --> 00:10:52,280
Speaker 2: then get back after coming up for a Tuesday's Daily

215
00:10:52,360 --> 00:10:54,959
Speaker 2: Juice again, we're going over six and a half at

216
00:10:54,960 --> 00:10:57,960
Speaker 2: minus one fifteen for the Jets and the Canadians, and

217
00:10:57,960 --> 00:11:01,280
Speaker 2: we're going first five money line Giants over the Padres

218
00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:04,599
Speaker 2: at minas one thirty five for us here on a

219
00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:07,160
Speaker 2: Monday minus Matt Parralt to follow me on Twitter at

220
00:11:07,200 --> 00:11:10,680
Speaker 2: sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it's Delijuce podcast

221
00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:24,920
Speaker 2: as being brought to you by BETHAMGM