WEBVTT - The Week Everything Went Wrong

0:00:02.480 --> 0:00:07.080
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news.

0:00:07.920 --> 0:00:09.520
<v Speaker 2>Let me tell you we have a new star.

0:00:10.520 --> 0:00:14.680
<v Speaker 3>A star is born Elon mars Juson Kennemy.

0:00:14.880 --> 0:00:18.440
<v Speaker 4>He is the Thomas Edison plus plus plus of our age.

0:00:18.600 --> 0:00:21.040
<v Speaker 1>Probably his whole life is from a position of insecurity.

0:00:21.040 --> 0:00:21.800
<v Speaker 1>I feel for the guy.

0:00:22.040 --> 0:00:25.279
<v Speaker 5>I would say ninety eight percent really appreciate what he does.

0:00:25.400 --> 0:00:28.440
<v Speaker 5>But those two percent that are nasty, they are I'll

0:00:28.560 --> 0:00:30.000
<v Speaker 5>pay in four fos.

0:00:30.280 --> 0:00:32.280
<v Speaker 1>We were meant for great things in the United States

0:00:32.320 --> 0:00:36.400
<v Speaker 1>of America, and Elon reminds us of that we don't

0:00:36.440 --> 0:00:46.840
<v Speaker 1>have a fourth branch of governments called Elon Musk. Welcome

0:00:46.880 --> 0:00:50.920
<v Speaker 1>to elan Ing, Bloomberg's weekly podcast about Elon Musk. It's Tuesday,

0:00:51.040 --> 0:00:56.040
<v Speaker 1>March eleventh. I'm your host, David Popadopolis. So this is

0:00:56.080 --> 0:00:59.320
<v Speaker 1>what a bad week looks like. I mean a very

0:00:59.440 --> 0:01:03.000
<v Speaker 1>very bad week for Elon. Not only has Tesla stock

0:01:03.080 --> 0:01:07.280
<v Speaker 1>continued a crater it dropped fifteen percent on Monday alone,

0:01:08.280 --> 0:01:10.640
<v Speaker 1>but he seems to be losing on all fronts right now.

0:01:11.280 --> 0:01:15.160
<v Speaker 1>X was hit by sporadic outages Monday that Elon blamed

0:01:15.200 --> 0:01:18.360
<v Speaker 1>on hackers. A SpaceX rocket blow up, rain debris and

0:01:18.400 --> 0:01:22.320
<v Speaker 1>grounded flights at airports in Florida. Doge is running into

0:01:22.360 --> 0:01:25.120
<v Speaker 1>more and more roadblocks from both the courts and from

0:01:25.160 --> 0:01:28.880
<v Speaker 1>within the Trump administration itself. Mosk, through it all, is

0:01:28.920 --> 0:01:31.800
<v Speaker 1>putting on a brave face, setting his sights on bigger

0:01:31.800 --> 0:01:34.080
<v Speaker 1>and boulder things for Doge to cut from the budget.

0:01:34.600 --> 0:01:37.520
<v Speaker 1>But has he backed himself into a corner. Here to

0:01:37.600 --> 0:01:41.200
<v Speaker 1>discuss all this, we have our trusty muscologists, Max Chaffkin

0:01:41.240 --> 0:01:44.959
<v Speaker 1>and Dana Hall. Hello to you both, Hey, David, Dana,

0:01:45.000 --> 0:01:46.360
<v Speaker 1>how are you good?

0:01:46.400 --> 0:01:47.520
<v Speaker 4>Good? Good to be here?

0:01:47.800 --> 0:01:50.480
<v Speaker 1>Okay? And then later on in the episode, Bloomberg Stocks

0:01:50.560 --> 0:01:53.680
<v Speaker 1>reporter Esha Day will join us to talk all about

0:01:53.760 --> 0:01:59.800
<v Speaker 1>Tesla's free fall. Okay, Dana, So let's start by going

0:02:00.320 --> 0:02:02.360
<v Speaker 1>a little bit to the tail end of last week

0:02:02.560 --> 0:02:05.000
<v Speaker 1>for those who may have missed it. There was a

0:02:05.160 --> 0:02:09.440
<v Speaker 1>cabinet meeting in Washington that Musk attended and it got

0:02:09.480 --> 0:02:11.600
<v Speaker 1>a little sporty. Tell us what happened.

0:02:11.840 --> 0:02:14.080
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So what was interesting is that this cabinet meeting

0:02:14.160 --> 0:02:17.880
<v Speaker 4>was not on the president's daily schedule. But Sean Duffy,

0:02:17.960 --> 0:02:21.240
<v Speaker 4>the Transportation Secretary, posted on x that he was like

0:02:21.320 --> 0:02:23.560
<v Speaker 4>headed into a cabinet meeting, And so we were like, wait, what,

0:02:23.680 --> 0:02:26.800
<v Speaker 4>there's a cabinet meeting, And then The New York Times

0:02:26.840 --> 0:02:31.280
<v Speaker 4>reported that the things got pretty spicy. Apparently there was

0:02:31.320 --> 0:02:35.440
<v Speaker 4>like a testy exchange between Musk and Marco Ribio about

0:02:35.480 --> 0:02:38.519
<v Speaker 4>cuts at the Department of State, and then you know,

0:02:38.600 --> 0:02:41.040
<v Speaker 4>Musk was basically saying that these guys weren't cutting fast

0:02:41.120 --> 0:02:43.480
<v Speaker 4>enough or deep enough, and then there was sort of

0:02:43.480 --> 0:02:46.320
<v Speaker 4>pushback from the cabinets. Duffy was saying, you know, you

0:02:46.360 --> 0:02:48.600
<v Speaker 4>want me to fire all these air traffic controllers and

0:02:48.639 --> 0:02:51.360
<v Speaker 4>I've got planes falling out of the sky. And The

0:02:51.360 --> 0:02:53.640
<v Speaker 4>New York Times reported that that Trump was kind of

0:02:53.639 --> 0:02:56.320
<v Speaker 4>like watching these exchanges, ping pong back and forth, like

0:02:56.440 --> 0:02:58.760
<v Speaker 4>almost like he was watching a tennis match, and then

0:02:59.160 --> 0:03:02.600
<v Speaker 4>the kind of upshe is that Trump then basically said

0:03:02.639 --> 0:03:05.880
<v Speaker 4>that Doge is like an advisor, but that the deep

0:03:05.960 --> 0:03:09.160
<v Speaker 4>cuts are, you know, in the province of the Cabinet secretary.

0:03:09.240 --> 0:03:09.680
<v Speaker 3>So there's like a.

0:03:09.680 --> 0:03:11.240
<v Speaker 4>Little bit of a power struggle going on.

0:03:11.360 --> 0:03:11.560
<v Speaker 3>You know.

0:03:11.600 --> 0:03:14.920
<v Speaker 4>Obviously I wasn't at the meeting, would love a readout

0:03:14.960 --> 0:03:16.960
<v Speaker 4>if you were, but it's just like the sort of

0:03:16.960 --> 0:03:20.120
<v Speaker 4>the first sign that there is tension between Musk and

0:03:20.160 --> 0:03:23.399
<v Speaker 4>the Cabinet secretaries about how these agencies are basically being

0:03:23.440 --> 0:03:24.600
<v Speaker 4>overtaken by Doge.

0:03:24.840 --> 0:03:28.280
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and just add one think, Trump after this meeting

0:03:28.880 --> 0:03:31.480
<v Speaker 3>did a truth which is, you know, the truth social

0:03:31.560 --> 0:03:35.200
<v Speaker 3>version of a tweet Nique a Nicks. And he essentially said,

0:03:35.320 --> 0:03:36.880
<v Speaker 3>we're not going to use a hatchet. We're going to

0:03:37.000 --> 0:03:42.360
<v Speaker 3>use a scalpel, which feels like a implicit rebuke or

0:03:42.360 --> 0:03:45.040
<v Speaker 3>correction or something to Elon Musk. Of course, in the

0:03:45.040 --> 0:03:47.880
<v Speaker 3>next paragraph he talked all about how great a job

0:03:48.080 --> 0:03:51.560
<v Speaker 3>Elon Musk is doing, and Musk when he posted this,

0:03:52.480 --> 0:03:55.240
<v Speaker 3>he only posted a portion of the truth. He posted

0:03:55.240 --> 0:03:58.440
<v Speaker 3>the second paragraph, not the one about the scalpel.

0:03:58.720 --> 0:04:02.480
<v Speaker 4>It's fascinating that we've gone from Musk wielding a chainsaw

0:04:02.960 --> 0:04:06.640
<v Speaker 4>at SAPAC to Trump saying we're not going to use

0:04:06.680 --> 0:04:08.560
<v Speaker 4>a hatchet, We're going to use a scalpel. So like

0:04:08.600 --> 0:04:11.600
<v Speaker 4>what's next, like tweezers, like we're going down We're going

0:04:11.640 --> 0:04:14.960
<v Speaker 4>downstream in terms of like the size and scope of

0:04:15.000 --> 0:04:16.480
<v Speaker 4>the of the implement.

0:04:16.120 --> 0:04:20.560
<v Speaker 1>Here, clearly here max hard to interpret this any other way.

0:04:20.880 --> 0:04:23.479
<v Speaker 1>Even though the reporting from inside the room that we

0:04:23.560 --> 0:04:26.320
<v Speaker 1>saw in The Times and in other places, mostly the Times,

0:04:26.960 --> 0:04:31.599
<v Speaker 1>did make it clear that Musk certainly counterpunched and was

0:04:31.720 --> 0:04:34.679
<v Speaker 1>effective to a degree, but it's really hard to interpret

0:04:34.720 --> 0:04:37.680
<v Speaker 1>it any other way than it was a defeat and

0:04:37.720 --> 0:04:39.480
<v Speaker 1>a setback for his endeavor.

0:04:40.240 --> 0:04:45.000
<v Speaker 3>I think Musk has struggled to some extent to transition

0:04:45.200 --> 0:04:48.400
<v Speaker 3>from the kind of realities of campaigning, and even in

0:04:48.440 --> 0:04:54.039
<v Speaker 3>the transition, when there weren't these Senate confirmed appointees taking

0:04:54.080 --> 0:04:57.440
<v Speaker 3>responsibility for these agencies. So like, what's changed now is

0:04:57.480 --> 0:05:00.279
<v Speaker 3>you have Marco Rubio in charge of the Department State,

0:05:00.320 --> 0:05:02.680
<v Speaker 3>Shawn Duffy in charge of the Department of Transportation. If

0:05:02.680 --> 0:05:07.000
<v Speaker 3>a plane crashes tomorrow, God forbid, Shaw Duffy is the

0:05:07.000 --> 0:05:09.520
<v Speaker 3>one who's gonna have to answer questions, not Elon Musk,

0:05:09.560 --> 0:05:11.640
<v Speaker 3>no matter what Elon Musk does, no matter how you know,

0:05:11.640 --> 0:05:14.479
<v Speaker 3>what his influence is. And that is creating pressure on

0:05:14.560 --> 0:05:18.679
<v Speaker 3>these cabinet appointees, which is now a counterweight to Elon Musk.

0:05:18.720 --> 0:05:20.480
<v Speaker 3>And I think so, and I think that's what we're seeing.

0:05:21.080 --> 0:05:24.000
<v Speaker 3>This was inevitable, this was going to happen, and here

0:05:24.000 --> 0:05:26.839
<v Speaker 3>we are it is happening because of course, none of

0:05:26.839 --> 0:05:29.839
<v Speaker 3>these Cabinet secretary, as much as they agree maybe in

0:05:29.920 --> 0:05:33.880
<v Speaker 3>principle with the idea of cutting government spending. None of

0:05:33.920 --> 0:05:37.000
<v Speaker 3>them want their departments to be cut too much, and

0:05:37.000 --> 0:05:39.839
<v Speaker 3>they're going to be concerned, especially given musks, you know,

0:05:39.960 --> 0:05:44.200
<v Speaker 3>pension for willy nilly, you know, cut now, ask questions later.

0:05:44.320 --> 0:05:47.640
<v Speaker 1>So, Dana, it strikes me that what we're seeing a

0:05:47.720 --> 0:05:52.120
<v Speaker 1>little bit here is the classic musk of putting my

0:05:52.240 --> 0:05:56.200
<v Speaker 1>head down. I'm just efing going for it. Balls to

0:05:56.279 --> 0:05:58.600
<v Speaker 1>the wall, to hell with everyone. We're just going to

0:05:58.680 --> 0:06:00.840
<v Speaker 1>go full speed ahead and just see what that what

0:06:00.880 --> 0:06:03.760
<v Speaker 1>the hell comes out of it. All that may work

0:06:03.800 --> 0:06:06.560
<v Speaker 1>to a certain degree at Tesla, at X and at

0:06:06.600 --> 0:06:10.120
<v Speaker 1>other places, but right as Max is getting out here,

0:06:10.279 --> 0:06:12.920
<v Speaker 1>the political reality of trying to do that in Washington,

0:06:13.040 --> 0:06:15.200
<v Speaker 1>it's just a it's just a different dynamic.

0:06:15.640 --> 0:06:15.880
<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

0:06:16.040 --> 0:06:18.840
<v Speaker 4>But he's also it's also making him dig in even

0:06:18.880 --> 0:06:22.080
<v Speaker 4>more because he's saying things like, well, it's like the

0:06:22.120 --> 0:06:25.560
<v Speaker 4>ideas that the quote unquote deeed State is squealing and

0:06:25.640 --> 0:06:28.680
<v Speaker 4>like you know, all of the Democrats who are in

0:06:28.720 --> 0:06:31.440
<v Speaker 4>on this or of course they're responding, and that he's

0:06:31.480 --> 0:06:34.520
<v Speaker 4>fabricated this whole thing in his mind where you know,

0:06:34.600 --> 0:06:37.960
<v Speaker 4>the media and the NGOs and government employees and federal

0:06:38.000 --> 0:06:41.400
<v Speaker 4>workers and contractors and George Soros are like all in

0:06:41.480 --> 0:06:44.960
<v Speaker 4>on this, like massive grift that he alone is like

0:06:45.120 --> 0:06:50.320
<v Speaker 4>untangling for the world. But it is fundamentally like a

0:06:50.400 --> 0:06:54.480
<v Speaker 4>misunderstanding of how bureaucracy works and how you know many

0:06:54.520 --> 0:06:56.520
<v Speaker 4>of these people are lifelong civil servants.

0:06:56.760 --> 0:07:00.000
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so we actually have him, Dana in his own

0:07:00.160 --> 0:07:04.200
<v Speaker 1>words here he is speaking on Fox Business with Larry Kudlow.

0:07:04.360 --> 0:07:05.000
<v Speaker 1>Let's listen to that.

0:07:05.360 --> 0:07:08.160
<v Speaker 5>You're giving up your other stuff? I mean, how are

0:07:08.160 --> 0:07:10.080
<v Speaker 5>you running your other businesses.

0:07:11.280 --> 0:07:15.160
<v Speaker 2>With great difficulty? Yeah, I mean that.

0:07:15.160 --> 0:07:16.200
<v Speaker 5>There's no turning back.

0:07:16.240 --> 0:07:22.040
<v Speaker 2>You're saying, I'm just here trying to make government more efficient.

0:07:22.800 --> 0:07:25.520
<v Speaker 1>Okay, So Max, I know I said at the top

0:07:25.720 --> 0:07:28.080
<v Speaker 1>that Musk is putting a brave face on it all.

0:07:28.560 --> 0:07:30.960
<v Speaker 1>But man, those were some deep size.

0:07:31.160 --> 0:07:33.360
<v Speaker 3>You know, he does this and like that part.

0:07:33.400 --> 0:07:35.520
<v Speaker 1>Do you think it's just for you think it's it's No.

0:07:36.480 --> 0:07:39.080
<v Speaker 3>I think it's both a performance, but I think it

0:07:39.160 --> 0:07:42.560
<v Speaker 3>is also genuine, right, Like, I mean, obviously he is

0:07:42.640 --> 0:07:47.320
<v Speaker 3>struggling to run his companies and do the job that

0:07:47.360 --> 0:07:51.360
<v Speaker 3>he's doing, as his comments indicate. I do think that

0:07:51.440 --> 0:07:55.440
<v Speaker 3>there are ways in which the kind of the sort

0:07:55.480 --> 0:07:58.200
<v Speaker 3>of practical ins and outs of what he's trying to

0:07:58.200 --> 0:08:01.080
<v Speaker 3>do in government, and also the kind of impression, the

0:08:01.120 --> 0:08:03.400
<v Speaker 3>branding of what he's trying to do conflicts with who

0:08:03.400 --> 0:08:06.120
<v Speaker 3>he is. Like his thing in the past has been

0:08:06.560 --> 0:08:10.640
<v Speaker 3>putting himself almost deliberately into these crises and sleeping on

0:08:10.680 --> 0:08:14.680
<v Speaker 3>the floor, which you know, dramatically right. But now like suddenly,

0:08:14.760 --> 0:08:17.760
<v Speaker 3>this this performance is coming off a little bit differently,

0:08:18.000 --> 0:08:22.040
<v Speaker 3>partly because what he's doing is just like fundamentally not

0:08:22.080 --> 0:08:26.239
<v Speaker 3>gonna be as popular as building an awesome, super fast,

0:08:26.360 --> 0:08:29.320
<v Speaker 3>super cool electric car, you know, or whatever, and or

0:08:29.640 --> 0:08:33.360
<v Speaker 3>taking the planet in mars, like like being really good

0:08:33.679 --> 0:08:37.480
<v Speaker 3>at like cutting parts of the federal budget, even if

0:08:37.520 --> 0:08:39.319
<v Speaker 3>you're awesome at it, even if there's none of the

0:08:39.760 --> 0:08:42.280
<v Speaker 3>sort of negative press, even if you don't accidentally fire

0:08:42.559 --> 0:08:45.440
<v Speaker 3>you know, a bunch of nuclear engineers or air traffic controllers,

0:08:45.520 --> 0:08:47.560
<v Speaker 3>Like I still think it's just inherently not gonna be

0:08:47.960 --> 0:08:52.520
<v Speaker 3>as cool. And then when he admits like, yeah, it's tough,

0:08:52.760 --> 0:08:55.120
<v Speaker 3>Like if I'm an investor in one of these other companies,

0:08:55.760 --> 0:08:58.360
<v Speaker 3>like ooh, this is gonna give me a feeling that

0:08:58.520 --> 0:09:00.800
<v Speaker 3>is not great. It's gonna confirm some of maybe my

0:09:00.960 --> 0:09:04.440
<v Speaker 3>worst fears about what where this thing is leading where

0:09:04.679 --> 0:09:07.640
<v Speaker 3>Musk is at once distracted so that he's not spending

0:09:07.640 --> 0:09:10.160
<v Speaker 3>as much time with the companies as he once did obviously,

0:09:10.440 --> 0:09:13.000
<v Speaker 3>but also eroding his brand. And I'm just sort of

0:09:13.000 --> 0:09:16.400
<v Speaker 3>watching my investments lose value day by day.

0:09:16.640 --> 0:09:21.000
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, So, Dana, those size bring me to a question

0:09:21.080 --> 0:09:23.280
<v Speaker 1>that I meant to and failed to ask last week.

0:09:23.320 --> 0:09:27.120
<v Speaker 1>So I will ask you it now. Elon Musk, knowing

0:09:27.200 --> 0:09:31.040
<v Speaker 1>what he knows now, had he known this on oh,

0:09:31.120 --> 0:09:34.600
<v Speaker 1>I don't know, say June the first of last year,

0:09:35.160 --> 0:09:39.520
<v Speaker 1>or October the first of last year, or November fifth,

0:09:40.440 --> 0:09:43.319
<v Speaker 1>would he say yes to doing it all over again?

0:09:44.480 --> 0:09:44.720
<v Speaker 2>Yes?

0:09:44.840 --> 0:09:47.360
<v Speaker 4>I mean this is why he donated to Trump's campaign

0:09:47.520 --> 0:09:50.520
<v Speaker 4>and he pitched this idea. Like Elon Musk has has

0:09:50.520 --> 0:09:54.440
<v Speaker 4>always been driven by two goals, getting to Mars and

0:09:54.559 --> 0:09:58.320
<v Speaker 4>getting rid of regulation. Those are that is what is

0:09:58.400 --> 0:10:01.400
<v Speaker 4>driving him. Maybe he didn't expected to be so bumpy.

0:10:01.760 --> 0:10:05.240
<v Speaker 4>Maybe he expected more people to like applaud his efforts

0:10:05.320 --> 0:10:07.560
<v Speaker 4>and not to get the kind of pushback that he's getting.

0:10:07.600 --> 0:10:10.640
<v Speaker 4>I mean, you're seeing all these protests at the Tesla showrooms.

0:10:10.760 --> 0:10:13.000
<v Speaker 4>But no, I mean I think that you know this

0:10:13.120 --> 0:10:16.320
<v Speaker 4>is like he proposed this idea that there is a

0:10:16.360 --> 0:10:18.200
<v Speaker 4>reason why he donated to the campaign.

0:10:18.440 --> 0:10:20.800
<v Speaker 1>And but so so you don't think you don't think

0:10:20.840 --> 0:10:23.240
<v Speaker 1>he feels like in hindsight, it was just a bridge

0:10:23.280 --> 0:10:23.640
<v Speaker 1>too far.

0:10:24.880 --> 0:10:27.400
<v Speaker 4>No, because he loves to create. This is sort of

0:10:27.400 --> 0:10:29.960
<v Speaker 4>who he is. Like, and I've been through so many

0:10:30.000 --> 0:10:33.840
<v Speaker 4>cycles of this with Elon before, and it's like every

0:10:33.880 --> 0:10:36.120
<v Speaker 4>time we get to like a new quote unquote crisis,

0:10:36.120 --> 0:10:38.400
<v Speaker 4>everyone's like, oh my god, this is it. But like

0:10:38.520 --> 0:10:41.280
<v Speaker 4>we've been through this countless times. In twenty eighteen, when

0:10:41.280 --> 0:10:44.120
<v Speaker 4>he tried to like fake the buyout of going private

0:10:44.320 --> 0:10:47.000
<v Speaker 4>and when he bought Twitter, like everyone was like, oh

0:10:47.000 --> 0:10:48.800
<v Speaker 4>my god, Like this is the end. He's going to

0:10:48.840 --> 0:10:49.600
<v Speaker 4>be so distracted.

0:10:49.600 --> 0:10:51.600
<v Speaker 1>And then you're telling me, you're telling me he actually

0:10:51.640 --> 0:10:55.360
<v Speaker 1>loves this. He's this is his this is his Okay.

0:10:54.960 --> 0:10:58.920
<v Speaker 4>Yes, he creates chaos on purpose, right, Okay, that's how

0:10:58.960 --> 0:10:59.959
<v Speaker 4>he throws That's how he.

0:11:00.520 --> 0:11:02.920
<v Speaker 1>Okay, we need to move on from Washington and go

0:11:03.000 --> 0:11:07.280
<v Speaker 1>to x, which was down for users at different parts

0:11:07.320 --> 0:11:10.240
<v Speaker 1>of the day yesterday. Max tell us what transpired.

0:11:10.760 --> 0:11:15.319
<v Speaker 3>You know X Twitter has long had issues with uptime.

0:11:15.960 --> 0:11:18.839
<v Speaker 3>This is a site that gets at times like huge

0:11:19.040 --> 0:11:21.760
<v Speaker 3>amounts of traffic and you know, over the years, like

0:11:22.040 --> 0:11:26.199
<v Speaker 3>has gone down numerous times. There have also been numerous

0:11:26.480 --> 0:11:28.640
<v Speaker 3>incidents like this where there's some sort of denial of

0:11:28.679 --> 0:11:31.720
<v Speaker 3>service attack or cyber attack. The site went down yesterday,

0:11:31.760 --> 0:11:34.960
<v Speaker 3>I should say, there were sort of intermittent outages over

0:11:35.000 --> 0:11:37.920
<v Speaker 3>a period of time across you know, a number of countries.

0:11:38.280 --> 0:11:40.360
<v Speaker 3>I was not able to use it, you know, you

0:11:40.400 --> 0:11:44.000
<v Speaker 3>know me, I'm a big X user. I was not

0:11:44.040 --> 0:11:46.080
<v Speaker 3>able to get on weeks from no weeks is I

0:11:46.080 --> 0:11:48.360
<v Speaker 3>was not able to get on for hours yesterday. So

0:11:48.840 --> 0:11:50.880
<v Speaker 3>from my own personal experience.

0:11:50.480 --> 0:11:52.400
<v Speaker 1>Is that why you're in such a crappy mood today?

0:11:52.440 --> 0:11:55.640
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I didn't get my fixed. It seemed like a

0:11:55.760 --> 0:11:59.959
<v Speaker 3>particularly bad, you know, sort of crash or whatever.

0:12:00.120 --> 0:12:02.119
<v Speaker 1>Any work of the Ukrainian he blamed.

0:12:02.280 --> 0:12:04.600
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, well he said he didn't exactly say that. He

0:12:04.640 --> 0:12:07.680
<v Speaker 3>said there were IP addresses in Ukraine. Of course, he's

0:12:07.679 --> 0:12:12.079
<v Speaker 3>What he's trying to do is suggest that somehow Zelenski,

0:12:12.120 --> 0:12:14.080
<v Speaker 3>in addition to like not saying thank you or something,

0:12:14.160 --> 0:12:19.600
<v Speaker 3>set the hackers on Twitter. Certainly possible, although there is

0:12:19.640 --> 0:12:23.000
<v Speaker 3>a group, a hacking group that has taken responsibility. They're

0:12:23.280 --> 0:12:29.280
<v Speaker 3>a sort of pro Palestinian aligned hacker collective. So again,

0:12:29.679 --> 0:12:32.079
<v Speaker 3>we don't I don't think we know yet who did it,

0:12:32.320 --> 0:12:35.200
<v Speaker 3>But of course it's not good for business and it

0:12:35.360 --> 0:12:37.920
<v Speaker 3>and when you when you layer in all of the

0:12:37.960 --> 0:12:40.440
<v Speaker 3>other things that we're going to be talking about, it

0:12:40.480 --> 0:12:46.199
<v Speaker 3>doesn't necessarily communicate command or having having their stuff together.

0:12:46.000 --> 0:12:52.160
<v Speaker 1>No, Dana. Meanwhile, a SpaceX rocket launch late last week

0:12:52.840 --> 0:12:55.400
<v Speaker 1>was quite a show, but I suppose for for the

0:12:55.400 --> 0:12:56.160
<v Speaker 1>wrong reasons.

0:12:56.520 --> 0:12:58.840
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean, it launched okay, but then it blew

0:12:58.880 --> 0:13:02.160
<v Speaker 4>apart and then debris kind of like closed air travel

0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:04.280
<v Speaker 4>in Florida for a little while. I mean, I think,

0:13:04.440 --> 0:13:09.360
<v Speaker 4>you know, in SpaceX's defense, they would argue that every

0:13:09.440 --> 0:13:11.600
<v Speaker 4>time they have a mistake, they learn from it, they

0:13:11.600 --> 0:13:14.600
<v Speaker 4>get better, they iterate, they improve on things like you

0:13:14.640 --> 0:13:17.559
<v Speaker 4>don't make advances in sciences and technology without a lot

0:13:17.600 --> 0:13:21.040
<v Speaker 4>of experimentation. But you know, Musk has always been someone

0:13:21.040 --> 0:13:23.280
<v Speaker 4>who is spinning a lot of plates. And as Max

0:13:23.320 --> 0:13:26.319
<v Speaker 4>and I wrote earlier this year, you know, he is

0:13:26.400 --> 0:13:28.880
<v Speaker 4>running six companies and now he's got a seventh, which

0:13:28.880 --> 0:13:30.920
<v Speaker 4>is running the government. And it's only a matter of

0:13:30.920 --> 0:13:33.559
<v Speaker 4>time before like one of those plates comes crashing down.

0:13:33.760 --> 0:13:36.440
<v Speaker 4>So how long he can keep them all spinning as

0:13:36.480 --> 0:13:39.079
<v Speaker 4>anyone's guest, but he's we've sort of been in these

0:13:39.120 --> 0:13:40.320
<v Speaker 4>crisis moments before.

0:13:40.800 --> 0:13:45.160
<v Speaker 1>So Max Dana points out that SpaceX and Musk love

0:13:45.240 --> 0:13:47.360
<v Speaker 1>to learn and iterate from these blow ups, and they

0:13:47.440 --> 0:13:50.600
<v Speaker 1>kind of, to a certain extent almost even enjoy them

0:13:50.720 --> 0:13:52.600
<v Speaker 1>in the sense that they then get to autopsy the

0:13:52.600 --> 0:13:56.240
<v Speaker 1>whole thing and go on. That's fine, learning and iterating

0:13:56.320 --> 0:14:00.000
<v Speaker 1>is one thing. But raining so much to debris down

0:14:00.360 --> 0:14:03.319
<v Speaker 1>that airports are shut down for a while, Is that okay?

0:14:03.360 --> 0:14:04.200
<v Speaker 1>Is that normal?

0:14:04.760 --> 0:14:05.000
<v Speaker 5>No?

0:14:05.400 --> 0:14:09.000
<v Speaker 3>And it's not. And so obviously yes, it's true that

0:14:09.160 --> 0:14:11.760
<v Speaker 3>like they're not going to get to Mars or even

0:14:11.800 --> 0:14:16.319
<v Speaker 3>get this uh spacecraft working on one launch. By design,

0:14:16.640 --> 0:14:19.400
<v Speaker 3>these things are are not going to work out. They're

0:14:19.440 --> 0:14:22.680
<v Speaker 3>not launching any real cargo yet. For this very reason,

0:14:22.720 --> 0:14:25.400
<v Speaker 3>I believe there were some rocket was by the way,

0:14:25.440 --> 0:14:27.800
<v Speaker 3>this was a starship rocket. This is the This is

0:14:27.840 --> 0:14:32.320
<v Speaker 3>the spacecraft that Elon Musk sees as the Mars vehicle

0:14:32.720 --> 0:14:37.080
<v Speaker 3>for now, though SpaceX has a contract to land this

0:14:37.120 --> 0:14:41.400
<v Speaker 3>is a lunar landing craft for for the Moon mission, right,

0:14:41.440 --> 0:14:43.480
<v Speaker 3>but musks that that's the contract that they have.

0:14:43.760 --> 0:14:44.920
<v Speaker 1>Moon is for losers.

0:14:45.120 --> 0:14:48.080
<v Speaker 3>That's what Elon Musk says, but now, but the challenge

0:14:48.080 --> 0:14:51.520
<v Speaker 3>here is that, well, first of all, one challenge is

0:14:51.560 --> 0:14:53.960
<v Speaker 3>there are a lot of people who who don't think

0:14:54.000 --> 0:14:56.680
<v Speaker 3>the Moon is for losers, and and those people include

0:14:56.840 --> 0:15:01.000
<v Speaker 3>many of the other companies who have contracts UH to

0:15:01.480 --> 0:15:04.440
<v Speaker 3>send people and parts and so on to the Moon.

0:15:04.760 --> 0:15:07.600
<v Speaker 3>There is going to be political opposition. There already is

0:15:07.640 --> 0:15:10.840
<v Speaker 3>political opposition to any effort to sort of like as

0:15:10.920 --> 0:15:13.480
<v Speaker 3>Musk has sort of hinted, like, cancel the Artemist program,

0:15:13.520 --> 0:15:15.520
<v Speaker 3>which is the Moon program and replace it with a

0:15:15.520 --> 0:15:19.360
<v Speaker 3>Mars program. The other day, Trump actually brought up Mars

0:15:19.400 --> 0:15:22.080
<v Speaker 3>and said it, well, it's it's not that big a priority,

0:15:22.320 --> 0:15:25.960
<v Speaker 3>which I would say is in start contrast to how

0:15:25.960 --> 0:15:30.440
<v Speaker 3>Elon Musk s is it. These launches are have scientific

0:15:30.720 --> 0:15:34.080
<v Speaker 3>and engineering value, but they also are political. And we

0:15:34.200 --> 0:15:38.080
<v Speaker 3>learned that during the campaign trail when Trump over and

0:15:38.280 --> 0:15:41.760
<v Speaker 3>over and over again talked about how beautiful it was,

0:15:41.800 --> 0:15:43.960
<v Speaker 3>how amazing the arms they lived. You know, we all

0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:45.840
<v Speaker 3>heard this over and over again. Dan and I heard

0:15:45.880 --> 0:15:50.480
<v Speaker 3>it in person in Madison Square Garden. Trump loves like

0:15:50.560 --> 0:15:53.360
<v Speaker 3>cradling a baby like Trump loves to talk about it

0:15:53.400 --> 0:15:55.600
<v Speaker 3>because and of course he loves it because it is

0:15:55.720 --> 0:16:00.320
<v Speaker 3>like a perfect illustration of Elon Musk's competence and at

0:16:00.760 --> 0:16:04.240
<v Speaker 3>and so when we see the opposite, it doesn't convey that,

0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:07.000
<v Speaker 3>and it makes it all the harder for Elon Musk

0:16:07.040 --> 0:16:09.840
<v Speaker 3>to argue that the United States should bet on this

0:16:09.880 --> 0:16:13.480
<v Speaker 3>technology which is a new technology, which is not totally

0:16:13.480 --> 0:16:17.200
<v Speaker 3>figured out, which could fail. Right, Like, so, yes, the

0:16:17.280 --> 0:16:20.520
<v Speaker 3>failures are by design, but they're not good.

0:16:20.960 --> 0:16:23.800
<v Speaker 1>As we wrap this segment here, Max, I'll just say

0:16:23.880 --> 0:16:27.840
<v Speaker 1>that Musk, like I knows that stocks go to the moon,

0:16:28.400 --> 0:16:31.640
<v Speaker 1>starships go to Mars. Come on, I don't.

0:16:32.240 --> 0:16:33.520
<v Speaker 3>I don't totally know what that means.

0:16:33.520 --> 0:16:42.200
<v Speaker 1>But okay, all right, okay, So we're now joined by

0:16:42.840 --> 0:16:45.640
<v Speaker 1>stocks reporter Esha Day. Hello, Esha, welcome back.

0:16:46.040 --> 0:16:46.320
<v Speaker 2>Hello.

0:16:46.960 --> 0:16:49.280
<v Speaker 1>So I told you to come back on when you

0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:53.400
<v Speaker 1>had something interesting to talk about, and man, do you

0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:58.120
<v Speaker 1>so the Tesla, the stock has been in free fall,

0:16:58.560 --> 0:17:01.080
<v Speaker 1>notwithstanding a little bit of a bump back up today.

0:17:01.360 --> 0:17:05.360
<v Speaker 1>Hit us to start with with some superlatives that capture

0:17:05.480 --> 0:17:06.960
<v Speaker 1>the move in recent days.

0:17:07.240 --> 0:17:10.720
<v Speaker 5>Sure, let me absolutely spoil you here. So Tesla says

0:17:10.800 --> 0:17:14.240
<v Speaker 5>a down forty five percent last I checked for the year.

0:17:14.800 --> 0:17:16.119
<v Speaker 2>It's really volatile today.

0:17:16.160 --> 0:17:19.120
<v Speaker 5>But let's go with forty five percent, and then it's

0:17:19.160 --> 0:17:21.919
<v Speaker 5>down fifty three percent from the all time high that

0:17:21.960 --> 0:17:25.760
<v Speaker 5>it touched on December seventeenth. So in the process, the

0:17:25.800 --> 0:17:29.160
<v Speaker 5>stock has now lost more than eight hundred to be specific,

0:17:29.200 --> 0:17:32.160
<v Speaker 5>eight hundred and sixteen billion dollars from its market evaluation.

0:17:32.800 --> 0:17:35.679
<v Speaker 1>So at and its peak, its market value was.

0:17:36.240 --> 0:17:37.320
<v Speaker 2>One point five trillion.

0:17:37.400 --> 0:17:41.919
<v Speaker 5>Yes, and currently it's worth around seven hundred billion and change.

0:17:42.040 --> 0:17:46.800
<v Speaker 1>Yes, and I believe it is the biggest decliner in

0:17:46.840 --> 0:17:48.240
<v Speaker 1>the S and P five hundred index.

0:17:48.320 --> 0:17:51.720
<v Speaker 5>Since that's right, yesation, right, yes, you you completely snatched

0:17:51.720 --> 0:17:54.600
<v Speaker 5>the words out of it is the worst decliner on

0:17:54.640 --> 0:17:58.280
<v Speaker 5>the SMB five hundred right now by a decent margin,

0:17:58.480 --> 0:17:59.040
<v Speaker 5>I would say.

0:17:59.240 --> 0:18:01.680
<v Speaker 1>So, I get the sense that even the bulls out there,

0:18:01.920 --> 0:18:05.040
<v Speaker 1>the Tesla perma bulls, are starting to get to get

0:18:05.240 --> 0:18:08.879
<v Speaker 1>starting to get a bit nervous. What are you hearing?

0:18:09.680 --> 0:18:12.880
<v Speaker 5>Yes, that's a great way to put it. The perma bulls,

0:18:13.320 --> 0:18:17.800
<v Speaker 5>some of them extremely vocal and art in Tesla fans,

0:18:17.880 --> 0:18:20.760
<v Speaker 5>I would say, who absolutely believe in this kind of

0:18:20.840 --> 0:18:24.399
<v Speaker 5>long term vision of Tesla becoming this pioneer in the

0:18:24.440 --> 0:18:28.320
<v Speaker 5>fully self driving vehicle, the robot taxi and a much

0:18:28.359 --> 0:18:34.119
<v Speaker 5>more sophisticated real life AI applications such as humanoid robot

0:18:34.200 --> 0:18:37.000
<v Speaker 5>and all that. Even those people, when I talk to

0:18:37.000 --> 0:18:39.000
<v Speaker 5>them for in a very long time, and I have

0:18:39.080 --> 0:18:41.520
<v Speaker 5>been covering this stock for a while now, this is

0:18:41.520 --> 0:18:44.640
<v Speaker 5>the first time that I'm hearing them being a little antsy.

0:18:45.000 --> 0:18:47.640
<v Speaker 2>They're not sure. They're still on the sideline.

0:18:47.680 --> 0:18:50.080
<v Speaker 5>So despite a fifty what seems like a fifty three

0:18:50.080 --> 0:18:53.520
<v Speaker 5>percent discount, So clearly these people think, and they say

0:18:53.520 --> 0:18:55.960
<v Speaker 5>this in as many words, that they think there's more

0:18:56.040 --> 0:18:58.920
<v Speaker 5>to go in this decline. And why is that? The

0:18:59.720 --> 0:19:02.600
<v Speaker 5>reason is simple, Like you know, the the boom that

0:19:02.640 --> 0:19:06.000
<v Speaker 5>we saw after the election, it was really not driven

0:19:06.119 --> 0:19:11.040
<v Speaker 5>by anything fundamental. So now that all that speculative frenzy

0:19:11.080 --> 0:19:13.679
<v Speaker 5>has been taken out of the stock, people are starting

0:19:13.720 --> 0:19:16.280
<v Speaker 5>to look at the fundamental. So where do fundamental stand

0:19:16.600 --> 0:19:18.800
<v Speaker 5>compared to say November.

0:19:18.359 --> 0:19:22.520
<v Speaker 2>Of last year. They look weaker. So there's no reason terrible.

0:19:22.240 --> 0:19:24.880
<v Speaker 1>Right, I mean, in Europe, in parts of the US,

0:19:25.080 --> 0:19:28.919
<v Speaker 1>sales are way down. The brand has been damaged with

0:19:29.000 --> 0:19:34.240
<v Speaker 1>the significant swath of consumers out there. But Dana Trump

0:19:34.280 --> 0:19:36.440
<v Speaker 1>came out last night in truth it was I believe

0:19:36.480 --> 0:19:39.240
<v Speaker 1>it was last night, and he said He's going to

0:19:39.320 --> 0:19:43.760
<v Speaker 1>go out himself and buy a Tesla to show support

0:19:43.800 --> 0:19:47.000
<v Speaker 1>for his man mosque. Is this is going to turn

0:19:47.400 --> 0:19:48.680
<v Speaker 1>this is going to turn the stock around?

0:19:48.680 --> 0:19:51.159
<v Speaker 4>Well, I mean, it's it's remarkable that the President of

0:19:51.200 --> 0:19:54.119
<v Speaker 4>the United States is saying this, and his exact quote

0:19:54.160 --> 0:19:56.800
<v Speaker 4>on truth is I'm going to buy a brand new

0:19:56.880 --> 0:20:01.000
<v Speaker 4>Tesla tomorrow morning, meeting today today as we speak, as

0:20:01.040 --> 0:20:04.000
<v Speaker 4>a show, as a show of confidence and support for

0:20:04.080 --> 0:20:07.960
<v Speaker 4>Elon Musk, a truly great American. So, first of all,

0:20:08.000 --> 0:20:10.080
<v Speaker 4>I don't see how this works in practice, Like, are

0:20:10.080 --> 0:20:12.200
<v Speaker 4>we supposed to believe that the President is going to

0:20:12.320 --> 0:20:15.919
<v Speaker 4>like waltz into some showroom in Washington, DC and like

0:20:16.160 --> 0:20:18.080
<v Speaker 4>roll out with the cyber truck or something like. I

0:20:18.440 --> 0:20:21.240
<v Speaker 4>just don't really I scrutinize this very concept.

0:20:21.480 --> 0:20:23.240
<v Speaker 1>I could see him rocking a cyber truck.

0:20:23.280 --> 0:20:27.920
<v Speaker 4>But secondly, if the whole issue is brand erosion and

0:20:28.080 --> 0:20:31.840
<v Speaker 4>Tesla's longtime consumer is being very upset that Musk has

0:20:31.920 --> 0:20:35.240
<v Speaker 4>thrown in his lot with Trump, the idea that Trump

0:20:35.280 --> 0:20:36.959
<v Speaker 4>is now going to buy a Tesla is just going

0:20:37.000 --> 0:20:42.440
<v Speaker 4>to further cement Tesla as a brand into like a Magamobile,

0:20:42.520 --> 0:20:44.239
<v Speaker 4>which you know, Max and I wrote about like two

0:20:44.320 --> 0:20:46.960
<v Speaker 4>years ago. So I don't see how it helps Elon

0:20:47.040 --> 0:20:48.680
<v Speaker 4>at all. I just think it's not good.

0:20:49.040 --> 0:20:52.200
<v Speaker 1>This is a key thing. And I guess my first

0:20:52.200 --> 0:20:54.640
<v Speaker 1>reaction was when Trump said he was gonna go buy one.

0:20:54.960 --> 0:20:57.919
<v Speaker 1>I was like, one, you're gonna buy one Tesla? How

0:20:57.920 --> 0:21:01.439
<v Speaker 1>about three hundred thousand, buddy? And I guess my question

0:21:01.520 --> 0:21:04.120
<v Speaker 1>for you, Max is and it gets back to something

0:21:04.680 --> 0:21:08.119
<v Speaker 1>it's been nagging for a while for me, which is,

0:21:08.680 --> 0:21:13.760
<v Speaker 1>for every five or ten or twenty buyers Musk loses

0:21:13.800 --> 0:21:17.760
<v Speaker 1>in Blue America, is there some offset in Red America,

0:21:17.880 --> 0:21:23.240
<v Speaker 1>some of any kind? And is Trump perhaps nudging those

0:21:23.280 --> 0:21:24.840
<v Speaker 1>red buyers to get up off the couch and go

0:21:24.920 --> 0:21:25.560
<v Speaker 1>buy Yes.

0:21:25.800 --> 0:21:28.119
<v Speaker 3>I want to remind people. This would be Trump's second

0:21:28.160 --> 0:21:31.119
<v Speaker 3>cyber truck. He actually got one from a podcaster in

0:21:31.200 --> 0:21:34.000
<v Speaker 3>twenty twenty four. I believe we talked about this. It

0:21:34.040 --> 0:21:36.119
<v Speaker 3>was like it had like I remember stickers on it

0:21:36.240 --> 0:21:38.560
<v Speaker 3>or something. Anyway, Yeah, it was like a campaign stunt.

0:21:38.600 --> 0:21:40.600
<v Speaker 3>I don't again, I don't know if he still has it.

0:21:40.680 --> 0:21:42.680
<v Speaker 3>But it could be a second one could be a

0:21:42.760 --> 0:21:45.560
<v Speaker 3>Trump fleet. You could have Eric and On Junior both

0:21:45.640 --> 0:21:49.280
<v Speaker 3>driving cyber trucks. I suppose I do think like there

0:21:49.359 --> 0:21:53.119
<v Speaker 3>is a universe of of sort of hardcore Trump supporter

0:21:53.359 --> 0:21:56.119
<v Speaker 3>who has already embraced Elon Musk. We've talked about this

0:21:56.200 --> 0:21:59.080
<v Speaker 3>a lot, like it's not like there's no sort of

0:21:59.160 --> 0:22:03.760
<v Speaker 3>like maga buyer coalition, But like Danna saying, this doesn't

0:22:03.800 --> 0:22:08.080
<v Speaker 3>really help because Musk is already completely Trump coded, I.

0:22:08.040 --> 0:22:11.480
<v Speaker 1>Guess the pushback on that would be that, yes, that

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:15.959
<v Speaker 1>maga crowd that loves the that loves Musk or likes

0:22:16.040 --> 0:22:19.200
<v Speaker 1>must buys the stock right has been buying the stock,

0:22:19.240 --> 0:22:21.680
<v Speaker 1>and that was part of ESHA right, the big pop

0:22:21.720 --> 0:22:24.040
<v Speaker 1>we saw last year in the stock. Can you get

0:22:24.080 --> 0:22:26.320
<v Speaker 1>them through something like a truth like this to go

0:22:26.640 --> 0:22:29.320
<v Speaker 1>doing that from buying right, from buying the stock to

0:22:29.480 --> 0:22:31.320
<v Speaker 1>then no, no, we need you to do more, we

0:22:31.359 --> 0:22:33.280
<v Speaker 1>need you to buy the vehicle itself.

0:22:33.400 --> 0:22:36.400
<v Speaker 4>I just think that, Listen, the economy is really uncertain

0:22:36.480 --> 0:22:39.480
<v Speaker 4>right now. People are losing their jobs, people are seeing

0:22:39.480 --> 0:22:43.159
<v Speaker 4>their retirement savings go to hell. They don't know if

0:22:43.160 --> 0:22:45.320
<v Speaker 4>they're going to have Social Security and Medicare, Like, this

0:22:45.400 --> 0:22:48.040
<v Speaker 4>is not the time when people make a big purchase

0:22:48.200 --> 0:22:50.320
<v Speaker 4>like buying a car. There is a reason why Q

0:22:50.400 --> 0:22:53.000
<v Speaker 4>one sales are going to be crappy, and it's like

0:22:53.640 --> 0:22:56.280
<v Speaker 4>just buying a car is a huge purchase. It's often

0:22:56.640 --> 0:22:59.439
<v Speaker 4>the largest purchase that someone makes outside of housing or

0:22:59.440 --> 0:23:02.440
<v Speaker 4>like a college education. So I just don't think you're

0:23:02.480 --> 0:23:05.840
<v Speaker 4>seeing people like rushing to the showroom to buy a vehicle.

0:23:06.200 --> 0:23:10.280
<v Speaker 4>And also, like Tesla's lineup, it's super old, Like Tesla

0:23:10.359 --> 0:23:12.479
<v Speaker 4>made a big thing of how they're now, you know,

0:23:12.680 --> 0:23:16.520
<v Speaker 4>selling the refreshed Model Why. So some people are waiting

0:23:16.520 --> 0:23:18.719
<v Speaker 4>for the Model Y, but there's like the new Model Why.

0:23:18.800 --> 0:23:20.960
<v Speaker 4>But there's like a ton of inventory on the Tesla

0:23:21.000 --> 0:23:24.920
<v Speaker 4>website right now. And yeah, I don't think that like Trump,

0:23:25.320 --> 0:23:27.000
<v Speaker 4>I don't think you're gonna see like a ton of

0:23:27.000 --> 0:23:29.720
<v Speaker 4>people moving to buy a car right now with so

0:23:29.800 --> 0:23:35.200
<v Speaker 4>much uncertainty in the wider economy.

0:23:35.400 --> 0:23:39.280
<v Speaker 1>So I actually have esha a theory that came to

0:23:39.320 --> 0:23:42.399
<v Speaker 1>me the other day on the Model Why refresh. It

0:23:42.440 --> 0:23:44.640
<v Speaker 1>was an epiphany I had as I was walking down

0:23:44.680 --> 0:23:46.680
<v Speaker 1>Park Avenue and I saw a cyber truck on one

0:23:46.760 --> 0:23:49.320
<v Speaker 1>road and I saw an old Model Why in the

0:23:49.359 --> 0:23:53.119
<v Speaker 1>other and I thought, Man, the problem with this refresh

0:23:53.280 --> 0:23:56.760
<v Speaker 1>is possible buyers of the new model Why because it

0:23:56.880 --> 0:23:59.720
<v Speaker 1>looks distinct and unique and new and different than the

0:23:59.720 --> 0:24:03.520
<v Speaker 1>old ones. They lose plausible deniability. You cannot sit you

0:24:03.560 --> 0:24:06.600
<v Speaker 1>cannot own it and slap the bumper sticker on it

0:24:06.640 --> 0:24:09.160
<v Speaker 1>and say I bought this before I knew Elan was crazy.

0:24:09.600 --> 0:24:11.800
<v Speaker 1>It's just no. Everyone's like, oh man, that's a brand

0:24:11.800 --> 0:24:15.040
<v Speaker 1>new car. So the theory is that rather than helping

0:24:15.080 --> 0:24:20.160
<v Speaker 1>them turn sales around, it could deepen their slump. What say,

0:24:20.240 --> 0:24:21.800
<v Speaker 1>you hit me with it.

0:24:21.800 --> 0:24:24.200
<v Speaker 2>It's a possibility, right, jeez, that's it.

0:24:24.240 --> 0:24:25.000
<v Speaker 1>That's all I get.

0:24:25.280 --> 0:24:26.240
<v Speaker 2>Here's what I'll say.

0:24:26.440 --> 0:24:29.800
<v Speaker 5>So it definitely seems like you know, when I talk

0:24:29.920 --> 0:24:33.080
<v Speaker 5>to like bullish just tesla investors or analysts, a lot

0:24:33.119 --> 0:24:35.200
<v Speaker 5>of them will push back on this idea of the

0:24:35.560 --> 0:24:36.959
<v Speaker 5>of damage to the brand.

0:24:37.320 --> 0:24:40.560
<v Speaker 1>But why what do they say when they push back

0:24:40.560 --> 0:24:42.040
<v Speaker 1>and they say, you're overstating it.

0:24:42.160 --> 0:24:45.080
<v Speaker 5>King, Yes, they think it's just being overstated by the media,

0:24:45.160 --> 0:24:46.040
<v Speaker 5>it's just being hyped.

0:24:46.080 --> 0:24:49.440
<v Speaker 1>But when they see sales down seventy percent in some places,

0:24:49.480 --> 0:24:51.399
<v Speaker 1>they think that's a blip that will go away.

0:24:51.520 --> 0:24:55.480
<v Speaker 5>They say that it's not entirely clear what exactly is

0:24:55.520 --> 0:24:58.760
<v Speaker 5>going on. Also, Europe and like smaller Europe chemakets like

0:24:58.800 --> 0:25:01.280
<v Speaker 5>you know, let's first see what's happening in US, because

0:25:01.280 --> 0:25:03.840
<v Speaker 5>that's kind of the litmus test, right, like what's happening

0:25:03.880 --> 0:25:06.080
<v Speaker 5>in the US market, which we do not know yet.

0:25:06.160 --> 0:25:09.360
<v Speaker 5>But my point is the risk of brand damage has

0:25:09.400 --> 0:25:12.080
<v Speaker 5>to be real enough that it pushed Trump to tweet

0:25:12.280 --> 0:25:16.000
<v Speaker 5>last night, right, Like it's kind of an acknowledgment of

0:25:16.040 --> 0:25:19.040
<v Speaker 5>this brand damage that they clearly are seeing happening.

0:25:19.800 --> 0:25:24.359
<v Speaker 3>Even maga people, even the tard cor Donald Trump people

0:25:24.720 --> 0:25:29.320
<v Speaker 3>do not like people who throw Nazi salutes or salutes

0:25:29.359 --> 0:25:34.359
<v Speaker 3>that look Nazi adjacent. Right, Musk's antics have seemed, I

0:25:34.400 --> 0:25:39.399
<v Speaker 3>think even fairly extreme for some conservatives, and like the

0:25:39.480 --> 0:25:44.480
<v Speaker 3>idea that there's no brand damage just seems like almost

0:25:44.680 --> 0:25:48.440
<v Speaker 3>disconnected from reality. I mean, like we're seeing in those

0:25:48.480 --> 0:25:52.800
<v Speaker 3>European sales numbers that Asha just mentioned, serious brand damage,

0:25:52.840 --> 0:25:55.040
<v Speaker 3>and we're seeing in the China sales numbers. We're seeing it,

0:25:55.080 --> 0:25:57.280
<v Speaker 3>in fact in some of the US sales numbers, and

0:25:57.720 --> 0:26:00.520
<v Speaker 3>even leaving that aside, like these protests in front of

0:26:00.760 --> 0:26:06.760
<v Speaker 3>Tesla dealerships are real. And it's so interesting because Musk

0:26:06.880 --> 0:26:09.359
<v Speaker 3>has responded to this and we should say by essentially

0:26:09.440 --> 0:26:12.399
<v Speaker 3>saying it's a it's all a big conspiracy, right, this

0:26:12.480 --> 0:26:15.119
<v Speaker 3>is like Act Blue, some Democratic activists, and.

0:26:15.440 --> 0:26:19.359
<v Speaker 1>This is what Trump was saying lesson right, And I.

0:26:19.680 --> 0:26:22.960
<v Speaker 3>Think this is a case where actually, like, and he's

0:26:23.119 --> 0:26:25.320
<v Speaker 3>of course blaming the media, but I think this is

0:26:25.359 --> 0:26:28.879
<v Speaker 3>really a case where the media has been behind the

0:26:28.880 --> 0:26:31.679
<v Speaker 3>ball on this, where like the media has not fully

0:26:31.720 --> 0:26:33.760
<v Speaker 3>realized and I think a lot of Wall Street has

0:26:33.800 --> 0:26:38.879
<v Speaker 3>not fully realized how significant the opinion shift is, and

0:26:38.920 --> 0:26:42.080
<v Speaker 3>how like this has become the way that people who

0:26:42.119 --> 0:26:45.520
<v Speaker 3>are mad at Trump expressed that anger at Trump. You

0:26:45.560 --> 0:26:49.199
<v Speaker 3>cannot there's nowhere to protest Trump right now. Like I

0:26:49.200 --> 0:26:50.919
<v Speaker 3>guess you could go to the White House or something,

0:26:51.359 --> 0:26:56.840
<v Speaker 3>but there are opportunities, you know, every day, a cyber truck,

0:26:56.960 --> 0:27:00.800
<v Speaker 3>right or whatever to express your displeasure. And like, Musk

0:27:00.960 --> 0:27:04.560
<v Speaker 3>has made this choice. You know, we talked about it

0:27:04.720 --> 0:27:08.040
<v Speaker 3>on this podcast, and Bears have been worried about this

0:27:08.480 --> 0:27:12.119
<v Speaker 3>for years, that he was going to polarize the brand.

0:27:12.920 --> 0:27:14.359
<v Speaker 3>And I think it would have been less of an

0:27:14.400 --> 0:27:17.040
<v Speaker 3>issue if Trump had lost the election. But Trump did

0:27:17.080 --> 0:27:18.960
<v Speaker 3>not lose the election. It also would have been less

0:27:18.960 --> 0:27:21.320
<v Speaker 3>of an issue if Musk had not taken a job

0:27:21.359 --> 0:27:23.320
<v Speaker 3>within the Trump administration, It would have been less of

0:27:23.320 --> 0:27:25.720
<v Speaker 3>an issue if he had taken a less controversial job

0:27:25.840 --> 0:27:28.199
<v Speaker 3>in the administration. But he has run headlong into this

0:27:28.280 --> 0:27:32.000
<v Speaker 3>controversy and the electorate is reacting as you'd expect.

0:27:32.200 --> 0:27:35.280
<v Speaker 1>Dana, one of those bulls that Esha had mentioned earlier.

0:27:35.359 --> 0:27:38.520
<v Speaker 1>Dan Ives at Webbush called this a moment of truth

0:27:38.640 --> 0:27:43.280
<v Speaker 1>for Musk and Tesla, and in that Fox Business interview yesterday,

0:27:44.000 --> 0:27:46.800
<v Speaker 1>when asked about how he was running Tesla and his

0:27:46.840 --> 0:27:52.400
<v Speaker 1>other companies, his response was with great difficulty. Well, I

0:27:52.440 --> 0:27:55.160
<v Speaker 1>guess I wonder is he even running them at all?

0:27:55.480 --> 0:27:59.480
<v Speaker 1>And given what it's going through, that can't cause or

0:27:59.520 --> 0:28:02.040
<v Speaker 1>given there's a whole lot of confidence as they watch

0:28:02.080 --> 0:28:03.040
<v Speaker 1>the stock crater.

0:28:03.280 --> 0:28:06.879
<v Speaker 4>Right and the board has been completely silent on Musk

0:28:07.119 --> 0:28:08.920
<v Speaker 4>since the election. I mean they have not put out

0:28:08.920 --> 0:28:12.760
<v Speaker 4>any kind of statement. There's no clear number two or COO.

0:28:13.400 --> 0:28:16.879
<v Speaker 4>The bench is like not deep, like who runs the

0:28:16.880 --> 0:28:19.840
<v Speaker 4>company day to day. It's like there's not like a

0:28:19.880 --> 0:28:23.400
<v Speaker 4>Gwen shot well at Tesla. So yeah, no, I think

0:28:23.400 --> 0:28:25.040
<v Speaker 4>it's I think it's been concerning. I'm going to be

0:28:25.080 --> 0:28:27.680
<v Speaker 4>super curious to see what the proxy says this time

0:28:27.720 --> 0:28:29.080
<v Speaker 4>around in terms of risk factor.

0:28:29.400 --> 0:28:32.160
<v Speaker 1>Tell us more about that proxy. Remind us what exactly.

0:28:32.200 --> 0:28:35.359
<v Speaker 4>That is, well, every year, like publicly traded companies file

0:28:35.400 --> 0:28:40.600
<v Speaker 4>proxies about it basically lists out like what shareholder resolutions

0:28:40.640 --> 0:28:43.240
<v Speaker 4>are going to be discussed at the shareholder meeting. It's

0:28:43.240 --> 0:28:46.000
<v Speaker 4>a good way to look at how many pledge shares

0:28:46.200 --> 0:28:49.560
<v Speaker 4>Elon Musk has and sometimes they lay out new risk factors.

0:28:49.760 --> 0:28:52.560
<v Speaker 4>And you know a lot of times companies like they

0:28:52.800 --> 0:28:55.160
<v Speaker 4>they hide stuff in the proxy. The proxy drops on

0:28:55.240 --> 0:28:57.560
<v Speaker 4>like good Friday day that the market has closed. It's

0:28:57.600 --> 0:29:00.680
<v Speaker 4>always really deep reading. I will be reading it. I'm

0:29:00.720 --> 0:29:02.400
<v Speaker 4>just sort of curious to you to see about like

0:29:02.480 --> 0:29:06.520
<v Speaker 4>Tesla's board. Remember Joe Gebbia, the Airbnb co founder who

0:29:06.560 --> 0:29:09.440
<v Speaker 4>was on Tesla's board, is also working with Doge. So

0:29:09.480 --> 0:29:12.920
<v Speaker 4>it's not just Elon who's Doge focused, it's like another

0:29:12.960 --> 0:29:14.080
<v Speaker 4>board member as well.

0:29:14.560 --> 0:29:19.160
<v Speaker 1>Yeah. So Esha the Danna says she's seen this show,

0:29:19.240 --> 0:29:22.760
<v Speaker 1>this movie many times, having covered must over the years.

0:29:23.200 --> 0:29:24.760
<v Speaker 1>You've been covering Tessel for how long now?

0:29:25.480 --> 0:29:27.440
<v Speaker 2>Since twenty sixteen, twenty sixteen.

0:29:27.200 --> 0:29:30.640
<v Speaker 1>For a while, yeah, decade basically two decades in Tesla

0:29:30.800 --> 0:29:33.680
<v Speaker 1>right now, in dog years and doze years, forty fifty

0:29:33.760 --> 0:29:37.360
<v Speaker 1>years easy. So I guess I just wonder if you

0:29:37.520 --> 0:29:40.680
<v Speaker 1>also think, now this is just like a sell off

0:29:40.720 --> 0:29:44.440
<v Speaker 1>we've seen before, stock's going to start ripping and bounce

0:29:44.520 --> 0:29:49.480
<v Speaker 1>back soon. Or did the election and the boom and

0:29:49.560 --> 0:29:52.840
<v Speaker 1>initially created and now the bust did it just fundamentally

0:29:52.960 --> 0:29:54.640
<v Speaker 1>change the company and change the stock.

0:29:56.400 --> 0:29:57.400
<v Speaker 2>That's an interesting question.

0:29:57.480 --> 0:30:00.480
<v Speaker 5>Tesla has always been a really volatile stock. It had

0:30:00.600 --> 0:30:04.560
<v Speaker 5>always it's kind of in market parlance, it's almost always

0:30:04.600 --> 0:30:07.600
<v Speaker 5>called the og memes stock in many ways, like it

0:30:07.720 --> 0:30:10.880
<v Speaker 5>was a meme stock of cult stock even before that phenomenon.

0:30:11.000 --> 0:30:14.520
<v Speaker 1>Really, on that point, do you hear estimates from analysts

0:30:14.680 --> 0:30:18.960
<v Speaker 1>on what percent of the valuation is just means stock

0:30:19.080 --> 0:30:23.480
<v Speaker 1>valuation which is hard to separate from the Musk phenomenon,

0:30:23.720 --> 0:30:27.800
<v Speaker 1>and then what part is just hey, valuing this business

0:30:28.360 --> 0:30:31.000
<v Speaker 1>right now and going forward. Do people have estimates?

0:30:31.080 --> 0:30:33.080
<v Speaker 2>See, it's more of an art than science.

0:30:33.160 --> 0:30:35.840
<v Speaker 5>Of course, when you try to understand, you know, what

0:30:36.000 --> 0:30:38.760
<v Speaker 5>part of it is the keymand risk or tied to

0:30:39.320 --> 0:30:42.880
<v Speaker 5>Musk and musks antiques and stuff like that. However, there

0:30:42.960 --> 0:30:46.280
<v Speaker 5>are estimates that there are zeros analysts on Wall Street

0:30:46.280 --> 0:30:49.120
<v Speaker 5>who kind of try to understand if not how much

0:30:49.200 --> 0:30:52.120
<v Speaker 5>is tied to musk, which is a really abstract concept,

0:30:52.360 --> 0:30:54.720
<v Speaker 5>but at least try to understand how much of the

0:30:54.800 --> 0:30:57.920
<v Speaker 5>valuation is really focused on the future or future growth

0:30:58.000 --> 0:30:59.719
<v Speaker 5>or future growth potential.

0:31:00.200 --> 0:31:02.960
<v Speaker 2>So right now the stock has moved so much.

0:31:03.000 --> 0:31:05.880
<v Speaker 5>I haven't seen any very recent numbers, but around the

0:31:05.920 --> 0:31:08.120
<v Speaker 5>time and it was like a trillion dollar valuation.

0:31:08.640 --> 0:31:10.040
<v Speaker 2>I have seen people say.

0:31:09.880 --> 0:31:13.960
<v Speaker 5>That anywhere between two hundred to four hundred billion dollars

0:31:14.120 --> 0:31:18.720
<v Speaker 5>was for the auto business and the auto business future

0:31:18.760 --> 0:31:23.680
<v Speaker 5>growth as well, and everything else was robotaxi and AI

0:31:23.800 --> 0:31:27.080
<v Speaker 5>and like essentially the musk dream premium as we would

0:31:27.080 --> 0:31:27.360
<v Speaker 5>call it.

0:31:27.440 --> 0:31:30.320
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I mean, if you look at Tesla's valuation compared

0:31:30.320 --> 0:31:34.080
<v Speaker 3>to car companies that have like that sell a similar volume,

0:31:34.120 --> 0:31:37.280
<v Speaker 3>it's like many times greater. It is like if Tesla

0:31:37.320 --> 0:31:40.960
<v Speaker 3>were just a car company, like it would be worth way,

0:31:41.040 --> 0:31:44.480
<v Speaker 3>way less. Even having fallen, you know, fifty percent over

0:31:44.520 --> 0:31:48.000
<v Speaker 3>the last couple of months, it's always been like a

0:31:48.000 --> 0:31:50.000
<v Speaker 3>bit of a leap of faith. And maybe I'm being

0:31:50.040 --> 0:31:54.080
<v Speaker 3>a little bit generous here to say to value Tesla's

0:31:54.160 --> 0:31:57.760
<v Speaker 3>robotaxi business or its optimist business in any way because

0:31:57.800 --> 0:32:00.880
<v Speaker 3>there is no business there. It doesn't act actually exists,

0:32:00.960 --> 0:32:03.160
<v Speaker 3>you know, Wall Street, like bid up the stock after

0:32:03.200 --> 0:32:05.600
<v Speaker 3>the election. We sort of touched on this at times,

0:32:05.640 --> 0:32:08.400
<v Speaker 3>but like there was no clear reason why. There is

0:32:08.440 --> 0:32:10.880
<v Speaker 3>nothing Trump can do. He cannot wave a magic wand

0:32:11.240 --> 0:32:14.000
<v Speaker 3>and give Tesla a robotex The funny.

0:32:14.120 --> 0:32:16.680
<v Speaker 1>The funny thing is is that Esha had shared a

0:32:16.680 --> 0:32:19.520
<v Speaker 1>couple of reports this morning from Bulls and both of

0:32:19.560 --> 0:32:22.880
<v Speaker 1>them as they expressed jitters and concern, one of the

0:32:22.880 --> 0:32:27.320
<v Speaker 1>things they both drew comfort from was the Robotaxi dream

0:32:27.520 --> 0:32:30.880
<v Speaker 1>and Morgan Stanley they're waiting for the big Austin Robotaxi

0:32:31.080 --> 0:32:36.480
<v Speaker 1>unveil in the summer. Maybe team say you've lost Dan Ives.

0:32:36.560 --> 0:32:40.800
<v Speaker 3>I mean Dan Ives is like the QAnon shaman to

0:32:40.960 --> 0:32:43.960
<v Speaker 3>like Tesla fandom, Mike, I mean he is like as

0:32:44.280 --> 0:32:47.320
<v Speaker 3>maybe I'm overstating it, but he is a megabull. Might

0:32:47.360 --> 0:32:50.920
<v Speaker 3>be if he is a mildly concerned, that is a

0:32:51.160 --> 0:32:53.520
<v Speaker 3>huge like that is like a wow.

0:32:53.560 --> 0:32:56.280
<v Speaker 1>Well yeah, yeah, he called it right. I think that

0:32:56.400 --> 0:32:58.040
<v Speaker 1>was in top of his report this morning. This is

0:32:58.080 --> 0:33:00.160
<v Speaker 1>a moment of truth for Elon and us.

0:33:00.320 --> 0:33:03.240
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, Max is right.

0:33:05.840 --> 0:33:13.440
<v Speaker 3>Don't have a very colorful out, Esha day.

0:33:13.440 --> 0:33:16.120
<v Speaker 1>Thank you for joining us, Thank you, Max, Dana.

0:33:16.000 --> 0:33:16.800
<v Speaker 5>Glad to be here.

0:33:16.920 --> 0:33:17.280
<v Speaker 2>Thank you.

0:33:24.240 --> 0:33:27.440
<v Speaker 1>This episode was produced by Stacey Wong. Anna Massa Rakus

0:33:27.480 --> 0:33:30.520
<v Speaker 1>is our editor, and Rayhan Harmanci our senior editor. Blake

0:33:30.520 --> 0:33:34.560
<v Speaker 1>Maples handles engineering, and Dave Precell fact checks. Our supervising

0:33:34.600 --> 0:33:39.160
<v Speaker 1>producer is Magnus Henrickson. The theme is written and performed

0:33:39.160 --> 0:33:43.200
<v Speaker 1>by Takea Yasuzawa and Alex Sugi Eira. Brendan Francis Newnham

0:33:43.280 --> 0:33:45.560
<v Speaker 1>is our executive producer, and Sage Bauman is the head

0:33:45.560 --> 0:33:49.320
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Podcasts. A big thanks to our supporters Joel

0:33:49.320 --> 0:33:53.200
<v Speaker 1>Weber and Brad Stone. I'm David Papadopoulos. If you have

0:33:53.280 --> 0:33:55.720
<v Speaker 1>a minute, rate and review our show, it'll help other

0:33:55.760 --> 0:33:57.880
<v Speaker 1>listeners find us. See you next week.

0:34:00.400 --> 0:34:02.080
<v Speaker 2>Stand Standing