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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information age

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Speaker 1: five five dollars.

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Speaker 2: This is a raging up the technical You're saying that

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Speaker 2: humans need fantasy to make life bearable.

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Speaker 1: Humans need fantasy to be.

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Speaker 2: My goodness, Mista nice opposed the best, relentless, refusing to

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Speaker 2: give up.

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Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, very bless the.

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Speaker 2: Working everybody. Welcome to me Fantasy flex podcast from Actual

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Speaker 2: Network and Fantasy Abs. I am your host, Chris Rayven

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Speaker 2: and this is week eighteen. Our player projections episode made

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Speaker 2: it to the end of the year at week eighteen.

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Speaker 2: Thank you for listening for everybody that's stuck around all year.

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Speaker 2: I'll be joined momentarily by one of the top fantasy

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Speaker 2: rankers in the game, the odds maker Sean Kerner. Quicker mind.

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Speaker 2: I know. All of our fantasy football content is available

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Speaker 2: right now over on fantasylabs dot com. Plus Fantasy Labs

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Speaker 2: is new feature. Pick Labs is live. Picklabs lets you

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Speaker 2: scan the best player prop and pick them beets in seconds.

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Speaker 2: Everything's broken down for you from edges, win rates to value.

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Speaker 2: It is a clean board showing which plays actually stand

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Speaker 2: out across sportsbooks and sites like Underdog and prize picks,

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Speaker 2: com slash pricing. All right, Kerner, what's going on? Happy holidays?

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Speaker 2: Happy New Year? Who we got for cardio King? Before

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Speaker 2: we get into are wek eighteen?

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Speaker 1: Yeah? What's up? Happy New Year? We'll quickly get through

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Speaker 1: the cardio King. I think there's more important stuff to

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Speaker 1: cover after the final week of the fantasy season. But

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Speaker 1: Luke Musgrave was the tight end cardio King of the

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Speaker 1: week thirteen routes, zero targets, and the wide receiver the

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Speaker 1: cardio King was Jalen Naylor with seventeen routes, zero targets,

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Speaker 1: but real quickly quarterback so the QB one for the

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Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Finals was Trevor Lawrence, and I believe he

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Speaker 1: had like the most fantasy points ever for like the

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Speaker 1: final three weeks of the fantasy season something like that.

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Speaker 1: I know you were high on him before the season started.

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Speaker 1: I know we would always fight over him, like to

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Speaker 1: you know, who would be the streamer pick of the week. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: and you know, he finally cashed in for everybody that's

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Speaker 1: been high on him all this time. So that was

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Speaker 1: cool to see. Luther Burden was the wide receiver one

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Speaker 1: for the Fantas Football Finals. That was amazing. Another waiver

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Speaker 1: wire kind of guy that we were talking about a lot.

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Speaker 1: And then Trey McBride actual, she just blew away the

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Speaker 1: tight end position this season. And you know, Kyle Pitts

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Speaker 1: had a good season. He finished the tight end two.

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Speaker 1: But Kyle Pitts was actually closer to Cole Comet or

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Speaker 1: No Tatten all the way down at tight end thirty

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Speaker 1: than he was to Trey McBride. So if you took

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Speaker 1: Trey McBride, you know, in the first few rounds of

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Speaker 1: your draft, that was probably a league winning pick. But

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Speaker 1: it was just fun to see all these things kind

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Speaker 1: of come together last week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. No, your guy, Ruther Burden just I mean absolutely

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Speaker 2: amazing and uh yeah, Trevor Trey McBride scoring touchdowns. I

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Speaker 2: mean that, and then of course brock Bowers gets gets

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Speaker 2: like even if I guess it was already bad enough

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Speaker 2: with Bowers and then for him to just get benched

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Speaker 2: essentially Tank benched for the finals just.

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Speaker 1: Her second round pick, right, I mean, he was the

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Speaker 1: consensus tight end one. I know, you know, some people

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Speaker 1: still thought McBride had a shot to you know, be

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Speaker 1: the tight end one. But yeah, that was brutal. These Yeah,

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Speaker 1: these Week eighteen shanigans are kind of spilling over in

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Speaker 1: Week seventeen now, which isn't good, you know, because that's

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Speaker 1: when the Fantasy football finals are. But yeah, that that

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Speaker 1: was definitely unfortunate with Boers last week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I feel like a lot of the just like

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Speaker 2: incentive stuff and stuff usually look at them week eighteen.

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Speaker 2: A lot of it kind of happened in Week seventeen,

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Speaker 2: like Juan Johnson, Deebo, Samuel.

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Speaker 1: Guys like that.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, but we'll get to talking about everything that's

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Speaker 2: going on this week. We'll give the guys we're hiring

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Speaker 2: well on some props, and of course our top five.

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Speaker 2: We'll start a quarterback. Who do you like in your

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Speaker 2: top five for week eighteen.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, so I have Trevor Lawrence number one, Drake May,

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Speaker 1: Dak Prescott, Caleb Williams, and Jackson Dart.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, I got somewhere same tough, I've just different

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Speaker 2: note I got May, Lawrence, Prescott, Dart, and Caleb Williams. So, yeah,

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Speaker 2: who are you high?

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Speaker 1: I'm high on Sam Darnold because this is a winner

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Speaker 1: take all matchup versus the Niners for you know, the

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Speaker 1: NFC West Crown. But you know the Niners have been

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Speaker 1: pretty leaky on pass defense. They allowed that big game

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Speaker 1: to Philip Rivers, the big game last week to Caleb Williams.

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Speaker 1: So you know, this is a good spot for Donald.

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Speaker 1: But he also has some incentives at play, the first

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Speaker 1: one being one hundred and fifty passing yards for half

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Speaker 1: million dollars. Should be able to beat that, hopefully, but

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Speaker 1: if he throws three touchdowns this week, that's another half million,

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Speaker 1: So you know he'll be gunning for about a million

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Speaker 1: dollars in incentives here. So I think that three passing

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Speaker 1: touchdown one is important. I think, you know, he'll probably

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Speaker 1: tryin for that either way, but that it's a little

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Speaker 1: nice to have those incentives at play. So he has,

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Speaker 1: you know, the perfect trio going from this week. He's

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Speaker 1: has something to play for, you know, winning the NFC West,

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Speaker 1: good matchup and incentives. So he's my QB eleven this week,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna be higher on him than normal when

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Speaker 1: it comes to props as well.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he uh, what do you have for? Like, what

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Speaker 2: do you off for the Seahawks over under points scored

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Speaker 2: in the first half? I feel like they've been it's

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Speaker 2: been all it's been like these crazy comebacks or not comebacks,

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Speaker 2: but is they've been like a second all second half,

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Speaker 2: no first love starts.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, that would be interesting. And I think

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Speaker 1: there might be rain in this game. So if it's

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Speaker 1: one of those situations where I don't know, there's gonna

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Speaker 1: be more rain in the first half in the second half,

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Speaker 1: this could be a good game to you know, kind

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Speaker 1: of play off that a bit as well.

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Speaker 2: All Right, I am high on Tyler Shuck again. I

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Speaker 2: feel like he's starting to be a guy that we

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Speaker 2: mentioned every week too. But another just great game last week.

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Speaker 2: Three hundred and thirty three passing yards, two touchdowns. He's

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Speaker 2: you know, added some rushing yardists most weeks, not every week,

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Speaker 2: but if he's not adding rushing yardists, he's giving you

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Speaker 2: a ton of passing yards. So he's been scoring eighteen

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Speaker 2: plus fantasy points each of the last five games, five

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Speaker 2: of six, five of the last six overall. So like

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Speaker 2: him in the spot indoors against the Falcons game ward.

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Speaker 2: Not that team has anything to play for, but I

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Speaker 2: think both teams will still play hard because this could

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Speaker 2: affect the winner of the NFC South, Like if the

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Speaker 2: Saints lose this game, so that let in the Panthers

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Speaker 2: even if they lose. So that'll be a pretty funny scenario,

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Speaker 2: but it's only fitting with everyone just eight and nine

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Speaker 2: and the team that loses in a winner take all,

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Speaker 2: it's still getting But who you.

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Speaker 1: Are on, I'm allo on Matthew Stafford because the Rams

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Speaker 1: don't really have anything to play for here already, luck

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Speaker 1: the playoffs. You know, I already mentioned the Seahawks Niners

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Speaker 1: are playing for the the NFC West, and McVeigh mentioned

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Speaker 1: after the Falcons loss, he doesn't tend to play the starters.

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Speaker 1: They're on a two game losing streak, so he just

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Speaker 1: wants to get some momentum heading in the playoffs. So

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Speaker 1: you know, maybe Stafford and others play the entire game.

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Speaker 1: You know, Stafford definitely fell behind Drake Nay and the

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Speaker 1: MVP race. I don't know if he cares about that

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Speaker 1: enough to like, you know, want to play the whole

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Speaker 1: game here To get back in that convo. But McVeigh

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Speaker 1: typically doesn't use his starters at all in any preseason game.

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Speaker 1: I mean, he's one of like the main coaches that

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Speaker 1: just refuses to play anybody meaningful snaps in the preseason.

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Speaker 1: So he already is pretty cautious with just you know,

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Speaker 1: using his starters and what are meaningless snaps. So you know,

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Speaker 1: I would be careful with Stafford mainly, you know, in

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Speaker 1: like dfs and the prop market, because I don't know

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Speaker 1: if he's going to finish the game. I don't know

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Speaker 1: if you know, he just wants to see like one

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Speaker 1: good touchdown driving then pull them. We don't really know.

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Speaker 1: But just in the past, just with everything, you know,

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Speaker 1: you know, mcvay's been very conservative with how he uses

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Speaker 1: his players in games like this. So, uh, this is

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Speaker 1: one of those projections where you know, later in the week,

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Speaker 1: hopefully have a little bit more clarity on you know,

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Speaker 1: how much playing time we should expect. But he's someone

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Speaker 1: I'm definitely lower on than usual this week, right A

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Speaker 1: on QB twelve to open the week.

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Speaker 2: I think, I think what would happen would be so

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Speaker 2: he said he would play starters. I think if the

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Speaker 2: Niners win, no, if the Seahawks win. If the Seahawks win,

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Speaker 2: the Niners could drop to sixth and the Rams could

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Speaker 2: go to fifth if the Rams win. If the Rams

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Speaker 2: win and go to get the fifth seed, they would

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Speaker 2: they would go to the winner of the NFC South.

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Speaker 2: So I think that would actually be why he would

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Speaker 2: play them the whole game, which is probably why he

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Speaker 2: said he would. But I think if the the Seahawks

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Speaker 2: would be locked in the five if they lose and

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Speaker 2: the Niners win, if that happened, then I think he

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Speaker 2: would just like pivot to saying I'm gonna rest guys.

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Speaker 2: But I think that think those five is worth playing

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Speaker 2: for an NFC because you get to you get to

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Speaker 2: play that week that eight and nine NFC South the.

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Speaker 1: Winner, yeah yeah, and that game is happening after yeah yeah,

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Speaker 1: day before that, so we'll have more clarita and that that.

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Speaker 1: That's kind of my point when it comes to these projections,

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Speaker 1: is you're right, a lot of these games are correlated.

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Speaker 1: I don't even know if we're gonna get props for

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Speaker 1: some of these games, if I'm being honest with you,

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Speaker 1: But yeah, that's that's definitely you know, something that could

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Speaker 1: you know, force him to go one way or the other.

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Speaker 1: But I would imagine, you know, guys like DeVante Adams

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Speaker 1: would make sense to just not push him. For him,

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Speaker 1: my guy, I got banged up, So of course they

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Speaker 1: they you know, they might want to just focus on health.

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Speaker 1: But it's one of those one of the projections where

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Speaker 1: there's gonna be a lot of moving parts and just

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Speaker 1: one just I rather highlight now, uh, and just know

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Speaker 1: that we're gonna be we're gonna be updating these things

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Speaker 1: all the way to kick off. But just he's definitely

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Speaker 1: a player. I'm I'm kind of keeping an eye on yeah.

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Speaker 2: He uh yeah. I think like if you look at

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Speaker 2: the line, it's like seven seven and a half. I

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Speaker 2: think that would be if the Rams are healthy, it

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Speaker 2: would be probably close to double that or you know,

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Speaker 2: like so they're probably doing the books are probably gonna

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Speaker 2: add it as fifty to fifty. Yeah, that that Stafford plays,

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Speaker 2: I think it's fair because the Bucks Panthers game is

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Speaker 2: like a fifty to fifty kind of.

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Speaker 1: You're right there. The rams would be like, you know,

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Speaker 1: fourteen point figures. And I don't think it's it's not

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Speaker 1: like it's Stafford's obviously an MVP candidate. I don't think

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Speaker 1: he's like a seven point drop off from Garoppolo. But

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Speaker 1: you know they would be resting, you know, like key

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Speaker 1: defensive players as well, Like that would be like key

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Speaker 1: players sitting out. So yeah, I can see how you know,

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Speaker 1: it'd be seven points for just like fifty percent chance

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Speaker 1: that that would make a ton of sense. So that's

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Speaker 1: that's definitely something that you know, it's gonna impact a

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Speaker 1: ton of players if he does go that route.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he hasn't Stafford since looked the same since

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Speaker 2: he since he set that record for them. What it

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Speaker 2: was it like most touchdowns are out a pick or

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Speaker 2: something like that in a row. Oh, when he had

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Speaker 2: the against the Panthers, it was like it was like

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Speaker 2: right and right after that, it was just like like, uh,

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Speaker 2: it's like when you nut and you're just no longer

230
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Speaker 2: looking too like fuck an, it was just like he's

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Speaker 2: just like the pick and the going He's just like

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Speaker 2: three picks against the Panthers. Uh, three more two or

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Speaker 2: three more against the fucking Falcons. Like it's just yeah,

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Speaker 2: he has great since that since then.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I mean yeah, my uh post that clarity,

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Speaker 1: I was gonna say, yeah, exactly. Well, I mean, I'm

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Speaker 1: glad that happened. Later in the season. He cleared my

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Speaker 1: passing touchdown prop. It was like twenty two and a half,

239
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Speaker 1: like my Week eight, and I remember making that bet.

240
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Speaker 1: And then a few weeks later it came out that,

241
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Speaker 1: you know, he had that back injury. We didn't even

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Speaker 1: know if he was gonna play this year, if you

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Speaker 1: remember that. And then I saw the bed that he's

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Speaker 1: been using to recover. Uh, and no, wonder he's fine.

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Speaker 1: Uh yeah, he Yeah, he has been looking shaky of late.

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Speaker 1: And I think someone pointed out it's against teams that had,

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Speaker 1: like the defensive coordinator came up through the RAMS, so

248
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Speaker 1: they're very familiar with, you know, Stafford and mcveigh's scheme,

249
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Speaker 1: so that could be part of it. But either way,

250
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Speaker 1: you know they're gonna want to get you know, a

251
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Speaker 1: couple of touchdown drives here to at least feel better

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Speaker 1: heading in the playoffs. Whether they get you know, the

253
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Speaker 1: five or six seed probably doesn't matter as much, but

254
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Speaker 1: they definitely want to get some of that momentum back.

255
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Speaker 2: Yeah. Two picks in the first eleven games, six picks

256
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Speaker 2: in the last five. He's pulling. He's pulling a Darno

257
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Speaker 2: from last year. Yeah, all right, I am low on.

258
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Speaker 2: I mean, geez, who do we even? Who do we choose?

259
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Speaker 2: It's like there's just like backup quarterbacks galore. This week,

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Speaker 2: I'll say I'll go with Riley Leonard just because he's

261
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Speaker 2: going so he's like in that in this backup spot.

262
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Speaker 2: But the Texans look like they're actually gonna play starters

263
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Speaker 2: because they do have they have a chance at the

264
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Speaker 2: division still, So Riley Leonard is essentially going up against

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Speaker 2: what should be a full strength Texans defense, uh and

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Speaker 2: at least at least to start the game. And you know,

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Speaker 2: that's that's something like a lot of these other backups.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if they're either going against bad teams

269
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Speaker 2: or they're you know, their teams are not really taking

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Speaker 2: it as serious. So they're Riley Leonard. I know, he's

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Speaker 2: you know, he's got some rushing upside, which is which

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Speaker 2: is interesting, but just a brutal matchup for him against

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Speaker 2: the tennis excuse me, against the Houston Texans, who just

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Speaker 2: completely shut down the Chargers offense that was that had

275
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Speaker 2: rolled the week before too. So this Texans defense still

276
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Speaker 2: highly respectable, highly respected. I think it's just out of

277
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Speaker 2: all the backup quarterbacks, I mean there's some bad ones.

278
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Speaker 2: I mean it's like a race to the bottom. I

279
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Speaker 2: feel like we need to do a prop that's just like,

280
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Speaker 2: I mean a louticon or Clayton tune this week.

281
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Speaker 1: Like but yeah, yeah, it's that's that's Week eighteen for you.

282
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Speaker 1: There's gonna be some bad backups. Trey Lance Is getting

283
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Speaker 1: a start though, didn't we have like a talking about

284
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Speaker 1: side bet.

285
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Speaker 2: I thought he was never going to get a start.

286
00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:17,040
Speaker 2: Ever after that, he had like six interceptions in like

287
00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:20,040
Speaker 2: two quarters of preseason or something.

288
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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, he looked good in this year's preseason yep.

289
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Speaker 1: And yeah, I wonder if he has sort of like

290
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Speaker 1: a Malik Willis type comeback where you know, he starts

291
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Speaker 1: to look good, having some spots starts here and there,

292
00:15:33,440 --> 00:15:36,520
Speaker 1: and you know, lake.

293
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Speaker 2: Willis might be the best quarterback since Tom Brady. Maybe

294
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Speaker 2: he's look at his staffs with the Packers listen to

295
00:15:44,280 --> 00:15:51,000
Speaker 2: this seventy eighty nine, seventy six touchdowns, zero interceptions, uh

296
00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:57,920
Speaker 2: ten point nine yards per tempt, nineteen in completions.

297
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Speaker 1: Ever, he looked incredible. I was for some of them,

298
00:16:00,680 --> 00:16:04,480
Speaker 1: for like thirty five rush attempts. I had Josh Jacobs

299
00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:08,320
Speaker 1: under rush attemp rushing yards, but I thought they were

300
00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:10,800
Speaker 1: going to be like extreme run heavy, and then they

301
00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:12,840
Speaker 1: just came out slinging it. I think what they threw

302
00:16:12,880 --> 00:16:15,640
Speaker 1: it like five of the first six plays or something

303
00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:18,920
Speaker 1: like that, and he was looking good. So, I mean,

304
00:16:18,960 --> 00:16:20,240
Speaker 1: that was kind of the thing with him. He was

305
00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:25,360
Speaker 1: kind of raw on Tennessee, kind of like Anthony Richardson, right,

306
00:16:25,640 --> 00:16:26,560
Speaker 1: could have been similar.

307
00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:31,600
Speaker 2: No, Anthony Richardson, he's completed seventy eight of his passes

308
00:16:31,640 --> 00:16:33,760
Speaker 2: over the past eighty nine times. Anthony Richardson, I don't

309
00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:36,040
Speaker 2: know if he's completed seventy eight passes in his career.

310
00:16:36,160 --> 00:16:39,120
Speaker 1: What about Malik Willis's first seventy eight pass attempts in

311
00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:42,080
Speaker 1: the NFL? What about that split Because that wasn't good either,

312
00:16:42,080 --> 00:16:44,680
Speaker 1: fifty three. That's my point is it wasn't good to start.

313
00:16:45,560 --> 00:16:48,920
Speaker 1: But he's somewhere in the off season.

314
00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:51,400
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's not start. He's playing. I'm pretty sure. I'm

315
00:16:51,400 --> 00:16:54,080
Speaker 2: pretty sure he's getting out. Like I know they're going

316
00:16:54,160 --> 00:16:58,040
Speaker 2: to say, like he's questionable, but like he got pulled

317
00:16:58,080 --> 00:17:00,480
Speaker 2: from the game with his shoulder. So I think that's

318
00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:02,520
Speaker 2: just so they could kind of wisdom as a women

319
00:17:02,720 --> 00:17:06,200
Speaker 2: participant this week and uh, ultimately hold him out along

320
00:17:06,320 --> 00:17:08,920
Speaker 2: with Love and they they'll probably start quainting Tune.

321
00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:12,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, it would make it sense. You definitely want

322
00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:15,560
Speaker 1: Willi's healthy for the playoffs just in case something happens

323
00:17:16,000 --> 00:17:18,359
Speaker 1: to Love, So it makes sense to protect Willis as

324
00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:18,840
Speaker 1: well here.

325
00:17:19,320 --> 00:17:24,000
Speaker 2: I mean Willis is the better quarterback. Like, wow, statistically speaking,

326
00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:29,720
Speaker 2: this dude doesn't dude doesn't miss joining the back. Let's see.

327
00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:32,760
Speaker 2: It's it is my prop. So, yeah, this is gonna

328
00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:33,520
Speaker 2: be fun. Let's see.

329
00:17:34,560 --> 00:17:37,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm curious which quarterbacks you have projected to start

330
00:17:37,240 --> 00:17:37,640
Speaker 1: this week.

331
00:17:38,760 --> 00:17:41,280
Speaker 2: I have Quinton Tunes for the Pack, I have Brosma

332
00:17:41,359 --> 00:17:46,720
Speaker 2: for the Vikes. Rley Land obviously, Josh Johnson, Yeah to

333
00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:51,840
Speaker 2: Risky Josh Johnson, Well, no, no, yeah, I'm gonna I

334
00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:53,879
Speaker 2: think they said now they announced it more like at

335
00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:55,520
Speaker 2: first it was a little shaky, like it was like

336
00:17:55,840 --> 00:17:58,120
Speaker 2: they might play but I think they're gonna sit.

337
00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:01,880
Speaker 1: They said starters are out, yeah or whatever. I don't

338
00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:04,359
Speaker 1: want to say out, but yeah, it sounds like the

339
00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:07,080
Speaker 1: starters for the Eagles are sitting this week.

340
00:18:07,720 --> 00:18:09,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, the big ones. I don't know. If I know

341
00:18:09,440 --> 00:18:11,320
Speaker 2: Omar is gonna practice, I don't. I don't know for

342
00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:13,919
Speaker 2: sure he's gonna play. That's that's one that i'm that's

343
00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:15,880
Speaker 2: the one I'm watching. I still got hiding in there.

344
00:18:15,920 --> 00:18:26,240
Speaker 2: But let's go with Chris Olidun passing yards versus the Raiders.

345
00:18:26,920 --> 00:18:27,560
Speaker 1: The Raiders.

346
00:18:27,680 --> 00:18:30,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, the Raiders who are five six point underdogs somehow

347
00:18:31,160 --> 00:18:33,720
Speaker 2: versus Trey Lance rushing yards.

348
00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:41,960
Speaker 1: Hit wait Olas passing passing yards versus Trey Lance's rushing yards.

349
00:18:42,359 --> 00:18:45,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I know which one you're gonna actually picked, But

350
00:18:45,640 --> 00:18:51,119
Speaker 2: like I to throw because he actually threw for sixty

351
00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:55,720
Speaker 2: six yards and Trey Lance could rush for more than that. Yeah,

352
00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:57,600
Speaker 2: I know, you gotta pick out, you gotta.

353
00:18:57,720 --> 00:19:01,640
Speaker 1: Take the passings. But it's kind of because last week

354
00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:06,280
Speaker 1: I was on Old Oakin's rushing yard over his rushing

355
00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:09,760
Speaker 1: yards like fifteen and a half. He is a terrible quarterback,

356
00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:13,159
Speaker 1: but he should be running more. And he scrambled around

357
00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,119
Speaker 1: like ten percent of his dropbacks in the regular season

358
00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:19,680
Speaker 1: in preseason, and it's like they almost like they figure

359
00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:21,840
Speaker 1: that out on the last drive. But he should probably

360
00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:26,800
Speaker 1: just be using his legs more. So hopefully this will

361
00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:28,600
Speaker 1: be like Josh Dobbs all over again. Where I'm on

362
00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:30,840
Speaker 1: is like rushing yard prop and then like the next

363
00:19:30,920 --> 00:19:34,320
Speaker 1: game he goes off. So yeah, I think he's gonna

364
00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:36,760
Speaker 1: be running a lot more here at the expense of

365
00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:41,159
Speaker 1: passing yards that don't exist anyway. So yeah, I'll go

366
00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:43,200
Speaker 1: passing yards. But that's not a bad prop because he's

367
00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:45,360
Speaker 1: not gonna throw for many. But I don't think Trey

368
00:19:45,440 --> 00:19:49,240
Speaker 1: Lance is gonna rush for like, you know, over eighty yards,

369
00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:51,840
Speaker 1: so I think I think it's pretty safe. I'm surprised

370
00:19:51,880 --> 00:19:53,760
Speaker 1: you didn't get offer like a spread or something.

371
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:55,240
Speaker 2: No, no, I just I just want to. I just

372
00:19:55,320 --> 00:19:57,960
Speaker 2: want to. But no, like this, I mean, this is

373
00:19:58,480 --> 00:20:00,240
Speaker 2: a there's only one side to take. It was the

374
00:20:00,280 --> 00:20:03,280
Speaker 2: passing yards, but it would be you could soon not

375
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:06,119
Speaker 2: win this if like he gets benched or something like that,

376
00:20:06,280 --> 00:20:09,240
Speaker 2: because I think going into like the last drive, I

377
00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:11,280
Speaker 2: want to say so sometime near the end of the game,

378
00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:12,960
Speaker 2: I was looking at his numbers and he had forty

379
00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:16,280
Speaker 2: three yards, So like, if he could they do that,

380
00:20:16,359 --> 00:20:19,840
Speaker 2: he has that bench. Huh, how could they do that?

381
00:20:19,960 --> 00:20:23,040
Speaker 1: For Travis Kelcey's last game ever, and he's just watching

382
00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:26,000
Speaker 1: this guy drop back and you know, not get him

383
00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:27,400
Speaker 1: the ball downfield.

384
00:20:28,280 --> 00:20:31,320
Speaker 2: You mean like Patrick Mahomes watched Travis Kelsey drop interceptions

385
00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:32,879
Speaker 2: into the defender's laps all year.

386
00:20:33,880 --> 00:20:36,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, at this point it doesn't matter. But

387
00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:41,160
Speaker 1: I would think not that Bouchelle is any better, But yeah,

388
00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:43,080
Speaker 1: you're right, I think that he might have a short

389
00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:45,840
Speaker 1: leash this game at least, and maybe just give him

390
00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:48,879
Speaker 1: the first half or something, so a lot of different

391
00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:51,679
Speaker 1: outs here for him to end up throwing less than

392
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:52,359
Speaker 1: one hundred yards.

393
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:54,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, but the one thing you have working

394
00:20:55,000 --> 00:20:56,240
Speaker 2: for you, I mean, besides the fact that it's a

395
00:20:56,320 --> 00:20:58,119
Speaker 2: ridiculous prop and like it should have win like one

396
00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:02,040
Speaker 2: hundred times out of one hundred, is that the Chiefs

397
00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:06,760
Speaker 2: should not actually be favored by anything. Like they're playing

398
00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:08,000
Speaker 2: this guy at quarterback.

399
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:11,880
Speaker 1: The Raiders are going to do everything possible to lose, right.

400
00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:17,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, But to the Chiefs, well, they don't like thirty

401
00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:19,840
Speaker 2: they lost to the Titans by like they got blown

402
00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:21,560
Speaker 2: up by the Titans and then they threw for sixty

403
00:21:21,600 --> 00:21:24,879
Speaker 2: six yards against the Broncos. So like going the Raiders

404
00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:29,600
Speaker 2: of Kenny Pickett and like better starters at uh probably

405
00:21:30,160 --> 00:21:34,560
Speaker 2: most most most positions should not should not be like

406
00:21:34,600 --> 00:21:36,560
Speaker 2: six point home dog. I'm saying, like it could be,

407
00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:37,680
Speaker 2: Like I could see if you make it like a

408
00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:40,680
Speaker 2: pick them Chiefs by under a field goal six five

409
00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:43,040
Speaker 2: and a half six is ridiculous, So it could be

410
00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:46,439
Speaker 2: a pass heavier game script then yeah, but.

411
00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, if the Raiders lose, they lock up the number

412
00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:53,440
Speaker 1: one pick, right, So yeah, they have every incentive to

413
00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:56,119
Speaker 1: lose this game. And I like, you know, the script

414
00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:59,720
Speaker 1: writers could have done it better with Fernando Mendoza having

415
00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:03,360
Speaker 1: you to Sin City. That'll be a like a Netflix

416
00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:05,080
Speaker 1: Netflix shown itself right there.

417
00:22:06,640 --> 00:22:09,440
Speaker 2: Oh man, Yeah, this is I mean, I just I

418
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,560
Speaker 2: still can't remember. Have we ever had a worse quarterbacks

419
00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:15,560
Speaker 2: like Slate than week than this year. I don't know

420
00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:19,440
Speaker 2: if I remember worse than like like I have, like

421
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:21,760
Speaker 2: Shudor Sanders is my quarterback nineteen.

422
00:22:22,960 --> 00:22:30,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, like Mit is my QB nineteen. That's pretty bad. Actually,

423
00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:31,920
Speaker 1: I don't even know what I'm doing with that. But

424
00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:35,760
Speaker 1: Tanner McKee QB eighteen. I actually think he's better than

425
00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:38,600
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts when it comes to, you know, lifting the offense.

426
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:41,560
Speaker 1: But he's he's going to be throwing to Johan Dotson.

427
00:22:41,280 --> 00:22:45,040
Speaker 2: And Darius Cooper is good though. Watch off for Darius

428
00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:46,000
Speaker 2: Cooper how I can.

429
00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:50,359
Speaker 1: He's maybe not better than a J Brown or DeVante Smith,

430
00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:53,920
Speaker 1: but yeah, no, he's gonna be good. Uh Qus Watkins,

431
00:22:54,040 --> 00:22:57,400
Speaker 1: might you know returned from the practice squad? Really?

432
00:22:57,480 --> 00:22:58,720
Speaker 2: So yeah, he's got a practice squad?

433
00:22:59,440 --> 00:23:02,680
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, oh wow, Arizona are.

434
00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:04,679
Speaker 2: In our projection sheet and I always like delete him

435
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:06,520
Speaker 2: to give him somebody that actually was in the NFL,

436
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:08,119
Speaker 2: like a spot.

437
00:23:08,960 --> 00:23:09,879
Speaker 1: I didn't even know he was.

438
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:12,080
Speaker 2: Actually, I think him practice squad.

439
00:23:13,000 --> 00:23:13,919
Speaker 1: I think they'll call him.

440
00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:17,760
Speaker 2: Okay, well now, yeah Marius Cooper, that might be. That

441
00:23:17,840 --> 00:23:21,919
Speaker 2: might have to be a touchdown show bet uh touchdown

442
00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:24,840
Speaker 2: show on the Action Network podcast with Guy Joe this Friday,

443
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:26,840
Speaker 2: So look out for that. But let's get into running

444
00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:27,320
Speaker 2: back top five.

445
00:23:27,359 --> 00:23:30,280
Speaker 1: We got oh we uh hold on?

446
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:33,200
Speaker 2: Who do I have pivot switch?

447
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:36,120
Speaker 1: Well? Yes, I didn't have that. I wasn't even ready

448
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:41,280
Speaker 1: for this. Okay, here we go, uh Bjeon Robinson, I

449
00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:43,639
Speaker 1: think he needs two hundred and forty three yards for

450
00:23:43,800 --> 00:23:46,359
Speaker 1: like the record or something like that. So I have

451
00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:51,879
Speaker 1: him number one. I have Christian McCaffrey, Jamier Gibbs, Derrick Henry,

452
00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:53,400
Speaker 1: and Travis Etn.

453
00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:58,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have McCaffrey, Jon Henry, Gibbs, et N. Watch

454
00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:01,159
Speaker 2: out for McCaffrey though he's on the injury report. Uh

455
00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:04,480
Speaker 2: with the back mc mcbathrey, I guess I don't know whatever,

456
00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:07,919
Speaker 2: but yeah, no, I mean he's been on there before.

457
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:12,320
Speaker 2: He hasn't missed any time, so it's probably nothing burger.

458
00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:15,040
Speaker 2: But he also had that situation like what was it

459
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,520
Speaker 2: last year where they're like, oh, yeah, he's questionable for

460
00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:18,760
Speaker 2: Week one and then he missed.

461
00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:25,439
Speaker 1: Shanahan. But uh and they play Saturday, so yeah, one

462
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:27,800
Speaker 1: less day to get ready. But it's a big game.

463
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:29,960
Speaker 1: I would imagine he's out there. But yeah, definitely, you know,

464
00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:32,520
Speaker 1: keep cabs on that who.

465
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:33,320
Speaker 2: Are highing and running back.

466
00:24:34,280 --> 00:24:36,639
Speaker 1: Okay, so now now we're getting to the you know,

467
00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:41,200
Speaker 1: Week eighteen special where hopefully your fantasy season's over. I

468
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:44,280
Speaker 1: heard some people their commissioner has this week as the finals.

469
00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:49,000
Speaker 1: That's madness my opinion, I think Week eighteen's a fun

470
00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:53,000
Speaker 1: DFS week. Every week's a fun prop week, but especially

471
00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:55,800
Speaker 1: Week eighteen. Uh So I'm gonna go with Tony Pollard

472
00:24:55,880 --> 00:25:00,240
Speaker 1: as a background high on because you know, so he

473
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:04,920
Speaker 1: needs sixty six rushing yards for two hundred and fifty

474
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:09,200
Speaker 1: thousand dollars bonus. So I think this is gonna be

475
00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:11,200
Speaker 1: a fun one to kind of dissect with you. I

476
00:25:11,280 --> 00:25:12,919
Speaker 1: think this will be my prop, so you don't need

477
00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:15,040
Speaker 1: to weigh in which way you're going with this, But

478
00:25:15,480 --> 00:25:17,160
Speaker 1: I think this is gonna be a fun prop where

479
00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:19,879
Speaker 1: it could be kind of like sharps for squares on

480
00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:23,000
Speaker 1: this because he needs sixty six rushing yards to clear this,

481
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:26,920
Speaker 1: and he's been on fire right He had, you know,

482
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:29,800
Speaker 1: a three game stretch of one hundred plus yards, snapped

483
00:25:29,840 --> 00:25:32,920
Speaker 1: it last last week with eighty five yards. But they're

484
00:25:32,920 --> 00:25:35,480
Speaker 1: going up against you know, the Jaguars, who you know

485
00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:37,200
Speaker 1: are playing for the number one seed. They have a

486
00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:39,600
Speaker 1: very good run defense. They're going to be going all

487
00:25:39,640 --> 00:25:43,480
Speaker 1: out in this game. So you know, Pauler might need

488
00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:47,240
Speaker 1: twenty carries to clear this number, possibly, so they would

489
00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:48,960
Speaker 1: kind of have to go out of their way for him,

490
00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:52,720
Speaker 1: which I don't know I think they will, but you know,

491
00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:55,480
Speaker 1: I think the prop market will have his prop right

492
00:25:55,600 --> 00:26:00,960
Speaker 1: around here. So again I'm gonna pivot to you your

493
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:02,560
Speaker 1: opinion on this when we get to the prop section.

494
00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:04,200
Speaker 1: But this is what I could go either way on

495
00:26:04,760 --> 00:26:08,080
Speaker 1: where it's gonna be a high line against this Jaguars

496
00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:11,520
Speaker 1: defense in the spot as twelve point underdogs, but he's

497
00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:13,920
Speaker 1: also playing for an incentive. So this is one of

498
00:26:13,920 --> 00:26:17,000
Speaker 1: those incentives that it's right around where I think he's

499
00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:20,040
Speaker 1: gonna have to be projected. So this is gonna be

500
00:26:20,080 --> 00:26:22,680
Speaker 1: a fascinating prop to kind of be watching. But I've

501
00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:24,720
Speaker 1: been high on Collar, you know, the last few weeks.

502
00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:27,160
Speaker 1: But I think this week, with this incentive, it does

503
00:26:27,280 --> 00:26:30,520
Speaker 1: help boost his projections where he might take some snaps

504
00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:33,360
Speaker 1: away from Tajai Spears. But I just wanted to open

505
00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:36,600
Speaker 1: up with my first, like real incentive prop I'll be

506
00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:37,280
Speaker 1: eyeing this week.

507
00:26:38,119 --> 00:26:43,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think they'll probably I could see them giving

508
00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:46,080
Speaker 2: him a lot of carries and him not getting it.

509
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:48,080
Speaker 2: I think that's I want to say it happened last

510
00:26:48,119 --> 00:26:50,080
Speaker 2: year to where he was he was getting a lot

511
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:52,080
Speaker 2: of work down the stretch and then he actually didn't

512
00:26:52,119 --> 00:26:54,240
Speaker 2: get I think he's heading into the final week like

513
00:26:54,680 --> 00:26:56,439
Speaker 2: he had something within reach, and he was he had

514
00:26:56,480 --> 00:26:59,960
Speaker 2: like twenty five carries. Oh yeah, let me look that up.

515
00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:00,680
Speaker 1: I remember that.

516
00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:03,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I don't want to misspeak, so I'm gonna

517
00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:04,360
Speaker 2: make sure.

518
00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:07,000
Speaker 1: I remember something like that. So I think you're you're

519
00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:07,960
Speaker 1: definitely onto something.

520
00:27:08,600 --> 00:27:10,920
Speaker 2: Uh, let's see twenty twenty four Pollered.

521
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:12,200
Speaker 1: See.

522
00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:15,280
Speaker 2: I know he was pretty inefficient in yeah, last game

523
00:27:15,320 --> 00:27:17,280
Speaker 2: of the season. I forget what the exact number he

524
00:27:17,320 --> 00:27:19,520
Speaker 2: needed was, but he carried twenty two times when he

525
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:23,000
Speaker 2: only gained sixty two yards. So that's a very possible

526
00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:26,400
Speaker 2: outcome here too, Like he could just get the work

527
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:30,000
Speaker 2: and still not not get there. I think that's I

528
00:27:30,080 --> 00:27:32,480
Speaker 2: think that's probably what will happen, honestly, because the Jags,

529
00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:35,600
Speaker 2: You're right, they are playing, they are playing for seeding.

530
00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:38,200
Speaker 1: I think that's that's a good point. And I think

531
00:27:38,359 --> 00:27:41,000
Speaker 1: like when it comes to these things, people think it's silly,

532
00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:44,239
Speaker 1: which some of them are, and it's like, oh, why

533
00:27:44,280 --> 00:27:46,440
Speaker 1: would the team try to, you know, pay him more money.

534
00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:49,200
Speaker 1: I think in these situations you want to act in

535
00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:51,680
Speaker 1: good faith. And if you're trying to attract free agents

536
00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:54,639
Speaker 1: to sign with your team, if you just you know,

537
00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:57,280
Speaker 1: recently stiffed the guy trying to get incentive. Like do

538
00:27:57,320 --> 00:28:00,359
Speaker 1: you remember when Sean Payton he pulled a It was

539
00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:03,399
Speaker 1: mark Ingram. Markingraham needed one more touchdown to get like

540
00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:06,080
Speaker 1: a half million dollars and they got like first and

541
00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:07,720
Speaker 1: goal on the one and he pulled him out and

542
00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:09,720
Speaker 1: he put Kamara in there, and mark Ingram was throwing

543
00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:10,000
Speaker 1: a fit.

544
00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:14,679
Speaker 2: It was like, had that multiple times. And then they

545
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:16,560
Speaker 2: had the Jamis Winston thing where he instead of the

546
00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:20,000
Speaker 2: kneel down, he handed off to Jamal Williams for the touchdown.

547
00:28:20,680 --> 00:28:22,680
Speaker 1: So little subtle things like that, you might be like,

548
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:24,720
Speaker 1: I don't want to play for that prick that's gonna

549
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:26,879
Speaker 1: he's not gonna look after my incentives at the end,

550
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:29,240
Speaker 1: and the Titans have a shit ton of money to

551
00:28:29,280 --> 00:28:32,080
Speaker 1: spend next year. So I just think in these situations,

552
00:28:32,160 --> 00:28:35,680
Speaker 1: the teams, you know, when it's close, like they kind

553
00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:37,119
Speaker 1: of want the player to hit it, like they're not

554
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:38,680
Speaker 1: going to go out of the way to prevent him

555
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:42,400
Speaker 1: from getting it. So I think it benefits the player

556
00:28:42,480 --> 00:28:44,120
Speaker 1: and the team to a certain extent to kind of

557
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:46,760
Speaker 1: let these players hit these if it is close. So

558
00:28:47,240 --> 00:28:49,880
Speaker 1: that's kind of why I do take these seriously, especially

559
00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:52,880
Speaker 1: one like this where it's already very close to where

560
00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:56,160
Speaker 1: I'm projecting him. Anyway, some of these incentives. If the

561
00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:58,680
Speaker 1: guy needs like two hundred rushing yards and they have

562
00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:00,760
Speaker 1: the seed blocked up, it's like, obviously they're not going

563
00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:03,440
Speaker 1: to try for that. But you know, I think this

564
00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:05,360
Speaker 1: is one of those props where it's definitely going to

565
00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 1: come in and play.

566
00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:10,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, and so yeah, I'm pretty much you're right. Most

567
00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:13,720
Speaker 2: teams will go out of their way. Three exceptions I've

568
00:29:13,760 --> 00:29:15,840
Speaker 2: noticed just by looking at like some of the past ones.

569
00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:19,400
Speaker 2: The Cowboys, I think they pulled Cooper Rush when he

570
00:29:19,400 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 2: had a chance to do it last year that he

571
00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 2: ended up like not starting the game. Yeah, the Chiefs

572
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,280
Speaker 2: they did it with DeAndre Hopkins last year, and then

573
00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:31,960
Speaker 2: this year like Hunt and Marquis Brown had stuff within reach,

574
00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:35,880
Speaker 2: And I noticed, like in week sixteen their snaps started decreasing,

575
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:37,600
Speaker 2: Like last week they were a little higher, but like

576
00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:39,400
Speaker 2: it was like when now it's like out of reach.

577
00:29:39,840 --> 00:29:44,280
Speaker 2: So the Chiefs and then the Bucks string Shepherd one

578
00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:47,440
Speaker 2: reception away. Now they might let him do it, but

579
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:50,520
Speaker 2: he's been a healthy scratch each of the past like

580
00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:53,520
Speaker 2: two weeks, he's one reception away the.

581
00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:57,480
Speaker 1: Should they're finally healthy receive the receiver room is finally healthy.

582
00:29:59,240 --> 00:30:02,240
Speaker 1: This is a meaning game, so I wouldn't be shocked

583
00:30:02,280 --> 00:30:04,880
Speaker 1: that they still have him as a healthy scratch, all right.

584
00:30:04,920 --> 00:30:07,480
Speaker 2: So I'm so there's there's one. There's a here's a

585
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:10,320
Speaker 2: guy that I like incentive wise because he if he

586
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:13,360
Speaker 2: to reach his he he could. He would need a

587
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:16,720
Speaker 2: big game, but he could get it because they have

588
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:19,720
Speaker 2: nothing to play for it. That's the Bills. So Ty Johnson,

589
00:30:21,240 --> 00:30:23,320
Speaker 2: he's kind of taken over that number two back this year,

590
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:25,400
Speaker 2: so he I could see. I know, like Ray Davis

591
00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:27,560
Speaker 2: usually is like the thought of like he's gonna be

592
00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:30,600
Speaker 2: the guy to get the work when when the Bills

593
00:30:30,640 --> 00:30:33,520
Speaker 2: are kind of playing for nothing. But Ty Johnson is

594
00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:39,320
Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty six rushing yards away from one

595
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:42,240
Speaker 2: hundred and twenty five K and then fifty seven receiving

596
00:30:42,320 --> 00:30:44,440
Speaker 2: yards away from one hundred and twenty five K and

597
00:30:45,080 --> 00:30:48,360
Speaker 2: two touchdowns away from two fifty K. So if he

598
00:30:48,440 --> 00:30:50,600
Speaker 2: gets like if he puts up like a monster like

599
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:53,400
Speaker 2: two hundred and forty yard scrimmage game and with two touchdowns,

600
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:55,680
Speaker 2: he could get like half a million dollars. So I

601
00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:59,160
Speaker 2: think they might actually give him that number two back

602
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:01,480
Speaker 2: work low because we've talked about this, how like it

603
00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:03,360
Speaker 2: used to be Davis as the one for one backup

604
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:05,040
Speaker 2: for Cook, but this year it has just really been

605
00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:09,040
Speaker 2: Ty Johnson is the past and run straight up, you know, backup.

606
00:31:09,120 --> 00:31:11,360
Speaker 2: So that's the one I'm kind of watching for. I

607
00:31:11,400 --> 00:31:12,880
Speaker 2: think they might give him a shot at that one.

608
00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:15,560
Speaker 2: And then but Rico Daudo was one in like a

609
00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:18,479
Speaker 2: meaningful game that he needs one more touchdown for two

610
00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:20,360
Speaker 2: hundred and fifty K, So I think he'll get a

611
00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:22,920
Speaker 2: shot at at the goal on and then he'll need

612
00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:25,280
Speaker 2: seven scrimmage dargs for a million, so he'll he'll get

613
00:31:25,320 --> 00:31:27,400
Speaker 2: that either way. But I think Dado for a touchdown

614
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:29,680
Speaker 2: in that Panthers Bucks game could be interesting.

615
00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:32,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, those are guys. I didn't realize the Ty Johnson one.

616
00:31:32,840 --> 00:31:34,880
Speaker 1: But yeah, that's a game where I wasn't sure how

617
00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:37,200
Speaker 1: to split up, you know, touches with you know, him

618
00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:39,040
Speaker 1: and Ray Davis. So it make a ton of sense

619
00:31:39,480 --> 00:31:41,960
Speaker 1: for them to just unleash him for you know, these

620
00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:43,280
Speaker 1: incentives and.

621
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:45,120
Speaker 2: You know, and uh, you know it's another funny one.

622
00:31:45,360 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 2: Nick Texas, Nick Chubb, he would get two hundred and

623
00:31:49,000 --> 00:31:52,440
Speaker 2: fifty K for if he hits forty if he plays

624
00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:54,320
Speaker 2: forty percent of the team snaps, and then he would

625
00:31:54,320 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 2: get another like a million. U what is it, another

626
00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:00,320
Speaker 2: two undred and fifty k if he had eight eight

627
00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:02,840
Speaker 2: hundred rushing yards he has five h six. But remember

628
00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:05,960
Speaker 2: who started getting all the backup work when like a

629
00:32:06,000 --> 00:32:09,040
Speaker 2: few weeks ago it was John Jordan instead of Chub.

630
00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:11,280
Speaker 2: So I think it's sexat might have to add them

631
00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:13,720
Speaker 2: to the list of those teams that aren't.

632
00:32:15,680 --> 00:32:18,760
Speaker 1: Jordan earned those snaps though, and Chubb lost those snaps,

633
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:19,760
Speaker 1: to be fair.

634
00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:22,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, but it's just it was notable because they were

635
00:32:22,680 --> 00:32:25,120
Speaker 2: like you could see it kind of like a moment

636
00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:27,920
Speaker 2: where Chub was just kind of still operating as that

637
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:30,840
Speaker 2: clear weed back and it just kind of, no, we're

638
00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:34,560
Speaker 2: going to use the practice like that, all right? Who

639
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:35,320
Speaker 2: are you long?

640
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,880
Speaker 1: Okay? So I think when it comes to these, you know,

641
00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:42,400
Speaker 1: Week eighteen incentives milestones, if you remember several years ago,

642
00:32:42,560 --> 00:32:44,480
Speaker 1: I think you and I were both able to kind

643
00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:48,960
Speaker 1: of bet these and crush I remember, I think it

644
00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:51,840
Speaker 1: was like justin Jefferson's rookie season, it was like he

645
00:32:51,960 --> 00:32:55,680
Speaker 1: needed a he needed like one hundred and two yards

646
00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:57,440
Speaker 1: for the record or something. And I told you I

647
00:32:57,520 --> 00:32:59,440
Speaker 1: was projecting him for like one hundred and ten yards

648
00:33:00,080 --> 00:33:02,560
Speaker 1: because they're going to get it for him. And like

649
00:33:02,640 --> 00:33:04,520
Speaker 1: they offered his prop at like eighty five and a

650
00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:06,720
Speaker 1: half and I just remember unloading as much as I

651
00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:09,920
Speaker 1: possibly could on that and he finished with like one

652
00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:13,360
Speaker 1: hundred and thirty. Those days are over. I think everybody

653
00:33:13,480 --> 00:33:16,479
Speaker 1: knows the incentives. I'm seeing the sports books literally tweeting

654
00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:21,680
Speaker 1: out the incentives props. So here's the strategy I've had.

655
00:33:21,960 --> 00:33:23,920
Speaker 1: I think it was starting last year, two years ago.

656
00:33:23,960 --> 00:33:27,080
Speaker 1: But I'm going to remind people right now. I just

657
00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:29,400
Speaker 1: mentioned Tony Pollard getting a ton of carries trying to

658
00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:31,360
Speaker 1: get sixty six. I think you're right. I think he

659
00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:34,280
Speaker 1: gets like twenty two carries for like low sixties or something.

660
00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:38,160
Speaker 1: Who gets hurt the most by them spamming Pollard with

661
00:33:38,680 --> 00:33:42,360
Speaker 1: you know, touches taj Spears. So I'm not going to

662
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 1: make this all about tajre Spears. But my whole point

663
00:33:44,680 --> 00:33:47,640
Speaker 1: is that Tase Spears will probably see less work because

664
00:33:47,640 --> 00:33:50,200
Speaker 1: of it. And if they might not even offer a

665
00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:53,440
Speaker 1: prop for tajre Spears, especially a rushing prop, but if

666
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:55,560
Speaker 1: they do, that would be the prop I'm probably betting

667
00:33:55,640 --> 00:33:59,800
Speaker 1: on as kind of a correlation with Pollard, you know,

668
00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:03,080
Speaker 1: seeing more work. So taj Spears, you know, he has

669
00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:06,760
Speaker 1: the same issues as uh Pollard. Here, it's it's a

670
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:09,600
Speaker 1: tough matchup against the Jaguars. They have a great run defense,

671
00:34:09,760 --> 00:34:12,360
Speaker 1: Jags are playing for the number one seed. Titans are

672
00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:16,239
Speaker 1: massive underdogs, probably won't have to run much. So you know,

673
00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:18,640
Speaker 1: if Tony Pollard is getting a few extras, you know,

674
00:34:18,719 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 1: snaps on early downs, those are being taken away from

675
00:34:21,680 --> 00:34:24,359
Speaker 1: Tajre Spears. So I'll be looking for a Tajre Spears

676
00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:27,400
Speaker 1: rushing prop and looking for the under just because that

677
00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:30,600
Speaker 1: correlates so heavily with you know, Pollard's over. So that's

678
00:34:30,680 --> 00:34:34,200
Speaker 1: kind of my theme with the you know, Week eighteen

679
00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:36,840
Speaker 1: betting now with everybody kind of knowing about the incentives

680
00:34:36,880 --> 00:34:40,680
Speaker 1: and betting overs, I'm looking for the players that would

681
00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:43,400
Speaker 1: get hurt by that player seeing more work, if that

682
00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:46,280
Speaker 1: makes sense. So in this case, it'd be Tajre Spears.

683
00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:48,840
Speaker 1: With everybody else that we're going to talk about or

684
00:34:48,920 --> 00:34:51,680
Speaker 1: that you see has incentives, just think about what player

685
00:34:52,320 --> 00:34:56,000
Speaker 1: will be losing snaps or losing targets or touches for

686
00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:58,960
Speaker 1: that player to kind of hit that milestone or incentive.

687
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:02,040
Speaker 2: Yeah no, that's that's that's totally Uh, that's a great

688
00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:04,440
Speaker 2: strategy because I'm looking at it and last year power

689
00:35:04,680 --> 00:35:07,600
Speaker 2: Uh Spears didn't play. It looks like in that game,

690
00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:13,239
Speaker 2: so Julius Chestnut and Joshua Kelly were the backups and

691
00:35:13,320 --> 00:35:18,319
Speaker 2: they combined for three carries and thirteen yards no touch.

692
00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:21,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, Spears must have been hurt because it looked like

693
00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:23,800
Speaker 1: he played five straight games before that, so he was

694
00:35:23,840 --> 00:35:26,279
Speaker 1: due to miss the game due to injury. But I'm

695
00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:28,040
Speaker 1: guessing he was hurt, right he wasn't.

696
00:35:28,160 --> 00:35:30,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, let me see, because I think he had a

697
00:35:30,560 --> 00:35:32,320
Speaker 2: good end of the year last year if I'm not mistaken.

698
00:35:32,480 --> 00:35:35,000
Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, yeah he was. Yeah. Yeah, he's sat

699
00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:37,839
Speaker 1: so it must have been hurt. But he's he's healthy now,

700
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:42,120
Speaker 1: So again I think it's not even They probably won't

701
00:35:42,160 --> 00:35:44,600
Speaker 1: even offer a prop for him. But that's, you know,

702
00:35:44,719 --> 00:35:46,560
Speaker 1: kind of my point. Some of these guys are going

703
00:35:46,600 --> 00:35:49,160
Speaker 1: to have props where you know they're they're going to

704
00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:52,440
Speaker 1: be losing some work due to some player, like trying

705
00:35:52,480 --> 00:35:54,160
Speaker 1: to go for a certain number.

706
00:35:55,000 --> 00:35:58,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm I agree with my Bido standards, I'd be

707
00:35:58,120 --> 00:36:00,239
Speaker 2: going Ray Davis because I think, you know, people will

708
00:36:00,280 --> 00:36:02,800
Speaker 2: be again just a little higher on him just because

709
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:05,160
Speaker 2: he is like that third back and more of the

710
00:36:05,320 --> 00:36:06,800
Speaker 2: rush you know, I thought of it was more of

711
00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:08,320
Speaker 2: the rushing back, but I think there's a chance that

712
00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:11,080
Speaker 2: could just be more Tai Johnson in this one, just

713
00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:13,520
Speaker 2: because they've been also playing Dawson Knox and he's been

714
00:36:13,880 --> 00:36:16,320
Speaker 2: you know, like a couple of touchdowns, you know, like

715
00:36:16,360 --> 00:36:18,400
Speaker 2: one hundreds of odd yards away from certain centers for

716
00:36:18,480 --> 00:36:20,719
Speaker 2: weeks now, and they start to play him more and

717
00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:24,439
Speaker 2: hold kin Kate out, so I think they'd be they'd

718
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:28,279
Speaker 2: probably be willing to give Tie a shot there. But

719
00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:32,239
Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'm gonna actually say Ashton genty because the

720
00:36:32,360 --> 00:36:36,160
Speaker 2: Raiders have just been so miserable that I could see

721
00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:39,720
Speaker 2: them like healthy scratching him or like keeping him active,

722
00:36:39,800 --> 00:36:42,520
Speaker 2: but not like just pulling him in the second quarter

723
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:46,360
Speaker 2: doing some weird stuff with him. He is, he's like

724
00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:48,480
Speaker 2: one hundred and twelve yards short of a thousand, So

725
00:36:48,560 --> 00:36:51,279
Speaker 2: I think people might be like, Okay, he's gonna you know,

726
00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:53,360
Speaker 2: he's gonna try to he's gonna get that. But the

727
00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:55,719
Speaker 2: way the Raiders have been tanking. I don't know I would.

728
00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:58,480
Speaker 2: I would be very cautious, like maybe you bet, like,

729
00:36:58,920 --> 00:37:03,359
Speaker 2: you know, like a big plus money something with him

730
00:37:03,640 --> 00:37:06,839
Speaker 2: yardage and then his median unders because I think it's

731
00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:09,120
Speaker 2: I think he's more likely to just get pulled the

732
00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:11,719
Speaker 2: way the Raiders have been going, especially, and it'd be hard.

733
00:37:11,840 --> 00:37:14,800
Speaker 2: You only had one hundred twelve or more yards twice

734
00:37:14,880 --> 00:37:17,040
Speaker 2: in a game, so it's not like it's that line

735
00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:19,360
Speaker 2: is so bad. It's not likely anyway. So yeah, I

736
00:37:19,400 --> 00:37:22,640
Speaker 2: think genty Is is pretty dangerous this week, even though

737
00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:25,640
Speaker 2: he didn't seem it seem like it on paper. Who

738
00:37:25,640 --> 00:37:26,680
Speaker 2: we got for the running back prop?

739
00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:32,480
Speaker 1: Tony Poller, I'm gonna set his prop at like sixty

740
00:37:33,239 --> 00:37:34,439
Speaker 1: nine and a half rushing yards?

741
00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 2: Nice, uh, and what does he need? What's the incentive?

742
00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:41,239
Speaker 1: Sixty six? And I think I think his prop's going

743
00:37:41,320 --> 00:37:45,239
Speaker 1: to be right around there, and it like, I think

744
00:37:45,239 --> 00:37:47,680
Speaker 1: people are going to bet it up because it's not like, oh,

745
00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:51,120
Speaker 1: he's gonna get sixty seven and stop, like ideally they

746
00:37:51,239 --> 00:37:52,840
Speaker 1: just give him so much work early on that he

747
00:37:52,960 --> 00:37:55,000
Speaker 1: kind of clears it. But I think I think the

748
00:37:55,239 --> 00:37:58,399
Speaker 1: market's going to be right around sixty six and a half.

749
00:37:58,480 --> 00:37:59,960
Speaker 1: So that's why I'm just gonna set it sixty night

750
00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:00,399
Speaker 1: and a half.

751
00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:03,480
Speaker 2: I'll go under because I think that's just lead too

752
00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:07,080
Speaker 2: high given the actual like what his actual median would

753
00:38:07,080 --> 00:38:10,719
Speaker 2: be would be closer to like fifty four, right, like

754
00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:13,520
Speaker 2: fifty to fifty five, I would say, just given the

755
00:38:15,280 --> 00:38:19,480
Speaker 2: pass rate and the split with spears, especially as a

756
00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:22,480
Speaker 2: trailing game script. So yeah, yeah, I'm going under that

757
00:38:22,880 --> 00:38:25,840
Speaker 2: because the fact that they got they didn't get he

758
00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:27,680
Speaker 2: only got like a two point eight yards per carry

759
00:38:27,719 --> 00:38:29,279
Speaker 2: in a spot like this last year. Yeah, I'm going

760
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:31,359
Speaker 2: to go under. I'm gonna go Yeah.

761
00:38:31,360 --> 00:38:34,400
Speaker 1: I think that's and again I'm I'm already kind of

762
00:38:34,440 --> 00:38:38,000
Speaker 1: applying my manual week eighteen adjustment with this. But yeah,

763
00:38:38,760 --> 00:38:42,120
Speaker 1: like my meeting would be around fifty five fifty six,

764
00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:45,919
Speaker 1: so so he's already gonna be kind of in that range.

765
00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:47,239
Speaker 1: So I'm going to give him, you know, a couple

766
00:38:47,360 --> 00:38:51,600
Speaker 1: more carries just because he's clearly playing for this. So yeah,

767
00:38:51,680 --> 00:38:56,239
Speaker 1: I'm wondering like if there would be a way to like, yeah,

768
00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:59,200
Speaker 1: kind of attack his like Russia tenth prop versus his

769
00:38:59,320 --> 00:39:02,480
Speaker 1: rushing cars. But I think ideally they just offer a

770
00:39:02,560 --> 00:39:04,960
Speaker 1: prop for Tare Spears and that just makes it way easier.

771
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:06,920
Speaker 1: But I think this is one of those props. It's

772
00:39:06,920 --> 00:39:09,080
Speaker 1: gonna be fascinating. I think his prop will be right

773
00:39:09,120 --> 00:39:11,799
Speaker 1: around sixty six and a half. All weekend, You're going

774
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:13,560
Speaker 1: to see a lot of people kind of debating it.

775
00:39:13,680 --> 00:39:15,400
Speaker 1: So I think this is one of the more fascinating

776
00:39:15,800 --> 00:39:18,800
Speaker 1: Week eighteen projections in my opinion, because again, the Titans

777
00:39:18,840 --> 00:39:21,200
Speaker 1: have nothing to play for, and it should.

778
00:39:20,960 --> 00:39:22,840
Speaker 2: Probably fade me on this one because I think I

779
00:39:22,960 --> 00:39:26,239
Speaker 2: bet he's under Yeah, I bet he's under the game.

780
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:30,560
Speaker 2: He had a season high sixty one. I guess the

781
00:39:30,600 --> 00:39:35,600
Speaker 2: Cleveland Browns. In Cleveland Browns, Yeah yeah, so uh yeah,

782
00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:38,399
Speaker 2: take take that out of the green stuck wide receiver

783
00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:40,920
Speaker 2: who got in the top five Pooka for.

784
00:39:41,040 --> 00:39:44,680
Speaker 1: Now number one, and then I have JYSN, Jamar, Chase

785
00:39:44,920 --> 00:39:46,960
Speaker 1: almon Ross, Saint Brown, and Ceedee Lamb.

786
00:39:47,520 --> 00:39:51,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I got JSN, Pooka, Chase Lamb, and Chris O.

787
00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:53,759
Speaker 2: Lave Again. I think I had him in there last

788
00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:57,279
Speaker 2: week too, So yeah, let's let's let's stick with it.

789
00:39:57,360 --> 00:39:59,640
Speaker 2: Just because of Monro. I think Monro should play, but

790
00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:02,600
Speaker 2: he I believe he's questionable the Lions technically are he

791
00:40:02,680 --> 00:40:04,120
Speaker 2: didn't have anything to play for it, but I think

792
00:40:04,160 --> 00:40:05,839
Speaker 2: I think they'll show up this week. So I think

793
00:40:06,600 --> 00:40:10,000
Speaker 2: I think Amhra will play, but that is something to note.

794
00:40:10,080 --> 00:40:13,839
Speaker 2: He's on the injury report again. Who are you high?

795
00:40:15,160 --> 00:40:19,040
Speaker 1: I'm high on Deebo Samuel who needs looks like ninety

796
00:40:19,080 --> 00:40:23,400
Speaker 1: three receiving yards for close to half a million dollars,

797
00:40:23,560 --> 00:40:28,920
Speaker 1: two touchdowns for another quarter million. And the Eagles, you know,

798
00:40:28,960 --> 00:40:31,360
Speaker 1: it sounds like they're expected to wrest their starters or

799
00:40:31,440 --> 00:40:33,680
Speaker 1: key players now at least, So yeah, I would assume,

800
00:40:33,760 --> 00:40:36,799
Speaker 1: you know, Quinna and Mitchell Cooper Dejene will be out

801
00:40:36,840 --> 00:40:40,040
Speaker 1: here making this you know, much easier matchup than you know,

802
00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:43,839
Speaker 1: the season one metrics would indicate. So uh, Debo has

803
00:40:43,880 --> 00:40:47,560
Speaker 1: a real shot to get this. You know, probably gonna

804
00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:50,440
Speaker 1: have Josh Johnson under center. I think Marcus Mariota has

805
00:40:50,560 --> 00:40:53,520
Speaker 1: already been ruled out, so expect Debo to be up

806
00:40:53,560 --> 00:40:56,040
Speaker 1: in you know, Josh Johnson's ear reminding him that he

807
00:40:56,239 --> 00:40:59,040
Speaker 1: needs I'm not even joking. I think he will be.

808
00:41:00,160 --> 00:41:02,560
Speaker 1: We've heard you know, Mike up players. They're on the

809
00:41:02,600 --> 00:41:06,160
Speaker 1: sideline literally talking about this kind of stuff. Debo seems

810
00:41:06,239 --> 00:41:08,040
Speaker 1: to be, you know, one of those guys that would

811
00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:12,080
Speaker 1: absolutely be harping at his quarterback about this. So I think,

812
00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:14,600
Speaker 1: you know, he's going to get close to this. He's

813
00:41:14,640 --> 00:41:16,800
Speaker 1: one of those props that I think is gonna be fascinating.

814
00:41:17,239 --> 00:41:20,440
Speaker 1: And this is definitely this is probably what double what

815
00:41:20,600 --> 00:41:23,000
Speaker 1: you probably project for him. So this is a you know,

816
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:27,080
Speaker 1: very good incentive for his props. So I think this

817
00:41:27,239 --> 00:41:29,560
Speaker 1: is also a situation where on the other side, you

818
00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:33,640
Speaker 1: could just fade Terry McLaurin maybe his receptions because he

819
00:41:33,680 --> 00:41:35,440
Speaker 1: could still catch a long one here. But you know,

820
00:41:35,520 --> 00:41:38,279
Speaker 1: if they're trying to spam debo with targets here, that

821
00:41:38,320 --> 00:41:40,800
Speaker 1: would be at the expense of Terry McLaurin. Plus, you know,

822
00:41:40,920 --> 00:41:43,480
Speaker 1: Josh Johnson's you know, gonna hurt a guy like Terry

823
00:41:43,520 --> 00:41:46,040
Speaker 1: McLaurin anyway. And then you know, on the other side,

824
00:41:46,120 --> 00:41:49,200
Speaker 1: is it John Johnson. John Dotson might get a ton

825
00:41:49,239 --> 00:41:52,759
Speaker 1: of playing time too, right with you know, Brown and

826
00:41:52,880 --> 00:41:55,440
Speaker 1: Smith out that this is a revenge game for him,

827
00:41:55,520 --> 00:41:58,120
Speaker 1: He could go off. I know, you like Darius Cooper,

828
00:41:59,360 --> 00:42:01,440
Speaker 1: he could be But it wouldn't shock me if we

829
00:42:01,560 --> 00:42:04,640
Speaker 1: just don't get any props from Eagles players. One of

830
00:42:04,680 --> 00:42:07,480
Speaker 1: the things that you know, I kind of remind people

831
00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:11,160
Speaker 1: is week eighteen, prepared to be disappointed with how few

832
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:14,279
Speaker 1: props are actually offered. So I think a team like

833
00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:16,520
Speaker 1: the Eagles, we might not even see props for them,

834
00:42:17,520 --> 00:42:19,480
Speaker 1: even though that would be fun. But yeah, I think

835
00:42:19,560 --> 00:42:23,080
Speaker 1: on the you know, incentives and DFS side, I think

836
00:42:23,160 --> 00:42:25,279
Speaker 1: Debo is going to be a good play this week.

837
00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:29,640
Speaker 2: Yeah. I had him for Action Island, him and him

838
00:42:29,640 --> 00:42:32,759
Speaker 2: and Josh Johnson Josh Johnson unders and Debo overs or

839
00:42:32,840 --> 00:42:36,960
Speaker 2: my picks and that came through, so shouts to deb had.

840
00:42:36,920 --> 00:42:40,719
Speaker 1: Another twenty yard rushing prop for Oh my god, that

841
00:42:40,800 --> 00:42:41,080
Speaker 1: might have.

842
00:42:41,080 --> 00:42:43,120
Speaker 2: Been the worst line I think I've seen all year

843
00:42:43,120 --> 00:42:45,080
Speaker 2: because I was just like, I just it was one

844
00:42:45,080 --> 00:42:46,360
Speaker 2: of those lines where I think it was like we

845
00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:48,160
Speaker 2: had Erv Smith in the playoffs once and it was

846
00:42:48,239 --> 00:42:49,719
Speaker 2: like five and a half and we were like, wait,

847
00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:51,319
Speaker 2: aren't we projecting him for like zero?

848
00:42:52,320 --> 00:42:52,440
Speaker 1: Oh?

849
00:42:52,560 --> 00:42:54,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, it was like that kind of thing where it

850
00:42:54,520 --> 00:42:56,760
Speaker 2: was like, I'm projecting this guy for like ten yards.

851
00:42:56,800 --> 00:42:58,480
Speaker 2: Why why is his line twenty two?

852
00:42:58,640 --> 00:43:05,120
Speaker 1: Because he used to have rushing ability. He's forty years old.

853
00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:08,200
Speaker 1: I remember him in the XFL when he was on

854
00:43:08,320 --> 00:43:11,080
Speaker 1: the LA team and he was already kind of cooked

855
00:43:11,160 --> 00:43:14,560
Speaker 1: as a runner then, so yeah, like by now he's

856
00:43:14,600 --> 00:43:16,560
Speaker 1: not going to be averaging twenty plus yards a game.

857
00:43:17,480 --> 00:43:26,120
Speaker 2: Yeah no, not, not, not at all. I'm high on

858
00:43:26,880 --> 00:43:29,360
Speaker 2: I'm just mentioned I want to talk like Parker Washington.

859
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:34,839
Speaker 2: He and he's like the Jaguars number two.

860
00:43:34,920 --> 00:43:35,040
Speaker 1: Now.

861
00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:39,160
Speaker 2: It seems like he overtook in routes run Brian Thomas

862
00:43:39,480 --> 00:43:42,560
Speaker 2: Junior last week. So I just want to get him

863
00:43:42,640 --> 00:43:46,239
Speaker 2: his name out there, like he is like a guy

864
00:43:46,320 --> 00:43:48,520
Speaker 2: that's just trending up, like he came back from injury

865
00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:51,280
Speaker 2: and kind of an actor thought, Okay, you know Myers

866
00:43:51,360 --> 00:43:52,840
Speaker 2: is here and he's just done. He's just put up

867
00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:56,040
Speaker 2: a couple hundred yard games. So definitely high on him

868
00:43:56,600 --> 00:44:00,160
Speaker 2: in another game that the Jaguars have to take seriously, hear. So,

869
00:44:00,600 --> 00:44:02,719
Speaker 2: just wanted to get any thoughts on him, like are

870
00:44:02,760 --> 00:44:05,680
Speaker 2: you projecting him as from more points Fantasy points than

871
00:44:05,719 --> 00:44:09,160
Speaker 2: Michael Thomas now, Michael Brian Thomas now, yes.

872
00:44:09,080 --> 00:44:15,279
Speaker 1: Michael Thomas, I have him for twelve more points than him. Yeah, yeah,

873
00:44:15,480 --> 00:44:18,239
Speaker 1: Like remember I've been talking him up past couples. I

874
00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:20,319
Speaker 1: think I get him on the Touchdown Show any game

875
00:44:20,400 --> 00:44:22,359
Speaker 1: that you see he doesn't have a touchdown this year

876
00:44:22,760 --> 00:44:24,319
Speaker 1: is when I gave him out on the Touchdowns show.

877
00:44:24,800 --> 00:44:27,600
Speaker 1: Yeah there it is. Yeah, yeah, No, he's just been phenomenal.

878
00:44:27,640 --> 00:44:30,319
Speaker 1: I don't know what's up with Brian Thomas Junior. I'll

879
00:44:30,320 --> 00:44:33,839
Speaker 1: have to dive into that in the offseason. But yeah, he's,

880
00:44:34,360 --> 00:44:37,600
Speaker 1: like you said, he's the number two wide receiver. Jacoby

881
00:44:37,680 --> 00:44:40,040
Speaker 1: Myers is also playing phenomenal as well. He's my wide

882
00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:43,879
Speaker 1: receiver ten. And Parker Washington's my wide receiver twenty. So yeah,

883
00:44:44,080 --> 00:44:45,080
Speaker 1: I'm high on him as well.

884
00:44:46,600 --> 00:44:48,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I mean they're all pretty much they're all

885
00:44:48,800 --> 00:44:51,800
Speaker 2: up there because it's this is another it's a great matchup.

886
00:44:51,880 --> 00:44:55,800
Speaker 2: But yeah, Parker Washington is in sad my wide receiver seventeen.

887
00:44:56,360 --> 00:45:01,279
Speaker 2: So that is I did not see that coming, Like you.

888
00:45:01,280 --> 00:45:04,400
Speaker 1: Know, Travis Hunter coming back next year. Gonna be interesting

889
00:45:04,440 --> 00:45:05,759
Speaker 1: to see how this all sorts out.

890
00:45:07,160 --> 00:45:09,560
Speaker 2: They might, I mean I heard rumors that they were

891
00:45:09,600 --> 00:45:12,400
Speaker 2: listening to offers on Brian Thomas. I wonder if that

892
00:45:12,600 --> 00:45:15,320
Speaker 2: they just go that route, but they might have to

893
00:45:15,400 --> 00:45:17,840
Speaker 2: rehab his value. It almost feels like you would trade

894
00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:21,800
Speaker 2: Washington now because his value is probably more outside of

895
00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:25,319
Speaker 2: the noise. Yeah, exactly, Yeah, that would make more sense. Yeah,

896
00:45:26,560 --> 00:45:27,160
Speaker 2: all right, who won?

897
00:45:28,680 --> 00:45:32,600
Speaker 1: I'm a little one Troy Franklin. You know, after looking

898
00:45:32,719 --> 00:45:35,759
Speaker 1: like a year or two breakout in the first half

899
00:45:35,800 --> 00:45:38,840
Speaker 1: of the season, he's definitely cooled off a bit in

900
00:45:38,920 --> 00:45:41,440
Speaker 1: the second half here, and it's really just been his

901
00:45:41,560 --> 00:45:44,399
Speaker 1: playing time has taken a big hit. Especially last week.

902
00:45:44,719 --> 00:45:47,880
Speaker 1: He had just a forty routes run rate and that

903
00:45:48,040 --> 00:45:51,040
Speaker 1: was with Pat Bryant out, which is crazy because you know,

904
00:45:51,080 --> 00:45:54,239
Speaker 1: as Marvin Mems and little Jordan Humphrey were the ones

905
00:45:54,239 --> 00:45:56,279
Speaker 1: who saw the playing time you know, go up, but

906
00:45:56,440 --> 00:45:59,320
Speaker 1: you know, Franklin's took a hit. Uh. So you know

907
00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:01,680
Speaker 1: this week they're playing a Chargers team that's you know,

908
00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:05,359
Speaker 1: resting Justin Herbert, possibly more key players, so this could

909
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:08,680
Speaker 1: be a run heavy game script for the Broncos. And

910
00:46:08,800 --> 00:46:12,319
Speaker 1: Franklin's managed to clear four or more receptions and three

911
00:46:12,360 --> 00:46:15,120
Speaker 1: straight games. So I'll be looking to see if books

912
00:46:15,200 --> 00:46:18,080
Speaker 1: float like a three and a half reception prop for

913
00:46:18,200 --> 00:46:19,880
Speaker 1: him or something like that. I'll be you know, on

914
00:46:20,000 --> 00:46:22,400
Speaker 1: the under there. But he's the guy that you know,

915
00:46:22,719 --> 00:46:25,879
Speaker 1: his box scores haven't looked that bad lately, but man,

916
00:46:26,000 --> 00:46:27,960
Speaker 1: his playing time has taken a big hit, and it's

917
00:46:28,239 --> 00:46:32,280
Speaker 1: definitely worrisome and kind of in theme with like Brian

918
00:46:32,360 --> 00:46:36,160
Speaker 1: Thomas junior Lad mcconkee. Not that Troy Franklin had a

919
00:46:36,200 --> 00:46:39,439
Speaker 1: good rookie season, but last year's class is looking really

920
00:46:39,560 --> 00:46:43,120
Speaker 1: rough right now. I think there's only been like one

921
00:46:43,200 --> 00:46:45,840
Speaker 1: player from last year's class that has cleared eight hundred

922
00:46:45,920 --> 00:46:47,120
Speaker 1: yards this year, which is wild.

923
00:46:48,200 --> 00:46:48,480
Speaker 2: Oh wow.

924
00:46:48,560 --> 00:46:48,719
Speaker 1: Yeah.

925
00:46:48,760 --> 00:46:50,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, McConkie has been one of kind of kind of

926
00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:53,239
Speaker 2: under the radar. I got first, it didn't seem like much,

927
00:46:53,320 --> 00:46:58,720
Speaker 2: but this these last six games, he's been thirteen thirty nine, twelve,

928
00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:01,040
Speaker 2: twenty forty three and thirty one yards just no, no,

929
00:47:01,400 --> 00:47:04,160
Speaker 2: nothing even fifty yards. No fifty yard games from a

930
00:47:04,239 --> 00:47:07,160
Speaker 2: conky So yeah, Franklin, Yeah, you know, he used to

931
00:47:07,160 --> 00:47:09,560
Speaker 2: see like Franklin. It was just a matter of like

932
00:47:09,760 --> 00:47:12,279
Speaker 2: zone versus man like zone heavy defenses. He would play

933
00:47:12,320 --> 00:47:14,600
Speaker 2: more and then man heavy he would play lest which

934
00:47:14,680 --> 00:47:16,440
Speaker 2: would make sense against the Chiefs, but he also had

935
00:47:16,520 --> 00:47:18,160
Speaker 2: like a bad game against the Raiders a few weeks

936
00:47:18,200 --> 00:47:20,799
Speaker 2: ago and didn't play as much, which kind of goes

937
00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:23,839
Speaker 2: against that. So yeah, it's just Sean Payton. He did

938
00:47:23,960 --> 00:47:28,440
Speaker 2: everyone but Courtland saton Man, right, and and Harvey now,

939
00:47:28,520 --> 00:47:30,040
Speaker 2: but yeah, everyone but those two guys.

940
00:47:31,560 --> 00:47:35,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean Dobbins could be back for the playoffs, right, possibly.

941
00:47:35,800 --> 00:47:38,040
Speaker 2: So maybe, Yeah, I kind of think I think it

942
00:47:38,080 --> 00:47:41,719
Speaker 2: would be a stretch. But we'll see. He's always like

943
00:47:42,040 --> 00:47:46,279
Speaker 2: more more optimistic than like the actual doctors are, so

944
00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:46,759
Speaker 2: we'll see.

945
00:47:47,440 --> 00:47:50,440
Speaker 1: Right. So I thought Tyrone Tracy Junior is the only

946
00:47:50,520 --> 00:47:54,000
Speaker 1: player from last year's draft with eight hundred plus scrimmage yards.

947
00:47:54,239 --> 00:47:56,439
Speaker 2: Oh wow, And he didn't he didn't have a great

948
00:47:56,480 --> 00:47:58,480
Speaker 2: year to start. It's just kind of came together.

949
00:47:58,920 --> 00:48:02,919
Speaker 1: Because La Yeah. Yeah, I mean, you know, Neighbors missed

950
00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:05,759
Speaker 1: most of the season, so there's there's players that could

951
00:48:05,760 --> 00:48:08,000
Speaker 1: have done it if they're healthy. But yeah, just last

952
00:48:08,040 --> 00:48:12,040
Speaker 1: year's class pretty disappointing a year or two for them.

953
00:48:13,360 --> 00:48:17,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, absolutely, It's it's kind of inexplicable too. I

954
00:48:18,000 --> 00:48:21,560
Speaker 2: don't know what. I don't can't really point anything point

955
00:48:21,600 --> 00:48:25,560
Speaker 2: anything specific with any of those, like the class as

956
00:48:25,560 --> 00:48:25,839
Speaker 2: a whole.

957
00:48:25,880 --> 00:48:27,080
Speaker 1: It's just right.

958
00:48:31,960 --> 00:48:37,560
Speaker 2: I'm low on Christian Watson and really all the Packers

959
00:48:37,600 --> 00:48:39,880
Speaker 2: receivers because I don't know who's gonna play and they

960
00:48:39,960 --> 00:48:42,440
Speaker 2: all just might split snaps. Some guy if but like

961
00:48:42,520 --> 00:48:46,680
Speaker 2: the starters like Watson, Dobbs, and Read, I would be

962
00:48:47,000 --> 00:48:48,759
Speaker 2: careful with because I don't know if they're gonna they

963
00:48:48,840 --> 00:48:50,520
Speaker 2: might one of them might be active. I don't know

964
00:48:50,520 --> 00:48:52,080
Speaker 2: if they're going to play much. They all kind of

965
00:48:52,080 --> 00:48:56,040
Speaker 2: split staffs last week. And then the same goes for

966
00:48:56,200 --> 00:48:59,000
Speaker 2: just like the Chiefs and the Coast Wide receivers. I

967
00:48:59,120 --> 00:49:03,720
Speaker 2: just don't I just don't try us at all, like Worthy, Brown, Pittman,

968
00:49:04,000 --> 00:49:07,719
Speaker 2: all these guys down Ryany Leonard going up against the

969
00:49:07,760 --> 00:49:10,919
Speaker 2: Texans D and then older Oakin in a spot where

970
00:49:11,120 --> 00:49:12,720
Speaker 2: I just don't know if he can throw for yards

971
00:49:12,800 --> 00:49:16,439
Speaker 2: even against the tanking Raiders. So I just don't trust

972
00:49:16,480 --> 00:49:18,800
Speaker 2: any of the those receivers on any of those teams.

973
00:49:18,880 --> 00:49:23,760
Speaker 2: But uh, let's see, Oh it's me for the prop.

974
00:49:26,200 --> 00:49:28,680
Speaker 2: I should I should give you like a Bills receiver prop.

975
00:49:30,160 --> 00:49:35,120
Speaker 2: I don't know, very active, so now probably gonna be

976
00:49:35,120 --> 00:49:36,719
Speaker 2: active over under.

977
00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:40,279
Speaker 1: Uh, they gotta punish Coleman and make him active for

978
00:49:40,520 --> 00:49:41,319
Speaker 1: K team and play.

979
00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:47,800
Speaker 2: Oh he's going I could think leading week team and

980
00:49:47,880 --> 00:49:52,840
Speaker 2: receiving yards that kind of week. Oh, I think I

981
00:49:52,920 --> 00:49:56,480
Speaker 2: actually got a fun one. This has been a hard

982
00:49:56,520 --> 00:50:00,480
Speaker 2: projection and it's it's the first game on Saturday. So

983
00:50:00,920 --> 00:50:05,880
Speaker 2: I'm gonna give you receiving yards Mike Evans or a

984
00:50:06,000 --> 00:50:09,480
Speaker 2: Mecca Buka plus Jaylen McMillan.

985
00:50:09,840 --> 00:50:14,360
Speaker 1: Oh, some correlation there, Let's see because.

986
00:50:14,440 --> 00:50:17,319
Speaker 2: Went off last week. Evan's okay, because yeah, it's tough

987
00:50:17,320 --> 00:50:19,360
Speaker 2: because McMillan went off last week for and he's been

988
00:50:19,400 --> 00:50:21,480
Speaker 2: playing the same amount as a Buka. So I think

989
00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:23,759
Speaker 2: it's an interesting prop because they add up to like

990
00:50:23,920 --> 00:50:26,719
Speaker 2: a little Weston Evans. But you also it's like two guys,

991
00:50:26,760 --> 00:50:28,440
Speaker 2: so you have more upside with the two guys.

992
00:50:28,560 --> 00:50:29,480
Speaker 1: One of them go off.

993
00:50:30,040 --> 00:50:33,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, but I get it again has the higher overall

994
00:50:33,080 --> 00:50:38,120
Speaker 2: media just like yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, I was gonna

995
00:50:38,120 --> 00:50:39,440
Speaker 2: I was gonna do like all four of them, but

996
00:50:39,640 --> 00:50:41,600
Speaker 2: I think the math was easier just with this one.

997
00:50:41,719 --> 00:50:44,120
Speaker 2: So tight ends who got in the top five for

998
00:50:44,200 --> 00:50:45,919
Speaker 2: week eighteen Turner all right.

999
00:50:46,960 --> 00:50:51,719
Speaker 1: Trey McBride obviously, uh, George Kittle assuming he suits up,

1000
00:50:51,840 --> 00:50:55,960
Speaker 1: Kyle Pitts, Brenton Strange number four, uh, and our guy

1001
00:50:56,040 --> 00:50:57,520
Speaker 1: Harold Fannon Junior number five.

1002
00:50:58,239 --> 00:51:02,080
Speaker 2: So I I would have those guys, uh, well Fannin

1003
00:51:02,600 --> 00:51:04,759
Speaker 2: and Kiddle, but I have them like a little less

1004
00:51:05,000 --> 00:51:07,399
Speaker 2: playing time So I'm just gonna give the actual top

1005
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:11,680
Speaker 2: five that I have right now because it's pretty funny. Uh, Treyman, Bride, Hunter, Henry,

1006
00:51:12,080 --> 00:51:14,640
Speaker 2: Kyle Pitts, Dalton Schultz, A J. Barner.

1007
00:51:15,920 --> 00:51:18,600
Speaker 1: Oh hell yeah, that sounds like my dream top five.

1008
00:51:18,880 --> 00:51:20,560
Speaker 1: Kidding me, love it.

1009
00:51:20,640 --> 00:51:23,399
Speaker 2: And if I IF I, if I, if I make

1010
00:51:23,520 --> 00:51:26,080
Speaker 2: like if I treat Kobe Parkinson like a starter and

1011
00:51:26,520 --> 00:51:29,359
Speaker 2: like give him more rest, I think Terrence Ferguson would

1012
00:51:29,400 --> 00:51:31,960
Speaker 2: actually be up there too, but Parkinson would be if

1013
00:51:32,000 --> 00:51:35,719
Speaker 2: I didn't, so I yeah, but uh, it's uh, it's

1014
00:51:35,800 --> 00:51:37,520
Speaker 2: it's wide open at tight End this weekend. We gotta

1015
00:51:37,520 --> 00:51:41,160
Speaker 2: see what's happening with the Bears receivers, because yeah, if

1016
00:51:41,239 --> 00:51:45,359
Speaker 2: multiple Bears receivers miss probably Coaston Lovelin would have a shot.

1017
00:51:45,400 --> 00:51:47,799
Speaker 2: I would think too to be up there. Yeah, all right,

1018
00:51:47,840 --> 00:51:48,719
Speaker 2: who are hiring at tight End?

1019
00:51:49,160 --> 00:51:52,560
Speaker 1: Yeah? I'm high on Hunter. Henry sounds like you have

1020
00:51:52,719 --> 00:51:56,399
Speaker 1: number two. You know, I might end up there, but yeah,

1021
00:51:56,440 --> 00:51:59,239
Speaker 1: he needs yeah, he needs five catches this week for

1022
00:52:00,040 --> 00:52:04,000
Speaker 1: Quarder a million dollars. You know, with him five receptions

1023
00:52:04,080 --> 00:52:06,480
Speaker 1: is obviously well within reach. But not you know, it

1024
00:52:06,480 --> 00:52:10,840
Speaker 1: wouldn't be my median projection for him, So you know,

1025
00:52:10,960 --> 00:52:15,320
Speaker 1: having that little extra incentive definitely boosts his projection for

1026
00:52:15,440 --> 00:52:19,200
Speaker 1: me this week. Plus, there's all that uncertainty around Stefan Diggs.

1027
00:52:19,200 --> 00:52:20,799
Speaker 1: I don't know what's happening there. I don't know if

1028
00:52:20,800 --> 00:52:24,320
Speaker 1: he's playing this week or in the playoffs.

1029
00:52:24,400 --> 00:52:27,359
Speaker 2: But yeah, I don't think he's playing with playing this week.

1030
00:52:28,440 --> 00:52:30,879
Speaker 1: Well yeah we know, yeah, his brother's not playing this week.

1031
00:52:30,920 --> 00:52:35,080
Speaker 1: But yeah, yeah, so I have him tendally, I have

1032
00:52:35,160 --> 00:52:38,080
Speaker 1: him in right now, just because it's early in week eighteen.

1033
00:52:38,160 --> 00:52:41,080
Speaker 1: I'm not, you know, being that diligent with something like that,

1034
00:52:41,239 --> 00:52:44,200
Speaker 1: but I'm assuming he's going to be out, so mentally,

1035
00:52:44,560 --> 00:52:47,200
Speaker 1: you know, I have Henry for a little bit more work. Plus,

1036
00:52:47,360 --> 00:52:49,399
Speaker 1: you know the Patriots can win the number one seed

1037
00:52:49,480 --> 00:52:51,920
Speaker 1: here that they are going to be trying. They're ten

1038
00:52:51,960 --> 00:52:55,080
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites, so they might want to

1039
00:52:55,120 --> 00:52:57,880
Speaker 1: try to get him more looks early on because they

1040
00:52:57,920 --> 00:53:00,439
Speaker 1: would probably be planning on, you know, having a lead

1041
00:53:00,920 --> 00:53:03,359
Speaker 1: later in the game. Maybe that's when we see guys

1042
00:53:03,440 --> 00:53:05,880
Speaker 1: like Ft and Chisholm and I got Kyle Williams go

1043
00:53:06,000 --> 00:53:06,880
Speaker 1: off a touchdown.

1044
00:53:07,120 --> 00:53:09,279
Speaker 2: I think I think every time I joke around about

1045
00:53:09,280 --> 00:53:11,000
Speaker 2: a guy scoring a touchdown, like when we're off air

1046
00:53:11,200 --> 00:53:14,560
Speaker 2: on like the I think it was Sunday Action playbook,

1047
00:53:14,600 --> 00:53:19,480
Speaker 2: he scores like yeah, yeah, yeah, he's one catch with

1048
00:53:19,560 --> 00:53:20,040
Speaker 2: a touchdown.

1049
00:53:20,520 --> 00:53:23,399
Speaker 1: Yeah, he had two catches. He was an official play

1050
00:53:23,440 --> 00:53:25,920
Speaker 1: in the app. I hit that attack of one and

1051
00:53:26,480 --> 00:53:28,520
Speaker 1: I was waiting for some Kyle because we were kind

1052
00:53:28,520 --> 00:53:31,360
Speaker 1: of talking about this. I was waiting for Kyle Williams

1053
00:53:31,480 --> 00:53:33,640
Speaker 1: yardage props. I don't think we got one. We saw

1054
00:53:33,760 --> 00:53:37,440
Speaker 1: them in game, and Chishm, they didn't have any pregame

1055
00:53:37,520 --> 00:53:41,800
Speaker 1: props for him, so I just took the touchdowns. But yeah, Chisholm,

1056
00:53:42,320 --> 00:53:44,560
Speaker 1: anytime that he's going to see an up ticking playing

1057
00:53:44,680 --> 00:53:47,359
Speaker 1: time in May's under center, I'm going to be all

1058
00:53:47,440 --> 00:53:50,839
Speaker 1: in on that until people kind of realize how good

1059
00:53:50,840 --> 00:53:53,600
Speaker 1: he is. But yeah, so I think when it comes

1060
00:53:53,640 --> 00:53:56,480
Speaker 1: to Henry, maybe looking at like first half props or

1061
00:53:56,560 --> 00:53:59,160
Speaker 1: like first quarter props. A lot of books offer those,

1062
00:54:00,400 --> 00:54:03,880
Speaker 1: just I'm thinking hunter Henry gets going early is kind

1063
00:54:03,920 --> 00:54:06,280
Speaker 1: of angle. I'm thinking when it comes to his incentive,

1064
00:54:06,840 --> 00:54:09,440
Speaker 1: I'm sure they're going to have his receptions prop at

1065
00:54:09,520 --> 00:54:13,239
Speaker 1: like four and a half juiced way over, But I

1066
00:54:13,360 --> 00:54:17,120
Speaker 1: think one workaround with that would again just be betting

1067
00:54:17,200 --> 00:54:20,000
Speaker 1: his first quarter prop because I think they'll they'll try

1068
00:54:20,040 --> 00:54:22,239
Speaker 1: to like get him going early because of it. So

1069
00:54:22,480 --> 00:54:26,000
Speaker 1: either way, I'm high on him already. But yeah, Hunter

1070
00:54:26,080 --> 00:54:28,200
Speaker 1: Henry this week very high on as well.

1071
00:54:29,560 --> 00:54:32,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I agree. I mean he's my tight end.

1072
00:54:32,200 --> 00:54:35,000
Speaker 2: He's my tight end too, which he's up. He's above

1073
00:54:35,080 --> 00:54:37,000
Speaker 2: Kyle Pitts somehow. I don't even know how that. Oh,

1074
00:54:37,080 --> 00:54:40,080
Speaker 2: I guess becuz you have digs out. Maybe I have

1075
00:54:40,160 --> 00:54:47,360
Speaker 2: digs No, he just had a Kyle Pitts. Uh, but

1076
00:54:47,840 --> 00:54:51,840
Speaker 2: I'll give somebody out. I'm high on well, yeah, Barner.

1077
00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:56,120
Speaker 2: So Barner, I like because you know, obviously, like you said,

1078
00:54:56,160 --> 00:54:59,040
Speaker 2: with Darnold's mustling or not a muscling game, but a

1079
00:54:59,080 --> 00:55:01,800
Speaker 2: game they're going to be trying. The Niners defense is

1080
00:55:01,920 --> 00:55:04,480
Speaker 2: not good. Niners tend to play about his own and

1081
00:55:04,719 --> 00:55:08,960
Speaker 2: they tend to sit back and not give up explosive plays. So, uh,

1082
00:55:09,360 --> 00:55:11,680
Speaker 2: it could be a game where you have to rely

1083
00:55:11,840 --> 00:55:13,800
Speaker 2: on some of those checkdowns to Barner and remember it

1084
00:55:13,880 --> 00:55:17,000
Speaker 2: or she Shaheed got can cuss that they play on Saturday,

1085
00:55:17,120 --> 00:55:21,640
Speaker 2: so there's a decent chance that Shaheed doesn't go. And

1086
00:55:22,600 --> 00:55:25,160
Speaker 2: Cody White, who's been kind of the other guy that

1087
00:55:25,200 --> 00:55:27,240
Speaker 2: they were playing in that role also is on ir

1088
00:55:27,360 --> 00:55:29,279
Speaker 2: and so is Horton, So like they don't really have

1089
00:55:29,360 --> 00:55:32,360
Speaker 2: a deep threat right now, so they might mean that

1090
00:55:32,520 --> 00:55:35,600
Speaker 2: might meet even more checkdowns for Darnold and what could

1091
00:55:35,600 --> 00:55:37,520
Speaker 2: be a real high scoring game. We saw them just

1092
00:55:37,600 --> 00:55:41,279
Speaker 2: have that coverage bust against Coaston Loveland last week too,

1093
00:55:41,400 --> 00:55:43,919
Speaker 2: so maybe maybe that happens and he actually does get deep.

1094
00:55:44,000 --> 00:55:47,360
Speaker 2: But either way, this is probably the last, first and

1095
00:55:47,440 --> 00:55:49,680
Speaker 2: last time I'm gonna have a J. Barner in my

1096
00:55:49,800 --> 00:55:52,239
Speaker 2: top five to open the week. So uh and go

1097
00:55:52,400 --> 00:55:54,319
Speaker 2: with him as the.

1098
00:55:54,400 --> 00:55:58,680
Speaker 1: Last I mean, he's he's got that tush push too bad.

1099
00:55:58,719 --> 00:56:01,439
Speaker 1: Sharp is so good as like a goal line back.

1100
00:56:02,120 --> 00:56:04,239
Speaker 1: I think Sharpan had a two yard scorer last week.

1101
00:56:04,280 --> 00:56:06,120
Speaker 1: But if they do get down to the one, I

1102
00:56:06,200 --> 00:56:09,200
Speaker 1: think there's still a chance that they let Barner get

1103
00:56:09,200 --> 00:56:13,239
Speaker 1: an attempt there. And yeah, great point on Shad, and

1104
00:56:14,200 --> 00:56:16,120
Speaker 1: I'll take it a step further if she heeds out

1105
00:56:16,800 --> 00:56:22,800
Speaker 1: less like long kickoff and punt returns the field. So

1106
00:56:23,560 --> 00:56:25,920
Speaker 1: I'm with you on the Barner love here as well,

1107
00:56:26,080 --> 00:56:28,680
Speaker 1: like maybe his like reception prop or something, just because

1108
00:56:29,200 --> 00:56:31,200
Speaker 1: you know, they might just have longer fields as a

1109
00:56:31,280 --> 00:56:34,680
Speaker 1: result as well with if she heeds out, and.

1110
00:56:34,960 --> 00:56:36,680
Speaker 2: Another one I want to mention because I think he

1111
00:56:36,800 --> 00:56:39,480
Speaker 2: was going to play, and because he's kind of the

1112
00:56:39,600 --> 00:56:43,239
Speaker 2: co starter. But Dawson Knox needs six receptions for one

1113
00:56:43,320 --> 00:56:47,600
Speaker 2: hundred K, seven yards for another one hundred k, and

1114
00:56:47,640 --> 00:56:50,040
Speaker 2: then and in one more touchdown for another hundred K,

1115
00:56:50,160 --> 00:56:52,719
Speaker 2: So six receptions for seven yards. He could at least

1116
00:56:52,719 --> 00:56:55,560
Speaker 2: get the seven yards in the touchdown, if not the

1117
00:56:55,600 --> 00:56:58,440
Speaker 2: six receptions, So either way, I think they might give

1118
00:56:58,480 --> 00:57:00,319
Speaker 2: him a chance to get at least two of those three.

1119
00:57:01,120 --> 00:57:03,719
Speaker 2: So he's another guy that I'm high on for the

1120
00:57:03,760 --> 00:57:05,360
Speaker 2: Bills because they really don't have anything to play for,

1121
00:57:05,400 --> 00:57:07,080
Speaker 2: and they've been holding out to Kaid and it seems

1122
00:57:07,080 --> 00:57:09,399
Speaker 2: like they have been going to Knox a little bit more.

1123
00:57:10,120 --> 00:57:12,839
Speaker 1: So Knox and Tie will be like fighting each other

1124
00:57:13,000 --> 00:57:14,440
Speaker 1: for touchdowns.

1125
00:57:15,120 --> 00:57:17,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, to get one snap to keep the streak alive

1126
00:57:17,440 --> 00:57:20,440
Speaker 2: and uh and yeah, will do.

1127
00:57:20,520 --> 00:57:24,160
Speaker 1: His part by leading them to zero touchdowns. So that

1128
00:57:24,200 --> 00:57:24,760
Speaker 1: will be fun.

1129
00:57:25,880 --> 00:57:28,520
Speaker 2: No, it's the Jets. It is the Jets. Name name

1130
00:57:28,600 --> 00:57:32,120
Speaker 2: like name, like two starters in the secondary, oh for

1131
00:57:32,240 --> 00:57:36,680
Speaker 2: the for the Jets that are healthy, Yeah, that will

1132
00:57:36,720 --> 00:57:37,720
Speaker 2: actually play in this game.

1133
00:57:38,520 --> 00:57:42,200
Speaker 1: Well, Brandon Stevens, I mean I had I had his

1134
00:57:42,360 --> 00:57:44,840
Speaker 1: prop a couple of weeks ago, so that's kind of cheating.

1135
00:57:45,560 --> 00:57:47,640
Speaker 1: Uh and Malachai more almost.

1136
00:57:50,000 --> 00:57:52,760
Speaker 2: Malachi more like it's it's just a bunch of guys

1137
00:57:52,800 --> 00:57:53,280
Speaker 2: on I R.

1138
00:57:53,720 --> 00:57:57,240
Speaker 1: I know that, but yeah, you can't certainly the defensive players.

1139
00:57:59,200 --> 00:58:01,640
Speaker 2: It's just funny. But it is funny though.

1140
00:58:01,720 --> 00:58:08,040
Speaker 1: Yeah, oh man, yeah again, they won't be able to

1141
00:58:08,120 --> 00:58:10,680
Speaker 1: ride James Cook, you know, leading him to the to

1142
00:58:10,760 --> 00:58:12,320
Speaker 1: the red zone every other drive.

1143
00:58:12,480 --> 00:58:15,320
Speaker 2: No, he he just hoides touchdowns in yards. Get him

1144
00:58:15,360 --> 00:58:19,280
Speaker 2: out of there. There's more to go around if he's out.

1145
00:58:19,480 --> 00:58:23,000
Speaker 1: Like for some reason, I've never like actively watching Bill's games.

1146
00:58:23,800 --> 00:58:26,080
Speaker 1: I just hate projecting them, so I usually have props

1147
00:58:26,120 --> 00:58:29,320
Speaker 1: on their games. But it's always like a corner and

1148
00:58:29,440 --> 00:58:32,120
Speaker 1: my you know, quad box over here, and just every

1149
00:58:32,160 --> 00:58:34,320
Speaker 1: time I look up, James Cook is just running. It

1150
00:58:34,400 --> 00:58:37,720
Speaker 1: looks like an eighty yard run. A few times every

1151
00:58:37,800 --> 00:58:40,040
Speaker 1: Sunday I'm just looking over just like, oh my god,

1152
00:58:40,080 --> 00:58:42,400
Speaker 1: that guy is so good. So yeah, I don't know

1153
00:58:42,400 --> 00:58:44,760
Speaker 1: if he's even playing this week. I would assume they

1154
00:58:45,280 --> 00:58:45,960
Speaker 1: it back with him.

1155
00:58:46,760 --> 00:58:48,840
Speaker 2: There's no way, right, Well, oh he's coo for the

1156
00:58:48,920 --> 00:58:49,479
Speaker 2: rushing title.

1157
00:58:49,560 --> 00:58:55,120
Speaker 1: Maybe does he give a shit about that? Is it worth?

1158
00:58:56,960 --> 00:58:57,280
Speaker 1: How far?

1159
00:58:58,160 --> 00:59:02,680
Speaker 2: Making Ty Johnson? Who's money? Oh exactly, Jonathan Taylor's forty

1160
00:59:02,720 --> 00:59:05,479
Speaker 2: seven yards behind, But Johnathan Taylor might not get forty seven.

1161
00:59:05,840 --> 00:59:11,480
Speaker 2: Darrek Henry's like, uh oh, one hundred and forty six

1162
00:59:11,600 --> 00:59:14,160
Speaker 2: yards behind. So Cook actually could get it without playing.

1163
00:59:15,240 --> 00:59:17,400
Speaker 2: He's the only running back averaging one hundred.

1164
00:59:19,360 --> 00:59:21,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, maybe he plays like a quarter, just kind of

1165
00:59:21,760 --> 00:59:23,360
Speaker 1: like pad that a little bit. I could see that

1166
00:59:23,480 --> 00:59:27,520
Speaker 1: being Yeah, you're right, Yeah, I don't think Jonathan Taylor

1167
00:59:27,600 --> 00:59:31,120
Speaker 1: is gonna get as much work this week, so Cook

1168
00:59:31,160 --> 00:59:33,640
Speaker 1: could get it without even taking a snap. But yeah,

1169
00:59:33,640 --> 00:59:35,680
Speaker 1: I bet, I bet he plays like a quarter or half.

1170
00:59:36,520 --> 00:59:38,640
Speaker 2: I mean, Terror actually could get more work because they

1171
00:59:38,720 --> 00:59:41,480
Speaker 2: try to get him the Russian title too, that could

1172
00:59:41,600 --> 00:59:42,640
Speaker 2: that could because.

1173
00:59:42,400 --> 00:59:46,280
Speaker 1: They Garrett, that's true too. Yeah, do these teams play

1174
00:59:46,280 --> 00:59:48,120
Speaker 1: at the same time. We could see a little bit

1175
00:59:48,120 --> 00:59:48,240
Speaker 1: of that.

1176
00:59:49,040 --> 00:59:52,880
Speaker 2: Coats would play the Jags. That's a four four No, yeah,

1177
00:59:52,920 --> 00:59:53,960
Speaker 2: it's a four pmo.

1178
00:59:53,720 --> 00:59:54,280
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, so.

1179
00:59:56,160 --> 00:59:57,520
Speaker 2: It's a one. If the coach play, excuse me, the

1180
00:59:57,560 --> 00:59:58,640
Speaker 2: coach play the Texans, that one.

1181
01:00:00,600 --> 01:00:06,680
Speaker 1: Cook will know exactly how many yards he would need yeah, yeah, Taylor,

1182
01:00:07,640 --> 01:00:11,480
Speaker 1: and then whatever gap there is that should be Cooks

1183
01:00:11,640 --> 01:00:15,960
Speaker 1: like rushing prop right around that range. Again, books are

1184
01:00:16,000 --> 01:00:18,480
Speaker 1: really lame about this weekend. We probably won't even see

1185
01:00:18,480 --> 01:00:20,600
Speaker 1: a James Cook prop, but so don't get too excited.

1186
01:00:20,640 --> 01:00:22,640
Speaker 1: But that would make a ton of sense. Let Cook

1187
01:00:22,680 --> 01:00:24,880
Speaker 1: at the rushing title and then pull up.

1188
01:00:26,480 --> 01:00:29,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, now he might he might Actually I don't know,

1189
01:00:29,080 --> 01:00:30,960
Speaker 2: because I mean, he just got the contracts. I don't know.

1190
01:00:31,880 --> 01:00:33,640
Speaker 2: They might. They might. They might be safe for them,

1191
01:00:34,360 --> 01:00:37,200
Speaker 2: So that would be one of the wall. But I'm

1192
01:00:37,240 --> 01:00:39,160
Speaker 2: gonna say Ty Johnson and Knocks are going to be

1193
01:00:39,240 --> 01:00:41,600
Speaker 2: the priorities. But if Cook, if Cook is like a

1194
01:00:41,640 --> 01:00:43,440
Speaker 2: few yards away, I think they because they I think

1195
01:00:43,480 --> 01:00:45,400
Speaker 2: they did about aim play to get like a touchdown record.

1196
01:00:45,680 --> 01:00:46,920
Speaker 2: I want to say it was either last year or

1197
01:00:46,920 --> 01:00:49,400
Speaker 2: two years ago, so he only played like a quarter

1198
01:00:49,480 --> 01:00:49,960
Speaker 2: or something like that.

1199
01:00:50,880 --> 01:00:55,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, like Josh Allen, like consecutive games.

1200
01:00:55,280 --> 01:00:58,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, he'll take we'll take the first step of that. Yeah,

1201
01:00:58,400 --> 01:01:00,920
Speaker 2: he might hand off the Cook who'll go for a

1202
01:01:01,000 --> 01:01:03,760
Speaker 2: seventy sixty five yard touch touchdown.

1203
01:01:04,480 --> 01:01:07,680
Speaker 1: Find some parlay that does that. There you go, that's

1204
01:01:07,840 --> 01:01:08,800
Speaker 1: that's what we're looking for.

1205
01:01:10,080 --> 01:01:12,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, Josh, Allen under everything because he did start for

1206
01:01:12,720 --> 01:01:14,520
Speaker 2: action and then and.

1207
01:01:14,600 --> 01:01:18,360
Speaker 1: Then yeah, they know better to after that.

1208
01:01:18,520 --> 01:01:23,720
Speaker 2: But yeah, who are you low on tight end?

1209
01:01:25,800 --> 01:01:30,560
Speaker 1: I'm low on Tyler Warren who actually you know, he

1210
01:01:30,640 --> 01:01:32,960
Speaker 1: bounced back last week with a solid game in the

1211
01:01:33,000 --> 01:01:37,480
Speaker 1: Fantasy finals, you know, five catches forty three yards because

1212
01:01:37,480 --> 01:01:40,000
Speaker 1: the Colts they definitely turned into more of a normal

1213
01:01:40,080 --> 01:01:45,040
Speaker 1: offense in rivers last two starts, thankfully, but this this week,

1214
01:01:45,160 --> 01:01:47,680
Speaker 1: you know, you already mentioned they're turning over to Riley Leonard.

1215
01:01:47,720 --> 01:01:51,120
Speaker 1: Here who might count for him is literally Jeff driscoll.

1216
01:01:52,800 --> 01:01:55,080
Speaker 1: Mister one right, is that his lifetime acker?

1217
01:01:55,280 --> 01:01:55,440
Speaker 2: Yep.

1218
01:01:56,440 --> 01:02:00,320
Speaker 1: As a quarterback, he's more of a legit quarterback, I

1219
01:02:00,360 --> 01:02:03,640
Speaker 1: would say, but it's kind of crazy. He's only scrambled

1220
01:02:03,720 --> 01:02:06,480
Speaker 1: once in thirty five dropbacks this year, which is kind

1221
01:02:06,520 --> 01:02:10,040
Speaker 1: of insane. In preseason, he was definitely the you know,

1222
01:02:11,200 --> 01:02:13,560
Speaker 1: the Ryle Leonard I was expecting. He scrambled quite a

1223
01:02:13,640 --> 01:02:16,560
Speaker 1: bit and he looked solid in preseason. So maybe he's

1224
01:02:16,560 --> 01:02:19,680
Speaker 1: out there slinging around. Looks good. But this is against

1225
01:02:19,720 --> 01:02:22,400
Speaker 1: the Texans, so this is a brutal matchup. The Texans,

1226
01:02:22,640 --> 01:02:24,600
Speaker 1: you know that they have something to play for, so

1227
01:02:25,240 --> 01:02:28,600
Speaker 1: you know, Warren could be his top target. You know,

1228
01:02:28,760 --> 01:02:32,000
Speaker 1: when Leonard came in a couple of weeks ago, his

1229
01:02:32,520 --> 01:02:34,760
Speaker 1: top target was pitt In. But again, that was one

1230
01:02:34,800 --> 01:02:36,720
Speaker 1: of those games where they didn't game plan for Ryley

1231
01:02:36,800 --> 01:02:40,160
Speaker 1: Leonard to play. He just came in because Daniel Jones

1232
01:02:40,200 --> 01:02:41,760
Speaker 1: got hurt. So I think with a week of prep,

1233
01:02:42,160 --> 01:02:44,560
Speaker 1: we'll see Ryle Leonard us his legs a lot more here.

1234
01:02:45,040 --> 01:02:49,600
Speaker 1: So I'm expecting more design runs, way more scrambles this week,

1235
01:02:49,720 --> 01:02:53,280
Speaker 1: so that that does take away from you know, passing volume.

1236
01:02:53,480 --> 01:02:55,360
Speaker 1: And it's already a tough matchup. So I have Tyler

1237
01:02:55,440 --> 01:02:59,360
Speaker 1: Warren ranked tight end seventeen, and he's somebody when it

1238
01:02:59,440 --> 01:03:01,760
Speaker 1: comes to you know, I might be looking at unders.

1239
01:03:02,080 --> 01:03:04,200
Speaker 1: If they do have a prop for Alec Pierce, he

1240
01:03:04,280 --> 01:03:07,440
Speaker 1: would be the guy I'm specifically trying to fade because

1241
01:03:08,120 --> 01:03:09,000
Speaker 1: of Riley Leonard.

1242
01:03:10,400 --> 01:03:13,919
Speaker 2: Could you say? Yeah?

1243
01:03:13,960 --> 01:03:16,280
Speaker 1: And then last week I was like, hell no, I'm

1244
01:03:16,320 --> 01:03:20,600
Speaker 1: never doing that again. Yeah, So that's that's just that's

1245
01:03:20,720 --> 01:03:25,680
Speaker 1: where you know, that's Alec Pearce for you. But Riley Leonard, uh,

1246
01:03:26,320 --> 01:03:28,760
Speaker 1: you know, he's not a future Hall of Fame quarterback.

1247
01:03:28,920 --> 01:03:31,480
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna show a little bit less grace here.

1248
01:03:31,520 --> 01:03:34,480
Speaker 1: But I think after all this, I think the prop

1249
01:03:34,560 --> 01:03:37,880
Speaker 1: I might be on is if they offer Riley Leonard, like,

1250
01:03:38,080 --> 01:03:40,640
Speaker 1: I don't know, twelve and a half rushing yards, I'm

1251
01:03:40,680 --> 01:03:43,520
Speaker 1: gonna hammer that over. Let's just put that out there,

1252
01:03:43,520 --> 01:03:45,080
Speaker 1: because I think he is going to use his legs

1253
01:03:45,080 --> 01:03:48,160
Speaker 1: a lot more here. Again, it's crazy. He only scrambled

1254
01:03:48,240 --> 01:03:51,440
Speaker 1: once in thirty five dropbacks here. That's not sustainable.

1255
01:03:52,000 --> 01:03:53,880
Speaker 2: So you mean like half of a Josh Johnson prop,

1256
01:03:54,200 --> 01:03:54,800
Speaker 2: half of.

1257
01:03:54,800 --> 01:03:58,720
Speaker 1: A Josh although I want to go the other way. Yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly.

1258
01:03:59,080 --> 01:04:02,320
Speaker 1: They they they were to have flipped their projections in

1259
01:04:02,400 --> 01:04:06,480
Speaker 1: their model if that's the case. So yeah, I don't

1260
01:04:06,480 --> 01:04:08,680
Speaker 1: even know if we're gonna get a Ryland rushing prop,

1261
01:04:08,760 --> 01:04:11,520
Speaker 1: but if it's somewhere around their low teens, I'll be

1262
01:04:11,560 --> 01:04:12,080
Speaker 1: hitting me over.

1263
01:04:13,040 --> 01:04:19,400
Speaker 2: I am low on, oh, Darren Waller, Darren Waller, just

1264
01:04:19,480 --> 01:04:24,240
Speaker 2: because he is splitting time with your boy Greg Dosich.

1265
01:04:24,320 --> 01:04:27,320
Speaker 2: Now at tight end, it's become like a three way rotation.

1266
01:04:27,600 --> 01:04:30,200
Speaker 2: And Waller does have some contractive centers, but they're like

1267
01:04:30,240 --> 01:04:32,920
Speaker 2: five hundred yards away or something like that. So I

1268
01:04:33,000 --> 01:04:35,920
Speaker 2: think that that has come and gone. That ship has sailed.

1269
01:04:36,400 --> 01:04:42,480
Speaker 2: But last week Waller and Dulsic. Waller was at a

1270
01:04:43,240 --> 01:04:46,800
Speaker 2: forty eight rate of the pass snaps dosage fifty three

1271
01:04:46,840 --> 01:04:49,120
Speaker 2: percent and then Julian Hill forty three percent, but he

1272
01:04:49,200 --> 01:04:52,600
Speaker 2: blocked more. So it was the route's run rates were about, yeah,

1273
01:04:52,960 --> 01:04:56,880
Speaker 2: fifty to fifty to thirty five, and that's that's been

1274
01:04:56,960 --> 01:04:59,320
Speaker 2: the trend for Waller. He went from sixty five to

1275
01:04:59,440 --> 01:05:01,960
Speaker 2: fifty eight to fifty over the like in the like

1276
01:05:02,040 --> 01:05:03,480
Speaker 2: in that range over the last three weeks. So I

1277
01:05:03,480 --> 01:05:05,760
Speaker 2: have him down a tight end twenty sixth he's still

1278
01:05:05,960 --> 01:05:09,400
Speaker 2: sixteenth and consensus. I know he's been playing well, but

1279
01:05:09,920 --> 01:05:12,480
Speaker 2: with the time and the fact that there's no incentives

1280
01:05:12,960 --> 01:05:15,000
Speaker 2: and just Doulca has been playing well and has a

1281
01:05:15,440 --> 01:05:17,200
Speaker 2: looks like he has a better report with yours, which

1282
01:05:17,320 --> 01:05:19,400
Speaker 2: just like I was a week early on the Theowies

1283
01:05:19,480 --> 01:05:24,080
Speaker 2: junior Uh yeah, no kidding, busted coverage, just wide open.

1284
01:05:24,240 --> 01:05:28,200
Speaker 2: But Dulsae went for like fifty eight and a touchdown

1285
01:05:28,240 --> 01:05:31,000
Speaker 2: from yours last week, and he had forty six yards

1286
01:05:31,040 --> 01:05:33,000
Speaker 2: the week before that, so I think he might him

1287
01:05:33,000 --> 01:05:34,880
Speaker 2: and Dowers might have some good chemistry too. So yeah,

1288
01:05:35,080 --> 01:05:36,920
Speaker 2: low on Waller this week, all right, what we're doing

1289
01:05:37,000 --> 01:05:37,560
Speaker 2: four d prop.

1290
01:05:39,200 --> 01:05:42,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna go with a Michael Mayer prop here,

1291
01:05:43,080 --> 01:05:46,960
Speaker 1: because you know Bowers's place on IR shooting hoops with

1292
01:05:47,120 --> 01:05:50,040
Speaker 1: Max Crosby right now, I'm sure of it, but.

1293
01:05:51,200 --> 01:05:56,120
Speaker 2: Just cares ownership, Like apparently whoever whoever put them on

1294
01:05:56,200 --> 01:05:58,520
Speaker 2: IR in the first place, the GM or somebody.

1295
01:05:59,440 --> 01:06:01,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, I X Crosby's home gym and he has like

1296
01:06:01,960 --> 01:06:05,800
Speaker 1: ads on the thing. It's hilarious. Yeah, so Mayor, I mean,

1297
01:06:05,920 --> 01:06:07,800
Speaker 1: I love that guy. He's got to be one of

1298
01:06:07,880 --> 01:06:10,360
Speaker 1: the top. I would say he's the back the best

1299
01:06:10,440 --> 01:06:13,920
Speaker 1: backup in the league. Maybe Isaiah likely I can give

1300
01:06:14,000 --> 01:06:14,200
Speaker 1: him a.

1301
01:06:15,040 --> 01:06:17,960
Speaker 2: Cardio kings over the last six week, over the last month.

1302
01:06:18,560 --> 01:06:23,640
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, the hell out of the fuckingm.

1303
01:06:23,000 --> 01:06:25,400
Speaker 1: Andrews is healthy, so you can never really hold him,

1304
01:06:25,720 --> 01:06:28,080
Speaker 1: uh you know, to that standard when Andrews is playing.

1305
01:06:28,200 --> 01:06:31,360
Speaker 1: But I digress, Michael Mayer, what do he do last week?

1306
01:06:31,480 --> 01:06:33,040
Speaker 1: What like too much?

1307
01:06:33,120 --> 01:06:35,400
Speaker 2: Too too much to stay on the roster for this week?

1308
01:06:35,480 --> 01:06:36,400
Speaker 2: That That's what I'll tell you.

1309
01:06:37,160 --> 01:06:42,200
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, yeah, he's gonna get punished. Yeah yeah, yeah,

1310
01:06:42,320 --> 01:06:45,400
Speaker 1: nine catches, eighty nine yards. Get the hell out of here, running.

1311
01:06:45,680 --> 01:06:51,000
Speaker 1: Where are you? Where's Albert? Oh? Get him? Out. Yeah, yeah, yeah,

1312
01:06:51,080 --> 01:06:53,080
Speaker 1: Michael Mayor is going to get a stern talking too,

1313
01:06:53,240 --> 01:06:56,160
Speaker 1: But okay, maybe that's part of the prop I'm gonna

1314
01:06:56,200 --> 01:06:59,080
Speaker 1: set his prop at Oh I don't even know if

1315
01:06:59,080 --> 01:07:01,840
Speaker 1: I could set it high enough. Let's go forty five

1316
01:07:01,920 --> 01:07:02,280
Speaker 1: and a half.

1317
01:07:05,400 --> 01:07:09,280
Speaker 2: Oh no, I'm under that even like without any manipulation.

1318
01:07:09,600 --> 01:07:12,320
Speaker 2: So yeah, I'll go under. He's might tight in fourteen,

1319
01:07:13,160 --> 01:07:14,760
Speaker 2: so I'm banking in a little bit of just like

1320
01:07:14,840 --> 01:07:18,360
Speaker 2: greater weirdness. But yeah, I have his route right up

1321
01:07:18,400 --> 01:07:20,280
Speaker 2: around eighty percent still, so I'm a little lower. I

1322
01:07:20,320 --> 01:07:23,960
Speaker 2: think he was at like ninety percent last week, let's see. Yeah, yeah,

1323
01:07:24,000 --> 01:07:25,160
Speaker 2: so I have it at eighty because he was at

1324
01:07:25,200 --> 01:07:28,160
Speaker 2: sixty three two weeks ago as Bowers playing. Then he

1325
01:07:28,200 --> 01:07:30,160
Speaker 2: went up to ninety. But they could use a few

1326
01:07:30,920 --> 01:07:33,000
Speaker 2: I think they actually might not play him as much

1327
01:07:33,080 --> 01:07:34,600
Speaker 2: just because they're trying to tank so hard. So yeah,

1328
01:07:34,880 --> 01:07:38,920
Speaker 2: I'm I'm being a widow conservative, maybe like a conservative.

1329
01:07:39,240 --> 01:07:41,400
Speaker 2: So I think that's a good line. But I would

1330
01:07:41,400 --> 01:07:43,520
Speaker 2: still be probably just a smidge under it because I

1331
01:07:43,560 --> 01:07:47,040
Speaker 2: have his media average right now at thirty eight. Yeah

1332
01:07:47,160 --> 01:07:48,520
Speaker 2: that's with a eighty percent route rate.

1333
01:07:49,160 --> 01:07:51,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have it right around there. Forty and a half.

1334
01:07:51,440 --> 01:07:57,120
Speaker 1: I just have to manually add him like Burden, Charbonnet, Korum,

1335
01:07:57,640 --> 01:07:58,480
Speaker 1: my guys.

1336
01:07:58,800 --> 01:08:03,240
Speaker 2: Came out after a bad game him, Well, that's he's.

1337
01:08:03,120 --> 01:08:06,120
Speaker 1: Not really my guy. Uh yeah, but you know, Mayor

1338
01:08:06,320 --> 01:08:09,560
Speaker 1: has always been one of my guys. Like the fact

1339
01:08:09,600 --> 01:08:12,560
Speaker 1: that Brock they took Brock Bowers has just been killing

1340
01:08:12,680 --> 01:08:15,640
Speaker 1: me the past couple Remember when I was complaining about

1341
01:08:15,680 --> 01:08:19,519
Speaker 1: Dallas Goddard playing behind zach Ertz for so long. That's

1342
01:08:19,560 --> 01:08:21,519
Speaker 1: gonna be me with Mayor for the next couple of years.

1343
01:08:21,840 --> 01:08:23,760
Speaker 1: Where would I Where would I want Mayor to go?

1344
01:08:24,000 --> 01:08:25,720
Speaker 1: Like if they were to treade him somewhere.

1345
01:08:26,960 --> 01:08:28,960
Speaker 2: Not Denver, Denver, no.

1346
01:08:30,720 --> 01:08:31,080
Speaker 1: Chiefs.

1347
01:08:33,160 --> 01:08:36,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, well maybe not, because would he would he actually

1348
01:08:36,360 --> 01:08:37,720
Speaker 2: be like him? And Noah Great could just be the

1349
01:08:37,760 --> 01:08:38,639
Speaker 2: same player, though.

1350
01:08:39,200 --> 01:08:42,280
Speaker 1: I'm so sick of no Great Just no Greg plays

1351
01:08:42,439 --> 01:08:46,320
Speaker 1: the same role and then Michael Mayer takes over. Michael

1352
01:08:46,360 --> 01:08:48,960
Speaker 1: Mayer is like, yeah, he take over the Kelsey role.

1353
01:08:49,479 --> 01:08:53,000
Speaker 1: Who says no interest division trade though?

1354
01:08:53,200 --> 01:08:54,720
Speaker 2: But yeah, yeah, probably.

1355
01:08:56,960 --> 01:08:59,599
Speaker 1: That That's what I'm well, yeah, dah.

1356
01:09:01,200 --> 01:09:04,160
Speaker 2: Ve the Well, if the Lions had made the playoffs,

1357
01:09:04,200 --> 01:09:05,840
Speaker 2: that would have been that would have been fun. But

1358
01:09:06,320 --> 01:09:07,679
Speaker 2: to get it you gotta get him to Detroy.

1359
01:09:08,840 --> 01:09:09,640
Speaker 1: No, you can't do that.

1360
01:09:10,280 --> 01:09:12,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, just send him right back when the Raiders

1361
01:09:12,040 --> 01:09:12,679
Speaker 2: of Fish tanking.

1362
01:09:15,479 --> 01:09:18,400
Speaker 1: Yeah just yeah, like an actual rental imagine.

1363
01:09:18,439 --> 01:09:20,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, there would just be so many fines and like

1364
01:09:20,600 --> 01:09:24,880
Speaker 2: it would be like the next pix. Yeah, all right, Yeah,

1365
01:09:24,880 --> 01:09:26,200
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go I wanna go under that.

1366
01:09:26,640 --> 01:09:26,760
Speaker 1: Uh.

1367
01:09:27,320 --> 01:09:29,719
Speaker 2: That is gonna wrap it up for us for week eighteen.

1368
01:09:29,800 --> 01:09:32,400
Speaker 2: Player projections here all on the Fantasy Flex. Make sure

1369
01:09:32,400 --> 01:09:34,120
Speaker 2: you subscribe to the pod so you don't miss an episode.

1370
01:09:34,120 --> 01:09:36,760
Speaker 2: Will be here for the postseason. Uh. Don't forget to

1371
01:09:36,840 --> 01:09:38,240
Speaker 2: check out the fans who have that for all of

1372
01:09:38,280 --> 01:09:40,800
Speaker 2: our projections and more. Again, you can use code flex

1373
01:09:40,840 --> 01:09:44,280
Speaker 2: twenty for twenty hours off fans who have subscription. Uh

1374
01:09:44,840 --> 01:09:46,960
Speaker 2: shuns on x at the end of Squaresmaker Matt Chris

1375
01:09:47,040 --> 01:09:49,880
Speaker 2: Raybon reco same handers on the free award winning Action Network.

1376
01:09:50,080 --> 01:09:52,720
Speaker 2: Don't forget to check out Action Network Podcast p two.

1377
01:09:53,120 --> 01:09:53,240
Speaker 1: Uh.

1378
01:09:53,680 --> 01:09:55,400
Speaker 2: Later in the week, we'll have the touchdown show that

1379
01:09:55,520 --> 01:09:57,920
Speaker 2: guy Jill the want as well. Until next time, it's

1380
01:09:57,920 --> 01:10:08,840
Speaker 2: fish money Sex. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly

1381
01:10:09,280 --> 01:10:12,040
Speaker 2: if you or someone you care about has a gambling problem.

1382
01:10:12,400 --> 01:10:15,000
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1383
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