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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting bros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey P. Joe Pisapia and

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Speaker 1: this is BP NFL Scott Bogman and I are here

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Speaker 1: to break down Monday night football. And as you can

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Speaker 1: see from the looks on our face, after Thursday Night

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Speaker 1: went into the books, I am the mask of comedy

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Speaker 1: and he is the mask of tragedy. One and four

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Speaker 1: on the prop bets. Very tough day. But my Patriots

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Speaker 1: one and the SG Joey P hit Travion Enerson at

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Speaker 1: three touchdowns. I am a happy boy. I also have

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Speaker 1: a bet for Mike Vrabel for Head Coach of the

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Speaker 1: Year that I think is going to bring in a

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Speaker 1: lot of money. So Boggs say it one more time

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Speaker 1: for the people. How much you hate Thursday night football?

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Speaker 2: I'm listen. You know it was more fun when I

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Speaker 2: was hitting my bets. At least at least that was nice.

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Speaker 2: One in four yesterday, just a miserable performance. Two thursdays

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Speaker 2: in a row. I hate Thursday Night football. And let

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Speaker 2: me tell you, guys, what's even more annoying is the

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Speaker 2: fifteen minutes before we started recording this that I got

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Speaker 2: to hear Joe gush about the Patriots and Drake May

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Speaker 2: and his MVP two tickets and all that. I don't

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Speaker 2: have any no, no, no, I've got making football great

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Speaker 2: again and all that stuff. I am so sick of

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Speaker 2: the Patriots and Thursday Night Football, Joe, and this joy

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Speaker 2: is just hurting my soul right now.

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Speaker 3: I hate it.

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Speaker 1: It's sad because like this is just the beginning of

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Speaker 1: a new dynasty. You've got so much more time to

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Speaker 1: be angry. I have zero Drake May MVP tickets yet.

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Speaker 1: I just I haven't been able to get there logically

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Speaker 1: in my head. But I did watch that game with

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Speaker 1: my daughter, who plays quarterback, and she is a travel

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Speaker 1: team flag football player. She takes it very seriously. She

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Speaker 1: trains very hard, and it was a lot. It was

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Speaker 1: just fun to watch that game with her and point out.

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Speaker 1: I was like, do you see how he's placing the

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Speaker 1: ball in spots? You see, I was not trying to

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Speaker 1: throw everything one thousand miles an hour and all these

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Speaker 1: things like he is playing the position of quarterback, which

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Speaker 1: is a lost art for him. And if he was

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Speaker 1: playing for the Tennessee Titans, I would have sat her

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Speaker 1: down and said, watch this game with me, watch this guy,

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Speaker 1: and it's fun. It's fun to watch somebody play the

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Speaker 1: position of quarterback. We have been spoiled by raw athleticism

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Speaker 1: of all these guys with rocket arms and incredible speed

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Speaker 1: and athleticism. But the art of playing quarterback is kind

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Speaker 1: of lost. Like you know, the.

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Speaker 2: Bradys pointing out Justin Fields to her to tell her

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Speaker 2: what not to do.

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Speaker 1: Well, it's funny.

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Speaker 3: See how he does this, don't do that?

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Speaker 1: Well, you know, it'll be nice if Ady Mitchell could

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Speaker 1: catch a couple of balls for him too, or maybe

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Speaker 1: Mason Taylor in that big fourth down spot, Like you

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Speaker 1: can't hang everything on Justin Field. Justin Field's I think

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Speaker 1: did everything he possibly could. He had a couple of

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Speaker 1: bad moments, but that's everybody.

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Speaker 2: My buddy c K text me and he was like,

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Speaker 2: so what it? Ad and I Mitchell leave his hands

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Speaker 2: in Indianapois. He didn't have him there either.

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Speaker 1: He didn't, but he wasn't good.

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Speaker 3: John left in Texas. John, he's awful.

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Speaker 1: He's the only guy you could throw the ball now,

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Speaker 1: So there you go. That's good.

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Speaker 2: Good story was better than the rest of those guys

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Speaker 2: that given snaps too, So I think Mitchell and Mechi

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Speaker 2: should be your one two there by the end of

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Speaker 2: the year.

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Speaker 3: So we'll see by the end of the week.

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Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying. But look, that's Thursday night. It's

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Speaker 1: in the past. I want to move to the future.

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Speaker 1: I want to move ahead. I want to look at

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Speaker 1: Monday night football, the game. We have the Dallas Cowboys

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Speaker 1: very emotional state last week, obviously with the loss of

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Speaker 1: their teammate uh Neeland, and now we're looking at them

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Speaker 1: going to Las Vegas here coming off that buy. So

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Speaker 1: let's get to the tail of the tape here Dallas.

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Speaker 1: Right now, the consensus line minus three and a half.

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Speaker 1: You're getting plus money on that, though, you're getting plus

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Speaker 1: three and a half on the Las Vegas Raiders, forty

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Speaker 1: nine and a half for the over, fifteen and a

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Speaker 1: half for the Unders. The best line you can find

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Speaker 1: minus one sixty nine for the Cowboys on the money

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Speaker 1: line plus one sixty seven. Look minus one sixty nine

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Speaker 1: if you got enough to lay out there for that juice.

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Speaker 1: It's not the greatest, but I do think Dallas finds

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Speaker 1: within this game. But for me, I will take the Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I will say take that with your favorite prop and

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Speaker 1: get out of dodge. But I'm comfortable with the minus

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Speaker 1: three and a half bogs. Is there anything here on

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Speaker 1: these lines that you like, because I know when there's

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Speaker 1: emotional games here, in emotional moments, we've seen teams come

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Speaker 1: out react and dominate. We've seen teams come out and

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Speaker 1: react poorly sometimes.

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Speaker 2: So it's I'm trying not to have a reaction here

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Speaker 2: from my Thursday night performance to not take every over.

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Speaker 2: But I do like the overs here. Right These defenses

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Speaker 2: have both been bad. They both have extra resk coming

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Speaker 2: in here because remember the Raiders played on Thursday last

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Speaker 2: week and disappointed the whole world. So yeah, I like

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Speaker 2: the over. I don't really like a side here. I

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Speaker 2: do think that the additions for the Cowboys should make

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Speaker 2: them better on defense, and they get to Marvin Overshown

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Speaker 2: back this week as well, so yeah, Quin Williams get

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Speaker 2: Logan Wilson and you get Overshown. So I in I

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Speaker 2: just I think this should be a Dallas win. But

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Speaker 2: the over is my favorite play because we know Dallas

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Speaker 2: is gonna score, and while the defense should be better,

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Speaker 2: it is by no means fixed right now.

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Speaker 1: No, it is not all right. I want to remind

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Speaker 1: everybody too, we got the giveaway that Kyraen Williams helmet

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Speaker 1: is being given away right now Pristine auction dot com.

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Speaker 1: All you need to do is at to Bettingpros dot

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Speaker 1: com slash contest, complete the form, another, download the Betting

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Speaker 1: more actions you complete, the more entries you'll receive, and

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Speaker 1: Next up here are the props and bogs. It's Monday,

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Speaker 1: so I think we shake the dust off here for

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Speaker 1: you a little bit. Let's start with Trey Tucker forty

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Speaker 1: four and a half receiving yards. Now you want to

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Speaker 1: go the over Now, I know Tyler Lockett was questionable,

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Speaker 1: but it feels like he's going to play. If Tyler

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Speaker 1: Lockett plays, is this over in danger? I think it

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Speaker 1: might be.

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Speaker 2: I don't think it is. I think you know it's

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Speaker 2: better if Lockett doesn't play. But this, Trey Tucker is

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Speaker 2: a guy that can get this on one reception. Now listen,

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Speaker 2: I bet on him last Thursday and it did not work.

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Speaker 2: So I understand if you don't want to bet Trey Tucker.

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Speaker 2: I just think that Dallas's defense, what did they improve?

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Speaker 3: Right? They improve the run defense.

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Speaker 2: When you bring in Quinn Williams and you bring in

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Speaker 2: Logan Wilson get overshown back, you're improving the middle of

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Speaker 2: the defense, the run defense. So Trey Tucker is an

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Speaker 2: outside presence. They've been bad on the outside this year,

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Speaker 2: so I think that he could probably get this on

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Speaker 2: mainly on one big catch is where I think he

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Speaker 2: gets it, but he'll have I think four or five catches.

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Speaker 2: I don't think this is going to end up like

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Speaker 2: that Denver game on short rest extra rest here for

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Speaker 2: both these teams, I think Trey Tucker is going to

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Speaker 2: be fine. All right.

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Speaker 1: Next up here, Ashton genty. Now, this one I do

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Speaker 1: like because I do feel like the Raiders will be

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Speaker 1: playing from behind it. Eventually they might have to fade

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Speaker 1: away from run the football. Seventeen and a half rush

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Speaker 1: attempts for Ashton genty. So I've already bet this as

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Speaker 1: well with you, So let's talk about your reasons why.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this is one that I missed again on Thursday

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Speaker 2: with the Raiders, but Dallas ads Quinn Williams, Kenny Clark,

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Speaker 2: they get overshown back Logan Wilson's in there.

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Speaker 3: Now.

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Speaker 2: You improve this run defense. It's the thing that they've

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Speaker 2: been trying to do since they traded Michael Parsons. So

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Speaker 2: I think running into the teeth of that is going

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Speaker 2: to be really tough for anybody. I don't hate those

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Speaker 2: receiving yards for gent, but I can't get beat on

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Speaker 2: both of these two weeks in a row for Gent.

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Speaker 2: So I'll just take the under seventeen and a half

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Speaker 2: rush attempts. And as we've mentioned before, the losing team

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Speaker 2: usually doesn't hit this for their primary back. It's usually

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Speaker 2: the winning team that hits the over all.

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Speaker 1: Right, So the winning team hitting the over I agree

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Speaker 1: with on that, Javonte Williams. Let's go to the other

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Speaker 1: running back in this game. The number of seventy seven

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Speaker 1: and a half rushing yards for him a minus one fourteen.

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Speaker 1: So what are your thoughts on this Javonte prop here?

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Speaker 1: Javonte has been very solid for this offense. But we

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Speaker 1: all know the Cowboys have scored less points on the

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Speaker 1: road this year than they have at home. At home,

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Speaker 1: they've been over thirty plus. On the road, they've been

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Speaker 1: under that margin. So where do you go with Javonte

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Speaker 1: in terms of this time?

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Speaker 3: Ye, I'm gonna go under the yardage total.

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Speaker 2: I don't want to go under the attempts for him

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Speaker 2: because again, I think the Cowboys are going to be winning,

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Speaker 2: and I think you know, when you're late, you run

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Speaker 2: a bunch. And he has a lot of his teams

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Speaker 2: snaps and carries because they just don't have a capable

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Speaker 2: backup right now. It's Jaydon Blue, it's Malik Davis. They

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Speaker 2: throw the ball at Hunter lebk right like they just

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Speaker 2: don't have another back to give the ball to. So

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Speaker 2: I don't want to take the under on attempts for him,

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Speaker 2: but the yardage I think could be pretty low for him.

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Speaker 2: The Raiders are the third best team in opponent yards

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Speaker 2: per attempt and they're tied for fourteenth in rushing yards

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Speaker 2: allowed per game, and it's just easier to pass on

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Speaker 2: the Raiders than run on them. So I think coming

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Speaker 2: off a bye week, when you're strategizing for this game

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Speaker 2: over the last ten days, after watching that Thursday night came,

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Speaker 2: you just know, let's just pass against these guys. You know,

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Speaker 2: you got to chip and keep Max Crosby off a deck.

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Speaker 2: But if you can do that, the passing game is

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Speaker 2: going to be very very effective for the Cowboys here.

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Speaker 1: All right. One thing we've been able to count on

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Speaker 1: all season long with Gino Smith has been turning the

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Speaker 1: football over. He's done at a very high rate this year.

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Speaker 1: So the interception prop for him heavily juice minus one

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Speaker 1: thirty five. But it does seem like a lock heer box.

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Speaker 4: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I mean, he's got twelve interceptions already this year right now.

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Speaker 2: The danger here is that the Cowboys only have four

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Speaker 2: picks this year, so that is the danger. But we

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Speaker 2: talked about the additions to this defense, Overshown getting healthy.

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Speaker 2: I think when you plug up the middle of the field,

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Speaker 2: it's going to filter towards the pass. So I think

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Speaker 2: and playing from behind, like everything in the projections for

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Speaker 2: this game, tell us that Gino should be throwing the

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Speaker 2: ball a lot late and riskier throws because they're losing

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Speaker 2: late as well. So yeah, I think over half an interception.

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Speaker 2: It's something that you can throw in with a parlay

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Speaker 2: or something, all right.

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Speaker 1: So we'll throw that one in there. Look, maybe that's it.

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Speaker 1: Maybe it's the Cowboys to win and Gino to throw

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Speaker 1: a pick that doesn't seem like a bad day at

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Speaker 1: the office to me on Monday night, I'm bad, all right.

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Speaker 1: I'll actually, you know, I'll go in the same game

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Speaker 1: parlay tools see if I could pull that up to

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Speaker 1: and figure that out. In the meantime, talk to me

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Speaker 1: about George Pickens sixty seven and a half receiving yards

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Speaker 1: and going over or under that.

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Speaker 2: Mark gotta get this one quick because he's projected to

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Speaker 2: go over everywhere. I can't imagine that it sticks this low.

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Speaker 2: I think it's going to climb up over seventy. But

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Speaker 2: he's passed this in four straight, five of his last six.

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Speaker 2: Stokes should get Lamb when Lamb is on the outside right.

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Speaker 2: Eric Stokes is the better of the two corners for

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Speaker 2: the Raiders, but you know, ceedee, Lamb will slip into

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Speaker 2: the slot like at thirty two percent of his snaps

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Speaker 2: or whatever. But when he's on the outside, that means

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Speaker 2: that Pickens, who almost primarily plays on the outside, almost

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Speaker 2: always plays on the outside.

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Speaker 3: Gets Kyle Blue Kelly.

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Speaker 2: Kelly has giving up the seventh most receiving yards this

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Speaker 2: year as a corner, and he's sixty three of seventy

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Speaker 2: four in coverage grade. So you know, Pickens is a

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Speaker 2: big play machine. He's gonna get his chances. You're gonna

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Speaker 2: get a lot of this in one chunk, and I

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Speaker 2: think that he sails over this.

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Speaker 3: I don't think this one is very close.

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Speaker 1: So I can't put the money line in a Harley

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Speaker 1: on the book I'm looking at right now, But you

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Speaker 1: can't put genty for the under seventeen and a half

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Speaker 1: and Gino for the pick for a yes at minus

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Speaker 1: one sixty to trying to find ways to do that

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Speaker 1: and just get the game involved too, It's tricky. I

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Speaker 1: don't like when I get limited, you know, just shout

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Speaker 1: out to everybody, don't limit my fund. Why are you

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Speaker 1: limiting my.

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Speaker 3: Take my freedom, give me my freedom back. Careful.

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Speaker 1: We can't do that accent anymore.

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Speaker 2: Oh yeah, you know I won't, all right, well, I

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Speaker 2: certainly can't.

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Speaker 1: You can because you're from the South. I can't do it.

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Speaker 1: I've heard like, even though it's fun to do, you know,

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Speaker 1: I have to thick with you have to stick with that,

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Speaker 1: and I can stick with my dumb neighborhood guy. I

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Speaker 1: don't know nothing about nothing that I can.

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Speaker 2: If you don't have a cousin, that sounds exactly like that,

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Speaker 2: you're not allowed to do it.

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Speaker 3: I think that's the rule.

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Speaker 1: All right, there you go, you know what, I do

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Speaker 1: have cousins in the South, thought in Georgia stuff. So

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Speaker 1: just saying, all right, anything else here regarding Tyler Lockett

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Speaker 1: too before we get out of here, Yeah, I think

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Speaker 1: he is that weird X factor where that that that

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Speaker 1: long term relationship with Geno and with Pee Carroll that

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Speaker 1: you saw come in Barfruit right away. I'm taking the

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Speaker 1: over already on Lockett stuff, and I'm just it seems

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Speaker 1: like I think it's trending towards playing right now against Morning.

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Speaker 3: Play, that's the thing.

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Speaker 1: But he's a veteran too. I think he'll get on

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Speaker 1: the field for this one.

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Speaker 2: I think he will too, so, but yeah, if he

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Speaker 2: does play, dron Blant has not been great as the

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Speaker 2: slot corner this year. They've had problems in the slot

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Speaker 2: the Cowboys have, and the secondary is like, that's gonna

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Speaker 2: be the thing that they fix in the off season

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Speaker 2: because it looks like well in past rush obviously, but

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Speaker 2: it looks like they've got the run defense that they want.

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Speaker 2: Getting car can Quin Williams up the middle is a

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Speaker 2: nice combo. So still working on that secondary. So I

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Speaker 2: would take a lot of bets against that secondary this week,

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Speaker 2: and Tyler Lockat would definitely be in there.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I can't get any geno stuff together on the pick.

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Speaker 1: They won't let me parlay the pick. What you know

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Speaker 1: why because they know they know it's happening. They don't

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Speaker 1: want to give you that money. See Vegas knows.

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Speaker 2: They see it's it's probably probably it's probably gonna be

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Speaker 2: a pick and a half.

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Speaker 1: Well, you know, so that's fine, that's fine, all right,

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Speaker 1: these are things I can put together for the sg JOEP.

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Speaker 1: So let's talk about it. Dallas Cowboys minus three and

320
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Speaker 1: a half. I do think they win this game by

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Speaker 1: a touchdown. To be honest, I just think that the

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Speaker 1: Raiders are bad and I think Dallas Cowboys will be motivated.

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Speaker 1: I think they'll handle their business. So give me the

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Speaker 1: Cowboys minus three and a half. Give me Javonte Williams

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Speaker 1: anytime touchdown score also pretty heavily juice, but I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: put in the parlay instead. And then Dak Press got

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Speaker 1: under two fifty four and a half passing yards. He

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Speaker 1: doesn't go over this a lot on the road this

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Speaker 1: year at all, So just putting that out there. So

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Speaker 1: I think that the there's a script here where they

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Speaker 1: get up big and and they just kind of coast

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Speaker 1: to the second half a little bit here, and they

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Speaker 1: don't have to really push the football too much, So

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Speaker 1: Dak could even get into the two hundreds. But to

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Speaker 1: get the two fifty and a half that would or

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Speaker 1: two fifty four and a half, I should say that

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Speaker 1: really requires a little bit more action going on the

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Speaker 1: other side, and I'm just not confident that the Raiders

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Speaker 1: can give enough of that action. So that's where I'm

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Speaker 1: going there. So check out the SGP tool right now.

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Speaker 1: It's over at Betting Pros as well, so go check

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00:14:21,880 --> 00:14:23,360
Speaker 1: it out. All the tools are there to help you.

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Speaker 1: Don't be a tool. Prop bet cheat sheets there, bettingpros

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00:14:25,880 --> 00:14:28,360
Speaker 1: dot Com, slash props, all of these are here, so

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00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:32,200
Speaker 1: go download the app as well and start betting smarter,

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Speaker 1: not harder. We want you to use the tools here.

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Speaker 1: The prop bet cheat sheet, by the way, has been

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Speaker 1: stunningly good and the recommended bets in the last couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks, we're well over fifty percent here. So if

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Speaker 1: you're having trouble right now, just go right to that box.

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Speaker 1: Maybe you should just go to the prop bet.

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Speaker 2: Chieah, you're alas, trust me. I was using it a

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Speaker 2: lot last night, so we're on a lot of those

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Speaker 2: that are projection there you go, so all right, so

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Speaker 2: I think that almost exclusively, we might be on.

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Speaker 3: All of them.

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Speaker 1: All right, there you go. See. Look it's good for everyone.

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Speaker 4: We use it.

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Speaker 1: You should use it too, all right. My touchdown call

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Speaker 1: for this game, give me Seedee Lamb at plus one fifteen.

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Speaker 1: I think that's the best value. Bogs, where are you

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Speaker 1: going for your touchdown score?

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Speaker 2: I'll go for Bowers plus one fifteen. I do think

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Speaker 2: this is going to be an over, by the way,

365
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Speaker 2: I'm gonna come back with five unders for Thursday Night

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Speaker 2: Football next week. But Monday Night Football both these teams

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Speaker 2: on extra rest ten days for the Raiders and two

368
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Speaker 2: weeks for the Cowboys. Hopefully should bear us some points here.

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Speaker 2: Both teams scoring, So I like Bowers to get in

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Speaker 2: the end zone, Lamb to get in the end zone,

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Speaker 2: Javante Ash and Genty.

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I hope this is a high scoring affair because I

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Speaker 2: see it as one.

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Speaker 1: So one of our listeners messaged me last night and

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Speaker 1: said that they got a live bed of Henderson to

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Speaker 1: scored three touchdowns of plus six fifty. I got a

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Speaker 1: boost on it too, so he was just like a lot.

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Speaker 2: I didn't even get my yardage, but he scored three times.

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Speaker 1: So good, so good.

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Speaker 3: I mean, look, he's so good.

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Speaker 1: Look he's a three down back now that you know

383
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Speaker 1: the season parted for him.

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Speaker 2: Look, he can be a three down back. I think

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Speaker 2: he's good with somebody next to him. I think he

386
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Speaker 2: can work better with Judkins, but he needs to be

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Speaker 2: the lead.

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Speaker 3: At least.

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Speaker 2: He's way better than specifically at this point. I think

390
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Speaker 2: him and Ramonde are perfect combo. If it's seventy to

391
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Speaker 2: Henderson in thirty eighty twenty, Stevenson.

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Speaker 3: Eighty twenty, Joe, you're like eighty five Henderson, all right.

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Speaker 1: Ninety ten, All right, that'll do it for Oz before

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Speaker 1: I run out of percentages. But the story of the

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Speaker 1: game goes on for Scott Bog and I'm Joey p

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Speaker 1: Enjoy Monday night football. We'll see you next week. Kids.

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Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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00:16:37,680 --> 00:16:40,000
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00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:41,840
Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on.

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00:16:43,760 --> 00:16:46,400
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Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.