1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:05,160 Speaker 1: The most valuable commandity I know of this information. Wouldn't 2 00:00:05,160 --> 00:00:08,840 Speaker 1: you agree A five dollars? This is a rat up 3 00:00:10,039 --> 00:00:17,079 Speaker 1: happy tackleship one man. You're saying that humans need fantasy 4 00:00:17,160 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 1: to make life bearable. Humans need fantasy to be human. 5 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:25,960 Speaker 1: My goodness, miss good. 6 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:31,400 Speaker 2: Prone the best, relentless, refusing to give up. 7 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:33,320 Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, bab less. 8 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:42,000 Speaker 2: Welcome to the Week three Fantasy Lex Matchups Podcast presented 9 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 2: by Prize Picks. I am your host, Chris Raybond, joined 10 00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 2: as always by my guy, Sean Kerner. 11 00:00:48,800 --> 00:00:49,959 Speaker 1: Sean, what's going on? 12 00:00:50,000 --> 00:00:50,159 Speaker 2: Man? 13 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:50,880 Speaker 1: Not much? 14 00:00:51,159 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 3: I'm just happy to be in week three. Now we 15 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 3: have two weeks of data. What's better than one week 16 00:00:57,440 --> 00:01:00,320 Speaker 3: of data is two weeks of data. And you know, 17 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 3: I feel like I made some misreads based on that 18 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:06,200 Speaker 3: one week of data. But you know, seeing just just 19 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:09,280 Speaker 3: two games is so much for us to go off of. 20 00:01:10,920 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 1: That. 21 00:01:11,680 --> 00:01:13,479 Speaker 3: I'm really looking forward to week three. I think we're 22 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 3: going to have some good edges here before the rest 23 00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 3: of the market sort, you know, they start to catch up, 24 00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 3: especially like Rondell Moore this week. Hopefully you added him 25 00:01:22,840 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 3: before this week, but yeah, he looks like he's a 26 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:27,759 Speaker 3: real deal. And hopefully we can find some more diamonds 27 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:28,960 Speaker 3: in the rough like him this week. 28 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think it's going. 29 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 2: To be a pretty good year for most of the 30 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 2: rookie wide receivers, especially with Jamar Chase, you know, playing 31 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:37,039 Speaker 2: well out of the gate. 32 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:38,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, of course. 33 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:40,120 Speaker 2: And we could just go right into this first game 34 00:01:40,160 --> 00:01:45,000 Speaker 2: because unfortunately our guy Nico Collins went down for the 35 00:01:45,040 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 2: Houston Texans. But Houston hosting the Carolina Panthers on Thursday 36 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:53,000 Speaker 2: Night football. And so the prop I'm going to throw 37 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 2: out to you right off the bat is Brandon Cooks 38 00:01:58,240 --> 00:02:02,000 Speaker 2: over under sixty eight half receiving yards is the line 39 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:02,800 Speaker 2: on Prize Picks. 40 00:02:04,320 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm right around there. I'm actually projected him closer 41 00:02:07,680 --> 00:02:11,640 Speaker 3: to sixty five and a half. You know, the Panthers 42 00:02:11,680 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 3: are number one in DVUA on defense this year. You know, 43 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:18,440 Speaker 3: they've had an easy schedule, but they still look good. 44 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:21,359 Speaker 2: Hey. Remember remember last week when you said they were 45 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 2: like a bad defense and I was. 46 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 1: Like, no, it was no, They're not a bad defense. 47 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:27,640 Speaker 1: Look where they are now. I would still consider them, 48 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 1: you know, average to blow average. We really have some. 49 00:02:30,480 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 3: Young, young, up and coming players. I think they'll be 50 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 3: great in a couple of years. But yeah, Jamis Winston 51 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:38,160 Speaker 3: just laid an egg. There's no getting right now. 52 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:40,360 Speaker 1: I think this defense is above average defense right now. 53 00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:43,400 Speaker 1: I think I think J. C. Horn and Dante Jackson 54 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:43,960 Speaker 1: are excellent. 55 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:46,880 Speaker 2: And even that front, like you knew that defensive front 56 00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:49,359 Speaker 2: was gonna be good sooner than later, even last year, 57 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:50,359 Speaker 2: you know, because that's. 58 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 1: Kind of what they were building. 59 00:02:51,840 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 2: So I mean, if you have a secondary and you 60 00:02:53,760 --> 00:02:55,919 Speaker 2: have guys in the front, I'm gonna say this defense 61 00:02:56,000 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 2: is gonna be like a top fifteen defense this year. 62 00:02:59,400 --> 00:03:03,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, well I agree, you know, yeah, I'll get some 63 00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 3: offhanded comments wrong. But at the end of the day, 64 00:03:05,040 --> 00:03:07,119 Speaker 3: I ended up loading up on the Panthers plus three 65 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:09,560 Speaker 3: and a half. So all is good and all is well. 66 00:03:10,000 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 3: But you know, so I can't bet on Cooks over 67 00:03:13,639 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 3: because of Davis Mills and this matchup. But I can't 68 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:20,360 Speaker 3: bet the under either because I think Davis Mills is 69 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:23,240 Speaker 3: going to force the ball to Brandon Cooks, especially with 70 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:26,120 Speaker 3: Nico Collins out. I mean, Brandon Cooks is clearly the 71 00:03:26,160 --> 00:03:28,840 Speaker 3: ALF in this offense. They're you know, targeting him heavily. 72 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:33,680 Speaker 3: According to PFF, Davis Mills was the number one QB 73 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:36,360 Speaker 3: in the draft class with a seventy one percent first 74 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 3: read rate, So I think he's going to target Brandon 75 00:03:38,800 --> 00:03:40,760 Speaker 3: Cooks even if he's covered, you know, and sort of 76 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:43,320 Speaker 3: force the issue, maybe at his own detriment. So I 77 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:45,800 Speaker 3: think Brandon Cooks could actually clear this number, even if 78 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:48,440 Speaker 3: Davis Mills ends up only throwing for two hundred yards 79 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:50,880 Speaker 3: like I'm projecting, So I'm staying away from this. I 80 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 3: still think Brandon Cooks is going to be, you know, 81 00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:55,640 Speaker 3: a low and wide receiver, too high in wide receiver 82 00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:57,520 Speaker 3: three because they are going to force the issue with 83 00:03:57,600 --> 00:03:58,160 Speaker 3: them this week. 84 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:01,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, I would go under an this one, I think. 85 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:03,920 Speaker 2: And I've been high on Cooks, you know, because I 86 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 2: just thought Tyrod he was kind of doing that. But 87 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:09,880 Speaker 2: the way I see it, number one, this is a 88 00:04:09,880 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 2: good defense. Number two, Cooks has had two big games. 89 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:16,760 Speaker 2: That's gonna draw extra attention. But number three, look at 90 00:04:16,839 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 2: Cooks his stats this year with Houston. Tyron Taylor ten 91 00:04:20,000 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 2: out of twelve one hundred and eighty two yards fifteen 92 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 2: yards per attempt, Davis Mills four out of nine. 93 00:04:30,160 --> 00:04:33,320 Speaker 1: For twenty eight yards three yards in attempt. 94 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 2: So like there's a there's a huge floor here for 95 00:04:37,480 --> 00:04:40,760 Speaker 2: Brandon Cooks, and I just think, you know, if you 96 00:04:40,800 --> 00:04:43,840 Speaker 2: want to take away Brandon Cooks when Davis Mills is 97 00:04:43,839 --> 00:04:46,960 Speaker 2: the quarterback, I think you can. So I'm gonna bet 98 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:49,280 Speaker 2: under on this one. I mean, I think I still 99 00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:52,479 Speaker 2: think he's a you know, startable wide receiver two three. 100 00:04:52,960 --> 00:04:55,159 Speaker 2: You know, in this matchup, obviously you're looking for volume 101 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:57,599 Speaker 2: first and foremost, but I think this is the week 102 00:04:57,600 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 2: where he cools off a little compared to. 103 00:04:59,880 --> 00:05:01,920 Speaker 3: The is the hot start? Then how many passing yards 104 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:04,039 Speaker 3: are you projecting for Mills. 105 00:05:03,920 --> 00:05:06,919 Speaker 2: Who summer in at two hundred r Let's see I 106 00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:08,880 Speaker 2: saw I think I saw a prop for him at 107 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:10,159 Speaker 2: like one ninety four. 108 00:05:10,760 --> 00:05:13,360 Speaker 1: Oh really, yeah, I think that was I think that's 109 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:16,440 Speaker 1: the line at Price Picks. I want to say, let's 110 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:20,960 Speaker 1: see what I have for Mills though, yep, I have 111 00:05:21,000 --> 00:05:24,440 Speaker 1: two hundred even, Okay, so we're right, We're right in line. Yeah, 112 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:26,039 Speaker 1: I'm just gonna get a huge share of that. 113 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 2: But it's just like you're really kind of banking on 114 00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:30,839 Speaker 2: him to get like a thirty three percent share, which 115 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:35,039 Speaker 2: is possible, but with the defense focused on him, I 116 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:37,039 Speaker 2: would say he goes over under more times than he 117 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:37,760 Speaker 2: goes over right. 118 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:40,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, and the price picks has Mills at two nine 119 00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:42,080 Speaker 1: and a half right now, which, oh so it came 120 00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:43,720 Speaker 1: it went up. It was at one ninety four. 121 00:05:44,240 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, and look, probably just betting the over because you're 122 00:05:46,880 --> 00:05:48,839 Speaker 3: not used to seeing a number that low. But with 123 00:05:48,920 --> 00:05:50,919 Speaker 3: Davis Mills, I mean, he might be the worst starting 124 00:05:51,000 --> 00:05:55,840 Speaker 3: quarterback we see all season, right, Carson Wentz because Carson 125 00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 3: Wentz hurt. 126 00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 2: All right, Well you think, hey, I know, you saw 127 00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:06,679 Speaker 2: Carson Wentz throw a shovel pass to the other team 128 00:06:07,160 --> 00:06:10,599 Speaker 2: that was really the goal line, that was really the 129 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:11,479 Speaker 2: goal line. 130 00:06:11,680 --> 00:06:15,479 Speaker 3: That was almost as bad as Patrick Mahomes interception. But 131 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:19,400 Speaker 3: Carson Wentz led the Colts down the field to the 132 00:06:19,440 --> 00:06:22,039 Speaker 3: goal line what like three drives in a row. So 133 00:06:22,080 --> 00:06:25,039 Speaker 3: they looked really good going in to Ram's territory. But yeah, 134 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:27,640 Speaker 3: they were just awful once they did get in that range. 135 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:31,520 Speaker 3: So yeah, Wentz is pretty bad, but I think Davis 136 00:06:31,520 --> 00:06:32,240 Speaker 3: Mills is worse. 137 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:35,760 Speaker 2: I mean, I just haven't the problem with Wentz's I've 138 00:06:35,800 --> 00:06:38,360 Speaker 2: seen like three years of this now, so it's like 139 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:41,840 Speaker 2: I'll give Mills the benefit of the doubt just because 140 00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:44,960 Speaker 2: I've we've only seen him for like a couple of quarters, 141 00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:48,880 Speaker 2: you know. But yeah, it sucks with Tyrod Taylor because 142 00:06:49,000 --> 00:06:52,280 Speaker 2: I remember seeing him score that touchdown and he didn't 143 00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:55,520 Speaker 2: really celebrate, and I was like what that Like it 144 00:06:55,560 --> 00:06:57,240 Speaker 2: was to the point where like the announcer didn't know 145 00:06:57,240 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 2: what to say, because, like Tyrod, it was the he's 146 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:03,560 Speaker 2: excited touchdown I've ever seen. It was like he got 147 00:07:03,560 --> 00:07:07,920 Speaker 2: an end zone, like untouched, and he just didn't celebrate. 148 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:09,920 Speaker 1: So the announcer was looking like did they bloil the 149 00:07:09,960 --> 00:07:11,000 Speaker 1: plate dead? What happened? 150 00:07:11,040 --> 00:07:13,040 Speaker 2: And then just like all of a sudden, the six 151 00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:15,920 Speaker 2: went on the board and he's just hurt, and I'm like, ah, 152 00:07:15,920 --> 00:07:16,560 Speaker 2: that's what it was. 153 00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:19,240 Speaker 1: He knew. He must have known. He he posted something 154 00:07:19,320 --> 00:07:20,520 Speaker 1: right there. Yep. 155 00:07:21,600 --> 00:07:26,000 Speaker 2: Okay, who is your DFS cheat code for this slate? 156 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:29,200 Speaker 2: People gonna be playing this on the one game most likely. 157 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 2: I'm going pretty chucky here. I wanted to go Terrence Marshall, 158 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:34,160 Speaker 2: but I went to Chalk You're out, and I'm going 159 00:07:34,200 --> 00:07:37,560 Speaker 2: DJ Moore because you know, he's off to hot start. 160 00:07:37,600 --> 00:07:40,840 Speaker 2: He you know, not really fooling anybody here, but he's 161 00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 2: back in that role we sort of expected from him 162 00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:46,080 Speaker 2: last year, you know, the higher volume, lower a dot 163 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:47,920 Speaker 2: role where he's going to see a ton of targets, 164 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:51,160 Speaker 2: whereas Robbie Anderson is running the role that we thought 165 00:07:51,200 --> 00:07:54,040 Speaker 2: he would play last year, which is the lower volume, 166 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:56,840 Speaker 2: high a dot, deep threat kind of role. So I 167 00:07:56,840 --> 00:07:58,680 Speaker 2: think they're going to lean on DJ Moore a ton 168 00:07:58,800 --> 00:08:01,200 Speaker 2: in this matchup where their favor by about seven seven 169 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:04,000 Speaker 2: and a half points. So this is a week where 170 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:05,720 Speaker 2: I think DJ Moore is gonna go off. We saw 171 00:08:05,800 --> 00:08:09,400 Speaker 2: him get a goal line target last week in the 172 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:12,200 Speaker 2: end zone for his two yard touchdown, so that's one 173 00:08:12,240 --> 00:08:13,960 Speaker 2: of the things he's been missing, really, is sort of 174 00:08:13,960 --> 00:08:16,800 Speaker 2: that touchdown upside. I think it's all coming together for 175 00:08:16,920 --> 00:08:18,760 Speaker 2: DJ Moore this year, so I want to be on 176 00:08:18,840 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 2: him this week, even if he is pretty chalky. Yeah, 177 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:26,160 Speaker 2: and obviously I don't think Christian McCaffrey would qualify here. 178 00:08:26,200 --> 00:08:27,880 Speaker 1: I mean, he's he's a guy I would. 179 00:08:27,640 --> 00:08:29,880 Speaker 2: Put in that captain spot because that's that's what Davis 180 00:08:29,920 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 2: Mills kind of helps, is like you could you can 181 00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:34,760 Speaker 2: actually play the opposing quarterback and still get McCaffrey in, 182 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:39,000 Speaker 2: But I'm just gonna go with a cheap guy, a 183 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:43,920 Speaker 2: rat receiver because on the Monday night game, I think 184 00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:46,400 Speaker 2: it was key to kind of get your head around 185 00:08:46,520 --> 00:08:49,000 Speaker 2: which Lions receivers to roster. I think the winning lineup 186 00:08:49,320 --> 00:08:53,600 Speaker 2: ended up having cephas and I want to say Trinity 187 00:08:53,640 --> 00:08:56,880 Speaker 2: Benson in it. So I'm gonna go with Chris Conley. 188 00:08:57,440 --> 00:08:59,480 Speaker 2: He's super cheap, near minimum price. 189 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:01,680 Speaker 1: Go Collins. Our guy is doubtful. 190 00:09:02,040 --> 00:09:05,640 Speaker 2: Danny A Mondola even is questionable, which helped go under 191 00:09:05,679 --> 00:09:09,760 Speaker 2: on his prop last week. So you know, nothing good 192 00:09:09,800 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 2: ever comes out of an injury, but that that helped. 193 00:09:13,240 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 2: And so but Chris Conley, Chris Conley is here, and 194 00:09:17,679 --> 00:09:20,679 Speaker 2: he ran ninety percent of the routes last week, and 195 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:24,000 Speaker 2: he's probably gonna have to do it again because Anthony Miller, 196 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:27,000 Speaker 2: I'm assuming would be activated either way, whether a Moondola 197 00:09:27,080 --> 00:09:29,960 Speaker 2: misses or not, just because of Collins. But you saw 198 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:33,600 Speaker 2: Andre Roberts run fifty five percent of the routes, and 199 00:09:33,679 --> 00:09:35,959 Speaker 2: like we were joking earlier in the year, it might 200 00:09:35,960 --> 00:09:40,360 Speaker 2: have even been week one. Like Andre Roberts never runs routes, 201 00:09:40,400 --> 00:09:42,600 Speaker 2: like you can't ever project him for higher than five percent. 202 00:09:42,760 --> 00:09:45,199 Speaker 2: This might be like his like five year high in 203 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 2: routes run last week because they just lost everyone. So 204 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:51,800 Speaker 2: that tells me Conny is going to be a full 205 00:09:51,840 --> 00:09:54,960 Speaker 2: time guy along with Brandon Cooks, and then you're gonna 206 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:57,480 Speaker 2: work in you know, whether Amadola or Miller or some 207 00:09:57,520 --> 00:09:59,880 Speaker 2: combination of those two guys in a slot. But that's 208 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,439 Speaker 2: pretty much gonna be a rotation for this game. It's 209 00:10:02,480 --> 00:10:05,960 Speaker 2: a short week, you know, you haven't had guys on practice, 210 00:10:05,960 --> 00:10:07,559 Speaker 2: and so you can't just bring in like a bunch 211 00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 2: of veterans and throw him on the field. 212 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:11,439 Speaker 1: So conwe I think, can approach one hundred percent snaps. 213 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:14,960 Speaker 2: Again, if Brandon Cooks maybe gets a little more attention, 214 00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:17,640 Speaker 2: Conwey could be that guy to you know, catches a 215 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:18,160 Speaker 2: pass or too. 216 00:10:18,200 --> 00:10:20,720 Speaker 1: He's a low target, per route run guy in general. 217 00:10:20,760 --> 00:10:23,600 Speaker 2: That's why I usually fade him, you know, But this 218 00:10:23,679 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 2: is this is kind of the time one game slate 219 00:10:26,320 --> 00:10:29,600 Speaker 2: super cheap should run close to a route in every snap. 220 00:10:31,520 --> 00:10:34,840 Speaker 2: All right, let's go to the Cards and the Jaguars, 221 00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:39,840 Speaker 2: and the prop I'm gonna throw out for you is 222 00:10:40,400 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 2: Rondel Moore receiving guards. 223 00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:45,960 Speaker 3: I feel like I can't set this high enough, but 224 00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:48,199 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with fifty and a half. I think 225 00:10:48,240 --> 00:10:50,160 Speaker 3: he's gonna come back down to earth a little bit. 226 00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 3: This week, But then again, his playing time has not 227 00:10:53,559 --> 00:10:55,480 Speaker 3: even come close to where I think it should be. 228 00:10:56,760 --> 00:10:58,720 Speaker 3: But you know, he was my chieko last week he 229 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:00,800 Speaker 3: went off, so I might be this week. I think 230 00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:04,040 Speaker 3: is you know, rostership percentage is going to be pretty high. 231 00:11:04,760 --> 00:11:06,560 Speaker 3: So I have him at fifty and a half. Where 232 00:11:06,559 --> 00:11:07,319 Speaker 3: do you have him this week? 233 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:07,600 Speaker 1: Fifty? 234 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 2: Here's a here's a second question for you, rondo More 235 00:11:17,000 --> 00:11:20,680 Speaker 2: minus ten and a half versus aj Green receiving yards 236 00:11:21,800 --> 00:11:24,280 Speaker 2: or receiving yards plus ten and a half. 237 00:11:24,520 --> 00:11:26,959 Speaker 3: I'm going to take More minus ten and a half. 238 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:29,480 Speaker 3: I think it's pretty close, but more clearly has the 239 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:33,040 Speaker 3: higher floor, and his playing time's only going to go up. 240 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 3: Right now, I'm projecting him for sixty percent routes run, 241 00:11:35,679 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 3: which is in line with last week, but that could 242 00:11:38,400 --> 00:11:40,760 Speaker 3: easily go up to you know, seventy five eighty percent 243 00:11:40,760 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 3: at any given time, whereas you know AJ Green is 244 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:47,280 Speaker 3: already maxed out at about eighty five percent, So I think, 245 00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:49,199 Speaker 3: you know, AJ Green is only going to get worse 246 00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:51,000 Speaker 3: from here on out. So yeah, something like that, I 247 00:11:51,000 --> 00:11:54,199 Speaker 3: would I would hammer Rondel More minus ten and a half. 248 00:11:55,440 --> 00:11:57,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, I didn't get a chance to play with this 249 00:11:57,280 --> 00:11:58,559 Speaker 2: correlation in the off season. 250 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:03,400 Speaker 1: But I'm sure there's like a kind of increasing. 251 00:12:02,960 --> 00:12:05,600 Speaker 2: Trend that we can project more for probably even more 252 00:12:05,640 --> 00:12:08,720 Speaker 2: than that fifty nine percent, because week one thirty nine percent, 253 00:12:08,760 --> 00:12:11,079 Speaker 2: Week two to fifty nine percent. That could he could 254 00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:14,520 Speaker 2: go up to sixty seventy percent if I mean seventy 255 00:12:14,559 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 2: eighty percent this week, if not more so. And Christian 256 00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:21,760 Speaker 2: Kirk his routes run per dropback went up too, So uh, 257 00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:23,840 Speaker 2: I think Aj Green he's the only guy of the 258 00:12:23,880 --> 00:12:27,160 Speaker 2: receivers that went down in week two from week one, 259 00:12:27,200 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 2: he went from eighty nine to eighty five percent. But 260 00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:31,680 Speaker 2: I think you know, when you have a veteran like 261 00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:35,000 Speaker 2: that and you have a young coach like, they're kind 262 00:12:35,000 --> 00:12:37,800 Speaker 2: of hesitant to just take him out of the lineup 263 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:39,360 Speaker 2: all at once. So I think you're gonna see Aj 264 00:12:39,440 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 2: Green decreased by like five percent each week until he's 265 00:12:42,320 --> 00:12:43,319 Speaker 2: got like fifty. 266 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:47,480 Speaker 3: Like this is all great news for Kyler Murray by 267 00:12:47,520 --> 00:12:50,520 Speaker 3: the way. Oh, having a guy like Rondelle Moore and 268 00:12:50,679 --> 00:12:54,080 Speaker 3: letting Christian Kirk be the third option now and getting 269 00:12:54,080 --> 00:12:56,680 Speaker 3: the most out of him, like Kyler Murray is a 270 00:12:56,720 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 3: cheek code in himself right now. 271 00:12:58,800 --> 00:13:00,920 Speaker 1: Even Max Williams is Yeah, so I'm about to say 272 00:13:00,960 --> 00:13:02,320 Speaker 1: you can't. 273 00:13:02,400 --> 00:13:04,920 Speaker 3: This is all just great news for Kyl Murray. And honestly, 274 00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:06,640 Speaker 3: all he has to do is dump it off Toronto 275 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:08,680 Speaker 3: more and he'll make one to two guys mess. He 276 00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:11,079 Speaker 3: can score from anywhere, so just at the end of 277 00:13:11,120 --> 00:13:15,880 Speaker 3: the day, and you know, Dowdrea Hopkins is unseen after 278 00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:18,679 Speaker 3: the first quarter, so being able to kind of use 279 00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:21,800 Speaker 3: Hopkins as a decoy is good for Kyler Murray because 280 00:13:22,040 --> 00:13:24,240 Speaker 3: we know big games are coming from him too. It's 281 00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:28,280 Speaker 3: just really hard to as a defensive coordinator to you know, 282 00:13:28,400 --> 00:13:30,720 Speaker 3: game plan against this offense. It's it's just firing on 283 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:34,440 Speaker 3: all cylinders and I'm looking forward to see how you know, 284 00:13:34,520 --> 00:13:37,720 Speaker 3: how high this sky? Just every analogy you can think 285 00:13:37,760 --> 00:13:39,880 Speaker 3: of with Kyler Murray, like he is the number one 286 00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:41,679 Speaker 3: quarterback right now in fantasy in my opinion. 287 00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:45,319 Speaker 1: Yeah, the atheist Russell Wilson man, oh yeah, I love it. 288 00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:46,000 Speaker 1: There you go. 289 00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:49,000 Speaker 2: I don't really know if he's an atheist, but he 290 00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:51,199 Speaker 2: just plays like Russell Wilson if Russellilson didn't give a 291 00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:51,960 Speaker 2: fuck about anything. 292 00:13:52,160 --> 00:13:54,480 Speaker 1: So that's why I call him the atheist Russell Wilson. 293 00:13:55,280 --> 00:13:58,559 Speaker 2: But I think DeAndre Hopkins may actually finishes the wide 294 00:13:58,559 --> 00:14:01,160 Speaker 2: receiver one this week. That's not a like a hot 295 00:14:01,200 --> 00:14:04,280 Speaker 2: take or anything, but you look at his matchup. He 296 00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:06,760 Speaker 2: pretty much always wines up on the left side, so 297 00:14:06,800 --> 00:14:08,680 Speaker 2: he's not one of those guys that they're moving around. 298 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:12,120 Speaker 2: He's good enough to just win from exactly where he 299 00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:13,360 Speaker 2: lines up every single time. 300 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 1: But the Jaguars, remember CJ. 301 00:14:15,440 --> 00:14:20,480 Speaker 2: Henderson, Their right corner got hurt, so Tyson Campbell may 302 00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:23,840 Speaker 2: have to play. He's allowed nine of twelve for one 303 00:14:23,880 --> 00:14:26,040 Speaker 2: hundred and ten yards and a touchdown according to Pro 304 00:14:26,040 --> 00:14:28,360 Speaker 2: Football Focus, a one hundred and. 305 00:14:28,360 --> 00:14:30,120 Speaker 1: Thirty one passer rating, and then CJ. 306 00:14:30,200 --> 00:14:33,000 Speaker 2: Henderson wasn't really playing well before going down either, he 307 00:14:33,040 --> 00:14:36,360 Speaker 2: allowed five for sixty three yards in a touchdown. So combined, 308 00:14:36,400 --> 00:14:40,160 Speaker 2: you have pretty much like the Cooper Cup of cornerback 309 00:14:40,200 --> 00:14:43,400 Speaker 2: in terms of allowing production on the other side, Like 310 00:14:43,400 --> 00:14:46,120 Speaker 2: you have DeAndre Hopkins facing off against cornerbacks that give 311 00:14:46,200 --> 00:14:47,600 Speaker 2: up DeAndre Hopkins stats. 312 00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:50,600 Speaker 3: So yeah, and he's he's gonna get the Squeaky Well 313 00:14:50,920 --> 00:14:54,480 Speaker 3: treatment this week. He has to, So yeah, I think, 314 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:57,520 Speaker 3: I mean, even yeah, even DeAndre Hopkins might be a 315 00:14:57,560 --> 00:14:58,360 Speaker 3: sneaky play this week. 316 00:14:58,400 --> 00:15:03,400 Speaker 1: Because I agree. I think he's gonna go off here. Yeah, 317 00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:04,040 Speaker 1: let's see. 318 00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:07,840 Speaker 2: So, so your cheek code is is Rondelle Moore I'm guessing. 319 00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:09,880 Speaker 3: Though, No, actually no, I'll let you have him. Like 320 00:15:09,920 --> 00:15:11,920 Speaker 3: I said, I was on him last week, I'm backing 321 00:15:11,920 --> 00:15:14,640 Speaker 3: off a little bit this week. It's scary to say 322 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:17,200 Speaker 3: that because I do understand how good Rondel Moore is, 323 00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 3: but I think his roster ship percentages me through the 324 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:22,200 Speaker 3: roof this week, So I'm going a contraon route here, 325 00:15:22,280 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 3: I think. And Marvin Jones, he's also a great start 326 00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:29,920 Speaker 3: this year, but I still think he's being overlooked. He's 327 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 3: way too cheap on most DFS sites right now. And 328 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:35,480 Speaker 3: I think Trevor Lawrence and Marvin Jones is a sneaky 329 00:15:35,480 --> 00:15:39,200 Speaker 3: stack because we need to see what's up with laviska channel. 330 00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:40,880 Speaker 1: He might be out. 331 00:15:41,320 --> 00:15:42,760 Speaker 3: Even if he does play, he might be less than 332 00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:45,200 Speaker 3: one hundred percent, so that could be an extra target 333 00:15:45,280 --> 00:15:47,760 Speaker 3: or two for Marvin Jones, who looks like he's had 334 00:15:47,840 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 3: chemistry with Lawrence all throughout preseason even so I love 335 00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:55,280 Speaker 3: him heading him this week. And even James O'Shaughnessy is out, 336 00:15:55,520 --> 00:15:57,600 Speaker 3: it looks like for a couple of games, so they 337 00:15:57,600 --> 00:16:00,280 Speaker 3: have you know, three way tight end committee, three eyes 338 00:16:00,320 --> 00:16:03,240 Speaker 3: that won't see many targets. So I just I think 339 00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:06,400 Speaker 3: that that's probably an extra target or two for Jones 340 00:16:06,400 --> 00:16:09,080 Speaker 3: as well. So I think Jones has a sneaky upside 341 00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:12,360 Speaker 3: this week and probably will be low rostered. 342 00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:15,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, Marve Jones are playing really well. He's I think 343 00:16:15,320 --> 00:16:16,520 Speaker 2: he's in my top twenty four. 344 00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:19,160 Speaker 3: I was gonna say he's my wide receiver thirty and 345 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 3: that seemed high, but you have him twenty four. 346 00:16:21,160 --> 00:16:23,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think might maybe even I think he's like 347 00:16:23,080 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 2: twenty one or twenty two. 348 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:25,680 Speaker 3: He's like, he's in the top twenty four. What are 349 00:16:25,720 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 3: you projecting for Schnelt right now? Because I have him 350 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:32,240 Speaker 3: basically one hundred percent so if if he's yeah, just 351 00:16:32,320 --> 00:16:35,400 Speaker 3: like I'm projecting Chanel like he's not even injured right now, so. 352 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:38,640 Speaker 1: Oh oh Chanel, uh yeah, yeah, now astronaut's a little 353 00:16:38,640 --> 00:16:39,320 Speaker 1: bit injured. 354 00:16:41,320 --> 00:16:45,360 Speaker 2: So yeah, I have him at like sixty eight percent routes, 355 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:47,280 Speaker 2: which is running eighty so I had I knocked them 356 00:16:47,280 --> 00:16:48,840 Speaker 2: down a little bit, but I mean that doesn't I 357 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 2: have Jones at ninety three percent, So like, yeah, Jones 358 00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:54,920 Speaker 2: is my white secret twenty four exactly right now. 359 00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:56,200 Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, you. 360 00:16:56,200 --> 00:16:58,000 Speaker 2: Know, maybe that goes down a couple of ticks as 361 00:16:58,000 --> 00:17:02,760 Speaker 2: I you know, find soon things. But he's startable regardless, 362 00:17:02,760 --> 00:17:04,440 Speaker 2: Like he's not falling out of the top thirty six, 363 00:17:04,520 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 2: that's for sure. So yeah, he's absolutely in that startable conversation. 364 00:17:09,760 --> 00:17:13,760 Speaker 2: He's run ninety four percent of routes to Charks eighty 365 00:17:13,800 --> 00:17:16,200 Speaker 2: eight percent in week one, and then eighty nine percent 366 00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:18,199 Speaker 2: to seventy eight percent over Chark in Week two, so 367 00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:21,840 Speaker 2: he's been the most he's been on the field the 368 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:23,200 Speaker 2: most of the Jacks three receivers. 369 00:17:23,280 --> 00:17:25,359 Speaker 1: He's run more Rustan Schanlt as well on both weeks. 370 00:17:25,359 --> 00:17:28,600 Speaker 1: So yeah, like Marvin Jones, I mean, my cheek, it's 371 00:17:28,600 --> 00:17:29,639 Speaker 1: hard to like. 372 00:17:29,720 --> 00:17:32,280 Speaker 2: I you know, Rondel Moore I think is the guy 373 00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:34,959 Speaker 2: that still stands out with his routes moving up. But 374 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:37,760 Speaker 2: you know what, I'm just gonna go, DeAndre Hopkins coming 375 00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:40,280 Speaker 2: off the slow game or not the slow game, but 376 00:17:40,840 --> 00:17:43,480 Speaker 2: four catches that slow for him, because again I just 377 00:17:43,480 --> 00:17:46,639 Speaker 2: think that matchup against some combination of Henderson and Campbell, 378 00:17:46,680 --> 00:17:49,320 Speaker 2: two really young players or second year guy in a 379 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:50,920 Speaker 2: rookie who have been struggling immensely. 380 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:55,480 Speaker 1: Is is just a smash spot And maybe you. 381 00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:58,439 Speaker 2: Know, with the more hype like you mentioned, you know, 382 00:17:58,560 --> 00:18:00,639 Speaker 2: with aj Green still running a bunch of routes, with 383 00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:04,600 Speaker 2: Kirk still making plays, maybe just maybe people you know, 384 00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:07,480 Speaker 2: you want to pay up for Kyler, but maybe you 385 00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:09,520 Speaker 2: try to save maybe more people than they should. 386 00:18:09,560 --> 00:18:10,960 Speaker 1: Try to save some money. 387 00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:14,600 Speaker 2: Salary wise and go with some of those cheaper Cardinals 388 00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:15,480 Speaker 2: receivers because it's tempting. 389 00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:16,920 Speaker 1: And you also got Max Williams. 390 00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:20,760 Speaker 2: There's a lot of tempting baits in this Cardinals pass 391 00:18:20,800 --> 00:18:23,479 Speaker 2: catcher corpse. But I think Hopkins could just have a 392 00:18:23,640 --> 00:18:24,640 Speaker 2: smash game. 393 00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:26,560 Speaker 1: So I'm glad you. 394 00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:30,080 Speaker 3: Showed a restraint there by not going too much in 395 00:18:30,119 --> 00:18:32,640 Speaker 3: the weeds with Maxwilliams there, like everybody. 396 00:18:32,359 --> 00:18:34,600 Speaker 2: Y, I mean, there's there's there's gonna be all year 397 00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:36,640 Speaker 2: for that because he's gonna be balling this year. 398 00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:40,560 Speaker 1: Let's go to the Colts and the Titans. 399 00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:44,560 Speaker 2: The Titans a five point favorite, the total forty eight 400 00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:47,200 Speaker 2: has been going down. The proper I'm gonna throw out 401 00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:53,000 Speaker 2: for this game is Michael Pittman receiving yards. He had 402 00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:55,760 Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty three last week against a very 403 00:18:55,840 --> 00:18:57,800 Speaker 2: good pass defense. 404 00:18:59,600 --> 00:19:01,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, he's tricky to project right now because we don't 405 00:19:01,920 --> 00:19:04,399 Speaker 3: even know who's going to play quarterback for the Colts 406 00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:07,159 Speaker 3: this week, although I can tell that for you it 407 00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:10,080 Speaker 3: probably doesn't matter if it's Wentz or Ethan. You probably 408 00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:13,240 Speaker 3: think both are pretty bad. But you know, Pittman looked 409 00:19:13,240 --> 00:19:15,560 Speaker 3: great last week. He caught eight balls for one hundred 410 00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:18,760 Speaker 3: and twenty three yards. All those were from Carson Wentz, 411 00:19:18,960 --> 00:19:21,080 Speaker 3: So you know, it's a shame that Wentz had to 412 00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:23,880 Speaker 3: fall apart down the stretch and you know wasn't there 413 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:28,800 Speaker 3: for the final drive. But I'm projecting Pittman for forty 414 00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:30,320 Speaker 3: eight and a half receiving yards. 415 00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:31,400 Speaker 1: What do you have, Matt. 416 00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:35,679 Speaker 2: Median wise about fifty seven and a half. So I 417 00:19:35,760 --> 00:19:39,879 Speaker 2: still have him pretty significantly high. That Titans defense is 418 00:19:40,320 --> 00:19:43,880 Speaker 2: ranked thirtieth in past defense DVOA again, and I think 419 00:19:43,920 --> 00:19:46,399 Speaker 2: regardless of the quarterback, I think Titan's going to score 420 00:19:46,400 --> 00:19:47,119 Speaker 2: some points here. 421 00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:49,840 Speaker 1: So I do think the Coats will have to throw. 422 00:19:49,920 --> 00:19:52,440 Speaker 2: And again, I like to get ahead of these second 423 00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:54,560 Speaker 2: year breakout guys if I can. And Pittman, you know 424 00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:58,040 Speaker 2: that game against that defense, you know, it's it's really 425 00:19:58,080 --> 00:20:00,800 Speaker 2: got him up in my projection, So again, maybe i'd 426 00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:03,280 Speaker 2: knock him down a few ticks, but uh yeah, do 427 00:20:03,320 --> 00:20:04,920 Speaker 2: you have other guy I would start him. I would 428 00:20:04,920 --> 00:20:07,359 Speaker 2: still start him this week regardless of the cord. Yeah yeah, no, 429 00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:09,119 Speaker 2: I mean he looked really good last week. But do 430 00:20:09,160 --> 00:20:12,080 Speaker 2: you have Paris Campbell coming back at all? Because he's 431 00:20:12,320 --> 00:20:14,960 Speaker 2: I'm projecting him to return. That's probably why I'm just 432 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:17,040 Speaker 2: a little bit lower than you. But if Paris Campbell's 433 00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:20,320 Speaker 2: out again, I probably will have Pitt been up closer 434 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:22,440 Speaker 2: that fifty seven and a half yards with Yah Campbell 435 00:20:22,480 --> 00:20:25,080 Speaker 2: for about two catches, so kind of like, you know, 436 00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,520 Speaker 2: not his full workload because you know, little little a 437 00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:30,760 Speaker 2: few few fewer routes than he would normally play. 438 00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:33,879 Speaker 1: But uh yeah, just because we don't know yet. 439 00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:37,800 Speaker 2: But yeah, Zach Pascal, you know, he's he's he's another 440 00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:40,399 Speaker 2: guy running a ton of routes. But uh yeah, I 441 00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 2: think Pittman, you know, second year breakout guys, that's the 442 00:20:43,359 --> 00:20:45,359 Speaker 2: year they usually put it together at wide receiver. So 443 00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:47,720 Speaker 2: he's a guy to keep, you know, keep on the 444 00:20:47,760 --> 00:20:52,439 Speaker 2: lookout for. Who is your DFS cheat code for Coats Titan. 445 00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:54,480 Speaker 3: I'm going to have to go through your guy here, 446 00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:58,560 Speaker 3: Ryan Tannehill. It's time, man, It's time for him to 447 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:01,200 Speaker 3: have a good game. And I think, you know, he's 448 00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:04,639 Speaker 3: good leverage against all the Derrick Henry shares that are 449 00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:06,880 Speaker 3: going to be out there this week. I could see 450 00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 3: a stack with Tannehill and AJ Brown, you know, with 451 00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:12,840 Speaker 3: double stack with A J. Brown and Julio Jones, whatever 452 00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:14,960 Speaker 3: you want, because I think he's due for a breakout game. 453 00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:18,920 Speaker 3: The Colts rank twenty ninth in past d V away. Well, 454 00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:21,760 Speaker 3: we'll see if Xavier Roads is able to return this week. 455 00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:24,080 Speaker 3: That might, you know, lower my shares on Tannehill just 456 00:21:24,119 --> 00:21:26,200 Speaker 3: a bit. But I think this is a game where 457 00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:28,520 Speaker 3: he's going to break out. We're going to see this 458 00:21:28,520 --> 00:21:31,399 Speaker 3: this Titans passing offense that we're looking forward to seeing 459 00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:34,159 Speaker 3: this year with Hulio Jones and A J. 460 00:21:34,359 --> 00:21:34,639 Speaker 1: Brown. 461 00:21:34,760 --> 00:21:36,600 Speaker 3: So I think this is the week to load up 462 00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:38,600 Speaker 3: on Tannehill. I think he's going to be low rostered 463 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:39,080 Speaker 3: this week. 464 00:21:40,119 --> 00:21:43,760 Speaker 2: Who was the highest graded passer in Week two by PFF? 465 00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:47,800 Speaker 1: Is this a trick question? Because it was Ryan Tannehill. 466 00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:50,560 Speaker 1: It was Ryan Tannehill. Wow, I would not have guessed that. 467 00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:53,120 Speaker 2: Hey, it's a lot of a lot of what's been 468 00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:56,479 Speaker 2: going on with Tannahoe has been out of his control. 469 00:21:56,520 --> 00:22:00,199 Speaker 2: It's been drops by his best receivers. It's been right 470 00:22:00,280 --> 00:22:04,119 Speaker 2: up whiffs on pass blocks by you know, the left tackle, 471 00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:05,639 Speaker 2: the right, you know, the tackles. 472 00:22:06,600 --> 00:22:09,280 Speaker 1: Daniel has been playing five you know, like and you 473 00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:10,080 Speaker 1: know he is what he is. 474 00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:12,400 Speaker 2: We always knew that he was going to be dependent 475 00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:15,600 Speaker 2: on his surroundings, like that's why he didn't really flourish 476 00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 2: in Miami. But uh, as far as how he's playing, 477 00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:22,440 Speaker 2: I'm not concerned at all. Uh My DFS cheat code 478 00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:23,920 Speaker 2: is kind of correlated to yours. 479 00:22:23,920 --> 00:22:24,879 Speaker 1: I'm going to AJ Brown. 480 00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:27,480 Speaker 2: He's down, he's down in salary because he's he had 481 00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:30,480 Speaker 2: a couple of drops last week. But here's the matchup 482 00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:34,920 Speaker 2: that I'm looking at. And interesting development is in Tennessee 483 00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:37,280 Speaker 2: is that Chester Rogers has continued to hold down that 484 00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:40,840 Speaker 2: slot job. Josh Reynolds played only about ten percent of 485 00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:45,520 Speaker 2: the snaps last week. But another development is Aj Brown 486 00:22:46,080 --> 00:22:48,840 Speaker 2: has upped his routes in the slot to over forty 487 00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:53,120 Speaker 2: percent this year, and Colt's slot cornerback Kenny Moore has 488 00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:56,440 Speaker 2: given up twelve of thirteen completions for one hundred and 489 00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:57,520 Speaker 2: forty nine yards. 490 00:22:57,640 --> 00:22:59,280 Speaker 1: With a touchdown and a passer. 491 00:22:59,080 --> 00:23:01,800 Speaker 2: Rating of one hundred and forty through two games. He's 492 00:23:01,800 --> 00:23:06,040 Speaker 2: one of the worst rated corners in PFF. So you know, 493 00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:08,840 Speaker 2: he struggled in the slot. And I think because they're 494 00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:12,239 Speaker 2: moving AJ Brown around a lot more, because Julio had 495 00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:15,640 Speaker 2: the big game last week, and because AJ Brown had 496 00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:17,600 Speaker 2: some drops that he had to answer for in the media, 497 00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:22,120 Speaker 2: it just all sets up for the monster AJ Brown game. 498 00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:23,520 Speaker 1: So I was on Julio last week. 499 00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:26,320 Speaker 2: I played him in cash games even that's how much 500 00:23:26,560 --> 00:23:30,119 Speaker 2: I thought Julio's salary decreased, was like ridiculous coming off 501 00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:32,200 Speaker 2: that one bad game, and it could have been bigger. 502 00:23:32,359 --> 00:23:33,960 Speaker 2: But this is where you kind of you know how 503 00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:36,280 Speaker 2: things have been flowing. You have two guys you have 504 00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:39,879 Speaker 2: to feed. This is the AJ Brown spot, AJ Brown 505 00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:43,879 Speaker 2: cheat code and yeah, some Tannehill stacks. I like that because, 506 00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:46,639 Speaker 2: like you said, everyone's gonna be playing Henry. 507 00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:48,520 Speaker 1: You need that leverage, and you know the coach. 508 00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 2: You don't think of them as a team that you 509 00:23:49,800 --> 00:23:52,120 Speaker 2: want to play a quarterback against anyway. So I think 510 00:23:52,119 --> 00:23:54,400 Speaker 2: Sannehill still gets pretty well ownership, but he's playing well. 511 00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:57,760 Speaker 1: They just have to hold up in protection. Yeah, and 512 00:23:57,920 --> 00:23:59,560 Speaker 1: you know, not always a guarantee, but. 513 00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:04,760 Speaker 3: Hey, typically Kenny Moore's solid and I think to be fair, 514 00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:07,320 Speaker 3: he went up against Cooper Cup and Tyl Lockett, so 515 00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:13,480 Speaker 3: he's got around start is good. Yeah, just either way, 516 00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:16,320 Speaker 3: it's encouraging to see A J. Brown getting moved around 517 00:24:16,359 --> 00:24:18,160 Speaker 3: like that. I think it's gonna up that target share. 518 00:24:18,240 --> 00:24:20,280 Speaker 3: So yeah, now is the time to kind of load 519 00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:23,399 Speaker 3: up on guys like Tannehill and a J. Brown before 520 00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:24,440 Speaker 3: they have that big game. 521 00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:26,840 Speaker 2: Just look at the salary, right, Like when you just 522 00:24:26,840 --> 00:24:28,760 Speaker 2: look at a guy's salary and it's like, oh, his 523 00:24:28,880 --> 00:24:33,000 Speaker 2: salary is not usually here, Like that's usually an receiver 524 00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:36,800 Speaker 2: because it's so volatile. That's usually an indication that you 525 00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:39,680 Speaker 2: want to play, you know, like I you know, guys 526 00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:41,960 Speaker 2: like sometimes it will happen to Julio, it'll happen in 527 00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:42,720 Speaker 2: Hopkins even. 528 00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:44,399 Speaker 1: You know, guys can have. 529 00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:47,080 Speaker 2: Two bad games in a row, two three bad games, 530 00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:48,880 Speaker 2: salary comes down smash them. 531 00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:51,720 Speaker 1: So yeah, AJ Tannehill, that's what we like. 532 00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:56,719 Speaker 2: Coach Titans. Let's go to Ravens Lions. Lions coming off 533 00:24:56,760 --> 00:24:59,359 Speaker 2: that Monday night loss to Green Bay. Shouts to the 534 00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:02,160 Speaker 2: pack for in that big spread because I hate anyone. 535 00:25:02,119 --> 00:25:04,680 Speaker 1: On big spreads, but like, there was no other play 536 00:25:04,760 --> 00:25:07,840 Speaker 1: in my opinion in that game than pack. I mean, 537 00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:09,840 Speaker 1: I know you hit the over, but I meant in 538 00:25:09,920 --> 00:25:10,560 Speaker 1: terms of spread. 539 00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:16,080 Speaker 2: So the problem I'm gonna throw out because this is 540 00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:20,040 Speaker 2: this is getting confusing because Tyson Williams still seems like 541 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:25,040 Speaker 2: the lead back, but he's getting spelled in inopportune places 542 00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:28,560 Speaker 2: by with Tavi's Murray. Every week that goes by, there's 543 00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:30,920 Speaker 2: always a chance that these veterans get more involved because 544 00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:32,600 Speaker 2: they're getting more practice time under their belt. 545 00:25:32,680 --> 00:25:34,960 Speaker 1: Murray, DeVonta Freeman and such. 546 00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:37,840 Speaker 2: So my prop for you is going to be Tyson 547 00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:39,920 Speaker 2: Williams rushing yards. 548 00:25:40,440 --> 00:25:43,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, this is a really tough just backfield to project 549 00:25:43,920 --> 00:25:45,960 Speaker 3: right now. Even Harbaugh has said that they don't really 550 00:25:46,000 --> 00:25:48,840 Speaker 3: have a lead back, but it's clearly Williams right now. 551 00:25:49,000 --> 00:25:52,119 Speaker 3: And he looked good at times against the Chiefs, but 552 00:25:52,160 --> 00:25:55,720 Speaker 3: there was a play where he missed a huge hole 553 00:25:55,760 --> 00:25:57,359 Speaker 3: where if he cut back he would have just had 554 00:25:57,400 --> 00:26:00,879 Speaker 3: a massive game. Instead, he ran out into the flat 555 00:26:00,920 --> 00:26:03,320 Speaker 3: and like got a one yard game. So you know 556 00:26:03,440 --> 00:26:05,880 Speaker 3: he's left some yards on the field, but either way, 557 00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:08,760 Speaker 3: they're leaning on him. DeVante Freeman did look good, so 558 00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:11,040 Speaker 3: we could see him see an increase in usage this week. 559 00:26:11,240 --> 00:26:14,520 Speaker 3: Latavius Murray could see an increasing usage. But right now, 560 00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:19,280 Speaker 3: I'm projecting Tyson for fifty seven and a half rushing yards. 561 00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:22,440 Speaker 2: Okay, so I have it closer to about forty seven 562 00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:26,199 Speaker 2: and a half. So you're a little higher on him 563 00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:28,080 Speaker 2: than me. I just there's just a lot of uncertainty 564 00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:30,880 Speaker 2: here for me. Yeah, I do love the matchup though, Yeah, 565 00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:33,360 Speaker 2: talked about Aaron Jones is like a bounce back last week. 566 00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:34,480 Speaker 1: So I love the matchup. 567 00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:38,480 Speaker 2: But it's just I have him right outside my top 568 00:26:38,520 --> 00:26:41,520 Speaker 2: twenty four at running back, so it's not like I'm 569 00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:44,920 Speaker 2: you know, super down on him. But that's something that 570 00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:46,720 Speaker 2: I'm going to kind of be like tweaking as the 571 00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:51,000 Speaker 2: week goes on, because I it's hard to gauge exactly 572 00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:53,359 Speaker 2: how much work he's going to get. So you know, 573 00:26:53,400 --> 00:26:54,800 Speaker 2: that might be something where we want to listen to 574 00:26:54,800 --> 00:26:56,640 Speaker 2: some more hard Blough quotes. You know, is he mad 575 00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:58,440 Speaker 2: that Tyson is playing? Because I think there are some 576 00:26:58,520 --> 00:27:02,000 Speaker 2: quotes after week one like, Okay, you know Tyson, I 577 00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:04,119 Speaker 2: think he had some you know, some issues with in 578 00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:05,560 Speaker 2: past protection or something like that. 579 00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:08,080 Speaker 1: But you know, I think. 580 00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:09,680 Speaker 2: That's this is one where we kind of have to 581 00:27:09,680 --> 00:27:12,840 Speaker 2: stay tuned to like what the what's going out of Baltimore, 582 00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:14,920 Speaker 2: because that's gonna that's gonna really help us. 583 00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:17,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, and let's let's face it, their best running back 584 00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:21,919 Speaker 3: is Lamar Jackson, and he has twelve carries, sixteen carries. 585 00:27:21,920 --> 00:27:23,720 Speaker 3: He kind of had to out of necessity, So you'd 586 00:27:23,760 --> 00:27:26,119 Speaker 3: think against the Lions, this might be a time to 587 00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:29,520 Speaker 3: maybe have him only run seven eight times and the 588 00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:33,680 Speaker 3: guy like Tyson kind of like get some more handoffs 589 00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:35,919 Speaker 3: to just to kind of limit Lamar because he's on 590 00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:38,159 Speaker 3: a pace right now where I'm kind of worried that 591 00:27:38,240 --> 00:27:38,720 Speaker 3: he won't be. 592 00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:40,360 Speaker 1: Able to keep up at this pace. 593 00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:43,040 Speaker 3: So that that's the other reason why I do think 594 00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:45,919 Speaker 3: that Tyson's a good bet for over fifty years is 595 00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:48,200 Speaker 3: because they need to limit Lamar somewhere and this could 596 00:27:48,240 --> 00:27:48,880 Speaker 3: be that matchup. 597 00:27:50,359 --> 00:27:53,680 Speaker 1: Who is your DFSG code for Ravens Lions. 598 00:27:54,000 --> 00:27:57,400 Speaker 3: I'm going with Mark Andrews because it's you know, we've 599 00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:00,639 Speaker 3: seen a slow start from Andrews this year. He bounced 600 00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:02,800 Speaker 3: back last week with a you know, five catch, fifty 601 00:28:02,840 --> 00:28:06,119 Speaker 3: seven yard game, but no touchdowns. Still, he's still getting 602 00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:08,920 Speaker 3: the massive playing time we've become accustomed to with him, 603 00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:12,320 Speaker 3: ninety percent routes run, but just he hasn't been seeing 604 00:28:12,359 --> 00:28:15,040 Speaker 3: the target share or you know, the touchdown rates that 605 00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:17,920 Speaker 3: we're used to. So I think it's easy to kind 606 00:28:17,920 --> 00:28:20,400 Speaker 3: of overreact to two games sample side, but we kind 607 00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:23,280 Speaker 3: of know what to expect with Andrews is you know, 608 00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:25,919 Speaker 3: the potential for massive games in his future, and I 609 00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:28,360 Speaker 3: think it could be this week. This is nice get 610 00:28:28,440 --> 00:28:30,560 Speaker 3: right spot against the Lions. They could probably throw it 611 00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:33,280 Speaker 3: to whoever they want, so I think they get Andrews 612 00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:35,080 Speaker 3: involved here and I want to be on. 613 00:28:35,040 --> 00:28:37,760 Speaker 1: Him before he explodes. So I'm going to have quite 614 00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:41,280 Speaker 1: a few Andrews shares this week. Yeah, and you know, 615 00:28:41,320 --> 00:28:44,280 Speaker 1: I totally agree Andrews is up there. But I am 616 00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:48,040 Speaker 1: thankful that you left me with TJ. Hockinson. Oh yeah, 617 00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:52,520 Speaker 1: you're welcome. I mean, he's my boy. But yeah, this 618 00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:55,680 Speaker 1: is a spock man like this is number one. You have. 619 00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:57,920 Speaker 2: One thing I love in DFS is when you get 620 00:28:57,920 --> 00:29:01,000 Speaker 2: a guy off the Monday night and usually their price 621 00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:01,840 Speaker 2: isn't adjusted. 622 00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:02,520 Speaker 1: And so t J. 623 00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:05,640 Speaker 2: Hockinson had another gamer. He caught five plus passes, a touchdown. 624 00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:08,760 Speaker 2: He just looks really good out there, like he's he's 625 00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:11,000 Speaker 2: playing more physically. I think that he was last year. 626 00:29:11,040 --> 00:29:12,720 Speaker 2: I thought last year he could have played more physical. 627 00:29:13,440 --> 00:29:17,080 Speaker 2: I think he looks a lot better and he's still 628 00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:23,520 Speaker 2: relatively cheap. And Baltimore and I know they faced Taron 629 00:29:23,600 --> 00:29:28,000 Speaker 2: Waller and Travis Kelce, but t J. Hockinson really in 630 00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:30,000 Speaker 2: terms of fantasy at least in terms of the usage, 631 00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:32,240 Speaker 2: is not really far behind those guys anymore. 632 00:29:33,480 --> 00:29:36,160 Speaker 1: Baltimore is giving up a league high nineteen catches. 633 00:29:35,920 --> 00:29:39,479 Speaker 2: For two hundred and forty five yards, two tight ends 634 00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:42,200 Speaker 2: with two touchdowns. So they I mean, Baltimore just has 635 00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:45,280 Speaker 2: the brutal tight end matchup schedule to start the year. 636 00:29:45,360 --> 00:29:47,800 Speaker 2: So don't go reading into it like in like week 637 00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,400 Speaker 2: six and starting like I don't know cj U Solmar 638 00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:54,880 Speaker 2: or whoever it is against, Right, yeah, right, don't do that, 639 00:29:55,240 --> 00:30:01,560 Speaker 2: but do keep it rolling with Hockinson in DFS, and 640 00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:03,920 Speaker 2: I think Hockinson Andrews are both you know that that's 641 00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:05,960 Speaker 2: a good, you know, kind of base tight end build 642 00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:10,120 Speaker 2: right there, because you know, you know, Kittle's out on 643 00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:13,480 Speaker 2: the main sleet and the Chiefs, what are the Chiefs? 644 00:30:13,480 --> 00:30:15,480 Speaker 1: The Chiefs are on Kelsey is on the main sleet, right, Yeah, 645 00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:17,000 Speaker 1: the Chiefs are on the main sleet. But kitt he's 646 00:30:17,040 --> 00:30:17,720 Speaker 1: pretty good too. 647 00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:23,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, Kelsey's pretty that like yo that you know, there's 648 00:30:23,720 --> 00:30:26,800 Speaker 2: always a few touchdowns every week where you're like, yeah, 649 00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:29,280 Speaker 2: as you're watching like this, you kind of almost like 650 00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:31,120 Speaker 2: turn away and look back down at your phone or 651 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:33,000 Speaker 2: whatever because you're like, it's gonna be a touchdown. 652 00:30:33,000 --> 00:30:35,320 Speaker 1: It's gonna be like a three yard catch, just like 653 00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:37,040 Speaker 1: I can't look it up. He's like, oh, he's still going, 654 00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:39,400 Speaker 1: He's still going. He's still going. I was gonna get 655 00:30:39,360 --> 00:30:41,320 Speaker 1: tackled it like the one yard no. Oh no. 656 00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:45,160 Speaker 3: He is a monster. But that I think Hawkinson was 657 00:30:45,200 --> 00:30:47,440 Speaker 3: one of our biggest hits so far. We were both 658 00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:49,920 Speaker 3: touting him heading into the season. I remember, you know, 659 00:30:50,040 --> 00:30:53,400 Speaker 3: doing my tight end tiers and just realizing, holy shit, 660 00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:57,120 Speaker 3: t J. Hawkinson is the literal most important person in 661 00:30:57,160 --> 00:31:00,120 Speaker 3: the draft because he's before the massive drop off a 662 00:31:00,200 --> 00:31:02,160 Speaker 3: tight end and he was such a value at tight 663 00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:05,280 Speaker 3: end six because you know, we love Kyle Pitts but 664 00:31:05,360 --> 00:31:07,760 Speaker 3: were a little bit barrashed on him and just Hackinson 665 00:31:07,840 --> 00:31:09,800 Speaker 3: was just sitting there for the taken after two games, 666 00:31:09,880 --> 00:31:13,560 Speaker 3: I mean, he's even better than I expected. So yeah, 667 00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:15,600 Speaker 3: just T J. Hawkinson. I think he's a no brainer 668 00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:17,680 Speaker 3: at this point. But again, like you can't have too 669 00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:20,320 Speaker 3: much of him still, so I love him this week 670 00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:20,680 Speaker 3: as well. 671 00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:23,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I love the way it's set up because 672 00:31:23,080 --> 00:31:25,280 Speaker 2: I had Hackinson right fourth, so I was taking him 673 00:31:25,320 --> 00:31:28,320 Speaker 2: over Andrews and I could wait till Pitts was off 674 00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:28,720 Speaker 2: the board. 675 00:31:29,280 --> 00:31:30,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, so I wasn't. 676 00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:32,280 Speaker 2: It wasn't like I was having to reach because I 677 00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:34,200 Speaker 2: feel like, what you know, if he was closer to 678 00:31:34,240 --> 00:31:36,520 Speaker 2: Pitts or everyone thought he was closer to Pits, it 679 00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:37,960 Speaker 2: would have been a situation where you might have had 680 00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:40,320 Speaker 2: to reach into like the fourth round to get him. 681 00:31:40,480 --> 00:31:42,760 Speaker 1: But because of that, because of how it's set. 682 00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:44,360 Speaker 2: Up, a lot of times, I was still getting him 683 00:31:44,360 --> 00:31:47,440 Speaker 2: in like the early six h That's I was saying, 684 00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:50,280 Speaker 2: if he falls in me in the sixth round, that's 685 00:31:50,320 --> 00:31:51,360 Speaker 2: that's a league winning pick. 686 00:31:51,400 --> 00:31:54,720 Speaker 3: The only scary part about waiting for Hawkinson is if 687 00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:57,480 Speaker 3: he gets snaked in front of you, you know, my 688 00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:00,280 Speaker 3: my draft strategies out the window. And I met up 689 00:32:00,320 --> 00:32:04,840 Speaker 3: with Dallas Goddard in round thirteen or whatever, So that 690 00:32:04,920 --> 00:32:07,400 Speaker 3: was the only scary part waiting for Hawkinson. There was 691 00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:10,320 Speaker 3: really no backup plan, but those things that got him, 692 00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:11,600 Speaker 3: I am just loving it right now. 693 00:32:12,360 --> 00:32:14,240 Speaker 1: Hey, I mean you could have got back on the 694 00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:15,120 Speaker 1: Gronk train, but. 695 00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:18,560 Speaker 3: Oh, I know right, I'm just saying that that cancels 696 00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:21,640 Speaker 3: out the Hawkinson hit was that Gronk mess man. 697 00:32:22,040 --> 00:32:23,840 Speaker 1: Oh No, we had him pretty low. 698 00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:26,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, I told you, hell though I said, yo, I 699 00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:29,040 Speaker 2: did say I'm like one of our last podcasts, I said, 700 00:32:29,160 --> 00:32:30,600 Speaker 2: I was like, yo, he's going to like tight End 701 00:32:30,600 --> 00:32:33,600 Speaker 2: eighteen now though like now I was, I have a 702 00:32:33,640 --> 00:32:36,360 Speaker 2: lot of like I have more Gronk, Like it looks 703 00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:38,680 Speaker 2: good now because obviously he's playing well, but like I 704 00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:40,920 Speaker 2: had a lot. I was like, I had an embarrassed, 705 00:32:40,920 --> 00:32:43,720 Speaker 2: we meanly high amount of Gronk heading into the season 706 00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:46,280 Speaker 2: that oh I didn't want people to know about because I. 707 00:32:46,920 --> 00:32:49,120 Speaker 1: Was still pretty low on him. But it was just like, again, 708 00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:50,920 Speaker 1: I'm playing a number, right, it's my prob. 709 00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:54,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, my problem was not just manually projecting Tom Brady 710 00:32:54,640 --> 00:32:57,800 Speaker 3: for sixty passing touchdowns like I had a hunch. So 711 00:32:57,840 --> 00:32:59,440 Speaker 3: if I had done that, yeah, Gronk would have been 712 00:32:59,440 --> 00:33:01,680 Speaker 3: tight End five even you know, the rest is history. 713 00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:05,080 Speaker 1: But yeah, right now. It seems like Gronka's the lock 714 00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:07,320 Speaker 1: for about a touchdown every week. Huh. 715 00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:10,080 Speaker 2: I mean until he gets hurt if he does. Yeh, yeah, 716 00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:13,640 Speaker 2: I mean how crazy is it that? Like the real question, 717 00:33:13,680 --> 00:33:16,600 Speaker 2: I think it was like TJ. Hockinson versus like Andrews, 718 00:33:16,960 --> 00:33:18,000 Speaker 2: and who. 719 00:33:17,560 --> 00:33:18,239 Speaker 1: Would have thought that? 720 00:33:18,240 --> 00:33:20,800 Speaker 2: Like Hackinson would have been blowing Andrews out of the water, 721 00:33:21,120 --> 00:33:23,520 Speaker 2: and Andrews would have been running more like more routes, 722 00:33:23,880 --> 00:33:26,200 Speaker 2: Like yeah, because that's the only thing that was holding 723 00:33:26,240 --> 00:33:27,400 Speaker 2: Andrews back, you would have thought. 724 00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:29,840 Speaker 1: But yeah, I agree, a great, great spot for him. 725 00:33:29,840 --> 00:33:33,240 Speaker 2: This one straight couldn't cover Robert Tuny in last week, 726 00:33:33,400 --> 00:33:35,560 Speaker 2: like at all. They couldn't cover him on yard after 727 00:33:35,600 --> 00:33:39,360 Speaker 2: the catch, they couldn't cover him down the scene. So yeah, 728 00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:42,880 Speaker 2: like like Andrews a lot, Let's go to the football 729 00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:46,560 Speaker 2: team at the Bills and the line I'm gonna throw 730 00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:49,000 Speaker 2: out for you is Josh Allen two hundred and seventy 731 00:33:49,000 --> 00:33:53,240 Speaker 2: five and a half passing yards at Prize picks. You 732 00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:56,280 Speaker 2: have been famously like your takes are always right on, 733 00:33:56,400 --> 00:33:58,560 Speaker 2: but sometimes you're like a year early or like a 734 00:33:58,640 --> 00:33:59,240 Speaker 2: game early. 735 00:34:00,080 --> 00:34:01,760 Speaker 1: Were you just like a year early on? Like the 736 00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:04,240 Speaker 1: Josh att Like, let's let's like curb the hype on 737 00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:07,080 Speaker 1: the Josh Allen train, because like now he's having a 738 00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:08,799 Speaker 1: year I felt like you thought he might have last 739 00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:10,719 Speaker 1: year where you know, the passing yards are down. He 740 00:34:10,800 --> 00:34:12,000 Speaker 1: just doesn't quite look right. 741 00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:14,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, two hundred and seventy five and a half against 742 00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:16,960 Speaker 2: a defense that we think is good but has been 743 00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:20,239 Speaker 2: playing probably playing not as well as we thought either. 744 00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:21,040 Speaker 1: Yeah. 745 00:34:21,120 --> 00:34:23,200 Speaker 3: No, I mean I was completely wrong about him last year, 746 00:34:23,200 --> 00:34:25,560 Speaker 3: but I was saying that he just has a wide 747 00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:27,880 Speaker 3: range of outcomes. We're going to see, you know, number 748 00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:31,560 Speaker 3: one upside or just you know, outside of the top 749 00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:34,040 Speaker 3: twenty kind of range for him. But I think he's 750 00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:36,440 Speaker 3: a lot better than I give him credit for last year. 751 00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:38,920 Speaker 3: I'm not saying I was right or a year earlier 752 00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:41,320 Speaker 3: or anything. I think I think he's due for a breakout. 753 00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:44,280 Speaker 3: You know, he had to touch a tough start against 754 00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:48,400 Speaker 3: the Steelers Dolphins this week against the football team, So 755 00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:50,759 Speaker 3: I think Week four against the Texans will start to 756 00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:54,600 Speaker 3: see what twenty twenty one Josh Allen sort of looks like. 757 00:34:54,680 --> 00:34:56,560 Speaker 3: So I think he's going to break out some point 758 00:34:56,560 --> 00:34:58,919 Speaker 3: this week. I'm not projecting him to go over this prop. 759 00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:02,759 Speaker 3: I have him closer a two. But we saw, you know, 760 00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:06,239 Speaker 3: justin Herbert play well against his defense, Danie Jones look 761 00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:09,239 Speaker 3: great against his defense, so maybe this isn't as tough 762 00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:12,520 Speaker 3: a matchup as we think. So I'm kind of in 763 00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:15,080 Speaker 3: line with the market here, but I wouldn't touch the 764 00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:17,240 Speaker 3: over by any means. But where do you have projected? 765 00:35:17,719 --> 00:35:19,080 Speaker 3: I have a more like two fifty five? 766 00:35:19,200 --> 00:35:20,360 Speaker 1: So oh wow, not that. 767 00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:22,920 Speaker 2: I mean we have two games, and it's like I 768 00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:25,000 Speaker 2: take into account, you know, a guy's like full body 769 00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:26,720 Speaker 2: of work a little bit, so he's kind of regressing 770 00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:30,040 Speaker 2: to like his earlier career norms, and they are playing 771 00:35:30,040 --> 00:35:33,880 Speaker 2: more one to one personnel now. So I think you 772 00:35:33,880 --> 00:35:36,120 Speaker 2: could just see a natural regression in some of the 773 00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:37,960 Speaker 2: numbers just because if you don't have if you have 774 00:35:38,040 --> 00:35:39,840 Speaker 2: like a tight end and they're back instead of that 775 00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:42,440 Speaker 2: fourth wide receiver, you're you're not your. 776 00:35:42,360 --> 00:35:43,879 Speaker 1: Average at the target is going to go down. 777 00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:47,279 Speaker 2: Your average, your average completion, uh, you know, is going 778 00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:49,759 Speaker 2: to go down just because you're playing with a kind 779 00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:53,040 Speaker 2: of different offense. So, uh, they had some they had 780 00:35:53,120 --> 00:35:54,839 Speaker 2: some success in that one one. I think they're going 781 00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:57,800 Speaker 2: to continue with more one one. They had some success 782 00:35:57,800 --> 00:36:01,200 Speaker 2: with it against Miami, uh and just dominant showing. But 783 00:36:01,280 --> 00:36:03,040 Speaker 2: of course the offense going to play better, But yeah, 784 00:36:03,040 --> 00:36:05,600 Speaker 2: I think I don't necessarily the defense is a lot 785 00:36:05,640 --> 00:36:07,560 Speaker 2: better too, So yeah, I don't know if we're gonna 786 00:36:07,560 --> 00:36:09,399 Speaker 2: have to see Josh Allen play as much shootout ball 787 00:36:10,160 --> 00:36:13,000 Speaker 2: uh and against tiawa Heinike you know. 788 00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:14,560 Speaker 1: Who also looked pretty good last week. 789 00:36:14,560 --> 00:36:17,960 Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm just going a little conservative here with 790 00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:19,239 Speaker 2: with Allen for now. 791 00:36:19,440 --> 00:36:21,480 Speaker 3: Alread you have him ranked if you haven't projected that 792 00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:23,960 Speaker 3: low passing yards is the outside your top five. 793 00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:28,920 Speaker 1: He's still third. Yeah. Well, the rushing yards he can 794 00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:30,760 Speaker 1: he can make it. Yeah, yeah, it's probably. He probably 795 00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:32,200 Speaker 1: has a good amount of touchdown. 796 00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:34,640 Speaker 2: But I think, yeah, I think he might actually end 797 00:36:34,719 --> 00:36:38,799 Speaker 2: up because I'm looking at him now, Uh, I think 798 00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:39,680 Speaker 2: he might end up. 799 00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:41,719 Speaker 1: Dick. 800 00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:44,680 Speaker 2: Actually, I think I might. I might put because I 801 00:36:44,680 --> 00:36:47,120 Speaker 2: have him ahead of Lamar and I need to move 802 00:36:47,160 --> 00:36:49,319 Speaker 2: that up. I'm not sure why Lamar is going into 803 00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:51,360 Speaker 2: low but hold on, oh no, no, no, sorry, I 804 00:36:51,360 --> 00:36:51,760 Speaker 2: have Jackson. 805 00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:53,680 Speaker 1: Let me say that again. Cut that out, producer. I 806 00:36:53,680 --> 00:36:55,600 Speaker 1: was looking at my season long rankings. I have a 807 00:36:55,600 --> 00:36:58,719 Speaker 1: whole bunch of Yeah, nor season productions out. 808 00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:00,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, they're still like in there because I because I 809 00:37:00,440 --> 00:37:01,680 Speaker 2: use him for the priors, you know what I mean, 810 00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:02,600 Speaker 2: So like I don't delete them. 811 00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:03,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I just kind of keep them. 812 00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:06,480 Speaker 2: But I was looking at the wrong table, makes sense, Okay, 813 00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:11,120 Speaker 2: So I have Josh Allen ranked fifth right now, and 814 00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:13,560 Speaker 2: I may even have him ranked sixth or seventh because 815 00:37:13,560 --> 00:37:16,040 Speaker 2: I have him ranked right now ahead of Russell Wilson, 816 00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:19,800 Speaker 2: which I think I'm gonna flip because Minnesota Seattle seems 817 00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:22,359 Speaker 2: like a shootout. I know Russell struggled at the end 818 00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:25,080 Speaker 2: in that game, but yeah, I think I think I'm 819 00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:26,920 Speaker 2: gonna have Allen in that five to six range. 820 00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:31,759 Speaker 1: So uh yeah, pes. 821 00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:36,000 Speaker 3: Chico, I'm going off the grid here and I'm going 822 00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:38,040 Speaker 3: with a Bills tight end. This might be the first 823 00:37:38,080 --> 00:37:42,040 Speaker 3: time ever, but I'm going with Dawson Knox. And typically 824 00:37:42,080 --> 00:37:46,160 Speaker 3: we ignore Bills tight ends and Dawson Knox because you know, 825 00:37:46,200 --> 00:37:50,000 Speaker 3: the Bills run so many four wide receiver formations, rarely 826 00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:52,680 Speaker 3: they involved the tight end. But you know, Dawson Knocks 827 00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:55,839 Speaker 3: ran seventy percent routes run per drop back last week, 828 00:37:55,880 --> 00:37:58,960 Speaker 3: and that could be due to Gabe Davis being banged up. 829 00:37:59,520 --> 00:38:01,839 Speaker 3: He didn't much playing time, so maybe that was something 830 00:38:01,920 --> 00:38:03,680 Speaker 3: to do with it, but they could be just trying 831 00:38:03,719 --> 00:38:05,959 Speaker 3: to get Knocks more involved in the offense. He didn't 832 00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:08,480 Speaker 3: really have a good game. He got two passes for 833 00:38:08,520 --> 00:38:11,479 Speaker 3: seventeen yards and a touchdown. But you know he's worth 834 00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:14,120 Speaker 3: a flyer. You know, he has a massive ceiling if 835 00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:16,520 Speaker 3: he's running that many routes on a passing attack like this. 836 00:38:17,000 --> 00:38:18,560 Speaker 3: Like I said, I think we're due for a Josh 837 00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:20,080 Speaker 3: Allen breakout game at some point. 838 00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:21,799 Speaker 1: So if it's this week, you know. 839 00:38:21,840 --> 00:38:25,640 Speaker 3: Dawson Knox might be very low rostered and I'm willing 840 00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:27,840 Speaker 3: to take a couple of flyers on him, not expecting 841 00:38:27,880 --> 00:38:30,640 Speaker 3: too much, but he's my cheak code for this matchup. 842 00:38:30,719 --> 00:38:34,839 Speaker 3: Just just a ton of leverage for everybody that's gonna 843 00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:36,600 Speaker 3: load up on guys like Digs and Beasley. 844 00:38:36,800 --> 00:38:39,120 Speaker 1: I think Knox is a sneaky upside play this week. 845 00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:41,359 Speaker 2: I don't think anyone's loaded up in any Buffalo guys 846 00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:43,480 Speaker 2: this week, to be honest with you, I think they're 847 00:38:43,480 --> 00:38:46,160 Speaker 2: going to be a pretty sneaky uh. You know, whoever 848 00:38:46,200 --> 00:38:48,719 Speaker 2: you want to play from Buffalo, you're gonna get some 849 00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:52,960 Speaker 2: pretty good numbers. Roster shit wise, I think and I 850 00:38:53,000 --> 00:38:55,520 Speaker 2: do think that one one personel is going to continue. 851 00:38:55,560 --> 00:38:56,959 Speaker 1: I do think Knox is going to stay. 852 00:38:57,120 --> 00:38:59,440 Speaker 2: Okay, I'm more involved because from what I'm you know, 853 00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:02,279 Speaker 2: hearing out of again a lot of my research. You know, 854 00:39:02,520 --> 00:39:04,560 Speaker 2: during the week, you know, I have I obviously have 855 00:39:04,600 --> 00:39:06,759 Speaker 2: all the data and the spreadsheets, but like in terms 856 00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:08,479 Speaker 2: of like research, I like go out and seek. 857 00:39:08,600 --> 00:39:11,439 Speaker 1: It's like, you know, team reports, what's going on, what's 858 00:39:11,520 --> 00:39:11,840 Speaker 1: kind of the. 859 00:39:12,480 --> 00:39:15,600 Speaker 2: Narratives coming out of the of each city with these 860 00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:18,200 Speaker 2: teams and how they're performing. And with Buffalo, the big 861 00:39:18,200 --> 00:39:20,000 Speaker 2: thing after week one was like we got to actually 862 00:39:20,040 --> 00:39:22,880 Speaker 2: get back to more one one personnel, which I didn't 863 00:39:22,920 --> 00:39:25,560 Speaker 2: necessarily agree with at the time. I thought, going against Miami, 864 00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:27,719 Speaker 2: you should probably spread them out, go because you know 865 00:39:27,760 --> 00:39:29,920 Speaker 2: they have two good corners. I thought, maybe, you know, 866 00:39:30,440 --> 00:39:32,080 Speaker 2: get four wide receivers on the fair. I still think 867 00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:36,080 Speaker 2: gave davis Is their second best receiver. But they went 868 00:39:36,120 --> 00:39:38,440 Speaker 2: one one and it worked and they had success with it, 869 00:39:38,480 --> 00:39:39,719 Speaker 2: and I think they're going to keep doing that. 870 00:39:39,840 --> 00:39:43,239 Speaker 1: So I do expect NOTx to continue this kind of 871 00:39:43,239 --> 00:39:45,720 Speaker 1: the trend for week two versus Week one. 872 00:39:46,120 --> 00:39:48,040 Speaker 2: From my cheat code, I'm actually going with Josh Allen 873 00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:49,680 Speaker 2: for that exact reason that I mentioned. 874 00:39:49,680 --> 00:39:51,520 Speaker 1: I think people are gonna be off Buffalo this week 875 00:39:52,239 --> 00:39:53,399 Speaker 1: in a what on. 876 00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:55,960 Speaker 2: Paper at WE sets up as a tough matchup versus Washington, 877 00:39:56,320 --> 00:39:59,960 Speaker 2: But Washington has allow three hundred and forty yards total 878 00:40:00,080 --> 00:40:01,960 Speaker 2: to quarterbacks per week. They had they give up three 879 00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:05,040 Speaker 2: thirty seven to Herbert passing and then Daniel Jones had 880 00:40:05,040 --> 00:40:08,319 Speaker 2: two hundred and forty nine passing at another ninety five 881 00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:08,640 Speaker 2: on the. 882 00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:12,120 Speaker 1: Ground, and they've struggled to stop Jones. 883 00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:15,040 Speaker 2: It was a lot of you know, miscontainers on gap 884 00:40:15,120 --> 00:40:18,719 Speaker 2: stuff and setting edges and just like they didn't keep 885 00:40:18,760 --> 00:40:19,400 Speaker 2: like gap. 886 00:40:19,200 --> 00:40:20,520 Speaker 1: Integrity, I guess, is what I'm saying. 887 00:40:20,640 --> 00:40:23,040 Speaker 2: I think, you know, Josh Allen's not a big runner 888 00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:25,440 Speaker 2: as much as he was earlier in his career, but 889 00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:29,520 Speaker 2: I think he's gonna have some opportunities here. And you 890 00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:32,880 Speaker 2: know Washington's corners they've been they've been kind of up 891 00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:33,600 Speaker 2: and down as well. 892 00:40:33,680 --> 00:40:36,120 Speaker 1: So I like Josh Allen in this spot. 893 00:40:36,160 --> 00:40:38,240 Speaker 2: I think you're gonna get low roster ship with Kyler 894 00:40:38,360 --> 00:40:40,440 Speaker 2: going off, and you know, just just just a lot 895 00:40:40,440 --> 00:40:43,759 Speaker 2: of options on the slate here. We have Lamar you 896 00:40:43,880 --> 00:40:48,000 Speaker 2: still obviously have my homes, so just a lot of options. 897 00:40:48,719 --> 00:40:51,000 Speaker 2: Daniel Jones, I think is going to be popular. So 898 00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:53,719 Speaker 2: I think Allen's gonna go under on so he's my 899 00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:55,719 Speaker 2: cheat cook. Oh, let me see again. 900 00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:58,920 Speaker 1: I think Alan's gonna go under rostered because so he's 901 00:40:58,920 --> 00:40:59,440 Speaker 1: my cheat cook. 902 00:41:01,520 --> 00:41:05,640 Speaker 2: Okay, let's go to Saints Patriots in this. I'm expecting 903 00:41:05,640 --> 00:41:10,279 Speaker 2: a pretty well scoring game here, but I might like 904 00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:12,360 Speaker 2: this prop too much, so I'm. 905 00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:15,279 Speaker 1: Going to get your opinion on it. Damien Harris over 906 00:41:15,400 --> 00:41:18,560 Speaker 1: under sixty four and a half rushing yards on prize picks. 907 00:41:18,960 --> 00:41:21,200 Speaker 3: Now, I'm curious, are you over under that? But I'm 908 00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:24,400 Speaker 3: over by a hare. I'm projecting him closer to seventy. 909 00:41:25,080 --> 00:41:26,000 Speaker 1: Certainly I could go up. 910 00:41:26,040 --> 00:41:29,480 Speaker 3: We need to see what's up with Stevenson. You know 911 00:41:29,520 --> 00:41:32,560 Speaker 3: he's in the doghouse right now. So this is Damien 912 00:41:32,600 --> 00:41:35,719 Speaker 3: Harris's backfield. Saints have a very good run, dye, but 913 00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:37,480 Speaker 3: I think he will see the volume. Like you said, 914 00:41:37,480 --> 00:41:41,000 Speaker 3: I see this being a lower scoring game, and I 915 00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:42,680 Speaker 3: don't know if Trent Brown is going to be back 916 00:41:42,719 --> 00:41:45,200 Speaker 3: this week. Usually that does factor in a couple of 917 00:41:45,239 --> 00:41:48,040 Speaker 3: yards here or there, forgot like Harris, but right now, 918 00:41:48,040 --> 00:41:50,560 Speaker 3: I'm projecting US at seventy, so I'm going over. 919 00:41:51,480 --> 00:41:53,440 Speaker 1: I love the under here. I think this is a 920 00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:55,080 Speaker 1: this is yeah, this is a tough spot. 921 00:41:55,600 --> 00:41:57,840 Speaker 2: The Saints are not a team you want to run against, 922 00:41:57,920 --> 00:41:59,680 Speaker 2: like you don't want to target your backs against them. 923 00:41:59,880 --> 00:42:03,920 Speaker 2: And you know what I noticed, you know, coming into 924 00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:06,560 Speaker 2: Week two, Harris had that key fumble. He kind of 925 00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:10,080 Speaker 2: first of all, he had a ridiculous touchdown that got 926 00:42:10,120 --> 00:42:12,359 Speaker 2: him and he's still always landed at sixty two yards 927 00:42:12,360 --> 00:42:14,680 Speaker 2: against in a game that they were blowing out the Jets. 928 00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:18,560 Speaker 2: But what worries me is that New Orleans has allowed 929 00:42:18,600 --> 00:42:21,279 Speaker 2: just two point seven running back yards per carry this year. 930 00:42:21,520 --> 00:42:25,879 Speaker 2: That's second best. They were number six in twenty twenty. 931 00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:27,759 Speaker 2: They allowed under four yards to carry the backs in 932 00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:28,440 Speaker 2: twenty twenty. 933 00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:31,239 Speaker 1: Just for the longest time his defense, you know, they 934 00:42:31,360 --> 00:42:33,399 Speaker 1: they've been able to stop the run and contained a run. 935 00:42:33,760 --> 00:42:37,319 Speaker 2: And James White snaps did go up last week, you know, 936 00:42:37,520 --> 00:42:38,920 Speaker 2: with Harris coming off that fumble. 937 00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:41,560 Speaker 1: If Harris doesn't make all those tackles miss, and that's. 938 00:42:41,400 --> 00:42:45,000 Speaker 2: Great, you know he's a talented guy, but you know 939 00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:48,480 Speaker 2: you're gonna have four backs active. James White looks better 940 00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:51,160 Speaker 2: than last year. Last year he went through like a 941 00:42:51,200 --> 00:42:53,239 Speaker 2: pretty big tragedy. 942 00:42:52,719 --> 00:42:53,560 Speaker 1: Earlier in the year. 943 00:42:53,719 --> 00:42:56,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, his parents got into a car crash. I believe 944 00:42:57,000 --> 00:42:59,799 Speaker 2: one of them passed away, unfortunately, and that was like 945 00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:01,640 Speaker 2: in two or three, I think the game against. 946 00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:02,480 Speaker 1: The Seahawks right before it. 947 00:43:02,680 --> 00:43:04,360 Speaker 2: So like, I don't know if he you know, was 948 00:43:04,440 --> 00:43:07,400 Speaker 2: right that whole year, but remember he was, he was 949 00:43:07,640 --> 00:43:11,359 Speaker 2: heavily involved. 950 00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:11,440 Speaker 1: You know, the years prior. 951 00:43:11,560 --> 00:43:14,560 Speaker 2: So I just think there's a little more volatility with Harris, 952 00:43:14,680 --> 00:43:17,440 Speaker 2: and he's gonna need to be max efficiency. So like 953 00:43:17,560 --> 00:43:19,959 Speaker 2: if he if he he's averaging four point two yards 954 00:43:19,960 --> 00:43:23,279 Speaker 2: of carry this year, let's say, you know, the SAME's 955 00:43:23,320 --> 00:43:25,120 Speaker 2: defense is good, Let's give him four yards a carry. 956 00:43:25,200 --> 00:43:25,279 Speaker 1: Right. 957 00:43:26,200 --> 00:43:28,919 Speaker 2: He's only had six more than sixteen carries in three 958 00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:31,480 Speaker 2: of his twelve games since becoming that you know, lead back, 959 00:43:32,160 --> 00:43:34,680 Speaker 2: and he would need more than sixteen carries at foty 960 00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:36,840 Speaker 2: yards of pop. So that's why I think the books 961 00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:38,960 Speaker 2: have it at like sixty four and a half. You know, 962 00:43:39,000 --> 00:43:41,440 Speaker 2: it's kind of like I think the books are kind 963 00:43:41,480 --> 00:43:43,359 Speaker 2: of projecting it more like right around sixty four. 964 00:43:43,400 --> 00:43:45,120 Speaker 1: But yeah, I have it a few yards well than that. 965 00:43:45,160 --> 00:43:46,799 Speaker 2: I just think it's a really tough matchup, and there's 966 00:43:46,800 --> 00:43:49,520 Speaker 2: a wider range of outcomes of like, you know, it's 967 00:43:49,560 --> 00:43:51,520 Speaker 2: still a three point spread or what is it two 968 00:43:51,520 --> 00:43:53,520 Speaker 2: and a half. So if they you know, if it's 969 00:43:53,520 --> 00:43:56,000 Speaker 2: a close game, there could be a situation where it's 970 00:43:56,040 --> 00:43:57,799 Speaker 2: they need to be in the two minute to hurry up. 971 00:43:57,800 --> 00:44:00,919 Speaker 2: White could get more looks. So I just I'm off 972 00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:03,880 Speaker 2: Harris this week. You know, I'm glad he got that 973 00:44:03,920 --> 00:44:06,799 Speaker 2: touchdown last week to kind of bail us out, but yeah, 974 00:44:06,920 --> 00:44:09,680 Speaker 2: I think I'm off him this week against the Saints. 975 00:44:10,760 --> 00:44:12,560 Speaker 1: Who is your Kiko. 976 00:44:13,320 --> 00:44:17,319 Speaker 3: I'm going with Jacoby Myers here. I think this could 977 00:44:17,320 --> 00:44:20,279 Speaker 3: be a high volume game for the passing offense. So 978 00:44:20,320 --> 00:44:22,080 Speaker 3: maybe I am with you there with the Harris under 979 00:44:22,520 --> 00:44:24,439 Speaker 3: But you know, Mac Jones didn't really have to throw 980 00:44:24,520 --> 00:44:27,319 Speaker 3: much last week. That game was not close by any 981 00:44:27,320 --> 00:44:30,440 Speaker 3: stretch of the imagination. So this week at home, Favorites 982 00:44:30,520 --> 00:44:32,879 Speaker 3: minus three. Although the Saints haven't been in a close 983 00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:35,920 Speaker 3: game all season, I think there should be a close game. 984 00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:38,040 Speaker 3: We'll see, you know, Mac Jones peppering a guy like 985 00:44:38,080 --> 00:44:41,759 Speaker 3: Myers the target. So I'm projecting Myers for five catches here, 986 00:44:41,800 --> 00:44:44,200 Speaker 3: but he certainly has a high ceiling. I mean, I'd 987 00:44:44,200 --> 00:44:46,200 Speaker 3: be surprised if he has an eight plus catch game 988 00:44:46,480 --> 00:44:49,920 Speaker 3: in the matchup like this. The Saints cornerback depth chart 989 00:44:50,239 --> 00:44:52,239 Speaker 3: is still you know, banged up right now. We don't 990 00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:54,840 Speaker 3: know if Latimore is playing. It really doesn't matter for Myers. 991 00:44:54,880 --> 00:44:57,000 Speaker 3: You know, they can line him up all around in 992 00:44:57,040 --> 00:44:59,200 Speaker 3: the slot. So I love Myers here. I think he's 993 00:44:59,239 --> 00:45:02,400 Speaker 3: a high volume player and cheap enough to kind of 994 00:45:02,640 --> 00:45:04,600 Speaker 3: plug in lineups and like your team. 995 00:45:05,040 --> 00:45:06,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's uh, he's running a route on ninety five 996 00:45:06,960 --> 00:45:09,279 Speaker 2: percent of the drop backs, sim an Aguar, So it's 997 00:45:09,320 --> 00:45:09,960 Speaker 2: something to kind. 998 00:45:09,800 --> 00:45:10,480 Speaker 1: Of file away. 999 00:45:11,719 --> 00:45:13,680 Speaker 2: Was still jury's kind of out on like where the 1000 00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:16,480 Speaker 2: Patriots wind up, you know on a week twoh basis 1001 00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:19,200 Speaker 2: in terms of their pass volume and yardage and all that. 1002 00:45:19,239 --> 00:45:21,959 Speaker 2: But those guys are out there, they're giving us the usage, 1003 00:45:21,960 --> 00:45:23,560 Speaker 2: and it's we're not really getting the usage from those 1004 00:45:23,560 --> 00:45:27,200 Speaker 2: tight ends that I think we thought we would potentially see. 1005 00:45:27,239 --> 00:45:31,319 Speaker 2: So yeah, I think Myers is a solid one. I'm 1006 00:45:31,360 --> 00:45:33,160 Speaker 2: going with I'm going with Alvin Kamara. 1007 00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:33,879 Speaker 1: Let's buy low. 1008 00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:36,520 Speaker 2: Alvin Kamara right now is the RB twenty three and 1009 00:45:36,600 --> 00:45:40,640 Speaker 2: half PPR. He's averaging three point one yards to carry 1010 00:45:40,640 --> 00:45:43,040 Speaker 2: and four point seven yards per reception. He's got one 1011 00:45:43,080 --> 00:45:46,719 Speaker 2: touchdown in two games. He's gonna he's gonna have some 1012 00:45:46,800 --> 00:45:50,279 Speaker 2: positive version to the mean. I like his usage. He's 1013 00:45:50,360 --> 00:45:53,400 Speaker 2: running a rout on about seventy percent of the dropbacks. 1014 00:45:53,400 --> 00:45:55,920 Speaker 2: He's getting to carry on about sixty five percent, uh, 1015 00:45:56,080 --> 00:45:58,080 Speaker 2: you know, getting about sixty five percent of the backfield carries, 1016 00:45:58,080 --> 00:46:00,200 Speaker 2: which is up a little bit from when Murray was there. 1017 00:46:00,600 --> 00:46:02,920 Speaker 2: So every week I think he's going to be in 1018 00:46:02,960 --> 00:46:07,640 Speaker 2: a massive smash spot. And the Patriots were just magnificent 1019 00:46:07,680 --> 00:46:10,120 Speaker 2: against Zach Wilson and have to at Tongue of Iloa 1020 00:46:10,160 --> 00:46:12,800 Speaker 2: the week before. But and this has been a trend 1021 00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:15,520 Speaker 2: now for you know, going even back to last year. 1022 00:46:15,800 --> 00:46:18,799 Speaker 2: You can run on the Patriots and they're giving up 1023 00:46:18,880 --> 00:46:21,200 Speaker 2: to running backs one hundred and forty one total yards 1024 00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:21,960 Speaker 2: per game. 1025 00:46:23,280 --> 00:46:25,600 Speaker 1: And twenty seven touches four and a. 1026 00:46:25,600 --> 00:46:30,080 Speaker 2: Half yards per carry, forty yards per game receiving to back. 1027 00:46:30,200 --> 00:46:32,359 Speaker 2: So I think Kamara is going to be the focal 1028 00:46:32,360 --> 00:46:34,640 Speaker 2: point of offense. You're coming off a loss. We know 1029 00:46:34,680 --> 00:46:37,759 Speaker 2: Sean Payton's excellent against the spread coming off a loss, 1030 00:46:37,760 --> 00:46:40,200 Speaker 2: which means I think you'd expect some of the Saints 1031 00:46:40,200 --> 00:46:42,600 Speaker 2: to kind of play a little bit above expectation of 1032 00:46:42,640 --> 00:46:46,160 Speaker 2: what their median, you know, might be projected as, just because. 1033 00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:49,120 Speaker 1: Of the spot. So I love Alvin Kamara this week. 1034 00:46:49,680 --> 00:46:52,800 Speaker 2: It's kind of a by low rebound spot here after 1035 00:46:52,920 --> 00:46:54,680 Speaker 2: a rough week number two. 1036 00:46:55,280 --> 00:46:57,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean what a wild two week stretch for 1037 00:46:57,600 --> 00:47:00,520 Speaker 3: the Saints. I mean they just look perfect week one, 1038 00:47:01,000 --> 00:47:03,800 Speaker 3: and then last week. I figured it was a letdown 1039 00:47:03,800 --> 00:47:06,520 Speaker 3: spot because we had all sorts of injuries. The coaching 1040 00:47:06,600 --> 00:47:11,440 Speaker 3: staff was sequestered due to COVID protocols. Eric McCoy was out. 1041 00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:13,160 Speaker 3: I think he should be able to return this week. 1042 00:47:13,200 --> 00:47:17,200 Speaker 3: Sees Our Ruiz was awful at center, so I think that, Yeah, 1043 00:47:17,200 --> 00:47:19,200 Speaker 3: all these improvements, I think the market's going to be 1044 00:47:19,239 --> 00:47:22,200 Speaker 3: off Kamara. So that's that's always the time to invest 1045 00:47:22,200 --> 00:47:24,000 Speaker 3: in the stuff like kamaras when the market is off. 1046 00:47:24,120 --> 00:47:26,440 Speaker 1: So I'm with you here. As you know, Camara is 1047 00:47:26,480 --> 00:47:27,520 Speaker 1: a Biolo cheat code. 1048 00:47:28,680 --> 00:47:30,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I know a lot of people were in 1049 00:47:30,200 --> 00:47:32,440 Speaker 2: Carolina last week. I ended up just going with the 1050 00:47:32,480 --> 00:47:35,560 Speaker 2: under in that game because I was like being able 1051 00:47:35,560 --> 00:47:37,080 Speaker 2: to bet on a bad Saints game and not having 1052 00:47:37,120 --> 00:47:37,719 Speaker 2: a bet on Sam. 1053 00:47:38,200 --> 00:47:40,319 Speaker 1: So yeah, I always like. 1054 00:47:40,320 --> 00:47:42,719 Speaker 2: I'm still haven't been on the Jaguars, Like I'm always 1055 00:47:42,760 --> 00:47:45,680 Speaker 2: trying to find ways to invest that you know, allows 1056 00:47:45,680 --> 00:47:46,520 Speaker 2: me not to bet on guys. 1057 00:47:46,520 --> 00:47:51,839 Speaker 1: I just, yeah, that's smart. Let's go to Chargers. 1058 00:47:51,600 --> 00:47:54,000 Speaker 2: Chiefs and a call that I was wrong on last week. 1059 00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:56,200 Speaker 2: Like I thought Kui Drew Hilaire was kind of trending upward. 1060 00:47:56,239 --> 00:47:57,600 Speaker 2: I thought he would have a good game. He had 1061 00:47:57,640 --> 00:48:01,239 Speaker 2: a monster game against Baltimore the year before, but yeah, 1062 00:48:01,440 --> 00:48:02,799 Speaker 2: a miserable game. 1063 00:48:02,840 --> 00:48:03,520 Speaker 1: He didn't see. 1064 00:48:03,320 --> 00:48:07,040 Speaker 2: Any catches in the past game, no targets there, and 1065 00:48:07,080 --> 00:48:09,440 Speaker 2: then he fumbled away the game at the end. So 1066 00:48:10,600 --> 00:48:13,359 Speaker 2: I don't quite I know, Andy Reids at times has 1067 00:48:13,360 --> 00:48:15,879 Speaker 2: been a little bit unpredictable in that backfield. It's been 1068 00:48:15,920 --> 00:48:19,840 Speaker 2: more so with veteran guys. But I'm calling me a 1069 00:48:19,880 --> 00:48:22,800 Speaker 2: little worried after the way Edwards z Laira started the season. 1070 00:48:23,440 --> 00:48:26,440 Speaker 2: Daryl Williams got a touchdown at the goal line. So 1071 00:48:27,400 --> 00:48:29,759 Speaker 2: my prop for you was going to be Clyde Edwards 1072 00:48:29,800 --> 00:48:32,960 Speaker 2: z Laire rush plus receiving yards for week number three 1073 00:48:33,000 --> 00:48:33,960 Speaker 2: against the Chargers. 1074 00:48:34,360 --> 00:48:36,960 Speaker 3: I love these impossible props early in the week to 1075 00:48:37,000 --> 00:48:40,759 Speaker 3: set because I'm concerned too, And like you said, I 1076 00:48:40,760 --> 00:48:42,480 Speaker 3: don't know if Andy Reid's the kind of guy that 1077 00:48:42,560 --> 00:48:45,319 Speaker 3: puts the guy in the doghouse after a fumble like that, 1078 00:48:45,440 --> 00:48:49,200 Speaker 3: but you know, certainly Clyde Edwards Hilaire cost him the game, 1079 00:48:49,239 --> 00:48:53,200 Speaker 3: which is unfortunate. No catches, which is weird. So I 1080 00:48:53,239 --> 00:48:55,000 Speaker 3: think he can bounce back here and have a good game. 1081 00:48:55,000 --> 00:48:58,160 Speaker 3: But I'm projecting him for sixty five and a half 1082 00:48:58,200 --> 00:48:59,879 Speaker 3: toll yards are even close to. 1083 00:48:59,840 --> 00:49:04,319 Speaker 2: That, I'm over that, So I'm actually about Yeah, I'm 1084 00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:06,560 Speaker 2: still about like seventy two and a half, seventy three 1085 00:49:08,160 --> 00:49:12,120 Speaker 2: for median, the average, the mean projection about eighty, so 1086 00:49:12,200 --> 00:49:14,239 Speaker 2: I'm still I'm still over that. 1087 00:49:14,520 --> 00:49:16,399 Speaker 1: But I just don't. I don't. I feel like there's a. 1088 00:49:16,360 --> 00:49:19,239 Speaker 2: Lower floor, I guess is why I'm kind of asking here. Yeah, 1089 00:49:19,280 --> 00:49:21,080 Speaker 2: I feel like I could have just that down. 1090 00:49:22,560 --> 00:49:25,160 Speaker 1: How many catches do you have in with this week? 1091 00:49:26,160 --> 00:49:26,879 Speaker 1: Two point one? 1092 00:49:27,400 --> 00:49:29,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, so I haven't at two point four, So maybe 1093 00:49:29,120 --> 00:49:31,880 Speaker 2: I'll lower that a couple of ticks. 1094 00:49:32,480 --> 00:49:36,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, he's just a low target right when he's on 1095 00:49:36,160 --> 00:49:39,080 Speaker 3: the field, and I mean just Mahomes is just slinging around. 1096 00:49:39,719 --> 00:49:41,840 Speaker 3: Tyreek Hill is probably gonna have a big game, but 1097 00:49:41,920 --> 00:49:44,160 Speaker 3: against the Chargers. I think they will just lean on 1098 00:49:44,160 --> 00:49:47,560 Speaker 3: Mahomes as opposed to, you know, leaning on Edwards Slaire. 1099 00:49:47,680 --> 00:49:49,239 Speaker 3: If they were in a game where maybe they were 1100 00:49:49,280 --> 00:49:52,640 Speaker 3: like minus thirteen or minus fourteen or something, he would 1101 00:49:52,640 --> 00:49:54,319 Speaker 3: bounce back. But I think they're just gonna lean on 1102 00:49:54,360 --> 00:49:56,880 Speaker 3: Mahomes even more here. So that's why I'm kind of 1103 00:49:56,880 --> 00:49:59,920 Speaker 3: low on both the rushing and receiving ed for see 1104 00:50:00,360 --> 00:50:00,719 Speaker 3: right now. 1105 00:50:01,520 --> 00:50:03,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, one thing that gives me pause or 1106 00:50:03,360 --> 00:50:06,440 Speaker 2: at least makes, you know, gives me some optimism is 1107 00:50:06,480 --> 00:50:09,520 Speaker 2: that last week against the Cowboys, the Chargers gave up 1108 00:50:10,840 --> 00:50:13,840 Speaker 2: thirty four touches for two hundred and fifty seven yards 1109 00:50:14,120 --> 00:50:15,360 Speaker 2: and two touchdowns. 1110 00:50:15,760 --> 00:50:21,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, they went up against Tony Pollard though, So that's why. 1111 00:50:21,640 --> 00:50:25,520 Speaker 1: So that Elliott was decent too. 1112 00:50:25,560 --> 00:50:29,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, okay, so yeah, no, but it's it's been frustrating 1113 00:50:29,520 --> 00:50:32,839 Speaker 2: with Edwards he where you know kind of I think 1114 00:50:32,880 --> 00:50:35,160 Speaker 2: we talked about this on in the preseason how Edwards 1115 00:50:35,200 --> 00:50:37,560 Speaker 2: he Ware was that guy that you know, he seemed 1116 00:50:37,560 --> 00:50:39,400 Speaker 2: like a high floor guy, but it was like you 1117 00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:41,440 Speaker 2: really kind of wanted to target those running backs in 1118 00:50:41,480 --> 00:50:44,759 Speaker 2: the first two rounds because like, once you got to 1119 00:50:44,840 --> 00:50:47,440 Speaker 2: Edwards he Ware that that you start, you want you 1120 00:50:47,440 --> 00:50:49,520 Speaker 2: you're probably better off taking a stud tight end or 1121 00:50:49,560 --> 00:50:51,920 Speaker 2: you were better off just taking a receiver, And so 1122 00:50:52,120 --> 00:50:55,799 Speaker 2: far that has kind of played out unfortunately, uh for 1123 00:50:55,800 --> 00:50:58,520 Speaker 2: for anyone who rostered him. So we'll see if you 1124 00:50:58,520 --> 00:51:01,600 Speaker 2: can turn around. I certainly think that defense would allow it. 1125 00:51:02,320 --> 00:51:04,319 Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm worried. I have him as my RB 1126 00:51:04,440 --> 00:51:07,640 Speaker 2: nineteen right now in initial projection, so I feel like 1127 00:51:07,680 --> 00:51:10,280 Speaker 2: that's well compared to where I usually have him heading 1128 00:51:10,280 --> 00:51:10,839 Speaker 2: into the week. 1129 00:51:11,200 --> 00:51:13,040 Speaker 3: No, that's fair. I have him right there too. Let 1130 00:51:13,040 --> 00:51:15,440 Speaker 3: me just check real quick. I have him, Oh yeah, 1131 00:51:15,560 --> 00:51:18,040 Speaker 3: RB twenty one, so I'm a little bit lower. But yeah, 1132 00:51:18,200 --> 00:51:22,040 Speaker 3: same concern as you. Maybe we were under rating Damian 1133 00:51:22,080 --> 00:51:25,680 Speaker 3: Williams when he was just oh you know Damien Williams. 1134 00:51:25,719 --> 00:51:27,759 Speaker 3: Oh oh oh yeah, before he opted out last year, 1135 00:51:27,760 --> 00:51:29,480 Speaker 3: when he was just the cheat code in this offense. 1136 00:51:29,520 --> 00:51:31,920 Speaker 3: He made it look easy. I just thought it's a 1137 00:51:31,960 --> 00:51:34,680 Speaker 3: no brainer. They drafted Clyde Edwards. Hilire loved him coming 1138 00:51:34,719 --> 00:51:37,920 Speaker 3: out of college first round. He should be able to 1139 00:51:37,960 --> 00:51:41,319 Speaker 3: outproduce Damian Williams, right, but nope, Just Damian Williams made 1140 00:51:41,360 --> 00:51:43,719 Speaker 3: it look easy in twenty nineteen. At the end of 1141 00:51:43,760 --> 00:51:48,040 Speaker 3: the season, So maybe we're underappreciating just how good Damian Williams. 1142 00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:54,000 Speaker 3: Maybe is I mean shit in this offense anyway. Yeah, No, 1143 00:51:54,120 --> 00:51:54,759 Speaker 3: it's a good point. 1144 00:51:54,800 --> 00:51:56,879 Speaker 2: I mean, I think Edwards aware as a talented guy, 1145 00:51:57,000 --> 00:51:59,680 Speaker 2: but I'm I mean that fumble in itself just just 1146 00:51:59,680 --> 00:52:02,720 Speaker 2: got to be something more going on there, maybe mentally 1147 00:52:02,840 --> 00:52:03,240 Speaker 2: or something. 1148 00:52:03,400 --> 00:52:08,239 Speaker 1: But cheek code for Chiefs Chargers, I think we're in 1149 00:52:08,280 --> 00:52:10,920 Speaker 1: alignment here. It's got to be Austin Eckler. 1150 00:52:11,200 --> 00:52:15,520 Speaker 3: This matchup is just perfect for him. You know, we've 1151 00:52:15,560 --> 00:52:18,960 Speaker 3: seen the Chiefs basically concede rushing yards supposing running back, 1152 00:52:19,000 --> 00:52:22,160 Speaker 3: so he should thrive there. And he's actually been the 1153 00:52:22,200 --> 00:52:25,080 Speaker 3: goal line back. I think it was two goal line 1154 00:52:25,120 --> 00:52:26,799 Speaker 3: carries in week one and then last week they gave 1155 00:52:26,840 --> 00:52:29,359 Speaker 3: him a carry for the two point conversion. So that's 1156 00:52:29,440 --> 00:52:32,040 Speaker 3: that's great news for his upside if he's the goal 1157 00:52:32,080 --> 00:52:36,040 Speaker 3: line back. We predictably saw him bounce back after a 1158 00:52:36,160 --> 00:52:39,719 Speaker 3: zero catch week one with a nine catch sixty one 1159 00:52:39,800 --> 00:52:42,640 Speaker 3: yard receiving line in week two, So it's it's setting 1160 00:52:42,680 --> 00:52:45,760 Speaker 3: up for a huge Austin ecker game here against the Chiefs. 1161 00:52:45,760 --> 00:52:47,279 Speaker 1: That should be a shootout. I think they're going to 1162 00:52:47,360 --> 00:52:48,080 Speaker 1: lean on him heavily. 1163 00:52:48,120 --> 00:52:50,439 Speaker 2: Here you do that catch he made where you look 1164 00:52:50,520 --> 00:52:52,600 Speaker 2: like he got concussed and still. 1165 00:52:52,560 --> 00:52:56,520 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, yeah, I had the over thirty one receiving yards. 1166 00:52:56,520 --> 00:52:58,640 Speaker 3: I think that was the catch. I think he was 1167 00:52:58,719 --> 00:53:02,080 Speaker 3: right around there so hoping he'd stay in there. But yeah, 1168 00:53:02,120 --> 00:53:04,360 Speaker 3: he got a big hit, but he was able to 1169 00:53:04,400 --> 00:53:05,040 Speaker 3: stay in right. 1170 00:53:05,600 --> 00:53:09,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, he's been He drafted himself number one in fantasy, 1171 00:53:09,280 --> 00:53:11,040 Speaker 2: so he's got he's got an intensive. 1172 00:53:11,600 --> 00:53:13,520 Speaker 1: He's a big fantasy guy. Yeah. 1173 00:53:13,600 --> 00:53:16,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, so he's living up to it so far. I 1174 00:53:16,400 --> 00:53:18,080 Speaker 2: know he had a weird start with the no catches, 1175 00:53:18,120 --> 00:53:19,839 Speaker 2: but again that's why you gotta kind of look get 1176 00:53:19,840 --> 00:53:21,960 Speaker 2: the routes, you know. You know guys, you know he 1177 00:53:22,040 --> 00:53:24,080 Speaker 2: was still on the on the field running route over 1178 00:53:24,120 --> 00:53:26,759 Speaker 2: half the time, so we weren't too concerned. That was 1179 00:53:26,760 --> 00:53:29,879 Speaker 2: a great, great prop bet buying lall on him last week. 1180 00:53:29,920 --> 00:53:33,000 Speaker 2: And yeah, I'm perfectly in alignment. Just put some some 1181 00:53:33,080 --> 00:53:35,880 Speaker 2: numbers behind it for the Casey defense, because this is 1182 00:53:35,920 --> 00:53:38,000 Speaker 2: a defense you target against the run, because they they 1183 00:53:38,040 --> 00:53:38,879 Speaker 2: invite teams to run. 1184 00:53:38,920 --> 00:53:40,200 Speaker 1: Let's be let's be honest. 1185 00:53:40,200 --> 00:53:42,759 Speaker 2: You know they have Patrick mahomes uh and they know, 1186 00:53:42,800 --> 00:53:46,480 Speaker 2: you know, their past defense. It's not super talented, but 1187 00:53:46,520 --> 00:53:49,880 Speaker 2: they have. If they're playing past defense on most downs, 1188 00:53:49,920 --> 00:53:52,160 Speaker 2: they can still create problems for the other team. You know, 1189 00:53:52,360 --> 00:53:54,360 Speaker 2: we saw Matthew with the two interceptions. So they're gonna 1190 00:53:54,400 --> 00:53:56,600 Speaker 2: they're gonna continue to invite teams to run the ball 1191 00:53:56,640 --> 00:53:58,840 Speaker 2: and they're gonna give up you know, high yard to 1192 00:53:58,960 --> 00:53:59,720 Speaker 2: carry averages. 1193 00:53:59,760 --> 00:54:02,520 Speaker 1: So the Chiefs in. 1194 00:54:02,640 --> 00:54:06,000 Speaker 2: This twenty twenty one season are allowing one hundred and 1195 00:54:06,040 --> 00:54:10,000 Speaker 2: sixty one total yards per game to running backs with 1196 00:54:10,719 --> 00:54:15,600 Speaker 2: two touchdowns so per game. So yeah, smash spot for Eckler. 1197 00:54:18,040 --> 00:54:20,200 Speaker 2: Justin Jackson kind of mixed in over Roundtree I think 1198 00:54:20,239 --> 00:54:22,000 Speaker 2: a little bit this week. So I was kind of 1199 00:54:22,040 --> 00:54:25,080 Speaker 2: stashing round Tree in some leagues hoping that, you know, 1200 00:54:25,080 --> 00:54:27,320 Speaker 2: Eckler's been a little injury prone, hoping that he just 1201 00:54:27,400 --> 00:54:29,960 Speaker 2: kind of really took control of that role from Jackson. 1202 00:54:29,960 --> 00:54:32,719 Speaker 2: But maybe it was because Jackson was banged up in 1203 00:54:32,760 --> 00:54:35,160 Speaker 2: the preseason. Any thoughts on that, Like, I think round 1204 00:54:35,200 --> 00:54:37,319 Speaker 2: Tree is probably still the guy I want, But any 1205 00:54:37,320 --> 00:54:39,440 Speaker 2: thoughts on just how you know that the handcuff for 1206 00:54:39,440 --> 00:54:40,560 Speaker 2: Eckler in that situation. 1207 00:54:41,480 --> 00:54:42,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's tough. 1208 00:54:42,560 --> 00:54:44,960 Speaker 3: I you know, you'd assume Justin Jackson be the guy. 1209 00:54:45,040 --> 00:54:48,400 Speaker 3: But just watching preseason and they were saying Justin Jackson 1210 00:54:48,440 --> 00:54:50,480 Speaker 3: might be a cut candidate. That's kind of why I 1211 00:54:50,560 --> 00:54:53,439 Speaker 3: was on round Tree. But since Jackson's there, I would 1212 00:54:53,480 --> 00:54:56,160 Speaker 3: assume he's the handcuff for now. But this is the 1213 00:54:56,239 --> 00:54:58,640 Speaker 3: kind of backfield where you're kind of willing to stash 1214 00:54:58,680 --> 00:54:59,160 Speaker 3: either one. 1215 00:55:00,200 --> 00:55:01,760 Speaker 1: I think you know you want. 1216 00:55:01,760 --> 00:55:04,239 Speaker 3: To invest in this backfield if Eckler were to go down, 1217 00:55:04,360 --> 00:55:09,120 Speaker 3: so I would still lean Roundtree, but it's it's a 1218 00:55:09,120 --> 00:55:09,880 Speaker 3: coin flip for me. 1219 00:55:10,880 --> 00:55:12,560 Speaker 2: But now it's time for a segment we like to 1220 00:55:12,560 --> 00:55:15,880 Speaker 2: do here on the Fantasy Flex called our Prize Picks, 1221 00:55:15,920 --> 00:55:19,080 Speaker 2: a weed entry segment, and that is when we each 1222 00:55:19,239 --> 00:55:22,120 Speaker 2: choose a couple of props based on how they compare 1223 00:55:22,120 --> 00:55:26,320 Speaker 2: to our projections at Prize Picks, and we build some entries. 1224 00:55:26,360 --> 00:55:29,359 Speaker 2: So Prize Picks offers a ton of player over under 1225 00:55:29,360 --> 00:55:32,960 Speaker 2: markets each week and in a variety of different areas. 1226 00:55:32,600 --> 00:55:35,120 Speaker 1: It's a it's a one week the FS site. 1227 00:55:35,640 --> 00:55:38,520 Speaker 2: So still have our best all around plays on the 1228 00:55:38,520 --> 00:55:41,799 Speaker 2: Friday show. And you know on the Monday show we 1229 00:55:41,840 --> 00:55:44,920 Speaker 2: talk Monday Night football, but we'll talk running backs for 1230 00:55:45,040 --> 00:55:48,360 Speaker 2: this one. So give me your favorite running back prize 1231 00:55:48,360 --> 00:55:49,439 Speaker 2: picks wed entry prop. 1232 00:55:50,360 --> 00:55:53,400 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with a Thursday Night football prop here. First, 1233 00:55:53,440 --> 00:55:56,040 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with under five and a half receptions 1234 00:55:56,040 --> 00:55:59,680 Speaker 3: for Christian McCaffrey. We've seen his playing time capped a bit, 1235 00:55:59,800 --> 00:56:03,120 Speaker 3: and passing game he's averaged around sixty percent routes run 1236 00:56:03,560 --> 00:56:06,480 Speaker 3: in the first two games. He has a thirty three 1237 00:56:06,560 --> 00:56:11,920 Speaker 3: percent target rate, which even is for Christian McCaffrey, unsustainable, 1238 00:56:12,480 --> 00:56:15,080 Speaker 3: and a ninety three percent catch rate, which, again even 1239 00:56:15,120 --> 00:56:18,480 Speaker 3: for Christian McCaffrey, is unsustainable. So I think, you know, 1240 00:56:18,640 --> 00:56:21,200 Speaker 3: you could see a decrease in passing game usage here, 1241 00:56:21,280 --> 00:56:23,879 Speaker 3: they could lean on him heavily in the running game. 1242 00:56:23,960 --> 00:56:26,479 Speaker 3: As you know, the Panthers are over a seven point 1243 00:56:26,560 --> 00:56:29,360 Speaker 3: favorite this week. I never thought i'd say that, So, 1244 00:56:29,560 --> 00:56:31,120 Speaker 3: you know, I think he's gonna have a big game here, 1245 00:56:31,120 --> 00:56:33,000 Speaker 3: but it's not going to be through a ton of 1246 00:56:33,520 --> 00:56:35,600 Speaker 3: pass catches. So I'm going with the under five and 1247 00:56:35,640 --> 00:56:39,440 Speaker 3: a half receptions for Christian McCaffrey. 1248 00:56:39,520 --> 00:56:43,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that's scary. 1249 00:56:43,160 --> 00:56:45,319 Speaker 1: That's scary. I mean, your logic makes sense, that's just 1250 00:56:45,360 --> 00:56:45,960 Speaker 1: that's just scary. 1251 00:56:46,080 --> 00:56:49,480 Speaker 3: I'm projected for five receptions, so I'm not like too 1252 00:56:49,520 --> 00:56:51,440 Speaker 3: far off, But when it comes to these markets, that 1253 00:56:52,000 --> 00:56:55,360 Speaker 3: extra half reception is so big. 1254 00:56:55,560 --> 00:56:58,640 Speaker 1: Fair, very fair for me. I'm going with. 1255 00:57:00,320 --> 00:57:03,480 Speaker 2: Harris under sixty nine and a half rushing yards again, 1256 00:57:03,600 --> 00:57:08,400 Speaker 2: Pittsburgh bottom three eight in offensive line adjusted lineyards. Harris 1257 00:57:08,440 --> 00:57:10,799 Speaker 2: just forty five and thirty eight yards this first two weeks, though. 1258 00:57:11,000 --> 00:57:13,839 Speaker 1: This is a massive projection. I like to call it 1259 00:57:13,960 --> 00:57:15,080 Speaker 1: getting him all the way up to. 1260 00:57:15,560 --> 00:57:18,560 Speaker 2: Seventy to have to win with the over and Cincinnati 1261 00:57:18,600 --> 00:57:21,640 Speaker 2: allowan just three point one yards per carry to running backs. 1262 00:57:21,640 --> 00:57:25,080 Speaker 2: That's top six Cincinnati defense. Musch improved in twenty twenty one. 1263 00:57:25,120 --> 00:57:27,040 Speaker 2: I don't think the market is quite caught up to 1264 00:57:27,080 --> 00:57:31,440 Speaker 2: that development yet. So Naji Harris under sixty nine and 1265 00:57:31,480 --> 00:57:32,520 Speaker 2: a half rushing yards. 1266 00:57:32,280 --> 00:57:34,400 Speaker 3: At prize work, Yeah, I like that as well. He 1267 00:57:34,400 --> 00:57:37,680 Speaker 3: probably needs what forty carries to clear this number. Given 1268 00:57:37,720 --> 00:57:41,040 Speaker 3: this offensive line, we just lose it. Yeah, exactly. So 1269 00:57:41,360 --> 00:57:43,320 Speaker 3: we do like him as a fantasy play because I 1270 00:57:43,360 --> 00:57:45,880 Speaker 3: think they're just going to dump it off to him 1271 00:57:45,880 --> 00:57:47,600 Speaker 3: as sort of an extension of the running game to 1272 00:57:47,680 --> 00:57:49,560 Speaker 3: kind of get around this bat offensive line. So any 1273 00:57:49,640 --> 00:57:52,680 Speaker 3: receiving props for him I would probably lean over. But 1274 00:57:52,720 --> 00:57:55,040 Speaker 3: I'm definitely with you here, under sixteen and a half 1275 00:57:55,120 --> 00:57:56,959 Speaker 3: rushing yards, All. 1276 00:57:56,920 --> 00:57:58,880 Speaker 2: Right, where are you going for your second prize picks 1277 00:57:58,880 --> 00:58:00,640 Speaker 2: a week entry running back? 1278 00:58:00,920 --> 00:58:03,480 Speaker 3: I'm going with under sixty five and a half rushing 1279 00:58:03,560 --> 00:58:08,720 Speaker 3: yards for Antonio Gibson. You know, we saw Washington Gibson 1280 00:58:08,760 --> 00:58:11,080 Speaker 3: looked really good in the first half on Thursday Football 1281 00:58:11,120 --> 00:58:14,200 Speaker 3: against the Giants, but then Washington pretty much abandoned the 1282 00:58:14,240 --> 00:58:16,560 Speaker 3: run in the second half despite it being a close game. 1283 00:58:17,000 --> 00:58:18,680 Speaker 3: So you have to worry that, you know, a game 1284 00:58:18,680 --> 00:58:20,360 Speaker 3: where they're probably gonna be trailing most. 1285 00:58:20,200 --> 00:58:20,600 Speaker 1: Of the time. 1286 00:58:20,680 --> 00:58:23,800 Speaker 3: They're eight and a half point underdogs against the Bills, 1287 00:58:24,160 --> 00:58:26,520 Speaker 3: whose defense has looked really good this year. They ranked 1288 00:58:26,560 --> 00:58:30,200 Speaker 3: number two in DVA, and you know, this could be 1289 00:58:30,240 --> 00:58:32,200 Speaker 3: a game where they lean on Gibson in the passing 1290 00:58:32,240 --> 00:58:34,680 Speaker 3: game or just we see JD. Mcfistick on the field 1291 00:58:34,720 --> 00:58:37,000 Speaker 3: more kind of saw that in the second half last week. 1292 00:58:37,040 --> 00:58:39,880 Speaker 3: So I'm a bit worried on Gibson's floor when it 1293 00:58:39,880 --> 00:58:42,280 Speaker 3: comes to rushing yards. So I'm projecting this closer to 1294 00:58:42,320 --> 00:58:44,400 Speaker 3: fifty eight and a half. So I like his his 1295 00:58:44,560 --> 00:58:46,680 Speaker 3: under sixty five and a half rushing yards this week. 1296 00:58:47,720 --> 00:58:50,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, Buffalo's defense has been much improved. That's been another 1297 00:58:50,640 --> 00:58:53,640 Speaker 2: kind of surprise. I mean, they were always going to 1298 00:58:53,680 --> 00:58:55,880 Speaker 2: be a decent defense. We think of them more as 1299 00:58:56,520 --> 00:58:59,120 Speaker 2: a pass defense, which are Bavious White and those safeties, 1300 00:59:00,360 --> 00:59:03,360 Speaker 2: but they've been they've been excellent against the run. For 1301 00:59:03,480 --> 00:59:06,280 Speaker 2: my second one, I'm keeping it with the Harrises. I'm 1302 00:59:06,280 --> 00:59:08,880 Speaker 2: going under Damian Harris sixty four and a half rushing 1303 00:59:08,960 --> 00:59:11,840 Speaker 2: yards as well, And again it's just a combination of, 1304 00:59:12,920 --> 00:59:15,040 Speaker 2: you know, the matchup and what he's been doing to 1305 00:59:15,040 --> 00:59:19,600 Speaker 2: this point. So Harris has one game with one hundred yards, 1306 00:59:19,600 --> 00:59:21,200 Speaker 2: this other one he was at sixty two, but he 1307 00:59:21,200 --> 00:59:23,960 Speaker 2: needed that pretty crazy touchdown to even get there. New 1308 00:59:24,080 --> 00:59:27,200 Speaker 2: Orleans just two point seven yards per carry allowed two 1309 00:59:27,280 --> 00:59:29,600 Speaker 2: running backs this year's second best in the league, and 1310 00:59:29,600 --> 00:59:31,680 Speaker 2: they allowed under four yards per carry in twenty twenty 1311 00:59:31,720 --> 00:59:35,200 Speaker 2: they were top six as well. And Harris averaging four 1312 00:59:35,200 --> 00:59:37,760 Speaker 2: point two yards to carry probably he's going to be 1313 00:59:37,800 --> 00:59:39,960 Speaker 2: around four for this game. The factor in the defense, 1314 00:59:40,040 --> 00:59:42,600 Speaker 2: so he would need over sixteen carries, which he's done 1315 00:59:42,680 --> 00:59:46,480 Speaker 2: just three times in twelve games as that lead back. 1316 00:59:46,880 --> 00:59:50,640 Speaker 2: So expecting Harris to fall short of this really tough matchup. 1317 00:59:50,800 --> 00:59:52,720 Speaker 1: You just don't run against the Warrens. They like the 1318 00:59:53,360 --> 00:59:54,360 Speaker 1: poor man's Tampa Bay. 1319 00:59:54,720 --> 00:59:57,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, and you know we went We talked about this 1320 00:59:57,080 --> 00:59:58,960 Speaker 3: earlier in the show, where I'm projecting him a little 1321 00:59:59,000 --> 01:00:01,320 Speaker 3: bit over this, but you can convince me to go 1322 01:00:01,440 --> 01:00:04,360 Speaker 3: under this as well. This Saints run defense is no joke. 1323 01:00:04,920 --> 01:00:07,280 Speaker 3: They've been able to lean on Harris heavily the first 1324 01:00:07,280 --> 01:00:08,960 Speaker 3: couple of games, but this is a matchup where I 1325 01:00:08,960 --> 01:00:11,760 Speaker 3: think they're going to have Mac Jones sort of takeover 1326 01:00:11,800 --> 01:00:15,440 Speaker 3: and I could see more quick passes. Jacobe Myers, James White, 1327 01:00:15,760 --> 01:00:18,040 Speaker 3: both the tight ends. They paid millions of dollars for 1328 01:00:18,120 --> 01:00:20,760 Speaker 3: its It's about time to leash stem. So yeah, I'm 1329 01:00:20,760 --> 01:00:22,800 Speaker 3: with you here on the I'm aff to update my 1330 01:00:22,880 --> 01:00:26,200 Speaker 3: projections after the show, but I'm with you here on 1331 01:00:26,200 --> 01:00:26,880 Speaker 3: the under as well. 1332 01:00:27,520 --> 01:00:29,080 Speaker 2: All right, So that's going to do it for our 1333 01:00:29,120 --> 01:00:32,280 Speaker 2: Prize Picks Elite entry segment for running backs for week 1334 01:00:32,680 --> 01:00:37,240 Speaker 2: number three to recap Sean going, Christian McCaffrey under five 1335 01:00:37,280 --> 01:00:41,680 Speaker 2: and a half receptions and Antonio Gibson under sixty five 1336 01:00:41,760 --> 01:00:45,000 Speaker 2: and a half rushing yards, and I'm going with Naji 1337 01:00:45,120 --> 01:00:48,920 Speaker 2: Harris under sixty nine and a half rushing yards and 1338 01:00:49,280 --> 01:00:53,080 Speaker 2: Damian Harris under sixty four and a half rushing yards. 1339 01:00:53,560 --> 01:00:56,640 Speaker 2: As a reminder, lines do move at prize picks, so 1340 01:00:56,720 --> 01:00:59,080 Speaker 2: be sure to lock these in as quick as you 1341 01:00:59,120 --> 01:01:03,080 Speaker 2: can if you like them, because the markets will be 1342 01:01:03,560 --> 01:01:08,680 Speaker 2: moving all throughout the week leading up to kickoff. All right, now, 1343 01:01:08,760 --> 01:01:13,439 Speaker 2: let's get back to the fantasy flux. All right, let's 1344 01:01:13,440 --> 01:01:15,400 Speaker 2: go to Falcons Giants. And I think I'm gonna have 1345 01:01:15,520 --> 01:01:17,800 Speaker 2: to call on audible here, and I think we're gonna 1346 01:01:17,800 --> 01:01:19,600 Speaker 2: have to do two player props for this game, Okay, 1347 01:01:19,680 --> 01:01:20,840 Speaker 2: because there's two there's. 1348 01:01:20,680 --> 01:01:23,200 Speaker 1: Two guys that I'm really curious to hear. 1349 01:01:23,280 --> 01:01:28,240 Speaker 2: Your projection on the first one should be Obviousquon Barkley, 1350 01:01:28,400 --> 01:01:31,080 Speaker 2: where do you have for his rushing plus receiving yards? 1351 01:01:31,080 --> 01:01:34,120 Speaker 2: Because I think we were both in alignment that sequon season. 1352 01:01:34,200 --> 01:01:35,920 Speaker 2: Whether he played in Week one or two or not, 1353 01:01:36,600 --> 01:01:38,080 Speaker 2: we knew he was gonna be womited if he knew 1354 01:01:38,120 --> 01:01:40,040 Speaker 2: he was gonna go in some tough defenses. We knew 1355 01:01:40,040 --> 01:01:42,040 Speaker 2: the old line was going to be completely outmatching both 1356 01:01:42,080 --> 01:01:43,800 Speaker 2: of those games. I thought they held out, hold up 1357 01:01:43,840 --> 01:01:44,800 Speaker 2: well in protection. 1358 01:01:44,480 --> 01:01:47,080 Speaker 1: And Week two. I gi him credit, But we thought 1359 01:01:47,120 --> 01:01:48,240 Speaker 1: this season was gonna start in Week three. 1360 01:01:48,280 --> 01:01:51,680 Speaker 2: So where do you have him for rushing plus receiving yards. 1361 01:01:51,760 --> 01:01:54,160 Speaker 2: So he's he's actually my cheat code here, So let 1362 01:01:54,200 --> 01:01:56,600 Speaker 2: me just get this out of the way. Maybe, but yeah, 1363 01:01:56,720 --> 01:01:58,960 Speaker 2: the time to buy low is now. I mean, we 1364 01:01:58,960 --> 01:02:02,320 Speaker 2: were bagging on I think the most out of all 1365 01:02:02,400 --> 01:02:06,720 Speaker 2: the podcasts edding end of the season. We're like, I've 1366 01:02:06,720 --> 01:02:09,880 Speaker 2: saw articles on like prominent sites. I won't say the names, 1367 01:02:09,920 --> 01:02:11,680 Speaker 2: but you can probably guess it where like it was 1368 01:02:11,720 --> 01:02:14,480 Speaker 2: like how how like how confident are you in Saquon 1369 01:02:14,520 --> 01:02:16,800 Speaker 2: Barkley And there was like ten analysts and like you think, 1370 01:02:16,840 --> 01:02:19,160 Speaker 2: you know, just because of the kind of structure of 1371 01:02:19,160 --> 01:02:20,960 Speaker 2: the article, there'd be at least one kind of like 1372 01:02:21,000 --> 01:02:23,280 Speaker 2: hot take guy like nah, I'm pretty. 1373 01:02:23,040 --> 01:02:24,840 Speaker 1: Low on Saquon or something, you know. And it was 1374 01:02:24,920 --> 01:02:26,720 Speaker 1: just like everyone. 1375 01:02:26,280 --> 01:02:29,320 Speaker 2: Was like very confident, super confident, highly confident, and I'm like, 1376 01:02:29,440 --> 01:02:31,640 Speaker 2: holy crap, Like I guess we're on an island here 1377 01:02:32,720 --> 01:02:34,920 Speaker 2: with kind of our you know, our Saquon. I don't 1378 01:02:34,920 --> 01:02:37,520 Speaker 2: want to call it hate because you know, dude, I 1379 01:02:37,600 --> 01:02:39,800 Speaker 2: like the guy. I like the man as as a player, 1380 01:02:39,880 --> 01:02:43,320 Speaker 2: but and you know, I'm a Giants fan, so like 1381 01:02:43,320 --> 01:02:45,520 Speaker 2: like the guy, but man, I just did not. 1382 01:02:45,480 --> 01:02:47,320 Speaker 1: See a good start to the season coming for him. 1383 01:02:47,360 --> 01:02:49,919 Speaker 2: But yeah, where do you have your your cheek code 1384 01:02:50,120 --> 01:02:52,560 Speaker 2: Saquon in this rush post receiving. 1385 01:02:52,880 --> 01:02:55,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, so I have an eighty and a half total 1386 01:02:55,600 --> 01:02:58,560 Speaker 3: scrimmage yards, and I think, you know, this is a 1387 01:02:58,600 --> 01:03:01,960 Speaker 3: situation where it's it's an easy matchup against the Falcons, 1388 01:03:02,320 --> 01:03:04,200 Speaker 3: and we were worried about him going to week two 1389 01:03:04,240 --> 01:03:06,800 Speaker 3: because it was a short week. They were playing thursdaynight football, 1390 01:03:06,840 --> 01:03:08,880 Speaker 3: So that's never a good sign with the guy that's limited. 1391 01:03:09,200 --> 01:03:11,720 Speaker 3: They're going to have ten days of rest from that 1392 01:03:11,800 --> 01:03:13,960 Speaker 3: game to this matchup. So that's why I'm ramping up 1393 01:03:13,960 --> 01:03:18,360 Speaker 3: his usage both rushing and receiving, as long as his 1394 01:03:18,400 --> 01:03:20,160 Speaker 3: efficiency as well. So that's why I have it all 1395 01:03:20,160 --> 01:03:22,040 Speaker 3: the way up to eighty and a half. Where do 1396 01:03:22,080 --> 01:03:23,080 Speaker 3: you have him. 1397 01:03:23,400 --> 01:03:26,040 Speaker 1: Right the same exact place? He's my RB twelve, So 1398 01:03:26,040 --> 01:03:26,680 Speaker 1: he's a top time. 1399 01:03:26,880 --> 01:03:28,240 Speaker 2: I mean, he's the top. You know, he's RB one 1400 01:03:28,280 --> 01:03:30,720 Speaker 2: this week. You know, tweak things around, maybe even ends 1401 01:03:30,760 --> 01:03:35,360 Speaker 2: up higher. And then I love the potential game script 1402 01:03:35,400 --> 01:03:38,400 Speaker 2: in this game because I actually think the Falcons are 1403 01:03:38,480 --> 01:03:41,720 Speaker 2: going to win this game, so I think is going 1404 01:03:41,760 --> 01:03:44,560 Speaker 2: to get some of those easy dumpoffs late. You know, 1405 01:03:44,640 --> 01:03:46,360 Speaker 2: he's been on the field a ton. He hasn't been 1406 01:03:46,400 --> 01:03:50,200 Speaker 2: coming off, so like like the obviously that's just a 1407 01:03:50,200 --> 01:03:53,320 Speaker 2: prediction prediction. I'm like, you know, whether that happens or not. 1408 01:03:54,000 --> 01:03:57,040 Speaker 2: I like Sequon to have a big game, So play 1409 01:03:57,120 --> 01:03:59,600 Speaker 2: him is rby one this week, play him in DFS. Well, 1410 01:03:59,640 --> 01:04:02,040 Speaker 2: let's see how that projected rostership shapes out, because that 1411 01:04:02,120 --> 01:04:06,840 Speaker 2: actually check my main sleet matchups Calm on Saturday for 1412 01:04:07,920 --> 01:04:09,880 Speaker 2: you know how we're gonna approach Saquon because that's going to. 1413 01:04:09,920 --> 01:04:10,920 Speaker 1: Depend on on ownership. 1414 01:04:11,000 --> 01:04:13,800 Speaker 2: He's actually my He's my RB seven right now, it's 1415 01:04:13,840 --> 01:04:17,000 Speaker 2: early in the y blow you away. 1416 01:04:17,040 --> 01:04:19,240 Speaker 1: He's is he above like Nick Chubb? 1417 01:04:19,360 --> 01:04:19,400 Speaker 2: Like? 1418 01:04:19,440 --> 01:04:21,560 Speaker 1: Who is he? Who is he? You know he's above 1419 01:04:21,600 --> 01:04:23,000 Speaker 1: my boy Nick Chubb. He really is. 1420 01:04:23,040 --> 01:04:26,240 Speaker 2: Oh wow, Okay, And that takes a lot to get there. No, 1421 01:04:26,320 --> 01:04:28,200 Speaker 2: I mean the Cleveland has no receivers. This is the 1422 01:04:28,240 --> 01:04:29,480 Speaker 2: COVID game for Cleveland again. 1423 01:04:29,560 --> 01:04:31,280 Speaker 1: I think I might. I think I still have Chubb 1424 01:04:31,280 --> 01:04:32,560 Speaker 1: in my top five one more week. 1425 01:04:32,920 --> 01:04:39,200 Speaker 3: Wenny Janovich limits Chubb's upside apparently, Oh my god, I 1426 01:04:39,320 --> 01:04:41,720 Speaker 3: just think this is the time to buy Low and Barkley, 1427 01:04:42,160 --> 01:04:46,280 Speaker 3: because I mean, whoever drafted Barkley probably did overlook the 1428 01:04:46,400 --> 01:04:49,200 Speaker 3: potential so start, so maybe they're getting cold feet. 1429 01:04:49,400 --> 01:04:51,600 Speaker 1: I just think that Berkeley is. 1430 01:04:51,720 --> 01:04:53,680 Speaker 3: The guy to buy low this week. So that's why 1431 01:04:53,760 --> 01:04:55,240 Speaker 3: he's He's all the way up to RB seven. I 1432 01:04:55,280 --> 01:04:56,400 Speaker 3: think he's gonna go off this week. 1433 01:04:57,320 --> 01:04:59,160 Speaker 1: All right. So the second part and the reason why 1434 01:04:59,200 --> 01:04:59,920 Speaker 1: I think we have to do it. 1435 01:05:00,280 --> 01:05:02,240 Speaker 2: I think it's only right to do a two part 1436 01:05:02,440 --> 01:05:04,640 Speaker 2: prop for this because you know where I'm going, Like, 1437 01:05:04,760 --> 01:05:07,040 Speaker 2: you know who I'm gonna ask you about now, and 1438 01:05:07,120 --> 01:05:10,480 Speaker 2: it is the best back Oh now, the Falcons backfield. 1439 01:05:11,080 --> 01:05:15,760 Speaker 1: Where do you have Cordello Patterson rushing plus receiving yards here? 1440 01:05:15,800 --> 01:05:15,920 Speaker 2: Right? 1441 01:05:15,960 --> 01:05:17,560 Speaker 1: Hold, I have to go to my wide receiver tab 1442 01:05:17,600 --> 01:05:21,040 Speaker 1: real quick? What was it again? Only only like. 1443 01:05:21,080 --> 01:05:23,960 Speaker 2: Hardcore fantasy rankers and like like people would even get 1444 01:05:24,000 --> 01:05:26,840 Speaker 2: that joke. But yeah, it's like this position eligibility is ridiculous. 1445 01:05:26,920 --> 01:05:29,360 Speaker 1: So wait, did you want rushing yards or a total want? 1446 01:05:29,640 --> 01:05:31,200 Speaker 2: I want to combine because I think he's been a 1447 01:05:31,320 --> 01:05:33,920 Speaker 2: He's been a factor in both facets, So give me 1448 01:05:34,000 --> 01:05:36,040 Speaker 2: both because I'm having a hard time kind of yeah, 1449 01:05:36,360 --> 01:05:39,840 Speaker 2: projecting Mike Davis too low, Like I want to project 1450 01:05:39,880 --> 01:05:43,440 Speaker 2: Mike Davis lower and Patterson higher, but like I need 1451 01:05:43,600 --> 01:05:45,680 Speaker 2: I need some some guidance on this, on this, I 1452 01:05:45,880 --> 01:05:47,800 Speaker 2: have it at forty nine and a half right now, 1453 01:05:47,920 --> 01:05:49,240 Speaker 2: and I don't feel good about it. 1454 01:05:49,560 --> 01:05:51,800 Speaker 1: Okay, No, I have it right around fifty, so right 1455 01:05:51,840 --> 01:05:52,440 Speaker 1: there in line with you. 1456 01:05:52,840 --> 01:05:55,200 Speaker 2: I have him as like a border wine like he's 1457 01:05:55,320 --> 01:05:57,080 Speaker 2: he's he's like right there in my top thirty two 1458 01:05:57,120 --> 01:05:59,200 Speaker 2: fringe like he's he's right there as like a top 1459 01:05:59,280 --> 01:06:01,400 Speaker 2: thirty two back this week for me. 1460 01:06:01,520 --> 01:06:03,120 Speaker 1: So yeah, that's scary. 1461 01:06:03,480 --> 01:06:06,800 Speaker 2: But I mean again, it's not like we're just looking 1462 01:06:06,800 --> 01:06:09,840 Speaker 2: at numbers and like it's like I'm watching these games 1463 01:06:09,920 --> 01:06:13,560 Speaker 2: and he's looked like the better player than Mike davisah 1464 01:06:14,440 --> 01:06:16,920 Speaker 2: and Mike Davis. Remember, he's been a He's looked very 1465 01:06:16,920 --> 01:06:19,400 Speaker 2: good at times. He's always like a consummate professional, a 1466 01:06:19,480 --> 01:06:21,800 Speaker 2: guy that I think coaches love, you know, like anytime 1467 01:06:21,840 --> 01:06:24,680 Speaker 2: you can step in for McCaffrey like that, you know 1468 01:06:24,920 --> 01:06:26,920 Speaker 2: coaches is gonna love you. But let's be honest, Mike 1469 01:06:27,000 --> 01:06:29,600 Speaker 2: Davis is average, you know, well under four yards per 1470 01:06:29,640 --> 01:06:33,400 Speaker 2: carry for his career and even his you know efficiency 1471 01:06:33,440 --> 01:06:35,320 Speaker 2: in the past game it's been more volume driven when 1472 01:06:35,320 --> 01:06:37,880 Speaker 2: he's you know, put up numbers in that area. So 1473 01:06:39,280 --> 01:06:41,640 Speaker 2: I think Patterson is just a more efficient player and 1474 01:06:41,720 --> 01:06:43,240 Speaker 2: he's made He's just looked better. 1475 01:06:43,760 --> 01:06:44,800 Speaker 1: Yes so far. 1476 01:06:44,920 --> 01:06:48,080 Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm I'm I'm on Steve Patterson for now. 1477 01:06:48,240 --> 01:06:49,960 Speaker 2: You know, when I ride it out and see what happens. 1478 01:06:50,640 --> 01:06:52,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, he's the kind of guy where he kind of 1479 01:06:52,880 --> 01:06:56,120 Speaker 3: depends on the offensive coordinator scheme up some good looks 1480 01:06:56,120 --> 01:06:58,440 Speaker 3: for him. And this is your boy, Arthur Smith. So 1481 01:06:59,240 --> 01:07:02,600 Speaker 3: that could be one of the secrets to Patterson's success 1482 01:07:02,680 --> 01:07:05,400 Speaker 3: right now. And we were kind of touting Patterson a 1483 01:07:05,480 --> 01:07:09,000 Speaker 3: bit last week. I thought week one, I was impressed 1484 01:07:09,040 --> 01:07:10,920 Speaker 3: by how he looked and the way they were using him. 1485 01:07:10,960 --> 01:07:14,200 Speaker 3: So he's he's sort of a mismatch within this offense. 1486 01:07:14,280 --> 01:07:15,960 Speaker 3: So yeah, I think he's going to keep this up. 1487 01:07:16,280 --> 01:07:18,600 Speaker 3: He's never going to be a twenty plus touch kind 1488 01:07:18,640 --> 01:07:21,840 Speaker 3: of guy, but he might not need to be. You know, 1489 01:07:21,920 --> 01:07:24,000 Speaker 3: this is an explosive offense that can use him in 1490 01:07:24,040 --> 01:07:26,640 Speaker 3: the passing game. So I think that he's definitely worth 1491 01:07:26,680 --> 01:07:28,680 Speaker 3: a stash right now. Maybe you don't start him right away, 1492 01:07:28,720 --> 01:07:30,920 Speaker 3: but definitely a guy that you know have on your 1493 01:07:30,960 --> 01:07:31,720 Speaker 3: bench and monitor. 1494 01:07:32,560 --> 01:07:37,960 Speaker 2: The Giants last week gave up nine touches ninety three 1495 01:07:38,040 --> 01:07:39,280 Speaker 2: yards and a touchdown to J. D. 1496 01:07:39,400 --> 01:07:39,840 Speaker 1: McKissick. 1497 01:07:40,120 --> 01:07:44,720 Speaker 2: Yes, that's that's a realistic, like you know, game for 1498 01:07:44,760 --> 01:07:49,680 Speaker 2: Patterson this week. So she code you have Barkley. I 1499 01:07:49,720 --> 01:07:51,920 Speaker 2: mean I could have gone Barkley. I've just you know, 1500 01:07:52,080 --> 01:07:54,760 Speaker 2: owner roster again. I could have gone Barkley. 1501 01:07:54,920 --> 01:07:57,800 Speaker 1: But seeing is how the roster ship I think, you know, 1502 01:07:57,920 --> 01:07:59,400 Speaker 1: could come into play, and I don't know it yet. 1503 01:08:00,320 --> 01:08:02,680 Speaker 2: I'm gonna I'm gonna go with somebody else. Also could 1504 01:08:02,680 --> 01:08:06,080 Speaker 2: have gone Patterson. But the guy I really like is 1505 01:08:06,160 --> 01:08:10,240 Speaker 2: Daniel Jones given the price, because there's not you know, 1506 01:08:10,400 --> 01:08:12,200 Speaker 2: there's not too many cheap quarterbacks that give you that 1507 01:08:12,320 --> 01:08:15,280 Speaker 2: rushing upside the way Jones can. Now Tyra, you know, 1508 01:08:15,360 --> 01:08:16,840 Speaker 2: Tyra wouldn't have been on the main state anyway. 1509 01:08:16,880 --> 01:08:19,720 Speaker 1: But he's out now. You know, people are. 1510 01:08:19,680 --> 01:08:22,280 Speaker 2: Gonna want to play Murray, people are gonna want to 1511 01:08:22,280 --> 01:08:25,600 Speaker 2: play Russ And obviously, you know, Mahomes and Dak is 1512 01:08:25,680 --> 01:08:26,960 Speaker 2: not on the main slate and Hurts is not in 1513 01:08:27,000 --> 01:08:30,479 Speaker 2: the main sleet, but Daniel Jones is. And he's pretty cheap, 1514 01:08:30,560 --> 01:08:32,719 Speaker 2: and he's going against a Falcons defense that is allowing 1515 01:08:32,800 --> 01:08:37,719 Speaker 2: seventy two percent completion, eight touchdowns, no picks. They allowed 1516 01:08:37,800 --> 01:08:40,240 Speaker 2: eleven carries for sixty five yards to Jay when hurts 1517 01:08:40,240 --> 01:08:43,080 Speaker 2: in twenty seven and thirty five passing, and then obviously 1518 01:08:43,240 --> 01:08:43,919 Speaker 2: Tom Brady. 1519 01:08:43,800 --> 01:08:44,400 Speaker 1: Just torched him. 1520 01:08:44,920 --> 01:08:47,479 Speaker 2: He's not a runner, but there's a lot of different 1521 01:08:47,520 --> 01:08:50,439 Speaker 2: ways Jones could beat the Falcons in this matchup. I 1522 01:08:50,520 --> 01:08:53,040 Speaker 2: still think the Falcons are great by Low in terms of, 1523 01:08:53,160 --> 01:08:56,040 Speaker 2: you know, the betting, but I expect this to kind 1524 01:08:56,080 --> 01:08:57,640 Speaker 2: of be a back and forth game and Jones to have. 1525 01:08:57,760 --> 01:09:00,519 Speaker 1: To put up some numbers. Agree. I love is upside 1526 01:09:00,560 --> 01:09:00,880 Speaker 1: this week. 1527 01:09:00,960 --> 01:09:04,680 Speaker 3: He's my top streaming play just I mean, just the 1528 01:09:04,760 --> 01:09:06,880 Speaker 3: fact that he and Galladay aren't even on the same 1529 01:09:06,960 --> 01:09:09,960 Speaker 3: page yet they just missed on some big plays on 1530 01:09:10,040 --> 01:09:13,160 Speaker 3: Thursday Football. He potentially gets Evan Ingram back this week. 1531 01:09:13,600 --> 01:09:16,000 Speaker 3: Rudy mentioned Sekwon Barkley is probably closer to one hundred 1532 01:09:16,000 --> 01:09:18,400 Speaker 3: percent than he has been in some time. So just 1533 01:09:18,520 --> 01:09:21,040 Speaker 3: Daniel Jones, I think the Neil's pointing up with him. 1534 01:09:21,080 --> 01:09:23,439 Speaker 3: So yeah, now's the time to kind of buy low. 1535 01:09:23,560 --> 01:09:25,680 Speaker 3: I guess why you can, even though he's He's the 1536 01:09:25,760 --> 01:09:28,000 Speaker 3: QB five right now in fantasy, so it's not really 1537 01:09:28,080 --> 01:09:31,120 Speaker 3: buying low, it's just kind of buying in on the 1538 01:09:31,240 --> 01:09:32,679 Speaker 3: high right now, Daniel Jones. 1539 01:09:33,040 --> 01:09:34,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, I haven't about the top ten quarterback this week. 1540 01:09:35,360 --> 01:09:37,800 Speaker 2: My initial projection he's above Tom Brady. That's how that's 1541 01:09:37,840 --> 01:09:41,559 Speaker 2: hotly shit. Top ten, Yeah, because well you know the rams. 1542 01:09:41,680 --> 01:09:44,280 Speaker 1: You know the Rams. It doesn't matter. 1543 01:09:44,360 --> 01:09:47,120 Speaker 3: You're not mainly projecting Tom Brady for four touchdowns by 1544 01:09:47,280 --> 01:09:48,519 Speaker 3: by now, not yet. 1545 01:09:49,040 --> 01:09:52,720 Speaker 2: You got the time we record this podcast, you know, 1546 01:09:52,840 --> 01:09:54,320 Speaker 2: you know how we always joke like we get off 1547 01:09:54,360 --> 01:09:56,160 Speaker 2: this podcast like all right, time to actually go like 1548 01:09:56,240 --> 01:09:56,840 Speaker 2: project guys. 1549 01:09:57,880 --> 01:10:00,280 Speaker 1: This is just like the motto is telling me what 1550 01:10:00,439 --> 01:10:02,920 Speaker 1: it is. And you know I am not smarter than 1551 01:10:03,080 --> 01:10:04,840 Speaker 1: a model. So I kind of roll it in and 1552 01:10:05,000 --> 01:10:06,599 Speaker 1: I make my little tweaks as the week progress. 1553 01:10:06,760 --> 01:10:09,200 Speaker 3: I think Brady has enough guys where he can avoid 1554 01:10:09,320 --> 01:10:13,160 Speaker 3: Ramsey and rack up the scores again this week. So yeah, 1555 01:10:13,200 --> 01:10:16,839 Speaker 3: I have Brady QB nine with two point three touchdowns. 1556 01:10:16,880 --> 01:10:19,320 Speaker 3: But I think I'm gonna have to just mainly bump 1557 01:10:19,439 --> 01:10:22,400 Speaker 3: up his projected passing touchdowns because like I said, this 1558 01:10:22,520 --> 01:10:24,960 Speaker 3: could be a historic season, and that's what we're on, 1559 01:10:25,640 --> 01:10:26,760 Speaker 3: you know, the path four here. 1560 01:10:27,240 --> 01:10:29,360 Speaker 2: I have Bucks plus one and a half, Brady is 1561 01:10:29,400 --> 01:10:31,599 Speaker 2: twenty five and nine against the spread as a daughter. 1562 01:10:32,280 --> 01:10:35,479 Speaker 2: So that's that's the way I'm investing in Brady. We'll 1563 01:10:35,520 --> 01:10:38,080 Speaker 2: see how you know, fantasy was. I mean, just because 1564 01:10:38,080 --> 01:10:40,160 Speaker 2: he can't run, you know, So I'm a little more 1565 01:10:40,200 --> 01:10:42,160 Speaker 2: concerned this week just because you know, if he does 1566 01:10:42,640 --> 01:10:45,800 Speaker 2: have a slower game, you're gonna see guys like Jones 1567 01:10:45,800 --> 01:10:50,040 Speaker 2: beat him out. But let's go to Bears Browns and 1568 01:10:50,920 --> 01:10:52,840 Speaker 2: I'm gonna go a little off the grid here because 1569 01:10:54,120 --> 01:10:55,800 Speaker 2: my prop three was going to be a guy who 1570 01:10:56,640 --> 01:10:58,479 Speaker 2: you know, we had hope for coming into the years. 1571 01:10:58,560 --> 01:11:01,040 Speaker 2: I think he had a pretty decent, you know, usage 1572 01:11:01,120 --> 01:11:03,200 Speaker 2: rate week one when people were hopeful, and then he 1573 01:11:03,280 --> 01:11:05,120 Speaker 2: kind of that exactly what he does every time. 1574 01:11:05,200 --> 01:11:06,720 Speaker 1: We expect him to get a lot of usage, which 1575 01:11:06,760 --> 01:11:09,680 Speaker 1: is nothing and that's co comet. So where where do 1576 01:11:09,760 --> 01:11:13,120 Speaker 1: you have his receiving yards for week number three? 1577 01:11:13,439 --> 01:11:16,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean he's getting good ucision in terms of 1578 01:11:16,240 --> 01:11:19,360 Speaker 3: routes run. You know, he's averaging a healthy sixty five 1579 01:11:19,400 --> 01:11:22,640 Speaker 3: percent routes run rate. But the entire passing offense has 1580 01:11:22,680 --> 01:11:25,080 Speaker 3: been stagnant and that's due to Andy Dalton and even 1581 01:11:25,120 --> 01:11:28,040 Speaker 3: when Justin Fields came in last week, didn't really do much. 1582 01:11:28,120 --> 01:11:31,400 Speaker 3: So I have co met pretty low for guy getting 1583 01:11:31,439 --> 01:11:33,639 Speaker 3: this much playing time. I have him all the way 1584 01:11:33,680 --> 01:11:36,439 Speaker 3: down to twenty four and a half receiving yards. 1585 01:11:36,520 --> 01:11:39,960 Speaker 1: Are you Are you lower than that? I'm a middle 1586 01:11:40,040 --> 01:11:44,160 Speaker 1: higher than that, not about twenty six and a half. 1587 01:11:44,479 --> 01:11:47,519 Speaker 1: Oh okay, so right, but not too two yards off 1588 01:11:48,200 --> 01:11:48,760 Speaker 1: the same way. 1589 01:11:49,040 --> 01:11:51,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I mean somebody being projection is thirty one. 1590 01:11:51,200 --> 01:11:53,160 Speaker 2: So you know it's like, yeah, so where does where 1591 01:11:53,160 --> 01:11:56,599 Speaker 2: does he rank because of that projection? Haven't nineteenth? 1592 01:11:57,120 --> 01:11:57,799 Speaker 1: Yeah? Nineteenth? 1593 01:11:57,840 --> 01:12:00,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, he's definitely outside of yeah, top fifteen for me, 1594 01:12:01,479 --> 01:12:04,160 Speaker 3: he is all the way down to tight end twenty 1595 01:12:04,280 --> 01:12:05,719 Speaker 3: four right now. 1596 01:12:06,320 --> 01:12:07,720 Speaker 1: Okay, so you have, yeah, I have. 1597 01:12:08,479 --> 01:12:10,400 Speaker 2: I'm actually laughing because you know who. He reminds me 1598 01:12:10,439 --> 01:12:13,200 Speaker 2: of Adam Troutman, like another guy to get usage. And 1599 01:12:13,960 --> 01:12:16,400 Speaker 2: I literally have the same exact mean projection for both 1600 01:12:16,439 --> 01:12:18,080 Speaker 2: of them right now. Two point nine catches for thirty 1601 01:12:18,120 --> 01:12:21,320 Speaker 2: one yards, Like that's the main I'm just laughing because 1602 01:12:21,320 --> 01:12:23,439 Speaker 2: they're the same guy, and like my model knows it. 1603 01:12:23,720 --> 01:12:27,080 Speaker 3: It's like and Juwan Johnson is the touchdown score of 1604 01:12:28,360 --> 01:12:31,639 Speaker 3: He's the Jimmy Graham. Actually he's more than Jimmy Graham. 1605 01:12:31,680 --> 01:12:33,519 Speaker 1: But you know what I mean, He's just some guy that, 1606 01:12:33,720 --> 01:12:36,160 Speaker 1: like I have to project some numbers for that. 1607 01:12:36,320 --> 01:12:39,920 Speaker 3: He's gonna vulture all the touchdowns scratlan ship Yeah, Comet, yeah, 1608 01:12:40,000 --> 01:12:40,439 Speaker 3: same thing. 1609 01:12:40,840 --> 01:12:42,519 Speaker 2: Yeah, but now I just wanted to talk about that 1610 01:12:42,520 --> 01:12:44,439 Speaker 2: because he was like on that fringe of like, Okay, 1611 01:12:44,520 --> 01:12:46,320 Speaker 2: maybe you need a streamer, maybe you know. 1612 01:12:46,360 --> 01:12:48,519 Speaker 1: You waited on tight end, maybe get by with him. 1613 01:12:48,560 --> 01:12:50,559 Speaker 1: And then it was like no, no, it's not happening. 1614 01:12:50,760 --> 01:12:55,920 Speaker 3: Nope, cheat code, So believe it or not, my cheat 1615 01:12:55,960 --> 01:13:00,400 Speaker 3: code is not Cole Comet, it's Darnell Mooney. And you know, 1616 01:13:00,600 --> 01:13:02,800 Speaker 3: I was saying that I was pretty high on Mooney 1617 01:13:02,920 --> 01:13:05,799 Speaker 3: going into the season, you know, because the Bears passing 1618 01:13:05,840 --> 01:13:09,599 Speaker 3: offense has been so bad. He hasn't taken off quite yet, 1619 01:13:09,760 --> 01:13:12,960 Speaker 3: but he's he's running more routes than a rob and 1620 01:13:13,080 --> 01:13:15,160 Speaker 3: each of the first two games they have the same 1621 01:13:15,320 --> 01:13:19,920 Speaker 3: exact target rate at twenty percent after the first two games. Now, 1622 01:13:20,000 --> 01:13:24,120 Speaker 3: I don't expect Darnell Mooney to outperform Alan Robinson going forward, 1623 01:13:24,200 --> 01:13:26,759 Speaker 3: but I think the gap between the two has shortened 1624 01:13:26,840 --> 01:13:29,360 Speaker 3: up a little bit. So I think Mooney's gonna be 1625 01:13:29,400 --> 01:13:30,240 Speaker 3: overlooked this week. 1626 01:13:30,840 --> 01:13:32,439 Speaker 1: So I think he's the cheat. 1627 01:13:32,240 --> 01:13:35,679 Speaker 3: Code here, and you know, I think eventually, once Justin 1628 01:13:35,760 --> 01:13:39,040 Speaker 3: Fields takes over, it's gonna unlock the vertical element that 1629 01:13:39,120 --> 01:13:41,560 Speaker 3: Darnell Mooney brings. But either way, I do like his 1630 01:13:42,200 --> 01:13:45,479 Speaker 3: four ceiling combo heading into this matchup. I think we're 1631 01:13:45,479 --> 01:13:47,519 Speaker 3: gonna have to throw quite a bit, and you know, 1632 01:13:47,680 --> 01:13:49,679 Speaker 3: maybe Dalton ends up missing this game and we see 1633 01:13:50,080 --> 01:13:53,679 Speaker 3: Matt and Aggie forced against his will to start Justin 1634 01:13:53,720 --> 01:13:56,200 Speaker 3: Fields here. So I love Darnell Mooney in this game. 1635 01:13:57,160 --> 01:13:59,320 Speaker 1: It shouldn't be against his will either, like I mean, 1636 01:13:59,439 --> 01:14:00,000 Speaker 1: it shouldn't be. 1637 01:14:00,760 --> 01:14:03,120 Speaker 2: Robinson could have helped him out by catching that touchdown, 1638 01:14:04,920 --> 01:14:08,839 Speaker 2: you know. But it's tough because there is some uncertainty 1639 01:14:08,880 --> 01:14:11,439 Speaker 2: here into where happens as to how they're starting. But 1640 01:14:12,479 --> 01:14:14,360 Speaker 2: I think I'm still going with Alan Robinson and I 1641 01:14:14,520 --> 01:14:16,040 Speaker 2: like Moody as well. I think it's one of those 1642 01:14:16,040 --> 01:14:19,320 Speaker 2: two guys. But I'm looking at Cleveland and. 1643 01:14:21,520 --> 01:14:23,759 Speaker 1: Denzel Ward. You know, he's that their number. 1644 01:14:23,520 --> 01:14:26,720 Speaker 2: One corner there, but they've really struggled against you know, 1645 01:14:26,840 --> 01:14:29,439 Speaker 2: number one receivers thus far, and maybe it's because it's 1646 01:14:29,439 --> 01:14:31,840 Speaker 2: because of you know, you place Tyreek Call and Brandon Cooks. 1647 01:14:32,000 --> 01:14:35,000 Speaker 1: Those are a little faster guys. But I mean, you know, 1648 01:14:35,080 --> 01:14:36,160 Speaker 1: Alan Robinson's still one of. 1649 01:14:36,160 --> 01:14:39,000 Speaker 2: Those top tier, you know, top fifteen guys in the 1650 01:14:39,080 --> 01:14:41,200 Speaker 2: league in terms when you look at those number one receivers. 1651 01:14:41,520 --> 01:14:44,639 Speaker 2: Cleveland gave up eleven catches one hundred and ninety seven 1652 01:14:44,680 --> 01:14:46,400 Speaker 2: yards in a touch to Hill, they gave up nine 1653 01:14:46,479 --> 01:14:47,640 Speaker 2: catches seventy eight yards and. 1654 01:14:47,640 --> 01:14:51,360 Speaker 1: A touch to Cooks. Seems like a good spot for Robinson. 1655 01:14:51,439 --> 01:14:55,200 Speaker 2: And I think that dropped touchdown kept his keep his 1656 01:14:55,280 --> 01:14:58,000 Speaker 2: salary and check a little bit and probably his roster 1657 01:14:58,080 --> 01:15:00,920 Speaker 2: ship as well. So I think he's a guy that 1658 01:15:00,960 --> 01:15:02,640 Speaker 2: I'll go right back to the well with the it 1659 01:15:02,720 --> 01:15:05,200 Speaker 2: field starts. I mean, it's all about the Robinson Mooney 1660 01:15:05,400 --> 01:15:08,360 Speaker 2: field stack, like yeah, oh yeah, that's happening. 1661 01:15:08,600 --> 01:15:11,320 Speaker 3: And I mean the offense is going through these two 1662 01:15:11,360 --> 01:15:13,680 Speaker 3: wide receivers. We just made fun of Cole Comet for 1663 01:15:13,760 --> 01:15:18,040 Speaker 3: five minutes. Jimmy Graham isn't doing anything, and they're not 1664 01:15:18,160 --> 01:15:21,160 Speaker 3: really even targeting David Montgomery in the passing game. So 1665 01:15:21,240 --> 01:15:24,320 Speaker 3: the offense really is running through Robinson and Mooney. I 1666 01:15:24,360 --> 01:15:27,080 Speaker 3: think you could make a case for a Fields Robinson 1667 01:15:27,280 --> 01:15:30,160 Speaker 3: Mooney stack. That would be awesome if we can get 1668 01:15:30,200 --> 01:15:32,360 Speaker 3: clarity that Fields is starting before the game. 1669 01:15:32,439 --> 01:15:36,920 Speaker 1: I would definitely throw out top five running back Nick Chubb. 1670 01:15:37,439 --> 01:15:41,439 Speaker 3: Absolutely, any excuse to play Nick Chubb is a good excuse. 1671 01:15:41,560 --> 01:15:43,479 Speaker 1: I can't believe he's going to average like eight yards 1672 01:15:43,520 --> 01:15:46,920 Speaker 1: of carry. Again, I told you I can't six point eight. 1673 01:15:47,880 --> 01:15:52,040 Speaker 2: He's over seven, right, It's it's it's it's like every 1674 01:15:52,120 --> 01:15:53,439 Speaker 2: carry to him is like a target. 1675 01:15:54,160 --> 01:15:57,719 Speaker 3: It's well, yeah, you're you're combining arguably the best pure 1676 01:15:57,800 --> 01:16:02,920 Speaker 3: runner and arguably the best offensive line. Just there's every 1677 01:16:02,920 --> 01:16:05,400 Speaker 3: reason in the world to project them for over five 1678 01:16:05,479 --> 01:16:06,280 Speaker 3: yards per carry. 1679 01:16:06,760 --> 01:16:09,160 Speaker 1: Come meet me. Where are you at this week? Are you? 1680 01:16:09,200 --> 01:16:11,880 Speaker 1: Are you over five? No? I can't be. Let's see, 1681 01:16:11,960 --> 01:16:14,280 Speaker 1: you can't. I just that that's just that's just like 1682 01:16:14,360 --> 01:16:17,280 Speaker 1: out of the standard deviation, right he is. He is 1683 01:16:17,360 --> 01:16:19,960 Speaker 1: outside of the standard. He's the outlier. I have that 1684 01:16:20,080 --> 01:16:20,800 Speaker 1: four point six. 1685 01:16:20,960 --> 01:16:23,920 Speaker 2: I mean, he's not RB seven, So you know I'm 1686 01:16:23,920 --> 01:16:27,120 Speaker 2: not there. But I'm taking true to my word. I'm 1687 01:16:27,160 --> 01:16:33,400 Speaker 2: at five point three five baby, and you're you're not wrong. 1688 01:16:33,439 --> 01:16:33,880 Speaker 1: That's the thing. 1689 01:16:33,920 --> 01:16:38,360 Speaker 3: I am not wrong. And is Eddie Goldman back? He's questionable. 1690 01:16:39,240 --> 01:16:41,800 Speaker 3: If I mean, if Eddie Goldman's out, all you know what, 1691 01:16:41,880 --> 01:16:43,400 Speaker 3: I'll ramp it up to five point six. 1692 01:16:43,840 --> 01:16:45,920 Speaker 1: How's that? I like it? 1693 01:16:46,479 --> 01:16:49,040 Speaker 2: I still like uh, I like the Bears though in 1694 01:16:49,080 --> 01:16:51,120 Speaker 2: this game, Oh you dude, I think the line is 1695 01:16:51,120 --> 01:16:53,240 Speaker 2: too big. Yeah, I mean, cleeve, it has no receivers. 1696 01:16:53,800 --> 01:16:55,439 Speaker 2: Remember the game they had no receivers they lost to 1697 01:16:55,439 --> 01:16:58,439 Speaker 2: the Jets last year. Like this is and like maybe 1698 01:16:58,479 --> 01:17:00,560 Speaker 2: Odell Beckham plays, but I mean the way it's go 1699 01:17:00,640 --> 01:17:01,360 Speaker 2: it doesn't look like it. 1700 01:17:01,479 --> 01:17:02,960 Speaker 1: Oh really, I think he's gonna suit up. 1701 01:17:02,960 --> 01:17:06,240 Speaker 3: He probably he won't play his full complementous snaps, but 1702 01:17:06,280 --> 01:17:08,000 Speaker 3: I think he's he's gonna play. 1703 01:17:08,720 --> 01:17:10,760 Speaker 1: I mean, if he does play, I would fear it 1704 01:17:10,800 --> 01:17:14,040 Speaker 1: would be more cuz like Landry, I'm not I'm not trying. 1705 01:17:14,160 --> 01:17:16,040 Speaker 2: Like if anytime you have a guy where it's like 1706 01:17:16,680 --> 01:17:18,760 Speaker 2: he's expected to play and then he just like sat 1707 01:17:18,800 --> 01:17:21,120 Speaker 2: out like that mysteriously two weeks in a row. 1708 01:17:21,280 --> 01:17:23,600 Speaker 1: Like do you really think he's like super ready to 1709 01:17:23,720 --> 01:17:26,320 Speaker 1: just play this week? Like no, he's maybe a little 1710 01:17:26,360 --> 01:17:27,639 Speaker 1: more ready than he was last week. 1711 01:17:27,720 --> 01:17:30,519 Speaker 2: But it's kind of like a Sayquon situation, like it's 1712 01:17:30,560 --> 01:17:31,479 Speaker 2: probably not gonna. 1713 01:17:31,320 --> 01:17:34,719 Speaker 3: End well right, yeah, and aren't they lining up? Harrison 1714 01:17:34,760 --> 01:17:36,680 Speaker 3: Bryant on the outside. I mean, they got all three 1715 01:17:36,720 --> 01:17:39,240 Speaker 3: tight ends on the field and Bryant's lining up outside 1716 01:17:39,320 --> 01:17:41,599 Speaker 3: wide now, so this is just gonna be a tight 1717 01:17:41,720 --> 01:17:46,240 Speaker 3: end onslaught this week. If Beckham can't play, just all 1718 01:17:46,280 --> 01:17:47,960 Speaker 3: three tight ends are going to be in play, I 1719 01:17:48,000 --> 01:17:50,880 Speaker 3: think in DFS. But yeah, it's it's it's like that 1720 01:17:51,200 --> 01:17:55,600 Speaker 3: COVID game for sure. Yeah, all right, let's go to 1721 01:17:56,800 --> 01:17:59,560 Speaker 3: Steelers Bengals. Steelers hosting the Bengals. 1722 01:18:00,320 --> 01:18:03,080 Speaker 2: Uh, you usually see low scoring affairs between these two teams. 1723 01:18:03,160 --> 01:18:06,840 Speaker 2: So my prop for you is going to be Naji 1724 01:18:07,040 --> 01:18:10,920 Speaker 2: Harris over under sixty nine and a half rushing yards 1725 01:18:11,120 --> 01:18:11,920 Speaker 2: at price picks. 1726 01:18:12,080 --> 01:18:12,320 Speaker 1: Nice. 1727 01:18:13,680 --> 01:18:17,719 Speaker 3: Now, I was saying under last week because the offensive line. 1728 01:18:18,800 --> 01:18:22,200 Speaker 3: Despite we know he's gonna get massive volume, I'm projecting 1729 01:18:22,240 --> 01:18:24,240 Speaker 3: him at sixty eight and I don't feel great about it. 1730 01:18:27,240 --> 01:18:31,240 Speaker 2: Where do you have him under? Yeah, Like, I feel 1731 01:18:31,400 --> 01:18:34,479 Speaker 2: terrible that I'm projecting him near this. Like I think 1732 01:18:34,560 --> 01:18:35,640 Speaker 2: by the end of the week, I'm going to have 1733 01:18:35,720 --> 01:18:37,000 Speaker 2: him maybe high fifties. 1734 01:18:37,040 --> 01:18:37,360 Speaker 1: I don't know. 1735 01:18:37,479 --> 01:18:39,720 Speaker 3: It's just really hard to trust him behind this offensive line. 1736 01:18:40,000 --> 01:18:42,760 Speaker 3: I could see him being used heavily in the passing game. Yeah, 1737 01:18:42,960 --> 01:18:45,000 Speaker 3: so that's I still have him as you know, top 1738 01:18:45,080 --> 01:18:47,080 Speaker 3: ten running back. But I think it's because they're going 1739 01:18:47,160 --> 01:18:49,680 Speaker 3: to just start throwing it him more. But yeah, I'm 1740 01:18:49,840 --> 01:18:52,559 Speaker 3: very worried about his his rushing usage and upside because 1741 01:18:52,600 --> 01:18:54,120 Speaker 3: this offensive line is terrible. 1742 01:18:55,200 --> 01:18:57,720 Speaker 2: His carry share went down last week, so like in 1743 01:18:57,800 --> 01:18:59,479 Speaker 2: week one, you know, they didn't have that many carries. 1744 01:18:59,520 --> 01:19:01,519 Speaker 2: The last week, he was down to seventy one percent 1745 01:19:01,560 --> 01:19:02,559 Speaker 2: of the backfield carries. 1746 01:19:02,920 --> 01:19:06,640 Speaker 1: Yeah. Good. So I have him, you know, in the 1747 01:19:06,720 --> 01:19:08,599 Speaker 1: mid fifties in love. 1748 01:19:08,760 --> 01:19:12,000 Speaker 2: I love this under I have him projected at even 1749 01:19:12,040 --> 01:19:12,840 Speaker 2: four yards of carry. 1750 01:19:12,880 --> 01:19:14,599 Speaker 1: So I'm giving him some positive regression here. 1751 01:19:15,160 --> 01:19:19,160 Speaker 2: But uh, you know, because again I'm not trying to 1752 01:19:19,200 --> 01:19:23,160 Speaker 2: go crazy with these hypcs, but it you look at 1753 01:19:23,200 --> 01:19:27,759 Speaker 2: his numbers. The first two weeks, he had fifteen carries 1754 01:19:27,760 --> 01:19:30,080 Speaker 2: forty five yards. In week one, he had ten carries 1755 01:19:30,160 --> 01:19:33,479 Speaker 2: thirty eight yards. In week two, he hasn't cracked four 1756 01:19:33,520 --> 01:19:39,439 Speaker 2: yards of carry yet. Pittsburgh is thirtieth in adjusted line 1757 01:19:39,520 --> 01:19:42,479 Speaker 2: yards per carry for their offensive line at just two 1758 01:19:42,520 --> 01:19:46,280 Speaker 2: point seven. According to Football Outsiders, it kind of measures 1759 01:19:46,600 --> 01:19:49,720 Speaker 2: regresses like offensive line performance to give you know, the 1760 01:19:49,880 --> 01:19:53,960 Speaker 2: line credit or dingham for runs, and that's that's just 1761 01:19:54,040 --> 01:19:54,679 Speaker 2: not good they're. 1762 01:19:54,560 --> 01:19:56,840 Speaker 1: Not opening up anything for him and Cincinnati. 1763 01:19:57,479 --> 01:20:00,240 Speaker 2: You talk about Carolina's defense, the other like sleep sleeping 1764 01:20:00,280 --> 01:20:02,599 Speaker 2: giant defense that I think we need to watch out 1765 01:20:02,640 --> 01:20:05,719 Speaker 2: for is Cincinnati. Cincinnati is like top five and yards 1766 01:20:05,760 --> 01:20:09,120 Speaker 2: per play allowed and they are allowing just three point 1767 01:20:09,160 --> 01:20:11,439 Speaker 2: one running backyards for Carrie, which is six best in 1768 01:20:11,520 --> 01:20:15,320 Speaker 2: the league. So bet the under for this game, don't 1769 01:20:15,360 --> 01:20:18,640 Speaker 2: get too excited about anyone involved, and don't sleep on 1770 01:20:18,720 --> 01:20:19,840 Speaker 2: Cincinnati's d is my. 1771 01:20:21,360 --> 01:20:24,800 Speaker 1: Is my advice for this one. But who is your 1772 01:20:25,320 --> 01:20:28,800 Speaker 1: cheek coat? I am going with Chase Claypool. 1773 01:20:29,960 --> 01:20:31,600 Speaker 3: He's the kind of guy that you never want to 1774 01:20:31,640 --> 01:20:34,120 Speaker 3: sleep on, as we saw last year with his massive 1775 01:20:34,240 --> 01:20:37,320 Speaker 3: four touchdown game. I think, well, the only reason he 1776 01:20:37,400 --> 01:20:40,320 Speaker 3: hasn't had a massive game is because Big Ben has 1777 01:20:40,360 --> 01:20:44,599 Speaker 3: been so shitty so far, and maybe the offensive line 1778 01:20:44,800 --> 01:20:46,519 Speaker 3: isn't giving big Ben enough time. 1779 01:20:46,640 --> 01:20:49,280 Speaker 1: To see Chase Claypool down the field. 1780 01:20:49,320 --> 01:20:53,120 Speaker 3: But you know, he had the fourth highest air yards 1781 01:20:53,160 --> 01:20:55,719 Speaker 3: last week with one hundred and seventy three. He's seeing 1782 01:20:55,760 --> 01:20:59,280 Speaker 3: a very healthy target rate at twenty two percent when 1783 01:20:59,280 --> 01:21:01,800 Speaker 3: he's on the field, and he's playing a ton this year. 1784 01:21:01,840 --> 01:21:04,519 Speaker 3: That was his only downside last year. He wasn't getting 1785 01:21:04,560 --> 01:21:06,880 Speaker 3: on the field as much this year. He's averaging between 1786 01:21:06,960 --> 01:21:10,760 Speaker 3: seventy five eighty yards per game routes run. That is, 1787 01:21:11,680 --> 01:21:14,200 Speaker 3: so you know, big games are coming. I don't know 1788 01:21:14,280 --> 01:21:17,519 Speaker 3: what's up with Deanty Johnson here, but even if he 1789 01:21:17,600 --> 01:21:19,960 Speaker 3: suits up, he's probably gonna be less than hundred percent. 1790 01:21:20,000 --> 01:21:23,320 Speaker 1: So this could be a big Chase Claypool game. He's 1791 01:21:23,400 --> 01:21:25,240 Speaker 1: my DFS cheak code here. 1792 01:21:26,040 --> 01:21:31,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, that was unfortunate for deonce down on the last play, 1793 01:21:31,280 --> 01:21:34,400 Speaker 2: and we still know it. They said he avoided serious injury, 1794 01:21:35,240 --> 01:21:38,679 Speaker 2: but you know, we obviously recording this. We haven't gotten 1795 01:21:39,960 --> 01:21:43,559 Speaker 2: a practice report yet, so we don't really know. 1796 01:21:44,240 --> 01:21:48,640 Speaker 3: He Mike Tollmans said he's looking better, but that's not 1797 01:21:48,800 --> 01:21:52,599 Speaker 3: to be confused with great, right exactly. We just won't 1798 01:21:52,640 --> 01:21:55,760 Speaker 3: know until we start seeing the practice report. So yeah, yeah, 1799 01:21:55,760 --> 01:21:56,560 Speaker 3: I like Claypool. 1800 01:21:57,360 --> 01:22:00,400 Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with t Higgins here for mine, and 1801 01:22:01,080 --> 01:22:02,760 Speaker 2: that's because Joe Hayden we still don't know his. 1802 01:22:02,800 --> 01:22:06,720 Speaker 1: Status, uh, and we just saw the you know, if. 1803 01:22:06,720 --> 01:22:09,080 Speaker 2: He's out, if he's in, I think I do like 1804 01:22:09,320 --> 01:22:13,559 Speaker 2: I would just kind of piggyback on Claypool. But if 1805 01:22:13,640 --> 01:22:15,719 Speaker 2: Hayden is, you know, at less than one hundred percent 1806 01:22:16,479 --> 01:22:19,840 Speaker 2: or gets ruled out again. Higgins plays most of his 1807 01:22:19,920 --> 01:22:23,080 Speaker 2: snaps aliding to the right, and so he would be 1808 01:22:23,120 --> 01:22:26,840 Speaker 2: facing either like Achille Witherspoon or James Pierre and then 1809 01:22:27,200 --> 01:22:30,240 Speaker 2: they allowed, they allowed like Henry Ruggs's first breakout game 1810 01:22:30,280 --> 01:22:33,240 Speaker 2: in a while. Uh, he cut you know, three three 1811 01:22:33,320 --> 01:22:34,960 Speaker 2: or three targets or ninety eight yards in a touch 1812 01:22:35,360 --> 01:22:37,240 Speaker 2: off of them. That's kind of the weak wink there. 1813 01:22:37,479 --> 01:22:40,240 Speaker 2: And remember Pittsburgh's defense is a little bit, you know, 1814 01:22:40,920 --> 01:22:44,360 Speaker 2: less than dominant than it was, you know, at full strength. 1815 01:22:44,400 --> 01:22:45,880 Speaker 1: You know they're gonna be without t J. Watt. 1816 01:22:45,960 --> 01:22:47,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Burrow's gonna have some time to get 1817 01:22:48,080 --> 01:22:51,080 Speaker 2: get the ball down the field in this one. Again, 1818 01:22:51,080 --> 01:22:54,800 Speaker 2: I'm not expecting huge fireworks, so I would temper my 1819 01:22:54,880 --> 01:22:58,120 Speaker 2: expectations for everyone involved in this game. But I think 1820 01:22:58,200 --> 01:23:00,360 Speaker 2: Higgins a guy who's had a rough game last game. 1821 01:23:01,600 --> 01:23:03,519 Speaker 2: I think he's kind of a sneaky guy that people 1822 01:23:03,560 --> 01:23:05,639 Speaker 2: are gonna look at Pittsburgh and say, you know, I'm 1823 01:23:05,640 --> 01:23:08,640 Speaker 2: not gonna start any Bengals receivers against this team, and 1824 01:23:08,720 --> 01:23:10,600 Speaker 2: if they do, it's probably gonna be the sexier like 1825 01:23:10,680 --> 01:23:12,559 Speaker 2: Jamar Chase, the new toy, shiny new toy. 1826 01:23:13,400 --> 01:23:15,040 Speaker 1: But I think not a boy. 1827 01:23:15,160 --> 01:23:17,360 Speaker 2: Last week was a boy game, I thought, which kind 1828 01:23:17,360 --> 01:23:19,120 Speaker 2: of I think he caught seven balls, so that kind 1829 01:23:19,160 --> 01:23:22,960 Speaker 2: of played out. But this week, watch that Joe Hayden news. 1830 01:23:23,200 --> 01:23:26,360 Speaker 2: If he's out love Higgins. If not, yeah, go with Klaypool, 1831 01:23:26,439 --> 01:23:27,080 Speaker 2: Najie Harris. 1832 01:23:27,120 --> 01:23:29,320 Speaker 1: I think you could make a case for as well. 1833 01:23:30,560 --> 01:23:36,519 Speaker 1: Let's go to who we got neckers? 1834 01:23:36,640 --> 01:23:40,160 Speaker 2: Oh, Dolphins Raiders. We don't know if either quarterback is playing, 1835 01:23:40,200 --> 01:23:44,280 Speaker 2: so that's always fun. But Henry Ruggs, I, you know, 1836 01:23:44,320 --> 01:23:45,880 Speaker 2: I reverse jakest him. I was like, I'm out on 1837 01:23:45,960 --> 01:23:48,640 Speaker 2: Henry Ruggs, he's done, he's not very good, and then 1838 01:23:48,680 --> 01:23:51,280 Speaker 2: he puts up one hundred yard game, seals the game 1839 01:23:51,320 --> 01:23:53,439 Speaker 2: with a long touchdown. I think it was more of 1840 01:23:53,520 --> 01:23:56,719 Speaker 2: a you know, Pittsburgh's defense, just like Zay Jones catching 1841 01:23:56,720 --> 01:23:59,320 Speaker 2: a winning touchdown was more of you know, the Baltimore 1842 01:23:59,400 --> 01:24:00,479 Speaker 2: defense than it was. 1843 01:24:00,560 --> 01:24:01,920 Speaker 1: Day Day Jones. 1844 01:24:02,439 --> 01:24:06,240 Speaker 2: But nevertheless, I am interested to hear where do you 1845 01:24:06,400 --> 01:24:11,320 Speaker 2: have Henry Ruggs receiving yard over under against the Dolphins 1846 01:24:11,360 --> 01:24:13,400 Speaker 2: and two pretty good perimeter corners. 1847 01:24:14,680 --> 01:24:17,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, with Rugs it's usually just forty four and a half. 1848 01:24:17,280 --> 01:24:19,960 Speaker 3: That's his median. I don't think he's going anywhere near that. 1849 01:24:20,160 --> 01:24:24,200 Speaker 3: It's going to be twenty or eighty, right, So, yeah, 1850 01:24:24,320 --> 01:24:26,479 Speaker 3: you mentioned the corners. Who do you think he's going 1851 01:24:26,560 --> 01:24:28,599 Speaker 3: to match up with. I think you know, Byron Jones 1852 01:24:28,600 --> 01:24:31,080 Speaker 3: will probably get Brian Edwards or Darren Waller. So maybe 1853 01:24:31,240 --> 01:24:34,240 Speaker 3: Rugs faces Xavian Howard the entire game. Either way, it's 1854 01:24:34,280 --> 01:24:37,479 Speaker 3: not a good matchup. So I'm giving you the line 1855 01:24:37,560 --> 01:24:39,200 Speaker 3: forty four and a half. Where are you going with that? 1856 01:24:39,280 --> 01:24:39,439 Speaker 1: Yeah? 1857 01:24:39,560 --> 01:24:41,960 Speaker 2: Right there, right right at forty five, so same day, 1858 01:24:42,680 --> 01:24:44,560 Speaker 2: and he probably won't finish anywhere near that. 1859 01:24:44,800 --> 01:24:46,080 Speaker 1: It'll be either extreme. 1860 01:24:46,520 --> 01:24:49,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, it'll be like two two yards yeah no, yeah, 1861 01:24:50,120 --> 01:24:52,519 Speaker 2: like two catches minus six yards because they'll trying to 1862 01:24:52,520 --> 01:24:55,560 Speaker 2: get he'll have like a zero yard catch early and 1863 01:24:55,680 --> 01:24:56,920 Speaker 2: then they'll try to give him. 1864 01:24:56,800 --> 01:24:58,519 Speaker 1: Like a screen and then it'll just go backwards. 1865 01:24:59,040 --> 01:24:59,200 Speaker 2: Ya. 1866 01:25:00,000 --> 01:25:01,479 Speaker 1: He'll get to a Visco Chanelt week two. 1867 01:25:01,520 --> 01:25:05,559 Speaker 2: Why I think had like two catches like negative seven 1868 01:25:05,680 --> 01:25:10,200 Speaker 2: or something ridiculous like that. Yes, I mean he's still 1869 01:25:10,240 --> 01:25:13,000 Speaker 2: he's my wide receiver fifty right now, which probably is 1870 01:25:13,040 --> 01:25:13,639 Speaker 2: still too high. 1871 01:25:14,600 --> 01:25:18,880 Speaker 1: Uh, who's your cheeko here? Uh? No, one, I think 1872 01:25:19,080 --> 01:25:21,840 Speaker 1: you want to fade this matchup, it's it's going to 1873 01:25:21,840 --> 01:25:22,400 Speaker 1: be low scoring. 1874 01:25:22,439 --> 01:25:24,240 Speaker 3: I love the under here. Is it still at forty 1875 01:25:24,320 --> 01:25:27,599 Speaker 3: five and a half? I mean love the under here. 1876 01:25:27,680 --> 01:25:31,560 Speaker 3: It could be Jacoby Brussette versus Nathan Peterman like you 1877 01:25:31,600 --> 01:25:34,280 Speaker 3: alluded to. But I think if he does suit up, 1878 01:25:34,439 --> 01:25:37,519 Speaker 3: I would say Derek Carr here. He's dealing with an 1879 01:25:37,520 --> 01:25:39,720 Speaker 3: ankle injury, I believe, so even if he plays that's 1880 01:25:40,360 --> 01:25:43,360 Speaker 3: it's not gonna limit him. He's not a really mobile quarterback, 1881 01:25:44,000 --> 01:25:46,320 Speaker 3: and I think people aren't willing to buy in on 1882 01:25:46,400 --> 01:25:49,479 Speaker 3: him yet despite throwing for over three fifty yards in 1883 01:25:49,640 --> 01:25:52,800 Speaker 3: each of the first two games, and those are two 1884 01:25:52,920 --> 01:25:56,120 Speaker 3: tough matchups against the Ravens and Steelers. So I think 1885 01:25:56,120 --> 01:25:58,360 Speaker 3: he's a sneaky play here if you still want to 1886 01:25:58,360 --> 01:26:01,280 Speaker 3: buy in on him, and you know, you can pair 1887 01:26:01,320 --> 01:26:04,960 Speaker 3: him up with Darren Waller or just in case, Henry 1888 01:26:05,040 --> 01:26:08,080 Speaker 3: Ruggs has a good game, so you have some stacking options. 1889 01:26:08,120 --> 01:26:10,200 Speaker 3: So I think he's if you're gonna play anybody in 1890 01:26:10,240 --> 01:26:13,280 Speaker 3: this game, it'd be to go Derek Carr route. But 1891 01:26:13,320 --> 01:26:15,160 Speaker 3: even that I'm probably staying away from. 1892 01:26:15,920 --> 01:26:17,320 Speaker 1: All Right, we're gonna give the. 1893 01:26:17,360 --> 01:26:20,439 Speaker 2: Listeners a bonus here because I am actually curious and 1894 01:26:20,520 --> 01:26:22,400 Speaker 2: I was thinking about this total. Where would you bet 1895 01:26:22,479 --> 01:26:24,880 Speaker 2: the under down to? It is at forty five and 1896 01:26:24,920 --> 01:26:30,080 Speaker 2: a half according to our action betting data, our public 1897 01:26:30,160 --> 01:26:33,400 Speaker 2: betting data in the Action network app sixty six percent 1898 01:26:33,439 --> 01:26:35,360 Speaker 2: of the best sixty nine percent of the money on 1899 01:26:35,479 --> 01:26:38,200 Speaker 2: the over. What So that's kind of why it's keeping 1900 01:26:38,240 --> 01:26:40,519 Speaker 2: it there. Would you go down to forty four? Would 1901 01:26:40,520 --> 01:26:42,080 Speaker 2: you go down to lower than forty five? I'm just 1902 01:26:42,160 --> 01:26:43,640 Speaker 2: gonna get a little bit more on it right now, 1903 01:26:43,680 --> 01:26:45,479 Speaker 2: if you don't mind giving me a couple No, No, 1904 01:26:45,560 --> 01:26:46,760 Speaker 2: I'm trying to bet it right now too. 1905 01:26:47,520 --> 01:26:49,560 Speaker 3: Well, let's see the key numbers in that range, or 1906 01:26:49,720 --> 01:26:52,559 Speaker 3: like forty two and a half is really key when 1907 01:26:52,600 --> 01:26:54,280 Speaker 3: it comes to totals. I'd probably bet it down to 1908 01:26:54,360 --> 01:26:56,599 Speaker 3: forty two and a half. I haven't projected forty three 1909 01:26:56,640 --> 01:27:00,280 Speaker 3: and a half, and I'm assuming Tua and car Art, 1910 01:27:00,680 --> 01:27:05,880 Speaker 3: so just factoring the possibility of either Jacoby Brissett or 1911 01:27:06,240 --> 01:27:09,200 Speaker 3: Nathan Peterman starting. If I could project this all the 1912 01:27:09,240 --> 01:27:12,519 Speaker 3: way down to forty and a half, both offensive lines 1913 01:27:12,520 --> 01:27:15,320 Speaker 3: are terrible, so it could be a run heavy game 1914 01:27:15,360 --> 01:27:18,080 Speaker 3: where they're not even able to move the ball. And 1915 01:27:18,560 --> 01:27:20,640 Speaker 3: you know, we love the Dolphins defense, and I think 1916 01:27:20,720 --> 01:27:23,320 Speaker 3: that the Raiders defense is sneaky good right now, So yeah, 1917 01:27:23,360 --> 01:27:26,120 Speaker 3: I would I would probably bet it down to forty 1918 01:27:26,160 --> 01:27:27,000 Speaker 3: two and a half right now. 1919 01:27:27,960 --> 01:27:30,680 Speaker 2: And if you're watching this as opposed to listening it 1920 01:27:30,880 --> 01:27:33,600 Speaker 2: to it, you could see that I'm really betting this 1921 01:27:33,760 --> 01:27:34,040 Speaker 2: right now. 1922 01:27:34,120 --> 01:27:35,520 Speaker 1: Like I'm on my phone. 1923 01:27:36,800 --> 01:27:38,479 Speaker 2: Trying to find the best wine looking in the Action 1924 01:27:38,560 --> 01:27:41,439 Speaker 2: Ever Gap, trying to find a site with the best line, 1925 01:27:42,320 --> 01:27:44,240 Speaker 2: and I'm about to bet the under forty five and 1926 01:27:44,280 --> 01:27:45,160 Speaker 2: a half and I'm going to. 1927 01:27:45,160 --> 01:27:48,439 Speaker 1: Post it right now. So this is this is all 1928 01:27:48,479 --> 01:27:50,719 Speaker 1: happening in real time. This is why you should download 1929 01:27:50,720 --> 01:27:51,640 Speaker 1: the action app. We did not. 1930 01:27:51,880 --> 01:27:54,720 Speaker 2: This is not like we did not Like what is 1931 01:27:54,760 --> 01:27:57,280 Speaker 2: the word I'm looking for here, I don't know, like 1932 01:27:57,400 --> 01:28:00,880 Speaker 2: pre planned this or whatever. Oh yeah, I'm having like 1933 01:28:00,920 --> 01:28:02,439 Speaker 2: a blank because I'm trying to bet something. 1934 01:28:02,760 --> 01:28:06,200 Speaker 1: But yeah, like we didn't pre plan this. I'm doing it. 1935 01:28:06,280 --> 01:28:08,479 Speaker 1: We're doing this right now because I think that's a 1936 01:28:08,520 --> 01:28:10,880 Speaker 1: great call. And it was one that I was looking 1937 01:28:10,920 --> 01:28:12,200 Speaker 1: at and I was like, I don't know, like there's 1938 01:28:12,240 --> 01:28:14,120 Speaker 1: a lot of uncertainty. Why is this number kind of 1939 01:28:14,160 --> 01:28:18,439 Speaker 1: hanging here? But uh, if you're on. Yeah, I feel 1940 01:28:18,479 --> 01:28:20,519 Speaker 1: I feel good enough if you're on the same because 1941 01:28:20,520 --> 01:28:22,560 Speaker 1: like that's the thing. It's like sometimes it's like you know, 1942 01:28:23,680 --> 01:28:26,120 Speaker 1: like I feel like I work with the smartest people out. 1943 01:28:26,000 --> 01:28:28,040 Speaker 2: Like sometimes it's like people are like, oh, the shark's doing. 1944 01:28:28,120 --> 01:28:29,960 Speaker 2: I'm like, I know most of the sharks that are 1945 01:28:29,960 --> 01:28:32,800 Speaker 2: sharper than the sharks. So like, if you're on this 1946 01:28:32,960 --> 01:28:34,599 Speaker 2: under and this is what I was kind of thinking 1947 01:28:34,640 --> 01:28:36,920 Speaker 2: of the whole week anyway, then I'm gonna go ahead 1948 01:28:36,920 --> 01:28:37,519 Speaker 2: and pull the trigger. 1949 01:28:37,680 --> 01:28:41,200 Speaker 1: Likewise, I was on the Eagles Niners under last week 1950 01:28:41,400 --> 01:28:43,639 Speaker 1: and I saw you were on it. I'm like, oh, okay, wow, 1951 01:28:44,080 --> 01:28:47,240 Speaker 1: you me in the uh and convinced me like I 1952 01:28:47,400 --> 01:28:48,559 Speaker 1: wanted that under so bad. 1953 01:28:48,640 --> 01:28:51,559 Speaker 2: I literally said to Stucky, I was like, it's one 1954 01:28:51,600 --> 01:28:55,040 Speaker 2: of the numbers that I was off by like four points. 1955 01:28:55,240 --> 01:28:58,479 Speaker 2: It's like the biggest discrepancy that I've seen in like years. 1956 01:28:58,560 --> 01:29:01,000 Speaker 2: And I was like, I don't know why. It's like 1957 01:29:01,120 --> 01:29:03,120 Speaker 2: it had to be like models. 1958 01:29:02,760 --> 01:29:04,720 Speaker 1: Just overrating that like forty one to thirty three. 1959 01:29:05,360 --> 01:29:05,519 Speaker 3: Uh. 1960 01:29:05,640 --> 01:29:08,519 Speaker 1: Yep, Niners game and not regrets, not enough regression to 1961 01:29:08,560 --> 01:29:10,800 Speaker 1: the mean. Uh. And you always got to see this 1962 01:29:10,920 --> 01:29:12,320 Speaker 1: is why I end up always too well in Nick 1963 01:29:12,360 --> 01:29:15,280 Speaker 1: Chubb's carry yards for carry because I'm very big on 1964 01:29:15,360 --> 01:29:17,960 Speaker 1: my aggression to the mean, but uh, you gotta stop 1965 01:29:18,000 --> 01:29:21,160 Speaker 1: it with Nick Chubbs. Yeah, yeah, pretty much. Just gotta 1966 01:29:21,200 --> 01:29:27,360 Speaker 1: cut that out. Okay, So I have just uh oh, 1967 01:29:28,200 --> 01:29:31,479 Speaker 1: we're playing nobody in this game, is I mean, I did. 1968 01:29:31,479 --> 01:29:34,200 Speaker 2: Bet Miami, which has every I mean, this is just 1969 01:29:34,240 --> 01:29:37,559 Speaker 2: a crazy betting game. Tune into the Action Network NFL 1970 01:29:37,640 --> 01:29:40,640 Speaker 2: podcast at Stucky and I for more because there's a 1971 01:29:40,720 --> 01:29:42,240 Speaker 2: lot to talk about with this game, but not so 1972 01:29:42,360 --> 01:29:44,240 Speaker 2: much for fantasy. So I don't want to like get 1973 01:29:44,280 --> 01:29:46,560 Speaker 2: stuck on it for fantasy. But my tea coat is 1974 01:29:46,680 --> 01:29:49,960 Speaker 2: Jaylen Waddle because he's gonna be going against uh, you know, 1975 01:29:50,520 --> 01:29:52,720 Speaker 2: slat corner Nate Hobbs, who gave up seven out of 1976 01:29:52,760 --> 01:29:54,639 Speaker 2: seven for forty four yards last week. 1977 01:29:55,880 --> 01:29:56,679 Speaker 1: And Kenyan Drake. 1978 01:29:56,720 --> 01:29:58,920 Speaker 2: I think if Josh Jacobs is out another guy that 1979 01:29:59,080 --> 01:30:01,880 Speaker 2: the Raiders would lean on. Jacobs highly questionable. So those 1980 01:30:01,880 --> 01:30:03,920 Speaker 2: are the two guys I'm looking at. Any thoughts on 1981 01:30:03,920 --> 01:30:04,439 Speaker 2: those guys. 1982 01:30:04,520 --> 01:30:07,800 Speaker 1: Well, you're not worried about will Fuller no return. 1983 01:30:07,680 --> 01:30:09,320 Speaker 2: No, because the matchup is in the slot and it's 1984 01:30:09,360 --> 01:30:12,640 Speaker 2: a single high defense so I just think it's a 1985 01:30:12,680 --> 01:30:13,880 Speaker 2: good spot for Wattle. 1986 01:30:14,120 --> 01:30:15,320 Speaker 1: Oh you know, I love Wattle. 1987 01:30:15,600 --> 01:30:18,400 Speaker 3: But it's just hard to project any of these receivers 1988 01:30:18,479 --> 01:30:22,040 Speaker 3: right now because there's such a vanilla boring offense and 1989 01:30:22,120 --> 01:30:24,479 Speaker 3: when you have, you know, three good receivers like that, 1990 01:30:24,600 --> 01:30:26,640 Speaker 3: it's just it's just hard to project. But yeah, if 1991 01:30:26,920 --> 01:30:29,479 Speaker 3: there were one guy out of those three, I would 1992 01:30:29,479 --> 01:30:30,400 Speaker 3: pick Waddle for sure. 1993 01:30:30,960 --> 01:30:33,160 Speaker 2: And like I said, if if Jacobs is out, then 1994 01:30:33,200 --> 01:30:35,479 Speaker 2: it just becomes Kenny and Drake, Like that's just the 1995 01:30:35,560 --> 01:30:37,439 Speaker 2: guy that I that I want. That Yeah, great, Yeah, 1996 01:30:38,000 --> 01:30:42,400 Speaker 2: revenge game alert, But let's cod of Jets Froncos because. 1997 01:30:43,840 --> 01:30:45,920 Speaker 1: There's also not a lot in this game. But there's 1998 01:30:45,920 --> 01:30:46,599 Speaker 1: a couple of things. 1999 01:30:47,600 --> 01:30:49,479 Speaker 2: And the proble I'm gonna ask you about is one 2000 01:30:49,680 --> 01:30:52,800 Speaker 2: guy I've been kind of conservative on, but he showed 2001 01:30:52,840 --> 01:30:55,479 Speaker 2: well last week, and that was Courtland Sutton. I believe 2002 01:30:55,520 --> 01:30:57,880 Speaker 2: he led the did he he He had the weekend 2003 01:30:57,920 --> 01:31:00,240 Speaker 2: receiving yards I believe with one hundred and fifty eight. 2004 01:31:00,360 --> 01:31:04,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, sounds about right. So where are we for. 2005 01:31:04,960 --> 01:31:07,679 Speaker 2: Setting this week over under sixty nine and a half 2006 01:31:08,000 --> 01:31:12,800 Speaker 2: receiving yards? Is helyed on price picks? Yeah, he's he 2007 01:31:12,920 --> 01:31:15,160 Speaker 2: might have left some yards on the field too. He 2008 01:31:15,280 --> 01:31:17,840 Speaker 2: led the league with two hundred and fifty four air 2009 01:31:17,920 --> 01:31:19,800 Speaker 2: yards last week, which is like one hundred more than 2010 01:31:19,840 --> 01:31:23,439 Speaker 2: the second closest, Like just insane game. And you know, 2011 01:31:23,520 --> 01:31:26,320 Speaker 2: we probably overlooked the connection between him and Bridgewater with 2012 01:31:26,479 --> 01:31:29,400 Speaker 2: Jerry Judy out, But yeah, I like him going this 2013 01:31:29,479 --> 01:31:32,960 Speaker 2: week as well. It's another easy matchup against the Jets. However, 2014 01:31:33,160 --> 01:31:34,440 Speaker 2: you know, if the Broncos. 2015 01:31:34,080 --> 01:31:36,160 Speaker 3: Do get up early, they might just be a little 2016 01:31:36,160 --> 01:31:39,639 Speaker 3: bit more conservative, run heavy. So I'm I'm actually projecting 2017 01:31:39,720 --> 01:31:42,720 Speaker 3: him closer to sixty five and a half. I just 2018 01:31:42,760 --> 01:31:45,120 Speaker 3: think he has a lower floor and maybe the market's 2019 01:31:45,240 --> 01:31:48,280 Speaker 3: over reacting to the last week. But yeah, all the 2020 01:31:48,439 --> 01:31:51,600 Speaker 3: underlying data certainly backed up his game. So this is 2021 01:31:51,760 --> 01:31:53,880 Speaker 3: this is a prop I'm probably staying away from. Where 2022 01:31:54,120 --> 01:31:55,000 Speaker 3: do you have him projected? 2023 01:31:55,600 --> 01:31:58,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, sixty nine is my mean projection, so my mode, Yeah, 2024 01:31:59,000 --> 01:32:01,400 Speaker 2: it's more like you know in the like Yeah, so 2025 01:32:02,800 --> 01:32:05,880 Speaker 2: and again it's that's a big step up from last 2026 01:32:05,880 --> 01:32:07,480 Speaker 2: week when I was being more conservative. 2027 01:32:08,000 --> 01:32:08,840 Speaker 1: I like Patrick two. 2028 01:32:08,920 --> 01:32:12,200 Speaker 2: Thankfully he got the touchdown last week to kind of 2029 01:32:12,240 --> 01:32:16,680 Speaker 2: bail bail it out. But yeah, I think Stutton is 2030 01:32:16,720 --> 01:32:19,759 Speaker 2: a startable wide receiver three this week. Don't get carried 2031 01:32:19,760 --> 01:32:23,160 Speaker 2: away just because the Jets the game script just might 2032 01:32:23,240 --> 01:32:25,320 Speaker 2: not necessitate a lot of throwing. 2033 01:32:26,280 --> 01:32:28,679 Speaker 1: Are you off? Oh sorry, I'm not not go ahead? 2034 01:32:28,880 --> 01:32:31,479 Speaker 1: Are you off on either like Tim Patrick or kJ 2035 01:32:31,600 --> 01:32:33,080 Speaker 1: Hammler this week or an you think one of them 2036 01:32:33,360 --> 01:32:34,080 Speaker 1: could step up. 2037 01:32:35,080 --> 01:32:37,720 Speaker 2: I'm gonna be on team Patrick because I just think 2038 01:32:37,760 --> 01:32:40,720 Speaker 2: he's still like the superior guy out of those three. 2039 01:32:40,840 --> 01:32:43,519 Speaker 2: But probably would just go Noah Fan as my number 2040 01:32:43,560 --> 01:32:46,360 Speaker 2: two at this point, just because Patrick he's outside, he's right, 2041 01:32:46,439 --> 01:32:49,280 Speaker 2: He's like my wide receiver fifty one in initial projections, 2042 01:32:49,320 --> 01:32:53,160 Speaker 2: and so you know, whereas Fan is like a guy 2043 01:32:53,240 --> 01:32:56,160 Speaker 2: that you could legitimately start at tight end or play 2044 01:32:56,240 --> 01:33:01,240 Speaker 2: in DFS. So I'd rather Fan than Patrick or Hammler 2045 01:33:01,320 --> 01:33:01,639 Speaker 2: this week. 2046 01:33:02,080 --> 01:33:02,360 Speaker 1: Got it? 2047 01:33:02,439 --> 01:33:05,360 Speaker 3: And I read that Teddy Bridgewater actually asked for kJ 2048 01:33:05,479 --> 01:33:08,240 Speaker 3: Hamler to be next to him in the locker room, 2049 01:33:08,240 --> 01:33:10,559 Speaker 3: which is kind of an interesting development. Maybe he's trying 2050 01:33:10,600 --> 01:33:14,040 Speaker 3: to groom the young receiver. But I thought that was interesting. 2051 01:33:14,160 --> 01:33:16,560 Speaker 3: But cirly it didn't carry over in this game. It 2052 01:33:16,640 --> 01:33:19,639 Speaker 3: was all Courtland Sutton, so it's you know, you should 2053 01:33:19,680 --> 01:33:22,600 Speaker 3: probably still have Tim Patrick and kJ Hamler you know, 2054 01:33:22,680 --> 01:33:24,200 Speaker 3: on your bench, but something a monitor. 2055 01:33:25,080 --> 01:33:28,479 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, don't sweep on like Hamler breaking out. 2056 01:33:28,560 --> 01:33:32,280 Speaker 2: Eventually your two guy, talented guy getting some deep targets, 2057 01:33:32,280 --> 01:33:35,280 Speaker 2: has some speed, but it will be super hard to predict. 2058 01:33:35,360 --> 01:33:37,360 Speaker 2: So the best advice I could give you is, like, 2059 01:33:37,840 --> 01:33:40,000 Speaker 2: you know, if you're in a large DFS tournament, you 2060 01:33:40,080 --> 01:33:42,160 Speaker 2: want like a you know, super cheap guy that no 2061 01:33:42,200 --> 01:33:42,680 Speaker 2: one's going to have. 2062 01:33:43,080 --> 01:33:44,800 Speaker 1: Maybe use him or you know, like on a one 2063 01:33:44,840 --> 01:33:47,040 Speaker 1: game sleep. That's it's really all you can do. Hamler 2064 01:33:47,080 --> 01:33:47,880 Speaker 1: at this point, like. 2065 01:33:47,960 --> 01:33:50,280 Speaker 2: Patrick is a little Patrick has been a little bit 2066 01:33:50,320 --> 01:33:52,400 Speaker 2: more productive to where I think you can you know, 2067 01:33:52,520 --> 01:33:53,080 Speaker 2: deeper weaves. 2068 01:33:53,160 --> 01:33:55,040 Speaker 1: You may be able to flex him or start him 2069 01:33:55,040 --> 01:33:56,519 Speaker 1: as your wide receiver for or something like that. So 2070 01:33:58,160 --> 01:34:01,040 Speaker 1: what is your who is your cheek code for THEFS? 2071 01:34:02,160 --> 01:34:04,400 Speaker 3: It's got to be Elijah Moore here. This is a 2072 01:34:04,680 --> 01:34:08,200 Speaker 3: brutal matchup. I understand that he's going to be just 2073 01:34:08,880 --> 01:34:11,840 Speaker 3: very low rostered this week, and it's really hard to 2074 01:34:11,960 --> 01:34:15,360 Speaker 3: bet on this Jets offense until we see signs of life. 2075 01:34:15,479 --> 01:34:19,599 Speaker 3: And you know, Zach Wilson Bill Belichick won that matchup 2076 01:34:19,680 --> 01:34:22,479 Speaker 3: last week and this week, Ictangio will probably have a 2077 01:34:22,520 --> 01:34:26,280 Speaker 3: pretty good game plan against this rookie quarterback. So not 2078 01:34:26,640 --> 01:34:29,320 Speaker 3: feeling too great about this offense. But if there was 2079 01:34:29,360 --> 01:34:31,800 Speaker 3: a sign of life, it would be Elijah Moore. He 2080 01:34:31,920 --> 01:34:35,040 Speaker 3: ranked sixteenth last week in air yards with one hundred 2081 01:34:35,040 --> 01:34:37,280 Speaker 3: and fifteen. I think a breakout game is coming. It 2082 01:34:37,520 --> 01:34:39,320 Speaker 3: might not be this week, but either way, I kind 2083 01:34:39,360 --> 01:34:41,800 Speaker 3: of I want to be on him before the breakout game, 2084 01:34:41,840 --> 01:34:45,080 Speaker 3: similar to Rondelle Moore last week. So he's a guy 2085 01:34:45,160 --> 01:34:48,040 Speaker 3: that I'm to have some shares on. I'm not going 2086 01:34:48,120 --> 01:34:50,040 Speaker 3: to go crazy, but I think he could have a 2087 01:34:50,080 --> 01:34:52,960 Speaker 3: ceiling game here this week. So I think he's my 2088 01:34:53,080 --> 01:34:54,639 Speaker 3: cheat code for this matchup. 2089 01:34:55,760 --> 01:34:59,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm actually still I wrote this last week in 2090 01:34:59,240 --> 01:35:01,680 Speaker 2: my main State matchups breakdown. I was like, I'm just 2091 01:35:01,720 --> 01:35:03,800 Speaker 2: off Jet receivers two week four. They played Tennessee wet 2092 01:35:03,920 --> 01:35:06,960 Speaker 2: next week, so I just giving them one more week 2093 01:35:07,040 --> 01:35:09,960 Speaker 2: off and then I'll see, you know, I'm hoping that 2094 01:35:10,040 --> 01:35:15,439 Speaker 2: their salaries just get o viscerated because of these tough matchups. 2095 01:35:15,479 --> 01:35:19,360 Speaker 1: So I'm actually gonna go with Melvin Gordon here. I 2096 01:35:19,479 --> 01:35:20,080 Speaker 1: know you liked them. 2097 01:35:20,160 --> 01:35:23,360 Speaker 2: Last week, his carry share in the backfield went up 2098 01:35:23,360 --> 01:35:24,639 Speaker 2: from forty four to fifty percent. 2099 01:35:25,160 --> 01:35:27,000 Speaker 1: His routes run per drop back went. 2100 01:35:26,920 --> 01:35:30,600 Speaker 2: Up from forty six to sixty one, and so he 2101 01:35:30,720 --> 01:35:33,080 Speaker 2: has had that slight edge and the Jets gave up 2102 01:35:34,520 --> 01:35:36,639 Speaker 2: or are giving up on defense. One hundred and sixty 2103 01:35:36,680 --> 01:35:39,880 Speaker 2: one and a half yards, thirty one carry touches per game, 2104 01:35:40,160 --> 01:35:42,680 Speaker 2: and a touchdown to running backs on average, and that's 2105 01:35:42,720 --> 01:35:45,000 Speaker 2: because it's so tough for them. In the passing game, 2106 01:35:45,040 --> 01:35:46,840 Speaker 2: there's gonna be They're gonna have a lot of three 2107 01:35:46,880 --> 01:35:49,120 Speaker 2: and outs, a lot of short drives, potentially even some 2108 01:35:49,240 --> 01:35:53,200 Speaker 2: short fields for Denver. So I think even though the 2109 01:35:53,280 --> 01:35:55,280 Speaker 2: Jets have historically been a little better on run defense, 2110 01:35:55,360 --> 01:35:56,040 Speaker 2: remember they're. 2111 01:35:56,200 --> 01:35:57,000 Speaker 1: They're banged up. 2112 01:35:58,240 --> 01:36:00,400 Speaker 2: I think that you're gonna see Melvin Gordon, even maybe 2113 01:36:00,479 --> 01:36:04,439 Speaker 2: Javonte Williams to have decent games just based on volume alone. 2114 01:36:04,520 --> 01:36:06,560 Speaker 2: Like I don't know if Teddy Bridgewater is gonna have 2115 01:36:06,640 --> 01:36:08,040 Speaker 2: to throw it around a lot. I know it worked 2116 01:36:08,040 --> 01:36:10,760 Speaker 2: out against Jacksonville, but you could always you could. You're 2117 01:36:10,760 --> 01:36:12,599 Speaker 2: in danger of like a one hundred and fifty yard 2118 01:36:12,680 --> 01:36:15,519 Speaker 2: game for Bridgewater and they still win by like twenty. 2119 01:36:15,800 --> 01:36:18,920 Speaker 2: So like Melvin Gordon this week, I think he's still cheap. 2120 01:36:18,800 --> 01:36:22,599 Speaker 1: Enough to invest. Let's go to Bucks Rams. 2121 01:36:23,400 --> 01:36:26,080 Speaker 2: My prop for you here is going to be I mean, 2122 01:36:26,320 --> 01:36:28,640 Speaker 2: week one overreaction, Antonio Brown might lead the Bucks and 2123 01:36:28,680 --> 01:36:32,120 Speaker 2: receiving yards. Week two overreaction, Antonio Brown might be washed 2124 01:36:34,120 --> 01:36:37,840 Speaker 2: just seventeen yards last week, tough defense could see some 2125 01:36:37,960 --> 01:36:39,960 Speaker 2: Jalen Ramsey. We don't know exactly, you know, how they're 2126 01:36:40,000 --> 01:36:43,920 Speaker 2: gonna play it, But where are you receiving yardage wise? 2127 01:36:43,960 --> 01:36:46,680 Speaker 2: For Brown who has been on the field only you know, 2128 01:36:47,000 --> 01:36:48,040 Speaker 2: about two thirds of the time. 2129 01:36:49,040 --> 01:36:51,639 Speaker 1: Oh, you think he's gonna see some j like decent 2130 01:36:51,680 --> 01:36:52,840 Speaker 1: amount Jalen Ramsey here. 2131 01:36:52,960 --> 01:36:54,920 Speaker 2: I mean he could be just because Jalen Ramsey is 2132 01:36:54,920 --> 01:36:58,040 Speaker 2: at like shadowing like you know number ones anymore, He's 2133 01:36:58,080 --> 01:36:59,040 Speaker 2: kind of moving them all around. 2134 01:36:59,080 --> 01:37:01,960 Speaker 1: So I don't think there's like like you can't rule 2135 01:37:02,000 --> 01:37:02,439 Speaker 1: it out. 2136 01:37:02,400 --> 01:37:06,040 Speaker 3: Of like, yeah, obviously it's too early that maybe we'll 2137 01:37:06,080 --> 01:37:09,040 Speaker 3: get more reporting on that, but right now, that's a 2138 01:37:09,080 --> 01:37:12,519 Speaker 3: good guy to talk about because he's really difficult to project. 2139 01:37:12,600 --> 01:37:15,759 Speaker 3: I was, I was like fifteen yards under his receiving 2140 01:37:15,880 --> 01:37:17,720 Speaker 3: prop last week, and I didn't touch it because it's 2141 01:37:17,800 --> 01:37:21,640 Speaker 3: just it's too scary because he could see you know, 2142 01:37:21,760 --> 01:37:25,240 Speaker 3: eighty yard eighty percent routes, run rate and crush these 2143 01:37:25,439 --> 01:37:28,920 Speaker 3: receiving prosts. But we saw him dipped to fifty five 2144 01:37:28,960 --> 01:37:31,879 Speaker 3: percent yep last week, so it's really hard to project 2145 01:37:31,960 --> 01:37:35,680 Speaker 3: him for anything over sixty yards. So I'm actually right 2146 01:37:35,720 --> 01:37:38,200 Speaker 3: now I'm projecting him for about fifty six and a 2147 01:37:38,200 --> 01:37:40,960 Speaker 3: half yards. But again, it's he just has a wide 2148 01:37:41,000 --> 01:37:43,080 Speaker 3: range of outcomes because if we see his playing time 2149 01:37:43,160 --> 01:37:43,559 Speaker 3: go up. 2150 01:37:43,640 --> 01:37:46,280 Speaker 1: You know he's going to crush this prop. But where 2151 01:37:46,360 --> 01:37:48,160 Speaker 1: where do you have him at right now? Yeah? About 2152 01:37:48,160 --> 01:37:49,880 Speaker 1: forty five? Oh shit? 2153 01:37:50,240 --> 01:37:53,479 Speaker 2: I mean because no, I mean, like, listen, he went 2154 01:37:53,560 --> 01:37:56,360 Speaker 2: from seventy two percent routes run in week winning and listen, 2155 01:37:56,439 --> 01:37:59,719 Speaker 2: that's against Dallas and then against the Falcons, which another 2156 01:37:59,760 --> 01:38:02,439 Speaker 2: bad pass defense, and but you know they kind of 2157 01:38:02,439 --> 01:38:03,800 Speaker 2: held Brady and check a little bit, but he was 2158 01:38:03,840 --> 01:38:07,760 Speaker 2: down a fifty three percent, and so he's averaging about yeah, 2159 01:38:07,760 --> 01:38:10,720 Speaker 2: he's averaging about right around sixty five percent. That's two 2160 01:38:10,760 --> 01:38:13,439 Speaker 2: thirds of the snaps and this is a good pass defense. 2161 01:38:13,520 --> 01:38:16,680 Speaker 2: Like Brady's baseline gets lowered in this matchup a little bit. 2162 01:38:16,800 --> 01:38:18,559 Speaker 2: You know, I know that's still a high total game, 2163 01:38:18,640 --> 01:38:21,559 Speaker 2: but like you were like seventeen yards lower last week. 2164 01:38:21,560 --> 01:38:23,160 Speaker 1: I don't think that was that crazy. 2165 01:38:23,240 --> 01:38:25,880 Speaker 2: I think it's just we can only project so much 2166 01:38:26,000 --> 01:38:28,080 Speaker 2: with given the usage that he has unless we're like 2167 01:38:28,240 --> 01:38:30,560 Speaker 2: manually kind of messing with it. 2168 01:38:30,680 --> 01:38:32,840 Speaker 1: So like I again, this is early week. I haven't 2169 01:38:32,880 --> 01:38:33,920 Speaker 1: manually messed with anything. 2170 01:38:33,960 --> 01:38:36,360 Speaker 2: Maybe he gets above fifty for me, but right now 2171 01:38:36,400 --> 01:38:39,760 Speaker 2: he's my wide receiver forty Three's just not running enough routes. 2172 01:38:40,880 --> 01:38:42,680 Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, I have him right around there like 2173 01:38:42,720 --> 01:38:43,639 Speaker 1: wide receiver forty. 2174 01:38:43,720 --> 01:38:47,120 Speaker 3: I think he's he's definitely not washed, Like whenever he 2175 01:38:47,240 --> 01:38:49,920 Speaker 3: is on ice field, he looks great, so I think 2176 01:38:49,960 --> 01:38:51,280 Speaker 3: that the washed talk. 2177 01:38:51,240 --> 01:38:57,640 Speaker 1: Is but yeah, sorry, sorry, Master Freeman. He's just not 2178 01:38:57,760 --> 01:38:58,240 Speaker 1: on the field. 2179 01:38:58,280 --> 01:39:00,400 Speaker 3: It's really hard to produce when you're not on field, 2180 01:39:00,479 --> 01:39:02,240 Speaker 3: So I don't know what that's all about. We saw 2181 01:39:02,320 --> 01:39:06,160 Speaker 3: Scottie Miller and Tyler Johnson see at uptick in usage. 2182 01:39:06,200 --> 01:39:09,559 Speaker 3: Maybe that was just a one game thing because they 2183 01:39:09,600 --> 01:39:12,240 Speaker 3: were in control of the game. So yeah, he's he's 2184 01:39:12,360 --> 01:39:14,200 Speaker 3: difficult to project because I still think he has a 2185 01:39:14,280 --> 01:39:15,960 Speaker 3: wide y range of outcomes right now. 2186 01:39:16,280 --> 01:39:18,840 Speaker 2: And he was Brady's guy in that last matchup against 2187 01:39:18,840 --> 01:39:22,040 Speaker 2: the Rams, but they lost that game, so yeah, you 2188 01:39:22,120 --> 01:39:24,400 Speaker 2: know what I mean, when they win, I like to 2189 01:39:24,479 --> 01:39:25,840 Speaker 2: look at it a little more because I'm like, okay, 2190 01:39:25,880 --> 01:39:27,760 Speaker 2: they had success, he and they might you know, try 2191 01:39:27,840 --> 01:39:30,080 Speaker 2: to do it, you think, yeah, but like it was 2192 01:39:30,120 --> 01:39:32,400 Speaker 2: just Brady was like going underneath the brown too much 2193 01:39:32,439 --> 01:39:35,439 Speaker 2: and it just it wasn't I don't know. The offense 2194 01:39:35,479 --> 01:39:37,160 Speaker 2: is kind of was stagnant in that game. I think 2195 01:39:37,200 --> 01:39:40,160 Speaker 2: they will adjust. So that's why he's Yeah, he's a 2196 01:39:40,200 --> 01:39:42,040 Speaker 2: really hard guy to project. Like maybe I end up 2197 01:39:42,040 --> 01:39:44,679 Speaker 2: with him closer to fifty to fifty five, but right now, yeah, 2198 01:39:44,680 --> 01:39:47,960 Speaker 2: I'm not there with the with the usage. 2199 01:39:48,439 --> 01:39:50,960 Speaker 1: Who is your cheak code for box rams? 2200 01:39:51,920 --> 01:39:54,160 Speaker 3: I mean, he let me down last week really bad 2201 01:39:54,640 --> 01:39:57,840 Speaker 3: that I have to stick with him. I'm sticking with 2202 01:39:57,960 --> 01:40:00,640 Speaker 3: Tyler Higby this week. I think he's gonna bounce after 2203 01:40:00,760 --> 01:40:04,280 Speaker 3: that dreadful one catch freight yard game. I know you 2204 01:40:04,439 --> 01:40:07,080 Speaker 3: like Cooper Cup. I love Cooper Cup. He's my wide 2205 01:40:07,120 --> 01:40:08,040 Speaker 3: receiver three right now? 2206 01:40:08,200 --> 01:40:09,080 Speaker 1: What please? 2207 01:40:09,280 --> 01:40:13,519 Speaker 2: He's my wide receiver two. Oh okay, well, let's let's 2208 01:40:13,560 --> 01:40:18,719 Speaker 2: save the Cooper Cup love for you. But I expect 2209 01:40:18,760 --> 01:40:20,519 Speaker 2: Cooper Cup to keep it up. But there's no way 2210 01:40:20,560 --> 01:40:23,000 Speaker 2: he's going to maintain that thirty four percent target rate. 2211 01:40:23,280 --> 01:40:25,720 Speaker 2: Those are gonna have to go somewhere and I think 2212 01:40:25,800 --> 01:40:28,840 Speaker 2: Higbee will be the guy that kind of benefits near 2213 01:40:29,040 --> 01:40:32,920 Speaker 2: term when they start double teaming Cooper Cupp or whatever 2214 01:40:33,000 --> 01:40:35,439 Speaker 2: they have to do to break up this Cooper Cup 2215 01:40:35,520 --> 01:40:36,639 Speaker 2: Matthew Stafford connection. 2216 01:40:37,280 --> 01:40:39,880 Speaker 3: I just think Higby you called it last week. Maybe 2217 01:40:39,920 --> 01:40:42,160 Speaker 3: it had to do with the scheme, who knows, but 2218 01:40:42,360 --> 01:40:44,200 Speaker 3: he's due to break out. He's still running a ton 2219 01:40:44,280 --> 01:40:47,320 Speaker 3: of routes. And you know, I was watching the game. 2220 01:40:47,320 --> 01:40:50,240 Speaker 3: There's some times where Stafford Higbee was open and he 2221 01:40:50,320 --> 01:40:52,479 Speaker 3: decided to pull it down and run for some reason. 2222 01:40:52,880 --> 01:40:55,519 Speaker 3: So I just think Higby, this is this. This happens 2223 01:40:55,560 --> 01:40:58,120 Speaker 3: with tight ends. They could be inconsistent. So I'm gonna 2224 01:40:58,120 --> 01:41:00,280 Speaker 3: stick with him this week. Tyler Higby is my cheat 2225 01:41:00,320 --> 01:41:01,040 Speaker 3: code for this game. 2226 01:41:02,720 --> 01:41:04,719 Speaker 1: Yeah, I wouldn't be surprised to see a rebound. 2227 01:41:05,280 --> 01:41:10,640 Speaker 2: Tampa Bay is allowing ten point zero schedule Let me 2228 01:41:10,680 --> 01:41:13,599 Speaker 2: say again, Tampa Bay is allowing ten schedule adjusted targets 2229 01:41:13,640 --> 01:41:15,880 Speaker 2: per game to tight ends through two weeks, according to 2230 01:41:15,880 --> 01:41:19,320 Speaker 2: Football Outsiders, So you know earlier in the year, can't 2231 01:41:19,439 --> 01:41:22,599 Speaker 2: put too much into that, but Tampa Bay can score points. 2232 01:41:22,680 --> 01:41:24,280 Speaker 2: So a lot of times you end up, you know, 2233 01:41:24,520 --> 01:41:26,000 Speaker 2: kind of throwing to your tight end. 2234 01:41:26,040 --> 01:41:29,280 Speaker 1: To get down the field quickly. I could see a rebound. 2235 01:41:29,439 --> 01:41:30,920 Speaker 2: The only thing that worries me a little is that 2236 01:41:31,040 --> 01:41:34,080 Speaker 2: this is another like single high, you know, middle of 2237 01:41:34,080 --> 01:41:36,840 Speaker 2: the field closed defense, which again, like it was like, 2238 01:41:37,640 --> 01:41:39,760 Speaker 2: it's not that Higby can't get open, it's just that 2239 01:41:39,840 --> 01:41:42,120 Speaker 2: I feel like coming into the game, maybe the scheme wise, 2240 01:41:42,120 --> 01:41:44,320 Speaker 2: they're like, all right, Stafford, you know, these are the 2241 01:41:44,360 --> 01:41:47,920 Speaker 2: guys you're looking for, and and against you know, cover two, 2242 01:41:48,360 --> 01:41:50,479 Speaker 2: it's the tight end. Maybe against you know, single high, 2243 01:41:50,479 --> 01:41:53,120 Speaker 2: it's just something different. So it's still I mean, he's 2244 01:41:53,120 --> 01:41:55,400 Speaker 2: still in my top like seven. I think he's still 2245 01:41:55,400 --> 01:41:56,960 Speaker 2: like my ten and six or seven, so he's right 2246 01:41:57,000 --> 01:41:59,719 Speaker 2: there the route. So the usage went down a little 2247 01:41:59,760 --> 01:42:03,160 Speaker 2: but still great. But I am I am curious, like 2248 01:42:03,240 --> 01:42:05,360 Speaker 2: I just I'm still not I don't feel like I 2249 01:42:05,439 --> 01:42:08,680 Speaker 2: have my head around Higby yet because it's not like 2250 01:42:08,760 --> 01:42:11,560 Speaker 2: it's obviously wasn't as consistent as it has been with 2251 01:42:12,040 --> 01:42:14,960 Speaker 2: GoF that like five six game stretch. But yeah, I 2252 01:42:15,000 --> 01:42:17,200 Speaker 2: think I think I love it as a bylow because 2253 01:42:17,560 --> 01:42:19,760 Speaker 2: everyone's going to be off of him. He's still cheap 2254 01:42:20,040 --> 01:42:22,599 Speaker 2: and he still has that like ninety plus percent upside 2255 01:42:23,439 --> 01:42:25,400 Speaker 2: and it's gonna be like, I think Schultz and Jarwin 2256 01:42:25,439 --> 01:42:27,400 Speaker 2: had what like combined ten catches in weeks? 2257 01:42:27,479 --> 01:42:30,280 Speaker 1: Yes they did, yes, so, and Higgy's played every. 2258 01:42:30,200 --> 01:42:33,240 Speaker 2: Snap, so I do like it from that perspective, But 2259 01:42:33,960 --> 01:42:37,120 Speaker 2: from a rankings perspective, I'm still kind of like, like, 2260 01:42:37,320 --> 01:42:39,200 Speaker 2: do I rank him above Mark Andrews, Like. 2261 01:42:39,200 --> 01:42:39,640 Speaker 1: You know what I mean? 2262 01:42:39,680 --> 01:42:41,800 Speaker 3: It's like no, and I have them tight end seven, 2263 01:42:41,880 --> 01:42:43,640 Speaker 3: But like you said, the market's probably off of I 2264 01:42:43,720 --> 01:42:46,960 Speaker 3: still consider him a top seven quarterback. So it's another 2265 01:42:47,040 --> 01:42:48,639 Speaker 3: by I thought it was by low after the five 2266 01:42:48,760 --> 01:42:52,160 Speaker 3: catch sixty sixty eight yard game, but this is even 2267 01:42:52,200 --> 01:42:54,160 Speaker 3: more of a bilo because he only had one catch. 2268 01:42:54,280 --> 01:42:58,720 Speaker 3: So yeah, he's he's my tight end seven. I'm going 2269 01:42:58,760 --> 01:43:00,200 Speaker 3: Cooper Cup because he. 2270 01:43:00,400 --> 01:43:04,440 Speaker 2: Is a top three wide receiver and he's priced ridiculous, 2271 01:43:04,439 --> 01:43:07,080 Speaker 2: Like he's priced under seven K on most DFS site, 2272 01:43:07,160 --> 01:43:09,600 Speaker 2: so ridiculous, you know. 2273 01:43:10,479 --> 01:43:11,280 Speaker 1: Like I can't. 2274 01:43:11,560 --> 01:43:14,000 Speaker 2: He's averaging eight and a half catches, one hundred and 2275 01:43:14,000 --> 01:43:16,120 Speaker 2: thirty six yards and one and a half touchdowns per 2276 01:43:16,160 --> 01:43:18,320 Speaker 2: game on ten and a half targets through two games, 2277 01:43:18,479 --> 01:43:21,280 Speaker 2: and he is that good and he's he's this guy 2278 01:43:21,360 --> 01:43:22,800 Speaker 2: that you can move around to the slot. So it's 2279 01:43:22,800 --> 01:43:25,680 Speaker 2: not like you could just completely take him away. And 2280 01:43:25,800 --> 01:43:29,880 Speaker 2: you're playing the Buccaneers, who how we will put up 2281 01:43:29,880 --> 01:43:31,680 Speaker 2: more points on the rams D than most teams this year, 2282 01:43:31,760 --> 01:43:34,400 Speaker 2: So I think we're still going rive with Cooper Cup. 2283 01:43:34,880 --> 01:43:37,880 Speaker 2: Good to see Robert Woods routes come back to the norm. 2284 01:43:38,720 --> 01:43:40,760 Speaker 2: Not so good because he went one a half yard 2285 01:43:40,840 --> 01:43:44,759 Speaker 2: over my under sixty three and a half five. Sorry, sorry, guys, 2286 01:43:44,920 --> 01:43:46,360 Speaker 2: I think it was the right way. You had to 2287 01:43:46,439 --> 01:43:48,680 Speaker 2: kind of wait, you know, test that out early, but 2288 01:43:49,280 --> 01:43:52,840 Speaker 2: you know it'll happen sometimes. But good to see Van Jefferson. Also, 2289 01:43:53,479 --> 01:43:56,240 Speaker 2: every down player, don't sleep on him. But it's got 2290 01:43:56,400 --> 01:43:58,400 Speaker 2: to be cut here, all right, let's uh, we got 2291 01:43:58,439 --> 01:44:00,920 Speaker 2: three hold on just real quick because this is important. 2292 01:44:01,000 --> 01:44:04,680 Speaker 2: You have Cooper Cup wide receiver two. And who's he 2293 01:44:04,760 --> 01:44:09,360 Speaker 2: ranked over Davante Adams or Tyreek Hill? Okay, fair enough 2294 01:44:11,080 --> 01:44:13,920 Speaker 2: too for a bit, Like and I said we have 2295 01:44:14,000 --> 01:44:15,960 Speaker 2: to have a pack this week. Yep, either one of 2296 01:44:16,040 --> 01:44:18,000 Speaker 2: us is allowed to rank Cooper Cup outside of the 2297 01:44:18,080 --> 01:44:20,680 Speaker 2: top three. So I'm sticking true to my word. He's 2298 01:44:20,960 --> 01:44:24,719 Speaker 2: he's wide receiver three, but you could make a case 2299 01:44:25,479 --> 01:44:27,599 Speaker 2: for wide receiver one. Yeah, Like if you look at 2300 01:44:27,600 --> 01:44:30,960 Speaker 2: the underlying data. Yeah, and not factor in as much 2301 01:44:31,000 --> 01:44:34,160 Speaker 2: regression as I am right now, like easily wide receiver one. 2302 01:44:34,439 --> 01:44:37,759 Speaker 2: So yeah, and you know again it's like I gotta, 2303 01:44:37,920 --> 01:44:40,320 Speaker 2: you know, look a little closer all three matchups and 2304 01:44:40,360 --> 01:44:43,200 Speaker 2: he may end up my wide receiver one. Obviously, just 2305 01:44:43,600 --> 01:44:46,280 Speaker 2: can't go wrong either of them. But in DFS, I 2306 01:44:46,360 --> 01:44:50,559 Speaker 2: mean his price tag, Yeah, free money first, free square, 2307 01:44:50,600 --> 01:44:53,320 Speaker 2: I should say, all right, let's go quick. 2308 01:44:53,360 --> 01:44:57,120 Speaker 1: We got three more games Seahawks Vikings. Uh, you know 2309 01:44:57,200 --> 01:44:58,200 Speaker 1: where I'm going with this player? 2310 01:44:58,479 --> 01:45:03,240 Speaker 2: A j Osborne baby kJ taking control of that number 2311 01:45:03,280 --> 01:45:07,160 Speaker 2: three target job over Conklin, over Smith Mars set over 2312 01:45:07,600 --> 01:45:08,280 Speaker 2: Dedee Westbrook. 2313 01:45:08,320 --> 01:45:09,599 Speaker 1: I don't think that was much of a contest. 2314 01:45:09,640 --> 01:45:13,080 Speaker 2: But kJ Osborne has been showing out two weeks in 2315 01:45:13,120 --> 01:45:14,960 Speaker 2: a row now, so I'm curious to where you have 2316 01:45:15,080 --> 01:45:16,080 Speaker 2: his receiving yard. 2317 01:45:16,680 --> 01:45:18,439 Speaker 3: He's he's got to be the new Jeo Bernard, right. 2318 01:45:18,479 --> 01:45:21,400 Speaker 3: I think we've mentioned kJ Osborne on every pod for 2319 01:45:21,479 --> 01:45:24,600 Speaker 3: the last ten pods. So yeah, we've been kind of 2320 01:45:24,680 --> 01:45:26,240 Speaker 3: on this, Not that we were saying he's going to 2321 01:45:26,280 --> 01:45:28,040 Speaker 3: be great or anything, but we've kind of been on 2322 01:45:28,240 --> 01:45:30,960 Speaker 3: him as kind of like a flyer. But he has 2323 01:45:31,000 --> 01:45:33,599 Speaker 3: one hundred percent catch rate seven point seven a dot. 2324 01:45:34,040 --> 01:45:36,160 Speaker 3: I think he's gonna come down to earth a little 2325 01:45:36,200 --> 01:45:38,280 Speaker 3: bit here. I think, you know, defenses aren't used to 2326 01:45:38,360 --> 01:45:41,680 Speaker 3: having the number three receiver in this offense being a thing. 2327 01:45:41,880 --> 01:45:44,960 Speaker 3: So I'm projecting him closer to forty four and a 2328 01:45:45,000 --> 01:45:45,639 Speaker 3: half yards. 2329 01:45:45,960 --> 01:45:48,280 Speaker 1: Where do you have him? Okay, yeah, I'm right in 2330 01:45:48,360 --> 01:45:48,720 Speaker 1: that range. 2331 01:45:48,760 --> 01:45:50,920 Speaker 2: I have my NNI is fifty two, so median we 2332 01:45:50,960 --> 01:45:54,800 Speaker 2: about forty seven right line there, yeapah, right in line. Yeah, 2333 01:45:55,520 --> 01:45:57,640 Speaker 2: And I'm going to shout out to Kirk Cousins. I 2334 01:45:57,720 --> 01:45:59,320 Speaker 2: think you know, he's played well when he's had to. 2335 01:46:00,439 --> 01:46:02,439 Speaker 2: This Mike's offense is actually pretty explosive. 2336 01:46:02,479 --> 01:46:04,559 Speaker 1: And one of the things that works in Osborne's favor 2337 01:46:05,360 --> 01:46:08,760 Speaker 1: is that you do have Justin Jefferson and Adam Seewhen. 2338 01:46:08,520 --> 01:46:10,880 Speaker 2: And that's got to be the focus of the defense. 2339 01:46:11,560 --> 01:46:13,200 Speaker 2: And when it's not, it's got to be Davin Cook. 2340 01:46:13,479 --> 01:46:18,040 Speaker 2: So can Osbourne keep this up? Like probably, like he'll 2341 01:46:18,120 --> 01:46:20,439 Speaker 2: probably be one of those guys that you're never really 2342 01:46:20,520 --> 01:46:22,479 Speaker 2: thinking about that like has a decent game. 2343 01:46:23,439 --> 01:46:24,720 Speaker 1: It won't be splashy with a. 2344 01:46:24,720 --> 01:46:27,160 Speaker 2: Long touchdown every week, but will he get like three, 2345 01:46:27,240 --> 01:46:31,120 Speaker 2: four or five catches on a weekly basis, probably so. 2346 01:46:32,000 --> 01:46:35,680 Speaker 1: I like him. He's probably the biggest beneficiary of the 2347 01:46:36,000 --> 01:46:37,920 Speaker 1: IRV smith. Yeah, yeah, injury. 2348 01:46:38,000 --> 01:46:39,800 Speaker 2: And when I kind of said it like tongue in cheek, 2349 01:46:39,880 --> 01:46:42,080 Speaker 2: like just joking like, oh, it's gonna be kJ Osborne. 2350 01:46:42,080 --> 01:46:44,160 Speaker 2: But just because that was like the guy that was 2351 01:46:45,000 --> 01:46:47,559 Speaker 2: reportedly winning that job, which was surprising to me because 2352 01:46:47,560 --> 01:46:50,880 Speaker 2: he was like a special team's only guy. Yeah, but yeah, 2353 01:46:50,920 --> 01:46:53,599 Speaker 2: I mean shots to kJ Osborne. Who's your cheek coat? 2354 01:46:54,320 --> 01:46:58,639 Speaker 3: DK metcalf another guy that you know he's been held 2355 01:46:58,680 --> 01:47:02,280 Speaker 3: in check for the first Cup games here, Tyler Lockett 2356 01:47:02,280 --> 01:47:05,160 Speaker 3: is just going ham. I have these guys ranked wide 2357 01:47:05,200 --> 01:47:06,760 Speaker 3: receiver four and wide receiver five. 2358 01:47:06,840 --> 01:47:07,200 Speaker 1: This week. 2359 01:47:07,600 --> 01:47:09,639 Speaker 3: I think Lockett might be a little bit more popular 2360 01:47:09,680 --> 01:47:12,160 Speaker 3: this week. He's slightly more expensive. So this is the 2361 01:47:12,280 --> 01:47:16,200 Speaker 3: time where I'm buying low on DK metcalfe. It would 2362 01:47:16,240 --> 01:47:18,639 Speaker 3: not surprise me if he just has a Monster game. 2363 01:47:18,720 --> 01:47:20,400 Speaker 3: These are the times where I do like to have 2364 01:47:21,080 --> 01:47:24,960 Speaker 3: a little bit more invested in DK Metcalf just because 2365 01:47:24,960 --> 01:47:27,679 Speaker 3: I think, you know, just Monster game incoming. 2366 01:47:27,880 --> 01:47:29,240 Speaker 1: So it's DK metcalf for me. 2367 01:47:30,000 --> 01:47:32,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, And I love this salary drop and buying guys 2368 01:47:32,280 --> 01:47:34,000 Speaker 2: like this, like guys that we I mean he has 2369 01:47:34,040 --> 01:47:35,519 Speaker 2: wide receiver one overall upside. 2370 01:47:35,800 --> 01:47:39,599 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, are you concerned at all about the knee? 2371 01:47:39,920 --> 01:47:42,800 Speaker 2: I heard Pete Carroll say that Metcalf has been dealing 2372 01:47:42,880 --> 01:47:46,120 Speaker 2: with with knee soreness, and he's been like that's why 2373 01:47:46,160 --> 01:47:48,360 Speaker 2: he was like a little gimpy in the Hit Titans game. 2374 01:47:48,800 --> 01:47:50,800 Speaker 1: Uh do we think that's just kind of like I 2375 01:47:50,840 --> 01:47:54,360 Speaker 1: mean he played, Yeah, that's cut. Bigger body receivers typically 2376 01:47:54,439 --> 01:47:57,160 Speaker 1: go through that like Hula Jones is constantly playing banged 2377 01:47:57,240 --> 01:47:58,920 Speaker 1: up and putting up massive numbers. 2378 01:48:00,000 --> 01:48:02,879 Speaker 2: All right, Two more games Sunday night Football, Packers Niners 2379 01:48:03,120 --> 01:48:07,280 Speaker 2: prop Deebo Samuel another big game last week, so Prize 2380 01:48:07,280 --> 01:48:09,160 Speaker 2: Picks has him at sixty eight and a half receiving yards. 2381 01:48:09,160 --> 01:48:10,519 Speaker 1: You're going over or under. 2382 01:48:11,160 --> 01:48:13,280 Speaker 3: I'm probably staying away from this because I'm right in 2383 01:48:13,400 --> 01:48:16,320 Speaker 3: line right now. He's the alpha receiver in this offense 2384 01:48:16,439 --> 01:48:19,920 Speaker 3: until Brandon, I you know, gets his zach together. So 2385 01:48:20,320 --> 01:48:22,000 Speaker 3: it's going to be interesting to see. And I don't 2386 01:48:22,000 --> 01:48:24,160 Speaker 3: know how much of Jyry Alexander he's going to see. 2387 01:48:24,800 --> 01:48:26,280 Speaker 3: Deebo is the kind of guy that they can move 2388 01:48:26,320 --> 01:48:29,200 Speaker 3: around the formation and find mismatches. So I'm I'm probably 2389 01:48:29,200 --> 01:48:32,160 Speaker 3: staying away from this because I'm projecting him right here 2390 01:48:32,200 --> 01:48:33,040 Speaker 3: at sixty eight yards. 2391 01:48:33,240 --> 01:48:35,040 Speaker 1: Okay, so how about another of one? 2392 01:48:35,320 --> 01:48:40,320 Speaker 2: Okay, sixty eight and a half Deebo Samuel yards or 2393 01:48:40,600 --> 01:48:42,880 Speaker 2: percentage of routes run by Brandon Ayuk. 2394 01:48:44,760 --> 01:48:48,200 Speaker 1: Ooh, so I'm projecting Ayuk for sixty five percent, so 2395 01:48:48,280 --> 01:48:50,840 Speaker 1: i'll go under. That's a good one though. 2396 01:48:50,880 --> 01:48:54,000 Speaker 3: That's a good line. And his target share it's five 2397 01:48:54,080 --> 01:48:57,880 Speaker 3: point nine percent. That might be the lowest. His target 2398 01:48:58,000 --> 01:49:00,720 Speaker 3: chair is a crying emoji. It really is like, even 2399 01:49:00,760 --> 01:49:02,799 Speaker 3: when he's playing, he's not sitting targets. 2400 01:49:02,800 --> 01:49:03,840 Speaker 1: So that's not good. 2401 01:49:04,240 --> 01:49:06,560 Speaker 2: You know how you have the in our spreadsheets, you 2402 01:49:06,640 --> 01:49:09,560 Speaker 2: have like the Sean for everyone listening. Sean has like 2403 01:49:09,640 --> 01:49:13,759 Speaker 2: these like very fancy team logos for every like selling 2404 01:49:13,840 --> 01:49:14,440 Speaker 2: his spreadsheet. 2405 01:49:14,479 --> 01:49:15,880 Speaker 1: It's like a for the nineers. It will be like 2406 01:49:15,920 --> 01:49:18,280 Speaker 1: a golden and it's very fresh. 2407 01:49:18,800 --> 01:49:23,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, so it's fresh, right, So for Brandon Ayuk, I 2408 01:49:23,160 --> 01:49:24,920 Speaker 2: just need for all the point ohs to just be 2409 01:49:25,000 --> 01:49:28,000 Speaker 2: the Jordan crying emoji instead of yeah. 2410 01:49:29,520 --> 01:49:30,040 Speaker 1: Absolutely. 2411 01:49:30,160 --> 01:49:33,760 Speaker 3: I need you to notice my hat this in honor 2412 01:49:33,880 --> 01:49:38,680 Speaker 3: of Shanahannigan's I'm wearing a furn airs hat today and 2413 01:49:39,360 --> 01:49:39,800 Speaker 3: is part of that. 2414 01:49:40,960 --> 01:49:42,960 Speaker 2: And I think we have to actually, we can't even 2415 01:49:43,040 --> 01:49:44,519 Speaker 2: rush through this matchup because we have to talk about 2416 01:49:44,520 --> 01:49:45,559 Speaker 2: the running backs really quick. 2417 01:49:45,840 --> 01:49:46,679 Speaker 1: Everyone got hurt. 2418 01:49:47,040 --> 01:49:49,719 Speaker 2: When I say everyone, I mean Isia Mitchell, Trey Sermon, 2419 01:49:50,479 --> 01:49:55,599 Speaker 2: and Jamichael Hasty. Trenton Cannon was active but didn't play 2420 01:49:55,880 --> 01:49:59,080 Speaker 2: they instead Mitchell came back in, So that mean Hasty 2421 01:49:59,160 --> 01:50:02,080 Speaker 2: is going to be out. Definitely, Sermon's in the protocol 2422 01:50:03,280 --> 01:50:06,200 Speaker 2: they're working out. Duke Johnson, Lamar Miller and t J. 2423 01:50:06,360 --> 01:50:11,400 Speaker 1: Yeldon. What in the entire fuck do we do with 2424 01:50:11,520 --> 01:50:15,400 Speaker 1: the sny Er backfield? If anything? Do nothing? Right now? 2425 01:50:15,439 --> 01:50:17,840 Speaker 3: I think Elijah Mitchell will be the back again this week. 2426 01:50:18,640 --> 01:50:21,640 Speaker 3: Did you mention Jacques Patrick apparently the. 2427 01:50:22,400 --> 01:50:24,880 Speaker 1: XFL guy who's on the Bengals, Okay, right now? 2428 01:50:25,080 --> 01:50:29,479 Speaker 3: I always, I always say the best forty nine ers 2429 01:50:29,560 --> 01:50:31,439 Speaker 3: running back is the one that nobody talks about. I 2430 01:50:31,479 --> 01:50:34,160 Speaker 3: haven't heard anybody talk about jiff past Patrick this week, 2431 01:50:34,560 --> 01:50:36,600 Speaker 3: so it would not surprise me if he ends up 2432 01:50:37,560 --> 01:50:37,960 Speaker 3: leading this. 2433 01:50:38,040 --> 01:50:38,760 Speaker 1: Backfield this week. 2434 01:50:38,800 --> 01:50:42,120 Speaker 3: But no, I think Hasty being out kind of narrows 2435 01:50:42,160 --> 01:50:44,880 Speaker 3: down the carry share. I don't know if Sermon's gonna 2436 01:50:44,880 --> 01:50:47,400 Speaker 3: be able to suit up consiency concussion. So I think 2437 01:50:47,439 --> 01:50:50,360 Speaker 3: it's another Elijah Mitchell week this week. He already played 2438 01:50:50,360 --> 01:50:52,840 Speaker 3: through the shoulder injury in Week two, so I think 2439 01:50:52,960 --> 01:50:55,479 Speaker 3: I think it makes a better case for Elijah Mitchell 2440 01:50:55,560 --> 01:50:55,840 Speaker 3: this week. 2441 01:50:55,880 --> 01:50:57,479 Speaker 1: Honestly, honestly, yeah. 2442 01:50:57,439 --> 01:51:00,200 Speaker 2: This is and I might regret saying this, but this 2443 01:51:00,360 --> 01:51:02,160 Speaker 2: is the by Low and Elijah mentioned like last week 2444 01:51:02,280 --> 01:51:04,240 Speaker 2: was the fade against that tough Philly front in a 2445 01:51:04,320 --> 01:51:07,200 Speaker 2: game that we had under by like an extra field 2446 01:51:07,280 --> 01:51:10,479 Speaker 2: goal over the mark. Yes, for this is like okay, 2447 01:51:10,720 --> 01:51:15,120 Speaker 2: showdown slate, Uh, lock him in captain spot. 2448 01:51:16,040 --> 01:51:18,360 Speaker 1: But that being said, my chief cos is still going 2449 01:51:18,400 --> 01:51:19,400 Speaker 1: to be kittle here. 2450 01:51:19,840 --> 01:51:22,240 Speaker 2: He started slow, So I like buying low green Bay 2451 01:51:22,280 --> 01:51:24,519 Speaker 2: seven catches per game, fifty three yards per game, and 2452 01:51:24,560 --> 01:51:26,280 Speaker 2: a touchdown and a half per game to tight ends. 2453 01:51:26,960 --> 01:51:29,000 Speaker 2: Uh this you know, this is a new defense with 2454 01:51:29,120 --> 01:51:32,400 Speaker 2: Joe Barry and they've had trouble end week two. 2455 01:51:32,560 --> 01:51:35,439 Speaker 1: Hockinson. I think it's gonna have a good game. 2456 01:51:35,479 --> 01:51:38,320 Speaker 2: I think he's finally gonna get, uh you know, get 2457 01:51:38,360 --> 01:51:39,680 Speaker 2: to where we expect him to be in terms of 2458 01:51:39,720 --> 01:51:40,479 Speaker 2: those tight end ranks. 2459 01:51:40,680 --> 01:51:44,240 Speaker 3: What about you, my cheek coade. I'm going back to 2460 01:51:44,280 --> 01:51:46,200 Speaker 3: the well with MVS here. I think I was a 2461 01:51:46,280 --> 01:51:50,960 Speaker 3: week early on Valdez Scantling. I actually ended up having 2462 01:51:51,040 --> 01:51:52,560 Speaker 3: the under three and a half receptions. 2463 01:51:52,600 --> 01:51:53,280 Speaker 1: He's he's a guy. 2464 01:51:53,320 --> 01:51:55,439 Speaker 3: I always say he has a wide range of outcomes. 2465 01:51:56,240 --> 01:51:59,360 Speaker 3: Last week was his four zero catches. This week could 2466 01:51:59,400 --> 01:52:02,320 Speaker 3: be his sealing. He's seeing a ton of playing time. 2467 01:52:02,760 --> 01:52:07,240 Speaker 3: He's the number two receiver in this offense. And Aaron 2468 01:52:07,320 --> 01:52:10,479 Speaker 3: Rodgers missed him on a touchdown throw near the goal line, 2469 01:52:11,120 --> 01:52:14,040 Speaker 3: missed him on a deep ball. And I'm an expert 2470 01:52:14,080 --> 01:52:17,360 Speaker 3: at reading Aaron Rodgers facial expressions. I remember all the 2471 01:52:17,400 --> 01:52:20,000 Speaker 3: time whenever he would target Jimmy Graham and Jimmy Grahm 2472 01:52:20,040 --> 01:52:22,639 Speaker 3: wouldn't be able to catch up. The look in Aaron 2473 01:52:22,720 --> 01:52:25,080 Speaker 3: Rodgers face was, why the hell did you sign this 2474 01:52:25,160 --> 01:52:28,960 Speaker 3: old guy? Get me somebody younger to throw the ball to. 2475 01:52:29,439 --> 01:52:31,720 Speaker 3: And I think on that deep ball where the ball 2476 01:52:32,200 --> 01:52:34,599 Speaker 3: to Valdez Scantling, it hit the cornerback's helmet. 2477 01:52:35,760 --> 01:52:38,400 Speaker 1: The look on Rogers face was, damn it. 2478 01:52:38,520 --> 01:52:40,599 Speaker 3: If I didn't underthrow him there, that was a touchdown. 2479 01:52:40,680 --> 01:52:44,439 Speaker 3: So I think that Rogers blames himself on some of 2480 01:52:44,479 --> 01:52:47,120 Speaker 3: those drops with Scantling. So I think he's gonna make 2481 01:52:47,200 --> 01:52:49,840 Speaker 3: up for it this week. You know a lot of 2482 01:52:49,920 --> 01:52:51,800 Speaker 3: cornerback issues right now in the forty nine ers. It 2483 01:52:51,800 --> 01:52:54,920 Speaker 3: would not surprise me if MBS has a ceiling game 2484 01:52:55,000 --> 01:52:57,639 Speaker 3: here and the market's going to overlook him because he's 2485 01:52:57,760 --> 01:52:59,800 Speaker 3: had a rough start of the season. So I'm going 2486 01:52:59,840 --> 01:53:01,439 Speaker 3: back the wall here MBS for me. 2487 01:53:02,280 --> 01:53:05,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, and and remember Packageers ran out the clock and 2488 01:53:05,479 --> 01:53:07,560 Speaker 2: they Rogers tried to throw a deep ball touchdown and 2489 01:53:07,600 --> 01:53:11,120 Speaker 2: bowed the scantling on third and two. Like that was 2490 01:53:11,400 --> 01:53:13,519 Speaker 2: one that made me think, like, Okay, he's trying to 2491 01:53:13,560 --> 01:53:16,000 Speaker 2: get that because you saw them get Equanimius st Brown 2492 01:53:16,040 --> 01:53:18,599 Speaker 2: a catch just so he had a catch against his bobum. Yeah, 2493 01:53:19,160 --> 01:53:21,280 Speaker 2: and and and Wizard didn't get one, but they got 2494 01:53:21,400 --> 01:53:24,800 Speaker 2: they they literally, uh Equinimius came in for one route, 2495 01:53:25,680 --> 01:53:26,840 Speaker 2: got a zero yard. 2496 01:53:26,920 --> 01:53:28,639 Speaker 1: He has one catch for zero yard zero ar screen 2497 01:53:28,680 --> 01:53:30,200 Speaker 1: back Rogers was it was like he was on a 2498 01:53:30,720 --> 01:53:33,920 Speaker 1: It was like he was it was like he was 2499 01:53:33,960 --> 01:53:35,400 Speaker 1: on a goal line. It was just like a quick 2500 01:53:35,479 --> 01:53:38,719 Speaker 1: pass boom. So like he's gonna get Valdez scantling. 2501 01:53:38,840 --> 01:53:42,840 Speaker 2: And remember the guy playing well for San Francisco given 2502 01:53:42,840 --> 01:53:46,160 Speaker 2: their cornerback situation, is Diamedoor Leonore I believe we saw 2503 01:53:46,200 --> 01:53:48,960 Speaker 2: in preseason playing well as well. But he gave up 2504 01:53:49,000 --> 01:53:52,160 Speaker 2: a ninety one yard catch tots on the same side 2505 01:53:52,200 --> 01:53:55,559 Speaker 2: of the field that Valdez Scantling usually goes deep, so. 2506 01:53:55,720 --> 01:53:58,960 Speaker 3: It looked exactly like the route that MVS runs and 2507 01:53:59,320 --> 01:54:02,920 Speaker 3: he let it go for a long catch. Wasn't a touchdown, right, 2508 01:54:02,960 --> 01:54:06,799 Speaker 3: ninety one yard got stop short, But yeah, Della Scantling 2509 01:54:06,880 --> 01:54:10,000 Speaker 3: will turn that into a touchdown. But somebody other than 2510 01:54:10,040 --> 01:54:12,559 Speaker 3: Aaron Jones is gonna have to catch touchdowns to at 2511 01:54:12,600 --> 01:54:16,519 Speaker 3: some point. So again there's there's positive touchdown regression coming 2512 01:54:16,640 --> 01:54:17,959 Speaker 3: for these Packers receivers. 2513 01:54:18,520 --> 01:54:20,639 Speaker 1: And I just wanted to get in getting to say 2514 01:54:20,680 --> 01:54:23,840 Speaker 1: the name diamad Or Lenor on this podcast. So nicely done. 2515 01:54:23,920 --> 01:54:24,680 Speaker 1: I'm happy as well. 2516 01:54:25,360 --> 01:54:28,479 Speaker 2: And we and we had the Gio Bernard reference and 2517 01:54:28,600 --> 01:54:30,599 Speaker 2: of course we kept going with Max Williams. So we've 2518 01:54:30,880 --> 01:54:33,080 Speaker 2: we've gotten in the Bengo, the full Bingo card and 2519 01:54:33,560 --> 01:54:37,280 Speaker 2: last game on the slate Eagles Cowboys Monday Night. 2520 01:54:38,440 --> 01:54:39,680 Speaker 1: So Tony Poward went off. 2521 01:54:39,640 --> 01:54:42,520 Speaker 2: Last week, not the most unexpected thing. He's a good 2522 01:54:42,600 --> 01:54:45,400 Speaker 2: running back, but I mean, anytime Tony Poward goes off. 2523 01:54:45,440 --> 01:54:47,480 Speaker 2: I feel like the next week it's it's a little 2524 01:54:47,520 --> 01:54:49,480 Speaker 2: tougher to project. So I'm curious as to what you 2525 01:54:49,600 --> 01:54:51,720 Speaker 2: have for his rushing plus receiving yards. 2526 01:54:52,280 --> 01:54:54,280 Speaker 3: Well, I think you know a lot of sharp people 2527 01:54:54,400 --> 01:54:57,160 Speaker 3: already know that Paulard's probably the better running back right now. 2528 01:54:57,240 --> 01:55:00,120 Speaker 3: But you know, Jerry Jones is not going to let 2529 01:55:00,160 --> 01:55:03,200 Speaker 3: them start Pollard yet. They made a huge investment in Zeke, 2530 01:55:03,280 --> 01:55:05,960 Speaker 3: so I think he'll be the lead back again this week. 2531 01:55:06,040 --> 01:55:09,360 Speaker 3: So I'm projecting Pollard closer to fifty eight and a half. 2532 01:55:09,920 --> 01:55:13,160 Speaker 3: You said total scrimmage yards, right, yeah, yeah, fifty eight 2533 01:55:13,160 --> 01:55:13,880 Speaker 3: and a half yards. 2534 01:55:14,520 --> 01:55:15,560 Speaker 1: Fifty eight and a half. 2535 01:55:16,440 --> 01:55:19,480 Speaker 2: Whoa, no, okay, So I have him around forty eight 2536 01:55:19,680 --> 01:55:22,480 Speaker 2: forty eight okay, Which so I'm still a little lower 2537 01:55:22,560 --> 01:55:26,120 Speaker 2: than you, And that's because you know, for the season, 2538 01:55:26,200 --> 01:55:28,200 Speaker 2: Zeke is still getting you know, sixty percent of the 2539 01:55:28,240 --> 01:55:32,800 Speaker 2: backfield carries powered thirty six and then you know routes 2540 01:55:32,840 --> 01:55:33,959 Speaker 2: run it's still Zeke. 2541 01:55:34,280 --> 01:55:37,440 Speaker 1: Seventy four to twenty two percent. So there's still a 2542 01:55:37,560 --> 01:55:38,760 Speaker 1: low floorid Pollard, but. 2543 01:55:39,240 --> 01:55:41,480 Speaker 2: He's he's inching up right into that flex that lowen 2544 01:55:41,600 --> 01:55:44,120 Speaker 2: flex like low and RB three, which is like flex 2545 01:55:44,480 --> 01:55:47,680 Speaker 2: range but I think I'm not gonna start in this 2546 01:55:47,680 --> 01:55:48,560 Speaker 2: week against Philly, Like I. 2547 01:55:48,560 --> 01:55:49,520 Speaker 1: Don't think I would touch him. 2548 01:55:49,560 --> 01:55:52,240 Speaker 2: I think I would fade him, because again, I still 2549 01:55:52,360 --> 01:55:53,960 Speaker 2: I still like this Philly front. I know they lost 2550 01:55:53,960 --> 01:55:58,080 Speaker 2: Brandon Graham, which does hurt, but overall, I think Philly's 2551 01:55:58,080 --> 01:56:02,600 Speaker 2: front still better than I and I think you're coming 2552 01:56:02,640 --> 01:56:05,280 Speaker 2: off that big game. I mean, I think he's going 2553 01:56:05,320 --> 01:56:07,960 Speaker 2: to be a little more higher roster than he probably 2554 01:56:08,000 --> 01:56:10,600 Speaker 2: should be, so I'd rather I'd rather just go. 2555 01:56:10,800 --> 01:56:13,880 Speaker 1: With you know, Zeke, CD wham, you know the usual spects. 2556 01:56:14,480 --> 01:56:17,879 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, that's fair. And I think that I'm projecting 2557 01:56:17,960 --> 01:56:21,920 Speaker 3: just more RUSSI attempts to go around well and receiving 2558 01:56:22,800 --> 01:56:26,080 Speaker 3: usage as well, because Amark Cooper really is shaping up 2559 01:56:26,120 --> 01:56:28,960 Speaker 3: to be a game time decision. They're already without Michael 2560 01:56:29,000 --> 01:56:30,840 Speaker 3: Gallup or are they Like they're minus three and a 2561 01:56:30,880 --> 01:56:33,400 Speaker 3: half their their home favorites, so this could be a 2562 01:56:33,440 --> 01:56:35,760 Speaker 3: game where we just Dak doesn't need to throw for 2563 01:56:35,800 --> 01:56:38,960 Speaker 3: four hundred yards or to win, so we could see 2564 01:56:39,000 --> 01:56:40,840 Speaker 3: more of a what we saw last week. 2565 01:56:40,720 --> 01:56:43,400 Speaker 1: Where we saw both Zeke and Pollard put up useful game. 2566 01:56:43,480 --> 01:56:45,400 Speaker 3: So that's that's probably why I'm a little bit higher 2567 01:56:45,440 --> 01:56:47,240 Speaker 3: on Pollard right now, I'm kind of getting cute with 2568 01:56:47,280 --> 01:56:50,160 Speaker 3: the game script. But yeah, I still have Zeke being 2569 01:56:50,240 --> 01:56:52,840 Speaker 3: a you know, a low end RB one, high end 2570 01:56:52,960 --> 01:56:55,720 Speaker 3: RB two. He's not completely wash or anything. I just 2571 01:56:55,760 --> 01:56:58,200 Speaker 3: think that Poler is going to be more used based 2572 01:56:58,240 --> 01:56:59,680 Speaker 3: on this potential game script. 2573 01:56:59,840 --> 01:57:01,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, Zeke is no Saquon Barkley this week, 2574 01:57:03,120 --> 01:57:05,960 Speaker 2: right right, for the first time we could. 2575 01:57:05,760 --> 01:57:06,560 Speaker 1: Say that in a while. 2576 01:57:07,680 --> 01:57:09,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, No, that's fair because I still have a Mari, 2577 01:57:09,720 --> 01:57:11,600 Speaker 2: Like I knocked him down, but I still have him, 2578 01:57:12,040 --> 01:57:15,320 Speaker 2: you know, like wide receiver nineteen and LAMB. 2579 01:57:15,360 --> 01:57:16,320 Speaker 1: I have him in the top five. 2580 01:57:16,560 --> 01:57:19,640 Speaker 2: But if I if MARII doesn't play, first of all, 2581 01:57:19,640 --> 01:57:21,120 Speaker 2: Wilson's gonna get a massive boost. 2582 01:57:21,280 --> 01:57:22,800 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, but yeah, I think theyre running back. 2583 01:57:22,680 --> 01:57:24,680 Speaker 3: To as well, maybe more two tight end sets, like 2584 01:57:25,040 --> 01:57:27,680 Speaker 3: I haven't really thought about if Cooper is out, but yeah, 2585 01:57:27,800 --> 01:57:29,840 Speaker 3: they're gonna have to mix some things up just because 2586 01:57:29,880 --> 01:57:31,720 Speaker 3: Gallup is already out too, so they're gonna be really 2587 01:57:31,800 --> 01:57:33,040 Speaker 3: thin at receiver. 2588 01:57:33,480 --> 01:57:34,760 Speaker 1: I thought Wilson was good last week. 2589 01:57:34,760 --> 01:57:36,160 Speaker 2: I mean, I know he didn't have a utam or anything, 2590 01:57:36,240 --> 01:57:37,920 Speaker 2: but I mean he has some moves, he has some 2591 01:57:38,000 --> 01:57:41,000 Speaker 2: moves after the catch, So yeah, Dallas is you know 2592 01:57:41,160 --> 01:57:43,480 Speaker 2: they're still in position. I think you know them and 2593 01:57:43,520 --> 01:57:45,240 Speaker 2: Philly this this might be a key game, you know, 2594 01:57:45,400 --> 01:57:48,520 Speaker 2: coming back later in the year to decide this division. 2595 01:57:48,560 --> 01:57:52,640 Speaker 2: So gonna be a good game on Monday Night. Who 2596 01:57:52,760 --> 01:57:54,160 Speaker 2: is your DFSCH code for this one? 2597 01:57:54,640 --> 01:57:58,360 Speaker 3: Gotta go Jalen Hurts here, especially after a week showing 2598 01:57:58,400 --> 01:58:02,160 Speaker 3: in week two. Else you know, they don't have DeMarcus Lawrence, 2599 01:58:02,240 --> 01:58:04,720 Speaker 3: so Hurts should have plenty of time to throw or 2600 01:58:04,800 --> 01:58:08,320 Speaker 3: scramble whatever he wants. DeVante Smith had a quiet game, 2601 01:58:08,400 --> 01:58:11,280 Speaker 3: so I think he bounces back here. If not, Qus 2602 01:58:11,360 --> 01:58:15,720 Speaker 3: Watkins has shown massive upside. Jalen Rager, we know how's upside. 2603 01:58:15,760 --> 01:58:18,080 Speaker 3: He had a touchdown call back last week, which is 2604 01:58:18,160 --> 01:58:21,360 Speaker 3: pretty unfortunate. Zach Ertz is on the COVID list right now, 2605 01:58:21,440 --> 01:58:23,520 Speaker 3: so you know, Dallas Goddard could be a sneaky play 2606 01:58:23,600 --> 01:58:26,800 Speaker 3: here if Ertz is rolled out. But either way, you know, 2607 01:58:26,960 --> 01:58:29,520 Speaker 3: Hurts has massive upside any given week. But this this 2608 01:58:29,640 --> 01:58:31,800 Speaker 3: could be a game where he's forced to throw a 2609 01:58:31,880 --> 01:58:33,760 Speaker 3: bit more and I think he's gonna have a bounce 2610 01:58:33,800 --> 01:58:36,360 Speaker 3: back game here, So he's my cheek code. Just give 2611 01:58:36,440 --> 01:58:39,680 Speaker 3: an uncertainty with Amari Cooper and Zeke Elliott Pollard. I 2612 01:58:39,680 --> 01:58:42,320 Speaker 3: think it's easier just to load up on hurts here. 2613 01:58:43,120 --> 01:58:44,840 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, absolutely, I'm completely in line. 2614 01:58:44,920 --> 01:58:48,560 Speaker 2: I think last week, again it was just a very predictable, 2615 01:58:49,200 --> 01:58:53,040 Speaker 2: tough matchup for both offenses involved. Really, you know, I 2616 01:58:53,520 --> 01:58:57,600 Speaker 2: was fading most of the offenses to like period last week. 2617 01:58:57,720 --> 01:58:59,360 Speaker 2: You know, always gonna have a few shares of hurts 2618 01:58:59,360 --> 01:59:02,240 Speaker 2: and tournaments because I think you have to give it 2619 01:59:02,320 --> 01:59:05,720 Speaker 2: his upside. But yeah, I wasn't surprised at all at 2620 01:59:06,240 --> 01:59:08,240 Speaker 2: the slow showing. I think it's a great rebound spot 2621 01:59:08,560 --> 01:59:12,120 Speaker 2: against this dallasdy So I'm in line, all right. So 2622 01:59:12,200 --> 01:59:14,800 Speaker 2: that's gonna do it for us today. A beast of 2623 01:59:14,840 --> 01:59:18,120 Speaker 2: an episode, but I hope you guys enjoyed the content. 2624 01:59:18,280 --> 01:59:21,440 Speaker 2: You can find Sean on Twitter at the Underscore Odds Maker. 2625 01:59:21,480 --> 01:59:24,680 Speaker 2: You can find me on Twitter at Chris Raybon, and 2626 01:59:24,720 --> 01:59:27,560 Speaker 2: you can find us at those same handles in the 2627 01:59:27,840 --> 01:59:31,400 Speaker 2: award winning Action Network app, where you can follow our 2628 01:59:31,520 --> 01:59:34,360 Speaker 2: bets or track all of yours for free. You can 2629 01:59:34,400 --> 01:59:38,400 Speaker 2: find our fantasy rankings and content at actionnetwork dot com 2630 01:59:38,680 --> 01:59:40,920 Speaker 2: or in the app, and you can find our DFS 2631 01:59:41,040 --> 01:59:45,120 Speaker 2: content tools models, all that good stuff at fantasywebs dot 2632 01:59:45,480 --> 01:59:48,760 Speaker 2: Com until it's the Friday Show. 2633 01:59:48,880 --> 01:59:49,760 Speaker 1: Let's get this money