WEBVTT - Oil Drop Eases Inflation Woes

0:00:02.529 --> 0:00:06.210
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts. Radio.

0:00:06.650 --> 0:00:07.070
<v Speaker 2>News.

0:00:11.250 --> 0:00:14.530
<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Daybreak Asia podcast. I'm Doug Krisner. Crude

0:00:14.630 --> 0:00:18.000
<v Speaker 1>oil prices are lower at this hour on some indications

0:00:18.040 --> 0:00:19.919
<v Speaker 1>that the U.S. and Iran may be closer to a

0:00:19.960 --> 0:00:23.960
<v Speaker 1>solution regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Axios had reported earlier

0:00:24.360 --> 0:00:27.840
<v Speaker 1>Secretary of State Rubio told allies the U.S. will not

0:00:27.920 --> 0:00:31.780
<v Speaker 1>initiate strikes against Iran for now. Rubio saying the focus

0:00:31.820 --> 0:00:35.020
<v Speaker 1>will instead be on using sanctions. And at the same time,

0:00:35.060 --> 0:00:38.530
<v Speaker 1>we learned that Iran and Oman discussed an interim framework

0:00:39.090 --> 0:00:42.949
<v Speaker 1>aimed at resuming shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Joining

0:00:42.990 --> 0:00:44.989
<v Speaker 1>us now for a closer look at what's happening in

0:00:45.030 --> 0:00:48.629
<v Speaker 1>markets is Bloomberg's Paul Dobson. Paul is executive editor for

0:00:48.729 --> 0:00:51.900
<v Speaker 1>Asia Markets, and he joins from our studios in Singapore.

0:00:52.300 --> 0:00:54.280
<v Speaker 1>I want to talk in a moment about the inflation

0:00:54.320 --> 0:00:58.440
<v Speaker 1>story vis-a-vis the PCE, which we are expecting tomorrow morning

0:00:58.520 --> 0:01:01.020
<v Speaker 1>in the States. Can you give me a sense right

0:01:01.060 --> 0:01:05.470
<v Speaker 1>now of where the inflation debate is, particularly in the

0:01:05.530 --> 0:01:10.890
<v Speaker 1>context of continued declines in the price of crude oil?

0:01:12.390 --> 0:01:12.610
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:01:12.670 --> 0:01:16.210
<v Speaker 4>Hi, Doug. So definitely the crude oil is shaping a

0:01:16.250 --> 0:01:20.830
<v Speaker 4>lot the inflation outlook. I think there's a secondary factor

0:01:20.850 --> 0:01:23.369
<v Speaker 4>in the back of people's minds now, again, about the

0:01:23.430 --> 0:01:28.450
<v Speaker 4>tariffs rising again against various nations, including Canada. But Let's

0:01:28.470 --> 0:01:31.890
<v Speaker 4>focus on oil for a moment. So we have Brent

0:01:32.270 --> 0:01:39.470
<v Speaker 4>going back below 90 this week with some reasonably sharp moves.

0:01:40.590 --> 0:01:42.610
<v Speaker 4>And the situation in the Middle East still seems to

0:01:42.670 --> 0:01:45.170
<v Speaker 4>be very nebulous, but there do seem to be more

0:01:45.360 --> 0:01:49.680
<v Speaker 4>efforts to try to get more crude out of the

0:01:49.780 --> 0:01:53.000
<v Speaker 4>Gulf area with or without the US. So I think

0:01:53.040 --> 0:01:56.360
<v Speaker 4>that the economic sanctions are announcement that we heard from

0:01:56.410 --> 0:01:59.450
<v Speaker 4>Bessent kind of told the market two things. One, the

0:02:00.030 --> 0:02:06.270
<v Speaker 4>possibility of military threats is reduced, is minimal. And two,

0:02:06.310 --> 0:02:09.329
<v Speaker 4>that the efforts to try to get the supply going

0:02:09.389 --> 0:02:13.030
<v Speaker 4>again will continue in the meantime. So I suppose there's

0:02:13.070 --> 0:02:16.350
<v Speaker 4>some hope in the market that we will get more

0:02:16.870 --> 0:02:20.210
<v Speaker 4>or continuation of more flows coming out and going in.

0:02:20.530 --> 0:02:27.220
<v Speaker 4>We have this conversation going on between Iran and Oman, again,

0:02:27.240 --> 0:02:30.680
<v Speaker 4>a little bit foggy, but again, sort of pointing to

0:02:30.720 --> 0:02:36.070
<v Speaker 4>the idea that there may be more energy flows coming

0:02:36.130 --> 0:02:38.730
<v Speaker 4>out into the global market. And so all things being equal,

0:02:38.770 --> 0:02:42.530
<v Speaker 4>lower crude oil prices would help to bring down a

0:02:42.610 --> 0:02:44.709
<v Speaker 4>little bit of that inflation risk, which is one of

0:02:44.750 --> 0:02:47.570
<v Speaker 4>the big things that we've seen weighing on long-term government

0:02:47.590 --> 0:02:48.270
<v Speaker 4>bonds recently.

0:02:48.530 --> 0:02:50.609
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, no doubt about that. And as I mentioned a

0:02:50.630 --> 0:02:53.500
<v Speaker 1>moment ago, we'll get the Fed's preferred measure of inflation

0:02:54.110 --> 0:02:56.930
<v Speaker 1>Wednesday morning in the States. That is the personal consumption

0:02:56.990 --> 0:03:00.790
<v Speaker 1>expenditures price index. And it comes just a few days

0:03:00.850 --> 0:03:04.290
<v Speaker 1>before we'll hear from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at the

0:03:04.350 --> 0:03:08.220
<v Speaker 1>Jackson Hole Symposium. Now, Warsh, as you well know, Paul,

0:03:08.260 --> 0:03:12.180
<v Speaker 1>has faced some criticism recently for not being forthright in

0:03:12.260 --> 0:03:16.160
<v Speaker 1>his views on the economy, particularly with regard to where

0:03:16.290 --> 0:03:20.190
<v Speaker 1>inflation is in the Fed's eyes. Give me your best

0:03:20.270 --> 0:03:23.389
<v Speaker 1>sense of what the market is telling us right now

0:03:23.490 --> 0:03:26.550
<v Speaker 1>about the concern over inflation and what we may hear

0:03:26.590 --> 0:03:27.070
<v Speaker 1>from Warsh.

0:03:27.990 --> 0:03:30.829
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so it's going to be crucial what we do

0:03:30.870 --> 0:03:33.590
<v Speaker 4>hear from him, although I think the expectations for what

0:03:33.630 --> 0:03:38.430
<v Speaker 4>we actually get may be relatively low. He's got all

0:03:38.450 --> 0:03:41.470
<v Speaker 4>of these different panels and work for or task forces

0:03:42.230 --> 0:03:44.830
<v Speaker 4>looking into, you know, sort of the future shape of

0:03:44.850 --> 0:03:46.850
<v Speaker 4>the Fed. And it may be that a lot of

0:03:46.890 --> 0:03:48.750
<v Speaker 4>what he says is we'll wait to see what the

0:03:48.840 --> 0:03:53.610
<v Speaker 4>outcome of that those reports is before taking more action.

0:03:53.650 --> 0:03:56.010
<v Speaker 4>What the market really wants to know is what is

0:03:56.050 --> 0:03:58.740
<v Speaker 4>the Fed's reaction function? You know, what will it do

0:03:58.810 --> 0:04:02.990
<v Speaker 4>if inflation does continue to accelerate rather than slow? When

0:04:03.030 --> 0:04:05.890
<v Speaker 4>will be the trigger for the Fed to think about

0:04:05.990 --> 0:04:10.960
<v Speaker 4>hiking more forcefully? But whether he goes into that or

0:04:11.080 --> 0:04:14.220
<v Speaker 4>not remains to be seen. And it may be, given

0:04:14.260 --> 0:04:18.260
<v Speaker 4>he doesn't like providing forward guidance, that he chooses not

0:04:18.279 --> 0:04:22.170
<v Speaker 4>to go in that direction with the speech. So inflation

0:04:22.190 --> 0:04:26.450
<v Speaker 4>expectations then, you know, and the Fed credibility then comes

0:04:26.510 --> 0:04:28.890
<v Speaker 4>back into the debate. And I think it's more the latter, actually,

0:04:28.930 --> 0:04:31.289
<v Speaker 4>that's the concern for the market than the former. The

0:04:31.310 --> 0:04:34.150
<v Speaker 4>breakeven rate has widened a little bit, but it hasn't

0:04:34.170 --> 0:04:36.620
<v Speaker 4>been the only factor that's been pushing up government bond

0:04:36.640 --> 0:04:39.680
<v Speaker 4>yields recently. I do think you also have that concern

0:04:39.700 --> 0:04:41.880
<v Speaker 4>that the Fed is, you know, just going to be

0:04:41.900 --> 0:04:44.140
<v Speaker 4>behind the curve or happy to let inflation run a

0:04:44.160 --> 0:04:49.070
<v Speaker 4>little bit hotter. And therefore, investors will demand more higher

0:04:49.110 --> 0:04:52.910
<v Speaker 4>yields in order to own US government bonds. Again, that's

0:04:52.970 --> 0:04:55.909
<v Speaker 4>not the only factor that's contributing to the higher yields.

0:04:55.950 --> 0:04:59.490
<v Speaker 4>There are lots and lots of reasons for that and

0:05:00.370 --> 0:05:04.640
<v Speaker 4>reasons that Treasury Secretary Besant has started to voice a

0:05:04.680 --> 0:05:09.300
<v Speaker 4>little bit more concern about the rise in those yields.

0:05:09.440 --> 0:05:11.880
<v Speaker 1>So when you talk about a number of factors involved

0:05:11.920 --> 0:05:14.660
<v Speaker 1>in pushing US yields higher, to what extent do you

0:05:14.720 --> 0:05:19.610
<v Speaker 1>think corporate supply coming to the market, a corporate supply

0:05:19.630 --> 0:05:22.370
<v Speaker 1>that's related to the build-out of AI has been a

0:05:22.410 --> 0:05:23.090
<v Speaker 1>factor as well.

0:05:23.730 --> 0:05:27.290
<v Speaker 4>I think it's a significant factor given the amount of

0:05:27.990 --> 0:05:30.410
<v Speaker 4>debt that's coming to market and going to come to

0:05:30.470 --> 0:05:34.770
<v Speaker 4>market as well, which is a significant amount and all

0:05:35.170 --> 0:05:38.480
<v Speaker 4>in quite a short space of time. And so for

0:05:38.560 --> 0:05:42.520
<v Speaker 4>bond managers, if they're looking across the spectrum of options

0:05:42.560 --> 0:05:46.150
<v Speaker 4>available to them, if you have highly rated debt offering

0:05:46.190 --> 0:05:51.850
<v Speaker 4>a yield premium over U.S. Treasuries with a decent-looking payback horizon,

0:05:52.790 --> 0:05:56.130
<v Speaker 4>then fund managers may choose those assets rather than the U.S.

0:05:56.150 --> 0:05:58.030
<v Speaker 4>government debt. And so there is that little bit of

0:05:58.070 --> 0:06:02.950
<v Speaker 4>competition for all of the fixed income that's coming into

0:06:02.990 --> 0:06:04.750
<v Speaker 4>the market at the moment. So I think that that

0:06:05.250 --> 0:06:09.990
<v Speaker 4>supply factor is an important one. I do think what

0:06:10.050 --> 0:06:14.640
<v Speaker 4>we have seen is a slight increase suggestion from Besant

0:06:14.660 --> 0:06:16.719
<v Speaker 4>that he will curtail a little bit of the supply

0:06:16.740 --> 0:06:19.870
<v Speaker 4>at the back end of the yield curve by doing

0:06:19.900 --> 0:06:25.530
<v Speaker 4>some more buybacks. And that has narrowed slightly the yield

0:06:25.610 --> 0:06:28.910
<v Speaker 4>premium that investors demand to hold treasuries over swaps, so

0:06:28.950 --> 0:06:32.570
<v Speaker 4>the swap spread. Therefore, it sort of points to the

0:06:32.630 --> 0:06:34.920
<v Speaker 4>idea that treasury is a little bit more in favor

0:06:35.080 --> 0:06:37.360
<v Speaker 4>relative to swaps. And so that has been a positive

0:06:37.420 --> 0:06:40.320
<v Speaker 4>sign on the supply demand balance from Besant. But I

0:06:40.380 --> 0:06:44.700
<v Speaker 4>also think when you're looking at the economy overall things

0:06:44.779 --> 0:06:47.240
<v Speaker 4>things are all right right Doug things are looking pretty

0:06:47.320 --> 0:06:48.960
<v Speaker 4>decent at the moment and I think that one of

0:06:49.000 --> 0:06:51.780
<v Speaker 4>the other things the market is taking into consideration at

0:06:51.800 --> 0:06:54.880
<v Speaker 4>the moment is that we're in a higher interest rate

0:06:54.960 --> 0:06:58.240
<v Speaker 4>environment because the neutral rate is higher than it was

0:06:58.300 --> 0:07:01.820
<v Speaker 4>in that sort of period uh through the 2010s to

0:07:01.940 --> 0:07:06.360
<v Speaker 4>to post-covid kind of time factor and so um you know,

0:07:06.420 --> 0:07:08.960
<v Speaker 4>the economy can run at a hotter clip, especially if

0:07:09.220 --> 0:07:12.080
<v Speaker 4>all of these AI investments start to pay dividends, and

0:07:12.120 --> 0:07:14.990
<v Speaker 4>therefore you will see interest rates higher for longer. It

0:07:15.030 --> 0:07:17.170
<v Speaker 4>doesn't necessarily have to be a bad thing, but it

0:07:17.230 --> 0:07:20.610
<v Speaker 4>does mean that investors will demand higher interest rates on

0:07:20.650 --> 0:07:22.090
<v Speaker 4>those longer term bonds as well.

0:07:22.190 --> 0:07:24.190
<v Speaker 1>So as long as we're talking about AI, we have

0:07:24.210 --> 0:07:27.310
<v Speaker 1>to talk about NVIDIA. After the bell in the US tomorrow,

0:07:27.330 --> 0:07:30.290
<v Speaker 1>we'll get earnings for the latest quarter The stock was

0:07:30.470 --> 0:07:33.090
<v Speaker 1>up in the New York session on Tuesday by something

0:07:33.330 --> 0:07:36.790
<v Speaker 1>greater than 2%, recovering just a small part of the

0:07:36.850 --> 0:07:42.140
<v Speaker 1>losses that had been recorded over a seven-day losing streak.

0:07:42.940 --> 0:07:48.120
<v Speaker 1>How much is the market still attached to positive results

0:07:48.160 --> 0:07:51.290
<v Speaker 1>from NVIDIA if it's going to indeed push higher stilts?

0:07:52.310 --> 0:07:54.360
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I think that this is an interesting one because

0:07:54.380 --> 0:07:59.040
<v Speaker 4>Nvidia obviously is the biggest company in the US market

0:07:59.180 --> 0:08:02.280
<v Speaker 4>in the world and therefore has a pretty big bearing.

0:08:02.900 --> 0:08:04.820
<v Speaker 4>And what it says in the deals that it does

0:08:04.880 --> 0:08:10.750
<v Speaker 4>have the power to influence stocks beyond its own share price.

0:08:11.060 --> 0:08:12.710
<v Speaker 4>But what I do think is that that influence is

0:08:12.730 --> 0:08:14.730
<v Speaker 4>starting to wane a little bit. If you look at

0:08:14.790 --> 0:08:19.830
<v Speaker 4>the overall index reaction after the Nvidia earnings, I was

0:08:19.870 --> 0:08:26.290
<v Speaker 4>reading in macro man column overnight, the positive impact from

0:08:26.310 --> 0:08:29.310
<v Speaker 4>the video earnings is lessened. And in fact, sometimes after

0:08:29.330 --> 0:08:31.330
<v Speaker 4>the earnings, even if the stock has a good day,

0:08:31.440 --> 0:08:33.920
<v Speaker 4>maybe the overall gauge can have a bad day. So

0:08:35.900 --> 0:08:38.860
<v Speaker 4>it's less critical than it used to be. And that's

0:08:38.940 --> 0:08:44.120
<v Speaker 4>because there's a lot more alternatives or competitors or other

0:08:44.500 --> 0:08:46.330
<v Speaker 4>ways to look at it. But in terms of the

0:08:46.380 --> 0:08:49.690
<v Speaker 4>messaging that it will give us about the outlook, for, uh,

0:08:49.730 --> 0:08:54.510
<v Speaker 4>demand for chips and for data centers, uh, globally, you know,

0:08:54.650 --> 0:08:57.250
<v Speaker 4>there there's very little that can give us as much

0:08:57.290 --> 0:09:00.310
<v Speaker 4>information as they can. So it will be definitely all

0:09:00.450 --> 0:09:03.939
<v Speaker 4>eyes on that. Um, as usual, Doug, you know, I

0:09:04.220 --> 0:09:06.420
<v Speaker 4>think we say this every time that expectations for the

0:09:06.480 --> 0:09:09.080
<v Speaker 4>earnings are extremely high already. So it's got a high

0:09:09.120 --> 0:09:12.240
<v Speaker 4>bar in order to beat. Um, but I think that

0:09:12.280 --> 0:09:15.220
<v Speaker 4>people will nonetheless, you know, uh, pay attention to the numbers.

0:09:15.770 --> 0:09:18.110
<v Speaker 4>and also to what the outlook and the forecast that's

0:09:18.170 --> 0:09:19.590
<v Speaker 4>provided by Jensen Huang will be.

0:09:19.770 --> 0:09:22.510
<v Speaker 1>All right, Paul, we look forward to the NVIDIA earnings,

0:09:22.570 --> 0:09:25.020
<v Speaker 1>at least covering it here. We'll have the latest for

0:09:25.059 --> 0:09:28.300
<v Speaker 1>you on the Daybreak Asia podcast next edition. For the moment,

0:09:28.320 --> 0:09:30.860
<v Speaker 1>I want to thank Paul Dobson for joining us. Paul

0:09:30.880 --> 0:09:34.429
<v Speaker 1>is Executive Editor for Asia Markets, joining from Singapore here

0:09:34.490 --> 0:09:44.660
<v Speaker 1>on the Daybreak Asia podcast. Welcome back to the Daybreak

0:09:44.700 --> 0:09:48.179
<v Speaker 1>Asia podcast. I'm Doug Krisner. We go next to Hong Kong,

0:09:48.300 --> 0:09:53.250
<v Speaker 1>where the Asia Innovation and Technology Enterprises Going Global Summit

0:09:53.450 --> 0:09:56.670
<v Speaker 1>is underway. This gathering is designed to help Asian tech

0:09:56.710 --> 0:10:01.869
<v Speaker 1>firms evolve from being regional champions. to global players. It

0:10:01.910 --> 0:10:04.630
<v Speaker 1>was there we caught up with Neo Zhang Ming. Neo

0:10:04.830 --> 0:10:08.770
<v Speaker 1>is founder and CEO of MindRank AI. He spoke with

0:10:08.820 --> 0:10:10.030
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg's Min Min Lo.

0:10:10.770 --> 0:10:13.079
<v Speaker 3>For people who are not so familiar, tell us a

0:10:13.120 --> 0:10:16.540
<v Speaker 3>little bit more about your proprietary AI drug discovery platform.

0:10:16.600 --> 0:10:18.920
<v Speaker 3>How is it a game changer in the pharma sector?

0:10:20.020 --> 0:10:23.740
<v Speaker 2>Yes, so traditionally the drug discovery and development has been

0:10:23.800 --> 0:10:27.820
<v Speaker 2>a trend arrow process. So by leveraging the power of AI,

0:10:28.160 --> 0:10:31.479
<v Speaker 2>now the process has shifted from a trend arrow towards

0:10:31.559 --> 0:10:35.500
<v Speaker 2>more predictive and more capital efficiency and faster process.

0:10:36.880 --> 0:10:39.920
<v Speaker 3>And you have mentioned that I think it reduces your

0:10:40.040 --> 0:10:42.790
<v Speaker 3>cost by about 60% or so. Where exactly is the

0:10:42.830 --> 0:10:43.809
<v Speaker 3>cost reduction coming from?

0:10:44.510 --> 0:10:47.650
<v Speaker 2>The majority of the cost reduction from the preclinical stage,

0:10:48.170 --> 0:10:51.390
<v Speaker 2>but now we see a lot of advances in the

0:10:51.550 --> 0:10:55.370
<v Speaker 2>clinical stage as well. For example, from the target discovery,

0:10:55.670 --> 0:11:01.050
<v Speaker 2>the biological understanding to move from the molecule design, which

0:11:01.110 --> 0:11:05.569
<v Speaker 2>is the chemical-related design, So we utilize some multi-parameter optimization

0:11:05.590 --> 0:11:11.220
<v Speaker 2>strategy and algorithms instead of treating the human in the loop.

0:11:11.750 --> 0:11:14.900
<v Speaker 3>And I understand that it shortens the timeline of the

0:11:14.920 --> 0:11:16.459
<v Speaker 3>drug development process.

0:11:16.059 --> 0:11:16.459
<v Speaker 1>Quite a bit?

0:11:17.280 --> 0:11:21.980
<v Speaker 2>Yes, indeed. So humbly speaking, we can reduce by half

0:11:22.140 --> 0:11:25.440
<v Speaker 2>of the time and also probably 10 times for the

0:11:25.480 --> 0:11:28.400
<v Speaker 2>preclinical capital efficiency.

0:11:29.559 --> 0:11:31.920
<v Speaker 3>So one of your key assets right now, as far

0:11:31.960 --> 0:11:34.160
<v Speaker 3>as I understand, is a weight loss drug that is

0:11:34.240 --> 0:11:39.710
<v Speaker 3>in phase three clinical trials, aiming to launch in 2028, 2029.

0:11:39.710 --> 0:11:44.170
<v Speaker 3>But there are so many well-established brands like Eli Lilly

0:11:44.190 --> 0:11:46.730
<v Speaker 3>that already have existing weight loss drugs. How are you

0:11:46.750 --> 0:11:48.280
<v Speaker 3>going to wrestle market share from them?

0:11:49.260 --> 0:11:52.059
<v Speaker 2>Yes, indeed. So yeah, we do have a small molecule,

0:11:52.540 --> 0:12:00.990
<v Speaker 2>GLP-1 antagonist. So basically, we see a very differentiated profile

0:12:01.150 --> 0:12:04.720
<v Speaker 2>in the clinical trials. So we expect it to launch

0:12:04.790 --> 0:12:08.559
<v Speaker 2>in the fourth or fifth. in the Chinese market. And

0:12:08.820 --> 0:12:13.300
<v Speaker 2>we see a very obvious weight reduction, efficacy, and also

0:12:13.360 --> 0:12:17.400
<v Speaker 2>safety profile. So our job operating face-to-face study was only

0:12:17.740 --> 0:12:19.920
<v Speaker 2>less than 1%.

0:12:19.920 --> 0:12:24.740
<v Speaker 3>So, very low drop-off rate. What is your pricing point

0:12:24.780 --> 0:12:27.900
<v Speaker 3>going to be like? What is your distribution channel and

0:12:27.940 --> 0:12:30.450
<v Speaker 3>your path to commercialization?

0:12:30.490 --> 0:12:34.170
<v Speaker 2>Yes, so for the commercialization and also manufacturing, actually, we

0:12:34.230 --> 0:12:40.429
<v Speaker 2>are relying on very experienced public partners. So, that's not

0:12:40.450 --> 0:12:43.170
<v Speaker 2>the strength of MedRank at the current stage.

0:12:44.190 --> 0:12:46.630
<v Speaker 3>So as far as I know, you're still a loss-making

0:12:46.710 --> 0:12:52.020
<v Speaker 3>company at this point. Realistically, when can you reach profitability?

0:12:52.080 --> 0:12:52.980
<v Speaker 1>How long would it take?

0:12:53.990 --> 0:12:58.410
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we are very focused on the capital efficiency, but

0:12:58.670 --> 0:13:01.840
<v Speaker 2>we don't have a very clear goal to reach the profitable,

0:13:02.340 --> 0:13:06.179
<v Speaker 2>because now we are still pre-revenue stage. And after the

0:13:06.220 --> 0:13:12.680
<v Speaker 2>launch of the first blockbuster drug in 2028 to 2029,

0:13:12.679 --> 0:13:17.290
<v Speaker 2>we can expect a huge revenue income per year. But yeah,

0:13:17.510 --> 0:13:21.410
<v Speaker 2>probably after another few years, when we become a Bell

0:13:21.450 --> 0:13:25.730
<v Speaker 2>Pharma company, we can have a clear milestone or timeline.

0:13:25.770 --> 0:13:29.090
<v Speaker 3>What is your revenue projection for your blockbuster drug?

0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:34.260
<v Speaker 2>In mainland China, we expect to reach several billion per

0:13:34.280 --> 0:13:35.120
<v Speaker 2>year RMB.

0:13:36.400 --> 0:13:39.900
<v Speaker 3>And again, there are a lot of existing drugs, not

0:13:39.920 --> 0:13:42.590
<v Speaker 3>just from the international companies like Eli Lilly, but the

0:13:42.650 --> 0:13:45.729
<v Speaker 3>local companies like Hong Rui, for example. I know they're

0:13:45.750 --> 0:13:49.630
<v Speaker 3>also developing their weight loss drugs. How are you going

0:13:49.670 --> 0:13:51.010
<v Speaker 3>to secure your market share?

0:13:52.710 --> 0:13:58.200
<v Speaker 2>Basically we aim to produce the safe and efficacy profile

0:13:58.270 --> 0:14:01.720
<v Speaker 2>and also since it's an oral small molecule so the

0:14:01.760 --> 0:14:06.640
<v Speaker 2>major competitors they have injectables so means we are easy

0:14:06.679 --> 0:14:11.300
<v Speaker 2>to carry and also from the safety wise profile yeah

0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:15.000
<v Speaker 2>we have a very low GI adverse events happen. And

0:14:15.090 --> 0:14:20.390
<v Speaker 2>also from the, for example, liver-related and metabolic advantages, we

0:14:20.450 --> 0:14:24.850
<v Speaker 2>see a very clear differentiation. And that comes actually from

0:14:24.890 --> 0:14:28.330
<v Speaker 2>the very differentiated biological design.

0:14:30.700 --> 0:14:33.180
<v Speaker 3>And I know that you were part of the NVIDIA

0:14:33.200 --> 0:14:36.760
<v Speaker 3>Startup Accelerator program many years ago before the US export

0:14:36.800 --> 0:14:40.320
<v Speaker 3>controls come into place. And I believe you were using

0:14:40.500 --> 0:14:44.300
<v Speaker 3>NVIDIA's chips and its architecture as well. But since the

0:14:44.400 --> 0:14:49.050
<v Speaker 3>export controls came in, has that impacted your compute capacity

0:14:49.150 --> 0:14:52.330
<v Speaker 3>or your ability to access their.

0:14:51.510 --> 0:14:59.190
<v Speaker 2>Hardware, for example? Yeah, that gives us some influence, for sure. Traditionally,

0:14:59.250 --> 0:15:03.620
<v Speaker 2>we have built a small cloud computing by ourselves. That's

0:15:03.700 --> 0:15:08.580
<v Speaker 2>located in our Hangzhou office. After that, when we want

0:15:08.600 --> 0:15:12.200
<v Speaker 2>to expand to a larger scale of computation powers, we're

0:15:12.220 --> 0:15:16.370
<v Speaker 2>relying more on our partners such as Amazon or Alibaba,

0:15:16.410 --> 0:15:21.670
<v Speaker 2>their cloud computing cluster, which means that's more expensive.

0:15:23.230 --> 0:15:26.790
<v Speaker 3>So it's more expensive. Does it affect the capacity or

0:15:26.820 --> 0:15:28.140
<v Speaker 3>the efficiency of the compute?

0:15:28.980 --> 0:15:32.000
<v Speaker 2>Indeed. So because we're really a third party instead of

0:15:32.160 --> 0:15:36.110
<v Speaker 2>our proprietary pipeline, so from the data security and also

0:15:36.170 --> 0:15:40.050
<v Speaker 2>from the overall solution, we need to take more care

0:15:40.150 --> 0:15:41.930
<v Speaker 2>of that process by ourselves.

0:15:42.210 --> 0:15:45.600
<v Speaker 3>As part of that NVIDIA Startup Accelerator program, what was

0:15:45.640 --> 0:15:49.490
<v Speaker 3>the relationship at the time? Was NVIDIA invested or supporting

0:15:49.540 --> 0:15:53.670
<v Speaker 3>you in any other way besides offering the technology? And

0:15:53.710 --> 0:15:57.620
<v Speaker 3>how has that relationship evolved given the broader geopolitical environment now?

0:16:00.350 --> 0:16:03.530
<v Speaker 2>In 2023 and 2024, we have some close discussions with

0:16:03.550 --> 0:16:07.550
<v Speaker 2>the Nvidia team in China and the States. We talk

0:16:07.590 --> 0:16:11.970
<v Speaker 2>about certain opportunities, but since the tension between Chinese and

0:16:12.430 --> 0:16:17.760
<v Speaker 2>US governments, I think that has shifted.

0:16:18.200 --> 0:16:20.900
<v Speaker 3>So in that case, are you looking to pivot elsewhere?

0:16:20.920 --> 0:16:23.520
<v Speaker 3>Are you looking for alternative investors? How are you dealing

0:16:23.560 --> 0:16:25.840
<v Speaker 3>with this sort of fallout in the geopolitical front?

0:16:26.780 --> 0:16:30.040
<v Speaker 2>For the funding perspective, our main investors are from the

0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:36.050
<v Speaker 2>healthcare sector. We are planning to be in the pre-IPO

0:16:36.090 --> 0:16:39.430
<v Speaker 2>stage recently, so we are going to meet a lot

0:16:39.470 --> 0:16:42.510
<v Speaker 2>of internet or TMT investors.

0:16:43.210 --> 0:16:46.590
<v Speaker 3>Are these mostly Chinese capital, or how much interest are

0:16:46.610 --> 0:16:49.160
<v Speaker 3>you getting from international investors, and what is your timeline

0:16:49.180 --> 0:16:49.580
<v Speaker 3>to the IPO?

0:16:50.800 --> 0:16:54.120
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we see the IPO is very natural when we

0:16:54.180 --> 0:16:58.060
<v Speaker 2>reach the next milestones, which is the big deal for

0:16:58.240 --> 0:17:03.200
<v Speaker 2>the GLP-1 small molecule and also other BDs when that happens.

0:17:03.360 --> 0:17:06.980
<v Speaker 3>Do you have a guidance of a timeline that we

0:17:07.000 --> 0:17:07.520
<v Speaker 3>can expect?

0:17:07.800 --> 0:17:08.869
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, probably next year.

0:17:09.109 --> 0:17:09.399
<v Speaker 4>Okay.

0:17:10.930 --> 0:17:13.610
<v Speaker 3>You are actually still a very lean company. I believe

0:17:13.630 --> 0:17:16.310
<v Speaker 3>you have 50 employees and yet you have already quite

0:17:16.330 --> 0:17:19.780
<v Speaker 3>a large pipeline of drugs in development. Can you tell

0:17:19.820 --> 0:17:23.460
<v Speaker 3>us about what else are you pouring research into? What

0:17:23.760 --> 0:17:25.500
<v Speaker 3>else is closest to commercialization now?

0:17:26.060 --> 0:17:29.649
<v Speaker 2>Yes, so apart from the metabolic disease space, we are

0:17:29.690 --> 0:17:32.810
<v Speaker 2>very focused on the other, we are very interested in

0:17:32.850 --> 0:17:36.750
<v Speaker 2>the CS space, which is longevity space. So in 2023,

0:17:36.750 --> 0:17:42.080
<v Speaker 2>we are in the consortium, which is funded by TAMIS

0:17:42.480 --> 0:17:46.080
<v Speaker 2>from Singapore and the US government. So we study anti-aging

0:17:46.420 --> 0:17:50.199
<v Speaker 2>and discover the new biological findings. to try to intervene

0:17:50.619 --> 0:17:55.850
<v Speaker 2>the CNS disease. And apart from that, we have developed

0:17:56.250 --> 0:18:02.490
<v Speaker 2>the novel platform that's not only to target the protein targets,

0:18:02.850 --> 0:18:06.710
<v Speaker 2>which is small molecules and also antibody and other modalities

0:18:06.810 --> 0:18:08.409
<v Speaker 2>such as SRNA drugs.

0:18:09.500 --> 0:18:12.340
<v Speaker 3>And aside from developing your own drugs, I wonder, are

0:18:12.380 --> 0:18:15.950
<v Speaker 3>you getting interest from other drug companies to license your

0:18:16.010 --> 0:18:20.470
<v Speaker 3>proprietary drug discovery software? It's called MAP, right? Are you

0:18:20.490 --> 0:18:23.790
<v Speaker 3>getting interest to license and maybe co-develop drugs with you?

0:18:24.590 --> 0:18:29.310
<v Speaker 2>Yes, for the medicine, we do have some interdisciplinary. under

0:18:29.350 --> 0:18:34.580
<v Speaker 2>CDA discussions and we expect that to happen in 12 months.

0:18:34.680 --> 0:18:39.220
<v Speaker 2>We will have some BD recently. But apart from the platform,

0:18:39.300 --> 0:18:43.700
<v Speaker 2>traditionally we've been partnering with a few public companies including

0:18:43.820 --> 0:18:46.139
<v Speaker 2>Merck from the States and also a lot of public

0:18:46.180 --> 0:18:48.430
<v Speaker 2>companies in China and Hong Kong.

0:18:49.250 --> 0:18:52.270
<v Speaker 3>So your key asset right now, the weight loss drug

0:18:52.310 --> 0:18:54.530
<v Speaker 3>that you're about to launch in China in a few years' time,

0:18:54.550 --> 0:18:57.210
<v Speaker 3>do you have plans to sell that overseas as well?

0:18:57.270 --> 0:19:00.490
<v Speaker 3>And has there been challenges in getting the regulatory approval

0:19:00.530 --> 0:19:01.690
<v Speaker 3>and the certifications?

0:19:02.130 --> 0:19:02.850
<v Speaker 1>What's the progress?

0:19:03.710 --> 0:19:08.290
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, the first generation of the drugs, the single target

0:19:08.310 --> 0:19:11.629
<v Speaker 2>is GOP1. We are about to launch it in a

0:19:11.690 --> 0:19:15.750
<v Speaker 2>few years. But we are also developing the franchise, the

0:19:15.770 --> 0:19:22.760
<v Speaker 2>portfolio of the obesity and So we expect to have

0:19:22.800 --> 0:19:27.460
<v Speaker 2>some novel new drugs to launch or to be licensed

0:19:27.840 --> 0:19:32.200
<v Speaker 2>to partner with our partners in a few years.

0:19:32.300 --> 0:19:33.740
<v Speaker 3>International partners as well.

0:19:34.000 --> 0:19:38.200
<v Speaker 1>That was Neo Zhang Ming, CEO and founder of MindRank AI,

0:19:38.600 --> 0:19:41.240
<v Speaker 1>speaking with Bloomberg's Min Min Lo from the sidelines of

0:19:41.280 --> 0:19:46.240
<v Speaker 1>the Asia Innovation and Technology Enterprises Going Global Summit in

0:19:46.290 --> 0:19:49.609
<v Speaker 1>Hong Kong. bringing you their conversation here on the Daybreak

0:19:49.690 --> 0:19:55.470
<v Speaker 1>Asia podcast. Thanks for listening to today's episode of the

0:19:55.530 --> 0:19:59.550
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Daybreak Asia Edition podcast. Each weekday, we look at

0:19:59.570 --> 0:20:04.020
<v Speaker 1>the stories shaping markets, finance, and geopolitics in the Asia-Pacific.

0:20:04.320 --> 0:20:07.590
<v Speaker 1>You can find us on Apple, Spotify, the Bloomberg Podcast

0:20:07.630 --> 0:20:11.030
<v Speaker 1>YouTube channel, or anywhere else you listen. Join us again

0:20:11.070 --> 0:20:14.410
<v Speaker 1>tomorrow for insight on the market moves from Hong Kong

0:20:14.530 --> 0:20:19.360
<v Speaker 1>to Singapore and Australia. I'm Doug Krisner, and this is Bloomberg.