1 00:00:08,920 --> 00:00:12,440 Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three 2 00:00:12,480 --> 00:00:15,600 Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Volume Podcast Network. 3 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 1: I am Chad Moman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. 4 00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:23,960 Speaker 1: I'm joined as always by my co host, my companion, 5 00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:28,720 Speaker 1: my capadre, my BFF professional better, Simon Hunter ros I Man. 6 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 2: Hello, Chad. How are we doing? Brother? 7 00:00:31,320 --> 00:00:35,479 Speaker 1: We are living it. We are deep deep into preview season. 8 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:42,200 Speaker 1: I'm excited for today is because it involves the most smug, arrogant, 9 00:00:42,760 --> 00:00:48,400 Speaker 1: controversial player in the NFL. It's our fifth installment in 10 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:52,919 Speaker 1: our annual NFL Division preview series. We are discussing the 11 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:58,880 Speaker 1: AFC East and we are joined by a special guest 12 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 1: who has had his fair share of controversial characters that 13 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:08,360 Speaker 1: he has had to work with. He is a longtime 14 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:13,480 Speaker 1: NFL executive, creator of the Daily Coach newsletter, author host 15 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:19,640 Speaker 1: of the GM Shuffle podcast. It is Michael Lombardi. Mister Lombardi, 16 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 1: Welcome to the show. 17 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:24,319 Speaker 3: Thank thank you, chat, Thank you Simon. Appreciate being here. 18 00:01:24,520 --> 00:01:27,679 Speaker 3: I enjoy listening to you guys talk about the game 19 00:01:27,720 --> 00:01:30,080 Speaker 3: and talking about the betting. It's as I told Simon 20 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:33,160 Speaker 3: when we had lunch one day, for me somebody who's 21 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:35,280 Speaker 3: never been in the betting world and working at Viison, 22 00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:39,840 Speaker 3: I never really understood betting and listening to how it 23 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 3: applies to handicapping teams. I've learned a great deal from 24 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:45,399 Speaker 3: listening to you too, so it's helped me out a lot. 25 00:01:45,400 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 3: I appreciate you having me. 26 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: I love that we've got an old school South Jersey 27 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 1: Jersey shore Barnburner on this show. And also look for 28 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 1: those listening who don't know, Lombardi worked for Al Davis 29 00:02:04,200 --> 00:02:05,880 Speaker 1: and I sat with Mike and he has told me 30 00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:11,120 Speaker 1: stories about working for Al Davis that would burn your 31 00:02:11,200 --> 00:02:16,120 Speaker 1: eyeballs how insane it was to work with Al Davis. 32 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:19,359 Speaker 1: So you are no stranger to working with controversial characters, 33 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 1: to working with people who have big egos. Aaron Rodgers 34 00:02:23,040 --> 00:02:25,520 Speaker 1: obviously in the AFC East, we're going to get into that. 35 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:29,399 Speaker 1: As a reminder, the Favorites podcast is presented by Bet 36 00:02:29,440 --> 00:02:32,040 Speaker 1: three six five. 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Must be twenty 45 00:02:52,760 --> 00:02:57,240 Speaker 1: one or older and present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, 46 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:00,520 Speaker 1: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia or eighteen an older 47 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:04,120 Speaker 1: in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler or 48 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:08,919 Speaker 1: one eight hundred bets off in Iowa terms. Conditioned restrictions apply. Also, 49 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:13,799 Speaker 1: Quick Heads Up Action Network's popular college football podcast, BBOC 50 00:03:13,960 --> 00:03:17,960 Speaker 1: now has its own YouTube channel. Head to the BBOC 51 00:03:18,240 --> 00:03:21,520 Speaker 1: channel on YouTube. Subscribe for early access to the best 52 00:03:21,880 --> 00:03:27,000 Speaker 1: college football betting coverage anywhere, or follow the link in 53 00:03:27,040 --> 00:03:32,480 Speaker 1: this episode description. Before we get into it, Mike truly, 54 00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:35,960 Speaker 1: did you have a secret? And now you've been in media, 55 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 1: so you've continued to deal with arrogant, controversial, crazy personalities, 56 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 1: which we working for the Raiders, working for the Patriots. 57 00:03:47,040 --> 00:03:52,120 Speaker 1: What was your secret to dealing with unbelievably sort of 58 00:03:52,440 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 1: high touch, precious personalities. 59 00:03:55,240 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 3: You know, when I watched Hard Knocks, I thought Joe 60 00:03:57,320 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 3: Shane's the luckiest son of a bitch in the world 61 00:03:59,680 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 3: because John marras such a nice man that if Al 62 00:04:03,280 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 3: Davis would have been his president and general manager, I 63 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:09,360 Speaker 3: don't think Joe Shane would have been alive today. He 64 00:04:09,400 --> 00:04:12,080 Speaker 3: would have been like Mussolini, hung out in some square 65 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 3: because some of the answers that he was giving weren't 66 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:17,320 Speaker 3: go to got to fly with Al. I think it 67 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:20,760 Speaker 3: the other way. I've learned a lot from him. 68 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:23,560 Speaker 4: If there's anything we've ever done, then I'm particularly proud of. 69 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:26,320 Speaker 4: I would have to say perpetuation of the greatness of 70 00:04:26,360 --> 00:04:28,960 Speaker 4: the Raid is to take a professional football team and 71 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:33,120 Speaker 4: give it a distinct characteristic that's different from all of us. 72 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,320 Speaker 3: You know, I learned a lot of football from Al. 73 00:04:36,760 --> 00:04:38,880 Speaker 3: Was a young kid driving Bill Walsh around in a 74 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 3: car and Coach Wall said to me, he said, you know, 75 00:04:42,279 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 3: the most football ever learned in my life was working 76 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:46,800 Speaker 3: for Al Davis. And I thought to myself, well, I 77 00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 3: got to go work for Al Davis, and I did, 78 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:50,760 Speaker 3: and I learned a lot of football. I learned about 79 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:54,160 Speaker 3: game management. I learned about players, like for example, if 80 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:55,880 Speaker 3: I would have gone to Allen said we're going to 81 00:04:55,920 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 3: spend twenty eight million in trade for Brian Burns and 82 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 3: he's got eight and a half sacks year, and we're 83 00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 3: going to cost us a two and a five. He 84 00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:03,960 Speaker 3: would have said, well, how many secks did he get 85 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:06,719 Speaker 3: against Tyron Smith? How many sacks did he get against 86 00:05:06,760 --> 00:05:09,839 Speaker 3: Charles Leno? How many sex did he get against Malatta 87 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:12,200 Speaker 3: from the Eagles? And if I didn't have that answer 88 00:05:12,240 --> 00:05:14,040 Speaker 3: off the top of my head, he would have cursed 89 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:16,359 Speaker 3: me out and I would have been shot at sunrise. So, 90 00:05:17,320 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 3: you know, it's a blessing to work for some of 91 00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:21,520 Speaker 3: these people. Egos just part of it, you know, it 92 00:05:21,680 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 3: just goes with the territory. And as long as your 93 00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 3: ego doesn't get in the way of you learning, it's 94 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:27,080 Speaker 3: really beneficial. 95 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 4: I had a dream that someday I would build the 96 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:32,640 Speaker 4: finest organization in professional sports. 97 00:05:32,960 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 1: I think I might have told you this story. I 98 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:36,440 Speaker 1: don't know, Simon, I have ever told you this story. But 99 00:05:36,880 --> 00:05:40,480 Speaker 1: Al Davis so he used to be a coach at 100 00:05:40,520 --> 00:05:43,680 Speaker 1: the Citadel, you know, going back to the fifties and sixties, 101 00:05:44,200 --> 00:05:47,599 Speaker 1: and before he was, you know, in the NFL, and 102 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:51,479 Speaker 1: one of my closest friends. His dad grew up dirt 103 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:55,919 Speaker 1: poor in Brooklyn, had never been to a restaurant, but 104 00:05:56,000 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 1: he was an All city football player in Brooklyn. Davis 105 00:06:00,640 --> 00:06:03,960 Speaker 1: was recruiting him to go to the Citadel, and Al 106 00:06:04,040 --> 00:06:07,719 Speaker 1: Davis took him to a really nice restaurant in New York. 107 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:11,080 Speaker 1: The only restaurant he'd ever been to that had had 108 00:06:11,160 --> 00:06:14,719 Speaker 1: tablecloths on it, right on the table. So he's sitting 109 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:17,479 Speaker 1: with Al Davis and in the middle of dinner, Al 110 00:06:17,600 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 1: Davis takes out a pen on the tablecloth, the white tablecloth, 111 00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:26,920 Speaker 1: starts drawing up plays for this guy to diagram, break down, 112 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:31,360 Speaker 1: talk about and then again nice restaurant, you know, coat 113 00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 1: and tie kind of plays white tablecloths. Al Davis gets 114 00:06:35,080 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 1: up out of his seat and gets into a stance 115 00:06:37,880 --> 00:06:41,120 Speaker 1: and tells my buddy's father to get into a stance 116 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 1: so they can start wrestling, like blocking with each other 117 00:06:44,680 --> 00:06:47,719 Speaker 1: and practicing so he can see his technique. In the 118 00:06:47,839 --> 00:06:51,120 Speaker 1: middle of the restaurant. My buddy's father thought, this is 119 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:53,800 Speaker 1: just what you did in a restaurant. That to me 120 00:06:53,920 --> 00:06:55,600 Speaker 1: is when I think about Al Davis, Mike, that is 121 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:56,280 Speaker 1: what I think about. 122 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:58,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, there's so many of them. I mean, 123 00:06:58,880 --> 00:07:02,320 Speaker 3: I met with a published in New York City. Michael Lewis, 124 00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:04,479 Speaker 3: the writer lived in my name, would live behind me 125 00:07:04,520 --> 00:07:06,280 Speaker 3: in Berkeley when I worked for the Raiders, and when 126 00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:08,600 Speaker 3: I got down working for the Raiders, when as Al 127 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 3: Davis would often say, I'm going to send you to Elba, kid, 128 00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:14,440 Speaker 3: I'm going to put you at Elba. Eventually I went 129 00:07:14,480 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 3: to Elba to meet Michael Lewis and he says, you 130 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 3: got to meet my publisher, Star Lawrence. He's in New York. 131 00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:21,200 Speaker 3: You should write a book about Al and all that stuff. 132 00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:23,200 Speaker 3: And I did. So I'm sitting with Starr and I'm 133 00:07:23,200 --> 00:07:24,960 Speaker 3: telling Star Lawrence all these stories and he looks at 134 00:07:25,000 --> 00:07:26,960 Speaker 3: me and he says, no one's going to believe this, Like, 135 00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:30,240 Speaker 3: no one could possibly believe these stories, Like I get 136 00:07:30,320 --> 00:07:33,120 Speaker 3: your ideas, but there's not a book here because it's 137 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:35,320 Speaker 3: going to be a novel. And he was probably right. 138 00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:35,840 Speaker 2: I mean, that. 139 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:39,680 Speaker 3: Story doesn't surprise me at all. I mean, there's so 140 00:07:39,800 --> 00:07:44,240 Speaker 3: many of them. But again, that side of Al was 141 00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:47,680 Speaker 3: what people know. But the brilliance of him as an executive, 142 00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:51,040 Speaker 3: as a drafter, you know, I mean, he signed lance 143 00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:53,480 Speaker 3: for Renssel on the field at the University of Arkansas, 144 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:56,040 Speaker 3: made him sign the contract at the fifty yard line. 145 00:07:56,080 --> 00:07:58,280 Speaker 3: I mean, this guy was the whole history of the 146 00:07:58,280 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 3: AFL and one of the reasons why the Chiefs and 147 00:08:01,880 --> 00:08:05,080 Speaker 3: the Raiders have such hostility towards one another. I don't 148 00:08:05,080 --> 00:08:07,040 Speaker 3: think people realize this. I wrote about it in Football 149 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:12,280 Speaker 3: Done Right. Al was the commissioner of the AFL and meanwhile, Lamar, 150 00:08:12,400 --> 00:08:16,000 Speaker 3: Hunt and tech Shram were negotiating the settlement between the 151 00:08:16,040 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 3: AFL and the NFL and they didn't tell Al, and 152 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:23,440 Speaker 3: Lamar signed the contract without telling them, and that burned 153 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:24,440 Speaker 3: his ass forever. 154 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:29,240 Speaker 1: Mike. Here at the Favorites, we also pride ourselves on 155 00:08:29,320 --> 00:08:33,719 Speaker 1: our commitment to excellence. So let's get intore. Let's get 156 00:08:33,760 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 1: into the AFC East. Reminder for everybody who's been listening, 157 00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:41,200 Speaker 1: in all of our previous installments, nineteen of the past 158 00:08:41,240 --> 00:08:44,840 Speaker 1: twenty one seasons, an NFL team has gone from worst 159 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:49,120 Speaker 1: to first in its division. Last year's AFC champ was 160 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:53,080 Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills, last place New England Patriots. Could the 161 00:08:53,120 --> 00:08:56,120 Speaker 1: Patriots be that team? Could the Patriots be that team 162 00:08:56,400 --> 00:09:01,520 Speaker 1: that goes from worse to first? All right, Buffalo, Good. 163 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:02,280 Speaker 2: Afternoon, everyone. 164 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:04,920 Speaker 3: This is Van Miller and the Road to the Super Bowl, 165 00:09:05,160 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 3: goes through Orchard Park, New York. 166 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:08,840 Speaker 1: Fifteen to one to win the Super Bowl, a little 167 00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:11,000 Speaker 1: bit lower than it's been in the pat a little 168 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:12,880 Speaker 1: bit longer than it's been in the past couple of years, 169 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:16,000 Speaker 1: plus one seventy to win the Division. Ten and a 170 00:09:16,040 --> 00:09:19,440 Speaker 1: half is the win total. As everybody knows, our strength 171 00:09:19,440 --> 00:09:24,000 Speaker 1: of schedule ranking goes by the aggregate wins in twenty 172 00:09:24,040 --> 00:09:27,599 Speaker 1: twenty four from the projections of bookmakers. That's how we 173 00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:32,120 Speaker 1: are ranking a schedule. Buffalo has the tenth artist. Also, 174 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:34,720 Speaker 1: as everybody knows, we focus a lot on O line 175 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:37,240 Speaker 1: and D line because that's where we think differences are 176 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:41,280 Speaker 1: made far beyond anybody gives credit when we're talking about 177 00:09:41,320 --> 00:09:44,880 Speaker 1: power rankings. O line ranking for the Bills eighth, A 178 00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:49,560 Speaker 1: lot of questions, though their best player is Spencer Brown, 179 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:53,080 Speaker 1: who was a tackle was the thirty second ranked tackle 180 00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 1: according to Pro Football Focus. They are replacing their center, 181 00:09:56,240 --> 00:10:02,040 Speaker 1: filling a lot of other holes. D line ranking very quiet, sixteenth. 182 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:06,920 Speaker 1: Traded for von Miller. He has not been right ever 183 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:11,280 Speaker 1: since they traded for him. He's faded. Ed Oliver is 184 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:16,000 Speaker 1: mid at best. Mike, I'm going to start with you, 185 00:10:17,280 --> 00:10:19,520 Speaker 1: do you feel like the Bills have just completely missed 186 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:20,000 Speaker 1: their window. 187 00:10:23,000 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 3: Well, you know, that window thing is always fascinating to 188 00:10:26,080 --> 00:10:27,920 Speaker 3: me because when you have Josh Allen, you always have 189 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:31,040 Speaker 3: a big window. But I think this is a team 190 00:10:31,120 --> 00:10:33,520 Speaker 3: that has to be If you were to bring in 191 00:10:34,120 --> 00:10:38,480 Speaker 3: Brandon Bean or Sean McDermott into this conversation today, they 192 00:10:38,520 --> 00:10:42,000 Speaker 3: would tell you they're worried about their defensive front. They're 193 00:10:42,040 --> 00:10:44,520 Speaker 3: worried that they paid all this money to Von Miller. 194 00:10:44,520 --> 00:10:46,520 Speaker 3: He didn't have a sack or an assist last year. 195 00:10:46,520 --> 00:10:49,240 Speaker 3: I no, he's coming off the injury. But you know 196 00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:52,240 Speaker 3: they're worried about the size of their team. See, Buffalo 197 00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:55,680 Speaker 3: is an interesting team, guys, because Buffalo believes in the 198 00:10:55,800 --> 00:10:58,160 Speaker 3: concept of we're going to get the lead. In football, 199 00:10:58,360 --> 00:11:02,280 Speaker 3: everybody thinks the West Coast off is about smash seven 200 00:11:02,360 --> 00:11:06,160 Speaker 3: curl twenty bingo cross. Walsh invented an offense that could 201 00:11:06,240 --> 00:11:09,040 Speaker 3: score early in the game and then have a defense 202 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:12,520 Speaker 3: could rush the passer. And that's what Buffalo is. Buffalo 203 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:15,440 Speaker 3: is a nickel defense. When you have Matt Milano and 204 00:11:15,520 --> 00:11:17,960 Speaker 3: you have Binar, two guys at barely weigh two hundred 205 00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:20,680 Speaker 3: and twenty five pounds playing linebacker. For you, you're going 206 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 3: to have a hard time holding up against a run 207 00:11:22,840 --> 00:11:26,200 Speaker 3: in a tight game. But when you play from in front, 208 00:11:26,280 --> 00:11:28,760 Speaker 3: they can rush the passer. And that's the issue I 209 00:11:28,760 --> 00:11:31,880 Speaker 3: think for Buffalo is their defensive front. Can they rush? 210 00:11:31,960 --> 00:11:34,280 Speaker 3: Are they going to be good enough up front? Daikwon 211 00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:37,040 Speaker 3: Jones was their best defensive lineman last year the way 212 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:39,680 Speaker 3: I see it, and he got hurt and they missed 213 00:11:39,679 --> 00:11:42,640 Speaker 3: some games. There's no real depth here. You know, Miller 214 00:11:42,679 --> 00:11:45,280 Speaker 3: doesn't look anywhere near the same players. So when they 215 00:11:45,320 --> 00:11:47,120 Speaker 3: have that lead, who's going to really be the guy 216 00:11:47,160 --> 00:11:49,720 Speaker 3: to rush? Who's going to be their defensive player? I 217 00:11:49,880 --> 00:11:52,560 Speaker 3: worry about that. Allan will keep them in games. They what, 218 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:54,720 Speaker 3: They didn't lose a game by more than six points 219 00:11:54,800 --> 00:12:00,200 Speaker 3: all last year, But to me, that's my biggest concern. 220 00:12:00,760 --> 00:12:02,360 Speaker 1: No value on this team. 221 00:12:02,880 --> 00:12:05,480 Speaker 2: Actually, you're gonna be shocked. I'm finding to be positive 222 00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:07,440 Speaker 2: about a division. I love this division and I like 223 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:09,760 Speaker 2: three teams of this division. So Buffalo is one of 224 00:12:09,800 --> 00:12:12,679 Speaker 2: the teams I like. If you're telling me that, you know, 225 00:12:12,880 --> 00:12:14,600 Speaker 2: this is the year people started doubting him because they 226 00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:17,240 Speaker 2: got rid of his two receivers. That's the year I 227 00:12:17,280 --> 00:12:18,560 Speaker 2: buy It was the same thing with the Chiefs. The 228 00:12:18,600 --> 00:12:21,640 Speaker 2: Chiefs got rid of Tyre Kilchad. I was buying heavy 229 00:12:21,679 --> 00:12:23,520 Speaker 2: on that team because I told I just kept saying 230 00:12:23,960 --> 00:12:26,600 Speaker 2: he's important. But they have some of their best minds 231 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:28,760 Speaker 2: in football. They'll be able to adjust. Is Joe Brady 232 00:12:28,800 --> 00:12:31,880 Speaker 2: sold the offensive coordinator, I'm in then. I love him. 233 00:12:31,880 --> 00:12:34,360 Speaker 2: I love their style. And this is the team that 234 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:36,600 Speaker 2: I just bought into last year, and me and you 235 00:12:36,720 --> 00:12:38,440 Speaker 2: rode them. I think we got them at plus four 236 00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:40,960 Speaker 2: hundred to win the division. And we just saw the path. 237 00:12:41,080 --> 00:12:42,800 Speaker 2: We saw how it could break for them last year 238 00:12:43,160 --> 00:12:45,600 Speaker 2: because the offense started clicking right once they made a 239 00:12:45,679 --> 00:12:48,600 Speaker 2: change a coordinator, it really started clicking. I just believe 240 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:52,000 Speaker 2: having an offseason now, you know, Kinkaid, it might be 241 00:12:52,000 --> 00:12:53,720 Speaker 2: one of the best tight ends. We're not talking about 242 00:12:53,760 --> 00:12:56,920 Speaker 2: football like this. This kid's ceiling might be really high. 243 00:12:56,960 --> 00:12:58,839 Speaker 2: He might be the next type Kittle type. Right. It 244 00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:01,520 Speaker 2: might be a great blocking tight end who's also a 245 00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:04,520 Speaker 2: dominant receiver. So there's a lot of things I'm excited about. 246 00:13:05,000 --> 00:13:07,480 Speaker 2: Stuff you had a camp sounds great, right. Coleman kid 247 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:10,840 Speaker 2: they drafted this year out of Florida State. He's funny 248 00:13:10,840 --> 00:13:12,760 Speaker 2: as hell. But when he gets on the field, he 249 00:13:12,800 --> 00:13:14,839 Speaker 2: seems like he's a dog like he's really serious, and 250 00:13:14,880 --> 00:13:17,439 Speaker 2: he works really hard apparently, and he's been working putting 251 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:21,280 Speaker 2: extra time on Josh Allen. So to me, Josh, he's 252 00:13:21,320 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 2: the difference maker, Chat, I mean me, and you keep 253 00:13:23,160 --> 00:13:26,400 Speaker 2: talking about we have him a second ranked quarterback. I 254 00:13:26,440 --> 00:13:28,360 Speaker 2: can't bet an under on a guy like that at 255 00:13:28,360 --> 00:13:31,320 Speaker 2: die respect. So ten and a half is plus one thirty. 256 00:13:31,400 --> 00:13:34,280 Speaker 2: The professional is clearly like this team's under because they 257 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:36,640 Speaker 2: believe this division is better. Right with Aaron Rodgers stepping 258 00:13:36,720 --> 00:13:39,199 Speaker 2: up and Miami is sending it from last year, I 259 00:13:39,200 --> 00:13:41,120 Speaker 2: could see what they've taken that position again. They play 260 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:43,720 Speaker 2: a first place schedule. It's it's tough to get those 261 00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:46,000 Speaker 2: wins when you have a first play schedule. I got 262 00:13:46,040 --> 00:13:47,920 Speaker 2: him right at eleven wins, Chat, so it's not that 263 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:50,319 Speaker 2: big of an advantage. I got it by half a game. 264 00:13:50,640 --> 00:13:52,959 Speaker 2: But at a plus number, I'll take that bet, but 265 00:13:54,920 --> 00:13:57,480 Speaker 2: I don't. I haven't bet anything on the division wise yet, Chat, 266 00:13:57,640 --> 00:13:59,439 Speaker 2: I have not touched their division olog yet. A plus 267 00:13:59,520 --> 00:14:02,360 Speaker 2: one seventy, I think it should be plus closer to plus. 268 00:14:02,440 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 2: You on, you're just like the Jets, right, I kind 269 00:14:04,040 --> 00:14:06,760 Speaker 2: of have these teams right there by each other. So 270 00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:08,800 Speaker 2: to me, I have not taken a position on the 271 00:14:08,800 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 2: Bills division ob ject, but I have had bet the 272 00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:12,599 Speaker 2: over ten and a half. 273 00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:16,959 Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills. You just mentioned their schedule on the road 274 00:14:17,480 --> 00:14:21,840 Speaker 1: at Baltimore, at Houston, at the Jets at the Rams 275 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 1: at Detroit, plus Kansas City and the Niners at home. 276 00:14:29,360 --> 00:14:34,360 Speaker 1: This is not a schedule that is for I feel 277 00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:36,880 Speaker 1: like Matt Mitchell is listening to this as a resident 278 00:14:37,200 --> 00:14:41,160 Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills maniac. He knows that this is going to 279 00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:42,640 Speaker 1: be a miserable year. 280 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:46,840 Speaker 2: This sucks and it's horseshit. But I'm too polite to 281 00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:49,000 Speaker 2: say anything because I'm a class act. 282 00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:51,120 Speaker 1: I was making notes on this, and I was trying 283 00:14:51,120 --> 00:14:55,160 Speaker 1: to think, like Josh Allen, transcendent talent happens to have 284 00:14:55,240 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 1: the bad luck of being a transcendent talent at the 285 00:14:57,800 --> 00:15:01,240 Speaker 1: same time as Patrick Mahon. Homes is not only in 286 00:15:01,280 --> 00:15:03,120 Speaker 1: the same league, but in the same conference. So I 287 00:15:03,120 --> 00:15:05,720 Speaker 1: was trying to think of comps for the Bills, and 288 00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:08,720 Speaker 1: in my notes, I was like, is he Dan Fouts 289 00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:12,080 Speaker 1: of the Chargers or in the eighties when they couldn't 290 00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:14,360 Speaker 1: get over the hump, right, Or is it the is. 291 00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:17,240 Speaker 2: It Philip Rivers of the Chargers, Philip Rivers, Philip River 292 00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:18,640 Speaker 2: to Brady Simon. 293 00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 1: We'll get to this in a second because you'll you'll 294 00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:23,520 Speaker 1: like this too. Or is it the Houston Oilers of 295 00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:25,360 Speaker 1: the seventies and like they couldn't they got to those 296 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:29,400 Speaker 1: championship games and they couldn't quite get past the Steelers. 297 00:15:29,440 --> 00:15:32,920 Speaker 1: And so Mike knows this because like we are of 298 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:36,680 Speaker 1: the same generation of football fandom where those teams like 299 00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:39,040 Speaker 1: are It feels like yesterday. So I'm sending to the 300 00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:41,520 Speaker 1: dinner table with my kid and I say to him, 301 00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 1: give me a comp for Josh Allen today. My kid 302 00:15:44,680 --> 00:15:47,080 Speaker 1: is seventeen, Mike, give me a comp for Josh Allen 303 00:15:47,200 --> 00:15:50,200 Speaker 1: any sport. We're like, he's the best, but might not 304 00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:55,120 Speaker 1: get there. And he goes, well, James Pardon of the Rockets, 305 00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:59,080 Speaker 1: And I'm like, huh, that could be better than Dan 306 00:15:59,160 --> 00:16:02,880 Speaker 1: Fouts of the nineteen eighties. For our audience, you're with me, Mike. 307 00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:06,480 Speaker 3: You're with Mike. Well, I think to me, you know 308 00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 3: all those teams you cited that, like, I think the 309 00:16:08,560 --> 00:16:11,520 Speaker 3: Houston Oilers were the most talented team to never win 310 00:16:11,560 --> 00:16:15,120 Speaker 3: a Super Bowl. I think Mike Holliback, the former general manager, 311 00:16:15,160 --> 00:16:18,080 Speaker 3: belongs to the Hall of Fame for the assemblance of 312 00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:21,760 Speaker 3: that team. I wrote about that, But this isn't that 313 00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:24,840 Speaker 3: talented of a team that way. I think they've changed 314 00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:28,240 Speaker 3: their style offensively. Look, you know, they gave the Chiefs 315 00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:30,680 Speaker 3: the hardest time of any team in the playoff run, 316 00:16:30,880 --> 00:16:32,680 Speaker 3: even worse than forty nine. They ran for one hundred 317 00:16:32,680 --> 00:16:35,080 Speaker 3: and seventy three. They threw the football effectively on them. 318 00:16:35,360 --> 00:16:37,600 Speaker 3: You know, Bass missed the field goal. That Bass is 319 00:16:37,640 --> 00:16:39,440 Speaker 3: an issue that you have to be concerned about with 320 00:16:39,480 --> 00:16:41,920 Speaker 3: this team. You know, he's missed two kicks in the 321 00:16:41,960 --> 00:16:44,680 Speaker 3: forty he missed two outside of fifty. They kick in 322 00:16:44,720 --> 00:16:47,320 Speaker 3: Buffalo not easy to kick. You have to be worried 323 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 3: about that. But they changed who they are, guys. I 324 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:53,000 Speaker 3: think they used to be an eleven team all the time, 325 00:16:53,080 --> 00:16:57,080 Speaker 3: one tight end, one back, and now they're a twelve team. 326 00:16:57,160 --> 00:16:59,720 Speaker 3: But how you define twelve as different? See Kaid can 327 00:16:59,760 --> 00:17:04,400 Speaker 3: win against slot corners, kN k can win against other safeties. 328 00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:06,439 Speaker 3: So they're really they can be. They're a little bit 329 00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:08,960 Speaker 3: like the Niner. They'll excuse me, the Patriots when the 330 00:17:08,960 --> 00:17:11,760 Speaker 3: Patriots had Hernandez. They were a twelve team, but they 331 00:17:11,760 --> 00:17:13,600 Speaker 3: could be an eleven team. They could be a ten 332 00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:17,000 Speaker 3: team without having a substitute. And this is a little 333 00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:19,240 Speaker 3: bit where Buffalo is in that vein. They can be 334 00:17:19,280 --> 00:17:21,800 Speaker 3: an eleven team or a twelve team without a substitution, 335 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:25,000 Speaker 3: which makes it harder for the defensive coordinator game plan 336 00:17:25,040 --> 00:17:28,359 Speaker 3: against it. Also, because of the value of Cook, we 337 00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:31,760 Speaker 3: can't underestimate Cook's talent as a runner. Now, he fumbled 338 00:17:31,760 --> 00:17:34,640 Speaker 3: four times last year, but Cook's really good and so 339 00:17:34,720 --> 00:17:39,000 Speaker 3: he makes the spread. And what Simon's saying about Brady 340 00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:40,760 Speaker 3: is they can be in that and I think their 341 00:17:40,840 --> 00:17:44,040 Speaker 3: leading receiver will be Kincay. I don't think the digs 342 00:17:44,080 --> 00:17:47,800 Speaker 3: In trade is going to affect them as much because 343 00:17:47,840 --> 00:17:53,240 Speaker 3: of this is how they've actually changed the offense, and 344 00:17:53,320 --> 00:17:55,679 Speaker 3: they changed it last year right before our eyes. 345 00:17:56,840 --> 00:18:00,119 Speaker 1: So I'm glad you guys are saying this because the 346 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 1: other notes I had is I don't know that I 347 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:06,640 Speaker 1: get the identity for this team right now. Are they 348 00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:10,159 Speaker 1: going to be the team that was trying to run, run, run, 349 00:18:10,320 --> 00:18:12,240 Speaker 1: Are they going to be the team that is spreading 350 00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:13,960 Speaker 1: it out? Are they going to be the team whose 351 00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:17,520 Speaker 1: best weapon is going to be whatever Josh Allen decides 352 00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:20,920 Speaker 1: he wants to be that day, without any rhyme or reason. Either. 353 00:18:20,960 --> 00:18:23,879 Speaker 1: He's the best rusher on the field, the best passer 354 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:26,439 Speaker 1: on the field. We're going to bet his over rushing 355 00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:29,359 Speaker 1: props in every game. So this is interesting to me, 356 00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:31,639 Speaker 1: and Simon, I agree with you. Like when you were 357 00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:33,920 Speaker 1: saying ten and a half, I was thinking to myself, 358 00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:37,160 Speaker 1: if I'm betting the Bills ten and a half, why 359 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:39,359 Speaker 1: wouldn't I just bet the plus one seventy at a 360 00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:41,280 Speaker 1: better number because they'll need to get over ten and 361 00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:44,439 Speaker 1: a half to win that division. But you kind of 362 00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:46,080 Speaker 1: framed it that you don't think the value is there. 363 00:18:46,760 --> 00:18:49,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, I just wish it was a better number. Again, 364 00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:51,200 Speaker 2: they deserve to have a lower number. They should have 365 00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:53,760 Speaker 2: the most respect in this division. It's their division. I 366 00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 2: mean they've wonted how many times now with Josh Allen 367 00:18:57,040 --> 00:19:00,000 Speaker 2: four or five times? Shit, I mean it's his division, 368 00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:02,560 Speaker 2: so they should be the favorite. I just thought it'd 369 00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:04,440 Speaker 2: be closer to plus two hundred than is that plus 370 00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:05,080 Speaker 2: one seventy? 371 00:19:05,920 --> 00:19:08,720 Speaker 1: All right, New York Jets. 372 00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:10,520 Speaker 2: Still it's real good. 373 00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:13,000 Speaker 3: Be the best is yet to come. 374 00:19:14,240 --> 00:19:20,600 Speaker 1: I'm fairly certain that the Atlantic wins have floated a 375 00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:23,640 Speaker 1: rumor to me that you guys might have different opinions. 376 00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:26,879 Speaker 1: Here New York Jets twenty to one to win the 377 00:19:26,920 --> 00:19:30,320 Speaker 1: Super Bowl plus one eighty to win the division. Season 378 00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:35,359 Speaker 1: win total of nine and a half fourth easiest schedule, 379 00:19:35,880 --> 00:19:38,440 Speaker 1: And I will not lie to you guys. I don't 380 00:19:38,480 --> 00:19:41,359 Speaker 1: like Aaron Rodgers at all as a personality. I don't 381 00:19:41,400 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 1: know him. I think he's a brilliant quarterback. I just 382 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:45,720 Speaker 1: don't like the way he presents himself as a personality. 383 00:19:45,720 --> 00:19:48,240 Speaker 1: I think he's just way too smug, tries to use 384 00:19:48,280 --> 00:19:52,040 Speaker 1: word to play to get himself to thread the needle 385 00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:54,040 Speaker 1: so he can be right no matter what he says. 386 00:19:54,560 --> 00:20:00,399 Speaker 1: I just think it's obnoxious. But they're offensive and defensive line. 387 00:20:00,520 --> 00:20:02,800 Speaker 1: How they can control the line of scrimmage their foundation, 388 00:20:03,880 --> 00:20:07,160 Speaker 1: that's just it might be too good to bet against 389 00:20:07,160 --> 00:20:09,520 Speaker 1: the gents. O line ranks according to Pro Football Focus 390 00:20:09,560 --> 00:20:15,040 Speaker 1: is fifth. They signed to Ron Smith. They signed Morgan Moses. 391 00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:18,800 Speaker 1: Both finished among the tenth highest graded offensive tackles in 392 00:20:18,800 --> 00:20:21,359 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three, could be one of the best dudes 393 00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:25,879 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty four. They also get Elijah Vera Tucker 394 00:20:26,080 --> 00:20:28,399 Speaker 1: who missed most of twenty tony three. He's going to 395 00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:33,560 Speaker 1: be back. And then their defensive line, like even with 396 00:20:33,600 --> 00:20:36,640 Speaker 1: a couple of departures of John Franklin Myers and Bryce 397 00:20:36,720 --> 00:20:41,879 Speaker 1: hoff they were hopefully offset Bias Son Reddick depending on 398 00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:46,560 Speaker 1: what happens with his contract situation. Jermaine Johnson showed improvement. 399 00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:51,240 Speaker 1: Then there's Quinton Williams, who was obviously other than Chris 400 00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:55,440 Speaker 1: Jones and Dexter Lawrence, the most dominant interior defender in 401 00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:59,840 Speaker 1: the league, behind both of them only for total pressures 402 00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:05,439 Speaker 1: amongst interior alignment for the past two seasons. Simon, I 403 00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:07,639 Speaker 1: want to bet against the Jets. I don't want to 404 00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:10,160 Speaker 1: root for Aaron Rodgers, but I look at the overall 405 00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:14,320 Speaker 1: of this team, I look at their foundation and I 406 00:21:14,320 --> 00:21:14,920 Speaker 1: can't do it. 407 00:21:15,119 --> 00:21:18,760 Speaker 2: I like him, and I'm not here to convince people. 408 00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:21,040 Speaker 2: I like Aaron Rodgers. But you have to see this kid. 409 00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:24,320 Speaker 2: Where he's come from is he went to Juco and 410 00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:26,720 Speaker 2: when he was in college apparently he said people basically 411 00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:28,159 Speaker 2: told him he was gonna be dumb in a failure 412 00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:30,920 Speaker 2: in life, and he is what we talked about. He 413 00:21:31,520 --> 00:21:33,920 Speaker 2: just likes revenge, like this guy likes to prove people 414 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:37,080 Speaker 2: wrong and he's very vindictive, and you know, him dropping 415 00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:39,960 Speaker 2: in the draft, he talked about like that changed his 416 00:21:40,040 --> 00:21:42,800 Speaker 2: trajectory in life, Like he worked so hard because he 417 00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:44,480 Speaker 2: was just like, once again people didn't believe in me 418 00:21:44,480 --> 00:21:47,359 Speaker 2: and all these other people's I get where you're coming from. 419 00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:49,760 Speaker 2: That's what made him in that personality though, where he's 420 00:21:49,840 --> 00:21:52,160 Speaker 2: just he's totally gone the other way because it has 421 00:21:52,240 --> 00:21:54,600 Speaker 2: worked out for him. Chad, right, So it's like he 422 00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:57,080 Speaker 2: does think his shit don't stink when it does stink. 423 00:21:57,119 --> 00:21:58,720 Speaker 2: It's like he ain't the smartest man in the room 424 00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:03,120 Speaker 2: just because he's incredible gifted at football. But for this season, 425 00:22:03,880 --> 00:22:07,040 Speaker 2: it's all there, Like it's just it's perfectly set up 426 00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:10,159 Speaker 2: where they have the schedule and I do think you know, 427 00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:13,439 Speaker 2: even if you know things don't work out, Reddick, I 428 00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:16,080 Speaker 2: still chug that defense. I just think overall they had 429 00:22:16,119 --> 00:22:19,000 Speaker 2: the talent there and then offensively, it's just I mean, 430 00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:22,199 Speaker 2: fantasy people know this right now. Rees All and you 431 00:22:22,200 --> 00:22:25,000 Speaker 2: know Wilson are both first round picks and fantasy football, 432 00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:28,439 Speaker 2: it's these guys ceilings are you know, Hall could be 433 00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:30,080 Speaker 2: the number one running back in football at the end 434 00:22:30,080 --> 00:22:32,440 Speaker 2: of the season. And we've seen Roger's career. He likes 435 00:22:32,440 --> 00:22:34,199 Speaker 2: a lock on the number one targets. It's just his 436 00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:36,879 Speaker 2: playing style. He always finds a guy he likes and trust. 437 00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:39,000 Speaker 2: He doesn't care if that guy's doubled. He's gonna try 438 00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:40,720 Speaker 2: to fit in there. Trust and put that on the 439 00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 2: guy we just saw get Wilson have an incredible season 440 00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:46,240 Speaker 2: with Zach Wilson. I mean, it's just I just can't 441 00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:47,760 Speaker 2: get over how much potential is there. And then we 442 00:22:47,800 --> 00:22:49,440 Speaker 2: mix in the schedule, Chat, what are you talking about? 443 00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:50,960 Speaker 2: You know, if they lose their first game this year, 444 00:22:51,320 --> 00:22:53,120 Speaker 2: we could easily see them ritt all of five wins 445 00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:56,040 Speaker 2: afterwards and be five to one heading into mid mid October. 446 00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:59,720 Speaker 2: So this is the team that it's all set for them. 447 00:23:00,440 --> 00:23:02,760 Speaker 2: And even if Rogers does go down with an injury. 448 00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:04,320 Speaker 2: I told you, I like the fact they picked up 449 00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:07,360 Speaker 2: Tyrod Taylor. It's like they picked up just the robot, 450 00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:09,639 Speaker 2: like the guy that they know can run a very 451 00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:12,760 Speaker 2: boring and emic goffense. Because I won't lie to you, Chat, 452 00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:14,479 Speaker 2: I do not trust to do the other these other 453 00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:16,959 Speaker 2: teams in this division. That's my biggest pause with them 454 00:23:17,000 --> 00:23:20,280 Speaker 2: right now is the coaching. I just don't know if 455 00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 2: offensively don't trust it and defensively I don't know. I'm 456 00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:26,480 Speaker 2: a trade I have right now. So this is a 457 00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:29,159 Speaker 2: team where I get your hesitation, but a nine and 458 00:23:29,200 --> 00:23:32,120 Speaker 2: a half I'll take it. And you can actually take 459 00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:34,320 Speaker 2: this because it's minus one fifty nine and a half 460 00:23:34,480 --> 00:23:36,200 Speaker 2: if you want a plus number. I have no issue 461 00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:37,880 Speaker 2: taking a ten and a half bet with this team either, 462 00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:40,439 Speaker 2: because it's just another team. I really like their win totals. 463 00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:42,879 Speaker 2: So if you just want you know you're gonna tie 464 00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:44,280 Speaker 2: money for six months here you want to make, I'm 465 00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:46,880 Speaker 2: sure it's plus money through the ten and a half. 466 00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:49,200 Speaker 2: I've done it, plus one thirty five plus one forty. 467 00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:53,120 Speaker 2: So this is a team that you know, I hate 468 00:23:53,160 --> 00:23:54,680 Speaker 2: being I hate like we talk of all the time chat. 469 00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:56,520 Speaker 2: This is a media darling, right, This is a team 470 00:23:56,560 --> 00:23:59,359 Speaker 2: that will be all hype just because the Jets have 471 00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:02,320 Speaker 2: had nothing hold on to since Mark Sanchez and like 472 00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:04,800 Speaker 2: you'll never hear the louder market that's done nothing in 473 00:24:04,840 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 2: twelve years. It's crazy that Jets the Jets fan base, 474 00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:10,959 Speaker 2: So I get that it's chalky people, but I do 475 00:24:11,040 --> 00:24:13,119 Speaker 2: think it's all lined up perfectly for this team, like 476 00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:17,440 Speaker 2: last place schedule in a division that you know those 477 00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:19,000 Speaker 2: those games matter. You just talk with The Bills have 478 00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:21,639 Speaker 2: a brutal schedule. The Jets will benefit playing from a 479 00:24:21,720 --> 00:24:22,640 Speaker 2: much easier schedule. 480 00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:29,640 Speaker 1: Mike, you spent years in this division. Bring some Jersey 481 00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:33,200 Speaker 1: Shore reality to Simon Well. 482 00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:35,280 Speaker 3: I call him on my on my show and on 483 00:24:35,320 --> 00:24:38,359 Speaker 3: my podcast. I call them the offfers because everything that 484 00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:42,840 Speaker 3: Simon said, if if they're healthy, it's true, they're the effers. 485 00:24:42,920 --> 00:24:45,000 Speaker 3: I mean, what Aaron Rodgers are we getting? Are we 486 00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:47,720 Speaker 3: getting the Aaron Rodgers from the last year in Green Bay? 487 00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:50,120 Speaker 3: Are we getting the Aaron Rodgers from the MVP seasons? 488 00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:52,480 Speaker 3: I don't know that. You know, I've never seen a 489 00:24:52,480 --> 00:24:55,480 Speaker 3: guy come off the Achilles and play to the same level. Now, 490 00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:57,840 Speaker 3: the procedure he had on the achilles. If you talk 491 00:24:57,960 --> 00:25:02,400 Speaker 3: to medical people about that procedure, they say it allows 492 00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:06,560 Speaker 3: you to come back quickly. However, the propensity for reinjury 493 00:25:06,680 --> 00:25:09,840 Speaker 3: is there, right, so you can rehab quicker. 494 00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:10,520 Speaker 2: But there is a. 495 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:13,120 Speaker 3: Propensity for that, all right, So you worry about that. 496 00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:16,720 Speaker 3: Tyron Taylor is always injured. I mean he's going to 497 00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:18,440 Speaker 3: play a couple of games, He's going to get hurt. 498 00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,399 Speaker 3: They do have a backup. You know, I don't agree 499 00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:23,840 Speaker 3: with them being the fifth best offensive line in football. 500 00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:26,080 Speaker 3: I haven't seen it yet. I mean, Tyron Smith is 501 00:25:26,119 --> 00:25:29,240 Speaker 3: always hurt, Morgan Moses is always on the ground, Tucker's 502 00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:33,440 Speaker 3: coming off in ACL Tipman and Simpson are just average 503 00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:36,880 Speaker 3: players so far. So maybe when we get if they 504 00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:39,960 Speaker 3: get going, they're the bout fifth best line. I can't 505 00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 3: say that. I think Bryce Brice Hall is remarkable for 506 00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:46,960 Speaker 3: gaining eight hundred yards behind that really really bad offensive 507 00:25:46,960 --> 00:25:49,080 Speaker 3: line that they had last year with all those backups 508 00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:51,840 Speaker 3: in it. So and Mike Williams is another effort. The 509 00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:54,480 Speaker 3: guy's been trending on the downward slide and saying in 510 00:25:54,520 --> 00:25:57,600 Speaker 3: Los Angeles, even though he's got great big playability, can 511 00:25:57,600 --> 00:26:00,800 Speaker 3: he stay healthy. So if you're betting against him saying not, 512 00:26:00,880 --> 00:26:02,760 Speaker 3: all these things are going to come to fruition, and 513 00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:05,959 Speaker 3: you're also saying what Simon said. Robert Salah is leading 514 00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:08,960 Speaker 3: this team, and you know, I don't know who sends 515 00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 3: him out to a press conference, but obviously he doesn't 516 00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:14,360 Speaker 3: have anybody talking to him before he talks about the team. 517 00:26:14,680 --> 00:26:17,159 Speaker 3: You know, everything's always in disarray. The strength of the 518 00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:19,919 Speaker 3: team is their defense. But I think Bryce Hall was 519 00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,160 Speaker 3: really good for him last year. I think John Franklin 520 00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:24,920 Speaker 3: Myers was really good for him last year. And I think, 521 00:26:24,920 --> 00:26:27,720 Speaker 3: to me, they haven't really replaced those two players. I 522 00:26:27,720 --> 00:26:30,040 Speaker 3: think they were the two of the two best defensive players. 523 00:26:30,480 --> 00:26:32,800 Speaker 3: But I agree with that there logic to bet over 524 00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:35,919 Speaker 3: because if all this comes in, you got it, but 525 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:37,879 Speaker 3: there's a propensity for it might not happen. 526 00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:44,520 Speaker 1: When does it happen? When in the NFL does everything 527 00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:48,320 Speaker 1: work out exactly as you need it to, especially when 528 00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:53,280 Speaker 1: the quarterback is forty years old coming off a full 529 00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:57,920 Speaker 1: miss season with an achilles injury. And to your point, Mike, 530 00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:02,680 Speaker 1: people will remember a couple of great years with Lafloor, 531 00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:06,240 Speaker 1: but they will forget that for three of those I 532 00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:09,600 Speaker 1: think five years he played with Lafloor, he was on 533 00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:14,080 Speaker 1: the downward tread. So it is like now, all of 534 00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:17,240 Speaker 1: a sudden, I don't really like Simon's take. I think 535 00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:19,680 Speaker 1: I like your to take better, because. 536 00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:23,600 Speaker 3: Well, it's something about your strength to schedule, your strength 537 00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:26,560 Speaker 3: of schedules. Like for me being in the league, I 538 00:27:26,600 --> 00:27:29,520 Speaker 3: never really gave much thought to the scheduling because I 539 00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:32,440 Speaker 3: wanted it was about what quarterback are replaying and if 540 00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:34,919 Speaker 3: the team's not healthy at quarterback, that's a that's an 541 00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:38,439 Speaker 3: easier game. So but one thing about the Jets and 542 00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:42,119 Speaker 3: the strength of schedule, because of the media reaction because 543 00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:45,640 Speaker 3: of Aaron Rodgers, they'll be everybody super Bowl. No one's 544 00:27:45,680 --> 00:27:48,120 Speaker 3: going to take them lightly. Like no one's saying, hey 545 00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:50,520 Speaker 3: we got the Jets this week, no big game. But 546 00:27:50,680 --> 00:27:52,760 Speaker 3: the bad teams are saying, hey we got the Jets 547 00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:54,679 Speaker 3: this week. We got we got If we show up 548 00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:56,800 Speaker 3: to the Jets, we're good. See, that's a whole different 549 00:27:56,880 --> 00:27:59,160 Speaker 3: You go from being the hunter to the hunted. It's 550 00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:02,479 Speaker 3: a different game. And you know, that's why the NFL 551 00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:05,320 Speaker 3: is so hard to handicap all the time because you 552 00:28:05,359 --> 00:28:08,440 Speaker 3: can't always understand the emotions that go on in locker rooms. 553 00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:10,960 Speaker 3: The Jets, like the first game, they're what I think 554 00:28:11,000 --> 00:28:12,640 Speaker 3: it's five and a half, it's gone down to four 555 00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:14,680 Speaker 3: and a half. It's jockeyed around based on the forty 556 00:28:14,760 --> 00:28:17,960 Speaker 3: nine Ers in the Ayuk situation. But to me, that's 557 00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:20,560 Speaker 3: a good matchup for the Jets because their front will 558 00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:23,280 Speaker 3: get the forty nine ers offensive line without Trent Williams. 559 00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:27,040 Speaker 3: They play from in front. All that, but after that game, 560 00:28:27,080 --> 00:28:29,000 Speaker 3: they're always going to be somebody's target. 561 00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:33,440 Speaker 1: I think this is the most fascinating team to think 562 00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:38,640 Speaker 1: about betting in the NFL. It's lined just a little 563 00:28:38,640 --> 00:28:43,080 Speaker 1: bit high to make you nervous about betting the over 564 00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:46,920 Speaker 1: nine and a half because it's all on the if. 565 00:28:47,400 --> 00:28:50,320 Speaker 1: It's all on if Aaron Rodgers is good. It's all 566 00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:54,280 Speaker 1: on if toront Smith can be healthy for a full 567 00:28:54,320 --> 00:28:57,000 Speaker 1: season and be as dominant as he was in his 568 00:28:57,120 --> 00:29:01,760 Speaker 1: prime with the Cowboys. It's all can Breis Hall make 569 00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:06,120 Speaker 1: that leap in the second year after an ACL injury. 570 00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:10,360 Speaker 1: It's It's a fascinating team. And to your point about coaches, 571 00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:14,160 Speaker 1: nobody's got confidence in these coaches. Let me give you 572 00:29:14,160 --> 00:29:17,320 Speaker 1: a stat about Nathaniel Packett. He's in his second year 573 00:29:17,840 --> 00:29:21,920 Speaker 1: as offensive coordinator with the Jets. Eleventh as a coach 574 00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:25,920 Speaker 1: or offensive coordinator. In those previous ten seasons, his teams 575 00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:29,719 Speaker 1: were ninety three seventy eight to the under, going five 576 00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:34,000 Speaker 1: hundred or better to the under for all five with 577 00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:37,840 Speaker 1: all five teams he's been a part of. I don't 578 00:29:37,840 --> 00:29:42,160 Speaker 1: think we can expect this to be an explosive Annon 579 00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:46,040 Speaker 1: Rodgers offense. Which means their defense is going to have 580 00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:49,080 Speaker 1: to win because these games are going to be low scoring, 581 00:29:49,240 --> 00:29:51,520 Speaker 1: which speaks even more to the power of what we're 582 00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:56,240 Speaker 1: saying about their defense. Simon, are you still on the Jets? 583 00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:59,160 Speaker 2: Yeah? I liked about the upside of it, where it's 584 00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:02,960 Speaker 2: all there. Yeah, we're talking, you know, week the week. 585 00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:04,400 Speaker 2: This is the team that we might not be on 586 00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:06,920 Speaker 2: just because they're overvalued. But I think long term, yeah, 587 00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:10,160 Speaker 2: it's just you know, this bet could be dead by 588 00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:12,960 Speaker 2: you know, early November, which is no worries. It's like, 589 00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:15,920 Speaker 2: all right, well swinging a miss, it's the damn Jets. 590 00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:19,160 Speaker 2: But if it's not this year, Chad, I feel bad 591 00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:20,960 Speaker 2: for these fans because it's going to be a dark 592 00:30:21,080 --> 00:30:22,840 Speaker 2: four or five years out of them. I mean, they've 593 00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:24,960 Speaker 2: really gone boom or bust with this team. 594 00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:28,640 Speaker 1: The schedule is what the schedule is. Mike makes a 595 00:30:28,640 --> 00:30:30,400 Speaker 1: good point about how you look at it in season, 596 00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:34,520 Speaker 1: and we're both all aligned that it plays to the 597 00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:38,880 Speaker 1: benefit of the Jets. But for the record, they will 598 00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:42,480 Speaker 1: play six night games. Again to Mike's point that everyone 599 00:30:42,600 --> 00:30:44,800 Speaker 1: is aware that Aaron Rodgers is playing for the Jets, 600 00:30:44,840 --> 00:30:46,680 Speaker 1: and the NFL wants to put them in prime time, 601 00:30:47,320 --> 00:30:51,440 Speaker 1: six night games, and a game in London without a bye. 602 00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:54,040 Speaker 1: No other team plays more than four night games in 603 00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:57,720 Speaker 1: the first eleven weeks in the last twenty years. The 604 00:30:57,800 --> 00:31:01,360 Speaker 1: Jets six night games within the first eleven weeks, the 605 00:31:01,400 --> 00:31:03,600 Speaker 1: most by any team in the NFL. So even if 606 00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:08,000 Speaker 1: it's an easier schedule, the actual scheduling doesn't do them 607 00:31:08,080 --> 00:31:13,200 Speaker 1: any favors. But Jets, however, at the Niners, as Mike said, 608 00:31:13,720 --> 00:31:15,280 Speaker 1: they will be one of the teams that we play 609 00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:22,640 Speaker 1: in Week one. There's no doubt about it. Miami Dolphins 610 00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:26,160 Speaker 1: twenty two to one to win the Super Bowl plus 611 00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:29,120 Speaker 1: two hundred to win the Division. Nine and a half 612 00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:33,080 Speaker 1: is the total strength to schedule eighth easiest O line 613 00:31:33,160 --> 00:31:40,560 Speaker 1: rank midling eighteenth according to PFF. You could argue that 614 00:31:40,640 --> 00:31:43,920 Speaker 1: this O line it's a perfect reflection of this team, 615 00:31:44,520 --> 00:31:46,760 Speaker 1: better than it looks because of the system. They don't 616 00:31:46,800 --> 00:31:49,040 Speaker 1: have to hold their blocks because two, it gets the 617 00:31:49,040 --> 00:31:52,320 Speaker 1: ball out so quickly thanks to Mike McDaniel's scheme, which 618 00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:54,520 Speaker 1: by the way, makes two will look better as well. 619 00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:58,240 Speaker 1: D line rank twenty fifth. This is a problem, and 620 00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:00,920 Speaker 1: not in a good Miles Garrett problem kind of way. 621 00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:05,280 Speaker 1: This is just a problem. Christian Wilkins best player left 622 00:32:05,480 --> 00:32:09,000 Speaker 1: in free agency. Andrew van Ginkel had a career year 623 00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:14,120 Speaker 1: he left. Bradley Chubb was supposed to be an edge rusher, 624 00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:17,840 Speaker 1: game changer. Still recovering from the week seventeen ACL. We 625 00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:24,040 Speaker 1: don't know when he'll play Mike two. It just got 626 00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:27,040 Speaker 1: a bag. I feel like this team is in a 627 00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:30,000 Speaker 1: position where it's not going to be it's never going 628 00:32:30,040 --> 00:32:31,920 Speaker 1: to be a contender. It's a middle of the road team. 629 00:32:34,520 --> 00:32:36,680 Speaker 3: Well, I think there's a couple of factors going on here. 630 00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:39,000 Speaker 3: He's the only quarterback really in the league when you 631 00:32:39,120 --> 00:32:42,040 Speaker 3: study that's still effective in the RPO game. The RPO 632 00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:45,000 Speaker 3: game is dying. I mean, you look at Jalen Hurt's 633 00:32:45,080 --> 00:32:47,520 Speaker 3: numbers in the RPO game from two years ago to 634 00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:50,880 Speaker 3: last year. It's gone significantly down, almost by five hundred yards. 635 00:32:51,200 --> 00:32:55,080 Speaker 3: This kid's his that's his strength the RPO game, and 636 00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:58,880 Speaker 3: he's you've eloquently said it perfectly. He is enhanced by 637 00:32:58,920 --> 00:33:02,640 Speaker 3: the system, by the skill around them. But the second 638 00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:04,960 Speaker 3: half of the season, with the skill and the system 639 00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:07,760 Speaker 3: around them, have been a failure for the Miami Dophins. 640 00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:10,080 Speaker 3: They're four and ten. The second half of the season 641 00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:14,880 Speaker 3: with Mike McDaniel over the last fourteen games okay two 642 00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:18,080 Speaker 3: of last year throws fourth eleven touchdowns, seven interceptions the 643 00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:21,120 Speaker 3: second half of the season, same system, same players, all 644 00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:23,200 Speaker 3: those things. And now you add in the flavor that 645 00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:26,920 Speaker 3: he's got the contract. At thirteen fumbles last year in 646 00:33:26,960 --> 00:33:29,200 Speaker 3: the quarterback pocket, he's much skinnier than he was the 647 00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:32,680 Speaker 3: year before. The concussion protocol is still in play for him. 648 00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:34,960 Speaker 3: One of the reasons why he wanted a new contract 649 00:33:35,000 --> 00:33:36,880 Speaker 3: because he wanted to make sure that he got that done. 650 00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:39,440 Speaker 3: And we've yet to see them beat a good football 651 00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:43,160 Speaker 3: team ever under Tua's leadership. I mean the Eagles, and Simon, 652 00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:45,240 Speaker 3: you're an Eagle fan, you know this as well as anybody. 653 00:33:45,440 --> 00:33:48,040 Speaker 3: They were not good on defense, and they shut down 654 00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:52,680 Speaker 3: Miami's offense because why because good defensive coaches understand how 655 00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:55,080 Speaker 3: to play Miami. You play the rpo game. The balls 656 00:33:55,080 --> 00:33:57,840 Speaker 3: are going to certain spots. Now, it's easier said than done, 657 00:33:57,840 --> 00:34:01,640 Speaker 3: because Hill's an incredibly gifted player, unlike any we've ever 658 00:34:01,640 --> 00:34:05,640 Speaker 3: seen before. He's got Barry Sanders quickness with Brandy Moss speed. 659 00:34:05,680 --> 00:34:08,640 Speaker 3: Those are hard things to put together. But I'm not 660 00:34:08,680 --> 00:34:11,200 Speaker 3: a fan because I think at some point there has 661 00:34:11,239 --> 00:34:13,440 Speaker 3: to be a level of toughness. I think at some 662 00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:17,160 Speaker 3: point there has to be a defense that can take 663 00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:19,359 Speaker 3: and win the game. And when I read all the 664 00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:21,839 Speaker 3: comments that they said about Vic Fangio when he left, 665 00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:23,839 Speaker 3: it tells me this is more of a softer team, 666 00:34:24,120 --> 00:34:27,600 Speaker 3: and the evidence supports it. So I'm not buying it. 667 00:34:27,719 --> 00:34:31,080 Speaker 3: You know, wins on Pup Brewer got hurt yesterday, their 668 00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:36,000 Speaker 3: offensive lineman. I think this is a team that everybody 669 00:34:36,040 --> 00:34:38,040 Speaker 3: got paid, but nobody's going to be happy. 670 00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:40,640 Speaker 1: That's a great NFL line right there. 671 00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:43,279 Speaker 2: Yeah, this was a team I wanted to like, Chad like, 672 00:34:43,320 --> 00:34:45,440 Speaker 2: they're really funny, exciting, like we said, an offense and 673 00:34:45,440 --> 00:34:47,399 Speaker 2: they kept all the guys together. But when you really 674 00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:49,680 Speaker 2: do go into what they let go on defense last 675 00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:52,680 Speaker 2: year again arguably the best detackle on football. How do 676 00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:55,200 Speaker 2: you not pay that man, that's a position you just pay. 677 00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:58,080 Speaker 2: You just you suck up and you pay that positions 678 00:34:58,160 --> 00:35:01,960 Speaker 2: because it's such a key anchor to that defense. So 679 00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:04,000 Speaker 2: the fact that he's gone, you know, Fangs is now 680 00:35:04,080 --> 00:35:06,480 Speaker 2: up in Philly coaching like that's that's a big loss 681 00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:08,520 Speaker 2: for them on defense. He eyeled a lot together on 682 00:35:08,560 --> 00:35:11,920 Speaker 2: that defense last year. And you know, to me, it's 683 00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:14,799 Speaker 2: a team that it's it's easy to bet their aggression. Right. 684 00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:16,319 Speaker 2: It felt like a lot of things broke their way 685 00:35:16,360 --> 00:35:18,439 Speaker 2: last year. They had a lot of really crazy close wins. 686 00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:20,680 Speaker 2: I mean even Week one, that Chargers game was just 687 00:35:20,719 --> 00:35:23,080 Speaker 2: a back and forth shootout. They kept winning those kind 688 00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:25,239 Speaker 2: of games, right, and that's why we kind of, you know, 689 00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:29,600 Speaker 2: grew to respect this offense. It's like, to a I agree, 690 00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:32,960 Speaker 2: he's probably slightly overpaid. He's right for this offense. Like 691 00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:35,439 Speaker 2: what he does though, those one two reads, that's that's 692 00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:37,760 Speaker 2: what he is. He's a first or second red quarterback 693 00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:39,799 Speaker 2: that gets a ball out of his hands whether it's 694 00:35:39,800 --> 00:35:42,200 Speaker 2: there or not. He's gonna let his receivers do their 695 00:35:42,280 --> 00:35:44,840 Speaker 2: jobs just because he has two top twenty five receivers. 696 00:35:44,840 --> 00:35:48,560 Speaker 2: So it's like, all right, if Tyreek kills covered double 697 00:35:48,560 --> 00:35:50,840 Speaker 2: cover here or bracketed, I'll just go to wide on 698 00:35:50,840 --> 00:35:53,280 Speaker 2: the single coverage. It's it's not that complicated an offense, 699 00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:55,840 Speaker 2: especially when we're talking about the RPOs, which is always 700 00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:58,040 Speaker 2: gonna have the all the offense open the middle up 701 00:35:58,080 --> 00:36:00,719 Speaker 2: just because the linebackers are always stepping up just you 702 00:36:00,760 --> 00:36:02,239 Speaker 2: know they give it. They do hand the ball off, 703 00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:04,880 Speaker 2: which I know it sounds crazy there. Their best offense 704 00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:06,680 Speaker 2: is when they do run the ball like that's if 705 00:36:06,719 --> 00:36:08,359 Speaker 2: you go back and look through their history of the games, 706 00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:10,680 Speaker 2: that's when they're so dominant. That's why I issue with 707 00:36:10,680 --> 00:36:12,600 Speaker 2: this team this year. They're not gonna have the defense 708 00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:14,600 Speaker 2: to have games where they can just run the ball. 709 00:36:14,680 --> 00:36:16,800 Speaker 2: It feels like they're always going to be chasing points 710 00:36:17,000 --> 00:36:18,520 Speaker 2: just because they're always going to be kind of behind 711 00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:21,520 Speaker 2: because of this defense. So nine and a half is rich, 712 00:36:21,719 --> 00:36:24,000 Speaker 2: Like I got them right in nine wins. So I 713 00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:25,839 Speaker 2: don't really have a bet either side. I probably lean 714 00:36:25,880 --> 00:36:29,160 Speaker 2: towards the under here Division odds are terrible plus two 715 00:36:29,239 --> 00:36:31,120 Speaker 2: hundred and what world would you bet this? It's just 716 00:36:31,480 --> 00:36:33,160 Speaker 2: to me, it's either the Bills or the Jets. I'm 717 00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:35,680 Speaker 2: shocked when Chad said the Jets were down a plus 718 00:36:35,719 --> 00:36:38,959 Speaker 2: one eighty. They were plus two thirty a month ago, 719 00:36:39,040 --> 00:36:41,120 Speaker 2: so that they've been they've been hit pretty hard now 720 00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:46,040 Speaker 2: these last couple of weeks. This Miami team, I don't 721 00:36:46,040 --> 00:36:47,879 Speaker 2: know who's betting them. I just don't know who would 722 00:36:47,880 --> 00:36:49,880 Speaker 2: believe in this team to win this division, let alone 723 00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:52,279 Speaker 2: put any type of money on Super Bowl futures, Like 724 00:36:52,360 --> 00:36:55,160 Speaker 2: when you know, no matter what, they're having to go 725 00:36:55,160 --> 00:36:57,319 Speaker 2: to somewhere cold to win a playoff game. Doesn't matter. 726 00:36:57,360 --> 00:36:59,719 Speaker 2: If it's Baltimore, it doesn't matter, if it's Cincy, doesn't matter. 727 00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:03,760 Speaker 2: I like, you know, the Chiefs. It's all bad right there. 728 00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:06,319 Speaker 2: So to me, that's that's a bad bed if you're 729 00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:08,520 Speaker 2: typing type in any type of future on a team. 730 00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:10,879 Speaker 2: This is one I've not even thought about it at all. 731 00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:13,319 Speaker 2: It just does not line upright for them. But like 732 00:37:13,360 --> 00:37:15,440 Speaker 2: I said, if for the owner of the team, you 733 00:37:15,520 --> 00:37:17,719 Speaker 2: just want to have nine to ten wins every year, 734 00:37:18,680 --> 00:37:20,799 Speaker 2: congrats you built that team. Like that's what this team 735 00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:22,719 Speaker 2: feels like they're going to be for the next four 736 00:37:22,760 --> 00:37:25,000 Speaker 2: to five years. They're always going to be in it, 737 00:37:25,160 --> 00:37:27,399 Speaker 2: but no one is gonna have faith in them actually 738 00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:31,560 Speaker 2: going doing anything with this team. So yeah, it's it's tough. 739 00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:33,720 Speaker 2: If you're a fan of the team, you have high hopes, 740 00:37:33,760 --> 00:37:36,200 Speaker 2: but as it better here to be really honest, yet, 741 00:37:36,239 --> 00:37:38,080 Speaker 2: I just there's nothing here I really want to invest 742 00:37:38,080 --> 00:37:38,680 Speaker 2: in on this team. 743 00:37:39,280 --> 00:37:42,440 Speaker 1: You guys both pointed out two was kind of a 744 00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:50,040 Speaker 1: beat up on bad teams win at home, flashy, mile wide, 745 00:37:50,160 --> 00:37:55,160 Speaker 1: inch deep as a quarterback. Two and ten straight up, three, 746 00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:59,440 Speaker 1: eight and one against the spread are way from home 747 00:38:00,120 --> 00:38:05,839 Speaker 1: versus winning teams in his career. His last straight up 748 00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:09,560 Speaker 1: win came in September of twenty twenty two against the Ravens. 749 00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:12,680 Speaker 1: So that's seven consecutive losses. And I think we all 750 00:38:12,680 --> 00:38:16,520 Speaker 1: remember that game crazy hot. It's one of those early 751 00:38:16,560 --> 00:38:21,680 Speaker 1: season games that like, it's really challenging for the opposing team. 752 00:38:22,920 --> 00:38:27,960 Speaker 1: Looking at the Dolphins schedule, Miami is projected to play 753 00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:34,520 Speaker 1: away from home versus a winning team, potentially in Week 754 00:38:34,600 --> 00:38:39,040 Speaker 1: three against the Seahawks, Week nine versus the Bills, Week 755 00:38:39,120 --> 00:38:45,080 Speaker 1: ten versus the Rams, Week thirteen, versus the Packers, Week fifteen, 756 00:38:45,239 --> 00:38:49,560 Speaker 1: versus the Texans, Week seventeen versus the Browns, Week eighteen 757 00:38:50,239 --> 00:38:55,160 Speaker 1: against the Jets. That's one, two, three, four, five, six, 758 00:38:55,800 --> 00:38:59,680 Speaker 1: seven potential games against winning teams over the course of 759 00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:04,080 Speaker 1: the season. And that does not build well for this 760 00:39:04,200 --> 00:39:04,719 Speaker 1: team at all. 761 00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:08,640 Speaker 2: No, No, it's and again that's Bill for cole Weather. 762 00:39:08,719 --> 00:39:10,440 Speaker 2: They're not. Now that's not like that's I picked up 763 00:39:10,440 --> 00:39:12,360 Speaker 2: when you said a bunch of those are cold weather games. 764 00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:15,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, look, he struggles go back to Tennessee. 765 00:39:15,239 --> 00:39:19,080 Speaker 3: Played Tennessee three years ago, and the first quarter it 766 00:39:19,120 --> 00:39:21,800 Speaker 3: looked really good. It started to rain in Tennessee forty 767 00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:25,080 Speaker 3: five degrees in rain. His hands are small, he can't 768 00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:28,759 Speaker 3: control the ball in bad weather. I mean it's perfect conditions. 769 00:39:28,840 --> 00:39:31,960 Speaker 3: He's good. Look they got Tyreek Hill. Could he stay 770 00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:34,719 Speaker 3: healthy for all seventeen I don't know. Armstead the left 771 00:39:34,719 --> 00:39:36,879 Speaker 3: tackle can't stay healthy for a game, let alone all 772 00:39:36,880 --> 00:39:40,560 Speaker 3: seventeen games. So you know, Isaiah wins on pup And 773 00:39:40,600 --> 00:39:42,719 Speaker 3: of course you haven't mentioned ched. They have the great 774 00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:46,600 Speaker 3: O'Dell Beckham, which is guaranteed you to get bet by everybody. 775 00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:49,440 Speaker 3: I mean, you know, Odell's the greatest receiver that ever played. 776 00:39:49,440 --> 00:39:50,600 Speaker 3: I mean people are going to put him in the 777 00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:53,840 Speaker 3: Hall of Fame. But at some point, at some point, 778 00:39:54,080 --> 00:39:57,399 Speaker 3: all that all what we've learned is you could talk 779 00:39:57,440 --> 00:40:00,279 Speaker 3: all the offense you want. Kansas City one last year 780 00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:02,560 Speaker 3: with their defense, Let's make no bones about it. They 781 00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:04,759 Speaker 3: have the greatest quarterback. Don't get me wrong. They won 782 00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:07,239 Speaker 3: with defense. They were able to stay in games with 783 00:40:07,280 --> 00:40:09,319 Speaker 3: their defense, and I don't see it. You know, they 784 00:40:09,440 --> 00:40:11,719 Speaker 3: signed Jordan Poyer, who's going to StEB a hard time 785 00:40:11,760 --> 00:40:14,239 Speaker 3: staying healthy. Ramsey's a good corner, but everybody's going to 786 00:40:14,239 --> 00:40:17,720 Speaker 3: throw on Kendall Fuller. You know, where's the rush. Kalais 787 00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:20,920 Speaker 3: Campbell actually was Atlanta's best defense of lineman. He had 788 00:40:20,960 --> 00:40:24,359 Speaker 3: nineteen quarterback pressures last year. So he comes in, But 789 00:40:24,480 --> 00:40:26,680 Speaker 3: can you expect him to fill in for Wilkins? Who's 790 00:40:26,680 --> 00:40:29,000 Speaker 3: a Really they made no attempt to sign Wilkins at all, 791 00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:30,680 Speaker 3: which I thought was ridiculous. 792 00:40:31,320 --> 00:40:35,200 Speaker 1: You know a Kalays Campbell, Mike, I think he played 793 00:40:35,200 --> 00:40:38,279 Speaker 1: for that nineteen seventies Boilers team. That's how long he's 794 00:40:38,320 --> 00:40:42,279 Speaker 1: been around b Ramsey. He's on the pup list too, 795 00:40:42,400 --> 00:40:44,480 Speaker 1: Like we don't know when he's going to be coming 796 00:40:44,560 --> 00:40:47,759 Speaker 1: back from his injury last year, so that defense is 797 00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:51,920 Speaker 1: in shambles. You're the GM of this team. We as 798 00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:56,760 Speaker 1: Simon and I as generally layman me. More than Simon 799 00:40:57,640 --> 00:40:59,880 Speaker 1: could see from a mile away, this team was building 800 00:41:00,120 --> 00:41:05,279 Speaker 1: self towards mediocrity. What do you do with tua if 801 00:41:05,320 --> 00:41:07,080 Speaker 1: you're the GAM of that team, do you feel like 802 00:41:07,120 --> 00:41:08,440 Speaker 1: they have handicapped themselves? 803 00:41:08,920 --> 00:41:09,040 Speaker 2: Like? 804 00:41:09,160 --> 00:41:12,879 Speaker 1: How are you building a team to escape the inertia 805 00:41:13,120 --> 00:41:14,560 Speaker 1: of eight to ten wins? 806 00:41:15,200 --> 00:41:17,440 Speaker 3: I'm waiting for a team to have enough balls when 807 00:41:17,440 --> 00:41:19,960 Speaker 3: they know who their quarterback is to draft a quarterback 808 00:41:20,280 --> 00:41:23,000 Speaker 3: and have the balls to replace them. See. I think 809 00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:25,840 Speaker 3: the biggest mistake we made, I made it in the league, 810 00:41:25,880 --> 00:41:29,240 Speaker 3: we all make it is when we overpay replaceable players. 811 00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:29,880 Speaker 2: Right. 812 00:41:30,040 --> 00:41:32,000 Speaker 3: Look, I'm not saying too is not a good player, 813 00:41:32,040 --> 00:41:34,840 Speaker 3: but he's certainly if they went to Mike White or 814 00:41:34,880 --> 00:41:38,080 Speaker 3: Skyler Thompson, they would be a lesser player. But maybe 815 00:41:38,080 --> 00:41:41,719 Speaker 3: if they drafted one. I think to me, when you 816 00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:44,960 Speaker 3: go down that road of overpaying good players, you end 817 00:41:45,040 --> 00:41:47,440 Speaker 3: up with a bad cap and not a good team. 818 00:41:48,040 --> 00:41:50,560 Speaker 3: Daniel Jones the perfect example. I mean, this is a 819 00:41:50,560 --> 00:41:53,480 Speaker 3: team the Giants thirty six percent win percentage since Tom 820 00:41:53,520 --> 00:41:56,600 Speaker 3: Kofflin left. But you talk to John Mara and he'll say, 821 00:41:56,680 --> 00:41:59,440 Speaker 3: Daniel Jones is a really good player. Well, you overpay 822 00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:02,719 Speaker 3: for good. You can never overpay for great. You can 823 00:42:02,800 --> 00:42:05,719 Speaker 3: never overpay for great. You're never overpaying Patrick Mahomes. You're 824 00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:08,880 Speaker 3: not overpaying Josh Allen. But you're going to overpay Brandon 825 00:42:08,920 --> 00:42:12,000 Speaker 3: Au because the media wants you to overpay him because 826 00:42:12,280 --> 00:42:14,480 Speaker 3: he thinks he's a top five receiver when yet his 827 00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:17,560 Speaker 3: numbers don't even are not the same as DJ Moore, 828 00:42:17,560 --> 00:42:20,120 Speaker 3: who makes twenty seven and a half night. That's where 829 00:42:20,160 --> 00:42:22,080 Speaker 3: you get in trouble with the cap and I think 830 00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:25,120 Speaker 3: that's where Miami is now. You know, they've paid no 831 00:42:25,239 --> 00:42:28,600 Speaker 3: attention to the offensive and defensive lines, which to me 832 00:42:28,760 --> 00:42:30,759 Speaker 3: is the essence of how you win championships. 833 00:42:32,000 --> 00:42:34,000 Speaker 1: Isn't it interesting just to go back to the GM 834 00:42:34,040 --> 00:42:35,600 Speaker 1: thing for one second? You know, I watched the Hard 835 00:42:35,680 --> 00:42:39,239 Speaker 1: Knots with the Giants, and I thought they're GM. In 836 00:42:39,320 --> 00:42:44,439 Speaker 1: those early couple of episodes about Saquon Barkley, they tried 837 00:42:44,480 --> 00:42:46,960 Speaker 1: to frame him as being a little bit out of 838 00:42:46,960 --> 00:42:50,279 Speaker 1: his depth, when in fact, he very well may be 839 00:42:50,400 --> 00:42:53,360 Speaker 1: on the right side history here because that offensive line 840 00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:58,000 Speaker 1: was so bad, and if you've invested in Daniel Jones, 841 00:42:58,000 --> 00:43:00,719 Speaker 1: you basically have this season to figure out is he 842 00:43:00,760 --> 00:43:03,719 Speaker 1: any good or not. You can't overspend on Saquon and 843 00:43:03,760 --> 00:43:06,759 Speaker 1: not do anything to improve the offensive line, which, by 844 00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:09,000 Speaker 1: the way, it's why we look at offensive and defensive 845 00:43:09,000 --> 00:43:12,200 Speaker 1: line rankings when we're doing these previews. But Mike, from 846 00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:15,760 Speaker 1: your point of view, when you saw how Joe Shine 847 00:43:15,960 --> 00:43:19,560 Speaker 1: was managing that situation and came across in Hard Knocks, 848 00:43:20,120 --> 00:43:22,520 Speaker 1: was that a nightmare for you as a GM. Did 849 00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:24,480 Speaker 1: you think, oh, he's managing as well? What was your 850 00:43:24,480 --> 00:43:24,920 Speaker 1: take on that. 851 00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:27,960 Speaker 3: I thought he managed like somebody at Biggie Sports bar 852 00:43:28,040 --> 00:43:31,160 Speaker 3: up in North Jersey. I thought he hurt our profession 853 00:43:31,280 --> 00:43:34,520 Speaker 3: in the sense that it wasn't That's not how it 854 00:43:34,560 --> 00:43:38,440 Speaker 3: should be run. There should be models. If we signed 855 00:43:38,440 --> 00:43:40,759 Speaker 3: Brian Burns and pay this, this is what our team 856 00:43:40,800 --> 00:43:43,200 Speaker 3: looks like. If we sign, if we don't, we sign 857 00:43:43,280 --> 00:43:45,480 Speaker 3: these five players. This is what our team looks like. 858 00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:49,120 Speaker 3: It's never about one thing. And he's talked about what 859 00:43:49,280 --> 00:43:54,520 Speaker 3: you said. I agreed with offensive line, but signing Germaine 860 00:43:54,520 --> 00:43:57,920 Speaker 3: Alumino or doesn't. If he's your best top offensive lineman, 861 00:43:58,120 --> 00:44:00,359 Speaker 3: you better go back to your pro personnel guy and say, 862 00:44:00,360 --> 00:44:02,200 Speaker 3: wait a minute, something's wrong here. This guy's been on 863 00:44:02,280 --> 00:44:04,600 Speaker 3: six teams. He's our pro best, he's our best player. 864 00:44:04,920 --> 00:44:07,720 Speaker 3: And then they signed running and that's it. See, everything 865 00:44:07,719 --> 00:44:10,879 Speaker 3: the Giants have done is always about protecting their draft picks. 866 00:44:10,920 --> 00:44:14,279 Speaker 3: Evan Neil's still on pup, can't play, they need to write. 867 00:44:14,320 --> 00:44:17,040 Speaker 3: So now Allumino's playing right tackle. So they signed Van 868 00:44:17,120 --> 00:44:19,879 Speaker 3: Note who is Now they have the Raiders right side 869 00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:22,160 Speaker 3: of the line of last year? How do you think 870 00:44:22,160 --> 00:44:24,080 Speaker 3: that's going to work out for him? So for me, 871 00:44:24,480 --> 00:44:25,839 Speaker 3: what I had a real issue with. 872 00:44:26,200 --> 00:44:26,919 Speaker 2: I learned this. 873 00:44:26,880 --> 00:44:30,879 Speaker 3: From the Giants because of Belichick and because of everything ourselves. 874 00:44:31,200 --> 00:44:34,280 Speaker 3: There's no identity there. We don't know who they are. 875 00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:36,640 Speaker 3: I want a general manager walk in and say this 876 00:44:36,680 --> 00:44:38,440 Speaker 3: is who we are. We're going to rebuild, this is 877 00:44:38,480 --> 00:44:40,200 Speaker 3: what we're going to build, a deep like I would 878 00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:43,439 Speaker 3: have signed Christian Wilkins and pay whatever it took, then 879 00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:46,759 Speaker 3: signed Brian Burns because with Lawrence and Wilkins inside, now 880 00:44:46,840 --> 00:44:49,080 Speaker 3: Jalen Hurts is going to have to run around the pocket. 881 00:44:49,640 --> 00:44:51,680 Speaker 3: Let me ask you both this question. Did you ever 882 00:44:51,719 --> 00:44:54,640 Speaker 3: hear them ever say how are we going to beat Dallas? 883 00:44:54,840 --> 00:44:58,080 Speaker 3: How are we going to beat Philly? Al Davis is 884 00:44:58,160 --> 00:45:01,400 Speaker 3: going to deserk not launce? Did they ever mention ol 885 00:45:01,480 --> 00:45:04,480 Speaker 3: Davis would have gone berserk by not hearing that? So 886 00:45:04,560 --> 00:45:07,279 Speaker 3: for me, it was a little too fandom for me 887 00:45:07,680 --> 00:45:11,239 Speaker 3: because I take great pride in the profession. But it's 888 00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:13,759 Speaker 3: not about what players should we sign, it's how are 889 00:45:13,760 --> 00:45:17,040 Speaker 3: we going to build this team? 890 00:45:17,200 --> 00:45:19,839 Speaker 1: New England one hundred and eighty to one to win 891 00:45:19,880 --> 00:45:23,319 Speaker 1: the Super Bowl twenty five to one plus twenty five 892 00:45:23,400 --> 00:45:24,520 Speaker 1: hundred to win the division. 893 00:45:24,560 --> 00:45:27,040 Speaker 3: You know what I call those odds. Those are Saint 894 00:45:27,120 --> 00:45:31,680 Speaker 3: Jude's plays. Chad, give them money to Saint Jud's. Give 895 00:45:31,719 --> 00:45:34,760 Speaker 3: them money to Saint Jude's. Right, say give them money. 896 00:45:34,880 --> 00:45:38,120 Speaker 3: Those kids at Saint Jud's are fighting and we should 897 00:45:38,120 --> 00:45:40,960 Speaker 3: help them. Don't waste your money on the Patriots. Give 898 00:45:41,000 --> 00:45:41,800 Speaker 3: it to Saint Juds. 899 00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:44,440 Speaker 1: It's only people out on Route one who are betting 900 00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:45,080 Speaker 1: those numbers. 901 00:45:45,400 --> 00:45:46,279 Speaker 2: I don't think they are. 902 00:45:47,120 --> 00:45:50,440 Speaker 1: And the win total is four and a half. Combine 903 00:45:50,440 --> 00:45:55,200 Speaker 1: this with the second hardest schedule, an A Line rank 904 00:45:55,239 --> 00:45:59,640 Speaker 1: of twenty eighth, a D Line rank of fifteenth, Simon. 905 00:45:59,760 --> 00:46:01,200 Speaker 1: What I do know is that we're going to bet 906 00:46:01,200 --> 00:46:05,759 Speaker 1: the Patriots in Week one. After that, I pretty much 907 00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:07,239 Speaker 1: think we're at again. 908 00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:09,080 Speaker 2: No, it has to be per set, but yeah, they 909 00:46:09,200 --> 00:46:11,960 Speaker 2: like they're already having a disaster camp where I think 910 00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:14,480 Speaker 2: their best de tackle has like blood clots or something 911 00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:16,759 Speaker 2: like that. And he came he's out for the year. Yeah, 912 00:46:16,800 --> 00:46:18,799 Speaker 2: And if you watch his tape chat, this is like 913 00:46:19,520 --> 00:46:22,360 Speaker 2: a hand picked Belichick guy, Like this guy is ascending 914 00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:24,359 Speaker 2: to be one of the better players in the league, 915 00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:26,719 Speaker 2: and now he might not play this season. You know 916 00:46:27,120 --> 00:46:29,400 Speaker 2: they're they're putting a lot onto Christian Dallas at the 917 00:46:29,440 --> 00:46:32,359 Speaker 2: quarnerback position, which is a guy that I thought, you know, 918 00:46:32,440 --> 00:46:34,160 Speaker 2: Belichick coached up great and he was one of their 919 00:46:34,160 --> 00:46:36,879 Speaker 2: best corners, and you know, you think he's gonna be better, 920 00:46:36,920 --> 00:46:40,479 Speaker 2: but again Bill's gone. That's my biggest issue with this team. 921 00:46:40,560 --> 00:46:42,759 Speaker 2: It's like people want to keep talking abot how good 922 00:46:42,760 --> 00:46:44,520 Speaker 2: their defense was last year, and it's like, I don't 923 00:46:44,560 --> 00:46:47,799 Speaker 2: think they understand that having the greatest mind ever that 924 00:46:47,880 --> 00:46:50,360 Speaker 2: coach the defense, it's gonna be a big loss, Like 925 00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:52,600 Speaker 2: he's not gonna be there and put them into these situations, 926 00:46:52,600 --> 00:46:55,080 Speaker 2: which is what Belichick's so great. He's so great at 927 00:46:55,080 --> 00:46:57,600 Speaker 2: putting these guys into great situations where it's like, oh, 928 00:46:57,719 --> 00:47:00,560 Speaker 2: we've practiced this situation a thousand times, exactly what to 929 00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:03,360 Speaker 2: do in these spots. That's gone. Even if the coach 930 00:47:03,440 --> 00:47:06,080 Speaker 2: they brought in is a guy who's off Belichick's tree, 931 00:47:06,880 --> 00:47:08,759 Speaker 2: it's still different. They're just because the guy played from 932 00:47:08,760 --> 00:47:11,239 Speaker 2: doesn't that means gonna have the same style. So this 933 00:47:11,280 --> 00:47:13,160 Speaker 2: is a team. I wanted to bet their over honesty 934 00:47:13,239 --> 00:47:14,759 Speaker 2: check because I wanted to be like, you know what, 935 00:47:15,440 --> 00:47:17,840 Speaker 2: they're not gonna be as bad as people perceive. But 936 00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:19,839 Speaker 2: it's more I dug into if they've drafted these two 937 00:47:19,920 --> 00:47:23,359 Speaker 2: really good wide receivers's this upcoming season, there's still not enough, 938 00:47:23,640 --> 00:47:25,040 Speaker 2: not enough there for me to build on. Where you 939 00:47:25,080 --> 00:47:28,040 Speaker 2: already talked about. It's the division's brutal, and their schedule 940 00:47:28,080 --> 00:47:30,600 Speaker 2: is brutal. It's just I can't find the wins there. 941 00:47:30,640 --> 00:47:33,200 Speaker 2: So they right now are the number one team for 942 00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:35,239 Speaker 2: worst record. So if you want to bet them worst record, 943 00:47:35,280 --> 00:47:37,600 Speaker 2: I think it's only plus three fifty, which is the 944 00:47:37,719 --> 00:47:39,560 Speaker 2: smallest dodge you can get right now. And worst team 945 00:47:39,600 --> 00:47:42,440 Speaker 2: of football. Now, let you know where the bookmakers are at. 946 00:47:42,480 --> 00:47:45,839 Speaker 2: They envisioned his team being, you know, either one number 947 00:47:45,880 --> 00:47:48,200 Speaker 2: one or two pick, and that means you're gonna have 948 00:47:48,200 --> 00:47:50,319 Speaker 2: to have to make a decision on Drake Namos likely, 949 00:47:50,320 --> 00:47:53,800 Speaker 2: which sounds stupid, but it's like we've seen it before. 950 00:47:53,920 --> 00:47:56,440 Speaker 2: Right when Josh Rosen, the Cardinals were like, all right, 951 00:47:56,440 --> 00:47:58,400 Speaker 2: we're out on this guy. They were happy to take 952 00:47:58,440 --> 00:48:00,320 Speaker 2: clim Erray with the number one pick. I mean, we 953 00:48:00,360 --> 00:48:02,239 Speaker 2: didn't eve talk about the Eagles. They did pay Wins 954 00:48:02,280 --> 00:48:04,480 Speaker 2: all that money and they took Hurts, not even two 955 00:48:04,560 --> 00:48:08,680 Speaker 2: years later in a draft the Bears the best most 956 00:48:08,680 --> 00:48:11,280 Speaker 2: recent example, they moved on right away. So the teams 957 00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:15,239 Speaker 2: are quickly pro Trey Lance, right. So I wouldn't be 958 00:48:15,239 --> 00:48:18,000 Speaker 2: shocked to see Drake May by a week four or five, 959 00:48:18,080 --> 00:48:19,680 Speaker 2: even if we don't think he's ready and people don't 960 00:48:19,680 --> 00:48:22,080 Speaker 2: think he's ready, they might be in the position where 961 00:48:22,120 --> 00:48:25,560 Speaker 2: it's like, well, this kid coming out now is upposed 962 00:48:25,600 --> 00:48:26,759 Speaker 2: to be the next big thing. We might have a 963 00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:28,560 Speaker 2: number one pick. We got to see what we have 964 00:48:28,640 --> 00:48:30,640 Speaker 2: here in Drake May, which again I don't totally agree with, 965 00:48:30,680 --> 00:48:32,759 Speaker 2: but at the same time, they might not have a 966 00:48:32,840 --> 00:48:36,520 Speaker 2: choice here. So yeah, it's like you're talking about these 967 00:48:36,600 --> 00:48:38,880 Speaker 2: numbers here. It doesn't even seem to real that they 968 00:48:38,920 --> 00:48:40,879 Speaker 2: are twenty five to one in the list division. That's 969 00:48:40,880 --> 00:48:44,319 Speaker 2: how far they have fallen. And it's it's all over right, 970 00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:48,360 Speaker 2: Bill's gone, Tom's gone. It's really dark days ahead for 971 00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:51,120 Speaker 2: this new England team right now. So I think them 972 00:48:51,120 --> 00:48:53,680 Speaker 2: having the most the best on odds that number one 973 00:48:53,719 --> 00:48:55,719 Speaker 2: pick is not shocking. We just think it's gonna be 974 00:48:55,719 --> 00:48:57,759 Speaker 2: a bottom feeding year for this this new England team. 975 00:48:59,160 --> 00:49:04,000 Speaker 3: Mike, I think to me, you know, look, nobody talks 976 00:49:04,040 --> 00:49:06,799 Speaker 3: about losing Belichick. The sixth best team in red zone 977 00:49:06,840 --> 00:49:10,399 Speaker 3: defense last year, six best team and third down that's 978 00:49:10,440 --> 00:49:11,200 Speaker 3: going to change. 979 00:49:11,440 --> 00:49:11,680 Speaker 2: You know. 980 00:49:11,760 --> 00:49:15,120 Speaker 3: That's the scheme element of the game that's controlled by 981 00:49:15,280 --> 00:49:17,879 Speaker 3: not as much talent as is by scheme on third 982 00:49:17,960 --> 00:49:20,200 Speaker 3: and out and in the red zone. So those numbers 983 00:49:20,239 --> 00:49:22,600 Speaker 3: are going to go up. In six games, they scored 984 00:49:22,680 --> 00:49:24,480 Speaker 3: less than ten points. They had the worst field goal 985 00:49:24,560 --> 00:49:28,200 Speaker 3: kicker in football, and yet you know they were in games. 986 00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:31,719 Speaker 3: They weren't as bad as their record. They were horribly 987 00:49:32,480 --> 00:49:35,400 Speaker 3: coached offensively, no mistake. But the thing that worries your 988 00:49:35,400 --> 00:49:37,799 Speaker 3: most is moving forward with a young quarterback, is their 989 00:49:37,840 --> 00:49:41,040 Speaker 3: tackle poor. They have no offensive tackles. They signed Michael 990 00:49:41,080 --> 00:49:43,200 Speaker 3: Alanu to be the right tackle, but he showed up 991 00:49:43,200 --> 00:49:45,160 Speaker 3: at three hundred and eighty pounds. They had a movement 992 00:49:45,200 --> 00:49:48,040 Speaker 3: to guard. He's too fat, so they have no right 993 00:49:48,160 --> 00:49:50,600 Speaker 3: to the right tackle now is Calvin Anderson, who was 994 00:49:50,920 --> 00:49:53,440 Speaker 3: had malaria last year when he took a trip to Africa, 995 00:49:53,600 --> 00:49:55,920 Speaker 3: so I don't know where that is. And then left 996 00:49:55,960 --> 00:49:58,840 Speaker 3: tackle is the kid that Pittsburgh cut Okafer, he's going 997 00:49:58,920 --> 00:50:01,960 Speaker 3: to be They have no tax. You can't play with 998 00:50:02,000 --> 00:50:06,120 Speaker 3: no offensive line, and so you know. Yeah, I think, Look, 999 00:50:06,200 --> 00:50:09,160 Speaker 3: the reason you like that them in week one is 1000 00:50:09,160 --> 00:50:11,360 Speaker 3: because Zach Taylor zero and four and two of the 1001 00:50:11,400 --> 00:50:14,120 Speaker 3: first two games of the year the last two seasons. 1002 00:50:14,160 --> 00:50:16,040 Speaker 3: So that makes all the sense in the world. I 1003 00:50:16,040 --> 00:50:19,239 Speaker 3: get that he says he's changing how he's preparing his team, 1004 00:50:19,760 --> 00:50:22,360 Speaker 3: but there's no way this defense. The defense played one 1005 00:50:22,440 --> 00:50:24,839 Speaker 3: hundred and thirty one more plays in their offense last year. 1006 00:50:24,840 --> 00:50:28,440 Speaker 3: That's two full games. Yeah, that's a doubleheader, you know. 1007 00:50:28,520 --> 00:50:30,040 Speaker 3: And so you're on the field weight and that's what 1008 00:50:30,080 --> 00:50:33,080 Speaker 3: the sixth best third down defense. So think about how 1009 00:50:33,120 --> 00:50:36,279 Speaker 3: bad this offense is. And so I don't see it. 1010 00:50:36,360 --> 00:50:38,480 Speaker 3: Mayo is a first time head coach. He's got twenty 1011 00:50:38,480 --> 00:50:41,280 Speaker 3: five people on his coaching staff. How does he manage 1012 00:50:41,320 --> 00:50:45,400 Speaker 3: twenty five people? He's never managed anybody in his life. 1013 00:50:46,040 --> 00:50:49,480 Speaker 3: Covington has never coordinated before. I think this is a 1014 00:50:49,520 --> 00:50:51,880 Speaker 3: mess I would play if I played anything. I'm going 1015 00:50:51,960 --> 00:50:53,759 Speaker 3: to say, they're going to have the first pick of 1016 00:50:53,800 --> 00:50:56,120 Speaker 3: the draft. They are going to be everybody's survivor pick 1017 00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:59,319 Speaker 3: pretty much every week in the circuit contest. You know, 1018 00:50:59,480 --> 00:51:02,000 Speaker 3: out where where our studio is that there, people are 1019 00:51:02,000 --> 00:51:05,080 Speaker 3: going to run to the to bet them. And for 1020 00:51:05,160 --> 00:51:07,560 Speaker 3: all the talk that Belichick can't be a GM, they've 1021 00:51:07,600 --> 00:51:12,240 Speaker 3: signed all his players back. It's funny, it's it's all. 1022 00:51:12,800 --> 00:51:15,680 Speaker 3: It's all the media. How the perception comes in. 1023 00:51:16,440 --> 00:51:21,240 Speaker 1: Well, it is amazing the Belichick hate that has happened 1024 00:51:21,760 --> 00:51:25,120 Speaker 1: the past twenty four months. You know, everyone loves the 1025 00:51:25,160 --> 00:51:29,600 Speaker 1: Tom Brady narrative and that he was the reason. But 1026 00:51:29,680 --> 00:51:32,640 Speaker 1: I'll pose a different question to you. Andy Reid has 1027 00:51:32,680 --> 00:51:37,120 Speaker 1: now won two Super Bowls in a row. He's got 1028 00:51:37,200 --> 00:51:40,239 Speaker 1: three overall. He's going to stick around, I guess for 1029 00:51:40,280 --> 00:51:42,279 Speaker 1: as long as he wants, or you know, until he 1030 00:51:42,320 --> 00:51:45,880 Speaker 1: realizes that he doesn't have Patrick Mahomes anymore. Do you 1031 00:51:46,000 --> 00:51:51,439 Speaker 1: feel like there is any chance Andy Reid takes over 1032 00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:54,800 Speaker 1: the mantle of best coach of all time from Bill Belichick? 1033 00:51:55,800 --> 00:51:57,000 Speaker 2: Well, I think no. 1034 00:51:57,200 --> 00:51:59,920 Speaker 3: But because you know, when he's an Eagle fan, you 1035 00:52:00,040 --> 00:52:01,880 Speaker 3: remember a lot of the heartache, a lot of conference 1036 00:52:01,960 --> 00:52:06,480 Speaker 3: championship games, a lot of some really strange game management decisions. 1037 00:52:06,520 --> 00:52:09,240 Speaker 3: I used to say Andy should outsource his game management 1038 00:52:09,280 --> 00:52:11,680 Speaker 3: to India at times when he would do some things 1039 00:52:11,719 --> 00:52:14,200 Speaker 3: that I wasn't sure what he was doing, but. 1040 00:52:14,719 --> 00:52:17,160 Speaker 2: Said the running Joko Philly is Andy Reid the best 1041 00:52:17,200 --> 00:52:20,920 Speaker 2: coach for fifty eight minutes. It's the last two. Yeah. 1042 00:52:20,960 --> 00:52:23,640 Speaker 3: And he's gotten away with it with Mahomes because you 1043 00:52:23,760 --> 00:52:25,880 Speaker 3: go back to the Tampa game when they played down there, 1044 00:52:25,920 --> 00:52:29,520 Speaker 3: four third down, he calls, Look, I think Andy's great, 1045 00:52:29,560 --> 00:52:33,160 Speaker 3: but I think Bill. You know, that whole documentary irritates 1046 00:52:33,200 --> 00:52:35,240 Speaker 3: the hell out of me because I was in the building. 1047 00:52:35,280 --> 00:52:36,120 Speaker 3: I know what he did. 1048 00:52:36,640 --> 00:52:36,839 Speaker 2: Right. 1049 00:52:36,960 --> 00:52:40,240 Speaker 3: The fact that Super Bowl winning general manager Terry Fottna 1050 00:52:40,320 --> 00:52:42,640 Speaker 3: of the Alata Falcons says that he was not even 1051 00:52:42,680 --> 00:52:45,600 Speaker 3: in their top three candidates is a little bit of 1052 00:52:45,640 --> 00:52:48,799 Speaker 3: a ridiculous statement, right, you know you're telling me there's 1053 00:52:48,880 --> 00:52:52,200 Speaker 3: four better. Meanwhile, if you asked Andy Reid who don't 1054 00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:55,719 Speaker 3: you want to compete against? Or ask Kyle Shannan, who 1055 00:52:55,760 --> 00:52:58,479 Speaker 3: don't you want to compete against? I think the answer 1056 00:52:58,560 --> 00:53:01,160 Speaker 3: would be Belichick and the page have treated him like 1057 00:53:01,520 --> 00:53:03,680 Speaker 3: he didn't do anything there, and so now they're going 1058 00:53:03,719 --> 00:53:06,560 Speaker 3: to find out what life's like without a great coach. 1059 00:53:06,719 --> 00:53:09,200 Speaker 3: And I'm going to enjoy watching it, I really am. 1060 00:53:09,480 --> 00:53:12,200 Speaker 1: If you're starting a team, right, you get hired tomorrow 1061 00:53:12,200 --> 00:53:15,440 Speaker 1: by a team and you've got to hire a head coach. 1062 00:53:15,960 --> 00:53:19,000 Speaker 1: Money is no object. You can go after anybody in 1063 00:53:19,040 --> 00:53:21,239 Speaker 1: the NFL right now, you're not going to go after 1064 00:53:21,280 --> 00:53:25,560 Speaker 1: Andy Reid. But of the class of coaches, which is 1065 00:53:25,560 --> 00:53:29,120 Speaker 1: basically anyone who's ever shaken Sean mcvay's hand, who do 1066 00:53:29,200 --> 00:53:31,240 Speaker 1: you decide to go hire? 1067 00:53:32,239 --> 00:53:34,839 Speaker 3: Well, I think to me, old school hasn't gone out 1068 00:53:34,840 --> 00:53:37,160 Speaker 3: of style. Andy Reid's going to play as guys in 1069 00:53:37,200 --> 00:53:40,960 Speaker 3: the preseason. Andy Reid has truft taty camps. He's the 1070 00:53:41,040 --> 00:53:44,719 Speaker 3: best coach in football. Andy Reid finds ways to play 1071 00:53:44,719 --> 00:53:47,759 Speaker 3: the game each week differently. So this whole notion that 1072 00:53:47,800 --> 00:53:51,000 Speaker 3: you have to be a player friendly coach isn't exactly 1073 00:53:51,000 --> 00:53:53,359 Speaker 3: how Kansas City operates their program. I mean I would 1074 00:53:53,400 --> 00:53:56,359 Speaker 3: hire Bill because I would get the best defensive coach. 1075 00:53:56,360 --> 00:53:58,879 Speaker 3: I'm going to have great team toughness. I need that. 1076 00:53:59,000 --> 00:54:01,719 Speaker 3: You can't be a team like Miami without toughness. Mike 1077 00:54:01,800 --> 00:54:04,600 Speaker 3: McDaniel is great for the media, but East four and 1078 00:54:04,680 --> 00:54:06,960 Speaker 3: ten over the last second half of the season, you 1079 00:54:07,000 --> 00:54:09,399 Speaker 3: know there's no toughness to that team. There's no idea, 1080 00:54:09,440 --> 00:54:11,000 Speaker 3: there's no I'm going to punch you in the mouth. 1081 00:54:11,160 --> 00:54:13,560 Speaker 3: Football is a game of punching in the mouth. So 1082 00:54:14,480 --> 00:54:16,960 Speaker 3: I would do that. But this week we've become a 1083 00:54:17,000 --> 00:54:20,920 Speaker 3: softler gentler league. Well, I worked for Bill Walsh when 1084 00:54:20,960 --> 00:54:23,440 Speaker 3: we went to practice at Rockland in a hundred degree 1085 00:54:23,480 --> 00:54:25,440 Speaker 3: heat at eight thirty in the morning. We didn't walk 1086 00:54:25,440 --> 00:54:28,319 Speaker 3: off that field to eleven thirty, and we had an 1087 00:54:28,320 --> 00:54:31,319 Speaker 3: afternoon practice that was a walkthrough with special teams or 1088 00:54:31,320 --> 00:54:33,840 Speaker 3: it was a special teams. I mean, it was hard. 1089 00:54:33,880 --> 00:54:34,680 Speaker 2: It was grueling. 1090 00:54:35,160 --> 00:54:38,120 Speaker 3: That's what the NFL is. It's a grueling marathon. And 1091 00:54:38,640 --> 00:54:41,760 Speaker 3: John Harball knows that. That's why I think the Chargers 1092 00:54:41,800 --> 00:54:43,640 Speaker 3: are going to be better because Jim Harball is going 1093 00:54:43,719 --> 00:54:47,839 Speaker 3: to give them toughness. So I want somebody who can 1094 00:54:47,880 --> 00:54:50,239 Speaker 3: develop talent and who's going to give a team a 1095 00:54:50,400 --> 00:54:53,359 Speaker 3: toughness and who can be a strategist. I mean, how 1096 00:54:53,360 --> 00:54:54,960 Speaker 3: many times do you want to watch a coach Nick 1097 00:54:55,000 --> 00:54:57,279 Speaker 3: Siriani's going berzerk on the sideline. I don't want that. 1098 00:54:57,719 --> 00:54:59,560 Speaker 3: I want to I want a chess player. I want 1099 00:54:59,560 --> 00:55:03,400 Speaker 3: somebody thinking. I want somebody like Belichick who's watching Seattle's 1100 00:55:03,400 --> 00:55:06,680 Speaker 3: sideline and he sees Pete Carroll and they're not organized, 1101 00:55:06,719 --> 00:55:08,920 Speaker 3: and he doesn't call time out even though I'm up 1102 00:55:08,920 --> 00:55:11,160 Speaker 3: in the booth screaming for him to call time out, 1103 00:55:11,360 --> 00:55:14,640 Speaker 3: and he blocks me out and he says something's not right, 1104 00:55:15,040 --> 00:55:16,600 Speaker 3: and we intercept them in the Super Bowl. 1105 00:55:17,120 --> 00:55:19,400 Speaker 1: By the way, that is one of the greatest clips 1106 00:55:19,840 --> 00:55:22,719 Speaker 1: from NFL films where everybody is begging him to call 1107 00:55:22,800 --> 00:55:25,680 Speaker 1: time out and he sees that something isn't right and 1108 00:55:25,719 --> 00:55:27,160 Speaker 1: he decides not to do a Simon. You know what 1109 00:55:27,200 --> 00:55:27,840 Speaker 1: I'm talking about. 1110 00:55:28,239 --> 00:55:30,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, the pic, Oh. 1111 00:55:30,040 --> 00:55:35,000 Speaker 1: So good, so good. Lombardi listen GM Shuffle is amazing. 1112 00:55:35,360 --> 00:55:38,440 Speaker 1: You've written a book years ago. I remember you sent 1113 00:55:38,520 --> 00:55:43,160 Speaker 1: it to me. Fantastic, Thank great insight, Thanks for coming 1114 00:55:43,200 --> 00:55:46,360 Speaker 1: on the show. Thanks reminder of the favorite. What's that buddy? 1115 00:55:46,640 --> 00:55:49,160 Speaker 3: Thanks for having me. I'll keep listening all year, don't worry. 1116 00:55:49,360 --> 00:55:51,480 Speaker 1: I love it as a reminder of the favorite. Podcast 1117 00:55:51,560 --> 00:55:54,399 Speaker 1: is presented by Bet three six five. Bed three six 1118 00:55:54,440 --> 00:55:56,720 Speaker 1: five doesn't do ordinary. 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A bet three sixty five 1126 00:56:14,080 --> 00:56:19,840 Speaker 1: must be twenty one or older and present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, 1127 00:56:19,920 --> 00:56:22,680 Speaker 1: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Virginia, or eighteen and older 1128 00:56:22,719 --> 00:56:25,880 Speaker 1: in Kentucky. Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler or 1129 00:56:25,880 --> 00:56:29,240 Speaker 1: one eight hundred bets off in Iowa terms. Conditioned restrictions apply. 1130 00:56:29,920 --> 00:56:32,720 Speaker 1: Simon and I We'll be back with our next episode 1131 00:56:32,719 --> 00:56:35,319 Speaker 1: of the Favorites on the Action Network. You two page Thursday, 1132 00:56:35,680 --> 00:56:39,400 Speaker 1: eleven am Eastern to talk NFC East with special guests 1133 00:56:39,920 --> 00:56:43,279 Speaker 1: Ross Tucker. Downloads from Spotify, Apple Pods, wherever you get 1134 00:56:43,320 --> 00:56:46,120 Speaker 1: your pods, Rate review, subscribe, We as fog Stars say 1135 00:56:46,160 --> 00:56:48,520 Speaker 1: whatever you want. Feedback is a gift Until next time. 1136 00:56:48,760 --> 00:56:49,120 Speaker 3: Love you. 1137 00:56:56,239 --> 00:57:00,759 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 1138 00:57:00,800 --> 00:57:03,560 Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 1139 00:57:03,600 --> 00:57:06,680 Speaker 1: available twenty four seven at one eight hundred gambler