1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news, a single. 2 00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:18,639 Speaker 2: Best idea and an extraordinary Wednesday. Just to paint the 3 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:23,680 Speaker 2: picture for you, Asian markets open at seven pm. In all, 4 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:27,760 Speaker 2: not just me, everybody within the Bloomberg world. We're glued 5 00:00:27,760 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 2: to the wonderful Bloomberg terminal app that's on the cell phone. 6 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 2: Trust me, folks, It's changed my life and everybody else's life. 7 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:38,120 Speaker 2: And there's a little bit of tension out there, and 8 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:40,720 Speaker 2: you get a couple hours sleep and you see what 9 00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 2: Goal's doing and tension overnight, and then somewhere in the 10 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:50,040 Speaker 2: vicinity of three am, China comes out with headlines boom boom, 11 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 2: boom boom, and things change and they're changing minute by minute, 12 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 2: headline by headline, and simply today we saw a deterioration 13 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:03,240 Speaker 2: in price around that are individual companies struggling, like Nvidia 14 00:01:03,320 --> 00:01:06,920 Speaker 2: coming out with some form of write down. AMD during 15 00:01:06,959 --> 00:01:10,040 Speaker 2: the show today coming out with some form of right down. 16 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:13,000 Speaker 2: It was a good time to catch up with Daniel Ives. 17 00:01:13,080 --> 00:01:15,720 Speaker 2: He's at Wedbush, he's been an Uber bowl and Apple 18 00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 2: he's been correct and we wanted to get a relook 19 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:24,720 Speaker 2: at Apple and also the underlying force a free cash 20 00:01:24,760 --> 00:01:26,600 Speaker 2: flow for the mag seven. 21 00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 3: Even you know when you scenario and sort of put 22 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 3: pressure on the model and stress test that cash flow 23 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 3: comes down five percent, maybe seven percent. The reality is 24 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 3: is that a lot of that on Apple I think 25 00:01:43,319 --> 00:01:45,959 Speaker 3: starts to now get fact and it comes down to 26 00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:52,000 Speaker 3: with China numbers unless these TIFFs in their current state 27 00:01:52,160 --> 00:01:56,960 Speaker 3: stick for ninety days and longer than to me at 28 00:01:57,000 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 3: Apple content right here, I mean it is an Emu 29 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 3: Dan ives. 30 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:04,920 Speaker 2: He's just brilliant, particularly the relationship of Apple and mister 31 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:09,440 Speaker 2: Cook with Beijing. Really really enjoyed having him in today. 32 00:02:09,840 --> 00:02:12,960 Speaker 2: There are names from the past which at one time 33 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:17,359 Speaker 2: were hugely important because of their intellect and their courage 34 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:21,400 Speaker 2: to write and execute strategy that are forever One of 35 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:25,239 Speaker 2: those is Matt King. He's from England, out of Cambridge, 36 00:02:25,720 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 2: and there was a period where he was absolutely definitive 37 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 2: at JP Morgan and particularly at City Group in providing strategy. 38 00:02:33,400 --> 00:02:37,960 Speaker 2: It's inaccurate to say he predicted Lehman, but he was 39 00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 2: one of the people way way out front on the 40 00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 2: stresses of leverage in the trust market. He spends a 41 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:49,520 Speaker 2: lot of time thinking about fixed income and trust. What 42 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 2: a joy to catch up with Matt King of Satori Insight. 43 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:55,680 Speaker 4: People have been excited about the online the basis trades 44 00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:57,359 Speaker 4: and some of the moves and swap spreads and pointing 45 00:02:57,400 --> 00:02:59,440 Speaker 4: to hedge funds, And yes, there has been this big 46 00:02:59,480 --> 00:03:03,920 Speaker 4: pickup leverage and reproactivity, especially for multi strap funds, but 47 00:03:04,000 --> 00:03:06,600 Speaker 4: I don't think that's the problem here. If anything, I 48 00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:11,320 Speaker 4: would say that it's almost a diversifying element relative to 49 00:03:11,360 --> 00:03:14,119 Speaker 4: all the long only money that is poured in over 50 00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:17,720 Speaker 4: the last decade or so. And for me, there is 51 00:03:17,760 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 4: this scary thing that sort of all my career, I 52 00:03:20,040 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 4: focus on the thing that's about to blow up, and 53 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:24,400 Speaker 4: each time the crises seem to get bigger and bigger. 54 00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:27,240 Speaker 4: The debt that's out there now is across non financial 55 00:03:27,240 --> 00:03:30,320 Speaker 4: sectors as a whole, and more than anything with governments, 56 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:34,560 Speaker 4: including the US government. But it's not the financial leverage 57 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 4: in quite the same way as it was previously, and 58 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:39,560 Speaker 4: on the one hand, that makes it slower burning. But 59 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:42,280 Speaker 4: on the other hand, the feedback loop from markets through 60 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:45,800 Speaker 4: to the economy is larger ever than it's been in 61 00:03:45,840 --> 00:03:46,280 Speaker 4: the past. 62 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 2: Matt king f Story really can't say enough about that. 63 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:53,120 Speaker 2: I know Paul Sweeney's really focused on private credit is 64 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 2: a new shiny thing I'll have to see as we 65 00:03:56,400 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 2: struggle through this crisis. Thank you for your support and 66 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:03,640 Speaker 2: your commute across the nation. Really appreciate the interest in 67 00:04:03,720 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 2: ninety nine one FM in Washington, ninety two nine in Boston, 68 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 2: and Bloomberg eleventh three OO in New York, and all 69 00:04:10,000 --> 00:04:15,120 Speaker 2: the other ways you listen each morning out on YouTube podcasts. 70 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:29,800 Speaker 2: This is single best idea