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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast podcasts.

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Speaker 2: If you are even remotely a savage, you'll run these

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Speaker 2: people over for a second.

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Speaker 1: Welcome into the Action Network Podcast presented by BETMGM. Your

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Speaker 1: host today Brendan Glaschen joined by Sean Zarillo and Billy Ward.

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Speaker 1: That means we are here for a UFC betting preview.

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Speaker 1: We're back in Vegas for UFC threeh three. Be sure

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Speaker 1: to subscribe to our podcast. Wherever you listen to your podcast,

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Speaker 1: subscribe as well to our Action Network YouTube channel. You

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Speaker 1: hit the little bell on the side too, you get

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Speaker 1: all the notifications. Billy Ward has a video out this

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Speaker 1: week previewing the card that comes available to you. But

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Speaker 1: check it out Action Network YouTube if you are watching

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Speaker 1: the show, and we appreciate those five star ratings and reviews.

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Speaker 1: If you enjoy listening to the show. If you're new,

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Speaker 1: we'll do the same old song and dance. We're gonna

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Speaker 1: do the main event breakdown, Fight of the night for

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Speaker 1: Sewn and Billy, Underdog's props, and some best bets before

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Speaker 1: we wrap it up. All right, Jens, let's start with

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Speaker 1: the main event. We have ourselves the title fight light

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Speaker 1: heavyweight main event between Alex Pereira and Yeri p Eerie

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Speaker 1: Prohashka Prahashka's line, Zarrillo has dipped a bit that underdog

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Speaker 1: price not quite where it was the beginning of the week.

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Speaker 1: As far as Pereira, he's pretty notable himself. You're interested

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Speaker 1: in this fight quite a bit just from a watch.

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Speaker 1: Never mind the betting angles of it, but discuss the

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Speaker 1: intricacies of the fight itself and how you'd like to

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Speaker 1: bet it.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this is a better fight than Connor

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Speaker 3: Bergarger and Michael Chandler, which was supposed to be the

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Speaker 3: headliner initially. This fight booked on short notice and Yuri

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Speaker 3: coming in off of a fight, very difficult fight against

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Speaker 3: Alexander Rackets where he did the damage, but alex Para

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Speaker 3: had a broken toil going into his last fight and

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Speaker 3: apparently broke another one in the cage to both guys,

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Speaker 3: maybe a little bit banged up coming into this fight,

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Speaker 3: not coming off of full camps. Obviously on short notice.

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Speaker 3: I was on alex Para in the first fight. I

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Speaker 3: bet him by knockout. The narrative going into that first fight.

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Speaker 3: URI's shoulder injury coming off of what Dana White called

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Speaker 3: the worst shoulder injury he's ever seen, however much what

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Speaker 3: credence you want to put into that, But we really

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Speaker 3: didn't know what Uri was going to look like coming

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Speaker 3: off of the layoff at the time, and I thought

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Speaker 3: it looked really good in that fight, And that's why

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Speaker 3: I've kind of pushed this closure to a fifty percent.

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Speaker 3: I had Alex as a fifty five percent favorite in

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Speaker 3: the first fight. Now I'm not adjusting these manually. I'm

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Speaker 3: adjusting them my projections off of publicly available information out

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Speaker 3: there and making an adjustment off of that that I

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Speaker 3: kind of like build in automatically to.

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Speaker 4: All these fights.

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Speaker 3: But I made Alex about a fifty five percent favorite

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Speaker 3: in the first fight using those projections, I make this

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Speaker 3: fight the second fight about fifty to fifty, and the

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Speaker 3: line has moved more towards Alex. This fight was about

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Speaker 3: minus one ten on either side. I closed the first time.

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Speaker 3: I took plus one thirty on Yuri in this fight.

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Speaker 3: I'm mostly playing numbers, not the fighters. I would happily

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Speaker 3: play Alex at plus one thirty, considering a handicap him

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Speaker 3: as the favorite, but I essentially make Erie forty nine

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Speaker 3: percent happy to grab him plus one thirty Why What

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Speaker 3: did I see in the first fight that changed my mind?

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Speaker 3: First off, he got take downs. It wasn't known one

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Speaker 3: whether he would proactively grapple, or two whether he would

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Speaker 3: be able to get takedowns if he pursued them. While

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Speaker 3: he won the first round getting a takedown and controlling

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Speaker 3: Alex for two minutes, number two looks like a lot

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Speaker 3: better cardio this fight extens. I think that was the

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Speaker 3: assumption the first time that Uri would have a better

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Speaker 3: gas tank gone five rounds. Look go over to Share

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Speaker 3: a hard five rounds where they were grappling a bunch,

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Speaker 3: rolling around a bunch, showed really good Cardio all the

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Speaker 3: way to the end, ended up getting that late fifth

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Speaker 3: round submission. But I think as this fight extends, not

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Speaker 3: only does Uri have the potential to win a round

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Speaker 3: with pure grappling, maybe even win multiple rounds with pure grappling,

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Speaker 3: but I think he'll win one of the final two

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Speaker 3: rounds with cardios. So now you're talking about a five

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Speaker 3: round fight. You give one round to Euri for cardio,

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Speaker 3: one round to Uri for grappling, and the other three

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Speaker 3: rounds probably fifty to fifty on the striking at worst.

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Speaker 3: The biggest issue here for Yuri is leg kicks, got

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Speaker 3: his leg chewed up bad by Peer in the first fight.

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Speaker 3: Has that long karate stances lead leg is always going

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Speaker 3: to be there to get chopped, rockets chopped up that

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Speaker 3: leg too, fought through the pain, fought through the damage,

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Speaker 3: and ended up knocking rackets out. Now, the fact that

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Speaker 3: Para puts so much damage on that leg in the

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Speaker 3: first fight is what caused the fight ending sequence. I

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Speaker 3: think Prahatchka knew that that leg was going to go eventually,

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Speaker 3: forced them to close the distance, forced the finishing sequence

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Speaker 3: and did get Ko. But even before that sequence, he

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Speaker 3: was landing some good combinations And I think the biggest

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Speaker 3: factor in this fight is the pressure that he applies.

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Speaker 3: Because you look at Alex's fights against Jamal Hill, you

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Speaker 3: look at him against Izzy, He's the one on the

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Speaker 3: front foot. He's the one applying pressure, backing his opponents

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Speaker 3: up against the fence. It was the opposite case when

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Speaker 3: Yuri and Alex fought, where Alex was on the back foot.

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Speaker 3: Alex was the one getting pressured up against the fen

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Speaker 3: and it really looked like he wasn't comfortable fighting off

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Speaker 3: for the back foot. Obviously, he has that eraser, that

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Speaker 3: huge left hand that can catch anybody and close the

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Speaker 3: show and end the fight. But Yuri was landing the

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Speaker 3: better combinations. I thought he looked very good in the

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Speaker 3: fight up until he got caught. You could debate the

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Speaker 3: stoppage all you want. Alex ended up in mount fight

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Speaker 3: might have been over anyway, but regardless, taking the price

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Speaker 3: adjustment here in the second fight, considering I thought it

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Speaker 3: was a fifty fifty fight the first time, I think

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Speaker 3: it's still a fifty to fifty fight. I don't think

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Speaker 3: Alex has particularly elite durability either, and I think Yuri

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Speaker 3: is going to put him in positions to potentially land

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Speaker 3: a fight ending below so Uri on the money line

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Speaker 3: at plus money, I think he has more ways to win.

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Speaker 3: I give more decision equity. I think he can win

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Speaker 3: be a submission, and obviously either guy can win via knockout.

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Speaker 3: I think the fight the ending via submission could be

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Speaker 3: a very interesting play. Alex went for the sub in

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Speaker 3: the first fight, try to wrap up a guillotine. I

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Speaker 3: think Yurie will absolutely go for his submissions if he

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Speaker 3: gets this fight to the ground, but I would expect

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Speaker 3: him to be a little bit more proactive grappling this

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Speaker 3: time and avoiding those leg kicks early and getting that

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Speaker 3: leg chewed up early.

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Speaker 4: I think he should grapple from the outside. We'll see

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Speaker 4: if he does it.

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Speaker 3: But I think grappling upside Cardio upside clear plus money

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Speaker 3: side on eriet plus one.

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Speaker 1: Thirty Billy and your Action network UFC Luck Ratings. You

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Speaker 1: urged folks to jump on the price earlier in the week.

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Speaker 1: It has dipped. As I mentioned off the top, I

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Speaker 1: liked your line in your right up. He has a

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Speaker 1: wild style. This is Urip has a wild style that

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Speaker 1: leads to a lot of quote winning until he doesn't

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Speaker 1: end quote and losing until he doesn't. Would you like

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Speaker 1: to further explain.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean Sean alluded to it.

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Speaker 3: Yer.

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Speaker 6: He won the first round in the first fight, not

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Speaker 6: just based off as grappling, by the way, he was

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Speaker 6: out striking him too. But he has so little I

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Speaker 6: don't know if the word is ability or interest in defense,

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Speaker 6: but one of those, if not both of those things

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Speaker 6: that he looks great. He is doing his stuff, he's

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Speaker 6: dancing around, he's moving, and then somebody catches them right,

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Speaker 6: and it hasn't happened a ton and it takes someone

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Speaker 6: of Alex Bejeeda's caliber to really worry too much about that.

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Speaker 6: But yeah, that's what I mean by that is he's

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Speaker 6: very often winning right up until that moment that he's

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Speaker 6: no longer winning. And on the other side, we saw

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Speaker 6: the coin flip of that against Racket, where he's kind

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Speaker 6: of getting beat up in the first round, but he

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Speaker 6: has the power that all of a sudden he's just won.

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Speaker 6: Like he was getting beat up, the live line was

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Speaker 6: going against him, blah blah blah, he finds the switch

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Speaker 6: and turns it off. So that is always a consideration

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Speaker 6: with YERI One of the reasons, and I think it

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Speaker 6: speaks to Sean's broader point of taking the plus money

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Speaker 6: guy in this fight both times, is that that kind

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Speaker 6: of high variance is gonna make it where you don't

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Speaker 6: feel confident about either person. Either one can win at

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Speaker 6: any moment. But yeah, I'm mostly with Sean on all

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Speaker 6: the points. Got the better line earlier in the week.

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Speaker 6: I think at this point I'm clouded by anchoring myself

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Speaker 6: on the line I got with that side. If I

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Speaker 6: hadn't bet it yet, Yeurie inside the distance is plus

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Speaker 6: one forty The fights like minus six hundred to get stopped.

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Speaker 6: So you know you can do the math on that,

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Speaker 6: and who you assign more decision equity to. Blah blah blah.

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Speaker 6: Loved the plus one thirty two though, I would take that.

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Speaker 6: Only thing I wanted to add on that Sean didn't

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Speaker 6: get to though, is this time around, Yuri has asked

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Speaker 6: that Alex Paya used no witchcraft, no shamanic influences, no spirits.

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Speaker 5: In the fight and they just fight man to man.

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Speaker 6: Doesn't seem like Alex is heating that request, but you know,

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Speaker 6: if it gets in the back of his mind, he

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Speaker 6: maybe uses a little less magic this time around. That's

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Speaker 6: got a favorite, Yarie, so we got that going for

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Speaker 6: us too. He's clearly the money line side here, like

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Speaker 6: the grappling. And again on a more serious note, Sean

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Speaker 6: pointed out a couple fights away from the word shoulder

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Speaker 6: injury in the history of shoulders, so that's probably to

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Speaker 6: his favorite as well.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean that was just a huge narrative point

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Speaker 3: going to that first fight. I didn't know how much

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Speaker 3: it would affect Urian. I think in hindsight the answer

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Speaker 3: is probably zero to very little. But just you know,

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Speaker 3: as you mentioned with your final point, Billy Yuri is

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Speaker 3: the money line side. I think money liner pass on

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Speaker 3: Uri if you like Alex bettess Ko prop. I just

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Speaker 3: don't see Alex winning his decision at a high clip.

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Speaker 3: If this does manage to go all twenty five minutes,

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Speaker 3: these new gloves that aren't generating ko's so far, you know,

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Speaker 3: at the rate that they were previously, I think it

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Speaker 3: will even out over time. But if this does go

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Speaker 3: to a decision, I think Yuri is much more likely

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Speaker 3: to win it. As I said, at least one round

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Speaker 3: on cardio, at least one round with grappling, and then

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Speaker 3: probably one of the other three on a fifty to

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Speaker 3: fifty striking round. I just I think Uri is so

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Speaker 3: much more likely to win a decision, so much more

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Speaker 3: likely to win the late rounds. I might even be

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Speaker 3: interested in a live bet on Uri as well.

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Speaker 5: Oh real quick too, since you brought it up.

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Speaker 6: Both of Alex Bedo's last fights have been against guys

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Speaker 6: coming off significant injuries, and Jamal Hill and Gerry Pasca,

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Speaker 6: and I don't I think the point isn't that his

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Speaker 6: shoulder is still hurt and he physically couldn't fight as well,

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Speaker 6: so much as four or five six of the last

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Speaker 6: nine inch months. He wasn't training, wasn't sharp, wasn't get

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Speaker 6: the rounds in, and this is your first time back

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Speaker 6: and you're getting thrown in there in a world title fight.

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Speaker 6: So I don't think and I could probably apply this

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Speaker 6: to Jamal Hill as well, although I'm not sure how

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Speaker 6: true it is. They were physically one hundred percent, but

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Speaker 6: there's that ring ross, there's that time, and there's that sharpness,

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Speaker 6: And even if there was no injury, if you just

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Speaker 6: told a guy you couldn't train for six months of

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Speaker 6: the last year or whatever, he's going to be diminished.

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Speaker 6: I think now we're getting as close to the best

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Speaker 6: version of Rosca where before, even if the shoulder was fine,

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Speaker 6: there's some other things to worry about there.

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Speaker 1: All right, there is your light heavyweight main event handicap.

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Speaker 1: Let's move on to the featherweight fight. Guys have targeted

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Speaker 1: this one as their fight of the night. Brian Ortega

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Speaker 1: and Diego Lopez. The matchup here similar price points for

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Speaker 1: this fight. You've got Ortega the slight underdog at plus

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Speaker 1: one twenty and Lopez at minus won forty. Slight reach

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Speaker 1: advantage for Lopes as well, Lopez Zilla, same question as

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Speaker 1: always breakdown the fight how you'd like to bet it.

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Speaker 3: So a bit of a mirror matchup here, but I

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Speaker 3: think Lopez is the guy who's the better athlete and

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Speaker 3: hits harder, and he's bigger. I didn't realize he would

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Speaker 3: be this much bigger going in, but three inches taller,

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Speaker 3: three inch reach advantage, and I would imagine he hits

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Speaker 3: quite a bit harder than Brian or Tagan. Or Teka's

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Speaker 3: body is falling apart on him. He's taken a ton

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Speaker 3: of damage throughout his UFC career, one of the most

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Speaker 3: durable fighters we've ever seen, and that's both a blessing

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Speaker 3: and a curse because it means he's taken a ton

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Speaker 3: of damage and he didn't get a world title belt

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Speaker 3: wrapped around his waist as tayback for all of that

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Speaker 3: damage that he's taken. So I think the first round

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Speaker 3: heavily favors Diego Lopez, and I like Lopez to win

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Speaker 3: in round one by KO at plus five fifty to

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Speaker 3: plus six fifty. Out there, I believe or Tega has

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Speaker 3: never been finished, but very close. In his last fight

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Speaker 3: against Gerrio Rodriguez, rock bad rolled his ankle coming into

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Speaker 3: the gates.

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Speaker 4: He was hurt before the fight even started.

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Speaker 3: And that's I believe, the second fight in a row

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Speaker 3: where he's done that, and or two in his past

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Speaker 3: three where he's literally hurt himself and his ankle walking

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Speaker 3: into the cage, so his body is shutting down on him.

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Speaker 3: I'm not sure if he's training full time anymore. I

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Speaker 3: don't know how he could be, considering what his body

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Speaker 3: looks like when he fights. But as I said, Lopez

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Speaker 3: just the much better athlete, the much quicker athlete.

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Speaker 4: Early.

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Speaker 3: I think he's going to win the boxing exchanges or

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Speaker 3: Tega is very open defensively, which Lopez is too. But

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Speaker 3: Ortega needs takedowns to win this fight, and he relies

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Speaker 3: on the clinch to get those takedowns. He's not, you know,

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Speaker 3: blasting double legs reactively. He's getting guys up against the

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Speaker 3: fence using clinch positions getting takedowns from there. Lopez is

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Speaker 3: really strong in the clinch, strikes really well from the clinch,

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Speaker 3: frames off of opponents really well, knows how to land strikes,

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Speaker 3: knows how to separate. I think Ortega is going to

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Speaker 3: have a really difficult time getting takedowns in the first

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Speaker 3: round if he wants them, and I would imagine he

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Speaker 3: would want them. Lopez normally happy to accept bottom position,

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Speaker 3: accept those takedowns from opponents because he is phenomenal jiu

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Speaker 3: jitsu and he's great.

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Speaker 4: Off of his back.

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Speaker 3: I don't think he's going to be his will to

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Speaker 3: accept the takedowns in this fight. I think the reason

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Speaker 3: why you see him taken down constantly and you expect

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Speaker 3: that is bad teak down defense. There's just some fighters

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Speaker 3: who are really good jiu jitsu practitioners you see with

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Speaker 3: low takedown defense because they're happy to play off of

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Speaker 3: their back because they know they're so dangerous on their back.

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Speaker 3: Joe Alvrez light UFC lightweight from Spain. You know, he's

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Speaker 3: a fighter who has like a ten percent takedown defense

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Speaker 3: or like eight percent take. He's never trying to stop

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Speaker 3: those takedowns because he has such a nasty guard game.

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Speaker 3: He accepts them and then plays off of his back,

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Speaker 3: and I think that's how Lopez normally approaches his fights.

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Speaker 3: I think in this fight he's going to look to

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Speaker 3: sprawl and brawl just a little bit more, especially early,

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Speaker 3: because I do think he has the striking advantage.

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Speaker 4: I think he's the better boxer.

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Speaker 3: He's really nasty uppercuts, and I think he's gonna hurt

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Speaker 3: or take up early in this fight. So, as I said,

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Speaker 3: Lopez round one KO plus five to fifty plus six

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Speaker 3: to fifty out there absolutely interests me. The under one

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Speaker 3: and a half I think is the best way to

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Speaker 3: maybe play this fight or just approach this total. But

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Speaker 3: I still think Lopez round one KO might be a

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Speaker 3: better play just because if this extends, if this goes

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Speaker 3: over one and a half, I think it's likely that

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Speaker 3: Ortega has had some grappling success and that they did

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Speaker 3: get tied up, because I don't really see him just

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Speaker 3: surviving for seven and a half minutes on the feet

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Speaker 3: with this guy. And granted, like I don't view Lopez

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Speaker 3: as a future champion, I don't think he is as

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Speaker 3: high level of his prospect as the hype that he's

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Speaker 3: built up to this point. But I do think this

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Speaker 3: is a good matchup for him to potentially get another knockouts.

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I just don't like the way Ortega is trending.

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Speaker 3: I think if they grapple, I would love to see it.

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Speaker 3: I think the grappling would be phenomenal, especially with Rotaga

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Speaker 3: on top and Lopez on the bottom, and I think

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Speaker 3: that's how Ortega wins the fight is getting takedowns, getting

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Speaker 3: on top, getting top time, landing ground and pound. So

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Speaker 3: maybe a live bet on Ortega, but certainly pre fight

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Speaker 3: looking for violence. Props the under one and a half

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Speaker 3: for Lopez round one ko, I'd prefer that under one

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Speaker 3: and a half at plus money to the under two

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Speaker 3: and a half juice. I just think if it goes

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Speaker 3: over one and a half, it's probably going to a decision.

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Speaker 3: Like if the finish happens here, I think it's in

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Speaker 3: the first five minutes or so, so maybe even fight

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Speaker 3: to end in round one, some sort of iterational whip

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Speaker 3: as early as why amning Billy?

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Speaker 1: Very similar thought process on your end, You are willing

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Speaker 1: to lay a little more juice and take another an

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Speaker 1: additional round on an under Yeah.

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Speaker 6: I mostly with Sean, we're seeing the same general concept here.

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Speaker 6: The only thing he didn't get to and why I'm

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Speaker 6: playing it a little bit more cautiously I think is

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Speaker 6: because this was a short notice fight for both guys

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Speaker 6: a couple weeks notice. Both push a pretty intense pace.

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Speaker 6: Diego Lopez in the first round comes out so hard

336
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Speaker 6: swinging for the fences or take is going to have

337
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Speaker 6: to push a pace to get it to the ground.

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Speaker 6: As Sean pointed out, I just think there's a greater

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Speaker 6: than normal odds of like a cardio finish in the

340
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Speaker 6: late second round or early third round because of the

341
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Speaker 6: short notice nature of this fight. If they had a

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Speaker 6: full camp and I trusted their cardio a little bit more,

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Speaker 6: I'd be one hundred percent on Tron's side.

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Speaker 5: Still like it.

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Speaker 6: I don't think that's a bad bet by any stretch,

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Speaker 6: and it's probably the likelier.

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Speaker 5: It's really just for me. I think a risk tolerance thing.

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Speaker 6: You know, do you want to greater odds of winning

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Speaker 6: less money or lower odds of winning more money? Kind

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Speaker 6: of how I view it. But yeah, other than that,

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Speaker 6: I'm in lockstep with him. I selfishly want there to

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Speaker 6: be grappling because I'd love to see that. But I

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Speaker 6: think lopes early mostly through the striking is probably my

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Speaker 6: favorite way too. We're not my favorite way, but the

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Speaker 6: way I think this is most likely to go.

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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast Everybody Is Brought to You by

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00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:24,960
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Speaker 1: users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

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Speaker 1: one plus gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. Okay,

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00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:50,480
Speaker 1: let's move on to UFC three h three Underdogs again

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00:16:50,640 --> 00:16:53,280
Speaker 1: the Team Mobile Arena this weekend and back in Las Vegas, Zorilla.

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Speaker 1: A good week for dogs.

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Speaker 5: Many money.

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Speaker 3: I'm only on three money lines, and there were a

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Speaker 3: lot of fights where I was like targeting props, violence props.

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Speaker 3: I think we may see a inflation in these fights

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Speaker 3: in terms of their finish props because the finish rate

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Speaker 3: has been so low with the new gloves. I think

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Speaker 3: there might be an overreaction in the market. So there

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Speaker 3: were a lot of fights that I like the fighter

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Speaker 3: to end inside the distance, So we'll get to more

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Speaker 3: of those, or at least one of those in a moment.

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Speaker 3: I do like in terms of an underdog, andre A loofskin.

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Speaker 3: I like him to win by decision or by points,

379
00:17:31,400 --> 00:17:35,879
Speaker 3: particularly his plus three and a half points spread. I

380
00:17:35,920 --> 00:17:39,399
Speaker 3: would imagine Andrea Rolofsky wins one of the three rounds

381
00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:41,960
Speaker 3: in this fight at a pretty high clip. The only

382
00:17:42,040 --> 00:17:44,359
Speaker 3: way you lose that point spread bet is if he

383
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Speaker 3: gets finished. And he's forty five. It's been finished in

384
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Speaker 3: two of his past three fights. But I don't view

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Speaker 3: Martin Budai as a finisher. I don't even view Budae

386
00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:55,040
Speaker 3: as that good of a fighter. He's the bigger man.

387
00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:58,320
Speaker 3: He's gonna be twenty five pounds heavier, and he should

388
00:17:58,400 --> 00:18:01,159
Speaker 3: have the grappling upside if he lance takedowns or if

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00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:03,080
Speaker 3: he wants to put this fight up against the fence

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Speaker 3: with cage pushing, given that weight advantage.

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Speaker 4: But his wrestling's not that good.

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Speaker 1: Uh.

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Speaker 3: He is twelve years younger, so he could be making improvements. Absolutely,

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Speaker 3: it's thirty three. You know, Guys make improvements on the

395
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Speaker 3: twenty to twenty nine side of the age curve, not

396
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Speaker 3: so much past thirty.

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Speaker 1: Uh.

398
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Speaker 3: That said, he's still heavyweight. Heavyweights improved a bit later.

399
00:18:23,720 --> 00:18:26,560
Speaker 3: And I'm backing a forty five year old heavyweight because

400
00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:29,320
Speaker 3: heavyweights kind of last a little bit longer in their career,

401
00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:32,240
Speaker 3: and I don't think Arlovsky looks bad in his last

402
00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:36,159
Speaker 3: fight against Walder Kotezakosta, who's a much faster, younger fighter

403
00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:40,000
Speaker 3: I think, much faster than Martin Budai, much better athlete

404
00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:43,240
Speaker 3: than Martin Budai, former pro baseball player, and he just

405
00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:46,360
Speaker 3: a big guy, but like moves pretty well on much

406
00:18:46,359 --> 00:18:49,720
Speaker 3: better footwork than Budai, much quicker than Budaye. So Arlovsky

407
00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:51,639
Speaker 3: getting a guy who's a bit slower here, who's not

408
00:18:52,119 --> 00:18:54,720
Speaker 3: gonna throw quite as much volume. I think both guys

409
00:18:54,720 --> 00:18:56,840
Speaker 3: slow down in the second half of the fight. This

410
00:18:56,880 --> 00:19:00,240
Speaker 3: could get very sloppy down the stretch. But I really like,

411
00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:02,800
Speaker 3: as I said, Orlatsky plus three and a half points

412
00:19:03,080 --> 00:19:04,800
Speaker 3: on the point spread at minus one oh five that

413
00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:07,720
Speaker 3: was juiced up to minus one twenty five offshore, So

414
00:19:08,280 --> 00:19:10,400
Speaker 3: if you get the domestic price on that, you look

415
00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:13,040
Speaker 3: like you're getting a twenty percent or twenty cent advantage

416
00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,080
Speaker 3: over the offshore number. But then Orlowski on the money

417
00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:18,440
Speaker 3: line at plus two twenty and then his decision prop

418
00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:20,520
Speaker 3: at plus three thirty as well, this should be a

419
00:19:20,520 --> 00:19:22,960
Speaker 3: coin flip. If he goes to full fifteen minutes. It

420
00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:25,640
Speaker 3: is lined go to a decision about minus one forty

421
00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:28,560
Speaker 3: or higher. If this goes the full fifteen minutes, Arlovsky

422
00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:30,920
Speaker 3: will be as live in this fight as he is

423
00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:33,199
Speaker 3: in every other fight. To be honest, I was annoyed

424
00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:34,840
Speaker 3: this fight was on the guard. I'm tired of watching

425
00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:37,000
Speaker 3: Ondreolowsky fights. All of them play out the same, they

426
00:19:37,040 --> 00:19:40,400
Speaker 3: all look the exact same, They're all close and competitive,

427
00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,960
Speaker 3: they're all fifty to fifty decisions, and you're waiting for

428
00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:46,560
Speaker 3: the split scorecards from the judges. So yeah, if he

429
00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:48,200
Speaker 3: makes it to a decision, this is going to be

430
00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:50,840
Speaker 3: a coin flip. And that's why I like the plus

431
00:19:50,840 --> 00:19:52,960
Speaker 3: three and a half points spread. Hopefully there's no thirty

432
00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:55,680
Speaker 3: twenty seven scorecards, Billy.

433
00:19:55,680 --> 00:20:00,320
Speaker 1: As far as your dog another replacement situation, Anthony's Smith,

434
00:20:00,760 --> 00:20:03,280
Speaker 1: your target in that price is still right around plus

435
00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:04,560
Speaker 1: one twenty plus one twenty five.

436
00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:08,080
Speaker 6: Yeah, we're calling this a replacement situation for a fight

437
00:20:08,119 --> 00:20:11,200
Speaker 6: that was originally Jamal Hill versus Khalil Rountree and.

438
00:20:11,240 --> 00:20:13,400
Speaker 5: Also had to stop at Carlos Olberg in between there.

439
00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:15,880
Speaker 6: So it's not it's totally a new fight at this point, right,

440
00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:18,720
Speaker 6: Like neither of the two original participants were there, but

441
00:20:19,560 --> 00:20:22,879
Speaker 6: Anthony Smith's slight underdog here. The big concern for me

442
00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:25,120
Speaker 6: watching Anthony Smith in his last few fights has been

443
00:20:25,160 --> 00:20:27,639
Speaker 6: his durability and his ability to take damage, whether that

444
00:20:27,680 --> 00:20:31,040
Speaker 6: be knockouts, his legs, just kind of in general. He's

445
00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:35,040
Speaker 6: had more than fifty pro fights, gotten beat up a lot,

446
00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:37,280
Speaker 6: you know, brutal fight against John Jones was kind of

447
00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:40,960
Speaker 6: the undoing there. Now he's fighting in middleweight. Roman Delize

448
00:20:41,160 --> 00:20:44,720
Speaker 6: is a middleweight whose background is in grappling. Dalieds hits

449
00:20:44,760 --> 00:20:47,040
Speaker 6: hard because he knows he can come and swing for

450
00:20:47,080 --> 00:20:49,080
Speaker 6: the fences, and people don't want to take him down

451
00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,240
Speaker 6: because they don't want to mess with his grappling. I

452
00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:53,800
Speaker 6: don't know that that's the case with Anthony Smith, and

453
00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:57,000
Speaker 6: obviously Smith just being bigger here is an advantage. But

454
00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:59,440
Speaker 6: Smith should be able to pick him apart a little

455
00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:03,159
Speaker 6: bit on the He's such a smart, well versed fighter

456
00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:05,800
Speaker 6: that I'm fairly confident in his ability to avoid those big.

457
00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:06,439
Speaker 5: Home run shots.

458
00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:09,440
Speaker 6: And he's also an elite grappler of his own right,

459
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:12,000
Speaker 6: you know, competes in some grappling stuff. So to get

460
00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:15,080
Speaker 6: plus money on Smith against the middleweight I feel like

461
00:21:15,119 --> 00:21:17,280
Speaker 6: that's a fairly solid price. I don't think it's gonna

462
00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:19,399
Speaker 6: be the most exciting fight if Anthony Smith wins it,

463
00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:22,080
Speaker 6: I think he needs it not to be. But also

464
00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:24,720
Speaker 6: last point, due to all of the shuffling, Smith was

465
00:21:24,760 --> 00:21:26,760
Speaker 6: on this card for at least a week or two

466
00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:30,280
Speaker 6: longer than dealeds A, which isn't huge, but a little

467
00:21:30,280 --> 00:21:33,520
Speaker 6: bit more preparation. He's fighting his natural weight class should

468
00:21:33,560 --> 00:21:35,600
Speaker 6: be much bigger and stronger than a guy coming up

469
00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:38,879
Speaker 6: from one eighty five. So if this fight were against

470
00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:43,240
Speaker 6: a similarly skilled light heavyweight, I probably wouldn't make Smith

471
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:45,320
Speaker 6: a favorite, but against a middleweight I'd take him as

472
00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:46,120
Speaker 6: a slight favorite here.

473
00:21:46,119 --> 00:21:47,440
Speaker 5: So plus one twenty is a good line.

474
00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:48,720
Speaker 4: I should just match it.

475
00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:52,040
Speaker 3: Because you talked about the durability concerns for Smith, I

476
00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:54,119
Speaker 3: kind of lean to leads a round one Ko. It

477
00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:55,920
Speaker 3: might be a round robin prop for me, it might

478
00:21:56,440 --> 00:21:58,200
Speaker 3: just be a small stab or me a about plus

479
00:21:58,200 --> 00:21:59,840
Speaker 3: four to fifty to plus five hundred. If you were

480
00:21:59,840 --> 00:22:01,480
Speaker 3: to go the other side, Billy, that would be like

481
00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:02,400
Speaker 3: your biggest.

482
00:22:02,040 --> 00:22:03,280
Speaker 4: Concern with the way Smith loses.

483
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:07,200
Speaker 6: Right, Yeah, absolutely, And again because the Leeds as grappling

484
00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:09,440
Speaker 6: is so strong. I've talked about this in a very

485
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:11,479
Speaker 6: few places before, but you see it a lot, and

486
00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:14,000
Speaker 6: some of the older guys like Johnny Hendrix was good

487
00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:16,000
Speaker 6: at doing this. These guys with this good grappling, they

488
00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:18,280
Speaker 6: can swing like crazy because they know you're not going

489
00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:21,120
Speaker 6: to take them down. Yeah, where if you're Alex Paheda

490
00:22:21,119 --> 00:22:23,160
Speaker 6: and you're worried about a takedown coming back the other way,

491
00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:25,400
Speaker 6: you can't over commit on your shots because that's when

492
00:22:25,400 --> 00:22:27,720
Speaker 6: you get taken down. So the Leeds does a really

493
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:31,400
Speaker 6: good job of using his grappling to make his striking good.

494
00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:34,440
Speaker 6: I don't think a Anthony Smith is that worried about

495
00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:36,680
Speaker 6: the grappling, so it probably doesn't apply as much here.

496
00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:40,119
Speaker 6: And yeah, also is to your point, Smith is a

497
00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:43,240
Speaker 6: fantastic life play. If that doesn't happen in round one,

498
00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:45,600
Speaker 6: should be a little bit more prepared and have better

499
00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:48,080
Speaker 6: cardio just because of being on this card a little

500
00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:48,480
Speaker 6: bit longer.

501
00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:49,639
Speaker 5: So that's the other angle to it.

502
00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:52,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, I thought the cardiodon Amican this fight is interesting

503
00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:54,760
Speaker 3: because the leads A normally doesn't have good cardio, but

504
00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:56,720
Speaker 3: he's coming up that might help him a little bit.

505
00:22:56,760 --> 00:22:58,600
Speaker 3: But it's also short notice that hurts him a little

506
00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:02,360
Speaker 3: bit seeing, you know, and subtract for different factors. Yeah,

507
00:23:02,400 --> 00:23:05,480
Speaker 3: I think i'd rather personally, for me, I'd rather have

508
00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:08,240
Speaker 3: the Leeds a round one and then probably live Bet

509
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:11,399
Speaker 3: Smith after round one. I think that's that's how I'd

510
00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:15,640
Speaker 3: approach this fight. I just Anthony looks so shot. I mean,

511
00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:19,000
Speaker 3: even his comments about like retirement or whether he's going

512
00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:21,760
Speaker 3: to keep fighting, and then he ends up submitting Ballatto

513
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:23,720
Speaker 3: and then he's like, well I may get UFC gold

514
00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:26,679
Speaker 3: after all, and You're like, I don't know about that, buddy,

515
00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:28,480
Speaker 3: Like I feel like you're just setting yourself.

516
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 4: Up for a worse KO from a better opponent.

517
00:23:30,920 --> 00:23:32,880
Speaker 3: So yeah, I don't know if it'll happen in this fight,

518
00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:35,200
Speaker 3: but I'm a little bit worried about how the story ends.

519
00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:38,359
Speaker 6: For Anthony's spith, I will say the crazy thing about it.

520
00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:41,520
Speaker 6: He's like a week and a half younger than Roman Billieds.

521
00:23:41,960 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 4: Yes, they were the same age.

522
00:23:43,560 --> 00:23:45,159
Speaker 3: I initially thought that Leeds was going to be so

523
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:47,280
Speaker 3: much younger, and they're the same age, but the fight

524
00:23:47,359 --> 00:23:48,680
Speaker 3: mileage is such a difference.

525
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:49,000
Speaker 5: Yeah.

526
00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:51,520
Speaker 6: Yeah, obviously a little bit tongue in cheeks saying that

527
00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:53,399
Speaker 6: I will say, to the point of like coming up

528
00:23:53,440 --> 00:23:56,840
Speaker 6: away class helping the cardio. I don't know how true

529
00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:59,240
Speaker 6: that necessarily is. I think it can be true, especially

530
00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:00,960
Speaker 6: with a full camp, you can adjust to the weight.

531
00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:03,000
Speaker 6: But a lot of guys when they go up away class,

532
00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:04,399
Speaker 6: they're like, cool, I just get to be ten to

533
00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:07,280
Speaker 6: fifteen pounds heavier. But obviously, you know, if anyone's gone

534
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:10,040
Speaker 6: for a run after puttingne ten or fifteen pounds, it

535
00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:12,399
Speaker 6: doesn't get easier, right, like carrying that extra weight. So

536
00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 6: it's a double edged sword in that sense. You know,

537
00:24:15,480 --> 00:24:17,879
Speaker 6: if i'm Roman de LEDs A, hopefully he's his in

538
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:20,000
Speaker 6: fight weight is about the same as it usually is

539
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:22,440
Speaker 6: if you're in his camp. We don't know, and we're

540
00:24:22,440 --> 00:24:24,800
Speaker 6: not going to know because only like two states make

541
00:24:24,840 --> 00:24:27,760
Speaker 6: the guy's way in on fight night, so we don't

542
00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:30,040
Speaker 6: really have a good baseline for that, but it's worth considering.

543
00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:32,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's somehow not a good fight, but an interesting

544
00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:35,800
Speaker 3: fight to think about, which that doesn't happen often. It's like,

545
00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:37,840
Speaker 3: I didn't want to spend time thinking about this fight,

546
00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:39,320
Speaker 3: But the more I think about it, like, the more

547
00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:41,760
Speaker 3: the more interesting ways I could see it playing out.

548
00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:44,000
Speaker 3: So I don't even think it'll play out particularly interesting.

549
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:45,200
Speaker 3: It's not going to be your fight of the night,

550
00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:48,120
Speaker 3: but there's some dynamics about it that make it interesting.

551
00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:50,760
Speaker 6: If it's fight of the night, it's a bad thing

552
00:24:50,800 --> 00:24:53,160
Speaker 6: for Anthony Smith. If it's a boring fight.

553
00:24:53,440 --> 00:24:55,560
Speaker 5: Very true. Probably like your Anthony Smith tickets.

554
00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:57,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, he wants the jab and low kick and put

555
00:24:57,400 --> 00:24:59,280
Speaker 3: a little of that lesson on for a fifteen minutes.

556
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:03,440
Speaker 1: The age factor is constantly discussed on this podcast, and

557
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:07,560
Speaker 1: it's a wash with these two. Yeah, well shocking, shockingly,

558
00:25:08,359 --> 00:25:11,560
Speaker 1: but you said the mileage is something that take into consideration.

559
00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:14,640
Speaker 4: Anthony's moving like a fifty year old at this point.

560
00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:18,159
Speaker 1: All right, let's go to go to props. Where are

561
00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:19,800
Speaker 1: we attacking the market this week?

562
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:23,240
Speaker 3: Sean Joe Pifer Inside the Distance at plus one oh

563
00:25:23,280 --> 00:25:26,199
Speaker 3: five or potentially a same game parlay I saw at

564
00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:28,920
Speaker 3: plus two hundred. If the one book that lets you

565
00:25:28,960 --> 00:25:30,679
Speaker 3: do same game parlays, you know which one it is.

566
00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:33,320
Speaker 3: If you were to go into their customized parlays, the

567
00:25:33,359 --> 00:25:35,239
Speaker 3: pre built parlays Piper and under one and a half

568
00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:37,520
Speaker 3: was plus one sixty five. If you go into the

569
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:40,840
Speaker 3: same game Parlay tool and click Pifer click under one

570
00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:43,480
Speaker 3: and a half, you got plus two hundred getting double

571
00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:45,879
Speaker 3: the price on Pifer and under one and a half

572
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:48,000
Speaker 3: as you get on Piper inside the distance. I think

573
00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:50,480
Speaker 3: is interesting because he's finished all of his finishes inside

574
00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:55,200
Speaker 3: of eight minutes and doesn't have particularly great cardio. Now

575
00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:57,040
Speaker 3: he is coming off of a five round main event,

576
00:25:57,160 --> 00:26:00,199
Speaker 3: a loss to Jacker Benson where I bet Jacker mansons

577
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:02,840
Speaker 3: and took over with leg kicks and cardio down the stretch.

578
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:06,000
Speaker 3: But I thought Piper's cardio looked okay, you know, better

579
00:26:06,040 --> 00:26:07,240
Speaker 3: than I thought it would. I thought there was a

580
00:26:07,320 --> 00:26:08,880
Speaker 3: chance he was going to get finished in round four,

581
00:26:09,000 --> 00:26:13,000
Speaker 3: round five before the fight. During the fight, Cardio looked okay,

582
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:15,440
Speaker 3: and now, dialing back to a three round fight should

583
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:18,600
Speaker 3: be fine. Zero concerns about his cardio over fifteen minutes,

584
00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:21,239
Speaker 3: where previously I might have had some concerns about it.

585
00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:25,080
Speaker 3: Not only is he the bigger, stronger fighter in this fight,

586
00:26:25,160 --> 00:26:27,400
Speaker 3: but he's also the better grappler, and I think there's

587
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:30,639
Speaker 3: a good chance he wins via submission against Marc Andre Verrio,

588
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:33,680
Speaker 3: who can't grapple. Once he get burioed down, he can't grapple.

589
00:26:33,800 --> 00:26:35,639
Speaker 3: He can throw up a ton of volume on the

590
00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 3: feet and maybe he could steal a decision late by

591
00:26:38,600 --> 00:26:42,680
Speaker 3: out voluming out voluming Piper over the final seven and

592
00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:44,280
Speaker 3: a half minutes, you know, winning the second half of

593
00:26:44,359 --> 00:26:47,440
Speaker 3: round two, winning round three. But I think he's very

594
00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:50,520
Speaker 3: likely to get finished before that. He's a really durable guy,

595
00:26:50,840 --> 00:26:53,840
Speaker 3: handles damage well throughout his career, but to get Ko

596
00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:56,800
Speaker 3: by cheat and Jawani basically on the first exchange of

597
00:26:56,800 --> 00:27:00,560
Speaker 3: the fight, He's been submitted in the past. I think

598
00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:03,000
Speaker 3: Pifer is just going to be too strong for him

599
00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:07,159
Speaker 3: and hit too hard and grapple too aggressively potentially if

600
00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:09,480
Speaker 3: he wants to to win this fight. So Pifer to

601
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:13,280
Speaker 3: finish this one the under one and a half combined

602
00:27:13,320 --> 00:27:15,240
Speaker 3: with Pifer a plus two hundred, or just Pifer to

603
00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:18,440
Speaker 3: finish at plus one oh five, I think absolutely will

604
00:27:18,480 --> 00:27:19,119
Speaker 3: be bets for me.

605
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:20,720
Speaker 4: I projected this closer to.

606
00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:23,320
Speaker 3: About minus one to twenty, so I think Joe Pifer

607
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:24,479
Speaker 3: gets back on track here.

608
00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:29,000
Speaker 1: Billy, how about yourself? Prop for UFC three to zero three.

609
00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:32,840
Speaker 6: Yeah, not necessarily my favorite bet, but definitely a fight

610
00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:35,920
Speaker 6: I wanted to talk about between Peyton Talbot and oh

611
00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:38,199
Speaker 6: what's his name? Yanniskimori wanted to make sure I was

612
00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:40,440
Speaker 6: saying that right. It look for a second this week

613
00:27:40,480 --> 00:27:43,119
Speaker 6: that Talbot might close as the heaviest money line favorite

614
00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,080
Speaker 6: ever in the UFC fight, which I think the current

615
00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:48,479
Speaker 6: record is minus twenty five hundred. He's between minus sixteen

616
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:51,520
Speaker 6: hundred and minus two thousand right now, So approaching it

617
00:27:52,359 --> 00:27:54,040
Speaker 6: the one bet, I kind of do like on it,

618
00:27:54,080 --> 00:27:56,520
Speaker 6: and you could make a parlay and add Talbot on this,

619
00:27:56,560 --> 00:27:57,840
Speaker 6: but it's not going to change it too much. When

620
00:27:57,840 --> 00:28:00,320
Speaker 6: he's minus two thousand, is the under one and a

621
00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 6: half at a round plus one fifty I saw plus

622
00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 6: one fifty four yesterday. There's a little bit of a

623
00:28:05,080 --> 00:28:08,560
Speaker 6: narrative that Talbot is not a great finisher or not

624
00:28:08,600 --> 00:28:10,560
Speaker 6: going to come out and finish it right away, he

625
00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:13,000
Speaker 6: had said, and I believe it was before his last

626
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:15,480
Speaker 6: fight that he wanted to make a concervative effort to

627
00:28:15,560 --> 00:28:18,000
Speaker 6: start faster in his fights after picking up a lot

628
00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:21,159
Speaker 6: of late fight finishes earlier in his career, and he

629
00:28:21,240 --> 00:28:23,720
Speaker 6: knocked out Cameron Salmon at the beginning of the second round.

630
00:28:24,040 --> 00:28:27,200
Speaker 6: Cameron Salmon fairly well regarded prospect in his own right,

631
00:28:27,640 --> 00:28:30,960
Speaker 6: far better striker than Yannis Kamory. If he can do

632
00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:33,600
Speaker 6: that to one of the best strikers in the division,

633
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:35,959
Speaker 6: at least from a technical standpoint, I don't see how

634
00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:38,440
Speaker 6: he doesn't do it against Yannis Kamory, who got knocked

635
00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:39,360
Speaker 6: out in his last fight.

636
00:28:39,480 --> 00:28:41,120
Speaker 5: So this is a really fun fight.

637
00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:44,520
Speaker 6: Talbot is a super interesting guy, Like everyone should go

638
00:28:44,600 --> 00:28:45,600
Speaker 6: check out his YouTube page.

639
00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:48,400
Speaker 5: It's weird, it's very interesting.

640
00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:51,120
Speaker 6: It's like old school skate videos and he's playing DDR

641
00:28:51,240 --> 00:28:54,520
Speaker 6: and he does pull dancing for exercise fully clothed, but

642
00:28:54,600 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 6: he does pull dancing classes, and just a really interesting

643
00:28:58,440 --> 00:29:01,920
Speaker 6: dude who apparently started training MMA kind of as a

644
00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:06,120
Speaker 6: lark because he saw Connor McGregor highlight reel and just said, hey,

645
00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:08,360
Speaker 6: that'd be cool to try that. He is one of

646
00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:11,680
Speaker 6: the most preternaturally gifted fighters I've seen in terms of

647
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:15,520
Speaker 6: his reaction time and his coordination and his ability to

648
00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:18,880
Speaker 6: generate power in close spaces. And he can also grapple

649
00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:21,440
Speaker 6: really well, like he front flipped, he sprawled and then

650
00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:23,240
Speaker 6: front flipped over a guy and took his back in

651
00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:26,200
Speaker 6: his UFC debut. Just always doing cool stuff like that.

652
00:29:27,320 --> 00:29:30,160
Speaker 6: Very excited about this fight. I think if you're Talbot

653
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:32,320
Speaker 6: and you really want to put a stamp on on

654
00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:34,200
Speaker 6: what people are saying. I am you go out and

655
00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:36,360
Speaker 6: pick up an early finish, And again he said he's

656
00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:39,040
Speaker 6: trying to start faster. So to get big plus money

657
00:29:39,080 --> 00:29:40,960
Speaker 6: on the under one and a half makes sense. You

658
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:42,440
Speaker 6: can go under two and a half. It's kind of

659
00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:44,480
Speaker 6: a similar dynamic to the fight we just talked about,

660
00:29:44,520 --> 00:29:46,680
Speaker 6: where you're getting a little bit better price on the

661
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:48,480
Speaker 6: one and a half higher out of hitting if you

662
00:29:48,520 --> 00:29:50,760
Speaker 6: go two and a half. Either way, though, I think

663
00:29:50,800 --> 00:29:53,280
Speaker 6: you take that, and again you could sprinkle Talbot on

664
00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:55,000
Speaker 6: top of it, but it barely changes the odds.

665
00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:59,280
Speaker 1: So do you ever explore pole dancing as a training tactic?

666
00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:01,920
Speaker 5: I have not. No, it's uh.

667
00:30:02,840 --> 00:30:04,760
Speaker 6: I don't think it was as popular when I was

668
00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:06,520
Speaker 6: coming up and when I was Peyton Talbot's sage. But

669
00:30:06,840 --> 00:30:09,640
Speaker 6: kids these days, in their new fangled training technique too,

670
00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:11,600
Speaker 6: what will they think of next?

671
00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:15,600
Speaker 3: A TikTok dance probably helps him with the scrambles in

672
00:30:15,720 --> 00:30:17,720
Speaker 3: jiu jitsu, right, I mean.

673
00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:20,040
Speaker 5: Yeah, when he's front flipping over guys and swinging around.

674
00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:24,160
Speaker 1: Yeah, if only you thought about he could have started.

675
00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:27,240
Speaker 6: The movement, could have been in the UFC as we speak,

676
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:29,120
Speaker 6: but here I am on a podcast instead.

677
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:32,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm like half kidding, but I could see how

678
00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:36,960
Speaker 3: the translation from like using your arms to like pull

679
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:40,400
Speaker 3: yourself to swing around the pole, like to generate that leverage.

680
00:30:40,720 --> 00:30:42,080
Speaker 3: How that would help you a little bit in a

681
00:30:42,120 --> 00:30:44,959
Speaker 3: scramble to like, you know, leverage a limb of an

682
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:48,240
Speaker 3: opponent and then use that momentum to like swing yourself

683
00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:52,320
Speaker 3: around them. So I could I could see the translation

684
00:30:52,440 --> 00:30:52,960
Speaker 3: of the skill.

685
00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:55,440
Speaker 1: Didn't sound like you were half joking.

686
00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:59,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, no, it's it's it's he's a He's a funny guy,

687
00:30:59,200 --> 00:31:02,760
Speaker 3: Peyton Salbat. He's a very interesting guy. He pisses off

688
00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:05,240
Speaker 3: a lot of the people in the MMA fan base

689
00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:10,320
Speaker 3: because he's untraditional and a bit unorthodox with his his style.

690
00:31:11,160 --> 00:31:14,480
Speaker 3: But he's quite a prospect and he's really fun to watch,

691
00:31:14,480 --> 00:31:17,280
Speaker 3: and maybe we'll see him face Sean O'Malley one day.

692
00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:20,080
Speaker 3: That would be the ultimate match of I'm sure that's

693
00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:22,240
Speaker 3: the dream match of her fans seeing the style that

694
00:31:22,280 --> 00:31:22,960
Speaker 3: he fights with.

695
00:31:23,640 --> 00:31:26,720
Speaker 1: All right, we will wrap it up now with best bets.

696
00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:29,360
Speaker 1: A final bet Zerillo best bet.

697
00:31:30,320 --> 00:31:32,000
Speaker 3: I didn't want this to be a best bet. I

698
00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:34,320
Speaker 3: didn't want to bet Ian Gary, But I think with

699
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:36,880
Speaker 3: the amount of hate that Ian Gary receives, there is

700
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:39,960
Speaker 3: value on him in the betting market. People want to

701
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:44,360
Speaker 3: see Gary get knocked out. He's cringey, he's annoying, but

702
00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:48,200
Speaker 3: he's really talented, and he's eleven years younger than Michael

703
00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:52,120
Speaker 3: venam Page. He's so much faster. You see the five

704
00:31:52,160 --> 00:31:54,920
Speaker 3: inch reach advantage for MVP on paper that gives you pause,

705
00:31:55,000 --> 00:31:58,040
Speaker 3: but Gary has probably the same reach advantage in his legs.

706
00:31:58,040 --> 00:32:01,640
Speaker 3: They're just built completely opposite in terms of their physique.

707
00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:04,440
Speaker 3: So MVP does have the longer arms, should be able

708
00:32:04,480 --> 00:32:07,240
Speaker 3: to land the longer straight punches you would think it ranged,

709
00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:10,080
Speaker 3: but Gary's quicker in terms of his hands, and his

710
00:32:10,160 --> 00:32:12,560
Speaker 3: legs are much longer. He's going to be teep kicking MVP.

711
00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:14,960
Speaker 3: He's going to be kicking his legs, and that's what

712
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:17,800
Speaker 3: MVP really struggles with his kicks from opponents. Kevin Hollum

713
00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:21,160
Speaker 3: is mostly trying to box him. MVP also struggles getting

714
00:32:21,200 --> 00:32:24,120
Speaker 3: grappled by opponents. We haven't really seen it a ton

715
00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:27,560
Speaker 3: in his UFC run, but Ian Gary, primarily on Cage

716
00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:30,680
Speaker 3: Warriors when he was younger in his career, loves to grapple,

717
00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:34,280
Speaker 3: good grappler, really good top control. He's training in Brazil now,

718
00:32:34,560 --> 00:32:38,200
Speaker 3: I'm sure they're drilling a ton of grappling, a ton

719
00:32:38,280 --> 00:32:41,720
Speaker 3: of wrestling, and I think that's where his massive upside,

720
00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 3: his minus four hundred plus upside in this fight comes

721
00:32:45,560 --> 00:32:48,520
Speaker 3: if he decides to wrestle and get on top of MVP. Now,

722
00:32:48,840 --> 00:32:51,280
Speaker 3: I do think given his relationship with the fans and

723
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:53,600
Speaker 3: his relationship with promotion, and the fact that he keeps

724
00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:56,640
Speaker 3: having boring fights, I don't know how proactively he's going

725
00:32:56,680 --> 00:32:58,680
Speaker 3: to pursue the grapple. I think if he wants to win,

726
00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:00,080
Speaker 3: absolutely should the.

727
00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:01,160
Speaker 4: Easiest path of victory.

728
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:03,800
Speaker 3: I think, if he wants to gain fans put himself

729
00:33:03,800 --> 00:33:07,160
Speaker 3: in title position, I think he's likely to just strike

730
00:33:07,240 --> 00:33:09,040
Speaker 3: this out and go for the KO, And I don't

731
00:33:09,040 --> 00:33:11,000
Speaker 3: know if that is to his benefit because MVP is

732
00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:13,800
Speaker 3: very difficult to hit. I know he's got that karate style.

733
00:33:13,840 --> 00:33:16,600
Speaker 3: He's a really good mover. He's difficult to get a

734
00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:20,200
Speaker 3: read on and actually land on, and you could get

735
00:33:20,240 --> 00:33:22,440
Speaker 3: in a situation in this fight. This is my concern

736
00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:26,400
Speaker 3: where Gary lands more volume, but MVP has the bigger

737
00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:29,000
Speaker 3: moments because Gary's won weakness as a fighter is his chin.

738
00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:33,120
Speaker 3: He's been wobbled or knocked down in multiple UFC fights.

739
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:36,040
Speaker 3: When he gets hit clean, he tends to do the

740
00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:39,120
Speaker 3: chicken dands a little bit. So I'm worried that Gary

741
00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:41,040
Speaker 3: is going to win the majority of minutes in this fight.

742
00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:44,200
Speaker 3: But MVP is just gonna have two huge moments, one

743
00:33:44,560 --> 00:33:47,360
Speaker 3: in different rounds, and end up stealing the fight on

744
00:33:47,400 --> 00:33:50,720
Speaker 3: the scorecards because he ends up wobbling Gary. But aside

745
00:33:50,720 --> 00:33:54,440
Speaker 3: from that, I think MVP is drawing relatively thin. I

746
00:33:54,480 --> 00:33:56,520
Speaker 3: think he needs the ko or I think he needs

747
00:33:56,960 --> 00:33:59,800
Speaker 3: multiple wobbles in order to win the fight. Otherwise, Gary

748
00:33:59,840 --> 00:34:02,120
Speaker 3: does this too many tools for him, As I said,

749
00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:04,680
Speaker 3: the speed, big speed advantage in terms of the hands,

750
00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:07,840
Speaker 3: the better kicker, and then also the grappling upside as well.

751
00:34:07,960 --> 00:34:10,640
Speaker 3: So Gary getting minus one fifty on him, I think

752
00:34:10,640 --> 00:34:12,000
Speaker 3: he wins closer to seven.

753
00:34:11,800 --> 00:34:14,120
Speaker 4: Out of ten times and six out of ten times.

754
00:34:14,120 --> 00:34:16,680
Speaker 3: I think, honestly it may even be closer to eight

755
00:34:16,719 --> 00:34:18,600
Speaker 3: out of ten and six out of ten, but I

756
00:34:18,640 --> 00:34:20,839
Speaker 3: projected it closer to seven out of ten. I think

757
00:34:20,880 --> 00:34:23,400
Speaker 3: minus two hundred a fair price on him, So getting

758
00:34:23,400 --> 00:34:26,560
Speaker 3: minus one fifty absolutely something I need to bet not

759
00:34:26,680 --> 00:34:29,239
Speaker 3: something I wanted to bet. I even mentioned MBPKO on

760
00:34:29,280 --> 00:34:31,960
Speaker 3: the podcast last week. That was my pre fight re reader,

761
00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:34,239
Speaker 3: my pre tape read coming out of it. I think

762
00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:38,200
Speaker 3: Gary is the clear sid right, very good and Billy

763
00:34:38,280 --> 00:34:38,799
Speaker 3: best bet.

764
00:34:39,719 --> 00:34:39,919
Speaker 5: Yeah.

765
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:43,160
Speaker 6: To Sean's point, Ian, Gary has one other fight against

766
00:34:43,160 --> 00:34:46,200
Speaker 6: someone with a listed reach advantage, and it was almost identical.

767
00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:49,400
Speaker 6: That was Neil Magni, who he took down two times.

768
00:34:49,600 --> 00:34:52,359
Speaker 6: Only fight we've seen him get multiple takedowns was when

769
00:34:52,360 --> 00:34:54,760
Speaker 6: he fought a taller, longer guy, and he also outstruck

770
00:34:54,920 --> 00:34:58,239
Speaker 6: Neil Magne ninety one to twenty seven. Magne's got not

771
00:34:58,360 --> 00:35:01,360
Speaker 6: as good of a striker as my Page, probably a

772
00:35:01,360 --> 00:35:04,920
Speaker 6: better grappler. I'm totally with Sean on that. This is

773
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:06,840
Speaker 6: another one where I don't think it'll be the most

774
00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:10,320
Speaker 6: exciting fight throughout, but it's gonna have some big moments.

775
00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:13,320
Speaker 6: You hope the judges don't give like style points for

776
00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:16,200
Speaker 6: Michael Page because of his leg kick was after doing

777
00:35:16,239 --> 00:35:18,480
Speaker 6: a backflip and spinning around three times, and Gary just

778
00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:21,160
Speaker 6: landed a regular leg kick. Those are the same amount

779
00:35:21,160 --> 00:35:23,160
Speaker 6: of damage, but one of them looks a little bit cooler,

780
00:35:23,200 --> 00:35:25,759
Speaker 6: so that's kind of the drawback on the I and

781
00:35:25,800 --> 00:35:28,040
Speaker 6: Gary side, But yeah, I'm with Sean.

782
00:35:27,840 --> 00:35:29,040
Speaker 5: One hundred percent on that one.

783
00:35:29,680 --> 00:35:31,880
Speaker 6: Another one, I'm less excited about it now because of

784
00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:34,840
Speaker 6: the mind line movement, but that's Gene Silva. You can

785
00:35:34,880 --> 00:35:38,040
Speaker 6: still get minus one oh two. Took him at plus

786
00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:39,799
Speaker 6: one oh five maybe plus one ten.

787
00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:41,000
Speaker 5: Earlier in the week.

788
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:44,359
Speaker 6: He is fighting Charles Jordaane, and if you watch him fight,

789
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:46,879
Speaker 6: they're like the same dude. They both come out very

790
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:49,640
Speaker 6: high aggression with the striking kind of mirror images of

791
00:35:49,680 --> 00:35:51,640
Speaker 6: each other, with Jordayane mostly fighting lefty.

792
00:35:53,200 --> 00:35:55,600
Speaker 5: Both decent defensively.

793
00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:57,880
Speaker 6: I would argue Silva has a little bit more power,

794
00:35:58,400 --> 00:36:00,840
Speaker 6: but we've seen Jordaane knock down a couple times before.

795
00:36:00,880 --> 00:36:03,319
Speaker 6: He's a little bit older in terms of mileage and

796
00:36:03,480 --> 00:36:05,600
Speaker 6: UFC fights where I think it's going to be a

797
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:09,120
Speaker 6: pretty fast paced grappling fight, And when Silva hits people,

798
00:36:09,520 --> 00:36:12,600
Speaker 6: they react a lot differently than when Charles Jordaane hits people.

799
00:36:12,640 --> 00:36:14,680
Speaker 5: Not that he doesn't have power, he knocks some guys out.

800
00:36:14,880 --> 00:36:16,920
Speaker 6: It's been a little while on Charles Jordaane, so I

801
00:36:16,960 --> 00:36:19,160
Speaker 6: don't know if he still has that in him, the

802
00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:21,600
Speaker 6: way that he used to, so in what I expect

803
00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:23,680
Speaker 6: to be a close fight in terms of volume, I

804
00:36:23,680 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 6: think Jean Silva should do the bigger it, should have

805
00:36:26,160 --> 00:36:28,799
Speaker 6: the bigger damage in the bigger moments, So I would

806
00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:30,080
Speaker 6: make him a slight favorite here.

807
00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:32,680
Speaker 5: He's now minus one or two, which again I don't love.

808
00:36:32,920 --> 00:36:34,640
Speaker 6: Was hoping to still get plus money on it, but

809
00:36:35,480 --> 00:36:37,200
Speaker 6: would definitely take it at minus one or two.

810
00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:39,120
Speaker 4: What do you think about the under plus money in

811
00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:39,960
Speaker 4: that fight, Billy.

812
00:36:41,080 --> 00:36:43,960
Speaker 5: I thought about it, but I don't know. Like both

813
00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:45,200
Speaker 5: guys are fairly durable.

814
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:47,719
Speaker 6: Jordaane is almost one of those where you feel like

815
00:36:48,600 --> 00:36:51,120
Speaker 6: he's due for some knockout regression for lack of a

816
00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:53,640
Speaker 6: better term, because he's been dropped and been hurt, but

817
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:56,640
Speaker 6: usually makes it through, which one reading of that is Wow,

818
00:36:56,680 --> 00:36:58,160
Speaker 6: he finds a way to get through. The other one

819
00:36:58,200 --> 00:37:00,279
Speaker 6: is like it's a matter of time. I don't know

820
00:37:00,280 --> 00:37:01,000
Speaker 6: how I feel about that.

821
00:37:02,000 --> 00:37:05,600
Speaker 3: Yeah, I uh, I think in a vacuum, taking Brazilians

822
00:37:05,600 --> 00:37:09,560
Speaker 3: over Canadians probably a good move. Starting to think, starting

823
00:37:09,600 --> 00:37:11,160
Speaker 3: to think about this a little bit more like.

824
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:11,560
Speaker 5: You know it.

825
00:37:11,600 --> 00:37:13,799
Speaker 4: As fans, we have more familiarity with Charles Jurdan.

826
00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:17,480
Speaker 3: He's an exciting fighter, like he gets all this fan support,

827
00:37:17,520 --> 00:37:21,160
Speaker 3: but he does consistently underachieve. And just think about like

828
00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:23,479
Speaker 3: the training he's getting relative to what Jean Silva is getting,

829
00:37:23,520 --> 00:37:26,000
Speaker 3: you know. It's I do think about this. The more

830
00:37:26,000 --> 00:37:29,040
Speaker 3: we the more we do these podcasts, the more I

831
00:37:29,080 --> 00:37:31,600
Speaker 3: handicap fights, like over time, you adjust your style. And

832
00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:34,279
Speaker 3: I don't know, I don't know how many Canadians I

833
00:37:34,320 --> 00:37:36,680
Speaker 3: want to bet against Brazilians and even money in the future,

834
00:37:36,760 --> 00:37:39,800
Speaker 3: Like it's probably zero, So no, no offense to the

835
00:37:39,840 --> 00:37:41,799
Speaker 3: country of Canada. It's just how many more people does

836
00:37:41,880 --> 00:37:45,160
Speaker 3: Jean Silva have to train with? In Charles Jrdanin It's substantial.

837
00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:47,239
Speaker 3: It's a huge difference in terms of the quality of

838
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:50,400
Speaker 3: training partners and the quality of training he's getting, you know.

839
00:37:51,400 --> 00:37:52,719
Speaker 4: So yeah, it's it's uh.

840
00:37:53,200 --> 00:37:55,200
Speaker 3: I would I wish we had bet Labs data on

841
00:37:55,440 --> 00:37:58,120
Speaker 3: like and I could select countries like Canadian fighter versus

842
00:37:58,160 --> 00:37:59,200
Speaker 3: you know, Brazilian fighter.

843
00:37:59,800 --> 00:38:01,160
Speaker 4: But I mean.

844
00:38:01,880 --> 00:38:03,719
Speaker 3: People have written for us in the past, you know

845
00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:06,839
Speaker 3: read Wallach, Eric Ricker. They they mentioned like don't bet

846
00:38:06,840 --> 00:38:10,319
Speaker 3: against Brazilian woman. And H's something I've noticed over time

847
00:38:10,360 --> 00:38:12,640
Speaker 3: and now now that I see these matches, where we're like,

848
00:38:12,680 --> 00:38:14,560
Speaker 3: you know, pick them fight Canadian versus Brazilian?

849
00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:15,680
Speaker 4: Do I really want the Canadian?

850
00:38:16,880 --> 00:38:17,120
Speaker 5: Yeah?

851
00:38:17,120 --> 00:38:20,360
Speaker 6: And he's training with fighting nerds, right, Jean Telvis, Yeah,

852
00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:23,480
Speaker 6: out of that team can guys in the last year

853
00:38:23,560 --> 00:38:23,799
Speaker 6: or two.

854
00:38:24,040 --> 00:38:25,879
Speaker 4: Yeah, ever fought with the game plan?

855
00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:27,680
Speaker 3: Does he like he just goes with the flow of

856
00:38:27,680 --> 00:38:29,719
Speaker 3: the fight, right? It seems like he's just kind of

857
00:38:29,760 --> 00:38:33,320
Speaker 3: like he's just sort of flowing out there. And fighting

858
00:38:33,360 --> 00:38:35,680
Speaker 3: nerds always come with a game plan. They always are

859
00:38:35,840 --> 00:38:39,120
Speaker 3: exploiting opponents' weaknesses. So yeah, I'm sure they'll have a

860
00:38:39,120 --> 00:38:40,360
Speaker 3: good game plan for Jordan.

861
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:43,719
Speaker 6: Probably worth mentioning too. Jordaane is not a bad grappler.

862
00:38:44,160 --> 00:38:46,440
Speaker 6: You know, he won his last fight by a guillotine.

863
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:47,359
Speaker 4: Where he got a good deal in the way.

864
00:38:47,400 --> 00:38:49,560
Speaker 6: I was impressed because he did a good job regarding

865
00:38:49,600 --> 00:38:51,400
Speaker 6: and finding the gaillotine in a way, I think it

866
00:38:51,440 --> 00:38:53,960
Speaker 6: said more about his opponent because Charles Jordane went for

867
00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:56,120
Speaker 6: like four guillotines before he got one to work, Like,

868
00:38:56,160 --> 00:38:58,400
Speaker 6: how do you not adjust to that happening? Which is

869
00:38:58,400 --> 00:39:01,560
Speaker 6: a different story, but in terms of offensive wrestling, Charles

870
00:39:01,640 --> 00:39:04,640
Speaker 6: Roadain's landed like one takedown in his UFC career, and

871
00:39:04,760 --> 00:39:07,600
Speaker 6: Silva's averaging one point five for fifteen, so that could

872
00:39:07,600 --> 00:39:08,719
Speaker 6: steal him a round or two too.

873
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:10,160
Speaker 5: If we think this goes to a decision.

874
00:39:11,280 --> 00:39:13,440
Speaker 1: Next time we're here, we'll have to have Zarrillo. Like

875
00:39:13,560 --> 00:39:18,200
Speaker 1: Tony Kornheiser from PTI have to waive the Canadian flag

876
00:39:18,480 --> 00:39:19,680
Speaker 1: on the sign.

877
00:39:19,440 --> 00:39:21,960
Speaker 3: Off if Charles Wentz. I'll get a Canadian flag if

878
00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:22,840
Speaker 3: Charles Wentz.

879
00:39:22,680 --> 00:39:23,160
Speaker 5: And wave it.

880
00:39:23,200 --> 00:39:26,160
Speaker 1: At the end, we are not here next week because

881
00:39:26,320 --> 00:39:29,719
Speaker 1: the UFC's taken next week enough, so we're back July

882
00:39:29,960 --> 00:39:34,400
Speaker 1: thirteenth for Fight Night in Denver at Ball Arena. So

883
00:39:35,440 --> 00:39:39,440
Speaker 1: that concludes the podcast. You all have the best of

884
00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:42,719
Speaker 1: luck and thanks for tuning in again. Please subscribe, leave

885
00:39:42,760 --> 00:39:45,960
Speaker 1: your five star ratings and reviews, enjoy your Fourth of

886
00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:48,840
Speaker 1: July holiday, and we'll return in a couple of weeks

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Speaker 1: for UFC betting preview. Here on the Action Network podcast,

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Speaker 1: we are presented by bet MGM, shan Zarello, Billy Ward,

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Speaker 1: Brendy blast Sheet, Neans for tuning in. Best of bluck.

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Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

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Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler