1 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:16,600 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into another episode 2 00:00:16,600 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice podcast. It is July the third, 3 00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:22,200 Speaker 1: on a Monday. My name is Matt Perrault. I think 4 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:24,840 Speaker 1: you can still follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. 5 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:27,640 Speaker 1: Maybe that was just a hiccup or two. Maybe actually 6 00:00:27,680 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: we'll get back to the good times on Twitter. But 7 00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 1: good times is what we had last week, thirteen and 8 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:34,919 Speaker 1: five the record. I got to count up what we 9 00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 1: were up from a unit perspective. I think it was 10 00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 1: somewhere around seven and a half units or so up 11 00:00:40,880 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 1: last week. We hit six in a row, the last 12 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 1: six bets over the weekend, three and oh on Saturday, 13 00:00:47,040 --> 00:00:49,559 Speaker 1: three and oh on Sunday. That is not typical. Like 14 00:00:49,560 --> 00:00:51,640 Speaker 1: I tell you guys all the time, we'll take the 15 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:53,800 Speaker 1: good stuff. We know the bad stuff could be coming 16 00:00:53,840 --> 00:00:55,880 Speaker 1: at some point at anytime we go into that rut, 17 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 1: but for right now, that's not bad. And so if 18 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:00,560 Speaker 1: you've been following and trailing, we had a very good 19 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:02,960 Speaker 1: week and we start a new week coming up here 20 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:07,319 Speaker 1: on a Monday. Now. It is July the third. July 21 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:10,280 Speaker 1: the fourth is tomorrow. There's not much to get into. 22 00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:12,919 Speaker 1: I don't bet the wonky stuff like I'm not betting 23 00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:15,160 Speaker 1: the hot dog eating contest, and there's not a lot 24 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:17,520 Speaker 1: of things out there to bet on. We do have 25 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 1: a UFC event coming up on the horizon that'll be 26 00:01:20,240 --> 00:01:23,880 Speaker 1: at next Saturday, but for the foreseeable future, it's going 27 00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:26,240 Speaker 1: to be a baseball type of slate, and this Monday 28 00:01:26,280 --> 00:01:28,560 Speaker 1: slate is pretty light. There's not a ton of things 29 00:01:28,600 --> 00:01:30,800 Speaker 1: going on, and really not a ton of bets to 30 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:33,679 Speaker 1: make here. It's nine to thirty on the East Coast. 31 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 1: I've been waiting to see what numbers we're going to 32 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:38,640 Speaker 1: pop up on the East Coast. Books only two games. 33 00:01:38,680 --> 00:01:41,080 Speaker 1: I really am interested in betting only two games. I 34 00:01:41,080 --> 00:01:43,679 Speaker 1: can really see myself putting money down on here today 35 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 1: on a Monday. We'll see if I add anything else 36 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:48,800 Speaker 1: during the day, but probably not. I got two bets 37 00:01:48,840 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 1: for you guys coming up here in just one second. 38 00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: But first and foremost it is Omaha Steaks dot Com. 39 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:56,480 Speaker 1: They are the tael sponsor of this podcast. 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Let's 59 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:58,600 Speaker 1: first start talking about the Miami Marlins. Braxton Garrett, he 60 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 1: has won six consecutive starts. Now, not him particularly, the 61 00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 1: Marlins have won six consecutive starts. Look, I bet the 62 00:03:07,919 --> 00:03:11,320 Speaker 1: Marlins over seventy six and a half wins on the year. Okay, 63 00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:14,400 Speaker 1: because of that, I've paid way more attention to Marlin 64 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:16,640 Speaker 1: games than I have in the past. But I like 65 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:19,040 Speaker 1: betting on these Marlins that just came off that sweep 66 00:03:19,200 --> 00:03:21,640 Speaker 1: where the Brays got them pretty good over. We bet 67 00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:24,079 Speaker 1: it yesterday. We got the over right there with eight 68 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:26,519 Speaker 1: and a half. With the Sandy Elgin contract de Gay 69 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:29,960 Speaker 1: again six to three, final game goes over. Sandy's just 70 00:03:30,000 --> 00:03:33,840 Speaker 1: been an over machine. So here's Braxton Garrett with a 71 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:36,440 Speaker 1: four and two record, three point five to three ERA 72 00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 1: seven eight of the last nine games the Marlins have 73 00:03:40,800 --> 00:03:43,560 Speaker 1: won with him on the mound. Last time out against 74 00:03:43,560 --> 00:03:46,480 Speaker 1: the Red Sox on the road five innings, one earned run. 75 00:03:46,720 --> 00:03:49,800 Speaker 1: Time over that at home against Pittsburgh seven innings, one 76 00:03:49,880 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 1: earned run. Ten for that Washington six innings, one earned run. 77 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:56,760 Speaker 1: You're starting to see what this guy does at home. 78 00:03:57,320 --> 00:03:59,839 Speaker 1: He has a worse ERA than he does on the road. 79 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 1: It doesn't really matter because the team is winning. He 80 00:04:02,840 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: is one in one with a five three five ERA 81 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 1: opposing batting average of two seventy one, but the team scores. 82 00:04:09,200 --> 00:04:12,520 Speaker 1: He gets good run run production. They just got swept. 83 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:15,600 Speaker 1: They're back at home. Marlins are a much better team 84 00:04:15,600 --> 00:04:17,920 Speaker 1: at home, and it's only minus one twenty just straight 85 00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:20,720 Speaker 1: on the money line. The Cardinals are eighteen and twenty 86 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:24,040 Speaker 1: three Micholas on the mound up against the twenty five 87 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:27,719 Speaker 1: and sixteen at home Miami Marlins, who definitely need some 88 00:04:27,920 --> 00:04:30,719 Speaker 1: home cook in here. For sure, Michlas is better on 89 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:33,359 Speaker 1: the road here. He has got a three point sixty 90 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,800 Speaker 1: three ERA on the road, three and three on the year, 91 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:40,039 Speaker 1: two eighty opposing batting average, twenty one earned runs in 92 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:42,800 Speaker 1: fifty two innings worth of work. But I'm gonna take 93 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 1: the Marlins here to get a victory to snap this 94 00:04:45,279 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 1: three game losing streak. They've already kind of been put 95 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: into their place here by the Braves after that three 96 00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 1: game set. They are deep, deep, back nine games back 97 00:04:53,800 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 1: of Atlanta. Now Miami kind of knows that this is 98 00:04:56,560 --> 00:04:58,719 Speaker 1: a wild card year for them, But we're playing in 99 00:04:58,720 --> 00:05:00,760 Speaker 1: a team like the Cardinals, who are thirty five and 100 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:03,920 Speaker 1: forty eight. You gotta win these games. It's only miss 101 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 1: one twenty one point two units down Marlin's money line 102 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:12,960 Speaker 1: up against the Saint Louis Cardinals, second game, second bet. Look, 103 00:05:13,080 --> 00:05:16,040 Speaker 1: this is a little bit of a principal play. DraftKings 104 00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:19,680 Speaker 1: has this right now Mariners at the Giants. The total 105 00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:25,680 Speaker 1: is seven seven minus one twenty five one point two 106 00:05:25,720 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 1: to five units down on this why going over Brian 107 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:32,480 Speaker 1: wou on the year six ERA on the road, one 108 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:36,119 Speaker 1: in one, eight earned runs in twelve innings worth of work, 109 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:41,320 Speaker 1: two sixty five opposing batting average last time out five innings, 110 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:44,279 Speaker 1: two runs scored, one earned run, pitch pretty well against 111 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:47,560 Speaker 1: the Yankees five and a third, zero earned runs given up, 112 00:05:47,600 --> 00:05:50,680 Speaker 1: but before that on the road against the Angels, two 113 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 1: earned runs against Texas first one on that six earned 114 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:56,640 Speaker 1: in just two innings in his first start of the year. 115 00:05:57,160 --> 00:05:58,840 Speaker 1: But I think he's gonna give up a couple of 116 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:02,280 Speaker 1: runs here up against this Giants team. But it's got 117 00:06:02,320 --> 00:06:04,800 Speaker 1: a lot to do with the fact that I don't 118 00:06:04,839 --> 00:06:08,760 Speaker 1: think web Logan Web is nearly as good as the 119 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:11,520 Speaker 1: numbers suggest. Logan Web is seven and seven and a 120 00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:14,680 Speaker 1: three point four to three ERA on the year, but 121 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:17,560 Speaker 1: you start kind of diving deeper into the numbers at 122 00:06:17,560 --> 00:06:20,159 Speaker 1: home two thirty one ERA. He's always been a better 123 00:06:20,200 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 1: pitcher at home. There' z own debating that three and 124 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 1: three on the year for him posting batting average two 125 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:28,600 Speaker 1: twenty seven twelve earned in forty six and two thirds 126 00:06:28,600 --> 00:06:30,720 Speaker 1: worth of work. But in June he is a four 127 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:34,560 Speaker 1: to four point seven zero era. He is three and 128 00:06:34,680 --> 00:06:36,880 Speaker 1: two in the month of June, posing batting average of 129 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:40,640 Speaker 1: two sixty eight twenty earned runs in thirty eight and 130 00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:44,360 Speaker 1: a third innings worth of work for logan web and 131 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 1: look at him a little deeper deeper against Toronto, five 132 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:49,640 Speaker 1: earned runs on the road last time out at home 133 00:06:49,640 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 1: against Arizona. Gave up three earned runs and four runs 134 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:55,920 Speaker 1: in total against Baltimore in the game before that at 135 00:06:55,960 --> 00:06:58,680 Speaker 1: home back on the second of June, three earned and 136 00:06:58,720 --> 00:07:01,680 Speaker 1: seven innings. He's gonna give up some runs. I think 137 00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:03,880 Speaker 1: WU gives up some runs and the bullpens gives up 138 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 1: some runs. It's only seven good push potential on this 139 00:07:08,279 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 1: minus one twenty five over seven Mariners and the Giants 140 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:16,640 Speaker 1: here on a Monday, Okay, only two bets. Maybe I'll 141 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:18,680 Speaker 1: add a third, but it's a light slate on Monday. 142 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:21,200 Speaker 1: Everyone gets playing tomorrow on the fourth of July. We'll 143 00:07:21,200 --> 00:07:24,600 Speaker 1: have more plays on that. But we're betting two games. 144 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:26,760 Speaker 1: You know last week and did okay with that. I 145 00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 1: want to continue here kind of slowly start into this 146 00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:31,960 Speaker 1: just I know the downturn is coming. Okay, when I 147 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:34,560 Speaker 1: go six to oh, going oh and six the next 148 00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:37,320 Speaker 1: six bets is very very possible. So let's see if 149 00:07:37,320 --> 00:07:39,360 Speaker 1: we can mitigate that here a little bit. Knowing what 150 00:07:39,440 --> 00:07:42,480 Speaker 1: may happen with the downturn, let's go with this. Just 151 00:07:42,520 --> 00:07:45,320 Speaker 1: two bets on a Monday. Here we are going money 152 00:07:45,360 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 1: line Marlins minus one twenty and we're playing the over 153 00:07:48,800 --> 00:07:51,280 Speaker 1: seven for the Mariners and the Giants. Let's keep this 154 00:07:51,440 --> 00:07:54,440 Speaker 1: over train going done pretty well over the last couple 155 00:07:54,480 --> 00:07:56,480 Speaker 1: of games, a couple of days betting on the overs 156 00:07:56,520 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 1: here in Major League Baseball. Two bets, any others, I'll 157 00:07:59,760 --> 00:08:02,960 Speaker 1: put it in the Discord channel, bettingpros dot com, slash Chat, 158 00:08:03,320 --> 00:08:05,040 Speaker 1: mineus Matt Parot, you guys, and follow me on Twitter 159 00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:07,280 Speaker 1: at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it is 160 00:08:07,320 --> 00:08:10,160 Speaker 1: the Diligence Podcast, being brought to you by olmah Steaks 161 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:24,120 Speaker 1: dot com