WEBVTT - Growing Middle East Concerns, A Billionaire's Quest for a Cure

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Wait inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 1>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 1>global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Carol, Israel's military said it struck Hamas targets and Gaza overnight,

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<v Speaker 2>and Israel also responded to fire from Lebanon by hitting

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<v Speaker 2>Hezbola assets.

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<v Speaker 3>So let's get to Mick mulroy. He is back with US,

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<v Speaker 3>former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, a retired CIA officer,

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<v Speaker 3>understands as we've been leaning on him big time. He's

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<v Speaker 3>also co founder of the Lobo Institute, so obviously looking

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<v Speaker 3>at areas of the world where there is conflict. Mick,

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<v Speaker 3>we want to get you to weigh in. We know

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<v Speaker 3>you're monitoring a lot of stuff right now. Another crazy week,

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<v Speaker 3>if you will. How are you thinking about it on

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<v Speaker 3>this Friday?

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<v Speaker 4>So, first of all, great to be with you, and

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<v Speaker 4>it's great that these two American hostages were released, a

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<v Speaker 4>mother and daughter. They're saying because he manitarian reason, she

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<v Speaker 4>was very sick. But it's always good to get Americans released.

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<v Speaker 4>But there's several more, and there's around two hundred total

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<v Speaker 4>hostages held by a MOSS right now, which of course

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<v Speaker 4>is a war crime to hold civilians as prisoners of war.

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<v Speaker 4>So that is a very good thing, and hats off

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<v Speaker 4>to everybody that had a role in that guitar for example,

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<v Speaker 4>and likely the FBI and the CIA, so.

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<v Speaker 5>Good for them.

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<v Speaker 4>But there's a lot more to do when it comes

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<v Speaker 4>to get hostages out, and it does look like we

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<v Speaker 4>are on the edge of this ground invasion that could

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<v Speaker 4>be coming with the next twenty four or forty eight hours.

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<v Speaker 3>We want to also bring in our Bobby go She's

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<v Speaker 3>a Bloomberg opinion columnist but has covered the Middle East

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<v Speaker 3>for a long long time. And you know, I know, Mick,

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<v Speaker 3>you've got to run. But Bobby, I wonder if you

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<v Speaker 3>have a question for Mick who's also been covering this.

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<v Speaker 3>We'd love to do that Mick before maybe you have

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<v Speaker 3>to run. Bobby, you have a question real quick one.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, yes, absolutely. What I would like to ask Mick

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<v Speaker 6>is basically the events of the last twenty four hours,

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<v Speaker 6>these missiles and rockets that have been directed at American

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<v Speaker 6>targets as well as Israel from not just Hamas, but

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<v Speaker 6>also and Hesbalala, but also from she militias in Iraq,

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<v Speaker 6>and it looks like the Huthi militias in Yemen. What

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<v Speaker 6>they all have in common is that they're all sponsored by,

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<v Speaker 6>paid for, trained by Iran. And how much of sort

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<v Speaker 6>of Iran is looming over the back drop of all

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<v Speaker 6>the decision making that's taking place in Washington over what

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<v Speaker 6>to do next in the region.

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<v Speaker 4>That is a very good question and a very astute one.

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<v Speaker 4>You are correct, Hamask it's about ninety percent of its

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<v Speaker 4>military funding from Iran. Hes Belah very similar support multiple

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<v Speaker 4>militias in Syria, and the Huthis are on Allah in Yemen,

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<v Speaker 4>who has been waging a bloody civil wars. I'm sure

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<v Speaker 4>you're aware of since around twenty fourteen. They all have

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<v Speaker 4>Iran in common. They are especially when it comes to

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<v Speaker 4>their advanced weapons systems, they get almost all of them

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<v Speaker 4>from Iran, and it's likely that Iran could use that

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<v Speaker 4>connection should Israel, and it looks like they will launch

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<v Speaker 4>a ground invasion into Gaza, particularly if a most looks

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<v Speaker 4>like it's going to be destroyed. There'll be a lot

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<v Speaker 4>of pressure on all of those entities you mentioned and

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<v Speaker 4>Iran could orchestrate the whole thing. And I think that's

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<v Speaker 4>why the United States, and that's why they said they

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<v Speaker 4>place so much military capacity right off the coast of Israel,

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<v Speaker 4>with two carriers, strike groups, a marine expeditionary unit, and

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<v Speaker 4>more elements moving to the area.

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<v Speaker 2>Hey, Mick, I know you got to go. We are

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<v Speaker 2>hearing from Anthony Blincoln, Secretary of State right now after

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<v Speaker 2>the release of two American hostages, and that's where I

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<v Speaker 2>want to go with our last question to you. Just

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<v Speaker 2>give us an idea of what happens behind the scenes

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<v Speaker 2>to secure the release of hostages, even though there are

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<v Speaker 2>so many more that need to be released.

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<v Speaker 4>So I think this is such a difficult military problem.

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<v Speaker 4>Even the best units would have a hard time rescuing

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<v Speaker 4>two two hundred hostages, likely in tunnels. Likely it's already

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<v Speaker 4>wired to explode if they get too close, and may

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<v Speaker 4>actually facilitate the recovery. So all these diplomatic efforts are

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<v Speaker 4>truly their best option for getting out, and I hope

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<v Speaker 4>they continue and we see more hostages coming out.

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<v Speaker 3>Hey Mick, thank you so much. You've been great throughout

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<v Speaker 3>this crisis, and we know you've got to run. But that,

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<v Speaker 3>of course is McK mulroy, as we said, former Deputy

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<v Speaker 3>Assistant Secretary of Defense, retired CIA officer, retired US Marine reservist,

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<v Speaker 3>and co founder of the Lobo Institute, which advises, consults

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<v Speaker 3>and teaches on conflicts. So so appreciate Heyway, And I've

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<v Speaker 3>got to say we've also been leaning big time on

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<v Speaker 3>our own Bobby Gosh Bloomberg opinion columnists covering culture, but

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<v Speaker 3>he spent many, many, many years covering foreign affairs, particularly

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<v Speaker 3>from those conflict zones in the Middle East. So Bobby,

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<v Speaker 3>we do want to stay with you. I do think

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<v Speaker 3>about what has to be front and center for the

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<v Speaker 3>United States right now in terms of in a fluid

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<v Speaker 3>situation trying to calm things down. But it does feel

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<v Speaker 3>like with these additional conflicts or outbreaks, if you will,

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<v Speaker 3>that it does feel like it's there's slowly a little

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<v Speaker 3>bit of a creep.

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<v Speaker 6>There's always a risk of that when the United States

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<v Speaker 6>commits itself to a situation, even if the commitment is

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<v Speaker 6>for peace, there's always a risk of getting caught up

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<v Speaker 6>in a warlike situation. So yesterday, the reporting from our

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<v Speaker 6>news colleagues of these missile attacks from Yemen which is

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<v Speaker 6>a really long way from Israel. But these missiles, it

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<v Speaker 6>would appear, were heading in the general direction of Israel.

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<v Speaker 6>They would have to fly over quite a lot of

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<v Speaker 6>Saudi land mass as well, and they were taken down

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<v Speaker 6>by an American warship that sort of now nobody, no

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<v Speaker 6>human being was hurt in the process. But it is

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<v Speaker 6>an American ship taking aim at a missile that is

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<v Speaker 6>heading in the direction of Israel. So the United States

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<v Speaker 6>to that extent is already engaged in the war.

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<v Speaker 2>What is that, Bobby? What does that mean though? When

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<v Speaker 2>the US is engaged in that sense? And I that's

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<v Speaker 2>the same question thrown Nick Wadams earlier, Because it does

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<v Speaker 2>it risk, in your opinion, the US being drawn into

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<v Speaker 2>this conflict more so than it already has been.

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<v Speaker 6>Yes, it does. The crucial thing is that it took

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<v Speaker 6>place a long way from the main theater of the war,

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<v Speaker 6>and that it did not involve American boots on the ground, certainly,

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<v Speaker 6>and it did not sort of involve shooting down a plane,

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<v Speaker 6>for instance, or a nest of fighters. No blood was spilt,

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<v Speaker 6>So that gives the US a certain amount of distance.

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<v Speaker 6>But it is a cautionary tail. It tells you that

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<v Speaker 6>the longer this conflict rages, the more we might find

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<v Speaker 6>ourselves in situations like this. And the fact that the

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<v Speaker 6>US President Biden has sent two aircraft carrier groups into

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<v Speaker 6>the Eastern Mediterranean. They're not there just for show. They're

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<v Speaker 6>there to worn off Israel's other enemies and our enemies

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<v Speaker 6>from trying to get involved. And if they do get involved,

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<v Speaker 6>then those then you know, a moment may come when

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<v Speaker 6>the United States is forced to follow through on its threats.

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<v Speaker 6>We should all hope that that moment never comes. The

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<v Speaker 6>big part of President Biden's visits to Israel was to

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<v Speaker 6>try and make sure that there was a humanitarian corridor

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<v Speaker 6>into Gaza, and I think he was encouraging the Israelis

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<v Speaker 6>to hold back, not to to sort of rush in

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<v Speaker 6>with a sense of vengeance, but to be more measured,

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<v Speaker 6>to make more efforts to to sort of prevent hurting civilians,

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<v Speaker 6>and to have a plan for what happens after the

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<v Speaker 6>fighting is over.

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<v Speaker 3>Do you think it was smart of the president to

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<v Speaker 3>tie aid to Israel and to Ukraine and do concerns

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<v Speaker 3>about Taiwan and also you know the Mexican border, like

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<v Speaker 3>to tie it all together about the protection of American democracy.

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<v Speaker 3>And again I do this to you all the time.

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<v Speaker 3>I've got about thirty seconds here.

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<v Speaker 6>Well, it's the nature of our politics now. Unfortunately, in

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<v Speaker 6>an ideal world, he would be able to do all

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<v Speaker 6>those things separately, and you would have a responsive Congress

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<v Speaker 6>that would appreciate what's going on in the wider world.

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<v Speaker 6>You and I know that that's not what the Congress

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<v Speaker 6>is like right now. And to get people's attention, to

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<v Speaker 6>get the attention of the folks on Capitol Hill, the

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<v Speaker 6>president's having to sort of bundle all these things together.

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<v Speaker 6>There is a common ad narrative, and he hit those

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<v Speaker 6>notes yesterday in his speech, right. But in an ideal world,

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<v Speaker 6>he wouldn't have had.

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<v Speaker 3>To smarter because if you weigh in on all of this.

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<v Speaker 3>Bobby go Schploomberg Opinion calmnist, as we said, has covered

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<v Speaker 3>foreign affairs for a long time. He currently covers culture,

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<v Speaker 3>but just knows so much about what's going on in

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<v Speaker 3>that region.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

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<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Eastern Listen on

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<v Speaker 1>app or wants us live on YouTube.

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<v Speaker 3>We're that strong US retail sales data this week.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, turns out American consumers are still spending.

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<v Speaker 7>Money a lot of different things.

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<v Speaker 2>The American Expresses third quarter revenue and profit also soaring

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<v Speaker 2>to record levels. This is the company continue to attract

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<v Speaker 2>new cardholders who are willing to pay an annual fee

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<v Speaker 2>for its premium products. Still spending slowed a little bit. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>a mixed report.

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<v Speaker 3>It is kind of a mixed report. So we're getting

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<v Speaker 3>different facets of kind of what's going on with the

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<v Speaker 3>American consumers and different types of consumers. To be fair,

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<v Speaker 3>Tom McGee is back with US, president of ICSC at

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<v Speaker 3>the organization formerly known as the International Council of Shopping Centers.

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<v Speaker 3>It's the trade association of the shopping center industries. We'd

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<v Speaker 3>like to remind our viewers and listeners. He is back

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<v Speaker 3>with us on Zoom in New York City. Tom, how

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<v Speaker 3>are you.

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<v Speaker 5>It's great to be with the Carol. I'm doing well.

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<v Speaker 5>Hopefully you are too.

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<v Speaker 3>We are trying to keep up with kind of the

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<v Speaker 3>newsflow and just deal with the world which is pretty

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<v Speaker 3>heavy as you as you would imagine, you know, the

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<v Speaker 3>shopping center industry. We did get a strong retail report

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<v Speaker 3>this week. What are you guys hearing front and center

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<v Speaker 3>from some of your members?

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<v Speaker 8>Well, consumer, the consumer continues to be resilient. You know,

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<v Speaker 8>we're heading into the holiday season with an expectation for

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<v Speaker 8>a positive holiday season three point eight percent growth, you know,

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<v Speaker 8>seven point six percent growth in the food and beverage industry.

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<v Speaker 8>So the consumer continues to be resilient. It's certainly concerned

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<v Speaker 8>about inflation, no doubt about that. You're seeing the consumer,

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<v Speaker 8>particularly during the holiday with an expectation to spend more

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<v Speaker 8>on discount and discount department stores specifically, but still strong

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<v Speaker 8>and you know, until something dramatic happens in the employment market,

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<v Speaker 8>I would.

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<v Speaker 5>Expect the consumer to continue to be resilient.

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<v Speaker 8>You know, that's the ultimate consumer facing industry, and consumer

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<v Speaker 8>confidence drives behavior, and if you have job security, you

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<v Speaker 8>tend to be more confident.

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<v Speaker 2>It's been where are you seeing spending patterns? And how

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<v Speaker 2>are you seeing spending patterns or how are your partners

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<v Speaker 2>seeing spending patterns?

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<v Speaker 5>Right now?

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<v Speaker 2>At these shopping centers which have really morphed from sort

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<v Speaker 2>of having anchor tenants and big box stores to really

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<v Speaker 2>experiential places in a lot of these newer areas.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 8>So our industry covers everything from you know, large regional

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<v Speaker 8>malls to you know, a classic grocery anchored shopping center

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<v Speaker 8>and open air center and everything in between. You know,

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<v Speaker 8>you're really seeing retail evolved quite a bit to your

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<v Speaker 8>point around you know, regional mall is a lot more

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<v Speaker 8>experiential in nature to really open air centers, which are

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<v Speaker 8>which are kind of on fire right now in the

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<v Speaker 8>post pandemic environment.

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<v Speaker 5>Yes, it's actually the use of the physical retail.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I want to bring up an example of this, Carol.

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<v Speaker 5>I don't you know.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know if you got to experience this last week, Carol,

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<v Speaker 2>but the two of us were in La and I

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<v Speaker 2>was there for a conference. Carol and I were there

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<v Speaker 2>first conference. We stayed in Century City. Your room overlooked

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<v Speaker 2>the Field mall.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I was right there.

0:12:01.760 --> 0:12:04.000
<v Speaker 2>Yes, I actually went to dinner there right before I

0:12:04.160 --> 0:12:05.760
<v Speaker 2>met you at the airport on the on our way back.

0:12:05.800 --> 0:12:08.040
<v Speaker 2>I was there with a friend. It was an amazing

0:12:08.360 --> 0:12:11.640
<v Speaker 2>indoor slash outdoor experience and it was like it was

0:12:11.679 --> 0:12:14.360
<v Speaker 2>like a mall unlike one I've ever been to.

0:12:14.400 --> 0:12:15.880
<v Speaker 7>And they underone Italy.

0:12:16.280 --> 0:12:19.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, yeah, Sarah was went there as well. Yeah,

0:12:19.840 --> 0:12:23.480
<v Speaker 2>one of our producers, and I got it. I mean

0:12:23.480 --> 0:12:26.360
<v Speaker 2>it was like it was crowded. It didn't feel like

0:12:26.400 --> 0:12:28.280
<v Speaker 2>a typical mall. This type of thing only works in

0:12:28.320 --> 0:12:30.839
<v Speaker 2>California because the weather's perfect there all the time in

0:12:30.880 --> 0:12:34.400
<v Speaker 2>southern California. But you know, they had like furniture, outdoor

0:12:34.440 --> 0:12:36.960
<v Speaker 2>furniture that people were like lounging on and looking on

0:12:37.000 --> 0:12:39.840
<v Speaker 2>their at their phone, right, they were just hanging out there.

0:12:39.840 --> 0:12:41.400
<v Speaker 2>I was like, what is this nineteen ninety.

0:12:41.360 --> 0:12:43.680
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it is interesting. You know, if you think about it, Tom,

0:12:43.760 --> 0:12:47.000
<v Speaker 3>kind of the rethink on what kind of malls have

0:12:47.720 --> 0:12:49.720
<v Speaker 3>you know, kind of morphed into.

0:12:50.880 --> 0:12:51.120
<v Speaker 1>Sure.

0:12:51.160 --> 0:12:53.679
<v Speaker 8>I think that's a great example. And and you know,

0:12:53.880 --> 0:12:57.640
<v Speaker 8>different properties have different offerings, you know, whether it's you know,

0:12:57.720 --> 0:13:01.280
<v Speaker 8>the American dream I hear in in the Tri State.

0:13:01.200 --> 0:13:04.319
<v Speaker 2>Right place to teach your kids to ski? Seriously, really

0:13:04.400 --> 0:13:04.800
<v Speaker 2>you as.

0:13:05.640 --> 0:13:08.760
<v Speaker 8>To your point around, you know, different weather patterns and

0:13:08.840 --> 0:13:13.199
<v Speaker 8>different you know, drives, different offerings. But you know, malls

0:13:13.200 --> 0:13:16.880
<v Speaker 8>have evolved, and you know the story of the demise

0:13:16.920 --> 0:13:19.240
<v Speaker 8>of the American mall has been written for the last

0:13:19.280 --> 0:13:20.320
<v Speaker 8>thirty forty years.

0:13:20.320 --> 0:13:22.920
<v Speaker 2>Okay, but to be fair, the American dream mall is

0:13:22.960 --> 0:13:24.720
<v Speaker 2>struggling pretty badly right now.

0:13:24.760 --> 0:13:29.400
<v Speaker 8>Again, well, I think I think every property has its

0:13:29.440 --> 0:13:32.360
<v Speaker 8>own history. But my real point is that, you know,

0:13:32.440 --> 0:13:35.960
<v Speaker 8>the mall industry, the demise of the industry has been

0:13:35.960 --> 0:13:39.439
<v Speaker 8>written for decades, and yet we're still at basically the

0:13:39.480 --> 0:13:42.800
<v Speaker 8>same number of malls in the country today that we

0:13:42.920 --> 0:13:46.800
<v Speaker 8>had twenty years ago. And so they're very resilient and

0:13:47.320 --> 0:13:49.679
<v Speaker 8>you know, good real estate will always find its purpose,

0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:53.240
<v Speaker 8>and so, you know, the evolution is a big part

0:13:53.280 --> 0:13:55.920
<v Speaker 8>of retail and a big part of real estate, and

0:13:55.960 --> 0:13:57.520
<v Speaker 8>so the mall sector.

0:13:57.280 --> 0:13:58.440
<v Speaker 5>Is one part of the industry.

0:13:58.440 --> 0:14:02.199
<v Speaker 8>And then you have what I you know, your Target anchored,

0:14:02.280 --> 0:14:05.320
<v Speaker 8>your Walmart anchored open air type of center, or even

0:14:05.440 --> 0:14:10.400
<v Speaker 8>grocery anchor centers. And what's happening is in those physical

0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:15.040
<v Speaker 8>retail locations, those stores are really starting to use that

0:14:15.480 --> 0:14:18.880
<v Speaker 8>physical space not just for traditional shopping, but also is

0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:21.640
<v Speaker 8>really many fulfillment centers. And so it was an opportunity

0:14:21.720 --> 0:14:25.920
<v Speaker 8>to you know, fulfill online orders, to service that last mile,

0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:30.400
<v Speaker 8>and that really became something that you know, accelerated quite

0:14:30.480 --> 0:14:33.880
<v Speaker 8>dramatically during the pandemic year. Obviously, you know, just the

0:14:34.200 --> 0:14:37.720
<v Speaker 8>just by definition of what was happening, people couldn't congregate

0:14:38.200 --> 0:14:41.760
<v Speaker 8>physical space as often, and so retailers were forced to

0:14:41.800 --> 0:14:44.960
<v Speaker 8>adapt and that's become very effective.

0:14:45.000 --> 0:14:47.280
<v Speaker 5>And so the demand for physical.

0:14:46.840 --> 0:14:51.320
<v Speaker 8>Space, particularly in that open air sector is super strong

0:14:51.400 --> 0:14:54.280
<v Speaker 8>right now. If you look at physical retail space in

0:14:54.320 --> 0:14:58.359
<v Speaker 8>the United States and where it was at the financial

0:14:58.360 --> 0:15:00.440
<v Speaker 8>crisis in two thousand and eight and where it is today.

0:15:00.880 --> 0:15:04.280
<v Speaker 8>You know, while population growth is accelerated, what GDP growth,

0:15:04.320 --> 0:15:06.840
<v Speaker 8>it is acceleraate, retail sales have almost doubled during that

0:15:06.880 --> 0:15:09.600
<v Speaker 8>period of time, right, the amount of physical retail space

0:15:09.720 --> 0:15:12.080
<v Speaker 8>is not, you know, increased almost at all.

0:15:12.280 --> 0:15:15.200
<v Speaker 5>And so you really have a mismatches supply and demand.

0:15:14.880 --> 0:15:17.360
<v Speaker 8>Now right Well, there's a lot more demand and not

0:15:17.480 --> 0:15:18.760
<v Speaker 8>enough supply to Philip, do.

0:15:18.680 --> 0:15:21.040
<v Speaker 3>You want to point out that we reported Bloomberg News

0:15:21.480 --> 0:15:25.080
<v Speaker 3>back in September that New Jersey's American dream Megamol losses

0:15:25.160 --> 0:15:28.400
<v Speaker 3>quadrupling in twenty twenty two, widing to two hundred and

0:15:28.400 --> 0:15:31.640
<v Speaker 3>forty five million. I mean, this is a special situation,

0:15:31.720 --> 0:15:35.400
<v Speaker 3>it does feel like, but we continue to report on Hey, Tom,

0:15:35.520 --> 0:15:38.080
<v Speaker 3>just got about thirty seconds left here. You guys have

0:15:38.120 --> 0:15:42.040
<v Speaker 3>a survey out for the upcoming holiday season. Anything that

0:15:42.840 --> 0:15:46.600
<v Speaker 3>kind of indicates a possible recession or consumer slowdown. And again,

0:15:46.640 --> 0:15:48.640
<v Speaker 3>just got about thirty seconds please, No.

0:15:48.800 --> 0:15:51.680
<v Speaker 8>Well, I mean we're forecasting positive retail sales three point

0:15:51.680 --> 0:15:54.200
<v Speaker 8>eight percent growth, seven point six percent growth in FMB.

0:15:55.400 --> 0:15:58.920
<v Speaker 8>You know, eight out of ten Americans expect to spend

0:15:59.120 --> 0:16:00.920
<v Speaker 8>equal or more than they did last year.

0:16:01.000 --> 0:16:04.600
<v Speaker 5>So right now, the consumer continues to be resilient. All right?

0:16:04.640 --> 0:16:05.880
<v Speaker 3>Can I leave it on that note? Listen, have a

0:16:05.880 --> 0:16:08.240
<v Speaker 3>great weekend. Always fun to check in with you. Tommygee,

0:16:08.360 --> 0:16:11.960
<v Speaker 3>President and chief executive officer of ICSC. It's a group

0:16:12.000 --> 0:16:16.400
<v Speaker 3>that's representing the shopping mall industry, So a good check

0:16:16.440 --> 0:16:17.680
<v Speaker 3>on the consumer.

0:16:17.720 --> 0:16:18.440
<v Speaker 2>Maybe with three D.

0:16:19.160 --> 0:16:21.320
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, yeah, I don't know, Like I can't.

0:16:21.080 --> 0:16:23.080
<v Speaker 2>Tell that mall was cool.

0:16:23.400 --> 0:16:24.800
<v Speaker 3>Have you gone back a lot though?

0:16:25.520 --> 0:16:28.440
<v Speaker 2>No, I'm talking about the one and now the Yeah,

0:16:28.440 --> 0:16:30.520
<v Speaker 2>the American dream will go back there. Yeah, yeah, I'll

0:16:30.560 --> 0:16:32.680
<v Speaker 2>do some skiing. Yeah, it's a good way to teach

0:16:32.680 --> 0:16:33.360
<v Speaker 2>your kids to skire.

0:16:33.400 --> 0:16:34.840
<v Speaker 3>You have to try that. It's kind of fun.

0:16:35.400 --> 0:16:38.960
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:16:39.000 --> 0:16:42.960
<v Speaker 1>live weekday afternoons from three to six Easter on Bloomberg Radio,

0:16:43.200 --> 0:16:46.480
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Business App, and YouTube. You can also listen

0:16:46.600 --> 0:16:49.680
<v Speaker 1>live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station,

0:16:50.160 --> 0:16:54.440
<v Speaker 1>Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:16:55.000 --> 0:16:57.040
<v Speaker 2>Well, if you even have a cursory knowledge of the

0:16:57.040 --> 0:16:59.840
<v Speaker 2>retail world, you probably know Chip Wilson. He's the founder

0:16:59.880 --> 0:17:03.120
<v Speaker 2>of Lululemon Athletica, which he ran until twenty thirteen. That's

0:17:03.120 --> 0:17:06.960
<v Speaker 2>when he stepped away following some particularly insensitive comments about

0:17:06.960 --> 0:17:09.960
<v Speaker 2>how the pants looked on some women's bodies. It's also

0:17:10.040 --> 0:17:13.800
<v Speaker 2>probably why you know a lot about him, because he

0:17:13.960 --> 0:17:16.639
<v Speaker 2>kind of was notorious around that time, Oh Carol. He's

0:17:16.640 --> 0:17:18.720
<v Speaker 2>also got a net worth about seven point three billion dollars,

0:17:18.720 --> 0:17:20.480
<v Speaker 2>that's according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

0:17:20.560 --> 0:17:23.400
<v Speaker 3>But there's one thing you probably didn't know about him,

0:17:23.400 --> 0:17:25.400
<v Speaker 3>and that's what we want to get to because it's

0:17:25.400 --> 0:17:28.840
<v Speaker 3>a mission. It's a situation, if you will, that he's

0:17:28.840 --> 0:17:30.320
<v Speaker 3>spending a lot of money to correct.

0:17:30.400 --> 0:17:31.119
<v Speaker 7>So let's get to it.

0:17:31.200 --> 0:17:33.440
<v Speaker 3>Because this story isn't the current issue of Bloomberg Business

0:17:33.440 --> 0:17:36.800
<v Speaker 3>Week on newstands, online, and of course, on the Bloomberg Aria.

0:17:36.800 --> 0:17:39.920
<v Speaker 3>Alstedter is with us. He typically writes about Canada real estate,

0:17:39.960 --> 0:17:42.840
<v Speaker 3>but he is writing about Chip Wilson and his current battle.

0:17:43.160 --> 0:17:46.000
<v Speaker 3>He is with us from our Toronto bureau, and with

0:17:46.080 --> 0:17:48.119
<v Speaker 3>us is the edit of Bloomberg BusinessWeek, Jill Webber in

0:17:48.160 --> 0:17:51.159
<v Speaker 3>our Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio, and Jill, you know, we

0:17:51.160 --> 0:17:53.640
<v Speaker 3>talk about Lululemon a lot. It's a company well known

0:17:53.680 --> 0:17:58.159
<v Speaker 3>to certainly the Bloomberg BusinessWeek audience. Chip Wilson too, But

0:17:58.200 --> 0:18:01.560
<v Speaker 3>I'm not sure that many knew about his own battle

0:18:01.720 --> 0:18:02.720
<v Speaker 3>that he was facing.

0:18:02.840 --> 0:18:08.920
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, and obviously Chip Wilson, founder of Lulu Lehman has

0:18:09.400 --> 0:18:12.200
<v Speaker 9>you know, built this thing into a juggernaut and created

0:18:12.240 --> 0:18:16.600
<v Speaker 9>a whole category. What most people didn't know is this

0:18:16.680 --> 0:18:19.959
<v Speaker 9>whole other personal side to the story, which when we

0:18:20.000 --> 0:18:22.680
<v Speaker 9>found out about that, we were like, we we really

0:18:22.680 --> 0:18:26.160
<v Speaker 9>want to go big here, and gave Ari the platform

0:18:26.240 --> 0:18:29.680
<v Speaker 9>to be able to do so. What's really amazing about

0:18:29.720 --> 0:18:33.040
<v Speaker 9>it is He's got a fortune and he is willing

0:18:33.119 --> 0:18:37.480
<v Speaker 9>to basically throw that fortune to help solve something that

0:18:37.640 --> 0:18:42.360
<v Speaker 9>may only ultimately benefit him, but or hopefully a slightly

0:18:42.440 --> 0:18:45.639
<v Speaker 9>wider group of people who otherwise if it was left.

0:18:45.400 --> 0:18:48.640
<v Speaker 1>To the normal kind of way of that.

0:18:48.640 --> 0:18:53.520
<v Speaker 9>Science and drugs and cures like this kind of happened

0:18:53.720 --> 0:18:58.120
<v Speaker 9>may actually not ever be addressed. Right, So, so Ari

0:18:58.280 --> 0:19:02.560
<v Speaker 9>talk to us about Chip Wilson and what he's been

0:19:02.560 --> 0:19:03.040
<v Speaker 9>going through.

0:19:04.359 --> 0:19:04.560
<v Speaker 7>Right.

0:19:04.600 --> 0:19:08.240
<v Speaker 10>Well, Chip Wilson, as you say, in his public persona,

0:19:08.320 --> 0:19:10.720
<v Speaker 10>he didn't really let on that he's actually been battling

0:19:10.760 --> 0:19:14.919
<v Speaker 10>this very rare form of muscular dystrophe since he was

0:19:14.960 --> 0:19:18.360
<v Speaker 10>diagnosed with it in his thirties, his early thirties.

0:19:18.520 --> 0:19:21.400
<v Speaker 7>So for the past over thirty years, he's.

0:19:21.240 --> 0:19:27.240
<v Speaker 10>Been watching his muscles slowly waste away. He could more

0:19:27.359 --> 0:19:31.760
<v Speaker 10>or less carry on with normal life despite this disease.

0:19:32.320 --> 0:19:34.240
<v Speaker 10>He had to give up squash when he couldn't raise

0:19:34.240 --> 0:19:35.960
<v Speaker 10>the racket above his head, he had to give up yoga,

0:19:36.080 --> 0:19:38.639
<v Speaker 10>and bounce became too difficult.

0:19:38.000 --> 0:19:40.480
<v Speaker 7>But he sort of tried to ignore it.

0:19:40.760 --> 0:19:45.000
<v Speaker 10>That all changed around late twenty eighteen early twenty nineteen

0:19:45.560 --> 0:19:48.479
<v Speaker 10>when he was taking a trip to China walking out

0:19:48.520 --> 0:19:51.240
<v Speaker 10>of customs and he fell, got up to't know what happened,

0:19:51.400 --> 0:19:52.800
<v Speaker 10>walked forward, fell again.

0:19:53.080 --> 0:19:54.960
<v Speaker 7>He started to lose the use of his legs.

0:19:55.320 --> 0:19:57.680
<v Speaker 10>Now he thinks he's got about five years until he's

0:19:57.720 --> 0:20:01.080
<v Speaker 10>in a wheelchair, and he he has an urgent need

0:20:01.119 --> 0:20:03.440
<v Speaker 10>to do something about this now, and so he set

0:20:03.440 --> 0:20:06.199
<v Speaker 10>aside one hundred million dollars and he says, I'm going

0:20:06.280 --> 0:20:09.360
<v Speaker 10>to use it to cure this form of muscular dystrophy

0:20:09.440 --> 0:20:12.119
<v Speaker 10>that I have in the next five years before I

0:20:12.200 --> 0:20:13.080
<v Speaker 10>need that wheelchair.

0:20:13.119 --> 0:20:16.000
<v Speaker 3>I want to ask you, I am shocked that this

0:20:16.119 --> 0:20:18.600
<v Speaker 3>story kind of hasn't come out. So how is it

0:20:18.640 --> 0:20:21.399
<v Speaker 3>that it was kept so quiet?

0:20:21.920 --> 0:20:24.920
<v Speaker 10>Well, Chip Wilson is a very outspoken person. I think

0:20:24.960 --> 0:20:28.760
<v Speaker 10>anyone who knows anything about him knows that. But he's

0:20:28.840 --> 0:20:31.640
<v Speaker 10>kept this private. It wasn't I mean, in my discussions

0:20:31.680 --> 0:20:33.520
<v Speaker 10>with him, he sort of said it wasn't a secret

0:20:33.600 --> 0:20:38.000
<v Speaker 10>so much as it just wasn't something he talked about publicly.

0:20:38.920 --> 0:20:42.600
<v Speaker 10>But that changed when he got this urgency to try

0:20:42.640 --> 0:20:46.240
<v Speaker 10>to find a cure and caused him to launch this

0:20:46.359 --> 0:20:51.080
<v Speaker 10>initiative and spend all this money. And now he's started

0:20:51.119 --> 0:20:54.520
<v Speaker 10>talking about it very publicly in the hopes that it'll

0:20:54.560 --> 0:20:58.040
<v Speaker 10>be it'll make his venture more effective and it'll get

0:20:58.080 --> 0:21:02.399
<v Speaker 10>more researchers, more investors, companies on side to try to

0:21:02.440 --> 0:21:07.359
<v Speaker 10>get a drug, therapy, something to help within his timeline.

0:21:07.440 --> 0:21:09.119
<v Speaker 2>Well, let's talk a little bit aout the initiative and

0:21:09.160 --> 0:21:11.840
<v Speaker 2>where the one hundred million dollars is going. There's a

0:21:11.880 --> 0:21:14.280
<v Speaker 2>great scene in here where you spent some time with

0:21:14.359 --> 0:21:16.159
<v Speaker 2>him not just at his home, but at his family

0:21:16.200 --> 0:21:20.480
<v Speaker 2>office as well, And he's essentially creating a business around

0:21:21.400 --> 0:21:24.359
<v Speaker 2>trying to find a cure for this, including bringing in

0:21:24.440 --> 0:21:26.440
<v Speaker 2>somebody who has a lot of experience when it comes

0:21:26.440 --> 0:21:27.280
<v Speaker 2>to pharmaceuticals.

0:21:28.440 --> 0:21:32.680
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, it's a really interesting sort of emerging model of

0:21:32.800 --> 0:21:38.520
<v Speaker 10>a drug research driven by very wealthy people to tailored

0:21:38.520 --> 0:21:44.040
<v Speaker 10>to their specific and very urgent needs. So he hired

0:21:44.400 --> 0:21:50.359
<v Speaker 10>a veteran pharmaceutical executive called Eva Chin, who also is

0:21:50.359 --> 0:21:54.640
<v Speaker 10>a physiologist physiology, PhD and has a lot of expertise

0:21:55.160 --> 0:21:58.200
<v Speaker 10>on the academic side as well as the private side.

0:21:58.560 --> 0:22:00.640
<v Speaker 7>To essentially run this.

0:22:01.160 --> 0:22:05.159
<v Speaker 10>It's sort of a cross between a government research agency

0:22:05.440 --> 0:22:10.359
<v Speaker 10>or a granting agency and venture capital try to seed

0:22:10.520 --> 0:22:13.159
<v Speaker 10>money into all sorts of companies, as many different companies

0:22:13.160 --> 0:22:17.480
<v Speaker 10>as possible which are working on promising potential therapies that

0:22:17.520 --> 0:22:20.879
<v Speaker 10>could be applied to this condition, and to try to

0:22:20.920 --> 0:22:23.920
<v Speaker 10>get them through what's known in the research community as

0:22:24.040 --> 0:22:26.879
<v Speaker 10>the value of death. Now, the value of death is

0:22:27.440 --> 0:22:30.720
<v Speaker 10>between basic research, which is the kind of stuff academics

0:22:30.760 --> 0:22:33.600
<v Speaker 10>do to come up with ideas for potential therapies and

0:22:33.640 --> 0:22:37.800
<v Speaker 10>then on the other side, human clinical trials, which there's

0:22:37.840 --> 0:22:40.400
<v Speaker 10>a lot of private money available investors who are willing

0:22:40.440 --> 0:22:42.600
<v Speaker 10>to take a punt and see once it's ready for

0:22:42.720 --> 0:22:44.720
<v Speaker 10>clinical trials, let's see if we get at the rest

0:22:44.760 --> 0:22:47.440
<v Speaker 10>of the way. But it's getting between those two stages

0:22:47.520 --> 0:22:51.000
<v Speaker 10>basic research and human trials that a lot of drugs

0:22:51.119 --> 0:22:54.080
<v Speaker 10>just get lost, a lot of ideas just fail. Up

0:22:54.080 --> 0:22:58.320
<v Speaker 10>to ninety percent is the estimate, And so he's trying

0:22:58.359 --> 0:23:01.320
<v Speaker 10>to get as many potential ideas is through that value

0:23:01.359 --> 0:23:04.639
<v Speaker 10>death as possible and into clinical trials and hopes that

0:23:04.680 --> 0:23:06.160
<v Speaker 10>one of them will work out.

0:23:06.359 --> 0:23:09.399
<v Speaker 9>So how close does he think he is to something

0:23:09.440 --> 0:23:13.840
<v Speaker 9>that either resembles a cure or at least really helps him.

0:23:14.280 --> 0:23:16.720
<v Speaker 10>Well, I mean it is just sort of starting out.

0:23:16.880 --> 0:23:22.560
<v Speaker 10>The initiative launched only last year. There is precedent for

0:23:22.800 --> 0:23:25.359
<v Speaker 10>something like this being very successful. As I said, it

0:23:26.080 --> 0:23:31.720
<v Speaker 10>is an emerging model. Wilson has explicitly modeled his initiative

0:23:32.080 --> 0:23:35.639
<v Speaker 10>on another one called the SMA Foundation, and that was

0:23:35.680 --> 0:23:39.159
<v Speaker 10>started by a hedge fund tycoon and his wife to

0:23:39.240 --> 0:23:43.840
<v Speaker 10>tackle another very rare disease called SMA because their daughter

0:23:44.000 --> 0:23:46.720
<v Speaker 10>was diagnosed with it and they spent one hundred million

0:23:46.800 --> 0:23:52.040
<v Speaker 10>dollars of their own money, and eventually, not one, but

0:23:52.200 --> 0:23:57.639
<v Speaker 10>three therapies came to market to tackle this disease, and

0:23:57.960 --> 0:24:01.919
<v Speaker 10>many physicians consider it effectively cured because now when an

0:24:01.960 --> 0:24:06.160
<v Speaker 10>infant is diagnosed with it, their symptoms can largely be managed.

0:24:06.840 --> 0:24:09.760
<v Speaker 10>So he looked at that model and said, well, if

0:24:09.800 --> 0:24:11.840
<v Speaker 10>they could do it for their daughter, I want to

0:24:11.840 --> 0:24:14.760
<v Speaker 10>do it for myself, but in a much faster timeframe.

0:24:14.880 --> 0:24:17.879
<v Speaker 10>And so, like I said, he set aside hundred million

0:24:17.920 --> 0:24:22.520
<v Speaker 10>for this. He's already distributed about thirty million, and they're

0:24:22.560 --> 0:24:28.400
<v Speaker 10>looking for more opportunities. He uses a sort of sports metaphor.

0:24:28.840 --> 0:24:32.640
<v Speaker 10>You know, he's a Canadian hockey shots on goal. They

0:24:32.680 --> 0:24:35.719
<v Speaker 10>want as many shots on goal as possible, right, in

0:24:35.760 --> 0:24:36.800
<v Speaker 10>hopes that one of them goes in.

0:24:36.920 --> 0:24:39.720
<v Speaker 3>All right, great story, all right, I'll statter of course,

0:24:40.000 --> 0:24:43.840
<v Speaker 3>writing in Bloomberg BusinessWeek, the new issue, joining us from Toronto,

0:24:43.840 --> 0:24:46.560
<v Speaker 3>and of course Joe Weber here in our interactive broker studio.

0:24:46.600 --> 0:24:49.359
<v Speaker 3>As we said, new issue on newstands online of course,

0:24:49.600 --> 0:24:57.399
<v Speaker 3>on the Bloomberg terminal.

0:24:55.880 --> 0:24:58.360
<v Speaker 7>Journal. Now about you let me drive?

0:24:58.640 --> 0:25:04.720
<v Speaker 9>Oh no, no, no, no, no, want to jog, honey, please gravels.

0:25:04.520 --> 0:25:06.600
<v Speaker 1>Let's wait, I want to drive try.

0:25:08.160 --> 0:25:10.040
<v Speaker 2>It's good question time.

0:25:12.840 --> 0:25:15.159
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the globe.

0:25:15.000 --> 0:25:17.399
<v Speaker 5>Down to me. I think we'll buy around you and

0:25:17.520 --> 0:25:19.240
<v Speaker 5>on on Bloomberg Radio.

0:25:19.440 --> 0:25:21.880
<v Speaker 3>All right, everybody just got about eighteen minutes, just under

0:25:21.880 --> 0:25:24.679
<v Speaker 3>eighteen minutes to be exact, left in today's trading session.

0:25:24.720 --> 0:25:27.480
<v Speaker 3>Quite a week. We're pretty much though Nero Loo is

0:25:27.480 --> 0:25:29.840
<v Speaker 3>certainly on the dow, but pretty much so on the

0:25:29.920 --> 0:25:31.720
<v Speaker 3>S and P five hundred, of course didn't. He's just

0:25:31.720 --> 0:25:34.280
<v Speaker 3>breaking down the numbers, so down down on the week

0:25:34.400 --> 0:25:37.639
<v Speaker 3>overall as well. And uh, you know, it's been a

0:25:37.680 --> 0:25:41.119
<v Speaker 3>week where once again you see yields moving up substantially

0:25:41.200 --> 0:25:43.399
<v Speaker 3>right now that tenure though it is below five percent

0:25:43.440 --> 0:25:45.919
<v Speaker 3>four point nine two two two two to be exact.

0:25:45.960 --> 0:25:47.960
<v Speaker 2>I'm actually taking a look at the S and P

0:25:48.000 --> 0:25:49.840
<v Speaker 2>five hundred right now, Carol. We've moved a leg lower,

0:25:49.840 --> 0:25:52.160
<v Speaker 2>as you mentioned, we've at the lowest right now since

0:25:52.240 --> 0:25:53.840
<v Speaker 2>June of twenty twenty three.

0:25:54.200 --> 0:25:55.360
<v Speaker 3>June of twenty twenty three.

0:25:55.560 --> 0:25:58.440
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I'm back to uh yeah, right, it's the summer.

0:25:58.280 --> 0:26:00.359
<v Speaker 3>The lower trend, right all right, So let's see what

0:26:00.359 --> 0:26:02.560
<v Speaker 3>our drive to the close guest has to say on

0:26:02.560 --> 0:26:05.159
<v Speaker 3>this Friday. Ross may Field is back with US investment

0:26:05.200 --> 0:26:10.800
<v Speaker 3>strategy analyst at BAIRED Private Wealth Management on Zoom from Louisville, Kentucky. Hey, Ross,

0:26:10.880 --> 0:26:12.520
<v Speaker 3>nice to have you here with Tim and myself. I

0:26:12.520 --> 0:26:15.119
<v Speaker 3>am curious always when we get somebody who's outside New

0:26:15.200 --> 0:26:17.080
<v Speaker 3>York City, do you guys spend as much time talking

0:26:17.119 --> 0:26:21.640
<v Speaker 3>about Fed and Jay Powell and monetary policy and five

0:26:21.640 --> 0:26:22.440
<v Speaker 3>percent yields?

0:26:23.080 --> 0:26:24.080
<v Speaker 2>They got bourbon there?

0:26:25.160 --> 0:26:27.040
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, or maybe bourbon.

0:26:27.720 --> 0:26:30.159
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, the bourbon helps with the five percent yields and

0:26:30.160 --> 0:26:31.600
<v Speaker 11>all the FED watching, that's for sure.

0:26:32.520 --> 0:26:33.000
<v Speaker 5>But we do.

0:26:33.080 --> 0:26:35.160
<v Speaker 11>It's it's what our it's what our clients are worried about.

0:26:35.280 --> 0:26:37.800
<v Speaker 11>It's what you know, our clients are invested in the

0:26:37.840 --> 0:26:39.919
<v Speaker 11>market and then the fixed income market, and so this

0:26:40.040 --> 0:26:43.320
<v Speaker 11>moving yields and what the FED is doing, and particularly

0:26:43.359 --> 0:26:46.600
<v Speaker 11>with how high profile the FED has become speakers every

0:26:46.600 --> 0:26:50.119
<v Speaker 11>other day. J Powell kind of a minor celebrity. So

0:26:50.119 --> 0:26:51.680
<v Speaker 11>so yeah, it's what we're thinking about and what we're

0:26:51.720 --> 0:26:54.399
<v Speaker 11>talking about a lot of the time. And yeah, the

0:26:54.400 --> 0:26:56.560
<v Speaker 11>bourbon helps, especially on a Friday afternoon.

0:26:56.640 --> 0:27:00.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. So I've had some great trips Louisville, by the way,

0:27:01.119 --> 0:27:03.760
<v Speaker 2>have you Oh yeah, did the Derby. A couple of times.

0:27:04.200 --> 0:27:07.320
<v Speaker 2>The Cyclo Cross World Championships were there one year. I

0:27:07.359 --> 0:27:08.720
<v Speaker 2>had a really good friend who lived there for a

0:27:08.720 --> 0:27:10.159
<v Speaker 2>few years and they used to go hang out with it.

0:27:10.160 --> 0:27:12.200
<v Speaker 2>It's a cool place. We should do a remote there.

0:27:12.840 --> 0:27:13.080
<v Speaker 1>Ross.

0:27:13.080 --> 0:27:16.959
<v Speaker 2>I'm sorry, I'm getting a topic. You know, memory welcome

0:27:16.960 --> 0:27:17.760
<v Speaker 2>any time in here.

0:27:17.920 --> 0:27:18.240
<v Speaker 5>Thank you.

0:27:19.000 --> 0:27:22.080
<v Speaker 2>H It is a great a great city. Though, talk

0:27:22.119 --> 0:27:25.360
<v Speaker 2>to me a little bit about where you think this

0:27:25.480 --> 0:27:28.200
<v Speaker 2>new era of higher rates will take us, especially with

0:27:28.240 --> 0:27:31.520
<v Speaker 2>regard to equities, because the truth is is we're't a

0:27:31.560 --> 0:27:34.240
<v Speaker 2>place where we haven't seen rates this high since in

0:27:34.320 --> 0:27:35.959
<v Speaker 2>many people's careers, to be honest.

0:27:37.880 --> 0:27:40.280
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, so I think I think there's two things to

0:27:40.280 --> 0:27:43.119
<v Speaker 11>break down. So the first thing is the move, the

0:27:43.280 --> 0:27:45.879
<v Speaker 11>rapid move and kind of aggressive you know, over the

0:27:45.960 --> 0:27:48.720
<v Speaker 11>last couple of months. That's obviously tough for the market

0:27:48.760 --> 0:27:52.000
<v Speaker 11>to digest, you know, moving at the long end, especially

0:27:52.200 --> 0:27:53.840
<v Speaker 11>up that much in such a short amount of time,

0:27:54.080 --> 0:27:57.040
<v Speaker 11>is tough to digest, especially as you mentioned, when a

0:27:57.080 --> 0:28:00.199
<v Speaker 11>lot of the you know, the index constituents have not

0:28:00.320 --> 0:28:02.600
<v Speaker 11>existed in a world of higher rates. But I do

0:28:02.640 --> 0:28:05.840
<v Speaker 11>want to be careful of, you know, overreacting and acting

0:28:05.880 --> 0:28:07.960
<v Speaker 11>like a world of five percent interest rates is just

0:28:08.000 --> 0:28:10.000
<v Speaker 11>a world where equities can't work. You know, we don't

0:28:10.000 --> 0:28:12.920
<v Speaker 11>have to look that far back the eighties and nineties.

0:28:12.920 --> 0:28:14.760
<v Speaker 11>We're one of the great bull runs of all time,

0:28:14.840 --> 0:28:18.960
<v Speaker 11>and you know, tenure yields were higher than this. The

0:28:19.040 --> 0:28:22.119
<v Speaker 11>FED was aggressive through a lot of that period. So

0:28:22.160 --> 0:28:25.199
<v Speaker 11>it's not that the world of stocks can't work, but

0:28:25.240 --> 0:28:26.760
<v Speaker 11>you do want to be a little bit more selective.

0:28:26.800 --> 0:28:28.960
<v Speaker 11>I think, you know, moving up in quality in a

0:28:29.000 --> 0:28:30.760
<v Speaker 11>world like this makes all the sense in the world,

0:28:31.080 --> 0:28:33.080
<v Speaker 11>and then it just takes time to kind of digest

0:28:33.119 --> 0:28:35.480
<v Speaker 11>the move so higher for longer, you know, is not

0:28:35.560 --> 0:28:37.680
<v Speaker 11>a headwind in and of itself, but a move like

0:28:37.720 --> 0:28:40.760
<v Speaker 11>the one we've seen takes some time to digest. I

0:28:40.760 --> 0:28:41.920
<v Speaker 11>think is what we're going through right now.

0:28:41.960 --> 0:28:43.440
<v Speaker 3>Well, I think it's very telling when you go to

0:28:43.480 --> 0:28:46.760
<v Speaker 3>your guys website and the first page one of the

0:28:46.760 --> 0:28:49.240
<v Speaker 3>things that comes up is a segment I'm protecting, protecting

0:28:49.240 --> 0:28:51.800
<v Speaker 3>and growing your cash. Says a lot about kind of

0:28:51.800 --> 0:28:55.080
<v Speaker 3>the environment we're in. How much of your you, guys,

0:28:55.120 --> 0:28:58.760
<v Speaker 3>are wealth management. I'm assuming your individuals or the folks

0:28:58.800 --> 0:29:01.880
<v Speaker 3>that you are working with general of a certain income strata.

0:29:02.000 --> 0:29:04.920
<v Speaker 3>Having said that you know, what is top of mind

0:29:04.960 --> 0:29:07.520
<v Speaker 3>for them. I'm assuming it's wealth preservation, and does that

0:29:07.560 --> 0:29:10.880
<v Speaker 3>mean increasingly putting in cash. Are they saying I'm long term,

0:29:11.040 --> 0:29:12.160
<v Speaker 3>I'm going to ride this out.

0:29:12.400 --> 0:29:13.400
<v Speaker 5>It's a little bit of both.

0:29:13.440 --> 0:29:16.240
<v Speaker 11>I mean, we're definitely talking to folks about the long

0:29:16.320 --> 0:29:19.240
<v Speaker 11>term plan, you know, things like the war in the

0:29:19.280 --> 0:29:23.040
<v Speaker 11>Middle East, investing through geopolitical events, having that long term lens.

0:29:23.240 --> 0:29:25.080
<v Speaker 11>But I would definitely be lying if I said that

0:29:25.640 --> 0:29:27.720
<v Speaker 11>one of the primary questions and one of the primary

0:29:27.760 --> 0:29:30.600
<v Speaker 11>talking points isn't while we can finally get something on

0:29:30.640 --> 0:29:33.680
<v Speaker 11>our cash. Savers are finally being rewarded after fifteen years

0:29:34.040 --> 0:29:37.040
<v Speaker 11>of zero percent interst rate policy and negative rates abroad.

0:29:37.920 --> 0:29:40.440
<v Speaker 11>So people do really really like their cash, their short

0:29:40.480 --> 0:29:43.920
<v Speaker 11>term treasuries. Right now, we're even talking to folks about

0:29:44.000 --> 0:29:46.040
<v Speaker 11>just moving out the yield curve a little bit. I mean,

0:29:46.080 --> 0:29:48.680
<v Speaker 11>now that the yields on the long end are competitive

0:29:48.680 --> 0:29:51.600
<v Speaker 11>with the short end, and you could possibly get the

0:29:51.600 --> 0:29:54.080
<v Speaker 11>capital appreciation bump, you know, if yields were to fall

0:29:54.080 --> 0:29:57.120
<v Speaker 11>in kind of a downturn or a mild recession next year.

0:29:57.520 --> 0:29:59.800
<v Speaker 11>So we're talking through all of that, But you're absolutely right.

0:30:00.240 --> 0:30:04.400
<v Speaker 11>The wealth preservation and just the general excitement about being

0:30:04.440 --> 0:30:06.760
<v Speaker 11>able to earn something on your money is something that

0:30:07.160 --> 0:30:09.120
<v Speaker 11>you know, I haven't really seen in my career and

0:30:09.200 --> 0:30:11.720
<v Speaker 11>something that I know a lot of our clients you know,

0:30:12.080 --> 0:30:14.320
<v Speaker 11>haven't gotten used to in a long time. So it's

0:30:15.360 --> 0:30:18.120
<v Speaker 11>good to kind of barbel the wealth preservation and the

0:30:18.320 --> 0:30:20.680
<v Speaker 11>yield you can get on cash with the long term

0:30:21.080 --> 0:30:21.760
<v Speaker 11>stock investment.

0:30:21.760 --> 0:30:24.160
<v Speaker 2>Well, does it change the way you're thinking about portfolio

0:30:24.240 --> 0:30:25.440
<v Speaker 2>construction significantly?

0:30:26.000 --> 0:30:27.640
<v Speaker 5>You know, it doesn't. It doesn't.

0:30:28.560 --> 0:30:31.720
<v Speaker 11>I mean, we're advocates for diversification, and we were before

0:30:31.720 --> 0:30:34.040
<v Speaker 11>and after this big move in rates, I think now

0:30:34.200 --> 0:30:35.840
<v Speaker 11>you know, we're in a bond bear market, but you

0:30:35.840 --> 0:30:38.480
<v Speaker 11>can now go to a client, go to a presentation

0:30:38.600 --> 0:30:40.960
<v Speaker 11>and say, you know, look at this, you know, five

0:30:41.120 --> 0:30:43.240
<v Speaker 11>six percent yield on a high quality fixed income. So

0:30:43.280 --> 0:30:46.240
<v Speaker 11>it does change the conversation a bit, and it allows

0:30:46.360 --> 0:30:48.920
<v Speaker 11>people who are in the draw down stage of their

0:30:49.080 --> 0:30:51.280
<v Speaker 11>of their retirement or in a more of a wealth

0:30:51.320 --> 0:30:53.880
<v Speaker 11>preservation stage to not feel like they have to be

0:30:53.920 --> 0:30:56.760
<v Speaker 11>over exposed to equities in that volatility because it's the

0:30:56.800 --> 0:30:59.800
<v Speaker 11>only asset class in talent, you know, Tina, there is

0:30:59.840 --> 0:31:02.760
<v Speaker 11>no alternative, was the story for a decade, and for

0:31:02.920 --> 0:31:04.880
<v Speaker 11>people who were in that you know kind of preservation

0:31:04.960 --> 0:31:06.880
<v Speaker 11>and draw do on stage, it was really hard to

0:31:06.920 --> 0:31:08.520
<v Speaker 11>find yield. There were a lot of times we would

0:31:08.520 --> 0:31:12.280
<v Speaker 11>look at portfolios and see you know, high yielding things

0:31:12.280 --> 0:31:16.840
<v Speaker 11>like MLPs or products that weren't necessarily protective of cash,

0:31:16.880 --> 0:31:19.640
<v Speaker 11>but there was that urge to have some yield because

0:31:19.680 --> 0:31:21.280
<v Speaker 11>they were living off that yield or there was an

0:31:21.280 --> 0:31:24.320
<v Speaker 11>income component that they needed. Now we can have conversations

0:31:24.320 --> 0:31:27.600
<v Speaker 11>that are much easier because there's treasuries, high quality bonds

0:31:27.640 --> 0:31:30.240
<v Speaker 11>in the corporate market that are yielding five six seven percent,

0:31:30.560 --> 0:31:32.320
<v Speaker 11>and you know, inflation has come down, so that's a

0:31:32.360 --> 0:31:34.360
<v Speaker 11>real yield that we haven't seen in a long time.

0:31:34.440 --> 0:31:37.120
<v Speaker 11>So it hasn't necessarily changed how we're building portfolios, but

0:31:37.160 --> 0:31:39.840
<v Speaker 11>it's made the conversation a lot easier, a lot different,

0:31:40.160 --> 0:31:42.880
<v Speaker 11>and also, you know, not forcing folks who are in

0:31:42.960 --> 0:31:45.480
<v Speaker 11>wealth preservation far out on the risk spectrum where they

0:31:45.480 --> 0:31:46.080
<v Speaker 11>don't really want to be.

0:31:46.200 --> 0:31:48.440
<v Speaker 3>You sound pretty calm, So nothing in this market is

0:31:48.440 --> 0:31:52.520
<v Speaker 3>freaking you out, Burben, No, seriously, no, but seriously, you

0:31:52.520 --> 0:31:55.280
<v Speaker 3>sound pretty calm and complacent. I mean, nothing's freaking you

0:31:55.320 --> 0:31:57.360
<v Speaker 3>out in this market.

0:31:58.000 --> 0:32:00.240
<v Speaker 11>You know again, it's just what we talk to our

0:32:00.280 --> 0:32:02.520
<v Speaker 11>clients about. It's just taking the long term view. I mean,

0:32:02.560 --> 0:32:05.000
<v Speaker 11>in the wealth management space, most of the people that

0:32:05.040 --> 0:32:07.600
<v Speaker 11>we work with, even who are you know, you know,

0:32:07.640 --> 0:32:10.200
<v Speaker 11>near the end of their working career in retirement, still

0:32:10.240 --> 0:32:12.080
<v Speaker 11>have a long term time horizon. So when we talk

0:32:12.120 --> 0:32:14.520
<v Speaker 11>about things like geopolitical events, you know, most of these

0:32:14.560 --> 0:32:17.600
<v Speaker 11>people have invested through wars in the Middle East, through

0:32:17.640 --> 0:32:19.600
<v Speaker 11>things like nine to eleven, even a lot of our

0:32:19.600 --> 0:32:22.440
<v Speaker 11>clients back to the nineteen seventies, and they know, and

0:32:22.520 --> 0:32:24.600
<v Speaker 11>we talk about while it was painful and while there

0:32:24.640 --> 0:32:29.560
<v Speaker 11>are years of big draw downs like we saw last year, ultimately,

0:32:29.840 --> 0:32:31.320
<v Speaker 11>you know, the stock market made into all the time

0:32:31.360 --> 0:32:34.120
<v Speaker 11>high last year of all time, So we can focus

0:32:34.120 --> 0:32:35.360
<v Speaker 11>on the long term with our clients.

0:32:35.360 --> 0:32:37.600
<v Speaker 3>All right, twenty seconds. What is your favorite bourbon drink?

0:32:37.720 --> 0:32:38.480
<v Speaker 3>Let's just go there.

0:32:40.320 --> 0:32:41.400
<v Speaker 11>It's bourbon on the rocks.

0:32:42.360 --> 0:32:43.000
<v Speaker 2>It's amaze.

0:32:43.040 --> 0:32:43.960
<v Speaker 7>Do you have a favorite one?

0:32:44.080 --> 0:32:47.200
<v Speaker 2>I don't. I mean, you know, I doesn't really agree

0:32:47.200 --> 0:32:49.240
<v Speaker 2>with me. You know, I get bad headaches when I

0:32:49.280 --> 0:32:50.880
<v Speaker 2>drink this stuff. But you know I make an exception

0:32:51.000 --> 0:32:52.120
<v Speaker 2>for going to Lovo.

0:32:52.880 --> 0:32:54.360
<v Speaker 7>Okay, come on down anytime.

0:32:54.440 --> 0:32:57.600
<v Speaker 3>We'll put that on the list. Hey Ross Wild good

0:32:57.720 --> 0:33:03.880
<v Speaker 3>Carola that works. Bross Mayfield his investment strategy, Ali said

0:33:04.120 --> 0:33:07.320
<v Speaker 3>baired Private Wealth Management on Zoom from Louisville, speaking of

0:33:07.600 --> 0:33:10.800
<v Speaker 3>alcoholic Louisville, Louisville, Louisville, Louisville.

0:33:11.120 --> 0:33:15.800
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

0:33:15.920 --> 0:33:19.640
<v Speaker 1>and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live weekday

0:33:19.680 --> 0:33:23.280
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0:33:23.320 --> 0:33:26.640
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0:33:26.680 --> 0:33:29.600
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