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Speaker 1: Huge questions on tonight's show. I know many of you

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Speaker 1: listen on podcasts, so you won't see what's in my hand,

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Speaker 1: but I hold in my hand essentially the beginning of

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Speaker 1: college football season. Once this bad boy is open, college

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Speaker 1: football season is underweight. And what is this bad boy?

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Speaker 1: For those of you immunity listening on podcasts, Well, it

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Speaker 1: is one of those really really padded envelopes that important

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Speaker 1: documents get shipped in. And it says JP pole on

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Speaker 1: the front all read. Jesse asked me, is it written

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Speaker 1: in blood? I don't think that's the question. Of course,

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Speaker 1: it's written in blood. Whose blood is it written in?

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Speaker 1: Which of your beloved teams out there will be left

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Speaker 1: out of the JP Pole? We are live, jam packed TAIATAPI,

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Speaker 1: crowded downtown Nashville, Tennessee, Sunday, July twenty eighth, the Year

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Speaker 1: of Our Lord, twenty twenty four. That's right, for those

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Speaker 1: of you who have been enrolled here at Peyton State

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Speaker 1: for a long time, we don't normally drop the JP

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Speaker 1: pole in July. But then again, we don't normally drop

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Speaker 1: conference predictions and playoff predictions in July. Things change, so

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Speaker 1: we got that tonight I've got issues at Georgia again,

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Speaker 1: and we will discuss again, and I will be as

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Speaker 1: as candid as I can again. Dabo Swiney. The legacy

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Speaker 1: question popped up because Dabo said some things at ACC

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Speaker 1: Media Day's the other day about his philosophy on transfer

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Speaker 1: portal and his philosophy on you know, how to run

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Speaker 1: the program he's run pretty successfully for well over a

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Speaker 1: decade now, And so one of you chimed in. The

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Speaker 1: general rule around here is if one of you asks

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Speaker 1: a question, usually like one hundred of you have been

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Speaker 1: thinking it. So if ten of you asked it, which

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Speaker 1: in around about way you did, Stats and Info can

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Speaker 1: run the numbers, that means a lot of you are

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Speaker 1: thinking it. So we're going to talk about that tonight.

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Speaker 1: I got bold predictions. Hey, it's that time of decade.

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Speaker 1: We're going to talk Tennessee recruiting. So many of you

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Speaker 1: have been after me. When you're gonna talk tennis See recruiting,

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Speaker 1: when you're gonna put out the Tennessee gif. If you're

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Speaker 1: not on the socials, don't worry about that part tonight.

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Speaker 1: Tonight's the answer. They're watching us for Miles Fort Myers, Florida, Jesse.

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Speaker 1: Check if there's a fort miles down there. They're watching

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Speaker 1: us in Ames Iowa, Morango, Illinois, a place I've actually

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Speaker 1: been before, and Fort Payne, Alabama. Let me give you

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Speaker 1: a fair word of warning, it's still July. August is

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Speaker 1: going to be loaded around here. The shows will be loaded.

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Speaker 1: Obviously we're welcoming masses and masses back to the college

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Speaker 1: football table, but also on our show, there are so

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Speaker 1: many things that we've sort of pushed to August. We

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Speaker 1: got gas station recruiting, wars going down. I got like

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Speaker 1: four other things I can't tell you yet that we've

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Speaker 1: been cooking. We're in a temporary studio right now that

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Speaker 1: will soon change one way or the other. So there's

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Speaker 1: a whole lot coming on top of just welcome back

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Speaker 1: college football in August. So at Lake Kick, Josh, make

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Speaker 1: sure you're following on the socials and make sure you're

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Speaker 1: watching the shows. Thank you so much, cause like tons

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Speaker 1: of you are right now. I just merely ask that

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Speaker 1: you continue. This is either a really down way or

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Speaker 1: a really upwey to start the show based on whether

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Speaker 1: you have allegiance to Georgia or not. So let's get

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Speaker 1: after it. There's Colin. I'm trying to give you a

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Speaker 1: really good endpoint here when you edit this. We got

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Speaker 1: more off field issues to talk about it Georgia, which

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Speaker 1: means we have culture issues to talk about. Big words

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Speaker 1: being thrown around lately, Georgia, culture, culture, Georgia. If you

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Speaker 1: have been living your life and you haven't been paying

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Speaker 1: attention to the headlines, I don't blame you. Rara Thomas

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Speaker 1: is a transfer wide receiver there from Missouri formally, I believe,

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Speaker 1: and he got arrested and it's pretty serious. Charges among

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Speaker 1: them are cruelty to children charges, and that happened a

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Speaker 1: couple of days ago. The arrest was Friday morning at

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Speaker 1: three am. So that just gets tossed up on a

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Speaker 1: scrap heap of like two so very high profile arrests

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Speaker 1: at Georgia, most of them driving and traffic related. This

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Speaker 1: one is a world above and beyond that and has

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Speaker 1: really nothing to do with those, or does it, Because

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Speaker 1: then the age old question at this point gets tossed

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Speaker 1: on top of all that, and that is what kind

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Speaker 1: of culture has Kirby Smart built over there at Georgia.

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Speaker 1: So well, of course all of that's inexcusable, So let's

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Speaker 1: get that out of the way. No one needs to

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Speaker 1: ever have charges like that thrown against them. Now. I

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Speaker 1: haven't seen to this point anything else come of that.

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Speaker 1: So because of the seriousness of the nature of those charges,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna hang back and see what actually happened on

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Speaker 1: that front. I'm just going to assume, because it's not

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Speaker 1: the first time that Rara Thomas has had those kinds

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Speaker 1: of run ins with the law, that there's something there.

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Speaker 1: I don't know anything about that. So what we do

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Speaker 1: know is another Georgia player got arrested. That that led

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Speaker 1: us to Saturday. So Saturday mornings when most of the

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Speaker 1: world sees that, it's when I saw it. And so

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Speaker 1: I sat there and I said, here it goes, and

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Speaker 1: I made my morning breakfast, and I cranked up the internet,

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Speaker 1: and sure enough, the avalanche hit me square in the face.

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Speaker 1: And so I responded, Colin, do me a favor. Dial

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Speaker 1: up the tweet I put out. If you haven't seen

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Speaker 1: this yet and you're looking on YouTube, just read it.

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Speaker 1: If you haven't seen it and you're listening on podcasts,

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Speaker 1: here's what it says. Pay close attention here. Casuals will

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Speaker 1: say George's culture is rotten and then trash anyone who

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Speaker 1: doesn't predict them to win the SEC. This is intentional silence.

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Speaker 1: So I just want to give you a second. What

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Speaker 1: do you think about that. It's not that it doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: I didn't say it doesn't matter. I didn't say culture

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Speaker 1: it doesn't matter. In fact, there's a lot there. I

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Speaker 1: didn't say that. People heard me say. So here is

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Speaker 1: what I'm simply trying to say. I really don't think

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Speaker 1: you care. A lot of you. I really don't think

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Speaker 1: you care. So in that tweet, here's what wasn't said.

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Speaker 1: Let me just deal with this. First, ninety five percent

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Speaker 1: of people who responded to that poorly had cartoon characters

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Speaker 1: for their profile on Twitter, so they're not serious people.

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Speaker 1: Most of these unserious people heard me say this is

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Speaker 1: no big deal. Well I never said that. They said,

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Speaker 1: you're telling me Kirby's not at fault. Nope, Nope, he

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Speaker 1: is at fault. He's the leader of the program. It

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Speaker 1: falls at his feet. So I never said that either.

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Speaker 1: Are you taking allegations of child cruelty lightly? No, No,

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Speaker 1: I take them very seriously. Are you telling me there's

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Speaker 1: not an issue here, No, it seems like there's a

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Speaker 1: pretty big issue here. I'm not saying any of that.

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Speaker 1: I'm saying I don't think you really care about it.

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Speaker 1: So last week we had a show where we did

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Speaker 1: our season preview and we predicted conference championship winners, we

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Speaker 1: predicted the playoff. And trust me, all of this ties

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Speaker 1: together because I put it out there and you know,

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Speaker 1: I didn't have Georgia in the SEC championship game. I

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Speaker 1: had him in the playoff what was it, Jesse as

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Speaker 1: like a nine or ten seed or something like that.

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Speaker 1: And so I had a lot of people come at

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Speaker 1: me and say, how crazy is that? How stupid is

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Speaker 1: that george is the best team in this conference? You

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Speaker 1: don't even have them playing for the SEC title game?

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Speaker 1: And okay, that's normal. You can disagree with the prediction.

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Speaker 1: But here's the funny thing. The funny thing is this

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Speaker 1: headline drops on Saturday morning where there is yet another

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Speaker 1: in a long line now of off field issues for Georgia,

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Speaker 1: and people hop on me and they're talking about culture.

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Speaker 1: They're yelling about culture. Georgia's got a culture. You're gonna

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Speaker 1: call out George's culture. And the thing about it is

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Speaker 1: they're dming me. DM means direct message for those of

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Speaker 1: you who don't use the socials and so a lot

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Speaker 1: of these people I think forgot that I can see

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Speaker 1: the previous message they sent me. So what happened was

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Speaker 1: Saturday morning. I probably had one to two dozen that

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Speaker 1: I opened instances where someone will calling Georgia's culture out

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Speaker 1: and no more than forty eight hours earlier, they called

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Speaker 1: me stupid for not predicting Georgia to win the conference.

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Speaker 1: So my reply was, well, hold up, do you think

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Speaker 1: their culture sucks or doesn't it? And if you think

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Speaker 1: their culture sucks, do you really just not think culture matters?

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Speaker 1: And so I replied that a few times and I

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Speaker 1: got a bunch of ba back. So I just I

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Speaker 1: tweeted it publicly, calin, do me a favor one more

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Speaker 1: time and throw the tweet back up. Casuals will say

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Speaker 1: Georgia's culture is rotten and then trash anyone who doesn't

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Speaker 1: predict them to win the SEC. I think culture is

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Speaker 1: really important. I think it's a very very vital piece.

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Speaker 1: Especially if you exist in a world where there are

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Speaker 1: other high level programs that culturally have their act together,

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Speaker 1: you're probably not going to get away with having a

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Speaker 1: bad one. I had a lot of folks throw Florida

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Speaker 1: two thousand and eight in my face. Florida won a

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Speaker 1: national title in two thousand and eight, and since then

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Speaker 1: we've learned internally they were a mess. That is one example.

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Speaker 1: You've got some Miami teams in decades past that could

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Speaker 1: be provided theoretically as an example of a place where

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Speaker 1: there was a lot of off field incident and issue

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Speaker 1: but on the field or they were a wrecking crew.

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Speaker 1: That's true. Far more likely and far more plentiful are

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Speaker 1: the examples of programs and ultimately teams that massively underachieved

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Speaker 1: because they had the talent piece, but they didn't have

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Speaker 1: the culture piece. The overwhelming rule in this sport, contrary

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Speaker 1: to those exceptions, has been and always will be, if

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Speaker 1: you got a lot of talent in the locker room,

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Speaker 1: that's a starting point, but if your culture sucks, you're

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Speaker 1: not ultimately going to achieve at the highest level. Now,

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Speaker 1: some of these places stacked so much talent Florida, eight, Miami,

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Speaker 1: depending on which year you want to talk about, that

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Speaker 1: they can even afford to be loose culturally. But because

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Speaker 1: they are so premire talent wise, they could still win

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Speaker 1: it at all. But that's not my point. My points not

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Speaker 1: that Georgia can't win it all. But if you really

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Speaker 1: think that their culture is a mess, and someone merely

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Speaker 1: predicts them to, oh, I don't know, not make the

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Speaker 1: SEC title game, do you really think culture matters all

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Speaker 1: that much if you're coming after that person, Yeah, their

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Speaker 1: culture such, But you're crazy if you don't think they're

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Speaker 1: gonna win the SEC. You're crazy if you don't think

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Speaker 1: they're gonna be in the SEC championship game. So then

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Speaker 1: I had another kind of person who came and said, no, no, no,

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Speaker 1: I I am not saying any of these things. I'm

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Speaker 1: saying that if you have a win at all cost mentality, Josh,

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Speaker 1: then maybe that's the culture. And so maybe winning football

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Speaker 1: games is the culture. They have their off field incidents

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Speaker 1: be damned. Maybe winning football games is the culture absent

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Speaker 1: anything else mattering. I do think Georgia has a culture.

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Speaker 1: I just think it's a win at all cost mentality.

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Speaker 1: I got that a lot. I got I don't know

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Speaker 1: how many people ended up saying that to me. So

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna get to that in a second. Here's what

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Speaker 1: I'm saying. I'm not saying culture doesn't matter. I'm not

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Speaker 1: even saying Georgia might not have issues there. I just

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Speaker 1: am saying I don't think most of you care about it.

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Speaker 1: I really don't think most of you care about it,

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Speaker 1: because almost nobody who yells about culture on the internet

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Speaker 1: actually cares about culture. You kind of have this circular

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Speaker 1: faux caring that gets worked up inside you when you

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Speaker 1: see a lot of other people saying things and you

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Speaker 1: desperately want to say something impactful online, and so you

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Speaker 1: just you grab your torch and your pitchfork and you

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Speaker 1: go after someone. And then you put the torch down

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Speaker 1: and the pitchfork down and you log off, You go

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Speaker 1: take shower, You going about your day. You're not really

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Speaker 1: outraged by anything. It doesn't matter if it actually impacted

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Speaker 1: someone's life or not. I'm just saying I don't think

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Speaker 1: most of you care about it. Most of you can't

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Speaker 1: beat Georgia on the field, That's what it boils down to.

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Speaker 1: So this is as close as a lot of you

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Speaker 1: get to a victory over Georgia. Because if it was

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Speaker 1: happening at U El Monroe, all due respect, I don't

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Speaker 1: think any of us would hear much about it. But

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Speaker 1: it's happening at Georgia, and to who much is given,

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Speaker 1: much is expected, and to whom a big spotlight is given,

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Speaker 1: a lot more scrutiny is going to be placed on

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Speaker 1: the head of Yes, yes, yes, those are me Maw's quotes,

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Speaker 1: and I understand all that, and I acknowledge that, but

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Speaker 1: I really don't think you care. So that's what I

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Speaker 1: was calling out. It's not that the stuff is irrelevant.

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Speaker 1: It's not that the stuff doesn't matter. It's not that

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Speaker 1: there aren't people's lives actually being put in danger with

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Speaker 1: the actions of some Georgia players off the field. All

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Speaker 1: that's true, all that's bad. I'm not calling them out.

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Speaker 1: I'm not even making a commentary on them. That's the

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Speaker 1: whole separate thing. I was just replying to a lot

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Speaker 1: of people who pretend to be outraised by it, who

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Speaker 1: aren't really outraged by it. It's just the top football

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Speaker 1: program in America. Most of you hadn't been able to

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Speaker 1: beat them on the field, aside from Alabama, and so

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Speaker 1: this is your only shot to take a shot. So

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Speaker 1: you've taken shots. If I'm wrong about you, then I'm

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Speaker 1: wrong about you. Now. I had one of our viewers

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Speaker 1: DM me today and say I genuinely care about public safety.

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Speaker 1: I'm not talking about you if that's how you feel,

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Speaker 1: If you just genuinely care about public safety, We've had

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Speaker 1: loss of life up there because poor off field decisions.

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Speaker 1: I don't make light of that. You have some serious

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Speaker 1: allegations against Rawra Thomas, Hey, I don't make light of that.

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Speaker 1: And if your genuine motivation for calling that out is

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Speaker 1: you're scared for the public safety of others, and you

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Speaker 1: think that Georgia football has really become a nuisance in

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Speaker 1: that regard, absent anything else in the football world, mattering, well,

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Speaker 1: number one, that's a perfectly valid way to feel. And

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Speaker 1: I'm obviously not talking about you, because I doubt you

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Speaker 1: came at me about something as inconsequential as an SEC

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Speaker 1: championship prediction, and then in the very next breath talked

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Speaker 1: about something as serious as this. I'm talking about the

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Speaker 1: folks who contradict themselves and don't even realize they're contradicting themselves.

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Speaker 1: Two things that I don't think are true here. First,

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Speaker 1: Kirby Smart's not doing anything about this. Kirby needs to

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Speaker 1: do something about it. Kirby's done a ton. It may

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Speaker 1: not have worked across the board. There's a big difference

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Speaker 1: in Kirby doing what he thinks is best, Kirby Smart

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Speaker 1: and yours at large doing what they think needs to

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Speaker 1: be done to prevent this stuff and it's still happening,

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Speaker 1: versus Kirby Smart and Georgia are not doing anything and

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Speaker 1: it continuing to happen. It is not my place to

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Speaker 1: air all that stuff out. They can do it in

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Speaker 1: their own time if they want to. If George and

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Speaker 1: Kirby Smart would like to publicize the steps they've taken

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Speaker 1: internally to try and prevent this stuff, they can. I

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Speaker 1: promise you they've done everything they know to do. Notice

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Speaker 1: what I just said. I didn't say they've done everything

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Speaker 1: it takes, because obviously some stuff still keeps happening. I

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Speaker 1: said they've done everything they know to do. I can

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Speaker 1: promise you. There are many parents watching the show tonight who,

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Speaker 1: probably at one time or another in your own lives,

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Speaker 1: have arrived at the point where you feel like you

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Speaker 1: instilled discipline in your son or your daughter. You taught

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Speaker 1: them the right and wrong. You tried to guide them

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Speaker 1: on the right path. But guess whose job it ultimately

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Speaker 1: is to make decisions? It ain't yours. You're not raising

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Speaker 1: a robot, it's a human. Now, imagine you've got like

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Speaker 1: a hundred of them in your building that are all

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Speaker 1: alpha types and got tons of money tossed in their lap,

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Speaker 1: and you don't really legally get to do to them

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Speaker 1: what parents get to do to them. This stuff can

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Speaker 1: still happen. It's not excuse making. It falls at the

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Speaker 1: feet of Kirby Smart. It's not excuse making. It just is.

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Speaker 1: So it's a lie when people say, oh, they haven't

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Speaker 1: done anything there. No, they obviously just haven't done enough there.

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Speaker 1: They've taken action they thought it was enough. Maybe it's not.

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Speaker 1: The other thing is this win at all costs mentality.

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Speaker 1: I don't think Georgia has a win at all costs mentality.

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Speaker 1: I really don't. Again, I am cheating because I've gotten

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Speaker 1: to see inside the program, so I know how they

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Speaker 1: go about things. I know what they stand upon, I

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Speaker 1: know what the principles and values there are. You can

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Speaker 1: either choose to believe that or not. It doesn't change

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Speaker 1: what the reality is. It doesn't change what the fact is.

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Speaker 1: It's an imperfect program, it's a flawed program. It's a

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Speaker 1: really good program. It's a place where I genuinely believe

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Speaker 1: they're trying to do things the right way. It just

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Speaker 1: hasn't worked out across the board like they want it to.

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Speaker 1: This is not the first place where a group of

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Speaker 1: people have instilled what they hope to be the right

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Speaker 1: DNA inside the program and defind their core principles and

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Speaker 1: values and not everyone adhere to it. It's not the

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Speaker 1: first time that's ever happened. It's just the latest example

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Speaker 1: in a high profile setting of that not happening. But

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Speaker 1: I will maintain this. A lot of you made fun

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Speaker 1: of me for saying this. That's fine because I still

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Speaker 1: believe it. Kirby Smart can do all he knows to

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Speaker 1: do there. Kirby Smart's gonna have team after team after team.

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Speaker 1: Kirby Smart can coach as long as he wants to.

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Speaker 1: The seniors in that group got one more go around.

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Speaker 1: It's their team, it's their responsibility. They got to take

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Speaker 1: it upon themselves to police themselves. That's not absolving the

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Speaker 1: adults in the room. Above and beyond the adults in

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Speaker 1: the room. The best teams out there are not coach led.

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Speaker 1: The teams out there, the ones that will be there

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Speaker 1: at the finish line. The programs that are there every

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Speaker 1: single year in the mix. They're not there because the

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Speaker 1: coaches look over players shoulders constantly. They're there because the

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Speaker 1: coaches don't have to look over the players shoulders constantly.

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Speaker 1: Because the best teams are player led. And so if

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Speaker 1: George is worth its salt, if they're going to fulfill

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Speaker 1: on the potential, if they're going to fulfill in the

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Speaker 1: preseason predictions that a lot of people have heaped upon them,

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Speaker 1: the players will take care of it there. And if

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Speaker 1: the players don't, then Georgia as a program won't achieve

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Speaker 1: at the level as high as maybe they were capable

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Speaker 1: of achieving. That's it. I don't even get what's controversial

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Speaker 1: about that. I do get what's controversial because folks just

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Speaker 1: want to scalp, you know, like Kirby suspended Rara Thomas

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Speaker 1: indefinitely the other day, and people were still yelling for

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Speaker 1: him to do something, and I'm looking around, like he

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Speaker 1: just did no, no, no, no, but he needs to

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Speaker 1: do more. What in the world do you want him

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Speaker 1: to do? Do you want him to do? You want

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Speaker 1: him to personally accompany rob Rod Thomas down to Guantanamo

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Speaker 1: and throw away the key? What would you like him

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Speaker 1: to do. It's an ongoing investigation. What more is he

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Speaker 1: supposed to do? You're trying to apply logic at that

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Speaker 1: point to a totally illogical situation. And by the way,

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Speaker 1: the fact of the matter is, if this was happening

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Speaker 1: for de Boord Alabama, Georgia folks just as crazily would

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Speaker 1: be yelling the same stuff Bama folks are yelling. If

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Speaker 1: it were happening with Hugh Freeze at Auburn, Bama and

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Speaker 1: Georgia folks will be yelling the same thing. So this

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Speaker 1: is not exclusive to Georgia. Georgia just happens to be

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Speaker 1: the one in the wrong spotlight right now. So those

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Speaker 1: are my thoughts on that. Let's move on to much

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Speaker 1: happier times in the show tonight, happier with us. I'll

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Speaker 1: be happy to listen to your opinions. I'm sure a

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Speaker 1: lot of you are going to counter what I just said.

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Speaker 1: All I ask, humbly, humbly, All I ask is that

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Speaker 1: if you disagree with what I said, won't be the

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Speaker 1: first time, won't be the last time. But if you

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Speaker 1: disagree with what I said, make sure you heard what

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Speaker 1: I actually said. That's all I ask because I have

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Speaker 1: found on this particular topic, ninety plus percent of the

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Speaker 1: disagreements that I've gotten into stem from people not knowing

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Speaker 1: what I actually said. So that's all I ask. Okay,

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Speaker 1: we move along. We are unveiling the preseason edition of

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Speaker 1: the JP Pole. Not in ten minutes, not in two hours,

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Speaker 1: not next week. Right now here it is this is

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Speaker 1: a big moment. What is this, Josh, I'm new to

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Speaker 1: this show. I just tuned in the last year. Well,

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Speaker 1: I will tell you what this is as I open

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Speaker 1: this really really expensive envelope that management doesn't even know

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Speaker 1: I used. This is the JP Pole. I hold in

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Speaker 1: my hand the JP Pole right now. Huge immunity, just

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Speaker 1: huge immunity. And if you don't know what that means,

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Speaker 1: I will educate you in due time on that as well.

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Speaker 1: So if you're a newer around here, the JP Pole

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Speaker 1: most important rule that you could ever know don't lose

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Speaker 1: to food, So don't lose to rice. The second most

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Speaker 1: important rule you could know is power Ratings are not rankings.

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Speaker 1: Say it with me again. Power ratings are not rankings.

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Speaker 1: These are not rankings. This has nothing to do with merit,

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Speaker 1: This has nothing to do with your win loss record. Frankly,

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Speaker 1: we really don't care all that much about that. This

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Speaker 1: is about future facing, neutral field favorability. Josh, what is

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Speaker 1: the difference between rankings and ratings? I have prepared a

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Speaker 1: helpful example. Imagine you grew up with a kid named

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Speaker 1: Jeff and a kid named Steve. The names are interchangeable. Here,

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Speaker 1: don't focus on the wrong part of the story. Jeff

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Speaker 1: is faster than Steve. You guys have raced as kids

390
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Speaker 1: a million times, and Jeff beat Steve one hundred times

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Speaker 1: out of one hundred. You guys grow up, you go

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Speaker 1: to different high schools. Jeff versus Steve is the finals

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Speaker 1: in the city track meet. Who you picking to win?

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Speaker 1: You're picking Jeff to win. Why are you picking Jeff

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Speaker 1: to win? Is that just a blind guest? Note? You've

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Speaker 1: got guided information. You have used your data in this case,

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Speaker 1: your eyeballs that has seen Jeff beat Steve a hundred

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Speaker 1: times out of one hundred, and you're picking Jeff to

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Speaker 1: win based on that. There's the gun. They're off. Jeff

400
00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:04,000
Speaker 1: gets out of the block fast. He's pulling the head

401
00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:09,520
Speaker 1: of Steve. Jeff trips. Oh my goodness, Jeff trips. Steve

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Speaker 1: pulls ahead of him. Jeff gets up, but it's too

403
00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:15,639
Speaker 1: late because Steve's got pretty decent speed himself. Steve breaks

404
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Speaker 1: the tape at the finish line first. Who deserves the trophy?

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Speaker 1: Who won the race? The answer is Steve. Who deserves

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Speaker 1: to be ranked higher that day? Who deserves to be

407
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Speaker 1: on the number one podium? And who deserves to be

408
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Speaker 1: on the number two podium? The answer is Steve number one,

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Speaker 1: Jeff number two. This is an example in the merit

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Speaker 1: based world of how rankings work. However, story's not done.

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Speaker 1: Jeff gets mad. Jeff in true Stone called Steve austin

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Speaker 1: fashion I believe. The night after King of the Ring

413
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Speaker 1: ninety eight against Cain, he tells Steve, I want a rematch.

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Speaker 1: You know this wasn't fair, or maybe it was fair,

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Speaker 1: but you know you're not better than me. Will you

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Speaker 1: give me a rematch? And Steve stupidly says yes, I'll

417
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Speaker 1: give you a rematch. They race again the next week.

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Speaker 1: Who you picking? Every one of your picking Jeff again?

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Speaker 1: That's how power rating works. And someone could say, how

420
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Speaker 1: could you pick Jeff? This race just happened last week.

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Speaker 1: Steve won it. He's got the medal around his neck.

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00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 1: Why would you pick Jeff Well, Maybe because the fastest

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Speaker 1: runner doesn't always win the race. Maybe some outside variables

424
00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:26,080
Speaker 1: can occasionally interfere. Or in football terms, maybe we score

425
00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:30,200
Speaker 1: in threes and sevens. Maybe the road matters, Maybe injury matters,

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Speaker 1: Maybe luck and bounce of ball matters. Maybe the best

427
00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:36,680
Speaker 1: team doesn't always win on a Saturday. It's what I'm saying.

428
00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:41,320
Speaker 1: Maybe those odds makers and their process and approach have

429
00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:43,560
Speaker 1: a little merit of their own baked them. So that's

430
00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:46,000
Speaker 1: what we do with the jppole JP poll. According to

431
00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:49,200
Speaker 1: the model, which is right next to me, is how

432
00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:51,640
Speaker 1: the model would stack teams if it had to favor

433
00:22:51,720 --> 00:22:54,639
Speaker 1: them against one another on a neutral field, if it

434
00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:57,800
Speaker 1: had to spit out its own point spread via a

435
00:22:57,840 --> 00:23:00,440
Speaker 1: power rating. This is how we would power race to them.

436
00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:03,560
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go one through twenty five tonight. I'm gonna

437
00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:05,680
Speaker 1: go pretty fast. I'm gonna give you some helpful notes

438
00:23:05,680 --> 00:23:07,040
Speaker 1: along the way because this is the first time that

439
00:23:07,040 --> 00:23:08,639
Speaker 1: we've unveiled this this year, so I know a lot

440
00:23:08,680 --> 00:23:12,359
Speaker 1: of you're gonna have questions. One through five is pretty

441
00:23:12,359 --> 00:23:15,520
Speaker 1: clear now, I think most power ratings out there. Oddsmaker's

442
00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:19,120
Speaker 1: Fan Duel included. You'll probably see this one through five

443
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:24,680
Speaker 1: Georgia one, Ohio State, two, Oregon three, Texas four, Alabama five.

444
00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:27,520
Speaker 1: Now you may switch order, you may have Texas ahead

445
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:30,240
Speaker 1: of Oregon, Ohio State ahead of Georgia. But that's a

446
00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:32,439
Speaker 1: pretty clear one through five. Now, I do want to

447
00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:36,120
Speaker 1: tell you Georgia is number one. They're not my pick

448
00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:38,960
Speaker 1: to win the SEC. How is that? Well, twofold number one.

449
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 1: This is the model. This is not my gut. My

450
00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:43,000
Speaker 1: gut has nothing to do with this. My opinion has

451
00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:45,040
Speaker 1: nothing to do with this. This is the model spitting

452
00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:48,359
Speaker 1: this out. I just trust the model implicitly. And number two.

453
00:23:49,320 --> 00:23:51,320
Speaker 1: Even if I agreed with the model, and I kind

454
00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:54,320
Speaker 1: of do, i'd probably rank Georgia number one right now.

455
00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 1: I just don't think there's a massive gap between Georgia

456
00:23:57,840 --> 00:23:59,840
Speaker 1: and these other teams here. I think there's a seven

457
00:24:00,040 --> 00:24:02,760
Speaker 1: point gap. The model thinks there's a seven point gap

458
00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:06,640
Speaker 1: between Georgia and Alabama neutral field. So so number one

459
00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:10,200
Speaker 1: to number five seven point gap. That's not massive, that's

460
00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:13,480
Speaker 1: not insurmountable. And it's a smaller gap between say, Ohio

461
00:24:13,520 --> 00:24:17,560
Speaker 1: State and Oregon and Texas. So Georgia's number one, but

462
00:24:17,640 --> 00:24:19,840
Speaker 1: they play the number four team on the road, the

463
00:24:19,920 --> 00:24:22,440
Speaker 1: number five team on the road, the number eight team

464
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:24,720
Speaker 1: on the road. They get number fourteen at home. I'll

465
00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:26,359
Speaker 1: show you them in a little while. They get the

466
00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:29,000
Speaker 1: number nineteen team on a neutral site. They get the

467
00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:31,520
Speaker 1: number twenty one team on a neutral site. So I

468
00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:35,240
Speaker 1: got Georgia playing six of the top twenty one teams

469
00:24:35,240 --> 00:24:37,080
Speaker 1: in the country this year, and only one of those

470
00:24:37,119 --> 00:24:39,800
Speaker 1: games is in Athens. So how could you have Georgia

471
00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:42,800
Speaker 1: power rated number one but think they may fall short

472
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:45,119
Speaker 1: of the SEC championship game because they got a harder

473
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:47,679
Speaker 1: schedule than some of these teams. It's very very simple.

474
00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:51,760
Speaker 1: There are five SEC and Big ten teams here, and

475
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:54,160
Speaker 1: as I said, there's a seven point gap between number

476
00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:57,560
Speaker 1: one and number five. All right, next up, this is

477
00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:02,080
Speaker 1: where the controversy first enters. The equation. I'm not sure

478
00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:04,280
Speaker 1: I agree with it, but look, it's the model's turned

479
00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:06,520
Speaker 1: to talk. That's how the JP pull works. You know

480
00:25:06,520 --> 00:25:08,600
Speaker 1: who we have number six. Jesse had nothing to do

481
00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:11,800
Speaker 1: with this. Penn State is number six, and I need

482
00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:14,480
Speaker 1: to tell you there's not a drop off. There's not

483
00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:18,000
Speaker 1: a gap between five and six. In fact, the gap

484
00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 1: is between Penn State and Notre Dame. There's no gap.

485
00:25:22,000 --> 00:25:24,960
Speaker 1: There's like a half a point gap, zero point three

486
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,480
Speaker 1: point gap between Penn State and Bama. Bama's five, Penn

487
00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:29,440
Speaker 1: State six. There's a two and a half point gap

488
00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:33,719
Speaker 1: between Penn State and Notre Dame. This surprised me. The

489
00:25:33,760 --> 00:25:36,720
Speaker 1: model apparently has bought all the and Andy Cold and

490
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,200
Speaker 1: Nicki stock it can. It's bought all the Drew Aller

491
00:25:39,200 --> 00:25:42,960
Speaker 1: stock it can. It loves the tight end position, does

492
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:45,880
Speaker 1: the model. So we got Penn State six, Notre Dame

493
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:50,760
Speaker 1: number seven. Notre Dame the second highest rated pair of

494
00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:54,440
Speaker 1: coordinators in the country, next to Ohio State, according to

495
00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:59,920
Speaker 1: the model, ole Miss number eight, FSU number nine, LSU number.

496
00:26:00,600 --> 00:26:04,040
Speaker 1: Now you notice once you get down eight, nine to ten,

497
00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:07,919
Speaker 1: not that there are perfect teams out there, but you

498
00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:12,760
Speaker 1: start spotting more obvious flaws, potential flaws. So ole Miss defense,

499
00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:15,920
Speaker 1: Florida State, we don't know what necessarily to expect a quarterback.

500
00:26:16,040 --> 00:26:19,320
Speaker 1: LSU defense is a total mystery. This is where it's important,

501
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:21,920
Speaker 1: because you could pick any of these teams apart. We're

502
00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:24,800
Speaker 1: not measuring these teams against perfection. We're measuring them against

503
00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:27,880
Speaker 1: the field. That's how power ratings work, and so we're

504
00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:31,960
Speaker 1: measuring an entire team relative to the rest of the

505
00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:34,880
Speaker 1: teams around them. So LSU's number ten, you could say, oh, Josh,

506
00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:38,359
Speaker 1: I think their defense is gonna be terrible. Well, maybe

507
00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:41,119
Speaker 1: it will. Their defense was terrible last year and they

508
00:26:41,200 --> 00:26:43,160
Speaker 1: finished nine to three and had a Heisman Trophy winner

509
00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:45,480
Speaker 1: and would have made the playoff if we had one.

510
00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:49,760
Speaker 1: So again, you could have a bad defense and still

511
00:26:49,800 --> 00:26:52,439
Speaker 1: be a top ten team depending on how good the

512
00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:56,800
Speaker 1: field is around you. Let's go eleven through fifteen, and

513
00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:58,640
Speaker 1: then I'm gonna stop and I'm gonna point something out

514
00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:03,200
Speaker 1: for Youber eleven, that's where Michigan is. I think i'd

515
00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:06,600
Speaker 1: have Michigan a couple of spots higher. That's splitting hairs.

516
00:27:06,640 --> 00:27:08,919
Speaker 1: The GAP's not that big up. But the model starts

517
00:27:08,920 --> 00:27:13,320
Speaker 1: Michigan at number eleven, Oklahoma hanging out there bordering on

518
00:27:13,359 --> 00:27:16,440
Speaker 1: the top ten, Oklahoma at number twelve, Texas A and

519
00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:23,280
Speaker 1: m thirteen, Tennessee fourteen, and Missouri fifteen. This model has

520
00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:25,639
Speaker 1: no clue what conference you're in, so save it with

521
00:27:25,680 --> 00:27:27,880
Speaker 1: the SEC bias thing, save it with the big ten

522
00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:31,679
Speaker 1: bias thing. It sees a blind stat profile that's what

523
00:27:31,720 --> 00:27:34,200
Speaker 1: it sees, the SEC teams have a lot more talent

524
00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:37,200
Speaker 1: per capita than most teams out there. Therefore, they are

525
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:39,680
Speaker 1: going to get some nods of the head and favorable

526
00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:44,359
Speaker 1: treatment in any kind of power rating format. And I

527
00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:47,320
Speaker 1: do want to note this. We're through fifteen teams here.

528
00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:51,480
Speaker 1: We got nine SCC teams in the top fifteen. We

529
00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:54,800
Speaker 1: got four big tens. We only got one ACC team

530
00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:58,760
Speaker 1: so far, that's Florida State, and we've got one independent

531
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:03,480
Speaker 1: and that's notre name. That changes quickly once you get

532
00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:07,120
Speaker 1: outside the top fifteen. So number sixteen through twenty, we've

533
00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:09,679
Speaker 1: got Kansas State. That's the first big twelve team. We

534
00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:12,800
Speaker 1: get them number sixteen. Utah's right there behind them at seventeen.

535
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:14,960
Speaker 1: In fact, I think they had the same rating, so

536
00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:18,320
Speaker 1: we could call that a tie at sixteen. Miami is eighteen,

537
00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:24,280
Speaker 1: Clemson's nineteen, USC's twenty. So the model, albeit by zero

538
00:28:24,320 --> 00:28:28,800
Speaker 1: point one points, has Miami ahead of Clemson. And the

539
00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:32,600
Speaker 1: bigger note there is Clemson's floating down there in the

540
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:37,480
Speaker 1: low teens around number twenty USC, number twenty USC total wildcard.

541
00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:40,200
Speaker 1: I could see them being thirtieth, I could see them

542
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 1: being tenth, and neither would really surprise me. Kansas State

543
00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:48,320
Speaker 1: at number sixteen would be a one point two point

544
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:51,720
Speaker 1: favorite against number twenty USC right now, so the gap

545
00:28:51,920 --> 00:28:54,960
Speaker 1: between sixteen and twenty is ultra compressed. We call this

546
00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:58,000
Speaker 1: accordion mode the accordion as an instrument. You know you

547
00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:02,200
Speaker 1: expand contract, expand contract. Well, this thing's really contracted sixteen

548
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:05,200
Speaker 1: through twenty there's no gap whatsoever. Could you could just

549
00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:07,320
Speaker 1: view these teams as basically the same right now? The

550
00:29:07,360 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 1: model does anyway? Moving along number twenty one through twenty five,

551
00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:13,760
Speaker 1: this will get fun really quick. The model has Florida

552
00:29:14,680 --> 00:29:17,239
Speaker 1: at number twenty one. Save it. I'm going to come

553
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:20,959
Speaker 1: back to it. Save it. Iowa at number twenty two,

554
00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:25,800
Speaker 1: Oklahoma State my preseason pick to win the Big twelve

555
00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:31,959
Speaker 1: at number twenty three, Wisconsin twenty four, Iowa State twenty five.

556
00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:34,080
Speaker 1: I knew the model will come through Iowa State at

557
00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:38,160
Speaker 1: number twenty five. So let's talk about Florida for just

558
00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:40,360
Speaker 1: a second, shall we. Florida is at number twenty one.

559
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:42,920
Speaker 1: How is this possible? Florida is over under win total

560
00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:45,000
Speaker 1: is four and a half. Well, it's because they play

561
00:29:45,000 --> 00:29:47,120
Speaker 1: a whole lot of teams better than them. That's one

562
00:29:47,160 --> 00:29:50,440
Speaker 1: of their win totals four and a half. The model

563
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:53,840
Speaker 1: at least thinks that Florida could legitimately compete to win

564
00:29:53,880 --> 00:29:56,320
Speaker 1: the Big Twelve. As is, take the team, drop them

565
00:29:56,360 --> 00:29:58,120
Speaker 1: in the Big Twelve. They could compete to win the

566
00:29:58,120 --> 00:30:01,959
Speaker 1: Big Twelve. Not only that, but if I'm looking at

567
00:30:02,240 --> 00:30:06,000
Speaker 1: Clemson in Miami, just within a point or two of Florida,

568
00:30:07,040 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 1: it also thinks they could compete to win the ACC

569
00:30:10,080 --> 00:30:13,400
Speaker 1: So Florida, don't let them get imprisoned by a tough schedule,

570
00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:14,840
Speaker 1: and all of a sudden you look and you think, oh,

571
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:18,000
Speaker 1: the quality of team is bad. Now, maybe the model's

572
00:30:18,040 --> 00:30:21,160
Speaker 1: wrong and the quality of Florida's team ends up not

573
00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:25,600
Speaker 1: being good. More likely is that Florida is a really

574
00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:28,840
Speaker 1: improved team. Florida's floating in that twenty to twenty five

575
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:30,760
Speaker 1: range and they end up playing a ton of teams

576
00:30:30,840 --> 00:30:33,840
Speaker 1: ranked ahead of them, and they lose those games, and

577
00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:37,480
Speaker 1: then you falsely believe that Florida is terrible. There's a

578
00:30:37,520 --> 00:30:39,440
Speaker 1: world where they go six and six or seven and

579
00:30:39,520 --> 00:30:41,840
Speaker 1: five and they're like the twenty fourth best team in

580
00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,200
Speaker 1: the country. There's a world where that could happen because

581
00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:47,880
Speaker 1: of their schedule. Also, Iowa was at twenty two. If

582
00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:50,280
Speaker 1: Iowa can get any offense, I was one of the

583
00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:53,720
Speaker 1: sleeper teams in the country this year. We had Kirk Ference,

584
00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 1: I think it was Canell and I. We interviewed Kirk

585
00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:57,960
Speaker 1: ference the other day at Big ten Media Days, and

586
00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:00,920
Speaker 1: Kirk Ferriance always has like a slight grin on his face,

587
00:31:01,360 --> 00:31:03,920
Speaker 1: so he had it, and he was talking about how

588
00:31:03,960 --> 00:31:06,720
Speaker 1: they're bringing in Tim Lester, the offensive coordinator, and you know,

589
00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:09,640
Speaker 1: they're changing some things up. They haven't played to the

590
00:31:09,680 --> 00:31:12,760
Speaker 1: standard on the offensive line they've wanted to. And Okay,

591
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:17,040
Speaker 1: I know it's hard to believe in offensive progression at Iowa.

592
00:31:17,280 --> 00:31:19,320
Speaker 1: I have a hard time believing in it if it

593
00:31:19,400 --> 00:31:23,000
Speaker 1: happens heads up there, because I don't think they're forgetting

594
00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:26,480
Speaker 1: how to play defense anytime soon. So that's the top

595
00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:29,920
Speaker 1: twenty five. This is the model. This is not me.

596
00:31:30,280 --> 00:31:34,160
Speaker 1: Remember I have the right to override this at any point,

597
00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:37,240
Speaker 1: but I did not because it's the preseason. And I

598
00:31:37,360 --> 00:31:40,960
Speaker 1: will absolutely have an update of this before week one

599
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:44,040
Speaker 1: because we get a ton of intel from fall camp.

600
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:47,400
Speaker 1: There are injury updates during fall camp. The model has

601
00:31:47,440 --> 00:31:50,680
Speaker 1: every player in the country power rating, and so any

602
00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:52,920
Speaker 1: kind of depth chart hit that you take, the model

603
00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:56,520
Speaker 1: will take into account. There are eight count them, eight

604
00:31:57,520 --> 00:32:01,960
Speaker 1: top twenty five matchups according to the model's ratings in

605
00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:04,840
Speaker 1: the first three weeks of the season, eight top twenty

606
00:32:04,840 --> 00:32:09,320
Speaker 1: five matchups. The gap from number twenty three to number

607
00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:14,080
Speaker 1: forty is five points. So there is just a logjam

608
00:32:14,120 --> 00:32:17,600
Speaker 1: of teams that basically have the same profile, just different logos.

609
00:32:18,240 --> 00:32:21,800
Speaker 1: So think about this. The gap from Georgia number one

610
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:25,160
Speaker 1: to number twenty three is eighteen points. In other words,

611
00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:27,920
Speaker 1: Georgia versus the number twenty three team would be Georgia

612
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:31,680
Speaker 1: minus eighteen on a neutral field, probably lean Georgia there,

613
00:32:31,720 --> 00:32:34,160
Speaker 1: but Georgia minus eighteen. So the gap between one and

614
00:32:34,200 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 1: twenty three is eighteen points. The gap between twenty three

615
00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:39,200
Speaker 1: and forty is five points. So clearly you have a

616
00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:42,440
Speaker 1: higher tier, and then you got that middle tier, and

617
00:32:42,600 --> 00:32:47,400
Speaker 1: that middle tier anyone's ball game. You could, for example,

618
00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:50,520
Speaker 1: you could have a couple of injuries on the offensive line,

619
00:32:51,240 --> 00:32:54,160
Speaker 1: not play a football game at all and drop from

620
00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:57,480
Speaker 1: number twenty three to number thirty seven, and it looks like,

621
00:32:57,920 --> 00:33:01,959
Speaker 1: why did I just drop fourteen spot? Well, that sounds

622
00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:04,080
Speaker 1: like a long way to drop. In reality, it's just

623
00:33:04,160 --> 00:33:07,040
Speaker 1: cause your power rating dropped one point seventy five points

624
00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:10,400
Speaker 1: because your offensive line as a unit took a little

625
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:12,960
Speaker 1: deduction in your overall individual power rating. And that's how

626
00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:15,880
Speaker 1: much it affected you. So it's not a long way

627
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 1: to fall in terms of points. This is probably one

628
00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:20,840
Speaker 1: of the most fun things that we do during the season.

629
00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:23,640
Speaker 1: This will happen every Tuesday. The JP pole gets released

630
00:33:23,640 --> 00:33:27,240
Speaker 1: every Tuesday night. Power ratings are not rankings, no matter

631
00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:29,680
Speaker 1: what they tell you, And it's a running joke on

632
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:34,640
Speaker 1: the show because you will see especially on the Good

633
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:38,000
Speaker 1: Old Socials, you will see me what do we put

634
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:41,000
Speaker 1: it at guys, probably fifteen times during any given week

635
00:33:42,040 --> 00:33:44,360
Speaker 1: when someone questions why I have so and so ranked

636
00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:45,960
Speaker 1: above so and so, and what do I have to say?

637
00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:48,920
Speaker 1: I have to say I didn't have anyone ranked anywhere.

638
00:33:49,720 --> 00:33:53,120
Speaker 1: And then someone comes in gets mad, argues that's just semantics.

639
00:33:53,120 --> 00:33:56,240
Speaker 1: They're the same thing. Nope, Nope, remember it, Jeff versus

640
00:33:56,240 --> 00:34:00,720
Speaker 1: Steve City Championship Track Meet. What did you teach us?

641
00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:04,360
Speaker 1: Power ratings are not rankings. If they were, then you

642
00:34:04,360 --> 00:34:06,200
Speaker 1: would have picked Steve to win the next week, and

643
00:34:06,240 --> 00:34:09,080
Speaker 1: you didn't. And I pray for anyone who tuned in

644
00:34:09,160 --> 00:34:11,400
Speaker 1: late and just heard that metaphor on the back end

645
00:34:11,719 --> 00:34:15,680
Speaker 1: without the context of the front end. Again, all I

646
00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:18,040
Speaker 1: can do is pray, or I could pray and then

647
00:34:18,040 --> 00:34:19,920
Speaker 1: till you rewind the show later and listen to the

648
00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:22,799
Speaker 1: front end. So that's the Jpeople. I can't wait to

649
00:34:22,800 --> 00:34:28,600
Speaker 1: have all of you agree with that. Academy Sports and Outdoors.

650
00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:34,319
Speaker 1: I'm not necessarily going to say they endorse the jpeople,

651
00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:37,560
Speaker 1: because I'm sure those guys are at odds probably with

652
00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:41,279
Speaker 1: some of those ratings as well. However, they support the jpeople.

653
00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:44,479
Speaker 1: I know this. I have talked to our fine friends

654
00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:46,759
Speaker 1: at Academy about the japeople, but you know what else

655
00:34:46,760 --> 00:34:48,719
Speaker 1: I've talked to him about. And some of you have

656
00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:52,040
Speaker 1: been listening back to school and back to sports. I

657
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:54,560
Speaker 1: don't know how many of you. Several of you tagged

658
00:34:54,600 --> 00:34:56,359
Speaker 1: me and I didn't even ask for you to do it,

659
00:34:56,600 --> 00:34:58,800
Speaker 1: which is the best kind of tag. Over the weekend,

660
00:34:59,239 --> 00:35:01,600
Speaker 1: because some of you took me up on that challenge

661
00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:05,239
Speaker 1: or that suggestion head to academy. You're going to be

662
00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:07,280
Speaker 1: in the market for a lot of back to sports

663
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:11,320
Speaker 1: back to school supplies anyway, equipment supplies. Choose the phrasing

664
00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:16,120
Speaker 1: Academy's got it all and they make this show free

665
00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:18,759
Speaker 1: of charge to you, so they're doing all of us

666
00:35:18,760 --> 00:35:21,000
Speaker 1: a favor, and then they're carrying all the stuff that

667
00:35:21,040 --> 00:35:24,839
Speaker 1: we need, so it's a no brainer. Check them out.

668
00:35:24,880 --> 00:35:27,520
Speaker 1: If you can't get there in person, academy dot com

669
00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:30,120
Speaker 1: has what you need. And make sure if you've never

670
00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:33,160
Speaker 1: been to one before, you're in for a treat. I

671
00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:35,040
Speaker 1: wish I could walk into an academy for the first

672
00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:37,799
Speaker 1: time again. That'd be fun. Make sure you go in

673
00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:40,040
Speaker 1: there because whatever you think an academy is on the

674
00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:43,359
Speaker 1: inside is way grander than what you think it is.

675
00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:45,120
Speaker 1: They got stuff in there you would never think you

676
00:35:45,120 --> 00:35:47,399
Speaker 1: would walk in and within thirty seconds you say, WHOA

677
00:35:47,440 --> 00:35:52,560
Speaker 1: Academy's got that. Yep, Academy's got that. Possible new marketing slogan,

678
00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:56,080
Speaker 1: All right, Colin, throw me the Clemson tweet. Let me

679
00:35:56,120 --> 00:35:58,920
Speaker 1: reach all the way over here. Oh never mind, I

680
00:35:59,000 --> 00:36:01,120
Speaker 1: can't reach my water, and I'm not going to ask

681
00:36:01,160 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 1: Bradley to come in here. He should do it without

682
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:07,560
Speaker 1: me having to ask. Uh. I don't think most of

683
00:36:07,560 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 1: you were paying attention to ACC media days. That's okay,

684
00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:14,080
Speaker 1: you have lives to live, but we were and Oliver

685
00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:16,759
Speaker 1: in Raleigh, North Carolina asked me a question, and I

686
00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:18,759
Speaker 1: just decided, you know what, tonight, it's good as night

687
00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:22,560
Speaker 1: as any let's dive into this, he said. Dabo's legacy

688
00:36:22,600 --> 00:36:25,279
Speaker 1: is on the line this season, in my opinion, if

689
00:36:25,320 --> 00:36:28,399
Speaker 1: Clemson doesn't perform close to their peak from the mid

690
00:36:28,440 --> 00:36:32,120
Speaker 1: twenty teens this year, Dabo has to face facts that

691
00:36:32,200 --> 00:36:36,160
Speaker 1: he's being left in the past and his vision is outdated.

692
00:36:37,040 --> 00:36:41,160
Speaker 1: Let me be very clear about something. Nothing about Dabo

693
00:36:41,239 --> 00:36:45,800
Speaker 1: Swinney's legacy will ever be on the line for football

694
00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:49,800
Speaker 1: related reasons. The only thing that could tear apart Dabo

695
00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:54,520
Speaker 1: Swinny's legacy is some sort of scandal that happens off

696
00:36:54,640 --> 00:36:58,520
Speaker 1: the field that goes well above and beyond football, and

697
00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 1: it tarnishes he accomplished as a coach. And I know

698
00:37:02,400 --> 00:37:06,360
Speaker 1: nothing of anything of that nature surrounding him. So is

699
00:37:06,440 --> 00:37:09,719
Speaker 1: if we're talking about football, I couldn't care less if

700
00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:13,200
Speaker 1: the guy never wins double digits again. Let's just assume, Oliver,

701
00:37:13,719 --> 00:37:18,040
Speaker 1: that worst case happens, and worst case at Clemson is

702
00:37:18,800 --> 00:37:22,000
Speaker 1: they don't win the acc again under Dabo and he

703
00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:25,520
Speaker 1: refuses to use the portal and his competitors do use

704
00:37:25,600 --> 00:37:28,719
Speaker 1: the portal, and while they may not bat a thousand

705
00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:31,799
Speaker 1: in the portal, it does up their game and it

706
00:37:31,840 --> 00:37:34,920
Speaker 1: ties Clemson's hand behind their back when they play FSU

707
00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:39,320
Speaker 1: or Miami. And so let's just say, worst of worst cases,

708
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:42,520
Speaker 1: that Clemson regresses to just being a pretty good program.

709
00:37:43,760 --> 00:37:46,000
Speaker 1: Dabo Swinny's legacy is still he's one of the greatest

710
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:49,120
Speaker 1: of all time. What happened to his legacy? If this

711
00:37:49,239 --> 00:37:53,040
Speaker 1: was twenty fourteen, Debo hadn't accomplished all that he's accomplished,

712
00:37:53,600 --> 00:37:56,680
Speaker 1: and we were talking about the game maybe leaving him behind,

713
00:37:56,719 --> 00:38:00,399
Speaker 1: and by the way, that's an opinion that the jury

714
00:38:00,440 --> 00:38:02,359
Speaker 1: is still out on. But if we were talking about

715
00:38:02,360 --> 00:38:04,799
Speaker 1: all that and it was twenty fourteen and we hadn't

716
00:38:04,800 --> 00:38:08,560
Speaker 1: had like the Taj Boy to Deshaun Watson to Trevor Lawrence,

717
00:38:08,680 --> 00:38:11,560
Speaker 1: if we hadn't had all that happen, Yeah, okay, Well,

718
00:38:11,600 --> 00:38:15,279
Speaker 1: the legacy's not cemented. That's a national championship trophy he

719
00:38:15,480 --> 00:38:18,239
Speaker 1: just kissed, and he's got another one to kiss if

720
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:21,719
Speaker 1: he breaks up with that one. The legacy, what legacy?

721
00:38:21,880 --> 00:38:26,160
Speaker 1: You're talking about a dude who completely rebuilt a program

722
00:38:26,640 --> 00:38:30,680
Speaker 1: with no prior head coaching experience. Who else do you

723
00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:34,040
Speaker 1: say that about? Do you know how small the group

724
00:38:34,120 --> 00:38:36,920
Speaker 1: of people are that or the group of people is

725
00:38:36,920 --> 00:38:39,640
Speaker 1: that you can say that about Dabo Swiney never been

726
00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:42,520
Speaker 1: a head coached before gets elevated to head coach at Clemson.

727
00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:45,360
Speaker 1: And Clemson has been around for a long time. I

728
00:38:45,360 --> 00:38:48,160
Speaker 1: mean that Clemson was around before me mal was even born.

729
00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:50,560
Speaker 1: That's how long Clemson's been around. They played football there

730
00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:53,719
Speaker 1: for a long time, and he took it and he

731
00:38:53,800 --> 00:38:57,160
Speaker 1: totally reinvented it. He reinvented it at the point where

732
00:38:57,560 --> 00:38:59,759
Speaker 1: what Clemson had been previous to him or prior to

733
00:38:59,800 --> 00:39:03,200
Speaker 1: him didn't really matter in anyone anymore, aside from Clemson

734
00:39:03,239 --> 00:39:06,200
Speaker 1: fans didn't really matter. And the funny thing is in

735
00:39:06,239 --> 00:39:09,239
Speaker 1: the interim they made fun of him because there were

736
00:39:09,280 --> 00:39:13,120
Speaker 1: a few big games where Clemson famously face planted. They

737
00:39:13,160 --> 00:39:16,560
Speaker 1: called it clemsoning. So not only did he reinvent Clemson

738
00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:19,319
Speaker 1: just for good measure, just to drop the elbow on

739
00:39:19,400 --> 00:39:23,080
Speaker 1: everyone in the public, he redefined what clemsoning was as well.

740
00:39:23,680 --> 00:39:27,200
Speaker 1: Clemsoning is beating Bama when you get another shot at

741
00:39:27,239 --> 00:39:30,000
Speaker 1: him in twenty sixteen, and it's running him out of

742
00:39:30,040 --> 00:39:31,680
Speaker 1: the building. A couple of years after that, when you

743
00:39:31,719 --> 00:39:35,200
Speaker 1: get yet another shot against them in a national championship setting.

744
00:39:35,640 --> 00:39:38,480
Speaker 1: Clemson was one of the premier programs in college football.

745
00:39:38,560 --> 00:39:41,319
Speaker 1: They hadn't taken ten steps back. They may have taken

746
00:39:41,360 --> 00:39:47,080
Speaker 1: one or two steps back. But okay, so I think

747
00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:49,759
Speaker 1: we beat that Pinata pretty thoroughly. But let's just talk

748
00:39:49,800 --> 00:39:52,000
Speaker 1: about this thing. Because he was at ACC media Days

749
00:39:52,040 --> 00:39:54,480
Speaker 1: last week, was Daboswinny, and he talked again about the

750
00:39:54,520 --> 00:40:00,319
Speaker 1: transfer portal, and he offered his philosophy yet again. And

751
00:40:00,360 --> 00:40:03,759
Speaker 1: I've been as clear as I can possibly be on this.

752
00:40:03,920 --> 00:40:06,719
Speaker 1: But it does sound confusing. Will I will grant you

753
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:09,160
Speaker 1: that it sounds a little weird when I talk about this,

754
00:40:09,360 --> 00:40:11,279
Speaker 1: because it does sound like I'm talking out of both

755
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:15,360
Speaker 1: sides of my mouth. I kind of am. It's just

756
00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:19,360
Speaker 1: the difference in my personal opinion, but also setting my

757
00:40:19,440 --> 00:40:23,520
Speaker 1: opinion aside and respecting someone who is going about things

758
00:40:23,560 --> 00:40:25,919
Speaker 1: in a maybe different way than I'd love to see

759
00:40:25,920 --> 00:40:28,520
Speaker 1: them go about it. That's where I am on Dabbo.

760
00:40:28,600 --> 00:40:31,800
Speaker 1: I'd love to see him take more chances in the portal.

761
00:40:32,360 --> 00:40:35,399
Speaker 1: I'd love to see Clemson go out there and get

762
00:40:35,440 --> 00:40:38,799
Speaker 1: their own Keon Coleman, I'd love to see that, but

763
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:41,759
Speaker 1: I know why they don't do it, and why they

764
00:40:41,760 --> 00:40:44,000
Speaker 1: don't do it makes perfect sense to me. It's not

765
00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:46,480
Speaker 1: just the what Dabo's doing, or in this case, it's

766
00:40:46,480 --> 00:40:49,520
Speaker 1: not just the what Dabo's not doing, it's why he's

767
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:54,080
Speaker 1: not doing it. If his biggest crime against college football

768
00:40:54,680 --> 00:40:58,280
Speaker 1: is he has defined values and principles of his own

769
00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:01,040
Speaker 1: and he's going to adhere to them. Hi, not just

770
00:41:01,080 --> 00:41:04,080
Speaker 1: when he's winning titles, but when they may be, you know,

771
00:41:04,280 --> 00:41:07,080
Speaker 1: stepping back to only winning nine or ten games, then

772
00:41:07,760 --> 00:41:09,719
Speaker 1: that's not a crime that needs to be punished to

773
00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:12,359
Speaker 1: a great deal. To me, it doesn't matter if I

774
00:41:12,440 --> 00:41:14,680
Speaker 1: love it or not. I don't run the program. He's

775
00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:18,279
Speaker 1: not accountable to me. I'm not his athletic director. I'm

776
00:41:18,280 --> 00:41:21,560
Speaker 1: not even one of his season ticket holders. You cannot

777
00:41:21,640 --> 00:41:25,880
Speaker 1: have on one hand the values and principles that make

778
00:41:25,960 --> 00:41:28,480
Speaker 1: up Clemson football under Dabos when he yield all the

779
00:41:28,520 --> 00:41:31,759
Speaker 1: results that it yielded to you the previous decade, but

780
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:34,680
Speaker 1: then encourage him to throw all that out the window

781
00:41:35,040 --> 00:41:37,279
Speaker 1: because you're not in the moment getting the results you

782
00:41:37,320 --> 00:41:40,680
Speaker 1: want in the next decade and you're certainly not ever

783
00:41:40,719 --> 00:41:43,200
Speaker 1: going to be a serious person on this show. That

784
00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:47,200
Speaker 1: suggests his legacies online, his legacies not on the line,

785
00:41:47,360 --> 00:41:49,680
Speaker 1: his legacy he can going twelve this year and his

786
00:41:49,800 --> 00:41:52,840
Speaker 1: legacies cemented, at least in my mind. Maybe you disagree

787
00:41:52,880 --> 00:41:55,760
Speaker 1: with me on that, Oliver, and I appreciate the question.

788
00:41:55,880 --> 00:41:58,120
Speaker 1: It's I like I'm yelling at you. I appreciate the question.

789
00:41:58,600 --> 00:42:00,640
Speaker 1: I just get a little worked up about it. I

790
00:42:00,680 --> 00:42:03,200
Speaker 1: get worked up about it because you know, there are

791
00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:07,520
Speaker 1: these words that get thrown around legacy. It's just like culture,

792
00:42:08,040 --> 00:42:09,759
Speaker 1: and I think some people don't have the slightest clue

793
00:42:09,800 --> 00:42:12,360
Speaker 1: what they mean, because if you did, you'd speak about

794
00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:15,080
Speaker 1: those things with a lot more gravity in your words

795
00:42:15,120 --> 00:42:18,880
Speaker 1: than there are. You don't What do you think it

796
00:42:18,960 --> 00:42:21,719
Speaker 1: takes to build a legacy, because I think it takes

797
00:42:21,760 --> 00:42:24,400
Speaker 1: a lot, a lot. You don't build a legacy in

798
00:42:24,400 --> 00:42:28,640
Speaker 1: one or two years, neither did Dabbo, and so you

799
00:42:28,680 --> 00:42:30,959
Speaker 1: don't tear one down in one or two years either.

800
00:42:31,400 --> 00:42:36,280
Speaker 1: And once it's been cemented, it's been cemented. Bobby Bowden,

801
00:42:36,680 --> 00:42:40,840
Speaker 1: Bobby Bowden had a legacy, and then Bobby Bowden's results

802
00:42:40,880 --> 00:42:44,839
Speaker 1: waned in the closing years of his career. Well, how

803
00:42:44,880 --> 00:42:48,919
Speaker 1: do we talk about Bobby Boden's legacy today? And that's

804
00:42:49,080 --> 00:42:52,439
Speaker 1: way worse than what Clemson was. Like, FSU fell off

805
00:42:52,480 --> 00:42:55,640
Speaker 1: pretty precipitously there near the end under Bobby Boden. Does

806
00:42:55,680 --> 00:42:59,120
Speaker 1: anyone talk about when people talk about Bobby Bowden, does

807
00:42:59,160 --> 00:43:02,600
Speaker 1: anyone say, well, well, yeah, boy, those nineties FSU teams

808
00:43:02,600 --> 00:43:08,000
Speaker 1: were good, but you know what ruins it for me? Four, five, six,

809
00:43:08,120 --> 00:43:11,040
Speaker 1: No one talks about that. You don't even remember it, boy,

810
00:43:11,120 --> 00:43:16,640
Speaker 1: Michael Jordan, if it were just not for those Wizards years.

811
00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:19,440
Speaker 1: I think he was a really, really good player, But

812
00:43:19,880 --> 00:43:22,479
Speaker 1: I've seen in that Washington Jersey that that just really

813
00:43:22,520 --> 00:43:25,440
Speaker 1: tainted it for me. You don't care. You don't care,

814
00:43:25,480 --> 00:43:28,400
Speaker 1: because that's not how legacy actually works. So no, Dabo's

815
00:43:28,480 --> 00:43:31,440
Speaker 1: legacy is not on the line. I'll tell you what's

816
00:43:31,480 --> 00:43:35,080
Speaker 1: on the line. Clemson's odds and Clemson's chances of winning

817
00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:37,399
Speaker 1: the ACC in twenty twenty four. That's what's on the line,

818
00:43:37,440 --> 00:43:39,440
Speaker 1: and that's all that's on the line. They're watching us

819
00:43:39,440 --> 00:43:45,440
Speaker 1: in Stockton, California, Charlotte, North Carolina, Domino, Texas, possibly Domino,

820
00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:49,560
Speaker 1: probably Domino, and pel City, Alabama, I've had the most

821
00:43:49,640 --> 00:43:55,920
Speaker 1: horrific luck in pronouncing city names. Recently, I've been on

822
00:43:55,960 --> 00:43:59,880
Speaker 1: a really, really cold streak in pronouncing city names. So

823
00:44:00,760 --> 00:44:02,719
Speaker 1: I'm just gonna pronounce them every way I know how to.

824
00:44:03,160 --> 00:44:06,480
Speaker 1: If you're watching live, thank you guys so much they're here.

825
00:44:06,680 --> 00:44:08,799
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say Hi. I'm gonna say it twice in

826
00:44:08,840 --> 00:44:15,319
Speaker 1: the live chat. I contemplated. I still am contemplating just

827
00:44:15,400 --> 00:44:17,759
Speaker 1: doing something with the live chat where we go live

828
00:44:17,840 --> 00:44:20,920
Speaker 1: one day and I just look at it and I

829
00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:23,600
Speaker 1: just react. It could be a disaster. It could be

830
00:44:23,600 --> 00:44:26,440
Speaker 1: the greatest show we do. I'm not quite sure when

831
00:44:26,480 --> 00:44:30,440
Speaker 1: we would do it, but we may do that. Not tonight,

832
00:44:30,600 --> 00:44:34,239
Speaker 1: but we may do that. So live chatters, your your

833
00:44:34,280 --> 00:44:37,120
Speaker 1: time could be close at ham. Let's talk about some

834
00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:42,520
Speaker 1: what ifs. I hate salmon, Like, what would you say, Jesse?

835
00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:45,200
Speaker 1: Twenty minutes before the show, and I got what we

836
00:44:45,239 --> 00:44:48,600
Speaker 1: would call the salmon hiccups right now, and it's really tough.

837
00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:51,840
Speaker 1: I'm fighting through it. I'm fighting through it. It's my

838
00:44:51,960 --> 00:44:55,000
Speaker 1: own upstream battle. If you will, biggest to what IFFs

839
00:44:55,040 --> 00:44:57,920
Speaker 1: in college football this year? Hey, big question for you.

840
00:44:58,040 --> 00:45:00,000
Speaker 1: Let me put the pen down because I'm not writing anything.

841
00:45:00,520 --> 00:45:04,520
Speaker 1: What if the state of Texas ends up dominating college

842
00:45:04,520 --> 00:45:07,799
Speaker 1: football this year? Big gasp, Yes, I know, so this

843
00:45:07,840 --> 00:45:11,759
Speaker 1: would obviously include Texas being really good, But this would

844
00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:15,000
Speaker 1: also include Texas A and M being really good. People

845
00:45:15,040 --> 00:45:17,560
Speaker 1: don't have trouble buying that Texas would be good. You

846
00:45:17,600 --> 00:45:20,239
Speaker 1: know the JP pole I can now confirm for you.

847
00:45:20,280 --> 00:45:22,719
Speaker 1: As of twenty minutes ago has Texas A and M

848
00:45:22,800 --> 00:45:27,200
Speaker 1: rated thirteen to start the season. A and M's not

849
00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:29,560
Speaker 1: to be slept on this year. Still a lot of

850
00:45:29,560 --> 00:45:32,759
Speaker 1: good players out there. Connor Wigman as a quarterback if

851
00:45:32,760 --> 00:45:36,799
Speaker 1: he's healthy with Mike Elko, who whatever you're capable of,

852
00:45:36,880 --> 00:45:40,000
Speaker 1: will squeeze every ounce of potential out of you. What

853
00:45:40,040 --> 00:45:42,839
Speaker 1: if they're both good? What if out of all this

854
00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:45,680
Speaker 1: talk about a rematch in a conference title game, it

855
00:45:45,800 --> 00:45:48,120
Speaker 1: ends up being Texas and Texas A and M that

856
00:45:48,160 --> 00:45:52,200
Speaker 1: play in Atlanta six days after they originally play. Crazier

857
00:45:52,239 --> 00:45:54,759
Speaker 1: things have happened. That would be crazy. The crazier things

858
00:45:54,800 --> 00:45:58,839
Speaker 1: have happened. But that's not all it takes to dominate TCU, Texas, Tech,

859
00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:03,320
Speaker 1: Baylor them emerge in the Big Twelve. The rule in

860
00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:07,759
Speaker 1: the Big Twelve is nothing is impossible. SMU is in

861
00:46:07,800 --> 00:46:10,880
Speaker 1: the ACC. You know SMU. I didn't tell you this.

862
00:46:11,520 --> 00:46:14,160
Speaker 1: You didn't hear this from me. SMU is a top

863
00:46:14,239 --> 00:46:19,200
Speaker 1: thirty team in the jpeople And unlike the SEC, the

864
00:46:19,239 --> 00:46:23,320
Speaker 1: ACC is not a conference chock full of top fifteen teams.

865
00:46:24,160 --> 00:46:27,800
Speaker 1: So you get some bounces to go your way. In Dallas,

866
00:46:27,800 --> 00:46:30,080
Speaker 1: they're the over under win totals eight and a half.

867
00:46:30,760 --> 00:46:34,279
Speaker 1: What if they pull off some magic. Utsa's got the

868
00:46:34,280 --> 00:46:37,600
Speaker 1: third best odds to win the American Texas State has

869
00:46:37,680 --> 00:46:40,080
Speaker 1: the second best odds to win the Sun Belt. But

870
00:46:40,120 --> 00:46:42,319
Speaker 1: that's not what I'm asking. I'm not asking what if

871
00:46:42,360 --> 00:46:45,800
Speaker 1: one of those things happen. I'm talking about full lottery.

872
00:46:46,040 --> 00:46:49,320
Speaker 1: I'm talking about full slot machine. Pull the lever, triple sevens,

873
00:46:49,360 --> 00:46:52,160
Speaker 1: pop up Texas and Texas A and M play at

874
00:46:52,160 --> 00:46:55,359
Speaker 1: a top ten level this year, one of TCU, Texas Tech,

875
00:46:55,440 --> 00:46:57,840
Speaker 1: or Baylor go dark horse mode and win the Big twelve.

876
00:46:58,280 --> 00:47:01,919
Speaker 1: SMU is in the ACC Championship game, Texas State wins

877
00:47:01,920 --> 00:47:06,680
Speaker 1: the Sun Belt, UTSA wins the American, Well, the state

878
00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:09,480
Speaker 1: of Texas would be as insufferable as it's ever been

879
00:47:10,000 --> 00:47:14,439
Speaker 1: in a long, long and storied history of insufferability. That's

880
00:47:14,440 --> 00:47:16,719
Speaker 1: the answer to the what if I'd be here for it,

881
00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:19,120
Speaker 1: because we do great in Texas. But as for the

882
00:47:19,200 --> 00:47:22,400
Speaker 1: rest of you, it would be a long December, a

883
00:47:22,480 --> 00:47:25,440
Speaker 1: longer December than the Counting Crows ever thought about singing.

884
00:47:25,920 --> 00:47:30,120
Speaker 1: Next up? What if Oregon wins the Big Ten? It

885
00:47:30,160 --> 00:47:32,880
Speaker 1: would be a big shot to the pride bone of

886
00:47:32,960 --> 00:47:35,840
Speaker 1: the Big Ten, not in a good way. Now, Oregon

887
00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:37,600
Speaker 1: to be on top of the world. Oregon could go

888
00:47:37,640 --> 00:47:39,480
Speaker 1: on to do great things. Maybe they win the National

889
00:47:39,560 --> 00:47:45,400
Speaker 1: Championship hoops amongst us knows. But for a conference that

890
00:47:45,520 --> 00:47:48,080
Speaker 1: prides itself as being one of the best in America,

891
00:47:48,280 --> 00:47:50,360
Speaker 1: Matt Rule says, it is the best in America. For

892
00:47:50,400 --> 00:47:53,359
Speaker 1: a conference that prides itself on being one of, if

893
00:47:53,400 --> 00:47:57,080
Speaker 1: not the best in America. You can't just be letting

894
00:47:57,160 --> 00:47:59,879
Speaker 1: Oregon come in and pants you can you, But maybe

895
00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:04,080
Speaker 1: they will. Now some good would come of this. Sometimes

896
00:48:04,560 --> 00:48:06,879
Speaker 1: it takes being exposed, and if that's what we want

897
00:48:06,880 --> 00:48:08,680
Speaker 1: to call that, that's fine. Oregon's a really good team.

898
00:48:08,680 --> 00:48:11,040
Speaker 1: There's no shame in losing to them. But if they

899
00:48:11,080 --> 00:48:14,319
Speaker 1: come in and day one they just walk right to

900
00:48:14,360 --> 00:48:17,600
Speaker 1: the head table, boy, it makes it look bad. The

901
00:48:17,640 --> 00:48:20,520
Speaker 1: optics are the Big ten was just ripe for the plucking,

902
00:48:21,120 --> 00:48:23,560
Speaker 1: and some team that was in the PAC twelve five

903
00:48:23,600 --> 00:48:26,080
Speaker 1: minutes ago came in and did it. How strong really

904
00:48:26,160 --> 00:48:29,280
Speaker 1: were we? That's how they talk about it, whether that's reality,

905
00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:31,719
Speaker 1: whether that's logical or not, that's how they talk about it.

906
00:48:32,080 --> 00:48:36,440
Speaker 1: But it would it would be good in some ways

907
00:48:37,040 --> 00:48:41,040
Speaker 1: because that embarrassment would lead to a collective galvanization and

908
00:48:41,120 --> 00:48:44,040
Speaker 1: it would lead to people collectively saying, well, we got

909
00:48:44,040 --> 00:48:46,279
Speaker 1: to up our game. And when a conference gets it

910
00:48:46,320 --> 00:48:48,439
Speaker 1: in its mind that it has to up its game,

911
00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:53,080
Speaker 1: not the worst thing in the world. Lastly, this is

912
00:48:53,120 --> 00:48:57,080
Speaker 1: scary stuff for my friends down in Louisiana. What if

913
00:48:57,200 --> 00:49:01,680
Speaker 1: LSU regresses again. They went nine and three last year. Yeah,

914
00:49:01,760 --> 00:49:03,880
Speaker 1: you remember how bad the defense was. They would have

915
00:49:03,880 --> 00:49:05,759
Speaker 1: been a playoff team if we had a twelve team

916
00:49:05,800 --> 00:49:09,000
Speaker 1: format last year. So it wasn't horrible. It wasn't horrific

917
00:49:09,080 --> 00:49:11,160
Speaker 1: or anything like that. And they ended up ten and

918
00:49:11,160 --> 00:49:13,200
Speaker 1: three with the Bowl win. So they ended up a

919
00:49:13,200 --> 00:49:16,640
Speaker 1: double digit win team with the Heisman Trophy winner. Trust me,

920
00:49:16,680 --> 00:49:18,640
Speaker 1: it can get a lot worse than that. So what

921
00:49:18,680 --> 00:49:21,719
Speaker 1: if they slide further back? What if instead of a

922
00:49:21,760 --> 00:49:25,120
Speaker 1: springboard bounce back year, they slide further back. They're over

923
00:49:25,280 --> 00:49:28,080
Speaker 1: under win totals nine and a half. It's heavily juiced

924
00:49:28,080 --> 00:49:31,080
Speaker 1: to the under. So what if they go eight and four?

925
00:49:31,200 --> 00:49:33,799
Speaker 1: Is first off, is that really regressing? Now? This is

926
00:49:33,880 --> 00:49:36,560
Speaker 1: really where you'd have some detachment of logic from emotion

927
00:49:37,480 --> 00:49:41,520
Speaker 1: because to me, I look at LSU and that's one

928
00:49:41,520 --> 00:49:45,480
Speaker 1: of the most volatile teams in America this year because

929
00:49:45,520 --> 00:49:47,920
Speaker 1: there are really good players there they could compete for

930
00:49:47,920 --> 00:49:50,560
Speaker 1: a title with, and there are really big holes potentially

931
00:49:50,600 --> 00:49:52,279
Speaker 1: in question marks on that roster they could go seven

932
00:49:52,320 --> 00:49:55,200
Speaker 1: and five with. That's a really volatile team. If they

933
00:49:55,239 --> 00:49:57,759
Speaker 1: go eight and four, that's not a disaster. It's not

934
00:49:57,920 --> 00:50:01,640
Speaker 1: up to standard. It's believable they could go eight and four, though,

935
00:50:02,040 --> 00:50:04,080
Speaker 1: And it's believable that I could look at them go

936
00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:06,080
Speaker 1: eight and four. I could easily envision a world where

937
00:50:06,120 --> 00:50:09,319
Speaker 1: I say, all right, yeah, it wasn't good enough. But

938
00:50:10,360 --> 00:50:12,560
Speaker 1: we should have known when they whiffed in the portal

939
00:50:12,719 --> 00:50:14,799
Speaker 1: that they wouldn't have the defensive front depth to make

940
00:50:14,840 --> 00:50:16,719
Speaker 1: it through an entire season. We should have known that

941
00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:19,680
Speaker 1: there were gonna be several hiccups along the way. But

942
00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:23,279
Speaker 1: they made the right hires now this time next year,

943
00:50:23,400 --> 00:50:27,040
Speaker 1: year two under this defensive staff, and maybe they made

944
00:50:27,040 --> 00:50:30,319
Speaker 1: better portal moves. They're recruiting great. Right now. I would

945
00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:33,160
Speaker 1: feel like, all right, everything's fine here, but everything wouldn't

946
00:50:33,200 --> 00:50:36,880
Speaker 1: be fine. That's logic, So we're talking about emotion, not logic.

947
00:50:36,960 --> 00:50:40,919
Speaker 1: The emotional reaction would be burn it down, eight and four?

948
00:50:41,000 --> 00:50:43,040
Speaker 1: What are we doing right now? Burn it down? Let's

949
00:50:43,200 --> 00:50:47,840
Speaker 1: start over, And then that's the fringed like five percent,

950
00:50:48,040 --> 00:50:51,520
Speaker 1: But then there would be another solid, fairly reasonable chunk

951
00:50:51,520 --> 00:50:54,000
Speaker 1: of twenty percent of thirty percent of LSU fans who

952
00:50:54,040 --> 00:50:58,719
Speaker 1: would also think hot seat talk. Brian Kelly's got to

953
00:50:58,760 --> 00:51:01,239
Speaker 1: either shape up or ship if people still say that.

954
00:51:01,800 --> 00:51:03,479
Speaker 1: And I don't think it would be time to talk

955
00:51:03,560 --> 00:51:06,000
Speaker 1: like that at all, And it would be depending on

956
00:51:06,040 --> 00:51:08,480
Speaker 1: who the losses were to and are they close losses?

957
00:51:08,600 --> 00:51:13,080
Speaker 1: Are they blowouts? Yes? I get all that, but is

958
00:51:13,120 --> 00:51:16,279
Speaker 1: eight and four really regression? Yes? It is backwards, but

959
00:51:16,360 --> 00:51:21,160
Speaker 1: is it really viewed as regression? I don't know. Recruiting

960
00:51:21,239 --> 00:51:23,719
Speaker 1: is important, as you know, because LSU is doing a

961
00:51:23,719 --> 00:51:25,319
Speaker 1: great job of it. Right now, I'm about to talk

962
00:51:25,320 --> 00:51:28,880
Speaker 1: about it with another team that allegedly I've never talked

963
00:51:28,880 --> 00:51:33,000
Speaker 1: about before in recruiting. I disagree, but that's the allegation.

964
00:51:33,719 --> 00:51:36,680
Speaker 1: You guys are doing some of the best recruiting in

965
00:51:36,760 --> 00:51:39,200
Speaker 1: the world, and I have it on my index finger

966
00:51:39,280 --> 00:51:41,960
Speaker 1: right now via post it note to thank you. So

967
00:51:42,120 --> 00:51:46,360
Speaker 1: I have been asking you to like the videos the

968
00:51:46,360 --> 00:51:49,520
Speaker 1: way you've always done. Make sure you're subscribed. Make sure,

969
00:51:49,560 --> 00:51:51,480
Speaker 1: even if you've been listening or watching the show for

970
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:54,200
Speaker 1: two years, check and make sure you're subscribed, because a

971
00:51:54,200 --> 00:51:55,880
Speaker 1: lot of you think you are and you aren't. But

972
00:51:55,920 --> 00:51:57,960
Speaker 1: then the third thing is I've just humbly asked you

973
00:51:59,000 --> 00:52:00,879
Speaker 1: make sure five of your friend do the same thing.

974
00:52:01,239 --> 00:52:02,920
Speaker 1: I know you go to work, some of you are

975
00:52:02,920 --> 00:52:05,239
Speaker 1: in school still, I know some of you go to

976
00:52:05,280 --> 00:52:07,400
Speaker 1: the gym. You're all talking to your buddies about the

977
00:52:07,440 --> 00:52:09,440
Speaker 1: same thing. We're not all that dissimilar. We all love

978
00:52:09,480 --> 00:52:11,680
Speaker 1: college football. That's why we're here. A lot of the

979
00:52:11,680 --> 00:52:14,680
Speaker 1: folks you hang out with love college football. A lot

980
00:52:14,760 --> 00:52:18,200
Speaker 1: of them don't know where to go to get the

981
00:52:18,239 --> 00:52:20,719
Speaker 1: kind of college football talk that we all love. That's

982
00:52:20,719 --> 00:52:22,719
Speaker 1: why we built this show the way we did and

983
00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:25,120
Speaker 1: the way we grow it is to make sure we

984
00:52:25,160 --> 00:52:28,680
Speaker 1: recruit in big numbers over here. So all you gots

985
00:52:28,719 --> 00:52:31,560
Speaker 1: to do is continue doing what you've been doing. That's

986
00:52:31,560 --> 00:52:34,000
Speaker 1: where I wanted to thank you, because our numbers have spiked,

987
00:52:34,360 --> 00:52:36,960
Speaker 1: so I know you guys are doing it. Just keep

988
00:52:36,960 --> 00:52:39,239
Speaker 1: doing it. Thank you, and keep doing it. That's all

989
00:52:39,280 --> 00:52:41,240
Speaker 1: I wanted to say to you on that front. Now.

990
00:52:41,640 --> 00:52:46,000
Speaker 1: As for recruiting on a much more real level as

991
00:52:46,040 --> 00:52:50,120
Speaker 1: it relates to this sport, Tennessee's on fire right now,

992
00:52:50,200 --> 00:52:52,880
Speaker 1: and I would suggest you pay attention to Tennessee because

993
00:52:52,880 --> 00:52:55,320
Speaker 1: more commits are coming. They have the number five class

994
00:52:55,480 --> 00:52:58,680
Speaker 1: in the country right now. And I know that you

995
00:52:58,760 --> 00:53:01,399
Speaker 1: pay a lot of attention to Io State, you pay

996
00:53:01,400 --> 00:53:04,360
Speaker 1: a lot of attention to Alabama, you pay a lot

997
00:53:04,360 --> 00:53:07,160
Speaker 1: of attention to Georgia, you pay a lot of attention

998
00:53:07,200 --> 00:53:10,320
Speaker 1: to Texas. You need to be paying attention to Tennessee.

999
00:53:10,560 --> 00:53:13,120
Speaker 1: Tennessee is not viewed as an elite recruiting outfit right now.

1000
00:53:13,120 --> 00:53:15,480
Speaker 1: Tennessee's not viewed as an elite program because they're not.

1001
00:53:15,520 --> 00:53:17,359
Speaker 1: They're neither of those things. They have not been. They

1002
00:53:17,360 --> 00:53:19,680
Speaker 1: haven't been an elite program for a long time. They

1003
00:53:19,719 --> 00:53:22,080
Speaker 1: haven't been an elite recruiter for a long time. They

1004
00:53:22,160 --> 00:53:26,240
Speaker 1: can be both nothing in the past twenty five years

1005
00:53:26,520 --> 00:53:29,880
Speaker 1: has changed in this sport fundamentally that would ever prevent

1006
00:53:30,040 --> 00:53:33,560
Speaker 1: Tennessee from being what they once were. The only thing

1007
00:53:33,560 --> 00:53:36,920
Speaker 1: that has stood in Tennessee's way is Tennessee. Tennessee may

1008
00:53:36,960 --> 00:53:40,000
Speaker 1: be getting out of Tennessee's way even further, Tennessee may

1009
00:53:40,040 --> 00:53:43,239
Speaker 1: be figuring out how to put the collective power of

1010
00:53:44,239 --> 00:53:48,880
Speaker 1: Vall Nation, if you will, into the sales of the program.

1011
00:53:49,520 --> 00:53:52,640
Speaker 1: So the last three weeks, what have they done. Well?

1012
00:53:52,640 --> 00:53:55,439
Speaker 1: They've grabbed three top one hundred and fifty kids. More

1013
00:53:55,520 --> 00:53:58,720
Speaker 1: are coming. I don't want to get specific. It's irrelevant.

1014
00:53:58,760 --> 00:54:01,040
Speaker 1: Tennessee fans know who I'm talking about, and if you're

1015
00:54:01,040 --> 00:54:03,719
Speaker 1: a rutgerss fan you don't care. But they have more

1016
00:54:03,760 --> 00:54:06,200
Speaker 1: commits coming. George McIntyre's a kid you're looking at b

1017
00:54:06,320 --> 00:54:09,040
Speaker 1: roll Love right now. Plays just down the road actually

1018
00:54:09,040 --> 00:54:12,480
Speaker 1: at Brentwood Academy. He is a quarterback committed for that

1019
00:54:12,520 --> 00:54:15,080
Speaker 1: class six five one ninety. He's been a really good

1020
00:54:15,120 --> 00:54:18,000
Speaker 1: recruiter for that class. All these all the hallmarks of

1021
00:54:18,040 --> 00:54:20,680
Speaker 1: the best classes. You hear the same thing, the kids

1022
00:54:20,760 --> 00:54:23,080
Speaker 1: end up being the best recruiters. You got to have

1023
00:54:23,160 --> 00:54:25,680
Speaker 1: some some alpha types to take the lead and recruit

1024
00:54:25,719 --> 00:54:28,359
Speaker 1: for you. All the best classes have it. Tennessee's got

1025
00:54:28,400 --> 00:54:32,320
Speaker 1: that here. Some things you need to know. And I've

1026
00:54:32,360 --> 00:54:35,080
Speaker 1: got a pretty good view of this and have talked

1027
00:54:35,080 --> 00:54:37,000
Speaker 1: to some folks over at Tennessee and have talked to

1028
00:54:37,000 --> 00:54:39,720
Speaker 1: some folks that have recruited against Tennessee. I was talking

1029
00:54:39,719 --> 00:54:42,080
Speaker 1: to someone the other night that's been already in a

1030
00:54:42,120 --> 00:54:45,279
Speaker 1: couple of heads up battles against Tennessee. So this is

1031
00:54:45,320 --> 00:54:48,760
Speaker 1: feedback from inside the organization there, and this is feedback

1032
00:54:48,760 --> 00:54:53,799
Speaker 1: from other organizations. First thing, Josh Heipel is very cerebral

1033
00:54:54,120 --> 00:54:57,359
Speaker 1: about how they recruit. It's not checkers, man, it's more

1034
00:54:57,440 --> 00:55:01,160
Speaker 1: chess to that guy. And he's very very intentional about

1035
00:55:01,160 --> 00:55:05,000
Speaker 1: what they do. They're very intentional, and they're excellent at

1036
00:55:05,000 --> 00:55:08,719
Speaker 1: how early they identify kids and how ahead of the

1037
00:55:08,760 --> 00:55:11,719
Speaker 1: curve they are in evals. They're really good at that,

1038
00:55:12,200 --> 00:55:14,200
Speaker 1: and that just means that they get a head start

1039
00:55:14,520 --> 00:55:16,440
Speaker 1: on some other programs with kids. They're gonna end up

1040
00:55:16,440 --> 00:55:20,520
Speaker 1: competing with number two. The NIL structure's top notch there.

1041
00:55:21,120 --> 00:55:24,000
Speaker 1: If you don't know any better, you think that just

1042
00:55:24,080 --> 00:55:25,840
Speaker 1: means they have a lot of money they can throw around.

1043
00:55:25,920 --> 00:55:27,719
Speaker 1: They do have a lot of money they can throw around.

1044
00:55:27,800 --> 00:55:30,520
Speaker 1: That is not NIL recruiting anymore. It was for about

1045
00:55:30,560 --> 00:55:33,680
Speaker 1: five minutes. For about five minutes, nil was who can

1046
00:55:33,719 --> 00:55:37,480
Speaker 1: offer the most money. It was just very surface based. Okay,

1047
00:55:37,760 --> 00:55:41,760
Speaker 1: real recruiting in the NIL era is several layers deep.

1048
00:55:42,320 --> 00:55:45,120
Speaker 1: It is not just I can get you this much

1049
00:55:45,160 --> 00:55:49,800
Speaker 1: money over this many years. There is an entire plan

1050
00:55:50,000 --> 00:55:52,200
Speaker 1: that has to be laid out. And secondly, if you're

1051
00:55:52,280 --> 00:55:56,839
Speaker 1: recruiting top end players, they're getting money from anywhere they go.

1052
00:55:57,280 --> 00:56:00,920
Speaker 1: So the money, ironically, is not what pushes most of

1053
00:56:00,960 --> 00:56:04,320
Speaker 1: these recruitments over the finish line. It's the plan. Okay,

1054
00:56:04,400 --> 00:56:08,719
Speaker 1: Texas is brilliant at this, Oregon's brilliant at this. There

1055
00:56:08,719 --> 00:56:11,720
Speaker 1: are a couple other programs that are recruiting halfway decently

1056
00:56:11,800 --> 00:56:13,319
Speaker 1: right now that I think have a ways to go

1057
00:56:13,440 --> 00:56:18,160
Speaker 1: in that. Tennessee though, is one of the sneakiest well

1058
00:56:18,200 --> 00:56:21,920
Speaker 1: put together inil operations in college football right now. Not

1059
00:56:22,200 --> 00:56:25,320
Speaker 1: just because they've got money they can spend. It's because

1060
00:56:25,360 --> 00:56:29,200
Speaker 1: they understand not just the A part, but the BCDEFG

1061
00:56:29,400 --> 00:56:34,520
Speaker 1: part as well. And thirdly, there is excellent synergy up there.

1062
00:56:34,680 --> 00:56:38,879
Speaker 1: It's always been just a firecracker waiting to be lit.

1063
00:56:38,920 --> 00:56:40,960
Speaker 1: It's been that way for years and years and years.

1064
00:56:41,160 --> 00:56:44,680
Speaker 1: You got a small taste of that in twenty twenty two,

1065
00:56:45,000 --> 00:56:46,680
Speaker 1: and I think it's stunned a lot of the country

1066
00:56:47,040 --> 00:56:49,799
Speaker 1: when you watch them upset Alabama and you watch that

1067
00:56:50,040 --> 00:56:55,080
Speaker 1: entire grand spectacle that was the Tennessee fan base. And

1068
00:56:55,160 --> 00:56:57,640
Speaker 1: I was on the show the next night, I remember,

1069
00:56:57,680 --> 00:56:59,680
Speaker 1: because we had been at the game. We were on

1070
00:56:59,719 --> 00:57:02,719
Speaker 1: the feat for that, and then the next night I

1071
00:57:02,760 --> 00:57:05,640
Speaker 1: remember doing a show and I remember saying, yeah, you

1072
00:57:05,719 --> 00:57:08,480
Speaker 1: saw that great crowd last night, and you saw that

1073
00:57:08,560 --> 00:57:11,520
Speaker 1: passion and that enthusiasm. But anybody can get worked up

1074
00:57:11,719 --> 00:57:17,680
Speaker 1: when they're beating Alabama. Those people had never left Tennessee folks,

1075
00:57:18,160 --> 00:57:21,920
Speaker 1: over years and years and years and many different coaching

1076
00:57:21,960 --> 00:57:25,840
Speaker 1: staffs of underachievement, they still showed up. That's why I've

1077
00:57:25,880 --> 00:57:28,640
Speaker 1: looked at them. I remember in twenty nineteen when LSU

1078
00:57:29,120 --> 00:57:31,720
Speaker 1: made their run, and we were talking amongst ourselves in

1079
00:57:31,760 --> 00:57:33,800
Speaker 1: the office one day and we were asking, who's the

1080
00:57:33,840 --> 00:57:37,320
Speaker 1: next LSU, what's the next fan base. It's just a

1081
00:57:37,360 --> 00:57:40,040
Speaker 1: sleeping giant. LSU hadn't been asleep nearly as long as

1082
00:57:40,040 --> 00:57:43,600
Speaker 1: Tennessee has, but it's a sleeping giant program and they're

1083
00:57:43,640 --> 00:57:46,640
Speaker 1: just waiting to explode. It's Tennessee. It's always been Tennessee.

1084
00:57:46,640 --> 00:57:49,480
Speaker 1: It's A and M, it's Tennessee, Arizona State kind of,

1085
00:57:49,760 --> 00:57:54,240
Speaker 1: but it's Tennessee. Everything's there, everything's there, And unlike this

1086
00:57:54,320 --> 00:57:56,600
Speaker 1: time last year, if I'm a recruit and I go

1087
00:57:56,680 --> 00:57:59,880
Speaker 1: over there, there's not this lingering NCAA cloud. They got

1088
00:58:00,160 --> 00:58:02,280
Speaker 1: that figured out. You got a taste of what this

1089
00:58:02,280 --> 00:58:04,320
Speaker 1: think could be in twenty twenty two. There's a lot

1090
00:58:04,360 --> 00:58:07,800
Speaker 1: of really good in their program right now. That is

1091
00:58:08,200 --> 00:58:11,320
Speaker 1: knocking on the door of great to elite. That's the

1092
00:58:11,320 --> 00:58:14,760
Speaker 1: next step. Okay, it wasn't an overnight thing. Josh hipel

1093
00:58:14,760 --> 00:58:18,800
Speaker 1: didn't walk in and they immediately became Bama two point zero.

1094
00:58:18,960 --> 00:58:21,760
Speaker 1: It's happening at Tennessee in a much more realistic way.

1095
00:58:21,800 --> 00:58:25,400
Speaker 1: A much more realistic way is step by step, by

1096
00:58:25,480 --> 00:58:29,400
Speaker 1: step by step, and in an immediate gratification world. A

1097
00:58:29,400 --> 00:58:32,400
Speaker 1: lot of the country's paying attention initially, and then they

1098
00:58:32,400 --> 00:58:34,880
Speaker 1: don't immediately see you when a title, so they turn

1099
00:58:34,920 --> 00:58:37,160
Speaker 1: their back and walk away, and meanwhile you're just step

1100
00:58:37,480 --> 00:58:42,600
Speaker 1: by step by step by step. Tennessee's the one to

1101
00:58:42,680 --> 00:58:44,960
Speaker 1: keep an eye on Tennessee's the program to keep an

1102
00:58:44,960 --> 00:58:47,480
Speaker 1: eye on. If you want to know which program that's

1103
00:58:47,520 --> 00:58:50,600
Speaker 1: not currently at the head table of college football will

1104
00:58:50,640 --> 00:58:54,080
Speaker 1: probably be the next one, given their current trajectory to

1105
00:58:54,200 --> 00:58:58,200
Speaker 1: join the head table of college football, It's Tennessee and

1106
00:58:58,240 --> 00:59:01,720
Speaker 1: I've been waiting for it. Next up. Biggest questions, I

1107
00:59:01,760 --> 00:59:03,880
Speaker 1: got a couple of them here, So these aren't all

1108
00:59:03,920 --> 00:59:06,959
Speaker 1: of the biggest questions in college football this year. Two

1109
00:59:07,640 --> 00:59:13,760
Speaker 1: questions that I have though, how many impact true freshmen

1110
00:59:13,880 --> 00:59:16,120
Speaker 1: are we gonna have this year? Now, we'll have several

1111
00:59:16,120 --> 00:59:18,440
Speaker 1: true freshmen that play, but I mean the ones that

1112
00:59:18,520 --> 00:59:20,920
Speaker 1: at the end of the year were a focal point

1113
00:59:21,160 --> 00:59:24,760
Speaker 1: of their team. Dylan Riola at Nebraska has to be

1114
00:59:25,040 --> 00:59:26,920
Speaker 1: at the top of this list. I mean Dylan Roola,

1115
00:59:26,960 --> 00:59:30,000
Speaker 1: five star quarterback. He's committed to Georgia. Forever he decommits,

1116
00:59:30,120 --> 00:59:33,800
Speaker 1: he goes to Nebraska. They've got a workable path this year,

1117
00:59:34,080 --> 00:59:38,240
Speaker 1: like Nebraska, from a scheduling standpoint, from a team dynamic standpoint,

1118
00:59:38,440 --> 00:59:40,520
Speaker 1: they got a workable path to where if he's good,

1119
00:59:40,920 --> 00:59:44,800
Speaker 1: if Riola gets plugged in and he's playing B level

1120
00:59:45,000 --> 00:59:48,560
Speaker 1: quarterback there, then you still got the same defense they had.

1121
00:59:48,600 --> 00:59:51,120
Speaker 1: You still got the same defensive staff they had. If

1122
00:59:51,120 --> 00:59:53,000
Speaker 1: you can just get me a top forty five offense,

1123
00:59:53,760 --> 00:59:57,760
Speaker 1: they go from like six win caliber team to playoff

1124
00:59:57,800 --> 01:00:01,040
Speaker 1: sleeper team. Do you hear what I said? I didn't

1125
01:00:01,080 --> 01:00:06,240
Speaker 1: mince words. If they get B level or better quarterback play,

1126
01:00:06,680 --> 01:00:09,520
Speaker 1: given the schedule they have and given the usual Matt

1127
01:00:09,600 --> 01:00:11,840
Speaker 1: rule year one to year two thing that's always happened

1128
01:00:11,840 --> 01:00:15,800
Speaker 1: in his career, that's a fringe playoff team. That's the

1129
01:00:15,840 --> 01:00:19,800
Speaker 1: definition of an impact freshman, especially the quarterback position. Two

1130
01:00:19,880 --> 01:00:22,200
Speaker 1: wide receivers, though, I have to talk about here as well.

1131
01:00:23,200 --> 01:00:26,479
Speaker 1: Jeremiah Smith was the top rated wide receiver, top rated

1132
01:00:26,480 --> 01:00:29,760
Speaker 1: player in the country for this past recruiting cycle. He's

1133
01:00:30,000 --> 01:00:33,320
Speaker 1: just different than anyone there. It's really interesting when you

1134
01:00:33,360 --> 01:00:36,840
Speaker 1: think about how loaded Ohio State is and yet the

1135
01:00:36,880 --> 01:00:41,000
Speaker 1: best football players on either side of the ball could

1136
01:00:41,080 --> 01:00:44,560
Speaker 1: end up being Caleb Downs who was at Bama last year,

1137
01:00:44,840 --> 01:00:47,080
Speaker 1: and Jeremiah Smith, who was in high school last year.

1138
01:00:47,440 --> 01:00:51,280
Speaker 1: Now that's lofty praise for a true freshman. There aren't

1139
01:00:51,320 --> 01:00:53,400
Speaker 1: many true freshmen I ever would have spoken about like this.

1140
01:00:54,360 --> 01:00:57,080
Speaker 1: He's one of them, just totally different. It won't take long,

1141
01:00:57,360 --> 01:00:59,880
Speaker 1: and they have a schedule that offers several tune up

1142
01:01:00,000 --> 01:01:03,160
Speaker 1: opportunities to sort of get him in rhythm, get him

1143
01:01:03,240 --> 01:01:05,720
Speaker 1: lathered up. He may be their wide receiver one a

1144
01:01:05,760 --> 01:01:07,680
Speaker 1: month into the season, if he's not already like a

1145
01:01:07,720 --> 01:01:09,360
Speaker 1: lot of people in the program think he is already.

1146
01:01:09,360 --> 01:01:12,160
Speaker 1: But there are other good receivers at Buka, for example,

1147
01:01:12,160 --> 01:01:15,520
Speaker 1: Who's still walking around up there. But Akron Western, Michigan Marshall,

1148
01:01:15,520 --> 01:01:18,880
Speaker 1: and Michigan State give you a really good idea of

1149
01:01:18,920 --> 01:01:21,120
Speaker 1: what you got by the time you play Iowa and

1150
01:01:21,160 --> 01:01:24,840
Speaker 1: then Oregon back to back. He can take over games

1151
01:01:25,240 --> 01:01:27,800
Speaker 1: when they get in a playoff situation, like when they

1152
01:01:27,840 --> 01:01:30,800
Speaker 1: get in a Big Ten championship game situation. That's the

1153
01:01:30,920 --> 01:01:34,240
Speaker 1: kind of guy who is open when he's covered. And

1154
01:01:34,320 --> 01:01:36,480
Speaker 1: I know they've had him. They just had a kidnamed

1155
01:01:36,520 --> 01:01:39,000
Speaker 1: Marvin Harrison Junior leave from up there. And I'm not

1156
01:01:39,120 --> 01:01:41,480
Speaker 1: telling you that this is an apples to Apple's replacement.

1157
01:01:41,720 --> 01:01:43,360
Speaker 1: But I'm also not telling you he may not end

1158
01:01:43,400 --> 01:01:47,320
Speaker 1: up being better than him. Again, these are words that

1159
01:01:47,360 --> 01:01:49,920
Speaker 1: are weighty. I know they are. I know who I'm

1160
01:01:49,920 --> 01:01:52,920
Speaker 1: talking about too. Though. Cam Coleman is another one down

1161
01:01:52,960 --> 01:01:56,600
Speaker 1: at Auburn. He has to step in day one Ohio

1162
01:01:56,640 --> 01:02:00,640
Speaker 1: State doesn't have to have Jeremiah Smith the still be

1163
01:02:00,680 --> 01:02:03,920
Speaker 1: a good team. Auburn has to have Cam Coleman to

1164
01:02:04,000 --> 01:02:06,200
Speaker 1: even have a shot at being a decent team. This

1165
01:02:06,280 --> 01:02:08,840
Speaker 1: year looks like an alien. I was there watching him

1166
01:02:08,880 --> 01:02:12,640
Speaker 1: practice in spring. I did not see names on jerseys.

1167
01:02:12,800 --> 01:02:16,200
Speaker 1: I'm only looking at numbers, and I'm asking, like, Kirk

1168
01:02:16,240 --> 01:02:18,400
Speaker 1: Sampson's there the sid down there, and I'm saying, Kirk,

1169
01:02:19,600 --> 01:02:22,800
Speaker 1: that one right there, who's that? Oh that's Coleman. Oh, okay,

1170
01:02:22,880 --> 01:02:26,400
Speaker 1: that's true freshman, cool, cool, Okay, looks different than anyone there,

1171
01:02:26,800 --> 01:02:29,360
Speaker 1: got to play. Hugh Freeze was on the show. He said, Yep,

1172
01:02:29,640 --> 01:02:31,560
Speaker 1: they may not all be ready, but these freshmen are

1173
01:02:31,600 --> 01:02:35,000
Speaker 1: going to have to play. This is mandatory for peyton

1174
01:02:35,040 --> 01:02:37,880
Speaker 1: Thorn to have any kind of rebound year. Cam Coleman

1175
01:02:38,000 --> 01:02:40,120
Speaker 1: has to be an integral part of that. There aren't

1176
01:02:40,120 --> 01:02:43,480
Speaker 1: any other options to be that wide receiver one. So

1177
01:02:43,600 --> 01:02:46,520
Speaker 1: if he is that and he pans out, then all

1178
01:02:46,520 --> 01:02:48,400
Speaker 1: of a sudden, the run game opens up a whole

1179
01:02:48,400 --> 01:02:50,560
Speaker 1: lot more. Peyton Thorn's got guys to actually throw two,

1180
01:02:50,560 --> 01:02:52,920
Speaker 1: which you didn't last year, and Auburn could go from

1181
01:02:52,920 --> 01:02:57,080
Speaker 1: an average team six or seven wins to a dark horse,

1182
01:02:57,160 --> 01:03:00,000
Speaker 1: wild card kind of team, probably not winning the SEC,

1183
01:03:00,720 --> 01:03:02,520
Speaker 1: but you know, eight or nine wins this year for

1184
01:03:02,560 --> 01:03:05,520
Speaker 1: Auburn would be a really, really good thing. Okay, that's

1185
01:03:05,560 --> 01:03:08,520
Speaker 1: one question. Then I've got another question for you. Now.

1186
01:03:08,560 --> 01:03:13,480
Speaker 1: This one, I had to do some thinking on which

1187
01:03:13,560 --> 01:03:17,400
Speaker 1: program would you call the biggest sleeper program in college football?

1188
01:03:17,480 --> 01:03:20,360
Speaker 1: Because I think it's Central Florida. I think it's UCF.

1189
01:03:20,640 --> 01:03:23,800
Speaker 1: UCF has been hiding in plain sight to me. They

1190
01:03:24,600 --> 01:03:28,600
Speaker 1: did not get added to the Big twelve and then

1191
01:03:28,720 --> 01:03:31,120
Speaker 1: rest on the laurels of being a Power five or

1192
01:03:31,120 --> 01:03:33,920
Speaker 1: now a Power four team, which they could have. You know,

1193
01:03:33,960 --> 01:03:37,080
Speaker 1: when you get granted that access, you could just throw

1194
01:03:37,120 --> 01:03:38,720
Speaker 1: your hands up and kick your feet up and say,

1195
01:03:38,720 --> 01:03:41,040
Speaker 1: all right, we're here now, we're gonna make more money.

1196
01:03:41,720 --> 01:03:45,800
Speaker 1: Good enough is enough, let's cruise. That's not what they did.

1197
01:03:46,240 --> 01:03:48,960
Speaker 1: They got welcomed to the party, and then they said

1198
01:03:49,360 --> 01:03:52,200
Speaker 1: we're actually gonna try and run the party, not ruin

1199
01:03:52,280 --> 01:03:56,240
Speaker 1: it running the party. They invested big time and they're

1200
01:03:56,280 --> 01:03:59,120
Speaker 1: continuing to invest. They're the only Big twelve school in

1201
01:03:59,120 --> 01:04:01,720
Speaker 1: this part of the country. So think about the talent

1202
01:04:01,760 --> 01:04:06,400
Speaker 1: acquisition standpoint here. First off, just from a recruiting standpoint,

1203
01:04:06,720 --> 01:04:09,800
Speaker 1: to have a program in the middle of Orlando, get

1204
01:04:09,840 --> 01:04:13,880
Speaker 1: to recruit as the lone conference member within like a

1205
01:04:14,040 --> 01:04:18,160
Speaker 1: thousand miles of Orlando and of Florida. That's one benefit.

1206
01:04:18,400 --> 01:04:21,320
Speaker 1: But the other benefit, as we've already seen, is they're

1207
01:04:21,360 --> 01:04:24,720
Speaker 1: a massive portal destination. Cause a lot of kids come

1208
01:04:24,760 --> 01:04:28,120
Speaker 1: from Florida and it doesn't work out somewhere, they want

1209
01:04:28,120 --> 01:04:31,800
Speaker 1: to go back closer to home. There it is, it's UCF.

1210
01:04:32,120 --> 01:04:35,240
Speaker 1: Javon Baker just this past year ends up getting drafted.

1211
01:04:35,400 --> 01:04:37,360
Speaker 1: He didn't start his career at UCF. He started his

1212
01:04:37,400 --> 01:04:39,720
Speaker 1: career at Bama and then he ended up at UCF

1213
01:04:40,040 --> 01:04:43,720
Speaker 1: because he wanted to transfer down there. kJ Jefferson is

1214
01:04:43,760 --> 01:04:46,560
Speaker 1: their quarterback this year. He was at Arkansas last year,

1215
01:04:46,760 --> 01:04:49,160
Speaker 1: so you'll see him continue to load up in portal guys.

1216
01:04:49,440 --> 01:04:54,120
Speaker 1: But recruiting, they should be, and already are and should

1217
01:04:54,160 --> 01:04:56,720
Speaker 1: continue to be, one of, if not the best recruiting

1218
01:04:56,760 --> 01:05:00,840
Speaker 1: programs in the Big Twelve. There is a massive facilities

1219
01:05:00,920 --> 01:05:03,520
Speaker 1: upgrade project underway. When I was down there, I was

1220
01:05:03,520 --> 01:05:07,520
Speaker 1: in Malson's office. They've got some mock up designs of

1221
01:05:07,520 --> 01:05:10,640
Speaker 1: what that place is about to look like. You won't

1222
01:05:10,680 --> 01:05:13,280
Speaker 1: recognize it. So if you've been down there and then

1223
01:05:13,280 --> 01:05:14,920
Speaker 1: you go down there again five years from now or

1224
01:05:15,040 --> 01:05:17,000
Speaker 1: like three years from now, whenever they have that completed,

1225
01:05:17,280 --> 01:05:21,960
Speaker 1: you won't recognize that place. Unbelievable and not everyone is

1226
01:05:22,280 --> 01:05:26,960
Speaker 1: taking a deep dive into facilities enhancement these days, because

1227
01:05:26,960 --> 01:05:29,040
Speaker 1: that money's going elsewhere, if you know what I mean.

1228
01:05:29,320 --> 01:05:31,400
Speaker 1: So they will recruit as well as anyone in the

1229
01:05:31,400 --> 01:05:34,400
Speaker 1: Big Twelve. They'll portal as well as anyone. The value

1230
01:05:34,440 --> 01:05:39,240
Speaker 1: proposition in recruiting in Portal that UCF can offer to

1231
01:05:39,280 --> 01:05:41,160
Speaker 1: a kid is totally unique. No one else in the

1232
01:05:41,200 --> 01:05:44,840
Speaker 1: Big twelve has that. Now you may be able to pitch,

1233
01:05:45,000 --> 01:05:47,960
Speaker 1: you know, come into play in Dallas if you're TCU

1234
01:05:48,640 --> 01:05:52,040
Speaker 1: Houston and Willie Fritz if you're from that part of Texas.

1235
01:05:52,080 --> 01:05:53,920
Speaker 1: But a ton of these kids are just from the

1236
01:05:53,960 --> 01:05:57,240
Speaker 1: Southeast or from Florida and want to go home, or

1237
01:05:57,240 --> 01:06:00,160
Speaker 1: they're in Florida and want to stay in Florida to play,

1238
01:06:00,760 --> 01:06:03,920
Speaker 1: and for whatever reason, maybe it's not FSU or Florida

1239
01:06:04,040 --> 01:06:06,720
Speaker 1: or Miami, or maybe they do have offers from them

1240
01:06:07,240 --> 01:06:10,439
Speaker 1: and UCF says, hey, we're at the same table. Now

1241
01:06:11,200 --> 01:06:13,640
Speaker 1: they're gonna win some of those battles, and they've got

1242
01:06:13,640 --> 01:06:17,120
Speaker 1: a head coach that's played at the highest level the

1243
01:06:17,120 --> 01:06:20,160
Speaker 1: sport has to offer. He's beaten the best, had as

1244
01:06:20,160 --> 01:06:22,400
Speaker 1: good a head to head record against Nick Saban as anyone.

1245
01:06:22,480 --> 01:06:25,560
Speaker 1: He did better against Saban the Kirby did. And now

1246
01:06:25,600 --> 01:06:28,280
Speaker 1: not only do you have him, but you've got him

1247
01:06:28,280 --> 01:06:31,080
Speaker 1: totally at ease. Malzion doesn't strike me as the guy

1248
01:06:31,120 --> 01:06:33,480
Speaker 1: looking to get out of Orlando. He strikes me as

1249
01:06:33,520 --> 01:06:36,000
Speaker 1: the guy who's settled into Orlando. So you got a

1250
01:06:36,000 --> 01:06:38,919
Speaker 1: guy who's got a championship pedigree, who's been around the block,

1251
01:06:39,000 --> 01:06:41,760
Speaker 1: who understands how to call plays, and he's got an

1252
01:06:41,800 --> 01:06:44,680
Speaker 1: infrastructure around him that understands how to recruit, and they

1253
01:06:44,720 --> 01:06:47,880
Speaker 1: got good minds in the building. And then you've got

1254
01:06:47,920 --> 01:06:50,480
Speaker 1: the unique value play of we're in Florida and no

1255
01:06:50,520 --> 01:06:54,400
Speaker 1: one else is. That's an underrated program. Who's talking about

1256
01:06:54,440 --> 01:06:57,760
Speaker 1: Central Florida right now? I mean in the mainstream conversation,

1257
01:06:57,840 --> 01:07:00,240
Speaker 1: not a lot of people are. That's the definition of

1258
01:07:00,280 --> 01:07:03,720
Speaker 1: a sleeper program. Fandel's got odds on them to win

1259
01:07:03,720 --> 01:07:05,160
Speaker 1: the Big Twelve right now. If you wanted to go

1260
01:07:05,160 --> 01:07:08,880
Speaker 1: bet it, I should have told you this earlier, where

1261
01:07:08,880 --> 01:07:10,920
Speaker 1: that piece of paper go oh, I can look at this,

1262
01:07:11,760 --> 01:07:16,640
Speaker 1: I can tell you and this is exclusive information. This

1263
01:07:16,760 --> 01:07:22,120
Speaker 1: is proprietary, so keep this between us. Central Florida is

1264
01:07:22,160 --> 01:07:25,600
Speaker 1: the number. They're the number twenty seventeen in the JP pole.

1265
01:07:26,120 --> 01:07:29,760
Speaker 1: They're just outside the top twenty five. So if you

1266
01:07:29,760 --> 01:07:32,040
Speaker 1: want to go bet the over, bet the under, bet

1267
01:07:32,080 --> 01:07:34,680
Speaker 1: them as a dark horse to make the playoff, bet

1268
01:07:34,720 --> 01:07:36,440
Speaker 1: them in week one. I don't care. Do whatever you

1269
01:07:36,440 --> 01:07:38,240
Speaker 1: want to do, just do it at FanDuel. And if

1270
01:07:38,280 --> 01:07:39,840
Speaker 1: you don't want to do any of that, and if

1271
01:07:39,880 --> 01:07:42,480
Speaker 1: you don't even bet, but you are curious to see,

1272
01:07:42,880 --> 01:07:45,480
Speaker 1: you know what their over underwin total is. Just for

1273
01:07:45,640 --> 01:07:47,920
Speaker 1: argument's sake, because you want to look smart against your

1274
01:07:47,920 --> 01:07:51,440
Speaker 1: buddy tomorrow at work. Also go to FanDuel. They're the

1275
01:07:51,480 --> 01:07:54,480
Speaker 1: exclusive odds provider of our show. We really appreciate them.

1276
01:07:54,560 --> 01:07:56,480
Speaker 1: They take care of us, They will take care of you,

1277
01:07:57,200 --> 01:08:00,680
Speaker 1: and everyone just takes care of everyone around here. Appreciate him.

1278
01:08:00,920 --> 01:08:03,920
Speaker 1: Must be twenty one or over and present in select states.

1279
01:08:04,080 --> 01:08:07,040
Speaker 1: FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an

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Speaker 1: agreement with Kansas Star Casino LLC. First online real money

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Speaker 1: wager only ten dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued is

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Speaker 1: non withdrawable bonus bets that expire seven days after receipt.

1283
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Speaker 1: Gambling problem, call one eight hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot com,

1284
01:08:22,439 --> 01:08:29,759
Speaker 1: backslash rg in Colorado, Iowa, Kentucky, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee,

1285
01:08:29,800 --> 01:08:33,240
Speaker 1: and Virginia. Call one eight hundred next step or text

1286
01:08:33,360 --> 01:08:36,400
Speaker 1: next step to five three three four two in Arizona

1287
01:08:36,880 --> 01:08:40,040
Speaker 1: one eight eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven,

1288
01:08:40,320 --> 01:08:44,800
Speaker 1: or visit CCPG dot org backslash chat in Connecticut one

1289
01:08:44,800 --> 01:08:47,960
Speaker 1: eight hundred and nine with it in Indiana one eight

1290
01:08:48,080 --> 01:08:51,160
Speaker 1: hundred five two two forty seven hundred, or visit KS

1291
01:08:51,280 --> 01:08:54,920
Speaker 1: gambling heelp dot com in Kansas one eight seven seven

1292
01:08:55,320 --> 01:08:59,599
Speaker 1: seven seven oh stop in Louisiana. Visit MD gamblinghelp dot

1293
01:08:59,720 --> 01:09:03,000
Speaker 1: org in Maryland, visit one eight hundred gambler dot net.

1294
01:09:03,000 --> 01:09:06,040
Speaker 1: In West Virginia, or call one eight hundred five two

1295
01:09:06,080 --> 01:09:10,000
Speaker 1: two forty seven hundred In Wyoming, Hope is here. Visit

1296
01:09:10,080 --> 01:09:14,040
Speaker 1: gambling Helpline MA dot org or call eight hundred three

1297
01:09:14,160 --> 01:09:16,839
Speaker 1: two seven fifty to fifty for twenty four seven support

1298
01:09:16,880 --> 01:09:20,240
Speaker 1: in Massachusetts, or call one eight seven seven eight hope

1299
01:09:20,439 --> 01:09:25,240
Speaker 1: dash in why or text hope in why in New York. Okay. Lastly,

1300
01:09:26,200 --> 01:09:30,400
Speaker 1: always a fat show on Sunday nights. We have we

1301
01:09:30,520 --> 01:09:33,320
Speaker 1: have the most we're back energy that we've had in

1302
01:09:33,360 --> 01:09:38,720
Speaker 1: a long time. Bold Predictions, Chapter twenty seven of Bold Predictions.

1303
01:09:38,720 --> 01:09:40,840
Speaker 1: What do you believe that you'd bet your own money on?

1304
01:09:42,000 --> 01:09:46,479
Speaker 1: All of these are A nine or Boulder tonight, So

1305
01:09:46,520 --> 01:09:48,439
Speaker 1: I want to see the betting slips, That's what I'm saying.

1306
01:09:48,560 --> 01:09:52,480
Speaker 1: First up, this one's really interesting. Matthew from Fairfield, Connecticut

1307
01:09:52,479 --> 01:09:56,439
Speaker 1: said Alabama will be undefeated at home but sub five

1308
01:09:56,600 --> 01:10:01,439
Speaker 1: hundred on the road. So that means they beat Georgia

1309
01:10:01,520 --> 01:10:03,679
Speaker 1: and Missouri and Auburn because they played them at home.

1310
01:10:04,880 --> 01:10:10,559
Speaker 1: But they will lose at least three of these games Wisconsin, Vandy, Tennessee, LSU,

1311
01:10:10,680 --> 01:10:14,240
Speaker 1: Ole miss And like, you could sell me that BAMA

1312
01:10:14,320 --> 01:10:19,160
Speaker 1: loses against Oklahoma or Tennessee or LSU. Wisconsin's a kind

1313
01:10:19,200 --> 01:10:21,840
Speaker 1: of a sleeper type of team. I don't know, but yeah,

1314
01:10:21,880 --> 01:10:25,479
Speaker 1: I could see that happening. But the kind of team

1315
01:10:25,560 --> 01:10:28,280
Speaker 1: that loses those games, that team's also going to beat

1316
01:10:28,320 --> 01:10:32,080
Speaker 1: Georgia at home, that's interesting. They are minus nine and

1317
01:10:32,080 --> 01:10:35,280
Speaker 1: a half at Wisconsin at FanDuel. They are a slight

1318
01:10:35,439 --> 01:10:39,439
Speaker 1: underdog at LSU right now, plus two and a half.

1319
01:10:39,920 --> 01:10:43,040
Speaker 1: They are slight favorites at Oklahoma. They'll probably be a

1320
01:10:43,040 --> 01:10:48,400
Speaker 1: slight favorite at Tennessee. Maybe they are plus touchdown or better.

1321
01:10:48,439 --> 01:10:50,479
Speaker 1: They're minus touchdown or better against Missouri and Auburn, so

1322
01:10:50,479 --> 01:10:53,120
Speaker 1: they'll be favorite against both of those teams by over touchdown.

1323
01:10:53,200 --> 01:10:55,840
Speaker 1: Right now, it sounds terrible, doesn't it. It sounds like

1324
01:10:56,120 --> 01:10:58,560
Speaker 1: undefeated at home, sub five hundred on the road. That

1325
01:10:58,600 --> 01:11:01,639
Speaker 1: would probably be a nine to three season, maybe good

1326
01:11:01,680 --> 01:11:04,880
Speaker 1: enough to make the playoff. Having said that, because of

1327
01:11:04,920 --> 01:11:07,400
Speaker 1: how unique this is, I'm gonna make it a nine

1328
01:11:07,520 --> 01:11:11,680
Speaker 1: on the boldness scale. Next up, this one's also kind

1329
01:11:11,680 --> 01:11:15,360
Speaker 1: of threadned the needle, but it could happen a mitch

1330
01:11:15,400 --> 01:11:19,120
Speaker 1: from Orlando. He said, Miami will defeat Florida State twice

1331
01:11:19,200 --> 01:11:22,519
Speaker 1: this season and prevent them from making the playoffs two

1332
01:11:22,640 --> 01:11:25,960
Speaker 1: years in a row. So Miami beats FSU in the

1333
01:11:26,000 --> 01:11:30,240
Speaker 1: regular season, they then play in the conference title game,

1334
01:11:30,320 --> 01:11:34,320
Speaker 1: Miami beats them again, and Florida State doesn't make the playoff.

1335
01:11:35,240 --> 01:11:39,040
Speaker 1: That's a nine point five on the Boldenness scale. Now,

1336
01:11:39,080 --> 01:11:42,280
Speaker 1: the first two things are not crazy. Florida State plays

1337
01:11:42,320 --> 01:11:44,719
Speaker 1: at Miami. They're a one and a half point favorite,

1338
01:11:44,760 --> 01:11:46,920
Speaker 1: so that game's really close to being a toss up.

1339
01:11:48,040 --> 01:11:50,080
Speaker 1: Let's just say for argument's sake, they played in the

1340
01:11:50,120 --> 01:11:53,400
Speaker 1: conference title game. FanDuel had to set the line today,

1341
01:11:53,720 --> 01:11:56,280
Speaker 1: you're probably looking at FSU minus three and a half

1342
01:11:56,320 --> 01:12:00,320
Speaker 1: from minus four something like that. That's not crazy. Easy

1343
01:12:00,360 --> 01:12:02,240
Speaker 1: to think Miami could win either one of those. But

1344
01:12:02,720 --> 01:12:05,840
Speaker 1: here's the thing. We've got to thread a needle here,

1345
01:12:05,880 --> 01:12:09,160
Speaker 1: because if Miami beats Florida State the first time, and

1346
01:12:09,200 --> 01:12:12,559
Speaker 1: that's on October twenty sixth, Florida State still has to

1347
01:12:12,560 --> 01:12:16,120
Speaker 1: be good enough to make it to the ACC Title game,

1348
01:12:17,280 --> 01:12:19,800
Speaker 1: but they probably also have to be bad enough to

1349
01:12:19,880 --> 01:12:24,400
Speaker 1: lose another game out of conference because I need them

1350
01:12:24,400 --> 01:12:27,519
Speaker 1: to probably be a two loss team by the time

1351
01:12:27,600 --> 01:12:30,960
Speaker 1: they make it to the ACC Title game. But they

1352
01:12:31,000 --> 01:12:32,960
Speaker 1: can't be losing conference games because then they may not

1353
01:12:33,040 --> 01:12:35,439
Speaker 1: make it to the ACC title game. So they may

1354
01:12:35,479 --> 01:12:38,880
Speaker 1: lose to Notre Dame. They go there on November ninth,

1355
01:12:38,960 --> 01:12:41,640
Speaker 1: could easily see them losing that game. They'll probably be

1356
01:12:41,680 --> 01:12:44,240
Speaker 1: an underdog that game. So if they lose that one,

1357
01:12:44,280 --> 01:12:47,040
Speaker 1: and they've lost against Miami, and they go to Charlotte

1358
01:12:47,040 --> 01:12:49,240
Speaker 1: ten and two, and then they lose to Miami again.

1359
01:12:49,280 --> 01:12:53,080
Speaker 1: They're ten to three. Yes, this prediction just happened. FSU

1360
01:12:53,080 --> 01:12:55,080
Speaker 1: would be out of the playoff. Miami would have beaten

1361
01:12:55,120 --> 01:12:59,320
Speaker 1: them two times. It's just tough to thread the needle.

1362
01:12:59,760 --> 01:13:02,920
Speaker 1: And for that reason, I make that a nine point

1363
01:13:02,920 --> 01:13:05,320
Speaker 1: five on the boldness goal. We've got another nine and

1364
01:13:05,360 --> 01:13:08,320
Speaker 1: a half here. Remember the rule on the show. If

1365
01:13:08,320 --> 01:13:10,200
Speaker 1: you make a prediction that's a nine point five or

1366
01:13:10,320 --> 01:13:12,760
Speaker 1: higher and it hits, you get a chalice of supremacy.

1367
01:13:13,400 --> 01:13:17,000
Speaker 1: What about Maryland here, Zach says, Maryland's gonna win ten games. Well,

1368
01:13:17,040 --> 01:13:19,040
Speaker 1: I don't think they are, Zach, So I'm gonna make

1369
01:13:19,040 --> 01:13:21,920
Speaker 1: that a nine point five. Their total is six and

1370
01:13:21,960 --> 01:13:25,799
Speaker 1: a half wins. They can only lose two of these games,

1371
01:13:26,200 --> 01:13:29,320
Speaker 1: so they they could start six and oh. Here's what

1372
01:13:29,360 --> 01:13:32,080
Speaker 1: could be really frustrating for you, Zach. They may start

1373
01:13:32,120 --> 01:13:39,600
Speaker 1: six and oh, Yukon, Michigan State, Virginia, Villanova, Indiana, Northwestern.

1374
01:13:40,120 --> 01:13:43,320
Speaker 1: There's a six and oh start there for Maryland. But

1375
01:13:43,439 --> 01:13:45,920
Speaker 1: then they got Southern cal and they go to Minnesota

1376
01:13:46,040 --> 01:13:48,559
Speaker 1: and then they go to Oregon, and then they got Rutgers,

1377
01:13:48,600 --> 01:13:50,880
Speaker 1: and then they got Iowa and Penn State and they

1378
01:13:50,880 --> 01:13:53,000
Speaker 1: can only lose two of those to be a ten

1379
01:13:53,040 --> 01:13:54,720
Speaker 1: win team. And that's if they start six and oh

1380
01:13:54,880 --> 01:13:57,559
Speaker 1: there's a new quarterback there. They're one hundred and twenty

1381
01:13:57,680 --> 01:14:01,800
Speaker 1: third in returning offensive production. Maryland is not a reload

1382
01:14:02,320 --> 01:14:05,759
Speaker 1: type of team. You don't just blindly believe in them

1383
01:14:05,920 --> 01:14:08,280
Speaker 1: even though you don't know the players because they've recruited

1384
01:14:08,320 --> 01:14:10,800
Speaker 1: top five classes. They haven't, so that's tough to do.

1385
01:14:10,880 --> 01:14:13,320
Speaker 1: So got it, Itchy knows I'm gonna make that a

1386
01:14:13,400 --> 01:14:18,919
Speaker 1: nine point five. I think that's fair. And lastly, Missouri

1387
01:14:20,920 --> 01:14:23,679
Speaker 1: from Laramie, Wyoming. Here we got a prediction about Missouri.

1388
01:14:23,680 --> 01:14:25,840
Speaker 1: They will make and they'll make the playoff and they'll

1389
01:14:25,880 --> 01:14:29,760
Speaker 1: win a playoff game nine on the boldness scale, no more,

1390
01:14:29,880 --> 01:14:32,600
Speaker 1: no less to make the playoff. Right now, if you

1391
01:14:32,640 --> 01:14:35,479
Speaker 1: wanted to bet, yes, Missouri makes the playoff, they are

1392
01:14:35,560 --> 01:14:37,519
Speaker 1: plus one eighty four at FanDuel. You can go do

1393
01:14:37,600 --> 01:14:40,360
Speaker 1: that right now. They're total over under is nine and

1394
01:14:40,360 --> 01:14:44,240
Speaker 1: a half. There's seventeenth in returning production, but there's a

1395
01:14:44,240 --> 01:14:48,760
Speaker 1: big split, so they're tenth in returning offensive production, Brady Cook,

1396
01:14:49,040 --> 01:14:52,840
Speaker 1: Luther Burden, but they're sixty fourth in returning defensive production

1397
01:14:52,880 --> 01:14:55,320
Speaker 1: and they lost stud coaches on that side of the

1398
01:14:55,360 --> 01:14:59,200
Speaker 1: ball as well. They only face one team this entire

1399
01:14:59,280 --> 01:15:02,600
Speaker 1: season that is in the top ten at FanDuel and

1400
01:15:02,680 --> 01:15:05,080
Speaker 1: odds to win it all, and that's at Alabama on

1401
01:15:05,120 --> 01:15:07,879
Speaker 1: the twenty sixth. But they can't just make the playoff.

1402
01:15:08,200 --> 01:15:10,920
Speaker 1: They've got to make it and win a playoff game.

1403
01:15:11,920 --> 01:15:14,479
Speaker 1: And because of that, I give that a nine on

1404
01:15:14,520 --> 01:15:17,760
Speaker 1: the boldness scale. Long showdown. We appreciate it so much.

1405
01:15:18,360 --> 01:15:21,559
Speaker 1: Make sure you guys subscribe to the YouTube channel and

1406
01:15:21,880 --> 01:15:24,439
Speaker 1: the podcast and recruit five of your friends to do

1407
01:15:24,520 --> 01:15:26,960
Speaker 1: the same. I will have a late kick extra pod

1408
01:15:27,000 --> 01:15:29,720
Speaker 1: out for you sometime Tuesday or Wednesday. We'll be back

1409
01:15:29,760 --> 01:15:33,160
Speaker 1: here live same time Thursday. We're here the day p

1410
01:15:33,320 --> 01:15:36,400
Speaker 1: pole has dropped. We're here. Take care for director Colin,

1411
01:15:36,439 --> 01:15:37,080
Speaker 1: Producer Jesse.

1412
01:15:37,120 --> 01:15:38,720
Speaker 2: I'm Josh pet have a great start to your week,

1413
01:15:38,880 --> 01:15:49,439
Speaker 2: and God bless.

1414
01:15:51,840 --> 01:15:54,879
Speaker 1: Must be twenty one or over and present in select states.

1415
01:15:55,000 --> 01:15:57,960
Speaker 1: FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an

1416
01:15:58,000 --> 01:16:01,760
Speaker 1: agreement with Kansas Star Casino LL first online real money

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Speaker 1: wager only ten dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued as

1418
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Speaker 1: non withdrawable bonus bets that expire seven days after receipt.

1419
01:16:09,240 --> 01:16:13,360
Speaker 1: Gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot com,

1420
01:16:13,400 --> 01:16:20,639
Speaker 1: backslash rg in Colorado, Iowa, Kentucky, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Tennessee,

1421
01:16:20,760 --> 01:16:24,160
Speaker 1: and Virginia. Call one eight hundred next step or text

1422
01:16:24,320 --> 01:16:27,360
Speaker 1: next step to five three three four two in Arizona

1423
01:16:27,840 --> 01:16:30,960
Speaker 1: one eight eight eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven,

1424
01:16:31,240 --> 01:16:35,680
Speaker 1: or visit CCPG dot org backslash chat in Connecticut one

1425
01:16:35,760 --> 01:16:38,880
Speaker 1: eight hundred and nine with it in Indiana one eight

1426
01:16:39,000 --> 01:16:42,120
Speaker 1: hundred five two two forty seven hundred, or visit KS

1427
01:16:42,240 --> 01:16:45,880
Speaker 1: gambling heelp dot com in Kansas one eight seven seven

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Speaker 1: seven seven oh stop in Louisiana. Visit MD gamblinghelp dot

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Speaker 1: org in Maryland, visit one eight hundred gambler dot net.

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Speaker 1: In West Virginia, or call one eight hundred five two

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Speaker 1: two forty seven hundred in Wyoming, Hope is here. Visit

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Speaker 1: gambling Heelpline MA dot org or call eight hundred three

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Speaker 1: two seven fifty fifty for twenty four seven support in Massachusetts,

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Speaker 1: or call one eight seven seven eight Hope dash Y,

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Speaker 1: or text Hope and Why in New York