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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites presented by DraftKings. The crown is yours.

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Speaker 1: We are an Action Network podcast, and the regular season

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Speaker 1: in the NFL is wrap it up. I'm Brandon Kravitz

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Speaker 1: back at it on this fine Tuesday morning. The first

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Speaker 1: Lady of the pod, Kendri Middleton, is with us the

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Speaker 1: Prime Minister of DJA Nation Stuckey as well, who is

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Speaker 1: ready to run through the machinations that are involved in

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Speaker 1: Week eighteen in the NFL. We've got our Plant the

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Speaker 1: Flag game for Week eighteen. No more Thursday night football,

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Speaker 1: so no preview to get to there, but we've got

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Speaker 1: scenarios galore and of course the main event, Evan's Tuesday

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Speaker 1: Primer live as of right now on Actionnetwork dot com.

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Speaker 1: Here's what we know, as far as I understand it.

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Speaker 1: The Broncos clinch the AFC West. The Patriots have clinched

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Speaker 1: the AFCs. The Texans, Chargers, and Bills all share the

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Speaker 1: same record. They are locked into the playoffs, but not

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Speaker 1: necessarily into their specific seting. The Bears have clinched the

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Speaker 1: NFC North, The Eagles have clinched the NFC East. The

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Speaker 1: Seahawks and forty nine Ers fight it out for the

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Speaker 1: one seed on Saturday, and the Packers are locked in

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Speaker 1: to the seventh spot. Stucky, did I nail this? Yeah?

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Speaker 2: I mean that's those are the certainties. I mean to

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Speaker 2: run through everything to give everyone like a high level.

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Speaker 2: I'll try to do it in like two minutes. So Denver,

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Speaker 2: where is yours?

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Speaker 1: My friend?

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Speaker 2: So Denver hosts the Chargers. If they win, they clinched

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Speaker 2: the one seed because they have the tiebreaker over the Patriots.

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Speaker 2: The Chargers in very uncharger like fashion because last week

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Speaker 2: can Beek eighteen with a chance to go from the

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Speaker 2: sixth seed to the five seed. They play their starters.

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Speaker 2: Looks like they're going to start Trey Lance rest starters,

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Speaker 2: which is why Denver is now a significant double digit favorite.

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Speaker 2: So if Denver wins that game, they clinched the one seat,

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Speaker 2: they will have a buy and home field advantage throughout.

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Speaker 2: So if New England, say, say the Broncos blow out

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Speaker 2: the Chargers, Pats rest their starters, and you know you

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Speaker 2: have the Dolphins come back to win. Well, if the

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Speaker 2: Jags were to win, the Jags would jump the Pats.

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Speaker 2: So maybe the Pats say we want to win this

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Speaker 2: game and lock up the two regardless that that's a

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Speaker 2: decision has to be made internally. But keep that in

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Speaker 2: mind because just because the Broncos win doesn't mean that

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Speaker 2: the Pets still can't lose a seed, but they will

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Speaker 2: either be the two or the three. If we assume

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Speaker 2: that the Broncos win and the Patriots win Broncos are one,

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Speaker 2: Patriots are two, then your three seed comes down to

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Speaker 2: Jacksonville or Houston, the winner of that division. Jacksonville wins,

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Speaker 2: they win the division. If Jacksonville loses that and the

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Speaker 2: Texans win, the Texans win the division. And then it

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Speaker 2: could get real weird where if you have the Jags. Now,

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Speaker 2: the Chargers have to win for this to happen, so

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Speaker 2: it's unlikely. But if the Jags lost and the Chargers

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Speaker 2: won and the Bills won, then the Bills, Chargers, and

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Speaker 2: Jags would all be tied. It comes down to strength

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Speaker 2: the victory, which the Bills can't win, the Jags and

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Speaker 2: the Chargers. It would come down to like every game

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Speaker 2: would matter on Sunday. It's very close, but that's very

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Speaker 2: unlikely to happen. So really what you're looking at the

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Speaker 2: AFC Broncos win one seed, Pats win two seed, they're

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Speaker 2: double digit favorites. Jags also a double digit favorite. Likely

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Speaker 2: the three seed winner of the AFC North between the

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Speaker 2: Steelers and Ravens on Sunday night is the four seed,

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Speaker 2: and then you know, most likely the Texans will end

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Speaker 2: up being the five seed. They will travel to the

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Speaker 2: winner of the AFC North between the Steelers and the Ravens,

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Speaker 2: and then you know you're gonna have the So if

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Speaker 2: the Chargers lose, they're resting everyone, and then the Bills win,

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Speaker 2: I assume they're gonna rest everyone as well. Then the

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Speaker 2: Chargers to the seventh seed and they would go to

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Speaker 2: presumably New England, Buffalo would go to Jacksonville. So that's

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Speaker 2: how I think it's probably gonna work out. Now in

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Speaker 2: the NFL that rarely happens, but I think the way

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Speaker 2: that it's going to look Denver by Chargers at Patriots,

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Speaker 2: Bills at Jags, Texans at Raven's that's how I think

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Speaker 2: it plays out NFC. While you have McVeigh came out,

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Speaker 2: Rams lose again last week. I mean, it's crazy what's

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Speaker 2: happening in ten day A ten day stretch for the

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Speaker 2: Rams who looked like they were headed to the.

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Speaker 3: One C the question about the AFC before we move on.

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Speaker 4: Sure, do you think because of last night and what

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Speaker 4: happened with Matt Stafford it changes any of the Patriots

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Speaker 4: plans for MVP for Drake May and incentives that they

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Speaker 4: have to hit for Hunter Henry and Stefan Diggs.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think regardless, they're they're gonna play

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Speaker 2: him and play their full offense in the first half,

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Speaker 2: and I think that they'll probably play most of the

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Speaker 2: game because like the two seas could end up being valuable.

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Speaker 2: They ad he's wide open, like Denver is your one, right,

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Speaker 2: so like Denver is very vulnerable to getting the two

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Speaker 2: compared to the three could mean that you're hosting the

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Speaker 2: AFC Championship game. So I think regardless, he's gonna play

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Speaker 2: most of the game. Like where where could like if

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Speaker 2: the Jags somehow are getting blown out and the you know,

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Speaker 2: the the Broncos are blowing out the Chargers, then maybe

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Speaker 2: we rest them late. But I do think that they

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Speaker 2: he'll get his numbers in the first half and there

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Speaker 2: are some incentives there that could matter. So I think

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Speaker 2: for the most part, you'll see the Patriots starters for

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Speaker 2: like a half, three quarters, most likely for the full game,

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Speaker 2: but there could be some scoreboard watching. But that is

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Speaker 2: a good point. But in the NFC you have the

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Speaker 2: Packers are locked in to the seven. The one seed

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Speaker 2: is going to go to the winner of the Seahawks

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Speaker 2: and forty nine Ers, which is on Saturday. If the

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Speaker 2: forty nine Ers win, they get home field throughout through

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Speaker 2: the Super Bowl, which we'll hear a lot of. And

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Speaker 2: if the forty nine Ers win, keep this in mind,

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Speaker 2: Seattle locked into the five. So Seattle's in a good spot.

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Speaker 2: They're either get the one seed or the five, and

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Speaker 2: then they go to the winner of the NFC North.

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Speaker 2: If that happens, the Rams are locked into the six.

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Speaker 2: Now McVeigh came out and said he's gonna rest his

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Speaker 2: I mean he's gonna play his starters, which is very

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Speaker 2: unlike McVeigh, which makes sense if the Seahawks win on Saturday.

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Speaker 2: Because if the Seahawks win on Saturday, they can jump

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Speaker 2: up to the five. That's a big difference. That's a

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Speaker 2: difference between going most likely to Philly or to the

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Speaker 2: NFC the NFC South winner. So I think that's what's

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Speaker 2: gonna make that decision with the Rams is the result

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Speaker 2: of the Seahawks forty nine Ers game. But if the

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Speaker 2: forty nine Ers win, Rams are locked into the six.

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Speaker 2: If the Seahawks win, Seahawks have the one. Rams can

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Speaker 2: jump up to the five with a win, and then

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Speaker 2: the forty nine Ers would drop to the six. If

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Speaker 2: the Rams get upset by the Cardinals, then you know

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Speaker 2: they would be the six. The forty nine Ers would

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Speaker 2: be the five. The two to three is either going

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Speaker 2: to be the Bears or the Eagles. Same record, but

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Speaker 2: Bears have the head to head. So Bears win at

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Speaker 2: home against the Lions. Some bad blood there. I'm sure

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Speaker 2: the Lions are gonna try. They have a lot of injuries.

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Speaker 2: I don't know who they're gonna end up sitting out,

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Speaker 2: but they're gonna try Stan Campbell. But if the Bears

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Speaker 2: win that game, they clinch the number two seed. If

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Speaker 2: the Bears slip up to the Lions and the Eagles

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Speaker 2: beat the Commanders with what looks like it's gonna be

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Speaker 2: Josh Johnson again, then the Eagles would jump up to

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Speaker 2: the number two seed. I thought that the Eagles would

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Speaker 2: play their starters. I think that that's I do think

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Speaker 2: the two seed matters for both teams. Both the Bears

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Speaker 2: and the Eagles. Like the Bear is one of the

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Speaker 2: best running teams in the NFL, you get home games

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Speaker 2: and in the NFC's wide open, like it could end

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Speaker 2: up in Seattle, like Darnold is the one seed, like

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Speaker 2: that could Bean hosting the NFC championship game. So I

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Speaker 2: think the Bears are gonna try, but it sounds like

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Speaker 2: the Eagles might rest starters. So we'll see May and

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Speaker 2: maybe they're watching the Bears game. There's a lot of play,

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Speaker 2: but as of right now, it looks like the Bear

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Speaker 2: the Eagles might rest some key starters, and then the

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Speaker 2: four seed is going to either be Carolina or Tampa.

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Speaker 2: What made this now, Well, Sunday's like there's three primary games.

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Speaker 2: We talked about this on the Sunday Night episode. Three

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Speaker 2: primary isolated island time slots that are like really impactful.

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Speaker 2: It's the forty nine Ers, Seahawks, the Panthers, Bucks, and

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Speaker 2: then Sunday Night Football between the Ravens and the Steelers.

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Speaker 2: The rest of the Sunday slate is pretty ass. However,

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Speaker 2: if the Bucks win, it got a lot more interesting

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Speaker 2: because of last night because the Pan. If the Bucks win,

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Speaker 2: the Panthers get in if the Falcons beat the Saints,

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Speaker 2: so all of a sudden, this Falcon Saints game becomes

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Speaker 2: a playing game, even though neither team is making the playoffs,

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Speaker 2: which makes that super interesting. Rest of the Sunday slate

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Speaker 2: pretty boring as far as the afternoon slates go. But

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Speaker 2: the most likely scenario, Seattle is your one. So what

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Speaker 2: I think is gonna happen. I really Seattle stand Frans

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Speaker 2: a coin flip. But if Seattle wins, then so like,

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Speaker 2: let's let's take the scenario where Seattle wins. Seattle wins,

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Speaker 2: I think the Rams play their starters and then they

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Speaker 2: beat the Cardinals, which would mean that the Rams jump

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Speaker 2: up to the five, would go to Carolina or Tampa.

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Speaker 2: The forty nine ers would go to Philly if the

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Speaker 2: Bears win, and then the Packers would go to the Bears.

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Speaker 2: Banger games, Seattle gets to buy, but if the forty

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Speaker 2: nine ers. When forty nine ers get to buy, Seattle

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Speaker 2: goes to the NFC South winner, the Rams go to Philly,

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Speaker 2: and then the Packers go to the Bears. Now the

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Speaker 2: Bears lose, it would beat Packers going to the Eagles

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Speaker 2: and Rams going to the Bears. Banger Games in the

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Speaker 2: NFC A lot to sort through. Hope all that made sense,

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Speaker 2: but that's kind of the everything that you need to know.

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Speaker 1: Well done, well done. That was a very NBA two minutes.

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Speaker 1: I believe Kendrick.

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Speaker 2: When I say two minutes, I mean ten.

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Speaker 4: I think it was week with my interruption, it was

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Speaker 4: about six and a half.

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Speaker 3: No, he might be better at our jobs than we are.

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Speaker 4: I have to kill air on the radio before a

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Speaker 4: break so often, Stuck, you should get into radio.

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Speaker 2: I mean that's kind of podcasting with the radio stuff.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, four hours feeling. It's hard to do a

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Speaker 1: show by yourself. I think Stucky would be able to

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Speaker 1: do that with general ease. That would not be a concern.

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Speaker 4: Now in the summer and there's no sports on Tough,

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Speaker 4: but Stuck could do it.

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Speaker 1: I would bet a lot of money. That would be

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Speaker 1: very juice on the money line. Now there's another side

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Speaker 1: to this. Those are all the things that matter, Kendra.

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Speaker 1: You have said, as salty as you were about it

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Speaker 1: on Sunday, I'm not into it. I'm not trying to

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Speaker 1: bet this ship. I'm good you hate it.

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Speaker 3: It's not fun.

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Speaker 1: So what I want what I'm gonna allow you to

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Speaker 1: do here is I'm gonna allow you to eliminate three

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Speaker 1: games from discussion today. Can't plant the flag on them, nothing,

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Speaker 1: Just get them out of the podcast, get them out

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Speaker 1: of your mind, and move the hell on. What three

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Speaker 1: games would you like to nominate?

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Speaker 2: Of course, before before she answers that I this will

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Speaker 2: make it a little more fun, I do want to

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Speaker 2: say that. I for every week eighteen and actually for

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Speaker 2: every week I do do this. I had somehow there's

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Speaker 2: three games that I for my notes for all of

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Speaker 2: them before I broke them down, I just wrote no thanks,

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Speaker 2: like I'm not touching them. So I'm gonna see if.

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Speaker 3: The okay we match.

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Speaker 4: I have never been so drunk with power, and you

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Speaker 4: will never see me so drunk with power ever again,

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Speaker 4: unless for some reason I get my hands on a

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Speaker 4: T shirt cannon. But I'm gonna go Chiefs, Raiders, don't care, Cowboys, Giants,

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Speaker 4: get it the fuck out of here for two.

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Speaker 3: And I know that we have loved.

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Speaker 4: The Saints and loved the Falcons this year, but their

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Speaker 4: Super Bowl is over. This is probably what should be.

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Speaker 4: I agree with what Stucky said on Twitter. The NFC

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Speaker 4: South play like playing game, but it's over.

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Speaker 3: It's done. Who cares. I've seen enough of Tyler.

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Speaker 4: Shuck whatever, it's over, goodbye, And I'm mad at Bijon

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Speaker 4: Robinson for obvious reasons.

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Speaker 1: Oh, Bijon, we should have taken the rushing number. The

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Speaker 1: receiving prop killed us. We had a Monday night football

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Speaker 1: parlay that was so close.

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Speaker 2: We're close. We're two for two on that the I

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Speaker 2: mean the Falcon Saints game. That could be fascinating if.

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Speaker 1: The vib into it. That's so cool.

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Speaker 2: You're gonna get You're gonna like, yes, they're playing for

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Speaker 2: other teams, which like ads even though like they don't care.

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Speaker 2: I'm sure they don't care, like which one of those

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Speaker 2: teams gets in like having that, uh, just knowing that

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Speaker 2: going into a week eighteen game after you've been eliminated,

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Speaker 2: I think it's pretty cool, Like that's gonna give it

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Speaker 2: both teams, like just I think some extra juice and

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Speaker 2: some intrigue if if they end up in a tie,

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Speaker 2: by the way, the Bucks would still go like, imagine

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Speaker 2: that game goes to overtime, so.

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Speaker 4: That game could what if they could they tie on purpose?

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Speaker 4: That would be so funny.

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Speaker 2: Well, they they also the Panthers have an incentive to tie.

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Speaker 2: So if the Panthers tie, they're also get in. So

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Speaker 2: it's like they get to overtime and they have the

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Speaker 2: ball and like they just run out the clock. They

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Speaker 2: get in with the tie. If the Bucks win and

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Speaker 2: then the Saints and Falcons tie, then the Bucks get in.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Maybe maybe these teams like hate secretly hate the Panthers

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Speaker 2: and want to collude. I don't know. I'll never forget

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Speaker 2: that Week eight team game between the Raiders and Chargers

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Speaker 2: when Brandon Staley called a time out to get uh

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Speaker 2: and they didn't tie when they were both incentivized to tie.

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Speaker 2: That was ridiculous. So what do we have an announcement

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Speaker 2: here for this one?

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Speaker 4: Boston twenty five News breaking news. Patriot star Stefan Diggs

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Speaker 4: facing strangulation and assault charges as of eleven fifteen AM.

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Speaker 4: I can send this in our chat if we would

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Speaker 4: like to look at it. I don't know what this

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Speaker 4: means for their playoff anything, obviously, but this is breaking

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Speaker 4: news from Boston twenty five News.

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Speaker 3: Seven minutes to go.

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Speaker 2: Wow, no Digs and the Pats might have to face

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Speaker 2: the starting quarterback.

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Speaker 1: Wow.

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Speaker 2: So I but Kendra, so I agree with you. Ola,

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Speaker 2: ducon a six point favorite on the road against a

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Speaker 2: team actively trying to lose. Who knows who else they're

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Speaker 2: gonna sit this week, get that game, Like I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: have red zone on on Sunday. There should I think

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Speaker 2: this will happen in the future, where like what we're

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Speaker 2: talking about, you get to select, like which games you

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Speaker 2: don't don't want to have come along the red zone,

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Speaker 2: like customizable resid I know I do that when we're

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Speaker 2: at the bar. You can customize your three screens, and

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Speaker 2: I'll do that on some of my screens, but like

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Speaker 2: give me a red zone, but skip certain games like

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Speaker 2: you like there's different posts, customizable packages that game. No,

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Speaker 2: I think the Chiefs probably want to lose two because

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Speaker 2: of draft positioning. It's something They're playing the Broncos with

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Speaker 2: some juice at home on Christmas Night. They cared last week.

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Speaker 2: They could be as careless as they were for the

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Speaker 2: Titans game. So that game, that's one of the worst

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Speaker 2: games of the year. Chief sever Raiders.

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Speaker 4: I saw a like discourse on Twitter this week about

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Speaker 4: what if the playoffs were structured where like the highest

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Speaker 4: seed gets to choose who they play, so like the

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Speaker 4: one seed would pick first, and then the two seed

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Speaker 4: would pick from who was left, would you guy? I

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Speaker 4: mean like it would make the regular season a lot

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Speaker 4: less valuable.

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Speaker 3: But I don't hate that, would you guys? Hate that?

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Speaker 1: They've talked about that in the NBA as well. I

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Speaker 1: think it's the issue becomes the optic is that you

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Speaker 1: have teams that are that are selecting what they feel

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Speaker 1: to be bottom featers, and that just looks bad for

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Speaker 1: the league. But I think it would be fun. I

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Speaker 1: mean that sounds like something you would do in fantasy football. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so that could be I mean, I think it's less

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Speaker 1: offensive in the in the NFL because everybody's kind of dangerous.

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Speaker 1: In the NFL and the NBA, you're like, yeah, I

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Speaker 1: want them because we're going to sweep that team.

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Speaker 2: I do think that they might be heading down a

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Speaker 2: path where you have to change the way that the

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Speaker 2: number one pick is awarded. I don't know how you

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Speaker 2: would do it, because the way that the league works,

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Speaker 2: you do want the really really bad teams to be

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Speaker 2: able to get a quarterback. But this trend now, and

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Speaker 2: this is like across sports, which we're starting to see

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Speaker 2: of like what the Raiders did last week with two

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Speaker 2: weeks to go like benching your best player who wanted

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Speaker 2: to play. That's it. I mean, there's only seventeen games,

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Speaker 2: and it's that's a dangerous path and I don't like that.

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Speaker 2: I don't know how you solve it. But the haven't

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Speaker 2: said he liked big he likes big cats. I do

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Speaker 2: you need a minimum amount of wins to be eligible?

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Speaker 4: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: So yeah, the way the Saints Falcons does have some

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Speaker 1: ramifications as far as the uh not for them, but

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Speaker 1: as far as the season total goes. The the over

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Speaker 1: under for the Saints one season, early in the off season,

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Speaker 1: I think this was right before Derek Carr officially retired.

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Speaker 2: It was six and a half and Falcons in total too, so.

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Speaker 1: They I and I that was one of three total

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Speaker 1: bets that I made before the season was Saints under

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Speaker 1: six and a half wins. I need them to lose

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Speaker 1: to the Atlanta Falcons. I thought for sure a month

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Speaker 1: ago this was as safe as safe could be. And

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Speaker 1: they've gone on a little heater here and then, and

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Speaker 1: then you have the Falcons trying to play spoiler. I'm

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Speaker 1: I'm kind of into that game and part of it

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Speaker 1: is financially driven.

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Speaker 2: But Falcons win total offensive Rookie of the year. Bijon

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Speaker 2: is going toe it? What are the Bejon props going

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Speaker 2: to be this week? After last week and they're they're

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Speaker 2: gonna pepper him? Okay, what's going for the scrimmage record?

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Speaker 1: Okay? So I know that Zucky has this one coming

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Speaker 1: up later in the show. Brown's Bengals. Why is that interesting?

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Speaker 4: Are you joking because Joe Burrow and the boys are hooping?

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Speaker 2: Why is that interesting?

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Speaker 1: Uh?

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Speaker 2: Someone's going from Garrett? Yeah, Miles Garrett.

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Speaker 1: That's fair.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, what game would you have picked?

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Speaker 4: Like?

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Speaker 2: My other third game though is Packers Vikings. Yeah.

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Speaker 4: I thought about that, but I probably care less about

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Speaker 4: the Saints and the Viking.

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Speaker 3: About the Saints and the Falcons.

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Speaker 2: Packers Vikings, like the Packers are rest are going to

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Speaker 2: rest everyone. Maybe Malik will starts, I don't know. I

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Speaker 2: don't know. But they're resting every key fire because they're

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Speaker 2: locked in last year you had love get Bang w

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Speaker 2: Watson tears a c L. They've had so many injuries,

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Speaker 2: they're resting everyone. Maybe McCarthy plays for the Vikings, but

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Speaker 2: there's a chance this is Max Bros.

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Speaker 3: I think he does. I was gonna say it's got

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Speaker 3: to be broad.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, this is ugly. This could be Brosmer versus Tune.

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Speaker 2: Brosner six point favorite against Tune. This is that. That's

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Speaker 2: Chiefs Raiders. Get that half of my life, Kendrick.

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Speaker 1: Can we punt that one? Can we get that one

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Speaker 1: out of here? Yeah?

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Speaker 3: Sure, I don't care. We can.

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Speaker 4: We can squash all four of them if you really

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Speaker 4: feel like it, because I don't give a shit.

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Speaker 1: Okay, all right, sounds good. We are about to dive

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Speaker 1: deep into our plant the Flag games, but first a

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Speaker 1: word from our very own Kendra Middleton.

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Speaker 4: The Favorites podcast has teamed up with DraftKings sports book,

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Speaker 4: is yours, all right, Kendrick.

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Speaker 1: Before we get to the plays that will kick off

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Speaker 1: our week, what is on your mind?

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Speaker 2: What could you have been acting?

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Speaker 4: Before Philip Rivers was even brought up. We could all

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Speaker 4: agree that bringing back somebody that old sounded insane, and

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Speaker 4: now because of the games that we've had on Christmas

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Speaker 4: and the number of backup quarterbacks, third string quarterbacks we've seen,

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Speaker 4: looking back on this, it truly was the right decision.

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Speaker 4: And I think that this is probably going to wind

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Speaker 4: up changing quarterbacking as we know it. I think we're

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Speaker 4: probably going to see older guys stick around for longer.

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Speaker 4: This singular move honestly might have saved Kirk Cousins from

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Speaker 4: retirement or having the Falcons scratch this guaranteed money that

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Speaker 4: they were going to owe him if he stayed. I

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Speaker 4: think that they're probably happily going to give that.

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Speaker 3: To him now.

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Speaker 4: One because of obviously Michael Pennicks tearing his same acl

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Speaker 4: for like the third time. But two, the value that

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Speaker 4: Philip Rivers has shown in a veteran over some of

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Speaker 4: these young guys with the lack of experience has been.

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Speaker 3: Beyond eye opening.

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Speaker 4: I mean, this guy was an incredible quarterback ten years ago,

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Speaker 4: Sat on the couch for five years, came back and

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Speaker 4: competed and honestly better than a lot of the third

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Speaker 4: string young guys we saw. So I think that this

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Speaker 4: is probably going to seriously change quarterbacking in the future.

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Speaker 3: I don't know how you guys feel, but I.

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Speaker 4: Thought that this was a good topic to discuss because

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Speaker 4: I think things could seriously look really different moving forward.

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Speaker 1: I think what it does is it restores some values

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Speaker 1: of the position that have been lost lately. We are

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Speaker 1: so obsessed and I've certainly fallen victim to this of saying,

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Speaker 1: if this quarterback can't move, then they just can't work

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Speaker 1: in today's NFL. I think what Philip Rivers taught me

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Speaker 1: because I thought this was going to be a disaster, leadership, ball, placement,

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Speaker 1: understanding what the defense is throwing at you, all these

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Speaker 1: things that when I was growing up, that was all

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Speaker 1: that mattered at the quarterback position. And it seems like

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Speaker 1: lately athleticism has become such a big component into how

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Speaker 1: we evaluate quarterbacks. And Philip Rivers couldn't fucking move and

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Speaker 1: the guy was still effective at the position. All of

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Speaker 1: those things still.

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Speaker 4: Good teams good teams too, Like good teams in.

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Speaker 1: High pressure situations. I think we have lost sight of

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Speaker 1: how important the basics are at the quarterback position, leadership,

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Speaker 1: ball placement most specifically, And Philip Rivers showed that that's

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Speaker 1: the thing that I took away from it stuck.

435
00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:38,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think you need to be able

436
00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:40,480
Speaker 2: to move some to be an elite quarterback in the

437
00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:43,240
Speaker 2: NFL these days, because there's an offensive line problem in

438
00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:47,040
Speaker 2: the NFL. The edge rushers are getting better, although like

439
00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:50,080
Speaker 2: there's still some guys that are just like Burrow, He's

440
00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:53,760
Speaker 2: not gonna run and he's gonna sit in the pocket.

441
00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:56,160
Speaker 2: But I think that then after like your elite guys

442
00:22:56,160 --> 00:22:57,879
Speaker 2: who can move for the for the most part, if

443
00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 2: you just list like the top ten quarterbacks, they're all

444
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 2: going to have mobility like your elite eyes. But then

445
00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:08,160
Speaker 2: there's there's a quarterback shortage in the NFL, and then

446
00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:12,439
Speaker 2: like there are so many bad quarterbacks that the value

447
00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:15,040
Speaker 2: of just having a guy who can who is accurate,

448
00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:21,000
Speaker 2: can command the offense, I think was is has been lost,

449
00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:24,000
Speaker 2: as Brandon said, And there's there's always going to be

450
00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:30,440
Speaker 2: a a place for older quarterbacks because the Steelers exist.

451
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:34,440
Speaker 2: So what do they do next year? They're like the

452
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:38,040
Speaker 2: falling down like them. The quarterback story for next year

453
00:23:38,280 --> 00:23:40,240
Speaker 2: is you obviously have like the Raiders are going to

454
00:23:40,359 --> 00:23:46,359
Speaker 2: draft a quarterback, right the Giants that they stick with Dart.

455
00:23:46,520 --> 00:23:51,280
Speaker 3: For sure, So like you have does Kyler move?

456
00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:54,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, so too, I think is moving and then Kyler's

457
00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:58,160
Speaker 2: probably gone. Does Kyler like go to Miami? I don't

458
00:23:58,200 --> 00:24:01,359
Speaker 2: know what does Dan would with Daniel Jones because he

459
00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:03,600
Speaker 2: only signed a one year deal, so he's gone, or

460
00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:06,400
Speaker 2: like that the Colts end up resigning to the other colts,

461
00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:09,280
Speaker 2: the Steelers. What happens with Rogers? Like those are your

462
00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:13,320
Speaker 2: QB moving pieces? And like there's also a world where

463
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:17,320
Speaker 2: like the Raiders draft someone but need an older guy

464
00:24:17,960 --> 00:24:18,400
Speaker 2: right as.

465
00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:21,520
Speaker 3: A bridge the same to have some questions.

466
00:24:21,560 --> 00:24:24,560
Speaker 4: I think Tyler Shuck's their guy, but they doubted they did,

467
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:26,120
Speaker 4: They doubted him for quite some time.

468
00:24:26,200 --> 00:24:26,640
Speaker 3: I don't know.

469
00:24:27,119 --> 00:24:30,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, so's there's opportunities. I'm good should have to highlight

470
00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:32,960
Speaker 2: the quarterback shorts. It's like there was an article yesterday

471
00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:34,600
Speaker 2: I said, like here are the three teams that could

472
00:24:34,600 --> 00:24:37,600
Speaker 2: give Daniel Jones one hundred and fifty million, like like

473
00:24:37,720 --> 00:24:40,480
Speaker 2: that these guy towards ACL he's not been great his

474
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:42,359
Speaker 2: whole career. I get it good if you flashed this

475
00:24:42,400 --> 00:24:44,520
Speaker 2: year a little bit, but like that's Daniel Jones is

476
00:24:44,560 --> 00:24:47,760
Speaker 2: like a hot commodity. So yeah, I think it's a

477
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:51,879
Speaker 2: good point and worthy of discussion. But I liked I

478
00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:57,400
Speaker 2: think the most impressive thing about Rivers is his level

479
00:24:57,440 --> 00:24:59,720
Speaker 2: of care, Like he was like the most. He cared

480
00:24:59,760 --> 00:25:02,639
Speaker 2: more than any other cold on the field. Screaming on

481
00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:03,800
Speaker 2: the sidelines, Oh my.

482
00:25:03,760 --> 00:25:04,920
Speaker 1: God, I love it.

483
00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:08,880
Speaker 2: And then that's one of the things you.

484
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:11,920
Speaker 1: Know, and how many guys come into the league, even

485
00:25:12,080 --> 00:25:15,280
Speaker 1: if their veterans of five or six years, are willing

486
00:25:15,320 --> 00:25:18,840
Speaker 1: to scream at their offensive linemen if they if they

487
00:25:18,880 --> 00:25:23,600
Speaker 1: false start. There's I think it's a cultural thing. We're

488
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:27,040
Speaker 1: afraid of confrontation now more than ever, and Philip Rivers

489
00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:30,200
Speaker 1: is going in on his offensive line if they screw up.

490
00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:33,679
Speaker 1: That's leadership, being able to and not doing it just

491
00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 1: because you want to be a dick, but doing it

492
00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:39,200
Speaker 1: because you're trying to be better on every single play.

493
00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:42,520
Speaker 1: It was old school leadership. It was really cool to

494
00:25:42,520 --> 00:25:44,159
Speaker 1: see and I thought it was going to be a

495
00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:45,280
Speaker 1: train wreck and it wasn't.

496
00:25:45,680 --> 00:25:47,440
Speaker 3: Was it really give more value?

497
00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:50,600
Speaker 1: Like I think it gives him less in some regard

498
00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:52,240
Speaker 1: because I don't think he's a good leader. I think

499
00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:54,080
Speaker 1: it shows just how important that I.

500
00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:57,320
Speaker 4: Don't know, because like if you've seen you're a Dolphins fan,

501
00:25:57,359 --> 00:25:58,840
Speaker 4: you should have seen all this all week, all the

502
00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,240
Speaker 4: clips of him on the bench with Quinn helping him out,

503
00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:01,960
Speaker 4: helping him.

504
00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:02,880
Speaker 3: Like read the iPad.

505
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:06,040
Speaker 4: He has not gone like full scorged earth, like he's

506
00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,080
Speaker 4: being a mentor to Quinn you wears, And I think

507
00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:10,600
Speaker 4: that that shows something from him.

508
00:26:11,280 --> 00:26:14,520
Speaker 2: Back up there's but listen up, we got sixty minutes,

509
00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:17,040
Speaker 2: sixty minutes tonight, four hours of pain. I still laugh

510
00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:19,440
Speaker 2: at his pregame type speech.

511
00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:24,960
Speaker 3: In the tunnel another day closer to doth So uh.

512
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:26,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, it'll be well, we'll have a lot of time

513
00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 2: to discuss. So sure, quarterback Carasel on the off season.

514
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:31,679
Speaker 1: We're going to talk about the college ranks before we

515
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:33,840
Speaker 1: get to our plant the flag games. Let's sling it

516
00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:38,280
Speaker 1: over to the CFP. It's that mysterious time after Christmas Day,

517
00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:40,840
Speaker 1: right before New Year's Day that our couch becomes the

518
00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:45,040
Speaker 1: thing that we have a very intimate relationship with. That's

519
00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:47,480
Speaker 1: where we watch Quinn you ers sling the ball around

520
00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:51,919
Speaker 1: the yard and because that's where you watch your Sling TV.

521
00:26:52,359 --> 00:26:54,600
Speaker 1: The best way to not miss a single moment of

522
00:26:54,600 --> 00:26:58,680
Speaker 1: the college football playoffs is with Sling TV. So we're

523
00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:01,560
Speaker 1: going to tell the folks all about Sling TV and

524
00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:05,000
Speaker 1: how they can cover you this holiday season. With Sling TV,

525
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:08,760
Speaker 1: you take full control with the flexible package option of one, three,

526
00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:12,600
Speaker 1: and seven day passes for access to thirty plus live channels,

527
00:27:12,600 --> 00:27:15,560
Speaker 1: which includes ESPN and TNT, so that you're covered for

528
00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:18,800
Speaker 1: the Orange Bowl, the Rose Bowl, the Cotton Bowl, and more. So,

529
00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:22,560
Speaker 1: tell that family friend or family member about Sling TV.

530
00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:27,800
Speaker 1: Let's put together an all day parlay for New Year's

531
00:27:27,880 --> 00:27:33,520
Speaker 1: Day college football playoff quarterfinal games on Thursday. Stucky, Let's

532
00:27:33,520 --> 00:27:36,880
Speaker 1: start with you. You're the college football guru here on

533
00:27:36,920 --> 00:27:39,640
Speaker 1: the pod. Who are we betting on New Year's Day?

534
00:27:40,320 --> 00:27:43,000
Speaker 2: Let's just start off. We'll put an anchor in their

535
00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:45,960
Speaker 2: Indiana on the money line to get it done. I

536
00:27:46,000 --> 00:27:47,760
Speaker 2: think much better team. I think this line is a

537
00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:52,040
Speaker 2: little short. Albama can't run the ball, they can't get pressure.

538
00:27:52,920 --> 00:27:56,080
Speaker 2: Indiana elite staff extra time to prepare here. But the

539
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:59,440
Speaker 2: one dimensional Alabama attack. They've been so fortunate for about

540
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:03,320
Speaker 2: two months fortunate against Oklahoma, probably should have lost to Auburn,

541
00:28:03,359 --> 00:28:05,760
Speaker 2: probably should have lost to South Carolina. I just don't

542
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:09,120
Speaker 2: think this Alabama team is elite. I think this Indiana

543
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:11,399
Speaker 2: team is clearly one of the two best teams in

544
00:28:11,440 --> 00:28:13,879
Speaker 2: the country, maybe three. If you want to throw a

545
00:28:13,880 --> 00:28:16,760
Speaker 2: Notre Dame in, there is not in. But yeah, I

546
00:28:16,800 --> 00:28:20,840
Speaker 2: think Indiana is too well balanced. Like, if you look

547
00:28:20,840 --> 00:28:23,680
Speaker 2: at these teams, one of these teams can run the ball,

548
00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:27,480
Speaker 2: one of these teams can get after the quarterback, and

549
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:31,360
Speaker 2: that one is Indiana in both aspects. I think that's

550
00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:34,320
Speaker 2: the difference. So give me the Hoosiers to advance.

551
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:38,680
Speaker 1: I dig it. I'm into Indiana, Kendra, what about you?

552
00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:41,840
Speaker 4: I'm going with the Oregon money line. I think the

553
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:44,200
Speaker 4: Ducks are going to be one of the most slept

554
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:47,080
Speaker 4: on teams throughout this entire postseason. I think that they

555
00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:49,400
Speaker 4: could win a national championship this year if some things

556
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:54,320
Speaker 4: go right for them. For me, it's just one I

557
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:57,320
Speaker 4: don't love a lot of times teams that spend a

558
00:28:57,320 --> 00:28:59,880
Speaker 4: ton of time on their couch in between games or

559
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:02,160
Speaker 4: is obviously coming off of a feel good, pretty easy

560
00:29:02,160 --> 00:29:03,840
Speaker 4: win for them. I think it was an easy spot

561
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:06,600
Speaker 4: for them to get up can give them some momentum

562
00:29:06,640 --> 00:29:08,480
Speaker 4: moving forward. But the other thing for me is that

563
00:29:08,520 --> 00:29:11,320
Speaker 4: there's some continuity on their roster. And Oregon's been one

564
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:13,160
Speaker 4: of these teams since the dawn of time who has

565
00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 4: invested a lot of money into their program, whereas Texas

566
00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:20,960
Speaker 4: Tech hasn't. This is they're new to putting a ton

567
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:23,400
Speaker 4: of nil all of this money into this program. It's

568
00:29:23,440 --> 00:29:25,960
Speaker 4: really the first year that it's paid dividends for them,

569
00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 4: whereas with Oregon it's been that way for a long time,

570
00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 4: which is where they get that continuity. So I like

571
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:33,960
Speaker 4: Oregon in this spot, don't love that they've been on

572
00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:35,160
Speaker 4: their couch for quite some time.

573
00:29:35,160 --> 00:29:36,520
Speaker 3: I think Oregon probably rolls here.

574
00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:39,760
Speaker 1: Okay, well, then I'm gonna have to change my pick

575
00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:42,160
Speaker 1: because I think putting Texas Tech plus two and a

576
00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:43,640
Speaker 1: half in there would be kind of silly.

577
00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:46,680
Speaker 3: At this point, I like this one better than anyway.

578
00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:49,959
Speaker 1: Well, I'm gonna go with the I'm gonna have a role.

579
00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:52,440
Speaker 1: I'm I'm gonna throw Georgia in there at minus six

580
00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:55,760
Speaker 1: and a half against Ole Miss I think this is

581
00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:59,320
Speaker 1: where not having Lane Kiffen wasn't going to impact them

582
00:29:59,320 --> 00:30:03,959
Speaker 1: against two not having your head coach will impact you

583
00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:08,000
Speaker 1: against Kirby Smart with extra time to prepare. I think

584
00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:10,720
Speaker 1: people are gonna come in on Old miss after watching

585
00:30:10,840 --> 00:30:14,640
Speaker 1: them route the green wave, and uh, I think it's

586
00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:18,120
Speaker 1: a mistake. So I will throw Georgia minus six and

587
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:21,200
Speaker 1: a half in there. We're gonna add Indiana's money line

588
00:30:21,560 --> 00:30:26,120
Speaker 1: and Oregon's money line as well into our college football

589
00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:29,960
Speaker 1: all day parlay. Sling TV also coming in in the

590
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:33,720
Speaker 1: clutch for both NFL games on Saturday this week and

591
00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:37,040
Speaker 1: some NFL playoff games that are coming up. So now

592
00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:39,800
Speaker 1: is the time to acquaint yourself with Sling TVs one,

593
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:44,960
Speaker 1: three and seven day passes. Time to plant our flag

594
00:30:45,080 --> 00:30:48,480
Speaker 1: presented by DraftKings. The crown is yours.

595
00:30:50,280 --> 00:30:52,720
Speaker 2: It shut up, I'm trying to plant my flag here.

596
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:55,760
Speaker 1: Okay, you're really planning your flag in that thing. Kendro,

597
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:58,040
Speaker 1: We're back to you. What are we looking at?

598
00:30:58,320 --> 00:30:58,400
Speaker 4: You?

599
00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:00,680
Speaker 3: Guys? Stole both my picks.

600
00:31:00,760 --> 00:31:03,920
Speaker 4: I logged on here and Stucky is just his brain

601
00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:06,120
Speaker 4: is just so full of anything that he doesn't often

602
00:31:06,160 --> 00:31:08,360
Speaker 4: fill out notes. He just comes prepared and knows all

603
00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:10,080
Speaker 4: of the numbers in immediate real time.

604
00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:12,160
Speaker 3: And for the first time ever, I logged on.

605
00:31:12,120 --> 00:31:15,320
Speaker 4: To fill on our notes, and Stucky had filled them out,

606
00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:18,720
Speaker 4: so I couldn't beat him to the pick that I wanted,

607
00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:20,800
Speaker 4: and then you had the Panthers. That number's gone now,

608
00:31:20,800 --> 00:31:23,240
Speaker 4: which makes me feel a little bit vindicated. You guys

609
00:31:23,280 --> 00:31:25,480
Speaker 4: stole both of my picks, so I think I might

610
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:29,520
Speaker 4: go depending on starters for the Colts, I might lean Colts.

611
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:31,000
Speaker 3: I gotta be honest with you, guys.

612
00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:35,440
Speaker 4: I know that that's yucky, but it is a divisional

613
00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:38,520
Speaker 4: game and it just feels large.

614
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:39,720
Speaker 3: I think it's ten and a half.

615
00:31:39,760 --> 00:31:42,360
Speaker 2: Now, you can take whatever game you want. Mind you're pi.

616
00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:43,800
Speaker 2: My cat's trying to break in.

617
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:52,200
Speaker 1: Right about Don Cappy? About Don Cappy And so now

618
00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:59,200
Speaker 1: you've heard the tale I tell that's Ai l I'm

619
00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:01,200
Speaker 1: talking about the tail of that.

620
00:32:01,560 --> 00:32:04,080
Speaker 3: Dog cat show us the cat.

621
00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:05,880
Speaker 4: I think I think I'm gonna go with the Colts,

622
00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,640
Speaker 4: depending on who's gonna play and who's not. But that's

623
00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 4: probably gonna be where I'm getting just because it's in

624
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:11,680
Speaker 4: division and it might be.

625
00:32:11,640 --> 00:32:13,960
Speaker 3: A little bit of an emotional bet. But here we are.

626
00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:17,479
Speaker 1: Well okay, but we might also get Riley Leonard. Does

627
00:32:17,520 --> 00:32:20,520
Speaker 1: that make that's why less? Does that make you like

628
00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:22,720
Speaker 1: this any less that it might be they might go

629
00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:23,600
Speaker 1: Riley Leonard.

630
00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:25,080
Speaker 3: Here it is going to be. I think it is

631
00:32:25,080 --> 00:32:25,960
Speaker 3: going to be Riley Leonard.

632
00:32:26,000 --> 00:32:28,520
Speaker 4: But no, it's still a divisional game, and the Colts

633
00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:30,560
Speaker 4: did play the drugs pretty tough for a.

634
00:32:30,520 --> 00:32:35,959
Speaker 3: Hot yay is the cat that's such a cute cat stuck.

635
00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:40,840
Speaker 2: He's got a little heart heart white spot right there.

636
00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:42,160
Speaker 2: He's basically parlay.

637
00:32:42,320 --> 00:32:42,680
Speaker 1: Who's that?

638
00:32:43,960 --> 00:32:44,520
Speaker 2: This is Hank.

639
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:47,040
Speaker 3: I'm gonna cry.

640
00:32:47,280 --> 00:32:49,320
Speaker 2: But he's like a dog like he our nieces and

641
00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:52,680
Speaker 2: nephews just like carrying around. They just like they'll like

642
00:32:53,280 --> 00:32:55,720
Speaker 2: grab him like this and just walk around them. He

643
00:32:55,760 --> 00:32:57,520
Speaker 2: just lets anyone do whatever they want.

644
00:32:58,200 --> 00:32:59,880
Speaker 1: That's awesome. My cats love it.

645
00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:05,880
Speaker 4: Anyways, This might be half emotional, half brain, but I

646
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:07,280
Speaker 4: think the Colts are going to try and show up

647
00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:08,720
Speaker 4: and play. Whether it's I do think it's gonna be

648
00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:10,479
Speaker 4: Riley Leonard, but I still think they're gonna show up

649
00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:10,760
Speaker 4: to play.

650
00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:15,520
Speaker 1: I think Hank would be on the sad Cats. The

651
00:33:15,520 --> 00:33:17,479
Speaker 1: Panthers plus the points.

652
00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:18,360
Speaker 3: Then do what you coward.

653
00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:23,680
Speaker 1: No, I'm not I'm not gonna do that. I planted

654
00:33:25,800 --> 00:33:28,920
Speaker 1: I as I lost a point, we crossed three. I

655
00:33:28,960 --> 00:33:32,200
Speaker 1: already bet this and plus three. So this opened at

656
00:33:32,240 --> 00:33:34,560
Speaker 1: three and a half. I got it at three. Couple

657
00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:36,760
Speaker 1: of hours later that thing got gobbled up like a

658
00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:39,440
Speaker 1: like a Thanksgiving turkey. And then now we're down to

659
00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:42,520
Speaker 1: two and a half. I I can't advise the Panthers anymore.

660
00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:44,600
Speaker 1: If anything, I would tease them with somebody else that

661
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:48,200
Speaker 1: you like. Maybe I love a good teaser. How about

662
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:52,120
Speaker 1: Panthers up to eight and a half and the San

663
00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:54,680
Speaker 1: Francisco forty nine ers up to seven and a half.

664
00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:57,520
Speaker 1: There you go, have yourself a fun day on Saturday.

665
00:33:57,560 --> 00:33:59,800
Speaker 1: I will plant my flag though, on San Francisco plus

666
00:33:59,840 --> 00:34:02,080
Speaker 1: one one and a half against Seattle. Not only for

667
00:34:02,160 --> 00:34:04,400
Speaker 1: the division. This one's for the one seed, and I

668
00:34:04,440 --> 00:34:06,600
Speaker 1: feel like the forty nine ers, for the first time

669
00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:09,640
Speaker 1: in their existence, are the team that nobody's talking about.

670
00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:13,240
Speaker 1: Brock Party is as hot as any in the NFL,

671
00:34:13,400 --> 00:34:15,960
Speaker 1: thirteen touchdowns in his last three games. We do have

672
00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:18,960
Speaker 1: to monitor the Trent Williams injury. He injured his hamstring

673
00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:22,120
Speaker 1: on Sunday Night Football. I think George Kittle is going

674
00:34:22,200 --> 00:34:24,319
Speaker 1: to play and be back in this one. Mind you,

675
00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:27,360
Speaker 1: they ran up the score or they've got into the

676
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:31,480
Speaker 1: forties against the Bears without their best receiver in George Kittle.

677
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,040
Speaker 1: San Francisco is initially listed as a favorite in this one.

678
00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:38,200
Speaker 1: Money came in on Seattle. We've seen some resistance at

679
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:40,040
Speaker 1: plus one and a half, so I think the number

680
00:34:40,120 --> 00:34:42,880
Speaker 1: is likely going to settle where it's at. Happy to

681
00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:45,000
Speaker 1: be on the home dog here give me the forty

682
00:34:45,080 --> 00:34:48,640
Speaker 1: nine ers plus one and a half and a headshake

683
00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:49,240
Speaker 1: from Tendra.

684
00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:52,640
Speaker 2: Seattle kind of got screwed like they they were on

685
00:34:52,680 --> 00:34:55,319
Speaker 2: the East Coast and because of the NFL, like the

686
00:34:55,400 --> 00:34:59,000
Speaker 2: NFL did just so they're just TV and just greed.

687
00:35:00,160 --> 00:35:01,680
Speaker 2: Like all these games that are correlated we be at

688
00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:03,319
Speaker 2: the same time on Sundays. You should just have like

689
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:07,000
Speaker 2: a one o'clock correlated games, four o'clock core later games

690
00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:09,640
Speaker 2: mixing your games that are mean nothing. But they gotta

691
00:35:09,680 --> 00:35:11,120
Speaker 2: have Saturday games. So Seattle has to come across the

692
00:35:11,120 --> 00:35:12,960
Speaker 2: country on the secondary road game in a short week

693
00:35:13,000 --> 00:35:17,520
Speaker 2: for the division in the one seed. But I think

694
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:20,799
Speaker 2: Kittle on Williams are a huge year. Yeah, they can

695
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:22,680
Speaker 2: get away with it against the Bears defense. The Bears

696
00:35:22,680 --> 00:35:25,799
Speaker 2: defense is atrocious, but against the Seattle defense, but yeah,

697
00:35:25,800 --> 00:35:29,480
Speaker 2: the Seattle offense is trending way down. I mean, even

698
00:35:29,520 --> 00:35:31,920
Speaker 2: against the Panthers defense, I can't get pressure.

699
00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:34,919
Speaker 3: Donald Donald has incentives this weekend too.

700
00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:39,000
Speaker 2: Donald looked really bad. But since kender wouldn't, I don't

701
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:43,120
Speaker 2: even know what Kendrick's planned their flag on. Maybe the Colts, so.

702
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:46,000
Speaker 3: Riley Leonard or not? I hate this week? You got it.

703
00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:49,920
Speaker 2: It's gonna be Riley Leonard, Riley Leonard starting.

704
00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:53,080
Speaker 3: Why isn't Philip Rivers going to play one more game?

705
00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:54,759
Speaker 2: I guess they just want to see you might as

706
00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:57,160
Speaker 2: well see what you got since the game means nothing to.

707
00:35:57,640 --> 00:35:59,960
Speaker 1: It's a it's a learn learn about your guys, learn

708
00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:04,520
Speaker 1: about your personnel kind of game. For the Colts, well, season.

709
00:36:04,280 --> 00:36:06,480
Speaker 3: Was pretty much over. You couldn't let them. You could

710
00:36:06,560 --> 00:36:08,000
Speaker 3: have let that happen a month ago.

711
00:36:09,320 --> 00:36:11,600
Speaker 2: The last week they said that because there was a

712
00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:13,280
Speaker 2: chance that the Colts still could have made the playoffs

713
00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:15,080
Speaker 2: before some of the other results. And they said that

714
00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:17,279
Speaker 2: they're gonna start Rivers because he's gonna practice with the

715
00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:19,920
Speaker 2: ones all week. But Leonard's gonna practice the ones and start.

716
00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:21,840
Speaker 2: I think that's less fun. I would rather it s

717
00:36:21,880 --> 00:36:24,960
Speaker 2: all Rivers, But I get it. I'll play my Flags

718
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:29,160
Speaker 2: on two games. We talked about the Panthers Bucks on

719
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:32,279
Speaker 2: Sunday and Brandon would saying, I think you should take

720
00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:33,360
Speaker 2: the three and a half. I said, yeah, I mean

721
00:36:33,400 --> 00:36:35,799
Speaker 2: three is probably right at two and a half, I'm

722
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:40,319
Speaker 2: taking Tampa. I've been head of the Tampa stinks. I've

723
00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:43,400
Speaker 2: been driving that bus all year. Just because Baker had

724
00:36:43,400 --> 00:36:45,920
Speaker 2: a couple of miracle last minute wins early in the season,

725
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:48,759
Speaker 2: people thought this team was good. They're not. But the

726
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:51,719
Speaker 2: Panthers aren't good either. This line now two and a half.

727
00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:55,520
Speaker 2: Two weeks ago, they were three point favorites in Carolina.

728
00:36:55,680 --> 00:36:57,319
Speaker 2: Two weeks ago, we're at the end of the year

729
00:36:57,640 --> 00:36:59,560
Speaker 2: and it's not like and the game was a coin flip.

730
00:36:59,560 --> 00:37:02,600
Speaker 2: The Bucks had a coverage bus where Dean went played

731
00:37:02,600 --> 00:37:03,960
Speaker 2: the wrong coverage at the end of the first half, which

732
00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:05,719
Speaker 2: led to a touchdown. The game is a complete coin

733
00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:10,640
Speaker 2: flip game. Now two weeks later, the Bucks are under

734
00:37:10,680 --> 00:37:13,239
Speaker 2: a Fueld goal at home. I have to take that

735
00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:16,440
Speaker 2: at two and a half. I wouldn't I have.

736
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:20,239
Speaker 3: To sign what's that said? I think Hank was our sign.

737
00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:23,040
Speaker 2: Maybe, but I know I have to take the Bucks.

738
00:37:23,040 --> 00:37:24,799
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm worst. I think might be back. There

739
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:27,200
Speaker 2: are some other offensive line injuries. There's some defensive injuries

740
00:37:27,239 --> 00:37:30,600
Speaker 2: Dean and Reddit worth monitoring. But like the Panthers, don't

741
00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:32,840
Speaker 2: get pressure. Bryce Young on the road it's atrocious. I

742
00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:34,960
Speaker 2: mean last week he threw it for fifty hours on

743
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:37,880
Speaker 2: twenty four attempts. I have to take the I have

744
00:37:37,960 --> 00:37:39,319
Speaker 2: to take the Bucks minus two and a half here.

745
00:37:39,520 --> 00:37:42,440
Speaker 2: Plus it's the NFC South. You know it's going to

746
00:37:42,480 --> 00:37:47,319
Speaker 2: come down to Saints Falcons on Sunday. NFL scriptwriters will

747
00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:50,080
Speaker 2: ensure that happens. But my my favorite bet is the

748
00:37:50,080 --> 00:37:55,600
Speaker 2: Bengals against the Browns. I think the Bengals blow the

749
00:37:55,640 --> 00:37:58,600
Speaker 2: doors off the Browns. Browns are simple team people. They're

750
00:37:58,600 --> 00:38:01,400
Speaker 2: the least profitable road team over the past three years,

751
00:38:01,520 --> 00:38:04,279
Speaker 2: the most profitable home team. Their defense doesn't play the

752
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:07,279
Speaker 2: same on their road. It's like Garrett once he gets

753
00:38:07,280 --> 00:38:10,320
Speaker 2: his sack. Okay, good night. But that this Bengals offense

754
00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 2: is rolling. Their offensive line is playing better. Mims, Fairchild,

755
00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:16,760
Speaker 2: are playing better. You got all your healthy pieces. Burrow's

756
00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:20,759
Speaker 2: gonna play. The offense is rolling right now, so they're

757
00:38:20,760 --> 00:38:21,959
Speaker 2: gonna put up their points at home.

758
00:38:22,200 --> 00:38:24,920
Speaker 3: Free my boy, Free Joe Burrow from.

759
00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:28,320
Speaker 2: All can the Browns match? No, I don't think Fannon's

760
00:38:28,320 --> 00:38:32,279
Speaker 2: gonna play. Fannin's their whole offense. Luckily he played enough.

761
00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:33,879
Speaker 2: He played a quarter last week and caught a fifty

762
00:38:33,880 --> 00:38:37,480
Speaker 2: our touchdown pass. Because after that the Browns did nothing. Nadjok,

763
00:38:37,480 --> 00:38:40,920
Speaker 2: Who's hurt? Fannin's hurt? How are they going to keep

764
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:44,160
Speaker 2: up here? Additionally, I think the Bengals are a little

765
00:38:44,200 --> 00:38:48,439
Speaker 2: undervalued right now because their defense is playing much much

766
00:38:48,440 --> 00:38:52,040
Speaker 2: better the past six weeks. Number one in EPA per play.

767
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:54,319
Speaker 2: You might say, ah, who have they played ball? Blah?

768
00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:58,880
Speaker 2: They played the Ravens twice, the Pats, the Bills, the

769
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:02,759
Speaker 2: Dolphins and someone else. Is probably bad. But that's not

770
00:39:02,840 --> 00:39:05,560
Speaker 2: like a stretch of just the worst offenses in the NFL.

771
00:39:06,000 --> 00:39:07,919
Speaker 2: So you might ask why why is it? Well, there's

772
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:10,319
Speaker 2: a number of reasons. Over the first ten weeks they

773
00:39:10,320 --> 00:39:12,880
Speaker 2: were historically bad. I'm not saying they're a good defense

774
00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:15,880
Speaker 2: right now, but they're just like maybe the twenty fifth

775
00:39:16,040 --> 00:39:18,319
Speaker 2: best defense, which is all you need with the like.

776
00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:20,400
Speaker 2: They just can't be historically bad when you have this

777
00:39:20,440 --> 00:39:23,960
Speaker 2: Bengals offense and you're going up against a horrendous Browns D.

778
00:39:24,120 --> 00:39:26,440
Speaker 2: But why is the Bengals d trending up? Why? I

779
00:39:26,440 --> 00:39:29,400
Speaker 2: think it's real, Well, they have two rookie linebackers who

780
00:39:29,440 --> 00:39:30,920
Speaker 2: were the worst in the NFL over the first ten

781
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:35,439
Speaker 2: weeks in Carter Knight. They're playing legitimately better, so not great,

782
00:39:35,520 --> 00:39:38,759
Speaker 2: but they were unplayable over the first ten weeks. Now

783
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 2: they're playing better. They also moved Dax Hill out to

784
00:39:42,160 --> 00:39:44,799
Speaker 2: the outside. DJ Turner on the other side, has been

785
00:39:44,840 --> 00:39:47,480
Speaker 2: one of the best corners in the NFL. Hill's played

786
00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:51,600
Speaker 2: amazingly locked down since he's moved to the outside. Because

787
00:39:51,640 --> 00:39:55,560
Speaker 2: they had Jeeff what is his name, their new slot

788
00:39:55,600 --> 00:39:57,680
Speaker 2: corner who's been on the who's on the practice squad,

789
00:39:57,680 --> 00:40:00,839
Speaker 2: He's been with the organization for like five years. He's

790
00:40:00,880 --> 00:40:04,200
Speaker 2: come in, played the nickel and played it pretty well.

791
00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:07,920
Speaker 2: It's enabled Hill went out after the first ten weeks,

792
00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:12,400
Speaker 2: went outside Jalen Davis. So now their corners are playing

793
00:40:12,440 --> 00:40:15,680
Speaker 2: really well. Rookie linebackers are playing better. They change some

794
00:40:15,719 --> 00:40:19,719
Speaker 2: of their fronts. Slayton's playing better with these new formations

795
00:40:19,719 --> 00:40:22,760
Speaker 2: against the run. They're getting something from Miles Murphy finally,

796
00:40:23,080 --> 00:40:24,640
Speaker 2: and then you just have Al Golden, who came in

797
00:40:24,640 --> 00:40:26,880
Speaker 2: as a new coordinator with a bunch of new pieces

798
00:40:26,880 --> 00:40:29,400
Speaker 2: and started to figure some things out schematically. So like,

799
00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:33,080
Speaker 2: I do think that the Bengals defense is legitimately improved,

800
00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:37,000
Speaker 2: which they've shown over the past six weeks, and you're

801
00:40:37,040 --> 00:40:39,120
Speaker 2: playing one of the worst offenses in the NFL, A

802
00:40:39,160 --> 00:40:41,319
Speaker 2: defense that doesn't play the same on the road. Could

803
00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:43,160
Speaker 2: see this being a little bit of an emotional letdown

804
00:40:43,160 --> 00:40:44,759
Speaker 2: for the Grounds, right, they had that huge win over

805
00:40:44,800 --> 00:40:47,480
Speaker 2: the Steelers. I don't think they can keep up here.

806
00:40:48,160 --> 00:40:50,959
Speaker 2: I think the Bengals role So gimme Sincy in the jungle.

807
00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:54,960
Speaker 1: Tend to agree with that one. So yeah, two from Stuckey.

808
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:57,759
Speaker 1: He's on the Bucks minus two and a half and

809
00:40:57,920 --> 00:41:02,160
Speaker 1: the Bengals minus seven against the Cleveland Browns, and we

810
00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:06,480
Speaker 1: got Kendra with a shoulder shrug emoji on the Colts

811
00:41:06,520 --> 00:41:07,560
Speaker 1: plus ten and a half.

812
00:41:07,719 --> 00:41:11,000
Speaker 3: I second the Bengals. That was gonna be my pick.

813
00:41:11,320 --> 00:41:12,239
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, so.

814
00:41:12,400 --> 00:41:14,799
Speaker 2: Well let you pick now. Are you playing your flag

815
00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:16,480
Speaker 2: on the Bengals? All playing on the Bucks minus two

816
00:41:16,520 --> 00:41:16,879
Speaker 2: and a half?

817
00:41:17,040 --> 00:41:19,920
Speaker 3: Oh there you go, Okay, I was I was Bengals Panthers.

818
00:41:20,120 --> 00:41:22,480
Speaker 3: I was gonna go with the Cats. So Hank is

819
00:41:22,520 --> 00:41:23,600
Speaker 3: my sign Meal.

820
00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:27,480
Speaker 1: Okay, so then we're gonna switch this. I'm throwing this,

821
00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:29,600
Speaker 1: just see what it looks like. Throw it in a parlay.

822
00:41:29,800 --> 00:41:31,759
Speaker 1: We get the Bengals minus seven and a half forty

823
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:34,000
Speaker 1: nine Ers plus one and a half, and the Bucks

824
00:41:34,080 --> 00:41:37,759
Speaker 1: minus two and a half at plus five seventy nine

825
00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:40,799
Speaker 1: over on Draft Kings. That's not the official two Kings

826
00:41:40,800 --> 00:41:42,560
Speaker 1: and a Queen parlay, but just in case you were

827
00:41:42,560 --> 00:41:44,880
Speaker 1: curious over on Draft Kings, though.

828
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:47,239
Speaker 2: The chaptains is gonna matter. The NFL will make sure.

829
00:41:47,440 --> 00:41:49,080
Speaker 2: I thought the people think all these games were fixed,

830
00:41:49,080 --> 00:41:51,319
Speaker 2: they're not. But the people that do think the games

831
00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:54,240
Speaker 2: are fixed, then, like the confused theorists and like the scriptwriters,

832
00:41:54,520 --> 00:41:58,400
Speaker 2: the NFL made out last week because everything that needed

833
00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:01,279
Speaker 2: to happen for drama did. Like the Ravens beat the.

834
00:42:01,239 --> 00:42:04,080
Speaker 3: Packers, except now no DK in that game.

835
00:42:04,640 --> 00:42:08,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, no DK is huge. But the Browns beat.

836
00:42:08,120 --> 00:42:10,040
Speaker 1: The Steelers off the script.

837
00:42:11,480 --> 00:42:15,040
Speaker 2: Yeah he went off script brown. So Browns beat the Steelers.

838
00:42:15,480 --> 00:42:18,080
Speaker 2: Ravens beat the Packers, keeps the AFC North Race down.

839
00:42:18,120 --> 00:42:20,600
Speaker 2: At the Sunday night football game. You even had the

840
00:42:21,080 --> 00:42:25,000
Speaker 2: Falcons beat the Rams, where now that could that game

841
00:42:25,000 --> 00:42:29,240
Speaker 2: could matter? You had the Bucks and the Panthers both lose,

842
00:42:29,320 --> 00:42:32,920
Speaker 2: so now that game matters. What else, Oh, you have

843
00:42:33,000 --> 00:42:37,319
Speaker 2: the Seahawks win, the forty nine Ers win, so that

844
00:42:37,360 --> 00:42:39,360
Speaker 2: game is for the division and for the one seed.

845
00:42:39,800 --> 00:42:43,600
Speaker 2: So like everything that possibly that they needed to happen

846
00:42:43,640 --> 00:42:47,400
Speaker 2: because there was a path where Week eighteen was whoa, like,

847
00:42:47,800 --> 00:42:50,440
Speaker 2: this is going to be bad and bleak, but they

848
00:42:50,480 --> 00:42:53,040
Speaker 2: had everything go right that could have. Now there's still

849
00:42:53,080 --> 00:42:54,560
Speaker 2: some bag games. There are still gonna be twelve backup

850
00:42:54,600 --> 00:42:57,160
Speaker 2: quarterbacks that we have to watch. The Sunday afternoon slate

851
00:42:57,280 --> 00:42:59,600
Speaker 2: is going to be pretty sad, and there's some games

852
00:42:59,600 --> 00:43:01,680
Speaker 2: that you just bet right now. I mean you can

853
00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:03,560
Speaker 2: if you have info or have a strong but like

854
00:43:04,200 --> 00:43:07,359
Speaker 2: the rams, like based on Seattle for the forty nine

855
00:43:07,400 --> 00:43:09,080
Speaker 2: hours rears old, it's probably what's going to determine if

856
00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:12,200
Speaker 2: they rest their starters. The Eagles, how are they gonna

857
00:43:12,200 --> 00:43:14,439
Speaker 2: wrest their start? There's a lot of like unknowns. Now

858
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:19,080
Speaker 2: there's gonna be some line moves, so we'll we'll recap

859
00:43:19,120 --> 00:43:23,239
Speaker 2: everything and update everyone where things stand on Friday this week.

860
00:43:23,280 --> 00:43:25,400
Speaker 2: That's we have New Year's Eve Wednesday and Newyear's Date Thursday,

861
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:28,160
Speaker 2: so or second episode this week will be on Friday.

862
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:32,719
Speaker 1: Right correct. Let's wrap with our Tuesday primer courtesy of

863
00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:36,040
Speaker 1: Evan Abrams. It is live now over at Action network

864
00:43:36,120 --> 00:43:39,640
Speaker 1: dot com. Evan, welcome to the show. Do you think

865
00:43:39,680 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 1: the cat was a sign that we should be on

866
00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:43,080
Speaker 1: the Panthers this week?

867
00:43:44,160 --> 00:43:46,359
Speaker 5: I like the Bucks, so I'm gonna say no. But

868
00:43:46,520 --> 00:43:49,160
Speaker 5: normally I would say sad cats. It had to be

869
00:43:49,200 --> 00:43:51,160
Speaker 5: a sign, but not with this situation.

870
00:43:51,239 --> 00:43:53,040
Speaker 2: Down to you, No, Hank is a happy cat. It

871
00:43:53,120 --> 00:43:54,000
Speaker 2: was a Bengals sign.

872
00:43:54,520 --> 00:43:56,879
Speaker 5: It give me a Jaguar sign too. Let's just be good.

873
00:43:56,920 --> 00:43:59,040
Speaker 1: Roll spray paint the cat like a Bengal.

874
00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:00,000
Speaker 4: Come on, can we have.

875
00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:01,360
Speaker 3: Cat parley this week?

876
00:44:01,760 --> 00:44:03,160
Speaker 2: MIGHT want to keep you guys like the box.

877
00:44:03,239 --> 00:44:05,680
Speaker 3: I might do this on my own. I might be

878
00:44:05,800 --> 00:44:07,160
Speaker 3: on the Lions, dude, I did.

879
00:44:07,800 --> 00:44:11,160
Speaker 1: I'd like the Lions. I haven't completely dug into that one.

880
00:44:11,200 --> 00:44:13,520
Speaker 1: I did bet the Jags already, so we could definitely.

881
00:44:14,080 --> 00:44:15,719
Speaker 3: I saw that pop in from you this morning on

882
00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:16,200
Speaker 3: the app.

883
00:44:16,600 --> 00:44:18,680
Speaker 1: We could definitely do that. Yeah, there was an eleven

884
00:44:18,680 --> 00:44:20,680
Speaker 1: and a half hanging out there. I don't think this

885
00:44:20,760 --> 00:44:23,600
Speaker 1: line's gonna tilt closer to thirteen, so that was more

886
00:44:23,600 --> 00:44:26,920
Speaker 1: of a number play all right, Evan, what are we

887
00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:30,440
Speaker 1: looking at anything that we need to know before we

888
00:44:30,520 --> 00:44:33,240
Speaker 1: hit Is this the toughest week to put the primer together,

889
00:44:33,280 --> 00:44:35,400
Speaker 1: by the way I would think it is, Well.

890
00:44:35,280 --> 00:44:38,839
Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean you're also adding incentives, milestones, records into

891
00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:41,759
Speaker 5: the article, plus playoff scenarios. I was up till like

892
00:44:41,800 --> 00:44:43,320
Speaker 5: two thirty or three because I wanted to get it

893
00:44:43,360 --> 00:44:45,600
Speaker 5: out the door. It is out the door. We are done,

894
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:48,720
Speaker 5: we move on to the playoffs. Just some fun stuff here.

895
00:44:48,840 --> 00:44:51,200
Speaker 5: So week seventeen and eighteen, dogs of over a full

896
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:54,560
Speaker 5: touchdown seven and a half or more are actually plus

897
00:44:54,680 --> 00:44:57,800
Speaker 5: nine point seven percent return on investment. They are sixteen

898
00:44:57,840 --> 00:45:00,000
Speaker 5: and fifty three. But it doesn't matter when you're geting

899
00:45:00,120 --> 00:45:03,000
Speaker 5: that big of a dog. So at the moment, it's

900
00:45:03,040 --> 00:45:09,879
Speaker 5: and obviously those are closing lines. It'd be Arizona Chargers, Colts, Browns, Titans, Dolphins,

901
00:45:09,960 --> 00:45:12,799
Speaker 5: really the ugliest of ugly, but you probably just need

902
00:45:12,840 --> 00:45:15,480
Speaker 5: two or three to come into profit. So that has

903
00:45:15,560 --> 00:45:18,600
Speaker 5: looked decent last decade or so in the last two

904
00:45:18,640 --> 00:45:21,960
Speaker 5: weeks of the regular season, and honestly, this is just

905
00:45:21,960 --> 00:45:26,680
Speaker 5: a fun one. So obviously Chargers rest sitting, everybody completely resting,

906
00:45:26,960 --> 00:45:29,960
Speaker 5: But Jim Harbaugh with the Chargers ten to zero to

907
00:45:30,040 --> 00:45:32,759
Speaker 5: one against the spread versus the AFC West, so he

908
00:45:32,800 --> 00:45:35,440
Speaker 5: has absolutely covered all the numbers and this week he

909
00:45:35,480 --> 00:45:40,000
Speaker 5: gets a massive number. Here's a great one. The Jacksonville defense,

910
00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:43,799
Speaker 5: especially rush defense, have not allowed a player to rush

911
00:45:43,840 --> 00:45:46,640
Speaker 5: for seventy five yards seventy five yards in a single

912
00:45:46,680 --> 00:45:50,640
Speaker 5: game this year, so they've had eight running backs at

913
00:45:50,640 --> 00:45:52,640
Speaker 5: sixty plus. They are eight and o to the under

914
00:45:52,960 --> 00:45:55,080
Speaker 5: so we will see how that moves towards the playoffs.

915
00:45:55,120 --> 00:45:58,560
Speaker 5: But that's intriguing, and of course I gotta say it

916
00:45:58,680 --> 00:46:02,040
Speaker 5: Raven Steelers, we always talk about it every time he

917
00:46:02,120 --> 00:46:05,399
Speaker 5: seems play but the underdog just ridiculous records. Twenty five

918
00:46:05,440 --> 00:46:08,400
Speaker 5: and seven when Tomlin faces Harbaugh and in the regular

919
00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:10,920
Speaker 5: season with a line of three or more, twenty four

920
00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:14,359
Speaker 5: and five against the spread, just stupid, stupid numbers. And

921
00:46:14,880 --> 00:46:17,359
Speaker 5: we will see without DK Metcalf if the Steelers can

922
00:46:17,400 --> 00:46:18,000
Speaker 5: keep that rolling.

923
00:46:18,800 --> 00:46:21,959
Speaker 1: And Lamar Jackson has not been ruled in just yet,

924
00:46:22,080 --> 00:46:24,319
Speaker 1: so keep an eye on that one. That's another one

925
00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:27,320
Speaker 1: that I don't feel comfortable betting that just yet until

926
00:46:27,320 --> 00:46:30,120
Speaker 1: we know what that quarterback situation is going to look

927
00:46:30,200 --> 00:46:34,839
Speaker 1: like because We're definitely gonna see some movement there. As

928
00:46:34,880 --> 00:46:38,920
Speaker 1: far as I had asked about totals, is there anything

929
00:46:39,120 --> 00:46:43,200
Speaker 1: on these teams that are punting to the postseason or

930
00:46:43,200 --> 00:46:47,480
Speaker 1: the offseason that are not really interested in Week eighteen?

931
00:46:47,600 --> 00:46:51,600
Speaker 1: Is there anything to be gained here in terms of unders,

932
00:46:51,760 --> 00:46:53,879
Speaker 1: wacky overs, anything of the sort.

933
00:46:55,200 --> 00:46:57,560
Speaker 5: I don't really have anything in terms of like the

934
00:46:57,640 --> 00:46:59,839
Speaker 5: totals themselves this late in the season, but I could

935
00:46:59,840 --> 00:47:01,560
Speaker 5: take to look down. If there's anything good, I'll at

936
00:47:01,600 --> 00:47:02,160
Speaker 5: it to the Primer.

937
00:47:02,480 --> 00:47:04,840
Speaker 1: Evan, thank you so much for all the work that

938
00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:06,680
Speaker 1: you've done on the Primer throughout the course of the

939
00:47:06,680 --> 00:47:09,839
Speaker 1: regular season. We'll be sure to check that out when

940
00:47:09,880 --> 00:47:12,640
Speaker 1: we get the playoff mode as well. That'll do it

941
00:47:12,680 --> 00:47:15,560
Speaker 1: for today's episode special thanks to our producers David Paine

942
00:47:15,560 --> 00:47:19,319
Speaker 1: and Gifford Gold. The Favorites will return on Friday. Right

943
00:47:19,320 --> 00:47:21,640
Speaker 1: here on the Action Network YouTube page, we talk Week

944
00:47:21,719 --> 00:47:25,040
Speaker 1: eighteen best bets in the NFL and nominate our two

945
00:47:25,200 --> 00:47:28,200
Speaker 1: Kings and a Queen Paulay. The last one of the

946
00:47:28,239 --> 00:47:30,680
Speaker 1: regular season. We'll see you here next time on The Favorites,

947
00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:38,879
Speaker 1: presented by DraftKings. A Happy New Year to all.

948
00:47:43,719 --> 00:47:48,239
Speaker 3: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

949
00:47:48,280 --> 00:47:51,040
Speaker 3: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

950
00:47:51,080 --> 00:47:54,200
Speaker 3: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler