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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you happy? Saturday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into another episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My

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Speaker 2: name is Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across

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Speaker 2: all of my socials at Sports Talk Matt, and boy

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Speaker 2: did I screw up yesterday. Golf has been a bad

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Speaker 2: bet for me for a while and it put us

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Speaker 2: off into a bad spot. One and two would have

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Speaker 2: been fine. The one in three record, well, that's what

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Speaker 2: really dunked the three consecutive winning days and kind of

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Speaker 2: flushed it all down. We're now down for the week

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Speaker 2: as we head to the weekend. It's not a lot,

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Speaker 2: but it's just a little. We lost Monday, we won

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Speaker 2: basically like two point seven units Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, and

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Speaker 2: that kind of put us up about two and a

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Speaker 2: half units for the week and then three units down yesterday.

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Speaker 2: Florida State was the easiest bet of the day that

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Speaker 2: got there. But then Scottie Scheffler, what was that? Yikes,

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Speaker 2: Brewers run line doesn't come through. Finally a loss. The

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Speaker 2: team lost the game. Finally, the Brewers, as I thought

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Speaker 2: yesterday was a principal play. At some point they were

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Speaker 2: going to lose, and for our Brewer's future. I'm actually

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Speaker 2: not that angry at what's going to happen there, but

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Speaker 2: because maybe your book has already paid you out for

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Speaker 2: your future's bets. But I get paid out in Vegas,

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Speaker 2: so after the season's over, so I'll get paid out

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Speaker 2: on Sunday, so I'll make it all back on our

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Speaker 2: futures wagers that will come through the four and one

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Speaker 2: mark for futures bets in the regular season, but losing

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Speaker 2: three units Guardian's money line they got smoked, so one

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Speaker 2: in three down three point zero five units, so we

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Speaker 2: have to rally here. I've got five bets for us

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Speaker 2: here for Saturday. Big Card reminder Discord channel Chat eleven

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Speaker 2: am Eastern time, eight am Pacific time on the Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros Discord channel. It is Bettingpros dot com slash Chat.

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Speaker 2: Bettingpros dot Com slash Chat to join eight am Pacific

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Speaker 2: eleven am Eastern will go over the entire card.

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Speaker 1: It is a monster day. It is a huge day.

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Speaker 2: There's a couple of bets I'm watching that are not

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Speaker 2: going to be official plays, and I will tell you

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Speaker 2: about coming up on the discord chat for other things.

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Speaker 2: If you want even more action or different games, If

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Speaker 2: you don't like some of these bets, you can replace

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Speaker 2: them with other plays that I'm going to make. It

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Speaker 2: is the end of September heading into October. It's really

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Speaker 2: one of the last times you can say the books

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Speaker 2: don't have great data. They're gonna have a lot of

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Speaker 2: data after this game. These games coming up here for today,

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Speaker 2: so the numbers will start to tighten up a little bit.

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Speaker 1: So let's try to expand a little bit.

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Speaker 2: And well, we've had a good month, so we have

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Speaker 2: some wiggle room here as to kind of be a

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Speaker 2: bit aggressive. So five plays for us coming today in

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Speaker 2: college football. So before that, let me tell you about

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Speaker 2: It's here college Football Saturday. You've been waiting for top

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Speaker 2: twenty five showdowns. I've got plays on a few of

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Speaker 1: You don't have to just watch the action and get

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Speaker 2: of Betting Pros Premium. All right, let's get into it.

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Speaker 2: Lots of games to break down, so let's start with

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Speaker 2: Utah and Utah against West Virginia. I'm not one to

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Speaker 2: lay big numbers on the road, however, Texas Tech in

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Speaker 2: Utah went toe to toe for most of the game

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Speaker 2: last week, and then it got ugly in the second

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Speaker 2: half in.

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Speaker 1: The fourth quarter.

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Speaker 2: But I still really like this Utah team, and I

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Speaker 2: still really like this Utah defense a lot. West Virginia

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Speaker 2: got a big win over pit but that was a

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Speaker 2: rivalry game in the backyard brawl, Okay, a lot of

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Speaker 2: emotion going into that game after the loss to Ohio.

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Speaker 2: Big swing, big opportunity to bounce back and let everyone

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Speaker 2: calm down and give rich Rod a really big, big win.

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Speaker 2: And they go on the road last week as twelve

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Speaker 2: point dogs to Kansas and they lose by thirty one points.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna fade West Virginia for a bit, Okay, in

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Speaker 2: particular when it's less than two touchdowns against a competent team.

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Speaker 2: Utah went on the road and they were laying six

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Speaker 2: and a half to Ucla, and we know how bad

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Speaker 2: UCLA is, but they still won the game by thirty

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Speaker 2: three points. That was really impressive. Then then they then

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Speaker 2: went on the road to take on Wyoming. They were

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Speaker 2: laying twenty four points and they still covered and they

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Speaker 2: won by twenty five points.

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Speaker 1: I like Utah here.

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Speaker 2: I think the Utes this is a sneaky team in

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Speaker 2: the Big twelve. Nobody wants to play them because their

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Speaker 2: defense is really tough. Devon Dempier is a guy who

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Speaker 2: is sure feaster famine, but he can run. I think

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Speaker 2: the Mountaineer defense is gonna have a hard time stopping

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Speaker 2: this Utah offense. And I don't think West Virginia scores

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Speaker 2: very many points at all on this I'm gonna lay

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Speaker 2: the twelve and a half points. I know it's a

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Speaker 2: big number. I don't like laying it, but I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: do it anyway. Utah minus twelve and a half for

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Speaker 2: one point one units bet number two. Let's talk about

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Speaker 2: Arizona and Iowa State. Okay, if I had to pick

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Speaker 2: a side, I would say Iowa State minus four and

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Speaker 2: a half. I would lay it, but the number is

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Speaker 2: a little tricky. I don't love the four and a

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Speaker 2: half because the Cyclones play so many tight football games,

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Speaker 2: in particular games that are played at home. So oh

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Speaker 2: and three Arizona so far this year are three and

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Speaker 2: oh to the under so far this year for Arizona,

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Speaker 2: three and one Iowa State to the under so far

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Speaker 2: this year. Now, most of this has been because Arizona

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Speaker 2: has blown out their opponent. Now, they beat Kansas State

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Speaker 2: twenty three seventeen, that total was fifty six. They beat

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Speaker 2: Weeber State forty eight to three. They beat Hawaii forty

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Speaker 2: to six. So when they're taking on offenses that aren't great,

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Speaker 2: seventeen to three and six, and I don't think k

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Speaker 2: State's offense is very good. I liked Arizona's defense a

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Speaker 2: lot last week. I liked Arizona last week Nice went

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Speaker 2: over Kansas State. Iowa State on the flip side, took

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Speaker 2: on Iowa total was forty three. The game went woefully

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Speaker 2: under sixteen thirteen. Like we had talked about before about

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Speaker 2: these teams in Iowa and Iowa State, but they're also

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Speaker 2: the Case State game over in Ireland twenty four to

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Speaker 2: twenty one. That game went under against Arkansas State. They

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Speaker 2: won the game twenty four sixteen. I'm not in love

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Speaker 2: with rock Obeck. I don't love him as a quarterback.

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Speaker 2: I just don't really know how potent this offense is.

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Speaker 2: The wide receivers are okay, the running game is kind

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Speaker 2: of blah. I'm not a huge fan of what's going

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Speaker 2: on with Matt Campbell's team. I think they win the game,

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Speaker 2: but I think the total's too heavy. Forty eight and

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Speaker 2: a half is a pretty big total here for these teams.

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Speaker 2: I'm just gonna ride it here. Three to OHO and

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Speaker 2: three and one to the under for both these two teams.

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Speaker 2: Let's take the under Iowa State Arizona under forty eight

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Speaker 2: and a half for one point one units. All right,

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Speaker 2: let's get into one of the bigger games of the weekend.

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Speaker 2: LSU on the road, top five team going two Lane

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Speaker 2: Kiffin and ole Miss.

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Speaker 1: This number is two or one and a half.

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Speaker 2: You can find twos in Vegas, and there's been some

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Speaker 2: money coming in here on Ole Miss. Brian Kelly is

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Speaker 2: pretty good as an underdog at LSU. He's six and

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Speaker 2: five outright as a dog and six and five against

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Speaker 2: the spread as a dog. LSU is live to win

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Speaker 2: this game, but if it gets high scoring their toast.

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Speaker 2: I don't think they can win a shootout on the road,

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Speaker 2: you know, in the grove against ole Miss.

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Speaker 1: Okay, I don't think Ole.

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Speaker 2: Miss is a team that you want to jump behind

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Speaker 2: and back because they haven't been good in this spot.

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Speaker 2: They're nine to sixteen and one ATS according to ESPN.

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Speaker 2: That's the worst in the SEC since in conference play

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Speaker 2: since twenty twenty two. And while I love Lane Kiffen,

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Speaker 2: lane Kiffen is not good in the SEC against the spread.

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Speaker 1: Seventeen to twenty five and one ATS.

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Speaker 2: That's the worst for any coach with a minimum of

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Speaker 2: ten games since twenty twenty in the SEC. I don't

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Speaker 2: love Brian Kelly, but I like Lane Kiffen even less.

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Speaker 2: In games like this, I'm going to back this defense

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Speaker 2: for LSU. I know the total is fifty five, it's

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Speaker 2: a high total. I know Garrettnsmeyer has weapons in ole

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Speaker 2: Missus defense sometimes can be had, but I'm a little

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Speaker 2: bit gun shy on this, Okay. I'm a little bit

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Speaker 2: concerned that this is not going to go the way

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Speaker 2: that we all think it's going to go, and that

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Speaker 2: we're going to see a lower scoring game than people think.

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Speaker 1: Because LSU is going to grind it.

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Speaker 2: LSU is one and oh on the road so far

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Speaker 2: this year ATS and straight up. They went to Clemson,

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Speaker 2: there were five point dogs. They won the game outright.

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Speaker 2: While ole Miss is better than Clemson, we know that

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Speaker 2: Brian Kelly has gotten this team focused into to win

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Speaker 2: a big game on the road already this year. The

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Speaker 2: game against Florida at home was gigantic. There were five

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Speaker 2: point favorites. They won by ten. They were seven point

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Speaker 2: favorites for most of the week, and then the late

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Speaker 2: money came crashing in on Florida, driving it down to

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Speaker 2: five and LSU won the game. I was on Florida

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Speaker 2: in that game and I was wrong. I was on

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Speaker 2: Clemson the first week and I was wrong. So I'm

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Speaker 2: tired of doubting LSU. Let's back LSU here. Even though

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Speaker 2: ole Miss is three and one ATS so far in

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Speaker 2: the year, they're three and oh at home. The game

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Speaker 2: against Kentucky, they were laying eight and they won by

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Speaker 2: seven because of that late field goal. They should be

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Speaker 2: four to zero against the spread. Laying Kiffn apologized to

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Speaker 2: gamblers after that game. But I think it's a opportunity

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Speaker 2: for LSU to flex defense here. If this gets to

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Speaker 2: be a two score lead for ole Miss, we're dead. Okay,

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Speaker 2: that's out. Like the BET's over. We're not getting there

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Speaker 2: if ole Miss gets to a two score lead. But

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Speaker 2: if LSU can get the lead early, use their defense

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Speaker 2: and ride it, I'll take the two points. I also

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Speaker 2: like the two points because of overtime potentially with two

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Speaker 2: point plays maybe being the determinating factor. LSU plus two

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Speaker 2: From an insurance standpoint, I like it LSU plus two

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Speaker 2: on the road against ole Miss. Do not hate a

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Speaker 2: money line bet either on that it's plus one oh five,

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Speaker 2: plus one ten, somewhere in that range. I don't mind that.

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Speaker 2: Al LA's talk about the game. They'll have the biggest

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Speaker 2: handle of the day. Alabama and Georgia. Alabama three and

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Speaker 2: oh to the over, Georgia two to one to the over.

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Speaker 2: Who wins this game? Well, look, this is one of

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Speaker 2: the games I'm gonna watch in terms of the number.

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Speaker 2: I want to see where the number goes. Okay, we've

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Speaker 2: seen Alabama Alabama money come pouring in. I'm stunned it's

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Speaker 2: Kirby Smart against Kellen de boor if I'm gonna be

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Speaker 2: on Georgia. But I can't make it official because the

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Speaker 2: pros clearly like Alabama. Ty Simpson's been unbelievable. Even Kirby

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Speaker 2: Smart called him the hottest quarterback in the SEC. Alabama's

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Speaker 2: been scoring a ton of points since they lost to

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Speaker 2: Florida State on the road, and Alabama. You know, look,

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Speaker 2: Florida State lost last night to Virginia. Congratulations to Charlottesville.

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Speaker 2: My first ever professional job was in Charlottesville. That building

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Speaker 2: was unbelievable. What an atmosphere and what a student section

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Speaker 2: that completely rushed the field. And I mean that hill

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Speaker 2: that all the students are on, good luck stop and

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Speaker 2: that wall of humanity coming down to the field. So

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Speaker 2: that was pretty cool last night for Virginia. Big win

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Speaker 2: for them, bad loss for Florida State and a bad

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Speaker 2: loss for Alabama on top of that. But even that

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Speaker 2: game went over thirty one, Seventeen went over the forty

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Speaker 2: seven and a half. Louisiana Monroe went over by twenty

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Speaker 2: four points. Even the Wisconsin game thirty eight to fourteen.

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Speaker 2: Bama crushed Wisconsin last last week. That game went over,

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Speaker 2: say by six and a half points. On the flip side,

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Speaker 2: George is coming off of a forty one forty forty

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Speaker 2: one game against Tennessee where the game flew over. Now

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Speaker 2: ot had a lot to do with that, but the

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Speaker 2: game flew over by thirty five points. I just don't

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Speaker 2: think this offense for Georgia is gonna have much of

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Speaker 2: much resistance from Alabama and vice versa.

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Speaker 1: Bama's offense is humming.

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Speaker 2: Their secondary for Georgia is inexperienced in a bit banged up.

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Speaker 2: I think Bama's receivers are going to have big play

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Speaker 2: opportunities all over the place. I like a shootout here

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Speaker 2: in Athens. We have seen Georgia dominate at home. The

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Speaker 2: Georgia Bulldogs have won every game at home since twenty

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Speaker 2: nineteen when they lost in double overtime to South Carolina.

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Speaker 2: It's been a long time since they lost a game.

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Speaker 2: I think that Alabama will have a shot here, but

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Speaker 2: I like the over. I like over fifty two and

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Speaker 2: a half points a lot here in this football game.

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Speaker 2: I think we're seeing offense Bama Georgia over fifty two

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Speaker 2: and a half for one point one units. And finally,

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Speaker 2: if you guys know what I've been dealing with this week,

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Speaker 2: if you've been watching my other show or watching some

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Speaker 2: of the times.

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Speaker 1: We've talked about it here on The Daily Juice.

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Speaker 2: My co host on The Bostonian Versus of the book

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Speaker 2: passed away on Saturday night, and he was the biggest

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Speaker 2: Penn State fan that I have ever met. He loved

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Speaker 2: Penn State, love Penn State football. He played club hockey

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Speaker 2: at Penn State. He never saw a national championship for

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Speaker 2: Penn State. And this could be the year for Penn State.

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Speaker 2: This could be it. Penn State has a team, Penn

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Speaker 2: State has a shot with a white out night game

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Speaker 2: against Oregon for payback. Now, I don't like the number

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Speaker 2: three and a half, and for a while I was

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Speaker 2: considering taking Oregon at plus three and a half. But

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Speaker 2: I'm pretty concerned about Oregon's ability to move the football

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Speaker 2: against Penn State and as long as Drew Aller doesn't

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Speaker 2: throw interceptions, and that's a big if. Because of the

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Speaker 2: pass rush and the pass defense for Oregon is elite,

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Speaker 2: top five, top ten in the country. They're gonna get after,

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Speaker 2: get after this offense for Penn State, and they're gonna

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Speaker 2: get after Drew Aller. So to me, I'm a little

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Speaker 2: bit on the concern side about this, and I think

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Speaker 2: this might come down to a field goal. I mean,

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Speaker 2: I think this might come down to one or two plays,

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Speaker 2: and I think that Nick Singleton needs to be a

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Speaker 2: huge weapon in the run game here.

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Speaker 1: I like the under in this game.

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Speaker 2: I think if I wasn't gonna bet the side, I

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Speaker 2: would bet the under because I do think it's going

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Speaker 2: to be a really low scoring and a really fun

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Speaker 2: football game. But I don't think Penn State loses at home.

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Speaker 2: I think James Franklin finds a way. Even though he

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Speaker 2: blows these games all the time, he loses these games

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Speaker 2: all the time. I'm gonna believe in James Franklin because

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Speaker 2: of the senior laden and experienced depth of that defense

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Speaker 2: against Oregon, the magic of a white out of one

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Speaker 2: hundred and five thousand, and Dante Moor's first start on

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Speaker 2: the road with Oregon is going to be at Beaver

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Speaker 2: Stadium's that's a really hard place to play, and I

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Speaker 2: think turnovers could be a big factor. They want revenge

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Speaker 2: for what happened last year. I don't like James Franklin

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Speaker 2: on neutral fields. I don't like James Franklin in the playoffs,

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Speaker 2: but James Franklin at home at night in a whiteout

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Speaker 2: I'll buy the hook. I'll get off the three and

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Speaker 2: a half and buy it down at minus one point

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Speaker 2: thirty and I'll pay the juice. Penn State minus three

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Speaker 2: up against Oregon for one point one units. So our

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Speaker 2: plays today Utah minus twelve and a half on the

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Speaker 2: road at West Virginia, Iowa State, Arizona under forty eight

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Speaker 2: and a half LSU at Ole miss LSU plus two

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Speaker 2: take the dog Alabama, Georgia. We're going over fifty two

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Speaker 2: and a half for the big matchup in the SEC

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Speaker 2: and Penn State at home, laying the three and minus

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Speaker 2: one point thirty buying the hook here down to three

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Speaker 2: from three and a half up against Oregon for one

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Speaker 2: point three units. That should say one point three not

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Speaker 2: one point one, sorry, one point three units for Penn

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Speaker 2: State hosting Oregon. I will talk to you guys during

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Speaker 2: the discord channel chat coming up eleven am Eastern eight

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Speaker 2: am Pacific time on our discord channel bettingpros dot Com

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Speaker 2: slast chat.

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Speaker 1: To join it, my nu's Matt.

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Speaker 2: Parol to follow me because all my socials at SportsTalk

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Speaker 2: Matt every morning. Wherever you guys get your podcasts, it

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Speaker 2: is the daily juice.

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Speaker 3: Spy them and hunting. Hunt be hunted, be