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Speaker 1: Are you ready to witness football?

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Speaker 2: Fans?

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the biggest tailgate party in the nation. That

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Speaker 3: me bro Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by

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Speaker 3: Bett em App Maked Legendary. We're setting you up with

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Speaker 3: the information you need to watch your team win.

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Speaker 2: Let's go.

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Speaker 3: We're here to break it all down. Look, God, this

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Speaker 3: is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by bett

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Speaker 3: emg App. No, we're live from your tailgate. Here's Brian No,

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Speaker 3: former Penn State All American Rich Hornberger and FSR betting

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Speaker 3: analyst Jared Smith.

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Speaker 4: Oh what is going on? Welcome in here, full slate

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Speaker 4: of college action to get to and I'll tell you what.

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Speaker 4: We started off with. Good vibes out of the gates

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Speaker 4: with our guy rich O.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, oh that's right.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's the what would you call it, the by

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Speaker 4: annual voyage to Hawaii?

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Speaker 2: Is that? Yeah?

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Speaker 4: Correct terminology?

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Speaker 2: Right?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, And unfortunately it's gonna end pretty soon here because

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Speaker 1: you know in conference you have homes and homes scheduled

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Speaker 1: against Hawaii when you're in the Mountain West. However, San

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Speaker 1: Diego State is about to leave the Mountain West and

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Speaker 1: join the PAC twelve.

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Speaker 2: So Hawaii no longer.

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Speaker 1: Is going to be on the schedule, So all good

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Speaker 1: things must come to an end.

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Speaker 4: Gentleman, at least you're there this year, you know, like,

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Speaker 4: at least you're there this year. It's not a home

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Speaker 4: game this Oh no, that's good.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this is pretty cool.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, for those who are catching up on the fly,

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Speaker 1: I am the color analyst for San Diego State. I

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Speaker 1: do their radio radio analyst work, and when the team travels,

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Speaker 1: I travel, and so they go to Hawaii. I go

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Speaker 1: to Hawaii. And to answer your question, Jared, I think

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Speaker 1: this is the fourth time I've been on the islands

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Speaker 1: with the Aztec's. I've been out here many times. Other

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Speaker 1: than that, we have some family out here we're gonna

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Speaker 1: be visiting. So the whole crew, the whole Ornberger gang,

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Speaker 1: came out to Hawaii. So I'm on a rooftop parking

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Speaker 1: lot overlooking the beach, which is insane. I'm like looking

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Speaker 1: at the roof of a church over the top of

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Speaker 1: that to the water. Right now, it's pitch dark. It's

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Speaker 1: some part of four o'clock in the morning. The Pacific

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Speaker 1: Ocean is lapping against the sands of Ykiki Beach, and

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Speaker 1: here I am shouting into the void at you guys

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Speaker 1: from a million miles away. But we're we're look football

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Speaker 1: waits for nobody, and so we're gonna get into it.

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Speaker 4: By the way, I don't want to be selfish here rich,

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Speaker 4: but I do think San Diego State owes it. It's

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Speaker 4: success to me this season.

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Speaker 1: I would argue, you're right, you would you doubted them

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Speaker 1: when they played.

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Speaker 4: Col My gosh, dude, like so they got wrecked by

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Speaker 4: the Koog's right, they lost convincingly to Washington State and

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Speaker 4: they were one and one at that point in the season.

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Speaker 4: I'm like, yeah, I'll lay the whatever. It was two

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Speaker 4: touchdowns with Cal at home and somehow, well, San Diego

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Speaker 4: State was at home. Somehow Cal gets shut out thirty

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Speaker 4: four to nothing, and San Diego State hasn't looked back.

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Speaker 4: Do they lost the games?

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Speaker 2: Can I be honest?

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Speaker 5: They have an outside shot to make the Collegewell Playoff,

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Speaker 5: they really do, especially have to Memphis losing last night.

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Speaker 1: There's a growing awareness James Madison has to play Washington State.

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Speaker 1: They've been good. But yeah, if you remember the rules

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Speaker 1: for the new expanded playoffs, the group of five, which

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Speaker 1: is any basically any conference outside of the Power four,

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Speaker 1: and you say group of five, it may include the

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Speaker 1: PAC twelve, although I think Washington State and Oregon State,

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Speaker 1: who are the only two remaining members technically of the

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Speaker 1: PAC twelve right now, they would have to win in

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Speaker 1: as an at large bit if they could. But anyways,

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Speaker 1: going back to what I was saying, if you are

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Speaker 1: the conference champion of any of the group of five conferences,

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Speaker 1: and you're the highest ranked champion, you have an automatic

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Speaker 1: bid into the College Football Playoff. And San Diego State

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Speaker 1: sitting right now at seven and one, potentially winning this conference,

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Speaker 1: they do have a shot to be the representative out

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Speaker 1: of the Group five to get that automatic bid.

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Speaker 4: It's crazy, man, and hats off to them. Number two

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Speaker 4: scoring defense in the country like Ohio State's number one,

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Speaker 4: the Aztecs are number two, so hey, hats off to them.

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Speaker 4: They only allow ten points per game. It's funny, right

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Speaker 4: if you think big picture, if you go back to

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Speaker 4: the beginning of the season, like any season, there are

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Speaker 4: so many times where you circle back and you're like,

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Speaker 4: why did I think that? Why did I exactly? Why

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Speaker 4: was I convinced the Aztecs suck? Why was I convinced

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Speaker 4: I don't know if I was, but why was I like, Oh,

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Speaker 4: Florida State, here we go. It's like, no, not not really.

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Speaker 4: You know, like LS you remember LSU, big win on

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Speaker 4: the road. We thought against Clemson, We're like, whoa, look

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Speaker 4: out here we go.

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Speaker 6: B k T.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and here they are. Yeah right, top ten. Well

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Speaker 4: that's a good segue, Jared, I'm glad you mentioned that. Yeah,

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Speaker 4: very nice. So College Football Playoff Rankings first edition. They

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Speaker 4: came out this week on Tuesday, and of course there's

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Speaker 4: sometimes mass panic in the streets, you know how it goes.

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Speaker 4: Any any big problems, any big agreements, anything that you

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Speaker 4: take away from the first iteration of the playoff rankings

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Speaker 4: where you said, yes, job well done, or what in

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Speaker 4: the world are you thinking with this ranking over here?

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Speaker 4: Anything that you said like that?

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Speaker 2: Let me think.

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Speaker 1: You know, What's what's interesting about the CFP is I'm

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Speaker 1: always amazed by my reaction to it before we get

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Speaker 1: into like where the seating actually is and who deserves

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Speaker 1: to be as high as they are and as low

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Speaker 1: as they are. What always occurs to me is how

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Speaker 1: much I care about this list because because you shouldn't.

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Speaker 7: The first one, or just in general, the committee doing it.

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Speaker 2: Obviously, at some point you have to care.

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Speaker 1: If you're if you're interested in college football at all,

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Speaker 1: you do care about the list, and it becomes more

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Speaker 1: and more important the closer you get down the stretch.

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Speaker 1: But I mean, at this point in the season, their

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Speaker 1: initial list makes no difference to what the outcomes of

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Speaker 1: the season is going to be. Yeah, I mean we can,

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Speaker 1: we can act like it's super important, and we will

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Speaker 1: when it becomes super important. But this initial list, if

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Speaker 1: you have some real belly aching over it, don't worry.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna change a lot before the end of the season.

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Speaker 1: Now, there are certain things that are kind of feel

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Speaker 1: like they're etched in stone, like Ohio State. I mean,

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Speaker 1: unless something goes horribly horribly wrong, I think they can

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Speaker 1: you can say they're safely in first place for the

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Speaker 1: remainder of the season. You know, Georgia feels safe as

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Speaker 1: a top five team. Alabama feels safe as a top

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Speaker 1: five team. There are certain teams that you can say, yeah,

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Speaker 1: these are areas where these are landing spots where you

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Speaker 1: think they probably will land. And then as we creep

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Speaker 1: closer and closer to the actual playoff seating matters a

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Speaker 1: great deal because that's how the playoff field will work out.

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Speaker 1: Who's playing who in the first round, et cetera. But

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Speaker 1: this initial list, I mean, am I completely off base here?

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Speaker 1: I always have this reaction like, oh, why is that

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Speaker 1: team so low? Or geez, they're way too high. And

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Speaker 1: then in the end it doesn't really matter in terms

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Speaker 1: of what the end of the season is gonna look like.

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Speaker 1: This is just this is just a throw spaghetti at

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Speaker 1: the wall. Will see what sticks toward the end of the.

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Speaker 7: Year, agreed.

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Speaker 5: And that's why anyone who is up in arms over

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Speaker 5: this just just chill bro let the season play out.

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Speaker 5: I think it's very hard, and I do this every week.

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Speaker 5: I've been doing this since the start of the season.

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Speaker 5: I could give you my college football playoff predictions from

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Speaker 5: literally week one on. I had no idea what I

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Speaker 5: was doing. I was just throwing darts against the wall.

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Speaker 5: Now we're gonna get the things that need to be

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Speaker 5: sorted will get sorted. For example, people are upset that

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Speaker 5: Notre Dames ahead of Texas and Oklahoma, right, don't worry

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Speaker 5: both of those Both Texas and Oklahoma will get to

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Speaker 5: prove it. They both will get to prove it right.

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Speaker 5: Oklahoma has played Bama. Next week, Texas goes to Georgia

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Speaker 5: and then plays A and M. We'll find out how

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Speaker 5: good those teams are. Don't worry about where they're ranked now.

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Speaker 5: I think what the committee told us yesterday or Tuesday

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Speaker 5: was right.

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Speaker 7: Now.

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Speaker 5: Notre Dame's better, their resume is better, their quality.

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Speaker 7: Loss is better, but it could change.

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Speaker 5: And I think anyone who is upset over the rankings

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Speaker 5: as they are constructed today take a piece of advice.

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Speaker 7: From Aaron Rodgers. Relax. It will get sorted out now.

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Speaker 5: When we get to the end of November and then

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Speaker 5: you still have a gripe and all the games are done,

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Speaker 5: then we can really dig into Okay, this resume is

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Speaker 5: better than this resume, and we could do the micro

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Speaker 5: surgery that we need to do in order to figure

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Speaker 5: out who's better.

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Speaker 7: But right now, it's.

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Speaker 5: Not even Thanksgiving, and the teams that people are upset

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Speaker 5: about not being ahead of Notre Dame will have a

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Speaker 5: very ample opportunity to make that jump, but right now

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Speaker 5: they're not. Right now, it appears that Notre Dame's probably

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Speaker 5: gonna finish ten and two, Texas and Oklahoma are gonna

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Speaker 5: probably finish nine and three at best in that world. Yes,

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Speaker 5: Notre Dame deserves to get in period.

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Speaker 7: End of story.

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Speaker 5: I Brian, I thought the fact that Notre Dame was

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Speaker 5: the highest two rand team was important to me because

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Speaker 5: I do think Texas O Oklahoma are going to have

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Speaker 5: to upset the apple cart in order to get in

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Speaker 5: front of them.

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Speaker 7: But it could happen. Stranger things have so happened.

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Speaker 4: It's funny you mentioned Aaron Rodgers in his famous relax

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Speaker 4: it could apply to his brother, His brother Jordan Rodgers.

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Speaker 4: He's on ESPN and he was pretty fired up about

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Speaker 4: the Irish being ranked higher than Texas and Oklahoma.

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Speaker 8: Notre Dame has one top twenty five win, Texas has two,

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Speaker 8: Oklahoma has two. Right, their losses I think are even

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Speaker 8: better for Texas and Oklahoma. So I think this one

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Speaker 8: again was just like that made no sense putting you

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Speaker 8: rank them fine, Texas, Oklahoma, Notre Dame.

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Speaker 3: It'll all short itself out.

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Speaker 8: But that showed you that they're looking at the wrong things,

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Speaker 8: not valuing wins on the field as much.

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Speaker 4: As they were in this area of oh the eye test.

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Speaker 8: But they look so much better right now.

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Speaker 4: Well, he mentioned in passing right there while bashing the Irish.

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Speaker 4: I mean, heaven forbid, what is he.

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Speaker 2: Doing right there?

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Speaker 7: But I just disagree with his argument.

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Speaker 4: His arguments bad where he said even their losses like

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Speaker 4: Texas and Oklahoma have better larest than Notre Dame.

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Speaker 9: Texas lost to the Gators, Like what is he talking about? Like, Okay,

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Speaker 9: let's do a side by side thing if we're just

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Speaker 9: focusing on the better losses, which sounds weird, but it's

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Speaker 9: a thing for the committee, right.

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Speaker 7: Is a thing? No, honestly, I think it's more of

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Speaker 7: a thing than the quality wins. Brian, It's weird, but.

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Speaker 4: It's very weird. So Texas they lost to Ohio State

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Speaker 4: to begin the season, Notre Dame. One of their losses

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Speaker 4: was against Texas A and M. Both of those teams

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Speaker 4: are in the top three. There are some people that

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Speaker 4: thought Texas A and M might be higher ranked than

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Speaker 4: Ohio State. That's an Indiana, right, There's some people that

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Speaker 4: thought that anyway, they're in the same cul de sac

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Speaker 4: if you will, right then, like we said, there's Miami,

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Speaker 4: the Miami loss that Notre Dame had. Miami is still

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Speaker 4: in the top twenty five. They're eighteenth. Some people think

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Speaker 4: it's a little bit low, but they're still ranked. Meanwhile,

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Speaker 4: Texas lost to Florida. How in your right mind can

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Speaker 4: you say Texas had two better losses than Notre Dame.

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Speaker 4: That's not even close to being accurate.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's pretty amazing. How when you put things through

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Speaker 1: the lens of opinion, right, so subjectivity, anybody can make

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Speaker 1: any argument. You don't have to worry about making sense.

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Speaker 1: You can just make an argument. And so if you

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Speaker 1: look at a team and you say, hey, I think

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Speaker 1: this team is ranked higher than this team, and then

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Speaker 1: you answer the question why with well, because they're a

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Speaker 1: better team, Well that argument doesn't hold water because you

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Speaker 1: have to have facts. You have to have basis of evidence.

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Speaker 1: You need to present a case. If you just think

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Speaker 1: they're better, well that's that's fine and good. But those

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Speaker 1: players bled for that, those wins and those losses. Those

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Speaker 1: players sweat and they go through toil. Those coaches worked hard,

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Speaker 1: there were sleepless nights, like you have to have some

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Speaker 1: better reason. Well I just like Texas better, you know,

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Speaker 1: I just think Notre Dame's better. Well, you have to

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Speaker 1: have some some level of proof. But there are certain Look,

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Speaker 1: there's there's a lot of people who want to, you know,

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Speaker 1: be very open about their opinion, and everybody's entitled to

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Speaker 1: have their opinion, and I'm willing to hear any opinion.

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Speaker 1: But if you don't attack this thing factually, if you're

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Speaker 1: just going to make an argument for a team because

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Speaker 1: you like them better, you're not going to get a

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Speaker 1: lot of people to listen to you these days, because

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Speaker 1: there's too much evidence for teams. And I don't want

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Speaker 1: to say who actually deserve it, but in some cases,

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Speaker 1: who do actually deserve to be in the college football

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Speaker 1: playoff conversation who either aren't or are going to have

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Speaker 1: to wait until you know, the rest of the nation's

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Speaker 1: you know, subjective voices catch up and join in on

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Speaker 1: the facts as opposed to just being just arguing a

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Speaker 1: brand or arguing a style of football. They'd rather seeing

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Speaker 1: the college football playoff rather than you know, one that

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Speaker 1: is currently being represented.

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Speaker 2: So it's it's.

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Speaker 1: An interesting thing, especially early in this debate. I think

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Speaker 1: some of the conversations, some of the arguments become critz

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Speaker 1: still lies later on, But right now, all that's in

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Speaker 1: its infancy because we have miles to go before the

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Speaker 1: playoff bracket is even set.

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Speaker 5: Yeah, we just need to wait until Oklahoma loses Tobama

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Speaker 5: and Texas loses to Georgia and it'll all sort itself out,

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Speaker 5: right like and and I've struggled with this too. My

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Speaker 5: exercise that I've done this year, I have not constructed

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Speaker 5: my rankings based off of the current form. I have

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Speaker 5: constructed my rankings every week based on how I project

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Speaker 5: the season to finish. So it's an exercise I'm trying

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Speaker 5: to spin things forward. I don't think that's what the

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Speaker 5: committee's doing here, but maybe a little bit, maybe they say,

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Speaker 5: you know what, prove it, Texas, go on the road

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Speaker 5: and be Georgia, and when you do that, will we'll

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Speaker 5: move you up. And maybe they're giving sarkis In and

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Speaker 5: company a little motivation here, right, a little bulletin board material.

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Speaker 5: But also maybe they're just going through the mental exercise

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Speaker 5: like I've been doing for the lif last ten weeks,

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Speaker 5: realizing that whatever I'm constructing today is going to work

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Speaker 5: itself out over the next three weeks in the SEC.

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Speaker 5: So it doesn't matter what my rankings are today. The

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Speaker 5: only thing that matters is who am I giving the

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Speaker 5: respect to? Is the highest two loss team right now?

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Speaker 5: It's Notre Dame. Maybe that changes in a week.

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Speaker 7: That will always be what.

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Speaker 5: I look at as the determining factor for who the

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Speaker 5: committee feels is the best at large team. Who is

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Speaker 5: the highest ranked two loss That should be your number

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Speaker 5: one like microscope, pull out the microscope, Sherlock Holmes. Who

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Speaker 5: is the committee putting as the number one two loss

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Speaker 5: team every week? That should be your benchmark for Okay,

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Speaker 5: this is how they view the resumes because I think

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Speaker 5: the top five is pretty easy, like even the top

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Speaker 5: seven guys think it's I think it's pretty cut and

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Speaker 5: dry right now, Like we know who top the top

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Speaker 5: five teams of the country. I've said there's four the

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Speaker 5: whole year. I've said it's Ohio State, Indiana, BAM, and Georgia.

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Speaker 5: I think the national champion will be one of those

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Speaker 5: four teams. You give me those four, you can.

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Speaker 7: Take the field.

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Speaker 5: I feel like I've got the national champion in my

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Speaker 5: back pock up.

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Speaker 7: You want to say A and M.

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Speaker 5: Is an upstart this year, perhaps, I think in the

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Speaker 5: big moment, I'm not. I don't know if I fully

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Speaker 5: trust that quarterback.

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Speaker 7: We'll see.

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Speaker 5: I could be wrong, but I have a really solid

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Speaker 5: top four the rest of it is all kind of chaos,

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Speaker 5: and I hope it all kind of settles itself out

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Speaker 5: over the next few weeks.

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Speaker 4: Well, I'll just say real quick, and I think that

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Speaker 4: it's interesting where if you go back to last year,

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Speaker 4: the two teams in the National Championship, Ohio State and

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Speaker 4: Notre Dame, neither one of them had a first round by.

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Speaker 4: So imagine if both teams in the championship game had

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Speaker 4: a first round by, I think this would be looked

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Speaker 4: at a lot differently. Or take a team like Oregon.

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Speaker 4: Right Oregon is ninth in the pecking order at seven

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Speaker 4: and one, so they're gonna have to leap frog a

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Speaker 4: number of teams to be in that top four to

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Speaker 4: earn a bye.

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Speaker 2: You know.

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Speaker 4: Like that part of it I think is significant, although

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Speaker 4: you're not really hearing that much emphasis on it, right,

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Speaker 4: Imagine if we have the next let's just I don't

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Speaker 4: know this next three straight years both teams in the

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Speaker 4: championship Game earn a first round by, there's gonna be

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Speaker 4: even more of like, hey, look at the top four

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Speaker 4: as its fans right now, and then maybe like through

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Speaker 4: six or seven, maybe have a shot at the first

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Speaker 4: round by realistically, right. But that's one of the things

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Speaker 4: I think is I still think a first round by matters,

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Speaker 4: especially depending on which specific teams we're talking about here.

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Speaker 4: And remember it's not the goofy rules that it was

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Speaker 4: last year, where you know.

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Speaker 7: Now that the.

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Speaker 4: Yeah it's s's gonna play a real twelve, right, it's

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Speaker 4: the top four, right, top four get those buyes as

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Speaker 4: it should be. And so yeah, I think those byes

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Speaker 4: are significant. And you know, maybe it'll take a couple

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Speaker 4: of years where the teams that earn buys go deep

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Speaker 4: and make it to the championship game, you know, a

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Speaker 4: couple of them, and then I think you'll see a

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Speaker 4: lot more focus on that. But right now, I don't

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Speaker 4: think it's right there. I think it's significant. I just

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Speaker 4: think we're overlooking it.

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Speaker 5: Addiction, right here, a bye team goes to the championship

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Speaker 5: this year, I'll.

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Speaker 4: There's got to be at least it might be.

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Speaker 5: Minus a thousand odds on that one.

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Speaker 7: And Georgia Bama in the mix.

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Speaker 4: Come on here, so much going, I would imagine. So

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Speaker 4: all right, We've got Rich Horonberger, Penn State All American

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Speaker 4: live in Hawaii for the Aztecs game today. Very nice.

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Speaker 4: We got Jared Smith FSR betting analyst live from Summerlin, right, yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 4: FSR Betting analyst. I'm Brian though, live from Summerland.

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Speaker 7: Also, let's go.

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Speaker 4: Although you know, I don't I don't even know where

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Speaker 4: Jared lives, you know, I'm not sure somewhere around here. Hey,

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Speaker 4: all right? Coming up next, there are a lot of

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Speaker 4: people who like this underdog today. Is that a bad

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Speaker 4: sign for the underdog today? We'll get to that. It

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Speaker 4: All Right, We've got Oregon at Iowa today and man,

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Speaker 4: there are a lot of people on the Hawkeyes. Huh

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Speaker 4: even money this morning. It's down to a six point

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Speaker 4: Oregon road favorite. Here was six and a half last night.

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Speaker 4: The hook is gone. No, you can't find the hook.

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Speaker 4: The hook is nowhere to be found. That point five

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Speaker 4: is gone as of now. So, man, the Hawkeyes getting

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Speaker 4: some love here. The weather, you know, you would imagine

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Speaker 4: in the Hawkeyes favor We're looking at ninety chance of rain,

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Speaker 4: maybe the temperature drops, maybe the little snow flurries here today, right,

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Speaker 4: So I think that might be in the minds of

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Speaker 4: a lot of people. You think about Oregon against Wisconsin.

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Speaker 4: Remember it was a monsoon in just an ugly game,

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Speaker 4: and maybe that's stuck with some people there. This is

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Speaker 4: more like Iowa weather, at least you associate it with them.

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Speaker 4: It rains quite a bit in the state of Oregon

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Speaker 4: as well, but Oregon didn't fare as well in the

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Speaker 4: weather in the elements against Wisconsin. So maybe that twenty

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Speaker 4: one to seven win is definitely in the forefront of

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Speaker 4: a lot of better's minds here this morning. What do

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Speaker 4: you guys think about this matchup?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I understand it. I definitely understand the

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Speaker 1: fact that people are on the Hawkeyes.

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Speaker 2: But maybe not to the level I would.

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Speaker 1: I would feel a lot more comfortable to be on

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Speaker 1: Iowa if Oregon was favored by more than seven. You know,

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Speaker 1: it's just one of those dangerous spots to be in.

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Speaker 1: But going back to how I think this game is

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Speaker 1: gonna bear out, Look, do I think Oregon's a better

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Speaker 1: team than then what they showed against Wisconsin will certainly.

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Speaker 1: I think that was a sluggish game. I think the

438
00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:15,080
Speaker 1: bye week was just what the doctor ordered, And I

439
00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:18,520
Speaker 1: think facing Iowa after a bye is probably a good

440
00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:21,520
Speaker 1: thing because you're in for a slog every time you

441
00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:26,080
Speaker 1: play against this team, and specifically against an Iowa team

442
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:30,280
Speaker 1: that I think does some really good things. You know, defensively,

443
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:34,040
Speaker 1: they sit in a lot of cover two, which Oregans

444
00:22:34,119 --> 00:22:39,680
Speaker 1: quarterback UCLA transfer Dante Moore really struggles with when he's

445
00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:42,320
Speaker 1: throwing the football today, I expect a lot of those

446
00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:44,680
Speaker 1: players actually to start closer to the line of scrimmage

447
00:22:44,760 --> 00:22:47,320
Speaker 1: or behind the line of scrimmage in their bubble screen

448
00:22:47,400 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 1: game or you know, their RPO game, because I think

449
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:54,000
Speaker 1: what they're going to try to do against Iowa is

450
00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:57,159
Speaker 1: really open up the run game, throw when they have to,

451
00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:02,560
Speaker 1: and force Iowa to tackle their athletes and offensively against

452
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:06,919
Speaker 1: Iowa's defense, I think Oregon has better athletes and Iowa

453
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:08,640
Speaker 1: isn't a great tackling.

454
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:10,320
Speaker 2: Team this year, which sounds weird because.

455
00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:14,359
Speaker 1: Kirk Farrens normally has a lot of the little things,

456
00:23:14,760 --> 00:23:17,560
Speaker 1: you know that those loose ends tied up pretty nicely.

457
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:21,080
Speaker 1: But the Hawkkeys really struggle bringing down ball carriers this year.

458
00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:25,399
Speaker 1: So I think expect to see Oregon just sort of

459
00:23:26,400 --> 00:23:31,400
Speaker 1: fighting the death by a thousand paper cuts thing where.

460
00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:33,240
Speaker 2: They're gonna, you know, they're gonna have a two.

461
00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:35,160
Speaker 1: Yard game, then a four yard game, then a two

462
00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,000
Speaker 1: yard game, and then they're gonna try to have an

463
00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:40,600
Speaker 1: explosive run or short pass play where they break one

464
00:23:40,720 --> 00:23:43,280
Speaker 1: tackle and either their tight end or their receiver or

465
00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:46,120
Speaker 1: their running back gets loose for about fifteen to twenty

466
00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:48,280
Speaker 1: yards and they get a nice chunk out of their

467
00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:50,120
Speaker 1: offense against the Iowa defense.

468
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:52,960
Speaker 5: Yeah, it was surprising to see Iowa outside the top

469
00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:57,639
Speaker 5: fifty in the Pro Football focused tackling grades. That's again

470
00:23:57,840 --> 00:23:59,720
Speaker 5: the PFF stuff and the miss tackles. I think could

471
00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:04,440
Speaker 5: be a lot little bit subjective sometimes, but in theory,

472
00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:06,159
Speaker 5: I like this Iowa scheme.

473
00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:09,280
Speaker 7: I think Parker is a good coach. The DC. I

474
00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:10,480
Speaker 7: think they're good in run fits.

475
00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:13,359
Speaker 5: They're just yeah, maybe they're just not as buttoned up,

476
00:24:13,400 --> 00:24:15,320
Speaker 5: not as physical at the line of scrimmages they've been

477
00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:18,119
Speaker 5: in prior years. Here's why the lines moved this morning, guys.

478
00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 5: There is some rumors, some rumblings that the Korean Moore

479
00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:25,879
Speaker 5: is gonna miss this game. The Star wide receiver for Oregon.

480
00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:30,480
Speaker 5: We don't know exactly when he popped up with this injury,

481
00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:31,720
Speaker 5: but it looks like a knee injury.

482
00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:34,960
Speaker 7: Doesn't appear serious. Again, these are rumors from.

483
00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:38,679
Speaker 5: The Oregon message boards. We'll get the official injury report

484
00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:42,560
Speaker 5: coming at ten thirty Eastern right two hours for the

485
00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:44,639
Speaker 5: gamer and it's maybe ninety minutes for the game. So

486
00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:47,640
Speaker 5: game starts twelve thirty, so we'll get it or twelve

487
00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:50,359
Speaker 5: thirty Pacific, excuse me, So we'll get that injury report

488
00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:55,679
Speaker 5: between ten and eleven Pacific time. Am I was on

489
00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:58,960
Speaker 5: Iowa before that, Obviously I like Iowa more now. I

490
00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:03,000
Speaker 5: think what Rich mentioned is really impactful here. The zone

491
00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:06,640
Speaker 5: defense that Indiana plays or that Indiana plays that also,

492
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:10,640
Speaker 5: Iowa plays That was hands down, Dante.

493
00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:12,399
Speaker 7: Moore's worst game of the year wasn't even close.

494
00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:17,480
Speaker 5: His ability to see the field and fine windows was

495
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:19,720
Speaker 5: impacted in that game, and that was at home. Now

496
00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:21,920
Speaker 5: he's on the road in bad weather, so I think

497
00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:24,800
Speaker 5: that's a factor. The Oregon run game is a factor too.

498
00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:27,720
Speaker 5: I really like this Oregon run game, Like that's that's

499
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:30,119
Speaker 5: the recipe for Oregon here right, You're gonna be without

500
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:33,520
Speaker 5: likely to Corean Moore, but you have three elite backs

501
00:25:33,760 --> 00:25:36,480
Speaker 5: and a really good offensive line, so you're gonna have

502
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:37,480
Speaker 5: to lean on those guys.

503
00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:39,280
Speaker 7: Whittington you've probably heard that name.

504
00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:42,560
Speaker 5: He's the senior, averaging almost nine yards per Carrie Davison,

505
00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:45,439
Speaker 5: a freshman, a bruiser six foot two forty, leads the

506
00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:48,200
Speaker 5: team of ten tackles. I mean he is with ten touchdowns.

507
00:25:48,280 --> 00:25:51,560
Speaker 5: He is a monster on the goal line. And they've

508
00:25:51,560 --> 00:25:53,760
Speaker 5: got this speedy freshman who's thick to d a Hill

509
00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:56,960
Speaker 5: junior almost ten yards per carry. So they've got three

510
00:25:56,960 --> 00:25:59,280
Speaker 5: guys who could beach in different ways. The question is

511
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:02,560
Speaker 5: the inies for Oregon. How much will that be a factor?

512
00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:05,040
Speaker 5: And now we have to deal with the weather. So

513
00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:07,560
Speaker 5: there's some obstacles today for the Ducks, and they've only won.

514
00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:09,720
Speaker 5: They've only beatn one winning team all year, and that

515
00:26:09,760 --> 00:26:11,920
Speaker 5: was Northwestern, who did not look good last night against USC.

516
00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:14,320
Speaker 5: So you could poke some holes in the Ducks resume,

517
00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:15,080
Speaker 5: no doubt.

518
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:18,600
Speaker 4: Yeah you can. I think you can poll KOLs both ways.

519
00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:21,880
Speaker 4: You know, I would look at Oregon's defense has been

520
00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:24,680
Speaker 4: pretty good throughout the year. Right, they are only two

521
00:26:24,680 --> 00:26:27,840
Speaker 4: games where they allowed more than fourteen points to their opponent.

522
00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:31,040
Speaker 4: One was, you know, strikingly against Penn State. But that

523
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:34,160
Speaker 4: was an overtime game, right, double overtime?

524
00:26:34,280 --> 00:26:35,600
Speaker 7: Was it not leave?

525
00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 4: So yeah, double ot it got nutty at the end there.

526
00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:42,639
Speaker 4: Penn State scored twenty four points and IU IU scored thirty.

527
00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:46,000
Speaker 4: And IU has an explosive offense. Everybody else, you know,

528
00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:48,880
Speaker 4: fourteen points or less. And so that's the one thing

529
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:52,040
Speaker 4: I think of with Iowa. Hey, listen, plus six might

530
00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:54,560
Speaker 4: be the right side if you got even better, could

531
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:57,280
Speaker 4: be even better, could be even the right side if

532
00:26:57,280 --> 00:27:00,480
Speaker 4: you will right. But I just I played this game

533
00:27:00,520 --> 00:27:03,240
Speaker 4: with How'm I gonna feel if I'm holding a plus

534
00:27:03,280 --> 00:27:06,400
Speaker 4: six ticket or a plus six pick, you know, and

535
00:27:06,440 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 4: like rapid fire on this show. And let's just say

536
00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:12,200
Speaker 4: Oregon scores a touchdown. Let's say Oregon scores a couple

537
00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:14,680
Speaker 4: of touchdowns, and now you're like, oh gosh, I need

538
00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:16,560
Speaker 4: the Hawkeyes to score, and I want to make it

539
00:27:16,600 --> 00:27:18,920
Speaker 4: sound like their offense is broken because they can run

540
00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:22,919
Speaker 4: the ball. But Mark Gronowski has one touchdown pass in

541
00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:26,240
Speaker 4: Big ten play. That's it. He's got one. Okay. So

542
00:27:26,800 --> 00:27:28,720
Speaker 4: you know these games, you think they're gonna play out

543
00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:30,720
Speaker 4: a certain way, and all of a sudden, there's a

544
00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:33,640
Speaker 4: different scenario that's thrown at you, and all of a sudden, Hey,

545
00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:36,159
Speaker 4: the Ducks are scoring points here early on, and you

546
00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:39,600
Speaker 4: might need the Hawkeyes to match points to a certain degree.

547
00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:42,960
Speaker 4: So if it's all on the Hawkeyes defense, and that's

548
00:27:42,960 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 4: the handicap, I'm just saying it could go sideways. That's

549
00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:49,800
Speaker 4: all I'm saying. I'm not saying go Ducks's clearly the

550
00:27:49,840 --> 00:27:53,680
Speaker 4: right side. I'm just saying it might be some uncomfortable moments.

551
00:27:53,680 --> 00:27:56,080
Speaker 4: I call it, you know, like double deodorant spots. You

552
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:58,280
Speaker 4: gotta apply a couple of you know, a couple of

553
00:27:58,320 --> 00:28:00,560
Speaker 4: go rounds of deodoran you're gonna be sweat this one out.

554
00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:02,960
Speaker 4: You could be if you're plus six with the Hawkeyes here.

555
00:28:03,480 --> 00:28:06,720
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, you absolutely could be. You really could be.

556
00:28:06,840 --> 00:28:09,639
Speaker 1: This is one of those in terms of the spread,

557
00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:12,240
Speaker 1: one of those stay away games. I actually think there's

558
00:28:12,280 --> 00:28:15,359
Speaker 1: a possibility that both teams go over their total in

559
00:28:15,359 --> 00:28:18,399
Speaker 1: this game. Because you just heard Jared talk about the

560
00:28:18,480 --> 00:28:21,000
Speaker 1: running game for Oregon. Well, the running game for I

561
00:28:21,160 --> 00:28:24,120
Speaker 1: was really good too, and I think that Oregon may

562
00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:27,720
Speaker 1: struggle against some of what I would does on the ground. Now,

563
00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:31,199
Speaker 1: they're they're pretty good against two tight end sets, like

564
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:34,159
Speaker 1: when you break down some of the advanced analytics, but

565
00:28:34,880 --> 00:28:38,240
Speaker 1: you know, look out of twelve personnel, which means you know,

566
00:28:38,320 --> 00:28:39,640
Speaker 1: one back, two tight.

567
00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:43,000
Speaker 2: The teams can run a ton of stuff.

568
00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:46,520
Speaker 1: So that's not necessarily indicative of them being able to

569
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:51,360
Speaker 1: shut down or have no success against a team that

570
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:54,160
Speaker 1: runs two tight end sets, but it is a factor.

571
00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:56,360
Speaker 1: Here's the here, I'm going to tell you what I

572
00:28:56,520 --> 00:28:59,360
Speaker 1: was gonna do, because they do the same thing every week. Offensively,

573
00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:01,960
Speaker 1: They're gonna go out there and they're mostly gonna be

574
00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 1: in two tight ends. They're gonna run a ton of

575
00:29:05,120 --> 00:29:09,080
Speaker 1: offensive or excuse me, outside zone with this offensive line

576
00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:12,320
Speaker 1: stretching the field left and right and the running backs

577
00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 1: being patient looking for a seam to go north and south.

578
00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:17,760
Speaker 1: That's the way they run their offense. And then off

579
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:20,640
Speaker 1: of that, they're gonna have a passing game. Now that

580
00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:24,160
Speaker 1: passing game, they're not going to throw a deep downfield

581
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:27,320
Speaker 1: unless they get behind the sticks because Gronowski they can't

582
00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:29,280
Speaker 1: trust him to do that. He is one of the

583
00:29:29,320 --> 00:29:33,200
Speaker 1: worst on target throwers in FBS football right now, one

584
00:29:33,280 --> 00:29:35,600
Speaker 1: of the worst, so they don't rely on him to

585
00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:36,360
Speaker 1: throw the football.

586
00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:37,640
Speaker 2: He's a good game manager.

587
00:29:37,800 --> 00:29:40,000
Speaker 1: I was got a pretty decent run game, so they're

588
00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:43,320
Speaker 1: gonna rely on that. It's how the game's gonna go.

589
00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:46,040
Speaker 1: It's gonna be a slow game. But because you have

590
00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:49,840
Speaker 1: such a low total and you have two defenses who

591
00:29:49,960 --> 00:29:54,520
Speaker 1: can be had against the particular stylings of either side,

592
00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:57,520
Speaker 1: I think there's an opportunity here to look at the

593
00:29:57,520 --> 00:29:59,640
Speaker 1: total and maybe take the over on the whole game.

594
00:30:00,120 --> 00:30:03,800
Speaker 1: Or I'd be more comfortable taking the Oregon team total

595
00:30:03,840 --> 00:30:05,600
Speaker 1: and taking the over than I would Iowa.

596
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 2: But you could you could take a closer look at Iowan.

597
00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:11,080
Speaker 1: If you fall in love with the number, because trust me,

598
00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:13,720
Speaker 1: it's low, you could you could bet the over there too.

599
00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 1: I think it's safer though, in in you know, getting

600
00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:19,280
Speaker 1: back to the original point than betting the spread in

601
00:30:19,320 --> 00:30:23,520
Speaker 1: this game, because I would that that I if that again,

602
00:30:23,560 --> 00:30:27,320
Speaker 1: if they're getting more than seven, i'd be I would

603
00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 1: be way more than comfortable taking the spread. But six

604
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:32,520
Speaker 1: six and a half, it's kind of stay.

605
00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:32,880
Speaker 2: Away for me.

606
00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:36,080
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'll tell you where this line's gonna move, because

607
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:39,840
Speaker 5: here's what's gonna happen. The injury report's gonna comment around

608
00:30:39,920 --> 00:30:43,360
Speaker 5: ten thirty ish Pacific, and people are gonna be like,

609
00:30:43,360 --> 00:30:46,120
Speaker 5: oh my god to Coreyan Moore's out, and everyone's gonna

610
00:30:46,120 --> 00:30:48,240
Speaker 5: bet Iowa and the line will drop a point or so,

611
00:30:48,880 --> 00:30:51,760
Speaker 5: maybe the total will drop a half a point a point. Again,

612
00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:53,880
Speaker 5: we've already seen a little bit of movement a half

613
00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:55,920
Speaker 5: a point, but a lot of shops are still at

614
00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 5: six and a half. So I think you'll see a

615
00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:03,080
Speaker 5: wave of Iowa money come in once that injury news

616
00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:05,040
Speaker 5: hits the wire. And there's rumors that a couple other

617
00:31:05,120 --> 00:31:07,080
Speaker 5: offensive guys could be out too for Oregon, like this

618
00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:10,960
Speaker 5: could be a really thin offensive lineup for the Ducks.

619
00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:14,200
Speaker 5: When that happens, the line will go down and the

620
00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:17,240
Speaker 5: total will go down. So play it out in your head.

621
00:31:17,400 --> 00:31:20,760
Speaker 5: If you like Oregon, wait, wait until the injury report hits.

622
00:31:20,800 --> 00:31:22,800
Speaker 5: If you like Iowa, bet it now. If you like

623
00:31:22,840 --> 00:31:25,840
Speaker 5: the over, wait because the line toad is probably gonna drop,

624
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:27,400
Speaker 5: You're gonna get a better number in a couple hours.

625
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:30,480
Speaker 5: If you like the under, bet it now. I have

626
00:31:30,560 --> 00:31:32,280
Speaker 5: no idea what's gonna play out on the field.

627
00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:33,120
Speaker 7: I do know this.

628
00:31:34,640 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 5: Once the game start, so that's you know who knows.

629
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:39,920
Speaker 5: But right now I feel very comfortable that if you

630
00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:41,800
Speaker 5: like Iowa, you should bet it pretty soon.

631
00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:43,280
Speaker 7: If you like Oregon, probably should wait.

632
00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:46,720
Speaker 5: The Iowa offensive line, guys, I feel like I say

633
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:48,640
Speaker 5: this every year. I honestly think i Was got the

634
00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:51,800
Speaker 5: better old line in this game. I really do. They've

635
00:31:51,800 --> 00:31:54,400
Speaker 5: got so other than Indiana, They've got the best run

636
00:31:54,440 --> 00:31:57,920
Speaker 5: blocking grade on Pro Football Focuses website. I think they're

637
00:31:57,920 --> 00:31:59,600
Speaker 5: gonna be in the running for the Joe More Award

638
00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:03,600
Speaker 5: this year best offensive line in the country. Now, Oregon,

639
00:32:03,840 --> 00:32:06,640
Speaker 5: I think they're better of a running team in terms

640
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:10,880
Speaker 5: of their backfield. But don't sleep on Kamari Moulton and

641
00:32:11,000 --> 00:32:14,040
Speaker 5: Xavier Williams. These are two very accomplished backs, and Gronowski

642
00:32:14,080 --> 00:32:16,920
Speaker 5: is a significantly better runner than Dante Moore more is

643
00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:19,440
Speaker 5: more of an elusive passer. He reminds me a lot

644
00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:21,800
Speaker 5: more of a guy who wants to stay in the

645
00:32:21,800 --> 00:32:23,640
Speaker 5: pocket as long as possible to throw the ball down

646
00:32:23,680 --> 00:32:27,000
Speaker 5: the field. But he can also beat you with his legs.

647
00:32:27,000 --> 00:32:28,760
Speaker 5: But this is going to be a game where both

648
00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:30,520
Speaker 5: teams turn out a ton of yards on the ground.

649
00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:33,560
Speaker 7: If you guys believe in weird fluky things.

650
00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 5: I don't know what it is about Oregon and facing

651
00:32:36,640 --> 00:32:39,840
Speaker 5: teams with a vowel in their first name. But last

652
00:32:39,880 --> 00:32:42,560
Speaker 5: year their only loss was to Ohio State. Oh this

653
00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 5: year they've lost to Indiana, and now they're about to

654
00:32:44,760 --> 00:32:45,640
Speaker 5: play Iowa.

655
00:32:45,760 --> 00:32:46,720
Speaker 4: So there's something.

656
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:51,040
Speaker 5: About vowel teams that they just fired him. They just

657
00:32:51,200 --> 00:32:53,680
Speaker 5: trip up this Orgon team, right. And then two years

658
00:32:53,720 --> 00:32:56,320
Speaker 5: ago in twenty twenty three, they lost two games, both

659
00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:59,640
Speaker 5: of them to Washington w So again you want to

660
00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:02,680
Speaker 5: talk about weird symmetry with when Oregon loses, it does

661
00:33:02,680 --> 00:33:06,560
Speaker 5: seem to be this kind of universal language.

662
00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:09,120
Speaker 7: Indiana gave him problems. I think I was gonna give

663
00:33:09,160 --> 00:33:10,040
Speaker 7: him some problems today.

664
00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:13,280
Speaker 4: Something about the letter I. I don't know Brian Notre

665
00:33:13,520 --> 00:33:16,480
Speaker 4: Dame if that's the playoff match, but that's very good.

666
00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:18,560
Speaker 7: Right, No, no, no, not good.

667
00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:20,680
Speaker 5: But if they place Indiana, or if they figure out

668
00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:22,880
Speaker 5: a way to play Ohio State, then that's a problem.

669
00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:26,760
Speaker 4: Wow, that's funny. I just think this, I'll say real fast,

670
00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:29,440
Speaker 4: is it's amazing. I can't remember if it was you

671
00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:32,560
Speaker 4: Rich or you Jared that was talking about we might

672
00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:35,400
Speaker 4: see both teams gain a lot of yards on the ground,

673
00:33:35,600 --> 00:33:38,000
Speaker 4: and that might be exactly right. The thing that blows

674
00:33:38,040 --> 00:33:40,200
Speaker 4: my mind is, I mean, look at the difference in

675
00:33:40,280 --> 00:33:43,440
Speaker 4: quarterback play. Dante Moore is a legitimate threat in the

676
00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:47,920
Speaker 4: passing game. Mark Ronowski is not. His passing yards prop

677
00:33:48,040 --> 00:33:51,560
Speaker 4: is one thirty two and a half. Yikes, one thirty

678
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:53,600
Speaker 4: two and a half, you know what I mean. So

679
00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:57,520
Speaker 4: it blows my mind that to your point, Jared, Iowa's

680
00:33:57,560 --> 00:34:00,520
Speaker 4: offensive line is that good where they can and still

681
00:34:00,640 --> 00:34:03,880
Speaker 4: run the ball consistently when they don't have a legitimate

682
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:07,080
Speaker 4: threat in the passing game. And that's where I look

683
00:34:07,120 --> 00:34:10,360
Speaker 4: at a team like Oregon where they've got a quality defense,

684
00:34:10,840 --> 00:34:13,840
Speaker 4: and to me, it's like, just sell out against the rush.

685
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:18,080
Speaker 4: Make Mark Gronowski beat you through the air. If he does,

686
00:34:18,160 --> 00:34:21,279
Speaker 4: you tip your cap. If you're just loading the box

687
00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:22,799
Speaker 4: and you're like, you're just not gonna run on us,

688
00:34:22,800 --> 00:34:24,480
Speaker 4: You're just not gonna run it down our throat all

689
00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:27,400
Speaker 4: day long. Not happening. It's like, all right, well, I

690
00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:29,520
Speaker 4: guess we got to air it out with Gronowski over here.

691
00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:32,560
Speaker 4: It's like advantage ducks, you know it. Just it still

692
00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:35,680
Speaker 4: blows my mind that a team like Iowa, against a

693
00:34:35,800 --> 00:34:38,200
Speaker 4: quality opponent, they can still run the ball when they

694
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:40,880
Speaker 4: don't have a legitimate passing game. This isn't like I

695
00:34:40,920 --> 00:34:44,200
Speaker 4: don't know a Service academy and they don't throw at all.

696
00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:47,239
Speaker 4: Not everyone, I'm just saying in general. Right, let's just

697
00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:49,480
Speaker 4: say a certain service academy doesn't throw it at all,

698
00:34:49,719 --> 00:34:52,480
Speaker 4: but they're committed to the run. It's this weird system

699
00:34:52,520 --> 00:34:54,520
Speaker 4: and it just works. No matter what. You don't have

700
00:34:54,520 --> 00:34:56,719
Speaker 4: to have a passing game, it still works. It's like,

701
00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:59,759
Speaker 4: that's not what Iowa is, you know so, and they

702
00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:01,960
Speaker 4: still run the ball. It's crazy to me. So we'll

703
00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:06,200
Speaker 4: see if Oregon can shut down the run game over man.

704
00:35:06,320 --> 00:35:10,120
Speaker 4: So it's just sell out against that. Gronowski's got one

705
00:35:10,160 --> 00:35:13,880
Speaker 4: touchdown passing Big ten play you know, make him earn it,

706
00:35:14,360 --> 00:35:16,959
Speaker 4: make him beat you through the air. So in any event,

707
00:35:16,960 --> 00:35:20,200
Speaker 4: we've got rich O. He's over there in Hawaii, Penn State,

708
00:35:20,239 --> 00:35:24,840
Speaker 4: all American, enjoying the waves, just brushing up along the shore.

709
00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:28,960
Speaker 4: Right there, beautiful ambiance. We've got Jared Smith, FSR, betting analyst.

710
00:35:29,320 --> 00:35:29,840
Speaker 4: I'm prian.

711
00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:30,040
Speaker 10: No.

712
00:35:31,080 --> 00:35:33,359
Speaker 4: Every time you make a wager at BETMGM, you earn

713
00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:36,799
Speaker 4: BETMGM rewards points that can be redeemed for things like

714
00:35:36,840 --> 00:35:40,719
Speaker 4: bonus bets or converted to MGM rewards points that could

715
00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:43,719
Speaker 4: be used towards dining shows and hotel rooms at over

716
00:35:43,760 --> 00:35:47,040
Speaker 4: twenty MGM resorts. And be sure to follow BETMGM across

717
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:50,960
Speaker 4: all socials at BETMGM. All right, coming up next to

718
00:35:51,040 --> 00:35:54,160
Speaker 4: parlay platter, which have one selection for you. We pull

719
00:35:54,200 --> 00:35:57,080
Speaker 4: it together for a greater payout. I got my eye

720
00:35:57,160 --> 00:35:59,520
Speaker 4: on the sec over here. We'll see what the fellas

721
00:35:59,520 --> 00:36:02,520
Speaker 4: are thinking. It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff,

722
00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:06,760
Speaker 4: presented by BETMGM. It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff,

723
00:36:07,120 --> 00:36:11,480
Speaker 4: presented by Bett MGM. No time to waste. Let's get

724
00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:12,280
Speaker 4: into the platter.

725
00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:15,279
Speaker 2: Shall we check this out?

726
00:36:15,560 --> 00:36:18,080
Speaker 3: Barlay flatterer, that is.

727
00:36:18,080 --> 00:36:21,160
Speaker 4: Right parlay flatterer. We each have one selection for you.

728
00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:23,680
Speaker 4: We pull it together for a greater payout. Will be

729
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:27,200
Speaker 4: an even greater payout if Jared goes with money line underdogs. Huh,

730
00:36:27,280 --> 00:36:29,080
Speaker 4: let's go. Let's get into it, Jared, what.

731
00:36:29,000 --> 00:36:29,400
Speaker 2: Do you like?

732
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:31,720
Speaker 7: Yeah, we're getting this to GC today.

733
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:34,320
Speaker 5: So first of all, I think this money line underdog

734
00:36:34,360 --> 00:36:36,560
Speaker 5: will be a little bit lighter if you wait until

735
00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:38,319
Speaker 5: game time. Again, we just talked about this in the

736
00:36:38,360 --> 00:36:42,040
Speaker 5: Iowa Oregon preview. It appears as though there's some injuries

737
00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:44,120
Speaker 5: looming on the offensive side of the ball for the Ducks.

738
00:36:44,120 --> 00:36:45,960
Speaker 5: We've already seen a half point tick down on the

739
00:36:46,000 --> 00:36:48,320
Speaker 5: number this morning. I got in at six and a half.

740
00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:48,920
Speaker 7: Last night.

741
00:36:48,920 --> 00:36:51,040
Speaker 5: I actually gave this out as the BETMGM video that

742
00:36:51,080 --> 00:36:53,040
Speaker 5: I do for college football every week on Wednesday. So

743
00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:55,879
Speaker 5: I've been on the Hawkeyes all week. But now we're

744
00:36:55,920 --> 00:36:58,439
Speaker 5: starting to see some of those injury reports trickle into

745
00:36:58,480 --> 00:37:00,360
Speaker 5: the market. So I think if you bet this now,

746
00:37:00,600 --> 00:37:02,080
Speaker 5: you're gonna come out on the right side of the

747
00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:04,359
Speaker 5: ledger once we start. Once the game starts, who freaking knows,

748
00:37:04,520 --> 00:37:06,799
Speaker 5: But I do think Iowa's offensive line is gonna run

749
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:08,560
Speaker 5: the ball effectively against this Oregon defense.

750
00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:10,520
Speaker 7: That is the name of the game for Oregon.

751
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:13,160
Speaker 5: Offensively, they need a little bit more in the passing game,

752
00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:14,040
Speaker 5: but their running game.

753
00:37:13,960 --> 00:37:16,439
Speaker 7: Is pretty solitude. This is gonna be a physical game.

754
00:37:16,719 --> 00:37:19,560
Speaker 5: There will be weather in Iowa City, and I think

755
00:37:19,840 --> 00:37:23,520
Speaker 5: hopefully Mark Kronowski makes just enough plays to get the

756
00:37:23,560 --> 00:37:24,879
Speaker 5: Hawkeys across the finish line.

757
00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:27,160
Speaker 7: So give me Iowa two to one on the money line,

758
00:37:27,239 --> 00:37:29,120
Speaker 7: the first leg of the platter.

759
00:37:32,600 --> 00:37:35,439
Speaker 2: Sorry, these works better when they're on. Okay, here we go.

760
00:37:35,960 --> 00:37:37,760
Speaker 2: I'm gonna repeat everything I just said.

761
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:40,200
Speaker 1: Do you seem literally a little money line pick after

762
00:37:40,239 --> 00:37:42,919
Speaker 1: we're talking about Iowa from Jared there.

763
00:37:43,040 --> 00:37:44,719
Speaker 2: I like Iowa much better.

764
00:37:44,520 --> 00:37:46,760
Speaker 1: Than I like Oregon, and now I like them even

765
00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:48,120
Speaker 1: better because they're.

766
00:37:47,920 --> 00:37:49,759
Speaker 2: A part of our part life. All right, Here we go.

767
00:37:50,360 --> 00:37:54,360
Speaker 1: Georgia terrible defensive line in terms of pass rush.

768
00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:55,600
Speaker 2: This is really odd.

769
00:37:55,320 --> 00:37:58,000
Speaker 1: To say because we're used to saying so many complimentary

770
00:37:58,000 --> 00:38:01,719
Speaker 1: things about a Georgia defense. Against a Mississippi State team

771
00:38:02,040 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 1: who needs a win, like Blood, they are waiting to

772
00:38:06,120 --> 00:38:10,640
Speaker 1: clinch bull eligibility. They've had an up and down season,

773
00:38:10,640 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 1: a little top sea turvy, but they've been competitive all

774
00:38:14,080 --> 00:38:16,319
Speaker 1: the way through. If you look at all their games

775
00:38:16,360 --> 00:38:18,719
Speaker 1: into the third and fourth quarter, even games where they

776
00:38:18,760 --> 00:38:22,279
Speaker 1: lost by a wider disparity, they've all been close. That's

777
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:24,480
Speaker 1: why I like the plus nine and a half points here.

778
00:38:24,719 --> 00:38:29,000
Speaker 1: I'm riding with Mississippi State a couple of reasons that

779
00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:32,959
Speaker 1: I like them against this Georgia defense. That pass rush,

780
00:38:32,960 --> 00:38:37,200
Speaker 1: however already mentioned the emotional factor I already mentioned.

781
00:38:37,480 --> 00:38:39,240
Speaker 2: I also think this outfitsive.

782
00:38:38,800 --> 00:38:41,680
Speaker 1: Line, who hasn't performed very well, has kept them in games.

783
00:38:41,800 --> 00:38:42,480
Speaker 2: Anyways.

784
00:38:42,760 --> 00:38:47,000
Speaker 1: They get the pressure valve released against a sack rate

785
00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:50,000
Speaker 1: that is third worst in the country behind the Air

786
00:38:50,040 --> 00:38:51,960
Speaker 1: Force and Georgia Southern.

787
00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:53,640
Speaker 2: Against this Georgia Bulldogs team.

788
00:38:53,680 --> 00:38:57,640
Speaker 1: So give me Mississippi State get nine and a half today.

789
00:38:58,480 --> 00:39:02,799
Speaker 4: Okay more cow bell? Huh very nice? All right, yeah good.

790
00:39:03,480 --> 00:39:05,799
Speaker 4: I'll stick with the sec here. Rich, I'll go with

791
00:39:05,840 --> 00:39:10,239
Speaker 4: this Florida Kentucky under give me under forty four and

792
00:39:10,239 --> 00:39:13,680
Speaker 4: a half today. Listen, I don't want this to be reactionary.

793
00:39:13,760 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 4: Last week, you know, Kentucky played at ten to three game, Like,

794
00:39:17,160 --> 00:39:19,680
Speaker 4: what is this the nineteen fifties? What are we doing

795
00:39:19,680 --> 00:39:21,200
Speaker 4: over here at ten to three?

796
00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:21,680
Speaker 2: Okay?

797
00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:25,319
Speaker 4: Like Kentucky plays great defense. Florida's defense is very good too.

798
00:39:25,840 --> 00:39:29,759
Speaker 4: Offenses leave a lot to be desired. I mean, forty

799
00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:33,880
Speaker 4: four and a half. It sounds like ridiculously low compared

800
00:39:33,880 --> 00:39:35,480
Speaker 4: to you know, some of the totals that you get

801
00:39:35,480 --> 00:39:38,960
Speaker 4: in college football. It is in college football, but let

802
00:39:39,000 --> 00:39:42,279
Speaker 4: me remind you this is a common total in say

803
00:39:42,280 --> 00:39:45,640
Speaker 4: the NFL, right, pretty common around forty four and a

804
00:39:45,719 --> 00:39:49,759
Speaker 4: half roughly, And you'll see games go under routinely in

805
00:39:49,800 --> 00:39:53,239
Speaker 4: the NFL. So I just think in this spot, good defenses,

806
00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:57,200
Speaker 4: offenses that struggle. I just don't see a points fest

807
00:39:57,239 --> 00:39:59,959
Speaker 4: here today. So I'll take a slobber knocker and gate

808
00:40:00,360 --> 00:40:02,880
Speaker 4: versus UK under forty four and a half.

809
00:40:03,480 --> 00:40:05,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, forty four and a half is a big So

810
00:40:05,160 --> 00:40:07,960
Speaker 5: forty four is a pretty big total in the NFL.

811
00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:10,520
Speaker 7: I don't think it's as prevalent in college. I need

812
00:40:10,560 --> 00:40:13,319
Speaker 7: to check my college ratings, but in the NFL.

813
00:40:13,280 --> 00:40:16,400
Speaker 5: Forty four and forty five are pretty big. Twelve to

814
00:40:16,400 --> 00:40:20,200
Speaker 5: one actually plus twelve forty one specifically at bet MGM

815
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:23,359
Speaker 5: after one of those nifty boost tokens that we hear

816
00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:27,280
Speaker 5: Brian talked about so eloquently during the commercial breaks. Nine

817
00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:29,920
Speaker 5: to one actually almost ten to one plus nine ninety

818
00:40:29,960 --> 00:40:32,399
Speaker 5: three without the boost token, I think is honestly, guys,

819
00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:33,839
Speaker 5: three legger getting over twelve to one.

820
00:40:34,239 --> 00:40:36,040
Speaker 7: That feels like a nice little payout here, I got,

821
00:40:36,200 --> 00:40:38,240
Speaker 7: I got a nice little fifty burger on this one today.

822
00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:41,400
Speaker 4: I think the boost huss So we're without the boosts

823
00:40:41,400 --> 00:40:43,319
Speaker 4: around ten to one, around ten to one, Yeah, let's

824
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:45,279
Speaker 4: go beas like you know, almost twelve and a half

825
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:45,640
Speaker 4: to one.

826
00:40:45,760 --> 00:40:48,520
Speaker 7: Yeah, that's nice. No, it is for a three legger,

827
00:40:48,520 --> 00:40:48,759
Speaker 7: it is.

828
00:40:48,960 --> 00:40:51,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, give you like a basically like a plus two

829
00:40:51,520 --> 00:40:52,400
Speaker 4: to fifty boost.

830
00:40:52,840 --> 00:40:53,480
Speaker 2: That's pretty nice.

831
00:40:53,520 --> 00:40:56,120
Speaker 5: Yep, yeah, the twenty five listen, I think the way

832
00:40:56,120 --> 00:40:58,160
Speaker 5: that the boosts work at at MGM, you should always

833
00:40:58,160 --> 00:40:59,560
Speaker 5: be using them when you have the New York count

834
00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:00,440
Speaker 5: guys him go to.

835
00:41:00,440 --> 00:41:04,520
Speaker 4: Waste, all right, Three seems to be an unlucky number

836
00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:08,799
Speaker 4: for this team today. You shall explain, Oh what is

837
00:41:08,840 --> 00:41:12,000
Speaker 4: going on? Welcome in happy Saturday to you as we

838
00:41:12,040 --> 00:41:15,440
Speaker 4: get you set for a full day of ball. That

839
00:41:15,560 --> 00:41:18,480
Speaker 4: is right, our guy rich O, he's out there in Hawaii.

840
00:41:19,239 --> 00:41:22,600
Speaker 4: It's got a ukulele for us, a solo in a

841
00:41:22,719 --> 00:41:25,680
Speaker 4: third hour, you know, they break it down. He's gonna

842
00:41:25,719 --> 00:41:29,440
Speaker 4: play killing fields on a ukulele from Slayer over there.

843
00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:33,680
Speaker 4: It's gonna be amazing. Yeah. So I you guys correct

844
00:41:33,680 --> 00:41:35,440
Speaker 4: me if you think this is off, but I think

845
00:41:36,040 --> 00:41:40,120
Speaker 4: three is an unlucky number for one team in particular today.

846
00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:44,760
Speaker 4: That would be the Missouri Tigers. Okay, So they're facing

847
00:41:44,760 --> 00:41:46,640
Speaker 4: the number three team in the country, that would be

848
00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:50,040
Speaker 4: Texas A and M. Missouri will be starting its number

849
00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:54,640
Speaker 4: three quarterback, true freshman Matt Zalars. He'll get the start,

850
00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:56,919
Speaker 4: you know, a couple of injury issues ahead of him,

851
00:41:57,239 --> 00:42:00,160
Speaker 4: So he's gonna start against a very aggressive Texas A

852
00:42:00,239 --> 00:42:03,160
Speaker 4: and M defense. Okay, and then this one is a

853
00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:06,560
Speaker 4: little bit of a stretch, but it's significant. Missouri is

854
00:42:06,600 --> 00:42:09,960
Speaker 4: gonna be without their star tight end, Brett Norfleet, and

855
00:42:10,040 --> 00:42:13,240
Speaker 4: he is third on the team with twenty six catches.

856
00:42:13,400 --> 00:42:17,359
Speaker 4: He actually leads both Missouri and SEC tight ends with

857
00:42:17,440 --> 00:42:21,479
Speaker 4: five touchdown catches. He's not gonna see the field today

858
00:42:21,560 --> 00:42:24,399
Speaker 4: due to Injuri. He's got a shoulder injury. So that's

859
00:42:24,440 --> 00:42:26,759
Speaker 4: a lot of three is going against you. Your third

860
00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:31,840
Speaker 4: leading receiver is out, your third string quarterback is in

861
00:42:32,040 --> 00:42:35,359
Speaker 4: true freshman, and you're facing the number three team. I mean,

862
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:39,160
Speaker 4: that's that's not great for Missouri home dogs, your plus

863
00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:42,319
Speaker 4: seven at home. But if I'm again, this is a

864
00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:46,880
Speaker 4: lot like the Oregon handicap Oregon, make Mark Gronowski beat you.

865
00:42:47,239 --> 00:42:49,839
Speaker 4: Just make him beat you. Texas A and M. Make

866
00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:53,399
Speaker 4: this third string quarterback Matt Zalars beat you. And he's

867
00:42:53,400 --> 00:42:55,359
Speaker 4: got some ability. You know, he was in the top

868
00:42:55,400 --> 00:42:59,440
Speaker 4: one hundred in terms of you know, prospect rankings. So

869
00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:00,879
Speaker 4: I don't want to make it sound like he can't

870
00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:03,319
Speaker 4: play at all. But he's a true freshman going up

871
00:43:03,360 --> 00:43:07,080
Speaker 4: against an aggressive defense, top three team. Make him earn it.

872
00:43:07,400 --> 00:43:10,359
Speaker 4: I know, Matt Hardy and Jamal Roberts. It's a very

873
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:12,800
Speaker 4: good one to two combo in terms of running backs.

874
00:43:13,080 --> 00:43:16,440
Speaker 4: Easier said than done. To you just limit their success,

875
00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:20,000
Speaker 4: but stack the box. Make this true freshman beat you.

876
00:43:20,320 --> 00:43:22,360
Speaker 4: And I think that's exactly what A and M is

877
00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:24,320
Speaker 4: going to do. That's going to be their formula today.

878
00:43:24,920 --> 00:43:28,080
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I think A and M is the much

879
00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:32,239
Speaker 1: better team. Obviously, Mike Elco has designs of winning a

880
00:43:32,360 --> 00:43:36,200
Speaker 1: national championship. A couple of holes. We'll get to the

881
00:43:36,200 --> 00:43:38,480
Speaker 1: defensive side of the ball. But you know, just to

882
00:43:38,560 --> 00:43:43,320
Speaker 1: talk about this offense and lauded for its obvious success

883
00:43:43,480 --> 00:43:45,920
Speaker 1: is offensive coordinator Colin Klein.

884
00:43:46,080 --> 00:43:46,959
Speaker 2: He can take a bow.

885
00:43:47,480 --> 00:43:52,360
Speaker 1: Marcel Reid in his junior season now has really accelerated

886
00:43:52,360 --> 00:43:57,160
Speaker 1: his growth this season. He's worked well with his leading

887
00:43:57,239 --> 00:44:03,320
Speaker 1: targets Concepcion and Craver. Yeah, this offense has been rock solid.

888
00:44:03,440 --> 00:44:07,200
Speaker 1: And Texas A and M, they really are buoyed by

889
00:44:07,200 --> 00:44:08,120
Speaker 1: it because they.

890
00:44:07,960 --> 00:44:10,120
Speaker 2: Have a couple of issues defensively.

891
00:44:11,440 --> 00:44:13,879
Speaker 1: They they again, you know, the same way we were

892
00:44:13,880 --> 00:44:17,960
Speaker 1: talking about how Iowa is an oddly poor tackling team.

893
00:44:18,000 --> 00:44:20,160
Speaker 1: So is this Texas A and M team. For as

894
00:44:20,239 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 1: high they are in the rankings, they don't tackle well

895
00:44:24,360 --> 00:44:28,440
Speaker 1: at all, Like broken tackles against their tackling rate in general,

896
00:44:28,920 --> 00:44:31,319
Speaker 1: if you can make one miss, you can get big

897
00:44:31,320 --> 00:44:34,160
Speaker 1: old chunk plays against A and M, and many team

898
00:44:34,280 --> 00:44:38,000
Speaker 1: teams have now Missouri, they have their obvious problems since

899
00:44:38,120 --> 00:44:43,200
Speaker 1: entering SEC play the Ahmad Hardy how he was dazzling

900
00:44:43,280 --> 00:44:45,879
Speaker 1: us early in the season, he's really cooled off. The

901
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:50,680
Speaker 1: touchdown rate has slowed down immensely. His his broken tackle rate,

902
00:44:51,600 --> 00:44:56,160
Speaker 1: forcing broken tackles against defenders has slowed down immensely. And

903
00:44:56,200 --> 00:44:59,400
Speaker 1: then obviously, losing your starting quarterback and starting a freshman

904
00:44:59,800 --> 00:45:03,240
Speaker 1: is going to hurt them too. Defensively, they create havoc

905
00:45:03,840 --> 00:45:05,600
Speaker 1: and that's where they have a little bit of a

906
00:45:05,600 --> 00:45:07,480
Speaker 1: feather in their cap. So we'll see if they can

907
00:45:07,520 --> 00:45:10,919
Speaker 1: slow down this Texas A and M offense. But as

908
00:45:10,960 --> 00:45:13,839
Speaker 1: sort of an overview of this game, A and M

909
00:45:13,920 --> 00:45:16,239
Speaker 1: is the much better team today. And that's that's it.

910
00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:19,799
Speaker 1: I mean, by by a lot, they're they're a better team.

911
00:45:20,280 --> 00:45:22,480
Speaker 5: Yeah, they've They've done a really good job of kind

912
00:45:22,480 --> 00:45:25,759
Speaker 5: of silencing a lot of critics. You know, anytime an

913
00:45:25,840 --> 00:45:29,920
Speaker 5: upstart team in the SEC is undefeated, everyone's going to

914
00:45:29,960 --> 00:45:31,880
Speaker 5: try to poke holes. Especially when that team is not

915
00:45:31,920 --> 00:45:35,000
Speaker 5: Alabama Georgia, Everyone's going to try to poke holes in

916
00:45:35,080 --> 00:45:38,880
Speaker 5: A and M. This year, Marcel Reid's taken another step.

917
00:45:39,480 --> 00:45:41,640
Speaker 5: I like what Conklin's done for him. I think that

918
00:45:41,760 --> 00:45:45,239
Speaker 5: duo makes a lot of synergy magic together. Kanklin, of course,

919
00:45:45,360 --> 00:45:48,160
Speaker 5: former kansastate quarterback now in the coaching world, becoming a

920
00:45:48,160 --> 00:45:51,359
Speaker 5: really good offensive coordinator, doing a really good job right

921
00:45:51,400 --> 00:45:54,880
Speaker 5: Mike Elkomore a defensive guy, he's got his offensive guru,

922
00:45:55,280 --> 00:45:59,200
Speaker 5: and Reid's you know, Rich mentioned the receiving group I'll

923
00:45:59,239 --> 00:46:02,080
Speaker 5: give some love to read. The one thing about Marcel

924
00:46:02,200 --> 00:46:05,400
Speaker 5: that I think they need to do is run the

925
00:46:05,440 --> 00:46:08,560
Speaker 5: ball effectively, because his play action grade goes up considerably.

926
00:46:08,600 --> 00:46:12,160
Speaker 5: He's a much better passer with play action most quarterbacks are,

927
00:46:12,280 --> 00:46:14,719
Speaker 5: especially at the collegiate level. You're able to manipulate the

928
00:46:14,760 --> 00:46:16,719
Speaker 5: defense a little bit more and really zone in on

929
00:46:16,760 --> 00:46:20,480
Speaker 5: one specific matchup that you like. In this particular case,

930
00:46:20,560 --> 00:46:22,759
Speaker 5: it's gonna be tough because I think Missoo's defense is

931
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:24,680
Speaker 5: gonna be up for the challenge. Right We've talked about

932
00:46:24,920 --> 00:46:28,200
Speaker 5: Missouri multiple times in the past, especially the game against Bama.

933
00:46:28,480 --> 00:46:30,760
Speaker 5: I thought that was their best game where they showed

934
00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:33,400
Speaker 5: you how difficult they are to block off the edge.

935
00:46:33,600 --> 00:46:36,120
Speaker 5: Zion Young Damon Wilson, those are the two guys to

936
00:46:36,160 --> 00:46:38,120
Speaker 5: keep an eye on off the edge for Missouri. They

937
00:46:38,120 --> 00:46:40,440
Speaker 5: are absolute beasts. And then you've got the big man

938
00:46:40,440 --> 00:46:42,120
Speaker 5: in the middle McClellan, who can stop the run the

939
00:46:42,120 --> 00:46:44,520
Speaker 5: Florida transfer. So this isn't gonna be just a and

940
00:46:44,680 --> 00:46:46,200
Speaker 5: m line it up and smash it right now in

941
00:46:46,200 --> 00:46:48,560
Speaker 5: Missouri's throat like they're gonna be up for this challenge.

942
00:46:48,680 --> 00:46:52,479
Speaker 5: On the other side, Zala's upside is there. But as

943
00:46:52,520 --> 00:46:55,160
Speaker 5: Brian alluded to, this is the third string quarterback coming

944
00:46:55,160 --> 00:46:58,000
Speaker 5: into the year from Missouri. It is not an ideal

945
00:46:58,040 --> 00:47:00,279
Speaker 5: situation when you are facing the best of the best

946
00:47:00,360 --> 00:47:03,040
Speaker 5: right now in the sec We'll see how that plays out.

947
00:47:03,320 --> 00:47:05,600
Speaker 7: I'll throw a third right, we're all about the rule of.

948
00:47:05,600 --> 00:47:07,719
Speaker 5: Three here, all the sho nice, Yeah, I'll throw a

949
00:47:07,880 --> 00:47:11,040
Speaker 5: third wrinkle into this game. We talk about Missouri's defense,

950
00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:13,600
Speaker 5: we talk about A and M's offense. Here's the third wrinkle.

951
00:47:14,040 --> 00:47:17,120
Speaker 5: It's the distraction wrinkle. And I'll say this on the show.

952
00:47:17,960 --> 00:47:20,080
Speaker 5: I'm not one hundred percent confident that this is going

953
00:47:20,120 --> 00:47:24,759
Speaker 5: to happen. I'm about seventy percent confident. But it's significantly

954
00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:27,080
Speaker 5: higher than what some of the prediction markets are saying

955
00:47:27,120 --> 00:47:31,279
Speaker 5: right now. I got a whisper this week that Eli

956
00:47:31,360 --> 00:47:32,840
Speaker 5: Drinkowitz is going to be the next head coach of

957
00:47:32,880 --> 00:47:35,680
Speaker 5: Penn State. Is that one hundred percent confirmed? Of course not,

958
00:47:35,920 --> 00:47:41,040
Speaker 5: it's a whisper. Now, how often are these whispers true? Again,

959
00:47:41,080 --> 00:47:43,759
Speaker 5: I would say about sixty seventy percent of the time.

960
00:47:45,280 --> 00:47:47,280
Speaker 5: Mike Elco's also up for a lot of these jobs.

961
00:47:48,560 --> 00:47:51,520
Speaker 5: How are these if you think these coaches are not

962
00:47:51,600 --> 00:47:53,400
Speaker 5: interviewing over the net last week or two.

963
00:47:53,440 --> 00:47:53,960
Speaker 7: You're crazy.

964
00:47:54,960 --> 00:47:57,040
Speaker 5: These jobs are going to be filled before the College

965
00:47:57,080 --> 00:47:59,160
Speaker 5: Wall playoffs starts because of the transfer window and all

966
00:47:59,160 --> 00:48:04,240
Speaker 5: of the restrictions with recruiting. These are very difficult interviews.

967
00:48:04,280 --> 00:48:08,560
Speaker 5: They're long, they're tiresome, they're deep. How are the teams

968
00:48:08,560 --> 00:48:11,279
Speaker 5: going to handle that? And if I'm catching word that

969
00:48:11,400 --> 00:48:13,360
Speaker 5: Eli drink Witz and I'm not an insider, I'm not

970
00:48:13,400 --> 00:48:15,719
Speaker 5: an Adam schefter. If I'm catching word that Eli drink

971
00:48:15,719 --> 00:48:16,840
Speaker 5: Witz is going to be the next head coach of

972
00:48:16,880 --> 00:48:18,680
Speaker 5: Penn State, I'm sure a lot of other people within

973
00:48:19,400 --> 00:48:22,120
Speaker 5: the Missouri ranks are also hearing the same things, and

974
00:48:22,200 --> 00:48:24,200
Speaker 5: also within the Texas A and M ranks about Elko.

975
00:48:24,360 --> 00:48:27,320
Speaker 5: So that is another wrinkle to some of these high

976
00:48:27,760 --> 00:48:30,040
Speaker 5: leverage games over the next few weeks. A lot of

977
00:48:30,080 --> 00:48:32,359
Speaker 5: these coach think about how many openings right now are

978
00:48:32,360 --> 00:48:36,040
Speaker 5: in college football LSU, Penn State, Florida, Auburn, Like it's

979
00:48:36,120 --> 00:48:39,040
Speaker 5: it's crazy, and these jobs are going to get filled

980
00:48:39,040 --> 00:48:42,879
Speaker 5: by current head coaches or high profile coordinators at these

981
00:48:42,880 --> 00:48:44,919
Speaker 5: big schools. So this is going to be a really

982
00:48:44,960 --> 00:48:47,040
Speaker 5: interesting dynamic to watch over the next few weeks.

983
00:48:47,200 --> 00:48:50,399
Speaker 4: I'm just laughing a little bit because when you mentioned that,

984
00:48:50,560 --> 00:48:53,600
Speaker 4: like Eli Drinkwitz might be the next Penn State head coach,

985
00:48:54,000 --> 00:48:56,000
Speaker 4: Rich was just like, Oh wow, what.

986
00:48:56,000 --> 00:48:56,879
Speaker 2: Do you think about that? Rich?

987
00:48:56,960 --> 00:48:58,759
Speaker 7: Right the first time I mentioned that to you, it

988
00:48:58,800 --> 00:48:59,680
Speaker 7: didn't sound.

989
00:48:59,480 --> 00:49:03,480
Speaker 4: Like, oh wow, yeah really, oh really you know it's

990
00:49:03,520 --> 00:49:07,560
Speaker 4: not appropriate, right, like, oh Eli, huh Yeah.

991
00:49:07,160 --> 00:49:11,920
Speaker 1: It's It's amazing how Penn stayed over the years. You know,

992
00:49:12,040 --> 00:49:16,000
Speaker 1: I want to say that this is true for all

993
00:49:16,040 --> 00:49:20,279
Speaker 1: college football programs, almost all, outside of maybe like the

994
00:49:20,680 --> 00:49:25,160
Speaker 1: craziest college football coach recruitment we've ever seen, when like

995
00:49:25,239 --> 00:49:28,880
Speaker 1: Lincoln Riley was leaving Oklahoma to USC. A lot of

996
00:49:28,920 --> 00:49:31,200
Speaker 1: these hirings aren't all that sexy.

997
00:49:31,560 --> 00:49:31,759
Speaker 2: You know.

998
00:49:31,840 --> 00:49:35,200
Speaker 1: It's usually a coordinator getting a shot. It's a head

999
00:49:35,239 --> 00:49:38,040
Speaker 1: coaching re tread that we sort of see coming down

1000
00:49:38,080 --> 00:49:38,439
Speaker 1: the pike.

1001
00:49:38,800 --> 00:49:39,040
Speaker 2: You know.

1002
00:49:39,120 --> 00:49:42,000
Speaker 1: This this is a situation where it's a guy who's

1003
00:49:42,040 --> 00:49:45,200
Speaker 1: done some really special things out a program that has

1004
00:49:45,239 --> 00:49:48,480
Speaker 1: long struggled, and he's bringing them, you know, somewhere near

1005
00:49:48,560 --> 00:49:51,280
Speaker 1: the top of his conference. And it's a very difficult conference.

1006
00:49:51,680 --> 00:49:57,720
Speaker 1: And Missouri has played unbelievably competitive football this year, albeit

1007
00:49:58,040 --> 00:50:00,760
Speaker 1: it slowed down some when they got to their s schedule.

1008
00:50:01,760 --> 00:50:04,800
Speaker 1: Drinkowitz has he's he's got a good.

1009
00:50:04,560 --> 00:50:06,520
Speaker 2: Resume to back up the hiring.

1010
00:50:07,160 --> 00:50:10,319
Speaker 1: However, I mean, I'm I'm am I blown away by it.

1011
00:50:10,440 --> 00:50:11,560
Speaker 2: No, you know, I mean.

1012
00:50:12,280 --> 00:50:14,880
Speaker 1: If all of a sudden, if all of a sudden

1013
00:50:14,920 --> 00:50:17,439
Speaker 1: instead of the rule of three, John was like, hey,

1014
00:50:17,600 --> 00:50:20,719
Speaker 1: as a complete non sequitor, I'm here in Gruden has

1015
00:50:20,920 --> 00:50:24,719
Speaker 1: major interest in Penn State. I'd be like, what you know, now,

1016
00:50:25,280 --> 00:50:27,480
Speaker 1: does that mean that Eli drag Woitz is gonna be

1017
00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:30,719
Speaker 1: a worst coach than John Gruden or John Gruden would

1018
00:50:30,719 --> 00:50:36,400
Speaker 1: be the right selection for Penn State. No, but name recognition, excitement, interest,

1019
00:50:36,800 --> 00:50:39,759
Speaker 1: you know, a furrowed brow, maybe even like all that

1020
00:50:39,800 --> 00:50:42,000
Speaker 1: stuff comes to mind when you think about hiring, like

1021
00:50:42,120 --> 00:50:47,359
Speaker 1: Chucky coming to uh Penn State. But but but this

1022
00:50:47,440 --> 00:50:50,960
Speaker 1: feels like, if it does end up happening, it's a

1023
00:50:51,120 --> 00:50:55,839
Speaker 1: well earned opportunity for a very talented head coach who's

1024
00:50:55,880 --> 00:50:59,160
Speaker 1: done some amazing things with the Tigers over the past,

1025
00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:00,640
Speaker 1: especially the past season.

1026
00:51:00,640 --> 00:51:03,799
Speaker 2: I've been specifically impressed without they've competed. You know.

1027
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:07,480
Speaker 4: It's it's something funny that you mentioned rich about Texas

1028
00:51:07,520 --> 00:51:10,680
Speaker 4: A and m not tackling very well. Yeah, and It

1029
00:51:10,800 --> 00:51:14,360
Speaker 4: just got me thinking how I complain while watching a

1030
00:51:14,360 --> 00:51:17,200
Speaker 4: football game, you know what I mean, Like depending on

1031
00:51:17,239 --> 00:51:21,080
Speaker 4: what side I'm on, what like prop bet, what what

1032
00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:24,880
Speaker 4: team total whatever? Like what side I have? Right, Like,

1033
00:51:24,960 --> 00:51:26,800
Speaker 4: let's just say I'm on Texas A and M today

1034
00:51:26,800 --> 00:51:30,120
Speaker 4: for the sake of argument. I could see myself watching

1035
00:51:30,160 --> 00:51:34,239
Speaker 4: today's game just going tackle right like over and no

1036
00:51:34,840 --> 00:51:38,719
Speaker 4: tackle somebody, my gosh, tackle, just tackle a guy, you know,

1037
00:51:39,040 --> 00:51:41,960
Speaker 4: because Madd Hardy even though his numbers have declined, and

1038
00:51:42,040 --> 00:51:47,200
Speaker 4: Jamal Roberts especially Hardy though, Man, that guy yards after contact.

1039
00:51:47,239 --> 00:51:49,879
Speaker 4: He specializes in that area. So that's one thing.

1040
00:51:50,160 --> 00:51:50,359
Speaker 2: Man.

1041
00:51:50,440 --> 00:51:54,640
Speaker 4: Offensively, it's catch the ball, I'll say it, just like

1042
00:51:55,000 --> 00:51:58,960
Speaker 4: catch the ball, man. But man, when a team cannot

1043
00:51:59,280 --> 00:52:01,960
Speaker 4: get dudes on on the ground, they just can't tackle.

1044
00:52:02,480 --> 00:52:05,160
Speaker 4: Oh that's a rough watch, man. That is a rough watch.

1045
00:52:05,680 --> 00:52:09,680
Speaker 1: And it really is one of those things that fundamentally

1046
00:52:09,760 --> 00:52:12,360
Speaker 1: you can work on throughout this season. A lot of

1047
00:52:12,400 --> 00:52:14,960
Speaker 1: coaches don't want to again, you want to talk about

1048
00:52:15,000 --> 00:52:18,120
Speaker 1: doing something that's sexy at practice, you know, like like

1049
00:52:18,160 --> 00:52:20,880
Speaker 1: where you're going over you know some of your more

1050
00:52:21,360 --> 00:52:24,560
Speaker 1: you know, deep cuts in your playbook, like hey, we're

1051
00:52:24,600 --> 00:52:27,400
Speaker 1: gonna we're gonna work on that Philly special because it

1052
00:52:27,440 --> 00:52:29,600
Speaker 1: may come up in the low red zone this week.

1053
00:52:29,840 --> 00:52:32,520
Speaker 1: It's like, ah, yeah, we're fired up about running that

1054
00:52:32,640 --> 00:52:34,480
Speaker 1: new Blitz scheme.

1055
00:52:34,600 --> 00:52:37,600
Speaker 2: That is A it's only up for A and M.

1056
00:52:37,800 --> 00:52:40,239
Speaker 1: You know, here's the deal. At the end of the day,

1057
00:52:40,480 --> 00:52:45,000
Speaker 1: football is a pretty simple game. It's throw, catch, block, tackle,

1058
00:52:45,680 --> 00:52:47,239
Speaker 1: And I mean, if you want to throw and kick,

1059
00:52:47,320 --> 00:52:49,959
Speaker 1: because it's so crucial in certain moments, throw and kick.

1060
00:52:50,120 --> 00:52:53,440
Speaker 1: But if you do those four things well especially, you're

1061
00:52:53,480 --> 00:52:55,759
Speaker 1: gonna be a pretty damn good football team. And it's

1062
00:52:55,800 --> 00:53:00,480
Speaker 1: amazing how many even good football teams with good recruits

1063
00:53:00,960 --> 00:53:04,799
Speaker 1: really don't concentrate on the fundamentals. Especially toward the end

1064
00:53:04,840 --> 00:53:08,000
Speaker 1: of the season. You'll see poorer tackling as the weather

1065
00:53:08,040 --> 00:53:10,279
Speaker 1: gets cold, and a lot of people attributed to the

1066
00:53:10,280 --> 00:53:13,640
Speaker 1: fact that, hey, yeah, like the weather's cold, it's harder

1067
00:53:13,680 --> 00:53:14,200
Speaker 1: to tackle.

1068
00:53:14,680 --> 00:53:15,239
Speaker 2: Bulowny.

1069
00:53:15,560 --> 00:53:18,359
Speaker 1: It isn't harder to tackle in hot weather. Cold weather

1070
00:53:18,560 --> 00:53:21,319
Speaker 1: because in hot weather guys sweat more. It's harder to

1071
00:53:21,360 --> 00:53:23,960
Speaker 1: get a hold of them. Sometimes you know, they're slippery,

1072
00:53:24,000 --> 00:53:24,759
Speaker 1: they get away from you.

1073
00:53:25,080 --> 00:53:25,640
Speaker 2: Cold weather.

1074
00:53:26,719 --> 00:53:29,640
Speaker 1: I'm telling you, the weather doesn't matter. It's teams that

1075
00:53:29,719 --> 00:53:33,160
Speaker 1: work on their feet and their fundamentals at practice, and

1076
00:53:33,200 --> 00:53:35,360
Speaker 1: the further you get through the season, the lesson you

1077
00:53:35,400 --> 00:53:37,640
Speaker 1: think you need to work on it with certain coaching staffs.

1078
00:53:37,920 --> 00:53:40,279
Speaker 1: And honestly, that's when you gotta lock in even more.

1079
00:53:40,440 --> 00:53:43,279
Speaker 1: You gotta spend the five minutes at practice run through

1080
00:53:43,280 --> 00:53:46,440
Speaker 1: it with your defensive line, your linebackers, and your defensive backs,

1081
00:53:46,680 --> 00:53:48,759
Speaker 1: and you will have a pretty damn good defense if

1082
00:53:48,760 --> 00:53:50,480
Speaker 1: they can get ball carriers on the ground.

1083
00:53:51,080 --> 00:53:54,560
Speaker 5: Yeah, the hardy also bringing hardy to the grounds not easy.

1084
00:53:54,600 --> 00:53:56,600
Speaker 5: So he leads all pop power for backs this year

1085
00:53:56,680 --> 00:53:58,840
Speaker 5: seven hundred and twenty two yards after first contact.

1086
00:53:59,640 --> 00:54:01,680
Speaker 7: I mean again, I'll give.

1087
00:54:01,600 --> 00:54:04,520
Speaker 5: You a lot of running backs will take that period

1088
00:54:04,600 --> 00:54:06,359
Speaker 5: seven hundred and twenty two yards for the season.

1089
00:54:06,400 --> 00:54:07,520
Speaker 7: They'll be hey, that's a great year.

1090
00:54:07,680 --> 00:54:09,919
Speaker 5: That's after first contact and we still got a lot

1091
00:54:10,600 --> 00:54:12,800
Speaker 5: of time left in the season.

1092
00:54:12,840 --> 00:54:14,160
Speaker 7: Now he has trailed off a little bit.

1093
00:54:14,280 --> 00:54:17,319
Speaker 5: He has not eclipsed one hundred yards over his last

1094
00:54:17,320 --> 00:54:19,120
Speaker 5: three games, so he's starting to slow down. The one

1095
00:54:19,120 --> 00:54:20,800
Speaker 5: thing about A and M is they give up a

1096
00:54:20,840 --> 00:54:22,600
Speaker 5: lot of running yards. So we you know, this is

1097
00:54:22,600 --> 00:54:25,200
Speaker 5: something that I think we will definitely be keeping an

1098
00:54:25,239 --> 00:54:29,120
Speaker 5: eye out in this game. We'll see if Mike Elcho

1099
00:54:29,360 --> 00:54:33,879
Speaker 5: throws some heavy boxes, I would The issue is they

1100
00:54:33,880 --> 00:54:35,439
Speaker 5: haven't really been behind.

1101
00:54:35,120 --> 00:54:36,040
Speaker 7: In a lot of games this year.

1102
00:54:36,080 --> 00:54:37,400
Speaker 5: Right, A and M has been on the front foot,

1103
00:54:37,400 --> 00:54:39,040
Speaker 5: so teams have been throwing it on A and M

1104
00:54:39,080 --> 00:54:41,080
Speaker 5: a lot, so it hasn't been as big of a factor.

1105
00:54:41,719 --> 00:54:44,279
Speaker 5: The fact that they haven't been as good against the run.

1106
00:54:44,480 --> 00:54:46,439
Speaker 5: Toy and York I've mentioned his name on the show before.

1107
00:54:46,480 --> 00:54:49,400
Speaker 5: Middle linebacker for A and M. Not a big, physical,

1108
00:54:49,560 --> 00:54:53,719
Speaker 5: athletic guy, just one of the best, most instinctual linebackers

1109
00:54:53,719 --> 00:54:55,320
Speaker 5: I've ever watched play college football.

1110
00:54:56,120 --> 00:54:59,560
Speaker 7: He just sniffs out where the run, where the run

1111
00:54:59,600 --> 00:55:01,279
Speaker 7: hole is. He is so good at that.

1112
00:55:02,239 --> 00:55:03,680
Speaker 5: I don't know if he's gonna play on Sunday because

1113
00:55:03,680 --> 00:55:05,400
Speaker 5: of his size, but he definitely has the brain to

1114
00:55:05,400 --> 00:55:08,600
Speaker 5: play on Sunday, no doubt about it. You cannot let

1115
00:55:08,640 --> 00:55:10,759
Speaker 5: this run game beat you. If Mike got say, you

1116
00:55:10,880 --> 00:55:15,640
Speaker 5: gotta figure out a way to get zllars into obvious

1117
00:55:15,760 --> 00:55:19,239
Speaker 5: passing downs. But the one thing about A and M

1118
00:55:19,280 --> 00:55:22,640
Speaker 5: this year, how about this twenty on third downs that's

1119
00:55:22,680 --> 00:55:25,319
Speaker 5: the best in the country, like by far, Like it's

1120
00:55:25,320 --> 00:55:27,919
Speaker 5: like not even close. So they have been really good

1121
00:55:27,960 --> 00:55:29,400
Speaker 5: on third downs this year. Now, that can be a

1122
00:55:29,400 --> 00:55:32,000
Speaker 5: little bit of a fluky stat but I think this

1123
00:55:32,120 --> 00:55:34,000
Speaker 5: is a really good A and M defense that struggles

1124
00:55:34,040 --> 00:55:35,920
Speaker 5: in one area that Missouri does well. So this is

1125
00:55:35,920 --> 00:55:37,880
Speaker 5: gonna be a fun matchup. Honestly, I would not be

1126
00:55:37,960 --> 00:55:40,759
Speaker 5: surprised if Missouri keeps this game close because A and

1127
00:55:40,880 --> 00:55:41,880
Speaker 5: M on the road has been a bit of a

1128
00:55:41,960 --> 00:55:42,600
Speaker 5: struggle this year.

1129
00:55:42,640 --> 00:55:43,759
Speaker 7: Go watch the Arkansas game.

1130
00:55:44,440 --> 00:55:46,200
Speaker 4: Well, yeah, that's why I think it comes down to.

1131
00:55:46,560 --> 00:55:49,840
Speaker 4: It comes down to A and m's rush defense against

1132
00:55:49,880 --> 00:55:52,360
Speaker 4: Missouri's rushing offense. And I think it comes down to

1133
00:55:52,560 --> 00:55:56,520
Speaker 4: Missouri staying on schedule. Right, if it's third and four,

1134
00:55:57,000 --> 00:55:59,759
Speaker 4: it's third and three, Okay, you know we got something

1135
00:55:59,800 --> 00:56:03,040
Speaker 4: worse here. If it's consistently third and eight, third and ten,

1136
00:56:03,120 --> 00:56:05,279
Speaker 4: and it's like Zalar's just do your thing, buddy, you

1137
00:56:05,280 --> 00:56:08,120
Speaker 4: know that's not a good spot for Miszoo to be in.

1138
00:56:08,239 --> 00:56:11,239
Speaker 4: So I think it's missoo's running game. How effective is it?

1139
00:56:11,560 --> 00:56:14,480
Speaker 4: And can they stay on schedule and take a lot

1140
00:56:14,600 --> 00:56:17,719
Speaker 4: off of the plate of Zalars? Right, if there's more

1141
00:56:17,760 --> 00:56:20,360
Speaker 4: on his plate, that's that's Texas A and M advantage

1142
00:56:20,360 --> 00:56:22,600
Speaker 4: all day. Yeah, hey, and we've got go ahead.

1143
00:56:23,200 --> 00:56:25,680
Speaker 1: I was just gonna say one last thing, Missouri's defense

1144
00:56:25,760 --> 00:56:28,800
Speaker 1: putting a stop to some of those explosives from Texas,

1145
00:56:28,880 --> 00:56:30,240
Speaker 1: A and M is going to be huge.

1146
00:56:31,400 --> 00:56:31,720
Speaker 2: Well.

1147
00:56:31,880 --> 00:56:36,120
Speaker 1: I think that this matchup for Reid it bodes well

1148
00:56:36,160 --> 00:56:38,800
Speaker 1: because if you look at what Missouri likes to run,

1149
00:56:39,200 --> 00:56:42,759
Speaker 1: cover three, what Marcel Reid throws well against. Over the

1150
00:56:42,760 --> 00:56:46,440
Speaker 1: course of the season, he's been eating up cover three defenses,

1151
00:56:46,840 --> 00:56:52,399
Speaker 1: but Missouri's been great at contested catches and forcing tight

1152
00:56:52,440 --> 00:56:56,040
Speaker 1: window throws. So if Reid, if he's on like if

1153
00:56:56,080 --> 00:56:58,880
Speaker 1: he's if he's putting them ball right on the money,

1154
00:56:59,120 --> 00:57:01,320
Speaker 1: this could be a long day for the Missouri defense.

1155
00:57:01,360 --> 00:57:04,600
Speaker 1: But like you just said, Brian, road game, tough environment,

1156
00:57:04,960 --> 00:57:08,600
Speaker 1: super competitive team, even though they've lost in the SEC

1157
00:57:08,719 --> 00:57:12,960
Speaker 1: so far, I think this could be closer than a

1158
00:57:13,000 --> 00:57:15,400
Speaker 1: lot of people will will give it credit for.

1159
00:57:15,760 --> 00:57:17,560
Speaker 2: Right out the front, Yeah, I like it.

1160
00:57:17,600 --> 00:57:21,920
Speaker 4: Maybe a little rapid fire selection, right. It's a great point, though,

1161
00:57:21,960 --> 00:57:23,440
Speaker 4: I just you know, I want to highlight what you

1162
00:57:23,520 --> 00:57:25,880
Speaker 4: just said right there, Rich where think about it as

1163
00:57:25,880 --> 00:57:29,000
Speaker 4: an offense. If Missouri gets the ball and they have

1164
00:57:29,120 --> 00:57:32,800
Speaker 4: this methodical, you know, like eight minute drive, they score points,

1165
00:57:32,800 --> 00:57:36,240
Speaker 4: so feeling great, you know, but if A and M

1166
00:57:36,280 --> 00:57:40,360
Speaker 4: has this explosive play, you know, Concepcione catches a sixty

1167
00:57:40,400 --> 00:57:42,760
Speaker 4: five yard touchdown pass and now all of a sudden,

1168
00:57:42,840 --> 00:57:45,440
Speaker 4: as the Missouri offense, you're like, we gotta like nickel

1169
00:57:45,480 --> 00:57:47,880
Speaker 4: and dime our way all the way down the field

1170
00:57:48,000 --> 00:57:50,800
Speaker 4: or we're trailing late. Right, Like, there are a lot

1171
00:57:50,840 --> 00:57:54,280
Speaker 4: of times where that methodical, you know, let's get five

1172
00:57:54,360 --> 00:57:57,160
Speaker 4: yards here, let's get four yards there. Like, it gets

1173
00:57:57,240 --> 00:57:59,760
Speaker 4: really tough when the other team has explosive play. So

1174
00:58:00,280 --> 00:58:02,760
Speaker 4: that's a big thing to limit it for that reason

1175
00:58:02,760 --> 00:58:05,280
Speaker 4: too for your own offense. Right, all right, We've got

1176
00:58:05,360 --> 00:58:09,360
Speaker 4: Rich Orenberger, Penn State All American, Jared Smith, FSR betting analyst.

1177
00:58:09,760 --> 00:58:12,960
Speaker 4: I'm Brian No. Register with BETMGM to get instant access

1178
00:58:13,000 --> 00:58:16,200
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1184
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Speaker 4: it legendary.

1185
00:58:33,000 --> 00:58:33,280
Speaker 2: All right.

1186
00:58:33,320 --> 00:58:36,960
Speaker 4: Speaking of legendary, our guy Seamus McGee, team lead of

1187
00:58:36,960 --> 00:58:40,480
Speaker 4: Sports Trading at BETMGM. He drops on by let you

1188
00:58:40,600 --> 00:58:44,640
Speaker 4: know who BETMGM needs, and you know how much Virginia

1189
00:58:44,720 --> 00:58:45,760
Speaker 4: is gonna lose by today.

1190
00:58:45,920 --> 00:58:46,360
Speaker 7: I don't know.

1191
00:58:46,360 --> 00:58:48,120
Speaker 4: Maybe he won't bring that to the table. I'm not

1192
00:58:48,160 --> 00:58:50,560
Speaker 4: sure we'll find out. It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown

1193
00:58:50,560 --> 00:58:54,120
Speaker 4: to Kickoff presented by BETMGM. It is Fox Sports Radios

1194
00:58:54,160 --> 00:58:58,320
Speaker 4: Countdown to Kickoff presented by bet MGM. Throughout the entire

1195
00:58:58,360 --> 00:59:01,480
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1196
00:59:01,520 --> 00:59:05,240
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1197
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Speaker 4: and so much more. All right, let's do this.

1199
00:59:13,600 --> 00:59:15,280
Speaker 3: Follow the money, real good money.

1200
00:59:16,160 --> 00:59:18,800
Speaker 4: We welcome in our good friend, Seamus McGee, team lead

1201
00:59:18,840 --> 00:59:23,360
Speaker 4: of Sports Trading at BEDMGM. Seamus, is this is this

1202
00:59:23,360 --> 00:59:25,080
Speaker 4: the week? Good morning to you? I should say good

1203
00:59:25,080 --> 00:59:28,280
Speaker 4: morning before I take you know, unnecessary cheap shots. Is

1204
00:59:28,320 --> 00:59:32,800
Speaker 4: this the week that your fugazy Virginia Cavaliers or the

1205
00:59:33,200 --> 00:59:36,000
Speaker 4: the you know, the the house of cards, It just

1206
00:59:36,040 --> 00:59:37,960
Speaker 4: comes crashing down. Is this what we're looking at?

1207
00:59:39,200 --> 00:59:46,200
Speaker 10: Good morning to you too, guys. I don't think so.

1208
00:59:47,600 --> 00:59:50,760
Speaker 10: Virginia's finally back at home night game. The crowds that

1209
00:59:50,800 --> 00:59:52,720
Speaker 10: they've been getting the past few weeks at home have

1210
00:59:52,800 --> 00:59:55,520
Speaker 10: been really good. I don't think this is the week.

1211
00:59:55,560 --> 00:59:58,440
Speaker 10: You could argue this is a decent look ahead spot

1212
00:59:58,480 --> 01:00:01,520
Speaker 10: with Duke on deck on the road, but I'd argue

1213
01:00:01,680 --> 01:00:04,640
Speaker 10: Coop's got the bigger look ahead spot with Virginia coming

1214
01:00:04,640 --> 01:00:08,000
Speaker 10: to their place next week. So I think Virginia gets

1215
01:00:08,000 --> 01:00:09,600
Speaker 10: it done. I don't know if they cover six and

1216
01:00:09,640 --> 01:00:13,400
Speaker 10: a half Wakes, and I think they've exceeded expectations. I

1217
01:00:13,400 --> 01:00:16,240
Speaker 10: would argue not really showing up and win losses, but

1218
01:00:17,000 --> 01:00:19,080
Speaker 10: like they've played a lot better than they've showed then

1219
01:00:19,120 --> 01:00:20,600
Speaker 10: they were supposed to be this year at least.

1220
01:00:21,360 --> 01:00:23,680
Speaker 5: Yeah, it looks like a Sloper knocker kind of game.

1221
01:00:23,880 --> 01:00:25,320
Speaker 5: I might be on the under in that game. I

1222
01:00:25,320 --> 01:00:28,080
Speaker 5: think Wakes defense have been pretty good Virginia. Also, as

1223
01:00:28,120 --> 01:00:31,280
Speaker 5: you mentioned, you don't want to show too much with

1224
01:00:31,400 --> 01:00:34,720
Speaker 5: a huge game on deck next week. Oregon hasn't shown

1225
01:00:34,800 --> 01:00:37,240
Speaker 5: us their best yet this year. The game at Penn

1226
01:00:37,280 --> 01:00:41,040
Speaker 5: State's aging like milk and now they've got some injuries today.

1227
01:00:41,160 --> 01:00:45,000
Speaker 5: I'm assuming despite that, everyone is still betting the Ducks

1228
01:00:45,040 --> 01:00:46,920
Speaker 5: based off of what we saw earlier in the week.

1229
01:00:46,960 --> 01:00:48,640
Speaker 5: The question is, Seamus, So we're going to start to

1230
01:00:48,640 --> 01:00:51,480
Speaker 5: see some Iowa money come in now that this injury

1231
01:00:51,520 --> 01:00:53,360
Speaker 5: news is starting to filter into the market.

1232
01:00:54,640 --> 01:00:56,680
Speaker 10: Yeah, we're gonna see which way the line moves. But

1233
01:00:57,160 --> 01:01:00,600
Speaker 10: I mean this has been pretty even both is all

1234
01:01:00,640 --> 01:01:03,600
Speaker 10: week as far as ticket counts and money. Anything we

1235
01:01:03,720 --> 01:01:05,880
Speaker 10: take in slightly more Iowa plus six and a half

1236
01:01:05,960 --> 01:01:08,520
Speaker 10: money here. I mean, it's gonna be an interesting game.

1237
01:01:08,640 --> 01:01:10,960
Speaker 10: I liked Iowa before the game, but we'll see what

1238
01:01:11,000 --> 01:01:12,280
Speaker 10: happens with this line movement.

1239
01:01:13,040 --> 01:01:17,600
Speaker 1: We got our initial CFP rankings. It was unveiled earlier

1240
01:01:17,680 --> 01:01:22,200
Speaker 1: this week. Do you have any compliments, criticisms, concerns the

1241
01:01:22,200 --> 01:01:24,640
Speaker 1: three c's after seeing the CFP?

1242
01:01:26,680 --> 01:01:31,640
Speaker 10: I mean, there, I don't. I can't get on board

1243
01:01:31,680 --> 01:01:36,480
Speaker 10: with Texas eleven. I think that's a bit much, But

1244
01:01:36,560 --> 01:01:41,480
Speaker 10: like we see it every year, these first rankings mean

1245
01:01:41,640 --> 01:01:45,080
Speaker 10: absolutely nothing. Like four of these teams are probably going

1246
01:01:45,160 --> 01:01:48,040
Speaker 10: to be out of it. I think the ACC got

1247
01:01:48,080 --> 01:01:53,120
Speaker 10: absolutely screwed this first rankings. But that's just me. I

1248
01:01:53,160 --> 01:01:56,560
Speaker 10: call me, call me biased all you want. I just

1249
01:01:56,600 --> 01:01:59,280
Speaker 10: want to know why the Big twelve is suddenly a

1250
01:01:59,360 --> 01:02:01,960
Speaker 10: juggernaut light years head of the ACC.

1251
01:02:03,280 --> 01:02:06,560
Speaker 4: All right, Samos, I'm always interested what bet MGM needs

1252
01:02:06,560 --> 01:02:09,880
Speaker 4: today if you could waive the you know, the magic

1253
01:02:10,000 --> 01:02:13,400
Speaker 4: BETMGM wand what would benefit the book the most with

1254
01:02:13,480 --> 01:02:15,040
Speaker 4: the result here are too today.

1255
01:02:15,920 --> 01:02:18,479
Speaker 10: I'd say the three plays we're gonna end up needing

1256
01:02:18,520 --> 01:02:21,760
Speaker 10: the most as it stands right now, Penn State plus

1257
01:02:21,840 --> 01:02:25,320
Speaker 10: fourteen and a half. Wow, Mississippi State plus nine and

1258
01:02:25,320 --> 01:02:28,320
Speaker 10: a half, and BYU is going to need to cover

1259
01:02:28,400 --> 01:02:29,160
Speaker 10: ten and a half.

1260
01:02:29,280 --> 01:02:29,600
Speaker 7: It is.

1261
01:02:29,760 --> 01:02:33,200
Speaker 10: People are really, you know, starting to suspect things about

1262
01:02:33,200 --> 01:02:36,400
Speaker 10: this b YU team. Maybe they're a little fo gazy

1263
01:02:36,600 --> 01:02:38,920
Speaker 10: and they're all over Texas Tech today.

1264
01:02:40,960 --> 01:02:44,880
Speaker 5: Interesting, the jig is up with BYU. I love this

1265
01:02:44,960 --> 01:02:46,400
Speaker 5: boch Mar kid though. I think it's going to be

1266
01:02:46,400 --> 01:02:51,040
Speaker 5: a fascinating matchup. Yeah, he really is the SEC. Like,

1267
01:02:51,160 --> 01:02:53,840
Speaker 5: You've got some interesting matchups today. I wouldn't call any

1268
01:02:53,880 --> 01:02:56,840
Speaker 5: of these like headliners. But you've got A and M

1269
01:02:56,880 --> 01:02:59,200
Speaker 5: on the road against the third string quarterback. You've got

1270
01:02:59,200 --> 01:03:02,360
Speaker 5: Bama in the LSU, Brian Kelly bounce back, you know,

1271
01:03:02,440 --> 01:03:04,600
Speaker 5: dead fire, dead, coach firing game.

1272
01:03:05,480 --> 01:03:07,800
Speaker 7: You've got Auburn in a dead coach firing.

1273
01:03:07,520 --> 01:03:10,160
Speaker 5: Game, Like you have all these coaches that have been

1274
01:03:10,200 --> 01:03:12,360
Speaker 5: fired and now we're going to see if their team

1275
01:03:12,480 --> 01:03:15,480
Speaker 5: bounces back from them. Have you seen any unique action

1276
01:03:15,720 --> 01:03:19,040
Speaker 5: in the SEC for some of these games, It's.

1277
01:03:18,880 --> 01:03:22,400
Speaker 10: Been pretty straightforward, honestly. This week for the book, it's

1278
01:03:22,480 --> 01:03:25,040
Speaker 10: just a lot of favorites coming in. I think I

1279
01:03:25,240 --> 01:03:28,040
Speaker 10: was the only dog I think I've seen. It's been like, huh,

1280
01:03:28,080 --> 01:03:30,400
Speaker 10: Like that's kind of surprising. We're taking more money here.

1281
01:03:31,880 --> 01:03:34,320
Speaker 10: But as as far as the fired coach angle here,

1282
01:03:34,360 --> 01:03:37,680
Speaker 10: it's still looking like people are still fading some of

1283
01:03:37,680 --> 01:03:38,520
Speaker 10: these teams.

1284
01:03:40,120 --> 01:03:42,840
Speaker 1: I'm going to give you four team names. Which of

1285
01:03:42,880 --> 01:03:46,760
Speaker 1: these is the least likely to finish the team the season?

1286
01:03:46,920 --> 01:03:51,680
Speaker 1: Undefeated Ohio State, Indiana, Texas A, and m BYU are

1287
01:03:51,720 --> 01:03:54,800
Speaker 1: the only remaining CFP Top twenty five or top twenty

1288
01:03:54,800 --> 01:03:58,120
Speaker 1: five teams period who are undefeated right now.

1289
01:03:58,360 --> 01:04:01,160
Speaker 2: Who's most likely to fit with a loss?

1290
01:04:01,920 --> 01:04:07,200
Speaker 10: B YU I was talking to them before. This team

1291
01:04:07,240 --> 01:04:09,520
Speaker 10: has been a walk box team all year. I mean

1292
01:04:10,000 --> 01:04:14,640
Speaker 10: the Iowa State game. If if rock Obec doesn't throw

1293
01:04:14,800 --> 01:04:17,360
Speaker 10: some of the most boneheaded picks you've ever seen in

1294
01:04:17,400 --> 01:04:19,840
Speaker 10: the fourth quarter. I mean it's it's not even close

1295
01:04:19,880 --> 01:04:21,840
Speaker 10: to the way you lose. Is the probably outside of

1296
01:04:21,880 --> 01:04:25,160
Speaker 10: the top fifteen at the very least, it's got to

1297
01:04:25,200 --> 01:04:28,320
Speaker 10: be them other than that, Like I don't see Ohio

1298
01:04:28,360 --> 01:04:32,440
Speaker 10: stated in a handle losing A and M probably like

1299
01:04:32,520 --> 01:04:35,240
Speaker 10: they still got some tough games that I was, you know,

1300
01:04:35,760 --> 01:04:38,680
Speaker 10: saying Texas eleven surprised me. But by the time they

1301
01:04:38,720 --> 01:04:43,160
Speaker 10: play an n that's going to be a huge, huge

1302
01:04:43,200 --> 01:04:47,200
Speaker 10: game in terms of the landscape of the CFTE.

1303
01:04:46,280 --> 01:04:46,920
Speaker 7: Going to be Georgia.

1304
01:04:47,480 --> 01:04:49,960
Speaker 2: Seamus, that's going to be.

1305
01:04:49,880 --> 01:04:53,080
Speaker 10: A playoff game right there. I a little low on Georgia.

1306
01:04:53,240 --> 01:04:56,160
Speaker 10: I don't think this team is that good. I think

1307
01:04:56,160 --> 01:04:58,000
Speaker 10: there might be some value on them to miss the

1308
01:04:58,000 --> 01:04:59,240
Speaker 10: playoffs by the end of the year.

1309
01:04:59,520 --> 01:05:00,200
Speaker 7: Wo wow.

1310
01:05:00,640 --> 01:05:03,640
Speaker 4: By the way, little bonus question for you, Seamus, before

1311
01:05:03,680 --> 01:05:06,840
Speaker 4: your seamous special, I gotta give you props because you

1312
01:05:06,840 --> 01:05:09,960
Speaker 4: were so right about South Carolina. I remember the jugglar

1313
01:05:10,040 --> 01:05:13,479
Speaker 4: veins starting to pop out. You're like, they're gonna lose

1314
01:05:13,560 --> 01:05:16,760
Speaker 4: games left and right, and sure enough, you're right. Sure yeah.

1315
01:05:16,960 --> 01:05:20,560
Speaker 4: Can you think about where you were right the most

1316
01:05:20,720 --> 01:05:22,880
Speaker 4: this year? It might be South Carolina and where you

1317
01:05:22,880 --> 01:05:25,080
Speaker 4: were wrong the most with what you thought before the

1318
01:05:25,120 --> 01:05:25,840
Speaker 4: season began.

1319
01:05:27,360 --> 01:05:32,720
Speaker 10: South South Carolina certainly comes up BC did on this.

1320
01:05:32,920 --> 01:05:37,520
Speaker 10: On this, I was dead on about BC. Find me

1321
01:05:37,680 --> 01:05:40,360
Speaker 10: five wins for this team. And I mean, granted, they

1322
01:05:40,400 --> 01:05:42,760
Speaker 10: did look better last week against Notre Dame until they

1323
01:05:42,840 --> 01:05:45,920
Speaker 10: ended up getting blown out. Team I was wrong the

1324
01:05:46,200 --> 01:05:49,200
Speaker 10: most on I try not to think about it too

1325
01:05:49,280 --> 01:05:49,840
Speaker 10: much of them.

1326
01:05:50,560 --> 01:05:51,240
Speaker 5: Right right, right?

1327
01:05:51,320 --> 01:06:00,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, that would assume I have been wrong, right you know, Oh.

1328
01:06:00,400 --> 01:06:03,240
Speaker 10: You guys are gonna love this Buffalo Bulls. I thought

1329
01:06:03,240 --> 01:06:06,280
Speaker 10: this team was gonna be the class of the MAC,

1330
01:06:06,480 --> 01:06:11,240
Speaker 10: all these starters back ten state transfer a QB. I

1331
01:06:11,280 --> 01:06:14,040
Speaker 10: had him ten plus wins. I had to win the

1332
01:06:14,280 --> 01:06:17,560
Speaker 10: MAC and they they should have lost to you man,

1333
01:06:17,640 --> 01:06:20,080
Speaker 10: and then they lose to Achlan like this is. It's

1334
01:06:20,120 --> 01:06:22,040
Speaker 10: just been a nightmare for the Bulls this year.

1335
01:06:22,800 --> 01:06:25,440
Speaker 4: Okay, let's do the Seamus Special. And I would like

1336
01:06:25,480 --> 01:06:28,280
Speaker 4: I'd like to add like an addendum, can I do?

1337
01:06:28,360 --> 01:06:30,880
Speaker 4: I don't know if that's worded correctly, but if you

1338
01:06:31,000 --> 01:06:33,800
Speaker 4: go to like, you know, like a soccer play or

1339
01:06:33,840 --> 01:06:36,840
Speaker 4: you know, like FCS play, that's fine, totally fine, fair

1340
01:06:36,880 --> 01:06:39,720
Speaker 4: game for the shame of special. Can you add like

1341
01:06:40,040 --> 01:06:42,720
Speaker 4: the college play that you like the most as well?

1342
01:06:43,080 --> 01:06:45,840
Speaker 4: Can I get a little extra credit here today from you, Seamus?

1343
01:06:46,120 --> 01:06:48,960
Speaker 10: You know, I see it's been about time I've been

1344
01:06:49,120 --> 01:06:53,280
Speaker 10: I've been given this new rule change, so I uh yeah, sure,

1345
01:06:53,400 --> 01:06:54,160
Speaker 10: it's about time.

1346
01:06:54,160 --> 01:06:56,840
Speaker 7: We told you to keep it in this h zip code.

1347
01:07:00,240 --> 01:07:02,040
Speaker 10: As far as the sham as Special goes, you guys

1348
01:07:02,080 --> 01:07:05,240
Speaker 10: are gonna think I'm crazy. But we're going to Poughkeepsie,

1349
01:07:05,280 --> 01:07:07,880
Speaker 10: New York, and we are once again fading the steps

1350
01:07:07,920 --> 01:07:12,600
Speaker 10: and hatters. Wow, College minus twelve and a half in Poughkeepsie,

1351
01:07:12,680 --> 01:07:15,400
Speaker 10: this is steps in off a bye week. It's a

1352
01:07:15,440 --> 01:07:17,920
Speaker 10: get right game for Maris. They've lost four straight, but

1353
01:07:17,960 --> 01:07:21,360
Speaker 10: they come back home and I can't see steps and

1354
01:07:21,400 --> 01:07:25,360
Speaker 10: getting up for this one and then college game I

1355
01:07:25,480 --> 01:07:28,920
Speaker 10: like the most. Give me a Yukon with the point. Yes,

1356
01:07:29,040 --> 01:07:31,800
Speaker 10: this is a this is a good look ahead spot

1357
01:07:32,280 --> 01:07:34,320
Speaker 10: with Yukon at home, I think they might get some

1358
01:07:34,840 --> 01:07:39,200
Speaker 10: I went to get a decent crowd for this game, Duke.

1359
01:07:39,840 --> 01:07:41,800
Speaker 10: It is a big look. I saw Uva on deck

1360
01:07:42,160 --> 01:07:44,960
Speaker 10: and weird like just a non conference game this late

1361
01:07:45,000 --> 01:07:48,200
Speaker 10: into the year. Yukon and a lot of momentum going

1362
01:07:48,280 --> 01:07:50,680
Speaker 10: with that. Team and a pretty solid TV back there.

1363
01:07:51,280 --> 01:07:52,800
Speaker 10: So I like Yukon a lot today.

1364
01:07:53,080 --> 01:07:56,240
Speaker 4: Okay, all right, we'll take it. Good stuff Seamus as always,

1365
01:07:56,240 --> 01:07:58,160
Speaker 4: but hope you enjoyed the day. We'll catch you soon.

1366
01:07:58,960 --> 01:08:00,840
Speaker 10: Thanks, guys, enjoy the games you doo.

1367
01:08:00,880 --> 01:08:01,000
Speaker 2: There.

1368
01:08:01,040 --> 01:08:05,080
Speaker 4: He is Seamus McGee, team lead of sports Trading at

1369
01:08:05,120 --> 01:08:07,840
Speaker 4: bet MGM. Always does an awesome job. All right, let

1370
01:08:07,880 --> 01:08:11,120
Speaker 4: me just throw another game at you. How about the Irish?

1371
01:08:11,280 --> 01:08:11,959
Speaker 2: You know, like, how.

1372
01:08:13,360 --> 01:08:15,800
Speaker 4: How about Navy at Notre Dame. Notre Dame favored by

1373
01:08:15,880 --> 01:08:18,960
Speaker 4: four touchdowns, twenty eight point favorites, total is fifty five

1374
01:08:19,000 --> 01:08:22,280
Speaker 4: and a half. You know, like some people, I get

1375
01:08:22,320 --> 01:08:25,040
Speaker 4: it right. This is not like a circle this game

1376
01:08:25,160 --> 01:08:27,160
Speaker 4: like this gotta be on the quad box where I

1377
01:08:27,240 --> 01:08:30,040
Speaker 4: get it right. But I think it's an interesting matchup

1378
01:08:30,080 --> 01:08:33,880
Speaker 4: where you know, Navy, their offense has actually been pretty

1379
01:08:33,880 --> 01:08:35,639
Speaker 4: good this season, and if you look at this Notre

1380
01:08:35,720 --> 01:08:38,840
Speaker 4: Dame defense, a lot of the starters have not faced

1381
01:08:38,840 --> 01:08:42,880
Speaker 4: this Navy offense. And Chris ash the defensive coordinator, he's

1382
01:08:42,920 --> 01:08:46,640
Speaker 4: been routinely called out and rightfully so this year. So

1383
01:08:47,000 --> 01:08:50,400
Speaker 4: are the Irish? Are they gonna be like assignment football

1384
01:08:50,560 --> 01:08:52,880
Speaker 4: driven today? Are they gonna be on there. You know

1385
01:08:53,240 --> 01:08:55,040
Speaker 4: what they call it, their p's and q's.

1386
01:08:55,400 --> 01:08:55,680
Speaker 3: I don't.

1387
01:08:55,840 --> 01:08:58,680
Speaker 4: I've got my doubts right. So can Navy be a

1388
01:08:58,720 --> 01:09:01,040
Speaker 4: little bit feisty? Can they you know, at least score

1389
01:09:01,080 --> 01:09:02,040
Speaker 4: a couple of touchdowns?

1390
01:09:02,120 --> 01:09:02,320
Speaker 2: Yeah?

1391
01:09:02,320 --> 01:09:04,200
Speaker 4: Absolutely. I don't think it's gonna be a close game.

1392
01:09:04,240 --> 01:09:06,760
Speaker 4: I don't think D's gonna have to sweat it out.

1393
01:09:07,160 --> 01:09:10,200
Speaker 4: But in terms of just like stopping Navy's offense, I

1394
01:09:10,240 --> 01:09:13,040
Speaker 4: don't see that happening. And there's no stopping Notre Dames

1395
01:09:13,120 --> 01:09:16,280
Speaker 4: defense today. Navy has no shot. Their defense sucks, They're

1396
01:09:16,320 --> 01:09:19,280
Speaker 4: gonna get rolled. So yeah, I don't know if it's

1397
01:09:19,280 --> 01:09:20,960
Speaker 4: gonna be a close one, but I think there's gonna

1398
01:09:20,960 --> 01:09:22,080
Speaker 4: be some points in this one.

1399
01:09:22,400 --> 01:09:23,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree.

1400
01:09:23,160 --> 01:09:26,599
Speaker 1: I'm all over Notre Dame's team total because I don't

1401
01:09:26,600 --> 01:09:29,799
Speaker 1: think there's anyway the Navy slows down the Irish today.

1402
01:09:30,080 --> 01:09:34,559
Speaker 1: I mean, if you look at any advanced metric, or

1403
01:09:34,600 --> 01:09:39,600
Speaker 1: really any metric period Notre Dame against the Navy defense,

1404
01:09:40,160 --> 01:09:43,360
Speaker 1: I mean, it leans so heavily.

1405
01:09:43,120 --> 01:09:43,840
Speaker 2: To Notre Dame.

1406
01:09:44,000 --> 01:09:45,880
Speaker 1: I mean even when they get to third down, they're

1407
01:09:45,920 --> 01:09:49,559
Speaker 1: converting out such a hot clip that I don't think

1408
01:09:49,640 --> 01:09:53,840
Speaker 1: Navy's gonna have much success if they get them behind schedule.

1409
01:09:54,120 --> 01:09:57,280
Speaker 1: It's it's gonna be one of those games where I

1410
01:09:57,439 --> 01:09:59,879
Speaker 1: just think that the Irish are gonna.

1411
01:09:59,680 --> 01:10:01,880
Speaker 2: Over WELLM Navy in every way.

1412
01:10:03,240 --> 01:10:07,720
Speaker 1: Look, service academies always present an interesting challenge, right you

1413
01:10:07,720 --> 01:10:10,360
Speaker 1: know you always say to yourself, well, anything can happen

1414
01:10:10,400 --> 01:10:14,960
Speaker 1: when you're playing against option offenses and teams that you

1415
01:10:15,000 --> 01:10:19,200
Speaker 1: know obviously deploy a variety of different attacks that you're

1416
01:10:19,240 --> 01:10:22,439
Speaker 1: not necessarily seeing all the time throughout the course of

1417
01:10:22,479 --> 01:10:26,400
Speaker 1: your your playing schedule. But in this situation, I think

1418
01:10:26,439 --> 01:10:28,679
Speaker 1: the safe bet, if you are going to put anything

1419
01:10:28,720 --> 01:10:31,640
Speaker 1: on this game, would be that the Irish you're going

1420
01:10:31,720 --> 01:10:34,519
Speaker 1: to eat. They're gonna get there. So I think it's

1421
01:10:34,520 --> 01:10:37,519
Speaker 1: at what forty forty and a half? Maybe I like

1422
01:10:37,600 --> 01:10:39,280
Speaker 1: the Irish going over their team total.

1423
01:10:40,000 --> 01:10:43,519
Speaker 5: Yeah, I would be willing to it's twenty eight at MGM,

1424
01:10:43,600 --> 01:10:45,519
Speaker 5: it's twenty seven and a half at some other shops.

1425
01:10:45,560 --> 01:10:47,160
Speaker 5: I would be willing to lay the twenty seven and

1426
01:10:47,160 --> 01:10:49,720
Speaker 5: a half with Notre Dame. I don't see Navy covering this.

1427
01:10:50,200 --> 01:10:52,519
Speaker 4: What about the twenty eight shared? Do you feel comfortable?

1428
01:10:52,520 --> 01:10:55,679
Speaker 5: I mean, less of an exciting bet, but I still

1429
01:10:55,720 --> 01:10:56,880
Speaker 5: think Notre Dame.

1430
01:10:56,800 --> 01:10:58,519
Speaker 7: Could easily win by forty easily.

1431
01:10:58,680 --> 01:11:01,439
Speaker 5: Yeah, they drop fifty on this defense last year, and

1432
01:11:01,439 --> 01:11:03,120
Speaker 5: they've upgraded at quarterback end receiver.

1433
01:11:03,520 --> 01:11:05,360
Speaker 7: And we've talked about CJ. Carr.

1434
01:11:05,400 --> 01:11:08,240
Speaker 5: I think there is a lot of upside here, guys,

1435
01:11:08,720 --> 01:11:11,120
Speaker 5: and I don't think he's tapped into that true potential yet.

1436
01:11:12,160 --> 01:11:12,760
Speaker 2: This is a.

1437
01:11:12,760 --> 01:11:17,960
Speaker 5: Quarterback that looks to be all boxes checked with everything

1438
01:11:17,960 --> 01:11:19,920
Speaker 5: he can do physically. He's just a freshman and he

1439
01:11:19,920 --> 01:11:21,240
Speaker 5: just needs to learn how to play the position a

1440
01:11:21,280 --> 01:11:23,840
Speaker 5: little bit more. And they've got much better receivers this year.

1441
01:11:24,120 --> 01:11:26,840
Speaker 5: And Notre Dame's defense, orxuse me, Navy's defense is an

1442
01:11:26,880 --> 01:11:31,280
Speaker 5: absolute disaster. I will say on the Notre Dame defensive side,

1443
01:11:31,600 --> 01:11:35,000
Speaker 5: Kingston milliamu Asa six three, two thirty, this is the

1444
01:11:35,040 --> 01:11:36,800
Speaker 5: guy to watch. This is the guy who they line

1445
01:11:36,840 --> 01:11:39,280
Speaker 5: up all over the field. He's a sophomore's coming off

1446
01:11:39,280 --> 01:11:41,920
Speaker 5: a huge game against Boston College. Five pressures, two sacks,

1447
01:11:42,120 --> 01:11:44,519
Speaker 5: six tackles. You want to talk about shutting down a

1448
01:11:44,640 --> 01:11:48,320
Speaker 5: very versatile Navy offense. That's a guy that could line

1449
01:11:48,360 --> 01:11:50,040
Speaker 5: him up a linebacker, lin him up a defensive lineman.

1450
01:11:50,040 --> 01:11:51,280
Speaker 7: They line him up all over the field.

1451
01:11:51,280 --> 01:11:54,320
Speaker 5: He's kind of like a joker type of position hybrid player,

1452
01:11:54,400 --> 01:11:57,680
Speaker 5: but very talented, very athletic. That's the guy to look for.

1453
01:11:58,000 --> 01:12:00,519
Speaker 5: And you might hear about this in it up coming

1454
01:12:00,600 --> 01:12:01,280
Speaker 5: up very shortly.

1455
01:12:01,360 --> 01:12:02,719
Speaker 7: But I think.

1456
01:12:02,600 --> 01:12:05,760
Speaker 5: Jeremiah Love I put a little I got one of

1457
01:12:05,800 --> 01:12:07,360
Speaker 5: those free bets on bet MGM recently.

1458
01:12:07,400 --> 01:12:08,840
Speaker 7: I put it on him to win the Heisman. Do

1459
01:12:08,920 --> 01:12:10,200
Speaker 7: I think he's going to win the Heisman?

1460
01:12:10,280 --> 01:12:10,400
Speaker 2: No?

1461
01:12:10,600 --> 01:12:12,960
Speaker 5: Is he the best player in the country, Yes, and

1462
01:12:13,640 --> 01:12:16,240
Speaker 5: to me one hundred and six rushing yards. I mean

1463
01:12:16,439 --> 01:12:19,280
Speaker 5: he might get that in the first half. So twenty

1464
01:12:19,280 --> 01:12:21,880
Speaker 5: five explosives this year, third most in the country. Price

1465
01:12:21,920 --> 01:12:24,080
Speaker 5: obviously is the best backup running back in the country,

1466
01:12:24,120 --> 01:12:26,559
Speaker 5: probably RB one on you know, most powerful rosters.

1467
01:12:27,520 --> 01:12:29,720
Speaker 7: Navy's defense is really bad against the run.

1468
01:12:29,720 --> 01:12:31,599
Speaker 5: They gave up one hundred and ninety seven and four

1469
01:12:31,640 --> 01:12:34,040
Speaker 5: touts to Caleb Hawkins of North Texas last week. So

1470
01:12:34,400 --> 01:12:36,320
Speaker 5: I think this is going to be a big game

1471
01:12:36,520 --> 01:12:38,320
Speaker 5: for the Navy or for the Notre Dame running game

1472
01:12:38,360 --> 01:12:38,719
Speaker 5: for sure.

1473
01:12:39,320 --> 01:12:41,760
Speaker 4: I've never loved you more than this moment right here.

1474
01:12:43,080 --> 01:12:43,360
Speaker 7: Listen.

1475
01:12:43,400 --> 01:12:46,000
Speaker 5: I tell it like it is, whether it's propositive or negative.

1476
01:12:46,040 --> 01:12:47,080
Speaker 7: I tell it the way I see it.

1477
01:12:47,080 --> 01:12:49,920
Speaker 5: There's no bias at all my handicapping, unless we're talking

1478
01:12:49,920 --> 01:12:50,519
Speaker 5: about Penn State.

1479
01:12:50,760 --> 01:12:53,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, well we'll get to them next hour. You know,

1480
01:12:53,640 --> 01:12:55,760
Speaker 4: we're gonna test your bias son, that one, you know,

1481
01:12:55,800 --> 01:12:58,160
Speaker 4: with the Hoosiers come into town. All right, we've got

1482
01:12:58,200 --> 01:13:01,320
Speaker 4: rich On warren Berger, Penn Stayed, all American, Jared Smith

1483
01:13:01,720 --> 01:13:06,000
Speaker 4: unbiased FSR betting analyst. Right, I'm Brian No. Be sure

1484
01:13:06,040 --> 01:13:08,800
Speaker 4: to check out the new looking features in the BETMGM app.

1485
01:13:08,880 --> 01:13:11,040
Speaker 4: It's fast and easy access to the sports you love.

1486
01:13:11,280 --> 01:13:14,559
Speaker 4: It's the fastest BETMGM app. Ever, it's easier than ever

1487
01:13:14,600 --> 01:13:16,800
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Speaker 4: experience with popular picks tailored to you and a new

1489
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Speaker 4: rewards hub with all of your personalized rewards and new

1490
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1491
01:13:25,200 --> 01:13:27,960
Speaker 4: bonus bets with bonus code countdown if they don't win

1492
01:13:28,000 --> 01:13:31,719
Speaker 4: their first bet. That's code countdown in the BETMGM app.

1493
01:13:32,040 --> 01:13:34,439
Speaker 4: All right, coming up next, prop it up. That's right,

1494
01:13:34,439 --> 01:13:35,639
Speaker 4: the prop betting market.

1495
01:13:36,120 --> 01:13:36,400
Speaker 7: Man.

1496
01:13:36,600 --> 01:13:39,559
Speaker 4: There is one defense that is banged up and as

1497
01:13:39,600 --> 01:13:43,360
Speaker 4: a bad recipe against this team specifically, I'll have that

1498
01:13:43,400 --> 01:13:45,559
Speaker 4: the guys will have their picks as well, will trade notes.

1499
01:13:45,680 --> 01:13:49,480
Speaker 4: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by BETMGM.

1500
01:13:49,720 --> 01:13:53,599
Speaker 4: It is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by

1501
01:13:53,640 --> 01:13:57,120
Speaker 4: bet MGM. Be sure to subscribe to the Fox Sports

1502
01:13:57,200 --> 01:14:00,759
Speaker 4: Radio YouTube channel. Just starts Fox Sports Radio on YouTube

1503
01:14:00,760 --> 01:14:03,120
Speaker 4: and you'll see our best videos from all of our shows.

1504
01:14:03,479 --> 01:14:06,080
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1505
01:14:06,240 --> 01:14:08,840
Speaker 4: comment away. Let us know who's takes you like and

1506
01:14:08,920 --> 01:14:11,880
Speaker 4: even whose takes you don't like. Just search Fox Sports

1507
01:14:11,960 --> 01:14:16,439
Speaker 4: Radio on YouTube and subscribe. All right, let's do this.

1508
01:14:18,600 --> 01:14:23,080
Speaker 3: Good prop it Up player plays all right.

1509
01:14:23,040 --> 01:14:25,880
Speaker 4: Prop bets Galore shared we start with you with something

1510
01:14:25,920 --> 01:14:26,240
Speaker 4: you like.

1511
01:14:26,720 --> 01:14:28,479
Speaker 5: Yeah, I kind of gave this one out in our

1512
01:14:28,560 --> 01:14:30,960
Speaker 5: last segment when we were talking Notre Dame Navy, but

1513
01:14:31,000 --> 01:14:34,400
Speaker 5: I'm going with our guy, Jeremiah Love. All you need

1514
01:14:34,439 --> 01:14:36,800
Speaker 5: is love over one oh six and a hook in

1515
01:14:36,880 --> 01:14:41,719
Speaker 5: his rushyard prop today. He has twenty five explosives this year.

1516
01:14:42,000 --> 01:14:44,760
Speaker 5: That's third most in the country. Navy is not a

1517
01:14:44,760 --> 01:14:46,839
Speaker 5: good tackling team, guys ninety fifth.

1518
01:14:46,680 --> 01:14:48,960
Speaker 7: And run defense this year. They just allowed North Texas

1519
01:14:49,000 --> 01:14:49,439
Speaker 7: as KYLEB.

1520
01:14:49,439 --> 01:14:52,639
Speaker 5: Hawkins to go bananas one hundred and ninety seven yards

1521
01:14:52,640 --> 01:14:54,960
Speaker 5: and four touchdown. I love Kayleb Hawkins. He's having a

1522
01:14:54,960 --> 01:14:58,320
Speaker 5: fantastic here. He is going to be upgrading his status

1523
01:14:58,320 --> 01:15:01,599
Speaker 5: next year, probably going to transfer into a cow program. However,

1524
01:15:01,800 --> 01:15:04,320
Speaker 5: he's not Jeremiah Love, who I consider right now to

1525
01:15:04,360 --> 01:15:07,200
Speaker 5: be the best college football player in the country. Is

1526
01:15:07,280 --> 01:15:09,519
Speaker 5: he gonna win the Heisman? No, it's a quarterback award

1527
01:15:09,520 --> 01:15:11,960
Speaker 5: and little politics there. But I think pound for pound,

1528
01:15:12,280 --> 01:15:15,360
Speaker 5: this dude is the class of the running back position

1529
01:15:15,479 --> 01:15:17,599
Speaker 5: in the country. And I think one hundred yards light

1530
01:15:17,720 --> 01:15:20,559
Speaker 5: work maybe in the first half against this Swiss cheez

1531
01:15:20,640 --> 01:15:22,599
Speaker 5: Navy defense over one o six and a half rush.

1532
01:15:22,439 --> 01:15:24,320
Speaker 7: Yards for mister Love today.

1533
01:15:25,720 --> 01:15:27,960
Speaker 1: Okay, I'm gonna bring you over to Texas A and

1534
01:15:28,080 --> 01:15:30,919
Speaker 1: M Missouri that game that we were talking about earlier.

1535
01:15:31,040 --> 01:15:32,200
Speaker 2: Casey concepts you on.

1536
01:15:32,720 --> 01:15:35,799
Speaker 1: I think he's going to go for over his fifty

1537
01:15:35,880 --> 01:15:39,120
Speaker 1: and a half receiving yard total. Here's the reason why

1538
01:15:39,400 --> 01:15:43,679
Speaker 1: Missouri sits in Cover three Marcel Reid high success rate

1539
01:15:43,800 --> 01:15:47,920
Speaker 1: against Cover three. The versatile Conceptscione is gonna get.

1540
01:15:47,880 --> 01:15:49,839
Speaker 2: Open in a multitude of different ways.

1541
01:15:50,240 --> 01:15:52,559
Speaker 1: He's gonna eat even if they're able to keep a

1542
01:15:52,600 --> 01:15:54,000
Speaker 1: lid on the explosives.

1543
01:15:54,320 --> 01:15:56,320
Speaker 2: He's gonna be a big part of the offense today.

1544
01:15:56,600 --> 01:15:59,920
Speaker 1: So again, Casey concepts, you on give me the over

1545
01:16:00,280 --> 01:16:02,240
Speaker 1: fifteen and a half receiving yards.

1546
01:16:02,360 --> 01:16:02,800
Speaker 2: I like it.

1547
01:16:02,840 --> 01:16:06,439
Speaker 4: I like the breakdown very nice. You know what, let's

1548
01:16:06,520 --> 01:16:09,080
Speaker 4: I can't break up this over party. You know, let's

1549
01:16:09,080 --> 01:16:13,040
Speaker 4: go with TCU quarterback Josh Hoover. I like over two

1550
01:16:13,400 --> 01:16:16,720
Speaker 4: seventy three and a half passing yards, high total co

1551
01:16:16,880 --> 01:16:21,160
Speaker 4: with good reasons. So Iowa State they're down another safety,

1552
01:16:21,360 --> 01:16:25,880
Speaker 4: like their secondaries dropping like flies. They've lost four of

1553
01:16:25,960 --> 01:16:29,960
Speaker 4: their five opening day starters in the secondary to injury.

1554
01:16:30,360 --> 01:16:34,040
Speaker 4: The latest one is Jamison Patten. He's out. And so

1555
01:16:34,320 --> 01:16:36,840
Speaker 4: I mean Josh Hoover and TCU they love to throw

1556
01:16:36,880 --> 01:16:41,439
Speaker 4: it against an undermanned Iowa State secondary. He's gonna have

1557
01:16:41,520 --> 01:16:45,479
Speaker 4: a lot of success today. And also, you know, somewhat

1558
01:16:45,520 --> 01:16:47,519
Speaker 4: tighter point spread. I guess you could worry if this

1559
01:16:47,600 --> 01:16:49,760
Speaker 4: is like eighteen and a half or something like that.

1560
01:16:50,080 --> 01:16:52,960
Speaker 4: TCU's favored by seven and a half, So I don't

1561
01:16:53,080 --> 01:16:55,519
Speaker 4: expect them to just run away and hide, you know,

1562
01:16:55,600 --> 01:16:57,679
Speaker 4: and they're just running the ball, running the ball. Late

1563
01:16:57,800 --> 01:17:00,320
Speaker 4: game script gets away from you. I think I always

1564
01:17:00,360 --> 01:17:05,000
Speaker 4: state it's feisty enough to keep within striking distance ish right,

1565
01:17:05,040 --> 01:17:07,320
Speaker 4: where it's just not run run, run, run run for

1566
01:17:07,680 --> 01:17:11,400
Speaker 4: the second half. So I like Josh Hoover and sweet

1567
01:17:11,439 --> 01:17:15,639
Speaker 4: uniforms from TCU eclectic helmets today. Give me Hoover over

1568
01:17:15,800 --> 01:17:17,799
Speaker 4: two seventy three and a half passing yards.

1569
01:17:18,080 --> 01:17:18,920
Speaker 7: I like that a lot.

1570
01:17:19,600 --> 01:17:19,880
Speaker 2: Hoover.

1571
01:17:20,200 --> 01:17:22,519
Speaker 5: We don't talk about Josh Houber enough, guys. He's having

1572
01:17:22,600 --> 01:17:25,360
Speaker 5: an awesome year. He was one of the best quarterbacks

1573
01:17:25,360 --> 01:17:29,160
Speaker 5: in the country last year, and I thought they obviously upgraded.

1574
01:17:29,240 --> 01:17:31,360
Speaker 7: That's a really good look, honestly, Byron with the safeties

1575
01:17:31,400 --> 01:17:32,080
Speaker 7: being out.

1576
01:17:32,479 --> 01:17:34,360
Speaker 5: I would look at his touchdowns prop as well, because

1577
01:17:34,360 --> 01:17:35,880
Speaker 5: that total is pretty high, right, I mean that's a

1578
01:17:35,920 --> 01:17:37,960
Speaker 5: you know, almost.

1579
01:17:37,760 --> 01:17:38,760
Speaker 7: Touching sixty here.

1580
01:17:39,520 --> 01:17:42,719
Speaker 5: They obviously expect there to be some points in this game,

1581
01:17:43,000 --> 01:17:44,400
Speaker 5: I think. So I want to give you a name

1582
01:17:44,439 --> 01:17:46,679
Speaker 5: on Mississippi State. So I was looking and we obviously

1583
01:17:46,720 --> 01:17:48,680
Speaker 5: like Mississippi State today because we're putting them in.

1584
01:17:48,600 --> 01:17:49,360
Speaker 7: The parlay platter.

1585
01:17:49,720 --> 01:17:52,160
Speaker 5: I was watching some film on Mississippi State. They have

1586
01:17:52,200 --> 01:17:55,320
Speaker 5: a receiver, Brendan Thompson five nine, one seventy. I think

1587
01:17:55,360 --> 01:17:58,200
Speaker 5: he's the fastest player in the sec. He was running

1588
01:17:58,240 --> 01:18:02,360
Speaker 5: by Texas corners, like running straight by them, and Texas

1589
01:18:02,360 --> 01:18:05,400
Speaker 5: I would say is arguably actually to be fair. Texas

1590
01:18:05,400 --> 01:18:07,240
Speaker 5: defense hasn't been as good this year, but they're still

1591
01:18:07,320 --> 01:18:10,040
Speaker 5: very athletic, very talented players, and he's just like dead

1592
01:18:10,120 --> 01:18:12,720
Speaker 5: spring with four or five yards in a cloud of dust,

1593
01:18:12,800 --> 01:18:15,720
Speaker 5: like see you later. I would absolutely look at his

1594
01:18:15,800 --> 01:18:18,120
Speaker 5: receiving yards prop today and his touchdowns PROP. I didn't

1595
01:18:18,160 --> 01:18:20,040
Speaker 5: check the number yet, but that was a guy I

1596
01:18:20,080 --> 01:18:22,800
Speaker 5: wanted to highlight in this segment because he is an

1597
01:18:22,920 --> 01:18:24,240
Speaker 5: absolute speed demon.

1598
01:18:24,479 --> 01:18:26,840
Speaker 7: And Mississippi State is gonna behind today. They're gonna be

1599
01:18:26,920 --> 01:18:27,280
Speaker 7: growing it.

1600
01:18:27,520 --> 01:18:29,639
Speaker 5: And Blake Shapin I think this is his favorite target.

1601
01:18:29,760 --> 01:18:31,840
Speaker 5: Brennan Thompson, Mississippi State receiver.

1602
01:18:32,000 --> 01:18:34,160
Speaker 7: Keep an eye on him. He is a game breaker.

1603
01:18:34,640 --> 01:18:38,040
Speaker 4: Nice good stuff. I like that you got any bonus

1604
01:18:38,080 --> 01:18:41,479
Speaker 4: ones over there? Rich, you know you're getting I don't

1605
01:18:41,520 --> 01:18:45,960
Speaker 4: know you're getting, like the vibes over there in Hawaii,

1606
01:18:46,040 --> 01:18:50,400
Speaker 4: you know you're getting I don't know, getting some here.

1607
01:18:50,520 --> 01:18:52,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's so funny.

1608
01:18:52,080 --> 01:18:55,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, I got the I'm here sitting near or really

1609
01:18:56,080 --> 01:18:58,640
Speaker 1: I mean steps away from Waikiki Beach, and all he

1610
01:18:58,680 --> 01:19:00,879
Speaker 1: can keep looking at is a game that's gonna.

1611
01:19:00,720 --> 01:19:05,559
Speaker 2: Be played in Missouri because I then I then looked

1612
01:19:05,560 --> 01:19:06,719
Speaker 2: over at Mod Hardy.

1613
01:19:07,360 --> 01:19:10,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, look, I think what you guys said about him

1614
01:19:10,960 --> 01:19:13,360
Speaker 1: throughout the course of this season has been true. He's

1615
01:19:13,360 --> 01:19:16,200
Speaker 1: been like a bowling ball, really hard guy to bring down.

1616
01:19:16,640 --> 01:19:18,960
Speaker 1: And so I would take a look at his overprop

1617
01:19:19,080 --> 01:19:19,559
Speaker 1: as well.

1618
01:19:20,040 --> 01:19:21,160
Speaker 2: I actually haven't yet.

1619
01:19:21,200 --> 01:19:23,800
Speaker 1: I'm trying to pull it up on bet MGM. Here

1620
01:19:23,840 --> 01:19:26,639
Speaker 1: from the roof of this hotel. What are you looking for?

1621
01:19:27,160 --> 01:19:27,559
Speaker 2: What is it?

1622
01:19:27,920 --> 01:19:31,560
Speaker 1: What the Mod Hardy rushing yardist.

1623
01:19:31,160 --> 01:19:38,160
Speaker 2: Problem went up? It's high.

1624
01:19:38,479 --> 01:19:39,360
Speaker 7: It's high.

1625
01:19:39,439 --> 01:19:42,960
Speaker 1: Okay, so he's cooled off a little bit. He's he's

1626
01:19:42,960 --> 01:19:44,800
Speaker 1: cooled off a little bit. And this A and M

1627
01:19:44,840 --> 01:19:49,720
Speaker 1: defense is pretty dang good. They're not great tacklers though. Yeah,

1628
01:19:49,760 --> 01:19:52,600
Speaker 1: here's this is This is a tricky This is a

1629
01:19:52,640 --> 01:19:54,360
Speaker 1: tricky thing to do. You kind of have to hold

1630
01:19:54,400 --> 01:19:56,519
Speaker 1: your nose and do it. But if you want another

1631
01:19:56,720 --> 01:20:01,799
Speaker 1: over Hardy today, it's hard to do. That's a big number.

1632
01:20:02,080 --> 01:20:05,040
Speaker 1: But I'm telling you they do not tackle well. It's

1633
01:20:05,040 --> 01:20:07,720
Speaker 1: like the Achilles heel of Texas. A and M.

1634
01:20:08,320 --> 01:20:13,040
Speaker 4: How about here's an under possibility for you. How about

1635
01:20:13,439 --> 01:20:13,600
Speaker 4: L J.

1636
01:20:13,840 --> 01:20:14,160
Speaker 2: Martin?

1637
01:20:14,280 --> 01:20:17,760
Speaker 4: Do I like BYU running back. Yeah, but seventy and

1638
01:20:17,800 --> 01:20:22,080
Speaker 4: a half rushing yards. This is a fantastic Texas Tech front.

1639
01:20:22,680 --> 01:20:25,360
Speaker 4: They could be behind by a lot. Gamescript could be

1640
01:20:25,439 --> 01:20:28,560
Speaker 4: your friend. I like LJ. Martin under seventy and a

1641
01:20:28,600 --> 01:20:29,040
Speaker 4: half rush.

1642
01:20:29,160 --> 01:20:29,840
Speaker 2: I like that a lot.

1643
01:20:30,400 --> 01:20:31,080
Speaker 7: I like that a lot.

1644
01:20:31,120 --> 01:20:34,639
Speaker 5: Diego Pabia underpassing yard screw. If they are head against Auburn, who's.

1645
01:20:34,400 --> 01:20:36,719
Speaker 7: Got a really good defense, that's another overlooked all.

1646
01:20:36,680 --> 01:20:39,000
Speaker 4: Right, coming up next, It's a very sad story, but

1647
01:20:39,080 --> 01:20:43,320
Speaker 4: an awesome gesture. Ah, good morning, welcome in, happy Saturday

1648
01:20:43,360 --> 01:20:46,600
Speaker 4: to you, as we are one hour away from kickoff.

1649
01:20:46,600 --> 01:20:49,439
Speaker 4: And how about this the biggest game of the day,

1650
01:20:49,479 --> 01:20:53,400
Speaker 4: at least the only top ten matchup, number seven BYU

1651
01:20:53,479 --> 01:20:56,720
Speaker 4: against number eight Texas Tech. We get it out in

1652
01:20:56,800 --> 01:20:59,840
Speaker 4: less than an hour from now that noon eastern kick time.

1653
01:21:00,479 --> 01:21:03,200
Speaker 4: And how about this man? That pointspread is growing, It

1654
01:21:03,439 --> 01:21:06,120
Speaker 4: is alive. You look at Texas Tech. They are now

1655
01:21:06,160 --> 01:21:10,000
Speaker 4: favored by twelve and a half. The total is steadily

1656
01:21:10,040 --> 01:21:13,120
Speaker 4: ticking down. Now it's forty nine and a half. I

1657
01:21:13,120 --> 01:21:15,559
Speaker 4: feel like there needs to be an auctioneer over here

1658
01:21:15,600 --> 01:21:17,479
Speaker 4: where it's like, hey, ten, let me hear ten, Let

1659
01:21:17,520 --> 01:21:19,640
Speaker 4: me hear Dan eleven and let me hear eleven and

1660
01:21:19,680 --> 01:21:19,880
Speaker 4: a half.

1661
01:21:19,920 --> 01:21:20,120
Speaker 7: Eleven.

1662
01:21:20,160 --> 01:21:22,000
Speaker 4: I mean we got twelve and a half, twelve and

1663
01:21:22,040 --> 01:21:24,280
Speaker 4: a half, we're up to twelve and a half now, man,

1664
01:21:24,360 --> 01:21:27,479
Speaker 4: no buy back on BYU either, and we might get

1665
01:21:27,560 --> 01:21:30,280
Speaker 4: some win. We're thinking maybe thirty mile per hour wind

1666
01:21:30,320 --> 01:21:35,560
Speaker 4: over there in Lubbock. And these aren't prolific passing offenses.

1667
01:21:36,200 --> 01:21:39,760
Speaker 4: Baron Morton is listed as probable. He's going today for

1668
01:21:39,960 --> 01:21:42,439
Speaker 4: Texas Tech. So they get their starting quarterback in there.

1669
01:21:43,000 --> 01:21:46,400
Speaker 4: But in BYU, man, they go slow, you know, slow

1670
01:21:46,439 --> 01:21:50,120
Speaker 4: it down. They're not the old Phoenix Sun seven seconds

1671
01:21:50,200 --> 01:21:53,240
Speaker 4: or less offense. Right BYU is like, let's be methodical,

1672
01:21:53,320 --> 01:21:56,759
Speaker 4: let's be slow, let's grind this scheme to a screeching halt.

1673
01:21:56,840 --> 01:21:59,200
Speaker 4: So what do you think twelve and a half now

1674
01:21:59,240 --> 01:22:02,360
Speaker 4: for the Red Raid, Rich, what's your what's your gut

1675
01:22:02,400 --> 01:22:03,320
Speaker 4: feeling in this one?

1676
01:22:04,320 --> 01:22:04,559
Speaker 2: Yeah?

1677
01:22:04,640 --> 01:22:07,840
Speaker 1: I mean when when I look at this game and

1678
01:22:07,880 --> 01:22:12,280
Speaker 1: I think about what we heard from Seamus earlier, b

1679
01:22:12,560 --> 01:22:16,840
Speaker 1: Yu is due for a loss at some point, you

1680
01:22:16,880 --> 01:22:19,880
Speaker 1: know what I mean, And and I think that I

1681
01:22:19,920 --> 01:22:26,040
Speaker 1: think that day has arrived. I also will say that

1682
01:22:26,840 --> 01:22:29,360
Speaker 1: based on you know, some of the things that we

1683
01:22:29,439 --> 01:22:31,439
Speaker 1: know about these two teams. I like b A y

1684
01:22:31,560 --> 01:22:35,200
Speaker 1: US defense pretty good. I think Texas Tech, especially on

1685
01:22:35,240 --> 01:22:39,560
Speaker 1: their edge, really are chaos generators, is the way I

1686
01:22:39,600 --> 01:22:42,040
Speaker 1: would like to generators.

1687
01:22:42,080 --> 01:22:43,040
Speaker 2: I love that they've got.

1688
01:22:43,840 --> 01:22:48,240
Speaker 1: Ninety five QB pressures on the season. I mean, they

1689
01:22:48,360 --> 01:22:49,200
Speaker 1: just wreak havoc.

1690
01:22:50,200 --> 01:22:50,639
Speaker 2: I think.

1691
01:22:50,760 --> 01:22:54,560
Speaker 1: I think that, coupled with the fact that l J.

1692
01:22:54,840 --> 01:22:58,439
Speaker 1: Martin is doubtful for this game, and this is a

1693
01:22:58,520 --> 01:23:02,479
Speaker 1: heavy rushing offense for BYU, and the centerpiece of this

1694
01:23:02,560 --> 01:23:04,600
Speaker 1: offense today is going to have to really rest on

1695
01:23:04,680 --> 01:23:08,960
Speaker 1: Bachmeier's shoulders, and they are a very methodical offense, I

1696
01:23:09,000 --> 01:23:12,559
Speaker 1: would be more comfortable taking the under. I think that

1697
01:23:13,160 --> 01:23:15,479
Speaker 1: it could be a close game, So I'm not in

1698
01:23:15,680 --> 01:23:22,400
Speaker 1: love with taking Texas Tech. But then again, could I

1699
01:23:22,400 --> 01:23:24,879
Speaker 1: see it. I could see both ways. I could see

1700
01:23:25,080 --> 01:23:27,800
Speaker 1: I could see them getting blown out. I could see them.

1701
01:23:27,920 --> 01:23:30,559
Speaker 1: I could see this being a close game in terms

1702
01:23:30,560 --> 01:23:32,479
Speaker 1: of BYU getting blown out. I could see it being

1703
01:23:32,560 --> 01:23:36,240
Speaker 1: close game. However, I don't think the score is going

1704
01:23:36,280 --> 01:23:40,200
Speaker 1: to soar very high because specifically of the way BYU

1705
01:23:40,240 --> 01:23:43,519
Speaker 1: plays defense and also some of the limitations they may

1706
01:23:43,600 --> 01:23:45,439
Speaker 1: have offensively today.

1707
01:23:45,800 --> 01:23:48,920
Speaker 2: So I would prefer to take the under in this game.

1708
01:23:49,880 --> 01:23:51,280
Speaker 5: So I'll tell you what I did, and then I'll

1709
01:23:51,320 --> 01:23:53,160
Speaker 5: tell you where I'm at now, because I bet the

1710
01:23:53,320 --> 01:23:56,920
Speaker 5: under last night BYU's team total under twenty and a

1711
01:23:56,960 --> 01:24:00,240
Speaker 5: half last night at minus a dollar twenty five. If

1712
01:24:00,280 --> 01:24:02,000
Speaker 5: you go to bed MGM right now, that's a minus

1713
01:24:02,000 --> 01:24:04,640
Speaker 5: a dollar sixty. So I was going to give that

1714
01:24:04,680 --> 01:24:07,040
Speaker 5: out in rapid fire unless we amend the rules in

1715
01:24:07,080 --> 01:24:10,800
Speaker 5: some way. I don't think that's eligible anymore, and I

1716
01:24:10,800 --> 01:24:13,320
Speaker 5: wouldn't play at any lower than that. I think twenty

1717
01:24:13,439 --> 01:24:16,160
Speaker 5: is a key number in the total world, right you

1718
01:24:16,200 --> 01:24:18,280
Speaker 5: don't twenty one doesn't matter as much to me. I mean,

1719
01:24:18,320 --> 01:24:20,360
Speaker 5: how often new teams just score three touchdowns and no

1720
01:24:20,479 --> 01:24:22,000
Speaker 5: field goals?

1721
01:24:22,160 --> 01:24:24,719
Speaker 7: So I would the twenty is important.

1722
01:24:24,760 --> 01:24:28,360
Speaker 5: So I wouldn't play minus one sixty because it just

1723
01:24:28,400 --> 01:24:29,840
Speaker 5: it's just too juicy, and you know.

1724
01:24:29,960 --> 01:24:30,960
Speaker 7: Crazy things can happen.

1725
01:24:31,760 --> 01:24:34,080
Speaker 5: Now that the numbers kind of getting stretched out here

1726
01:24:34,120 --> 01:24:35,920
Speaker 5: to thirteen, I didn't see some thirteen and a half.

1727
01:24:37,240 --> 01:24:39,679
Speaker 5: I would probably lay off this. I just I think

1728
01:24:39,920 --> 01:24:42,120
Speaker 5: you know this was ten earlier in the week. It's

1729
01:24:42,120 --> 01:24:44,160
Speaker 5: a big it's a big stretch in a low total game.

1730
01:24:44,640 --> 01:24:47,120
Speaker 5: The handicap, though, is very one sided. It does feel

1731
01:24:47,120 --> 01:24:50,200
Speaker 5: hammered or nail on the defensive side. I think for

1732
01:24:50,280 --> 01:24:53,360
Speaker 5: Texas Tech. I think Texas Tech guys and you know

1733
01:24:53,400 --> 01:24:56,320
Speaker 5: we talk about their you know, skill position groups a lot,

1734
01:24:56,479 --> 01:24:59,240
Speaker 5: you know me and of course Rich like we're big

1735
01:24:59,240 --> 01:25:02,320
Speaker 5: in the trenches here. I think Texas Tech might have

1736
01:25:02,360 --> 01:25:06,040
Speaker 5: the best offensive defensive line combo in the country. Honestly,

1737
01:25:06,080 --> 01:25:08,280
Speaker 5: they are deep, they are talented, they are physical. The

1738
01:25:08,400 --> 01:25:11,960
Speaker 5: edge rushers Bailey and Height second and third in PFF

1739
01:25:12,000 --> 01:25:15,720
Speaker 5: pass rush grade. Again, Ruben Brain Junior is first Miami's

1740
01:25:15,920 --> 01:25:18,800
Speaker 5: star edge rusher. Texas Tech has the second and third

1741
01:25:18,880 --> 01:25:22,280
Speaker 5: highest graded pass rushers in the country. That is really

1742
01:25:22,280 --> 01:25:25,439
Speaker 5: good depth. I like their d tackles Holmes and Hunter.

1743
01:25:25,560 --> 01:25:28,519
Speaker 5: They're both big and physical. On the other side, their

1744
01:25:28,520 --> 01:25:31,040
Speaker 5: offensive line is the same, like this is a beefy.

1745
01:25:31,160 --> 01:25:33,160
Speaker 5: This is gonna be a big, physical football game. I'll

1746
01:25:33,160 --> 01:25:35,639
Speaker 5: give BYU some credit to BYU is a big team

1747
01:25:35,680 --> 01:25:38,920
Speaker 5: as well. Chase Roberts there stud receiver six four two fifteen, LJ.

1748
01:25:39,040 --> 01:25:41,840
Speaker 5: Martin six two two twenty, the tight end Carson six

1749
01:25:41,920 --> 01:25:44,560
Speaker 5: four to two fifty. Every offensive lineman is six to

1750
01:25:44,640 --> 01:25:47,200
Speaker 5: four or above three ten or higher. I mean, this

1751
01:25:47,320 --> 01:25:50,639
Speaker 5: is again, this is going to be Goliath versus Goliath today.

1752
01:25:50,800 --> 01:25:54,640
Speaker 5: Now the difference is I think BYU's defensive line and

1753
01:25:54,680 --> 01:25:56,880
Speaker 5: their defense in general is just a little bit thinner,

1754
01:25:56,960 --> 01:25:58,599
Speaker 5: and I think that's where Texas Tech can kind.

1755
01:25:58,520 --> 01:25:59,280
Speaker 7: Of wear them down.

1756
01:25:59,680 --> 01:26:01,960
Speaker 5: I think Blachmeyer's game, like, I think we're gonna be

1757
01:26:02,000 --> 01:26:03,960
Speaker 5: talking about this Bachmeyer kid for a couple of years.

1758
01:26:04,840 --> 01:26:05,920
Speaker 7: He's he's a baller.

1759
01:26:06,680 --> 01:26:09,000
Speaker 5: The ball just jumps off of his arm, doesn't really

1760
01:26:09,000 --> 01:26:10,960
Speaker 5: care too much about the fundamentals. Kind of reminds me

1761
01:26:11,000 --> 01:26:12,720
Speaker 5: of like an athlete who's just good at everything and

1762
01:26:12,760 --> 01:26:16,080
Speaker 5: he can play quarterback. Really thick kid. The comp is

1763
01:26:16,080 --> 01:26:18,640
Speaker 5: Baker Mayfield. I think, short, choppy steps, a lot of

1764
01:26:18,640 --> 01:26:20,960
Speaker 5: horsepower with the arm. So I'm excited to watch him

1765
01:26:20,960 --> 01:26:23,679
Speaker 5: play a in a tough environment against a really good

1766
01:26:23,680 --> 01:26:25,920
Speaker 5: defensive line and see how he handles as a freshman

1767
01:26:26,240 --> 01:26:28,599
Speaker 5: what is going to be probably the most difficult matchup

1768
01:26:28,600 --> 01:26:29,320
Speaker 5: he's seen all year.

1769
01:26:29,680 --> 01:26:32,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, that's the weird part for me, because Bachmeyer has

1770
01:26:32,800 --> 01:26:35,679
Speaker 4: played well to this point, like you just said, shared,

1771
01:26:36,240 --> 01:26:38,800
Speaker 4: but I look at the competition. This is clearly a

1772
01:26:38,840 --> 01:26:42,439
Speaker 4: step up and what has BYU routinely been able to do.

1773
01:26:42,479 --> 01:26:44,400
Speaker 4: They've been able to play with the lead. They have

1774
01:26:44,520 --> 01:26:47,360
Speaker 4: been They've they came back against Colorado, they came back

1775
01:26:47,400 --> 01:26:50,880
Speaker 4: against Arizona. I'm not saying it's exclusively playing with the lead,

1776
01:26:51,160 --> 01:26:53,679
Speaker 4: but more times than not, that's what they're doing. It's

1777
01:26:53,720 --> 01:26:55,840
Speaker 4: not their you know, their cup of tea. It's not

1778
01:26:55,920 --> 01:26:59,200
Speaker 4: their strong suit to just be like, hey, Bear, we're

1779
01:26:59,200 --> 01:27:01,680
Speaker 4: down by seven, team, man, just lead us to the

1780
01:27:01,720 --> 01:27:03,840
Speaker 4: promised Land. You know, that's just not where he is.

1781
01:27:03,840 --> 01:27:06,479
Speaker 4: But he's a freshman quarterback and all things considered, he's

1782
01:27:06,520 --> 01:27:08,840
Speaker 4: played very well. I just think it's a giant step

1783
01:27:08,920 --> 01:27:11,960
Speaker 4: up in competition today. And if they find themselves down

1784
01:27:12,200 --> 01:27:16,320
Speaker 4: and maybe down big, it's a completely different scenario for Bear.

1785
01:27:16,880 --> 01:27:19,160
Speaker 4: So and I look, man, we need to start a

1786
01:27:19,160 --> 01:27:22,000
Speaker 4: metal band called Havoc, you know we need Has anyone

1787
01:27:22,040 --> 01:27:24,559
Speaker 4: done that yet? That's not a table, man, that's an

1788
01:27:24,640 --> 01:27:27,920
Speaker 4: unchecked box right there. But the Red Raiders, man, So,

1789
01:27:28,000 --> 01:27:32,080
Speaker 4: they forced twenty turnovers. That's number two in the country.

1790
01:27:32,760 --> 01:27:36,680
Speaker 4: They're fifth in three and outs. Yeah, that's forty four

1791
01:27:36,720 --> 01:27:38,760
Speaker 4: percent of the time they force a three and out.

1792
01:27:38,840 --> 01:27:41,559
Speaker 4: That's almost half the time. The offense is like, all right,

1793
01:27:41,640 --> 01:27:44,160
Speaker 4: let's go three and out. You know, three players got

1794
01:27:44,200 --> 01:27:47,559
Speaker 4: a punt, and also Texas Tech they rank in the

1795
01:27:47,560 --> 01:27:51,000
Speaker 4: top twenty in sack rate and they don't blitz very

1796
01:27:51,000 --> 01:27:53,960
Speaker 4: often either, So that's a lot of havoc to deal

1797
01:27:54,040 --> 01:27:57,720
Speaker 4: with if your Bear and that BYU offense, And like

1798
01:27:57,840 --> 01:28:00,720
Speaker 4: Rich said, with LJ. Martin, he's bang up. He's their

1799
01:28:00,840 --> 01:28:03,960
Speaker 4: leading rusher. He's rushed for almost eight hundred yards this season.

1800
01:28:04,400 --> 01:28:06,880
Speaker 4: So if he doesn't go at all, or he's compromised

1801
01:28:07,160 --> 01:28:11,200
Speaker 4: or ineffective against a great Texas Tech front man, it's

1802
01:28:11,240 --> 01:28:15,160
Speaker 4: even more on Bear there to do his thing, running, throwing,

1803
01:28:15,479 --> 01:28:18,240
Speaker 4: the whole thing, that's gonna be very, very difficult for

1804
01:28:18,320 --> 01:28:21,640
Speaker 4: BYU to match points that the points. Brett's starting to

1805
01:28:21,640 --> 01:28:24,479
Speaker 4: get out of hand at this point. I loved this bet,

1806
01:28:24,600 --> 01:28:27,519
Speaker 4: you know, a few points ago. But man, the market

1807
01:28:27,560 --> 01:28:29,800
Speaker 4: has not been our friend here for rapid Fire at

1808
01:28:29,840 --> 01:28:33,040
Speaker 4: the end of the show, right before kickoff, because man,

1809
01:28:33,080 --> 01:28:36,640
Speaker 4: it's just gotten so high where you're a complete square.

1810
01:28:37,080 --> 01:28:39,040
Speaker 4: You know, if you're wrong, if you lay the points

1811
01:28:39,120 --> 01:28:41,519
Speaker 4: when you could have gotten much better value earlier in

1812
01:28:41,560 --> 01:28:44,080
Speaker 4: the week. But it is what it is, man, It's

1813
01:28:44,120 --> 01:28:47,559
Speaker 4: like rapid Fire is ten minutes before kickoff, we can't

1814
01:28:47,640 --> 01:28:50,360
Speaker 4: move that time, you know, So the market has not

1815
01:28:50,400 --> 01:28:52,919
Speaker 4: been our friend on this one. If you like Texas Tech.

1816
01:28:53,400 --> 01:28:55,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's exactly correct, you know.

1817
01:28:55,240 --> 01:28:58,400
Speaker 1: And I think the biggest matchup in this game is

1818
01:28:58,400 --> 01:29:03,400
Speaker 1: gonna be Bachmeier his legs, especially against this Texas Tech defense.

1819
01:29:04,000 --> 01:29:08,040
Speaker 1: You know, the Cougars rely pretty much solely on zone

1820
01:29:08,160 --> 01:29:12,240
Speaker 1: read concepts. You know, they they like to you know,

1821
01:29:12,320 --> 01:29:15,880
Speaker 1: go inside zone, outside zone variations on where the QB

1822
01:29:16,120 --> 01:29:17,840
Speaker 1: inserts on the zone read.

1823
01:29:19,120 --> 01:29:20,519
Speaker 2: But but without l J.

1824
01:29:20,720 --> 01:29:23,920
Speaker 1: Martin, you know, it's gonna fall more on him than

1825
01:29:23,920 --> 01:29:27,880
Speaker 1: it is going to be on whoever his replacement is

1826
01:29:28,080 --> 01:29:32,000
Speaker 1: or in terms of whether you're thinking yourself, I'm gonna

1827
01:29:32,000 --> 01:29:34,200
Speaker 1: hand it to him because there's no good options on

1828
01:29:34,240 --> 01:29:37,200
Speaker 1: this play. Typically you may pull it in that case

1829
01:29:37,280 --> 01:29:41,559
Speaker 1: because you're healthier. And so Bachmeyer's got a heavy load

1830
01:29:41,600 --> 01:29:44,080
Speaker 1: on his shoulders here. Again, that which is the reason

1831
01:29:44,080 --> 01:29:46,559
Speaker 1: why the under is singing to me. I feel like

1832
01:29:46,560 --> 01:29:49,479
Speaker 1: it's gonna be a more methodical game. And also Texas

1833
01:29:49,520 --> 01:29:52,320
Speaker 1: Tech against this Cougar's defense, they're gonna want to stay

1834
01:29:52,320 --> 01:29:55,640
Speaker 1: out of passing down situations because the Cougar's you know

1835
01:29:55,840 --> 01:29:58,360
Speaker 1: men coverage, you know.

1836
01:29:58,400 --> 01:30:01,160
Speaker 2: Cover one looks they're pretty stifling.

1837
01:30:01,880 --> 01:30:04,560
Speaker 1: They're really good, as a matter of fact, playing some

1838
01:30:04,680 --> 01:30:09,519
Speaker 1: man to man coverage options and their Cover three, which

1839
01:30:09,560 --> 01:30:10,920
Speaker 1: is more zone underneath.

1840
01:30:11,240 --> 01:30:12,840
Speaker 2: They're they're versatile in that way.

1841
01:30:12,920 --> 01:30:14,600
Speaker 1: So they're going to present you with a bunch of

1842
01:30:14,600 --> 01:30:18,080
Speaker 1: different back end platforms that you're gonna have to deal

1843
01:30:18,120 --> 01:30:22,519
Speaker 1: with from the from the pocket, and it's it's hard

1844
01:30:22,560 --> 01:30:25,919
Speaker 1: to diagnose, and they do a great job in coverage,

1845
01:30:25,960 --> 01:30:30,200
Speaker 1: So a tall task for the Red Raiders.

1846
01:30:30,880 --> 01:30:31,440
Speaker 2: BYU.

1847
01:30:31,520 --> 01:30:35,320
Speaker 1: Cougars probably get handed their first loss, and again it

1848
01:30:35,400 --> 01:30:38,600
Speaker 1: could be by you know, two touchdowns. It could be

1849
01:30:38,640 --> 01:30:41,120
Speaker 1: a closer game than that. But one thing I think

1850
01:30:41,240 --> 01:30:44,519
Speaker 1: is going to be the focus for me is I

1851
01:30:44,560 --> 01:30:47,439
Speaker 1: don't know how many points can be scored in this

1852
01:30:47,560 --> 01:30:51,880
Speaker 1: game because of how efficient the defenses are and also

1853
01:30:52,600 --> 01:30:55,680
Speaker 1: just the style of these offenses who are facing each

1854
01:30:55,720 --> 01:30:56,280
Speaker 1: other today.

1855
01:30:56,960 --> 01:30:59,440
Speaker 7: Up the thirteen and a half. Now that MGM, wow.

1856
01:31:00,680 --> 01:31:04,760
Speaker 5: Minus one oh five splits two of this game very noteworthy.

1857
01:31:05,640 --> 01:31:09,559
Speaker 5: So you're not only getting a discount on BYU now

1858
01:31:09,680 --> 01:31:13,000
Speaker 5: significant discount with the Steam, but you're also getting a

1859
01:31:13,040 --> 01:31:16,240
Speaker 5: discount on the line, and that five cents matters, guys.

1860
01:31:16,280 --> 01:31:19,000
Speaker 5: I'll be honest, I like Texas Tech. I put him

1861
01:31:19,000 --> 01:31:21,960
Speaker 5: in the contest at ten. You know, the lines that

1862
01:31:22,000 --> 01:31:24,559
Speaker 5: we get for the contest here in town are very stale, right,

1863
01:31:24,600 --> 01:31:28,120
Speaker 5: They just they screenshot them basically on a Thursday and

1864
01:31:28,160 --> 01:31:30,800
Speaker 5: they say these are the lines, and regardless of what

1865
01:31:30,840 --> 01:31:34,000
Speaker 5: happens between Thursday and Saturday, those are the lines. So

1866
01:31:34,560 --> 01:31:36,479
Speaker 5: on Friday when I put my contest picks in, this

1867
01:31:36,600 --> 01:31:39,519
Speaker 5: was ten. Now it's thirteen and a half. And even

1868
01:31:39,560 --> 01:31:42,600
Speaker 5: though I do have Texas Deck in the contest, I

1869
01:31:42,680 --> 01:31:44,120
Speaker 5: might have to bet byu here.

1870
01:31:45,360 --> 01:31:46,559
Speaker 7: I'll throw you the wrinkle.

1871
01:31:47,160 --> 01:31:50,920
Speaker 5: Mark Lefwich the offensive coordinator of Texas Tech. He was

1872
01:31:50,920 --> 01:31:53,519
Speaker 5: coaching high school football eight years ago. Awesome story. Now

1873
01:31:53,560 --> 01:31:56,439
Speaker 5: he's a power for coordinator. He is a really interesting story,

1874
01:31:57,080 --> 01:31:59,679
Speaker 5: very sharp kid, a lot of fun stuff.

1875
01:31:59,760 --> 01:31:59,920
Speaker 2: Right.

1876
01:32:00,000 --> 01:32:02,800
Speaker 5: This is a fon exciting, explosive offense. They play really fast.

1877
01:32:02,840 --> 01:32:05,360
Speaker 5: And when I say they played really fast, when I

1878
01:32:05,479 --> 01:32:07,960
Speaker 5: was watching the All twenty two on Texas Tech, it's

1879
01:32:07,960 --> 01:32:10,599
Speaker 5: hard to kind of gauge how fast they run because

1880
01:32:10,640 --> 01:32:12,120
Speaker 5: you just cut from play to play and you don't

1881
01:32:12,120 --> 01:32:14,799
Speaker 5: see the in between. But you can kind of tell

1882
01:32:15,120 --> 01:32:18,360
Speaker 5: based off of the down and distance, Like the guys

1883
01:32:18,360 --> 01:32:20,880
Speaker 5: who are holding the first down sticks are not even

1884
01:32:20,960 --> 01:32:23,479
Speaker 5: set yet when they're snapping another play. That's how fast

1885
01:32:23,479 --> 01:32:26,600
Speaker 5: Texas Tech runs. Yeah, the question is Baron. Morton's a

1886
01:32:26,600 --> 01:32:28,920
Speaker 5: little bit banged up here. I noticed it last week.

1887
01:32:29,000 --> 01:32:31,080
Speaker 5: He was overstriding a little bit. He's got that lower

1888
01:32:31,080 --> 01:32:33,120
Speaker 5: body injury that kept him out of a game. I

1889
01:32:33,120 --> 01:32:35,840
Speaker 5: don't know how healthy he is, so that might slow

1890
01:32:35,880 --> 01:32:37,680
Speaker 5: down Texas Tech a little bit in this game, and

1891
01:32:37,720 --> 01:32:40,120
Speaker 5: it also might make their offense a little bit more

1892
01:32:40,320 --> 01:32:44,240
Speaker 5: inaccurate and inefficient. I love their running game. Jacoby Williams

1893
01:32:44,320 --> 01:32:46,880
Speaker 5: is a freak five ten one eighty five. Cameron Dickey

1894
01:32:47,040 --> 01:32:49,880
Speaker 5: also a kid who's unafraid to stick his nose in

1895
01:32:49,920 --> 01:32:52,200
Speaker 5: places that don't smell good if you catch my drift,

1896
01:32:52,560 --> 01:32:54,920
Speaker 5: and I really love their tight end. Terrence Carter needs

1897
01:32:54,960 --> 01:32:57,320
Speaker 5: to be accounted for a very tough tackle. But I

1898
01:32:57,360 --> 01:32:59,320
Speaker 5: think byus up for this challenge. I think now that

1899
01:32:59,360 --> 01:33:00,960
Speaker 5: we're thirteen and a half and we're getting a five

1900
01:33:00,960 --> 01:33:03,760
Speaker 5: set discount on the splits, I think BYU might have

1901
01:33:03,840 --> 01:33:06,559
Speaker 5: to be a rapid fireplay. I think we have to

1902
01:33:06,600 --> 01:33:10,320
Speaker 5: just fade these crazy steam moves guys, because sometimes.

1903
01:33:09,800 --> 01:33:11,599
Speaker 7: The number moves just a little bit too much.

1904
01:33:12,000 --> 01:33:15,400
Speaker 4: I like LJ. Martin under, like I mentioned, but are

1905
01:33:15,400 --> 01:33:17,519
Speaker 4: we sure he's playing? Are we sure he's going?

1906
01:33:18,760 --> 01:33:22,000
Speaker 1: He could be a scratch he's yeah, questionable as it stands.

1907
01:33:22,080 --> 01:33:23,720
Speaker 7: Maybe that's why the line moved.

1908
01:33:24,000 --> 01:33:24,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, it could be.

1909
01:33:25,040 --> 01:33:28,720
Speaker 4: Might be uh maybe another under route with what you're

1910
01:33:28,760 --> 01:33:32,080
Speaker 4: saying there, Jared Barren Morton under two sixty and a

1911
01:33:32,120 --> 01:33:35,679
Speaker 4: half A little bit nicked up for sure. This running

1912
01:33:35,720 --> 01:33:39,240
Speaker 4: game I would expect Cameron Dickie, Jacoby Williams. They can

1913
01:33:39,320 --> 01:33:41,920
Speaker 4: run it, like Texas Tech. They don't have the reputation

1914
01:33:42,000 --> 01:33:44,519
Speaker 4: of just lining up and running it, but they can

1915
01:33:44,600 --> 01:33:46,640
Speaker 4: do it, and especially in this matchup, I think they

1916
01:33:46,640 --> 01:33:48,880
Speaker 4: could have a lot of success. And they rely on

1917
01:33:48,920 --> 01:33:50,960
Speaker 4: the ground game quite a bit, where hey, man, to

1918
01:33:50,960 --> 01:33:53,280
Speaker 4: get to two sixty one, you gotta be throwing it

1919
01:33:53,360 --> 01:33:56,040
Speaker 4: quite a bit, and I just don't know that Texas

1920
01:33:56,040 --> 01:33:58,719
Speaker 4: Tech is going to do that today. So that's something

1921
01:33:58,760 --> 01:34:03,120
Speaker 4: to keep in mind. It's like our pool of potential

1922
01:34:03,160 --> 01:34:05,880
Speaker 4: plays is shrinking. It feels like with the point spread

1923
01:34:06,040 --> 01:34:09,200
Speaker 4: moving and all this stuff, like LJ. Martin maybe not playing.

1924
01:34:09,840 --> 01:34:12,719
Speaker 4: But one thing to mention, Jared said this in passing,

1925
01:34:13,240 --> 01:34:16,120
Speaker 4: but yeah in BETMGM, you look at this low vig.

1926
01:34:16,320 --> 01:34:18,599
Speaker 4: What does that mean. It's like, you know, less juice

1927
01:34:18,640 --> 01:34:21,599
Speaker 4: minus one oh five, So it's just the tax if

1928
01:34:21,640 --> 01:34:24,240
Speaker 4: you lose, right, so you don't have to pay as much.

1929
01:34:24,320 --> 01:34:28,360
Speaker 4: Minus one oh five is very attractive. So BYU Texas Tech,

1930
01:34:28,439 --> 01:34:31,360
Speaker 4: that's a game with low vig. Got to be on

1931
01:34:31,400 --> 01:34:35,679
Speaker 4: the lookout for low vig right. Also Georgia, Mississippi State,

1932
01:34:36,320 --> 01:34:39,120
Speaker 4: and Indiana Penn State, all those games if you're looking

1933
01:34:39,120 --> 01:34:41,679
Speaker 4: to bet them minus one oh five on either side

1934
01:34:41,800 --> 01:34:44,799
Speaker 4: at bet MGM right now, So take advantage of that stuff.

1935
01:34:45,240 --> 01:34:48,519
Speaker 4: We've got Rich Heinberger Penn State, All American, Jared Smith,

1936
01:34:48,680 --> 01:34:52,639
Speaker 4: FSR betting analyst, I'm Brian No. BETMGM players will receive

1937
01:34:52,960 --> 01:34:56,639
Speaker 4: college Football odds boost tokens and college Football parlay boost

1938
01:34:56,640 --> 01:34:59,920
Speaker 4: tokens throughout the season to use on college football bets,

1939
01:35:00,200 --> 01:35:03,360
Speaker 4: score extra winnings if your bet with the token applied wins.

1940
01:35:03,479 --> 01:35:07,120
Speaker 4: Check it out in the bet MGM app. All right,

1941
01:35:07,280 --> 01:35:11,519
Speaker 4: coming up next, This is a great, great rivalry, but

1942
01:35:12,439 --> 01:35:14,920
Speaker 4: that as great this season we'll explain. It is Fox

1943
01:35:14,920 --> 01:35:18,840
Speaker 4: Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff, presented by bet MGM. It

1944
01:35:18,920 --> 01:35:23,320
Speaker 4: is Fox Sports Radios Countdown to Kickoff presented by bet MGM.

1945
01:35:23,720 --> 01:35:26,200
Speaker 4: With the iHeartRadio App, you can stream us wherever you

1946
01:35:26,240 --> 01:35:28,160
Speaker 4: happen to be. Catch us in all of our Fox

1947
01:35:28,160 --> 01:35:30,479
Speaker 4: Sports Radio shows live twenty four to seven in the

1948
01:35:30,520 --> 01:35:34,280
Speaker 4: new and improved iHeartRadio app. Just search Fox Sports Radio

1949
01:35:34,360 --> 01:35:36,639
Speaker 4: in the app to stream us live all day, every day,

1950
01:35:37,040 --> 01:35:39,000
Speaker 4: and be sure to select Fox Sports Radio as one

1951
01:35:39,040 --> 01:35:41,920
Speaker 4: of your presets in the iHeart app so it'll always

1952
01:35:41,920 --> 01:35:44,280
Speaker 4: pop up at the top of your screen. By the way,

1953
01:35:44,840 --> 01:35:48,200
Speaker 4: gotta pay this off. I got so, you know, entrenched

1954
01:35:48,280 --> 01:35:52,040
Speaker 4: in Texas Tech, hosting BYU and the x'es and o's

1955
01:35:52,120 --> 01:35:54,720
Speaker 4: and the bare Bach buyers and you know. But there

1956
01:35:54,800 --> 01:35:58,360
Speaker 4: was a really interesting story before we move to LSU, Alabama.

1957
01:35:58,680 --> 01:36:01,160
Speaker 4: So I don't know if you guys heard this. Texas

1958
01:36:01,160 --> 01:36:05,800
Speaker 4: Tech's team Barber is a guy named Von Ortiz, and

1959
01:36:05,920 --> 01:36:09,280
Speaker 4: last month his wife, Maddie was critically injured in a

1960
01:36:09,320 --> 01:36:12,479
Speaker 4: car accident that was caused by a drunk driver. We're talking.

1961
01:36:12,520 --> 01:36:16,320
Speaker 4: She was on a ventilator for two weeks underwent multiple surgeries.

1962
01:36:16,680 --> 01:36:19,280
Speaker 4: The couple has a three year old son. Yvon had

1963
01:36:19,320 --> 01:36:21,320
Speaker 4: to miss a decent amount of work to help his

1964
01:36:21,400 --> 01:36:24,840
Speaker 4: wife out, and so they started to go fund me

1965
01:36:25,320 --> 01:36:30,360
Speaker 4: and BYU. The fan base heard about this story and

1966
01:36:30,520 --> 01:36:33,160
Speaker 4: helped in a huge way to the tune of helping

1967
01:36:33,200 --> 01:36:36,640
Speaker 4: to raise over one hundred and twenty thousand dollars for

1968
01:36:36,720 --> 01:36:39,639
Speaker 4: this family. It's an awesome story, Like we're getting ready

1969
01:36:39,640 --> 01:36:43,000
Speaker 4: for BYU Texas Tech and shout out to the fans

1970
01:36:43,040 --> 01:36:45,960
Speaker 4: Man Kook's fans, you know, they were like, let's show

1971
01:36:45,960 --> 01:36:49,360
Speaker 4: our support this Texas Tech team barber had his wife

1972
01:36:49,400 --> 01:36:53,400
Speaker 4: critically injured by a drunk driver. Like, let's show some support.

1973
01:36:53,439 --> 01:36:56,840
Speaker 4: That's awesome, Man's That's what being a good human being

1974
01:36:56,880 --> 01:36:59,120
Speaker 4: is all about. That's really what college football is all about.

1975
01:36:59,160 --> 01:37:00,800
Speaker 4: I know we have a rival reason we go back

1976
01:37:00,840 --> 01:37:02,680
Speaker 4: and forth, but we're supposed to help each other at

1977
01:37:02,680 --> 01:37:03,360
Speaker 4: the end of the day.

1978
01:37:04,360 --> 01:37:06,920
Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, I love this story too. I saw it.

1979
01:37:06,920 --> 01:37:10,559
Speaker 1: It's it's one of those it's one of those stories

1980
01:37:10,600 --> 01:37:14,200
Speaker 1: where I don't think I don't think people understand like

1981
01:37:14,280 --> 01:37:18,400
Speaker 1: how limited it is when you're a college football player.

1982
01:37:19,000 --> 01:37:21,240
Speaker 1: You know, you think, oh, well, these are student athletes.

1983
01:37:21,280 --> 01:37:23,880
Speaker 1: They're going to classes and you know they're spending a

1984
01:37:23,920 --> 01:37:25,960
Speaker 1: lot of time doing other things. And the truth is

1985
01:37:26,040 --> 01:37:28,439
Speaker 1: you don't have a ton of time to do a lot,

1986
01:37:29,000 --> 01:37:31,960
Speaker 1: you know, during the offseason. Sure, there's times when it's

1987
01:37:31,960 --> 01:37:35,280
Speaker 1: just springball or winter conditioning when you're on campus, but

1988
01:37:35,400 --> 01:37:39,880
Speaker 1: like in season, your days are long, you're stretched really thin.

1989
01:37:41,200 --> 01:37:42,800
Speaker 1: You know, a lot of these guys, even though we

1990
01:37:42,880 --> 01:37:45,280
Speaker 1: hear all about the name image and likeness, name image

1991
01:37:45,280 --> 01:37:47,799
Speaker 1: and likeness, a lot of these guys need their degrees.

1992
01:37:48,240 --> 01:37:50,519
Speaker 1: You know, they're not going to be playing football after college,

1993
01:37:50,600 --> 01:37:54,280
Speaker 1: so they're studying hard. They're they're making sure that they're

1994
01:37:54,400 --> 01:37:57,759
Speaker 1: you know, crossing their eyes and dotting or or crossing

1995
01:37:57,760 --> 01:38:01,840
Speaker 1: their t's dotting their eyes. A team barber, that's not

1996
01:38:02,040 --> 01:38:06,960
Speaker 1: something that every team has. Usually it's a guy who

1997
01:38:07,479 --> 01:38:10,640
Speaker 1: one of your players meets, does a great job, you know,

1998
01:38:10,760 --> 01:38:13,360
Speaker 1: lining him up, and then all of a sudden he

1999
01:38:13,439 --> 01:38:16,080
Speaker 1: puts them on with the rest of the team and

2000
01:38:16,120 --> 01:38:19,760
Speaker 1: it's like everybody gets their haircut, their schedule appointments. It's

2001
01:38:19,800 --> 01:38:22,479
Speaker 1: somebody who sort of earns their way into having the

2002
01:38:22,479 --> 01:38:26,360
Speaker 1: privilege of coming down to the facility. And not everybody

2003
01:38:26,400 --> 01:38:29,840
Speaker 1: goes to the barber, obviously, but it's like a bonding thing.

2004
01:38:29,920 --> 01:38:30,960
Speaker 2: It's good for the team.

2005
01:38:31,320 --> 01:38:34,320
Speaker 1: It's another opportunity for guys to spend time with each

2006
01:38:34,360 --> 01:38:37,040
Speaker 1: other off the field, and you get to know these

2007
01:38:37,080 --> 01:38:40,879
Speaker 1: people obviously really well. And when something like this happens

2008
01:38:41,040 --> 01:38:44,400
Speaker 1: to somebody who's within your orbit, what you just said

2009
01:38:44,479 --> 01:38:45,760
Speaker 1: is right, Brian, Like, at the end.

2010
01:38:45,640 --> 01:38:47,479
Speaker 2: Of the day, we're all just people.

2011
01:38:47,880 --> 01:38:51,679
Speaker 1: Everybody's trying to make it things happen, and when bad

2012
01:38:51,760 --> 01:38:55,439
Speaker 1: things happen, you know, it's not an expectation, but it's

2013
01:38:55,479 --> 01:38:58,400
Speaker 1: the right thing to do to step up and man,

2014
01:38:58,439 --> 01:39:01,160
Speaker 1: oh man, for it to be not just the players,

2015
01:39:01,200 --> 01:39:07,040
Speaker 1: but the fans contributing to this barber's family, the wife

2016
01:39:07,040 --> 01:39:11,479
Speaker 1: obviously having this medical situation. That is absolutely amazing stuff.

2017
01:39:11,920 --> 01:39:15,720
Speaker 1: I mean, that's that's that's the stuff that's underreported. We

2018
01:39:15,760 --> 01:39:18,639
Speaker 1: hear about all the ye horrible things a lot more,

2019
01:39:18,680 --> 01:39:19,519
Speaker 1: but this is great.

2020
01:39:20,439 --> 01:39:24,080
Speaker 5: Yeah, it doesn't get as many clicks as the negative stuff,

2021
01:39:24,120 --> 01:39:26,719
Speaker 5: although it should, it really should.

2022
01:39:27,280 --> 01:39:29,439
Speaker 7: This has been a crazy line movement game though, Guys.

2023
01:39:29,479 --> 01:39:34,080
Speaker 5: Honestly, I saw a note that recently, if you just

2024
01:39:34,280 --> 01:39:39,400
Speaker 5: fade these big steam moves, you're actually on top. It's

2025
01:39:39,400 --> 01:39:41,640
Speaker 5: like a fifty five percent Like if you're on the

2026
01:39:41,720 --> 01:39:44,080
Speaker 5: right side of the steam. So say you bet Texas

2027
01:39:44,120 --> 01:39:47,040
Speaker 5: Tech early at ten, it's like a fifty five percent

2028
01:39:47,080 --> 01:39:49,160
Speaker 5: win rate this year. And then on the flip side too,

2029
01:39:49,160 --> 01:39:52,240
Speaker 5: if you faded the three point moves in college football

2030
01:39:52,280 --> 01:39:54,599
Speaker 5: this year and you bet BYU plus thirteen and a half,

2031
01:39:54,640 --> 01:39:56,519
Speaker 5: you're also on the right side of it, on the

2032
01:39:56,520 --> 01:40:00,240
Speaker 5: positive side of the ledger. So it's kind of a

2033
01:40:00,240 --> 01:40:03,360
Speaker 5: a lesson in market dynamics, which sounds super boring.

2034
01:40:03,400 --> 01:40:05,320
Speaker 7: I'm not trying to get I love that you see.

2035
01:40:05,080 --> 01:40:07,840
Speaker 5: On you guys, right, but it it it's kind of

2036
01:40:08,000 --> 01:40:11,599
Speaker 5: it's kind of a lesson about it really doesn't matter

2037
01:40:12,400 --> 01:40:15,920
Speaker 5: what team you bet, the number matters more. Right, we

2038
01:40:15,960 --> 01:40:18,160
Speaker 5: thought we Crack says this all the time, bet numbers,

2039
01:40:18,160 --> 01:40:21,160
Speaker 5: not teams, and it sounds super cliche, but he's right

2040
01:40:21,600 --> 01:40:23,439
Speaker 5: because at the end of the day, when you see

2041
01:40:23,439 --> 01:40:25,920
Speaker 5: these significant moves, and I don't know the exact impetus

2042
01:40:25,960 --> 01:40:27,519
Speaker 5: behind it. It could be the Martin injury, it could

2043
01:40:27,560 --> 01:40:28,880
Speaker 5: be something else, could just be a lot of people

2044
01:40:28,880 --> 01:40:31,760
Speaker 5: on Texas Tech. Same thing with the organ situation, like

2045
01:40:31,760 --> 01:40:33,800
Speaker 5: we'll see what their number moves to if that, if

2046
01:40:33,800 --> 01:40:35,840
Speaker 5: that injury report hits in a couple hours and you know,

2047
01:40:35,880 --> 01:40:37,760
Speaker 5: the whole offense is out like that, maybe that goes

2048
01:40:37,760 --> 01:40:39,360
Speaker 5: to three and then you have to bet org In

2049
01:40:39,400 --> 01:40:41,439
Speaker 5: at three. Right, So I think you just have to

2050
01:40:42,080 --> 01:40:46,080
Speaker 5: ignore some of the noise and and just bet these numbers.

2051
01:40:47,120 --> 01:40:49,599
Speaker 5: I hate it, but I have to. I almost enforced

2052
01:40:49,600 --> 01:40:51,200
Speaker 5: to take BYU plus thirteen and a half to that.

2053
01:40:51,680 --> 01:40:55,000
Speaker 4: Okay, life in the SEC. Let's turn our attention over there.

2054
01:40:55,040 --> 01:40:59,200
Speaker 4: We've got LSU at number four Alabama, FAMA favored by

2055
01:40:59,320 --> 01:41:02,479
Speaker 4: ten and a half. No Brian Kelly has been fired

2056
01:41:02,560 --> 01:41:07,360
Speaker 4: interim coach Frank Wilson, and Bama has beaten four ranked opponents,

2057
01:41:07,960 --> 01:41:11,920
Speaker 4: and they've got some nice wins. But if you look skeptically,

2058
01:41:12,360 --> 01:41:15,960
Speaker 4: you know, critically at some of the things that they've done,

2059
01:41:16,120 --> 01:41:19,120
Speaker 4: it's like, well, you know, you look at the Georgia game,

2060
01:41:19,200 --> 01:41:21,880
Speaker 4: there was a big drop in the second half. Kirby Smart,

2061
01:41:21,920 --> 01:41:23,800
Speaker 4: doesn't go for it on fourth down, He went for

2062
01:41:23,840 --> 01:41:26,640
Speaker 4: it on fourth down, doesn't kick the field goal. That

2063
01:41:26,760 --> 01:41:29,360
Speaker 4: was a big deal. At Tennessee. The pick six right

2064
01:41:29,400 --> 01:41:33,320
Speaker 4: before halftime, huge turnaround in that game. They probably should

2065
01:41:33,320 --> 01:41:36,400
Speaker 4: have lost to South Carolina. Right, So this Bama team,

2066
01:41:36,439 --> 01:41:39,000
Speaker 4: what do you think ten and a half rivalry game?

2067
01:41:39,120 --> 01:41:40,840
Speaker 4: I mean, it's not as sexy as it is in

2068
01:41:41,080 --> 01:41:45,000
Speaker 4: a lot of years. But LSU plus ten and a half.

2069
01:41:45,560 --> 01:41:46,920
Speaker 4: You're biting on that there, Rich.

2070
01:41:48,360 --> 01:41:51,800
Speaker 1: You couldn't meet a hotter team than Alabama right now.

2071
01:41:53,120 --> 01:41:56,360
Speaker 1: That was a good time for a bye week after

2072
01:41:56,439 --> 01:42:01,120
Speaker 1: defeating four consecutive ranked opponents, I mean, finally getting a

2073
01:42:01,160 --> 01:42:06,280
Speaker 1: little fresh Ty Simpson. I know, Jared, you've been waving

2074
01:42:06,320 --> 01:42:08,599
Speaker 1: the banner for Ty Simpson for a long time.

2075
01:42:09,200 --> 01:42:09,400
Speaker 2: You know.

2076
01:42:09,479 --> 01:42:13,200
Speaker 1: I think everybody seemed to overlook this guy heading into

2077
01:42:13,240 --> 01:42:17,160
Speaker 1: the season, including myself. Yeah, I was more thinking about

2078
01:42:17,240 --> 01:42:21,439
Speaker 1: Kaylin de Boor and you know, him continuing to settle

2079
01:42:21,800 --> 01:42:24,320
Speaker 1: his culture in as opposed to really looking at the

2080
01:42:24,360 --> 01:42:27,920
Speaker 1: five star who shined this season and is deservedly so

2081
01:42:28,080 --> 01:42:31,400
Speaker 1: in the Heisman conversation, and then you look at LSU

2082
01:42:31,520 --> 01:42:34,599
Speaker 1: and you think, okay, also good time for a bye week.

2083
01:42:35,600 --> 01:42:38,960
Speaker 1: The departure of Brian Kelly opens the door, but also

2084
01:42:39,400 --> 01:42:43,160
Speaker 1: it potentially creates a little chaos inside of the building.

2085
01:42:44,680 --> 01:42:49,479
Speaker 1: Nussmeier has been an interesting quarterback to watch this season.

2086
01:42:49,720 --> 01:42:56,280
Speaker 1: I think he's got unbelievable talent, but he really also

2087
01:42:57,320 --> 01:43:01,599
Speaker 1: has this high risk potentiality that has manifested this year.

2088
01:43:02,000 --> 01:43:04,920
Speaker 1: He's kind of careless with the football, and when you're

2089
01:43:04,960 --> 01:43:07,439
Speaker 1: a Maverick and you think you can fit the ball

2090
01:43:07,479 --> 01:43:11,360
Speaker 1: in spots that you really can't. Or sometimes you try

2091
01:43:11,400 --> 01:43:15,519
Speaker 1: to throw a pass to a receiver who's covered and

2092
01:43:15,880 --> 01:43:17,679
Speaker 1: it just comes up the wrong way.

2093
01:43:18,120 --> 01:43:19,360
Speaker 2: It can be bad luck.

2094
01:43:19,439 --> 01:43:25,160
Speaker 1: But Nussmeyer, he's leading the SEC with twelve or excuse me,

2095
01:43:25,560 --> 01:43:29,960
Speaker 1: he's still having a tough season turning over the football

2096
01:43:30,000 --> 01:43:33,840
Speaker 1: after leading the SEC with twelve interceptions last year. So

2097
01:43:34,640 --> 01:43:38,440
Speaker 1: it's one of those things. I think I like Alabama.

2098
01:43:38,560 --> 01:43:43,120
Speaker 1: I don't know if I would bet Alabama minus ten

2099
01:43:43,200 --> 01:43:45,320
Speaker 1: and a half or whatever it's at at this point,

2100
01:43:45,680 --> 01:43:49,120
Speaker 1: but if I had a lean, I think that's my direction.

2101
01:43:50,439 --> 01:43:53,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, nus Meyer is an intriguing case. I think we

2102
01:43:53,200 --> 01:43:56,439
Speaker 5: expected a lot more from him this year. The turnover

2103
01:43:56,479 --> 01:43:59,200
Speaker 5: where he plays are substantial, although he did a good

2104
01:43:59,280 --> 01:44:01,880
Speaker 5: job limiting them against A and M.

2105
01:44:02,600 --> 01:44:04,080
Speaker 7: Yeah, thanks for you.

2106
01:44:04,080 --> 01:44:04,320
Speaker 2: Guys.

2107
01:44:04,320 --> 01:44:07,280
Speaker 5: Are finally coming around on ty Simpson. Huh, finally getting

2108
01:44:07,280 --> 01:44:10,120
Speaker 5: there with Bama. Now, listen, this is a This is

2109
01:44:10,160 --> 01:44:12,280
Speaker 5: a tough this is a tough spot. It is because

2110
01:44:12,280 --> 01:44:14,479
Speaker 5: elis he's gonna throw the kitchen sink at him. I

2111
01:44:14,479 --> 01:44:16,800
Speaker 5: will say this, I think LSU secondary is pretty solid,

2112
01:44:16,880 --> 01:44:21,040
Speaker 5: top thirty in coverage grade this year. Mansord Delanne. Really

2113
01:44:21,080 --> 01:44:24,120
Speaker 5: good corner out of a votech transfer, probably going to

2114
01:44:24,160 --> 01:44:25,800
Speaker 5: be a first round pick. He had a third round

2115
01:44:25,840 --> 01:44:28,320
Speaker 5: grade last year, but he wanted to prove it and

2116
01:44:28,360 --> 01:44:30,080
Speaker 5: come to the SEC and say I can play at

2117
01:44:30,080 --> 01:44:32,240
Speaker 5: the highest level. And he's done a good job this year.

2118
01:44:32,880 --> 01:44:34,320
Speaker 5: I think he's going to be a first rounder. He's

2119
01:44:34,320 --> 01:44:36,880
Speaker 5: going to be tested this week. Doesn't panic, doesn't commit penalty.

2120
01:44:36,880 --> 01:44:39,160
Speaker 5: He's only been targeted twenty five times, eight receptions, no

2121
01:44:39,240 --> 01:44:41,240
Speaker 5: touchdowns all year. It's only been targeted seven times in

2122
01:44:41,240 --> 01:44:42,800
Speaker 5: the last four games. That's how good he is. He's

2123
01:44:42,800 --> 01:44:44,840
Speaker 5: playing in the SEC and he's not getting targeted. That

2124
01:44:45,120 --> 01:44:48,799
Speaker 5: is really impressive. Their other two corners are young, but talented.

2125
01:44:48,840 --> 01:44:52,200
Speaker 5: Woodland smaller one hundred and sixty five pounds retrit freshman,

2126
01:44:52,200 --> 01:44:54,360
Speaker 5: struggled the last two weeks against Vandy and Ole Miss

2127
01:44:54,640 --> 01:44:57,240
Speaker 5: and DJ Pikett true freshman, five star, really talented. How

2128
01:44:57,240 --> 01:45:00,439
Speaker 5: about this six five, one hundred ninety five pound He

2129
01:45:00,479 --> 01:45:04,200
Speaker 5: plays corner, not power forward. He plays corner in college

2130
01:45:04,200 --> 01:45:07,880
Speaker 5: football a freshman six', five one hundred and ninety five

2131
01:45:07,920 --> 01:45:11,160
Speaker 5: Pound really talented, kid but can he hold up against

2132
01:45:11,200 --> 01:45:14,519
Speaker 5: WHAT i would consider the best receiving trio in the, Country,

2133
01:45:15,000 --> 01:45:15,760
Speaker 5: Horton bernard And.

2134
01:45:15,800 --> 01:45:17,400
Speaker 7: Williams williams of.

2135
01:45:17,320 --> 01:45:21,120
Speaker 5: Course the slot receiver six, foot really Shifty, bernard the

2136
01:45:21,120 --> 01:45:22,559
Speaker 5: line him up all over the. Field six to two

2137
01:45:22,560 --> 01:45:24,800
Speaker 5: transfer From Michigan state also came From washington with The,

2138
01:45:24,840 --> 01:45:27,200
Speaker 5: boar and Then horton's really the big stud The Miami

2139
01:45:27,200 --> 01:45:30,160
Speaker 5: transfer six to Four ALPHA x. Receiver they are just

2140
01:45:30,240 --> 01:45:31,679
Speaker 5: so dynamic at this receiving.

2141
01:45:31,680 --> 01:45:33,520
Speaker 7: Group you would Expect.

2142
01:45:33,680 --> 01:45:35,679
Speaker 5: Jan miller to be a week. Healthier he's been banged

2143
01:45:35,760 --> 01:45:37,960
Speaker 5: up this. Year The bama running game has not impressed.

2144
01:45:37,960 --> 01:45:40,719
Speaker 5: Me The bama offensive line hasn't impressed. Me the issue

2145
01:45:40,760 --> 01:45:42,479
Speaker 5: is they struggle against speed.

2146
01:45:42,560 --> 01:45:43,880
Speaker 7: Rush we saw.

2147
01:45:43,800 --> 01:45:45,800
Speaker 5: It Against, missoo we saw it Against South carolina's got

2148
01:45:45,840 --> 01:45:48,920
Speaker 5: a very good pass. RUSH lsu doesn't have That Harold.

2149
01:45:48,960 --> 01:45:49,920
Speaker 7: Perkins he's kind.

2150
01:45:49,760 --> 01:45:49,960
Speaker 2: Of a.

2151
01:45:51,479 --> 01:45:53,439
Speaker 7: Misfit right. Now they don't really know where to play.

2152
01:45:53,479 --> 01:45:57,439
Speaker 5: Him AND lsu doesn't have that true edge speed rusher

2153
01:45:57,680 --> 01:46:00,280
Speaker 5: THAT i think is gonna give The bama offensive line,

2154
01:46:00,320 --> 01:46:02,519
Speaker 5: problems which has given them problems this. Year SO i could,

2155
01:46:02,560 --> 01:46:06,120
Speaker 5: see you, Know bama having some time back there And

2156
01:46:06,240 --> 01:46:09,080
Speaker 5: simpson just kind of chilling and picking apart this secondary

2157
01:46:09,080 --> 01:46:09,840
Speaker 5: which is a very good.

2158
01:46:09,840 --> 01:46:11,000
Speaker 7: Secondary the question Is.

2159
01:46:11,000 --> 01:46:14,320
Speaker 5: Brian can Can LSU's offense do, anything because it's been

2160
01:46:14,360 --> 01:46:17,400
Speaker 5: a disaster this. Year offensive line has been, Bad bama's

2161
01:46:17,400 --> 01:46:18,599
Speaker 5: off defensive line hasn't been.

2162
01:46:18,640 --> 01:46:20,640
Speaker 7: Great BUT i think they. CAN i think they'll be

2163
01:46:20,720 --> 01:46:22,280
Speaker 7: up for this. Challenge, YEAH i.

2164
01:46:22,320 --> 01:46:26,200
Speaker 4: DON'T i don't Love bama's defense. Collectively that's the thing that,

2165
01:46:26,200 --> 01:46:29,960
Speaker 4: that you, know limits my love For. BAMA i don't

2166
01:46:30,040 --> 01:46:32,120
Speaker 4: like their running game at, all AND i DON'T i

2167
01:46:32,120 --> 01:46:35,400
Speaker 4: don't love their. DEFENSE i like their defense better than

2168
01:46:35,439 --> 01:46:38,439
Speaker 4: their running, game but, MAN i just don't like when

2169
01:46:38,720 --> 01:46:41,559
Speaker 4: an offense can become one. Dimensional, now granted it's a

2170
01:46:41,640 --> 01:46:44,639
Speaker 4: very good one dimension passing game has been very. Good

2171
01:46:45,000 --> 01:46:48,280
Speaker 4: Tys simpson has had a very very good, season Legitimate heisman.

2172
01:46:48,360 --> 01:46:52,479
Speaker 4: Contender they're wide receiving corps is. FANTASTIC i Know Ryan

2173
01:46:52,520 --> 01:46:55,360
Speaker 4: williams is banged. Up that hurts, them but still very

2174
01:46:55,520 --> 01:46:58,800
Speaker 4: very good receiving corps. THERE i just don't like how

2175
01:46:58,880 --> 01:47:01,479
Speaker 4: they're often one. DIMENSION i want to see a better running.

2176
01:47:01,479 --> 01:47:03,720
Speaker 4: GAME i want to see a better defense BEFORE i

2177
01:47:03,760 --> 01:47:06,479
Speaker 4: like totally buy In, tobama but that's just not what

2178
01:47:06,520 --> 01:47:08,600
Speaker 4: they bring to the table this. Year you, know SO

2179
01:47:08,720 --> 01:47:11,400
Speaker 4: i think that their ceiling is. Limited that's just. Me

2180
01:47:12,200 --> 01:47:14,040
Speaker 4: let's get to the top two. Teams, no these are

2181
01:47:14,080 --> 01:47:16,680
Speaker 4: big point spreads. Here but you, KNOW i don't know

2182
01:47:16,680 --> 01:47:19,599
Speaker 4: how many notes you have On Ohio state Versus perdue,

2183
01:47:19,800 --> 01:47:23,760
Speaker 4: right like. Nothing they've been, competitive they've, improved and they

2184
01:47:23,760 --> 01:47:25,960
Speaker 4: still have lost seven games in a. Row you, know

2185
01:47:26,160 --> 01:47:31,519
Speaker 4: Like Ohio state last, week they're, Like, okay that's. Cute Penn,

2186
01:47:31,520 --> 01:47:34,120
Speaker 4: state you hung, around you, know you covered the first half,

2187
01:47:34,200 --> 01:47:36,120
Speaker 4: line WHICH i was very happy, about by the, way

2188
01:47:36,600 --> 01:47:39,000
Speaker 4: and Then Ohio state's, like all, right now take this

2189
01:47:39,040 --> 01:47:41,360
Speaker 4: whooping with, you you, know so they can crank it.

2190
01:47:41,479 --> 01:47:43,920
Speaker 4: Up we know that anything you want to mention On

2191
01:47:44,000 --> 01:47:47,640
Speaker 4: Ohio state before we get to The Penn. State you,

2192
01:47:47,640 --> 01:47:50,400
Speaker 4: Know Nitney lions taking on the number two rank team

2193
01:47:50,439 --> 01:47:50,560
Speaker 4: in the.

2194
01:47:50,600 --> 01:47:52,840
Speaker 7: Country we have to. Do we have to get to that.

2195
01:47:52,920 --> 01:47:56,680
Speaker 2: Game, yeah we can spend a lot of time On.

2196
01:47:56,760 --> 01:48:01,639
Speaker 1: Perdue let's break down their Secondary, Nah, LISTEN i think

2197
01:48:01,680 --> 01:48:06,439
Speaker 1: THAT i think That purdue having zero conference wins and

2198
01:48:06,520 --> 01:48:10,080
Speaker 1: being two and seven overall is pretty endemic of what

2199
01:48:10,120 --> 01:48:13,400
Speaker 1: we're seeing in college, football you, know sort of to

2200
01:48:13,479 --> 01:48:16,599
Speaker 1: broaden the scope away from this, game WHERE i could

2201
01:48:16,640 --> 01:48:20,320
Speaker 1: easily See Ohio state covering this, SPREAD i would have

2202
01:48:20,360 --> 01:48:22,360
Speaker 1: a harder. Time let's put it this, way if you're

2203
01:48:22,400 --> 01:48:25,759
Speaker 1: looking for an, ANGLE i have a harder time making

2204
01:48:25,800 --> 01:48:27,600
Speaker 1: an argument For purdue.

2205
01:48:29,520 --> 01:48:30,160
Speaker 2: Putting up a.

2206
01:48:30,080 --> 01:48:33,400
Speaker 1: Fight here THAT i can For Ohio state covering the.

2207
01:48:33,400 --> 01:48:36,920
Speaker 1: Spread but getting back to, this, like there are so

2208
01:48:37,280 --> 01:48:41,640
Speaker 1: many teams that are playing so far under their expectations

2209
01:48:42,080 --> 01:48:46,000
Speaker 1: this football, season AND i Think purdue is obviously one of.

2210
01:48:46,040 --> 01:48:48,919
Speaker 2: Them but it's not even just your record that reflects.

2211
01:48:48,960 --> 01:48:52,240
Speaker 1: It it's wherever your expectations were set at the start

2212
01:48:52,280 --> 01:48:55,840
Speaker 1: of the. Season so think ABOUT, lsu think About Penn,

2213
01:48:55,920 --> 01:48:59,040
Speaker 1: state think ABOUT i, Mean Luke, fickle it seemed like

2214
01:48:59,080 --> 01:49:00,920
Speaker 1: he was in, danger just sort of got the nod

2215
01:49:01,000 --> 01:49:04,680
Speaker 1: from the athletic direct director that he's going to be.

2216
01:49:04,720 --> 01:49:09,160
Speaker 1: Back but there's a bunch of openings right, Now, Napier

2217
01:49:09,680 --> 01:49:13,599
Speaker 1: there's a ton of them because expectations sore so much higher.

2218
01:49:13,640 --> 01:49:15,439
Speaker 2: NOW i, mean we're going.

2219
01:49:15,240 --> 01:49:20,200
Speaker 1: To see probably ten or twelve plus jobs open in

2220
01:49:20,360 --> 01:49:25,240
Speaker 1: top fifty programs across THE. Fbs it's so many more

2221
01:49:25,280 --> 01:49:28,759
Speaker 1: than we're used to, seeing and it's because of.

2222
01:49:28,640 --> 01:49:31,800
Speaker 2: The pressure that's being placed on these.

2223
01:49:31,840 --> 01:49:34,840
Speaker 1: Schools, now these programs because of the expansion of the

2224
01:49:34,880 --> 01:49:38,360
Speaker 1: college football. Playoff if you don't look competitive where you

2225
01:49:38,400 --> 01:49:41,320
Speaker 1: can't even cling on to the, bottom, wrong you, know

2226
01:49:42,000 --> 01:49:46,720
Speaker 1: just put our ball on the roulette wheel for a

2227
01:49:46,800 --> 01:49:48,880
Speaker 1: chance at hitting a, number you know WHAT i, Mean

2228
01:49:48,920 --> 01:49:52,439
Speaker 1: give us a, chance then you're. Out and that's what

2229
01:49:52,479 --> 01:49:54,759
Speaker 1: you're seeing with a lot of these football programs across.

2230
01:49:54,840 --> 01:49:55,320
Speaker 1: Country it's.

2231
01:49:55,360 --> 01:49:57,479
Speaker 2: Amazing And purdue might be the next.

2232
01:49:57,520 --> 01:50:01,280
Speaker 5: One, YEAH i have nothing nice to say About. PURDUE

2233
01:50:01,280 --> 01:50:03,120
Speaker 5: i make the game thirty. Two you want to lay

2234
01:50:03,120 --> 01:50:05,240
Speaker 5: it With Ohio, State i'm not gonna argue with. You,

2235
01:50:06,160 --> 01:50:10,080
Speaker 5: YEAH i think the bigger the bigger picture here is

2236
01:50:11,439 --> 01:50:14,120
Speaker 5: how dominant Is Ohio state compared to the rest of the,

2237
01:50:14,120 --> 01:50:16,360
Speaker 5: field Right, like that's where we need to start framing

2238
01:50:16,360 --> 01:50:18,800
Speaker 5: this discussion because obviously the game Against purdue is not

2239
01:50:18,840 --> 01:50:22,280
Speaker 5: going to be important. Today they play one more important

2240
01:50:22,280 --> 01:50:23,640
Speaker 5: game this. Year it's the last game of the. Year

2241
01:50:23,680 --> 01:50:25,760
Speaker 5: it's At. Michigan that'll be the last game that we

2242
01:50:25,800 --> 01:50:28,799
Speaker 5: really get up For Ohio state in the regular. Season

2243
01:50:29,160 --> 01:50:32,120
Speaker 5: and then is the is the world? Ready is the

2244
01:50:32,240 --> 01:50:35,719
Speaker 5: universe ready for one versus? Two Ohio state Versus indiana

2245
01:50:35,880 --> 01:50:38,040
Speaker 5: in three four? Weeks the big ti championship. GAME i,

2246
01:50:38,040 --> 01:50:39,360
Speaker 5: mean that's gonna be awesome if we get.

2247
01:50:39,400 --> 01:50:40,720
Speaker 7: IT i think we'll get.

2248
01:50:40,720 --> 01:50:44,080
Speaker 5: It right, Now Ohio state's about a three and a

2249
01:50:44,120 --> 01:50:47,439
Speaker 5: half point favorite Against indiana in that. Game could have

2250
01:50:47,520 --> 01:50:51,200
Speaker 5: changed between now and. Then, SURE i don't see it going, down.

2251
01:50:51,240 --> 01:50:53,160
Speaker 5: THOUGH i JUST i don't see a world Of Ohio

2252
01:50:53,160 --> 01:50:55,720
Speaker 5: state unless The michigan bug bites them. AGAIN i just

2253
01:50:55,800 --> 01:51:00,000
Speaker 5: don't see a world where they're not a significant favorite

2254
01:51:00,080 --> 01:51:02,400
Speaker 5: in that, game at least by a field. GOAL i

2255
01:51:02,439 --> 01:51:04,840
Speaker 5: do think they are head and shoulders the best team

2256
01:51:04,840 --> 01:51:06,800
Speaker 5: in the country right, now and a lot of it's

2257
01:51:06,800 --> 01:51:10,120
Speaker 5: because Of julian's. Saying and that's to me the part

2258
01:51:10,160 --> 01:51:13,000
Speaker 5: about their handicap that we were very uncertain. About we

2259
01:51:13,080 --> 01:51:14,639
Speaker 5: knew their defense was going to be, good we weren't

2260
01:51:14,640 --> 01:51:17,200
Speaker 5: sure how. Good but now that we've Seen patricia kind

2261
01:51:17,240 --> 01:51:19,400
Speaker 5: of settle, in it's just as good as it, was

2262
01:51:19,439 --> 01:51:22,200
Speaker 5: if not better than last. Year we knew their receivers

2263
01:51:22,240 --> 01:51:24,479
Speaker 5: were going to be. Elite they're running games a little,

2264
01:51:24,600 --> 01:51:27,519
Speaker 5: questionable but they have experience and they've got some beef. There,

2265
01:51:27,600 --> 01:51:29,599
Speaker 5: DONALDSON i like. Him The West virginia, transfer and they

2266
01:51:29,640 --> 01:51:31,719
Speaker 5: got a couple other youngsters that are. Solid the offensive line's.

2267
01:51:31,760 --> 01:51:35,040
Speaker 5: Okay the biggest question is Was julian saying going to

2268
01:51:35,080 --> 01:51:36,960
Speaker 5: be able to take that? STEP i think he. Has

2269
01:51:37,040 --> 01:51:38,560
Speaker 5: he looks like one of the best quarterbacks in the

2270
01:51:38,560 --> 01:51:42,000
Speaker 5: country right. Now that's going to be the question for

2271
01:51:42,080 --> 01:51:45,520
Speaker 5: him down the. Stretch can he continue to make strides

2272
01:51:45,600 --> 01:51:48,599
Speaker 5: because if he's better Than Will, howard this team's better

2273
01:51:48,640 --> 01:51:49,240
Speaker 5: than it was last.

2274
01:51:49,280 --> 01:51:49,680
Speaker 7: Year and that's.

2275
01:51:49,720 --> 01:51:53,360
Speaker 4: Scary all, right real, FAST i you Against Penn. STATE

2276
01:51:53,400 --> 01:51:56,160
Speaker 4: i see what you guys have. Done you filibustered long

2277
01:51:56,280 --> 01:51:59,519
Speaker 4: enough so you can avoid talking about this terrible three

2278
01:51:59,560 --> 01:52:04,679
Speaker 4: and Five Nitney lions. Team but the betting, public they're

2279
01:52:04,840 --> 01:52:08,760
Speaker 4: mounting up and riding with The Nitney lions over, here

2280
01:52:08,920 --> 01:52:11,560
Speaker 4: right the hook is gone no longer fourteen and a

2281
01:52:11,640 --> 01:52:16,280
Speaker 4: half Now Penn state just fourteen point home. Underdogs the one, thing,

2282
01:52:16,320 --> 01:52:21,599
Speaker 4: though Is indiana has absolutely clabbered bad teams this, year

2283
01:52:22,120 --> 01:52:24,240
Speaker 4: and make no, Mistake Penn state is a bad football.

2284
01:52:24,280 --> 01:52:27,000
Speaker 4: Team so that's the scary. THING i you could open

2285
01:52:27,000 --> 01:52:29,840
Speaker 4: a can, today but, hey the hook is. Gone for

2286
01:52:29,880 --> 01:52:32,000
Speaker 4: what it's, worth there's some betters out, There they're, like

2287
01:52:32,000 --> 01:52:34,519
Speaker 4: give me The Nitney lions plus. Fourteen let's do. It

2288
01:52:35,600 --> 01:52:38,719
Speaker 4: so there you, Go, rich you have exactly One american

2289
01:52:38,760 --> 01:52:42,040
Speaker 4: minute to talk trash About Penn state or wax poetic ABOUT,

2290
01:52:42,080 --> 01:52:43,160
Speaker 4: iu whatever you'd like to.

2291
01:52:43,160 --> 01:52:46,240
Speaker 2: Do, Man i'd rather wax poetic ABOUT.

2292
01:52:46,320 --> 01:52:49,080
Speaker 1: Iu BUT i guess the easier, pull and probably the

2293
01:52:49,120 --> 01:52:52,240
Speaker 1: one everyone's waiting, for is me to talk bad About Penn.

2294
01:52:52,320 --> 01:52:55,679
Speaker 1: States i'll say, this the backfield has been a. Mess

2295
01:52:55,960 --> 01:53:00,839
Speaker 1: singleton has been an. MIA i, mean it's Been allen

2296
01:53:01,000 --> 01:53:04,400
Speaker 1: for the majority of the. Season After singleton turned into

2297
01:53:04,800 --> 01:53:07,519
Speaker 1: turned in just under eleven hundred yards rushing a season,

2298
01:53:07,560 --> 01:53:09,839
Speaker 1: ago he's averaging like less.

2299
01:53:09,600 --> 01:53:10,559
Speaker 2: Than four yards per.

2300
01:53:10,600 --> 01:53:12,439
Speaker 1: CARRY i don't know what it, is it's three point

2301
01:53:12,520 --> 01:53:16,280
Speaker 1: eight something like. That it's been kind of. Abysmal Drew

2302
01:53:16,360 --> 01:53:20,920
Speaker 1: aller's replacement a, Quarterback bachmeyer has been pretty, rough throwing.

2303
01:53:21,000 --> 01:53:24,240
Speaker 1: Interceptions in the two and a half games he's started

2304
01:53:24,280 --> 01:53:29,280
Speaker 1: now or played, In he's only completing just over sixty

2305
01:53:29,320 --> 01:53:33,840
Speaker 1: percent of his. Passes this offense is a struggle bus to. Watch,

2306
01:53:34,240 --> 01:53:37,840
Speaker 1: defensively Though Penn state still got a good. Defense they

2307
01:53:37,880 --> 01:53:40,439
Speaker 1: can wake up any. Time here's the. Question i'll leave

2308
01:53:40,479 --> 01:53:43,360
Speaker 1: it For jarrett to answer, it because My american minute is.

2309
01:53:43,439 --> 01:53:46,920
Speaker 1: Up is the defense good enough to slow down this

2310
01:53:47,280 --> 01:53:51,240
Speaker 1: machine That signetti has created With mendoza at the helm In.

2311
01:53:51,320 --> 01:53:56,000
Speaker 5: Indiana i'll give you a some nuggets that might make

2312
01:53:56,040 --> 01:53:59,000
Speaker 5: you think that they. CAN i don't know if they'll execute,

2313
01:53:59,040 --> 01:54:02,559
Speaker 5: it But mendoza's efficiency has dropped considerably under pressure this,

2314
01:54:02,640 --> 01:54:07,479
Speaker 5: year adjusted acuracy drops by about twenty, percent and against

2315
01:54:07,479 --> 01:54:08,680
Speaker 5: the blitz it drops by about ten.

2316
01:54:08,720 --> 01:54:11,280
Speaker 7: Percent, NOW i don't know.

2317
01:54:11,400 --> 01:54:13,559
Speaker 5: What Jim knowles is doing with his millions of dollars

2318
01:54:13,560 --> 01:54:15,799
Speaker 5: that he took From Penn state to take this defensive coordinator.

2319
01:54:15,920 --> 01:54:17,960
Speaker 5: JOB i guess it just takes a long time for

2320
01:54:18,000 --> 01:54:20,519
Speaker 5: this thing to settle in like, concrete or it's more,

2321
01:54:20,560 --> 01:54:23,720
Speaker 5: like you, know slow drying. Concrete but if they can

2322
01:54:23,800 --> 01:54:26,839
Speaker 5: get some pressure On. Mendoza they got a little pressure

2323
01:54:26,840 --> 01:54:29,519
Speaker 5: On saying last. Week BUT i think the receivers For

2324
01:54:29,600 --> 01:54:30,519
Speaker 5: Ohio state are just so.

2325
01:54:30,600 --> 01:54:31,479
Speaker 7: Good it's just.

2326
01:54:31,560 --> 01:54:34,680
Speaker 5: Hard indiana is not as talented at the receiver. Position

2327
01:54:34,840 --> 01:54:37,760
Speaker 5: AND i Heard sarots battling the. Injury so that's the

2328
01:54:37,800 --> 01:54:40,040
Speaker 5: path For Penn. State, right you drop back into his,

2329
01:54:40,120 --> 01:54:42,960
Speaker 5: zone you Confuse, mendoza you get some, pressure and you

2330
01:54:43,000 --> 01:54:45,280
Speaker 5: make a play defensively because this, offense.

2331
01:54:47,400 --> 01:54:53,760
Speaker 4: Yeah it's, bad it's, bad it's not very. Good we've

2332
01:54:53,760 --> 01:54:57,720
Speaker 4: Got Rich, Hornberger Penn State All, American Jared SMITH, fsr betting.

2333
01:54:57,760 --> 01:55:01,640
Speaker 4: Analyst i'm probably in no coming out next rapid. Fire

2334
01:55:01,840 --> 01:55:04,640
Speaker 4: we each have three selections for, you a, piece a

2335
01:55:04,680 --> 01:55:06,920
Speaker 4: bushel of. Picks we'll throw them all at you right

2336
01:55:06,920 --> 01:55:09,080
Speaker 4: around the. Corner it Is Fox Sports Radios countdown To,

2337
01:55:09,160 --> 01:55:13,640
Speaker 4: kickoff presented BY. Betmgm it Is Fox Sports Radios countdown To,

2338
01:55:13,720 --> 01:55:18,240
Speaker 4: kickoff presented by BET. Mgm if you missed any of today's,

2339
01:55:18,240 --> 01:55:21,760
Speaker 4: show you'll want to catch the. Podcast just Search Fox

2340
01:55:21,800 --> 01:55:24,800
Speaker 4: Sports radio wherever you get your. Podcasts right after the,

2341
01:55:24,800 --> 01:55:27,800
Speaker 4: show today's pod will be. Posted be sure to follow,

2342
01:55:27,800 --> 01:55:30,160
Speaker 4: it rate it five, stars and you can even provide a.

2343
01:55:30,200 --> 01:55:30,560
Speaker 2: Review.

2344
01:55:30,640 --> 01:55:33,400
Speaker 4: Again just Search Fox Sports radio wherever you get your,

2345
01:55:33,440 --> 01:55:36,400
Speaker 4: podcasts and you'll find today's full show posted right after

2346
01:55:36,440 --> 01:55:39,440
Speaker 4: we get off the. Year props to the. Crew our

2347
01:55:39,440 --> 01:55:44,440
Speaker 4: trusted Producer Bo benson The Dodger Zone. Pod bo is

2348
01:55:44,480 --> 01:55:48,160
Speaker 4: watching highlights Of game seven thinking The dodgers are still

2349
01:55:48,160 --> 01:55:51,160
Speaker 4: somehow going to. Lose it's. Crazy check them out on his,

2350
01:55:51,200 --> 01:55:56,440
Speaker 4: Podcast Awesome. Dude technical Producer Extraordinary Chris purfet doing work

2351
01:55:56,480 --> 01:55:59,920
Speaker 4: Today gollin's right and be locked in tomorrow and Is Troy.

2352
01:56:00,080 --> 01:56:03,960
Speaker 4: Lions that's. Right that's how we always end our discussions

2353
01:56:04,000 --> 01:56:06,760
Speaker 4: each week is Go. Loins that's. It then we cut

2354
01:56:06,800 --> 01:56:09,280
Speaker 4: out and we leave and go our separate. Ways shout

2355
01:56:09,280 --> 01:56:11,920
Speaker 4: out to our Guy sager on digital posting our. Clips

2356
01:56:12,200 --> 01:56:15,360
Speaker 4: Give Fox Sports radio a follow ON x you'll see our,

2357
01:56:15,440 --> 01:56:17,840
Speaker 4: videos all of our, picks all that good. Stuff top

2358
01:56:17,840 --> 01:56:21,640
Speaker 4: of the, hour up on GAME Tj, Huschman, Zada, Plexico.

2359
01:56:21,720 --> 01:56:24,280
Speaker 4: Burus they have got you. Covered keep a locked right

2360
01:56:24,320 --> 01:56:27,600
Speaker 4: here On Fox Sports. Radio all, right we got some

2361
01:56:27,640 --> 01:56:28,960
Speaker 4: picks to. Bake let's do it.

2362
01:56:31,880 --> 01:56:32,240
Speaker 2: Rapid.

2363
01:56:32,400 --> 01:56:35,280
Speaker 4: Fire all, Right, jared we start with.

2364
01:56:35,360 --> 01:56:35,800
Speaker 2: You what do you?

2365
01:56:35,960 --> 01:56:36,040
Speaker 10: Like?

2366
01:56:36,600 --> 01:56:37,440
Speaker 2: WELL i, suck.

2367
01:56:37,560 --> 01:56:39,760
Speaker 5: GUYS i don't Think i've want to bet in like

2368
01:56:39,800 --> 01:56:42,200
Speaker 5: a month on this. Show it's been a weird. Year

2369
01:56:43,480 --> 01:56:46,600
Speaker 5: i'm nine and twenty one on the. Season it's actually.

2370
01:56:46,640 --> 01:56:48,680
Speaker 5: Crazy i'm not having that bad of a year in

2371
01:56:49,080 --> 01:56:50,880
Speaker 5: all of college, football but just on this show with

2372
01:56:50,920 --> 01:56:51,600
Speaker 5: these Rapid fire.

2373
01:56:51,640 --> 01:56:53,240
Speaker 7: Picks so what happens when you're in the? Slump what

2374
01:56:53,280 --> 01:56:55,040
Speaker 7: DO i? DO i just keep things really.

2375
01:56:55,040 --> 01:56:57,480
Speaker 5: Simple i'm gonna pick five and a half points With

2376
01:56:57,560 --> 01:56:59,600
Speaker 5: iola in this. Game it's down from six and a half.

2377
01:56:59,640 --> 01:57:00,840
Speaker 7: EARLIER i don't.

2378
01:57:00,880 --> 01:57:02,520
Speaker 5: CARE i think it's gonna keep dropping BECAUSE i think

2379
01:57:02,520 --> 01:57:03,960
Speaker 5: The oregon offensive injuries are pretty.

2380
01:57:03,960 --> 01:57:05,360
Speaker 7: SUBSTANTIAL i Think.

2381
01:57:05,280 --> 01:57:09,880
Speaker 5: Oregon offensively is going to struggle against WHAT i think

2382
01:57:09,920 --> 01:57:10,960
Speaker 5: is a pretty Good iowa zone.

2383
01:57:11,000 --> 01:57:12,640
Speaker 7: Defense So i'll take the points With.

2384
01:57:12,640 --> 01:57:14,520
Speaker 5: Iowa i'll take the points With ukon today plus seven

2385
01:57:14,520 --> 01:57:17,080
Speaker 5: and a half Against. Duke we heard about this in

2386
01:57:17,120 --> 01:57:19,160
Speaker 5: the shamous special Segment.

2387
01:57:18,840 --> 01:57:19,840
Speaker 7: Who's the bonus pick?

2388
01:57:19,880 --> 01:57:22,480
Speaker 5: Today BUT i was hot and heavy on This yukon

2389
01:57:22,600 --> 01:57:24,760
Speaker 5: team coming into the. WEEK i think it's a look

2390
01:57:24,800 --> 01:57:27,800
Speaker 5: ahead spot For. Duke yukon played him tough At duke last.

2391
01:57:27,840 --> 01:57:29,240
Speaker 5: Year now they get a home game in a, weird

2392
01:57:29,240 --> 01:57:31,000
Speaker 5: tricky spot with a look ahead next week For.

2393
01:57:31,120 --> 01:57:33,040
Speaker 7: Virginia SO i Think duke is going to be a

2394
01:57:33,040 --> 01:57:33,840
Speaker 7: little bit off their game.

2395
01:57:33,880 --> 01:57:35,360
Speaker 5: Today i'll take You coup plus seven and a half

2396
01:57:35,360 --> 01:57:37,120
Speaker 5: And i'll take the over fifty four and a. HALF

2397
01:57:37,200 --> 01:57:40,480
Speaker 5: Smu Boston College fast Versus, fast both teams top ten and.

2398
01:57:40,560 --> 01:57:43,400
Speaker 5: TEMPO smu coming off that crazy win Over, MIAMI i

2399
01:57:43,400 --> 01:57:45,640
Speaker 5: think they will be a little bit lighter on the

2400
01:57:45,640 --> 01:57:48,480
Speaker 5: defensive effort, today And Boston college defense is, terrible averaging

2401
01:57:48,480 --> 01:57:49,000
Speaker 5: thirty three per.

2402
01:57:49,120 --> 01:57:51,040
Speaker 2: Year all, right very.

2403
01:57:51,040 --> 01:57:53,280
Speaker 1: Good, Actually i'm going to keep it pretty simple here,

2404
01:57:53,360 --> 01:57:57,080
Speaker 1: too with my rapid fire picks as. Well Amon Hardy

2405
01:57:57,480 --> 01:58:01,160
Speaker 1: miszoo running back against THIS a AND. Mv don't overthink.

2406
01:58:01,200 --> 01:58:05,120
Speaker 1: It he's had a slowdown since ENTERING sec. Play he's

2407
01:58:05,160 --> 01:58:08,200
Speaker 1: still great at breaking tackles And TEXAS a AND m

2408
01:58:08,320 --> 01:58:09,720
Speaker 1: is a poor tackling.

2409
01:58:09,800 --> 01:58:11,400
Speaker 2: Team room for explosives.

2410
01:58:11,400 --> 01:58:14,360
Speaker 1: There i'm going over ninety two and a half rushing

2411
01:58:14,440 --> 01:58:18,520
Speaker 1: yards from Madd Hardy Iowa oregon the same. GAME jad

2412
01:58:18,560 --> 01:58:21,800
Speaker 1: was just talking about the total set at forty two

2413
01:58:21,840 --> 01:58:21,960
Speaker 1: and a.

2414
01:58:22,000 --> 01:58:22,760
Speaker 2: Half i'm taking the.

2415
01:58:22,840 --> 01:58:26,080
Speaker 1: Over here's, WHY i think That dante more is going

2416
01:58:26,160 --> 01:58:28,400
Speaker 1: to have the things he likes taking away from. Him

2417
01:58:28,520 --> 01:58:31,000
Speaker 1: oregon's going to be relying on the run. Game we

2418
01:58:31,080 --> 01:58:33,080
Speaker 1: KNOW i was going to rely on the run, game

2419
01:58:33,400 --> 01:58:35,640
Speaker 1: So i'll take the. OVER i think points will be

2420
01:58:35,760 --> 01:58:40,320
Speaker 1: scored in this. Game Notre dame team total over forty

2421
01:58:40,360 --> 01:58:42,680
Speaker 1: two and a, half or excuse, me over forty one

2422
01:58:42,760 --> 01:58:45,280
Speaker 1: and a. Half i'm taking that number BECAUSE i don't

2423
01:58:45,320 --> 01:58:48,360
Speaker 1: think The midshipmen are going to score a, point so

2424
01:58:48,680 --> 01:58:50,600
Speaker 1: you may as well put it all On Notre. Dame,

2425
01:58:50,640 --> 01:58:55,120
Speaker 1: anyways they play zero defense and no. OFFENSE i salute

2426
01:58:55,280 --> 01:58:58,800
Speaker 1: our brave arm service, members but that is a sinking

2427
01:58:58,840 --> 01:59:02,480
Speaker 1: ship At. Navy i'm Going Notre dame over their team

2428
01:59:02,840 --> 01:59:03,880
Speaker 1: total forty one and a.

2429
01:59:03,920 --> 01:59:08,200
Speaker 4: Half nothing, personal just business, here, right rich, Business we're

2430
01:59:08,200 --> 01:59:10,400
Speaker 4: pretty much on the same side. Here i'm gonna take

2431
01:59:10,440 --> 01:59:13,520
Speaker 4: The Navy Notre dame. Over i'm gonna go over fifty

2432
01:59:13,520 --> 01:59:16,800
Speaker 4: five and a. Half navy is not going to come

2433
01:59:16,880 --> 01:59:19,440
Speaker 4: close to Stopping Notre dames. Defense they're one hundred and

2434
01:59:19,520 --> 01:59:22,879
Speaker 4: third and points giving up per. Drive that their defense.

2435
01:59:23,040 --> 01:59:26,120
Speaker 4: Sucks Notre dame is gonna dice them up something, nasty

2436
01:59:26,480 --> 01:59:28,880
Speaker 4: AND i just don't Trust Notre dames defense to be locked,

2437
01:59:28,880 --> 01:59:32,480
Speaker 4: in you, know assignment football all game. Long chris ash

2438
01:59:32,680 --> 01:59:35,680
Speaker 4: has his detractors with good. Reason i'll take over fifty

2439
01:59:35,680 --> 01:59:38,680
Speaker 4: five and a. Half this is a little bit, daring

2440
01:59:39,320 --> 01:59:41,600
Speaker 4: but you gotta be daring in rapid. Fire give Me

2441
01:59:41,680 --> 01:59:44,440
Speaker 4: clemson minus a point and a half Against Florida. State

2442
01:59:44,520 --> 01:59:49,920
Speaker 4: Here clemson is trying to avoid their fifth home. Loss let's,

2443
01:59:49,960 --> 01:59:52,720
Speaker 4: see Like i'm looking at these mock, DRAFTS a bunch

2444
01:59:52,720 --> 01:59:55,160
Speaker 4: Of clemson dudes in the first round left and right

2445
01:59:55,240 --> 01:59:57,520
Speaker 4: like The Florida. States this is their third road. Game

2446
01:59:57,800 --> 02:00:00,480
Speaker 4: they also lost A. Stanford you, Know i'll Take clemson

2447
02:00:00,520 --> 02:00:03,200
Speaker 4: minus a point and a. Half and, MAN i really

2448
02:00:03,240 --> 02:00:06,160
Speaker 4: want to get in on THIS byu. GAME i want

2449
02:00:06,160 --> 02:00:06,560
Speaker 4: to FADE.

2450
02:00:06,720 --> 02:00:06,920
Speaker 2: Lj.

2451
02:00:07,040 --> 02:00:08,440
Speaker 4: MARTIN i don't know if he's. PLAYING i want to

2452
02:00:08,480 --> 02:00:10,480
Speaker 4: go Under Baron. Morton i'm not gonna do. That i'm

2453
02:00:10,520 --> 02:00:13,720
Speaker 4: gonna Take Josh, hoover THE tcu quarterback going up against

2454
02:00:13,720 --> 02:00:17,000
Speaker 4: the banged UP isu secondary over two seventy three and

2455
02:00:17,000 --> 02:00:17,280
Speaker 4: a half