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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading the corn ten seconds

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Speaker 2: of eating. So just go show up to the basket.

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Speaker 3: Under the basket. It's the truth for the wind.

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Speaker 2: God, they go a barracle. I'm just it's up the water.

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Speaker 3: Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 2: Shuck it all. It's college basketball.

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Speaker 1: It's not the size on the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 2: It's the size of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 4: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 4: on Campus Podcast. This is the weekend college basketball betting preview.

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Speaker 4: I'm Stucky and with me as always is BJ Cunningham.

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Speaker 2: BJ. How goes it?

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Speaker 5: Wonderful? It's snowing quite a bit here in Iowa.

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Speaker 6: I know you're on the island, so I'm sure the

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Speaker 6: weather's it's just beautiful there where you are. But we're

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Speaker 6: in this stretch run. This is the final weekend of

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Speaker 6: a full slate of college basketball game before Conference Turney starts.

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Speaker 6: So it's it's crunch time.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm in the opposite of rain. A lot of

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Speaker 4: people don't know rub is actually a desert island. It's

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Speaker 4: like people think it's like tropical and but you have

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Speaker 4: the resorts on one side of it, and on the

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Speaker 4: other side, the entire island it's just a desert that

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Speaker 4: you can't live there. There's just like a couple of

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Speaker 4: fishing huts. But the thing we took ATVs out on

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Speaker 4: a tour on that entire side through like the desert

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Speaker 4: just you get so dusty. It is awesome though, and

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Speaker 4: you go through nice you know, it's all on the

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Speaker 4: ocean along the coastline. It's a completely different world than

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Speaker 4: like the tourism or rub side. But they only get

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Speaker 4: they get barely any rain all year. So yeah, it's

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Speaker 4: been a nice uh grinding white hoops stille, but it's

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Speaker 4: been a nice getaway before the craziness. I returned tomorrow

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Speaker 4: and we are less than a week away from March.

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Speaker 4: I'm so excited. It's my favorite month of the year.

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Speaker 4: This will be a shorter episode. I am away and

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Speaker 4: we have so we don't have the guests this week.

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Speaker 4: We will have some guests in March, and we have

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Speaker 4: just a loaded schedule next week for conference championships. Next week, well,

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Speaker 4: actually next week we'll have our three normal episodes on Monday, Wednesday, Friday,

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Speaker 4: but we'll be covering the Three Man We's on Wednesday, myself,

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Speaker 4: Mike cal Breese, and BJA on Monday, and then we'll

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Speaker 4: be back next Friday, same content as a normal, plus

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Speaker 4: we'll be covering the conference twineaments that start on the

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Speaker 4: day or two thereafter, and then the following week myself, Bjay, Mike,

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Speaker 4: Colin Leadership, and then all the guys from Three Man Wes.

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Speaker 4: I'll be hosting episodes and we'll preview all of the

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Speaker 4: conference championships. I think there's like fourteen or fifteen that's

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Speaker 4: start the week of March seven. So we're gonna have

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Speaker 4: just loaded two weeks of episodes of Big Bets on Campus.

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Speaker 4: To make sure you subscribe on Subscribe to subscribe Leve Review.

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Speaker 4: We'll fit some giveaways in over the next week or so.

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Speaker 2: As well, So today we'll have Colin check in with us.

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Speaker 4: Later in the show, we'll obviously have our Friday Night

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Speaker 4: six pack as usual with the guys from the Three

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Speaker 4: Man Weave, but I think Colin's going to dial it

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Speaker 4: in a little bit.

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Speaker 2: So let's just well, first the week that was.

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Speaker 4: It's a high level takeaway or anything that you're looking

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Speaker 4: forward to in terms of, you know, a certain team

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Speaker 4: or anything anywhere you want to go. I'll give you

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Speaker 4: the leeway. What's on your mind from what you've seen

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Speaker 4: over the past week.

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Speaker 6: Well, it's it has to be fresh on the mind.

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Speaker 6: After Wednesday night, Providence does it again. I don't even

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Speaker 6: know what to say. At this point.

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Speaker 2: They're winning at all.

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Speaker 4: They're beating Kentucky one hundred and sixty one to one

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Speaker 4: hundred and sixty in the National Championship and seventeen overtimes.

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Speaker 5: It's sentencedone last three wins all and over time.

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Speaker 6: Just even before the game against the Paul, everybody's talking about,

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Speaker 6: oh my gosh, like this Providence teams so lucky, how

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Speaker 6: can they keep doing it? Well, they just took it

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Speaker 6: to a whole new level. So it's going to be

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Speaker 6: very I mean, I don't know at this point. Like

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Speaker 6: I'm looking at them playing Creighton on Saturday, and I'm like, yeah,

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Speaker 6: I love Creighton, But the game is probably end up

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Speaker 6: going to overtime and Providence is gonna win by you know,

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Speaker 6: six or seven points, end up covering, and it's just

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Speaker 6: going to be yet another situation for Theere. The Friars

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Speaker 6: are just gonna be sitting there at what twenty four

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Speaker 6: and three basically going into the stretch runs. So Providence

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Speaker 6: does it again. It's outside of that, pretty straightforward. I

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Speaker 6: would say a week that was this weekend's at a

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Speaker 6: fantastic slate. There's a ton of really good games. So

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Speaker 6: this it's it's crunch time now as we get into

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Speaker 6: the conference journeys.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, enjoy the last full Saturday of you know, your

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Speaker 4: last huge Saturday slate before conference tournaments. Fire away. Providence, Yeah,

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Speaker 4: has crate. They have a two game lead in the base,

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Speaker 4: but they lost to Villanova earlier this year. They played

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Speaker 4: Creighton at home. They can lock everything up and then

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Speaker 4: they're at Villanova. So if they slip up against Creighton

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Speaker 4: and then you know, Villanova takes care of business against

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Speaker 4: Providence and then Butler and Villanova is a week off

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Speaker 4: before that Providence game, and then Villa the close out

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Speaker 4: with win a Butler, which has been a house of

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Speaker 4: ours for them at some points. Then they would actually

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Speaker 4: win the one seed because of the tiberger By sleeper

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Speaker 4: and Providence. But yeah, Providence pulls out another close one.

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Speaker 4: I have to give a shout out to my cats.

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Speaker 4: I know they didn't cover, but just two really impressive

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Speaker 4: wins against Alabama and LSU shorthanded, and I love what

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Speaker 4: Cal's doing.

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Speaker 2: Rest rest, rest, Wheeler, just get healthy for March.

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Speaker 4: And they're seeing anxiety and being hurt because they're they're

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Speaker 4: winning these games. But with that Wheeler in Washington, after

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Speaker 4: really slow starts, they come back, they beat Alabama and

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Speaker 4: they beat else you know, Grant, both of those games

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Speaker 4: were at home, but I thought it really highlighted and

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Speaker 4: showcase their depth. You had obviously Grady go off in

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Speaker 4: one game, Bryce Hopkins showing last game, who had thirteen

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Speaker 4: points in like a really critical stretch in the second half.

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Speaker 4: I don't know if he had may maybe maybe thirteen

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Speaker 4: points in the twenty twenty two. I mean, he's barely

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Speaker 4: been playing at all. So it's really showcasing their depth.

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Speaker 4: And I think Kentucky will be better off come tournament

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Speaker 4: time because of this stretch run dealing with all the injuries.

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Speaker 2: Now that said, they need they just need to be healthy,

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Speaker 2: they need wheel Er, they need Watch.

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Speaker 4: To win it all, that's the obvious goal. But just

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Speaker 4: these depth pieces, getting all this experience in big games

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Speaker 4: throughout SEC play, I think is enormous. So I'm feeling

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Speaker 4: pretty good about my Kentucky future, which is still my

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Speaker 4: blown future.

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Speaker 6: Well more importantly, we'll ask Colin in a second, but

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Speaker 6: how are you feeling about the big bets on Campus

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Speaker 6: Bowl on Saturday, Kentucky Arkansas.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm actually leaning Arkansas there. I don't now. My

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Speaker 4: hypothesis is that, like Kentucky has Florida, I mean Mississippi

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Speaker 4: at home next after at Arkansas, and then they're at

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Speaker 4: Florida next Saturday. So if I had to guess, they

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Speaker 4: sit Wheeler in Washington again here, and then they sit

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Speaker 4: them again at home against Old mess which they can

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Speaker 4: win without them, and then you play them, you know

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Speaker 4: Sastraco season game with Florida going into the SEC Tournament

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Speaker 4: and then kind of get repped up from there.

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Speaker 2: So I think the line will come up.

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Speaker 4: It'll be back, it'll be down to like a game

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Speaker 4: time decision again, and then it'll you'll see reports on

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Speaker 4: Twitter that'll say like they're not warming up right, and

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Speaker 4: then the line I think will come down. So I'm

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Speaker 4: probably gonna bet Arkansas here. I don't I'm curious for

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Speaker 4: I mean, Kemball makes a three, uh Kentucky at Kentucky

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Speaker 4: minus three, I think it'll probably come out like Kentucky

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Speaker 4: minus one and then flipped Arkansas minus one immediately, and

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Speaker 4: then they'll be ruled out and then they'll be like

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Speaker 4: Arkansas minus three. So I'm gonna try to bet Arkansas early.

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Speaker 4: I could be wrong. They both could play. I also

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Speaker 4: think they both play. They're not fully healthy. I just

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Speaker 4: don't think it makes sense for them to play. I

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Speaker 4: don't want them to play. So I think Arkansas, who's

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Speaker 4: been rolling. They they've covered nine straight.

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Speaker 6: Now yeah, now they Arkansas is a three game lead

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Speaker 6: over Alabama for the last buy in the SEC Tournament.

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Speaker 5: So it's you know, it's kind of both ways where

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Speaker 5: that yes.

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Speaker 6: It matters, but also kind of not really because you're

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Speaker 6: getting to buy no matter what.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, but it will be a hype home spot

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Speaker 2: for to play Kentucky.

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Speaker 4: And I mean, what the way where Arkansas is headed,

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Speaker 4: the way that they're trending. I mean you could see

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Speaker 4: them if they continue winning and close out the SEC tournament,

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Speaker 4: they could end up with like a four seed. And

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Speaker 4: if you said that a month ago, you, I mean,

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Speaker 4: this is a team that I mean people were like,

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Speaker 4: are they going to make the tournament at one point

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Speaker 4: this year? So yeah, they are surging, and it all

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Speaker 4: it all goes back to that when Musselman changed the

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Speaker 4: lineup when they were really struggling, and then we were

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Speaker 4: trying to figure out, okay, it was Missouri, but they

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Speaker 4: came out and they beat Missouri by like fifty and

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Speaker 4: then ever since that game they have been on an

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Speaker 4: absolute role. The only game they lost is that Alabama

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Speaker 4: game at album by one. The Hogs are in a role.

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Speaker 4: I think I'm gonna probably bet them early. So that's

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Speaker 4: good transition. Let's jump right into Saturday and we'll talk

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Speaker 4: about some spots that we have circled.

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Speaker 1: So many games, so little time.

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Speaker 4: Let's look at the Saturday slate.

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Speaker 2: I'll let you lead off.

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Speaker 4: As I've mentioned before, we don't talk about these ahead

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Speaker 4: of time or share what we have and makes it

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Speaker 4: more authentic. So if we have duplicates, I will adjust

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Speaker 4: or build on your case or disagree. So let's start

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Speaker 4: with a sell high candeedy for Saturday slate or just

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Speaker 4: in general moving forward, what do you got?

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I want to go to the mid Major. I'm

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Speaker 6: going to go to the Big South Conference. It's Longwood.

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Speaker 6: They're currently leading the Big South. I think they've already

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Speaker 6: clinched it. They're fourteen and one in conference play this season.

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Speaker 6: They're the number one seed. This game on Saturday, They're

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Speaker 6: going to play Campbell roll Humps. They're one of the

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Speaker 6: luckiest teams in college basketball. Twelve of their fourteen conference

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Speaker 6: wins have come by eight points or less. Campbell is

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Speaker 6: the unluckiest team in the Big South Conference fifteen eleven

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Speaker 6: actual record, nineteen and seven shot quality record.

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Speaker 5: When these two teams.

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Speaker 6: Met the first time, Campbell actually had a nine point

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Speaker 6: lead in the second half and then Longwood just use

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Speaker 6: their magic to come all the.

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Speaker 5: Way back and win by eight.

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Speaker 6: Longwood spends a ton of time in transition, but they

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Speaker 6: aren't really efficient doing so. If they sit around the

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Speaker 6: middle of the pack in terms of points for possession,

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Speaker 6: which is good for Campbell because they struggle in transition defense.

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Speaker 6: Longwood defense really isn't that good for being fourteen to

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Speaker 6: one in conference by They're seventh in the Big South

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Speaker 6: in adjust the defensive efficiency, and Campbell should be able

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Speaker 6: to torch them inside like they did in the first

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Speaker 6: meeting when they shot sixty seven percent from two point range.

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Speaker 6: Campbell also second in the conference in two point field

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Speaker 6: goal percentage. We all a long with tenth and also

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Speaker 6: allowing sixty one percent at the rim. Ken Bom makes

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Speaker 6: this Campbell minus one. You might get a little bit

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Speaker 6: of inflated line on Campbell because the game really doesn't

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Speaker 6: mean anything too Longwood, because I believe they have a

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Speaker 6: one game lead over winthro up for the number one

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Speaker 6: seed and the head to head against them, So I'll

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Speaker 6: play the fighting Campbell's up to minus three. But yeah,

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Speaker 6: Longwood's going to be a team I'm definitely be fading

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Speaker 6: in the Big South Tournament.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I like this, and you know, I'm not sure

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Speaker 4: you're going to what you're going to see from Longwood.

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Speaker 2: You got to remember in these spots when teams have

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Speaker 2: already clinched, say they might go all out, they might

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Speaker 2: wrest some guys.

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Speaker 4: As far as Campbell is concerned, it's their last regal

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Speaker 4: season game of the season at home, the one of

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Speaker 4: the most experienced teams in the country, a lot of

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Speaker 4: seniors on that team, so I think that this is

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Speaker 4: a really good spot for them to revenge from a

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Speaker 4: loss earlier this year when they lost at Longwood. Campbell's

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Speaker 4: pretty good shooting team. They were five of twenty two

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Speaker 4: from three that game, so I agree. I would love

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Speaker 4: to get them minus one here against Longwood, the Lancers

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Speaker 4: from Farmville, Virginia. I'm going to go with a day

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Speaker 4: just so I'm gonna sell high. I'm going to sell

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Speaker 4: North Texas, who is.

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Speaker 2: Absolutely rolling of late.

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Speaker 4: They have won now inside the top forty on Kempom.

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Speaker 4: They have won twelve in a row since losing at

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Speaker 4: home to UAB. That includes a one point winner for

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Speaker 4: Louisiana Tech. But they will play on Saturday, and I'm

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Speaker 4: assuming North Texas will have won thirteen in a row

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Speaker 4: by the time you're listening to us to play Southern

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Speaker 4: Miss tonight. One of the worst teams in the country.

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Speaker 4: North Text's like twenty point favorites. Louisiana Tech is going

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Speaker 4: to go to Denton and they lost earlier this year.

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Speaker 4: Double revenge Louisiana Tech. I think they'd had this game

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Speaker 4: circled last year they lost. They were the number one

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Speaker 4: seed Louisiana Tech. They lost in the Semis to North

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Speaker 4: Texas and a grinder. Earlier this year they lost on

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Speaker 4: Tyler Perry was excellent for North Texas toit a three

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Speaker 4: in the final seconds, and North Texas won by one

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Speaker 4: Louisiana Tech led that game in the second half. By seventeen,

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Speaker 4: They've blow a seventeen point lead to North Texas. They

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Speaker 4: have had this game circled. KEMPN has this at nine.

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Speaker 4: I would die for nine. I think this is actually

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Speaker 4: a decent matchup for Louisiana Tech. I think Laughton can

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Speaker 4: have success inside and this is where you really want

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Speaker 4: to fade North Texas. And you've seen North Texas have

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Speaker 4: a ton of success in close games, like they beat

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Speaker 4: Flarida Atlantic by three. They just beat you ab by one.

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Speaker 4: They beat Louisiana Tech, as I mentioned before, by one.

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Speaker 4: This is a team that plays super slow. They're now

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Speaker 4: dead last and justin tempo, they're slower than Virginia and

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Speaker 4: they grind you down. They make you play their style,

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Speaker 4: but they play sou so the possessions are limited and

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Speaker 4: it gets really good too laying eight with them. They're

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Speaker 4: also really besides Perry, no one could shoot free throws,

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Speaker 4: so that could come into.

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Speaker 2: Play as well.

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Speaker 4: They're outside the top three hundred in free throw percentage,

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Speaker 4: so I think this is a great spot to sell

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Speaker 4: North Texas high. North Texas is one of those teams

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Speaker 4: because of how they play. They're kind of immune to

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Speaker 4: home road.

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Speaker 2: Splits like it.

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Speaker 4: They're just going to control the temple. They kind of

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Speaker 4: take opposing crowds out of the game. So like the

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Speaker 4: difference between you know, them catching one on the road

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Speaker 4: and them laying you know, say seven or eight at

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Speaker 4: home is massive because it's just low possession game. It

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Speaker 4: doesn't matter when they go on the road. They struggle

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Speaker 4: from the line. I think Louisiana Tech has had this

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Speaker 4: circle since last year. Then they blow the seventeen point lead.

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Speaker 4: I think this is a super smash spot for Low Tech.

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Speaker 4: I would love to get seven plush. So I am

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Speaker 4: rolling with the Bulldogs on the road in conference to USA.

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Speaker 6: Yeah or texts they played only a seven man rotation, right,

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Speaker 6: so it's it's pretty they And I'm looking at the

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Speaker 6: box gard from last time.

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Speaker 5: Three starters had for four fouls in the game. So

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Speaker 5: it's it's gonna get a little tricky if.

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Speaker 6: Those guys started getting foul trouble h for any you know,

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Speaker 6: obviously they've been very good during this run, but you

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Speaker 6: get a team that can get to the line as well.

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Speaker 6: You know, I'm not sure what Louisian is at free

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Speaker 6: throw rate. But pretty good, actually top close to top

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Speaker 6: one hundred. So if they can get North text in

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Speaker 6: foul trouble, it's gonna it's gonna be a huge advantage

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Speaker 6: for them.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and North Texas excellent, like Gretmick Castle an excellent coach.

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Speaker 4: They're excellent defense. But I mean they're shooting close to

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Speaker 4: forty two from three in conference play, and they they

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Speaker 4: don't take a ton of threes and they're holding opponents

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Speaker 4: to twenty eight point six percent.

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Speaker 2: They're always going to be up there, but there might

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Speaker 2: be a little bit of regression cover. I think this

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Speaker 2: is a really good spot for Louisiana Tech.

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Speaker 4: All right, let's go on the other end of the

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Speaker 4: spectrum by low what you gotta circle there.

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Speaker 6: I'm gonna builo on Xavier coming off that triple overtime

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Speaker 6: loss to Providence. They're sitting at seven and nine in

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Speaker 6: the Big East now, but they got a big time

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Speaker 6: revenge spot on Saturday at home against Seaton Hall, who

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Speaker 6: they lost by two against earlier this season. The biggest

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Speaker 6: difference in that game is Xavier got killed on the

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Speaker 6: offensive last seventeen to four, which is quite surprising to

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Speaker 6: Xavier is the number one team in the Big East

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Speaker 6: in defensive rebounding percentage in Xavier is one of these

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Speaker 6: teams that can actually match Seaton Hall size inside. Seaton

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Speaker 6: Hall has been pretty terrible given the size they have

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Speaker 6: scoring inside.

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Speaker 5: They're outside the top three hundred in both two.

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Speaker 6: Point field goal percentage and field goal percentage at the rim,

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Speaker 6: and that was the case in the first meeting.

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Speaker 5: Xavier held them.

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Speaker 6: To forty four percent from inside the arc, and the

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Speaker 6: Muskier shot sixty percent themselves inside the arc against Jetna

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Speaker 6: and those type of size and sides. So I think

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Speaker 6: it's a decent spot here for Xavier. You know, a

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Speaker 6: win puts them ahead of Seaton Hall in the Big

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Speaker 6: East standing so ken Palm has said Xavier minus three.

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Speaker 6: I'd obviously love the musk Tiers at minus three, but

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Speaker 6: all it probably end up playing them up to minus four.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, getting Nate Johnson back would help as well. And

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Speaker 4: I guess you also don't want Bryce Akin to play

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Speaker 4: for Seaton Hall. He hasn't played in a while. I

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Speaker 4: don't know if they're just holding him for postseason, but

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Speaker 4: I would assume both of these teams are safely in

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Speaker 4: the field. I think they're like projected as seven or

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Speaker 4: eight seeds, although it doesn't it with Xavier. It just

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Speaker 4: doesn't feel like they're playing like a DRMIT team. They've

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Speaker 4: lost five of six, they've lost that luster at home.

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Speaker 4: But I do think this is a really good spot

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Speaker 4: to get them at home in a revenge spot against

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Speaker 4: Seaton Hall and again.

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Speaker 2: They lost by two on the road earlier this year.

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Speaker 4: Like it for my by Low, I'm going to go

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Speaker 4: with a team that has been straight cash at home

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Speaker 4: all year, and that's Rutgers.

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Speaker 2: I know that.

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Speaker 4: Look, I mean Rutgers is what they're six and oh

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Speaker 4: against the top thirty five on KEM bomb at home

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Speaker 4: this year six and oh show up. I think six

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Speaker 4: and oh against the spread as well. And I know

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Speaker 4: that Wisconsin. They beat Wisconsin at Wisconsin, which is one

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Speaker 4: of the crazy results of here when you consider just

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Speaker 4: home roads puts of Rutgers. So I know that Wisconsin

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Speaker 4: has revenge here. But you know, and the reason I'm

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Speaker 4: saying by Low, Rutgers lost by twelve at Purdue, and

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Speaker 4: they lost by nine a short handed Michigan. Two share

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Speaker 4: losses on the road, they come home here. This is

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Speaker 4: a team that's not They have some really good wins

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Speaker 4: but they still need to close the year out strong. Yes,

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Speaker 4: Wisconsin has revenge. Wisconsin is one three straight. They barelyagd

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Speaker 4: out a win over Minnesota, they beat Michigan, and they

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Speaker 4: beat Indiana on a Indiana collapse. But I think they'll

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Speaker 4: be focused here. They do have Purdue on deck, which

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Speaker 4: it could be an enormous game in the Big Ten standings,

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Speaker 4: So maybe there's a little bit of a look away.

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Speaker 4: But I just really like the matchup Rookers. I think

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Speaker 4: one of the reasons that they were able to win

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Speaker 4: at Wisconsin is Caleb McConnell's defense. He is one of

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Speaker 4: the best individual defenders in that conference, and he locked

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Speaker 4: up Johnny Davis held him to eleven points.

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Speaker 2: Was I watched that game.

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Speaker 4: He was all over him and if you could take

383
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Speaker 4: him out, if you have someone I can match him

384
00:18:00,800 --> 00:18:02,480
Speaker 4: and you don't have to give too much help, this

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00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:06,560
Speaker 4: Wisconsin teem becomes very very pedestrian. So I think that

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Speaker 4: you know, Rutgers, who's just been a supernova at home

387
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Speaker 4: all year, they have a guy who can match up

388
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Speaker 4: with Davis. I think they can out physical Wisconsin here.

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Speaker 4: The Wisconsin team that has been I think they have

390
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Speaker 4: four more wins than they're projected on.

391
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Speaker 2: Shot quality.

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Speaker 4: Been pretty fortunate this year, So I like Rutgers at

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Speaker 4: home in the rat Why fix what's not broken or

394
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Speaker 4: whatever that's saying, is Rutgers at home. I've just been

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Speaker 4: money all year. Any thoughts there?

396
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Speaker 6: Yeah, it's interesting look at that box spot. Rutgers went

397
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Speaker 6: seven of twelve from behind the arc, which is pretty

398
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Speaker 6: good for them. And Wisconsin not a great three point

399
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Speaker 6: shooting team, so defending Davis, you know, defending the arc

400
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Speaker 6: is what Rutgers does pretty well. So and you just

401
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Speaker 6: nobody can win at the rack right now. So yeah,

402
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Speaker 6: it's definitely definitely a good spot for Rutgers and I

403
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Speaker 6: wouldn't hate them beating Wisconsin, So yeah, I love it.

404
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Speaker 2: All right, Let's move on a home dog? What hilm dog?

405
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Speaker 2: Do you have? Circle for Saturday? Uh?

406
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Speaker 6: This one makes me all nervous, but I'm gonna go

407
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Speaker 6: n C State at home in a rivalry game against

408
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Speaker 6: North Carolina. North Carolina feeling good after back to back

409
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Speaker 6: wins against Virginia Tech and Louisville.

410
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Speaker 5: They're right on the bubble, but I.

411
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Speaker 6: Think you're gonna get a pretty overvalued Tar Hills team

412
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Speaker 6: on Saturday in Raleigh the Wolfpacker. Look, they're in a

413
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Speaker 6: really bad run. They've lost seven of their last eight games.

414
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Speaker 6: They're four and thirteen in the ACC, but eight of

415
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Speaker 6: their fourteen losses this season the ACC have come by

416
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Speaker 6: less than eight points, so it's not like they're just

417
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Speaker 6: a completely hopeless team. This is also a big revenge

418
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Speaker 6: spot because North Carolina hung a hundred points on NC

419
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Speaker 6: State and Chapel Hill embarrassed them.

420
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Speaker 2: Just shot anything they were, Anything they put up in

421
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Speaker 2: the air was going there.

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Speaker 6: Fifteen of twenty seven from three, just unbelievable. Obviously, North

423
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Speaker 6: Conin's a good three point shooting team, but outside of

424
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Speaker 6: the three point shooting, really, if you look at it

425
00:19:52,280 --> 00:19:54,359
Speaker 6: there in terms of, like you know, two point field

426
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Speaker 6: goal percentage, offensive rebounding, turnovers, free throws, it was all

427
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Speaker 6: actually pretty even. Just basically North Carolina shot lights out nothing.

428
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Speaker 6: Also one of the luckier teams in the ACC, three

429
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Speaker 6: more wins than they actually should have per shot quality.

430
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Speaker 5: And this is basically NC State season.

431
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Speaker 6: They're eleven and seventeen, they're not going to the tournament,

432
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Speaker 6: and it is a rivalry game at home, a revenge spot,

433
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Speaker 6: so I think they'll be up for this on Saturday.

434
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Speaker 6: Ken Palm has it at North Carolina minus five. I'd

435
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Speaker 6: love the wolf Pack at minus at plus five, but

436
00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:21,880
Speaker 6: I'll probably d up playing them down to plus it's four.

437
00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:23,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I agree.

438
00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:26,600
Speaker 4: Road North Carolina is still a little shaky. And you know,

439
00:20:26,680 --> 00:20:28,800
Speaker 4: you worry about NC State on this run that.

440
00:20:28,720 --> 00:20:30,199
Speaker 2: They're on, like are they going to quit or are

441
00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:31,840
Speaker 2: they going to pack it in until the postseason.

442
00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:34,919
Speaker 4: But this is a home game against their rival. You

443
00:20:34,960 --> 00:20:37,240
Speaker 4: can count and they were embarrassed over this year, so

444
00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:40,840
Speaker 4: I think that you can count on them putting forward

445
00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:44,600
Speaker 4: a max effort. So like the spot, I'm going to

446
00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:47,840
Speaker 4: go with another revenge spotting team that got embarrassed.

447
00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:51,000
Speaker 2: I'm going to go with Northern Iowa at home against

448
00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:53,400
Speaker 2: the Lotyl of Chicago. I don't I just I watched.

449
00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:55,520
Speaker 4: This the Loyl of Chicago team. I don't think that

450
00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:58,080
Speaker 4: they're anywhere close. I know they're like they're Kem Palm

451
00:20:58,160 --> 00:21:00,119
Speaker 4: rating is in like the twenty five they get. I

452
00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:03,199
Speaker 4: think that they're getting rewarded for these beat Like you know,

453
00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:06,399
Speaker 4: they'll beat down Evansville by what like fifty or sixty,

454
00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:08,520
Speaker 4: and they went up I think like six or seven

455
00:21:08,560 --> 00:21:10,719
Speaker 4: spots at camp on this late in the year, and

456
00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:12,280
Speaker 4: you got to give them credit for doing so.

457
00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:15,200
Speaker 2: But they just they go their offense. I just don't

458
00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:16,720
Speaker 2: trust this Northern Iowa.

459
00:21:16,440 --> 00:21:19,000
Speaker 4: Team, who got blown out by a little earlier this year,

460
00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:21,160
Speaker 4: very high variance team. So I liked them as a dog.

461
00:21:21,200 --> 00:21:22,840
Speaker 4: I liked them as a home dogs. They shoot a

462
00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:24,960
Speaker 4: ton of threes, they give up a ton of looks

463
00:21:24,960 --> 00:21:27,600
Speaker 4: from three. Mark's kind of didn't play last game again

464
00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:30,520
Speaker 4: for the little I think he's important. I think Northern Iowa,

465
00:21:30,560 --> 00:21:31,199
Speaker 4: who's who win?

466
00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:31,960
Speaker 2: Win this game?

467
00:21:32,000 --> 00:21:34,000
Speaker 4: You win the valley, by the way. At home, these

468
00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:35,600
Speaker 4: two teams are a top of the leader board. I

469
00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:37,040
Speaker 4: think they get the rech I think they get it

470
00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:38,679
Speaker 4: done at home. I think aj Green does nuts. This

471
00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:41,679
Speaker 4: Northern Iowa team has been rolling outside of that one performance.

472
00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:44,399
Speaker 4: You know, they had a couple overtime losses earlier in

473
00:21:44,440 --> 00:21:47,000
Speaker 4: the year and then everything except that one little but

474
00:21:47,200 --> 00:21:49,119
Speaker 4: I think they get their revenge. I think you'll get

475
00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:51,280
Speaker 4: him as a short home dog here. I think their

476
00:21:51,280 --> 00:21:54,800
Speaker 4: shots fall on Saturday. So give me the Panthers.

477
00:21:55,000 --> 00:21:56,760
Speaker 5: Yeah, you and I playing much better than they did

478
00:21:56,800 --> 00:21:57,600
Speaker 5: at the beginning of the season.

479
00:21:57,600 --> 00:21:58,480
Speaker 2: They looked honestly.

480
00:21:58,520 --> 00:22:00,639
Speaker 6: I mean, obviously AJ Green is coming up hip surgery.

481
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:02,919
Speaker 6: Early in the season, they were looking pretty bad. It

482
00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:05,240
Speaker 6: was some pretty bad losses, especially at home on the

483
00:22:05,280 --> 00:22:07,679
Speaker 6: non conference. But I mean they've rattled off what it's

484
00:22:07,760 --> 00:22:10,040
Speaker 6: like eight of their last nine they've won outside of

485
00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:12,800
Speaker 6: the loss to Loyal Chicago put themselves right in a

486
00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:16,800
Speaker 6: position here to win the Valley. Yeah, McLeod Center will

487
00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:20,640
Speaker 6: be rocking on Saturday here in Cedar Falls, Iowa.

488
00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:24,520
Speaker 4: So yes, Noah, Noah Carter, by the way, that's been

489
00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:27,560
Speaker 4: one of the keys is him. Earlier in the year,

490
00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:32,399
Speaker 4: the offense wasn't really working with him, and then boom,

491
00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:36,200
Speaker 4: everything has been clicking with that offensive late. So yeah,

492
00:22:36,240 --> 00:22:39,439
Speaker 4: I think you and I gets it done. And the

493
00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:43,000
Speaker 4: one thing that could make a difference, but he's just

494
00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:46,359
Speaker 4: not healthy is Austin Fife.

495
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:47,919
Speaker 2: But you never know where you're gonna get.

496
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:49,840
Speaker 4: I mean, he's gonna get a ten to fifteen minutes

497
00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:52,320
Speaker 4: from him, but you know, it's the last game of

498
00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:54,680
Speaker 4: the year. Let's give it the regular season for the Valley.

499
00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:56,919
Speaker 4: Maybe you get something from him as well. But I

500
00:22:56,920 --> 00:22:59,160
Speaker 4: don't like this soil of Chicago team. Last year's team.

501
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:02,720
Speaker 4: It's is just something that's missing. You know, obviously on Crutwig,

502
00:23:02,840 --> 00:23:06,239
Speaker 4: who was so important to everything they did offensively, just

503
00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:09,440
Speaker 4: in the middle, just running everything from that point position.

504
00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:12,240
Speaker 2: You don't have him, And then there's something else just

505
00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:13,160
Speaker 2: missing from the scene.

506
00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:16,720
Speaker 4: I know all the analytics love them, but the old

507
00:23:16,720 --> 00:23:18,800
Speaker 4: eye test, which just.

508
00:23:18,320 --> 00:23:21,360
Speaker 6: Just a ton of a ton of really just close wins, honestly,

509
00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:23,320
Speaker 6: and like you mentioned earlier, then they just blow out

510
00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:28,280
Speaker 6: you know, Evansville, but you know, close wins against Southern Illinois, overtime,

511
00:23:28,320 --> 00:23:32,879
Speaker 6: double overtime game against Valpo, overtime game against Bradley again, but.

512
00:23:33,320 --> 00:23:36,359
Speaker 2: Another two against Valpoloh.

513
00:23:35,560 --> 00:23:38,400
Speaker 6: Yeah, you know it's in only beat you know, Illinois

514
00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:39,560
Speaker 6: State by nine on the road.

515
00:23:39,560 --> 00:23:40,560
Speaker 5: It was a pretty bad team.

516
00:23:40,680 --> 00:23:43,720
Speaker 6: So uh yeah, I mean, you know, holding Evansville to

517
00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:45,960
Speaker 6: thirty one points, that's all well and good. They didn't

518
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:47,800
Speaker 6: have their coach and I believe one of their best players,

519
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:50,000
Speaker 6: so obviously they get a huge boost for that. But

520
00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:54,040
Speaker 6: you know, the context definitely does matter in that final score.

521
00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:55,199
Speaker 5: So yeah, I agree with you.

522
00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:58,320
Speaker 6: I a little bit lukewarm on on Loyler Chicago. Yeah,

523
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:00,280
Speaker 6: definitely not as high on them as I was year

524
00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:02,360
Speaker 6: but they'll probably they'll be a higher seed, most likely

525
00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:04,240
Speaker 6: than they were last year. Would be my guest, right

526
00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:05,080
Speaker 6: outside an eight.

527
00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:06,040
Speaker 5: So we'll see.

528
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:09,760
Speaker 4: Yeah, they probably I think they'll It depends how they close,

529
00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:12,320
Speaker 4: but I think they'll probably end up being probably right

530
00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:13,880
Speaker 4: around where they were.

531
00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:16,880
Speaker 5: The projected eleven. Actually right now? Interesting?

532
00:24:17,080 --> 00:24:17,439
Speaker 2: Okay?

533
00:24:18,280 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 5: Really yeah, America Matrix has them at eleven. So huh.

534
00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:25,080
Speaker 6: Maybe they'll get Providence or maybe Province will drop down

535
00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:28,720
Speaker 6: to six and we'll and we'll have a nice little

536
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:29,520
Speaker 6: regression game.

537
00:24:30,640 --> 00:24:34,000
Speaker 4: All right, those are your home dogs. There any other

538
00:24:34,040 --> 00:24:36,520
Speaker 4: spots that we had circle, I'll let you go first.

539
00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 6: Yeah, I'll go to the MAC. Miami Ohio going to Toledo.

540
00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:44,240
Speaker 6: I like the RedHawks. They're getting Ken Palm has it

541
00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:48,320
Speaker 6: at Toledo minus fifteen. We've talked quite a bit about

542
00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,879
Speaker 6: how overvalued Toledo has been for the majority of the season.

543
00:24:51,119 --> 00:24:53,680
Speaker 6: This is another scenario where I think they given what's

544
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,199
Speaker 6: at stake, I think you'll get an inflated line for

545
00:24:56,280 --> 00:24:59,840
Speaker 6: Toledo because they're currently tied with Ohio atop the MAC standings.

546
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:01,840
Speaker 6: Miami Ohio's in the middle of the pack and in

547
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:04,200
Speaker 6: this game really doesn't really mean much to them.

548
00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:05,720
Speaker 5: So like Miamo Ohio.

549
00:25:05,720 --> 00:25:08,159
Speaker 6: They're six and ten overall on conference play, but you

550
00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:09,600
Speaker 6: kind of have to put an asterisk next to it

551
00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:11,800
Speaker 6: because they went one in five in the middle of

552
00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:14,080
Speaker 6: conference play without one of their best players, Delonte Brown.

553
00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:14,480
Speaker 2: Yeah.

554
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:17,359
Speaker 6: Huge, he's huge, he's back, he's you know, they're playing

555
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:19,119
Speaker 6: much better with him and there they only lost by

556
00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:22,560
Speaker 6: two in the last game at home against Buffalo. The

557
00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:25,320
Speaker 6: last time these two teams played, Toledo won by three,

558
00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:28,880
Speaker 6: but Miami Ohio torched them inside sixty percent from from

559
00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:31,960
Speaker 6: inside the Arkaldo only forty five percent from two point range.

560
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,400
Speaker 6: The difference was Toledo got to the free throw line

561
00:25:34,440 --> 00:25:37,080
Speaker 6: fourteen times and made all fourteen of them.

562
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:38,880
Speaker 5: So I think this is a good spot.

563
00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:41,639
Speaker 6: To get a really good number on an underrated Miami

564
00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:42,480
Speaker 6: Ohio squad.

565
00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:43,280
Speaker 5: Again.

566
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:46,280
Speaker 6: You know, I'd love to get them at plus fifteen,

567
00:25:46,560 --> 00:25:48,720
Speaker 6: but I'll play it down to you know, plus fourteen,

568
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:49,760
Speaker 6: maybe thirteen and a half.

569
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:52,520
Speaker 4: Yeah, different to with today, but I think there is

570
00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:55,560
Speaker 4: some value with mimac Ohio in the market right now.

571
00:25:56,040 --> 00:25:56,960
Speaker 2: Don't hate that at all.

572
00:25:57,040 --> 00:25:59,640
Speaker 4: I'll throw out already threw out Arkansas. I think that's

573
00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:02,879
Speaker 4: going to be early before that line moves Utah State.

574
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:04,400
Speaker 4: I think this is going to be a good spot

575
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:07,680
Speaker 4: to back them against Colorado State. Utah State at home,

576
00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:10,239
Speaker 4: Colorida State coming off that big win against Wyoma. They

577
00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:13,719
Speaker 4: have Boise on deck, Utah State revenge. Givier brock Miller's

578
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 4: also back. I don't he only gave I think like

579
00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:19,080
Speaker 4: thirteen to fifteen minutes last game, but I think you

580
00:26:19,160 --> 00:26:22,640
Speaker 4: might get more from him. He's really important to that lineup.

581
00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:27,600
Speaker 4: And I like just this Utah State team dealing with

582
00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:28,960
Speaker 4: a lot of injuries, but I like the way they

583
00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:30,200
Speaker 4: match up with Colorado State.

584
00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:30,879
Speaker 2: They pack it in.

585
00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:33,119
Speaker 4: I think they can prevent some of the dries and

586
00:26:33,640 --> 00:26:36,840
Speaker 4: Utah State at home really underachieved. This win can kind

587
00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:39,400
Speaker 4: of you make those season Colorida States safely in the tournament.

588
00:26:39,440 --> 00:26:42,440
Speaker 4: Now Boise on deck, I think Utah State's gonna have

589
00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:44,520
Speaker 4: some value at home here. What any of the spots

590
00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:45,880
Speaker 4: you got before we bring in Colin here?

591
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:46,880
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'll just do one.

592
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:50,320
Speaker 6: Louisville on the road at wake Forest on Saturday. We

593
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,160
Speaker 6: talked about it on Monday, but Louisville looks much more motivated,

594
00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:55,240
Speaker 6: looking like they actually want to finish the season strong.

595
00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:58,520
Speaker 6: On the road against the wake Forest team that they

596
00:26:58,600 --> 00:27:00,439
Speaker 6: might be getting double digits. Wake four rus is a

597
00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:05,159
Speaker 6: little banged up. You know, Mushius and Kadema or Muschies

598
00:27:05,160 --> 00:27:07,120
Speaker 6: didn't play and kadem Sai went down with an injury.

599
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:09,720
Speaker 5: Who are two of wake Forest's best three big men.

600
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:12,720
Speaker 6: So you know, statistically, wake Forest would have a really

601
00:27:12,720 --> 00:27:15,520
Speaker 6: big advantage inside because they're number one in the ACC

602
00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:18,480
Speaker 6: and field goal percentage at the rim both four and allowed.

603
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:21,560
Speaker 6: But without those two big men, Malik Williams could just

604
00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:23,440
Speaker 6: have a field day down low because Louisville is actually

605
00:27:23,440 --> 00:27:25,920
Speaker 6: third in the AEC and points for possession in post upsets,

606
00:27:25,960 --> 00:27:28,720
Speaker 6: so you know, ken Bom has a Wake Forest minus eleven.

607
00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:32,200
Speaker 6: You know, if Si and Mushius don't play, that's probably

608
00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:34,479
Speaker 6: gonna be worth close to what three points to the spread.

609
00:27:34,600 --> 00:27:37,960
Speaker 6: So I'd love Louisville getting anything seven and a half

610
00:27:38,080 --> 00:27:39,880
Speaker 6: or better if they don't play, But if they do play,

611
00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:41,640
Speaker 6: I'd love the Cardinals anything double digits.

612
00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:44,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, engaged Malik Williams, that's the key here. He's their

613
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:48,520
Speaker 2: best player, and he was basically either benched or out

614
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:52,520
Speaker 2: there doing nothing and pouting, and the chemistry's way off

615
00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:55,679
Speaker 2: and then something changed, and we talked about it on

616
00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:57,920
Speaker 2: Monday in North Carolina Gay and you saw it. I

617
00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:00,320
Speaker 2: mean how engaged they were in that game as well.

618
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:02,359
Speaker 4: Well, it started actually the game before that, but the

619
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,440
Speaker 4: press conference after that game, he was smiling. They were saying, like, look,

620
00:28:06,040 --> 00:28:08,080
Speaker 4: everything was wrong. We got it correct if we want

621
00:28:08,080 --> 00:28:10,040
Speaker 4: to finish strong. Easy to say that, but they weren't

622
00:28:10,080 --> 00:28:13,399
Speaker 4: saying it before, and you're seeing the results transit on

623
00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 4: the court. So yeah, I don't think Louisville is a

624
00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:19,199
Speaker 4: bad team to the target this late in the season.

625
00:28:19,320 --> 00:28:21,679
Speaker 4: They're playing for nothing, but they're going to be priced

626
00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:25,560
Speaker 4: like that, and they're now playing a lot better than

627
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:27,600
Speaker 4: some of their numbers indicate.

628
00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:29,280
Speaker 2: All right, good stuff there.

629
00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:32,040
Speaker 4: Before you get to Friday night lights, let's bring in

630
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:35,160
Speaker 4: mister Wilson, who finally had a loss last week?

631
00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:37,960
Speaker 2: Wilson, what are you doing up? A truly wise man

632
00:28:38,120 --> 00:28:41,680
Speaker 2: always has more questions than answers. The first step for

633
00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:43,320
Speaker 2: greatness is humbling yourself.

634
00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:47,960
Speaker 4: His Zags let him down with the over against Santa Clair.

635
00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:49,480
Speaker 4: I didn't catch much of that game, so I can't

636
00:28:49,520 --> 00:28:51,160
Speaker 4: really comment on how it played out.

637
00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:53,959
Speaker 2: But first, before we get into some of that, how

638
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:54,960
Speaker 2: are you, mister Wilson.

639
00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:58,200
Speaker 3: I'm doing wonderful. Guys had some ice storms, some snowstorms,

640
00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:02,000
Speaker 3: but that doesn't mean that that's made my Razorbacks cool

641
00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:03,920
Speaker 3: off any The fact that we've been able to go

642
00:29:03,960 --> 00:29:07,080
Speaker 3: on the road and beat teams as bad on the road,

643
00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 3: I mean, that's the big knock. You can only win

644
00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:11,600
Speaker 3: in Bud Walton Arena. So it's really great to see

645
00:29:11,640 --> 00:29:14,440
Speaker 3: Florida have Arkansas dead to rights the other night and

646
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:16,600
Speaker 3: in the last five minutes they just find another level

647
00:29:16,640 --> 00:29:19,400
Speaker 3: and they go at it. So everything's going great in

648
00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:21,920
Speaker 3: the SEC. We are so close to March Madness. I'm

649
00:29:21,960 --> 00:29:24,320
Speaker 3: so excited, like we're you know, all this content we're

650
00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:26,920
Speaker 3: gonna have at Action Network every single conference, every single

651
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:29,800
Speaker 3: team leading up to, you know, the announcement of the brackets.

652
00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:32,480
Speaker 3: I'm really jack especially because Arkansas is playing in a

653
00:29:32,560 --> 00:29:34,160
Speaker 3: lead eight form that we had last year.

654
00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:37,360
Speaker 4: Well, if you recall I was on my Hogs against

655
00:29:37,360 --> 00:29:41,240
Speaker 4: Auburn at home and you were on Auburn. Are you

656
00:29:41,320 --> 00:29:44,200
Speaker 4: going to be on Kentucky Because I'm most likely going

657
00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:46,000
Speaker 4: to be on my Hogs Saturday.

658
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:48,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, and that's gonna be the best bet for me.

659
00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:51,120
Speaker 2: I wanted to talk about Austin So you're going to

660
00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:52,360
Speaker 2: start with Arkansas.

661
00:29:52,480 --> 00:29:54,720
Speaker 4: Yeah, and then you're gonna wait for me to ask

662
00:29:54,840 --> 00:29:57,720
Speaker 4: my question about what you know what, you didn't.

663
00:29:57,520 --> 00:29:59,160
Speaker 2: Even wait through your best bet. Now, your best BET's

664
00:29:59,160 --> 00:30:01,000
Speaker 2: going to be Arkansas. You're all in now.

665
00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:03,320
Speaker 4: Yeah, maybe we should sell high, we should sell maybe

666
00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:04,760
Speaker 4: we should be selling high on Arkansas.

667
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:05,120
Speaker 2: Be ja.

668
00:30:06,560 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 3: I was gonna come in and talk about Austin P

669
00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:12,120
Speaker 3: and Eastern Illinois wrapping up their season in the Ohio

670
00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:15,080
Speaker 3: Valley because Eastern Illinois had a god awful year, I

671
00:30:15,120 --> 00:30:17,720
Speaker 3: think five wins. They can't make the conference tournament because

672
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:20,440
Speaker 3: they only take eight teams in the OBC, and Austin

673
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:23,160
Speaker 3: P is locked into the eight. So I love the

674
00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:25,160
Speaker 3: fact that Eastern Illinois might actually show up, and I

675
00:30:25,200 --> 00:30:27,120
Speaker 3: love the under because both of them are so offensive.

676
00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:29,840
Speaker 3: Offensively a nept so keep your eyes on that game.

677
00:30:29,920 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 3: But no, the best bet has to be Arkansas in

678
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:36,840
Speaker 3: but Walton Arena, and I know that I'm looking at

679
00:30:36,880 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 3: these season long numbers on turnover percentage of the fact

680
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:42,160
Speaker 3: that it doesn't look like Arkansas can harass ball handlers

681
00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:45,080
Speaker 3: very much. But look at Kentucky against LSU the other night,

682
00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:48,280
Speaker 3: only three assists out there by Kellen Grady. And if

683
00:30:48,320 --> 00:30:50,720
Speaker 3: the you know, Severe Wheeler and ty Ty don't play

684
00:30:50,880 --> 00:30:54,280
Speaker 3: for Kentucky, who's handling the ball and who's going to

685
00:30:54,360 --> 00:30:56,800
Speaker 3: put up with jd notay, who's going to put up

686
00:30:56,840 --> 00:30:59,520
Speaker 3: with Davonte Davis at the same time Stanley and Mooda.

687
00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:01,520
Speaker 3: I mean, he's one of the best blockers in the nation,

688
00:31:01,640 --> 00:31:03,880
Speaker 3: in the top three hundred. Jalen Williams is not only blocking,

689
00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:06,120
Speaker 3: but he's shooting threes. But wall and arena one of

690
00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:09,200
Speaker 3: the most impossible places to play. I think, you know,

691
00:31:09,320 --> 00:31:11,720
Speaker 3: Kim Palm projects this to be a three point win

692
00:31:12,280 --> 00:31:15,400
Speaker 3: for Kentucky, but that doesn't take in ty Ty, Washington

693
00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:17,960
Speaker 3: and Wheeler being out for this game. I wouldn't be

694
00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:20,600
Speaker 3: surprised if it either held it off the board or

695
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:23,240
Speaker 3: put in Arkansas minus one, or or maybe even at

696
00:31:23,240 --> 00:31:25,160
Speaker 3: a pick. But I just don't see how you can

697
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:29,520
Speaker 3: take Kentucky when you don't have any experienced ball handlers.

698
00:31:29,800 --> 00:31:32,760
Speaker 3: When Arkansas's defense is all about getting you, you know,

699
00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:35,240
Speaker 3: making you a forcing a turnover before you hit the

700
00:31:35,280 --> 00:31:38,080
Speaker 3: half court line, forcing it, you know, just harassing you

701
00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:41,520
Speaker 3: in transition. It's not really that they I think rebound great,

702
00:31:41,560 --> 00:31:43,480
Speaker 3: but it's because of hustle and it ain't because of size.

703
00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:46,840
Speaker 3: So I expect this to be an Arkansas win. Kentucky

704
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 3: and coach Calb they've got to be thinking long term.

705
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:52,000
Speaker 3: They've got to be thinking, you know, NCAA tournament. I

706
00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:55,080
Speaker 3: need Washington, I need Wheeler healthy either this game, what

707
00:31:55,200 --> 00:31:58,200
Speaker 3: does it mean? What's seating for an SEC tournament that

708
00:31:58,280 --> 00:32:01,280
Speaker 3: you win all the time. Anyways, I just don't see

709
00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:04,200
Speaker 3: how this game is important to Kentucky whatsoever. But the

710
00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:06,640
Speaker 3: health of two of their three best players is so

711
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:09,520
Speaker 3: Arkansas at home, it's a it's a major spot for them,

712
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:12,480
Speaker 3: and Muscleman's already given away free t shirts and tickets

713
00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:14,960
Speaker 3: and shoes, and so it's just gonna be a madhouse again.

714
00:32:15,040 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 2: So give me Arkansas.

715
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:18,440
Speaker 3: I think i'd stopped buying at minus three, but it's

716
00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:20,320
Speaker 3: not going to get up to minus three, so we'll see.

717
00:32:20,520 --> 00:32:20,880
Speaker 2: I agree.

718
00:32:20,920 --> 00:32:23,160
Speaker 4: I think that they're gonna we actually talked a little

719
00:32:23,160 --> 00:32:24,520
Speaker 4: bit about this game, right. I think that they're gonna

720
00:32:24,520 --> 00:32:26,280
Speaker 4: sit Wheeler in Washington, and you can get away without

721
00:32:26,280 --> 00:32:30,160
Speaker 4: having Wheeler in Washington against LSU and Alabama. Arkansas, I

722
00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:31,680
Speaker 4: think is a little better than both them, but you

723
00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:35,240
Speaker 4: were also at home. It's different on the road without

724
00:32:35,320 --> 00:32:37,000
Speaker 4: both of them. And I think Kentucky, look, they've all

725
00:32:37,040 --> 00:32:38,800
Speaker 4: missed at home next so I think they set them

726
00:32:38,880 --> 00:32:41,200
Speaker 4: for two more games. So I think that the opener

727
00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:44,080
Speaker 4: you try to get, you get arkansass. I think eventually

728
00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:45,680
Speaker 4: it'll come down to the game. It'll be games on

729
00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:46,720
Speaker 4: decisions both of them, and.

730
00:32:46,680 --> 00:32:48,680
Speaker 2: Then it'll come out like, all right, they're not warming up.

731
00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:50,280
Speaker 4: They could play then, I don't think they'll be one

732
00:32:50,320 --> 00:32:52,800
Speaker 4: hundred percent, and I don't think it would be smart

733
00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:55,760
Speaker 4: for cal to play them, and Kentucky's b only future

734
00:32:55,800 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 4: I do not.

735
00:32:56,280 --> 00:32:57,080
Speaker 2: I hope they don't play.

736
00:32:57,760 --> 00:33:00,360
Speaker 4: So I agree with you on the Hogs go too

737
00:33:00,440 --> 00:33:01,800
Speaker 4: much because Colin and I are also going to do

738
00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:05,040
Speaker 4: the SEC Conference Championship reviews, so you'll get a lot

739
00:33:05,080 --> 00:33:07,160
Speaker 4: of time to talk about Arkansas there as well. But

740
00:33:07,280 --> 00:33:10,040
Speaker 4: I'm glad you brought up Eastern Illinois. That is a

741
00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:13,280
Speaker 4: good spot that I didn't get around to mention. In

742
00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:15,480
Speaker 4: their home finale against an Austin Beach and they already

743
00:33:15,520 --> 00:33:18,120
Speaker 4: lose to I already lost to our other year. Also,

744
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:21,520
Speaker 4: he's basically not playing for anything, all right, well, thanks

745
00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:24,360
Speaker 4: for checking in. Enjoy the your ice I'm in. If

746
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:26,320
Speaker 4: you you can see the ocean back there, I'm in Aruba.

747
00:33:27,440 --> 00:33:29,800
Speaker 3: You gotta be kidding that you're doing an Aruba on. Meanwhile,

748
00:33:29,840 --> 00:33:30,360
Speaker 3: I've got.

749
00:33:30,560 --> 00:33:32,960
Speaker 2: You know, there's you see in my back window, and

750
00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 2: there's some sailboats. That's actually the sun just went down.

751
00:33:37,840 --> 00:33:40,520
Speaker 5: Colin. It's it's snowing here for me too, So I'm

752
00:33:40,640 --> 00:33:41,320
Speaker 5: just jealous.

753
00:33:41,720 --> 00:33:44,080
Speaker 3: BJ's up in Iowa if it's twenty four here, Bjay's

754
00:33:44,120 --> 00:33:45,320
Speaker 3: up in negative degree weather and.

755
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:47,720
Speaker 5: Yeah, it's like five degrees and it's been snowing for

756
00:33:47,840 --> 00:33:48,400
Speaker 5: five hours.

757
00:33:48,560 --> 00:33:55,280
Speaker 3: So yeah, flashing a pool, a resort, a sunset, beach, ocean,

758
00:33:55,760 --> 00:33:58,320
Speaker 3: it's like a screen saver. We were, Yeah, it's a

759
00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:00,959
Speaker 3: screen saver. There's no way this is real. And if

760
00:34:01,000 --> 00:34:02,920
Speaker 3: it is real, our friendship.

761
00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:04,400
Speaker 2: Is on Blue Pool.

762
00:34:04,680 --> 00:34:05,480
Speaker 5: It's just beautiful.

763
00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:07,320
Speaker 2: The water colors down here are amazing.

764
00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:11,160
Speaker 4: All right, Well, stay warm, brother, I'll try to uh

765
00:34:11,680 --> 00:34:12,960
Speaker 4: stay warm as well, and we'll.

766
00:34:12,840 --> 00:34:14,920
Speaker 2: Talk next week. Good luck next week, you guys, talk

767
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:18,960
Speaker 2: to you soon. Oo Pig suey big su Woo pig Suey.

768
00:34:19,440 --> 00:34:22,000
Speaker 2: All right, thanks Colin for joining us.

769
00:34:22,320 --> 00:34:24,680
Speaker 4: Uh you guys are making me feel even better about

770
00:34:24,760 --> 00:34:26,759
Speaker 4: it because I live at COMM in the Midwest too,

771
00:34:26,920 --> 00:34:28,920
Speaker 4: so the weather I didn't even check the weather, but

772
00:34:28,960 --> 00:34:30,560
Speaker 4: it doesn't sound the weather's great right now.

773
00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:35,320
Speaker 2: All right. So we do have one final order of

774
00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:38,240
Speaker 2: business to get to and that's our Friday night six.

775
00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:42,440
Speaker 1: Pack, six guys, six picks. It's a college Hoop's a

776
00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:43,840
Speaker 1: weekend six pack.

777
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:55,080
Speaker 2: D R three and three.

778
00:34:55,160 --> 00:34:57,279
Speaker 4: Last week, we're getting good at picking the right one

779
00:34:57,320 --> 00:34:59,239
Speaker 4: for the three man weeds for our double up, which

780
00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:01,399
Speaker 4: is good. So hopefully we could do that again this week.

781
00:35:01,880 --> 00:35:06,640
Speaker 4: Let's see seventeen and thirteen. Yep, seventeen to thirteen on

782
00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:09,920
Speaker 4: the air. Let's see what the guys from the three

783
00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:11,839
Speaker 4: month we have this week for my pick.

784
00:35:11,960 --> 00:35:14,479
Speaker 7: This week, I'm going to the IVY League here, taking

785
00:35:14,520 --> 00:35:17,160
Speaker 7: a dog Harvard plus seven and a half on the

786
00:35:17,280 --> 00:35:21,160
Speaker 7: road at Princeton. It's a little scary because Harvard is

787
00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:23,520
Speaker 7: down some players. They're basically down to a seven man

788
00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:27,000
Speaker 7: rotation right now, with two key guys Ludlam and Tritts

789
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:28,759
Speaker 7: out out. They've been out for a while though, so

790
00:35:28,840 --> 00:35:32,040
Speaker 7: they're used to playing without them. I think even with that,

791
00:35:32,160 --> 00:35:34,640
Speaker 7: they've still got the talent edge and the athleticism edge

792
00:35:34,719 --> 00:35:38,319
Speaker 7: on Princeton. Maybe a little bit of a coaching disadvantage here,

793
00:35:38,520 --> 00:35:41,719
Speaker 7: but Harvard has covered seven to the last nine games

794
00:35:41,760 --> 00:35:44,400
Speaker 7: against Princeton, so it's not like Amaker has been completely

795
00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:47,640
Speaker 7: outclassed by Mitch Henderson, as actually I probably would have

796
00:35:47,680 --> 00:35:50,120
Speaker 7: perceived before I looked into that data. There's also a

797
00:35:50,160 --> 00:35:52,920
Speaker 7: big situation ledge here with Harvard. They are right on

798
00:35:53,000 --> 00:35:55,360
Speaker 7: the cut line to make the four team IVY Tournament,

799
00:35:55,520 --> 00:35:58,799
Speaker 7: battling with Cornell for that last spot. Princeton is very

800
00:35:58,840 --> 00:36:01,600
Speaker 7: comfortably in. I'm sure they still want the one seed,

801
00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:03,160
Speaker 7: but I think there's a little bit more of a

802
00:36:03,320 --> 00:36:06,440
Speaker 7: back to the wall, back against the wall angle for

803
00:36:06,680 --> 00:36:10,000
Speaker 7: Harvard here. I think Noah Kirkwood, their big six seven

804
00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:13,520
Speaker 7: wing potential pro is a matchup nightmare for a limited

805
00:36:13,560 --> 00:36:16,680
Speaker 7: athletic league team like Princeton. So with a little bit

806
00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 7: of matchup, some historical edge, and the situational advantage, Harvard

807
00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:23,080
Speaker 7: plus seven and a half for me, I would take

808
00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:24,360
Speaker 7: it down to plus six.

809
00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:27,239
Speaker 1: I'm going to the fund belt. That's right, this sun

810
00:36:27,320 --> 00:36:30,759
Speaker 1: belt for my pick my lock of the day. Looking

811
00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:33,759
Speaker 1: at Troy under Scott Cross, this team has been nothing

812
00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:36,640
Speaker 1: but feisty all season long. This one is all about

813
00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:38,920
Speaker 1: the spot. They're going to host Texas State, who just

814
00:36:39,040 --> 00:36:43,040
Speaker 1: locked up the Sunbelt regular season title crown earlier this week,

815
00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:45,240
Speaker 1: So you're going to catch a team that's fat and happy,

816
00:36:45,360 --> 00:36:49,000
Speaker 1: hopefully hungover as they come to Troy. And again, the

817
00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:52,759
Speaker 1: Scott Cross coach Trojans have been feisty, especially as a

818
00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:55,000
Speaker 1: dog all season, eleven and six against the number as

819
00:36:55,000 --> 00:36:58,040
Speaker 1: an underdog so far this year. The key thing is

820
00:36:58,120 --> 00:37:01,040
Speaker 1: Duke Miles, who will reportedly continue to be out for Troy,

821
00:37:01,560 --> 00:37:03,880
Speaker 1: and as vital as he is to this roster, I

822
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:06,520
Speaker 1: argue that this is why Troy has been so good

823
00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:09,640
Speaker 1: all year. It's their depth and their the interchangeability of

824
00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:11,400
Speaker 1: the guys that can slot in and out behind him.

825
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:14,360
Speaker 1: Scott Cross continues to write about how he takes pride

826
00:37:14,360 --> 00:37:16,440
Speaker 1: in having two to three guys deep at every position,

827
00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:19,440
Speaker 1: and that is what's almost added value to Troy and

828
00:37:19,440 --> 00:37:21,480
Speaker 1: the betting markets this season as they continue to be

829
00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:24,400
Speaker 1: and against the spread. Darling, I think at home against

830
00:37:24,440 --> 00:37:27,319
Speaker 1: a fad and happy Texas State team, the Tropans had

831
00:37:27,360 --> 00:37:30,000
Speaker 1: some value. I would take anything down to pick, but

832
00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:32,239
Speaker 1: hopefully you catch one two in the open at by

833
00:37:32,280 --> 00:37:34,000
Speaker 1: the time you look at this. So Troy plus one

834
00:37:34,040 --> 00:37:36,000
Speaker 1: and a half my best bet. All right, guess my

835
00:37:36,080 --> 00:37:39,600
Speaker 1: best bet. I am taking Saint Peter's plus four at Monmouth.

836
00:37:40,160 --> 00:37:42,680
Speaker 1: In general, it's always good to take the dogs the

837
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:46,160
Speaker 1: road team and these mac battles home courters doesn't mean

838
00:37:46,200 --> 00:37:48,880
Speaker 1: a whole lot. It's not. You have two teams that

839
00:37:48,960 --> 00:37:51,200
Speaker 1: are rivals against each other, they hate each other, they

840
00:37:51,239 --> 00:37:54,760
Speaker 1: always play close games. Both teams bring it. Saint Peter's

841
00:37:54,800 --> 00:37:58,160
Speaker 1: won this first matchup against Monmouth at home. They proved

842
00:37:58,160 --> 00:37:59,920
Speaker 1: to be the better team. They grabbed forty percent of

843
00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:03,719
Speaker 1: their offensive rebounds in that game. I think they do

844
00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:05,880
Speaker 1: that again. It's one of the best rebounding teams in

845
00:38:05,960 --> 00:38:09,120
Speaker 1: the conference. They're physical, they get to the line, and

846
00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:11,560
Speaker 1: the best defensive team in the conference as well. I

847
00:38:11,680 --> 00:38:13,520
Speaker 1: really think they put a fight here against mom withouth

848
00:38:13,880 --> 00:38:16,960
Speaker 1: keep it within two possessions. So best bet Saint Peter's

849
00:38:17,040 --> 00:38:19,239
Speaker 1: Peacocks plus four on the road.

850
00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:23,239
Speaker 4: Jim went with Harvard plus seven and a half down

851
00:38:23,320 --> 00:38:25,360
Speaker 4: to plus six against Princeton.

852
00:38:25,920 --> 00:38:28,600
Speaker 2: Harvard playing for their IVY lives.

853
00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:31,879
Speaker 4: Matt went with Troy plus one and a half down

854
00:38:31,920 --> 00:38:34,800
Speaker 4: to a pick them and Kai went with Saint Peter's

855
00:38:34,960 --> 00:38:39,680
Speaker 4: plus four. The interesting thing with Matt's pick with Troy

856
00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:43,120
Speaker 4: is and there's an interesting dynamic here with this. So

857
00:38:43,239 --> 00:38:45,840
Speaker 4: tomorrow night, Friday night you're listening to this will be tonight.

858
00:38:46,719 --> 00:38:48,560
Speaker 4: They're all the Sun Belt. The rest of the Sunball

859
00:38:48,600 --> 00:38:50,640
Speaker 4: games are being played, so there's no Sunball games on

860
00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:52,400
Speaker 4: Saturday or Sunday, and then you're gonna have the conference.

861
00:38:52,920 --> 00:38:56,480
Speaker 4: Everything is settled in the Sun Belt. So you know,

862
00:38:56,520 --> 00:38:58,520
Speaker 4: you look at this Friday slate and you're like, oh,

863
00:38:58,880 --> 00:39:02,600
Speaker 4: there's a decent amount of But Texas State clinched the

864
00:39:02,680 --> 00:39:07,360
Speaker 4: regular season title again and then app State, Troy, and

865
00:39:07,480 --> 00:39:11,319
Speaker 4: Georgia State have clinched the buys and then the rest

866
00:39:11,360 --> 00:39:12,360
Speaker 4: of the teams know they're.

867
00:39:12,200 --> 00:39:15,439
Speaker 2: Going to be playing, So Troy will be at home.

868
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:19,920
Speaker 4: They're getting a Texas State team that may or may

869
00:39:20,040 --> 00:39:23,080
Speaker 4: not sit, guys, and for what it's where, Troy beat

870
00:39:23,160 --> 00:39:25,319
Speaker 4: Texas State on the road by fifteen under this year.

871
00:39:25,520 --> 00:39:27,040
Speaker 2: So I don't know where you're gonna get from Texastate.

872
00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:28,080
Speaker 4: I don't know where you're going to get from a

873
00:39:28,080 --> 00:39:30,440
Speaker 4: lot of these teams because there's really no incentive.

874
00:39:31,120 --> 00:39:33,480
Speaker 2: Do you want to stay sharp, do you want to rest.

875
00:39:34,640 --> 00:39:37,360
Speaker 2: I don't know. So it's a very bizarre night in

876
00:39:37,440 --> 00:39:38,160
Speaker 2: the Sun Belt.

877
00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:41,920
Speaker 4: You know, there's some seating that commutter, but it's like

878
00:39:42,000 --> 00:39:44,720
Speaker 4: the title's been decided, the top four buys have been decided,

879
00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:46,719
Speaker 4: and the rest of the teams know they're playing in

880
00:39:46,760 --> 00:39:47,359
Speaker 4: the first round.

881
00:39:47,680 --> 00:39:51,120
Speaker 2: I think the tournament is in Pensacola, Florida, So that's

882
00:39:51,120 --> 00:39:53,680
Speaker 2: an interesting dynamic for that Troy game.

883
00:39:54,560 --> 00:39:56,080
Speaker 4: But before we decide on which one of them we

884
00:39:56,120 --> 00:39:57,759
Speaker 4: want to double up on BJ where you're going for

885
00:39:57,880 --> 00:40:01,759
Speaker 4: your Friday Night six to go to the MAAC.

886
00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:05,880
Speaker 6: I'm gonna go Niagara pick them against Ryder. Ryder is

887
00:40:06,400 --> 00:40:09,239
Speaker 6: the worst offense in the conference. They're outside the top

888
00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:11,440
Speaker 6: three hundred nationally in both three point and two point

889
00:40:11,480 --> 00:40:14,240
Speaker 6: field goal percentage, but actually they have the eighth lowest

890
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:16,879
Speaker 6: three point rate in the country, so which bodes really

891
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:19,560
Speaker 6: well for Niagara because they're very good at defending inside

892
00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:21,319
Speaker 6: number one in the conference and two point field goal

893
00:40:21,360 --> 00:40:23,800
Speaker 6: percentage allowed and they're only allowing around fifty four.

894
00:40:23,680 --> 00:40:27,440
Speaker 5: Percent at the rim. Ryder is quite literally the worst.

895
00:40:27,160 --> 00:40:30,440
Speaker 6: Team in college basketball in points per possession in transition offense,

896
00:40:30,440 --> 00:40:33,000
Speaker 6: which is really good news for Niagara because they are

897
00:40:33,360 --> 00:40:36,480
Speaker 6: atrocious in transition defense, but they are fourth in the

898
00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:39,360
Speaker 6: conference in points per possession allowed and half court defense.

899
00:40:39,680 --> 00:40:42,000
Speaker 6: On the flip side, Niagara much better in half court

900
00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:44,239
Speaker 6: than they are in transition, which is good because very

901
00:40:44,320 --> 00:40:47,760
Speaker 6: weirdly like Ryder is top seven percent in college basketball

902
00:40:47,800 --> 00:40:50,759
Speaker 6: and transition defense. So they can't score in transition offensive play,

903
00:40:50,760 --> 00:40:52,600
Speaker 6: and they're really good at stopping people in transition, which

904
00:40:52,640 --> 00:40:55,200
Speaker 6: really doesn't make much sense. But either way, really good

905
00:40:55,239 --> 00:40:57,080
Speaker 6: matchup here from Niagara in a revenge spot. They blew

906
00:40:57,080 --> 00:41:02,040
Speaker 6: a seventeen point halftime lead to ry at home earlier

907
00:41:02,120 --> 00:41:04,759
Speaker 6: this season to lose by three, So good revenge spot

908
00:41:04,840 --> 00:41:07,160
Speaker 6: for the Purple Eagles. So give me to pick them

909
00:41:07,200 --> 00:41:08,399
Speaker 6: on the road at Ryder.

910
00:41:08,680 --> 00:41:10,279
Speaker 4: I'm going to stay in the matac and I'm going

911
00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:13,520
Speaker 4: to go Manhattan, a team that is really frustrating that

912
00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:15,520
Speaker 4: they're actually the most experiencing the coach is a team

913
00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:18,799
Speaker 4: of all seniors, and I just couldn't figure them.

914
00:41:18,680 --> 00:41:20,520
Speaker 2: Out earlier this year. But I think that they're starting

915
00:41:20,560 --> 00:41:20,839
Speaker 2: the peak.

916
00:41:20,880 --> 00:41:23,719
Speaker 4: They've won three straight, not against the best competition, but

917
00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:26,319
Speaker 4: I've watched their offense. Their offense, you know, with Jose

918
00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:28,879
Speaker 4: Perez in company have started to figure some things out,

919
00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:31,480
Speaker 4: and I think this is a really good matchup against

920
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:32,960
Speaker 4: the Maras ting that I like in a Maras team

921
00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:33,840
Speaker 4: that has been rolling.

922
00:41:33,880 --> 00:41:35,719
Speaker 2: They won five in a row. But I think that

923
00:41:35,800 --> 00:41:37,680
Speaker 2: this is you know, you're getting seven ish.

924
00:41:37,640 --> 00:41:41,920
Speaker 4: Here too many points in a game that I think

925
00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:45,160
Speaker 4: the Jaspers have some matchup edges Marisk.

926
00:41:45,520 --> 00:41:49,080
Speaker 2: Look, I love a tuk of their freshman point guard.

927
00:41:49,680 --> 00:41:53,359
Speaker 4: He's outstanding to watch, but he can be a bit

928
00:41:53,440 --> 00:41:56,800
Speaker 4: turnover prone at times against pressure. That showed up in

929
00:41:56,880 --> 00:42:00,680
Speaker 4: the first meeting between these two teams when Manha one

930
00:42:01,160 --> 00:42:05,120
Speaker 4: Maris had a i think a thirty three percent turnover

931
00:42:05,280 --> 00:42:09,880
Speaker 4: rate in that game. Something ugly and you know everything

932
00:42:10,360 --> 00:42:13,600
Speaker 4: that Maris. If you look at this matchup, it's like,

933
00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:17,640
Speaker 4: all right, Manhattan's offense, they also really.

934
00:42:17,400 --> 00:42:19,520
Speaker 2: Struggle with turnovers. I mean it's bad.

935
00:42:19,880 --> 00:42:22,920
Speaker 4: Mais doesn't really force turnovers. You know, you look at

936
00:42:23,040 --> 00:42:26,120
Speaker 4: on the other side of the ball, Maris. Manhattan plays

937
00:42:26,160 --> 00:42:29,200
Speaker 4: a pressure defense. They can force turnovers. Maris can be

938
00:42:29,320 --> 00:42:32,200
Speaker 4: vulnerable in that department. Manhattan also fouls a lot because

939
00:42:32,239 --> 00:42:35,000
Speaker 4: of their pressure. Maris just doesn't get to the line.

940
00:42:35,440 --> 00:42:40,439
Speaker 4: What they do is they could shoot and Manhattan will

941
00:42:40,480 --> 00:42:42,439
Speaker 4: take away the three. So I think that that it's

942
00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:45,200
Speaker 4: a pretty good matchup on both sides of the ball

943
00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:47,239
Speaker 4: for Manhattan. I think this game will be close. I

944
00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:49,319
Speaker 4: think Maris will probably pull it out in the end.

945
00:42:49,880 --> 00:42:54,080
Speaker 4: But I think getting seven ish here is too many,

946
00:42:54,760 --> 00:42:56,920
Speaker 4: and I think this ends up being like a one

947
00:42:56,960 --> 00:42:59,799
Speaker 4: to two possession game. I think Manhattan is a team

948
00:42:59,840 --> 00:43:03,279
Speaker 4: that trending up way later than I thought. So give

949
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:05,520
Speaker 4: me the Jaspers. All right, So it's time for our

950
00:43:05,680 --> 00:43:07,360
Speaker 4: the sixth check. We have to pick which one of

951
00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:12,399
Speaker 4: the three man Weaves picks we have to double up on. Now,

952
00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:15,759
Speaker 4: maybe we go If we will go Peters, that would

953
00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:18,880
Speaker 4: be a third. We know a lot of matt Ak exposure.

954
00:43:20,239 --> 00:43:22,120
Speaker 4: I don't have a great feel on that game. I

955
00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:23,960
Speaker 4: can't figure out Mamuth. I know they had like that

956
00:43:24,080 --> 00:43:27,400
Speaker 4: COVID pause, and I don't mind the other two the

957
00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:29,640
Speaker 4: Troy wrench. I think it probably worked in their favor

958
00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:32,120
Speaker 4: against Texas State next they clinched the rego season title.

959
00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:35,040
Speaker 4: I don't And then you know, if you look at

960
00:43:35,080 --> 00:43:39,319
Speaker 4: the the IVY game between Princeton and Harvard, I mean

961
00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:43,160
Speaker 4: Harvard has been tremendously disappointing this year. But if you

962
00:43:43,200 --> 00:43:45,040
Speaker 4: look at the IVY standings, the way that the IVY

963
00:43:45,320 --> 00:43:47,440
Speaker 4: League works is only for the top four teams make

964
00:43:47,480 --> 00:43:47,880
Speaker 4: the tournament.

965
00:43:47,920 --> 00:43:49,080
Speaker 2: It's played over one weekend.

966
00:43:49,760 --> 00:43:52,239
Speaker 4: Yale is ten and two, Princeton is nine and two,

967
00:43:52,719 --> 00:43:55,040
Speaker 4: Penn is nine and three. They're all in, and then

968
00:43:55,080 --> 00:43:58,439
Speaker 4: you have Harvard at five and six, Cornell at five

969
00:43:58,520 --> 00:44:00,960
Speaker 4: and seven. You know, the Brown and Dartmouth are four

970
00:44:01,000 --> 00:44:02,800
Speaker 4: and eighth, so it's probably gonna come down between Harvard

971
00:44:02,840 --> 00:44:05,640
Speaker 4: and Cornell. Harvard, as you know, they played Princeton on

972
00:44:05,680 --> 00:44:07,799
Speaker 4: the road on Friday, and then they played Princeton at

973
00:44:07,880 --> 00:44:09,000
Speaker 4: home on Sunday.

974
00:44:09,000 --> 00:44:11,239
Speaker 2: Then they finish up with Dartmouth. So this is a

975
00:44:11,560 --> 00:44:13,400
Speaker 2: huge game for Harvard.

976
00:44:13,920 --> 00:44:18,319
Speaker 4: But Princeton is playing extremely well of late, demolished Brown

977
00:44:18,360 --> 00:44:20,800
Speaker 4: on the road last weekend and then one at Yale.

978
00:44:21,080 --> 00:44:23,480
Speaker 2: What are you thinking? You've been picking well and I've

979
00:44:23,600 --> 00:44:26,200
Speaker 2: literally your choices down. So I'll let you. You can

980
00:44:26,280 --> 00:44:28,040
Speaker 2: go anywhere you want. You can even go Peters if

981
00:44:28,080 --> 00:44:28,319
Speaker 2: you want.

982
00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:31,239
Speaker 6: Yeah, it's I'll be honest, I'm with you. I don't

983
00:44:32,000 --> 00:44:33,360
Speaker 6: this is one of those weeks I don't have a

984
00:44:33,480 --> 00:44:36,280
Speaker 6: great like, Yes, I love that pick type of thing. Obviously,

985
00:44:36,800 --> 00:44:40,879
Speaker 6: Princeton is definitely overvalued. The problem is is I want

986
00:44:41,080 --> 00:44:43,480
Speaker 6: like I watched that Brown game and boy did I

987
00:44:43,520 --> 00:44:47,239
Speaker 6: come boy very impressed with their offense. So and you know,

988
00:44:47,320 --> 00:44:49,719
Speaker 6: Harvard has sustained some injuries from earlier in the season.

989
00:44:49,760 --> 00:44:52,200
Speaker 6: They've been kind a little bit short handed down here

990
00:44:52,560 --> 00:44:56,880
Speaker 6: on stretched. But this number is a tad high for Princeton.

991
00:44:57,560 --> 00:44:59,200
Speaker 6: You don't know if Harvard is going to put everything

992
00:44:59,239 --> 00:45:00,920
Speaker 6: into you know, their home game against them, but it

993
00:45:00,960 --> 00:45:03,720
Speaker 6: obviously this game means a ton. That's where I'm leaning

994
00:45:04,440 --> 00:45:08,759
Speaker 6: the Sunbell game with not much you know, implications. I

995
00:45:08,840 --> 00:45:10,200
Speaker 6: think there's just too much up in the air to

996
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:12,960
Speaker 6: play it for us. But I'll leave it up to

997
00:45:13,040 --> 00:45:16,200
Speaker 6: you Peters or Harvard as the finals saying all right.

998
00:45:16,120 --> 00:45:19,560
Speaker 2: We'll go Harvard. That'll be the double up game that

999
00:45:19,880 --> 00:45:20,759
Speaker 2: will do it for us.

1000
00:45:21,239 --> 00:45:23,480
Speaker 4: Make sure you download the word Winning Action Network at

1001
00:45:23,520 --> 00:45:26,640
Speaker 4: We'll have lots of content all throughout the weekend and

1002
00:45:26,800 --> 00:45:28,640
Speaker 4: through the end of the tournament and for any other

1003
00:45:28,680 --> 00:45:31,040
Speaker 4: sport you're looking for betting and fill on. Make sure,

1004
00:45:31,160 --> 00:45:33,440
Speaker 4: as I mentioned earlier, subscribe onun subscribed, subscribe to a

1005
00:45:33,480 --> 00:45:36,080
Speaker 4: friend tone enemy. As always, thanks to bj for joining me,

1006
00:45:36,160 --> 00:45:38,480
Speaker 4: Thanks Colin Wilson and the guys from the Three Men

1007
00:45:38,560 --> 00:45:42,280
Speaker 4: Weave as well. We'll be back next week Monday, Wednesday Friday.

1008
00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:45,200
Speaker 4: You can also find us this Saturday ten thirty am

1009
00:45:45,280 --> 00:45:48,680
Speaker 4: Eastern Live for Big Bets on Campus Live. Me and

1010
00:45:48,760 --> 00:45:51,919
Speaker 4: the guys from Three Man Weave will cover Saturday Slate,

1011
00:45:52,600 --> 00:45:57,080
Speaker 4: and don't worry, we're gonna have multiple episodes covering every single.

1012
00:45:56,920 --> 00:45:59,360
Speaker 2: Conference sort of, so stay tuned for those. Thanks for

1013
00:45:59,440 --> 00:46:02,799
Speaker 2: tuning in a rageous this weekend, and we will see

1014
00:46:02,840 --> 00:46:03,720
Speaker 2: you next week. Cheers