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Speaker 1: All right, thanks Scott Shannon, and happy Monday, Gladua with

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Speaker 1: us right down our toll free number, it's eight hundred

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Speaker 1: and nine four one, Sean. If you want to be

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Speaker 1: a part of the program, we do have the House,

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Speaker 1: and we're going to go over all the numbers with you.

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Speaker 1: In spite of I know Democrats and their wish list,

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Speaker 1: and they've been hoping and praying and spinning like a

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Speaker 1: like a top in the hopes that they can convince

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Speaker 1: people that they really have a shot there. They don't.

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Speaker 1: And we're going to go through all of these numbers

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Speaker 1: because they matter and getting there is is gonna be

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Speaker 1: what's important. And I think it's just important to understand

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Speaker 1: most people don't have the time to go over, you know,

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Speaker 1: all the races that are going to matter and ultimately

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Speaker 1: decide the balance of power in the House of Representatives.

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Speaker 1: Look what they've been looking at. Republicans now are at

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Speaker 1: two twelve and there is Arizona six, and that doesn't

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Speaker 1: seem like it's going to be a problem for Republicans

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Speaker 1: in California California twenty seven, forty one, forty five. Those

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Speaker 1: look to be like there's going to be leads Oregon.

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Speaker 1: Five just got called for the Republican Laurie Chavez, a

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Speaker 1: dermer Brandon Williams in New York. I'll get to some

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Speaker 1: of that in a second. Schwiker just got called by

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Speaker 1: one particular group. But anyway, first start in Oregon. We

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Speaker 1: got the call that Lorie Chavez the reamer that got

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Speaker 1: us to two twelve. This is over the weekend. And

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Speaker 1: then if you look at for example, California, forty one

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Speaker 1: Riverside County added sixteen eighty eight hundred and sixty eight

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Speaker 1: votes and they broke fifty six forty four for Calvert

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Speaker 1: and he has a significant four thousand plus lead there

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Speaker 1: with only forty one thousand ballots left. And they expect

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Speaker 1: that they continue to be positive, you know, from what

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Speaker 1: they know about the ballots out there. So that's good

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Speaker 1: for the Republicans. There was already one decision desk headquarters

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Speaker 1: made it a call for or Schweigert, Republican winning house

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Speaker 1: the house race in Arizona's first congressional district, that was

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Speaker 1: made earlier today. Now, the Cook report kind of slants

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Speaker 1: a little left, and they actually put Dave Wasserman, who

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Speaker 1: knows these numbers, backwards and forwards if you follow them

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Speaker 1: on Twitter. Sweet baby James does for me anyway. Arizona one,

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Speaker 1: Arizona six, California forty one. He says, dreams of the

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Speaker 1: House Democrats, Democrats in the householding the majority probably died,

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Speaker 1: And then he tweeted out even further the new math

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Speaker 1: for Republicans and either called or most likely republicans you know,

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Speaker 1: brings them to anywhere from two twenty to two twenty four,

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Speaker 1: Arizona one, Arizona six, California three twenty seven, one forty five.

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Speaker 1: Looks like Lauren Bobert will hang on in her race

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Speaker 1: New York twenty two and Oregon five, which we had

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Speaker 1: mentioned earlier. And there's a couple of toss ups to

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Speaker 1: add there as well that might actually pay had their

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Speaker 1: lead a little bit. Brandon Williams seems to have been

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Speaker 1: called by the Cook Report to have defeated Francis Canole

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Speaker 1: or Canole in New York's twenty second district. And also

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Speaker 1: Mark Molinari. I don't even know if that was on

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Speaker 1: the list. He was a Democrat to Republican flip as well.

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Speaker 1: So you know, the first thing I want to say

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Speaker 1: to everybody is everyone needs to take a deep breath.

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Speaker 1: I'm watching and listening to people, and I'm like you,

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Speaker 1: people are out of your mind. There's reasons for the

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Speaker 1: way the war, why people feel the way that they feel,

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Speaker 1: that make a hell of a lot of sense. By

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Speaker 1: the way, this also in the New York Times is

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Speaker 1: even predicting the Republicans now will win the House, and

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Speaker 1: they're predicting a minimum of two hundred and twenty one

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Speaker 1: seats anyway, so that that part of it is is

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Speaker 1: not really in dispute anymore. And I know many have

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Speaker 1: been worried over it. I'd probably spent most of the

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Speaker 1: weekend going over every race, every number, you know, all

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Speaker 1: week and long, so I would be prepared for today.

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Speaker 1: And I think that some I think we got to

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Speaker 1: go over some of the expectations that people had in

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Speaker 1: all of this, and I think how people's expectations got

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Speaker 1: a little out of whack. And you know, I understand

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Speaker 1: exuberant sometimes and there are good reasons for some of this,

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Speaker 1: but I don't want to minimize what Republicans winning the

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Speaker 1: House is here. It's critical. That means you get the

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Speaker 1: power of chairmanships, that means you get to set the

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Speaker 1: agenda in the House. That means you get the power

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Speaker 1: of subpoena. That means that all those investigations from the

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Speaker 1: origins of the COVID nineteen virus to zero experience Hunter

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Speaker 1: and his implication of his own father concerned. It's enormously

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Speaker 1: The difference between being in power and out of power

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Speaker 1: is massive. It will be a critical check on Joe

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Speaker 1: Biden and his agenda. How herschel Walker's race means a lot.

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Speaker 1: And I'm going to tell you my theory, I would

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Speaker 1: not at all be surprised eyes of herschel Walker wins

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Speaker 1: in Georgia and you see somebody like Joe Mansion say,

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Speaker 1: you know what, I've had it with this party. After

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Speaker 1: Joe Biden's comments about the coal industry and the days

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Speaker 1: leading up to the election and his comments about not

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Speaker 1: having any oil exploration in the country, and Joe Mansion

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Speaker 1: publicly rebuking Biden before the election, and then of course

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Speaker 1: after they pressured Biden. Remember when Joe Mansion was standing

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Speaker 1: up against the Democrats, he was at like a seventy

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Speaker 1: percent approval rating in West Virginia. As soon as he

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Speaker 1: gave in to the Inflation Quote Reduction Act or the

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Speaker 1: tax the poor, middle class and people I'm fixed income Act.

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Speaker 1: His ratings plummeted in the state of West Virginia to

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Speaker 1: like thirty eight. You know, don't think that. You know,

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Speaker 1: after Chuck Schumer and Joe Biden, remember they made a

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Speaker 1: deal with Mansion and they said, if you go along

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Speaker 1: with this bill, we will get you a pipeline that

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Speaker 1: you've been asking for. And now they basically have said

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Speaker 1: to him, sorry, we don't have the votes, can't get

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Speaker 1: it done. Now, if I'm Joe Mansion and my party

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Speaker 1: is against the single biggest driver of the economy in

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Speaker 1: my state, I'm going to be looking at the other

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Speaker 1: party and possibly switch party. So something like that I

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Speaker 1: could absolutely see happening. I'm not calling it. I'm just

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Speaker 1: saying it's it's a possibility. Um. Look, and I'm getting

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Speaker 1: a little sick, Linda. How many times have people said,

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Speaker 1: people like Hannity, we're out there telling the people that

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Speaker 1: this is going to be a wave of election. Did

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Speaker 1: I at any point ever say that. No, he said

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Speaker 1: the exact opposite. Actually, And how many times do you

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Speaker 1: think over the last year, starting in January, have I

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Speaker 1: said it, don't get complacent, don't get comfortable. It's not

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Speaker 1: over till it's over. You have to vote. I mean,

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Speaker 1: how hard the Senate is going to be to win.

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Speaker 1: They're all swing states, other states, every single day, every day.

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Speaker 1: All right, you put it together, a montage of it,

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Speaker 1: let's play it. Let's remember. Think you're tired of being

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Speaker 1: a line about I think your admonition is point on.

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Speaker 1: I don't want anybody getting too cocky. And I've been

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Speaker 1: saying that the Senate is going to be particularly hard

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Speaker 1: because you have all these Bellweather state I never want

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Speaker 1: people being overconfident. I mean, right now, if you would

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Speaker 1: ask me if Republicans win the House and Senate, I

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Speaker 1: say they probably win the House easily. The Senate is

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Speaker 1: harder because of the states that are in play. I mean,

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Speaker 1: we're looking at every bell Weather state. You've got Florida,

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Speaker 1: You've got Georgia, You've got North and South Carolina. You've

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Speaker 1: got New Hampshire, You've got Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, You've got Ohio,

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Speaker 1: you've got Nevada, you've got Arizona. You've got Missouri, you've

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Speaker 1: got Colorado, You've got the state of Washington. None of

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Speaker 1: these states are easy for Republicans to win, and they

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Speaker 1: have to hold in very key states and then they

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Speaker 1: have to win another key state. So it's not easy.

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Speaker 1: And then I look at the Senate and I get

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Speaker 1: concerned because every state that we're looking at is a

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Speaker 1: Bellweather states. It's all on the line, and I I

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Speaker 1: don't like to make predictions on elections. I like to

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Speaker 1: give you a realistic snapshot. And right now I cannot

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Speaker 1: say with confidence that the Republicans are going to take

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Speaker 1: the House and Senate. I think the odds are much

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Speaker 1: higher for the House. We've got some tough races in

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Speaker 1: the Senate. We've got some tough gubernatorial races around the country.

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Speaker 1: There's still battles going on for these Senate races. I mean,

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Speaker 1: every every state that I'm mentioning is at Bellwether state.

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Speaker 1: Maybe away. It can go either way. Now, I'm not

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Speaker 1: mad at people that did have a more confident viewer

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Speaker 1: optimistic view on things. I'm not at all. And there

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Speaker 1: are actually really intelligent reasons that people had a right

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Speaker 1: to be. The problem is it wasn't just optimism. Was

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Speaker 1: it was exuberance to the point where you know, you

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Speaker 1: can cause complacency if people begin to think that things

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Speaker 1: are going to go their way. Historical trends first term

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Speaker 1: president's mid term elections usually leave you know, something else

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Speaker 1: happened in last year's midterms. If you remember, we were

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Speaker 1: supposed to lose a lot of seats and I think

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Speaker 1: we picked up fourteen, so there might have been a

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Speaker 1: lot fewer seats available on the map anyway. The other

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Speaker 1: thing that we're going to have to get to the

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Speaker 1: bottom of is this issue of redistricting and jerrymandering and

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Speaker 1: whether or not Republicans were played and didn't do a

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Speaker 1: good job on that part. I'd like to know the

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Speaker 1: answer to it. I did say a wave is possible

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Speaker 1: based on the conditions at the economy and the borders

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Speaker 1: in Afghanistan and energy costs, etc. But it didn't guarantee it.

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Speaker 1: Then you have other issues that had an impact on

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Speaker 1: this election. In some cases it was poor candidates election,

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Speaker 1: and the number one issue for Democrats was abortion. Two

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Speaker 1: perfect examples. I'll tell you three states that were impacted

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Speaker 1: by the abortion issue. Every ad that Kathy Hookel ran

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Speaker 1: in New York State said that he was going to

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Speaker 1: end abortion. It wasn't true, but every ad said it,

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Speaker 1: And because he was personally pro life, I don't think

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Speaker 1: he got a good He did a good job in

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Speaker 1: the campaign. He came as far as he can come.

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Speaker 1: But I think an ad that would have said I

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Speaker 1: am not going to change the abortion laws probably would

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Speaker 1: have helped lee Zelden even further. Could he have won,

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Speaker 1: There's no way I could tell, But I can tell

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Speaker 1: you it had a big impact in the Pennsylvania race

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Speaker 1: because what the government gubernatorial candidate top of the ticket,

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Speaker 1: Mostriano had made no exceptions for rape, incest to the

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Speaker 1: mother's life, lost by fourteen in a purple state like Pennsylvania. Now,

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Speaker 1: some people said, well as should have won. Well Oz

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Speaker 1: was able to and he did make the exceptions. He

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Speaker 1: was able to get you know, double digit tickets splitting

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Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania, which is almost unheard of, meaning people would

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Speaker 1: vote for the Democrat for governor and vote for him

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Speaker 1: the Republican for Senate to get double digits, him only

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Speaker 1: losing by two versus the gubernatorial candidate. You know, it

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Speaker 1: says a lot. I mean, you know, look at Ohio.

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Speaker 1: I'm happy about JD. Vance's win, but he won by

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Speaker 1: six point seven and the wine the last time I

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Speaker 1: checked one by twenty five. And so there there's certainly,

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Speaker 1: you know, issues involving a lot of these things. Tutor

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Speaker 1: Dixon was a phenomenal candidate, and I didn't realize until

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Speaker 1: very late that she made no exceptions. That's not good.

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Speaker 1: So in that sense, you know, we have to we

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Speaker 1: have to be realistic. If we're going to play in

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Speaker 1: states that tend to be purple or blue, you're gonna

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Speaker 1: have to make adjustments that you wouldn't otherwise want to make. Otherwise,

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Speaker 1: you put yourself in a position where, especially after the

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Speaker 1: Dab's decision, that you have no chance at all, to

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Speaker 1: the extent that the Democrats closing message about Megamaga democracy

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Speaker 1: and jeopardy abortion is going to be outlawed Republicans. Theyllied

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Speaker 1: about Republicans wanting to cut social security and medicare. How

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Speaker 1: effective those lies were, I don't know. Artificially reducing the

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Speaker 1: cost of gasol by artificially increasing the world supply, by

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Speaker 1: compromising national security and releasing the strategic petroleum reserves, I

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Speaker 1: guess politically you can tip your hat to buy, but

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Speaker 1: it did put our national security at risk in the process.

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Speaker 1: We're now at the lowest level in fifty years. I

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Speaker 1: think for some reason people voted even against their very

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Speaker 1: best interest just because the country is so divided. There

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Speaker 1: was no open mindedness at all. I mean, if it

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Speaker 1: was a D, you're voting D. If it was an R,

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Speaker 1: you're going to vote R. But then it raises something

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Speaker 1: I cannot wrap my mind around. It is how to

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Speaker 1: Republicans win five million more votes than Democrats in terms

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Speaker 1: because we never win the popular vote and only come

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Speaker 1: away with a smaller victory in the House, not a

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Speaker 1: larger victory in the House. That doesn't make sense. And then,

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Speaker 1: of course my theory on accelerated migration. We don't pay

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Speaker 1: attention to this. And the most important thing is is

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Speaker 1: if you're happy with what's gone on and is going

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Speaker 1: on in Arizona, if you think this is a good system,

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Speaker 1: if you think what happens and has been happening in

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Speaker 1: Nevada is a good system. And if you think the

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Speaker 1: fact we can't get congressional races counted in California, if

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Speaker 1: you think this is a good system and the disaster

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Speaker 1: of Alaska. We may not know until Thanksgiving, so we

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Speaker 1: are told, if you think this is a good system,

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Speaker 1: it's not. You know, ninety days of voting before an

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Speaker 1: election This has to stop not having voter ID. I

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Speaker 1: didn't have to show my ID when I voted in

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Speaker 1: New York. That's insanity. There's got to be some level

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Speaker 1: of standards. My choice would be election day as a

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Speaker 1: holiday and people can vote apps and tee if they're infirmed,

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Speaker 1: if they're going to be out of town, if they're

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Speaker 1: in the military. Otherwise, we have partisan observers on election day,

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Speaker 1: watch the voting, and then later after the polls closed,

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Speaker 1: watch the vote counting, and then we all get the

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Speaker 1: answer that night, like Canada does and Great Britain does,

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Speaker 1: and France does, all paper ballots. Because you know how,

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Speaker 1: even if Republicans win in Arizona, how could you be

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Speaker 1: a Democrat and say, wow, I have a lot of

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Speaker 1: there's so much integrity in the system. What fifty thousand

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Speaker 1: votes here, fifty thousand votes there? Marco Rubio said the best,

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Speaker 1: they counted seven and a half million ballots in five

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Speaker 1: hours in Florida, and now you're telling us you can't

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Speaker 1: do it in a week. It's insane. With much lower populations.

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Speaker 1: This has to change. Every American, regardless of whether you're

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Speaker 1: a Democrat, Republican, liberal conservatives, should be livid about this.

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Speaker 1: You know what's sad too, is the extent to which

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Speaker 1: voting in this country has dramatically changed. You know, I

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Speaker 1: look at these numbers and I find them unbelievable. I

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Speaker 1: look out, for example, in Arizona, and there's no question

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Speaker 1: that Republicans who control states like Arizona. Now again you

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Speaker 1: have Katie Hobbs running the election, yet she's running for governor,

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Speaker 1: complete conflict of ventures. Should have refused herself. But you know,

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Speaker 1: for Democrats, you know, elections are now lasting weeks and

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Speaker 1: in some cases months. In Arizona, you can literally cast

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Speaker 1: your ballot by mail anytime, starting a full ninety three

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Speaker 1: days before the election. Ninety three days what to campus

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Speaker 1: nursing homes and senior centers and high school and college

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Speaker 1: campuses and whatever. I'm not even talking about anything nefarious,

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Speaker 1: you know, just the pure length of time. I don't

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Speaker 1: think a vote should take place until every final debate

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Speaker 1: has been taken has happened. I think people deserve those debates,

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Speaker 1: and in many cases most Democrats they either didn't debate

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Speaker 1: like Katie Hobbs, or they debated like John Fetterman. Just

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Speaker 1: you know, a week before the election, after five or

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Speaker 1: six weeks of voting had taken place. How is this

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Speaker 1: fair to the American voter? Is on right now, all right,

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Speaker 1: twenty five now until the top of the hour. Eight

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Speaker 1: hundred and nine put one, Shawn is our number. If

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Speaker 1: you want to be a part of the program. Is

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Speaker 1: there anybody in this country they can make the case

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Speaker 1: if you can call me now, eight hundred and nine

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Speaker 1: four one Sean is our number that what is happening

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Speaker 1: in Arizona, Nevada, in California, especially in Alaska is the

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Speaker 1: best we can do. But the country, now, we're going

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Speaker 1: to go over all of the House races tell you

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Speaker 1: where we are, but it's it's going to be the

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Speaker 1: Republicans in charge of the House by every objective measure

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Speaker 1: that I see in every every vote count that I've

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Speaker 1: gone over, which has been exhausting, but sick and tired

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Speaker 1: of having all this, tell me how this is good

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Speaker 1: for this country? Well, and if we start from the

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Speaker 1: basics and you ask the question what would be the

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Speaker 1: best voting system the United States of America could adopt,

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Speaker 1: what would your answer be? You know, I know that

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Speaker 1: on election Day I was kind of making a joke

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Speaker 1: over the fact even though there's nothing funny about it.

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Speaker 1: Carrie Lake heads to the polls out in Arizona and

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Speaker 1: she's going to put in her vote in some tabulator,

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Speaker 1: and the tabulator is not tabulating or accepting the tabulations.

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Speaker 1: And that was a pretty widespread issue at the time,

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Speaker 1: and everybody acknowledge that that in fact happened. And then

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Speaker 1: people are given an option, Okay, well you can go

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Speaker 1: to another precinct, or you can put it in drawing

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Speaker 1: number three. What's drawing number three. Well, we'll put it

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Speaker 1: right here and it'll be counted as a regular ballot,

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Speaker 1: accounted separately. How do you how do you get to

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Speaker 1: election day? And that's the best we're capable of. We

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Speaker 1: deserve better than this. We deserve much better than this.

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Speaker 1: And it happens. If every other state, forty six states

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Speaker 1: can do it the right way and give us an

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Speaker 1: answer on the day of or the next morning or

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Speaker 1: the next day, then you know, why can't they. You know,

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Speaker 1: there's there's some things that I can't explain. I can't

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Speaker 1: explain how the Republicans won the popular vote, which they

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Speaker 1: never win, by over five million votes, and so many

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Speaker 1: of these House races ended up being that tight and

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Speaker 1: many tip to the Democrats without explanation, I can't explain

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Speaker 1: how New Hampshire would vote for a common sense conservative.

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Speaker 1: You know, Chris new New Granted he may not be

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Speaker 1: as conservative as me, but he's a smart guy. He's

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Speaker 1: a common sense conservative who's done a great job for

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Speaker 1: the people in New Hampshire. And then you have a

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Speaker 1: radical new Green deal socialist Democrat. He wins by double digits,

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Speaker 1: and the radical socialist wins by double digits. I can't

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Speaker 1: explain that. I can't explain why in purple or blue

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Speaker 1: states any Republican would think that they had a shot

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Speaker 1: after the Dabb's decision of running on no abortions at

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Speaker 1: all whatsoever, without exceptions. I'm not talking about the issue

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Speaker 1: of abortion. I'm talking about the political viability of the position,

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Speaker 1: knowing the state that you're running in and knowing that that,

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Speaker 1: for example, as you run in New York or California,

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Speaker 1: I promise you, if you run as somebody that takes

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Speaker 1: that position, you are going to lose, and lose badly.

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Speaker 1: And that's what happened in the governor's race in the

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Speaker 1: state of Pennsylvania, and then that ended up impacting every

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Speaker 1: other down ballot candidate, including Oz, who was able to

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Speaker 1: get double digit ticket switching because he did make the

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Speaker 1: exceptions versus his Republican counterpart. He only lost by what

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Speaker 1: two little over two points. The Republican governor rant lost

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Speaker 1: by fourteen. You know, one thing I got to give

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Speaker 1: Lee Zeldon credit for by keeping it so close in

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Speaker 1: New York, I think he was able to draft some

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Speaker 1: Republicans that were running for Congress into victory. You know,

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Speaker 1: this one case of the DCC chair Sean Patrick Maloney

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Speaker 1: in Rockland County losing to Michael all Or was a

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Speaker 1: big deal. I now have a Republican congressman. His name

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Speaker 1: is Congressman Santos. I don't really know much about him,

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Speaker 1: but I'm glad he won. I did vote for him anyway.

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Speaker 1: It's it's pretty interesting, you know, the whole thing. But

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Speaker 1: if you look at the math, and this is from

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Speaker 1: the Bipartisan Cook Report, the new math shows the GOP

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Speaker 1: now pretty much mathematically. You know, the Democrats have no

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Speaker 1: shot at the House, which I know they've been hoping

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Speaker 1: for and getting the media to weigh in on. They've

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Speaker 1: now projected Mark mull and Arrow will win the election

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Speaker 1: for his seat and that's New York's nineteenth district, also

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Speaker 1: calling or saying it will be called. The Republicans have

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Speaker 1: significant leads in Arizona one six, California three, twenty seven,

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Speaker 1: one forty five. Lauren Bobert now is the probable winner

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Speaker 1: in Colorado, but again there's still a couple of thousand

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Speaker 1: votes left to count there, but she's up by I

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Speaker 1: think about eleven twelve votes last time I looked New

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Speaker 1: York twenty two. Oregon five has already been called Republican.

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Speaker 1: So you know, that's that's the latest on all these things.

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Speaker 1: But there's some things I can't explain. Some things I

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Speaker 1: can't explain. I do think that the biggest game changer,

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Speaker 1: the one thing we've got to look at is whether

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Speaker 1: or not Republicans did a poor job at redistricting. This

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Speaker 1: is the first election since they've had redistricting, which happens

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Speaker 1: every ten years based on demographic shifts and changes. I

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Speaker 1: don't know the answer to it. You know, when New Gingrich,

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Speaker 1: somebody as smart as him, says I have to rethink

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Speaker 1: every model I've ever known my entire political career. That's

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Speaker 1: telling you something. You know. One simple answer is voting

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Speaker 1: rules have changed in the country as per COVID, and

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Speaker 1: they've not gone back in most locations. There's got to

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Speaker 1: be I cannot believe so many people think it's just

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Speaker 1: perfectly fine to have ninety days of voting, or sixty

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Speaker 1: days of voting, a thirty days of voting, or to

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Speaker 1: have voting before candidates ever debate, or those that avoid

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Speaker 1: debating altogether. I'm not going to really get involved now

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Speaker 1: in this issue of who's in power until we get

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Speaker 1: the final result, counts, etc. Etc. But that's out there.

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Speaker 1: Look I mentioned before, voting is simply changed. You can't

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Speaker 1: have weeks and weeks of voting. You can't let these

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Speaker 1: candidates hide in the basement. The complicit media will never

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Speaker 1: ask questions. You can have elections without voter ID. It's sad,

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Speaker 1: but it's true that if you follow the Joe Biden

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Speaker 1: basement bunker strategy, it tends to work because people don't

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Speaker 1: learn a thing about you and whatever. You know. You

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Speaker 1: hire a couple of people that are good on social media,

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Speaker 1: and you just do the bare minimum in terms of

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Speaker 1: public appearances. That tends to lend itself to the idea

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Speaker 1: that less is more and there's no reason to even

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Speaker 1: bother getting involved in campaigning. You know, kay, how does

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Speaker 1: Katie Hobbs not campaign in Arizona, not debate in Arizona.

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Speaker 1: You know, John Fetterman, he hid the entire time, and

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Speaker 1: the media was fine with it, never asked him the

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Speaker 1: tough questions. Then when he came out, he actually, I

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Speaker 1: never said I want a moratorium on fracking. Not only

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Speaker 1: did you say it. We have it all on tape.

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Speaker 1: I never wanted the release of prisoners. We've got it

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Speaker 1: on tape. You know, that's not true. That story about

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Speaker 1: the African American jogger. We have him on tape saying

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Speaker 1: you pointed a gun at him. We have you on

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Speaker 1: tape saying you probably vote, you know, broke the law.

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Speaker 1: You know, did people just ignore some of these positions

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Speaker 1: some of these radicals, I don't know. You know that

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Speaker 1: the three most radical candidates running certainly were Fetterman and

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Speaker 1: Mandela Barnes and and Ron Johnson had one hundred million

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Speaker 1: dollars in money dumped on his head. And this radical,

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Speaker 1: you know, nearly snuck in there. And it's crazy how

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Speaker 1: I'm saying that that's this guy man Della Barnes doesn't

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Speaker 1: reflect Wisconsin. That I can tell you as a fact

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Speaker 1: um and you know, maybe the economic pain issues, maybe

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Speaker 1: it's just hasn't been bad enough yet for people. But

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Speaker 1: you know, now I get to my other theory that

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Speaker 1: nobody that I've been explaining to people. But I think

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Speaker 1: people are now finally beginning to understand it. And let's see,

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Speaker 1: I just got this out of Let's see, Kerry Lake

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Speaker 1: is closing the gap. I don't know if it's going

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Speaker 1: to be enough. Apparent they believe every vote left and

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Speaker 1: I talked to her team today, one hundred and seventy

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Speaker 1: thousand votes outstanding. They believe the vast majority of them

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Speaker 1: a day of dropped off votes. But what I don't

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Speaker 1: know and don't understand is last week they had six

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00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,520
Speaker 1: a thousand ballots, and they believe four hundred of the thousand,

430
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:06,560
Speaker 1: four hundred thousand of the six hundred thousand word day

431
00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:10,520
Speaker 1: of votes that were dropped off. So only now it's

432
00:25:10,560 --> 00:25:14,320
Speaker 1: beginning to show up as she literally made up I

433
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,399
Speaker 1: think about twelve thousand votes in the last twenty four hours,

434
00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:19,920
Speaker 1: which is a significant amount. That race is not over

435
00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:25,560
Speaker 1: by any means. So I've been telling everybody about about

436
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:30,399
Speaker 1: what I call accelerated migration. What does that mean? Okay,

437
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:36,119
Speaker 1: so people when they retire, they often relieve states like

438
00:25:36,280 --> 00:25:44,280
Speaker 1: New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Illinois, Michigan, Indiana, and

439
00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:49,440
Speaker 1: many of them are moving to the Carolinas because it's cheaper,

440
00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:53,040
Speaker 1: it's better weather, it's better living conditions. They want to

441
00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:54,480
Speaker 1: get out of the big city. They don't want to

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00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:58,080
Speaker 1: pay high taxes. The reason I call it accelerated is

443
00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:03,200
Speaker 1: COVID accelerated this migration. What does that mean? That means

444
00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 1: parents were fed up with their kids not having you know,

445
00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:10,760
Speaker 1: in class education, but they can go down to Florida

446
00:26:10,840 --> 00:26:13,200
Speaker 1: and get it. And many decided, you know what, I'm

447
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:15,159
Speaker 1: going to be moving in a few years anyway, let

448
00:26:15,160 --> 00:26:18,679
Speaker 1: me get out of here now. People fleeing high tax states,

449
00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:21,520
Speaker 1: all the ones that I just mentioned. If you look

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00:26:21,560 --> 00:26:24,920
Speaker 1: at the east coast of Florida, you know it's it's

451
00:26:25,359 --> 00:26:28,240
Speaker 1: you know, pretty dominated by people from New York, New Jersey,

452
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:31,280
Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania. If you look at the west coast of Florida,

453
00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:37,720
Speaker 1: it's very Midwestern, people from Indiana, people from Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois,

454
00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:40,600
Speaker 1: they're all down there. And the people that are moving

455
00:26:41,320 --> 00:26:44,760
Speaker 1: are tend to be more conservative that want lower taxes,

456
00:26:44,800 --> 00:26:49,240
Speaker 1: that are tired with burdensome bureaucracy. At the point of COVID,

457
00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:52,119
Speaker 1: they decided that was the tipping point for them, and

458
00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:55,080
Speaker 1: they wanted their kids to have in person education, so

459
00:26:55,119 --> 00:26:57,280
Speaker 1: that that pushed them over and they made the switch.

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00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:01,000
Speaker 1: And now we have a state. For example, people are

461
00:27:01,000 --> 00:27:03,800
Speaker 1: move into Texas and massive numbers. They're moving to the

462
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:06,960
Speaker 1: Carolinas and big numbers Tennessee and big numbers in the

463
00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:10,640
Speaker 1: state that is attracting the most people's the state of Florida.

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00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:14,160
Speaker 1: And it's now beginning to show itself. And the evidence

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00:27:14,200 --> 00:27:16,360
Speaker 1: that most of the people that decided to move a

466
00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:19,600
Speaker 1: conservative is look at the margin of victory by both

467
00:27:19,720 --> 00:27:23,399
Speaker 1: Rhonda Santis and Marco Rubio. And by the way, they

468
00:27:23,520 --> 00:27:26,280
Speaker 1: deserve a huge margin because they both have done a

469
00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:31,560
Speaker 1: phenomenal job. So, however, did you ever think, you know,

470
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 1: look at Rohnda Santis's race in twenty eighteen, won by

471
00:27:34,359 --> 00:27:37,840
Speaker 1: thirty three thousand votes. Now we won by twenty percent

472
00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:41,440
Speaker 1: of the vote, and same with Marco Rubio nearly won

473
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:44,160
Speaker 1: by twenty percent of the vote. They both have done

474
00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:47,800
Speaker 1: phenomenal jobs. They would have if everything stayed the same

475
00:27:47,880 --> 00:27:52,200
Speaker 1: from twenty eighteen. I would say absolutely, they would have.

476
00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:55,960
Speaker 1: They would have won by double digits or twenty percent.

477
00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:58,360
Speaker 1: When do we ever see that? So what it means

478
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:03,760
Speaker 1: is these states now are going to get red and redder.

479
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:07,560
Speaker 1: You know, North Carolina head budd he ran a great campaign,

480
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:10,960
Speaker 1: he won by a healthy margin. Is it in part

481
00:28:11,040 --> 00:28:14,879
Speaker 1: because of this accelerated migration, you know, Tim Scott, we

482
00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:17,640
Speaker 1: were able to call the race immediately. Is it because

483
00:28:17,720 --> 00:28:20,680
Speaker 1: so many people that tend to be more conservative they're

484
00:28:20,800 --> 00:28:24,440
Speaker 1: leaving these blue states and droves. Now here's the long

485
00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:28,080
Speaker 1: term problem. This now becomes a math problem, and that

486
00:28:28,320 --> 00:28:32,720
Speaker 1: is while more and more people head to countries, countries,

487
00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:36,080
Speaker 1: it's kind of like a different country, head to states

488
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:40,160
Speaker 1: that have more freedom, more liberty, lower taxes, warmer weather,

489
00:28:40,200 --> 00:28:44,080
Speaker 1: and a better lifestyle than they're leaving behind. States that

490
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:48,160
Speaker 1: are blue that now become even bluer, or purple that

491
00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:52,600
Speaker 1: now become blue, and all the states that I mentioned now,

492
00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:56,960
Speaker 1: prior to this election, if you wanted a Republican to

493
00:28:57,120 --> 00:29:00,840
Speaker 1: run for president and win, I've said this often, you'd

494
00:29:00,880 --> 00:29:04,320
Speaker 1: have to run the table. You'd have to win Florida

495
00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:07,880
Speaker 1: in Ohio. That's not an issue anymore. Now it's become

496
00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:10,720
Speaker 1: a whole different math equation. But now you're gonna have

497
00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:14,480
Speaker 1: to fight in Georgia because Georgia's gotten bluer. You know,

498
00:29:14,480 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 1: I know people are moving to the Carolinas and Florida.

499
00:29:17,720 --> 00:29:19,920
Speaker 1: They're not really moving to Georgia in the same numbers

500
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:22,120
Speaker 1: that they're moving to these other states. They're moving to

501
00:29:22,160 --> 00:29:25,800
Speaker 1: Tennessee before they're moving to Georgia. But that's an issue

502
00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:29,120
Speaker 1: for another day. But think about it. So they're more conservative.

503
00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:33,320
Speaker 1: So now, if if it was hard for a Republican

504
00:29:33,320 --> 00:29:35,720
Speaker 1: to ever win in New York, I would argue ten

505
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:41,400
Speaker 1: years ago Lee's Eldon similar exactly similar conditions, probably could

506
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:45,280
Speaker 1: have won. I would argue that Pennsylvania is going to

507
00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:48,920
Speaker 1: get harder and harder. It's purple now. But if all

508
00:29:49,320 --> 00:29:54,320
Speaker 1: this is accelerated migration out of Pennsylvania, especially if they

509
00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:57,400
Speaker 1: put the moratorium on fracking in the state, and that's

510
00:29:57,440 --> 00:29:59,640
Speaker 1: going to dry up jobs left and right, people are

511
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:03,920
Speaker 1: gonna abandoned Pennsylvania droves, and then it will become impossible

512
00:30:03,960 --> 00:30:07,320
Speaker 1: for a Republican presidential candidate to win, or nearly impossible.

513
00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:11,160
Speaker 1: The same thing with Wisconsin. I mean, you already see

514
00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:14,880
Speaker 1: the impact in a place like Wisconsin. Baby boomers now

515
00:30:14,880 --> 00:30:19,320
Speaker 1: are getting to retirement age. They want lower taxes, and

516
00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:22,760
Speaker 1: they want a better lifestyle, and they want less government,

517
00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:26,560
Speaker 1: and they don't want draconian shutdowns like they experienced during COVID.

518
00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:30,920
Speaker 1: COVID impacted everybody traumatized that half the country. Same with

519
00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:34,280
Speaker 1: Michigan and all these other states. If I'm right, all

520
00:30:34,320 --> 00:30:38,000
Speaker 1: of those states become harder. How is it Texas? You

521
00:30:38,040 --> 00:30:41,800
Speaker 1: know Greg Gabbett, he won by double digits. Look at

522
00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:44,280
Speaker 1: the You know, you take a U haul from California,

523
00:30:44,280 --> 00:30:48,200
Speaker 1: any place in California to Texas, thirty five hundred bucks.

524
00:30:48,520 --> 00:30:51,760
Speaker 1: You take it from Texas to California. They'll pretty much

525
00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:53,920
Speaker 1: pay you to do it for them. You're doing them

526
00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:56,040
Speaker 1: a favor. You can get it for four hundred bucks

527
00:30:56,080 --> 00:30:59,479
Speaker 1: and maybe negotiate even lower because they want the trucks

528
00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:01,720
Speaker 1: back in California because for the first time in one

529
00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:04,640
Speaker 1: hundred and seventy five years, they have a net loss

530
00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:08,959
Speaker 1: of population, not a net game. That's how badly that

531
00:31:09,000 --> 00:31:14,880
Speaker 1: state's been ruined. So this, wow, watch this closely accelerated

532
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:17,520
Speaker 1: baby boomer migration. It's going to be a big issue

533
00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:20,320
Speaker 1: right by the way when we come back, herschel Walker,

534
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:23,200
Speaker 1: we'll go over all of the numbers of all these

535
00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:26,240
Speaker 1: congressional races with the head of the DCCC. I'm sorry,

536
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:32,320
Speaker 1: the art the Republican National Committee, the NRCC, thank you anyway. Look,

537
00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:34,800
Speaker 1: if you want to save money in these tough economic times,

538
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:36,440
Speaker 1: have a perfect way to do it. It's all by

539
00:31:36,480 --> 00:31:39,200
Speaker 1: pure talk. Many of you have not yet abandoned your

540
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:42,000
Speaker 1: big carriers that are robbing your blind Verizon AT and

541
00:31:42,080 --> 00:31:44,880
Speaker 1: T T Mobile, you're overpaying. You get the exact same

542
00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 1: cell towers, exact same five G network. We're going to

543
00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:54,760
Speaker 1: go over in great specificity, in detail, how Republicans won

544
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:57,680
Speaker 1: the House and herschel Walker's coming up next time. We'll

545
00:31:57,680 --> 00:31:59,840
Speaker 1: get to your calls. Eight hundred nine for one seawn

546
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:06,840
Speaker 1: our number m HM