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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BED three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Volume podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman of the Action Network. I'm live

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Speaker 1: from my Tommy John remote studio here in my hotel room,

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Speaker 1: and I'm joined as always by my co host, my companion,

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Speaker 1: my compadre might BFF professional better, Simon Hunter Ero.

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Speaker 2: Simon, Chad, you picked a great time head out west.

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Speaker 2: It is cold on the East coast.

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Speaker 3: You know what, Simon.

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Speaker 1: Since I've been in La it has been gray and

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Speaker 1: sixty five degrees.

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Speaker 3: So I'm struggling.

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Speaker 1: It is not you know, a bowl of cherries out

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Speaker 1: here with my view of the ocean, just hobnobbin with

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Speaker 1: celabs and going to fancy places for dinner. I am

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Speaker 1: struggling right now, Okay. I mean I'm sitting in a

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Speaker 1: hotel room. I can barely control the ac It's not easy.

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Speaker 1: I would like a little bit of sympathy for myself.

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Speaker 1: Today is our NFL Week seven Best Bets episode, where

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Speaker 1: Simon and I narrow down our five picks in the

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Speaker 1: Favorites one hundred thousand dollars Pro Football Pick Them contests

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Speaker 1: presented by BET three sixty five. Sign up now Favorites

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Speaker 1: dot Action network dot com. We will also get into

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Speaker 1: the Foxhole, give out our Tommy John Big Balls Bet

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Speaker 1: of the Week, discuss Simon's bigg As Bets, ore Boosted

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Speaker 1: money Line, Underdog Parlay, the Underdog Round Robin, and so

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Speaker 1: much more. Bets are rolling in, the lines are moving,

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Speaker 1: decisions need to be made. As our volume podcast boss

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Speaker 1: Colin Coward likes.

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Speaker 3: To say there's a sea of money out there.

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Speaker 1: As a reminder, The Favorites podcast is presented by Bet

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Speaker 1: three sixty five and now new Bet three sixty five.

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Speaker 1: Customers get two hundred dollars in bonus bets. When you

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Speaker 1: bet five dollars, sign up using promo code Favorites, deposit

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Speaker 1: ten dollars, place a bet for five dollar to get

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Speaker 1: two hundred dollars in bonus bets. Those bonus bets can

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Speaker 1: be used on spreads, totals, player props, futures, and more.

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Speaker 1: Whatever the moment, It's never ordinary. A Bet three sixty

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Speaker 1: five must be twenty one or older and present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana,

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Speaker 1: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia or eighteen and older.

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Speaker 1: In Kentucky, gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler or

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Speaker 1: one eight hundred bets off. In Iowa terms, conditioned restrictions

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Speaker 1: apply all right, as always on Thursdays during the season,

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Speaker 1: we like to hear how the wise guys are responding

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Speaker 1: to our Tuesday conversation. We are that influential. We know

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Speaker 1: the lines are moving based on what we say, and

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Speaker 1: then the pros must tell us what they think of

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Speaker 1: our opinion. Simon, let's do Shreff calls.

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Speaker 4: Hello, he's there. I'm talking rain.

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Speaker 3: Rain telephone range.

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Speaker 4: Somebody said maybe.

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Speaker 2: One should do man.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, we'll start right away. The game we like. We

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Speaker 4: like Cleveland. They got to six and a half.

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Speaker 2: It's back down to five and a half, and a

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Speaker 2: lot of books should have known this was gonna come

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Speaker 2: back down, but no one thought of Mark Cooper was

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Speaker 2: worth a real point to the spread. So that was

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Speaker 2: a bad overreaction by the books. The professionals come in,

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Speaker 2: and I know played professionals. I still like them at

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Speaker 2: five and a half. So as long as you can

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Speaker 2: still find the six, which I would shop around for,

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Speaker 2: I think that's that's where the pros kind of have

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Speaker 2: broken on that one. So again, that's a game we're

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Speaker 2: gonna dive into pretty.

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Speaker 4: Heavy coming up here.

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Speaker 2: Surprisingly a game I flipped on a lot of pros,

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Speaker 2: a lot of guys. I talked to the sharp guys.

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Speaker 2: They love green Bay. They love green Bay minus two

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Speaker 2: and a half. So I know, I like, I'd like

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Speaker 2: to Houston. I like Houston a plus three. I'm probably

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Speaker 2: gonna avoid it, either take green Bay to two and

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Speaker 2: a half or just avoid it altogether. It just seems

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Speaker 2: like most of the guys I talk do like the

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Speaker 2: green Bay side. The reason seems pretty sound. I think

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Speaker 2: a lot of their thinking is the same with you.

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Speaker 2: It's like, this number should probably be three to three

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Speaker 2: and a half. You're getting two and a half because

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Speaker 2: there's so much respect and love the general public right now.

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Speaker 4: To CJ, the value definitely looks like it is on

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Speaker 4: green Bay.

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Speaker 5: There.

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Speaker 2: So a game I was pretty wrong about. A game

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Speaker 2: we nailed that the number had moved too much. The

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Speaker 2: Lions that was plus two and a half. Shout out

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Speaker 2: to anyone that does early entries like I do in

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Speaker 2: our contest. You were able to get the Lions two

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Speaker 2: and a half. That was nice to I did. I

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Speaker 2: just put my picks and usually right when we get

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Speaker 2: done our show on Tuesdays, I know our fans want

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Speaker 2: us to do Thursdays. So that's why I didn't even.

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Speaker 4: Hit chat up.

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Speaker 2: I was like, we can't put them these in any way.

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Speaker 2: But I knew that Detroit number was gonna move. It

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Speaker 2: was just insane that had gone up to two and

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Speaker 2: a half that came crashing back down at one and

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Speaker 2: a half. So it's nice to know we're on the

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Speaker 2: same side because I was scared. I was like, who's

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Speaker 2: moving all this Minnesota money? And I think me and

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Speaker 2: you talk about it all the time, like there's professional

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Speaker 2: groups who they'll come in small on one side, the

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Speaker 2: books will react thinking it's professional money taking that side,

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Speaker 2: and then when they get the number they want, that's

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Speaker 2: when they come in heavy. And that was the class

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Speaker 2: of Detroit case. So even when I open up the app,

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Speaker 2: I'm sure you've seen it's like ninety percent of the

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Speaker 2: money right now is on this Detroit team. So yes,

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Speaker 2: that's that's a public and professional play. There a games,

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Speaker 2: we'll go the ones that people are split on. I

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Speaker 2: really like the Giants plus three and a half. I

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Speaker 2: talked to playing professionals who had my same view of

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Speaker 2: if this gets a two and a half, how do

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Speaker 2: you not take the Eagles, And a couple of them

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Speaker 2: are just taking them at three. They don't think it's

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Speaker 2: ever going to get to two and a half. So

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Speaker 2: if you like the Eagles, go grab the minus three.

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Speaker 2: I just don't think it's ever going to get down

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Speaker 2: at two and a half. I don't think there's enough

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Speaker 2: professional money coming in, especially the unknown with neighbors. We've

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Speaker 2: just seen that number.

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Speaker 1: Now and now Andrew Thomas, like Andrew Thomas, is massive,

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Speaker 1: literally massive, but also a massive loss for the Giants

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Speaker 1: a game.

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Speaker 2: I love Chiefs pretty split professionals.

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Speaker 4: I like the forty nine ers. There's pros like me

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Speaker 4: that love the Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: You can talk a nise them about how this Chiefs

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Speaker 2: team's got so many injuries while the forty niners are

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Speaker 2: getting healthier at this point, they have the offensive weapons.

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Speaker 4: YadA, yadaya.

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Speaker 2: At the end of the day, it's my homes of

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Speaker 2: the dog, like you just, I'm not gonna budget my

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Speaker 2: stance on taking my homes the dog. It's just a

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Speaker 2: long term profitable spot to take this guy. He just

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Speaker 2: always covers in these type of scenarios. So that's been

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Speaker 2: a lot of discourse on that one. That one really split, yeah,

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Speaker 2: between the professionals. In the last one a game we

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Speaker 2: touched on a little bit again, another game I got

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Speaker 2: lucky that I locked in early on Tuesday, Jets minus

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Speaker 2: one and a half. It's now moved up to two

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Speaker 2: and a half. Not shocking at all because we talked

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Speaker 2: about it. For Russell Wilson was going to become the starter.

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Speaker 2: This was gonna keep moving against his Pittsburgh team. It's

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Speaker 2: looking more and more like that's gonna happen here. And

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Speaker 2: the last one is a game we talked about. We

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Speaker 2: already knew this was a professional side. But it's the Bucks, right.

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Speaker 2: The Bucks number got up to four and a half Sunday,

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Speaker 2: it's been bet down to three and a half. Some

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Speaker 2: books even touched three, and then it went back up

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Speaker 2: to three and a half. I think that's where it

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Speaker 2: should be, right And I was hoping to get more

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Speaker 2: info on Mike Evans.

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Speaker 4: Unfortunately haven't I heard much.

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Speaker 2: I know it's a soft tinger soft tissue injury that

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Speaker 2: you know he might miss the game, but the line

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Speaker 2: doesn't reflect that right now. So still very confident in

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Speaker 2: our books bet but that's that's very public. Ravens heavy

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Speaker 2: professionals are on this Buccaneers team.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I've been checking injury reports from Mike Evans. I

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Speaker 1: haven't seen anything yet, but look, we're going to get

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Speaker 1: into all these games.

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Speaker 5: I think.

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Speaker 1: I think some of the games that you mentioned are

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Speaker 1: like very interesting. Obviously the Steelers Jets, Obviously, the Chiefs

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Speaker 1: and Niners. Those are marquee matchups from a betting perspective.

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Speaker 1: Short numbers going to be a lot of opinions. We

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Speaker 1: talked about the public all season long, how it had

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Speaker 1: been a dreadful year for the public this season so far,

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Speaker 1: thirty eight, forty nine and three forty three percent against

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Speaker 1: the spread this season.

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Speaker 3: Now, as we said through five weeks, that.

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Speaker 1: Was the worst start ever the past twenty years. Now

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Speaker 1: it's the four worse start through six weeks because the

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Speaker 1: public went ten to three and one last week. So

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Speaker 1: you were so pressing it last week, right, like you said,

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Speaker 1: the public is due. We did add more daily, more

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Speaker 1: chalky picks than normal to our Phase fives.

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Speaker 3: Those were the games we actually won.

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Speaker 1: So the question will be how aggressively are we leaning

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Speaker 1: into the fading the public this week. How much will

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Speaker 1: that regression that we expect factor into impacting the games

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Speaker 1: we like the first game we touched on it on Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: you didn't mention it into sharp calls, and you and

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Speaker 1: I have not discussed it at all since then. But

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Speaker 1: I did put Miami and Indy back in there because

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Speaker 1: we leaned Dolphins three and a half.

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Speaker 3: It's now three. It's come down.

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Speaker 1: I think it's come down because a lot of people,

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Speaker 1: as soon as Anthony Richardson was it was indicated that

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Speaker 1: he would likely be the starter, people started betting on

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins. We didn't think it would be in our

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Speaker 1: top five. I just left it on the list because

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Speaker 1: there is such a pro Joe discrepancy with the money

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Speaker 1: on the Dolphins and the tickets on the Colts. Do

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Speaker 1: you have any opinion on this game that you feel

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Speaker 1: more strongly about it because Anthony Richardson is now expected

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Speaker 1: to be the starter.

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Speaker 2: No, it's just a game I'm staying away from. It's

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Speaker 2: like there's a plenty of ugly dogs this week, and

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Speaker 2: then there's some dogs that aren't that ugly. That's like,

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Speaker 2: I'd rather lose six figures on Detroit or the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: than fucking with this Miami team again. It's like, I

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Speaker 2: can't be bothered with putting a lot of money on

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Speaker 2: this one. And I'm hoping you weren't going to force

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Speaker 2: me into putting this in the contest, because you're right,

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Speaker 2: the pros liked this spot for Miami.

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Speaker 4: But it's kind of the same thing for last week.

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Speaker 2: These guys came in heavi as shit, this group on

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Speaker 2: the Tennessee Tids against the Colts because.

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Speaker 4: We all agree the Colts have a really bad.

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Speaker 2: Defense and they have some questionable weapons on all offense,

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Speaker 2: and you know, no Jonathan Taylor, Pittman's banged up. Like

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Speaker 2: there's a lot to be negative about this Colts team,

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Speaker 2: and I get why other professionals call on the other

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Speaker 2: side of it.

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Speaker 4: It's just I just can't do it. I can't.

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Speaker 2: I can't put heavy money on this Miami team right now.

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Speaker 3: All right, that's fine.

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Speaker 1: Like we've been burned, uh uh, Like I'm still a

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Speaker 1: little bit hungover from that Jets loss and like that

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Speaker 1: Giants loss. So we're gonna have plenty of bad quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: to bet on and play of ugly games to bet on.

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Speaker 3: We don't need to force one.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, just get and find better numbers.

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Speaker 2: Right, Like it's three now most books, like you kind

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Speaker 2: of missed the three and a half right on Miami,

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Speaker 2: Like I wouldn't just take the three, I'd try to

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Speaker 2: get the.

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Speaker 1: Fret and a half Seattle in Atlanta. We leaned Atlanta

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Speaker 1: when it was two and a half, it's now three.

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Speaker 1: I don't think you know, like all the matchup, all

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Speaker 1: the breakdowns, what's interesting to me? Make me one Atlanta

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Speaker 1: even more. The public loves loves loves Seattle, and even

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Speaker 1: after all that, the line has still moved from two

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Speaker 1: and a half to three. Is there anything that says

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Speaker 1: we're considering Atlanta because at this point it's such a

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Speaker 1: public fade, or do we think Seattle is healthier. They're

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Speaker 1: coming off a bye. Atlanta is getting so lucky. They

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Speaker 1: could easily be zero to six, one and five, two

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Speaker 1: and three, whatever it is. Instead they are where they

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Speaker 1: are because they've really gotten lucky, including by the way

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Speaker 1: that Panthers game, which was much much closer than the

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Speaker 1: score indicates.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, this is the game that we talked about. I

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Speaker 4: just let them never dictate my pick.

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Speaker 2: I took Atlanta in MYCE twon and a half, and

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Speaker 2: I said if it gets up to three and a

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Speaker 2: half on Seahawks, if I hadn't made a bet yet,

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Speaker 2: I would take that number.

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Speaker 4: Like this just screams a game where.

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Speaker 2: The final whoever's the ball lasts, is going to win

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Speaker 2: this byfield goal, right Like, I don't have confidence right

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Speaker 2: now in either, but I have more confidence in this

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Speaker 2: Atlanta defense in Seattle. It just Seattle's defense has just

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Speaker 2: been so bad for so many weeks in a row.

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Speaker 2: Anytime they play a good offense, they just get rolled

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Speaker 2: right now, And I mean, we both agree Atlanta is

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Speaker 2: a really good offense right now, Like it's it's it's hummy.

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Speaker 2: Even though they have injuries to the offensive line, they

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Speaker 2: really haven't lost the beat. So I do I like

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Speaker 2: the matchup for Atlanta. I'd still take them with minus

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Speaker 2: two and a half. But you're right, it's it's gonna

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Speaker 2: get to a point where it's like, you know, if

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Speaker 2: it's three and a half, it's it's gonna be tempting

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Speaker 2: to take Seattle. That's it's gonna be a nice value

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Speaker 2: on a back door.

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Speaker 1: I met a guy last night who's an investor, and

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Speaker 1: he like, that's what he does for a living, right,

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Speaker 1: And we were talking about betting, and he was talking

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Speaker 1: about how minuscule the margin of error is when you

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Speaker 1: are making a bet and going from two and a

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Speaker 1: half to three to three and a half, and the

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Speaker 1: value that people find at three and a half versus

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Speaker 1: the value that people find at two and a half.

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Speaker 1: It truly is when you're betting, unlike anything else in

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Speaker 1: equity markets, because.

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Speaker 3: The band of sort of.

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Speaker 1: Miscalculation is so much bigger than trying to nail a

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Speaker 1: half a point when betting on a game, like to

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Speaker 1: see someone whose livelihood is in the investment space thinking

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Speaker 1: about the narrow margins and betting, and here we are

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Speaker 1: talking about three and a half like one side, two

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Speaker 1: and a half like the other. It's an extra point,

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Speaker 1: you know what I mean.

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Speaker 2: It's just because we've seen it all though. That's why

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Speaker 2: we jogged last week. We were freaking out about that

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Speaker 2: Green Bay half a point and it's like didn't even

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Speaker 2: matter in any which way. And that's just because me

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Speaker 2: and you have been around long enough where it's like

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Speaker 2: sometimes just half a points are a big deal and

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Speaker 2: they do matter, and we try not to react to it.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, I told you I'm a big believer in Yeska,

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Speaker 2: the best of the number is important, but it's also

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Speaker 2: like you just want to be on the right side,

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Speaker 2: so I try not to let it always dictate us

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Speaker 2: where It's like, if we like a side, like I

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Speaker 2: just said, there were a bunch of good numbers, mean

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Speaker 2: you could have locked it on Tuesday, But we can't

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Speaker 2: do that to the fans of the show, right. That's

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Speaker 2: why I even bother texting. People want to listen here

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Speaker 2: hear us go through our picks today and make this pick.

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Speaker 2: So how would I help anyone on the show if

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Speaker 2: I'm telling you, well, I already got Detroit two and

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Speaker 2: a half, so no, no bet for me. I already

305
00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:35,160
Speaker 2: got the good, best number. I'm on to the next one,

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Speaker 2: so it does matter. But at the same time, it's like,

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Speaker 2: if I thought Detroit this number was gonna come down

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Speaker 2: to the two, I wouldn't give it out. But it's like, no,

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Speaker 2: I think you still have a lot of value on

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Speaker 2: Detroit at plus one and a half, so I still

311
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Speaker 2: have no issue taking that number.

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00:14:50,560 --> 00:14:53,000
Speaker 3: As Scooch one said, the right side is the winning side.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, that's what it comes to Bay.

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Speaker 3: As Milman once said, Green Bay feels like the side

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Speaker 3: here at two and a half, and Chad Millman is

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Speaker 3: proud of himself.

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00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:14,000
Speaker 1: Literally, the sharps agree with what Milman is saying. It's

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Speaker 1: like he's a professional, you know what. He just doesn't

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Speaker 1: get appreciated the way that he should for his understanding

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Speaker 1: of the sports betting markets.

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Speaker 3: Green Bay minus two and a half.

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Speaker 1: There are a lot of books that have it at

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Speaker 1: three Houston, but we're talking about that three six five.

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Speaker 3: It's at two and a half.

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Speaker 1: Houston is the public dog. There's so much public love

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Speaker 1: for Houston right now. It definitely makes me like green

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Speaker 1: Bay even more. Now that we've gotten, you know, some

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Speaker 1: confirmation from my fellow sharps, I feel even better about it.

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Speaker 1: You're obviously not feeling great about it. You might even

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Speaker 1: feel like you're being bullied into it.

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Speaker 2: No, I agree with them that that's probably the right number.

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Speaker 2: I just still have major questions about this green Bay team.

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00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:02,240
Speaker 2: They're so dependent will be on turnovers, Like that's the

334
00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:04,720
Speaker 2: only thing I can think of, is like, Okay, maybe

335
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Speaker 2: they'll get the young kid on the road here and

336
00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:08,800
Speaker 2: get him the turnover because you're right, like the splits

337
00:16:08,840 --> 00:16:11,320
Speaker 2: are different between him and home and him on the road.

338
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Speaker 2: Like you said, it's it's all about the number at

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Speaker 2: the end of the day, and it's like, okay, two

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00:16:14,760 --> 00:16:16,960
Speaker 2: and a half, that's the good number. I trust the

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Speaker 2: guys who are saying that, I'll take it.

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Speaker 1: All right, Simon, I can't believe what I'm about to say.

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Speaker 1: I'm in a hotel, so I can't go crazy.

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Speaker 4: Why not? You'll never be there ever again.

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Speaker 3: You never know. It is time four hour Big Ball

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Speaker 3: Better the Week.

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Speaker 1: Presented by Tommy John. If you've got the balls, Tommy

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00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:42,960
Speaker 1: John has the support. Great games start with great underwear,

349
00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:46,160
Speaker 1: and Tommy John makes the greatest My friend sack up

350
00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:50,320
Speaker 1: because we are going with Cincinnati at Cleveland and we

351
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Speaker 1: are taking the Cleveland Browns at plus six. You mentioned

352
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Speaker 1: it in the sharp calls This line god way too aggressive.

353
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Speaker 1: It got up to six and a half while we

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Speaker 1: were doing the show on Tuesday as Amari Cooper was traded.

355
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Speaker 1: We know we don't want to bet to Sean Watson,

356
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Speaker 1: but this one is like a big, fat, hanging curveball

357
00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:18,960
Speaker 1: that is tempting us, and we are either going to

358
00:17:19,640 --> 00:17:23,400
Speaker 1: flail and look terrible and swing so hard we hurt

359
00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:26,480
Speaker 1: our back and fall to our knees. Or we are

360
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Speaker 1: hitting this one so freaking far out of the park

361
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Speaker 1: that we are going to look like the courageous big

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Speaker 1: balls betters that we are.

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00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:41,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, I wish it was still six and a half, right,

364
00:17:41,280 --> 00:17:43,119
Speaker 2: that was really nice. That was a nice gift by

365
00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:45,000
Speaker 2: the sports books there moving that.

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Speaker 4: By a fool.

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Speaker 1: It was a minute like that. Everyone you know it

368
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Speaker 1: wasn't it. It's like young love. It just can't last.

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Speaker 2: I mean I saw a couple of books touch seven,

370
00:17:56,840 --> 00:18:01,480
Speaker 2: so it got up there like they were obviously panic

371
00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:04,920
Speaker 2: moving that number because so much money was flooding, but

372
00:18:05,480 --> 00:18:07,280
Speaker 2: terrible move. And we talked about like this is a

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Speaker 2: nice matchup defensively for Cleveland against this you know Cincinnati

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00:18:12,480 --> 00:18:15,520
Speaker 2: offense that obviously they want to push the ball through

375
00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:16,600
Speaker 2: the air. I don't know if I'll be able to

376
00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:19,120
Speaker 2: do that against Cleveland here. And then on the flip side,

377
00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:21,880
Speaker 2: this should be a get right game. Finally, for Watson,

378
00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:24,080
Speaker 2: this is one of the worst defenses he's played this season.

379
00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,119
Speaker 2: He knows he's got to hear the noise right the

380
00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:28,800
Speaker 2: I mean, they just trade his number one receiver. This

381
00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:30,800
Speaker 2: team is basically just saying to him like we're semi

382
00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:34,280
Speaker 2: giving up on the season here. You know, I love

383
00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:37,160
Speaker 2: desperate teams in these type of scenarios. So we talked

384
00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:38,720
Speaker 2: about we think we're getting a free point and a

385
00:18:38,760 --> 00:18:40,720
Speaker 2: half of points just because of what happened last week,

386
00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:43,199
Speaker 2: because it's the pre because of the Brown. You can

387
00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:45,280
Speaker 2: probably throw another point in there, right, this probably should

388
00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:47,640
Speaker 2: be only three three and a half in a divisional

389
00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:50,760
Speaker 2: game like this is so yeah, a ton of free

390
00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:53,159
Speaker 2: points of value here. We are betting on one of

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00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:56,240
Speaker 2: the worst teams in football and easily the worst quarterback

392
00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:57,840
Speaker 2: right now in football. Right, if you just look at

393
00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:03,120
Speaker 2: the numbers, it's no fun, always scary. Gotta hold your nose,

394
00:19:03,119 --> 00:19:05,000
Speaker 2: trust the number, and take the number here with Cleveland.

395
00:19:05,400 --> 00:19:08,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, Also, Cleveland's getting better, right, Their offensive line is

396
00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:10,320
Speaker 1: getting a little bit healthier.

397
00:19:11,320 --> 00:19:12,560
Speaker 3: Jack Conklin is back.

398
00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:13,720
Speaker 4: That's a goody.

399
00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:17,000
Speaker 1: That's that's a big deal. Nick Chubb is finally going

400
00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:19,840
Speaker 1: to be back. That's a big deal. There are some

401
00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:23,760
Speaker 1: pieces here that I think we'll make Deshaun Watson look

402
00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:26,000
Speaker 1: a little bit better. I don't know if he'll play better,

403
00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:30,200
Speaker 1: but maybe he's not staring at the rush right in

404
00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:34,879
Speaker 1: front of him immediately and then taking off like maybe

405
00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:36,800
Speaker 1: he will feel a little bit more confident, maybe they

406
00:19:36,800 --> 00:19:39,000
Speaker 1: will run the ball a little bit more effectively. So

407
00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:44,080
Speaker 1: there is an opportunity here to pounce on the Browns

408
00:19:44,520 --> 00:19:48,440
Speaker 1: in a in a big division rival game.

409
00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:49,600
Speaker 5: And so.

410
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Speaker 3: You know, like.

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Speaker 1: We have to fade the public when they are coming

412
00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:02,480
Speaker 1: in on the Bengal as such a big road favorite,

413
00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:05,840
Speaker 1: as heavily as they are, it's we gotta do it.

414
00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:09,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, and just a reaction too, Like, Okay, I say

415
00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:12,360
Speaker 2: the Giants do cover that three? Is this number really

416
00:20:12,440 --> 00:20:12,840
Speaker 2: this high?

417
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Speaker 4: Still? I don't think so.

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00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:15,840
Speaker 2: So there's a lot of things right now where it

419
00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:17,640
Speaker 2: feels like it's a reaction. We're getting really good value

420
00:20:17,640 --> 00:20:21,080
Speaker 2: on this Cleveland team. And yeah, the like I said,

421
00:20:21,240 --> 00:20:23,720
Speaker 2: matchups defensively and offensively. This is as good as it

422
00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:24,920
Speaker 2: gets for this Cleveland team.

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Speaker 1: Our sponsor, Simon Tommy John makes the most comfortable underwear

424
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425
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426
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00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:00,600
Speaker 3: It's all right.

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00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:04,239
Speaker 1: Look, we've talked about Detroit and Minnesota. We wanted more

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00:21:04,280 --> 00:21:07,320
Speaker 1: time to research this. On Tuesday, as we were doing that,

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00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:09,160
Speaker 1: the line pushed up to two and a half. Simon,

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00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:12,120
Speaker 1: like you said, immediately got some buyback. I think it's

438
00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:14,680
Speaker 1: interesting you should explain a little bit more like the

439
00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:17,760
Speaker 1: scenario that you're talking about, and you mentioned about how

440
00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:22,400
Speaker 1: professional betters manipulate the lines, because it's worth an extra

441
00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:25,480
Speaker 1: thirty second explanation because a lot of people don't understand it.

442
00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:26,800
Speaker 3: So explain that a little bit.

443
00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:29,359
Speaker 4: You know, we talk all the time. Two has become

444
00:21:29,400 --> 00:21:30,440
Speaker 4: a very key number.

445
00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:33,480
Speaker 2: And you saw a playout this week with this Vikings team,

446
00:21:33,600 --> 00:21:35,560
Speaker 2: so you know, a lot of books open them minus

447
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:39,120
Speaker 2: one Sunday night, professional money comes in on the Vikings.

448
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:42,719
Speaker 2: They get up to two, a little bit more money, right,

449
00:21:42,800 --> 00:21:45,480
Speaker 2: These professionals keep keep betting it. So again it's not

450
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:47,600
Speaker 2: big money. It's like a thousand dollars, that's how much

451
00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:50,600
Speaker 2: these books will take on individual bets Sunday and Monday,

452
00:21:51,040 --> 00:21:53,159
Speaker 2: unless you really know them, maybe you get ten thousand,

453
00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:56,119
Speaker 2: but they'll come in put another couple of thousand on

454
00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:58,639
Speaker 2: it on Tuesday, move it a little more, and the

455
00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:01,119
Speaker 2: books will finally move it across that key number of

456
00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:04,359
Speaker 2: two and a half. And then basically, you know, it

457
00:22:04,400 --> 00:22:06,600
Speaker 2: depends on what they runners you have, but simultaneously you'll

458
00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:09,159
Speaker 2: hit multiple books at the same time get to two

459
00:22:09,200 --> 00:22:12,720
Speaker 2: and a half before all the books move it. Because basically,

460
00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:15,919
Speaker 2: I mean the truth is a lot of these books

461
00:22:16,320 --> 00:22:20,840
Speaker 2: they're moving their number off air like professional betters aren't hitting.

462
00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:22,720
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm not trying to call it these different books,

463
00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:26,200
Speaker 2: but there's some books that like they ban you instantly,

464
00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:28,600
Speaker 2: I mean you are instantly banned, and they don't take

465
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:32,480
Speaker 2: big bets, especially from runners, professional betters, all that noise.

466
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:35,399
Speaker 4: They'll just move their number based off what other.

467
00:22:35,320 --> 00:22:37,600
Speaker 2: Books are moving their numbers, right, they're not even moving

468
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:40,920
Speaker 2: off other people's bets. So yeah, the books that can't

469
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:44,159
Speaker 2: get the professional money, they know right away that they

470
00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:45,720
Speaker 2: kind of fell into a little bit of a trap

471
00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:47,520
Speaker 2: and that they might have moved the number too much.

472
00:22:47,720 --> 00:22:50,840
Speaker 2: And you know, we talked about right, losing the number

473
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:54,080
Speaker 2: one dandom football or number two. I guess behind TJ.

474
00:22:54,280 --> 00:22:55,200
Speaker 4: Watt A.

475
00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:58,359
Speaker 2: Hutchinson should move the number. But did they move it

476
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:00,399
Speaker 2: too much? I think that's what the book did, right

477
00:23:00,480 --> 00:23:03,080
Speaker 2: They they thought that, you know, they're getting ahead of it.

478
00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:05,720
Speaker 2: The professionals were agreeing with them, they were getting a

479
00:23:05,800 --> 00:23:07,680
Speaker 2: good movement here, and it kind of came back on

480
00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:10,240
Speaker 2: them where It's like, I think a lot of people

481
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:14,280
Speaker 2: like us are just really skeptical of this Vikings team still.

482
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:17,080
Speaker 2: And on the flip side, it's how I mean, I've

483
00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:19,439
Speaker 2: never been more confident in this Lion's offense. I mean

484
00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:22,399
Speaker 2: they've just put up back to back forty point games,

485
00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:25,920
Speaker 2: like it's all clicking right now. And you know, even

486
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:28,680
Speaker 2: if their defense suffers here, I don't know how that

487
00:23:28,760 --> 00:23:32,199
Speaker 2: affects their offense. Like they just they are full blown

488
00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:35,040
Speaker 2: running down your throat and if that doesn't work, they're

489
00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:36,400
Speaker 2: they're gonna be able to move with through there.

490
00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:38,959
Speaker 4: I mean, that's just how dominant this team is right now.

491
00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:40,919
Speaker 4: So I haven't waivered.

492
00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:43,280
Speaker 2: I still like them despite them being probably the most

493
00:23:43,320 --> 00:23:45,359
Speaker 2: public dog right I think they're getting all the money,

494
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 2: all the bets right now in Detroit and me and

495
00:23:48,160 --> 00:23:50,240
Speaker 2: you talked about it. I just don't think the books

496
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:54,119
Speaker 2: have caught up to them. And you know, my mind,

497
00:23:54,960 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 2: this is just a little bit too much respect to

498
00:23:57,080 --> 00:24:01,120
Speaker 2: a Vikings team that not that their wins have been fluky,

499
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:03,800
Speaker 2: but a lot of things early in the season went

500
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:06,720
Speaker 2: their way with a lot of their games between the

501
00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 2: turnovers and how well Brian Flores has had this defensive

502
00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:13,200
Speaker 2: play and then you know Sam Darnold, like that was

503
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:15,040
Speaker 2: his first bad game of the year, was that game

504
00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:17,840
Speaker 2: in England, and you know, maybe he got it right

505
00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:22,320
Speaker 2: and during this bye week, but okay, you just face

506
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:24,280
Speaker 2: the Jets defense. I mean, you think are pretty good,

507
00:24:24,280 --> 00:24:26,600
Speaker 2: but I think overall the Lions defense has probably been

508
00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 2: better this year. I don't think it's gonna get any

509
00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:30,760
Speaker 2: easier for him trying to pass the ball downfield against

510
00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:31,639
Speaker 2: the Detroit defense.

511
00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:35,200
Speaker 1: So one thing I want to clear up for people

512
00:24:35,480 --> 00:24:39,880
Speaker 1: is professional better is getting one thousand dollars down early

513
00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:42,639
Speaker 1: in the week. If a professional better gets a thousand

514
00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:45,600
Speaker 1: dollars down on a game early in the week, sometimes

515
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:49,200
Speaker 1: that is the equivalent of that same better getting ten, twenty,

516
00:24:49,240 --> 00:24:51,600
Speaker 1: thirty thousand or more later in the week.

517
00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:53,400
Speaker 3: Because bookmakers.

518
00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:56,320
Speaker 1: You say they're sort of moving on air, That basically

519
00:24:56,359 --> 00:25:00,280
Speaker 1: means bookmakers are just moving the number without any BET's

520
00:25:00,359 --> 00:25:02,719
Speaker 1: coming in. They're responding to what they're seeing from other

521
00:25:02,840 --> 00:25:05,919
Speaker 1: operators and assuming those operators who might be more inclined

522
00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:09,399
Speaker 1: to take professional Better's money are getting money, and so

523
00:25:09,520 --> 00:25:12,120
Speaker 1: everyone's moving it why lines all moved the same time.

524
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:17,159
Speaker 1: But professional book book makers also they book on faces,

525
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:21,240
Speaker 1: and so if Simon walks in or someone else walks

526
00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:23,800
Speaker 1: in that they know as a professional Better, even if

527
00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:26,399
Speaker 1: they're taking up what's called a nickel bet five hundred

528
00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:28,960
Speaker 1: dollars or a dime one thousand dollars, they're going to

529
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:32,800
Speaker 1: move that number based on who the better is, not

530
00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:35,920
Speaker 1: on the money taken. And so that's why the money

531
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:38,679
Speaker 1: amount doesn't really matter at that point in the season,

532
00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:41,159
Speaker 1: at that point of the week, because it's about the

533
00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:44,000
Speaker 1: better who's making the bet, and that's how the line

534
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:45,920
Speaker 1: can get manipulated or how the line can move the

535
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:46,320
Speaker 1: other way.

536
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:49,560
Speaker 3: As for the Lions.

537
00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:55,480
Speaker 1: Co signed to everything, we have felt this for a

538
00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 1: couple of weeks. Their offensive line is so dominant and

539
00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:05,200
Speaker 1: there is definitely a change in the play calling to

540
00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:08,080
Speaker 1: be more physical, to be more run focused, to have

541
00:26:08,240 --> 00:26:11,520
Speaker 1: Jared Goff play more within the system when he's amazing,

542
00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:16,760
Speaker 1: And you're right, this doesn't impact the defense. The worst

543
00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:19,359
Speaker 1: unit on the field will be the Vikings offense. And

544
00:26:19,520 --> 00:26:24,320
Speaker 1: so how much will a diminished Vikings defense Lions defense

545
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:30,520
Speaker 1: have to overperform against a Vikings offense that is really

546
00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:32,680
Speaker 1: middle of the road, right, And so now you've got

547
00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:37,159
Speaker 1: a number one Vikings defense going against a dominant Lions offense.

548
00:26:37,880 --> 00:26:39,720
Speaker 1: But the offensive line is so good, will it be

549
00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:43,560
Speaker 1: able to control the Vikings pass rush which is their

550
00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:46,760
Speaker 1: strength because Brian Flores is so good at devising different

551
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:47,359
Speaker 1: blitz schemes.

552
00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:49,760
Speaker 3: So uh yeah, we're.

553
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:54,639
Speaker 1: They are a huge public dog. I hate it, but

554
00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:58,200
Speaker 1: Dan Campbell is great against the spread. Dan Campbell is

555
00:26:58,240 --> 00:27:01,040
Speaker 1: great as an underdog and no teams. I got this

556
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:04,280
Speaker 1: from Ray Bron listening to the six pack five and

557
00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:06,960
Speaker 1: no teams at home forty four percent against the spread

558
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:10,520
Speaker 1: the past two decades. And then this was great from

559
00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:15,159
Speaker 1: raybon You know I love ref stats. Clay Martin is

560
00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:20,280
Speaker 1: the ref road underdogs with Clay Martin seventy against the spread.

561
00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:24,680
Speaker 1: So we're going with the Lions. They'll be in the

562
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:26,240
Speaker 1: contest yeah.

563
00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:28,520
Speaker 2: And one thing I'll say really quick though, when you

564
00:27:28,600 --> 00:27:31,400
Speaker 2: talked about better's getting their bets down, I talked.

565
00:27:31,240 --> 00:27:32,000
Speaker 4: About that COVID.

566
00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:34,440
Speaker 2: I mean, as horrible as it was, obviously for many

567
00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:37,840
Speaker 2: reasons for betters, it's been great because you can wear

568
00:27:37,960 --> 00:27:40,240
Speaker 2: masks now in these casinos and that's been a game

569
00:27:40,320 --> 00:27:42,680
Speaker 2: changer for a lot of people. And I mean me

570
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:45,240
Speaker 2: and Chad talked about it ages ago, Like when I

571
00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:47,800
Speaker 2: go to the books, I go to work when everyone

572
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:50,080
Speaker 2: goes to sleep, like when the main pit bosses leave,

573
00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:53,359
Speaker 2: that's my time to shine, right when the secondary unit's

574
00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:56,040
Speaker 2: in there at night. And Chad knows. I mean, I

575
00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:57,879
Speaker 2: talk about the tricks of the trade. You act drunk

576
00:27:58,040 --> 00:28:00,760
Speaker 2: with a mask on, you go in there, you act sloppy,

577
00:28:00,840 --> 00:28:02,280
Speaker 2: like you know what you're doing. You're just throwing money

578
00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:05,840
Speaker 2: around on stupid bets. I've never in my entire life

579
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:08,760
Speaker 2: had anyone say no on a bet after midnight when

580
00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:11,520
Speaker 2: I have a mask on, acting like I'm a little intoxicated.

581
00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:14,960
Speaker 2: But if you go in midday when the books are empty,

582
00:28:15,840 --> 00:28:18,280
Speaker 2: no mask on, and you're asking to put ten k

583
00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:22,520
Speaker 2: down on, you know the browns, Someone's gonna come down

584
00:28:22,560 --> 00:28:24,159
Speaker 2: and talk to you. But if you do that at

585
00:28:24,280 --> 00:28:27,320
Speaker 2: three in the morning, no one's come down to talk

586
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:28,920
Speaker 2: to you. They're gonna be like, what an idiot? Yeah,

587
00:28:29,040 --> 00:28:31,960
Speaker 2: well happy they take this guy's money on this Browns bet.

588
00:28:32,040 --> 00:28:35,679
Speaker 2: So definitely, if you're someone that's ever been banned or whatever,

589
00:28:36,600 --> 00:28:39,040
Speaker 2: they can't stop you from going in there. And once

590
00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:41,240
Speaker 2: they take your bet, they've taken it. They're going to

591
00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:42,720
Speaker 2: pay you out no matter what. And they'll just give

592
00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:45,000
Speaker 2: you the same speech they give me every time, which is, oh,

593
00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:46,560
Speaker 2: did you know you were a banned here? You're not

594
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:48,800
Speaker 2: supposed to betting here, and you just oh, I didn't realize.

595
00:28:48,920 --> 00:28:52,000
Speaker 2: And that's how it is. So they cannot let you in.

596
00:28:52,040 --> 00:28:55,080
Speaker 2: It's a private business. Once you're in, you make the bets,

597
00:28:55,120 --> 00:28:57,440
Speaker 2: they've taken the action, they have to pay you out.

598
00:28:57,480 --> 00:28:58,720
Speaker 2: So that's just something to keep in mind.

599
00:28:58,760 --> 00:28:59,000
Speaker 4: People.

600
00:28:59,040 --> 00:29:01,160
Speaker 2: You don't even if if you are banned from a book,

601
00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:04,040
Speaker 2: that can't stop you from going until they catch you.

602
00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:07,840
Speaker 3: At ten am, the ticket taker turns around and gives

603
00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:10,240
Speaker 3: it a quick approval approval please.

604
00:29:11,280 --> 00:29:11,480
Speaker 4: Yeah.

605
00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:15,280
Speaker 1: One more stat short home favorites in the division of

606
00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:19,040
Speaker 1: three points or less forty five percent against the spread

607
00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:24,040
Speaker 1: the past twenty years, forty two percent since twenty twenty.

608
00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:27,160
Speaker 1: I put Carolina Washington in here. Washington a point favorite.

609
00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:27,440
Speaker 3: Again.

610
00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:31,120
Speaker 1: Panthers are the play every metric, every trend. It also

611
00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:33,800
Speaker 1: has bet the Panthers. We will not be putting this contest.

612
00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:35,200
Speaker 1: I just want that on the record.

613
00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:38,720
Speaker 2: Carry on, Yeah, carry on the Jenn Daniels commandors.

614
00:29:38,760 --> 00:29:41,640
Speaker 4: They have some horrid regression coming. I think they're nine

615
00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 4: for nine on fourth downs this year.

616
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:46,520
Speaker 1: It's just it's a Simon, We're not even We've said

617
00:29:46,520 --> 00:29:47,960
Speaker 1: all we have to say about the Panthers. We have,

618
00:29:48,200 --> 00:29:51,000
Speaker 1: We've given the people our opinion. We're not going to

619
00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:54,160
Speaker 1: torture anybody. We've already given the Browns. Let's move on

620
00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:57,280
Speaker 1: Las Vegas at the Los Angeles Raiders. This number has

621
00:29:57,280 --> 00:29:59,600
Speaker 1: moved a full point since you, Pegg did as Simon

622
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:05,840
Speaker 1: says on Sunday, and like to me, this was about

623
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:08,280
Speaker 1: getting the best of the number when you said it,

624
00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:10,520
Speaker 1: and you were right. All the money and all the

625
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:12,920
Speaker 1: tickets on the Rams. I do want to say, like,

626
00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:15,440
Speaker 1: I don't feel strong that we're going to put in

627
00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:18,680
Speaker 1: the contest. I do lean Raiders at six and a half.

628
00:30:18,840 --> 00:30:22,040
Speaker 1: I do think the score last week was so lopsided

629
00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:26,840
Speaker 1: for so many regressible reasons on the part of the

630
00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:29,680
Speaker 1: Steelers that I do think you're getting a little bit

631
00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:33,880
Speaker 1: more value on the Raiders then probably is warranted giving

632
00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:37,000
Speaker 1: the Rams situation, I.

633
00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:38,240
Speaker 4: Agree with you, we'll take them.

634
00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:39,920
Speaker 2: But my fears of all the teams right now that

635
00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:43,080
Speaker 2: I've watched on film, there are few teams that look

636
00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:46,400
Speaker 2: like they quit in certain games. The Raiders have like

637
00:30:46,440 --> 00:30:48,480
Speaker 2: two games this year they look like they've quit on

638
00:30:48,600 --> 00:30:50,760
Speaker 2: the games. And there's not like games are getting blown out.

639
00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:52,560
Speaker 2: It's like pretty close games and they just kind of

640
00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:57,280
Speaker 2: give up in the second half. So I'm with agreements

641
00:30:57,360 --> 00:30:59,200
Speaker 2: like this number is a good number. You should take

642
00:30:59,200 --> 00:31:02,480
Speaker 2: this on the Raiders here, But man, it's just so

643
00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:05,160
Speaker 2: bad and so negative this Raiders team. I feel more

644
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,200
Speaker 2: comfortable if I see them actually got the gate and

645
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:09,200
Speaker 2: win one of these games and get a cover here.

646
00:31:09,840 --> 00:31:11,240
Speaker 2: It's just hard to back them right now. It just

647
00:31:11,320 --> 00:31:13,560
Speaker 2: feels like everything's so negative surrounding this team.

648
00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:18,840
Speaker 1: Game of the week, Game of the season, Super Bowl

649
00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:22,200
Speaker 1: rematch Kansas City at San Francisco. San Francisco is a

650
00:31:22,240 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 1: one point favorite, your assigmon says on Tuesday when this

651
00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:28,600
Speaker 1: was at one and a half take the Chiefs, And honestly,

652
00:31:28,720 --> 00:31:32,600
Speaker 1: this line had not moved until I think late Wednesday

653
00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:35,440
Speaker 1: night early this morning, going back down from one and

654
00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:38,600
Speaker 1: a half to one. And the Chiefs are a massive

655
00:31:38,640 --> 00:31:41,920
Speaker 1: public dog. So the fact the line had barely moved

656
00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:47,040
Speaker 1: closer to pick says what I think. What you indicated

657
00:31:47,160 --> 00:31:50,200
Speaker 1: at the top of the show with sharp calls is

658
00:31:50,280 --> 00:31:52,960
Speaker 1: that the books might be getting a lot of professional

659
00:31:53,040 --> 00:31:57,120
Speaker 1: money on San Francisco. So I know we want to

660
00:31:57,160 --> 00:32:00,120
Speaker 1: be on the Chiefs, and I feel the same am

661
00:32:00,240 --> 00:32:02,880
Speaker 1: exact way I did before the Super Bowl last year.

662
00:32:03,880 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 3: The Niners roster is better, The Niners.

663
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:10,560
Speaker 1: Have a better team. The Chiefs could easily be two

664
00:32:10,640 --> 00:32:14,360
Speaker 1: and three. Listening to Stockey on the Action Network podcast,

665
00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:19,239
Speaker 1: he made great points. Isaiah Likely's toe could have been

666
00:32:19,520 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 1: a loss when his toe was out of bounds on

667
00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:26,560
Speaker 1: that game tying catch for the Ravens. In Week one,

668
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:31,680
Speaker 1: there was a PI call on a desperate heave by

669
00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:35,600
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes in a game that the Chiefs ultimately beat

670
00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:37,960
Speaker 1: the Bengals, when the Bengals never should have let the

671
00:32:38,040 --> 00:32:41,040
Speaker 1: Chiefs in that game. They had a missed PI call

672
00:32:41,680 --> 00:32:44,480
Speaker 1: when they were playing the Falcons that cost the Falcons

673
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:47,479
Speaker 1: the game. Like they have a lot of issues, right,

674
00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:51,040
Speaker 1: no Pacheco, no rashe Rice. They're not playing great, They're

675
00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:57,920
Speaker 1: not moving the ball down the field. It's like, this

676
00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:02,840
Speaker 1: is the heart versus argument. Your brain says you got

677
00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:05,360
Speaker 1: to take the Niners. Your heart is saying, who the

678
00:33:05,440 --> 00:33:07,640
Speaker 1: fuck bets against Patrick Mahomes isn't underdoge?

679
00:33:08,960 --> 00:33:09,120
Speaker 3: Yeah?

680
00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:11,600
Speaker 2: I think we all agree though that this fort Niners

681
00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:13,880
Speaker 2: team is better and they had better weapons and everything

682
00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:16,600
Speaker 2: like that. But me and you earn a total agreement

683
00:33:16,680 --> 00:33:19,800
Speaker 2: that went it's in the fourth quarter. That's where the

684
00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:21,920
Speaker 2: Chiefs get you. And if they can just keep this close,

685
00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:24,280
Speaker 2: which I think they'll be able to because we've seen

686
00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:26,120
Speaker 2: it this year. The forty nine Ers just haven't been

687
00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:28,520
Speaker 2: putting teams away and that's kind of been there kryptonite

688
00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:31,840
Speaker 2: this year. So we totally understand all the injuries that

689
00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:34,600
Speaker 2: the Chiefs teams had, and we all knew that this

690
00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:36,960
Speaker 2: would probably be a more public dog, right just because

691
00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:40,440
Speaker 2: they are five and zero and Mahomes, you know, does

692
00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:42,120
Speaker 2: usually cover these games. And I talked me and you

693
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:44,520
Speaker 2: joked about it. It's like, how do you not put

694
00:33:44,760 --> 00:33:46,840
Speaker 2: them in Detroit? And a teaser like again, both them

695
00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:49,320
Speaker 2: across seven and a half when they are both plus

696
00:33:49,360 --> 00:33:51,600
Speaker 2: one and a half, Like that's that's too good to

697
00:33:51,680 --> 00:33:56,160
Speaker 2: be true. So all of this makes sense, but at

698
00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:58,080
Speaker 2: the end of the day, it's just you said it.

699
00:33:58,120 --> 00:34:00,400
Speaker 2: It's like, we can't not take my home here. It's

700
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:03,560
Speaker 2: just if he has the ball, he's down by three

701
00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:06,480
Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter, I think it we're at least

702
00:34:06,520 --> 00:34:08,759
Speaker 2: going to overtime, if not winning this game out right

703
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:10,719
Speaker 2: at the end. And you cannot say the same with

704
00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:14,800
Speaker 2: Purdy and this forty nine ers offense. I just you know,

705
00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:17,480
Speaker 2: as well as he's played, it just feels like it's

706
00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:19,520
Speaker 2: way too much on his shoulders right now and he's

707
00:34:19,560 --> 00:34:21,360
Speaker 2: eventually to get caught. We need to play against a

708
00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:23,319
Speaker 2: really good defense, and that's what we have here, right,

709
00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:24,360
Speaker 2: a really good defense.

710
00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:29,880
Speaker 4: So yeah, the Chiefs running three tight end sets and

711
00:34:30,000 --> 00:34:30,600
Speaker 4: trying to make it.

712
00:34:30,640 --> 00:34:33,440
Speaker 2: Work right now because they don't have any receivers, it's

713
00:34:33,480 --> 00:34:37,240
Speaker 2: a little daunting to bet on it. But having Mahomes

714
00:34:37,320 --> 00:34:39,640
Speaker 2: out plus number it kind of eases the pain a

715
00:34:39,680 --> 00:34:41,880
Speaker 2: little bit. So not going to overreact to it too much.

716
00:34:41,960 --> 00:34:43,080
Speaker 2: Just take the plus one and a half.

717
00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:45,920
Speaker 3: I mean, do we really think this ends up in

718
00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 3: our contest. I'm not as.

719
00:34:47,600 --> 00:34:50,200
Speaker 4: Convinced as he right now about the Chiefs.

720
00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:54,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, it has to end at some point. Patrick Mahomes

721
00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:57,000
Speaker 1: being able to do this and this team this year

722
00:34:57,280 --> 00:35:02,520
Speaker 1: specifically not having the talent, not having the depth, being

723
00:35:02,560 --> 00:35:04,880
Speaker 1: able to stay in these games and getting the lucky

724
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:08,560
Speaker 1: breaks they're getting, Like, Patrick Mahomes, getting you in the

725
00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:11,120
Speaker 1: position to win the game or tie the game is

726
00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:13,600
Speaker 1: one thing. Getting all the lucky breaks that they have

727
00:35:13,680 --> 00:35:19,760
Speaker 1: been getting is entirely different. Like, how can it keep happening?

728
00:35:20,840 --> 00:35:22,879
Speaker 2: Cause if you're really good, you put in the work,

729
00:35:22,960 --> 00:35:24,680
Speaker 2: you put yourself in the right scenarios, you make your

730
00:35:24,719 --> 00:35:25,160
Speaker 2: own luck.

731
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:27,000
Speaker 4: Chat have you not learned that in life?

732
00:35:27,360 --> 00:35:30,880
Speaker 3: So you could say that, but he's like, becomes the teacher.

733
00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:33,760
Speaker 4: You've learned nothing. You learn nothing from last year's playoffs.

734
00:35:33,760 --> 00:35:37,040
Speaker 2: They literally had the hardest road in NFL history to

735
00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:39,719
Speaker 2: make it to the Super Bowl last year, and they

736
00:35:39,840 --> 00:35:42,479
Speaker 2: fucking did it somehow, and they took down an even

737
00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:44,120
Speaker 2: better forty nine ers.

738
00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:45,440
Speaker 4: Team than what we have here right now.

739
00:35:45,640 --> 00:35:49,360
Speaker 2: So I'm with you, like there's a reason you should

740
00:35:49,360 --> 00:35:51,239
Speaker 2: be nervous about this, But at the same time, it's

741
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:52,759
Speaker 2: like you just have to trust the number and trust

742
00:35:52,840 --> 00:35:56,879
Speaker 2: Mahomes like he's just long term as a dog, he's

743
00:35:56,920 --> 00:35:59,279
Speaker 2: going to be profitable for us for our entire lives.

744
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:02,000
Speaker 2: So yeah, if we don't this one all right, that sucks,

745
00:36:02,040 --> 00:36:04,399
Speaker 2: but we know long term he's gonna make us money

746
00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:05,840
Speaker 2: betting him in this exact spot.

747
00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:10,959
Speaker 1: I mean, I think we're gonna have about six games

748
00:36:11,000 --> 00:36:12,319
Speaker 1: we want to put in and this one is going

749
00:36:12,400 --> 00:36:14,759
Speaker 1: to be on the fence. I really believe that New

750
00:36:14,840 --> 00:36:17,560
Speaker 1: York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers. The Steelers are now two

751
00:36:17,640 --> 00:36:21,040
Speaker 1: point dogs. It is ticked up since the DeVante Adams news,

752
00:36:21,400 --> 00:36:23,880
Speaker 1: but really the real reason here is because of Russell

753
00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:26,919
Speaker 1: Wilson practicing with the first team and Adam schefter saying

754
00:36:26,960 --> 00:36:30,879
Speaker 1: that all signs are trending towards Russell Wilson starting, which

755
00:36:30,960 --> 00:36:34,640
Speaker 1: clearly is not the right decision. But this is what

756
00:36:34,840 --> 00:36:38,160
Speaker 1: makes the ticket and money split so interesting. The ticket's

757
00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:41,200
Speaker 1: slightly more on the Steelers, the money decidedly on the Jets.

758
00:36:41,920 --> 00:36:45,640
Speaker 1: As you said, the pros are on the Jets. Like

759
00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:49,520
Speaker 1: I feel actually okay with this In the contest, the

760
00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:54,200
Speaker 1: things that worry me are the line flipping from Steelers

761
00:36:54,239 --> 00:36:58,520
Speaker 1: to Jets. We know that historically when that happens since

762
00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:02,480
Speaker 1: twenty nineteen, the team that it flipped towards that is

763
00:37:02,560 --> 00:37:05,280
Speaker 1: not the favorite forty two percent against the spread. Tomlin

764
00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:07,520
Speaker 1: is a home dog, the best coach as a home

765
00:37:07,560 --> 00:37:10,080
Speaker 1: dog the past twenty years a generation.

766
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:11,799
Speaker 4: Loo's the greatest of all time.

767
00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:14,280
Speaker 3: Look at your work, But look they're missing.

768
00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:18,319
Speaker 1: The Steelers are missing their center, Zach Frasier, top five

769
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:21,200
Speaker 1: center according to Pro Football Focus. They're missing their guard,

770
00:37:21,280 --> 00:37:25,400
Speaker 1: James Daniels, top guard according to Pro Football Focus. So

771
00:37:25,520 --> 00:37:30,040
Speaker 1: there are like factors here beyond Russell Wilson that make

772
00:37:30,160 --> 00:37:30,840
Speaker 1: us lean Jets.

773
00:37:31,600 --> 00:37:34,960
Speaker 4: We all talk too much. Sharp dudes, can just see it.

774
00:37:35,520 --> 00:37:37,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, but you're right, the number is moving a lot,

775
00:37:38,080 --> 00:37:40,560
Speaker 2: like I wouldn't mind locking this sin hopefully again one

776
00:37:40,600 --> 00:37:42,239
Speaker 2: and a half in our contest, because it is going

777
00:37:42,320 --> 00:37:43,480
Speaker 2: up to two and a half of most.

778
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:44,160
Speaker 4: Books at this point.

779
00:37:44,280 --> 00:37:47,440
Speaker 2: And yep, you know, it looks like I'll probably hit

780
00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:49,759
Speaker 2: three by kickoff because it's going to be such a

781
00:37:49,800 --> 00:37:52,520
Speaker 2: heavily publicly back game the Jets at this point. I

782
00:37:52,600 --> 00:37:54,520
Speaker 2: agree with the line movement, though, I when you talk

783
00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:58,080
Speaker 2: about I just I think Russell Wilson's bad and I

784
00:37:58,160 --> 00:38:00,279
Speaker 2: don't think it's gonna work out well for him. And

785
00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:04,000
Speaker 2: against a really good defensive front the Jets that yeah,

786
00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:06,839
Speaker 2: they sugar against their run, but they're pretty damn good against.

787
00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:09,880
Speaker 1: The pass, and you know, and their strength is their

788
00:38:09,920 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 1: defensive tackles. And the Steelers' weakness right now is in

789
00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:17,880
Speaker 1: fact they're missing. They're two of the best interior alignment

790
00:38:17,920 --> 00:38:18,480
Speaker 1: in the NFL.

791
00:38:19,680 --> 00:38:23,120
Speaker 2: So it's just again, the lines were even so much.

792
00:38:23,160 --> 00:38:24,600
Speaker 2: I just want to grab it now because I think

793
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:28,200
Speaker 2: there is still value. But you're right, it's like like

794
00:38:28,320 --> 00:38:31,080
Speaker 2: you're nervous about that Chiefs game. This makes me nervous

795
00:38:31,120 --> 00:38:33,480
Speaker 2: because it's like we're betting on one of the most

796
00:38:33,520 --> 00:38:38,080
Speaker 2: defunctional franchises as a favorite that has a ton of

797
00:38:38,160 --> 00:38:42,399
Speaker 2: drama going against a Tomlin team and what you're talking about,

798
00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:45,240
Speaker 2: it's like a raw ra spot pretty much. It's especially

799
00:38:45,239 --> 00:38:48,759
Speaker 2: if it hits three. It really is so a little

800
00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:50,640
Speaker 2: nerve wracking. But again, this is really a fade on

801
00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:54,200
Speaker 2: Russell Wilson. I just I think they're gonna put him

802
00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:56,080
Speaker 2: in there, he'll get demolished and then next week we

803
00:38:56,160 --> 00:38:59,040
Speaker 2: see Justin Fields once again. I just again, I don't

804
00:38:59,040 --> 00:39:01,560
Speaker 2: know why they're doing it. It's so bizarre. He's gotten

805
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:04,840
Speaker 2: it to foreign too, and he's just he's looked so

806
00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:06,359
Speaker 2: well run the ball, and I know he hasn't been

807
00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:09,520
Speaker 2: the best passer, but you need a running quarterback, especially

808
00:39:09,520 --> 00:39:12,600
Speaker 2: behind such a bad offensive line. So I'm hoping here

809
00:39:12,600 --> 00:39:14,520
Speaker 2: we're taking advantage of a good number against a team

810
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:17,440
Speaker 2: that's in transition right now, and it's Pittsburgh team, a.

811
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:19,879
Speaker 1: Game that we both like, we can agree. I feel

812
00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:23,279
Speaker 1: good it'll be in the contest. Tampa Bay plus three

813
00:39:23,320 --> 00:39:26,520
Speaker 1: and a half. This was my exact decision on Tuesday.

814
00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:31,160
Speaker 1: I love Baker Mayfield against a porous, poorly ranked secondary

815
00:39:31,600 --> 00:39:34,719
Speaker 1: twenty first in the league in pass coverage giving up

816
00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:37,799
Speaker 1: two hundred and seventy five passing yards per game. By

817
00:39:37,800 --> 00:39:41,600
Speaker 1: the way, that's thirty first in the league, just just

818
00:39:41,680 --> 00:39:45,320
Speaker 1: ahead of the Jaguars. I like Videveya as an obstacle

819
00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:47,879
Speaker 1: for the Reson. He is the key Raven's rushing game.

820
00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:50,640
Speaker 1: Like that's I think that's really important. The things that

821
00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:54,200
Speaker 1: worry mere are the things that look not everything is

822
00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:56,680
Speaker 1: a clear decision, right, These are all going to be

823
00:39:57,280 --> 00:40:01,960
Speaker 1: fifty five to sixty percent decisions. We knowledge betting against

824
00:40:02,040 --> 00:40:05,040
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson makes you uncomfortable. You're not gonna be any

825
00:40:05,080 --> 00:40:08,760
Speaker 1: more uncomfortable than you are betting against Patrick Mahomes, betting

826
00:40:08,840 --> 00:40:12,719
Speaker 1: against Josh Allen, betting against Lamar Jackson. Like it just

827
00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:17,080
Speaker 1: what happens, and like it's infuriating because of his mobility

828
00:40:17,239 --> 00:40:20,400
Speaker 1: and because of his record against the NFC. And of

829
00:40:20,560 --> 00:40:24,160
Speaker 1: course we were about Baker doing Baker things, but this

830
00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:25,720
Speaker 1: is a pro Joe split.

831
00:40:26,400 --> 00:40:27,440
Speaker 3: I'm sticking with the Bucks.

832
00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:31,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, And it's really like you said, it's it's all

833
00:40:31,239 --> 00:40:34,000
Speaker 2: about vit to Vey. If he can stop this whole

834
00:40:34,200 --> 00:40:38,080
Speaker 2: Derek Henry run, that's the key. Like he's been so

835
00:40:38,320 --> 00:40:40,880
Speaker 2: incredibly dominant for this Ravens team. Anytime they need a

836
00:40:40,920 --> 00:40:42,799
Speaker 2: big run, it feels like he gets it for him.

837
00:40:43,160 --> 00:40:44,879
Speaker 2: And he's been flipped. He's flipped a couple of games,

838
00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:46,399
Speaker 2: it seems like this season for this team.

839
00:40:46,520 --> 00:40:48,480
Speaker 4: So that's the big one.

840
00:40:48,480 --> 00:40:51,480
Speaker 2: And then, like you've talked about it, if Mike Evans

841
00:40:51,560 --> 00:40:55,799
Speaker 2: is back him and Godwin against the secondary, that's chef's kiss.

842
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:58,520
Speaker 2: It's like this is the perfect matchup for them offensively,

843
00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:03,720
Speaker 2: especially Baker. You know, as bad as he played against

844
00:41:03,800 --> 00:41:06,760
Speaker 2: that Saint Steam with those turnovers. He had those moments

845
00:41:06,800 --> 00:41:09,280
Speaker 2: of brilliance where it's just like, man, his arm talent's

846
00:41:09,360 --> 00:41:11,440
Speaker 2: so good, and when he needs to pull it down

847
00:41:11,480 --> 00:41:13,240
Speaker 2: and run the ball, he's been doing it this season,

848
00:41:13,320 --> 00:41:15,280
Speaker 2: like when things break down, he's got no issue.

849
00:41:15,120 --> 00:41:15,640
Speaker 4: Running the ball.

850
00:41:15,760 --> 00:41:22,520
Speaker 2: So we like backing Lamar. And it's only when it's

851
00:41:22,600 --> 00:41:24,680
Speaker 2: under three. I mean, you talk at NASA about that trend.

852
00:41:24,719 --> 00:41:27,040
Speaker 2: When it's under three, I think he's what twenties four

853
00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:30,279
Speaker 2: and seven at this point against the spread. When it's

854
00:41:30,320 --> 00:41:32,920
Speaker 2: above it, we do want to fade him. And you know,

855
00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:34,719
Speaker 2: last week ended up as being a push of the

856
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:36,000
Speaker 2: plus seven of the Commanders.

857
00:41:36,080 --> 00:41:37,439
Speaker 4: But you see why.

858
00:41:37,719 --> 00:41:41,759
Speaker 2: It's like they're even Lamar's whole career. You know, they

859
00:41:42,280 --> 00:41:45,000
Speaker 2: usually they used to blow teams out, but we've seen

860
00:41:45,040 --> 00:41:47,640
Speaker 2: the last two years games usually get a little tight,

861
00:41:47,640 --> 00:41:49,239
Speaker 2: they get a little close towards the end. They really

862
00:41:49,280 --> 00:41:51,400
Speaker 2: haven't been closing teams out like they used to, and

863
00:41:51,480 --> 00:41:53,120
Speaker 2: that's why they went out and got Derrick Henry to

864
00:41:53,160 --> 00:41:55,960
Speaker 2: try to change that and just has not worked out

865
00:41:56,000 --> 00:41:57,840
Speaker 2: for them this year. Right, Like every game for the

866
00:41:57,880 --> 00:41:59,719
Speaker 2: most part for them is are pretty damn close. So

867
00:42:01,040 --> 00:42:02,400
Speaker 2: you know, this is another game I mean, you're just

868
00:42:02,440 --> 00:42:04,880
Speaker 2: trust the number, right chat, It's like plus three and

869
00:42:04,920 --> 00:42:07,279
Speaker 2: a half. It's a good number for a home divisional dog,

870
00:42:07,680 --> 00:42:09,640
Speaker 2: or not divisional dog, but a home dog. That's like

871
00:42:10,719 --> 00:42:13,120
Speaker 2: still a little underrated to the general public. And I

872
00:42:13,120 --> 00:42:15,000
Speaker 2: don't think me and you would be shocked if they

873
00:42:15,280 --> 00:42:18,760
Speaker 2: pull up the upset and give Lamar's second career loss

874
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:21,400
Speaker 2: to an NFC team. Right now, I believe he's twenty

875
00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:25,520
Speaker 2: one to one against the NFC. Pretty crazy, all right.

876
00:42:25,560 --> 00:42:29,279
Speaker 1: The last game that we want to talk about is

877
00:42:29,320 --> 00:42:32,880
Speaker 1: the Chargers at Arizona. You talked about Arizona.

878
00:42:32,880 --> 00:42:34,799
Speaker 4: Totally off the Giants. You know what, The Giants at all.

879
00:42:35,320 --> 00:42:38,840
Speaker 1: Hate him without Andrew Thomas, Like I already think that

880
00:42:38,920 --> 00:42:44,439
Speaker 1: offense is terrible, that offense at home is terrible, that's true,

881
00:42:44,520 --> 00:42:48,359
Speaker 1: But the Eagles also are a little bit better than

882
00:42:48,400 --> 00:42:51,520
Speaker 1: the Giants. And like Andrew Thomas, I just like I

883
00:42:51,719 --> 00:42:56,080
Speaker 1: worry about what this team is going to do. I think,

884
00:42:56,200 --> 00:42:59,879
Speaker 1: to me, that is like, look, you know, offensive line

885
00:43:00,200 --> 00:43:02,879
Speaker 1: everything to me when I'm thinking about evaluating this team,

886
00:43:03,280 --> 00:43:06,640
Speaker 1: these teams, it's why I love the Lion so much.

887
00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:08,880
Speaker 1: It's why I have a little more confidence about the Browns.

888
00:43:09,440 --> 00:43:12,600
Speaker 1: This week, You're missing the only All Pro player on

889
00:43:12,640 --> 00:43:15,440
Speaker 1: your team and Elik neighbors possibly, so.

890
00:43:16,160 --> 00:43:20,759
Speaker 4: Who want to Eagles pastual? Scares you? A thirty seven

891
00:43:20,840 --> 00:43:21,680
Speaker 4: year old brainding gram.

892
00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:22,880
Speaker 3: I don't know.

893
00:43:22,960 --> 00:43:25,160
Speaker 2: I just I'm just down on this Eagles team right now.

894
00:43:25,200 --> 00:43:27,880
Speaker 2: But I get where you're coming from. But yeah, if

895
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:29,680
Speaker 2: people want to know where I'm man, I'm still if

896
00:43:29,719 --> 00:43:31,040
Speaker 2: you get the three and a half, take the three

897
00:43:31,080 --> 00:43:31,439
Speaker 2: and a half.

898
00:43:32,360 --> 00:43:34,520
Speaker 1: Let's talk about the Chargers and the Cardinals for a second,

899
00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:38,320
Speaker 1: because you really like this game, and you I acknowledge

900
00:43:38,360 --> 00:43:41,480
Speaker 1: that we had to play it. It's so tempting, but like,

901
00:43:41,880 --> 00:43:45,600
Speaker 1: I don't feel strongly about it. It feels like crappy.

902
00:43:46,560 --> 00:43:48,440
Speaker 1: So like, if you're not feeling it, I'm not feeling it.

903
00:43:48,680 --> 00:43:49,719
Speaker 1: We got a list here of six.

904
00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:53,080
Speaker 2: Well, it's just obviously i'd much rather take the bucks

905
00:43:53,080 --> 00:43:55,880
Speaker 2: if we're gonna take one dog on this Monday night slate,

906
00:43:56,560 --> 00:43:59,400
Speaker 2: I feel way more confident and I like the number better. Right,

907
00:43:59,440 --> 00:44:01,880
Speaker 2: We're getting a great key number. But there was a

908
00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:04,279
Speaker 2: minute there that they touched three for this Cardinals team

909
00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:06,920
Speaker 2: and I was like, holy shit, this is three and

910
00:44:06,960 --> 00:44:08,960
Speaker 2: a half. This is we're gonna have two Monday Night

911
00:44:09,040 --> 00:44:10,800
Speaker 2: three and a half dogs in our contest. Now, I

912
00:44:10,960 --> 00:44:13,799
Speaker 2: was like gonna be beside myself. So luckily it's come

913
00:44:13,920 --> 00:44:16,480
Speaker 2: back down. But the Cardinals have to be the right

914
00:44:16,600 --> 00:44:20,880
Speaker 2: side like them. You know, we understand that they were

915
00:44:20,880 --> 00:44:22,920
Speaker 2: going to struggle in that Green Bay game, but it's

916
00:44:23,040 --> 00:44:25,040
Speaker 2: like I told you, that's such a throwaway game with

917
00:44:25,120 --> 00:44:27,800
Speaker 2: all the stoppiness and the turnovers in that rain. And

918
00:44:27,840 --> 00:44:32,080
Speaker 2: on the flip side, this Chargers team. You know, Herbert

919
00:44:32,160 --> 00:44:36,520
Speaker 2: played really well against that Broncos team, but we've seen

920
00:44:36,600 --> 00:44:39,040
Speaker 2: this year he's been inconsistent and a lot of their

921
00:44:39,440 --> 00:44:41,520
Speaker 2: what they've done so well this year is run the ball,

922
00:44:41,719 --> 00:44:44,640
Speaker 2: and that to me is why it's like, Okay.

923
00:44:44,400 --> 00:44:45,000
Speaker 4: I'm with you.

924
00:44:45,040 --> 00:44:47,520
Speaker 2: I'm not rushing to go bet this Arizona team because

925
00:44:48,160 --> 00:44:50,440
Speaker 2: their defense has just been so bad for so many

926
00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:53,560
Speaker 2: weeks in a row right now. Like I have pretty

927
00:44:53,560 --> 00:44:55,560
Speaker 2: good hand on Reid on this team. Like again, they've

928
00:44:55,560 --> 00:44:58,080
Speaker 2: had injuries as well Aris on his defense, but man,

929
00:44:58,520 --> 00:45:01,040
Speaker 2: they're so bad it's it's really hard to have confidence

930
00:45:01,080 --> 00:45:03,640
Speaker 2: of betting this team when it's not a plus three.

931
00:45:03,840 --> 00:45:06,839
Speaker 2: So Arizona, if you got the plus three, that's great.

932
00:45:06,960 --> 00:45:09,520
Speaker 2: If not, I wouldn't bet this one yet. I'd wait

933
00:45:09,560 --> 00:45:11,160
Speaker 2: for it to maybe get back up the plus three

934
00:45:11,200 --> 00:45:11,800
Speaker 2: by kickoff.

935
00:45:13,080 --> 00:45:17,480
Speaker 1: All right, it's really gonna come down to the Packers

936
00:45:17,680 --> 00:45:22,200
Speaker 1: minus two and a half, Cleveland plus six, Detroit plus

937
00:45:22,280 --> 00:45:25,879
Speaker 1: one and a half, Tampa Bay plus three and a half.

938
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:27,680
Speaker 1: I think we're gonna have a battle for the last

939
00:45:27,680 --> 00:45:29,800
Speaker 1: spot between Kansas City plus one and a half and

940
00:45:29,840 --> 00:45:33,120
Speaker 1: the Jets minus two. I think it's gonna be really

941
00:45:33,280 --> 00:45:37,759
Speaker 1: really interesting. Favorites contest reminder, everyone's lowest weekly scoring. The

942
00:45:37,800 --> 00:45:41,000
Speaker 1: contest has officially been dropped. Updated total scores are now

943
00:45:41,160 --> 00:45:43,960
Speaker 1: on the leaderboard. It's officially a race to finish for

944
00:45:44,120 --> 00:45:45,759
Speaker 1: our forty thousand dollars.

945
00:45:45,520 --> 00:45:51,520
Speaker 3: First place prize. Good Luck are Boosted money line underdog

946
00:45:52,000 --> 00:45:54,160
Speaker 3: Harlay moment.

947
00:45:55,239 --> 00:45:57,080
Speaker 1: I guess this guy can run all night.

948
00:45:57,040 --> 00:45:59,960
Speaker 3: And he will run three each week.

949
00:46:00,000 --> 00:46:02,840
Speaker 1: We give out a two team money line dog parlay

950
00:46:02,920 --> 00:46:05,279
Speaker 1: Bet three six five. Boost the Odds highlights it on

951
00:46:05,320 --> 00:46:07,520
Speaker 1: their site all weekend under both game pages.

952
00:46:08,000 --> 00:46:09,040
Speaker 3: Remember both games.

953
00:46:08,880 --> 00:46:12,080
Speaker 1: Are eligible for Bet three six fives early payout promo,

954
00:46:12,200 --> 00:46:14,640
Speaker 1: where you get your where your money line pick gets

955
00:46:14,719 --> 00:46:18,279
Speaker 1: marked as a win. If they take a seventeen point lead,

956
00:46:18,360 --> 00:46:20,920
Speaker 1: even if they lose. So if you want to bet this,

957
00:46:21,280 --> 00:46:22,680
Speaker 1: bet it at bet three sixty five.

958
00:46:23,040 --> 00:46:24,680
Speaker 3: This week's boosted.

959
00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:30,479
Speaker 1: Parlay Kansas City Chiefs Detroit Lions find the boost under

960
00:46:30,680 --> 00:46:35,600
Speaker 1: either Chiefs or Lions game pages at bet three six five.

961
00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:39,480
Speaker 1: But let's do our underdog round robin.

962
00:46:42,040 --> 00:46:45,560
Speaker 3: There will come up payday Halla lou yo, waa pay day.

963
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:50,279
Speaker 4: There will come up payday some day. Some day, there

964
00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:51,520
Speaker 4: will come up payday.

965
00:46:51,719 --> 00:46:53,600
Speaker 2: Halla lou yo wanna payday.

966
00:46:54,040 --> 00:46:56,040
Speaker 3: Tire will come up payday.

967
00:46:55,719 --> 00:47:03,960
Speaker 1: Some day, Simon, I got some opinions, let's hear it. Well,

968
00:47:04,000 --> 00:47:05,960
Speaker 1: of course we'll do the Chiefs, and of course we'll do.

969
00:47:06,040 --> 00:47:08,319
Speaker 4: Detroit chunkiest dogs. Gotta do them.

970
00:47:08,560 --> 00:47:19,280
Speaker 3: Hello Detroit, Hello Detroit. Should we do the Bucks?

971
00:47:19,719 --> 00:47:22,480
Speaker 4: Okay? I like that. That's fun. Gotta go Browns.

972
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:24,640
Speaker 3: I was gonna say, how you feel about the Browns? Yeah?

973
00:47:24,680 --> 00:47:26,400
Speaker 4: You got I mean, I have zero faith, but we

974
00:47:26,520 --> 00:47:28,200
Speaker 4: have to go. That's such a huge number.

975
00:47:28,360 --> 00:47:29,719
Speaker 3: It's a plus two.

976
00:47:30,880 --> 00:47:32,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, give me one.

977
00:47:32,280 --> 00:47:33,879
Speaker 2: This last one was tough because there's just a bunch

978
00:47:33,920 --> 00:47:36,760
Speaker 2: of ugly ones. I like, if just pure value based

979
00:47:37,480 --> 00:47:41,239
Speaker 2: Vegas plus two fifty seems pretty tempted. How do you

980
00:47:41,239 --> 00:47:41,759
Speaker 2: feel about that?

981
00:47:41,840 --> 00:47:42,000
Speaker 4: One.

982
00:47:42,080 --> 00:47:45,240
Speaker 1: I don't mind it at all, money Line, Underdog, Round Robin.

983
00:47:45,640 --> 00:47:48,719
Speaker 1: It's gonna be the Chiefs, it's gonna be Detroit, it's

984
00:47:48,719 --> 00:47:50,640
Speaker 1: gonna be the Bucks, it's gonna be the Browns, it's

985
00:47:50,680 --> 00:47:51,360
Speaker 1: gonna be Vegas.

986
00:47:51,600 --> 00:47:54,160
Speaker 3: Yeah, oh we did miss uh the Foxhole?

987
00:47:54,560 --> 00:48:01,120
Speaker 4: Shoot, I mean, it's got to be Detroit, right, try.

988
00:48:03,800 --> 00:48:06,600
Speaker 3: How is it fox Holy? Like everybody like the wise

989
00:48:06,640 --> 00:48:09,200
Speaker 3: guys like Detroit, not all of them.

990
00:48:09,640 --> 00:48:11,759
Speaker 2: That's why this number this isn't as this isn't as

991
00:48:11,920 --> 00:48:14,399
Speaker 2: all all in. It was more about Detroit up two

992
00:48:14,400 --> 00:48:16,800
Speaker 2: and a half. That's where it was like, okay, that

993
00:48:17,000 --> 00:48:18,759
Speaker 2: that was the professional heavy side.

994
00:48:18,920 --> 00:48:21,359
Speaker 3: All right, let's go with Detroit as the foxhole. Then

995
00:48:22,760 --> 00:48:23,880
Speaker 3: we know we're going the.

996
00:48:23,920 --> 00:48:25,920
Speaker 2: Only one I could think of was the Jets. But like,

997
00:48:26,400 --> 00:48:27,799
Speaker 2: is that really that fox Hooley either?

998
00:48:28,000 --> 00:48:31,080
Speaker 3: You know, it's not right. Kansas City feels more fox

999
00:48:31,160 --> 00:48:32,160
Speaker 3: Holy potentially to me.

1000
00:48:32,960 --> 00:48:35,080
Speaker 4: I love that you're so weary of this Kansas City from.

1001
00:48:34,960 --> 00:48:37,520
Speaker 3: A professional perspective, then you know.

1002
00:48:38,000 --> 00:48:40,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, it does feel like you're doing something wrong there

1003
00:48:40,080 --> 00:48:40,400
Speaker 2: with that one.

1004
00:48:40,440 --> 00:48:41,000
Speaker 4: I do agree.

1005
00:48:41,440 --> 00:48:44,239
Speaker 1: So, but let's go with Detroit. We know we're going

1006
00:48:44,320 --> 00:48:46,440
Speaker 1: to put Detroit in the contest. Let's make it the Foxholt.

1007
00:48:46,520 --> 00:48:50,319
Speaker 1: Let's good catch, Matt Mitchell, way to produce, Buddy, this.

1008
00:48:50,440 --> 00:48:51,040
Speaker 3: Is a Titus.

1009
00:48:51,120 --> 00:48:55,240
Speaker 5: This twenty twenty four team has been we found something special.

1010
00:48:55,320 --> 00:48:55,440
Speaker 2: Man.

1011
00:48:55,520 --> 00:48:57,480
Speaker 5: I felt it's like we're in here together.

1012
00:48:57,960 --> 00:48:59,560
Speaker 4: Nobody's coming out of that circle.

1013
00:48:59,640 --> 00:48:59,799
Speaker 2: Man.

1014
00:49:00,120 --> 00:49:02,040
Speaker 5: That's exactly where you want to be right now.

1015
00:49:02,200 --> 00:49:07,080
Speaker 3: All right, Simon, your biggest bets as we stand here Thursday.

1016
00:49:07,560 --> 00:49:10,680
Speaker 2: Definitely Detroit, Definitely Chiefs, Like as you say it right now,

1017
00:49:10,760 --> 00:49:13,120
Speaker 2: those are two ones I've hit. Jets, I've hit pretty heavy.

1018
00:49:14,520 --> 00:49:16,080
Speaker 2: Bucks I'm waiting on because I'm still waiting on the

1019
00:49:16,120 --> 00:49:17,120
Speaker 2: Mike Evans information.

1020
00:49:18,040 --> 00:49:20,360
Speaker 4: And you know, Cleveland.

1021
00:49:20,400 --> 00:49:21,799
Speaker 2: I wish I could have gotten more down to six

1022
00:49:21,840 --> 00:49:23,760
Speaker 2: and a half, which I was right like, I didn't

1023
00:49:23,760 --> 00:49:27,960
Speaker 2: really get that much. So yeah, sitting right now, it's

1024
00:49:28,000 --> 00:49:30,720
Speaker 2: pretty chalky. Honestly, it's like I'm pretty heavy on Lions

1025
00:49:30,719 --> 00:49:32,600
Speaker 2: at two and a half, but pretty heavy on them

1026
00:49:32,600 --> 00:49:35,440
Speaker 2: at two stay with the Chiefs, pretty heavy at one

1027
00:49:35,440 --> 00:49:40,800
Speaker 2: and a half. I could see by kickoff, you know, Bucks, Jets,

1028
00:49:42,080 --> 00:49:46,080
Speaker 2: Browns all make that you know list you want to

1029
00:49:46,080 --> 00:49:46,880
Speaker 2: do Scoot Roulette.

1030
00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:49,680
Speaker 1: I want to do Scoots Roulett. I mean, you're gonna

1031
00:49:49,680 --> 00:49:52,399
Speaker 1: go first, because you're crushing me right now, So go first.

1032
00:49:52,560 --> 00:49:54,239
Speaker 1: Choose the game that I want to choose, because I

1033
00:49:54,320 --> 00:49:56,600
Speaker 1: know you're going to take my pick, So go ahead.

1034
00:49:57,760 --> 00:49:59,839
Speaker 4: Who would Chad want to take? I mean, I don't

1035
00:49:59,840 --> 00:50:00,520
Speaker 4: want do bucks.

1036
00:50:00,520 --> 00:50:02,440
Speaker 2: I don't know if that's your pick, I might just

1037
00:50:02,560 --> 00:50:04,840
Speaker 2: keep going my my Detroit lines.

1038
00:50:05,280 --> 00:50:06,200
Speaker 3: That's what I wanted to take.

1039
00:50:07,000 --> 00:50:09,160
Speaker 2: All right, I'll give them to you then, Hi, thank you.

1040
00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:10,080
Speaker 3: Listen.

1041
00:50:10,320 --> 00:50:12,480
Speaker 5: My job is to coach what's here, and I'm going

1042
00:50:12,520 --> 00:50:13,600
Speaker 5: to coach the hell out of them.

1043
00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:15,680
Speaker 4: I'll go to Kansas City Chiefs.

1044
00:50:20,680 --> 00:50:23,440
Speaker 3: You are a baller. That's amazing.

1045
00:50:24,800 --> 00:50:31,719
Speaker 1: All right, Let's get Evan to tell us something save.

1046
00:50:30,040 --> 00:50:31,080
Speaker 3: Us, make us feel better.

1047
00:50:31,480 --> 00:50:35,040
Speaker 1: Evan Abrams, Director, all right, let's get Evan to tell

1048
00:50:35,120 --> 00:50:39,160
Speaker 1: us something sa save us, make us feel better.

1049
00:50:39,560 --> 00:50:42,880
Speaker 3: Evan Abrams, director of research. Talk to us the last

1050
00:50:43,000 --> 00:50:47,080
Speaker 3: word with Evan Abrams. We're finished talking.

1051
00:50:47,760 --> 00:50:49,919
Speaker 5: It's hilarious that Chad was one way on Kansas City.

1052
00:50:50,120 --> 00:50:51,719
Speaker 5: Simon just brought it all the way back. And I'm

1053
00:50:51,760 --> 00:50:53,759
Speaker 5: gonna start with Kansas City because we figured you guys

1054
00:50:53,800 --> 00:50:56,520
Speaker 5: were going there anyway. Here's maybe an angle you haven't heard,

1055
00:50:56,560 --> 00:50:58,040
Speaker 5: so I kind of put a few things together here.

1056
00:50:58,120 --> 00:51:00,600
Speaker 5: So last decade, Andy Reid has been a dog off

1057
00:51:00,640 --> 00:51:03,080
Speaker 5: of by four times, four and oh straight up, four

1058
00:51:03,120 --> 00:51:04,480
Speaker 5: and oh against the spread in his career.

1059
00:51:04,520 --> 00:51:07,000
Speaker 4: Here that Chad say it again one more time, Evan.

1060
00:51:07,239 --> 00:51:08,719
Speaker 5: It's four and oh three up and against the spread.

1061
00:51:08,719 --> 00:51:11,040
Speaker 5: But that's just that last decade. So in his career

1062
00:51:11,120 --> 00:51:12,640
Speaker 5: he's seven and two straight up in eight and one

1063
00:51:12,640 --> 00:51:14,920
Speaker 5: against the number. Oh my god, terrible. But his two

1064
00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:17,400
Speaker 5: losses if you think the other side is difficult, his

1065
00:51:17,480 --> 00:51:20,000
Speaker 5: two losses are to Peyton Manning and twenty thirteen and

1066
00:51:20,080 --> 00:51:22,640
Speaker 5: Tom Brady in the Super Bowl. Real difficult there. Here's

1067
00:51:22,680 --> 00:51:24,600
Speaker 5: the one that I thought was just ridiculous. So Kansas

1068
00:51:24,640 --> 00:51:27,759
Speaker 5: City has gone sixteen straight regular season games without winning

1069
00:51:27,800 --> 00:51:30,720
Speaker 5: the turnover margin. They're eleven and five in those games,

1070
00:51:30,920 --> 00:51:32,759
Speaker 5: so they win no matter what. And maybe if you

1071
00:51:32,800 --> 00:51:34,600
Speaker 5: get lucky, they get a few turnovers in this one.

1072
00:51:35,000 --> 00:51:37,000
Speaker 5: All right, let's go to Tampa Bay. To me, this

1073
00:51:37,080 --> 00:51:39,560
Speaker 5: bet is all about the number strictly. Even after a

1074
00:51:39,640 --> 00:51:41,759
Speaker 5: twelve and oh ats run for road favorites the last

1075
00:51:41,760 --> 00:51:43,920
Speaker 5: two weeks, road favorites of three and a half or

1076
00:51:44,000 --> 00:51:47,080
Speaker 5: more are still just forty five percent. Since twenty twenty.

1077
00:51:47,400 --> 00:51:50,560
Speaker 5: Here's the fun one. Lamar is five and nine as

1078
00:51:50,600 --> 00:51:51,960
Speaker 5: a road favorite of three and a half for more

1079
00:51:52,040 --> 00:51:55,240
Speaker 5: since twenty twenty. Here are the worst five quarterbacks ats

1080
00:51:55,320 --> 00:51:58,720
Speaker 5: in that spot in that span. Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson,

1081
00:51:59,120 --> 00:52:02,359
Speaker 5: Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady. This is not an

1082
00:52:02,400 --> 00:52:06,759
Speaker 5: easy spot for anybody, So play the number here and then.

1083
00:52:06,880 --> 00:52:08,480
Speaker 5: I wasn't gonna do this, but I'll give you one

1084
00:52:08,560 --> 00:52:11,240
Speaker 5: quick thing on Buffalo because I thought you guys earlier

1085
00:52:11,239 --> 00:52:12,959
Speaker 5: in the week were maybe leaning on laying the number.

1086
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:15,000
Speaker 5: It's gotten up to nine, nine and a half, but

1087
00:52:15,080 --> 00:52:16,960
Speaker 5: it's worth repeating. We've said it on the show before.

1088
00:52:17,320 --> 00:52:19,920
Speaker 5: Alan has seventy two wins in his career. Fifty one

1089
00:52:20,160 --> 00:52:22,399
Speaker 5: or seventy percent of those have all been by seven

1090
00:52:22,440 --> 00:52:25,359
Speaker 5: points or more when the line six or more. He's

1091
00:52:25,400 --> 00:52:27,759
Speaker 5: actually been in that spot forty two times, and of

1092
00:52:27,880 --> 00:52:32,960
Speaker 5: those forty two, he's only lost eight in that scenario.

1093
00:52:33,080 --> 00:52:36,000
Speaker 5: He usually does push the number up, and I tweeted

1094
00:52:36,080 --> 00:52:38,160
Speaker 5: this early in the week. Will Levis one hundred and

1095
00:52:38,200 --> 00:52:40,520
Speaker 5: fifty eight quarterbacks have started ten games in the last

1096
00:52:40,560 --> 00:52:44,480
Speaker 5: twenty years. He's two and twelve against a second half spread.

1097
00:52:44,560 --> 00:52:46,680
Speaker 5: So even if it's close at the half, he is

1098
00:52:46,760 --> 00:52:49,800
Speaker 5: two and twelve second half ats in his career, and

1099
00:52:50,000 --> 00:52:52,120
Speaker 5: outside of Monday Night Football where he's two and zero,

1100
00:52:52,280 --> 00:52:56,719
Speaker 5: he is oh in twelve second half ats. So even

1101
00:52:56,719 --> 00:52:58,239
Speaker 5: if it's close, you should be able to find a

1102
00:52:58,280 --> 00:52:59,200
Speaker 5: way to get a pick six.

1103
00:52:59,080 --> 00:53:01,680
Speaker 1: There, guys, I mean, those are great, Evan, and I

1104
00:53:01,760 --> 00:53:04,319
Speaker 1: think the tragedy is really that Will Levis's had two

1105
00:53:04,360 --> 00:53:05,560
Speaker 1: games on Monday Night Football.

1106
00:53:05,719 --> 00:53:06,439
Speaker 4: That's also true.

1107
00:53:06,600 --> 00:53:08,640
Speaker 5: I think of beating the Dolphins. I think the Dolphins

1108
00:53:08,640 --> 00:53:08,840
Speaker 5: at this.

1109
00:53:08,920 --> 00:53:12,000
Speaker 1: Point in his career, it's bills are nothing like bills

1110
00:53:12,040 --> 00:53:14,000
Speaker 1: buy a million. Sorry Matt Mitchell, we might have just

1111
00:53:14,200 --> 00:53:17,440
Speaker 1: mushed it, but it is what it is. As a reminder,

1112
00:53:17,520 --> 00:53:20,160
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Speaker 3: Simon and I will.

1125
00:53:56,680 --> 00:54:00,800
Speaker 1: Return with our next exciting episode. One of the favorites

1126
00:54:00,800 --> 00:54:02,920
Speaker 1: on the Action Network. You two page on Sunday night,

1127
00:54:03,520 --> 00:54:08,120
Speaker 1: seven thirty pm Eastern to recap NFL Week seven. Download

1128
00:54:08,160 --> 00:54:10,640
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1129
00:54:10,719 --> 00:54:14,000
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1131
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Speaker 3: Love you. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If

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Speaker 3: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem.

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