WEBVTT - FDIC Deposits and Media Overview

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney alongside

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<v Speaker 2>my co host Matt Miller.

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<v Speaker 1>Every business day we bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros,

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<v Speaker 1>and Bloomberg experts, along with essential market Moven News.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm the Bloomberg Markets podcast called Apple Podcasts or wherever

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<v Speaker 2>you listen to podcasts, and at Bloomberg dot com Slash podcast.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, Herman chans in here and he covers the

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<v Speaker 2>regional banks from Bloomberg Intelligence. I don't know why he's

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<v Speaker 2>in here. I don't know why we got to talk

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<v Speaker 2>to this guy, but Hermann what's happening with the regional banks,

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<v Speaker 2>because I feel like a huge shoe is about to

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<v Speaker 2>drop in terms of I know, commercial real estate loans,

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<v Speaker 2>just higher rates, credit cards, stuff. Give us a sense

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<v Speaker 2>of what's happening with the regional banks and is the

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<v Speaker 2>FDIC concerned?

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<v Speaker 3>Right, So the sentiment for regional banks has been poor

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<v Speaker 3>since March and April after the failures of SVB and

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<v Speaker 3>Signature First Republic, and shares haven't really rebounded since that time.

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<v Speaker 3>There's been concerns on.

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<v Speaker 2>What you told us was probably gonna happen. Then we're

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<v Speaker 2>not going to rebound because this is a long term earning.

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<v Speaker 3>We're facing a longer term earning issue from margins because

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<v Speaker 3>of higher funding costs and higher interest rates. Banks aren't

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<v Speaker 3>lending that much because they're focused on building capital because

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<v Speaker 3>of tougher capital rules. And then you mentioned of commercial

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<v Speaker 3>real estate and office cre a potential shooter drop there

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<v Speaker 3>potentially next year with higher loan losses. So the sentiment

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<v Speaker 3>has been poor. But also you've seen a bid recently

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<v Speaker 3>over the past couple of weeks as inflation pressures seem

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<v Speaker 3>to be easing. So the thought of interest rate cuts

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<v Speaker 3>are positive for banks. And actually the regionals have rebound

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<v Speaker 3>about fifteen percent since their lows earlier.

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<v Speaker 2>And I look at M and T Bank is my proxy.

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<v Speaker 2>I know there's an ETF out there that is probably

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<v Speaker 2>much better, but I just like looking at MT. It's

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<v Speaker 2>a baldy regional bank of fourteen percent off of that

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<v Speaker 2>low back in late October. That's right.

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<v Speaker 3>So there there is a bit of an inverse relationship

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<v Speaker 3>with longer term treasury yields and regional bank stock. So

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<v Speaker 3>that's something to look out for. In terms of the

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<v Speaker 3>fdi C, the organization is expected to vote on a

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<v Speaker 3>special assessment to replenish their depositive Insurance Fund, which was

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<v Speaker 3>hit from the bank failures than the year. So the

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<v Speaker 3>largest banks in the United States are set to have

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<v Speaker 3>a hit in the fourth quarter, and so.

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<v Speaker 2>The large like JP Morgan has got to pay for

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<v Speaker 2>the regional banks. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 1>And by the way, was it a was it an

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<v Speaker 1>industry wide problem or were the manager's SVB group just

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<v Speaker 1>to sleep at the wheel.

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<v Speaker 3>SVB was a bit asleep at the wheel. I would

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<v Speaker 3>concede that.

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<v Speaker 1>Were passed out cold right blood alcohol content like four.

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<v Speaker 3>Not really focused on interest rate risk at that Well.

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<v Speaker 1>Why would you focus on interest rate risk as the

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<v Speaker 1>head of a bank, right, who cares about that? And

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<v Speaker 1>now Jamie Diamond has to pay the tab he must

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<v Speaker 1>be very unhappy about it.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, the bank, the surviving banks are paying for the

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<v Speaker 3>sins of the guys that had the failed institution. So

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<v Speaker 3>it is how the industry works, for better for worse.

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<v Speaker 1>No, really, you think SVB group would bail out JP Morgan.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, M and T like, like Paul said, is bailing

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<v Speaker 3>out SVB as well. So everybody has to pay their

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<v Speaker 3>fair share.

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<v Speaker 1>Full disclosure. Hermann chand loves M and T. We used

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<v Speaker 1>to work there, yes, yes, in investor relations.

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<v Speaker 2>That's right. Yeah, and you are you're a proud mid

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<v Speaker 2>market kind of regional bank.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean I bank at the Huntington in Columbus, Ohio.

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<v Speaker 2>A huge fan.

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<v Speaker 1>Look because as a local I've grown up there. Generations

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<v Speaker 1>of my family have banked there, so you know.

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<v Speaker 2>Fuller name carry some weight there well.

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<v Speaker 1>Or the benefit is when times are tough, they work

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<v Speaker 1>with us, you know, whereas a bigger bank would say

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<v Speaker 1>we'll see you later, Cinara, right, Huntington will will stick

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<v Speaker 1>with us and work with us, because that's just how

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<v Speaker 1>more localized banks work.

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<v Speaker 2>So, but there are four thousand of these regional community

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<v Speaker 2>banks out there. If I put my M and A

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<v Speaker 2>hat on there, I feel like that's an industry ripe

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<v Speaker 2>for consolidation. That is that fact the case? And if so,

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<v Speaker 2>what would be the catalyst?

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, the regionals have talked about M and A being

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<v Speaker 3>a factor later on, but not quite over the next

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<v Speaker 3>one year time horizon. You have to remember that higher

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<v Speaker 3>interest rates are are a factor and when banks do

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<v Speaker 3>M A they have to mark to market the target's

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<v Speaker 3>balance sheets. So and marking to market means that they

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<v Speaker 3>have to set the current value on both the loans

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<v Speaker 3>and assets and de posites, and that can create a

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<v Speaker 3>hole in the acquires balance sheets. So they're waiting for

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<v Speaker 3>maybe rates to come down a bit so they don't

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<v Speaker 3>have this tangible value hits. The second factor is that

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<v Speaker 3>regulation is still up in the air. The bidenmin administration

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<v Speaker 3>has been a bit reticent for bank m and A

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<v Speaker 3>despite some of the pressures earlier in the year. That

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<v Speaker 3>seems to be easy, but there's still a lot of

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<v Speaker 3>questions on that front.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, So the commercial real estate, how big of

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<v Speaker 2>an issue is that for the banks? And when will

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<v Speaker 2>we see it.

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<v Speaker 1>I guess by the way, you know where the phrase

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<v Speaker 1>waiting for the other shoot a drop comes from. No,

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<v Speaker 1>but you told me it's because back in the days

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<v Speaker 1>when New York City was filled with these tenements, the

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<v Speaker 1>walls and the ceilings and floors were so thin that

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<v Speaker 1>you could hear when somebody would come home from work

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<v Speaker 1>and take off his shoes. So you knew when one dropped,

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<v Speaker 1>you were about to hear the next shoe drop.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, very good.

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<v Speaker 3>Oh, you learn something new every day.

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's great that it's tied to real estate,

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<v Speaker 1>right because the next shoe to drop is also tied

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<v Speaker 1>to real estate.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's true. So in terms of commercial real estate,

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<v Speaker 3>it creates more headline risk in my view than actual

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<v Speaker 3>potential losses. For at least the regail banks that I cover,

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<v Speaker 3>we're talking about two to four or five percent of

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<v Speaker 3>their total long portfolio is tied the office commercial real estates.

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<v Speaker 2>Who owns that stuff.

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<v Speaker 3>Then it's it could be smaller regionals, it could be

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<v Speaker 3>you know, securitized at CNBS.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm thinking about I'm gonna go back to my Lipstick

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<v Speaker 2>building on Third Avenue and fifty fourth Street here in Manhattan,

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<v Speaker 2>right at some point that thing's going to reprice, and

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<v Speaker 2>it's going to reprice it up big discount, and the

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<v Speaker 2>equity is going to come out of that thing, and

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<v Speaker 2>whoever's got the mortgage against that's gonna have to do something. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>you're gonna have to just wonder who owns like those

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<v Speaker 2>kinds of commercial real estate mortgage.

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<v Speaker 1>My brother, by the way, it works in the Lipstick building.

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<v Speaker 2>Such a cool building. Yeah, I think it's awesome.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so hopefully they do there. Oh yeah, but there.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 3>So it is a headline issue, but I do think

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<v Speaker 3>it's going to be manageable. But you will INVIBC losses

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<v Speaker 3>for the regil banks, and they are already booking reserves

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<v Speaker 3>against potential losses expected over the next few years.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, So but if I'm looking at M and

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<v Speaker 2>T bank, I mean, so, when do I say the

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<v Speaker 2>earnings risk is behind this industry. I'm looking at the

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<v Speaker 2>next year's numbers and it's not. Then, I mean, they're

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<v Speaker 2>still going down. I guess in twenty twenty five is

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<v Speaker 2>when you expect earnings to rebound for this sector.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I think at We've written that a note actually

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<v Speaker 3>today on net margins potentially stabilizing and for most of

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<v Speaker 3>the banks that I covered, that will happen by the

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<v Speaker 3>first quarter of next year. If it's it's even stay

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<v Speaker 3>where they are today, so that's positive. You're not getting

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<v Speaker 3>any benefit from loan growth, so that's an issue. There's

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<v Speaker 3>sticker shock in terms of how interest rates are for

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<v Speaker 3>both commercial borrowers and retail customers as well, So that's

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<v Speaker 3>going to be a factor for the foreso future. But

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<v Speaker 3>in terms of net interest margins, that stabilization will help,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, reduce some of the pressures on ANII net

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<v Speaker 3>interest income for the regionals.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, Man, Herman Chan, you're the man. You cover

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<v Speaker 2>all the regional banks for Bloomberg Intelligence. We appreciate getting

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<v Speaker 2>a few minutes of your time coming here in our

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio here. Still a little bit of

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<v Speaker 2>headwinds there for the regional banks, but I'm looking at

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<v Speaker 2>some of these earnings astems out there. They start turning

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<v Speaker 2>really noticeably positive in terms of growth rates in twenty

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<v Speaker 2>twenty five for some of the regional banks. Who knows,

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<v Speaker 2>that could be an interesting area.

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<v Speaker 4>You're listening to the Team Cancer Live program Bloomberg Markets

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<v Speaker 4>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg dot Com, the

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<v Speaker 4>iHeartRadio app and the Bloomberg Business app, or listen on

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<v Speaker 4>demand wherever you get your podcasts.

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<v Speaker 2>All, let's do a little C suite conversation here. Let's

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<v Speaker 2>talk healthcare, biotech, cancer. Helen Sabzavari Joints So she is

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<v Speaker 2>a CEO of Presgen. Presogen is a publicly traded company

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<v Speaker 2>lists on nasak pg e N is the symbol for

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<v Speaker 2>to type into your Bloomberg terminal. Helen, thanks so much

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<v Speaker 2>for joining us here. Talk to us about Presagen. What

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<v Speaker 2>do you guys do? Where is your focus right now?

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<v Speaker 5>So we have been focusing on a sell and gen

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<v Speaker 5>therapy and really bringing it to the next level. I

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<v Speaker 5>think what we know that this is going to be

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<v Speaker 5>the cutting edge for the next decades, and it is

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<v Speaker 5>working for treatment. It's limited in a hemetological oncology setting.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, so we're talking cancer here.

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<v Speaker 5>Yes, cancer setting. And however, the problems are basically the

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<v Speaker 5>access to the patient, the cost that it's relevant half

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<v Speaker 5>a million dollar tag prices for the treatments and you

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<v Speaker 5>can only get advce precedent is bringing it to the

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<v Speaker 5>next level. What we are doing is manufacturing overnight at

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<v Speaker 5>the fraction of the cost done at the hospital, so

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<v Speaker 5>you don't need centralized manufacturing.

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<v Speaker 2>You make it at the hospital, at.

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<v Speaker 5>The hospital and accessible to the patient and they can

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<v Speaker 5>receive repeated doses because the cost is so much lower,

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<v Speaker 5>and it can be produced overnight, and it's precise to

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<v Speaker 5>the patient because thev use their own cells to modify

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<v Speaker 5>them overnight and infuse them back to the patient. So

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<v Speaker 5>this is why we say we are bringing the therapy

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<v Speaker 5>to the next level.

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<v Speaker 1>Better are my chance is now of surviving if I

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<v Speaker 1>get cancer today, say versus ten or twenty years ago.

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<v Speaker 5>Definitely, the field has been coming along in various immunological

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<v Speaker 5>therapies and now with the cell engene therapy, so the

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<v Speaker 5>chances of survival is much higher. The percentages still is

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<v Speaker 5>not up where we need to be. When we look

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<v Speaker 5>at our therapies with the VR in twenty thirty percent

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<v Speaker 5>response rates, we need to do much better than that.

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<v Speaker 5>And this is one of the aspects that for instance,

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<v Speaker 5>even the cell engene therapy right now in the field

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<v Speaker 5>of cancer for the liquid cancers, they do well in

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<v Speaker 5>some of them, but they have not had any effects

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<v Speaker 5>on solid tumors. And this is where we come in

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<v Speaker 5>as well, because now our technology can address both sides

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<v Speaker 5>overnight with the much lower price tag for the patient

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<v Speaker 5>and specific to the patient cancer. And I think that's

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<v Speaker 5>very important because then you avoid treatments that you know

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<v Speaker 5>it will not work.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm going to ask an ignorant question, so pretend I'm

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<v Speaker 1>a complete moron. Are you there? Why haven't we cured

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<v Speaker 1>this disease yet? I mean we've been throwing hundreds of millions.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, our boss throws billions of dollars at this

0:12:23.760 --> 0:12:27.560
<v Speaker 1>disease for decades, and there are a lot of people

0:12:27.600 --> 0:12:31.320
<v Speaker 1>out there, probably not medical professionals, but people who think,

0:12:31.559 --> 0:12:34.960
<v Speaker 1>you know what, this disease is simply too profitable to

0:12:35.640 --> 0:12:38.880
<v Speaker 1>the healthcare industry to actually cure.

0:12:39.480 --> 0:12:42.640
<v Speaker 5>I think the issues with the cancer is multifaceted, and

0:12:42.720 --> 0:12:46.880
<v Speaker 5>the mechanism of an escape of your own cells from

0:12:46.920 --> 0:12:51.280
<v Speaker 5>your own army, which is your immune cells, is very complex.

0:12:51.720 --> 0:12:54.080
<v Speaker 5>And the reason that over the years, you see, we

0:12:54.160 --> 0:12:59.320
<v Speaker 5>have moved the bar from chemo to now immunological immunotherapies

0:12:59.400 --> 0:13:03.080
<v Speaker 5>and now to your own cells recognizing it. And this

0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:06.560
<v Speaker 5>is exactly what we do. We are bringing out your

0:13:06.720 --> 0:13:11.120
<v Speaker 5>own cells there and train your army back and we

0:13:11.200 --> 0:13:14.439
<v Speaker 5>reinfuse it back to you, so now they can recognize

0:13:14.800 --> 0:13:18.120
<v Speaker 5>the enemy from within, which is your tumor self. And

0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:21.280
<v Speaker 5>I think that's where the difference is. And what we

0:13:21.440 --> 0:13:25.640
<v Speaker 5>have to do is obviously make this much more accessible

0:13:25.679 --> 0:13:29.120
<v Speaker 5>to the patient very rapidly, because the patients don't have

0:13:29.240 --> 0:13:32.640
<v Speaker 5>enough time and the current cell engine therapies will not

0:13:32.800 --> 0:13:36.920
<v Speaker 5>address that, and also treat a much larger patient population,

0:13:37.080 --> 0:13:40.320
<v Speaker 5>which is the presage and platform with the ultra cortee

0:13:40.440 --> 0:13:42.319
<v Speaker 5>does that overnight at the hospital.

0:13:42.440 --> 0:13:45.720
<v Speaker 2>So where are you in the development of your company, presaging,

0:13:45.840 --> 0:13:47.920
<v Speaker 2>I mean, are you guys? Do you have your product?

0:13:48.480 --> 0:13:52.040
<v Speaker 2>Are your or your pharmacistical in the marketplace yet?

0:13:52.120 --> 0:13:55.880
<v Speaker 5>So what we have is our ultra car is already

0:13:55.920 --> 0:13:59.600
<v Speaker 5>in the clinical trials across the United States and we

0:13:59.679 --> 0:14:03.400
<v Speaker 5>have been reporting not only the safety but efficacy. For

0:14:03.400 --> 0:14:06.960
<v Speaker 5>instance in AML patients that they don't have more than

0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:09.760
<v Speaker 5>a few months to leave and we have shown complete

0:14:09.800 --> 0:14:13.600
<v Speaker 5>and partial responses in these patients in ovarian cancer as

0:14:13.640 --> 0:14:16.360
<v Speaker 5>well as triple negative breast cancers that we are moving,

0:14:16.720 --> 0:14:20.320
<v Speaker 5>but also presgen is not just the ultra Car company.

0:14:20.600 --> 0:14:27.360
<v Speaker 5>We have other gene therapies modalities that addresses the HPV cancers,

0:14:27.960 --> 0:14:31.760
<v Speaker 5>and actually we are really excited because the twenty twenty

0:14:31.800 --> 0:14:34.280
<v Speaker 5>four is going to be a breakout for a precegen

0:14:34.800 --> 0:14:39.040
<v Speaker 5>as we are bringing the first drug for a recurrent

0:14:39.120 --> 0:14:42.760
<v Speaker 5>respiratory papillomatosis, which are the benign tumors in the trachea

0:14:42.840 --> 0:14:46.720
<v Speaker 5>and throat of the patients, and the FDA has given

0:14:46.800 --> 0:14:51.480
<v Speaker 5>us the accelerated approval and we are moving toward the

0:14:51.480 --> 0:14:56.840
<v Speaker 5>commercialization by twenty twenty four, which now changes the paradigm

0:14:57.200 --> 0:14:58.600
<v Speaker 5>for our patients and.

0:14:58.480 --> 0:14:59.240
<v Speaker 6>For our investors.

0:14:59.240 --> 0:15:01.040
<v Speaker 2>I mean, are you I'm just going at EAR stock.

0:15:01.080 --> 0:15:03.120
<v Speaker 2>It's down thirty three percent this year. I have no

0:15:03.160 --> 0:15:04.800
<v Speaker 2>idea why it's got a market cap at two hundred

0:15:04.800 --> 0:15:05.240
<v Speaker 2>fifty million.

0:15:05.360 --> 0:15:08.000
<v Speaker 1>Trained at sixty five dollars a share in twenty fifteen,

0:15:08.040 --> 0:15:10.960
<v Speaker 1>which was admittedly years before you came into the company,

0:15:10.960 --> 0:15:12.560
<v Speaker 1>but it's trading for a dollar now.

0:15:12.640 --> 0:15:14.920
<v Speaker 5>It was a different company. And I think what we

0:15:15.040 --> 0:15:17.560
<v Speaker 5>have done is since twenty twenty that I have become

0:15:17.600 --> 0:15:22.000
<v Speaker 5>the CEO, we have changed the company and focused mainly

0:15:22.080 --> 0:15:25.200
<v Speaker 5>on health and in three years we have moved the

0:15:25.320 --> 0:15:29.160
<v Speaker 5>platform from a discovery to the scaling up and to

0:15:29.200 --> 0:15:32.240
<v Speaker 5>the commercial and we just received not only the prayer

0:15:32.440 --> 0:15:37.400
<v Speaker 5>true designations from FDA, but accelerated approval, and the company

0:15:37.440 --> 0:15:41.080
<v Speaker 5>by next year is moving toward the first commercialization of

0:15:41.120 --> 0:15:44.360
<v Speaker 5>the drug in the HPV field, which, as you can imagine,

0:15:44.400 --> 0:15:47.400
<v Speaker 5>it's a huge field in cancer as well as in

0:15:47.520 --> 0:15:48.560
<v Speaker 5>infectious diseases.

0:15:48.800 --> 0:15:50.840
<v Speaker 2>So we are going to get to a point where

0:15:51.840 --> 0:15:55.680
<v Speaker 2>there will be treatments that will be better than chemo.

0:15:56.120 --> 0:15:59.640
<v Speaker 5>Oh, absolutely, we are moving in that direction. And the

0:15:59.720 --> 0:16:03.360
<v Speaker 5>cell engine therapy is exactly that. What we are doing

0:16:03.440 --> 0:16:07.880
<v Speaker 5>currently at Precegen is really taking your own cells, immune

0:16:07.960 --> 0:16:11.920
<v Speaker 5>cells and modifying them and returning them back to you.

0:16:12.320 --> 0:16:17.400
<v Speaker 5>So the safety is much more favorable, the toxicity is

0:16:17.600 --> 0:16:22.600
<v Speaker 5>much less because it's not chemo that kills across. This

0:16:23.000 --> 0:16:27.240
<v Speaker 5>is designed to only kill the tumor cells and nothing else.

0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:30.680
<v Speaker 5>And I think this is why Presogen is bringing the

0:16:30.720 --> 0:16:33.120
<v Speaker 5>field of cell engine therapy to the next level.

0:16:33.200 --> 0:16:34.040
<v Speaker 2>Who else is doing this?

0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:34.320
<v Speaker 5>Like?

0:16:34.320 --> 0:16:35.280
<v Speaker 2>Who else is doing kind of.

0:16:35.480 --> 0:16:37.680
<v Speaker 5>There are a number of companies that they are doing

0:16:37.720 --> 0:16:40.880
<v Speaker 5>the classical cartis, but this is.

0:16:40.960 --> 0:16:44.720
<v Speaker 2>Exactly cart yeah, CARTI And.

0:16:44.680 --> 0:16:48.960
<v Speaker 5>Whether the timeric antigen receptor T cells, these are modified

0:16:48.960 --> 0:16:52.200
<v Speaker 5>tea cells. However, the way it's done, it's done in

0:16:52.240 --> 0:16:59.280
<v Speaker 5>a classical fashion with the centralized manufacturing which takes almost

0:16:59.440 --> 0:17:02.760
<v Speaker 5>between an on to two months. The cost of these

0:17:02.840 --> 0:17:06.000
<v Speaker 5>parties are close to four hundred and fifty to half

0:17:06.040 --> 0:17:09.879
<v Speaker 5>a million dollars. What we have done is do that

0:17:10.359 --> 0:17:14.879
<v Speaker 5>in the completely differentiated way than everyone else, and the

0:17:14.920 --> 0:17:18.640
<v Speaker 5>precedent is the only company that has this technology currently

0:17:19.040 --> 0:17:21.199
<v Speaker 5>and we do that at the clean room of a

0:17:21.280 --> 0:17:22.840
<v Speaker 5>hospital without.

0:17:22.480 --> 0:17:24.480
<v Speaker 2>Expert all right, So all I know about biotext is

0:17:24.520 --> 0:17:26.760
<v Speaker 2>it's a biner. It either works and a stock goes

0:17:26.800 --> 0:17:28.360
<v Speaker 2>up through the roof, or it doesn't and it goes

0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:31.520
<v Speaker 2>to zero. What's the what's the mile post for your

0:17:31.560 --> 0:17:33.160
<v Speaker 2>company for that?

0:17:33.840 --> 0:17:37.480
<v Speaker 5>So in the very near future, in twenty twenty four,

0:17:37.600 --> 0:17:42.760
<v Speaker 5>we are moving our first adenoverse Gorilla, a dinniverse platform

0:17:42.880 --> 0:17:46.160
<v Speaker 5>in an rr P patient rare disease patient, which FDA

0:17:46.240 --> 0:17:50.840
<v Speaker 5>has given us the BLA, and we will be commercializing this.

0:17:51.240 --> 0:17:53.520
<v Speaker 5>So that would be the first and that's why I

0:17:53.560 --> 0:17:56.880
<v Speaker 5>think we have a great opportunity and very exciting year

0:17:56.920 --> 0:18:00.960
<v Speaker 5>in twenty twenty four. And to your point, the stocks

0:18:01.000 --> 0:18:04.040
<v Speaker 5>definitely has been under pressure. All the stocks have been

0:18:04.119 --> 0:18:08.600
<v Speaker 5>including Presigen. However, we are confident at twenty twenty four

0:18:08.720 --> 0:18:11.199
<v Speaker 5>with the new drug that we are bringing forward and

0:18:11.280 --> 0:18:15.320
<v Speaker 5>already with accelerated approval from FDA, we are going to

0:18:15.720 --> 0:18:18.280
<v Speaker 5>bring value to our patients as well as.

0:18:18.080 --> 0:18:20.719
<v Speaker 2>To our fascinating story. As always, I mean, you know

0:18:21.040 --> 0:18:24.919
<v Speaker 2>so many fronts on this fight against cancer. Helen Sabs

0:18:24.920 --> 0:18:29.280
<v Speaker 2>the very CEO. Presigen is the company. It is. Pg

0:18:29.520 --> 0:18:33.639
<v Speaker 2>e N is the ticker. With some new techniques and

0:18:33.720 --> 0:18:35.920
<v Speaker 2>new therapy party car.

0:18:36.040 --> 0:18:36.840
<v Speaker 1>We're learning something.

0:18:36.880 --> 0:18:41.680
<v Speaker 5>We're learning something the Noverse platform, which addresses both oncology

0:18:41.800 --> 0:18:46.400
<v Speaker 5>in HPV cancers and infectious.

0:18:45.119 --> 0:18:48.720
<v Speaker 4>You're listening to the tape Cancer Live program Bloomberg Markets

0:18:48.760 --> 0:18:52.160
<v Speaker 4>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the tune

0:18:52.200 --> 0:18:55.160
<v Speaker 4>in app, Bloomberg dot Com, and the Bloomberg Business App.

0:18:55.200 --> 0:18:58.000
<v Speaker 4>You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our

0:18:58.040 --> 0:19:02.960
<v Speaker 4>flagship New York station, Just Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven.

0:19:04.560 --> 0:19:06.840
<v Speaker 2>Let's bring on our next guest. Brian Stelter, a special

0:19:06.880 --> 0:19:09.800
<v Speaker 2>correspondent for Vanity Fair. You know him from CNN. He

0:19:09.920 --> 0:19:13.560
<v Speaker 2>was a longtime correspondent there at CNN. Producer of one

0:19:13.560 --> 0:19:16.639
<v Speaker 2>of my favorite TV shows which I just finished, The

0:19:16.680 --> 0:19:19.320
<v Speaker 2>Morning Show that's based upon his book. He's got a

0:19:19.440 --> 0:19:21.200
<v Speaker 2>Top of the Morning, Top of the Morning. Right, he's

0:19:21.200 --> 0:19:23.800
<v Speaker 2>got a new book at this Boys, Guy's Prolific Network

0:19:23.840 --> 0:19:27.119
<v Speaker 2>of Lies, The epic saga Fox News, Donald Trump, and

0:19:27.160 --> 0:19:31.359
<v Speaker 2>the Battle for American Democracy. Brian Stelter Joints says, Hey, Brian,

0:19:31.359 --> 0:19:33.000
<v Speaker 2>thanks so much for taking the time to join us

0:19:33.040 --> 0:19:36.280
<v Speaker 2>here kind of what did you learn in your reporting

0:19:36.400 --> 0:19:37.520
<v Speaker 2>for your new book?

0:19:37.560 --> 0:19:37.720
<v Speaker 4>Here?

0:19:37.760 --> 0:19:39.440
<v Speaker 2>This is territory that you're familiar with.

0:19:40.680 --> 0:19:42.639
<v Speaker 7>I had to write it because the last time I

0:19:42.640 --> 0:19:45.360
<v Speaker 7>wrote a book about Fox, it was mostly anonymously sourced,

0:19:45.680 --> 0:19:47.359
<v Speaker 7>and you all know that's how it has to be.

0:19:47.440 --> 0:19:51.479
<v Speaker 7>Sometimes some sources insist on confidentiality, they won't go on

0:19:51.520 --> 0:19:54.879
<v Speaker 7>the record. But then three years later, when Dominion was

0:19:54.960 --> 0:19:57.919
<v Speaker 7>suing Fox News and Dominion was able to obtain all

0:19:58.000 --> 0:20:01.399
<v Speaker 7>of those emails and text messages side Fox, I felt

0:20:01.440 --> 0:20:03.840
<v Speaker 7>like all of my anonymous sources were now speaking on

0:20:03.880 --> 0:20:06.320
<v Speaker 7>the record. Of course, it wasn't their choice, you know,

0:20:06.359 --> 0:20:09.040
<v Speaker 7>they were forced onto the record through the legal process,

0:20:09.080 --> 0:20:12.080
<v Speaker 7>through the document discovery process. But there were so many

0:20:12.119 --> 0:20:16.040
<v Speaker 7>revealing messages, including emails with Ruper Murdoch, that I thought, hey,

0:20:16.119 --> 0:20:17.560
<v Speaker 7>someone's got to turn this into a book.

0:20:18.000 --> 0:20:20.120
<v Speaker 1>So what's your take on where Fox News goes now

0:20:20.160 --> 0:20:24.919
<v Speaker 1>I mean post Tucker Carlson, you know, ahead of a

0:20:24.960 --> 0:20:28.199
<v Speaker 1>new election season. They've got a new CEO. There's so

0:20:28.200 --> 0:20:30.760
<v Speaker 1>many changes that have happened in the last I don't

0:20:30.800 --> 0:20:34.200
<v Speaker 1>know year, six months to a year. What happens to Fox?

0:20:34.960 --> 0:20:37.480
<v Speaker 7>That's right, we talked after Tucker Carlson was ousted on

0:20:37.520 --> 0:20:40.520
<v Speaker 7>the air. Then Ruper Murdoch decided to step aside. Its

0:20:40.520 --> 0:20:43.600
<v Speaker 7>actually takes effect this week yesterday at News Corp, Tomorrow

0:20:43.760 --> 0:20:47.200
<v Speaker 7>Fox Corps. He becomes chairman emeritus, and he's really elevating

0:20:47.200 --> 0:20:50.080
<v Speaker 7>his son, Lachlan, making it even more clear that Lachlan

0:20:50.200 --> 0:20:51.720
<v Speaker 7>is the future of these companies.

0:20:52.160 --> 0:20:53.120
<v Speaker 8>What's the future of Fox?

0:20:53.160 --> 0:20:55.480
<v Speaker 7>Well, in the book, I quote an insider saying Lachlan

0:20:55.880 --> 0:20:59.480
<v Speaker 7>just wants to minimize headaches and maximize profits. I think

0:20:59.480 --> 0:21:02.119
<v Speaker 7>that's why we see in Attucker Carlson fire, and he

0:21:02.160 --> 0:21:02.560
<v Speaker 7>wants to.

0:21:02.520 --> 0:21:04.960
<v Speaker 8>Minimize those headaches, and then he wants.

0:21:04.720 --> 0:21:06.120
<v Speaker 7>To try to figure out how to make as much

0:21:06.119 --> 0:21:08.960
<v Speaker 7>as he can out of these declining cable businesses while

0:21:09.000 --> 0:21:11.880
<v Speaker 7>also investing in two being in Fox Nation and other

0:21:11.920 --> 0:21:14.800
<v Speaker 7>streaming ventures. Of course, Fox is one of these subscale

0:21:14.840 --> 0:21:18.520
<v Speaker 7>media players. It's not nothing like Netflix or Disney. So

0:21:18.680 --> 0:21:20.800
<v Speaker 7>I think, you know, in the future, anything could happen.

0:21:21.000 --> 0:21:23.159
<v Speaker 7>I think the most likely scenario is we're going to

0:21:23.160 --> 0:21:25.920
<v Speaker 7>see another attempt to recombine News Corp. And Fox Corps,

0:21:25.920 --> 0:21:28.240
<v Speaker 7>but maybe not for another year or so.

0:21:28.240 --> 0:21:31.560
<v Speaker 2>So, Brian, what's in some of this What are some

0:21:31.600 --> 0:21:35.280
<v Speaker 2>of the new issues that you kind of unfounded or

0:21:35.520 --> 0:21:37.680
<v Speaker 2>are founded here in this new book.

0:21:38.400 --> 0:21:40.960
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, you know, what I get at is Rupert and

0:21:41.000 --> 0:21:45.280
<v Speaker 7>Lachlin Murdoch's role within this company and this network, Fox News,

0:21:45.440 --> 0:21:48.159
<v Speaker 7>that is the dominant player within the Republican Party. And

0:21:48.200 --> 0:21:50.159
<v Speaker 7>what I found is that the times when Rupert and

0:21:50.200 --> 0:21:53.119
<v Speaker 7>Lachlan should have stepped in and been more involved, they weren't.

0:21:53.200 --> 0:21:55.919
<v Speaker 7>They were laid back. They were kind of letting others

0:21:55.960 --> 0:21:59.040
<v Speaker 7>do the dirty work. Remember in Succession when Lucas Mattson

0:21:59.080 --> 0:21:59.520
<v Speaker 7>says he's.

0:21:59.480 --> 0:22:01.000
<v Speaker 8>Hiring a sponge.

0:22:01.160 --> 0:22:03.480
<v Speaker 7>Well, I came to realize that's what the Murdocks really

0:22:03.480 --> 0:22:05.560
<v Speaker 7>do in real life. You know, No wonder this show

0:22:05.680 --> 0:22:08.800
<v Speaker 7>was so heavily reliant on the Murdoch story. They have

0:22:08.840 --> 0:22:11.320
<v Speaker 7>their own pain sponges, you know, to clean up the messes.

0:22:12.119 --> 0:22:14.160
<v Speaker 7>And so that that I found was interesting when reading

0:22:14.200 --> 0:22:16.679
<v Speaker 7>these emails, and text messages that they keep there. You know,

0:22:16.680 --> 0:22:19.480
<v Speaker 7>they have they have passible deniability sometimes with some of

0:22:19.520 --> 0:22:20.920
<v Speaker 7>these scandals and lawsuits.

0:22:21.000 --> 0:22:22.800
<v Speaker 8>And of course these lawsuits are ongoing.

0:22:22.840 --> 0:22:26.000
<v Speaker 7>We know Dominion settled, but Smarmatic another voting company is

0:22:26.000 --> 0:22:28.520
<v Speaker 7>suing Fox. There are a lot of shareholder lawsuits and

0:22:28.560 --> 0:22:32.080
<v Speaker 7>other defamation lawsuits. It is really it's really remarkable that

0:22:32.160 --> 0:22:33.800
<v Speaker 7>here we are talking to the end of twenty twenty

0:22:33.840 --> 0:22:36.960
<v Speaker 7>three and there's still so much litigation about the last

0:22:36.960 --> 0:22:37.879
<v Speaker 7>presidential election.

0:22:38.760 --> 0:22:41.440
<v Speaker 1>What do you think about I mean, we've recently heard

0:22:42.359 --> 0:22:46.280
<v Speaker 1>that Donald Trump was dead set against leaving the White House,

0:22:46.520 --> 0:22:50.920
<v Speaker 1>and you know, more and more is coming to light.

0:22:51.000 --> 0:22:53.080
<v Speaker 1>But it continues to shock me that he has such

0:22:53.119 --> 0:22:57.399
<v Speaker 1>a stronghold on you know, place like Fox or the

0:22:57.520 --> 0:23:00.959
<v Speaker 1>US Congress. How how does that How does he continue

0:23:01.000 --> 0:23:02.040
<v Speaker 1>to have that kind of strength.

0:23:03.280 --> 0:23:04.800
<v Speaker 7>I think it has a lot to do with the

0:23:04.840 --> 0:23:07.760
<v Speaker 7>rewriting of January sixth, And I discovered this as I

0:23:07.800 --> 0:23:10.560
<v Speaker 7>read through all these emails and texts that after January

0:23:10.560 --> 0:23:13.159
<v Speaker 7>six Ruper Murdoch said very clearly, We're going to make

0:23:13.200 --> 0:23:16.600
<v Speaker 7>Trump a non person. We are pivoting away from Trump.

0:23:17.040 --> 0:23:19.800
<v Speaker 7>He was told by his number two that Sean Hannity

0:23:19.840 --> 0:23:22.240
<v Speaker 7>is ready to lead the seventy five million Trump voters

0:23:22.280 --> 0:23:25.280
<v Speaker 7>away from Trump. So clearly there was an attempt to

0:23:25.359 --> 0:23:28.119
<v Speaker 7>make Trump a non person, but it didn't last. It

0:23:28.160 --> 0:23:30.160
<v Speaker 7>didn't last. So why didn't it last? Why was Trump

0:23:30.200 --> 0:23:33.480
<v Speaker 7>able to get back to center stage? Why was he replatformed? Well,

0:23:33.520 --> 0:23:36.879
<v Speaker 7>I argue it's because Peter Really Tyler Carlson rewrote the

0:23:36.920 --> 0:23:39.879
<v Speaker 7>story of January sixth to say it wasn't an insurrection,

0:23:39.960 --> 0:23:42.560
<v Speaker 7>it wasn't a riot, it was just a tourist visit

0:23:42.640 --> 0:23:45.320
<v Speaker 7>gone bad, that it actually wasn't that big a deal.

0:23:45.400 --> 0:23:48.000
<v Speaker 7>That hey, maybe the FEDS were involved, Maybe the government

0:23:48.040 --> 0:23:51.360
<v Speaker 7>plants were in the crowd ginging up the protesters. Basically,

0:23:51.560 --> 0:23:54.879
<v Speaker 7>by presenting a conspiracy theory version of January six I

0:23:54.920 --> 0:23:57.359
<v Speaker 7>think it helped to absolve Trump in the minds of

0:23:57.359 --> 0:24:00.800
<v Speaker 7>his fans, to absolve Trump in the minds of Fox's viewers,

0:24:01.080 --> 0:24:03.840
<v Speaker 7>and thus now here we are, Trump's still the dominant

0:24:03.880 --> 0:24:04.879
<v Speaker 7>figure in the primary.

0:24:05.400 --> 0:24:09.320
<v Speaker 2>Brian, what role do you expect Fox News to play

0:24:09.440 --> 0:24:12.840
<v Speaker 2>in this upcoming presidential elections visa VI the former President Trump,

0:24:12.840 --> 0:24:15.200
<v Speaker 2>who presumably is the publican nominee.

0:24:15.800 --> 0:24:17.879
<v Speaker 7>Well, look, the first two GOP debates of the season

0:24:17.960 --> 0:24:19.840
<v Speaker 7>both went to Fox. Now there's going to be a

0:24:19.880 --> 0:24:22.119
<v Speaker 7>few more debates, but without Trump, they're becoming less and

0:24:22.160 --> 0:24:24.720
<v Speaker 7>less important. Trump is in a little bit of a

0:24:24.760 --> 0:24:27.560
<v Speaker 7>standoff with Fox. He thinks he's more powerful than Fox.

0:24:27.600 --> 0:24:29.840
<v Speaker 7>You know, they go back and forth because you know,

0:24:29.840 --> 0:24:31.960
<v Speaker 7>they're like, you know, it's like, I don't know if

0:24:31.960 --> 0:24:34.199
<v Speaker 7>it's a buddy comedy or it's a horror movie, but

0:24:34.240 --> 0:24:37.480
<v Speaker 7>it's a situation where they're they're kind of both battling

0:24:37.520 --> 0:24:39.280
<v Speaker 7>each other at all times. But at the end of

0:24:39.320 --> 0:24:41.880
<v Speaker 7>the day, what matters most is that the audience comes

0:24:41.920 --> 0:24:43.080
<v Speaker 7>home and Trump comes home.

0:24:43.119 --> 0:24:44.520
<v Speaker 8>He will come home.

0:24:44.359 --> 0:24:47.080
<v Speaker 7>To Fox because they have the same interest. They want

0:24:47.080 --> 0:24:49.720
<v Speaker 7>to see Democrats defeated. So even though there's lots to

0:24:49.800 --> 0:24:53.600
<v Speaker 7>talk about Trump trashing Rupert Murdach complaining about Fox, I

0:24:53.600 --> 0:24:55.679
<v Speaker 7>don't think that'll matter in a general election. I think

0:24:55.720 --> 0:24:58.879
<v Speaker 7>what will matter is that Fox still has a stranglehold

0:24:59.160 --> 0:25:01.800
<v Speaker 7>on a giant of the right in the United States.

0:25:01.920 --> 0:25:03.800
<v Speaker 1>Does CNN want a piece of that? I mean, they

0:25:03.880 --> 0:25:06.879
<v Speaker 1>did a town hall with Donald Trump. They've made some

0:25:07.520 --> 0:25:11.960
<v Speaker 1>moves that media critics have questioned, as you know, what's

0:25:12.280 --> 0:25:14.439
<v Speaker 1>CNN doing well?

0:25:14.440 --> 0:25:16.320
<v Speaker 7>I think right now CENN is trying to report the

0:25:16.320 --> 0:25:18.320
<v Speaker 7>truth as loudly and clearly as possible, and I think

0:25:18.320 --> 0:25:20.840
<v Speaker 7>they've been excelling with coverage of the war between Israel

0:25:20.840 --> 0:25:23.320
<v Speaker 7>and Hamas. I think there was an effort last year,

0:25:23.320 --> 0:25:25.720
<v Speaker 7>and I think an understandable effort by David Zaslov and

0:25:25.760 --> 0:25:28.720
<v Speaker 7>others to try to figure out how to appeal to everybody,

0:25:28.800 --> 0:25:29.240
<v Speaker 7>appeal to.

0:25:29.240 --> 0:25:31.359
<v Speaker 8>Conservatives as well as liberals and moderates.

0:25:31.440 --> 0:25:33.119
<v Speaker 7>But I think we have to make a distinction between

0:25:33.200 --> 0:25:37.959
<v Speaker 7>conservatives and MAGA loyalists. Okay, it's the same distinction Biden

0:25:38.000 --> 0:25:40.679
<v Speaker 7>makes in his speeches between Republicans who he's known for

0:25:40.760 --> 0:25:43.640
<v Speaker 7>decades versus MAGA Republicans who seem to want to burn

0:25:43.680 --> 0:25:46.000
<v Speaker 7>it all down. You're not going to be able, in

0:25:46.040 --> 0:25:50.280
<v Speaker 7>my view, to get through to Trump loyalists who have

0:25:50.359 --> 0:25:52.560
<v Speaker 7>been told for almost a decade now that the real

0:25:52.600 --> 0:25:55.399
<v Speaker 7>news is fake. So if that's the strategy of CNN,

0:25:55.440 --> 0:25:56.720
<v Speaker 7>that wasn't going to work. But I don't think that

0:25:56.800 --> 0:25:59.320
<v Speaker 7>was the strategy. I think the strategy was, and maybe

0:25:59.320 --> 0:26:01.639
<v Speaker 7>to some of sense, is to try to show that

0:26:01.680 --> 0:26:03.440
<v Speaker 7>it's real news coverage.

0:26:03.080 --> 0:26:05.520
<v Speaker 8>Not the fake news that Trump lied about.

0:26:05.520 --> 0:26:07.040
<v Speaker 7>And you know that's the problem for a lot of

0:26:07.040 --> 0:26:09.280
<v Speaker 7>these brands, a lot of these media brands they have

0:26:09.560 --> 0:26:11.520
<v Speaker 7>they're up against the disinformation campaign.

0:26:11.840 --> 0:26:13.720
<v Speaker 8>So I have a lot of sympathy for the CNNs

0:26:13.720 --> 0:26:14.960
<v Speaker 8>and the NBCs.

0:26:14.520 --> 0:26:16.399
<v Speaker 7>Of the world that are trying to get the word

0:26:16.440 --> 0:26:18.479
<v Speaker 7>out that they are actually just doing the doing their

0:26:18.560 --> 0:26:20.840
<v Speaker 7>jobs reporting what's in the world, but they're up against

0:26:20.880 --> 0:26:23.760
<v Speaker 7>this kind of this hurricane of noise and lies from

0:26:23.800 --> 0:26:24.720
<v Speaker 7>Donald Trump.

0:26:24.560 --> 0:26:28.280
<v Speaker 1>Brian What What? What's happened to Tucker Carlson? Do we

0:26:28.400 --> 0:26:31.000
<v Speaker 1>know kind of how that has turned out yet, because

0:26:31.000 --> 0:26:32.439
<v Speaker 1>for a while it seemed like there were a lot

0:26:32.480 --> 0:26:34.440
<v Speaker 1>of maga Republicans that were going to switch away from

0:26:34.480 --> 0:26:37.000
<v Speaker 1>Fox and go to I don't know what he's doing,

0:26:37.080 --> 0:26:39.000
<v Speaker 1>but has he still got a big following.

0:26:39.800 --> 0:26:41.879
<v Speaker 7>He doesn't quite know what he's doing yet either, but

0:26:41.880 --> 0:26:43.919
<v Speaker 7>he's making a lot of videos on the site formerly

0:26:43.920 --> 0:26:46.680
<v Speaker 7>known as Twitter, and he's reportedly raising money and making

0:26:46.720 --> 0:26:48.920
<v Speaker 7>ad deals so he can grow that into a real

0:26:48.960 --> 0:26:51.639
<v Speaker 7>media company. I think he has big ambitions because he

0:26:51.680 --> 0:26:55.280
<v Speaker 7>wants revenge against Fox. He wants to show Fox who's boss.

0:26:55.280 --> 0:26:58.040
<v Speaker 7>But right now his platform has diminished, He's not making

0:26:58.080 --> 0:27:01.040
<v Speaker 7>as much of an impact he's not as influential. Yes,

0:27:01.080 --> 0:27:03.040
<v Speaker 7>he still has a fan base, but it goes to

0:27:03.119 --> 0:27:06.600
<v Speaker 7>show once again that the machine is bigger than the parts.

0:27:06.640 --> 0:27:07.800
<v Speaker 8>The parts are replaceable.

0:27:07.880 --> 0:27:11.000
<v Speaker 7>Fox News is the platform that matters, not the individual

0:27:11.040 --> 0:27:11.840
<v Speaker 7>hosts and.

0:27:11.760 --> 0:27:13.719
<v Speaker 8>Gosh for whether you love it or hate it.

0:27:13.960 --> 0:27:16.560
<v Speaker 7>That's a credit to Rupert Murdoch for making that investment

0:27:16.560 --> 0:27:18.280
<v Speaker 7>almost thirty years ago.

0:27:18.600 --> 0:27:18.800
<v Speaker 4>Yep.

0:27:18.880 --> 0:27:21.840
<v Speaker 2>And I always say what made the Fox Network was

0:27:22.200 --> 0:27:24.960
<v Speaker 2>Bart Homer Simpson. So that's kind of when they find

0:27:24.960 --> 0:27:26.760
<v Speaker 2>to turn the corner. Brian Stelter, thank you so much

0:27:26.800 --> 0:27:28.800
<v Speaker 2>for joining us. Appreciate getting a few minutes of your time.

0:27:28.800 --> 0:27:33.000
<v Speaker 2>Brian Stelter. He's a special correspondent for Vanity Fair, formerly

0:27:33.040 --> 0:27:37.960
<v Speaker 2>a correspondent for CNN, and producer of Apple TV's The

0:27:38.160 --> 0:27:38.840
<v Speaker 2>Morning Show.

0:27:39.400 --> 0:27:43.040
<v Speaker 4>You're listening to the tape Cansur live program Bloomberg Markets

0:27:43.080 --> 0:27:46.480
<v Speaker 4>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Bloomberg Radio, the tune

0:27:46.520 --> 0:27:49.480
<v Speaker 4>in app, Bloomberg dot Com, and the Bloomberg Business App.

0:27:49.520 --> 0:27:52.320
<v Speaker 4>You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our

0:27:52.359 --> 0:27:56.760
<v Speaker 4>flagship New York station. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:27:58.480 --> 0:28:01.080
<v Speaker 2>All right, let's switch gear. Let's get to our next

0:28:01.080 --> 0:28:03.840
<v Speaker 2>guest Laura Martin. She's a managing director of senior Media

0:28:03.840 --> 0:28:06.080
<v Speaker 2>and Internet analyst at need Him. She's based out in

0:28:06.480 --> 0:28:09.359
<v Speaker 2>Los Angeles, right in the heart of Hollywood. Does all

0:28:09.400 --> 0:28:12.640
<v Speaker 2>that stuff out there? She joins U via zoom. Hey, Laura,

0:28:12.680 --> 0:28:15.200
<v Speaker 2>I want to start with Disney here. You know, Bob

0:28:15.240 --> 0:28:17.120
<v Speaker 2>Iiger has been back now, I don't know, a couple

0:28:17.160 --> 0:28:18.720
<v Speaker 2>of years, a year and a half something like that.

0:28:19.160 --> 0:28:21.600
<v Speaker 2>What do we know about where he wants to take

0:28:22.280 --> 0:28:22.960
<v Speaker 2>this company?

0:28:24.680 --> 0:28:24.879
<v Speaker 1>You know?

0:28:24.960 --> 0:28:27.359
<v Speaker 6>I think on the part we have two companies here now.

0:28:27.760 --> 0:28:31.080
<v Speaker 9>One is Parks and it's on a tear at record

0:28:31.160 --> 0:28:34.400
<v Speaker 9>high margins, really a big cash flow generator, and he's

0:28:34.400 --> 0:28:37.919
<v Speaker 9>going to invest sixty billion dollars in that business so

0:28:38.000 --> 0:28:41.640
<v Speaker 9>that that business has proven its growth you know, trajectory,

0:28:42.400 --> 0:28:45.520
<v Speaker 9>and he's going to invest in driving that growth longer.

0:28:45.600 --> 0:28:46.040
<v Speaker 6>Fine.

0:28:46.400 --> 0:28:49.320
<v Speaker 9>I think what Nelson Peltz is arguing about, and I

0:28:49.360 --> 0:28:52.480
<v Speaker 9>think where I think the long term media analysts are

0:28:52.520 --> 0:28:55.160
<v Speaker 9>on this is I don't think he's actually shown us

0:28:55.200 --> 0:28:59.480
<v Speaker 9>that he can grow the now that's streaming sort of

0:28:59.520 --> 0:29:01.800
<v Speaker 9>hit mature and it's still never made money.

0:29:01.960 --> 0:29:04.120
<v Speaker 6>Can the content business grow, Paul?

0:29:04.240 --> 0:29:06.920
<v Speaker 9>And if not, why is he keeping all these people like,

0:29:06.960 --> 0:29:08.800
<v Speaker 9>it's okay of a business. He doesn't have a dividend,

0:29:09.120 --> 0:29:11.800
<v Speaker 9>so it's okay if business doesn't grow, if you cut

0:29:11.840 --> 0:29:14.680
<v Speaker 9>your people and you raise your dividend, that's.

0:29:14.440 --> 0:29:17.000
<v Speaker 6>Called a garb stock, that's called a value stock. Okay.

0:29:17.280 --> 0:29:20.360
<v Speaker 9>But right now he's investing like the content business's growth

0:29:20.800 --> 0:29:22.840
<v Speaker 9>and I think Wall Street is unclear that the content

0:29:22.880 --> 0:29:24.280
<v Speaker 9>business is still a growth business.

0:29:25.640 --> 0:29:28.600
<v Speaker 2>All right, So I mean it's still mist sacrilege to

0:29:28.600 --> 0:29:30.560
<v Speaker 2>ask this question, but you could make the call here,

0:29:31.200 --> 0:29:33.680
<v Speaker 2>like if I'm an investment banker, I'm a media m

0:29:33.720 --> 0:29:35.880
<v Speaker 2>and a banker. Boy, there's a lot of pieces here.

0:29:36.400 --> 0:29:39.160
<v Speaker 2>Do I try to break this company up and see

0:29:39.160 --> 0:29:40.960
<v Speaker 2>if I can get better value in the marketplace for

0:29:41.080 --> 0:29:41.560
<v Speaker 2>the pieces?

0:29:42.760 --> 0:29:43.640
<v Speaker 6>You know, a lot of.

0:29:43.560 --> 0:29:46.600
<v Speaker 9>These CEOs don't want to relinquish actual control of an

0:29:46.640 --> 0:29:50.120
<v Speaker 9>asset because that's how they judge their powers. How many

0:29:50.120 --> 0:29:52.600
<v Speaker 9>employees have reporting to them. I do like the idea

0:29:52.640 --> 0:29:57.320
<v Speaker 9>Paul of spinning off ten percent of Parks, because I

0:29:57.360 --> 0:29:59.360
<v Speaker 9>think Parks really is a growth engine. I think you

0:29:59.360 --> 0:30:02.280
<v Speaker 9>would get a much higher valuation for Parks if somebody

0:30:02.280 --> 0:30:05.720
<v Speaker 9>could buy it alone away from the content assets, where

0:30:05.720 --> 0:30:08.320
<v Speaker 9>there are a lot more questions, and in creating that

0:30:08.360 --> 0:30:11.880
<v Speaker 9>security but still keeping it for tax consolidation and teach,

0:30:11.960 --> 0:30:14.000
<v Speaker 9>you know, keeping control over it, you would get a

0:30:14.080 --> 0:30:16.760
<v Speaker 9>higher value for the aggregate Disney shareholder.

0:30:17.080 --> 0:30:18.560
<v Speaker 1>What's going to happen to ESPN?

0:30:19.720 --> 0:30:24.120
<v Speaker 9>Good quod Well, lots of speculation here, I do you

0:30:24.160 --> 0:30:27.880
<v Speaker 9>know Bob Iger on the call did say he's looking

0:30:27.880 --> 0:30:31.520
<v Speaker 9>for people or companies that can enhance his distribution, give

0:30:31.560 --> 0:30:34.560
<v Speaker 9>him more content rights and or give the more marketing

0:30:36.040 --> 0:30:38.480
<v Speaker 9>like Gravitas, so.

0:30:38.280 --> 0:30:39.440
<v Speaker 6>He doesn't need need money.

0:30:40.480 --> 0:30:42.400
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, Well, I like the NFL has an idea a

0:30:42.440 --> 0:30:45.520
<v Speaker 9>lot or the MBA because like the NBA rights, NFL

0:30:45.600 --> 0:30:47.640
<v Speaker 9>has got locked up for a decade, so he doesn't

0:30:47.640 --> 0:30:49.840
<v Speaker 9>really need the NFL right now. But I do like

0:30:49.880 --> 0:30:51.880
<v Speaker 9>the MBA, which is coming up, and they're saying that

0:30:51.920 --> 0:30:55.240
<v Speaker 9>the that the cost of the MBA might go up

0:30:55.240 --> 0:30:57.840
<v Speaker 9>by four billion dollars, and Bob Iger has promised us

0:30:58.200 --> 0:31:01.800
<v Speaker 9>an extra two billion dollars of cash next year. Well,

0:31:01.960 --> 0:31:03.880
<v Speaker 9>if the NBA writes BUTOK, by four billion and he

0:31:03.920 --> 0:31:06.360
<v Speaker 9>pays that, he's going to wipe out that promise and

0:31:06.840 --> 0:31:08.240
<v Speaker 9>make his free cash full even worse.

0:31:08.280 --> 0:31:10.280
<v Speaker 6>So I like that idea as a strategy.

0:31:10.360 --> 0:31:12.840
<v Speaker 9>Look NBA will give you a little less cash than

0:31:12.920 --> 0:31:15.520
<v Speaker 9>you want, but we'll give you ten percent of ESPN

0:31:15.880 --> 0:31:17.240
<v Speaker 9>and we'll sign a ten year deal.

0:31:17.760 --> 0:31:19.560
<v Speaker 6>That's actually a better deal for the NBA, if you

0:31:19.560 --> 0:31:19.920
<v Speaker 6>ask me.

0:31:21.000 --> 0:31:23.680
<v Speaker 2>Interesting. Hey, So, Laura, I went to get your opinion

0:31:23.720 --> 0:31:25.080
<v Speaker 2>on somebody. I mean, you're right, we're coming up in

0:31:25.080 --> 0:31:28.400
<v Speaker 2>a business. The media moguls were Ted Turner, you know,

0:31:28.560 --> 0:31:33.600
<v Speaker 2>Sumner Redstone, Ripper Murdoch. Is David Zaslov the new media

0:31:33.680 --> 0:31:35.960
<v Speaker 2>mogul for the kids out there today coming up in

0:31:36.000 --> 0:31:37.440
<v Speaker 2>the business? Is he it? Dude?

0:31:37.440 --> 0:31:39.800
<v Speaker 1>Did you read the New York Times this morning? I

0:31:39.840 --> 0:31:43.720
<v Speaker 1>did ripping on Jeff Zucker for having tears in his eyes. Yes,

0:31:44.040 --> 0:31:46.480
<v Speaker 1>after Zucker was like I needed you as a friend.

0:31:46.760 --> 0:31:47.080
<v Speaker 2>Yep.

0:31:47.200 --> 0:31:51.280
<v Speaker 1>I mean that guy sounds pretty harsh. Do you want

0:31:51.280 --> 0:31:51.960
<v Speaker 1>a friend like that?

0:31:52.160 --> 0:31:52.960
<v Speaker 2>I don't know. I don't know.

0:31:53.320 --> 0:31:55.080
<v Speaker 1>Do you want a boss like that? Do you want

0:31:55.080 --> 0:31:56.960
<v Speaker 1>an employee like that? Would you want to be in

0:31:57.000 --> 0:31:58.840
<v Speaker 1>the same room as a person like that? I mean,

0:31:58.880 --> 0:32:00.160
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if it's true. I'm just reading the

0:32:00.160 --> 0:32:01.760
<v Speaker 1>Time story, but you know it's rough.

0:32:03.080 --> 0:32:04.480
<v Speaker 2>So Lauren, tell us about Zaslov.

0:32:05.560 --> 0:32:07.520
<v Speaker 9>So I will I'm going to answer your question though,

0:32:07.560 --> 0:32:10.040
<v Speaker 9>I think the new media mogul is Jeff Bezos, who

0:32:10.120 --> 0:32:12.880
<v Speaker 9>now no longer runs Amazon, the guy who started Amazon

0:32:12.960 --> 0:32:16.000
<v Speaker 9>Prime is a media mogul. I think it is possible.

0:32:16.000 --> 0:32:18.440
<v Speaker 9>It is one of the few streaming services that survives

0:32:18.920 --> 0:32:23.440
<v Speaker 9>because it's got Amazon e Commerce, right, and Amazon Music

0:32:23.480 --> 0:32:26.960
<v Speaker 9>and Amazon and MGM's library. You know, I think the

0:32:27.000 --> 0:32:30.840
<v Speaker 9>new definition of media mogul. It's too small. David Seslov

0:32:30.960 --> 0:32:33.240
<v Speaker 9>is too small. The company runs is too small.

0:32:33.680 --> 0:32:36.480
<v Speaker 1>But is Amazon kind of an also ran to Apple

0:32:36.760 --> 0:32:39.560
<v Speaker 1>because Amazon Music? What I use Apple Music?

0:32:39.720 --> 0:32:39.920
<v Speaker 2>You know?

0:32:40.360 --> 0:32:43.360
<v Speaker 1>Amazon Prime, Yes, I have it, but Apple TV is

0:32:43.480 --> 0:32:45.160
<v Speaker 1>much sexier.

0:32:45.600 --> 0:32:45.719
<v Speaker 2>Right.

0:32:46.440 --> 0:32:49.280
<v Speaker 1>Why Why isn't Apple the big media mogul.

0:32:50.320 --> 0:32:52.360
<v Speaker 9>Well, I guess from a media mogul point of view,

0:32:52.400 --> 0:32:58.240
<v Speaker 9>I mean somebody who runs around Hollywood, Okay, doesn't just

0:32:58.320 --> 0:33:01.640
<v Speaker 9>mean you run a business like there's like literally, when

0:33:01.640 --> 0:33:03.520
<v Speaker 9>I think of I do cover Apple. When I think

0:33:03.560 --> 0:33:06.520
<v Speaker 9>of them, I think of these, you know, brainiac guys

0:33:06.520 --> 0:33:10.760
<v Speaker 9>designing beautiful pieces of hardware, where services is sort of

0:33:10.760 --> 0:33:12.800
<v Speaker 9>the add on to keep their hardware selling.

0:33:13.320 --> 0:33:15.640
<v Speaker 6>None of them feel like moguls to me. Literally, the

0:33:15.640 --> 0:33:16.240
<v Speaker 6>opposite of.

0:33:16.200 --> 0:33:21.160
<v Speaker 9>Moguls, like down to earth engineers with beautiful design characteristics.

0:33:21.320 --> 0:33:23.560
<v Speaker 6>None of that is about having lunch at Spagos.

0:33:24.440 --> 0:33:28.680
<v Speaker 1>Meanwhile, Jeff Bezos is ripped. Yeah, he's got a trainer

0:33:28.680 --> 0:33:31.920
<v Speaker 1>coming every day. I mean, I don't know, he looks

0:33:31.960 --> 0:33:32.480
<v Speaker 1>like he does.

0:33:32.920 --> 0:33:36.000
<v Speaker 2>So Laura talk to us about Meta. You got you

0:33:36.040 --> 0:33:38.520
<v Speaker 2>have been kind of underperformed on the stock. It's just

0:33:38.560 --> 0:33:40.440
<v Speaker 2>been ripping. What do you think is going on there

0:33:40.440 --> 0:33:40.920
<v Speaker 2>with the stocks?

0:33:41.040 --> 0:33:41.120
<v Speaker 5>What?

0:33:41.200 --> 0:33:42.920
<v Speaker 1>He works in good shape too, Yeah, he is.

0:33:43.400 --> 0:33:44.920
<v Speaker 2>So what do you think is happening over at Meta?

0:33:44.920 --> 0:33:47.200
<v Speaker 2>And maybe what the street might be missing or maybe

0:33:47.240 --> 0:33:48.400
<v Speaker 2>you know what you're seeing.

0:33:49.680 --> 0:33:52.240
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, so I think I think near term, he cut

0:33:52.360 --> 0:33:53.480
<v Speaker 6>a lot of people. Last year.

0:33:53.480 --> 0:33:56.000
<v Speaker 9>He cut twenty five percent of his labor force, which,

0:33:56.000 --> 0:33:59.240
<v Speaker 9>as you know, Paul destroys morale for an enterprise. So

0:33:59.280 --> 0:34:02.440
<v Speaker 9>he cut twenty five percent of his people, and he

0:34:02.480 --> 0:34:05.840
<v Speaker 9>had anniversaried the negative comps member. He said when iOS

0:34:05.920 --> 0:34:09.360
<v Speaker 9>changed its privacy policy, when Apple changes privacy policy, he

0:34:09.440 --> 0:34:11.640
<v Speaker 9>was going to lose ten billion dollars in revenue.

0:34:11.680 --> 0:34:13.440
<v Speaker 6>He did that for a year, So his revenue went

0:34:13.520 --> 0:34:14.279
<v Speaker 6>negative for a year.

0:34:14.680 --> 0:34:18.240
<v Speaker 9>So he's back to positive revenue growth and acceleratingly positive

0:34:18.239 --> 0:34:21.440
<v Speaker 9>revenue growth, and he has twenty five percent fewer employees,

0:34:21.960 --> 0:34:24.080
<v Speaker 9>so right now that stocks on a tear this year

0:34:24.120 --> 0:34:27.360
<v Speaker 9>because of those fundamentals. In the near term, our cell

0:34:27.600 --> 0:34:30.480
<v Speaker 9>is predecorated on three things. One, he doesn't control his

0:34:30.600 --> 0:34:33.960
<v Speaker 9>content or his distribution. His content is us as user

0:34:34.000 --> 0:34:37.040
<v Speaker 9>generated content, and they're moving to TikTok, and they're taking

0:34:37.080 --> 0:34:40.399
<v Speaker 9>their clients to TikTok, and they add revenues following them

0:34:40.400 --> 0:34:41.080
<v Speaker 9>to TikTok.

0:34:41.360 --> 0:34:42.960
<v Speaker 6>So the competitive situation in his.

0:34:43.000 --> 0:34:47.359
<v Speaker 9>Core business is really bad, and the regulators are late,

0:34:47.560 --> 0:34:49.799
<v Speaker 9>so they think he's a monopolist, so they're going after

0:34:49.880 --> 0:34:52.520
<v Speaker 9>him for his market position three years ago. So he

0:34:52.560 --> 0:34:55.920
<v Speaker 9>has regulatory headaches that cost a fortune and distract the

0:34:55.960 --> 0:34:59.200
<v Speaker 9>whole enterprise. So he's got regulatory hassles of being a

0:34:59.239 --> 0:35:03.280
<v Speaker 9>monopolist when early TikTok is shipping away at his base,

0:35:04.360 --> 0:35:07.000
<v Speaker 9>and then the metaverse spending is coming back next year.

0:35:07.080 --> 0:35:09.799
<v Speaker 9>And now he has a whole new spending category which

0:35:09.840 --> 0:35:13.880
<v Speaker 9>is called jenerative AI, which should be a huge revenue generator,

0:35:13.920 --> 0:35:15.359
<v Speaker 9>except he's giving away.

0:35:15.160 --> 0:35:17.759
<v Speaker 6>His large language model. He's not charging for it.

0:35:18.200 --> 0:35:22.879
<v Speaker 9>So here's another big cost like center called jenerative AI,

0:35:23.440 --> 0:35:25.920
<v Speaker 9>and he's making his everything he does there. He's giving

0:35:25.960 --> 0:35:28.920
<v Speaker 9>away in an open in an open large language model.

0:35:29.280 --> 0:35:32.239
<v Speaker 9>So you know, none of this is good fundamental outlook,

0:35:32.719 --> 0:35:35.359
<v Speaker 9>even though this year I'm getting really killed. My rating

0:35:35.440 --> 0:35:36.040
<v Speaker 9>is wrong this.

0:35:36.040 --> 0:35:39.719
<v Speaker 2>Year, all right, So what what are you? What are

0:35:39.760 --> 0:35:41.360
<v Speaker 2>you really spending your time on these days? Is it?

0:35:41.480 --> 0:35:44.160
<v Speaker 2>Is it? Apple? Where do you think your client should

0:35:44.160 --> 0:35:47.200
<v Speaker 2>be thinking about it for the next one to two years, because, boy,

0:35:47.239 --> 0:35:48.719
<v Speaker 2>you take a look at some of the traditional media

0:35:48.719 --> 0:35:50.600
<v Speaker 2>companies that you and I grew up with, that's a

0:35:50.600 --> 0:35:51.560
<v Speaker 2>tough call right now.

0:35:53.120 --> 0:35:57.280
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, Unfortunately, I think I think all these media companies

0:35:57.320 --> 0:35:59.960
<v Speaker 9>have become too small. I mean, when you have somebody

0:36:00.160 --> 0:36:04.280
<v Speaker 9>like Apple generating ninety billion a year and Google meaning

0:36:04.320 --> 0:36:07.600
<v Speaker 9>Alphabet generating sixty billion dollars a year of free cash flow,

0:36:07.880 --> 0:36:10.759
<v Speaker 9>that's like bigger than the market cap of like a

0:36:10.760 --> 0:36:14.240
<v Speaker 9>bunch of these companies combined. So I think the answer

0:36:14.360 --> 0:36:17.600
<v Speaker 9>is the old media companies need to merge into these

0:36:17.600 --> 0:36:19.439
<v Speaker 9>global distribution juggernauts.

0:36:20.520 --> 0:36:22.719
<v Speaker 6>They need to get bought by them. The problem is,

0:36:23.080 --> 0:36:24.200
<v Speaker 6>you know, Washington, d C.

0:36:24.360 --> 0:36:26.960
<v Speaker 9>With Democrats at the head of every agency, it's very

0:36:26.960 --> 0:36:30.160
<v Speaker 9>tough to get acquisitions done. So what these media companies

0:36:30.160 --> 0:36:33.000
<v Speaker 9>need to be doing is shrinking meaning laying off people,

0:36:34.000 --> 0:36:36.560
<v Speaker 9>increasing their dividend, and they've become value plays.

0:36:36.719 --> 0:36:38.320
<v Speaker 6>They are no longer growth businesses.

0:36:38.920 --> 0:36:42.480
<v Speaker 2>Is there a shakeout here? Is there still maybe consolidation

0:36:42.600 --> 0:36:47.120
<v Speaker 2>of media company A media company b getting together last gasp?

0:36:48.320 --> 0:36:49.520
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I mean I think I.

0:36:49.560 --> 0:36:52.320
<v Speaker 9>Think it's I think there's a widely almost a consensus

0:36:52.400 --> 0:36:54.840
<v Speaker 9>rumor in a sense that Paramount's too small needs to

0:36:54.840 --> 0:36:58.120
<v Speaker 9>get bought. It owns CBS, so it cannot be bought

0:36:58.160 --> 0:37:02.480
<v Speaker 9>by NBC, which is Comcast. It cannot be bought by ABC,

0:37:02.640 --> 0:37:05.799
<v Speaker 9>which is the Walt Disney Company, so it can't be

0:37:05.840 --> 0:37:09.240
<v Speaker 9>bought by Fox, which it was Fox. So really, David

0:37:09.320 --> 0:37:13.560
<v Speaker 9>zaslom Or, you know, I guess like Amazon could buy

0:37:13.560 --> 0:37:15.600
<v Speaker 9>it or something. But I think there's sort of a

0:37:15.600 --> 0:37:21.279
<v Speaker 9>consensus that probably Warner Brothers Discovery buys Paramount because it

0:37:21.280 --> 0:37:23.760
<v Speaker 9>can own it doesn't donate in broadcaster already.

0:37:23.920 --> 0:37:26.040
<v Speaker 2>Right, all right, Lauren, thanks so much for taking the time.

0:37:26.040 --> 0:37:28.560
<v Speaker 2>I always appreciate getting some of your Timelare Martin. She's

0:37:28.560 --> 0:37:31.480
<v Speaker 2>a managing director, Senior Media and Internet Analyst at Needham

0:37:31.520 --> 0:37:34.120
<v Speaker 2>and Company. She's been based out on the West Coast

0:37:34.320 --> 0:37:37.120
<v Speaker 2>her entire career, so she's kind of right in the

0:37:37.200 --> 0:37:39.719
<v Speaker 2>backyard of kind of what's happening out there in the

0:37:39.719 --> 0:37:40.000
<v Speaker 2>world of.

0:37:41.640 --> 0:37:44.759
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcasts. You can

0:37:44.800 --> 0:37:48.560
<v Speaker 1>subscribe and listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever

0:37:48.640 --> 0:37:52.360
<v Speaker 1>podcast platform you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm on Twitter

0:37:52.560 --> 0:37:55.800
<v Speaker 1>at Matt Miller nineteen seventy three and not fall Sweeney.

0:37:55.840 --> 0:37:58.480
<v Speaker 2>I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast, you

0:37:58.480 --> 0:38:00.879
<v Speaker 2>can always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio.