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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Wednesday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. I was being rought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM always found on Betting Pro's

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Speaker 1: audio wherever you get your audio podcast video for the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel bet mgm with the total sponsorship

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Speaker 1: the offer it is a ten dollars bet to one

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty dollars on any event with that

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Speaker 1: promo code Juice one fifty for new accounts when you

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Speaker 1: sign up for a new account at bet MGM. All right,

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Speaker 1: two zho to one last night, Man Alive, that should

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Speaker 1: have been a three to oh night. I hate complaining

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Speaker 1: like that because we didn't lose any money and we

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Speaker 1: won two bets and pushed on Nova. But yikes, did

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Speaker 1: you see the end of that game? Collin Gillespie got

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Speaker 1: fouled that was not a jump ball and then calling

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Speaker 1: Gillespie did not charge because he hit a Yukon defender

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Speaker 1: first and then hit the guy who was trying to

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Speaker 1: draw the charge man. The referees got caught up in

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Speaker 1: the attic in the atmosphere and they were not not

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Speaker 1: our friends. We did get lucky with that intentionally missed

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Speaker 1: free throw at the end there. They could have hit

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Speaker 1: that and we would have lost. Instead, we got a

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Speaker 1: miracle push with point two seconds left. I don't really

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Speaker 1: know why they missed that shot. I mean, he gets

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Speaker 1: to kill the clock, but point two you have to

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Speaker 1: tip it. You can't make a three. Game's over, So

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Speaker 1: I don't know. Fine, I'll take the push, but man,

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Speaker 1: that up by four with about like fifty seconds left,

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Speaker 1: right up by four and we blow it. That stinks.

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Speaker 1: So really a tough one for our Villanova to win

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Speaker 1: the Big East bet. That's a that's a killer, an

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Speaker 1: absolute killer for us. We may lose two units on

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Speaker 1: that play, which is you combine that with Leola maybe

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Speaker 1: not winning the valley could be a three unit loss. There.

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Speaker 1: In futures for college basketball, and I'm normally pretty good

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Speaker 1: with futures, I mean, I was very good with futures

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. I'm looking really good with futures in

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Speaker 1: the NBA. I mean, We're going to cash that Warriors

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Speaker 1: bet like in a week for over forty seven and

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Speaker 1: a half wins for the Warriors. So normally I'm pretty good.

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Speaker 1: Maybe not in college basketball this year not looking too great,

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Speaker 1: but we'll see those things. Happen. We go in cycles,

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Speaker 1: but nice winning day for us here from a Tuesday

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Speaker 1: onto a Thursday under a Wednesday with three more bets

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Speaker 1: for you all in college basketball. I'm not going to

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Speaker 1: go near hockey. I'm just not watching it enough right

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Speaker 1: now to really have a great read, and I'm watching

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Speaker 1: a lot of college basketball. So let's just stick with

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Speaker 1: college basketball in the hardwood here, and let's start with

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Speaker 1: the team that could very well burn us, excuse me,

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Speaker 1: could burn us for our bet to win the biggest

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Speaker 1: tournament because or the biggest regular season. Because Providence is

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Speaker 1: at home against Xavier tonight, this game at the Dunk

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Speaker 1: Xavier on the road this year five and five ats,

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Speaker 1: thirteen and thirteen overall, Providence fourteen and eleven against the

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Speaker 1: spread this season seven and eight at home, four and

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Speaker 1: six ats. Over their last ten games, they have failed

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Speaker 1: to cover. However, over their last three games, favored by

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Speaker 1: three against Butler, one by one, catching four against Nova,

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Speaker 1: lost by five, laying nine and a half against Apaul

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Speaker 1: they won by three. A lot of people are saying

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Speaker 1: this Providence team is overrated, that Ken Palm and the

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Speaker 1: analytical people they're just kind of downplaying them. That this

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Speaker 1: is all you know. People aren't looking deep at the analytics,

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Speaker 1: so just looking at Ed Cooley and this roster, and

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Speaker 1: they think that they've won and been lucky to win

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Speaker 1: as many close games as they have. They've won a

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Speaker 1: ton of five point or less basketball games. But this

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Speaker 1: line tonight is one and a half okay against Xavier,

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Speaker 1: who has lost four of their last five outright. They

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Speaker 1: have lost their last two to Connecticut in Saint John's

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Speaker 1: by eleven and thirteen points. They beat Yukon at home,

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Speaker 1: which was pretty surprising, bad loss for Connecticut there on

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Speaker 1: the road at Xavier, but then you had a lost

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Speaker 1: to Seaton Hall and a lost to Paul As. They

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Speaker 1: were fourteen point favorites at home against DePaul and they

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Speaker 1: lost by four. They were catching three points against Seaton

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Speaker 1: Hall they lost by two. They covered in that game,

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Speaker 1: but then man Saint John's and Yukon their last two games.

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Speaker 1: Xavier's n SOAA tournament hopes are really going down the drain,

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Speaker 1: and I think Providence and their fans they're feeling it now.

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Speaker 1: With that loss by Nova, they're going to see a

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Speaker 1: chance for them to win their first ever Big East

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Speaker 1: regular season championship. They've won the tournament. They beat Creighton

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Speaker 1: and when the first year in the Doug muct dermott

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Speaker 1: senior year or junior year, I can't remember which one

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Speaker 1: it was, but they beat ed Cooley, beat Greg McDermott

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Speaker 1: and Doug McDermott. I was there for that game at

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Speaker 1: MSG and they've won this tournament before. They've never won

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Speaker 1: in the history of the Big East, all the basketball

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Speaker 1: Providence has played, they have never won a regular season championship.

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Speaker 1: And if they lose this game here, the door is

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Speaker 1: open for that monster game coming up where they go

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Speaker 1: on the road at Villanova this weekend. They have got

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Speaker 1: to win this game here tonight. It's only one and

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Speaker 1: a half. If you want to bet the money line,

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Speaker 1: you can. We got burned with the Creighton game a

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Speaker 1: couple of days ago by laying one and a half

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Speaker 1: and they won by one. I'm gonna lay the one

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Speaker 1: and a half at home here. Hope they win by

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Speaker 1: two and take Providence for a half a unit minus

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Speaker 1: one and a half at home. I don't think they

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Speaker 1: look past Xavier. I don't think this is a trap game.

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Speaker 1: If it's a loss, our nova bet to win the

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Speaker 1: regular season. It's back on. Okay, so maybe a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a hedge here by taking Providence in this game,

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Speaker 1: because if they lose this game, they win by one,

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Speaker 1: we could be in trouble by both. But if you

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Speaker 1: want to bet money line you can. I'm just gonna

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Speaker 1: lay the one and a half points here, half a

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Speaker 1: unit Providence at home for a half a unit. Speaking

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Speaker 1: of the Creighton bluesess. Oh, by the way, kenpo has

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Speaker 1: this as a two point game, so you got a

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Speaker 1: half a point of value at a Ken pomp. So

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Speaker 1: the Creighton Blue Jays are on the road up against

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Speaker 1: Saint John's. Went I went and looked at some of

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Speaker 1: these numbers. It's kind of interesting when you look at

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Speaker 1: the Creaton Blue Jays. But according to Ken Palm, they

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Speaker 1: have this as a four point win for Saint John's. Okay,

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Speaker 1: numbers five, so we got a one point of value

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Speaker 1: there from the Creighton Blue Jays. But the Jays over

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Speaker 1: their last three wins over Saint John's, they have scored

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Speaker 1: eighty seven points at least In each of the last

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Speaker 1: three victories over Saint John's, they won ninety four seventy six.

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Speaker 1: In Queen's last year, they won ninety seven seventy nine

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Speaker 1: in Omaha last year, and they won eighty seven sixty

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Speaker 1: four earlier this year. It's weird see the Jays catching

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Speaker 1: five points here having a hard time figuring this out

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Speaker 1: Now John's is fifteen Sorry. Saint John's is this season

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Speaker 1: thirteen twelve and one against the spread, nine to five

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Speaker 1: and one in the Big East. They've covered the last

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Speaker 1: three games. They're six ten in one at home this year, though.

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Speaker 1: The Jays on the road are eight and five ATS.

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Speaker 1: They are eight five and two ATS in the Big

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Speaker 1: East Conference, and the Creighton Blue Jays have been playing

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Speaker 1: pretty well. In fact, well, this team has now won

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Speaker 1: five straight games. I don't want to play on the

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Speaker 1: over here, Okay, you want to go with the over

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Speaker 1: one forty seven and a half. Don't want to play

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Speaker 1: on the over. However, Mike Anderson has a rough record

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Speaker 1: against Greg McDermott. He has not coached well with the

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Speaker 1: Creighton Blue Jays being coached by Greg McDermott and Mike

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Speaker 1: Anderson being the coach of Saint John's. Coach Mack is

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Speaker 1: four and one straight up against Mike Anderson. I mean

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Speaker 1: Mike Anderson won a bunch of games against coach mack

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Speaker 1: when he led when he was with Missouri, but that

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Speaker 1: was when McDermott was that Iowa State. Overall, Greg mc

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Speaker 1: germot is twelve and five against Saint John's in his

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Speaker 1: coaching career in the Big East. I still think Greg

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Speaker 1: McDermott's not getting near the love that he should. This

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Speaker 1: team was picked ninth in the Big East. They're currently

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Speaker 1: just so right now they are what are they? They

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Speaker 1: are half? They're in fourth place right now heading into

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Speaker 1: the night, heading into the Knight in fourth place, could

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Speaker 1: be higher, could be in third. They win tonight. They

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Speaker 1: went outright. This team is on the bubble. They are

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Speaker 1: one of the last four teams to get in by

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Speaker 1: most prognosticators. They need a victory here tonight against Saint John's.

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Speaker 1: I think they can get it done on the money

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Speaker 1: line with how they're playing. I know Saint John's is

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Speaker 1: playing well. I know Saint John's has been covering. They

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Speaker 1: have covered the last three games. They beat Butler by

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Speaker 1: thirty four points. In their last game, they beat Xavier

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Speaker 1: by thirteen points. Before that, they lost by three to

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Speaker 1: Yukon at home as four and a half point home

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Speaker 1: Dogs lost in Nova by six in a push situation.

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Speaker 1: At home, they beat Butler by three, laying two points.

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Speaker 1: They beat Georgetown by thirteen, laying four and a half points.

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Speaker 1: But that first game against the Creighton Blue Jays just

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Speaker 1: really sticks out. They lost by twenty three points. They

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Speaker 1: were three and a half point road dogs and they

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Speaker 1: lost by twenty three. Now they're five point home favorites.

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Speaker 1: Something to look right with that number. Give me the

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Speaker 1: creaton Blue Jays, plus five on the road at Saint

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Speaker 1: John's for a half a unit and the last play

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Speaker 1: give us three plays on the night stinks. Let's just

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Speaker 1: tell you it's gonna suck. The total for the West

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Speaker 1: Virginia Mountaineers at Iowa State is one thirty one and

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Speaker 1: a half. This is the highest total for a game here.

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Speaker 1: Again for Iowa State, there's only one game with a

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Speaker 1: higher total going all the way back to the fifteenth

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Speaker 1: of in January. That was against Kansas at home Iowa State,

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Speaker 1: the total was one thirty five. The rest of the

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Speaker 1: games are one twenty seven, one twenty six, one twenty eight,

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Speaker 1: one twenty nine, one twenty two, one twenty eight, one

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Speaker 1: twenty seven and a half, one twenty seven and a half,

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Speaker 1: one twenty eight and a half one twenty one and

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Speaker 1: a half. This game is one thirty one and a half.

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Speaker 1: And you might say, well why, Well, the reason is

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Speaker 1: the first time these two teams played, the game went

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Speaker 1: over and it went over by twelve and a half

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Speaker 1: points because it was seventy nine to sixty three. That

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Speaker 1: game was in or at West Virginia in Morgantown. This

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Speaker 1: game now is being played in Ames, Iowa at home.

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Speaker 1: This year, Iowa State is ten and seven to the under.

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Speaker 1: They are eight and six to the over in Big

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Speaker 1: twelve play and West Virginia is eleven and three to

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Speaker 1: the over in Big twelve play. And they're ten and

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Speaker 1: two to the over in uh In on the road

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Speaker 1: this season. Okay, but here is my philosophy. Here's my

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Speaker 1: theory right now with Iowa State. Iowa State can still

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Speaker 1: make the NCAA Tournament. Iowa State is very much alive

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Speaker 1: for an at large bid. They're eighteen and nine. Had

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Speaker 1: some really big wins early in the year and not

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Speaker 1: some not so great wins. I mean, the Creighton wins

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Speaker 1: looking better and better every day, the Iowa wins looking

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Speaker 1: better and better every day. You know, they played Kansas

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Speaker 1: tight both times, lost both games with played tights. They

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Speaker 1: just whipped up at Oklahoma. They beat TCU badly. After

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Speaker 1: the four games swoon where they lost to Kansas, Texas,

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Speaker 1: West Virginia, and Kansas State, I think they have patched

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Speaker 1: up the holes. They can't play up tempo, they can't

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Speaker 1: play fast. They've got to play like they did versus

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Speaker 1: Kansas back in the beginning of January sixty two to

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Speaker 1: sixty one. Well, you know they've got or against Texas

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Speaker 1: Tech fifty one forty seven. They've got to take the

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Speaker 1: air out of the ball. They can't go up tempo.

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Speaker 1: I think this game very possibly goes under by a

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Speaker 1: ways here. It's gonna be ugly, it's gonna be tough,

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Speaker 1: but I think Iowa State is going to grind it.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna play the under here under one thirty one

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Speaker 1: and a half. West Virginia at Iowa State. Let's go

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Speaker 1: against the trends here a little bit. Let's go against

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Speaker 1: what we've seen for a lot of these teams in

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Speaker 1: terms of what they like to do. West Virginia has

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Speaker 1: had a really rough run of its They are fourteen

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Speaker 1: and thirteen of the year, three and eleven in Big

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Speaker 1: Twelve play They've lost four straight games, one of one

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Speaker 1: and nine. They're three and nine on the road this year.

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Speaker 1: Iowa State needs it desperately, thirteen and four straight up

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Speaker 1: at Hilton. I think they play their style, they dictate

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Speaker 1: their tempo. Think Iowa State very well. I was thinking

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Speaker 1: about looking at Iowa State and saying, Okay, why don't

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Speaker 1: we just go ahead and lay the five and a half.

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Speaker 1: But I think this could be a dog play here.

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Speaker 1: First move to this was on the was on the

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Speaker 1: dog in West Virginia, opened it five and a half,

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Speaker 1: moved to five. Dog in the under. Seems like a

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Speaker 1: good correlated bet there. Don't know about West Virginia. Not

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Speaker 1: going to trust them. Take the under one thirty one

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Speaker 1: and a half for Iowa State at home for a

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Speaker 1: half a unit. Okay, three bets for us here on

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Speaker 1: a Wednesday, let's have another winning night here. We're going

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Speaker 1: Providence minus one and a half at home again Xavier

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Speaker 1: Creighton plus five on the road at Saint John's. Iowa State,

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Speaker 1: West Virginia under one thirty one and a half for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit minus. Matt Paroltz every morning it's

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Podcast. I was being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by BETEMGM